text:
Matt Cutts has just given a heads-up that we can expect to see the pageranks changing over the next couple of days. Besides that he talks about some old penalties that will be expiring. More on this here.
How to build a Virtual Real Estate portfolio
This blog has always been about topics somewhat related to building virtual real estate but as the blog has had a new design and as I have decided to pick of the pace, the blog will now only focus on topics that will help you build your VRE portfolio.
But before I start sharing the knowledge I've build about building a VRE, I feel that I need to define what I consider to be virtual real estate. Eventhough it is just three little words it is actually more or less the sum of everything that goes on online (that is the "virtual part").
The idea of virtual real estate is no different than the idea of normal physical real estate. It is about buying land and developing it to become more valuable than it was when you bought it.
The best part is that since non of us were around when physical land was "invented" we had no change of being part of it from the beginning. Now some of you might consider the internet to be "old" already but I promise you that it is not even getting started. That is why NOW is such a good time to start building a portfolio of websites, domains, online services etc. before EVERYONE does it.
More and more people are coming online every single day and as that happens there will be less and less virtual land to grap. Sure you can argue that because it is "virtual" it is "infinite" but I have to disagree. Why do you think that there are people and companies willing to pay millions for dot com domains? It is because not all "land" is "good land". So you need to grab it while it is still available.
Now my point of this blog is to help you get as large as piece of the virtual real estate pie as you want. Because the topic covers so many different areas I believe that there will be something for everyone. At times I'll discuss and teach topics that are broad and apply to all and at times I'll be going into details about specific types of VRE opportunities and how to best take advantage of them.
I trust that you'll get a lot out of it and I hope that you expand your VRE portfolio to as great an extend as you desire.
Blogging Conversion Video Released by Yaro Starak
Yesterday the famous blogger and internet marketer Yaro Starak released a couple of videos as a warmup for his course called Blog Mastermind. The first video is packed with good and simple blogging knowledge and is definitely worth the watch. It is all free and you don't even have to give him your name and email (you'll only need to do that to see the second video).
Now I have to be honest that I've know of Yaro for a long time (ever since he became famous in the blogging industry) but I have never really paid much attention to what he is doing. Its not that I don't want to have what he has but there has always been some other "guru" making millions and millions of dollars so why not listen to them instead of listening to a guy that "only" makes 6 figures a year?
After spending years listening to the guru and still not making millions (hint: it is not enough to just listen – action is required), I decided to spend some time finding out who Yaro is and what he does.
What I found is that he is a very down to earth guy and the things that he does it something that we can all do. You don't have to be a brilliant genius to make it work. By following his advice consistently you will (over time) get the same results.
But I'll let Yaro do the rest of the talking in his new video. Its about 30 minuters long so get yourself a nice cup of coffee/tea/soda etc. and listen to what he has to say.
What is it about blogging?
Just like the majority of other blogs starting out, I have fallen into the trap of writing a lot of articles the first few weeks and then suddenly something happens and the blog goes dead. Now I know that this blog isn't all dead but I haven't been good at writing articles in a while.
Please don't get me wrong. I'm not saying that you should write blog posts just for the sake of writing. That be not only be a waste of your own time but even more important a waste of your readers time.Is this post one of those "waste of time" posts? No I don't think so.
The point of this small posts is to let my subscribers know that I have not forgotten them and that I will start posting more regularly but ONLY when I feel that I have something valuable to share with you.
I'm looking forward to yet again provide you with some valuable money making online marketing tips in the near future. Take care until then.
Do you want a 70-620 or a 1Y0-259? There are plenty of online courses you can take. I suggest you also have a look at SY0-101, 70-236and N10-003. You will probably find most of them really useful.
Building Email Lists: 42 Ways to Increase and Maintain Your Opt-in Email Lists
First let me try to give you a little background as to why focusing on creating or expanding your email list is so vitally important to your web business. The first thing is that to have a successful internet business requires traffic (meaning people that visit your site). It doesn't matter whether you have a blog, a web shop, a forum or any other type of website. The fact is that the more quality traffic you are able to attract to your site, the greater opportunities do you have to convert that traffic into customers/income.
Note that I said "quality traffic". Traffic come in many forms and traffic from people that will only spend 2 seconds on your site is worthless and will only take up bandwidth. There is absolutely no need to attract that to your site. You would rather have a site with 100 interested visitors that are likely to buy from you than having 1,000 visitors doing the "hit and run routine" on you.
There are many way to attract quality traffic and one of the most basic ways are from searches performed in search engines like Google, Yahoo and MSN. When people come through search engines it is because they have found your site from a search phrase that the search engine found matched your site. That means that this individual will very likely be a "quality visitor" that you can possibly sell something if you can get his or her attention.
Now it is a fact that generating a lot of search engine traffic is a very time consuming task and it can take you months and years to build a site that will gain a decent amount of traffic to provide you with an income worth your while. But what if you were able to multiply this traffic with a factor of 2, 5, 10 or 100 within a few months? Wouldn't that be something to spend some time on?
The fact is that building an email list does exactly that. You have a visitor that comes by once and unless you somehow get a hold of this person they'll never ever come back to your site. They'll be lost forever and that is a petty because they are probably still interested in the topic that your site is about.
Let's say that you have 100 visitors to your site per day and you are able to catch only 10% percent of their email addresses. That would be 10 (otherwise forever gone) people that you can send an email to and have them re-visit your site. The result will be that the day you send out the email you can potentially have 110 people visit your site.
After one month you would have approximately 300 people on your mailing list, which means that whenever you send out an email where you inspire those people to visit your site, then you can potentially have 400 people visit your site in one day. Going from 100 to 400 people in one day is a 400% increase. Now I do say "potentially" and that is because you can expect everyone you send an email to come visit your site. But you get the idea.
So let us look for more ways to increase the amount of people that you have opt-in to your site.
42 Ways to Build and Maintain an Email List
1. Rent or Buy: You can always rent or buy other people's email lists. This is one of the fastest ways to increase your list rapidly but it is also one of the most expensive ways and therefore it might not be the right solution for you if you're just starting out. One disadvantage with these lists are that you can never be 100% sure where they got the email addresses from and that can potentially hurt your image if you're accused of spamming.
2. Offer Content: Most people will not give their email address away for nothing and that is why offering people content is a great way to collect their emails addresses. You can send them information via email or you can have them download an ebook. You might even send the videos or podcasts if you want to get a bit more technical. Offering content is one of the most commonly used ways to have people opt-in and it works really well.
3. Make It Easy: Place the opt-in form in the most prominently place on your website. It is vitally important that people see it and can act on it with the smallest effort possible. You'll see that this is one of the things that most internet marketers fail at by either not having their opt-in form present or by having it tucked away in the far bottom corner of the site. Make it stand out in front of your visitor.
4. Privacy: We have all heard stories of people that have signed up for email newsletters only to find themselves being spammed with 10-100 emails a day because the website sold, rented out or gave away their email addresses. People are scared of that happening to them so you have to assure them that you will keep their information safe. The best way is to place a privacy link right next to the opt-in form so that people can click and see that you will play nice. You can also make a statement that "You'll Keep Their Information Safe" next to the form.
5. Don't Use Force: Some sites will not let people in unless they give their email information upfront. The result will often be that people click away and they never come back. That is not what we're looking for. Secondly you don't want to have people enter too much information. Normally you will do just fine with just the first name and the email address. You can even make the first name optional or remove it completely if you like.
6. Give Away Gifts: This is somewhat like the information you gave in point number 2, but the difference is that this gift should represent some kind of value. It doesn't have to be a physical gift and you can still use ebooks or other content as a gift, but if you attach a value to it (e.g. $9.95) it'll change from being information to being a gift.
7. Send to Friends: Make sure you place an option to pass the email or the offer on to a friend. This is also called viral marketing (in a light form) and if you are passing on valuable information this can truly spread like wildfire. Be sure not to underestimate this little tool.
8. Multiple Choices: When you're asking people to opt-in, you can have a greater percentage of people opt-in, if you offer more than one thing. Some people might be interested in receiving the free ebook, while other might want to receive the podcast or the newsletter. Multiple offers will appeal to more people and thereby have more people opt-in.
9. People That Know You: If you didn't think of having an opt-in form on your site from the beginning then why not call or write to the people that have already bought something from you and ask them whether they would be interested in receiving your free newsletter. These people already know and trust you and most of them would therefore be likely to accept your offer.
10. Have an Opt-In Form on Every Page: This goes along with point #3 but it is vitally important that you have an opt-in form on every page of your site. Your visitor will probably not enter your site through the main page anyway so don't miss out on the opportunity to collect email addresses from visitors entering through a backdoor.
11. Show Samples: If you're sending out newsletters then why not show the visitor what previous version of the newsletter looks like. This will not only work as valuable content on your site but it'll also show the visitor what they'll get and if your information is great they'll be more inclined to opt-in.
12. Show Testimonials: Have you had people from your mailing list write you back with testimonials saying that the value the information that you have sent them? If you have then why not show them to the people that haven't signed up yet? There is nothing that converts as well as great testimonials from other "regular" people.
13. Archived Newsletters: Be sure to archive your previous newsletters on your website because they work as great and valuable content and will bring in more visitors from the search engines and that will in return result in even more people signing up.
14. Use Adwords: You can pay for traffic using Google Adwords. Whether you're using Adwords to send people to your sales page or whether you are sending them directly to a squeeze page (that is a fancy word for opt-in form), you should be sure to provide them with the option of opt-in.
15. Snail Mail and Catalogs: Be sure to also let people that receive your printed marketing material see that you have an option for them to receive free information or ebooks from you.
16. Leverage: If you have people working for you, make sure that they include a "sign up for our newsletter" in their email signature.
17. Phone Opt-in: Whenever you (or your employees) call a (potential) customer, make sure to ask whether they would want to receive your free newsletter.
18. Send Out Postcards: If you have postal information on your customers (but no email addresses), then you can send them a well designed postcard asking them to sign up to your list.
19. Hand Outs: Whenever you are at an event (presentations, talk shows, seminars) make sure to hand out material that mention your newsletter and other free information offers that people can sign up to receive.
20. Transaction Emails: Even when sending out order confirmation emails or any other auto-generated email, be sure to include a passage about how to sign up for your newsletter.
21. Invoices: Even invoices that are sent out should include a passage about signing up to your newsletter.
22. Warranty and Product Registration: Like with the invoices even these hardcopy materials should include a passage about your free information offer.
23. Article Marketing: If you're doing article marketing (which you should), then make sure to also let people know how to sign up for your free newsletter in the "authors box" of the article.
24. Press Releases: As with article marketing you should include your opt-in offer in any press releases that you send out.
25. Plug The Hole: If you find that a lot of people are leaving your newsletter then you need to find out what is wrong. Some people will always leave but if too many are leaving you need to find out why so that you can plug the hole. It is stupid to fill more water into the bucket without repairing the hole and hope for the water to stay in.
26. Let People Change Their Information: People change email addresses over time and it is therefore important that you provide them with an easy way to change their email address and stay on your newsletter.
27. Don't Slam the Door on Opt-Outs (1): When people opt-out of your list, make sure to send them a good bye and thank you email. In the email you should offer people to receive fewer emails from you and even let them decide the timeframe. Maybe two to three times a week was too much for the so why not suggesting a weekly or bi-weekly alternative?
28. Don't Slam the Door on Opt-Outs (2): Let people change the type of information that they receive from you. Maybe they are sick of all your promotional offers and they only want the weekly newsletter. Let them have that option.
29. Don't Slam the Door on Opt-Outs (3): Make a list of all the ways that people can receive your information. If they don't like emails then suggest that they subscribe to your RSS feed, your podcasts or IM deals. You might even suggest them to receive old fashioned catalogs by mail.
30. Don't Slam the Door on Opt-Outs (4): Tell them how they can change their information easily as some of the people that opt-out are actually only trying to change their information. Provide them with a direct link (no password) to the page where their personal information is already filled out so that they can update with just a few clicks. Make sure to remove all thinkable barriers.
31. Don't Slam the Door on Opt-Outs (5): Be sure to include double opt-out as well as you use the double opt-in. In the opt-out confirmation email, be sure to include a link to re-opt-in in case they unsubscribed by mistake.
32. Don't Slam the Door on Opt-Outs (6): Ask why they are leaving and use the feedback to improve. Most marketers don't take opt-outs very well but you need to see it as valuable feedback that you can learn from to keep even more people on your list.
33. Use Co-Registration: Another way to increase the number of people that opt-in is by using co-registration. This can be done by having people opt-in when they subscribe to other sites. Your opt-in information will be placed on the other site. You can enter into a partnership where their users have an option to sign up with you and your users have an option to sign up with them. Another option is to simply pay per email. Be sure that they use and "un-checked" option so that people have actually chosen to opt-in by choice.
34. Use Pop-Ups, Hover Ads and Pops When Leaving: Pop-ups and Hover Ads have been around for some time now and though most people hate them, they have proven to be extremely effective when done right. They have increased opt-in ratios by several hundred percent in some cases. If you don't want to bother your visitor with them, then what not use a pop-up when the visitor leaves your site? They might be gone forever but you'll just add that one extra change to capture their email address.
35. Use Out-of-Office Emails: Whenever you are out of your office make sure that your OOO email contains a message about how people can sign up for your newsletter.
36. Opt-In Through the Shopping Cart: Make sure that your shopping cart let people subscribe easily to your newsletter before leaving.
37. Voice Mail: If you use a voice mail, be sure to mention how people can sign up to receive your free newsletter.
38. Signatures: If you are posting comments in forums, news groups or blogs, be sure to include a link to your opt-in form with a compelling offer for people to actually click the link.
39. Use Radio and TV: If you are using radio broadcasts and TV spots, make sure that you mention how to opt-in to receive free information.
40. Yearly Updates: Every six to twelve months you can send out emails with user data to ensure that everything is updated.
41. Link to Other Newsletters: Don't be afraid to link to other valuable newsletters that would interest your subscribers. They will be glad that you did and will share your newsletters with other people not currently on your list.
42. Have a Webinar: If you're in a business where an online based seminar would be appropriate you can have users sign up to it in order to participate. At the same time you should encourage them to opt-in to your newsletter.
There are even more ways than these 42 ways to build and maintain an email list but I think you'll have enough work on your hand for now. If you need more inspiration be sure to check out this post.
Please Stumble or Digg this post if you found it valuable
Thank you.
Indian Outsourcing of Link Building
I have just made a deal with an Indian outsourcing company to do a link building campaign on one of my websites. To start of with this is merely a test to see what benefits I'll get for my money. To be quite honest I hate linkbuilding because it is so time consuming. Unfortunately getting links to you website is extremely important if you want to rank well in the search engines. If you have extraordinary unique and high quality content you might get some viral effect going that help you get links but personally I don't count on it.
Outsourcing to India has been on my mind for several years but I haven't really done anything about it. So now the time has come and I really looking forward to see what they'll be able to do for me.
The market I am targetting isn't that huge and getting good ranking should be obtainable within reasonable time. If you have any experience with outsourcing to India please share your comments.
Time to get busy – Niche project
I haven't posted here for quite some time now and I'm truly sorry about that. There are no excuses for that but I'll try to make it up to you. When we entered into 2008 I made a goal with myself. It isn't huge and it definitely isn't like the many you've read in the last couple of weeks.
My goal is simple: Keep focus on one thing for a whole year and see whether I will be able to take an old passive pet insurance blog I own to get a daily visit from more than 1,000 uniques. Currently I'm seeing just about 10-15 daily visitors but I haven't done anything to it since I set it up.
Now I'm starting to build links to it as well as finding writers etc. to help me expand the site. I'll need a lot of links and a lot of content to be sure to hit the 1,000 mark within the year. I am sure that it can be done and I'm looking forward to that. Even with a poor CTR that would give a nice little extra income.
I invite you to follow the steps I'm going to take to achieve this goal
MDW – Experiment – Make Money With It
I've recently bought a page at the Million Dollar Wiki site because I wanted to see whether it was possible to make some money from it. The purchase price for a page is $100 and that will get you a page this will not only get a fair amount of publicity through viral marketing but you'll own it for at least 15 years.
Professional bloggers like John Chow and Shoemoney have bought pages as well and that was the tipping point for me. These guys seem to know what they are doing and I am pretty sure that if done correctly I'll be able to get a decent amount of traffic to my page.
However I would really like to ask for your help. If you're reading this blog I would appreciate it if you would give me a link from either your blog or any other site you might own with the anchor text of "Baby Boy Names". As you might have guessed I bought the page Baby Boy Names for one single reason: TRAFFIC.
If you have ever used WordTracker for your keyword research you know that they do not exaggerate their statistics. I have often found them to be way less than I am actually seeing from the visitors that hit my sites. Using other keyword research tools I found figures of 2-3 million monthly visitors where WordTracker only shows around 70,000 visitors. If it's possible to get just 10% of 2 million visitors to my site I would really have to give it some effort in order to not profit from it.
What will I do for you in return? I've not going to promise any prizes but I promise to give you a link from this blog to a site of your choice. Please submit a comment to this post if you have linked to my Baby Boy Names page containing:
1) A link to the page that is linking to it and
2) Anchor text and link to the page that you want me to mention here on the blog.
I would like to use my last words of this post to thank all of you who decide to help me try to accomplish this. I'll need all the help I can get so feel free to post ideas and comments that will help me reach my goal.
New Blog Makes Money with TLA Text Ads
Now because things have been extremely busy around here I haven't written any posts since my post where I compared John Chow's BlogRush stats to mine. But yesterday I got an email from PayPal that TLA had sent me some money and I was literally stunned. Why?
Because I had totally forgot that I had installed their little plugin adding TLA text ads to the blog. I haven't had anyone want to buy links on my site and therefore this came as a pleasant surprise. Now it wasn't large figures but money that you do not expect is always a lot more fun than those you do expect.
So why this post? Well, I just wanted those of you that, like me, have fairly new blogs know that money can be made from TLA even though you still don't have a PageRank.
Certifications like 350-001 and 70-290 equip one in a better way to advertise on the internet. Courses like 70-649 and 70-270 help one in understanding the way algorithms work. All of these courses are necessary to cover 646-204.
My BlogRush Stats – Compared to John Chow dot Com
Now this might seem like an odd thing to compare but so far John Chow is the only blogger I have seen that has revealed his stats. I've tried to place the different stats from BlogRush "side by side" with John Chow's to show you what you can actually achieve if you have a blog with enough visitors and you're able to make enough referrals sign up through your affiliate link.
I'll let you guess who has which stats *LOL*
The Graph
Credit Balance & Referral Network Stats
Activity by Generation
Syndication Activity
From what I can see it looks like my CTR is far better that John's. I have a conversion rate of 0.826% whereas John's is 0.333%. But well… he makes up for it in traffic


text:
By Richard Clarke
Arsène Wenger is "completely surprised" by Uefa's decision to open disciplinary proceedings against him and intends to appeal.
The issue concerns whether the manager did or did not adhere to the touchline ban enforced by the European football authority during Tuesday's 1-0 win over Udinese.
The Club began building its appeal case on Friday and, at his press conference later that day, the Frenchman confirmed he would take the matter further.
"Of course we will [appeal] because I don't know why the rules changed from what they told us before.
"I am completely surprised but we are open to any enquiry from Uefa. We have nothing to hide and I don't think we have done anything wrong.Copyright 2017 The Arsenal Football Club plc. Permission to use quotations from this article is granted subject to appropriate credit being given to www.arsenal.com as the source

subset: commoncrawl


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Romney: Obama's 47% of the electorate is dependent on government
posted at 7:34 pm on September 17, 2012 by Allahpundit
Via Mother Jones and Ace, watch this now if you haven't seen it elsewhere because political media will be having 20 heart attacks about it tomorrow and you'll want to be up to speed. This was recorded awhile back at a fundraiser, just like Obama's infamous "bitter/clinger" comments in 2008. Remember how big that blew up? That's how we ended up with President McCain.
The dirty little secret of most "controversial" political statements is that voters pay them little mind, especially when they're preoccupied with bread-and-butter issues. The GOP spent three days in Tampa hammering Obama for the "you didn't build that" line and a fat lot of good it did them in vaulting Romney past O in the polls. Then again, the GOP didn't have a media megaphone like the one that's going to be amplifying this for the rest of the week. The money quote:
"There are 47 percent of the people who will vote for the president no matter what. All right, there are 47 percent who are with him, who are dependent upon government, who believe that they are victims, who believe the government has a responsibility to care for them, who believe that they are entitled to health care, to food, to housing, to you-name-it. That that's an entitlement. And the government should give it to them. And they will vote for this president no matter what…
"And I mean the president starts off with 48, 49 … he starts off with a huge number. These are people who pay no income tax. Forty-seven percent of Americans pay no income tax. So our message of low taxes doesn't connect. So he'll be out there talking about tax cuts for the rich. I mean that's what they sell every four years. And so my job is not to worry about those people. I'll never convince them they should take personal responsibility and care for their lives. What I have to convince the five to ten percent in the center that are independents that are thoughtful, that look at voting one way or the other depending upon in some cases emotion, whether they like the guy or not."
Certainly, the Obama campaign's never done anything to tout the sort of cradle-to-grave dependency that Romney describes here. I think David French's recent post about the "bookends" that compose the modern liberal coalition is closer to the mark than Romney's familiar makers-and-takers formulation here, but he was at a fundraiser and tossing red meat and I guess wanted it to be as red as possible. As for his claim that 47 percent pay no income tax, it's true but carries lots of caveats. Ramesh Ponnuru wrote an insightful piece about last year; this new article from National Journal is worth reading too. Two political difficulties here. One: While some Obama supporters may not pay federal income tax, they still pay federal payroll tax and may well pay state and city taxes. They do contribute something to government. Two: A lot of pro-Republican working-class voters pay no income tax due to the Earned Income Tax Credit, and a lot of pro-Republican seniors pay no income tax because most or all of their income is Social Security. Not sure how either of those groups will react to Romney's critique of O's fans, but my hunch is that Ben Domenech's right in believing that no one really thinks they're part of the 47 percent. Everyone thinks they're a "maker," not a "taker," due to whatever little tax they pay, so when Mitt lays into freeloaders, even people who pay no income tax think he's talking about someone else. It's sort of the flip side of senior citizens saying that America needs small government while telling politicians "Hands off my Medicare." I doubt it'll end up hurting Romney badly, but the media will do its level best. Buckle up!
That's the first video. The second video is of Romney joking that he'd have a better chance at being elected if he was Latino, which is almost certainly true.
Update: Damage control from Romney's campaign:
Mitt Romney wants to help all Americans struggling in the Obama economy. As the governor has made clear all year, he is concerned about the growing number of people who are dependent on the federal government, including the record number of people who are on food stamps, nearly one in six Americans in poverty, and the 23 million Americans who are struggling to find work. Mitt Romney's plan creates 12 million new jobs in four years, grows the economy and moves Americans off of government dependency and into jobs.
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text:
The Red Bike
London, England
Big Ben by Night
Lodon, England
The Eye at Sunrise
Leopard, Knysna, South Africa
"Everyone has talent. What's rare is the courage to follow it to the dark places where it leads."-Erica Jong
Santorini Sunset
Santorini, Greece
Silhouette Sun
Through the Palm
Zanzibar Sunset
Seize the Day
Lake Malawi Sunrise
Elephant, Knysna, South Africa
"Life shirks or expands in proportion to one's courage." -Anais Nin
Mzimvubu River, Port St Johns, South Africa
"A bend in the road is not the end of the road."-Unknown
Cloud Cover, Miami Beach
"It is not because things are difficult that we do not dare; it is because we do not dare that they are difficult."-Seneca
Red Night, Istanbul, Blue Mosque
"Some people feel more alive when they travel and visit unfamiliar places or foreign countries because at those times sense of perception-experiencing-takes up more of their consciousness than thinking. They become more present. Others only let their body travel."-Tolle
Balance Beam, Miami Beach
"Better to see something once than to hear about it a thousand times."-Asian Proverb
Purple Haze
"Not all those who wander are lost."-J. R. R. Tolkien
Pink Palms, Miami Beach
"No seed ever sees the flower."-Zen Saying
Travel, Key West
"People are capable, at any time in their lives, of doing what they dream."-The Alchemist
Sail Away, Zanzibar
"The meaning of life is just to be alive. It is so plain and obvious and so simple. And yet, everybody rushes around in a great panic as if were necessary to achieve something beyond themselves."-Watts
Buddha Birds, Miami Beach
"The real voyage of discovery consist not in seeking new landscapes but in having new eyes."-Proust
Relax, Zanzibar
"Happiness is a simple thing."-Zen Saying
"Not all those who wander are lost."-Tolkien
Seascape, Zanzibar
"Everyday was there to be lived or to make one's departure from this world."-The Alchemist
Impressions, Miami Beach
"I haven't a clue as to how my story will end. But that's all right. When you set out on a journey and night covers the road, you don't conclude the road has vanished."-Willard
Silence, Bali
"The foolish man seeks happiness in the distance. The wise grows it under his feet."-Oppenhiem
Paradise, Safdarjang Tomb, India
"Do the most important things now, don't leave them until the end."-Cohen
Journey, Miami Beach
"A journey of a thousand miles must begin with a single step."-Lao Tzu
The Solution, Mokulua Isands, Hawaii
"Problems are only in your head."-Tolle
Black Bird, Miami Beach
"A challenge for those who go. A dream for those who stay behind."-Sabine
Freedom, Blue Mosque, Istanbul
"If you follow your bliss, you will always have your bliss."-Campbell
Home, Malgolo Castle, Italy
"Give the ones you love wings to fly, roots to come back and reasons to stay."-Dalai Lama
Good Morning, Miami Beach
"The breeze at dawn has secrets to tell you."-Rumi
Magic, Cusco, Peru
"It's the possibility of having a dream come true that makes life interesting."-The Alchemist
Through the Palms, Miami Beach
"Build your own dreams, or someone else will hire you to build theirs."-Gray
Mirror, Golden Pavilion, Japan
"What you seek is seeking you."-Rumi
Giant Buddha
"Rest is not idleness, and to lie sometimes on grass under the trees on a summer's day, listening to the murmur of water, or watching clouds float across the sky, is by no means a waste of time."-John Lubbock
Giza Skyline
Giza, Egypt
Low Tide
Khartoum, Sudan


text: I'm having all sorts of email problems. I can't seem to send email to anyone, not from inside the network or outside the network, except I can send mail from inside the network to myself ([email protected] I can telnet to port 25 and then ehlo localhost and I get the proper output. The username I'm using is web1_mark with the email address of [email protected] When I'm on the box and type: sendmail -v [email protected] test ctrl + d I get the output sent to root which I can check in /var/mail/nobody (which is kind of weird that the root mail is going to nobody) The output is this: Code: <[email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected] The mail users seem to be: Code: server1:/var/mail# ls admispconfig nobody web1_mark web2_mark But after sending mail to [email protected] there is no mail for that user and nothing inside the file web1_mark I'll be the first to admit that I'm not exactly sure what I'm doing with setting up email accounts using ispconfig. in /var/log/mail.log I'm not getting anything at all after sending mail as root to [email protected] That's just internal mail so far. Any suggestions?


text:
Top California school leaders unveiled recommendations Tuesday for revamping the state testing system to be more in line with new academic expectations still being implemented.
Among the first recommendations put forth by state Superintendent of Public Instruction Tom Torlakson is to suspend testing not required by the federal government beginning this academic year. The idea is to ease into a new system being developed to conform to the Common Core Standards.
"The Common Core Standards (require a) greater level of analysis," Torlakson said in a telephone conference. "Assessments must change too."
Approved in 2010, the Common Core Standards demand different levels of analysis and thinking from students. In math, students will no longer just solve a set of equations, but will be required to explain how they arrived at the solutions.
In English, students will spend more time learning from nonfiction documents than in the past. The goal is to better prepare students for college or the workplace and for those preparations to be consistent across the country.
"No employer would measure their own staff based on how well they memorize their manual," said David Rattray of the Los Angeles Area Chamber of Commerce during the conference call. "They reward based on results. (The new) kind of testing in schools is fantastic for businesses. Students are more engaged when they have projects and are actively learning. In that sense, what works for the students, works for business."
Because Common Core demands students no longer learn by rote, testing needs to be different, Torlakson said. New assessments will be computer based with adaptive technology, which means the tests will detect the student's ability to answer questions and modify the next set of questions appropriately.
Exams will be "more creative, not just a multiple choice test," Torlakson said. "Now they'll have to complete more complex problems."
California belongs to a group of 25 states called the Smarter Balanced Assessment Consortium, which is developing the tests and other tasks students will have to perform. The group recently released technology requirements each school must have to administer the new tests to students.
Compared with the old, fill-in-the-bubbles testing method, the new system will have a faster turnaround and will give teachers time to find areas where their students are lacking — before they leave for summer break, proponents say.
The tests will be partially graded by computer and partially by humans, they said.
California's plan is to have all students tested with the new system by 2015.
Implementation of the Common Core in Monterey County varies among districts, with Pacific Grove and Carmel ahead of the pack. Districts are receiving coaching and other assistance from the Monterey County Office of Education.
Among the tests Torlakson recommends be suspended are the California Standardized Testing for second grade, end-of-course assessment for world history and the California High School Exit Exam. He suggested they be replaced by tests already being taken by students.
"We think suspension of non-federally mandated assessments will give teachers breathing room," said Deb Sigman, deputy superintendent of the California Department of Education.
But a testing expert said California education officials will end accountability if the proposed testing is implemented.
Because testing proposed by Smarter Balance is more diagnostic than summative — meaning it's designed to let teachers know how students are doing, rather than measure what they have learned — the end result would be very different than what's in place, said Doug McRae, a former executive with McGraw-Hill.
"This is a radical departure from previous assessment systems," McRae said. "If you design the test for instruction, you don't get measurements and you have eliminated accountability."
The exams will take longer to administer, and there are not enough computers for everyone to take them, McRae said.
"Testing time will go up ... up to three times, and costs three times higher," he said. "California is not ready to do this."
New laws will have to be adopted to proceed with the new testing system. Assemblywoman Susan Bonilla, D-Concord, said Tuesday she will propose legislation that will implement Torlakson's recommendations.
Claudia Meléndez Salinas can be reached at 753-6755 or firstname.lastname@example.com.


text:
News Article
The first National Event of the 2013-14 ECNL season kicked off on Friday Nov 15th at the Reach 11 Sports Complex. With clubs from all across the country descending on Arizona for the three-day event, the level of soccer was expected to be high quality and the opening games did not disappoint.
Lonestar ECNL 97 played Slammers, So Cal Blues and West Coast FC all from the Southwest Conference (Southern California). During the course of the Showcase over 76 Coaches watched the 97s play the #2, #4 and #7 Ranked Teams in the country!
Lonestar ECNL 98 also attended and played Slammers (Southern California), San Juan Soccer Club (Northern California) and Chicago Sockers. The 98s had 96 College Coaches watch them over the 3 games and went undefeated!
It was a great weekend for our u17 and u16 teams. The facilities were first class and we played in front of a total of 172 College Coaches!
Great Job Ladies!!


text:
Stay connected with us to get the latest health and fitness news, innovative workouts, healthy recipes and wellness tips.
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ACE Fit Share
This Thai-inspired salad makes use of the papayas that grow throughout Hawaii. This version is tossed with tender, sweet pea shoots. Make an extra batch of the vinaigrette to keep on hand in the refrigerator—use it as a marinade for vegetables, a flavorful dressing for fresh melon or as a sauce to splash over grilled fish or chicken.
Nutrition Profile:
Diabetes Appropriate
Gluten Free Diet
Healthy Weight
Heart Healthy
Low Calorie
Low Carb
Low Cholesterol
Low Sat Fat
Serves 6
Prep Time 35 min
Total Time 35 min.
Step 1
Whisk lime zest, lime juice, sugar, fish sauce and chiles in a large bowl.
Step 2
Add papaya, onion and pea shoots (or sprouts) to the vinaigrette; toss to combine. Sprinkle with pepper just before serving.
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This workout provides a challenging total-body workout that can be done from the comfort of home with no equipment other than bodyweight and space.


text: As for Yuna's short program, I liked it more when she showed parts of its choreography first without the music in that open practice session. With the music it for some reason doesn't look as good as I thought it would be. But maybe she didn't try as hard as she would during the actual competition, so I'll wait till then to decide whether I like it or not.


text:
OCLR Tanks Optical; Needham Sorts Out Relative Risk
There's trouble in fiber optics land today after optical component maker Oclaro (OCLR) late Friday warned fiscal Q1 revenue for the September-ending three-month period would miss analysts' estimates, thanks to "continued challenging market conditions in the segments of the optical communications space that Oclaro serves."
Oclaro preliminarily projected $149 million in revenue for the quarter, below the company's projection for $154 million, and below the Street consensus of $162 million. That the preliminary revenue includes amounts from Oclaro's purchase of competitor Opnext, which closed in late July.
The company attributed the shortfall in part to "Slower than expected recovery of customer share of certain products to pre-flood levels, including certain data communications products," and also to a slower ramp of new 40-gigabit and 100-gigabit optical links.
Oclaro and peers are broadly weaker than the overall market today, with OCLR falling 25 cents, almost 10%, to $2.38, Finisar (FNSR) falling 31 cents, or 2.3%, to $13.21, JDS Uniphase (JDSU) falling 36 cents, or 3.2%, to $11, and Fabrinet (FN) falling 47 cents, or 4%, to $11.13.
Needham & Co.'s component analyst Alex Henderson today tried to sort out who broadly the weakness might be spread amongst competitors. Reiterating a Hold rating on Oclaro shares, Henderson writes that it's probably more particular to that company rather than general optical weakness: Oclaro's weakness could imply weaker than expected conditions at Finisar and JDSU—We think it's more an Oclaro problem and think Finisar will make its quarter. Fabrinet is likely within its guidance of flat to up 4% Q-Q despite providing services to these players.
He also likes equipment maker Ciena (CIEN) and test and measurement developer Emcore (EMKR) better, writing, "Coherent players such as Ciena and Emcore likely much more robust than rest of optical market and likely to perform better despite the weak commentary out of Oclaro."
CIEN shares are down 19 cents, or 1.5%, at $12.85, while Emcore stock is off 3 cents, or 0.6%, at $5.44.


text:
So far folks seem to post about intriguing late round prospects in various threads -- mocks, "a look at '12-'13", new threads, etc. Thought it may be worth it to create a thread where folks could alert everyone of someone who just blew them away after reading a draft profile or watching some tape over on draftbreakdown. This is for the the Miguel Maysonets of the world, not for the Alec Ogletrees. We all want to uncover the diamond in the rough and know what proday to check in on.
So, who are you round 4-7 steals?
I'll start...Dennis Johnson, RB, Ark. Haven't seen him in 4 round mocks, so don't know where he'll go, but the kid seems to fit what we need as a DW compliment.


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Understanding the role of replication in research is crucial for the interpretation of scientific advances
Howard Wainer
The concept of replicability in scientific research was laid out by Francis Bacon in the early 17th century, and it remains the principal epistemological tenet of modern science. Replicability begins with the idea that science is not private; researchers who make claims must allow others to test those claims. Over time, the scientific community has recognized that, because initial investigations are almost always done on a small scale, they exhibit the variability inherent in small studies. Inevitably, as a consequence, some results will be reported that are epiphenomenal—false positives, for example. When novel findings appear in the scientific literature, other investigators rush to replicate. If attempts to reproduce them don't pan out, the initial results are brushed aside as the statistical anomalies they were, and science moves on.
Scientific tradition sets an initial acceptance criterion for much research that tolerates a fair number of false positives (typically 1 out of 20). There are two reasons for this initial leniency: First, it is not practical to do preliminary research on any topic on a large enough scale to diminish the likelihood of statistical artifacts to truly tiny levels. And second, it is more difficult to rediscover a true result that was previously dismissed because it failed to reach some stringent level of acceptability than it is to reject a false positive after subsequent work fails to replicate it. This approach has meant that the scientific literature is littered with an embarrassing number of remarkable results that were later shown to be anomalous.
A wonderful example of this effect originated in the 1930s at Duke University. J. B. Rhine, a botanist turned parapsychologist, designed studies that he hoped would discover people with extrasensory perception (ESP). He thought he had found one in Adam Linzmayer, an economics undergraduate at Duke. In spring 1931, as a volunteer in one of Rhine's experiments, Linzmayer performed far better than chance suggested he should. In subsequent experiments his performance retreated back to chance. Rather than dismiss the initial finding, Rhine concluded that Linzmayer's "extra sensory perception has gone through a marked decline." But Rhine kept searching for people with ESP talent until he encountered another experimental subject, Hubert Pearce, who had a remarkable run of successes before he too suffered the loss of his psychic gift. This spotty record did not deter the energetic Rhine. The University of Chicago researcher Harold Gulliksen wrote a scathing review of Rhine's 1934 opus Extra-Sensory Perception, suggesting that although the statistical methods Rhine used were seriously flawed, he would not discuss them for fear that he would distract attention from the monumental errors in Rhine's experimental design. (For example, if you looked carefully at the cards he used to test subjects, you could see an outline of their patterns from the reverse side. Such flaws are often overlooked by scientists inexperienced in magic. Stanford statistician and magician Persi Diaconis spent a fair amount of time debunking claims of ESP made by Uri Geller and others. Diaconis proposed that he was uniquely qualified for such a task; magicians couldn't do it because they didn't understand experimental design, and psychologists couldn't do it because they didn't know magic. His claim has subsequently been borne out by evidence.)
Rhine's reaction to and interpretation of normal stochastic variation provides an object lesson in how humans, even scientists, allow what they want to be true to overwhelm objective good sense. Nobel Prize Laureate Daniel Kahneman spends the 500 pages of his recent book, Thinking, Fast and Slow, laying out how and why humans behave this way. It is left to scientists to remember this tendency as we do our work.
Alas, the shrinking size of scientific results is not a phenomenon confined to scientific exotica like ESP. It manifests itself everywhere and often leads the general public to wonder how much of the scientific literature can be believed. In 2005 John Ioannidis, a prominent epidemiologist, published a paper provocatively titled "Why Most Published Research Findings Are False." Ioannidis provides a thoughtful explanation of why research results are often not as dramatic as they were first thought to be. He then elaborates the characteristics of studies that control the extent to which their results shrink upon replication.
None of Ioannidis' explanations came as a surprise to those familiar with statistics, which is, after all, the science of uncertainty. Larger studies with bigger sample sizes have more stable results; studies in which there are great financial consequences may more often yield biases; when study designs are flexible, results vary more. The publication policies of scientific journals can also be a prominent source of bias.
Let me illustrate with a hypothetical example. Assume that we are doing a trial for some sort of medical treatment. Furthermore, suppose that although the treatment has no effect (perhaps it is the medical equivalent of an ESP study) it seems on its face to be a really good idea. To make this more concrete, imagine that modern scientific methods were available and trusted in the 19th century, and someone decided to use them to test the efficacy of using leeches to draw blood (which was once believed to balance the bodily humors and thence cure fevers). If a single study was done, the odds are it would find no effect. If, over a long period of time, many such studies were done, we might find that most would find no effect, a fair number would show a small negative effect and an equal number a small positive effect—all quite by chance. But chance being what it is, if enough studies were done, a few would show a substantial positive effect—and be balanced by a similar number that showed a complementary negative effect (see the figure on page 360).
Of course, if we were privy to such a big-picture summary, we could see immediately that the treatment has no efficacy and is merely showing random variation. But such a comprehensive view has not been possible in the past (although there is currently a push to build a database that would produce such plots for all treatments being studied—the Cochrane Collaboration). Instead what happens is that researchers who do a study and find no significant effect cannot publish it; editors want to save the scarce room in their journals for research that finds something. Thus studies with null, or small, estimates of treatment effects are either thrown away or placed in a metaphorical file drawer.
But if someone gets lucky and does a study whose results, quite by chance, fall further out in the tail of the normal curve, they let out a whoop of success, write it up and get it published in some A-list journal—perhaps the Journal of the American Medical Association, perhaps the New England Journal of Medicine. We'll call this the alpha study. A publication in such a prestigious journal garners an increase in the visibility of both the research and the researcher—a win-win.
The attention generated by such a publication naturally leads to attempts to replicate; sometimes these replication studies turn out to have been done before the alpha study, lending support to the hypothesis that the alpha study might be anomalous. Typically these studies do not show an effect as large as that seen in the alpha study. Moreover, the replication studies are not published in the A-list journals, for they are not pathbreaking. They appear in more minor outlets—if they are accepted for publication at all.
So a pattern emerges. A startling and wonderful result appears in the most prestigious of journals, and news of the finding is trumpeted in the media. Subsequently, independent studies also appear, but few are seen by a significant number of readers, and fewer still are picked up by the media to diminish the impression of a breakthrough generated by the alpha study. Sometimes, though, news of diminished efficacy percolates out to the field and perhaps even the public at large. Then we start to worry, "Does any treatment really work?"
One version of this effect, delineated in a 1995 paper by Geneviève Grégoire and her colleagues at the Hôtel-Dieu de Montréal in Quebec, has come to be called the Tower of Babel bias. The authors considered meta-analyses published in eight English-language medical journals over a period of two years. The advantage of a meta-analysis is that it combines the findings of many other studies in an effort to establish a more rigorous conclusion based on the totality of what has been done. More than just a research review, it allows each study to be weighted proportional to its validity. Grégoire and her colleagues found that a majority of the analyses excluded some studies based on language of publication, and that the analyses' results might have been altered had they included studies published in languages other than English. More generally, it is almost a truism by now that studies whose results either do not achieve statistical significance or show only a small effect are published in local journals or not at all. Thus international estimates of treatment effects tend to have a positive bias.
The stage is now set for us to shift our gaze to research done in the East. Chinese medical research, for example, is almost invisible to Western scientists, but the reverse is not true: Chinese researchers seem well aware of major findings in the West, although they are probably less familiar with the more minor publications. Keeping in mind the phenomenon of shrinking effect sizes, if we looked carefully at the findings of Chinese medical researchers as they strive to replicate Western medical findings, we would expect to find the same shrinkage as is the rule in the West. Is this what happens?
Zhenglun Pan, of Shandong Provincial Hospital in Shandong, China, and a team of international scholars did a large meta-analysis of dozens of studies done in China that were meant to be replications of earlier studies. They then redid the same meta-analysis with studies from other Asian (but non-Chinese) researchers, as well as non-Asian, non-Chinese researchers. The studies they considered, in the field of genetic epidemiology, seemed to find effect sizes at or surpassing those found in the alpha study. The authors call this a "reverse Tower of Babel" bias. Although the bias was greatest in Chinese studies, it was also found, to a lesser extent, in non-Chinese Asian research. Replication studies on the same subject by non-Chinese, non-Asian researchers found the smallest effect sizes of all. (Summaries of two of the meta-analyses by Pan and colleagues are shown on the facing page.) Several speculative reasons for this effect come to mind—perhaps it is a matter of cultural norms; perhaps there is an interaction between treatment and ethnicity. Thus far we must await further research to determine its sources.
Science is designed to be self-correcting. Attempts to replicate provide evidence of when it has gone astray. Or at least that's the theory. The real world, filled with fallible people and institutions, practically guarantees that the path toward progress meanders, sometimes massively. But this is not all bad. As physicist David Deutsch has emphasized, the evolution of a scientific idea is different than the Darwinian evolution of an organism in at least two important ways. First, ideas evolve in ways that are directed by the intelligence of the investigators. In contrast, biological evolution has no goal other than maximizing the likelihood that a particular mixture of genes will spread. Second, if a particular phenotype emerges that cannot survive, it becomes an evolutionary dead end, but an idea that is a failure can still have parts that can be retrieved and used subsequently.
The story told here provides some compelling examples, if any were needed, that the road to improvement is fraught with potholes of misinformation and twists of political intrigue. But as long as we maintain a healthy skepticism and remain free to publicly question the status quo, we will continue to advance—at least for those disciplines for which the direction of an advance is known. In a 1966 American Scientist article, Princeton University psychologist Julian Jaynes offered an evocative metaphor to delineate what he saw as the differences between psychology and physics. I would apply Jaynes's words more broadly to the differences between the hard sciences and the humanities—and, to some extent, the social sciences:
Physics is like climbing a mountain: roped together by a common asceticism of mathematical method, the upward direction, through blizzard, mist, or searing sun, is always certain, though the paths are not. . . . The disorder is on the ledges, never in the direction. . . .
[Psychology] is less like a mountain than a huge entangled forest in full shining summer, so easy to walk through on certain levels, that anyone can and everyone does. The student's problem is a frantic one: he must shift for himself. It is directions he is looking for, not height. . . . Multitudes cross each other's paths in opposite directions with generous confidence and happy chaos. The bright past and the dark present ring with diverging cries and discrepant echoes of "here is the way!" from one vale to another.
The pitons and cleats so critical for ascending a mountain, Jaynes continues, are replaced with blinders and earplugs as people wander the forest. This passage may help explain why the scientific method, so powerful in the hard sciences, fails when applied to subjects in which there is no broad consensus of what constitutes an advance.
In the world we inhabit, the rules of science interact with the foibles of scientists. What we see should not be taken at face value—even "objective science." Every scientific study carries along with its results some sense of its own credibility. Studies with larger sample sizes are more credible than those that are smaller, ceteris paribus. If those doing the study have a great deal riding on the result, credibility suffers. We must always be vigilant. But the current, flawed system, in which independent studies are used to test results obtained by someone else, is the best available. As flaws are detected, we can institute reforms. Such reforms should always move in the direction of greater openness and greater accessibility to the raw data from which the conclusions are drawn.
The success of the scientific method relies on the continued existence and prosperity of researchers who relentlessly fit experimental data to theory. The validity of science depends on the survival of the fittists.
I am thankful to David Donoho who, over dinner one evening, told me about the results of a meta-analysis of Chinese medical research, thus instigating the writing of this essay.
You can find this online at http://www.americanscientist.org/issues/num2/the-survival-of-the-fittists/4
© 2016 Sigma Xi, The Scientific Research Society


text:
-snip I don't want to cause a flamewar-
Suddenly Valve's (non-existent) stocks plummet by 500%
Well the video just hit Equestria Daily, so get ready to see a lot of staggeringly obnoxious bronies argue it out with staggeringly belligerent /v/goers in the comments section.
Come on guys, stop overreacting
~love and tolerate~
You know, I could deal with the MLP fandom if it was something remarkable, but it's not, i mean it's on-par with most of the slushy tripe they put onto kids channels all year every year, the animation isn't of amazing quality, the writing is sub-par, The voice acting is steryotypically over-acted kids show voice acting, just, in general, it's mediocre as fuck and the fandom surrounding it is unfounded and will eventually crash and burn like fuck.
You of all people should know that.
Remember when we said this about bronies during its early days?
Remember when we said this about furries?
Remember when we said this about weeaboos?
everytime you make a joke about gabe being a brony he delays HL3
Why do people care if someone likes a television program?
This doesn't affect you in any way shape or form.
For our beloved Gabe, on behalf of the "normal" people of FP:
(User was banned for this post ("Image macro" - postal))
pc gaming has come to an end. im never buying a steam game again, looks like im going to buy all my games again on origin unless the video is fake which it is because gabe has at least 3 more pounds of lovehandle fuck fudk fuck my life is over kill me now
The rest of the interview's pretty interesting, actually, just listening to it now.
So yeah.
Then again, it's not really a fetish, furries just rode the brony thing and brought their porn community with it.
If someone ever has they were trolling.
Regardless, getting off to cartoon horses is definitely worse than slowly killing people and masturbating to it. Okay.
I like the part where I agree with Hybrid and still get rated dumbs... Stay classy, FP.
Here's my response to this whole thing, I guess it just doesn't really matter to me one way or another
EDIT: Also, maybe me dissing the show was a little harsh. I have seen a few episodes now and it just isn't funny to me, I don't know.
I honestly don't give a damn. You can do and watch whatever the hell you want as long as you're not being obnoxiously in my face about it.
Now that I think about it.
I feel bad for people who are sitting on the fence. Really bad.
They have to deal with this shit.


text:
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PlayBook: The Most Wonderful Time of the Year
Welcome everybody, to the best damn three days in sports.
We're going to forgo our usual bad mouthing and banter this week in exchange for a more detailed look at potential playoff scenarios, of which there are many. Seven teams are 7-7 and four more are 8-6. Two are 9-5 and three divisions are still up for grabs coming into the holiday season and the three best damn days in sports. Between football on Saturday, basketball on Sunday, the World Juniors on Monday and a whole host Bowl games on the go, we're going to be bunkered down in sports town for a while.
Let's get to it:
Oakland (+2) over Kansas City
The Chiefs beating the Packers was a freak accident, an unnatural occurrence. Drops from the Packs top line receivers and limited mistakes from a Chiefs team that has made a bundle of them ended a 13-0 run. Before that the Chiefs had managed less on offense in six games than most teams put up in one. At 7-7 Oakland is in the race for both their division and the final AFC wild card spot and they've shown promise with Palmer at the helm. Bet they win this.
Denver (-3) PUSH Buffalo
If you exclude last week's loss to the Pats, the Broncos have won three straight games by exactly three points against teams exactly like Buffalo. We're taking our chances with the push.
Jacksonville (+7.5) over Tennessee
Injuries have downgraded Jacksonville's otherwise spectacular defense to merely an average one, but the Titans got beat by the Colts last week. The then 0-13 Colts. Who are now the 2-13 Colts and in danger of losing the Suck for Luck sweepstakes they've been winning all year.
San Diego (+2.5) over Detroit
Hey everybody, guess what? San Diego is not the terrible six-straight loss team you thought they were and they have a legitimate shot at making playoffs. Here is how it breaks down: Cincy wins this week and loses the next to Baltimore, the Jets drop their last two to the Giants and Dolphins and San Diego dumps the Lions this week to be tied with and playing against Oakland for a 9-7 record and the final playoff spot. Does that sound reasonable to you? They'd win the tie breaker against Cincy. Shit, if the Broncos somehow do drop two straight the Chargers could win the division. Seriously guys, this is the same team we all made fun off three weeks ago.
Pittsburgh (-14) over St. Louis
The jury is still out on Sam Bradford but so is he. Out that is. Kellen Clemens will be taking his place; he is a quarterback who exists and for better or worse, will be playing football this Saturday. Sort of. His primary function will be Steven Jackson's professional ball holder which is just a step up from his personal coat rack. The Steelers are still playing for a division and they'll be playing hard after last week's beating by the Niners.
Philadelphia (+2) over Dallas
The Eagles are still breathing in the NFC East despite a season wrought with inconsistency and underperformance. At 6-8, they're two wins removed from the top spot and can cut that deficit in half with a win against the Cowboys on Saturday. But their fate is not really in their hands; the Giants will have to lose this week and beat the Cowboys in the next and Eagles will have to win both. What we'll get is a three way tie that remarkably the Eagles will win. So much has to go right for the Eagles in a season where so much has already gone wrong. As an aside: our string of incorrectly picking Eagles games continued last week. We're now at 14 incorrect games in a row.
Atlanta (+6.5) over New Orleans
These two teams combined for 83 points last week and the fun will continue in 'Nawlins with the magic number for an NFC playoff spot at ten and Atlanta knocking on the door with nine. No defense here folks, just an old fashioned shootout on the bayou.
Cincinnati (-4) over Arizona
It's about time we talked a little about Andy Dalton, who came into this season with a lot of high profile guys in the industry questioning his ability. Well, he's proven he can control a football game albeit with less flash than others. He can make passes, make plays, has shown a real knowledge of the game and found a bona fide running mate in AJ Green. Dalton alone has brought a team shrouded in mystery in Week One into the fold and vying for a playoff spot. All they need now is for the Jets to lose.
NY Giants (+3) over NY Jets
In fact a lot of teams need the Jets to lose and they will this week against the Giants for the sole reason that no one in Football is prepared to accept a Manning-less postseason. The Giants games are rigged from here on out. Bet them with confidence.
Baltimore (-12.5) over Cleveland
No one likes taking Baltimore to cover this many points but Cleveland is completely incapable of stopping the run. Coming off a loss and playing against a divisional opponent whose bad QB is being replaced by a worse one and whose entire right side of their offense is injured, Baltimore should be ok to cover 12.5.
Minnesota (+6.5) over Washington
There is very little logic behind this pick, just one of those feelings. The Harvin-Ponder-Peterson connection will click.
NFL Quick Slants: Miami (+9.5) over New England, Carolina (-7) over Tampa Bay, San Francisco (-1.5) over Seattle, Green Bay (-12) over Chicago.
NBA Quick Slants: LA Clippers (-5) over Golden State, Orlando (+7.5) over Oklahoma City, Chicago (PK) over LA Lakers, Dallas (+3.5) over Miami, New York (-3.5) over Boston.
Last Week: 10-5-1
Overall: 59-40-3


text:
Well, here's a little bit on my experiences building up my first XL5 Bandit from Traxxas.
First bought her here in West Aus about 2 years ago,($320 AUD here in AUS for an XL5 :O), had a bit of fun with it out front with the kids etc in stock form, she then went away for a little while due to moving house.
Stock bandit with Black chrome wheels and rear Anaconda tire:
Fast forward 2 years and I had got her out of the box again and wanted to use it again.
I found out my stock transmitter for some reason was faulty, so took it to my local hobby store and they replaced it and re programmed the bandit for me.
Having used it again for a week or so I went back to the hobby store, which had recently opened, and checked out the new parts/upgrades available for the Bandit.
Needless to say the path to hopping up the Bandit had begun.
First was the black chrome wheels with the Anaconda street tires! - there's something about the tread that draws me to them!. Lots of grip on the finished bitumen road too.
Next i replaced the wheel hubs with the red bearing fitted, anodised aluminium versions from Traxxas. Not to long after that I bought the Hardened steel rear yokes and then while viewing the Hobbywing EZrun brushless systems in the windows, decided to make the move to a brushless system. So paid for the 4300kv 9T with 35amp esc kit from HW and bought a Venom 2S 5300mah 70/140C high punch Lipo!, my first!.
Video with the new brushless system: [url]http://youtu.be/oI5UORp7DOc[/url]
The first brushless upgrade - which i still have in box:
Photo with some of the above in it:
Got her all together and before taking her out, put in the optional 31T pinion. Still had the stock 76T spur.
Oh man she was fast! ever so much more than the XL5 and Titan set up.
Next came the want to upgrade the transmitter and receiver!, bought a FLYSKY GT3-C initially -locally, and used it maybe 3 times, on the fourth outing i did a run down my street and it rolled to a stop on the main road! eeekk!, ran out there fast before it got flattened by a passing car! lol my heart was beating pretty fast by this time!.
With the Venom 2S and FlySky GT3-C:
Took the car back to the local store and gave the fella the run down on it turning itself off and not coming back on.
Turned out to be a dud transmitter. So paid a little more and bought the Traxxas TQi 4 channel with the iPhone dock. Don't know why I didn't get that the first time!. Back to normal now.
By this time I had found A Main Hobbies! and so began the spending of monies on more aluminium hop ups which included the red anodised castor blocks,(had to drill the bottom A arm hole in the blocks with a 1/8th drill bit to fit the Bandits pins), STRC front shock tower in gun metal, STRC bulkhead in red, red shock caps and all the vxl turn-buckle camber & toe links. Next followed the Traxxas aluminium red steering bell crank and large black RPM front bumper. Also got the traxxas wheelie bar! and a few days later sussed out some red anodised rubber wheels with bearings for it about an hours drive from where i am.
Photo with more hop ups:
Bellcrank photo etc:
Lastly the fibreglass tie rod on the front with the VXL hex head screws and A arm pins.
The front end is very solid and holds very well on the high speed runs on the street.
The Bandit is mainly a Street Bandit now, with the occasional run on the large flat manicured grass ovals from time to time. I swap over to some black wheels with spiked tires for that.
The Grass Cat wheels/tires I call them, photo below - can also see the top vent hole has been cut out, funnels cold air right onto the esc/fan!
I also ordered a Greaves Edition body through my local store but apparently its on back order, so my guess is as good as anybodies as to how long that will take to show up. It will finish the looks off nicely though.
Fast forward 4 weeks and I've gotten used to the new brushless setup on the high punch 2S 5300 lipo. So back through the local store and found the VXL Velineon system there, a lot more money here than buying overseas, eg $260 price tagged on the kit! :O. I had also heard some bad stories on the stock VXl 3s esc and over heating...
Also noticed a nice Hobbywing SCT 4 pole 3656 4000kv 9T motor sitting in the window in its box with the 120amp waterproof ESC and program card. It was reasonably priced and I wanted to go up to a 3 cell lipo so this would be a great choice in my opinion, (for me to run a 3S on my last brushless system i would need to find a 6v line to solder the esc's fan to, so the 11.1v from the 3s wouldn't fry it!)... more stuffing around that i didn't really want to do.
Any how, picked up the next brushless 4 pole 3656 motor and got a great fella to solder the wires on for me and change the battery end to the deans style connector as that's what the Esc had on it already.
Video with the current brushless system as above: [url]http://youtu.be/8JwlCR_6j44[/url]
Photo as she stands now - have also adjusted the shock spacers so she sits lower, helps so she doesn't flip over.
Didn't have the tie bar and turn-buckle toe links on in the above shot, but they're on in the front on suspension shot above more.
Photo of new 3S 5000mah 30/60C Lipo & 120a HW waterproof ESC:
Got the car back home and got her turned on and, Holy mackerel! she moves like a car possessed!, wheelies at any speed and I'm going to need to find a LOT bigger straight of road to run her on!.
Any ways I'm sussing out the Pro-line race transmission now, probably don't need it but hey... its an addiction! lol
Also have a set of 1/8 funny car front skinny wheels/tires coming to try and get fitted to her for speed runs!. Looking at fitting a set of big bore shocks also.
At the end of the day I figure... I don't drink or smoke, so there's a big saving right there that can fund my traxxas habit.
Hope the read wasn't too long for you
Stach (Stanislaw).


text:
Same here.
Have a look at: http://up.picr.de/12361099an.pdf
Chemicals plus nature...
Same here.
Have a look at: http://up.picr.de/12361099an.pdf
Chemicals plus nature...
The study the Bernhard links to is an interesting one...much better than the Pettis study that claimed the same thing (the main difference being that in this study they counted the bees that died, in the Pettis study, dead bees became discarded data).
The biggest problem I have with a study like this is that in the test the bees are deprived of a colony...none of the "bee things" that bees do to keep healthy (eat live cultures of beebread, assimilate the microbial culture of the colony, fly out of doors to deficate, interacting with comb, brood, etc) are available to these bees in a cage.
A human would succumb to many maladies if kept in solitary confinement with no plumbing and no bathing facilitities.
Sometimes the lights all shining on me
Other times I can barely see. -The Grateful Dead
Imagine if bees were "misused"? Would beekeeping be legal in urban areas if frames of brood (and adhering bees, of course) were being dropped on pedestrians from rooftops by gangs? ...if a group of beekeepers decides to encourage swarming in the city (and is successful)?
Of course this is interesting data (to me...I know to you it represents your own loss of bees/time/money/heart)...and thank you for sharing it. To me, however, this represents problems with what farmers in your area are doing than it does problems with specific pesticides....is there a spray they can spray on an open bloom that doesn't hurt bees and is still effective against the target organisms? If not, the problem is not thiacloprid.
Sometimes the lights all shining on me
Other times I can barely see. -The Grateful Dead
Deknow, My point is that the "sub lethal line" is totaly garbage. anything above a 0 could be called that. The LD 50 may not be the best but it is at the moment the standard. If we can scientifically show a better standard great. If we can show decrease mobility at some level fine...... but we have been trowing the term "subleathal dose" around like it means something. it means nothing. worse than nothing.
Mayor Bloomberg says that more than 16 OZ of pop at a time is dangerous and should be regulated.
If we can show or demonstrate a new number cool.... at the moment we have one. lets stick to it, or correct it. not just make stuff up.
Bernard: Would it be correct to assume that because systemic neonic seed coatings aren't legal there in Germany, that farmers are instead controlling pests with various pesticide sprays including Neonic formulations?
"People will generally accept facts as truth only if the facts agree with what they already believe."- Andy Rooney
@Jim: Neonic seed coatings are not forbidden nor banned in Germany. Just for certain crops like corn. In fact: corn. Only. For the next season 2014 it still is in the oilseed rape seed. It pauses from 2015 to 2015 in oilseed rape. It is allowed as a seed coating in sugar beets, asparagus, all sorts of grains....
@Charlie: The problem with sublethal dosages is the damage, that can't be repaired by the body. Even if the damage is very very tiny, not noticeable at first, it sums up over the time until the collapse. It certainly is important to discover when it comes to suppression of the immune system.
@deknow: The stuff got a permission/approval under certain and defined conditions. Which are not defined by practice but theoretically. As experience shows it is simply is not possible to follow the laws. Thiacloprid is approved as a spray in open bloom canola, but it says: spray in the late evening right before sunset. No windy conditions.
It is a joke. A farmer cannot spray only at night with all the work he's got to do. Also it is windy here all year round where I live.
The box says: B4 - which is a category that says it is bee-friendly (completely not dangerous to bees). What do you expect a farmer to think if he reads this? He of course sprays even if he notices bees in the open flowers. "It is B4 - no worries." The thing is, that the stuff is bee friendly if applied under theoretically circumstances. Even clothianidin and other systemics are labeled B4 or B3...because it is layed into the ground...well, the systemic action of the stuff transports it right up into the blossom, which is not of concern for the gov.
There are many beekeepers in Germany that get their bees, honey, wax and pollen tested in
labs and the same or similiar results are obtained all over Germany. It is full of pesticides, stuff that doesn't belong to a natural product as honey is. It is in our drinking water, too, right from the tap!
It does what it is suppose to do to social insects: disoriented&diseased, chemicals+nature finishing the job
It is a simple (and important) question as to whether the application that harmed your bees was done according to the law. The discussion (and solution) is very different depending on the answer.
Any regulation that requires enforcement is one that requires something that isn't currently practiced (at least by those that need to be enforced). Any regulation that requires anyone to change anything is 'defined theoretically'.Which are not defined by practice but theoretically. As experience shows it is simply is not possible to follow the laws.
To cite instances of the law not being followed is not the same thing as demonstrating that it is impossible to follow the law.
It has been many years since I was in Germany, but people I know who were running businesses had much more regulation from the govt than we have here....the question is, is the problem in regulation, or in enforcement?
Is that the sum total of the requirements? If we are going to discuss the legal requirements for something to be used in Germany, it would be helpful to know what all the requirements are.Thiacloprid is approved as a spray in open bloom canola, but it says: spray in the late evening right before sunset. No windy conditions.
I'm sure there are more difficult regulations that farmers in Germany follow than to spray at night.It is a joke. A farmer cannot spray only at night with all the work he's got to do. Also it is windy here all year round where I live.
If it is windy year round and the farmers won't spray at night, is there anything effective that can be used by the farmers that won't kill your bees and taint your product? Isn't this the real issue?
Can you cite what this means specifically?The box says: B4 -...
Data like the data you have presented from such applications are generally lacking. One would think that if they were significant, someone would have been reporting it. ...and please, let's not talk about corn guttation from plants confined to small pots.Even clothianidin and other systemics are labeled B4 or B3...because it is layed into the ground...well, the systemic action of the stuff transports it right up into the blossom, which is not of concern for the gov.
"Full of pesticides" lacks significance. What levels of what pesticides? Compared to what?There are many beekeepers in Germany that get their bees, honey, wax and pollen tested in
labs and the same or similiar results are obtained all over Germany. It is full of pesticides, stuff that doesn't belong to a natural product as honey is. It is in our drinking water, too, right from the tap!
I'm not trying to be confrontational Bernhard, I know you to be thoughtful and intelligent. I'm looking for better data.
Sometimes the lights all shining on me
Other times I can barely see. -The Grateful Dead
It might be helpful to take a base-line of "normal mortality" over the course of the year for various populations of hives, then do an LD-10, LD-20, LD-30,...up to LD-100 over different dosage levels, recording mortality and over-winter mortality/survival rates of all the colonies in the study.
The study would need to be repeated over several years and several locations to show the effect of various wintering conditions in different areas.
Please forgive the following: LD-50 means the Lethal Dose at which 50% of the population dies. I post this just in case anyone else doesn't know it. I use LD-10 to mean a Lethal Dose at which 10 % of a population dies, LD-20 to mean a Lethal Dose at which 20% dies, etc.
I suggest this not for sadistic enjoyment, but for a better understanding of each pesticide, fungicide, or other chemical to which we expose bees. Anyone interested in such a study and willing to help, please make up a few extra colonies and queens, earmarking them for scienctific "sacrifice". We just might get some respect in fighting off this insane, rampant over-use of these chemicals with accurate scientific work published by reputable authority.
Which universities are leading the study efforts? I know Ohio State University, North Carolina State U., Florida State U., Washington State U., and UC Davis all have apiculture programs...who else?
Its an interesting thought to have different levels. I am not opposed. the problem we have now is that there are a lot of what I would refer to as wild claims about sub lethal doses. While there may be some or even a lot of merit to them, we have no ruler what so ever to gauge.
The difficulty now is there are a lot of claims about disorientation at low levels. While I would agree that any of that is bad as it makes it impossible to grow a hive, there is absolutely no way to measure or quantify it. every hive has some bees that "look lost" or mill about or do not return..... To say its from _______ and its a problem is a whole other world of claims.
The claim of of disorientation at lower doses has some merit. An Italian student visiting at the University of California at San Diego reported that sub-lethal doses of imidacloprid caused bees to fly 1.7x farther while under the influence. His experiment had a bee treadmill, a bee super-glued to a wire on a central hinge pin (like a compass needle) with a "stadium" of paper striped so that the bee knew he was making progress forward as he flew. The unexposed bees in the control group flew a certain distance, the exposed group flew 1.7 times farther. It looked kind of hilarious watching a bee, glued to a wire tether, fly around and around those stripes, but it go the point across.
Bernard -
Thank you! Good clarification like that keeps us all on the same page. It helps us to realize that small doses can be fatal to a colony that uses behaviors like the social insects' trademark of labor division in caring for the young vs. foraging, when that colony has multiple stressors and is already close to the brink of destruction. Mites, viruses, nosema apis, nosema ceranae, and other stresses all reduce a colony's chances of survival over a winter. Loss of efficiency at foraging can easily push them over the edge. Trace exposure to fungicides have proven lethal on cold winters following late summer/autumn with low pollen stores. It can get a bit complex, but remember the house that Jack buildt? Sometimes that's what we're dealing with.
An LD50 may not be a good measurement to go by. A variation of the PEL (Permissible Exposure Limit) would be better. I bet it would be far different for such a small creature as compared to a larger sized human, but I am no chemist. When I go out in my civilian job and enforce workplace safety, we do not enforce the LD50, we enforce much higher standards. The LD50 is self defeating. It assumes automatic contamination to begin with. It would be better to develop a PEL type limit for honeybees.
NM desert/mountain beekeeper - Black Mesa Honeybees.
Paul -
That is right on the money - the whole point seems to be to determine what a permissible exposure limit is for the bees. The problem here being that these poisons are meant to kill insects like bees, so the number ZERO comes to mind, but it would not kill the other targeted insects such as the Asian Citrus Psilid. We need a "magic bullet" strategy here that renders target pests harmless and does not harm pollinator insects, a tough order to fill.
Bees in the canola field. Same procedure as last year.
Bees in canola get a yellow mark on their head:
Hoverflies and lots of other insects in the canola, too.


text:
FDA Prohibits Ranbaxy's India Facility From Distributing Drugs to U.S. Markets »
"The U.S. Food and Drug Administration today notified Ranbaxy Laboratories, Ltd., that it is prohibited from manufacturing and distributing active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) from its facility in Toansa, India, for FDA-regulated drug product"...
Read the FDA Prohibits Ranbaxy's India Facility From Distributing Drugs to U.S. Markets article »
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text:
Pavel Bure wrote:Yeah non-participation killed it for the village. Benny was cracking me up cause he's totally into complicated pulling strings means to get to what would otherwise be an easy end. Heck he was upset that I was killing ulf with our last kill. Really really thought THG was the angel do lucky shot at Rylan for us.
Haha, yea, hats off to you for putting up with me. MWB turned out to be a great recruit. I'm really surprised both sides put up with my conveluded ramblings as long as they did.


text: I've got a question for bkers from about MS to NC...Do you guys run 1 deep or two and why? I'm torn...I want the productivity of two deeps, but I don't really want huge hives in an urban area. However with one deep, they may be more inclined to swarm, which is even worse in an urban area...thoughts? I know we have a short but strong flow compared to the rest of the country, so that may be another reason to go with just one deep.


text:
Santa Barbara Boy Climbs to Success
12-year-old heads to the National Rock Climbing Championship next month
SANTA BARBARA, Calif. - It's the place 12-year-old Pablo Hammack feels most at home.
"My dad just took me to the gym and then after that, I just noticed I wanted to do more of it and wanted to get hooked after that," Pablo said.
Rock climbing is a hobby Pablo's been improving at over the last 2 years. His hard work landed him a spot to compete in the USA Climbing National Championships next month in Colorado Springs.
"Just going to just go out, just have fun and hopefully get a good score," Pablo said.
While having fun is a key ingredient to his accomplishments, Pablo's climbing team coach Michael O'Connor at Santa Barbara Rock Gym said his hard work combined with his talent is what makes him stronger every day.
"He's climbing grades that you won't see more than a handful of kids climbing at this age," O'Connor said. "And right off the bat you can see he's that much better."
Pablo said what goes into making a good rock climber is a combination of core strength, upper body strength, good technique, and determination.
Pablo added the best factor in his success comes from his #1 fans: his proud parents.
"He has so much time in his life to carve out his own path," said his mother, Danielle. "We just support him in whatever he chooses."
Pablo said he also encourages any child with a goal and dream to simply "reach" for the stars.
"Just go for it," Pablo said. "Just climb. Just climbing itself gets your stronger and just keep at it."
For more information on rock climbing: http://sbrockgym.com/