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|By Richard Spragg
Article Rating:
|November 16, 2012 12:00 PM EST
It was only fairly recently that I cracked the myth of multitasking, and found an attitude toward it that I am comfortable with.
These days, I see it this way. A housewife (if you'll forgive the 1950s stereotype that follows - but the idea of the multitasking superwoman is perfect for this purpose) needs to cook dinner, tidy up the lounge of toys and change a nappy. She leaves some sauce simmering on the stove, picks up a couple of soft toys and throws them in the toy chest, then takes care of the baby's nappy. She returns child to crib, washes her hands, picks up the books that were on the floor and slides them back into the bookshelf. She returns to the stove, adds some basil, reduces the heat and goes to answer the doorbell. This is the classic stereotype of multitasking. That skill, much maligned by the stereotype useless male - unable to sit upright and breath in and out at the same time - that results in incredible productivity.
But this is not really multitasking.
At no stage was the housewife engaged in two tasks at once, nor should she have been. True multitasking would have involved changing the nappy, while using the baby's legs to stir the sauce and kicking the toys and books one by one toward the place they were supposed to go. The result? Burned feet, nappies on the stove, books nowhere near the bookshelf and a lot of mess to clean up.
Thus stands the multitasking myth. Because what you're really talking about is not the ability to complete multiple tasks at once, but the ability to switch between tasks effectively, without hindering the effectiveness of your contribution to any of them. This is what you should focus on improving if you want to be a multitasker. How can you flip between jobs productively? Your working routine is bound to require it; nobody's working day ever allows them to focus on one thing only, but they are seldom required to actually do two things at once.
So multitasking remains one of the biggest myths in the modern workplace, whether that work place is an office, a construction site or a household.
That's not to say it doesn't exist, or that it can't be done. There are number of ways that you can multitask effectively, and putting some thought into structuring your day to allow for these real examples of multitasking is what will help to make you more efficient.
Here are a few things you can do that constitute real multitasking.
Schedule phone conversations when you're driving (hands free please.)
My car has some clever green tooth or blue eye thing that means I receive calls from a button on my steering wheel. But a $10 earpiece has much the same effect.If you have an hour long commute involving traffic (and if you're working on engineering jobs in Houston for example, I know you do) you can make it work for you. It doesn't have to be business; it can be anything that will save you time earlier or later in the day. Sit on hold with whichever bank is currently abusing your custom. Call Mom. If it's something you would have to find other time to do otherwise, it's saving you time. (Make sure you are complying with all legal responsibilities for safety reasons.)
Combine Audiobooks with basic physical tasks
Again, the car is good. But so is the bath, the kitchen while you're cooking dinner (one of my responsibilities at our place - who's 1950's now?) or the treadmill at the gym. You don't have to read, to get that book read. It was a big day for me when I realized that iPods weren't just for music. Audiobooks (that you pay for) or podcasts (that you don't) offer a vast range of opportunities to learn and develop during dead time, like when you're on the stationary bike, or boiling the water for the pasta.
Combine Conference Calls with almost anything
Be honest. A good number of conference calls require less than active participation. If I find myself on one of those calls, I look for the mute button and for something else to do. If I'm in my office at home, I'll do a wash load or clean the kitchen. The combination of mindless physical task and passive mental task is a good one. You should be careful not to try anything too engaging. It's difficult to build a PowerPoint presentation or write a detailed e-mail and stay on top of the subject matter of a conference call, even if you're not talking very often. You need to pay attention, but a physical task that requires no thought should allow that.
Multitasking can only be effectively achieved with the right balance of mindless physical tasks and stationary mental ones. As soon as anything blurs the lines on that distinction, you're in trouble. Beware overreaching. I suggest you take my word for the fact that stationary bikes and food preparation are not a good match. Weddings and audiobooks can also result in injuries of a different kind. Throughout this process, one must pay attention to what is potentially dangerous, or just plain inappropriate. It's easy to offend people if they should get the impression they don't have your full attention.
At the end of the day, which task you are neglecting, and which you are diligently carrying out is all a matter of perception. As my school chaplain once told me - "You can't smoke while you pray. But you can pray, while you smoke."
Multitasking suggestions and party fouls welcome in your comments...
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Artix Entertainment, LLC. (often shortened to AE) is an independent games development company that was Founded in 2002 by Adam Bohn.They mostly develops browser-based role-playing games but they also made some minigames. AdventureQuest was Artix Entertainment's first project.
Video gamesEdit
- AdventureQuest(2002)
- DragonFable(2006)
- MechQuest(2007)
- AdventureQuest Worlds(2008)
- WarpForce(2009)
- EpicDuel(2009)
- BladeHaven(2010)
- HeroSmash(2011)

subset: commoncrawl


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So, I thought I'd let you in on a couple examples of my random screwing around on the internet when I'm tired of looking at my work spreadsheets:
Following in Kate P's footsteps, I too am a wonderful 1930's wife.
As a 1930s wife, I am
87 out of 100. That's a lot. What with the supporting of the husband and the cooking of food and the hosting of friends. Not quite sure how I feel about that.
Last night Bubba and I were vegging out and watching a rerun of NCIS and Abby (the lab girl on the show) was playing with a computer program morphing two photos into one. So, of course I scoured the internet and found www.morphthing.com and morphed our faces. I was laughing so hard, tears were rolling down my cheeks. The morphed photo looked not unlike a primate with my eyes and nose and cheeks, and with Bubba's ears, eyebrows, chin, and hair.
I strongly suggest doing this with your significant other. I would post our morphed photos here, but I just can't bring myself to be humble enough to share it with you. Someday if you come over to my house and visit I might show you and we can have a good laugh.


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|FYI- Diaper boxes make great donation boxes. And yes, we've tried a LOT of brands of diapers.
Jared has a random extra day off work today so we are going to enjoy every second of it together before he leaves for football practice this evening. I hope everyone has a happy Monday!


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I'm so excited to share today's post with you because we're taking a peek inside the new and improved This Organized Life planner! The updated version will include a few new surprise printables, and the biggest change of all... the entire thing will now be available in the smaller A5 ... read more
DIY Peppermint Sugar Scrub & Free Printable Labels
I'm thrilled to be back today with our very first Adventures in Organizing reveal post and a new diy peppermint sugar scrub recipe... with free printables, of course! Earlier this month, I mentioned that I was teaming up with a few of my blogging friends for a new series all about how we organize ... read more
Ultimate Planner Giveaway & Free Printable 2017 Monthly Calendars (new A5 size!)
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2017 Monthly Calendar Free Printables
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2017 Calendar Free Printable
It feels crazy to write this, but the new year is just around the corner! I can't even believe it! Seriously, where have the first nine months of 2016 gone? I love fall, and the start of a new school year is almost like a mini New Year's to me. It's a chance for me to reevaluate my goals and ... read more
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Can we do the Hunger Games fanfics?Loading editor
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Hello! I'm a member of Wikia's Community Support team. We're excited to have FanStories Wikia as part of the Wikia community!
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rule_of_thumbs's photo on Instagram
Mens Fashion Guide — via Instagram http://ift.tt/1df5xhA
In my journey through online stores, I discovered 18 lovely pairs of boots. Each of these boots will give me a touch of elegance.
The 25 Best Gym Shoes for Men
Denim Fit Guide | The Hip Store
Three Cheese Chicken Alfredo Bake - A delicious pasta bake with chicken, Alfredo sauce and lots of cheese!
Azores,Portugal: Almost moved here when my husband was in the Air Force. Would love to visit!
Azores, Portugal by scott1e2310 via Flickr
Azores-Portugal-European-Best-Destinations. Don't forget when traveling that electronic pickpockets are everywhere. Always stay protected with an Rfid Blocking travel wallet. https://igogeer.com for more information. #igogeer


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She is the aunt of Jake and Nick Armstrong and the wife of Jake and Nick's Uncle. She and her husband have been raising Jake and Nick since their parents' death. It is currently unknown whether she is Sara's or Richard Armstrong's sister, or whether she is related to them through her husband.
She is possibly a member of the Armstrong Family.


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This property has been removed by the agent. It may be let or temporarily removed from the market
Property Description
Letting information:
|Added on Rightmove:
|23 November 2016 (271 days ago)
Key features
- 8 Bedrooms
- 1 Reception
- Ten Minutes from the University
- Flat Screen TV Provided
- Half Rent in the Summer
- Inclusive of Bills
- Student
Full description
** INCLUDES UTILITY BILLS ** Huge eight bed student house ** Fantastic OPEN PLAN living/kitchen area ** Two bathrooms and three W/C`s ** Only £200 deposit per person **
Nicholas Humphreys are delighted to bring this HUGE eight double bedroom student property to the market.
- INCLUSIVE OF UTILITY BILLS (Gas, water, electric and internet)
- Two bathrooms and a third W/C
- Fantastic HUGE open plan living/kitchen area with Island/breakfast bar
The property briefly comprises of;
Entrance hallway
Huge open plan living/kitchen area
First floor -
Shower room with W/C
Separate W/C
Middle bedroom
Rear bedroom
Two bedrooms at the front of the property
Top floor -
Three more double bedrooms
£300 deposit per person
Half retainer rent for non-occupation over July and August
1st July - 30th June
Rent paid monthly
More information from this agent
To view this media, please visit the on-line version of this page at www.rightmove.co.uk/property-to-rent/property-45616944.html
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Best cities for dating over 40
Some Christian Singles have turned to internet dating only to find that many people on online dating sites are not even single and do not share their Christian Faith.
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Nomad Pod Pro Apple Watch 2 / 1 Portable Charger With Lightning - Grey
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Nomad Pod Pro3101Its good and easy charge both Apple watch and iphone
Bipon Nomad Pod pro London 7th February 2016
- See All Reviews
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|Part No
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Looks like Greenpark Gardens is no longer available on Rent.com which means this information is likely out of date.
Washer & Dryer Connections...Large Floor Plans...Great Location, Great Value...
Great Location, Great Value...large two bedroom two bath...roommate's dream! King Size Master Bedroom With Bath, Open Floor Plan and We Welcome Seniors. Enjoy comfortable living in the South County area. You will be only minutes away from Interstates I-270 and 55 and a short distance from movies, dining supermarkets, mall and banking and more. We're located near South County Mall, between Union and Tesson Ferry, Lindberg Gravois and within minutes of Clydesdale Park Walking Trails. Your two-bedroom home boasts two full baths, a fully equipped kitchen, washer and dryer connections, wall-to-wall carpeting, central air conditioning, and is cable ready. You will enjoy the quiet country setting with dusk to dawn street lighting. Call today for your personal tour.
Lease Terms: 12 months. Pet Policy: 2 pets maximum, $200 non-refundable pet fee per pet, $20/month pet fee per pet. Some restricted dog breeds include: Pit Bull, Akita, Chow, Wolf Mix, Rottweiler.
Pets Accepted. Call for service animal policy.
80 units
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STAFFORD SPRINGS, CT - Joan F. Porcaro, 80, of Stafford Springs, CT, passed away on Friday, April 18, 2014 at Johnson Memorial Hospital surrounded by her loving family. She was born in Worcester, MA, daughter of the late Edward and Mary (Fuller) Duffy. Joan retired as a secretary from Nichols College, and was a member of St. Edward Parish. She is survived by her four children and their spouses, Fred and Patricia Porcaro of Auburn, MA, Pamela and James Riley of Auburn, MA, Darlene and Dave Aiello of Charlton, MA and Kim and Joe Direnzo of Stafford Springs, CT; her cherished 14 grandchildren and 9 great grandchildren; and several nieces and nephews. She was predeceased by her two sisters, Beverly Kline and Patricia Mantyla.
Her funeral will be held on Thursday, April 24, 2014, with a procession forming by 9 A.M. at Introvigne Funeral Home, Inc., 51 East Main St., Stafford Springs, CT, followed by a Mass of Christian Burial at 10 A.M. at St. Edward Church, High St., Stafford Springs, CT. Burial will follow in St. Edward Cemetery, Stafford Springs, CT. Calling hours are on Wednesday from 5-8 P.M. at the funeral home. Memorial donations may be made to the American Heart Association, P.O. Box 417005, Boston, MA 02241. For online condolences or directions, please visit:


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Joy is a choice. It is a matter of attitude that stems from one's confidence in God - that He is at work, that He is in full control, that He is in the midst of whatever has happened, is happening, and will happen.
Charles R. Swindol
Friday, June 22, 2012
Posted by Gary Dean Masters at 5:36 AM
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March 2, 2016
The Standard Gauge Railway (SGR) is a flag ship project under Kenya's Vision 2030 development blueprint that seeks to simplify passenger and cargo transport cost effectively across the Mombasa – Malaba. The Kes. 327B railway line is designed to carry 22 million tonnes a year of cargo (approximately 40% of the Mombasa Port throughput) by 2035. The freight trains will have a capacity of 216 containers ferried at an average speed of 80 km/h. The SGR project is proposed to connect Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda and South Sudan. Ultimately, the SGR will inch Kenya closer to the vision's ambition to make Kenya a middle class economy by 2030. The construction of the 473 kilometres line commenced in October 2013, and latest reports from the Ministry of Transport determine that the railway will be ready for use ahead of its December 2017 deadline.
Contrary to public opinion, the SGR will provide a much needed boost to road transporters in Kenya. The SGR is predicted to enhance efficiency and reduce the time and cost of cargo movement from the busy Mombasa Port. The global standard for cargo freight logistics is 60-40 in favor of rail. However, due to current inefficiencies in the rail system, Kenya is yet to achieve this standard. Job Kemboi, the General Manager in Siginon Global Logistics Tanzania says "The SGR is not a threat but a complement to road transporters. The SGR is most suitable to handle containers destined to Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda and Burundi."
Currently, the Kenyan transport industry consists of approximately 15,000 trucks that are at times over whelmed by the amount of cargo discharged at the port of Mombasa for onward road transportation to serve customers along the Northern corridor and the hinterland. The SGR will provide an advantage of fast and efficient cargo movement. Along the Mombasa –Nairobi stretch, the SGR will move cargo in 8 hours from destination, a trip that would often take 2 – 3 days if one was using the current rail network. This will lead to the reduction in the cost of transport and ultimately reduce the cost of doing business in Kenya. In addition, with faster movement of goods, there is enhanced cargo security due to reduced handling and exposure while on transit. Job Kemboi adds; "Once the new railway line is in place, it will offer a secure, cost effective and efficient cargo solutions. For us, we will be delighted to ensure our customers benefit from SGR as an alternative to their logistics needs.
With the reduction of trucks plying the Mombasa – Naivasha highway, more trucks will focus on serving customers in the hinterland, away from the Northern Corridor, this will likely result in reduced traffic jams particularly on the Mombasa – Nairobi stretch, which is often been blamed on cargo trucks in the course of business. Siginon Global Logistics is one company that has recently acquired over 100 trucks due to the increased demand for cargo transportation. The additional trucks are a testament to the confidence that truck operators have in their business despite the SGR commissioning. Job adds "We have a number of customers who are located inland, away from the Northern corridor who will still need road transportation. We are confident that the SGR is a partner and not a threat to road transporters."
It is envisioned that the SGR comes with additional benefits not only for transporters but the regions macro economy. For instance, due to the various stations established along the Northern corridor myriad of employment opportunities will arise with the stations' construction to running and maintenance. Areas that are positioned around these stations will likely see the development if towns leading to growth of economies and infrastructure development
Job concludes, "Once the new railway line is ready, we expect to have cost effective and more efficient movement of goods and services along the northern corridor. It's not really about us but about the customer and we are in a position to offer all options."


text: Rent an eBike Rent Now Shop for eBikes Shop Now Come Ride With Us! Current eBikes has monthly eBike Group Rides – click to our MeetUp calendar for more details. Join On MeetUp! Electric Bike Clearance Sale ! Haibike SDURO Trekking RC – 2016 Haibike XDURO Trekking RX – 2016 Haibike SDURO Cross SM – 2016 Haibike SDURO Trekking SL – 2016 Xtracycle EdgeRunner 10E – Floor model Sale !! Amazing Values - Up to $1,400 Off! At Current eBikes, every bike comes with FREE Lifetime Standard Tune-Ups !! CALL TODAY "Electric bikes are a great tool to expand bicycling in Santa Cruz County. For people who need to carry kids, groceries or tools, travel long distances or need some help on our hills, electric bikes can make bicycling a viable option. We are happy to see more opportunities for clean transportation in Santa Cruz." Amelia Conlen - Executive Director, Bike Santa Cruz County Contact us with your questions Contact Us Interested in sales and special events? Sign up for our newsletter! Please enter your name. Please enter a valid email address. Subscribe! Something went wrong. Please check your entries and try again.


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|Peru Recommended Tours
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|Cusco & Machupicchu
8d / 7n
|Machupicchu & Titicaca Lake
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|Machupicchu & Nazca
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12d / 11n
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13d /12n
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14d /13n
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16d /15n
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22d / 21n
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8d / 7n
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9d / 8n
|Relax in Cusco
10d / 9n
|Peru & Comfort
12d / 11n
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15d / 14n
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16d / 15n
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Cusco Tourism
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Cusco is the most visited department in Peru. It is home to the city of Cusco, the Sacred Valley of the Incas, and the citadel of Machu Picchu, one of the Seven Wonders of the World. The city of Cusco was the capital of the Incan Empire and was placed on the UNESCO World Heritage Site by the United Nations in 1983. Incan monuments are littered throughout the city and without a doubt some of the most impressive in Peru. Additionally, after conquest by the Spanish, they attempted to bring their architectural and cultural influence to the city and rid of the Incan presence. Their goal was only partially successful as their architecture and culture did remain however with the occurrence of earthquakes and other natural event over the centuries, the more well-built Incan buildings remained in accompaniment of the Spanish architecture. This is what has given Cusco its unique blend of culture. Being the most touristically developed area in Peru, tourism is by far the largest industry and infrastructure is extremely well developed. The city has thousands of hotel rooms ranging in quality from hostels to five-star hotels. Gastronomy is representative of all of Peru as well as local cuisine. International cuisine is also largely present in the city's many restaurants. The city has a wide variety of languages due to the large tourist presence with many common languages spoken other than Spanish being English, German, and French. In addition to these languages, Quechua is spoken by many residents of the city along with Spanish. The city is a hub for Peruvian tourism and most agencies have offices in this city. Major attractions in and around the city include the historic downtown with colonial architecture and the main plaza, Sacsayhuamán, the palace of Inca Roca, neighborhood of San Blas, and the archeological sites of Qenko, Pukapukara, and Tambomachay. The Sacred Valley has a multitude of picturesque towns such as Písac, Maras, and Chinchero. Additionally, a variety of archeological sites such as Ollantaytambo are located in the valley. Arguably the most popular tourist attraction in Peru is located a few hours from Cusco by train, the citadel of Machu Picchu. These ruins are beyond description and are the most beautiful and important legacy of the Incan people. The site is one of the Seven Wonders of the World and a UNESCO World Heritage Site. Machu Picchu can be accessed by the PeruRail train or a hike on the Inca Trail..
|Getting there & away
|Land :
|By bus & Taxi
The journey times given here are only approximate and apply only if road conditions are good. Long delays are likely during the rainy season, especially from January to April.
All international services depart from Cuzco's main long-distance bus terminal.
|Long distance
Terminal Terrestre, the town's main long-distance bus terminal (departure tax US$0.30), is 2km southeast of the Plaza de Armas, several blocks off Av El Sol. This is where you'll find all of the major luxury bus companies, including Cruz del Sur (22 1909) and Ormeño (22 7501), as well as scores of smaller económico (economic) bus operators, too. Buses to most major cities leave from this terminal, though buses for more unusual destinations (eg the Amazon jungle) still leave from elsewhere, so check carefully in advance.
|Regional Services
Minibuses to Pisac (US$0.60, one hour) and Urubamba (US$0.90, two hours) leave frequently from Av Tullumayo, south of Av Garcilaso, from approximately 5:30am until 8pm. Roughly during those same hours, there are speed-demon colectivo (shared) taxis that leave when full bound for Urubamba (US$1.50, 1½ hours) via Chinchero (US$1, 45 minutes), as well as minibuses to the same destinations; you'll find them along the 300 block of Grau, near the Puente Grau (Grau Bridge). To get to Ollantaytambo, it's easiest to change at Urubamba, or you can try and catch an infrequent direct bus from Puente Grau (US$1, 2½ hours). Slower highway buses to Quillabamba stop in Ollantaytambo , too, but you'll have to pay the full fare (US$4.50, 2½ hours).
|By car & Motorcycle
Given all the headaches and potential hazards of driving yourself around, consider hiring a taxi for the day – it's cheaper than renting a car anyway.
|By Train
Cuzco has two train stations. Estación Huanchac, near the end of Av El Sol, serves Juliaca and Puno on Lake Titicaca. Estación San Pedro, next to the Mercado Central, serves Ollantaytambo in the Sacred Valley and Machu Picchu. The two stations are unconnected, so it's impossible to travel directly from Puno toMachu Picchu. Make reservations and buy tickets as far ahead of time as possible. Click to www.perurail.com for updated schedules, fares and reservations.
|By Air
Nearly all departures and arrivals from Cuzco's Aeropuerto Internacional Alejandro Velasco Astete (code CUZ; 22 2611), a few kilometers south of the city center, are in the morning, because climatic conditions in the afternoon typically make landings and takeoffs more difficult. Several airlines offer regular daily flights to and from Lima. These may get canceled or lumped together with other flights during quiet periods. Your best bet is to reserve the earliest flight available, as later ones are the most likely to be delayed or canceled. A few domestic carriers also have regularly scheduled flights to Puerto Maldonado, Juliaca and Arequipa.
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text: Science & Tech 2 June 2011 Leader: The big question Sign up for our weekly email * At the end of the weekly NS Interview we ask our subjects - politicians, writers, musicians - a simple question: Are we all doomed? For our annual science issue, there could be no better question to put to a group of leading scientists and thinkers in Britain and beyond. Some - including the Astronomer Royal, Martin Rees - are cheerfully optimistic about the fate of the planet and its people. Others, such as the Nobel prizewinner Andre Geim, are less so, citing the world's rapidly increasing population and our inability to take adequate steps to protect our environment. The range of answers offers an insight into the minds working at the forefront of modern science. And one message is clear: it will be down to all of us to save ourselves. Subscribe from just £1 per issue This article first appeared in the 06 June 2011 issue of the New Statesman, Are we all doomed? More


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First World Hotel Reviews And Detailed Information At FirstWorldHotelReview.com Offers Booking Option FirstWorldHotelReview.com is a website that offers information and reviews of the First World Hotel in Malaysia, with an integrated tool for easy reservation or booking. Malaysia (I- Newswire) April 03, 2012 - Luxurious as they may sound, vacations are a must. Taking days off the chores of daily living and deciding to relax in a home away from home is necessary for people to unwind and regain their strength. A recommended destination for that must- have vacation is Malaysia. Amid the cosmopolitan cities featuring all cultural and life- style flavors and fragrances of Asia, the favorite vacation destination in the continent offers a cauldron of tropical rainforest, hills and magnificent islands that make communing with nature a beautiful experience. In addition, Malaysia is an ideal place to visit throughout the year due to excellent climate. Apart from the beauty that it is, Malaysia boasts of excellent accommodation choices, with First World Hotel leading the pack. FirstWorldHotelReview.com is a website that offers in- depth information about First World Hotel to assist visitors as they decide to make the reservation. Offering reviews of the hotel, the website also works as a platform for online booking. According to FirstWorldHotelReview.com, First World Hotel is one of the largest establishments that loom over First World Plaza located at the heart of Pahang. Spanning over 500,000 square feet, the 3- star hotel adorns its gates with tropical rainforests that offer a unique way of welcoming and making anyone feel special. Fully equipped with luxurious rooms, state- of- the- art amenities, top- of- the- line furnishing and décor, as well as first- rate housekeeping services, First World Hotel offers real value at its finest. FirstWorldHotelReview.com notes that as much as First World Hotel itself charms guests, its surrounding lush green yard, theme parks, shopping mall, food courts, casinos, golf course, gymnasium and a lovely Spanish courtyard enthrall visitors. For gastronomical charm, FirstWorldHotelReview.com recommends the prominent restaurants and bars in First World Hotel that include Torcello's, Hainan restaurant, Shanghai 10 and Lake View Seafood restaurant. First World Café is also the largest café in Malaysia. Seemingly touring visitors around Malaysia, FirstWorldHotelReview.com also allows visitors to check out other top hotels in the country, such as the Ipoh Hotel and Port Dickson hotels. Tourists planning to explore Malaysia should visit http:// www.firstworldhotelreview.com/ and learn more about First World Hotel to ensure an accommodation that makes the trip worth cherishing.
Additional Resources About FirstWorldHotelReview.com: FirstWorldHotelReview.com is a website that reviews the First World Hotel in Mayalsia. Company Contact Information: FirstWorldHotelReview.com Media Relations Published in: Travel Tags: Port Dickson Hotels first world hotel ipoh hotel Published on: April 03, 2012 Original Source: First World Hotel Reviews And Detailed Information At FirstWorldHotelReview.com Offers Booking Option
Published on Apr 3, 2012
Tourists planning to explore Malaysia should visit http:// www.firstworldhotelreview.com/ and learn more about First World Hotel to ensure a...


text: Booters Two booters try to explain their place in the world. Bolen J Miller April 27, 2012 1.7k Views More Info Full Credits Bolen J Miller Uploader Additional Credits Directed by Lucas GeorgeWritten by Bolen Miller Stats & Data 21Funny1Die 1,686 Views April 27, 2012 Published Category Sketch Clean Comedy Parody Tags Booter booters provo car booter tow truck tow impound towed towing funny comedy parody mockumentary documentary the spin spin llama fest superbowl 2012 justin beiber ryan gosling ryan gosling hero Up Next: Country Chronic Stoners Spread AUTOPLAY Up Next In: 10 Country Chronic Stoners Spread F*ck Your Friends Systems! Crips for Romney Reverse Intervention Follow Browse Related Comments 5+ more View All ▶ Bolen J Miller Vaguely Related Videos Vaguely Related Pics & Words Advertisement Tags: Booter booters provo car booter tow truck Advertisement


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(And urbanization, hence "Sex and the City", but more on that in a moment!)
One of the most…interesting presentations at the Casey Conference was Harry Dent.
Harry is the founder and president of the H.S. Dent Foundation and is a strong believer in using demographics to predict consumer behavior and to forecast economic trends.
He has been in the prediction business for decades, which granted must be an extremely difficult business to be in—I know Doug Casey and Rick Rule never make a prediction with both an event and a date, because the future is simply too complex and uncertain, and I personally shy away from anything even remotely resembling a crystal ball here on Kung Fu Finance as I am quite positive that the ironic nature of the universe will love nothing more than to mock me and "show" me just how wrong I am!
Harry, however, has no such qualms (much like Porter Stansberry, who recently made the bold prediction of $40 oil by the end of this year), and to his credit, Harry has made some spectacular calls over the years:
- He accurately forecasted the unanticipated "boom" in the 1990's in his 1993 book, The Great Boom Ahead
- He called for the next great depression to start in 2008 in his aptly-titled book, The Great Depression Ahead in 2008
- He correctly forecasted in his 1989 book Our Power to Predict that Japan was about to enter a long-term deflation of stocks and real estate that would last more than a decade, and that the DOW would reach 10,000 (both of which seemed inconceivable at the time)
However, before you get too excited, realize that he has also made some spectacularly not-so-good calls:
- In 1999, near the tail end of one of the longest and most powerful bull markets in U.S. history, Harry released his book, The Roaring 2000's Investor, confidently predicting that the Dow would hit 44,000 by 2008 (as we know, he was off by 30,000 points or so, and that's going by the pre-crash 2007 high of 14,000+.)
- During that time he also argued forcefully for NASDAQ stocks and said that "the technology revolution will favor Internet-oriented companies," but within three years the NASDAQ lost three-quarters of its value and the leading index of Internet stocks plummeted 89%.
- He also published his book The Next Great Bubble Boom: How to Profit from the Greatest Boom in History: 2006-2010, which we know was clearly not a boom—that was our recent catastrophic financial crisis and the biggest stock market bust since the Great Depression. In his book he argued that the Dow would hit 40,000 by 2009 (it instead hit its lowest point in more than a decade, plummeting to 6547 in March of 2009.)
His latest book, The Great Crash Ahead, predicts that government stimulus will fail and that we are in for a deflationary collapse (as opposed to Jim Rickards' inflation argument.
It's fascinating to me…after listening to them both, they are actually more or less in agreement about several important points—they both believe another crisis will occur soon and that governments and central bankers will react by printing more money. Where they do disagree the most is on whether or not the governments and bankers will be successful in their inflating.
Jim Rickards thinks central banks will run the printing presses as far as the eye can see, and Harry Dent believes that they will try, but that they will eventually be forced to stop either by the market or by the population who will finally realize all of this printing is insane.
I gave you Jim Rickards' side last week, so this week I present you with Harry's side (so you can make an informed decision on what you believe after hearing both cases!).
So without further ado, here is Harry Dent:
Harry Dent – A Decade of Volatility
I may not agree with everything Harry Dent says, but he is definitely an entertaining speaker.
He cut right to the chase—as I said above he thinks we are in for deflation in the years to come, and he did his best to illustrate exactly why (to a tough audience by the way…it's no secret that Casey Research, like Jim Rickards, leans more toward inflation in the future, although they can also see a case for short-term deflation first, followed by inflation).
Harry brought up Lacy Hunt and John Maudin's charts of the world's greatest debt bubbles, in 1873-74 and 1929-32, and asked what followed those debt bubbles, inflation or deflation?
(Kung Fu Girl Note: Yes, those were both deflationary collapses, but let's not forget the infamous Weimar hyper-inflation in Germany, among others, also brought on by too much debt!)
Harry is definitely a categorizer of people, and tends to generalize human behavior (he studies demographics after all, which does exactly that, and is known for his core premise of "Demographics are Destiny").
At the Casey Conference (as in many investment conferences, I am learning), there were many more men than women in the audience. Harry looked out and noticed this and stated that women would "get what he said" much more quickly than the men would for two reasons:
- His company looks at the economy in terms of the family life-cycle of spending and the typical things people do as they age, and Harry says that women understand that right away, and
- Men tend to think that they already understand economics and politics, and that thousands of years of evolution have taught men "if you don't look like you know what you're doing, you don't get laid."
(Once again, no mincing of words at the Casey Conference!) 🙂
He recited the old adage about no matter how lost men get, they will never, ever ask for directions, and said that is also why it takes one billion sperm to hit just one egg.
His point was to try to open the men in the room's minds and to have them suspend what they thought they already "knew" about economics for 30 minutes and to give him a listen.
He brought up the fact that his company predicted the Japanese decline in the late 80's when economists said that Japan would be the #1 economy, but Harry said he knew that it was "simply demographically impossible".
He also said that his company predicted the current crisis and downturn 20 years ago.
(Kung Fu Girl note: this is true, and I do believe that demographics are a part of the economic picture—I just don't believe they are the whole picture. Robert Kiyosaki also predicted the stock market crash of 2008 based partly on demographics, but drew entirely different investment conclusions than does Harry…it's always interesting to get differing perspectives but make sure to always think for yourself and draw your own conclusions!)
Harry's company looks at different factors than most economists. He said that he has many disagreements with economists because most economists tell you not to listen to anyone who tries to predict events past the next election cycle.
Harry conceded that predicting short-term events is difficult. Politics can make short-term market swings "unbelievable" (as can many other things…), but he says that predicting the long-term is a "piece of cake".
Harry believes that you can see all of the key economic events and trends that will impact your life and business and investments over the rest of your lifetime, just by looking at demographics.
Why do economists miss this?
Well, according to Harry, economists miss this because they do diligent research but don't "live in the real world" and tend to focus on the symptoms of the problem instead of the causes (for example he said that the money supply is a symptom, not a cause).
(Kung Fu Girl Note: In general, I am one of the most agreeable people you will ever meet, but I found myself wanting to contradict him or say, "But what about…" after many of his points!)
Harry professed that economists get so caught up in all of their detailed indicators that they end up missing the forest for the trees (and he made a joke about economists being people who aspired to be accountants but just didn't have the personality…).
So what's happening today?
According to Harry, a few things, and they are really simple.
He said that he is not a currency expert nor is he a political expert, and said that was "difficult stuff".
Instead, he prefers demographics, which he says is very simple and powerful.
One of the most important numbers in demographics is age 46, which is the peak spending age of the average household in this country and in most developed countries around the world.
Harry said that he knows all types of events about people via demographics from cradle-to-grave, such as when people spend money, earn money, and save money.
He said that if you don't understand demographics, then you don't understand why the world slowed in the 1970's, and in the 1930's, and now.
According to Harry, this happens every 39-40 years, right on schedule, and yet most people are completely caught by surprise.
(Kung Fu Girl Note: again on demographics…I think they are interesting and certainly a part of the picture, but not the whole picture, and you always need to be careful when making massive generalizations about large groups of people. Then again, maybe I just find too often that I am the "weird exception to the rule", LOL!) 🙂
He then moved on to talk about debt, and because his company is consumer-focused, they look mainly at private debt (not government debt).
Harry said that most countries around the world have 3-4 times as much private debt as public debt. He pointed out that our 2008 crisis was not a sovereign debt crisis; it was a private debt crisis, and said that he would show us many reasons why the end game is deflation.
He said that he knows that the government is inflating (they are creating money and new debt…new currency units) but that the private sector is deflating, and he said that the private sector is much bigger than the public sector. (He claimed that 80% of our GDP is attributable to the private sector and that private debt is $42 trillion vs. our public debt of $14 trillion)
(Kung Fu Girl note: according to the US Debt Clock, U.S. government debt is $15.7 trillion, and that does not include unfunded government liabilities, which add another $118.9 trillion)
Harry says the private sector is deleveraging, just like "every other debt-bubble in history", although he said that this is an unprecedented time because we have never seen governments with both the tools and the determination to fight deflation.
He said that Bernanke, like most economists, has never had a "real" job—he's studied the Great Depression, he's studied deflation, and he knows deflation is nasty.
Harry explained deflation using a sushi example—e.g. what would your body do if you had eaten bad sushi? It would flush it out as quickly as possible, and this is what our system is doing with our bad debt.
Harry said this is what we did in the 1930's…we went from almost 200% debt-to-GDP to 50% debt-to-GDP in only 3 years!
He asked us if we wanted to keep $42 trillion in bull***t debt, and said that's what the government is recommending.
He then turned to Japan, asking how they are doing now 20 years after their crash. (Obviously quite bad, unfortunately).
Their stock market is still down 75%, and he pointed out that Japan doesn't have an inflation problem though they have been stimulating and easing for years now.
Harry was told for decades that real estate couldn't go down, whether in California, Miami, Vancouver, or Sydney, but housing is still dropping like a rock, and cannot seem to bounce despite the lowest interest rates in history and the strongest stimulus programs in history.
The Fed is fighting deflation purposely, because deflation is the trend, and governments can of course fight the trend, but what Harry does is he looks at the fundamentals and at what governments are doing and then decides whether the governments are going to fail or not.
He says that these stimulus plans will fail because according to Harry, 92 million baby boomers want to save, not spend.
(Obviously he hasn't met Kung Fu Grandma, LOL!) 🙂
He said "old people don't buy houses" and showed us a chart on the "Future Demographics of Real Estate":
- Top of real estate boom (age 50): The typical upper-middle class family is in a 4000 sf. McMansion
- 10 years later (age 60): They downsize into a 2000 sf. townhouse (the kids are gone and don't visit)
- 10 years after that (age 70): 200 sf. nursing home
- 10 years after that (age 80): 20 sf. casket
Harry pointed to the chart and said that is the future of real estate and is why after 21 years, real estate still hasn't recovered in Japan.
He said that it's not enough that Japan hasn't had babies for decades and that they don't like immigration and have committed "kamikaze demographic suicide."
He mentioned reading a study recently where 35 – 40% of young people in Japan, male and female, are not interested in sex, and that they have given up because the economy is too hard and they simply have no time for sex or marriage.
He closed this section by saying, "So for anyone who thinks Japan is going to turn around… Demographics is destiny."
More Demographics
Harry believes that people do predictable things as they age, and because of this "demographic effect" he can predict trends decades (not years) in advance.
He said the long-term is easy (all the volatility happens in the short-term), and if you ask any scientist they can tell you for certain that in 80,000 years we are going to have another ice age, and that in 5 billion years the sun will burn out!
He then showed us his 46-year leading indicator, which he uses to predict the peak in spending of the average household against the stock market.
He said that the baby boom birth index started to rise in 1937, and it was 1961 before it fell.
- If you add 46 to 1937 you get a boom that starts in 1983, and
- If you add 46 to 1961 you get a boom that ends in 2007
Harry says that demographics matter more than ever because we've never seen a generation this large all around the world (the baby boom generation).
In fact, the only country that didn't have a baby boom after WWI was Japan, which is why Harry believes they slowed down first.
He argued that Japan had an enormous stock bubble that burst and a housing bubble even larger than ours that burst, and their government wasn't able to stop it, so why on earth do we think that our government can stop ours?
And Japan came into their crisis with huge budget and trade surpluses and savings rates of 18%, but we came into ours bankrupt, so we are in for an even worse time than Japan.
Harry said that contrary to popular belief the echo-boom generation is not bigger than the baby boom generation. They are the first generation in history that was not born in higher numbers than the generation before, even when you count immigration.
Harry believes that we will see another boom around 2020 – 2023, but that it will not be like the boom from 1983 – 2007, because all western countries around the world are slowing, some faster than others.
Harry says that China's workforce starts to shrink in 2015 and shrinks as far as the eye can see.
Harry believes Gordon Chang is right and that China will see the biggest crash in history quite soon and then will grow somewhere along the lines of 3 – 4% after that.
More Demographics
He then launched into some more demographic generalizations…
- "Old people don't spend money, they bribe the grandkids and go on cruises"
- "Soccer mom cars have 20,000 miles on them vs. old people cars with only 4000 miles"
- "Young people cost everything and produce nothing—that is inflation in people terms"
- "Why did we have high inflation in the 70's? Because baby boomers were in school, drunk, spending their parents' money…that was the lowest productivity decade in the last century!"
(KFG Note: I'm not trying to slam him—those were his words, you can get the audio from the great folks in the Casey organization and give a listen yourself…) 🙂
He then explained the last few decades according to demographics.
He explained the 1970's:
"We had worsening recession, the old Bob Hope generation was over their spending cycle and baby boomers were entering the economy en masse at great expense…it cost a lot of money to raise young people and incorporate them into the workforce."
And then the '80's:
"Stagflation…suddenly in the early 80's the economy started growing like crazy and inflation fell"—which Harry attributed to the baby boomers transitioning from being "expensive rebellious young people, hippies", to "highly productive young new families, yuppies" (He made another joke about "cocaine to rogaine")
(KFG Note: Again, that is interesting, and certainly a part of what happened I'm sure, but he completely ignored the fact that a lot more was happening then, like going off the gold standard, the Vietnam War, and much more…)
The Inflationary Effect of Young People
He then put up a chart showing Labor Force Growth with a 2 ½ year lag, which he finds highly correlated to young people moving into the workforce and old people moving out and retiring.
He said young people moving into the workforce is inflationary, and old people moving out of the workforce is deflationary.
He admitted that inflation is a complex topic affected by currency swings, economic swings, food, oil prices, etc., but he instructed us to "look at the correlation with none of that included!"
I wish I could show you the chart—it did look quite correlated (however, even I remember from science class way back when that correlation does not equal cause).
He asked us "how did I find this indicator?" and then said…
"By accident!" and said that is the way any entrepreneur does but will never admit.
(I am not kidding—he honestly said that!)
He said that he saw workforce growth on one side and inflation on the other side and simply put them together with about a 20-year lag, because that is when people enter the workforce.
And then once these young people enter the workforce, businesses have to invest in them, providing offices, technology, equipment, and training, but then about 2 ½ years later these young people start producing more than they consume. (Hence the 2 ½ year lag on his chart).
So, he said that once the baby boomers arrived in the workforce in the late 70's, we had the greatest boom in history as they grew up and had children and bought houses and got married and worked and increased their incomes.
(KFG Note: no argument from me—the baby boomers are a force to be reckoned with!)
He said there is a huge difference between a 46-year-old and a 19-year-old and asked us if we would rather have an economy full of 46-year-olds or 19-year-olds, and said that inflation is highest in emerging countries because they have more young people than old people.
In the 1970's, young people dominated our economy. Harry believes that he can project this out roughly two decades in advance and predict the number of 20-year-olds that will enter the workforce and the number of 63-year-olds that will retire.
These numbers have held up for decades and he thinks they will stretch out further, because the baby boomers have realized that they can't retire because they don't have the money (he said that their house didn't keep going up at 15% per year, which was their retirement plan).
The Slowing of Our Workforce
He said that the baby boomers are a spoiled generation. (Sorry all of my Kung Fu Aunties and Uncles, LOL!)
He said the boomers grew up in the happy days of the 1950's and 1960's and the only difficult economy they saw was the 1970's (and then they were "drunk in college and didn't really notice".)
This indicator told Harry that baby boomers would be retiring from the workforce faster than young people would be entering, and that therefore workforce growth would slow. Workforce growth was:
- 1970's – 4%
- 1980's – 3%
- 1990's – 2%
- 2000's – 1%
And now Harry says it will be zero and yet Mitt Romney thinks he is going to create 11 million jobs…Harry says not a chance!
He went on to say that Bill Clinton did not cause the boom in the 90's, and that Harry predicted the balanced budget in 1992 by demographics.
He believes that oil will go down in price, like Porter, and launched into a discussion of commodity cycles.
Commodity Cycles
Harry has studied commodity cycles in history (KFG Note: So have I, and Mike Maloney is a huge student of these) and that every 29 – 30 years they peak like a clock.
(He said: 1920, 1949-1951 double-peak, 1980, and 2008-2011 another double-peak).
Harry said that his company sees commodity prices going down, like Gordon Chang, because China is going to slow down after their massive bubble bursts and that China alone is consuming 50% of the industrial metals.
Speaking of China…
He said that their slowing economy is deflationary, but that the deleveraging of debt is really deflationary!
Fundamentally, babies are the key to the future, and China is a very large, fast-growing country (at least it was up until recently…) that has not been having babies for decades.
Harry says that China is the first emerging country that is going to age before it gets rich, and that the Chinese people are not as rich as we think they are.
He said that we see all of their brightest and smartest people come over to the U.S., but that their per capita GDP is 8,000 vs. 50,000 for the U.S.
With four times the people they are still only 35% the size of our economy…and Harry went as far as to guarantee that they will not overtake our economy by 2020.
But he did say that China will still grow from urbanization, and he believes that the emerging world is where all of the demographic growth is in the future.
And now, finally, onto sex!
Harry believes that the birth index (adjusted for immigration) is the leading indicator for all types of things:
- Inflation…a 20-year lag
- Birth…the average parent has their first child at age 28
- First house…age 31
- Upgraded house…age 37 – 42
- Travel…age 50 is the peak
- Invest the most…age 54
- Highest net worth…age 64
- Retire…age 63
- Camping equipment…age 39
- Life insurance…age 58
- etc.
People take on the most debt when they buy their biggest house, age 37 to 42, and mortgage debt peaks at age 41 and declines the rest of their life. Right now, the Fed is trying to get people to borrow more money and buy more houses but Harry says that is just not going to happen.
This all depends on the birth index, so Harry says,
"If you want to understand the economy on a deeper level than any economist ever has, including today, just understand what has to happen before people are born…somebody needs to have sex. So it is actually sex that drives our economy." — Harry Dent
(He then joked that if economists ever actually had sex they would probably understand more about it!) 🙂
Sex + 9 months = baby + 46 = peak impact on the economy.
I am going to stop there because this is so. very. long! (Typically my articles are about 800 – 1000 words, but Harry packed a lot in, and believe it or not this was only about half of his talk!).
In the future I can just summarize and hit the key points for you, but since I'm such a nerdy notetaker I thought you might appreciate more of the blow-by-blow so you can draw your own conclusions (but he was really long-winded!).
So I am dying to hear…what do you think about Harry Dent and his use of demographics to predict the future? Please let me know in the comments…I would love to hear your thoughts!
Thanks so much for reading (especially today's massive missive!) and for being a part of our Kung Fu Finance community!
To your financial success,
—Kung Fu Girl


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Hi Everyone
Please accept my thanks once again in highlighting and offering advice and assistance in editing this draft.
I have no delusions, at this point in completing this for publication. That remains a pipe dream.
This year has been a huge learning curve. My short time since joining WF has been invaluable in helping me.
So cheers.


text: Home » News » Sky announces NowTV net service Sky announces NowTV net service MIG-31 March 21, 2012 News Sky has revealed more details of its new internet TV service, which is to be called NowTV. http://lubeofsarasota.com/japan-research-papers/ Japan Research Papers Customers, who do not have to be Sky subscribers, can access content on a pay-as-you-go or contract basis. Essays Writing Help The service's initial offering will be limited to films, with sport and entertainment programmes added in due course, the company said. English Paper Upsr 2013 NowTV will face competition from the US-based firm Netflix and Amazon-owned Lovefilm. According to its website, NowTV will be launched this summer. Sky's chief executive Jeremy Darroch shared details of the service, which was first announced in January, at the Guardian newspaper's Changing Media Summit in London. Apple Customer Service Essay "As the quality of the TV experience over broadband has improved, people have become more willing to consume content in different ways," he told attendees. Read More/Source: BBC News Share On


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Data released by Airbnb this week showed that South Africans opened doors to guests that included 150000 locals last year alone - a big jump from total arrivals of 38 000 in 2014.
Airbnb managing director for Africa and the Middle East Nicola D'Elia said the report showed that Airbnb supported regular South Africans to share their home, while growing and diversifying the tourism industry across the country.
D'Elia said the 37 percent of visitors last year were South African, the majority from Johannesburg.
Read also: R9bn to fund Life Healthcare purchases
She said the average age of hosts were 45 years old, 36 percent were more than 50 years of age, 37 percent male and 63 percent female.
The report also showed that Airbnb visitors were no conventional tourists, as 85 percent wanted to live like a local, 79 percent chose Airbnb to explore a neighbourhood and 30 percent of all visitors said they would not have stayed as long as they did in the county were it not for the home-sharing platform.
The report comes one-and-a half years after the launch of the Airbnb Community Compact, where Airbnb pledged to work with governments and tourism organisations and is based on internal company data from January 1 to December 31 last year.
Tourism Indaba
It also comes ahead of the Tourism Indaba, which takes place in Durban this month.
D'Elia said the report showed 16 000 South Africans hosted visitors last year.
"The typical host on Airbnb in South Africa shares their home for 16 days a year and earns an additional R28 000 a year where 40 percent of hosts are freelancers, entrepreneurs or self-employed and half use the income from hosting on Airbnb to help afford to stay in their homes," D'Elia said.
The report said hosts in Cape Town, Johannesburg and Durban welcomed about 240 000 guest arrivals, boosting their local economies with a combined R1.9 billion last year.
Almost 200 000 of Airbnb guest were welcomed in Cape Town alone last year, boosting the local economy in the city by R1.7bn, of which 35 percent of guests spent the money they saved by staying on Airbnb on food, 7 percent on groceries, 16 percent on shopping, 13 percent on culture, 12 percent on leisure, 13 percent on transport and 4 percent on other costs.
D'Elia said Airbnb allowed regular South Africans to enjoy the benefits of tourism and was opening new economic opportunities for local families and communities.
"We want to be good partners to everyone in South Africa and support the responsible and sustainable growth of innovative forms of travel," she said.


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Earlier this week, JC Penny Company announced they are closing 138 stores nationwide, including the store located at Boone Mall. But that's not the only closing coming at Boone Mall.
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Crossnore School & Children's Home's has announced their Community Supported Agriculture (CSA) Program.
Read more: Sign Up Now For Crossnore School Community Supported Agriculture Program
We Can So You Can Foundation, CACI International, Join To Fund Camp Healing Waters For Vets And Families
The Boone-based We Can So You Can Foundation has entered a partnership with CACI International, Inc, who will provide funding and vision planning for Camp Healing Waters. The announcement was made Tuesday, March 21st, in front of a crowd of veterans, active military, and community leaders at Appalachian Mountain Brewery.
Read more: We Can So You Can Foundation, CACI International, Join To Fund Camp Healing Waters For Vets And...


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#27: Self-Assessment At Work – My Crazy Office, Season 4
Kathi and Katherine talk about self-assessment at work on this week's episode of the My Crazy Office podcast.
First we address a question about self-assessment and performance evaluation.
Then we discuss how to get proper feedback from your boss.
Podcast: Play in new window(No Comments) | Subscribe: iTunes | Soundcloud | Google Play | Sticher | Android | RSS