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~ Visiting Instructor, Chulalongkorn University ~
During my sabbatical in October of 2007 I (and my wife , Donna) spent 3 weeks in Bangkok, Chang Mai, and a few days in Singapore. My primary reason for going to Bangkok was to meet with the faculty of the Psychology Department at Chulalongkornn University. My colleague, Dr. Bill Mikulas, taught at "Chula" many years ago and had maintained contact (and friendships) with people there. As a result, I had the opportunity to meet Dr. Sompoch Iamsupasit (a friend and colleague of Bill Mikulas) on his visits to Pensacola and the University of West Florida. Throughout my October visit, I interacted with several faculty, staff, and students. My wife and I also had the pleasure of traveling with the faculty and staff on an overnight retreat! It was a great time.
Partly as a result of my sabbatical trip to Chula in October, I was invited to be a Visiting Instructor in June of 2008, which I gladly accepted. The university paid for us to stay at a nice furnished apartment about a 10 minute wall to the Psychology Department, alghough we mostly used the convenient Sky Train. During my 3-week stay in Bangkok, I gave a series of five lectures to I-O master's students at Chulalongkorn University on various topics. The lectures included: Current Perspectives in I-O Psychology, Conducting I-O Research, Careers in I-O, and Burnout (two lectures, one to the Psychology faculty). The talks were well-attended and the numerous insightful questions were asked. After each presentation, a student was chosen to personally thank me for my lecture. Wow!
Below are links to pictures and some short video clips of my two trips to Thailand. I hope to assist other faculty members at the University of West Florida to teach at Chula, as well as attracting Thai students and faculty to come to UWF.
~ Links ~
Teaching at Chulalongkorn University || Faculty Retreat
Chiang Mai


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UPDATE: Shortly before 2:30 a.m. local time, state Sen. Wendy Davis announced that Senate Bill 5, the anti-abortion legislation that would have severely restricted abortion in Texas, was dead. The crowd reaction was captured here.
After Texas Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst (a Republican) stopped Democratic state Sen. Wendy Davis two hours short of her attempted 13-hour filibuster of a strict anti-abortion bill, pandemonium erupted in the gallery. Angry spectators chanted "Shame on you!" and "Let her speak!" at Texas Republicans as they attempted to take a vote on the abortion legislation before the special session expired at midnight.
It was immediately unclear whether they were successful in passing Senate Bill 5 since the vote took place after 12 a.m. local time. But as the Austin American-Statesmen reported, "The Texas Legislative Service, the online presence of the Legislature, originally listed SB5 as having passed on "6-26-13," or after midnight. Shortly after 1 a.m., however, the listing was changed to reflect passage before midnight."
One thing is sure however—the protester in the gallery who yelled "Bullshit!" succinctly summed up what Texas Republicans did Tuesday night.
—Posted by Tracy Bloom.
Screenshot via Texas Tribune

subset: commoncrawl


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Positive Feedback ISSUE
audio zone
Amp-1 integrated amplifier
as reviewed by John Acton
Prejudice is a strong word, one that does not possess a positive connotation. Prejudice is stronger than mere bias, and few (if any) of us can state categorically that we are free of or inured to it. I'm not referring to large social issues like race, religion, or sex, but to the everyday prejudices that plague us as consumers. We harbor prejudices against retailers, automakers, clothing designers—the possibilities are endless. Prejudices drive us toward or away from something as intangible as an idea or as concrete as a product, based upon our (or others') previous experience.
Prejudice applies to the world of audio as much as it does to anything else. Of course, everyone has his or her own likes, dislikes, and personal biases (tubes vs. solid state, analog vs. digital, dynamic vs. planar, etc.), but when we refuse to consider a product or a technology without having experienced it, prejudice rears its ugly head. What am I saying? Simply that I have my prejudices. A case in point: I'm prejudiced against horns because of my exposure to Cerwin-Vega loudspeakers during my formative years. Have I listened to other horn speakers? No. Is this wrong? Probably.
Another of my prejudices brings me to the subject of this review, the Audio Zone Amp-1 integrated amplifier, which employs op amps. I've been a music lover and audiophile for years, and one of the things I've heard so many times that I have had no choice but to believe it is that discrete components are always preferable to integrated circuits. When the Amp-1 arrived, my prejudices were in full bloom. Would it have enough power to play music with anything resembling dynamics and transparency? Or would it sound compressed, murky, and congested? I couldn't shake the transistor-radio images that my mind was conjuring up as I stared at the small (but surprisingly heavy) box sitting on my floor. Unfortunately, unpacking the diminutive Amp-1 did little to allay my prejudices. To be fair, however, the amp was packed very well.
The Amp-1 is contained in two small boxes. One chassis contains the power supply, comprised of a heavy-duty Plitron toroidal transformer, and the other comprises the amp itself. The black metal case of the power supply has an AC inlet, two Cardas cords for connection to the amp, and the on/off switch for the amp. The amp is no bigger than a typical car stereo amp, but is very well built and quite attractive. Done up in silver (the power supply can be had in matching silver for additional cost), with a thick faceplate and back plate, the unit is constructed in two discreet halves that visually emphasize its dual-mono construction. The front of the unit contains two gold-colored knobs for control of volume for the left and right channels, in 31 steps. The back contains two inlets for the left and right power supply feeds, high-quality Cardas RCA inputs, and a pair of high-quality, gold plated, five-way binding posts.
That's it, folks—utter simplicity. One source input and no remote control. Despite its solid build and attractive appearance (gold cone feet complete the package), the amp still resembles a toy, especially in comparison to some of the behemoth amps I've had in my system (Bryston, Pass, Levinson, etc.). Internally, only top-notch components are employed (Black Gate capacitors, Riddick resistors, Cardas wiring), and this high level of quality is combined with an incredibly short signal path (120 mm from input to output), all of which is said to provide unsurpassed transparency and directness. The output is 45 watts per channel into 8 ohms (100 peak watts). No distortion figures are provided. Gain is 30dB, and the signal-to-noise ratio is 95dB.
So how did it sound? I followed the manufacturer's recommendations and let the Amp-1 burn in for 150 hours before any serious evaluations. Fresh out of the box, the little Amp-1 sounded kind of thin, with a forward midrange and watered down, anemic-sounding bass. The soundstage was foreshortened, and dynamics constrained. The amp sounded, well, small, but there was promise. From the get-go, I was taken with its immediacy, transparency, and speed. It drew me into the music right away, leading me to hope that additional burn-in would flesh out its undernourished bottom end and add some body and size. I also noticed how dead silent the amp was. Putting my ears to the tweeters of my speakers, I had to strain to detect any noise. I've never experienced that kind of silence from any amplifier before, tube or solid-state. I did hear some transformer hum from the power supply, but it was never objectionable, and was only noticeable from close up. The amp runs so cool as to question whether it's on.
As the amp burned in, the bottom end fleshed out, the soundstage expanded, and the dynamic envelope burgeoned. What didn't change, however, was its already extraordinary levels of transparency, for the price. If I had to choose one word to describe the sound, it would be "open." The Amp-1 presented such a clear window to the heart of the recording and the music contained within that it was captivating, even addicting. The Amp-1 is so communicative, so direct, that it doesn't encourage background listening. Quite the opposite—it seems to say, "There's some good music happenin' here, Mac, and you WILL pay attention." It was very easy to pick out individual instruments or voices from overproduced rock recordings. The Police's Synchronicity (A&M 069 493 599-2) is one example, even in its recent remastering, but through the Amp-1, Sting's voice was more palpable, more present, more tonally "there" than I've ever heard it. Likewise, Stewart Copeland's drum playing was highlighted, as if Windex was applied to the recording. The amp provided a clearer window to his snare and cymbal work, accenting his outstanding contribution to the music.
The Amp-1 imbues recordings with a level of sheer immediacy that, once experienced, is hard to live without. Tangerine Dream's soundtrack to Firestarter (Varese Sarabande VSD-5251), while not a terrible recording, is slightly murky. The Amp-1 cleaned it up, and let me hear all the way back into the recording. It allowed me to get to the heart of the music. Let me clarify, however, that this immediacy was not accompanied by brightness. The treble was very neutral, exhibiting no grain or solid-state texture that I could detect. Neither, however, was the top end typically tube-like. Bright recordings were exposed for what they are, and any lack of air was likewise passed right along. But when things were good, they were very good indeed. The cymbal work on Steely Dan's remastered Aja (MCA 088 112 056-2) was very convincing, with no graininess or edge. The Amp-1's transparency and openness allowed Donald Fagen's voice to appear in three dimensions above and between my speakers, with holographic realism. I've never heard Wayne Shorter's saxophone sound so immediate, so urgent, on the title cut. And did I mention the speed? The Amp-1 captures and lets go of transients with blinding speed, but never with hyper-realistic exaggeration. It sounds extremely clean, which complements its all-around transparency. Dom F Scab's well-recorded electronic album Facta (Groove Unlimited GR-077) pulsed across the back wall of my room with dynamic realism. Imaging and soundstaging were also well rendered, with superb focus and terrific depth. Tube fanatics and owners of large solid-state amps may find the soundstage to be a little small, but I found nothing to gripe about.
What about the downsides? There are a few. (No amp is perfect, eh?) The Amp-1 is not a high-current megawatt design, and this manifests itself in two ways. First, according to the manufacturer, the amp is not happy with low-impedance speakers, nor is it at its best with speakers that have multiple drivers and/or complex (i.e., power hungry, current-drawing) crossovers. I did not have the ability to test this, as I use small, easy-to-drive speakers (Quad 11Ls and ProAc Tablette Reference 8 Signatures), but I take the manufacturer at his word. Second, the Amp-1 does not represent the ultimate in bass extension and slam. While the bass was extremely tight, fast and controlled, it did not evince the warmth of a tube amp or the slam of a high-powered solid-state behemoth. Since the Amp-1 was not designed for loudspeakers the size of import cars (they know who they are), this shouldn't be a critical issue. Also, a couple hundred hours of additional burn-in may improve this aspect of its performance.
The Amp-1 is voiced slightly on the forward side, so those looking for a liquid or laid-back presentation should look elsewhere. But for those who want an amp that conveys the emotion, the immediacy, and the sheer essence of music, the Amp-1 should be on their must-audition list. Lastly, from a purely operational standpoint, the stepped attenuators make it more difficult to find just the right listening level than it would be with a linear volume control.
What about comparisons? My reference amp for some time has been the Bryston B60 (the latest revision, with SST output devices). The B60 is a great amp. I prefer it to more expensive (and much more powerful) competitors like the Krell KAV-400xi (slightly opaque in the midrange and less involving) or the Plinius 9200 (too laid back—very smooth, but not as dynamic and exciting). The B60 is very transparent, doing less damage to the signal than most amps at or near its price range, and it possesses great dynamics for its power rating. When I compared the B60 and the Amp-1, it quickly became apparent that they sounded quite different. The Bryston was smoother and warmer, but the Amp-1 was much more transparent. Switching from the Bryston to the Amp-1 was like cleaning a window that I didn't realize was dirty. The Amp-1 did a better job of drawing me into the music than the Bryston—a tall order, as I consider the Bryston to be outstanding in that regard. The B60 does have greater bass impact and extension. Despite the Amp-1's claim to fame regarding dynamics, I found both amps to be fairly equal in this regard. Forced to choose, I would say that the Audio Zone may be a touch better, but I can't be certain. Soundstaging was also a tough call. The Bryston, with its dual-mono construction (including power supply) presented a larger, stronger central image, but the Audio Zone ha a slightly more delineated soundstage, with better separation of images and greater depth of field.
In conclusion, I circle back to my opening paragraph on the topic of prejudice. In my experience with the Audio Zone Amp-1, I learned a valuable lesson: Don't judge a book by its appearance, or by the type of paper that it contains. I was overwhelmed by the openness, transparency, immediacy, and musicality of this diminutive amp. In many ways, it has provided the best sound I've experienced to date in my system, and for a very reasonable price. I've never before felt myself get so drawn into the music. The Amp-1's qualities have become so addictive that I can no longer bear taking it out of my system, even to do comparisons. Okay, so there's no remote, there are two volume controls and only one input (though the manufacturer does make an adaptor for multi-source users). These things may rule this amp out of consideration for a lot of music lovers, but I urge them to reconsider. If they can look past these minor quibbles, what they will see is an amp that has a world-class ability to bring the musical performance to life. The Amp-1 has forced me to re-evaluate my other prejudices. I'm willing to bet that it would be a perfect match for a pair of easy-to-drive horns. John Acton
Audio Zone Amp-1
Audio Oasis


text: "I had a great time joining in this 5k. I do not run these races to win, I run to support the cause and to have fun with my girlfriends. I believe it was accomplished on this day and you can't go wrong when you end with free pizza and beer! So I would like to say thank you for a great day!"


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furniturenoun [ U ]uk /ˈfɜː.nɪ.tʃər/ us /ˈfɝː.nɪ.tʃɚ/
A2 things such as chairs, tables, beds, cupboards, etc. that are put into a house or other building to make it suitable and comfortable for living or working in:
They have a lot of antique furniture.
More examples
- We placed the order for the furniture six weeks ago.
- You've moved the furniture around - the sofa is in a different position.
- Wax polish gives a lovely shine to wood furniture.
- We bought both sofas from a big furniture warehouse that's just off the motorway.
- The workmanship that went into some of these pieces of furniture was truly remarkable.
Thesaurus: synonyms and related words


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Receive Cranbrook real estate MLS listings of homes for sale which match your criteria as soon as they hit the market. Cranbrook real estate agents, mortgage brokers, real estate lawyers and home inspectors are here to answer your questions. Finding a great Cranbrook real estate professional has never been easier!
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CCAR Press
iT'filah: The Mishkan T'filah App
By CCAR Press
|Available now!
Version 2.2
CCAR Press
Mishkan T'filah is the siddur used by congregations throughout the world. Now you can carry Mishkan T'filah with you on your iPad and interact with the prayers in the siddur as never before. The Mishkan T'filah – iT'filah App is designed to be used in services alongside the print version and as the perfect companion for quiet spiritual reflection or study. This prayer book app is versatile and engaging.
Like the print version of Mishkan T'filah, the prayers in iT'filah are fully transliterated, and are accompanied by many inspiring readings and commentary. Move between prayers and explore additional content with the swipe of a finger. Tap to hear many of the prayers chanted or read aloud.
iT'filah comes with the Erev Shabbat (Friday Night) Service, with accompanying page numbers corresponding to the print editions of Mishkan T'filah. Also availble via in-app purchase are Shabbat Morning, Weekday Morning, Havdalah, and Birkat HaMazon (Blessing after eating).
This app belongs to all of us, and your feedback and input will help guide its direction. Please share your ideas and vision so, together, we can grow and enhance Jewish prayer. What would you like to see in a future version of the iT'filah App? Send ideas to firstname.lastname@example.com.
Having trouble? Check out the FAQ.


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The Totally NEW Team Corwin Thread
View Single Post
May 21st, 2010, 20:43
Ok, so I got off after only 6 hours. So I'll be in.
Metalline act as any material-type DR beater (Silver, Cold Iron, Adamantine, etc…), which is why they are ridiculously high in the AH. A Metalline weapon will replace pretty much anything but Holy/PG and Ghost Touch.
I rarely pug, especially with my Cleric, which is why I don't gain levels very often. Then again, having 6-7 characters I jump between plus the random ones I goof off with every so often means I'm never on with a single character that much.
Oh that? It's just the cat sir.
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Most orders ship within 1 business day. Shipping times for:
* Excludes Alaska and Hawaii
Even big or heavy items, like rollators and wheelchairs, ship free. If your order
total is $75+, the shipping's on us!
Extra Wide Tall-Ette Elevated Toilet Seat (with or without Legs)
Stander EZ Adjustable Bed Rail with Padded Pouch
Drive Exercise Peddler
Omron 10 Series Upper Arm Blood Pressure Monitor
Rodger Wireless Bedwetting Alarm System
Medihoney Manuka Hydrocolloid Wound Fill Paste - 1.5oz Tube
Drive Adjustable Seat Height Rollator
Omron Micro-Air Electronic Nebulizer System NE-U22V1
Stander BedCane and Organizer Pouch
Just Health Shops (DBA Just Home Medical) is aware of the potential threat of online identity and information theft. We make every effort possible to ensure your information is confidential and secure. We have implemented the services of GoDaddy SSL Certificates.
This website takes every precaution to protect our users' information. When users submit sensitive information via the website, your information is protected both online and off-line.
When our registration/order form asks users to enter sensitive information (such as credit card number), that information is encrypted and is protected with the best encryption software in the industry - SSL. While on a secure page, such as our order form, the lock icon on the bottom of web browsers such as Netscape Navigator and Microsoft Internet Explorer becomes locked, as opposed to un-locked, or open, when you are just 'surfing'.
While we use SSL encryption to protect sensitive information online, we also do everything in our power to protect user-information off-line. All of our users' information, not just the sensitive information mentioned above, is restricted in our offices. Only employees who need the information to perform a specific job (for example, our billing clerk or a customer service representative) are granted access to personally identifiable information. Our employees must use password-protected screen-savers when they leave their desk. When they return, they must re-enter their password to re-gain access to your information. Furthermore, ALL employees are kept up-to-date on our security and privacy practices. Every quarter, as well as any time new policies are added, our employees are notified and/or reminded about the importance we place on privacy, and what they can do to ensure our customers' information is protected. Finally, the servers that we store personally identifiable information on are kept in a secure environment.


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|Source: http://www.globalegyptianmuseum.org/detail.aspx?id=12519
- The author makes no claims to his relative state of enlightenment, nor that he has successfully accomplished the Abramelin Ordeal, or performed Aleister Crowley's Liber Samekh.
- The author makes no claims that in your attempt to gain the assistance of a Good Genius, the HGA, or attract a Daemon, you will be successful. Many have tried. Many have succeeded. Plenty of others have gone insane, gotten lost in the darkness, or fell prey to the illusions of their ego. There is no certain test. Everything is always precarious. The trial is an adventure. It is ultimately your choice on whether or not to attempt such a thing.
- Nothing is ever easy.
"I have a hard time taking you seriously."
Let's take a moment and assume that "living traditions" do exist. Let's assume this magick stuff actually works, to some degree or another, and that part of the success ratio is the talent of the operator, and part of the success ratio is "something else." We might call this good advice from proper superiors, dumb luck, a "something" that is looking out for us – whatever, right?
So it works, and the Work somehow finds a way – almost virally – to continue itself in perpetuity. This despite laws, changing outlooks, differing systems, evolving systems, & etc. Despite the fact that there has been a decline in the West in the practice of magick over the years, it's hardly stopped. The fact that you are reading this blog – even if you are insane (which can be good thing, see: The Greeks on this subject) – is part of that.
And generally speaking, most systems (atheists can exempt themselves if they wish from this part of the discourse) suppose that you will turn to an authority of some sort – an authority that supercedes your own, spiritually or otherwise – and that this portion of the work is integral to the continuance of the practice of magick. The reasons for this vary from system to system, and the "end-game" plan of the magician (which s/he always plays out by living) tends to also vary.
Some see themselves as preparing for immortality. Some see themselves as being in a process of self-deification, and on the road to True Sovereignty. Some just want to heal themselves, or feel called to something greater and have no plans whatsoever.
In this game, it helps to have a friend. And that friend has a variety of names, causes, variations, convergences and divergences. Which makes sense, because "living traditions" tend to adapt themselves to changes in culture, methodology, and in any number of particulars.
To the best of my knowledge, the "One True Way" to enlightenment has not been found (much like the Grand Theory of Everything which eludes scientists to this day). Or maybe it has, but the fellow who's decided to open his mouth annoys me so much that I'm going to ignore him and his claims for good. Whatever, right?
The point, though, is that there are actually a number of rituals, "which have survived because they work," as one blogger recently put it. They are to be found in any number of places, and slews of practitioners can and often will attest that they work – despite being from varying backgrounds, and despite having varying practices and thoughts on any one subject. This entry will list more than a few, as well as quote some comments by Mr. Jake Stratton-Kent in his excellent Geosophia. It is my hope that the individuals who find themselves interested in his comments take a look at his works, as they are well deserving of attention.
"The Stele of Motherfucking Jeu the Motherfucking Hieroglyphicist."
If we consult Morton Smith's Jesus the Magician, which we ought when discussing the Stele, we will discover some interesting facets to what appears to be a simple exorcism (at least at first). On the subject of magicians and supernatural assistants Smith writes that:
"Nevertheless, the friends of a higher class practitioner would be apt to claim that he was not a magus, but rather, a "divine man." The "divine man" was a god or demon in disguise, moving about the world in an apparently human body. He could do all the beneficient things a magus could, and he could also curse effectively – though of course he would curse only the wicked. He did his miracles by his indwelling divine power and therefore did not need rituals or spells. This was the critical test by which a divine man could be distinguished from a magician – so at least his adherents would argue. The magical papyri describe a number of rites by which one can obtain a spirit as a constant companion. A magician who has such a spirit at his service can also dispense with rites and spells, he need only give his orders and they will be obeyed. Moreover, there were some magical rites that were supposed to deify the magician, either by joining him with some god in a permanent and perfect union (as Paul claimed to by joined with Jesus), or by changing the form, nature, or power of his soul so as to make it divine. A magician who had been so deified would thereafter be a divine man and would perform miracles by his own power, not by a spirit's. While the theoretical differences between a magus and divine man were thus blurred, there remained important practical differences. The term "divine man" carried none of the unpleasant connotations attached to "magus" - nothing of membership in a secret society, incest, worship of evil demons, human and other repulsive sacrifices, cannibalism, or barbarism. Consequently – and best of all – it did not make the man who bore it a criminal." (p.74-75)
While it might be easy to laugh off this discussion, it would perhaps be better to suggest that we are seeing a transition. While it took magicians (Goetes, in these case, rather than Magi) to operate the Papyri, one of the reasons that this task was presumably undertaken was to become a "divine man," or representative of just such a power. As noted, there are several spells and rituals in the PGM which are geared toward just such this task, two of which deserve our attention, in fact Betz's compendium on them begins with one:
PGM I.1-42 (p. 3 in Betz):
"A daimon comes as an assistant who will reveal everything to you clearly and will be your companion and will eat and sleep with you..."
The ritual goes on to list some insane demands, such as deifying a Circaean falcon in the milk of a black cow, and therefore I have never performed it. However, it states quite clearly it's function and what it takes to get the job done.
On page 103 of Betz, there is, however a ritual that I can personally attest which works (again, I do not claim to have divine status in the typical sense of such a statement): The Stele of Jeu of the Hieroglyphicist. The ritual is an exorcism, an evocation, and an invocation (in other words: direct possession is the goal of the ritual, even if it does not occur during the first performance) of what I presume to be the Agathos-Daemon. You may correct me if you believe to be flat wrong.
The Stele thus expels astral nasties in the atmosphere around the magician, conjures the presence of the cosmic or supracosmic entity known as the Agathos-Daemon, and then assumes it's identity in a state of possession. In response, the Agathos-Daemon ties the magician either to another spirit, a god, or itself, and the result is divinity!
Perhaps some more quotes from Smith might be helpful?
"This leads us to consider the extant accounts of how magicians got spirits as constant companions and servants whom they could order about at will so as to perform miracles without elaborate rites or spells. These accounds derive not only from the abnormal experiences of the magicians, but also from their neighbors' expriences of the extraordinary powers of suggestion that certain individuals possess and use to heal or cause sickness, excite love or hatred, instill convictions, or even produce hallucinations and dispel them. Such powers were thought magical, but the "magicians" were known to exercise them without any magical rites. This was "explained" mythologically by analogy from slavery: such magicians "had" spirits as slaves, always on call. Hence grew a thicket of stories about was to get spirits as servants.
These stories can be classified by the sorts of servants promised. One familiar form is that in which a ghost, "the demon of a dead man," is evoked as Jesus was thought to have evoked the Baptist." (p.97-98)
At this point I should like to state that the analogy of the spiritual servants to slavery is somewhat one-sided. Classically, many Necromantic spirits would be promised either salvation or some type of spiritually uplifting experience, so that their lot in the afterlife and upon returning to life would be significantly improved. Mr. Stratton-Kent covers these matters in the Geosophia vol 1. on page 90, when he introduces a very interesting ritual taken from Reginald Scot's The Discoverie of Witchcraft. Despite the Christian flavor of the ritual, the promise remains the same: that the individual magician will aid or bolster the spirit so that at a specific point (either Judgment Day or reincarnation, depending on the time period we're discussing for the ritual) will be able to move on. These promises also have their place in classical (not Grimoire-based) Goetia, when the Goete would make an arrangement with the spirit for their mutual benefit. There appears to be some correspondence with this idea, and Orphism, but I am not sure how deep those associations go. (Yet.)
Back to Smith:
"Most often such demons were employed for single assignments, usually to harm enemies or to bring women to would-be lovers, but the opinion reported by the gospels and the example of Paul indicate that they were also thought to be available as constant attendants and to do miracles like those of Jesus, mainly exorcisms. This indication is confirmed by the Papyri. The "Magical Papyrus of Paris" (PGM IV. 1930-2005) prescribes a prayer to the sun god, Give me the authority over this spirit of a murdered man, a part of whose body I possess … so that I may have him with me as a helper and defender for any affairs in which I need him. The following section (lines 2006FF.) gives more elaborate rituals for calling up such a spirit when one is desired, but concludes: However, most magicians take the equipment (objects inscribed with spells, etc.) home, put it away, use the spirit as a servant (always in attendance), and so accomplish whatever they want with all possible speed. For this method effects its purposes immediately, with complete convenience and without any wordiness" (that is to say, spells). After this come two short recipes and then a long rite including the conjuration of a dead man's spirit to be the servant of an amulet, one of whose many powers will be to drive out demons. Directions of the same sort are given in SHRI.5 and some early Christians said that the Samaritan magician, Simon Magus, did his miracles by such control of the spirit of a murdered boy.
Thus the notion that Jesus "had" the Baptist was not, by ancient standards, an impossible explanation of his powers..." (p.97-98)
"The Magical papyri contain several such rites to get spirits as assistants and belief in this sort of relationship was widespread—for instance, St. Irenaeus, in about 180, explained the miracles of the heretic Marcus by supposing he had "some demon as an assistant." But all these stories, this type of theory, fall short of the gospel myth in one respect: In them the spirit is merely acquired as an assistant, in the gospels its descent is followed by a voice from Heaven declaring Jesus "my beloved son." The story strongly suggests that sonship is a result of the descent of the spirit. But what is sonship?
Many would say, the messiahship. Mark equated "Messiah" (= "Christ") with "Son of God" and "Son of Man". From then on the equation has been customary. But "Son of God" was not, in Judaism, a customary messianic title, nor a common way of referring to the Messiah. Instead it almost always appears with miracles. As "Son of God" Jesus casts out demons (Mk.3:11;5-7p.; Lk. 4.41), walks on the sea, and knows the Father (Mt. II:27p; 14:33). Because he claims to be "Son of God" the devil demands miracles from him (Mt. 4:3,6p.) and the Jews mock him when he is unable to perform them (Mt.27:40,43). Because he was "a son of god" miracles attended his death (Mk. 15:38f.p.)... This trait probably reflects historical fact, but why did this fact result in Jesus being called "Son of God"? The existence of a title implies a conceptual type – in this case, to judge the usage, a supernatural being in human form who performs miracles by his own power..."
And finally: "In Hebrew and Aramaic "son of" is commonly used to mean "member of a class f"; hence, "the sons of god" is a regular way of saying "the gods" just as "the sons of men" (commonly translated "the children of men") is a regular way of saying "men." Thus in Genesis 6:2—"the sons of god saw the daughters of men" means "the gods saw women." … Thus "son of god" is explicable; it means "god."..." (p. 100-101)
Obviously not really an easy subject to discuss, now is it? I suppose there is some point to insisting you've found the One True Way: it saves you the trouble of sorting through the multiple categories and thoughts of differing magicians, and trying to sort it all.
"Meanwhile, Back at the Ranch..."
On page 187 of Volume One of the Geosophia, Mr. Stratton Kent cites Reginald Scot's The Discoverie of Witchcraft again with a ritual titled: "How to obtain the familiarity of the Genius or Good Angel, and cause him to appear."
It is worth taking a look at given some of the comments made by various members of the Blogosphere, but I found his concluding remarks to be a bit more important, which I shall quote in brief:
"The concept here differs from that of Agrippa and some modern commentators – for example in taking the Good Angel and Genius as Celestial, rather than Supercelestial. In my opinion the Good Angel of the Gnostics is an astrological force, and indeed has a House specifically allocated to it in the astrology used by the Gnostics and Hellenistic Greeks generally. This is not to say I consider either source or interpretation to be right or wrong, merely that they are finite opinions, whereas the experience (of Knowledge and Conversation of the Holy Guardian Angel) is innate to us all as human beings, who are prone to interpretation things their own way either before or after the event.
In the past I've written that they HGA is everything we are not – that is, not the sum of our natal chart, but outside our archonic limitations, completing us by complementing every elemental of the natal chart with it's opposite...
There are massive imponderables involved here: for example – aside from personal preference – in reality it is impossible to distinguish results with Abramelin from results with Liber Samekh. We may be inclided to do so, merely because the interpretation or theology differs along with our personal preferences, but that is at the outset, later it becomes irrelevant. Our Angel will freeus from reliance on either Crowley or Abramelin." (p. 189-190)
I had always thought that was the goal for most, and couldn't agree more.
It's best to end on a high note, I think, rather than continue this discussion into further tedium. The rituals that have survived? Some, if not most, work. Whether some guy on the internet says they work, or not. (For the record, the Magicians who worked the PGM didn't always seem to know what they were doing, either. See Betz.) Work them long enough – and something tends to happen, in the long run. But this means commitment until the omens, events, visions, burgeoning understanding – all commence.
Be seeing you,


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The biggest surprise of Nintendo's E3 conference
While I definately enjoyed Nintendo's press conference, it nonetheless failed to blow me away. As great as the next iterations of Pikmin and New Super Mario Bros. look, the E3 presentation nevertheless felt like it was missing that one special game that made everything *click* in terms of what the Wii U means as a game console. Unfortunately, no so-called "killer-app" was in sight; the closest thing Nintendo gave us was yet another mini-game collection-one that really only takes full advantage of the Wii U hardware if you have several friends huddled around the same TV as you. What about single-player gameplay? What about that one unified experience that can stand alone without being just a tech demo?
Not exactly the surprise gamers were hoping for...
Fortunately there was such a Wii U title present in the form of ZombiU, a "hardcore" first-person survival horror from Ubisoft. Not only did ZombiU provide the "suprise" factor that so many gamers found missing at Nintendo's software showcase, but it also succeeded in doing even what the Big N failed to do; show the Wii U's potential at its fullest.
The ultimate survival kit
I think that the biggest factor in ZombiU's success will be in the way it makes use of the Wii U Gamepad. Just by looking at the trailer below it's obvious that the game was built from the ground up with the Wii U hardware in mind, which is more than can be said for other "hardcore" third party offerings on the system that seem to be content with simply slapping touch screen functionality onto old games. Even Pikmin 3, Nintendo's core launch title, will support the Wii Motion Plus as the preferred method of control. Thus ZombiU remains as one of those few games to make full use of the GamePad's functionality, and not only that, but it makes a lot more sense because of it. While having to glance down at the touch screen to browse an inventory may seem like a nuisance, ZombiU's survival horror setting actually turns this into an advantage, forcing players to constantly pay attention to both screens in case of a zombie sneak attack. It's stuff like this that really sells the idea of a second screen.
Not only that, but Ubisoft also promises to deliver an innovative multiplayer component as well. Apparantly there will be a mode where two players face off against each other, one controlling the zombie horde in a tactical strategy set-up on the Gamepad while the other fights for survival in a standard FPS. While such "assymetric" multiplayer gameplay can also be found in Nintendo Land, what makes the ZombiU version so compelling is the fact that it mashes two entirely different genres together into a cohesive package. That's the kind of innovation that I want to see.
Nothing says "hardcore" more than a zombified Reggie
Finally, the biggest thing that ZombiU has going for it is it's appeal to hardcore gamers. Nintendo has always been a bit slow to appeal to core audiences, which is why such a system exclusive is so important. Not only is it a first-person-shooter, not only does it star zombies, but the game also promises to bring an unprecedented level of difficulty to the zombi-slaying field by outright removing respawns and forcing players to restart the game with only the bare essentials. The only way you can win back your gear is by going back to the place you died and defeating your zombified past-self. It's a great idea that really adds to the game's status as a survival horror, one that is sure to win many of the hardcore crowd to Nintendo's console.
So, what game do you think will dominate the Wii U's launch? Pikmin? Mario? Something that hasn't even been announced yet? Whatever it is, let me know in the comments!


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Rockets, car bomb explode in central Baghdad injuring one American
At least 10 rockets exploded Sunday night in central Baghdad near the area housing the headquarters of the US-led occupation, according to officials. Sirens blared for several minutes, and smoke and flames were visible. The military said one American was wounded.
The former Iraqi Ministry of Foreign Affairs was on fire, a witness said. The building already was severely damaged by US bombing during the war last year. A US military mess hall sits behind the building.
The rockets struck at around 7:30 p.m. [local time] on the northern edge of the "Green Zone", which houses the occupation headquarters.
Iraqi police and witnesses said the Russian-made Katyusha rockets were fired from a white Toyota Land Cruiser that was parked near the ministry building. Soon after, the vehicle exploded, but it wasn't clear if that blast was intentional. Earlier, Iraqi officials had said that one of the blasts was caused by a car bomb.
Iraqi police immediately sealed off the area around the Land Cruiser and US armored vehicles rushed out of the "Green Zone", possibly in search of suspects.
The witnesses said the rockets were aimed at the Baghdad Convention Center, a major occupation building where the US military press office is based, and the al-Rasheed Hotel, home to many occupation staff.
Inside the Green Zone, employees at the Baghdad Convention Center fled into the basement, said Army 1st Sgt. Stephen Valley, a military spokesman, according to The AP.
"Everyone's OK. Everyone's been accounted for," Valley said. "They're all down in the basement."
Meanwhile, a US military spokesman confirmed that 10 explosions took place "in the vicinity of" the convention center, and said officials were investigating. (Albawaba.com)
© 2004 Al Bawaba (www.albawaba.com)
Top Headlines
- Suicide bomber kills at least one policeman near UN headquarters in central Baghdad; Blast rocks Mosul police station
- Three US troops killed as 12 car bombs explode across Iraq
- Rocket Damages Pakistan Army Staff College Building
- Five Iraqis wounded in Baghdad attack as US soldier killed in rocket attack; At least nine Iraqis killed in Najaf, Kufa
- Iraq: US soldier captured as two car bombs explode in Mosul


text: Hi. I've found script sound-dev-changed.sh has been extended with the setting of the default_unit. Let me notice that we should change default unit if this unit have playback, imho. I have a plan to extend this script, but that should be done before RC2. Is there RC2 somethere on the horizon? Regards, Vans.


text:
de Dr. Bria Anna Jones
Acerca del libro
When my daughter was five years old, I cried on her first day of Kindergarten. It was hard to let go of my sweetest little girl. I wondered if the other kids would play nice and if the teachers would be fair. My daughter, on the other hand, went running into the class without ever looking back. She was so ready for the "Big Girl" school. Her love for school never dwindled. Now, as she gets ready to start High School, I can't promise that I won't do the same on the first day. This time I will cry because I know that the days will fly by faster and my "baby girl" will become a woman before I know it. I wish I could be there to watch her "ah-ha" moments, to hear her corny jokes, to see the girls giggle, to encourage her to flirt back, to push her to volunteer, to cheer louder than all the other parents when she sings, plays her instruments or acts out every line in her school plays. Most of all, I wish that I could be with her, standing shoulder to shoulder, as she makes each life changing decision. But, I know that I cannot be there all the time. I must learn to let go and trust that she will make good choices. I must have faith that I have given her the tools to build wisely. But, just in case, I wrote this book so that she can take her family's advice with her to High School. These timeless words of advice will be treasured for years to come.
Características y detalles
Cuadrado pequeño, 18×18 cm
70 Páginas
- Fecha de publicación ago. 07, 2011
- Etiquetas peer pressure, self help. parenting, high school, teens, dating, counseling, advice, family
Acerca del creador
Dr. Bria McDonald, is a life-long learner who holds many titles including: BA, MS, Ed.D., & PMP. She has been a Technology Consultant [with many Fortune 500 clients], a Motivational Speaker and an Author of several books including, "The Official Parent's Handbook: Spare the Rules, Spoil the Child." Her motto is Each One Help One, which she uses in the name of the company that she founded in 2005. EOHO Consulting is a full service Web Design and Internet Marketing company which has been helping customers to level the playing field for small businesses on the web. A percentage of the company's profits are donated to charities that focus on women's issues such as: Domestic Violence and Healthcare for uninsured families. Together, Dr. Bria McDonald believes that each of us can make a big difference in the world!
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Centurion: A relieved but delighted Indian skipper Saurav Ganguly and master batsman Sachin Tendulkar Saturday said they were extremely satisfied to have brought the smiles back on the faces of the Indian fanswith an emphatic victory against Pakistan in a World Cup match."I can't say how happy I am. It was a huge game back home. Schools were closed, offices were closed and now people can smile," Ganguly said after India's memorable six-wicket win.
Just two weeks back the team had been at the receiving end of angry protests from fans back home following the humiliating loss to Australia. However, with convincing wins against Zimbabwe, Namibia, England and now Pakistan, India's World Cup campaign is back on track.Tendulkar, whose smashing 98-run knock was mainly responsible for India's victory, said the team will do its best to ensure that the celebrations keep on going. "I was hearing for a year and half now that we are going to play Pakistan on March 1.
I am happy people back home are smiling now," he said. "My wife just called me to say there is big celebration going on. We hope to continue to do well in the remaining matches so that the celebrations can keep on going," he said. Ganguly, who himself got out to a first ball nought, paid tribute to a great innings from Tendulkar which the maestro himself described as "one of the most important of his career"."It's not the first time Sachin has done it. He is a champion cricketer," he said. "But Rahul Dravid and Yuvraj Singh also played critical roles.
Tendulkar set the example and everyone followed. It was a super knock under pressure."Ganguly rated this victory against Pakistan as better than other triumphs against the arch-rivals in previous World Cups. "I thought this was a better win since we were in a difficult group and have now qualified so convincingly. This win will also allow us to carry points in Super Six stage and that's pleasing.
"Ganguly admitted his bowlers suffered from bouts of nerves in the initial stage of Pakistan innings but said that was understandable. "You could see it in both the sides. There were bouts of nerves. It's India-Pakistan game and with the crowd behind you and millions following it back home, it isnatural for bowlers to take four or five overs to settle down."But once they settled down, I thought they did a pretty good job in restricting Pakistan to 273 for seven on a good batting pitch." PTI


text: The Process Improvement SUPER (Streamlined, User-friendly Procurement & Efficient Requisitions) team is seeking feedback about the current procurement process at UAF. The process is being evaluated from the time a request to buy something is made within a department, to the time a purchase order is issued at the UAF Office of Procurement & Contract Services. Take a few minutes to provide feedback, as it is extremely important to help identify areas for improvement.


text:
Here's how you can change your preferences for the Mint Menu in Linux Mint 14 Cinammon.
1. Right click the word Menu on the panel.
2. Click on Menu settings.
3. You can change the following options:
Menu Text
Menu Icon
Menu Hover Delay
Activate Menu on Hover
Show Bookmarks and Places
Show Recent Files
This article is published as part of the IDG Contributor Network. Want to Join?


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text:
Don't Dumb Down Your Kid's Dinner Plate
My kid will eat anything. At the tender of age of 12, she's gaga for garlic, crazy 'bout curries, unchallenged by ripe cheeses, and even psyched for sushi. Why?
Because Mom and I have perennially refused to dumb down her dinner plate. From day one, she's largely eaten what we've eaten and the result is a child with a startlingly healthy diet who generally prefers the good stuff over the sugar, fat, and empty calories that fill too many grocery carts.
Without knowing it, we were following Dr. Alan Greene's theory of food imprinting, which says that the foods babies are exposed to in the womb and fed during early childhood actually program kids to prefer them over other choices. Feed your child sugar and worthless carbs and that what's they'll grow up to instinctually seek. Feed them broccoli and Brussels sprouts and they'll become an adult who heads for the salad bar instead.
That's the theory at the heart of Dr. Greene's new White Out campaign. At issue is the white rice cereal that many children get as their first solid food. Dr. Greene posits that, it's a bad choice, and is calling for change. He's asking every mom and dad to make a simple switch to whole-grain brown rice cereal instead. The goal is to end white rice cereal's reign of error by next Thanksgiving, and we can help by joining the the cause and spreading the word. Making the switch is an easy thing to try.
Help set future generations on a delicious path to better health.


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(CNSNews.com) – Representative Anthony Weiner (D-N.Y.) told CNSNews.com that the Constitution's "welfare clause" grants Congress the authority to require that American citizens and legal residents buy health insurance policies. All of the health care bills currently before Congress include the purchase mandate.
Several Republican members of Congress have questioned whether the Constitution grants such authority and former Reagan Justice Department official David Rivkin Jr. has said that "none of Congress' enumerated powers support an individual purchase mandate."
When CNSNews.com asked Rep. Weiner where in the Constitution does Congress get the authority to mandate that individuals purchase health care, he said: "Under the welfare clause."
House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D.-Md.) told CNSNews.com the same thing back in late October, "Well, in promoting the general welfare the Constitution obviously gives broad authority to Congress to effect that end," Hoyer said. "The end that we're trying to effect is to make health care affordable, so I think clearly this is within our constitutional responsibility."
The section of the Constitution that both Weiner and Hoyer were referring to is Article I, Section 8, which outlines the powers of Congress, including raising taxes, but not the purchase of any type of product or service. The opening paragraph of Section 8 grants Congress the power to raise taxes to, among other things, "provide for the … general welfare of the United States."
It reads: "The Congress shall have Power to lay and collect Taxes, Duties, Imposts and Excises, to pay the Debts and provide for the common Defence and general Welfare of the United States; but all Duties, Imposts and Excises shall be uniform throughout the United States."
The Constitution then details the specific powers of Congress, including raising an Army and Navy, regulating commerce between states, and to "make all laws necessary and proper" for the carrying out of these enumerated powers.
In a video interview with CNSNews.com, Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-Utah), a long-time member of the Judiciary Committee, refuted the idea of using the "general welfare" clause to justify mandating the purchase of health insurance.
"Well, keep in mind the general welfare clause hasn't been used for years, except through the Commerce Clause -- Article I, Section 8," said Hatch. "And, frankly, the Commerce Clause affects, quote, 'activities,' unquote. And, you know, the government telling you, you have to buy health insurance, mandating that you have to buy health insurance, is not an activity. That's telling you, you got to do something you don't want to do."
"Well, let's put it this way," Hatch said, "If that is held constitutional -- for them to be able to tell us we have to purchase health insurance -- then there is literally nothing that the federal government can't force us to do. Nothing."
CNSNews.com also asked Rep. Weiner, who supports the health insurance mandate, whether there is limit to what the "general welfare" can authorize Congress to require. He said, "The Supreme Court gets to decide that."
According to a Congressional Research Service (CRS) and Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.), the individual health insurance mandate could be constitutionally challenged.
"Whether such a requirement would be constitutional under the Commerce Clause is perhaps the most challenging questions posed by such a proposal, as it is a novel issue whether Congress may use this clause to require an individual to purchase a good or service," the CRS report states, as detailed at FactCheck.org.
McCain, when asked about the constitutionality of the individual mandate, told CNSNews.com that he thinks "there would be a challenge" to it.
Back in 1994, when Democrats attempted to overhaul the health care system with a bill similar to those being reviewed by lawmakers today, the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) stated: "A mandate requiring all individuals to purchase health insurance would be an unprecedented form of federal action. The government has never required people to buy any good or service as a condition of lawful residence in the United States."
"An individual mandate would have two features that, in combination, would make it unique," said the CBO. "First, it would impose a duty on individuals as members of society. Second, it would require people to purchase a specific service that would be heavily regulated by the federal government."
A transcript of CNSNews.com's exchange with Rep. Anthony Weiner (D-N.Y.) is as follows:
CNSNews.com: "I just wanted to know if you support mandating that individuals get health care under the health care bill?"
Congressman Weiner: "Yes."
CNSNews.com: "Where in the Constitution does Congress get the authority to mandate that individuals purchase health care?"
Congressman Weiner: "Under, under, under the general welfare clause."
CNSNews.com: "What's the limit of that clause sir, if, if they're requiring individuals to get health care, what's the limit?"
Congressman Weiner: "The Supreme Court gets to decide that."


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The gesture gaming technology of Yari gives users a gaming experience with a variety of games to choose from, according to Sony Ericsson.
An included games carousel allows users to access all the games from their desktop and to browse downloadable content on PlayNow arena, the vendor said.
The Sony Ericsson Yari includes a 5-megapixel camera, Bluetooth stereo and A-GPS.
To enhance the gaming experience Yari comes complete with the EC500 phone stand. The phone stand is small and portable and comes with an integrated keyring which makes it easy to carry.
To pump up the volume while on the move users can use the outdoor wireless speaker MS500, which is small enough to fit in the palm of the hand, the company said.
- Wireless broadband developments in Southeast Asia markets
As of 2013, the 10 ASEAN nations had a total of over 700 million mobile subscriptions, with the CAGR from 2003-2013 reaching 24%. This Digitimes Research Special Report analyzes the various mobile broadband markets in ASEAN and looks at the respective trends in 4G LTE development for those markets.
- 2015 global tablet demand forecast
This Digitimes Research Special Report provides a 2015 forecast for the global tablet market and analyzes the strategies of key market players such as Google, Apple, Intel, and Microsoft.
- 2015 China smartphone panel trend forecast
This Digitimes Research Special Report analyzes the strategies of key China-based major panel makers BOE, Tianma and IVO for attacking the different market segments through technology and pricing, and their relationship to local vendors Huawei, Lenovo, ZTE, Xiaomi and Coolpad.


text:
Felix C. Neba, DNP, MSN, ANP, GNP
Geriatric Medicine
Specialty Centers
Commitment to Patient-Centered Care
"My role as a provider is to work with patients to ensure that their health care needs are being met and also empowering them live to the full extent of their functional abilities."
Clinical Expertise
Felix Neba is a Nurse Practitioner with a Doctoral Degree in Nursing from the University of Minnesota. He earned a Master's degree in Nursing from St. Catherine University and received his Bachelor's degree from Metropolitan State University. Felix has been providing primary care, acute and chronic disease management to patients in skilled nursing facilities since 2012.
- Certified Adult-Gerontology Nurse Practitioner
Professional Affiliations
- American Association of Nurse Practitioners
- Minnesota Black Nurses Association
"In my free time, I love playing soccer and socializing with friends."


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Video: Julia Roberts, Ashton Kutcher, Matthew McConaughey Read Mean Tweets on 'JKL'
Jimmy Kimmel made more celebrities read mean tweets about themselves on his show. Julia Roberts didn't seem to be bothered by the tweet which read, "There are people who think Julia Roberts is hot!? Her gigantic mouth looks like it will devour an elephant in one bite."
The Oscar-winning actress laughed it off and even said, "Thank you @kemotherapy7 and good luck." The said Twitter user responded after his tweet was read on "Jimmy Kimmel Live!", writing, "OMG I FINALLY MADE CELEBRITY MEAN TWEETS!!! That was the only reason I made a twitter!"
Ashton Kutcher showed no expression when reading, "Ashton Kutcher needs to get hit by a bus. ASAP." The person who wrote the tweet reacted, "So, that happened. I guess they really do read real tweets."
Andy Garcia couldn't help but smiling when reading, "If I said it once, iv said it 100 times F**k Andy Garcia." @Dylan_Mac who wrote the said tweet took it to Twitter once again to spread the news and share a link to the video. "My Tweet made it on Jimmy Kimmel," he proudly said.
Matthew McConaughey seemed to be confused by the choice of words used by @dippi_mufc to describe him. "What the f**k is 'd**k turd'," the actor said. Gary Oldman laughed hard after reading, "Gary Oldman sucks and his accents are f**king annoying as s**t." The person who wrote the tweet apparently felt guilty, posting after his tweet was read, "My apologies to Gary Oldman."
June Squibb, however, didn't take it lightly that @ben1283 told her to "f**k off." Meanwhile, Sofia Vergara responded, "What's wrong with I have a d**k in my mouth," after reading a mean tweet by @mamaowl_kirby, "Sophia Vergara sounds like she has a d**k in her mouth... i hate hearing her talk."
The latest edition of "Celebrities Read Mean Tweets" on "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" also featured Don Cheadle, Emma Stone, Jeremy Piven and Kit Harington among others.
More Jimmy Kimmel Live! News
- Song Joong Ki and Song Hye Kyo Are Asked to Tie the Knot at 'DotS' Theme Park
- New Couple Alert! Brooklyn Beckham and Madison Beer Are Dating
- 'Gambit' Is Being Reworked Following Success of 'Deadpool' and 'Logan'
- Rob Kardashian Returns to Twitter to Post Photo of Daughter Dream
- 'Home Alone' Actor John Heard Dies at 72
- Comic-Con: 'The Walking Dead' First Season 8 Trailer Teases Major Time Jump
- Jeremy Meeks and Chloe Green Make Out During L.A. Coffee Run: We Are in Love
- Beyonce's Madame Tussauds Wax Figure 'Adjusted' After Whitewashing Controversy


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In San Juan, Puerto Rico, a tollway known as the Teodoro Moscoso Bridge was built crossing the San Jose Lagoon. The toll for vehicles was $US1.50 when it opened in 1994 but the volume of traffic was disappointing from the outset. The tollbridge's planners had over-estimated demand by 46 per cent.
Why? Toll-road industry guru Robert Bain identifies the Teodoro as one of the textbook errors of traffic forecasting whereby engineers wrongly assume consumers make the same choices. In San Juan, it became clear that motorists perceived the toll not as a one-off $US1.50 charge but as $US15 representing a week's worth of trips. They chose to use the bridge more often in the evening, to get home faster, and more frequently at the end of the week.
Bain's work warns that models which fail to pick up this behavioural aspect of road use will produce overly optimistic forecasts.
In Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane, the same pattern has played out with a string of greenfield projects that have failed to meet their traffic forecasts, underscoring what's known in the industry as patronage risk.
The worst-case examples – the Cross City and Lane Cove tunnels in Sydney and the Clem Jones Tunnel in Brisbane– have left the parent company in the hands of administrators.
Cross City was bought by private investors out of receivership. Lane Cove is owned by
Former Transurban chairman David Ryan, who steered the board from 2007-10, believes there is still a "big pool of capital" willing to invest in toll roads despite the string of failures. He cites the Future Fund's investment in the company as an example.
"I am a very strong supporter of public-private partnerships for building this kind of infrastructure where all the parties involved take a sensible approach to traffic forecasting," Ryan says.
Some toll roads have become trophy assets, such as Transurban's Melbourne Citylink, now a world-class asset with the highest level of daily electronic transactions recorded globally.
A federal inquiry launched last year into issues in patronage forecasting for public-private partnership toll roads is yet to deliver its findings but submissions point to problems with the tendering process as the root of what has become a problematic over-estimation bias.
Contracts are often awarded to the bid which promises the highest return for the state government vendor, creating an incentive to tender bullish traffic forecasts which underpin the revenue the asset is expected to produce and the pile of construction debt it needs to service.
For this reason, traffic estimates are the basis on which a toll road's investment case is built.
Forecasting traffic patterns is a relatively simple exercise. Motorists will almost always take the most efficient route between two single points. Introducing a toll makes things somewhat more difficult because some drivers will be influenced by cost. Some drivers might put cost ahead of efficiency.
Bain's research highlights some key truths: small amounts of time saved are less effective than large amounts, so much so that small savings may be ignored. The Teodoro, a little longer than two kilometres, is a short road.
"The recent revenue under-performance of some urban toll tunnels in Australia, for example, may in part be attributed to overestimating the price consumers are willing to pay to save relatively small amounts of travel time," he wrote in a seminal 2009 paper, Big numbers win prizes.
Clem Jones opened about 80 per cent short of its predicted average daily traffic numbers. The forecaster, Aecom, is now the target of legal action brought by the receivers. Aecom "will vigorously defend the claim" and a spokesman said: "We sincerely regret that investors have seen a loss on their investment. However, we are not responsible and this claim is totally without merit".
The base-case forecasts predicted average daily traffic of 100,751 trips in 2010, ignoring the ramp-up phase. However, the tunnel yielded average daily trips of only 21,178 within the first three weeks of discounted tolled traffic. Even now, fewer than 25,000 average daily trips are made on Clem Jones.
The four-lane tunnel is forecast to produce annual average daily traffic in excess of 130,000 by 2026. The eight-lane Sydney Harbour Bridge records average daily traffic of about 160,000.
The capacity of the average motorway is roughly 2000 vehicles per lane per hour; the more technical measure known as the "passenger car unit" (PCU) suggests about 2200 PCUs per lane, per hour, reflecting the higher weighting attributed to trucks, which take up more space on the road and have a higher PCU value.
Another rule of thumb is that toll roads are less attractive to motorists outside peak times because the competing free roads are less congested.
This is part of the natural hedge these assets command: as rival free roads build up with traffic, motorists will veer towards the toll route and when the toll road becomes overly congested, motorists will return to the free roads.
For Clem Jones, the modelling used peak morning volumes and extrapolated that for a whole-of-day estimate when received wisdom suggests peak flows are confined to the start and end of the work day.
That's one of the observations in a submission by Evans & Peck to the government's patronage risk consultation process.
Evans & Peck believes that government processes and the private sector bid model which incentivise high forecasts have "effectively discredited" the ability of engineers to forecast reliable numbers. It does not help that a final round bid in a major project costs about $20 million, alienating small independent firms from participating and limiting the scope of the tender.
Another submission, authored by a former Aecom employee, Denis Johnston, who has 30 years of toll-road development experience, offered: "The real issue here is that it if a developer wants to take an optimistic view of the future and ask his traffic adviser to prepare forecasts on the basis of these optimistic assumptions, it is not the fault of the adviser that the forecasts are 'high'."
The worst-case roads never had a chance of meeting their patronage estimates, not just on opening but perhaps ever. "In practice road traffic doesn't keep growing forever. It reaches an upper limit – the ceiling capacity – and volumes just sit on that until some big change happens to the network to trigger changes in travel times and behaviour. Motorists have limits and won't drive into a traffic jam which lasts for several hours a day," says Michelle Zeibots, a research principal at the Institute for Sustainable Futures at the University of Technology, Sydney.
"Some commentators have called traffic modelling a 'black art' as a way of explaining why forecasts are so different from reality. But for professionals who practise transport science in accordance with the international standards used to calculate highway capacities, this simply doesn't cut the mustard."
Zheng Li, a senior research fellow in transport at the Institute of Transport and Logistics Studies at the University of Sydney, believes there are other exogenous factors at play beyond incentives to submit exaggerated forecasts. The application of too high a value of travel time savings, is a typical problem.
"The traditional linear-utility approach to the valuation of travel time savings implicitly assumes risk-neutral attitudes of travellers; however a decisionmaker may also be risk averse or risk taking," he says.
He found that for Australian roads, over-prediction errors for the first year could range between 30 per cent and 50 per cent. Similar outcomes have been observed in the US, Spain and Norway.
A 2005 global study led by the Danish academic Bent Flyvbjerg found forecasts have not become more accurate in the 30 years he studied them and that half of road projects overestimated demand by more than 20 per cent and 25 per cent of road projects overestimated demand by more than 40 per cent.
The Australian Financial Review


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La Jetee's fans insist that it's the finest science fiction film ever made, and why not? It's truly unique, implementing a series of hundreds of unmoving pictures, beautifully edited together to tell a mind-bending story of time travel that doubles as a melancholy fable about memory, loss, childhood, and destiny. Only for a moment is there any action on screen (besides the implied action in the cuts from shot to shot), and that motion is one of the cinema's most profound. It's no exaggeration, finally, to say that La Jetee may represent film's closest approach to poetry.
This has been dubbed onto video from prints of varying quality; your best bet is a university film series or perhaps an art house or museum near you.


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FOLLOWING a dour Bledisloe Cup clash on Saturday, rugby union writer Jamie Pandaram and rugby league's Dean Ritchie debate rugby's place in the sporting landscape.
by Dean Ritchie
What would you rather watch: curling, bocce, darts, synchronised swimming, billiards ... or rugby union? How about anything but the latter?
The question must be asked: Has rugby union become the world's most boring sport in the wake of Saturday night's mind-numbing Bledisloe Cup game in Brisbane.
Eighty minutes, 12 penalty goals, no tries, 50 stoppages, 15 shots at goal. How bloody embarrassing.
Players such as Mark Ella, David Campese and Stephen Larkham must wonder how their once-great game has gone so horribly wrong over the past 15 years.
In the three Bledisloe Cup games this year, the Wallabies didn't score a try.
That is four hours of footy without a try. The all-conquering All Blacks only got across the line three times.On Saturday at Suncorp Stadium, Australia made just one line break. In the rugby league Test between the same nations a week earlier, five tries were scored through nine line breaks.
There seems little doubt that the A-League has nudged ahead of rugby union in terms of interest, entertainment and media space.
Both sides ran for a combined total of 937m on Saturday night. In the league Test, they ran for 2867m.
Rugby union has been famously marketed as the "running game" but that's a pretty tough sell these days.
It is a game bogged down in pedantic referees, handling errors, penalty goals, field goals, reset scrums and rules designed for conservative northern hemisphere nations.
And who is to blame for the state the 15-man code finds itself? Rugby league, of course, the sport that in 1895 sensibly removed two players from the field to create more space.
League types taught union players how to tackle and to dominate when they do it, not allow runners to get over the advantage line.
The difference is that league defensive lines retreat 10m. In rugby, the ruck is too crowded to allow much hope of line breaks or offloads.
Rugby does little to reward creativity and flair, traits which made Ella, Campese and Larkham so special.
As former Kangaroo Benny Elias said: "I missed the game on TV. I woke up this morning to watch the highlights but there weren't any."Even rugby's own were frustrated. "We're really, really disappointed," All Blacks coach Steve Hansen said. "Too many avoidable penalties and mistakes.
"It was probably one of the ugliest games of rugby that I've been involved in."
The British and Irish Lions tour our shores next year. Platinum tickets for each Test are selling for $295. Surely, no one would be that stupid.
By Jamie Pandaram
It is a big world, and there is a good reason why rugby is one of the biggest sports in it.
We can be guilty of looking through a narrow lens. NSW and Queensland may know Ben Barba, but South Africa and Wales know Kurtley Beale.
There is a reason for that.
Rugby is an everyman's game, not one where the prop, lock and winger all have the same physique. That means there are far more variables, skills and contests at play.
Rugby makes stars of Argentina's props, South Africa's locks, France's back-rowers, and Fiji's backs.
It brings together nations of varying and specialised skills, and critics expect it to flow seamlessly?
Fans love to see tries, but that is not all that is required to thrill the rugby masses. They appreciate the nuances and intricacies that make the game such a difficult art to master.
All rugby fans hate pedantic referees and stop-start contests, but they became fans because they have seen rugby at its best - it is the greatest game of all.
The Bledisloe series in 2000, anyone? Ask any of the 51,000 people at Suncorp Stadium who watched the drama unfold five minutes after the full-time siren had sounded on Saturday night whether they were bored.
Ask them if they thought there was not enough attacking motive when, having held off wave after wave of Wallabies attack in their own half after the final bell, All Blacks skipper Richie McCaw opted to take a scrum and attempt an 80m raid for the winning try.
McCaw risked conceding a scrum penalty, or a lost ball that would have given the Wallabies prime position for a field goal. He risked the game in order to win it. And they nearly pulled it off, but for a missed Dan Carter field goal.
At this level tries do not come easy, nor should they.
Just because two teams run up and back at each other all day, making all kinds of yardage, doesn't make it a thrilling contest.
The Wallabies drew against one of the best rugby teams ever assembled by scrapping, grinding and tackling beyond all levels of exhaustion.
And they did it without most of their top players.
Imagine a NSW Origin side without Paul Gallen, Mitchell Pearce, Todd Carney, James Tamou, Tony Williams, Jarryd Hayne, Josh Morris and Michael Jennings drawing 2-2 with a full-strength Queensland in the first game next year.
Would we be talking about the lack of tries or the Blues' incredible defence?
The recent league Test drew 26,000 spectators in Townsville. Double that turned up in Brisbane to watch the Bledisloe Cup after the series had been decided.
They may not have seen a try, but they saw one hell of a rugby game. So did many of our overseas friends.
Originally published as Is rugby union boring itself to death?


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Tonight was the highlight of the '06–07 Sixers season for me, by far. Not only because the Sixers came back from a 17–point deficit to beat the Hawks in overtime 109–104, but because tonight was the night that I was at the Wach, in Section 113 row BB, about 3 feet away from the action. The tickets my wife bought for my birthday were amazing, and the Sixers made the occasion special.
Before I get into the game, I'd like to prepare all you loyal readers for a special contribution to the blog, slated to come tomorrow night. Mrs. Depressed Fan will be writing a commentary on the Sixers cheerleaders, be prepared, she has a lot to say.
Anyway, about 14,000 brave souls were on hand for the game, and they got to see a gem from Iguodala (25 points, 8 assists, 4 boards and only 2 turnovers), a monstrous second half from Joe Smith (14 points after the break), a huge comeback from foul trouble for Dalembert (he only played 25 minutes, but finished with 16 points, 10 boards and 3 blocks) and a clutch performance by Willie Green in overtime (Willie Watch will be suspended tonight due to his three early in overtime and two free throws to ice the game, pictured above).
Tyronn Lue pretty much had his way with the Sixers, almost coming away with a triple-double (24 points, 9 assists and 8 boards). It took about 2 and a half quarters for the Sixers to figure out the Hawks' zone, but once they did, they were pretty much unstoppable. They put up 16 points in overtime. The key to the game was free throw shooting. The Sixers made 42 trips to the line and converted on 35 of them (83.3%).
Kyle Korver didn't dress for the game due to a wrist injury, and Rodney Carney went down late in regulation with what looked like a serious knee injury. Carney did walk off the floor under his own power, the post game show on 610 WIP said it was a strain. He's probably going to miss some time.
Speaking of the WIP, I was able to stomach about 20 minutes of the post-game on the way home before turning it off. I'm really sick of hearing about how these games are "must lose" situations for the Sixers. It's going to take a miracle to get into the top two slots at this point. To say that the Sixers should roll over and die for a few more balls in the lottery is ridiculous. It's obvious that this team is building for the future ON THE COURT right in front of our eyes. Mo Cheeks got some heckling at the game tonight from fans who weren't happy with the win. Fine, they paid their money to come see their team, they can express whatever feelings they want.
The talking heads, on the other hand, need to cut this team and front office some slack. It's pretty obvious that they haven't done a half-bad job in the draft (Iguodala, Dalembert, Korver are all building blocks. Carney and Lou Williams could become nice contributors down the road). The team will have cap space starting next season. It's more important that Andre Iguodala lead this team to wins now than it is to get a few more balls in the draft and wind up with Noah. Beyond Oden and Durant, this draft is a crapshoot, pick #3 could yield you as good a player as pick #15. Give it a rest.
Overall, the Philly road trip was outstanding. We kicked it off with a stop at Shock's bakery (on Lehigh and Thompson) for the best pound cake in the world, hit South Street for a cheese steak, and finished it off with a great game. See the slideshow below for the highlights.
Tags: Basketball | Sixers |


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Subject: Minnesota WeatherTalk Newsletter for Friday, August 20, 2010
-Comparing 1993 and 2010 Summer Rainfall
-June 17 Tornado Summary Available
-State Fair Weather Quiz on August 26th
-Climate Adaptation and Clean Water Summit
-Weekly Weather Potpourri
-MPR listener questions
-Almanac for August 20th
-Past weather features
-Mushroom weather
Topic: Comparing 1993 and 2010 Summer Rainfall
Recent media coverage on the flooding in Iowa has highlighted some similarities between the summers of 1993 and 2010 in terms of heavy rainfall. You can find more at...
http://www.weather.com/blog/weather/8_22649.html (the Weather Channel)
http://www.climate.umn.edu/doc/journal/wet_summer_2010.htm (the Minnesota State Climatology Office)
I thought it might be useful to do a similar comparison for Minnesota since most of our weather observers have seen above normal rainfall this summer as well. Normal total rainfall for June through August ranges from 10 inches in the far northwest to nearly 14 inches in southeastern Minnesota. So rainfall totals of 18 inches or greater over the three months represents 150 percent or normal or greater in terms of departures.
Back in 1993 much of central and southern Minnesota reported 150 percent of normal or greater for the summer months (June-August), with many areas reporting well over 20 inches. The average summer rainfall that year across southwestern Minnesota was over 22 inches, while the averages across south-central and southeastern counties were 23 and 21 inches respectively. Wettest ever summers were recorded at Lake Wilson with 26.90 inches, Albert Lea with 27.01 inches, Fairmont with 28.63 inches, and Bricelyn with 30.31 inches. Region-wide there were many reports of flooding on watersheds of all sizes.
In 2010 some Minnesota observers have already reported summer rainfall totals that exceed 18 inches, and there are still 11 days to go in August. But the huge surplus of rainfall is not as widespread across the state as it was in 1993. In fact areas of greatest surplus on rainfall this summer are widely dispersed. For example both Hinckley and Winona have seen rainfall totals of nearly 20 inches this summer, while Hampton (Dakota County), Farmington (Dakota County), Blue Earth (Faribault County), Lanesboro (Fillmore County), and Kinglsley Corner (Olmsted County) have already reported over 20 inches. Waseca, Winnebago, and Rosemount are not far behind having already reported over 18 inches of summer rainfall. Great as these numbers are they are no where near the record quantities of rainfall reported from Des Moines (27.89 inches), Ames (26.89 inches), or Otummwa (27.89 inches) in Iowa. Yet, there are still 11 days to go in August and the outlook calls for above normal rainfall during this period. So we may see some records approached in Minnesota as well.
Topic: June 17, 2010 Tornadoes Summarized
Todd Krause, Warning Coordination Meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Chanhassen, MN has posted a summary of the tornado events of June 17th. He reports that 24 of the 25 tornadoes reported within the Chanhassen forecast jurisdiction were videotaped. In total it appears that there were about 40 tornadoes statewide that day. There have been many more since and Krause thinks the record annual number of Minnesota tornadoes, 74 in 2001, will likely be exceeded. Read more at...
Topic: 14th Annual Minnesota Weather Quiz on MPR's Midday, August 26th
Minnesota Public Radio's Midday program will be the first MPR broadcast from the State Fair again this year on Thursday, August 26, from 11:00 am to 1:00 pm. During the first hour we will host the 14th Annual Minnesota Midday State Fair Weather Quiz. If you are curious about weather events and headlines from the past year and want to learn something, please tune in to MPR that day.
Topic: Clean Water and Climate Adaptation Summit, September 16-17, 2010
Earlier this month, United Kingdom Environmental Secretary Caroline Spelman spoke about the need to prepare for climate change across all sectors of government and within the business community. "We know that some level of [climate] change is now unavoidable and it is the responsibility of us all to think about what a changing climate will mean for our health, our businesses and our way of life. By planning for the adaptation we need now we can ensure that the UK is best placed to meet the challenges of climate change head-on. A warmer climate will bring both opportunities and challenges for businesses of all sizes. I want to ensure that UK businesses are well placed to take advantage of the new opportunities that arise as well as ensuring they are ready for the difficulties that higher temperatures and more adverse weather could mean for their staff and working practices. In the United States according to the Pew Center for Global Climate Change at least 38 states have already documented comprehensive climate action plans, and at least 21 states have Climate Adaptation Plans to adjust to changes anticipated or already occurring in their respective climate patterns. Minnesota is working in this direction as well. The University of Minnesota Landscape Arboretum in Chaska is hosting a two-day event next month (Sept 16-17) called Clean Water and Climate Adaptation Summit 2010. Anyone can register for this program and to learn more about it you can go to the web site...
The 18th Annual Kuehnast Lecture Program will be part of this event on the evening of September 16, starting at 7:00 pm. Speakers this year are Dr. Ben Santer from Lawrence/Livermore National Laboratory in California, and Dr. Eileen Shea from NOAA Climate Services. They will present modeling and data tools for assessing climate adaptation strategies. More about the Kuehnast Program at...
Weekly Weather Potpourri:
Recent reports from NASA scientists reveal the extent of declining Mangrove Forest ecosystems in the tropics and subtropics. The rate of loss in these ecosystems is higher than expected and likely related to changing climatic patterns. You can read more at...
With a few months to go in the tropical storm and hurricane season for the North Atlantic Basin, the National Weather Service in Miami, FL has published a nice summary of August storm climatology. It makes for some interesting reading. You can find it at..
After months of oppressive heat, drought, and wildfires, Russia was receiving some relief this week associated with a large-scale mid-latitude cyclone moving across the country. A wide cloud shield with significant rainfall was bringing much needed moisture to many areas, and behind the front was much cooler and drier air which was expected to bring widespread relief, especially to citizens without the benefit of air conditioning. Temperatures there over the weekend were mostly expected to be in the 50s and 60s F.
MPR Listener Question: Can you tell me how many Twins games have been postponed due to weather during the first season at Target Field?
Answer: I checked with friend Craig Edwards who is the game-day meteorologist for the Twins. So far only two games have been postponed due to weather. The game against Baltimore on May 7th was called off even before it began due to rain. It was played the next day as part of a double-header. The game against the Yankees on May 25th was postponed in the middle innings and resumed the next day as part of a day-night double-header. That's pretty good luck with the weather so far this year.
Almanac for August 20th:
The average MSP high temperature for this date is 80 degrees F (plus or minus 7 degrees standard deviation), while the average low is 60 degrees F (plus or minus 5 degrees standard deviation).
MSP Local Records for August 20th:
MSP weather records for this date include: highest daily maximum temperature of 97 degrees F in 1976; lowest daily maximum temperature of 62 degrees F in 1966; lowest daily minimum temperature of 40 degrees F in 1950; highest daily minimum temperature of 74 degrees F in 1906, 1955, and 1959; record precipitation of 2.23 inches in 1891.
Average dew point for August 20th is 58 degrees F, with a maximum of 78 degrees F in 1959 and a minimum of 28 degrees F in 2004.
All-time state records for August 20th:
Scanning the state climatic data base: the all-time high for this date is 105 degrees F at Campbell (Wilkin County) in 1976; the all-time low is 25 degrees F at Alborn (St Louis County) in 1934. The all-time record precipitation amount for this date is 8.00 inches at Worthington (Nobles County) in 1913.
Past Weather Features:
On August 21, 1883 an F-5 tornado (winds greater than 260 mph) passed through Rochester, MN damaging or destroying more than 300 homes. It was on the ground for 25 miles and derailed a train causing many injuries and killing a crew member. Over the period from 3:30 pm to 7:30 pm other tornadoes were observed elsewhere in SE Minnesota that day. In total 40 lives were lost.
On the evening of August 20, 1904 strong winds and tornadoes struck in parts of Carver, McLeod, Hennepin, Ramsey, and Washington Counties. Waconia was hit by an F-4 tornado (winds 207-260 mph). A section of the high bridge over the Mississippi River near St Paul was blown down, and the Tivoli Concert Hall in downtown St Paul was heavily damaged. In total the storms killed 15 people.
Overnight on August 19-20, 1913 heavy thunderstorms with frequent lightning strikes caused considerable damage near Worthington, MN. Rainfall totaled 8 inches, the greatest single day amount for that location. Many fields were flooded.
By August 20, 1959 a heat wave had its grip on Minnesota. Many observes reported temperatures in the 90s F with oppressive dewpoints in the 70s F. For residents of Tracy, MN it was the 13th day in August with a temperature of 90 degrees F or greater. Heat Index values ranged from 100 degrees F to 108 degrees F.
Word of the Week: Mushroom weather
A term used sometimes in Europe to describe warm and damp conditions that favor the emergence and development of mushrooms, especially the edible kinds that are hunted. Certainly our weather in Minnesota this month fits this criteria, but I don't get many reports of mushrooms.
Warming trend into the weekend with highs reaching the mid 80s to low 90s F by Sunday. Chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms by Monday, then better chances on Tuesday. Cooler temperatures by mid-week and drier too.
Further Information:
For older versions of the "Minnesota WeatherTalk" newsletter go to
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NOTE: News releases were current as of the date of issue. If you have a question on older releases, use the news release search (upper left-hand column of the News main page) or the main Extension search (upper right of this page) to locate more recent information.