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William Holdsworth Hurtley is my 2nd cousin 2 x removed. Our common ancestors are Thomas Hurtley (1772-1855) and Hannah Braidley (1778-1858) who are my 3x great grandparents.
William was born in 1865 to parents Robert Hurtley and Mary Holdsworth. He was born and raised in Leeds, West Yorkshire together with his siblings – Thomas, Annie Maria and Robert Frank.
From everything that I have found on the Internet it is clear that William was very academic excelling in the field of chemistry. A simple Google search will produce plenty of scholarly references about his work. He lectured in the subject at the University of London and was a Fellow of the Chemical Society and an original member of the Biochemical Society.
Here is a copy of William's obituary from the Journal of the Chemical Society


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Keyboard instruments > Piano solo
Alexander Scriabin
Piano Sonata no. 5 op. 53
Editor: Valentina Rubcova
Fingering: Michael Schneidt
15.00 €
Urtext Edition, paperbound
Pages: 38 (IX, 29)
Order no. HN 1111 · ISMN 979-0-2018-1111-6
Level of difficulty (Piano): difficult (Level 8/9)
"A great poem for the piano" was how Scriabin described his fifth piano sonata. It was indeed composed at the same time as his great poem for orchestra "Le Poème de l'extase", and both works are based on the same literary programme. Scriabin spent a long time honing the text, which represents his philosophic idea of the development of the world in poetic form, until its publication in a separate volume in 1906. About a year later Scriabin announced that he had completed his fifth sonata, stating "and I consider it to be the best of my works for piano. I do not know myself what kind of a miracle has happened". This landmark for piano continues our series of Urtext editions of Scriabin's piano works.
Audio example: Roberto Szidon
Deutsche Grammophon 028947704928GTR3
The first and most obvious difference between the Henle edition and the other three editions I used for this review is the impeccable layout; the printing is sharp and easy to read, the markings are well-placed and there is plenty of space in the measures and between staves. In the other editions, one gets the sense that the editor was trying to save paper.
[Clavier Companion, 2013]
The levels of difficulty of the
piano music published by G. Henle Publishers
The levels of difficulty of the piano music published by G. Henle Publishers
|Bach, Notebook for Anna Magdalena Bach, nos. 4 and 5
|Bach, Well-Tempered Clavier I, no. 1 Prelude C major
|Beethoven, Piano Sonatas op. 49,1 and 2
|Grieg, Lyric Pieces op. 12, no. 4
|Schumann, Fantasy Pieces op. 12, no. 1
|Chopin, Nocturnes op. 27, nos. 1 and 2
|Beethoven, Piano Sonata op. 10, no. 3
|Beethoven, Piano Sonata op. 81a
|Schumann, Toccata op. 7
Guide to the levels of difficulty
"I don't know what 'difficult' means. Either you can play or you can't" – this was the rather terse comment by the great violinist Nathan Milstein, on being asked about the unbelievable difficulty of Niccolo Paganini's Caprice no. 1.
The relativity of the evaluation of difficulty in music immediately becomes clear. Yet I gladly take up this great challenge, presented to me by G. Henle Publishers. For I am aware of how useful a guide like this can be, both from my own experience as well as that of many colleagues. In particular so as to be able to identify "appropriate" works. For example for music teachers, who teach at very different levels, from beginners to those preparing for music conservatories, but also for all those interested amateurs for whom this guide is intended.
After careful deliberation I have settled on nine levels of difficulty, which I have divided into three groups: 1–3 (easy), 4–6 (medium), 7–9 (difficult). A number of parameters have been considered when assessing the level of difficulty. I have not just looked at the number of fast or slow notes to be played, or the chord sequences; of central importance are also the complexity of the piece's composition, its rhythmic complexities, the difficulty of reading the text for the first time, and last but not least, how easy or difficult it is to understand its musical structure. I have defined "piece" as being the musical unit of a sonata, or a single piece in a cycle, which is why Bach's "Well-Tempered Clavier" Part I comprises a total of 48 levels of difficulty (each prelude and fugue is considered separately), Schumann's Sonata in f sharp minor op.11 only has a single number. My assessment is measured by the ability to prepare a piece for performance.
While assessing the pieces, it became clear that the medium level of difficulty (4–6) is the trickiest. Now and again this means that a piece is judged as a "3/4", even if it only deserved a "3" as far as piano technique is concerned. An example of such a "borderline" case (easy/medium) is Schumann's "Scenes from Childhood" op. 15 Von fremden Ländern und Menschen or at the other end "6/7" part of Bach's "English Suites". And of course within a main category there are also "from-to" evaluations (e.g. 7/8).
Any evaluation of art or music will always be subjective, even if the aim was to be objective. Despite the fact that I have endeavoured to be as careful as possible, I am all too aware that the results of my work can be called into question, and am therefore grateful for any suggestions you might have.
Prof. Rolf Koenen © 2010

subset: commoncrawl


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The Introduction:
If you are hopping along with us today: You should have come here from Mary Anne Jenkins' blog. If you did, you are in the right place! Welcome!
If you aren't already a follower, I'd love to have you follow my blog!
If you are one of my regular readers: Thanks for coming back! I love having you! Please join along in the hop - you can start at The Twinery's blog.
The Prizes:
The Twinery is giving away three {I Dream in Twine} Sampler Packs ($32 retail value).
Imaginisce is giving their Makin' Waves collection to three lucky winners.
The Details:
Leave a comment on each blog along the hop.
Blog comments close on Sunday, April 22nd at 11:59pm (EDT) and the winners will be announced on The Twinery's blog and the Imaginisce blog.
The Project:
I have a board on Pinterest where I gather some "words of wisdom", but I wanted a place to keep some great quotes that might not be found online. There are a lot of great books out there and I often come across a quote that resonates with me - so I wanted a special journal where I could write them down and be able to easily look back on them later.
For this project I took a basic black journal and jazzed it up with some patterned papers from the Sole Sisters collection by Imaginisce. I can't deny that I love a basic black and white houndstooth - that paper immediately stuck out to me and I knew I had to use it. I added in a couple other patterned papers from the collection and arranged them on the front of my journal.
I wrapped some Charcoal and Buttercream twine from The Twinery around the journal cover and finished it off with a fun double bow.
This project is great for making your own personalized journals and is also perfect if you would like to give a handmade gift for an upcoming holiday (think Mother's Day!).
Thanks for stopping by today!
Twine: The Twinery (Charcoal, Buttercream);
Patterned Paper: Imaginisce (Sole Sisters);
Stickers: Prima Marketing (Almanac Collection - Alphabet);
Other: Journal;
Tools: Fiskars (Trimmer, Scissors); Scor-Pal (Scoring Board);


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Ohhhh l'Opera!... this great "gateau" was invented in France and is classicly made with alternated layers of an almond cake (named joconde), coffee syrup, chocolate ganache, coffee buttercream and covered by a chocolate glaze. Yummy!!!!!!!!! I love Opera cake! I have to admit there's a big possibility that I have quite a few scraps of past Operas living in my hips...
I have done quite a few Operas before, classic ones like I've described above. But the DB Opera had a twist to it, so I could make something that I've never done before and was very excited with the challenge. This Opera had to be made with light colors, no chocolate, no coffee... This was so we could dedicate this month's challenge to A Taste of Yellow.
Having this in mind and knowing I would take the cake to a barbecue with a few picky friends and couldn't go crazy with the flavours, I decided to go down the tropical road with mango and coconut. Hosting this month we had Lis, Ivonne, (co-founders), Fran and Shea. The original DB recipe is based on Opera Cake recipes in Dorie Greenspan's Paris Sweets and Tish Boyle and Timothy Moriarty's Chocolate Passion. And this is my version:
- 6 large egg whites, at room temperature
- 2 tbsp. (30 grams) granulated sugar
- 1 1/4 cups (225 grams) ground blanched almonds
- 3/4 cups flaked coconut
- 2 cups icing sugar, sifted
- 6 large eggs
- ½ cup (70 grams) all-purpose flour
- 3 tbsp. (1½ ounces; 45 grams) unsalted butter, melted and cooled
- Preheat the oven to 425◦F (220◦C). I've used 3 jelly-roll pans with parchment paper.
- In the bowl of a stand mixer fitted with the whisk attachment (or using a handheld mixer), beat the egg whites until they form soft peaks. Add the granulated sugar and beat until the peaks are stiff and glossy.
- If you only have one bowl, wash it after removing the egg whites or if you have a second bowl, use that one. Attach the paddle attachment to the stand mixer (or using a handheld mixer again) and beat the almonds, coconut, icing sugar and eggs on medium speed until light and voluminous, about 3 minutes.
- Add the flour and beat on low speed until the flour is just combined (don't overmix).
- Using a rubber spatula, gently fold the meringue into the almond-coconut mixture and then fold in the melted butter. Divide the batter between the pans and spread it evenly to cover the entire surface of each pan.
- Bake the cake layers until they are lightly browned and just springy to the touch. This could take anywhere from 5 to 9 minutes depending on your oven. I've baked 2 layers first, changing positions in the middle of baking time and then the 3rd layer alone.
- Put the pans on a heatproof counter and run a sharp knife along the edges of the cake to loosen it from the pan. Cover each with a sheet of parchment or wax paper, turn the pans over, and unmold.
- Carefully peel away the parchment, then turn the parchment over and use it to cover the cakes. Let the cakes cool to room temperature.
- 1/4 cup water
- 1/2 cup coconut milk
- 1 tbs sugar
- Heat the water ans sugar and add the coconut milk.
- Let cool before using
- 1 cup sugar
- ¼ cup (60 grams) water
- 1/2 tbsp. pure vanilla extract
- 1 large egg
- 1 large egg yolk
- 1¾ sticks (7 ounces; 200 grams) unsalted butter, at room temperature
- 6 tbsp. mango pure
- Combine the sugar, water and vanilla extract in a small saucepan and warm over medium heat just until the sugar dissolves.
- Continue to cook, without stirring, until the syrup reaches 255◦F (124◦C), on a candy or instant-read thermometer. Once it reaches that temperature, remove the syrup from the heat.
- While the syrup is heating, begin whisking the egg and egg yolk at high speed in the bowl of your mixer using the whisk attachment. Whisk them until they are pale and foamy.
- When the sugar syrup reaches the correct temperature and you remove it from the heat, reduce the mixer speed to low speed and begin slowly (very slowly) pouring the syrup down the side of the bowl being very careful not to splatter the syrup into the path of the whisk attachment.
- Raise the speed to medium-high and continue beating until the eggs are thick and satiny and the mixture is cool to the touch (about 5 minutes or so).
- While the egg mixture is beating, place the softened butter in a bowl and mash it with a spatula until you have a soft creamy mass.
- With the mixer on medium speed, begin adding in two-tablespoon chunks. When all the butter has been incorporated, raise the mixer speed to high and beat until the buttercream is thick and shiny.
- Add the mango pure and just mix it with a spoon until it's well combined.
- Refrigerate the buttercream, stirring it often, until it's set enough (firm enough) to spread when topped with a layer of cake (about 20 minutes).
- 200 gr (7 oz) white chocolate
- 1 cup heavy cream
- 4 tbsp. mango pure
- Take the chocolate broken into pieces (or use chips) with the mango pure to the microwaver for about 1 minute.
- Mix until you have a thick cream and all the chocolate is melted. If you still have pieces or unmelted chocolate give it 30 seconds more and repeat. Let it cool.
- Whip the cream until soft-medium peaks.
- Gently fold the whipped cream into the cooled chocolate to form a mousse.
- Let harden a bit in the fridge before using it in the cake.
- 100 gr (3.5 oz) white chocolate
- 1/2 cup coconut milk
- Do this step only when you're about the assemble the all cake. I've halved the amount of chocolate for a thinner glaze, if you prefer a thick glaze use 200 gr (7 oz) chocolate and proceed the same way.
- Cut the chocolate into little chunks and take it to the microwave for about 40 seconds.
- Heat the coconut milk (1 minute in the microwave will do it)
- Combine milk and chocolate and stir until uniform cream forms.
- If it's thin to spread over the cake leave it in the fridge for a while.
And now to assemble the all thing:
- Put the 1st sheet of cake in a serving plate and using a pastry brush moisten it with 1/3 of the syrup.
- Spread evenly 1/2 the buttercream.
- Cover with 2nd sheet of cake, repeat the syrup and spread other half of buttercream.
- Cover with 3rd sheet of cake and moinsten again with last 1/3 syrup.
- Spread the mousse and try to make a smooth even layer. Refrigerate until the mousse is firmer.
- Pour/spread ithe glaze over the top of the chilled cake. Refrigerate the cake again to set the glaze. I've decorated the top with some stripes of mango pure.
- Cut the 4 sides to make it nice and clean and eat the scraps!
I think this tropical Opera was very fresh but sweeter than the "original" one. I loved doing it and after this one I'll experiment for sure with other flavous/colors!
Please check all the other Daring Bakers performances on the Opera!


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The 2017-18 season
The 2018-19 season
The Stuttgart Ballet
Artistic director
John Cranko Schule
Angelina Zuccarini
Angelina Zuccarini was born in Michigan, USA. She received her first ballet training at the age of three. In 1996 she went to the Academy of Dance Arts in Downers Grove, Illinois. In 2001 she won First Place in the semi-final at the Youth American Grand Prix in Chicago. In 2003 she won the same competition in New York and was given a scholarship for the John Cranko Schule. Thus she came to Stuttgart, where she graduated in 2005.
In the season 2005/06 Angelina Zuccarini became an apprentice with the Stuttgart Ballet and was taken into the Corps de ballet one year later. Her promotion to Demi Soloist followed in 2009/10, in 2013/14 she became Soloist.
Leading Roles and Solo Roles with the Stuttgart Ballet
A Streetcar named Desire (John Neumeier): Stella
Brouillards (John Cranko): Les fees sont d'exquisite danseuses
Dances at a Gathering (Jerome Robbins): Role in Apricot
Don Quijote (Maximiliano Guerra): Pepa, Gypsy as Kitri's Double
Forgotten Land (Jiří Kylián): Couple in Pink
Gaîté parisienne (Maurice Béjart): Young Girl in White
Giselle (production: Reid Anderson, Valentina Savina): Myrtha, Peasant-Pas de deux
Initials R.B.M.E. (John Cranko): Solo roles in R., B., and E.
Kammerballett (Hans van Manen)
La fille mal gardée (Sir Frederick Ashton): Lise
La grande Parade du Funk (Bridget Breiner)
La Sylphide (Peter Schaufuss after August Bournonville): Pas de huit
Leonce and Lena (Christian Spuck): Rosetta, Master of ceremonies
Lulu. A Monstre Tragedy (Christian Spuck): Solo Paris society
Matchbox (Louis Stiens)
Onegin (John Cranko): Olga
Orphée et Euridice (Staging, Choreography: Christian Spuck)
Pineapple Poll (John Cranko): Poll
Qi (Louis Stiens)
Romeo and Juliet (John Cranko): Gypsy, Carnival dance
Salome (Demis Volpi): Herodias
Seventh Symphony (Uwe Scholz)
Slice to Sharp (Jorma Elo)
Ssss... (Edward Clug)
Swan Lake (John Cranko): Pas de six, Little Swan, Princess of Naples
The Four Temperaments (George Balanchine): Solo role in Melancholic, Choleric
The Lady and the Fool (John Cranko)
The Lady of the Camellias (John Neumeier): Prudence Duvernoy
The Second Detail (William Forsythe)
The Sleeping Beauty (Marcia Haydée after Marius Petipa): Wisdom Fairy, Ruby, Emerald
The Song of the Earth (Kenneth MacMillan): Solo role
The Taming of the Shrew (John Cranko): Pas de six, Street Girl
The Vertiginous Thrill of Exactitude (William Forsythe)
workwithinwork (William Forsythe)
Specially created Roles
Alben (Marco Goecke)
Almost Blue (Marco Goecke)
Big Blur (Demis Volpi): Solo role
Dancer in the Dark (Marco Goecke/Louis Stiens): Brenda
Das Fräulein von S. (Christian Spuck): Emerald
Firebird (Sidi Larbi Cherkaoui)
Hamlet (Kevin O'Day): Woman of the Court
High (Louis Stiens)
I fratelli – The Brothers (Mauro Bigonzetti): Prostitute
Il Concertone (Mauro Bigonzetti)
Krabat (Demis Volpi): Pumphutt
Last Romance (Louis Stiens)
Matchbox (Louis Stiens)
Orphée et Euridice (Staging, Choreography: Christian Spuck)
RED in 3. (Jorma Elo)
Skinny (Louis Stiens): Solo Role
Sleepers Chamber (Christian Spuck)
Spinto (Demis Volpi)
The Broadway Baby (Bridget Breiner / Demis Volpi)
Two at a time (Cayetano Soto)
Yantra (Wayne McGregor)
Specially created Roles at Noverre-Society: Young Choreographers
After Rain and Dreams (Paul Julius)
Dearest (David Moore)
In for the Thrill (Alexander Mc Gowan)
Le Bal de Bals (Selatin Kara)
on and on and on (Demis Volpi)
swish (Demis Volpi)
Corps de ballet Roles with the Stuttgart Ballet
Carmen (John Cranko, new production: Reid Anderson and Georgette Tsinguirides)
das siebte blau (Christian Spuck)
Die Kameliendame (John Neumeier)
Don Quijote (Maximiliano Guerra)
Frank Bridge Variations (Hans van Manen)
Gaîté parisienne (Maurice Béjart)
Giselle (Production: Reid Anderson, Valentina Savina)
Goecke at the Chamber: The Nutcracker (Marco Goecke)
I fratelli – The Brothers (Mauro Bigonzetti)
Initials R.B.M.E. (John Cranko)
Kazimir's Colours (Mauro Bigonzetti)
La fille mal gardée (Sir Frederick Ashton)
La Sylphide (Peter Schaufuss after August Bournonville)
Le Sacre du Printemps (Glen Tetley)
Lulu. A Monstre Tragedy (Christian Spuck)
Onegin (John Cranko)
Requiem (Kenneth MacMillan)
Romeo and Juliet (John Cranko)
Seventh Symphony (Uwe Scholz)
Swan Lake (John Cranko)
The Lady and the Fool (John Cranko)
The Sandman (Christian Spuck)
The Sleeping Beauty (Marcia Haydée after Marius Petipa)
The Song of the Earth (Kenneth MacMillan)
The Taming of the Shrew (John Cranko)
Theme and Variations (George Balanchine)
Further Roles
Eclipse (Eric Gauthier) with Gauthier Dance, Theaterhaus Stuttgart
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This is the child's tricycle that rides over any terrain. Similar in design to "duallies"-trucks with twin sets of rear wheels for providing stability under heavy loads-its 16" front wheel and twin sets of dual 10 1/2" diameter rear wheels make easy work of gravel, snow, grass, mud, or uneven sidewalks. The wheels' 2- and 4-ply rubber tires smooth out bumps and ensure reliable traction with knobby, deep treads. Ideal as a child's first outdoor tricycle, its handlebars and adjustable padded seat adapt to growing youngsters-the seat sits above the rear wheels and slightly below the front wheel for optimal foot placement on the pedals. Virtually indestructable, this trike is hand-welded from 14- and 16-gauge tubular steel and uses heavy-duty steel wheel rims. Requires assembly. Red. Ages 3 to 6. 34" L x 34" W x 28" H. (54 lbs.)
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text: Timing is key as companies weigh whether to make strategic investments now or wait for clear signs of recovery. Scenario analysis can expose the risks of moving too quickly or slowly. It may be a nice problem to have, but even companies with healthy finances face a quandary: should they pursue acquisitions and invest in new projects now or wait for clear signs of a lasting recovery? On the one hand, the growing range of attractive—even once-in-a-lifetime—acquisitions and other investment opportunities not only seems hard to pass up but also includes some that weren't possible just a few years ago. Back then, buyers faced competition from private-equity firms flush with cash, governments applied antitrust regulations more strictly, and owners were less willing to sell. What's more, investments in capital projects, R&D, talent, or marketing are now tantalizingly cheaper than they have been, on average, over the economic cycle. On the other hand, many indicators suggest that the economy has yet to hit bottom. Companies that move too soon risk catching the proverbial falling knife, in the form of share prices that continue to plummet, or spending the cash they'll need to weather a long downturn. Timing such moves is bound to be difficult. How quickly the world economy returns to normal—and indeed, what "normal" is going to be—will depend on hard-to-predict factors such as the fluctuations of consumer and business confidence, the actions of governments, and the volatility of global capital markets. Identifying market troughs will be particularly hard because stock indexes can rally and decline several times before the general direction becomes clear. In previous recessions, as many as six rallies were followed by market declines before the eventual troughs were reached.1 1. As of the end of March 2009, the present downturn has seen five so-called bear market rallies. This downturn could be different from past ones, so there could be more than the earlier maximum of six such rallies. As of March 2009, the market was about 18 months past its peak. The time to trough was 32 months in the 2000 recession, 21 months in the recession of the 1980s, 21 months in the recession of the 1970s, and 35 months in the Great Depression. During the current downturn, market indexes fluctuated by an average of 20 percent each month from November 2008 to March 2009. Given the uncertainty, executives may easily give up in frustration, hunker down, and await irrefutable evidence that the economy is turning around. But this approach could be a recklessly cautious one. Instead, executives must make educated decisions now by weighing the risks of waiting or of moving too early. And while better timing of acquisitions, and therefore the prices paid for them, can make a big difference in their ability to create value, the best way to minimize risk is to ensure that investments have a strong strategic rationale. Executives considering whether to jump back into M&A or to make other strategic investments now must understand what lies behind earnings and valuations. To illustrate the risks, we conducted an analysis of a hypothetical acquisition. Real US market and economic data allowed us to build a range of scenarios embodying different assumptions about future US economic performance.2 2. Managers using this approach for actual strategic decisions would need to refine it by country, economic sector, or both, or to reflect the peculiarities of investments such as capital, R&D, or marketing expenditures, as well as competitors' moves and regulators' changes. We found that even scenarios assuming conservative levels of market performance (as indicated by the experience of past recessions) suggest that many industries may be reaching the point when acting sooner would be as appropriate as—if not better than—acting later. Managers who wait may be failing to maximize the creation of value. Analyzing scenariosThe primary drivers of capital markets are levels of long-term profits and growth, so we define our scenarios in those terms. Long-term profits are tightly linked to the economy's overall performance: over the past 40 years, they have fluctuated around a stable 5 percent of GDP3 3. We've excluded financial institutions from this analysis because their recent profits have been highly volatile—way above average in 2005–06 and way below average in 2007–08. The inclusion of these companies would not change the results but would make it harder to interpret the long-term trends. (Exhibit 1). It's therefore reasonable to assume that a return to normal for corporate profits would mean a return to their long-term level relative to GDP and that long-term growth in corporate earnings will also be in line with long-term GDP. For our scenarios, we assume that US corporate profits will revert to some 5 percent of US GDP, although that estimate could be a conservative one if the trend to higher profits in the years leading up to the crisis resulted from a structural change in the economy. One can tailor this analysis to the circumstances of individual industries by developing a more detailed understanding of the linkages among GDP, revenue, and earnings. Exhibit 1 Profits revert to the mean The market today is trading at a discount using even conservative scenarios of GDP loss and growth. Growth in the labor force and productivity drive the long-term growth of real GDP. Since it has historically grown in the range of 2.5 to 3.0 percent a year and returned to its former trend line in all US downturns from the Great Depression onward, with no permanent loss in GDP once the economy recovered, our base scenario assumes that both of those trends will continue. (We also examined scenarios reflecting the possibility that long-term GDP growth might be lower as a result of changing demographics, declining productivity growth, and the effects of the current financial crisis or that GDP might fall permanently by as much as 5 or 10 percent.) Finally, in normal conditions the market as a whole has a price-to-earnings ratio ranging from 15 to 17. We used that multiple in our 2.5–3.0 percent growth scenario and a lower one (14 to 16) in our 2.0–2.5 percent growth scenario. Both multiples are consistent with a discounted cash flow valuation of companies.4 4. For more on our model of market valuation, see Marc H. Goedhart, Bin Jiang, and Timothy Koller, "The irrational component of your stock price," mckinseyquarterly.com, July 2006. Under the scenario that most resembles the course of previous recessions (no permanent loss of GDP and 2.5 to 3.0 percent long-term real growth), the stock market's normal value in early 2009 (as measured by the S&P 500) would have been about 1,200 to 1,350. This implies that the stock market was trading, as of the end of March, at a discount of about 30 to 40 percent from its normal value (Exhibit 2). The discount is much lower under the more negative scenarios, but even in the worst of them—an unprecedented 10 percent decline and a limited recovery—the market is still valued at a small discount. You would have to expect a permanent GDP reduction of around 20 percent to see the March S&P 500 index level (around 800) as normal. A similar analysis for the performance of the stock market in previous recessions finds that at the trough of deeper recessions, it typically trades at a discount greater than 30 percent from its normal value (Exhibit 3). Exhibit 2 Estimating stock market value The market today is trading at a discount using even conservative scenarios of GDP loss and growth. The market today is trading at a discount using even conservative scenarios of GDP loss and growth. Exhibit 3 Discounts in earlier recessions The current discount of the market is consistent with those during past recessions. Current stock prices can be interpreted in several ways. Perhaps the market is experiencing levels of pessimism typical of previous downturns, with the same opportunities for investors and acquirers. Or it may assign a reasonably high probability to a large, permanent GDP decline, which can't be ruled out even though it didn't happen in past downturns since, and including, the Great Depression. Finally, given the different nature of this downturn, the old relationships among GDP, profits, and stock prices may no longer hold, or in the future investors will demand higher returns from the market. Timing the recoveryStrong companies deciding whether to move forward now with acquisitions or major capital projects should weigh further data on the timing of a stock market recovery. One common analysis calculates how many years must pass before the market will return to normal, assuming growth at the historical long-term average rate (10 percent a year). In past recessions, however, the stock market returned from the trough much more quickly, with cumulative returns, over the two years that followed it, of 50 percent to 130 percent (Exhibit 4).5 5. This analysis looks at share prices relative to the trough. Much more time may elapse before the market reaches the prior peak, partly because it wasn't based on fundamentals. If this pattern holds in the current downturn, there's a real danger that companies waiting too long will miss the upside of the rebound. Exhibit 4 Speedy recovery Historically, the market returns from its trough very quickly. Such an analysis of earnings and stock markets can help companies evaluate the pros and cons of waiting or acting now. Assume, for ease of analysis, just two scenarios: either the market is currently at its trough, or it will decline by an additional 20 percent, reaching its trough in six months, so that the S&P 500 falls from its current level to around 640. A company attempting to time the market for a planned acquisition could make its move at any point, but let's assume three: it invests now, in six months, or in a year. For the purposes of our analysis, we assume that the market and the economy will return to normal in three years under either scenario, though clearly these are not the only possibilities. Exhibit 5 Now, or later? Compared with investing now, a company would earn a higher net present value from a "wait and see" strategy only if it got the timing just right. In this simplified example, only timing an investment perfectly, in six months under scenario two, would produce a net present value (NPV) meaningfully better than the one resulting from investing now (Exhibit 5). If a company didn't hit the timing precisely, it could easily end up with a much lower NPV. This type of approach can also establish what you'd have to believe for "wait and see" to be the right strategy, but the analysis must be tailored to a specific industry or country and to the type of investment, such as M&A, capital expenditures, R&D, or marketing. The approach can also be tailored to analyze other risks, such as the possibility that competitors could preempt strategic moves, that regulators could become less accommodating, that companies could run out of capital, or that other, more favorable, investment opportunities might become available should the downturn deepen.Much uncertainty surrounds the timing of the downturn's end, but companies waiting for clear evidence of a turnaround may find that they have been recklessly cautious and missed once-in-a-generation opportunities to acquire or invest. Executives considering when to make their next strategic moves can learn much by examining the course of previous downturns—particularly how valuation levels were related to corporate earnings and how valuations and earnings were related to the economy as a whole.


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Gardens & Arboretums
One of the gifts of Massachusetts' English heritage is a rich tradition of gardening and horticulture.
Take a trip back in time when you visit the magnificent gardens and woodland trails of Long Hill, the Sedgwick Gardens, north of Boston. A century later, author Edith Wharton, Pulitzer Prize-winning novelist and authority on architecture and design created magnificent formal gardens at her mansion, The Mount.
The greenhouse gardens of the Lyman Estate in the Greater Boston area will evoke the grandeur of a country estate. And the Tower Hill Botanic Garden in Central Massachusetts is a living museum of plants featuring a Lawn Garden, Secret Garden, Cottage Garden, Systematic Garden and in winter an Orangerie filled to capacity with fragrant, blooming plants.
Explore 15 acres of colorful perennial and annual gardens, pond gardens, an arboretum, greenhouse gardens and an interpretive woodlands trail at the Berkshire Botanical Garden in Western Massachusetts.
And make sure to visit the new Mass Botanic Gardens website.
Trustees of Reservations 3 year transformation of The Iconic Fletcher Steele-Designed Gardens at Naumkeag nears completion.
Watch a video on Tower Hill Botanic Garden.
Tower Hill Botanical Garden, Bolyston
Bridge of Flowers, Shelburne Falls
Butterfly Place, Deerfield
Spring Awakening: It's all here
Looking for fun things to do and see in Massachusetts?
Get some Spring Awakening ideas
Spring Awakening: It's all here
Looking for fun things to do and see in Massachusetts?


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Find the tutorial for the Bustle Skirt HERE, by Elizabeth Evans at Simple Simon & Co.
I made a trip to the fabric store, on the hunt for the perfect fabric, and found this dusty pink polyester/spandex blend. I don't know a lot about fabrics, but this one had a nice weight to it and looked like it wouldn't fray too much.
I bought 4 yards of fabric and had enough for two skirts - one being a size 4 skirt and the other a size 7/8 skirt.
The only change I made to the directions, was that I did not flip my top row of circle petals upside-down. I was worried that they would not flop down nicely considering the fabric. Other than that, I followed all instructions.
You can see, Tatum loves the result! Thanks for a great Tutorial Elizabeth!


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Quail Run is a neighborhood of six new Pacific Ridge homes located on a private cul-de-sac in Bothell. It offers a hard to find balance of lifestyle, luxury and location.
"I've gotten a ton of inquiries about this new community already and we haven't even opened up for sales yet," said Heather Andreini, listing agent for Quail Run. "There's a lot of pent up demand for newhomesin Bothell, and this will be a fabulous addition to the area."
Homes start in the Low $500's and are available in six different floor plans. Sizes range from 2,948 – 3,662 square feet, in four and five bedroom configurations.
Pacific Ridge has showcased some of their largest and most popular new home models for this neighborhood. The Chelan II is breaking new ground in home design with dual master suites, one on the main floor and one on the second floor. There are also some other great family home models like the three car garage Mason, and models with main floor bedrooms and three quarter baths.
"Every home features the highest level of included amenities ever offered by Pacific Ridge," said Andreini. "Buyers get a lot for their money at Quail Run."
Allhomesinclude extensive hand scraped hardwood flooring, double ovens and microwaves, slab granite kitchen countertops, and stainless steel appliances.
"We've also expanded our outdoor offerings here as mosthomesfeature the newest trend in home design, outdoor living spaces with large covered patios," said Andreini. "Homes also have fully landscaped and fenced back yards."
In addition to the luxury amenities, one of the biggest draws of this new neighborhood is its location within the award winning NorthshoreSchool District. School aged children will attend Canyon Creek Elementary School,Skyview Junior High School and Bothell Senior High School.
"Between the luxuryhomes, Northshore schools, and the great location with convenient access to I-405 and the North Creek area, it's easy to see why there's so much excitement surrounding these six newhomes," Andreini said. "We're anticipating brisk sales here."
Homes are in various stages of construction and can all be seen after the community opens on April 13th. There is one home ready for quick move in. Buyers can take advantage of some incredible financing opportunities from three of Pacific Ridge's preferred lending partners as well.
The sales office is centrally located in the community near the intersection of 212th St. SE and 39th Ave. SE in Bothell. Driving directions are available on the Pacific Ridge web site (www.pacificridgehomes.com). Regular sales office hours are Saturday and Sunday from 11 a.m. – 6 p.m. Other showings are available by appointment.


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The city funding for four Houston nonprofits providing housing to at-risk populations living with HIV/AIDS survived a challenge from city council member Helena Brown last Wednesday. Under consideration by the council were ordinances to dispense almost $2.5 million in federal funds managed by the city to the SRO Housing Corporation, Bering Omega Community Services, Catholic Charities and SEARCH Homeless services.
Brown initially used a parliamentary procedure known as a "tag" to delay the funding for the Houston SRO Housing Corporation and Bering Omega. Any council member may tag an item under consideration, delaying the vote on the item for one week. Brown explained that she objected to government funding of charitable entities:
"I spoke last week on this very issue on grant funds and the idea that we are, you know, fighting with other entities and other governments for grant funds that really isn't there. The federal government is in a worse condition than the city of Houston and to continue to try to milk the system where there's no milk, is just, I mean, we're fighting with our brothers, as I said last week, to get credit for who is going to push a friend over the cliff… We need to continue to look at the private sector and the business sector. Because even, I attended this event where this wonderful speaker was talking about the generosity of Americans and 80% of donations to nonprofits come from private individuals, not even corporations, and we need to continue to rely on that right now because the government right now, we're broke – we need to face that reality."
Other council members spoke passionately of the need for continued funding, arguing that by assisting people living with HIV/AIDS in achieving independence, particularly those who are homeless or at risk of homelessness, the programs added to the tax based and help insure long-term stability.
"We don't live in a perfect a world," said freshman council member Mike Laster (the first out gay man to serve on the Houston City Council). "These organizations do their very best to raise money to care for the people among us, but they still need to reach out to entities that have that kind of capital, and by the grace of God this city and this government as an entity has some of that capitol, and I'm very proud that we're able to provide those kind of services to some of my community members."
Council member Wanda Adams, who serves as chair of the council's Housing and Community Development Committee, also spoke in favor of continuing funding. Council member Ellen Cohen, whose district contains both SRO Housing and Bering Omega, spoke of how her life had personally been touched by AIDS:
"One of the first young men to pass away in New York City was a cousin of mine of something [then] called a very rare form on pneumonia… which we now realize was not. So I understand the need for these kinds of services. On a personal note I worked with Bering and I know all the fine work that they do, I'm addressing all the items but I'm particularly addressing [the Bering Omega funding] and feel it's absolutely critical that we provide the kind of funding items, and that we are, in fact, our brother's and our sister's keepers.
After Laster asked Mayor Annise Parker the procedure for overriding a tag Brown removed her tag, but raised a new concern about HIV/AIDS housing, saying that her office had requested a list of the owners of apartment units where those receiving rental assistance lived. City Attorney David Feldman explained to Brown that federal law prohibits making public information that could be used to identify people receiving assistance through the housing program. Feldman said that, in his legal opinion, revealing the names of the owners of the apartments would violate federal law. Brown said that she was concerned that their might be a "conflict of interest" with apartment owners that needed to be investigated, claiming that as the reason for her tag.
Brown eventually removed her tag, rather than have it overturned. All four ordinances providing funding passed with only Brown voting "nay."


text: An elephant with its trunk up is a sign of good luck, and wearing a Hermes bracelet is a sign of good taste. You'll experience both when you wear this extra-wide bangle, crafted in palladium-plated gold and patterned with decorative elephants on a white enamel background. Approx. dimensions: 1 1/2"W; 2 1/2" diameter.


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Nearly There...
Today we learn that Shaun Menzies, one of the founders of Steorn, reached the South Pole after 58 days of hiking. To learn more, check out Shaun's blog or visit the team's website, Beyond Endurance.
Creating a new sticky thread entitled "Nearly There..." sure caught a few people's attention today. Sean McCarthy, CEO of Steorn, was kind enough to answer a couple of questions:
overconfident: Sean, Did Shaun take an OC MPMM with him to keep warm? What does it take to get you to participate here?As WhiteLite points out, and many of you have already noticed, Alsetalokin has been the center of attention the past few days in the forum with his video, posted primarily to shut up Omnibus. Unfortunately for Alsetalokin, he has attracted every other nut out there. With this episode so far we've learned more about the dynamics of the free energy community and the larger geek community more so than the interesting physics that might be occurring within Alsetalokin's WhipMag.
Steorn: Hi OC - sorry man - life has been hectic, all in a very positive way :-), I was going to say that Shaun was in fact testing bearings in different climates, but to be honest that would just be making a joke of what is a huge achievement on his part, something that he has wanted to do since I have known him - and fair play to him.
I will have more time over the next while so I will try to pop in and chat.
WhiteLite: Sean, I think overconfident is refering to this video that has caused quite a stir. ;-)
Steorn: Hi WhiteLite,
Yep I saw it, seems pretty cool. Go ahead and test the hell out of it, from the chat that I have seen it looks like the guys know what they are doing on that front.


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I spoke yesterday with Dan Sichel, a Wellesley economist and a Lady Gaga fan. Both of these facts are relevant for this story.
The U.S. government is about to tweak the way it measures the economy, and some of the biggest changes will affect the entertainment industry.
Under the current system, Sichel told me, Lady Gaga's sales of concert tickets, online songs and CDs all count toward gross domestic product. But the value of the time she spends in the studio working on new songs isn't counted. That's about to change.
"It's quite analogous to a factory investing in a new machine," Sichel says.
Under the new rules, Lady Gaga sitting in front of her laptop, staring at the sky, thinking up new songs will count as investment, which is part of GDP. A similar change is coming for movies.
Money companies spend on research and development will also be added to GDP.
Why haven't these things counted before? The accounting rules for GDP were written in a simpler time, when most companies produced physical things. But over time, the economy has increasingly shifted toward producing intangible goods.
In all, the tweaks will add an estimated 3 percent to the size of the U.S. economy. Historical GDP numbers will also be adjusted, so the charts won't show any big jump. And for most people, the important thing to pay attention to is not the absolute size of GDP, but the change over time: How much is the economy growing?
AVA INSKEEP: It's MORNING EDITION from NPR News. I'm Ava Inskeep. It's Take Your Daughters and Sons to Work Day. Here's my dad.
Thank you, Ava. Ava came into our studios in Washington. And Renee is back at NPR West in California. Take it away, Renee.
Well, thank you, Steve and Ava, for helping us begin this little bit of news.
This July the official size of the U.S. economy will be getting a boost. Not because our exports have improved or new jobs. No, it is all due to an accounting change.
David Kestenbaum from our Planet Money Team explains.
DAVID KESTENBAUM, BYLINE: An economy is a tricky thing to measure. You got millions of people buying hamburgers and coffee and cars and socks. Then there's all the stuff you can't touch, like haircuts. There's also all the things the government does, police officers, firefighters; thousands of numbers that we as a country try very hard to add up.
UNIDENTIFIED WOMAN #1: Just in to CNN, the latest GDP report. The U.S...
UNIDENTIFIED WOMAN #2: Let's start with the GDP data we're looking at...
UNIDENTIFIED MAN: The economy is picking up speed...
KESTENBAUM: The Gross Domestic Product, the sum total of all goods and services we produce - well, almost all. It turns out we've been missing a few things, like music. To help explain, I called up Dan Sichel. He's an economist at Wellesley.
DAN SICHEL: I'm actually a Lady Gaga fan.
KESTENBAUM: Lady Gaga.
SICHEL: Yeah, so there you go.
KESTENBAUM: What's a Lady Gaga song you like? I ask just 'cause we are going to have to play one now.
SICHEL: Big fan of "Telephone."
LADY GAGA: (Singing) Stop calling. Stop calling. I don't want to think anymore. I left my head and my heart on the dance floor...
KESTENBAUM: Now, certainly some parts of Lady Gaga empire certainly get counted in GDP.
SICHEL: If Lady Gaga did a concert and sold concert tickets, the concert tickets would count as GDP.
KESTENBAUM: Songs she sold online, CDs, all that gets counted. But something was missing. We weren't including the value of the time she spent working on new songs, working in the studio. That's an investment, he says, and it should be counted as GDP.
SICHEL: It's really quite analogous to a factory investing in a new machine.
KESTENBAUM: Imagine Lady Gaga sitting in front of her laptop, staring at the sky, thinking up new songs. That's economically valuable. It turns out it's not just music we've been doing wrong, movies too, for a long time now.
KESTENBAUM: "Star Wars" ticket sales from 1977 - yes, that was in GDP, but not the cost to make the actual movie. The scripts, the Wookie costume, the Death Star, none of that was counted. But that arguably was an investment that went on to pay off handsomely.
We also haven't been counting money that companies invest in research and development. That's another thing that's being fixed.
Why did we get this wrong for so long? One reason is just that the accounting rules for GDP were written in a much simpler time. It used to be when a company made something, that thing physically existed. You could drop it on your foot and it would hurt. But increasingly our economy produces intangible goods; things that are worth something but you can't touch, like computer software.
Steve Landefeld is the director of the Bureau of Economic Analysis, which produces the official GDP numbers.
STEVE LANDEFELD: I mean a lot of this is about intangibles and intellectual property becoming much more important component of GDP, our trade, our competiveness, and it's essential we get a better handle on it.
KESTENBAUM: If you add up all the changes, Landefeld says he thinks they will boost annual GDP by hundreds of billions of dollars. Significant.
LANDEFELD: Roughly three percent.
KESTENBAUM: That's like a big adjustment.
LANDEFELD: Mm-hmm, yeah.
KESTENBAUM: Our economy just magically grew three percent.
LANDEFELD: Well, I think it was always that big but we hadn't been measuring all that.
KESTENBAUM: Historical GDP numbers will also be adjusted. So on the charts it's not going to look like a big jump. Landefeld says for most people the important thing to pay attention to is the change in GDP. Did it go up or down? The actual number, it's always going to just be this mind-bogglingly big thing. Right now U.S. GDP is about $15 trillion.
David Kestenbaum, NPR News. Transcript provided by NPR, Copyright NPR.


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Browse Boxing
Boxing is a sport that involves two people, or opposing boxers, who conduct a fistfight in rounds lasting roughly 3 minutes apiece. The origins of boxing go back to ancient times, but a set of general rules, called the Marquess of Queensberry Rules, have been in place since the 19th century. The winner of a boxing match is generally the last person standing at the end of the match, either by means of a knockout (KO), a technical knockout (TKO), or the referee's decision based on a number of factors pertaining to the fight itself.
Perhaps the most famous boxer of the modern era is Muhammad Ali. Ali lost only 5 fights in his entire boxing career, has won the World Heavyweight Boxing Championship several times, and has even earned an Olympic gold medal.
There is nothing quite being at a boxing match. The electricity in the air and the anticipation of the fight are what boxing fans live for. If you want to experience it for yourself, make sure you get boxing tickets today!


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Seven Huskers Earn Scholastic All-America Honors
The National Association of Collegiate Gymnastics Coaches/Women's (NACGC/W) announced their 2013 Scholastic All-American award winners in both the team and individual categories with seven Huskers earning a spot on the list. The recipients were recognized for a year-long or cumulative GPA of 3.5 or higher through the 2012-2013 season.
All four classes were represented as seniors Janelle Giblin, Kassandra Nathe, junior Emily Wong, sophomores Amanda and Jennifer Lauer, Kailyn Hawkins and freshman Hollie Blanske all earned accolades for their efforts in the classroom.
Kassandra Nathe earned her fourth Scholastic All-American with a GPA of 3.55. Sisters Amanda Lauer and Jennifer Lauer earned an impressive 4.0 and 3.9 in their nutrition sciences major. Janelle Giblin and Kailyn Hawkins both earned their second honor, and freshman Hollie Blanske earned her first with a GPA of 3.52. Emily Wong who recently added an Academic All-American award to her list earns her third Scholastic All-American award with a 3.93 GPA in her nutrition science studies.
525 women gymnasts across the country in all three NCAA divisions hit the 3.5 benchmark this past year. As a team, Nebraska increased their team GPA from 3.29 to 3.362
Nebraska NACGC/W Scholastic All-Americans (2013)
- Hollie Blanske, Fr. - 3.52
- Janelle Giblin, Sr. - 3.53
- Kailyn Hawkins, So. - 3.98
- Amanda Lauer, So. - 4.0
- Jennifer Lauer, So. - 3.9
- Kassandra Nathe, Sr. - 3.55
- Emily Wong, Jr. - 3.93


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It has been a woefully long time since this jester has had eyes for the chessboard other than an occaisional romp with moja żona. So Stanczyk is ashamed that while reading the New York Times newspaper, I found out that the World Chess Champion is Viswanathan Anand (2007-current). Anand is an Indian Grandmaster and as my math informs me has been World Champion for four years (this September). When the Chess Championship was split, he also held the FIDE Championship in 2000-2002. Now I admit I was stunned by this !
In Stanczyk's lifetime the World Chess Champion has always been Russian/Soviet, with a brief respite for American Bobby Fischer (1972-1975). In fact, before Anand & Fischer, the last non-Russian Champion was Max Euwe (Netherlands) 1935-1937. Since 1886 when they began recording a World Chess Champion, there have only been 15 Champions across that 125 years span. So for the last four years, Stanczyk has been oblivious. Indeed, my mind's eye still was set back in the Gary Kasparov years. So it is like I am awaking from a decade long coma to find out who the new World Chess Champion is.
The World Chess Championship is played every other year. So 2012 is the next match for the World Championship. Oddly, where the World Chess Championship will be played will not be decided until June 30th 2011. We do know who will be competing for thte title. It will be Anand and Israeli Boris Gelfand. The Chess Clock is ticking … where will the next championship be? What is sure is that 2012 will definitely see yet again, another non-Russian World Chess Champion.
Longest reigning Champion was Emanuel Lasker, at an astounding 28 years. The complete list of Champions:
- Wilhelm Steinitz (1886-1894)
- Emanuel Lasker (1894-1921)
- Jose Raul Capablanca (1921-1927)
- Alexander Alekhine (1927-1935, 1937-1946)
- Max Euwe (1935-1937)
- Mikhail Botvinnik (1948-1957, 1958-1960, 1961-1963)
- Vasily Smyslov (1957-1958)
- Mikhail Tal (1960-1961)
- Tigran Petrosian (1963-1969)
- Boris Spassky (1969-1972)
- Robert James "Bobby" Fischer (1972-1975)
- Anatoly Karpov (1975-1985)
- Garry Kasparov (1985-2000)
- Vladimir Kramnik (2000-2007)
- Viswanathan Anand (2007-current)


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Code: DS-E-W-43
Brand: Crafter's Companion
- Product Details
Completely personalise your projects with this comprehensive range of word dies that have been designed to enable you to mix-and-match to create your own greetings. Covering every occasion possible - from births and weddings to Christmas and sympathy with a lot more in between, these dies will become the essential go-to item in your die collection.
Ideal for a multitude of crafting projects, this 'Boy Girl' die will allow you to personalise your cards quickly and easily.
- Delivery & Returns
Shipping costs will vary according to the value of your order. If you're from the UK, you will pay no more than £3.95. However, if your order value exceeds £40 then standard delivery is FREE! Orders are currently being dispatched within 1-3 working days. You can upgrade to a courier delivery should you wish. Click here for the full shipping information. If you are not happy with your purchase and wish to return an item or items, please click here to see our full returns policy. Please note, we cannot refund or exchange digital purchases.
If you are a Loyalty Club Member, priority dispatch and shipping discounts are available. Click here to join our Loyalty Club - it's absolutely FREE and there are loads of other exciting benefits for members!!
- Reviews
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Keyboard instruments > Piano solo
Ludwig van Beethoven
Piano Sonata no. 4 E flat major op. 7
Editor: Murray Perahia, Norbert Gertsch
Fingering: Murray Perahia
7.50 €
Urtext Edition, paperbound
Pages: 35 (VI, 29)
Order no. HN 773 · ISMN 979-0-2018-0773-7
Level of difficulty (Piano): difficult (Level 7/8)
Carl Czerny wrote the following about Ludwig van Beethoven's "Grande Sonate" op. 7, published in 1797: "The epithet appassionata would fit much better to the Sonata in E flat op. 7, which he wrote in a very impassioned mood". As to whether the reason behind his passionate music was the composer's attraction for his then 16-year-old pupil Anna Luise Barbara Countess von Keglevich remains open. It might be that the dedicatee's father commissioned Beethoven to write the work for his daughter. We are publishing the sonata in a revised single edition by Norbert Gertsch and Murray Perahia – the introduction and fingerings were provided by the latter, one of the foremost interpreters of Beethoven's piano music.
The levels of difficulty of the
piano music published by G. Henle Publishers
The levels of difficulty of the piano music published by G. Henle Publishers
|Bach, Notebook for Anna Magdalena Bach, nos. 4 and 5
|Bach, Well-Tempered Clavier I, no. 1 Prelude C major
|Beethoven, Piano Sonatas op. 49,1 and 2
|Grieg, Lyric Pieces op. 12, no. 4
|Schumann, Fantasy Pieces op. 12, no. 1
|Chopin, Nocturnes op. 27, nos. 1 and 2
|Beethoven, Piano Sonata op. 10, no. 3
|Beethoven, Piano Sonata op. 81a
|Schumann, Toccata op. 7
Guide to the levels of difficulty
"I don't know what 'difficult' means. Either you can play or you can't" – this was the rather terse comment by the great violinist Nathan Milstein, on being asked about the unbelievable difficulty of Niccolo Paganini's Caprice no. 1.
The relativity of the evaluation of difficulty in music immediately becomes clear. Yet I gladly take up this great challenge, presented to me by G. Henle Publishers. For I am aware of how useful a guide like this can be, both from my own experience as well as that of many colleagues. In particular so as to be able to identify "appropriate" works. For example for music teachers, who teach at very different levels, from beginners to those preparing for music conservatories, but also for all those interested amateurs for whom this guide is intended.
After careful deliberation I have settled on nine levels of difficulty, which I have divided into three groups: 1–3 (easy), 4–6 (medium), 7–9 (difficult). A number of parameters have been considered when assessing the level of difficulty. I have not just looked at the number of fast or slow notes to be played, or the chord sequences; of central importance are also the complexity of the piece's composition, its rhythmic complexities, the difficulty of reading the text for the first time, and last but not least, how easy or difficult it is to understand its musical structure. I have defined "piece" as being the musical unit of a sonata, or a single piece in a cycle, which is why Bach's "Well-Tempered Clavier" Part I comprises a total of 48 levels of difficulty (each prelude and fugue is considered separately), Schumann's Sonata in f sharp minor op.11 only has a single number. My assessment is measured by the ability to prepare a piece for performance.
While assessing the pieces, it became clear that the medium level of difficulty (4–6) is the trickiest. Now and again this means that a piece is judged as a "3/4", even if it only deserved a "3" as far as piano technique is concerned. An example of such a "borderline" case (easy/medium) is Schumann's "Scenes from Childhood" op. 15 Von fremden Ländern und Menschen or at the other end "6/7" part of Bach's "English Suites". And of course within a main category there are also "from-to" evaluations (e.g. 7/8).
Any evaluation of art or music will always be subjective, even if the aim was to be objective. Despite the fact that I have endeavoured to be as careful as possible, I am all too aware that the results of my work can be called into question, and am therefore grateful for any suggestions you might have.
Prof. Rolf Koenen © 2010


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text:
SELL: She's got India's most outspoken mouth and she's not afraid to use it. Best selling author and columnist Shobhaa De talks about why good-looking men are the most boring, why Mumbai socialites make her laugh, and why real men don't cheat on their wives.
Shobhaa De and I have been bumping into each other at parties and events for over a decade, and when we chat, it's invariably an energizing conversation. She has a perspective that's youthful, and is always brilliantly honest and brave. She's the kind of person you either adore or loathe, but there's no way you can ignore her. She's out there with her comments, and has an opinion on everything. I love that about her because people without opinions scare me. It's also why she's one of the most feared commentators in the country. She isn't afraid about taking anyone on, and speaking her mind. The interview took place in my office and ended up being an absorbing discussion about modern marriages in India, Bollywood and society in general. I had interviewed Shobhaa for my television show in the past, but I thought she was a little guarded in front of the camera. At the end of the day, Shobhaa's domain is the world of print, and the GQ interview format allows us to exist in the space she most thrives in. There's no question that her piquant personality comes across in this conversation.
Karan Johar: Your opinion on John Abraham's butt, Shobhaa?
Shobhaa De: I'm waiting to see it in your film [Dostana]. There's a lot of anticipation. There is a lot riding on his butt, let's put it that way. And I am sure he knows it, too.
Who else's butt excites you? Do you think men in India have nice-looking butts?
Are there interesting men in India to start with? We'll get to their butts later.
You tell me, you're the authority.
Frankly, the answer is no. In fact, men don't interest me, generally speaking.
A good conversation stimulates you more?
But it's hard to come by. And frighteningly good-looking men are generally pretty boring because it's all about them and how wonderful they are. It's a kind of narcissism. I'm sure it goes both ways – I'm sure men find that about women as well. But I've met a lot of smashing women, really gorgeous women who are not boring, not one-dimensional, not full of themselves. Most good-looking men are all about "Aren't I the prettiest?"
We associate vanity very strongly with women.
Men are much more vain.
Maybe the ones who are really good-looking stand out much more because they're rarer.
That only happens for homo sapiens. Whether it's four-legged creatures or birds, it's always the male of the species that's much better-looking because the courtship rituals are very different, and I don't see why that doesn't work for us. It should, actually. Men should just be trying that much harder to grab our attention and, in this century, to be able to grab an interesting woman's attention takes much more than a great-looking butt. So I hope John knows that.
You're a columnist, an author, an opinion-maker. Have you ever taken off these hats and found out who you really are?
I've always known who I am, and I'm all of this. I can't separate myself and don't see the need to. It's like I've been marinated in a certain discipline and it's been mine for over 40 years. I must have emerged from my mother's womb with a pen in my hand because I've always written for self-expression. I found my diaries from when I was 12 and 14 – tiny little plastic diaries – and all the entries are always an opinion. It's never about, "Oh, that boy didn't wish me today", or "I'm crying because my sister pinched my cheeks".
So not the regular day-to-day girly problems.
Not at all. First of all, the diaries are not girly – the entries are very gender-neutral. Generally it's an observation, it's about something I've seen on the street or a movie or a person I've met . They are acutely observed comments. So it was always there. I don't think there is any other me. This is it. I cannot be separated from my writing. Don't wish to be…
Are you saying you were born opinionated?
Yeah, I think my entire family was. Maybe the rest of them don't get paid for their opinions but when we all get together…
Sounds like a very scary evening.
It's the best! It's the most fun because it's always about bouncing observations, bouncing comments off each other. It's a very articulate family, and now I see it in my children and that's getting… well, it's like there are too many of us with all these opinions going back and forth – but it keeps us on our toes.
Do you sometimes feel compelled to be opinionated about things?
No, never.
Do you let something just pass by without having a thought about it?
Very rarely. Everything registers.
Do you have to deliver an opinion on every occasion?
It's not that I have to deliver. I do deliver. There's no compulsion.
But do you get stuck in a loop, because that's what's expected of you?
I never perform, I don't have to. I don't need to pander. I say what I passionately feel at that moment if I feel like saying it …. or I don't. In the presence of a much older person I would hold back an opinion because I think it's very rude to challenge someone who is much older, even if I disagree violently.
Can you be objective?
There is no such thing as complete objectivity. All opinion is subjective by definition. A writer aims for objectivity to the extent that it's possible. I don't think absolute objectivity is either possible or desirable.
Sometimes the people you write about are the people you meet on a daily basis. How tough is that?
It's not tough at all. People know what I stand for. I think over the years I have made it perfectly clear that my space as a columnist is sacred to me and I will not compromise –take it or leave it. If they don't want to be my friends after that, it's fine. I will not short change my readers or my credibility to favour a friend. If I've been unduly judgmental about or harsh to someone, and if at a later stage I've seen a different side to that person or seen quality being delivered, I have never hesitated in setting the record straight. My pen is not for sale!!
There's so much focus on fashion and couture in the media today, it's become a kind of mania. What's your reaction to it?
I think what passes for Western fashion in India is a monumental joke. I think they've got it so wrong. It's pathetically derivative. It's nothing but borrowed high-street fashion with a bit of zardozi on it, and we grandly call it 'fusion'. More confusion!
So are you silently laughing on the front row of a fashion show?
I stopped going ! But I'm laughing all the time when I see them in the papers. I was travelling to Delhi yesterday, and next to me was this very chic Japanese lady. We were looking through Mumbai Mirror and the coverage of one of those interchangeable Fashion Weeks. We stared at all these painted-up, Botox-ed, horrifying socialites with bows in their hair. And she said, "Why are these women all wearing teenage clubwear?" An 18-year-old girl clubbing in London or Paris would wear that stuff, not a 40-plus socialite.
Which 40-plus socialites are you talking about?
She was referring to pictures of Queenie Dhody, Malaika Arora and Nandita Mahtani. It was shocking how strangely dressed they were at that event. It may have been the top label du jour, but they did look comical. The exaggerated clown's make-up, the lenses, the bleached hair, the artificiality of it all, with the clutch being held up in a certain way, so that the photographers can catch the brand. It is acutely embarrassing. It is tragic, and I wonder what happens when some of these perennial party girls go home and actually see themselves without all of that.
Maybe they think they're looking lovely. Have you ever thought of that?
Of course they think they're looking lovely. BUT does the rest of the world agree??
So who do you think is genuinely stylish?
You cannot be a stylish person if you're a label slave. It's not possible.
You believe that?
Absolutely. The silliest red carpet question is , " Who are you wearing?"I believe style is about individuality and about having the courage to go against the tide and highlight your own personality, not represent someone else's version of what they believe a fashionable woman or man should be.
So who is genuinely stylish in this country?
I don't even like her, but I would say Sonia Gandhi. She has exquisite taste. She gets it right every time. She knows how to dress for the occasion; she knows how to glam up in a way that is completely appropriate for her position. She's discreet. It's this whole thing of less is more; we don't understand that at all. We think more is more.
I've read your columns, and I think you genuinely believe that no one in Bollywood really gets their style right, on-screen or off.
They got it right in the Thirties, Forties, Fifties and Sixties. Those brocade cholis with just a hint of cleavage. It was just wonderful, classic diva dressing. The minute the girls got into frocks, it was the end because they can't carry them off. Even if they turn size zero or minus or whatever, they cannot get it right.
I'm going to list a few names. Give me just one word.
We're doing rapid fire now? Do I get a hamper at the end of the day?
You get a hug.
I'll settle for a hamper and a hug.
Okay. I am just going to say the name and you give me your first thought, your general impression. So if I say Katrina Kaif, you would say…
English rose – and as boring.
Sonam Kapoor.
No sex appeal whatsoever.
Deepika Padukone.
Overrated and very average-looking. Any young girl from Brigade Road in Bangalore could give her a run for her money.
Kareena Kapoor.
Hot. She has it. She's magic on screen. Four generations of talent showing.
Priyanka Chopra.
Very hot. Very intelligent eyes and a body language that is assertive and very today. She's today's girl.
Imran Khan.
He needs to trim his eyebrows, to start with. He's a cutie, but without the mammu factor I don't know whether he would have catapulted into the Rs 11 crore bracket with just that one film, which was okay. He registered because of the hype, but he could as easily un-register. He's not the kind of personality that you say, "Oh wow, here's a talent." I'm not falling over backwards.
Ranbir Kapoor.
Technically, no looks. He looks goofy but because he's so confident, so laid back and so easy in front of the camera I think the girls respond to him big time.
So who has impressed you recently in the world of entertainment?
Frankly, after Hrithik Roshan, no one. When he's on screen, no one else exists.
Your daughter is getting married in December. Do you think there is a faithful man left in this world?
I know I am married to one, and for me that's good enough. My father told me something which has stayed with me all my married life. He said it's not a question of temptation. He said it was not that he did not find another woman (apart from my mother) attractive – that's not possible – but even when he did have the opportunity and his wife would never have known, he believed his commitment to her was more important than whatever he was going to share with a stranger – that defined character… it also defined commitment to marriage. Any relationship outside marriage is not an option. I remind my children - if that is your level of commitment, then get into marriage. Otherwise, forget it.
And in the current scenario, do you think it's impossible?
I don't think so at all. I think it's very possible. I think a lot of young people, particularly my daughter's age group, have seen too many marriages collapsing around them. I hope and pray that she remains committed to marriage because I think that's what it's all about. It's about believing enough in marriage to say, "OK, this is for me."
It's a battle sometimes.
It is. There are always going to be terrible patches, as there are with any close relationship, but I think the C-word is what the new generation needs to rediscover. And if you don't believe strongly enough you don't need to marry. In my time, society pressurized girls in particular to marry. It was the norm. No longer.
But you know many people believe that sexual infidelity doesn't have to be considered infidelity.
What other kind of infidelity is there?
Love. Falling in love outside your marriage.
No. If you're in love with your partner, then the question of cheating on your partner does not arise, whether it's sexually, financially or emotionally. To me it's 100 per cent – it's all or nothing, and that's the only way it can be.
And you're not being over-optimistic believing that?
Perhaps I am.
But I know men who genuinely love their wives and still…
That's not genuine love.
So you think if you can cheat on your wife sexually, that means that there is something lacking in your relationship?
Definitely. Well, you don't care enough about that person. You don't respect that person. The key word is respect. It's not about being found out or not being found out, it's about not wanting to do it in the first place.
What about the urge of the moment?
That's about character. Of course you're going to be attracted to someone or the other in your life, but what you do with that attraction is what separates the men from the boys.
Okay, say 10 men have the opportunity to cheat. Out of 10, how many wouldn't take the bait?
Would not? One in ten. I'm being optimistic!
That's the fidelity ratio?
Yes, it is. But we're talking about a very elite class.
But it could be rampant in the middle class, the working class…
It's happening there as well because the day women stepped out of their homes and into the work place the dynamics of family changed in India. After all, men are not having it off with another male colleague….well…. most of the time.
Well, of course they are.
They are, but most of the time I would say it's with a female colleague. Women did not exist in the work place earlier.
But what's your opinion of women who hang on with bad marriages because they feel they can't leave their comfort zone?
I have very little respect for women like that because I think it's a very selfish thing to do. You and I must know at least 200 women who hang in there because of the perks of being married to who they're married to, and the comforts they've become accustomed to. My sympathy is often with guys who have found true love and want to move on honourably. They want to settle their wives, marry the 'other woman' and live the life that they feel they are missing out on.
But they have a sort of guilt hanging over them.
No. There's a petty little woman at home who says 'I will not give you a divorce'. Often, There are grown children who are begging their mother, saying, "Come on, you're just being such a bitch… He's going to be looking after you and us. It's not about the money, it's certainly not about us because we're OK with dad taking an independent decision on this, so what are you being such a… female dog about?" But that's how it is. And I think that's horrible. Spiteful and nasty.
When you're at a party, watching people mingling, air-kissing, chatting, the wives interested in others' husbands, the husbands interested in others' wives, the lovers floating around, gay men in denial, gay men married… This is pretty much the society we're living in. When you see this happening, what do you think?
Thank God it's there ! How boring life would be without these colourful creatures. It has never really touched or affected me. This whole nonsense of taking sides. I say I'm on the side of God and my family, and that's where it begins and ends. I think what's happening in our society right now is what F Scott Fitzgerald captured in The Great Gatsby. We need someone like him to chronicle this moment. It's really about too much new money and decadence… and a very low level of moral standards in every aspect of life, whether it's towards your spouse, your kids, or money or your colleagues or your business associates.
The fantastic thing is that we can stare at these people, go back and have a good laugh.
Or a good cry sometimes…
The two key words are entertainment and indifference to the social scene…?.
I have always been very detached. I've been the eternal insider who's the ultimate outsider, so it's suited me very well.
Remember guys, you asked for it. I hope it amuses you on a desperately dull and searingly hot sunday. One more joota attack . This time on Manmohan Singh in A'Bad. Sensibly, the P.M. ignored the shoe thrower.... so should we all.


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- Home /
- Legal Size Sliding Shelves - 2 Rows Deep - 8 Levels - (36" x 15" Shelves) - 76" Total Width
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SMS-25-B621LG4P8Project #N/ADepth1' 3" (15")Height8' 0" (96")Width6' 4" (76")Number of Rows2Type of Storage SizeLegalShelf Depth1' 3" (15")Number of Levels8
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It's 10:09 in the AM and this is XKCD Sucks. I'm your host Jake and with me today is XKCD's very own Beret Man.
Beret Man:
Thanks for having me, Jake.
So, Beret Man, we have you today in the comic. Tell us what's happening here.
Well, Jake, Randall has the dark haired chick (probably Megan, but as this isn't about sex today, I can't be sure) and me talking about a woodpecker (on second thought, maybe this is about sex... o.O). The dark haired chick tells me that the woody-- woodpecker was hatched about a year ago and I make the observation that it's the little guy's birthday.
Okay, some birthday action going on here. So then the dark haired girl takes off and we see you standing there alone. What's going through your mind at that moment?
Well, to be honest, not much. You see, right there in the panels after the girl leaves, Randall has me pondering if anyone told the woodpecker it was the little guy's birthday. So after pondering this a bit, I decide to run out and buy the avian a POWER TOOL! Because, you know, that just makes so much sense in Randall's mind as far as the joke goes, bird has a birthday, so I, Beret Man, will run out and spend some cash buying a power tool to make the little guy's life just a little easier. Ha ha! That's funny... right?
I... see... I guess then the alt text is telling us that you'd go all the way to make it happen, you're even willing to splurge on an extension cord?
And if Randy would add yet another panel, I'd probably even be shown paying for the electrical bill or building a wind turbine. The possibilities are endless.
(Long story short: this comic blew. Hard. There's a lot of Randall's simple drawing and as far as I can tell, this comic is trying to be more existential than funny. Or maybe not... I usually get where Randall is going, even if I don't think it's very funny, but today threw me. I was going to totally analytical and go point by point through the comic, but today's was just so pointless that, well, you just read the result in this post. Kudos to SNL and Tim Meadows for providing the format for today's post and thanks go to Carl for giving me this shot.)


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This is an update to my previous post on Feral armor changes.
As previously announced, we are changing the way bear armor works so that bonus armor on items does not receive the bear armor multiplier. Specifically this means that weapons, trinkets, rings, necks and cloaks with bonus armor will not be multiplied by the bear bonus. Only cloth and leather will benefit from the Bear and Dire Bear multiplier.
We are compensating Ferals for this armor loss by improving the Survival of the Fittest talent. In addition to its current effects (stats and crit prevention), it will now also increase armor contribution from cloth and leather items by 22/33/66%. That should be very close to your current armor bonus. This makes Survival of the Fittest rather over-budget by talent standards, but we figured it was one talent we can be pretty certain most tank-oriented druids will have (and to be honest nearly all Ferals).
These changes will be in place in the next patch. This patch will ship sometime before the 3.1 major content patch featuring the Ulduar raid.
With respect to the esteemed bloggers Karthis and BBB, the recent announced change to armor and how it works is a huge nerf.
It is bad.
It is not good.
I did the math before this and showed that, but this time other folks jumped in and did the math for me. On the main forums, we have this nice bit of math:
pre nerf
armor from leather: 3326
other armor: 3980
total armor: 7306
bear armor: 37772
mitigation %: 69.42
after this nerf takes effect we will see the following, with no gear being changed out.
armor from leather: 3326
bear armor: 28544
other armor: 3266
total armor: 31810
mitigation %: 58.46
That can't be right, can it? Yes, yes it can:
Surprise, surprise Blizzard botched itI mentioned what the 'right' number was going to have to be in order to make this not a nerf, and how hard it would be to balance early tanking if that number was used. However, if it was NOT used, bears suddenly have a huge gulf of mitigation relative to other tanks. And that's what we're seeing now.
Tier Set (10 man) : 2294 + 952 (item level 200 bracers, belt, waiste) = 3246
Tier Set (25 man) : 2350 + 978 (item level 213 bracers, belt, waiste) = 3326
Stuff getting lost :
Cloak of the Shadowed Sun http://www.wowhead.com/?item=40252 490
Defender's Code http://www.wowhead.com/?item=40257 850
Offering of Sacrifice http://www.wowhead.com/?item=37638 550
Amulet of Autopsy http://www.wowhead.com/?item=39246 350
Keystone Great-Ring http://www.wowhead.com/?item=37784 490
Gatekeeper http://www.wowhead.com/?item=40370 448
Origin of Nightmares http://www.wowhead.com/?item=40280 714
Total: 3892
Old multiplier : 5.17 = 37.3K
New Multiplier 8.58 tier + 1.1 other = 28.5K + 4.3K = 32.8K
Enjoy the nerf and broken scaling mechanics. The correct number for it not to be a nerf was .91 if anyone cares.
Essentially what we're seeing is that druids lost the ability to wear two armor trinkets at all. Or if you like, they took out the usefulness of Defender's Code. Here's the thing though - druids were balanced around trinkets like that. This change was supposedly specifically made so that druids wouldn't have to go to extreme efforts to get something like it or Offering of Sacrifice, but with this change it is essentially like not having armor trinkets at all.
Which leads to druids at the higher end of the scale having significantly less mitigation than every other tanking class. Yes, DKs will actually have more mitigation.
As I've mentioned elsewhere, the way to fix this was to do exactly what they did in some form and give some other scaling mechanism back. When they removed bonus armor from leather before, we got Protector of the Pack. With this...there's nothing. I argued before that some kind of nerf was necessary so that druids didn't hit the armor cap too early, and I still believe it - but they also needed to change something in druid mechanics to compensate.
We didn't get that change.
So...basically we're looking at being the tank with about the same mitigation as a warrior from armor, less avoidance, less ohshit buttons, and no block mechanic to increase mitigation.


text:
My little blog here is growing up. I've finally been doing this long enough that I get search terms in Google other than "backpacking" and "backpacking dad". I finally have what I've always dreamed about having: A Search Term Post.
You're welcome.
"shawn burns" erin high chair signing time: I love this one because my name is in quotes, like it's allegedly my name. Also, if they know enough about me already to know that my daughter's name is Erin and she watches a lot of Signing time and that she climbs her high chair, then why don't they know the name of the blog? It's like I have a short-term memory stalker.
naked backpacking: 5 hits from this one? Look. It's just not a good idea. Ever. Don't ever go backpacking naked. Unless you are backpacking in a sexy, sexy moonbounce full of bubbles and jello-o wrestling supermodels. Even then, how about taking the backpack off? What is it doing for you?
are mosh pit seats cheaper?: I don't know, dude. I think it's just, like, a pit or something. I don't know if they actually have seats.
does peanut butter cause moobs?: I don't have all the answers. Maybe. But I can tell you for sure that you can get moobs even without eating peanut butter.
lame tweeting about your lunch dinner: Sorry about that.
"backpacking dad" sex: Again, with the allegedly. This one kind of disappoints me though. Because it makes me think that someone was searching for a site loaded with erotic fiction about me, and instead they landed here. I'd want to find that other site too. This one blows.
"gashlycrumb tinies" "big house": What. the. hell?
amy poehler pregnant: I had nothing to do with that.
creepy notes to write to people: How about "I'm starting a site loaded with erotic fiction about you."?
firendship wordings: Well, that's one way I suppose.
great funny nicknames like assface: I don't think that's a nickname.
how do you know if you're creepy: if you are the owner of backpackingdadsex.blogspot.com then you are creepy.
is there a martial arts studio next to the Chuck E. Cheese in burlington, ma? Well, my friend. You have come to the right place for all of your Burlington, MA small business location needs.
shut up fake bruce dickenson: Seriously.
pirate signing time shawn burns high chair: Well, at least this person believes me when I say my name. Arrrr.
And the best one:
Your wife is doing this to fuck with you backpacking dad.
I think she wants me to spend less time looking at search terms.