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We discuss politics, computer science, philosophy, economics, gardening, and sex.
Wednesday, August 20, 2008
The Hockey Stick Debate, Clima(c)tic Conclusion
In a previous post, I gave a dumbed down version of what McIntyre and McKitrick did to blow up Mann et al.'s hockey stick (featured again below, because pictures are so good to break up the monotony of this site--seriously Gene, let's hang up a portrait or something!).
(One other loose end: I emailed McKitrick and there wasn't a mistake in his description of what happens to the variance when you use Mann's algorithm. It's not worth getting into--and frankly I don't fully understand it yet myself, I need to print this thing out and really study it--but suffice it to say, McKitrick didn't get the direction mixed up, as I had speculated.)
Now then on to the fun stuff. So at RealClimate--the premier anti-denier website--one of the Real Climate Scientists has a "official" response to the hockey stick stuff. (There are plenty of other posts at RealClimate on this issue.) For the response I'm focusing on, the guy's strongest point is, "Hey Mann et al.'s mistakes don't affect the policy debate, because other scientists have produced similarly hockey-stick-shaped graphs."
But I don't care right now about the big important issues; I just want to focus on this tiny little throw-away quibble that the RealClimate guy here uses. To understand what's he talking about, we need to review that McKitrick claimed in his explanation of the whole hockey stick brou ha ha (pdf), that the reason the whole episode is important is that it shows how flawed the quality control is on the IPCC, and it shows that the mainstream journals were not bothered by what had happened.
Specifically, when M&M wrote up their results--which showed that even random data fed into Mann's algorithm would have generated a pronounced hockey stick over 99% of the time--and this was the graph featured in the IPCC Third Assessment Report--this is how the oh-so-self-correcting body of careful scientists responded:
We submitted a letter to Nature about this flaw [that it took any data and turned them into a hockey stick--RPM] in the MBH98 procedure. After a long (8-month) reviewing process they notified us that they would not publish it. They concluded it could not be explained in the 500-word limit they were prepared to give us, and one of the referees said he found the material was quite technical and unlikely to be of interest to the general readers. Instead Mann et al. were permitted to make a coy disclosure in their July Corrigendum. In an on-line Supplement (but not in the printed text itself) they revealed the nonstandard method [of standardizing using the mean of the 20th century, not of the whole series--RPM], and added the unsupported claim that it did not affect the results.
OK everyone get that? I mean look, the IPCC did in fact remove the Mann et al. graph from the report; it's not featured in the AR4 version. So that means M&M were basically right. That's...kind of a big deal. So if the above description of how the huge journal Nature reacted to this (what should have been a) bombshell, then that's pretty sobering.
Now then, the guy at RealClimate responds to McKitrick's version of what went down. This is from his MYTH #4 about the hockey stick debate:
False claims of the existence of errors in the Mann et al (1998) reconstruction can also be traced to spurious allegations made by two individuals, McIntyre and McKitrick (McIntyre works in the mining industry, while McKitrick is an economist). The false claims were first made in an article (McIntyre and McKitrick, 2003) published in a non-scientific (social science) journal "Energy and Environment" and later, in a separate "Communications Arising" comment that was rejected by Nature based on negative appraisals by reviewers and editor [as a side note, we find it peculiar that the authors have argued elsewhere that their submission was rejected due to 'lack of space'. Nature makes their policy on such submissions quite clear: "The Brief Communications editor will decide how to proceed on the basis of whether the central conclusion of the earlier paper is brought into question; of the length of time since the original publication; and of whether a comment or exchange of views is likely to seem of interest to nonspecialist readers. Because Nature receives so many comments, those that do not meet these criteria are referred to the specialist literature." Since Nature chose to send the comment out for review in the first place, the "time since the original publication" was clearly not deemed a problematic factor. One is logically left to conclude that the grounds for rejection were the deficiencies in the authors' arguments explicitly noted by the reviewers].
Does everybody see what this guy did here? McKitrick reported what he said actually happened to him, what he saw with his own eyes. And this guy "mike" is doubting what McKitrick said--and it's not like he said elephants flew out of his left nostril, ya know--and his reasons for basically calling McKitrick a LIAR are:
(1) I looked at the official policies of Nature, something that maybe only 130 other geeks on the planet have ever looked at, and
(2) I logically conclude (mike's words) that you must be a liar (or can't read, or have a really bad memory, etc.).
Folks, this is very similar to what is going on in the big picture. There are lots of experts in various areas who say that the official "consensus" story doesn't really fit in the (non-essential) part where it rests on their area of expertise.
And when you really boil it down, the response of the official climatologists is: "Oh yeah? Well in our models--which are extremely complex and would take you 5 years of training just to be able to manipulate them and know what you were doing--we can only match the observed temperature of the 20th century if we assume CO2 and other GHGs have been the driving forcings, and that the climate has high feedback loops with warming. In fact, we defy you to build a model as complicated as ours are, and show that natural forces alone can yield the temperature we saw in the 20th century. And don't give us some half-*ssed regressions, we want an actual model of the entire planet, including the oceans and atmosphere, that obeys the laws of physics. Until you do that, we have nothing more to say. And if you disagree, I'm going to assume you either hate life or are getting paid by Exxon."
Am I exaggerating? Sure. But just go reread the above post. Those things really happened. That guy mike really did give that argument to challenge McKitrick's recollection of what had occurred.
6 comments:
I'm confused; your climactic conclusion ignores the big important issues and focusses on a "tiny little throw-away quibble", that you think is a "big deal"?ReplyDelete
Let's not ignore the mountain of climate change evidence while you focus on the hockey-stick molehill of what information we can derive from dendrochronologies and how some of the people screwed up and tried to cover their tracks. I think it's fair to criticize others for their ho-hum reactions, but dendrochronologies and the hockey stick are just a small piece of AGW support, and hardly the leg on which AGW stands.
But even while you criticize, perhaps you can understand why many scientists (and corporations and other analysts) didn't focus on the dendrochronology hockey stick, and don't think it deserves as much attention as the "skeptics" keep trying to give to it.
I'm confused...ReplyDelete
I know.
Tom, are you challenging the factual assertions I am making in this post?
Are you denying that the IPCC picked as its smoking gun--and I'm talking about the presentation it gave in the TAR, not "what is the body of evidence" in some abstract sense--a graph that was constructed with a process that would turn random data into a hockey stick 99% of the time?
And then, when two guys discovered this and tried to report it to Nature, they were blown off after being given a pseudo-run-around (I don't know if 8 months is a long time in the natural sciences; it's fairly long for economics).
And is this guy "mike"--not some bozo, but a guy posting on RealClimate--then wrong in dismissing the "factual errors" he says doesn't exist in Mann et al.'s original paper?
The context for this, Tom, is that there are plenty of big name researchers who say this is a bunch of garbage. So as outsiders, what can we do? Well, the "consensus" people say, "We have our peer review process. We win."
So this hockey stick episode casts serious doubts about the integrity of how this "consensus" gets molded.
No I don't think I'm making a mountain out of a molehill at all. I think the guy mike, and referees for Nature, are making a molehill out of an elephant-hill.
TT: The fact that the guys at RealClimate are ultimately correct would not take away from the fact that M&M's treatment was inexcusable and precisely the opposite of what scientific inquiry should look like.ReplyDelete
Given the policy implications, there really needs to already be a fully-audtiable computer model that anyone can download and for which you can check and modify every assumption going in, and run yourself. I would actually expect this for any branch of science, but especially so here. But maybe -- if M&M's treatment is any indication -- the scientific community in general diverges sharply from what is taught about it, and the intense public scrutiny it's getting now (even if it's a "motivated search" for confirmatory evidence) is a godsend in bringing about needed reform.
And you know what? Maybe the global warming alarmism will unwind as enviros find their *next* hip rationalization for implementing stupid policies they'd want anyway.
NEVERTHELESS, the reactions I've seen from (who I thought were) my fellow libertarians on this issue has been very informative as to what values they really hold. (Apparently, zombie-like defense of whatever convenience they've gotten used to, really is more important than establishing clear, principled property rights in everything.) Depressing and disgusting, but informative.
Joe, sorry I missed your response.ReplyDelete
I certainly don't buy that IPCC scientists, with malice aforethought, included the hockey stick in TAR despite knowing its flaws. I don't buy that you're that much into conspiracy theories, either.
That people screwed up is something that I can accept, but like I said, while I think M&M clearly pointed out flaws with Mann's paper, I don't see the flaws as in any way undermining the case for action on climate change.
As I noted on your other thread, while the NAS accepted criticisms of Mann's methods, they essentially confirmed that Mann's conclusions of abnormally rapid and large temperature changes in the past century are right.
You might also note that those unmitigated liars at the NAS have just published a spiffed up version of Mann's hockey stick.
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"The advancement of science and the rationality of politics are interwoven in a social process that, in the perspective of a more distant f...
Declares LewRockwell.com : "All of this means that while the government has been artificially propping up the economy and 'stimu...
Is shaping up nicely .
The language won't die, but that doesn't mean the programmers won't ! Funny quote: '"Just because a language is 50...


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Rancho Buena Vista High School Band and Color Guard are looking for donations and sponsorships to meet their goal of raising at least $15,000 by May 1 to replace the old tractor trailer, which carries their musical equipment. The school's Color Guard has performed in the 2003 Tournament of Roses Parade in Pasadena and at the 2009 pre-Olympics ceremony in the People's of Republic of China. The group has been invited to play at the pre-Olympics ceremony this summer in London.
For more information about the Replace the Rig fundraiser, go to rbvband.org.

subset: commoncrawl


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Wow, UFC Ring Girl Brittney Palmer comes up big and strong and sexy and crazy hot in this look behind the scenes of her current FHM magazine photoshoot.
We're already long-time fascinated and head-over-heels in lust with Brittney Palmer, in good measure because of her Playboy pictorial earlier this year where she finally took it all off (click here to join PlayboyPlus to see the full birthday suit photos of Brittney among other nekkid niceties) but now we're about to go overboard, way overboard, with infatuation after viewing Brittney in candid form at the production of her photoshoot. Some girls are just crazy hot. Brittney Palmer is some of those girls.<embed src="http://c.brightcove.com/services/viewer/federated_f9?isVid=1" bgcolor="#FFFFFF" flashvars="videoId=1941032685001&playerID=3924268001&playerKey=AQ~~,AAAAABZ6q0U~,5iryw5-lcm2-VeQzeZ13Qap-IrKWz5LG&domain=embed&dynamicStreaming=true" base="http://admin.brightcove.com" name="flashObj" width="600" height="450" seamlesstabbing="false" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowfullscreen="true" swliveconnect="true" allowscriptaccess="always" pluginspage="http://www.macromedia.com/shockwave/download/index.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash">


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Prepare for Weaker Economic Growth, Budget Office SaysBy
For the past three years, economists have been arguing about whether growth—the way we've understood it in developed economies—will ever return to the wonder years of the end of the 20th century. This week, cautiously, quietly, the Congressional Budget Office weighed in: Maybe economic growth is slowing for good.
In 2011, Tyler Cowen, who teaches at George Mason University and blogs at Marginal Revolution, argued in a short e-book that developed economies had already picked all the "low-hanging fruit" of rapid growth. Families all had cars and appliances, farm kids had been educated, the available land had been tilled, and the technological innovations of the Internet would not drive growth the way, say, indoor plumbing had.
In 2012, Robert Gordon, an economist at Northwestern University, made a similar argument. The standard model of economic growth, he pointed out, relies on periodic technological innovation to spur faster economic growth than the availability of new babies and capital would predict. There's no guarantee, says Gordon, that any new technological innovations will show up to match the ones of the 19th and 20th centuries. He, too, points to indoor plumbing as a truly growth-enhancing technology and asks a rhetorical question to prove his point: Which would you rather give up, your iPhone or your toilet?
This year, a cover story in the Economist said that Cowen and Gordon were being too pessimistic. Productivity gains from mobile technology were just getting started, the story argued. Not to mention autonomous cars.
Cowen and Gordon now have an unlikely ally: the Congressional Budget Office. The analysts at the CBO answer to Congress, gaming out what budget proposals will look like. To do this, the office has to rely on certain assumptions about the economy. Blue-sky GDP growth numbers are a favorite in the White House and on Capitol Hill. Assume 6 percent or 8 percent growth in a footnote, and suddenly all those tax cuts and spending proposals meet in a sunshiny glade without deficits. The CBO is supposed to get it right, so it doesn't go in for blind optimism or untested theory. In its most recent Budget and Economic Outlook for 2012 to 2023, the CBO revises long-term growth projections down a notch. More important, it seems to be leaning slightly toward the end-of-growth crowd, too. From the introduction:
… CBO projects that both actual and potential real GDP will grow at an average rate of 2¼ percent a year between 2019 and 2023. That pace is much slower than the average growth rate of potential GDP since 1950. The main reason is that the growth of the labor force will slow down because of the retirement of the baby boomers and an end to the long-standing increase in women's participation in the labor force.
The boomers retiring, that's standard growth theory. Less labor growth means less economic growth. But women's participation in labor is what Cowen would call a "low-hanging fruit." American women can enter the workforce only once. When that's over, it's over, and it can't help economic growth any further. According to the CBO, it's over.


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Written on: 30/11/2003 by Kigtod (1 review written)
Good Points
Small (260 wide x 50 high x 250 deep)
Reasonable looking - silver grey
Plays all DVD's tried
Bad Points
Occassional (5/film) temporary (1sec) 'freezes'.
Misses the start of Audio CD's
Only 1 tri-colour LED on front panel
Unreliable - PSU problem
General Comments
After giving about 2 years of reasonable service my Bush DVD1000 dvd player stopped opening the DVD drawer. Investigations are on-going but it looks like the PSU. To be fair, the problems listed may have been due to a longstanding PSU problem.


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A Kiss Filmed From Inside A Mouth Is Totally Effing Gross Looking
Sorry in advance for the nightmare fodder, but Valentine's Day is approaching or some such thing and so, you know, kissing and love.
Sorry in advance for the nightmare fodder, but Valentine's Day is approaching or some such thing and so, you know, kissing and love.
Going to the gyno is enough of a pain in the cervix without the fear that the doctor between your legs is snapping pictures without your knowledge. But, for 9,000 ex-patients of deceased Johns Hopkins gynecologist Dr. Nikita Levy, that seemingly irrational fear may actually have been warranted. Bleargh.
Raise your hand if you'd be willing to spend almost $110,000 on a super fancy swastika ring made especially for Hitler by a rabid anti-semitic jeweler. None of you should be raising your hands.
Hustler ran a picture in this month's print edition that depicted conservative writer and pundit S. E. Cupp with a penis photoshopped into her mouth. Their justification? She's a vocally anti-choice, anti-Planned Parenthood figure who happens to be a woman, ergo, she deserves some oral dicking. I may disagree with…
Hollywood Is Out Of Ideas Part MMMCMLXXXV: Sick-shit franchise Saw may return, with its eighth film. (2010's Saw 3D was the 7th and most recent movie.) Lionsgate Vice Chairman Michael Burns recently admitted, "I'm sure, some day, you'll see Saw back in the picture." See-saw! Meanwhile: At a press junket for Mission…
in Japan are now training to charge you thousands of dollars to drill the shit out of your teeth using ultra scary lifelike dolls.
Planning on entertaining guests this evening? Dazzle them with a casserole that consists mostly of reconstituted chicken, starch, and American cheese!
Dallas, Feb 5: Is this how P Diddy feels when he wakes up in the morning? What is this? I can't even.
It exists! The film, shot in 1970, has just been sold to a distribution company for about half a million USD. I will be camping out on opening night dressed as a Storm Trooper.
You may remember Sean Duffy from such reality TV shows as The Real World: Boston and Real World/ Road Rules Challenge. People from Wisconsin's 7th district now know the plaid-wearing District Attorney of Ashland County as a potential C-SPAN fixture.
Playboy Enterprises has launched a new, safe for work website called TheSmokingJacket.com. Hef calls it "the best hangout on the planet." It is, without a doubt, the lamest website we've seen since Tucker Max was unleashed on the world.
From the press release: "Now she will tell her side of the story, answering such questions as [...] how she has been forced to battle the left's double-standard on free speech." This instant classic comes out in November. [GalleyCat]
More than a decade ago, it came to the attention of our government and others that there are sick fucks in the world who wank to depictions of animal torture, so Congress made it illegal.
The National Review's Kevin Williamson reveals his inner perv in a paean to Miss Manner's sexiness and sexual dominance — even going so far as to call her "Mistress Manners". Shit's scarier than Halloween! [NRO]
Anyone who uses Facebook has most likely been inundated with those annoying ads for super Acai berries; berries meant to aid in weight loss or what have you through their "superfood" powers. Well guess what?
As seen in the May issue of Lucky magazine, here is the ad for Heidi Montag's clothing line, Heidiwood, in association with Anchor Blue. From the pink cars to the bunny to the hummingbirds and the boombox (?), there are three words to describe this, and they are: Do. Not. Want. (Click to enlarge.)


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WA - Minimum Wage Increase
Washington's minimum wage for next yearwill likely climb to over $9 an hour when the figure is...
< Washington Lawmakers Get Bad Grades For Session
Jul 18, 2013 06:47
Category: General News
Category: General News
Dell Wants To Take His Company Private; Close Vote Expected
ROUND ROCK, Texas (AP) — A close vote is expected today when Dell shareholders decide whether to accept founder Michael Dell's plan to take the slumping computer maker private. Michael Dell hopes he can engineer a turnaround away from Wall Street's glare and quarterly reporting. There's major opposition from activist investor Carl Icahn who says the deal is undervalued.


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03:50:41 PM Aug 15th 2013
Sorry if this is the wrong place to point it out, but I'm a bit confused about the main article's "Awesome, Yet Impractical" part concerning the Anti Material Rifle. Not only is that weapon really great to the point of bordering on ridiculously overpowered, but its "Awesome, Yet Impractical" is full of praise. So, why is it deemed impractical?
11:46:28 AM Oct 9th 2013
What the entry said, I guess. It's loud and in my experience, that one shot usually cause the whole base to go alert and make clearing them quietly harder if they're not suddenly come running to you. The only advantage it has over the stock version is its damage output meant it didn't matter where you hit your target, but I preferred the stock version because it can have a silencer and still would one shot the Heavy with a headshot anyway. And I'll take the longer time to line that over having to move around.
12:50:09 AM Apr 12th 2013
Blood Dragon: I think it deserves its own trope page, as it is that type of game. I've already made a brief description here: http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/FarCry3BloodDragon; what does everyone think?
07:38:02 PM Jan 7th 2013
SPOILERS AHEAD Not sure if this is the right section, but I finished the game recently and chose the 'save your friends' option; after looking the other ending up on youtube I'm left wondering how the freeroaming post-story is justified with the Citra ending given that Jason gets stabbed. Is this explained it all ingame?
02:21:53 PM Jan 3rd 2013
Harsher in Hindsight: After Jason is told to look for a certain man, he says (in a Kill Bill Shout-Out?) something along the lines of, "The name's Buck and I like to f-" and despite the ridiculous violence in the game, it's a Curse Cut Short. Later on, Keith has found out the hard way... choice words... that Buck does indeed like to... "f-" but there's a fairly sizable time gap between the two situations, especially if you get Sidetracked by the Gold Saucer. Does it count?
03:41:50 AM Dec 18th 2012
Can we please start a Wild Mass Guessing page for Far Cry 3? How do we do that?
07:19:18 AM Dec 18th 2012
Go here and start editing. May your Epileptic Trees grow fast!
04:53:05 AM Dec 11th 2012
Should we make a different page just for the "Far Cry The Experiance" episodes and shorts?
03:41:09 AM Dec 18th 2012
While interesting I don't think those videos were long enough to count as a truly separate experience. At best it kind of served as a prologue to the main story as the final episode has Vaas get word of Jason's arrival on the island. Ultimately if you want to make it you can go ahead.
03:23:10 AM Dec 9th 2012
Add or not?... seems kind of wordy Values Dissonance: Ask yourself this; for every murderous raping pirate you think you killed... How many of them will be an innocent stupid kid (Just like the player charector) who where at the wrong place at the wrong time? Not many granted, but if was just one would have it been wrong or just acceptable collatoral damage? This kind of cognative dissonance only worsens as the story develops and even spills over into multiplayer to a degree. Where as, after a multiplayer battle where the rebels win: the captives mite pretend to free the pirate only to push him back down and call him a dog. But the pirates can have twist of their own: they mite not only actually free the rebel, but admit to their prowess in the battle and even all shake their hand!
03:38:04 AM Dec 18th 2012
Jason's friends and even his brother Riley do view Jason's ability to casually kill other people as odd. Jason intentionally learns from Citra's warrior tribe ways because he knows that being the normal guy he has been all along won't be enough to save his loved ones. You could spin the trope in such a way that people like Jason and his friends being raised in Western civilization aren't used to the warrior mentality of tribes like the pirates and Citra's group, even though before modern infrastructure that is how our ancestors lived for thousands of years. The Value Dissonance is that Jason's loved ones think they can judge people who have lived as warriors all their lives in the light of typical Western morality, they aren't used to the kill or be killed mentality of the jungle. Buck actually lectures Jason about this.
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by Staff Writers
Madison WI (SPX) Feb 12, 2016
When you're on the go and your smartphone battery is low, in the not-so-distant future you could charge it simply by plugging it into your shoe. An innovative energy harvesting and storage technology developed by University of Wisconsin-Madison mechanical engineers could reduce our reliance on the batteries in our mobile devices, ensuring we have power for our devices no matter where we are.
In a paper published Nov. 16, 2015, in the journal Scientific Reports, Tom Krupenkin, a professor of mechanical engineering at UW-Madison, and J. Ashley Taylor, a senior scientist in UW-Madison's Mechanical Engineering Department, described an energy-harvesting technology that's particularly well suited for capturing the energy of human motion to power mobile electronic devices.
The technology could enable a footwear-embedded energy harvester that captures energy produced by humans during walking and stores it for later use.
Power-generating shoes could be especially useful for the military, as soldiers currently carry heavy batteries to power their radios, GPS units and night-vision goggles in the field. The advance could provide a source of power to people in remote areas and developing countries that lack adequate electrical power grids.
"Human walking carries a lot of energy," Krupenkin says. "Theoretical estimates show that it can produce up to 10 watts per shoe, and that energy is just wasted as heat. A total of 20 watts from walking is not a small thing, especially compared to the power requirements of the majority of modern mobile devices."
Krupenkin says tapping into just a small amount of that energy is enough to power a wide range of mobile devices, including smartphones, tablets, laptop computers and flashlights. For example, a typical smartphone requires less than two watts.
However, traditional approaches to energy harvesting and conversion don't work well for the relatively small displacements and large forces of footfalls, according to the researchers.
"So we've been developing new methods of directly converting mechanical motion into electrical energy that are appropriate for this type of application," Krupenkin says.
The researchers' new energy-harvesting technology takes advantage of "reverse electrowetting," a phenomenon that Krupenkin and Taylor pioneered in 2011. With this approach, as a conductive liquid interacts with a nanofilm-coated surface, the mechanical energy is directly converted into electrical energy.
The reverse electrowetting method can generate usable power, but it requires an energy source with a reasonably high frequency - such as a mechanical source that's vibrating or rotating quickly.
"Yet our environment is full of low-frequency mechanical energy sources such as human and machine motion, and our goal is to be able to draw energy from these types of low-frequency energy sources," Krupenkin says. "So reverse electrowetting by itself didn't solve one of the problems we had."
To overcome this, the researchers developed what they call the "bubbler" method, which they described in their Scientific Reports study. The bubbler method combines reverse electrowetting with bubble growth and collapse.
The researchers' bubbler device - which contains no moving mechanical parts - consists of two flat plates separated by a small gap filled with a conductive liquid. The bottom plate is covered with tiny holes through which pressurized gas forms bubbles. The bubbles grow until they're large enough to touch the top plate, which causes the bubble to collapse.
The speedy, repetitive growth and collapse of bubbles pushes the conductive fluid back and forth, generating electrical charge.
"The high frequency that you need for efficient energy conversion isn't coming from your mechanical energy source but instead, it's an internal property of this bubbler approach," Krupenkin says.
The researchers say their bubbler method can potentially generate high power densities - lots of watts relative to surface area in the generator - which enables smaller and lighter energy-harvesting devices that can be coupled to a broad range of energy sources.
The proof-of-concept bubbler device generated around 10 watts per square meter in preliminary experiments, and theoretical estimates show that up to 10 kilowatts per square meter might be possible, according to Krupenkin.
"The bubbler really shines at producing high power densities," he says. "For this type of mechanical energy harvesting, the bubbler has a promise to achieve by far the highest power density ever demonstrated."
Krupenkin and Taylor are seeking to partner with industry and commercialize a footwear-embedded energy harvester through their startup company, InStep NanoPower.
Their harvester could directly power various mobile devices through a charging cable, or it could be integrated with a broad range of electronic devices embedded in a shoe, such as a Wi-Fi hot spot that acts as a "middleman" between mobile devices and a wireless network. The latter requires no cables, dramatically cuts the power requirements of wireless mobile devices, and can make a cellphone battery last 10 times longer between charges.
"For a smartphone, just the energy cost of radio-frequency transmission back and forth between the phone and the tower is a tremendous contributor to the total drain of the battery," Krupenkin says.
Additional authors on the Scientific Reports paper include UW-Madison mechanical engineering graduate students Tsung-Hsing Hsu and Supone Manakasettharn.
Related Links
University of Wisconsin-Madison
Powering The World in the 21st Century at Energy-Daily.com
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Joined 9 years ago
24 year old animal lover. Lived in the same town since I was a year old. I work at a humane society. I am a short chubby brunette who wears glasses. I have an awesome man-partner in crime who I share a home with, along with my puppy Pepper (6yrs), my 3 cats, Pigeon, Tabitha, and Starbuck (5yrs, 3yrs, 2yrs) and my two newly adopted cockatiels, Jose Cuervo and Sauza Blanco (Mr. Cuervo and Mr. Blanco for short) who are little gay cockatiel lovers (so cute).


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Total number of comments: 11 (since 2013-11-28 16:32:39)
Showing comments 11 - 1
Page: 1
- A Hot Wet Thousand Years and 10 Green Energy Stories to Avert it
re your point #2- china claims to have perfected the technology but you what, china says a lot of things but good if they really have
using molten salt need not be that expensive - it can be cheaper than desalinated sea water currently used in many japanese nuclear plants
'fuku' and 'shima' never used thorium but enriched uranium with toxic byproduct of plutonium
thorium has a higher neutron yield than uranium, a better fission rating, longer fuel cycles, and does not require the extra cost of isotope separation and does not produce plutonium for bombs - as a happy bonus, it can burn up plutonium and toxic waste from old reactors, reducing radio-toxicity and acting as an eco-cleaner, sort of
thorium was indeed considered very seriously back in the last century when nuclear energy was being developed but was discarded because there was no military gains to be made - defence was at the forfront of developing that knowhow and defence was not interested in stuff that could not be used offensively
no it is not 'vaporware' - whatever that means because i'm sure the word doesn't exist
india was the first country to introduce a carbon tax and australia is debating the issue since the legislation has yet to pass both the house and the senate although under the current government setup, it will pass
don't underestimate emerging countries' awareness of the need to balance carbon emissions with their need to generate energy to fight poverty
your comment is not just dismissive of poverty but also lacks any empathy for all who are being held hostage to the west's profligacy and irresponsibility - a case of i'm a'rite jack and bugger those who live after me - quite reaganesque in its utter selfish stupidity that is devoid of any altruism that we, as humans, are capable of
- Zewail's 4 point Plan for Egypt
a constituent assembly of "wise men" - who may they be? who decides on their wisdom? are women included or is the word 'men' used as a generic term?
if the the judiciary is envisaged as being independent, why should it have a role in supervising elections? in cases od legally disputed results, that compromises the status of the judiciary - whatever is wrong with an independent electoral commission as is the case in most democracies, including the biggest, most plural and heterogenous one, outside the USA?
perhaps chemists don't make the the best political thinkers
el baradei seems to think he has a right to be a leading player in the new era that emerges after mubarak - why? when he hasn't even been living in egypt? or is he a self appointed wise man? don't get me wrong, i have an enormous respect for the man in staring down the US re iran's nuclear program but does that constitute 'wisdom' in crafting a new constitution?
zewail does not explain how he sees the role of the president of the state vi a vis its parliamentarians in the two chambers - white house or white hall system?
so many questions ... but oh what fun 'twas to see obama/biden/clinton scrambling to cover up their dooh dahs
heartfelt good wishes to the egyptians regardless of the troubled road ahead - a change in status quo was necessary - and hats off to the courage of ordinary unarmed civic citizenry
- Mubarak Turns to Military for Support
i had to go and read that piece you linked to
the first thought that occurred to me was that it was a desperate right wing attempt at cya for ineptitude at both policy and operational levels as well as an obfuscating spin for unfocused reactive confusion
my personal take is that the uprisings in egypt were too broadbased to be controlled by a handful of organised group(s, including the clergy, military and opposition political parties
the cia and the US state department were caught flat footed because they had no communication channels to appreciate the anger and revulsion of ordinary individuals at the corruption, nepotism, disempowerment and relative poverty that engendered a 'nothing left to lose' mindset that overpowered any fear of failure
tunisia was an inspiration certainly and that was to some extent consequent on access to undeniable evidence of that which was common knowledge
think history will credit assange/wikileaks as a major game changer in this millenium
you don't believe what you read in that broadsheet, do you?
mind you, they may be right but i am yet to be convinced if that is the sole source of this info
i agree it was excellent analysis
as to your guess, US policy in pakistan comes to mind and that tells me, if the US really wants the army to play a central role in "stabilising" anything, its privileges will be assured to quadruple in monetary terms
whatever is the US interested in stabilising? the status quo that it stabilised for the last three decades is altered forever - a new status quo whith 'reforms'? what sort of reforms? do they have to pass obama/biden/clinton desks who din't think mubarak was a dictator but a valued ally until forced to do a doubletake?
this is indeed inept diplomacy
- DOJ Subpoenas Twitter Account of Wikileaks Volunteer and now Iceland MP
this in real life is corporate oligarchic muscle flexing that is progressing towards fascism through figureheads of elected representatives and since the corporate oligarchy has already assumed funding privileges for elections, it thinks it has created its cover except they thought that with hitler and mussolini too
it is no 'Lord' who will help us because we are endowed with the ability to help ourselves if we so choose
utterly confused about the concept of 'technical' illegality - surely, something is either legal or illegal, full stop
can we stop torturing language to introduce more and anodyne inanities, please? people lie, not misspeak; people get murdered through no fault of their own,it's collateral murder, not collateral damage; it is attempted drowning, not waterboarding even if a both a board and water are involved; it is not enhanced interrogation, it is torture prohibited under the geneva conventions; people get illegally kidnapped and transported against their will to be rendered to torturers, what is extraordinary about such renditions except for the ethical revulsion that the reality of it engenders?
if you start illegalising what people can read, how many steps away from book burning are we? the hilarity or perhaps pathos of it is that once facts and ideas are already out there, you cannot put them back in the box
- Wainwright: Taseer's Assassination Lays Bare Contradictions in Pakistani Islam
thank you for your response
i accept that there is a perception of a crusade these days in the muslim world, however, to accept that perception carte blanche is hardly productive
pakistan has not yet come to terms with the secession of east pakistan and the creation of bangladesh, preferring to use this event to strengthen its internal paranoia about india - there was no crusade talk then or even now regarding that event but there were 6m refugees, 2m+ deaths and many atrocities with rape featuring prominently that led up toit
i never hear of the punjabi intransigence in letting the then east pakistanis (bengalis) to form the majority government that was their right since the elections returned more deputies from east pakistan than west pakistan which was in essence the genesis of that particular crisis
then it was india, today it is christians and tomorrow it will be someone else but never pakistan itself
to accept pakistan's misperceptions unquestioningly, however widely held, is not going to encourage a reform process
"Pakistan is a proud nation of colossal geo-strategic importance, and many perceive the state to be beholden to the wishes of an imperialistic and secularizing superpower. The presence of American special forces in Pakistan's north-west only serves to confirm suspicions. Is it any wonder that conservatives invoke simplistic rhetoric about defending the prophet in the face of what they see as a crusade?"
i take issue with this conclusion even though the rest of the article was informative - pakistan has perfected the art of making its living by exploiting its geostrategic importance ever since its inception and this has led to a national ethos of never taking responsibility for the consequences of its own actions
this sense of irresponsibility extends across the state infrastructure, including both the civilian administration and the military, the ulema and its citizenry - the result is a low performing state
a sense of crusade has nothing to do with it - that foreign presence in the north west frontier provinces would not have happened unless
- obl and the kandahar taliban leadership had the freedom to hide there till the way to qetta was clear
- the state apparatus, military and civilian, rejected all responsibility for an accessible education system that nurtured critical analytical skills but guess that saudi money for madrasas was way too tempting as an easy way out
the ulema is not comprised of thoughtful scholars but mostly demagogues who hold sway over the disenfranchised masses who have islam as their opiate without the wherewithal to interpret the message of the quran that represents the spirit while the hadith is the letter
given the chaos of pakistan, it has to be the judiciary that again needs to take the front line in asserting the essence of jurisprudence that needs to interpret the letter of laws in the spirit of the guiding principles under which they are/were framed - in any system, islamic or otherwise
i still maintain that fighting a crusade is just another excuse to disavow responsibility


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I do. I hate it. I don't get why other people don't hate it too.
Here's the problem with free: You have no say.
When Find A Grave was sold to Ancestry, I was delighted. I had long been creeped out by the idea of putting time and effort into uploading content to a "free" site. When you do that, you have no way of knowing what will happen to it. You only know that no site stays free forever, so it's either going to vanish, or it's going to be bought. Now we know—Ancestry gets the content. Mystery solved. I like Ancestry, and I never had any illusion that Find A Grave would remain independent forever, so I'm fine with this. I can now make intelligent, informed decisions about whether to create content for Find A Grave.
When Mocavo came out, it was free. I couldn't figure out how it would make money, and in the early days the company was mum on that point. That made me uncomfortable. Now we know that Mocavo offers paid subscriptions. Since I can clearly see how they make money, I can make intelligent, informed decisions here too. That's all I need. (Note: Mocavo is free this weekend, so if you've wanted to try it out, now's the time.)
When RootsWeb was bought…well, okay. That bummed me out a little, because I was a baby genealogist when RootsWeb was a baby website, and I had a strong emotional attachment. But the fact is that Ancestry has money, and as a result of that money, the RootsWeb stuff is still available to us. I still use it. In fact, I had a pretty big breakthrough last week, because someone posted something on RootsWeb in 1999. I can see those ancient posts because Ancestry pays for servers that host them. Money makes that possible.
Lately, though, I've developed an unhealthy dependency on a free site: GEDmatch. I'm
obsessed with really into using DNA for genealogy, and GEDmatch offers awesome analysis tools for DNA tests…when it works. You can do all sorts of cool tricks, find common matches across all three of the major DNA testing sites for genealogy, run a bunch of reports…when it works. Increasingly, however, it doesn't work. I have a test I uploaded months ago, and it's still not through processing. Today was the most recent of many dates it was supposed to be done…but today the site is down. It's down quite a bit. It's tough to get non-genealogist cousins to submit to DNA testing in the first place, but it's tougher still when you have a multi-month wait for the results.
Here's the thing, though: I can't complain. GEDmatch is run by a couple of smartiacs who are real humans, with full-time jobs and lives that (oddly) don't seem to revolve around my personal needs. The site is 100% free, and subsists only on donations and the generosity of its owners. Under those circumstances, it's a miracle that the site ever works. We're extremely lucky to have it.
But I wonder if I'm the only one hoping that someone buys this site, or that the current owners turn it into a subscription-based service. There's clearly a market, because people overuse it to such a degree that it crashes all the time. Each one of those people has spent at least $100 on DNA testing so far. These are people who have invested already, and are very likely to invest more (DNA tests are like potato chips…you can't stop at just one). After months of waiting for the results on just one of my tests, I'd gladly hand over a wad of cash if I could just have my results now, with all of the tools working properly and the site up for as long as I need it. I always feel like a mooch when I'm using a free site in the first place, and I feel like an even bigger mooch when I'm cranky because I can't get what I need from the free site.
When you pay for a service, there's money to make it work properly, and there's a course of action when it doesn't. With a free site, you can't complain, you can't pay extra to get what you need…you're just stuck.
Am I the only one who prefers to pay for stuff?
Photo by AMagill
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Pastor Dr Myles Munroe Is Dead: Preacher & Wife Killed In Bahamas Plane Crash
Nov 10, 2014 – Pastor Dr Myles Munroe Is Dead: Preacher & Wife Died In Bahamas Plane Crash
A popular evangelist and his wife have passed away.
Dr Myles Munroe and his dear wife Ruth Ann Munroe died tragically on Sunday afternoon in the Bahamas after their private jet crash landed.
The plane conveying the popular evangelist and other ministers crashed when it hit a crane while landing at Grand Bahama International Airport around 5:10pm yesterday afternoon .
The bodies of Myles Munroe, the founder of Bahamas Faith Ministries and his wife Ruth and 5 other men of God, 2 pilots were burnt beyond recognition on Sunday afternoon.
Satellite image shows inclement weather over Freeport on Sunday.
Though police said only 2 died but it has been confirmed that all 9 people on board died in the crash.
The Grand Bahama Airport Company Crash Fire Rescue Department responded to the incident, and the Police and Bahamas Air Sea Rescue (BASRA) are presently on the scene.
The department said a full scale investigation will start tomorrow morning at daylight, which will include the Department of Civil Aviation Aircraft Accident Investigation Prevention Unit.
The identities of 7 other ministers on board the aircraft at the time of the crash is yet to be ascertained.
Munroe was enroute to Bahamas for a conference tagged Global Leadership Forum when the tragedy happened.
May his soul and that of others rest in peace (amen).


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The breadth and scope of an enterprise SOA initiative can be quite daunting to a typical IT organization. New technical standards (and tools to support development against those standards), increased need for integration and regression testing to ensure stability and cross-version compatibility of deployed services, strong emphasis on proper separation of concerns (e.g., separating functional aspects from presentation aspects during analysis to eliminate blurred implementations, avoiding reimplementation of fragile existing application functionality and algorithms in decoupled services that are meant to support multiple application/composition needs), and simply the introduction of a new way of architecting and developing enterprise software forces organizations to take a much broader look at the SDAs they need to govern and disseminate.
Support for Knowledge and Executable Assets – Once an SOA initiative expands beyond the pilot stage, IT organizations need to quickly and effectively disseminate the core architectural and development principles and guidelines to the broader IT community. These knowledge assets – patterns, best practices, reference implementations – must be treated as peers alongside the executable assets – services, components, schemas – that make up an organization's SOA. Repository Manager comes preloaded with Sun's Core J2EE Patterns and Microsoft's Enterprise Solution Patterns, and organizations can easily augment these knowledge assets with their own SOA guidance. This knowledge framework is delivered to the developer's fingertips via Repository Manager's deep IDE integration, thereby greatly increasing the likelihood of developer success as the enterprise's SOA initiative expands in size and scope.
Incremental content enforcement based on SDLC governance stage – As a service or other SDA progresses through its SDLC, the number and scope of work products naturally increase. At its initial definition phase, a service may be little more than descriptive documentation specifying the required functionality at a high level. Use cases, design models, test plans, test results, defect lists, usage guides and many other work products accumulate as this service progresses towards staging and production deployment. Repository Manager enforces the presence of designated content at each defined governance stage, and validates that content against compliance policies through its integration with Policy Manager. For more information about Akana's market-leading products, click here.


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Trophy bid over but McMinn's men don't leave empty handed
Northern Ireland have been knocked out of the Men's Plate at the Homeless World Cup in Glasgow, but could finish as high as 13th if they overcome South Africa in their final match of the tournament today.
Justin McMinn's side lost their Plate quarter-final 8-3 to Namibia. However, they were then 11-5 winners over Denmark in the play-offs which decide the overall final standings.
They will now face the South Africans today, with the outcome determining whether the side finish the tournament in 13th or 14th position.
It was always going to be a tough order for Northern Ireland to compete in the Plate against some top opposition, and Namibia, ranked 12th in the world, proved to be one step too far as they eased to victory in the last-eight clash.
But, unlike the gloomy weather in Glasgow, the players were not downcast and came back to take their second game of the day against Denmark, triumphing 11-5.
Even though they won't win a trophy, the Northern Ireland team will return home with some silverware after they were awarded a Respect medal by the tournament organisers.
The medal is awarded to teams that show excellent behaviour off the pitch as well as exhibiting fair play on it.
It is a just reward for the Northern Ireland players who have endeared themselves to the Glasgow crowd over the course of the week, gaining many fans in the process.
The Republic of Ireland had better fortunes on the pitch yesterday as they made it to the Men's Plate final, where they will face Egypt.
The Irish side defeated Lithuania 5-4 in their quarter-final before seeing off Costa Rica in the semi-final by the same scoreline.
Their wins mean the Irish haven't been beaten during regular time throughout the tournament, having only lost twice on penalties.
Belfast Telegraph


text: FTG Writes: Don't have the 60+ hours to devote to Oliver and his merry band of Pokemon…erm…I mean, "familiars" to take down the White Witch in Ni No Kuni: Wrath of the White Witch? Have no fear, Gamer Girl is here to slog through the grinding of the Studio Ghibli piece for you, having recorded the ending here! Enjoy!


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Eko Hotel and Suites, Victoria Island, Lagos is presently filled with celebrities who have turned up for the third edition of 'Love Like A Movie', Dare Art-Alade's hotly anticipated dance party.
Faces who have walked the Black Carpet include Ciara, Darey, Toke Makinwa, Dr Sid, Ladiva Millen, Yemi Alade, Bovi, Mai Atafo, Kelechi Amadi Obi, Ini Edo, Zainab Balogun, Ebuka Obi-Uchendu, Victor Olaotan, Destiny Amaka and others.
Check out some of the glamorous images below:


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VIDEO: Paula Deen News Pop: Paula Deen Slams 'horrible Lies'
Paula Deen slams 'horrible lies'. Beleaguered Deen Dropped By Smithfield. Author Anne Rice Defends Paula Deen: "This Looks Like a Crucifixion"
Thanks for checking out canoodle soup. Please take a look at the rest of our videos and articles.
To stay in the loop, bookmark our homepage.
Tags: Entertainment, Allen Adamson, Anne Rice, Bubba Hier, David Johnson, Food and drink, Gary Levin, Jamie Deen, Lisa T. Jackson, Nationality, NBC, Olivia Barker, Paula Deen, QVC, Republicans, Savannah, Smithfield Foods, Strategic Vision, Today, Walmart


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click banner to enjoy more cuckold, sissy and castration femdom action
Pete and Jen's story is all so common now. Once her boss started fucking her with his huge black cock, Pete's little white wiener did nothing for her and was kind of a turn off, so his sex life came to a sudden stop.
Jake was so masculine, she could not help but dream of having his child. He was so much more of a man than her husband, she loved to make Pete clean her, after sex.
After a year of cuckolding him, she became pregnant. She knew it would be hard on Pete as a man, raising another man's baby, so she followed her mom's advice and arranged to have him castrated, on a trip to Thailand.
It really broke him, when they cut his balls off, and the loss of hormones changed him entirely. He's not a man at all now and cares for the baby.


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Sansamp PSA-1 presets for NebulaOfficially Licensed 3rd Party Developer Libraries
Free 3rd Party Programs
11 posts • Page 2 of 2 • 1, 2
Re: Sansamp PSA-1 presets for Nebula
by jimiyves » Wed Apr 03, 2013 7:59 am
emilieitor wrote:It sounds good, but :
- it does not sound as good as a real amp, or a Nebula library of the amp
- why make Sansamp presets for Nebula if we can not do distortion ? The PSA-1 is not very well-known for clean sounds.
I said before that it could be very useful like production tool in some context. It´s very used in bass audio treatment mixing the original signal of the bass in three with a DI box - bass amp -Sansamp. It´s very used also in some styles of music like metal for get a more "organic" sound mixing the real amp sound with the sansamp sound. We could get a better sound of our amps simulators software if we would want it making work together virtual amp and sansamp, it´s other option.
And this wouldn´t be the first time that somebody make a Nebula library of a amps hardware emulator:
http://cdsoundmaster.com/site/CDS-Softw ... count.html
Excuse me, I didn't read correctly.
I said that because I'm frustated, since Nebula can do libraries of a 6000 $ piece of gear, but can not do libraries of a 50 $ distortion pedal ...
It would be so nice to have a lot of guitar amps libraries with distortion (Mesa Boogie, Dumble, Bogner, Diezel, Marshall, ...).
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RIO DE JANEIRO, Jan 12 (Reuters) - Brazil fuel sales fell 3 percent in 2015 compared with 2014, the country's fuel distributors' association Sindicom said in a statement on Tuesday.
The decline was led by gasoline, which fell 8.6 percent, as Brazil's economy accelerated into its worst recession in over a century and state-led oil company Petroleo Brasileiro SA , or Petrobras, raised fuel prices.
Some of the decline was made up by a 39.2 percent increase in hydrated ethanol sales volumes compared with the prior year. But based on energy content, total gasoline and equivalent ethanol fell 1.7 percent while diesel sales fell 5 percent. (Reporting by Jeb Blount and Marta Nogueira, editing by G Crosse)


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HHSC meeting Oct. 16
The East Hawaii Regional Board of Hawaii Health Systems Corporation will hold its annual community meeting at Hilo Medical Center on Oct. 16 at 5:30 p.m. The open meeting provides an opportunity for the board to present an overview of enhancements to the Region's health services, as well as to discuss issues raised by the community.
The Region encompasses Hilo Medical Center, its nine outpatient clinics, behavioral health services, extended care facility, and the Yukio Okutsu State Veterans Home, as well as the Critical Access Hospitals Hale Ho'ola Hamakua and Ka'u Hospital and Rural Health Clinic.
Visitors attending the meeting should park in the guest parking lot, directly across Waianuenue Avenue from the hospital (1190 Waianuenue Ave.) and enter HMC through the main lobby.
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Published: Thursday, Jan. 26, 2017
Story source:
Janet Hackert, 660-425-6434
BETHANY, Mo. – Although many in Missouri think about mushrooms when the morels are at their peak in April, people who grow mushrooms at home or commercially need to be thinking about them much of the year, says a University of Missouri Extension nutrition and health education specialist.
"There are many kinds of mushrooms besides our local wild favorite, morels," says Janet Hackert. "There are portobello, shiitake and white button mushrooms that are easy to obtain in most grocery stores, but also oyster mushrooms, chanterelle, blewit, lion's mane, wine cap and many more varieties."
As an edible fungus, mushrooms are rather unique, Hackert says. Rather than propagating by seed or root, mushrooms reproduce by single-celled spores. The spores grow tiny filaments called mycelia that spread throughout the dead wood, manure, straw or compost within which they grow. Mushroom fungi decompose dead and decaying plant material and draw their nourishment directly from it. Once a log or other substrate is inoculated, the spawn run, or spreading process, can take from just a few months to up to a year.
The fruiting body is the part of the mushroom that is eaten. When it develops depends on the temperature and relative humidity around it. "This is determined by the season, if growing wild, or it can also be forced by watering at the right time followed by proper storage if being cultivated," she says. "So depending on the variety of mushroom, mid-to-late winter may be just the time to get started preparing the logs or other substrates needed to grow mushrooms at home or commercially."
Mushrooms are also unique nutritionally, Hackert says. Like many vegetables, mushrooms are low in calories, sodium and carbohydrates. They are high in potassium, phosphorus, fiber and B vitamins such as riboflavin. However, mushrooms also have a small amount of high-quality protein, which is not typically found in vegetables.
For more information, the MU Center for Agroforestry has an in-depth guide to mushroom growing called "Growing Shiitake Mushrooms in an Agroforestry Practice," which is available for free download at extension.missouri.edu/p/AF1010. "It focuses on shiitake mushroom cultivation, but gives a good overview of the process in general," Hackert says. The publication includes several recipes and resources on production, supplies, health aspects and cookbooks. Hackert says another good resource is the Cooperative Extension search engine at search.extension.org.
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