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MICHAEL OWEN is supposed to be having a bad season at the moment - and yet on Saturday he rattled in his 20th goal of the campaign. If that's having a bad time I hope he continues to have a bad time!
As usual, the little fella worked his socks off and it was a little bit of brilliance from him that finally unlocked the visitors' defence.
It didn't look as if the striker had anywhere to go, but he cleverly beat the defender, and his chip was perfectly executed and was helped in by the head of El-Hadji Diouf.
In reality, you thought that late first half goal may have given the Reds the impetus to go on and win well. They played better in the second half, and ultimately Diouf repaid the compliment by laying on the cross for Owen to put the game beyond doubt, but it didn't rank alongside the display in Cardiff.
I just cannot understand how some fans can criticise him. Whether he is on his own up front or not, Owen works tirelessly, always trying to give defenders a hard time whether he is in possession or not.
He is one of the best Premiership players and, in his position, the best in the country.
Once that second goal went in there was no danger of them losing the points. I thought Djimi Traore played well as replacement for Stephane Henchoz, but Vladimir Smicer was not at his best.
Perhaps Steven Gerrard went off due to tiredness following his excellent efforts against Manchester United in the Worthington Cup, and the fact that he will be needed for a vital role against Celtic.
Generally, it wasn't a great performance by the Reds, but on this occasion it was all about getting the result that keeps alive their hopes of securing a Champions League place.
The club chose not to do so, but personally, I would have paraded the Worthington Cup before the Bolton game.
In 1965 after our FA Cup win against Leeds we had a European Cup clash with Inter Milan at Anfield.
Before that game, Gerry Byrne and Gordon Milne paraded the cup - the first time Liverpool had won it - around the ground and the noise and excitement could be heard by us in the dressing room.
We wanted to get out there because of that support and put on a good performance against the Italians. We did just that and won 3-1.
Everyone - players and fans - was still on a high on Saturday after that tremendous cup win over United and parading the cup would have celebrated that success and got the fans in the mood for the Bolton match.
Sadly, it didn't happen and, for the most part, neither did anything else to get the crowd going in a poor first half against the Wanderers.
I was hoping the win against United would have prompted a slightly more attacking approach, but the Reds were content to bide their time.


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Hotel Post
Hotel Post is located in Brail in the Engadine Valley, at the gateway to the Swiss National Park. It features a traditional restaurant and offers free Wi-Fi.
Each room at Hotel Post features satellite TV and a bathroom. Some also have a balcony.
The restaurant serves Swiss cuisine, seasonal dishes, and Italian specialities. A wide range of fine wines is also available.
Guests can enjoy cocktails and other drinks, as well as play billiard, darts and table tennis, at the bar Inscunter. Free private parking is available at the Post Hotel.
- Pets Allowed
- Meeting/banquet Facilities
- Bar
- Newspapers
- Terrace
- Non-smoking Rooms
- Fishing
- Laundry
- Skiing
- Games Room
- Ironing Service
- Express Check-in/check-out
- Currency Exchange
- Children's Playground
- Billiards
- Table Tennis
- Bicycle Rental
- Hiking
- BBQ Facilities
- Packed Lunches
- Cycling
- Tour Desk
- Heating
- Fax/photocopying
- Horse Riding
- Ticket Service
- Luggage Storage
- Ski Storage
- Ski School
- Free WiFi
- Non-smoking Throughout
- Restaurant (à La Carte)
- Sun Terrace
- Shuttle Service (surcharge)
- Ski Pass Vendor
- Special Diet Menus (on Request)
- Daily Maid Service
- Private Parking
- Board Games/puzzles
- Indoor Play Area
- Kids' Outdoor Play Equipment
- Shuttle Service

subset: commoncrawl


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I am 2... I guess we start over
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May 15th, 2013, 08:29 AM
Mom to 8 amazing kids
Join Date: May 2010
Location: Melba, Idaho
Posts: 2,672
My mom and I were trying to figure out how old my grandparents were, cause to me they were always 'old' lol, we put them in their early 80's but when my aunt mentioned how long they had been married we changed that, and my grandpa was older then my grandma. I guess it was a really hard road for her this last year, it sounds like she is at peace, and now my grandpa can rest. He's been her main caregiver through it all.
Lupan took all of the little ones last night, it was nice to not wake up at 5/6 am but I woke up with a killer headache, yuck, just waiting for the coffee and ibuprofen to kick in.
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text: Michael Schwendt wrote: > On Mon, 19 Mar 2007 16:05:10 +0100 (CET), Dag Wieers wrote: > > Releases from different repositories have no relation. (repeat after me) > > Then they ought not be enabled at once. Michael. You made your point clear that you don't care about anything except EPEL. Can you please stop posting on the subject, as the majority of people here are trying to get everyone to work together. For you, and those like you, that just enable EPEL and nothing else - the added repotag does no harm. Dag, I am also interested to know what other issues you have about working with EPEL. I would think you'd want to lighten the load a bit - you do look after a lot of packages ;-) Thanks, Greg Swallow


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- Doctors
- Pennsylvania
- Sewickley
- Pulmonologists
- Dr. Gregory B. Patrick
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Ratings for Dr. Gregory B. Patrick
Dr Patrick spent 15-20 minutes with me and I told him that I already had a CPAP machine and just needed the pressure adjusted/checked. He did not have the technology to do that in the office and wanted to schedule me for a sleep study. We spent the majority of the visit with me consulting him on how to help his son find a job and why his current job was a bit sketchy. Total waste of time off from work. The sleep study folks called and could not figure out why he ordered the test. I have to mail my SD card to my old Dr in Dallas Tx to do an over the phone appointment. I then get a bill for $305. I was given nothing of value to help me. The only thing was that he does not have the knowledge or technical capabilities to treat me and I have to pay $305??????? They are attempting to robbed my insurance company and myself!
dr. Patrick is such a caring person. always listens to you. he is just wonderful
Dr Patrick,and his staff are so polite and helpful.Dr Patrick,has such a wonderful personality,and is always there with a helping hand,I'am very fortunate to have him as my Doctor.
Dr. Patrick is a great listener! It was just what I needed.
I wish I could find a PCP like Dr. Patrick. He actually listens and will answer any and ALL questions you may have. Highly recommend him!
I'd like to find a GP like Dr. Patrick. He is the epitomy of what a doctor should be; intellegent, considerate, thoughtful, friendly and Kind. I bet he'd make house calls!! I also sense that he is no nonsense and will tell it as he sees it if a patient doesn't try and help themself. He came highly recommended and I would highly recommend him!
He is an awesome and intelligent doctor. He's very caring. He is also very trusting and kind.
Dr. Patrick is the one I would likel to care for me for any heart or lung problems....great bedside manner.....very intelligent......sympathetic
Dr. Gregory B. Patrick's Credentials
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Study cost vary according to the various educational programs and chosen institute. Where universities cost is higher compared with colleges cost.
First degree: NZ$14,000 - NZ$16,000 (SAR34,000 – SAR39,300)
Second degree: NZ$18,000 – NZ$24,000 (SAR44,200 – SAR59,000)
Third degree: NZ$21,200 (SAR52,111)
First degree in arts: NZ$15,000 (SAR36,870)
Higher diploma: NZ$14,800 (SAR36,380)
Diploma: NZ$14,200 (SAR34,905)
English language course average cost NZ$350 (SAR860) per week (25 hours a week).
Living costs in New Zealand are averaged between NZ$10,000 – NZ$12,000 (SAR24,851 – SAR29,497) annually, this is an averaged cost including housing, health insurance, and other personal costs which varies for different individual.
Hello, I am from Italy and was living in Dubai, currently I am student in Bournemouth University in the UK, I would like to thank Yes Atlas Abu Dhabi for the great efforts in helping me getting a conditional offer in such a short time also for all the support that they have been given to me throughout the whole process. their producers where very easy and things went very well for me, they also managed to help me with the securing a close accommodation from the campus I am studying in. A special thanks to Murad Because of him I saved time and a lot of efforts. he is a lovely and comfortable person to deal with too.
I visited Yes Atlas during earlier this year where they helped me to get a pathway offer and I am currently studying German language in Berlin and preparing for my language placement test where I will hopefully pass it and enroll to the university. Thank you Yes Atlas for making this happen!
Hi, I am Hasan I came to Yes Atlas to look for information about studying in Germany, I found out they can help me and they did! they got me a conditional offer to a German language school and they also helped in opening a bank account in Germany as well as trained me for the embassy interview which got me to get my visa to Germany! I am preparing myself to travel now and everything is going as planned. I want to thank ask Yes Atlas Amazing team for organizing all of this. I don't think I could get my visa without their support.
I am Amando, I work and live in Australia, I hold a bachelor degree in International business from the University of Western Australia,I met Zarour from Yes Atlas during my stay in Jordan in 2011 and he helped me to prepare all the documents and the application process for the university, thanks to Ahmad and Yes Atlas team I managed to live and work in the country I dreamt of living in.
I am Omar 20 years old used to live in Jaddeh/Saudi Arabia, I visited Raoof from Yes Atlas office first time to ask about information for studying English in USA and I must say, the team there is very professional and helpful they suggested to help me to also get an offer for studying in USA , I didn't expect that that a university would accept me because of low level of English, and even though they managed to get me a conditional offer that requires me to study me to study English there for a year and then start with university. I am studying and working at the moment, it is actually fun to do so because I get to save money and spend on myself! I am very happy and glad that I visited Yes Atlas office in Saudi Arabia, my life has changed and it's because of them! big thanks!


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- Please select a date to see the proper prices!
Description of the accommodation:
Rooms, services The guests of Best Western Dunmar Inn Evanston may stay in 165 nicely furnished, comfortable rooms in Evanston. You may taste delicious, fresh meals in the restaurant of the hotel every day. For recreational purposes you may try the wellness services provided by the hotel. The café and the bar are an ideal place to host a personal meeting or a pleasant evening talk. An exact and detailed list of equipment in the rooms and of the services provided by Best Western Dunmar Inn Evanston you will find on the information sheet below, including any applicable additional fees.
Payment In order to finalize the reservation you may be required to provide credit card guarantee or advance payment by credit card, depending on the chosen room, date and price.
Arrival, opening hours The earliest time of check-in is 15:00, the latest time of check-out is 11:00. The personnel can communicate with you in English.
Best Western Dunmar Inn Evanston rooms Rooms
- Please select a date to see the proper prices!
Accommodation services
- Wellness section, relaxation
- Finnish sauna
- Jacuzzi
- Pool (Outdoor - seasonally open)
Bar, Cafe
Own restaurant


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Ted Murphy has put his face up on his blog for the whole world to see, as well as print out. What you do with the print outs, well that is up to you I guess. Ted Murphy's head made a guest appearance in our house for an impromptu rap. He must be gunning for the Easter Beagle job. (Eva and I watched the Easter Beagle today).
A Special Easter Bunny Message from BenSpark on Vimeo.
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8 Responses to "Rapping East-IZEA Bunny"
It has been years since I have busted out a rhyme like that : ) Happy Easter Drew!
Ted Murphys last blog post..I Am Not A Cowboy
Drew, I know I'm missing something really, really funny here – my sound is not working 🙁 I'll watch/listen later on another computer.
Happy Easter to you, Alison and Eva!
Heather in Beautiful BCs last blog post..I Love Twitter Contests!
That's hilarious! Happy Easter!
Joe Techs last blog post..Bookmark Good Friday – 04.10.2009


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How To Build A Simple Rucksack
Being able to carry loads in a wilderness situation is a vital element of survival in such a situation. If frees up your hands and allows you to carry a good quantity of goods that will be useful in the near and longer term future.
When your wilderness adventure is planned, it is easy to grab a quality backpack and fill it with the things you need but if it is an unplanned event – like your car getting stranded in a remote mountain area – you may not have any carrying devices to take things from the car that you will need.
Enter the homemade rucksack.
A homemade wilderness rucksack can be relatively easy to build and in almost any environment, there will be an abundance of materials available to you. Materials such as wood, bamboo, rope, plant fiber, clothing, canvas, etc. can be used to quickly improvise a rucksack.
Let's look at two simple to build packs.
Horseshoe Pack
The horseshoe pack is the simplest pack to construct if you are fortunate enough to have a large piece of cloth or similar material and rope/twine/vines available. Even a piece of plastic – like a poncho – can be used to construct a horseshoe pack.
The steps are as follows.
- Lay out the cloth or similar material on the ground so it lays completely flat.
- Lay the items you want to store in this pack on one end of the cloth.
- Roll the cloth so that the items are basically in the center of the roll of cloth you just created.
- After you roll the cloth, tie both ends securely and also put some times along its length to keep it secure.
- If you wish, you can tie some rope to connect the two ends to make carrying over your shoulder easier.
If your cloth is big enough, you can add more items in additional rolls and they will still be secure.
Here is a diagram of a horseshoe pack.
Square Pack
A square pack is a little more complex to construct but it can hold a lot more items.
To construct a square pack, you will need rope, plant fibers or similar material and relatively straight pieces of wood or bamboo – the lighter the better to keep its weight down. (Note that green wood will be much stronger than dry wood.)
You basically construct a square frame (as instructed in the picture below) and attach straps to keep it on your back.
It takes a little time to complete but once you are done, you will have a functional backpack.
Ideally, you will never get into a situation where you need one of these packs because you keep an emergency pack in your car for just in case… But life is fickle and things happen so this little bit of knowledge can come in handy in an emergency situation.
And if you are shopping for a backpack, here are a few good hiking packs for you to consider.
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Victorian 750 18k Yellow Gold Genuine Ruby and Diamond Green Enameled...
Listed by Alex Shukhman
Size: 6.5
Sale: $1,888.00
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A Genuine Ruby 2.5mm and 4 Rose Cut Natural Diamonds 2mm each in Green Enamel 750 on 18k Yellow Gold Victorian era Ring.
Color H, Clarity SI2, size 6.5, and weighs 9.7 grams.
Stamped 750 (for 18kt in Europe).
In excellent condition.
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Icy slope where Smith fell while crossing the Valhalla Traverse
August 26, 2010
Grand Teton National Park rangers rescued an injured climber from the Valhalla Traverse on the Grand Teton Thursday afternoon, August 26, after receiving a call for help at 11:30 a.m. alerting them of a climber who had fallen and sustained injuries. Michelle Smith, 29, of Jackson, Wyoming was traversing across snow and ice when she slipped and fell 30 feet.
Smith and her climbing partner were planning to do a one-day trip up the Enclosure Couloir (12,000 feet) on the northwest side of the Grand Teton. Both climbers were using ropes while crossing the Valhalla Traverse, and both have extensive climbing experience in the Teton Range.
Three rangers were flown from Lupine Meadows to the Lower Saddle at 12:40 p.m. to meet up with two other rangers who were already on patrol at the Lower Saddle. From there, two of the rangers were short-hauled below the helicopter and delivered in close proximity to the accident site. One ranger hiked to Smith and reached her at about 2:30 p.m. The ranger provided emergency medical care to Smith before preparing her for aerial evacuation.
Smith was flown to the Lower Saddle via short-haul, then placed inside the helicopter for the flight down to Lupine Meadows where a park ambulance was waiting to transport her to St. John's Medical Center in Jackson.
Rangers remind hikers and climbers that one-third of all backcountry injuries result from slips on snow and ice.
Backcountry users are advised to stop in or call a visitor center or ranger station on the day of travel to obtain the most current trail, route and snow conditions. Climbers should also note that most accidents occur on the descent at the end of the day.


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Good morning time for another challenge at Incy Wincy
this week our challenge is
' Love is in the air '
and we are sponsored by the fab
Now it's no secret that I like dragons so this sponsor is perfect for me I love Dustin's cute dragons this one is from a valentine trio pack. I have coloured him with promarkers and added some glossy accents onto the heart. I decided to go for a CAS style card so used my nesties to cut some circles out. The circle behind the dragon has been embossed with my tiny heart folder. I've inked the edges of the circles to give a little bit of depth. I've drawn a squiggle frame around the edge of the card and stamped the sentiment in rich cocoa memento ink.
I would like to enter my card into the following challenges:


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Discussion in 'Nintendo Wii Gaming' started by CrowTRobot, Feb 28, 2007.
Or does it just come in a cheap envelope like Wii Sports?
when was wii sports in an envolope?!
mines in a proper case...
It comes in a proper case. I need one for wii sports.
same my wii sports case was a proper dvd case
hmmmmmmm you must of got some crappy wii then lol!
Uk version = Bundel (DVD case)
USA version = Bundel (paper case)
Japan version = sold separatly (DVD case)
American Wii Sports doesn't come with a DVD Case.
Wii Play however comes with a case.
Dang, forgot to mention in my eailier post that it's for the Wii Sports.
I wish I could get a Wii sports DVD case know anywhere yeah I figured the UK had something better but I guess we are still ahead of Japan
the fact that gamers in the uk had to wait longer for launch than in the US, means that we deserve the DVD case at least.


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My wife Marcy and I were running late for a show one Saturday evening . . .
As we excused ourselves in making way to our seats, I apologized to nearby patrons for being late as well as for the back of my head, quite bald and shiny, sweating so profusely. I was particularly concerned about the disturbing impact it was having on the young theatergoers sitting behind us. In an effort to make amends, I promised their parents that after the show I would get to work on creating a special cleansing wipe just for bald men who couldn't tell time. As the curtain rose, I promised them "this horror will never happen again".
To this day I don't remember what show we saw that night. What I do remember is that I became obsessed with the idea of creating not just a wipe, but an entire line of premium, high quality grooming products for men like me. What was being sold in drugstores at the time wasn't good enough, and what was being sold in department stores was way too expensive. Manufacturers were ignoring the needs of us "regular guys" and I was totally convinced we could create much better products ourselves.
Why call the company BEE BALD® and what does the name have to do with our products? Don't let the name fool you . . . honey and pollen extracts are packed into all of our products ("BEE") and I'm bald ("BALD"). I wanted high quality, affordable products that were perfectly suited for use on both my face and my head . . . it seemed simple enough, yet no one out there was making them.
About a year after that fateful night at the theater BEE BALD® became a reality when it launched online and it didn't take much longer for our products to find their way to retailers and resellers on the web throughout the country. So . . . now that you know a little bit about us, isn't it time for you to be putting your best head forward too?
Dennis Fisher Bee Bald LLC


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Hope you chow hounders can help us!
We are balto/dc foodies visiting family in St Augustine, all I've found off the travel websites are: Denny's and a Cuban place (Columbia).
Can anyone recommend anywhere else? We are adventureous eaters, love seafood and ethnic cuisine. We detest chains and fast food, so any recommendations would be greatly appreciated.
My bf has a penchant for ribs @ the moment, so any good rib places? We'll have a car, but would much prefer to be able to walk - but we might be pushing it given it's a big 'driving town'.


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Let Him Face the Music! Trailer (1978)
School supply teacher timid folk art Ales Brabec won first prize at a music festival and will therefore offer to work for the Prague little theater in the basement. Its director Soukup just needs a few songs for the upcoming musical, and so is willing to do everything to Alex to create the right atmosphere for composing.
Watch the official Let Him Face the Music! 1978 trailer in HD below or find more Let Him Face the Music! videos on Vidimovie.


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3D Flower Tatting Yuuko Terachi
"Art Tatting," vol. 1 and "3D Flower Tatting," vol. 2, two new books published in 2015 by Yuuko Terachi.
Art Tatting Yuuko Terachi
"Art Tatting," vol. 1 and "3D Flower Tatting," vol. 2, two new books published in 2015 by Yuuko Terachi.
Mini Tatting Shuttle & Winder
How to make a miniature tatting shuttle with thread winder and tatted lace.
Miniature Tatting for Dollhouses
A Guide to Measurements for Miniature Linens and Household Item; PIECEWORK magazine contained an announcement of a contest for miniatures. They are offering 5 categories, knitting/crochet, needlework, beading, quilting, and (my favorite) lacemaking/tatting. The entry deadline is April 1, 2016.
Classic Wheel with half stitches
A Classic Wheel featuring the use of half stitches combined with double stitches by Winifred Worth from the Jackson Citizen Patriot published Sept. 28, 1917.
Foreign Language Book Reviews
A discussion of writing book reviews for foreign language pattern books.
Tatting Lace Corsage & Accessories
Tatting Lace Corsage & Accessories 2015 book by Emiko Kitao with 3-d flowers and wonderful designs. It is #560 in the Applemints line of needlework books by Asahi Originals.
A Flight of Angels - Martha Ess
Martha Ess has just released a new book. "A Collection of Angelic Tatting Patterns" is a spiral bound paperback book of 32 pages, 8.5" x 11" in size.
Tatted Gifts for the Holidays
Classy tatted jewelry, both necklaces and earrings just right for holiday gift giving. From the files of the Online Tatting Class.
Swedish Tatting Books
Information on tatting pattern books in Swedish.
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Past month was a tough one for small cap mining stocks
It was a tough month for the miners as the Ubika Mining 20 (UM20) index fell 7.4% from October 3 to November 5, 2016, slightly more than its benchmarks. The TSXV was down 5.6% and the TSX Mining Index was quite flat, easing 1.5%. Year over year, though, the Ubika Mining 20 powered 61% higher, surging past the 35% gain from the TSX Mining Index.
Interested in previous Mining 20 reports? Here's the link >>


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Content, graphics, illustrations, paintings – copyright Stefanie Odendahl – if not stated differently.
The contents of this web site in particular all pictures, graphics and logos are subject to copyright and other laws for protection of intellectual property. Any redistribution or reproduction of parts or all of the contents in any form is prohibited, except you've been given a written permission.
I'm not responsible for the contents of the linked pages…


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The Chinese market for analog devices, namely matrices, quads, analog multiplexers and analog recorders is forecast to decline until 2011, said IMS Research. This is mainly due to increasing penetration of digital and network devices, such as DVRs, video servers and network cameras. Average prices for most CCTV and video surveillance types are forecast to fall, mainly because of price competition as well as increasing penetration of low-priced domestic brands.
asmag.com provides weekly and monthly e-Newsletters which include the latest security industry news, vertical solution case studies and product information.
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Something horrible happened last week. It was a very, very terrible, sad day.
I did something that I promised myself I would never, ever do. Yes, I bought a pair of Crocs — well an off brand that has no name, but still. I am now one of them.
I did this because my clogs finally died. After five long glorious years of wearing them everyday and never worrying about their integrity, they finally gave out. The heel on my right shoe is no more. And I knew India had some infrastructure problems before (all the roving black outs and roads I've been on that resemble a coral reef more than concrete told me that), but I had no idea it was also keeping the civilized shoe option: clogs, out of the country.
A few weeks ago I contacted the great people at Dansko asking where if anywhere I could buy their products in India. They responded to me that they currently have no distribution here. While I found this tragic — and my feet now find it far worse than that — I have come to understand why this is. The shoe options here go from horrendously awful to I would behave like Odepius and stab my eyes out if I had to wear those abominations. Sadly, clogs would be seen as far too upmarket an option I think.
Seriously, my choices: the dreaded Crocs, Sneakers/Trainers in the most ungodly garish color schemes that just typing this has me wishing I were color blind, or sandals of the open toe variety. Um… yeah, because I think it would be a masterstroke of an idea to walk around the filthy streets of India with my toes exposed. I mean I did get a Tetanus shot before coming here, but why chance it? Oh yeah, I could have also gone with Flip-flops, you know because dancing in open sewage is also high up on my things to do list…
It amazes me that people in the states wear flip-flops out in the wild (read non beach/non pool areas). My head explodes that many people also feel this is a good idea here — the random pools of bubbling sewage, the piles of trash with festering god knows what everywhere, and the piles of random animal dung everywhere makes the open toe option seem just a tad high on the "are you fucking kidding me" scale. But it seems more than half the travelers here have opted for such footwear.
I have to say this seems likely due to the lack of clog availably….
So, India you have won, you have made me look like an asshole as I wander your streets and sample your wares. An asshole in Crocs…
And really if this was it I would be okay with it. I would wear my Crocs with my head hung in shame till I get to my next stop and find real shoe options (if you want to pray with me that Thailand has proper clogs, now is the time to bend a knee…). But see I also ran out of deodorant at the same time my clogs failed. No big deal I thought. I'll just go pick some up at the general store. Only to find Axe style body spray as my only option. Were you aware that both Nike and Addidas have a body spray line. Yep. Don't worry, I shook my head too.
So, India, not only do you want me to look like an asshole, but you would like me to smell like one too. No thank you. Shoes were a must, but I will stink before I opt to wear date rape in a can style deodorant.
I did manage to find one solid deodorant. Only it was Brut. And it was for over $5. This is more than double the god awful not quite shoes cost me. I opted to go without, quite sensibly I think.
But seriously India, if you want to be a proper world power you really are going to have to upgrade your deodorant options, as date rape in a can style is wholly inappropriate.
I am hoping that when I get back to Delhi next week, where it currently is 35C+, that I can find proper deodorant or I am going to offend many a people until I get to Thailand.
India, there are enough real assholes in the world as it is, please do not help make a whole new caste of them wholesale.


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URBANA — A Champaign man who was wanted for failing to register as a sex offender has been charged with possessing drugs intended for sale.
Urbana police investigator Matt Rivers said police were looking Thursday for Jimale L. Williams, 36, who was last listed as homeless.
A warrant had been issued in late February for his arrest after Williams failed to check in weekly with Urbana police as required. He had a 2001 sex conviction from Wisconsin and was homeless, triggering the frequent reporting requirement, Rivers said.
Late Thursday morning, Williams was a passenger in a car stopped on Bradley Avenue in Urbana.
Lozar said police noticed he was "walking funny" and discovered about 4 grams of suspected crack cocaine on him. After he was interviewed and taken to jail, they found another approximately 3 grams of crack cocaine in his underwear.
Williams was charged Friday with possession with intent to deliver a controlled substance, a Class 1 felony carrying penalties ranging from probation to four to 15 years in prison upon conviction.
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VideoHive River In The Woods 9741255
Stock Footage \ Nature
Through \ FOOTAGE \ Flowing \ WoodsRiver \ English \ England \ Countryside
Stock Footage - River In The Woods 9741255 by NatureShots @ VideoHive
Stock Footage \ Nature
River flowing through the woods
You can view all WATER FOOTAGE here.
Looped Video: No; Frame Rate: 29.97; Resolution: 1920x1080; Video Encoding: H.264; File Size: 392mb; Total Clip(s) Length: 0:10; Number of Clips: 1.
Scenic Canal In Central Amsterdam; Bustling Canal Area In The City; Boat On Historic Canal Through City; Birds Flocking Around Scenic Canal; Sun Shines Through Star Of David; People And Cars In Sunny Downtown; City Traffic In Afternoon Sunshine.
Keywords: autumn, calm, country, countryside, england, english, fall, foaming, gentle, leaves, river, rocks, spring, water, woods.


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Bald Eagle Valley Community United Methodist Church
Wednesday, November 22, 2017
To make disciples of Jesus Christ for the transformation of the world
Live Nativity
Live Nativity - 2016
This year performances will be held on December 16, 17, and 18. The programs begin each evening at 6:30 pm and 7:30 pm. The Live Nativity is a special event that should be included in every family's Christmas celebrations.
Presented by the Bald Eagle Valley United Methodist Church, the Fleming Free Methodist Church, and the Milesburg United Methodist Church
Located at Eagle Towing and Recovery
1049 S. Eagle Valley Road
on Alternate Route 220


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Hannah J.
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Baby names from Vishnu Sahasranamam stotram with meaning are given here for baby boy names, baby girl names and unisex names. Vishnu Sahasranama is a prayer denoting 1000 names of Lord Vishnu. Vishnu Sahasranama stotram was revealed by Bhishma Pithamaha on Bhishma Ekadashi. The list of baby names given here are on alphabetical order…. Baby […]
Baby Boy Names
Hindu Baby Boy Names for Punarvasu Nakshatra with Meanings
Here is the list of Hindu Baby Boy Names for Punarvasu Nakshatra (Punarpoosam, Punartham Nakshatra). Punarvasu Nakshatra is the seventh Nakshatram in Hindu Astrology. Letters used for naming Hindu Baby Names for Purnavasu Nakshatra are… Punarvasu (Punarpoosam, Punartham) – Ke, Ko, Ha, Hi


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The OECD hosted a workshop on green investment banks on 20 May 2015. It built upon discussions of green banks at the OECD Green Investment Financing Fora (May 2015 and June 2014) and continued international dialogue on the experiences of green banks. The workshop welcomed 9 different green banks, public financial institutions, NGOs, the private sector and over 20 countries interested in the green bank model.
In 2011, TIME Magazine named collaborative consumption (or the sharing economy as it is often called) as one of the top 10 ideas that will change the world. Four years on, this prediction seems to be holding true. The number of companies operating in the sharing economy is rising rapidly in the transport sector alone.
The new version of the IOMC Toolbox for Decision Making in Chemicals Management provides a set of interactive features allowing governments to use it as a platform for collaboration among ministries, agencies, and other stakeholders such as industry. Users can save their information, add comments, and share and discuss issues with colleagues and partners.
English, PDF, 3,039kb
Degradation of the environment and natural capital compromises prospects for future economic growth and human well-being. Without more ambitious policies, the costs and consequences of inaction on important environmental challenges such as climate change, biodiversity loss, water scarcity and health impacts of pollution will be significant. The brochure provides an overview of the project.
A new OECD publication highlights notable economic and environmental benefits of phasing out fossil-fuel subsidies in Indonesia. Interestingly, the study is based on the context that pertained until mid-2014, when international oil prices where high and before the recent phase-out of subsidies by the government.
This report explores this question on the basis of detailed mobility data including origin, destination and timing of all trips for a mid-sized European city. ITF developed a model to test various alternative transport system configurations that would provide the same level of mobility (locations and timing) as today.
The OECD Environmental Performance Review Programme provides independent assessments of countries' progress in achieving their domestic and international environmental policy commitments, together with policy relevant recommendations. They are conducted to promote peer learning, to enhance governments' accountability to each other and to the public, and to improve countries' environmental performance, individually and collectively. The reviews are supported by a broad range of economic and environmental data. Each cycle of the Environmental Performance Reviews covers all OECD member countries and selected partner countries. The most recent reviews include: Iceland (2014), Sweden (2014), Colombia (2014).
This report is the third OECD review of Poland's environmental performance. It evaluates progress towards sustainable development and green growth, with a focus on forestry and biodiversity, as well as waste and materials management.
Poland has combined robust economic growth with reducing some of the pressures on its environment since it joined the EU in 2004. It has also brought environmental laws closer to European norms. Poland now needs to lessen its economy's reliance on fossil fuels and make growth greener, according to a new OECD report.
Volume II of this series compiles the science-based consensus documents of the OECD Task Force for the Safety of Novel Foods and Feeds from 2009 to 2014. They contain information for use during the regulatory assessment of food/feed products of modern biotechnology, i.e. developed from transgenic crops. Relevant information includes compositional considerations (nutrients, anti-nutrients, toxicants, allergens), use of the plant species as food/feed, key products and components suggested for analysis of new varieties for food use and for feed use, and other elements. These documents should be of value to applicants for commercial uses of novel foods and feeds, regulators and risk assessors in national authorities for their comparative approach, as well as the wider scientific community.
2015 is a critical year for humanity. Our civilisation has never faced such existential risks as those associated with global warming, biodiversity erosion and resource depletion. Our societies have never had such an opportunity to advance prosperity and eradicate poverty. We have the choice to either finally embark on the journey towards sustainability or to stick to our current destructive "business-as-usual" pathway.


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The Top 5 Hotels in South Africa Dec 14, 2015 by Ashleigh (Awesome Escape Blogger)
South Africa is a stunning nation with a ton of different sightseeing and ecotourism opportunities for all who go there. The heritage and history of the land are quite storied with it being a major battleground for civil rights throughout the last century in addition to the site of Apartheid. The lands of South Africa are also home to the Big Five in wildlife safaris: lion, buffalo, elephant, leopard and rhinoceros, which reside in the nature reserves and national parks that riddle the land. To the south, Cape Town and other smaller districts reveal the spectacular shores of the roaring Indian Ocean –perfect for romantic getaways and family trips. If you're confused as to where to stay within this amazing nation, we've got a few pointers on good hotels for your holiday. Continue reading to see where to stay.
Nature: Kurhula Wildlife Lodge (Kruger National Park)
Located within Balule Private Nature Reserve in South Africa's infamous Kruger National Park, Kurhula Wildlife Lodge provides quiet and private accommodations and a less-than-bustling property to rest in between safaris and excursions out on the land of the reserve. Photo opportunities for all manner of African wildlife are top-notch from here with tours leaving from the hotel quite regularly. Rates here are also quite reasonable, but there are very few rooms, so be sure to book this place well in advance.
Romance: The Orient Hotel (Crocodile River Valley, Pretoria)
If romance is on your mind and you have your compass pointed towards the gorgeous region surrounding Pretoria, The Orient Hotel is one of the most opulent yet reasonably priced out there. The suites come in different levels of luxury with different themes. Furnishings and finishes within each are very luxurious and the grounds have an unmistakably Eastern ambiance to them. Another hotel with minimal accommodations, it is best to book quickly and take advantage of their Honeymoon upgrades while they're available.
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To express your self is to be free. when your live freely you tend to have abetter life but being free might get you into trouble but shake it off they might knock you down because of the way you are but stand back up and shake it off again don't push them but keep walking in the opposite direction and sing your little happy song dust your shoulders of and keep on going but don't be afraid to finally just left the cap blow and confront these butt head losers who are befriend you at the end of the day when they need you.
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located in South Woodslee Ontario on 65 acres of land and bush.
Castleview Stables is a family-owned boarding stable. It is a small facility, accomodating a maximum of 7 horses. Features include many scenic trails…
A full scale commercial barn with over 30 stalls and 8 large grass pastures. The farm offers hunter/jumper/equitation lessons and private dressage…
Fun, friendly horseback riding lessons, training and boarding
Very quiet relaxing environment. Great place for all ages to come enjoy horses and all the benefits a relationship with a horse can bring.
Boarding, Lessons, leasing
Advanced western pleasure and trail training and lessons. Intermediate english and contesting training and lessons.


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Cradled in the lap of the ancient Aravalis - at the crossroads of many civilizations - comes to life, a national symbol that pays tribute to India's several thousand years of uninterrupted history - ITC Grand Bharat.
A manifestation of ITC's philosophy of creating hotels that showcase the rich and varied cultural heritage of India, ITC Grand Bharat is an embodiment of ITC Hotels' ethos of 'Responsible Luxury'; enabling luxury experiences that are planet positive.
This 104 all-suites retreat is set to be the ultimate expression of 'Unhurried Luxury'. ITC Grand Bharat combines grandeur with intimacy and operates according to the highest principles of environmental stewardship.
The retreat is designed in the form of a 'mandala', or a circle, representing completeness symbolising cosmic diagram, reflecting the relation of life with the infinite..
ITC Grand Bharat represents the skill of the Indian craftspersons down the ages - from the stylized form of the pomegranates of Kandahar painted on the walls of the Spa to the lotus seed-pods rising out of the three grand watercolor paintings in the Aravali Pavilion. .
Sangam – The Lobby, also symbolic of the meeting of three historic rivers: Ganga, Yamuna and Saraswati, signifies, power, wealth and knowledge, respectively. .
The lobby's highlight is the painted Tree of Life, surrounded by eight pillars that signify the eight stages of life as indicated in the Vedas. expressing the Indian Philosophy of 'Vasudaiva Kutumbakam', meaning - the world is a family. .
The main domed roof forms the pinnacle of the vista, showcasing references to the architecture of the Kalinga School of Architecture from Orissa, where the stone lions that squat from the corners of the parapet of the terraced areas also carry a distinct Eastern feel about them. .
The Buddhist influence may be noticed in the arched Bho-Chaitya style decorations of the Hotel that adorn the base of each of the four facades of the squat square dome. .
ITC Grand Bharat sports four Presidential Villas, that have been inspired by and named after four great dynasties of India – the Mauryas, the Marathas, the Mughals and the Cholas..
The influences on ITC Grand Bharat include lesser known yet important gems like the stepped wells of Adalaj, Gujarat, the Orissan Nagara style Mukhteshwara temples, the royal palace of Baroda and the eternal ghats of Varanasi..
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I've made some new widget areas for certain pages and categories via the side & footer options. None of these show when I add widgets to the new areas. There is just a blank space where the sidebar and content should be.
I did a full reset of the theme, but they still do not show.
I've tried this both on a local and server installation – same issue. Using WP 3.2.1
could you link me to your site? Could you also tell me exactly what you did to achieve this?
The topic 'Widget areas not showing on pages/categories' is closed to new replies.


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The Eleven Best Movies Starring Brains
No other part of the human anatomy gets as much movie time as The Brain… well, maybe boobs, but that's another list. It houses our consciousness and helps us to remember facts and stupid trivia. Horror movies have lived off this fact and made quite a few where the brain is out running around by itself being naughty. Apparently without the human body to reign it in our brains can be dicks. With that being said, because we all know that someone had to say it, here is the cream of the crop when it comes to brain movies. Eleven of them, actually.
The Brain (1988)
This is the epitome of brain movies. It's got a huge friggin' brain for crying out loud. A brain with a face that eats people! Oh yeah, it also has David Gale of Re-Animator fame.
The Brain That Wouldn't Die (1962)
While there is no exposed brain in this black and white classic, we do get a woman's head in a tray of fluid. While her sleazy boyfriend is out cruising for a hot new body for her she's learning how to control that 'mistake' he keeps locked in a closet. Probably the most classic of all brain movies.
The Brain Eaters (1958)
Again, no actual moving brains, but this space ship crashes to Earth and lets out these little lint balls with antenna. They possess human brains and put them under their diabolical control. An early cameo by Leonard Nimoy makes this a great addition to this line up.
The Brain From Planet Arous (1958)
A crazy alien brain named Gor floats around, possesses John Agar and makes a distinct nuisance of itself until another alien brain that isn't a douchebag shows up to stop it. This one ties with The Brain That Wouldn't Die as a classic of the brain sub genre.
The Man With Two Brains (1983)
How could I not include this bizarre comedy from Steve Martin? He falls in love with a brain, there's a hot Kathleen Turner in it and Merv Griffin is whacking people in elevators with Windex. This flick has got it all. Not scary, but probably one of Martin's funnier roles.
Donovan's Brain (1953)
Mad mogul dies in a horrific accident. A scientist decides that he can save the brain and he suceeds. Unfortunately, as we mentioned before, brains can be real dicks when they are seperated from the body. Soon, the brain is controlling the scientist and bad things happen. Real bad things.
They Saved Hitler's Brain (1968)
Originally titled, The Madman Of Mandoras, this little flick went nowhere fast. They added the new snappier title and some new footage that doesn't really match at all and a camp classic was born!
Creature With The Atom Brain (1955)
An ex-Nazi scientist seeks revenge. By using some wacky machinery he creates an army of dead men that cannot be killed. Using atomic energy, he makes their unliving bodies do his bidding. Not a lot of brains, but still a fun black and white flick from the past.
The Atomic Brain (1964)
Seems this old woman wants a new, young body. She hires a mad scientist type who can put her body in something with a lot less mileage on it. I always wondered one thing: they put a woman's brain in a cat and visa versa. Um, seems like there would be a size variance there. Ya gotta love these old movies.
Brain Of Blood (1972)
It's always a fun time when mad scientists decide to transplant a psychotic dictator's brain into a new body that is a giant, hulking, deformed monster. Seems you'd want something a little more manageable. Maybe it's just me.
Fiend Without A Face (1958)
Combining actual brains with antenna and spinal cords with some of the most digusting sound effects of any movie in this batch makes Fiend Without A Face the only one of these movies that actually scared me when I was a kid. That being said, this is probably the coolest of the brain movies.


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We Want Affirmative, Ongoing Consent To Become The Norm
If all genders are not on board with the concept that consensual sexual activity is enjoyable and fulfilling, we will not make any headway.
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Vintage 1989 Sports Football Starting Line Up Figurines
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The items listed this week are because I have way too much stuff so I need to sell some of it (Lucky for you!) Be sure to check out my other auctions for more nice antique and vintage items.Thanks!I don't know anything about football!! But - evidently these are from 1989 and are a collection of Starting Line-Up figurines. This auction is for a lot of 8 figurines, all marked 1989 NFLA and 1989 NFLPA, China. I don't know the players or if they all have the correct helmets so I'll let you be the judge on that. All in great condition without packaging - vibrant colors no damage or signifcant wear. Please note that most of my items are old and are sold as is. I try to describe them as accurately as I can but feel free to email me with any questions. I accept Paypal. Thanks and !! Be sure to check out my other auctions for more great vintage items!


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Simultaneously store your valuables and charge your electronic devices in this functional charging station from Mele and Co.More Details >
The Ricardo charging station from Mele and Co. is a practical way both to store your valuables and to charge your electronic devices. The top features three divided sections for electronic devices. Also featuers three sections in the middle, one for rings and two with padded watch cusions and a coin slide. Drawer at the base slides out for additional storage. There is also a hidden storage space for a power cord (power cord not included).


text: a dancer with contemporary dance companies in Australia, with a stint in South East Asia & Japan as a 'showgirl' and 6 years as producer with the One Extra dance company in Sydney, today I work at the Department of Theatre & Performance Studies at the University of Sydney where I am a Senior Lecturer. My research and teaching are the areas of movement studies, dance history, cross cultural performance practices, and theories of embodiment. I have (and have had) phd students under my supervision looking at: intercultural performance; dance, technology and dramaturgy; Australian dance history; creative reconstruction and historiography; ballet and the transfer of 'style'; phenomenological investigation of the 'work' of a contemporary dancer; butoh in Australia; oral history; queer performance. My latest research is on: the appropriation of Indigenous dance in Australia and the United States; the influence of Indian, African, African-American and Afro-Caribbean dance on Australia performance during the 1950s and 1960s; and the Latvia born, Mary Wigman trained dancer, Sonja Revid, who migrated to Melbourne in 1932.


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The under 15K smartphone arena is the hottest price range in the country at the moment with brands offering mind-boggling deals as they face fierce competition. The newest one to jump into the royal rumble is the LG K10 smartphone.
So what the does the LG K10 smartphone pack in for its 12K price tag? To begin with, a 5.3in HD screen welcomes you. A full HD display would have absolutely sealed the deal here, but I won't start complaining so soon. The phone won't win any brownie points for design. It is a simple slip-free rear packed in a curvy frame.
On the inside, a Qualcomm Snapdragon 1.2Ghz Quad Core chipset is entrusted with the number crunching and it's helped along by 2GB of RAM. I reckon you will run out of the 16 GB of onboard storage, but lucky you, the phone sports a MicroSD card slot, through which you can ramp up storage according to your needs. For trigger happy enthusiasts, the K10 sports a 13MP rear camera along with a selfie-loving 5MP front camera which packs in a 120-degree wide-angle lens. And a fingerprint scanner position on the back panel rounds things up pretty well.
The 2300 mAh battery on the inside offers enough firepower for the phone to run all day long without a fuss and you won't complain about the weight either while you are at it as it tips the scales at a lowly 142 grams. The LG K10 smartphone packs in a lot on the connectivity bit too with the goodies coming in the form of dual-nano SIM card slots, 4G LTE support, VoLTE and VoWiFi support, along with Wi-Fi, Bluetooth, and GPS.
As you work with the phone on a day to day basis, surfing web pages and dealing with office apps is a breeze. The phone offers a lag free experience until you keep more than half a dozen apps open and switch between them. When it comes to the camera, I would rate it at just about average with daylight shots being reproduced just fine. There is a hint of noise when you zoom into shots after clicking them and this only gets highlighted even more as you take pictures in low light.
As we see it, the LG K10 smartphone will face fierce competition from the likes of Redmi Note 4 and more which offer much better specs and overall performance. But if you are looking specifically for a budget smartphone from LG, this one may just be the one.
Also Read: LG G6 Hands-On
Cover image via ytimg.com; Image via cbsistatic.com


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K & C Auto Service
Review for K & C Auto Service
Victoria W. on 03/13/2013
Victoria said they were friendly, honest and gave her service almost immediately. She didn't have to wait too long.
Vehicle: Lincoln Continental
Category: Service
Service Date: 03/06/2013
Review Created: 03/13/2013
This review was collected via phone interview by Customer Research Inc.


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You're a UK top 100 law firm and you're moving house. So how do you let the world know you're moving into a new building? A new address card bulk mail-out? Boringly practical. How about a cracking party? Much more preferable for Tulkinghorn.
But if you're Bristol-headquartered Bond Pearce, you get your managing partner Victor Tettmar to abseil down the new building. A keen mountaineer, Tettmar is no stranger to outdoor activities and will also be using the event to raise money for charity.
Let's just hope his descent is not a metaphor for the firm's prospects.


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Violet Temptations Silicone Spiral Bullet
• Powerful vibrating bullet with unique spiral texture purple silicone sleeve.
• 10 vibration settings and completely waterproof operation.
• Powerful vibrating bullet with unique spiral texture purple silicone sleeve.
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Dear families,
As you may recall, our agreement with PGE to use their parking lot by the Main Campus was contingent upon their needs in their use. We were happy to extend as far as we could beyond the originally planned closing date of December 31st. Alas, PGE has notified us that this Friday, February 5th will be the final day for us to have access to the lot.
This means that as on Monday, February 8th, all TIS parking will be regulated to the surface streets. This will increase the amount of cars in the traffic pattern and require greater patience and caution on the part of all. Please plan accordingly.
Access to Caruthers is currently limited to morning pick up and drop off times only, but we plan to have that open again by next week.
Tips to help alleviate traffic:
1. Carpool If you are interested in finding a carpool partner, please send your contact info, neighborhood, number of children and any other pertinent details to firstname.lastname@example.com to be posted in the InTheKnow classified section. If you don't find one right away, don't give up. Ask around as you get to know other families, or send a note to your child's room parent(s) with a request.
2. Use curbside pickup and dropoff. If you choose to drive, we strongly encourage you to use curbside and dropoff on the Main Campus. Construction will not start until late September, so your child will have several weeks to get accustomed to his/her classroom.
3. Bike Biking to school is fun! We have a growing pool of bicycle diehards who will enthusiastically tell you how great it is. Just ask them! Check out Ride the City http://www.ridethecity.com/portland to plan a safe route.
4. Public Transportation There are lots of Bus, Streetcar, and Max routes that will get you to school. Check out route options here: http://trimet.org/


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The Miller Brewing Company is proud to offer this historic Girl In The Moon wall mirror. The high quality print features Miller's iconic Girl In The Moon image and is embellished with gold etch accents as well as mirrored glass. It's the perfect gift for the beer lover in your life.
- Brown frame
- Mirror with print
- Big 16 in. x 19 in. overall size
- Great for a rec room or bar


text: Paspro-five was a communications encryption code. It began usk-herf-enth. AppearancesEdit Survivor's Quest In other languages Deutsch Retrieved from "http://starwars.wikia.com/wiki/Paspro-five?oldid=3659488" Ad blocker interference detected! Wikia is a free-to-use site that makes money from advertising. We have a modified experience for viewers using ad blockers Wikia is not accessible if you've made further modifications. Remove the custom ad blocker rule(s) and the page will load as expected. Categories: Legends articlesCodes


text: In exhaustive detail, the iFixit team pulls apart the new, big DS, cataloging all the parts inside. Unsurprisingly, the internals are very similar to the previous DSi, save for a larger (in both capacity in physical size) battery and one fewer ribbon cable. Oh -- and, of course, those massive screens.


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This show is like a frickin' Zen paradox: "How can a TV show be both shocking and yet also utterly predictable…often in the same instants?"
Because you know what? The instant Liam gave Charlie the Ring of Magic DS-itude, I knew (even before Liam telegraphed it) that Charlie would give it to Aaron. But I didn't predict the reveal of Charlie leaving it in the baby's crib (and Claire leaving it behind — oops!).
And as soon as Juliet said that Ben claimed The Looking Glass was flooded, I knew that it wasn't and that Charlie would find air there. And of course there would be people there, though I admit I was expecting Locke and Boone and a bunch of other allegedly dead folk, not More Generic Others with Guns.
The Others stepping up their schedule and attacking early? Duh. Predictable. Karl risking life and limb to alert the castaways? Not predictable.
See what I mean?
Even Jack suffers from this dichotomy — he's acting more like cool season one Jack, but he's still an asshat in my book for his behavior earlier in the season. Next week's Jack-centric finale better damn well explain why he's been such a dick recently. I still think Sayid should have kicked him in the nads.


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This blog is devoted to statistical thinking and its impact on science and everyday life. Emphasis is given to maximizing the use of information, avoiding statistical pitfalls, describing problems caused by the frequentist approach to statistical inference, describing advantages of Bayesian and likelihood methods, and discussing intended and unintended differences between statistics and data science. I'll also cover regression modeling strategies, clinical trials, and drug evaluation.
Wednesday, January 25, 2017
Clinicians' Misunderstanding of Probabilities Makes Them Like Backwards Probabilities Such As Sensitivity, Specificity, and Type I Error
Clinicians are people trained in the science and practice of medicine, and most of them are very good at it. They are also very good at many aspects of research. But they are generally not taught probability, and this can limit their research skills. Many excellent clinicians even let their limitations in understanding probability make them believe that their clinical decision making is worse than it actually is. I have taught many clinicians who say "I need a hard and fast rule so I know how to diagnosis or treat patients. I need a hard cutoff on blood pressure, HbA1c, etc. so that I know what to do, and the fact that I either treat or not treat the patient means that I don't want to consider a probability of disease but desire a simple classification rule." This makes the clinician try to influence the statistician to use inefficient, arbitrary methods such as categorization, stratification, and matching.
In reality, clinicians do not act that way when treating patients. They are smart enough to know that if a patient has cholesterol just over someone's arbitrary threshold they may not start statin therapy right away if the patient has no other risk factors (e.g., smoking) going against him. They know that sometimes you start a patient on a lower dose and see how she responds, or start one drug and try it for a while and then switch drugs if the efficacy is unacceptable or there is a significant side effect.
So I emphasize the need to understand probabilities when I'm teaching clinicians. A probability is a self-contained summary of the current information, except for the patient's risk aversion and other utilities. Clinicians need to be comfortable with a probability of 0.5 meaning "we don't know much" and not requesting a classification of disease/normal that does nothing but cover up the problem. A classification does not account for gray zones or patient and physician utility functions.
Even physicians who understand the meaning of a probability are often not understanding conditioning. Conditioning is all important, and conditioning on different things massively changes the meaning of the probabilities being computed. Every physician I've known has been taught probabilistic medical diagnosis by first learning about sensitivity (sens) and specificity (spec). These are probabilities that are in backwards time- and information flow order. How did this happen? Sensitivity, specificity, and receiver operating characteristic curves were developed for radar and radio research in the military. It was a important to receive radio signals from distant aircraft, and to detect an incoming aircraft on radar. The ability to detect something that is really there is definitely important. In the 1950s, virologists appropriated these concepts to measure the performance of viral cultures. Virus needs to be detected when it's present, and not detected when it's not. Sensitivity is the probability of detecting a condition when it is truly present, and specificity is the probability of not detecting it when it is truly absent. One can see how these probabilities would be useful outside of virology and bacteriology when the samples are retrospective, as in a case-control studies. But I believe that clinicians and researchers would be better off if backward probabilities were not taught or were mentioned only to illustrate how not to think about a problem.
But the way medical students are educated, they assume that sens and spec are what you first consider in a prospective cohort of patients! This gives the professor the opportunity of teaching Bayes' rule and requires the use of a supposedly unconditional probability known as prevalence which is actually not very well defined. The students plugs everything into Bayes' rule and fails to notice that several quantities cancel out. The result is the following: the proportion of patients with a positive test who have disease, and the proportion with a negative test who have disease. These are trivially calculated from the cohort data without knowing anything about sens, spec, and Bayes. This way of thinking harms the student's understanding for years to come and influences those who later engage in clinical and pharmaceutical research to believe that type I error and p-values are directly useful.
The situation in medical diagnosis gets worse when referral bias (also called workup bias) is present. When certain types of patients do not get a final diagnosis, sens and spec are biased. For example, younger women with a negative test may not get the painful procedure that yields the final diagnosis. There are formulas that must be used to correct sens and spec. But wait! When Bayes' rule is used to obtain the probability of disease we needed in the first place, these corrections completely cancel out when the usual correction methods are used! Using forward probabilities in the first place means that one just conditions on age, sex, and result of the initial diagnostic test and no special methods other than (sometimes) logistic regression are required.
There is an analogy to statistical testing. p-values and type I error are affected by sequential testing and a host of other factors, but forward-time probabilities (Bayesian posterior probabilities) are not. Posterior probabilities condition on what is known and does not have to imagine alternate paths to getting to what is known (as do sens and spec when workup bias exists). p-values and type I errors are backwards-information-flow measures, and clinical researchers and regulators come to believe that type I error is the error of interest. They also very frequently misinterpret p-values. The p-value is one minus spec, and power is sens. The posterior probability is exactly analogous to the probability of disease.
Sens and spec are so pervasive in medicine, bioinformatics, and biomarker research that we don't question how silly they would be in other contexts. Do we dichotomize a response variable so that we can compute the probability that a patient is on treatment B given a "positive" response? On the contrary we want to know the full continuous distribution of the response given the assigned treatment. Again this represents forward probabilities.
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This merits a series of 4 or 5 lectures that tie all these ideas together and get out students past mere sensitivity, specificity, and the PPV. You've just nailed my foot the floor for a couple of days this summer, writing those lectures.ReplyDelete
The only thing I disagree with here is your implication that clinicians should not be taught about sensitivity and specificity. It really is important to know those concepts, along with prevalence and Bayes' theorem. The reason is that some tests are used in different populations and settings. The same test may be used to mass screen asymptomatic populations, and also as a confirmatory diagnostic test in people with symptoms suggestive of the disease in question. In the former setting the prior probability of disease is typically very low, and in the latter it is usually moderate or even high. The sensitivity and specificity are, under reasonably broad circumstances, the same in both populations as they are generally physico-chemical properties of the test itself. The clinician needs to understand that, and why, the same test result has very different implications in these two uses.ReplyDelete
In fact, I think that this is not sufficiently emphasized in medical training. Most of the clinicians I deal with, even those relatively recently trained, are shocked to learn how low the positive predictive value of most screening tests are. But once they have mastered that, they also need to understand why the very same test can be very informative when applied to a patient who is likely to have the disease in question.
The only thing I disagree with here is your implication that clinicians should not be taught about sensitivity and specificity. It really is important to know those concepts, along with prevalence and Bayes' theorem. The reason is that some tests are used in different populations and settings. The same test may be used to mass screen asymptomatic populations, and also as a confirmatory diagnostic test in people with symptoms suggestive of the disease in question. In the former setting the prior probability of disease is typically very low, and in the latter it is usually moderate or even high. The sensitivity and specificity are, under reasonably broad circumstances, the same in both populations as they are generally physico-chemical properties of the test itself. The clinician needs to understand that, and why, the same test result has very different implications in these two uses.ReplyDelete
In fact, I think that this is not sufficiently emphasized in medical training. Most of the clinicians I deal with, even those relatively recently trained, are shocked to learn how low the positive predictive value of most screening tests are. But once they have mastered that, they also need to understand why the very same test can be very informative when applied to a patient who is likely to have the disease in question.Replies
I disagree. The confusion caused by sens and spec is massive and even more clearly they take valuable class and study time away from the real need: how to specify probability models and design studies that will yield the data need to estimate their parameters. The only place I can thing of for sens and spec is when you don't have data, or at least the needed data. Do we ever teach physicians how to compute the probability that a patient is male given his disease status? Why is a test different from the patient's sex?Delete
Dr. Harrell, diagnostic tests have different uses in clinical practice. They can confirm or discard a disease when there's suspicion of disease, discard a disease in an asymptomatic patient (screening), they also have prognostic capabilities, and they can help us decide which therapy is better.ReplyDelete
Now, we cannot mix them up, these are different questions, although some tests can be both diagnostic and prognostic.
Sensitivity and specificity help us to choose which test to order according to the clinical context. For example, an EKG could not be used to discard a myocardial infarction and a D-dimer could not be used to confirm pulmonary thromboembolism.
Regarding prevalence. It works as a starting point for prior probabilities, which take into account specific patient characteristics. This and the likelihood of the test result gives us the posterior probabilities. Since rarely are we ever 100% sure of the diagnosis, based on some specified (subjective) thresholds we decide to treat, discard, or take another test.
So, I would have to disagree that sensitivity and specificity are not important in medical training.Replies
Nothing you discussed motivates the need for sensitivity and specificity. What I need is the effect of each piece of information, e.g., the effect of age, the effect of having a test result of 17.35 on the log odds of disease. Give me a very specific example where sens and spec were needed and probability of disease or probability of outcome did not do the job.Delete
If you were not diagnosing a patient but were interpreting RCT results would you take time to compute the probability that a patient was on treatment B if she improved her blood pressure?
Thank you for your reply, Dr. Harrell.Delete
Maybe we're talking past each other, and since this is an important topic, I'll try my best to understand your point of view.
To answer your question, in the context of a RCT it would not make any sense.
My question to you is, if sensitivity and specificity are not important, what would be the criteria a physician should have to choose a diagnostic test for a given clinical situation?
Thanks for continuing this discussion because it will help me better understand the clinical issues. I should say that it's not they they are unimportant but that they are too indirect. Chapter 19 of BBR at http://biostat.mc.vanderbilt.edu/tmp/bbr.pdf gives my suggestions. Briefly I want a partial effect plot for each predictor, whether it's a test output or a regular baseline variable. For a test output this is the contribution to the log odds of disease holding all the baseline variables constant. As shown in that chapter once you know the regression fit (odds ratio for a binary test) you can show its impact on absolute risk of disease as a function of baseline risk in general (regardless of what gave the patient a high risk, for example). For the rare case where the test is binary, the odds ratio is the product of the likelihood ratio positive and the likelihood ratio negative.Delete
Dr. Harrell, I read the chapter of your book and I think I'm getting the idea.Delete
Please correct me if I'm wrong:
What you propose is to condition on other clinical variables (which are theoretically a part of the clinical diagnostic process) to "predict" the post-test log odds of the disease. A good diagnostic test would add information to a pre-test model (you picture this as the absolute diagnostic yield).
And that would be the way of knowing which test to choose in a specific clinical setting, instead of sensitivity and specificity (and LRs, I guess).
This model relies on an analytical cohort design. Most of diagnostic studies I've read about are based on a cross-sectional design. I wouldn't know if this can change your proposal, but it doesn't look like it does.
My other concern is the translation into practice. I guess we would need the nomogram or clinical diagnostic rule (mobile app) for it to work. This can be cumbersome in some settings.
PS: How can one interpret figure 19.6? The test is most useful with pretest probs < 80%? I'm having a hard time interpreting this figure.
I think you got what I was trying to convey Martin. Diagnostic models require a cohort study or a non-oversampled cross-sectional study. You can also use an oversampled study such as case-control if you can apply a correction to the model's intercept (no other corrections usually needed). Yes you need a nomogram or a prediction calculator to get the baseline risk and then to update it by the (usually continuous) test result. The technology is there now. I agree with your interpretation of the figure, until you know more about action thresholds the clinician/patient use.Delete


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B and JD are always a barrel of laughs and are super reliable--there for you in a pinch. You really couldn't ask for better friends than this couple. No better models, either!
Nikon D90, 80-200mm lens
@ 135mm, f/6.3, 1/100s, ISO 200, -1/3 EV
@ 200mm, f/2.8, 1/200s, ISO 160
@ 80mm, f/2.8, 1/320s, ISO 160
@ 135mm, f/2.8, 1/125s, ISO160
Special thanks to photographer Kyle Tebbs for his assistance making these images.


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The high-school physics teacher who refused to go along with his school's "no zero" policy will meet with the public school superintendent Monday to discuss the fate of his job.
"Ideally, I want to have my job back," said Lynden Dorval. "I want to go back to teaching- go back to what I was doing before."
Dorval has been on indefinite suspension from his job at Ross Sheppard High School for ignoring the school's policy of not giving a mark of zero for assignments that students don't hand in. Instead, the policy is to mark the assignment incomplete.
Dorval argues that the policy doesn't prepare students for life after graduation.
"I'll discuss my policy... with my students and why I feel that although I am going against the directive of the principal, I still don't accept his authority to give me this kind of direction."
Dorval added that it has been tough, it's the first September in 35 years that he has not been in the classroom teaching.
At a meeting Monday, Dorval was accompanied by a friend and retired teacher, Doug Senuk.
Senuk wondered why this happened to his friend.
"Why not me and why Lynden," said Senuk, who also opposed the no-zero rule, along with Ross Sheep and with no consequences.
"Well I guess that's a law case waiting to happen."
The school board says it can't comment on this specific case because of privacy concerns. But the board welcomes the public to the next school board meeting — which is scheduled for Tuesday.
"It's an emotional issue. We understand that people are interested and talking about their views and opinions, said Cheryl Oxford, director of communications for the Edmonton Public School Board.
"I think the most important thing is for people to be able to reflect their views and be able to look at all sides of the information if they can."
Parents show support
Since the suspension, he has received widespread support from the public — which he thinks will be in his favour.
Concerned parent Cindy Sanche waited outside the private meeting Monday, selling T-shirts for charity. The writing on the T-shirts said: "Real Heroes Give Zeros."
"I hope it gets overturned and I know a lot of people feel the same way," Sanche said. " They're really not sending a great message to us parents out there and they're really not doing the children any favours."
Dorval hopes this is resolved soon and that his job is safe.
"It's bad enough that I've been suspended but I think the reaction will be even more severe if it does come to termination," Dorval said. "So I think the superintendent, I'm sure, is thinking very hard about whether he's willing to go that route or not."
A representative for the superintendent tells CBC News that a decision will be made in the near future.


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Updates from the front lines of the Greenpeace planet. Sign up and login to join the conversation.
After a mammoth 50 hours in the water in front of their drill ship, following 100 hours on Chevron's anchor chain, the oil giant's lawyers have again stopped our protest.
Last night we received news over the ship's radio that Chevron had gaine... Read more >
The story: Greenpeace activists in Sydney were arrested after having taken food safety into their own hands and labelling the baby formula, S-26 Soy at Woolworths in Neutral Bay, clearly tagging it as genetically modified and giving parents the ri... Read more >
I've spent the last 46 hours getting in and out of a big red survival suit. It's made out of the thickest wetsuit material and makes me look like a telly-tubby. I can't really move my hands, or arms, or feet, or turn my head, or speak, but it keeps me... Read more >
Now that was a totally new experience! Last night I got to touch clay and mud fresh from the bottom of the sea, 1,300 meters (4,000 feet) deep in the Gulf of Mexico. That was fun. Today we pulled up a sample and opened the lid to see little patch... Read more >
The story:Four Greenpeace environmental campaigners swim out in front of a giant oil drilling ship, operated by the US energy giant Chevron, in open seas in an effort to halt its progress towards a deep water drilling site off Scotland. The four ... Read more >
Our swimmers put themselves in the path of the gigantic drilling ship Stena Carron - forcing it to a halt.
Full update on our Go Beyond Oil site. Read more >
After 100 incredible hours on Chevron's anchor chain our occupation is over. The pod has come down. But we're not leaving Shetland, yet.
I just got back from watching Timo and Naz lower the half-tonne pod, where with help from Victor in the safety ... Read more >
Being a Greenpeace oceans campaigner I haven't eaten tuna for years. But, how about my little nephew? He recently asked me for a tuna pizza. I told him that there's a good chance that sharks, turtles or baby tuna could have died for the tuna on his pi... Read more >
The story: A Greenpeace volunteer waves a windsock with a message that reads "Unplug a Nuclear Future" in Thong Ching bay in Nakhon Si Thammarat province, 610 kilometers South of Bangkok. Thong Ching Beach is one of the proposed sites for the con... Read more >
At last, the Roundtable of Sustainable Palm Oil (RSPO) is threatening action following the release last month of the independent audit commissioned by Sinar Mas, which showed that the company had been breaking Indonesian law and RSPO rules.
On Sept... Read more >
Janos Maté just received the "2010 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Montreal Protocol Award" for his work with us to protect the ozone layer and the climate over the past 18 years. The award ceremony took place at the Canadian Embassy in Washingto... Read more >
Well the good news is that our occupation of Chevron's deepwater drill ship has reached the end of its third day and is still going strong. Timo and Naz are currently up in the pod and the word from them is that they could hardly be happier. La... Read more >
The story: Greenpeace campaigners who yesterday stopped the Chevron's Stena Carron oil platform from leaving Scotland to drill a deep water well have attached a purpose-built reinforced "survival pod" to its huge anchor chain and say they now have t... Read more >
The Arctic Sunrise is currently pitching her way through a healthy swell, somewhere south of Louisiana. I'd been facetiously complaining that I didn't get anywhere near a rodeo while we were in Galveston, Texas – so now I get to be a buckaroo at my... Read more >
Following a heroic 24 hours by Anais and Victor in the tent suspended off the anchor chain, today we stepped it all up a notch by bringing in a purpose-built half-tonne survival pod.
I say 'we' but in fact I just sat on the safety b... Read more >
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Bright future predicted for banks in Asia
Commercial banking in Asia will remain buoyant, lifted by the region's demand for financial services, global advisory firm McKinsey & Co said yesterday.
The firm polled chief financial officers from multinational companies, medium-sized companies and banks in 13 Asian countries. It predicted that corporate and investment banking revenues in the Asia-Pacific region would rise to US$792 billion in 2015 from US$442 billion last year.
It said corporate banking would continue to generate more revenue than investment banking, rising to an estimated US$634 billion in 2015 from US$360 billion last year.
'Banks that are more towards the integrated or universal model will have an advantage in capturing the growth in Asia,' McKinsey director Emmanuel Pitsilis said. Lending and transaction services including foreign exchange and trade finance would be in demand because Asia was so focused on trade, he said.
Pitsilis said European banks, which faced higher costs in US dollar financing and pressure to meet tougher liquidity requirements, could be withdrawing from the US dollar trade finance market.
European banks have long been active in the trade financing market, investment bank Morgan Stanley said, with French banks representing about 25 per cent of the US$613 billion global market last year.
Huw Van Steenis, who wrote the Morgan Stanley report, said trade finance would be one of the biggest risks to the global market when the Euro1.5 trillion (HK$15.68 trillion) to Euro2.5 trillion of deleveraging took place among European banks.
The deleveraging, he said, would hurt European banks' ability to be global lenders, and investors would remain reluctant to provide cheap US dollar funding to European lenders.
Steenis said local banks and global banks like HSBC, Standard Chartered and JP Morgan were likely to pick up the trade financing business.
Asian and global banks were also likely to pick up assets from European banks in a variety of areas, including syndicated lending and commodity financing.
ANZ economist Raymond Yeung said European banks could no longer afford to keep their 'golden nest eggs' in Asia.
'Asia is perceived as a high-risk, high-return market,' Yeung said.
'European banks need to control their cost of capital. They are going to sacrifice their businesses in Asia, even when Asia is the major growth engine.'
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Born long ago on a cold November day, John was destined to inherit a great legacy. As a child, he played a lot of videogames. This somehow made him good at web design.
John's favorite animal is every dinosaur, and he plans to one day travel the planet as a rock musician.
He likes to tell stories and solve puzzles, which is actually much like the web development process.
John is pretty good at programming, web design, and digital media, but is not very good at writing about himself.


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Discussion in 'Physiology and Biology' started by tonmo, Aug 8, 2010.
...always a good reference:
Giant Squid and Colossal Squid Fact Sheet
That diagram is also an exellent reference for where named body parts begin and end for the common parts in an octopus.
"The Search for the Giant Squid: The Biology and Mythology of the World's Most Elusive Sea Creature" by Richard Ellis is an excellent book on at least the giant squid with some information on the colossal squid.
Agreed! -- btw I will be resurrecting our articles in the coming week or two.
Separate names with a comma.


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