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Category Archives: Commentary
You Are Either A Prepper Or A Future Victim
By: Tom Chatham
The recent disasters around the world have shown most people are ill prepared for sudden disruptions to normal life. Just as there was a lack of imagination that allowed 9/11 to happen, the population suffers from a lack of imagination that allows them to suffer from sudden occurrences. Survival favors the prepared mind.
Simply having supplies piled up in preparation for some occurrence is not enough to insure your survival. There are several other things you must keep in mind and balance out among your preparations.
You must imagine the potential catastrophic possibilities
You must prepare yourself mentally to deal with whatever happens
You must have knowledge of how best to employ your resources
You need to use your imagination to think outside the box
You must be able to improvise, adapt and overcome obstacles
You must have a flexible plan to guide you
Many people have spewed hateful rhetoric at preppers over the years and today some are finding themselves in dire circumstances as infrastructure and supplies are cut off for an indefinite period of time. Those unprepared individuals have few options and now rely on the actions of others to insure their survival.
As many in the Caribbean can now attest to, having to wait for help to come from hundreds or even thousands of miles away is slow and stressful to those who wait. They do not know when help will arrive and what resources will be available when they arrive. It could take years for many locations to return to some type of normalcy and this is at a time when help is available and forthcoming. What happens when that help is not available following an event?
In the world we now live in the bulk of the population is conditioned to wait for help to come. They are not encouraged to perform self help to minimize their suffering. This leads to many more victims to deal with overloading services and resources available to the public. This is happening in good times. What happens when things deteriorate and no help is available to communities or cities? What will happen when people and equipment do not come because damage is wide scale? What happens when all expendable resources are exhausted and cannot be replaced?
Preppers already know the answers to those questions and that is why they prepare. They know that someday an event could happen where no help will be available and they will be on their own for weeks or months. They know if something happens, what they have on hand is all they will likely have to work with for the duration. They know those that have not planned will be victims and most will expect someone to help them and their family. This creates a difficult situation for preppers and victims alike.
The act of learned helplessness is the only thing many people know today and that will lead to a reduced chance of survival for many depending on the depth of the event. A prepper can only do so much to help others in this type of situation but the main thing they possess are the leadership qualities and survival skills the masses need to come through the situation.
Following an event there will be a certain number of survivors that will see the light and understand what preppers have been trying to tell them for years. These people will differ from those that will still have the entitlement mentality and expect others to care for them and provide resources they need. These newly enlightened individuals are the ones that preppers will be able to help the most.
The true leaders in society will be able to direct these individuals on courses of action that will allow them to slowly recover and build up some resilience over time. These are the actions that will be necessary to reduce the chaos in society and provide some stabilization. These people will help provide a buffer between preppers and the hostile unprepared masses that manage to survive.
Make no mistake about it. There will be groups with varying mindsets roaming about following an event and it is advantageous to have as many of them on your side as possible. There is little you can do about the entitled victims except defend against their actions. In this case, there will be safety in numbers.
While a prepper cannot foresee every problem, they can plan ahead and set aside some resources that can help solidify your leadership among those you are able to work with. This could take the form of setting aside a few drums of bulk grains like oats or beans that can be purchased cheaply now but will allow you to feed a small group of people a basic meal for several weeks. The small price of a few drums of grain could buy a lot of goodwill.
Being able to provide clean drinking water to a small group by purchasing a good spare water filter will help eliminate the spread of disease among the group. Having a few medications that can help a few individuals that do manage to become sick will mean a lot to their families. Having a few extra radios that the group can share will help with security for everyone. Having a means to provide a small power source for lighting or battery recharging could mean a great deal to those with no power. In some locations having an extra wood stove to share and some wood will provide these people with heat and cooking ability.
There are many little things that could be worth a great deal to unprepared survivors that will help to stabilize their situation and insure they do not become a hostile force you would eventually have to deal with. You may not be able to help everyone or provide everything they need but being able to help a few can have long term benefits.
In a survival situation there will be many that become threats to you no matter what you do but the more you can eliminate from that potential pool the safer life will be for you. No matter what type of event takes place or how long the effects last eventually there will come a time of stabilization. The type of people in control of that stable situation could be a good thing or a very bad thing. As a prepper you could have a lot of influence over the outcome.
Technology Is The Master of Modern Slavery
By: Tom Chatham
The recent cyber attack on computers worldwide is just the latest wakeup call to the future we are blindly building for ourselves. The vast majority of humanity embraces technology like it is their next breath of air. Without it, they feel like they will die.
Technology is a double edged sword that we wield that must be handled with care less we cut off one of our own limbs. Technology allows us to be more productive and work faster than without it but as we embrace more technology to relieve us of many manual tasks we must not let it rule our very existence.
Technology must be used as a lever, not a crutch. When we give up our ability to function in daily life and allow technology to rule our every move, we ultimately give up our freedom. To allow technology to dictate what we can do and when we can do it is to reduce ourselves to nothing more than compliant slaves to it.
When a hospital cannot perform operations or even see patients because their computers are down or we cannot communicate or travel because of computer hacking, we have allowed technology to become a crutch that prevents us from falling on our faces in its absence. When we cannot buy food or fuel or depend on electrical power for basic needs we have become too dependant on the technology we invented to assist us.
The use of technology is a good thing that allows us to move forward and build things we never dreamed of before but when it becomes a weakness, we need to reexamine our use of it. If we become so dependant on technology that we cannot function without it we are preparing ourselves for a doomsday scenario when it eventually fails and we are helpless to care for ourselves.
It is only logical to have backup systems to utilize in the event our technology fails for some reason. This is the whole reason we have people to warn us before hand such as the EMP Commission to tell us we are in danger if certain events happen. Technology provides us with many good things but it also leaves us susceptible to many bad things as well if we ignore our responsibility to use it wisely and not become too dependant on it.
Many people today can actually have withdrawal symptoms if they lose access to their technology for any length of time. This should be an alarm to society but most just brush it off as fear mongering. When the loss of technology causes a business to completely stop operations, that should be an indication they do not have sufficient backup systems to fall back on.
One of the prime tenants of the prepper movement is that they have multiple backup systems to rely on if technology stops working. This is just a logical step taken by people that have taken the time to analyze the threats posed by the loss our technology and determine action is warranted for the preservation of life following certain events. The less technology you require to take care of daily activities, the more freedom you have to live a normal life.
Most people still do not take the threat of technological disruptions to society seriously. They think that if something happens, someone will fix it and life will go on as normal. What they refuse to contemplate is if something happens and nobody can fix it. As society moves along this technological road they become more dependent on it and the risk to their lives increases as they lose the ability to do basic tasks. Hopefully this latest cyber attack will instill in people the need to have backup systems in place to continue their daily activities and live life as a free person and not be a slave to the technology they so eagerly seek.
Local Civil Defense Needs To Be Revived
By: Tom Chatham
The ability to provide emergency assistance to the local population following an event is critical to preservation of law and order, not to mention life. The ability to keep the population calm in the face of mass destruction will make recovery much easier by freeing up valuable manpower for recovery efforts. The ability to provide food and water will be the primary resources that will be needed to maintain control of the situation for long periods of time. A food storage and distribution system will be needed to provide sustenance to local populations very quickly following an event.
The need of civil defense personnel to provide the manpower for this function can not be over emphasized. Following an event such as a nuclear war or EMP strike, communication, transportation and deployment of personnel will be difficult if not impossible. If CD personnel are already present in the local communities nationwide, deployment will be automatic and immediate. There will be no need to find available personnel and transport them to the site. Local CD personnel can begin emergency operations within a few hours of an event providing the stability and direction the community will need to face the event.
A local CD program can be as small or as extensive as the community wishes. It can consist of a few dozen families on the same street or a whole town. It can simply have food stores to distribute or it can provide food, medical assistance, fuel supplies, power generation, shelter and transportation abilities. Food is the most basic need and must be stored before anything else, For a food distribution system, minimal equipment will be required if bulk storage is located locally and CD members have a distribution plan already mapped out for the worst case scenario.
A basic ration that can provide suitable calories to survivors can be packaged and dispersed on a monthly basis at designated dispersal areas. Local individuals can be issued a ration card in the initial days following an event that can be used to receive monthly rations. The card can have designated boxes that can be punched out every month when rations are received. Parents can be issued cards for each child to insure each person will get a monthly ration. A basic ration can consist of the following items.
183 lbs. Hard Wheat 15.25lbs./month
45 lbs. Oats 3.75lbs./ month
137 lbs. Corn 11.4lbs./ month
113 lbs. Beans 9.4lbs./ month
46 lbs. dry milk 3.8lbs./ month
1.5 Gal. Veg. oil 16oz./ month
45 lbs. Sugar 3.75lbs./ month
7.5 lbs. iodized salt .625lbs./ month
These items and amounts will provide one person with a basic daily ration for one year or month as noted. The ability to store these items in bulk will provide an efficient means to store a food supply for a community that can feed them for up to a year. One simply has to multiply these amounts by the number of people you will need to feed to determine the total amount of food you should store for such an event.
A community that knows it will have basic food supplies regardless of the situation will prevent acts of violence and desperation following an event when people will normally panic due to the many unknowns in their future. Providing them with a certain number of knowns will keep the panic to a minimum and allow the community to focus human energies on alleviating their longer term problems.
Power for basic systems can be provided by fuel storage and ultimately by the use of wood gas generators for longer term situations when fuel resupply is not possible. Wood gas can also be used for vehicle fuel if functional vehicles are available. The ability to provide local energy for critical systems like water and sewage pumping will go far in alleviating suffering due to lack of functional infrastructure. It will also provide power needed for any functional communication systems available to the community.
A local civil defense corps can fill many of the needs a community will face following a catastrophic event and is one of the only solutions that can be run by local communities that offers immediate results. Local governments like to think they have a plan to deal with most emergencies but when it comes to the low probability/ high impact events, they are all largely ill equipped to handle them. A power grid failure can cascade into something much worse if the problem is not resolved fairly quickly. It is the potential for these cascading failures to occur that makes modern life so deadly for the population.
Government entities do not possess the ability to care for the entire population of the country if everything stops suddenly. The government has little in the way of food stores that can feed the nation without going to individuals and companies and taking what they have to be distributed in an ad hoc fashion.
Having bulk supplies in every community nationwide is the only way to insure we have the means to survive the worst if it ever happens. By explaining the potential dangers to locals and gaining their support by real leadership, money can be raised in the community and used to construct bulk storage sites and equip a civil defense unit. When our previous civil defense organization was folded into FEMA we lost all local control of any response and the benefits it brought to local communities and individuals.
As with most things, you do not have to do it all at once. Simply buying 9 food grade 55 gallon drums and filling 4 with wheat, 2 with beans, 2 with corn and 1 with oats, you will have sufficient grains and beans to feed over 50 people for a month. This is at a cost of about $310 dollars at current prices. That is a small investment to insure 20 families are working together rather than against one another. It should also be noted that those with the resources following an event will have control over the population. Would you rather some government entity have that control or your community.
While there are no simple answers that will work equally well for all communities, having something to work with in an emergency is a far better situation than having nothing. We often forget that in our just in time delivery system we can go from everything to nothing in a matter of hours. When something goes wrong, how well our communities handle the aftermath will depend on what they have to handle it with. With the many dangers we face today, it is likely only a matter of time before we are forced to respond to an event, and what price will we pay in our current state of readiness?
Are You Ready For An Inflationary Depression?
By: Tom Chatham
We are heading into a new depression. It is not coming. It is already here but we are only in the beginning so it may not be easy for many people to see just yet. Once it is easy to see it will be too late for any meaningful actions to mitigate the effects. Just as you must prepare for a tornado ahead of time, you must prepare for economic conditions early.
We have 20 trillion in debt, over 200 trillion in unfunded liabilities and over a quadrillion in derivatives held by the banks. Our GDP is only about 17 trillion a year and world GDP is only about 60 trillion. It does not take a math wiz to realize that even if we are not paying any interest at all on this massive debt, there is no way to ever pay it all back short of some type of default.
That is what depressions do. They wipe out all of the misallocation of resources and bad debt and provide a reset for the economy. These resets can be relatively easy or they can be very destructive depending on the amount of misallocation that is present in the system. The amount of debt, brought on by decades of unrestricted credit creation, is the largest in history. That means we are in for a very bad ride in the near future.
Much of the money that people think they have is really only made up of digits in some computer somewhere. The banking industry has already taken this money for its own use. To eliminate the need to ever give it back to the rightful owners they must destroy these digits. That is what the new bail-ins are all about. They can at some point just wipe all of those digits out of existence and say tough luck suckers.
The depression of the 1930's was a deflationary one in nature. People lost their jobs, prices fell and cash was king. People holding bonds did very well. In an inflationary depression, prices rise, people will get paid in increasingly worthless paper and bonds will collapse. Banks will enact bail-ins to stay solvent and people will go broke while holding piles of cash.
In the end the inflationary depression will end with the currency collapsing and people losing everything they have that is not fully owned. Eventually we will see deflation as prices fall due to the destruction of the monetary system. At this point most people will be financially devastated. Those that make it to this point with their wealth in tact will be the new wealthy class.
So how can a person survive something like this? You simply need to focus on the needs of your family over this period of time. If you can provide the needs of your family regardless of the prices at the time, you will make it through the worst of times, This means you need a plan to provide these items to your family whether prices are rising or falling. If you have a years supply of food, it does not matter what the current price is, you will have the means to feed them.
If your home is paid for, your car is paid for and you have a supply of energy or a way to produce it yourself, it will not matter to you how fast prices are changing or how much money you bring home every week. You will be able to live outside of the rapidly changing economy. The rapid changes that will destroy others will only provide you a glancing blow.
Those that survive on credit will be devastated as their access to credit is cut off and they become unable to continue making payments on their possessions. They will be devastated even if they still have a paying job. For those that expect to survive on their savings and pensions, they will find those accounts empty following any bail-ins.
Where you live will also play a major role in how well you survive the depression. What do you think will happen when those dependent multi generational families lose their welfare and food stamps following the breakdown of the credit system and prices rise faster than benefits? The ability to produce some items yourself will also depend on your location and the ability to stay safe.
The whole of the production and distribution system depends on 30 day credit. When the credit system ceases to function, goods will stop being produced and transported. This will lead to high prices and few goods to buy. So even if you have a bag full of money you may not be able to buy what you want at some point.
Just like a tornado that tears through a community, a depression can leave the people without the resources they need unless they have them hidden away safely for future use following the event. This is why having resources, real physical goods, put away now will allow you to thrive when the system fails. When the system resets, you will not get a second chance to do it right. You only have one shot and that requires you to finalize your preparations now while you still can make a difference.
The whole point of preparing for this type of upheaval is to maintain a standard of living that you find acceptable. Lack of preparation in this type of event will likely find you living much poorer than you would like. If you are successful in maintaining your standard of living and preserving your wealth throughout this event you will have won the battle and set yourself up for a better future when things stabilize.
The Many Hazards A Prepper Can Face
By: Tom Chatham
It is the conclusion of many that in any serious world altering event it will likely be far safer in a rural location than an urban one. Many of the hazards we face during and following any event can largely be reduced to one main threat. People. The more people there are in a disaster area the more competition there will be for any resources that are necessary for life. Population density can become a serious threat in and of itself.
For this reason the rural retreat is seen as the answer to reducing many of the threats we are likely to face. While rural areas offer many advantages, they are still prone to situations that can be detrimental to survival. As I have often stated, those who prepare and have a rural home still need to be concerned about the possibility you may have to bug out of your location. The recent fires in eastern Tennessee are a case in point.
The rural areas hit by these fires could be seen as ideal retreat locations due to their remote locations, low population density and closeness to a national forest. Even with all of these things going for you it is still possible to be forced out of your retreat location by natural and man made forces. It is for this reason that alternative sites should be surveyed ahead of time in the event you have to leave in a hurry.
It is also important to know when to leave. As we have seen with these fires, many people were virtually trapped and unable to evacuate. They waited too long and then had to hope for the best as fires swept through the towns and communities. Roads became blocked with burning trees as people rushed to get out. This situation could have ended much worse than it did.
Having a rural retreat location to hunker down in is preferred but you must take stock of other dangers once you are there. Natural disasters like fires, floods, earthquakes and tornados or dangers such as war or a social breakdown can make your safe haven a death trap. It does not matter if it is a fire or a group of scavengers moving across the land, you will be in great danger at some point unless you have planned for that eventuality.
Even a simple plan can be lifesaving when the time comes. Simply having a hidden cellar where you can store your extra supplies or even your family until the danger is past can make a lot of difference. Having a cellar dug in deeply at some place away from your primary residence that is protected from natural or manmade forces can provide you with options in an emergency.
Having a bug out plan for your retreat is also an option depending on the danger. There are times when leaving is the only option to stay alive. Having some of your supplies stored in a small trailer that can be quickly hooked up to your vehicle can make evacuation much faster. This trailer can also be set up to provide a makeshift shelter until you can return home or to a safe area. You are only limited by your imagination.
Many people live in urban areas and do not have the luxury of moving to a safer area. When disaster strikes, these people can be in the most danger and they need to have a plan to relocate by some means in the event it is required. These people are still at risk of fires , floods and earthquakes not to mention social disorders that can make their current position untenable. For urban dwellers a simple plan of relocation along with resources to support yourself is necessary.
For these people, having a plan to shelter in place under most circumstances is reasonable and proper but there may come a time when you must go. It is important that you realize the implications to you and your family if you fail to at least consider the possibility of evacuation under certain conditions and have a plan to carry it out.
Many people are breathing a sigh of relief now that Trump has been elected but our problems are not over by any means. The many dangers we face in the future are still present and just waiting to unfold. Those that are easing up on their preparations should not be led into a false sense of security. Now is the time to be even more vigilant and review your preparations just in case things do not go as planned.
Of all the dangers we can face our own lack of preparedness is the one most easily corrected and reduced to a negligible level. You do not need to be wealthy to take simple common sense steps to reduce the hazards we will all face at some point in the future. As we have seen in the past, our worst enemy is our own lack of imagination to the threats we can face and the actions we can take to deal with them before they get out of hand and become too big to deal with in a timely manner. There will always be threats to our existence and we will have to face them with a plan or suffer the consequences of our inaction.
Stay Focused On The Long Term Not Just The Elections
By: Tom Chatham
The coming elections are very important to the future of the U.S. but do not think for a second that our troubles will end on Nov. 8. We have many serious problems that must be addressed and solved in order to maintain our current quality of life. This election will determine how we approach these problems and try to solve them or if the status quo will win out and we will continue on this path with no serious attempt to correct them.
Either way this nation is in for many years of hardship we are ill prepared to face at this time. The majority of the nation believes the facts according to the government that everything is just great. Those following the true numbers know otherwise and fear what is about to happen to this nation. They know the chaos that will be unleashed when the truth finally comes out and the majority no longer has the well entrenched safety net to keep people afloat. It will be like survivors fighting for a place on the lifeboats. It will likely get very ugly.
Time is now short and the time to get preparations in order is running out. Those with sufficient resources to see them through what is likely to be the worst crisis in this nations history will still have to fight for their survival every day. These resources will determine whether you suffer a little in the coming months or you suffer a lot. That decision is entirely up to you at this point.
The west line has now moved to Asia and that means we are no longer the shipping center of the world. This is one of the reasons we will soon lose reserve currency status just as Great Britain did in the past. And just as they did, we will suffer from a slower, weaker economy that we will have to learn to live with and survive in. The days of having lots of money to spend are coming to an end in America so get used to it now. This will be especially hard for the snowflake generation that thinks everything should be free.
A service economy depends on people having excess spendable income that generates service related jobs in the community. When this excess income dries up those service related jobs will largely disappear. This will be the depression level event that puts the nation over the edge. With no jobs to be had and a broken social safety net that no longer functions, people will get very desperate.
In a time such as this the true moral character of a nation will be laid bare for all to see. A truly virtuous country would see the people come together and help one another just as we saw in the 1930's. But this time is different and we will see the lack of moral fiber that has been cultivated in this nation over the past 70 years. That is what those in the know fear the most.
Unless our moral character is restored we will tear ourselves to pieces and leave a scorched nation behind us that may never recover. It is the hope of many that once we see the future for what it may hold that a moral and just people will once again rise from the ashes and rebuild what we once had. A nation we can all be proud to live in. Until we achieve that revelation we will be doomed to follow the path of destruction we have set out on.
We need to go back to the basics and relearn the lessons we have fought so hard to learn over the past 200 years. We will need to regain the entrepreneurial spirit that built this nation starting at the local level. We will need to work hard every day and once again learn to give thanks for what we have. Only through our spiritual growth will we regain what we have lost and repair the damage we have done to ourselves.
Prepare For The Greater Depression and What Will Follow
By: Tom Chatham
The current declining state of the economy is just the first leg in a long journey to the bottom of the pit of misery we will all know in the coming years. The cycle of business has been turned on its head as bankers rush to save themselves and their ill gotten loot. Never in the course of human history has so much been stolen from so many by so few. All of the human labor that has been converted into wealth has been diverted to the ruling elite and now that they have gotten all that they can get they will pull out of the system and let everything else crash. It is a slow process as they move their wealth around to insure most of it survives but when they reach that point the lowly masses will see the next leg of the greater depression unfold.
The withdrawal of this wealth from the markets will insure the system crumbles and what little that is left will be fought over by the masses as they scramble for dwindling resources. The life work of many people will be reduced to a few scraps of worthless paper in the end. After these people realize they have been robbed they will look for the person to blame but the machinations of the elite will insure this anger is redirected to other priorities. When the masses are reduced to poverty and misery they will then be subjected to war. This is the slight of hand that will keep the bankers safe for the time being. Hopefully by the time the war is over the masses will be so glad, they will have forgotten how it all began.
As the wealth is pulled out of the financial system the distribution system will begin to crumble from lack of credit to function in the just in time delivery system we now employ. This breakdown will seem like a slow motion train wreck as things slowly get worse until they simply stop one day. Truckers are now in survival mode as loads are drying up nationwide. Hundreds of locomotives are now parked on rail sidings because there is no freight to move. Major retailers are closing hundreds of stores and laying off workers because consumers no longer have the credit they need to maintain their former lifestyles.
Hanjin, one of the largest freight carriers in the world is now in bankruptcy and the 500,000 containers filled with goods still on their ships are now in limbo. Some are now using the word chaos to describe what is happening as customers and manufacturers rush to find new carriers and get their containers of goods back. This is just the first crack in the global distribution system that we are seeing and more cracks will appear in the future as shippers succumb to lower shipping rates and fewer goods to haul. Most of the goods and about 50% of the food eaten in the U.S. is imported. As these goods stop flowing into the country the population will see their standard of living get worse.
This loss of goods will trigger internal strife and fighting among the population as they seek to maintain their living standards. Unlike our ancestors who knew how to live in hard times, the snowflake generation will be unable to adjust to the desperate times. This combined with the over medication of our population will make the world a very dangerous place. Society will gyrate from withdrawal and fear to fits of rage on a regular basis and this will do little to help the average person make things better as we try to work through our problems as a nation.
Unlike previous hard times when people worked together and made the tough decisions needed to recover, the future will be very different. It will be a time of chaos, deceit, violence and lack of sympathy toward others. Families will be torn apart and social groups will fight one another. The war that comes may very well be on our own shores this time and Americans will be the cannon fodder for the global cover-up of theft and mismanagement of resources.
The coming days will truly try mens souls as we each work to live day to day and survive the turmoil that follows. Each person will need to understand the changes that are to come and determine what infrastructure they will need to get by for the several years that anarchy will rule. They need to know what they will need to do now so they will have the resources available when they need them. When the social safety nets collapse they may not have anyone to turn to for their needs. The future may seem bleak but the human spirit is more than able to compensate and see us through if we allow it and we all rise to our potential.
In times like this it is all too easy to allow a country to slip into a dictatorship in the hopes that some strong man will fix our woes but that never happens in the real world. The fundamental loss of freedoms will lead to more misery and poverty as the few remaining resources are diverted to the ruling class and the excess goods are used as a weapon to control the masses. Those that do not go along to get along will find themselves hunted as enemies of the state and see neighbors turn into informants to stay in the good graces of the state.
The only recourse in times like this are to become invisible and stay out of the way of the state while you work behind the scenes to undermine the states power and control through covert methods. Being off the beaten path will be the best method of survival that will allow you the most freedom to utilize natural resources and live a decent life away from the machinations of those that would enslave you for their own purposes. Hard times are coming and ignoring this will not change the future it will just make your life that much harder. Times change but how well you live through them is entirely up to you.
Should You Dig In or Bug Out?
By: Tom Chatham
Should you dig in or bug out? That is a question many people will have to ask themselves at some point in the future. That answer will be different for many people due to a range of circumstances and conditions.
What is right for one person and location may be lethal for someone else in another location. That is why you need to have situational awareness and critical thinking ability. You need to analyze the threats and determine the best course of action in that time and place. What once was a safe location could quickly become a death trap if you fail to see the changing situation. This is why normalcy bias kills.
Just like a person who loses their job and decides to stay where they are and continue life as normal while watching their savings quickly depleting. They fail to look ahead and contemplate the dangers if they take no action. If they did an honest assessment and determined they probably will not find a new job before they run out of money and lose their home, they would come to that conclusion while they still had resources to work with and determine a safer course of action.
Your knowledge, location and preparedness level will largely determine what you should do at any given time. When disaster arrives what you do and when you do it will determine how well you overcome the problems and make it to the end.
If you live in a large city and something happens that destroys basic services and the ability to care for your family, you may not have much time to act. In some situations you must act before the disaster strikes if you are to have any chance of getting through it. Hurricane Katrina is a good example. Martial law that cuts off cities from surrounding areas is another.
In most survival situations your chances of survival in a rural area is about 10 times better than in a city. That is because you have lower population density and you are surrounded by the resources you need to survive. That means fewer people competing for those resources. You also have the space to produce more resources that you need over time.
Even in the country you will face dangers and have to determine if you should stay in place or move to another location. Fires, floods or roving bands of survivors from other places may make a rural location unsafe. You need to see those dangers coming before they happen and decide your best course of action.
In the end, your knowledge, location and preparedness level will help you decide what you should do before you find yourself in a situation you cannot get out of. There are many unknowns when a disaster happens. Being prepared and having thought through some of those potential problems reduces some of those unknowns so that you can make good decisions. The better informed that you are, the better your decisions will be.
The decision to dig in or bug out will be a pivotal moment in your life because it will have serious repercussions on future events. You need to make decisions that greatly enhance your chances to survive not put you in more danger. You need to expand your comfort zone to allow you to think outside of normal situations and doing so will help eliminate your normalcy bias and give you the best chance to make good decisions in a timely manner. When the worst happens, you may not have the benefit of someone else telling you what to do, it will be up to you to make those decisions. Once you make a decision you will have to live with it.
Revenge of The Silver Bugs
By: Tom Chatham
It has been a long wait for the silver bugs but the future may indeed see them richly rewarded for all of their patience. Those that have held on are now about to see the end game unfold.
There have been many projections on the highs that silver could hit in the future ranging from a low of $100 to highs of $1,000.
It should be noted that much of the above ground silver has been used in the past few decades for industrial purposes that leave most of that silver not reclaimed due to the small amounts used in individual products. The plans of China to increase solar production will take a great deal of future silver production to power their energy grid.
The current production has silver at about a 10 to 1 ratio of gold. On the surface this means that silver should be valued at least at the 10/1 ratio. The current disproportionate ratio of 78/1 will insure silver rises at a higher percentage than gold during the current bull market.
If current projections of $10,000 gold are anywhere near correct that would put silver in the $1,000 range. Regardless of the ultimate price, gold and silver will rise substantially as chaos enters the markets. It is this chaos that will also require people to store the necessary resources to care for their families until the chaos subsides. Gold and silver holdings do not insure access to resources during chaos but will be valuable afterward to take advantage of good deals due to revaluations in the economy.
In times like this when most people are at risk of losing much of their wealth, the current low price of silver can help the average person not only preserve what little wealth they have but even increase it many fold to offset the failure of incomes to keep up with real inflation over the past few decades.
This is a once in a lifetime opportunity to beat the bankers at their own game. When the economic leverage shifts back from the paper wealth to real money those holding real money will reap the benefits. Even small holdings of silver will help individuals to insure their wealth will remain in tact after this economic cycle comes to an end.
Gold and silver are a form of escape hatch in the banker controlled economic system we are forced to play in. When they pull the plug on the current paper wealth, those that know no better will cling to those worthless paper assets to the very end never dreaming they will someday be totally worthless. The very few that understand what is taking place will use that escape hatch to save what they have so they can continue to prosper in the future.
The bankers know of this escape hatch but they have few ways to close it without alerting the people so they use their position and trust to convince the population this doorway is dangerous. They call it a barbarous relic that has no place in a modern society. They do this because they know the truth. If they can convince the people long enough, by the time people know the truth it will be too late to exit this door.
Those that have already taken this door out of the system are now looking in at the fire that is about to burn the house down. When the rush to the exits happen, many will not make it out. There is still time to get out ahead of the crowd but time is now very short. Any more procrastination on your part will likely be lethal to your economic health. On this Independence day free yourself from the banker controlled system by purchasing some real money and renew your declaration of freedom.
America: The Future Third World Country
By: Tom Chatham
The purchasing power of Americans has been unequalled for the past several decades. This has been made possible by the high paying jobs created by our manufacturing sector. These jobs insured a wealthy middle class that could buy anything they wanted.
These high paying jobs meant that some of the wealth created by making things went to the workers. Before long, corporations began working on ways to keep more of that wealth. Enter the free trade agreement. By drafting and passing a number of free trade agreements, the corporations created a way to make their goods cheaper with overseas labor and keep more of the profit for themselves and their Wall Street owners. The deep pockets of the middle class began to dry up.
A thinking person might eventually come to the conclusion that destroying middle class jobs and the purchasing power of the middle class would be shooting themselves in the foot. With less income and purchasing power, the corporations would create a shrinking American market for themselves eventually. That is what we are seeing now.
So, what do you do when your cash cow begins to dry up? You turn it into hamburger. Just like all of the other third world countries that provided raw materials for these corporations to prosper, America will now become a supplier of raw materials for the next rising power to use. That rising power will likely be China with its large untapped populace. They have the gold and the manufacturing capability now. All they need is a good supply of raw materials and they can develop their own middle class and the corporations will be in the clover once again.
America is in debt up to its eyeballs but we still have large amounts of natural resources. Multinational corporations are chomping at the bit to get their hands on these resources so they can renew their ponzi economic model with another rising economy.
Between here and there they must break the American consumer and take everything they have and then get them out of the way so the strip mining can begin in earnest. When you look at the larger picture that is taking shape, that is where we are headed. Chinese corporations are gobbling up everything they can get their hands on right now all over the world including in America.
Those who say the U.S. will be invaded are a little late. The invasion has already started and the invaders have taken the form of corporations. If anything gets in the way of this resource extraction, that is when you will see the troops arrive under some pretence to help the people. Actually their main goal will be to secure the resources.
When troops start arriving that is when Americans will start fighting back by any means at their disposal. For all intents and purposes it will be an all out war on American soil. Regardless of what people perceive the reasons for this war to be it will ultimately be for resources.
You may ask why they do not just keep America prosperous and continue the gravy train. The main reason is that entitlement programs have gotten out of control. They are now spending too much money supporting people who do not work or produce any value in society. To simply take this money away would cause the same chaos that will erupt by destroying the economy but economic destruction will enable them to secure the resources with few people realizing what is really happening. Its all about controlling the amount of blowback from the people and the best way to redirect and contain it.
In the end America will become a third world economy or something worse. The people have the means to retain control of the nation and someday rebuild some of our infrastructure but that depends on the people and how much they want to remain free and in control of their future. As long as half of the population can get paid to sit at home and do nothing we will not change the course we are on. Change will only come when it is forced on the people and they decide to set a new course. Unfortunately, many may elect to do as they are told by the government and hope the free stuff will once again start to flow. Those people will be very disappointed, at least as long as they remain alive.


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Timber Falls (2007) - Parents Guide - IMDb
Homer and Marge find themselves alone in a timber cabin in the snowy mountains of Alaska. Nubile Films - Lesbian girlfriends deep pussy fingering - Free Porn Videos 1,277,334 views. Brianna Brown Nue dans Timber Falls < ANCENSORED. The Annie star has mastered the perfect balance of sex appeal, laid back style, and elegance.
An additional scene is shown a minute into the credits giving a little back story of the plot. Gloucester Township, NJ - Timber Creek defeated Pennsuaken, 63-6, Friday night. Timber Falls Reviews & Ratings - IMDb.
Pornhub Horny gymnast Lily LaBeau puts her sexy feet into good use 148,662 views. Promised employment in seafood processing factories by traffickers, they are. Why is it so easy to fall into a party trap and think all studying is foolish?
Getting Enough From Hubby hubby films his sexy horny wifes first time fucked by stranger. Mb Combined, the Forest Hills and Timber Falls subdivisions will house 325 low-income families.


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Increasing ability versus decreasing disability
Hey Folks!
I am a healthcare practitioner that specializes in movement, nutrition and wellness. My job is making people better. That's a very subjective goal, but it's a crucial goal for sure. Many people live their lives simply hoping they don't encounter illness or disability. Many hope it won't "get" them. I'm here to tell you, you can do more than hope.
In my practice I help people perform better. I also help people experience less pain. Some simply prefer to experience less pain and are happy with that much progress (it's an easy progress indicator to gauge). I've often been heard saying the perfect time to see a Chiropractor is 1 day before you start to notice any symptoms (whether they be as obvious as pain, or as subtle as less quality sleep or digestion). This is a difficult goal – and in my opinion isn't one we need to be concerned with. So why do I use that example then? Well…
Do we only eat well until we notice a change, and then stop and wait for the change to go away before eating well again? Do we only go to the dentist when the pain is so bad we can't handle it, then wait until that happens again to return? Elan Kaufman – See why to choose KCDH As Your Child's New Dental Home. How about learning piano or guitar – do we learn how to strum a couple chords and then stop, wait until we forget how, then re-learn, hoping to one day flawlessly perform "stairway to heaven"? Or do we KNOW that it takes more diligence, more work, and more awareness than that?
Then why do we treat our spines (and therefore our nervous system) that way? We go to the Chiropractor, and then don't return until we're in so much pain we can't tie our own shoelaces. It's time to take some initiative and improve our situation. It's time to start taking the "moving well" out of eating, moving and thinking well a little more seriously. Being in the gym is one way to do that. Seeing a Chiropractor is the other. They do not replace each other and both are crucial.
I've read literature showing Chiropractic improves high jumping, judo athletes grip strength, blood pressure, insulin sensitivity, our ability to withstand mental stress, and obviously, our range of motion (and therefore how our body moves). It's inspiring and frustrating (chiropractic controlled trials are hard to perform and therefore are hard to come across). Once you've read the literature and learned the physiological mechanisms for said changes, it makes sense.
This is how most perceive Chiropractic works:
This is what actually happens:
– Courtesy of James Chestnut DC CCWP
So, the effect goes from the joint, all the way up to the brain. It communicates and moves on to numerous other structures in the nervous system and eventually the body. So along with the improvement in how the joint is moving we experience lowered stress levels, improvements in heart health measurements (cholesterol, blood pressure, heart rate, vasodilation to the organs, etc.), a greater ability to learn (improved concentration), and tons of other benefits – all because your joints are moving the way they should be.
I've seen countless people come in grouchy, and leave far happier. I've seen that happen on the Chiropractic table and I've seen it happen after training in the gym. It comes from activating movement-pleasure pathways from the joints, to the brain. When you receive that message through exercise, it is far more "clear" if your spine has access to its' full range of motion. Chiropractors (and some other manual therapists) are experts at providing you that range of motion. The frequency with which you can benefit from an adjustment could be as little as once a week (after an initial phase of care), or as infrequent as once every 6 weeks. Gauge your performance, your sleep, your digestion, your range of motion and even your mental clarity and mood – they're all indications of your health status, and how your body is treating you. It takes some trial and error, but you'll find anabolic steroid that works well for you. For most living a fairly healthy lifestyle, this ends up being once every 2 weeks to once every 4 weeks.
For everything in life (and health) we live in a dynamic balance. When we get cold we shiver, when we're warm we sweat, when exercise or stress demands it, we raise our blood pressure. Everything has a reason and everything has an effect. Our ability to accommodate and then recover from stressors best demonstrates our level of health. Chiropractic adjustments help us to address, and recover from the demands of our environment.
So as much as I love seeing people go from grimace to smile, I enjoy even more hearing that people are sleeping well, loving life and performing well at their hobbies. Take care of yourself. Eat well. Spend time with your loved ones. Exercise with purpose. And see your Chiropractor. Don't live life from back twinge to back twinge – let me help you go from good to great – It would be my pleasure.
In health,
Dr. Adam Ball
BHSc MScACN DC NMC
If you'd like to book an appointment yourself, Click Here. If you'd like to speak with me, send me an email through the contact form, or call the office at (705) 222-7213.


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Well I promised another book contest and this one I'm sure you will all love.
I just got a copy from Karon Phillips Goodman, it's her new book entitled "Pursued by the Shepherd....Every Woman's Journey from Lost to Found"
At one time or another, most of us have tried to find our way by ourselves. Like sheep that wander away from the shepherd, we wind up in undesirable pastures and in need of rescue.
Whether misguided by mistakes, lost in muddled priorities, or alone in denial, we all need encouragement, understanding, and guidance on reuniting with God. Though we don't always follow, the Lord waits patiently for us to answer His call. He will come after us every time, and the reunion leaves us forever changed.
If you have wandered, you can rest assured that God, in His grace, mercy, faithfulness, and unfailing love, will find you. If you're feeling weary, know that you can have a renewed sense of purpose, energy, and devotion. Karon Phillips Goodman reveals why you are never so lost that you won't be Pursued by the Shepherd. Each chapter includes questions for personal reflection or group study.
The winner for this amazing book is Eden at "An Air Force Family". Congratulations!
Eden, send me an email with your addy again please :)


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ABERCROMBIE & FITCH Green Tank Top Shirt Womens Size S
Sold for:
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- Sold Date:
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ABERCROMBIE & FITCH Olive Green Tank Top Size Small (women's).Item Specifics; Condition; New with tags. A brand new item, unused and unworn item in the original packaging Color; Olive Green. Sleeve; Sleeveless Brand; Abercrombie & Fitch. Size Type; Petites. Material; 100% cotton. Size (women's) Large. Pattern; Solids. Style; Tank/cami. 100% guarantee Authentic. Thin cotton stretch camisol. Very soft & cute. We offer combined shipping when multiple items are purchased. We accept payments through Paypal only. Please feel free to ask questions if you have any, regarding any of our item listed, before making purchases. Abercrombie & Fitch tank is stamped 'irregular', we cannot find anything wrong with tank. Thanks for shopping with us and please visit us again.


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Skip to comments.Obama's strategy for Libya, explained at last! (parody)
Posted on 03/23/2011 12:19:02 PM PDT by NailInACoffin
After spending weeks hard at work playing golf, picking basketball teams, vacationing in Rio and admiring himself in the mirror, Obama has finally decided what to do about Libya. Or not. It depends on what the U.N. and the "steering committee" tell Obama. A liberal at the watercooler explains.
YouTube link
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.


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Two whorish girlfriends in fishnets ride hard cock one after another
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Man (30) seriously injured in early morning attack in Crumlin
A 30-year-old man has been seriously injured in a callous early morning attack in Dublin city.
The young man was injured when he was attacked by a gang of men on Captains Road in Crumlin at around 1.30am.
The man was taken to St James Hospital where he is understood to be in a serious condition.
It is understood the man's injuries include extensive injuries to his face.
Gardai are investigating the incident and they have appealed for witnesses to come forward.


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Week #003
The Herbata Journey
I originally wrote this on December 23, but I took the weekend off and spent time with the family. Therefore, this is coming out today. Week #004 will come out ideally Friday! :)
Tis' the season to be jolly, falalala la la la!
How's it going guys? How was your week?
In the last seven days the team got some awesome things done, ran into a hurdle, jumped it with grace, and had our heads down managing our day jobs with our Herbata responsibilities.
Story of the Week
Last sunday we all got together and shot our first video for Herbata subscribers. I've posted some behind the scenes of that on my Instagram Stories & my Snapchat. Mike worked his cinematic magic and we filmed some super awesome things.
Yesterday we got notice from one of our tea suppliers that they were out of stock of one of the four teas for our January box. Heartbreaking… :( Fortunately we had a backup plan for the teas and sampled more incase of an unforeseen circumstance and we able to gracefully swap out that tea without any sacrifice.
However, unfortunately we weren't able to shoot footage for the replacement tea. Because quality is super important to us, we're not able to launch our first subscriber video in the format we imagined. Luckily we're creative and are finding ways to still provide a valuable video on time.
Announcement of the Week
The 15% Off on the Three Month Gift Subscription is ending next week on New Year's Day so hurry if you want to experience everything we have planned over the rest of winter and the beginning of the spring! :)
Thought of the Week
This is beginning to become a routine topic for me, but it's so important and continually manifests itself for me over various ways; Focus on shit that actually matters. I've been deeply focused and working on re-launching a new Herbata website by moving away from Shopify and onto our own system for a few reasons: cost, flexibility, customer-experience.
Without getting too technical, after a conversation with my friend, Clayton Ray, I discovered that most of the work I had planned out for myself was actually useless and would have resulted in over-engineering.
Focus on what matters and do the work that has to get done, not just the work you want to do.
Merry Christmas, guys! I wish you all health & happiness. :)


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April 9, 2017
11:00 am- 5:00 pm
" The Sunday Market is a place to slow your pace and just spend the afternoon shopping, eating, socializing, and finding local opportunities to serve. We have carefully selected unique vendors creating a neighborly environment full of talented businesses we have right here in the greater Nashville area. We hope to fill your soul on a Sunday afternoon."
– Caroline Ritter, Director, The Sunday Market
Aubrey Hyde Home will be there with a new line of wrapping paper and notecards along with one-of-a-kind hand dyed goods. See you there!
The Copper Fox Gallery
Saturday, March 25, 2017
11:00 am - 2:00 pm
The Copper Fox Gallery in Leiper's Fork, TN will be hosting a joint trunk show with Aubrey Hyde Home and Glen & Effie Jewelry made by the talented Brooke Griffith. Spend a lovely Spring Saturday with us!
About G &E: Glen & Effie was formed out of respect for the detail and craftsmanship of earlier generations. Hand crafting each unique accessory has allowed Brooke to tell stories with relics from history—reviving forgotten and old pieces into designs that will remain just as timeless as they have been in the past.
Women's Entrepreneurship Day @ Jackalope Brewing Co.
Wednesday November 16, 2016 4:00- 8:00 pm
Stop by Jackalope Brewing Co. to grab a pint, support female-owned brands and get a jump start on holiday shopping (yikes)!
August 30, 2015 11:00 am- 6:00 pm
It's going to be a great Sunday. Stop by the Main House (where my studio is also located) on August 30th. I'll have new designs and products! Come out and support these other great shops too!
Hey, Los Angeles! Stop on by Chinatown's Fifth Floor Gallery for the Otis Alumni Pop-Up Shop! Launch party from 3:00-5:00 on Saturday July 25th. Runs through August 29th. I'll have two 24" x 24" color blast linen pillows with leather trim on display. Portion of proceeds support the Alumni Scholarship Fund! And I will be taking over @otisalumni Instagram account from July 20- July 24 leading up the event. Check it out!
June 6, 2015 10am- 5pm
I'll be at Porter Flea this year! My first time debuting my goods here. A bit anxious but excited to finally get my wears in front of these fine Nashville folks! Stop by, say hi and let me know what you think! Cheers.
April 6, 2015
So wonderful to have my pillows featured on 12th & Broad 'Style Scout' series written by Flock South's Stephanie Van Hoesen. Thank you to the lovely home store, Cadeau Nashville, for putting my pillows on your 'shelves'!
Here's the link!
July 14. 2014
Picture:: Happiness Blog
I was honored to share my happy places with my friend Julia and her daughter for her blog Picture::Happiness.


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Local equipment turns grain into fuels (Prince Albert Daily Herald)

 - Rob Simpson manages its business with the hopes of greater environmental awareness world. Simpson, the owner and operator of Welding Below Zero, makes equipment for turning grain into biodiesel fuels.

 New energy law: Ethanol debate rages over corn crops (USA Today)
- A broad energy law signed by President Bush this month calls for a significant increase in the corn-based ethanol and other biofuels to combat global warming and reduce American dependence on imported oil. But it will not be without a cost.

 Why the era of cheap food is over (The Christian Science Monitor via Yahoo! News)
- Food prices throughout the world hit record levels in 2006, and all indications are that will increase this year, and for the foreseeable future.

 Philippine Royal Oil & Alternative Energy, Inc. Officially Certified with Philippines Department of Energy Confirmed ... (Business Wire via Yahoo!7 Finance)
- Philippines Royal Alternative Energy & Oil Co., Inc. ( "PhilOil") (OTC: PROL) reports its certification by the Philippines Department of Energy has been confirmed and registered on December 28, 2007, Philippines SEC Registration No. CS200720015.

 Wheat prices climb to record above $10 per bushel as strong demand depletes world supply (AG Weekly)
- 12/17/07 NEW YORK - Wheat prices rose above $ bushel 10 for the first time Monday, between the concerns that strong global demand could result in a shortage of cereals in the United States next year - worsening food price inflation.

 Osceola farmers partner in biofuel research (Cadillac News)

 - Osceola County farmers may be the key to the development of a new industry biofuels in Michigan. Farmers in Eaton and Osceola counties are participating in a research project to determine the feasibility of collecting canola in Michigan for biodiesel fuel and other products.

 Technology to toast and roast (Akron Beacon Journal)
- Seattle Times With the New Year upon us, our thoughts turn bubble and that was the year.

 Green energy funds could be headed to Jacksonville (Jacksonville Daily Record)
- A University of North Florida research group, and three other Jacksonville companies are among more than 200 candidates vying were $ 37.5 million in grant money to develop alternative energy technologies.

 Alternative oilseed crop potential rises in Nebraska (Tri-State Neighbor)
- LINCOLN, Neb. -- Oilseed crops and Nebraska simply sense. The production of oil seed crops such as sunflower, canola and camelina not only produce oil for human consumption, but can be used for the production of biofuels and byproducts to cattle.

 A year's worth of changes in 2007 (Everett Herald)
- From weather to politics, 2007 was a year of events. Here's looking back at the past 12 2008:

|mySitevote.com news headlines
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|Adsense revenue sharing


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The the Forward Channel
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Iran Ups Reward for Death of Salman Rushdie after Anti-Islam Muhammad Film: Now USD 3.3 Million
Iran Ups Reward for Death of Salman Rushdie after Anti-Islam Muhammad Film: Now USD 3.3 Million
A semi-official religious foundation in Iran has increased a reward it had offered for the killing of British author Salman Rushdie from USD 2.8 million to USD 3.3 million, following protests throughout the Muslim world over alleged insults to the Prophet Muhammad. Hardline Iranian newspapers reported over the weekend that the move appeared to be linked to protests over an amateurish anti-Islam film, which crowds in some 20 countries said drove them to defend their faith—in some cases by attacking US embassies and killing US diplomats. The 15 Khordad Foundation will reportedly pay the higher reward to whoever acts on the 1989 fatwa, or religious edict, issued by Iran's late leader Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, which called for the death of Rushdie, who wrote "The Satanic Verses", because the novel was considered blasphemous. The decision to boost the original reward, offered in the 1990s, came just a day before the US magazine The New Yorker published Rushdie's a 13-page essay, titled 'The disappeared - how the fatwa changed a writer's life.'
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Effects of Pitavastatin on Monocyte, Endothelial Dysfunction and HDL-C in Subjects With Metabolic Syndrome (CAPITAIN)
This study has been completed.
Kowa Research Europe
ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier:
First Posted: May 10, 2012
Last Update Posted: July 22, 2013
Information provided by (Responsible Party):
Kowa Research Europe
- Full Text View
- Tabular View
- No Study Results Posted
- Disclaimer
- How to Read a Study Record
No Study Results Posted on ClinicalTrials.gov for this Study
|Study Status:
|This study has been completed.
|Study Completion Date:
|June 2012
|Primary Completion Date:
|June 2012 (Final data collection date for primary outcome measure)
Publications automatically indexed to this study by ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier (NCT Number):
Meikle PJ, Wong G, Tan R, Giral P, Robillard P, Orsoni A, Hounslow N, Magliano DJ, Shaw JE, Curran JE, Blangero J, Kingwell BA, Chapman MJ. Statin action favors normalization of the plasma lipidome in the atherogenic mixed dyslipidemia of MetS: potential relevance to statin-associated dysglycemia. J Lipid Res. 2015 Dec;56(12):2381-92. doi: 10.1194/jlr.P061143. Epub 2015 Oct 20.
Chapman MJ, Orsoni A, Robillard P, Hounslow N, Sponseller CA, Giral P. Effect of high-dose pitavastatin on glucose homeostasis in patients at elevated risk of new-onset diabetes: insights from the CAPITAIN and PREVAIL-US studies. Curr Med Res Opin. 2014 May;30(5):775-84. doi: 10.1185/03007995.2013.874989. Epub 2014 Jan 10.


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I'm heading off on a solo adventure from Canada to Asia for six weeks in January 2017. I land in Bangkok on January 10. I wish to spend a week or so in both Bali and Chiang Mai/Pai. Can anyone offer suggestions why I should do one before the other? I will be looking for low cost (hostel) housing too. I'm open to suggestions for that as well. Main purposes of the trip? I'm interested in the culture, history and geography - but mostly I'm going to have fun and relax. Looking forward to your responses.
Recent ActivityView all Asia activity »
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Jan 2017: Which first? Bali or ChiangMai/Pai
I'm heading off on a solo adventure from Canada to Asia for six weeks in January 2017. I land in Bangkok on January 10. I wish to spend a week or so in both Bali and Chiang Mai/Pai. Can anyone offer suggestions why I should do one before the other? I will be looking for low cost (hostel) housing too. I'm open to suggestions for that as well. Main purposes of the trip? I'm interested in the culture, history and geography - but mostly I'm going to have fun and relax. Looking forward to your responses.
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As you are landing in Bangkok it would seem to make senses to visit Chiang Mai and Pai first. The burning season in the north usually starts sometime in Feb so to avoid any chance of the smoke, I certainly would not leave it until the end of your trip. Plenty of cheap flights ( or even the overnight train) between Bangkok and CM. I assume you will be spending a few days in Bangkok first?
Is there any particular reason you are visiting Pai? A nice enough place, but it wouldn't be my first choice after CM. Chiang Dao, Chiang Rai or Mai Hong Sorn would make great add ons to CM.
Chiang Mai is awash with decent, cheap places to stay. www. hostelworld.com . If you have a specific budget in mind for accomodation, it may enable people to suggest specific places.
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I wouldn't expect much difference in weather patterns in Bali between January and February. You'll get some rain and likely some heavy storms, especially on the west coast.
I would, however, bear in mind that Lunar New Year is January 28. It isn't widely celebrated in Indonesia (except among the Chinese community) but it's a heavily traveled weekend and accommodations will be tight.
There's budget accommodation all over Bali. For the beach I'd suggest you concentrate on the areas north of Seminyak (Petitenget, Batu Belig, Brawa, Batu Bolong). I would avoid Kuta and Sunset Road all together.
Lunar New Year is celebrated in different ways throughout Southeast Asia. You might want to look into that when deciding where you want to be at that time.
I'd also suggest that you consider spending some time in Central Java -- Yogyakarta and the Borobudur area. The Phoenix in Yogya may be on the high end of your budget, but it's a lovely boutique hotel right in the center of town. At Borobudur, the Manohara is a good value, steps from the monument.
Fly AirAsia whenever you can.
In Ubud and the countryside outside of town you'll find plenty of lovely choices. Near town I like the neighborhoods of Nyuh Kuning and Penestanan. Out of town, I'm especially fond of the Alam Sari.
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Thank you crellston and marmot. Apologies for the delay responding. A good friend and I spent the last two weeks in November in Peru - enjoying much of what Peru had to offer. Now, the planning for Thailand starts in earnest. Thank you both for your advice. I have decided to follow your suggestions. I will, shortly after arrival in Bangkok, transfer up to Chiang Mai. I will probably take an overnight bus. They sound like an experience! Likely spend a few days in CM before shifting over to Pai. Why Pai, you ask? When I was in Thailand in May, everyone I talked with suggested a visit to Pai. I can certainly adjust my schedule. The north of Thailand seems to offer so much. Unsure of how (or when) I will return to Bangkok at this time. Maybe the train?
I have booked a flight from BKK to Bali on January 23, with a return on February 1. marmot, thank your suggestions for accommodation and cautions about the lunar new year. Bali seems to be full of interesting things for me to explore and experience. Following my return from Bali I hope to visit Angor Wat - and will probably bus there and back from Bangkok unless other suggestions prevail.
My last 10 days or so I will head to southern Thailand for some more serious rest and relaxation.
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"transfer up to Chiang Mai. I will probably take an overnight bus. They sound like an experience! " an experience? Certainly. A good one? No! Night buses in Asia have a terrible track record in Asia generally and in Thailand the drivers are renowned for popping amphtetamines to stay awake - not the best recipe for an incident free trip.
The train is a nice way to go. To Cm would be better as arriving at dawn in tnegreat scenery of the north can be very special. Returning to Bangkok by air would mean you could transfer to your Bali flight without having to return to the city
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I far prefer bali to the north of Thailand, esp Chiangmai Mai
2/3 bali. 1/3 cm
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<<<Following my return from Bali I hope to visit Angor Wat - and will probably bus there and back from Bangkok unless other suggestions prevail.>>>
For a bit of an adventure, there are two 3rd Class trains a day from Bangkok [Hualamphong] to Aranyapraphet. The morning train is the best one to catch From Aranyapraphet it's a 10 minute tuk tuk ride to the Cambodian border at Poipet. From the Cambodian side of the border you can continue to Siam Reap by taxi or bus.
The journey has its challenges, but a bit of preparation will ease the way.
Here are the details from http://www.seat61.com/Cambodia.htm#Siem Reap website...
"Step 1: travel from Bangkok to Aranyaprathet by train, leaving Bangkok Hualamphong at 05:55 daily & arriving Aranyaprathet 11:35.
The fare is just 48 baht (about £1 or $1.60), no reservation necessary, simply turn up and buy a ticket at the station on the day - yes, the ticket office will be open, no, it can't sell out!
They may offer you a combined train+bus ticket to Siem Reap, but just buy the train ticket to stay flexible with onward transport.
Bangkok to Aranyaprathet is 255 km, 159 miles. The train is 3rd class only, but it's clean, spacious and it's a really pleasant and enjoyable ride, clickety clacking along with a breeze blowing through the open window.
Step 2: Take a tuk-tuk from Aranyaprathet station to Poipet...
You'll find plenty of tuk-tuks waiting at the station when the train arrives. It's only a 10-minute 6-kilometre (3.8 mile) ride from Aranyaprathet to the Cambodian border at Poipet, and a tuk-tuk will cost 80-100 baht depending on your bargaining skills.
If you haven't already bought a Cambodian e-visa (www.evisa.gov.kh), tuk-tuk drivers may try and take you to a travel agency to buy a Cambodian visa at inflated prices. This is no real problem, just say 'No' and insist that they take you direct to the border point and they will do so. They may tell you it's an 'official' visa office, and official-looking people may even ask to 'see' your passport or visa, just ignore them and repeat that you want to be taken to the official border post, and you'll be taken there.
The official Cambodian visa office is after Thai exit formalities, between the Thai and Cambodian border posts. So it's really very simple: If you haven't had your passport stamped by a Thai border guard at the Thai border post and passed through the 'Angkor' arch (see the photos of these below), it ain't the official Cambodian visa office! The official visa cost is $30.
Step 3: Simply walk across the border into Cambodia...
The border is open 07:00-20:00, and Cambodian visas can be bought there if you haven't bought a Cambodian e-visa beforehand.
First get your passport stamped at the Thai side, then walk on for 100 yards under the Angkor - Welcome to Cambodia archway to the Cambodian border post to buy your Cambodian visa, have your fingerprints scanned and your passport stamped.
Be careful with your valuables when crossing the border, just in case there are pickpockets around. The whole process should only take around 30 minutes, but at busy times it can take an hour, sometimes more.
At the exit from Poipet border post onto the big roundabout, you will see (or be guided to) an official free transit bus to the 'Poipet Tourist Passenger International Terminal' 10 minutes down the road from where all the share taxis and buses leave for Siem Reap or Battambang or Phnom Penh. This shuttle bus (and the man with the official badge who guides you to it) is legitimate.
Step 4: Take a bus, minivan or share taxi from Poipet to Siem Reap...
The 152 km (95 miles) should take around 2½ hours by share taxi or 3 hours by bus now that the highway has been improved. Prices are posted at the ticket counter at the Poipet Tourist Passenger International Terminal.
A shared taxi costs $12 for a seat or $48 for the whole car. A bus costs $9, minivan $9. You may also be approached by taxi drivers outside the border post, perhaps $40 for a taxi all the way to Siem Reap."
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My departure date is close - only 2 days away. Thank you to all who have offered sage advice. LancasterLad, I have printed the advice given above and will take it with me. Still unsure how I will get back and forth from Bangkok to Siem Reap, but I feel more comfortable with your information.
crellston, I hear you comments about the night bus. The train is a possibility, maybe both ways or maybe just on the return journey to Bangkok.
I have kept my itinerary very loose. Besides the flight to Bali and two nights at a hostel in Chiang Mai, I have nothing else booked. This goes against all my previous travel experience - but I'm hoping it all turns out well.
Thanks again
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Have fun!
FWIW, I left my (strong!) planning preferences aside for a trip once, and I had a wonderful experience. And when I returned, I found my preferences perfectly safe -- I've been nurturing them ever since.
Maybe you saw my trip report on Bali? It might have some useful ideas for you...
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Bali is fairly slow right now, but if you're arriving around Lunar New Year (January 27-30) you should make a hotel reservation in advance.
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Thanks kja and marmot. I will read your trip report before departure kja. Thank you for your words of encouragement. My arrival in Bali is on the afternoon of February 1. It is most likely that I will be staying in hostels rather than hotels, and will likely book my first night or two near the beaches on the southern part of the island prior to leaving Bangkok. I am usually such a planner. This trip is quite outside my comfort zone. I will trust my instincts and kja.
Many thanks
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Uh oh -- my by-the-seat-of-my-pants trip was to northern China. I planned my time in Bali rather carefully. Sorry to have misled -- but -- GOOD news! -- I don't think obsessive planning is needed, or necessarily particularly effective, for Bali. Go and enjoy!
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PS: For Bali, I can't recommend "my" driver -- Amik -- highly enough. You can contact him through the Alam Indah hotel group:
If he isn't available (and do ask for him if you can!), I'm sure anyone this group recommends would be reliable.
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Thanks kja for your suggestions. When I went to view your trip report I realized that I had already read it (the Bali part) a few months ago. It was nice to re-read.
marmot, I thank you again for your good advice. My first night on Bali will be February 1. I am thinking I will get low cost lodging in Seminyak or Kuta and make decisions about further nights after that.
Will you be on the island when I visit? If you are amenable, I would love to connect with you and have a cup of tea while we enjoy the view. Please let me know if this might work. Thank you.
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I'm glad you enjoyed my trip report!
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tC, I don't think you'll have any problem finding budget accommodation on February 1. If you do a little research and pre-book you won't have to settle for anything substandard. Unless you're looking for raucous nightlife I would avoid the Kuta/Legian area, though this is where you'd get the cheapest prices. And I would definitely avoid anything on Sunset Road .
If you concentrate on Seminyak and Petitenget you'll find a range of budget choices with lots of restaurants and shops, but not quite so crazy as Kuta.
The beach area north of Seminyak which is loosely referred to as Canggu is full of young, hip hostels, b&b's, cafes etc. which can be both cheap and charming. This area would include Batu Belig, Brawa and Batu Bolong.
The westcoast is mostly bigwave, surfer beaches. During the rainy season, a lot of trash gets washed up on beach. You might also look at Sanur which is a good swimming beach and a more homey, quiet atmosphere.
Alternately, you could skip the beach altogether and head directly to the Ubud area. It depends what you're looking for.
I believe I'll be in Bali when you're here. I live in Petitenget and would be pleased to get together if you're in the neighborhood.
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DVCAM is a professional digital 6 mm. It delivers the superior image quality that DV compression affords and is thus ideal for both high-quality editing and low-cost acquisition.
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Welcome to Battalion of Gamers
We are an online co-op campaign and multiplayer matchmaking clan. We are recruiting for Company of Heroes 2, Insurgency, and League of Legends. Should you be interested in joining our clan we encourage you to submit an application. We have a 32 slot Insurgency server and a 25 slot TeamSpeak server.


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16454 Wells Fargo Avenue, Lake Los Angeles, CA 93591
- Sold
- Closed
- Single Family
- 3 Beds
- 2 Full Baths
- 1,402 Sq. Ft.
- 2 Car Garage
16454 Wells Fargo Avenue, Lake Los Angeles, CA 93591 View this property at 16454 Wells Fargo Avenue, Lake Los Angeles, CA 93591
16454 Wells Fargo Avenue Lake Los Angeles CA 93591
Map & Location
Street View
Property Description
This Modernized Traditional style Lake Los Angeles Home has been beautifully upgraded featuring New Custom two-tone exterior & interior paint, new tile in kitchen and bathrooms , new shag carpet & ceiling fans in bedrooms, new garage door and is turnkey ready. Tiled entry leads to living room with nice brick layered wood-burning fireplace. The kitchen displays, New upgraded tile, New granite counter tops, white cabinets, stainless steel appliances, and dining area. All bedrooms feature new shag carpet, and ceiling fans. Restrooms display white cabinets and have been modernized with decorative mirrors. Exterior display beautiful new sod in front yard, new exterior paint, and new garage door. The backyard displays
Full Property Details for 16454 Wells Fargo Avenue
- Sold For: $180,250
- Status: Closed
- Type: Single Family
- Added: 394 day(s) ago
Property History
- 16454 Wells Fargo Avenue, Lake Los Angeles, CA
- Sold at $180,250 on 12/7/16
- Listed at $179,990 on 10/19/16
- Number of Fireplaces: 1
- Total Bathrooms: 2
- Full Bathrooms: 2
- Total Bedrooms: 3
Additional Information
- Pool Description: No Pool
- Garage: Yes
- Garage Spaces: 2
- County: Los Angeles
- Driving Directions: Head East on Palmdale Blvd, turn left onto 160th, On Ave P-8 turn right, quick left onto 163rd, quick right onto Stagecoach, quick left onto 164th St, Right on Wells Fargo, destination will be on right
School Information
- School District: Other
Heating & Cooling
- Cooling Type: Central Air Conditioning
- Heating Type: Central Furnace
- Sewer: Septic Tank
- Water: Public, Water District
Structural Information
- Stories/Levels: One Level
- Stories Description: One Level
- Square Feet: 1,402
- Year Built: 1986
Lot Features
- Lot Size (Acres): 0.5
- Zoning: LCRA20000*
- Lot Description: Rectangular Lot Shape
Financial Considerations
- Terms: Cash, Conventional, FHA Loan, VA Loan
Listed by Marro, Esperanza Marroquin - CA DRE: 01385504
Sold by Sunshine Realty & Associates, Deborah Jacobs - CA DRE: 00965402


text:
Back in the old days (all of about 4+ yrs ago) when I had a video production business, most of our business came from big electronics manufactures and national retailers. Their videos where for online use only as effectively a video addition to the still photos but with voice over and showing the products in use.
On of the main remits was that they should be on a white background just like the photos which were shot for the websites or manufactures. We had to make sure that when the video was played on the website that the white background of the video was the same as the page background which is normally absolutely white.
Now getting a pure white background in a photo is easy because you can cut out the object and place it over a white layer in Photoshop but video is not one image, its 25 images a second for several minutes, that's thousands of images, so you wont be cutting them out.
You could use rotoscoping or even chromakey but that can create other problems and it will be more difficult in either the filming or post production, so really the best solution is to shoot it right in the first place.
Getting a really white background whilst filming can be quite tricky, we used to put items on a turntable with a white top and then use a lot of light to blast out the shadows. The problem with this is that you can "over light" the products trying to make the background to look really white or blow out shadows which can make it look worse..
A couple of years ago, I was making some videos for shaving equipment which I was selling and I had the same problem. I wanted to show the items with me holding and in some cases taking them apart and putting them back together again on a white background but the shadows from my hands and the products themselves looked made them look ugly.
And this is where I had the idea of using a light table for video presentations. I wanted something that was big enough to sit at and lay out the products on. After looking around at professional light boxes I had the idea to use a glass table and a piece perspex with a light under it.
I bought a glass table new from eBay for £99 but now if you look you can see secondhand ones starting at £0.99, so if your lucky you can get one for a few pounds or dollars. The most expensive item was the perspex but if you get a 2mm thick sheet the price would be about half of the £40 ($60) I paid for a 4mm thick sheet.
When you videoing, you want expose your shot so that its just not quite peaking out on the whites. You can then boost it in the editing so that the white is then just maxed out without blowing out the rest of the video.
The best thing about doing it this way it that you can get rid of nearly all the shadows, something which is very difficult to do with topside lighting only.
So watch the video and see how it looks in practice.
{Video Transcript}
If you'd like to present small items like these in video but make them look like they were photo shopped onto a white background but still in video like this this, this or this.
Then in this video I'll show you how you can get this lit from beneath effect and make your videos and products really stand out.
Now there are lots videos out on YouTube where people show off the latest products, maybe the latest toys, maybe jewellery collections, perfume collections, Electronics, camera's, you name it anything small and that can be easily handled.
They normally do it on something like table top or a white background or something similar but very few people will actually do it on this under lit background here and this can give it a very distinctive look as we can see.
When we zoom in on these with another camera and we can see the actual item and if I take my hands out the way this looks like it's been photo-shopped. You could almost say that it was a Photoshop image and someone just cut these out and just put them onto a white background but of course this is not a white background that's been photo-shopped electronically, this is all in video so you can pick this thing up and you can show it.
This really super white clean background is lit from top, beneath, left and right was no shadows, there's no sort of dark areas but let's see what this looks like if we were just light it normally without the underneath lighting.
Now we've got the lighting off and we can see we've got the top down lighting but this is creating awful lot of Shadows now and although the actual product and everything is still well lit, it doesn't sort of shine and glow like it did before when we had the lighting coming up from below.
The glass bottle, the light shone through it made the red liquid in red glass really sort of come to life the beads as well, really sort of look much nicer with the light shining through them.
The Skylander toy with the base that glows effectively orange when you put it near a light source that doesn't glow as much, it doesn't look as good and you've got a lot of shadows as well.
If you look at my hands here you could see my hands are moving above everything and you can see the shadows even if they are in the shot and the products themselves cast shadows take my hand out of the way and you can see the shadow of the Skylander there.
When it's lit from below you don't get the shadows anywhere near as much, in fact you can virtually eliminate them and this is where you can get that really nice white clean background effect and obviously keep things looking really well lit. They lit from not only above the sides but also from underneath.
Now in order to get this lit from below background you going to need something thats probably like a light box. Now a professional light box of the size which we were just showing will be very expensive but with a little bit of working around and finding stuff probably in the house you can actually make this for a lot less.
First thing you actually need is a glass table and i have one here. Its a glass dining table, if I lift this up you can see this glass table has got painted black border underneath here but the middle part here is see-through and it's not tinted, It is clear glass and this sort of thing you can pick up for a roundabout £10-15 on eBay which is about $20, so they are really rather cheap used.
The second thing you need is then a Perspex sheet now this is the acrylic sheet which I'm using which is also called Perspex and this was cut to size for me by a local sign makers. The stuff you want to use is the white Perspex which is semi-transparent and used for making signs because you want obviously the light to shine through it if you get stuff which is solid Then it will just be a white piece of plastic and the light will not show through.
The third thing you need is a light source, this is the light I'm using its a twin strip light, it's the twin five foot 58W strip light which I use for my illuminating my backgrounds, green screens etc,
Basically all we do here is we lay this on the floor underneath the table. So we put this under here like this.
The reason for having a strip light rather than a studio light is that the strip light will light from one end of the table to the other evenly and also across here, so you get then an even light all the way across table.
If you use spotlight or studio light under the middle somewhere or even two of them you probably find you end up with pools of light where it will be very bright and then it will begin to get dimmer around it which might not look quite so good, so a long strip by underneath will work a lot better.
Now once we have our light under the table and turned on all we need to do now is actually put our piece of Perspex on top off the table like so and there we are, that covers up the glass area.
Then we've got here a light on a boom pole, it's an LED battery powered light and I can turn this around and then illuminate down from above. If you've got ceiling lights you might be able to do the same, if you have a studio light you might be able to bring it in from somewhere but I find these little lights here provide just enough light to actually illuminate what's actually on the table and this is pretty much it.
All we need is the glass table, piece of Perspex and a light underneath and then we can get this under lit white background ready to actually start doing your videos.
So we've come to the end up another video and I hope you found it useful and informative and he did and you know someone else who might find it useful don't forget to share it with them also don't forget to rate and subscribe and leave any comments below in the box and go on over to video-alchemy.com and join our newsletter now.
My name is Paul Shillito and this has been a Video Alchemy production so until the next one see you later… Byeee


text:
ACParadise Network: American Cosplay Paradise American Cosplay Experience American Cosplay Snapshots
Cosplayer Lake_fairy > Costume of Sakura (Tsubasa: Reservoir Chronicle)
- Most Recent Photo
- 04-01-2013
- Series
- Tsubasa: Reservoir Chronicle
- Character
- Sakura
- Special Variation:
- Clow Country
- Year Completed:
- Construction Difficulty:
- Difficult
- Costume worn at:
- Dragon*Con 2008
About this Costume
- Construction Details:
This costume was a LOT of work. Making costumes for other people is always so much harder than making a costume for yourself. Everything has to be done right, and you can't just leave out the closures and wriggle into it..... I used a pattern for the pants and for the top, but patterned the skirt on my own. All of the dark pink detailing was sewn on, and all of the coins were painted and sewn on by hand. This costume was made a long time ago, so I don't remember everything that went into it, but it was one of the most labor intensive costumes I have ever worked on.
- Personal Thoughts:
- This was one of my first commissions. It took quite a while to get all of the pieces finished and put together, but I was so proud of it once it got done. I always wanted to make one for myself, but I never got around to it.
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