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Christmas Origami
Welcome to Christmas Origami! Here we have collected together some fun origami Christmas models to enjoy with your kids. You can use them to decorate your house, your parcels, or your tree - or you can make Christmas cards and gift tags, fridge magnets, bookmarks ... we are sure you can think of some more good ideas! http://christmas.origami-kids.com
Origami Christmas Blog
Pre Nol (Santa Claus) by Nicolas Terry
Designer: Nicolas Terry Folder and Photographer: @Origami_Kids
Difficulty level: Medium Time to fold 60 min. 41 steps. Folded from a one classic Red and White Single Uncut square origami paper, about 60cm x 60cm.
Nicolas Terry: French artist , professional in Origami. After working as an engineer and then as a consultant physician professional development, he directed to the origami his professional activities for several years. Their personal creations allowed him to be invited to many conventions as Japan Origami (Tanteidan), Korea, Spain, England, Italy, Germany, France and the United States
How to fold, at the end of the page
How to fold Here!
You can Download the diagrams which Nicolas Terry has generously shared with everyone in their web page Diagram Here!
Social Hub
Origami Exibition in Paris: Architectures de Papier
Visitors will discover the origami structures of Ingrid Siliakus, the tragic and romantic sculptures of Peter Callesen, the imaginary cities of Beatrice Coron, the perforated geometric buildings of Stephanie Beck and the urban facades of Mathilde Nivet.
The exhibition Architecture of Paper will be presented to the City of Architecture & Heritage from 11 October 2012. Designers Ingrid Siliakus paper, Mathilde Nivet, Stephanie Beck, Beatrice Coron and Peter Callesen will present their architectural models of folded paper and cut, both real and imaginary constructions, reproductions of iconic buildings.
Visitors will discover the architecture of Ingrid origamic Siliakus, the tragic and romantic sculptures of Peter Callesen, the imaginary cities of Beatrice Coron, cities geometric buildings with perforated Stephanie Beck and facades of urban Mathilde Nivet.
The exhibition Paper Architecture will be held in the City of Architecture and Heritage of 11 October 2012 to March 17, 2013, 1 Place du Trocadero in Paris 16th.
Lexposition Architectures de Papier sera prsente la Cit de larchitecture & du patrimoine partir du 11 octobre 2012.
Les designers papier Ingrid Siliakus, Mathilde Nivet, Stphanie Beck, Batrice Coron et Peter Callesen y exposeront leurs maquettes darchitecture en papier pli et dcoup, constructions imaginaires ou relles, reproductions de btiments emblmatiques.
Les visiteurs pourront y dcouvrir les architectures origamic dIngrid Siliakus, les sculptures tragiques et romantiques de Peter Callesen, les villes imaginaires de Batrice Coron, les villes gomtriques aux difices perfors de Stphanie Beck et les faades urbaines de Mathilde Nivet.
Lexposition Architecture de Papier se droulera la Cit de larchitecture et du patrimoine du 11 octobre 2012 au 17 mars 2013, 1 Place du Trocadro Paris 16e.
Originally posted 2012-07-14 13:46:38.
Related Post
Catching A Plane – Paper Airplane Game
Catching A Plane You'll need two or more people and at least one airplane for this game. Any model will do, but we recommend the Butterfly, Slice, or Count. Start by standing close together, and then have each player take … Continue reading →
The post Catching A Plane – Paper Airplane Game appeared first on Origami Blog.
via christmas.origami-kids.com
December 05, 2015 at 11:13AM
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When you engage IBM to perform this consulting service, a team of IBM accessibility experts works with your key stakeholders to document your orgainzation's "accessibility as-is state" related to customer service and program delivery, organization, learning and development, business processes and technical environment. The team uses the resulting documentation to prepare and conduct a customer visioning workshop to brainstorm future goals for each area and document organizational dependencies. IBM then conducts a high-level gap analysis between current and future states and develops an executive presentation with initial recommendations on how to address the gaps. This consulting engagement is relatively short - lasting from two to three weeks and is a good springboard for considering or implementing further actions related to accessibility.
- Provides a high-level snapshot of your organization's current "accessibility as-is state." It can lay the foundation for you to develop clear strategy and roadmaps in areas affecting accessibility, such as outreach and program management, supply management, IT development, and people/human capital management.
- Can help your enterprise optimize its organizational performance resulting from an improved and expanded professional skills base as well as workforce diversity.
- Can help you address requirements in state or local government accessibility policies and other applicable accessibility regulations.
Services included
A discovery workshop engagement includes services such as:
- Project launch / ongoing project management
- Pre-workshop preparation and homework to document the "accessibility as-is state"
- Facilitation and documentation of the customer visioning workshop
- Assessment and brainstorming of the accessibility "future state" related to organizational/business process, knowledge & learning management, and Information Technology (IT)
- Development of a customer vision deliverable and executive review

subset: commoncrawl


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TOKYO -- Currencies can swing up and down, affecting the relative value of the dollar to the Japanese yen or Chinese yuan. But currency swings aren't as important to dairy exports as the fundamentals of working with customers and meeting their needs.
That was the underlying message when a U.S. dairy trade delegation visited Japan in November 2011.
"There are quite a few advantages of U.S. products, and people are starting to see the advantages of these products as time goes by," Steve Shnitzler, director of the Agricultural Trade Office for the U.S. embassy in Japan, told the group.
Indeed, a huge success story is unfolding with regard to U.S. cheese exports to Japan.
Between 1995 and 2010, there was more than a five-fold increase in the amount of U.S. cheese exported to Japan. In 2011, cheese exports were up considerably from 2010, amounting to 22,882 metric tons.
New Zealand and Austrailia remain the largest suppliers of cheese to Japan. But the Japanese want to diversify and include more suppliers from a risk-management standpoint, and that has benefitted the U.S., points out Jeff McNeill, director of the Japan office for the U.S. Dairy Export Council.
Kurt James, senior vice president of the product and supply chain division for McDonalds in Japan, told a story that illustrates the importance of having good working relationships.
McDonald's in Japan had been buying cheese mainly from Australia and New Zealand until approached by McNeill and others representing the U.S. After discussions in which McDonalds made it clear they wanted a reliable supplier who could work with them over the long-run to reduce price volatility, McNeill paired them up with a California cheese company that was open-minded on the risk-management issue, and McDonalds started doing business with them.
"We are actively buying and doubled what we did last year," James said.
While price is important —and surely the weaker U.S. dollar against Asian currencies has made American products more attractive — a good working relationship and quality products can make the critical difference.
As narrated in the above video, it's important to get to know the Japanese customers on a personal level and understand their needs.
"The U.S. is seen (by the Japanese) as a very high-quality supplier of food," Shnitzler said. Based on consumer surveys he has seen over the years, Shnitzler said the Japanese tend to rate the United States and Australia as two of the highest when it comes to quality.
"The image of the U.S. is very strong here," he said. That image was reinforced last year when more than 19,000 U.S. servicemen in Japan participated in the Operation Tomodachi relief effort following a devastating earthquake in March 2011.


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A Thursday night raid by city police resulted in the arrest of three people on drug charges. Officer
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Our current obituaries are listed below.
Visitation:Thursday, March 18, 20106:00 PM until 8:00 PMHafer Funeral HomeElkview, West Virginia50 North Pinch Rd.Elkview, WV 25071
Visitation:Friday, March 19, 201010:00 AM until 11:00 AMSouthridge Campus of Bible Center Church100 Bible Center DriveLocated off Corridor G Rt. 119Charleston, WV
Service:Friday, March 19, 201011:00 AMSouthridge Campus of Bible Center ChurchLocated off Corridor G Rt. 119100 Bible Center DriveCharleston, WV
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Each month, Rated People connects over 50,000 homeowners with quality tradesmen - simply enter your job details in the form above to get started.
We'll match your job to the relevant tradesmen in your area - those interested will pay to see your contact details and call you to quote.
As each tradesman expresses interest in quoting on your job, we'll send you their profile and ratings to help you choose the right one for you.
After the work is complete, return to the site and rate your tradesman based on their quality of work, reliability and value for money.
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Hoovering, dusting/polishing, mopping, clean bathroom, clean kitchen
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Cleaning a semi-detached property with 3 bedrooms, bathroom, living room, kitchen and conservatory...
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weekly clean of a 3 bedroom house
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A 3 bedroom house, the whole house needs cleaning, dusting mostly, the bathroom/toilet and...
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Managing your job is easier with the Rated People Homes App, download it today.


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Added info for opera users how to access quick modification of issue list.
Communication for dev-heaven.net¶
Git & SVN - the project file handling (VCS)¶
- What's a version control system (VCS) and what are its benefits?
- Request your project space @ Dev Heaven
- Setup explained to access a Git/SVN repository
Dev tools¶
RedMine - the website system (RM)¶
Dev heaven support team¶
- Create projects
Server Hardware¶
- CPU: AMD Opteron 1356, 4x 2.3 Ghz.
- HDD: 2x 1TB, RAID-1
- OS: Linux; Debian
Backups¶Our backup schedule:
- Full Backup of Repository, Website and Configuration Data
- Every Saturday
- MySQL Databases-Only
- Twice Every Day
All backups are immediatly uploaded off-site to secure against hardware failure.
Our server is also equiped with RAID-1 to protect our data against single-point-of-failure.
Before any mainteance, we backup the affected data aswell.
We are looking into providing our hosted Projects with private backups of their data.
The costs for running the server powering dev-heaven.net, are 99 EUR a month.
We offer our service freely, but if you would like to support us, please feel free to donate
Issues list¶
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Repository changesets¶
- Activity on repositories seems only to be synced when the "Repository" tab of the Project has been visited since the commits.
- RM WikiFormatting
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Permission testing¶
- Use your non standard browser to test anon access.
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Unable to view "Statistics" under the Repository view¶
Please install SVG


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Communism in Germany
Paperback, 179 Pages
Price: $12.20
Prints in 3-5 business days
Contrary to postwar propaganda, it was not the Nazis who terrorized Germany prior to 1933, but the far Left. This book, based on original police case files from the time, shows how the far Left and their socialist party allies waged a campaign of violence, terrorism, armed uprising, forgery, subversion, and espionage from 1918 to 1933. It was the Left's violent attacks on ordinary Germans which forced the Nazis to develop their self-defense units, the Brownshirts (S.A.)—who are nowadays quite falsely portrayed as the aggressors. This work shows that the Communist conspiracy to create a 1918-style Bolshevik Revolution in Germany was very far advanced. Arms had been stockpiled in secret underground armories in the Communist Party headquarters. Bombings, assassinations, and a list of murders and street violence were already underway when the Reichstag arson—also now commonly falsely attributed to the Nazis—took place as part of their plan. An exact reproduction... More > of the 1933 original.< Less
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Product Details
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- Ostara Publications (Standard Copyright License)
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- First Ostara Printing
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- Ostara Publications
- Published
- July 24, 2013
- Language
- English
- Pages
- 179
- Binding
- Perfect-bound Paperback
- Interior Ink
- Black & white
- Weight
- 0.71 lbs.
- Dimensions (inches)
- 6 wide x 9 tall
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Records are to be kept, preserved, and presented upon the Department's request for a period of up to five years. Your records must demonstrate:
§ the amount of gross receipts and sales from all sources, including barter or exchange transactions.
§ the amount of all deductions, exemption, or credits claimed through supporting documentation.
Your records may include general ledgers and sales journals, bills, invoices, and cash register tapes. Records should also include federal and state tax returns, and reports, schedules, or work papers used to prepare tax reports or returns.


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The good people at NETWORK called my attention to an interfaith prayer service, January 16, 2012, from 3-5 p.m. at historic Shiloh Baptist Church here in Washington. The service is sponsored by "Faith Advocates for Jobs" and will focus on Dr. King's deep and abiding commitment to workers and workers' rights, a commitment that led him to Memphis to help plead for better working conditions for that city's sanitation workers and where he was assassinated.
In our own day, those sanitation workers would be dismissed by some as "government employees" and some politicians would deny their right to collectively bargain for better wages and better working conditions. But, Dr. King knew better. This will be a great moment to remind the nation that Dr. King's legacy extended beyond the cause of civil rights: He understood that justice is a multi-facted jewel in the crown of a civilized people.
The sermon will be preached by the Rev. Dr. James Forbes, senior pastor emeritus at Riverside Church and the famed Shiloh Baptist choir will sing. For more information, contact Faith Advocates for Jobs at 202.525.3055.
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Lapsang Souchong Chocolate Sauce
Slideshow: Chef Holiday Recipes Made Easy
- Servings: MAKES ABOUT 3 CUPS
- 2 cups heavy cream
- 1 tablespoon Lapsang souchong tea leaves
- 3/4 pound bittersweet chocolate, coarsely chopped
- Salt
How to make this recipe
Scald the cream in a medium saucepan. Remove from the heat and stir in the tea. Cover and let stand for 1 hour. Strain the cream through a fine sieve set over a clean saucepan and bring to a simmer over moderate heat. Remove from the heat and stir in the chocolate and a pinch of salt. Whisk until the chocolate is smooth. Let cool slightly. The sauce should be thick but somewhat pourable.
Make Ahead
The sauce can be stored overnight at room temperature.
Contributed By Jeremiah Tower Published December 2001


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Tag Archives: Plate & Pitchfork
Tricks of the Trade
Chef Jason Barwikowski has pig on the brain and rightly so. Portland's reigning COCHON 555 champion is preparing to defend his title at this year's event, scheduled to take place Sunday, March 11th at The Original. COCHON is a traveling 10-city culinary competition and tasting tour featuring 50 celebrated chefs as they prepare 'snout -to-tail' Continue Reading »
Behind the Scenes
Champoeg Farm in St. Paul, Oregon Outdoor dining room full of Plate & Pitchfork guests Farm flower arrangements by Catherine Anderson Chef Justin Woodward, Castagna Restaraunt Chef Adam Sappington, Country Cat Dinnerhouse and Bar Jackie Sappington, Adam's wife and Biscuit Baker Extraordinaire Erika Polmar, Plate & Pitchfork's founder and fearless leader Heinrich, Champoeg Farm's resident Continue Reading »


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August 20, 2012
Pizza Hut and Home Depot Deny Using the Black Keys' Music...
Attorneys for Pizza Hut and The Home Depot are denying that a pair of ads improperly used music by The Black Keys.
Each company is asking a judge to have the band pay their attorneys' fees if they win the case.
• Black Keys Sue Pizza Hut and Home Depot…


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Encana (NYSE:ECA)
Q1 2012 Earnings Call
April 25, 2012 1:00 pm ET
Ryder McRitchie - Vice President of Investor Relations
Randall K. Eresman - Chief Executive officer, President and Director
Sherri A. Brillon - Chief Financial officer and Executive Vice-President
Robert A. Grant - Executive Vice President of Corporate Development, EH&S and Reserves
Jeff E. Wojahn - Executive Vice President and President of USA Division
Michael G. McAllister - Executive Vice-President and Acting President of Canadian Division
Eric D. Marsh - Executive Vice-President and Interim President - Canadian Division
Unknown Executive -
Greg M. Pardy - RBC Capital Markets, LLC, Research Division
Andrew Potter - CIBC World Markets Inc., Research Division
Mark Polak - Scotiabank Global Banking and Market, Research Division
Michael P. Dunn - FirstEnergy Capital Corp., Research Division
George Toriola - UBS Investment Bank, Research Division
Robert Brackett
Robert Bellinski - Morningstar Inc., Research Division
Brian C. Dutton - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division
Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to Encana Corporation's First Quarter 2012 Conference Call. As a reminder, today's call is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that this conference call may not be recorded or rebroadcast without the expressed consent of Encana Corporation. I would now like to turn the conference call over to Mr. Ryder McRitchie, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, Mr. McRitchie.
Ryder McRitchie
Thank you, operator, and welcome, everyone, to our discussion of Encana's first quarter results for 2012.
Before we get started, I must refer you to the advisory on forward-looking statements contained in the news release, as well as the advisory on Page 39 of Encana's Annual Information Form dated February 23, 2012, the latter of which is available on SEDAR.
I'd like to draw your attention in particular to the material factors and assumptions in those advisories. Encana reports its financial results in U.S. dollars. Accordingly, any reference to dollars, reserves, resources or production information in this call will be in U.S. dollars and after royalties unless otherwise noted.
In addition, for the first quarter of 2012, Encana adopted U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles for financial reporting purposes, referred to as U.S. GAAP throughout this call. In 2011, the company prepared its financial statements in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards, referred to as IFRS. The adoption of U.S. GAAP has not had an impact on the company's operations, strategic decisions or cash flow. Full year 2011 and 2010 reconciliations between IFRS and U.S. GAAP are available in Note 27 to the company's annual consolidated financial statements prepared in accordance with IFRS. In addition, the company has prepared supplemental U.S. GAAP financial information, including Encana's 2011 annual consolidated financial statements and selected 2011 quarterly financial information, which are available on the company's website at www.encana.com.
In an effort to better utilize your time on the call this morning, we have opted to condense the comments provided by our executive team before opening the call up for questions from the investment community and media. We have assumed that everyone on the call has read the news release issued earlier this morning.
Randy Eresman, Encana's President and CEO, will speak to some operating and financial highlights for the quarter and provide an update on Encana's outlook for the remainder of 2012. At the end of the prepared remarks, our leadership team will be available for questions.
I will now turn the call over to Randy Eresman, Encana's President and CEO.
Randall K. Eresman
Thank you, Ryder, and thank you, everyone, for joining us this morning. During the first quarter of 2012, Encana continued to generate strong cash flow despite further downward pressure on natural gas prices, which, toward the end of the quarter, was approaching the lowest levels in the last 10 years.
We generated cash flow for the quarter of over $1 billion, supported by our strong commodity price hedging program. Responding to the low natural gas price environment, I indicated during our year-end conference call in February that Encana would immediately take action to restrict or shut in about 250 million cubic feet per day of production after royalties. Our teams have determined where and how to best achieve the target, and we currently have in place voluntary capacity reductions, volumes that have been shut in or otherwise curtailed, which should enable us to meet that target.
The duration of Encana's capacity reductions is subject to a number of factors, including a recovery in natural gas prices, and that remains uncertain at this time. In addition to physical capacity reductions, our reduced capital investments in drying natural gas programs is expected to lower 2012 natural gas production by about 250 million cubic feet per day from our 2011 levels after royalties. The combined total natural gas volume reduction would remove about 600 million cubic feet per day off the market when royalty volumes are also taken into account, meeting our commitments as outlined in our guidance.
While we're slowing the pace of development of our dry natural gas assets, we are accelerating production from our oil and liquid-rich assets. Liquid production volumes during the first quarter grew to an average about 29,000 barrels per day. The impact of increased liquids extraction from deep cut facility expansions in Western Canada, as well as expected organic liquids production growth from our portfolio of oil and liquid-rich plays leaves us well positioned to achieve our guidance target of 28,000 barrels per day for the year.
Today's news release provides details on some of the encouraging results we've seen from plays such as the Tuscaloosa marine shale, the Eaglebine, the Michigan, Collingwood, Utica and the Duvernay shale. Our plan is to drill approximately 40 to 45 assessment wells in the first half of the year across our portfolio of emerging oil and liquid-rich plays. Currently, we're about halfway through that drilling program, and we plan to have more comprehensive well results from each of these plays to share with you at our Investor Day in June. But I'll say that we are very encouraged by the results we've seen so far.
Our teams have effectively applied the technical knowledge and operating efficiencies used in developing our historical natural gas assets in these highly prospective oil and liquids-rich plays. For example, transferring the knowledge we gained in the -- developing the Haynesville Shale, we recently drilled our fourth well in the Tuscaloosa marine shale to a total horizontal length of almost 9,000 feet. It took 3 years before we were able to accomplish that horizontal length in the Haynesville. We're well on our way to achieving our goal of continuing to drill longer horizontal wells while optimizing our supply chain activities and reducing our cost structures.
In addition to the encouraging results we saw during the quarter from our emerging liquids plays, we also achieved very strong results from our more established Western Canadian liquids-rich plays at Kakwa, Redrock and Pipestone. We expect production from these areas to continue making a significant contribution to our organic liquids growth over the next several years.
We're also very pleased with the progress we've made so far this year in advancing several joint ventures and partnership opportunities. Most notably in February, we announced the closing of our Cutbank Ridge Partnership agreement with Mitsubishi. Our relationship with Mitsubishi is progressing very well, and to date, we have drilled a total of 11 wells on the Cutbank Ridge Partnership lands.
Mitsubishi's investment facilitates the development of Cutbank Ridge, a well-delineated asset where we have several decades of drilling inventory and accelerated recognition of the value inherent in this tremendous, well-defined resource opportunity. We think this transaction provides an excellent analog for what we expect to be able to achieve in several of our other established resource plays, which may also be linked to LNG supplies.
We're currently exploring the potential for an additional transaction with respect to the sale of an approximately 10% interest in the Cutbank Ridge Partnership. A formal process is underway, and I expect to provide an update on this progress later in the year.
Our partnership with Mitsubishi represents one example of how third-party capital can be effectively deployed to create value for our shareholders. The general 3 reasons behind our motivation to engage in joint ventures. First, to accelerate the value recognition of assets, which we have clearly defined, proven low-cost inventory -- sorry, where we have a clearly defined proven low-cost inventory as we did with Mitsubishi. Second, to help de-risk our early stage capital exposure in new unproven plays; and third, to maintain capital and operating efficiencies on our more mature assets.
The 2 recent examples of this third scenario. We recently entered into a joint earning agreement with Exaro Energy, which provides funding of up to $380 million to continue developing -- drilling in the play. This transaction, in addition to the joint venture we announced last year with Northwest Natural Gas, produces Encana's capital requirements in the play while maintaining an efficient development drilling program.
Having a dedicated 4-rig drilling program at Jonah will provide enough steady work for one completions crew without sacrificing the economics of scale we have achieved through our resource play hub development model. Similarly, the agreement we announced last week, which will see Toyota invest approximately $600 million in a portion of our coal bed methane resource play to earn a 32.5% gross overriding royalty, will help maintain capital and operating efficiencies on one of the lowest cost, lowest risk assets in our portfolio. In addition, it will also help to preserve our supply chain management initiatives and retain our intellectual capital. These agreements serve as a model for other investment opportunities available across our portfolio of assets.
Delineating the potential of our emerging oil and liquids-rich lands is amongst our top priorities for 2012. In an effort to accelerate the development of certain early life oil and liquid-rich plays, we announced during the quarter that we are seeking joint venture opportunities on a group of emerging oil and liquid-rich plays located in the United States, which comprise approximately 1.2 million net acres, as well as joint venture opportunity in the Alberta Duvernay shale, which covers approximately 370,000 net acres.
We believe that engaging in joint venture opportunities on these early life assets will be very effective in helping to reduce our capital exposure and accelerating the evaluation and potential commercialization of these assets, ultimately increasing our pace of liquids growth and de-risking the portfolio plays. While it's premature to speculate on the size or value of any of potential transaction, it is our intention in marketing an interest in these assets that Encana would continue to be the operator and retain majority ownership. We're targeting to complete a joint venture on these assets by year end.
Diversifying our production profile by increasing the weighting of oil and natural gas liquids is driven by the very large differences between oil and gas prices and by our desire to invest in our highest return projects. While many of our assets in our dry gas portfolio are still economic at sub-$3 NYMEX prices, the results -- the returns of those projects may not be as attractive as those in our oil and liquids-rich opportunities, the cost structures of which are still being evaluated.
Additionally, having a predominantly gas-weighted portfolio has exposed our cash flow generation to more risk than we would like. As such, achieving a more diversified commodity mix addresses some of the impact of currently depressed natural gas prices while increasing the resiliency of the company over the long term.
Furthermore, when natural gas prices do improve, it is not our intention to flood the market with gas in response to a modest increase in price. We will need to see sustained prices in a range that provides competitive returns with our oil and liquids investments and which are more reflective of the marginal cost to supply, which we believe is in the range of $4 to $6 per 1,000 cubic feet.
Once natural gas prices return to a more sustainable level, we believe that Encana's shareholders will benefit more from the impact of higher natural gas prices on our base level of production than from increasing natural gas production at an aggressive pace. We see significant opportunities for oil and natural gas liquids developments in our current portfolio of assets.
Going forward, we believe Encana will essentially have 3 distinct and meaningful businesses focused on natural gas, NGLs and oil. While the market drivers for each commodity are very different, the technology and operational efficiencies required to develop each type of assets are the same.
We have tremendous breadth and depth in all of these 3 businesses, and we are eager to showcase Encana's expertise and resource play development across our portfolio of promising new oil and liquids-rich plays.
As we look ahead to 2013, management is committed to maintaining Encana's balance sheet strength and financial flexibility. We have fortified our balance sheet, building a cash position of approximately $2.4 billion as of the end of the first quarter. We're currently targeting to have approximately $3 billion in cash and cash equivalents on our balance sheet by the end of the year. This target will continually be addressed through the year and is dependent on a number of factors, including commodity prices, the success of our 2012 oil and natural gas liquids program and the completion of additional joint ventures or asset divestitures. This cash reserve will help ensure that Encana's balance sheet is well positioned to weather the low natural gas price environment, should it persist through 2013.
So looking at natural gas prices. We're cautiously optimistic that we could see the beginning of recovery towards the end of this year or into 2013. This view is based on a combination of factors. On the demand side, we've seen an increase in coal-to-gas switching. Over the last 5 to 6 months, the equivalent of 7 billion cubic feet per day of coal-fired generation has been displaced by natural gas. This current displacement could become permanent natural gas demand as 50 to 60 gigawatts of coal-fired generation are expected to be retired by 2025.
This will be the equivalent of about 6 billion to 8 billion cubic feet per day. Additionally, this spring, we're seeing a decreased snowpack in the Western United States, which could lead to less available hydro-electrical power generation. We think this could result in additional natural gas demand of up to 1 billion cubic feet per day for the remainder of the year.
On the supply side and in addition to the capacity reduction initiatives that Encana has undertaken, we're estimating that the industry-wide shut-ins in North America are currently in the range of about 0.8 billion to 1 billion cubic feet per day. While shutting in production helps to address the near-term storage overhang, a sustained price correction will be dependent on producers investing significantly less capital in dry gas assets.
Since the beginning of the year, most of the major North American natural gas producers have announced significant funding cuts to the dry gas programs. Based on our expectations that the dry gas directed rig count will continue to fall over the next several months. We expect to see a decline of production in the later half 2012 and 2013.
The uncertainty around the near-term supply-demand balance rests with the level of associated natural gas production from liquid-rich plays and the effect those volumes will have on offsetting declining dry gas production. We're working to improve our internal understanding of this and the impact it will have on North American natural gas supply levels. We'll likely be in a position to provide more details at our Investor Day.
In the long term, we believe that North American natural gas prices will be supported by exporting LNG to world markets. The LNG market is evolving rapidly as several proposed North American expert facilities continue to advance in regulatory approvals -- advance through their regulatory approvals. In addition to our direct involvement as a 30% owner of the proposed Kitimat LNG export terminal, we also believe that many of our assets are ideally suited to provide feedstock for other proposed LNG terminals in Western Canada and the U.S. Gulf Coast.
So despite the historically low natural gas prices we're currently enduring, I'd like to reinforce that we at Encana continue to believe that the long-term future for natural gas remains very promising. However, during the current period of extended low natural gas prices, we have taken steps to retain our financial flexibility, slow our pace of dry natural gas development and restrict production from some of our dry gas wells. At the same time, we continue to allocate more capital oil and liquids-rich opportunities and attract third-party capital to unlock the value for our enormous reserves and resource base.
Until we see signs of a sustainable recovery in natural gas prices, we'll continue to focus our efforts on creating value from our very promising suite of oil and liquids-rich assets by applying the same technical knowledge and operating expertise that has earned Encana's reputation as an industry leader in the development of natural gas resource plays. We're very optimistic about the prospectivity of these early life liquids plays, and I look forward to updating you on the progress of our drilling programs as the year unfolds.
Thank you very much for joining us today. Our team is now standing by to take your questions.
Question-and-Answer Session
[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from Greg Pardy with RBC Capital Markets.
Greg M. Pardy - RBC Capital Markets, LLC, Research Division
Just, I guess, a couple of nitty questions and then one broader, but just interested in where you think your cash tax recovery would shake out this year at the -- just at your budget of pricing. And then as it relates to the liquids rich JV, just curious as to whether a data room has been opened and so forth at this stage. And then lastly, Randy, is there any color you can provide around the Tuscaloosa, other than what was in the press release?
Randall K. Eresman
Okay, I'm going to get 3 people to answer the question. I'm going to get Sherri Brillon to answer the cash tax question, and then I'll have Bob Grant -- okay, I'll have Bob Grant answer the liquids question, the JV and, afterwards, I'll get Jeff Wojahn to answer…
Sherri A. Brillon
Okay, thanks, Greg. We're currently estimating an income tax recovery for the year of about $300 million, and this would include the transactions that have closed as of March 31. As you know, this current tax recovery estimate is going to be impacted by our future divestitures and JVs and some other changes in estimates, including our changes to cash flow, should price change through the year, and we'll update this each quarter.
Greg M. Pardy - RBC Capital Markets, LLC, Research Division
Okay. And Sherri, is that at $3.25? Or would that be sub $3.25?
Sherri A. Brillon
That would be at $3.25 for the first quarter and then the forward curve thereafter.
Randall K. Eresman
Robert A. Grant
Yes. On the liquids processes we have underway, on the Duvernay, we plan to -- we have hired advisers. We have RBC on board, and we are currently preparing teasers and should have a data room open in late May or early June. Kind of the same thing in the United States, we have Jefferies on board looking at those opportunities in the United States. So relatively the same timing on that.
Randall K. Eresman
And on the Tuscaloosa, Jeff, can you provide some color?
Jeff E. Wojahn
Yes. Right now, our primary focus in the Tuscaloosa is an appraisal across our over 300,000 acres of the play. So really, we're in the initial appraisal steps of drilling wells. We're really looking to step out. The 3 wells that we've drilled so far have crossed our land base. In fact, I think the step out from the original Weyerhaeuser to the second or third wells is about 20 miles step out. So really what we're trying to understand right now is the characteristics of the reservoir to have some initial best estimates of drilling and completion practices that would be most suitable. Obviously, we're using a lot of knowledge from the Haynesville program and trying to incorporate it into Tuscaloosa. The next steps following will be to continue to appraise the overall land base and start focusing more of our efforts around longer horizontals and more optimization around our completion programs, and that's kind of our work in the upcoming months.
Greg M. Pardy - RBC Capital Markets, LLC, Research Division
Okay. And maybe just a couple of follow-ups on that. I know -- I think in the fourth quarter, you didn't feel as though the well costs were all that representative. But do you have a targeted well cost right now? And curious how many fracs that would be. And then secondly, just -- I know you've provided 30 day IPs. Have you generally found those rates to be shallow decline? Or have you found that the rates have come off sharply?
Jeff E. Wojahn
I'll start with our goals. I think our goals are to drill the longest, the most cost-effective horizontals with the most effective completion strategies that will ultimately allow us to maximize the EURs or recoveries from the wells, and that's a process that we've just started. So we mentioned today that we drilled our last horizontal nearly 9,000 feet, and we have an internal goal to drill 10,000-foot wells in the TMS. So we've accomplished a lot. We're going to go through a design -- we call it a design of experiment to optimize our EURs around fracture stimulation, and that work's ongoing right now. We will talk a little bit more about the EURs and the capability of the wells. But right now, as I said, we just have a lack of long-term data. So it's premature for us to get into the details of the EUR. But hopefully, as I said, by June, we'll have more details around that.
Greg M. Pardy - RBC Capital Markets, LLC, Research Division
Okay. And I suspect the same goes into the IPs. You'd rather wait?
Jeff E. Wojahn
Well, our IPs in the first 3 wells, I think we've disclosed those, have been in the 500 to 800 barrels a day. But that's really all the data we have, so it's premature to start talking about type curves at this time.
Randall K. Eresman
Greg, well costs on all these new plays tend to be quite a bit higher at the beginning as we're doing a lot of experimentation, and we're also getting a lot of additional data collection, of course [ph], other forms of data. And it'll take us a few more months before we're able to project to what the real cost will be once we get into resource play development mode.
Jeff E. Wojahn
I have one piece of information. In the Haynesville for the long lateral wells, we've drilled long lateral 7,500-foot horizontal wells in the $12 million to $13 million range. So that's something that we demonstrated to ourselves that we know we can do in a resource play hub manner, and that would clearly be one of the steps that we'll be looking at is to take those learnings from the Haynesville and apply them to the Tuscaloosa.
Greg M. Pardy - RBC Capital Markets, LLC, Research Division
Okay. And the last one, I guarantee, for me, then there's no -- in terms of drilling the longer laterals, whereas in the Haynesville, obviously, there's 100% land owner agreement. There's -- really, are there any limitations that way in this case with what you're doing in the Tuscaloosa?
Jeff E. Wojahn
In Louisiana, we just -- we received a new ruling that will allow it easier to establish longer -- larger units to drill longer wells. And I think that's very important because half of the Tuscaloosa play is in Louisiana. In Mississippi, I believe the spacing that is defined or can be defined is 9 to 60 acres, which would allow you to currently drill 7,500-foot long horizontals.
Your next question comes from Andrew Potter with CIBC.
Andrew Potter - CIBC World Markets Inc., Research Division
Just a question on the Duvernay, first of all. I think you talked a little bit about liquids content being fairly similar to other wells that are being drilled by industry in the area. Assuming we can also make that connection on initial productivity rates or maybe just a little color around that.
Randall K. Eresman
Yes, Mike McAllister's going to answer.
Michael G. McAllister
Yes, we've seen -- or we have one well off of confidential. It's a vertical well in the Duvernay, and we've seen liquids content up to 300 barrels per million, so -- as well as the gas rates are also commensurate with whether the wells have off or public in the Duvernay as well. So that's -- I guess, it's consistent.
Andrew Potter - CIBC World Markets Inc., Research Division
And then just one question from an overall guidance perspective. Maybe you can just give us a little color in terms of where you expect to exit 2012, given the decline profile and all that sort of stuff.
Randall K. Eresman
Sorry, are you talking about natural gas rates or oil rate?
Andrew Potter - CIBC World Markets Inc., Research Division
More the natural gas side, I guess, but both if you can give them.
Michael G. McAllister
I think we're likely to be pretty flat through the year, and one of the reasons for that is because in the second half of the year, on -- sorry, on the natural gas side, we're relatively flat because Deep Panuke will be coming on later in the year, and that will support the otherwise the declining production that would have occurred. On the liquid side, too early to make a prediction on that, but we hope it exceeds our guidance.
Andrew Potter - CIBC World Markets Inc., Research Division
And just one last question, just sort of from a transaction perspective. I mean, when we sit back and look at all the deals that you guys have done and other industry JVs, I mean, it seems that buyers are, obviously, embedding a significantly higher gas price into assets than what the market is currently reflecting. So I mean, you guys have done a lot of kind of one-off transaction deals. I mean, does this sort of open the door or raise the possibility of just an outright corporate sale as opposed to just continuing to do one-off deals and monetizing the value that way?
Randall K. Eresman
Well, we think that there's a tremendous amount of value in our existing resource plays that we would like to unlock individually.
Your next question comes from Mark Polak with Scotia Bank.
Mark Polak - Scotiabank Global Banking and Market, Research Division
Pretty nice jump in liquids production for the quarter. I was just wondering, is that largely from Musreau plant coming online? And if so, then should we sort of think about that being sort of flat throughout the year until later in the year when Gordondale comes on?
Randall K. Eresman
Mike McAllister, I think you've got oil production gains in several of your areas.
Michael G. McAllister
Yes. So of the liquid gains you saw, which I think was in the neighborhood of -- in the Canadian division, about 5,000 barrels a day, half of that came from the Musreau start up. So NGLs and the other half actually came from royalty interest oil in the Clearwater business unit. So it's half oil, half NGL. And I think we see that being fairly flat here through the remainder of the year.
You next question comes from Mike Dunn with FirstEnergy Capital.
Michael P. Dunn - FirstEnergy Capital Corp., Research Division
Just thought I would ask, as you're sort of entering or seeking more joint venture type of arrangements on your assets and with the deals that you've done to date, what sort of agreements are in these deals regarding capital flexibility? I mean, obviously, the more deals you do and, certainly, if you can do these deals at significantly higher multiples than what the market's paying in your stock, do that all day, I guess. But I'm just trying to think about the capital flexibility as you -- as a greater percentage of your production is sort in sort of partnership deals, if you could speak to that.
Randall K. Eresman
Okay. I guess, there's -- we kind of take that question a couple of different ways. One would be each of these deals are individually negotiated, and some of them have the ability to reduce capital spending if prices get below a certain point. They basically -- I guess, each deal is kind of unique in the way they're formed. We are trying to make sure that when we're putting the JVs together, we're putting them together for our mature assets that they're on our very lowest supply cost plays such that these are plays that we would always want to be investing in first.
Your next question comes from George Toriola with UBS.
George Toriola - UBS Investment Bank, Research Division
Two questions. The first is on the shut-in volumes. Randy, you did talk about sort of things you're doing to get you to 250, I think, was your comment. Could you provide details around the premise for shutting in the volumes and then the -- geographically where that is from?
Randall K. Eresman
The general premise is that we think the market has -- is oversupplied with natural gas and causing prices to be lower than the marginal supply cost is in North America today. And so we're shutting in gas in areas where we believe that we will get a higher price for those gas -- for that same gas in the future, which will make up for the loss in cash flow today. Just as a general rule of thumb for the gas we've put in -- shut in so far, we would need about $1 higher in natural gas price to achieve our cost-to-capital rate of return. So that's the general premise and what we need in order to make. Some of that gas that is shut in, I guess, was going into a storage pool. All of the gas that we're shutting in is coming from places where we're relatively certain that the wells will respond well when they come back on.
George Toriola - UBS Investment Bank, Research Division
That's helpful. I guess, the second question is just as we look out to 2013, and you did sort of allude to what you're doing to keep the balance sheet strong if this weakness persists, would you -- as you look at 2013, would you be looking to leave within cash flow -- so essentially, are you going to not -- are you going to keep the proceeds that you generate here as that, or you could be tapping into that for expenditures in 2013? And what type of debt-to-cash flow would you be targeting if we see just because if prices go down from here, that ratio may start to climb up.
Randall K. Eresman
Right. Was having just a little challenge hearing your question, but I think I have the general idea of it. We have the opportunity in 2013 to further reduce our dry gas capital expenditures by simply a reduction in our commitments that we have for goods and services, completion crews, drilling rigs, et cetera. However, our preference would be to grow our liquids business through the success of the wells that we're drilling this year. We would like to add more into the second half of the year in terms of capital spend and, hopefully, have a much higher cash flow coming out of liquids than one would project based on our current level of natural gas and liquids production. The target of $3 billion on our balance sheet by the end of this year is somewhat flexible in that if there is more liquids success, we would consider reducing that amount if we did nothing else but just go forward with our capital program as it stands today. If we are able to bring in additional cash flow through these liquids-rich joint ventures or other sale of assets, our position would be even more, I guess, improved for 2013. It's a little bit difficult at this point in time to make too much of a projection into 2013 with as many moving parts as we currently have. But we think we're going to be in pretty good shape regardless.
Your next question comes from Bob Brackett with Bernstein Research.
Robert Brackett
I had a question on the Eaglebine wells. What's the depth of those wells? Are you landing them into the Woodbine proper? Do you think you're getting contribution from both zones? And what's the true vertical depth?
Randall K. Eresman
Good questions, and Eric Marsh is going to provide you some insights into those.
Eric D. Marsh
Yes. Thanks, Bob. TDD on those wells is about 6,500 feet to 7,000 feet, depending on where you're at, and we're actually targeting a variety of different horizons as we experiment with our first 5 or 6 wells there. So more to come. We'll give you more of a detailed review of that at our Investor Day, but overall, very pleased with the initial results.
Robert Brackett
And the liquids mix?
Eric D. Marsh
They're oil plays.
Your next question comes from Robert Bellinski with Ringstar (sic) [Morningstar].
Robert Bellinski - Morningstar Inc., Research Division
I think it's Morningstar. I just wanted a couple of quick questions. First, with regard to your hedge program, do you see adding additional hedges in 2013? Or what's the status at this point?
Randall K. Eresman
We're optimistic about a potential natural gas price recovery going into 2013. So we see much more upside than downside in natural gas prices. So it wouldn't be a good time to hedge at current prices.
Robert Bellinski - Morningstar Inc., Research Division
Okay. And then I saw you broke out production for Peace River Arch. I was just wondering, what are the development plans for that at this point?
Randall K. Eresman
Mike McAllister is going to explain that.
Michael G. McAllister
So we've split Peace River Arch out from Cutbank Ridge. It's basically better aligned with our Mitsubishi Cutbank Ridge Partnership, which is focused on British Columbia. The development plans for the Peace River Arch focus in on both Gordondale and Pipestone. We're looking at about, I think, sort of 5 wells in both plays going forward here for the remainder of the year.
Your next question comes from Brian Dutton with Crédit Suisse.
Brian C. Dutton - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division
I'd just like to revisit the balance sheet question again. You have $2.4 billion of cash on the balance sheet now and with plans to have about $3 billion of cash there by the end of the year. So knowing that you have the $1.5 billion of debt due in 2013 and 2014, could you give us some insight on how you plan to use your cash balances? And specifically, will you use the cash for CapEx in 2013 if there's no more JVs announced?
Randall K. Eresman
Thanks, Brian. Yes, the cash balances would ultimately be used to pay off the debt that's coming due in 2013 and 2014. But in the meantime, it does provide us with quite a bit of extra flexibility going into 2013.
Brian C. Dutton - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division
So if there's no more JVs, would you use that remaining cash for CapEx?
Randall K. Eresman
If there's no more JVs, which I don't believe will happen, then I would have to make sure that I have at least $1.5 billion sitting on the balance sheet going into -- by the end of 2013.
Brian C. Dutton - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division
So you'd be willing then to use the remainder for CapEx in 2013 if the situation was correct?
Randall K. Eresman
That's a 2013 question. That's a little premature.
We will now take questions from the media. Your first question comes from Bill Power with Halifax Herald.
Bill Power
I was hoping we could just share a few thoughts on Deep Panuke and its summer or mid-2012 production start.
Randall K. Eresman
Go ahead, Mike.
Michael G. McAllister
Yes. So as you understand, SBM is the operator of the production platform and are working on finishing [ph] that platform. Their estimate that they provided to us is summertime start up, and we haven't got any updates from them since that point. So we're still looking at a summer start.
Bill Power
And it wouldn't be affected by the efforts to sort of slow production in response to natural gas prices being down then?
Michael G. McAllister
We're looking for the best effort to get that production platform started up. We've made quite an investment into it.
Bill Power
Still keen then at this point to see things going as early as possible or summer as SBM has indicated?
Michael G. McAllister
Yes. It's from -- definitely from Encana's standpoint, yes.
Your next question comes from Carrie Tait with Globe and Mail.
Carrie Tait
In the analyst Q&A, someone asked you whether or not you'd be interested in selling the entire company, and your answer was that you'd like to unlock individually. But you didn't say yes or no. Does that mean that selling the entire company is being considered?
Randall K. Eresman
No, Carrie, it does not mean that we're considering selling the entire company at all. It really means that I believe that the stock price in the company is not -- or the value of the company is not reflected by the stock price. And we will demonstrate if we need to one play at a time how much value exists in this company, and we believe it to be a great deal more than the stock market reflects.
Carrie Tait
So that's off the table then?
Randall K. Eresman
It's off the table.
Carrie Tait
How long do you think it will be before people catch on? As you say, you keep selling one piece at a time to show the value of it. Is there a point where you run out of pieces?
Randall K. Eresman
Our inventory is very, very deep.
Carrie Tait
How long would you intend to sort of keep putting pieces up?
Randall K. Eresman
As long as there's an opportunity to continue to demonstrate value.
Your next question comes from Scott Haggett with Reuters.
Scott Haggett
Randy, I'm wondering if you can just comment on what you're seeing in terms of costs for frac-ing in the Eaglebine and Tuscaloosa. Are these -- as other producers step back, are they falling? Or are they on the rise as oil producers get more into it?
Randall K. Eresman
Thanks, Scott. It's good question. In our budget this year, we're forecasting very minimal increases in any of our cost structures in the organization. Generally speaking, I think we're pretty flat. And so that opportunity has, obviously, partially occurred from the fact that there has been a lot of pumping equipment being brought into the industry in the last little while, and there has also been a lot of slow down on the dry gas programs, which is not necessarily been picked up on the liquids-rich programs. So yes, the cost structures are not going up very dramatically this year at all. Maybe even flat to down.
Your next question comes from Edward Welsch with Dow Jones.
Edward Welsch
Randy, I'm just wondering on the additional 10% stake for the Cutbank, would that necessarily go to Mitsubishi? Or are you considering some other third party for that? And secondly, I was wondering if you could just detail the liquids-rich JVs, the Duvernay, are you doing it for all your -- looking for JVs for all your liquids-rich plays or just certain ones?
Randall K. Eresman
Okay. I'm going to have Bob Grant answer the first question. And on the second question, the plays that are in our liquids-rich JV opportunity right now, just the Duvernay in Canada and in the U.S., we have 4 of our plays that are fairly large in scope, and they include the Tuscaloosa marine shale, the Eaglebine, our Mississippian Lime position, as well as our position in the Collingwood, Utica in Michigan. Bob?
Robert A. Grant
Yes. With respect to the 10% of the Montney and the Cutbank Ridge Partnership, we do plan to broadly market that, and all parties are welcome to attend. We're looking forward to getting a deal done there, and we think it's a great asset.
Edward Welsch
Does Mitsubishi have some kind of special right to add to its current stake?
Robert A. Grant
No, they do not.
Randall K. Eresman
But we are trying to maintain a very favorable relationship with them.
Your next question comes from Dan Healing with Calgary Herald.
Dan Healing
Just had a quick question on the natural gas shut-ins. Can you give us any kind of a breakdown on the locations as far as where gas is being shut in, how much of it would be in Canada versus United States?
Randall K. Eresman
Yes, okay. At this point in time, about 2/3 of the gas that's shut in is in Canada, 1/3 in the U.S. It's basically all dry gas production. In Canada, I believe it's divided amongst our CBM, our Greater Sierra, Jean Marie play and...
Unknown Executive
And the dry gas play in the Deep basin.
Randall K. Eresman
Okay. And dry gas in the Deep Basin, and in the U.S., it's all Mid-Continent.
At this time, we have completed the question-and-answer session, and we'll turn the call back to Mr. McRitchie.
Ryder McRitchie
Thank you, everyone, for joining us today. Our conference call is now complete. I encourage you to listen in to our AGM presentation this afternoon. Thank you.
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text:
Quote:Good stuff Matt, I'm envious but I should get back to this shortly myself. I see you used the "Tree-Up" term, do you us this is class? I just assumed it was a term that we only used.
Quote:Very tired today, despite not seeming like a "hard" class.
Quote: School will be closed till after New years, for the holiday.
Quote:We did at least one other variation, but I can't remember for the life of me what it was.
Quote:Once we got done drilling that we did 3 kinds of chokes, I don't remember what the first was because things were coming at me pretty fast, the second was basically the rear naked choke (again can't remember what the actual term was for it), and the last was a lapel type of choke from the back that seemed quite potent if you can get it on.
Quote:When I did get taken down, I was able to get dominant position most of the time.
Quote: Weiner. You could submit the dog!! Dog-Oplata!! Hind leg lock! Collar choke!! Flea flicker!! Roll Rover Over!!...wait, that didn't sound right.
Quote:Thanks, Brian. I have enjoyed reading yours, too.
Quote: Tournament this Saturday!
Quote: Quote: Tournament this Saturday! Go get'um Mattski
Quote:I am somewhat embarassed to admit that I think I am the only one from my school that did not win one single match.
Quote:We also did some kind of sweep ending up in mount, don't remember the name. It was similar to the omoplata, with your leg coming up under the armpit of the opponent, and driving it foward and down to to roll the opponent over. I had a hard time with it, and didn't really get it down.
Quote:It is called the "leg grab rollover sweep". It is somewhat similar to the omoplata. It involves turning underneath the oppponent, and hooking under his armpit with your foot, and driving his head forward. Important to trap the opponent's far side arm so he can not post. Also important to roll the opponent forward over his head (ie; parallel to his spine, not perpendicular to it), and not sideways across his body, where he could post his leg out to stop the push.
Quote:Then we did some rare stand-up kicky-punchy stuff. Did a bit better with that!
Quote:Yes, but is he taller? sorry....
Quote:But now I (physically) understand that using momentum is the same in both stand-up and groundfighting.
Quote:Sounds dumb, I know. I just mean that now my body is starting to understand the intellectual relationship. "The door has been opened". Still have a long way to go with it!
Quote:Rest up but make sure you don't stiffen up so include some light stretching Matt. You already have a long record of training so there will be no problem for you once you decide to go back. While other with hiatus may quit, you won't so rest and get better my friend.
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S.A.S.S. (Safety, Awareness & Street Smarts) for Teen Girls - Wilton Library
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text:
Incredibly, after nearly three years of litigation and waiting, pregnancy care centers in Austin, Texas, got a favorable ruling from a federal court this week that struck down an ordinance which the Austin City Council passed unanimously. The local law required pregnancy care centers to post signs outside their doors in English and Spanish stating that they did not perform abortions nor refer for them and that they weren't a medical facility.
Why weren't the abortion clinics forced to say they don't perform mammograms or provide full prenatal care and options for women who are pregnant? Or that they have no problems pushing birth control on their clients?
The answer is simple: This ordinance was specifically designed to harass pregnancy care centers whose sole mission is to provide support for women in crisis pregnancies in need of help, women who maybe have nowhere else to turn. If the pregnancy centers did not post the signs, they faced huge fines in criminal court.
Because similar ordinances in Baltimore, Maryland and New York were also recently struck down, this wasn't a new way to harass these centers that provide free care for pregnant women and their unborn babies. Yet, the ideological bent on this particular ordinance in Austin was disturbing in that it specifically went after these pregnancy care centers in such a way that was intended to close their doors for good.
With last year's contentious filibuster on abortion rights from Wendy Davis over the bill that eventually passed and was signed into law, a law that has successfully closed many abortion clinics because they were unsafe for women, it is crucial that pregnant women have someplace to turn if they are facing a crisis pregnancy.
Pregnancy care centers, like the plaintiffs in the Austin lawsuit, provide real care and compassion to women and offer them alternatives to the life-ending procedure of abortion. This is a much-needed resource for women facing an unplanned pregnancy, and this ordinance in Austin specifically tried to take it away.
This decision underscores that the pro-abortion industry may not use the law to silence their opposition; every life is valuable and the volunteers and staff of pregnancy care centers make sacrifices daily to serve these women and babies in need.
The logic of this decision extends far beyond the borders of Austin as evidenced by the coordinated, yet unsuccessful, attacks across the nation. Why? Because the pro-life viewpoint offered by pregnancy resource centers is winning naturally across this entire nation. Women, on the whole, would rather get caring and compassionate help throughout their pregnancies-at no cost-instead of paying several hundred dollars to an abortion facility to kill their unborn child. As a result, the abortion industry is losing profits and the only option was for the abortion industry to co-opt the arm of government in order to silence their opposition.
For the pro-abortion crowd who profess a "war on women" is taking place, we don't disagree. In fact, we submit that the pro-abortion lobby is part of the problem causing this war on women. Trying to take away precious resources and care from a woman in distress who is facing an unplanned pregnancy is the very definition of harm. Abortion not only ends the life of the unborn child, but it can also hold serious and devastating physical, emotional, spiritual and psychological consequences for the mother. If the pro-abortion crowd is truly "pro-choice," why not support pregnancy care centers that give women other options?
Roe v. Wade goes both ways.
Editor's Note: Greg Terra and Stephen Casey are attorneys with the Texas Center for Defense of Life and represented Austin LifeCare, one of the pregnancy care centers involved in the Austin lawsuit.


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River Esk, North Yorkshire
River Esk
River Esk near its mouth at Whitby
|United Kingdom
|Country within the UK
|North Yorkshire
|- location
|The Esklets near Westerdale
|- coordinates
|- location
|North Sea at Whitby
|- coordinates
|54°29′33″N 0°36′44″W / 54.4925°N 0.6122°WCoordinates: 54°29′33″N 0°36′44″W / 54.4925°N 0.6122°W
|45 km (28 mi)
|362 km2 (140 sq mi) [1]
|for Sleights
|- average
|4.8 m3/s (170 cu ft/s) [2]
|- max
|350 m3/s (12,360 cu ft/s) [1]
|Wikimedia Commons: River Esk, North Yorkshire
The River Esk is a river in North Yorkshire, England that empties into the North Sea at Whitby after a course of around 28 miles (45 km) through the valley of Eskdale, named after the river itself.
Due to its rural nature, the river is clean and healthy, supporting a wealth of wildlife. Salmon spawn right up through Eskdale, and a number of "leaps" are provided to enable them to travel through weirs on the course. There are clearly visible examples at Ruswarp, where the tidal stretch through to Whitby begins and at Sleights. Around Whitby the Esk has a large population of sea trout, and the river is noted for freshwater pearl mussels, although these are threatened with extinction due to buildups of silt in the river.[3] The Esk is also the only major river in Yorkshire to drain directly into the North Sea.[4]
The river rises at the Esklets on Westerdale Moor in the North York Moors, flowing through Westerdale before merging with a large number of becks from the surrounding hills, including Tower, Baysdale, Sleddale, Danby, Great Fryup, Stonegate, Glaisdale and Murk becks. Running east through the valley known as Eskdale it leaves the moors via the villages of Sleights and Ruswarp, between which it forms the boundary of the North York Moors, and reaches the North Sea three miles later by bisecting the resort of Whitby.
Partway down the river at Danby Bridge, there is a ford in which vehicles can get trapped.[5]
Between the junction of Fryup Dale and Lealholm the river passes through a narrow, steep-sided and wooded valley known as Crunkly Ghyll. Here the river drops 100 feet (30 m) from the valley above to reach the village. Crunkly Ghyll was formed during the last great ice age as a huge wall of ice moved across the landscape carving out what is now the Esk Valley as far as Lealholm. [6] At its head it formed a massive dam blocking the flow of water from above and creating a lake running back up the valley to Commondale. As the ice melted, the river forced its way out carving the ravine we see today. In Victorian times, the Ghyll was home to a large rockery garden, open to the public, but long since washed away by flooding of the river.
The small villages along the river were at one time of great importance to the north-east, with coal[7] mined in the valleys, and iron ore dug from quarries on the surrounding moors.[8] Today, all that remains are the deserted mine shafts, though potash is mined, near Boulby, with tunnels running six miles beneath the sea, some of the deepest in Europe.
River Esk Tideway Bylaw 1987[edit]
Since 1987 a bylaw has been in place to protect dangerously dwindling populations of salmon and sea trout. The River Esk Tideway Bylaw 1987, prevents fishing for salmon and sea trout along the stretch of the Esk between Ruswarp and Whitby[9] known as the tideway. The Environment Agency enforces the byelaw under s210 and Schedule 25 of the Water Resources Act 1991. The bylaw was renewed in 1997 for 5 years, then again in 2002 for 10 years. After a peak of 924 rod-caught salmon per year in 1965, the number dropped to just 11 in 1989. This was due mainly to illegal poaching of stocks from this stretch under the guise of angling. Since the bylaw was introduced and enforced, the numbers of rod-caught salmon per year, further upstream, has increased each year (to 177 in 2010).[1]
from source
- Westerdale
- Castleton
- Ainthorpe
- Danby
- Lealholm
- Glaisdale
- Egton Bridge
- Grosmont
- Sleights
- Aislaby
- Briggswath
- Ruswarp
- Whitby
(flows into the North Sea)
The Esk Valley Walk runs along part of the length of the river.
- ^ a b c "River Esk Tideway Report 2011" (PDF). Environment-agency. 2011. Retrieved 3 July 2014.
- ^ "27050 - Esk at Sleights". The National River Flow Archive. Centre for Ecology & Hydrology. Retrieved 12 October 2013.
- ^ "Nurturing new life - Wonders of the Esk mussel". BBC. 28 November 2007. Retrieved 17 May 2008.
- ^ "ECN Freshwater Sites - River Esk". Environmental Change Network. Retrieved 17 May 2008.
- ^ fellsmanhiker (2008). "The river Esk ford at Danby Bridge N.Yorkshire Moors.". Groundspeak Inc. Retrieved 30 April 2008.
- ^ "Crunkly Ghyll". Yorkshiremoors.co.uk. 2013. Retrieved 2 October 2013.
- ^ Gill, M C. "The North Yorkshire Moors Coalfields" (PDF). PDMHS. Mining History. p. 34. Retrieved 7 January 2016.
- ^ "Industrial archaeology". www.northyorkmoors.org.uk. Retrieved 7 January 2016.
- ^ "Bylaw banning River Esk fishing to be extended". Whitby Gazette. Johnston Publishing. 29 July 2011. Retrieved 11 November 2015.
External links[edit]
|Wikimedia Commons has media related to River Esk, North Yorkshire.


text: Culture 8 March 2010 Point Omega Twenty-five years ago, in White Noise, Don DeLillo perfected a distinctive, paranoid style. His new Sign up for our weekly email * Don DeLillo took an eventful run-up to writing the four books that established him as the beadiest and canniest of American novelists. He spent the 1970s palming around for an exciting subject and a fruitful approach, and eventually found both in White Noise (1985) and parts of both in Libra (1988), Mao II (1991) and Underworld (1997). His earlier novels take aim at industries and state apparatuses - journalism, espionage - yet he proved less adept at exposing secret machinations than at tracing the shadows they cast on the public stage. DeLillo is an excavator, a pathfinder - a specialist in the "secret history" of observable phenomena and recorded facts. There has been a corresponding process of abdication over the years since Underworld - signs of contracting appetite and of what the author himself (diagnosing a CIA operative in Libra) called "motivational exhaustion". DeLillo's dream of purpose was comprehensively realised in his loose, four-part work concerning the atmosphere of panic and dread that prevailed in the US between the 1950s and the 1980s - an atmosphere that made the idea of American reality such a slippery beast. Too slippery, thought Philip Roth and Norman Mailer, for the novelist to capture it. But DeLillo managed to. The solution was an obvious one. DeLillo squared up to American reality on its own turf and terms, made his fiction a repository for catastrophes greater and absurdities sillier than those thrown up at the time of writing. Confronted with the Zapruder footage of the Kennedy assassination, the stoners in Underworld are amazed that "there were forces in the culture that could out-imagine them, make their druggiest terrors seem futile and cheap". By the time he wrote that scene, DeLillo had already succeeded in out-imagining the culture. In White Noise and then Mao II, he practised a form of satire at once dark and daft - though more or less prophetic, as things turned out. He also performed a thorough job of revealing what the culture had "imagined". Woody Allen used to joke that he was working on a non-fiction version of the Warren Commission report: DeLillo spun a vast novel - Libra - out of the uncharted conduct of Oswald, Ruby and the crooks and spooks who puppeteered them. Underworld - vaster still - portrayed the whole of American society during the cold war as a single network connected by germs and baseball and the bomb. As J Edgar Hoover reflects in the novel's opening scene: "All these people formed by language and climate and popular songs and breakfast foods and the jokes they tell and the cars they drive have never had anything in common so much as this, that they are sitting in the furrow of destruction." Often DeLillo's greatest strengths and most compulsive discoveries are hard to distinguish from all that is fraudulent and tiring in his work. He proceeds from a belief that paranoia still exists, despite the legitimate causes for vigilance; yet his fiction can be as anxious and obsessive as his characters. At times, he is plainly contradictory, practising what he preaches against - for instance, he worries about dehumanisation in unfeeling prose. In different ways, DeLillo has enabled the work of writers such as Jonathan Franzen, James Ellroy and Richard Powers, who has written an introduction to the Penguin Classics 25th-anniversary edition of White Noise. But he might also be held accountable for the pitiful voodoo fictions of Paul Auster and the enormities of Salman Rushdie's recent work. The most crucial area of overlap or conflation is the one between DeLillo's gift for analysis and his taste for hollow theorising and mystic mouthwash. The narrator of Libra summarises the possibilities of the former: "Our lives, examined carefully in all their affinities and links, abound with suggestive meaning, with themes and involute turnings we have not allowed ourselves to see completely." DeLillo favours this empirical approach. But he also displays a fondness for theology and theory. His idea of the conspiracy or human network is little more than a quasi-secular spin on the belief that all mankind is one. At its best and worst, DeLillo's fiction aspires to make sense of chaos. His new novel, Point Omega, is a slight yet heavy-going work, underpinned by the somewhat conjectural evolutionary theories of the Jesuit priest and philosopher Pierre Teilhard de Chardin. It opens and closes with a pair of passages, set on consecutive days in September 2006 and entitled "Anonymity 1" and "Anonymity 2", in which a man is described watching a video installation that plays Hitchcock's Psycho at roughly two frames per second. DeLillo believes that Douglas Gordon's 24-Hour Psycho yields powerful new ways of thinking about perception in relationship to time and images, whereas in fact it merely illustrates ways of thinking with which he has long been familiar. In "Anonymity 1", we hear a hollow DeLilloan sound, previously audible throughout Cosmopolis (2003) and in parts of Falling Man (2007) and Mao II: T he film made him feel like someone watching a film. The meaning of this escaped him. He kept feeling things whose meaning escaped him. But this wasn't truly film, was it, in the strict sense. It was videotape. But it was also film. In the broader meaning he was watching a film, a more or less moving picture. The novel proper - its 83-page bulk - concerns the relationship between the narrator, a young film-maker and the prospective subject of his next documentary, Richard Elster, a 73- year-old academic who advised the Pentagon on the Iraq war. Elster is a false prophet, yet he is accorded the respect of extensive quotation and paraphrase. "Cities were built to measure time, to remove time from nature." "Real time is meaningless. The phrase is meaningless. There's no such thing." "We're a crowd, a swarm. We think in groups, travel in armies . . . Father Teilhard knew this, the omega point. A leap out of our biology." Elster floats these musings from his outpost in the California desert. His daughter appears and then disappears. Finally, we return to our initial position, watching the man watching 24-Hour Psycho, "thinking into the film, into himself. Or was the film thinking into him, spilling through him like some kind of runaway brain fluid?" A quarter-century and a vast difference in rigour and irony separate Point Omega from White Noise, Richard Elster from Jack Gladney: I am the chairman of Hitler studies at the College-on-the-Hill. I invented Hitler studies in North America in March of 1968. It was a cold bright day with intermittent winds out of the east. When I suggested to the chancellor that we might build a whole department around Hitler's life and work, he was quick to see the possibilities. It was an immediate and electrifying success. The chancellor went on to serve as adviser to Nixon, Ford and Carter before his death on a ski lift in Austria. Jack is married to Babette, and the two of them live together with an assortment of children from their previous marriages. Jack describes his ex-wives as "a self-absorbed and high-strung bunch, with ties to the intelligence community". And: "Sweet deceivers. Tense, breathy, high-cheekboned, bilingual." One of these former wives, Dana Breedlove, reviewed fiction for the CIA, "mainly long serious novels with coded structures". Babette is a breeze by comparison. For example, she makes only one stipulation regarding the "sexy stuff" she reads aloud in bed: "I don't want you to choose anything that has men inside women, quote-quote, or men entering women . . . I don't care what these people do as long as they don't enter or get entered." By day, Jack teaches a class in advanced Nazism, while surreptitiously studying German in preparation for a three-day Hitler conference to take place the following spring ("Actual Germans would be in attendance"). The novel explores the destruction of certain kinds of conventional values in 1980s America. In the first section, Jack provides an amusing and unsettling introduction to his ramshackle nuclear family and to American academe in the age of cultural studies ("an Aristotelianism of bubblegum wrappers and detergent jingles"). Then the town is assailed by the so-called airborne toxic event, initially thought to cause heart palpitations and déjà vu. A mesmerising central chapter describes events of the evacuation, during which Jack is exposed to Nyodene Derivative, a slow killer. And then everything returns to normal, give or take. Coming to terms with his own incipient illness, Jack discovers that Babette has been taking Dylar, an experimental drug designed to eradicate fear of death. One of the side effects is the inability to distinguish between events and their description, but most of the characters have already been frazzled by television. Jack's house is permanently abuzz with deranged digressional chatter - what his colleague from the popular culture department calls "the other-worldly babble of the American family". This lifestyle has temptations as well as dangers. Jack may be repelled by the TV-inspired babble, but in a moment of potential panic, he soothes himself with the certainties of "TV floods": "I'm not just a college professor. I'm the head of a department. I don't see myself fleeing an airborne toxic event." And when Babette transfixes a group of evacuees by reading the predictions of tabloid psychics, Jack derives an unexpected sense of comfort: Look at us, I thought. Forced out of our homes, sent streaming into the bitter night, pursued by a toxic cloud, crammed together in makeshift quarters, ambiguously death-sentenced. We'd become part of the stuff of media disaster. The small audience of the old and blind recognised the predictions of the psychics as events so near to happening that they had to be shaped in advance to our needs and wishes. Out of some persistent sense of large-scale ruin, we kept inventing hope. The real source of tension is not whether Jack will die, but whether he has contracted the pernicious strain of postmodernism that afflicts everyone around him. "Now is where I tell you to pay in the outer office," he is informed at the end of a doctor's appointment. A state programme called SIMUVAC uses the real evacuation as a model for simulations: "We don't have our victims laid out where we'd want them if this were an actual simulation. . . . You have to make allowances for the fact that everything you see tonight is real." Despite the ubiquity of unreason, Jack is intent on retaining his sense of reality. But the pathogens lurk within his home, and he shows the symptoms of contamination. Towards the end, he observes one child kicking a football and another taking off his socks: "How literary, I thought peevishly. Streets thick with the details of impulsive life as the hero ponders the latest phase in his dying." Before the chapter is out, he describes the seasons changing "in sombre montage". Such dark terrors notwithstanding, White Noise continues to inspire feelings of nostalgia - for a time when postmodernism was merely a threat, and Don DeLillo was a more grounded and thus more illuminating writer - a satirist rather than a shaman. Point Omega Don DeLilloPicador, 128pp, £14.99 White Noise Don DeLilloPenguin Classics USA, 336pp, $16 Leo Robson is the New Statesman's lead fiction reviewer Defining moments 1936 Born to Italian-American parents in the Bronx1960 Publishes his first short story, "The River Jordan", in Epoch, the literary magazine of Cornell University1971 Publishes his first novel, Americana1979 Awarded a Guggenheim fellowship1985 Publishes White Noise2009 Receives Common Wealth Award for Literature Leo Robson is the lead fiction reviewer for the New Statesman. Subscribe from just £1 per issue This article first appeared in the 08 March 2010 issue of the New Statesman, Game on More


text:
Maybe time travel could be possible
Q: I believe Einstein's General Relativity Theory mathematically
proved that time travel into the past is impossible. Do the recent experiments
showing that light can be slowed, then returned to its normal speed, have any
theoretical implications for time travel?
A: Yes, according to Ronald Mallett, theoretical physicist and professor at
the University of Connecticut, recent experiments slowing light's speed may
make time-travel feasible. Mallet thinks he can harness slow-light energy and
turn the future into the past.
You're somewhat mistaken, however, about Einstein proving time travel impossible.
Instead, his general theory of relativity describes how matter warps space-time.
It's theoretically possible to distort the space-time we live in enough to create
a time-travel path (called a closed timelike curve). Walking along such a path
loop, you would find your watch running forward as normal but you would eventually
reach the place-time you started.
Mallett thinks time travel is not merely theoretically possible
but doable , given the speed-of-light breakthrough. He and
a group of scientists at University of Connecticut are designing the first experiment
to test Mallett's ideas. They plan to build a time-travel device.
Matter distorts space and time. Clocks, for example, run slower in Earth's
gravitational field than they do in outer space. Get a really massive object,
say the Universe, spinning and you can twist space and time into a ring. So
time, instead of marching straight ahead in a line from past to future, curves
around. The future can meet the past and you, following the ring, can return
to a particular moment.
The energy requirements totally rule out this approach. Rotate the Universe?
Forget it. Mallett knows, though, he doesn't need mass. He can use light. Light
causes space to bend. Last year Mallett published a paper in Physics Letters
describing how a circulating laser beam creates a vortex in space within
its circle. The bent laser light actually causes space to whirl around like
a twister within the circle.
Mallett deduced that, if he adds a second laser beam shining in the opposite
direction and increases its intensity enough, he can warp time into a loop.
Unfortunately, once again the energy required is out of reach.
Then he saw an answer. His equations show the slower the
light moves within the laser circle, the more space and time distort. Bingo.
He can get the needed energy from slow-moving light. The whole
crazy notion suddenly became maybe, just maybe, feasible.
In February 1999, Lene Hua and a team at Rowland Institute for Science succeeded
slowing light to 38 miles per hour-a galloping zebra goes faster. Mallett plans
to use their results in his experiment.
However, J. Richard Gott, professor of astrophysical sciences at Princeton
University and author of Time Travel in Einstein's Universe , cautions
"One has to distinguish between the speed of light in empty space, which is
a constant, and through a medium, which can be less. Light travels more slowly
through water than through empty space but this does not mean that you age more
slowly while scuba diving or that it is easier to twist space-time underwater.
"The experiments done so far don't lower the speed of light in empty space;
they just lower the speed of light in a medium and should not make it easier
to twist space-time. Thus, it should not take any less mass-energy to form a
black hole or a time machine of a given size in such a medium."
William Stwalley (Mallett's department head), Mallett, and a team of cold-atom
researchers plan their attack in stages. First they will trap a particle in
a light circle and observe its spin. Then they will add the second light beam
and observe. Mallett doesn't know what to expect but hopes for some evidence
of time travel. Perhaps the spinning particle will be joined by another spinning
particle-itself, from the future.
"...maybe backward time travel is possible, but only up to the moment
that time travel is invented. We haven't invented it yet, so they can't come
to us. They can come to as far back as whatever it would be, say A.D. 2300,
but not further back in time." -Carl Sagan, NOVA interview
(Answered by April Holladay, science correspondent, June 20, 2001)


text:
Dubbed Galaxy Tab 3 Lite, the slate is rumored to have a 3G variation only, unlike the LTE radios in the PRO tabs, which can be expected at its speculated low price of EUR 100 or $129. The cheapest member of the bunch will allegedly appear the soonest, carrying a 7" display, and a Cream White or black chassis.
The Galaxy Tab 3 Lite is also to sport a 1024x600 display resolution, 1.2 GHz Cortex-A9 processor, 1 GB of RAM, 3 MP camera and Android 4.2. Samsung's cheapest tablet is said be released in the first quarter, giving the $150 Acer Iconia A1 a run for its money.
source: Digitimes


text:
The current building was constructed in the 1920's by the Freemasons whose Grand Lodge is situated directly opposite (they also own most of the street). For many years it was home to the Royal Masonic Trust for Girls and Boys and there is rumoured to be an underground tunnel between the two which was used to transport money to the vault in the basement. The building was vacated by the RMTGB in 2009 when the Freemasons' charities were centralised within the Grand Lodge. Inferno are their first tenants.
As you can see from the 'before' pictures its gone through quite a facelift. Inferno has done a really beautiful job of creating something modern and fresh, whilst still holding onto some of the history that the building oozes. What really makes it special is the attention to detail such as the painstakingly hand-painted meeting room names, and of course being on Great Queen Street, they are all named after Great Queens such as Victoria and Cleopatra. My personal favorites have to be the bar and cafe areas, affectionately known as Elton's and Quentin's respectively.


text:
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text:
yolandey breedt
yolandey breedt (1987/05/04 / south africa)
If Only - Poem by yolandey breedt
if only i knew what your mind was saying
and understood what your heart was feeling
than i would not have to look into your eyes
and wonder if you feel what i do
i may not know what i wish i knew
as you leave me constantly fighting with all the voices in my head
and all the emotions in my heart
that keeps me wondering if only
if only if only if only
i really knew what you were feeling
Poet's Notes about The Poem
to me theres more to life and love that really meets the eye an even though we will never know what life holds its alright to keep wondering if you can me loved by more than one person if only you understood them.
Comments about If Only by yolandey breedt
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Poem Submitted: Friday, July 12, 2013
Poem Edited: Friday, July 12, 2013
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Stopping By Woods On A Snowy Evening
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A Dream Within A Dream
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text:
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Watch out for a last tango in the Big Brother house when Maria the latin dance teacher turns up.
Pre-operation Mexican transsexual Miriam, of There's Something About ... fame, will arrive at the Gold Coast house tonight for four days of fun and frolic with the housemates on the Channel Ten series.
But she admits the Australian men in the house might be a bit harder to fool than the British men who thought she was the real thing in Something About Miriam, so she will be known as Maria.
But Miriam says she isn't out to fool anyone in the Big Brother house and just wants to spend some time with the guys and the girls there.
"They probably know who I am because they might have heard about me or seen pictures," she said. "I might be recognised as soon as I walk in."
Asked about reports that she already had eyes for housemates Ryan and Kane, Miriam, or should it be Maria, became a little coy.
"I have to see them in person - I have to see the whole package," she said.
"It will be fun and basically I just want to go there and have so much fun and I'm going to tease them and I'm going to be a bad girl so we'll see what happens."
Miriam said she was prepared to join in all the activities inside the house.
And what happens when, or if, someone discovers her secret?
"I will laugh when they find out," she said.
"It will be great for me because then I will be able to explain to them."
Miriam said after her stay in the Big Brother house she would fly to London for filming on another project she was involved in before heading home to Mexico for a few days and then back to New York.
She will be unleashed on the only 10 people in Australia who aren't supposed to know her secret tonight on Ten at 7.30pm.
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