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An Investment Opinion
Looking Through the Outback Warren Gump (TMF Gump)
September 21, 1999
Outback Steakhouse (NYSE: OSSI) is a restaurant enterprise for which I have the utmost respect, both as an investor and a customer. By offering customers quality meals at reasonable prices, the company has been able to grow steadily and rapidly throughout the decade, providing an excellent shareholder return. Every time the stock is knocked down to a seemingly reasonable valuation level, I like to revisit the company and see what's happening. Now seems to be one of those times, with the stock off 30% from its June high, a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of less than 18, and a P/E-to-estimated-growth ratio around 1.0.
When a stock of a quality company falls substantially, one has to ask what's going on. Is the company facing any problems? I can't detect any serious problems for the company based on recent results and trends. Its second quarter earnings per share (EPS) were up 21%, driven by new unit growth and strong comparable sales gains for its two concepts, Outback Steakhouse (comps up 6.1%) and Carrabba's Italian Grill (6.6%). Operating margins hit 14.3%, up from 13.1% the prior year as the company raised prices modestly and costs for many commodities food items like beef, produce, and butter fell. These results are fairly consistent with those from the past several quarters, and most analysts are looking for 15-18% EPS growth to continue.
Given that information, Outback's reported results don't do a heck of a lot in explaining why the stock is not in favor. Recent earnings announcements are positive and everything points to continued strength. Stepping back a couple of steps to look at the casual dining industry rather than Outback, it becomes clear that the overall sector has been out of favor. Two other big industry players, Darden Restaurants (NYSE: DRI) -- operator of Red Lobster and the Olive Garden -- and Brinker International (NYSE: EAT) -- which operates Chili's, Romano's Macaroni Grill, Cozymel's, and On the Border -- have also fallen from their highs earlier in the year.
One concern for many restaurants is that they are facing increasing labor costs, but they are unable to pass higher costs through to consumers via price increases without losing business. You'd have to have your head stuck in the sand not to know that restaurateurs are struggling to find enough bodies to operate their businesses. With the economy booming and jobs plentiful, many people are attracted to positions outside foodservice that are considered more lucrative. The result has been that most restaurants are paying more than ever to attract staff -- and they're still coming up short in many locations.
Outback has been impacted by this trend toward higher compensation, but it has not become too severe. In the latest quarter, labor and related costs increased slightly to 23.5% of sales from 23.4%. From an operational standpoint, a more important issue is finding and retaining quality general managers to help oversee each restaurant. Outback has an unusual management structure that helps mitigate this problem. If you want to become a manager of an Outback, you need to sign a five-year employment contract and invest $25,000 to acquire a 10% interest in the restaurant.
This structure gives Outback a leg up over its competitors. By sharing a significant portion of restaurant profits with each general manager, the company can attract some of the best people in the business and keep them motivated. On top of that, the five-year employment contract helps minimize turnover, which is a major problem for many restaurant chains -- particularly as the tight labor market makes finding quality general managers even tougher to find.
On the issue of raising prices, Outback has been one of the few chains that has been willing to pass through small increases to customers. Last fall, the company instituted a 1.5% increase at Outback and a 2.0% increase at Carrabba's. Considering the strong same-store sales that have been achieved since that increase, it doesn't look like the higher prices significantly altered customer demand. This attests to the brand's strength and demonstrates that the company has a little pricing power in an industry where none was thought to exist.
A big question for Outback is where it will grow next. Rising from one steakhouse 11 years ago, the company now operates 565 Outbacks (437 owned, 128 franchised and joint ventures) and 66 Carrabba's (53 owned and 13 joint ventures). According to one report, the company thinks that the U.S. market will support a total of 650-700
Outbacks, leaving only another couple years of growth at the chain's current expansion rate of roughly 75 units a year. The company recognizes this challenge and is prepared to address it.
International opportunities would seem to provide plenty of room for growth. While there is a vast world out there, results from current international units are mixed. To minimize risk and get a better feel for various markets, the company is cautiously expanding into different worldwide markets using joint ventures. Management has said that they view Hong Kong and Brazil as two of the more promising markets. As operations are refined and improved, the company might develop a substantial international presence, but it's way too early to count on that. Casual dining restaurants are very difficult to export.
Carrabba's is an obvious expansion vehicle, but the company hasn't yet been able to get the returns to a level that justify a rapid rollout. The chain will likely continue to grow, but it won't provide nearly enough oomph! to maintain the company's rapid historical growth rate. To do that, Outback is looking at several growth vehicles. The company has recently created a joint venture with Roy Yamaguchi to expand his successful Roy's Restaurants that serve Euro-Asian cuisine. In addition, the company is developing both an upscale steakhouse and a Creole/New Orleans concept to provide growth opportunities.
Growing or developing a new chain is going to be more challenging that rolling out a proven concept, but Outback has the financial resources to develop or buy something that will work. During the first six months of the year, cash generated by operations stood at $75 million, while capital expenditures totaled only $45 million. Much of that difference was used to pay down debt, of which there was only $2 million at the end of June. With debt paid down and almost $76 million in the bank, the company has extraordinary financial strength that is not matched by many competitors.
You never can be certain about a stock's future performance, but Outback the company has a lot of great attributes. It has a management team that has successfully managed rapid growth, at least two more years of solid unit growth from the Outback chain, a stellar balance sheet, and numerous growth opportunities lurking under the hood. Given those characteristics and the company's valuation, this is one stock I wouldn't mind welcoming to my portfolio with a hearty "G'day, Mate."


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Wrap It Up Pretty Little Black BookAnother week of wedding goodness has come and gone. It really blows my mind how quickly time flies when you're enjoying great weddings. Luckily, we have plenty more where that came from. A special treat tomorrow - a gorgeous display of
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Complex interactions between seemingly unconnected phenomena determine risk of exposure to this expanding disease
Richard Ostfeld
Lyme disease is mistakenly thought by many to be a new disease that first appeared late in the 1970s. In reality the erythema migrans syndrome—now recognized as indicative of Lyme disease—was described in Europe more than 80 years ago. At the time, it was correctly linked to bites from the tick Ixodes ricinis, although the causative microbial agent had not been established. In 1975 health specialists were called in to investigate a peculiar cluster of childhood arthritis cases in Lyme, Connecticut, and they found that many of the cases had been preceded by EM. Allan Steere at Tufts University and his colleagues suspected a link between the Connecticut EM cases and the earlier European ones, causing them to search for and eventually find highly abundant populations of ticks. At first, it was thought that the ticks represented a newly discovered species, which was named Ixodes dammini, but later evidence indicated that the specimens were simply members of northern populations of the previously described species Ixodes scapularis. Further medical detective work by Willy Burgdorfer at Rocky Mountain Labs and colleagues revealed that both the European and Connecticut ticks played host to B. burgdorferi, which had been previously undescribed.
Even in North America, Lyme disease almost certainly existed for thousands of years before its discovery in the 1970s. Native Americans and European colonists probably experienced the disease in the forested landscapes of the northeastern and north-central United States and the West Coast, but the symptoms went largely unrecognized, perhaps because of the prevalence of more serious, debilitating diseases. Early symptoms of Lyme disease are rather mild compared with those of cholera, typhus, tuberculosis and others that plagued early Americans, and acute Lyme disease is often a brief and self-limiting ailment. However, several weeks or months after initial infection, bacteria may begin dispersing away from the bite to distant sites in the body, to the knees and shoulders or to the central and peripheral nervous systems, where they can wreak havoc on joints and nerves, causing serious arthritic and neurological disorders.
Since 1990, between 9,000 and 14,000 cases of Lyme disease have been reported annually to federal health officials, although the true number of cases is unknown. The Lyme-disease epidemic has caused hysteria in some areas, which probably leads to the false reporting of some cases. But it is also likely that many cases of Lyme disease go unreported each year because health-care workers and patients are unfamiliar with the symptoms. In any event, Lyme disease is by far the most common vector-borne disease in the United States, surpassing malaria, yellow fever, dengue fever, Rocky Mountain spotted fever, plague and others. Although Lyme disease is widespread in the United States, the northeastern seaboard from Maryland to Massachusetts, the upper Midwest and California have the highest numbers of cases.
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Rasmussen: 46% think tea party will hurt GOP this election, 26% think it'll help
posted at 10:01 pm on January 11, 2012 by Allahpundit
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A fitting complement to last night's funereal New Hampshire results. This is from a poll of (1,000) likely voters too, not just adults, so if you find yourself wondering later this year why you're not hearing candidates tout the tea-party brand as much, here's why:
More voters than ever dislike the Tea Party, and a sizable number thinks the grass roots movement will hurt Republicans in this year's elections. But most GOP voters don't agree and see the Tea Party as good for them in November.
Among those who describe themselves as neither Democrats nor Republicans, i.e. independents, the spread is 17/49. I wish I could show you all the crosstabs but Ras puts those behind a reg wall, so I'll give you one key snippet. The question asked was whether the impact of the tea party on the budget debate made things better or worse for the country. The choices, in order from top to bottom, were "better," "worse," "no impact," "not sure." Behold:
Note the "other" column. What Rasmussen means by "budget debate" is debatable, but I assume most people understood it to be a reference to the debt-ceiling standoff this summer. An NYT poll taken right after that ended in early August showed a spike among people who said the tea party has too much influence over the GOP, from 27 percent in April to 43 percent. The idea that Republican freshmen were gung ho to let Treasury hit the ceiling was always overstated — the final deal passed comfortably — but the ones who insisted on brinksmanship evidently made an impression. In fact, according to Ras, not only is the TP's favorable rating now at 31/47 (26/48 among independents), but just 13 percent say they consider themselves part of the movement. In polls of adults, that number typically runs in the mid-20s to low 30s. Either the movement's shrunk considerably or there's an alarming gap in tea-party support between Americans generally and likely voters. I can't imagine why that would be — you'd think politically conscious TPers would be overrepresented among likely voters, not underrepresented — but it is what it is. No wonder Romney's cruising.
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I never liked fava beans…………….
dmann on January 12, 2012 at 12:01 AM
God made them…God loves them….
………you must be one of those "Godless Messiah's."
Baxter Greene on January 12, 2012 at 12:05 AM
That's a nice majority in the you have in the House there.
Would be a shame if anything happened to it…
-Tea Party
Everlasting_Knowitall on January 12, 2012 at 12:05 AM
Well it's getting late. Sweet dreams, everyone. And thank you, AP for the thread. But don't you worry about us Tea Partiers. We're still here, and we will, once again, make the difference this Fall (routinely misleading political polls notwithstanding).
minnesoter on January 12, 2012 at 12:06 AM
Thanks for this.
Since my family belongs to the Tea Party, we will make sure not to get near to any polling precinct on November. Ye know, We me her' GOP's shayn'ses.
TheAlamos on January 12, 2012 at 12:07 AM
God made them…God loves them….
………you must be one of those "Godless Messiah's."
Baxter Greene on January 12, 2012 at 12:05 AM
annoyinglittletwerp on January 12, 2012 at 12:07 AM
Because Barry and his handlers have a billion-dollar smear campaign waiting in the wings that will make the present primary look like a summer-league softball tourney.
minnesoter on January 11, 2012 at 11:58 PM
…..and a press that is not even trying to hide it's pom pom waving support for Obama the magnificent.
Baxter Greene on January 12, 2012 at 12:08 AM
TheAlamos on January 12, 2012 at 12:07 AM
Barack Obama would like to thank you for your help in getting him reelected.
annoyinglittletwerp on January 12, 2012 at 12:08 AM
dmann on January 11, 2012 at 11:57 PM
So people hate a way of life. See this is why Conservatism is hard to sell. We offer less not more. Who knew people would hate a frugal philosophy. A way of self management of affairs and responsibility. I guess when the founders came up with that whole self governance thing they had no idea folks would hate on it so much. Who knew?
Bmore on January 12, 2012 at 12:09 AM
That's a nice majority
in the you have in the House there.
Everlasting_Knowitall on January 12, 2012 at 12:10 AM
Baxter Greene on January 12, 2012 at 12:05 AM
if only I had the stones!
dmann on January 12, 2012 at 12:10 AM
1. The TEA party is unabashed conservatism and capitalism, thus Newt and Perry's people must hate them.
2. We can't run a strong TEA party candidate because the country is hurting, and we need to lie about conservatism to get the moderates and independents.
3. The NotRomneys then try to go further to the left than Romney, who clearly must be the TEA party favorite with his strong embrace of capitalism.
antisense on January 11, 2012 at 11:00 PM
Prove to me that conservatism is exactly the same as Romney's version of capitalism? Idjit!
Conservatism points to free market! Not monopolistic and crony capitalism.
With Romney's capitalism, YOU WILL HAVE A SUPER CORPORATION CONTROLLING EVERYTHING, NO DIFFERENCE WITH A CENTRAL GOVERNMENT CONTROLLING YOUR LIVES, IDJIT!
TheAlamos on January 12, 2012 at 12:12 AM
Who knew?
Bmore on January 12, 2012 at 12:09 AM
Who cares…..F'm! (horse and water ya know)
dmann on January 12, 2012 at 12:12 AM
if only I had the stones!
dmann on January 12, 2012 at 12:10 AM
Jesus answered, "I tell you, if these become silent, the stones will cry out!"
….if only.
Baxter Greene on January 12, 2012 at 12:17 AM
Rasmussen: 46% think tea party will hurt GOP this election, 26% think it'll help
Push Poll: 100% of Republican Establishment desperately trying to be accepted by the Dems/Media.
Everlasting_Knowitall on January 12, 2012 at 12:20 AM
The press and activist judges own this country, lock, stock, and barrel.
WWF tag teams got nothing on what these two do to the greatest nation to have ever existed.
Like rats to a corn silo they engorge themselves on our freedoms to satisfy their greed for power.
Speakup on January 12, 2012 at 12:20 AM
Blame Romney, not the Tea Party.
M_J_S on January 12, 2012 at 12:22 AM
The stage is now being set to blame the Tea Party if Romney loses this election (and to otherwise ignore further conservative advocacy/agitation should Romney win). Watch out, folks.
if only……
we become the crucible, the vessel of change, change that is tangable, change that is selfless, change that does not need hope……..
if only we are honest.
dmann on January 12, 2012 at 12:28 AM
dmann on January 12, 2012 at 12:28 AM
God Will Judge Us the Way We Judge Others (7:1-2)
Baxter Greene on January 12, 2012 at 12:36 AM
"More voters than ever dislike the Tea Party, and a sizable number thinks the grass roots movement will hurt Republicans in this year's elections."
That because this crap is spoon feed to the masses on the MSM (NBC,CBS,ABC,CNN,PBS,MSNBC) newspapers etc… so this whole poll should be discounted.
Next thing you will hear will be about the 57 states was have…
Can we fit 7 more stars on the flag?? /sarc
mr_west on January 12, 2012 at 12:45 AM
judgement……the ability to let go, the need to matter……dichotomy, so is our reality.
dmann on January 12, 2012 at 12:50 AM
The Tea Party is a grassroots movement, and therefore doesn't have a huge PR machine to dispel all the lies that the DNC spreads about it. And the Repubs don't stand up for the movement either. They just sit back and assume they'll get their votes. I wish there was some way the TP could organize just enough to at least defend itself against the progressive propaganda machine.
noworldcitizen on January 12, 2012 at 1:17 AM
So people hate a way of life. See this is why Conservatism is hard to sell. We offer less not more.
Bmore on January 12, 2012 at 12:09 AM
Maybe it's the way you worded it, but I would disagree. Conservatism offers a heck of a lot more than nanny-state Socialism.
It's the idea of "enough" vs. "whatever you want and are willing to work for".
Dr. ZhivBlago on January 12, 2012 at 1:27 AM
It's hurts them sure. But it put fiscal policy in the spotlight it deserves.
lexhamfox on January 12, 2012 at 1:28 AM
The tea party has no leader to focus the politics of personal destruction on, this is only a primary, the real campaigns for the other offices will not be hitting their stride till the 4th of July for state and federal offices, there is not likely any republican at that time going to be willing to thumb his nose at tea party endorsement after the last election. The republican establishment is stone stupid and will still support rinos because they never learn. We will be going for a majority with in the party as well control of both houses. with enough seats in the senate even if obama wins he will immediately face impeachment for first term high crimes and misdemeanors. Just because we are not protesting does not mean we will not express our support when it counts. As Hank Williams Jr. sings, "you can keep the change". We intend to take over the republican party because third parties fail.
dunce on January 12, 2012 at 1:57 AM
The Tea Party succeeded as an idea and floundered as Sarah Palin, Michele Bachmann, and Glenn Beck appropriated the Tea Party brand for personal gain.
Michele Bachmann income:
2008: $418,000
2009: $908,000
2010: $1,800,000
Glenn Beck income:
2008: $23,000,000
2009: $32,000,000
Sarah Palin income:
2007: $230,000
2009: $12,000,000
Ala Pundit on January 12, 2012 at 2:19 AM
Took back the House by a wide margin, took several hundred local State seats but the Tea Party is somehow a threat? Please.
Just because the voters of Nevada for example were STUPID, yes, STUPID enough to keep Harry Reid is hardly the fault of the Tea Party.
The Tea Party succeeded as an idea and floundered as Sarah Palin, Michele Bachmann, and Glenn Beck appropriated the Tea Party brand for personal gain.
Michele Bachmann income:
2008: $418,000
2009: $908,000
2010: $1,800,000
Glenn Beck income:
2008: $23,000,000
2009: $32,000,000
Sarah Palin income:
2007: $230,000
2009: $12,000,000
Ala Pundit on January 12, 2012 at 2:19 AM
Your malice eyes may be fair to Bachmann. Bu definitely, but it's an idiocy when it comes to Glenn Beck and Sarah Palin, who are private citizens.
Neverthelss, your malicious attack reflects your name!
Here's your idjicy: Beck and Palin are actually members of the labor force. But Mittens is a member of corporate club of WS.
TheAlamos on January 12, 2012 at 3:38 AM
Well, I gotta say, John Bolton's full endorsement of Romney tonight on Greta goes a long way towards giving me some comfort level with him as POTUS – Especially if/when The 'Stache is in a prominent and powerful position in a Romney administration. I'd actually be relieved (resigned?) at this point to be able to put the POTUS candidate issue to rest, and focus my energy on helping Tea Party candidates down ticket for the rest of this cycle. Turn Romney loose to run his nasty campaign tactics on Obama, instead of flogging dead horses for the next 6 months. He's evidently pretty good at that.
The Tea Party we have in Congress and in the state legislatures is still at the AAA farm team level at this point. I wish it weren't so, but we are not going to get a Rubio or West electable as Potus for another election cycle or two. Now's the time to elect Tea Party candidates across the country at all lower levels of gov't. We need to make 2010 look like a practice swing, and knock 2012 out of the park with a massive infusion of TP blood – these are the legislators who will be sending Romney conservative legislation to sign, and repeal legislation for undoing as much Obama damage as possible, starting of course with Obamacare.
Harbingeing on January 12, 2012 at 4:18 AM
John Bolton supports Mitt Romney. Live on Greta.
Philly on January 11, 2012 at 10:22 PM
All this poll shows is that the GOP cannot be counted on to follow through the core principle of the Tea Party – reduce spending by any means. Excessive taxation (federal/state income taxes, gas tax, phone tax, tolls, sales tax, property tax, utility tax, hidden taxes on goods delivered that are passed from companies to the consumer) kills liberty. Saddling the populace with debt kills liberty. This poll shows the GOP cannot be counted on to deliver us from the excesses of an unbridled federal government.
noeastern on January 12, 2012 at 5:44 AM
John Bolton supports Mitt Romney. Live on Greta.
Philly on January 11, 2012 at 10:22 PM
And, now joins a long list of "conservatives" who are dead to me.
noeastern on January 12, 2012 at 5:45 AM
The public flogging of the Tea Party by the media along with the lukewarm support of some beltway Republicans evidences their power to marginalize the movement with great success. The fact that the Tea Party is truly grassroots shook up a lot of people because they could not have the great unwashed masses informed and effective. Unfortunately for the naysayers, a sleeping giant has been awakened and that is why this primary is such a mess. The people are wanting common sense conservative answers to the country's problems and they don't see it in the candidates. They are looking for someone they can trust who voices their concerns. Because the people do not trust these candidates they are hopping from one candidate to another. What could have been a fairly easy win against the Marxist in chief is now worrisome. Seems we are being forced to settle for the establishment candidate again which is exactly why there is so much animosity toward certain candidates. The fact that the Tea Party could have been a real force in this election is why you have seen one conservative candidate after another trashed by the powers that be. Whether we want to believe it or not there really is a class system in this country and the ruling class has no intention of letting the peons have a seat at the table.
JannyMc on January 12, 2012 at 6:12 AM
Harbingeing at 4:18 a.m.
What you said.
Pray for the Worcester County (MD) Tea Party – our first public meeting is tomorrow evening.
Turn MD Red on January 12, 2012 at 6:46 AM
Ala Pundit on January 12, 2012 at 2:19 AM
Glenn Beck is spending himself into oblivion creating an internet tv network with studios larger than any three of the MFM news organizations COMBINED. He is keeping it running based on those willing to pay to watch it and he is accountable to those subscribers. He has also made it plain that he plans on dying broke having given his money away.
He is doing an excellent job of that and yet he keeps making more than he spends, and so far that is his entire income plus a large chunk of his savings based on the proposition that people not only want a positive message that you are important in the formulation of this Nation and that you are a positive agent to get it back on track.
I'm not seeing any of the politicians doing that sort of stuff.
And the 'smart money' in media sector doesn't have anyone trying to do that on this scale, although there are some very interesting start-ups based on the internet tv concept… and just like GBTV they are all niche players and producers of content. For good or ill Glenn Beck is putting his money, his savings, his heart and his time into doing this. You may not like the man, but do recognize that he isn't out to MAKE MONEY but to DIE BROKE. At this rate he will have a tough time doing so… strange how that works out, isn't it?
ajacksonian on January 12, 2012 at 6:50 AM
……….and when you ask 80% of Americans what "Progressive" is they would say its an auto insurance company.
…………this kind of lazy citizenry is why we have this mess now. Most Americans are more worried about getting to their latest kids activity and getting fresh fries in drive thru than are worried about our debt rating or "crony capitalism".
We see these Americans on the highways pulling out of Drive thru all the time. Cell phones talking to the coach in one hand and steering and passing fries back to the kids with the other hand. THEY don't have the time to be involved. They get their news in 30 second sound bytes from Associated Press or via Doug Limerick of ABC News.
A recipe for a failing Republic.
PappyD61 on January 12, 2012 at 7:04 AM
Well, I suppose those fools over at MSNBC, CBS, ABC, and CNN are clapping themselves on the back and laughing at how easily duped the American people are. They managed to lie enough about the Tea Party to make those foolish "others" believe that the Tea Party is racists, far right lunatics when nothing could be further from the truth. As I see it, even LIBERALS should be members of the Tea Party. What is wrong with the premise that the government should be responsible with our money and that taxes shouldn't go up until the government can demonstrate that responsibility?
eyesights on January 12, 2012 at 7:10 AM
These same people thought the tea party hurt Republicans in the 2010 election. We will hurt Republicans similarly in 2012.
BBReggie on January 12, 2012 at 7:11 AM
Well, look at what we have to show for the Tea Party election of 2010; nothing. Obama is still doing whatever he wants with impunity. The Congress delivered by that, Tea Party influenced, landslide has not done a single damn thing that they said they would. People are fed up that nobody keeps their word any more.
Levinite on January 12, 2012 at 7:26 AM
Honestly, as a TEA partier myself, I'm actually reather surprised that this poll isn't even WORSE for the TEA Party than it is.
Think about it: Ever since the TEA Party began we've had nothing but wall to wall negative press reporting on every news outlet save ONE (Fox News). While Fox is absolutely the market leader, many people get their news from multiple sources. Those not directly affiliated with the TEA Party or otherwise involved in grassroots efforts can be forgiven for having a negative opinion of them, even if they would otherwise agree with everything the TEA party stands for. They've heard nothing but how the TEA Party is just a bunch of Racist, Bigoted, Homophobe, Nativist monsters for almost THREE YEARS!
The very fact that ONLY 46% have a negative opinion of the TEA Party just shows how ineffectual the MSM has become in their public brainwashing efforts.
Oh, and for those of you saying the TEA Party "cost of the Senate in 2010". That's hogwash. We didn't have a chance at those seats. At most we could have won ONE more, and that wouldn't have made a difference. Especially if we voted in someone who would vote with the Democrats most of the time.
So stop your bellyaching. Pragmatism is all well and good, but it isn't pragmatism to elect people who don't stand for ANY of your core values and only wear the "R" as a sheepskin disguise so they can gain access to the levers of power.
In the meantime, I think the TEA Party needs to fire back up this spring and stage MANY more rallies. No more sitting on the sidelines, complacency kills.
The GOP establishment treats the Tea Party like it treats so-called "far-right" conservatives…pays them lip service, gives 'em few committee bones that won't rock the ship…but in the end they are taken for granted because the PTB's figure "where they gonna go?"…Well, keep bad-mouthing the Tea Party and their ideals, keep breaking promises and torpedoing their candidates and you will find out where they will go…and the GOP will be a democrat-lite minority party forever…and the Obama's of the world will reign supreme. The PTB's keep saying it will be the Tea Party's fault if they don't support "whomever the GOP nominee is" (code words for Ruling Class losers like Romney, Big Government operators like gNewt and untrustworthy turncoat morons like Huntsman)it will be their fault Obama is re-elected and for the GOP folding. No dipsticks, it will be because we refuse to be taken for granted any longer and refuse to play by your loser rules!
insidiator on January 12, 2012 at 7:48 AM
The gop establishment has triumphed.
PappyD61 on January 11, 2012 at 10:38 PM
Yeah, but it'll be back after Obama's re-elected. With a vengeance.
ddrintn on January 12, 2012 at 7:53 AM
Amazing! Morons blame the tea party for the loss of the Senate!
We really do come by the Party of Stupid label the honest way.
Republicans didn't have the Senate to begin with. Forgotten seems to be the 60-odd house and 6 senate seats gained BECAUSE OF the Tea Party.
SAMinVA on January 12, 2012 at 8:13 AM
Since the Tea Party's goal was to take over the Republican Party with conservatives that stick to their principles, then this poll reveals the true idealogy of the Republican Party, and it's not conservative. Jim Demint knows this which is why he is concerned that the Senate will not turn if the anti-Romney Tea Partiers don't show up at the polls to vote for the Presidential candidate. Tea Partiers are not thin skinned, they've been called every negative name in the book, this won't phase them either. Don't forget that it was the Tea Party vote that gave the Republicans majority in the House. At some point, the truth is going to matter.
lea on January 12, 2012 at 8:22 AM
I can't imagine why America wouldn't support the Tea Party. I mean, who doesn't like a bunch of senior citizens who collect Social Security and Medicare whine that they pay too much taxes.
KeninCT on January 12, 2012 at 8:24 AM
I think the Tea Party will definitely help the GOP. I was one of those that "sat out" the last Presidential election because I could not support McCain. Obama's win and Presidency has shown the country what liberalism really means. The Tea Partiers won't sit this one out. Who do you think they will vote for, Obama? I have my favorites, but whoever has the nomination gets my vote.
NotEasilyFooled on January 12, 2012 at 8:26 AM
Thank God for the Tea Party! It's a breath of fresh air for the GOP – granted not all Tea Partiers are republicans, but it's very telling how the GOP good old boy establishment hates the threat of this conservative movement. How else to explain their constant disdain and throwing under the bus any conservative candidate that's popular with the Tea Party. Call me crazy, but I can count on one hand the conservative Presidents we've had in the past 100 years and they've been great. But instead we've been getting "moderates" pushed down our throats for so long that most have been brain washed into thinking that's the only way. And it hasn't worked well in the past and I don't see that changing anytime soon. Well, the people are pushing back and the democrats as well as the republican establishment don't like it one bit. Too bad, how sad.
mozalf on January 12, 2012 at 8:31 AM
Amazing! Morons blame the tea party for the loss of the Senate!
We really do come by the Party of Stupid label the honest way.
Republicans didn't have the Senate to begin with. Forgotten seems to be the 60-odd house and 6 senate seats gained BECAUSE OF the Tea Party.
SAMinVA on January 12, 2012 at 8:13 AM
Well said and should be repeated. Had the GOP backed McConnell and Angle, they would have won. Instead, the GOP wanted to teach us a lesson. Lesson learned? We need to work harder for the Tea Party.
NotEasilyFooled on January 12, 2012 at 8:33 AM
Here is what this survey also tells us: The Tea Party is widely understood to be very supportive of much more rigorous fiscal discipline…that is their PR…good in my view
But what this tells us is that the current leading candidate is also best known for being a hard line financial guy (even if not true), that may give him some Tea Party support, but the 46% tells us that there are a whole lot of voters out there that are afraid of losing some of their share of the government largess, and these are not all poor folks.
This is more proof that Romney is unelectable
georgealbert on January 12, 2012 at 9:06 AM
The majority of American's don't want what the tea party is peddling. They want someone to tell them it's going to be alright, and the GOP, under the tea party influence, let just a bit too much reality and desperation seep through. So the tea party is done, for the moment, but once people come to terms with the real state of the world then it will be back.
DFCtomm on January 12, 2012 at 9:23 AM
This is more proof that Romney is unelectable
georgealbert on January 12, 2012 at 9:06 AM
Mitt Romney is not unelectable.
He's just not the best choice.
listens2glenn on January 12, 2012 at 9:24 AM
The first thing an intelligent individual should ask about a poll result: What was exact wording in the question? If you know this, then you know if it is a 'worthy poll' (oxymoron – I know). 2nd: What group was 'targeted' for the question? Important to determine the bias in the poll. If there is bias in a poll, then it becomes a 'push poll'. If the TEA Party groups were so despised, then why even ask the question. I went to their site and I couldn't find the exact question. Maybe you have to register to see it. If the TEA Party was dead, then why are there so many more organizations with the same values but with different names. In Texas for every one group named TEA Party XXXX there are at least 5 more organizations with like-minded agendas that have completely different names.
uber-con on January 12, 2012 at 9:40 AM
Either the movement's shrunk considerably or there's an alarming gap in tea-party support between Americans generally and likely voters. I can't imagine why that would be — you'd think politically conscious TPers would be overrepresented among likely voters, not underrepresented — but it is what it is.
Two things which has caused a lot of right-leaning independents / moderates, like me, to turn on the Tea Party:
1. Their lack of pragmatism and the perception that some of them were just playing games. Note your remarks on the "brinkmanship" of some Tea Party freshman.
2. The ever-growing influence of the so-cons / "evangelicals" over the Tea Party. When the TP started, it really was focused on more libertarian goals. That quickly went out the window for Jim DeMint's "true conservative" BS, in which if one happens to be more progressive on issues like, for example, gay marriage, you're castigated as someone as bad as any diehard quasi-communist leftie.
Vyce on January 12, 2012 at 9:41 AM
Propaganda works, and Alinsky was right. That's the lesson here.
The lefties froze the Tea Party in the public mind, smeared it endlessly for months, blamed everything they could think of on the Tea Party, and the deed was done.
Importantly though, the public agrees in large numbers with the proposition that deficits are too large and must be curtailed, the massive public debt endangers our country, and Congress must respond to our concerns. Who cares about the media smear, if we win the contest of ideas then we can rehabilitate the Tea Party in the public eye as we also enjoy the fruits of smaller government.
MTF on January 12, 2012 at 9:56 AM
It does seem that Certain groups of Tea Partiers try to speak for the whole Tea Party. If I was phoned with that poll question, I think I would wonder if the Tea Party is working against My candidate. We just had Kelly Ayotte and Nikki Haley supporting Mitt Romney up here, and many of us who like Tea Party ideas think that Mitt Romney has the kind of background to grab the reins of government and give it a hard shake.
But I got an email from a Tea Party group saying that Mitt Romney is killing the tea party. That kind of rhetoric is not welcome, so I would agree with the Rassmussen poll here, YUP some Tea Party Ers will make a fuss and might ruin the election, if they don't get their way? Prove me wrong, act like rational adults.
Fleuries on January 12, 2012 at 10:31 AM
And I want to agree with Vyce above.
There is no room for denominational religion in the platform of the tea party. Amen.
Fleuries on January 12, 2012 at 10:32 AM
Jesus answered, "I tell you, if these become silent, the stones will cry out!"
….if only.
Baxter Greene on January 12, 2012 at 12:17 AM
The word, "stones" proves that He wasn't referring to our coterie of Republican Congressional Eunuchs. (sigh)
* With the notable exception of CA Rep. Darrell Issa.
TheClearRiver on January 12, 2012 at 10:34 AM
The only reason for this is because there's not a Tea Party party.
As soon as that political organization is born (due to whatever the actual politically cataclysmic "formation event" is), it will become the second largest of the three parties, and the largest within an election cycle.
The GOP is rushing towards its Whig Moment, but they're not quite there, yet. We haven't …quite …given them their last chance to get it right.
…but we haven't lost our "pissed off", and we're watching.
I don't get it. What I think people are put off by is the narrative of the Tea Party put forth by the media and the commentariat. The rise of the Tea Party is the most authentic and remarkable sentiment based movement in modern history, imho. Because it was so sudden and sweeping many have tried to Alinskyize it for lack of a better term. Quite frankly it is despised by the elites of both major political parties because it is Joe and Jane six pack, refusing to do what they're told and be obedient drones. We're supposed to let the smarty pants set do all the political heavy lifting for us because we don't know how things get done in D.C. and tend to let silly things like values and principles get in the way of "compromise" and "consensus". I am a Tea Party supporter in that I believe they represent what has been missing for far too long from the political process in America, We the People! If people think Sharon Angle and COD were such terrible picks, tell me the so called "Establishment" picked better with Jumpin' Jim Jeffords, Arlen Specter and Dede Scozzafava?
Pqlyur1 on January 12, 2012 at 10:48 AM
The truth is, the anti-Conservative propaganda campaign has been working. The Socialists have had decades to perfect their methods and we are just learning. I witnessed the birth of the plan in DC during the anti-healthcare legislation. Jesse Jackson was apparently called to help and he stood in front of the Tea Party group and taunted us by waving and smiling to get us to boo him. He then went into the building and later a group of black congressmen emerged and walked through the crowd, obviously getting booed as Jesse Jackson had previously. They then began using this to characterize the Tea Party as racist. It was an obvious setup. The rest of Congress used the underground tunnels to get to their offices, which made this setup so obvious.
henryknox on January 12, 2012 at 10:51 AM
Truth is the DBM has had lots of help in demonizing the Tea Party Pats.
Rinos,Indys and Liberals found it necessary to try and equate the occupier/morons with the Tea Party.
As usual it's the same old meme for the DBM/DNC. They created the lie–the tea party is this, is that, they are wild eyed sheet wearing radicals, radical conservatives, instead of what/who they are.They are, of course, our grandparents,fathers,mothers and the finest of citizens we have in the country. They desperately care about the future, not for themselves, but for their kids and grandchildren! This is why they have become such as huge target. They represent old line patriots who put the country first and their needs second.
They were and are a huge target that had to be destroyed by the Soros led left wing Marxists running the country.
Unless we start standing up for those who represent the finest values of the country such as the Tea party pats this DBM nightmare will occur over and over and over.
How else can a political party and a drunken media legitimize "an all out Marxist" hell bent on destroying the country, much less the idiotic occupy movement?<p
All the left has is lies. Repeated enough those who have little if any political expertise by into them just so they can be seen to be like everyone else.
Its all crap and we should have defended them more.
This is a natural consequence of so many people being dependent on the government. This is the revealing and ironic problem of the whole situation.
Of course drug addicts resist anything that might affect their addiction.
Not surprising.
Pablo Snooze on January 12, 2012 at 12:01 PM
Anyone in America that says they "hate, dislike and it's causing problems" about The Tea Party is either an uberprogressive hatemonger, a liberal, democrat, uninformed, ignorant or too stupid to understand the basics of life. OR,
sharinlite on January 12, 2012 at 2:20 PM
sharinlite on January 12, 2012 at 2:21 PM
Propaganda works, and Alinsky was right. That's the lesson here.
The lefties froze the Tea Party in the public mind, smeared it endlessly for months, blamed everything they could think of on the Tea Party, and the deed was done.
MTF on January 12, 2012 at 9:56 AM
But, this would not have been possible if not for the help of the Republican establishment who stood silently on the sidelines (or in many cases joined in on the bashing). If the would have joined jumped 100% in one the sole issue of defict/debt reduction, the message would have resonated. Alas, the Republican party is not truly interested in joining the deficit/debt reduction battle.
noeastern on January 12, 2012 at 2:51 PM
Two things which has caused a lot of right-leaning independents / moderates, like me, to turn on the Tea Party:
1. Their lack of pragmatism….
Vyce on January 12, 2012 at 9:41 AM
$17,000,000,000,000.00 says take you pragmatism and shove it up your —.
noeastern on January 12, 2012 at 2:58 PM
cabbie25 on January 12, 2012 at 8:19 PM
cabbie25 on January 12, 2012 at 8:19 PM
Sorry to spoil your fun.
Bmore on January 12, 2012 at 8:21 PM


text:
The Gillard government's first response to the distressing and alarming ABC interview of Detective Chief Inspector Peter Fox about paedophilia was to deflect, procrastinate and evade.
Fox's stories of sexual abuse of children by Catholic priests were harrowing, but the truly alarming part was his clear implication that the church was being protected from proper investigation.
As pressure built for a national royal commission the next day, Friday last week, Gillard was caught at a disadvantage. She was in Indonesia for the Bali Democracy Forum hosted by President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono.
She told reporters she was "very concerned" and would review reports when she returned to Canberra.
But the instinct to inertia was clear. The Prime Minister's press office referred reporters to Julia Gillard's comments in August. "I don't have an intention of having a royal commission," she had said then. "But I do believe that every individual who has something to say about what's happened to them, every individual who's suffered, needs to be treated respectfully and needs to have their suffering acknowledged."
She was prepared to empathise but not to act. And the Prime Minister's media team sent Bill Shorten onto the airwaves to deflect: "I have thought about this question - how do you best deal with it? I am not convinced that having a royal commission is going to fix the faults."
Shorten had wanted a royal commission but dutifully did as he was told and hewed to the government line.
So how did the government get from that position on Friday to announcing a royal commission on Monday evening?
There were a number of influences, but a critical factor was Tony Windsor, the independent member for the NSW seat of New England and one of the crossbenchers whose support keeps Labor in power.
Windsor had no hesitation in calling for a royal commission. He phoned ABC radio on Saturday morning and his public demand was on the 11am news. He said that he'd write to the Prime Minister to ask for a royal commission. He did, and he followed up with a phone call to Gillard's staff at lunchtime on Monday to press the point.
"You don't want to be the fifth ambulance on the scene - there will be enormous pressure to do it and it's better to do it sooner rather than later," he told Gillard's staff.
The O'Farrell government in NSW had already announced an inquiry on Friday in response to the Fox claims, and the Baillieu government in Victoria had announced one earlier. The ambulances were already sounding their sirens, though neither state inquiry could have dealt with the matter nationally.
What motivated Windsor? "It was the police issue and Inspector Fox - when police officers with standing say that this" - the Catholic Church - "is impregnable and we can't get at it, that's a matter for real concern," he told me.
"It's OK to have the separation of church and state, but that doesn't put the church above the state. If we can't get anywhere investigating this church, then it's time to put it to a higher authority."
By which he means a temporal one, a royal commissioner, rather than a spiritual one.
Windsor was right and the pressure on Gillard mounted as the day went on. His fellow independent Rob Oakeshott, another whose support is vital to keeping the government in power, phoned Gillard's office on Monday morning to let the government know he would also be supporting calls for a royal commission.
Among others, Labor's internal opposition leader, Kevin Rudd, from Dubai, called for an inquiry. The external Leader of the Opposition, Tony Abbott, agreed to support a royal commission in the event that the government wanted one. Some Labor backbenchers, the Left's Melissa Parke and Doug Cameron, were finding their voices, too, even as their leaders held mum.
The independent South Australian senator Nick Xenophon promised to bring a private member's bill to create a royal commission. The Greens had been calling for once since 2005. By the time Gillard convened her cabinet that afternoon, she had decided to install a royal commission.
"I congratulate her," says Windsor, "and I like to think she would have called one anyway."
It was not the first time that Windsor had led in demanding decisive action on a matter of morality. It was only a month earlier that Windsor and Oakeshott took the fate of Peter Slipper, then speaker of the House, into their own hands.
While Gillard was still speaking on the floor of the House in defence of Slipper, the two independents walked around to the speaker's office and engineered his resignation later that day over his comments demeaning women.
Have these independents become the moral compass of the Gillard government?
Oakeshott says so: "From the outset, it's been our private view that our job is to be a bit of a moral compass and to make government better and the Parliament better," he tells me.
Windsor puts it this way: ''The crossbenchers are closer to community attitudes. I think both major parties are so risk-averse they can't hear. There's always someone saying, 'Don't go after the Catholic Church because they've got 40 per cent of the electorate.'
"Or, 'Be careful with Peter Slipper because if he spits the dummy and walks you'll be gone.' The point is, if you DON'T tackle these things you'll be gone. It's this focus on the next election all the time. They miss the moments. It's not peculiar to this government."
Certainly not. Consider the sordid details emerging in the Independent Commission Against Corruption of the alleged corruption entrenched in the NSW Labor government that ruled for 16 years. It exposes what appear to be a disgraceful horde of cockroaches abusing their power, enriching themselves, betraying the people and corroding the institutions of governance and public order.
Where was the Labor leadership when all this was going on? How many moments were missed as these creatures infested the system?
The ABC reporter Sabra Lane this week asked Bob Carr, premier for the first 10 of those 16 years and now Foreign Affairs Minister, "Are you ashamed by the revelations?"
Carr, who has not been implicated in any corrupt dealings, declined to comment on the ground that it was a matter before ICAC.
It's easier for an independent to act on his conscience because he's risking only his own seat and his own career. The leader of a party has responsibility for an institution, a movement, and a great mass of people and interests.
Yet Windsor and Oakeshott argue that a tolerance of immoral or unacceptable behaviour does not ultimately protect a political party but harms it.
And Oakeshott says that the course he and Windsor took was the harder of the options available to them when the hung parliament first presented itself to them as kingmakers - or, as it happened, queenmakers - after the 2010 election.
"The easier path for us to take after the election would have been to make Tony Abbott prime minister, put our feet under the desk for three years as ministers in an Abbott government.
"We would have had a massively easy re-election option because we wouldn't have had a Liberal or Liberal-National candidate standing against us, or, if we had, they would have run all but dead."
And both Oakeshott and Windsor had been National MPs in their previous lives in the NSW Parliament.
The pair knew they would anger their regional and rural constituencies by installing Gillard as prime minister. "We talked about it at the time," but decided that the national interest required them to weight the competing policy offerings of the two parties and choosing the one they thought better.
The pair detect a change of tone in their electorates in the past few months. They think their constituents are becoming more appreciative. "I have someone coming up to me almost daily now and saying, 'I could have slit your throat two years ago but now I can see what you were trying to do and I'll back you,'" Oakeshott says.
Why the change? The benign reality of the carbon tax, in contrast to its fearsome Abbottesque pre-publicity, is a factor, he says, and so is the realisation of local projects funded by policies the independents won, such as hospital funding for regional Australia.
But the greatest challenge for these "moral compasses" of the Gillard government may lie ahead. The scandal of Gillard's long-ago boyfriend, Bruce Wilson, will not go away.
The two were an item when the former AWU official stole money from the union through the mechanism of a slush fund that Gillard, then a lawyer at Slater and Gordon in Melbourne, helped him set up.
Gillard insists that she did no wrong, but declines to answer new questions on the matter as they emerge in the media.
The opposition will use the final sitting week of Parliament, the week after next, to press for answers. Gillard expects that she can simply tough the matter out.
But if the questions get uncomfortable in the weeks and months ahead, Windsor and Oakeshott may have to consider how far they'll go to defend the Prime Minister. Their most difficult judgments may yet lie ahead.
Peter Hartcher is the political editor.


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Grub-Street Journal (Newspaper) - May 28, 1730, London, Middlesex Nt*mb*2i j Cgtutfbap, mat 28. 1730, fo^-py iVoy� injured redfon tires j Their Verfe immoral kindles loofe -defires. Young's i Epift. to Mr. Pope. tpillp rjr .�sM T has been a frequent pra&ice with the members of our ' Society, when' at any time they have engaged in an undertaking of this nature, to write Letters to themfelves, in order to excite others to do the fame , and fo affift them in filling up their Pa* pers. For our parts, we are forced to lay alide many of �hc Letters, which are every day directed to me. Some juc pleafed to beftow fucb high complements on me, that my modefty will not permit me to read them to the Society ; whilft others treat me in fb rdugh a manner, that it is not thought for my reputation to difcover their cenfures to the Public. A third fort of Correspondents fo far miftake the very deSign of this Paper, that I am forced to lay their Letters aSide, or take the liberty of making many alterations in them. One of them, to whom our Society has been obli ged for the Bailiff's Epitaph, is angry at the emendations of another of our Friends j and flicks by his own reading with the proper warmth of a Critic. To be even with the other Gentleman, he charges his Epitaph on William Daw with being fpurious, and fays it is thus in the genuine Copies ; Poor William Daw, Attorney at Law, At laft is at reft: Nam hie fitus tfi. This teal for a genuine reading is very commendable; but I muft confefs, that I think the firft reading fo much better, that if it is not the true one, I cannot help wilhing it was. The fame Gentleman has fent me a copy of a Welch Gentleman's Inventory, defiring it might be inferted in our next Paper: in which I (hould have obliged him, if 1 had not known it to be in print already. The following letter is printed at length, without any abridgment. To Mr. Bavius, Secretary to the Grubean Society. SIR, THE Honourable Mr. Boyl, I well remember,-in a Preface to one of his excellent Treatiies, feems to wiSh that at fome considerable diftance of time, we had a clear account of the authors who have appeared in publick, upon what Subjects they have written, and in their relpedtive pieces what truths they have brought into the learned world. Mr. Boyl feems very much pleafed with this thought, and I believe you will agree with me, that it would be much more ufeful now, than at the time that Gentleman wrote. I heartily wifh he had left us a Specimen pf fucb a Work as this ; but as he has not, I deSpair of ever feeing Co ufeful a thing weil accomplished. In thefe times every body muft at firft fight apprehend the advantage x>f fuch a thing as this : and \ muft own, upon the coafideration of the itws our prefent Writers feem to he pofliefled with, I had once a mind to have written fomething upon this fubje& my&lf, for thefe laft twenty years,- and I really believe, according to the method I propofed to my Self, it would have been comprjfed in a fmall Volume. The chief reafon of my not. proceeding in this affair, was the publication of your Journal: which beiog the Wcrk of fo ingenious a Society, and, as I thought, aiming at much the fam� thing, quite difheartcn'd me from making 4k an? progrefi in it. I confefs your Papers hitherto have cot been-altogether adequate to the method I propofed; or i&at J flatter'd my felf I Should find in them. For I doaiTwe you, I Should have fpent very little time upon the XJeDtfemao, whom I found to have told the world nothing bat what was published twenty or thirty years before, to much greater advantage. I never intended to.&y-a ward upon the many Novell, Plays, and fuch hings, as have 6cen written only to amufe, without ma- king any one difcovery, or adding the leaft truth to Science. And now, Sir, I hope you'll giye me leave to tell you, I was not a little furprifed upon reading your laft Paper, to find you had condescended to make your remarks upon a Farce j and that written by no more considerable a perfon than Mr. Ralph j one, who would certainly have lived and died in obfeurity, had it not been for the ingenious Author of the Dunciad, who Jeft him to be hooted at by the Owls. I am forry to find you Should have no greater regard to the honour of your felf and Society, than to offer to ridicule a perfon of his Stamp; efpecialiy upon fo frivolous a fubjeft, as that of z Farce. You don't feem to reflect, that Virgil's fatirizing Bavius (is your worthy Prefident obferves.) gave the common people of Rome an occafion of thinking him not altogether inconsiderable 5 and at leaft has been the means of handing his name down to posterity. For Heaven's fake, Mr. Bavius, what occafion was there ro publish that medley of wretched iimilies, and Billingsgate language, you have collected from that Gentleman's Farce I Is it not fufficienr, that fuch language is vented ia Goodman's fields to make night hideous; but that you muft needs have it over again in your weekly Paper, to ftun the ears of your readers? Indeed I cannot iorbear deliveting my thoughts freely to you, that fucb Subjects, . and fuch Authors, will fink your Php^r, much below tie Idea I had conceived of it. I apprehended your defign had been to let us know the Character of each Author and writing that Shall appear in publick: and with this view your Paper will certainly merit eftcem. 1 will allow you indeed, when you are recommending an Author to the world, to give us fome farther cafte of his beauties, than your bare word j nay, even to extend your panegyrick to the length of a Paper: but when you fpeak of a mere Scribbler, a word Shall fatisfie me without giving your felt the trouble of any quotations, at leaft very few. You may perhaps imagine, that I apply the word Scribbler to this Author out of fome private pique or quarrel: but I do aSTure yotr, I have ro other averfion to him, but what has been given mf by his Writings, having no acquaintance at all with his perfon. You may poffibly think me a very odd whimfical Fellow : bur I do afTure you, I had no fboncr read your Recipe from Dr. Robinson's Theory of Phyfick, than I Sent for the Book, and cou'd nor prevail with my felf to lay it dpwn, till I had gone through almoft all the Recipes: and I really believe, if you was to quote the Book again, I Should not forbear reading it through; but at prefent, I thank God, that paffion is abated. I have not indeed yet ventured to read his Trtatife upon the Spleen and Vapours. For you muft know, being a Single man, I prudently considered, that thofe rapturous thoughts upon a certain paffion, would go near to overwhelm me. Your Quotations from Dr. Turner are indeed Somewhat different from .this laft Gendeman's, being fo very plain and eafy, as not to give an over great conflict to any of the fenfes 5 fb-that I could read your quotations from him, without any further defire of his writings, than what proceeds merely from an ambition I have to fur-niSh the empty Shelves in my library. Now, Mr. Bavius, as I doubt not but fevera! of your Readers are ltd into the fame way of thinking with my felf, you would be very obliging to give us only Short hints of the dangerous writings of fuch men astbefe; and not put us to the expenceof buying Books, to mdu'ge a paSfion we can infinitely better gratify in Don 6)uixot or Gulliver, In Short, if you approve of my method, and refolve not to fpend your time upon fuch Scribblers, as are only the amufement of Tyro's ; I Shall gain my end in reading your Paper: if not, for reafons 1 have already told you, I think I had better let it alone. I am, SIR, Fetter-lane, April Your very bumble Servanr. 28, 1730. P. S. I will allow you to dwell a little longer, and be more particular, when you cenfure any Writing of a Perfon, who has before, upon other Subjects, written better. Upon reading this Letter, Mr. Prefident, with the approbation of the Society, ordered me to let the Writer know, that it was our chief defign to give a particular account of books, published only Since laft New years day, that being the ^fira, from which our Memoirs begin ; and that we Shall take notice, of thofe antecedent to that time, only occasionally. That however, if this Gentleman will communicate to us any Critical Remarks upon Authors, either before, orfincej we Shall con-fiderthem with the greateft impartiality, and not fupprefs them but upon the jufteft reafons. Thar" he goes a little too far in cenfuring us for condescending to make our remarks upon a Farce. For can thofe fubjecls be too low! forVour notice, which arc become ttie entertainments of the higheft audience? Are any of our Theatres fupportedf by any dramatic pieces, but Farcer? He is likewife de-j fired to forbear for the future all opprobrious app-llations \ of any Gentleman of our Society, fuch 2s Scribbler, &c.' which he has in fo contemptuous a manner applied to the 1 learned Mr. Ralph, at the fame time extolling our pro-feSl enemy, the Author of the Dunc'tad. This Author, ia p3g. 148. of that book, has a virulent note againlt this; Gentleman : in which he fays, that he wrote a /wearing piece againfl Dr. Swift, Mr. Gay, and him ; that he once p-aifed him/elf highly above Mr. Add/son, inwretch-ed Remarks upon that Author's Account of Engli/h PottSy printed in a Land- Journ. Sept. 1728. that he was wholly illiterate, and knew no language, not even French; and that being mhifd to read the rules of dramuic poetry b'fore he began a Play, he fmiled, and replied, Shake/pear \ writ without rules Nowr tho* this Account be very improbable, ytt fuppofing it true, it carries in it a real ] panegyric on rhis Gentleman, by a tacit acknowledg-i ment of his extraordinary parts. Without which, a Perfon, not understanding any language but Englifh, and consequently noc throughly understanding that, could never have raifed himfelf to that eminence, as to be the Inren-tor of a new fpecies of Poetry, a Pindarick Ode in blank �verfe; a fpecies fo fublime, that not one perfon has had the preemption to imitate him therein. The following Letter addrelfed to our Society, being fomewhat too long, it was thought proper to abridge it a little ; but the whole l'ubftance has been preserved. Gentlemen, YOU have juftly obferved, in your Journal, Numb}* 14. that the aftions of Great men are not cogni^a- j ble by the Vulgar , and that it is not reafonabie, that plebeian Juries Should prefumc to give a Verdidt upon Fa6fs, which, tho' criminal when committed by one of the Popub.ce, are to be considered in another light, | when men of birth or fortune are concerned. That learned Member of your Saciety, the candid All- , thor of the Sefjions Paper, feems fo well apprized of this] truth ; that it is believed, he will not expofe to the peru-' Sal of the Vulgar an account of fbofe vexatious profe- , cutions againft Gentlemen of fpirit and humour, in that j circumftantial manner which has be*n formerly practi-; fed; but that thofe Narratives wiil be caftrated for the, future of all opprobrious particulars given in evidence,! which may be prejudicial to the character of Gentle-1 men. He Ins on fevera! occafiens (hewed himfelf fb excellently quaiifud for this undertaking, by accommoda-. ting the accounts of public Tryals to private conveni-1 encies; that it is a great question, whether a more] proper perfon could have been found throughout this whole City. But with great fubmiffion, I muft take the liberty to fay, that I think Mr. P-ne has gone a little too far, in introducing the Judges, as approving and patronizing this way of procedure. For I apprehend it to be ia confiftent with their avowed profeffion, as well asdail] practice; who oblige perfons, before they give evidence^ Solemnly to Swear, that rhey will declare the truth, th zvhole truth, and nothing but the truth. How then they be fuppofed to authorize a Piece, wherein thegr er part of the truth is SuppreSJed, and only a fmall \w\ published, and even that fweetcned with falvos, and moll lifying claufes ? I I make no question but Mr. P--ns had weighty rea-l fons for what he published relating ro the Tryal of Pet.\ Costyn : tho' one of the Judges took fo {great oSfenc* at it, that he threatened to fend him to Newgate; and was, with much difficulty, append by bis fubmiffioa and begging pardon ia a public manner. In thisfubraif. ;
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Council majority prefers to keep status quo on access to Oswego Lake
A majority of city council members on Tuesday indicated they hope to maintain the 'status quo' on Oswego Lake, keeping it private in the years to come.
Although the city has never taken a formal position on public versus private access, officials have 'acted over time' by focusing on enhancing 'visual access' for all residents and making 'a conscious choice not to test theories or pursue legal judgment to gain public access,' Lake Oswego Mayor Jack Hoffman said.
'In our actions, the city has essentially been neutral,' he said. 'We have worked to maintain the status quo.'
Hoffman said he can't control whether a different entity sues Lake Oswego Corporation, which took over lake control from Oregon Iron and Steel decades ago. But if that does happen, he hopes to keep the city out of the crosshairs.
'The only definitive answer on whether Oswego Lake can be accessed by the public and to what measure will come through expensive litigation, and that's not what I'm about as mayor,' Hoffman said. 'I do not believe it is in the best interest of our community for this city to be a part to any expensive, community-dividing litigation.'
The council's discussion followed the planning commission's Feb. 13 move to add a draft policy to the city's comprehensive plan. Commissioners said they want to foster a community discussion about whether lake access should help meet local recreation needs. The new policy calls for providing and enhancing 'low-impact recreational access,' such as swimming, canoeing and kayaking, from public properties along the Willamette and Tualatin rivers and Oswego Lake.
The commission will hold a public hearing on the plan next week.
Formerly a smaller body of water known as Sucker Lake, Oswego Lake now covers more than 400 acres at the city's geographic center. Aside from a seasonal city-run swim park, only those with waterfront property or deeded easement access can use the lake.
None of the council members lives on the lake, but Donna Jordan and Bill Tierney noted Tuesday that they have access to easements. Mike Kehoe also has easement access, according to the city.
Officials recently received letters from a law professor specializing in public land and water issues and from the Northwest Environmental Defense Center suggesting the lake is owned by the state, and city policies shouldn't prevent its public use.
Councilors Kehoe and Mary Olson said Tuesday they felt they had to wait for the planning commission's recommendation before taking a position. Both also said they were perturbed the commission chose to push the discussion.
'At one point, I did feel it was important for this council to make a strong statement about the lake access issue,' Olson said. However, because the discussion is scheduled, she said, 'We will now have to wait and see what the planning commission does or does not forward to this council on this issue.'
'For my part,' Kehoe added, 'I'm bothered the planning commission didn't heed the decision of the advisory committee and this has moved to the level it has.'
But councilor Sally Moncrieff said the advisory committee did not suggest that the commission ignore the lake issue; committee members simply didn't feel it fit their own charge.
'We currently have a goal in our existing comprehensive plan to protect the natural resources, energy and aesthetic of Oswego Lake, with the first policy being to work with the Lake Corp. to protect the resource,' she said. 'At this point, it seems that our existing goals and policies pertaining to the lake are strong and have worked well for the city.'
Jordan agreed. 'I don't see a problem with the planning commission proceeding,' she said. 'My personal preference is to maintain the status quo.'
Tierney didn't feel the council had to take a formal position. However, he said, 'I am convinced the community is best-served today by maintaining the status quo. I think the Lake Corp. has done an excellent job of enhancing and preserving the quality of the lake. If that were to fall apart - and there's a big 'if' - I think we as a community would be poorly served.'
Although councilor Jeff Gudman didn't state his opinion during the meeting, he later said he also is watching what happens with the planning commission.
'If it goes beyond the planning commission' and if a goal aiming to open access comes to the council, he said, 'then you'll hear my voice.'
With at least four of the seven saying they preferred to keep the 'status quo,' it's unclear what sort of sway a planning commission recommendation for lake access would have.
As it receives pieces of the comprehensive plan from the citizen advisory committee, the commission will review, tweak and advance drafts up the chain to the city council, which could also change pieces as it sees fit.
Depending on what happens next week, the mayor said, council opinions could shift. The planning commission's meeting begins at 6:30 p.m. Monday at city hall, 380 A Ave. Hoffman said he hopes to attend.
'If the community has a different perspective, and if the planning commission felt comfortable in moving that up to us,' he said, 'I think the council would take a fair look at it.'


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Wood Epoxy Recommendation
Hi. I'm getting ready to start repairing the outside of our old Victorian home. It has been neglected (not by us - we just moved in a few weeks ago) and the wood is rotten in places. We are mostly repairing the clapboard, but there are some areas that will be better off being filled with a wood epoxy. I've bought a gallon of wood hardener to treat the area with first (I didn't do this step before on our old bungalow and the wood epoxy held up just fine, but that was on interior windows. Since this is exterior, I figured the extra step of hardening first would be smart).
I'm wondering if anyone has any advice on what kind of expoxy to use or not use. I'm about to order this (PC 2 part expoxy in gray)
It's less expensive than the Marine Quality and the white or tan. I figure since it will be primed and painted with two coats, it wouldn't matter if it was gray.
Has anyone had any experience with this brand. $127 for 8lbs is much more economical than buying it locally at Menards/HomeDepot/Lowes etc.
Abatron restoration products are hard to beat. Have used them on both antique home and sailboat restorations. Products are a bit pricey but perform well.
Yep, I've sold more Abatron than I ever thought I would with zero complaints in the last 4-5 years we've carried it.
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No one knows whether these sheep are mad, sad, or really, what they want at all. What we do know is this: this is the funniest all week long. Look, I don't want to over-explain it, just know that if you happen to hang out with a big group of sheep, you can have a lot of fun doing call and response with them. Hilarious. Though, we will admit this could've been funnier if we could understand everything the camera man was saying!
10 Funny & Bizarre Twerk Videos You Need to See
Twerking videos you need to see. Oh, and a girl catches on fire while twerking, does it get any better?Click here to read more


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Prenatal Primer: Interactive Guide to Prenatal DNA Testing Options
by Dr. Hsien-Hsien Lei
Posted January 30, 2008 in DNA Testing
Prenatal genetic testing has become so routine that almost all the women I know have gone through it even if they were pregnant before age 35. All of us, including me, experienced some degree of confusion and spent a significant amount of time researching various tests and potential outcomes. To help pregnant women and their families understand their options, DNA Direct* and Lenetix Medical Screening Laboratories have created the Prenatal Primer, which includes:
An online questionnaire
Information on prenatal risk assessment tests and diagnostics
Flow-charts and visual representations of testing options
"It's very important for patients to fully understand and weigh the screening and diagnostic options,†said Dr. Thomas Musci of San Francisco Perinatal Group. "A web-enabled tool that provides comprehensive education about prenatal screening options will help ensure that patients truly obtain informed consent.†Musci is working with DNA Direct to develop the beta version of the tool to be piloted at his practice. (Press Release )
On a related note, Sequenom is enrolling patients in a study to clinically assess their noninvasive cell free fetal nucleic acid SEQureDx Technology for detecting fetal aneuploidy, including Down syndrome. SEQureDx requires only a blood sample from the mother without the need for invasive amniocentesis or chorionic villus sampling.
And, the AP also has a story about increased prenatal testing leading to higher termination rates – Down syndrome groups anxious about increased prenatal testing.
Related Posts:
Eye on DNA Headlines for 28 February 2008...
DNA Video: Sequenom Prenatal Genetic Testing...
Types of Genetic Tests...
Joining DNA Direct...
Genetic Testing to Prevent Wrongful Life...
Kaiser Permanente Northern California Regional Genetics Website...
The United States Genetic Diagnostics Market...
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[...] Primer [editor's note: see Eye on DNA post] is an interactive, web-based guide to prenatal testing options distributed to physician practices [...]
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About Ethnic Survivors Forum
The Ethnic Survivors Forum (ESF) provides culturally sensitive and multi-lingual support services to minority ethnic adult survivors of sexual abuse throughout Scotland. These services include a Freephone Telephone Helpline, Counselling, Befriending and Online Resource Centre. Through our community outreach programme, ESF engages with minority ethnic communities to increase awareness and empower individuals and communities to … Continued
roshni provides a free and culturally sensitive befriending service for Scotland's minority ethnic communities. Our befriending service provides support to anyone from a minority ethnic community who feels socially isolated or lonely. This service offers supportive, reliable friendships … Continued
Helpline & Counselling
The Ethnic Survivors Forum confidential* Telephone Helpline offers survivors multi-lingual support and a listening ear as well as details of local support services. It is free to call from anywhere in the UK … Continued


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Lung malignancies, for instance, account for 40 per cent of Canadians who die from cancer – yet just 15 per cent of North American clinical trials focus on the disease
The five-time winner of the world heavyweight championship in the WWE, who announced the news on Instagram, is calling it his toughest battle, in or out of the ring
The group is calling on the winner of the federal election to promptly introduce legislation to establish a comprehensive national palliative care strategy
Fear of cancer recurrence appears to be a growing issue, given early diagnosis and improved treatment are leaving patients with more life to live than in the past
Nearly half of women are unaware that a mammogram is considered the best way to detect breast cancer in its earliest, and most curable, stages, a new Canadian Cancer Society poll suggests
Delores Higgins decided to volunteer her time to the Canadian Cancer Society, and considers it a wise decision.
Carisa McCarty explains how The Canadian Cancer Society's Family Provided Transportation Assistance Program helps her family through their tough journey
It is research that has extended a lifeline to Ms. Hermsen and her family and has made her dream of motherhood a reality.
Kyle made it his mission to attend as many star-studded events as possible in Toronto to get celebrities to share a supportive and inspirational message for Emily
"The Canadian Cancer Society helped me become knowledgeable and empowered."


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SEO is more than making technical and content changes to a Web site and helping to better its chances of drawing authority links. Larger organizations and brands in particular should carefully account for politics and the review process when planning SEO projects.
The classic tÊte-À-tÊte that most people think of when considering SEO consultants' clashes with internal directors and teams is the meeting of the designers and developers. Today, we'll focus on the possibly uncomfortable meetings that can occur when SEO meets content creator.
Eric Enge's column, "Large Enterprise SEO: Content Development" makes several great, accurate points and notes many important considerations. Regular readers of this column know that Frank and I both feel SEO should be a long-term engagement. Whether developing content on a massive scale over years to come, or optimizing a few dozen or hundred pages, establishing a relationship with the content owners — and the process by which recommendations will be delivered, iterated, and reviewed for implementation — is the first and most important thing that must happen.
Content Recommendation Process Flow
Fortune 500 and other large organizations typically have complex hierarchical and workflow structures, but the final ownership of content for each product category or line of business usually boils down to one person. In some industry verticals, such as health care and finance, further legal review is likely, and often non-negotiable.
When an SEO project is launched, meetings should be established with each of these content owners and their teams. First and foremost, this meeting should be to "make friends!"
It's crucial for SEO strategists and managers, as well as any executive sponsors attending the meeting, to make sure that the communication process is clearly outlined and in alignment with the typical workflow structure of the in-house team. I still get some butterflies when I attend one of these meetings because I never know if there will be uneasiness on the part of the in-house content owners and their teams.
It's always a great relief and a true feeling of satisfaction when I come out of such meetings with a strong feeling of organizational buy-in (like the meetings I had yesterday, which inspired this column). Scheduling multiple meetings over a day or two can sometimes be difficult, especially with larger organizations. However, having the SEO team meet in person with each product manager and the content development team(s) is also non-negotiable.
This allows for the following messaging:
- The brand always has the final say and is looked at as the expert.
- The keyword research that drives each recommendation is driven by the brand.
- The more involved the specific product manager is, the higher the likelihood of rapid success.
Once everyone's on the same page, it's helpful to provide specific examples of the deliverables that will be used to deliver content recommendations. Going through such a document together will save a lot of time in the future, as the page recommendations start to pour in. Lastly, discuss a timeline and prioritization schedule.
We like to be aggressive on our end to deliver the first optimized iterations, allowing for as much possible time for review. In some cases, we'll even recommend that this process could take two months. If the in-house team feels that their review teams, including legal when applicable, can be done in less time, they can be more aggressive with their end of the expected timeline.
Concatenation Schemas
Today, I'll only briefly address marketers using large dynamically-driven sites. Beyond the static pages that can and should be used to support the dynamic pages, content opportunities that exist within these sites are often overlooked, causing for a less-than-optimal organic search engine ranking performance at category and product levels.
When working in a similar manner with each of the product managers, establishing rules for pulling database elements into SEO and user-experience-driven page elements is crucial. There must be a clear understanding of what database elements are the most desirable for use within page titles, meta descriptions, and headers, and the design team must prepare placeholders for such content to be pulled dynamically. We create a concatenation schema for this purpose, and try to establish a clear set of rules for all levels of page templates that will be used within the site.
There are many effective ways to establish the right workflow for delivery and implementation of optimized content, no matter how small or large the project is. The suggestions above have come from positive and negative experiences in clearing this important hurdle.
Please feel free to share your thoughts and opinions at the Search Engine Watch Forums discussion about "Establishing A Process for Implementation of Optimized Content."
For additional related information, you can review "Developing a Training Plan for In-House SEO."
Frank Watson Fires Back
I've had to deal with this problem many times, and the biggest thing I've had to overcome is perspective. Though the different groups share a common language, many times their understanding of terms or ingrained perspectives can lead to meetings where both parties think they understand what the other is talking about, but in reality, they're on completely different paths.
A good example is CMS — to a programmer, you're talking about middleware, something that connects the backend to the Web presence; while to content developers, it's just where they drop their stories and have them wrapped in the Web site's template. I once had three meetings where everyone left thinking we were getting there, only to discover that a lack of common understanding didn't move us in a common direction. It took two more meetings to get everyone on the same page.
In the case of content writers, I've had to scrap work done by writers twice because they weren't listening with an SEO ear. It's hard for them to break away from the old school journalism teachings of writing clever headlines. The SEO stylebook weighs keyword importance when writing headlines, or even structuring paragraphs.
Hopefully this article will be read by both sides and develop a little more understanding. It'd be great if future meetings had this in mind at the start.
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The digital environment is rapidly shifting. There are over a billion websites online, and customers have countless brands to choose from when seeking solutions to their needs.


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Mayor Reimposes Night Curfew in Milwaukee; Guard Patrol Is Also Resumed; SPORADIC SNIPING FOUGHT BY POLICE Strict Restraints Praised for Choking Off Rioting--Plan Outlined 15 Months Ago
By DONALD JANSON Special to The New York Times ();
August 02, 1967,
, Section , Page 17, Column , words
MILWAUKEE, Wednesday, Aug. 2--Sporadic sniping and fire alarms plagued police and National Guard forces patrolling Negro areas of Milwaukee last night and early today.
August 02, 1967
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The Associated Press
An article published in The Los Angeles Times shared research that indicated investing in energy-efficient upgrades can lead to increased resale values.
University of California-Berkeley professor Nils Kok led the "Value of Green Labels in the California Housing Market" study with co-researcher Matthew Kahn of UCLA. The article reported the study indicated green improvements added up to 12 percent in value at the time of sale.
According to the article, the researchers analyzed data for 1.6 million single-family homes located in California that were sold between 2007 and 2012. About 4,300 of the homes had green-label certifications. Researchers compared the green-labeled and non-green-labeled homes with similarities in age, size, amenities and location.
The benefit of making a home green-certified appears to outweigh the costs. In addition to increased sale values, owners of green-labeled homes enjoyed annual savings on energy bills equaling an average of about $700. The results of the study also concluded it cost about $10,000 to improve a home's energy efficiency by 35 percent.
To realize the increased values, homeowners are typically required to go through the processes set forth by Energy Star, GreenPoint Rated or LEED for Homes. These organizations oversee programs that certify improvements.
The article noted the research study recorded an increase in certified-home prices more recently than five years ago. Taking into account all other factors, sale prices for green-labeled homes were relatively higher in 2012 than they were in 2007.
Typical enhancements included upgrading to water- and energy-efficient appliances. Homeowners were also found to have made regular improvements as well as adding insulation. It is believed individuals in the market to purchase a new green home value the secondary qualities, like improved air quality, also found in these houses.