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24 October 2012
You Read It Here First
Back in June, I made this prediction:
Obama will lose both Virginia and North Carolina by more than 10 points. The notion that either state can now be considered "purple" is laughable. The number of "experts" in academia, government, and the media which will see (and are seeing) their credibility ruined will be talked about for years to come.
Now comes this bit of news today:
Facing a Mitt Romney surge in North Carolina polls, Team Obama is poised to pull back forces in the state that hosted the Democratic National Convention and Democratic advisors suggest that Virginia may be next to fall.
More here.
A lot can still happen, but things seem to be hardening for Romney. Though my 10 point prediction may end up a bit over-optimistic, Romney's momentum appears to be unstoppable. We shall see.
Posted by Richard G. Williams, Jr. at 6:00 PM
8 comments:
- The History Book Guy said...
Romney will win (about 95% sure) I only leave room for voter stupidity, which I'm sure like me you are aware of. Romney will win VA, NC, and OH. I just wanted to comment on this. I've been following this blog for a while and enjoy all the posts you upload.
- 24 October, 2012 19:42
- Richard G. Williams, Jr. said...
I hope you're right E.D., though I remain worried about Ohio, even if there are a couple other paths to 270. IF Romney wins Ohio, that will definitely be the canary in the coal mine for "the one" and, I believe, will indicate a landslide victory for Romney. Every historic indicator now favors Romney - trends, polls at this point in the campaign, energy, etc.
Interesting that you should mention the "Men Who Built America" series. I just stumbled across it online the other day. Just EP 1 is available and I don't have DISH or cable, but it does look quite interesting. Wish I could just subscribe to the History Channel and the Discovery Channel.
Thanks for commenting, chime in more often.
- 24 October, 2012 21:14
- The History Book Guy said...
It's a pretty good series. I definately feel the same about the cable issue, wish I could just subsribe to channels I WANT, there are about a dozen (or more) I could do without. I'll be sure to comment more often. Thanks for replying.
- 25 October, 2012 11:04
"The Men Who Built America" is pretty good, though I can't help but think it is intended to show capitalism in a bad light. No, I don't deny that there was some ruthlessness among them. One will note, however, none of them were socialists!
- 25 October, 2012 11:25
- Richard G. Williams, Jr. said...
Assuming we survive another 5 years, I think you'll see more flexibility with that kind of thing - much of it, I believe, will be available online, i.e. ROKU, Youtube, etc.
Consumer demand and technology seems to be driving everything that way.
- 25 October, 2012 11:28
- Richard G. Williams, Jr. said...
Hey 13B - I was not able to watch the whole episode yet. I'll try to post some thoughts once I do. There were certainly some excesses, Rockefeller was quite ruthless. However, I would rather be at the mercy of the marketplace than an all powerful government any day of the week.
- 25 October, 2012 11:32
Hmmmm. Whatta ya think of your prediction now?
- 07 November, 2012 17:44
- Richard G. Williams, Jr. said...
Anon - I think if you're looking for someone to predict elections, look somewhere else. Admittedly, I was quite shocked. Though there's a lot more to it, I underestimated the power of incumbency.
- 07 November, 2012 18:07


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17 Tested & Approved Self-Soothing Techniques For Every Manner Of Meltdown
Even if you're generally a very "together" person, that doesn't mean you're not entitled to the occasional freak out, because LIFE. Maybe your hot water broke again right before work and you haven't washed your hair for a few too many days. Maybe a friend had the bad sense to point out that really cute picture of your ex and his new lady on Instagram. Of course, it's important to figure your major triggers so you can avoid any unnecessary emotional meltdowns, but sometimes things are out of your control. That's why it's just as important to figure out some ways to calm yourself down when life doesn't go your way, because lord knows, there will be times when you need to curl into a ball with your hot water bottle and cry until you feel silly. Here are our approved self-soothing techniques that have helped us through panic attacks, meltdowns, and freak outs of all kinds.
1. Watch an all-consuming TV series that has multiple seasons. Getting sucked into the dazzling world of "RuPaul's Drag Race" will help you forget about the stress of your actual world, so go ahead and WERK.
2. Whip out a pack of Goddess oracle cards and ask for answers. No matter what you're dealing with, Athena's got answers.
3. Read poetry (or anything that moves you). Sometimes a few words can do the trick.
4. Have some go-to thoughts that always calm you down. Like the image of that time you put a diaper on your dog or the thought of the look on your friend's face when she described her new boyfriend's giant ballsack.
5. Stalk people you knew from middle school online and find out how they turned out. There's something very comforting about finding out the kid who used to eat his warts is now a construction project manager in Tucson.
6. Go on a walk. You knew this advice was coming, but that's because walks solve everything. A few loops around the block is often all it takes to regain control of a spiraling bad mood.
7. Make a playlist that reminds you how small your problems are in the scheme of this big bad universe. For us, that means Judy Garland and Eve 6. Don't judge.
8. Get into your bed with a hot water bottle and just cry yourself out. Cry until you feel stupid for crying so much. Then cry a little more.
9. Turn off your phone, iPad, and computer and pretend you've joined a commune. Trust us, the world will not end if you take an hour break from your email.
10. Read a hopeful astrology forecast. Better things are on the way; it's written in the stars!
11. Take a long, hot shower. Including shampooing, shaving, exfoliating, aromatherapy bodywashing — the whole nine yards.
12. Say it out loud. Talking about whatever's making you feel crazy can help you feel less crazy, even if you're just talking to the mirror.
13. Wash the dishes or scrub some unmentionable part of your living space. You can't control life, but you can control that crusty bit of schmutz stuck on your coffee mug.
14. Do a handstand to get the blood flowing to your head. If you can't do a handstand, that's fine. Just hang upside down off your couch.
15. Make a simple but labor-intensive dinner, like risotto. Constant stirring can be very therapeutic.
16. Ask yourself, "Will I even remember this situation in five years?" The honest answer is usually, "Hell, no!" And that little bit of perspective goes a looooong way.
17. Chocolate. Ideally a few squares of really high quality dark chocolate. Because those Cathy comics were not entirely wrong.
[Photo from Shutterstock]

subset: commoncrawl


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NFL Draft > 2009 Prospects > OLB > Gerald McRath
Gerald McRath Scouting Report
|Southern Miss Golden Eagles
|Jersey Number:
|Height & Weight:
|6'3' - 220 lbs.
2009 NFL Combine Results
|40-Yard Dash
|Bench press
|Broad jump
|60-yard shuttle
2009 NFL Draft Prospect Scouting Report:
Gerald McRath, OLB, Southern Miss
McRath started nine out of fourteen games during his freshman season, going on to record 104 tackles (59 of them solo), 2 sacks, one pass broken up (PBU) and forced two fumbles. He was named on several publications' all start teams as an All American Freshman Team member. He started twelve of thirteen games in the 2007 campaign, making 139 tackles (71 solo), with 11.5 of them for loss, 4 sacks, 3 PBU and one force fumble. McRath, a junior, is blessed with a big frame and large wingspan. He is very athletic and moves well (4.59). More quick than explosive, McRath is able to cover a lot of territory and is good in coverage. He is able to recognize pass plays early and moves well into coverage, which makes him excellent on the second level. He is somewhat on the slim side, so he needs to add bulk to compete on a regular basis against the "big boys". He is not a good run stuffer, and he will sometimes shy away from contact. He does not shed blockers very well, and having been dominated on a lower level he is still talented enough to move forward in his development. McRath is a very interesting prospect. As of today, he is probably looking towards declaring and coming out next year. If he does, he is slated to become a late second to early third round pick.
Last Updated Nov-03-2008 by Raul Colon
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Red Squirrel Reflections
Dave Hoover explores the psychology of software development
I'm spending the week up in Vernon Hills in Java/TDD training at Object Mentor. Bob Martin's son is the instructor and I am the lone student. We're filling in a lot of the gaps in my Java knowledge.
Posted by Dave [Link]The Beginning
After an excellent meeting with Wyatt, I am beginning the preparation for my XP presentation in earnest. My initial idea was to give a concise overview of the XP process, with a more in-depth description of a few foundational practices that we could implement immediately: test-driven development, pair programming, refactoring, coding standards, and iterative development. But after meeting with Wyatt, I have a different direction.
It's all about providing business value. My goal for this presentation should be to convince my audience that I want to increase productivity, increase quality and reduce costs, and that I want that passionately. I need to show a high level description of how agile thinking informs the software development process with regard to iterative development and customer collaboration.
Only after I have driven home the business value will the how of it come to the surface: the practices.
It was an excellent meeting with Wyatt, I learned a lot. I look forward to our next one.
Posted by Dave [Link]16 Days
My boss at work came to me yesterday to encourage me to finish my project as soon as possible. Another project is launching and he wants me to be a part of it. It's a large e-commerce project using ATG Dynamo. The BDUF phase has begun, so I still have some time while the managers and architects spin their wheels. My goal is to finish the project within the next 16 business days, which is the number of business days I will work until December. I see a Saturday or two in my future.
I successfully convinced my boss to attend a Planning Game workshop at DePaul that Wyatt and Ron Jeffries will be putting on. Although it's too late to implement XP on the upcoming e-commerce project, this bodes well for future projects.
I've picked up The Secrets of Consulting again, starting where I left off in the middle. Weinberg makes a good point: most of the principles in the book are common sense, but it's triggering yourself to remember them at the critical moment that is key.
Another attempt to meet with Wyatt today...
Posted by Dave [Link]OO Power
I had an excellent morning. I finished Extreme Programming Installed on the train. It was an excellent book, and other than Extreme Programming Explained, my favorite XP book. Although it is not related to XP, my favorite quote from the book was...
"To become truly good at programming is a life's work, an ongoing enterprise of learning and practicing."
Yet another reassurance that my utterly compulsive desire to learn as much as I can about software development can be a good thing and not a curse (as it sometimes feels).
I got to work early. After cleaning up some tests, I did some refactoring to address a code smell that I had started smelling yesterday. There were two Struts ActionForm classes that were doing something very similar, and both had behaviors and properties that the other needed. I parentified the shared behavior into an abstract class and voila! I had the pleasure of chopping most of the code out of the child classes. I was able to use an interface to provide a way to pull up a method, making it more generic. It was a beautiful thing. I got chills.
When applied correctly, OO concepts are subtly powerful, and a lot of fun.
Posted by Dave [Link]Deadline
My boss at work is putting the pressure on to finish this project by the end of next month. With a week off for training next week, and a week off for Thanksgiving next month, it should be tough. He also wants to get two other developers involved, but I told him that would slow the project down. I'm going in early today, and probably will continue to do so until the project is finished. Better to get there early than to stay late.
Posted by Dave [Link]Progress
We're making progress at work, and it feels good to say the word we. My lone teammate (the other one is out this week) had seemed quite frustrated with her speed up until today's big push forward. This morning we were finally able to pull down our Vector of HashMaps from an EJB and use nested logic:iterate tags in Struts to display the data. We celebrated with snacks in the cafeteria.
Since that point morale has been high, even when we hit some setbacks this afternoon. Fortunately, I was able to work out some of the kinks in EAServer (or at least my understanding of it) and get myself a bit more acquainted with the java.io.Serializable marker interface and we're both looking forward to tomorrow's work.
In classic emergent design style, we ended up ditching the HashMaps in favor of some custom JavaBeans, giving us more control over the presentation in our JSP's. I'm finally up to my neck in a full-fledged Java project and loving every moment.
Posted by Dave [Link]Test Dependency
The development cycle at work feels slow, but the Cactus Unit Tests are building up and my confidence in the code is growing. It's amazing how quickly I have grown dependant on running the Cactus tests on a regular basis to give me that reassurance. And when it comes time to implement the next feature, I now head for the tests first. Focusing on getting that next test passing also helps me to keep the coding cycles short, usually just a few minutes, which also keeps me focused on doing the simplest thing that will possibly work. I feel good habits starting to form.
It's the same with the Ruby Refactoring project with Roman. RubyUnit has become our driver as we continue the devlelopment of our Railroad classes at Giordano's.
Still trying to find a time that Wyatt and I can get together...
Posted by Dave [Link]Frenzy
Lots of things going on. Trying to get more familiar with JBoss on my PowerBook, creating my first Entity Bean from PostgreSQL, while reading Enterprise JavaBeans. Working hard to stay disciplined in the J2EE project at work, Cactus continues to be an excellent TDD resource. Hopefully meeting with Wyatt tomorrow night about the XP presentation at work. Trying to get the J2EE project underway with the logistics company. Need to keep reading Extreme Programming Installed, start Java Tools for Extreme Programming, and, of course, continue with Secrets of Consulting along with a new purchase: The Pragmatic Programmer. Wyatt is encouraging me to talk my boss at work into coming to an XP workshop at DePaul next month. Roman and I are meeting twice a week now and the Refactoring in Ruby project continues. The code is now available on SourceForge.
Whew! Back to work...
Posted by Dave [Link]A Project Launches
Yesterday we began programming in earnest the J2EE project at work. To help us all start on the same page, three of us programmed together for the entire day. Would that be called tri-programming, or just team programming? I haven't pair programmed for an entire day in a while. It was exhausting, but we made excellent progress. All of us experienced the Test-Driven Development cycle using Cactus. By working together, I was also able to implicitly introduce them to Simple Design. Next I want to introduce Refactoring.
So far the Enterprise JavaBeans book has been excellent.
Posted by Dave [Link]Encouraging Meeting
The meeting with the developers for my project at work went well. I gave them an overview of Struts, using the small amount of work I have done to illustrate its features. People caught on quickly, apparently because of their previous experience with ATG Dynamo. Once I was sure the Struts info had sunk in, I introduced Cactus and the concept of Unit Testing. Because they hadn't Unit Tested before, this took a little more effort to explain, but again, the small examples I had already done provided a good start. Because of everyone's unfamiliarity with Struts and Cactus, I will be able to introduce Pair Programming covertly.
Now that I have the View and Control pieces in place, it's time to throw in the Model. I started reading the third edition of Enterprise JavaBeans yesterday. I am setting up JBoss on my PowerBook and learning about XDoclet.
Posted by Dave [Link]Hubris, Episode 1
I am so excited about a few things right now, I could barely sleep last night.
I got Cactus and Struts setup via CactusStrutsTestCase at work on EAServer and on my PowerBook on Tomcat. What an incredibly powerful combination for Java web development. On Monday I am giving an overview of Struts and Cactus to the development team for my project. I am also going to introduce them to Test-Driven Development and Pair Programming.
The prospect of writing a paper with Roman has captured my imagination, and hubris. Our brief collaboration on the wiki has been productive and I'm wondering if we should add another meeting per week. [ Warning: excessive hubris ahead ] I see this paper as just the beginning, and definitely not the topic I will focus on in the long run. It gives me a warm, fuzzy feeling to already have a niche to focus on: The Psychology of Agile Software Development.
Posted by Dave [Link]XP Evangelism, Preparation
To continue preparing for my XP presentation at work, I started Extreme Programming Installed. I've enjoyed the pieces on Customer/Programmer collaboration so far:
"When customers and programmers recognize that they depend on each other, the team can steer the project so that there's always the most business value implemented at any given moment."
Wyatt Sutherland and I are meeting in the next couple weeks to work on the presentation. I am very excited about that.
The learning continues...
Posted by Dave [Link]Struts, Ruby, Progress
I've been playing with Jakarta Struts for the last few days. I've got it running on my PowerBook (Tomcat) and my Windows NT box at work (Tomcat, EAServer). So far it looks like an excellent framework.
Roman liked the idea of writing up a "Refactoring in Ruby" paper for our Train module refactoring exercise. We have a wiki setup to collaborate. That could be a lot of fun.
Posted by Dave [Link]Refactoring my Refactoring
Today's lunchtime meeting with Roman provided more insight. My original refactoring went a bit too far by removing the exception raising behavior from the Train class and fully trusting the client class to not add Cars while the Train was moving. We looked in the Refactoring book and saw that the refactoring applied only to clients.
It was a good meeting. We are learning Ruby, experiencing pair programming, and improving our refactoring and pattern skills. It feels like the Train module will be a good starting point for us. We'll probably spend a few more meetings on it before we get into something a bit more serious.
It occured to me that the Train module might be a good framework to use for a Ruby refactoring article...
Posted by Dave [Link]Refactoring Train
I am studying Martin Fowler's Refactoring for the Chicago Agile Lunchtime Study Group. Roman and I are learning Ruby together and I have been playing with a little toy Train module. This morning as I was riding to work (on the train), I was playing with the Train module, using RubyUnit, and developing a sample client (UnionPacific.rb). I had the Refactoring book open next to me and was switching back and forth between coding and reading. As the train pulled into Chicago, I was pleased to have implemented a new refactoring: Replace Exception with Test.
Rather than have Train raise an exception when clients added Cars while the Train was moving, I pushed that responsibility onto the client. Clients can easily check the Train's speed through the speed method before they attempt to add Cars.
This shortened Train's addCar method to one line and kept the client code the same length. Through this simple example I caught a glimpse of how repeated microscopic refactorings can have a macroscopic effect.
Posted by Dave [Link]
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Travel may broaden the mind, but most of us are no longer content to venture into the great unknown while it's still, well, unknown. That's how Lonely Planet and Rough Guides have made their names, and also explains the wild success of TripAdvisor.
Sensing that our curiosity for other lands and willingness to pen poison reviews of grotty hotels knows no bounds, Wikipedia has decided to make its move on the space with Wikivoyage, a crowdsourced destination site it hopes will become your first stop online ahead of your IRL travels.
Wikivoyage is being sold as "the free, worldwide travel guide that anyone can edit", but it's safe to say that everyone else will refer to the site as Wikipedia for travellers. At the time of writing Wikivoyage had just shy of 27,000 articles, compared to over four million on the parent encyclopaedia. Then again, we imagine there's less to say about places than about absolutely everything else.
Right, we're off to pen the definitive guide to Bognor Regis. Then Hoth. Oh wait... that's been done.
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While economists say Utah's job growth is still slower than normal, Utah County managed to rise to No. 3 among the nation's largest counties for adding jobs from June 2010 to June 2011, according to federal data released Tuesday.
Utah County added about 6,400 jobs in that period, up 4.0 percent, compared to a national average of just 0.9 percent growth, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
Utah County ranked behind only Ottawa County, Mich., at 4.7 percent growth, and Montgomery County, Texas at 4.1 percent.
Meanwhile, Salt Lake County added about 10,000 jobs for growth of 1.9 percent still more than double the national average. It ranked No. 56 among the nation's 322 largest counties. Weber County lost about 600 jobs dropping 0.8 percent (and ranking No. 271 among the counties).
The BLS did not include data for Davis County, even though it also is among the nation's largest counties, saying data submitted to it did not meet its standards. But Mark Knold, chief economist for the Utah Department of Workforce Services, said state survey data show job growth in Davis County recently has been faster than even in Utah County.
Statewide, Utah had job growth of 2 percent in the period, also more than double the national average. And even more recently, Knold said job growth has been between 2.5 and 3.0 percent, "which is just below our long-term average. Yet the nation and Utah still feel like we are in the recessionary shadow."
Juliette Tennert, chief economist for the Governor's Office of Planning and Development, said several high-tech companies have been attracted to Utah County recently, which she believes helped the job growth there. She noted that many of the new jobs created in that county are in the professional and business-services category, which she believes are there to meet demand by those new or expanding high-tech businesses.
Knold said the job growth may come largely from pressure to provide more goods and services to a constantly growing population. He noted that Utah County also added many jobs in housing construction, education and manufacturing because of it.
"What drives commerce and economics over the long run is population growth, because more people demand more goods and services," Knold said.
He added that while the recession halted that for a time, the pressure from "growth is starting to have an impact and is actually making the economy grow."
The BLS also released data about the average weekly wage. It said the average weekly wage in Utah County was $714, up 5 percent.
It was the only large county in Utah to see an increase greater than the national average of 3.7 percent. Utah County ranked No. 27 for the increase among the nation's 322 largest counties.
Meanwhile, the average weekly wage in Salt Lake County was up 3.0 percent to $833 a week (the percentage ranked No. 125 among counties). It was up 2.0 percent in Davis to $729 (ranking No. 125), and up 1.5 percent in Weber to $671 (ranking No. 256).
"Wage increase generally is in direct proportion to the vibrancy of the local economy. So when you have a little more life and vibrancy in areas, it should produce a little more wage growth," Knold said.
Job growth • Nation's top counties
No. 1 • Ottawa County, Mich., 4.7 percent
No. 2 • Montgomery County, Texas, 4.1 percent
No. 3 • Utah County, 4 percent
No. 4 • (tie) Washington County, Pa. 3.9 percent
No. 4 • (tie) Webb County, Texas, 3.9 percent


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Dwelling consents trend rising
Dwelling consents trend rising – Media release
28 February 2014
The trend for the number of new dwellings consented continues to rise, and is at its highest level since September 2007, Statistics New Zealand said today.
"The trend for new dwellings has doubled since the historic low point in March 2011, but is still 28 percent below the peak in January 2004," industry and labour statistics manager Blair Cardno said.
In January 2014, the seasonally adjusted number of new dwellings consented, including apartments, fell 8.3 percent, although this wasn't enough to reverse the rises of late last year.
"Apartment numbers returned to a lower level in January, after recording high numbers in November and December," Mr Cardno said.
Excluding apartments, the seasonally adjusted number of new dwellings fell only 1.3 percent, following a rise of 11 percent in December.
January, consents were issued for 1,640 new dwellings. This
• 154 apartments (including 88 retirement village units)
• 1,486 non-apartment dwellings.
Together, Auckland and Canterbury accounted for 58 percent of the new dwellings. In Auckland, 433 new dwellings were consented, while 520 new dwellings were consented in Canterbury.
A total of $930 million of
building work was consented. This consisted of:
• $642 million of residential work
• $289 million of non-residential work.
Data for building consents is obtained from all territorial authorities in New Zealand.
Building Consents Issued: January 2014


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bioinformaticsThe application of computer technology to the management of biological information. Specifically, it is the science of developing computer databases and algorithms to facilitate and expedite biological research. Bioinformatics is being used largely in the field of human genome research by the Human Genome Project that has been determining the sequence of the entire human genome (about 3 billion base pairs) and is essential in using genomic information to understand diseases. It is also used largely for the identification of new molecular targets for drug discovery.
Many universities have recognized the importance of this endeavor and have instituted academic and training programs in bioinformatics that combine backgrounds in molecular biology with a strong foundation in computer science. Specialists in the field are referred to as computational biologists or bioinformatics computer scientists.
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List of free online Java courses for students and IT professionals looking to enhance their skills . Read More »SEO Dictionary
From keyword analysis to backlinks and Google search engine algorithm updates, our search engine optimization glossary lists 85 SEO terms you need... Read More »Slideshow: History of Microsoft Operating Systems
Microsoft Windows is a family of operating systems for personal computers. In this article we look at the history of Microsoft operating... Read More »
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This second Study Guide describes the basics of Java, providing an overview of operators, modifiers and control Structures. Read More »The 7 Layers of the OSI Model
The Open System Interconnection (OSI) model defines a networking framework to implement protocols in seven layers. Use this handy guide to compare... Read More »


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Christina and Gram on Thanksgiving, New Hampshire
2004 Virginia Beahan Born: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 1946 chromogenic print 18 3/8 x 23 1/4 in. (46.6 x 59.2 cm) Smithsonian American Art Museum Gift of Haluk and Elisa Soykan © Virginia Beahan 2010.6.1 Not currently on view
Exhibition Label
When her eighty-nine-year-old mother was stricken with dementia and no longer able to care for herself, Virginia Beahan and her husband moved her into their home. A landscape photographer accustomed to traveling extensively, Beahan at first found her prospects constrained by these circumstances, but she quickly discovered a new subject for her lens. Beahan documented the last years of her mother's life with compassion as well as a clear-eyed accounting of the difficulties that came with the reversal of their roles.
Close to Home: Photographers and their Families, 2011
Architecture Interior - domestic - living room
Ceremony - holiday - Thanksgiving
Figure group - female
Object - furniture - couch
photography - photoprint
About Virginia Beahan
Born: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 1946


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The Phoenix Venice Freestanding Luxury Bath is oval shaped throughout except for a curving centre on either side which is there not just to enhance aesthetics but is purpose-driven to provide space for mounting taps or mixers. The acrylic construction ensures a strong build quality and warm baths for longer periods of time. It is a white finished tub that comes in a range of exciting surrounds, any one of which will work wonders for its looks. This free-standing bath has all the credentials to become the focal point of the bathroom and visually pleasing to elicit high praise from all your visitors. It is not pre-drilled with tap holes to give you the flexibility to select the taps or mixers that you prefer.
Select the appropriate Bath waste from the list below. All Bath Waste are of Phoenix manufactured with high grade material. Please Note: Image shown is for illustration purpose only.
Available Optional Product:
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In our near future, a virus wipes out the ability of adult women to carry children to term. Teen pregnancies become revered, trendy, and lucrative. Melody's adoptive parents have groomed her to be the perfect Surogette who will "bump" for the highest bidders, with whatever genetically perfect stud the wealthy future parents choose. The only problem is her secret twin sister, Harmony, who was adopted into the fundamentalist Church. Engaged at thirteen, Harmony believes that premarital sex for pay is a sin, so she leaves the sheltered Church town to find Melody and save her from pregging for profit before it's too late.
This is a fairly light story, compared with, say, the similarly premised Children of Men. There's never any question that the human race will survive, provided we're a-ok with lots of teenage pregnancies. The world seems to be rolling on much the same as now, in fact — no post-apocalyptic tendencies at all.
When I say "now," of course, I mean a United States in which the House of Representatives votes to defund Planned Parenthood, one of the most important providers of contraception and STD testing in the country, especially for lower-income women; a Florida court orders a pregnant woman confined to the hospital against her will; a state Senator thinks it's totally reasonable to compare pregnant women to pregnant cows and the monetary value thereof. Just to name a few recent news items that pissed me off.
So we've got some stuff to talk about in this country, in terms of how we treat women and our wombs, "pre-pregnant" or otherwise. Bumped reads light and entertaining, full of zippy slang like Feed, and much like Feed it also asks the tough questions: Why do we have sex? To whom do our bodies belong? How are sex and love and making babies connected, and what is the impact of disconnecting them? How can people of faith interpret sexuality differently? What are our obligations to society vs. our obligations to ourselves? (Unlike Feed it did not make me want to jump off a bridge.)
My only real complaint about this book is the ending, which struck me as so abrupt I thought I'd missed something. It's clearly heading for a sequel, which I will happily read, but I think this story would have been better told in a longer single volume. Both girls rushed their realizations at the end to give the book some sort of stopping place; it felt off.
Other than that, though, this is sharp, inventive science fiction that will give teenagers and adults a lot to chew on. I want to start a book club at school just so we can read this book.
(Advance copy received from NetGalley, my favorite new toy. Publication date Apr. 26, 2011.)
Also reviewed by: Presenting Lenore, Forever Young Adult, and Beyond Words.


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Grassroots Training & Candidate Meet & Greet
Republican Party of Iowa
Saturday, August 3, 2013 from 10:00 AM to 6:00 PM (CDT)
Who's Going
San Francisco, California
London, United Kingdom
Florence, Italy
Event Details
Iowa Central Community College
One Triton Circle
Fort Dodge, IA 50501
Bio-science and Health Science Auditorum
Campus map here: http://www.iowacentral.edu/security/maps.asp
We've invitied all candidates who have filed the necessary paperwork for the GOP nomination for U.S. Senate, to speak to our grassroots attendees.
Scott Schaben
Sam Clovis
David Young
Joni Ernst (Surrograte Speaker)
Matt Whitaker
10:00am: Welcome Message - A.J. Spiker, Iowa GOP Chairman
10:15am: Virginia's National Committeeman - Morton Blackwell
10:45am: Data Center Training - Phil Coppage, Republican National Committee
11:45am: U.S. Senate Candidates
12:15pm: Lunch Break (Individuals Responsible for Their Lunch)
1:00pm: Robert's Rules/Running a County Meeting - Jim Lohr, Ames Co-Chairman
1:30pm: County Ethics Rules & Campaign Finance: Gopal Krishna, SCC Member
2:00pm: Grassroots Training Overview - Leadership Institute (LI)
2:15pm: Maximizing your Message to Voters (LI)
3:15pm: Registration, Persuasion and Turnout in your Precinct (LI)
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text: Hi everyone, may I ask if someone here has an experience regarding language learning with a baby? My husband speaks a foreign language and a lot of our friends are telling us that according to their experience, a baby who hears two or more different languages being spoken around him will have a delay in terms of his ability to talk. Is there any scientific basis to this claim? My son will be celebrating his first birthday this coming Sunday and I think that he is starting to really understand spoken language (because he shows an attitude when I say No!), and so my husband is insisting on teaching his own mother tongue to the little bub. I just wan to make sure that we are not contributing to any developmental delay in our child.


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Patti and Rick Weiss of Voor-hees, N.J., and Joan and Richard Raisman of Upper Gwynedd announce the engagement of their children, Alysa Michelle Weiss and Matthew Neil Raisman.
Alysa, a graduate of Eastern Regional High School, holds a Bachelor of Arts degree in telecommunications from Indiana University Bloomington. She recently earned a Master of Science degree in occupational therapy from Thomas Jefferson University.
Matthew, a graduate of Lower Moreland High School, earned a Bachelor of Science degree in marketing at Temple University. He is employed as a team leader at Lincoln Financial.
Alysa is the granddaughter of Lillian Zelnick and the late Martin Zelnick of Cherry Hill, N.J.; and Sidney and Evelyn Weiss, also of Cherry Hill. Matthew is the grandson of Charlotte Reber and the late Marvin Reber of Philadelphia, and the late Frances and Morris Raisman, also of Philadelphia.
Sharing in the couple's joy are Alysa's brother, Adam Weiss; and Matthew's brother and sister-in-law, Randy and Neeli Raisman, along with niece and nephew Stevie and Noah Raisman; and his sister and brother-in-law, Marnee and Craig Lipkin.
The couple, who lives in Center City, is planning a 2011 winter wedding.


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Mayhem Mock - 3 Rounds ***MIAMI to #1***
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Joined: 05 Mar 2013
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Posted: Thu Mar 07, 2013 12:03 am
Post subject: Mayhem Mock - 3 Rounds ***MIAMI to #1***
For me, with the parity in talent at the top of this draft the Chiefs selection is critical. And it also makes it very unlikely that any team will give up a 2nd rounder to get to #1. So with a surprising selection, mayhem ensues and draft boards across the league get blown up.
***3/18 Update***: Just like a team at the top can alter the outcome of many picks below them, a single team that is aggressive in free agency can alter the draft as well. In this case, the Dolphins alter the draft both for the needs they filled in FA, and the biggest need that they didn't -retaining their own LT. Luke Joeckel is the clear and obvious #1 pick in the draft. Only a team with an obvious and glaring need at the position is going to jump here. Miami had five picks in the first 3 rounds thanks to the Vontae Davis and Brandon Marshall trades. And they got an extra pick at the end of round 5 as 2012 FA loss compensation.
1 (MIA) Luke Joeckel - OT TA&M: Miami trades the 12th overall pick, their second round pick (10th), and their 3rd rounder (15). This is light by a first round pick for the number 1 overall, according to the trade value chart. But the Chiefs don't have a lot of choice here as nobody else is offering anything for the pick. Plus, Branden Albert would be a DAMN fool to turn down any reasonable multi-year offer after what Long and the other LTs signed for. The Dolphins don't have a choice here. They just went and got a bunch of weapons for their young QB. Must protect him. Moving Jonathan Martin over to LT would not fit the bill. They still have Indy's 2nd, Chicago's 3rd and the extra 5th.
Previous Pick: (KC) Ziggy Ansah - OLB BYU.
2 (JAX) Barkevious Mingo - OLB LSU: It's either him or Dion Jordan here. I predict Mingo rises like crazy leading up to the draft. If he put on 20 pounds since the end of the season, why doubt he can bulk up a little more? Gus Bradley will turn him loose instead of having him set the edge like he did at LSU.
***3/18 Update***: No idea how so many people are mocking a LT here. The market has been set, nobody is getting Joe Thomas money for a long, long time. Clady, Albert, and Monroe should be begging for extensions in light of the deals the LTs just got. You are stoned if you think competent FO personnel pass on value like Mingo here at a massive need in order to get a RIGHT TACKLE? Please step away from the bong.
3 (OAK) Dee Milliner - CB Bama: Kansas City now has a legit QB, that Peyton guy is still in Denver, and Phillip is going to get a LT with a pulse.
Oh, and Dee is a better pure CB prospect than Pat Peterson.
***3/13 Update***: The signing of Wes Welker makes this an even more obvious pick, despite the Geno buzz.
4 (PHI) Geno Smith - QB WVU: He was born to play in that offense, why on earth would they pass on him?
5 (DET) Eric Fisher - OT CMU: This pick is almost as obvious as Lane Johnson to SD (despite the King Dunlap signing - HA!). It would have been the pick even if Backus had not retired.
Previous Pick: Luke Joeckel.
6 (CLE) DeAndre Hopkins - WR Clemson: He rises more than any player in the draft. He was absurdly mocked at a 3rd rounder initially though. He's the best WR in the draft. He and Gordon might be the best young WR combo in the game.
7 (ARI) Xavier Rhodes - CB FSU: Another who will rise. Yes, they need tackles. But Levi Brown will be back and compared to what other LTs will sign for, he's cheap. And the Boise kid improved. They must be able to play physical against SF and SEA receivers to have any chance in that division.
***3/13 Update***: It's an even bigger deal now that Harvin and Boldin are in the division, they cut both safeties, and Toler walked.
8 (BUF) Lane Johnson - OT OU: Cordy could be fine there, and Hairston could be fine on the right side. But why wouldn't you want to be great at at least two positions instead of adequate at 3? Especially with a new QB coming in. Cordy shifts to LG or RT. Which with a healthy Urbik at RG now gives them one of the top OLs in the NFL.
Previous Pick: Eric Fisher.
***3/13 Update***: Both Levitre and Rinehart walked. Chance Warmack is a nice player, but you're a damn fool if you don't take the tackle here and shuffle the incumbents.
9 (NYJ) Chance Warmack - OG Bama: They will lose at least one of their guards to FA. Fans will boo like crazy, but this is a solid pick for them.
10 (TEN) Tyler Eifert - TE ND: With Cook long gone there is a gaping hole here. If not him, I'd go with Patterson. There are a lot of question marks with the receiving corp. When you take a QB in the top half of round 1, it locks you in on at least three following drafts.
***3/13 Update***: Great job by them signing Levitre and Walker. This is why you can't mock based solely on need. Having said that, Eifert remains the pick because Walker is not a true number 1 guy. Pairing Walker and Stephens would be ridiculous for the run game, but make it pretty damn obvious the ball is going to CJ2K.
11 (SD) Ziggy Ansah - OLB BYU: This is where he falls from a previous mock of 1st overall to KC. Major oops on missing on Lane Johnson. At least they have King Dunlap!
Previous Pick: Jane Johnson.
12 (KC) Sharrif Floyd - DT Florida: I love Floyd, but hate this pick. Not many guys put up stats playing the 5 tech in a 3-4. They do exactly what they're asked to do and get labelled busts. Look, he's a better prospect than Dorsey or Jackson, but he could be Geno Atkins in a 4-3.
Previous Pick: (MIA) Cordarelle Patterson - WR UT.
13 (TB) Star Lotulelei - DT Utah: Great value to pair with McCoy, but they are tempted to take Werner here after losing Bennett to FA.
Previous Pick: Sharrif Floyd.
14 (CAR) Cordarelle Patterson - WR UT: This is a huge need and a good value at this spot.
Previous Pick: Star Lotulelei.
15 (NO) Dion Jordan - OLB Oregon: He only falls because of the surgery. You can't take a guy top 5 if you're worried he might not be able to fully utilize newly learned counter moves to get to the QB in year 1. Too much value for the slide to continue, though. He's the poster boy for their new 3-4.
16 (STL) Tavon Austin - WR WVU: Return of the Greatest Show on Turf? Well, at least a hell of a replacement for Amendola.
17 (PIT) Desmond Trufant - CB U Dub: I'm just refusing to mock Jarvis Jones here. I don't think he compares at all to the more stout OLBs they like. Keenan Lewis is long gone. This is an outstanding value here.
***3/13 Update***: Despite hype machine smack talk last week, they cut Willie Colon. However, they shockingly re-signed Ramon Foster.
Previous Pick: Jonathan Cooper.
18 (DAL) Sheldon Richardson - DT MU: The only problem with this pick is that Sheldon is too serious to see Monte Kiffin constantly calling him Warren as a compliment.
19 (NYG) Bjoern Werner - DE FSU: I guess this is where he lands. He picked a bad time to be a 4-3 DE only. But there are worse places to be, huh?
20 (CHI) Jonathan Cooper - OG UNC: Even though Bushrod is not great and they were tapped out in FA on the first day, Bennett helps them a ton, not just because he's a great blocker but because he's a legit intermediate target. On balance, this pick and those signings dramatically upgrade this unit.
***3/13 Update***: I really hate changing this pick. Yes, they predictably signed Bennett and Bushrod, but unless they start cutting guys they are now up against the cap. Watson would still be a good pick here because Bushrod would actually be much better on the right side long-term.
Previous Pick: Menelik Watson.
21 (CIN) Eddie Lacy - RB Bama: They have a great line in a division that is now full of 3-4 teams. Get a bruising back with some wiggle behind them, play action, deep for A.J. See you in January. They'll look at a safety with that extra early pick in round 2.
22 (STL) Jarvis Jones - LB UGA: I would love to mock another WR here because they could use one. And Jarvis playing OLB in a traditional 4-3? He's just not big, long, or strong enough to be an every down rusher in the NFL. But he's good in space and can cover. Fisher will move him all over and use him to spy those mobile divisional QBs four times a year.
23 (MIN) Arthur Brown - ILB KSU: He's a big need and an immediate upgrade from the departed Brinkley. He's a better prospect than Ogletree and doesn't have all the off field baggage. A guy with that much baggage who is not a HOF caliber talent does not go in round 1.
***3/18 Update***: Would love to give them two wideouts despite the Jennings signing, because he could be one season away from a #3 receiver.
Previous Picks: Stedman Bailey; Desmond Trufant; Keenan Allen.
24 (IND) Damontre Moore - OLB A&M: It's really hard to know what to give them here, what with the pitiful Walden signing. They can't really want him to start, can they? Moore has repaired his stock a bit after pulling a Burfict at the combine.
***3/13 Update***: Walter Cherepinsky gave the Cherilus signing a MILLEN grade. I disagree, because even though the contract is huge the guaranteed money is not. And Cherilus was very good last year. My beef is that signing Donald Thomas, a good signing, guarantees that they continue to roll with Castonzo at LT. It's true that with those two upgrades the unit overall is a lot better, but Castonzo allowed way too much pressure last year. He's a great run blocker, should have been moved to the right side or inside to guard. Two teams without huge needs at LT are now going to get outstanding values with Watson and Armstead.
Previous Pick: Terron Armstead - OT Pine Bluff: Duane Brown was picked right about here. You're welcome, Andrew.
25 (MIN) Larry Warford - OG UK: This is the pick from Seattle for Harvin. They still need to take a wideout here, but losing Geoff Schwartz to KC (who is going to start for them) is a big deal. He didn't start but played a ton of snaps and was very highly rated. The running game is their bread and butter, so this pick is a no-brainer. My original mock had Warford falling all the way to round 3.
Previous Pick: Stedman Bailey.
26 (GB) Terron Armstead - OT Pine Bluff: They don't need him to start right away, but he could easily win that job. Outstanding pick.
Previous Pick: Damontre Moore - LB/DE A&M: He slides this far and they coach him up in order to use his length since we know his long speed is severely wanting. Truth is, this is where he should have been mocked all along.
27 (HOU) Keenan Allen - WR Cal: This is a pretty big need and eventual Andre replacement.
Previous Pick: Quinton Patton.
28 (DEN) Alex Okafor - DE Texas: He replaces Dumervil, even though they probably should have taken one of the DTs still on the board.
***3/13 Update***: See previous pick below. Did you really think Peyton was going to be satisfied with Stokley? Come on, MAN! Then again, after the Welker signing they can now address the defense just like Bronco Fan wanted in the first place.
Previous Pick: Quinton Patton; Arthur Brown.
29 (NE) Kyle Long - OT Oregon: I think Bill will fall in love with the prospect of adding a Long, with all the nastiness that goes with it, to the right side to replace the departed Vollmer - who somebody is going to really pay.
30 (ATL) Zach Ertz - TE Stanford: I don't think he's worth picking this high, but Tony is done. They should address other needs, but Matt Ryan is a top QB and gets a new target.
***3/18 Update***: Wow, I can't believe they gave Tony that much money. Ertz is still the pick. You just gave an old [inappropriate/removed] man that much money to come back, pretty much signals how valuable that position is in their offense.
31 (SF) E.J. Manuel - QB FSU: They have another pick coming up real soon, but Jax may try to nab E.J. ahead of them. It's really a good idea to have a big time developmental QB behind a mobile starter (see, e.g., RGIII).
32 (BAL) Menelik Watson - OT FSU: What a perfect fit for them. Frederick was also, but Watson is just a lot better value here.
Previous Pick: Travis Frederick.
***Fell out of Round 1 from previous Mock: C Travis Frederick, WR Quinton Patton, WR Stedman Bailey.
***Moved into Round 1 from previous Mock: ILB Arthur Brown, OG Larry Warford, DE Alex Okafor.
Round 2
1 (JAX) Markus Wheaton - WR Oregon: They can call him Blame Gabbert all they want - you cannot waste top picks on a QB by not giving him weapons. Look at it this way, if he fails, the new guy has weapons already in place. Jordan Reed is another possibility here.
***3/13 Update***: This pick is only fortified by the release of Laurent Robinson.
2 (SF) Datone Jones - DE UCLA: That front was a complete non-factor in the Super Bowl. They must get a beast to rotate in there and eventually replace Smith. This might be the most value for the spot yet.
3 (PHI) Reid Fragel - T TheOhioState: He will rise leading up to the draft. Think this is too high? Let's just say they moved him from TE a year earlier and he flipped to the left side in his senior year. He's no Lane Johnson, but he may not be that far off in a year or two. They'll probably still sign Winston and this will still be an excellent pick.
Previous Pick: Arthur Brown.
4 (DET) Tank Carradine - DE FSU: This is a great value because of the injury. Huge need.
Previous Pick: Alex Okafor.
5 (CIN) Kenny Vaccaro - S Texas: I think he's only going to be a good player, while Reid has huge upside. But he'll help them.
6 (ARI) Kawann Short - DT Purdue: What a great value here. Kevin Kolb will restructure because he's not a fool (or at least his agent isn't) and he won't start (or make any money) anywhere else. Is a rookie with meh arm strength really a better option? Please. Stop. That defense is ready to roll, can't waste two years developing a QB.
***3/19 Update***: I have no idea what to give them here. Can't be a QB; they are seriously okay with Drew Stanton?
7 (NYJ) Jonathan Hankins - DE/NT TheOhioState: There is just too much value here. Rex strengthens the core with two outstanding picks so far. Let them boo.
***3/13 Update***: After losing DeVito, who they really wanted to keep, they would be incredibly lucky for him to be available here.
8 (TEN) Justin Hunter - WR UT: Eifert and Hunter give Locker every opportunity to succeed. Weapons in place for the next guy if he fails.
9 (BUF) Tyler Bray - QB UT: For me he is the last of the pre-Day 3 QBs. They already got his blind side protector. Will look to add a wideout or TE in round 3.
10 (KC) Stedman Bailey - WR WVU: It's a toss-up between him and Patton here, but a wideout here with this pick is a lock. He'll start over Baldwin, and Avery was not signed to be a starter.
Previous Pick: (MIA) Jordan Reed.
11 (TB) Darius Slay - CB Miss. State: Yeah, he's the sexy pick right now. But he fits and they have a huge need. I think it will be either him or Jamar Taylor here. They'll grab a much needed TE in round 3.
12 (CAR) John Cyprien S FUI: Huge value, huge need.
13 (SD) D.J. Fluker - T Bama: They actually have a ton of needs. But their line was just poor at run blocking. They'll re-sign Vasquez, whose strength is pass blocking, and Fluker will completely collapse opposing DLs. If Matthews doesn't get going, neither does Phillip.
***3/13 Update***: Wow, the Broncos just stole a helluva player from a division rival. Vasquez is a big loss. Rinehart is a good player, but this pick makes even more sense now.
14 (STL) Eric Reid - S LSU: Another huge value. The hype machine will plug him back in soon and he'll start being mocked here again.
15 (DAL) Bennie Logan - DT LSU: Monte Kiffen: "They really, really like me!"
16 (PIT) Manti Te'o - ILB Notre Dame: They have a bunch of defensive needs that they will be forced to deal with in the draft. This is a nice place for him to fall.
Previous Pick: Jamar Taylor.
17 (NYG) Quinton Patton - WR La. Tech: Just too much value here, and unlike Boothe I think Hixon might actually get a multi-year deal. They'll re-sign Boothe and Locklear for nothing and not have to worry about those positions with an early round guy. They might actually lose Cruz this year, and next year it's almost guaranteed he'll be one of the elite few to get paid while the rest of the NFLPA rushes to the bottom again and settles for what is essentially an invitation to camp.
Previous Pick: Margus Hunt, Travis Frederick.
18 (CHI) Jon Bostic - ILB Florida: Here they find their Urlacher replacement.
Previous Pick: Manti Te'o.
19 (WAS) Terrance Williams - WR Baylor: RGIII pounds the table for a college weapon, who is a need and a good value here.
20 (MIN) Robert Woods - WR USC: This is an absolute steal. They did themselves a favor by waiting on a wideout as the difference between Woods, Patton, and Williams; and Allen is not huge if there is any.
Previous Pick: Alec Ogletree.
21 (CIN) Alec Ogletree - LB UGA: They signed Malauga but lost Lawson. Rey may not exactly be a long-term signing either as he was only given one year of guaranteed money.
Previous Pick: Tank Carradine.
22 (MIA) Jamar Taylor - CB Boise: Plug and play starter.
Previous Pick: Reid Fragel.
23 (GB) Barrett Jones - C Bama: Well that worked out pretty well.
24 (SEA) Jesse Williams - DT Bama: They took care of the ends in FA. He's a rotational player initially, but a great value and fits well there.
Previous Pick: Da'Rick Rogers, Margus Hunt.
25 (HOU) Margus Hunt - DE SMU: I think they could just be too tempted to see if they can replicate a JJ Watt with this very raw but super talented player.
Previous Pick: Jesse Williams.
26 (DEN) Sylvester Williams - DT UNC: John Fox will pee himself if this happens.
27 (NE) Da'Rick Rogers - WR Tenn. Tech: By the time they make this pick, the receiver corp will have been pretty well rebuilt. He could be a freak in their offense.
Previous Pick: Robert Woods.
28 (ATL) Sam Montgomery - DE LSU: I really wanted to keep Swearinger here after the Moore re-signing. With him being injured last year and not being franchised despite safety having the lowest cap number of any position, I was surprised they locked him up. RDE and CB are just too big a needs to stick with D.J. here.
Previous Pick: D.J. Swearinger
29 (SF) D.J. Swearinger - S So. Car.: Goldson is gone, and unlike almost every other team they can afford to wait till the draft to find his replacement. At worst Culliver can slide over there. D.J. could play either safety position and start from day 1.
Previous Pick: John Jenkins.
30 (BAL) Jamie Collins - OLB So. Miss.: This guy was born to be a Raven. I think somebody is going to give Kruger mega dollars.
***3/13***: Lombardi gave Kruger mega dollars.
***Fell out of Round 2 from previous: OG Travis Frederick.
Round 3
1 (KC) Travis Frederick - OC Wisconsin: People around the league do not appreciate how much help the line needs. They went from the smallest and weakest interior lines in the league to a man system. This is why they released Winston - he is a ZBS guy only. Enter Geoff Schwarts at LG. Now they get a mauler at C. Rodney Hudson is coming off a broken leg and Frederick can always slide to G.
Previous Pick: Chris Faulk, Robert Woods.
Summary: DT Sharrif Floyd, QB Alex Smith*, WR Stedman Bailey, C Travis Frederick.
2 (JAX) Jonathan Banks - CB Miss. St.: Outstanding value here. If the run on corners does not happen this round, it will soon.
Summary: OLB Barkevious Mingo, WR Markus Wheaton, CB Jonathan Banks.
3 (DET) Sio Moore - LB UCONN: They did a lot to shore up the defense. This is the final piece. They will still need to grab defenders in day 3.
Previous Pick: Leon McFadden, Larry Warford.
Summary: OT Eric Fisher, DE Tank Carradine, LB Sio Moore.
4 (OAK) Leon McFadden - CB SD St.: They have an absolute ton of needs. He could start from day 1 opposite Milliner.
Previous Pick: Larry Warford.
Summary: CB Dee Milliner, QB Carson Palmer*, CB Leon McFadden.
5 (PHI) Jordan Poyer - CB Oregon St.: Chip Kelly has seen quite a bit of him and will jump all over this major need pick.
Summary: QB Geno Smith, OT Reid Fragel, CB Jordan Poyer.
6 (CLE) Robert Alford - CB SE Louisiana: Yep, it looks the run is officially on.
Summary: WR DeAndre Hopkins, WR Josh Gordon*, CB Robert Alford.
7 (ARI) Travis Kelce - TE Cincinnati: Awesome value, definite need. They have had a nice couple days.
Summary: CB Xavier Rhodes, DT Kawan Short, TE Travis Kelce.
8 (TEN) Dallas Thomas - OG UT: Another Vol, this one an excellent value pick at a position of need. Should start from day 1.
Summary: TE Tyler Eifert, WR Justin Hunter, OG Dallas Thomas.
9 (BUF) Vance McDonald - TE Rice: He's a better value here than any of the big, raw, toolsy wideouts. There could be a run on TEs in this round also.
Summary: OT Lane Johnson, QB Tyler Bray, TE Vance McDonald.
10 (NYJ) Kevin Minter - ILB LSU: He's a solid value here. In two days they just added one really good football player after another.
Summary: OG Chance Warmack, DL Jonathan Hankins, ILB Kevin Minter.
11 (TB) Zaviar Gooden - OLB MU: He starts immediately opposite David and gives them possibly the most dynamic pair in the league.
Previous Pick: Sam Montgomery.
Summary: DT Star Lotulelei, CB Darius Slay, OLB Zaviar Gooden.
12 (SF) John Jenkins - DT UGA: Amazing, they still pick up Jenkins. I don't want to harp on this too much, but all of this good fortune is happening because they took a developmental QB when they technically had other needs at the top of round 2 in 2011. They are writing the book for how to manage an NFL franchise in the salary cap/floor, pass happy era.
Previous Pick: Phillip Thomas.
Summary: QB E.J. Manuel, DE Datone Jones, S D.J. Swearinger, DL John Jenkins.
13 (NO) Khaseem Green - ILB Rutgers: He can play inside in a 3-4 and fills a big need. The athletic LBs just keep moving around between three or four teams as signings occur.
Previous Pick: Zaviar Gooden, LB Sio Moore.
Summary: OLB Dion Jordan, ILB Khaseem Greene.
14 (SD) Chris Faulk - OT LSU: They actually get really lucky that he lasts this long. The Chiefs would have grabbed him with the next pick. Competition for King!
Previous Pick: Sio Moore, Khaseem Greene.
Summary: OLB Ziggy Ansah, OT D.J. Fluker, OT Chris Faulk.
15 (KC) Andre Ellington - RB Clemson: He's a steal here and is the type of back Reid loves. They have absolutely nothing behind Charles, who will have no dead money left on his deal next year.
Previous Pick: (MIA) Khaseem Greene, Chris Faulk.
Summary: DT Sharrif Floyd, QB Alex Smith*, WR Stedman Bailey, C Travis Frederick, RB Andre Ellington.
16 (STL) Matt Elam - S Florida: Amazing to take care of the safety position like this in one draft.
Previous Pick: Jon Bostic.
Summary: WR Tavon Austin, LB Jarvis Jones, S Eric Reid, S Matt Elam.
17 (PIT) Brandon Jenkins - OLB FSU: A good value here because of the injury. They have great depth at the position already, but they have been successful in part because they know you don't draft on need.
Summary: CB Desmond Trufant, ILB Manti Te'o, OLB Brandon Jenkins.
18 (DAL) Phillip Thomas - S Fresno St.: They still take a safety. It's that big a need and he falls over half a round after the Swearinger change set off a bunch of pick changes with SF and in this round.
Previous Pick: Matt Elam.
Summary: DT Sheldon Richardson, DT Bennie Logan, S Phillip Thomas.
19 (NYG) David Amerson - DB NC State: Losing Bennett was big, signing Myers helps. There are too many good players on the board here to reach for a blocking TE. Amerson is a terrific value here and somewhat of a need.
Previous Pick: TE Michael Williams.
Summary: DE Bjoern Werner, WR Quinton Patton, DB David Amerson.
20 (MIA) Jordan Reed - TE Florida: I originally had them taking him early in round 2. Keller is only on a one year deal.
Previous Pick: Andre Ellington.
Summary: OT Luke Joeckel, CB Jamar Taylor, TE Jordan Reed.
21 (MIN) Tyrann Matheiu - CB LSU: We're back to the Honey Badger on this pick. Winfield was released, and corners are getting scooped up like crazy in the first two days. He'll help their return game and play in their nickel right away, but due to youth and not being that good (Jefferson), that is going to be a porous unit next year.
Previous Pick: Brandon Williams.
Summary: ILB Arthur Brown, OG Larry Warford, WR Robert Woods, CB Tyrann Matheiu.
22 (CIN) Marquise Goodwin - WR Texas: O M G. This offense is just going to scare the daylights out of opposing DCs.
Summary: RB Eddie Lacy, S Kenny Vaccaro, LB Alec Ogletree, WR Marquise Goodwin.
23 (WAS) Dwayne Gratz - CB UCONN: The secondary is a massive need, so they add an immediate starter here.
Previous Pick: David Amerson.
Summary: QB RGIII*, WR Terrance Williams, CB Dwayne Gratz.
24 (IND) Brandon Williams - DT So. Mo.: This is an improving unit. Williams does not have to play the nose, he will help them.
Previous Pick: Joe Kruger.
Summary: OLB Damontre Moore, CB Vontae Davis*, DT Brandon Williams.
25 (SEA) Demetrius McCray - CB Appy St.: 6'1 187, jumps high, runs fast, almost 34" arms. It's almost too easy.
Previous Pick: DT Brandon Williams.
Summary: WR Percy Harvin*, DT Jesse Williams, CB Demetrius McCray.
26 (GB) Logan Ryan - CB Rutgers: There's just too much value here. Yes, that's now four very nice corners, but Shields could be playing himself into a huge payday after next season. Another team that does not draft on need. This is a great pick here.
Summary: OT Terron Armstead, C Barrett Jones, CB Logan Ryan.
27 (HOU) Trevardo Williams - OLB UConn: Another UConn freak. He will give Reed a real challenge to start in place of the departed Barwin.
Previous Pick: Dwayne Gratz.
Summary: WR Keenan Allen, DL Margus Hunt, OLB Trevardo Williams.
28 (DEN) Giovani Bernard - RB UNC: He's a good player, but this is not a steal. He'll stabilize the position because the other two behind the aging McGahee just can't be counted on.
Summary: DE Alex Okafor, DT Sylester Williams, RB Giovani Bernard.
29 (NE) Hugh Thornton - OG Illinois: The toughness of that OL is a huge strength and this guy and Long really fit that mold. They are also both very athletic and talented.
Summary: OT Kyle Long, WR Da'Rick Rogers, OG Hugh Thornton.
30 (ATL) Brian Schwenke - C Cal: This is a great pick as he steps in to start right away. DTs are so athletic these days that a guy who can protect a legit franchise QB is critical. They can leave Konz at G here.
Summary: TE Zach Ertz, DE Sam Montgomery, C Brian Schwenke.
31 (SF) Marcus Lattimore - RB So. Car.: Why not, right?
Previous Pick: Chris Harper, CB Tyrann Matheiu.
Summary: QB E.J. Manuel, DE Datone Jones, D.J. Swearinger, DL John Jenkins, RB Marcus Lattimore.
32 (BAL) Chris Harper - WR KSU: He's practically an Anquan Boldin clone, except even bigger and quite a bit faster.
Previous Pick: Brennan Williams.
Summary: OT Menelik Watson, OLB Jamie Collins, WR Chris Harper.
33 (HOU)* Zac Dysert - QB Miami(OH): Here they grab a developmental QB with an extra pick. Great value.
Summary: WR Keenan Allen, DL Margus Hunt, OLB Trevardo Williams, QB Zac Dystert.
34 (KC)* Brennan Williams - OT UNC: He's a bigger tackle who fits better in the new scheme than the guys they've added for the past few years. We're assuming here that they think Stephenson could stick on the left side long-term, and/or that Albert gives up his ridiculous demands.
Previous Pick: Tavarres King.
Summary: DT Sharrif Floyd, QB Alex Smith*, WR Stedman Bailey, C Travis Frederick, RB Andre Ellington, OT Brennan Williams.
35 (TEN)* Ryan Nassib - QB Syracuse: They smartly pick up another QB. They now have a ton of weapons in place for a him to succeed after a couple years on the bench.
Previous Pick: Marcus Lattimore, Zac Dysert.
Summary: TE Tyler Eifert, WR Justin Hunter, OG Dallas Thomas, QB Ryan Nassib.
*Compensation picks for losing Mario Williams, Brandon Carr, and Cortland Finnegan, respectively, to free agency.
Fell into Day 3:
Matt Barkley
Tyler Wilson
Matt Scott
Mike Glennon
Gavin Escobar
Dion Sims
Michael Williams
Joseph Randle
Montee Ball
Kenny Stills
Oday Aboushi
David Bakhtiari
Justin Pugh
David Quessenberry
Alvin Bailey
Corey Lemonier
Kwame Geathers
Cornelius Washington
Jelani Jenkins
DeVonte Holloman
Blidi Wreh-Wilson
Tharold Simon
JJ Wilcox
Shamarko Thomas
TJ McDonald
Day 1-2 picks by the numbers:
QB: 3 (Comp to 2012: 8 [incl. Terrelle Pryor])
WR: 14* [incl. Josh Gordon] (2012: 13)
LB: 16* [3-4 rush OLBs grouped here] (2012: 14)
Last edited by PaulyChief on Tue Mar 19, 2013 9:58 am; edited 16 times in total
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Joined: 06 Jan 2007
Posts: 11630
Posted: Thu Mar 07, 2013 12:10 am
Post subject:
30 (ATL) Zach Ertz - TE Stanford: I don't think he's worth picking this high, but Tony is done. They should address other needs, but Matt Ryan is a top QB and gets a new target.
For sure don't like this pick at all. Ertz nor Eifert are worthy of that pick when we could get Escobar, Kelce, Reed, and Fauria for much better value in the 2nd to 4th rounds and they are truthfully as much upside as the so called 1st round guys.
The falcons should not come out of the 1st round without a front 7 defensive player. That is our biggest weakness on the team by far.
Also who said Gonzo was done? The guy can still ball better than 90% of the TE's in the league.
2010 and 2013
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Joined: 06 Jan 2007
Posts: 844
Location: Mankato, MN
Posted: Thu Mar 07, 2013 12:16 am
Post subject:
Say what?
You think Bailey for the Vikes in RD 1 is a steal? What drugs were you on when you pulled that out of a hat?
Allen, Vaccaro, or Trufant are all alot better options
AD is hotter than Madonna in a pointy bra!!!
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Joined: 16 Oct 2012
Posts: 1385
Posted: Thu Mar 07, 2013 12:24 am
Post subject: Re: Mayhem Mock - Rd 1
PaulyChief wrote:
23 (MIN) Stedman Bailey - WR WVU: The need is glaring and he's actually a steal here as a poor man's Steve Smith.
This is a hilarious joke, but seriously, what's the real pick?
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Joined: 25 Mar 2008
Posts: 2121
Posted: Thu Mar 07, 2013 12:25 am
Post subject:
Terrible pick for 9ers. We have absolutely zero need for a QB in the first round. If we grab one at all, it will be a late round developmental guy. We need D-line and secondary help or more playmakers on offense.
A Big Thanks To PatsDynasty21
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Joined: 05 Mar 2013
Posts: 9
Posted: Thu Mar 07, 2013 12:42 am
Post subject:
In order: Tony Gonzalez is not retiring? Front 7 guys are plentiful and cheap in FA. This is not a team needs mock. I'm not wild about Ertz, but you don't grab a meh guy in round 4 for a Matt Ryan caliber QB.
On Bailey: There are 6 weeks until the draft, with pro days and individual workouts to go. The media just hasn't plugged him into the hype machine yet. He is a legit immediate impact, round 1 wideout.
E.J.: Pick one: 1) A completely blown season when your mobile QB blows out his ACL; 2) Last season. They have a million picks. DL is the deepest position in the draft, there will be plenty there later on.
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Joined: 25 Mar 2008
Posts: 2121
Posted: Thu Mar 07, 2013 2:53 am
Post subject:
PaulyChief wrote:
E.J.: Pick one: 1) A completely blown season when your mobile QB blows out his ACL; 2) Last season. They have a million picks. DL is the deepest position in the draft, there will be plenty there later on.
If Kaep goes down, we have Scott Tolzein, whose spent 2 years learning the offense. Harbs wouldnt let EJ see the field until he learned the playbook anyway, so he'd be the #3 QB on the roster at best. Why would we use a first round pick on a guy who wouldnt even be a backup his first year? Heck, we got our franchise signal caller in the second round. Why would we select his back up in the first round? Total waste of a pick! QB is not a need. Scott Tolzein is fine as the backup. No, he doesn't have wheels like Kaep or his big arm, but he's got enough accuracy to manage the game and let the defense win it for us.
A Big Thanks To PatsDynasty21
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Joined: 25 Feb 2008
Posts: 14061
Location: Tampa, FL
Posted: Thu Mar 07, 2013 3:37 am
Post subject:
Really can't see us drafting Geno.
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Joe Nobody
Joined: 12 Feb 2013
Posts: 480
Posted: Thu Mar 07, 2013 3:45 am
Post subject:
Go home, mock. You're drunk.
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Joined: 21 Jan 2006
Posts: 7806
Location: Richmond, IN
Posted: Thu Mar 07, 2013 8:25 am
Post subject:
I could see Lacy to the Bengals in the first. Most of us would prefer waiting until the top of round two, but whatever.
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Joined: 02 Aug 2006
Posts: 5513
Posted: Thu Mar 07, 2013 8:49 am
Post subject:
INbengalfan wrote:
I could see Lacy to the Bengals in the first. Most of us would prefer waiting until the top of round two, but whatever.
I would be very upset. We don't need a RB bad enough to reach for one and this draft is deep with 2nd and 3rd round RBs.
Including Lacy.
Especially with the best player in the draft still on the board.
2017 Draft Needs: Interior O-line, Pass Rushing DE, Linebacker, Kicker, Overall Team Speed.
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The Gnat
Joined: 23 Feb 2005
Posts: 39254
Location: Minneapolis
Posted: Thu Mar 07, 2013 9:59 am
Post subject:
That's hilarious Vikings pick, Bailey could get taken in the 3rd, not the first.
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Joined: 04 Apr 2007
Posts: 26419
Location: Indianapolis Indiana
Posted: Thu Mar 07, 2013 12:17 pm
Post subject:
Jason_Bengal_Fl wrote:
INbengalfan wrote:
I could see Lacy to the Bengals in the first. Most of us would prefer waiting until the top of round two, but whatever.
I would be very upset. We don't need a RB bad enough to reach for one and this draft is deep with 2nd and 3rd round RBs.
Including Lacy.
Especially with the best player in the draft still on the board.
Agreed. Give me Jones there
Big thanks to kacymcbryant18 for the sig....^^
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Joined: 03 Jan 2008
Posts: 21251
Posted: Thu Mar 07, 2013 12:20 pm
Post subject:
Still trying to see where Star's heart condition sits before I bless this pick. Overall, its a good pick if he makes it to us; if not or the heart condition is more serious than first imagined; Sheldon Richardson should be the pick.
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Joined: 05 Mar 2013
Posts: 9
Posted: Thu Mar 07, 2013 12:48 pm
Post subject:
"Still trying to see where Star's heart condition sits before I bless this pick. Overall, its a good pick if he makes it to us; if not or the heart condition is more serious than first imagined; Sheldon Richardson should be the pick."
I only mocked him there because the heart condition apparently is a non-issue. What do you think about Cyprien in round 2?
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text:
People Moves: Kroll Advisory Solutions, Sidley Austin, Delta Air Lines
Kroll Advisory Solutions hired Lonnie Keene as a managing director in its transaction intelligence and compliance practice. Sidley Austin LLP announced that William Blumenthal and Kenneth L. Glazer, formerly of the Federal Trade Commission, will join the firm as partners in the Washington, D.C., office. And Robert S. Rivkin will next month join Delta Air Lines as senior vice president and deputy general counsel.


text:
Please click the Support tab to send us a support request, a file or a screenshot.
Thank you!
Derby based web design firm Netiva offers affordable and accessible web design, web development and internet solutions for small to medium businesses/SME's, design agencies, other developers, charities/non-profit organisations, hotels, bars, restaurants and individuals/consultants.
We specialise in hosting, developing and themeing Drupal - if you're a design house or developer with a Drupal issue, call us! We provide development services to agencies and developers as well as directly to clients.
All sites we design are standards compliant, and we work to ensure maximum accessibility across systems and that all users can access your website. We test our client's sites using a variety of tools to check compliance. We believe that the Net should and can be available for all.
Whether an initial flag-in-the-ground presence, an online shop with full ecommerce capability, or just a single page announcing HERE WE ARE!, Netiva will work to offer the best solution.
With well over a decade's experience of web design, development, systems, networks, hosting and IT support in Derby and across the UK, Netiva provide a solid mix of technical knowledge, support skills and design services.
Netiva is a Derby based firm, and are currently focusing on work from local small business, sole traders or consultants who need to maximise the return on their spend, and gain control over their online presence - without investing excessive time and capital.
Excessive delay after typing sudo?
Looks as though the optional pam_ck_connector.so is hanging not only sudo but other auth processes (eg roundcube/dovecot/imap).
From here by erikdhansen (http://ubuntuforums.org/member.php?u=36598)
(Copied in case ubuntu reorganise their forums!)
"Re: SSH Login takes long time (no DNS Problem)
So I was having this same problem and it wasn't the DNS issue that everyone points to. It ended up being a problem with PAM.


text:
UAE, Algeria to Sign Accords on Taxation, Investment
UAE and Algeria will sign on April 25 two accords preventing double taxation and protecting investment, officials at UAE's ministry of finance and industry said, cited by the Gulf News.
An MoU will also be signed between Dubai and Algeria's chambers of commerce and industry on the sidelines of the second UAE in Algeria Exhibition from April 25 to 28, said Mohammed bin Zayed, the ministry's assistant undersecretary for industrial affairs.
Dubai Ports Authority (DPA) and Jebel Ali Free Zone (Jafz) are considering signing a free zones and ports cooperation MoU with the Algerian ministry of trade, he added.
"The agreements will be signed by Dr. Mohammed Khalfan bin Kharbash, Minister of State for Finance and Industry, and the Algerian Minister of Economy. They will be valid from the date of signature," Mohammed said.
Zayed said the two agreements will open the door to an important phase in UAE-Algerian relations.
"They are part of the UAE's policy to support relations with the Arab world in preparation for the Arab free trade zone agreement," he told the paper.
Trade volume between the two countries totaled Dh700 million ($191m) last year, said the paper – Albawaba.com
© 2001 Al Bawaba (www.albawaba.com)


text:
The table below summarizes baseline characteristics on patients participating in a clinical trial.
1. Which, if any, baseline characteristics are significantly different (at the 0.05 level of significance) between treatment groups? (10 points)
a. Age
b. Total Cholesterol
c. Diabetes
d. % Female
e. a and b
f. c and d


text:
Jin Xu
Assistant Professor of Finance, Purdue University
Email: email@example.com
Working Papers (you can download all papers from SSRN: http://ssrn.com/author=780124 )
· An Empirical Examination of Executive Signing Bonuses: An Incentive Mechanism, with Jun Yang
FIRS 2014 Paper, Quebec, Canada, June 2014
NBER Summer Institute, Law and Economics Workshop Paper, July 2013
Abstract: Examining 2,301 signing bonus contracts for the top five executives at the ExecuComp (current and past S&P 1500) firms during 1992–2011, we find empirical evidence corroborating the signaling and incentive theory of the signing bonus (Van Wesep 2010). A firm of high quality is more likely to grant the signing bonus when the executive is less certain of how well he will fit in. This occurs when the firm is large and complex, young, R&D intensive, highly-levered, poorly-performing, and volatile in stock returns; and when the executive is young, less experienced, hired as the CEO from a non-CEO position, and coming from outside the firm and from outside the firm's industry. An executive who receives the signing bonus is more likely to receive a severance contract and to have a lower portfolio delta but higher dollar value of performance-based pay. Moreover, firms that grant signing bonuses tend to outperform subsequently.
· Taxes, Capital Structure Choices, and Firm Value, with Mara Faccio Download from SSRN
NBER Summer Institute, Corporate Finance Workshop Paper, July 2014
Abstract: We identify a multitude of reforms affecting statutory corporate or personal tax rates across OECD countries during 1981 to 2009. We use those tax reforms to estimate the market value of the tax benefits of debt, while keeping other benefits and/or costs of debt financing constant. We report time-series evidence that the market attaches a large value to debt tax savings. The value of debt tax savings varies across firms and across countries in reasonable ways. For example, the value of debt tax savings is greater among highly profitable firms and tax payers. Additionally, the market value of debt tax savings is substantially greater in countries in which tax laws are more strongly enforced. The results are robust to a battery of endogeneity tests. The results unequivocally show that capital structure choices appear to be of first order importance.
· Hedge fund activism and bank loan contracting, with Yinghua Li Download from SSRN
AFA 2011 Denver Meetings Paper
Abstract: Using a large sample of loans initiated by firms targeted by hedge fund activists during 1994-2008, we show that hedge fund activism has significant impacts on firms' bank loan contracts. After the targeting announcement, and relative to firms that are not targeted, the targeted firms pay significantly higher spreads, are more likely to be required to secure their loans, face more covenant restrictions on their financial and investment policies, and have shorter loan maturities. These results are consistent with the hypothesis that hedge fund activism increases credit risk by exacerbating shareholder expropriation of bondholder wealth (the "expropriation effect"). Cross-sectional evidence indicates that the increase in the cost of debt after the activism is greater when the activism targets firms' capital structure. There is also evidence that activism targeting firms' corporate governance reduces the cost of debt. Our results imply that firms could face higher costs of debt and greater restrictions on financial flexibility when firms are targeted by activist shareholders.
· The five stages of analyst careers: Coverage choices and changing influence, with Yinghua Li and Raghu Rau
Abstract: We examine changes in analysts' monitoring incentives and effectiveness as they progress along their career paths. We find that analysts are less likely to be elected all-stars in the annual Institutional Investor elections when the firms they covered in the year prior to the election have high absolute abnormal accruals. Consistent with the hypothesis that career concerns play an important role in their coverage decisions, up and coming analysts strategically choose firms to cover. Specifically, they drop firms with high earnings management and replace them with low earnings management firms. Once they are elected all-stars and become established in their careers, they replace low earnings management firms with high earnings management firms. Firms that gain all-star coverage reduce earnings management. In addition, investors value recommendation downgrades by all-stars significantly more than downgrades by incipient stars or ex-stars, suggesting that that analyst visibility/influence, rather than analyst innate ability, is the underlying source of the effective monitoring of star analysts.
· New evidence on the effects of the insider trading sanctions act of 1984 Download from SSRN
Abstract: This paper analyzes the effects of the Insider Trading Sanctions Act of 1984, the first federal level insider trading statute since 1934 which substantially increased the penalties of illegal insider trading. I find that, around the passage of the Act on July 25, 1984, there were positive abnormal returns for stocks heavily traded by insiders in the past. After the passage of the Act, insider trading frequency decreased significantly and insider trading volume also declined once firm characteristics are controlled for. I also explore insider trading behaviors in merger target firms before the merger announcements between 1979 and 1989 and find a significant decline in abnormal pre-announcement insider net purchases. After the enactment the odds ratio of a positive net insider purchase decreased from 0.08 to 0.04. The price run-up before merger announcements also attenuated after the ITSA enactment. The five-day pre-announcement abnormal return accounted for about 48% of the total price increase before the enactment, but only about 27% after the enactment. Overall, the evidence supports the hypothesis that the ITSA effectively reduced informed insider trading.


text:
Reel Big Fish and Goldfinger
Reel Big Fish
Even Gwen Stefani has moved on from the ska revival spearheaded by No Doubt in the '90s, but you can count on plenty of wacky, skanky upbeats at this punk-party double header from California. Note that the usual mosh-pit trombone warnings apply.
Historically, Reel Big Fish has the edge on Goldfinger by dubious virtue of their hit A-ha cover, Take On Me, a gesture typical of the novelty factor that powered the So-Cal ska years. Aaron Barrett and his horn-heavy ensemble began playing the Gen-X irony card with a debut album titled Everything Sucks and they're as kee-razy as ever on their latest, We're Not Happy Til You're Not Happy.
Goldfinger's legacy is harder to pinpoint, though they did tour Australia on the Sex Pistols' Filthy Lucre reunion of '96. They've since made sporadic returns, chasing a follow-up to their mini-hit of that year, Here in Your Bedroom. Disconnection Notice is their latest album.
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