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To mark the Bonneville's 50th anniversary, Triumph commissioned Belstaff and Ewan McGregor to design special edition bikes. By far the better looking of the two, Belstaff's design exudes classic cool with a John Player Special-esque black and gold color scheme. Ewan's copper-plated tank is pretty tacky, but we do like the '70s-style font. Unsurprisingly, it's the Belstaff model that will reach production, going on sale in limited numbers later this year.
Compared to the Paul Smith Bonnevilles from 2005, we can't help but
feel a bit underwhelmed by these two bikes. For its 50th birthday, the
Bonneville deserves (and desperately needs) a complete refresh, one
that captures the performance, character and appeal of the original
model, or at least has performance, character and appeal of some kind.
via Motoblog


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The sky, 12 years ago today, was a beautiful shade of blue, much like today.
We will never forget.
God bless the victims. And the survivors.
May today remind us to hug our children, our spouses and partners, our parents, our friends, and those who run into – and not away from – disaster.
God bless America.

subset: commoncrawl


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A woman sits on a railing at the edge of a bridge as Ma Housing tries to pull her back. Signed by Arthur Lytle.
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Pot Laws Facing High Court Scrutiny?
Nothing is on the U.S. Supreme Court docket yet but with recent passage of liberal marijuana-use laws, a case could fire up justices.
With the U.S. Supreme Court now poised to consider the future of same-sex marriage on a federal level, smoking marijuana could be the next socially charged issue to enter its chambers.
Employment lawyers Jim Shore of Stoel Rives in Seattle and Nancy Delogu of Littler Mendelson's Washington, D.C., office agree that liberalization of marijuana laws is sweeping the country. Now, with more than a third of the states having medical and/or recreational marijuana laws on the books, a re-examination of federal law may be in the cards.
Connecticut even took the bold step of reclassifying marijuana as a Schedule II controlled substance. Shore says that if the federal government followed suit, that would allow marijuana to be the subject of medical research to determine its safety.
Delogu says there is a lawsuit pending in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit trying to force the federal government to reclassify marijuana as a Schedule II or Schedule III controlled substance, for that same reason. In any case, it would take an act of Congress to change the law.
"I'm not advocating pro-marijuana or anti-marijuana," Shore says, "but it would be nice if the federal government were to look closely at the issue." Meanwhile, he says, "HR should keep their ears to the ground," because like marijuana smoke, change is in the air.
Susan G. Hauser is a writer based in Portland, Oregon. Comment below or email email@example.com.


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Here's what we think the Chicago Bears are: A team dominated by a relentless, turnover-forcing defense supplemented by an inconsistent but dangerous offense. That was certainly their identity during their latest rout of an overmatched opponent, a 51-20 shellacking of the Titans in Tennessee on Sunday.
With it, came their seventh defensive touchdown of the season, as linebacker Brian Urlacher finally got in on the fun with a 46-yard interception return. They added another score on a blocked punt and the reunited passing combination of quarterback Jay Cutler (19-for-28, 229 yards, three touchdowns) and wide receiver Brandon Marshall (nine catches, 122 yards, three TDs) delivered its best game.
The Bears have had a blast during their 7-1 first half, posting the NFC's second-best record. But we'll soon find out in the second half of the season if they're a legitimate threat to win the Super Bowl.
Their schedule gets a whole lot tougher, effective immediately. In Weeks 10 and 11, they have marquee prime-time matchups against the two teams Sporting News picked for Super Bowl XLVII, Houston and San Francisco. Both the Bears' strengths and weaknesses will be put to the ultimate test based on what the Texans and 49ers do well.
Those opponents have strong offensive lines and protect the ball. They stick with the power running game and don't mind methodically moving the ball downfield in the passing game, working on shorter routes underneath zone coverage, the scheme Chicago plays.
Defensively, the Texans and 49ers also get after the quarterback and have dynamic pass rushers such as J.J. Watt and Aldon Smith who can overwhelm the Bears' big bugaboo -- pass protection.
The Bears also have four games left in what's shaping up to be another tough NFC North race. Outside of the division, the Bears' average margin of victory has been more than 17 points. Inside of the division, they suffered their only loss in Week 2 in Green Bay (23-10) and eked out a home win over Detroit (13-6).
They host the Packers and face the Lions on the road, and the two games against the Vikings (5-4) are no longer gimmies. As the Bears might end up needing to battle for a wild card behind Green Bay, they also must contend with the swarming defenses of the Seahawks and Cardinals.
With Urlacher, fellow linebacker Lance Briggs and cornerbacks Charles Tillman and Tim Jennings leading the charge, the Bears will continue to get some big plays from their back seven. But they can't expect them to come in bunches to produce points and set up short fields.
So much is riding on Cutler and his offensive line being consistent and avoiding mistakes. If those elements come through, it means Marshall and Matt Forte become powerful forces and the Bears will roll out the right blend of balance of explosiveness. If they don't, it will get ugly when they face defensive teams a lot better than the Titans. What the Bears do in the next two weeks under the lights will let us now if they are capable of glowing in January, and possibly, February.
Luck, Martin pass, run past RG3 in rookie race
Just two weeks ago, Redskins quarterback Robert Griffin III with his good all-around game against the Giants in defeat, looked like he was trying to lock up the NFL's offensive rookie of the year race before midseason. Get us rewrite.
That was before Pittsburgh and Carolina cooled off RG3, and before Colts quarterback Andrew Luck and Buccaneers running back Doug Martin did what they did in Weeks 8 and 9.
Griffin edged Luck and now Browns rookie running back Trent Richardson for the 2011 Heisman Trophy. It's Luck and Martin, however, who have suddenly nudged ahead of Griffin for OROY, with Richardson a distant fourth.
While Cam Newton outdueled Griffin on the RG3's home turf, 21-13, Luck was busy breaking Newton's single-game rookie passing yardage record with 433 yards (30-for-48, two TDs and 13-for-17 for 204 yards just on third down) in a 23-20 win over the Dolphins. More important, it put the Colts in the AFC's top wild-card position, tied with the Steelers at 5-3.
Luck's great performance followed a Colts' overtime road victory at Tennessee last week. If his team stays on its current playoff path the Colts would play, of all teams, Peyton Manning's Denver Broncos in the first round.
Working under the fine tutelage of Bruce Arians, who did so well with a similar young quarterback—Ben Roethlisberger—in a similar offense, Luck has thrived. He's got old reliable receiver Reggie Wayne, but fellow rookies such as wideout T.Y. Hilton, tight end Dwayne Allen and running back Vick Ballard have provided huge assists. This is a young, energetic team playing hard for Arians and Chuck Pagano, and Luck has shown veteran smarts.
Martin's homecoming explosion against the Raiders (25 carries, 251 yards, four TDs) has him firmly on the rookie of the year radar, especially on the heels of gaining 214 yards from scrimmage and two TDs against the Vikings in Week 8. The Buccaneers are back to .500 (4-4) because of their young back, but given Luck is in complete control of a better team, he's now the best bet to win the award.
Injury update
Darren McFadden, RB, Raiders (ankle). McFadden was hurt in the first half of Oakland's 42-32 loss to Tampa Bay, and the team could have used its best playmaker in a shootout. Unfortunately, joining the oft banged-up McFadden on the shelf was backup Mike Goodson, who also suffered an ankle injury. If neither can go in the near future, it will be speedster Taiwan Jones' chance.
Clay Matthews, OLB, Packers (hamstring). Matthews could have had a big second half rushing Cardinals quarterback John Skelton, but he had to leave in the third quarter. With the defensive injuries piling up for Green Bay, it's a concern, but the good news is the team has a well-timed bye in Week 10.
Antonio Brown, WR, Steelers (ankle). Brown was hurt trying to make a touchdown catch, and said after the game that he has a high ankle sprain. With Emmanuel Sanders playing well as the next man up and Pittsburgh drawing the one-win Chiefs next week, the team can afford to rest Brown if needed.
Robert Mathis, OLB, Colts (back). Mathis had an impact rushing the passer in the win over the Dolphins returning from a knee injury, so it's a shame he hurt something else. The hope is he won't need to miss more time, so he can help Indianapolis maintain its strength on the edges with him and Dwight Freeney teaming up.


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Man arrested after neighbor stabs his pit bull
Oakland County Sheriff's deputies say a 53-year-old Pontiac man was arrested after getting upset after a neighbor stabbed his pit bull Saturday afternoon. According to the sheriff's office, the pit bull escaped the yard at the man's home on Adelaide Street and attacked the neighbor's dog. The owner of the victim dog came to its rescue, stabbing the pit bull. Deputies tried to calm the owner of the pit bull, but the man was confrontational, according to deputies. He was taken to St. Joseph Mercy Hospital in Pontiac after complaining that he was having trouble breathing. He was ticketed for resisting and obstructing as well as for failing to keep his dog in his yard. Deputies did not specify what the man used to stab the pit bull or the condition of the dog.
Man attacked by large group
Deputies were called to break up a large fight on the 100 block of Duane Street in Pontiac early Sunday and followed a blood trail to a victim who said he had been jumped by several men. The 41-year-old Pontiac man was taken to McLaren Oakland Hospital and was listed in stable condition with superficial wounds to his back. Deputies said the man was uncooperative and declined to press charges against any of his attackers.
Sheriff: House fire was arson
A house fire late Saturday on the 1500 block of Joslyn Road in Pontiac was determined to be arson. The home was abandoned, according to the Sheriff's Office.
Preempted assault at Wal-Mart leads to chase
Two men fled Oakland County Sheriff's deputies from the Wal-Mart at 2500 S. Adams Road in Rochester Hills early Sunday in what is believed to be a stolen van. Deputies responded to the store around 2:30 a.m. after it was reported that two men were attempting to assault another person, when the complainant pepper-sprayed the would-be attacker. The men then sped away in the van. Rochester Hills deputies attempted to stop the van before the men fled to Pontiac, where they lost sight of the vehicle. It was later located unoccupied on Anderson Street near Michigan and the men were seen running from the van. A K-9 track was attempted, but failed. Several bottles of stolen alcohol with security devices still attached were found in the van as well as the backyard of a home in the 200 block of Anderson Street. Deputies got permission to search the home and one of the suspects was found inside.
The van is thought by deputies to have been stolen in Waterford last week. Rochester Hills detectives are still investigating.
-- Staff Writer Paul Kampe
Man sitting in median arrested
A Commerce Township man resisted arrest after Oakland County deputies responded found him sitting in a chair in the median of M-5 and West Maple Road Sunday, according to a release from the Oakland County Sheriff's department. Deputies say the suspect, an 18-year-old, did not cooperate and would not give authorities his identity. The man also resisted a deputy who attempted to check him for weapons. The deputy who searched the man said that the man began fighting, and was taken to the ground. A West Bloomfield Township officer came to the scene to assist in the man's arrest. The man was taken to the Oakland County Jail for resisting and obstructing a police officer.
Fire started by discarded cigarette
A fire in Highland Township at a local restaurant was accidentally started by a discarded cigarette, say Oakland County Sheriff's Office fire investigators. Oakland County deputies responded to the Weal Inn Bar and Restaurant on the 2900 block of Highland Road. Sunday afternoon to assist the High Township Fire Department.
-- Staff writer John Turk


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Mentor Graphics Corporation (NASDAQ: MENT) announced new extensions to the Mentor® Embedded Linux® portfolio for NetLogic Microsystems' (NASDAQ: NETL) multi-core, multi-threaded processors. The family of XLP[tm], XLR® and XLS® multi-core, multi-threaded processors from NetLogic Microsystems with scalability to 128 NXCPUs[tm] are targeted at next-generation 3G/4G mobile wireless infrastructure, enterprise, storage, security, metro Ethernet, edge and core infrastructure network applications.
The Mentor Embedded Linux platform provides a comprehensive Linux environment, development tools, and support for a unified workflow methodology, enabling customers to quickly create innovative, customized products with greater productivity and reduced risk. This development is a step in the continuum in Mentor's embedded software strategy to build an integrated ecosystem around popular SoCs including Linux open source enablement.
"We are pleased to expand our collaboration with Mentor, a global leader in embedded Linux and a co-founding member of the eNsemble[tm] Multi-Core Alliance," said Behrooz Abdi, executive vice president and general manager at NetLogic Microsystems. "Our unified methodologies and tools will help quickly build and validate Linux-based designs by providing substantial time and cost savings for our customers, as well as result in greater product innovations. The timing of the Mentor Embedded Linux Platform for our industry-leading multi-core, multi-threaded processors is excellent for our customers who need an effective solution for multi-core development."
Leveraging Mentor's expertise in open source and embedded software technology, the Mentor Embedded Linux platform is supporting NetLogic Microsystems' XLR and XLS multi-core, multi-threaded processor families, with planned support for the XLP processor family shortly. The Mentor Embedded Linux Essentials for NetLogic Microsystems' processors has been created to enable silicon evaluation and system prototyping. The Mentor Embedded Linux Essentials version includes an Eclipse IDE, tool chain and Linux BSP. The commercial version of the Mentor Embedded Linux for NetLogic Microsystems' processors expands on the "Essentials" foundation and delivers a more comprehensive development platform with additional software optimizations, differentiated tools, and commercial support. Mentor Embedded Linux Essentials for NetLogic Microsystems' processors is freely downloadable at go.mentor.com/downloadlinux
"Mentor provides a unique approach to Linux enablement through its strategic collaborations with leading silicon vendors like NetLogic Microsystems," said Glenn Perry, general manager of Mentor Graphics Embedded Software Division. "This new embedded Linux model delivers unprecedented levels of technical collaboration, leveraging Mentor's strengths in multi-core-based design and optimization, which is an ideal match with NetLogic Microsystems' high-performance multi-core, multi-threaded processors."
To purchase the Mentor Embedded Linux platform, contact a Mentor Graphics representative or call 800-547-3000. For more information on Mentor Graphics
embedded software solutions, including these new products, visit the company website at www.mentor.com/embedded
The Mentor Graphics Embedded Software Division comprises the Mentor Embedded family of products and services, including embedded software intellectual property (IP), tools, and consulting services to help embedded developers and silicon partners optimize their products for design and cost efficiency.
About Mentor Graphics
Mentor Graphics Corporation (NASDAQ: MENT) is a world leader in electronic hardware and software design solutions, providing products, consulting services and award-winning support for the world's most successful electronics and semiconductor companies. Established in 1981, the company reported revenues over the last 12 months of about $800 million. Corporate headquarters are located at 8005 S.W. Boeckman Road, Wilsonville, Oregon 97070-7777.
Mentor Graphics and Mentor are registered trademarks of Mentor Graphics Corporation. The registered trademark Linux® is used pursuant to a sublicense from LMI, the exclusive licensee of Linus Torvalds, owner of the mark on a world-wide basis.


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Luxe penthouse up in smoke
A raging fire destroyed a luxurious, multimillion-dollar penthouse on the Upper East Side last night, authorities said. The blaze started at 7:50 p.m. at 2 East End Ave., quickly engulfing the three-floor penthouse in flames. It took firefighters more than an hour to get the inferno under control, the FDNY said. The triplex penthouse was taken off the market about six months ago after being listed for $14.95 million. The 6,700 square-foot condo has three bedrooms, two bathrooms and a grand staircase. Read More: New York Post
Manning capable of Giant step
Eli Manning delivered a Super Bowl championship four years ago when no one thought he could, and today it is time for him to put his stamp on a special delivery postmarked New York, N.Y. Manning and the Giants were Road Warriors who rode that Big, Blue magic carpet from Tampa to Dallas to Green Bay to Glendale, Ariz., and Super Bowl XLII, and all the while old Giants Stadium sat dark and silent. It is time for Manning to show New York, show Giants fans inside MetLife Stadium, how an elite quarterback gets things done in the playoffs. Read More: New York Post
Beyonce gave birth last night: reports
Beyoncé has reportedly become Bey-MOM-cé. The superstar singer gave birth to a baby girl last night, according to her hometown paper the Houston Chronicle. The tot was delivered by c-section and hubby Jay-Z is telling pals her name is Ivy Blue Carter, E! Online reported. Both mom and daughter were doing fine. The Upper East Side medical center had been prepping a luxurious suite for her — and had just finished a major renovation of a dozen rooms and a nursing station for the pop queen and Jay-Z's arrival, sources said. Read More: New York Post
Pizza race-slur outrage
When Harlem resident Minhee Cho, 24, ordered a small pizza from a Papa John's restaurant, she was shocked to find that a staffer ID'd her as "lady chinky eyes" on her receipt. "I don't think a giant corporation should write those things on a receipt," Cho told The Post last night. "That's poor management. It was surprising to see that on paper; if they had said it in person, it would have been worse." Cho posted the receipt with the racial slur on her Twitter account yesterday, where it was viewed more than 100,000 times in less than four hours. Read More: New York Post
New York City school employee faked her child's death to get extra vacation
A city school employee scammed a week off for a Costa Rica vacation by staging the mother of all hoaxes — convincing her bosses she couldn't work because her daughter had died. Joan Barnett, a parent coordinator at the Manhattan High School of Hospitality Management, was so determined to make the spring break jaunt that she: Had one of her daughters call the school to say that her sister had suffered a heart attack in Costa Rica. Had another daughter call the school later that day to say that the sister had died and that about a dozen relatives, including Barnett, were traveling to the country for a funeral. Faxed a forged death certificate of her daughter "Xinia Daley Herman" to school as proof of the death. The document is required if a city school employee asks for bereavement days. Thanks to the scam, Barnett, 58, was able to spend 21/2 weeks in March 2010 — including her school-sanctioned spring break — in the tropical paradise, city investigators said. But the fun in the sun didn't last long. Read More: Daily News


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A Little Bounce
It took a while but we finally had a little bounce action this afternoon. Ben Bernanke's speech seems to be the excuse the buyers used to be a bit more aggressive. Apple (AAPL) is still lagging but if that can make it into positive territory, it is going to suck more buyers in. What we really need to move is fear of being left out of the bounce. Once we hold in the green, for a while the chances of that emotion start to build.
I'm playing this bounce primarily with ProShares Ultra S&P 500 (SSO) since I just don't see many individual stocks set up for sustained moves at this point. I'm not trusting that the bottom is in but we definitely could see a bounce that knocks the complacency out of the bears....48 more words left in this article. To read them, just click below and try Real Money FREE for 14 days.
There's no substitute for a trading floor to get great ideas, so Jim Cramer created a better one at Real Money and blogs there exclusively. We then added legendary hedge fund manager, Doug Kass, with his exclusive Daily Diary and best investing ideas. Staffed with more than 4 dozen investing pros, money managers, journalists and analysts, Real Money Pro gives you a flood of opinions, analysis and actionable trading advice found nowhere else, and allows you to interact directly with each expert.
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Fans attending Tuesday's Avalanche home opener at the Pepsi Center will receive letters of apology from the team beforehand for the NHL lockout. It will be up to Avs players themselves to make fans not sorry they venture out to see them.
The Avs will host the defending Stanley Cup champion Los Angeles Kings before what the team says will be a sold-out crowd.
"Energy shouldn't be a problem for us tonight," Avs captain Gabriel Landeskog said. "A sellout crowd with our fans against the defending Stanley Cup champions — it'll be fun. We'll play hard, for sure."
Beating the Kings won't be easy. Los Angeles is coming off a blowout home loss in its opener, and the team has been ornery about it. Plus, the Kings will get No. 1 center Anze Kopitar back in the lineup after a knee injury.
The Avs will keep the same forward lineup as in Saturday's 4-2 loss at Minnesota. Avs forward Chuck Kobasew will again be a healthy scratch.
The Avs' defensive lineup could be different, but coach Joe Sacco said he won't decide until the pre-game warmups, when he'll skate seven defenseman, but use only six for the game.
Regardless, Sacco said veteran Shane O'Brien again will be a healthy scratch on defense.
Adrian Dater: 303-954-1360, email@example.com or twitter.com/adater


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Prize Recipient
Luis Alfonso Bryce
With the support of the American Physical Society, I have excelled in all of the courses I undertook in the past year. My junior year consisted of two-semester courses in electrodynamics, quantum mechanics, real analysis, and topology. These topics are the foundations of modern physics and mathematics, and they have enhanced both my breadth of knowledge and capacity for logical thought. The crucial aspect of the societys support of my education is the relieved burden from financial obligations that are an inherent part of being a university student. In addition to my studies, I have been performing research with Dr. Joshua Gundersen in cosmology and will continue doing so throughout the summer of 2006 and beyond.


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FOR many youngsters who have experienced a tough start to life, the future can often look bleak and unpromising.
But a social enterprise in Great Lever is helping to transform the futures of children and young adults across Greater Manchester, by providing them with an alternative to life out on the streets.
Raise The Youth Foundation, which was set up in 2011, offers a range of services for people aged 11 to 24, many of whom have had behavioural problems at school, been in trouble with the police or faced social exclusion.
These services include a state-of-the-art recording studio, where many youngsters create and produce their own tracks, as well as work experience placements, sports activities and one-to-one mentoring.
Volunteers also teach children aged 11 to 16 on core subjects such as English, Maths and ICT.
Most of the people Raise The Youth supports are from Bolton but its volunteers have also worked with youngsters from Oldham and Salford.
Along with working with children of school age during term time, Raise The Youth also offers support out of term time for people who are not in training, education, or employment (NEETs).
Alex English, who manages the recording studio at Raise The Youth, joined the enterprise in November last year, one month after it moved its premises from Farnworth to Great Lever.
When Mr English first started, the recording studio was just a portable cabin with no recording equipment.
Since then, he has overseen a complete redevelopment of the studio, including the purchase of mixing desks, computers and the installation of a DJ room, which has cost about £30,000.
He said: "It's not just education which we provide to the kids. We are trying to improve their lives, not just their grades.
"There's a fantastic buzz around the place. We can easily get about 40 people using the facilities every day, even during the summer holidays."
The incentives at Raise The Youth are clear — work hard and you will reap the rewards.
There are currently three full-time paid apprentices at Raise The Youth, one of whom is Connor Stevenson.
Mr Stevenson, aged 22, of Great Lever, first joined Raise The Youth in 2011, having previously had difficulty finding work.
Now, he is a paid full-time apprentice youth worker who records and produces his own music.
He said: "This place is my life. The only thing that keeps me going in life is this studio. It gives me a purpose.
"When I came here I was getting in trouble with the police and didn't know what I wanted to do. Then I became a volunteer and I've just gone from there."
Two youngsters who have recently got on board with Raise The Youth are Tom Wordsworth, aged 16, and Adam Prince, aged 14.
Both say they are thankful for the opportunities they have been given, claiming that their futures may not have looked so bright had it not been for Raise The Youth.
Tom, of New Bury, said: "I've been here for two months and already I've tried loads of new things and met loads of new people."
Adam, of Great Lever, said: "I used to be in trouble with the police and I'd lost family members. Then Tom said to me 'I know something that would be perfect for you' and I've not looked back."
Jason Steele, CEO of Raise The Youth, said: "We are committed to bringing people together and helping children and young adults who are marginalised and at risk of social exclusion."
Staff and volunteers at Raise The Youth will perform live music at the Diversity Festival in Queen's Park on Sunday August 17, as part of The Octagon Theatre's Switch project.
To find out more about Raise The Youth, visit www.raisetheyouth.co.uk


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Natural Yard Care
Go Natural!
Yards are fun, beautiful, great spaces for relaxing. But in taking care of them, we often use water inefficiently, produce a lot of waste and overuse chemicals that are bad for the environment and our families' health.
By working with nature in your yard, you can have a great looking landscape that's easier to care for and healthier for families, pets, wildlife and our great Northwest environment.
Five steps to natural yard care:
(Nota: el folleto de cinco pasos está también disponible en español)
Learn More
Updated: Jul. 18, 2016


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Live Update 5
MSI Live Update 5 is a powerful and useful application for updating the latest BIOS and Drivers, saving you time and lowers the risk of updating. End-users can install and run the Live Update 5 software on their computers with the companion CD or downloading the app from the MSI website.
AMD Cool'n'Quiet™ Technology reduces heat and noise so you can experience amazing performance without distraction. Combined with core enhancements, included in the AMD processors, that can improve overall power savings, deliver better multitasking and energy efficiency. Cool'n'Quiet technology can automatically adjust processor ratio to throttle CPU speed with four modes.
Dual Core Center
• Key components status hardware monitor.


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BP Comment Quick Links
|Strength of Schedule Report
November 7, 2012
Prospects Will Break Your Heart
Chicago Cubs Top 10 Prospects
State of the Farm:
The Top Ten
Position: OF
What Happened in 2012: After getting drafted sixth overall, the five-tool teenager showed mature baseball skills and polish beyond his years in his brief professional debut.
Strengths: Well-rounded tool collection; feel for the game is outstanding and allows tools to play above grade; 5 arm; 5 run; 6 glove; future hit could be easy 6; excellent bat speed; gets into zone quickly and efficiently; power has above-average potential; shows advanced game skills; lauded for work ethic/makeup; now talent that could move fast.
Weaknesses: Range in CF is tied to read/react skills and instincts, not plus raw speed; lacks high-end physicality; lacks elite tools; upside isn't as sexy as teammate Javier Baez; aggressive approach has yet to be tested; small professional sample
Overall Future Potential: 6; first-division starter
Explanation of Risk: Moderate risk; more polished than the average teenager; shows advanced feel and instincts for the game; high floor; respectable ceiling; most likely falls short of star status.
Fantasy Future: .290/.350/.450 from premium defensive position, with 10-15 home run pop, plenty of doubles, and a chance to steal 15-20 bases at a high success rate.
The Year Ahead: Almora will most likely jump to full-season ball, where he will play the majority of the year as a 19-year-old. The highly praised hit tool will be tested by more advanced pitching, and the aggressive approach will need to refine to avoid exploitation. With now skills and advanced feel, Almora should continue to progress up the prospect ranks, and has a chance to emerge as a top tier player in the minors if the solid-average skill-set plays up beyond its projection.
Major league ETA: 2016
2. Javier Baez
What Happened in 2012: Baez made his full-season debut and absolutely raked in the often-chilly, pitcher-friendly environment of the Midwest League, showing the ability to hit for both average and power.
Strengths: Bat speed is off-the-charts; hands are incredible on both sides of the ball; electricity in the bat; very loud contact ability; hit tool could develop into monster status; raw power is at least a 7 and could end up playing that high at full maturity; arm is a 7; actions at shortstop are fluid and easy.
Weaknesses: Wild approach at the plate; swings with violent intensity; taking hacks is putting it mildly; will expand his zone and chase; pitch-recognition skills have been called into question; needs to slow the game down; overplays; range at shortstop only catalyst in down-the-line position change; fringe 5 runner at present who could end up a 4 at physical maturity
Overall Future Potential: 7; all-star level player
Explanation of Risk: Extreme risk; plays the game with reckless approach; needs to mature to reach potential; could be very special or very frustrating.
Fantasy Future: If everything clicks, Baez could hit for both a high average and high power (30-plus HR) from a position on the left side of the infield. He could be a monster.
The Year Ahead: Baez will most likely return to the Florida State League, where his aggressive approach led to weak contact and missed bats in his limited run in 2012. Pitchers at that level are equipped to expand the zone and sequence their arsenal, and Baez is a very see-ball, hit-ball type of hitter, so he will need to gain maturity with his approach to hitting; develop a plan at the plate. The raw talent could make him one of the best prospects in the minors, as he has the type of loud tools that impact games. But his overall approach is loose and hyperactive, and will need to find a balance between intensity and field intelligence to move forward.
Major league ETA: 2015
3. Jorge Soler
What Happened in 2012: Signed as an open-market free agent to a nine-year deal worth a reported $30 million, Soler had only a limited run in stateside baseball, but looked the part of a high-ceiling talent by flashing plus-plus raw power from a corner profile.
Strengths: 7 raw power; easy bat speed; loud contact off the barrel to all fields; plays with strength and athleticism; solid approach at the plate; recognizes early; will work counts; plus arm; good carry; runs very well for a right fielder; shows some overall feel for the game; assimilation has been smooth (so far).
Weaknesses: Questions about the future utility of the hit tool based on a few mechanical hitches that could limit his ability to stay inside of quality stuff; defensive profile puts pressure on bat to achieve first-division value; unknown hurdles associated with assimilation process; small professional sample.
Overall Future Potential: 6; first-division player
Explanation of Risk: High risk; shows some now skills and a mature approach, but the bat hasn't been tested enough; still early in assimilation process.
Fantasy Future: Could develop into a prototypical first-division right fielder; the hit tool might only play at average, but secondary skills should allow for some on-base ability and game power (25-20 HR). Shows good speed for his size and good game awareness, so he could also swipe 10-15 bases a season.
The Year Ahead: Soler was said to be ready for full-season ball out of the chute, and those reports proved to be accurate. The soon-to-be 21-year-old Cuban has plenty of bat speed and power characteristics in the swing (loft, back spin, etc.), but the present utility of the hit tool will be tested against better pitching, and the correctable hitches in the swing mechanics will need to be ironed out; Soler would often struggle to keep his hands inside and his early extension would leave him open to quality stuff on the inner half. If the hit tool is stronger than we are giving it credit for, the offensive upside will be very impressive, as Soler will profile as a middle-of-the-order force at the major-league level.
Major league ETA: 2015
4. Arodys Vizcaino
What Happened in 2012: After a whirlwind 2011 season that saw the Dominican arm start in High-A and end up pitching in a major-league bullpen, injury put Vizcaino on the shelf for the entire 2012 campaign, after undergoing Tommy John surgery in the spring.
Strengths: Easy cheese from an explosive arm, working comfortably in the 92-95 range as a starter and touching the high-90s in bursts; very lively offering with good, late action; hard curve is another money pitch, with a tight rotation and two-plane movement; good control.
Weaknesses: Lacks size; when he slips under the ball, the lack of plane hurts him; more control than command; lives loose in the zone; changeup has more flash than fire; profiles as low-5 offering at best; injury history; delivery features some effort.
Overall Future Potential: 7; late-inning reliever (frontline setup).
Explanation of Risk: Extreme risk; injury history; likely to end up in bullpen.
Fantasy Future: Could be frontline setup arm in bullpen; closer for some teams; will miss bats in any role.
The Year Ahead: The return from Tommy John can be slow, and the command/control components are usually the last to arrive. If the raw stuff remains post-surgery, the Cubs can be patient with the fireballer until the control returns, leaving Vizcaino in Triple-A until he is ready to take the next step at the major-league level. While his role in 2013 will most likely be in a rotation, Vizcaino's long-term role will most likely come in high-leverage situations out of the 'pen, where his plus-plus heat and power curve have a chance to make him one of the better setup men in the game.
Major league ETA: 2011
5. Dan Vogelbach
What Happened in 2012: After starting back at the complex league, Vogelbach continued to show that the thump in his bat is legit, knocking 41 extra-base hits in only 61 games across two levels.
Strengths: Light-tower power; 80 raw; generates tremendous bat speed with fast hands and fluid hip explosion; stroke is shorter than most power hitters; quick and easy to the ball; doesn't have to sell out for power stroke; ball naturally explodes off the bat; loud contact to all fields; makeup is championed by every source contacted for the report; big personality.
Weaknesses: Bad body; lacks defensive value; profiles as bat-only first baseman or designated hitter; limited range; poor speed; below-average defender at first; can be beat with pitchability, particularly spotted balls off-middle or quality velo under the hands; immense pressure on the bat for success; will have to prove it at every level.
Overall Future Potential: 6; first-division player
Explanation of Risk: High risk because of bat-only profile; plus makeup and natural hitting ability give him a chance.
Fantasy Future: Power could play above 6; .280-plus batting average is possible; won't steal bases and won't provide defensive value of any kind.
The Year Ahead: Because he is built like an offensive lineman, Vogelbach will need to mash at every level to win over the scouts that are skeptical of his body and his overall profile. Full-season will be a test, but Vogelbach's simple swing allows for contact and now power, and that should continue at the next level. Yes; he will have to prove his legitimacy at every stop on the way to the majors. But the bat is very real, and if you can look beyond the profile and focus on his offensive potential, its easy to see why the Cubs gave the kid with Prince Fielder's body $1.6 million out of high school.
Major league ETA: 2016
6. Brett Jackson
What Happened in 2012: After a solid, but not spectacular Triple-A campaign, Jackson received a call to the majors, where a two-month look exposed the flaws in his offensive approach and weakened his ultimate projection.
Strengths: Average defender in center field; can play all three outfield spots; run is plus; raw power is above-average; has on-base skills and will make a pitcher dig into the arsenal; shows a feel for the game; big work ethic.
Weaknesses: Lacks a loud tool; hit tool is fringe-average at best; plays lower; arm is only average; defensive profile in center is only average; game features too much swing-and-miss; overmatched by quality stuff; hasn't progressed much since college; profile closer to fourth outfielder than role 5 projection.
Overall Future Potential: 5; major-league regular
Explanation of Risk: Moderate risk; already achieved major-league level; works hard; competes; good chance to carve out major-league career.
Fantasy Future: If Jackson achieves his ceiling, he could start up the middle, with a low batting average (.~250) and lots of strikeouts, but enough secondary skills to have value (on-base, 15-20 HR, 15-20 steals).
The Year Ahead: Jackson's disappointing major-league debut left many moving off the projection that he could be a solid-average regular at that level. While his defense in center can play, his hit tool is a major concern; he simply doesn't make enough quality contact for the secondary offensive skills to keep his bat in the lineup. A step forward with the hit tool utility and Jackson could find himself penciled into a major-league lineup for the foreseeable future. But if the same the level of swing-and-miss exists in 2013 as he did in his debut, Jackson will either find himself back in the minors or settling into his role as a fourth outfielder.
Major league ETA:
7. Pierce Johnson
What Happened in 2012: Injury concerns pushed Johnson into the supplemental first-round, and a limited professional viewing still leaves more questions than answers about his true potential.
Strengths: Good size and wiry strength; fastball works in the 90-93 range, but he can get more when he needs it; good angle to pitch; good sinking action; can get ahead with the pitch; curveball is hard breaker; 81-84 mph, with late break, good shape, and depth; deep arsenal; will also show a cut fastball and a changeup; knows how to miss bats.
Weaknesses: Hasn't been able to stay healthy; delivery has some effort; deliberate with secondary arsenal; changeup is inconsistent; doesn't play as average offering yet.
Overall Future Potential: High 5/Low 6; no. 3 starter at the major-league level
Explanation of Risk: High risk; injury history with the arm; behind the developmental curve.
Fantasy Future: Has bat-missing ability and a deep arsenal; has mid-rotation ceiling; body needs to prove it can hold innings, but should be able to produce good counting stats like wins/strikeouts if healthy and in a rotation.
The Year Ahead: Johnson just needs to log innings and work to refine his arsenal through repetition and consistency. Because of mature pitch mix and control ability, should be able to make the jump to High-A, where his punchy low-90s heater and hard curve should continue to miss bats. He has a chance to be a good rotation horse. He just needs to stay healthy.
Major league ETA: 2015
8. Duane Underwood
What Happened in 2012: Selected in the 2nd round and given over a million dollars to sign, Underwood remains a projectable mystery, logging only 8 2/3 innings in his rookie season.
Strengths: Huge arm strength; electric fastball that has the potential to be special; will work in the plus velocity range with some sink; has touched higher; arm is very fast; ball explodes from the release; it's easy velocity now and projects to work even higher; changeup shows some maturity for his age; plays well off fastball, with fastball arm speed and slot consistency; good action to the arm-side; plus athlete; curveball has plus potential
Weaknesses: Limited professional sample; arm works well, but low pickup and drag force it to go a long way; secondary arsenal is immature; delivery is athletic, but inconsistent, and control is below-average at present.
Overall Future Potential: High-6/low-7; no. 2 starter at the major-league level.
Explanation of Risk: Extreme; only 18-years-old; wide gap between present and future; ~10 professional innings under his belt.
Fantasy Future: Electric arsenal could produce high strikeouts totals; has the potential to be a 15-plus game winner (based on ultimate upside).
The Year Ahead: I highly doubt Underwood stats above the complex league level, especially given the limited body of work and arsenal inconsistencies. He's super young and super talented, so going slow and low makes sense; you want to slowly build the monster, not rush the pieces together for the sake of promotion and exposure. This prospect could take time, and perhaps this ranking is premature. But the ceiling is enormous, and the scouts who have seen Underwood flash the high-ceiling stuff don't save the superlatives when asked about his profile. He could be special.
Major league ETA: 2017
9. Christian Villanueva
What Happened in 2012: After a solid offensive performance in the hitter-unfriendly environments of the Carolina League, Villanueva was traded from Texas to the Cubs (along with Kyle Hendricks), in exchange for Ryan Dempster.
Strengths: Plus (to plus-plus) defensive profile, with an ultra-slick glove, strong arm, and solid range; excellent feel for the position; soft hands in the field; quick reactions; good instincts for the ball; fast hands at the plate; can square velocity and stay inside pitches; shows the ability to hit for some power; works the gaps; mature approach; isn't fast, but runs the bases well and plays with intelligence; hard worker.
Weaknesses: Lacks typical offensive profile for third base; shows impressive bat speed, but overall hit tool utility is average at best; struggles against quality breaking stuff; power most likely limited to 10-15 home runs; body is physically mature and could lose a full speed grade if he adds bad weight.
Overall Future Potential: 5; solid-average regular at major-league level
Explanation of Risk: Moderate risk; mature player with mature skill-set; doesn't need big grade jumps to compete.
Fantasy Future: Not an ideal offensive third baseman, but could hit .260-plus, with good secondary skills (on-base/power); can surprise people and swipe a few bases; plays defense at a very high level.
The Year Ahead: Villanueva should be moving up to Double-A, which is often the biggest test for young hitters. With a good plan at the plate, he won't be overwhelmed by the talent, but the utility of the hit tool will be tested. If he can make contact and keep the secondary skills a part of his game, he should remain a top 10 prospect in the system going forward. The ceiling isn't crazy, but the glove is legit, the makeup is legit, and the bat isn't completely empty despite not being a plus weapon.
Major league ETA: 2014
10. Dillon Maples
What Happened in 2012: After signing for $2.5M in 2011, Maples has only managed to log 10 1/3 professional innings thanks to injury.
Strengths: Plus-plus fastball potential; can work the pitch in the 92-96 range, and has touched higher; has good plane; pitches taller than 6'2''; natural weight makes the ball difficult to lift; curveball is power breaker, thrown as hard as 82-84 mph, with 12/6 movement; projects as plus pitch; good overall athlete.
Weaknesses: Delivery isn't fluid or repeatable; doesn't finish; doesn't make it look easy; command is well below-average; fastball velocity is inconsistent; changeup is still underdeveloped; limited on-the-field experience at the professional level
Overall Future Potential: High 6; no. 2/3 starter at the major-league level.
Explanation of Risk: Extreme risk; injury history; mechanical red flags; needs big grade jumps.
Fantasy Future: Has the potential to pitch in the middle of a major-league rotation, and maybe more if he reaches his ceiling. He will have the stuff to miss bats, and could emerge as a rotation horse if he can stay healthy and find arsenal maturity. High ceiling, but extremely high risk.
The Year Ahead: Maples needs to stay healthy and pitch. He is slowly falling behind the developmental curve, but it won't matter if the light turns on and the arm stays in good shape. The delivery needs work, and arm strength could use a heavy dose of four-seamer repetition, but 2013 could be a big year for Maples if he can just log innings and get back into the flow of consistent pitching. The Cubs spent $2.5 million on Maples for a good reason, and any step forward in 2013 is a step in the right direction.
Major league ETA: 2017
Prospects on the Rise
1. RHP Juan Carlos Paniagua: Could easily be in the top 10 based on arm strength alone; numerous identity-related complications in his past; signed as a free agent over the summer for $1.5 million; has potential for plus-plus fastball/plus slider combo; limited size, experience, and age (23 for 2013) might push his electric arm into the 'pen. Big potential.
2. SS/2B Marco Hernandez: With solid defensive tools on the left-side of the infield, an aggressive contact approach at the plate, and plus speed, Hernandez looks like a promising utility option in the making. If he continues to improve at the plate--showing real sting in the bat and the ability to use the gaps—he has the potential for an even higher ceiling and a jump up the prospect rankings.
3. 3B Jeimer Candelario: The 18-year-old kid can really stick it, showing excellent bat speed and a mature approach for his age/level. His defensive profile isn't as promising as the bat, so he will need to shine at the plate to jump up the rankings during the season. Good player to keep an eye on in full-season ball.
Factors on the Farm (Prospects likely to contribute at the ML level in 2013)
1.RHP Tony Zych: Live-armed reliever with a plus-plus fastball and the ability to throw strikes. He lacks a closer's ceiling because his complementary arsenal lacks a nasty pitch, but he should still find himself pitching in a late-inning capacity at some point in 2013.
2.RHP Trey McNutt: Former rotation prospect turned reliever has a chance to shine in short bursts, working with a 92-97 mph fastball and hard curve. The command needs work, but if he can continue to show sharp stuff, he can thrive in the bullpen with other average command.
3.IF Junior Lake: A polarizing prospect, Lake's tools scream of major-league impact, but his execution still leaves a lot to be desired. Assuming his tool utility takes a step forward, both at the plate and in the field, Lake will be in a good position to taste the major leagues.
Top 10 Talents 25 And Under (born 4/1/87 or later)
1. Starlin Castro
The Cubs just aren't very good right now. Coming off a 61-101 season, the team lacks high upside talent at or near the major-league level. Starlin Castro, Anthony Rizzo, and Brett Jackson are the only players on this list who appeared in big-league games in 2012. Castro and Rizzo are monsters, and Jackson could still become a solid contributor down the road. 2013 will be a great season for fans of the Daytona Cubs and Kane County Cougars, with multiple toolsy, high-upside bonus babies coming to town. The biggest thing for the Cubs next year will be the development of their lower-level talents. The big-league team will continue to suffer, but the Cubs have a valuable asset in the trade market with Matt Garza, who will be a free agent after the season. The high-upside talent at the bottom of the system should be supplemented with a nice package of prospects if and when Theo Epstein and company decide to pull the trigger on a Garza deal. –Hudson Belinsky
A Parting Thought:….With a casual glance, the Cubs system might appear to be top heavy, with a partisan lean towards high-ceiling bats. But the deeper you dig, the more raw talent you discover on the mound, and even though it's immature and a sizeable journey away from legitimacy, the talent is there to develop high-ceiling arms to match the high-ceiling bats.
Link to last year's Cubs rankings
Jason Parks is an author of Baseball Prospectus. Follow @ProfessorParks
75 comments have been left for this article.
BP Comment Quick Links
shouldn't these Beatles lyrics have been saved for Toronto?
Nov 07, 2012 04:07 AM
Hudson Belinsky
BP staff
The Jays have a pretty sizeable amount of youngsters on or near their big league club. In the Cubs' U-25 list, we might see four of them in Wrigley in 2013 (assuming Vizcaino returns well from TJ). This is a decent system, but the high-upside players are a long way away.
Nov 07, 2012 06:21 AM
Blue Jay Way would have been too easy to throw on the Blue Jays, que no?
Nov 07, 2012 07:14 AM
Nov 07, 2012 07:43 AM
Well, I'm not the biggest fan of it either. But I think the readers of this site have a high standard, and I think the quality and consistency of Kevin's work is one of the reasons. Our goal is to offer thorough and thoughtful work, and despite the changes to the scenery and structure, those high standards will be met and readers of this site will appreciate that.
Nov 07, 2012 07:48 AM
Since his name is nowhere to be found, I feel compelled to bring it up before some Cubs fan does...Josh Vitters? Lost cause?
Nov 07, 2012 08:06 AM
Not a lost cause. I think he can eventually contribute to the major league team, either as a fringe starter or a bench bat. I'm just not sold he can hit enough at the major league level to be an impact guy, and his defensive value is limited. I've been a vocal fan in the past, and I still think his swing is very pretty. But I couldn't find many sources [read: any] that thought he would develop into a solid-average regular, much less hit his ceiling as a star.
Nov 07, 2012 08:11 AM
Josh Vitters is slowly turning into David Kelton.
Nov 07, 2012 11:47 AM
Nov 07, 2012 08:35 AM
Hudson was tasked with the creation of the U-25 list, so I'll defer to him on the direct question. Personally, I like Castillo. Obviously, he's not a prospect anymore, but I thought his performance at the major league level was solid. Agree with you on the receiving skills; arm is quite strong; better bat in '12 than I expected. I don't think you are missing anything.
Nov 07, 2012 09:08 AM
Hudson Belinsky
BP staff
I don't dislike Castillo, he's just not better than the rest of the crew in terms of talent, IMO. I like his defensive upside, but don't see him hitting enough over the long haul to put him in front of any of the rest of the kids on this list, even with each kid's risk of not reaching their ceiling.
Nov 07, 2012 17:16 PM
How dare you suggest that Dan Vogelbach is built like an offensive lineman!
Nov 07, 2012 08:35 AM
What do you know about Jose Rosario? Big arm? Anything else there?
Nov 07, 2012 08:47 AM
6 of the Top 10 are new to the system in the last year. Is that more of a testament to Theo/Jed/Jason's scouting emphasis or an indictment on the state of the system prior to their arrival? It does seem rare that a new regime would be able to fill a pipeline that quickly...unless that pipeline was desperately empty. Thanks for the great work as always.
Nov 07, 2012 08:55 AM
Both. Poor systems have nowhere to go but up. When you bring in high-ceiling talent (at high ceiling prices), the stock usually goes up. I think this system has Top 10 potential, especially if the arms take off. Guys like Maples have basically been forgotten, and with good reason. But a healthy Maples, along with guys like Underwood and Johnson, start to establish a core of arms that have serious ceilings. Put that together with a top-heavy offensive system and you have something legit.
Nov 07, 2012 09:11 AM
What are your thoughts on Matt Szczur these days?
Nov 07, 2012 09:17 AM
Um. very mixed. I was high on Szczur out of the gate, and I maintained that support up until the end of 2012. Some of my scout friends finally held an intervention to convince me that the ultra-athletic outfielder wasn't nearly as good as I thought he was, and that I need to calm down on the love. I still think he will develop into a quality 4th/5th outfielder, which isn't anything to be ashamed of; quite the opposite, actually. But I originally saw a first-division type, with plus athleticism, good defense at a premium spot, and raw that he would eventually tap into. he might end up proving people wrong because he's a huge makeup guy, but I'm no longer sold that the bat is going to be worth much at the highest level.
Nov 07, 2012 09:29 AM
P.G. Morris
Arismendy Alcantara. Discuss.
Nov 07, 2012 09:21 AM
Great name; bat played better than people thought; talked to several sources abut him; easily a top 20 prospect in the system; good speed; good range; good arm; not sure he sticks at SS, though, which is the kicker for me; still young, but might be a tweener infielder that is a better utility fit than a regular at any position.
Nov 07, 2012 09:41 AM
P.G. Morris
Obrigado. I did not know about the positional concerns. That's why you're the prospect-talkin' guy, I suppose.
Nov 07, 2012 10:21 AM
i've seen that alberto cabrera is supposedly going to go back to starting games at iowa to start next year. curious if you think that has any chance of working, also curious about his current horoscope in general
Nov 07, 2012 10:11 AM
Gioskar Amaya, what should we expect from him in the upcoming years?
Nov 07, 2012 10:21 AM
Brett Jackson --> Corey Patterson 3.0? (Felix Pie was 2.0)
Nov 07, 2012 10:24 AM
Patterson wasn't the kind of hitter who can take a walk, but I think Jackson should be. The approach is definitely better. It's just that the hit tool isn't really there, not like people wish it would be.
Nov 07, 2012 11:53 AM
Do you see Soler starting at Kane County or Daytona?
Nov 07, 2012 11:05 AM
You mention Kyle Hendricks, where does he sit. Was he in consideration for top 10, or more of a throw in with the Dempster deal?
Nov 07, 2012 11:15 AM
Other readers have rated this comment below the viewing threshold. Click here to view anyway.
Ok, here's where the star rating, or some other form of giving a total value to a player would be useful.
Nov 07, 2012 11:29 AM
They both would be 5-star players. What would that tell you? It would tell you that they are both 5-star players. It wouldn't give you anything beyond that.
Nov 07, 2012 11:34 AM
Also, I appreciate the feedback, but this is the final product. This isn't a test run or a rough draft. This is the construction we are going forward with. Feedback is very important, and I want to hear people's thoughts on the product. It's not that I don't value that. I do. A great deal, actually. But this is style and structure of the prospect rankings. We feel it provides a healthy amount of scouting data delivered in an accessible vehicle. We did away with the star ratings because I felt they didn't offer much. A perfect example is the Baez/Almora evals. Both would be 5-star guys. Then what?
Nov 07, 2012 11:44 AM
Thanks for your careful consideration of how to display overall grades. I appreciate the time and effort put into that decision.
Nov 07, 2012 11:50 AM
"We only ask for that value to be shared with us, in some form. If you don't want to use stars (in order to make your own mark) then user numbers. Or letters. Or something."
Nov 07, 2012 11:48 AM
Curious to hear if you heard anything on Jose Arias secondary pitches? Any projection there?
Nov 07, 2012 12:09 PM
Not sure on the specifics of the secondary stuff; big arm strength; shows velo; body is already mature; he's very tall, but frame already holds 225 lbs+; wouldn't assume arsenal projection.
Nov 07, 2012 12:21 PM
Can you give me some sense of how the endless number of solid second base Cubs prospects shake out? In addition to Marco Hernandez, there's Logan Watkins, Ronald Torreyes, Gioskar Amaya, Stephen Bruno, and maybe I'm forgetting someone.
Nov 07, 2012 12:31 PM
They have a ton, but it's hard to get excited about 2B prospects unless they have really serious offensive potential. I like Hernandez the most, as I think he can play on the left side of the infield and he can really swing a good stick. His numbers are a little misleading. He was in a league that was very RHP heavy, so he ended up batting LH more than expected. It really influenced his stroke against LHP, as he was completely lost from the right-side even though he's a natural righty. This is the kind of stuff that gets lost in the lower-levels of development. This kid can really hit. When he finds the stroke from both sides, watch out. He can handle SS as well. He's a legit prospect.
Nov 07, 2012 12:42 PM
Excellent work on the new format, gentlemen. Any thoughts on Frandy de la Rosa or is it just too son to have any kind of handle on his ceiling/eventual defensive home?
Nov 07, 2012 12:49 PM
Also: whither Reggie Golden? Is it time to let go of the hatred for that pick?
Nov 07, 2012 12:53 PM
One more: Robert Whitenack. He came on very strong in 2011 before TJ surgery and predictably struggled after returning this year, but I recall a late season report that suggested the velo was back and command/control were also returning. Do you cats have anything to back that up and can we hope for Mr. Whitenack to provide some low-ceiling rotational depth in 2013/14?
Nov 07, 2012 12:58 PM
Matt Commins
My question is about Brett Jackson and how players who played in the majors, such as Jackson are eligible to be on the list. When is a player no longer eligible to be on the prospect list? Is there a games played threshold?
Nov 07, 2012 15:54 PM
Jason...Love the format (portion size) of providing info without the fluff. Whats you thoughts/ceiling on Starling Peralta? Though he did "OK" in Peoria this past season, I was somewhat disappointed it wasn't better in the fact he got a taste of Lo-A in 2011.
Nov 07, 2012 18:23 PM
He showed some improvement, but he was repeating a pitcher-friendly league, and he wasn't exactly a new arm; Peralta debuted in 2008 and has logged over 300 professional innings without eclipsing Low-A. That's pretty impressive, actually. He needs to take a big step forward in '13 to stay on the radar.
Nov 07, 2012 18:52 PM
I was just thinking about Vizcaino, and that you have him as being extremely risky due to the injury. Is that really merited, given that most people recover well from Tommy John these days? I know you get some like Liriano who never get the command back, but the success rate is pretty high and recurrence, at least in the short term is kind of unlikely. Am I missing something here, as otherwise he'd seem relatively low risk for a pitcher - having success in the higher minors and doing OK at MLB?
Nov 08, 2012 05:54 AM
Benjamin Harris
Jason, can you envision a scenario in which you'd give a player an OFP of 8 without him having any MLB experience? What exactly would an 8 player be, potential Hall of Famer? Pinning that to a prospect who has yet to face elite talent seems like it might be a bit of a leap to take. Would you have put an 8 on Mike Trout before last season? How often do you give an OFP of 8 to a player?
Nov 08, 2012 06:18 AM
Actually, one more question. The write-up on Almora suggests that he could have plus hit/power, but also that he might be a 10-15 HR guy. I thought 10-15 bombs was about 4 power. Am I missing something here?
Nov 08, 2012 07:20 AM
Thanks. I appreciate you taking the time to answer questions.
Nov 08, 2012 14:30 PM
Is it outrageous that Vogelbach could trim down to 220 or 225? Why wouldn't the Cubs get him a nutritionist or Weight Watchers and exercise to get in shape? Kevin Love reinvented himself and is not cut. Why not the big boy?
Nov 09, 2012 22:07 PM
It's not always as simple as eating right or wanting to lose weight. It might be a genetic issue. But Vogelbach has dropped weight since HS. He's in the ~250 range rather than the 275+ range, so progress is being made. Unlike Love, Vogelbach isn't much of an athlete. You can chisel down some of the fat, but you aren't going to create a natural athlete with the remains. He's a big boy with big boy power. If he hits to his potential, the Cubs will either find a place for him to play or use him a trade chip. He will have value.
Nov 10, 2012 09:08 AM
I agree. It just seems like most analysis of baseball guys limits their potential for reshaping their bodies. I guess more often than not the scouts will see the potential for developing strength and size with maturity but not for carving out a more athletic figure. Who knows, there may be a deft athlete underneath the facade. I think the value will be there too.
Nov 11, 2012 22:22 PM
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Submit News
New Study: Smoking and Second Hand Smoke Cause Brain Damage
Jason Mick
June 25, 2009 4:35 PM
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A new study shows that smoking tobacco cigarettes, like consuming alcohol, can lead to severe brain damage, though the mechanism is different. The study also suggests that second hand smoke exposure can also lead to brain damage.
(Source: The New York Times)
Perhaps that Guiness World Book Record for most cigarettes smoked wasn't such a good idea, now that the brain damage smoking tobacco causes is known...
(Source: Guiness World Book of Records)
Move over alcohol, brain damage has a new buddy
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second hand smoke
in public locations. The new report finds that Tobacco smoke contains a compound which can cause brain damage.
The new study examined NNK, a procarinogen. NNK is a toxic derivative of nicotine produced when the chemical is cured in preparation for use in cigarettes. NNK is not found in other smoked drugs,
such as cannabis
Before the study it was thought that the compound could be damaging to the body, but it was unclear how damaging it was. In the study, performed by Debapriya Ghosh and Dr Anirban Basu from the Indian National Brain Research Center (NBRC), it was found that the compound caused white blood cells in the central nervous system to attack healthy cells causing severe neurological damage.
Unlike alcohol or other forms of drug abuse, the drug does not impact brain tissue directly via oxidation or receptor damage. Rather, it triggers an inflammatory immunological response that is believed to lead to Multiple Sclerosis and other brain diseases.
Both with in vivo, in mice, and in vitro tests, the researchers discovered that the compound elevated proinflammatory signaling proteins, proinflammatory effector proteins and other stress related proteins, and increased levels of proinflammatory cytokines, which act as molecular messengers between cells. These factors led to increased activity by microglia, the brain's white blood cells responsible for attacking intruders.
The microglia turned on healthy cells, due to the increased level of these compounds. States Professor Ghosh, "Considering the extreme economical and disease burden of neuroinflammation related disorders, it is extremely important from a medical, social and economic point of view to discover if NNK in tobacco causes neuroinflammation. Our findings prove that tobacco compound NNK can activate microglia significantly which subsequently harms the nerve cells.
While most studies have focused on health threats from smoked tobacco, NNK is also present in chewing tobacco, helping make a stronger case against its use. NNK is present in 20-310 nanograms in cigarettes, but is also can be present in concentrations as high as 26 nanograms in smoke filmed rooms. This report adds more evidence that second hand smoke may damage non-smokers' health.
Concludes Professor Ghosh, "This research sheds light on the processes that lead to nerve cell damage in those who smoke cigarettes or consume tobacco products on regular basis."
"What would I do? I'd shut it down and give the money back to the shareholders." -- Michael Dell, after being asked what to do with Apple Computer in 1997
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The Yolo County Farm Bureau began its second 100 years by looking at the past during its annual meeting and anniversary celebration.
Held at a jam-packed Waite Hall on the Yolo County Fairgrounds, the gathering featured the personal joys of farming, the pleasure of watching a younger generation take on the challenges of agriculture, and perspectives about what the future holds.
The 100th anniversary event kicks off a year-long celebration, and also saw the election of Jeff Merwin as the 2014 Farm Bureau president, replacing Eric Paulsen, who now becomes past president.
Merwin, 51, is a fourth generation California farmer. He is president of S.H. Merwin and Sons Inc., a family farm in Clarksburg which is developing a vineyard, and produces alfalfa hay, dichondra seed, hybrid onion seed, safflower seed, wheat and triticale on approximately 2,300 acres, with 120 acres certified as organic.
Merwin served as 1st vice president 2012-2013, and having served as 2nd vice president in 2011. He has been a director of the farm bureau since 1992.
Taking his first action Thursday night at the Farm Bureau meeting, Merwin did a little hog calling in an effort to get people to their dinner tables. Then, speaking in a quiet voice for which he is known, Merwin said it was a privilege to serve as president of the group and noted that his son, Sam, was attending and that he had decided to "go back to the farm" and carry on the family tradition.
Merwin has served on the Clarksburg General Plan Advisory Committee, and he was appointed as an At-Large member of the Yolo County Planning Commission in 2003 serving for 8 years. He is currently a trustee of Clarksburg Community Church. He is also one of three farmers who have adopted Delta Elementary Charter School in Clarksburg to help educate students about agriculture.
He graduated from Delta High School in 1980, and earned his bachelor of science degree in agronomy from Fresno State in 1985. He is a graduate of the California Agricultural Leadership Program.
Later in the meeting, others also spoke about the pleasures - and pains - of farming, but how they wouldn't give up their occupations for any other.
Others, such as state Sen. Lois Wolk, and Assemblywoman Mariko Yamada, also paid tribute to farmers and those in agriculture.
Yamada said she knew that it takes about five generations to become a Yolo County resident, but also explained that her roots in agriculture fun deep with her parents raising produce in Southern California before WWII, when they were interned, but that her father continued farming after his freedoms were restored.
"There's something to be said about longevity and the generations that have gone before and are now comign forward to maintain that connection to the land," Yamada said. "It's so important for generations to be transmitting the values of hard work and honesty."
California Farm Bureau Federation President Paul Wenger praised the local farm bureau and related how he had been in Tennessee for a meeting and talking with a farmer from Texas who didn't know "they have any agriculture in California."
"You know things are always bigger in Texas, or grander," Wenger explained. "So I told him that you take all the agriculture in the great state of Texas, and all the agriculture in the great state of Iowa; and combine them both together they would still come in second to California."
But Wenger said it is true that "we are different in California and the 300 different commodities that we do produce ... and that at the end of the day when you slice and dice them we are producing more than $44 billion."
"We have an economic powerhouse," Wenger said. "We can produce anything they want in California but we've got to be able to deal with some of the regulations, and we need more water storage. If we don't get more water storage we will not be able to feed the people of this world."
Wenger said Yolo farmers "are the bedrock of your community and the bedrock of our state and country."
Later in the meeting, Merwin acknowledged the efforts of prior farm bureau presidents, notably Paulsen and his predecessor, Chuck Dudley. Other past presidents and longtime members were also honored with specially prepared wrenches placed in display cases.
The Yolo County Farm Bureau was officially organized at a Farmers' Picnic held on March 7, 1914, in Yolo, according to records.
According to a University of California College of Agriculture in Berkeley published Circular No. 166 in August 1917 titled "The County Farm Bureau," the function of the farm bureau is that of an "organization of farmers and ranchers who combine to promote agriculture through co-operative study of farm conditions."
Follow Jim Smith at twitter.com/newsie2001


text:
Mike Leach at WSU: Go 2 Guy's pipedream comes true
By Jim Moore
I can't remember the last time I was this excited about Cougar football. Well, yes I can, it was probably in the 2007 Apple Cup when Alex Brink found Brandon Gibson all alone for the game-winning touchdown.
But that was short-lived, and it was just one game. The last time we had a season to be fired up about was in 2003 when Matt Kegel took us to the Holiday Bowl, where Will Derting chased Vince Young all night long, and we beat Texas, posting one of the greatest victories in Washington State history.
And now we're on the verge of something even better, something that might match the Rose Bowl seasons of 1997 and 2002.
Now that Bill Moos
has hired Mike Leach to be the new coach, let me be the first to say hallelujah. If Leach brings the same success to Pullman that he had in Lubbock with Texas Tech, the Cougs could have one winning season after another.
Mike Leach was 84-43 at Texas Tech, taking the Red Raiders to nine bowl games in 10 seasons. (AP)
Leach has never had a losing season in his head-coaching career. Because of that and because he did it in a similarly remote location, I would expect it to happen again at Washington State.
I fully understand that I'm 54 years old, but when it comes to Cougar football, my maturity level approximates that of a second grader.
When it comes to Cougar football, I hope I never grow up.
Now that Leach is at WSU, I will cartwheel from Seattle to wherever you want me to cartwheel, and I don't even know how to cartwheel. I know, I'll cartwheel from the KIRO studio to the Azteca across the street and we'll all have a Merry Christmas drinking Cadillac Margaritas, toasting the news that Leach has arrived in Pullman.
If I'm Coach Sark, I'm suddenly concerned about the Cougs. If I'm Nick Holt, I'm really, really, really, really concerned. In fact, if I'm Nick Holt, I'm guessing my last game with the Huskies will be in the 2012 Apple Cup after Leach's Air Coug offense shreds his defense to the tune of 555 yards and 65 points.
That's if Holt's last game with the Huskies isn't in this year's Alamo Bowl. Can you imagine what Landry Jones of the Sooners will do to that defense? You haven't? I have. If Marshall Lobbestael, our third-string quarterback, can throw for 344 yards against the Dawgs, what will Jones throw for? Whatever your answer is, I'll take the over.
Even if Leach doesn't make it big in Pullman, you know what I would like most about the hire? We won't be boring anymore. We'll be fun again. We'll be throwing the ball all over the lot. We'll accentuate or strengths of being able to attract skill players and compensate for deficiencies in the offensive line.
Plus I'll like having another colorful character in charge of the Cougs. I miss Jim Sweeney, Jim Walden and Mike Price. I want quipsters. I want a coach who can work a room, who can make me laugh, who isn't afraid to speak his mind. Leach is about as politically incorrect as they come.
I'm so damn excited that I'm going to buy his book today. I don't even know what it's about, but I want to read more about this guy and his fascination with pirates, whales, chimpanzees and grizzly bears. I also want to know why he's so interested in Geronimo, Daniel Boone and artist Jackson Pollock.
That paragraph right there explains why I'm excited about Mike Leach — he's different, cut from a crazier cloth than you and I.
But you ask — what about that incident at Texas Tech when he supposedly locked Craig James' kid in a closet or a shed? I read about that this morning, and it sounds like a big misunderstanding to me, or at the very least it was blown out of proportion.
Even if it wasn't blown out of proportion and it actually did happen, I don't care at this point. If Leach feels like throwing someone in a closet in Pullman, I'll volunteer as long as he beats the Huskies every year and gives me a case of Busch Light before he closes the door.
With Leach in Pullman, there will be a little extra oomph in "Go Cougs!" We'll be able to throw out our chests again. We'll be on the national map. We'll be kicking sand in other people's faces.
Mike Leach in Pullman — this longshot of longshots has turned into a pipedream come true.
You can listen to the Go 2 Guy weekdays from 3 to 6 p.m. on "The Kevin Calabro Show." Send him an email at email@example.com and follow him on Twitter @cougsgo.


text:
catmoon wrote:Sigh. Has the world forgotten that scouting originated as a pre-military training program? That the founder was a lieutenant-general in the British army? If you want to ingrain military values in your kids it's a good way to start.
Believe me, I know this. My daughter just came home from school saying she wanted to join, because they told her about at school and she had this friend who was already in it. I said no, but my wife, who didn't like the idea either still said give it a try. So, I am not surprised but still very disappointed.


text:
Using her gadgets, she can record a whole world at once. She shows me a printout from an earlier Sea of Cortez cruise with Gilly, when sperm whales surrounded them. "We knew they were down there beneath us," she says, "but you can't tell what they're doing from the boat."
The acoustic reading shows a ten-minute window, with time on the horizontal axis and depth on the vertical. One thick band stretches from 700 feet or so to more than 900 feet. This is the deep scattering layer, the zooplankton and lanternfish. Individual squid, one visible as a blue-green smear, the other in orange, are among them, perhaps feeding. A school of squid shows up a few minutes later, loitering about 60 feet from the surface. The real drama, though, starts at one minute and 55 seconds, with a pair of red and orange squiggles: two sperm whales, one near the surface and the other more than 300 feet under the boat. The latter dives to a school of squid nearly 400 feet deep. The tracks of the squid and the whale converge, are lost as they move into the band of fish, and pop out of the jumble.
Seeing this, I think back to a night near the cruise's end, when I was alone on the bow of the BIP XII. The trawler was chugging over a still sea, and the night was hypnotically quiet. Then, somewhere in the distance, I heard the spouting of whales. But I could see nothing, and the boat continued on in languorous pursuit of the moon's reflection.
For a long time, we didn't know much more than that about the whales. But now we have a better idea of what is happening in that strange world where the sperm whale swims. We can imagine the wan glow from a school of lanternfish, the jumbo squid among them, and a sperm whale moving through the gloom with relentless purpose. The whale searches with usual clicks and gives a quick creeeeeek! as it locks onto the squid. There is a rush of pressure from its head wave as it surges to its prey, jaw agape, and the jet from the squid as, panicked, it bursts away into the darkness.
Eric Wagner, who wrote for Smithsonian about cranes in Korea's Demilitarized Zone, frequently reports for Smithsonian.com.


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The NTSB has dispatched a go team to the site where the crash of a Colgan Air Bombardier Q400 killed 50 people roughly six miles northeast of Buffalo Niagara International Airport at about 10:15 p.m. last night. Operating as Continental Express Flight 3407 from Newark, N.J., the 74-seat turboprop carried 45 passengers and four on-duty crewmembers when, after the airplane descended to about 2,300 feet, air traffic control lost contact with the pilots. The airplane reportedly went into a steep descent and crashed into a single house in the suburban town of Clarence Center, N.Y., killing one of the residents. Two other residents escaped with minor injuries.
Firefighters arrived minutes after the crash but could not get close enough to try to immediately extinguish the fire due to the intense heat it generated. Weather observations at ground level at the time indicated light snow, fog and mist wind gusts of 21 knots. Pilots flying into Buffalo soon after the crash reported icing conditions between 3,200 and 6,000 feet.
A wholly owned subsidiary of Memphis-based Pinnacle Airlines, Colgan Air flies a fleet 15 Q400s out of Newark and in January signed a firm order for another 15.
"Continental extends its deepest sympathy to the family members and loved ones of those involved in this accident," said Larry Kellner, chairman and CEO of Continental Airlines. "We are providing our full assistance to Colgan Air so that together we can provide as much support as possible for all concerned."
Continental, Pinnacle and Colgan have all dispatched personnel to the scene to assist the NTSB in its investigation.


text:
As we celebrate Man of Steel's release tomorrow, aka the day that Henry Cavill becomes available to gawk at in 3D, we must not forget other hot superheroes who paved the way for Henry to play Superman.
OK! Exclusive: Teenage Clark Kent Spills on Henry Cavill and Leo DiCaprio
From Andrew Garfield as Spidey to Ryan Reynolds as a super sexy Green Lantern, check out our gallery below, which should basically be titled hot famous rich dudes in spandex. There's one girl in there too who is super deserving to be on our list. Any guesses?
Photos: Tons of Pics from Man of Steel To Get You Excited For The Movie
Man of Steel comes out tomorrow, June 14! Who's your favorite on-screen superhero? Which guy looks the hottest in his suit? Tweet us @OKMagazine!


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Defending champ Phil Mickelson is hoping to rekindle some past magic in today's second round of the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am.
Mickelson, who's aiming to tie Mark O'Meara's record of five wins this week, is at Spyglass Hill today, the site of his greatest Pro-Am round.
In 2005, Lefty matched the tournament record with a 10-under 62 in his opening round at Spyglass Hill. Previous tournament 62's were posted by Tom Kite at Pebble Beach in 1983, David Duval at Pebble in 1997 and Matt Gogel at Poppy Hills in 2001.
Mickelson's 62 that year would propel him to a wire-to-wire win, the first since the tournament was lengthened from 54 holes to 72 holes in 1958.
Early on today, Mickelson is 2-under through his first eight holes, which moved him to a total of 3-under, four shots behind a group of leaders at 7-under including Fredrik Jacobson and Hunter Mahan.
Mickelson's 2-under score has already propelled him 28 spots up the leader board.


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Revgear Continues to Expand its Sponsored Athletes Roster Revgear, a leading combat sports gear manufacturer, is proud to announce their sponsorship of one athlete competing
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Revgear is a leading manufacturer of combat sports equipment, gear & apparel since 1996. Revgear has sponsored hundreds of athletes of all level and has been used at the highest level of competition since it's beginning. Revgear is tested on the mat & proven in the cage. The pro's use Revgear and so should you.


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Get free shipping on your next order when you spend over $100. The discount will be automatically applied to your purchase; no promo code required. The subtotal of your purchase must be $100.01 or greater after any promotional discounts have been applied. Additional fees such as tax or shipping and handling do not apply toward your minimum subtotal requirement of $100.01. Offer applies to standard shipping only. Certain items that require additional shipping and handling are excluded from this promotion and do not apply towards your $100.01 subtotal minimum. Offer subject to change.
Live life a little on the fancy side with this variety pack of handmade, preservative-free marshmallows. The four-pack of gourmet 'marshies includes one box of each of the following flavors: Vanilla Bean, Chocolate Mint, Chai Tea, & Earl Grey.
Each marshmallow measures 1" and there are sixteen to a box. Note: these marshmallows are crafted in a facility that also processes nuts.
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Washington's Broken Politics with Bob Woodward
Yeshiva University-Stern College for Women
Wednesday, November 13, 2013 from 7:30 PM to 9:00 PM (EST)
Who's Going
San Francisco, California
London, United Kingdom
Florence, Italy
Event Details
Hyper-partisanship and zero-sum politics have led to a government shutdown, risk of default, and an inability to address the country's problems. Bob Woodward, Associate Editor of The Washington Post and two-time Pulitzer Prize winner discusses the origins and impact of dysfunctional politics in Washington.
When & Where
Center for Jewish History
15 West 16th Street
New York,
Wednesday, November 13, 2013 from 7:30 PM to 9:00 PM (EST)
Add to my calendar
Yeshiva University-Stern College for Women
Dr. Marcia Robbins-Wilf Scholar-In-Residence Program
The program is under the auspices of the Dr. Marcia Robbins-Wilf Scholar-in-Residence program at YU's Stern College for Women. Dr. Robbins-Wilf, a founding member of the Stern College Board of Directors, established and funds the program, which brings top scholars, authors, artists and opinion makers to Stern College—offering the university community and the general public unique perspectives on the world.