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Top CA Sire Unusual Heat Pensioned at Age 26
Unusual Heat, the all time leading sire in California progeny earnings, has been pensioned from stud duty at Harris Farms near Coalinga, Calif. at the age of 26.
Unusual Heat, the all time leading sire in California progeny earnings, has been pensioned from stud duty at Harris Farms near Coalinga, Calif. at the age of 26.
A yearling colt by City Zip was purchased by Robert Hess Jr. for $50,000 to top the Aug. 16 Northern California yearling and horses of racing age sale.
Trainer Jean-Claude Rouget's outstanding season looks likely to have spawned several new relationships, judging by the action during a lively Part II of the Arqana August yearling sale Aug. 16 in Deauville.
Champion and California freshman sire Acclamation gained his first winner Aug. 12 at Del Mar when son Accountability posted a game half-length victory in the eighth race.
Unusual Heat, the six-time leading sire in California and California's all-time leading stallion in total progeny, turf, and California-bred earnings, already has a full book for 2016 at a fee of $20,000.
Barretts Sales has expanded its traditional October yearling sale to include horses of racing age and broodmares in the first edition of the auction at Del Mar Oct. 27.
The auction of 270 horses, including 210 yearlings, will be held Oct. 27 starting at 11 a.m. PDT on the grounds of Del Mar.
Barretts Sales, having conducted paddock auctions of horses of racing age during the Del Mar race meeting the past four years, is inaugurating a select yearling sale this season. It will be held Aug. 15.
E. W. "Buddy" Johnston, a major California breeder who headed his family's Old English Rancho, died May 5 in his sleep. He would have turned 78 May 6.
The catalog for the Tattersalls Guineas breeze-up and horses in training sale is available online at www.tattersalls.com.
A rare yearling by hot sire Starspangledbanner was the top seller at the opening session of Doncaster Bloodstock Sales' premier yearling sale Aug. 26.
Trading was robust at the second session of the Tattersalls July sale July 10 as both total revenue and median rose by double-digit percentage points while 95% of the horses offered were sold.
"Going Green" is a feature published in the March 8, 2014 issue of The Blood-Horse. The feature examines why turf sires may be making a comeback in North America. view slideshow
"Going Green" is a feature published in the March 8, 2014 issue of The Blood-Horse. The feature examines why turf sires may be making a comeback in North America.
Qatari interests secured the top four highest prices on day two at the Tattersalls July sale, helping key economic indicators to double-digit gains across the board.
Active trading on yearlings during the first day of the Goffs February sale Feb. 13 led to increases in the clearance rate and median price.
Acclamation was named 2012 Horse of the Year by the California Thoroughbred Breeders Association, becoming the eighth multiple winner of the honor.
Unusual Suspect won six stakes races in California and one in Australia, highlighted by the 2010 Hollywood Turf Cup (gr. IT), during a 72-race career.
Eclipse winner and California-bred Horse of the Year Acclamation has been retired and will stand the 2013 breeding season at Old English Rancho in Sanger, Calif. for a $20,000 fee.
The sale saw 167 horses sell for 3,595,300 guineas ($6,049,452), at an average of 21,529 guineas ($36,224), and a median of 13,000 guineas ($21,874).
Stud Dona Pancha's Calidoscopio targeted the leaders at the top of the stretch and pulled away to win the Breeders' Cup Marathon (gr. II) by a widening 4 1/4 lengths at Santa Anita Park Nov. 2.
On a light day for workouts by horses pointing to the Breeders' Cup World Championships at Santa Anita Park, Nonios turned some heads with a bullet five-furlong breeze at Betfair Hollywood Park Oct. 24.
Demonstrative, winner of the New York Turf Writers Cup Handicap (NSA-I), will battle with several veteran runners and new arrivals to American racing in the $250,000 Grand National (NSA-I), at Far Hills Races Oct. 20.
Trainer Don Warren confirmed speculation that Acclamation, the 2011 Eclipse Award winner as outstanding older male, would not make the Breeders' Cup World Championships at Santa Anita Park Nov. 2 and 3.
The injury that will keep Acclamation from defending his championship in the TVG Pacific Classic Aug. 26 has been determined to be a mild strain of a ligament in the area of the left front pastern.
|Breeder / Owner
|Donald Warren
|Alphie's Bet
|Alexis Barba
|Dynamic Range
|Mike R. Mitchell
|Falcon Rock (IRE)
|Simon Callaghan
|History Boy
|Jonathan E. Sheppard
|Jerry Hollendorfer
|Romp (ARG)
|Kristin Mulhall
|Scintillo (GB)
|Neil D. Drysdale
|Mike R. Mitchell
|James M. Cassidy
|Unusual Suspect
|Barry Abrams
|Caress S.
|Clasico Constitucion S. (G1)
|Prince of Wales S.
|Cougar II H. (G3)
|Jonathan Kiser Novice S.


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Jonas Brothers Make a Rite Aid Run
Gearing up for their big concert at the Pantages Theatre, the Jonas Brothers paid a visit to their local Rite Aid pharmacy in Los Angeles yesterday afternoon (November 28).
Joined by their younger brother Frankie "Bonus" Jonas, Nick, Kevin, and Joe all looked to be in good spirits as they strolled into the store for some last-minute supplies.
And though they've been busy working on their own new music, the Jonas Brothers made time to add their signature flavor to a new cover version of Rihanna's "Diamonds."
They're also slated to play the KIIS FM Jingle Ball on December 1st. "It's been a minute since we played at Jingle Ball, so it should be incredible. We are really looking forward to it."

subset: commoncrawl


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The corporate regulator is canvassing small businesses to better understand gaps in their knowledge of compliance obligations. Over 1400 small business owners and employees have accessed the Australian Securities and Investments Commission online survey, which closes on December 21. "This will give feedback on how we can make compliance easier," commissioner Greg Tanzer said.
PwC has struck an alliance with Queensland management consultancy firm Flinders Advisory Services. Former FAS principal Darren Black heads PwC's new Queensland infrastructure advisory group. PwC has also brokered an alliance with software developer ThoughtWorks to supplement the capabilities of its digital division.
Business confidence among small and medium enterprises is not increasing but it's not falling either, according to a MYOB survey of 1004 entities covering the two months to June 30, 2012.
"Conditions remained tough last financial year. Twice as many operators saw their revenue fall than rise, and the majority, around two thirds, estimated economic improvement was more than 12 months away," said MYOB chief executive Tim Reed. "However, we're starting to see signs of the tide turning on overall business outlook."
Fast-growing superannuation administration software company Super IP achieved a maiden cash
profit as a consolidated entity in June 2012, on growth rate of 5 per cent a month. Super IP's flagship product, Class Super, attracts over $1 billion of SMSF dollars a month. "We expect to almost double revenue and achieve a modest profit in 2012-13 despite heavy investment in people, products and systems," said Class Super chief executive Rajarshi Ray.
Ernst & Young has appointed Monash University deputy vice-chancellor
Thomson Reuters has struck an exclusive distribution agreement with South Australian software developer Incite Systems to sell its R&D tax administration product to advisers and companies utilising new federal government R&D incentives.
Hayes Knight Melbourne has acquired rival Clements Dunne & Bell, opting to buy a financial planning practice rather than grow one. The combined entity will have about $10 million in annual fees, 11 partners and 49 staff. All four CDB partners will join Hayes under escrow. Accounting firms are scrambling to build wealth management arms after a government decision to let accountants give financial planning advice.
Deloitte has recruited two public sector heavyweights to enhance its public sector advisory capabilities. Fran Thorn was central to overhauling Victoria's health services. David George was key to establishing Australia's geospatial intelligence capability during his time with Australian federal police and customs.
By Agnes King
The Australian Financial Review


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Apr 9, 2010 #040
Contact: Laura Byerley
(816) 235-1592
UMKC School of Law names Davidson and Miller ScholarsThe University of Missouri-Kansas City (UMKC) School of Law recently awarded two merit-based full-tuition scholarships. For the fall 2010 semester, Nick (Nicholas) Beydler was selected as UMKC's first Davidson Scholar and Katie (Catherine) Wiehl was named the Miller Scholar.
Each student receives full tuition, books, a free UMKC bar preparation course and tuition to attend a UMKC summer abroad program in China or Ireland. As long as the recipients meet specified academic standards, they will receive the awards throughout their law school educations.
As the Davidson and Miller Scholars, Beydler and Wiehl are expected to assume leadership roles in and outside the classroom. This might include writing for one of the law school's three journals; acting as teaching assistants; participating in Moot Court or on one of the School's other award-winning competition teams in trial advocacy, negotiation or client counseling; and becoming active members of one or more of the school's student organizations.
Julian Klein Davidson graduated from the Kansas City School of Law (now UMKC School of Law) in 1905 with his LL.B. His only child, Mary Elizabeth (now Dr. Mary Davidson Cohen), established the scholarship to honor his memory by assisting an outstanding student with his or her legal education.
Since 1967, the late Jack and Helyn Miller gave funds through the Miller Foundation to programs that assisted families, social welfare, the arts and education. The Jack and Helyn Miller Scholars program recognizes students who have the potential to be major contributors to the School of Law, the profession and the community.
The University of Missouri-Kansas City (UMKC), one of four University of Missouri campuses, is a public university serving more than 14,000 undergraduate, graduate and professional students. UMKC engages with the community and economy based on a four-part mission: life and health sciences; visual and performing arts; urban issues and education; and a vibrant learning and campus life experience.


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Gibbs, Theismann to call playoff game
Former Washington Redskins coach Joe Gibbs and quarterback Joe Theismann will serve as analysts for NBC on the network's telecast of a first-round NFC playoff game on Jan. 9, according to NBC.
The network is carrying a doubleheader of wild card playoff games that day. NBC's regular Sunday night broadcasting team of Al Michaels and Cris Collinsworth is to call the other game.
Gibbs and Theismann are to join play-by-play man Tom Hammond. It is believed to be the first broadcast-booth pairing of a coach and quarterback from the same team.
"Joe Gibbs is one of the most beloved people to have ever worked at NBC Sports and we're so happy that he's made a pit stop to work for us again," Dick Ebersol, the chairman of NBC Universal Sports and Olympics, said in a written statement. "Joe Theismann has always provided insightful analysis and we all can't wait to see him join his former coach."
Gibbs previously worked for NBC between 1994 and '97 on the network's NFL studio show.
It will be Theismann's first work for NBC during a long broadcasting career, most recently with the league-owned NFL Network.
"I'm really excited about coming back to NBC Sports," Gibbs said in a written statement. "I'm also excited about working with Joe again but he'll probably argue with me the whole night. I'm going to make him promise to let me get in a word edge-wise."
Said Theismann: "I really appreciate the opportunity to broadcast the wild card game. There's always a chance that Cinderella will find the slipper. I'm ecstatic to be working with my old coach. I owe so much to him. But I don't know if he's going to be able to handle three straight hours with me. I drove him crazy for six years."
Mark Maske
December 6, 2009; 10:00 PM ET
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Please email us to report offensive comments.
While I wouldn't call Kornheiser a "no-nothing", he only shared the booth with Theismann for one year. Joe's other "third man" was Paul Maguire, also not exactly a "no-nothing".
Posted by: km352 | December 7, 2009 4:19 PM
What's the over-under on hearing Theismann say "Back when I played..." and hearing Gibbs say "That was (or he is) super-smart?
Posted by: c_e_daniel | December 7, 2009 2:30 PM
Looking forward to the Joe and Joe show.
Oh, and I am sure Tony Kornheiser loves hearing someone call him a "no-nothing."
Posted by: jaypem | December 7, 2009 11:16 AM
The Joey T. Haters never got over him not getting over himself. But for me it was easy to blow that off as entertainment, and then just listen to his analysis which was spot on. Also not afraid to call a player out ... very rare nowadays (Phil Simms)!!
Posted by: Timo17 | December 7, 2009 10:59 AM
Break a leg, Theisman.
Posted by: clandestinetomcat | December 7, 2009 10:49 AM
I agree, Theismann a much better color guy than he is given credit for. Though he needs to be in a two-man booth to really shine. He was horrible is last few years on ESPN when he was stuck in a three-man booth with a third guy being a no-nothing whose only contribution to the telecast was comic relief that often wasn't very funny.
It should be entertaining to say the least to have Gibbs and Theismann in the booth together. But I would suggest that Tom Hammond refrain from just throwing it to "Joe" because that could get confusing for everybody
Posted by: CapsNut | December 7, 2009 8:57 AM
As time went by, I think Joe Theisman became better at being a game commentator. In fact, I think he became one of the better ones.
Posted by: hansonharley1 | December 7, 2009 7:41 AM
The comments to this entry are closed.


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Affordable Gifts For College Students
10 Gifts Under $50 For the College Student
Outfitting a dorm room is no easy task. You want it to feel sophisticated, but fun. Cool, but cozy. The best gifts for the college student in your life are multifunctional pieces that pack a lot of personality without taking up too much space. These affordable gifts, ranging from stylish desk accessories to adaptable decor, will satisfy your scholar without breaking the bank.


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Spatial and Temporal Transferability of Trip Generation Demand Models in Israel
Spatial and Temporal Transferability of Trip Generation Demand Models in Israel
This research investigates the transferability of person-level disaggregate trip generation models (TGMs) in time and space using two model specifications: multinomial linear regression and Tobit. The models are estimated for the Tel Aviv and Haifa metropolitan areas based on data from the 1984 and 1996/97 Israeli National Travel Habits Surveys. The paper emphasizes that Tobit models perform better than regression or discrete choice models in estimating nontravelers. Furthermore, the paper notes that variables and file structures in household surveys need to be consistent. Results of the study show that the estimated regression and Tobit disaggregate person-level TGMs are statistically different in space and in time. In spite of the transferred forecasts, the aggregate forecasts were also similar.
KEYWORDS: Trip generation, transferability, multinomial linear regression, Tobit model.
Trip generation models (TGMs) are used as a first step in classical four-step travel demand modeling and, therefore, any over- or underprediction of trip generation rates can cause errors throughout the entire transportation planning process. Inappropriate decisionmaking due to these types of errors can account for premature investments in infrastructure in the case of overprediction and loss of labor hours, pollution, and low levels of service in the case of underprediction.
TGMs are usually estimated based on periodic surveys of the travel habits of individuals or households. They are expensive and difficult to perform and are not conducted often. For our research, we used the last Israeli National Travel Habits Surveys collected in 1984 and 1996/97. Transportation planners use models previously estimated and sometimes in different contexts. The planners can perform forecasts for the same areas and, if justifiable, transfer the models to other areas. Hence, it is important to know whether these models can be transferred in time and in space.
Recently, researchers and planning agencies began to implement tour-based activity modeling systems rather than trip-based modeling systems.1 The advantage in using an activity modeling approach is the ability to model each individual's tours. However, in this paper, we were only able to investigate the stability of individual predictions of trips. This research presents the characteristics of trip generation in Israel and tries to answer the question of whether linear regression and Tobit TGMs can be transferred in time and space, given the dynamic changes in metropolitan areas and socioeconomic characteristics. The TGMs estimated and analyzed in this research include only vehicular trips.
We estimated the models for the geographically diverse metropolitan areas of Haifa and Tel Aviv in Israel and tested them for transferability in space and in time. The topography of Haifa is hilly, with the core of the city poorly connected to the rest of the metropolitan area. Tel Aviv lies on level topography, with a well connected road network. The metropolitan areas also differ structurally: Tel Aviv is interconnected like a spider web, including several minor cores with high-density population and employment concentrations. On the other hand, Haifa's less connected road network and rolling terrain give it a lower level of accessibility. When comparing the areas by land use, the Tel Aviv metropolitan area consists of neighborhoods that combine residential shopping and personal business areas. Haifa, on the other hand, contains highly separated areas with each area consisting of a uniform land use.
Given the difference in accessibility and land use, the calibrated models were restricted to demographic and socioeconomic variables. The average number of daily trips per person was higher in the Haifa metropolitan area (2.14 in 1984, and 2.03 in 1996/97) than in the Tel Aviv metropolitan area (1.83 in 1984, and 1.91 in 1996/97). The difference in the average trip rates may be explained based on the variation in land uses. The lack of mixed land uses in Haifa may encourage the generation of more trips. Furthermore, Haifa's hilly topography may encourage more vehicular trips than in Tel Aviv, where shorter trips are probably done on foot. The comparison between these metropolitan areas and the calibrated models is possible due to the similarity of the distribution of most demographic and socioeconomic variables. (See table 1 for a partial presentation of the comparison.) A more detailed comparison of Haifa and Tel Aviv characteristics is presented in Cotrus (2001).
Over the last few decades, several papers have discussed the transferability of trip generation models. The debate among researchers, in general, focused not only on the transferability of models in space and time but also on the model specification and level of aggregation. The aggregation levels are usually defined as area (zonal), household, and person. Estimating the models (see, e.g., Ortuzar and Willumsen 1994) at more disaggregate levels improves the transferability of TGM.
Atherton and Ben-Akiva (1976) emphasized that disaggregated models tend to maintain the variance and behavioral context of the response variable and, therefore, are expected to give better estimates when transferred. Downes and Gyenes (1976) pointed out that when the explanatory power of the model is of interest rather than the aggregate forecasts, the disaggregate level should be selected. Wilmot (1995) indicated that disaggregate models are preferred because of their independence from zonal definitions. In Supernak et al. (1983) and Supernak (1987), the person level was preferred for TGM because of the identity of the response factor (trip) and the generative (the person). One advantage of disaggregate person-level models is the reduced amount of data required for model estimation. (For more details, see Fleet and Robertson 1968; and Ortuzar and Willumsen 1994.) Other types of model specification techniques include cross-classification, regression, logit-based models, artificial neural networks, fuzzy logic, and simulations.
A number of studies found spatial transferability of models satisfactory (Wilmot 1995; Atherton and Ben-Akiva 1976; Supernak 1982, 1984; Duah and Hall 1997; Walker and Olanipekun 1989; Rose and Koppelman 1984; Caldwell and Demetsky 1980; and Kannel and Heathington 1973). On the other hand, Smith and Cleveland (1976) and Daor (1981) found spatial transferability unsatisfactory. We should emphasize that Smith and Cleveland pointed out that although the explanatory variables are distinctive, their effects vary in space. A number of researchers found the transferability of models in time (i.e., their temporal stability) satisfactory (Downes and Gyenes 1976; Yunker 1976; Walker and Peng 1991; Kannel and Heathington 1973; and Karasmaa and Pursula 1997). Unsatisfactory results, however, were obtained in other studies (Doubleday 1977; Smith and Cleveland 1976; and Copley and Lowe 1981).
While several international studies explored model transferability in time and space, in Israel the transferability of discrete mode choice models has been the main focus (Prashker 1982; Silman 1981). This study deals with the investigation of trip generation characteristics but also provides local estimates of TGMs and their validation for transferability in time and space. The study also explores the implementation of Tobit models in TGM.
We often approach trip generation from an economic viewpoint, where trips are defined as the product and the person/household as the customer. The strongest argument to model trips on a disaggregate level is that any zonal outcome is based on the aggregation of several customers, ignoring the heterogeneity among them. The explanatory variables for the power of consumption of each person/household can be found in several categories including demographic, geographic, and economic.
As discussed above, several approaches exist to model trip generation, including regression-based models such as multiple linear regression (Wilmot 1995) and cross-classification (Walker and Olanipekun 1989); discrete choice models such as probit, logit, and ordered probit (Zhao 2000); simulations such as Smash, Amos, and the Starchild System; fuzzy logic models; and artificial neural networks (Huisken 2000). Clearly, the issue of trip generation can be approached from several directions and tested for transferability in time and space. Therefore, researchers will choose the modeling approach based on the size of the database at hand, the nature and structure of the variables, the aggregation level desired, as well as other considerations. The main problem with using a regression model is the treatment of trip rates as continuous rather than discrete variables. Discrete choice models and spatially ordered response models may better account for the behavioral process of trip generation. However, due to practical reasons, in most models to date, the dependent variable is treated as a continuous variable. For this reason, we perform our analysis on such models.
In this research, we first estimated regression models for each metropolitan area for each year, taking into account the inconsistency of the household surveys (table 2). We then estimated Tobit TGMs based on the same variables and tested whether these models are suitable for trip generation estimation and for transferability. The regression model form is presented in equation 1.
y i = α + β 1x 1, i + β 2x 2, i + β k x k, i + ξ i
∀ i = 1, , n
∀ k = 1, 2, k (1)
yi = trip rate generated by individual i,
xk,i= explanatory variable k for individual i,
n = the number of observations,
k = number of explanatory variables, and
ξi = error term of the ith observation.
Hald (1949) first presented the model that, in its final form, is called the Tobit model (1958). Tobit models differentiate from regression models by the incorporation of truncated or censored dependent variables. Tobit analysis assumes that the dependent variable has a number of its values clustered at a limiting value, usually zero. The Tobit model can be presented as a discrete/continuous model that first makes a discrete choice of passing the threshold and second, if passed, a continuous choice regarding the value above the threshold. This approach is appropriate for trip generation, as an individual must decide whether to make any trips and, if so, how many trips to make.
Tobit analysis uses all observations when estimating the regression line, including those at the limit (no trips) and those above the limit (those who chose to travel). As shown by McDonald and Moffitt (1980), Tobit analysis can be used to determine the changes in the value of the dependent variable if it is above the limit, as well as changes in the probability of being above the limit. Since the surveys include observations at the limit (i.e., persons that are not traveling), it was also interesting to find out how well the Tobit model can predict persons doing no travel at all. The Tobit model form is presented in equation 2:
y i = X i β + ξ i if X i β + ξ i > 0
y i = 0 if X i β + ξ i ≤ 0
∀ i = 1, 2, 3, , (N - 1), N (2)
N = number of observations,
yi= trip rate generated by observation i,
Xi = vector of independent variables,
β = vector of coefficients, and
ξ = independently distributed error term ~ (0, σ2).
Because Tobit models have not been used previously in the context of trip generation, this research investigates their suitability for that purpose. We also compared the predictions obtained using regression models with those produced using the analogous Tobit model. The best specification of the regression model is not necessarily the best specification of the Tobit model. However, in order to allow for basic comparisons of the model parameters, we estimated the regression models first; then, after the determination of the final variables in the model, we estimated Tobit models with the same variables.
All models were estimated at the disaggregate person level. At the person level of modeling, we maintained the heterogeneity among observations and kept a good identity between the consumer of the product (the person) and the outcome (number of daily trips taken by the person). As discussed above, disaggregate models tend to show better transfer results than aggregate models and also incorporate the power to understand and control the production of trips. The models were estimated for a 24-hour period2 and tested for transferability in space and in time. Figure 1 presents the sequence of the analysis.
Statistical tests were conducted to determine the spatial and temporal stability of the estimated models by assessing the transferability of the coefficients from one area to another, and for each metropolitan area between the two survey years. Transferability was also tested by comparing the overall aggregate prediction obtained by the transferred model with the local model. Furthermore, we analyzed the ability of Tobit models to represent and evaluate nontravelers, that is, people who do not generate trips based on the given survey data.
Data Sources and Descriptions
The Israeli Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) conducted some limited scope3 Traveling Habits Surveys in the 1960s. Comprehensive National Traveling Habits Surveys have been conducted by CBS every 12 years since 1972. Because the 1972 survey is not available on magnetic media, it was not possible to do a computer-based statistical analysis. Therefore, we based this research on the 1984 and 1996/97 household surveys.
The main problems we encountered in doing this research were related to the inconsistency in the investigated variables, the structure of the surveys, the definition of variables, the period of investigation, the geographic deployment, and the database structure (see table 2 again). The 1984 and 1996/97 household surveys differ in several ways: the geographic deployment (number and size of jurisdictions in the survey), the size of the survey (number of households), the definitions of the investigation period, and the variables that were excluded from the surveys. For example, income is included in the 1984 survey but is omitted from the 1996/97 survey.
Despite definition and database differences in the two surveys (1984 was an activity survey and 1996/97 was a trip survey), we were able to bring the variables in the models to a common basis. In particular, the 1984 survey included bicycle and walking trips among the means to accomplish the activities, while the later survey excluded them. To resolve this difference, we excluded walking and biking trips from the 1984 database; only motorized trips were considered for each person.
The 1984 survey files included data for 5,420 persons in the Tel Aviv metropolitan area and 4,056 persons in the Haifa metropolitan area. The final files used for model calibration after sieving incomplete and anomalous observations totaled 4,385 and 3,258 persons, respectively. The 1996/97 files included data for 20,436 persons in the Tel Aviv metropolitan area and 6,417 persons in the Haifa metropolitan area. The final files used for model calibration totaled 15,729 and 5,041 persons, respectively.
The selected trip generation models included six categorical variables: age, car availability, possession of a driver's license, employment, education, and status in the household. Data fell into five age categories: 8-13, 14-17, 18-29, 30-64, and 65 and over. Ortuzar and Willumsen (1994) found that life cycle variables were an important factor for explaining trip generation. Different trip rates can be expected for households and people at various stages of life. Furthermore, age should correlate with employment, having a driver's license, and marital status. Car availability included three categories: 0, 1, and ≥ 2 cars in the household. Clearly, households with more cars available will generate more trips. The driver's license category has only one variable: whether the person has a license (including motorcycle) or not.
The employment variable indicates whether the person was employed or not. Employed persons were expected to generate more trips, because they usually make at least two trips: to and from work.
Household status refers to whether the person defines himself or herself as the head of the household. This variable indicates the responsibility and availability of household resources as an incentive for consumption of trips.
Finally, four education categories were defined based on the number of years of study (0, 1-8, 9-12, and 13 or more). The literature shows good correlation between education and income. In the absence of a pure economic indicator, education is used also as a proxy for income. Respondents with higher education (hence higher income) were expected to generate more trips. All variables were found significant and the coefficients corresponded with our expectations.
Table 3 shows the estimation results for the regression models for 1984 for both metropolitan areas. As can be seen from the table, all coefficients were found to be significant at the 95% level. The number of observations remaining in the estimation process resulted from the limited scope of this survey and the elimination of incomplete observations in the original database.
Estimation results for these models show that all variables affected trip generation as expected. The education coefficients show that people with higher education generated more trips. This can be explained not only by the assumption of the relationship between education and income but also by assuming that a person with higher education is more likely to pursue culture and perhaps leisure activities. Also, as expected, persons with driver's licenses and employed persons tended to generate more trips than the equivalent nonworking and/or nondriving persons. Heads of household tended to generate more trips, as assumed, because of the responsibility and availability of resources. The coefficients of the age categories indicate that persons aged 14 to 17 travel more than people with similar characteristics of other age groups, probably because they are young and active and have less household or work responsibilities.
The overall R2 of the 1984 models was 0.33 for the Tel Aviv model and 0.34 for the equivalent Haifa model. These R2 values are modest but not anomalous for trip generation modeling. They indicate that a substantial portion of trip generation can be explained by nonhousehold factors, such as relative location of residence, employment, and other parameters. Statistical Z tests (assuming known variances, normal distributions, and independence of populations) for the transferability of the coefficients (without updating) show that, at a 95% level of confidence, the coefficients differ, except for the coefficient defining the head of household. To verify the results we also conducted Chow tests for the transferability of the models. The calculated statistic was 7.86 in comparison with the critical 1.72 F-value (at a 95% level of confidence), and yield the same conclusion that the 1984 models are not transferable in space.
Table 4 shows the results of transferring the models in space by showing the predictions from the estimated models and the 1984 database, each applied for both metropolitan areas. The table shows that the Haifa model overpredicts the actual trip rate when applied to the Tel Aviv database, in comparison with the Tel Aviv model applied to the Haifa database. This was expected, as the Haifa trip rate is higher than that for Tel Aviv.
Table 5 presents the estimation results for the 1984 Tobit models using the 1984 household survey data. When we transferred the estimated Tobit models in space and used them to predict the average trip rate in the other city, we found that the Haifa Tobit model overestimated the trips in Tel Aviv by 21.9% (table 6). When we used the estimated Tel Aviv Tobit model to predict the average trip rate for Haifa, we found that it underestimated the total trips by 27.5%. However, transferability t-tests at a 95% level of confidence showed that most of the coefficients are not significantly different in space, except for the license variable and the 8-13 and 30-64 age category variables. On the other hand, χ2 tests at the 95% level of confidence strengthen the alternative hypothesis, that the models vary in space (x 213, 0.95 = 22.36 < 91.198) .
An important issue was to find out whether the Tobit model could explain and capture the nontravelers in the population. As can be seen in table 7, the results are not consistent for the two models. The Haifa 1984 model correctly estimated only 13.5% of the observed nontravelers in the Haifa data and 18.5% in the Tel Aviv data. The Tel Aviv model obtained better results estimating correctly 41.9% of the observed nontravelers in the Tel Aviv data and 34.7% in the Haifa data. These results encourage further research.
Table 8 presents the estimation results of the 1996/97 regression models. As can be seen, the 1996/97 coefficients differ substantially from those of 1984, and most of the coefficients are significant at the 95% confidence level. The best model specification for 1984 was found to be also the best specification for the 1996/97 model, indicating that the most important variables affecting trip generation are similar in both models. The main problem raised during the basic comparison was the difference in the geographic scope (definition of the metropolitan survey area) for the two.
The overall R2 of the 1996/97 models, 0.21 for the Tel Aviv model and 0.23 for the equivalent Haifa model, are even smaller than the values achieved for the 1984 models. But they are still not anomalous in the field of trip generation modeling. Statistical Z-tests conducted at the 95% level of confidence show that none of the coefficients are the same for the two metropolitan areas; that is, the coefficients differ in space. To verify the results, we conducted Chow tests for the transferability of the models. The calculated statistic was 6.91 in comparison with the 1.72 tabular F-value (at a 95% level of confidence), thus yielding the same conclusion, that the 1996/97 models are not transferable in space.
Table 9 presents the predicted average daily trips using the 1996/97 data for each model and each metropolitan area. As in 1984, the 1996/97 Haifa model overpredicts trips compared with the Tel Aviv model, however, the differences are smaller. One should remember that in regression models, the regression line always passes through the average (center of gravity of the observations). Since the observed average number of trips (in Tel Aviv and Haifa) was equal in the 1996/97 metropolitan files, the estimation difference was expected to be smaller.
However, the similar predicted aggregate trip rates indicate overrepresentation of particular sections of the population. For example, the calculated average car availability per household in metropolitan Tel Aviv was higher in the 1996/97 surveys than in metropolitan Haifa (0.60 > 0.55), but in 1984 the average car availability per household was almost the same (0.489 ≈ 0.484). Statistically, different definitions of the sampling areas could affect the transferability of the estimated models
Table 10 shows the Tobit model results for 1996/97. A comparison with table 8 shows the resemblance in the effect of the explanatory variables and the difference in the magnitude of the coefficients between the Tobit and the regression models. Transferring the models in space and evaluating the estimated average trip rate from the models, for 1996/97, we found that the Haifa Tobit model overestimated the trips in the Tel Aviv file by 7.2% and the Tel Aviv Tobit model underestimated the trips in the Haifa file by 7.1% (table 6). These values are quite similar to the over- and underprediction of the equivalent regression models shown in table 9. Spatial transferability t-tests held at the 95% level of confidence show that most of the coefficients are not significantly different between the metropolitan areas, except age categories and the education "non-educated" category. χ2 tests for the spatial transferability of the models at the same level of confidence reach the same conclusion (x 213, 0.95 = 22.36 << 82.01).
In table 11, the 1996/97 Tobit model prediction of nontravelers is even worse than in the analogous 1984 models. When trying to represent nontravelers, the Haifa 1996/97 Tobit model captured only 6.8% of the observed nontravelers in the Tel Aviv file and 11.8% in the Haifa file. The Tel Aviv 1996/97 Tobit model captured only 3.8% of the nontravelers in the Haifa file and 9.8% in the Tel Aviv file. A point worth mentioning is the resemblance in the proportion of nontravelers in the two surveys (about 35% of the persons represented in the sample files did not generate trips). Finally, about 70% to 75% of the estimated nontravelers are observed nontravelers.
Table 12 shows the estimation results for temporal transferability of the regression and Tobit models. When we tested for temporal transferability using the 1984 models to predict 1996/97 trip rates, we observed that the 1984 Tel Aviv regression model underestimated the observed total number of trips in Tel Aviv in 1996/97 by 7%. The Haifa 1984 regression model overestimated the observed total number of trips in 1996/97 Haifa data by only 2.8%. Taking into account that the average number of daily trips in the Haifa 1984 survey was 2.17 and in the 1996/97 survey it was 2.07, the difference is not surprising. However, it may also be affected by the different definition of the geographic scope of the two household surveys.
Chow tests of the temporal stability of the 1984 models compared with the 1996/97 show that the statistic for the 1984 Tel Aviv model was 4.53, bigger than the 1.72 tabular F-statistic at the 95% level of confidence, meaning that the 1984 coefficients differ from the 1996/97 coefficients. The statistic for the temporal stability of the 1984 Haifa model was 8.39 compared with the 1.72 tabular F, reaching the same conclusion. Transferability χ2 tests of the Tobit models in time show that, at the 95% level of confidence, we can reject the null hypothesis; that is, the models for the two time points are different (x 213, 0.95 = 22.36 < 128.72).
In our research, statistical tests indicated that the regression and Tobit models estimated for two metropolitan areas and two time periods differ statistically in time and in space. One exception was the Tobit transferability in space, where the coefficients from the two models for the same year were not significantly different. The distinction cannot be well explained, but it might be due partially to geographic, demographic, socioeconomic, and spatial structure differences between the two metropolitan areas. The smaller sample size and scope of the 1984 household survey compared with the 1996/97 household survey (as shown in table 2) did not allow us to represent the ethnicity of the survey participants, a variable believed to be related to trip generation. Also, the incorporation in the models of a pure economic variable such as income was not possible, because it was not included in the 1996/97 survey.
We ascribed the temporal instability of the estimated models to changes in the structure and development of the metropolitan areas of Tel Aviv and Haifa, changes in lifestyle and socioeconomic variables that are not all accounted for in the model, as well as the inconsistency of the two surveys. A partial explanation may be that 1984 was an economically unstable year, featuring high inflation rates and uncertainty, while 1996/97 was considered to be economically stable.
An important conclusion based on our results is that in order for trip generation models to be transferable they need to account for variables not included in the current models: income, land use and spatial structure, the economy, the transportation system and accessibility, and more detailed socioeconomic and life style variables. If we could estimate a perfect disaggregate model accounting for all factors that affect trip generation and with appropriate segmentation, it would likely be transferable. With this data lacking, models are not transferable, because unobserved variables affect coefficients of observed variables with which they are correlated.
Another conclusion is that household surveys conducted on a regular basis will be more useful if the design stays constant. Differences in the structure, variables, range, investigation period, definition of the variables, and database structure affect the transferability of the estimated models.
We also would emphasize the need for further research on the implementation of Tobit models in the context of trip generation. Tobit models tend to represent the mechanism of trip generation more realistically, capturing and estimating (partially) nontravelers. As a combination of regression and discrete choice models, the Tobit model may be more suitable for implementation in TGM than discrete choice or regression models, particularly because Tobit is better formulated to differentiate nontravelers from travelers. The underestimation of nontravelers may be partly due to the fact that we did not necessarily estimate the best Tobit model.
For the linear regression models, almost all variables were significant at the 95% confidence level, but the coefficients were shown to vary in time and space. For the Tobit model, while almost all variables were significant at the 95% confidence level, the coefficients of the models of the two metropolitan areas were statistically similar but they differed in time for each city.
The nature of the local household surveys raises a need to validate the results of this study in future research. In particular, further research can identify what makes two study areas "similar enough" to justify transferring a model from one to the other. We also suggest further research incorporating Tobit models in TGM and for investigating the characteristics of nontravelers.
Atherton, T. and M. Ben-Akiva 1976. Transferability and Updating of Disaggregate Travel Demand Models. Transportation Research Record 610:12-18.
Caldwell III, L.C. and M.J. Demetsky. 1980. Transferability of Trip Generation Models. Transportation Research Record 751:56-62.
Copley, G. and S.R. Lowe. 1981. The Temporal Stability of Trip Rates: Some Findings and Implications. Transportation Analysis and Models: Proceedings of Seminar N. London, England: PTRC Education and Research Services, Ltd.
Cotrus, A. 2001. Analysis of Trip Generation Characteristics in Israel for the Years 1984, 1996/7 and Spatial and Temporal Transferability of Trip Generation Models, Ph.D. thesis, Technion, Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, Israel.
Daor, E. 1981. The Transferability of Independent Variables in Trip Generation Models. Transportation Analysis and Models: Proceedings of Seminar N. London, England: PTRC Education and Research Services, Ltd.
Doubleday, C. 1977. Some Studies of the Temporal Stability of Person Trip Generation Models. Transportation Research 11:255-263.
Downes, J.D. and L. Gyenes. 1976. Temporal Stability and Forecasting Ability of Trip Generation Models in Reading, TRRL Report 726. Crowthorne, Berkshire: Transport and Road Research Laboratory.
Duah, K.A. and F.L. Hall. 1997. Spatial Transferability of an Ordered Response Model of Trip Generation. Transportation Research A 31:389-402.
Fleet, C. and S. Robertson. 1968. Trip Generation in the Transportation Planning Process. Highway Research Board Record 240:11-31.
Hald, A. 1949. Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Parameters of a Normal Distribution Which is Truncated at a Known Point. Skandinavisk Aktuarietidskrift 32:119-134.
Huisken, G. 2000. Neural Networks and Fuzzy Logic to Improve Trip Generation Modeling, paper presented at the 79th Annual Meetings of the Transportation Research Board, Jan. 9-13, 2000, Washington, DC.
Kannel, E.J. and K.W. Heathington. 1973. Temporal Stability of Trip Generation Relations. Highway Research Record 472:17-27.
Karasmaa, N. and M. Pursula. 1997. Empirical Studies of Transferability of Helsinki Metropolitan Area Travel Forecasting Models. Transportation Research Record 1607:38-44.
McDonald, J.F. and R.A. Moffitt. 1980. The Uses of Tobit Analysis. The Review of Economics and Statistics 62(2):318-321.
Ortuzar, J. and L.G. Willumsen. 1994. Trip Generation Modeling. Modeling Transportation, 2nd ed. New York, NY: Wiley.
Prashker, J. 1982. Transferability of Disaggregate Modal-Split ModelsInvestigation of Models in the Metropolitan Area of Tel Aviv, manuscript, p. 91. Israel Institute of Transportation.
Rose, G. and F.S. Koppelman. 1984. Transferability of Disaggregate Trip Generation Models. Proceedings of the 9th International Symposium on Transportation and Traffic Theory. Utrecht, Netherlands: VNU Press.
Silman, L.A. 1981. The Time Stability of a Modal-Split Model for Tel Aviv. Environment and Planning A 13:751-762.
Smith, R.L. and D.E. Cleveland. 1976. Time Stability Analysis of Trip Generation and Predistribution ModalChoice Models. Transportation Research Record 569:76-86.
Supernak, J. 1982. Transportation Modeling: Lessons from the Past and Tasks for the Future. Transportation Analysis and Models, Proceedings of Seminar Q. London, England: PTRC Education and Research Services, Ltd.
____. 1984. Disaggregate Models of Mode Choices: An Assessment of Performance and Suggestions for Improvement. Proceedings of the 9th International Symposium on Transportation and Traffic Theory. Utrecht, Netherlands: VNU Press.
____. 1987. A Method for Estimating Long-Term Changes in Time-of-Day Travel Demand. Transportation Research Record 1138:18-26.
Supernak, J., A. Talvitie, and A. DeJohn. 1983. Person-Category Trip Generation Model. Transportation Research Record 944:74-83.
Tobin, J. 1958. Estimation of Relationships for Limited Dependent Variables. Econometrica 26:24-36.
Walker, W.T. and O.A. Olanipekun. 1989. Interregional Stability of Household Trip Generation Rates from the 1986 New Jersey Home Interview Survey. Transportation Research Record 1220:47-57.
Walker, W.T. and H. Peng. 1991. Long Range Temporal Stability of Trip Generation Rates Based on Selected Cross-Classification Models in the Delaware Valley Region. Transportation Research Record 1305:61-71.
Wilmot, C.G. 1995. Evidence of Transferability of Trip Generation Models. Journal of Transportation Engineering 9:405-410.
Yunker, K.R. 1976. Tests of the Temporal Stability of Travel Simulation Models in Southeastern Wisconsin. Transportation Research Record 610:1-5.
Zhao, H. 2000. Comparison of Two Alternatives for Trip Generation, paper presented at the 79th Annual Meetings of the Transportation Research Board, Jan. 9-13, 2000, Washington, DC.
1. Tours refer to a sequence of trips usually starting and ending at home. Trips refer to just the movement between an origin and destination.
2. The 1984 household survey contained 1.5 days of data for each person; the 1996/97 survey contained 3 to 4 days of data for each person.
3. These surveys were restricted to work-related activities only.
1 A. Cotrus, Department of Civil Engineering, Technion, Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa 32000, Israel. E-mail: firstname.lastname@example.com
2 J. Prashker, Transportation Research Institute,Technion, Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa 32000, Israel. E-mail: firstname.lastname@example.com
3 Corresponding Author: Y. Shiftan, Transportation Research Institute,Technion, Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa 32000, Israel. E-mail: email@example.com


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Just my two cents added to Daves:
David Kitchens wrote:
> Well to begin with, the first time you asked a question, you sent a link to
> a project that has not released any files so it would be hard for anyone to
> make a comment.
Also, this question has been asked before (I think?), perhaps people
were expecting for you to search the archives?
> As for you next question, I don't think it is possible to use multiple
> subnets on the WAN interface, you would likely need to use two monowalls.
Isn't this what all those NAT & ARP pages ("Server NAT", "1:1 NAT",
"Proxy ARP"), that Manuel has recently added, is for, or am I missing
something here?
> You also have to realize that this list is made up of volunteers, it is not
> a place where every question is answered everytime. Whineing about no answer
> does not help at all.
Hear, hear!


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Former Commissioner Dennis Linthicum
Spain's largest oil company, Repsol, is moving in to spud an offshore well deep in Cuban waters. The well will be just 60 miles from the Florida Keys. Whether you see this as good, bad, or indifferent, recognize that foreign companies are eagerly seeking opportunities for using natural resources to provide cheap energy, industry, jobs, and profits.
Meanwhile, here in the US, we have shut-down deep water drilling. We would rather let others create jobs and industry. Although the current Administration is always talking about jobs there is no sense in getting dirt under our finger nails. After all, the enviro-elites would prefer those high paying jobs come from watching our timber grow and wither.
Throughout the US, and in Oregon, environmental activists have foisted a baseless and bankrupt worldview on our community. This tragedy stems from the activism of the 1960's, when the Silent Spring was written. This book made an emotional argument about DDT that sounded plausible. There was no data, but still, it sounded plausible. It got people wondering about man's role in the environment and concerns blossomed about man's use of chemicals and his encroachment in the natural realm.
As a side note, this view echoes the thoughts published in 1798, by Thomas Malthus where he wrote:
"The power of population is so superior to the power of the earth to produce subsistence for man, that premature death must in some shape or other visit the human race. The vices of mankind are active and able ministers of depopulation." —An Essay on the Principle of Population, Chapter VII.
Since World War II western culture has been pragmatic. Our predisposition to gathering facts and finding evidence appeared as a viable solution to the future "silent spring." But, success could only come if we gave ample time to the science; only if we stopped pursuing "our planet's premature death." Time was needed to prove the truth of these theories and the appropriateness of the model.
This idea, with its morbid backdrop, actually created the impetus for the Northern spotted owl fiasco. It was 1991 when Federal District Judge William Dwyer issued an injunction that shut down the federal timber sale program on westside forests in Oregon and Washington. The shutdown was justified because of the plausibility that continued logging might negatively impact the owl's delicate web of life.
It turns out that most of these theories are based on incorrect speculation about the unknown – the future. These speculations might seem compelling, but they aren't coming true. They are, after all, speculations – guesses. Today, after several decades, the evidence is in and rural America is paying the price.
It turns out that humans are the solution, not the problem. Look at these examples:
- The Truth about DDT
- Decimated Forestland in Klamath and Lake Counties
- Malthus, Then and Now
- The Spotted Owl's Real Competitor
Today's conventional, status quo environmental ideology is wrong. It falsely assumes that the best thing man can do for the environment is to set aside the maximum amount of land,sea and air and prevent any further human activity.
History tells a different story. Sure, there may always be some contrary story, but the historical evidence testifies that humans are the solution, not the problem. Human creativity and ingenuity are the necessary engines for raising living standards worldwide, and I mean all living standards.
This includes the living standards for any fish, fowl, or furry friend. This is simply because polar bears can't protect puffins or parakeets, only humans can. Neither can bighorn sheep imagine the conditions necessary to protect Klamath River salmon. There is no reason to believe that the short-nosed sucker can muster any admiration for Leona's blue butterfly, either. This is the duty and responsibility of man. The environmental separatists' false paradigm would pretend otherwise.
For example, if this common sense perspective were applied to the management of our "Red Zone," here in Klamath and Lake Counties, we would sow, tend, harvest and manage the land with predictable and sustainable outcomes. Our forests would be healthier, fires would be less destructive, and animal habitat would thrive. Recreational opportunities would abound, natural watersheds would be preserved, jobs would be created and our communities would prosper.
Therefore, it is time for true science to prevail in the marketplace of ideas. This means man's stewardship responsibilities must be accurately weighed with evidence based and historically faithful assessments. Man must be allowed access to the natural environment for its own good. Only man can sow, tend, harvest, and preserve the fruit of our natural world and rural America must take dominion back from the environmental separatists.
1 Comment
Bravo! Well said.


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Arty Girl: Green Streets, In the Yard, Stylos and Spanish Market
You're going to need something bigger than that.
By Joe Lanman on flickr Creative Commons
I did my fair share of being out and about these past two weeks, soaking up the Nick Cave lecture at SMoCA, making a jaunt to First Friday and hitting the Canalscape opening at ASU Art Museum (among other events). So I was thinking I might stick my head in the sand over the weekend. Literally - I wanted to spend my daytime hours hitting some hiking trails.
No such luck. Silly me. There's really too many great things going on for me to pass up. Which is definitely a good problem to have. But I'm still going to sleep in tomorrow and fit in a nice, long hike at some point. Which means I'll probably stop at one of these events in my hiking gear. Is it tacky to show up in spandex, hiking shoes, no make-up and a camelbak?
Anyway, check out the goods for this weekend after the jump...
The Green Streets Festival
Friday, Nov. 13th 6-10 p.m.
You may have noticed a gaggle of people roaming the streets downtown this week. That's because the Greenbuild International Conference & Expo has been lecturing, collaborating and discussing how to, well, stop killing our own planet down at the Phoenix Convention Center. Well, tonight, their celebrating the finale of the conference with their Green Streets Festival. The block party is along Roosevelt Row from 4th to 7th Streets and will feature eco-friendly vendors, Four Peaks Beer Garden and locally-grown munchies made by a handful of the valley's best chefs.
Upcoming Events
Pat Benatar & Neil Giraldo
TicketsTue., Aug. 29, 7:30pm
Mary J. Blige
TicketsWed., Aug. 30, 8:00pm
Don't Look Back - Boston Tribute Band
TicketsFri., Sep. 1, 7:30pm
Jack Russel's Great White
TicketsFri., Sep. 1, 8:00pm
Too $hort
TicketsSat., Sep. 2, 8:00pm
In the Yard
Saturday, Nov. 14th 11 a.m.-4 p.m.
There's a real good reason to just stay on Roosevelt Row this entire weekend. First, Saturday offers a few other Green Streets events you can read about here. But you're also going to want to head to the In the Yard event on the Lawn of Bunky Boutique, 812 N. 3rd St. Local artisans will be selling their D.I.Y. wares, everything at Bunky will be 20% off and the neighboring Roosevelt Tavern will be open for the whole thing. Really, could there be a better Saturday event?
Stylos 2009
Saturday, Nov. 14th, 6-10 p.m.
Okay, so there might be a better event, depending on what you're looking for. Phoenix Art Museum (1625 N. Central Avenue in Phoenix) is hosting Stylos 2009, the 4th annual awards ceremony recognizing local Latino talent. Watch as the best of the best in local art, music, activism and leadership are recognized for their tremendous efforts (congrats to Claudio Dicohea, Annie Lopez, Lalo Cota and Luis Gutierrez who are all artists of the year). Entertainment includes fashion by LOH, VMarie, Culture Fresh, Lola y Lola, a local dance performance and music by Santa Cecilia.
Spanish Market at the Heard Museum
Saturday & Sunday, Nov. 14th 15th, 10 a.m.-5 p.m.
So after you've poked around Roosevelt, take a quick cruise up Central Ave. to the Heard (2301 N. Central Ave) for their outdoor Spanish Market. Here, you'll find book signings by our beloved Crafty Chica and pottery lover Rob Goebel. The cafe is offering Spanish dishes and there will be a whopping 75 artists from AZ and NM selling milagros, santos, pottery, Colcha embroidery, furniture, tinwork, textiles, retablos, jewelry and oh my God get in the car, we're going.
See? What did I tell ya? Too much good stuff to pass up, right?
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Roger Moorman: fiberglass pioneer...
FBYC: Birthplace of the Mobjack
By Jere Dennison
By the mid-1950s, technological improvements arising from World War II were just beginning to filter down to the boat-building industry. Still sailboats continued to be constructed with wooden hulls that greatly restricted the application of mass production techniques. Wood, while light and strong, had limiting characteristics as well. It was difficult to form into exotic shapes and required extensive maintenance to prevent rot and decay in the marine environment.
Meanwhile sailboat racers began to demand higher performance. At FBYC this meant that Penguins and Hamptons began to be displaced with boats like the Thistle and latter the Jollyboat. Both of these boats were cold-molded in wood to produce efficient hulls with hydrodynamically superior shapes. But wood was still the material of choice as had been the case throughout maritime history.
In 1954, FBYC member Roger Moorman, a gunsmith from Gloucester Country who excelled in the Thistle class, began developing plans to create and produce a new type of one-design dinghy based roughly on the Thistle hull-form but constructed entirely of plastic.
During the summer of 1956, The Richmond Times-Dispatch reported on Roger�s effort to pioneer this new, innovative fiberglass construction technique. Portions of the article entitled �Gloucester Resident Designs, Constructs All-Plastic Sailboat� as written by Jennings Culley are reprinted below:
The boat is a 17-foot all-plastic job that is virtually unsinkable and comes with such innovations as a self-bailing system. It is the incorporation of ideas Moorman has picked up in his years of sailing concerning what a sailboat should be in design, function and safety features.
The boat makes use of several new techniques in the ever-growing field of plastics. Because of this, there have been many headaches, many stumbling blocks and many delays getting it into mass production.
�We�ve been working for some 18 months now and we�re not quite out of the research stage and into the production stage,� said Moorman, � But we�re almost there. With some of these new techniques with plastics, we have had to feel our way along. We can�t go somewhere and see how somebody else is doing it, 'cause nobody else is doing it yet. It�s been quite a job, but the end product is well worth the trouble and cost we�ve gone to.
The �end product� is actually a double-bottom plastic (or fiberglass) boat about the size of a Thistle. It has a 26-foot mast with 175 square feet of working sails (slightly more than the Thistle). The length & width are about the same as a Thistle, but the weight of the Mobjack is less-about 295 pounds.
The Mobjack has decking (or seats) along the gunwales but no cross seats like the Thistle. It will carry as many as eight persons under normal sailing conditions.
Moorman finished construction of his first Mobjack last fall and has registered it as an official sailing class at the Fishing Bay Yacht Club. He recently finished his second one and is hoping to complete a third one next week so that the three can be entered into active competition at the Ware River Yacht Club regatta on August 4.
The official emblem for the Mobjack class will be a large �M� with a shouting sailor just beneath. It will signify �Mock Jack,� said to be the original name of Mobjack Bay. According to Bob Burgess of the Mariners Museum in Warwick, the bay was call �Mock-Jack� by early sailors because their voices echoed to them as they sailed along the wooded shores of the bay.
Virginia sailors have taken to the Mobjack very well, Moorman said. �We have orders for quite a few already. The features offered by the boat are the ones people go for. The self-bailing, the wide-openess of the boat and the durable structure please people. Now it�s up to us to get it into production.
From this humble start, the Mobjack fleet took off like the contemporaneous Russian sputnik. Early fleet members in our Club, beside Hicks, Moorman, and Sinnickson, included Jimmy Reid, Chuck Raynor, Fred Williams, Harrison Hubard (Sr.), and Bill Pierce.
In the summer of 1959 to promote the class, Roger Moorman created a sensation by sailing his Mobjack some 135 miles from Gloucester to Annapolis, Maryland for a racing event. And in 1959, FBYC hosted the first Mobjack National Championship.
As testament to the endurance of the Mobjack design, the class is still actively raced at many yacht clubs primarily in the Chesapeake region, but also on Smith Mountain Lake, in Lewes, Del. and Long Island, NY and on several lakes in Wisconsin and is the longest surviving one-design class at FBYC where it has been continuously raced for over 45 years.
Did you know?
Clubhouse Address: 1525 Fishing Bay Road, Deltaville, VA 23043 (no mail delivery)
Phone Numbers: Club House (804) 776-9636 Contact Webmasters


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Kelly said the United States Natural Gas ETF (UNG) found support at $20. He is a buyer of natural gas.
Victor Anthony, managing director at Topeka Capital Markets, was a guest on the show. Regarding the whipsaw-like trading action of Twitter (TWTR), he said it's based solely on momentum. He added there are few negatives for the stock but that could change after the company reports earnings. He said the stock is priced for perfection and has gone too far, too fast.
Kelly said he would be a seller of TWTR at these levels and believes it could decline to the mid-$50s. Brown, who is long with a small position, said he is hoping for a large, earnings-induced selloff so he can buy more shares.
Adami suggested investors take profits in Twitter near these levels.
Avi Reichental, president and CEO of 3D Systems (DDD), was a guest on the show. He said investors can expect more commercial products, consumer products and partnerships to be unveiled at the upcoming Consumer Electronics Show. Many naysayers point to the number of acquisitions DDD makes, he said, but the deals are made for the technology, not to fuel growth. He added that consumer products will grow into a significant market over the long term and his company is positioning itself accordingly.
Adami said valuation on 3D Systems has been the focal point for the bears for years now. The argument hasn't worked and he suggested not to short the stock. Brown agreed, saying the company, while overvalued right now, is at the forefront of a new industry.
For their final trades, Seymour is buying gold and selling platinum in a pairs trade. Brown said to buy the Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) and Adami said to buy Blackstone (BX).
-- Written by Bret Kenwell in Petoskey, Mich.
Follow TheStreet.com on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook.


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Weeke to Make Routers in U.S.
Weeke North America has opened a new facility in Michigan to produce an entry level series of CNC routers. A joint venture between Stiles Machinery, Weeke Maschinenbau and Weeke's parent company, the Homag Group,occupies a 30,000 square foot manufacturing facility located near Stiles' headquarters in Grand Rapids.
Based in Northern Germany, Weeke is one of the world's largest manufacturers of CNC equipment, according to Stiles officials. Stiles has been Weeke's exclusive distributor in the United States for over 20 years.
The woodworking equipment distributor shared its customers' requests for an entry-level router with Weeke, it reports, which led to the development of the Weeke Vantech series of machines. It was also determined that by manufacturing in the U.S., the company could build machines for less without factors such as fluctuating exchange rates and international shipping costs. "All three shareholders are excited about the opportunities this will bring to our customers in 2009 and beyond, says," David Rothwell, Stile's executive vice president.
The new operation utilizes local manufacturers for components. The facility produces machines to order, maintains almost no inventory and still offers short delivery times, according to Stiles' executives.


text:
A DECLARATION that highlights the affects smoking has on a community has been backed by Thurrock Council.
The Local Government Declaration on Tobacco Control is endorsed by the country's leading public health organisations and is a statement of a local authority's commitment to tackling harm from smoking.
It includes commitments to have a local plan, to support national action on tobacco and to protect local health policy from tobacco industry influence.
Smoking in Thurrock accounts for more early deaths than any other cause.
Councillor Barbara Rice, in charge of health, said: "I understand we're the 22nd local authority to sign up which again shows Thurrock takes its public health responsibilities very seriously indeed.
"We want to do away with the inequalities in health that we see between different wards in our borough, but more importantly we want Thurrock to be a healthy place for everyone who lives here.
"That's what we're working towards, and tackling the evils of tobacco is one of the simplest ways of doing this. Stop smoking and immediately you increase your chances of a longer life."


text:
Enterprise Medical Recruiting
Full Time
- Full-time employed position; huge need for additional ENT care
- Robust referral base from this 80-physician group
- Large 100 mile radius primary service area with tremendous opportunity for growth
- Join an experienced team of physicians in their beautifully appointed clinic facility on campus
- At your disposal is Blessing Hospital, a full-service 337-bed tertiary regional medical center on Modern Healthcare's list of "100 Best Places to Work in Healthcare" (2011)
- Excellent compensation plan for high earning potential
- Student loan repayment and hiring bonus offered!
Quincy, Illinois, which was recently ranked #8 among "Best Small Cities to Raise a Family" by Forbes Magazine (2010), is a modern and progressive industrial city in the heart of a large and fertile agriculture area. Located just two hours from St. Louis, Columbia, Missouri and Springfield, Illinois, and four hours from Chicago, the city offers wide tree-lined streets leading to homes both large and small and four excellent shopping centers provide quality merchandise for every purpose. In addition to modern elementary and secondary schools (which was recently awarded an $89 million school bond referendum by the community), Quincy is fortunate to have Quincy University, an independent co-educational liberal arts university, as well as other two-year colleges and vocational schools. Because of its excellent clinical and hospital facilities, Quincy is also known as the area's top regional medical center. Quincy's churches represent every denomination.
For additional details, please contact:
Dave Duncan
(800) 467-3737 ext. 3011
Contact: Neal Fenster
Email: email@example.com
Phone: 1-800-467-3737
Web: www.enterprisemed.com


text:
Laboratory Tests
Laboratory tests are an analysis of:
- blood
- urine
- stool
- tissue samples
- other substances
There are many different types of laboratory tests:
|Type of test
blood tests
sputum tests
urine tests
other body fluid tests
Why a laboratory test is done
Many laboratory tests can be used as a part of a routine checkup. A laboratory test may be done to:
- provide information about a person's general health
- measure amounts of certain substances in the body
- screen for cancer
- help diagnose a person who has symptoms of cancer or other diseases
When a condition or disease such as cancer is diagnosed, laboratory tests may also be used to:
- help plan treatment
- evaluate the response to treatment
- monitor the course of the condition over time
How a laboratory test is done
Preparation depends on the type of test being done.
- The person will be told about any special preparation that could affect test results, such as not eating or taking certain medications.
Samples of blood, urine, tissue or other types of body fluids are taken and sent to a laboratory to be analyzed or examined under a microscope.
What the results mean
Results are usually measured in numbers.
Some tests provide a simple positive or negative result, but many tests give results that must be compared to a normal reference range or to results from previous tests to have meaning.
Normal test values are usually given as a range rather than as a specific number because normal values vary from person to person and laboratory to laboratory.
Many factors can affect test results, including:
- sex
- age
- ancestry
- medical history
- general health
- specific foods or drugs the person is taking
- how closely the person was able to follow pre-test instructions
Tissue examination can reveal what type of cells are seen and if cancer cells are present or not.
Some laboratory tests are precise, reliable indicators of specific health problems. Others provide more general information that simply gives doctors clues to possible health problems. Information obtained from laboratory tests may help doctors decide whether other tests or procedures are needed to make a diagnosis. The information may also help the doctor develop or revise treatment plans.
All laboratory results must be interpreted in the context of the overall health of the person and are generally used along with other examinations or tests. A doctor familiar with the person's medical history and condition is best able to explain test results and what they mean.
What happens if a change or abnormality is found
The doctor will decide if more tests, procedures, follow-up care or additional treatment are needed.
I'm extremely grateful to the Canadian Cancer Society for funding my research with an Innovation Grant.
Making progress in the cancer fight
The 5-year cancer survival rate has increased from 25% in the 1940s to 60% today.


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Not really suprised, my 3 of 5 items uploaded are also rejected hardly.. sounds good to me either; and seems so selling.. But i dont know why its is so easy to reject the items without giving any chance to improvement.
Something was really wrong to my ears about the rythm guitar, but not sure; maybe mixing.
No one to give an idea abut the items ? :/
ToxicRecordings said
I have only been here since january 2014, but the general concensus seems to be that the reviewers now have tighter quality rules to get songs qualified and get them released on audiojungle. So basically, the quality needs to be better then ever before, and the it has to right for the market.
I'm sure it is only for improvisation process but the doubt about the situation is that my self concious is getting worse when I see this warning
SkinnyAtlasMusic said
One of my earlier tracks was held and further reviewed bc the guitar was slightly out of tune in one area….which it was a little, it is one of my indie rock tracks, I fixed it and resubmitted…trust me it's for the best when someone makes you reach your potential!
I have an unlimited trust about the users and reviewers of course, the main thing is that if the examination process getting much more harder or not?
KipaLoops said
Helloo. For my case, back then, usually my tracks that got temporary held are the 'good but can still be better musically'. But i don't know for sure. I can only assume that maybe it's not always the music, but also the genre. Maybe one reviewer doubted about which genre your song is fit, so they need time to discuss it with other reviewer.
I feel sad about the curiosty of my items on nearly each review process, nevertheless no need to discuss they are making it to make "better"
LeatherwingStudios said
why even tell us about this? there is nothing we can do about it. as far as we are concerned it is still in the que so why not just eliminate the notice and leave the song in the que until the review is finished?
the audiojungle section of the topic is about the whole AJ stuff. I'm not expecting anything from you to do about the topic but your words. Of course I know i have to wait until the review finishes and the decision occurs.
Hi AJ;
I feel confused about the procedure of reviewal section of my dashboard.
It is quite difficult to wait for review result whether it is positive or not; an additional time is coming with the "Temporarily held by the review" abortion.
Not so far; just last year, I clearly remember that 1 of my 10 musics maybe was just waiting for an additional examination, but it is now so often to see that warning.
But why? Are my songs are so much more complicated than the ones before to decide or is that just about the review team decision?
Thank you
Not the worst one indeed. But sure not the best
Congrats and good luck with the new sales!
I wish i could, really wish..
macoedm said
Thanks:) I'm trying to upload constantly but they reject them for various reasons :/
Welcome to the real world Neo . When you get used to feel that enough, your sales gonna boost automatically
Somehow I clearly realized that it is an serious issue for myself to find the item on my pc while it is already waiting for review team for approval.
Maybe it could be previewed by clicking a play button while waiting for reviewal process?
Just an advice. Who knows, we can dispense with the item before wasting your time after listening once and once again? ..


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2011 128i w 22k miles
I am looking into getting a 2011 128i w 22k miles. Anyone have any opinions of the 2011 models and what to look for? One owner, has been taken good care of.
This model has sports package, premium and the value package. Halogen headlamps, no Nav.
Any feedback would be appreciated. I am a current 09 335i owner, looking for car for my wife.
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A seaside retreat with 429 acres to satisfy your every whim. A historic mansion overlooking the Cape Cod Bay. elegant villas alongside the cape's only Nicklaus design golf course. Pools, warm water beaches, world-class tennis, a 26-mile historic bike trail, even croquet on the lawn and bonfires on the beach.
Visit Ocean Edge Resort & Golf Club, the perfect destination for your next romantic getaway, family vacation or other memorable celebration. Ocean Edge is tucked away in quaint, historic Brewster, Massachusetts known affectionately as the warmer side of the Cape. Visit our exquisite Cape Cod resort to discover timeless luxury in a delightful setting.
Learn more about our Cape Cod Vacation Packages & Hotel Specials.
The cornerstone of our Cape Cod resort is the Nickerson Family Mansion and Carriage House overlooking Cape Cod Bay. Originally built in 1890, the Nickerson family home is listed in the National Register of Historic Places. Stay on the AAA Four Diamond Rated Mansion side, or in spacious Cape Cod hotel vacation rentals at The Villages overlooking the Nicklaus Design golf course. Ocean Edge is also home to the Mansion Ballroom, Cape Cod's largest luxury ballroom and boasts venue options from intimate gatherings to weddings for up to 300. Contact us for more information on our impressive conference facilities, and picturesque venues for weddings and other special occasions.
Escape to:
We are less than 30 minutes from the Barnstable Municipal Airport in Hyannis and only 90-minutes from Boston's Logan International Airport and T.F. Green Airport in Providence, Rhode Island.
Book your reservations online today for exceptional rates.
Our newly renovated beachside accommodations, the Presidential Bay Collection and the Mansion Guest Wings at offer a bounty of amenities just footsteps from your room. Mansion-side guests enjoy exclusive access to our private Bay Pines Beach and new Beach Bar. (Please note, the Bay Pines Beach and the Beach Bar on the Mansion-side are for the use of Mansion-side guests only.)
Other delights Mansion-side include outdoor and indoor pools, tennis complex, cardio/weight room & fitness studio, and spa treatment room. Two restaurants are on the Mansion side; the cozy Bayzo's Pub, and the indoor/outdoor Ocean Terrace, combining old and new with fantastic views overlooking Cape Cod Bay.
The Villages span 380 emerald acres that overlooking the Nicklaus Design golf course with direct access to the Cape Cod Bike Trail. Spacious 1-, 2- and 3- bedroom villas welcome you with chic Cape Cod décor. With kitchenettes and washer/dryers provided in every villa the living is easy. While the entire resort is open for your pleasure, a beach shuttle on season and Brewster Beach Pass is available for all guests staying on The Villages Side with access to 6 gorgeous warm water beaches and 2 freshwater ponds. (Please note, the Bay Pines beach on the Mansion-side is for the use of Mansion-side guests only.)


text:
We went with the Cedar Camp outfitters for the trip. We stayed Friday night at the campground ($6/person per night) and were pleasantly surprised to find out they cooked breakfast for all campers (all you can eat pancakes coupled with 2 sausages each). The canoe cost is $70 for 2 days ($35/person).
Saturday morning we pushed off - there were 6 of us in three canoes + a dog. I was pleasantly surprised by the river. It was very windy at times, but widening out occasionally and providing us a chance to race our canoes and see who paddled the fastest :-) The river would then funnel into a more narrow channel, with increasing current speed and fairly sharp turns to navigate. It was a blast.
While we scrapped the bottom 2 or 3 times, the only portage opportunity came when we had to cross a small bridge construction area. There were also 1 or 2 trees that had fallen but thankfully the river provided a way around. There's also an awesome tree swing about 5 miles or so into the trip. That provided about an hour's worth of fun.
If we could do it over again, we would ask the outfitter to take us upstream 13 miles and then float down passed the campground and down to the lake. The would be about a 27 mile trip which is a perfect distance.


text:
Ibanez SR370E 4-String Electric Bass
(Aged Whiskey Burst)
Sku #J31134000001000
4 String Electric Bass
- Write a Review
45 day price guarantee, 45 day return policy, 100% secure shopping
Complete musical versatility and quality craftsmanship in a bass built for the working musician.
For 25 years the SR has given bass players a modern alternative. Embraced by bassists over the decades, the iconic series continues to excite with its smooth, fast neck, lightweight body and perfectly matched electronics.
The SR370E is a handsome 4-string bass designed for the experienced player. The bass starts with an immaculately finished Maple body. Other features include a sturdy 5-piece Maple/Rosewood SR4 neck, a Rosewood fretboard, and an Accu-cast B120 bridge for superior string vibration transfer and precise intonation. Cosmo Black hardware adds a hint of stealth.
At the heart of the SR370E's electronics are two PowerSpan Dual Coil pickups. Their stainless pole pieces offer higher output, clarity, and fullness than any in the SR370's class. Accessed by the 3-way "Power Tap" switch, these proprietary pickups offer a choice of three tonal personalities: A rich humbucker sound, a pure single-coil sound, or an enhanced single coil sound— fattened by lows from the humbucker pickups. Add the ability to dial in precise tone preferences via the Ibanez Custom 3-band EQ, and the SR370E is a musical chameleon.
- Shape:Info not available
- Wood:Maple with rosewood
- Neck joint:Info not available
- Scale length:34"
- Truss rod:Yes
- Finish:Info not available
- Pickups
- Active or passive pickups:Passive
- Pickup configuration:HH
- Neck: PowerSpan Dual Coil
- Middle:Not applicable
- Bridge:PowerSpan Dual Coil
- Brand:Ibanez
- Series or parallel:Parallel
- Active preamp:Info not available
- Special electronics: Ibanez custom electronics 3-band EQ
- Fretboard
- Material:Rosewood
- Radius:305mmR
- Fret size:Medium
- Number of frets:24
- Inlays:Dot
- Nut material:Info not available
- Nut width:1.5 in. (38.1mm)
- Neck width at 12 fret:0.85 in. (21.5mm)
- Body
- Cutaway:Double cutaway
- Construction:Solidbody
- Body wood:Maple
- Top wood: Not applicable
- Body finish: Info not available
- Orientation:Right handed
- Controls
- Control layout:Master volume, balancer, 3-band EQ, 3-way Power Tap switch, bass boost/cut, middle boost/cut
- Pickup switch: Not applicable
- Coil tap or split:Not appicable
- Tone switching:No
- Special switching:Not applicable
- Hardware
- Bridge type:Fixed
- Bridge design: Accu-cast B120
- Tailpiece:Not applicable
- Tuning machines:Die-cast
- Color: Cosmo black
- Other
- Number of strings:4
- Pickguard:No
- Special features:Not applicable
- Case:Sold separately
- Accessories:Info not available
Order today!


text:
"Enjoy a short stack for a tall cause"
Applebee's Flapjack Fundraiser breakfast to support Southeast Iowa Adult Special Olympics.
WHEN: Saturday, March 29th – 8:00am to 10:00am
WHERE: Applebee's Neighborhood Grill & Bar – 116 South Roosevelt Avenue – Burlington
Tickets are $5.00 and can be purchased at Hopefully Yours Thrift & Gift Store (425 Valley Street – Burlington). Tickets also will be available for $5.00 at the door on the day and time of the event. Thank you for your support!


text:
Revised Draft #3:12/10/2002
75th Meeting – December 12, 2002
Gaithersburg, MD 20877
Thursday, December 12, 2002
8:00 a.m. Welcome, Statement of Conflict of Interest, Announcements
8:10 am. Committee Updates
· Summary of Workshop on West Nile Virus, November 4-5, 2002 – Hira Nakhasi, Ph.D.
· Medical Device User Fees (MDUFMA) – Mary Elizabeth Jacobs, Ph.D.
· Approval of the OraQuick Rapid HIV-1 Antibody Test – Elliot Cowan, Ph.D.
9:10 a.m. Open Committee Discussion
I. Bacterial Contamination
A. Background and Introduction – Alan Williams, Ph.D., Director, Division of Blood Applications, OBRR
B. Skin Preparation of Phlebotomy – John Lee, M.D., Chief, Blood and Plasma Branch, DBA,OBRR
C. Update on the Diversion Pouch – Jaro Vostal, M.D., Ph.D., Chief, Laboratory of Cellular Hematology, DH, OBRR
10:00 a.m. BREAK
10:15 a.m. Open Committee Discussion
D. Quality Control Approaches for Detection of Bacterial Contamination – Alan Williams, Ph.D.
E. Data Presentation – James Aubuchon, M.D.
F. Data Presentation – Tracey Manlove, MT, Terumo Corporation
G. Design of Clinical Trials for Clearance of Devices Intended for Screening of Platelet Products Prior to Transfusion: Background – Steven Wagner, Ph.D., American Red Cross, Holland Lab.
H. Data Presentation – James Aubuchon, M.D.
I. Proposed Study Design – Jaro Vostal, M.D., Ph.D.
12:30 p.m. OPEN PUBLIC HEARING
1:00 p.m. Open Committee Discussion
J. Questions for the Committee
K. Committee Discussion and Recommendations
1:45 p.m. LUNCH
2:30 p.m. Open Committee Discussion
II. Human Parvovirus B19 NAT Testing for Whole Blood and Source Plasma
A. Introduction and Background – Mei-ying W.Yu Ph.D., Laboratory of Plasma Derivatives, DH
B. Overview of Parvovirus B19 Infection – Kevin Brown, MD, Hematology Branch, NHLBI
C. Industry Data Presentations
· American Red Cross – Susan Stramer, Ph.D.
· National Genetics Institute – Andrew Conrad, Ph.D.
· Fractionators/PPTA
1. Barbee Whitaker, Ph.D.
2. Steve Petteway, Ph.D.
3. Edward Gomperts, M.D.
4:15 p.m. BREAK
4:30 p.m. OPEN PUBLIC HEARING
5:15 p.m. Open Committee Discussion
D. FDA Perspectives and Questions for the Committee – Mei-ying W.Yu, Ph.D.
E. Committee Discussion and Recommendations
6:30 p.m. ADJOURNMENT


text:
Green Car: the AirPod Car Runs on Compressed Air
Posted on December 28, 2010The electric car will have some competition. The AirPod runs on compressed air. The car has three wheels, two doors and no steering wheel. The AirPod emits a fraction of the pollution of a standard car. So how fast can it go? Around 50 miles per hour. It will retail for around $10,000. Motor Development International hopes that the AirPod will be the future of urban transportation. Take a look:
More from Shoppers Shop


text:
Home > Sunglasses > Karl Lagerfeld > KL894S (001)
New Releases
Size and availability
Free outbound and return shipping
30-day money-back guarantee
Low prices
Free outbound and return shipping
30-day money-back guarantee
Low prices
KL894S/001 Ophthalmic Glasses
KL894S is a fashion statement, for which sunshine is not necessarily required, because these sunglasses enhance your natural radiance turning night into day. Would another colour not be a better match for your favourite outfit? Check also the other styles of KL894Sin our 2016, and 2017 Karl Lagerfeld range.
This frame was specially designed for genuine power women. Graceful design and expressiveness are interspersed with classical chic. Wearing full rim eyewear, you make it unmistakably clear that you are going the whole hog. Round eyeglasses are extremely prestigious. A fact John Lennon was aware of, being rarely seen without them. Harry Potter would also not be the same without his characteristic eyeglasses. Due to its shape the KL894S will be a long-time companion, because round eyeglasses never really go out of fashion. Frames made of acetate allow a greater thickness with a very low relative weight. Black eyeglasses are a must-have. They can be combined with anything and refine any style. Whether at your desk, in a club or at a fashion show - black always fits. This brand of sunglasses, of course, also provides your eyes with optimum UV400 protection.
And because Edel-Optics is a paradise for bargain hunters, you can get this top model at an incredibly low price. What is labelled as "in the sale" at other online shops, is for us "all-day-everyday" prices.
New Releases
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Don't hesitate to call us at
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Hey Martin, Jess and Luna.
Oh, my God.
I miss you all soo much!
I'd rather write each and everyone of you a personal message, but this stupid nurse only gave me 15 minutes.
I miss you, Martin, and your fascinating questions and answers. I hope to give you a lot of messages soon!
I miss you, Jess, with all your interesting lifestories of your day! I'm waiting for more!!!!
And Bells, I miss you SOOOOO much, with your little stories! (Please give me more, in English. I'm BEGGING you :)).
I miss y'all so much, you became a daily thing in my life.
BTW: In case you didn't know already: I'm in the hospital after an... euhm... how do you say it? Wait a sec.. Appendix thingy. It burst/popped open, and I had surgeries.
Only three more silly days from hell until I can go back home and post y'all so much you become sick of it!
Please.. BEGGING you: PLEASE give me (un)interesting stories (real life or just a funny story you wrote out of the blue ;)). I need distraction. I made all my homework already, out of boredom, and isn't the good side of being sick to not have to make homework? Damn!
(BTW: I miss you and your arguements with Luna too, TLG! And Ha-Za, you don't know me, but I'm COMPLETELY addicted to your stories XD).
Bye, love you!!!
Byebye, the nurse is giving me the angry look, with her face all turning blue... HELP ME!


text:
New 2017 Chevrolet Cruze Hatchback Premier
See Important Disclosures Here
Price does not include dealer added accessories, tax, title, license, and document fees. Price includes: $2,500 - General Motors Consumer Cash Program. Exp. 08/31/2017
Larry was great the parts department was fantastic.
Service department: everyone was friendly. I do with that someone could explain the WHY the repair was needed, if there was a cause that could be prev...
All the guys there are very helpful. The process was quick and easy.
They were very friendly and helpful.
Very happy with service performed. Service Advisor was excellent.
Carol was really nice and very communicative.
Very knowledgeable, friendly and professional staff.
The service rep was outstanding. The person at the payment desk was very personable and friendly
David Pacheco does a great job at taking care of his customers.


text:
you should review 'the deep cave' the game is awesome. a retro 2d platformer, with excellent chiptune music and is probably the hardest ive ever played. and believe me i know alot of hard platforming games
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Talk:Scent of a Woman
From Wikiquote
The Out of Order monologue was retreived from http://www.whysanity.net/monos/scent.html on June 30, 2006. —The preceding unsigned comment was added by 22.214.171.124 (talk • contribs) 06:01, 30 June 2006 (UTC)
Free casino game[edit]
Hi. Sorry for my english. Happy New Year!!!!! Good Luck!
VFD result[edit]
This article was nominated for deletion. The result of that discussion was keep, but trim. BD2412 T 20:42, 28 March 2011 (UTC)