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drywall and installer both cracked
I've been reviewing a lot of the older posts around recurring drywall cracks. I have one hairline crack (vertical) that just appeared.
I guess I broke a couple of the cardinal rules (1) I used mesh tape instead of paper, which I gather a lot of you frown on, and (2) the seam is right dead center under a tall casement window (I gather you should keep drywall seams away from over / under doors and windows). But here's the thing: I have 3 other windows with same install method and since install a couple years ago they have no issues to date. In fact his particular window also was fine until this past month. I had it all primed for a couple years, finally got my trim, flooring, etc. in and room almost finished. I did a final re-inspect on the walls for any marks, damage, etc, before I rolled on the top coat. Almost 100% done and then this crack appears. Like it was just waiting for me to finish just to pi$$ me off.
I rarely ever open any of these windows, which makes me think that a lot of window movement isn't really a factor.
I'm thinking of just making a bit of a v-groove in the crack, mudding, sanding, a touch of primer, and repainting along that vertical spot. I used a latex flat so I think I can get a way with re-applying a touch up paint in one spot (not repainting the whole wall). I really don't want to tear off the baseboard, window trim, etc. and re-tape. Are there any new products / techniques / etc that can help me out here? Thanks for having the patience to read yet another drywall cracking plea for help....
Sherwin williams has a product called "Stress Crack Tape" comes in a little box not a roll. Is very DIY friendly and easy to make disappear. May be what you are looking for.
Thanks ToolSeeker - is this available in box stores? not sure if there's a SW dealer / paint store near me...
the mesh tape did not cause your crack. Neither did the fact that the seam was located under a window. Don't automatically assume the reason for your problem is something you read. Wood framing shrinks, sometimes studs stick in or out a bit, could be a slew of reasons for your crack.
Mike Hawkins:)
firehawk - thanks for the reply. I did assume based on many other posts on the subject, but you're right I don't know the root cause for certain. I'm finally getting to the point where I can finish the room, after a couple years, and now it cracks. I really hate to tear back into it now, but maybe I have no choice? Almost thinking a quick repair, then tackle it again when I repaint in a few years, as I'm getting tired of the never-ending project. or just my luck, I'll repair, repaint, re-trim, then another crack will appear on another spot. Sorry for rambling on...
OK I might as well start the argument. Yes mesh tape could have caused the crack. If you take a piece of mesh tape, grab the ends and pull it has tremendous strength. But if you grab opposing corners and pull very slightly it has no strength. The point being on a vertical seam any movement at all will cause cracking. And around any door or window is subject to slight movement.
I don't know how to move the link over here but the website for the tape is
StepSaverProducts.com they have videos and can maybe tell you of a local distributor.
If you try that product, let us know the outcome... Did a quick search of reviews; http://reviews.homedepot.com/1999/20...ws/reviews.htm
Sounds as if a skim coat is required to hide the ragged (on purpose) edges or they will show on smooth walls (or the smooth strip down the center), and the material is stretchy that could easily leave a blister or ridges when a crack tightens back up. Usually because of humidity changes causing shrinkage with wood framing; http://www.paintsource.net/pages/sol...ood_shrink.htm
Mesh cracks at less movement; "In the case of paper tape, approximately 30 lb./lin. in. of tensile force (pulling apart) is required to break the tape with no measurable movement or elongation (no stretching). On the other hand, glass-fiber tape elongates (stretches like a rubber band) 0.03" before reaching maximum or breaking load of 70 lb./lin. in.
Research investigation has shown that hairline cracks or nail pops are visible at 0.01" of movement with veneer plaster system joints treated with glass-fiber tape. Actual load at that amount of movement is only 20 lb./lin. in. or about 30% less than the breaking load of paper tape (with no movement). As such, paper tape provides greater joint strength and is recommended where greater movement and shrinkage is anticipated." From: http://www.usg.com/rc/technical-arti...ems-en-PM5.pdf
Did you force the setting-type compound into the mesh when applied, or just wipe it smooth over the mesh; http://www.usg.com/rc/data-submittal...ata-MH1178.pdf You didn't use a drying-type mud that could show a crack after the wet paint is applied? I've had that happen in a bathroom because of the moist environment, setting-type is unaffected by water/moisture later. Mesh requires "hot" (chemical setting-type) mud, and should only be used on flat, tapered joints-not butts, perfect for MH's; http://www.usg.com/rc/installation-a...-en-MH1216.pdf
Do you own a moisture meter, you could check that joint for moisture/water from the window leaking into the wall framing above, at least you could rule out that possibility.
Guys thanks for the additional info. Gary I used a dura bond compound on the mesh tape (1st coat - worked it right into the tape). That was followed by regular mud (I think it was 3 coats I applied). Then primer and paint. I read that starting with the dura bond and mesh makes a strong joint. Did I screw up on using the drying mud to finish it? Maybe should have used Sheetrock 90 or something like that?
No you didn't screw up the reason we don't normally recommend the dura bond is it is harder to work with than the EZ sand. But if you used it and it came out good then you have the strongest joint.
Lot of Garys around here, lol. TS answered correctly. Imperative to use setting-type with at least first coat, I use it on all coats and for orange peel texture with patches for one day finish including prime and paint. The durabond is for interior/exterior because it is so water resistant, even on concrete racquetball/handball courts, pp.2; http://www.usg.com/rc/installation-a...s-en-J1780.pdf
Did you discover the reason it cracked yet? If a structural crack, just filling the crack with compound will not work long-term- need paper tape/setting compound. I'm very surprised it opened up now because it is the hardest one out there, even with mesh tape, it shouldn't have opened up. This link has both paper tape and mesh tape joint coverage and repair after varying degrees of lateral stress were placed on the wall sections. Only as an example of tape bubbling from that force;http://www.curee.org/projects/EDA/do...A03-public.pdf
Pictures of your problem would help us...
GBR - thanks for the links. Off topic - there's an interesting bit of info in the CUREE paper about orientation of drywall vs wall strength e.g. wall is 50% stronger when drywall is applied horizontally. I'm sure I've seen that topic debated a few times, if I recall.
Anyway, apologies for no pics (had no camera with me at this location). I do have some interesting info though (I think). The crack almost appears to be along the right side of the tape, as opposed to the middle of the tape / joint (???)
Got me scratching my head and thinking back now - I might have done a bit of surface damage to this area on one side - scuffed or tore the top layer of paper a bit - and probably used a sharp utility knife / straight edge a couple inches right of the joint to tear the loose bits on the surface back to a clean edge. The tape wasn't wide enough to go over that line so I kinda have tape edge and paper edge meeting up there. Hope I'm making sense. I think this is where the crack is. I didn't want to leave bits of loose paper around the joint but maybe I should have left it alone. I doubt I would have cut into the drywall enough to score it, but just enough to peel the paper back to a clean line. I think this maybe was where I went wrong...?
If I'm reading this right then all you need to do is feather your mud out past where this happened by about 4" and it should be OK
Thanks TS - since this is a butt joint (i hung the drywall horizontal on that wall) I thought I had done an ok job feathering the mud out pretty wide on both sides - it looked ok for @ 2 years but maybe I just made the coat too thin and I got lucky until now.
If I try to feather out another coat on top of what's there now, I have a few questions:
Is Sheetrock 90 or 45 (or 20) similar to the EZ Sand product (or is it the same thing?)?
Can I feather out new compound over the existing latex paint?
Should I route out the crack first, or just leave it as is and mud right over?
Thanks again for taking the time to help out....
Butt joints are hard to cover the reason is on the long sides of drywall sheets they are tapered so when put side by side they form a valley this is where your mud and tape goes so when filled it makes a smooth place. On the ends of the
sheet they are cut square so now when you tape and mud you have a hump.
I would scuff up the paint a little and mud over it.
Since this has already been mudded I would use the all purpose mud in the green lid bucket. Hope this help.
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With the announcement of Tata Nano House, internet users across India are searching for Tata Nano Home website or the ways to book the new Nano Homes. But, unfortunately, Tata has not yet started the bookings for the World's cheapest housing plan. Moreover Tata's Housing website is also not providing any details.
Tata announced its new plan to build low-cost homes on Friday, Jul 15. Tata is planning to make homes in rural parts of India, which faces more shortage of housings. The 2001 census places the rural housing shortage figure in India at 1.48 crore.
Company said that there are two models, the basic model at Rs 32,000 with 20 sq metres and the upgraded model at Rs 44,000 with 30 sq metres. If you have a patch of land, the house can be built in seven days. The company is also planning other models with a solar panel on the roof of the house.
"At present, the housing project is in the pilot stage in 30 locations spread across the country and we are in discussions with various agencies like Coir Board, Jute Board and also State governments," Sumitesh Das, head global research programme of Tata Steel, said.
OneIndia News

subset: commoncrawl


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Sodom's Tom Angelripper Looks Back on "Agent Orange"
Twenty-one years ago, Sodom released a thrash-metal beast in Agent Orange. Recently reissued by SPV as a two-disc deluxe edition with bonus tracks galore, the record has become one of the genre's triumphs, becoming what's rumored to be Germany's best-selling thrash-metal album. The band wouldn't last, though. Guitarist Frank Blackfire would leave soon after to join Kreator, and drummer Chris Witchhunter, who passed away in 2008, would leave the band in 1992. Here, vocalist-bassist Tom Angelripper—the band's sole original member—looks back.
REVOLVER Why do you think Agent Orange was so successful?
TOM ANGELRIPPER I remember that we had been on tour at that time and we got phone call from our label. They informed us about the chart entry. We were surprised, because we entered the charts as the first metal band ever! That was awesome. Now we got the respect we deserved but we didn't do the music for any labels or the music industry; we did it for the fans. Agent Orange also changed my life in one important way. That was the right album at the right time and got a good-selling album. From that time I quit my job in the coalmine, where I had been since 1979. My dream came true to live just from the music and spent all my time for touring and rehearsing with the band.
What do you think of the album today?
It represents the spirit of the end '80s. But it's not my favorite Sodom album. Every album marks another step in our career and history. We also love to play a couple of these songs in the current set list. The title track is a real classic.
Coming out of Persecution Mania, what did you want to do differently on Agent Orange?
The songwriting was the same like it was on Persecution Mania, but the production was better and more powerful. We mixed the tracks in a different studio in Hannover, a state of the art recording in that times. But also SPV did a great job, and they started a big promotion campaign hat helped us to get more respect from the magazines and promoters.
Why were you so fascinated with the Vietnam War, which influenced many of the album's lyrics?
I`ve been always interested in history and I try to describe the bad things in this world without any political opinion or message. I know that we can`t change the world, but to be a singer in a thrash band gives me the opportunity to scream it out. Vietnam is just symbolic for all the wars in this world
Why did guitarist Frank Blackfire leave after this release?
I think he had a good friendship with Kreator, and they offered him to join the band for the upcoming U.S. tour. That was very sad, 'cause we also booked a sold-out European tour. Many years later he told me that he was unable to work with Chris [Witchhunter, drums] anymore, 'cause of massive problems during the recording session to Agent Orange. But nowadays I am still in contact with him. I've organized reunions over the years. I like it so much to talk about the good old times with all the ex-members.
You've said you're still friends with Frank. How has his opinion of the album changed over the years?
He always tell me that he is proud to be a strong part of the Sodom history and he will never forget the good old times.
What are your fondest memories of writing or recording Agent Orange?
I remember that there was a personal crisis brewing between the Frank and Chris. During the the last days they didn't had any conversation, 'cause Frank was pissed off about Witchhunter`s attitudes. It's possible that he got the offer to join Kreator at this time, but he wanted to finish the production. In this bad atmosphere, we got drunk every day to get the same level. Harris [Johns, producer] was very disappointed about the situation, but he always pushed us to bring it to the end, but the problems got so massive and our anger discharged by destroying the whole hotel equipment. But anyway, we did it, and finished the production as professional as possible.
Interview by Kory Grow
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Try baking these cinnamon and ginger spiced biscuits created by Shelina Permalloo. Traditionally these are eaten at the Dutch festival "Sinterklaas" on 5th December.
Key Information
- Prep:
- Bake:
- Serves:8
- Skill level:easy
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- 160g 5⅝ oz Plain white flour (we use Allinson) Plain white flour
- 1tsp 1tsp Cinnamon ground
- 1tsp 1tsp Ginger (ground)
- 1tsp 1tsp Mixed spice
- 1tsp 1tsp Baking powder
- pinch pinch Salt
- 100g 3½ oz Butter (unsalted)
- 70g 2½ oz Unrefined molasses sugar (we use Billington's) Unrefined molasses sugar
- 4tsp 4tsp Milk (whole)
The Method Enter Bake mode
Classic mode Step 1
Preheat the oven to 180°C (160°C fan, gas mark 4).
Classic mode Step 2
In a large mixing bowl rub in the flour and butter using the tips of your fingers until you create a very fine crumble.
Classic mode Step 3
Add all the other ingredients to the bowl and mix until it comes together as a dough.
Classic mode Step 4
Once combined turn it out onto a lightly floured work surface and roll the dough out to a thickness of about 2/3cm.
Classic mode Step 5
Using an 8cm cookie cutter, cut discs from the dough and place onto a baking tray lined with parchment paper or a silicone mat.
Classic mode Step 6
Place in the oven and bake the biscuits for 10-15 minutes until golden brown.


text:
Andy Janning
President and CEO, NO NET Solutions, Brownsburg, Indiana
About Andy
Andy Janning, president and founder of NO NET Solutions, is a financial services veteran with over 25 years of management and executive leadership experience.
He's an eight-time state and national award winner for overall excellence in organizational development and a sought-after speaker at credit union, human resources, training, and healthcare conferences across the country.
In addition to serving as an editor for CU Water Cooler, Andy is a regular contributor to CUinsight, CU Management, CU Times, and other industry publications.
He's a professional voiceover artist, former credit union executive, stage and radio actor, published author, and former crisis and suicide counselor.
He stinks at golf but loves spending time with his family and friends back home in Indiana.
Andy's tagged stories
Andy's articles
Andy's recommended reading
Please note that these are Amazon affiliate links. The little bit of money made off of the sale of these books is put directly into making the annual CU Water Cooler Symposium more affordable.


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text: Senior citizen applicants, aged 62 or older, are provided a full tuition scholarship by Northern Michigan University. The scholarship covers tuition only for on-campus classes; it does not provide for books, fees or tuition for off-campus or Web-based classes, and cannot be combined with other NMU scholarships. To be eligible for this program, the senior citizen should submit an Application for Admission (no application fee) to the Office of Graduate Education. Students should then register for courses in the Student Service Center, 2201 C.B. Hedgcock or on-line.


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Young Girl Loves Horses So Much
So I bring her to my village and fuck her in stable... HardOn Guarantee!
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This was judgment day for her.
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So young, so crazy and shameless... Nice to see ;)
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Teen girl fuck her boyfriend for the first time.
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But she didn't know that everything what boy have, it belongs to daddy too.
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The people in this morgue really cross the line with this girl.


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Wildebeest creates the perfect present for new dog parents.
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Well, I did it again. Surprised both mom and dad today. What do you expect? I have been with them for a whole year now. Just celebrated my 1 year anniversary of my adoption and my 3d birthday. I gotta keep life interesting.
Mom and dad were sitting in the living room eating lunch and talking. Us three girls were just hanging out waiting for handouts. I decided that I would surprise them all. I went up to the side of moms recliner and started scratching it, dancing and "talking" to her to let her know that I wanted up in the chair with her. I have never done this before. Dad asked if I wanted help and I turned and looked at him and continued to dance and "talk". He came over, picked me up and put me on moms lap. I proceeded to go over to the side on her leg, where Joi usually lays and layed down. Dads mouth dropped to the floor and mom was speechless. Finally, dad said" has she ever done that before" meaning layed down in the chair with mom, and mom replied " no never". I just smiled and continued to look like the Diva that I am and pretended I didn't hear a thing. I actually stayed there with mom for about fifteen minutes and it felt good. I never knew what I had been missing. I just might have to do that again. What fun!
Until next time.
Hugs -n- Kisses
One of our best pals on Dogster, six months old Casper the friendly Pom, has a severe heart condition and needs $2,800 for his heart surgery or he will live another 6 months at the most. His heart is not pumping blood properly and the doctor wants to do the surgery the second week of September. You can read more about Casper in his diary at:
You can also join the group Have A Heart to help save Casper at
Hope to see you there!
Hello Everypup. I have been tagged by my friend Maddy.
Time to answer 4 questions in my diary and tag 4 friends.
Name 4 places where you have lived (or stayed at)
1. Marianna, FL
2. Ocala, Fl.
3. A wood pile for several days in the rain somewhere
4. Under a bed for several months after being attacked by 3 yorkies.
Name the 4 jobs that you have:
1. Announcer/ Let everyone know when someone comes to the house
2. Reminder/ Remind mom when it's dinner time not to forget to feed us.
3. Protector/ Keep track of Nikki and protect her from all harm.
4. Growler/ Growl at daddy whenever he comes into the bedroom with mom and me.
Name 4 places that you have been. (Vacation)
1. Adairsville, GA (Grandma & Grandpa's )
2. Marietta, Ga (Uncle Bill's )
3. Gainesville, Fl ( Friends of moms & dads)
4. Dothan, AL
Name 4 places you would rather be:
1. In mommys arms.
2. In mommys and daddys bed
3. At my favorite pet store- For Pets Sake
4. At Grandma & Grandpa's house
I'm tagging the following friends:
Brandy III #509573
Peanut #495189
Foxy #570021
Tribble #412849
Copyright © I-5 Publishing, LLC. All rights reserved.
Visit Catster


text:
Alaali brauchte ein neues Logo Design und hat einen Wettbewerb auf 99designs gestartet.
Aus 144 Designs von 40 Designern wurde eine Gewinner gewählt.
The logo will be used in Arabic website (http://www.bsinjo.com) It is for Bahraini students who are studying in Jordan.
I want the logo to be simple but give an idea about the website which are about students. Bahraini students who are studying in Jordan. however I don't want the logo to be complex because I may use it in the future for business cards and stamps.
- Simple but meaningful- modern Logo
- just symbols
- No words. (It is for an arabic website so I don't want to have English words on the logo)


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The 8th annual Windsor Wade & Tea Fair will take place ONLINE ONLY on October 19 - 20, 2013. See vendors below!
There is NO Admission Fee for the online fair.
We have our Show Special Wade mini teapot and Admission Wade pearl corgi available for sale online, and you'll also be able to view and buy from our Wade and Tea vendors right from this page!
Patti's Treasures will still be having her LIVE fair specials at her location on Poquonock Avenue Saturday and Sunday. She always has lots of unique Wades, tea cups and her amazing selection of jewelry, antiques and more. Visit Patti's in Windsor! PaulaWalla will be selling her tea and accessories there too!


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FLAGSTAFF, Ariz. – The Northern Arizona University Athletics Department has released the dates of the NAU Coaches Luncheon for the 2013 Fall Semester. The first coaches luncheon will be held on Wednesday, August 21. All luncheons will be from 12 p.m. to 1 p.m. at Collins Irish Pub located at 2 N. Leroux St. in downtown Flagstaff. Admission is FREE to all luncheons and Collins will provide a special menu for each luncheon.
There will be a total of five coaches luncheons for the fall. Vice President for Intercollegiate Athletics Dr. Lisa Campos will kick-off the August 21 luncheon, along with Head Football Coach Jerome Souers, Head Volleyball Coach Ken Murphy, Head Soccer Coach Andre Luciano, and the Director of Track & Field Coach Eric Heins. As always the event will be hosted by "The Voice of the Lumberjacks" Mitch Strohman.
All luncheons are on the third Wednesday of the month at Collins Irish Pub & Grill.
2013 NAU Coaches Luncheons Dates
August 21
September 18
October 16
November 20


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Here's a quick checklist that will help you avoid bad debts in the first place.
1) Publish a written credit policy to all of your customers.
2) Don't bend the rules—if you do it once, your customers will expect it again and again.
3) Insist on personal guarantees if your customer's business is new, or you're unsure about the business's history.
4) Use a credit application to get to know the customer's business. Outline the consequences of not paying the debt in the document — such as the responsibility for attorney's fees and the maximum allowable interest rate—and then have the customer sign it.
5) If the debt is large enough, attach collateral to it. This could be the product itself, or something else of value. Get it in writing. HBM
Suzanne Kearns has been a full-time writer for 20 years. She specializes in writing about small and home-based business issues and writes website copy, articles of all types, and books — both under her name and as a ghostwriter. In addition, she blogs and ghostblogs for numerous sites. She can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.com. V18-6 Add: 6/12 HP: 1/15/13


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Hickey knew Price would go strong
Rays pitching coach Jim Hickey, who would know better than most, was not surprised at all that David Price did what he did in Texas Monday night.
Hickey joined Ron and Ian Tuesday morning to break down Price's performance.
"I knew prior to the ball game that this was not going to be one of those games where he got treated roughly by these guys," Hickey told Ron and Ian. "I don't know necessarily that he was going to win the game, but I know that he was determined to pitch well. And you could just tell that before he even threw a pitch."
Here is the full conversation:


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Effects of smoking on your baby
When you smoke your baby does too.
Get help to stop smoking
Quitting smoking is a challenge but there is lots of help and support out there for you.
Read more on smoking and pregnancy
10 great reasons to quit
Stopping smoking now will make a big difference to your health and the health of your developing baby. Here's 10 great reasons to quit!
Check the cost of smoking
Stopping smoking now will make a big difference to your health and the health of your developing baby.
Effects of carbon monoxide
Carbon monoxide (CO) is a poisonous gas. It can come from unsafe gas appliances, burning coal, wood, petrol and oil. It also forms when a cigarette is burning.
Carbon monoxide testing
When you smoke, carbon monoxide - a poisonous gas - replaces some of the oxygen in your blood and affects your baby.
10 steps to your Quit Plan
Your stop-smoking plan needs to be one that will work for you.
Electronic cigarettes and vaping
Using electronic cigarettes (e-cigarettes), also called 'vaping', is becoming more common.
What happens when a pregnant woman smokes?
Smoking in pregnancy is harmful to your baby. Quitting is one of the best things you can do to protect your baby's health through pregnancy and beyond.
Get help to stop smoking
Quitting smoking is a challenge but there is lots of help and support out there for you.
The risks of secondhand smoke
Secondhand smoke is highly toxic. More than 80% of secondhand smoke is invisible and doesn't smell.
7 common myths about smoking
Smoking 'light' cigarettes is not better for the baby's health. Read about this and 6 more common myths about smoking in pregnancy.
Effects of smoking on your baby
When you smoke your baby does too.
Read more
Breakfast with benefits
If you're struggling with morning sickness, or finding it hard to get up in the morning, breakfast is probably way down your list of priorities in pregnancy. We look at why it's worth getting up for.
Nutrition in pregnancy
Now that you're pregnant, it's important to eat well. Good nutrition will keep you healthy and help your baby grow and develop.
Drinking alcohol in pregnancy
You don't have to stop having fun now you're pregnant - but there are a few things you'll have to give up or cut to almost zero. Alcohol is one of these things, because it can damage your growing baby.
Mental wellbeing
Although it's normal to have periods of worry and stress when you're pregnant, some women have feelings that don't go away and this can be a sign of something more serious.
Exercise and activity in pregnancy
People may tell you that pregnancy is a good time to put your feet up. If your pregnancy is uncomplicated it is actually much healthier for you and your baby to exercise while pregnant.
Weight management in pregnancy
Although you will be putting on weight in pregnancy as your baby grows, limiting the amount of extra weight gain in pregnancy will improve your health and your baby's, both now and in the future.
ℹLast reviewed on April 1st, 2015. Next review date April 1st, 2018.
Your comment


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Game of Thrones - Reviews @ Eurogamer, Baltimore Sun
Here are a couple of reviews for Game of Thrones as the international release approaches next week.
First, Eurogamer has plenty of criticism but they acknowledge some positives on the way to a score of 6/10. Given they think the "turn-based" combat has "dated charm", fans of RTwP might have cause to get mildly excited:
Like the storytelling, gameplay is a slow burn. While it's almost criminal that the game wasn't designed from the start as an action role-player with graphic combat more akin to The Witcher 2 or Dark Souls, the turn-based battles carry a certain dated charm that grows on you. Selecting commands from your ability wheel slows time, adding a bit of strategic flavour when you choose how you want to strike. Unlocking new skill tree abilities helps, and given that you can control many of the partners that come and go from your party as the story dictates, it can be quite fun figuring out how to best use your party's skills later in the game, when larger, more chaotic melees become more common.
Outside of combat, BioWare-style choices affect how the story develops with some impact. An early example occurs when Alester, faced with famine and a crumbling economy in Riverspring, can either quell a civilian mob through violence or charity; choosing the latter earns popular support when you later face an invading army. This works with people's perceptions of you, too. But many choices are ambiguous, and there were more than a few cases when I thought I was picking the best answer for the situation only to have it blow up in my face.
...and from the Baltimore Sun, with more of this "turn-based" combat:
Combat is turn-based action, similar to the "Knights of the Old Republic" series. However, the pacing isn't quite right, and the player is often more of a bystander than a participant in melees. The game features an interesting slowdown feature to perform special moves in combat, but the effect is lost in the clunkiness of the combat and general interface.
Information aboutGame of Thrones
SP/MP: Single-player
Setting: Fantasy
Genre: RPG
Platform: PC, Xbox 360, PS3
Release: Released


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- 32nm Vishera 125W
- 8MB L3 Cache
- 4 x 2MB L2 Cache
- $124.99 –
- $0.99 Shipping (restrictions apply)
Some manufacturers place restrictions on how details of their products may be communicated.
Love It 02/09/2014
This review is from: AMD FX-8320 Vishera 8-Core 3.5 GHz (4.0 GHz Turbo) Socket AM3+ 125W FD8320FRHKBOX Desktop Processor
I love this processor. It is an absolute workhorse! 8 cores of pure awesomeness. I replaced an AMD 1055t hexcore processor and I'm extremely happy that I did. I picked this up while on sale and after receiving a gift card so I got it for next to nothing.
Me being me, immediately overclocked this processor (by hand, none of that "easy overclock") and pumped up the clock to 4414Mhz without any stability issues. I tried going higher, but I was running into heat issues (only using a 120mm radiator) I have no doubt when I upgrade my cooling to a 240mm rad I will be able to overclock, possibly even attain 5.0Ghz!
Even if you are not thinking about overclocking this chip is a good buy, it is priced much more realistically than it's counterpart from Intel. Do yourself a favor and get this chip and a good motherboard for the price of the chip alone from Intel.
Before upgrading to this processor my computer used about 300 Watts at idle, and almost 600 Watts under full stress testing load (AMD 1055t Processor and 1 x Sapphire HD 6850). After putting this processor in, and 2 x Asus HD 7850 graphics cards in crossfire, my computer idles at just under 250 Watts, and maxes out at almost 650 Watts under load.
Kudos to AMD to making their products more conservative on power usage!
Also I've been using the same encapsulated water cooling solution that I've had for the last three or so years coming from the AM3 socket to AM3+. I like the fact that basically all coolers are backwards compatible with AMD's socket design. For instance I took the cooler that came with the 8320 and put it on my spare computer that has an AM3 socket. Works just fine.
This chip, as with all AMD products, run hot and are power mongers. If you plan on overclocking you WILL need to have aftermarket cooling. Which in my opinion is absolutely worth it. No need spending the extra $50 on the 8350 when this will overclock past that.
While I see the power consumption as an issue, AMD is making great strides in making their processors more power conservative. That being said, I would really like to see them move away from the 32nm process and 125w TDP.
1 people found this review helpful. Did you? Yes / No Thanks for the valuable feedback you provided!


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Need utility sink drain help
1 Attachment(s)
I am looking to install a utility sink in our utility room next to the washer and dryer. I am a little confused on where I can place the sink drain. I have attached photos to how what I am working with. The pipe on the left appears to be a vent but has a clean out net the floor. The PVC going horizontal comes from the sump pump and ties into the main drain pipe and the vertical PVC vents out of the house. Any help would be great. Thanks!
I think you need to provide more pictures. Show us the main waste stack/soil pipe - especially where it exits the building, and both ends of that horizontal line. I'd also like to see the "sump". Something about your descriptions doesn't make sense. If the horizontal PVC is a sump pump discharge, why is there a tee on it? And if that vertical pipe (the portion below the tee serving the washing machine vent) is a vent, what does it serve? A floor drain?
Just as an aside, I'd recommend cutting the washing machine standpipe about 6" below it's horizontal vent pipe. If that drain line ever became clogged, water would spill down through the vent(s) before overflowing the standpipe.
1 Attachment(s)
Here is the main drain and from what I can tell that vent serves for the floor drain. The horizontal runs behind the washing machines to the sump then you can see it drains into the main drain. The pipe that goes up from the sump pump line goes out the window...
"The pipe that goes up from the sump pump line goes out the window... " :huh::huh::huh:
Wow...what a mess. What's the capped pipe that comes up out of the slab at an angle to the left of the water heater?
Yea it's a mess for sure. I can only assume that whoever installed the sump pump thought he pipe going out the window would out as a vent! Not sure which line you are asking about. There are no lines to the left of the water heater coming out of the slab that I can see.
First of all, get rid of that corrugated aluminum dryer vent and install smooth sheet metal flue piping. That crap is an accident looking for a place to happen. (FIRE) Then mark what the pipes are doing in the picture and re-post.
You also need to support your pipes properly. I dont see any support anywhere????
Unistrut, or even PT wood blocking can be used with expansion anchors into the block wall.
The squadron of force pumps indicates that your drainage situation is pretty poor. :whistling2:
I think the best bet from what I can see would be to disconnect the whole sump pump mess and tie the utility sink drain into the main drain where the sump discharge is currently - leave a branch/opening for the sump pump. Tie the vent for the utility sink into the vent riser from the washing machine trap. The sump pump can then be hooked back up properly.
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text:
Able to avoid the stumbling start that cost him any chance in his most recent race, Team Valor's Fairbanks easily toppled his five opponents with a smooth, gate-to-wire triumph by 6 3/4 lengths in Saturday's $107,200 Tokyo City Handicap (gr. III) at Santa Anita.
It was the first graded stakes win for the son of Giant's Causeway who was a $1.85 Fasig-Tipton purchase as a yearling in 2004.
Richard Migliore had the 4-year-old bay colt on the lead from the start of the 1 1/8-mile event for older horses, and they never faced a serious threat while negotiating the distance in a sharp 1:47.87. The leisurely splits included a :47.04 for the half mile and 1:11.06 for six furlongs as Fairbanks opened a three-length lead. From there, he widened his advantage in the stretch under some urging following a brief challenge, winning under steady handling as the 8-5 choice Neko Bay gained second.
"When I saw the :47 half mile, I thought we were in pretty good shape," observed Michael McCarthy, the assistant to winning trainer Todd Pletcher.
"My horse broke cleanly, and I liked the way he was doing it," said Migliore. "I just decided to go with the flow and he ran a great race. From the eighth pole to the wire, he did it very easily."
His stumbling at the start of the San Antonio Handicap (gr. II) on Feb. 4 left Fairbanks with a non-threatening sixth at 5-2 odds, and he was dismissed as the fourth choice among the six in Saturday's Tokyo City.
Fairbanks paid $10.80, $4.60 and $3.40. Aaron Gryder, aboard Neko Bay, attempted to make a run at the leader mid-stretch. But after a brief spurt, the runner-up drifted out in the lane and had to settle for a distant second while returning $3 and $2.40. Racketeer, another length back under apprentice Joseph Talamo, paid $2.80 to show.
It was the fourth win in eight starts for the Kentucky-bred Fairbanks, who is out of the Time for a Change mare Alaska Queen. The winning purse of $64,320 boosted his earnings to $147,263.
McCarthy said he wasn't sure when Fairbanks might race next, but noted that the colt will be headed for the Keeneland meet in Kentucky on April 10.
Preachinatthebar finished fourth, with Yes He's a Pistol and Beneath the Radar trailing.
(Chart, Equibase)
Fairbanks Ices Foes in Tokyo City Handicap
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By UCSF.edu | August 16, 2013
UCSF's Resource Allocation Program (RAP), which incorporates a single online application process for a wide variety of intramural grant offerings, is now inviting applications for the Fall 2013 cycle.
The electronic-submission deadline is Monday, Sept. 30 at 2 p.m.
Through a collaborative effort among UCSF intramural funding agencies, RAP facilitates the dissemination, submission, review and award of intramural research funding opportunities on campus. The program promotes research in the following disciplines: Basic Sciences, Clinical and Translational Sciences, and Population Sciences.
A total of $2,404,505 was distributed to UCSF researchers during the Spring 2013 cycle. Of the 148 applications reviewed, the program made 72 awards – or 49 percent of all applications, showing the high potential funding rate associated with RAP grant applicants.
Although applicants choose the most appropriate grant mechanism for submission through RAP, each application is considered simultaneously by multiple funding agencies, thus enhancing the likelihood of support for a proposal. The funding agencies share the goal of allocating their funds strategically to support as much good science as possible.


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Baldur's Gate - Enhanced Edition: Review Roundup # 5
View Single Post
January 2nd, 2013, 15:36
Why would you expect something completely different? It wasn't a remake, its an 'Enhanced Edition.' If BG1 is such a pig, why have you played it many times?
For me it was worth the $20. Given what little amount of time I get to game, it was more than worth it to not need to spend an hour or more modding the game after installation. I particularly like that you can run it at high resolutions without the GUI becoming tiny. I'm only about 1/3 done and have enjoyed Dorn and Neera as well. Haven't made it to any of the new areas though, but really looking forward to that.
My only real complaint is that they released it with so many bugs. They should have done a public beta or something for people who pre-ordered and cleared these up. I haven't encountered any game breaking bugs, but a lot of minor annoyances.
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Disability or Threat?: Post-traumatic-stress Disorder in the Workplace
When does an employee's disability become a hazard in the workplace requiring termination? This case involves a discrimination claim brought by a postal employee who, when startled, envisioned his coworkers as would-be attackers. The court's decision provides some helpful guidance in answering this difficult question.
Lanny Jarvis, a decorated Vietnam War veteran, began working for the Postal Service in 1988 after a medical examination determined that he was fit for duty despite several war injuries. Ten years later, he was diagnosed with post-traumatic-stress disorder (PTSD). In 2002, he transferred to the Spanish Fork postal facility and started experiencing PTSD-related incidents with coworkers.
The incidents all involve Jarvis' reaction when he was startled from behind by coworkers. Jarvis struck coworker Cindy Frazier when she came up behind him on two separate occasions: once instinctively hitting her in the chest when she approached him at the time clock and the other time kicking her below the knee when she came toward him as he was buffing the floor.
On another occasion, LesLee Bishop, the officer in charge at the Spanish Fork facility, came up behind him as he was vacuuming and said "Good morning." Startled, Jarvis turned around with clenched fists to defend himself, but relaxed when he realized who it was. He apologized to her, informing her that he had PTSD and that she should advise the rest of the crew that they should approach him from the front or say something in a normal tone of voice before approaching him from behind.
A month or so later, Jarvis struck another coworker, Al Nielsen, in the shoulder after Nielsen startled Jarvis by grabbing him from behind. Although Nielsen was not hurt, Jarvis later explained that he easily could have killed Nielsen or caused him serious injury. Nielsen reported the incident to Bishop and a postal inspector followed up with an investigation.
As a result of the investigation, Jarvis was handed a letter placing him on administrative leave with pay. He received another letter the next day informing him that he was being placed in off-duty-without-pay status and stating that retaining him on duty may be injurious to others. The Postal Service held a due-process meeting after Jarvis appealed this decision. At the meeting, Jarvis admitted that his PTSD was getting worse, that he could no longer stop the first blow, that if he hit someone in the right place he could kill him, and that he could no longer safely return to the workplace. He requested a medical-disability retirement, so that he could avoid being fired. In support of his request, Jarvis arranged for Sonia Hales, a registered nurse, to send Bishop a letter explaining his PTSD symptoms. The letter described Jarvis' PTSD as chronic, severe, and unpredictable and recommended medical retirement because his condition did pose a threat in the workplace.
On July 17, 2003, the Postal Service sent Jarvis a letter informing him that he would be removed from duty as unfit in no sooner than 30 days based upon the two incidents with Frazier, the Nielsen incident, the letter from Hales about his PTSD, and his own statements indicating that he posed a risk to others. That same day, Jarvis filed a complaint with the EEOC alleging discrimination based upon his mental disability. On August 23, 2003, he received another letter from the Postal Service informing him of its decision to fire him. The Postal Service ultimately provided Jarvis with disability-retirement benefits.
The Counterstrike
Jarvis filed a complaint in federal court alleging that the Postal Service failed to accommodate his disability in violation of the Rehabilitation Act, and retaliated against him for filing complaints with the EEOC. A year into the litigation, the Postal Service moved to dismiss the case by arguing that Jarvis was not qualified to perform the essential functions of his job because he posed a direct threat to his coworker. The district court agreed and found that Jarvis could not be reasonably accommodated by informing his coworker of his condition because it would not eliminate the possibility that he would react violently to being startled accidently. It also rejected Jarvis' retaliation claim because he could not show that the reason offered by the Postal Service for his termination was pretextual. Undaunted by the district court's decision against him, Jarvis continued to battle by appealing the case to the Tenth Circuit Court of Appeals.
The "Direct Threat" Defense
In analyzing Jarvis' discrimination claim under the Rehabilitation Act, which applies to agencies that receive federal financial assistance, the Tenth Circuit examined standards applied under the Americans with Disabilities Act ("ADA"). The ADA standards apply to employers in the private sector as well. Thus, in determining whether Jarvis was a qualified individual under the Rehabilitation Act, the court examined the ADA which defines a qualified individual with a disability as one who "with or without reasonable accommodation, can perform the essential functions of the employment position." As a defense to an allegation of discrimination under the ADA, an employer may show that an individual "pose[s] a direct threat to the health or safety of other individuals in the workplace."
EEOC regulations define "direct threat" as "a significant risk of substantial harm to the health or safety of the individual or others that cannot be eliminated or reduced by reasonable accommodation." The regulations also set forth the following factors to determine whether a direct threat exists: (1) the duration of the risk; (2) the nature and severity of the potential harm; (3) the likelihood that the potential harm will occur; and (4) the imminence of the potential harm. The regulations also require that the determination be based on an "individualized assessment" that considers "the most current medical knowledge and/or . . . the best available objective evidence."
Generally, as in this case, the "direct threat" defense must be proved by the employer. Only where the essential job duties necessarily implicate the safety of others is the employee required to prove that he can do the job without endangering others. Whether an employer was justified in terminating an employee based on such a defense depends upon whether the court finds that the employer's decision was objectively reasonable, not upon the court's independent assessment of the threat or upon the employer's good faith in deciding that the employee posed such a threat.
Upon review, the Tenth Circuit found that the Postal Service's determination that Jarvis posed a direct threat was an objectively reasonable decision. The Court decided that the Postal Service had conducted an individualized assessment of Jarvis that relied on the best available objective evidence, which included its interviews, its consideration of the nurse's letter, and the due-process meeting. It rejected Jarvis' argument that the Postal Service should have sought further medical advice or conducted a fitness-for-duty examination where Jarvis' own statements and the letter submitted by his health professional confirmed the factors indicating a direct threat - duration, imminence, severity, and likelihood. His statements and the letter revealed that Jarvis' symptoms would last indefinitely, that he could erupt at any moment if startled, that he was capable of delivering a fatal blow, and that it was highly likely that someone would startle him, even if inadvertently. The court also rejected Jarvis' argument that he would not have posed a direct threat if his coworkers had been instructed not to startle him or approach him from behind. The court reasoned that "it is hard to imagine an active workplace in which there would be no chance of accidentally startling a worker" and the Postal Service "was not required to ignore the risk of inadvertent startling" and wait until something horrific occurred. Jarvis v. Potter, No. 06-4090(10th Cir., Aug. 30, 2007).
Survival Strategies
Several lessons in survival can be drawn from this case apart from the obvious lesson to avoid startling a lethally-trained war veteran from behind. First, when determining whether an employee poses a threat to his coworkers, the employee and the risk he poses must be assessed individually. While a physical or mental examination may not be necessary in all cases, employers risk incurring liability if they rely upon generalized assumptions about a particular condition. Moreover, employers can get into trouble by relying upon outdated medical information. For example, while fears of HIV were once prominent in the workplace, courts would likely find that an employer's decision to terminate an employee with HIV was objectively unreasonable based on concerns that the employee posed a direct threat to coworkers under most working conditions.
Where an employer determines after an individual assessment that an employee poses a direct threat to his coworkers, employers are justified in
terminating such an employee. Until such a determination can be made, it is a good idea to place the employee on administrative leave to increase safety in
the workplace and to ensure that the decision regarding the risks posed by such employee are well-considered and would stand up in court under the
objectively reasonable test. To that end, it is helpful to seek advice from legal counsel prior to making such decisions. Otherwise, if an employer reacts
quickly and instinctively to such perceived dangers by firing the employee, the employer not only mimics Jarvis' PTSD behavior, but risks serious injury
in the form of ADA liability.
Source http://www.woodcrapo.com/index.php?id=74


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Oil steady ahead of EIA inventory report
Oil prices have been steady over the last twenty four hours after a short covering rally driven by a recovery in the euro and equity markets in Europe and the US after Monday's post Spanish bailout sell-off. We are now entering the major event period for the month of June with the OPEC meeting kicking off tomorrow and the Greek elections on Sunday. Also since yesterday the EIA, IEA and OPEC have all released their oil forecasts while today the EIA will release its weekly oil inventory report. Last night the API data showed a surprise build in crude oil and decline in gasoline stocks (see below for more details on all of the fundamental reports.
I am still expecting a rollover with no production cuts from the OPEC meeting. I am still of the view that the Saudi's will keep oil production high even if oil prices continue to decline. I believe part of the strategy is to add pressure on Iran with lower oil prices and thus hope that it motivates Iran and the West to eventually negotiate a deal over Iran's nuclear issues. The next Iran/West meeting is in Moscow early next week.
At the moment most risk asset markets are still in a downtrend even after a short covering rally yesterday. The technicals for all of the markets are also suggesting lower values going forward. However, event risk will take over as the main price driver for all of the risk asset markets including the oil complex as the macro correlations remain very tightly linked. I believe there is a lot of trading and investing dollars sitting on the sidelines which is likely to remain parked in bonds and money markets until more clarity emerges from the major market headwinds. Following are just some of the main questions clouding all of the markets
Who will win the Greek elections?
Will the Spanish bank bailout actually go forward?
Is Italy next on the agenda?
Will the EU move to eurobonds?
Will contagion spread around to other EU countries as well as outside the EU?
Will the EU slip back into recession?
Will the US economy continue to slow?
Will China's easing result in a growth spurt for this meteoric economy?
Will the US Fed announce another quantitative easing program at their June meeting?
What will be the outcome of the OPEC meeting...production cut or status quo?
Will any progress be made at the next round of talks between Iran and the West?
If no progress is made does it quickly increase the likelihood of military action in the region?
There are more but I trust you all get the point as to the magnitude of the event risk to all of the markets over the next two to three weeks. All of the above have implications for the market and are likely to impact the direction of the markets...at least for the short term. In addition to all of the normal technical and fundamentals approaches you use for trading and investing for the next two to three weeks you must pay close attention to not only the outcome of all of the events but the 30 second news snippets hitting the media airwaves leading up to all of the events. The only guarantee is markets will remain volatile with sudden price reversals as we saw during Monday's US trading session.
Both the EIA and IEE released their monthly oil forecasting report following are the main highlights of both of the reports:
International Energy Agency (IEA) Monthly Oil Market Report
The springtime slump in oil markets accelerated in May in the wake of the deepening euro zone crisis, mounting concern over a slowdown in Chinese growth and rising global oil supplies. Futures prices were off 20% from peak 2012 levels, with Brent last trading at around $97.50/bbl and WTI at $83.50/bbl.
A muted economic backdrop underpins forecast demand growth of 0.82 mb/d in 2012, resulting in average demand of 89.9 mb/d. A lower GDP sensitivity this month illustrates downside demand risks, but upside potential exists too, amid uncertainty over summer power sector oil demand and non-OECD stockpiling.
Global oil supply rose by 0.2 mb/d to 91.1 mb/d in May. Non-OPEC liquids increased by 0.2 mb/d to 53.1 mb/d and by 1.0 mb/d versus year ago. In 2012 rising North American supply more than offsets record-low North Sea output, as well as outages in the Sudans, Syria, and Yemen, taking non-OPEC supply growth to 0.7 mb/d.
OPEC crude supply edged lower in May, off 20 kb/d, to 31.87 mb/d, with reduced output from Saudi Arabia and Iraq offset by higher production in Angola, Nigeria, and Libya. The 'call on OPEC crude and stock change' in 2H12 is around 1 mb/d higher than the 1H12 level, at 30.9 mb/d. OPEC 2012 NGL supply rises 0.4 mb/d to 6.2 mb/d.
OECD industry oil inventories rose by 17.3 mb in April, to 2 643 mb. OECD commercial oil stocks have now narrowed the apparent deficit to the five-year average in absolute terms, while remaining 1.9 days above the five-year average. May preliminary data indicate a 20.1 mb increase in OECD industry inventories.
World refinery crude demand is set to surge seasonally by 2.8 mb/d between April's low and August, as maintenance winds down. New and returning capacity in Asia and Europe also contribute, while ramp up at Motiva's expanded US plant could be delayed. Global crude runs rise from 74.3 mb/d in 2Q12 to 75.9 mb/d in 3Q12.
Energy Information Administration (EIA) Short Term Energy Outlook
Based on the outlook from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration for the current Atlantic hurricane season, EIA estimates median outcomes for total shut-in production in the Federal Gulf of Mexico (GOM) during the upcoming hurricane season (June through November) of about 4.5 million barrels of crude oil and 9.5 billion cubic feet (Bcf) of natural gas (see 2012 Outlook for Hurricane-Related Production Outages in the Gulf of Mexico). Actual shut-ins are likely to differ significantly from this estimate depending on the number, track, and strength of hurricanes as the season progresses.
Global oil markets have loosened in recent months, as world oil production outpaced consumption by 0.7 million bbl/d in the first quarter of 2012, and is forecast to exceed it by 1.2 million bbl/d in the second quarter. The oil production gains contributed to a counter-seasonal stock build during the first quarter of 2012, following the significant stock draws during 2011. Industry analysts have attributed some of the recent decline in oil prices to poor economic indicators for Europe, China, and the United States, in addition to reduced market anxiety over current and potential supply disruptions. Although EIA's economic growth assumptions are unchanged from last month, the crude oil price forecast has been lowered because of upward revisions to current and forecasted supply, primarily from countries outside of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), and to reflect changes in the relative strength of the upside and downside risks buffeting oil markets.
Despite the recent fall in crude oil prices, EIA expects that the average crude oil price in 2012 will be higher than in 2011. EIA expects the world oil market will tighten moderately in the third quarter of 2012 as world demand reaches its seasonal peak and total consumption exceeds production by about 0.7 million bbl/d. Additionally, spare production capacity levels are projected to be low enough to support a recovery in crude oil prices from current levels.
There are several uncertainties that could push oil prices higher or lower than projected. A number of non-OPEC countries continue to experience large and persistent supply disruptions. Oil prices could be higher than projected in this Outlook if recoveries from supply disruptions are slower than forecast, additional disruptions occur, or supply growth is lower than expected. Additionally, the effects of the impending European Union embargo and other sanctions targeting exports of Iranian crude oil and their associated payments are still uncertain. Some industry analysts believe that optimism about recent negotiations between Iran and its counterparts in the West has helped to ease prices in recent months, even though the outcome remains uncertain. EIA's projected oil market balance reflects the impacts from previous sanctions against Iran.
On the demand side, the recent negative economic news on Europe poses a risk to global economic growth. In the current Outlook, consumption in Europe is expected to fall year-over-year by 340 thousand bbl/d in 2012 and by a further 230 thousand bbl/d in 2013. If the economic situation in European Union countries deteriorates, then global economic growth could fall below current expectations and result in reduced oil demand and lower prices. Slower growth in China could also curb demand. EIA currently projects annual increases in consumption in China of about 0.4 million bbl/d in both 2012 and 2013. Recent economic indicators point to some weakness in China's economic outlook.
World liquid fuels consumption grew by an estimated 0.8 million bbl/d in 2011. EIA expects consumption growth of 0.8 million bbl/d in 2012 and 1.1 million bbl/d in 2013, with China, the Middle East, Central and South America, and other countries outside of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) accounting for essentially all consumption growth (World Liquid Fuels Consumption Chart). Projected OECD liquid fuels consumption declines by 0.4 million bbl/d in 2012. In 2013, forecast OECD liquid fuels consumption remains essentially flat, with consumption growth in the United States offsetting some of the decline in Europe.
EIA expects non-OPEC crude oil and liquid fuels production to rise by 0.8 million bbl/d in 2012 and by a further 1.2 million bbl/d in 2013. The largest area of non-OPEC growth is North America, where production increases by 890 thousand bbl/d and 470 thousand bbl/d in 2012 and 2013, respectively, resulting from continued production growth from U.S. onshore shale and other tight oil formations and Canadian oil sands. In Brazil, output is projected to rise by 20 thousand bbl/d in 2012 and 120 thousand bbl/d in 2013, with increased output from its offshore, pre-salt oil fields. EIA expects that Kazakhstan, which will commence commercial production in the Kashagan field next year, will increase its total production by 160 thousand bbl/d in 2013. Forecast production also rises in China, Russia, and Colombia over the next two years, while production declines in Mexico and the North Sea.
Total consumption fell 340 thousand bbl/d (1.8 percent) last year. Motor gasoline consumption accounted for the bulk of that decline, shrinking by 260 thousand bbl/d (2.9 percent). In 2012, total consumption falls by a more moderate 70 thousand bbl/d (0.4 percent). In the first quarter, total consumption fell 700 thousand bbl/d (3.7 percent) from the same period last year (U.S. Liquid Fuels Consumption Chart) as high prices and record warm weather depressed consumption. For the second half of 2012, EIA expects a year-over-year increase of 230 thousand bbl/d (1.2 percent) in liquid fuels consumption. The bulk of that increase comes from distillate fuel because of projected economic growth and near-normal winter weather.
In 2013, total liquid fuels consumption grows by 120 thousand bbl/d (0.6 percent). Despite assumed growth in U.S. real disposable income of 1.8 percent next year, forecast motor gasoline consumption declines by a further 30 thousand bbl/d (0.4 percent) in 2013. This projection reflects continued slow growth in the driving-age population, an acceleration of the improvement in average fuel economy of new vehicles, and increased rates of retirement of older vehicles. However, consumption of all of the other fuels categories rises, led by a 90-thousand-bbl/d (2.3-percent) increase in distillate fuel consumption.
The API report showed a surprise build in crude oil versus an expectation for a draw and a surprise draw in gasoline stocks along with a build in distillate fuel inventories. The API reported a build (of about 1.6 million barrels) in crude oil stocks and outside the expectation range as crude oil imports increased while refinery run rates decreased by 0.3%. The API reported a modest draw in gasoline stocks. They also reported a modest build in distillate stocks versus an expectation for a more seasonal build in distillate fuel inventories.
The report is bullish for gasoline, bearish for crude oil and neutral for distillates. The market has not reacted strongly in overnight trading but has been stabilizing for all commodities in the complex mostly due to short covering after yesterday's recovery rally. The market is always cautious on trading on the API report and prefers to wait for the more widely watched EIA report due out this morning at 10:30 AM. The API reported a build of about 1.6 million barrels of crude oil with a draw of 0.720 million barrels in PADD 2 and a draw of 0.344 million barrels in Cushing, Ok which is bearish for the Brent/WTI spread. On the week gasoline stocks decreased by about 0.9 million barrels while distillate fuel stocks increased by about 0.5 million barrels.
At the moment oil prices are still being mostly driven by the events discussed above along with the direction of the euro and the US dollar as well as by a view that the global economy is continuing to slow. The tensions evolving in the Middle East between Iran and the West have been easing as another meeting will take place in June. As such we may not see much of a reaction from market participants to this week's round of oil inventory data as the macro risk off momentum is currently the main concern of all market players. This week's oil inventory report will likely be a background price catalyst unless the actual outcome is significantly different from the market projections.
My projections for this week's inventory reports are summarized in the following table. I am expecting the industry to continue its aggressive campaign of converting a portion of the surplus crude that has been building for the last several months into refined products... in particular gasoline and distillate fuels whose inventories have been in decline. I am expecting a draw in crude oil inventories and a build in both gasoline and distillate fuel stocks as the summer planting season is over (decreasing the demand for diesel fuel) while heating oil demand is also over. I am expecting crude oil stocks to decrease by about 2.0 million barrels. If the actual numbers are in sync with my projections the year over year surplus of crude oil will come in around 17 million barrels while the overhang versus the five year average for the same week will widen to around 36.6 million barrels.
I am also expecting a modest draw in crude oil stocks in Cushing, Ok as the Seaway pipeline is now pumping and refinery are rates are starting to increase in that region of the US. This would be bearish for the Brent/WTI spread in the short term which is now trading around the $15/bbl premium to Brent level for the last few days. I am still of the view that the spread will begin the process of normalization over the next 3 to 6 months.
With refinery runs expected to increase by 0.5% I am expecting modest build in distillate stocks. Gasoline stocks are expected to increase by 1.0 million barrels which would result in the gasoline year over year deficit coming in around 10.5 million barrels while the deficit versus the five year average for the same week will come in around 5.3 million barrels.
Distillate fuel is projected to increase by 1.0 million barrels. If the actual EIA data is in sync with my distillate fuel projection inventories versus last year will likely now be about 19.8 million barrels below last year while the deficit versus the five year average will come in around 16.3 million barrels.
The following table compares my projections for this week's report (for the categories I am making projections) with the change in inventories for the same period last year. As you can see from the table last year's inventories were mostly in the same direction as the projections. As such if the actual data is in line with the projections there will only be a modest change in the year over year comparisons for most of the complex.
I am still maintaining my oil view at neutral. I am still expecting the oil complex to settle into the $80 to $90/bbl trading range basis WTI and $95 to $105/bbl basis Brent. At the moment it is not so much that the current fundamentals have changed it is more related to the fact that the market sentiment is changing as participants move into the perception mode based on more stimulus which could result in an improvement of the forward fundamentals from a demand perspective (mostly based on China easing).
I am keeping my view at neutral to see if Nat Gas is able to hold onto the developing trading range. The surplus is still narrowing in inventory versus both last year and the five year average but could lead to a premature filling of storage during the current injection season. However, I now believe that we may see other producers starting to signal a cut in production. We may still see lower prices (thus the basis for my bias) but I think the sellers are losing momentum.
Currently markets are marginally higher as shown in the following table.
Best regards,
Dominick A. Chirichella
Follow my intraday comments on Twitter @dacenergy.
*Disclaimer: The information in the Market Commentaries was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not guarantee its accuracy. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed therein constitutes a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any futures or options contracts.


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Hey there, time traveller!
This article was published 14/2/2014 (1225 days ago), so information in it may no longer be current.
Brandon-Souris Conservative MP Larry Maguire is asking residents if he is "on the right track" or "on the wrong track" so far in representing the riding.
The new MP, officially sworn in late last month, recently sent out his first "householder" mailout, which includes a two-question survey.
"That's part of listening to what citizens are saying. It's a great way to get feedback from our constituents," Maguire said.
The other question is, "Should Larry support the Reform Act?" The private member's bill was introduced by MP Michael Chong in December. The Reform Act would have three main focuses — restoring local control overparty nominations, strengthening caucuses as decision-making bodies and reinforcing the accountability of party leaders to their caucuses.
"There may be a lot of people that don't even know (the Reform Act) has come forward yet, so this brings attention to it, perhaps gives them an insight into looking into it more themselves," Maguire said.
With private member's bills, MPs are free to vote without being "whipped" by their party leadership, states the mailout.
"Larry would like to know your thoughts on this legislation. It is important that all constituents have a say and are given the opportunity to voice their concerns or ideas."
The householder was sent to every residence in the riding, one of four allowed per year. Citizens can either fill out the survey and mail it back to Ottawa, or take the survey online at larrymaguire.ca/reform-act.
Maguire said once the feedback is in, they plan to put the results out to the public.
"We'll tabulate the results, put percentages out there probably of what we've got," he said. "We haven't really finalized all that yet, I want to get the feedback and just see whether it's worthwhile or not and how many people will take the time to do it."
He said he will consider the feedback he receives when making decisions.
"I look forward to as many of those being returned to me as I possibly can and take that into consideration when I'm speaking to this bill or making decisions on how to move forward with it," he said.
Maguire said he would from time to time, put out questionnaires in mailouts while he was MLA for Arthur-Virden.
"It allows you to get real feedback from people because … not everyone can phone you all at once," he said. "As an MP now you certainly can't phone every constituent each time a question arises."
Maguire said it is important to connect with constituents and encourages people to sign up for his new electronic newsletter called The Maguire Report. It will provide a snapshot of what is being discussed in Parliament and highlight important issues pertinent to Brandon-Souris. Email email@example.com to be added to the mailing list.
"Of course our phones are always open and our emails are available," he said. "Hopefully people will be following us on Facebook and Twitter accounts, and that sort of thing as well, and we continue to monitor those and get as much feedback as we possibly can."
» email@example.com


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Nevada Fantasies Photographer
Cherie BellModel Female Denham Springs, Louisiana, US
My MM URL: http://www.modelmayhem.com/cajunbeauty
Mayhem # 2093
About Me
Update: I'm willing to shoot in Las Vegas in exchange for travel expenses. And I am also updating my portfolio and interested in adding more dark and Gothic work so you are looking to add more work of that nature fell free to contact me.
I have been modeling since 2004 in which I have gained valuable experience and skills. The skills which I have acquired provides me with the essentials I need to work well on a shoot. I have great communication skills as well as being outgoing, professional and positive.
My main goals in becoming a professional model is to Provide the world with a fresh and positive role model,to inspire other women and teens to be happy with being themselves,provide women with the confidence to be whoever they want to be,to obtain what is needed for me to get out in the world a make a difference and to leave a legacy worth remembering.
My passion for modeling is what drives me to be better and to work hard to excel and to achieve greatness. Modeling is my dream so I am working to make that dream a reality.
If you are interested in hiring me please email me and I will be in-touch with you as soon as possible. And I would also be interested in hearing what you think about my work.
Paid Shoots take priority.
Thanks for visiting my portfolio.
Have you worked with Cherie Bell? Add Credits for Cherie Bell! >>
Credit Notes
Promotional Modeling:
Nissan/Sports Illustrated Event, Action, Events and Promotions 2009
LSU vs Alabama, Decision Analyst/Chevron,November 6, 2010
L'Eily's Cold Wax Show, December 11,12 and 13, 2010
Photographers I have worked with:
Puttknob Photography
DW Photography Images
Tim Bell, Studio 259 Photography Services*
Robert Martinez, Martinez Photography MM# 89203*
ML Weston, Weston Photo OMP# 123233, MM # 11802*
Jon Henneck, Profound Media OMP# 122543
Tony Pibolis OMP# 4368
David Jarreu, River Models
Manuel Broussard, Glamour Shots
Ron Barlow, Barlow Productions
Jesse Gator, Focused Images
Frank Mangles, Mangels Photography
Robert J Burnette
JFurlow Photography -
Ben-Stevens Studios
- denotes photographers that I haven't received my images in a timely manner.
* denotes photographers that I have worked with more than once.
Nevada Fantasies Photographer
T R Willmitch Photographer
Michael Rosen - Chicago Photographer
GW Burns Photographer
Michael McGowan Photographer
ART KETCHUM Photographer
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Google designs new self-driving vehicles that lose the steering wheel and pedals
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That was a picture of China's 9 day traffic Jam in 2010 it was 100 km long.
A normal Kevlar vest takes 14 layers of Kevlar to stop a 45acp but once its impregnated with the silica nano particles it only takes 4 layers to stop 45 acp.
To answer your question I don't have a price point yet but it's stopping power is layer count dependent.


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SOFTBALL: CMA wins playoff game
CMA defeated Bethel Presbyterian, 10-3, in an Indiana County Church League softball playoff game Friday.
Kevin Davis and Dan Shirley each had three hits for CMA. Scott Shirley doubled twice, Kirk Weaver, Steve Timko and Keith Davis each singled twice, and Ray Nyland earned the win. Tim Stewart had two hits to lead Bethel Presbyterian. Chris Hibbs and Alex Patterson each hit a homer.
CMA will face Divine Destiny in the winner's bracket final on Tuesday.