text:
A Smooth Transition Logit Model of the Effects of Deregulation in the Electricity Market
We consider a nonlinear vector model called the logistic vector smooth transition autoregressive model. The bivariate single-transition vector smooth transition regression model of Camacho (2004) is generalised to a multivariate and multitransition one. A modelling strategy consisting of specification, including testing linearity, estimation and evaluation of these models is constructed. Nonlinear least squares estimation of the parameters of the model is discussed. Evaluation by misspecification tests is carried out using tests derived in a companion paper. The use of the modelling strategy is illustrated by two applications. In the first one, the dynamic relationship between the US gasoline price and consumption is studied and possible asymmetries in it considered. The second application consists of modelling two well known Icelandic riverflow series, previously considered by many hydrologists and time series analysts. JEL Classification: C23, C51, L94, Q41.
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|Date of creation:
|03 2014
|Contact details of provider:
| Web page: http://www.econ.au.dk/afn/
References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Timothy Christensen & Stan Hurn & Kenneth Lindsay, 2009.
"It Never Rains but it Pours: Modeling the Persistence of Spikes in Electricity Prices,"
The Energy Journal,
International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 1), pages 25-48.
- T M Christensen & A S Hurn & K A Lindsay, 2008. "It never rains but it pours: Modelling the persistence of spikes in electricity prices," NCER Working Paper Series 25, National Centre for Econometric Research.
- Bystrom, Hans N. E., 2005. "Extreme value theory and extremely large electricity price changes," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 41-55.
- Byström, Hans, 2001. "Extreme Value Theory and Extremely Large Electricity Price Changes," Working Papers 2001:19, Lund University, Department of Economics.
- González, Andrés & Teräsvirta, Timo & van Dijk, Dick & Yang, Yukai, 2005. "Panel Smooth Transition Regression Models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 604, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 11 Oct 2017.
- Andres Gonzalez & Timo Terasvirta & Dick van Dijk, 2005. "Panel Smooth Transition Regression Models," Research Paper Series 165, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Markus Burger & Bernhard Klar & Alfred Muller & Gero Schindlmayr, 2004. "A spot market model for pricing derivatives in electricity markets," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 109-122.
- Alvaro Cartea & Marcelo Figueroa, 2005. "Pricing in Electricity Markets: A Mean Reverting Jump Diffusion Model with Seasonality," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(4), pages 313-335.
- Alvaro Cartea & Marcelo Gustavo Figueroa, 2005. "Pricing in Electricity Markets: a Mean Reverting Jump Diffusion Model with Seasonality," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0507, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Alvaro Cartea & Marcelo_Gustavo Figueroa, 2005. "Pricing in Electricity Markets: a Mean Reverting Jump Diffusion Model with Seasonality," Finance 0501011, EconWPA, revised 12 Sep 2005.
- Mount, Timothy D. & Ning, Yumei & Cai, Xiaobin, 2006. "Predicting price spikes in electricity markets using a regime-switching model with time-varying parameters," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 62-80, January.
- Hillebrand Eric & Medeiros Marcelo C. & Xu Junyue, 2013. "Asymptotic Theory for Regressions with Smoothly Changing Parameters," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 5(2), pages 133-162, April.
- Eric Hillebrand & Marcelo C. Medeiros & Junyue Xu, 2012. "Asymptotic Theory for Regressions with Smoothly Changing Parameters," CREATES Research Papers 2012-31, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Barry K. Goodwin & Matthew T. Holt & Jeffrey P. Prestemon, 2011. "North American Oriented Strand Board Markets, Arbitrage Activity, and Market Price Dynamics: A Smooth Transition Approach," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 93(4), pages 993-1014.
- Ralf Becker & Stan Hurn & Vlad Pavlov, 2007. "Modelling Spikes in Electricity Prices," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 83(263), pages 371-382, December.
- Kirstin Hubrich & Timo Teräsvirta, 2013. "Thresholds and Smooth Transitions in Vector Autoregressive Models," CREATES Research Papers 2013-18, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- M. T. Barlow, 2002. "A Diffusion Model For Electricity Prices," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(4), pages 287-298.
- Christensen, T.M. & Hurn, A.S. & Lindsay, K.A., 2012. "Forecasting spikes in electricity prices," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 400-411.
- repec:qut:auncer:2012_5 is not listed on IDEAS
- Adam Clements & Joanne Fuller & Stan Hurn, 2013. "Semi-parametric Forecasting of Spikes in Electricity Prices," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 89(287), pages 508-521, December. Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)
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Early Postcards Silk Postcard, Love @ Kisses , To Nellie From Joseh J Sheil
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Benfleet Postcards No extra P&P for multiple items!
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You are bidding On Old Postcard Silk Original Postcard , Love @ Kisses , To Nellie From Joseh J Sheil, Card Sent From France 1914 - 1918 War Nice Card
Condition Poor Dirty @ Stained Looks Like Cards Got Wet In Trenches ? All Cards Sent To His Sweetheart Nellie From Joseh J Sheil
Please look at the high definition scan closely as it is a good reflection of the condition of the postcardWe no longer charge 5p per additional item! Just the one P&P fee now. Due to cost rises at the post office items sent outside of Europe are now more expensive to send but the domestic and European P&P remains the same. Expensive orders are sent Recorded or Special Delivery at our cost!

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PRETTY LITTLE LIARS Episode 8 "Please, Do Talk About Me When I'm Gone" Review
If there is such a condition, Emily is drowning in it. Apparently Alison knew of Emily's bicurious tendencies and exploited them. Making suggestive remarks about Kissing Rock and throwing coy glances seems like an awful lot of temptation for poor Emily. Is Emily's attempt to date Mia something she is truly interested in or is it a way for Emily to prove to Alison, and herself, that it wasn't just Alison that sparked her interest?
Hanna's character continues to amaze me with her growth. I never would have thought that the shallow appearing, materialistic girl, would turn out to be one of my favorites. Now I realize that Hanna has a very big heart and just needs to find a way to use it. Helping her family by selling things she didn't really need was a great start. It was fun to see her interaction with Lucas. He seems to bring out the best in her unlike prom king who still uses words like "cooties." You would think that the preacher's son who attends virgin support groups would be a bit kinder to his fellow classmate.
Spencer has me baffled. I always found the initial scene when she announces that she discovered Alison missing to be strange. Now we find out that she fought often with Alison and that Alison may have been scared of her. How much of this is true and how much is just a spin by Alison and her equally evil brother, Jason, remains to be seen. However, with her OCD tendencies and Type A personality, it is not too hard to imagine that she and Alison butt heads at some point.
On the day of the memorial, everyone takes time to talk about Alison. The only one that truly says anything about her is Jenna who remarks on her strength. The girls talk about living without her, moving on, and friendship while smiling at each other. Perhaps they are relieved by the removal of the burden of Alison's friendship. After all, how telling was the memorial fountain that had all five girls on there, but only one standing tall with her hand out, with her girls at her feet, kneeling before her.
The final scenes in the last couple of episodes of Pretty Little Liars have been really haunting and tonight's episode "Please, Do Talk About Me When I'm Gone" was no exception. If Alison was wearing her bracelet when she died, who made the bracelet that the girls found in the woods? Who was the mysterious guy that showed up at the dedication? Finally, just as quickly as the memorial was put together, it was destroyed. Was that violent act directed at Alison or at the girls? So much anger and drama, even after death.
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Dietary Department
We serve "Buffet Style" meals for breakfast, lunch, and dinner. The dietary staff brings all the needed food and supplies to each of four main dining rooms for the meal service. The nursing, dietary, and activity aides assist the residents with their meals which consist of their choice of main entrees, soups, sides, and desserts. The residents enjoy being served their meals with the hot foods coming directly from the steam table and cold items just out of the refrigerators. Family members can also purchase a meal tray and dine with their loved ones. Special meals are provided for holidays, parties and special events. Some of these special events include: summer outdoor barbeques, 50's themed diner day, resident choice luncheons, and varied snacks during the many events that take place weekly. Making dining fun and enjoyable for the residents is one of our goals along with meeting therapeutic and nutritional needs. Feel free to contact our dietary department with any questions you may have concerning our resident's dietary needs.
We also have two registered dieticians in-house who are educated and experienced in meeting the nutritional and dietary needs of our residents.
Director of Dietary Services: Cole Elowsky, DDS


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Save the Scotia Post Office – Last Chance
A public meeting has been scheduled for 6:00 PM, November 5th at the Scotia-Glenville Middle School Auditorium.
The Scotia Post Office was founded in 1824 with its current Colonial Revival home completed in 1940. In 1989 the Scotia Post Office was recognized in the National Register of Historic Places.
If you care about having a walk-in Post Office convenient to all residents tell your friends, family, neighbors and anyone you know to come to this meeting. Let your voices be heard and heads be counted.


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Works exactly like version 2 for me, no bugs (so far at least)! Thanks!This review is for a previous version of the add-on (0.4.0.4).
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When working on a film project, how do you organize your sound effects and Foley when it comes to tracks?
For example, do you have a different track for each character's weapons, or do you allow them to share a single track?
What happens when you've designed the sound of each weapon and you have lots of different plug-ins/settings for each individual one? Do you automate them on and off as needed in order to use as few tracks as possible, or do you just have a different track for each?
In essence, do you allow yourself to have loads of tracks, or do you try to be really economic, even if you don't really need to and your computer/software can handle it?
I have a very similar approach as TS. Especially for larger projects, and anything that someone else will be mixing. Organized, very identifiable, and controllable. In a big gunfight my hero gun shots will be on one set of tracks, enemy gunfire on another, bullet ricos, imps on another.
For smaller projects with very limited budgets, I may compact it a bit more. I might only have an FX A & B, with B being FX I need to control independently from A. My BGs will be checkerboarded for scene changes, but not separated into groups (winds/airs/traffic/birds/bugs/walla/misc). If I'm editing and mixing, I'll know where everything exists, and not worry about organization/readability as much, but if someone else is mixing, I'll try and make sure everything makes sense, and include region notes or markers where necessary. If someone else is mixing, I'll usually just cut in their template however.
So it really depends on size/scale/budget of the project.
Personally, I set my sessions up with Voice and Dialogue at the top and music at the bottom. MY SFX and Foley are then based between the two, if I am not using specialised plugins I will then place them on individual tracks of similar nature, for example, if there are Car effects they will be on a track or group of tracks in the same area, or if it is house hold effects they will be on grouped tracks, these tracks sometimes overlap if I am trying not to have an overly large session for no reason.
Hi Chris,
As a rule I always aim to be as economical and organised as possible. Wether I'm mixing my own material on smaller projects or I'm editing and sending off to re recording mixers on larger ones, I always try and stay as logical and organised as possible. I've always found organisation is the biggest hindrance to creativity in both editing and mixing so I always endeavour to edit in a clean and organised fashion.
I have various templates for each type of project (promo, advert, short film, feature dialogue edit, feature effects etc) My tracks are organised roughly as follows (this obviously depends on project size) with buses and VCAs separating tracks into groups and virtual pre dubs, checkerboarding per scene when appropriate.
-Guide tracks
-Dirty Raw AAF
-Cleaned Conform
-Dialogue Tracks
– Foley tracks
-Atmosphere tracks
If I'm not mixing, This is always dependent on whatever template the mixer is using. For the most part I keep similar sounding elements on similar tracks and keep this consistent throughout the scene or the entire feature of its appropriate.
Any sound design that requires heavy manipulation to create the sounds design in a separate sound design session and never rely on plug ins running and automating "live" in a mix session. For your example or the guns, any sound design using samplers, synths, pitch shifters etc would be done in a separate session, all effects baked into the sound and then brought into the final effects session.
Hope that make sense, there's more than one approach so this is just myself and my colleges tend to adhere to.
I organize my sfx tracks as such:
- foley (foots, movement, special)
- production fx (non-dialogue sfx from shoot)
- hard fx (props, doors, etc)
- background fx (ambience layers)
More importantly, I have busses for each of these categories that eventually feed into the sfx submaster. That way printing out foley/hardfx/bgfx predubs can be done in a single pass.


text:
Life span
Miniature / Teacups
Tail Docking
Teddy Bear Yorkies
Acting Strange
Barking at Night
Eating Feces
Separation Anxiety
Book - Hard Copy & eBook
Dental Care
Puppy Care
Growth Chart
Color (Main page)
Red Legged
Tan (fully)
Feeding (Main page)
Home Cooking
Refusing to Eat
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Males VS Females
Shampoo, Coat Products
Health (General & Breed Specific)
Spay / Neuter
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What Does a Yorkie Look Like?
Most would consider this breed to be quite adorable... The Yorkie will look different as the dog grows from a tiny newborn...to round puppy...to long and lean adult. In addition, your choice of grooming will greatly change the look of this small breed dog...from the shaved "Puppy cut" to the long and sleek "Show dog look".
The Yorkie is classified in the AKC toy group. This means that he or she, when meeting the standard guidelines, will be an adult
of 4 to 7 pounds (1.81 to 3.17 kg). This dog is also short, with a height (measured from floor to shoulder) of 6 to 9 inches (15.24 to 22.86 cm). Therefore, the Yorkshire Terrier is a rather tiny dog.
He is small but rather sturdy. Some toy breeds can be fragile and while the owner of this dog must take care in regard to possible injury to the kneecaps, hips and trachea (neck)...They can run, jump, play and do other normal activities that one expects with a pet.
Being a terrier, he is quick and energetic. Due to his size, he is an indoor dog...But loves to be outside (with supervision) to run through the grass, dig (which can be fixed with training) and explore the world around him with his excellent scene of smell and alert hearing.
They have a particular gait when they walk, one that shows confidence and curiosity. They often "trot" along, enthusiastic to find out what they can see and hear. They love to curl up into tiny balls when resting or napping. As you will see ahead, they can look quite different depending on how an owner chooses to have them groomed.
Changes to Expect
newborn Yorkie
approximately 2.5 ounces (.07 kg). The appearance of a puppy differs quite a bit from an older, mature dog. He has short, soft hair and will be a mix of
black and tan color
The dog's eyes will remain closed until week 2 or 3.
The dog quickly matures into their adult appearance, usually be the age of 1 year.
A Yorkie can have a range of looks. Most owners of pet Yorkies will opt for the shaved look. This can be a close shave, or a longer shave that allows for a short "fluffy look". This is sometimes referred to as
Teddy Bear Yorkies
, which is just a certain appearance of the coat.
Yorkshire Terriers that are show dogs will have the classic long
coat of hair
that flows very gracefully to the floor. Some pet owners also prefer this look....you will need to devote more time to grooming.
While ethical, reputable breeders will strive to produce "show quality" Yorkies, is is Mother Nature who has the final say. Even if a breeder aims for show quality at all times, there will always be "pet quality" Yorkies.
A Yorkshire Terrier with a "Puppy Cut", the coat is clipped short. This is usually done for easy care.
The coat stays cleaners and the dog can run around without the owner worrying about tangles
developing in an otherwise longer coat.
Pet Vs Show
What is the difference between pet and show quality? When purchased from an ethical, trusted breeder, there can be very little difference between the two.
In the United States, a breeder will be looking for puppies who have potential to very closely match the detailed AKC standards in regard to conformance (appearance) for the Yorkshire Terrier in order to categorize that puppy as show quality. This will means that the dog looks promising to compete in very large AKC conformance events as being near perfect to the guidelines. Litters cannot always contain near-"perfect" dogs,
whether males or females
A Yorkshire Terrier with the classic "Show Dog" look. The coat is long
and gracefully falls to the floor (it is allowed to just touch the floor).
Long hairs on the forehead are held back with a bow (known as having a topknot).
Therefore, from an ethical breeder, a dog that does not match the AKC show quality guidelines will be sold as a pet quality. This may be because of a very small element, such as a coloring mark or the shape of the ears. A pet quality dog is of just as much value as a show quality dog, in the eyes of who matters the most: the puppy's new family.
If someone is looking for a pet and have no plans to enter the complicated and political "show dog world", a person should understand that a pet quality Yorkie is just that, a pet! There is no reason to spend extra money for a show quality dog is you are not planning on showing your dog.
The Standard
The AKC is the most respected and important dog club in the United States. In order to function, this organization had to implement a breed standard for each official dog breed. The breed standard is a description of what a certain breed will look like.
While it is extremely rare for a dog to match the breed standard exactly, this description of the appearance of the Yorkshire Terrier will be used by judges to determine the winner of conformation (appearance) dog shows.
This is the appearance of the Yorkshire Terrier, in regard to conformance guidelines: (If you are planning on showing your Yorkie, you will want to obtain the official appearance guidelines of the club you will be associating with since it can vary slightly from one to the other)
A long-haired toy terrier whose blue and tan coat is parted on the face and from the foundation of the skull to the end of the tail and hangs equally and quite straight down each side of body. The body is compact and well proportioned. The dog's high head carriage and self-assured manner should give the look of energy and pride.
The head is petite and rather flat on top, the skull not too prominent or round, the muzzle not too extended, with the bite neither undershot nor overshot and teeth sound. Either scissors bite or level bite is acceptable.
is black. Eyes are medium in size and not too prominent; dark in color and sparkling with a sharp, intelligent expression. Eye rims are dark. Ears are small, V-shaped, carried erect and set not too far apart.
The body is well proportioned and very compact. The back is rather short, the back line level, with height at shoulder equal to the rump.
Forelegs should be straight, elbows neither in nor out. Hind legs straight when seen from behind, but stifles are somewhat bent when seen from the sides.
Feet are round with black toenails. Dewclaws are normally removed from the hind legs. Dewclaws on the forelegs may be removed, if the owner wishes.
tail is docked
to a medium length and carried slightly higher than the level of the back.
Quality, texture and quantity of coat are of extreme importance. Hair is silky, fine and silky in texture. Coat on the body is moderately long and perfectly straight. It may be trimmed to floor length to allow easy movement and a tidy appearance.
The fall on the head is long, tied with 1 bow in center of head or parted in the middle and tied with 2 bows. Hair on the dog's muzzle is extremely long. Hair should be trimmed short on tips of ears and may be trimmed on feet to give them a tidy look.
are born black and tan and are generally darker in body color, showing an combination of black hair in the tan until they grow to adulthood.
Color of hair on body and richness of tan on head and legs are of primary importance in adult dogs, to which the following color requirements apply:
Blue: Is a dark steel-blue, not a silver-blue and not mingled with fawn or black hairs.
Tan: All tan hair is darker at the roots than in the middle, shading to still lighter tan at the tips. There should be no black hair blended together with any of the tan.
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text:
reference pressure and compressible flow
I know that there are already several threats on the subject of reference pressure, but I'm still not sure which settings I need to apply in my case.
I'm trying to simulate a 25° compression ramp at Mach 8.2 for laminar flow.
The inlet conditions should be velocity u =1746 m/s, static pressure = 524 Pa and static temperature = 113 K to equal the conditions in an experiment.
I already did some calculations with the reference pressure set to 0 Pa, because I was told that it would not really matter. But I was never able to get a gonverged solution for this case, because I get some disturbances inside the seperation bubble, which leeds to a solver breakdown in the end. Or the seperation bubble just keeps on growing untill it breaks.
Since I was never able to solve this problem I thought that maybe my reference pressure is the cause of this problem. Because I red that it was rather inportant if you did a compressible calculation. Maybe someone can tell me if the reference pressure is capable of causing such problems in any way?
I then tried to check if the reference pressure made any diffrence. I changed my reference pressure to 10000 Pa because the pressure variable ranged from 400 Pa to 15000 Pa . I set the ref static pressure in the supersonic inlet tab to -9476 Pa. Would that be correct to get the same static pressur for the inlet flow?
I checked the results some time in the calculation and the values for absolut presures were 400 -15000 Pa. The values for the pressure variable at the inlet was -9476 for the inlet. I just do not really know how to interprete this findings. Also the Machnumber was rather lower than in the results before, which I think should not be the case.
I also do not know how the reference pressure is to be used in connection to the reference pressure set in the air ideal gas tap which i'm using. I always thought they were unconnected but some threats here hint otherwise. Maybe the connection between the two creats the diffrence in my Machnumber?
It would be very nice if anyone could tell me which values I should apply for both the reference pressures and the ref. static pressure at the inlet, so I can check if that causes any of my problems in the calculation since i'm quite sure that cfx should be able to give a reasonable calculation for this case.
Thanks in advance
|All times are GMT -4. The time now is 12:21.


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*This recipe is gluten-free according to industry standards
You can ferment using just brine (salted water) – the salt discourages bad bacteria and allows the conveniently salt-tolerant good ones to grow, or you can use a starter to encourage things along.
- red cabbage 750g, finely sliced (about 1 medium cabbage)
- fine table salt 50g
- ginger 50g, finely grated
- garlic 4 cloves, crushed
- filtered tap water, bottled spring water or kefir water 8 tbsp
- gochugaru (Korean red pepper powder) 4 tbsp
- fish sauce 2 tbsp, (omit for veggie kimchi)
- sesame seeds 4 tbsp, toasted
- soft brown sugar 1 tbsp
- sea salt 1 tsp
Step 1
Add the red cabbage to a large mixing bowl and scatter over the salt. Use your hands to massage the salt firmly into the cabbage, bruising the flesh and pressing it all together. Cover loosely with a clean tea towel and leave for 2 hours to allow the salt to draw out the moisture. After 2 hours, tip into a colander, rinse well under cold running water and drain well.
Step 2
Rinse out the mixing bowl, and add the ginger, garlic, water or kefir water, gochugaru, fish sauce, sesame seeds, sugar, sea salt and a grind of black pepper. Stir well until you have a pungent paste, add the rinsed cabbage back in and mix together thoroughly. Spoon into the jar, or jars, packing down well so it all fits snugly – the top should be submerged in liquid. Tear off a piece of clingfilm and press it tightly down onto the surface to keep out as much air as possible then cover tightly with the lid. Leave to ferment at room temperature for 3-7 days.
Step 3
Check the kimchi every day, pressing the cabbage back under the surface liquid and replacing the clingfilm layer with fresh. Start tasting after 3 days – it should be pleasantly sour – leave it for longer if necessary. Much depends on the temperature and your personal taste. Once you're happy, store it in the fridge, where it will keep maturing nicely for a few months.
Nutritional Information
- Kcals 28
- Fat 1.1g
- Saturates 0.2g
- Carbs 2.7g
- Sugars 2g
- Fibre 1.5g
- Protein 1.1g
- Salt 0.6g


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Where in So Cal is this? Sick!!
Sure looks a lot like Temecula, but hey. I could be wrong, ya know.
Does anyone know what Elliott's deal is? Do we know yet why he's not racing next year?
Not one pedal mid run by EJ, just straigh float over massive hits and transfers. Makes me even more bummed that we won't see him shred WC this year. Certainly looks like he can take on some DH/freeride vid parts though...
I will get right on that j-herbs!!!
How close to the arctic circle is that? Can you drop a pin on google maps so me and santa can poach it?
Even if you knew where it was chances are you wouldn't find it.
Good thing it wasn't Loped and the Ibis crew. They would have posted directions.
It's on the Gnarctic circle, duh.
Antartica/West Texas... same place. Insane video! Seriously some of those hits are MASSIVE.
Big Fan!
Copy paste link: http://i.imgur.com/Q93cK.jpg
Where is this place?
Hell yeah! Nice pic! I'm envious you got to hit that!
Haha, looks fake!!
Is that Africa ? Cuz I don't see penguins.....
this is not Antartica..
Hell yeah. I missed a turn on that descent. Definitely did NOT end up on the right "track"!
Damn some SIZE right there!! awesome tunes...
Man those trails look intense! No rest for the wicked there.
Mega like. I especially like how Kristian keeps up on all the jumps, but once they get to turns, two turns and Eliot's GONE.
NIce, nice, nice, trails look sick n tunes are great!


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Doral - Republican Newt Gingrich says Mitt Romney's call for self-deportation of illegal immigrants is an "Obama-level" fantasy that is inhumane to long-established families living in the United States.
The leading candidate for the Republican nomination to face Obama in the November election spoke during a forum on Wednesday with the Spanish-language network Univision.
Romney has said he favours what he calls "self-deportation" over policies that require the US government to round up illegal immigrants.
Gingrich says Romney's proposal reflects a candidate who lives "in a world of Swiss bank accounts and Cayman Island accounts." That was a jab at Romney's wealth.
Romney was taping his own segment with Univision later on Wednesday.
Wow..... where do these guys get their names???
They all live in fantacies while normal people just suffer.


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POLICE have arrested three people after a man was found dead with a suspected gunshot wound at a home in Melbourne's west.
Two men, aged 48 and 37, and a 58 year-old woman, all from the Melton area, are being interviewed by police over the Melton South death.
A second woman was spoken to briefly but not arrested.
Forensics investigators have spent hours combing the Phillips St house after the man was discovered with what police say appears to be a gun shot wound to his upper body at about 2.10am.
Neighbours day they heard loud bangs in the area at about 11pm last night.
Resident Dale Hamilton said he heard what sounded like multiple shots.
"I thought it was the backfire of a van but then I heard multiple shots: bang, bang, bang," Mr Hamilton said.
Neighbours say two men live in the house where the man's body was found.
Investigators are remaining tight lipped about the death.
Police are urging anyone with information to contact Crime Stoppers on 1800 333 000 or www.crimestoppers.com.au
Originally published as Three arrested over body in Melton


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MENLO PARK, Calif. — Only 2% of consumers who use social media such as facebook.com or twitter.com said they use the sites regularly for guidance on grocery purchase decisions, according to a report by Knowledge Networks here.
However, 13% said they sometimes use those media to help make grocery purchase decisions, the report indicated. Although 83% of people aged 13 to 54 participate in social media, less than 5% of them turn to those sites for guidance on purchase decisions,


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An illustration drawing without any word(s), letter(s), or number(s)
Providing a website featuring non-downloadable publications in the nature of books in the field of children's animated books
Business in Picayune, MS


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If you haven't checked out the RPG.Net thread yet, I've gotten ton of great feedback on the 2D10 RPG.
I really appreciate that there is recognition that I am trying to write clearly and succinctly and that the system is flexible and fun for some quick, imaginative play. Some good play results help too. With my latest revision, which I am going to pick through again today for errors or ways to make it a little clearer, I am really close to releasing it next week on RPGNow.
Updates will still come, and I may still keep my Dropbox links.
After the initial rules, I will share some of the other things. I have edits coming for the character sheet next. Beasties & Bandits is kind of close to being ready, though I do need to make a few corrections there too.
It's fun to write again, and by keeping things short, I don't get bogged down quite as much as I used to with larger projects.
Stay tuned!
-- Nathan


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Category: Stock Graphic, Illustrations
Stock Graphic >> Illustration - Card template a bird on the branch 11475 by GraphicMarket @ CreativeMarket
File Size: 1.87 MB; DPI: 300 DPI; Vector: Yes.
Hand Drawn I love you card, lovely script. Digital Card
Retro Style "I love you" card with cute little bird and cherry blossom. It will look lovely as a wedding invitation, birthday card or baby shower invite - just put your own text)))
Graphics are in High Quality 300 dpi and will be sent you by email in EPS and JPG format.
You can either use a JPG card as it is, or customize it in Illustrator (eps file), use the elements separately in different projects as clip art elements.
Easily customizable anything.
You will receive.
- 1 digital card in high quality PNG file, 300 dpi (12x12 inch)
- 1 clip art border - transparent background and no text PNG files 12"x12"
- plus 1 EPS file with all elements on one sheet every letter in a separate layers ЁC easy to customize in Illustrator
- No watermarks
Clipart is perfect for.
* Printed Paper Products
* Scrapbooking
* Stickers
* Magnets
* Invitations
* Digitized applique and embroidery or hand cut applique
* Jewelry
* Web Design
* Business Cards
* Party Tags, Cake Toppers, Invitations
* T-Shirt and Button Design
* Tole Painting
* Cake Toppers
* Classroom decorations and activities
The possibilities are endless!
***please contact me if you have any questions. ***
The design is for personal project usage and you may use for small commercial business.
Thanks for looking!
Keywords: cards, i love you, supplies, handmade, scrapbooking, digital, customizable, editable, vector, clipart, tree green, birds, wedding invitation, birthday card, branch, flowers, cherry, tree, retro.


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Help Us: Do these Pornstars appear in this video?
Pornstar Name:
Sexy woman!
Beautiful, sexy woman. Nice jigglin, wigglin, hangin, bouncin perfect tatas. HOT!
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who is this amazingly beatuiful girl? Part of me wants to marry her right away...!
nice cp...but she has no really orgasm...and why this stupid music????
Fuck yeah !!! Am i dreaming !!
Loved it when she put him back in for seconds!
Her Name is Lily Love
excelente video... ambos son bellos, me encanta la chica con un cuerpo espectacular y natural. me gusto como le chupa la verga con pasión. el close up final estuvo de primera. y como broche de oro: me fascinó como aletean temblorosos los labios menores mmmm!!!! que delicia
She's beautiful. Name?
Somebody maybe knows the song from the end of the clip?
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Gossamer Games is a new Philadelphia-based independent game studio creating ambitious aesthetic-driven experiences that explore games as an empathetic and expressive art form.
Gossamer Games was born out of a curiosity in the untapped potential of mobile games as emotional gameplay experiences. Formed by a small group of bright-eyed Drexel University undergrads through the Entrepreneurial Game Studio, Gossamer has since grown into a team of diverse and incredibly talented artists eager to push the boundaries of gaming through timeless design and boundless creativity.
Our mission is to make accessible games that allow players to create, explore, and perform inside imaginative environments. We believe that video games are the ultimate medium for exploring new perspectives that let us see the world in a new light.
Thomas Sharpe
Thomas Sharpe co-founded Gossamer Games in 2015 where he currently acts as the studio's creative director. Interested in connecting people through shared playing experiences, his primary focus is designing unique gameplay mechanics that alter players' perception of the world around them. Thomas's work explores video games as a medium for powerful empathetic experiences based on abstracting our everyday thoughts and feelings.
Nina DeLucia
Senior 3D / Texture Artist
Nina DeLucia is a Digital Artist and 3D Environment Artist for Gossamer Games. Nina graduated Drexel University in 2016 with an Animation and Visual Effects major, dual Fine Art and Art History minors, and a passion for designing beautiful and mysterious games. Her first two years spent as a Game Art and Production major laid the foundation for her work on all kinds of games - from single to co-op, and mobile to VR. In her free time, she's usually watching her favorite Anime and munching on homemade shortbread cookies.
Vincent De Tommaso
Senior Environment Artist
Vincent is interested in one thing: building worlds. When he was little, he built sprawling cardboard cities out of old shoe boxes and HotWheels cars. Today, he lends his 3D modeling skills to the team, constructing many of the buildings and environments you'll explore throughout the game. His diverse work experience in law and finance also make him a valuable asset to the group.
Nabeel Ansari
Composer / Sound Designer
Nabeel Ansari is a fan of the fantastical, seeking to build worlds and emotion through music and technology. He studies a hybrid degree in Applied Mathematics and Music and works both in the virtual instrument and game audio industries. His soundtrack work can range from sombre evocation to dramatic catharsis, and his virtual instrument work appears in the music of many professional composers.


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Hi All,
Just launched a new website that teaches everything you need to know about how to play Jazz Piano. It covers Jazz Chords, Jazz Scales, Improvisation, Chord Voicings, Common Chord Progressions, Reharmonization, Modal Harmony, Free Jazz and more. And it's all completely 100% FREE.
Check it out if you're interested: http://www.thejazzpianosite.com/
Sorry link is here The Jazz Piano Site
To expound on the point in my first comment, what you did here is a microcosm of the jazz scene big picture. Everyone trying to go it along, trying to "be the thing", both with music projects and websites. All it does is weaken everything.
What you need to do is put your site on our links page, then add my site to your links page, then get every other jazz piano site you know to do the same thing. We support each, pass around visitors, and be a force united.
Volume 1 of this educational jazz piano book contains 15 jazz piano exercises, tricks, and other interesting jazz piano techniques, voicings, grooves, and ideas Scot Ranney enjoys playing.
pdf - coil binding - videos
Volume 2 has 14 jazz piano exercises and tricks of the trade, and quite a bit of it is Calypso jazz piano related material, including some Monty Alexander and Michel Camilo style grooves. Jazz piano education is through the ears, but books like this can help.
Volume 3 contains 12 jazz piano exercises and explorations by the acclaimed jazz piano educator, pianist, author, and recording artist Tim Richards.
Tim wrote the well known "Exploring Jazz Piano" and "Improvising Blues Piano" books and has several others to his name.
Fundamentos Físicos del Sonido
Aprendiendo a tocar PIANO gratis con partitura
5 Pro Tips for Practicing Jazz Piano
"Danny Boy" Jazz Leadsheet
Tim Richards' Jazz Piano Notebook
Let's Take a Look at Steinberg Dorico, Part 1
La La Land
Cocktail Piano
Best Songs Ever, 6th Edition
Beauty and the Beast
Moana Songbook
Late Night Jazz Piano


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- Please select a date to see the proper prices!
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65 € / person / night, no meal
Description of the Accommodation
Rooms, services Bahnhof-Hotel Saarlouis is welcoming all guests in Saarlouis with 29 comfortable rooms to stay in. The fans of actively spent leisure time may take the nearby opportunities to rent a bike, play billiard and rent a boat. The bar can be an ideal place for a pleasant evening talk or a meeting. In the safe your valuables can be the safely secured. You can also bring your laptop for the holiday, for there is wireless Internet connection (WiFi) available at the hotel. The exact list of services available at Bahnhof-Hotel Saarlouis (including those for an extra fee) and the exact list of equipment in a room can be found on the information sheet below.
Payment Depending on the selected date, room and price, you may need to provide credit card guarantee or advance bank card payment to finalize your reservation.
Arrival, opening hours The earliest time to check in at the hotel is 06:00, the latest time to check out is 14:00. The personnel speaks English and German.
Bahnhof-Hotel Saarlouis rooms Rooms
- Please select a date to see the proper prices!
Accommodation services
Free WiFi in shared places
Relaxation: Billiard, Bike rental at the accommodation
Boat rental nearby
Bar, Elevator, Safe deposit box, Room service
Bathrobe, Hairdryer, Desk in the room, Mini-bar


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7 VINTAGE CHRISTMAS RED BELL LIGHTED ORNAMENTS LARGEHI AND WELCOME TO ALL. Up for sale i have 7 vintage Large Christmas red Bell cluster plastic lighted Ornaments in good condition with no broken pieces, they all work great, they measure 3 4 3/4'' tall. All my bells are in good used condition and may have some scratches or loss of paint so please see pictures for best item description. I do my best to accurately describe my items but may miss something so please e-mail with any questions or concerns before buying if you need to. Very fast out the door shipping. I also have several other Christmas items for sale so please Visit My eBay Store for other items, I also combine shipping. THANKS FOR LOOKING. I ACCEPT PAYPAL AND E-CHECKS. PLEASE E-MAIL FOR ANY OTHER FORMS OF PAYMENT, I'M SORRY BUT I DO NOT ACCEPT PERSONAL CHECKS. PAYMENT IS DUE WITHIN 3 DAYS, IF THIS IS NOT POSSIBLE THEN JUST PLEASE E-MAIL ME SO WE CAN WORK SOMETHING OUT, NOTHING WILL BE SHIPPED OUT UNTIL PAYMENT IS CLEARED. IF PAYMENT HAS NOT BEEN RECEIVED WITHIN 3 DAYS AND I HAVE NOT HERD FROM YOU AN UNPAID ITEM DISPUTE WILL BE OPENED. ALSO IF YOUR AN INTERNATIONAL BUYER PAYPAL WILL BE REQUIRED IN US DOLLARS. THANK YOU FOR YOUR UNDERSTANDING I SHIP UNITED STATES POSTAL SERVICE PRIORITY MAIL, PARCEL POST MAIL, [MEDIA MAIL, AND FIRST ... read more


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A great choice for a stay in Gurgaon, Villa A2 offers an airport shuttle (available on request). You'll have free perks like breakfast and WiFi. Rooms offer 24-hour room service, refrigerators, and minibars.


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LogicalDOC's Integrated Version Control automatically manages each version of a document as it enters LogicalDOC. Every time a document is modified, a new version is produced and tracked. The document version is always visible – the latest version is put forward for current operations while previous versions remain viewable.
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This 20 piece set of Syracuse China must have been sitting in someone's china cabinet without being used because it is free of any chips, cracks, or evidence of every having been used. It is the Chevy-Chase pattern which was produced from 1955 until 1970. The pattern is a plain off white color with a platinum trim. The 20 pieces are:
4 Dinner Plates (10 5/8") 4 Salad Plates (8") 4 Bread & Butter Plates (6 1/4") 4 Saucers (5 3/4") 4 Cups
The shipping is $50.00 to the 48 contiguous states. If the shipping to your location is less than this amount, we will refund the difference. We will not ship internationally. Please email me with any questions.
Another shopper has this item in their Cart or Wish List .
Everyone collects something and we have something for you.
We Now Accept Layaway!!


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You're staring at the "Submit a Project" page wondering what to write in order to make it successful. Yup, we've been there too. Here are some tips about how to create a great campaign that will get donors to come running.
**PLEASE NOTE: We usually work with nonprofits who submit a campaign about one of their clients on his or her behalf. The reason we do this is 1) it helps make sure the projects are legit, and 2) it keeps donations tax deductible. Only under rare exceptions do we work with an individual directly. If you're an individual needing help, please first try to work with one of your local nonprofits to apply.
Prepare. You'll need: 1) a good client story (2-3 paragraphs tops) with a specific ask, 2) a good picture or short video of the recipient, 3) any rewards you might be able to give donors, and 4) an email address from someone able to collect funds on the organization's behalf. Think to yourself, "What am I raising funds to do?" Have a focused and well-defined ask. With a precisely defined goal, expectations are transparent for both the creator and potential backers.
Now you're looking at a number of empty boxes on the 'submit a project' page. Here's how to answer them.
Your Information: We need your name (the person applying) and your organization's name. We also need the name and location of the person you are trying to help.
Title: Besides looking at the picture, this could be the only thing people read. Make it as endearing and catchy as possible. Tell me who the client is – a retired nurse, cancer survivor, working mom, etc. You'll tap into natural constituency groups. Then tell me something that will make me curious to open the project, like "Working Mom is Infusing Art with Food". I want to go, "hmmm, that's sounds interesting." Sell the sizzle, not the steak.
Goal: How much money are you asking for? This shouldn't be a 'pie-in-the-sky' number, but a figure specifically tied to whatever you're trying to fund. Ask for a reasonable amount of money. However, make sure you take ALL costs into consideration. For example, if you need $1000 to fund a project, you may have to ask for $1090 to pay for the extra fees. If you're shipping rewards for high pledge amounts (example: a coffee mug to anyone who donates over $100), have you figured in the cost of the mug and cost of shipping?
All-or-Nothing vs. Flexible: All-or-nothing means that the pledges are only redeemable if you meet or surpass your goal. You can always exceed your goal, but if you come up a dollar short, you get nothing. Flexible means you can collect whatever is donated at the end of the campaign. Here at Barnraisings, our strong preference is all-or-nothing. All-or-nothing tells donors that you're being reasonable and that their donations will be used efficiently. We'll consider flexible funding, but be prepared to explain why it's necessary.
Description: Write your story as if I'm reading a short book jacket to a good fiction novel. In one to two paragraphs, set up a protagonist (your client), an antagonist (usually life events), and a point of conflict (will this person succeed without donors' help?) Tell me things about your client that will make me root for them. Tell me the obstacles that have been thrown in their path, and how they are trying to push through them. Tell me how my donation will catapult your client into success and stardom. Really…no more than three paragraphs or people won't read it.
Volunteers: If you have a volunteer component to your project, let us know. We'll put that in for you. You should tell us how many volunteers you need and any special skill required. For example, you might say, "we need five general volunteers and a plumbing contractor."
Featured Video URL: If you have a video, let us know. Video is even better at telling a story and showing emotion. Got an iPhone or Android? If so, you're in production. Hold it up and shoot. Then post the video on YouTube or Vimeo. That is the web address or URL that you'll place in this section. Projects with videos are far more likely to succeed.
We're just looking for 30-60 seconds, but again, we're looking for a story with emotion. Most of the time, your video will be something like this…"Hi, I'm so-and-so. I was not doing well a few years ago, but my sisters and I have really pulled things together, and we're started a new hair salon (she starts showing me the place.) It's pretty modest, but we're passionate about hair styling and are ready to make a go! What we could really use is a new salon chair. You know, the kind with the commercial hair dryer on top? If you could help us with this, it would really set us up for success! And if you need a haircut, come on by!"
Photos: This is the most important part of your submission because it may be the only thing that people look at to determine if they're interested. As best as possible, your photo should tell a story. Is it a family trying to clean up after a house fire? Instead of a head shot in front of the hedges, show them searching through the rubble. Is it a woman out of poverty starting a new business? Show them in their office making the best of what they've got. If you do opt for a headshot, make it intimate…like 60 Minutes intimate. Above all, show some emotion in the photograph.
Before you post a picture (or video) of your client, it's good practice to have them fill out a photo/video release form.
Donor Rewards: Rewards are what donors (backers) receive in exchange for donating to a project. You don't have to offer anything, but they certainly help motivate pledges. For example, if someone pledges $100, maybe they get a free coffee mug, or if someone pledges $500, maybe they get to have coffee with the CEO. Get creative.
The best rewards are tied to the project and organization, and there are three common themes.
- Service: if you're funding a cookie cart, you get cookies. If you're funding a salon chair, you get a free haircut.
- Experiences: a visit to the set, coffee with the nonprofit CEO, dinner with the client
- Mementos: A picture of you and the client; thanks in the credits, meaningful tokens that tell a story.
Try to have rewards at multiple levels. On Kickstarter, projects without a reward of $20 or less succeed 28% of the time, while projects with a reward of $20 or less succeed 45% of the time. At least offer then good karma!
***Note that you are solely responsible for fulfilling any pledge awards.
Agree to Terms & Hit 'Send': Now read it all over and click the 'agree to terms' button. (See our terms under 'About Us'. You must agree in order to have a project listed.) Then hit 'send' and you're done! If your project meets all our criteria, we'll ask you to set up an account on WePay. WePay is like PayPal but without all the hassle. It's just a place that can process credit cards. You'll need to link your bank account to your WePay account in order to collect the funds. It's simple to do…find a check of your organization and put in your account number and routing number.
After you submit, we'll read it over, get back to you with any corrections/suggestions, and then try to publish it on the site ASAP.
Good job! If you're ready, click on 'Submit a Project'.


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Tag Archives: paint
Do-nut miss this Donut Party, starting with a DIY Donut Wreath
I have a little fun planned this week, as I'm thinking ahead to National Donut Day on June 2. (Yes, June! It's almost here, can you believe it?) I'm hoping that this week's donut crafts will inspire you to host … Continue reading
Posted in Craft Tutorial, Entertaining, Fabric Craft, Wreaths Tagged diy, Donut Party, Donut Wreath, easy, Fabric, paint, spoonflower, sprinkles, Styrofoam wreath 12 Comments
A Chinese New Year's craft for the Year of the Rooster
The Chinese New Year on January 28 ushers in the Year of the Rooster. According to Chinese astrology, it's a year in which loyalty, hard work, family, and looking good will matter. Today I have a Rooster craft the kids … Continue reading
Favorite Candy Corn Crafts for Halloween – and a sweet little giveaway
I just might need a candy corn intervention! After I posted the Candy Corn Eggs & Minis earlier this week, I thought about all of the colorful, candy corn crafts I've shared through the years. And there have been a … Continue reading
Posted in Fall Crafts, Halloween Crafts, Kid's Crafts Tagged air-dry clay, candy corn crafts, deco mesh ribbon, diy, Duct tape, easy, Fabric, flex ribbon, glitter, Halloween crafts, paint, paper, Styrofoam cone, Styrofoam sheet 68 Comments
Candy Corn Craft idea: DIY Glittered Candy Corn Eggs
I've hatched a new, candy corn craft today – DIY Glittered Candy Corn Eggs! And where there are Glittered, Candy Corn Eggs, there have to be a few itty bitty, Glittered Candy Corns, right? Today's candy corn craft is pretty … Continue reading
Kid's craft idea: Make a Read & Grow Bookworm
I remember reading for hours & hours during the summer when I was a kid (that is, when I wasn't making something). My daughter spent her summer hours the same way, and visits to the library were a highlight of … Continue reading
Posted in Craft Tutorial, Kid's Crafts Tagged bookworm, chenille stems, diy, kids craft, paint, Styrofoam balls, summer reading incentive, summer reading program 8 Comments
A sweet, sparkling summertime watermelon craft
I bet you thought I'd have a patriotic craft today, right? Nope, I do not. Today is all about a summertime favorite – watermelon! Watermelon tastes like summer, don't you think? I have an easy watermelon craft today that will … Continue reading
A Shark Week craft for kids: DIY a Shark Pencil Holder
Shark Week, that annual celebration and exploration of everything shark, starts June 26th on the Discovery Channel. If you know a Shark Week fan, then do not miss this Shark Pencil Holder. I wouldn't want to meet a shark in … Continue reading
An Angry Birds craft: How to DIY those colorful, Angry Birds
Do you have Angry Birds fans at home? If so, I bet they're excited about The Angry Birds movie that debuts today. To commemorate the movie opening, designer Linda Valentino is sharing an Angry Bird craft today. The supplies needed … Continue reading
Posted in Craft Tutorial, Kid's Crafts Tagged Angry Birds, Angry birds camp craft, Angry Birds craft, Angry birds scout craft, diy, easy, foamies, paint, Styrofoam balls 12 Comments
How to make everlasting Peek-a-Boo Eggs with woodland scenes
Patty Schaffer had the right idea when she made these Peek-a-Boo Easter Eggs. Years ago, I remember painstakingly trimming little peek-a-boo holes in real egg shells, and creating miniature critters from bread dough for the scenes inside. When I unpacked … Continue reading
Posted in Craft Tutorial, Easter Crafts Tagged diy, Easter egg craft, egg scenes, faux sugar eggs, glitter, paint, peek-a-boo eggs, Styrofoam egg 16 Comments
How to make Glittered Gumdrop Ornaments (and the winners!)
Who else pulls out the Christmas craft supplies when the family gathers for Thanksgiving? I'm in charge of our "Thanksgiving Craftermath" and it's a lot of fun. If you'd like to plan a little Thanksgiving craft hour with your family, … Continue reading
Posted in Christmas Ornaments, Craft Tutorial, Gift Ideas, Kid's Crafts Tagged diy, easy, glitter, gumdrop ornaments, paint, Styrofoam eggs 16 Comments


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Has anyone of your acquaintances married a person from a dating site? I guess, somebody has done this, and he/she was even not the only one among those whom you know well. Sure, some people prefer to paint a picture of more romantic first meeting with their partner than a description of the search on the Internet.
Why do they hide the fact that their acquaintance was held on this site? Just a dozen years ago in the USA, and still in some conservative countries and communities, negative stereotypes are spread regarding online dating. Even in the US, some people still believe that any dating site is a bunch of losers, a disgusting den of libertines, or a playground of slackers, the kind of computer games. But if we look at research results, we can see the following figure. In 2010, 7000 American citizens were interviewed: where did you meet to your wife (your husband) first time? 17% answered that it had been on the Internet. While the stake of the marriages which had appeared as the results of the meetings in bars, clubs and at social event parties, was twice smaller! Other research states that a third of American couples who married between 2005 and 2012 met online.
So, the number of those who have overcome their pride and prejudice (in regard to the web tools), has grown considerably in the sphere of search of a life companion. Something similar is going on with the search of business partners nowadays.
Online deal sourcing has become a rather popular instrument facilitating private investment deal-sourcing. There are a lot of such online platforms, with more or less good structure, usability and other features.
Like in the case of the search of a marriage partner, a well-designed online platform with a relevant extensive database of buyers and sellers means the widening of choice, the list of buyers (sellers). According to the experts of iDeals Solutions Group, the , and many other analysts, even one careful look at the trends of M&A market* could show sufficiently to understand, that a lot of new players are coming to take part in the self-reinforced global process of M&A, various investment deals. Even the best expert of the narrowest niche hardly knows all the actors in it, because startups are being multiplied, older businesses are being transformed, and new regions demonstrate the interest in that niche, so the whole crowd is entering to compete in the boiling soup of the hitherto silent Lagoon. The increasing of potentially profitable cross-border deals, as well as the generation born with a computer mouse in hand (those players who are inseparably familiar with IT) are contributing to the popularity of online deal sourcing.
Such an online platform, for buyers and sellers to find each other, could be a good complimentary tool for deal sourcing, if meets the requirements:
- very high IT security qualification of provider (e.g. iDeals Solutions proved to match this, just look who are the customers);
- very friendly and qualified support team, available 24/7/365;
- customers' excellent understanding of objectives, for the correct arranging of search options.
Answer topic what happened at the https://www.pro-essay-writer.com constitutional conventionNovember 24th, 2015 - admin


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View more photos in "Silversun Pickups & Metric @ Verizon Droid Launch."
Indie rock music met tech at last Friday's Verizon Droid Launch at Bimbo's 365 Club in San Francisco, where Canadian Band Metric and Silverlake band Silversun Pickups played to celebrate the launch of Verizon Droid, an iPhone contender that has sold an estimated 100,000 units in its first weekend on the market and was much anticipated by key members of the technology community including Techcrunch demagogue Michael Arrington.
Yes, mobile snobs might salivate at the Droid's Google-powered navigation system, but the real question is (as always), "Will the product appeal to people beyond your average early adopter and win the hearts of mainstream users who are already pretty addicted to their 'Jesus Phones'?"
Perhaps that is why the company chose more low key (i.e. hipster) bands to helm its S.F. launch, winning over the tech savvy as well as the dillentate with it's eclectic taste. See: Weezer mySpace "Secret Shows" for another example of excellent target marketing.
Metric sparkles onstage
Let me use rest of this post to posit a theory: Our sister publication LAWeekly had an interesting run-in with the Pickups last week, which resulted in drunkeness, revelry and a torn up reporter's notebook. While I did not find a Delorean, yours truly ended up at Osha Thai (the Denny's of Thai food presumably) and don't really remember how I got home.
I wasn't even supposed to write this review; my originally assigned writer also came down with a bad case of Silversun Pickups amnesia.
My theory is the Pickups are cursed; you see a Pickups show and end up remembering, well not much, but in a good way (after all the band was named after a liquor store). Perhaps then the new Verizon Droid can help you find your way home, if not your actual memories from the concert?
In any case, you know what they say about photos (and even more so, video via Handstamp Music) ...


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Yanindara Trailer (2009)
01 October 2009 20 mins
A gypsy village. Immigrants who have camped their caravans and tents on the outskirts of any given European city. Smells of sweat, dust and animals. A car arrives. An stranger gets out. He is in search of a miracle. He is looking for Yanindara...
Watch the official Yanindara 2009 trailer in HD below or find more Yanindara videos on Vidimovie.


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34 Insanely Simple Two-Ingredient Recipes(8 Posts)
ariadneoliver Sun 09-Dec-12 21:38:27
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Antenna Mt-Nylon Ratchet - Seadog Line
The iBoats Experience
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This item is found in the following Product Families
Injection molded from UV stabilized nylon with dual swiveling mounts for full adjustability. Design allows the antenna wire to be fed directly through the base eliminating the need for a separate cable outlet and reduces the potential for areas of water leakage. The control knob allows for quick and easy adjustment and reduces the possibility of mooring lines fishing lines and other lines getting caught on the handle. Accepts any standard antenna with 1" - #14 threads.
This product ships in 1 business day.
Add to Cart and enter your Postal Code to determine the shipping charges.
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View full details at EstateSales.NET: https://www.EstateSales.NET/AZ/Avondale/85323/1380903
Monday, December 5, 2016 at 6:00 PM
Same-day Preview 10:00am to Start of Auction.
Fantastic Auction with 400+ lots of quality items. You won't want to miss this no-minimum-bid, Live & Internet Auction which features Firearms and Military Memorabilia! Most items are offered without Reserves!
Preview begins at 10:00am on auction day and the live in-house auction starts at 6:00pm.
This sale description was copied from EstateSales.NET on 11/21/2017 (26-102-11:58:48 AM). Please check there for accurate up-to-date information (224-54).
Link to full catalog: https://azfirearms.hibid.com/catalog/79999/december-5th-monday-gun-and-military-collectible-auction/?sortOrder=2
A partial list includes:
Engraved Henry 1866 in .44 RF Lever Rifle
Gun Colt Python in 357 Mag Double Action Revolver
Steyr HS.50 in 50 BMG Sniping Rifle
WWII Inland M1 in 30 Carb Semi Auto Carbine
Head Down PV13 in 5.56 Semi Auto Rifle
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Aiura Episode 9 English Subbed
You are watching Aiura Episode 9 English Subbed from the Aiura Anime Show. Watch or Download Aiura Episode 9 MP4 English Sub and other episodes of Aiura Streamed for Free.
Stream Aiura Episode 9
Episode Summary: Kanaka tells Saki and Ayuko about a dream she had where they were at the beach smashing watermelons, but Saki became sad because she didn't get to smash any. Ayuko follows by explaining that in her dream, Kanaka was doing a magic trick with her hair, but when Ayuko pulled her left ponytail it resulted in an atomic explosion. Saki follows by telling them that her life dream is to marry into wealth. Saki and Ayuko are put into a state of disbelief when Kanaka reveals that she dreams of being an idol due to the low expectations of her mother and former junior high school teacher. Afterwards Kanaka asks Ms. Wakatsuki how to marry into wealth, which upsets her.


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|31 Aug 2013
HD Tune Pro Causes BSOD 0x3B (0xC0000005, 0xFFFFF80003102BF4, 0xFFFFF8
When runnning HD Tune Pro, a BSOD pops up creating a dump which "whocrashed" analyzed as :
Crash dump directory: C:\Windows\Minidump
Crash dumps are enabled on your computer.
On Sat 8/31/2013 8:19:23 PM GMT your computer crashed
crash dump file: C:\Windows\memory.dmp
This was probably caused by the following module: ntkrnlmp.exe (nt!KeBugCheckEx+0x0)
Bugcheck code: 0x3B (0xC0000005, 0xFFFFF80003102BF4, 0xFFFFF8800A9DE630, 0x0)
Error: SYSTEM_SERVICE_EXCEPTION
Bug check description: This indicates that an exception happened while executing a routine that transitions from non-privileged code to privileged code.
This appears to be a typical software driver bug and is not likely to be caused by a hardware problem.
The crash took place in the Windows kernel. Possibly this problem is caused by another driver that cannot be identified at this time.
System Spec :
computer name: TE56
windows version: Windows 7 , 6.1, build: 7600
windows dir: C:\Windows
CPU: GenuineIntel Intel(R) Core(TM) i7 CPU 920 @ 2.67GHz Intel586, level: 6
8 logical processors, active mask: 255
RAM: 17170419712 total
VM: 2147352576, free: 1982869504
|My System Specs
|01 Sep 2013
Post it following the Blue Screen of Death (BSOD) Posting Instructions.
|My System Specs
|10 Sep 2013
The zip you uploaded does not contain any crash dump.
Follow it: Dump Files - Configure Windows to Create on BSOD
Go to Option Two, Point 2. Download the .reg file and merge it in registry by double clicking it.
Now wait for another BSOD. When it occurred, search the .dmp files manually in the default path: C:\Windows\Minidump or %SystemRoot%\Minidump. See if the crash dump is recorded or not (hopefully it will be recorded).Post it following the Blue Screen of Death (BSOD) Posting Instructions.
Dont run any disc cleanup program before you upload another zip.
|My System Specs
|11 Sep 2013
Second run of Diagnostic Tool.
The crash dump file exists, the program was run as administrator and produced similar files as before hand(No errors occured, and the program stated that dump files were copied.. And with no example of what contents the folder
I do not not know if the program is detecting the dump file, but if it still does not show up in the zip again, then a complimentary copy of the original dump file is included...
Since "Blue Screen of Death (BSOD) Posting Instructions" were followed multiple times with this same resulting zip file.
|My System Specs
|12 Sep 2013
Set the crash dump to minidump as per my earlier post, wait for another BSOD, and then follow the BSOD posting instructions.
|My System Specs
|Thread Tools
|Similar help and support threads
BSOD G73JH ntoskrnl.exe (nt+0x75BC0) BCC: 0x3B (0xC0000005,
Started getting random BSOD Any suggestions would be appreciated! Regards
|BSOD Help and Support
BSOD after start-up, Bug Check Code 59 0xc0000005
Hi, My computer just blue screened at random. It has happened a couple of times recently but after a system restore I thought it was solved. A recent scan suggested the hard drive might be a problem. Can someone take a look at the attached files and advise me? Thanks
|BSOD Help and Support
Random BSOD, infrequent but regular, 0xc0000005
So it's a brand new rig running Windows 7 64-bit, I've had it for about 10 days now. Started experiencing BSODs from day one. It happens when playing games mostly, but sometimes it crashes w/o any applications running. I've tried reinstalling Windows a few times, running memory tests...
|BSOD Help and Support
BSOD 0x0000007e 0xc0000005 0x8365035c.........
Hello, I need help with my BSOD problem since i couldn't find any threats similar with mine. But if it's there sorry. Because i really need some help to diagnosis my problem. I try everything such as: chkdsk; startup repair; reg cleaner; driver update; Microsoft fix it; etc. None...
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BSOD Just surfing the web 0xC0000005
The recent instance is just a string of other BSODs I have had. One came from me using Debut and a Dazzle DVC100 and another from a CAD Usb Microphone. I have checked drivers and run scans. I am out of ideas. Specs. OS Name Microsoft Windows 7 Home Premium Version 6.1.7601 Service...
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BSOD : 0x7e with error code 0xC0000005
Hi, Attaching here BSOD crash dump file, BTW i am using Windows XP embedded OS, If this is not the right place to ask help for XP embedded then please suggest.
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Bottom Line Maintenance & Repair
Review for Bottom Line Maintenance & Repair
Jeanette C. on 02/24/2016
Jeanette said she took the vehicle in during the Christmas holiday. They worked on it, as soon as they could. She said she was happy with the communication she received during the service.
Vehicle: Ford Focus
Category: Service
Service Date: 02/03/2016
Review Created: 02/24/2016
This review was collected via phone interview by Customer Research Inc.


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Over the L'Arc-en-Ciel Trailer (2014)
05 December 2014 Factual, Music 100 mins
The documentary of the largest world tour in Japanese Music History, made into a film. Celebrating their 20th anniversary, L'Arc-en-Ciel made the challenge to have a huge scale world tour which had never heard in Japanese rock band history.
Watch the official Over the L'Arc-en-Ciel 2014 trailer in HD below or find more Over the L'Arc-en-Ciel videos on Vidimovie.


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At Gemvara, we believe that the jewelry you wear should be one of a kind, like you. That's why we make each piece to order, one at a time, just the way you want it. Choose tanzanite and rose gold or tourmaline and white gold: it's your choice. Mix and match gems and precious metals for a look that's exactly you. It's jewelry for all life's occasions, from an anniversary or graduation to your own personal milestones and celebrations. Gemvara uses only the highest quality materials to craft your sterling silver june birthstone alexandrite stackable jewelry design with meticulous attention to detail. Our precious metals are recycled or responsibly mined. Alexandrite is the June birthstone and the 55th anniversary gem. The June birthstone, pearl and alexandrite, are luminous and subtle. Feminine and enchanting, pearls are the gems of pure perfection and are said to glow with captured moonlight. Alexandrite's awe-inspiring colors change from shades of green to vivid reds as it moves from sunlight to incandescent, and it is said to bring good luck and fortune to its bearer. Gemvara is the first online retailer to offer sterling silver jewelry crafted in Argentium, the finest silver, which has a shine that lasts ten times longer than traditional silver without tarnishing. Our wide selection of sterling silver june birthstone alexandrite stackable jewelry by Randy Dixon, Jeet Palavwala, Gemvara Essentials, and other talented designers means you can find jewelry that's exactly your style. You can also shop by style, choosing our Key, Pure, or Our Picks Collections. Stylish and versatile, Gemvara's stackable ring styles can be mixed and matched with all the other rings in your jewelry box to express your unique style. Gemvara's fine quality sterling silver june birthstone alexandrite stackable jewelry is designed to be passed down for generations to come, crafted by hand in the United States.
We can help right away. Chat with a jewelry expert now!


text: Endothelial Failure After Collagen Cross-Linking With Riboflavin and UV-A: Case Report With Literature ReviewBagga, Bhupesh FRCS; Pahuja, Shivani MS; Murthy, Somasheila MS; Sangwan, Virendra S. MSCornea: October 2012 - Volume 31 - Issue 10 - p 1197–1200 doi: 10.1097/ICO.0b013e31823cbeb1 Case Report Abstract Author Information Purpose: To report a case of endothelial decompensation after a collagen cross-linking (CXL) procedure for keratoconus. Methods: An 18-year-old boy had CXL for keratoconus in the right eye. He developed keratouveitis with generalized corneal edema seen 3 weeks after the procedure. Polymerase chain reaction for aqueous humor Herpes simplex virus was negative. The patient was treated with topical steroids. Specular microscopy revealed mildly reduced density of endothelial cells. On follow-up to 6 months, corneal edema increased with the formation of epithelial bullae. Penetrating keratoplasty was performed. Possible causes for this complication are discussed. Results: Clinical and histopathological analyses revealed generalized loss of endothelial cells along with signs of inflammation. Conclusions: Although it is considered very safe, collagen CXL can cause severe keratouveitis and endothelial failure. Cornea and Anterior Segment Department, L.V. Prasad Eye Institute, Hyderabad, India. Reprints: Bhupesh Bagga, Cornea and Anterior Segment Department, L. V. Prasad Eye Institute, Hyderabad 500034, India (e-mail: email@example.com). The authors declare that they have no financial interest. The authors state that they have no proprietary interest in the products named in this article. Copyright © 2012 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.


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"A disturbance extremely near the ward"
About: Kent & Canterbury Hospital Kent & Canterbury Hospital Canterbury CT1 3NG
Posted by beacons (as ),
Outside Kingston ward last weekend. Cant recall which evening as I was drowsy. People had been in the corridor most of the evening, not just a few people but many. Some were sitting on the floor. A lady seemed to be dying. Suddenly chaos and very loud voices, a disagreement had broken out. As they were just outside the ward door and I was in the bed near the door it was extremely upsetting. I was on monitors etc and felt very vulnerable. They eventually went, not quietly. There was broken glass in the corridor. There had been many people there of varying ages from babies in push chairs. The other lady in the ward was also upset and worried. I noticed that notices stated the number of visitors allowed and visiting hours. Why was this not adhered to? Why was this chaos allowed to happen? Where was the security? It did not make us feel comfortable and relaxed. This happened long after visiting hours were over. I can not say quite how vulnerable I felt, but it is not what one expects from hospital care.
Response from Kent & Canterbury Hospital 13 months ago
We are truly sorry that you had to witness this very frightening episode.
The crowd were family members of a patient and were all anxious and distressed about their relative.
However, they should have respected our visiting hours and not have turned up en mass at that hour and they did so without contacting the hospital.
To reassure you, security was called, but the officer was at the other side of the hospital initially.
However, on arrival he did immediately intervene to persuade the visitors to leave.
We are so sorry for the distress caused to you and your fellow patients; you should not be made to feel vulnerable while in hospital and I hope that staff did their best to reassure you.
- {{helpful}} {{helpful == 1 ? "person thinks" : "people think"}} this response is helpful
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Thank you for your feedback.
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TWO village community groups have been put forward for countywide environment awards.
The Widdrington Station Allotment Society and the village litter pickers have been nominated for the LOVE Northumberland Rewarding Community Achievement Awards.
The groups were put forward by Widdrington Station and Stobswood Parish Council to recognise their commitment to improving the neighbourhood and give them a chance of winning £250 for their work.
The awards have been created by Northumberland County Council to honour projects that preserve and enhance the area, or address environmental issues.
Nominations close tomorrow and the awards will be presented at a ceremony at The Alnwick Garden on Wednesday, July 13.
For more information visit www.northumberland.gov.uk/love or call 0845 6006400.


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Print Recipe
Literally translated as 'English soup', an Italian cold pudding, similar to the English trifle, which is so smothered in custard that it looks like a soup. It is made with macaroons or sponge cake moistened with Marsala or rum, layered with custard, whipped cream and glacé fruit or toasted almonds. In some regions, melted chocolate may be folded through part of the custard for variation, while in others, it is topped with meringue. It is served chilled after refrigeration for several hours.


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Stock Graphic >> Illustration - Woman kissing a man 114990 by dan @ CreativeMarket
File Size: 309.8 KB; Vector: Yes.
Beautiful young woman hugging and kissing a man. Modern fine art picture, vector illustration.
Keywords: woman, kissing, hug, hugging, kiss, love, lover, vector, art, fine, portrait, picasso, wife, couple, husband, face, emotion, feelings, romantic, boyfriend.


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Cessna T210N, XB-LLD, 14 November 2011
- From:
- Air Accidents Investigation Branch
- Date of occurrence:
- 14 November 2011
- Aircraft category:
- Commercial - fixed wing
- Report type:
- Bulletin - Field investigation
- Aircraft type:
- Cessna T210N
- Location:
- 9 miles northeast of Gerrard Smith International Airport, Cayman Brac, Cayman Islands
- Registration:
Cessna T210N, XB-LLD
The aircraft was destroyed when it struck poles and trees while landing at night on an unlit road on the island of Cayman Brac. Both occupants were fatally injured. There was a large spill of Avgas from tanks carried in the cabin as part of a modified fuel system, but no fire.
Download report:
Cessna T210N XB-LLD 09-12.pdf (1,665.83 kb)
Document information
Date of occurrence: 14 November 2011
From: Air Accidents Investigation Branch
Aircraft category: Commercial - fixed wing
Report type: Bulletin - Field investigation
Aircraft type: Cessna T210N
Location: 9 miles northeast of Gerrard Smith International Airport, Cayman Brac, Cayman Islands
Registration: XB-LLD


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03 August 2011
Posted by Michelle DevonshireThe UK's measure of manufacturing industry growth has shown a contraction for the first time in two years.According to Markit and the Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply, which compile the monthly data, July saw output growth slow sharply.The Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for manufacturing fell over the month from 51.4 in June to 49.1, with figures above 50 indicative of expansion, although exports continued to perform well.Strong performance in the beginning of this has declined in recent months and Rob Dobson, Senior Economist at Markit, has predicted: "With austerity arriving at home and debt ills rising in the US and euro area, significant headwinds are on the horizon."His comments come after the PMI from Markit and JPMorgan for the global manufacturing industry demonstrated a slowing of growth during July 2011.The UK measure saw a fall in domestic demand over the period in question and the first production job losses since March 2010.
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We recommend upgrading to the latest Internet Explorer, Google Chrome, or Firefox.
If you are using IE 9 or later, make sure you turn off "Compatibility View".
Handpicked brands for you
Excited to partner with @theautocamp to add some curated sounds to their Airstream camping experience in Santa Barbara and the Russian River. Check them out as our Vibe of the Week and scope their new website to book your next weekend getaway....


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Silicon Germanium
The large data demands of today's Mobile, Cloud, and Big Data applications and services mandates high speed communication connectivity solutions using Wireless, Wireline, or Optical connectivity with ever increasing data rates and bandwidth. These applications require greater chip integration, higher performance, and increased bandwidth while delivering reduced power consumption and in cost effective solutions. Telecom, Datacom, HPC, Mobile, and Wireless have been primary drivers and in addition, new applications, such as Satellite Communications, Point-to-Point radio (V-Band/E-Band), Defense and Instrumentation are demanding RF performance over wide operating conditions. Silicon Germanium BiCMOS technology is ideally suited to supporting increasing communication demands in wireless and wired networks. It combines strengths of two different processes into a single device; Bipolar transistors that offer high speed and gain and CMOS FETs (Field Effect Transistors) that excel in low power digital circuit implementations. This allows for digital, Analog and RF functions to be integrated and build a complex, small low power System on Chip ("SoC").
Telecom Applications
SiGe BiCMOS technology has product differentiating advantages for drivers and TIAs used in long haul and metro applications, from low overall component cost compared to GaAs parts, to system power consumption savings. The GaAs chips are replaced in MMIC components with SiGe counterparts that provide easier control of bias circuitry and higher integration capabilities.
Point to Point Radios
GigPeak has a deep history in designing microwave and mmW IC components utilizing Silicon Germanium ("SiGe") technology. It has successfully launched SiGe components in various commercial and military markets. These include backhaul radios and Hi-Rel satellite components for wireless applications.
Datacom Applications
In wired communications, GigPeak is expanding its low power parallel optics PMD portfolio to address the challenges of higher data rates, lower power, lower emissions and longer reach within the consumer space using the latest SiGe technology. GigPeak is developing new products that will enable chip to chip, board to board, and system to system optical interconnects, removing the constraints of copper cabling and allowing standards from 40G, 100G, and 400G to HDMI, DisplayPort and USB to realize their full potential. At GigPeak, SiGe is seen as a high value, differentiating technology which enables all of GigPeak's core product segments.
Key Advantages
- Increased data rates and bandwidth
- Higher level of integration RF, Analog and digital functions in a single IC
- Lower power consumption Use of high performance Bipolar transistor with low power CMOS FETs
- Lower component cost compared to GaAs based devices
- Inherent Radiation Tolerance
Key Applications
- Drivers and TIAs for long haul and metro network applications
- Data center 40G, 100G, 400G transceiver modules
- High speed Active Optical Cables (AOC) for consumer applications
- Backhaul/Base Station Radios EBand & VBand, Hi-Rel Satellite components
- Global Positioning Systems
- Optical Wireless backhaul