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Stories of the Season: Miller Much More Than the ROY
Stories of the Season: Miller Much More Than the ROY
It's time to start thinking of Von Miller in a new light. The Broncos rookie is running away with our rookie of the year poll, but that doesn't come close to doing him justice. Miller has been arguably the biggest reason behind the defensive resurgence in Denver, and he really should have the rookie awards locked up; his play dominates that of any other defensive rookie, so let's look beyond to a farther horizon.
It's time we forgot talk of best rookie and started to think in terms of Pro-Bowl, All-Pro, maybe even Defensive Player of the Year. It sounds crazy, but there may not be a better candidate than Miller right now.
Every-down Talent
Most people think of him as just an edge rusher, but in Denver's defense Miller is an every down player, and essentially plays two positions. In a way similar to Kamerion Wimbley for the Raiders, on early downs he's a stand-up 4-3 outside linebacker, albeit often over-shifted to one side of the formation, but then on pass-rushing downs he rushes from his side of usually a four-man pass-rush. The difference between Miller and Wimbley in their deployment is that while Wimbley rushes almost exclusively as a conventional 4-3 defensive end with his hand in the ground, Miller will rush from a two-point stance and has only lined up as a 4-3 end on 112 of his 700 snaps. You know he's coming, but you don't always know when, he can just as easily drop into coverage from that stance.
Needless to say, Miller is sitting at the top of our 4-3 outside linebacker grades at the moment, and by some staggering margin. His +51.3 grade is some distance from his nearest challenger (Wimbley at +34.1) and more than double the next placed player (Daryl Smith of the Jaguars). The interesting thing, though, comes when you take away his pass-rushing and just look at the rest of his game. Focusing only on his play as a run defender and in coverage, he is still having an All-Pro caliber season. Baltimore's Jarrett Johnson has been our top-graded 4-3 OLB against the run for the past two seasons, and has never been outside of the Top 3 in that regard since we've been grading. Miller is currently as far ahead of Johnson as Johnson is from the rest of the field in run defense. He has stepped in as a rookie and is performing better than the standard set at the position for the past three seasons.
Able to use his quickness and strength to set the edge and torpedo through traffic on runs coming in his direction, even when he isn't making the play he is often disrupting it beyond repair for somebody else to finish it off. Miller is also the only linebacker in the league with more than 25 tackles that has yet to miss one. He trails only four other 4-3 outside linebackers in defensive stops (tackles which constitute an offensive failure), with 36, despite having far fewer tackling opportunities than most other linebackers that play in a more conventional alignment away from the line of scrimmage.
If all he did was play 4-3 outside linebacker we would be talking about him in terms of the Pro Bowl and All-Pro, he's that good at disrupting plays and making things happen, but Miller adds an extra dimension that most don't. When some linebackers are dropped to the bench or forced into uncomfortable roles in coverage against quicker receivers, Miller drops down to a pass-rushing role, and here is what thrusts him into Defensive Player of the Year talk.
Varied Attack Getting Stronger
Only two players (Miami's Cameron Wake and Chris Long from the Rams) have totaled more combined pressures (sacks, hits and hurries) than Miller, and both have done so with more attempts at rushing the passer. When looking at our recent Pass Rushing Productivity article, we see that only one player, Cincinnati's Carlos Dunlap, can top Miller's effectiveness as a pass-rushing force, and Dunlap remains something of a situational player in Cincinnati, with 100 fewer pass-rushes than Miller and almost 400 fewer snaps. He is rushing the passer more efficiently than almost anybody in the league, and the one player who can top him is being deliberately spelled in order to ensure he remains fresh when he rushes. Miller is matching that level of performance despite playing a role as a conventional linebacker in coverage and run support for the rest of the game.
The scary part is that when most rookies are running into the metaphorical wall, Miller seems to be getting stronger. His past four games have been his strongest four, and at the moment he is proving to be an adversary that right tackles can't contain. At 6'3 and 246lbs, he possesses an ability to dip and bend like few players that size. He is able to maintain such a low center of gravity that you could easily believe he was several inches shorter, but he also shows a range of pass rushing moves beyond most rookies.
Many rookies come into the league as athletic specimens, but relying heavily on one or two pass-rush moves with which they always look to succeed before developing more over the long-term. Looking through the sacks he has accumulated this season will show only two that have come without beating an offensive lineman, and he has recorded near instant sacks using outside moves, inside moves, bull rushes and stunts. Rarely do sacks tell the whole story, something we're often at pains to point out at PFF, but if you drew up a highlight reel only of Miller's sacks this season, you would see an accomplished and varied arsenal of pass-rushing moves already mastered.
As a pass-rusher Miller has yet to be shut out this season and in only two games (both in his first three weeks of the season, one of which involved just nine pass rushes) has he been unable to record multiple pressures.
Best in a Decade
The way in which the Broncos use Miller means that for all intents and purposes he plays two positions for them, depending on the down and distance. What is truly remarkable is that, despite being a rookie, he is arguably the best player in the league right now at either spot. This might be the most dominant season from a rookie since Randy Moss defined the word 'uncoverable' in his first year with a chip on his shoulder in 1998. Often we get caught up in hype over substance, but Miller might be one case of the substance far outstripping the hype, and we may be witnessing the best rookie performance in more than a decade. Forget Rookie of the Year, through 12 weeks Von Miller is the Defensive Player of the Year.
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Sam Monson | Senior Analyst
Sam is a Senior Analyst at Pro Football Focus, as well as a contributor to ESPN.
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Ramune(???) is the name given to a group of popular carbonated soft drinks sold in Japan. They are widely known for the unique design of their bottle, which are also called Codd-neck bottles after their inventor, Hiram Codd. They are made of glass and sealed with a glass marble; the marble is held in place by the pressure of the drink. To move the marble a special opening device is provided with the bottle. The marble is pushed inside the neck of the bottle where it rattles around while drinking. Two little glass nodes inside the bottle allow the drinker to hook the marble in place while drinking. Japanese people find it amusing to watch foreigners drinking Ramune, as it takes practice to learn to stop the marble blocking the flow of drink. Ramune is one of the modern symbols of summer in Japan and is often widely consumed during warm festival days and nights. At the stalls where it is sold the bottles are usually recollected for recycling.
"Nikki loves to drink Ramune in the summer time"
Most japanophiles love to drink ramune because it makes them feel more asian
Most japanophiles love to drink ramune because it makes them feel more asian
by Ryoko Katsuya August 11, 2005
A really good Japanese soda. Typically in glass bottles with a ball at the top that seals it, which you pop out to open. REALLYREALLYREALLY carbonated. Has a candy made to taste like it.
by Ramune June 05, 2005
adj: When something has a feature that is absolutely useless and is seemingly there for no purpose; when something is extremely complicated when it could be simple
Origin from the popular Asian drink Ramune
Origin from the popular Asian drink Ramune
Scott: I was cold one night, so I slept next to an open oven.
Nick: You're a dumbass. You should get a blanket. That was totally ramune.
Nick: You're a dumbass. You should get a blanket. That was totally ramune.
by Montes March 24, 2008

subset: commoncrawl


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Today we are featuring a guest blog post from our Digital
Controller, Fran. Fran works in the web department for Berlei and Berlei's
sister brand Gossard. She does the social media posts for both brands,
creates the email newsletters you receive, uploads all the new products to the
websites and creates new imagery to keep the websites up to date! Time to hand
over our blog!
I'm Fran, I work for Berlei and Gossard in the web
department! Today I am going to talk about my Pretty Muddy Challenge!
First of all, I will hold my hands up and say exercise is
not my thing! I got through phases of going to the gym and swimming lots and
then a large gap of not exercising….but walking around shopping counts…right? I have done one charity
run before raising money for St Ormond's Street Hospital.
In a team of ten, we raised over £1,000 and it was a great experience. I
enjoyed training for it as it was in the summer so there was no excuse after work not go for a run when the sun was shining. So when a close friend told me she was doing the
Pretty Muddy run in July and asked if I wanted to join…I accepted the
challenge! How could I not get behind a fantastic charity such as Cancer
Research UK!
At the finishing line
at the 'Race of the Kids' 5KM run
My training actually starts this week….eek! With the weather
looking so great, it really is a good motivation for me, like most people…I
spend my working day at a desk in front of two computer screens so it will be great
to enjoy the fresh air, sunshine and hopefully the run! Of course my main
motivation is the charity. We have all been affected by cancer in someway, a
relative, a friend…even on the news hearing stories of survivors, patients
seeking groundbreaking treatments as well as famous actors or musicians passing
away from this horrible disease. I was
shocked to hear that every two minute in the UK is diagnosed with cancer. That
is a stat that you can't really ignore.
Along with people battling cancer and survivors, I will be running in
tribute of my grandma who passed away from cancer when I was growing up.
Over the next two months, I will be reviewing two of
Berlei's new sportswear bras. First I will be reviewing the High Performance
Underwired Bra in Prowl and the Electrify Underwired Print Bra in Fern Fronts
Orchid. I could not resist the prints on both of these sports bras and they
both felt so appropriate as pink is the brand colour for Cancer Research UK's Race for
Life and as they have said 'Hell Hath No Fury Like A Woman in Pink'
I will be back later in the month with my review of the High
Performance Underwired Bra!
Fran x
Posted: 6 May 2016
Permalink |
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You would have noticed over the last couple of years that
active wear is very much becoming apart of our wardrobe essentials. Gone are
the days where you would wait to get dressed at the gym with your baggy t-shirt and
unattractive jogging bottoms. Now people proudly walk between home or work to
the leisure centre wearing their on-trend gear. This growing trend has been
aptly named as 'Athleisure'.
With 'Athleisure', sportswear has gone luxe and it is totally revamping womenswear
for a casual urban look. Fashionable sportswear has closely followed the
increasing health trends; as clean living, fitness and mindfulness continue to
become a bigger part of our lives. It is safe to say that it has never looked
cooler to look like you are moments away from hitting the gym.
At Berlei, it's no different, our bras not only come in
classic neutrals but also fresh colours and bright patterns which
capture the spirit of sports: attitude and adrenaline! We have combined fashion
and technology to create a fantastic Spring Summer sportswear collection. Here
are our must-haves from the season:
How cannot you not love the High Perfomance bra in the
'Prowl' pink leopard print?! The feisty pattern really stands out against the
grey colour palette and will keep your fitness confidence going through your
workout. We love how the straps are moveable so you can create a crossover on
the back, a great 'Athleisure' look
when teamed with a racerback tank top.
The High Performance bra is also World #1 Tennis Player
Serena Williams' favourite sportswear bra! And the collection comes in black,
white and dark mocha.
The Full Support bra is perfect for everyday workouts
including running, netball and football. The underwire bra also gives maximum
support and it will minimise bounce during your sports activity. With its mesh
fabric and ventilation zones, you can also enjoy breaking a sweat in


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Black Hills Gold Jewelry by Coleman was founded in 1977 and is located on the south edge of Rapid City on your way through the majestic Black Hills of South Dakota USA. We are proud to be . . . .
- an American made product
- an American owned company
- using as high a domestic parts content within our product as possible
American Made


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We specialize in placing qualified healthcare professionals on an interim, short and long term basis. We maintain a fully insured staff of Registered Nurses (RN), Licensed Practical Nurses (LPN), and Certified Nursing Assistants (CNA).
Our clients include a diverse collection of healthcare facilities across a variety of clinical settings including hospitals, skilled nursing facilities, community mental health centers and residential homes.
You will receive hand picked, dependable and caring, fully qualified staff. Our services are unequaled because we are nurse owned and operated. Offering a full range of services including per diem and contract nursing for hospitals, facilities and home care.
Choose from ICU, telemetry, ER, LTC, Home Infusion or any healthcare speciatly. Our office is open 24/7 to meet your staffing needs.


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Level 3 offender moving to Brainerd — again
Level 3 predatory offender Joshua Matthew McMillen is again moving to Brainerd.
McMillen, 24, was released from prison in May and moved into a residence on Laurel Street in downtown Brainerd. He violated the conditions of his release on June 1, and was sent back to prison.
On Sept. 30, McMillen will again be released from prison and will be moving to a residence on the 200 block of Fourth Avenue Northeast. In advance of McMillen's release from prison, a community notification meeting will be held at 6 p.m. Wednesday at the Brainerd Police Department.
Police and Department of Corrections officials will provide information about McMillen and be available to answer questions at the meeting, which is open to the public.
McMillen was subject to a community notification meeting prior to his release from prison in May. The meeting was attended by only three people.
According to information from the Department of Corrections presented at the May meeting, McMillen had reportedly engaged in numerous instances of sexual conduct with juvenile males and females but was never charged.
In 2003, while a juvenile, he was charged with third-degree criminal sexual conduct involving a 9-year-old victim for which he received probation. In 2005 he was charged with third-degree criminal sexual conduct involving a 14-year-old female victim. He originally received probation but after violating that probation he was sentenced to 18 months in prison.
On March 1, 2010, McMillen was released from prison as a Level 2 predatory offender and placed on intensive supervised release. On July 28, 2010, his supervision status was revoked because he failed to follow directions and he was sent back to prison.
When McMillen was released from prison May 12 he was under supervision from the Department of Corrections, had to complete sex offender programming, chemical dependency programming and be on electronic surveillance.
Brainerd Police Chief Corky McQuiston said McMillen wasn't out of prison long before violating one of the conditions of his release and was returned to prison by Department of Corrections agents.
"We're fortunate that most of these people when they come out are on intensive supervised release and the DOC keeps really good tabs on them," McQuiston said.
MATT ERICKSON may be reached at email@example.com or 855-5857.


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Written by Dave Dulberg, USC blog contributor
At any level of professional baseball, a hitter's first long ball is a big deal. We are happy to pass along news that former USC second baseman Joe De Pinto got to experience that moment last night.
De Pinto, who was drafted by the Chicago White Sox earlier this month in the twenty-first round, only signed his big league contract two weeks ago.
Playing currently for the Great Falls Voyagers (White Sox Rookie Ball team), De Pinto hit a two-run, first inning shot in the team's 12-5 loss Wednesday night against the Missoula Osprey (Diamondbacks' Rookie Ball Team). In his first nine games, De Pinto is hitting a modest .289 with a team-high six RBIs.
Ironically, another member of the Trojan family got to call the home run shot. Alum Jared Sandler, a former USC baseball manager and USCTrojans.com broadcaster , is currently the play-by-play man for the Voyagers.
Congrats to both Joe and Jared on continuing to showcase their talents at the next level!


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Wedding Wednesday... Ding Ding Ding Goes the Trolley
- 22 Comments
we actually do "familymoons" in our family, which i've blogged about before. but instead of just the newlyweds, we all go! we went to the greek isles for my sisters wedding, and then an entire mediterranean cruise (spain, italy, africa, and france) for my moms wedding. but i would DEFINITELY say they were both amazing!ReplyDelete
I LOVE the trolley idea! So cute! :)ReplyDelete
We are doing napa but a beach vacay sounds awesome. We went to M's parents time share in Playa del Carmen last year and it was amazing. The resort was beautiful!ReplyDelete
We did a Trolley for our wedding and it was a BLAST! So much fun to celebrate together after the ceremony.ReplyDelete
Those honeymoon locations look wonderful! Can you really go wrong?
The trolley is going to be so amazing for your wedding! How fun!ReplyDelete
Belize and Costa Rica both have great scuba diving/zip-lining/cave tubing...but as far as resorts are concerned I don't have a clue. I did them while in college and stayed at hostels, not ideal for a honeymoon :)
Playa Del Carmen is fantastic! They have WONDERFUL adult only, all inclusive resorts! Wonderful adventures & only a 30 minutes fairy ride to Cozumel where is one of the best beaches to snorkel! You won't regret it! :0)ReplyDelete
I'm excited about your trolley! We're going to excellence playa mujeres in mexico (it's near cancun/playa del carmen) and couldn't be more excited. I researched the heck out of it, and we're really happy with our decision. Bookit.com and expedia were great resources, we ended up using expedia.ReplyDelete
this is where we stayed. it was wonderful and very relaxing!
The trolley looks like so much fun!ReplyDelete
We went to Jamaica for our honeymoon and stayed at Couples Swept Away. We loved it and went back this past December. I think I could go there once a year. Good luck with your decision!
Welcome home and great job on the trolley, what a fantastic idea!ReplyDelete
We just got home from our honeymoon 1.5 weeks ago and it was the perfect get away. We went to Club Med in Turks and Caicos and it was so much fun. It was all inclusive and they had so many things to choose from including: sailing, snorkeling, diving, kayaking and trapeze (also more for extra). The food was fantastic, the drinks a plenty, the sand white and the water BEAUTIFUL, clear blue. If you want more info. don't be shy! email@example.com
Look at you traveling every weekend :)ReplyDelete
That's great you have your wedding transportation secured! yey!
St. John is so pretty.. seriously, if you can go there that would be great. My fiance surprised me with a trip to St. Thomas/St. John when he proposed back in October and it's amazing. The water is so blue!
We are honeymooning in Hawaii in early May after our wedding in April. Good luck with your search!
A trolley sounds like so much fun. We went to Hawaii on our honeymoon, but last year we went to Cancun and stayed at the Excellence Playa Mujeres (outside of Cancun) and it was amazing. It's adults only, all inclusive. The food was great and the place was gorgeous. Can't wait to see where you love birds decide to go.ReplyDelete
I think the trolley is such a fun idea I saw some pictures from a friends wedding in SF where they used a trolley and you get the best photo ops. I'm always for Sandals my friends used one in Jamaica and St. Lucia and they said they loved it.ReplyDelete
Wow! Any of those places are beautiful! We loved Maui, Grand Caymen and Cozumel. they were all fun. and I agree with Caroline, Playa Mujeres is fun and beautiful. It's a tiny island but they do some pretty cool things there.ReplyDelete
I agree with Caroline - the Excellence Playa Mujeres is beautiful. We went there for our honeymoon and had the best time. Isla Mujeres is just a few minutes down the road and has lots of fun activities, including ziplining.ReplyDelete
Great choices and similar to ours!!! We looked at Parrot Cay Turks and Caicos as well as Amanyara Turks and Caicos... both were already booked for the week we are honeymooning, so we had to look at other options! If Amanyara is available during your week, I would highly suggest it! I have not been there (yet), but it looks like a dream and when I heard it was booked, you would have thought the world was on it's way to ending! Another place we considered was St. Barths... oh it's so beautiful and we've heard all good things! But... the flights are tricky. It would have taken us 9+ hours to get there. So... Bermuda is our winner! Everything about that island seems so great. I say go where the hotel accommodations are luxurious, the food is amazing, and there is LOTS to do. And I can't agree with you more... a drink in hand and hubby by the side will be the best part of it all :) Keep us updated on your decision!ReplyDelete
Oh, I love the trolley. I totally wanted one of those too!!! But then realizing that 75% of our guest list is from out-of-town and that we would probably have to provide them with transportation, we cut back and are just getting regular school buses...which I still think will be totally cute. But the trolley is going to look beautiful with a wedding setting!!!ReplyDelete
In regards to honeymoon, I see you have Grenada. Lovely Islands and I highly recommend it. Depending on how much you spend, the BVI is amazing too, but its pretty pricey. You can also find some great place in Costa Rica that are all inclusive!!
I love trolleys. we did the same thing for our wedding and it worked out great! better than a limo in my opinion.ReplyDelete
As for honeymoon, we went to Turks and Caicos and has the best time. I would highly suggest you do all inclusive no matter where you go. It was nice to just order anything and drink whatever and get as much as we want. Good Luck with your search!
Natasha - My husband and I went to Turks and Caicos for our honeymoon. We stayed at the Somerset (which isn't all inclusive), but it was AMAZING! We absolutely loved every single minute. The best part was the flight. It only took 4 hours to get there from Knoxville with a short layover in ATL. Some of the other options we considered (St. Lucia, Antigua, etc.) would have taken nearly an entire day to get to - 8 hours at least! Good luck with your honeymoon search! It really is the best vacation you'll ever take!ReplyDelete
We went to Turks for ours and stayed at Grace Bay Club. Its down the ways from Club Med (which is more of a loud/party hotel). We almost booked Parrot Cay where all the "celebrities" go but found out that the island is soo secluded (about 30 min boat ride into the main Provo island) and there is NOTHING to do there supposedly. Just a warning...I would honestly stay at Grace Bay Club and you will not be disappointed. You get a private cell phone and all while you are there - they are at your beck and call ALL DAY, EVERYDAY!!ReplyDelete
Good luck and keep us updated on where you decide on =)
Hey girl! I recommend Playa del Carmen, specifically The Royal Hideaway. It's all inclusive, super posh, small, and the restaurants and alcohol were amazing! I don't even have words for this place... Easy to get there... just a 3 hour plane ride from Memphis, same time zone, so you can leave in the morning and be lounging on the beach by lunch! Loved that. Plus it's still technically the Caribbean. We looked hard at Spice Island Resort in Grenada, but we realized we didn't want to spend 2 entire days of our honeymoon on 4 different airplanes just to get there! Have fun picking the perfect place!!ReplyDelete
I stayed at cap jaluca a few years ago and it was AMAZING. absolutely amazing.ReplyDelete


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I call this "Bug Eyed"
Welcome to the Quilting Board!
Wonderful job! So bright and pretty! My first kit is due to be delivered tomorrow. I hope I can do as good a job as you.
Good job! I know some child will just love it!
Awwww that is adorable!!! :D:D:D
Love the colors ! Great Job :thumbup: How did you find the time with all the puppies running around ? :shock: LOL
Very cute! That is surely going to make a young nature lover very happy!
Perfect name for a perfect quilt, job well done. :) :D
Great job!
Nice job. :thumbup:


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Here's another one for your nightmares! For years I had heard rumors of a stealthy Acanthastrea predator, but I had yet to find one (to my relief.) A while back, I attended a coral fragging demonstration, and along with my frag freebie, I also received these lil buggers.
Rumor has it that these spiders tend to prefer Acanthastrea (typically called "acans") corals, but they have also been found on other large polyp stony corals (LPS). Thankfully I eradicated these spiders before I had a chance to find out if they would infect my other LPS corals as well.
This Acan-eating spider (hereafter referred to as AES) has (or had, I should say) eight legs. This is likely a female as the males have a specially modified leg (called an oviger) for carrying eggs (unless I knocked that leg off accidentally too) (Cowles, 2009). As you can see, there is practically no body – it is mostly legs. On the left side of the AES in the photo above are the chelicerae (mouth parts) and the proboscis (tubular mouth part for ingestion). Also note – these are not true spiders! (Although they still give me the heebie jeebies!)
Phylum: Arthropoda (joint-legged invertebrates)
Subphylum: Chelicerata
Class: Pycnogonida (sea spiders)
Order: Pantopoda
Note how different the AES above is from the Zoanthid-Eating Spider (ZES) shown below. The AES is much larger and has a much smaller (proportionally) body. Both have eight legs.
How to Identify:
AES are nearly colorless, so they blend in quite well with the coral. Even after a thorough visual inspection of the coral prior to dipping, I only found these after they fell off in the dip. The ones I found were about 1 cm in diameter (nearly half an inch). So, I recommend a good coral dip prior to introducing the coral into your tank.
How to Treat:
Hydrogen peroxide dip: This is my preferred method for AES. This dip creates bubbles that will actually lift the AES off the coral – they usually can't hold on! Use this dip with caution as overdoing it can cause serious coral damage. Also, only dip LPS in it. Soft corals and small polyp stony (SPS) corals do not typically respond well. Mix a 10:1 tank water to hydrogen peroxide (typical 3% stuff at your local pharmacy) ratio dip. Dip the coral for 20 seconds, and lightly blow water around the coral with a pipette. The AES should bubble up to the surface. I recommend dipping once weekly for a month in case any eggs were left behind.
Bayer Insecticide dip: This is my second-favorite dip. If the hydrogen peroxide dip doesn't work or you don't feel comfortable with it, this one will actually kill the spiders. Full instructions are here. Again, I recommend dipping once weekly for a month in case any eggs were left behind.
CoralRx and other commercially-available dips: Although I haven't used these dips on AES, they should work…possibly with varying levels of effectiveness. Several brands tout effectiveness against pycnogonida (sea spiders). Again, I recommend dipping once weekly for a month in case any eggs were left behind.
Natural predators: Certain wrasses and other typical pod-eating-vertebrates may eat AES, but I'm not aware of any definite natural controls.
Manual removal: If your eyes are good enough (or are helped with a magnifying glass), you may be able to manually remove AES with tweezers or a pick. However, you may miss some and end up with a worse problem down the road.
Although Acanthastrea-Eating Spiders are quite creepy-looking, they are not a horrible pest to eradicate. They are highly susceptible to coral dips and can even be manually removed. If you know you have AES, please be a responsible reefkeeper and do not pass your coral on without at least notifying the new owner.
Cowles, Dave, link, 2009.


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Bill Kristol: C'mon, there's no way Jeb Bush will be the nominee
posted at 3:21 pm on April 8, 2014 by Allahpundit
Ben Smith said the same thing yesterday, writing that "the notion that Jeb Bush is going to be the Republican presidential nominee is a fantasy nourished by the people who used to run the Republican Party." Used to? We went into battle against ObamaCare in 2012 with the guy who signed a law that paved the way for ObamaCare. We faced an electorate that was war-weary after five years of Iraq in 2008 with the most hawkish possible candidate we could find. Never, ever underestimate the establishment's ability to sell a bad candidate to the masses of Republican primary voters who don't pay much attention to politics and are eager for a familiar, theoretically "electable" choice. Tell 'em what's up, Ramesh:
As I've argued in several Bloomberg columns, the party since 1984 has given its presidential nomination only to people who are at its ideological center of gravity or to its left, and never to anyone to its right. There are reasons for that pattern — having to do with, among other things, the perennial inability of the party's right to agree on a candidate — and those reasons haven't disappeared.
Neither Perry nor Huntsman had the support of the party's establishment, or the national network of funders and supporters, that Bush would have. Perry's notorious immigration comment during the 2012 campaign — he called some of his opponents heartless on the issue — harmed him so badly because he needed to solidify the conservative end of the party against an establishment candidate, Mitt Romney…
Bush's position within the primary electorate, in other words, would be more like that of Senator John McCain — who won the nomination not so long ago, in 2008. Actually, it would be better than McCain's, as McCain's record included a lot more deviations from the party line than Bush's does.
Let me paint you a picture. Bush announces he's running. Soon after, Rubio announces that he isn't, having concluded that too many of his potential advisors and fundraisers will gravitate towards Jeb. Paul Ryan likewise decides he'll pass, figuring his best bet at influence is as the next Ways and Means chairman. Bush hits the trail, talking up education reform and ticking off a few well-chosen points of disagreement with his brother's foreign policy. Meanwhile, Christie, his main rival for establishment support, is too damaged by Bridgegate and never gathers much momentum. Neither does Jindal, who's overshadowed by bigger-name candidates both to his left (Bush) and his right (Rand Paul and Ted Cruz) and can't quite find a niche. Bush, now largely unchallenged in the center and center-right, consolidates their support. Over on the right, Rand Paul and Ted Cruz bash each other's brains in on foreign policy and the NSA until one of them emerges as the conservative choice. That's when Bush's backers launch a ferocious campaign attacking Cruz/Paul as fringe material — government shutdowns! a disarmed military! — who'll never stand a chance against Hillary. It works and Jeb sweeps to the nomination, only to lose badly in the general when voters are forced to decide whether they want to return to "the Clinton era" or "the Bush era." The only X factor in all this is Scott Walker, who's prominent enough after his big fight with the unions to find the sort of niche that'll elude Jindal. He could be a compromise candidate between the right, which fears that Cruz and Paul really aren't electable, and the center, which fears that the Bush brand will be poison in the general election. Bushworld will have to deal with Walker somehow. If he loses his bid for reelection as governor in Wisconsin, that'll do it, but no one expects him to. How do you destroy him on the launch pad?
When push comes to shove, I think the GOP establishment in the tea-party era regards its first and most important duty to be stopping conservative candidates in the primary. Partly that's because they think ideologues can't win a national election, partly it's because they fear the diminution of their own power if someone like Paul becomes president, and partly it's because I think they'd feel more comfortable with center-leftists like the Clintons, who won't do anything "unpredictable," than they would with GOP wild cards like Paul or Cruz. If you want to stop Jeb, you need to give them a better centrist alternative. Thanks to Bridgegate, there probably isn't one — although maybe Walker, betting that tea partiers won't turn on him after winning the war over labor in Wisconsin, will position himself ostentatiously as a centrist for the presidential race. And if you want them to support a right-wing nominee in the general, in the unlikely event that we end up with a right-wing nominee, you need the left to nominate an "unpredictable" liberal so that they can embrace the GOP nominee as the lesser of two evils. Elizabeth Warren would fit the bill. But that's probably not happening either.
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If Kristol says Jeb Bush will not be the nominee, Jeb Bush will not be the nominee. Kristol is the head of the political Straussians, having inherited the mantle from his father Irvin.
Kristol just named who he finds acceptable, and his number one choice in the video was Mike Pence. You therefore ought to be very suspicious of Mike Pence and what he agreed to behind closed doors with them. I do not care if you think Mike Pence is a good guy who was a good conservative. Straussians are soft totalitarians, and they will not support anyone who is not on board with their agenda.
Observation Post on April 10, 2014 at 12:20 AM
Making profit doesn't have to involve denouncing the construct of the nation as Constitutionally created and led. But the open-borders, amnesty, Libertarian positions do, in their heart, resent the construct of the nation as such (thus, "open borders, etc.").
The anarchist libertarians are not politically significant. The Straussians are anti-Westphalian system, and they are politically significant – more than significant. They want to take the world back to a time before the Renaissance and Enlightenment. The Straussians were formed by ideas outside of the Anglosphere, and these psychotics are willing to work over many generations for their ultimate vision of breaking the world down into little "blood-and-soil" ethnic or religion-based city-states and territories (preferably non-Christian). Though it may be hard for you to imagine today, your grandchildren may well one day live in a different country from you without ever having moved. The Republican Party minus the Tea Party politicians follows their ideas because politicians are not capable of producing big ideas and grand strategy, and the Straussians are. The Straussians get away with it because they do not tell the truth about their core beliefs. They know if their ideas were widely known, they would literally be impaled on pitchforks.
Observation Post on April 10, 2014 at 12:51 AM
Jeb is the choice of the neocons and Karl Rove it's a done deal, especially with the Bridgetender out of the picture
No, see my other comment above. Kristol is the decider, and he has already decided it will be Mike Pence, and as first alternate, Scott Walker. Kelly Ayotte will be the VP pick. She is an imbecile, very pliable, so she is an ideal plant in the White House. Plus, her face will allow Republicans to fake being pro-women to the general public.
Unless Rand Paul has enough popular support on the Right to overcome Kristol's picks, it will be Pence-Ayotte.
Observation Post on April 10, 2014 at 1:01 AM


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43809 Roth Street East
Commute to Downtown Lancaster
Almost all errands require a car.
About your score
43809 Roth Street East has a Walk Score of 18 out of 100. This location is a Car-Dependent neighborhood so almost all errands require a car.
This location is in the Lincoln neighborhood in Lancaster. The closest park is Skytower Park.
Explore how far you can travel by car, bus, bike and foot from 43809 Roth Street East.
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Search for homes in Lancaster or find a Lancaster real estate agent who knows walkable neighborhoods. Links will open on our partner site Redfin.com.
43809 Roth Street East is in the Lincoln neighborhood. Lincoln is the 10th most walkable neighborhood in Lancaster with a neighborhood Walk Score of 37.


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Rebuilding May 22, 2009 at 9:59 am
There is a lot of comment around at the moment about how broken finance is: here, for instance, is a piece by Pablo Triana. And certainly there are many, many issues that we have no idea how to deal with in practice, including fat tails, autocorrelation, correlation smiles, and hidden systematic risks. These phenomena challenge option pricing models, CDO pricing, basket option pricing, ABS pricing and all sorts of quantitative risk management model.
But, but, but. There are some things that work. The huge push in the 1990s on the behaviour of the yield curve has at least left us with a good idea how to manage single currency swaps books. Vanilla puts and calls can mostly be hedged effectively. Credit derivatives – despite stident claims otherwise – have not caused the end of the world as we know it.
We need then to return to the things we do actually know, and to be very critical about what has worked well, what has worked acceptably, and what has turned out to be unhelpful. Saying the whole edifice of mathematical finance is rotten is just as counterproductive as saying that none of it is. For once, finance theorists need to be disinterested and critical observers of reality rather than cheerleaders (or hooligans). Let's see what we need to tear down and what is still standing now that the tumult is dying down.


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Samuel O. Obukwelu needed a new logo design and created a contest on 99designs.
A winner was selected from 167 designs submitted by 47 freelance designers.
We.Run LLC (we.run.ag)
We are a company that produce events across the US.
Brand Managers, Advertising companies
I wish for the logo to be a logotype. It should represent the site in type. The logo should have anywhere between 2 and 4 colors. Red will be a primary color.
This logo needs to evoke energy.


text:
German Shepherd Dog Forums (http://www.germanshepherds.com/forum/)
- Aggression (the good, the bad & the ugly) (http://www.germanshepherds.com/forum/aggression-good-bad-ugly/)
- - My dog got attacked. Her response surprised me. (http://www.germanshepherds.com/forum/aggression-good-bad-ugly/401409-my-dog-got-attacked-her-response-surprised-me.html)
My dog got attacked. Her response surprised me.
I knew it would happen sooner or later. We have so many off-leash dogs in our neighborhood and people who think they should just let their dogs run wild and "sort it out themselves." I was walking Gypsy on the sidewalk and we got attacked by a teenager's brindle mix who was getting out of a vehicle off-lead. It was just loud and frightening, no injuries whatsoever so that's good. My dog (female, spayed, age 4.5) has a bite history with other dogs so I was fully expecting there to be a bloody battle. She usually enters a situation with ears and tail up, has always shown very offensive posturing rather than typical fear aggression. A couple of months after I adopted her, we started working diligently to curb her reactivity. It's been about eight months since then. She still shows the same body language if another dog gets in her face but has stopped trying to bark, lunge, or bite. When this dog attacked, she acted differently than I have ever seen her: ears flat, tail tucked, just trying to get away and crying. I hope this doesn't affect her progress or change her personality. I am not sure if she has ever been aggressively confronted before in this way. Most of the time the dogs that bother us are not serious, just barking at a safe distance or being annoying. I have got her to the point that even little chihuahuas have come up to us on the street and she will not attack them.
It makes me so sad that most of her experiences with other dogs have been negative since coming to live with us. She has a very sweet temperament and I feel like what she really needs is structured exposure and socialization. I have been trying to do this through classes and it helps, but one good experience once a week doesn't outweigh what happens during the week. When other dogs show submission or fear she becomes a bully, so I never let her interact. I just feed her treats for ignoring the other dogs and paying attention to me. This post doesn't really have a question associated with it, just sharing a story. I thought my dog would be the type to escalate a fight, but it turns out she is not like that at all. I wonder what was different, if it was just that the other dog was more confident or because he came at us so suddenly.
It is scary and it happens so quickly. Noise is good with dog fights, silence is not, when dogs are silent and fighting there is usually always contact made, I always remember that saying 'beware of a silent dog'.
You should read this thread if you haven't already.
Your job is to protect your dog. A walking stick, mace or pepper spray, stand in front of your dog and scream at the other dog. Jumpiing from a car is a new one to me ( my dogs don't bolt of cars, homes, garages etc) but yeah it happens.
If you know dogs are running lose, then you need a plan of action, either to defend your dog or load her in the car and go some place safe to walk, No plan at all isn't much of a plan; if you "know" loose dogs are around. Granted "this" dog wasn't around as it were but had you had a plan it would have been better for your dog.
I take her to walk other places as much as I can but this is not feasible to do before work.
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This is my fear. :eek:
We have a lot of off-leash dogs around here. When I walk Harley, the dogs usually walk right up to us, but Harley is very submissive and never payed much attention to the dogs. It's Varick I'm worried about. Around the middle of last year, a pit bull walked right up to us (did NOT look friendly), and my boyfriend took a huge risk and held the dog back by the collar. Luckily, Varick isn't very reactive, he just gave a few deep growls. No lunging or barking. I'm going to start bringing pepper spray on walks from now on.
Sorry that this happened, good luck!
Get a cattle paddle at the feed store. It's plastic, about 5 ft long, shaped like an oar and has a rattle inside. You can safely put a block between another dog and yours and it won't hurt either of them. You can hold it over your head and rattle it and that will scare most dogs away. We use them when we first start herding training to keep the dogs off the sheep. Very effective way to protect your dog- which as CHIP18 says, is your job. Your dog will definitely notice
We're not talking about going to a dog park and randomly spraying dogs in the face!:D
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The messed up part is that we saw the owner on the porch, and when they saw us, they went inside. My dad suggested calling the authorities, but we decided that we would wait and see if it happened a second time, this time, without Varick.
I'd call the police and animal control. Letting a dog attack is a police matter. If your dog took a submissive posture BEFORE the attack this dog is an even bigger liability and will attack again IMO.
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BUZZ-U.S. STOCKS ON THE MOVE-Lumber Liquidators, Twitter, Hilton
(For faster updates on individual market-movers, Eikon users please use search string "STXBZ US"; for the Day Ahead newsletter, link.reuters.com/mex49s; for the Morning News Call newsletter, link.reuters.com/nex49s) U.S. stock index futures were lower on Wednesday as investors await the outcome of the two-day Federal Reserve meeting and ahead of U.S. economic growth numbers for the first quarter. Dow Jones industrial average e-mini futures were down 0.24 percent at 18,014, S&P 500 futures were down 0.24 percent at 2,107 and Nasdaq 100 futures were down 0.33 percent at 4,501.
** LUMBER LIQUIDATORS HOLDINGS INC, Tuesday close $33.42, -11.58 pct premarket
The hardwood flooring retailer reported a 2 percent fall in net sales so far in April and said it could not provide a full-year forecast.
** TWITTER INC, Tuesday close $42.27, -0.43 pct premarket
The Microblogging site reported quarterly revenue that fell short of Wall Street estimates and cut its full-year forecast due to weak demand for its new direct response advertising.
** HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS INC, Tuesday close $29.44, +2.58 pct premarket Continued...


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Situated in the Vatican City - Prati district in Rome, 657 feet from Vatican Museums, Roger Vatican Dream features free WiFi access and private parking. Every room includes a flat-screen TV. The rooms come with a private bathroom fitted with a shower. For your comfort, you will find free toiletries and a hair dryer. There is luggage storage space at the property. St. Peter's Basilica is 2,625 feet from Roger Vatican Dream, while The Vatican is 2,953 feet away. Ciampino Airport is 23.6 miles from the property.


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John Lake (Rossif Sutherland) is an American doctor working for an NGO in southern Laos. One night, after an evening of heavy drinking, John comes across an Australian man sexually assaulting a local woman. John intervenes and, in the scuffle, ends up killing him. Despite it being an act of self-defence, John fears the consequences if caught by the authorities, so he decides to go on the run, hoping to reach the American Embassy.
There is a great deal of moral ambiguity at play in River, the debut feature from director Jamie M. Dagg. The problems for John begin when he decides to intervene during the sexual assault. However, he only makes matters worse by entering into a fight with the perpetrator and killing him. Since the attacker was the son of an Australian senator, things would have likely gotten even worse for John if caught, so he makes a run for it.
It's difficult deciding whether John deserves sympathy for his actions. While he was doing the right thing and was in the wrong place at the wrong time, he also flees the scene of the crime. This leads to many questions being asked over the course of John's plight. That said, he is also placed at the mercy of a country that would rather presume John's guilt and ask questions later, complete with the irony of John being charged for the crime he was trying to prevent. Even when John goes to the American Embassy for help, he finds that they are unable or unwilling to do anything about his predicament.
While River is not a perfect film, it does end up being an interesting character study about how this man reacts to having the odds stacked up against him. The situation that John finds himself in ends up revealing what kind of person he actually is. Is it wrong that John decided to go on the run or is it merely part of the man that he is? That is the moral question that is at the centre of River, which might not have that easy an answer. While it is true that John was in the wrong place at the wrong time, he might ultimately just be the victim of human instinct.
Is River opening weekend worthy?
River is a good enough thriller, which tackles the ethical questions of a man going on the run in fear of a foreign judicial system, which is more likely to presume guilt than listen to John's side of the story. While not a perfect film, it is still worth checking out.
River opens Friday March 11, 2016 at select Cineplex locations. Check their website for more information.


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" Brand: Schleich / Type: Dragon Action Figure "
* Prices may differ from that shown
This was the first dragon figure I ever got (exception might some toys that I had as a child). It was the one that kind off made me hooked on dragons. Now it seems only natural that my dragon collection would start with a baby dragon.
This is a figure made by Schleich and is from their Bayala series (wonderful fantasy figures). It is a two piece set, one being the dragon and the other being the amethyst geode bed.
***Baby dragon***
Schleich usually gives names to their themed creations and this little fellow's name is Nugur. I think this is kind off cool, it makes the figure more personal and although the name might sound a bit odd it suits the little dragon nicely.
The little dragon has a very baby like pose to it, lying on the back with it's paws or legs upwards. It's eyes are closed and face expression is really calm. Looking at a whole picture this one looks so innocent and vulnerable, as a baby of any species should. The little feet sticking in the air are extremely cute.
It is hand painted and whoever painted it did an amazing job. The details are great, the colouring and shading are amazing it really gives this one a genuine look, well as much genuine as a dragon figure can be.
Nugur can be displayed in the bed whit which it came or without it, the figure is balanced well.
It is made out of plastic material that is just a little bit rubbery to the feel, it does not have a smell to it.
***Amethyst geode***
Along with the baby dragon you will be getting an bed or a nest (however you want to describe it) in which to put the baby to sleep. The material, well at-least the amethyst minerals, is a bit different, it is still plastic with a somewhat rubbery feel to it but it is slightly transparent - this making the amethyst mineral replica more realistic.
The dragon fits in perfectly, the minerals are moulded in the way to support the dragon so you will need to position it correctly.
I just love this one! It is suitable for children too, and the feedback from the few kids that got to hold mine was always "Aww, it's so cute". And I agree. In my mind if dragons existed, if they had babies this would be how they would look like. It's just so adorable!


text: Located in Shenzhen city, 1001Nights.Hotel is a 10-minute drive from Long Cheng Plaza Metro Station. The modern rooms come with free Wi-Fi, carpeted floor and a flat-screen TV. 1001Nights is a 50-minute drive from Shenzhen Baoan Airport and a 30-minute ride from the Shenzhen Railway Station. The 4-star luxurious hotel offers a 24-hour front desk, fax/photocopying and baggage storage services. Guests can also request dry cleaning and laundry services. There are also meeting/banquet facilities on site. Rooms at 1001Nights are warmly decorated and fitted with a tea/coffee maker and an electric kettle. The bathrooms feature hot-water showers, bathrobe, slippers and free toiletries. Some rooms offer a bathtub. A variety of delightful Chinese cuisine can be found at the hotel's restaurant.


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