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Medium of the Art / Technique of the Artist: I believe that some artwork can only be fully appreciated in person. So when I heard about the Zen Garden at the Harn I decided that this would have to be one of the stops during our tour. Pictures may show the designs and layout of a zen garden, but only being inside of one can give you the full effect of peacefulness and tranquility. The way the sun hits the lines of stones creates reflections and shadows that can't be completely captured with a camera. In the garden, I found the layout of the vegetation and the scattered minimalist decorations flowed together quite well and conveyed a sense of cohesion and togetherness. This made me feel relaxed and peaceful as I was more than happy to sit back and simply enjoy the view of the garden for a couple of minutes.
Design of the Museum: The first thing that struck me as I entered the Harn was the architecture and layout. The massive corridor (pictured above) that leads to the first main gallery was stunning as sunlight was spilling in from the massive floor-to-ceiling windows. At the end of the corridor stands a lone statue that appears very bold and creatively placed. Many of the art work that appears throughout the exhibits is placed in very innovative ways so that each piece seems like the entire room is focused on it. The lighting of each piece was also fantastic and accented the art in a way so that the mood of the work was amplified. I also found the use of space appealing as it seemed that there were always large open spaces with plenty of room, yet there also appeared to be a massive amount of pieces in a single room or space. This overall design of the museum greatly enhanced my experience of the Harn and made it much more enjoyable.
Art and Core Values: This piece by Nancy Graves, called II-06-94, showcased many of her deepest interests and passions as well as reminders of her origins and growing up. Some of her passions that are displayed include astronomy and music and a horseshoe crab holds as a reminder of her origins. I believe that it is absolutely vital for a person to find their passions and to live by them. Once a person finds something they love and truly hold a passion for, they should never let that thing go. I also relate to the idea of remembering and appreciating a person's origins and how they grew up. I personally grew up in Chicago for a majority of my childhood and that will always be a piece of me, no matter what happens down the line. This piece of work instills the feelings of joy and enthusiasm in me as it reminds me of my own personal loves and passions. It also causes me to feel nostalgic as it reminds me of my own childhood. I think this piece helps me to understand that it is always good to remember the past but its even better to pursue passions in the future.
Art and the Good Life: The Good Life and the fight to achieve it is often represented through art. Martha Rosler's video, Semiotics of the Kitchen, displays her anger towards the fight she endures on her path to the good life. In the video, Rosler begins naming kitchen utensils in alphabetical order and demonstrating how to use them. But as she continues, her actions become more violent as she appears to be growing angry. This represents the exasperation and rage felt by women who are forced into oppressed roles. Rosler attempts to have this social injustice recognized by others and have it brought to light. Her Good Life would include the fair and equal treatment of women, but since that didn't exist at the time, she had to fight to achieve her Good Life. Fighting for the Good Life can take many forms, such as civil disobedience, speaking up against power, and even through art.


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From vines of over 100 years old grown on south facing granite soils. Some stemmy aromas bring fresh thyme, rosemary, star-anise and white pepper freshness to the aromatics, and a deep menthol coolness, an effect of not destemming. It is full-bodied, rich and concentrated in fruit with wonderful freshness. Very lively too, with citrus and berry acidity woven through the deep, juicy blackberry and damson fruit. A touch of crème de mûre on the palate, and some spicy notes on the finish. This is a relatively light Geynale in fruit, not as darkly-fruited as some years, nor quite as monolithic, but it's very well balanced and harmonious, surging with life and energy. The tannins are fresh, savoury and saline, and there is enough here to see the wine through into the long term. Complex and thrilling. (MW)
There are only about 3,000 bottles of the stunning 2016 Cornas la Geynale. Tasted from tank prior to bottling, it looks every bit the equal of the 2015—oozing with concentrated purple fruit and crushed stone but without that vintage's massive tannins. The 100-year-old vines Paris works with at this site face south and achieved terrific ripeness, making the wine approachable relatively young. Vincent Paris has been working in Cornas for more than a decade, but still qualifies (in my opinion) as one of the young guys. His prized parcel is in La Geynale, a plot of 100-year-old vines facing due south. His 2015s are classically firm, structured wines that demand cellaring, while the 2016s are more flattering to taste yet still express their terroirs. Paris says he used to do more pigeage but has cut back in favor of gentler extraction techniques. The wines are still plenty dark and concentrated but perhaps a bit less austere as a result. (JC)
As always, the 2016 Cornas La Geynale is the most classic in style. From the La Genale and Reynard lieux-dits and not destemmed, it boasts a deep purple/plum color, awesome notes of blackcurrants, crushed pepper, game and tapenade, full-bodied richness, and a stacked, concentrated profile on the palate. It's the most tannic of the lineup and will need 3-4 years of bottle age, but is brilliant stuff.
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Cognitive Behavioral Therapy for psychosis (CBTp) is an individualized, first-line intervention for adults with schizophrenia and other serious mental illness (Kingdon & Turkington, 2005; Wood et al., 2013). Despite an evidence base that spans more than 20 years, CBT for psychosis is not widely available in community mental health settings in the United States. Nationally, it's estimated that only 0.1% of all licensed clinicians in the United States are trained in CBTp (Mueser & Noordsy, 2015), and no national standards exist by which to gauge use and proficiency.
A recent analysis by the Washington State Institute for Public Policy found that Washington has one of the highest prevalence rates for adults with mental health disorders in the country, with nearly 7% (or roughly 478,102 Washingtonians) meeting criteria for a serious mental illness (SMI; Burley & Scott, 2015). There are nearly 60,000 Washingtonians who are diagnosed with schizophrenia. Prior to 2015, CBT for psychosis was unavailable among the state's 375 community mental health agencies and, if resources did exist, few people knew where to access it. Recognizing this unmet need within the State, in 2014 Dr. Monroe-DeVita secured funding from the Division of Behavioral Health and Recovery (DBHR) and an anonymous donor to begin to train the Washington State mental health workforce in CBTp. In 2015, Dr. Kopelovich joined the UW implementation team and successfully renewed the public-private funding that has permitted for a rapid expansion of CBTp dissemination and implementation.
Presently, more than 130 clinicians across 20 agencies in Washington State have been trained in CBTp. Thirty-four providers have successfully completed certificate requirements, which includes a required number of consultation sessions and CBTp session fidelity review. Currently, 53 additional Washington State mental health providers are enroute to receiving their certificates of completion. The UW CBTp implementation team recognizes that, in order to effectively address the science-to-practice gap, we must exponentially increase the number of trained CBTp providers while maintaining high standards for competence and adherence. Two recent implementation enhancements permit the expansion of dissemination and implementation efforts: introducing CBTp Stepped Care and the CBTp ECHO Clinic.
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Celebrating the life of Mickey Lynn Goins
Be the first to share your favorite memory, photo or story of Mickey. This memorial page is dedicated for family, friends and future generations to celebrate the life of their loved one.
We ask on behalf of the family that you keep your comments uplifting and appropriate to help all who come here to find comfort and healing.
Mickey Lynn Goins, longtime Sand Springs resident, passed from this life on Monday, December 18, 2017 at the age of 73.
Arrangements have been entrusted to Dillon Marler Dighton Funeral Home in Sand Springs, Oklahoma.
A Celebration of Life Service is scheduled at 2:00 p.m. on Friday, December 22, 2017 at Fisher Baptist Church in Sand Springs, Oklahoma with Rev. Manuel Parker officiating.
Mickey was born on September 2, 1944 to Rual Alex Duvall and Lois Nadine Pennington Duvall in Tulsa, Oklahoma. After graduating high school, she worked as a switchboard operator, she also worked in clerical and later retired as a Front-End Retail Manager.
Mickey was a member of the Fisher Baptist Church in Sand Springs, Oklahoma.
Mickey is survived by her son, Richard Goins of Sand Springs, Oklahoma; two granddaughters, Heather and Mallory Goins of Sand Springs, Oklahoma; one grandson, Zach Goins of Skiatook, Oklahoma; sister, Mary Bunch of Sand Springs, Oklahoma and a host of friends, nieces and nephews.
She was preceded in death by her parents, Rual and Nadine Duvall.
To send flowers or a remembrance gift to the family of Mickey Lynn Goins, please visit our Tribute Store.
Previous Events
Celebration Of Life Service
4008 South 137th Ave.
Sand Springs, OK 74063
Cemetery Details
1200 N Cleveland
Sand Springs, OK 74063


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Shepardsville Restaurants
Free restaurant advertising in the town of Shepardsville.
Shepardsville, IN has one of the widest choices of restaurants, of an area its magnitude, in the whole of the United States. Just about half of the restaurants in Shepardsville are full-service restaurants with three quarters of the others offering limited service. The other restaurants inShepardsville are for the most part drinking places and caterers that recommend selected in-house foodstuff.
Full-service restaurants in Shepardsville be likely to offer a number of menu categories, including starters, salads, side dishes, desserts, and more drinks, with quite a few choices within each sort. Cooks and chefs will get ready the items to buy, starting from grilling a burger to compiling a more complicated and sophisticated menu item. Waiters and waitresses present table service in comfortable surroundings. Regulars increasingly enjoy dining at mid-size or children friendly restaurants, typically run by a national group. Contrastingly, patrons at the superior Shepardsville dining places be inclined to seek a nice environment with skillfully primed gastronomy and relaxed, proficient service. At the same time as groups are a significant portion of the restaurant business, a lot of clientele in Shepardsville wish to dine in unchained owned and locally operated restaurants.
The most frequent variety of a limited-service restaurant in Shepardsville, IN is a franchised business of a countrywide restaurant chain selling fast food. Like every else, these restaurants in Shepardsville includes a set menu, the nonexistence of waitresses and waiters and an stress on spotlessness and a professional service. Menu collections will offer limited variety and are geared up by the workforce with negligible cooking or food-management skills. Foodstuff typically is served in disposable take-out containers that keep hold of the food's heat, allowing restaurants to set up orders in advance of customers' requests. A upward amount of fast-food restaurants in Shepardsville, IN are now providing drive-through and walk-up services.
Restaurants are the most common and time-honored trade in the USA. The finest restaurants, especially the finest restaurants in Shepardsville, IN propose
- Recently prepared food focused on community favourites
- Menu choices with the intention of suiting all in the family
- Well-organized and motivated staff that smile!
- Spotlessness
- Each and every one of the list above at an affordable rate!
Individuals of Shepardsville are well known for liking restaurants with the intention of offering something that other restaurants do not exhibit and they like establishments where the workers operating the business in attendance sincerely like what they are doing.
Folks in Shepardsville are looking for restaurants with the purpose of making you feel good after eating there.
The clients attracted to restaurants in Shepardsville fluctuate according to many factors, including the style of food presented, prices, position and the market sector the restaurant is targeted at.
To attract clients in Shepardsville, IN you ought to focus on
- High-earning persons or families with a great sum of disposable salary however barely period in which to expend it. This patron unit includes the growing number of solo householders, as well as dual-earnings household groups.
- Commerce people on expense accounts to boost lunchtime trade along with evening meals. The usefulness of this market often tends to follow the wider fluctuations in regional companies.
- Tourists are eminent for numerous restaurants in the district. Bear in mind that visitor figures to Shepardsville alter according to the seasons, and winter, specifically, may perhaps see poorer trading.
- The appearance of a considerable troop of retired persons with a higher level of disposable income and improved leisure time. Study indicates that this ensemble tends to eat out during the daylight hours as a leisure activity.
- Children. The affect of family has shaped a considerable market group that impacts on family choice for meals. This has been without difficulty picked up on by the sizeable conglomerates who, led by the burger franchises, target offspring through their marketing.
- Working women. Married women partake more than sixty percent of all household errands, accordingly easy access to meals is welcomed as one less errand to partake. Price tends to be an important factor affecting the preference of this grouping, beside the quality of the food.
- Grazers. As lifestyles have changed, the customary three meals per day have been replaced by a tendency to graze or eat on the run. Convenience plays a substantial share in this group's choice of venue.
If you are opening a restaurant in Shepardsville, IN you should
- Classify the most excellent place in order to be a magnet for passing trade. If you are planning to rely by word alone and shape your trade over a very long period, location will play a vital fragment in the eventual triumph of your company.
- Settle down into your working routine (and make sure your personnel are accustomed with their tasks!) and then invite reviewers from the Shepardsville media to conduct a restaurant review - a decent review is apt to boost resident attraction in your business.
- Make absolutely you're listed in neighborhood food and restaurant guides. This will mean enlisting with the Shepardsville holiday handbooks and this will also help attract individuals from beyond immediate neighborhood.
- Spread around in publications perused by your intended addressees. Shepardsvillebusiness magazines and newspapers frequently tender sensibly priced advertising space.
- Stand out from the competition by choosing an special icon or theme and applying it to your furnishings, personnel uniforms, dinner service and cutlery, and menus.
- Market distinct audiences depending on the time of the day or season of the year. Mutually daytime and evening menus may perhaps be provided, with on a daily basis exclusives presented to change the customary bill of fare.
- Use special offers to increase business through slow-moving periods, with mid-afternoon bargains for students and elder diners, and special kid's menus on hand to appeal to families. Christmas is an important phase for most restaurants, seeing as it offers the chance to encourage business through corporate parties and can be an initiation to your restaurant for possible new clients who can revisit throughout the rest of the year.
As word-of-mouth hype is of the greatest importance for Shepardsville restaurants, it is critical that your consumer service should always be conscientious, timely and civil!
Shepardsville Restaurant Newsletter
Do you have a restaurant or foodie place in the USA - then join our newsletter.


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Recessed Lighting Decorative Trim Rings Festivals and special occasions are always awaiting eagerly. Right from little children to adults, most of us feel and enjoy the prospect of having a festival looming just round the corner. We start to prepare for such occasions many days in advance. When we think about any festival or event, the first thing that comes to our thoughts is your decoration. No festival is complete without decorations of some type.
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Recessed Lighting Decorative Trim Rings | When it is a religious festival or a public festival or some social occasion or special family occasion, decorations are always an integral element. The style of decoration may differ from festival to festival and occasion to occasion.The idea of decorating a house always tends to make everyone joyful, allowing them to participate in the decorations with zeal. Plenty of imagination and creativity are the primary components for decoration.
Your decorations don't always need to be pompous and gaudy. Even a simple one done thoughtfully will add charm and elegance to special occasions. Some small planning beforehand will assist you in a huge way. To begin with, you must have a proper idea of this place that will be decorated. The funding for the decoration ought to be outlined. Then you have to conceive your ideas.The most important factor that you must bear in mind is your occasion. Your decorations must proceed hand in hand with the occasion. Flip flop lighting sets, tribal man neon lanterns, cherry decorations, and balloon lanterns will be very apt for decorating your celebration hallway. Balloons are an integral component of party decorations. There are large types of balloons available.
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All those checked bags and pay-to-use pillows are adding up to big bucks for the airline industry, which took in $7.8 billion in extra fees last year, up 42 percent from 2008. Most of the so-called "ancillary" fees came from ...Read More »
They'll be missed. We think.
Two Long Islander's who contributed greatly to American culture are no more. Leslie Buck, who changed the visual landscape of Long Island and New York City, died at home in Syosset this week at 87. OK, Buck didn't build skyscrapers, ...Read More »
The peanuts are gratis
Heading to London this weekend with a few pals and got $50,000 to burn? ExcelAire, the luxury jet charter service headquartered at MacArthur Airport, will get you there in style. They've just added a nine-passenger Falcon 50 to the fleet. ...Read More »
Um, sorry, honey
Goldman Sachs wasn't the only one betting against the housing market. Turns out Jonathan Gillibrand was also sly enough to make a few bucks shorting home builders before the bubble burst. Jonathan, husband of U.S. senator and occasional LIBN contributor ...Read More »
Bottle ban on tap?
The Long Island Water Conference is looking for an elected official – any elected official – to join its proposed ban on non-reusable plastic bottles, especially, we suspect, the ones that contain water from somewhere else. Americans drank from and ...Read More »
Centerport eatery gets close-up
The waterfront restaurant Mill Pond House on Centerport harbor has been transformed into a bar called "Rushmore's Jetty" for the filming of a new movie starring Kate Hudson, Colin Farrel and John Krasinski. The Warner Brothers movie, "Something Borrowed," is ...Read More »
Stranger than reality
Carlisle Cullen, patriarch of the coven of vampires in the uber-successful "Twilight" series of novels, is the newest addition to Forbes magazine's annual Fictional 15 list, a look at the world's most successful make-believe characters. Cullen, age 370, makes the ...Read More »
No need to say 'wit'
Can you get a good Philly cheese steak on Long Island? No. But you can now get a different Philadelphia heart attack in a wrapper. TastyKake, Philly's iconic treat maker, is beginning to stock shelves in Island grocery and convenience ...Read More »
$40 million buys a lotta pop
Gov. David Paterson's proposed penny-an-ounce tax on sugary soft drinks may face tough going in Albany, but similar tariffs have cake-walked into the books in other locales. Earlier this year, Colorado extended its sales tax to cover previously exempt soda ...Read More »
And Hispanics tambien
The Hispanic Liquor Store Association, which represents Latin-owned small businesses in the five boroughs of New York City, has jumped on the bustling bandwagon of retailers opposed to a plan to expand wine sales to grocery stores in the state. ...Read More »


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Since the circumstance is filed the DMV should have an expert on staff which is normally a certified master mechanic That ought to carry out an inspection with the car and section in issue and could make a willpower as as to whether it seems more recent or when you described, previous. They'll critique mechanic certification that executed the repairs in addition to inspect the facility for other documentation to check out when they're subsequent regulations protocol with State legislation and concern violations pertaining.
The effects in the high Strengthen checks might be witnessed down below in Determine 6. It's not important to pay attention to the temperatures In this particular graph (as They are really immediately dependant on the ending temperature with the freeway cruising examination) but alternatively the behavior of your graphs. In essence, do the temps plateau off or do they proceed to climb?
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You may have each appropriate into a record with the work performed on your car and you simply shouldn't depart the dealership right up until they produce an invoice to suit your needs with the knowledge you asked for on it.
Figures demonstrate that the typical day by day vehicle targeted traffic through the I-15 on the Nevada/California border quantities 42,143. Basically, This suggests there will almost always be website traffic into and from Las Vegas. Pertaining to weekend visits, most readers have a tendency to depart Southern California among Friday early morning and really late Friday night, and then Every person heads back to L.A. between midday and 8 p.m. on Sunday. The excursion to L.A. is almost always slower compared to journey to Vegas.
ManuMetri suggests: December 27, 2016 at seven:49 am Known as AAA in Los Angeles to obtain my car or truck towed,it had been leaking yellow fluid and also a drinking water pump situation was very distinct. I questioned the motive force (who had his Woman Good friend within the AAA truck with him!!!t)to get me to my normal mechanic i generate a 1976 eldorado cadillac ,the driver insisted i ought to take a look at a mechanic he knew,on just how to mine ,expressing he was really sensible and excellent for traditional autos,he stated for those who don t like web site him I'll tow you to the mechanic. I last but not least agreed and as soon as we bought on the shop the mechanic immediatly states it s the h2o pump we can easily care for it no trouble.
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Bar's Leaks Head Seal is only meant to be included into the cooling system. If your product is set up within the engine oil plus the engine hasn't been started out, in many circumstances you may remove the valve cover and drain the oil leaving the drain plug off. Then use an engine flush washing out The pinnacle maintaining Distinctive interest on the oil return holes that operate down to the oil pan.
The rationale for This is certainly therefore you're protected underneath the lemon law. Your description in the car or truck's difficulty have to be to the repair purchase / perform buy. Don't indication repair orders or go away your car for the dealership Except the problem is entered in the repair get / work buy. Get the job done Executed. Once you arrive with the dealership to choose your vehicle up, they ought to hand you an invoice detailing all operate and repairs executed. Duplicate this down within your repair log. In the event the dealership gained't Provide you an invoice for any motive, come up with a Observe of it. Charge. Enter any out-of-pocket expenses here. Illustrations contain: towing, gasoline, hotel, meals, or repair costs in case you're requested to pay for. Attach copies of all invoices and receipts towards the repair log. Make a range to the repair log entry and write it on the invoices and receipts to help potential referencing.
Day and Mileage after you the vehicle went in for repairs. Day and Mileage in the event the automobile was picked up. Note, the Date must replicate in the event the repairs were being concluded. It may be unique compared to day you picked the automobile up! The Mileage ought to reflect the mileage study right from the odometer. Vendor or Repair Shop where you took your car or truck for repairs. For Guarantee Repairs, you will be necessary to get your car or truck to an Authorized Repair facility. Repair Order Amount. You'll locate this printed within the repair order or function get. Don't drive off with out this very important piece of knowledge! Support Asked for / Description of Challenges. You may publish in as much or as tiny listed here as you desire. "Tires Rotated" or "Oil Improved" is fine for regimen routine maintenance, but describe significant concerns in detail. When you're having your automobile in to possess a repeat issue dealt with, make certain your description is IDENTICAL every time it's taken in to be repaired.
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text: Can anyone tell me if they've improved iOS 6 'error' notifications? I've seen a few apps as of late put error notifications in 'bars' at the top. I live in the nations largest city (NYC) and a fact of NY life is going underground multiple times per day (with no cellphone coverage). All it takes is one tap on Mail, and you're dealt with about 20 error notifications: - cannot connect, error connecting, cannot connect.. for each mail account. It gets a little bothersome to have to click on so many "Dismiss" buttons. The iOS designers really need to live in NYC for a few months and they'll understand these frustrations. (I'll note, in Mountain Lion there's also the same issue.. when using public Wifi where you're re-directed to log in, Calendar goes insane with popups to verify certificates. I have about 15 different calendars, so 15 different popups just for opening my laptop at Starbucks..) Any ideas?


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The body of a 7-year-old girl, who went missing on November 20 from the venue of a party in Haldwani, was recovered from a forest area near Sheesmahal gate in the town on Tuesday. Police did not rule out the possibility that the child might have been sexually assaulted.
DIG (Garhwal range) G S Martolia said prima facie it appeared to be a case of rape. "But we are waiting for the autopsy report. There were injury marks on one of her legs," Martolia said.
The girl had come with her family to Haldwani in Nainital district from their native place in a different district to attend a party hosted by a relative. She had gone missing on November 20 from the venue of the party at Ramleela ground.
Reports reaching here from Haldwani said the recovery of the body had sent shock waves through Haldwani town. The girl's father had lodged a missing person complaint with the Kathgodam police station in Haldwani on November 21. "Later, local residents also protested against the incident in Haldwani town," a source in Haldwani told The Indian Express over the phone.
The police had constituted multiple teams to trace the girl. "The police searched several places, including canals and railway tracks, to trace the girl over the past week," the source said.
An official press release said Chief Minister Harish Rawat has given special instructions to the state DGP to trace the criminals involved in the incident. He has directed that a team from the state police's Special Task Force (STF) be sent to assist the local police in the investigation.
Haridwar Police have recovered the body of one Anil Johari (about 50 yrs), who was posted a Senior DGM, BHEL, in Haridwar, from near the railway track near Bhagat Singh roundabout on Monday. Police believe that Johari might have been hit by a vehicle.
DIG (Garhwal range) Sanjay Gunjayal said Johari was staying with his family in Haridwar's Jawalapur area, and appeared to have had a drinking problem. According to Gunjayal, he had left his house on Sunday evening. "Prima facie it is a case of accident. We are still to get the autopsy report," Gunjayal said.
For all the latest India News, download Indian Express App


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Author's original the availability heuristic, intuitive cost-benefit analysis, and climate change. A social psychological term referring to people's tendency to base predictions and generalizations about a population on the ease with which they can think of an example to support or disprove a statement. One of these heuristics is the availability heuristic, determining probability by the ease with which relevant examples come to mind (groopman 2007: p 64.
A tversky, d kahneman: availability: a heuristic for judging frequency and probability in: cognitive psychology vol 5 (2), 1973, s 207–232. 可利用性法则(availability heuristic)一般又称可获得性启发、可得性法则、易得性法则可利用性法则指在很多时候,人们只是简单根据他们对事件已有的信息,包括记忆的难易程度或记忆中的多寡,来确定该事件发生的可能性,而不是寻找去其他相关的信息,容易. Representativeness heuristic and the availability heuristic the representativeness heuristic is used when we judge two things as being similar.
Representativeness heuristic psych central retrieved on june 8, 2018, from hot. Essays - largest database of quality sample essays and research papers on availability heuristic. Psychology today on fear and the availability heuristic: we use the availability heuristic to estimate the frequency of specific events for example, how often are people killed by mass murderers because higher frequency events are more likely to occur at any given moment, we also use the.During a particularly difficult shift early in my career, i spent the better part of two hours at the bedside with a patient's family discussing the unexpected discovery of a large tumor in their child's brain. Making the cloud transaction psychologically secure: overcoming the availability heuristic a cognitive heuristic is a shortcut our brains employ when forming beliefs or making decisions (reber and reber, 2001. You have printed the following article: judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases amos tversky daniel kahneman science, new series, vol 185, no 4157. Representativeness heuristic- the combined term then refers to the process of decision making or problem solving using a rule of thumb availability heuristics. 脳は節約志向 行動を生む思考のショートカット 目次 利用可能性ヒューリスティック とは? マーケティングリサーチと利用可能性ヒューリスティック. Humans use a bunch of rules to process information in order to judge it and act on it one of these heuristics is the availability heuristic the availability heuristic's logic goes like this: if it is easy to recall (remember), the probability or frequency must be very high for example, we read.
Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases the representativeness heuristic, judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases. Availability heuristic – estimating what is more likely by what is more available in memory, which is biased toward vivid, unusual,. This article described three heuristics that are employed in making judgements under uncertainty: (i) representativeness, which is usually employed when people are asked to judge the probability that an object or event a belongs to class or process b (ii) availability of instances or scenarios, which is often employed when people are.
Abstract results of past research suggest that affect plays an important role in risk perception because affect may also increase the availability of risks, affect and availability are closely related concepts. The availability heuristic judges the probability of events by the ease with which examples come to mind sometimes this heuristic serves us well, but the map is not the territory the frequency with which concepts occur in your thoughts need not reflect the frequency with which they occur in reality.
The availability heuristic is a mental shortcut that relies on immediate examples that come to a given person's mind when evaluating a. Ap psychology essay options for thinking and language unit, could take advantage of people's use of the availability heuristic in order to boost sales. It's interesting to me how many times i have attempted yet changed my opening statement for this particular blog post race, ethnicity, gender, religion, beliefs, values, and morals are a few things i will be discussing throughout this post to begin, i would like to offer my apologies to any.


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That aside, generally I have found conservative democrats to be closest to the FDR type of democrat. Pro union, pro govrnment control however social conservatives believing in familial traditions as an example.
One of the problems of the Democratic party is that it combines, under one roof, people similar to myself who are communist or socialist in economic leaning with people like Leiberman who are pro-business, while also combining people like Pelosi who is very socially liberal, with people like Frost, who is not. There is a very broad front combined under one roof. I tend to view the DNP as being most sucessful when it has been progressive, such as FDR and JFK, and Lincoln, although at the time, the party was Republican rather then Democrat. (I've read a few interesting exrapolations that hypothesized that Lincoln would have been a conservative Marxist... not sure how much I believe that, but they were interesting).
Anyrate, the point is that I belive Pelose is better for the party then Frost, even if some of her stances aren't what I would consider ideal. She'll start moving the party back in the right direction, while Frost would simply have moved it more towards being a mild version of the GOP, which is exactly why I think the DNP is ineffective at the moment.
There will be one major motivating factor in the DNC which will drive its policies reclaiming its majority status. Every party has dissimilar pieces which make up the whole, and the Democrats have shown a great tendency to shift ideology in order to gain a bigger piece of the pie. During the GOP rout of 1994, hundreds and thousands of Democrats already elected to office all over the country changed parties and became Republican. The trend did not go the other way (except for Jeffords who was an Independent to begin with.)
The center of the two parties are right and left of one another, but the 2002 elections seem to prove the GOP's center is closer to the nation's center. In order to balance that, the DNC will slide more to the right. It's what they did before, and it's what they'll do again. This time they may notr call themselves neo-Democrats like the Clinton Dems did - but that is where they will be to position themselves to take back the House and Senate.
Oddly enough, Pelosi is better positioned to move the party right than a centrist leader like Ford, who is already where the party needs to be. Ford would need to convince others to join him and adopt a new paradigm. Pelosi would bring the party with her as she , herself, shifted. Being a spokesman for the Left makes it easy to move it.
That's like calling a miscarriage a birthday, Pete.
But I have been unfair to bash Democrats alone for the extremist that they are proposing to elect. Hell, the Republicans are so eager to see the Democrats so discredit themselves, that they elected TOM DELAY as house speaker. Obviously they are baiting Democrats to elect an extremist of their own. What a dark day for our country. Right after voters sent such a nakedly obvious message that we wanted MODERATION in government, with conservative bastions such as Utah electing moderate Democrats against conservative Republicans, and liberal bastions such as Maryland and Massachusetts electing moderate Republicans against extremist Democrats.
Both parties ignore the voters, and will pay the price.
[This message has been edited by Pete at Home (edited November 14, 2002).]
The DNP has, essentially, been moving towards the center since 1988, when Dukakis lost the presidential election. Since that time, the party has continuously lost seats in the house and senate. The only victory was Clinton winning the presidential election, and that IS a big win, but I'd rather have a legislative branch that is democratic and a GOP president then vice versa.
California suffers from the same problem, only with reverse parties. I suggest you review your political history a bit Ev, your not even remotely accurate.
quote:Considering it HAS won when its been left...[sic]
In San Francisco, perhaps. But let's look at the national names of Democratic winners:
Kennedy. Johnson. Carter. Clinton. Which of the above do you seriously want us to believe was a bonna fide leftist? The anti-communist champion of American superiority, the one who started the Viet Nam war, the Christian crusader, or the master of triangulation who boasts of ending "welfare as we know it?"
You misconstrue national politics and history as perversely as you misconstrue my position on same-sex unions and adoption.
Do you seriously want us to believe that you consider Democractic winners Kennedy, Johnson, Carter, & Clinton to have been to the LEFT of Democratic losers McGovern, Mondale, Dukakis, and Gore?
I don't think so, Paul. In fact, Democrats have always done better when they moved credibly towards the center. (Don't skip my word "credible"; Gore's centrist pretensions -- e.g. decrying Hollywood filth while taking favors from them and Hugh Hefner -- failed the credibility test.)
[This message has been edited by Pete at Home (edited November 14, 2002) in order to remove his erroneous conclusion that Everard's "extreme conservative" statement was a reference to him. The same-sex union misrepresentation, unfortunately, remains unresolved.]
Back to the argument though, does anyone actually disagree that:
Dukakis & Mondale were to the left of Kennedy and Carter?
That Gore was left of [Mr.] Clinton?
If you disagree, please present your arguments. If you do agree, then what possible justification can there be to Everard's wishful claim that Democrats only win elections when they veer left away from center?
JFK and FDR won not from leftist ideology, but from confronting real problems faced by the country.
Furthermore, I am talking about the PARTY has done, not who it has elected as presidents.
I think Pelosi is extremely leftist - however coming out of Baltimore's Little Italy made her forever a machine democrat and I think she will say exasperatingly liberal statements while allowing the party, itself, to slide right.
She will attack Conservatives and bait them into a strong anti-Left stance - then usurp the moderate center every time she can. Her acceptance of the middle ground in light of her soapbox oratory will make her look like a statesman to the Democrats who've been without any heros for far too long.
[This message has been edited by WmLambert (edited November 14, 2002).]
WmLambert, I was greatly intrigued by Pelosi's statement today that she was "good friends" with Tom DeLay. Is this a case of right and left meeting at the extremes? I guess friendship across political lines is a good thing -- Ginsburg and Scalia are buddies, and hell, my wife is a Democrat There is after all something incestuous about only hanging out with people that share your ideology. But still, the image of these two party "whips" chumming it up strikes me as more than a little kinky.
quote:Pete- Remember your jumping to conclusions problem? You're doing it again. I was referring to Baldar and lambert. Furthermore, I am talking about the PARTY has done, not who it has elected as presidents.
Furthermore, I am talking about the PARTY has done, not who it has elected as presidents.
Two things1-Your view of political history is still skewed and without merit.
2-God forbid a president be elected reflecting the core values of his party.
There is a lot that could be said about this. You could criticize her for lack of moral integrity (strength of conviction), but if what she really believes in is party loyalty, having been raised as a "machine democrat," as the daughter of a past mayor of Baltimore, then she is living by what she really believes in.
I suspect that she really highlights the inherent weakness of the Democratic party, that it would elect such a leader for itself. At core, Democrats are secularists who refuse to be religious about anything. The closest they come to being religious is to be anti-religious.
But pragmatism is rudderless and cannot take you very far without the guidence of some real, deeply held convictions. Philosophical preferences are not the same thing as convictions.
Most Americans, and most Republicans, seem to have convictions, not just preferences.
As long as the Democratic Party continues to follow its divergence from mainstream American thinking in regard to convictions vs. preferences, it will continue further into decline.
If things go much further the way they are, we will have essentially a one-party system. We are not far from that now.
This is, oddly enough, exactly my point. The democratic party is following in the wake of the republican party, without actually having a point of its own. If things continue as they are, with the democrats drifting towards the GOP, we WILL have a one party system. The party has drifted away from its core values, which are further to the left then the party is today.
One example of this, that I think indicates the problems, are the two party positions on health care reform. Where the liberal party (and here I am not referring to classical liberalism) should be trying to get health care out to everyone, the DNP is talking about "affordable health care." This does not really amount to a war cry, whereas the plan several years ago... "universal health care" carries some weight to it. Its something people can rally behind. Granted, there are devils in the details. But its an idea that, if pressed on firmly, would garner a large degree of support.
One of the lessons the dnp can take from bush is the idea of speaking clearly about one's beliefs, in a firm manner. Another is to set goals, and pursue them. Right now, the party has no goals.
However, this point is exactly why the party needs to move left (and no, Clinton was not a leftist president. The perception he was towards the left is a good argument against the leftist media). The rightist position is staked out, and the center is basically a weak position. There ARE no convictions there, really, at least in american politics. And yet, thats where the DNP is at the moment. The DNP could very effectively stake out a position on the left, thats not TOO far left, by simply remembering what its core values are. Economy managed from the bottom up in the form of job creation and economic security for blue collar workers, and social health and education for everyone.
quote:In 1998, Democrats became the first party controlling the White House to gain seats in Congress during the sixth year of a president's term since 1822.
quote:In the 2000 elections, Democrats netted 4 additional Senate seats, one additional House seat
Both staements from the DNC website
Now for some more facts:
100 to the 103rd congress
Then on the 104th congress when we had left leaning ideas (socialized medicine behind closed doors) and the contract with America
dems dropped to 48 seatsrep rose to 52
then from 105-107 congressdems454550
Jeffords jumped ship.
Now in the house of reps
100 to 103 Congress
Then again we get to the socialized medicine and what not, the liberal issues with liberals running all over the place and we get the contract with America and suddenly
dems drop to 204rep rise to 230
Clinton realized the problem and moves the party centristdems207211212
a slow but continuous erosion of republican seats in the house
(one or two odd numbered independents).
Information was gleaned from Composition of Congress 1855 to 2001
So while you have some opinions, you can see that a centrist dominated democratic party pulls in more seats and power, leftist agenda bites the dust and dies. I refer you again to the political cartoon above. You need to review you political history.
The dnp lost because they are off message, undiscipline and relatively disorganized.
quote:Economy managed from the bottom up in the form of job creation and economic security for blue collar workers, and social health and education for everyone.
Now thats a load of horse apples. A democrat in DC never met a federal mandate he didn't like. Bottom up, only if its to kiss a politicians ass. Dems have a mandate from the top down. Libertarians are the ones that go local more than anyone else. Man, what a bunch of manure.
Obviously, there has to be something to put people to work ON. This requires, at some level, a transition of some sort in the way the economy functions. Laying rail doesn't do any good at this point in time, so mandating 100,000 jobs laying rail would be useless. However, mandating 100,000 jobs on nuclear plant construction or solar panel construction out in nevada or some such place MIGHT do a lot of good in many different ways.


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D P Six
June 25, 2010, 23:05
My Son and I recently dropped into one of our local gunshops and saw a couple of Sig P238's under glass. Both of us are 1911 zealots, so we found these 380's appealing. One or the other of us might have bought one had the stainless version been available. That evening I researched this pistol on the Sig forun and found it had issues with magazines, recoil springs, extractors and 'soft' slides that peen in the slide release notch. Our interest in this Sig has been put on hold but if these issues are correct, I am very surprised as Sig has a reputation for top QC.


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The image was tagged: Bloom, Blossom, Blue, Branch, Cherry, Flora, Flower. Archives in the category "Nature/Landscapes", it was made by Canon EOS 50d camera with shoot mode: 21.0mm · ƒ/6.3 · 1/200s · ISO 100, gives a picture excellent quality. The largest dimension is 4240×2827 pixels, you can download it with JPEG format.
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Our 'zine is at the printers, and may even be printed by the time you read this.
While you wait for it to become officially available, why not have a look at the rather nice Woofah website?
Alternatively, you might want to check out this slightly abitrary account of the project's origins.
Woofah #1 – coming very soon.


text:
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text:
Discussion in 'Black Hat SEO' started by davids355, Jul 29, 2017.
Just found this guide, look quite detailed and helpful.
Meant to post this a while ago... Awesome share!
When I read thru it all in December, my eyes hated me but I enjoyed the hour thoroughly.
Bookmarked, thanks man!
I appreciate you going out of your way to recommend services for each task. Very helpful content here.
Hello David,
Thanks for share. Brilliant results you've got.
I have a question regarding content. In your experience, how much content do you aim for, for a new website before starting your link building? 20k, 50k or even 100k?
Would love to hear from you.
thanks alot for this read!
Question to cognitiveseo.com
i tried on some pages but did not see any improvement. i doubt this is really working
Have you, at least, started to rank for more long tails or not?
Great SEO guide I thought, and printed it for easily read. Thanks for the guide, OP!
What an awesome guide.
Can you send me link to your website?
Wow very informative guide. Thanks
Why is this thread not sticked yet?
Ton of value out there. This one totally deserves to be there, as there are some threads from 2015 (which don't work anymore)
Congrats @davids355, a lot of work has been put here.
Totally agree.
@davids355 keen to do a 2018/2019 version for relevancy yet? Haha
Are there some parts of this guide that have become irrelevant since it's nearly one year later now? If so, could anyone point them out please? Thanks.
Pretty interesting.
Great read...
Is SEO in 2018 coming soon?
Very nice of you to say that
I am definitely going to do an updated guide for 2018/2019, not sure when, but I will certainly link to it from here when I do.
To everyone else that has replied here - thanks for all the comments and support of this guide; really appreciate it.
What a huge share!! Thanks a lot dude!
Separate names with a comma.


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I was goofing off on the internet and came across this life expectancy calculator. I remember something very similar a few years ago, so I thought I'd give it a try. I'm not unhappy with my results.
The feedback provides an opportunity to measure how much changes will add to your calculated life expectancy. I can capture another 6 1/2 years if I'm good. For instance, backing off on a little stress will get me 3 months. (That would mean giving up on the blogging of city/county/state/national/school district issues. I'll sacrifice 3 months for the greater good of keeping readers informed.) The addition that always surprises me is flossing. Not to get personal, but I am not a flosser. Never have been. Thought I might become one after I had my braces removed a few years ago, but permanent retainers pretty much offed that goal.
Of course, the ever present need for exercise will increase my time here, too. Two years if I change my ways. I will pretend to think about it. Honestly, if exercise liked me I'd consider it. There's no real evidence in the last 20 years that we're going to be friends again. Do I want to add two years if it means I'll be miserable every day of my life? (You can see this argument isn't exactly going to be a fair one…)
No doubt good habits like not smoking, safe sex (not going there except to warn you that it's on the list of questions), and always wearing a seatbelt helped me out. If all goes according to plan, I have a few good years left. I will say that genetics aren't exactly on my side. Those questions were there, too.
That's it. See where you stand.


text:
Gardner's Art Through the Ages - Volume I: Ancient, Medieval, and Non-European Art (Eighth Edition)
Horst De La Croix & Richard G. Tansey
AbeBooks Seller Since September 27, 2007Quantity Available: 1
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Title: Gardner's Art Through the Ages - Volume I: ...
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Publication Date: 1986
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Sherbet Champagne Punch
Yield 20 Servings
1 1/2 c pineapple juice,chilled
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3/4 c lemon juice
1 qt orange sherbet
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10 strawberries,fresh,
In punch bowl, combine pineapple, orange and lemon juices. Just before serving, scoop sherbet into punch bowl. Add champagne, stirring gently.
Garnish each glass with whole strawberry, if desired.
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Photograph: Joe Castro/AAP Australian Associated Press Saturday 11 February 2017 06.11EST Melbourne Citys second-stringers showed their wares, earning a point with a gritty comeback to draw 2-2 with the Roar in Brisbane. Bereft of star power with seven suspensions and a further two injuries to senior players, City looked gone for all money when Jamie Maclaren put his side two up by half-time. For Brisbane, there will be disappointment at blowing a two-goal lead, but the result preserves their hold on third place after a challenging week of their own. Coach John Aloisi made six changes from the side who stunned ultra-rich Shanghai Shenhua mid-week to qualify for the Asian Champions League. Maclaren was one of those to back up his effort, and put Brisbane ahead from the spot on 33 minutes. Referee Alan Milliner awarded a soft penalty for Josh Roses shirt-tug on Brandon Borrello, allowing the Socceroo to beat recalled goalkeeper Thomas Srensen. In first-half stoppage time, Maclaren made it two after latching onto Manuel Aranas through-pass and rolling the ball inside the far post. A week after their controversial derby defeat, City players raged once more against a possible offside but replays showed the 23-year-old to be in line with Citys Ruon Tongyik. With a half to reduce the deficit unlike their derby capitulation City went to work. Kamau scored his first goal in a City shirt when he drilled a deflected effort past Michael Theo on 58 minutes.
For the original version including any supplementary images or video, visit https://www.theguardian.com/football/2017/feb/11/depleted-melbourne-city-come-back-to-earn-draw-against-brisbane-roar


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Is Monodevelop 2.x planned for inclusion in Jaunty?
The version of Monodevelop in Intrepid and currently in Jaunty is old compared to the latest release of Monodevelop. Is Monodevelop 2.x planned for inclusion in Jaunty?
Question information
- Language:
- English Edit question
- Status:
- Solved
- Assignee:
- No assignee Edit question
- Solved by:
- Chris Morgan
- Solved:
- 2009-01-29
- Last query:
- 2009-01-29
- Last reply:
- 2009-01-29
|nhasian (nhasian) said :
Hello cmorgan,
looks like the Monodevelop 1.0 in the repositories is the latest stable version. i see on their website they have 2.0 but its still marked as unstable.
|Chris Morgan (chmorgan) said :
It may not be stable but the 1.x verions are really old at this point so even an unstable newer version would be better than the older version. The version in Intrepid prevents the use of some .net framework 3.5 features like HashSet for some reason.
So what's the answer?
It wil be or not in Jaunty's Official repos?
|Chris Morgan (chmorgan) said :
I really hope the latest alpha or beta is picked up since the 1.0 version included is so old. The monodevelop plan is to release a stable version at the end of March I believe. Is it possible to pick up the alpha/beta now and then update the Jaunty package to the stable version as a 'bugfix' when that is released?
Unfortunately the Features Freeze will be very soon, on February 19th...
I think there's few chaces to view Monodevelop 2 included in Offical Repos..
|Matthew Paul Thomas (mpt) said :
Monodevelop 2.0 appeared in Jaunty a few minutes ago.
|Boas Novas (djalma-silva-jr) said :
what about de mono 2.4 version in ubuntu 9.04?
|Matthew Paul Thomas (mpt) said :
Boas, Ubuntu 9.04 was released over a month ago.