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The Old Stone Fort
Primary Contact: Carle Kopecky 145 Fort Road Schoharie, NY 12157 Website Seven historic buildings at a Revolutionary War Battle Site.
Primary Contact: Carle Kopecky 145 Fort Road Schoharie, NY 12157 Website Seven historic buildings at a Revolutionary War Battle Site.
COME ON IN AND ENJOY THE EXTREMELY SPACIOUS AND GRASSY SITES. The Cooperstown KOA is a great base camp for visiting the Baseball Hall of Fame, but there's a lot more to do around this quiet campground in the foothills … Continued
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Historic hotel, restaurant, and garden shop Contact Name: Ron Ketelsen
Howe Caverns – Year-Round Family Attraction – Exciting, Fun Cave Adventure Underground Tours, Café, Gift shops, Motel 255 Discovery Drive, Howes Cave, NY 12092 518-296-8900 Cave Tours & Outdoor Adventure Park. Get Ready to say "Howe Fun" both underground & … Continued
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subset: commoncrawl


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Doctor Who fans are in for an odd treat with this ludicrously weird and awesome Japanese parody video...
Because sometimes finding a thing on the internet is its own reward:
HOORAY for two great tastes that taste great together! Doctor Who and Japanese Super Sentai television! Oh, and the Sonic Screw Sword, obviously...
Not only is it a fun nod toward Doctor Who, but it accurately portrays many of those old Japanese Super Sentai and later Mighty Morphin Power Rangers-type action programs. Hats off to you, good sirs!
Would you watch the sh*t out of a Japanese Doctor Who show?
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text: Hello, I'm booked on the Mayan Frontier Horseback Riding Tour in Cozumel, and was wondering if anyone has anything to report about it? I was trying to look online and figure out more about it, and I stumbled across a website that mentioned the Buena Vista Ranch, and there were a few reviews saying that the horses were mistreated and neglected, left in the sun with no water, and with open untreated wounds. Is this the same place that the Disney shore excursions use? If you've done it before, did the horses seem unhappy?? I could never forgive myself I went and supported the company. I don't think I'd be able to participate if I felt the horses were treated badly. Hopefully it's a different tour, because that was the one activity that my girlfriend was really excited about! I'd hate to cancel it. Please let me know. Thanks a lot, Katy


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CBN Assigned Over N1trn To Fund Real Sector
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), has set aside over N1 trillion to promote lending to the real sector of the economy with a view to stimulating economic activities in the country. The Governor of the CBN, Mr. Godwin Emefiele, disclosed this at the 21st Seminar for Finance Correspondents and Business Editors in Ibadan, Oyo State capital, yesterday.
Mr. Emefiele who spoke through the Deputy Governor, Corporate Services, Mr. Adebayo Adelabu, justified the massive interventions of the apex bank in financing the real sector of the economy, saying that the current trend in global central banking has gone beyond the core functions of monetary policy management.
Infrastructure interventions
His said, "At the CBN, our approach to real sector development is three-pronged. Our interventions centre around agriculture, Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises, MSMEs and Infrastructure interventions.
"The interventions included the N300 billion Real Sector Support Facility RSSF; the N220 billion Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises Development Fund, MSMEDF; the N213 billion Nigeria Electricity Market Stabilisation Fund; N500 billion Non-Oil Export Stimulation Facility; and the N75 billion Nigeria Incentive Based Risk Sharing for Agricultural Lending, NIRSAL."
According to him, the principle behind the various interventions were to provide operators in the real sector single-interests loans of between 6-9 per cent at longer tenors, with alternative collaterals, which were the major hindrances to Deposit Money Banks' lending to the sectors.
He cited the policy of the Ghanaian government in which it was legislated that all members of the public both in government employment and those employed in the private sector must wear locally made "Ankara", "Kente" or "Tulip" , at least two days in a week.
According to him, that policy played a major role in revamping the Ghanaian textile industry, so much that that country's textile industry now imports large volume of its products to Nigeria and other markets in the region.


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Items where Division is "07 Faculty of Psychology > Departement Psychologie > Ehemalige Einheiten Psychologie > Social and Affective Neuroscience (Knoch)"
Number of items at this level: 32.
Baumgartner, T. and Gianotti, L. R. and Knoch, D.. (2013) Who is honest and why : baseline activation in anterior insula predicts inter-individual differences in deceptive behavior. Biological psychology, Vol. 94, H. 1. S. 192-197.
Baumgartner, T. and Schiller, B. and Hill, C. and Knoch, D.. (2013) Impartiality in humans is predicted by brain structure of dorsomedial prefrontal cortex. NeuroImage, Vol. 81, H. 1. S. 317-324.
Eisenegger, Christoph and Pedroni, Andreas and Rieskamp, Jörg and Zehnder, Christian and Ebstein, Richard and Fehr, Ernst and Knoch, Daria. (2013) DAT1 Polymorphism Determines L-DOPA Effects on Learning about Others' Prosociality. PLoS one, Vol. 8, H. 7 , e67820.
Langer, Nicolas and Pedroni, Andreas and Jäncke, Lutz. (2013) The problem of thresholding in small-world network analysis. PloS one, Vol. 8, H. 1 , e53199.
Nash, Kyle and Schiller, Bastian and Gianotti, Lorena R. R. and Baumgartner, Thomas and Knoch, Daria. (2013) Electrophysiological Indices of Response Inhibition in a Go/NoGo Task Predict Self-Control in a Social Context. PloS one, 8 (11). e79462.
Pedroni, Andreas and Eisenegger, Christoph and Hartmann, Matthias N. and Fischbacher, Urs and Knoch, Daria. (2013) Dopaminergic stimulation increases selfish behavior in the absence of punishment threat. Psychopharmacology, Vol. 231, no. 1. S. 135-141.
Baumgartner, T. and Gotte, L. and Gugler, R. and Fehr, E.. (2012) The mentalizing network orchestrates the impact of parochial altruism on social norm enforcement. Human brain mapping, Vol. 33, Iss. 6. S. 1452-1469.
Langer, Nicolas and Pedroni, Andreas and Gianotti, Lorena R. R. and Hänggi, Jürgen and Knoch, Daria and Jäncke, Lutz. (2012) Functional brain network efficiency predicts intelligence. Human brain mapping : a journal devoted to functional neuroanatomy and neuroimaging, Vol. 33, No. 6 , S. 1393–1406.
Lutz, Kai and Pedroni, Andreas and Nadig, Karin and Luechinger, Roger and Jäncke, Lutz. (2012) The rewarding value of good motor performance in the context of monetary incentives. Neuropsychologia, Vol. 50, H. 8. S. 1739-1747.
Baumgartner, T. and Knoch, D. and Hotz, P. and Eisenegger, C. and Fehr, E.. (2011) Dorsolateral and ventromedial prefrontal cortex orchestrate normative choice. Nature neuroscience, Vol. 14. S. 1468-1474.
Herwig, U. and Bruhl, A. B. and Viebke, M. C. and Scholz, R. W. and Knoch, D. and Siegrist, M.. (2011) Neural correlates of evaluating hazards of high risk. Brain research : international multi-disciplinary journal devoted to fundamental research in the brain sciences, Vol. 1400. S. 78-86.
Pedroni, Andreas and Langer, Nicolas and Koenig, Thomas and Allemand, Michael and Jäncke, Lutz. (2011) Electroencephalographic topography measures of experienced utility. Journal of neuroscience : the official journal of the Society for Neuroscience, Vol. 31, H. 29. S. 10474-80.
Eisenegger, C. and Knoch, D. and Ebstein, RP. and Gianotti, LR. and Sándor, PS. and Fehr, E.. (2010) Dopamine Receptor D4 Polymorphism Predicts the Effect of L-DOPA on Gambling Behavior. Biological Psychiatry, Vol. 67, H. 8. S. 702-706.
Figner, B. and Knoch, D. . and Johnson, E. J. and Krosch, AR. and Lisanby, SH. and Fehr, E. and Weber, EU.. (2010) Lateral prefrontal cortex and self-control in intertemporal choice. Nature neuroscience, Vol. 13, H. 5. S. 538-539.
Herwig, U. and Bruhl, A. B. and Kaffenberger, T. and Baumgartner, T. and Boeker, H. and Jancke, L.. (2010) Neural correlates of 'pessimistic' attitude in depression. Psychological medicine : a journal for research in psychiatry and the allied sciences, Vol. 40, Iss. 5. S. 789-800.
Kaffenberger, T. and Bruhl, A. B. and Baumgartner, T. and Jancke, L. and Herwig, U.. (2010) Negative bias of processing ambiguously cued emotional stimuli. NeuroReport, Vol. 21, H. 9. S. 601-605.
Knoch, D. and Gianotti, LR. and Baumgartner, T. Fehr. (2010) A neural marker of costly punishment behavior. Psychological science, Vol. 21, H. 3 , S. 337–342.
Baumgartner, T. and Fischbacher, U. and Feierabend, A. and Lutz, K. and Fehr, E.. (2009) The neural circuitry of a broken promise. Neuron, Vol. 64, H. 5. S. 756-70.
Gianotti, LR. and Knoch, D. and Faber, PL. and Lehmann, D. and Pascual-Marqui, RD. and Diezi, C. and Schoch, C. and Eisenegger, C. and Fehr, E.. (2009) Tonic activity level in the right prefrontal cortex predicts individuals' risk taking. Psychological Science, Vol. 20, H. 1. S. 33-38.
Jäncke, Lutz and Cheetham, Marcus and Baumgartner, Thomas. (2009) Virtual reality and the role of the prefrontal cortex in adults and children. Frontiers in neuroscience, Vol. 3, H. 1. S. 52-59.
Knoch, D. and Schneider, F. and Schunk, D. and Hohmann, M. and Fehr, E.. (2009) Disrupting the prefrontal cortex diminishes the human ability to build a good reputation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, Vol. 106, No. 49 , S. 20895–20899.
Baumgartner, T. and Heinrichs, M. and Vonlanthen, A. and Fischbacher, U. and Fehr, E.. (2008) Oxytocin shapes the neural circuitry of trust and trust adaptation in humans. Neuron, Vol. 58, H. 4. S. 639-50.
Baumgartner, Thomas and Speck, Dominique and Wettstein, Denise and Masnari, Ornella and Beeli, Gian and Jäncke, Lutz. (2008) Feeling present in arousing virtual reality worlds : prefrontal brain regions differentially orchestrate presence experience in adults and children. Frontiers in human neuroscience, Vol. 2. S. 8.
Beeli, G. and Casutt, G. and Baumgartner, T. and Jancke, L.. (2008) Modulating presence and impulsiveness by external stimulation of the brain. Behavioral and brain functions, Vol. 4. S. 33.
Kaffenberger, T. and Baumgartner, T. and Koeneke, S. and Jancke, L. and Herwig, U.. (2008) Chronometric features of processing unpleasant stimuli : a functional MRI-based transcranial magnetic stimulation study. NeuroReport, Vol. 19, H. 7. S. 777-81.
Baumgartner, T. and Willi, M. and Jancke, L.. (2007) Modulation of corticospinal activity by strong emotions evoked by pictures and classical music : a transcranial magnetic stimulation study. NeuroReport, Vol. 18, H. 3. S. 261-265.
Herwig, U. and Baumgartner, T. and Kaffenberger, T. and Bruhl, A. and Kottlow, M. and Schreiter-Gasser, U. and Abler, B. and Jancke, L. and Rufer, M.. (2007) Modulation of anticipatory emotion and perception processing by cognitive control. NeuroImage : a journal of brain function, Vol. 37, H. 2. S. 652-662.
Herwig, U. and Kaffenberger, T. and Baumgartner, T. and Jancke, L.. (2007) Neural correlates of a 'pessimistic' attitude when anticipating events of unknown emotional valence. NeuroImage : a journal of brain function, Vol. 34, H. 2. S. 848-858.
Baumgartner, T. and Esslen, M. and Jancke, L.. (2006) From emotion perception to emotion experience : emotions evoked by pictures and classical music. International journal of psychophysiology, Vol. 60, H. 1. S. 34-43.
Baumgartner, T. and Valko, L. and Esslen, M. and Jancke, L.. (2006) Neural correlate of spatial presence in an arousing and noninteractive virtual reality : an EEG and psychophysiology study. Cyberpsychology & behavior : the impact of the Internet, Multi-Media & virtual reality on behavior & society, Vol. 9, H. 1. S. 30-45.
Baumgartner, Thomas and Lutz, Kai and Schmidt, Conny F. and Jäncke, Lutz. (2006) The emotional power of music: how music enhances the feeling of affective pictures. Brain research, 1075 (1). pp. 151-164.
Heinrichs, M. and Baumgartner, T. and Kirschbaum, C. and Ehlert, U.. (2003) Social support and oxytocin interact to suppress cortisol and subjective responses to psychosocial stress. Biological psychiatry : the journal of the Society of Biological Psychiatry, Vol. 54, H. 12. S. 1389-1398.


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A survey of 1,000 hunters and anglers found that 83 percent support the Environmental Protection Agency's Waters of the U.S. (WOTUS) rules and 75 percent "agreed that it provided 'important safeguards for drinking water supplies, fish and wildlife habitat and public health,'" Whitney Forman-Cook reports for Agri-Pulse. The survey was conducted by Public Opinion Strategies, a Republican research firm, and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research, a Democrat affiliated firm, for the National Wildlife Federation.
"Eighty-two percent of the sportsmen respondents said water quality protections could be compatible with economic prosperity," Forman-Cook writes. "Seventy-seven percent of Republican respondents said they were supportive, and 77 percent of self-described Tea Party voters—who made up 49 percent of the 1,000 respondents—indicated support. Seventy-nine percent of independents and 97 percent of Democrats said they supported the rule as well."
Regionally, 86 percent of respondents from the Northeast support the rule, 85 percent from the Midwest, 81 percent from the South and 79 percent from the West, Forman-Cook writes. "In terms of gender and the rural/urban divide: 87 percent of female and 81 percent of male anglers and hunters surveyed as supporters, and 77 percent of rural sportsmen concurred." (Read more)
Thursday, July 23, 2015
Majority of hunters, anglers support Waters of the U.S. rules, bipartisan survey finds
Written by Tim Mandell Posted at 7/23/2015 12:40:00 PM
Labels: agriculture, environment, farmers, farming, fishing, groundwater, hunting, land use, water, water pollution, wetlands
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Since I'm a woman, and I have several women in my life who I love so, so much, and have many, many more who I really like, I feel it's important that I at least acknowledge International Woman's Day.
Women, we're wonderful. We have so many amazing qualities. We're the care takers of the world. Women like Mother Theresa stand amongst us. Women who nurse the poor and the dying without even a second thought. We have this amazing ability to grow little humans inside our bodies. And then we have even greater strength to push them out. We can love them with everything in our being, more than anything in the world. We can sacrifice things important to us for the ones we love, and not lose any sleep over it.
Women, we're brilliant. We can multitask like nobody's business. We can do 5 things at once while also thinking of 5 other things that we need to do. We can decorate cupcakes and set tables and braid hair and paint our finger nails with tiny little brushes. We can design our wardrobes. We can take little brushes and draw perfectly straight to outline our eyes and lips. We can spend an hour doing our hair. We can run a multimillion dollar company (not me, but some women) and raise children too. We can commute in four inch stilettos.
We're graceful and sensual and (oh, come on...we are. How many men do you know could be described as *graceful*) passionate.
We can change our minds in a second. Four times over. We can talk about our periods and our uterus' and that bump on our boob without embarrassment. We can relive our birth stories 50 times over. We can laugh through our tears. We can tell the same story to the same person five times and not remember. We can lose our keys inside our purse. We can get lost on the way home.
We can hold a grudge for years. We can remember things someone did like 10 years ago and bring it up like it was yesterday. And then act all surprised when no one else remembers it, like it wasn't important. *Eye roll* Of course it was important. Oh wait...never mind. We do not do this. Ever.
We can change the subject really, really fast.
I'm proud to be a woman. I'm so glad that I'm a woman in Canada, because the opportunities that I have are far beyond that of many other countries. I have an education. I can vote. I have a management position. I'm a single mother and I'm not shunned or written off by society. I can walk down the street without fear of walking down the *wrong* street or sitting in the *wrong* bus and *asking* to be raped and killed. There are women around the world who dream of these things I think of consider the norm. They're not luxuries to me. They are just the way things are. It breaks my heart that baby girls are still left by the side of the road to die, simply because they're girls. It breaks my heart that a little girl was shot on a school bus, simply because she wanted an education. It breaks my heart that women need to be covered up with only their eyes showing, so they don't tempt men. It breaks my heart that women are raped and then blamed for bringing it on.
Women, we have come so far, but we have so, so far to go.
We have to remember that as women, we need to be each other's advocate. We need to stand up for each other instead of tear each other down. We need to give women credit where credit is due. We need to assist making each other stronger and successful in whatever we dream possible.
And really, we shouldn't need a day to remind us of this. Every day should be International Woman's Day, just like if you're in love, every day should be Valentines Day (blah, blah, blah).
Think of how much more we could accomplish if we worked together.
Go give a woman you love a hug :)


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As we get into "God's Commission to Pastors" we are going to examine it through the passages in Ezekiel 34. First let's define our terms.
What is a "commission"?
Commission — 1. the act of committing or giving in charge. 2. an authoritative order, charge, or direction. 3. authority granted for a particular action or function. 18. to authorize, send on a mission. [Source Random House Collegiate Dictionary]
What is a Pastor?
7462 ra`ah {raw-aw'}
a primitive root; TWOT – 2185,2186; v
1) to pasture, tend, graze, feed 1a) (Qal) 1a1) to tend, pasture 1a1a) to shepherd 1a1b) of ruler, teacher (fig) 1a1c) of people as flock (fig) 1a1d) shepherd, herdsman (subst) 1a2) to feed, graze 1a2a) of cows, sheep etc (literal) 1a2b) of idolater, Israel as flock (fig) 1b) (Hiphil) shepherd, shepherdess
The same word, "ra'ah" is also translated in the old testament as "shepherd". A pastor then is simply a Shepherd boy, or a Shepherd girl!
A good shepherd knows their sheep. You could say they have a nose for sheep. They know the smell of lanolin and of manure. A good shepherd is involved with their flocks. They know:
What grasses to feed their sheep.
What grasses to avoid.
What sicknesses afflict sheep and how to cure them.
What injuries are and how to bind them.
They also know the animals that prey on their sheep.
A good shepherd lays down his life for the sheep.
A shepherd certainly knows the difference between a sheep and a lion, wolf, or a bear. I suspect, as a boy, David had a silhouette chart at the foot of his bed with, "this is a sheep, this is a wolf, this is a lion, and this is a bear."
Sadly today the church lacks such basic discernment. When we say a Christian can't have a devil, we overlook that a devil may have a Christian and we allow wolves to hang off of our sheep's necks and limbs.
Where do people go for help in America today? (USA Today Poll)
50% look to their doctors or primary care physicians
24% rely on magazines and newspapers
7% look to television or radio for their answers
5% seek friends or relatives for advice
5% look to self help books
4% count on school courses to guide them
2% go to their pharmacists for help
Not 1% is mentioned as seeking help from their spiritual leaders!
You wouldn't take you car to a plummer to fix it. Nor would you read an electrician's manual to completely rebuild a vintage automobile! No, you go to a mechanic!
Sin is separation on at least one of three levels:
1. Separation from God, His Word, His Love.
2. Separation from yourself.
3. Separation from others.
Today the church is as sick as the world! Hospital beds are as filled with Christians as they are with non-Christians. Our psyche wards are no different. There is no statistical difference between the saved and the lost when it comes to disease, yet God clearly indicates in scripture a connection between sin and sicknesses. Who are we going to send our sheep to if we want them well?!
If you are a Mercedes, then God is the manufacturer and the church and its pastors are THE authorized dealers. We cannot be afraid, ashamed nor ashamed of our calling!
In another disturbing development, according to H.B. London in his book "Pastors at Risk", 80% of church growth in America today is caused by people moving from one church to another. "Heaven, We have a problem!"
The problem in the church today is that Pastors have abandoned their flocks, even in their disease. Today Pastors are more likely to refer their sheep to doctors and psychologists than they are to heal and deliver them. These two professions are in many ways the result of the failure of the Christian Church and its leadership to fulfill its God-given decree in pastoral care.
Jer 23:2 "Therefore thus saith the LORD God of Israel against the pastors that feed my people; Ye have scattered my flock, and driven them away, and have not visited them: "
God has a bone to pick with the pastors of His sheep!
Eze 34:10 Thus saith the Lord GOD; Behold, I am against the shepherds; and I will require my flock at their hand
The Problem with Pastors as Outlined in the OT
Eze 34:2 Son of man, prophesy against the shepherds of Israel, prophesy, and say unto them, Thus saith the Lord GOD unto the shepherds; Woe be to the shepherds of Israel that do feed themselves! should not the shepherds feed the flocks?
How many of us realize that when God says "Woe" it is said with intensity? God is a little hot here. "Well you serve an angry God!" Yes I do!!
God is angry because it means something to him that you do not waste away and die in your disease and insanity! His anger is born of his love for you and I. You mean something to God and he is ready to fight for your life!
The question is — Will you fight for your life?? Will we fight for the lives of God's children? Lets continue….
Eze 34:3 Ye eat the fat, and ye clothe you with the wool, ye kill them that are fed: but ye feed not the flock.
Eze 34:4 The diseased have ye not strengthened, neither have ye healed that which was sick, neither have ye bound up that which was broken, neither have ye brought again that which was driven away, neither have ye sought that which was lost; but with force and with cruelty have ye ruled them.
Eze 34:5 And they were scattered, because there is no shepherd: and they became meat to all the beasts of the field, when they were scattered.
Eze 34:6 My sheep wandered through all the mountains, and upon every high hill: yea, my flock was scattered upon all the face of the earth, and none did search or seek after them. Eze 34:7 Therefore, ye shepherds, hear the word of the LORD;"
This is the point in time-space at which you and I find ourselves; pastors have abdicated their God-given authority to the doctors and psychologists of today. It is time we take back the responsibility we have neglected. It is time we brush off the mantle we have thrown down, and it is time we once again walk in the fullness that God's calling demands so that God's sheep can be taken care of in righteousness and in truth!
Have you ever run across sheep who fit this description?
"Ye feed not the flock"
Feed them what? Purina Sheep Chow?
Jeremiah 3:15, "I will give you pastors according to mine heart, which shall feed you with knowledge and understanding,"
What kind of knowledge?
Heb 5:12 For when for the time ye ought to be teachers, ye have need that one teach you again which be the first principles of the oracles of God; and are become such as have need of milk, and not of strong meat. Heb 5:13 For every one that useth milk is unskilful in the word of righteousness: for he is a babe.
There is nothing wrong with being a babe. As a matter of fact, I release you to be who you are. If you are a babe, do not be ashamed of it.
Heb 5:14 But strong meat belongeth to them that are of full age, even those who by reason of use [application of the Word] have their senses exercised to discern both good and evil.
The devil will accuse you soon enough on all that you cannot do. I release you in Jesus' name to do what you CAN do without drivenness or shame or performance.
What is so important about this knowledge, discerning good and evil?
"My people are destroyed for lack of knowledge" (Hosea4:6). And again, "My people are gone into captivity because they have no knowledge", (Isaiah 5:13).
Why is this knowledge important?
Because a long time ago, in a place far away, there were two trees….. When Adam and Eve partook of the tree of the knowledge of good and evil, they knew evil, as Adam knew Eve and bore a son. Evil came into them and became one with them. Prior to eating of the tree they did not need to know evil, because they were protected from it. It was irrelevant to their lives. Now that mankind has taken evil into his very being, he needs to discern what it is and how to get it back out again into the dry place from whence it came. This is needed for man to regain his peace, liberty, sanity and health.
"The diseased have ye not strengthened"
If about 80% of all disease has a spiritual root with various psychological and biological manifestations, and it does. Who again I ask, are we going to send the diseased to, if we are to give account for their spiritual well-being? The Church is stuck with the deal. Statistically today, the church is as sick as the world!
The pastors of mankind have lost their way and they cannot see it. Without the recognition of spiritual roots and the need to take responsibility for sin and iniquities, our leaders are blind leaders of the blind. Often the diseased are left to figure their problem out for themselves and many are accused in the midst of it by the devil, others and themselves.
"Neither have ye healed that which was sick"
James 5:14-16 gives clear instruction.
"Is any sick among you? let him call for the elders of the church; and let them pray over him, anointing him with oil in the name of the Lord: And the prayer of faith shall save the sick, and the Lord shall raise him up; and if he have committed sins, they shall be forgiven him. Confess your faults one to another, and pray one for another that you may be healed. The effectual fervent prayer of a righteous man availeth much."
Healing is not a random act of divine kindness. It is an expectation.
"Neither have ye bound up that which was broken"
Have you ever been involved in healing someone's broken heart? It is a wonderful a rich experience that should be common to pastors! Today a pastor's role is viewed as marrying and burying and being able to drive the church bus safely in between! God help us!!
2Tim 2:24-26 is a classic text on binding up that which is broken.
Imagine coming upon a bird that has a broken wing. You cannot just run up to it and help it. It will go into "fight or flight". You may know how to fix its wing, or help it, but it doesn't know that. People are like that too. We cannot just run up to them and make them all better. For many, they have turned for help so many times, and have been wounded further, and examining the issues of their heart one more time, is just one time too many. Here is how the Bible instructs us to be in this situation….
"And the servant of the Lord must not strive; but be gentle unto all men, apt to teach, patient, In meekness instructing those that oppose themselves; if God peradventure will give them repentance to the acknowledging of the truth; And that they may recover themselves out of the snare of the devil, who are taken captive by him at his will."
"And they were scattered, because there is no shepherd"
"My sheep wandered through all the mountains"
Again I mention the research given by H.B. London listing the leading cause of church growth in America today is people moving from one church to another? This is symptomatic of the restlessness and drivenness of a scattered and disillusioned sheepfold. After a while, sheep that are not being healed and delivered seek out other modalities to restore the peace they need. New Age and alternative medical practitioners are among the main beneficiaries of wandering sheep.
A Day of Pastoral Reckoning
Jer 23:1-4 Woe be unto the pastors that destroy and scatter the sheep of my pasture! saith the LORD….I will visit upon you the evil of your doings, And I will set up shepherds over them which shall feed them: and they shall fear no more, nor be dismayed, neither shall they be lacking, saith the LORD.
Eze 34:8-10 Thus saith the Lord GOD; Behold, I am against the shepherds; and I will require my flock at their hand, and cause them to cease from feeding the flock; neither shall the shepherds feed themselves any more; {it is a sad commentary when we find the seminaries of today encouraging the pastors of tomorrow to find large flocks that are more profitable} for I will deliver my flock from their mouth, that they may not be meat for them.
Accountability for Keeping the Commission
We are not responsible for any person's healing. Urgency to heal a person is a snare, do not get urgent over someone's healing.
God will make us give account for how we exercise ourselves to the fulfilling of the mandate given us. To whom much is given, much is required. He tells our sheep to "Obey them that have the rule over you, and submit yourselves: for they watch for your souls, as they that must give account, that they may do it with joy," in Hebrews 13:17.
God gives an awesome responsibility to pastors and has declared that WE be the healers of the sick in His name and in His power. He has ordained that we be the ones who bind up the wounds and heal the broken hearted. For this reason He has established the equipping of the saints for ministry. For this reason He has given us the gifts of discerning of spirits, of healing and of miracles, that His flock may be tended, healed and delivered.
Are you a pastor? You have just been given your job description by the creator of all flesh and the Father of all spirits! Our sheepfolds are to be places of safety. That is our job. It is our Father's Commission; the charge given to us.
Do not be afraid of it, for the power and authority of God is with us to walk in it and cause His sheep to lie down safely. As we get into God's Commission to Believers we will see that God has an exciting expectation for believers which has some of the same elements!


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It's funny how bands can influence their followers in such a way that they become completely dedicated to everything the group says or does. This can be a great thing for a band's financial and commercial success, but it can invoke hatred from outsiders due to the fan's collective stupidity, ignorance, and mindless devotion to anything the band creates.
The following article does not represent the opinions of Spike TV or its affiliates.
9. The Grateful Dead
Source: Steve Eason/Getty Images
I'm gonna go ahead and say now that as a band, The Grateful Dead isn't as bad as everybody makes them out to be. They do have some really amazing songs. Blues For Allah is a great f***ing record, and it's not their fault their fans act like every single one of their lives sets is the greatest thing since the iPhone. I feel like the fans kinda turned the band in a cartoon cliché of what they originally were back in the '60s. It was like the Deadhead community was growing like the plague and the band had no control over it. Freakin' longhairs.
I guess people just hate hippies. Sorry, Jerry.
8. Fall Out Boy
Source: Paul Hawthorne/Getty Images
Even though this band made their millions and are now officially falling of the pop map, I still want to point out how dumb and naive their followers are.
How can you be a fan a band that tries to make fun of pop clichés when they are the f***ing clichés themselves? I can't deny that these talentless assclowns made a buttload of money pretty much overnight, but I find it disgusting that they wrap themselves in a fanbase of mindless teenage girls. If I was a parent and my teenage daughter had a poster of Pete Wentz on her wall, I would throw her in a box and ship her to Burma.
You can toss their fans in the "teeny bopper" category, but these goth-poppers actually think they're non-conforming by listening to these dickless goobers.
7. Tokio Hotel
Source: Daniele Venturelli/Getty Images
When I wrote my year-end Top 10 Worst Music Videos of 2008 list I of course threw a Tokio Hotel video in at the #4 spot. After featuring the list, I got an endless stream of comments and personal messages from their 12-year-old fans telling me how stupid I am for putting them on the list. What kind of Kool-Aid are these fruity emo f***s feeding these girls?
First off, their music is just plain horrible. All of their songs are watered-down melodic pop/rock with the worst lyrics I have ever heard in my life. They're like a goth boy band who grew up on David Hasselhoff and Bauhaus. I just hope these little girls understand that in two years time they will be spending weeks on end trying to figure out why they even bought into this band's music in the first. I guarantee Tokio Hotel will be on an episode of "Where Are They Now" in the very near future. Guaranteed!
6. Madonna
Source: Kevin Mazur/Getty Images
If it wasn't for fat chicks and gay men, Madonna's career would have been over a long time ago. (This goes for Britney Spears as well). Seriously, when was the last time this women actually put out a half-decent album? Her fans are so braindead that they will buy into any new persona Madonna reinvents herself as.
"I'm a slut. No, wait, I'm political. No. No, wait, I'm a washed-up 50-year-old disco queen wearing really revealing spandex."
It's unbelievable to think that these dumbasses went ahead and paid upwards of $300 a ticket to see her perform live. Can you believe that they helped Madonna gross $281.6 million worth of tickets for her Sticky and Sweet tour last year? If you want to see an old women in spandex rolling around on stage just go watch my grandma get down at her retirement home aerobics class in Miami. It's free!
5. The Dave Matthews Band
Source: Paul Natkin/Getty Images
This goes out to every douchey frat guy that used a Dave Matthews song to get laid in college.
Dave Matthews fans are like a cleaner, richer, and cheesier version of a Deadhead. They eat up every single thing the band puts out and drop ridiculous sums of money to see the band play the same set list show after show. I also find it annoying that they always refer to the band as "Dave."
"Did you see Dave this weekend? It was a killer set, man. They closed the show with 'Crash' and 'Tripping Billies.' Unreal, bra!"
Blow me. Why do most rich white collar Americans always have the worst taste in music? Farm Aid would be out of business if they stopped listening though.
(All respects to Willie Nelson BTW…)
4. Backstreet Boys, New Kids, Tiffany, etc. (Teeny Boppers)
Source: Bob Berg/Getty Images
The thing that sucks about these fans the most is that they really have no musical taste whatsoever. It's pretty much known that they don't give two s**ts about the music they purchase in the millions. All they care about is the image of the artist. That's all they're infatuated with. The Backstreet Boys could have farted into a microphone for the entirety of one of their CDs and it still would have gone multiplatinum. Just as long as they look young, wholesome, and cute doing it, they would continue to have success with their zombie-like fanbase.
3. Insane Clown Posse
Source: Soren McCarty/Getty Images
I've said a lot of bad things about this band and their followers and it ain't gonna stop now.
I do understand that ICP tries to stand up for the little man, but their fans really don't help the situation by acting like a gang of scumbags. They're loud, ignorant, and loyal. This combination of elements makes for a very dangerous situation. The idea that these fans devote themselves to a group that walks around in face paint and raps about Faygo soda pop is some side-splitting s**t.
Again, what the f**k is a Juggalo and what purpose does he serve? I would give every drop of blood in my body to see a Juggalo try to rep ICP on the streets of East LA.
2. Phish
Source: Tim Mosenfelder/Contributor/Getty Images
I'm gonna have to start out by saying that this band is one of the most overrated acts in the history of music. The fact that people follow this band all around the world so they can catch every single note Phish creates is simply unbelievable.
On of my biggest problems with their fans is the fact that they're mostly rich white kids from New England trying to grow dreadlocks and live the so-called "hippie lifestyle." Do me a favor and take a count of all the Range Rovers in the parking lot the next time you catch one of their shows. On second thought, skip the show.
The other thing that drives me insane is the way the fans act like Phish is the only important/relevant band on the planet. They are literally some of the most close-minded people when it comes to music. All they do is completely dedicate themselves to Phish and no one else. How many more times do you really need to listen to "Bounce Around the Room?" Answer: Zero.
They also act like they care about the well-being of the world, when all they really do is eat mushrooms, smoke weed, and drive around the U.S. following Phish. Way to start the revolution, f***ers.
1. Skrewdriver
Source: AFP/Stringer/Gety Images
If you don't know already, Skrewdriver was a British punk rock band formed in a town near Blackpool in 1976 by Ian Stuart Donaldson. They later changed into a skinhead band, and then became one of the first neo-Nazi white power rock bands, playing a big role in the far right Rock Against Communism movement. Dumbasses.
What can I say that hasn't already been said about these assholes? F*** 'em.
As for their fans, I assume most of them are lost little puppy dogs trying to find their place in the world and, for some reason, decided to let this untalented band of Hitler lovers do the talking for them. How in the funk can you follow a band that denies the Holocaust? Grow a brain. If you need attention that bad, just grow a mullet.


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- Attending a spring training session. Trainings take place in April at locations throughout the state. To see the schedule, go to the monitor training schedule page.
- Visit a protected property with an experienced volunteer or staff monitor. Your "mentor" will show you the ropes of monitoring in the field.
- Attend annual spring training sessions. The Land Trust asks that monitors attend training every year to keep their certification current.
Your Tasks as a Monitor
After becoming certified, volunteers are typically asked to monitor one to four protected properties each year sometime during monitoring season (May through October). The Land Trust provides information about your assigned properties, along with monitoring report forms and other information needed to evaluate the current state of the property during the visit.
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Additional Resources
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Go to Monitor Central for more detailed information on monitoring, to read monitor training materials, and download forms
Read the 2017 Volunteer Newsletter
Check out the Stewardship Page
Learn more about conservation easement stewardship by reading "Easement Stewardship: Building Relationships for the Long Run", an article by staff of the Vermont Land Trust
Questions? Contact Kristina Geiger at firstname.lastname@example.com or 651-917-6295


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These items are not for sale and the descriptions, images and prices are for reference purposes only.
A colonial Milton Pottery majolica glazed flagon, the spherical body with raised neck and flared rim with pouring spout, the handle with incised rib detail, lustrous glaze dominated with blue highlights. Height 19 cm
Early Milton pottery bread plate, with majolica glaze; some damage in the form of chips and crack, features early 'Graham & Winter' mark, length 28 cm
A colonial Milton Pottery majolica glazed specimen vase, ovoid body with tall narrow mildly flared neck, traditional mottled glaze and rich blue, brown and green tones, flake chip to rim. Height 20.5 cm
Two Milton Pottery majolica glazed items, a jug with spherical body and a small squat vase with cylinder neck, striking blue, brown and green glaze. The small vase has a small chip to rim. Heights 19.5 cm and 7.5 cm
A New Zealand colonial Milton Pottery bread plate, oval form with relief saying to the rim 'The Appetite Obeys Where Reason Rules', dominant green/blue glaze with a relief radiating wheat sheath pattern to the well, oval ring foot, unmarked. 28.5 cm x 23 c
A pair of terracotta Milton Potteries wall plaques, round with hand painted scenes. Diameter 20.5 cm
A Milton Potteries tile with impressed poppies design, green glaze. Length 15 cm. Width 15 cm
Attributed to Milton Potteries, tall ovoid vase with three shoulder mounted handles, raised on three feet modelled as horse legs, on triangular base, in rich dark majolica glaze (rejoined at legs). 36 cm height
An unmarked square shaped pottery jardiniere, with relief moulded figure decoration and Chinese Tang style glaze. Possibly Milton Potteries. Height 21 cm
Milton Potteries, ewer in mottled tan/green and brown glazes with metal ware by Barninghams of Dunedin. Ref. Gail Henry Pottery in New Zealand p. 2; House and Garden Sept. 2005, 36 cm height
You are about to subscribe to the online version of Carter's Price Guide to Antiques and Collectables.
This site is not an online gallery and the items displayed are not being offered for sale.
Descriptions, images and price ranges are included for reference purposes only.
Please note that we are unable to respond to questions regarding history, valuation or sale of antique and collectable items.
All prices are displayed in Australian Dollars (AUD) including GST.
We do not automatically renew subscriptions, however you will be contacted prior to the expiry date and you may choose to renew if you wish.
We offer library subscriptions at competitive rates for both in-library access via IP address and off-library access through EZproxy software or similar. One subscription covers all libraries in your group.
For library subscription rates please contact our libraries agent.
Ed. Krumins Digital Education Services 192 Gladstone Street South Melbourne VIC 3205


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Social media platforms are the cost-free promotional technique that advertises your business around the clock. It increases the prospects and sales percentage with utmost efficiency resulting in maximized profits.
Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author.While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server.
This new era is filled with techno-freaks who connect well with the digital world. Perking up the venture
is something that all entrepreneurs Dream about and that's the reason you should strive to actualize
In such kind of age, it's mandatory for every business, either small or big, to enter the online space and
understand their customers.
So, you also need to understand the importance of taking up social media marketing as your primary
promotional technique. I know that to make up your mind you need more convincing reasons and that's
why this blog will be proved beneficial for you.
Hey, It's me!
It sounds so awkward when you need to make people recognize yourself. The same awkwardness is felt
to a business which is not popular enough to get recognized. Avoid this situation. Make a brand name.
Promote yourself on the largest and most engaging platforms otherwise it would be like opening a
venture and not telling anyone.
Go with the Flow
Well, if your customers cling to social media around the clock, isn't it a good option to approach them
there? If you won't, your competitors will! So, go with the flow. Get social and elevate your status;
because the customers of today will associate with the companies which digitalize themselves and stay
updated with the newest technology.
Invitation to your Website
See, you have already created your website but there have been very few viewers who visited. So, get
on the social media and use it as a platform to invite your users. Studies show that it is used as one of
the most efficient techniques to promote the website and attract reasonable traffic on it.
Compliment your Authenticity
Social media is a vast gathering of people from around the world. When you recognize and promote
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They won't ponder over a second thought to get associated with you and become your prospect.
Maximize your Sales
When your viewers increase, your prospects increase. Of course, it is customary for people to get
influenced by other users especially on social media. So, when other users will watch your prospects
appreciating you or getting associated with your venture, they themselves will desire to get that place.
Thus, they will too turn themselves into your prospects. Hence, you will increase your sales.
Expand your Reach
There are tons of people out there waiting and waiting for your products/services. They don't even
know about your presence. So, enlighten them through their social media circle that are directly or
indirectly compose your group of loyal prospects.
Earn the Respect
Being on social media platforms and actively socializing, is the key o earn respect in varied ways. Your
prospects compliment your service/product which makes other viewers respect whatever you provide.
Even when some negative review falls over, you can regenerate the respect from that unhappy
customer by promptly replying back with a dignified response of promising the required improvement
and further care. This will also give the rest viewers a reason to respect and acknowledge your venture.
Free, Free, FREE!
Yes! It's absolutely free when you do it the right way. You can advertise your products or services and
even your ideology just for free! No, you don't need to spend on printing huge hoardings or thousand of
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Article By
Marlene Stokes
(NLP Certified Training Coach)


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Ingredients: Simmondsia Chinensis (jojoba) Oil, Prunus Armeniaca (apricot) Oil, Vanilla Planifolia (vanilla), Citrus Aurantium Sinensis (sweet orange)


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Wednesday, March 29, 2017
Today's card is for the challenge at Allsorts, they are wanting cakes etc, so I thought this would be a good stamp to use. I stamped it 3 times and coloured it with copics. The 3 sticker was glittered with KindyGlitz, and I used clear Wink of Stella over the icing.
3 comments:
Great cupcake card Glennis and thanks also for entering into our challenge at ALLSORTS.ReplyDelete
Thanks for your sweet comment on my card. Sadly my mum has left the world but I always make her a card for her grave when we go to Adelaide next month...x ♥[aNNie]
Lovely card and great colours, love the font of the sentiment.ReplyDelete
Thank you for joining our challenge at Allsorts this week.
What a super card for this weeks theme Glennis and I know the sparkle from those pens is super irl. Many thanks for joining us at Allsorts again.ReplyDelete
B x
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Projected Delivery Dates
Projected Delivery Dates
Boeing and Airbus are pushing the limits of knowledge, manufacturing technologies, simulation and error correcting software and materials. (Almost) Everything that involves research takes 10x longer, cost twice as expected and yields at most 50% of expected results.
Tesla is using rather new tech (robots) but the things they were waiting for (dies) were fairly standard. While few weeks off schedule can happen exceptionally, 6 months is not acceptable by any standard. The proof will come soon enough when they will announce having completed the fist betas 2, built entirely (or almost) at Tesla Factory.
So it seems my intuition was not that far off regarding the manufacture of the first "sealable" Model S:
"The first production-prototype Model S body shell has been assembled and the completed car will roll off the line next month. The first saleable cars would be built in January or February, Passin said."
make that "saleable"
It has occurred to me that the 230/160 buyers might have to wait longer than expected. As soon as the first 300 S/P cars hit the road, Tesla will be flooded with orders for them. If the flow reaches about 1000-1500/mo, that does it for 2012. And the more that are on the road, the more orders will arrive. So It might be the end of 2013 before any 230/160s are produced.
Just sayin'.
I said it before, but I'll repeat: Yes, Tesla will start production with the 300s. But they will not hold back production of 230s and 160s until there are no more 300s in the line. That does not make any sense to me. Production of cars with smaller batteries will be delayed compared to those with a 300 mile battery, but in the end they will produce all three in parallel. And that will be no later than Q4 2012.
The cars don't change for ranges, just the batteries.
Once they have data on the options selected by the reservers, they can start building "standard" option cars, and inserting the odd custom job as they come up.
I agree with Volker.Berlin that they will produce the sigs, the 300s and the rest of the 5000-6000 units based on the reservation number and not keep going until ALL the 300s are filled. The right move is to full fill the first 5000-6000 reservation holders with the car they want.
Once they get to production they can produce cars and just install the different battery options. For those that say that the 300s will have the highest gross margin do not understand profitability. Would TM make more money on a plain 300 or a 230 with 10k in upgrades.
I suspect the 300 mi. purchasers would want Tesla to stick to the promise to get them all out before the others. And that's what they'll do--unless they can get 2 assembly lines going in parallel, perhaps.
I don't think there's any way Tesla can afford to open up a second assembly line in the first year or even in the second year.
First year probably not, but second year that might well be possible. Factory is already there and now they know what they need, so it is all about purchasing the equipments. That can't cost much (relatively speaking).
They have one assembly line that can crank 20 000 cars per year in one shift at full speed. So if there is demand, they could go as high as 60 000 Model S per year (not necessarily during 2013, they may need the whole year to ramp it up).
Robots aint cheap! If they do start another line, it'll be for the Model X. I have no idea if they'll be able to Model S & X on the same line.
Somebody inside needs to write a book about Tesla!
Elon, I know you're busy with the Space X stuff and all, but you could hire a writer like Jobs did. Get that book out!
The second and third shift should take care of any "excess demand" for some time, I guess.
Although, if the 'X' is to be released in '13, that would require at least a shift by itself, or the equivalent. Interesting!
Come to think of it, has anyone (Elon, etc.) ever specified that 20,000 is the max one shift on the existing line can handle?
You don't want Elon to feel the pressure to write his bio, believe me :(
I don't want his bio. I want the Tesla story. :)
I suspect the 300 mi. purchasers would want Tesla to stick to the promise to get them all out before the others. (Brian H)
I am not aware that this has been "promised" anywhere. The first cars will be 300's, but nobody ever said that no other cars would be produced until all 300's are delivered. I cannot understand why you keep repeating this -- it seems nonsense to me. (Note: I am trying hard to be polite.)
I bet the Model X rides on the same base the Model S does which can really expedite it's production, delivery and rush it to market!
@Brian H:
As Volker.Berlin notes, no such promise has been made; quite the contrary. Here is the relevant transcript section from the Q2 earnings call:
Dan Galves - Deutsche Bank
I guess maybe how long you expect that to last. Just trying to get a sense of whether it will be the first couple of quarters of production that will be the 300 mile vehicle or is that more or like you know the first 500 to a 1,000?
Elon Musk
Well we've indicated that before yearend we would have the 230 mile in 2012.
Deepak Ahuja
Yes, the Signature series, which is the first 1,000, will be the 300 mile range only, because it's kind of like the fully-loaded vehicle. And then thereafter, if you want the option of the 300 or the 230 mile, and at the very end of next year, sort of early December, it's when we'll be able to start making some of the 160 miles (technical difficulty).
All I know is "the sooner, the better" for starting production of the Model S. There are plenty of "Haters" who have taken notice of this car. They are doing everything within their power to try and cripple Tesla before production begins.
Partial Haters List:
- Oil companies and their heavy investors (natural gas too).
- Anti-Green movement (drill baby drill).
- Other established car companies (still offering 1980s tech).
- Journalistic henchmen (who will write anything if the money is right).
- Let's not forget Cramer (who's been telling everyone to sell-sell-sell).
Tesla - Hurry up. No time to waste.
"As Volker.Berlin notes, no such promise has been made; quite the contrary. Here is the relevant transcript section from the Q2 earnings call:"
Hi Robert,
Thanks, that's very helpful information.
In another thread David expressed the opinion, similiar to Volker's, that Tesla would draw a line where they would cut off additional 2012 300 mile reservations such that some non-300 reservation holders would get their cars before year-end 2012. Its good to see that they are correct and Tesla management intends to be fair about filling reservations.
I think it is likely that both U.S. and Canadian Signature reservations will be filled before the U.S. General Production reservations. So if Tesla hits their stated target of between 5,500 and 6,000 cars in 2012, then I think the line will be drawn between General Production number 4,300 and 4,800 (subtracting out the U.S. & Canadian Signature reservations).
When I was on the factory tour October 2nd, I was talking to one of the production guys on hte main assembly line. He said that the main line capacity is about 20,000 units per year on one shift but they could easily add a shift if needed.
I asked how low it would take to switch tooling from one car model to another. He said that the robots can build two different cars on the same line at the same time. In fact while we were watching some of the robots were switching tools on the fly. They have a tool magazine that they pull from while in action. Many of the stations actually perform more than one operation on hte car with more than one tool.
"I don't want his bio. I want the Tesla story."
You brought up an another interesting thought, whether you intended to or not...
"The story of Tesla" (or whatever they call it) would be a nice sweetener for reservation holders, and the copies could cost only a pittance but be a great PR move.
They could to tell the company story (thus far) or something more specific...
"From configuration to street ready, the story of your Model S"
@David M.
"Tesla - Hurry up. No time to waste."
I'm going to have to disagree with you here. Get the car right. Period.
Granted, they shouldn't dawdle but I don't want them to hurry - at all.
My point is if the government rescinds the loan, there may not even be a car at all.
So Tesla gets a loan which must be paid back. The oil companies get tax breaks which are gifts that don't have to be paid back. Billions in loans to GM. The government even gives tax breaks for purchasing inefficient, three ton vehicles. Yet Tesla is the headline? WOW.
@David M:
The government can't "rescind the loan." It's a contract, and its repayment terms require Tesla to start paying back the loan within one year of the start of production of the Model S and to complete repayment by 2022, with incentives for early repayment. http://www.wired.com/autopia/2009/06/tesla-loan/
Ford and Nissan also received loans under the same Advanced Technology Vehicles Manufacturing plans, for $5.9 billion and $1.6 billion, respectively. Those will need to be paid back, too. Which isn't to say that there aren't other subsidies and tax breaks; of course, Tesla benefits from some of those, too, in particular the $7,500 tax credit. (Yes, it's the buyers who receive those credits in the first instance, but both the buyer and seller benefit.)
"The government can't "rescind the loan." It's a contract,"
I feel a little bit better. However the next time you are in Washington DC, take a look at the Washington Monument (up close). You'll notice that about 1/3 the way up, the stone is a different color. That's because even though construction companies were under a Gov't contract to build the monument, the contract was cancelled for "other priorities". Years later, work was resumed, probably because it was embarrassing to have a half completed monument front and center.
Gov't contracts and obligations get cancelled, changed, and redirected all the time. I wouldn't hang my hat on any Gov't commitment knowing what I currently know. My largest customer just had a Gov't contract cancelled, even though they had delivered exactly what the Gov't requested. Those "other priorities" can be quite unpredictable.
Yes, contracts can be canceled; especially if there is an "out" clause in the contract. But there's always a price to pay.
For a loan, it can only be canceled or "called" as laid out in the contract.
Link below mentions one shift and 83 production Model S's per day. If you extended x 5days x 26wks (june to dec) you would hit the announced 20K per year run rate. Having seen the production facility, I can see where they could do 3 shifts x 7days and hit 60K units per year ... TSLA shorts better cover fast!!!
Aren't we getting a little ahead of ourselves when we start talking about 60k units per year? ;-)
Tesla is bleeding red ink right now. It is important for them to carefully synchronize production with demand. Tesla can't really afford a conventional ad campaign and must rely on less expensive and perhaps less effective means of generating business. Right now reservations have been good, but nevertheless the entire reservation list with no attrition is barely a six month backlong.
Don't get me wrong, I think that after these cars start getting released and get favorable reviews by auto journalists that demand will certainly pick up. However, multiple shifts probably won't be needed for some time. The worst thing that could happen for a startup in the red would be to start building inventory.
Larry, they have stated during one of the earnings reports that the investment for 20k / y / shift has already been done. It was obviously a bit more expensive to do so, but a risk / payoff analysis told them this is the best way to go. They may not need it. But if they do, they could ramp up production really quickly.
For now, orders are mainly from US. Think what will happen when they will start advertising aggressively in Asia. Those people are still passionate by cars (in opposition to US and Europe), become millionaires by the millions each year, are also fascinated by sci-fi, new tech etc. In many places they want to show their social status even if they have to suffer financially. In Japan, the eco culture is very developed. The buzz will spread like fire and I think in 2014 they will strive to produce those 60k cars with a backlog hard to imagine today (at least by americans and europeans - we forgot the excitement of cars, of a booming economy, we look down on luxury cars for moral and social BS, etc.)
I agree they will build to order not to fill inventory ... my point was that at full production they will print money!!!
Hi Nicu,
So do I understand you correctly, it is your opinion that by 2014 Tesla will be striving to run three shifts mainly to accommodate foreign demand?
Yes, that's what I think. They will have orders in excess of production capacity of 60k cars per year (probably the capacity is 60k for both Model S and Model X).
It takes however some time (in this case two-three years I think) for the buzz (meme) to spread. They actually spread like virus, with exponential growth for a while, until a wall is hit (size of the market, realization that the buzz was not founded - I think this is not the case with Tesla, deep economic crisis, 50c for a gallon of gas LOL, global cooling etc.).
One error I'm seeing here: The cars take the assembly line, NOT THE BATTERIES.
I'm betting there will be three battery assembly lines, one for each type. When the batteries are assembled, THEN they get installed in the cars.
Cascade is the same: Tesla starts with just the 300 mile packs, then starts building the 230 packs as well, then the 160 packs last.
No, they can have inventories of all three batteries and install whichever one is required for the specific VIN. Just like installing either a solid roof or a pano roof. Just another option.
Why would the assembly of the different battery packs be so different? From what I understand, the 160 and 230 mile packs use the same cells but just different numbers of them. I assume that means you can almost build a 160 mile pack and either leave it a 160 mile pack or just add more cells to make it a 230 mile version. There really is no need to have separate assemblies for them. The 300 mile pack is again build the same way but sourced from another bin.
As I see it, it will be easy to build the battery pack to order based on the cars coming down the line. No need to create any kind of inventory.
As to the topic of building the higher capacity packs first: I still don't understand how they will keep customers happy if they give out reservation numbers without asking for a battery size and then build/sell them in a different order? I for one really can't afford the larger pack but would be really upset if Tesla decided to not produce mine (P#3872) when my number is up.
Agree. Tesla will start making 230 mile packs in fall 2012. From that point on, every reservation holders who's turn it is, has the choice to pick either 300 miles, 230 miles, or to exercise his one-time deferral. GP holders wanting 160 miles will either pull their pockets a bit deeper or decide to wait.
Thus, it cannot be said that reservation holders that want the 300 mile pack automatically go in front of 230ers or 160ers.
I've got a question about Signature delivery to Europe
. I asked a similar question at the teslamotorsclub forum but didn't get much information there, so I'll try here:
My main question is, when the delivery of the Signature Model S to Europe will start. There is some information in the blog post by George Blankenship:"A Quick Update on Model S", where he says: "a) After the Model S Signature Series, deliveries for North America will continue with the 300 mile batteries, followed by 230 and 160 options later in
b) Delivery of the European left-hand drive Model S is scheduled to begin in late 2012. In mid-2013 we plan to begin delivering the right-hand drive Model S for Europe and Asia."
I always thought this would mean that Signature delivery includes the Model S Signature for Europe followed by the regular productions cars in the U.S.
But then a tesla rep told me, that the Signature Model S in Europe will not be delivered before a substantial part of the regular Model S for the American market have been manufactured.
I have to admit, that I was rather disappointed about this, because I signed up for a Signature reservation only, to be among the first to get a Model S.
He also told me, that they have not decided yet, in which order the queues for the specific countries are going to be delivered. In Europe there are at least 3 different queues: I'm #14 for Model S Signature in Switzerland, but there seems also to be a separate queue for the U.K. and the rest of Europe.
In a worst case scenario this could mean, that my Model S Signature would not be delivered before all other queues are finished.
Does anybody here know more about how many regular Model S will be built before they start manufacturing the Signature Model S for Europe or in which order the queues for the specific countries will be manufactured?
sven, I do not have any more information than you have. And I am afraid, nobody has at this time.
But then a tesla rep told me, that the Signature Model S in Europe will not be delivered before a substantial part of the regular Model S for the American market have been manufactured.
This has been my understanding all along. I understand that it is disappointing for you as a European Signature reservation holder, but it does make sense and it will probably serve you well: Tesla wants to ensure that they fix the Kinderkrankheiten before they start delivering to foreign markets. As mentioned in another thread, I suspect that this may also be one reason why they currently focus their new stores in the Bay area. They want to have the first cars they sell as close to the factory/headquarters as possible, so that any problems can be fixed quickly and effortlessly. This approach helps Tesla as well as the customers.
He also told me, that they have not decided yet, in which order the queues for the specific countries are going to be delivered. In Europe there are at least 3 different queues: I'm #14 for Model S Signature in Switzerland, but there seems also to be a separate queue for the U.K. and the rest of Europe.
I did not know that, but it seems so make sense to have left-steering and right-steering countries in different queues. Maybe they also make a distinction between EUR-countries and non-EUR-countries, but that's speculation.
distinction between EUR-countries and non-EUR-countries
More likely: EU-countries vs. non-EU-countries.
For those that didn't guess it from the context (I did!)...
"Does anybody here know more about how many regular Model S will be built before they start manufacturing the Signature Model S for Europe or in which order the queues for the specific countries will be manufactured?"
Nobody knows. However, they *have* said that they will get left-hand-drive Signatures to Europe in 2012, so I think you can rely on that. You may not be among the first to get a model S, but you will definitely be among the first in the Old World, and not long after the first, so you'll probably still get the same response from everyone around you. Unless they have just visited California. :-)
From what I saw on Oct. 1st, there will be one assembly line for the Model S. Each of the three batteries will use the SAME battery tray. The 160mi batteries don't fill up the tray. Not sure if the 230s fill it up or not. My point being: when it's time to install the battery, nothing much has to change on the production line. The tray gets installed, and cables connected. Tesla can do 160s and 230s whenever they want.
BUT they need to show profitability sooner than later, and there is more margin in a car with the 300mi battery. More options, higher price, more margin = solid, successful company with a healthy balance sheet. Which means there's money for Model X to stay on schedule, more Tesla stores, charging infrastructure initiatives, and possibly for a second shift for the Model S (to take production to 35,000 cars per year), if demand warrants.
Plus they want to show off their top model for the first independent reviews.
@David M
I think your characterization is correct.
Assuming the size and shape of the tray is indeed consistent, installing the battery should be quick. I can't imagine installing the first battery taking much more time than swapping in a second battery.
- 1 minute battery swap capability
Given that Canadian deliveries don't start until 2013, including Sigs, I'd be very surprised if EU got theirs any faster than that.


text:
AN office complex is set for expansion after becoming fully let in just over a year.
Wynyard Park House – on the 700-acre Wynyard Business Park – has attracted so many companies it has filled 10,000 sq ft of space.
Now, the 10,000 sq ft project is set to expand by another 5,000 sq ft after 12 companies moved in over the last year alone.
Matt Johnson, Wynyard Park's development manager, said: "To become fully let and then to be expanding in such a short space of time is an amazing achievement, particularly given the tough economic times that we have been living through of late."
Wynyard Park House provides its resident firms with a package which includes all rent, rates, service charges, furniture, telephone lines and internet connection.
They also have access to a conference area and can also choose to add administration and concierge services.
The building's facilities also include a plasma screen television and fully staffed reception area, the Java Café bistro and the Wynyard Rooms, an exclusive function room venue.
Elizabeth Eddy, director of Velvet Communications which is based within Wynyard Park House, said: "When looking to move into a new commercial workspace, there was only one option I considered in the Tees Valley and that was Wynyard Park.
"Aside from the fact that it has an ideal central location with easy access to the A1 and A19, the quality of the office accommodation can't be beaten and there is a real sense of community here."
The news that Wynyard Park House is fully let comes hot on the heels of Huntsman's recent decision to re-locate to Wynyard Business Park and create a new global business centre.
The company, one of the world's leading chemical companies, has taken a 54,000 sq ft high-quality building at Lion Court and it is also creating 31,000 sq ft of innovative new laboratory space.
Wynyard Park Limited is a joint venture company between JC Musgrave Limited and Helios Properties plc.
The company was formed in 2005 with the purpose of creating the high-class 700-acre mixed use development, Wynyard Park.


text:
It is very noticeable now that Christmas is fast coming, and this is also the case here in the HYIP industry. Some programs are already gearing up for the season and one of those is Benson Union.
I believe that this program is no longer a stranger to us all since it has long been consistent in being one of the Top 5 Most Favorite HYIP Program. This long term program is already 331 days old and is nearing its 1 year mark which is a very good achievement for them. Benson Union is paying 1.2-2.45% daily for 170 business days and has compounding and principal return feature.
They have sent out a newsletter today informing everyone that over $25,000 prizes at to be given away this Christmas as cash deposits this coming Christmas. Considering the huge amount, I just hope it won't affect the program in a big time too.
An awarding of the 3 best representatives will also be given and this will surely go to that individual who received the largest amount of commission from its referrals.
Here is the entire newsletter:
Christmas gifts coming!
Dear investors! Benson Union informs about upcoming deposits giveaway. We changed giveaway policy and decided to gift deposits on Christmas, December 25. There will be over $25,000 prizes! We will also award 3 best representatives of 2012. Stay tuned!


text:
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text:
Jetstar rejects airport safety fears
The budget airline Jetstar says it is completely satisfied with safety at Tasmania's airports.
A former head of the Civil Aviation Safety Authority (CASA), Dick Smith, has attacked a report into a near-collision involving a Jetstar and a Virgin plane at Launceston Airport.
Mr Smith says the report took too long and made no safety recommendations.
But Jetstar's Simon Westaway says that is a matter between Mr Smith and the Transport Safety Bureau.
"Jetstar has, will and is continuing to operate safe, efficient, regular jet services into and out of Launceston Airport," he said.
"We would never not operate into any airfield or any airspace if we weren't completely satisfied with the existing arrangements."
Mr Smith says a meeting with aviation authorities to discuss his concerns will not solve anything.
He believes more than 200 people could have died in 2008 when the planes missed their approaches in fog and their flight paths converged.
He says existing regulations meant air traffic control operators had already gone home and radar was not available.
The report found the aviation system worked as intended and made no safety recommendations.
Mr Smith says radar coverage for Tasmania is not being used as control tower staff are not trained.
The Federal Transport Minister Anthony Albanese wants to organise a meeting between Mr Smith and CASA but Mr Smith says it would be a waste of time.
"They've done that for 10 years 'duchessing, duchessing'," he said.
"What is the use of having a meeting when they do nothing. They'll say 'Dick as I've said for 10 years you are right we are working on it we are going to fix it'. They will do nothing."
Tourism impact
Tasmania's tourism industry lobby group has urged aviation authorities to clarify the safety of the state's airports.
Daniel Hanna, from the Tasmanian Tourism Industry Council, says Mr Smith's comments could damage tourist confidence.
"We do have a very good record and a very good history in this area of not having major incidents but clearly the concerns that have been raised in these ads today by Dick Smith are going to affect people's confidence," he said
"So there needs to be a quick response and we need to see that authorities are taking these concerns seriously and are prepared to take action."
The Tasmanian Chamber of Commerce and Industry's Robert Wallace agrees.
"Any negative comment with regard to safety in travel always impacts on regions because it's paramount for people travelling, be it for business or pleasure, that they're travelling to and form in a safe method. So comments like this from anyone are quite concerning," he said.
Tasmanian Liberal Senator Guy Barnett says air safety at the airport needs urgent attention and the current arrangement is not good enough.
"You've got the control tower where it is being unmanned after 10:00pm. According to the evidence I've received from Air Services Australia, 29 flights landed after 10:00pm to the 30th of June this year. Now frankly that is a cause for serious concern," he said.
The executive officer of the Launceston Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Lou Clark, says it is important passengers feel safe.
"So I think now that the issue's been raised let's look into it let's see what we can do in terms of training for air traffic controllers and see if we can utilise the technology that's obviously available," she said.
Launceston Mayor Albert van Zetten says safety can not be compromised.
"It's disappointing, there's no doubt about that," he said.
"If it's said to be dangerous, then that's something that needs to be dealt with and we can not at any time compromise on the safety. I'll be having those discussions and we'll see where they lead."
Topics: air-transport, air-and-space, occupational-health-and-safety, launceston-7250, tas
First posted


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The unique pressure pad conforms to string tension, greatly decreasing fret buzz, or the need to retune after attaching. Also avaiable in Nickel.
Dunlop Trigger Acoustic Guitar Capo, Nickel Features:
- Made of aircraft-quality aluminum
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