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Quotes of the day
posted at 10:41 pm on October 30, 2013 by Allahpundit
Amid a firestorm of criticism, President Obama today walked back his oft-repeated, unambiguous promise that "if you like your health plan, you can keep it."
With hundreds of thousands receiving cancellation notices from their providers, Republicans have slammed the president in recent days for misleading the American public. Today, Obama tweaked his original pledge.
"For the vast majority of people who have health insurance that works, you can keep it," he said in a speech in Boston.
President Obama tried a new tack Wednesday as he fought back against criticism of his Obamacare claims.
Fact-checkers and journalists have ruled that Obama wasn't being truthful when he claimed that people who liked their insurance could keep it. Obama during a speech in Boston sought to cast the issue Wednesday as trying to weed out "bad apple insurers" who don't provide enough coverage.
"One of the things health reform was designed to do was to help not only the uninsured but also the under-insured," Obama said. "And there are a number of Americans, fewer than 5 percent of Americans, who've got cut-rate plans that don't offer real financial protection in the event of a serious illness or an accident."
My family was enrolled in a Carefirst high-deductible plan that cost $667.63 per month. In-network deductible, $5,400; out of network, $10,800. Out-of-pocket limit: $6,400 in-network; $12,800 out of network. The plan was joined to an HSA.
The most directly comparable plan on the D.C. health exchange will cost $865. The deductibles are somewhat higher: $6,000 and $12,000. The out-of-pocket limits are very slightly lower: $6,000 and $12,000.
That $200 a month differential seems to be the cost of community rating: I had to answer a bunch of questions about my health before qualifying for my prior plan; the new plan will be issued, no questions asked. Presumably somewhere there is a D.C. resident who smokes or who has some pre-existing condition who will receive a corresponding $200 a month windfall…
The ACA was ingeniously designed to deliver benefits to Democratic constituencies and impose costs on Republican ones. The big surprise in the ACA rollout is that this design is going awry. It's not only plutocrats and one-percenters who will find themselves worse off; not only the comparatively affluent retirees enrolled in Medicare Plus programs. Self-employed professionals who earn too much to qualify for ACA subsidies will soon discover what I have discovered: They are paying more for a worse product.
Nationally the marketplaces offer tens of thousands of different policies with a wide variety of coverage, but Harte has noticed many have one thing in common: They cover a narrow network of doctors and hospitals…
In New York, NYU will accept only a minority of the plans. In Los Angeles, UCLA medical centers will accept a couple. In Atlanta, Emory has limited the number of plans it will take. Academic medical centers are often pricier because they tackle the more complex cases.
WellPoint, a Blue Cross Blue Shield insurer offering policies in 14 states, is narrowing its networks in many markets after research showed consumers care more about the price than the provider.
Senator Jeanne Shaheen of New Hampshire expressed shock that so many Americans are losing their current plans. "We knew that they would need to sign up again, but obviously I don't think anybody thought people would be kicked off their health insurance plan," said Shaheen, who refused to say if Americans should be able to keep the plans they had in 2013…
When asked if Americans should be able to keep their current plans, Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin would only say, "What I'm understanding is that people, like in Florida, are getting advice on transitioning and hopefully they'll have a higher quality, lower-cost plan."
Many Senate Democrats tried to avoid answering questions about the president's broken health insurance promise. Senators Kay Hagan of North Carolina and Mark Pryor of Arkansas (both of whom are up for reelection next year) held their cell phones against their ears when approached for questions. Mark Warner of Virginia simply scoffed and walked away when asked if Americans should be allowed to keep their current health plans. Oregon senator Ron Wyden asked if we could talk later.
Wanna get the ol' blood pressure rising? Go to whitehouse.gov and do a search on "misinformation" and "health care." There you will find a sneering, self-satisfied series of claims that supporters of the Affordable Care Act are fighting with the truth on their side, unlike those lying liars of the Grand Old (Lying) Party…
Since the president began selling the Affordable Care Act, he has brazenly coupled his lies and false predictions with the repeated notion that it's the other side who is congenitally dishonest in this debate. And for most of his tenure, the press has eaten it up. It got to the point during 2012 that many journalists claimed the presidential election was a referendum on truth itself, which is why that liar-face Mitt Romney must be defeated…
This is a gut-check moment for the mostly left-of-center journalists who have made such a show these past few years of dropping false equivalence and calling out political bullshit at the source. You can subject the policy and politics of Obamacare to truth-scans, or you can carry water for the president. You cannot do both, at least without a laugh track.
"Your law was the model for the nation's law," Obama said in his speech Wednesday. "This new [national insurance] marketplace was built on the Massachusetts model."…
Except health care costs did not decline in Massachusetts, and neither did medical-related bankruptcies—stated goals of both Romneycare and Obamacare.
More telling, Obama will have to argue that Massachusetts matters because complicated things are hard and problems arise. Fine. But that also betrays a harsh truth: The administration apparently learned nothing about the front-end political and policy hazards that Massachusetts confronted, or the gradualism required to implement the law. That means it was willfully ignorant of or indifferent to the anticipated difficulties of taking a compulsory state-insurance program nationwide. In the medical community, this has a name: malpractice…
In his windup here in Boston on Wednesday afternoon, Obama said he will never give up on implementing the law. "We will grind this out. We will see this through. One and inseparable." That's two parts truth and one part silly sentimentality. The only thing inseparable from Obamacare is entrenched hostility. Obama has known that from the start. And that's made the grinding more difficult than it should have been. Anyone here could have told him that.
For decades before Obama burst onto the political scene, liberals had been pushing for the federal government to establish some sort of national health care program.
But this effort always ran up against the same obstacle — an overwhelming majority of Americans were happy with their coverage and were leery of any changes…
When Obama took office and made health care his top priority, he understood that one of his main tasks was to convince Americans that he had a plan that could improve the health care system for those who it wasn't currently working well for (such as those with pre-existing conditions) while leaving it untouched for those who were satisfied…
Obama knew that a lot of people would lose their coverage. Even if there was nothing in the law that explicitly ordered Americans to get rid of their insurance, legislation that made such sweeping changes to the insurance market inevitably was going to create disruption.
Barro leaves out half the reason Obamacare deliberately killed low-premium plans: stealth redistribution. A central aim of the law was forcing those with more basic plans to buy more comprehensive plans and thus subsidize people who wanted or needed comprehensive coverage…
Honest Obamacare defenders say the president shouldn't have promised to let Americans keep their insurance when he really meant that if Obama likes your health care plan, you can keep it.
"Vast swathes of policy are based on the correct presumption that people don't know what's best for them," Barro wrote on Twitter on Tuesday, defending this approach.
But this paternalistic mindset, so honestly expressed by of one of Obama's favorite writers, can also explain why the Obama administration was so willing to mislead on Obamacare: If people don't know what's best for them, there's no reason to deal with them honestly.
When it comes to websites, pride goes before destruction. The same is true of overly ambitious policy plans — or otherwise Utopian schemes. It takes a lot of chutzpah to believe that you (the government, the president, …whoever) – care more about my family's healthcare than I do.
But that is precisely the message being used to rationalize the "if you like your plan you can keep your plan" canard…
For those looking to draw grander conclusions, this is a teachable moment. The hubris necessary for this kind of vast undertaking — impacting nearly 20 percent of the economy! — is patently unconservative. And I don't need to trot out some fire-breathing or controversial conservative to demonstrate why this sort of chutzpah is a fundamental affront to basic conservative philosophy…
Liberalism operates under a fatal conceit that is fundamentally immodest. The ObamaCare rollout is a prime example of why such hubris is dangerous and costly.
Via the Daily Rushbo.
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'Liberals think they are tolerant but often they aren't' says…Fareed Zakaria?
Mad Dog Mattis: War with North Korea would be catastrophic. But what would it look like?
End of an era: Merkel signals that Europe can no longer rely on the U.S.
Comment pages: « Previous 1 2 3 4
Comment pages: « Previous 1 2 3 4


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2014 is shaping up to be a bumper year for new bikes. But, which 2014 new motorcycles are worth waiting for? Which ones are worth upgrading to? And, which ones should you pass on? This is RideApart's primer to 2014's new motorcycles.
What they say: "The new RT has a new air/water-cooled BMW boxer engine with even more torque and 125 bhp. Thanks to the traction control system ASC, the machine offers stability on every country road. The standard ride modes "Rain" and "Road" can also be activated at the press of a button, adapting the motorcycle perfectly to the weather conditions and road surface as required. The On Board Computer Pro and the familiar heated grips round off the range of basic equipment."
What we say: The BMW R 1200 RT was already the best handling touring bike out there, so a little more power and refinement and a little less weight won't hurt. The new looks are going to be a bit polarizing though.
Should you buy one? Want to do distance in comfort, at speed? Doesn't get any better than this.
What they say: "The BMW R nineT is powered by an air/oil-cooled 2-cylinder 4-stroke flat twin engine. The instruments consisting of speedometer and tachometer harken back to historical times and emphasize the essential and minimalist visual appeal of the motorcycle. The BMW R nineT is equipped with an upside down fork at the front and with the BMW Motorrad Paralever at the rear. However, the nineT does not only stand out due to its pure design. The nineT offers great options for individualization. No customizing wish is left unfilled. For example there is the removable rear frame, enough space for 6 inch rims and many other options."
What we say: The idea of offering a basic motorcycle is a good one, but we fear the nineT is skewing way too premium. It supposed to attract a new audience and educate them about BMW's history. Instead, the same older, premium consumers are just getting a new toy. Ducati SportClassic 2.0.
Should you buy one? You really want an expensive BMW but don't want the new GS with it's liquid-cooled motor? Well then sir, step right this way, have we told you about our new custom parts catalog?
What they say: "A roadster, reduced to the essentials: maximum performance. 160 bhp, 83 lb.-ft. torque and a power-to-weight ratio of 2.85 pounds per bhp - and the competition disappears in the rear mirror."
What we say: But the competition makes 180 bhp…
Should you buy one? If you want a powerful roadster and must have a BMW, then I guess this is your only option.
New Bikes From Ducati
What they say: "The performance and fluidity of the new Testastretta 11° DS engine, the versatility of the three Riding Modes, the comfort of the adjustable seat and passenger handles make the Ducati Monster 1200 a bike that is capable of adapting to any occasion, so that you can follow your instincts in every situation. The unmistakable Monster design is truly iconic and means there is no limit to your enjoyment."
What we say: Here making 135 bhp (standard) or 145 bhp (S), the 1200 Testastretta motor is one of the flat-out best motorcycle engines out there, here housed in a versatile, minimalist package. Oh yeah, and the new Monster has a feature previous models lacked: comfort.
Should you buy it? Yes. But get the S version as it has better suspension and brakes.
What they say: Nothing. There are just these officially-"leaked" spy photos so far.
What we say: It's debuting "early in 2014." Most information out there is pure conjecture, but it appears to use the Monster 796 motor and might have retro styling.
Should you buy it? Save up for a Hypermotard SP instead.
What they say: "…the 899 Panigale is just the bike to give a Ducati Superbike adrenalin rush, both on the track and on the road."
What we say: Performance figures aside, the 899 is just a sweeter ride than its more expensive sibling. It's more agile thanks to a narrower rear tire, shorter wheelbase and steeper rake, while the engine is more flexible while still delivering an impressive 149 bhp.
Should you buy one? If you've been thinking about a Panigale, this is the best bike in the range.
Continue Reading: 2014 New Motorcycle Primer >>

subset: commoncrawl


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Popular property highlights
Apollo Hotel Utrecht City Centre places you next to TivoliVredenburg and within a 5-minute walk of Neude. This 90-room, 4-star hotel welcomes guests with conveniences like free in-room WiFi, coffee/tea in a common area, and dry cleaning/laundry services. It's in central Utrecht and also a short walk from Grocery Company Museum and Meeting Plaza Utrecht.
Buffet breakfast is offered for a fee each morning from 7 AM to 11 AM. Satisfy your hunger from the comfort of your room with room service.
The 90 accommodations feature sitting areas. 82-cm TVs come with cable channels and pay movies, and guests can stay connected with free WiFi. Bathrooms have hair dryers and free toiletries. Safes, phones, and desks are other standard amenities.
Guests of Apollo Hotel Utrecht City Centre enjoy access to free WiFi in public areas, a meeting room, and coffee in a common area. Self parking is offered for EUR 27.50 per night. The 24-hour front desk has multilingual staff ready to assist with dry cleaning/laundry, tours or tickets, and luggage storage. This smoke-free hotel also has a TV in a common area.
Property features
- Free WiFi in rooms and public areas
- 24-hour front desk
HighlightsInformation missing or incorrect? Tell us!Opens in a new window
Apollo Hotel Utrecht City Centre
Hotel Amenities
Hotel Amenities
Apollo Hotel Utrecht City Centre features tour/ticket assistance, multilingual staff, and coffee/tea in a common area. Wireless Internet access is complimentary. This eco-friendly hotel also offers dry cleaning/laundry services, room service (during limited hours), and a television in a common area. Parking is available onsite for a surcharge.
Apollo Hotel Utrecht City Centre is a smoke-free property.
- Breakfast available (surcharge)
- 24-hour front desk
- Dry cleaning/laundry service
- Elevator/lift
- Coffee/tea in common areas
- Free WiFi
- Total number of rooms - 90
- Number of floors - 5
- One meeting room
- Multilingual staff
- Luggage storage
- Offsite parking discounted rates available
- Self parking (surcharge)
- Smoke-free property
- Television in common areas
- Tours/ticket assistance
- Year Built 1952
- Number of buildings/towers - 1
Available in all rooms: Free WiFi
Available in some public areas: Free WiFi
Self parking (surcharge), Offsite parking discounted rates available
Room Amenities
Apollo Hotel Utrecht City Centre offers 90 accommodations with safes and hair dryers. Accommodations offer separate sitting areas. Televisions come with cable channels and pay movies.
This Utrecht hotel provides complimentary wireless Internet access. Business-friendly amenities include desks and phones. Additionally, rooms include complimentary toiletries and blackout drapes/curtains. Housekeeping is offered daily and irons/ironing boards can be requested.
- Pay movies
- In-room safe
- Hair dryer
- Phone
- Daily housekeeping
- Private bathroom
- Television
- Desk
- Iron/ironing board (on request)
- Separate sitting area
- Cable TV service
- Free WiFi
- Free toiletries
- Room service (limited hours)
- Free cribs/infant beds
- Blackout drapes/curtains
Where to Eat
Room service (during limited hours) is available.
Buffet breakfasts are available for a surcharge and are served each morning between 7 AM and 11 AM.
Nearby Things to Do
The recreational activities listed below are available either on site or nearby; fees may apply.
- Golfing nearby
- Bicycle rentals nearby
- Scooter/moped rentals nearby
- Hiking/biking trails nearby
If you have requests for specific accessibility needs, please note them at check-out when you book your room.
- Accessible bathroom
- In-room accessibility
Hotel Policies
Check-out time is noon
Payment types
Children and extra beds
- Children are welcome.
- Free cribs (infant beds)!
- Pets not allowed
You need to know
Extra-person charges may apply and vary depending on property policy.
Government-issued photo identification and a credit card or cash deposit are required at check-in for incidental charges.
Special requests are subject to availability upon check-in and may incur additional charges. Special requests cannot be guaranteed.
Special cancellation policies or charges may apply for group reservations (more than 8 rooms for the same property / stay dates).
No rollaway/extra beds available
24-hour check-in
- A 5 percent city/local tax will be charged
Optional extras
- Fee for buffet breakfast: EUR 19.50 per person (approximately)
- Self parking fee: EUR 27.50 per night
Hotel Name
- Apollo City Centre
- Apollo Hotel City Centre
- Apollo Hotel Utrecht City Centre
- Apollo Utrecht City Centre
- Utrecht City Centre Apollo Hotel
- Utrecht Apollo Hotel
We should mention
Alcohol is not served at this property.
Awards & Affiliations
National Rating
This property does not have a Netherlands Tourist Board rating. For the benefit of our customers, we have provided a rating based on our rating system.


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I have an HD23 and I'm looking foward to buying a 3D projector. I have noticed some Rainbown effect with the HD23 and althrough I have already get used to it I would like to get a projector that would give me less rainbown effect than the HD23. I use the HD23 on my living room and today I can use it to play videogames during the day, with closed windows. I have two projectors in mind: The PJD7820HD and HD131Xe (or Even the HD25). Which of these projectors creates less rainbow effect? Thanks
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If you are seeking a world-class educational experience within a vibrant, Christ-centered learning community, Cedarville is the place for you. Step up to the challenge of our arts, sciences, professional and graduate programs, and achieve more than you ever imagined. Be challenged and transformed by professors who are experts in their fields and invest their lives at Cedarville to mentor and guide students like you.
Cedarville University's freshman engineering students will race canoes made of cardboard and packing tape. Photo credit: Scott L. Huck/Cedarville University
by Kaitlyn Coughlin, Public Relations Writer
September 25, 2012
For the past 19 years during homecoming Cedarville University's Elmer W. Engstrom Department of Engineering and Computer Science has hosted a cardboard canoe race on Cedar Lake. This year's freshman engineering class will create boats out of cardboard and packaging tape and will compete to see which boat can travel across the lake in the shortest amount of time.
Working in teams of three or four, the freshmen engineers will build boats out of 30 feet of cardboard and 100 meters of packing tape. Each team will have up to two upper-class advisors who have completed the project in prior years, and two team members must be in or on the canoe.
"The event allows freshman engineering students to apply their knowledge of simple physics to design and construct a vessel, which should accomplish the goal of floating two participants across the lake," said Robert Chasnov, Ph.D., senior professor of engineering.
The members of the winning team will each receive a Ti-89 calculator as a prize.
The 19th annual cardboard canoe race will take place on Oct. 5 as part of the 2012 homecoming event. The race begins at 3 p.m., and the event is free and open to the public.
Located in southwest Ohio, Cedarville University attracts 3,400 undergraduate, graduate and online students to more than 100 areas of study. Celebrating 125 years of inspiring greatness, Cedarville is a Christ-centered learning community recognized nationally for rigorous academic programs, strong graduation and retention rates, accredited professional and health science offerings and leading student satisfaction ratings. Visit the University online at www.cedarville.edu.
Date: October 5, 2012
Time: 3 p.m.
Location: Cedar Lake, Cedarville University
Address: Cedarville University, 251 N. Main St., Cedarville, Ohio (Campus Map)
Cost: Free
Learn More: To learn more, visit www.cedarville.edu/homecoming


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Date of Stay: August, 2010
This is not an RV park. It is a shale driveway. The property is littered with garbage cans and boat parts. Truck containers line the rear of the property. The writeup delivered to your email is a tribute to creative writers everywhere. Neither the owners or "guides" are ever around. We paid online for reservations and never once saw anyone. The restrooms/showers are at the laundromat in town so if you aren't self contained you're going to be in trouble. Wi-Fi might be available if you were able to find someone to give you the password. This place is terrible. If I could give this "park" less than a "1" rating I would.
Date of Stay: July, 2010
I loved this park as soon as we pulled in. The owners are very nice and know the area and activities like the back of their hand. The sites were relaxing, large, and private. This park made our stay in Juneau so much more enjoyable.
Date of Stay: June, 2010
From the first phone call I knew this would be a terrific place. It's convenient off the highway and in a wooded area. It feels like camping should feel except we're in a 40' motorhome. Nice thing about this park is that it is quiet and laid back, propane and diesel is available on site, store is well stocked (great ice cream selection). Easy pull in and space to maneuver a large rig and toad. Check in was fun and the camp hosts were great. Wish we had more time to spend in the area.
Date of Stay: June, 2010
This was a great surprise, when we were in the area. It was a quick on and off the highway, yet far enough away to be quiet and pleasant. The grounds were clean with many barrels of flowers to make things homey. Nice treed sites but surprisingly our satellite still worked. Sites were easy to maneuver with a 40' rig. Yes there are sounds of trains: I heard one at about 5pm, 7pm, and 9pm. Was nothing to complain about, short trains, and when we were in our rig we could barely hear it. We would definitely stay here again.
Date of Stay: June, 2010
Very nice park and easy to find off the highway. People in the park are very nice and everything is nicely maintained. Just stayed for an overnight but met many people in the park. Has level concrete pads and very level areas. Good room for a 42' rig or larger. Close to everything yet it felt like you were in the mountains.
Date of Stay: June, 2010
What a pleasant surprise! The new ownership has done tremendous work in creating a GREAT park. Well maintained grounds and sites, common rooms are clean and well equipped. Even has a full kitchen for campers and an air hockey table in the game room! The baths and showers are well maintained, trees on the sites are trimmed, camp hosts in the office are pleasant and efficient, camp store is well equipped. There are many events planned for families, a clean pool area, and a large play area for children. There is even a field for either a baseball game or soccer. It was a nice surprise to see such wonderful changes. We will be back!
Date of Stay: March, 2010
This resort calls itself "5 star." The owners really do need to get out to see what this entails. Yes there is 50 amp, cable TV, phone, and WiFi available, but only in certain sites. Most sites have not been upgraded. Wiring is old. There are BBQ grills, unfortunately they are placed directly under the awning for the larger motorhomes. Rules for the park are not enforced, such as picking up after dogs, dogs on the beach, golf carts speeding throughout the park, etc. On busy weekends families tend to cut through campsites leading to an extreme lack of privacy. There are two laundry areas onsite, however half of the machines were not in working order during our last visit. There have been numerous problems and turnover in staff in recent years, leading to inconsistency and negativity. Price reflects member price.
Date of Stay: July, 2009
We were in the area for the Angel's games, not Disneyland and we found this park to be very nice for a resort area. It was a nice mix of concrete sites and grass. The staff was very polite and helpful. The park was very clean. Our site was clean, level, and large enough for our rig and suburban without having to use the patio area (as in many parks). We will be staying here again soon.


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Star Wars Obi-Wan Kenobi 12" Action Figure
Obi-Wan Kenobi is wise Jedi Master who fights to save the Republic alongside his friend Anakin Skywalker, a Jedi Knight who was once Kenobi's apprentice. This detailed 12-inch figure looks just like Obi-Wan Kenobi! He comes armed with his own Lightsaber and he's awesome whether you're sending him into battle or standing him up in your collection!
- Figure comes with accessory.
- Ages 4 and up.


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Your Dog, Your Life
The Scoop
Dog News, Politics
Bark-Out-Loud Humor
Doggie Style
Gear and Glam
Wildebeest creates the perfect present for new dog parents.
Dog Breeds
Foods & Treats
Health & Care
Behavior & Training
Dogs & Cleaning
Dog of the Day
Photo Comments
Call it destiny, call it fate. Whatever it is, my life is GOOD! My mom loves me so much and takes such good care of me. She has raised me to be kind, loving, and gentle. This was my nature to begin with, she just made sure that I stayed that way. I am one very happy dog. All you have to do is take one look at my smile.
I have all the materialistic things a dog could want. But, the best thing I have is a mommy that gives me a kiss every morning when she wakes, spends time with me when she's home, takes me for walks, grooms me, teaches me tricks, and tells me every single day how much she loves me and how thankful she is for me.
Yes, my life as a dog is a good life indeed. -Jada.
Copyright © I-5 Publishing, LLC. All rights reserved.
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- Intel Atom
Some manufacturers place restrictions on how details of their products may be communicated.
This review is from: ECS CDC-I/D2550 v1.0 Intel Atom D2500 Intel NM10 Mini ITX Motherboard/CPU Combo
the printer port works great for cnc operations, it a really powerful little board
had 1 die after a week had one doa... dont bother with neweggs ups label option for rma its a waste of time you cant print the labels
Manufacturer Response:
We are sorry to hear about the issues you are experiencing with your motherboard. Prior to shipping from our factory, all motherboards are tested to ensure that they are working properly. A DOA issue can be caused by any of the main components, including memory, power supply and motherboard. If possible we would recommend testing the motherboard in the following fashion.
Place on a flat non static surface. Test with only one memory at a time and reseat memory. Ensure that the 24 pin connections is connected from the power supply. Connect the power button from the case or short the power pins (6 and 8) to power on the system. If still have any issues or questions, please contact us and we can work with you to find a solution.
I or any of my team members here at technical support will be able to help you.
Our hours are Mon-Fri 9am-6pm PST.
Thank you,
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The Philippines has a leader in
Family dominance in Asian politics was reinforced by the remarkable events of late 2012 when China, Japan, South Korea and North Korea each selected leaders – in their own inimitable ways – whose fathers or grandfathers were national figures and even strategic rivals a generation or more earlier. There's no doubt that a distinguished lineage gives political candidates an advantage over rivals. But powerful relatives are no guarantee of success, says Singapore academic and former diplomat Kishore Mahbubani: "The key issue is the leaders' attitude when they assume office. If they do so with a sense of entitlement from their lineage, they are likely to fail. Asia's pattern of dynastic leadership does not render it immune from the challenges that the rest of the world faces."
Nowhere are those forces of change more apparent than in Asia's two biggest democracies, India and Indonesia. By the end of this year, the region seems set for an historic makeover, with not one but two stories of political ascendancy to rival Abraham Lincoln's log cabin to White House journey. Narendra Modi and Joko Widodo are already household names in their own countries. One grew up selling tea outside the railway station in a small town on the western edge of India. The other was shipped around relatives while his carpenter father scraped up the money to build a small house in the rural heartland of Indonesia. They have both already substantially broken through the dynastic glass ceiling that has seen three generations of the Nehru/Gandhi family run India and two generations of the Sukarno family run Indonesia – while a new generation of those old families still seeks higher office in both countries. But the potential future prime minister of India and president of Indonesia may prove more important as trendsetters in modern Asia for other reasons.
Both would come to office with experience in entrepreneurial business, which is quite a contrast to the generals, princelings, clerics and academics who have dominated their country's governments. They would both be shifting to the complex centre of power in large, sprawling, ethnically diverse nations late in life after making their mark running smaller states or cities. Both represent generational change. Fifty-two-year-old Widodo is a decade younger than serving President
Jimmy Carters of the East
This is a real breath of fresh air that could cut through the bureaucracy and palace politics which have prevented India, and to a lesser extent Indonesia, from reaping the full economic benefit of youthful populations and diverse natural resources. But if Lincoln is the iconic figure who made the American electoral system an attractive model for emerging democracies, the same system also threw up a president with a less successful record and some resemblance to the emerging leaders of India and Indonesia. Jimmy Carter shrugged off a poor background to run a successful farm then became a state governor with a scrupulous record. But when he finally made it to Washington he was overwhelmed by crises. He is often perceived to have left office maligned by the political class while still respected by the population.
Modi, the tea seller turned chief minister of Gujarat state, might be the first of the two to step down this path. He has been chosen as the prime ministerial candidate of the country's second largest party, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), for an election due by late May. Widodo, governor of Jakarta and known as Jokowi, is less certain because he has not yet been nominated for a role in Indonesia's election campaign, which begins in April.
"They are both very significant in different ways," says
Peter Church, a Singapore-based corporate adviser with many years of experience in Indonesia and India, says Modi is already a national – if controversial – figure who has done great things in his administration of Gujarat state. "Modi has a good chance because virtually all the Indian business class is fed up with Congress [the Gandhi family-led main current government party]," says Church. While Jokowi is dominating opinion polls ahead of Indonesia's elections, Church doubts he has established himself as a true national figure after only a year as the Jakarta governor and may still be squeezed out. "But the remarkable thing about him as a politician is that no one has a bad word to say about him."
Gujarat, a small state on the west coast of India north of Mumbai, has long been an economically energetic place, with Gujaratis prominent among the expatriate Indian business community. But since becoming the BJP chief minister in 2001, Modi has used deregulation, infrastructure development and government stimulus spending to make the state the flag bearer for a new approach which many business people say should now be applied to the whole nation. This has involved modernising manufacturing to create jobs, reforming the electricity sector through privatisation and increasing farm production with new techniques and technology – all common challenges for other states. It is a testament to Modi's ability to set the terms for a debate about how to resurrect the economic growth rate that two of the world's highest profile Indian economists,
The tea vendor and the furniture manufacturer
While Modi won the admiration of India's business tycoons years ago, Times of India columnist Ashok Malik says his reputation has permeated deeper into the community as the country's growth rate has slipped from around 8 per cent for much of past decade to less than 5 per cent recently. Malik says it is little appreciated that up to 50 per cent of Indians are economically dependent on the modern urban economy, even though they may live in villages. These people make a ready-made constituency for Modi which can overcome his other image as a divisive Hindu nationalist. "The fact that his father was a tea vendor and he came from nowhere make him attractive in a country of new aspirations," says Malik. "He is the only politician in India today who has a modern economic story and a manufacturing story."
The flaw in Modi's rags-to-political riches ascendancy is the way he made his way into politics via the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh organisation, which supports a Hindu state. He assumed power in Gujarat as an unashamed Hindu nationalist when the BJP was last in office at the federal level. Within months of taking over he was confronted by a massive outbreak of communal violence when Hindus attacked Muslims in retaliation over the burning of a train carrying Hindu pilgrims. Argument and legal action over the event have continued for years. The Modi administration was slow to act and the chief minister has since gained support from Hindu hardliners.
Amitabh Mattoo, director of the Australia India Institute, says it remains unclear how much of an absolutist agenda Modi would usher in. But he says: "With his patriotism and nationalism beyond doubt, he could cut deals. It could be like Nixon going to China." As more attractive politicians emerge from the states and dissatisfaction with older political parties spawns clean-government political movements, "something extraordinary is happening in India", Mattoo believes.
While there is general disenchantment with the Congress Party-led government, which will go to the election led by the unofficial and youthful leadership of the fourth generation of the Nehru/Gandhi clan Rahul Gandhi, Mattoo says it is not yet clear whether the result will be a massive success for the Modi-led BJP. The rise of new political leaders from the periphery of the country to challenge the traditional elite in the centre has happened organically in India with no formal changes to a constitution which allows "president's rule" when a state gets out of hand. But Modi is only the most prominent of a disparate group which ranges from Nitish Kumar in Bihar, who has won plaudits from his development success, to former film star Jayalalithaa in Tamil Nadu, who has pushed the central government into a tougher approach to Sri Lanka.
It's a different story in Indonesia, where Jokowi is part of a generation of new leaders thrust into government by the biggest devolution of power in modern history, as Indonesia struggled to stay intact after the demise in 1998 of its long-time strongman president Suharto. A country that was run for three decades by one man from a palace in Jakarta now has a multitude of directly elected politicians and outcomes that are far less predictable than in more established democracies.
Jokowi emerged from obscurity as a furniture manufacturer in 2005 to win the first mayoral election in the central Java city of Solo, where he won praise for being able to cut through a culture of corruption to introduce business-friendly measures while maintaining popular support. His approach to local government has drawn attention outside Indonesia. A 2012 Princeton University study on social innovations observed that his "conciliatory approach to solving problems and disputes, especially in the sensitive area of relocating the city's street vendors, earned him the respect of citizens and enabled him to negotiate from a position of mutual trust".
After he was re-elected with 90 per cent support in 2010, Jokowi became the face of a new generation of Indonesian politicians emerging in the provinces. That made him an attractive candidate for powerful forces wanting to make their mark ahead of this year's presidential election. At the 2012 poll for a new governor of Jakarta, an unholy alliance of former president Megawati Sukarnoputri, former vice-president Jusuf Kalla and former military officer turned candidate for this year's presidential poll, Prabowo Subianto, persuaded Jokowi to run in the national capital with an unpecedented ethnic Chinese candidate for vice-governor. Jokowi brought his hallmark can-do check shirts, impromptu voters' meetings and homespun charm to the Jakarta campaign, beating a long-serving incumbent and landing the unenviable task of fixing the huge infrastructure problems in one of the world's fastest-growing cities. It says a lot about the quest for new faces in Indonesia's unruly democracy that he had barely occupied the governor's office before he was a prominent figure in speculation about future presidential candidates.
Family ties
Former general Yudhoyono must stand down this year after two five-year terms in what will be a crucial test of the country's democratic evolution; it will be the first time the presidency has changed hands by direct election. Yudhoyono has been a steady leader as Indonesia has been embraced by financial markets as one of the world's future top 10 economies. But predictably, he has spent the latter years trying to secure a transition to a family member or close ally.
Jokowi's arrival in Jakarta coincided with a growing sense of despair among middle class Indonesians that 15 years after Suharto's demise, all the candidates for this year's election were likely to be figures from the past. With little more than a year in the Jakarta job and no party nomination, Jokowi regularly tops opinion polls as the public's preferred choice for president. He is racing to clock up some achievements in Jakarta while building the credentials to run the country.
It might be a truism of government that all politics is local but this is likely to be even more the case if Modi and Jokowi grab the reins of the world's first and third-largest democracies. Neither has had much experience abroad. Modi has had plenty of contact with foreign investors and the trading links into countries such as Japan and Singapore but Malik believes he will have to spend at least two years revitalising the national economy before focusing too much on diplomacy. Jokowi, on the other hand, is virtually a blank slate when it comes to international affairs. His knowledge of the world comes from his furniture export business which took him to Europe where he reportedly acquired his interest in how to run a better city back home.
How this all plays out for Australia is hard to gauge. Economic revival in India would provide a powerful boost to the regional economy to offset any slowdown in China – but a much sought prime ministerial visit from India might be delayed even further as Modi learns the levers of national power. And many close watchers of Indonesia fear that Jokowi's lack of worldly experience will only contribute to the nationalistic mood that is now running wild in Australia's closest Asian neighbour, which has a growing tendency to point the finger of blame to the south. Throwing out the Asian dynastic rule book might be good for the fast-growing aspirational middle class populations in India and Indonesia. But it might prove hard work for neighbouring countries.
AFR Magazine


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El Paso County Commissioners approve banning fireworks through July 4
Ultimate decision rests with Gov. Rick Perry
EL PASO, Texas - After hours of heated discussion El Paso County Commissioners approved its fireworks ban through July 4.
It's the third year in a row that Commissioners Court has made the decision to ban fireworks. The final decision to extend the ban is still up to the governor, who has done exactly that the past two years.
The vote broke down this way: County Judge Veronica Escobar and commissioners Vince Perez and Carlos Leon voted for the ban and commissioners Dan Haggerty and Sergio Lewis voted against it.
Commissioners Court heard from people on both sides of the issue for more than two hours, including fireworks vendors and first responders.
Fire officials from both the city and county pointed to a KBDI index number of 731 -- that's the highest that drought index number has been the past three years.
The drought index number need only be 575 or above in order for the county judge to propose a disaster declaration.
Vendors countered with options, including allowing only what they called safe and sane fireworks or offering to establish safe zones in areas like Montana Vista to pop fireworks.
Escobar said for her it came down to resources to staff those proposed safe zones.
"We really should put a number to the resources that have been expended in the past," Escobar said. "These are taxpayer resources. You heard from the sheriff's office who says half of his forces simply go to that one area of Montana vista every 4th of July. That means we are diverting resources in a way that's not like anything else, not like any other holiday."
Fernie Viramontes, of TNT Fireworks, spoke out against the ban.
"It's devastating to the industry, to the other components involved in our industry and I keep re-iterating the fundraising groups, the land owners, the businesses on Montana vista, throughout the county," Viramontes said. "We don't include all the county ... There's a lot of business that goes on and the fireworks industries help promote that business."
Some business owners in the Montana Vista area said they depend on the money they make from people shooting fireworks in that area.
The Montana Vista volunteer fire department provided numbers showing a ban on fireworks the past two years has cut fires in the area in more than half.
The County expects to hear from the governor by Friday on what his decision will be.


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AIChE Journal, volume 56, issue 5, pages 1297-1304
K. T. Zuidhof, M. H. J. M. de Croon, J. C. Schouten. Eindhoven University of Technology, Eindhoven, the Netherlands
Selectivities are presented of the Beckmann rearrangement of cyclohexanone oxime to ε-caprolactam with oleum for various conditions in three microreactors, viz., Y-junction, interdigital, and split and recombine mixers, followed by a 50-cm long microchannel of 250 μm internal diameter. Cyclohexanone oxime is dissolved in cyclooctane, which is inert for oleum. The selectivity is measured in the temperature range of 80–132°C. The concentration range of caprolactam in the reaction mixture is 31–41 wt %, in oleum. The total volumetric flow rate is 0.4 ml/min, whereas the flow rate ratio of ε-caprolactam/oleum over cyclohexanone oxime/cyclooctane ranges from 0.3 to 3. The selectivities measured with the three microreactors are: 70–99+%, 93–99+%, and 95–99+%, respectively. High ε-caprolactam concentration (41 wt %), high temperature (110–132°C), and a ratio of free H2SO4 to SO3 of unity have a negative effect on the selectivity.


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Hundreds of Dallas-Area Kids to Participate in 10th Annual KidSwing Golf Tournament
Tournament has raised more than $1.2 million for Texas Scottish Rite Hospital for Children since 2003
The KidSwing Golf Tournament took place on Monday June 11, 2012 at Brookhaven Country Club in Dallas, Texas.
More than 200 kids, ages 7 to 18, participated in the tournament along with hundreds of volunteers, player families and event sponsors. An Ambit Energy representative spoke at the program. Participants received awards, including longest drive and closet to pin, during the awards program,
About KidSwing:
KidSwing is a nine-hole, best-ball scramble for players ages 7 to 18 at all levels of golfing ability. The original KidSwing golf tournament was founded in 2003 by former Texas Scottish Rite Hospital for Children (TSRHC) patient Ben Sater of Plano and his mother, Kim Sater. Ben founded KidSwing as a way to give back to TSRHC for the care he received. KidSwing is all about kids helping kids, and to date, KidSwing golf tournaments have raised more than $1.2 million for TSRHC. Currently, three KidSwing tournaments are played in the Dallas-Fort Worth area each year. For more information about becoming a KidSwing sponsor or playing in an upcoming KidSwing golf tournament, please visit www.KidSwing.org.
About TSRHC:
Texas Scottish Rite Hospital for Children is one of the nation's leading pediatric centers for the treatment of orthopedic conditions, such as scoliosis http://www.tsrhc.org/
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Friday's Featured Fuzzy: Oh, Delectabuhl Morsel!
Puppies will chew on anything!
Dodger is a cutie Mary!
Puppies will chew on anything!
Dodger is a cutie Mary!
So cute!!!! Makes me want another puppy!! What a sweet face!
What a sweet baby! <3
Aww adorable!
Aww! My Canlyn Loved to chew on leaves as a puppy, especially crunchy magnolia ones!
He looks like one "happy puppy."
He just couldn't be any cuter!!!!!!!!!!
He is so cute and looks so happy!
You can see the ornery glint in his eye. He's adorable!
Looks like quite the little character! You're going to have lots of fun with this cutie :)
You can just see how much fun he was having with that leaf! Cute!!


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No, I Don't Want to Play Today: An African Tale About Bullying
This entertaining children's story teaches the importance of kindness, tolerance, and friendship.
Larry the Lion is king of the jungle – and he loves to remind the other animals about it – all the time! He boasts how great he is and points out what's wrong with everyone else. He's a big bully. He makes fun of one animal's funny feet, calls another stupid, and bullies the rest just for fun. The animals in the jungle decide that Larry is not nice to be around and they don't want to play with him. Is it any wonder that he hears: No, I Don't Want to Play Today?
Jill the jaguar knows that everyone is important for their own special reasons. Can she convince Larry of this and get him to accept others for who they are? If not, Larry is going to be one lonely lion!
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About the Author: Brenda Jones is an elementary school teacher who has also published Standing Up, a book about bullying geared toward teenagers. She lives with her family in Destin, Florida, and is currently writing two other books.
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Billy Ray Cyrus Defends Miley's Pole Dance Performance
Once again, Billy Ray Cyrus is defending some of his daughter's antics. Earlier this month, singer Miley Cyrus performed a dance routine at the Teen Choice Awards that included some moves on a stripper pole.
Daddy Billy Ray says of his 16-year-old daughter, "I just think that Miley loves entertaining people. She loves singing and songwriting." He adds, "I give my kids a lot of freedom to make the art they want to make and make it in their own voice. I think it's important."
It's also important for Miley to move into her inevitable "good girl gone bad" phase. If she's not already in the midst of it already.
Gallery Info: Miley Cyrus chats with fans on her way to the Coffee Bean in Toluca Lake.


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British Pound Declines Sharply; Canadian Dollar Shows a Gain
The British pound fell 9 points, to $2.7827, yesterday in trading on the New York foreign exchange markets.
October 17, 1964
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Kreayshawn's Potential Track Track List List
It appears Oakland femcee Kreayshawn has a thing for repetition.
The 21-year-old newcomer released her first single, "Bumpin Bumpin" earlier this year and its follow-up, "Gucci Gucci," recently cracked the Billboard Hot 100 singles chart. See a pattern here?
Keeping Kreay's habit in mind, XXL thought it'd be fun fun to help the rapstress come up with some new titles for her upcoming Sony debut. Check out Kreayshawn's potential track track list list.—Gina Montana


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|Vanwall VW Grand Prix
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Formula 1 has been the premier racing class for over fifty years and many enthusiasts would have little trouble naming a dozen past and present constructors, but very few would come up with Vanwall. This quite remarkable as the small team brought Grand Prix racing success back to Britain and won the very first constructor's world championship. Most important of all they did this in great style with a completely in-house designed and manufactured machine that was well ahead of its time. The success was the fruition of a decade of hard work of the team led by industrialist Tony Vandervell.
Shortly after WW2, a plan arose to take on the dominant Italians on in Grand Prix racing with a completely British built car. It had been almost 25 years since a British car last won a Grand Prix and there were more than a few (rich) enthusiasts who liked to end the drought. Among them was Vandervell, who had made a fortune with the production of Thin Wall bearings, which were used in many applications, including bright red racing cars. The group formed British Racing Motors and Vandervell even offered his vast premises to construct the cars. His enthusiasm rapidly decreased as things progressed very slowly because there was not a single strong leader, but a committee heading the operation. He left BRM in 1950.
Fortunately, Vandervell did not close the door on racing and instead entered a variety of Ferrari built single seaters. Painted green and fitted with a variety of upgrades like disc brakes, they were raced as 'Thin Wall Specials'. Especially the last of these, a Ferrari 375 F1, proved very successful in Formula Libre events. The desire to build an all-British car was still very strong and in 1952 work was started on a replacement for the successful Ferraris. Although his team had learned a lot from racing the Ferraris, they were not confident enough to design a new chassis from the ground up and instead had Cooper design and build them one. They did develop a new four cylinder engine, but more about that later.
When the design process started, the world championship was run under Formula 2 regulations, which meant a maximum displacement of 2 litres. By the time the first 'Vanwall' was ready to race, the rules had changed once again with the displacement limit stretched to 2.5 litres. Facing strong competition from Lancia, Maserati and above all Mercedes-Benz, and teething problems with the new engine, the Vanwall team did not leave a lasting impression in 1954. Before the season was over the Cooper based machine was crashed beyond repair. For the next season four more chassis were constructed along the same lines, but again there was little the Brits could do to challenge the Germans and Italians.
By chance, a very young Colin Chapman visited the Vanwall factory and after taking a good look at the chassis, he suggested so many changes to Vandervell that he was hired to design a new chassis from the ground up. It was a great opportunity for the young engineer, who had previously only designed small sports cars for his own company Lotus. He came up with a very rigid and lightweight spaceframe, which was quite a departure from the Italian tubular ladder type frames that were prone to flex. Due to the rigidity of the frame, the suspension could be set up with softer springs, greatly increasing the predictability of the handling. Suspension was by double wishbones and coil springs at the front and a DeDion axle at the rear with a transverse leaf spring. For 1957, the leaf spring was replaced by 'Chapman struts' with coil springs. While the conservative Italians still used drums, the Vanwalls were already fitted with in-house developed vented disc brakes.
Vandervell was also a director at Norton and he was so impressed by the motorcycle manufacturer's 500 cc single cylinder that he had his Formula 2 engine based on it. As mentioned earlier, by the time the engine was needed, its initial displacement of 2 litres was not sufficient. Norton engineer Leo Kusmicki carefully enlarged the engine, and its debut season, it was raced in 2, 2.3 and 2.5 litre form. The beautiful four cylinder engine of course featured Thin Wall bearings and hairpin valve springs, which were very popular at the time, but were difficult to get reliable. A big turn-around for the Vanwall four cylinder engine was the addition of Fuel Injection, received from Mercedes-Benz and Bosch after the former withdrew from motor racing at the end of 1955. At full size and with the Fuel Injection installed the engine produced a very competitive 285 bhp.
Chapman also brought along aerodynamics expert Frank Costin, who sculpted a very efficient body for the 1956 Vanwall. Air was fed to the four intake trumpets by a 'Naca duct' in the body, which produced far less drag than the conventional ram intake. Leaving little to chance Vandervell frequently hired high profile drivers like Stirling Moss and Tony Brooks. The cars showed considerable potential, but teething problems frequently let the cars down. Nevertheless, Moss was able to score Vanwall's first major victory in the Silverstone International Trophy. Slowly, but gradually the pieces fell into place and at the start of the 1957 season the cars were almost as reliable as they were fast. The all-star team of drivers was now hired full-time and talented young-gun Stuart Lewis-Evans was hired as the third driver.
With the revised rear suspension and the bugs ironed out, a glorious period for Vanwall started. At Aintree Moss took Vanwall's maiden Grand Prix victory, and the first for an all British entry for 34 years. Moss went on to score two more wins that season, including one at Monza, embarrassing the local Ferrari and Maserati teams. After Maserati's retirement, the 1958 season was very much a Ferrari vs. Vanwall battle. Ferrari's newly developed 246 Dino was very fast in a straight line, but it was beaten by the Vanwall on twistier tracks. Moss repeated his 1957 feat and won three Grands Prix, and Brooks added another three to Vanwall's tally. Sadly Moss came one point short of Ferrari's Mike Hawthorn for the driver's title, but Vanwall did comfortably win the very first constructor's cup.
It was not all good news for Vanwall in 1958 though. Vandervell was struggling with his health and the doctors strongly advised against his active involvement in the hectic world of motorsport. The final blow was the fatal crash of Lewis-Evans in the last race of the season at Casablanca; a blown engine had locked up his rear wheels. The Vanwall team withdrew at the end of the season, but not before paving the way for the many other successful British manufacturers that followed. Tony Brooks entered an updated Vanwall once in 1959 and 1960, but like its Ferrari nemesis, it was not able to keep up with the mid-engined Coopers. A Lotus 18 based mid-engined machine was also developed, but never raced.
Although there were never more than four cars assembled at any time, there were ten chassis numbers assigned to the various Vanwall frames. The others were used as spares. At the end of the 1958 season there were three complete racing cars and sufficient spares for several more cars. Two different cars are pictured above. The first six shots show 'VW11', which was based of the multiple Grand Prix winning 'VW5' and used by Brooks in his unsuccessful 1959 and 1960 outings. The chassis and engine are still original, but the body was constructed later using VW9 and VW10 as a model. The second bears s/n 'VW7' and has been more recently reconstructed using the many spares available with drawings made available by the Donnington Collection who bought all of the Vanwall assets in the early 1980s. VW11 is seen here driven by Brian Redman at the 2006 Goodwood Revival and VW7 seen on the Speedmaster stand at Retromobile earlier that same year.
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Saucony EVERUN Guide 9 Running Shoe Women's
Go bananas in the Saucony Women's EVERUN Guide 9 Running Shoes. Designed to maximize comfort with minimal weight penalty, these sneakers keep you flying high throughout the endurance training or strength intervals. The Guide 9 is crafted specifically to be worn as a stabilizing sneaker for those who pronate and roll their ankle inward through the gait cycle. The EVERUN topsole provides hug like support without being stifling while the comfortable FLEXFILM is an exoskeletal support frame that has unrivaled performance and comfort, namely because of its minimal use of stitching. Providing plenty of stability without being floppy, these shoes utilize iBR midsole technology, which provides a smooth strike and finish. Additionally, from toe to heel, the iBR cushioning and structure attenuates shock, in turn propelling you forward without the uncomfortable lag time. The TRI FLEX outsole ensures better sole to ground contact, so you can focus more on your stride and less on whether or not you might careen off the sidewalk.
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Both Sides of the Fence
A Tosa resident since 1991, Christine walks the dog, cooks but avoids housework, writes and reads, and enjoys the company of friends and strangers. Her job takes her around the state, learning about people's health. A Quaker (no, they don't wear blue hats or sell oatmeal or motor oil), she has been known to stand on both sides of the political and philosophic fence at the same time, which is very uncomfortable when you think about it. She writes about pretty much whatever stops in to visit her busy mind at the moment. One reader described her as "incredibly opinionated but not judgmental." That sounds like a good thing to strive for!
Zucchini cupcakes at the crossroads
As one unhappy reader noted, I seem to be at a crossroads. Lots of company here, where people are trying to figure out which way to head as we move from the steadier lives we thought we had into an unpredictable future.
Sometimes, it's not such a bad place to be.
Yesterday started with completing a job application for teaching in prisons. When you've been looking for work as long as I have, you find yourself exploring possibilities you might not have considered before. Sometimes, you feel a little sick applying for a job that your gut tells you isn't right. Strangely, this was not one of those. This was a "hmmm, that just might be a very good thing" application.
Then it was time to shift gears. August 6 would have been my mother's 88th birthday, so Liz and I went to visit her grave. Her ashes and Dad's are comingled under a pine tree that's easy to spot in the old Graceland Cemetery on Milwaukee's northside.
On the way, we debated what kind of cake we should make to celebrate. Mom didn't have a favorite of her own. She would have made Dad's favorite--blitz kuchen--for her own birthday or, after he was gone, whatever would please the grandchildren. Berries and whipped cream were usually involved.
But first we stopped at Sendik's on North Avenue to pick up a bouquet of daisies to leave illegally on her grave. They're biodegradable, after all. As are we, but I digress.
Heading east to 43rd Street, we stopped to peek in the windows of the old Hartter's Bakery. By now the small business fantasies were beginning to bubble. The building is charming. Most of a commercial bakery's kitchen is still in place. There's a big flat upstairs.
We began imagining our lives as bakers. Minus the incredibly long and odd hours and the inevitable disasters along the way, of course.
The ideas kept cooking, and by the time we stopped at Ted's for lunch, a couple themes started to emerge. We'd moved from donuts to cupcakes, some of which I could describe here, others not.
Then Liz started reminiscing about my sister's caramel frosting.
And by dinner time, we had come up with these. Happy Birthday, Crossroads Day--or Anyday!
Crossroads Zucchini Cupcakes
Preheat oven to 350 degrees. Prepare muffin tins for 18-24 cupcakes (grease them or use paper liners).
Cupcake ingredients
3 eggs
1 1/3 cup sugar
1/2 cup vegetable oil
1/2 cup orange juice
grated rind of an orange
1/2 teaspoon vanilla extract
2 1/2 cups flour
1 to 2 teaspoons cinnamon
1/2 teaspoon cloves
1 teaspoon salt
2 teaspoons baking powder
1 teaspoon baking soda
1 cup shredded zucchini (we used yellow zucchini)
1/2 cup finely shredded carrot
Caramel frosting ingredients
1/2 cup butter
1 cup packed brown sugar
1/4 cup milk
1 teaspoon vanilla extract
2 cups confectioners' sugar (sifted)
For cupcakes. In a mixing bowl, beat eggs, sugar, oil, orange juice and rind, extract. In another bowl, combine dry ingredients. Add to egg mixture, mix well. Add zucchini and carrots and mix again.
Fill prepared muffin tins 2/3 full. Bake 350 degrees 20 minutes or until toothpick inserted in center comes out clean. Cool 10 minutes before removing from pans. Cool completely before frosting.
For frosting. Combine butter, sugar, and milk in a saucepan. Bring to a boil over medium heat. Cook stirring constantly for 2 minutes or until thickened. Remove from heat. Add vanilla. Let cool until lukewarm. Then gradually beat in confectioner's sugar until it reaches spreading consistency (you may need less or more powdered sugar, depending on how long you cooked the caramel and how humid it is). Frost. Eat. Be happy.
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Thomastown United's under 14 side made Club History on Easter Monday when they defeated Corinthian Boys of Cork in the SFAI Goodson Cup Quarter Final in United Park, Thomastown.
These sides met last year in the Last 32 round of the competition but this year it was Thomastowns turn. Edenderry Town are Thomastowns next opponents in the Semi-Final in the near future. congrats to all involved. Great day for the club.


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Good one, thanks Karl.
There was a bit of confusion at the store this morning. When I was
ready to pay for my groceries, the cashier said, "Strip down facing me."
Making a mental note to complain to my congressman about Homeland
Security running amok, I did just as she had instructed.
When the hysterical shrieking and alarms finally subsided, I found out
that she was referring to my credit card.
I have been asked to shop elsewhere in the future.
They need to make their instructions to us seniors a little clearer!
I swear, by my life and my love of it, that I will never live for the sake of another man, nor ask another man to live for mine. - Ayn Rand


text:
Article Preview
Courreges Turns Artists Into Critics
By GLORIA EMERSONSpecial to The New York Times ();
March 09, 1965,
, Section food fashions family furnishings, Page 28, Column , words
PARIS, March 8 -- Andre Courreges, the designer who first opened a couture salon here in 1960 and was relatively ignored by Paris until his collection last month, is now under heavy intellectual inspection by the French.
March 09, 1965
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text:
Bob Makransky's Magical Sampler HTML version
smack dab in the middle of the action, taking primary enjoyment from being in the scene
that unfolds around you, rather than standing back and watching at a distance. Whereas
normal daydreaming is a means of escaping from the rigors of life, creative visualization
entails knowing that you called your outer circumstances to you for some reason; and
knowing that you can also change that reason if only you don't lose sight of (feeling for)
the ultimate goal. It means reaching out to probable realities in which there is joy, no
matter how improbable they may seem at the moment, rather than to ones which will only
reinforce your self-pity
Creative visualization is a way of cutting across all those endless circles of doubt
and feeling sorry for yourself, by taking primary joy in the act of visualization itself. It's
like playing with an imaginary companion: a child who has an imaginary companion
doesn't care if it's real or not – he or she just has fun with it in the now moment. And
that's the attitude you must bring to creative visualization – take primary pleasure in
imagining it happening right now, rather than worrying about whether or not it will
actually come true in some future.
The secret of creative visualization is to convince yourself that what you are
wishing for is already true, and you're just hanging around for a few minutes in the
waiting room while the universe finds it and hands it to you. To visualize a desire as if it
were already achieved means to imagine it happening in the here and now, as if it were
taking place in front of you. You mustn't set up any contradictory agendas such as, "In
the event that this creative visualization doesn't work for me then I'll do this other thing."
You have to put all your eggs in one basket, in the probable reality in which your desires
come true. The more energy you can bring to bear upon your desire, the faster you'll
start seeing results. But be patient: Rome wasn't built in a day.
* * * * * * * * *
White Witchcraft:
Channeling Spirit Guides
Glendower: "I can call spirits from the vasty deep."
Hotspur: "Why, so can I, or so can any man;
But will they come when you do call for them?"
Henry IV, Part I
Like that character from Moliere who was delighted to learn that he'd been
speaking prose all along and never knew it, each and every one of us is channeling all the
time; and the only difference between "professional" psychics and mediums and the rest
of us is that the psychics are aware of what they're doing – they make a special point of
(call special attention to) a completely natural process that everybody already knows how
to do. Everyone has spirit guides who talk to them constantly; however, most people


text:
Ex-Monarch Mortgage CEO indicted, trial set for September
A former president and CEO of Monarch Mortgage was indicted Wednesday on several charges including bankruptcy fraud.
A former president and CEO of Monarch Mortgage was indicted Wednesday on several charges including bankruptcy fraud.
Chef Keyvan Behnam, owner of Lulu Birds Kitchen in Gloucester was in the kitchen with us this morning making Beer Braised Short Ribs with Ba…
Our live audience today was from The Foodbank of Southeastern Virginia and the Eastern Shore to talk about their summer program
Grow you career and be your own boss.
Friends and family members waited outside a hospital in Istanbul on Wednesday, June 29, 2016, awaiting updates on their loved ones injured o…
The University of Connecticut has revoked Bill Cosby's honorary degree.
Surveillance shows the suspect walking around a gun display counter, and even peering over and reaching behind the counter.
If you can't make it to see Laura Benanti in the charming Broadway revival of "She Loves Me," don't worry. Just fire up your computer or TV.
The Gloucester County School Board has filed a notice of appeal in Gavin Grimm case, court records show.
A man was found guilty Wednesday of forcible sodomy after a two-day trial.
Numerous workers and union activists were vocally rallying and looking to drum-up support for a $15 minimum wage.
Illinois must add post-traumatic stress disorder to the list of diseases eligible for medical marijuana treatment.
The law limits anti-discrimination rules that protect LGBT people.
The House approved a bill Tuesday to ban sex offenders from places like arcades, parks, swimming pools, libraries and the State Fairgrounds …
Mississippi clerks cannot cite their own religious beliefs to recuse themselves from issuing marriage licenses to same-sex couples.
The Hampton Police Division is welcoming a new member to its K-9 unit Wednesday.
"Instead of telling her to stop, well, I thought of something better," Chris Martin wrote in an Instagram post.
NASA plans to use the mega-rocket for trips to Mars in the 2030s.
Moore was the last survivor of a combo that included Presley, bassist Bill Black and producer Sam Phillips.
A former University of Connecticut student who went on a drunken, obscenity-laced tirade about jalapeno-bacon macaroni and cheese has been a…
Jenner told the magazine she had a complicated relationship with the medal and had kept it in drawers and in a safe, but never on display.
A former college student was sentenced Monday to life in prison without parole for killing the newborn by throwing her in the trash.
The new baby bongo calf stands 3 feet tall, weighs 46.9 pounds and is very healthy, according to the Zoo.
As we approach the birthday of our country, Wallethub has named Virginia the most patriotic state in the union.
If you have plans to be outside this holiday weekend, this infectious disease specialist says don't cancel them.
A person was trapped in the vehicle, but crews managed to get them out.
Buddy Ryan took a back seat to no one. Neither did his fierce defenses that won two Super Bowls.
Musicians Devin Copeland and Maerio Overton filed the lawsuit in 2013 in Norfolk District Court.
From the 1982 Final Four at Scope, to annual meetings against the Lady Monarchs, the late Pat Summitt was no stranger to Hampton Roads.
The former Phi Kappa Psi members brought the lawsuit last year.


text:
Some say that Ned had a crush on her/had the secks with her
others say it was Brandon Stark instead
now people are saying Aerys
I do wonder if Selmy is a reliable narrator. I know George has said that Sansa isn't a reliable narrator, so I wonder if Selmy is the same case.
now people are saying Aerys?
See, I think LF violently raping Sansa is too predictable.
Here are my reasons: doesn't he want her 'intact' to marry HtH? Isn't that what is hinging on her marriage to Tyrion being annulled?
I can see him raping her after the wedding claiming lords right or whatever.
2:50 p.m. Game of Thrones panel and Q&A session. Featured cast include John Bradley (Samwell Tarly), Emilia Clarke (Daenerys Targaryen), Nikolaj Coster-Waldau (Jaime Lannister), Peter Dinklage (Tyrion Lannister), Michelle Fairley (Catelyn Stark), Kit Harington (Jon Snow), Rose Leslie (Ygritte), and Richard Madden (Robb Stark). The panel will be moderated by Elvis Mitchell. Read more: LINK Follow us: @wtcommunities on Twitter
Questions that bother me about it being true:
-Why would Elia allow one child replaced/ taken to safety but not the other?
-Was she even aware a switch had been pulled?
Here's my biggest problem with Aegon being the real Aegon. The Golden Company hates Targs. They were founded by Blackfyres with the express purpose of overthrowing the Targ dynasty.
Even if Aegon is some Blackfyre that Varys is trying to pass off as a Targ to take the throne, at some point they would HAVE to reveal him as a Blackfyre. Bittersteel and his followers wouldn't have been satisfied with the Targ name living on even if it was actually a BF that no one knew about.
I'd say its highly probable Aegon not only lasts WoW, but is sitting on the Iron Throne by the end of it. If he doesn't make it to the final one, then his introduction is 100% pointless.
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text:
Hi folks,
saw a 290 at the LGS, looks slightly smaller than a glock 26; any opinions/ info on this fire arm? How does it compare with the 250?
Printable View
Hi folks,
saw a 290 at the LGS, looks slightly smaller than a glock 26; any opinions/ info on this fire arm? How does it compare with the 250?
It was a very early one. A "First Edition" model. Some early 290's had a "light firing pin" strike problem. Which is supposed to be fixed after "serial no. ????". I can't remember that number.
I also bought two "extended 8 rd." Sig mag's.
I have had absolutely no problems with mine after several hundred rounds. It is small, but at 20 oz. empty it feels like a brick when loaded with 1 + 6 or 1 + 8.
I'm very happy with mine, and it is my EDC.
Thanks, the ones I saw come with the extended mag. It looks like using the extended mag puts the gun in the belt carry class.
Vote for the P250
A guy at the range enthusiastically let my brother and me use his new P250.
It was sweet, I had considered one myself but my research on it showed the P250's have an interesting long double action only trigger. Theres a great youtube video showing it's reset
Sig P250 Reset - YouTube
Now if you have excellent trigger control (like i do) then it was a very cool gun to fire and also very accurate. I still opted out for it for a different firearm but the price point is very outstanding for a sig.
Cant say anything about 290 but My p250 is now a great gun
Sig redid it (Gen 1 with some original design issues) now it's smooth
great trigger pull DAO, in compact this is JMO a perfect carry, no safety to
fuss with, just pull and fire....
I don't own a p290 but I have shot a few, I do own 2 P250's. Personally I say save the scratch and buy the P250, way more versatility with grip, chambering and size options. I feel the P250 has the better trigger as well.
I looked seriously at the 290 before I bought the Kahr PM9.
First, it is incredibly overpriced IMHO.
Secondly, I don't like the trigger on it.
Third, you can't dry fire with it without racking the slide.
Also, not many rounds.
The 250 is a much better gun IMHO and a better value. I would go for the sub or compact. You should also consider the 239 and the 2022.
If you are looking small, also consider the Kahr CM or PM series or the new Beretta.
waiting to see the Beretta Neo.....
New Beretta and the 290 are about the same size, Beretta is cheaper at my LGS. The 250 Sig sub compact is a little bigger.
Another vote for the P250 SC ....love mine in .40.....JJ
I don't know about the 290, but I'm a proud owner of the p250 compact. The p250 is my first gun and I feel that I made a great choice, the DAO trigger is an issue for some but i don't mind it. The trigger is smooth as butter and so far I haven't had any issues with it. IMO the p250 is a great gun.
Two different animals really. The 250's dimensions are larger overall, but it has twice the capacity. Heavier too. I haven't actually handled a 290, but it's looks too small for me personally. Same with the Solo and the Nano. I own a Taurus 709(not pleasant to shoot), but I still prefer the 250SC for everyday carry. Being 6'6" 270, I have the advantage of easily concealing almost anything though.
P250 all the way, I have one and love it. No complaints yes it's a DAO trigger but its very smooth and if you can get
use to the trigger its a GREAT gun:mrgreen:IMO. I love my Sig
Hello...New member with my first post. I have both the Sig P250C, and the 290 in 9mm. I am completely sold on the 250. No complaints at all. The 290, as received, was totally reliable, but the trigger was gritty, and the slide had to be racked to reset. I returned the gun to Sig Sauer for the conversion to re-strike capability, and mentioned in the letter that the trigger was rough (compared to the 250). I don't know what they did to the trigger, but now the 290 is full DAO, and the trigger is nearly equal to the 250. Very satisfied with the service from Sig Sauer, and carry the 290 daily.
I have both of them and I would go with the P250. If you want small I suggest a Kahr or my carry gun S&W 3913 or Shield
Interesting info guys... been looking for a handgun for the wife since she wants her own. I'm considering the P250 & Nano for her to try at our local range. She likes my P238 but I'd like her to have something in a 9mm for home defense.
I have a P250 sub compact in .40 S&W and it shoots great and that is what I have on me now. I also have the P250 compact in 9mm exchange kit but have never shot it due to there not being any ammo around for it. With that being said I love my Sig P238 and can't wait to be able to buy the P938 in one of the later serial numbers. My P250 is new but had been in the LGS since 2009 and has never had a malfunction of any kind.


text:
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text:
Administrative Resource
State Board of Education Election of Board Members (2016)
2016 Results for State Board of Education,
Western Region Position 4
Patty Wood*
Edri Geiger
Ivan Gorne
Karen I. Williams
In 2016, one position on the State Board of Education is up for election this fall – Western Region Position 4 (four year term beginning the second Monday in January 2017).
Candidate Eligibility: Candidates must be a resident in the Western region (see below). The person elected to the State Board of Education may not concurrently serve as a member of the State Board of Education and as an employee of any school, college, university or other educational institution, or any educational service district superintendent's office, or in the Office of Superintendent of Public Instruction, or as a member of the board of directors of either a public school district or a private school.
Declaration of Candidacy: Forms shall be filed with the Office of
Superintendent of Public Instruction between September 10, 2016 and September
30, 2016. Declaration of Candidacy forms must be received at OSPI by 5:00 p.m.
on September 30, 2016. Please note that Declaration of Candidacy forms received
after September 30, 2016 will not be accepted. Mail Declaration of Candidacy
forms to Administrative Resource Services, OSPI, PO Box 47200, Olympia, WA
98504-7200 (faxed or emailed forms will not be accepted).
Electors (voters): Each school district director (school board member) in the
Western region is eligible to cast a vote for this position. Votes are weighted
based on student enrollment of the school director's district. The electoral
vote (weighted vote) will be indicated on each ballot.
Voting: Ballots will be mailed to public school directors on November 9,
2016. Voting will be by mail and ballots must be postmarked on or before
November 30, 2016 in order to be counted. Ballots will be returned to
Administrative Resource Services, OSPI, PO Box 47200, Olympia, WA 98504-7200.
If you have questions regarding the process, you may contact Kristin Murphy with Administrative Resource Services at 360-725-6133 or by email, firstname.lastname@example.com.
Print Version
September 10 – 30, 2016
Candidate Filing Period.
Declaration of Candidacy must be received at OSPI on or before September 30, 2016.
October 5, 2016
Withdrawal of Candidacy deadline by 5:00 p.m.
Candidates wishing to withdraw their candidacy must do so in writing by 5:00 p.m. on October 5, 2016. Written withdrawals must be submitted to OSPI – Administrative Resources.
October 23, 2016
OSPI to certify electors. (Certify electors and weighted vote for each region)
November 9, 2016 (on or before)
Ballots will be mailed to electors. Voting will be by mail and ballots must be postmarked on or before November 30, 2016.
November 30, 2016
Voted ballots must be postmarked on or before
November 30, 2016. Voted ballots may be postal mailed to OSPI or hand-delivered by 5:00 p.m. on November 30, 2016.
December 6, 2016
Ballots will be counted at OSPI
December 9, 2016
Report and Certification of Election
To Be Determined
Run-Off Election
(if no candidate receives at least 50%+1 of the votes, a run-off election will be held between the top two vote-getters)
For further information contact Kristin Murphy, 360-725-6133.
Laws and rules
Related to the election of board members to the State Board of Education: 28A.305 RCW and 392-109 WAC.
Updated 12/7/2016
Old Capitol Building, PO Box 47200, 600 Washington St. S.E., Olympia, WA 98504-7200 360-725-6000 TTY 360-664-3631
Contact Us | A-Z Index | Site Info | Staff Only | Education Data System (EDS)


text:
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text:
Notice: On March 31, it was announced that Statalist is moving from an email list to a forum. The old list will shut down on April 23, and its replacement, statalist.org is already up and running.
[Date Prev][Date Next][Thread Prev][Thread Next][Date Index][Thread Index]
Re: st: Appropriate modelling - testing which set of exposures are more important
Maarten Buis <firstname.lastname@example.com>
Re: st: Appropriate modelling - testing which set of exposures are more important
Fri, 28 Sep 2012 10:19:24 +0200
On Thu, Sep 27, 2012 at 7:46 PM, Amal Khanolkar wrote:
> I have two main exposures; maternal ethnicity and maternal socioeconomic position (SEP).
> I want to test which of the above two exposures are more important in determining maternal pregnancy outcomes.
> 1. I plan to use linear regression, as my outcome of interest is continuous.
A continuous dependent/outcome/left-hand-side/explained variable is
neither a necessary nor a sufficient reason for choosing a linear
regression model.
> 2. Initially, the first model will test the effect of ethnicity on the outcome, controlling for potential confounders as follows:
> xi: regress outcome i.ethnicity confounder1 confounder2 i.confounder3
> 3. In the next step, I introduce the second main exposure, maternal SEP:
> xi: regress outcome i.ethnicity confounder1 confounder2 i.confounder3 i.SEP
> 4. I test for an interaction as follows:
> xi: regress outcome i.ethnicity*i.SEP confounder1 confounder2 i.confounder3
> Questions: If the effects of ethnicity on my outcome of interest change from step2 to step3, controlling for the same confounders in both models, is this enough evidence of one exposure being more important than the other?
No, think of it this way: If you started with maternal SEP instead and
than added ethnicity than that would also lead to a change in the
effect of maternal SEP. So if your argument were correct you could
choose which variable is more important by choosing with which
variable you started your analysis...
As a solution you would need to be more precise about what "more
important" means. To me it refers to some form of comparison of effect
sizes. Than the trick becomes to create effect sizes for categorical
variables that are comparable. One approach is the sheaf coefficient:
see: -ssc desc sheafcoef-, <http://www.maartenbuis.nl/wp/prop.html>
and the example below. In the example below I would say that
occupation and education are about equally important for wage and both
are more important than marital status. If you like testing, than you
can test these hypotheses, as is shown below.
*----------------------- begin example ----------------------
// prepare data
sysuse nlsw88, clear
recode occupation (11/12=4) ///
gen byte marst = never_married + 2*married
label define marst 0 "divorced/widowed" ///
1 "never married" ///
2 "married"
label value marst marst
gen byte ed = cond(grade < 12, 1, ///
cond(grade == 12, 2, ///
cond(grade < ., 3, .)))
label define ed 1 "less than high school" ///
2 "high school" ///
3 "more than high school"
label ed ed
// estimate the model
// notice wage is (approximately) continuous,
// but linear regression is not the best choice
xi: glm wage i.occupation i.marst i.ed union ttl_exp, ///
link(log) vce(robust)
// make the effects of occupation, marital status
// and education comparable
sheafcoef, latent(occ:_Iocc* ; marst:_Imarst* ; ed:_Ied*) ///
eform post
// test whether the comparable effects are different
test occ_e = ed_e
test occ_e = marst_e
test ed_e = marst_e
*------------------------ end example -----------------------
(For more on examples I sent to the Statalist see:
http://www.maartenbuis.nl/example_faq )
-- Maarten
Maarten L. Buis
Reichpietschufer 50
10785 Berlin
* For searches and help try:
* http://www.stata.com/help.cgi?search
* http://www.stata.com/support/faqs/resources/statalist-faq/
* http://www.ats.ucla.edu/stat/stata/


text:
Have you ever purchased from PartSelect.com before?
Thank you for helping make our site better.
PartSelect Number PS11744673
This clock knob is just under an inch long. It is black in color and is made of plastic. There is a chrome disc of decoration on its top.
This part works with the following brands: Whirlpool, Admiral, Estate, Inglis, KENMORE®, KitchenAid, Roper, Maytag, Crosley, Jenn-Air, Hardwick, Magic Chef, Amana, Caloric & Glenwood.
Just opend the knob package and pushed it onto the prodruding clock setter.Thermostat bracket: Really didn't use the pliers. Located the hole where the bracket belonged. mid way up on the side wall of the oven. Inserted the V portion of the bracket into the hole. Lifted the thermostat and placed it on the protruding part of the inserted bracket.
Help other customers find the most helpful instructions.
Were these instructions helpful?
Just replace old knobs with new ones. No story here.
placed knob on clock shaft with my fingers
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