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Commentary: Hungary Saved from ItselfBalint Szlanko
Central and Eastern Europeans are the new bankers of the credit crisis.
They are the new Northern Rock. In fact, call them Eastern Rock.
Incompetent and greedy, having spent (or lent) themselves into near-bankruptcy, some are now asking for a bailout from those who were cautious enough to hold on to the purse strings.
They are getting it.
Don't pay any attention to the rejection of Hungarian Prime Minister Ferenc Gyurcsany's 190 billion euro rescue package at the 1 March European Union summit. Nobody, including him, had expected that the plan, announced without preparation or groundwork, would be taken seriously.
What the Hungarians really wanted, and got, was a promise that the EU would help out those who are in trouble, whether through a coordinated Eastern European bailout or on a case-by-case basis, as the summit participants eventually decided.
What no one could get the German chancellor to admit as recently as a month ago is now a fairly widely held assumption: EU states that face bankruptcy will be bailed out, whether they are in the eurozone (Ireland) or not (Hungary).
In fact, the Hungarians and the Latvians have already gotten nearly 10 billion euros of EU money between them. Another 24.5 billion euros of international loan money was scraped together on 27 February to prop up the region's tottering banks and credit-crunched companies.
But in fact as early as 2003, when EU members' fiscal irresponsibility and the union's response to it was first a serious issue (remember Germany under big spender Gerhard Schroeder?), it was already widely assumed, at least by Brussels types, that the no-bailout rule of the eurozone was bendable. Given how intertwined our economies are, it was impossible to assume that a state like Italy would be allowed to default. Because whatever the moral hazard and whatever the rulebook, the consequences would be catastrophic.
Hungary and Latvia may not seem like "systemically important" states. But given how major Western European banking houses are exposed to Eastern Europe (they own 1.25 trillion euros in debt), countries like Austria, Belgium, or Sweden are looking at a bloodbath if people in the East start to default on their mortgages.
Helping us has nothing to do with European solidarity. We might be in trouble if we had to rely on that. It is about survival.
Still, it is no wonder that a bad taste is left in the mouths of those who resisted the lure of gold and tightened their belts throughout the boom years. It is also no wonder that leaders of those countries where taxing and spending policies have been more rational and lending has been more measured—the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Poland, and Slovenia—tried to distance themselves from the blanket bailout proposal.
At the 1 March EU summit, the Danes and the Germans particularly grumbled that it was an outrage to ask them to pay for countries like Hungary that got where they are through their own fault. In fact, the bastards probably deserve a debt default just to learn some basic economics, you could almost hear them mutter.
But complain and grumble as they do, pay they almost certainly will, just as treasuries the world over are cleaning up the mess made by the Northern Rocks and Citigroups and UBSs.
Forget about moral hazard. The end of the world is nigh.
And so it was equally unsurprising, although much less noticed after the summit, that Germany and France cautiously supported (or at least didn't reject) a Hungarian proposal that countries that fulfill the requirements of entry into the eurozone should not have to spend two years waiting in the ERM-II exchange-rate mechanism, the antechamber of the eurozone. They should be allowed to join immediately. Talk about a mad dash to safety.
But if the storm is pulling people together on some matters, it is less evident that European countries will be able to resist protectionism. Unlike a default by a neighbor, the eventual effects of pushing home-market preferences, like a drop in trade, take a while to bite. In fact, such policies can seem like a good idea at first. And though the European Commission last Friday declared itself satisfied that the French car-industry bailout plan was not protectionist after all, there might be new attempts to save somebody's own skin at the expense of everybody else.
The Western bank bailouts of the last few months, too, had protectionist elements insofar as they directed new lending to the home market (nearly pushing Eastern European banks over the cliff as a result). EU leaders promised to stop doing that, too. But it is anybody's guess how long they can resist if things turn nasty. The uncomfortable truth is that prime ministers are responsible to their own countries' electorates, not to Europe's. In Europe, too, all politics is local.


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J-Hood Preps Debut Album
According to a statement released by the former D-Block affiliate, J-Hood is prepping his debut album The Hood Is Back for release on November 6th. The project will reportedly feature 20 rare and exclusive tracks, although it's unclear whether any of the material will be the music he recorded while under contract with D-Block. "This is my first indie release for my fans all over," says Hood. "While this is in the stores, I'ma have The Rebirth mixtape warming up the streets…So whether your in stores or in the streets, your gonna see me!"
Hood recently made news after leaving D-Block, when he appeared on stage with former rival 50 Cent and released a video dragging his former crew's chain down the sidewalk.

subset: commoncrawl


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Why is Portia uninterested in marrying the Neapolitan prince in The Merchant of Venice?
2 Answers | Add Yours
In Act 1, Scene 2 of Merchant, Portia--who is conflicted about the casket test that her deceased father designed for her suitors--tells Nerissa to name her potential husbands so that she can describe her feelings for each. When Nerissa mentions the Neapolitan Prince, Portia responds,
"Ay, that's a colt, indeed, for he doth nothing but talk / of his horse; and he makes it a great appropriation to his / own good parts that he can shoe him himself: / I am much afraid my lady his mother played false with a smith" (1.2.37-40).
Thus, Portia does not care for the prince because he talks only about horses and takes pride in the fact that he can perform a common laborer's task (shoeing a horse). Portia even insults the prince's mother by saying that the prince might be so interested in horses because his mother had an inappropriate relationship with a blacksmith.
In Scene 2, as Portia continues with her critique of each of her suitors like the Neapolitan Prince, the audience obtains a clear perspective on Portia's wit and independent spirit as well as what type of man she desires to marry.
the answer for this is that she was raped and fucked hardly by him
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Designer aus der ganzen Welt reichen kreative Designs für kdollar in Logo Design - custom ein.
The logo should incorporate a spark and rocket icons. We would like to be able to use each independently of our combined logo for buttons on our website. The logo should have the two icon's plus the text 'SparkRocket' or 'SR'. Icons need to be original so we have the sole rights to them.
Spark Rocket
Desired Style:
Web 2.0
Accepted File Formats:
See short summary


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× View Today's Deals
You missed it This great deal for Le Bon Crubeen is over. But don't despair, we've got more great deals every day.
Le Bon Crubeen
Four-Couse Meal and Bottle of Wine to Share for Two People
deal over
deal over!
93% recommendedin LivingSocial customer ratings
If it's fine cuisine and an atmosphere to match that you're after, then head along to Le Bon Crubeen and get the low-down on some amazing culinary feats: fork over €79 (up to a €160.70 value, for up to 51% off) for a four-course meal for two people, with a bottle of wine to share.
- Available from 5 p.m. onwards, a stylish mix of continental flair and local ingredients can be found on the restaurant's à la carte menu.
- Begin with a sumptuous starter, choosing from the likes of seared scallops or salmon tartar.
- Then, move on to your choice of soup or Dublin Bay prawn bisque.
- There are also plenty of seasonal, mouth-watering mains on offer, such as fillet steak, roast rump of lamb, or pan-fried fillet of trout.
- When you're done, dig into a wide range of desserts or make a move for the cheese board.
- Wash it all down with a bottle of red or white wine to share, choosing from either Ornellaia Le Volte or Bramito Del Cervo Antinori.
- These Italian wines are the perfect accompaniment whether you're looking for something light to enjoy with fish or a more full-bodied glass to match red meat or pasta.
Enjoy By November 20, 2013


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Another WonderCon has come and gone! It was successful for sure and we were glad to see returning fans of the 2nd Shift, as well as my artwork. We were in artist alley set up next to some talented artists and actually split the booth with our Buddy, Keith Foster, from Kodoja to help with table [...]
You are here: Home
Hits From The Blog
Post Wondercon 2016 Random thoughts…
by SLC Webmaster on March 30, 2016 in Scott Lost's Lost Blog
Wondercon 2016!!!
Hey All, Eburonson and myself will be at Wondercon 2016!!! We're in Artist Alley, table F21, and will be boothing with Kodoja creator Keith Foster. Stop by, pick up some art, prints, and of course The 2nd Shift issues and Trade Paperback!!! Or just come by and BS with us for awhile. We're good at [...]
by SLC Webmaster on March 22, 2016 in Scott Lost's Lost Blog
Buy The 2nd Shift #5 NOW!!!
Pick up a copy of The 2nd Shift, Issue 5 while supplies last!


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Amie Lou Asuncion recalled running across a Honolulu freeway after being shot in the back while driving in 2011, and then hiding in some plants because she feared the shooter was following her.
Asuncion testified today in the murder trial of Toby Stangel, a pastor's son accused of going on a highway shooting rampage, killing a mother of 10. Prosecutors say Stangel shot and wounded Asuncion and another man and then fired at two police officers during the early morning shooting spree on June 3, 2011.
"I see a car in my rearview and he suddenly changes lanes on my left side," Asuncion said. "When he changed lanes, he just started shooting at me." Her window shattered, she said, and it felt like she got hit.
She stopped her pickup truck, jumped over the center median and ran on the other side of the freeway, Asuncion testified. She heard two shots and then jumped into some plants along the highway, where she waited for 20 to 30 minutes.
"I thought he followed me there," she said.
Meanwhile, Samson Naupoto was driving along the freeway when he saw Asuncion running across the lanes, he testified. He tried to roll down his window, wanting to offer some help. Suddenly, he couldn't press on the gas, he recalled.
"I feel the numbness in my leg," he said. "I feel the blood going down my right-side thigh."
A daughter of the woman who was killed testified Monday, describing how they were waiting at an intersection when someone started shooting at their van. Cindy Nguyen, the youngest of Tammy Nguyen's 10 children, pointed to Stangel, identifying him as the shooter.
Stangel's defense attorney, John Schum, said before the trial resumed today that he hasn't decided whether his client will testify in his defense. Schum said he doesn't dispute that Stangel committed the shootings, but the prosecution needs to prove intent to convict him of murder.


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JRPGs have always been a genre that focuses on groups of people coming together in friendship and rivalry to overcome odds and save the world from giant tentacled monstrosities. Persona 3 Portable for the PSP, a remake of Persona 3 for PS2, takes this idea to the next level incorporating these social interactions as a measurable game mechanic. This is the third time thatAltushas released this game and it is slightly different every time.
Persona 3 Portable puts you in control of a main character – either male or female – that moves to a new town and dorm to go to high school. His normal high school life is shifted on its head when he finds out he has the ability to summon personas, and that their town is overrun by shadows that appear during a magical time called the dark hour which occurs each night. You must make friends and go out and collect demons called persona in order to defeat these shadows and free your town from the horrors of the dark hour and maybe eventually save the world.
Gameplay combines RPG style battle and dungeon crawling with visual novel style interactions between characters and dating. The game has a character for almost every type of persona. Your relationship with these characters affects persona fusion of personas of that arcana – giving bonus experience and sometimes moves. The gameplay is kind of repetitive but the PSP version allows a bit more freedom in controlling your party fully whereas both console versions had NPC controlled party mates.
This PSP version of the game cuts out much of the walking around and interface of the game making a game that is already very much like the Japanese visual novel/dating Sim style of game even more like its roots. All of the walking is replaced by little circles on map that are easily navigated. I don't hate this but it does lose a bit of charm in return giving you a lot more streamlined gameplay.
The most lauded new feature of this version is the female main character option. It does feel like a different story slightly when playing as the female MC. Many of the social links are switched around and even the battle music changes up. I still prefer the male MC because it is supposedly the only canon story mode, and also I prefer the characters you meet around the school as a male more than the ones as a female.
Graphics for the game are comparable to the PS2 version and look great on the PSP. The game's stylistically anime aesthetic fits the setting and themes. Enemies are one problem with art however. Recolorings of older character models are pretty much standard for most levels of this game. Environments are a tiny bit repetitive but change depending on what level of Tartarus (the dungeon you go to during the dark hour) you are on.
Music and voicing is great. Although the soundtrack is mostly J-Pop style music, it is all good despite the rampant Engrish in most of the songs. The voice actors all fit their roles well, although battle voices can get a bit repetitive.
This is not a game for people who do not enjoy grinding. If you do not want to have to level up in order to advance or collect personas, I suggest just picking up a visual novel and playing through that instead. For the rest of JRPG fans, you will love Persona 3 if you do not already. It is definitely one of the better PSP RPGs.
- Interesting story and characters that you can interact and form bonds with.
- Music and voice acting is great.
- Streamlined menus allow for much easier navigation and control. Also, the ability to control all three characters is welcome.
- Lacks bonus mode from PS2 versionFES
- Repetitive character models and gameplay
Score: 4/5


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Scholars' Set For January 2 Opening
With the reopening of PS/MS 114 on Beach 134 Street on Tuesday, Scholars' Academy on Beach 104 Street remains the only west end public school that is still closed. Department of Education sources said this week, however, that the middle and high school units will reopen on January 2, bringing home the teachers and students who have been working in Brooklyn schools since the storm.
Police sources say that the school will open with some of its valuable electronics gone, not from the four feet of storm water that inundated the first floor of the building, but from thugs who used the tech-savvy school as a target of opportunity.
Sometime between October 26 and November 15, when the theft was reported to local police, 80 iPads, as well as computers, calculators, medical defibrillators and other equipment were removed from a locked container in the building.
Police and Department of Education sources declined to say whether or not an inside job is suspected.


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No clue why suburban Maryland's two big theaters are staging vintage mysteries at the same time, but plainly something's afoot. Bethesda's Round House Theatre is still in the clutches of the classic film noir "Double Indemnity," and now the Olney Theatre Center is dusting off Anthony Shaffer's 1970 "Sleuth."
You could call it an anti-insurance insurgency, because both dramas involve murder plots to collect on bogus claims. It's also a stab at heightened style, and if this "Sleuth" ultimately isn't quite brash enough to fully pull off its caper, at least it's less handcuffed than the adapted-from-a-novel-that-became-a-great-movie "Indemnity."
Shaffer's stage script, featuring a cold-blooded mystery writer and the dashing young man who's trying to make off with the writer's wife, ran for over a thousand performances in London and on Broadway. It won a Tony Award for best play and was converted into a 1972 movie with Laurence Olivier and Michael Caine, and it still keeps the audience guessing. Are the two rivals, who suddenly see eye to eye about which of them should get the wife, really in cahoots? Or is someone setting up a double-cross?
As the show's nasty gamesters keep flipping the tables on one another, a touch of hammy acting wouldn't exactly be out of line, and Jim Petosa's production seems to goad the performers skyward by the sheer flamboyance of its design. Cristina Tedesco provides a shiny, high-ceilinged English manor with a white floor that gleams like a china plate; when Bob Ari, in a deluxe smoking jacket as Andrew Wyke, the writer, points a remote control, little panels of the floor slide away to reveal hidden treasures.
You can all but taste the payoff that Wyke dangles in front of Milo, the younger man (Jeffries Thaiss). And you can believe certain things that Ari and Thaiss suggest in their performances: Ari moving in great circles around the stage as he embodies Wyke's entitled arrogance, for instance, and Thaiss narrowing his eyes and slowing down his rhythms as the seemingly outclassed Milo asks suspicious questions.
A certain intellectual relish is missing, though, especially in Ari's Wyke. "Sleuth" is a game of wits, but you never really hear the gears whirring, or feel the little shivering triumph of single cards well played. The complications seem simplified.
On the other hand, Petosa gently teases a surprising little something out of the drama: that "Sleuth" can be played as a love song to the theater. There are statements about games and role-playing as the very stuff of life, which, of course, for theater people it is. These are notes that Ari and Thaiss sound with clarity and grace.
Petosa is leaving the Olney after running it for nearly two decades. (Round House producing artistic director Blake Robisonis departing, too; are murder mysteries the new sayonara?) Lately the Olney's programming has moved toward the middle as the troupe recovers from rocky financial times, but Petosa has done his share of challenging audiences on an expanded campus that's too far a trek into the northern burbs for a lot of D.C. theater buffs to venture. "Sleuth" may be a budget-friendly crowd pleaser, but the production's heartfelt vows about art and craft make it an intriguing exit.
by Anthony Shaffer. Directed by Jim Petosa. Costumes, Nicole V. Moody; lights, Daniel MacLean Wagner; sound design, Jeffrey Dorfman. About 21 / 2 hours. Through July 8 at the Olney Theatre Center, 2001 Olney-Sandy Spring Rd. Call 301-924-3400 or visit www.olneytheatre.org.


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Parents: We need your help
Tue, 09/10/2013 - 02:55pm
As NISD embarks on another school year, we are also looking at the future impact of thousands more children and the need for more schools and for upgrades to current ones. Part of the solution may be to have a School Bond Election in 2014. [read more]


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Notice: On March 31, it was announced that Statalist is moving from an email list to a forum. The old list will shut down on April 23, and its replacement, statalist.org is already up and running.
[Date Prev][Date Next][Thread Prev][Thread Next][Date Index][Thread Index]
Re: st: Multiple Imputation in Longitudinal Multilevel Model
"JVerkuilen (Gmail)" <email@example.com>
Re: st: Multiple Imputation in Longitudinal Multilevel Model
Wed, 6 Mar 2013 10:00:26 -0500
On Wed, Mar 6, 2013 at 9:32 AM, Stas Kolenikov <email@example.com> wrote:
> 1. Are read1-read3 and math1-math3 three measurements taken at the
> same time for a given individual, or measurements taken over three
> periods? If the former, then your model is "flat", as it does not
> recognize and utilize the longitudinal/multilevel nature of the data.
Yes, you need to put that in, which can be quite challenging. Usually
you need to add in some independent variables to capture the time and
panel trend aspects. If you can afford to add in dummies for each
group (i.e., fixed effects) it's worth it, and for the time structure
a linear, quadratic and cubic term, or some kind of regression spline
structure is also worth considering.
> 2. Once you've done -ice-, don't touch anything (let alone anything as
> drastic as -drop if _mj==0-), and use -mi: estimate- for everything. I
> don't really know how well either -mi- or -ice- go with -reshape-, but
> I suspect that if not done properly, it will screw up the delicate
> mechanics of -mi-.
And given that you can use chained equations in MI, I'd really suggest
doing things with MI directly, not -ice-. Nothing bad about -ice-, but
being able to run entirely in MI is likely to be much easier.
> 3. I agree with Jay that 4 imputations are woefully insufficient. I
> have heard the arguments that you don't see much Monte Carlo
> variability beyond 5 imputations, but I can put two arguments in favor
> of a much greater number, like M=50: first, you don't explore the
> multivariate space of missing data enough (M=5 may be OK for a
> univariate mean, but I can't see how it can work for a 30-dimensional
> space), and second, I want my minimum degrees of freedom to be greater
> than the nominal sample size, so that the limitation on the accuracy
> really comes from the data rather than the computer.
The original argument came from Don Rubin doing some calculations on
univariate means and OLS regression coefficients. It really doesn't
extend past that. Kenward & Carpenter did some work on this suggesting
that you should have many more imputations. This is discussed in the
MI manual, p. 5, with citations. But it depends on what you want to
know, so for a univariate mean it's no big deal and you can get away
with small imputations whereas if you're doing logistic regression on
relatively rare events you need to have many more.
> 4. If you are bringing additional variables to the -xtmixed- model,
> you would probably have been better off using these variables in
> imputation. You had a reason to believe that they affected the
> response, and for that same reason they should be in the imputation
> model.
I'll go one step further: The imputation model needs to be more
comprehensive than the analysis model.
* For searches and help try:
* http://www.stata.com/help.cgi?search
* http://www.stata.com/support/faqs/resources/statalist-faq/
* http://www.ats.ucla.edu/stat/stata/


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Police Blotter: One fatality after boating accident at Shilshole; police stop burglary in process; custom bike stolen
By Cassandra Baker
4:00 p.m., October 5. Shilshole Marina, Puget Sound
One man was killed and another was injured after a 16-foot boat and a 44-foot boat collided in Puget Sound near Shilshole Marina on the afternoon of October 5. The force of the collision threw both occupants of the smaller vessel into the water, and the occupants of the large boat rescued them from the water. Squamish Tribal Police were patrolling the area and responded quickly; the Harbor Patrol and Coast Guard later responded to the scene.
One of the occupants of the smaller boat, a 76-year-old man, died as a result of his injuries. The other occupant was taken to Harborview Medical Center. The operator of the larger boat, an adult male, was evaluated for signs of impairment but none were found. The cause of the collision remained unknown at the time of the report.
12:04 a.m., October 9. 102nd block of Greenwood Ave N
Police responded to a report of a burglary in progress at a construction site in the middle of the night on October 9. Off-site security was watching the burglary from a video feed. Officers arrived at the scene and found two suspects, one of whom was already known to the department. One of the officers confronted the suspects, and the identified suspect ran back into the building under construction. The other obeyed instructions and was taken into custody.
The first suspect fled the scene and was not located, although officers did find a backpack believed to be his. It contained several burglary tools, including a pipe saw. The first suspect has been arrested for burglary at least eight times in 2012. He drives with a suspended license and has multiple outstanding warrants for his arrest.
6:45 a.m., October 4. 77th block of 30th Ave NW
A woman went downstairs on the morning of October 4 to find her garage door open and her bike stolen. The door was not damaged, but the victim told police that she believed she had closed it the previous night at around 9:00. She said that her bicycle was "unique" and worth approximately $5000. It is black, gray and white with many custom features, including a Sigma computer, tool bags, a storage unit, and a $300 custom seat. No evidence was found at the scene.
We encourage our readers to comment. No registration is required. We ask that you keep your comments free of profanity and keep them civil. They are moderated and objectionable comments will be removed.


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A short fan clip from this year's Brooklyn Halloween Show. The Diabolical Mr. Grimflint's Pandemonium Theater!
Nov 13
It Was Horrific!
Oct 13
Luxury Seating!
Ever looking to keep the show in the black (and of course red would be fine too for Halloween but not for a Halloween show) we are, for the first year ever, offering up our own "luxury seating"
These seats you see stacked up in the picture, will be set up near the front of the stage and offered for $5 each per show. Yes, real theater seats, and you also get a bag of candy with your donations. See our seating expert Noreen tomorrow night to reserve yours!
Oct 13
One Day To Go!
As it is every year these last few days are a bit of a blur but tomorrow we go on and I hope you can be there. What will you see if you come?
A half baked, down on his luck Necromancer trying to earn a few extra bucks on the big night of demonic rapture
An abused, half witted Hunchback assistant possessing an EXTRAORDINARY pain threshold
A terrifying comedic talent guaranteed to make you laugh and shiver at the same time
"Operatic" drama! (well……………. a little bit here and there at least)
Blood, sharp instruments, body parts, and some of the worst magic you have ever…………
Let's just say this is a magic show gone horribly wrong!
It's this Year's Brooklyn Halloween Show. See you tomorrow night!
Oct 13
Brooklyn Halloween Show Receives THE Seal Of Approval!
Oct 13
One Week To Go
Only one more week until the indescribable Mr. Grimflint, and his friends descend on Clinton Hill for a night of Halloween mayhem. Beware!!
Oct 13
The Show Poster!
Oct 13
10 Days To Go
Hard as it is for us to believe and we still have so much to do! Please contribute to help make this free, unique community event happen in the way it should. The costs, time and effort are always a lot more than people might think BUT we feel it shows every year on the night of October 31. Just click on the donate button at the top of the page and you can easily contribute via Paypal right now. Hope to see you there and then.
Happy Halloween,
Robert, Greg, Eric, Mike, Matt, Josh, Dylan and Don
Oct 13
Set Design! 13 Days to Go.
Oct 13
Thanks To All Who Have Contributed So Far!
Plywood, 2 x 4′s, screws, paint, sound rental, costume materials, prop materials, lights, sound cords, extra extension cords, candy for the visitors on Halloween, glue, bolts, screws, gorilla tape, curtains, lumber to build crowd barriers, makeup, food for all the helpers, a new fog machine. Etc! It costs a lot more money than some might think to put on these free shows. We out too much effort and time into putting on the best show our limited resources will allow. PLEASE help out if you can, and a BIG thanks to those that have already done their part. THANK YOU! THANK YOU!
PS – The show is coming along and of course, as usual, we are scrambling! It's not always easy but come show night we are always ready to go and this year will be no different. Hope to see you there.
Happy Halloween,
Robert, Eric, Greg, Mike, Matt, Josh, Don, Dylan and the rest of the Brooklyn Halloween Show crew


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Glock "generations" are defined by the frame. Not sure about the year cut-off for each frame style, but here is a photo of the first three generation frames, side-by-side:
The first generation guns had a lightly pebbled/stippled finish all the way around the frame. 2nd gen guns had checkering on the front/back of the frame. 3rd gen Glocks have fingergrooves on the front of the frame, and a cross-slot accessory rail on the dust cover portion of the frame (under where the barrel will be when assembled). There are a few so-called "gen 2.5" guns, with fingergrooved frames but no accessory rail, or fingergrooves with no checkered areas in the grooves (just smooth plastic), but these are fairly rare.
The new 4th Gen guns are similar to the 3rd Gen frames, except they have a pattern of little pointy pyramids on the frame sides for a gripping surface instead of the stippling pattern on the gen 3 guns. Gen 4 Glocks also have interchangeable frame backstraps of differing thicknesses to better fit different size hands. This is a Gen4 G17:
If you bought your Glock new, recently, you almost certainly have a Gen 3 or 4; I think the box label will state "Gen4" if it's the newest model.


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Baby Bounce and Rhyme (Eccleston)
Eccleston Library
Friday, 25 November 2016 from 09:30 to 10:00 (GMT)
Event Details
at Eccleston Library every week
Enjoy lively sing-along songs, gentle movements and rhymes with your baby, plus meet and chat with other parents and carers. Suitable for babies up to around 18 months of age.
You might also be interested in…many of our libraries also hold regular Toddler Rhyme Time and Story Time sessions for slightly older children
This event is free, no ticket required.
Please note this event is only held during school term times
For more information, please contact us
Do you have questions about Baby Bounce and Rhyme (Eccleston)? Contact Eccleston Library
When & Where
Eccleston Library
The Green
PR7 5TE Chorley
United Kingdom
Friday, 25 November 2016 from 09:30 to 10:00 (GMT)
Add to my calendar
Eccleston Library
Baby Bounce and Rhyme (Eccleston)
Things to do in Chorley
Family & Education


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WILMINGTON, NC (WWAY) — The Wilmington Fire Department says smoke in the city is from a controlled burn in Brunswick County.
A department spokesman says the majority appears to be in the south and eastern sections of the city, but this could change.
The fire department asks citizens not to call for visible light smoke or smelling smoke.


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28 Jul Fire Rescue Magazine Shares the Engine 2 Story
Posted at 15:52h in The Daily Beet 0 Comments
The latest issue of Fire Rescue Magazine profiles the story of Engine 2, Austin's Plant Strong firehouse in a great article titled, "Saving Lives at the Station". Check it out!
Highlights shared in the article:
- The number 1 cause of fatalities of firefighters is heart disease.
- With Rip's influence, the Austin Fire Department now boasts close to 100 Plant Strong firefighters!
- While appearing on the Dr. Oz show Rip challenged 3 overweight Chicago firefighters to take on the Engine 2 Diet Challenge. They each lost between 25 and 40 pounds and lowered their cholesterol dramatically!


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Wednesday, November 7, 2012
A Cozy Day
23 comments:
- Vicki said...
Amy, I love those plaid scarves in the little chair by the front door. I save them too. I have my husband's and some of his sister's from their childhood. They didn't want them and I could not bear to see them go. Love the itchy wool and plaid. Your home is looking beautiful.
- November 7, 2012 at 9:51 AM
- It's me said...
I really really like your beautiful home darling !!...your decoratig style i love !!!...xxx...
- November 7, 2012 at 10:06 AM
- Blondie's Journal said...
Your home is so cozy and welcoming! I would be content to stay inside in my PJ's all day!
- November 7, 2012 at 10:16 AM
- Dori at The Red Feedsack said...
I love that wreath and the flowers on it, Amy. It is really pretty. I need to make one! :-) I made home-made minestrone soup and cornbread today as it is freezing cold, windy and super cloudy here today. Hugs.
- November 7, 2012 at 10:29 AM
- Kate said...
Dear Amy
Just the perfect thing I needed to start my day! Beautiful photos of your love filled home!
Everything is cozy and warm inside Looks so lovely
- November 7, 2012 at 10:35 AM
- Linda@Coastal Charm said...
Charming wreath you made with your kids. How nice that you can teach in your PJ's:) Enjoy these cooler temps.
- November 7, 2012 at 1:12 PM
- Olive said...
I love the thought of you homeschooling the kiddos in your pjs. I blog in mine all the time. I am retired after all. The wreath is sweet. xo, olive
- November 7, 2012 at 1:24 PM
- Gail said...
What a beautiful setting for a cozy day Amy!
- November 7, 2012 at 1:26 PM
- Ashley C. said...
I have been on the hunt for vintage flannel as well, but never thought to check the scarves at Goodwill - thanks for the idea! Brilliant!
- November 7, 2012 at 2:05 PM
- On Crooked Creek said...
What a precious wreath idea! I, too, need to get busy with some Christmas stockings for our dining room. Now that the Master bedroom is nearing completion, perhaps I can begin. The thing that always holds me back ...I HAVE TO USE MY SEWING MACHINE!!! Breathe deep, exhale!!!
Teaching school in your pj's??? Hm~m~m. . .that might have kept me from retiring early!!! Ha!
- November 7, 2012 at 2:16 PM
- Jane said...
I am totally in love with that wreath on the front door. I also like the idea of the sweater snuggie on the candle.....must do that this year! And I am envious that you got to "work" in your cozy jammies today.....sounds wonderful!
- November 7, 2012 at 2:46 PM
- A Thrifted Market said...
Looks so warm and inviting. Love decorating and anticipating the Christmas season. We do school in our pjs some days too! Have a blessed week my friend!
- November 7, 2012 at 3:14 PM
- pballard said...
Love your home. I love the scarves. Plaid is back..... Have a great evening.
- November 7, 2012 at 5:38 PM
- Becky C said...
Ok that wreath is adorable! Love the different rosettes. Your entryway is so very welcoming with the scarves & candle...and love the buckle too.
Isn't it nice to spend the day in your pjs??
Getting in the mood to do some Christmas crafts around here:)
Sending hugs
- November 7, 2012 at 5:58 PM
- A Ruffled Nest said...
Your house looks so warm and cozy! I love the cute sweater cozy for you candle. So cute!
- November 7, 2012 at 7:58 PM
- Shelley said...
I love your style...simple and clean...blessings
- November 7, 2012 at 8:13 PM
- Debbie said...
It all looks so cozy, Amy. I love the wreath, and my favorite part of all is the stack of scarves.
- November 8, 2012 at 2:44 AM
- Keeping it Cozy said...
Love your entry, Amy... warm and inviting. The wreath is beautiful! Love those flowers and what a fun thing to do together.
- November 8, 2012 at 3:40 AM
- Sherry said...
I love the ladder! Your home is gorgeous!
- November 8, 2012 at 5:15 PM
- Finding Home said...
Your home is so pretty and welcoming! Take care, Laura
- November 9, 2012 at 8:38 AM
- must love junk said...
Your wreath is SO cute! I always enjoy looking at your wonderful vignettes-love your styling! :)
- November 9, 2012 at 12:03 PM
- BECKY said...
Everything looks so lovely, Amy. Your wreath is charming and I also love all the fun stuff people are doing with sweaters...just a great look!
Hugs and joy to you, my friend!
Thank you for sharing at BWW!!
- November 10, 2012 at 10:30 AM
- shaggysheephome said...
Love your style!!!!
- November 17, 2012 at 6:09 PM


text:
Doctor to the Resistance: The Heroic True Story of an American Surgeon and His Family in Occupied Paris
€ 25,49
Lieferbar innert 2 Wochen
September 2004
BeschreibungDr. Jack Jackson was the Paris physician of Hemingway and Fitzgerald
PortraitHal W. Vaughan is an American journalist and documentary film producer based in Paris. A former Foreign Service officer, he has served as a consultant to the American Hospital of Paris.
Pressestimmen"Doctor to the Resistance is a haunting tale of war. Writing with elegance and insight, Hal Vaughan traces a powerful, moving story, full of pathos, drama and humanity, that leaves the reader awestruck at the unassuming valor of an extraordinary family." -Thomas Childers, author of In the Shadows of War and Wings of Morning
Untertitel: New. Sprache: Englisch.
Verlag: POTOMOC BOOKS INC
Erscheinungsdatum: September 2004
Seitenanzahl: 224 Seiten
Format: gebunden


text:
January 17, 2003
The Center for Latin American Issues
The Latin American Studies Program
Is There a Constitutional Solution?
The economic and political hardships of Venezuela
have been growing steadily for some time, and the national strike has
sharpened the crisis. As the nation becomes more polarized, pressure
increases for reconciliation and national dialogue between the
administration of President Chavez and his opponents. On Friday, January
17, the Center for Latin American Issues (CLAI) and the Latin American
Studies Program (LASP) of the George Washington University hosted a panel
discussion to examine the current conditions in Venezuela and to look
ahead in an attempt to figure out how to create a united rather than
divided people, with economic prosperity and democratic political
stability. The distinguished panel of discussants included Jorge Valero,
the Permanent Representative of Venezuela to the OAS; Thomas A. Shannon,
the Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Western Hemispheric Affairs at
the U.S. Department of State; Omar García-Bolívar, a Director of the
Coordinadora Internacional Venezolana; and Sonia Schott, international
correspondent for Globovision Venezuela. Dr. James Ferrer, Jr., Director
of both CLAI and the LASP, moderated the discussion.
The panelists articulated several points of conflict, primarily centered
on the quality of democratic governing institutions.
Ambassador Valero contrasted the Chavez government with preceding
governments of Venezuela. (For the text of Amb. Valero's prepared remarks,
click here.) Before Chavez came to power, political organizations
(particularly political parties) had heavily concentrated power and did
not represent the nation as a whole. Under that decaying political system,
everyday life was miserable in spite of overall economic prosperity. The
Venezuelan people elected Chavez with the understanding that he would
represent the interests of all the Venezuelan people rather than just the
political and economic elite. He fulfilled their expectations by creating
a Constituent National Assembly, which ratified a new constitution in
1999. The new constitution recognized, for the first time, the
multiethnic, pluricultural nature of Venezuelan society, and acknowledged
the state's obligation to every individual. In particular, the Chavez
administration prides itself on allowing freedom of expression: there are
no political prisoners in Venezuela, nor has the government taken actions
against the media outlets which are extremely critical of its activities.
It has allowed this freedom of expression in spite of what it views as the
media's attempt, at the expense of journalistic ethics, to defame the
administration. Ambassador Valero noted that Jimmy Carter has commented on
the "full development" of freedom of expression in Venezuela, while Human
Rights Watch has criticized the media for its one-sided reporting.
The opposition, while acknowledging that President Chavez came to power
through democratic means, asserts that his administration has not
performed democratically. Dr. García said the violence by the government, its use of the
military as a de facto political party, rampant corruption in government
agencies, and the impunity of government crimes have eroded the Chavez
administration's credibility and given the lie to its claims to be a
representative democratic government. (For the text of Dr. García's
click here.) Citing numerous executive orders, he claimed that
President Chavez does not respect the checks and balances of power
included in his own constitution. And, in spite of his considerable
executive power, President Chavez has proven incapable of managing the
economy, as evidenced by the depreciation of the currency, increasing
fiscal deficits, and declining social conditions. Dr. Garcia believes
President Chavez' actions have weakened institutions, undermined the rule
of law, and worsened living conditions.
Initially, said Dr. García, the opposition took legal actions against the
government; when these efforts failed, a diverse and spontaneous movement
to protest the government through peaceful demonstrations emerged. These
protests also failed and were met with violence from the government on
several occasions. These efforts have culminated in the current national
strike, which has greatly debilitated the national economy. The government
asserts that the strike is organized largely by the same political and
economic elite that, for forty years, abused and misused the national
resources to the detriment of the nation. In the administration's view,
the strikes, media attacks, and other such subversive activities either
abuse democratic freedoms or are not democratic. These efforts to
discredit the Chavez administration, they assert, will do great damage to
the country by damaging the most viable part of the economy (oil
production). From this perspective, Ambassador Valero maintained, the
national strike is an act of terrorism.
Ms. Schott acknowledged that political institutions have never been
strong in Venezuela, and that political stability has traditionally been
created through prosperity. The decline of political stability, then, has
been a result of weak economic conditions rather than an active effort by
President Chavez to deinstitutionalize the political process. She asserts
that demonstrating Venezuelans are seeking a constitutional solution to
the present crisis, and that if such a solution is not found soon,
violence will be the only possible recourse that emerges. In light of this
trend, negotiations are critical and both sides must agree to discuss a
solution. (For the text of Ms. Schott's prepared remarks, in Spanish,
click here.)
In sum, the Chavez administration and the opposition focus on separate
issues when they view the current political situation. Ironically, both
are correct: the Chavez administration is, in several important ways, the
most democratic administration Venezuela has had. Yet, as the opposition
argues, its ability to govern effectively and democratically is open to
So, is there a constitutional solution to this crisis? Both sides agree
that there is a deep rift in the national polity, and that the solution
must be true to the ideals of democracy by following the Constitution,
which demands elections to bring about a change in leadership. The primary
dispute seems to be over a timetable for elections: the opposition calls
for an immediate referendum, while the government argues that,
constitutionally, elections must wait until the midpoint of the
presidential term, which is several months away.
Many have questioned the U.S. role in the Venezuelan crisis.
Dr. Shannon noted that Venezuela is in the process of a long-term
political transformation from a narrow, clientelistic and corrupt system
to one that is more truly representative and democratic. What's more,
Venezuela is attempting to do so within a constitutional, democratic
process, which is a laudable effort. Venezuela's success or failure is
likely to have broad implications for the region, since many Latin
American governments are dealing with the issue of how democratic
institutions can evolve over time. So, while the U.S. has a direct
economic interest in stability because of Venezuelan energy production,
the U.S. recognizes also the importance of Venezuela as a model of
political development. The U.S. supports a peaceful, democratic,
electoral, constitutional solution as the ultimate goal, and is actively
working to reach these goals, primarily through the OAS. In fact, a Group
of Friends of Venezuela is being formed to support Secretary General
Gaviria's efforts to resolve the impasse. The group includes Brazil,
Chile, Mexico, Portugal, Spain and the United States. Although the
international community can support a peaceful, democratic resolution to
the political crisis, there is no way an outside force can impose a
solution on Venezuela. Only Venezuelans themselves will be able to produce
a truly effective, durable outcome to the present political crisis.
* This summary has not been reviewed by the speakers.


text:
Most Popular Photo Last Year: August 23, 20122013-08-23 1 2 Share Tweet
You don't usually get kids to model for the camera because kids are naturally hyper and indecisive all the time!
But this one sure knows how to pose. Great theatrics, little kiddo! And great portrait, warning!
Photo shot with a Lomo Lubitel 166+ using Lomography X-Pro 200 (120mm) film.
written by mayeemayee on 2013-08-23 #news #community-recap #most-popular-photo-last-year


text:
frying pan ...
My George Forman Grill
Cuisinart Griddler
we grill all year long.. out in the rain, in the wind.. no matter. I could live without my range... not without my grill/barbeque
@thumperchick has it right - my stand mixer is essential to creating anything worth eating in my kitchen. my kitchenaid is my best friend (which maybe says more about me than my mixer, but whatever).
I have none of these fancy cooking appliances... I feel the need to run out and get some! I would love a food processor but have nowhere to store it/limited counter space.
Full-size toaster oven. When it's 100 degrees outside the last thing you want to do is turn on the oven to heat up the house. The toaster oven cooks the food without cooking us. We use ours at least once a day - quesadillas, grilled sandwiches, reheating leftovers, making dinner.
i love my rice steamer, but it's not the kind you can get now. it's a charleston rice cooker that i use on the stove top. i can also steam veggies in it, use it as a double boiler, use the bottom only as a stock pot. it's my husband's grandmother's old rice cooker, and i wish i could get a newer, slightly heavier one. i'd also get a second for my mil. anyone know where to get a charleston rice cooker outside of charleston?
Another vote for the multi-purpose electric pressure cooker. My Cuisinart 6 in one is invaluable! it has totally replaced the use of a slow cooker in my house. Runner up would be my Bosch kitchen machine, aka stand mixer/blender.
NuWave oven and Turbo Cooker! Both items cook things in half the time and you don't have to thaw your frozen meats out and everything tastes so fresh! Not like the microwave - yuck. I have two of each, one for home and one for the RV.
Gas grill! I use it more than my stove!!!
For cooking - the grill; for baking - the Kitchen Aid mixer; for quality control - my husband!
Microwave. Although a deep fried Hot Pocket would be good...
My Microwave!!!!! Just like the Interwebz one CANNOT survive w/o a microwave . Besides how would pop pocorn lol .
Doggie Bags, Toaster Oven, and Nuclear Oven.
My microwave- I cook lots of stuff with it.
offgridmanpolktn wrote:This (the cast-iron skillet) was my first thought too, it is such a pain trying to cook for friends or family that don't understand that a well seasoned cast iron fry pan is the beginning of so many meals.
Yes. This.
wife. my wife motivates me to cook. with out her to enjoy my cooking it's Pb and j Cheetos and a glass of whole milk.
Telephone? (you know, to order out)
I'd barely cook at all if it weren't for my.....Wife
suzika wrote:Cast iron pans.
this is the correct answer
Not an appliance. I'd never cook at all if it weren't for my kids. I'd eat microwave food or PB&Js or cereal for pretty much every meal. I HATE cooking. But I hate the idea of filling my kids full of unknown junk even more!
George Foreman Grill!
Weber Grill, must have the Weber Grill.
My gas grill! A charcoal grill will work, but I use my gas grill 6 out of 7 days a week all year.
Bartender. . . .
Frying Pan
Gas BBQ Grill
polka dot knives. :P
Presto Pizzazz Plus and Kitchen Aid mixer.
loststream wrote:We use our oven, microwave, and/or toaster oven nearly everyday.
I'm interested in learning how to do that, since I may be moving to a much smaller dwelling without the full size stove I've always had. Any tips would be most welcome!
High-end professional knives. I know they don't technically qualify as "appliances"; however, they make the task much more enjoyable and efficient!
SPATULA! Everyone needs at least one.
immersion blender! those things are a godsend


text:
Cars > Events > Tucson Classics Car Show
Contact Information
- David Pashkow
- 520-440 4503
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About Tucson Classics Car Show
Join us for THE show in Southern Arizona—the best classic cars on the grass
at St. Gregory College Preparatory School
• 1st Place in each class receives $100 award and plaque
• 2nd and 3rd Place Awards
• $1,000 and trophy for Best in Show from Rotary Club of Tucson
• Sponsor award for sponsor favorites
• With each entry you get a raffle ticket to win a car or $15,000 in cash,
complimentary morning coffee, goodie bag and dash plaque
• Raffle drawing held immediately following awards ceremony
• Friday night dinner and silent auction - $10 per person
• DJ John plays your favorites all day Saturday
Check our website for host hotels with show rates.
Enter online at www.tucsonclassicscarshow.com,
20,000 expected
Date and Time
Sat Oct 19, 2013 from 10:00 am – 4:00 pm (MST)
Location and MapSt. Gregory Colled Preparatory School
3231 N. Craycroft Road
Tucson, Arizona 85714
United States