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Doctoral Thesis. Q-Coh. A tool to assess the methodological quality of cohort studies. Alexander Jarde
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1 Doctoral Thesis Q-Coh A tool to assess the methodological quality of cohort studies Alexander Jarde Directed by Josep Maria Losilla and Jaume Vives Estudis de Doctorat en Psicologia de la Salut i Psicologia de l'esport Departament de Psicobiologia i Metodologia de les Ciències de la Salut Facultat de psicologia Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona 2013
3 I NDEX Index Index Prologue Introduction Narrative vs. Systematic Reviews Meta-analysis Advantages of systematic reviews and meta-analyses Quality of the primary studies Observational studies in systematic reviews Combining evidence from observational studies and controlled trials Quality assessment tools for observational studies Steps in the development of any measurement tool Purpose of the test and construct to be measured Test specifications Development, testing, evaluation and selection of items Assembling of the test Summary checklist Objectives of this research line Specific objectives and structure of this doctoral thesis Articles that form this compendium Methodological quality assessment tools of non-experimental studies: a systematic review (Article 1) Suitability of three different tools for the assessment of methodological quality in ex post facto studies (Article 2) Q-Coh: A Tool to Screen the Methodological Quality of Cohort Studies in Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (Article 3) Discussion Conclusion
4 Q-COH: A TOOL TO ASSESS THE METHODOLOGICAL QUALITY OF COHORT STUDIES 6 Acknowledgements References Annexes Annex 1: Manual of the Data Extraction Form (Article 1) Annex 2: Data Extraction Form Screenshots (Article 1) Annex 3: Diagram of the tool s draft Annex 4: Manual of the Q-Coh Annex 5: Screenshots of the Q-Coh (Excel spreadsheet) Annex 6: Preview of the Q-Coh (Appendix of Article 3)
5 P ROLOGUE 1 Prologue My initial intention when I started my research was to develop a questionnaire to assess psychosocial risk factors at work. As is widely recommended, my first task had to be making a systematic review of the topic. However, as I started to learn how to perform a systematic review I noticed that I needed a tool to assess the quality of the located studies, mostly of non-randomized nature. On my search for this tool I found an article by Sanderson, Tatt, and Higgins (2007), a systematic review of quality assessment tools for observational studies, which I expected would help me choose the best quality assessment tool. However, the authors concluded that there was no single obvious candidate tool for assessing quality of observational epidemiological studies. Therefore, to develop a questionnaire to assess psychosocial risk factors at work I had to do a systematic review first, which required me to have a quality assessment tool for observational studies, of which none of the existing ones was good enough. So I shifted my goal to the development of such a tool, embarking in a stirring journey into the roots of research methodology and up the branches of meta-analysis and evidence based science. 5
7 I NTRODUCTION 2 Introduction 2.1 Narrative vs. Systematic Reviews For decades there have been authors, usually experts in the correspondent area, who have collected and summarized the published studies on certain topics. However, these so-called narrative reviews were increasingly criticized for their subjectivity and lack of transparency. In contrast, a more objective and transparent approach appeared: systematic reviews (Detsky, Naylor, O Rourke, McGeer, & L Abbé, 1992). A systematic review is defined as the application of scientific strategies that limit bias by the systematic assembly, critical appraisal and synthesis of all relevant studies on a specific topic (Cook, Sackett, & Spitzer, 1995; Crowther & Cook, 2007). Therefore, there are several differences between systematic and narrative reviews. In narrative reviews the search strategy is typically not provided, while it is explicitly reported in a systematic review. A systematic review and involves a comprehensive search of many bibliographic databases as well as the so-called grey literature, which is literature not identifiable through a traditional index or database (McKimmie & Szurmak, 2002), such as personal communications or reports (Martin, Pérez, Sacristán, & Álvarez, 2005). The selection of the primary studies is based on explicit criteria which are uniformly applied in systematic reviews, while usually unspecified criteria are used in narrative ones. The review of the primary studies is typically done using a data extraction form in systematic reviews, including some assessment of the quality of the study. However, the article review process is variable in narrative reviews and the quality is usually not assessed. (Manchikanti, 2008). Thus, the major difference between a systematic review and narrative reviews is that a systematic review attempts to minimize bias by the comprehensiveness and reproducibility of the search and selection of articles for review and by assessing the methodological quality of the studies (Khan, Daya, & Jadad, 1996). 7
8 Q-COH: A TOOL TO ASSESS THE METHODOLOGICAL QUALITY OF COHORT STUDIES 2.2 Meta-analysis Once the literature has been reviewed it is usually interesting to quantitatively summarize the results of the reviewed studies (primary studies). Throughout research history there have been several methods for this, but the most commonly used statistical technique nowadays is meta-analysis: the statistical combination of results from two or more separate studies (Higgins & Green, 2011). So, although there may be systematic reviews without a meta-analysis, generally it is the final step in such reviews. To do so, it is necessary to first quantify the results of each primary study using a common effect size index. Once this is done it is possible to apply statistical analysis techniques to combine these effects sizes. Usually a systematic review that applies meta-analytic techniques is called just a meta-analysis (Sánchez- Meca & Botella, 2010). 2.3 Advantages of systematic reviews and meta-analyses Systematic reviews and meta-analyses provide clinicians, researchers, policymakers, and patients with a synthesis of an unmanageable and exponentially increasing number of manuscripts by linking and correlating huge amounts of information with identification of beneficial or harmful interventions (Manchikanti, Benyamin, Helm, & Hirsch, 2009a; Martin et al., 2005). In addition, systematic reviews and meta-analyses increase the power of the investigations by combining the information from individual studies so that its overall sample size is greater than that of any of the primary studies; and they limit bias and improve the reliability and accuracy of recommendations because of their formalized and thorough method of investigation. Furthermore, systematic reviews may help determine whether the results are consistent from study to study and to generalize the results; and may reduce the delay between publication of research findings and the implementation of new effective treatment strategies (Petrie, Bulman, & Osborn, 2003). Obviously, systematic reviews and meta-analyses have some limitations, too, which are related to the heterogeneity of the primary studies, publication bias, difficulties finding a common effect size index, and the quality of the primary study, among others (Marín-Martínez, Sánchez-Meca, Huedo, & Fernández, 2007). This last limitation is the one addressed in this doctoral thesis. 8
9 I NTRODUCTION 2.4 Quality of the primary studies Given the benefits of performing a systematic review, it is not surprising that there has been an explosion of systematic reviews and meta-analyses in the last decade (Manchikanti et al., 2009a). However, several studies have shown that the quality of systematic reviews is highly variable (McAlister et al., 1999). Among other methodological problems analyzed, it has been shown that the assessment of the quality of the primary studies - which is a defining difference between systematic reviews and narrative reviews is lacking in a high percentage of published systematic reviews (Jadad, 2000; Moher et al., 1999; Petticrew, Song, Wilson, & Wright, 1999). This is an important point, since the results of the systematic review and meta-analysis may be severely affected by the quality of the primary studies ( garbage in, garbage out ; Detsky et al., 1992; Jadad, Moher, & Klassen, 1998; Jüni, Altman, & Egger, 2001). So, if the less rigorous studies are biased towards for example- overestimating an intervention s effectiveness, the results of the meta-analysis will be biased (false-positive conclusions). However, the assessment of the quality of the primary studies is not as easy as it may seem, and some authors even consider the assessment of the quality of the primary studies as uninformative or worse: a source of bias by itself (Greenland, 1994; Moher, Jadad, & Tugwell, 1996). In fact, in a study where Jüni, Witschi, Bloch, and Egger (1999) compared multiple meta-analyses performed with the best primary studies considered by different quality assessment tools, the results showed that the conclusion of a review could change significantly depending on the tool used to assess the quality of the primary studies. However, in much the same way an inappropriate statistical test can lead to invalid conclusions, we think that those results just highlight the importance of the tool used to measure quality. The fact that there are still imperfect quality assessment tools does not mean that the incorporation of quality assessment into systematic reviews should not be done, but that more efforts have to be made to develop a valid and reliable quality assessment tool using rigorous criteria. 9
10 Q-COH: A TOOL TO ASSESS THE METHODOLOGICAL QUALITY OF COHORT STUDIES 2.5 Observational studies in systematic reviews Generally systematic reviews and meta-analyses are performed on randomized trials, as they are usually considered the gold standard in research (Abel & Koch, 1999; Byar et al., 1976; Feinstein, 1984). The major advantage is given by its defining trait randomization- since it minimizes selection bias by controlling for known and unknown factors (confounders) that may affect the outcomes (Manchikanti, Hirsch, & Smith, 2008). However, a randomized trial is often unethical (e.g., randomization to a probable harmful exposure, or randomization to a drug that has proven benefits but uncertain side effects), inefficient (long-term and rare outcomes), or not feasible to do, therefore requiring observational research (Black, 1996; Greene, 2000; Higgins & Green, 2011, Mann, 2003), in which the researcher has no influence in the allocation of the exposure variable and only observes the outcomes (Mann, 2003; West et al., 2002). Observational studies then provide the only source, or a large component, of relevant evidence (Thompson et al., 2010). Actually, most questions in medical research are investigated in observational studies (Funai, Rosenbush, Lee, & Del Priore, 2001; Scales, Norris, Peterson, Preminger, & Dahm, 2005; Vandenbroucke et al., 2007, von Elm et al., 2007). So, although less numerous than systematic reviews and meta-analyses of RCT (Detsky et al., 1992; Manchikanti, Datta, Smith, & Hirsch, 2009b), systematic reviews are also performed on observational studies. In fact, Hartz, Benson, Glaser, Bentler, and Bhandari (2003) suggested that the review of several comparable observational studies may help evaluate treatment, identify patient types most likely to benefit from a given treatment, and provide information about study features that can improve the design of subsequent observational or randomized controlled trials. 2.6 Combining evidence from observational studies and controlled trials It is debated what to do when the inclusion of both randomized and observational studies is available for a certain topic. An extreme opinion would state that no observational study should be included in the metaanalysis if there is data available from any randomized trials. However, this seems far too restrictive if only a few randomized studies are available, and even more if the quality of those few randomized trials is low, whereas the 10
11 I NTRODUCTION available observational studies are of high quality (Shrier et al., 2007). The results of observational studies sometimes, but not always, differ from results of randomized studies of the same intervention (Deeks et al., 2003).Some studies comparing randomized controlled trials with different observational studies showed different results depending on the research design (Shikata, Nakayama, Noguchi, Taji, & Yamagishi, 2006), although other studies found little evidence that estimates of treatment effects in observational studies were different from those found in RCT (Benson & Hartz, 2000). However, these results may be confounded by the quality of the primary studies, since several authors have concluded that there were no significant differences between the results of RCT and those of well-designed observational studies (Concato, Shah, & Horwitz, 2000; MacLehose et al., 2000). Despite there is some overlap between overall research design and internal validity (Wells & Littell, 2009), equaling research design with quality would be a mistake. For example, one of the main limitations ascribed to observational studies is confounding due to selection bias, which is intended to be reduced in RCT by randomizing the allocation of the subjects to each group. On one hand, several authors have questioned the concept that random allocation of the subjects to either experimental or controlled groups is that reliable (Kane, 1997; Shrier et al., 2007). On the other hand, selection bias can be strongly reduced in a carefully designed observational study (Shrier et al., 2007) and the plausibility of an unmeasured confounder can be measured (Groenwold, Nelson, Nichol, Hoes, & Hak, 2010; McMahon, 2003; Normand, 2005; Rosenbaum, 1991). Therefore, what matters is whether those to be compared are similar with respect to potential confounding factors, not whether it is accomplished through randomization (Bluhm, 2009). In a similar way, many advantages routinely ascribed to the RCT design can be achieved through careful observational design, hence observational studies should not be excluded a priori (Shrier et al., 2007). After all, nonrandomized studies are a necessary part of the evidence base for practice, both because they are able to provide information about a larger and more diverse population of patients, and because they are more likely to follow patients at outcome over long periods of time (Manchikanti et al., 2009b). Therefore, RCT and observational studies should not be considered mutually exclusive, but complementary. 11
12 Q-COH: A TOOL TO ASSESS THE METHODOLOGICAL QUALITY OF COHORT STUDIES 2.7 Quality assessment tools for observational studies If the assessment of methodological quality is an essential part of a systematic review, more so for observational studies (Manchikanti et al., 2009b), since they are more prone to bias (Higgins & Green, 2011; Manchikanti, Singh, Smith, & Hirsch, 2009c). When we started this research three systematic reviews of tools to assess observational studies (among others) had been published. The first of them, by West et al. (2002), considered five key domains and found six tools that covered at least four of them. In the review by Deeks et al. (2003) the selection was based on six domains and four key items, ending up with six tools, also. The overlapping of the tools highlighted by these reviews was of 50% (three tools). Finally, the most recent review at the beginning of this research was one by Sanderson et al. (2007), which focused explicitly on the three main types of observational designs: cohort, case-controls, and crosssectional (Vandenbroucke et al., 2007). Their conclusion was that there is no single obvious candidate tool for assessing the quality of observational studies. Despite their discrepancies, however, there is one important aspect that all previous systematic reviews agree on: most of the existing tools lack a rigorous development procedure following standard psychometric techniques. 2.8 Steps in the development of any measurement tool Considering that a quality assessment tool is still a measurement instrument, it has to be developed following standardized procedures. The American Psychological Association (APA), jointly with the American Educational Research Association (AERA) and the National Council on Measurement in Education (NCME) developed the Standards for Educational and Psychological Testing (APA, NCME, & AERA, 1999). Following these standards, there are four phases that all tests have to undergo. First, the purpose of the test and the scope of the construct to be measured have to be delineated. Second, the test specifications have to be developed. Third, the items and scoring guides and procedures have to be developed, tested, evaluated and selected. And fourth, the test has to be assembled and evaluated for its operational use. 12
13 I NTRODUCTION Purpose of the test and construct to be measured. The first step in the development of a measurement tool is to extend the purpose and the construct being considered into a framework for the test that describes the extent of the domain, or the scope of the construct to be measured (APA et al., 1999). Purpose. The existing quality assessment tools were not all developed with the same purpose. Actually, the development of the tool with the specific purpose of being used as a generic tool for systematic reviews and metaanalysis is not the most frequent case. More often, these tools are developed for a single use in a specific context (e.g. developed for a specific systematic review or meta-analysis), or to be used to aid in the critical appraisal of studies (Sanderson et al., 2007). Construct to be measured. There have been several approaches to the assessment of the quality of primary studies. Wells and Littell (2009) listed six of them: publication status, reporting quality, design hierarchies, design features, the validity framework, and the risk of bias framework. Using the publication status of a study, relying on the peer review process, may be misleading, since publication decisions may be affected by factors other than study quality (Wells & Littell, 2009). Another approach has focused on the reporting quality. However, although reporting quality and quality of the study may be related, a clear distinction should be drawn between what is reported that was done and what was actually done. This has been increasingly clear with the appearance of communication guidelines like the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) statement (Vandenbroucke et al., 2007). However, in a study examining the uses and misuses of the STROBE statement, Costa, Cevallos, Altman, Rutjes, and Egger (2011) found that half of the systematic reviews they located inappropriately used STROBE as a tool to assess the study quality. Another approach to the assessment of the quality of primary studies has focused on the study design, leading to the proposal of design hierarchies (e.g. Harbour & Miller, 2001). Typically, meta-analyses are placed at the top of the hierarchy, followed by randomized controlled trials and quasiexperimental designs. Beneath are observational studies, and nonexperimental studies. However, as already discussed in the introduction, the potential internal validity of higher placed designs should not be taken for granted, since such a study may still be of low quality if it is poorly executed. A fourth approach to the assessment of the quality of primary studies has focused on features of the study design and implementation. In this approach 13
14 Q-COH: A TOOL TO ASSESS THE METHODOLOGICAL QUALITY OF COHORT STUDIES scholars assess if certain features related to the study quality have been performed, instead of taking them for granted by the design the study is labeled with. In a fifth approach to the assessment of the quality of primary studies, the concept of study quality is equated with the relative absence of threats to the validity of an intervention (Wells & Littell, 2009). Therefore, this approach makes a step further than the previous approach by inferring an assessment of the validity (or absence of risk of bias) of the studies based on their design features. In this sense, Dreier, Borutta, Stahmeyer, Krauth, and Walter (2010) argue that quality assessment tools should focus on internal validity and, if external validity is assessed, it should be done separately from internal validity. Finally, and in contrast with the previous mentioned approach, the risk of bias framework focuses not on the validity of the intervention, but on the threats to this validity, or risks of bias. From this point of view, separating the better from the poorer quality studies introduces a rather arbitrary dichotomy and essentially disregards any biases in the better studies, and assumes that the worse studies are totally non-informative (Thompson et al., 2010). Instead, the potential biases should be quantified, both their magnitude as their direction. Framework. When defining the tool s framework, one important step is to clearly define the type of studies it will be applicable to. Just mentioning the design label is not enough, though, since authors and databases of different fields use a variety of terminology. As an example, longitudinal study, follow-up study, prospective study and cohort study are closely related terms and are commonly used as synonyms (Vandenbroucke et al., 2007). This might not be surprising considering the fact that the definitions and relations between them are not consistent along different reference sources: For instance, in psychology in Spanish-speaking countries a commonly used terminology is the one proposed by Montero and León (2007). These authors do not use the terms follow-up study nor cohort study. Instead, they call a study were the exposure (or independent variable) is not manipulated and is registered before the response (or dependent variable) prospective study. In their terminology, a longitudinal study is one kind of descriptive study of populations that uses survey research. On the other hand, looking up PsycInfo s Thesaurus (PsycInfo is a leading database in psychology), one can find, under the term Experimental Design, the terms Longitudinal studies, Follow-up Studies and Cohort Analysis (among others). Prospective Studies are nested under Longitudinal studies. 14
15 I NTRODUCTION Other databases that use a thesaurus are Medline and the Cochrane Library, which is in both cases the Medical Subject Heading (MeSH). Here, the terms Longitudinal Studies, Follow-up Studies, and Prospective Studies are all considered Cohort Studies. But depending on the tree (there are three trees were the term Cohort Studies appear) the latter two are considered as subtypes of the first one. So, longitudinal, follow-up, and prospective designs are indeed cohort studies, but not all cohort studies have a longitudinal, follow-up, or prospective design. Another approach to the problem of the labeling of study designs is the development of classification tools to identify study designs. Hartling et al. (2010) recently reviewed 23 such tools (including two of the Cochrane Non- Randomized Studies Methods Group) and developed and tested a new one based on the most preferred one (the criteria used to make this selection were ease of use, unique classification for each study design, ambiguity and comprehensiveness, among others). The resulting algorithm and glossary has no design labeled as longitudinal study or follow-up study. Prospective studies are considered one type of cohort studies (prospective cohort studies), together with retrospective cohort studies and non-concurrent cohort studies. Given this variety and inconsistency (both by authors use and bibliographic database indexing), the Cochrane Non-Randomized Studies Methods Group advises those review authors interested in including non-randomized studies in their review not to rely on design labels, but to use explicit study design features (Higgins & Green, 2011) Test specifications. After deciding the content the test is pretending to measure and in which framework, the next step is to establish the test specifications. These delineate the format of items, tasks, or questions; the response format or conditions for responding; and the type of scoring procedures. All subsequent test development activities are guided by the test specifications (APA et al., 1999). Regarding quality assessment tools there are some characteristics that are nowadays out of doubt, although there are other aspects that are less clear. Psychometric properties. A variety of indexes have been applied to assess the psychometric properties of quality assessment tools. Regarding the reliability, two indexes are usually reported: the test-retest (or intra-rater) reliability and the inter-rater reliability. In the context of systematic reviews and especially of meta-analyses it is common that several of the steps are done independently by two authors, and the assessment of the quality of the primary studies is no exception to this (Sánchez-Meca, 2010). Therefore, a 15
16 Q-COH: A TOOL TO ASSESS THE METHODOLOGICAL QUALITY OF COHORT STUDIES good inter-rater reliability should be a primary objective when developing a quality assessment tool. Two types of discrepancies may appear when different raters assess the quality of a primary study: discrepancies due to characteristics missed by one of the raters (e.g. one of them might have overlooked the sentence where it is said that outcome assessors were blinded), and discrepancies due to different judgments of the raters. The first type is easily solved, and when no consensus is found in the second type of discrepancies, usually a third author breaks the deadlock. However, this raises another question regarding the inter-rater reliability: would another research group applying the same quality assessment tool to the same study arrive to the same conclusion? This intergroups reliability, which does not include the discrepancies due to errors or overlooked information, would be even more important than the inter-rater reliability, since it could determine the replicability of the meta-analysis results. Regarding the validity of a quality assessment tool, two indexes are usually reported: internal consistency and criterion validity. However, internal consistency - usually measured with Cronbach s alpha (Cronbach, 1951) - analyzes the correlation of different items measuring the same construct, which is not the case in quality assessment tools. For example, items assessing the reliability of the outcome and items assessing the control for confounding factors are measuring different things. Criterion, concurrent or correlational validity, basically compare the results of the tool with another measure of the same construct. Ideally this would be a gold standard, but there is none when assessing the quality of research. Therefore, researchers who have developed quality assessment tools have compared their results with the criteria of experts (e.g. Reed et al., 2007), with the results of another quality assessment tool (e.g. Downs & Black, 1998; Cho & Bero, 1994), with a global assessment made by the same raters (e.g. Downs & Black, 1998), or with indexes like citation rates or impact factor of the journal (e.g. Reed et al., 2007). Checklist vs. Scales. Although some discrepancies can be found in when to consider a tool as a checklist or a scale, the use of a summary score (which is probably the most defining trait of a scale, although it can be obtained for several checklist-type tools) is highly criticized (Deeks et al., 2003), considering that they do not give a transparent estimation of the degree of bias (Shamliyan et al., 2010). Effectively, summary scores neglect the information of individual items, and there is no empirical basis for the different weights that is (explicitly or implicitly) given to each item (Dreier et al., 2010). Furthermore, there are studies concluding that summary scores do not reflect the studies validity (Herbison, Haysmith, & Gillespie, 2006) and others showing that studies have different summary scores depending on the 16
17 I NTRODUCTION scale that is applied (Jüni et al., 1999). So, most authors advocate for using checklists. Objective items. Another aspect where there is little discussion is that items should be as objective as possible and imprecise terms like appropriateness should be avoided. As Dreier et al. (2010) point out, items should ask for the presence of concrete aspects instead of the appropriateness of a proceeding, and they should be operationalized in a precise, clear, and detailed form. However, not much more importance has been given to the items wording, although this is a widely studied aspect in survey methodology. This may be so because it is probably assumed that if the items are too subjective, this will be reflected in a poor inter-rater agreement, so the attention is shifted to this coefficient (Dreier et al., 2010). Instructions. Although the presence of instructions guiding and aiding the use of the quality assessment tool is not consistently requested, there are authors strongly advocating for it (e.g. Deeks et al., 2003; Dreier et al., 2010). Instructions allow to define the used terminology and to give longer and more complete explanations than could be summarized wording up a single item. Finally, instructions also can guide the tool s users in their decision-making process. Knowledge of the user. There are discrepancies about the methodological and statistical knowledge that the tool s user should have. While some authors argue that the quality assessment tool should be applied by methodologists, since they can better identify if potential biases have occurred (West et al., 2002), others consider that a quality assessment tool should be objective enough to be applied by non-methodological experts (Dreier et al., 2010). In fact, expecting that there will always be a methodologist among research groups performing a systematic review and meta-analysis is probably not realistic, despite being desirable. Measurement level. Although not often mentioned, some authors have noted that several hypothesis or outcomes can be studied in a single study, each with more or less susceptibility to bias. Therefore, it is said that quality assessment tools should focus not only on the quality of the study as a whole, but also at the hypothesis/outcome level. (Dreier et al., 2010; Shamliyan et al., 2010). Similarly, it may be interesting to assess the quality at the group s level, so that the procedures and measures applied to the exposed and control groups are assessed independently. Orientation. It is not clear if the base consideration of a study should be of good or bad quality. If the tool considers the starting point as of good quality, the items will have to be more oriented to identifying aspects that downgrade this quality. On the other side, if the tool considers the starting point of the studies as low (or as not granted), its items will have to be oriented to 17
18 Q-COH: A TOOL TO ASSESS THE METHODOLOGICAL QUALITY OF COHORT STUDIES identifying aspects that increase the confidence in the study s quality. In this sense, we have not found much discussion about what orientation a tool should have. Furthermore, this aspect gets especially important when items cannot be answered because of a lack of reported information. Should not reported measures be considered as not done? While it is true that not everything that is done in a study is usually reported, it may be argued that if something that improves the study s quality is not reported, it was probably not done. But if no evidence is given about if something is done, it may be risky to assume it was. Judging a study s quality by its appearance is very risky, too, especially considering that observational studies are already prone to bias, and that there is less tradition of rigor than in randomized controlled trials (Manchikanti et al., 2009c). Scope of the tool. It is not clear how specific a tool should be. On one hand, omnibus tools applicable to randomized and non-randomized designs seem to be too unspecific for the different challenges each individual design has to face. On the other hand, a highly topic specific tool could be of lesser use when comparing different meta-analyses. Some tools are less oriented to a research design, but to study objectives, as could be intervention effectiveness. Dreier et al. (2010) suggest that tools should be generic enough to be applied to different study fields and if design-specific items are used, caution should be taken. Evaluation of the quality. As mentioned above, the use of a summary score is highly criticized. Instead, quality should be based on each component or domain (Shamliyan et al., 2010). Deeks et al. (2003) recommend making an evaluation of the quality following a mixed-criteria approach, requiring objective data related to the study design and then making an evaluation of the quality. The procedure of the evaluation of the quality should be standardized and be as transparent as possible (Dreier et al., 2010). Direction and magnitude of bias. For all potential sources of bias, it is important to consider the likely magnitude and the likely direction of the bias. For example, if all methodological limitations of studies were expected to bias the results towards a lack of effect, and the evidence indicates that the intervention is effective, then it may be concluded that the intervention is effective even in the presence of these potential biases. (Higgins & Green, 2011). In addition, if the direction and magnitude of the expected biases is assessed, researchers could adjust for them in the meta-analysis (Thompson et al., 2010). Feasibility. The length and application time of the quality assessment tools are related characteristics of the tool that are not usually addressed in the literature, and if it is, vague criteria are given. So, application time is said to 18
19 I NTRODUCTION have to be moderate (Dreier et al., 2010). In addition, the tool s interface has to be user-friendly in order to avoid errors due to users fatigue or misunderstandings. However, this aspect is rarely mentioned explicitly (e.g. Sanderson et al., 2007) Development, testing, evaluation and selection of items. The next step in test development is to assemble items into a test. Usually, the test developer starts with an item pool that is larger than required, which are then selected for the test following the requirements of the test specifications. The clarity, lack of ambiguity, and content quality of the items is usually ascertained through item review procedures and pilot testing. In addition, when evaluating the quality of the items in the item pool and the test itself, test developers often conduct studies of differential item functioning. This is said to exist when test takers differ in their responses to an item. When differential item functioning is detected, test developers try to identify plausible explanations for the differences in the item content, item format, or scoring criteria; and then they may replace or revise them (APA et al., 1999). Development of the items. Typically, the development of items for quality assessment tools is based, when stated, on previous similar tools and/or methodological literature review. In less frequent cases a more empirical procedure is used to develop the items, as for example Delphi procedures (Whiting, Rutjes, Reitsma, Bossuyt, & Kleijnen, 2003) or a bank of items (Viswanathan & Berkman, 2011). Pilot testing and evaluation. Once the pool of items is ready, they are organized and put together into a pilot version of the tool, which is then applied in a relative small sample. This pilot testing gives information about how users respond to the items, about the behavior of the different items, and allows a first measure of the test s psychometric properties: validity and reliability. Validity. Usually, the validity of the individual items is evaluated by a group of experts who give their opinion on the face validity and relevance of each item. When a pilot testing is done, the feedback given by the pilot testers is often also taken into account. Reliability. Regarding the reliability, while it is not frequent that the interrater reliability of a quality assessment tool is given, it is even rarer to find tools where the inter-rater reliability is reported at the item s level. However, this information should not be neglected considering that the items of a quality assessment tool are relatively independent of one another. 19
20 Q-COH: A TOOL TO ASSESS THE METHODOLOGICAL QUALITY OF COHORT STUDIES Assembling of the test. There are different ways a test can be assembled once the items have been decided. The most often used format is that of plain text, as it has been for a long time the only way it could be published in journals. However, nowadays the electronic versions of some journals allow authors to attach other types of files to their papers, opening the possibility to other formats for the quality assessment tools. The use of electronic versions and adaptations of quality assessment tools offer several advantages. First, it allows recording the responses given to each item and automatically including it into a database. Second, the instructions to each item are easily made accessible. And third and probably most important: the quality assessment tool can be made dynamic, which includes skipping not applicable items, offering feedback and summaries of previous answered items, checking for inconsistencies, etc Summary checklist. The checklist on Table 1 summarizes the characteristics and test specifications that a quality assessment tool should have. 2.9 Objectives of this research line As mentioned in the introduction, most of the research in health sciences is of observational nature. However, their inclusion in systematic reviews and meta-analyses is still scarce and under debate. One of the reasons for this paucity is the lack of a valid and reliable tool to assess the methodological quality of observational studies. Therefore, the main objective of this research line is the development of such a tool using rigorous development procedures. The steps to reach this goal define our specific objectives: 1. Update the latest systematic review of quality assessment tools. 2. Appraise the need for a new quality assessment tool for observational studies. 3. Develop a quality assessment tool for cohort studies. 4. Analyze the psychometric properties of the tool. 5. Develop a quality assessment tool for case-control studies. 6. Analyze the psychometric properties of the tool. 7. Develop a quality assessment tool for cross-sectional studies. 8. Analyze the psychometric properties of the tool. 9. Unify the different quality assessment tools into a single tool. 20
Suitability of three different tools for the assessment of methodological quality in ex post facto studies 1
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Nation's largest Protestant group faces 'decline'
NASHVILLE Baptisms fell to their lowest number in 60 years among Southern Baptists, the nation's largest Protestant denomination.
The new numbers are a sign that the denomination is in trouble, Baptist leaders say.
"This is not a blip," said Ed Stetzer, president of LifeWay. "This is a trend. And the trend is one of decline."
In 2010, Southern Baptists baptized 332,321 people, or 17,416 fewer than in 2009, according to a report released by Nashville-based LifeWay Research. This marks the eighth time in 10 years that baptisms have declined and the lowest number of baptisms since the 1950s.
The report was released in advance of the convention's annual meeting, which opens Tuesday in Phoenix.
Membership also dropped for the fourth year in a row, leaving the denomination with 16,136,044 members. Giving to overseas missionary also fell short.
Stetzer pointed to two factors for the baptism decline. Southern Baptists are getting older, meaning they have fewer children who are being raised in the faith. And, Southern Baptists have lost their enthusiasm for evangelism — the practice of bringing new people into the faith, Stetzer said.
"Baptists love to talk about evangelism as long as someone else is doing it," Stetzer said.
The latest decline comes a year after Southern Baptists approved a major restructuring of their denomination, known as the Great Commission Resurgence. The new program is designed to channel more into attracting converts.
More converts would mean more baptisms, as Baptists baptize converts as a sign of a person's newfound faith.
Baptist leaders say it will take time for the restructuring to pay off.
"The Great Commission Resurgence was never meant to be a quick fix," said Thom Rainer, president of LifeWay Christian Resources.
Rainer said Baptists need to spend more time spreading the faith to nonbelievers. In the 1950s, he said, there was one baptism for every 20 Southern Baptists.
"Now, it takes 40 of our members to baptize one person," he said.
The Rev. Frank Page, president of the convention's Nashville-based executive committee, said that too many pastor and denominational leaders talk about the Great Commission — Jesus' command to spread his message — in generic terms. But they rarely teach people how to talk to their friends and neighbors about Jesus in an effective way.
"You can talk about having a vision all day long," he said. "But you have to show people how to put that vision into action."
Baptist leaders also believe that attracting more minorities would help reverse the decline. About 19% of their churches are African-American, Hispanic, Asian-American or other minority congregations.
"We've got a long way to go for more ethnic diversity," Rainer said. "We are still a very white denomination."
Giving to mission work also has declined. The convention's International Mission Board, known as the IMB, announced that the annual Lottie Moon missionary offering took in $145.6 million. Baptist leaders had hoped to raise $175 million.
Page blamed some of the shortfall on the poor economy.
"Our churches have been hit badly — and that's had an impact," he said.
Previous giving shortfalls have forced the IMB to shrink its missionary force. The number of missionaries dropped by about 12% from a high of 5,656 in 2009 to about 5,000 missionaries by the end of 2010.
Tom Elliff, president of the IMB, said that the mission board has an $8.3 million budget gap because of the giving shortfall. He said that $175 million goal included funds for expanding missionary programs over the organization's current budget.
He doesn't plan on cutting the number of missionaries.
"This is not a time for retreat," Elliff said.
Posted | Updated


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Historic American Buildings Survey,
Engineering Record, Landscapes Survey
Presidio of San Francisco, District Engineer's Shops & Yard, Bounded by Marine Drive (on North & East), Lieutenant Jauss Street (on South), & parking lot (on West), San Francisco, San Francisco County, CA
- Title: Presidio of San Francisco, District Engineer's Shops & Yard, Bounded by Marine Drive (on North & East), Lieutenant Jauss Street (on South), & parking lot (on West), San Francisco, San Francisco County, CA
- Other Title:
Golden Gate National Recreation Area
Post Engineer's Shops & Yard
Building Nos. 280, 282-285, 288
- Creator(s): Historic American Buildings Survey, creator
- Related Names:
Maul, David , transmitter
- Date Created/Published: Documentation compiled after 1933
- Medium: Data Page(s): 41
- Reproduction Number: ---
- Rights Advisory:
No known restrictions on images made by the U.S. Government; images copied from other sources may be restricted. (http://www.loc.gov/rr/print/res/114_habs.html)
- Call Number: HABS CAL,38-SANFRA,177-
- Repository: Library of Congress Prints and Photographs Division Washington, D.C. 20540 USA http://hdl.loc.gov/loc.pnp/pp.print
- Notes:
- Significance: From a single warehouse built in 1926, this part of the Presidio of San Francisco was transformed in 1942 into the District Engineer's shops and yards, the construction yard for the San Francisco District of the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. With the beginning of World War II, the construction duties of the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers were greatly expanded, and compounds of shop buildings such as this one became an important part of the war effort. From 1950 to the present, the Post Engineer and his staff have been located in this compound of buildings. Consisting of plumbing, electrical, carpentry, welding, sheet metal, paint, sign making, glass cutting, and entomology shops, plus a warehouse and offices, the Post Engineering complex provided a wide range of services which were necessary for the maintenance and operation of the Presidio. The staff of the Post Engineer has been responsible for building and altering buildings and performing thousands of repair jobs each year in the Presidio of San Francisco since December 1941, and have been located in this compound since 1950. The six buildings in the complex which contribute to the Presidio's National Historic Landmark district are all utilitarian in appearance, with gable roofs, and exterior cladding of corrugated iron, horizontal wood siding, or asbestos shingles. The paint scheme of white walls with red composition roofs is constant throughout the complex. The oldest building, 283, was built in 1926 as a warehouse and is also the largest building in the compound. Buildings 280, 284, 285, and 288 were built during 1942-1944, and their original purpose is not known. The other contributing building, 282, was built ca. 1952-1953, and with the other buildings, represents the consolidation of Post Engineering activities in one location after 1950.
- Survey number: HABS CA-2673
- Building/structure dates: 1942 Initial Construction
- National Register of Historic Places NRIS Number: 66000232
- Subjects:
- Place:
- Collections:
- Part of: Historic American Buildings Survey (Library of Congress)
- Bookmark This Record:
Rights assessment is your responsibility.
The Library of Congress generally does not own rights to material in its collections and, therefore, cannot grant or deny permission to publish or otherwise distribute the material. For further rights information, see "Rights Information" below and the Rights and Restrictions Information page ( http://www.loc.gov/rr/print/res/rights.html ).
- Rights Advisory: No known restrictions on images made by the U.S. Government; images copied from other sources may be restricted. http://www.loc.gov/rr/print/res/114_habs.html
- Reproduction Number: ---
- Call Number: HABS CAL,38-SANFRA,177-
- Medium: Data Page(s): 41
Rights assessment is your responsibility.
If Digital Images Are Displaying
You can download online images yourself. Alternatively, you can purchase copies of various types through Library of Congress Duplication Services.
HABS/HAER/HALS materials have generally been scanned at high resolution that is suitable for most publication purposes (see Digitizing the Collection for further details about the digital images).
- Photographs--All photographs are printed from digital files to preserve the fragile originals.
- Make note of the Call Number and Item Number that appear under the photograph in the multiple-image display (e.g., HAER, NY,52-BRIG,4-2).
- If possible, include a printout of the photograph.
- Drawings--All drawings are printed from digital files to preserve the fragile originals.
- Make note of the Survey Number (e.g., HAER NY - 143) and Sheet Number (e.g., "Sheet 1 of 4"), which appear on the edge of the drawing. (NOTE: These numbers are visible in the Tiff "Reference Image" display.)
- If possible, include a printout of the drawing.
- Data Pages
- Make note of the Call Number in the catalog record.
If Digital Images Are Not Displaying
In the rare case that a digital image for HABS/HAER/HALS documentation is not displaying online, select images for reproduction through one of these methods:
- Visit the Prints & Photographs Reading Room and request to view the group (general information about service in the reading room is available at: http://www.loc.gov/rr/print/info/001_ref.html). It is best to contact reference staff in advance (see: http://www.loc.gov/rr/print/address.html) to make sure the material is on site. OR
- P&P reading room staff can provide up to 15 quick copies of items per calendar year (many original items in the holdings are too old or fragile to make such copies, but generally HABS/HAER/HALS materials are in good enough condition to be placed on photocopy machines). For assistance, see our Ask a Librarian page OR
- Hire a freelance researcher to do further selection for you (a list of researchers in available at: http://www.loc.gov/rr/print/resource/013_pic.html).
- You can purchase copies of various types, including quick copies, through Library of Congress Duplication Services (price lists, contact information, and order forms for Library of Congress Duplication Services are available on the Duplication Services Web site):
- Make note of the Call Number listed above.
- Look at the Medium field above. If it lists more than one item:
- The entire group can be ordered as photocopies or high-quality copies.
- All the items in a particular medium (e.g., all drawings, all photographs) can be ordered as photocopies or high-quality copies.
- Call Number: HABS CAL,38-SANFRA,177-
- Medium: Data Page(s): 41
Please use the following steps to determine whether you need to fill out a call slip in the Prints and Photographs Reading Room to view the original item(s). In some cases, a surrogate (substitute image) is available, often in the form of a digital image, a copy print, or microfilm.
Is the item digitized? (A thumbnail (small) image will
be visible on the left.)
Yes, the item is digitized. Please use the digital image in preference to requesting the original. All images can be viewed at a large size when you are in any reading room at the Library of Congress. In some cases, only thumbnail (small) images are available when you are outside the Library of Congress because the item is rights restricted or has not been evaluated for rights restrictions.
As a preservation measure, we generally do not serve an original item when a digital image is available. If you have a compelling reason to see the original, consult with a reference librarian. (Sometimes, the original is simply too fragile to serve. For example, glass and film photographic negatives are particularly subject to damage. They are also easier to see online where they are presented as positive images.)
No, the item is not digitized. Please go to #2.
Do the Access Advisory or Call Number fields above indicate that
a non-digital surrogate exists, such as microfilm or copy prints?
Yes, another surrogate exists. Reference staff can direct you to this surrogate.
No, another surrogate does not exist. Please go to #3.
If you do not see a thumbnail image or a reference to another surrogate, please fill out a call slip in the Prints and Photographs Reading Room. In many cases, the originals can be served in a few minutes. Other materials require appointments for later the same day or in the future. Reference staff can advise you in both how to fill out a call slip and when the item can be served.
To contact Reference staff in the Prints and Photographs Reading Room, please use our Ask A Librarian service or call the reading room between 8:30 and 5:00 at 202-707-6394, and Press 3.


text:
Ganache Question...........
Baking By gidgetdoescakes Updated 11 Aug 2011 , 3:00pm by gidgetdoescakes
Has anyone ever tried colored chocolat ie red, blue, green......to make ganache? How did it work?
Candy melts or actual chocolate? You can colour White chocolate ganache yourself using candy colours, powdered colours or gel colours.
ok, thanks for the reply
Quote by @%username% on %date%


text:
Acerca del libro
A small volume featuring pictures of public transport vehicles seen through a mirror. The photographer was experimenting with a concept new to him and this book shows the results of his initial ventures into the streets of Brno armed with camera and mirror. Fortunately he avoided being carted off to the local asylum and so was able to produce this book.
Características y detalles
- Categoría Arte y fotografía
Cuadrado pequeño, 18×18 cm
34 Páginas
- Fecha de publicación ago. 23, 2014
- Idioma English
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Acerca del creador
Ian Cowley is an award winning photographer (two 'Highly Commended's , Brentford and Chiswick Foto Klub 1968 and 1974) His work has appeared in a number of publications including the prestigious Sanitary Engineering Gazette. Exiled from Britain by the ban on smoking in pubs, he now lives in the Czech Republic.
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text:
I am a law school graduate.
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text: TriMas Corporation (NASDAQ: TRS) – a diversified global manufacturer of engineered and applied products – today announced that TriMas management is scheduled to present at the Jefferies 2013 Global Industrials Conference on Thursday, August 15, 2013 at 12:30 p.m. ET in New York. The live webcast will be available in the Investor Relations section of the Company's website at www.trimascorp.com or at http://wsw.com/webcast/jeff78/trs/. About TriMas Headquartered in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan, TriMas Corporation (NASDAQ: TRS) provides engineered and applied products for growing markets worldwide. TriMas is organized into six reportable segments: Packaging, Energy, Aerospace & Defense, Engineered Components, Cequent APEA and Cequent Americas. TriMas has approximately 5,500 employees at more than 60 different facilities in 17 countries. For more information, visit www.trimascorp.com.


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text:
Keep your eyes on the stars! July 15! The Celestial Dragons.
The Celestial Dragons is a collection of Epic Bosses which starts on July 15, 2014 and ends on August 12, 2014. Craft and keep all Four Legendary Armors in your inventory to get the rewards. You only need to keep the + versions for the rewards, you are allowed to fuse the regular versions if you crafted the +
Crafting Normal Versions: 3 Keys to the Celestial Chest
Crafting Plus Versions: 5 Keys to the Celestial Chest and a Celestial Cape
Cosmos Dragon: July 15th-July 22nd, 2014
Selene Dragon: July 22nd-July 29th,2014
Astrea Dragon : July 29th-August 5th, 2014
Titan Dragon : August 5th-August 12th, 2014