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March 21, 2013
Top Tools
Best Hit/Power
Top Hitter in the Minor Leagues: Oscar Taveras (St. Louis Cardinals)
While there are several players that come up in the conversation for best hit tool, few draw such consistent praise as Taveras. The swing mechanics aren't so much pretty as they are violent, but Taveras has an uncanny ability to control the violence in his swing and put the bat on the ball. The strength in his forearms and wrists helps create plus-plus bat speed through the zone and the overall swing plane allows him to keep the barrel of the bat in the hitting zone for an extended period of time. Taveras' contact is often loud and consistently sprayed to all fields. The only question surrounding Taveras' hitting ability is the frequency with which he swings and the aggressiveness of his overall approach; but even that has yet to keep scouts from projecting him as a perennial .300 hitter and potential batting champion.
Other Players Considered: Jurickson Profar (Texas Rangers), Anthony Rendon (Washington Nationals), Christian Yelich (Miami Marlins)
All three of these players were given strong consideration for the top spot in the minor leagues, but none could match the overwhelming praise piled on Taveras. Profar is nothing short of a fantastic overall player and most scouts project him as a consistent .300 hitter in the big leagues, much like Taveras. After an impressive college career that left amateur scouts drooling, Rendon has flown a little under the radar over the last year because of injury. There may be durability and longevity concerns surrounding Rendon, but nobody questions his ability to hit for a high average. He has an excellent approach at the plate, quick hands and good barrel control, leading to plenty of hard contact and high batting averages. Christian Yelich may be the most unheralded of the four prospects in this discussion, but he owns a gorgeous swing that generates hard line drives to all fields. Like Profar and Rendon, Yelich profiles as a potential .300 hitter, just not in the class of Oscar Taveras.
Top Major League Hitter: Miguel Cabrera (Detroit Tigers)
All-Time Tool: Tony Gwynn
How to Identify It: Hitting a baseball isn't always as easy as Larry Walker made it seem when he said "See ball. Hit ball." Hitting a baseball is one of the hardest things to do in all of sports. A skill as difficult to execute can be just as difficult to identify. Start with the pre-pitch setup. The positioning of a hitter's hands and his pre-pitch movement (often referred to as trigger or load) is extremely important. "Quiet" hands are desirable. Hitters that load with a consistent and relatively simple mechanism have a better chance of getting the bat to the zone smoothly and on time. Additional pre-pitch movement (sometimes referred to as a timing mechanism) such as a high leg kick, toe tap or long stride must also be monitored. Idiosyncrasies like leg kicks and toe taps can throw off a hitter's timing; causing them to be early or late to the point of attack and frequently swinging through the ball or making weak contact. Long strides can alter timing as well, but they are more frequently the cause of a hitter changing his eye level during the swing. Under ideal circumstances, good hitters demonstrate modest pre-pitch movement, allowing them to remain on balance throughout the initial phase of their swings. Once the pitch is on the way, good hitters will demonstrate an ability to manipulate their hands and the barrel of the bat as it approaches and goes through the hitting zone. A hitter with good hands can adjust to different types of pitches in different parts of the strike zone (and sometimes outside the strike zone). Those same hitters show an ability to keep their hands in or extend their arms as necessary to complete the adjustment and drive the ball to all fields. An additional part of the pre-pitch hitting sequence is early pitch identification and a strong knowledge of the hitting zone. All of these individual pieces leading up to impact can lead to the type of contact necessary to hit for a high average. The nuances threaded throughout all of these individual attributes are countless, and those nuances are difficult to separate. A hitter with excellent balance throughout the swing can be undone by modest hand-eye coordination or pitch recognition. Conversely, hitters with exceptional hand-eye coordination can at times hit without being balanced. Hitting, and identifying the ability to hit is far more art than science. There are no absolutes in hitting and in many cases it is about identifying the individual elements and coming to a conclusion about a hitter's projection based on your gut and the results you see during game action.
Top Power in the Minor Leagues: Miguel Sano (Minnesota Twins)
The power Sano generates stands out in today's baseball environment, because it is truly impressive and because it is a rare commodity in today's game. Sano has the strong, physical build associated with elite power hitters. He shows plus bat speed despite the natural length present in his swing. The bat speed, brute strength and loft in the back half of his swing combine to produce tremendous raw power that is capable of generating towering home runs. While Sano's raw power is impressive, he must continue improving his pitch recognition and plate discipline to allow full utility of the tool. To date, Sano has done an admirable job transitioning his raw power to game action, allowing easier projection of his 35-plus home run potential.
Other Players Considered: Javier Baez (Chicago Cubs), Xander Bogaerts (Boston Red Sox), Joey Gallo (Texas Rangers), Oscar Taveras (St. Louis Cardinals)
The only player truly in Sano's class in terms of raw power is Texas' Joey Gallo. In fact, Gallo might actually have more raw power than Sano. During internal discussions, the scales tipped in favor of Sano largely because of the projected game utility of the tool. Gallo's swing-from-the-heels approach may ultimately force his raw power to play a grade lower as he faces more advanced pitching. Also a grade lower on the 20-80 scouting scale are high-end prospects Javier Baez, Xander Bogaerts and Oscar Taveras. All three players display exceptional bat speed and possess the potential to blast 25-30 home runs at their peak. Both Baez and Bogaerts need to continue refining their approaches to maximize their power potential, while Taveras' advanced hitting ability should allow his power to play at a high level.
Top Major League Power Hitter: Giancarlo Stanton (Miami Marlins)
All-Time Tool: Mickey Mantle
How to Identify It: In a series like this it is necessary to discuss power potential in the context of hitting ability. Without the latter, all the strength, bat speed and raw power in the world won't matter. The essence of a power hitter is bat speed; without it, a hitter will not impact the ball enough to generate legitimate power. Having strength and snapping the bat through the hitting zone is only part of the equation when considering bat speed. How the hitter collectively applies the elements of the hit tool discussed above can lead to a fluid, explosive swing that leads to "loud" contact. While bat speed is the basis of power, there are other mechanical components that are critical to realizing the raw potential many hitters display in batting practice. Within the swing, power hitters generate torque with an explosive hip turn that is timed with the impact on the ball. In addition, a hitter's swing plane is of critical importance to the projection of power. There needs to be a slight upward trajectory (not quite an uppercut) to the swing, particularly on the back half to help lift the ball. Hitters that project for maximum home-run power have a tendency to impact the ball on the lower half, creating back spin and adding to the loft generated by the upward trajectory of the swing. The combination of bat speed, mechanical intricacies and the utility of the hit tool are all essential to generating power. Because of the many elements involved in hitting for power, it can be especially difficult projecting power in an extremely young, raw player. In such cases, scouts are forced to look for early signs of hit utility, the requisite mechanics and physical projection to make their case for future power. Scouting and projecting power is not as simple and straightforward as looking for the big guy that sends the ball flying over the fence. It is a nuanced process that is a derivative of hitting ability, making it exceptionally abstract and difficult to project.
Previous Top Tools
Article discussed and debated by the Baseball Prospectus Prospect Team. Constructed and delivered by Mark Anderson.
53 comments have been left for this article.
BP Comment Quick Links
Great article, and I agree with everything here. I do see one omission on the power side, though... Dan Vogelbach. He's the Cubs best power prospect, ahead of Baez, who does have a ton of power himself.
Mar 21, 2013 05:54 AM
I'm curious as to where Cecil Fielder would fall on the 20-80 scale. When he hit those balls onto the roof in old Tiger Stadium... just wow. Is that 7 power?
Mar 21, 2013 06:03 AM
Good article.
Mar 21, 2013 06:14 AM
The humor in grammar-nitting then randomly capitalizing antecedent isn't lost on me, fwiw.
Mar 21, 2013 06:15 AM
Jim ONeill
As a loyal member of the BP old-timers crew, it does seem that sometimes BP thinks baseball started at the turn of the century. This century.
Mar 21, 2013 06:56 AM
The hit tool is the hardest tool to scout. It's much easier to look at Mantle's tape measure shots or power consistency and arrive at the conclusion that he belongs in the all-time discussion. It's not that Williams was excluded because he doesn't belong in the debate (he does), or that he was excluded because the youth at Baseball Prospectus think baseball started in the 21st century (nice shot at us); although, familiarity helps form the skeleton of subjective analysis. I personally voted for Gwynn because I believe his swing would play in any era, on any field, against any pitcher in baseball, and I'm not sure that statement holds true for every great name in the debate.
Mar 21, 2013 08:20 AM
I'm a homer, but I was always much more impressed with Brett's hit tool than Gwynn's.
Mar 21, 2013 09:19 AM
Ichiro also probably enters the conversation, though he's a freak, doing it uniquely so maybe his is more an "Ichiro" tool than a hit tool.
Mar 21, 2013 09:38 AM
Ichiro belongs in most tool discussions. I think his elite speed and running out of the box hitting style helped his cause more than any other player in the debate. When looking at the raw hit tool, I try to remove the speed from the equation. Yes, Ichiro was a wizard at contact, with elite hand-eye coordination and balance. But his legs turned a lot of weak infield dribblers into base hits, which inflated his average and his historical significance with the bat.
Mar 21, 2013 09:45 AM
Funny, Williams wasn't the first name that came to mind to me. Williams had the edge in power, and eye (and why isn't that a category?), but if Gwynn is exemplar of Hit Tool, then I wonder what it is that he did better than Musial and DiMaggio?
Mar 21, 2013 10:05 AM
Gwynn has been my stock answer for 2 outs, runner on 3rd, need a base hit to score the winning run for years. To me, that's what the hit tool is about. Gwynn didn't have the greatest power, but he could put the ball into the OF grass better than anyone else I've ever seen...
Mar 21, 2013 11:10 AM
I love the question. You need a base hit to win the game, who is the one player you absolutely want in that spot? Wade Boggs isn't a bad choice. He would get you the hit and then drink 64 beers on the way to the next city. Gwynn would probably get my vote as well. Miguel Cabrera wouldn't be the worst choice for such an AB. Rod Carew was born hitting singles.
Mar 21, 2013 11:17 AM
So is Joey Votto just entirely successful on approach or did we all forget the magic he channels through that stick?
Mar 21, 2013 07:14 AM
Yeah, everyone not listed in this article is bad at hitting.
Mar 21, 2013 09:08 AM
I'm surprised Mantle got the nod. I was going to say Bonds was more deserving, but Pujols has a higher career SLG% than him. Pujols currently is 5th all time, Bonds is 6th, Mantle's 21st... and Babe Ruth's still #1
Mar 21, 2013 08:41 AM
A good way to measure raw power is distance, and Mantle was known to hit the ball a very long way.
Mar 21, 2013 08:46 AM
Then, wouldn't someone like Reggie Jackson and his light tower shots count?
Mar 21, 2013 08:58 AM
I Jackson belongs in the discussion. We didn't list every player with a case.
Mar 21, 2013 09:07 AM
Dave Kingman get a shout too? Or was his hit tool not actualized enough for his ridiculous power to fully shine. When I think pure power, I think King Kong.
Mar 21, 2013 09:10 AM
I realize he's not considered quite in the same class, but was Russell Branyan's power a true 80 during his early years? Thanks, these are awesome.
Mar 23, 2013 08:16 AM
Could it be that Mantle is more of an "All-Time Tool" (personality-wise) than Bonds?
Mar 21, 2013 09:47 AM
I know he played in an era of depressed offense, before ESPN, in a small market with a bad park and worse uniforms...
Mar 21, 2013 10:11 AM
Even by that measure, more is needed to justify Mantle as the standard-bearer. In addition to the others mentioned in this thread, what about Hank Aaron, Harmon Killebrew, or Hack Wilson? And if we are measuring power by distance, Josh Gibson has to be in the conversation, as it is likely that he hit balls farther than Mantle or anyone else.
Mar 21, 2013 10:58 AM
No; more is not needed to justify Mantle's placement. We debated and decided he was the top power bat. You can disagree with it and make your own case, but it's not like we just picked Mantle's name out of hat.
Mar 21, 2013 11:02 AM
Where does Yaisel Puig's power tool stack up against the other prospects?
Mar 21, 2013 09:14 AM
Puig is a grown man with grown man power. It's legit and it plays. He might have 8 raw, and I wouldn't be shocked if he finds a way to make the power play as a legit high 6 or 7. He could be a 30+ bomb type. It's still early for him, and the book hasn't been written yet so spring training results don't mean a lot. But the swing is very power friendly, with lots of lift and backspin ability. He's going to hit balls out of the park. We shall see how he adjusts to major league quality arms after they get a good look at him.
Mar 21, 2013 09:23 AM
I'm also curious as to the hit tool on Gary Sheffield. He had an amazing amount of power and an amazingly unique swing, but he never struck out that much (max 83), and walked more than he struck out by more than 300. He had to be at least a 7.
Mar 21, 2013 09:54 AM
I love this type of article so don't take my comments too critically. But are you really going out on a limb saying guys like Baez and Bogaerts have the "potential" to blast 25-30 homers "at their peak"? Last season 44 big leaguers blasted 25+ homers, 27 blasted 30+ homers, and 8 blasted 35+ homers. Isn't this article about identifying the future stars, not the future pretty-goods? I'm mean, there's a time for tempering expectations and letting regression to the mean rule--like when you're preparing for your fantasy draft. There's also a time for dreaming about upside. If Baez' peak potential is 25-30 HRs, heck, I'll just draft Trevor Plouffe and not have to wait five years.
Mar 21, 2013 10:01 AM
I don't think its responsible to project a player to heights that he might not have the skill-set to achieve. Saying that Baez/Bogaerts could hit 30+ at their peak is a possible outcome, and given their position on the field, a substantial level of production that would make them superstars, not pretty good players.
Mar 21, 2013 10:10 AM
I completely understand that you do this for a living so have to be responsible with your projections, whereas I do this entirely for fun. So I might turn the question around and ask: Probability says that there are five or six guys currently playing in the minor leagues who will someday have 40-HR seasons in MLB. Who are they? I'd go with Olt, Sano, Singleton, Bogaerts and Buxton.
Mar 21, 2013 19:31 PM
I get that Jurickson Profar is a great talent, worthy of the #1 prospect label. But is it really true that if he was, say, a flat footed 1B rather than a 'true SS', that his hit tool would still give him mention on this list? I'm not saying that he doesn't belong in the discussion because I frankly don't have enough information as I'm limited by the handful of at bats I've seen from his debut. But if you separate the hit tool from the rest of the prospect, and the hit tool is still worthy of 'best in class' discussion, then...just...wow.
Mar 21, 2013 10:05 AM
While it was nice that you guys went back to Mantle for power, and it surely doesn't seem like a bad choice, there seems to be a, shall we say, Ruthian question it brings up. Mantle over the Babe, really?
Mar 21, 2013 10:08 AM
This is not a complaint, it is an honest question born in curiosity: Did any BP staffers see Mantle hit live? Anyone here old enough for that (I'm not)?
Mar 21, 2013 10:54 AM
He hit on my mom once, does that count?
Mar 21, 2013 11:03 AM
How much of his power ranking is based on the results of that at bat?
Mar 21, 2013 11:11 AM
Oh dear. This brings a whole new meaning to terms like "mechanical intricacies", "raw", "explosive hip turn", '"loud" contact', and totally out of context, "fluid, explosive."
Mar 21, 2013 11:29 AM
And "being able to translate it from batting practice to game power"
Mar 21, 2013 12:52 PM
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text:
Well, it turns out that, like Simone, I am a DHSB programmer. I can't say that I'm surprised. The only part I'm a little leery of is that S. It just sounds so unfriendly to be a Solo programmer. I've worked in some excellent teams in the past, but coordinating with others is something I had to consciously learn to be good at.
Here's the breakdown:
Have you ever hacked a product to do something it wasn't intended to do in order to "simplify" things for your users and have that blow up in your face? This is an account of my experiences doing just that with MS Reporting Services.
If you've used Reporting Services at all, you'll know that there are two virtual directories that are created on IIS when you first install it to a server: ReportServer actually serves up the reports by passing the requested data to external applications via whatever protocol you have configured and Reports (aka ReportManager) which serves as a user interface for reports on the server.
ReportManager is, by far, the most visible of the two. Using ReportManager, you can organize your reports and data sources and set permissions on who can view and change them. Often, this is enough of a user interface that it is a viable deployment mechanism to simply point your users to the Url for a report under the ReportManager directory.
Ingenious people, like myself, will often designate a new Web instance on IIS just for Reporting Services, generally naming it something clever like "reports". When you do this, it is very tempting to point the root directory of that web instance to the ReportManager directory. This means that you can point your users to "http://reports/Invoice" instead of "http://reports/Reports/Invoice". You can see why you'd want to make this change (assuming you are similarly obsessive).
There is, however, an unintended side-effect to this change. Once you do this, your ReportServer will begin throwing errors if you ever decide you want to use direct Url access to display reports. Not a lot of people do this unless they're using a Reporting Services "Integration" that uses this functionality for showing reports. Personally, I ran into this situation when trying to tie our Reporting Services forms into Great Plains. Since Great Plains integrations (both native and third party) expect to use ReportServer for the report display, I was shocked and dismayed to find myself staring at this error:
The type Microsoft.ReportingServices.UI.WebControlConnection, ReportingServicesWebUserInterface, Version=220.127.116.11, Culture=neutral, PublicKeyToken=89845dcd8080cc91 does not implement IReportServerConnection or could not be found
Hitting Google for this error is more than a little bit frustrating because the vast majority of issues where it shows up is in mis-configuring a ReportViewer object in an ASP.Net web application. This is manifestly not the case here.
This was a dome-scratcher for a lot longer than I like to admit. All of the advice pieces that I could find for this error are simply inapplicable. Fortunately, I ran across a Usenet post by Dave Green from last July. Dave reported that he could fix ReportServer if he removed a couple of settings from the <appSettings> section of the ReportManager. This is most odd because the two simply shouldn't be linked--at least, in that direction. If they were linked, I'd expect that link to go the other way (i.e. something in ReportServer breaking ReportManager). After all, ReportManager is essentially a UI on top of ReportServer.
I tested his findings and sure enough, removing the appSettings fixed ReportServer for me. Since removing those settings broke ReportManager, this was an unappetizing solution.
It was then that I remembered that IIS does an interesting little trick with web.config files and subdirectories. You see, each subdirectory on a website inherits the configuration from parent directories (also machine.config, but that's not relevant to our story). It doesn't matter how those directories are physically arranged, what is important is that IIS uses the Url to determine inheritance. So in a situation where "http://reports" is pointing at ReportManager and "http://reports/ReportServer" is pointing to ReportServer, that means that ReportServer is inheriting the web.config settings from ReportManager. Thus, the appSettings for ReportManager are being read by ReportServer and misapplied (I've no idea why the presence of an appSettings entry would break ReportServer)
Fortunately, the fix for this issue is pretty simple. The <appSettings> element includes a spec for a clear directive that will wipe out all inherited values. Adding an appropriate entry to the web.config in ReportServer cleared the problem right up. Here's the section for the curious (and/or lazy):
<appSettings> <clear /> </appSettings>
So there you go. I hoisted myself by my own petard. Fortunately, I was able to figure out how to get myself unhoisted. I now have both ReportManager and ReportServer humming along nicely without having to undo my clever directory mapping. Since I haven't been able to find this solution anywhere, I figured I'd post this for those in similar situations.

subset: commoncrawl


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This paper will help you leverage workload automation to automate your approach to creating and changing batch workflows in application development, and scheduling batch services in IT operations. It will also give you the information you need to select the right workload automation solution. As a result, you will:
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text:
UC Davis Law Review, Vol. 43, 2009
72 Pages Posted: 17 May 2009 Last revised: 20 Dec 2009
Date Written: May 17, 2009
Traditionally, the fiduciary duty of loyalty is implicated where corporate directors have conflicts of interest. In a major new decision, Stone v. Ritter, the Delaware Supreme Court determined that directors may also be disloyal when they act in bad faith. As a consequence, directors may be disloyal even when they have no conflicts of interest, and even when they intend to benefit their corporation. This Article reconciles this expanded fiduciary obligation with existing concepts of loyalty. The new loyalty is not incoherent. Courts have adopted a recognizable understanding of loyal behavior - being "true" - that exists in other social spheres. Under this conception, loyal directors must not only act in the best interests of their corporation and its shareholders, they must also be honest with shareholders and comply with positive law.
This Article then offers insights into the function of these expanded fiduciary duties. Although the new loyalty duties pose risks, there are good reasons to think they will provide net benefits. Following the recent Lyondell decision, it appears that the Stone case and its progeny will not result in significant revisions to the business judgment rule. However, the recent change in a director's loyalty obligation may substantially lower information costs, giving better guidance to directors and simplifying coordination. In addition, the new conception of loyalty can also serve an important expressive function, enabling a more efficient level of trust among corporate actors, investors, and those who transact with the firm.
Keywords: duty of good faith, duty of loyalty, business judgment rule, disney, stone v. ritter, lyondell
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Gold, Andrew S., The New Concept of Loyalty in Corporate Law (May 17, 2009). UC Davis Law Review, Vol. 43, 2009 . Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1406207


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The Alaska State Troopers, Alaska Bureau of Highway Patrol (ABHP) has an emphasis on impaired driving enforcement and is responsible for coordinating and/or conducting additional traffic law enforcement on a statewide basis. In addition, ABHP is responsible for the investigation of fatal and major incapacitating injury collisions statewide and for responding to enforcement and investigative requests by other agencies.
Most team members are Alaska State Troopers. Some of the team members are officers with local police departments as well as personnel from the D.O.T. Commercial Vehicles Enforcement section. ABHP traffic teams deploy from Fairbanks, Mat-Su West, Soldotna and Girdwood.
Zero deaths. Everyone counts.


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WILTON -- A woman was airlifted to Albany Medical Center with a head injury Friday evening after a crash outside Wilton Mall.
New York State Police Lt. Greg Thomas said the black SUV had been involved in an earlier pursuit with state troopers, who tried to pull her over for speeding on Sisson Road in Moreau. After police turned on their lights and sirens, however, she fled.
Police pursued the driver, Ashlee Sarro, 30, of Schuylerville, on Route 50, but when she drove toward the mall they called the pursuit off for safety reasons, Thomas said.
"The troopers did the right thing," he said. "They were coming into a populated area."
Officers dropped back and lost sight of the SUV intentionally in an attempt to calm the driver, who Thomas said was driving erratically.
He said state police then received reports of an erratic driver in a black SUV in the area of Wilton Mall. After pulling into the mall, troopers were flagged down by motorists to say the driver was continuing to operate erratically.
Police had still not caught sight of her, Thomas said, when the female driver attempted to leave the mall parking lot and turn right onto Louden Road but overshot the turn and wound up going off the opposite side of the road.
The female driver struck a tree and then a utility pole. The front end of the SUV was badly damaged.
Thomas stressed that police were not in pursuit of the car when it crash and did not have on their lights or sirens.
He said they did have their lights and sirens earlier, though, when they were in pursuit of the vehicle.
An earlier version of this article implied that there were no sirens or lights used at all, but that was due to incomplete information at the time of the accident, which was still under investigation.
The driver was transported to the hospital with non-life-threatening injuries. She is expected to be released Sunday, at which point she will likely be charged for the pursuit.
Thomas said the driver had no license and had multiple warrants from throughout the Capital Region, including one felony charge.
The car's male passenger, who also was not identified, was briefly handcuffed and placed in the backseat of a police car, but he was quickly released.
Police say the investigation is ongoing and no charges had been filed as of Friday evening.
The crash happened at nearly the same time as a large-scale raid at 149 Grand Ave. in Saratoga Springs that also involved a state police helicopter, causing many city residents to turn to social media for answers to why a helicopter was circling above.
The two incidents were not related.


text:
RAL-eve Study: Raltegravir Substitution Study
This study has been completed.
Stanford University
Information provided by (Responsible Party):
Stanford University
ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier:
First received: August 29, 2007
Last updated: October 31, 2011
Last verified: October 2011
- Full Text View
- Tabular View
- Study Results
- Disclaimer
- How to Read a Study Record
The purpose of this study is to:
- Provide raltegravir to subjects with HIV and an undetectable viral load who are experiencing injection site reactions (ISR) to Enfuvirtide,
- Monitor the safety and efficacy of raltegravir, and
- Assess the change in quality of life in patients who have switched from Enfuvirtide to raltegravir
|HIV Infections
|Drug: Raltegravir
|Study Type:
|Study Design:
|Allocation: Non-Randomized
Intervention Model: Single Group Assignment
Masking: None (Open Label)
Primary Purpose: Treatment
|Official Title:
|Raltegravir Substitution for Enfuvirtide in Patients Suffering From Injection Site Reactions (ISRs): The Raleve Pilot Study
Resource links provided by NLM:
MedlinePlus related topics: HIV/AIDS
Drug Information available for: Raltegravir Raltegravir potassiumU.S. FDA Resources
Further study details as provided by Stanford University:
Primary Outcome Measures:
- The Percentage of Patients Who Maintain a Viral Load < 50 Copies/ml After Being Switched From Enfuvirtide to Raltegravir [ Time Frame: 24 weeks ]evaluate the percent of patients with viral load of <50 copies at week 24 of study after being switched from enfuvirtide to raltegravir
|Study Start Date:
|October 2007
|Study Completion Date:
|December 2010
|Primary Completion Date:
|March 2009 (Final data collection date for primary outcome measure)
Intervention Details:Detailed Description:
Drug: Raltegravir
400 mg Twice daily for 24 weeks
Other Name: Isentress
We enrolled virologically suppressed HIV-1 infected patients with injection site reactions for a switch from enfuvirtide to raltegravir. At baseline, enfuvirtide was switched to raltegravir without additional changes to the antiretroviral regimen allowed. Viral load, T-cells, and toxicity were evaluated at baseline, 2, 4, 12 and 24 weeks. Adherence and injection site reactions were evaluated at baseline, 4, 12 and 24 weeks. The single-copy assay was used to measure HIV RNA levels at screening, baseline and at 12 and 24 weeks.
|Ages Eligible for Study:
|18 Years and older (Adult, Senior)
|Sexes Eligible for Study:
|Accepts Healthy Volunteers:
Inclusion Criteria:
- HIV-1 infection, as documented by any licensed ELISA test kit and confirmed by Western blot at any time prior to study entry.
- ART for at least 6 months prior to study entry with a regimen that includes enfuvirtide.
- Self-defined infusion site reaction to enfuvirtide (usually will be painful inflammatory nodules)
- No change in ART regimen for at least 3 months prior to study entry.
- CD4+ cell count >50/mm3 at screening (obtained within 60 days prior to study entry).
- Documentation of HIV-1 RNA below the limit of quantification of an ultrasensitive assay
- All HIV-1 RNA levels obtained within 6 months prior to study entry are below the limits of quantification on all tests, except as explained above in section 4.1.6 for a single detectable viral load of <50 copies but <200 copies in last 6 months.
Laboratory values obtained within 60 days prior to entry:
- Absolute neutrophil count (ANC) >750/mm3
- Hemoglobin >9.0 g/dL for female subjects and>10.0 g/dL for male subjects
- Platelet count >50,000/mm3
- Calculated creatinine clearance (CrCl) >30 mL/min, as estimated by the Cockcroft-Gault equation*
- AST (SGOT), ALT (SGPT), and alkaline phosphatase <5 x ULN
- Total bilirubin <2.5 x ULN. If the subject is taking an indinavir- or atazanavir-containing regimen at the time of screening, total bilirubin <5 x ULN is acceptable.
- For females of reproductive potential will need a negative serum or urine pregnancy test within 48 hours prior to entry.
- Men and women age >18 years.
- Ability and willingness of subject to provide informed consent.
Exclusion Criteria:
- Unstable clinical condition, such as unstable cardiac disease, or cancer requiring ongoing chemotherapy or radiation therapy, or other medical condition which, in the opinion of the investigator, would preclude a subject from safely undergoing study procedures.
- Breast-feeding or pregnancy.
- An opportunistic infection within 60 days prior to entry.
- Known allergy/sensitivity or any hypersensitivity to components of study drug(s) or their formulation.
- Active drug or alcohol use or dependence that, in the opinion of the Protocol Director, would interfere with adherence to study requirements.
- Receipt of a non-HIV vaccination within 30 days prior to study entry or plan for receipt of vaccination during the study.
- Plan to change the background ART within 24 weeks after study entry.
Contacts and Locations
Choosing to participate in a study is an important personal decision. Talk with your doctor and family members or friends about deciding to join a study. To learn more about this study, you or your doctor may contact the study research staff using the Contacts provided below. For general information, see Learn About Clinical Studies.
Please refer to this study by its ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00523237
Please refer to this study by its ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00523237
|United States, California
|Stanford University School of Medicine
|Stanford, California, United States, 94305
Sponsors and Collaborators
Stanford University
|Principal Investigator:
|Andrew R Zolopa
|Stanford University
More Information
Additional relevant MeSH terms:
ClinicalTrials.gov processed this record on September 21, 2017
Grant PM, Palmer S, Bendavid E, Talbot A, Slamowitz DC, Cain P, Kobayashi SS, Balamane M, Zolopa AR. Switch from enfuvirtide to raltegravir in virologically suppressed HIV-1 infected patients: effects on level of residual viremia and quality of life. J Clin Virol. 2009 Dec;46(4):305-8. doi: 10.1016/j.jcv.2009.09.025. Epub 2009 Oct 12.
|Responsible Party:
|Stanford University
|ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier:
|NCT00523237 History of Changes
|Obsolete Identifiers:
|Other Study ID Numbers:
RAL-eve study
|Study First Received:
|August 29, 2007
|Results First Received:
|July 20, 2011
|Last Updated:
|October 31, 2011
Additional relevant MeSH terms:
HIV Infections
Lentivirus Infections
Retroviridae Infections
RNA Virus Infections
Virus Diseases
Sexually Transmitted Diseases, Viral
Sexually Transmitted Diseases
Immunologic Deficiency Syndromes
Immune System Diseases
Raltegravir Potassium
Anti-HIV Agents
Anti-Retroviral Agents
Antiviral Agents
Anti-Infective Agents
HIV Integrase Inhibitors
Integrase Inhibitors
Enzyme Inhibitors
Molecular Mechanisms of Pharmacological Action
ClinicalTrials.gov processed this record on September 21, 2017


text:
Brodsack (Pomeranian Voivodeship, Poland)
Brodsack was first mentioned in historical documents in 1314 and was granted rights in 1381. Until 1772 the village was part of the Kingdom of Poland. The First Partition of Poland resulted in the creation of a new province in 1773, called West Prussia, in which Brodsack was located. Brodsack was situated in the district (Kreis) of Marienburg until the establishment of the Free City of Danzig in 1920. The village came under the control of Nazi Germany during World War II until February 1945, when it was occupied by Soviet forces and returned to Poland. In 2012 Brodsack (now Chlebówka) was a village in the administrative district of Gmina Nowy Staw, within Malbork County, Pomeranian Voivodeship.
In 1776, there were seven Mennonite families living in Brodsack with the following surnames: Cornies, Dick, Epp, Neufeldt, and Neusteter. In 1820, the village had 118 residents, including 18 Mennonites; the nearby manor, Vorwerk Brodsack (Brodsacker Vorwerk), had 23 residents, including 14 Mennonites.
Mennonites who were residents of Brodsack were members of the Rosenort Mennonite Church.
Stowarzyszenie Konserwatorów Zabytków. "Chlebówka." Catalogue of Monuments of Dutch Colonization in Poland. 2005. Web. 12 October 2012. http://holland.org.pl/art.php?kat=obiekt&id=303&lang=en.
Wikipedia. "Chlebówka." Web. 12 October 2012. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chlebówka.
Wolf, Hans-Jürgen. "Familienforschung in Westpreußen." Web. 8 October 2012. http://www.westpreussen.de.
Map:Chlebówka (Pomeranian Voivodeship, Poland)
|Richard D Thiessen
|Date Published
|October 2012
Cite This Article
MLA style
Thiessen, Richard D. "Brodsack (Pomeranian Voivodeship, Poland)." Global Anabaptist Mennonite Encyclopedia Online. October 2012. Web. 24 Sep 2017. http://gameo.org/index.php?title=Brodsack_(Pomeranian_Voivodeship,_Poland)&oldid=94121.
APA style
Thiessen, Richard D. (October 2012). Brodsack (Pomeranian Voivodeship, Poland). Global Anabaptist Mennonite Encyclopedia Online. Retrieved 24 September 2017, from http://gameo.org/index.php?title=Brodsack_(Pomeranian_Voivodeship,_Poland)&oldid=94121.
©1996-2017 by the Global Anabaptist Mennonite Encyclopedia Online. All rights reserved.


text: Kum & Go began selling MADE, a line of organic drinks from Tenaya LLC, this January. "The pioneering spirit of Kum & Go's founders fits nicely with the MADE brand," said Charley Snell, Tenaya Founder. "We are a pioneer as well in introducing people to organic products that are convenient and refreshing." Founded in 1959, Kum


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We have adopt-a-thons at PetSmart (Wal-Mart shopping center) in New Bern on most weekends.
Thank You!
Your message has been sent to Colonial Capital Humane Society.
You'll receive a copy, too, at to help you keep track of which pets you've inquired about, and which shelters and rescues you've emailed.
NOTE: Some shelters have physical locations you can visit; some of these shelters may only have pets for a limited time, so please do not wait for a reply—just go visit the shelter! Other organizations are rescue groups run by busy volunteers who may take a while to reply. You can find information about the shelter or rescue group caring for this pet, and their adoption procedures, on the pet's details page on Adopt-a-Pet.com.


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With more than a million people in the metropolitan area, Birmingham is the cultural and economic heart of Alabama. The main geographical feature is Red Mountain, whose iron, coal, and limestone deposits were the city's original sources of wealth and its reasons for being. Today, Birmingham has transformed itself into a medical research, banking and service-based economy, making it one of the nation's most livable cities with a vibrant downtown, growing loft community, a world-class culinary scene and more green space per capita than any other city in the nation!
Birmingham's average apartment rental rate in the city is approximately $730.00. The average 1 bedroom apartment rents for around $625.00 and the average 2 bedroom rents for approximately $700.00. The Average listing price for homes for sale is about $110,500. Popular neighborhoods in the Birmingham area include Southside, Red Mountain, and Huffman.


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Trainer Eric Guillot was pleased with the Saturday morning performance by McCormick Racing and Southern Equine Stable's Laoban, who breezed six furlongs in 1:12 on a fast...Read More
4/29/16 2:43pm
At 12:15 p.m. on Friday, 50 minutes before the start of the closing-day card of Keeneland's 2016 Spring Meet, several thousand fans who arrived early crowded along the...Read More
4/29/16 2:41pm
LEXINGTON, KY (April 29, 2016) – Keeneland sales graduates Songoficeandfire, second in the recent Orchid (G3) at Gulfstream, and stakes winners Street of Gold and Miss...Read More
4/29/16 9:52am
Click here for a video of all the fun and racing excitement today at Keeneland
Click here for a replay of the race...Read More
4/28/16 6:03pm
Through April 27 (14 days of racing)
3rd...Read More
4/28/16 12:52pm
Thursday, April 28
Herald-Leader Subscriber Day gives Lexington Herald-Leader subscribers free general admission with the coupon found on the front...Read More
4/28/16 12:14pm
Joel Rosario made his return to competition in Wednesday's fourth race, finishing fourth aboard Price too High. He won the featured...Read More
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Mark Guidry tried to get the race track out of his system. There were dalliances with golf and fishing and other activities but nothing filled the void created...Read More
4/28/16 12:10pm
One of Keeneland's goals in hosting the 2015 Breeders' Cup World Championships was to enhance the quality of horses racing here during the Spring and Fall Meets.
...Read More
4/28/16 12:06pm
Few Thoroughbreds have traveled more than Generosidade (URU), who is entered in Friday's $150,000 Bewitch (G3). Bred in Uruguay by Stanley Bergman's Haras Phillipson, the...Read More
4/28/16 11:59am


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I actually thought the offense looked better today as far as movement, passing, and getting good looks. I'm not saying it was good overall, just better than before. Just couldn't hit the broad side of a barn
Roy desperately needs to develop a pump fake in the post. He has one move right now, the baby hook, and its not falling. Time to try something new. One pump, get your defender in the air, and dunk. Tyler could benefit greatly from this as well.
Tyler has been a very pleasant surprise, he played great D tonight on players both bigger/stronger than him and smaller/quicker. Not a great stat line but that doesn't tell how good he played.
The defense looked very good at times, no thanks to Roy. Roy is letting his offensive funk affect the other aspects, defense and rebounding. THAT is unacceptable.
DJ Augustin has not contributed positively on one single play on either side of the court in his entire time as a Pacer I can't believe we thought he was going to be better, or even comparable to DC. I thought his one major talent was supposed to be his passing, I've seen some really terrible passes from him so far.
Paul George was absolutely terrible. I cringed every time he got the ball in his hands. Not only that but he was getting lit up by DeRozan. Hopefully his defense isn't regressing.
So where do we go from here? Even with Granger back, its very clear this team won't be contending for championships or even the Eastern Conference anytime soon. Back to being middle of the road. Lovely.
Here's what I want to know. What happened between the beginning of training camp and the beginning of the regular season? According to everyone we picked up right where we left off. Granger was not really practicing when those comments were being made, so it's not that.
What happened?
The play of this team right now is horrible, it is entirely inexplicable, and it is embarrassing. IF they somehow get it together in a few days and start playing well it won't change what happened the first 8 games of the season.
This team could win 70% of their games on out and we'll still look at each other at the end of the season and ask, "wtf happened those first 8 games? that was pathetic."
In other words, what they do in the future doesn't change what they've already done, and what they've already done is play **** poor basketball.
Why David West wasn't on the floor for the last play????????
I'd go along with replacing Vogel if someone like Sloan were available but I think Walsh should be canned first. We had chemistry last year and didn't need to turn over our entire bench for the sake of change. Give me DC, Jones, and Barbosa over DJ, and Green and we win this game along with at least 2 of our other losses. We should have just offered Kaman a 3/24 and called it a day.
Can we start a please come home Larry movement?
@HPbasketball: I'll say it. I think the Pacers would be better off with Collison and Kawhi.
I just wanna say this, teams get off to bad starts, it happens. Last year people were saying Boston needed to blow it up before the all-star break. They went on to the EC Finals.
Kawhi has perhaps the best coach in the league along with Tim Duncan, who would make an excellent coach if he wanted to right now.
music soothes the soul...
pacers are trying to kill my vibe.
Last edited by CJ Jones; 11-14-2012 at 04:54 AM.
Donnie Walsh had this team on a fast track out of town before he moved on to NY. Now he's back to finish the job.
Seriously, Bird's leaving was one thing (and I will forever believe it was because Simon balked at doing whatever it was Bird thought needed to happen for the next step)... but Donnie Walsh returning just was the icing on the turd as far as I'm concerned.
Everything last season had brought back had a giant wet blanket thrown on it in a hurry. And now that the off season still looks 'blah' and counter-productive at best (a lot like it felt like at the time) I don't have much hope for these problems being quickly addressed as long as Walsh is here. So it's another wet blanket.
And I don't think Herb Simon has the balls or competitive fire to demand changes and answers. Maybe in the business world he's competitive but I think as far as the NBA goes, it's just an expensive hobby and billionaire status symbol.
And yeah... the season could still turn around. But it's hard to believe that can happen without a fire being lit and we're back to TPTB....
Nuntius was right for a while. I was wrong for a while. But ultimately I was right and Frank Vogel has been let go.
"A player who makes a team great is more valuable than a great player. Losing yourself in the group, for the good of the group, thats teamwork."
-John Wooden
Sorry but I can't help not posting anymore. new member here from the Philippines. I actually made a new account since I can't post with my 6month old account before. JO with that max contract at least lived up to his hype until injuries bothered him. I don't see that in Hibbert. He can't even handle the pressure that comes with being the highest paid player. And if he really did cry? Please!!!! Enough sulking already! get your heads up high for ****st's sake!! This team almost always talks about smashmouth basketball. The Fever never talked about or claimed they were but they looked more smashmouth to me.
Usually I'd be all for "let them right the ship, they'll turn it around, it's early" blah blah blah. And a bit of me's still reserved to that because the only thing I can do is send tweets to Kevin Pritchard.
But this team has shown me absolutely nothing to make me think they actually can turn it around. I'm legitimately ready for a firesale. I love Roy to death but we've got to move that contract. I understand why they matched the offer, I supported it. But I was wrong.
This team is bad.
Yeah, well, we don't have 4 future HOFers to fall back on. I like the optimism, though. I hope the guys can turn it around.
"Look, it's up to me to put a team around ... Lance right now." Kevin Pritchard press conference
"Look, it's up to me to put a team around ... Lance right now." Kevin Pritchard press conference
How is this all at DW's feet as far as offseason moves? Not saying he wasn't a part, but what about Bird's golden boy Pritchard? Is he not part of the personnel decision brain trust?
When DJ first got in the game he was aggressively pushing the ball upcourt. He hit a kick-out three. I thought maybe he might finally show something of worth. WRONG. He quickly reverted back to his typical early season form, as did almost everyone else.
Only people I was really content with were Tyler and Mahinmi. Neither were big stats, but at least they hustled and scrapped throughout. Rest of the team goes through huge periods where they play with no fire whatsoever. Don't get me wrong, still think Dallas fleeced us in the Ian deal talent - wise, but I appreciated his effort last night. Seems to me his last couple games have been better that previous showings.
I'd rather die standing up than live on my knees.
-Emiliano Zapata
No the sky isn't falling. Losing to pathetic teams and getting blown out by the one good playoff team doesn't bode well. Have the Pacers made any adjustments? Other than some roster switches, no. The Pacers have the same problems they've had since Frank took over. Nothing has changed and teams know that.
For everyone that thinks things will get better, or that things are just rosy...you tell the rest of us when and how.
I'm not panicking right now, but something has to change. For me, all signs point to Vogel simply not being ready to be a head coach yet. He could be really good one day, but he's got to learn the Xs and Os and how to get guys to execute properly.
Even through the first 8 games or so, what has changed? Other than swapping out guys in the starting lineup, nothing has freaking changed! Still can't execute, offense is still nonexistent, can't set proper screens/picks and still can't defend them well.
I'm fine with the players on the roster. The bench still might not be a great improvement, but there is a lot of talent on this roster.
Again, sky isn't falling and I'm not in panic mode. I'm beyond frustration for seeing no improvement since Vogel took over. I'm willing to give Vogel more time, but I don't think this team will make that turn into a contender.
I can only wonder how patient management will be before making some changes. Pacers are supposed to be good and haven't been playing that way. Most of you probably forgot that the Pacers are still trying to win fans back. They aren't going to win fans back with this team playing like ****.
First time in a long time, I've been happy with the team that was constructed, and now they struggle. I blame the coach.
I don't know what it means (hint: not a damn thing) but I wanted to dump Hansbrough and Lance for basically anything before the season started.
And now they're two of the best 3/4 players on the entire team. I was wrong about what they could contribute. That's great. But I was immensely wrong about how important they'd be. That's awful. In August if you shook the 8 ball and it told you Tyler Hansbrough and Lance Stephenson were the only real glimmers of hope on this team you'd have shot yourself in the head. Lance finally learning how to play controlled NBA basketball and Tyler learning how to harness that 5 hour energy and do extremely positive things with it, especially on the defensive end?! Lance and Tyler have been great. I cannot express how much I appreciate Hansbrough, and I wanted to give him away.
Everybody else? Mahinmi's a decent 3rd big. The midrange J's confident and it's money (way more than West's). Everybody else? Dump em. I mean it.
Blow the damn thing up. This roster's not doing dick except maybe make the playoffs, and what's the point in that? Danny's good, but he's not freaking Lebron. Losing him should not leave us begging for the 8th seed. This team is unobjectively bad.
If it ain't the team it's the coaching staff. One of them needs to change. Quickly.
Unfortunately, Hibbert and Hill are the new Dunleavy and Murphy, albeit with much higher ceilings. Neither of those contracts is tradeable right now.
I think we should start Ian nd give him some more minutes. If Roy isn't going to play right, then bench him nd send him a message. With Danny's injury, it's tough to do the same with PG but he needs to be told to get his head out of his a$$ too. I'm on board with trading either one at this point. We need someone else that can shoot/score aside from Hill nd West.
I kinda wish we could've gotten in on the Hareb deal. If not to get Harden, then at least to pick up K-Mart who had 1yr left on his deal. PG would look good on OKC as a spot up shooter/perimeter defender.
Now that ship has sailed, I truly hope the FO looks hard nd long around the league nd flips some assets bc this team is starting to regress. (Lookin at you Paul, Roy, DJ)
If the Nugs could trade a maxed out NeNe, we can find a way to trade Hibbert. Hill? Why would you want to trade him, he's actually earning his new contract.
Many of the posters here overvalued this entire team. A couple of us kept saying they were going to slide back. I thought they were a 5-6 seed going in and I said if there was a major injury and that was overdue, the Pacers would have to scrap like hell to make the playoffs. They played way over their heads last year. They got lucky and drew Orlando minus Howard in the playoffs to win a series. They won a game or two against the Heat until they adjusted to Bosh being out and then blew the Pacers out. I saw people saying were going to beat the Heat for number one in the east this year... That was just silly. They are not as bad as they are showing right now and they will do better but they are seriously undercoached and they don't have any player that is close to being the star one needs in the NBA. I think that is why Bird did not return. Simon is happy just making the playoffs and once in a while winning a round. He is not interested in building a real contending team in Indianapolis. That would take more money than he is willing to spend. They were unlucky last night. Yes, the offense is not good but Hibbert missed four or five of his soft hook shots that just rolled out or off of the rim. Those were good shots. He will make those most of the time and that alone makes up the difference. The Pacers need a lot of work and I hope this will temper the talk about them being a contender.....
Where you are sailing is right back into rebuild mode. But poorly managed teams do just that. This team has had one winning season in the recent past, just one. You may not want to admit it but they are still rebuilding. If you start making all of those trades you are proposing, the rebuild over the last four or five years goes right out the window. This is your team. This is what you have. Work with them and keep adding pieces as you can... For those of you who were so happy to see Prichart take over over and Larry Bird leave, well, you got what you wanted, now live with it......


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The stealthy, jet-powered version of the Predator series UAV that was unveiled last month was developed "with significant company investment," according to General Atomics Aeronautical Systems Inc. (GA-ASI). Tom Cassidy, president of GA-ASI's aircraft systems group, again sought to contrast the company's lean and independent development model with that of the major aerospace companies. Also of note, GA-ASI is developing its own full-motion video (FMV) sensor that might be carried by the new Predator-C, although "a system based on Lockheed Martin's F-35 FLIR" is also being evaluated. Current Predators use FMV sensors provided by L-3 Wescam or Raytheon.
The Predator-C (aka Avenger) is slightly larger than the turbo-powered Predator-B (aka Reaper). The inlet and the exhaust of the single Pratt & Whitney PW545B are shielded from IR and radar sensors according to classic stealth design principles, and these are also used to align the UAV's wing and fuselage edges. Weapons such as the GBU-12 laser-guided bomb are carried in an internal payload bay, which can alternatively carry a wide-area surveillance system. But with its large V-tails, the Predator-C cannot be an all-aspect stealth vehicle. However, it is available for near-term deployment, and uses the same ground control stations as the previous Predators.
The Predator-C has been under development for some time, but flew for the first time only on April 4, according to GA-ASI. The top speed is more than 400 knots and the service ceiling is 60,000 feet.


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Monster Power Outlets To Go went well on trip
Ralph Graves is one of Crutchfield's blog editors, and part of the company's social media team. He writes about home audio/video gear, specializing in Apple-related and wireless technologies. Ralph holds a master's degree in music composition, and his works have been released on various labels. He's served as product manager for an independent classical and world music label, produced several recordings, and worked extensively in public broadcasting. Since 1984 he's hosted a weekly classical music program on WTJU, and is also active as a blogger and podcaster.
More from Ralph Graves
Heads up!Welcome to this article from the Crutchfield archives. Have fun reading it, but be aware that the information may be outdated and links may be broken.
OK, I admit I'm something of a gadget geek. But when I go on a business trip, there are just some things I gotta have on my journey. Like my laptop, and cell phone, and digital camera, and iPod, and portable speakers.
I've been in too many hotel rooms where I've had to choose between keeping the floor lamp plugged in or using it for my cell phone charger. So I was happy to give the Monster Power Outlets To Go a try after Chris's recent misadventure.
I took her advice and packed an adapter, but fortunately, I didn't need it (this time). The Outlets To Go's wide-spaced sockets let me plug all of my odd-shaped AC adapters in without any trouble. As you can see from the photo, the power strip accommodated it all, and still left an outlet for the room's coffeemaker (going clockwise from the bottom of the photo, is my laptop's AC adapter, cube speaker AC adapter, cell phone charger, camera recharging dock, and iPod charging cable).
And don't worry - all of these devices draw very little power, so I wasn't overloading the wall outlet.
Although it looked a little messy with everything hooked up, the Monster Power Outlets To Go was a handy device to bring along. Because all of my devices were plugged into a single source, I didn't have to sweep the room when I checked out to make sure I didn't forget something I'd plugged in behind the bed, or under the desk or some other out-of-the-way place.
All in all, the Monster Power Outlets To Go worked much better then some of the other power strip/extension cord solutions I've tried. A big plus was its compact design, which kept the cord flat against the body for travel. I'll be adding this little gem to my permanent travel kit.


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This website is an ongoing project of the old historic Baptist theology: The Berean Bible Heritage Church. Here are some of the departments:
On This Day
The On This Day series is now in its new home! This is a great tool for Baptist churches as well as a great way to learn about the great stalwarts of the faith that make each day we live memorable. Take a few minutes each day to read the stories!
Prophecy Guide
See our Prophecy Guide! It is being expanded a little bit each day, and is the culmination of many years of Bible study on the topic. It tries to avoid any particular escatology dogma, and just lets the Scriptures tell the facts. It has three major parts that are inter-related. There is a commentary of Bible verses, a subject listing, and a timeline.
The Auction of Your Soul
Men of God who stand up and clearly explain what is right and why, and what is wrong and why are hard to find. The Auction of Your Soul is the many sermon files of J.E. Conant, an evangelist that traveled this country and challenged Christians to turn from their wicked ways and live! He was a close friend to A.T. Pierson, F.B. Meyer, and R.A. Torrey at Moody, and a radio preacher on the Moody Bible broadcast. His books on evangelism continue to be used as textbooks today.
Daily Bible Reading
Join us in our daily Bible reading, as we read through the the Bible each year, taking main portions from both the New and Old Testaments as well as the Psalms and Proverbs!
The Bible Says It
Look it up in The Bible Says It!
Hymn Stories
The hymns stories are being redone and moved to their new home. To see what we have so far, visit our Hymn Story index!
Why the Name?
This is a site for those who love God, and love the Word of God and are determined to follow the Lord Jesus in everything so that they will be ready for the work God has for them to do for all eternity. Heaven is not going to be the riding of a cloud while plucking some harp. It is the Kingdom of Heaven, and involve the ruling of many kings and priests. Our only chance to apprentice for this opportunity is to learn to closely follow the Lord and remain faithful in everything that is sent our way.
John the Baptist had a simple but profound message:
Matthew 3:1-2 In those days came John the Baptist, preaching in the wilderness of Judaea, And saying, Repent ye: for the kingdom of heaven is at hand.
Jesus took the message and expanded upon it.
Matthew 4:17 From that time Jesus began to preach, and to say, Repent: for the kingdom of heaven is at hand.
Peter took up the message after the Lord Jesus ascended into heaven.
Acts 2:38 Then Peter said unto them, Repent, and be baptized every one of you in the name of Jesus Christ for the remission of sins, and ye shall receive the gift of the Holy Ghost. For the promise is unto you, and to your children, and to all that are afar off, even as many as the Lord our God shall call.
Paul expressed the idea in this way:
Philippians 3:13 Brethren, I count not myself to have apprehended: but this one thing I do, forgetting those things which are behind, and reaching forth unto those things which are before, I press toward the mark for the prize of the high calling of God in Christ Jesus.
The sons of Zebudee's mother asked for her boys to sit on thrones on either side of the Lord Jesus. His reply is that they needed to prove they were able, but the Father has a place for them.
Matthew 20:20 Then came to him the mother of Zebedee's children with her sons, worshipping him, and desiring a certain thing of him. And he said unto her, What wilt thou? She saith unto him, Grant that these my two sons may sit, the one on thy right hand, and the other on the left, in thy kingdom. But Jesus answered and said, Ye know not what ye ask. Are ye able to drink of the cup that I shall drink of, and to be baptized with the baptism that I am baptized with? They say unto him, We are able.
The great leaders in heaven fall down in worship and say:
Revelation 5:9 And they sung a new song, saying, Thou art worthy to take the book, and to open the seals thereof: for thou wast slain, and hast redeemed us to God by thy blood out of every kindred, and tongue, and people, and nation; And hast made us unto our God kings and priests: and we shall reign on the earth.


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Michigan State defensive end William Gholston confirmed Saturday he will become the third Spartans player to leave school early and declare for the 2013 NFL Draft, Mlive.com reported.
A junior, Gholston is 6-7, 278 pounds. He had 59 tackles and a team-best 4.5 sacks this season.
Running back Le'Veon Bell and tight end Dion Sims earlier announced their decisions to turn pro.
Gholston told coach Mark Dantonio of his plans on Friday, according to 247Sports.com.
"After thinking everything over and talking to coach Dantonio, I knew it in my heart leaving for the NFL was the best decision for me," Gholston told the website. "I want to thank everyone who helped me get to this point in my career and everything the entire Michigan State has done for me."
Gholston said he made his decision to help his 3-month-old son.
"Every snap, every down and every step I take throughout life is for him," Gholston said. "My son means everything to me because he is part of me in everything I do."
Scouts told Gholston he would likely be called in the draft's first two rounds, according to CollegeFootballTalk.com.


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We offer free matchmaking and bonding services, nail and scent gland cleaning for adopted bunnies, plus a supportive staff that is always ready to answer your questions. We do this for the love of rabbits as a community service.
All Haven staff are 100% volunteers, and all of our funds are dedicated to assist the rabbits.
The first Saturday of every month we show at For Other Living Things in Sunnyvale.
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Our next two shows are held the second and fourth Sunday of every month. These adoption shows are held at Pet Pals in Soquel (Santa Cruz County).
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New shows are being planned for the San Jose area. We do have one adoption center now at Andy's Pet Adoption Center. Call 831 600-7479 for full details.
Check on our website at http://therabbithaven.org/ for a full current list of rabbits that are available.
We have three adoption events every month: the 1st Saturday, and the 2nd and 4th Sunday of every month. Please see our calendar at http://therabbithaven.org for more details. Friendly, supportive Haven counselors are there to answer all of your questions and to help you meet the rabbits! You may adopt on the same day.
We offer spayed and neutered rabbits, a full education packet, a free first vet exam, counseling services, free nail trims, and valuable coupons you may use to purchase needed supply. Email email@example.com for a pre-adopt application that you can send by email. Then, we help answer all your questions and make appointments for you ahead of time so that the rabbit you want is at the adoption show for you.
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J.C. Penny will eliminate the jcp menswear brand and reduce the assortments in its Joe Fresh, Michael Graves and Martha Stewart lines, Reuters reported.
All four brands were introduced by former CEO Ron Johnson. Penney plans to use the resulting space to emphasize its exclusive private-label brands.
Starting in January, Penney will shrink its Joe Fresh in-store shops and reduce the assortment, the report said, moving the shops away from the front entry to give a more prominent spot to the chain's own a.n.a and jcp women's wear collections.
"What we now need is to edit things out that didn't resonate sufficiently," CEO Mike Ullman told Reuters in an interview. "We don't have six or seven years to get our business back. Half of our business has to be brands that we can produce profitably."


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Travel Guide of Old Montreal, Montreal for: Auberge du Vieux-PortOld Montreal, Montreal, Quebec
Old Montreal Summary
- Compact, so you'll be close to the action no matter where you stay
- The city's largest concentration of historic sites and museums, including the oldest stone church in Montreal
- Family-friendly attractions, like ice skating and Shed 16 Labyrinth -- an indoor maze
- Arguably the most romantic district, especially in the wintertime (but be prepared for intense blizzards and temps below freezing)
- Safe community; relatively low crime rate
- Scarce street parking, but three metro stations lie within the district
- Limited nightlife options; most bars found in hotels and restaurants
What It's Like
With a history dating back to 1642, Old Montreal is, well, old. This well-preserved neighborhood might be one of the prettiest and most fascinating quarters of the city. While summers give way to lively street festivals and restaurant terraces brimming with energy, winters offer a much mellower and relaxed pace.
By simply wandering around the cobblestone streets, visitors will stumble upon something interesting, beautiful, or delicious (or all three!). While there are plenty of restaurants to choose from, visitors should beware of tourist traps offering low-quality food at outrageous prices.
As for shopping, during the summer months vendors and local artists set up shop in Place Jacques-Cartier and along city streets. The same tourist trap rule applies to these street vendors -- browse for a bit to make sure you're not getting duped.
Where To Stay
There are two types of hotels you probably won't find in Old Montreal: chain hotels and cheap hotels. Most hotels within this district are cute, historic little boutiques with an equally pretty price tag. Riverfront hotels provide spectacular views, and those nestled back in street alleys are, naturally, within easy walking distance from many restaurants and pubs.


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Hugo Chavez Dies
Reports of Hugo Chavez's death have hit the wires. From the Wall Street Journal:
Hugo Chávez, a former tank commander turned populist politician who used Venezuela's oil riches to pursue his vision of socialism and challenge the U.S., died Tuesday from complications related to cancer.
With Mr. Chavéz just months into his fourth term, his death plunged Venezuela into political uncertainty. Vice President Nicolás Maduro will succeed Mr. Chávez as interim president, but must hold a new election within 30 days, according to the constitution...
Mr. Chávez's death is a blow to populist governments in the region, including those of Bolivia and Ecuador, which he led in a perennial campaign against American hegemony. His death could have major economic and political repercussions for Cuba, which receives billions in virtually free oil from Venezuela.
Domestically, Mr. Chávez leaves behind a deeply divided country with an economy in disarray, barely kept afloat by high oil prices.
The Journal is making a lot of assumptions about the post-Chavez world. Sure, it's unclear what kind of leader Maduro will be, how the political infighting among the ruling party will turn out, and whether Chavizmo can live on without Chavez. And Venezuela's bond market has rallied since last year on hopes that a new government might be less autocratic and more "business friendly." But it's just as unclear whether Venezuelan's are ready to vote for the opposition, which got clobbered during the last election.
More details to come.


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This course was an excellent way to expand knowledge in the optical assisting field. Its also a great way to get a head start if you're interested in certification or licensing. I enjoyed this class and recommend it to others.
This is one of the only beginners courses I have found online for optical assisting and I have learned a lot. It was very interesting and I would recommend it to anyone interested in this field.
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Get Ready for the 3D Ride
When 3D Systems (DDD) reports on Monday morning it should be a fun one to watch.
When you combine a stock with almost 1/4 of its float short, a P/E not too far away from triple digits, huge gross margins, big growth and a big-time momentum stock, I have to say I really don't know what to expect here -- other than volatility....329 more words left in this article. To read them, just click below and try Real Money FREE for 14 days.
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How to buy training simulators
Among the greatest technological advances in Law Enforcement is the tremendous evolution in training simulation technology. During the last 20 years or so, Law Enforcement trainers have employed an array of new simulation devices — from driving simulators with unique auditory and vibration systems that enhance the training environment to new graphics-based firearms training systems with advanced auditory effects. If your department is looking to upgrade its training simulators, here are a few things to keep in mind:
1. Learning Objectives: We have found over the years that learning objectives change with each new iteration of departmental policies and procedures, as well as with progression in the way people teach and learn.
Without having learning objectives outlined or stated in your training programs, progression and failure are hard to record. Being goal-focused and being able to document your objectives is vital to training.
The concepts of learning objectives will impact simulation training as well. Many older generation simulators have preset and designated learning objectives. Newer simulators don't have that limitation — no longer will you be limited to using the simulation systems to teach officers use of force. Ideally, you want simulation systems capable of utilizing learning objectives to create use of force scenarios, critical incident management scenarios, complete courses for administrative personnel, scenarios for public safety professionals in your city, public education scenarios, etc.
2. Educational Simulator Platforms: Manufacturers are designing simulators to be as real as user's regular life. We are breaking away from the typical shooting programs and entering a new era called "enhanced education" through the use of Educational Simulator Platforms (ESP). These new platforms helped evolve simulation training systems from shoot/no shoot to programs that challenge the user's judgment and decision-making abilities in use-of-force simulation systems.
Judgmental use of force simulation systems should be able to handle multiple students with multiple devices in the training environment. Currently, limitations in detection methods usually allow for a maximum of four un-tethered devices. (In the near future that will jump to 16 un-tethered devices.) Each device will be definable by the operator and will track according to the student to which it was assigned. For example, you could have 16 shooters at once and the computer will track who fired each shot and where that shot impacted. Alternatively, you could have 8 shooters, each with their own O/C spray, and or 4 shooters, all of whom has an O/C spray, a TASER, and a shotgun! This is in addition to a flashlight for simulated low light operations.
3. Presentation Options: Many simulation systems can be used as presentation platforms and media exchanges. Many also have database functions that connect with a large variety of database management software or function as a stand alone database with more reporting capability than a typical agency will ever use. By ensuring you have these options, you will be able to distribute current and accurate information as needed.
Instructors should also be able to immediately poll an audience with pre-determined questions designed or those you created.
Classroom training software is now available and can be used with a course of instruction pre-designed by either the instructor or an outside company. With this software, you will be able to preserve the quality of your own past instructors and experience, and have this information available at your own fingertips.
4. Checklist of Questions to Ask:
• What is the service warranty on this equipment?
• What is the training time to train the officers on how to use this equipment?
• Do you provide any training in maintenance, operating and troubleshooting this equipment?
• What customer service support can I count on after our purchase?
• What additional charges if any for upgrading on new software?
• What is the difficulty in filming my own simulations in our areas?
• What other programs and training software is offered with this system?
• How does it document our training for court purposes?
• What other force options are equipped to operate with this system?
Do you have any other suggestions for officers purchasing and evaluating training simulators? Please leave a comment below or email email@example.com with your feedback.
PoliceOne Columnist Dave Young contributed to this report.
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NetWellness is a global, community service providing quality, unbiased health information from our partner university faculty. NetWellness is commercial-free and does not accept advertising.
Tuesday, September 26, 2017
Women's Health
Possibly anemic?
I can`t really find the right category for this... But anyway, I`m a little worried I might be anemic. My dad has been when he was my age (13). I don`t eat a ton of red meat nor do I take vitamins... my periods are really heavy and I`m always really cold. I also have a hard time paying attention I have a lot of headaches too. And recently when I`m about to fall asleep it feels as if there`s an earthquake but my body isn`t physically shaking... It just feels like it. It`s hard for me to breathe sometimes too... I have no idea what`s wrong with me or if I should bother my mom with it.
Glad you asked. You probably are anemic, but you need to see your health care provider to have blood tests done, to see what kind of anemia you might have. It may be due to the heavy periods. Meanwhile, start keeping a "diary" about your periods: write down exactly how long they last, how many pads or tampons you use, and what size the pads/tampons are. Take this diary when you see your provider, so that she or he can get an idea of what you are experiencing. But see your provider soon. Good luck.
Linda A Bernhard, PhD, RN
Professor Emeritus
College of Nursing
The Ohio State University


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BP Comment Quick Links
|Strength of Schedule Report
April 19, 2013
Pebble Hunting
The Search for the Missing Steals
There was a time when goliaths roamed the Earth. Runs were plentiful, and with few natural enemies, these behemoths could grow larger and larger, more and more sedentary. They had no need to run, so they lumbered about, leisurely returning home unmolested by predator or foe.
But the metaphor could not last forever. Eventually, offense in baseball went back down to more typical levels, and the game once again welcomed back the singles hitter, the glove man, the productive out. And, as runs went down, stolen bases went up. I gave the following graph, showing leaguewide scoring and stolen base totals by year, a pun title.
That's the narrative, and it's a good one. No problems with that narrative. Offense goes down, stolen bases go up. With runs at a premium, home runs less available, and basestealers getting better and better at avoiding caught stealings, the small-ball tactic takes on great significance.
What's weird is that 2013 has disrupted the narrative, so far at least, and it's not easy to say why. Here's the same chart above, but with runs and stolen bases (prorated across a full season) added for 2013:
Brett Gardner is still looking for his first stolen base; Carlos Gomez got his first on Thursday. Michael Bourn, Mike Trout, and Jose Altuve have one each. Last year, teams attempted .89 steals per game; this year, they've attempted .69 steals per game.
So what's to blame? Easier to rule out what's not to blame, or probably not to blame, and see what's left.
1. A gradual league-wide shift in style of play is not to blame.
As noted in the graphs above, the trend has been toward the stolen base, rather than away from it. If we go back to the beginning of the century, the most steal-happy seasons—both by attempts and by successful thefts—have come in the past two years:
So this is an abrupt turnaround.
2. Basestealers being more choosy aren't to blame.
Technically, they are choosing not to steal, so that is literally the reason. But it isn't like baserunners all realized that getting caught's not worth it and decided they're not going to steal unless it's a sure thing that they'll be safe. The league's 73.4 percent success rate through the first 13 games is about identical to the league's 73.5 percent success rate through the first 13 games of years 2007 through 2012; it's only slightly better than the 73.1 percent overall success rate since 2007. Which is all just to say that this isn't a stolen bases phenomenon but a stolen base attempts phenomenon.
3. The particular characteristics unique to the month of April are not to blame.
You might guess that the first two weeks would be a slow time for stolen bases—weather, and injury concerns, and players working their way back to full speed. It's not. From 2000 to 2012, teams attempted .827 steals per game in their first 13 games. They attempted .827 steals per game in their final 149 games.
All the same, if we compare 2013 thus far to the previous dozen years at comparable points (which is to say, the first 13 games of each team's season, 13 being the number I'm choosing because there are teams this season that have played only 13 games), we have to go back a full decade to find a season as uninterested in basestealing as this one:
Comparing apples to apples, there are 87 stolen bases missing since last year.
4. The limited predictive power of mid-April statistics is probably not to blame.
The correlation between the league's first 13 games and its final 149 games over the past decade is .63. There's certainly room there for this to turn out to be a fluke, but that's a solid correlation.
5. A lack of stolen base opportunities is not primarily to blame.
If, for instance, there just weren't as many baserunners reaching first base (and OBP is down from last year, a tick), or if there weren't as many baserunners reaching first base without a runner on second base, or if there weren't as many baserunners reaching first base with two outs and without a runner on second or third (the most common basestealing situation) then that would explain it. That doesn't explain it, because that's not the case.
There are 24 base/out situations. Ten of them are either completely non-stealing situations (no runner on base) or de facto non-stealing situations (runner on third, bases loaded, etc). Of the other 14, baserunners are attempting to steal less frequently in 13 this season.
For instance, with a runner on first and two outs last year, baserunners stole second base or were caught stealing second base 10.76 percent of the time. In 2013, a runner has been on first with two outs 1,039 times. If 10.76 percent of those baserunners attempted to steal, there would be 112 attempts; in fact, there have been 94 attempts. Repeat that math for every situation, and it adds up to 97 missing stolen base attempts, based on this year's stolen base opportunities.
6. A preponderance of blowouts, if it existed, would not be to blame.
There have been somewhat more plate appearances this year in blowouts (a lead or deficit of five runs or greater), but even if it were a very significant disparity (it's not) it wouldn't be to blame. The league is stealing less often in tie games, in one-run games, in two-run games, in three-run games, in four-run games, and in blow-outs.
7. High-profile basestealers not getting on base are not primarily to blame.
Some of them might be, I guess. But there are 239 baserunners who have attempted to steal less often this year than they did last year, and just 90 who have attempted to steal more often. If every individual runner who reached first base stole at exactly the same rate that he stole last year—that is, Trout stole as often as Trout stole last year; Kelly Shoppach stole as often as Kelly Shoppach stole last year; etc.—there'd be roughly 83 more steal attempts than we've seen.
8. The temperature is not to blame.
A popular theory among BP authors is that the cold weather this spring would make baserunners more cautious, for fear of injury. It's true that there have been more games in the 30s and 40s in the first two weeks of this year than in the first two weeks of the past three years; it's not all that close:
Except that stolen base attempts have been higher in low temperatures. Attempts per game at each temperature tier:
And so what ideas does that leave? It leaves dampness and precipitation, for one. There's been a lot of dampness and precipitation! But the weather data at Baseball-Reference is much less helpful on dampness and precipitation than it is for temperatures. It leaves some heretofore unnoticed trend in pitchers holding baserunners on more closely or more effectively, which can't be confirmed because it hasn't yet been noticed. It leaves ... well, you tell me. What's it leave? You suggest it, I'll try to check it out.
Thanks to Colin Wyers for research assistance.
Sam Miller is an author of Baseball Prospectus. Follow @SamMillerBB
36 comments have been left for this article.
BP Comment Quick Links
Hi Doug, what about:
Apr 19, 2013 03:40 AM
Jay Stevens
It could be deliberate, right? A sudden philosophical trend away from the SB. Has anything like that happened before? Can any new strategy be explained by philosophy rather than how it plays on the field.
Apr 19, 2013 06:48 AM
Honestly, not sure this isn't the answer, but it's sooo sudden and there wasn't even a hint of it really last year, and we haven't heard anything about it from players/managers, and it's leaguewide, so it's one heck of a sudden philosophical zig.
Apr 19, 2013 08:30 AM
Actually, though, would we say it IS league-wide? Or is the stark reduction in attempts by a few teams tilting the numbers? We'd want to know what the usual SBA distribution for the early going is, and compare it to this year's. I mean, Boston has attempted 20 steals. Colorado has. The Indians, Astros, Angels and Yankees have just 25 attempts between them.
Apr 19, 2013 09:21 AM
You said that it's not high profile baserunners not getting on base more often due to the fact that more baserunners are attempting to steal less often this year than more often. You also said its not a lack of stolen base opportunities. I think it would be interesting to still look at a combination of the two. Are guys that attempted 15+ steals last year not getting as many opportunities? Are those opportunities they are getting against superior batteries, so that it's less attractive to steal? I think it's still early enough in the year that some simple randomness like this could skew the results.
Apr 19, 2013 07:10 AM
I downloaded the league totals for games, homeruns, stolen bases, and caught stealing from 2002-2013 and then calculated the per game average for each of these statistics each year. I regressed total stolen base attempts on 1 year lagged homeruns. The R-Squared is 0.6914, the constant has a value of 1.69598, and the beta for lagged homeruns is -.8502404. With these estimates and the homeruns/game in 2012, the predicted stolen base attempts for 2013 would be .8327, which is between the current year's .706667 and the previous two years' 0.89814 and 0.93454, respectively.
Apr 19, 2013 10:55 AM
David Jackson
Is it Mike Trout's extra 40 lbs?
Apr 19, 2013 07:12 AM
Been wondering why Trout hasn't run more. I think the new spot in the order is hurting. He's had several chances to run. Not like the Angels have been scoring lots of runs, seems like they'd try and scratch a few more out. Scioscia turning into Earl Weaver?
Apr 19, 2013 07:29 AM
Mike Scioscia is the most or second-most aggressive manager in baseball when it comes to stealing bases. I'd be stunned if that had changed, given the efficiency and profligacy of so many of their runners (Aybar, Bourjos, Trout). I think in the Angels' case, it's absolutely just a blip that will correct itself.
Apr 19, 2013 09:14 AM
I was watching the Angels and when Trout got on in front of Pujols, my first thought was that this is the upside of his batting second - he can steal in front of Pujols and prevent Albert from grounding into 40 DPs this year. He never made a move and Pujols grounded into a DP. The next time this happened, Trout stayed anchored to first and Pujols made a routine out, leaving him there. As soon as Hamitlon stepped in, Trout got runnerish, trying to steal twice (both fouled off by Hamilton), even though it took away the hole from a left-handed batter. It's a small sample size, but for whatever reason, it does appear that Trout's not running in front of Pujols. It could be that Scoscia fears the IBB which would follow the successful steal (especially with Hamilton being cold), or that Pujols doesn't like people running while he's up - some hitters are like that.
Apr 19, 2013 10:16 AM
COuld there just be fewer fast enough players to try stealing? The Cardinals have attempted only five steals all year. Well, that's probably in part because Pete Kozma is a lot, lot slower than Rafael Furcal. The Yankees have only attempted six steals, partially because Curtis Granderson and Derek Jeter are on the shelf. The Astros replaced their entire team with Carlos Pena and Chris Carter; they have tried just seven steals. I'm at a loss to explain the Indians (five attempts), but the Angels have tried just seven steals, and part of that is Pujols is hobbled, and part is that Erick Aybar is hurt.
Apr 19, 2013 07:51 AM
Brett Gardner is healthy this year; Jacoby Ellsbury is healthy this year; Carl Crawford is healthy this year; etc, so there are examples that go in both directions.
Apr 19, 2013 08:26 AM
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SBs aren't as Sports Center friendly. The decline of the game in one statistic.
Apr 19, 2013 09:00 AM
I blame sabermetrics!
Apr 19, 2013 09:07 AM
And also to @huztlers: The question isn't why are stolen bases going down compared to 20 years ago, or 10 years ago, or even five years ago. It's why are they going down compared to 20 *games* ago. There hasn't been a sabermetric revolution in the past 20 games.
Apr 19, 2013 09:10 AM
I loved that last line.
Apr 21, 2013 08:22 AM
Sam, do you think hitting Cano in the 2 hold behind Gardner has caused Girardi to be a tad reticent about sending Gardner more?
Apr 19, 2013 09:41 AM
Ben Lindbergh
BP staff
I don't know if Gardner has had the green light less often, but he told me when I talked to him this week that Cano hitting behind him is why he hasn't been going. See here.
Apr 19, 2013 09:45 AM
"My job is to get on base, especially with the way our lineup is right now," Gardner said. "[Robinson] Cano's hitting behind me, so I need to get on first base, and stay right there. It's not a case of me trying to get on and steal second and leave first base open. I'm trying to leave that hole open for him."
Apr 19, 2013 09:49 AM
Couldn't the same be explained for Trout also? Most nights, he bats behind Bourjos, but he's always in front of Pujols, Hamilton, and Trumbo. If you were Scoscia, would you risk having a guy get to second or an extra run on the board when one of those three hits a home run? I think that's an unnecessary risk, don't you?
Apr 21, 2013 08:26 AM
Are players, managers more cognizant of the injury risk of stolen bases? We certainly got a gruesome reminder of that with Jose Reyes.
Apr 19, 2013 10:58 AM
What about the combination of two or more factors - - for example longer spring training plus damp weather. Managers/players already preconditioned to be wary of more injuries early in year with longer spring training and then damp weather feeds into these concerns and triggers less running ...
Apr 19, 2013 11:51 AM
Dampness and precipitation could be the culprit. It makes intuitive sense to me that managers would send their runners less often on wet basepaths.
Apr 19, 2013 11:53 AM
Random thoughts:
Apr 20, 2013 08:09 AM
Occam's razor seems to be shaving off everything except that .63 correlation.
Apr 20, 2013 09:36 AM
More interleague early in the season?
Apr 20, 2013 13:43 PM
Dave Pease
BP staff
I blame Juan Segura.
Apr 20, 2013 16:44 PM
I'm late to the party on this one, but I think manager changes, lineup changes (as discussed already) and injury concerns are enough to explain the 83 less attempts this year. I can easily account for 14 of those (almost 20%) just from 3 players on one team - the Indians. After the first 17 games last year, Michael Bourn, Jason Kipnis and Drew Stubbs had a combined 18 attempts. This year they have 4. But Stubbs and Bourn didn't play for the Indians last year. And Terry Francona didn't manage the Indians last year. Looking at Red Sox stats through Francona's time, it's pretty clear he doesn't like to send the runners. They were near the bottom of AL in attempts for 6 of his 8 seasons there. It doesn't seem unreasonable that the impacts of new batting orders, interleague, and new managers could easily add up to the 80-some "missing" steals.
Apr 22, 2013 13:48 PM
Jacoby Ellsbury stole 70 bases in a season while Francona was there, which is the most any AL baserunner has stolen in a season since 1997
Apr 22, 2013 13:52 PM
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