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The Aftermath of the Global Housing Bubble Chokes the World Banking System. Only a Coordinated Worldwide Loan Massacre Could Defeat a Japanese-Style Dead-and-Dying-of-Debt Kamikaze. Hell Approaches Us All, But Only For An Extended Period.
PRINT Aftermath of the Global Housing Bubble
Sometimes the complexity of the world is a ruse, and seeing the overwhelming future of our fortunes is strangely simple. Our past and future credit crisis is but one case in point. Remember when fear and failure wrecked markets wising up to the fallout of debt given to anybody for anything, but especially for buying houses?
Naturally our financial leaders around the world took the radical steps required to reduce the debt created in a massive credit bubble. Oh, sorry, that was my fantasy world I was talking about. What our leaders are doing is correcting a severe cyclical recession. What our reporters are doing is covering a severe cyclical recession. What sublime kabuki theater.
Back in the real world, the destruction of debt required to cure a credit bubble hasn't been done. That means the reason for the new credit crisis is no different than during that past time of fear and failure – except that now we have new magnificent malignant clusters of sovereign debt serving as a sort of hand-held fan covering the unclothed emperor. Does that count as cover?
There is a prism I use to see the world. It is in houses. Look immediately above to see housing prices acting strangely in many advanced economies (the global housing bubble chart). Let me tell what I see when I look at this: We had one wicked housing bubble in the United States, but apparently we were the conservative party poopers. It looks like the funner countries are Ireland, Britain, Spain, Sweden, France, Norway, Denmark and Italy.
I know mortgages are used to buy houses. Yet they also represent not just the largest financial asset category, but the use of debt to buy anything including companies and commercial real estate and credit-card receivables. What are the futures of these debt assets? If we know the fate of mortgages do we know the fate of them all?
Oh and I also wonder about the sovereign kind? Luckily those debts are backed by the likes of honest hard-working Greeks who live to protect their impeccable reputation for being always good-and-true to their word ("Pass the Ouzo Aristotle. Do you have a cigarette? I hope you didn't have to pay any taxes this year.").
The strange case (Or is it the normal case?) is the residential mortgage market in the United States. Look immediately above. Values of the equity asset have fallen more than 30 percent, but the values of the debt asset (mortgages) used to buy the equity asset (homes) have fallen two percent. Both of these investments have a right to title to the same asset, but one has fallen FIFTEEN TIMES further than the other. Is this the real world or is it make believe?
While it's possible that this anomaly may hold, the 14 percent of residential mortgage borrowers who are now behind points toward the debt mortgage balances and the equity home values moving closer to each other.
That's a complicated way of saying that mortgage balances logically should fall in value in a ratio very much like the fall in value of the house asset itself. Has not happened yet, but isn't it true that the world at some point returns to earth?
We know that the fall in property values is real and we know that the United States bubble in values was far greater than any bubble of the last 120 years (See chart above and pay close attention to the amazing "X" bubble. That's historical Jack.). Thus now do you see the pattern of Armageddon gathering force and deciding when and where to explode and paint a picture of gore all across the world.
The American market in housing went totally off the deep end. A flood of negative equity now invades our land. Foreclosures in progress are at a record. Yet look yonder to strange and distant shores. Look at Italy and Denmark and Norway and France and Sweden and Spain and Great Britain and Ireland (Please click the chart below. Read it and weep.).
Their real estate market got bubbled worse than ours, but surely their central bank and treasury are more honest, courageous, and knowledgeable than ours?
Oh, I'm sorry. That's another scary presumption. Admit ruthless incompetence of the Fed and the Treasury in the management of our massive credit bubble, in the sense that they had not the slightest comprehension of their role as debt-destroyer-of-first-resort, but give them credit for being rather like the publishers of Consumer Reports where their evasions, deceptions, and ignorance are likely trivial when compared to old world masters like Italy and Spain who publish Penthouse and unending internet offshoots. Did you read the prospectus sir or just look at the pictures?
Just when you think it's impossible for dishonesty to be taken to the next level in the American housing market, you see a chart like this one, which, if true, means that bank-owned properties are being held like abandoned castles and that the next level has been achieved (The chart above shows huge numbers of bank-owned properties lying hidden in your local bank's burka. The banks own the properties, but they don't sell the properties, probably because it means death to the seller.).
I had always assumed that the shadow inventory was just bungling bankers failing to stay on top of their foreclosure cases. I didn't think of the sale of a foreclosure as a banker chugging boiling poison and embracing certain instant death. The bankers have a nice PR line out there saying that the wise wealthy collateral takers are waiting for the market to turn so they can reap greater rewards when they sell their foreclosures. Then I saw this chart, realized that I had been taken for a fool. I interpreted the chart as an executioner's song with a country-music theme. The title is "My Bank Sold My Shack to the Sheriff and Went Belly Up Big Time and Ain't Pay Back a Bitch Mr. Richy Rich."
One on top of the other, I then saw an unbelievable headline in Forbes: "Six Giant Banks Made $51 Billion Last Year; The Other 980 Lost Money."
And then I said to myself: "Well, if I owned a bank and my bank would go out of business if I sold my foreclosure collateral, would I just hold it then to live for another day?" The answer was obvious: Yes, I would just hold it like an old abandoned castle. Shame on me for believing the garbage about the bankers waiting for the market to turn back around. Are you telling me there is even one banker in the world that wouldn't sell collateral now and today if the price worked?
It takes me aback. It staggers me. Our housing market is a true obstacle course for an honest thinker.
The federal government is making every mortgage loan to forestall radical crashing, and our local banks are pretending to solvency by going into the castle-and-museum business — holding foreclosures as either investments or tchotchkes or as prayer beads.
My suggestion therefore is that you look in to the John Paulson subprime-mortgage trade. Read up on what that was all about. See if there is some form of echo housing-bust credit-crisis high-multiple sovereign-credit-default derivative which you can use to really get the chance to do it big this time. This is the best trade ever. It's easy. It's obvious. It's real.
The center cannot hold. America is a bubble, and no plan has been suggested to kill the bubble debt. The world is a bigger bubble, but nobody has a plan for a global debt-destruction project. It's not even on the agenda people. It's like the whole world has turned Japanese (Yes, I really think so.).
We and the world and debt behind mania will break. Hell will rule then, but remember, we will only have to live with it for an extended period.
And what if we don't break that debt in two? Then we will enjoy a Malthusian stumbling impoverishing zomby-ish period for about as long as forever is. Don't believe me? Ask the kamikaze people. They know what it's like to work side-by-side with a crushing credit-bubble balance sheet.
The kamikaze people are, of course, the Japanese. If a reader is fluent in the language, please send the translation. The words of the ghosts of the Japanese treasury follow:
"In our experience deleveraging is a fantasy in the aftermath of an extreme credit bubble. Now we know that and we watch as the world pretends we don't exist. You simply must ask the right question after a crash. You have to determine the likelihood of deleveraging. Is it logical that bubble debts issued to buy bubble assets will be paid back when bubble assets lose their bubble value?
"The obvious answer in our case was 'no'. The mania was too extreme. The debt is too extreme. Which leads to the next logical step. What should we have done? We should have created a massive write-off.
"It was our job to declare bankruptcy. We should have forced banks and insurance companies to convert debt to equity on a grand scale. We should have destroyed the equity investments of millions of people and thousands of companies. We didn't. We are still waiting to do what we should have done. What appeared to be especially cruel then we know now would have been smart, courageous, and humane. We know our wealth today would be much greater. We know our debt today would be much less. If we had taken radical action in the early nineties, our economy would be leading the world right now. Instead we lied about the solution. We lied about mania. We failed to admit our failure.
"Now we fight a monster. Our hands are tied behind our back. Every year the catastrophe gets worse. And if you use the word 'stimulus' among us, we will gladly deliver you immediately to the reward of a thousand and one virgins. Their souls are in heaven, and there you will meet, but their dead bodies are buried in our beautiful perfect streets paved with blood and sweat, with diamonds and gold, and made from fantastic sovereign debt, which we have taken from our own people.
"Remember this. Mark our words. We can't be helped you ridiculous idiots."
The Aftermath of the Global Housing Bubble Chokes the World Banking System. Only a Coordinated Worldwide Loan Massacre Could Defeat a Japanese-Style Dead-and-Dying-of-Debt Kamikaze. Hell Approaches Us All, But Only For An Extended Period.
PRINT Aftermath of the Global Housing Bubble
Thanks for carrying the story to Business Insider, Interest.co.nz, Jesse's Cafe Americain, Mortgage News Clips, Naked Capitalism, Patrick.net.
Michael David White is a mortgage originator in all 50 states.
August 12, 2010 1:16 pm
Thanks Michael. Good stuff. I posted on it again here http://markmartinezshow.blogspot.com/2010/08/were-screwed-ii-housing-market-version.html.
– Mark
terry permalinkAugust 4, 2010 11:44 pm
your charts all look a bit bogus. Not completely wrong just off a bit. For one think the US house price bubble started in 1995 and no 2000 as one of your charts suggests. Another think the developed mature and diverse econ of the USA is noting like the bubble econ of Japan from 1950 – 1990. The whole country of Japan was a bubble, stocks, housing, ect. Also your 120 years of case shiller housing index looks a bit off. For more clarity see the inflation adjusted version.
August 4, 2010 6:22 pm
The Red-Hot-Coal, of who is going to absorb the artificial portion of the home value, has been passed about with great urgency between the consumer and the bank, for quite some time (and this activity is a huge retardant of our economic recovery, as it delays the realization of the most accurate Actual Price of the real estate which is by far the highest-value market in US, which is why the rest of the economy is so dependent on it). BUT, when it is all said and done, the banks /investors will be left holding it. So far, they have tried to get as much as possible from the consumer through the ultimate intermediary (the government and its bailouts), knowing, that that is about all they are going to get. The banks are aware that the consumer will not absorb (which is to pay, $$) any of the artificial value (unless forced – bailouts), due to the innate "consumer" behavior (individualistic, selfish, inconsiderate, and quick to deflect cost; anywhere on this planet). How many among us, for a moderate potential gain, will not quickly burn his/her neighbor if there was a guarantee that it would never be found out? Hence, the jingle-mail, strategic defaults, and support for consumer-supporting legislation (CA). So, even thou "the consumer" is a huge # of bodies, it quickly becomes non-existent. So….. the banks are the ones that have to engage in strenuous and costly risk mitigation (currently-pegged property value, time-on-books, market and physical deterioration, "ugly and uglier" potential customer base, etc.). My take is that the banks are going to eat it, and eat it well. As they should, due to their unbelievable stupidity, cruelty, and lack of economic stewardship (paper loans? humanly unrealistic loan vehicles? "Who's gonna pay THAT back, dummy? You gonna trust Joe-the-Plumber to understand it all, or shoulder it all when $hit hits the fan?"). And, the blaring truth, they chose the side of the equation with the biggest risks. THESE RISKS MATERIALIZED! Boo hoo. So… I think/am positive that we will have further value depreciation (20%+), if only to help reconnect the overall basic cycle (bank lends money/leverage > customer uses the leverage > customer returns the leverage+interest). The bank's main business is to lend, but today to who? Their customer base is reduced and tarnished, primarily due to the banking industry's unwitting, self-destructive, and greedy behavior. So either they (seriously) lower their lending standards or wait it out until the value of the item (real estate) gets low enough to meet their risk comfort zone, which is risk-adverse (normally). It's going to be a compromise, but mostly on the side of the banks. They WILL have to lower their credit score and lending criteria ("let's forgive and forget" attitude), or give smaller loans (which puts downward pressure on the price), or shut down (which a $hitload of them are doing today). Any and all price reduction in real estate helps with the recovery, providing for the best and most solid re-construction of the whole economy (as these types of drastic fluctuations can and have eliminated whole industries), sucks for the greedy Seller . "The consumer"… will be forced to go back to the ethical basics (Great Depression basics), "save some GD money for a down-payment you inconsiderate idiot, that way you are not dumping the full risk on the lender/bank, which helps stabilize the most significant market in the economy." For the consumer class, due to its huge broadness and size, not much more can be ethically expected, as it is generally constricted to a reduced common denominator, especially in financial and banking industry knowledge and intelligence. Now…. if this last sentence were law, we would not be here today
Brian Woods permalinkAugust 3, 2010 8:02 am
Only one little quibble. You use the term 'cyclical recession' a few times. Not so – its a Structural (economic) Regression to some previous level of aggregate economic activity – say the mid 90s. Things will bobble around at this level for a while before dipping again to a new lower level. Interesting times ahead!
Brian P
Swiss Genome permalinkAugust 2, 2010 11:59 am
No doubt some European Countries have had a Housing bubble compared to the U.S. but what they didn't have was a Mortgage bubble full have unqualified borrowers and rampant credit fraud. That today is the big difference between the U.S. and Europe and the reason why default rates on U.S. Housing far excedd those in Europe. Europeans in general are Net Savers and didn't use their Homes as ATMs . . . . Americans in general are up to their ASS in Debt and their lies the problem. This is another reason why Europe will experience an Economic RECOVERY long before the U.S. In addition, Europe did not export it means of manufacturing like the U.S. did to China. U.S. has long term systemic Unemploment problem. If you compare Real (U6) Rates of Unemployment in the U.S. to Europe that is, you'll find than U.S. unemployment is nearly double the European mean rate. Euyrope is in a much better place to recover from.
gordon permalinkAugust 2, 2010 11:35 am
More and more homes underwater will and are strategically defaulting. When they see the $1mil+ homes doing that (smart money) they finally catch on. I think the emotional trauma takes time for mostly stupid Americans to view the financial hardship of paying into a mortgage the rest of their lives and never breaking even. That's because wages will never rise enough to repeat the price boom. Thus the Fed's & corrupt politician's schemes to put a floor under housing will fail without higher wages.
Extend & pretend values held by banks need to be forced out in the open.
gordon permalinkAugust 2, 2010 12:14 pm
Here's a good breakdown on the over 4 million US homes with over 50% NEGATIVE equity, just imagine where this trend will go when and IF the corrupt banks are forced to flush these shadow inventories of REOs out of the system.
The corrupt game-plan is still to off-load all the bank's bad mortgages, at least residential, onto Fannie/Freddie>>> FHA>>>Treasury>>>taxpayers , imo, this stealth plan is a work in progress. It can be followed by examining the Fed's balance sheet, to see if they're still buying MBSs, which was "supposed" to end March 31. The latest suspected corruption was a reduction in $200billion "excess reserves" on the Fed's bal sheet (per zerohedge) which is unexplained but suspected as a swap for yet more bad MBSs from banks, using the Primary Dealers as a conduit.
Rob Chadwick permalinkAugust 2, 2010 6:14 am
I appreciate your analysis, but I think you may be missing a key variable in your analysis: the COST of owning a home in terms of mortgage rates. Look at your first graph — at your baseline index of 100 In 1997, Mortgage rates averaged 7.5%+
Towards the end of your chart, 2009, mortgage rates averaged 6%.
in 2010, mortgage rates have averaged 5%
So, the cost of owning a home has dropped 33%.
You could argue that not everyone is at 5% (Merril Lynch in their recent paper urging Freddie Mac/Fannie Mae instant refis put the congregate rate for all outstanding mortgages at 6%), but not everyone in 1997 was at the then attractive rate of 7.5% either.
With the cost of debt coming down, I don't see a case for your argument that the principal on the debt should fall anywhere near the rate of fall of the asset value.
I'd appreciate your comments/further clarification.
Keith permalinkJuly 31, 2010 7:05 pm
From the posting: "It's like the whole world has turned Japanese (Yes, I really think so.)."
I like your blog but I lost a little respect for you when I saw you were quoting The Vapors song "Turning Japanese".
James Tetreault permalinkJuly 31, 2010 9:10 am
I'm curious, can anyone explain why the German housing market is represented in that first graph as having gone steadily downhill in price? The same dynamics that afflicted Japan weren't present. So what happened?
July 31, 2010 12:12 pm
I think it has something to do with absorbing east germany.
Wolferl permalinkJuly 31, 2010 5:13 pm
The chart bases 1997 as 100, East Germany was absorbed in 1990. But you are right, house prices fell sharply in east Germany, even since 1997.
But even in large cities in West-Germany house prices stayed more or less the same since the early 90`ies, exept for cities like Frankfurt, Hamburg or Munich. The main reason is, that the population did not grow. And german banks are very restriktiv in loans for privat houses. They just lend 50 % or a little more of the price to buy a home. So only people who can afford buy a home, which reduces the demand.
Peter T permalinkAugust 1, 2010 1:27 am
German banks have traditionally made loans for 60% of a house price at very low rates, which are then transformed into covered bonds. An additional 20% can sometimes be borrowed for a higher rate. To have an even lower or no downpayment at all is still very rare, even if some foreign banks tried to introduce that concept in Germany, too.
michael permalinkAugust 1, 2010 2:47 am
The population did not grow, house prices in Germany had already tripled from 1975 to 1995, and -a bit counterintuitive- in sought after regions very little land had been zoned as new residential building land since the late 80's. So in these better regions there was no boom, no trading-up movers vacated smaller and cheaper homes for newcomers, and existing home sales were few in number.
Peter T permalinkAugust 1, 2010 1:22 am
After one hyperinflation (1923) and another large inflation (1945-1948), real estate was seen in Germany as the preferred investment and was accordingly high priced. Around 1980, all central banks in the world 's fought inflation and increased fund rates, which brought Germany's real estate down, and it lost its reputation as best investment. Demography did its additional work to make real estate an inferior form of investment, a house is now considered shelter and not a way to riches anymore. Japan had a similar experience ten years later, and similar demographic problems. In some places in Germany, however, like Berlin with its cheap houses, prices are increasing now.
July 31, 2010 9:01 am
pardon??? thanks for the honesty but you, as an economist should know that the economic world is no place for honesty.. it's an upside down, ass backward shell game where all this conjecture makes for a bunch of hot air.. look around your nearest big box store assault location… lots are full of eager shoppers filling their carts in order to stuff their over valued, mortgaged abodes. this will go on for the foreseeable future and any panic followed by devaluation will only serve as a temporary buying opportunity for those with the means and fortitude.. this has been going on since the days of Jobe and will continue until this planet becomes just another distant star….
July 31, 2010 8:47 am
Great analysis. However, is not most sovereign debt denominated in currencies that, like the dollar, are backed by nothing? Can not the Treasury / Fed simply buy back its debt with newly printed dollars? Do enough of that and you have real debt destruction – no contract changes, no bankruptcy, just reduction of buying power of the nominal debt. I bought a gorgeous ocean-front house in 1994 for $104,000, all carried by the seller. It is now worth more than $2M. We can do it again, all it takes is the will, and, given the pain your prediction entails, I suspect the will will develop.
Expat permalinkJuly 31, 2010 5:48 am
Does anyone have any good material on the French housing bubble. It is obviously a bubble, but the French maintain that "it's different here," etc. French lending standards were apparently maintained at a normal, strict level throughout the bubble, so I can't find the mechanism. Was it simply the global credit bubble overstimulating the French economy in general? Foreign buyers using foreign, lax financing?
Any ideas?
David permalinkJuly 31, 2010 10:27 am
I bought a house in southern France in 2005. I'm a US citizen. Since then I've become acquainted with dozens of other ex-pat home buyers in the Languedoc-Roussillon region and most of us feel that our values have gone down about 3 -6%. Make no mistake, the housing bubble in France was largely a foreign buyer phenomenum, and most of those buyers were from GB, as in Spain. By 2001 or 2 Ireland and Great Britain were already more expensive than France, even more so Spain. Retirees could live in sunny southern France cheaper than GB, and the English banks were happy to finance their purchases. (Actually, the French banks were competitive for ex-pat mortgage business, too. Credit Agricole made a nice presentation to get my loan.) The problem now is that the value of the euro has continued to gain on the pound, at least enough that if you're living in retirement on a fixed-income pension from GB, that many of the ex-pats are having to sell their homes. Some of these are distress sales, but not as extreme as in US, as values just haven't fallen as far – YET. I'm in for the long haul, so not as concerned as many of my neighbors. I don't have very good answers to your other questions, but I think one of the factors in the French "bubble" was that housing was already expensive there before the rest of the world got going on the big bubble, consequently, the French 'starting place' was higher, the bubble slower running up, and it couldn't get as big. I suspect the French banks are not very concerned about their housing loans (at least as compared to their exposure to sovereign debts of the PIIGS) because the market is not really collapsing there, but seems to be making a manageable correction. So far…
July 29, 2010 9:06 pm
How about a cartel-busting class-action lawsuit against "extend and pretend"? It is clearly a cartel/collusion of banks and government agreeing to not let the market work to the benefit of buyers. Can potential buyers and people who want to see orderly deleveraging come together as plaintiffs to knock them on their butt?
July 29, 2010 5:54 pm
Good article. Yes, property prices in the USA will drop another XX% – that's a given. The real carnage will be Australia, parts of Europe, China, possibly Korea and a few other less significant markets (Singapore for example).
What has been done is criminal. Even after the USA blew up some markets followed in the same foot steps – almost as if they want to experience the same pain and destruction as the USA has.
Why? Because the whole system is run by criminals. Just as the criminals did in the USA, they lobbied the government (fed and state), had a huge (well organized) PR campaign, made sure all players were being well compensated (as long as they went along with the scam), and vilified anyone who spoke out.
I have been to several of these markets and seen first hand master puppet shows.
Australia – From the RE agents to the banks – everyone has the same message: Property is a great investment. Australia is different than the USA. We have a growing (immigrant) population. Demand is high, blah, blah. Prices are ridiculous. 300K for a starter home built on scrub land far from the city. And if you speak out you get stomped on.
Korea – Two million bucks for a 2000 SF condo (with no facilities) in Seoul. The cheapest? $80,000 for a 500SF condo in a provincial city. The condo has nothing – no pool, no assigned parking, no facilities at all – just a piece of concrete in the sky with a door. And mortgages require about a 60% down payment.
China – We have all read about it. A few hundred thousand for a piece of concrete in the sky – bought by someone making $8000 a year. How? They borrow money from relatives to make the downpayment (20%). A big yet more complicated Ponzi scheme.
Europe – Already we have seen places like Spain blow up. Parts of Spain have already seen 50% price reductions and still no buyers. Most of the price inflation was imported from other countries like the UK. So the harder the UK falls the more Spain will deflate. Other parts of Europe probably will see a slow & steady decline.
Daniel Kroc
July 29, 2010 11:45 am
We are not going to be able to stop our immediate future from happening. It is already in the pipeline, and has been for many years! We have to through a depression and that is all there is to it. The real question is how severe is it going to be, and for how long! The government budgets have to be balanced without raising taxes!
Bailey permalinkJuly 29, 2010 11:17 am
So just what is going to make the fat lady sing here though? I mean, the homes and properties being held in shadow inventory are going to continue to deteriorate. What are they going to do then in a few years, just raze these deteriorated abandoned properties so they can pretend they never existed in the first place (Geitner and gang are allowing banks to not show toxic assets)? I understand also that they are trying to stager them out ever so slowly (so as not to decimate prices), but according to your table, there is no way they will keep up, so I really wonder what cause these banks to finally put these houses on the market.
July 29, 2010 11:09 am
BETTER GO INTO A DEPRESSION WITHOUT DEBT, THAN DEEPER IN DEBT! If you have to ask why, don't respond and just invest some time thinking about it…. To our governments I say: BALANCE YOUR BUDGETS WITHOUT RAISING TAXES!
Tod permalinkJuly 28, 2010 10:20 am
Jeff permalinkJuly 28, 2010 8:08 am
So if house values do drop another 20%, thats going to put tens of thousands of home owners underwater. That will kill what's left of the refi business because banks won't want to do a refi for that much less. So what is the implication for all of the home owners who are not yet but will become underwater? I am pretty sure banks won't want to write down the loss and home owners don't want to be paying 20+% over current value. Does this just lead to a mass exodus from housing? Should owners get out now before it gets worse?
Love the site. Would love to know what the implications are for home owners and what (if anything), can be done before the bottom drops out.
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Levinson, Ralph and Douglas, Annamarie and Evans, Jane Elizabeth and Kirton, Alison and Koulouris, Pavlos and Turner, Sheila and Finegold, Peter (2001) Valuable Lessons: Engaging with the Social Context of Science in schools. [Report]Full text not available from this repository.
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|This report resulted from research commissioned by the Wellcome Trust to identify the opportunities and impediments for teaching controversial issues arising from biomedicine and biotechnology to 14-19 year olds. Completed questionnaires were received from 305 schools and further education colleges in England and Wales followed by extensive semi-structured interviews with 111 teachers across the curriculum in twenty institutions selected from the questionnaire responses. Interviews with the teachers drew on analyses from the questionnaires. Interview transcripts were thematically coded by groups of researchers and inferences inductively derived. Conclusions from the report had a national impact and were widely discussed on the BBC website. Conclusions also led to further research commissioned by The Wellcome Trust on interdisciplinary collaboration. The report is widely cited and is the first to cover the teaching of controversial socio-scientific issues with such an extensive range of teachers. Before publication the report was refereed and modified as a result. The lead author was solely responsible for writing the article. This report resulted from research commissioned by the Wellcome Trust to identify the opportunities and impediments for teaching controversial issues arising from biomedicine and biotechnology to 14-19 year olds.
|Controlled Keywords:
|11 - 16 , 17 - 18 , England , Wales , Secondary school , Post-compulsory educational institution (not HE) , Pedagogy
|IOE Departments > Departments > Geography, Enterprise, Mathematics and Science
IOE Departments > Departments > Curriculum, Pedagogy and Assessment
IOE Departments > Departments > London Centre for Leadership in Learning
|Depositing User:
|IOE Repository Editor (2)
|Date Deposited:
|14 Oct 2009 14:11
|Last Modified:
|29 Jan 2015 10:06


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[Date Index]
[Thread Index]
[Author Index]
Re: Remove the higher order terms in series expansion
Hardly hiding at all!
Look in Section 1.5.10, "Power Series", of the Mathematica Book --
either the printed version or the on-line version you can access in the
Help Browser. The 6th example there shows how evaluating Normal at the
value that Series returns does exactly what you want.
"Normal" is also mentioned in the page you see if you simply look up
Series in the HelpBrowser's Built-in Functions.
highorder wrote:
> I guess this should be simple and hiding somewhere in the manual. Is
> there a quick way to remove the high order terms after using
> Series[f,{x,x0,n}] command? The problem comes from the output is
> actually given by:
> expansion term + O(x^3);
> the O(x^3) should be removed. I will keep trying but wondering if
> anyone has a quick answer.
Murray Eisenberg murray at math.umass.edu
Mathematics & Statistics Dept.
Lederle Graduate Research Tower phone 413 549-1020 (H)
University of Massachusetts 413 545-2859 (W)
710 North Pleasant Street fax 413 545-1801
Amherst, MA 01003-9305


text:
Auditor General Wagner receives Amen Corner honor
No big surprise at the response a stack of proclamations from political friends (and frenemies) evoked from the state's "Fiscal Watchdog" as he accepted the Excellence in Leadership Award from Amen Corner.
"Taxpayer dollars!" joked Auditor General Jack Wagner. "It's an honor ... receiving this award makes me humble."
A room filled with judges, politicos, movers and shakers were spotted at the Mansions on Fifth Wednesday evening, where newly sworn-in prez Erik Wagner was sharing the spotlight while showing off his heavy metal.
"They put the weight of the office on me," he laughed, holding up his Amen Corner Presidents Necklace.
Elsewhere, June Yonas, Chuck Evans, Eddie Everett, Barb Wagner, Mary Sue Ramsden, Paul Sutter, Thom Naylor, MF owners Mary Del Brady andRichard Pearson, the Hon.Jeff Manning and the Hon. Terry O'Brien were amongst those toasting the 142nd birthday of the networking honey hole that, according to legend, got its name from the shouts of "Amen!" that would punctuate lively discussions of its members after a valid point was made.


text:
weight loss simulator
We face, weight loss simulator, in today's hectic life in many ways it was say 10 or more years ago , leaving one scarcely any time for themselves , if at all .
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Try to drink lots of water every day! Although foster 8 glasses of water is that you can place between sugar and soda or something to that effect .
Your office space , higher has to work in a high rise , and avoid the lift . Move to trash compactor where driving is that every morning . Wake up in the morning with a loaf of bread , and avoid a cup of regular tea , coffee bar , or energy normally your way to find work . When watching TV , sit on the floor and make the structure of the palm of his hand on the seat of the bed , sofa or chair behind you lies .
Like all physical activities , be sure to consult a health professional advice where needed , but most of all, enjoy your life , you enjoy waking up every day and do this process of meditation and dreams of ideal weight and time ?
Loss can and should be fun , should not be motivated attachment point or event to be a bridesmaid in the wedding of your best friends during the 6 weeks !
Instead, weight loss simulator, focus on small steps of a child , a system after all , and not an event . Therefore , if the results are not detectable in the first two weeks , take heart , your body just adjusting to the new standard , it has a certain opposition , but , like in a toy store you as soon as possible to ensure the you have to do the best you weight before even knowing


text:
Special Events: Graduate Commencement
Friday, April 27, 2018 | 10 AM
See also:
Paramount Theatre
2025 Broadway, Oakland, CA 94612
The following process must be completed by March 1, 2018, in order to participate in the commencement ceremony:
You must first Apply for Graduation
Applying for graduation lets us know that you intend to complete all your degree requirements soon. Graduating from the University is not associated with any additional fees. Graduation applications are valid for three consecutive terms, beginning with the term for which a student first applies. For example, if a student applies to graduate in Fall 2016, the application will be valid for Fall 2017, Spring and Summer 2018 terms. If students do not complete their academic program requirements within those three terms, their applications will expire and they will be required to reapply for graduation.
Once you have applied for graduation, you must Register for Commencement
Commencement is the ceremony that celebrates your graduation. You will not receive your diploma at the ceremony. You can participate in the ceremony even if you have not completed all of your requirements for graduation, but you do need to be close to completing all of your requirements. Please see section below for more information.
To participate in the commencement ceremony you must pay the $100 commencement fee. This is a non-refundable fee. Only those that have registered and paid for Commencement will be allowed to participate in the ceremony. This must be completed by March 1, 2018.
NOTE: Fees for commencement paid by credit card will be charged a 2.75% fee.
When you register for commencement, you will be asked to indicate your height and weight so that we can order the correct regalia (cap and gown) for you. Everyone must order regalia. You may not wear robes from a previous commencement ceremony. The regalia are rentals and will need to be returned after the ceremony.
Students who do not register for commencement by March 1, 2018, deadline are not guaranteed a spot in the commencement ceremony.
If you are allowed to participate you will have to pay an additional $50 late fee for a rush order for regalia and you will receive just four tickets for your family and friends.
Students who have completed their course requirements in Summer 2017, Fall 2017, or Spring 2018 AND students with a maximum of 12 units remaining to complete their degree and plan to complete those requirements in Summer 2018 may participate in the commencement ceremony.
Missing the graduation and commencement deadlines means that you may not be able to participate in the commencement ceremony. If there is extra space, we may be able to squeeze you in, but your commencement fee will include a $50 late charge and you will receive just four tickets for your family and friends.
Watch the ceremony online as it happens!
Streaming begins at 10 am PST on April 27, 2018.
Golden Gate University is seeking a Student Speaker to deliver an address at the 2018 Commencement Ceremony on behalf of the graduating class.
Regalia are the robes worn during the commencement ceremony -- this includes cap, gown, hood, and tassel. When you register for commencement, you will be asked to indicate your height and weight so that we can order the correct regalia for you. Everyone must order regalia. You may not wear robes from a previous commencement ceremony. The regalia are rentals and will need to be returned after the ceremony.
Regalia can be delivered to your home for a nominal fee ($13.50) on or around April 12, 2018. You will need to call the bookstore at 415-442-7277 to arrange for home delivery.
Grad Fair
April 7, 2017; 2:30 - 6:30 pm
University Center, 6th Floor
536 Mission Street, San Francisco
Of course, you want to celebrate with your friends and family! In order to attend the ceremony, your friends and family will need tickets (you don't need one).
All graduates will receive five tickets. Look for an email with information about the tickets the first week of April.
Children are welcome to attend commencement; however, graduates and their guests should consider that the event lasts approximately two hours. If the child will occupy a seat, he/she will need a separate ticket.
If your family members need an official invitation letter for a visa interview to come to the commencement ceremony, please Submit the Letter Request Form.
Balloons are not allowed at the venue.
There are many public transportation options. To find the best one for you, use this Google Map to get directions.
- The Paramount Theatre is 500 feet from the 19th Street BART Station. Take the "20th Street Exit" stairs up from the station, and walk NORTH on Broadway toward 21st Street. For routing information, select "19th Street, Oakland" as your destination on this BART Trip Planner.
- Plan a trip to the Paramount via public transportation and find transit routes and services on the 511.org Trip Planner.
- Go east across The Bay Bridge
- Bay Bridge becomes I-80 East
- Take the I-880 South ramp towards Alameda / Airport / San Jose
- Take the W. Grand Ave exit
- Head east on W. Grand Ave
- Turn right on Broadway Ave
- The Paramount Theatre will be located on your right at 2025 Broadway
- FROM MARIN, I-580 E/Richmond San Rafael Bridge puts you on I-80 West
- FROM BERKELEY, RICHMOND OR SACRAMENTO follow I-80 West
- From I-80 West take 580 East to 980 West
- From 980 West take the 18th Street Exit
- Merge onto Brush Street
- Turn left onto 17th Street
- Turn left onto Broadway
- The Paramount Theatre will be located on your left at 2025 Broadway
- Take I-680 South to Hwy 24 West ramp towards Oakland / Lafayette
- Merge onto Hwy 24 West
- After going through the Caldecott Tunnel, Hwy 24 becomes I-980 West
- From I-980 W. take the 27th Street exit towards W. Grand Avenue
- Merge onto Northgate Avenue
- Turn left onto W. Grand Avenue
- Turn right onto Telegraph Avenue
- Turn left onto 20th Street
- Turn left onto Broadway/Broadway Auto Row
- The Paramount Theatre will be located directly ahead
- Take I-880 North towards Oakland
- Take the Broadway exit towards Downtown Oakland
- Stay to the right at the fork in the ramp
- Merge onto Broadway
- Broadway becomes Broadway / Broadway Auto Row
- Stay on Broadway to 21st Street
- The Paramount Theatre will be located directly ahead
There are several major parking facilities near The Paramount Theatre:
Honors are awarded to master's degree graduates who maintained cumulative grade point averages in GGU courses as follows:
- With Honors: 3.800 - 3.899
- With High Honors: 3.900 - 3.999
- With Highest Honors: 4.000
All graduates receiving honors status (as designated above) will receive an honor cord to wear with their regalia. Honor cords will be distributed to those who met the honors criteria at the end of the Fall 2017 trimester only.
Honor cords will be made available at the Grad Fair on April 6, 2018. If you do not attend the Grad Fair, honor cords will automatically be mailed to the address we have on file.
Honor designations do not apply to certificate programs or Doctoral degrees.
Honors is noted on your diploma will be based on your GGU GPA after all courses have been completed.
Students must arrive by 9 am to check in, line up and make sure they have properly put on their graduation regalia. Please see Student Check-In information.
Family and friends may not wait with students while they check in, line up and proceed to stage. Family and friends will be permitted into the auditorium at 9 am. Guests who have notified us they will need accommodated seating will be permitted to enter through a separate entrance and encouraged to take their seats between 8:45 and 9 am. Please fill out the Special Accommodation Form by clicking here.
The ceremony will begin promptly at 10 am and will last between 2 to 2-1/2 hours. Please stay seated during the entire ceremony unless instructed to do otherwise.
NOTE: Balloons are not allowed at the venue.
GradImages will take professional pictures of the ceremony. Guests must remain in their seats and maintain the safety and dignity of this very important event. GradImages will take student photographs as they walk across the stage. On the back of the name card that students receive at check-in, they can indicate a mailing address or e-mail address. GradImages will mail or e-mail students a proof of their picture, which can then be purchased online.
Please complete the Special Accommodation Form. If you have additional questions, e-mail email@example.com or call 415-442-7288. We have requested certain seating arrangements to meet the needs of the guests. If your guests arrive the day of the event without prior arrangements, we cannot guarantee accommodations.
When you arrive, you will be instructed to check-in based on your last name. You will receive a card with a label on it. The label will include your name and degree information. Please confirm that this is correct. On the back of the name card is information from the photographer. Please fill out the necessary information on the back of the card.
The label will also include information to help you line up for the procession into the ceremony. There will be a line letter and number on the label. The letter indicates which line you should get in (A, B, C or D) and the number indicates your place in the line. For example, you may see A37 -- this indicates that you are in line A and are 37th in the line.
Please hold on to this card until you hand it over to the name reader during the graduation ceremony.
After check-in, you will be directed to the robing area. Staff will be available to help you with your regalia. Please bring safety pins and bobby pins to secure your cap and gown as necessary.
- It is best to have your regalia ironed and ready to go when you arrive.
- Please wear sensible shoes as you will be walking up and down stairs.
View a Video on How to Wear Your Cap, Gown, and Hood
There is no place to put your personal belongings in the check-in area. Please bring to the check-in area only what you intend to wear as you walk across the stage, and have your family and friends hold on to any other personal belongings. The staff is not responsible for any lost or left behind items.
The processional will form at 9:30 am. Graduates will line up in separate lines according to degree and program. Within each degree, the students will be lined up alphabetically by using the number labels on their cards. Students are to follow the directions of the marshals. The marshals will direct you into your lines, take you down the stairs and seat you. When it is your turn to receive your degree, the marshals will escort you up to the platform. You then will walk up the stairs, hand your card to the name reader, walk across the stage, shake hands with the faculty standing on stage, receive your diploma cover, and walk off the stage and down the stairs on the opposite side of the podium. When you are off the platform, the marshals will again direct you back to your seat. Please show respect for your classmates who receive their diplomas after you by remaining quiet and orderly as you leave the stage and are guided back to your seat. You must return to your seat until the recessional.
The Bookstore will be collecting the rental gowns and hoods at the conclusion of the ceremony. Graduates will be returning their gowns and hoods in the reception area. Your school account will be charged $250, if the bookstore does not receive your gown and hood by May 1, 2018.
An announcement informs the recipient of Golden Gate University's commencement ceremony date, time, and location. Tickets allow guests to attend the commencement ceremony. Please note that announcement and tickets are not the same thing.
Announcements are optional. However, if you would like to order personalized announcements, you may order them by visiting Herff Jones.
Please remember it will take at least 2 to 4 weeks for Herff Jones to process your personalized announcements. You will want to order them as early as possible so that you may receive them in time to send out at least 4 to 6 weeks in advance of the ceremony.
Receive 10% discount on frames at the Grad Fair!
Class rings can be purchased online by visiting the school's vendor, Jostens, or you may place an order at the Grad Fair with a Jostens representative on April 6, 2018.
For questions regarding commencement:
Commencement Ceremony
|Student Affairs
Diploma / Certificate Processing
|Records and Registration
Graduation Clearance
|Academic Advisor
|See Academic Advising Web Page
Degree Verification
|Enrollment Services -- Records
Financial Holds on Transcripts / Diplomas
|Student Financial Services
|Enrollment Services -- Records


text:
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Expertly cut to appear visibly larger, the Celebration Grand® - our ideal-cut diamond - outshines other diamonds of the same carat weight. The Celebration Grand® boasts 14% more surface area as compared to a standard diamond, so it can capture and reflect more light, creating a spectacularly larger look. Designed to be noticed, the Celebration Grand® is available in a large selection of shapes and styles to fit any budget. Confidently declare your love with our boldest cut, backed by an equally bold guarantee.
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text: Sona Heiden seems to have found a way to be in the news. The glamorous girl, who hit the headlines a few months ago after accusing SPB Charan of sexual charges, has now filed a cheating case against producer T Siva at the Tamil Nadu Producers Council.In her complaint, the actress has accused T Siva of selling the dubbing rights of Kanimozhi without her permission. According to the deal, she has 50% share not only in the Tamil film but also in other versions as well. However, putting aside their agreement, the filmmaker has sold it to Jakkula Nageswara Rao.Hence, Sona Heiden believes that T Siva has cheated her and seeks immediate action against the filmmaker. Kanimozhi starred Jai, Shazahn Padamsee and Vijay Vasanth. The movie directed by Sripathy Rangasamy was jointly produced by Siva and Sona.


text:
RFE: Conference Listings
This service is a joint project of RFE and EconBiz.
African Accounting and Finance Association (AAFA);University of Mauritius
- Dates:
- September 02-04, 2015
- Description:
- 5th Annual Conference of the African Accounting and Finance Association - AAFA 2015
- Location:
- Balaclava, Le Meridien Hotel, Mauritius
- Subject:
- The conference invites conceptual, empirical research, and country case study presentations in all areas of accounting and finance. Paper submissions and presentations must address both the theoretical and practical implications of the findings.[gem?_?? den Informationen des Anbieters - according to site editor's information]
- Notes:
- JEL Code:
- Sponsor:
- http://aaahq.org/calls/AAFAconference015CFP_Englishfirstcall.pdf


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Online Entertainment That's for the Taking
Deals on Books, Movies, Music and More Are Offered on Most Days, You Just Need to Know Where to Look
For all the money people spend on technology gadgets, it's about time they got something without spending a cent. In this week's column, I've compiled a cheat sheet to some of the most popular free digital content that isn't always easy to find. This includes books, music, movies, TV shows, catalogs, magazines and apps, available on mobile devices as well as computer desktops.
This guide is divided into the four major content companies you're likely to buy from: Apple, Amazon, Google and Barnes & Noble. The free...


text:
Tucson freelance photographer Will Seberger died on Aug. 17 in Tucson. He was 33 years old. Will was a University of Arizona graduate who became a ubiquitous presence at major news and sports events in Southern Arizona and Phoenix. His work was featured in the Wall Street Journal, New York Times, Time, Newsweek, Mother Jones and Sports Illustrated.
Will worked for the Arizona Daily Star in 2006-07, as he was establishing himself as a working freelance photojournalist. (Click the photo above for a gallery of his work for the Daily Star.)


text:
Google Maps has become the mascot and the bogeyman in a revolution transforming the way government works in Australia.
Optimists believe this revolution could create a powerful partnership between business, governments and the individual.
Big data are business's buzzwords du jour. It is only now politicians and policymakers realise a reckoning is coming: what does technology means for governments?
Consider this: a week ago when it emerged the 113-year-old Australian Valuation Office would be axed, a small seismic tremor rolled through the public service.
Unlike many government agencies, the office – with 198 staff – actually made a profit of $800,000 last financial year.
But its future was doomed: there was a $4 million projected deficit this year, the need for a $1 million outlay on technology and cost-cutting by its major client the Department of Human Services.
But the death knell really came in the form of Google Maps. Internet technology such as Google Maps allows the private sector to gather information quicker, cheaper, more efficiently and more accurately than the government once could. A tech company that didn't exist 10 years ago sidestepped a century-old institution.
Instead of sending out a valuer on horseback, then later a car, to physically inspect a property, an internet valuation firm can provide the necessary parameters in a few computer keystrokes.
Avalanche heading towards ABS
Now the big data avalanche is heading the way of one of Australia's largest government agencies: the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
It needs up to $300 million to completely replace its ageing technology if it is to stand any chance of meeting the demands of its increasingly sophisticated users and recover from an accumulated debt of $117 million over the past three years.
On Wednesday, The Australian Financial Review revealed the agency had barely enough capital to "keep the lights on" and ABS's annual report cast doubt over the future reliability of its own statistics.
The revelation caused a conniption in financial and economic circles and confirmed what many already knew: the ABS was struggling to produce credible information against a wave of nimbler, cashed-up private sector rivals. The ABS is not the only government agency battling to cope with technological change. Australia Post this week took the politically sensitive step of lifting the basic stamp price from 60¢ to 70¢ in a clear acknowledgement that the shipping of internet shopping purchases is the way to a profitable future. It is certainly not the government's snail mail service, which loses $20 million a year for every 1 per cent drop in letter volume.
Other agencies, like Comcare, which insures the public sector for workers' compensation, the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission, and the Australian Nuclear Science and Technology Organisation have yet to find a similar path out of their recent years of deficits.
Parliamentary Secretary to the Treasurer
There's no spare cash in the federal budget but it's obvious from the surprisingly candid assessment by former Australian statistician Brian Pink in the agency's 2012-13 annual report that the status quo cannot survive. Let's be clear. The Australian Bureau of Statistics – with its links to all other government agencies – is sitting on a goldmine of information.
There are consumers' buying habits, job security, leisure activities, social networks and even their satisfaction with life. And that's not including the dry economic stuff.
Yet its revenues bring in only $70 million a year for an economy desperate for credible information. Ciobo is one of the younger Coalition guard to serve his apprenticeship during the Howard government and now has government agencies under his remit. He says survival is linked to the responsiveness to the technology revolution now driving the private sector. He says the closure of the valuation office and the financial straits confronting the ABS do not "represent the end of the story but the beginning of a new chapter".
"I'm very optimistic there is huge scope for the ABS as the best-placed data analysis agency in the country to tap into a rich but undefined vein of private demand for information," Ciobo says.
"I'm going to explore opportunities that exist for the ABS to look at cultural change that will see it embrace what I believe is tremendous potential as a data analysis agency with significant demand for new products. Perhaps it would be a cultural transition from public servants' vests to jeans and black turtlenecks."
'Contemptuous of customers' needs'
Big data experts, such as Mayer-Schönberger and Kenneth Cukier, authors of Big Data: A Revolution That Will Transform How We Live, Work and Think, say traditional means of collecting statistics using small samples to extrapolate a picture of the whole are already obsolete.
Why send thousands of survey staff to individuals' homes to ask whether if are looking for work when Google's search engines can tell how many job searches were performed on a single day?
University of South Australia business researcher Dr Alan Reddrop is one of the ABS's disillusioned clients. He has lobbied the agency to collect data on family businesses for years but says the ABS is "apparently protected from market forces and contemptuous of customers' needs. I would not decry any research into social trends but it is no substitute for the hard data that we want," he says. "I'm no fan of privatisation but I think the ABS can only benefit from more exposure to the private sector."
The massive potential of big data has, of course, occurred to the thinkers within the ABS, which enjoys a healthy international reputation for its work.
The problem is the agency is too cash-strapped to pay for the massive replacement of its 30-year-old technology systems to allow it to become a powerful player in the information age. And with the cash running out, it has to balance the demand for hard economic data against its less essential work such measuring the population's well-being and happiness. Cracks have already appeared. Many advanced economies already have monthly inflation statistics; Australia's are quarterly and released with a two-month lag. The Reserve Bank wants monthly data to make its official interest rate decisions but the ABS says it can't afford it.
Many economists have openly questioned whether the agency's jobless figures – a vital number in both the financial and political worlds – is actually understated.
RP Data, with its Rismark property index drawing on live information from real estates agents, is updated daily and considered a more timely, accurate measure of the housing market than the ABS quarterly house price statistics.
The trouble is that small, nimble companies like RP Data, industry groups like the Housing Industry Assocation, financial groups such as Perpetual and TD Securities with its inflation index, are taking over the ABS's market share for timely, accurately statistics that users are willing to pay for.
There seems to be only one solution: the ABS must collaborate with the commercial world. This would mean allowing cutting-edge research companies into the cloistered walls of the ABS. Consider this: you are driving home in the peak time traffic listening to the radio providing live-time statistics – using motorists' GPS data – about how long the trip will take you.
But wait for the value add. The radio show links transit time data to the economic performance of your town and state because an algorithm has found a correlation between commuter time and gross domestic product. The busier the roads, the stronger the economic growth.
It seems improbable but according to the experts this is the business the ABS should be in, providing live-time information as well as giving economists, academics and politicians numbers to play with.
Tim Lawless, head of research for RP Data, is a big fan of government information that helps the private sector plan.
Like many economists, Lawless has a respect bordering on affection for the institution that is the ABS. "But there are areas where the ABS has dropped the ball." He says the ABS could use the cutting-edge intellectual property of the private sector to overhaul its ageing systems; the private sector is more efficient in "cleaning" mistakes and aberration out of data.
With its very survival on the line, ABS is looking to the business world to help it get into big data. It also canvassed the idea of collaborating with the private sector, possibly as a "certifier" of statistics published under the ABS brand but produced by non-government companies.
The biggest obstacle of course is the mountain of money needed to bring the ABS into the "big data" world. In the meantime, the pressure is on the ABS and the numerous agencies like it to develop a culture which is more responsive to the needs of its clients.
The Australian Financial Review


text:
Mischa Barton Gossip
Mischa Barton gossip, latest news, photos, and video.
Rumey's leading role
Rumer Willis worked steadily in 2008. Her roles may not have been principle ones, far from actually, or very prestigious, but she's working nonetheless. She's a working actor. And she'll begin work on her first leading role in just a few weeks. It's called Slightly Single in LA Full Story
The Shame
If not for the fact that she broke my arm, I'd actually feel embarrassed for her. But as it happens she was too busy being stupid to do her job, she wasted my time, and since there are now pins in my arm holding together my elbow, embarrassment is a sentiment I'll reserve for someone who actually deserves it. Full Story
Who`s the biggest loser?
Over the weekend in Dubai it was definitely Mischa Barton. Things weren't looking so good before she broke my arm and they've only taken a turn for the worse since. Mischa was able to tag along to the Atlantis Hotel opening with designer Matthew Williamson who quickly learned his mistake because by the end the weekend, he literally wanted nothing to do with her. Full Story
What to wear to a luncheon
Saturday afternoon at the Beverly Wilshire for the Lupus LA Hollywood Bag Ladies Luncheon… Luncheon. This is what Mischa Barton decided to pull out of the closet – a page right out of Kate Beckinsale's Overdressing Handbook. Since she broke my arm in Cannes Full Story
What will it take?
So Lainey nonchalantly throws things into her suitcase – which finally arrived, and which contains things that look nothing like my clothes, let me assure you - and asks me to write this article all "And it'll be fun for you!" But she snickers, because she secretly thinks I'm fighting a losing battle. Full Story
Throwdown: Mischa vs Posh!
So apparently Mischa has nothing better to do but beg designers for a seat during London Fashion Week. That would be because she's almost Tara Reid: Zero career, zero prospects, zero potential. Still… Mischa fashions herself a fashion girl, which may have been the case once upon a time, when she was hanging out with Nicole Richie, but these days it's a mess from head to toe. Full Story
Stay away from him
London does a body good. And Josh Hartnett in London is looking hotter and hotter and hotter. Damn. Here he is last night leaving Bungalow 8 – beautiful, stylish, great new hair cut, well fit jeans… and a taste of Mischa Barton? Ugh. She has no job. She now has no boyfriend. She has no prospects on either front, she's taken to London for fashion week and last night tried desperately to catch Josh's eye. Full Story
Ovulation Day Shoes
Rachel Bilson > Mischa Barton. Though to be fair, Rachel Bilson's schedule hasn't exactly been back to back either. But at least she was in a recent hit movie, and isn't so stupid to turn down guest starring stints on TV shows. And since the end of The OC she's looked better and better. Full Story
Whatever works
You know it's desperation when you have to sell a dye job to get some play. This is what's become of Mischa Barton – karmic bitchslap perhaps for breaking my arm. Curious little item appeared on the Us Weekly website Full Story
Karma Poo
Mischa Barton, the twat who caused my broken arm, showed up at the Time for Heroes celebrity carnival to benefit The Elizabeth Glaser Pediatic Aids Foundation embarrassingly overdressed. It was a CARNIVAL. Most people wore casual summer dresses and/or jeans. Mischa turns up with a glitzy Chanel bag and rings on every finger begging to be noticed. Full Story
Mischa Found
She has skipped out on almost all of her press obligations to promote that tAtu movie she made. She's been called out by the producers for her unprofessional attitude. She disappeared for a week to lay low during previously scheduled commitments. But worry not, gossips. Mischa Barton is fine and was in LA last night at, where else?, a party. Full Story


text:
GENEALOGY-DNA-L ArchivesArchiver > GENEALOGY-DNA > 2010-11 > 1291126795
From: Mike W <>
Subject: Re: [DNA] R1b and R1a fate
Date: Tue, 30 Nov 2010 08:19:55 -0600
References: <firstname.lastname@example.com>
In-Reply-To: <email@example.com>
Dear Didier or Bernard,
I see your scenario describes two different waves of R1b folks into
Europe, one into the Balkans and a second somehow to Portugal and this
second wave then established the Beaker Culture.
The two large subclades of R1b in Western Europe, according to the
Myres study ("A major Y-chromosome haplogroup R1b Holocene era...")
are R-U106 and R-P312. Together, with their R-L11* "brothers", they
make up over 95% of the R1b there.
How do the expansions of R-P312 and R-U106 fit into your scenario?
You didn't list a wave of R1b from the Pontic Steppes that went north
first and then west around the Carpathian Mountains. Do you think R1b
did not travel that route? The reason I ask is that Myres' coalescence
times indicate an older age for R-U106 in Poland and the Baltic
states. Do you propose that R-U106 went south around the Carpathians
and then north into Poland versus directly north and west?
Please note that I recognize many of these migrations were probably
not purely of a single haplogroup, so I'm asking these questions from
a majority or prevailing frequency perspective.
Regards, Mike W
---------- Vernade Didier wrote:
.... The key starting point is the Yamnaya culture, often cited as
typically IE. The first map is showing the arrival of R1b in the
Balkans : http://secher.bernard.free.fr/YamnayaMigrations.jpg ... A
separate wave of R1b is supposed to have reached Portugal by a
different way ; this group is responsible for the onset of the Beaker
culture and a logical consequence is that Beaker folks are believed to
have spoken an IE language. Here is a map of the diffusion of the
Beaker culture following O. Lemercier :
http://secher.bernard.free.fr/DNA/Diffusion_campaniforme.jpg .
This thread:
|Re: [DNA] R1b and R1a fate by Mike W <>


text:
MATLAB Newsgroup
i'm trying to plot contourlet code but i'm getting this error:
Error using ==> minus Matrix dimensions must agree.
this code run for image with 255*255 or 512*512 in size.my image is 47*106.
please help me.
"fereshte " <firstname.lastname@example.com> wrote in message
> i'm trying to plot contourlet code but i'm getting this error:
> Error using ==> minus Matrix dimensions must agree.
> this code run for image with 255*255 or 512*512 in size.my image is
> 47*106.
> please help me.
When you compute A-B, if A and B are numeric arrays, then one or both of the
following relationships about their sizes MUST hold:
1) A and B are EXACTLY the same size. In this case, the result will be the
same size as A and B.
2) One of A and B are scalar (1-by-1.) In this case, the result will be the
size of the non-scalar (or the result will be scalar if they're both 1-by-1,
but that falls into rule 1.)
[Note that if one or both of them are objects, these rules may not apply as
the author(s) of the classes involved can define MINUS to work however they
In the situation where you receive that error, the two arrays you're trying
to subtract are not the same size and neither is scalar.
If you show the group a SMALL segment of code with which you can reproduce
the problem then maybe someone can offer suggestions on how to correct it.
Steve Lord
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text:
Substance provides building blocks for realizing custom text editors and web-based publishing systems.
- Custom document models: Define a custom document schema, with your own set of content types.
- HTML/XML import and export: Substance interacts well with HTML/XML content. You can import a whole XML document or insert HTML fragments from the clipboard.
- Custom HTML rendering: Have full control over the markup of editable content, by implementing components.
- Server and client-side execution: Substance runs in the browser and in server-side environments, such as Node.js.
- Collaborative editing: Substance documents are manipulated through operations that can be undone, redone and transformed to support concurrent collaborative editing.
Look at the examples for feature demos and Texture for a complete editor.
Being around for six years, Substance has been used in a variety of projects. Here is a short selection of software built with Substance.
StencilaStencila is a platform for creating documents that are driven by data. Stencila Stencils are much like traditional templates for embedding data analysis and presentation code but designed to also play friendly with WYSIWYG editing - think RMarkdown meets Jade meets Google Docs. Stencila Sheets are much like traditional spreadsheets but with cells that are expressions in the host language (i.e. R or Python or ...) and with a bunch of other characteristics that make them fit in with modern software practices - think R meets Google Sheets meets git.
LensTogether with eLife, Substance is developing Lens, an open source toolkit around scientific content. In June 2013 eLife launched the original Lens Reader, which provides a novel way of looking at content on the web.
ArchivistArchivist is a new platform used by researchers at International Society Memorial. They are creating an archive of interview transcriptions related to the topic of Ost-Arbeiters and WWII POWs. Using Archivist they associate words and passages with an ontology of subject terms, locations, persons and definitions. Later they are able to examine that data and find relevant text passages easily.
ComposerSubstance Composer is a desktop application that let's you create and share professional web-first publications. You can download the software for Mac OSX, Windows and Ubuntu Linux. Please note, that Composer uses an earlier version of Substance and hasn't seen updates in the last year.
Here is a collection of timely pieces, related to Substance and digital publishing in general.
About us
Substance is being developed as an open source project since 2010. In 2014 Substance Software GmbH was founded to provide consulting and support.
Work with us
As experts in web-based publishing we are offering custom integrations of the Substance platform. These can either be scoped prototyping projects or long-term contracts including a fixed monthly time-budget for custom development. You are invited to join the Substance Consortium, which we created to coordinate community efforts. Don't hesitate to contact us if you have any questions.
Partners and supporters


text:
Charles St. Coming to Boulan South Beach Hotel
Rendering of Charles St.'s intimate dining room.
Courtesy Boulan South Beach Hotel
South Beach will welcome a new modern bistro with New York style, when Charles St. opens at the Boulan South Beach Hotel at the end of February.
The intimate 70-seat restaurant will feature affordable food, hand-crafted cocktails, and a diverse wine selection. The restaurant, designed by Casa Conde & Associates, will feature a communal counter and cozy dining tables.
The restaurant, a collaboration between Maso Hospitality Group and THINK Hospitality, will be open seven days a week for breakfast, lunch, dinner, and late-night service, with plans for a weekend brunch.
Maso Hospitality Group's founder Ken Ray envisions Charles St. as a
"go-to neighborhood spot with a fresh, approachable menu." Maso is also the name behind Maso at Trump Towers and the anticipated Bar Crudo in SoFi.
St. will open in time for the South Beach Wine & Food Festival with a
special invitation-only VIP celebration hosted by celebrity chef Todd English. The
February 22 event will benefit Alonzo & Tracy Mourning's Mourning
Family Foundation.
Follow Laine Doss on Twitter @LaineDoss and Facebook.
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text:
2011 SAL All-Star Game Details Released
Mid-Season classic coming to Perdue Stadium on June 21
By Delmarva Shorebirds | May 13, 2011 8:08 AM ET
ALL-STAR GAME LUNCHEON The All-Star Game Luncheon will be held on June 21 at The Fountains Wedding & Conference Center from 11:30 to 2:00 p.m. Frank Perdue will be inducted into the prestigious SAL Hall of Fame along with former Gastonia Rangers player Mike Hargrove and former Asheville Tourists Manager Ray Hathaway.
Mr. Perdue's contributions to the Delmarva Shorebirds and subsequently the South Atlantic League were best summed up by Wicomico County Parks, Recreation and Tourism Director Gary Mackes in a 2005 article published in the Shorebirds 10th Anniversary Collector's Guide.
"If it was not for Frank Perdue's wallet and generosity, there would not be a stadium here in Wicomico County."
In the mid-1990's, Frank Perdue graciously agreed to donate approximately four million dollars to the joint venture between Maryland Baseball and Perdue to build a minor league baseball stadium, now known as Arthur W. Perdue Stadium. In addition to the monetary gift, Mr. Perdue also donated 39-acres of prime real estate for the construction site of the stadium. The real estate was owned by his company, Perdue Farms, Inc.
Andy MacPhail, who has been the President of Baseball Operations for the Orioles since 2007, will serve as the keynote speaker at the luncheon. MacPhail was the CEO/President of the Chicago Cubs from 1994-2006. In addition, he won two world series championships as the general manager of the Minnesota Twins in 1987 and 1991.
All of the South Atlantic League All-Stars will be formally introduced during the luncheon.
The luncheon will run from 11:30-2:00 p.m. at The Fountains Wedding & Conference Center located adjacent to route 50 less than one mile from Perdue Stadium. Luncheon tickets are open to the general public. Tickets, which include a catered meal, are $50 person and $400 for a table of eight.
The All-Star Game Fan Fest, sponsored by Cheerwine & Strawberry Crush, will begin at 2:30 p.m. in the parking lot of Arthur W. Perdue Stadium. Hall of Fame manager Earl Weaver is scheduled to appear at Fan Fest from 3:30 p.m. to 5:30 p.m. to sign autographs and interact with fans. Weaver will also serve as an honorary manager and participate in the plate meeting before the game to exchange the lineup cards. Fans must have an all-star game ticket in order to attend Fan Fest.
Weaver, now 80-years old, managed the Baltimore Orioles for 17 years from 1968 to 1982 and from 1985 to 1986. Weaver won 1,480 as the skipper for the Orioles, which includes six Eastern Division titles, four American League pennants and a world championship in 1970. Weaver led the Orioles to five 100 plus win seasons (1969, 1970, 1971, 1979 & 1980). In his 17 years at the helm of the Orioles, Weaver had just one losing season. The Earl of Baltimore, as he was affectionately dubbed by loyal supporters, fashioned a winning percentage of .583 over his distinguished career.
In addition to Weaver's presence, the Shorebirds have a wide array of activities scheduled for the Cheerwine & Crush Strawberry All-Star Game Fan Fest. All Northern Division and Southern Division All-Star players and coaches will be signing autographs. Northern Division all-stars will sign autographs from 3:15 to 4:05 p.m. and the Southern Division participants will sign autographs from 4:15 to 5:05 p.m. Furthermore, fans will have the chance to watch both teams take batting practice.
The Shorebirds will have several inflatable's set up for kids of all ages including a moon bounce and a slide and castle combo.
Fan Fest will also feature the Amp Simulator Race Car, Oakley Glasses Mobile Tour, Dr. Pepper Football Toss, United States Air Force Raptor Vehicle and more.
The BB&T Home Run Derby will begin at 5:30 at Arthur W. Perdue Stadium on June 21. The contest will feature the best power hitters in the South Atlantic League. Each hitter in the derby will have ten outs to blast as many home runs out of Perdue Stadium as possible. The top hitters from the first round will compete in the championship round for the grand prize of $500 to the winner of the BB&T Home Run Derby.
BB&T and their eleven branches in Worcester, Wicomico, Dorchester and Somerset counties will each host a special raffle that is running through June 10, where two lucky winners at each branch will get the chance to attend the South Atlantic League "Strike Out Hunger" All-Star Game for free courtesy of BB&T. In order for bank customers to have the opportunity to win free tickets, they must donate canned food items at any of the eleven branches on the Eastern Shore. BB&T will give one raffle ticket per canned food item donated. After June 10, each BB&T branch will draw a winner. All the canned food items collected at the branches will be distributed to the three local food banks connected to the 2011 "Strike Out Hunger" All-Star Game.
"BB&T is proud to support community activities," said Hunter Calloway, Senior Vice President Area Executive of BB&T. "Hosting the South Atlantic League All Star game in Salisbury is a great event for our community and BB&T is happy to sponsor the Home Run Derby as part of the overall All Star activities."
In 1999, when the Shorebirds last hosted the mid-season classic, Jay Gibbons was the home run derby champion. Gibbons went onto play nine years in the major leagues including seven with the Baltimore Orioles from 2001-2007.
The "Strike Out Hunger" All-Star Game will begin at 7:30 p.m. The best players from the Northern Division will square off against the best from the Southern Division. Top prospects such as Bryce Harper, Manny Machado and Christian Yelich have put up all-star caliber numbers to this point in the season .
Recent SAL all-stars include current major league players such as Josh Hamilton ('00 - Charleston RiverDogs), Jason Heyward ('08 - Rome Braves), Madison Bumgarner ('08 - Augusta GreenJackets), Brad Bergesen ('07 - Delmarva Shorebirds), Elvis Andrus ('06 - Rome Braves), Brian Wilson ('05 - Augusta GreenJackets), Ben Zobrist ('05 - Lexington Legends), Eric Young, Jr. ('06 - Asheville Tourists) and Andrew McCutchen ('06 - Hickory Crawdads).
Immediately following the final out, the Shorebirds will blast off a fireworks extravaganza. The fireworks show will be the biggest show of the 2011 season.
$25 Picnic Deck - Includes hour and a half buffet
$17 Field Box
$17 Luxury Level
$15 Reserved Box
$11 General Admission
Great seats still remain for the 2011 South Atlantic League All-Star Game. For more information, please contact the Delmarva Shorebirds at 410-219-3112.
Delmarva Shorebirds
-------------------------- The Delmarva Shorebirds are the Class "A" Affiliate of the Baltimore Orioles. The Shorebirds are owned by 7th Inning Stretch, L.P., the same company that owns the Stockton Ports of the California League and the Everett AquaSox of the Northwest League. The Shorebirds are the proud hosts of the 2011 South Atlantic League "Strike Out Hunger" All-Star Game presented by Perdue. The game will be contested on June 21, 2011. For more information, call the Shorebirds at 410-219-3112.
The Shorebirds are celebrating 16-years of professional baseball on the Eastern Shore. During the 2009 season, the Shorebirds finished with an average attendance of 3,567 fans, the largest average since the 2002 season. In 2007, The Shorebirds had the top attendance based on market size in Minor League Baseball(tm), according to Sports Business Journal (Aug. 2008). In 2010, more than 6,000 fans packed Arthur W. Perdue Stadium nine times including a season high of 8,993 fans on August 7th.
The Shorebirds were established in 1996 by an investor team headed by legendary chicken company owner, the late Frank Perdue. The Shorebirds have called Arthur W. Perdue home ever since. For more information about the Delmarva Shorebirds call 410-219-3112 or visit www.theshorebirds.com.
This story was not subject to the approval of the National Association of Professional Baseball Leagues or its clubs.View More


text:
Cervical Spinal Muscles
Muscles of the Cervical Spine
Muscles of the cervical spine can be grouped according to the nerves which innervate them, or their action. The Sternocleidomastoid is a major muscle innervated by C2 and C3; extends and rotates the head and flexes the vertebral column. The Rectus Capitus Anterior and the Rectus Capitus Lateralis are also innervated by C2 and C3 with the former acting to flex the head and the latter bending the head laterally. The Longus Capitus also flexes the head and is innervated by C1-C3. The Scalenus flexes and rotates the neck and is innervated by the lower cervical nerves.
Other muscles in the cervical spine which act to rotate the head include the Obliquus Capitus Inferior which is innervated by the subocciptal nerve (C1) and rotates the Atlas (the first cervical vertebra). Innervated by C1-C5, the Semispinalis Capitus rotates the head and pulls it backward as does the Longissimus Capitus which is innervated by the middle and lower cervical nerves. The Longissiumus Cervicus and the Iliocostalis Cervicus are extensor muscles innervated by the middle and lower cervical nerves and the Spinalis Cervicus and Spinalis Capitus are also extensors but are involved in the rotation of the head in addition to its extension. Innervated by the suboccipital nerve (C1) the Rectus Capitus Posterioir Major extends and rotates the head whilst the Rectus Capitus Posterioir Minor simply extends the head without being involved in its rotation. C1 also innervates the Obliquus Capitus Superioir to extend and bend the head laterally.
The three remaining cervical spinal muscles are the Semispinalis Cervicis, the Splenius Cervicis, and the Longus Colli Cervicis. The first two of these are innervated by the middle and lower cervical nerves and the latter by C2-C7. The Splenius Cervicis extends the vertebral column whilst the Semispinalis Cervicis extends and rotates the vertebral column. Flexion of the cervical vertebrae is the responsibility of the Longus Colli Cervicis muscle
Next read about: Neck Muscle Pathology
Last Updated: 1/22/2011


text:
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