text: Browsing: Crime Related News 20 hours ago 0 Comments for this article Man steals $24k Gucci purse by stuffing it under shirt A police report says surveillance video shows a man walking into the local Gucci Store on Feb. 17 carrying what looks like a cane and heading straight to a yellow crocodile skin purse. Read More 24 hours ago 0 Comments for this article Police: Charlotte teen shot after argument at house party Authorities are investigating the death of an 18-year-old high school student shot after an argument at a Charlotte house party. Read More 1 day ago 0 Comments for this article Whiteville man accused of child sex crimes A Whiteville man is accused of multiple sex crimes against a 12-year-old child. Read More Play Video » 2 days ago 2 Comments for this article Woman helps officer in fight by jumping on suspect's back A Louisiana woman is being hailed as a hero after police say she saw an officer struggling with a suspect and jumped on the man's back to help the officer subdue him. Read More 2 days ago 1 Comments for this article Teen who caused fatal crash pleads guilty, victim's family forgives him A 19-year-old pleaded guilty for a deadly crash in February 2016 that sent a vehicle into a pond in Shallotte. Read More Play Video » 2 days ago 0 Comments for this article Troopers: Coach drives school bus wrong way down highway South Carolina troopers say a Goose Creek High School coach has been charged with driving under the influence after officers saw him drive the team bus the wrong way down a highway. Read More Play Video » 2 days ago 0 Comments for this article Supply man sentenced for 2014 murder A Supply man is going to prison for 14 to 15 years after pleading guilty this morning to a 2014 murder. Read More Play Video » 2 days ago 0 Comments for this article Murder suspect makes first court appearance The man arrested for the murder of Montreal Holmes earlier this month made his first appearance in court this morning. Read More Play Video » 01020304Last


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Is this restaurant good for business meetings?
Can a vegetarian person get a good meal at this restaurant?
Can a gluten free person get a good meal at this restaurant?
Is this restaurant good for breakfast?
Can a vegan person get a good meal at this restaurant?
Does this restaurant specialize in Halal food?
Is this a Kosher restaurant?
Is this restaurant good for special occasions?
Does this restaurant have a TV?
Does this restaurant have private dining rooms?
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I can elaborate only on the set menu, it was well executed, tasteful and not least important - French.
Went for dinner as they have a nice terasse, menu looked good.
bad service, bad food, ordered a 1/2 portion of pasta , never got it, told the chef does what they want !!!!! charged full portion, nobody to check on the customer , order prawns skewer on rice, nice prawns but the rice was stone cold. They didn't care...
We arrived here tired and hungry and were greeted by a friendly face. The menu had two of my favourite dishes - hot goats cheese salad (probably the best one I have had) and a magret de canard. The food was well presented and delicious.
Nice place for a good dinner, friendly waiters and tasty food, choosen from several items in the list. All of us were satisfied, need to improve the wine selection, but it is only a detail.
Definitely not a bad meal but not a truly memorable one either. Had a nice night all the same and would probably return if we wanted to eat fairly affordably and try some other menu items. Nice location on the seafront.
We were in La Ciotat and had dinner at La Grotte. Dinner was delicious. My husband and the other couple we were with ordered their Soupe De Poissons and they all said it was delicious. Their Salmon Entree and Fish Entrees were delicious. Their Chocolate Cake was amazing with a toasted coconut on the sides! Great first dinner in the...
great food and great prices, the four cheese pizza was superb, and there suggested wine for each meal was excellent
After a hot beach day, we decided to try for a late lunch La Grotte restaurant. We ended up eating the menu de jour which was an excellent choise. For the starter we had jambon e melon (air-dried ham with melon) and for the main course we had steak with grilled potatoes. Both dishes were very tasty. Our son had...
We were here on business and had a reason to celebrate on a Tuesday when many of the local restaurants were closed. The decor could use some work, but the food and service were very good. No complaints.
We took the 20 EUR menu and all courses were relly good. We had tomato tartare (actually a salad), sea salad (with sea snails), salmon, duck, mousse au chocolat and the tiramisu - all of them very delicious and recommendable. The service was friendly but was a bit too busy from time to time. Even though the heaters were running...
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EVINE Live | Company Profile, Marketing Contacts, Media Spend, Brands
ValueVision Media, headquartered in Eden Prairie, MN, is owns and operates ShopNBC, a multi-channel, electronic retailer operating with a premium lifestyle brand. The company sells general merchandise to consumers through television and the Internet.
|Main Telephone
|(952) 943-6000
|Main Fax
|(952) 943-6711
EVINE Live ContactsContacts (5/7)
|Bob R.
|Chairman & Interim Chief Executive Officer
Sample of Associated Brands
|Nicole O.
|Executive Vice President & Chief Marketing Officer
|Sunil V.
|Chief Digital Officer
|Jean S.
|Senior Vice President, Special Projects, Sales Planning & Programming
|Thomas K.
|Vice President, eCommerce
Media Spend
Associated Brands
|Media Spend
|ValueVision Media, Inc.
|EVINE Live
Recent Discussions
Who is the Chairman & Interim Chief Executive Officer of EVINE Live?
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Account in Jeopardy Update: No. 21 E-commerce company Evine Live names CMO amid rebrand (Score 80)
Update (4/15): Evine Live has named Penny Burnett as its CMO and SVP. Burnett joins from Global Brands Group, where she served as VP of merchandising. Evine recently began a rebranding initiative, designed to position the company as a digital commerce company (more below). Reach out to Burnett now as she asses the marketing strategy and puts new plans in place that will fit with the company's long-term goals. The new CMO appointment pushes Evine from a 72 to an 80 in our agency new business predictive analysis model, jumping from No. 75 to No. 21 on our Vulnerable Account Index (VAI)
Subject: digital, TV, social media, online, mobile
Company: EVINE Live, formerly ValueVision Media, is a digital commerce company that operates as ShopHQ. ShopHQ is a 24/7 interactive digital shopping and entertainment experience known for its TV home shopping and online retail platforms.
Originally ran 1/16/15:
Opportunity: After a rebranding that has taken place over the last few months, EVINE Live has named Wade Gerten as VP of digital. In his new role, Gerten will oversee the online, mobile and social media teams, as well as the marketing and creative teams. EVINE CEO Mark Bozek, to whom Gerten will report, said: 'The addition of Wade and his relevant expertise will lead the reshaping of our digital platforms for all that comes next." Gerten's experience includes founding 8thBridge (a social discovery platform) and serving as CMO of Fluid (which acquired 8thBridge in 2014).
Additional Insight
Rebranding: EVINE announced in November that it would undergo a complete rebranding (as EVINE Live) planned to take place during the first half of 2015. The name change (and rebranding) are all part of a long-term goal to become a true digital commerce company. Moving into 2015, EVINE will focus on all things digital and will tout the "ease, exclusivity and energy of this new entertaining consumer experience."
Another reason to change the name is to end the shopping network's brand confusion. "We believe that fully embracing this new transformation will enable EVINE Live to forge new paths and new relationships that allow us to be far more competitive, far more creative, and far more disruptive on all our platforms," Bozek said in a prepared statement. In the Q3 earnings report, he refered to the rebranding as "not just changing the cover on the book," but as an entirely new chapter for the now digital-focused company.
Competitors: EVINE Live is a distant third in the home shopping market, falling behind HSN and QVC.
Chief Strategy Officer: Along with the name change and rebranding announcement, Bozek also name Russell Nuce as the digital company's chief strategy officer. Note that Bozek is also a relatively new hire – he took over as CEO in June 2014.
Media Spend: According to Kantar Media, ValueVision's media spend for 2013 was $392,575
EVINE Live
6740 Shady Oak Rd.
Eden Prairie, MN 55344
(952) 943-6000
Wade Gerten
Chief Digital Officer
(952) 943-6000
Russell Nuce
Chief Strategy Officer
(952) 943-6000
Carol Ott
Director, Online Marketing & Analytics
(952) 943-6000


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A 51-year-old man has become the first person in the UK to have a hand transplant with a pioneering eight-hour operation.
Mark Cahill, from Halifax, underwent the long, complex procedure at Leeds General Infirmary last week.
The surgical team, which was led by Professor Simon Kay, an internationally renowned microsurgeon who has reattached dozens of partially severe hands, are thought to have made history by becoming the first to remove a recipient's non-functioning right-hand and transplanting the donor hand in the same surgery.
About 60 hand transplants have been carried out successfully worldwide but this procedure allowed for more accurate restoration of nerve structures, and greater chance of success. This is a potentially critical improvement, as the first man to have a hand transplant later needed it to be removed. But the new feat is not without drawbacks. The patient must take immunosuppressant drugs for life, increasing the risk of cancer and infection in the host.
The Yorkshire-based team of surgeons had been planning the procedure since December 2011. Potential patients went through a series of health checks and psychological assessment to ensure they have carefully considered the implications of the procedure, which whittled down the candidates to just two, a spokesman for the hospital said. Mr Cahill, who was one of the two potential recipients, suffered from gout from an early age, leaving one hand completely non-functioning and another with only partial movement. The spokesman said that he is already able to move his fingers.
"The team was on standby from the end of November awaiting a suitable donor limb, and the call came just after Christmas," Professor Kay said. "It is still early days but indications are good and the patient is making good progress."
For two years the team has been working closely with the NHS Blood and Transplant authority and colleagues in Lyon, France, where the first hand transplant was completed in 1998.
The NHS Blood and Transplant authority paid tribute to the family of the donor and said 10,000 people are currently waiting for a transplant of some sort in the UK.
- More about:
- Cancer
- Health
- Higher Education
- Psychology
- Surgery
- Yorkshire


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It was the court the greats wanted to avoid, the graveyard of champions. Out of the ashes of the famous old No 2 Court has risen the all-new No 3 Court — but a crushing defeat for Katie O'Brien, of Great Britain, may not have been the christening the organisers had in mind.
The glossy 2,000-seat arena — which was modelled on the new No 2 Court — was opened by Prince Michael of Kent shortly before noon yesterday after two years of work. As with the old No 2 Court, it sits directly beneath the players' restaurant and the clinking of glasses


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Psalm 106The Voice (VOICE)
Psalm 106
1 Praise the Eternal!
4 Remember me, O Eternal One, when You show kindness to Your people;
Psalm 106 was composed during the exile offering a historical review of the ways God's people rebelled against Him. It is a fitting closure to Book Four of Psalms. After this liturgy of failure on the part of the people, the psalmist cries out in thanksgiving for God's faithfulness and in the final verse proclaims praise "from everlasting to everlasting."
6 Like our ancestors, we have sinned;
13 But it didn't take long for them to forget what He had done.
16 While they were camped in the desert, some began to be jealous of Moses
19 The people made a golden calf in Horeb
24 At the edge of the beautiful land God had promised them,
28 Then they aligned themselves with the god of Peor,
32 Again they stirred up His anger at the waters of Meribah,
34 Later, after they entered the promised land, they did not eradicate the peoples,
40 Therefore the Eternal's anger was ignited against His people;
47 Save us, O Eternal One our God,
48 Blessed be the Eternal, the God of Israel,
The Voice (VOICE)
The Voice Bible Copyright © 2012 Thomas Nelson, Inc. The Voice™ translation © 2012 Ecclesia Bible Society All rights reserved.
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Poll: Hair Stylist or Barber? (156 votes)
Hey duders,
So i just had my hair cut today (left it waaay too long) and it sort of dawned on me while en route that i had never gone to a regular ass barber before. Growing up my parents always took me to their stylist and i just sort of continued with him into my adult life, it's a bit pricey but the man can do a darn good cut. So i was just wondering, how does the giantbomb community go about maintaining their manes? Do you go to a stylist or barber? Or do you cut it by some other means?


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So what is Severfield's secret? For a start, the company is the UK's biggest player with 16 per cent of the market and no near rival. Its size means it is winning larger and increasingly international contracts with blue-chip players like Siemens - in the period, 27 per cent of core business sales were exports. And as a bigger player it can keep raw material costs low, buying in bulk from British Steel. Moreover, as the strong pound squeezes weaker exporters out, Severfield continues to take share.
Severfield's defining quality, though, is a ruthless attention to efficiency. Compared with the industry average of nine man hours taken to process a tonne of steel, Severfield can do the job in five. John Severs, MD, aims for four.
That is good news for margin prospects at Rowen. New production processes have already raised Rowen's returns from 1.6 per cent at acquisition to 5per cent. As a more specialist, designer fabricator, Rowen's margins may not match group returns of nearly 10 per cent, but there is clearly room for improvement.
The one black spot is lossmaking Manabo, which specialises in chain-mail gloves and knife washers to improve food hygiene. Escalating mad cow costs have, ironically, left customers with no money to spend on upgrading their food hygiene equipment. With legislation enforcing new hygiene standards looking remote, Manabo should be sold.
House broker Hoare Govett forecasts pounds 8m this year and pounds 10.3 for 1998. The shares, down 3p to 491.5p, are on a still tempting prospective rating of 18 this year and 14 times the next.
- More about:
- Food
- Hygiene
- Mergers And Acquisitions
- Siemens


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Space Victor Heights
Space Victor Heights is situated in Mumbai. This project provides all amenities that a contemporary property buyer would wish to have. Space Victor Heights is a part of the suburban area of Vasai West. Vasai West is linked to neighboring localities by wide roads. inhabitants of the locality have easy access to community facilities like schools, colleges, hospitals, recreational areas and parks. The facilities inside the project are well designed.
Units and Interiors:
Readily available housing options here include apartments of various dimensions. The area of Units available in this project varies from 1020 sq.ft. to 1690 sq.ft. Space Victor Heights floor plan provides best utilization of the space. From stylish flooring to airy balconies, standard kitchen size and superior-quality accessories, every little detail here gives it an appealing appearance. The master plan of Space Victor Heights includes a large number of desirable amenities that collectively guarantee a serene way of living. Fenced playground has been provided for children. Complete electric supply has been provided with complete security via high-quality cables and PVC conduits. Security is certainly a prime concerns while purchasing an house. Owing to its safety provisions, Space Victor Heights is a charming dwelling for you and your loved ones.
Space Construction is an AVERAGE builder. It has 2 on-going projects with total inventory value of N/A
This project has minimal amenities and hence is recommended for location which has high accessibility and high lifestyle ratings.
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Rs. 58.32 Lac Onwards
Apartments @ Bommanahalli, Bangalore
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Holiday Socks
Every holiday is a sock holiday! Decorate your feet in fuzzy Christmas socks, complete your costume with fun Halloween stockings, or order groomsmen socks for the wedding. Joy of Socks has crazy, funky, and even serious socks for every holiday and special occasion from Valentine's Day to birthdays. Check out our latest collections.
American Flag Socks (Men's)
King Size Unmatched Vintage Stars and Stripes Socks (Men's)
Out of stock
Big Smiley Face Socks (Men's)
Special Price $7.98
Regular Price: $8.75
Music Socks (Men's)
Out of stock


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Located in Magaluf, Hotel HSM Don Juan is next to Globo Balear Theatre and Pirates Adventure Show. This 182-room, 3-star hotel has free breakfast, an outdoor pool, and free self parking. Lollipops Childrens Party Venue and Adventure Play Area and Sol Wave House are a short walk away.
Free breakfast is included with your stay. Enjoy a leisurely bite to eat at the onsite restaurant, or have a drink at the bar/lounge.
All of Hotel HSM Don Juan's 182 air-conditioned rooms provide balconies, phones, and desks. Guests can expect WiFi and TVs with cable channels.
Property features
Guests of Hotel HSM Don Juan have access to an outdoor pool, a children's pool, and free WiFi in public areas. If you drive, take advantage of free parking. Multilingual staff at the 24-hour front desk can assist with dry cleaning/laundry, tours or tickets, and luggage storage. This hotel also has a terrace.
- Free breakfast
- Free WiFi in public areas
- Free parking
- Onsite dining
Hotel HSM Don Juan
Hotel Amenities
Hotel Amenities
Hotel HSM Don Juan features an outdoor pool and a children's pool. The hotel offers a restaurant. Guests can unwind with a drink at one of the hotel's bars, which include a poolside bar and a bar/lounge. Guests can enjoy a complimentary breakfast. High-speed wireless Internet access is complimentary.
This Calvia hotel also offers a terrace, tour/ticket assistance, and multilingual staff. Onsite self parking is complimentary.
- 24-hour front desk
- Supervised childcare/activities (free)
- Total number of rooms - 182
- Number of floors - 7
- Bar/lounge
- Free breakfast
- Dry cleaning/laundry service
- Elevator/lift
- Billiards or pool table
- Tours/ticket assistance
- Free WiFi
- Multilingual staff
- Terrace
- Poolside bar
- Luggage storage
- Restaurant
- Free self parking
- Year Built 1970
- Pool sun loungers
- Number of buildings/towers - 1
- Supervised childcare/activities
- Children's pool
- Outdoor pool
Family Friendly Amenities
- Family Hotel
- Outdoor pool
- Children's pool
- Supervised childcare/activities (free)
- Free Wi-Fi
- Cribs/infant beds (complimentary)
Available in all rooms: Wireless internet access ( EUR 4 per day )
Available in some public areas: Free WiFi
Free self parking
Room Amenities
Hotel HSM Don Juan offers 182 accommodations with air conditioning. Rooms open to balconies. Televisions come with cable channels. Bathrooms include bathtubs or showers.
This Calvia hotel provides wireless high-speed Internet access for a surcharge. Business-friendly amenities include desks and phones. Housekeeping is provided daily.
- Balcony
- Air conditioning
- In-room climate control (air conditioning)
- Phone
- Daily housekeeping
- Private bathroom
- Bathtub or shower
- Desk
- Television
- In-room safe (surcharge)
- Cable TV service
- WiFi (surcharge)
- Free cribs/infant beds
Where to Eat
A complimentary breakfast is offered.
This hotel has a restaurant serving breakfast and dinner.
Nearby Things to Do
An outdoor pool and a children's pool are on site.
The recreational activities listed below are available either on site or nearby; fees may apply.
- Golfing nearby
- Scuba diving nearby
- Water skiing nearby
- Scooter/moped rentals nearby
- Bicycle rentals on site
- Boat tours nearby
Hotel Policies
Check-in time starts at 2 PM
Check-in time ends at midnight
Check-out time is noon
Payment types
Children and extra beds
- Children are welcome.
- Free cribs (infant beds)!
- No pets or service animals allowed
You need to know
Extra-person charges may apply and vary depending on property policy.
Government-issued photo identification and a credit card or cash deposit are required at check-in for incidental charges.
Special requests are subject to availability upon check-in and may incur additional charges. Special requests cannot be guaranteed.
No rollaway/extra beds available
No pets or service animals allowed
- A tax is imposed by the city: EUR 1.10 per person, per night. This tax does not apply to children under 16 years of age.
Optional extras
- Fee for in-room wireless Internet: EUR 4 per day (rates may vary)
- In-room safe fee: EUR 15 per stay
Hotel Name
- Don Juan Hotel HSM
- Don Juan HSM
- Don Juan HSM Hotel
- Hotel HSM Don Juan
- Hotel HSM Don Juan Calvia
- HSM Don Juan
- HSM Don Juan Calvia
- HSM Don Juan Hotel
- Don Juan Magalluf
- Hotel HSM Don Juan Magaluf, Majorca
We should mention
Cash transactions at this property cannot exceed EUR 2500, due to national regulations. For further details, please contact the property using information in the booking confirmation. No pets and no service animals are allowed at this property.


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Wednesday, February 22, 2017
Please Say Something Nabs Cartoon D'Or in Norway
David O'Reilly's acclaimed short Please Say Something was selected as the winner of the Cartoon D'Or Award at the 20th Edition of the Cartoon Forum event, held in ... Continue Reading →
Please Say Something Nabs Cartoon D'Or in Norway
David O'Reilly's acclaimed short Please Say Something was selected as the winner of the Cartoon D'Or Award at the 20th Edition of the Cartoon Forum event, held in ... Continue Reading →
Academy to Examine Editing for Animation
The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences' Perspectives on Editing seminar series turns its focus to animation for a one-night event set for Sept. 29. Hosting the event ... Continue Reading →
Animag's Perfect Pitch, Part 2: The Execs Strike Back!
After Butch Hartman's keynote speech, Animation Magazine's Perfect Pitch seminar took a look at the other side of the table with a panelist of animation executives. Joining ... Continue Reading →
Animag's Perfect Pitch, Part 1 ' Hartman Speaks!
Butch Hartman, creator of the hit animated series The Fairly OddParents and Danny Phantom, looked out at attendees of Animation Magazine's 'How to Create a Winning Animation ... Continue Reading →
Annies Announce Minor Tweaks, Oct. 16 Deadline
The call for entries has gone out for the 37th annual Annie Awards ' which this year will see some changes to the rules. The Annies, which are presented by ASIFA-Hollywood and ... Continue Reading →
Tech Pioneers Kirk, Rekimoto to Address SIGGRAPH ASIA
David Kirk, a leading scientist and multi-award winner in the field of graphic-technology, and Jun Rekimoto, the founding director of the Interaction Laboratory within the Sony Computer ... Continue Reading →
Tickets Still Available for Animag's Create a Winning Pitch!
Got a great idea for an animated series, but don't know how to pitch it so perfectly that TV execs will be falling over themselves to buy it, or even where to start in the pitching ... Continue Reading →
Wizarding World of Harry Potter Set for Universal Orlando
The Wizarding World of Harry Potter is getting ready to cast a spell over Florida. The one-of-a-kind experience, which will recreate the world the boy wizard inhabits in both the books ... Continue Reading →
D23: Depp On Pirates 4, Zemeckis Remakes Yellow Sub
Johnny Depp has signed on to star in a fourth Pirates of the Caribbean movie, delivering the news directly to Disney fans at the studio's first ever D23 fan event in Anaheim, ... Continue Reading →


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To the Editor In a single-center randomized clinical trial, Dr Patel and colleagues reported that the use of a helmet instead of a face mask to provide NIV to patients with ARDS led to an absolute decrease in the intubation rate of 43.3%.1 The authors suggested that the higher level of positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP) sustained throughout the use of NIV and the higher ventilator fresh gas flow (to prevent co2 rebreathing) in the helmet group may explain the reduction in the intubation rate. There was however a discrepancy between the magnitude of outcome reduction and the modest difference in the levels of PEEP between helmet (8.0 cm H2O) and face mask groups (5.1 cm H2O).
Carteaux G, De Prost N, Mekontso Dessap A. Face Mask vs Helmet for Noninvasive Ventilation. JAMA. 2016;316(14):1496. doi:10.1001/jama.2016.13843
© 2017


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- ITV Report
- ITV Report
Farewell to Trogg's singer
- ITV Report
Grant of £4.5m for music
Live updates
- ITV Report
Rock legend Greg Lake dies at 69
Former King Crimson frontman Greg Lake, who was born in Poole, has died from cancer aged 69.Read the full story ›
Sussex inventor's tiny revolution 'could save rock stars' ears'
They're a small firm from Sussex that make stadium-filling speakers used by rock legends like Jimmy Page and Jarvis Cocker.
But their latest innovations aren't giant devices designed to destroy your ears - but tiny ones to protect them.
Andy Dickenson explains with the help of Flare inventor Davies Roberts, Roscomac managing director Joseph Martello, and founding member of the Art of Noise, Gary Langan.
Why learning maths should be music to your ears
Now, it's not often we say that learning maths is music to our ears, but for the pupils of one primary school in Kent, that's exactly what it is. Teachers and children from Newington Community Primary School in Ramsgate have banded together to make statistics, screens and songs the perfect learning tool. Andrea Thomas explains.
- Tom Savvides
Historical instruments go under the hammer at auction
Historic musical instruments costing more than half a million pounds are to go under the hammer at an auction like no other in Newbury. The pieces are being sold by Finchcocks Museum in Goudhurst near Tunbridge Wells, which closed at the end of last year. Tom Savvides has been to see what's on offer, ahead of the big sale next month.
Finchcocks musical museum to close
They've been used by royalty and have featured in costume dramas but some instruments, dating back hundreds of years, are to be auctioned off.
The world-famous musical museum Finchcocks near Goudhurst in Kent is set to close with the historic building being sold off.
Tom Savvides joined the last guided tour before the museum closes at the end of the year.
Music fans arrive for Reading Festival
It's that time again - Reading Festival is back for 2015 and more than 90,000 people are expected in Reading over the weekend. Campers started to arrive at the site in Richfield Avenue on Wednesday although the vast majority of weekend ticket holders joined to queue on Thursday ahead of the three days of live music.
Wilderness is 'the new breed of festival'
It's that time of year again - the festival season is upon us. And if you picture muddy fields, shabby tents and the great unwashed, you might be surprised to find a new breed of festivals catering to the more genteel side of things.
This weekend marks the fifth Wilderness Festival in Oxfordshire. And if you fancy sherry tasting, feasts, and clean toilets along with the music, this one's for you. Sam Holder has been along to see the preparations.
Music lessons with a difference!
The late, great Jimi Hendrix once said, "If there is something to be changed in this world, then it can only happen through music."
And he wasn't wrong, because music is being used to help improve children's learning at one girls school in Reading.
Mel Bloor has been to find out how.
Ashford's new bandstand is music to the town's ears
Ashford's on the up. That was the message coming out of the town loud and clear today, as a new look bandstand was unveiled. It's being used as a sheltered venue to showcase the thriving local music scene. The farmers' market has been drawing the crowds as well. Andrea Thomas reports. She spoke to events co-ordinator Dan Fairhurst, photographer Lewis Brockway and Rachel Heather, who's the farmers' market manager.
Pub landlord: Ed Sheeran's performance was amazing
Pub landlord Dan Friend, who enjoyed a private performance of Thinking Out Loud, when Ed Sheeran popped into his pub for a drink, said the singer was amazing.
He released the video this week, of the star's spontaneous performance at the Surrey Cricketers in Windlesham.
It was filmed on the night Ed finished recording the song, which is now battling for number one in the charts.
Mr Friend said: "The studio is around the corner and he'd just finished recording the album he just released, so he came in for the evening to celebrate and he had a couple of drinks."
"He decided to play my wife and I a couple of songs. It was amazing," he added.


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Balanitis can be caused due to poor hygiene, infection with candida (thrush), bacterial infections, certain sexually transmitted infections, skin irritation and certain skin conditions such as psoriasis. Therefore, treatment depends on what is causing your condition. Most cases respond well to treatment.
Treatment for some of the most common causes of balanitis is given below.
Skin irritation
Skin irritation is the most common cause of balanitis in boys. Skin can become irritated due to poor hygiene or exposure to certain substances. Balanitis caused due to skin irritation is treated with topical corticosteroid (steroid cream or ointment). You will be advised to apply the cream to the head of your penis once or twice a day until the symptoms resolve. The medication should not be used for more than 14 days in a row as steroids (even when used locally) can cause side-effects such as itchy skin and a skin rash.
Some potential irritants that can cause balanitis include soap and shower gel, bubble baths, baby wipes, latex condoms, lubricants, antiseptics and hygiene sprays. If you have symptoms suggestive of balanitis, it is important to avoid using soaps and other potential irritants. Furthermore, ensure that the head of your penis and your foreskin do not become soiled with urine after you urinate.
Fungal infection
If fungal infection is suspected as a possible cause of balanitis, you will be prescribed either an antifungal cream such as imidazole or an oral antifungal medication (tablet or capsule) such as fluconazole.
Fluconazole is not prescribed for children younger than 16 years. Some of the common side-effects of fluconazole include headache, skin rash, nausea (feeling sick), vomiting (being sick), abdominal pain and diarrhoea. People with severe or troublesome symptoms may be prescribed a seven-day course of a topical corticosteroid (as cream or ointment).
Bacterial infection
If bacterial infection is suspected as the cause of balanitis, you will be prescribed a seven-day course of oral antibiotics (antibiotic tablets or capsules). Most people with balanitis are given an antibiotic called amoxicillin. People allergic to penicillin will be prescribed erythromycin or clarithromycin. Some common side-effects of antibiotics are skin rash, nausea and vomiting, diarrhoea and abdominal pain. People with severe or troublesome symptoms may be prescribed a seven-day course of a topical corticosteroid (as cream or ointment).
Apart from the above mentioned treatment, an important step for management of balanitis includes keeping the head of the penis and foreskin clean and dry. This is useful for the prevention of infection as well. Cleaning the area daily while bathing is necessary to prevent infection. Most types of balanitis respond to treatment in seven days. If your symptoms do not improve after a week of treatment, consult your doctor as you may require an alternative treatment.
Balanitis is a condition leading to swollen foreskin in the penis area.read more
Balanitis is an inflammation or swelling of the glans penis (head of the penis).read more


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Sell Johnson Wedge Wire Well Screen
Posted at: Offers to Sell and Export | Posted on: Thu 10 Jun, 2010 1:02 am | Targeted Countries: Sudan | Syria | Russia
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produce name: v wire water well screens, wire wrapped screens pipe, Johnson Screen, spiral screen tube,
welded wedge wire screen, reversed slot screen, continuous slot pre-pack, water filter, screen cylinders, stainless steel slot tube, reverse rolled screen, strainer pipe, continous slot wire wrap well screens, pipe base well screen, ribbed-type wire wrapped screen, stainlss steel or low carbon galvanized or mild steel wire screen, wire wrapped liner, woven wedge wire screen, slot wire screen tube, conical well screen, Suction strainers, strainer screens, wide slit screens, well point screens, PPS screen, oil screen tube
Wedge Wire screen cylinders can be designed with slot openings and wires running radially on the outside surface of the screen cylinder (above left) or they can be positioned axially on the inside of the cylinder (above right)
Screen cylinders are manufactured in various diameters from 1/2" pipe size to 35" diameter. Screen cylinders (above right) can be fabricated into larger diameters. Each intersection of wedge wire and support rod is welded for strength and durability.Various wedge wire and support rod combinations can be used to produce the bestscreen design.
Rotary Screens typically use wedgewire for the screening media. The above externally fed unit has a spiral wound wedgewire screen drum 36" OD x 120" long.
Technical specification :
1.5", 2", 3", 4", 6", 8", 10", 12", 14"
0.15, 0.25, 0.50, 0.75, 1.00, 1.50, 2.00, 3.00
6 Mts. & 3 Mts.
Different grades suitable for tube well depths upto300 ft., 600 ft., 900 ft. and 1500 ft.
Low Carbon Galvanized Steel ( LCG ) andStainless Steel ( SS-304 )
End Connection
Plain beveled ends for butt welding or threaded.
Company Contact:
Contact Name: Miss Anne Gu
Company Name: Anping Heng Yuan Water Well Screens Product Co., Ltd
Tel: 0086-0-13653289943 or 86-318-7565918
Fax: 0086-0318-7565919
Street Address: Wire Mesh Industrial
Zone, Anping County, Hengshui City,
Hebei Province, China 053600
Member name: aphengyuanwire
Member Since: 10 June 2010
Total Leads:
15 aphengyuanwire Import Export Business Leads
Business focus: V Wire Water Well Screen, Johnson Specialty Screens, Wire Wrapped Screen, Spiral Screen Tube, Strainer Pipe, Continous Slot Wedge Wire Screen, Filters
Safe Import Export Tips
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text: My sister goes to McAlister a couple times a week.We went Feb 9th 2017.I my sister had their famous delicious Reuben piled high with corned beef. I ordered a half a club and a cup of soup. Oh my goodness, it was so spicy hot my jaws were burning. They were very accommodating and let me choose another soup. Thank... 更多


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Excellent family home located in quiet sought after `Northglen` Whitby / Oshawa border area.
The open concept kitchen family room features oak cabinets, hardwood floors, built in`s, garden door to deck and large yard.
You also find a separate formal dining room and welcoming foyer.
The upper level offers up 4 spacious bedrooms, master with walk in closet and semi ensuite bath.
The cozy front porch allows you to sit back and enjoy the mature treed landscape.
Minutes to shopping, golf and train. Excellent valueat $329,900. Call for a viewing today.


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THE OVERLAY NETWORKS WITH VIRTUAL RESOURCES NEED NEW FORMS OF MONITORING Jiri Navratil, Tomas Kosnar, Jan Furman, Tomas Mrazek, Vojtech Krmicek CESNET
Create playground for network engineers and other scientists who need experimental network s for testing new designs, proof new concepts and idea needed for Future Internet Main feature: Main goal: Each group of users should play in FEDERICA independently, fully separated from other players
You have to know well the system which you want to monitor, measure, manage Motto:
From https://wiki.fp7-federica.eu/bin/view/SA1/Sa1Deliverable Federica.eu as ibm.com or hp.com
Virtualization helps us make a identical copies Virtualization helps us make a identical copies Virtualization helps us make a identical copies Virtualization helps us make a identical copies
How we can achieve this ?
Typical site infrastructure From https://wiki.fp7-federica.eu/bin/view/SA1/Sa1Deliverable Core POP Non Core POP Via virtual networks Via virtual nodes
a/ Multiply nodes b/ Allocate new nodes to slices (users playgrounds)
c/ Create new networks
Slice centric (users) Node centric (node managers) Physical centric (FEDERICA NOC)
Physical level - Basic Orientation Map (based on SNMP)
Tools available from SNMP Last 24 hours week months
FEDERICA Host reachability RTT
FEDERICA core VLAN-114 Uplink VLAN-111 VLAN-113 VLAN-112 Site A Site C Site B Site D Practical Slicing Making new networking substrate in selected Vnodes Example for two slices with different network structure Star network: A-D, A-C, A-B (VLAN 101,102,103) Circle network: A-D-B-C-A (VLAN 111,112,113,114) VLAN-103 VLAN-101 VLAN-102 Uplink 802.1q Uplink
Variability in FEDERICA sites Location of MP - Measuring points / edges Slice-8 Slice-1 Ext. Switch JUNIPER MX/EX 104 Slice-3 Ports Uplink Vnode (ESXi Server) vmnic physical Eth. adapters VSwitch-1 VSwitch-3 VNIC (max 4 for VM) OR VSwitch-2 Mgmt.. network 112 VLANsVLANs Networking virtual infrastructure Tagging ends in ext. switches 802.1Q trunk Slice-8 Slice-1 Slice-3 Vnode (ESXi Server) VNIC (max 4 for VM) VSwitch-1 VNIC Networking virtual infrastructure VMware virtual infrastructure Tagging ends in Vswitches Ext. Switch JUNIPER MX/EX 104 Uplink VLANsVLANs vmnic physical Eth. adapters 802.1Q trunk Mgmt.. network Vmware MPs VMware virtual infrastructure SNMP MP eth0 eth1 eth0 This solution has limit in # of VMNICThis solution has no practical limit (due to VMWARE variability) VM
Vmware networking infrastructure opens high variability
11 Slice-8 Slice-1 Ext. Switch ESXi Server FEDERICA core VLAN-113 VLAN-114 Slice-3 Ports Uplink ESXi Server VLAN Slice-8 Slice VLAN-111 VLAN-114 VLAN-113 VLAN Site A Site C Site B Site D Slice-1 Slice-4 Configuration example when tagging ends on external switches (Slices appear and disappear - mapping problem) Slice-3 vmnic Slice-8 ESXi Server Slice-1 Slice-4 Slice VLAN-103 VLAN-104 VLAN-101 Probably the simplest solution but it allows make only (N-1) slices on Vnode if we don't allow port sharing. ( In our case 7 slices on Vnode) ,103, 104 SNMP VMware Star network: slice 3 Circle network: slice 8
(CESNET SLICE} AS (Poz) VN3 (Mil) VN1 (Prg) VN2 (Erl) Internet private IP addr. space management network The simplest slice example Internet and SLICE Two independent worlds lightly coupled via AS !
Tools available from VMware
Tools available from Vmware (good for managers not users)
Tools available from VMware
Tools available from Vmware - resxtop
Our new tools (node-centric mode)
More details (node-centric mode)
Monitoring tools (slice-centric mode) We still need more work on it We need: - configuration data from central database - more detail coordination with NOC - automatic links between admin tools
The experiments on the SLICE: SNMP - Vmware match SNMP G3 Monitor (CESNET SLICE} AS (Poz) VN3 (Mil) VN1 (Prg) VN2 (Erl) Internet private IP network management network
The experiments on the SLICE: Correlation: CPU load versus network App1: scp 4G file App2: Data collection with processing Port – slice mapping ? (from DB ?)
The experiments on the SLICE: Resource sharing (CPU) CPU utilization on host Capacity: 8x20 K units: ms Multi-line versus STACK CPU distribution on host - SMP random - rules for dedication to VM
The experiments on the SLICE: Resource sharing (CPUs) 5 VM - 1 dominate 4 CPU active Total CPU activity ~ 0,13% 9 VM - 1 dominate 4 CPU active Total CPU activity ~ 0,14% 7 VM - 1 dominate 4 CPU active Total CPU activity ~ 0,05%
The experiments on the SLICE: Resource capacity test (CPU) + utilization - Idle Integrated value all CPU on host Individual CPUs on host
Source sharing - compare to Planetlab Total # slices running on this node: 73 Actively using CPU: 9 (only one CPU) Actively using Network: 18 Conclusion: Most slices running randomely It allows stronger overallocation !
FEDERICA - CESNET POP External PROBE Monitoring (more details in 4D section - Jiri Novotny and in the poster)
More details in the POSTER: …..
Thank You Any questions ?
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Cypress is located in Orange county and has a population of 46,229.
For California residents, the average tuition for all Cypress nurse practitioner schools for the 2009 - 2010 school year was $5,032.00. For non-residents, the average tuition for Cypress nurse practitioner schools was $7,000.00.
The average cost of books and supplies for nurse practitioner schools in Cypress is $1,250.00. There is one nurse practitioner college in Cypress. 87 students were reported to have graduated from nurse practitioner programs in Cypress in the 2008 - 2009 school year.
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|Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses
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Qupid Nixon-02 Western Bootie
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text: Short Description: Dunnage air bag are light weight bags, which is also referred as firestone air bags. It is available in khaki paper, earthy brown and white colors. These bags have a pressure ratings of 2.9-9.1psi. It is available in sizes like 50x100, 80x120, 100x180. It is widely used for bulk and palatalized cargo, coils, and barrels.


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Steven Machat: The Independent Choice for the United States Senate
Steven Machat, the independent choice for United States Senate, says that at the founding of our great nation, Thomas Jefferson wrote and spoke about the importance of a social contract between a government and its people. Now, more than ever, in this age of information, we need to reiterate and redefine that social contract once again to revive the American dream.
After recessions over that past few decades, it was the middle-class consumer that would help propel our economic growth through consumer spending. As real wages and disposable consumer have dramatically decreased, our economic recoveries have become increasingly anemic. In the not too distant past, it was possible to raise a family, access healthcare and educate your children on a lower-middle-class wage. Sadly, this is no longer true.
To change this, we need to make the American dream a reality once again. To succeed in achieving this, we need to rededicate our social contract with democracy and capitalism. Our redefined social contract must help control government and support our communities to make sure that bureaucrats can't make decisions that are bottom line driven while ignoring the health consequences of poisoning drinking water with lead. Machat knows we should not waste taxpayer dollars while remembering that government is not a business.
In a nation that spends twice as much as every other nation on healthcare and education while delivering poor results, Machat knows we can and must do better.
As our United States Senator, Machat will provide the leadership to make sure future generations will enjoy the American dream.
Shayne Heffernan
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- Singapore: Cellos Software Limited Collapsing as Scandal Deepens - February 20, 2017
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Statistical Methods for Data Analysis the Bayesian approach Luca Lista INFN Napoli
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis2 Contents Bayes theorem Bayesian probability Bayesian inference
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis3 Conditional probability Probability that the event A occurs given that B also occurs AB
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis4 Bayes theorem P(A) = prior probability P(A|B) = posterior probability Thomas Bayes ( )
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis5 Pictorial view of Bayes theorem (I) A B P(A) =P(B) = P(A|B) =P(B|A) = From a drawing by B.Cousins
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis6 Pictorial view of Bayes theorem (II) P(B|A) P(A) = P(A|B) P(B) = = P(A B) = =
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis7 A concrete example A person received a diagnosis of a serious illness (say H1N1, or worse…) The probability to detect positively a ill person is ~100% The probability to give a positive result on a healthy person is 0.2% What is the probability that the person is really ill? Is 99.8% a reasonable answer? G. Cowan, Statistical data analysis 1998, G. D'Agostini, CERN Academic Training, 2005
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis8 Conditional probability Probability to be really ill = conditioned probability after the event of the positive diagnosis –P(+ | ill) = 100%, P( | ill) << 1 –P(+ | healthy) = 0.2%, P( | healthy) = 99.8% Using Bayes theorem: –P(ill | +) = P(+ | ill) P(ill) / P(+) P(ill) / P(+) We need to know: – P(ill) = probability that a random person is ill ( << P(healthy) ) And we have: –Using: P(ill) + P(healthy) = 1 and P(ill and healty) = 0 –P(+) = P(+ | ill) P(ill) + P(+| healthy) P(healthy) P(ill) + P(+ | healthy)
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis9 Pictorial view P(ill)P(healthy) 1 P(+|healty) P( |healthy) P(+|ill) 1
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis10 Pictorial view P(ill)P(healthy) 1 P(+|healty) P( |healthy) P(+|ill) 1 P(ill|+) P(healthy|+) P(ill|+) + P(healthy|+) = 1
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis11 Adding some numbers Probability of being really ill: –P(ill | +) = P(ill)/P(+) P(ill) / (P(ill) + P(+ | healthy)) If: – P(ill) = 0.17%, P(+ | healthy) = 0.2% We have: –P(ill | +) = 17 / ( ) = 46%
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis12 A more physics example A muon selection has : –Efficiency for the signal: = P(sel | ) –Efficiency for background: = P(sel | ) Given a collection of particles, what is the fraction of selected muons? Can't answer, unless you know the fraction of muons: P( ) (and P( ) = 1 P( ) )! So: Or:
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis13 Prob. ratios and prob. inversion Another convenient way to re-state the Bayes posterior is through ratios: No need to consider all possible hypotheses (not known in all cases) Clear how the ratio of priors plays a role
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis14 Bayesian probability as learning Before the observation B, our degree of belief of A is P(A) (prior probability) After observing B, our degree of belief changes into P(A | B ) (posterior probability) Probability can be expressed also as a property of non-random variables –E.g.: unknown parameter, unknown events Easy approach to extend knowledge with subsequent observation –E.g. combine experiment = multiply probabilities Easy to cope with numerical problems Consider P(B) as a normalization factor: if and
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis15 Bayes and likelihood function Likelihood function definition: a PDF of the variables x 1, …, x n : Bayesian posterior probability for 1, …, m : Where: –P( 1, …, m ) is the prior probability. Often assumed to be flat in HEP papers, but there is no motivation for this choice (and flat distribution depends on the parameterization!) – L(…)P(…) d m is a normalization factor Interpretation: –The observation modifies the prior knowledge of the unknown parameters as if L is a probability distribution function for 1, …, n –F.James et al.: "The difference between P( ) and P( | x) shows how one's knowledge (degree of belief) about has been modified by the observation x. The distribution P( | x) summarizes all one's knowledge of and can be used accordingly."
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis16 Repeated use of Bayes theorem Bayes theorem can be applied sequentially for repeated observations (posterior = learning from experiments) Prior Conditioned posterior 1 observation 1 Conditioned posterior 2 observation 2 Conditioned posterior 3 observation 3 P 0 = Prior P 1 P 0 L 1 P 2 P 1 L 2 P 0 L 1 L 2 P 3 P 0 L 1 L 2 L 3 Note that applying Bayes theorem directly from prior to (obs1 + obs2) leads to the same result: P 1+2 = P 0 L 1+2 = P 0 L 1 L 2 = P 2
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis17 Bayesian in decision theory You need to decide to take some action after you have computed your degree of belief –E.g.: make a public announcement of a discovery or not What is the best decision? The answer also depends on the (subjective) cost of the two possible errors: –Announce a wrong answer –Don't announce a discovery (and be anticipate by a competitor!) Bayesian approach fits well with decision theory, which requires two subjective input: –Prior degree of belief –Cost of outcomes
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis18 Falsifiability within statistics With Aristotle's or "Boolean" logic, if a cause A forbids the observation of the effect B, observing the effect B implies that A is false Naively migrating to random possible events ( B i ) with different (uncertain!) hypotheses ( A j ) would lead to: –Observing an event B i that has very low probability, given a cause A j, implies that A j is very unlikely False!!!!
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis19 Detection of paranormal phenomena A person claims he has Extrasensory Perception (ESP) He can "predict" the outcome of card extraction with much higher success rate than random guess What is the (Bayesian) probability he really has ESP?
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis20 Simpleton, ready to believe! If (prior) P(ESP) P(!ESP) 0.5 – P(ESP|predict) 1 (posterior) –A single experiment demonstrates ESP! P(ESP)P(!ESP) P(predict|ESP) 1 P(predict|!ESP) << 1
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis21 With a skeptical prior prejudice If (prior) P(ESP) << P(!ESP) – P(ESP|predict) < 0.5 (at least uncertain!) –More experiments? More hypotheses? P(ESP)P(!ESP) P(predict|ESP) 1 P(predict|!ESP) << 1
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis22 Maybe he is cheating? How likely is cheating? Assume: P(ESP) << P(cheat) – P(ESP|predict) 0 (cheating more likely!) –The ESP guy should now propose alternative hypotheses! P(ESP)P(no ESP, not cheat) P(predict|ESP) P(predict|cheat) 1 P(predict|!ESP) << 1 P(cheat)
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis23 Ascertain physics observations Are those evidence for pentaquark (1520) K 0 p ? Influenced by previous evidence papers? Are there other possible interpretations? 10 significance arXiv:hep-ex/ v3
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis24 Pentaquarks From PDG 2006, "PENTAQUARK UPDATE" (G.Trilling, LBNL) "In 2003, the field of baryon spectroscopy was almost revolutionized by experimental evidence for the existence of baryon states constructed from five quarks … …To summarize, with the exception described in the previous paragraph, there has not been a high-statistics confirmation of any of the original experiments that claimed to see the Θ + ; there have been two high-statistics repeats from Jefferson Lab that have clearly shown the original positive claims in those two cases to be wrong; there have been a number of other high-statistics experiments, none of which have found any evidence for the Θ + ; and all attempts to confirm the two other claimed pentaquark states have led to negative results. The conclusion that pentaquarks in general, and the Θ +, in particular, do not exist, appears compelling."
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis25 Dark matter search Are those observations of Dark matter? Eur.Phys.J.C56: ,2008 Nature 456,
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis26 B. & F. in the scientific process Bayesian and Frequentistic approaches have complementary role in this process Experiment Observation of new phenomenon How likely is the interpretation? Bayesian probabilistic interpretation of the new phenomenon: what is the probability that the interpretation is correct? Strong skeptical prejudice motivates confirmation: repeat the experiment and find other evidences ( run into the frequentistic domain!)
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis27 How to compute Posterior PDF Perform analytical integration –Feasible in very few cases Use numerical integration –May be CPU intensive Markov Chain Monte Carlo –Sampling parameter space efficiently using a random walk heading to the regions of higher probability –Metropolis algorithm to sample according to a PDF f(x) 1.Start from a random point, x i, in the parameter space 2.Generate a proposal point x p in the vicinity of x i 3.If f(x p ) > f(x i ) accept as next point x i +1 = x p else, accept only with probability p = f(x p ) / f(x i ) 4.Repeat from point 2 –Convergence criteria and step size must be defined RooStats::BayesianCalculator RooStats::MCMCCalculator
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis28 Problems of Bayesian approach The Bayesian probability is subjective, in the sense that it depends on a prior probability, or degrees of belief about the unknown parameters –Anyway, increasing the amount of observations, the posterior probability with modify significantly the prior probability, and the final posterior probability will depend less from the initial prior probability –… but under those conditions, using frequentist or Bayesian approaches does not make much difference anyway How to represent the total lack of knowledge? –A uniform distribution is not invariant under coordinate transformations –Uniform PDF in log is scale-invariant Study of the sensitivity of the result on the chosen prior PDF is usually recommended
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis29 Choosing the prior PDF If the prior PDF is uniform in a choice of variable ("metrics"), it won't be uniform when applying coordinate transformation Given a prior PDF in a random variable, there is always a transformation that makes the PDF uniform The problem is: chose one metric where the PDF is uniform Harold Jeffreys' prior: chose the prior form that is inviariant under parameter transformation metric related to the Fisher information (metrics invariant!) Some common cases: –Poissonian mean: –Poissonian mean with background b: –Gaussian mean: –Gaussian r.m.s: –Binomial parameter: Problematic with more than one dimension! Demonstration on Wikipedia: see: Jeffreys prior
Gent, 28 Oct. 2014Luca Lista30 Frequentist vs Bayesian intervals Interpretation of parameter errors: – = est ∈ [ est − , est + ] – = est + 2 − 1 ∈ [ est − 1, est + 2 ] Frequentist approach: –Knowing a parameter within some error means that a large fraction (68% or 95%, usually) of the experiments contain the (fixed but unknown) true value within the quoted confidence interval: [ est 1, est 2 ] Bayesian approach: –The posterior PDF for is maximum at est and its integral is 68% within the range [ est 1, est 2 ] The choice of the interval, i.e.. 1 and 2 can be done in different ways, e.g: same area in the two tails, shortest interval, symmetric error, … Note that both approaches provide the same results for a Gaussian model using a uniform prior, leading to possible confusions in the interpretation
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis31 Frequentist vs Bayesian popularity Until 1990's frequentist approach largely favored: –"at the present time (1997) [frequentists] appear to constitute the vast majority of workers in high energy physics" V.L.Highland , B.Cousins, NIM A398 (1997) More recently Bayesian estimates are getting more popular and provide simpler mathematical methods to perform complex estimates –Bayesian estimators properties can be studied with a frequentistic approach using Toy Monte Carlos (feasible with today's computers) –Also preferred by several theorists (UTFit team, cosmologists)
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis32 Bayesian inference Just use the product of likelihood function times the prior probability as the posterior PDF for the unknown parameter(s) : You can evaluate then the average and variance of , as well as the mode (most likely value) –In many cases, the most likely value and average don't coincide! Notice that the Maximum Likelihood estimate is the mode of Bayesian inference with a flat Prior Upper limits are easily computed using the Bayesian approach
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis33 Bayesian inference of a Poissonian Posterior probability, assuming the prior to be f 0 (s) : If is f 0 (s) is uniform: We have:, Most probable value: … but this is somewhat arbitrary, since it is metric-dependent!
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis34 Error propag. with Bayesian inference The result of the inference is just a PDF (of the measured parameters) The error propagation is done applying the usual transformations: z = Z(x, y) x = X (x, y), y =Y (x, y)
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis35 A Bayesian application: UTFit UTFit: Bayesian determination of the CKM unitarity triangle –Many experimental and theoretical inputs combined as product of PDF –Resulting likelihood interpreted as Bayesian PDF in the UT plane Inputs: –Experimental results that directly or indirectly measure or put constraints on Standard Model CKM Parameters
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis36 The Unitarity Triangle 1 B=(1,0) C=(0,0) A=( , ) Quark mixing is described by the CKM matrix Unitarity relations on matrix elements lead to a triangle in the complex plane
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis37 Inputs
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis38 Combine the constraints Given {x i } parameters and {c i } constraints that depend on x i, ρ, η : Define the combined PDF –ƒ( ρ, η, x 1, x 2,..., x N | c 1, c 2,..., c M ) ∝ ∏ j=1,M ƒ j (c j | ρ, η, x 1, x 2,..., x N ) ∏ i=1,N ƒ i (x i ) ⋅ ƒ o (ρ, η) –PDF taken from experiments, wherever it is possible Determine the PDF of (ρ, η) integrating over the remaining parameters –ƒ(ρ, η) ∝ ∫ ∏ j=1,M ƒ j (c j | ρ, η, x 1, x 2,..., x N ) ∏ i=1,N ƒ i (x i ) ⋅ ƒ o (ρ, η) d N x d M c Prior PDF
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis39 Unitarity Triangle fit 68%, 95% contours
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis40 PDFs for and
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis41 Projections on other observables
Luca ListaStatistical Methods for Data Analysis42 References "Bayesian inference in processing experimental data: principles and basic applications", Rep.Progr.Phys. 66 (2003)1383 [physics/ ] H. Jeffreys, "An Invariant Form for the Prior Probability in Estimation Problems", Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series A, Mathematical and Physical Sciences 186 (1007): 453–46, 1946 H. Jeffreys, "Theory of Probability", Oxford University Press, 1939 Wikipedia: "Jeffreys prior", with demonstration of metrics invariance G. D'Agostini, "Bayesian Reasoning in Data Analysis: a Critical Guide", World Scientific (2003). W.T. Eadie, D.Drijard, F.E. James, M.Roos, B.Saudolet, Statistical Methods in Experimental Physics, North Holland, 1971 G.D'Agostini: "Telling the truth with statistics", CERN Academic Training Lecture, 2005 –http://cdsweb.cern.ch/record/794319?ln=it Pentaquarks update 2006 in PDG –pdg.lbl.gov/2006/listings/b152.ps –SVD Collaboration, Further study of narrow baryon resonance decaying into K 0 s p in pA-interactions at 70 GeV/c with SVD-2 setup arXiv:hep-ex/ v3 Dark matter: –R. Bernabei et al.: Eur.Phys.J.C56: ,2008: arXiv: v1 –J. Chang et al.: Nature 456, UTFit: –http://www.utfit.org/ –M. Ciuchini et al., JHEP 0107 (2001) 013, hep-ph/
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