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Discussion in 'Texans Talk Archive' started by TEXANS84, Apr 25, 2013.
Pick #27, 1st round.
Enjoy guys! Lets hope for the same luck as
Please God, if you're there, keep Manti Teo and Menelik Watson away from the Texans tonight.
Please God lock Gary Kubiak in a closet until the draft is over with. Let folks who know what they're doing make these picks.
Anyone else nervous? This is like Christmas in April without the bills, only you don't get to pick your present and you have to keep it.
Yeah because the 2006 draft sucked so badly.
2007, and 2008 sucked other than Duane Brown, and last year was a disappointment as well.
If it's a good pick then credit somebody else (Mario Williams to Casserly, Duane Brown to Alex Gibbs, Brian Cushing to Frank Bush, JJ Watt to Wade Phillips). If the pick was terrible the Kubiak did it.
Couldn't agree more, bong
Check your history book. Those were the first two drafts Rick Smith was here. You have some crystal ball on who was responsible for what? The one time we know Kubiak was calling the shots was 2006 (Casserly gets the OD pick - Kubiak gave him credit for that one).
I think it is a mixture of opinions we will never know and your quip was silly.
2007 and 2008 were Smith's first seasons as a GM drafting. He's gotten steadily better.
And I don't think last year was that bad. Give those players a couple of years, at least.
Don't want Teo either, but what's your problem with Menelik Watson ?
The possibility of Teo scares me. I really hope the bears take him. I don't want him to fall to us.
I don't want A 2 down MLB in the first round.
He'd fall past us.
Don't think he makes it to 27, both MN and Chi are looking at him.
This is a pretty cool auto-tune mashup song of the NFL draft over the years: http://youtu.be/61KvqlqkC9M
I especially like the quote of the guy saying "Who the hell is Mel Kiper???"
We wont get **** tonight. Texans will trade out of the first.
Book it
I have everything I can cross, crossed. I HOPE IT WORKS.
I either want one or the other, Trade up and get Star or Richardson. Or trade down and get another pick in the top 100. If we stay put we should get a good player. Man I'm ready for this to start.
I cant remember which mock but someone had us trading down to an early 2nd round pick and getting DeAndre Hopkins and Kevin Minter both in the second.
That would be awesome.
Separate names with a comma.


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subset: commoncrawl


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Leafing through this great Havens book on Milton Erickson I was struck by this:
[W]hile on the Research Service of the Worcester State Hospital he interviewed a catatonic schizophrenic who manifested a variety of bizarre behaviours and beliefs which struck Erickson as familiar. Eventually he was able to relate them to those of several primitive tribes, a discovery which puzzled him greatly because the patient obviously was unfamiliar with the beliefs and rituals of any of these tribes. These and other observations of the spontaneous development of identical patterns of thought and behaviour among separate individuals throughout the world and throughout history led him to conclude that basic human thinking and emotion are very much the same from person to person in spite of individual and regional idiosyncrasies. In other words, he observed that the human mind has an incredibly wide but finite range of potential patterns available to it and that everyone has the capacity to function within any one of those patterns.
The particular patterns that any given individual adopts or manifests, he realized, are a result of limitations imposed upon this original pool of potentials by culture and by the individual's unique experiential history.
This is just so it. Humanity is bounded but infinite — but cultural humanity is far more bounded. The schizophrenic was tapping into the underlying pool — who knows exactly how. But (as with Jung) the behaviour tipped Erickson off to the unlimited nature of human cognition free of the social. The need to have the social be "everything" is quite strong, but partly thanks to a weird childhood in which recovery from polio played a major role, and partly to his great natural oddness, Erickson never had that need and brought a very objective eye to human beings.
That eye is the eye of the unconscious itself. Havens:
Erickson's fundamental orientation towards life, perhaps the central theme of his work, was that people must learn to recognize, to accept, and to utilize, what actually is in order to meet their needs, accomplish their goals, and satisfy their purposes. Rather than lamenting, distorting, or denying the unpleasant facts of life or fantasizing about an easier, more ideal reality, Erickson proposed that people must experience and acknowledge the realities of their situation and apply whatever capacities they have in order to cope as effectively or purposefully as possible with those realities.
That may seem obvious — it's the classic wisdom and never outdated — but the point is that "we" are not merely what "we" think ourselves to be. Your consciousness begins your physical life far less local to your body. Much of the most interesting stuff in your mind is stuff you never really look at after you become localised. Hooking into the body you start to leave the non-bodily behind — and then you hook into a cultured body, and get caught in language. But just reach behind and unhook those, and you have things you had no "conscious" idea about, mental aspects that already understand life in a less biased way than you do, so you can lean on them. As Havens says:
His most general observation was that people have both a conscious mode of functioning and an unconscious mode of functioning. The conscious mind represents a prejudiced and limited perspective on reality which can result in various distortions and behavioral anomalies. The unconscious mind, on the other hand, is a flexible system of thought and awareness which perceives and responds to the literal or objective qualities of reality. It is relatively unprejudiced, is very intelligent, and contains a vast reservoir of previously acquired, experientially based knowledge and memories.
The relation of this to "spirituality" is for example: just think of everything as having an unconscious mind. You can learn to tap into it by these and all sorts of methods. In an STE you become conscious of it, including as a whole — hence "cosmic consciousness".


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john just told me that the '07 worlds are gonna be in highbridge, wi.
this is awesome!!!!! out of all the places ive disced in the midwest they definitly have the best concentration of courses in one area.
the craziest thing is john still hasn't even played disc yet (last i knew anyway) b/c he figures if he does start he'll wanna play and not continue construct more courses. i think he mentioned wanting like 10- 18 hole courses by 2010. idk if you guys have managed to get there but it definitly worth the time and $.


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Birthday problem
In probability theory, the birthday problem or birthday paradox concerns the probability that, in a set of randomly chosen people, some pair of them will have the same birthday. By the pigeonhole principle, the probability reaches 100% when the number of people reaches 367 (since there are only 366 possible birthdays, including February 29). However, 99.9% probability is reached with just 70 people, and 50% probability with 23 people. These conclusions are based on the assumption that each day of the year (except February 29) is equally probable for a birthday.
This logic has applications, for example a cryptographic attack called the birthday attack, which uses this probabilistic model to reduce the complexity of finding a collision for a hash function.
The history of the problem is obscure. W. W. Rouse Ball indicated (without citation) that it was first discussed by Harold Davenport.[1] However, Richard von Mises proposed an earlier version of what is considered today to be the birthday problem.[2] The problem was featured by Martin Gardner in his April 1957 "Mathematical Games" column in Scientific American.
- 1 Calculating the probability
- 2 Approximations
- 3 An upper bound
- 4 Generalizations
- 5 Other birthday problems
- 6 Partition problem
- 7 In fiction
- 8 Notes
- 9 References
- 10 Bibliography
- 11 External links
Calculating the probability[edit]
The problem is to compute the approximate probability that in a group of n people at least two have the same birthday. For simplicity, variations in the distribution, such as leap years, twins, seasonal or weekday variations are disregarded, and it is assumed that all 365 possible birthdays are equally likely. (Real-life birthday distributions are not uniform, since not all dates are equally likely, but these irregularities have little effect on the analysis.[nb 1])
The goal is to compute P(A), the probability that at least two people in the room have the same birthday. However, it is simpler to calculate P(A'), the probability that no two people in the room have the same birthday. Then, because A and A' are the only two possibilities and are also mutually exclusive, P(A) = 1 − P(A').
In deference to widely published solutions concluding that 23 is the minimum number of people necessary to have a P(A) that is greater than 50%, the following calculation of P(A) will use 23 people as an example. If one numbers the 23 people from 1 to 23, the event that all 23 people have different birthdays is the same as the event that person 2 does not have the same birthday as person 1, and that person 3 does not have the same birthday as either person 1 or person 2, and so on, and finally that person 23 does not have the same birthday as any of persons 1 through 22. Let these events respectively be called "Event 2", "Event 3", and so on. One may also add an "Event 1", corresponding to the event of person 1 having a birthday, which occurs with probability 1. This conjunction of events may be computed using conditional probability: the probability of Event 2 is 364/365, as person 2 may have any birthday other than the birthday of person 1. Similarly, the probability of Event 3 given that Event 2 occurred is 363/365, as person 3 may have any of the birthdays not already taken by persons 1 and 2. This continues until finally the probability of Event 23 given that all preceding events occurred is 343/365. Finally, the principle of conditional probability implies that P(A') is equal to the product of these individual probabilities:
The terms of equation (1) can be collected to arrive at:
Evaluating equation (2) gives P(A') ≈ 0.492703
Therefore, P(A) ≈ 1 − 0.492703 = 0.507297 (50.7297%)
This process can be generalized to a group of n people, where p(n) is the probability of at least two of the n people sharing a birthday. It is easier to first calculate the probability p(n) that all n birthdays are different. According to the pigeonhole principle, p(n) is zero when n > 365. When n ≤ 365:
where '!' is the factorial operator, is the binomial coefficient and denotes permutation.
The equation expresses the fact that the first person has no one to share a birthday, the second person cannot have the same birthday as the first (364/365), the third cannot have the same birthday as either of the first two (363/365), and in general the nth birthday cannot be the same as any of the n − 1 preceding birthdays.
The event of at least two of the n persons having the same birthday is complementary to all n birthdays being different. Therefore, its probability p(n) is
The following table shows the probability for some other values of n (this table ignores the existence of leap years, as described above, as well as assuming that each birthday is equally likely):
|(100 − (6×10−80))%
|(100 − (3×10−129))%
|(100 − (1.45×10−155))%
The Taylor series expansion of the exponential function (the constant e ≈ 2.718281828)
provides a first-order approximation for ex for x ≪ 1:
To apply this approximation to the first expression derived for p(n), set . Thus,
Then, replace a with non-negative integers for each term in the formula of p(n) until a = n − 1, for example, when a = 1,
The first expression derived for p(n) can be approximated as
An even coarser approximation is given by
which, as the graph illustrates, is still fairly accurate.
According to the approximation, the same approach can be applied to any number of "people" and "days". If rather than 365 days there are d, if there are n persons, and if n ≪ d, then using the same approach as above we achieve the result that if p(n, d) is the probability that at least two out of n people share the same birthday from a set of d available days, then:
A simple exponentiation[edit]
The probability of any two people not having the same birthday is 364/365. In a room containing n people, there are C(n, 2) = n(n − 1)/2 pairs of people, i.e. C(n, 2) events. The probability of no two people sharing the same birthday can be approximated by assuming that these events are independent and hence by multiplying their probability together. In short 364/365 can be multiplied by itself C(n, 2) times, which gives us
Since this is the probability of no one having the same birthday, then the probability of someone sharing a birthday is
Poisson approximation[edit]
Applying the Poisson approximation for the binomial on the group of 23 people,
The result is over 50% as previous descriptions.
Square approximation[edit]
A good rule of thumb which can be used for mental calculation is the relation
which can also be written as
which works well for probabilities less than or equal to 0.5. In these equations, is the number of days in a year.
For instance, to estimate the number of people required for a 0.5 chance of a shared birthday, we get
Which is not too far from the correct answer of 23.
Approximation of number of people[edit]
This can also be approximated using the following formula for the number of people necessary to have at least a 50% chance of matching:
This is a result of the good approximation that an event with 1 in k probability will have a 50% chance of occurring at least once if it is repeated k ln 2 times.[3]
Probability table[edit]
length of
hex string
#bits hash space
Number of hashed elements such that {probability of at least one hash collision ≥ p} p = 10−18 p = 10−15 p = 10−12 p = 10−9 p = 10−6 p = 0.1% p = 1% p = 25% p = 50% p = 75% 8 32 4.3×109 2 2 2 2.9 93 2.9×103 9.3×103 5.0×104 7.7×104 1.1×105 (10) (40) (1.1×1012) 2 2 2 47 1.5×103 4.7×104 1.5×105 8.0×105 1.2×106 1.7×106 (12) (48) (2.8×1014) 2 2 24 7.5×102 2.4×104 7.5×105 2.4×106 1.3×107 2.0×107 2.8×107 16 64 1.8×1019 6.1 1.9×102 6.1×103 1.9×105 6.1×106 1.9×108 6.1×108 3.3×109 5.1×109 7.2×109 (24) (96) (7.9×1028) 4.0×105 1.3×107 4.0×108 1.3×1010 4.0×1011 1.3×1013 4.0×1013 2.1×1014 3.3×1014 4.7×1014 32 128 3.4×1038 2.6×1010 8.2×1011 2.6×1013 8.2×1014 2.6×1016 8.3×1017 2.6×1018 1.4×1019 2.2×1019 3.1×1019 (48) (192) (6.3×1057) 1.1×1020 3.5×1021 1.1×1023 3.5×1024 1.1×1026 3.5×1027 1.1×1028 6.0×1028 9.3×1028 1.3×1029 64 256 1.2×1077 4.8×1029 1.5×1031 4.8×1032 1.5×1034 4.8×1035 1.5×1037 4.8×1037 2.6×1038 4.0×1038 5.7×1038 (96) (384) (3.9×10115) 8.9×1048 2.8×1050 8.9×1051 2.8×1053 8.9×1054 2.8×1056 8.9×1056 4.8×1057 7.4×1057 1.0×1058 128 512 1.3×10154 1.6×1068 5.2×1069 1.6×1071 5.2×1072 1.6×1074 5.2×1075 1.6×1076 8.8×1076 1.4×1077 1.9×1077
The white fields in this table show the number of hashes needed to achieve the given probability of collision (column) given a hash space of a certain size in bits (row). Using the birthday analogy: the "hash space size" resembles the "available days", the "probability of collision" resembles the "probability of shared birthday", and the "required number of hashed elements" resembles the "required number of people in a group". One could of course also use this chart to determine the minimum hash size required (given upper bounds on the hashes and probability of error), or the probability of collision (for fixed number of hashes and probability of error).
For comparison, 10−18 to 10−15 is the uncorrectable bit error rate of a typical hard disk.[4] In theory, 128-bit hash functions, such as MD5, should stay within that range until about 820 billion documents, even if its possible outputs are many more.
An upper bound[edit]
The argument below is adapted from an argument of Paul Halmos.[nb 2]
As stated above, the probability that no two birthdays coincide is
As in earlier paragraphs, interest lies in the smallest n such that p(n) > 1/2; or equivalently, the smallest n such that p(n) < 1/2.
Using the inequality 1 − x < e−x in the above expression we replace 1 − k/365 with e−k/365. This yields
Therefore, the expression above is not only an approximation, but also an upper bound of p(n). The inequality
implies p(n) < 1/2. Solving for n gives
Now, 730 ln 2 is approximately 505.997, which is barely below 506, the value of n2 − n attained when n = 23. Therefore, 23 people suffice. Solving n2 − n = 2 · 365 · ln 2 for n gives, by the way, the approximate formula of Frank H. Mathis cited above.
This derivation only shows that at most 23 people are needed to ensure a birthday match with even chance; it leaves open the possibility that n is 22 or less could also work.
The generalized birthday problem[edit]
Given a year with d days, the generalized birthday problem asks for the minimal number n(d) such that, in a set of n randomly chosen people, the probability of a birthday coincidence is at least 50%. In other words, n(d) is the minimal integer n such that
The classical birthday problem thus corresponds to determining n(365). The first 99 values of n(d) are given here:
d 1–2 3–5 6–9 10–16 17–23 24–32 33–42 43–54 55–68 69–82 83–99 n(d) 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
A number of bounds and formulas for n(d) have been published.[5] For any d≥1, the number n(d) satisfies[6]
These bounds are optimal in the sense that the sequence gets arbitrarily close to , while it has as its maximum, taken for d=43. The bounds are sufficiently tight to give the exact value of n(d) in 99% of all cases, for example n(365)=23. In general, it follows from these bounds that n(d) always equals either or where denotes the ceiling function. The formula
holds for 73% of all integers d.[7] The formula
holds for almost all d, i.e., for a set of integers d with asymptotic density 1.[7] The formula
holds for all d up to 1018, but it is conjectured that there are infinitely many counter-examples to this formula.[8] The formula
holds for all d up to 1018, and it is conjectured that this formula holds for all d.[8]
Cast as a collision problem[edit]
The birthday problem can be generalized as follows: given n random integers drawn from a discrete uniform distribution with range [1,d], what is the probability p(n;d) that at least two numbers are the same? (d=365 gives the usual birthday problem.) [9]
The generic results can be derived using the same arguments given above.
Conversely, if n(p;d) denotes the number of random integers drawn from [1,d] to obtain a probability p that at least two numbers are the same, then
The birthday problem in this more generic sense applies to hash functions: the expected number of N-bit hashes that can be generated before getting a collision is not 2N, but rather only 2N/2. This is exploited by birthday attacks on cryptographic hash functions and is the reason why a small number of collisions in a hash table are, for all practical purposes, inevitable.
The theory behind the birthday problem was used by Zoe Schnabel[10] under the name of capture-recapture statistics to estimate the size of fish population in lakes.
Generalization to multiple types[edit]
The basic problem considers all trials to be of one "type". The birthday problem has been generalized to consider an arbitrary number of types.[11] In the simplest extension there are two types of people, say m men and n women, and the problem becomes characterizing the probability of a shared birthday between at least one man and one woman. (Shared birthdays between, say, two women do not count.) The probability of no (i.e. zero) shared birthdays here is
where d = 365 and S2 are Stirling numbers of the second kind. Consequently, the desired probability is 1 − p0.
This variation of the birthday problem is interesting because there is not a unique solution for the total number of people m + n. For example, the usual 0.5 probability value is realized for both a 32-member group of 16 men and 16 women and a 49-member group of 43 women and 6 men.
Other birthday problems[edit]
Reverse problem[edit]
For a fixed probability p:
- Find the greatest n for which the probability p(n) is smaller than the given p, or
- Find the smallest n for which the probability p(n) is greater than the given p.
Taking the above formula for d = 365 we have:
Sample calculations[edit]
|0.14178√365 = 2.70864
|0.32029√365 = 6.11916
|0.45904√365 = 8.77002
|0.66805√365 = 12.76302
|0.84460√365 = 16.13607
|1.17741√365 = 22.49439
|1.55176√365 = 29.64625
|1.79412√365 = 34.27666
|2.14597√365 = 40.99862
|2.44775√365 = 46.76414
|3.03485√365 = 57.98081
Note: some values falling outside the bounds have been colored to show that the approximation is not always exact.
First match[edit]
A related question is, as people enter a room one at a time, which one is most likely to be the first to have the same birthday as someone already in the room? That is, for what n is p(n) − p(n − 1) maximum? The answer is 20—if there's a prize for first match, the best position in line is 20th.
Same birthday as you[edit]
Note that in the birthday problem, neither of the two people is chosen in advance. By way of contrast, the probability q(n) that someone in a room of n other people has the same birthday as a particular person (for example, you), is given by
and for general d by
In the standard case of d = 365 substituting n = 23 gives about 6.1%, which is less than 1 chance in 16. For a greater than 50% chance that one person in a roomful of n people has the same birthday as you, n would need to be at least 253. Note that this number is significantly higher than 365/2 = 182.5: the reason is that it is likely that there are some birthday matches among the other people in the room.
It is not a coincidence that ; a similar approximate pattern can be found using a number of possibilities different from 365, or a target probability different from 50%.
Near matches[edit]
Another generalization is to ask what is the probability of finding at least one pair in a group of n people with birthdays within k calendar days of each other's, if there are m equally likely birthdays.
The number of people required so that the probability that some pair will have a birthday separated by k days or fewer will be higher than 50% is:
|# people required(i.e. n) when m=365
Thus in a group of just seven random people, it is more likely than not that two of them will have a birthday within a week of each other.[12]
Collision counting[edit]
The probability that the kth integer randomly chosen from [1, d] will repeat at least one previous choice equals q(k − 1; d) above. The expected total number of times a selection will repeat a previous selection as n such integers are chosen equals[13]
Average number of people[edit]
In an alternative formulation of the birthday problem, one asks the average number of people required to find a pair with the same birthday. If we consider the probability function Pr[n people have at least one shared birthday], this average is determining the Mean of the distribution, as opposed to the customary formulation which determines the Median. The problem is relevant to several hashing algorithms analyzed by Donald Knuth in his book The Art of Computer Programming. It may be shown[14][15] that if one samples uniformly, with replacement, from a population of size M, the number of trials required for the first repeated sampling of some individual has expected value , where
The function
has been studied by Srinivasa Ramanujan and has asymptotic expansion:
With M = 365 days in a year, the average number of people required to find a pair with the same birthday is , somewhat more than 23, the number required for a 50% chance. In the best case, two people will suffice; at worst, the maximum possible number of M + 1 = 366 people is needed; but on average, only 25 people are required.
An informal demonstration of the problem can be made from the list of Prime Ministers of Australia, of which there have been 27 as of 2010, in which Paul Keating, the 24th Prime Minister, and Edmund Barton, the first Prime Minister, share the same birthday, 18 January.
In the 2014 FIFA World Cup, each of the 32 squads had 23 players. An analysis of the official squad lists suggested that 16 squads had pairs of players sharing birthdays, and of these 5 squads had two pairs: Argentina, France, Iran, South Korea and Switzerland each had two pairs, and Australia, Bosnia Herzegovina, Brazil, Cameroon, Colombia, Honduras, Netherlands, Nigeria, Russia, Spain and USA each with one pair.[16]
Partition problem[edit]
A related problem is the partition problem, a variant of the knapsack problem from operations research. Some weights are put on a balance scale; each weight is an integer number of grams randomly chosen between one gram and one million grams (one metric ton). The question is whether one can usually (that is, with probability close to 1) transfer the weights between the left and right arms to balance the scale. (In case the sum of all the weights is an odd number of grams, a discrepancy of one gram is allowed.) If there are only two or three weights, the answer is very clearly no; although there are some combinations which work, the majority of randomly selected combinations of three weights do not. If there are very many weights, the answer is clearly yes. The question is, how many are just sufficient? That is, what is the number of weights such that it is equally likely for it to be possible to balance them as it is to be impossible?
Some people's intuition is that the answer is above 100,000. Most people's intuition is that it is in the thousands or tens of thousands, while others feel it should at least be in the hundreds. The correct answer is 23.[citation needed]
The reason is that the correct comparison is to the number of partitions of the weights into left and right. There are 2N−1 different partitions for N weights, and the left sum minus the right sum can be thought of as a new random quantity for each partition. The distribution of the sum of weights is approximately Gaussian, with a peak at 1,000,000 N and width , so that when 2N−1 is approximately equal to the transition occurs. 223−1 is about 4 million, while the width of the distribution is only 5 million.[17]
In fiction[edit]
Arthur C. Clarke's novel A Fall of Moondust, published in 1961, contains a section where the main characters, trapped underground for an indefinite amount of time, are celebrating a birthday and find themselves discussing the validity of the Birthday problem. As stated by a physicist passenger: "If you have a group of more than twenty-four people, the odds are better than even that two of them have the same birthday." Eventually, out of 22 present, it is revealed that two characters share the same birthday, May 23.
- ^ In reality, birthdays are not evenly distributed throughout the year; there are more births per day in some seasons than in others, but for the purposes of this problem the distribution is treated as uniform. In particular, many children are born in the summer, especially the months of August and September (for the northern hemisphere) [1], and in the U.S. it has been noted that many children are conceived around the holidays of Christmas and New Year's Day.[citation needed] Also, because hospitals rarely schedule caesarian sections and induced labor on the weekend, more Americans are born on Mondays and Tuesdays than on weekends;[citation needed] where many of the people share a birth year (e.g. a class in a school), this creates a tendency toward particular dates. In Sweden 9.3% of the population is born in March and 7.3% in November when a uniform distribution would give 8.3% Swedish statistics board. See also:
- Murphy, Ron. "An Analysis of the Distribution of Birthdays in a Calendar Year". Retrieved 2011-12-27.
- Mathers, C D; R S Harris (1983). "Seasonal Distribution of Births in Australia". International Journal of Epidemiology. 12 (3): 326–331. PMID 6629621. doi:10.1093/ije/12.3.326. Retrieved 2011-12-27.
- ^ In his autobiography, Halmos criticized the form in which the birthday paradox is often presented, in terms of numerical computation. He believed that it should be used as an example in the use of more abstract mathematical concepts. He wrote:
The reasoning is based on important tools that all students of mathematics should have ready access to. The birthday problem used to be a splendid illustration of the advantages of pure thought over mechanical manipulation; the inequalities can be obtained in a minute or two, whereas the multiplications would take much longer, and be much more subject to error, whether the instrument is a pencil or an old-fashioned desk computer. What calculators do not yield is understanding, or mathematical facility, or a solid basis for more advanced, generalized theories.
- ^ W. W. Rouse Ball, 1960, Other Questions on Probability, in "Mathematical Recreations and Essays", Macmillan, New York, p 45.
- ^ The Birthday Problem
- ^ Mathis, Frank H. (June 1991). "A Generalized Birthday Problem". SIAM Review. Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics. 33 (2): 265–270. ISSN 0036-1445. JSTOR 2031144. OCLC 37699182. doi:10.1137/1033051.
- ^ Jim Gray, Catharine van Ingen. Empirical Measurements of Disk Failure Rates and Error Rates
- ^ D. Brink, A (probably) exact solution to the Birthday Problem, Ramanujan Journal, 2012, doi: 10.1007/s11139-011-9343-9.
- ^ Brink 2012, Theorem 2
- ^ a b Brink 2012, Theorem 3
- ^ a b Brink 2012, Table 3, Conjecture 1
- ^ Suzuki, K.; Tonien, D.; et al. (2006). "Birthday Paradox for Multi-collisions". In Rhee M.S., Lee B. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 4296. Berlin: Springer. Information Security and Cryptology – ICISC 2006.
- ^ Z. E. Schnabel (1938) The Estimation of the Total Fish Population of a Lake, American Mathematical Monthly 45, 348–352.
- ^ M. C. Wendl (2003) Collision Probability Between Sets of Random Variables, Statistics and Probability Letters 64(3), 249–254.
- ^ a b M. Abramson and W. O. J. Moser (1970) More Birthday Surprises, American Mathematical Monthly 77, 856–858
- ^ Might, Matt. "Collision hash collisions with the birthday paradox". Matt Might's blog. Retrieved 17 July 2015.
- ^ D. E. Knuth; The Art of Computer Programming. Vol. 3, Sorting and Searching (Addison-Wesley, Reading, Massachusetts, 1973)
- ^ P. Flajolet, P. J. Grabner, P. Kirschenhofer, H. Prodinger (1995), On Ramanujan's Q-Function, Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics 58, 103–116
- ^ Fletcher, James (16 June 2014). "The birthday paradox at the World Cup". bbc.com. BBC. Retrieved 27 August 2015.
- ^ C. Borgs, J. Chayes, and B. Pittel (2001) Phase Transition and Finite Size Scaling in the Integer Partition Problem, Random Structures and Algorithms 19(3–4), 247–288.
- Abramson, M.; Moser, W. O. J. (1970). "More Birthday Surprises". American Mathematical Monthly. 77: 856–858. doi:10.2307/2317022.
- Bloom, D. (1973). "A Birthday Problem". American Mathematical Monthly. 80: 1141–1142. JSTOR 2318556. doi:10.2307/2318556.
- Kemeny, John G.; Snell, J. Laurie; Thompson, Gerald (1957). Introduction to Finite Mathematics (First ed.).
- Klamkin, M.; Newman, D. (1967). "Extensions of the Birthday Surprise". Journal of Combinatorial Theory. 3: 279–282. doi:10.1016/s0021-9800(67)80075-9.
- McKinney, E. H. (1966). "Generalized Birthday Problem". American Mathematical Monthly. 73: 385–387. doi:10.2307/2315408.
- Schneps, Leila; Colmez, Coralie (2013). "Math error number 5. The case of Diana Sylvester: cold hit analysis". Math on Trial. How Numbers Get Used and Abused in the Courtroom. Basic Books. ISBN 978-0-465-03292-1.
- Sy M. Blinder (2013). Guide to Essential Math: A Review for Physics, Chemistry and Engineering Students. Elsevier. pp. 5–6. ISBN 978-0-12-407163-6.
External links[edit]
- The Birthday Paradox accounting for leap year birthdays
- Weisstein, Eric W. "Birthday Problem". MathWorld.
- A humorous article explaining the paradox
- SOCR EduMaterials activities birthday experiment
- Understanding the Birthday Problem (Better Explained)
- Eurobirthdays 2012. A birthday problem. A practical football example of the birthday paradox.
- Grime, James. "23: Birthday Probability". Numberphile. Brady Haran.
- Computing the probabilities of the Birthday Problem at WolframAlpha


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As we head into December, a traditionally strong month for philanthropy, many are wondering how the possibility of increased tax rates related to the "fiscal cliff" will impact charitable giving among the wealthy.
Charitable giving has always been a way for the wealthy to reduce their tax burden. Unless Congress acts, the President George W. Bush-era tax cuts will expire on Dec. 31. If that happens and there is no new tax reform by the end of the year, the top individual income tax rate will rise from 35 percent to 39.6 percent. Long-term capital gains tax rates will also rise, from 15 percent to 20 percent for most people. The estate tax exemption will revert to $1 million and any amounts above that will be taxed at 55 percent. In addition to those changes, the wealthy will be charged a surtax of 3.8 percent to pay for health care reform.
"I've seen clients do some front-loading into charities this year," ahead of the possibility of higher rates next year, says Susan Colpitts, CFO of Signature, a wealth management firm in Virginia.
Colpitts says there are three possible outcomes regarding the fiscal cliff that will impact philanthropy:
- Nothing will change. If Congress enacts a one-year extension of the Bush-era tax cuts, the tax consequences of charitable giving in 2013 will be the same as they are this year.
- Tax rates will increase. In that case, Colpitts says, charitable contributions will be worth more to the wealthy in 2013 because the tax deduction will have a higher value.
- Charitable deductions will be limited or eliminated. That means charitable bequests will have a smaller tax benefit for the wealthy.
So does any of this indicate how the wealthy will react if tax laws change next year? Not really, Colpitts says. Taxes are not the only driver when it comes to decisions around charitable giving. There are lots of factors that go into philanthropy -- one of the most powerful being the donor's passion and sense of obligation to give back.
In the past few years, the performance of the stock market has also played a part in the decision to give, Colpitts adds. "A lot of people have had appreciation in their securities, which we encourage them to use" for charitable giving, she says. Those who are accelerating recognition of capital gains this year while the rates are still low have been offsetting the increase in income with charitable gifts.
Those who might decide to give less next year are wealthy wage-earners who spend more of their cash flow and would feel the restriction in income if taxes claim a larger share. But the largest donors have sufficient assets and discretionary income to withstand the tax bite. "I think most of my clients would keep giving at the same level," says Colpitts. "They believe this is an important component of what makes our country work."
Keep up with your wealth and mortgages and follow me on Twitter.
Get more news, money-saving tips and expert advice by signing up for a free Bankrate newsletter.


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iHerb Customer Reviews
Love this product for my cats
Verified Purchase
Love this product for my cats
This Digestive Enzyme really works for my two cats who have digestive problems, yes I remmemend this product.
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Love this product for my cats
Posted by iHerb Customer on Jan 06, 2012 | Verified Purchase
This Digestive Enzyme really works for my two cats who have digestive problems, yes I remmemend this product.
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Our dog Lucy has Chronic Liver Disease. Her coat became dry and brittle with hair loss on her tail and ears. She has also lost a great deal of weight...so I thought digestive enzymes might help. After just a week her coat was soft and new hair was coming in on her tail and ears. She hasn't gained any weight yet (6 weeks) but I am still hopeful. She is holding her own and we're very pleased with the results so far.
Posted by iHerb Customer on Aug 15, 2012 | Verified Purchase
It seems working well for my dog's digestion. I am so happy with this supplement along with this same brand of probiotic. Usually, my dog gets bloated after meal even though I feed her organic home cook meat with organic dry food. This enzyme with probiotic works so well. They are amazing! I am so thankful that iherb carries this brand. Totally recommened.
digestive enzymes for cat
Posted by iHerb Customer on Dec 06, 2011 | Verified Purchase
I bought this for my rescued mainecoon cat...she eats a very good diet--a mixture of people grade canned food and fresh from a farm grass fed lamb along with some organic pumpkin or sweet potato a few times a week. She also gets raw farm fresh egg yokes once or twice a week and some sardines. The raw food contains naturally occurring digestive enzymes but I believe the cooked stuff has had most of the enzymes cooked out. Adding enzymes to your pets food is very good for them...I had been using my own enzymes when I came across these which are made for pets. I am not quite sure of effectiveness of flying basset yet but am very hopeful cooked out. My cat is not overjoyed with the flavor of them but if I mix it in well enough she seems to deal ok. I am giving it four stars bc I thing enzymes are a very good thing for pets. I am a bit bothered by the fact that the front of the can says for cats and dogs but on the label they only list serving sizes for dogs.
Posted by iHerb Customer on Aug 10, 2012 | Verified Purchase
종양치료에 효소가 좋다고해서...구입했네요.. 사람꺼 구매할래다가.. 독할거같아서..동물용 샀는데.. 좋네요.. 잘먹구요.. 구토하는것도없구요..
1-5 of 5 total


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We welcome any gift made in memory of, or in tribute to, a colleague, mentor, friend or family member. Here are two ways to make a tribute gift:
The AFSH offers the following opportunities for various donation levels. Review the Named Award Fundraising packet and application for details on creating a named award in honor of someone special to you. Contact the AFSH at [email protected] to arrange a time to meet with the Named Award Oversight Committee to discuss your Named Award objective and fundraising goals.
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Tip 1: Start with the basics like "carpal tunnel." You can always add more words later to narrow
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Taylor key in Nats' rally after getting break from lineup
WASHINGTON -- After starting four straight games this past week while outfielders Jayson Werth, Nate McLouth and Steven Souza Jr. all nursed shoulder injuries, Nationals prospect Michael Taylor was out of the starting lineup on Saturday. Bryce Harper moved to right field while utility man Kevin Frandsen started in left for the fourth time this month.
Taylor still saw action on Saturday night as pinch-hitter in the bottom of the eighth, when he led off the frame with a walk. The at-bat proved crucial, as Taylor came around to score the Nationals' first run of a three-run eighth in an eventual 4-3 walk-off victory over the Pirates at Nationals Park.
"He was patient," manager Matt Williams said after the game. "Fouled off a couple fastballs that he was right on, and was patient enough to get that walk for us to start it off."
Taylor -- who the Nats called up from Triple-A Syracuse last Sunday just four games after his promotion from Double-A Harrisburg -- went 2-for-4 with a home run and two RBIs in his memorable debut at Citi Field on Tuesday. But in the three contests following, including the final two against the Mets and the series opener against the Pirates, Taylor went 0-for-10 with seven strikeouts.
"I feel like I've been getting myself out," Taylor said. "Swinging at a couple [bad] pitches, expanding the zone, and taking good pitches to hit. I think I just have to get back to what I know how to do and just try to stay comfortable."
Given Taylor's sudden turn, Williams opted to give the 23-year-old an opportunity to catch his breath after the most exciting week of his young career.
"I've seen him, over the last couple of days, take some fastballs that he normally doesn't take," Williams said before Saturday's game. "For all the time that I struggled, I understand [when] you just think too much, and you're thinking about, 'Well, this guy's got a curveball,' or, 'He's got a slider.' … The secret to his success is going to be hitting the fastball. That's what he does. It's not easy for a guy coming out of Double-A to step into the big leagues and do it on a consistent basis. So if we get a chance to get him a day [off] and regroup, then it's important that we do that."
Daniel Popper is an associate reporter for MLB.com. This story was not subject to the approval of Major League Baseball or its clubs.


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YouTube sensation The Peterson Farm Brothers' will perform at the 2013 Farm Science Review, capturing the spirit of the "Break New Ground" theme of this year's annual farm show. Performances will be held on Tuesday, September 17 at 10 a.m. and 12:30 p.m. in the Morton Building, lot 513, at the Molly Caren Agricultural Center.
The "Break New Ground" theme symbolizes the latest technology, equipment and innovations in the agriculture industry, all of which will be showcased at the three-day event. For Greg, Nathan and Kendal Peterson, breaking new ground in the industry has come in the form of agriculture-inspired musical parodies, visually communicating their passion for farming and raising livestock.
Their popular YouTube music videos, "I'm Farming and I Grow It" and "Farmer Style," feature lyrics about farming and agriculture set to the tunes of pop-culture songs and footage of the brothers performing their daily farm duties. "I'm Farming and I Grow It," a parody of a LMFAO song and posted to YouTube in 2012, went viral in less than a week, receiving more than 2.8 million views. "Farmer Style" is a parody of the hit "Gangnam Style," which was widely popular across the country in late 2012, and has received more than 13 million views to date.
Hailing from Kansas, Greg and Nathan Peterson will travel to London, Ohio for the Review and will likely perform their newest parody "A Fresh Breath of Farm Air," inspired by the theme song from the hit 90s television show "The Fresh Prince of Bel Air," along with their other hits. Their appearance is sponsored by Morton Buildings. Autograph sessions will be held after each performance.
The 2013 Farm Science Review will be held September 17-19, and advance sale tickets will be available starting July 15 at any Ohio State University Extension office for $7. For more information on the Farm Science Review, visit fsr.osu.edu. To learn more about The Peterson Farm Brothers,' visit their YouTube channel at http://www.youtube.com/user/ThePetersonFarmBros.
Farm Science Review is sponsored by the College of Food, Agricultural, and Environmental Sciences, Ohio State University Extension, and the Ohio Agricultural Research and Development Center. It attracts more than 140,000 visitors from all over the country and Canada, who come for three days to peruse 4,000 product lines from 600 commercial exhibitors, and learn the latest in agricultural research, conservation, family and nutrition, and gardening and landscape.


text: A newspaperman asked the British authorities for a copy of the leaflets distributed in Germany by British airplanes. According to the London Daily Herald, his request was refused with the following answer: "Copies are not given out, as they might fall into enemy hands." ["The Living Age" magazine, Sept. 1939-Feb. 1940]


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Greetings everyone,
We've had quite a few new members joining over recent months, so we thought it might be an opportune time to remind people of a few of the features and processes that exist here at Dhamma Wheel, in order to serve this online community.
Firstly, Dhamma Wheel has an established set of rules, intended to facilitate quality discussion on the Dhamma and keep things nice and focused.
Terms of Service / Forum Rules
There are multiple sub-forums here, each with its own theme, and each created with a view to facilitate the various forums of discussion that might be of interest to those keen on exploring and utilizing the Buddha's teachings.
If you believe any posts you see here are unsuitable (either to the specific sub-forum in which they're posted, or the Dhamma Wheel forum in general) with respect to the Terms Of Service, we have a...
Complaints Procedure
.. in place, which enables you to report any inappropriate postings, or instances where you feel forum moderation is not taking place in accord with the Terms Of Service.
If you have any suggestions you wish to make on how things can be improved, either to the forum structure, forum presentation, forum governance, the Terms Of Service, or anything for that matter, we have a public...
Suggestion Box forum
... available and we greatly welcome all feedback that you can offer us on how we can continue to improve the Dhamma Wheel experience for our members.
Thanks for your time and have a happy Dhammic day!


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Hi All,
I've been playing for just over a year and am still toying with developing a good, consistent grip. Looked at literally hundreds of pictures and videos but I can't seem to come up with something workable. So, I am looking for a little advice. I think my issue is I have relatively large palms but shortish fingers. Nothing way out of whack or weird but enough of an issue to give me some issues. Best way to describe hand size would be glove size...it would be a Medium/Large cadet if that makes sense. How to hold the disc is another thing....placing the base of the disc along the lifeline of my palm doesn't allow me to generate a lot of spin but holding it more in my fingers feels like the disc could slip; especially when it's raining.
Any help would be appreciated!!


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A HAMPSHIRE college has unveiled a state-of-the-art aquaculture building, a facility they say is unique in the UK.
The £500,000 Salmonid Rearing and Trials Centre at Sparsholt College was officially opened on Thursday, January 31 by Winchester and Chandler's Ford MP Steve Brine, with help from leading UK trout industry figure, Robert Hughes of Skretting.
The event also saw the college host the national launch of the new Fish Husbandry and Fishery Management Apprenticeship.
Mr Brine said: "Apprenticeships are one of the great success stories of this Government and we will be going further and faster because it has to be all about producing work-ready young people.
"The new fisheries management apprenticeship at Sparsholt is absolutely first-class and it was striking at its launch to see so many employers from the sector eager to work with the college and the impressive young people it is turning out.
"The new Salmonid Rearing and Trials Centre could not be a better facility for students to learn their trade, we are very fortunate to have this college on our doorstep."
The 1,003m² building has been part funded by the European Fisheries Fund and the Marine Management Organisation as part of a five-year, £38million project to ensure the UK's fishery industry remains sustainable and profitable.
Caroline James, learning manager for fishery studies, said: "Progression into either employment or continuing in education will be enhanced for our students and we are proud that we provide education and training for all levels from 1-day-a-week 14-16 year old school pupils through further education, foundation degrees and Honours degrees."


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The Egyptian superstar Amer Diab renewed his contract with the music production company 'Rotana' for another five years for a sum of $50 million dollars.
Diab announced his new deal with 'Rotana' during a press conference that was held at the Four Season Nile Plaza, in Egypt. Diab's manager and lawyer Husam Lutfi accompanied him. The president of 'Rotana', Salim Al Hindi, and Lebanese host Jomanah Bo Eid were present at the conference.
Diab revealed that he will release his upcoming album by December and he made sure that the contract with Rotana includes producing the album and a number of video clips. 'Rotana' will also produce his biography, which will be aired exclusively on 'Rotana' satellite channel. 'Rotana' also has the rights to produce a film for Diab over the next three months.
[1] http://www.albawaba.com


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Phone: 718-230-0221
Payment Accepted: Cash, cards
The crust was crisp yet almost impossibly pliant and chewy. Paper thin in the center yet not at all soggy for it, and puffy and light at the edges. The bottom was charred nicely, like that you'd see coming from a coal-fired oven (not surprising given the fact that they have a well-designed wood-fired oven, one built from scratch as opposed to the pre-fab kind you see in wood-fired pizzerias of lesser distinction).
As always, the toppings were impeccable. We tried the tomato-and-mozzarella pie, which has a base price of $10, but we ordered ours topped with the house-made garlic sausage, which pushed the price to $14. The sausage was thick, velvety, spicy, and flavorfula world away from the grisly fatty sausage found on run-of-the-mill pizzas.
Service was good, too. We were seated quickly, the waitress was attentive and displayed a thorough knowledge of the menu. We were disappointed, though, that the large yet charming garden space is only for cocktails and desserts. But Franny herself (at least I think it was Franny) said they plan on serving pizza out there next summer. Which gives us at Slice one more reason to look forward to nice weather once again (ain't this early fall a b***h?).


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|Product Description
Clear the decks! Now you can stop stumbling over deck mounted poles. These chocks are molded from durable, weather-resistant urethane and mount easily onto 1" stanchions Ś no drilling necessary. For poles 2" to 3 1/2" in diameter. For spinnaker or whisker poles. Ideal for reaching struts!
Note: Chocks are sold individually; two chocks are needed for each pole.
Part Number: 300050


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Take a look at our Xtra section which brings you a wide range of feature articles every week.
This week's features include:
GADGETS: Six of the best gadgets and gizmos on a theme. This week: Six of the best iOS accessories.
FASHION: It's the time of year when you need plenty of good winter warmers. Xtra reveals how to be fashion savvy through the depths of mid-winter.
GARDENING: Tips on how to plan design changes for your garden - plus, find out what else needs doing in the garden this week.


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Sideshow exclusive packs bonus Kryptonite neck chain...
Sideshow, the exclusive North American distributor for Hot Toys, sends word that they are now accepting pre-orders for their Movie Masterpiece SUPERMAN action figure.
The figure, as revealed in-depth earlier today HERE, features the likeness of the late great actor Christopher Reeve in addition to a specially-made figure stage imitating the Fortress of Solitude. As a bonus, the Sideshow Exclusive includes a Kryptonite neck chain (pictured below).
The MMS Superman figure is priced at $209.99 with FLEXPay available as a payment option. It is scheduled to ship 4th Quarter 2011.


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Cedar Key's Police Department has a well known leader, Chief Virgil Sandlin. But, the men who make up his force may be less known. I sat down with Cpl. David Perry this week to find out more.
If you currently subscribe or have subscribed in the past to the Cedar Key Beacon, then simply find your account number on your mailing label and enter it below.
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text:
Renren Still Waiting to Break Out
One of the highflying stocks from a couple of years ago was Renren (RENN). It was supposed to be the Facebook (FB) of China when it IPO'ed on the heels of Youku (YOKU) and Dangdang (DANG), which had recently held successful IPOs.
Of the three, Youku is the only one trading around its offer price. Dangdang and Renren have both stumbled badly....226 more words left in this article. To read them, just click below and try Real Money FREE for 14 days.
There's no substitute for a trading floor to get great ideas, so Jim Cramer created a better one at Real Money and blogs there exclusively. We then added legendary hedge fund manager, Doug Kass, with his exclusive Daily Diary and best investing ideas. Staffed with more than 4 dozen investing pros, money managers, journalists and analysts, Real Money Pro gives you a flood of opinions, analysis and actionable trading advice found nowhere else, and allows you to interact directly with each expert.
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THE blue hoops of Dudley Kingswinford Running Club didn't have too far to travel for competition this week with many turning out for the Baggeridge 5k.
The race, which took place at Baggeridge Country Park last Thursday, was organised by Russell's Hall based charity Action Heart and was a gruelling event a fraction over 3 miles on a course of dirt tracks and gravel paths taking in steeps inclines and descents.
The tough course was made even harder when some runners took a wrong turn after following misplaced tape and went off course. Some adding a few extra metres to their race, some adding the best part of half a mile as they struggled to get back on track. This resulted in runners approaching the finish from different directions, some with good humoured acceptance, some with gritted teeth and barely concealed fury.
First home for the blue hoops in third place was Ben Foster in 18.50. Rob Sannwald was ninth in 21.54, Dave Norman 10th in 21.55 and Richard Bate 14th in 22.02.
Daren Thompson was 20th in 22.57 from Gary Bonner who claimed the first M50 prize in 23.14 in 25th spot holding off Graham Wildgoose who was a place and a second behind.
Mark Judge was 40th in 24.16, John Andrews was 47th in 25.04, Rebecca Warren in was 50th in 25.13, Dave Garbutt finished in 25.21 in 52nd, Carol Fisher was 69th in 27.09, Helen Davies was 77th in 29.31, John Glover finished in 35.16 from Meg Dowen in 35.22, Andrew Cotterill in 35.24, Natalie Litchfield in 35.29 and Richard Jones in 35.33, all approaching the finish from the opposite direction. Sally McConville recorded one of the furthest distances travelled with 3.8 miles for a 5k race finishing in 38.45 in 122nd
Despite the confusion, Ingrid Cain of DK was able to present a cheque for £2,500 to Action Heart in her position as race director of the recent Gavin Tipper 5k. All proceeds from the race were donated to the cardiac rehabilitation charity in memory of Tipper, a DK stalwart.
Ben Foster than went one to better his third at Baggeridge with a second place spot in Wolverhampton and Bilston's Midsummer 6 on Sunday. The DK athlete finishing in 36.40, only eight second behind the winner and nearly a minute and a half in front of the third placed runner.


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WARNING: These kids are here to party! They'll take their Huffy bmx bike off a ramp then chug a can of Mt. Dew without thinking twice about it. They don't have time for things like naps or piano lessons, cuz they're too busy scoring with hot chicks and blowing sh#$ up with firecrackers. They rock the mullet and they rock it hard. In the words of Joe Dirt, these 20 kids with mullets will make you say, "Daaaaaang".
When your legal birth name is "Thrash" this hairstyle just grows in naturally
Roosevelt Jr. High ain't even ready for a mullet like this
$10 says these brothers went on to cut a gospel album
When you have this kind of haircut, EVERY night is Saturday night
Two words: Stylin' & Profilin'
Mullets gotta stick together
"Just chillin' in the computer lab about to show these chumps how Orgeon Trail is really played"
When you rock the mullet, shirts no longer apply
I'm not sure what happened here, somebody needs to intervene
Technically, this is a "rat tail". A close cousin of the mullet, but still worthy of this gallery
Having a mullet is exciting, but between the bmx jumps and monster truck shows, it's important to take time to reflect
Acid wash jeans, triple mullets, glamor shot background – somebody needs to bottle this kind of awesome and sell it
You'd be as excited as these kids, too, if you just found out it was fish stick and tater tots night
Four cans of hair spray – $19.41. Better hair than Motley Crue – Priceless
Whoa, wait a minute, didn't we just see this family?
You just haven't lived until you've felt the ocean breeze in your mullet
Wherever this kid goes, you can hear a Skynyrd guitar solo in the background
When she grows up to hate you, this is one of the reasons why
Triple Mullet Attack!
Taste like, "hell yeeeaaahh"
Check out more awesome in the 20 Awesomest archives


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BP Comment Quick Links
|Strength of Schedule Report
April 23, 2013
Western Front
The Rockies and Dodgers Have Swapped Scripts
We know that three weeks isn't enough time to judge a season. We'll do it anyway because that's what we have and that's what we do.
There have been many surprises so far, particularly in the National League West. Here's how the Baseball Prospectus crew saw the division shaping up in 2013:
And here's what it looked like through games of April 21:
The Giants and Diamondbacks are where we'd expected them to be, and the Padres are close enough. But the Rockies and Dodgers have nearly traded places.
Colorado has benefited from a healthy Troy Tulowitzki and Carlos Gonzalez, as well as hot starts from Michael Cuddyer and the apparently still-developing Dexter Fowler. More surprisingly, the Rockies have gotten strong results from a starting rotation that entered the season with serious questions.
Jon Garland? Really?
Their starters' collective 3.75 ERA makes for a good story, as does winning their first eight games of the year at Coors Field. They won't play this well all year, but it's possible that the Rockies are better than we thought. Just as folks underestimated the A's last year or the Padres in 2010, maybe they've done the same with this season's Rockies.
Or maybe it's just 18 games.
Meanwhile, at the other end of the spectrum, this cannot be the start anyone expected or hoped for from the Dodgers. As I began writing this, they had lost six straight games, by a combined score of 36-13.
The Boston imports have been fantastic, at least on the hitting side. Carl Crawford, Adrian Gonzalez, and Nick Punto have combined to hit .372/.454/.514 in 175 plate appearances. Crawford and González are doing what the money and the fanfare say they should do, and even Punto is inflicting damage in a limited role.
The left side of the infield, thanks in large part to Hanley Ramirez's thumb injury, has been dreadful. Minor-league journeymen Justin Sellers and Luis Cruz are hitting .130/.206/.163 in 103 plate appearances. And although Cruz's story was fun to follow in 2012, the fact remains that he owns a 690 OPS in nearly 5,000 minor-league plate appearances. This does not qualify as an answer at third base. His backups—Juan Uribe, Punto, and Jerry Hairston Jr.—are no less uninspiring.
Then again, with a healthy Ramirez, the Dodgers could get away with stashing a zero at the hot corner. Sellers changes the equation, as does the fact that Matt Kemp's contribution thus far has been limited to staring down Carlos Quentin in the parking lot after a game.
Kemp will hit—it's what he does, and does well—but Clayton Kershaw has out-homered him through the team's first 18 games, which can't have been part of anyone's plan. Kershaw has been strong on the pitching side as well, except for allowing a career-high three homers in his April 17 start at home against the Padres.
But beyond Kershaw, questions abound. Key off-season acquisition Zack Greinke will miss two months after breaking his left collarbone during an April 11 fight with Quentin in San Diego. Greinke's replacement in the rotation, Chris Capuano, incurred a calf injury in his first start. Then, on Sunday, Chad Billingsley joined those two on the disabled list thanks to right elbow pain.
This is where the Dodgers might like to undo the April 6 trade that sent right-hander Aaron Harang to Colorado for catcher Ramon Hernandez. No disrespect to Hernandez, but what does the soon-to-be 37-year-old making $3.2 million offer that Tim Federowicz (a 25-year-old making $491,000) doesn't?
Then again, Federowicz is now up with the big club thanks to Capuano's injury. Which raises the question of whether a team missing huge chunks of its starting rotation really needs three catchers on the roster.
Maybe the Dodgers could trade Hernandez back to Colorado for Garland. Or maybe it's just 18 games.
* * *
Despite their early-season struggles, the excitement that accompanies spending "all the money" remains high. Fans are coming out at a ridiculous rate to watch the Dodgers play. The sample is small, and at some point a lack of on-field success could trump the buzz of breaking the proverbial bank, but the investment so far seems to be worth it. Here are the top five teams in home attendance through April 21:
And here are the top five increases from 2012 through an equivalent number of home dates this year:
Maybe fans are grateful to have the McCourt era behind them. Or maybe it's just nine games.
* * *
Allow me to digress for a moment. While perusing attendance data, I noticed something disturbing. Here are the bottom five teams in attendance so far in 2013, along with their win totals from last year:
The A's are down 4,300 per game from 2012 through 10 home dates. I'm reminded that seven of those 10 came against the Mariners and Astros, but still. Someone should be outraged by this. On what planet do the Marlins deserve more support than the A's?
Maybe... oh, never mind.
* * *
We were talking about the Dodgers and their losing streak, which stood at six as I began writing this. When the Orioles scored three in the first inning against rookie right-hander Stephen Fife (recalled to replace Billingsley) on Sunday, I felt validated.
The established narrative continued unfolding beautifully, until the fifth, when the Dodgers' bats awoke. They scored four runs that inning and went on to win, 7-4, breaking the skid. Even Kemp had three hits, damaging the "contribution thus far has been limited" assertion while lending credence to the "Kemp will hit—it's what he does, and does well" line.
Always give yourself an out. If you present both sides of a story, one of them is bound to be right. Unless there are more than two sides, in which case you're out of luck.
Do we include Sunday's results and ruin a perfectly good tale about the Dodgers' poor start? Or do we use those results to reinforce the larger point that the season is long?
Circumstances change. They are constantly changing. For example, the Rockies placed starter Jhoulys Chacin on the disabled list on Sunday due to a "left lower-back strain." Chacin, who made just 14 starts last season and didn't pitch particularly well, had posted a 1.46 ERA in his first four starts of 2013.
How will the Rockies respond to the loss of their nominal ace? How important is their signing of Garland—who hadn't pitched at any level since June 2011—at the end of spring training, after he exercised his option to be released from the Mariners?
* * *
As if on cue, the Rockies broke their part of the narrative on Sunday as well. Juan Nicasio spun four hitless innings before departing with one out in the fifth and 96 pitches to his credit. Nicasio and the Colorado bullpen turned a 3-0 lead into a 5-4 loss.
After Arizona scored once in the eighth and twice in the ninth, the Rockies put runners at the corners with two out in the bottom half of the ninth. J.J. Putz then got Eric Young Jr. to tap gently back to the mound for the final out, ending Colorado's eight-game winning streak.
The Rockies' early-season success remains a great story despite last-minute script revisions that called for A.J. Pollock to chop a Wilton Lopez offering just over the glove of a drawn-in Jonathan Herrera (listed at 5-foot-9) at third base, opening the door for Alfredo Marte's game-tying groundout and Gerardo Parra's game-winning sacrifice fly.
Depending on the Rockies' eventual fate, this single game in April could be viewed as the beginning of the end or as a point from which they later rallied. One of them is bound to be right, unless there is a third option. The same holds for the Dodgers and their comeback in Baltimore.
There is plenty of story yet to be told. Maybe what comes next will surprise us, maybe it won't. My money is on that annoying third option. My money is on both.
16 comments have been left for this article.
BP Comment Quick Links
"On what planet do the Marlins deserve more support than the A's?"
Apr 23, 2013 04:18 AM
The short version: A's ownership does not want people to come to the games and is not shy about announcing it, both in action (they do not make the most of their stadium or try to improve the experience) or in words.
Apr 23, 2013 08:41 AM
I assume the A's like their brand ... in other words, I'm guessing the A's ownership does all those things mentioned above on purpose ... and it seems successful ... I bet they are profitable ... and they put a winning team on the field pretty often ... seems like win-win to me ... I'm a bit of an A's fan ... Let's Go A's ...
Apr 23, 2013 11:17 AM
Thanks, rsjanabasis, for the thoughtful comment. I agree that folks in Oakland have many reasons to be upset with the A's. To me, however, those reasons pale in comparison to the reasons folks in Miami have to be upset with the Marlins. That and the huge disparity in win totals last year led me to ask the question.
Apr 23, 2013 13:52 PM
Maybe Billy Beane/Brad Pitt should do a (flag)pole dance during each game to lure more female fans to the park.
Apr 23, 2013 07:08 AM
I haven't been to the Colesium in a while, but I never thought it was that bad, much better than Candlestick, though Mt. Davis certainly made it worse. I do think the A's current ownership actively tries to keep fans from attending because if people showed up, they would lose their argument that they need to move to San Jose to be profitable. The A's will be getting some taxpayer help even if they don't move with the BART extension to San Jose which is scheduled for completion in 2015. When that happens, the A's ownership will start bad mouthing BART as well as the Colesium.
Apr 23, 2013 09:23 AM
Richard Bergstrom
You know the A's park is bad when all you can compare it to is Candlestick... from twenty years ago...
Apr 23, 2013 10:12 AM
Beau Giles
The BART extension to Warm Springs, still miles away from San Jose, is due in 2015. Actual BART to downtown San Jose is not currently expected to open until 2025, but that could be delayed even longer as NIMBYs protest underground tunneling. I grew up in the south bay and have been hearing plans for building BART to San Jose for 30 years and it still isn't there. If the Athletics plans are based on BART getting done they are making a ridiculously poor calculation.
Apr 23, 2013 10:59 AM
A note on the Dodgers inflated attendance this year. They've benefited greatly from the promo schedule, which brought more fans than what they normally would draw, considering the day of the week and their record.
Apr 23, 2013 10:47 AM
Thanks, Matt. I don't doubt that promotional items bring people out to the ballpark, but they weren't nearly as effective for the Dodgers at roughly the same time in 2012:
Apr 23, 2013 14:08 PM
They're not the best comparisons because it's a weekend series vs Mon-Wed, plus the records are different, but ultimately all I wanted to do was point out the obvious power of Hello Kitty.
Apr 24, 2013 11:30 AM
Hopefully, Kemp looked better at staring down Quentin in the parking lot than he has looked at the plate these first 18 games. As much as I hate to admit it, I'd rather have Ryan Braun in my lineup over Kemp, if a choice had to be made. And Hanley isn't going to prop up the left side,especially if he is their ss.
Apr 23, 2013 11:25 AM
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Video: Creating a Connected System
Tara W. has worked for Crutchfield since 2004. She writes about whole-house music and video gear, and works on Crutchfield's video team.
More from Tara W.
Most of the people appearing in our videos are employees at Crutchfield. We pull in folks from around the company to share their expertise. A lot of our on-camera stars come from our Advisor Group — they help people choose the right gear via phone, email and chat every day, so they're good at explaining the products and technologies.
Heads up!Welcome to this article from the Crutchfield archives. Have fun reading it, but be aware that the information may be outdated and links may be broken.
HDTVs, Blu-ray players, gaming systems, and more — a lot of audio/video gear can connect to the Internet. Learn about what you need to create a connected system.
Video Transcript
Tara: Hi. I'm Tara.
Malcolm: And I'm Malcolm. You know, these days, more and more products connect to your home network. That way, you've got TVs that let you check the weather or surf YouTube, video game consoles that let you stream Netflix movies, and just a lot of other really cool options.
Tara: Right, but some folks aren't sure what they need to set up a connected system in their home. So in this video, we're going to walk you through the basic framework you need for a connected system. Then, we'll offer some tips on how to choose connected gear.
Malcolm: There's a lot of different audio/video gear that offers Internet connectivity, and to take advantage of these web-based features, you'll need a home network.
Tara: That's right. Now setting up a home network isn't too difficult. First, you'll need a modem. This is a device you may get from your Internet service provider, or "ISP." It connects directly to the Internet by a cable jack, satellite, or phone line.
Malcolm: Next, you've got your router, which serves as the Internet access point for all of your connected devices. It can be wired, connecting to your devices via Ethernet cable, or a more popular option, wireless, which allows wired connections, but also sends Wi-Fi® signals throughout your home.
Tara: A couple of things to keep in mind if you do go wireless: First, some of today's networkable components don't have Wi-Fi capability built in, so you'll still need to make a wired connection to your home network or invest in a Wi-Fi adapter. Second, you'll want to make sure your network is secure, usually by using a simple password system that's pretty easy to set up. Visit crutchfield.com/homenetwork for more information.
Malcolm: The final piece of the puzzle is your computer. This will be your most flexible, powerful, Internet-connected device. Your computer or an associated hard drive or media storage drive is probably also where you'll store your digital music, photos, and even videos.
Tara: And once your network's up and running, you can connect other networkable devices just like you connected your computer. So let's look at a couple examples of what you can do when your computer and your A/V gear are all set up.
Malcolm: Say you're a Netflix subscriber and you want to be able to watch movies on your Instant Queue on your HDTV. When connected to your network, some Blu-ray players offer built in Netflix streaming capability, or you could connect an XBox 360™ to the Internet, and with an Xbox Live Gold subscription, you can get access to online gaming as well as Netflix streaming.
Tara: Here's another example. If you're one of the many people these days with a lot of music stored in your computer, you'd probably like to play that music in any room of your home whenever you like. Again, there are a lot of ways to make that happen, from small portable music players you can take from room to room, to multi-room systems that let you fill your whole home with music and even play different songs in different rooms at the same time. Some of these systems also let you stream music from Internet radio stations and other online sources. Visit crutchfield.com/wirelessmusic for more information.
Malcolm: There's one more important thing we wanted to mention: Even if a component can connect to your network, it probably won't give you full access to the Internet the way a computer does. And capabilities can vary widely, even across the same types of products or products by the same manufacturer. For example, one networkable Blu-ray player might let you stream Netflix movies, while another might be designed only to let you stream photos from a compatible computer.
Tara: Or, one networkable HDTV might let you access weather reports and YouTube videos while another may let you view photos from your Flickr account and check news headlines. The bottom line — when you're shopping for networkable gear, pay very close attention to the capabilities and the limitations of each product. For an overview of different kinds of networkable gear, visit crutchfield.com/gearoverview
Malcolm: And if you have any questions, you can always give us a call at 1-800-555-9408.


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What Am I?Riddles are little poems or phrases that pose a question that needs answering. Riddles frequently rhyme, but this is not a requirement.
I am a 6 letter word.
Letters 6-5-2 spell out a drink.
Letters 4-5-2-3 spell out a fruit.
Letters 1-2-6 spell out a pet.
Letters 3-2-6 spell out a pest, which often gets eaten by 1-2-6.
What am I?
6-5-2: tea
4-5-2-3: pear
1-2-6: cat
3-2-6: rat
What Next?
See another brain teaser just like this one...
Or, just get a random brain teaser
If you become a registered user you can vote on this riddle, keep track of
which ones you have seen, and even make your own.
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Is your kid a reluctant learner?
Find out how to get your kid excited about being back at school. more
My daughter is three years old and is always hungry. She has put on about four kilos in three weeks and I can't seem to stop her from being hungry. I am concerned about her putting on weight so fast and what I am doing wrong so that she is always so hungry. What should I do?
The first thing I'd be suggesting is that you take your daughter to the local doctor and get her checked out. This does seem to be a little surprising, but I'm not that kind of doctor so I can't speak with any authority on how much weight your daughter should be gaining.
What I can tell you is that from a psychological point of view the following tips may be useful:
Kids are very quick to pick up on our messages regarding eating. When we try to force them to eat, they'll often resist. When we try to take food away from them, they want it more.
So from a psychological perspective it seems that the most effective way we can deal with our children's eating is to allow them autonomy. They typically know when they're hungry and they'll eat then. We find out quickly too. They become irritable and difficult to deal with when they don't get the food they need when they need it.
So give them food regularly, make it healthy, and let them decide. Most kids will regulate their eating quite well. When they're hungry they'll eat well. When they're not hungry they'll ease up. You've probably already seen this with your daughter. Some days she'll barely eat at all. Other days she'll go crazy. When we try to regulate her eating and make her eat whether or not she's hungry, you'll override her natural ability to recognise her hunger (or lack of it) and she'll feel compelled to eat whenever she's told to.
The keys to remember are:
This article was written for Kidspot by Justin Coulson, Ph. D. Justin is a relationships and parenting expert, author and father of five children. Find him on Facebook, Twitter, and at happyfamilies.com.au.
You can get parenting advice from Justin Coulson by emailing your questions to email@example.com.


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At least four drivers who will attempt to qualify for the Daytona 500 will have a pretty good workout before they hit the track to qualify on Feb. 17.
Jimmie Johnson, Kasey Kahne, Michael Waltrip and Aric Almirola have entered the Daytona Beach Half Marathon, scheduled to begin at 6:30 a.m. Feb. 17 at Daytona International Speedway.
"It's going to get the race fans involved, and it just seems like a lot of fun," Almirola said.
MORE: Speedweeks sked | Sprint Unlimited | Daytona 500 moments | Daytona 500 winners
The 13.1-mile race begins with two miles around much of the 2.5-mile DIS oval and then heads to the ocean shore before winding back to the track and finishing in victory lane.
Qualifying — the drivers should be able to drive around the track for a couple of laps even if they have weak legs — begins later in the day at 1 p.m. Eastern.
Daytona 500 qualifying will determine which two drivers start on the front row for the Feb. 24 race. The rest of the Daytona 500 field will be set through the two Budweiser Duel qualifying races on Feb. 21, with the final spots being filled through provisionals and qualifying speed.
Johnson, Kahne and Almirola also will compete in the 75-lap Sprint Unlimited on Saturday night, Feb. 16, before running the half marathon on Sunday morning.


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Dr. Stephen Van Horn receives key to the City of Cambridge
Muskingum College Assistant Professor of Geology Dr. Stephen Van Horn has been awarded the key to the City of Cambridge by Mayor Sam Salupo.
Dr. Van Horn received the award on January 6 in recognition of his role in the work that Muskingum College has done with the City of Cambridge to complete a wide range of complex and important projects in city planning.
Among these have been the city's constitutionally required redistricting, the redevelopment of its downtown area and a study of the relationship between crime and geography.
Dr. Van Horn's specialty in these projects has been the use of highly sophisticated geographic mapping software that allows for precise visualizations of statistical data as it applies to the geography of a region. He has worked closely on these projects with his colleague at Muskingum, Associate Professor of Political Science Dr. Walter Huber, who was recognized by Mayor Salupo last year for the success of these projects.
In granting the award to Dr. Van Horn, Mayor Salupo said, "The work done by Dr. Van Horn, Dr. Huber and the Muskingum College students involved has been invaluable in helping the City of Cambridge fulfill its obligations to its citizens. We simply could not have accomplished what we have without this collaboration between the college and the community."
Muskingum College President Anne C. Steele recognized the extraordinary achievement and said, "These faculty members and students demonstrate the very best of what Muskingum College represents: a commitment to excellence and innovation in education that not only impacts the students themselves, but the communities in which they live. That is the kind of contribution for which our faculty and students are known."
Dr. Van Horn joined the faculty at Muskingum College in 1999. He received his bachelor of science degree from Indiana University of Pennsylvania, has master's degree at the University of Missouri – Columbia and his doctoral degree from the University of Connecticut.
IN THE PHOTO: Assistant Professor of Geology Dr. Stephen Van Horn and Cambridge Mayor Sam Salupo.
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- Description
DetailsThe Life Fitness 9500HR Next Gen Treadmill is the next generation treadmill produced by industry leading Life Fitness and is equipped with their exclusive FlexDeck Shock Absorption System and self-lubricating belt, but on the Certified Pre-Owned Life Fitness 9500HR Treadmill you will have access even to further refinements. Never lose track, for instance, of where you are in your workout with the forward-mounted, easy-to-read LED console. This treadmill can display feedback from up to 28 programs, including 5 interactive Heart Rate Workouts, 3 goal-based workouts, 6 Fit Test and 6 Custom Workouts. And you won't have to hassle with continual maintenance, either, as the 9500 HR comes with Rapid Works service enhancements and auto-alert diagnostics, which let you know when a tune-up might be necessary. Of course, the heart rate has digital heart-rate sensing and Polar telemetry hook-up capacity. Its solid-state 4.0 HP Motor produces speeds from .5 to 12.0 mph, and multiple incline levels are available from 0 to 15%. The Life Fitness 9500HR Treadmill accommodates an even heavier load than the 9100 treadmill, 400lbs., but has the same wide running-belt for injury-free striding. Find out for yourself why these remanufactured Life Fitness Certified Treadmills are often a better value than other companies' brand new equipment.
- Electrical Requirements
- Input voltage: 120V | AC 50-60Hz
- 20 Amps
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- Dimensions: 83" x 37" x 62.25"
- Weight: 410lbs
- Motor: 4.0 HP Continous Commercial Duty
- Belt: Flex Deck System with 20" waxless belt
- User Capacity: 400 lbs
- Speed: 0.5 - 12mph
- Incline: 0% - 15%
- Heart Rate: Lifepulse™ Digital Contact HR| Polar® Compatible
- Deck: FlexDeck® Shock Absorption System
- Programs: 28
- TV: LCD TV optional
- Heart Rate: Lifepulse™ Digital Contact HR| Polar® Compatible
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- Programs: 28
- Additonal Features: Reading Rack, Cup Holders, Fitness Entertainment Port
- Display Readouts: Display Readouts: Elapsed Time, Total Distance, Total Calories Burned, Watts, METS, Calories Burned per hour, Speed, Incline, Heart Rate, Pace, Distance Climbed, Time in Zone
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Additional Information
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Corn futures were firm Wednesday. Corn futures fluctuated around unchanged levels in early trading, then turned higher as Wednesday morning passed. Bulls were likely encouraged by the early morning announcement of a 120,000 sale to an unknown destination and by reports implying strong ethanol production. March corn futures closed 3.25 cents higher at $4.3925/bushel Wednesday afternoon, while May added 3.25 cents to $4.4775.
International news seems to support the soy complex. Soy prices bounced modestly from Tuesday losses Wednesday morning and gained ground as the day passed. That strength almost surely reflected news of a big South Korean meal tender, along with a reduced Chinese bean production figure from that country's official sources. News of big Egyptian sunflower purchase may have boosted oil prices. January soybeans bounced 5.75 cents to $13.44/bushel at their Wednesday settlement, while January soyoil climbed 0.29 cents to 40.40 cents/pound, and January soymeal gained $0.6 to $438.9/ton.
Bargain hunting reportedly boosted wheat Wednesday afternoon. Wheat futures turned lower from overnight gains this morning, which very likely reflected news that U.S. grain had been shut out of a big Egyptian tender; that implied U.S. wheat is too expensive. However, price rebounded as Wednesday passed, with wire service sources citing widespread bargain hunting by bulls. March CBOT wheat futures rallied 2.0 cents to $6.4075/bushel as Wednesday's trading ended, while March KCBT wheat futures edged up 0.5 cent to $6.8475, and March MWE futures bounced 0.5 to $6.685.
Cattle futures turned narrowly mixed Wednesday. Talk of increased short-term supplies and slipping beef prices reportedly depressed cattle futures Tuesday, whereas anticipation of tightening winter supplies is providing support. The two sides seemed to reach a standoff Wednesday, with the various contracts being quite mixed in late-day action. February cattle futures settled up 0.15 cents to 132.80 cents/pound Wednesday afternoon, with April slipping 0.02 cents to 133.82. Meanwhile, January feeder cattle crept up 0.12 cents to 165.67 cents/pound, but March feeders skidded 0.02 to 165.50.
Persistent cash weakness appears to depress hog futures. The hog/pork industry has been expecting a vigorous seasonal rally to start this month. However, cash prices turned downward late last week and continued sliding Monday and Tuesday. The disparity between the cash quotes and premium CME futures apparently prompting aggressive selling. February hog futures fell 0.95 cents to 87.77 cents/pound in late Wednesday action, while June tumbled 0.57 to 99.66.


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Groene at the Legislature: Teacher absences, substitutes
Mail: Southern statues symbolize suppression
More opinion
Senate: Vote no on Graham-Cassidy health care plan
Fall: Good time to spray musk thistle in rosette stage
More Ag News
Campaign signs, and actions, are sprouting up all over town as election season intensifies.
We have had a great time in this years election campaign, and feel we have great candidates in Kerrey and Sullivan, Lincoln County Democrats chairman Terry Sigler said after a recent county Democrats gathering at their downtown headquarters.
Meanwhile, the Lincoln County Republicans have created a website www.localgop.org and a facebook page. Chairwoman Kimberley Kaschke said the website links to more information about local, state and national candidates.
The site is named Connecting our Community.
I look at it as an opportunity to bring people together, Kaschke said. So often everyone is focused on the national races, but what matters is the local election to make this a better place.
Campaign yard signs are appearing all over North Platte. Election day is Nov. 6.
The young campaigners for the Democrats said they like politics and believe Bob Kerrey is the best candidate for Senate.
I think Kerrey is going to stand for what he believes in, Troshynski said. With more age comes more wisdom.
He showed a lot of respect when I met him, Winder said. He looked me in the eye and asked me about my life and my opinion.
The election slate:
Mayor of North Platte
Marc Kaschke
Dwight L. Livingston
North Platte Council - Ward 1
Brook Baker
Joshua J. Welden
Ward 2
Barb Keller
Glenn E. Petersen
Ward 3
Dan J. McGuire
Andrew D. Lee
Ward 4
Larry W. Campbell
Tracy Martinez
North Platte Airport Authority
Darrel C. Smith
Mike Jacobson
North Platte School Board - Ward 2
Pat Bartels
Mike Morrell
Jim Paloucek
Jack L. Price
T.J. Walker
Marge Spencer
Ryan Stearns
Bryan Franzen
Julie Boettcher
Steve Koch
Floydene Brown
Brenda A. Johnson
Casey L. Meyer
Jason Sommer
Robyn R. Huffman
Steve Osborn
Myron McCune
Jannette Lantis
Kristi Griffiths
Kenny Ogier
Cindy Christensen
Lila Koop
Todd Roe
Rodrick Brown
Lynn L. Herrick
Jerry L. Riewe (Declared Write-In)
Jeff Miller (Declared Write-In)
Carol Hernandez
Raymond Cox
Shane Montgomery
Deb Smith
Michael Rhoades
Mary P. Gibbons
Connie Davis
Char Rotert
John P. Lutz
Rob Monie
Scott Meyer
Brent A Sinsel
Jay A Elfeldt
Lea Van Boening
Garth Ogier
Linda S. Lehmkuhl
Flatrock Publishing, Inc.
1300 E 4th St., Suite F
North Platte, NE 69101


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10 Chic Lucite Furniture Finds You'll Love
Now the globe-trotting grads can stay plugged-in wherever they go. Universal Travel Adapted in Magenta and Orange (also comes in Green and Blue), $20 each. module-r.com.
Drab cubicle life gets glam with a gold stapler. Acrylic Stapler, $24. furbishstudio.com.
9 Upholstered Headboards for Every Style


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Novamusik hooks some Tenori's up to a Vermona DRM-MKIII and a Doepfer A100 Mini System. I don't love the song they create but this is the way to use Tenori-On's! Click to 1:06 in the video to see the great action. Thanks Chuck!
"The guys of Nova Musik playing with some new toys that just came in… First thing we thought of? Can we hook these things up to the modular? The answer is yes, and much much more." – novamusik.com
Do you want a set up like this too?


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Finally the Apple iPhone dev team has released a Jailbreak for the new A5 processor iPhone 4s and iPAD 2. If you are running iOS 5.0 or iOS 5.01 you can get a full untethered jailbreak if you have a MAC computer. Just download this file.
Featured Articles
Apple iPhone 4s and Apple iPAD 2 5.01 Untethered Jailbreak Released for the Mac
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Home > Antioxidant/Immune > Antioxidant/Immune > Maxi NAC Complex™
Maxi NAC Complex™
Mount a Maximum Defense
These statements have not been evaluated by the Food and Drug Administration. This product is not intended to diagnose, treat, cure, or prevent any diseases.
Directions: Take one (1) Maxicap™ once or twice daily, or as directed.
|Amount Per Serving
|Selenium (as sodium selenate)
|50 mcg
|Molybdenum (as sodium molybate)
|100 mcg
|N- Acetyl-L-Cysteine
|600 mg
|L-Glutathione, reduced
|100 mg
|Enzymax® (calcium carbonate, bromelain, papain, lipase, amylase, protease, silica)
|50 mg
Other Ingredients: Vegetable cellulose (capsule) , magnesium stearate, rice flour.
This product contains NO animal products, wheat, sugar, salt, yeast, gluten, milk, artificial flavors, colorings or preservatives.
Enzymax®, a vital digestive enzyme complex, is a registered trademark of Maxi Health Research LLC.
This product was manufactured in an NSF GMP Certified facility.
Store tightly closed in a cool, dry place. Keep out of reach of children.
These statements have not been evaluated by the Food and Drug Administration. This product is not intended to diagnose, treat, cure, or prevent any diseases.
I.U. : International Units
mg. : milligrams
mcg. : micrograms
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text:
Pleasanton, Calif. Safeway CEO Steve Burd confirmed on Thursday that it plans to test a new, smaller store format this year. The move comes as another smaller grocery-store concept, Tesco's new Fresh & Easy Neighborhood Market, expands in Safeway's home state of California.
Safeway is expected to open the first stores somewhere in Northern California, near its corporate home.