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It's been ages. You are all probably married with 4 kids, driving a mini-van and living in some rich house on the coast since the last time I wrote anything here. But I'm going to try to blog more often, and by more often, I mean when I have the time. I can't commit to a blog schedule just yet, but we will see what happens in the future.
But, without further ado, I am going to put this disclaimer out there. Everything you are about to read are my own thoughts/ideas and by no means represents those things I am associated with (FrozeNerdz, Knights of Ebon, etc.).
So below you will find a image that is a "comparison" of the previous World of Warcraft expansions. I did not make this image, or do I know where it game from, even though I did some searching. But yeah, that's the comparison of the expansions so far.
But when I look at this image, I see that it seems to be missing more vital information that doesn't seem to be considered. A lot of people are using this above image to explain why World of Warcraft: Warlords of Draenor costs 10$ more than previous expansions ($49.99). So in this blog, I'm just going to throw out some ideas about what people aren't remembering, or considering when they complain about paying 10$ more for an expansion.
Warlords included a Free Boosted level 90 character with the basic edition. This feature normally costs $60. So, you saved $50 on a service that does cost Blizzard money to preform. So you saved the price of a previous expansion. Sure it cost 10$ more, but a lot of times we pay additional money for bundles because we are going to save a large amount in return.
So now, I want to break down the above graphic, starting with Burning Crusade:
One Battleground (Eye of the Storm)
Two races (Draenei, Blood Elves)
Three Capital Cities (Exodar, Silvermoon City, Shatrath)
Flying Mounts
One Profession (Jewelcrafting)
Two World Bosses (Kazzak, Doomwalker)
16 New Dungeons: (Hellfire Ramparts, The Blood Furnace, Shattered Halls, Slave Pens, Underbog, Steamvault, Mana-Tombs, Auchenai Crypts, Sethekk Halls, Shadow Labyrinth, Mechanar, Botanica, Arcatraz, Escape from Durnholde Keep, Black Morass, Magisters Terrace)
10 of which were for leveing: (Hellfire Ramparts, The Blood Furnace, Slave Pens, Underbog, Mana-Tombs, Auchenai Crypts, Sethekk Halls, Mechanar, Escape from Durnholde Keep, Black Morass).
Nine New Raid Zones: Karazhan (12), Gruul's Lair (2), Magtheridon's Lair (1), Serpentshrine Cavern (6), Tempest Keep (4), Battle for Mount Hyjal (5), Black Temple (9), Zul'Aman (6), Sunwell (6)
Things they forgot:
Four New Player Models
52 Total New Bosses
3 Arenas (Ring of Trials, Circle of Blood, Ruins of Lordaeron)
Guild Banks
Daily Quests
12 New Zones: Outland (7) + Azuremist Isle (2) + Eversong Woods (2) + Isle of Quel'danas (1)
10 Levels
Length of Expansion: 21.9 Months (Short of two years).
Common Complaints: Attunements are too hard, Arena class balance – only some specs viable, Pre-raid gearsets (clown suits), Faction grinds for required enchants, Sunwell too hard for most players (pre-3.x patch), Long delays between individual raid releases, Quel'danas 'Welfare Epics', PVP balance.
Wrath of the Lich King:
Two Battlegrounds (Strand of the Ancients, Isle of Conquest)
One New Class (Death Knight)
One Capital Cities1 (Dalaran)
One Profession (Inscription)
16 New Dungeons: (Utgarde Keep, Utgarde Pinnacle, Azjol-Nerub, Ahn'kahet,The Nexus, Drak'Tharon Keep, The Oculus, Violet Hold, Gundrak, Old Stratholme, Halls of Stone, Halls of Lightning, Trial of the Champion, Forge of Souls, Pit of Saron, Halls of Reflection)
10 of which were for leveing: Utgarde Keep, Azjol-Nerub, Ahn'kahet, The Nexus, Violet Hold, Drak'Tharon Keep, Gundrak, Old Stratholme, Halls of Stone, Halls of Lightning
9 New Raid Zones: Naxxramas (15), Onyxias Lair (1), Obsidian Sanctum (1), The Eye of Eternity (1), Vault of Archavon (4), Ulduar (14), Trial of the Crusader (5), Icecrown Citadel (12), Ruby Sanctum (1)
Things they forgot:
Four New Player Models
54 Total New Bosses
2 Arenas (Ring of Valor, Dalaran Arena)
10 New Zones: Northrend (9) + Ebon Hold/DK Start zone (1)
10 Levels
Length of Expansion: 24.8 Months (Just over two years).
Other: Achievements, Improved Dungeon Finder, Barbershop, Dual Talent Specs, Race & Faction Changes, Battle.net Integration, Hard Modes – Normal/Heroic Raid Difficulty selection, Vehicles, Phasing, "Learnable" Mounts (previously items), Druid form revamp.
Common Complaints: Naxxramas is rehashed content, initial raid content lacking, Very long wait without new content, Trial of Crusader and Ruby Sanctum raids seen as time filler, Heroics too easy, Wintergrasp (lag, faction imbalance, can't get Vault on some realms/factions), Class balance: DKs initially OP, PVP balance.
Alright, since Cataclysm nor Mists of Panadria didn't offer more than Burning Crusade, or Wrath of the Lich King based on the stats, I'm going to save you the repeat of information. Now onto Warlords of Draenor.
The image above shows that we only received 8 new dungeons, 3 new raids, Ashran, Twitter integration, selfie camera, and garrisons in Warlords. But there was actually a lot more (Even if you don't agree with them, or didn't enjoy them, they were still there).
Flexible Raids v2, Mythic Raiding
LFG Tool v3 — Upgraded.
Item Autoscaling v2 (Timewalking, PVP Gear Autoscale)
New Character Models — All revamped besides Goblin/Worgen.
Follower / Fleet missions
Collections Interface (Toy box, Mounts, Heirlooms)
Weekend Events
Ability Squish, Stat Squish
Mercenary Mode
Darkmoon Races
Warlords had:
10 Zones: Draenor (7) + Ashran (3)
2 Capital Cities: Stormshield, Warspear (Small). (1 More than Wrath of the Lich King, and 1 less than Burning Crusade).
New Player Models: 20 (16 more than Burning Crusade/Cataclysm).
30 Raid Bosses (1 less than Cataclysm)
4 World Bosses: Drov, Tarina, Rukhmar, Kazzak. (1 Less than Mists, 2 more than Burning Crusade, 4 more than Wrath of the Lich King/Cataclysm).
What Warlords didn't have:
No New Battlegrounds Added
No New Arenas Added
No New Classes Added
No New Races Added
Common Complaints: Living in Garrisons, Playing the UI not the game, Ashran (seen as required, general gameplay issues – events or boss), No new class/race, No flying (love or hate), PVP balance.
Burning Crusade was released on January 16th, 2007. If you bought BC for $49.99 in 2007, it would have costs $57.08 in 2014 based on US Inflation. But, our World of Warcraft subscription cost $9.99 per month since 2004. But it hasn't changed. But since it cost $9.99 in 2004, it should cost $12.62 today (26.3% increase) based on US Inflation. But the World of Warcraft subscription hasn't changed since 2004. Since 2004, the Dollar Menu has changed, the cost of gasoline, the cost of postage, and may other things. But the WOW subscription hasn't changed.
So if you don't think that the quality of the expansion is the same was a previous one, or that Warlord's is the worst expansion released to date, you are entitled to your opinion.
We can't put a price on content because the people hours behind the content is an ever changing price and time difference. What takes me 1 hour to do could take you 15 minutes, or 3 hours. The employee's are Blizzard Entertainment are the best in the industry. They are not some of the best, or most of them are the best, they are the best. From the artist who bring the vision of the world to life, to the developers who code the game to life, or to the designers who come up with the ideas. They are best in the industry. So to say that the content we are getting isn't worth a 10$ price increase, or that it's not as big as the previous expansions doesn't seem relative.
The average months of the previous expansions is 23.475 months (Just shy of 2 years). But we are already looking at a expansion announcement on August 5th at Gamescom. And probably a Beta announcement at BlizzCon. And a release 6 months later. Which would make this expansion last about 18 months which is still shorter than any of the previous expansions so Blizzard would technically be releasing content faster then previous content release.
So the next time you want to complain about Warlords of Draenor, think about all the things it actually brought to the game. Things have changed in every expansion, and things will continue to change in the future ones. But when the smoke clears, why are you playing video games in the first place? Are you a paid video game analyst? Is it your job to break down every in and out of World of Warcraft? Most of you are just your average person playing a video game from the comfort of your own home and you are doing it for free. Playing Video Games is not your job and neither is it mine. So let's have some fun inside the video game, and enjoy the time we have with friends.
If you are no longer enjoying the game, then cut ties and move on to something you enjoy more. But do it without throwing a fit, or demanding repayment for the "lack of content."
Want more information about previous expansions: Check out this Google Doc on Reddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/wow/comments/3eobtc/expansion_content_a_more_complete_comparison/


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Villa Vilma, Sukosan
- Free WiFi
Main amenities
- 6 guestrooms
- Marina
- Breakfast available
- Room service
- Airport shuttle
- Terrace
- 24-hour front desk
- Air conditioning
- Daily housekeeping
- Multilingual staff
- Barbecue grills
- Tour/ticket assistance
For families
- Free cribs/infant beds
- Rollaway/extra beds (surcharge)
- Refrigerator
- Private bathroom
- Television
- Terrace
What's around
- Kresimir Cosic Hall (7.8 mi / 12.6 km)
- Land Gate (8.2 mi / 13.2 km)
- Cathedral of St. Anastasia (8.4 mi / 13.6 km)
- National Museum Zadar (8.4 mi / 13.6 km)
- Port Gate (8.5 mi / 13.7 km)
Room came with no facilities for making tea or making breakfast. Guests had to share the…
Very hard to find and not quite what it was billed as. Very clean, comfortable and would…
More great choices
At a glance
Key facts
Hotel size
- This hotel has 6 rooms
- This hotel is arranged over 2 floors
- Check-in time 2:00 PM-2:00 AM
- Check-out time is 11:00 AM
- Express check-in/out
Required at check in
- Cash deposit required
- Government-issued photo ID required
- Minimum check-in age is 16
Travelling with others
- One child (2 years old and younger) stays free when occupying the parent or guardian's room, using existing bedding
- Pets not allowed
- Free WiFi in public areas
- Free WiFi in rooms
- Airport shuttle (available 24 hours) *
- Area shuttle *
Nearby Three Star Sukosan hotels
In the hotel
- Continental breakfast daily (surcharge)
- Coffee shop/café
- Room service (during limited hours)
- Barbecue grills
- Marina on site
- 24-hour front desk
- Tours/ticket assistance
- Multilingual staff
- Number of buildings/towers - 1
- Terrace
In the room
- In-room climate control (air conditioning)
- Air conditioning
- Coffee/tea maker
- Iron/ironing board (on request)
- Pillowtop mattress
- Balcony
- Private bathroom
- Shower only
- Hair dryer (on request)
- Desk
- Free WiFi
- Refrigerator
- Daily housekeeping
Top Sukosan hotels
Recently reviewed hotels in Sukosan
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Villa Vilma, Sukosan's small print
Also known as
- Apartmani Vilma
- Apartmani Vilma Hotel
- Apartmani Vilma Hotel Sukosan
- Apartmani Vilma Sukosan
- Villa Vilma Hotel Sukosan
- Villa Vilma Hotel
- Villa Vilma Sukosan
- Villa Vilma
This property accepts only cash for any payments made on the premises. For more details, please contact the office using the information on the reservation confirmation received after booking.
Mandatory fees
You'll be asked to pay the following charges at check in or check out:
- A tax is imposed by the city: EUR 1.00 per person, per night for adults; EUR 0.50 per night for guests aged 12-18 years old. This tax does not apply to children under 12 years of age.
Optional extras
Rollaway beds are available for EUR 20 per day
Breakfast costs between EUR 5 and EUR 10 for adults, and EUR 0 and EUR 5 for children (approximately)
Airport shuttle service is offered for an extra charge of EUR 15 per vehicle
Area shuttle service is offered for an extra charge
We have included all charges provided to us by this hotel. However, charges can vary, for example, based on length of stay or the room you book.
Is the description of this hotel not correct? Tell us


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Now Foods, Citric Acid, 4 oz (113 g)
- You earn loyalty credit for every order you place at iHerb!
- Loyalty credit is equal to 5% of the value of your order, excluding shipping charges.
- Your loyalty credit will be applied towards your next order as soon as your current order has shipped.
- Your loyalty credits are valid for up to 60 days from the date of your last purchase.
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Expiration Date:?Jul 2019Expiration Date
The length of time for the expiration date or "best used before" date depends on the type of product, as well as the brand.
Perishable items (such as flax oils or certain probiotics) generally have shorter expiration dates. Although our warehouse is fully air-conditioned, these more fragile items are put in cold storage (freezer or refrigeration unit) for maximum freshness.
Our receiving department does its best to verify and then enter the correct expiration dates for all incoming products. However, discrepancies do occur from time to time. This being said, the exceptionally high turnover at iHerb ensures that our inventory is among the freshest in the industry.
Shipping Weight:?0.35 lbs (0.16 kg)Shipping WeightThe Shipping Weight includes the product, protective packaging material and the actual shipping box. In addition, the Shipping Weight may be adjusted for the Dimensional Weight (e.g. length, width & height) of a package. It is important to note that certain types of products (e.g. glass containers, liquids, fragile, refrigerated or ice packed) will often require protective packaging material. As such, these products will reflect a higher Shipping Weight compared to the unprotected product.
- Product Code: NOW-07320
- UPC Code: 733739073204
- Package Quantity: 4 oz (113 g)
- Dimensions: 2 x 2 x 4.1 in, 0.3 lbs (0.14 kg)
- Real Food
- Sprouting Aid
- Makes a Great Substitute for Salt
- 100% Pure
- Natural Preservative
- Vegetarian/Vegan Product
If you're into sprouting then you're already familiar with Citric Acid, an all-natural preservative typically found in citrus fruits such as lemons and limes. Citric Acid helps to inhibit the formation of mold and other bacterial growth, an all-too-common occurrence when sprouting in a jar due to high temperatures and humidity. Citric Acid is also useful for canning vegetables and fruit preserves.
Because you are what you eat, NOW Real Food has been committed to providing delicious, healthy, natural and organic foods since 1968. We're independent family owned, and proud of it. Keep it natural. Keep it real.
Suggested Use
Citric Acid is a food grade acid that is present in many natural foods. It can be used to reduce spoilage in sprouting by adding 1 tsp. per quart to soak and rinse water.
Citric Acid is also useful in canning, drying or freezing foods. It can be used to preserve Vitamin C content, retard spoilage and prevent discoloration. Use 1 tsp. per quart of water or juice for most fruits and vegetables.
Other Ingredients
Pure citric acid.
Store in a cool, dry place after opening.
I used to use ACV for my hair rinses but even after thorough washing my hair still smelt! People moved away from me on buses :( I switched to using a teaspoon of this in a Litre of water for my conditioner and it works just the same if not better! My hair is smoother than it was with ACV. Way more convenient as well, and no lingering smell
The citric acid didn't work for me. I couldn't get any of my seeds to sprout using this product. Without it my seeds sprouted beautifully. Not sure what the problem is.
is ok but no the best
Posted by mudanzas-valencia on Aug 19, 2016
is ok but no the best
Now Foods citric acid
Posted by 5303697138590787308 on Mar 14, 2016
The citric acid didn't work for me. I couldn't get any of my seeds to sprout using this product. Without it my seeds sprouted beautifully. Not sure what the problem is.
Good quality good packaging.
Posted by bangkok on Nov 08, 2014
Happy with this citric acid. REALLY helps with keeping mold off the sprouts. Highly recommend
Posted by Reviewer2346644 on Jun 10, 2014
Nothing special and it is just a citric acid powder.
works as catalyst to oxygen-based colon cleanser
Posted by 5342421467929814951 on Jan 04, 2014
I am using this together with Now Foods Magnesium Oxide on iHerb to create oxygen based colon cleansing product for myself. After taking this combo, I go to toilet almost every 30 mins. I feel clean afterwards inside, and it has improved my digestion.


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McDonald's Employees Walk Out After Employee Collapses From Stifling Heat
Jul 20, 2013 10:17 AM EDT | By Dina Exil
If you can't handle the heat, stay out of the kitchen and that's exactly what workers at a New York City McDonald's did.
A crew of McDonald's workers walked off their job in Washington Heights, after allegedly reporting that they were forced to work in unreasonable conditions.
According to the New York Daily News, workers said they were forced to work without air conditioning "amid record-high temperatures." One worker collapsed and was hospitalized due to the stifling heat. Other employees complained of heat-related sicknesses.
"No AC, no peace," read a sign held by sweaty and over worked workers outside the restaurant.
An employee who participated in the walkout on Friday told the Huffington Post that the air conditioner in the fast-food restaurant kitchen was broken. The employee said the air conditioner has been broken since she began working there nine years ago.
"[The owners of the store] make fun of us because they think we're animals," employee Luisa Villa told the Huffington Post in Spanish. "We're not animals. We're people. We don't want to die and you can certainly die from the heat, you know."
Employee Esheliz Mendez, collapsed onto the floor during her shift. According to employees, it's not the first time employees complained about the broken conditioner. Greg Basta, Deputy Director at the New York Communities for Change, tweeted a photo of the scene.
"Workers walked out at #4259Broadway McDonalds after being forced 2 work w/o AC on hottest day of yr," Basta tweeted.
The New York City Fire Department told NBC News that authorities transported an unconscious person to the hospital from the McDonald's location.
"It happens every summer and we're tired of working like that," said employee Luisa Billa, 26. "They need to fix it. It's not fair. They have the money, but they won't do anything."
Villa said the walkout was because employees wanted the air conditioner fixed. After the walk out occurred, the restaurant remained open because the owners brought in temporary workers. Villa said she hopes the owner will not retaliate against the workers and fire them because of the protest.
City Council member Ydanis Rodriguez and state Sen. Adriano Espillat turned out in support of the workers.
"This morning, one of the worker s had to be taken to the hospital because of a lack of air-conditioning," Rodriquez said. "This is inhumane. We are here to say enough is enough."
According to the Daily News the store's manager refused to answer questions and ran off when Rodriquez attempted to hand him a letter complaining about conditions at the restaurant.
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Austin Food & Wine Festival 2016: Anticipated Storms Cause Cancellation of Food Festival


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A stay at Hostel Casa Noda places you in the heart of Nagasaki, walking distance from Nagasaki City Library and Amu Plaza Nagasaki. This hostel is within close proximity of Nakamachi Church and Fukusaiji Temple.
Make yourself at home in one of the 4 air-conditioned rooms featuring microwaves. Prepare your meals in the shared/communal kitchen. Complimentary wireless Internet access is available to keep you connected.
Make use of convenient amenities, which include complimentary wireless Internet access and tour/ticket assistance.
A complimentary breakfast is included.
Business, Other Amenities
Featured amenities include a business center, dry cleaning/laundry services, and luggage storage.


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Security & Intelligence
Tactical & Security
Organizations Trained
Advisory & Consulting
Investigative Solutions
Contact Us
Harbinger Provides
Intelligence-Driven Solutions
for Those Involved in Homeland Security and International Counterterrorism
Harbinger Technologies Group is a Small Business founded by veterans in 2004 to provide expert training and consulting for personnel involved in homeland security and international counterterrorism. Our team has spent decades in the field - defending America's communities, combating violent extremism, fighting terrorism, and working in various intelligence and security capacities. Our team of seasoned and cleared professionals have been selected from among the highest ranks of federal, state, and local law enforcement, and all branches of the armed forces, with extensive background working with special operations forces, intelligence organizations and counterterrorism units.
We have first-hand experience with those security and terrorist threats for which we provide solutions. We have trained federal, state, and local law enforcement agencies, civilian agencies, and all branches of the military, including active, reserve, and guard units deploying to combat zones. To date, over 40,000 have attended Harbinger courses.
We understand the importance of partnering and teaming to bring our clients and customers the best possible solution to fulfilling their mission requirements and achieving mission success. Harbinger has a long history of successfully partnering and teaming with companies and organizations of all sizes.
If you are interested in learning more about Harbinger's training, consulting, and advisory services, or about partnering or teaming with Harbinger, please contact us.
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204 Monroe Street
Rockville, Maryland 20850
United States
|Areas of Practice
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Canus, Goat's Milk, Moisturizing Lotion, Original Fragrance, 16 fl oz (476 ml) (Discontinued Item)
Shipping Weight:?1.36 lbs (0.62 kg)Shipping WeightThe Shipping Weight includes the product, protective packaging material and the actual shipping box. In addition, the Shipping Weight may be adjusted for the Dimensional Weight (e.g. length, width & height) of a package. It is important to note that certain types of products (e.g. glass containers, liquids, fragile, refrigerated or ice packed) will often require protective packaging material. As such, these products will reflect a higher Shipping Weight compared to the unprotected product.
- Product Code: CNU-00151
- UPC Code: 779242001518
- Package Quantity: 16 fl oz (476 ml)
- Dimensions: 2.6 x 2.6 x 7.2 in, 1.15 lbs (0.52 kg)
- All Natural
- With Fresh Goat's Milk
- Improved Formula
- pH Balanced
- Biodegradable
Fresh Goat's Milk contains a high percentage of natural ingredients which act as a beneficial moisturizer for the skin. Our All-Natural Moisturizing Lotion made with fresh goat's milk will leave your skin feeling refreshed and rejuvenated.
Suggested Use
Massage gently into the skin. Apply liberally as needed daily.
Not tested on animals.
Water, glycerin, butyrospermum parkii (shea) butter, cetyl acetate, cetyl esters, olea europaea (olive) fruit oil, glyceryl stearate, magnesium aluminum silicate, beeswax, behenyl alcohol, ethylhexyl palmitate, Fresh Goat's Milk, phenoxyethanol, ricinus communis (castor) seed oil, sorbitan tristearate, glyceryl stearate citrate, xanthan gum, fragrance, potassium sorbate, glucono delta lactone, coco-glucoside, citric acid, sodium benzoate, calcium gluconate.
Free of gluten, phosphates, parabens & SLS.


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- Posts 6
Gift Premium Subscription To Chewie181
Join Date:06-25-2013
Last Activity:01-16-2017 6:43 PM
Age:28 years old
Likes Given: 5
Posted in thread: Founder's Breakfast Stout Clone on 10-25-2015 at 05:58 PM
Bottling my first attempt at this today. I pretty much followed the original recipe, though my
coffee additions were modified a bit after I read through some suggestions on this thread. OG
was 1.076, ...
Posted in thread: Founder's Breakfast Stout Clone on 10-11-2015 at 09:51 PM
I don't have a good idea of how much yet, but KBS has more high kiln/roast to it. It's higher
gravity and i'm pretty sure has a higher FG too (though not has high for the 2015 version which
is the bes...
Posted in thread: Founder's Breakfast Stout Clone on 10-11-2015 at 01:28 AM
Anyone have success or failure with adding lactose to this recipe? I've seen a few mentions of
it but not much on results.Do you all think a 1/2lb to 1 lb of lactose would be a nice
addition? Or shoul...
Posted in thread: HomeBrewSupply Amcyl Brew Kettle w/ 3-Piece Ball Valve Giveaway! on 07-28-2015 at 02:01 PM
Yes please
Posted in thread: Lagunitas Sucks clone? on 11-17-2014 at 08:56 PM
I brewed my version of it a couple of weeks ago. I ended up using regular wheat instead of red
wheat, but otherwise my recipe to a tee.It has been in the secondary for over a week now. I
tested it whe...
Posted in thread: Lagunitas Sucks clone? on 06-25-2013 at 01:31 AM
I have a converted recipe, BUUUUT I've RDWHAHBed a little too much and can't get it here. Maybe
tomorrow.Any chance of getting that extract recipe?I would also be VERY interested in a
converted recipe...


text:
2017 Cattlemen's Days Royalty Tryouts
Tryout date: June 12th, 2016 9:00 am
Gunnison County Fairgrounds
Entry Form Deadline June 5th, 2016
Cattlemen's Days is one of Colorado's oldest rodeos, beginning in 1900. An important aspect of the events has always been the Cattlemen's Days Queen and her Court. Many young women have ably served as the public face of Cattlemen's Days 4-H and PRCA rodeo contestants & spectators. Please download and read the Royalty Tryout Application Packet and the Code of Conduct.
- 2017 Cattlemen's Days Royalty Tryout Application Packet
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- Cattlemen's Days Royalty Code of Conduct
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Please fill out the form below if you prefer an online form.
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Entry Form Deadline June 5th, 2016.
Entries will not be accepted after this date. No Exceptions!!
Thank you for your participation and let's have some FUN!


text:
11/25/2010 (6 years ago)
Catholic Online (www.catholic.org)
The Sisters opened some of their most sacred spaces and ceremonies in their convent in Ann Arbor, MI to Oprah producers who featured thirteen Sisters as they made their final vows.What was refreshingly obvious throughout this feature was that these women do not enter the convent as a rejection of sex, society, or even necessarily material things. Instead, theirs is an extravagant acceptance of something inexplicably more beautiful and holy. It is real feminism at its best and true spiritual motherhood, as several preteen girls were shown on the episode tearfully anticipating their own opportunities to give the entirety of their lives to Christ in the same complete, free way.
(c) Harpo Studios
Catholic Online (www.catholic.org)
11/25/2010 (6 years ago)
Published in Vocations
Keywords: Dominican Nuns of Mary, nuns on Oprah, convent, religious vocations, married to God, Ann Arbor, MI
NASHVILLE, TN (Catholic Online) - What is love? Marriage? To whom can I give who I am? In their second appearance on Oprah this year, our Dominican Sisters of Mary witnessed the answers to the world today in the most direct, glorious terms.
With a deliberate vulnerability and purpose that brought tears to my eyes, the Sisters opened some of their most sacred spaces and ceremonies in their convent in Ann Arbor, MI to Oprah producers who featured thirteen Sisters as they made their final vows. This day is known as their wedding day - the death of the old life and the beginning of the new.
Brides of Christ
Processing down the aisle in their new black veils, angelic voices swirled around them, lifting them up, carrying them along: "Oh God beyond all praising, we worship you today, and sing the love amazing that songs cannot repay..."
What was refreshingly obvious throughout this feature was that these women do not enter the convent as a rejection of sex, society, or even necessarily material things. Instead, theirs is an extravagant acceptance of something inexplicably more beautiful and holy.
It is real feminism at its best, and true spiritual motherhood, as several preteen girls were shown on the episode tearfully anticipating their own opportunities to give the entirety of their lives to Christ in the same complete, free way.
In Communion
What is it about these Sisters that grips me so? I almost feel as though I have adopted them, or they me, in some unfathomable spiritual way. To be frank, it can only be Jesus. True to their vows of poverty, chastity and obedience, there is "nothing outward that would recommend [them]," as the Scriptures say of their Bridegroom, Christ.
Instead of glittering jewelry, the latest handbag, fresh highlights or flawless makeup, we are gripped by a radiance, a freshness, a truth in their faces, in their sincerity and expressions. It becomes gloriously evident that their vows, and the simplicity that accompanies them, make the way straight for Jesus to radiate from the nuns, uninhibited. We encounter Jesus in them, and we are stunned by the potency.
Not in any way silly or "girly," these are serious, educated women entering wondrously into the covenant, the sacrament of marriage, with Jesus who died for them. They give up everything, and yet they seem to have gained the whole world.
What kind of love is this? The Sisters show us, it is the most intimate relationship possible, the song of songs. It is a "love as strong as death" between God the Lover, and His beloved soul (Song 8:6). They teach us that marriage is much more than skin on skin, it is the "becoming one" of two, and according to St. Paul, more a spiritual mystery than a physical fact (Eph. 5:22-32).
As though having discovered something so glorious they are tempted to be secretive, their spirit and demeanor inexorably draw us into the truth and beckon us over for a peek: we are all married to Jesus Christ, united to Him, body and blood through Baptism and the Eucharist. Although the Sisters are free to pursue God more fully, our own marriages also image the mysterious intimacy of the Trinity.
Perfect Harmony
The Scriptures, the mystic Saints, and the Church have always maintained that the marriage relationship is illustrative of God's relationship to His people. The goal, Jesus said, is the two, you and God, becoming one: "And the glory which You gave Me I have given them, that they may be one just as We are one: I in them, and You in Me; that they may be made perfect . . . " (Jn. 17:22-23). This spiritual intimacy is what perfects, completes, and consummates us. It is the loveliest song.
Often experiencing ridicule, sometimes even within their own families, religious brothers and sisters risk a fearful vulnerability in the effort to find God in this world of cynics and scoffers. But they tell us they can do nothing else, for they have heard the Lover sing to them the loveliest of songs.
Whatever one's opinion about Oprah, one can only feel thankful to her for inviting our precious Sisters to share both their Husband and their feminine genius with the world, for their lives challenge us, dare us, to lay every string of our existence under the magnificent hand of God, willing to be strummed to a consummation of spirit and love, each of us alone with God, yet all quivering with the same eternal Song that reverberates throughout a world in need of its meaning in Him.
Sonja Corbitt is a Catholic Scripture teacher, study author and speaker, and a contributing writer for Catholic Online. Visit her at www.pursuingthesummit.com.
By Elise Harris (CNA/EWTN News)
A fresh and courageous perspective is needed when it comes to helping youth discern and discover their vocation, Pope Francis said Thursday, emphasizing the importance of personal holiness and the commitment to serving others. Vatican City, Italy (CNA/EWTN News) - ... continue reading
By Mary Rezac (CNA)
So, it's the 40th annual Vocations Awareness Week in the United States, and you're looking for the perfect ways to promote vocations to the consecrated life, right? LOS ANGELES, CA (CNA) - Well look no further. Here are three things that will help you promote vocations ... continue reading
By Kevin J. Jones (CNA/EWTN News)
Personal and student debt can slow down or prevent prospective seminarians and aspirants to religious orders from pursuing their vocations, but one organization with national scope aims to change that. St. Paul, MN (CNA/EWTN News) - "The Laboure Society's work is ... continue reading
By Abigail James (CALIFORNIA NETWORK)
Movie star, Mark Wahlberg has released a video letting the public know how important the priesthood is to him and his life and he will be praying for vocations. LOS ANGELES, CA (Catholic Online) - It's no secret that Mark Wahlberg is a devout Catholic and loves his ... continue reading
By Elise Harris (CNA/EWTN News)
Many things happen during World Youth Day. Young people from all over the world travel to meet the Pope, they meet peers with whom they can share their faith, many have personal conversions and many even discover their vocations. Krakow, Poland (CNA/EWTN News) - In ... continue reading
By Diego Lopez Marina (CNA/EWTN News)
Watch them sing, and you might be convinced of it. Cali, Colombia (CNA/EWTN News) - The Eucharistic Communicators of the Heavenly Father are a community of nuns from Colombia who have a great passion for music and an intense desire to announce God through the gifts he ... continue reading
By (CNA/EWTN News)
There is a young and vital presence of religious sisters, novices and postulants in U.S. Catholic life, a new survey has found. Washington D.C. (CNA/EWTN News) - The Council of Major Superiors of Women Religious has released its latest survey of its 120 member ... continue reading
By Kenya Sinclair (CALIFORNIA NETWORK)
Dominican Fathers Francis Orozco and Thomas Schaefgen were inspired to make a 478-mile pilgrimage from New Orleans to Memphis, Tenn. entirely on foot and without a single dollar between them. LOS ANGELES, CA (Catholic Online) - Fathers Francis Orozco, of the Catholic ... continue reading
By Ann Schneible (CNA/EWTN News)
As Pope Francis' year dedicated to consecrated life comes to a close, one nun shared her thoughts on the how her religious garb serves as a "visible sign" that God exists and loves every person. Rome, Italy (CNA/EWTN News) - Though the official Year for Consecrated ... continue reading
By Kenya Sinclair (CALIFORNIA NETWORK)
Benedictine nuns in Missouri recently released their latest album <i>Adoration at Ephesus</i> - and it is amazing! LOS ANGELES, CA (Catholic Online) - Mother Cecilia, the prioress of the Benedictines of Mary, Queen of Apostles, told <a ... continue reading


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SOLVED – – having a problem with ul, li & CSS
# December 19, 2008 at 2:38 pm
Hey everyone,
I want to move only the bullets that are nested within another list. I want them to move more to the left so less of an indentation, however in some browsers they are just normal indentation (which I want smaller) in others (ie8) it works.
ok here is the test code forgive the indentation if it is not correct it is just stole direct from my editor.Code:
new document
- Testing – 1
- Testing – 1.2
- Testing – 1.3
- Testing – 2
- Testing – 3
it works ok, but not perfect, I have tested with the ul within an li e.g:Code:
- test 1 //not closing the li tag here
- test 1.1
seems to work better for some reason
the problem I have is I want to adapt this to a site I have made, as I need to add in new links which have a hierarchy and I have developed the site so, that code is broken down into snippets of html code but saved as php but it does not lessen the indentation.
here is my CSS for the un-ordered lists including the nested ones from the site.Code:li
margin-left:-23px; //sits perfectly as I want on the site
margin-left:-25px; //does nothing in browsers but IE8
some html of the sidebar but links and text hidden but structure sameCode:
what am I doing wrong?# December 20, 2008 at 3:46 am
This reply has been reported for inappropriate content.
ok, now changing the nested ul to have the inside class, works perfect in all browsers except IE.
IE forces the list items to go further to the left.
how to fix? can anyone shed light? or how can I force IE to work on different code?
EDIT: here is 2 images of the side bar. 1 is IE8 the other is FF but safari, opera & chrome looks the same as FF
You must be logged in to reply to this topic.


text:
The Atlanta Fed's macroblog provides commentary and analysis on economic topics including monetary policy, macroeconomic developments, inflation, labor economics, and financial issues.
Authors for macroblog are Dave Altig, John Robertson, and other Atlanta Fed economists and researchers.
Useful Links
Government Resources
- BLS Handbook of Methods
- Bureau of Economic Analysis
- Bureau of Labor Statistics
- Congressional Budget Office
- Economic Data - FRED® II, St. Louis Fed
- Office of Management and Budget
- Statistics: Releases and Historical Data, Board of Governors
- U.S. Census Bureau Economic Programs
- White House Economic Statistics Briefing Room
October 05, 2015
Labor Report Silver Lining? ZPOP Ratio Continued to Rise in September
We have received several requests for an update of our ZPOP ratio statistic to incorporate September's data. We have also been asked whether the ZPOP ratio can be constructed from labor force data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
The ZPOP ratio is an estimate of the share of the civilian population aged 16 years and over whose labor market status is what they say they currently want (assuming that people who work full-time want to do so). A rising ZPOP ratio is consistent with a strengthening labor market. We constructed the ZPOP ratio from the microdata in the BLS's Current Population Survey, but we can also construct a very close approximation from the BLS's Labor Force Statistics data. Here's how (using data that are not seasonally adjusted):
- Take total employment, and add those not in the labor force who do not currently want a job. Then subtract those who were at work from one to 34 hours for economic reasons. The ZPOP ratio is this figure as a percentage of the civilian population 16 years and over.
The following chart shows the history of the resulting ZPOP ratio over 20 years, seasonally adjusted.
Unlike the headline U-3 unemployment rate, which remained unchanged from August to September, the seasonally adjusted ZPOP ratio improved slightly (from 92.0 to 92.1 percent). Relative to an estimated 230,000 increase in the population over the month, the improvement in the ZPOP ratio was the result of an increase in the number of people who said they do not currently want a job and a decline in involuntary part-time employment in excess of the decline in total employment.
Finally, the chart below shows the performance of the seasonally adjusted ZPOP ratio relative to the comparable employment-to-population (EPOP ratio) and the EPOP ratio for those aged 25–54. The relatively greater recovery in the ZPOP ratio since 2009 is primarily because the EPOP ratios do not adjust for the share of the population who say they do not currently want a job.
October 5, 2015 in Employment, Labor Markets, Unemployment | Permalink
The relatively greater recovery in the ZPOP ratio since 2009 is primarily because the EPOP ratios do not adjust for the share of the population who say they do not currently want a job.
From the post.
I assume, historically, for EPOP, that persons who said they did not want a job were included, i.e. epop has always been calculated that way but still the epop was higher previously than now.
What is the difference in the do not want a job numbers since 2009(second chart) and 1995(first chart). Has it increased. And are there reasons given for not wanting a job.
This comments box is very small and makes for difficult typing.
Posted by:
am |
October 15, 2015 at 04:28 PM
September 22, 2015
The ZPOP Ratio: A Simple Take on a Complicated Labor Market
In her press conference following the latest FOMC meeting, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Chair Janet Yellen emphasized that she still sees cyclical weakness in the labor market, even as the headline unemployment rate has moved close to FOMC participants' median estimate of its longer-run normal level.
She also noted that FOMC participants look at many different indicators of labor utilization, because the headline unemployment rate (commonly known as the U-3 rate) is overstating the health of the labor market. One alternative measure that has received some attention is the employment-to-population (EPOP) ratio. However, a well-recognized problem with the EPOP ratio is that because it defines utilization as employment, trends in demographic and behavioral labor force participation can affect it.
This problem is partially addressed by looking at the EPOP ratio for the prime-age population, or by making adjustments for demographic changes as suggested by Kapon and Tracy at the New York Fed and further analyzed by our Atlanta Fed colleague Pat Higgins. Here, we propose an alternative approach that uses a broader definition of utilization that makes it less affected by labor supply trends.
The Current Population Survey does not ask the question "are your labor services being fully utilized?" Therefore, we have to use our judgment to classify someone as fully utilized. The figure below shows the choices we make. We assume that everyone who says they are working fewer hours than they want is underutilized (the red boxes). This includes those in the labor force but unemployed, those not in the labor force but wanting a job, and those working part-time but wanting full-time hours (similar to the treatment of underutilization in the broad U-6 unemployment rate measure).
Everyone working full-time, working part-time for a noneconomic reason, and those who say they don't want a job are considered fully utilized (the green boxes). Of course, this takes the "don't want a job" classification at face value. For example, someone who is retired is counted as fully utilized, irrespective of the (unknown) reason they chose to retire.
As shown in the Chart 1 below, the share of the population 16 years or older that is fully utilized—what we call the utilization-to-population (ZPOP) ratio—is currently about 1.5 percentage points below its prerecession level, after having fallen by 6 percentage points during the recession.
Notice that because the ZPOP ratio treats those who are not employed and don't want a job as fully utilized, it is less affected by demographic and behavioral trends in labor force participation than the EPOP ratio. (You can learn more on our website about how demographic and behavioral trends are affecting labor force participation.) When compared with the EPOP ratio, the ZPOP ratio paints a somewhat rosier picture of labor market conditions (see chart 2).
In sum, the utilization-to-population (ZPOP) ratio is the share of the working-age population that is working full time, is voluntarily working part-time, or doesn't want to work any hours. According to this measure, about 91 percent of the working-age population is considered fully utilized. The remaining 9 percent are "underutilized" and are a roughly even mixture of the unemployed, those not in the labor force but wanting to work, and those working part-time but wanting full-time hours.
The headline U-3 unemployment rate is very close to its prerecession level but is thought to overstate the health of the labor market. At the same time, we think that the EPOP ratio overstates the amount of remaining labor market slack. The ZPOP ratio is in the middle; approaching its prerecession level but still with some way to go.
September 22, 2015 in Employment, Labor Markets, Unemployment | Permalink
Have you, recently or otherwise, discussed the actual data regarding falling labor force participation? The popular press and politicians say it's because geezers are "retiring". Yet the data, and a smattering of news pieces over the last few years, say quite otherwise. We geezers continue to work. No pensions, anymore.
Posted by:
Drcoddwasright.blogspot.com |
September 23, 2015 at 09:18 AM
Alas, I can't edit that comment, and your link didn't show clearly. So, here's the actual BLS data on LPR: http://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_303.htm
While the geezer rate is lower then younger, the rate itself has been rising, and is predicted to continue rising.
Posted by:
Drcoddwasright.blogspot.com |
September 23, 2015 at 09:29 AM
I've seen a bit of talk, recently I think through NBER, about the structural nature of the low/falling LFPR. I wonder whether prevailing economic conditions (specifically the general rate for compensation for one's low- or semi-skilled time) affects the way people answer whether or not they want a job in the first place.
Much like an improving economy attracts more people to the unemployment rolls, an improving wage floor may attract more people to want a job; the ZPOP might be improved by devising an additional variable to account for such a response.
Posted by:
Bryan F |
October 06, 2015 at 10:25 AM
September 01, 2015
Should I Stay or Should I Go Now?
A recent article by Jason Faberman and Alejandro Justiniano at the Chicago Fed shows that there is a strong relationship between quit rates—as a proxy for the pace of job switching—and wage growth. Movements in the quit rate and wage growth are both procyclical. A tighter (weaker) labor market implies workers are more (less) likely to find better employment matches, and employers are more (less) willing to offer higher wages to attract new workers and retain existing workers.
To get some idea of the different wage outcomes of job switching versus job staying, we can use microdata underlying the Atlanta Fed's Wage Growth Tracker from the Current Population Survey. The following chart plots the quarterly private-sector quit rate (orange line) from the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey using Davis, Faberman, and Haltiwanger (published in 2012 in the Journal of Monetary Economics) estimates before 2001. Also shown is the median year-over-year wage growth of private-sector wage and salary earners who switched jobs (blue line) or stayed in the same job (green line). Job stayers are approximated by the restriction that they are in the same broad industry and occupation as 12 months earlier and have been with the same employer for each of the last four months. Job switchers do not satisfy these restrictions but were employed in the current month and 12 months earlier.
The correlation between the quit rate and median wage growth is strongly positive and is slightly higher for job switchers (0.91) than for job stayers (0.88). In most periods, the median wage growth of job switchers is higher than for job stayers. This difference is consistent with the notion that job switching tends to involve moving to a better-paying job. However, during periods when the quit rate is slowing, median wage growth slows for both job stayers and switchers (reflecting the correlation between quits and wages), and the wage-growth premium from job switching tends to vanish.
Since the end of the last recession, the quit rate has been rising and a wage-growth premium for job switching has emerged again. Interestingly, during the last year, the wage growth of job stayers appears to have strengthened as well, consistent with a general tightening of the labor market.
September 1, 2015 in Employment, Labor Markets, Wage Growth | Permalink
August 21, 2015
No Wage Change?
Even when prevailing market wages are lower, businesses can find it difficult to reduce wages for their current employees. This phenomenon, often referred to as "downward nominal wage rigidity," can result in rising average wages for incumbent workers despite high unemployment levels. Some economic models predict that a period of subdued wage growth can follow, even as the labor market recovers—a kind of delayed wage-adjustment effect.
In her 2014 Jackson Hole speech, Fed Chair Janet Yellen suggested this effect may explain sluggish growth in average wages in recent years, despite significant declines in the rate of unemployment.
This macroblog post looks at evidence of wage rigidity, particularly a spike in the frequency of zero wage changes relative to wage declines. A comparison is made between hourly and weekly wages and between incumbent workers (job stayers) and those who have changed employers (job switchers).
Chart 1 shows the fractions of job stayers reporting the same or a lower hourly or weekly wage than 12 months earlier. These measures are constructed from the Current Population Survey microdata in the Atlanta Fed's Wage Growth Tracker. They include workers who are paid hourly (accounting for about 60 percent of all wage and salary earners). The measures exclude those who usually receive overtime and other supplemental pay and those with imputed or top-coded (redacted) wages. Weekly wage is defined as the hourly wage times the usual number of hours per week worked at that rate. The data are aggregated to an annual frequency (except for 2015, where the first six months of the year are covered).
Job stayers cannot be exactly identified in the data and are approximated by those who are in the same occupation and industry as they were 12 months earlier and the same job as they were in the prior month. Consistent with other studies (see, for example, the work of our colleagues at the San Francisco Fed), we find that the incidence of unchanged hourly wages among job stayers is substantial (although some of this is probably the result of rounding errors in self-reported wages). The measured share of unchanged hourly wages rose disproportionately between 2008 and 2010, and it has remained elevated since. Zero hourly wage changes (the green line in chart 1) have become almost as common as declines in hourly wages (the blue line in chart 1).
Chart 1 also suggests that weekly wages for job stayers show a pattern over time broadly similar to hourly wages. But the fraction of unchanged weekly wages (the purple line in chart 1) is lower. Each year, about 60 percent of those with no change in their hourly wage had no change in their weekly wage (or hours) either. Also, there are relatively more declines in weekly wages (the orange line in chart 1) than in hourly wages—mostly the result of reduced hours worked. On average, a reduction in weekly wages is associated with a four-hour decline in hours worked per week. About 90 percent of those with lower hourly wages also had lower weekly wages, and 20 percent of those with no change in their hourly wage had a lower weekly wage (working fewer hours).
If job stayers show a relatively high incidence of no wage change, we might expect a different story for job switchers, since they are establishing a new wage contract with a new employer. Chart 2 shows the fraction of job switchers reporting the same or a lower hourly or weekly wage than 12 months earlier. Job switchers are approximated by workers who are in a different industry than a year earlier.
Not surprisingly, a smaller share of workers experience no change in their hourly or weekly wage when switching jobs. But the pattern of zero wage change for job switchers over time is generally similar to that of job stayers. It is also true that a decline in hourly and weekly wages is more likely for job switchers than for job stayers, with a significant temporary spike in the relative frequency of wage declines for job switchers during the last recession.
Taken at face value, this analysis suggests the presence of some amount of wage rigidity. Also, rigidity increases during recessions and has remained quite elevated since the end of the last recession—especially for job stayers. The question then becomes whether this phenomenon has important macroeconomic consequences. A prediction of most models in which wage stickiness has allocative effects is that it causes firms to increase layoffs when faced with a decline in aggregate demand. Interestingly, during the last recession—when wage stickiness appears to have increased substantially—the rate of layoffs was not unusually high relative to earlier recessions. What was atypical was the size of the decline in the rate of job creation, and this decline contributed to unusually long unemployment spells. As noted by Elsby, Shin, and Solon (2014), it is not clear that an increase in wage rigidity would constrain the hiring of new workers more than it constrains the retention of existing workers.
On the other hand, persistently high wage rigidity in the wake of the Great Recession is consistent with the relatively sluggish pace of wage increases seen in most measures of aggregate wage growth via the "bending" of the short-run Phillips curve (as described by Daly and Hobijn (2014)). Interestingly, the Atlanta Fed's Wage Growth Tracker is an exception. It has indicated somewhat stronger wage growth during the last year than other measures. It will be interesting to see if that trend continues in coming months.
August 21, 2015 in Employment, Labor Markets, Wage Growth | Permalink
July 15, 2015
Have Changing Job and Worker Characteristics Restrained Wage Growth?
In the wake of the Great Recession, nominal wage growth has been subdued. But it is unclear how much of this relatively low wage growth reflects protracted weakness in the labor market versus other factors, such as changes in the composition of the workforce and jobs over time. Wage growth tends to vary across personal and job characteristics, so it stands to reason that changes in the composition of the workforce, alongside demographic and work characteristics, could be an important explanation of overall movements in wage growth.
In this post, we explore the impact of the changing mixture of worker characteristics (by age and education) and types of jobs (by industry and occupation) on the Atlanta's Fed Wage Growth Tracker. We find that composition effects do not account for the low median wage growth experienced in recent years. Holding worker and job characteristics fixed at their 1997 shares raises the median wage growth in 2014 by only about 0.2 percentage point. Our results are consistent with the analysis in a previous macroblog post, which found that changing industry-employment shares could not explain much of the sluggish growth in the average hourly earnings data from the payroll survey.
Median wage growth, composition change by worker characteristics
In terms of demographics, we consider two features: a worker's age and education. As shown in this earlier macroblog post, younger workers tend to experience higher median wage growth than do older workers. Although older workers tend to be paid more based on experience, they are also more likely to be near the top of the wage distribution for their job, so the median older worker experiences less wage growth. The difference is quite large. In 2014, the median wage growth of workers over age 54 was around 1.2 percentage points lower than the overall median.
A person's education can also affect his or her wage growth. Workers with a high school diploma or less tend to have lower median wage growth. In 2014, the median wage growth of less-educated workers was about 0.1 percentage point lower than the overall median, reflecting that these workers are more likely to be earning minimum wage, which does not change very frequently.
In addition, the employment shares by age and education have changed over time. The proportion of workers in the Atlanta Fed's Wage Growth Tracker data who are over age 54 has more than doubled from 12 percent in 1997 to 25 percent in 2014. During the same period, the share of workers without a college degree has declined from 63 percent to 49 percent (see the charts).
Wage growth, composition change by job characteristics
In terms of job characteristics, we consider two features: the worker's industry (where they work) and their occupation (what they do). Before 2011, workers in service-producing industries experienced slightly higher (about 0.1 percentage point) median wage growth than all workers. But since then, the trends have flipped. In recent years, median wage growth of individuals working in service-producing industries has been slightly below the median wage growth of all workers.
Nonetheless, workers in professional occupations such as managerial, legal, scientific, and engineering jobs tend to experience relatively higher median wage growth. In 2014, the median wage growth of workers in these professional jobs was 0.2 percentage point higher than the median wage growth for all workers.
The share of workers in service-producing industries and in professional jobs has increased moderately over time. In 1997, 77 percent of workers in the data were employed in service-producing industries. In 2014, the share had increased to 82 percent. During the same period, the share of workers in professional occupations rose from 36 percent to 41 percent.
Composition effects on median wage growth
Individually, an aging workforce is putting downward pressure on wage growth, whereas rising education levels are adding upward pressure. The rising share of workers in professional occupations is also pushing wages up somewhat, although the impact of the rising share of workers in service-producing industries is ambiguous. But how large are these effects when combined?
To get an idea, we conducted two counterfactual experiments. First, we held fixed the age and education distributions at their 1997 levels (the first year in our Wage Growth Tracker data). Second, we held fixed the age, education, industry, and occupation characteristics at their 1997 levels. We used three age groups (16–24, 25–54, and 55-plus years of age), two education groups (college degree and no college degree), two industry groups (service- or goods-producing industries), and two occupation groups (professional and other occupations).
The blue line in the next chart is the median wage growth over time with no adjustments for changes in composition. For example, for 2014, the chart shows median wage growth of workers in the data set with earnings in January 2014 and January 2013, February 2014 and February 2013, etc. This depiction is the Atlanta Fed Wage Growth Tracker, but at an annual frequency. The other two lines show the results of the experiment: demographically adjusted (green) and both demographically and job adjusted (orange).
These experiments suggest that—for our data set, at least—the impact on the median of the wage growth distribution from shifts in the composition of the workforce and jobs over time has increased in recent years, but the impact is not especially large. For example, the unadjusted median wage growth for 2014 is 2.5 percent. Holding fixed all four characteristics at their 1997 levels would have raised this by only 0.2 percentage point. Shifting worker and job characteristics are not a primary explanation of low median wage growth since 2009.
July 15, 2015 in Employment, Labor Markets, Wage Growth | Permalink
June 19, 2015
Will the Elevated Share of Part-Time Workers Last?
There seems to be mounting evidence that at least part of the elevated share of part-time employment in the economy is here to stay. We have some insights to offer based on a recent survey of our business contacts.
Why are we interested? A higher part-time share of employment isn't necessarily a bad thing, if people are doing so voluntarily. Unfortunately, the elevated share is concentrated among people who would prefer to be working full-time. Using the average rate of decline over the past five years, the part-time for economic reasons (PTER) share of employment is projected to reach its prerecession average in about 10 years.
This is significantly slower than the decline in the unemployment rate, whose trajectory suggests a much sooner arrival—in around a year. The deviation raises an important policy question for measuring the amount of slack there is beyond what the unemployment rate suggests, and ultimately the extent to which policy can effectively reduce it.
What are the drivers? Data versus anecdotes
Researchers (here, here, and here) have pointed to factors such as industry shifts in the economy, changing workforce demographics, rising health care costs, and the Affordable Care Act as potentially important drivers of this shift. But we can glean only so much information from data. When a gap develops, we generally turn to our business contacts who are participating members in our Regional Economic Information Network (REIN) to fill in the missing information.
According to our contacts, the relative cost of full-time employees remains the most important reason for having a higher share of part-time employees than before the recession, which is the same response we received in last summer's survey on the same topic. Lack of strong enough sales growth to justify conversion of part-time to full-time workers came in as a close second.
The importance rating for each of the factors was notably similar to last year's survey, with one exception. Technology was rated as somewhat important, reflecting an uptick from the average response we received last year. We've certainly heard anecdotally that scheduling software has enabled firms to better manage their part-time staff, and it seems that this factor has gained in importance over the past year.
The chart below summarizes the reasons our business contacts gave in the July 2014 and the May 2015 surveys. The question was asked only of those who currently have a higher share of part-time workers than they did before the recession. The chart shows the results for all respondents, whether they responded to one or both surveys. When we limited our analysis to only those who responded to both surveys, the results were the same.
Will the elevated share persist?
The results suggest that a return to prerecession levels is unlikely to occur in the near term.
The chart below shows employers' predictions for part-time employment at their firms, relative to before the recession. About 27 percent of respondents believe that in two years, their firms will be more reliant on part-time work compared to before the recession. About 7 percent do not currently have an elevated share of part-time employees but believe they will in two years. About two-thirds believe their share of part-time will be roughly the same as before, while only 8 percent believe they will have less reliance on part-time workers compared to before the recession.
The majority of our contacts believe their share of part-time employment will normalize over the next two years, but some believe it will stay elevated. Still, 2017 does not mean the shift will be permanent. In fact, firms cited a balance of cyclical and structural factors for the higher reliance on part-time. Low sales growth and an ample supply of workers willing to take part-time jobs could both be viewed as cyclical factors that will dissipate as the economy further improves.
Meanwhile, higher compensation costs of full-time relative to part-time employees and the role of technology that enables companies to more easily manage their workforce can be considered structural factors influencing the behavior of firms. Firms that currently have a higher share of part-time employees gave about equal weight to these forces, suggesting that, as other research has found, both cyclical and structural factors are important explanations for the slow decline in the part-time share of employment.
June 19, 2015 in Business Cycles, Employment, Labor Markets, Unemployment | Permalink
Current technologies are a great enabler, this may not have been the case in the past. But one of the reasons, which needs further study is the fall out of M&A and the impact on payrolls, which makes very little allowance for full-time additions thereafter. The full time additions have been more in the retail space or service area, followed by technology, while we have seen dwindling fortunes in the Oil & Natural Gas sector, the last one has seen a switch to part-time.
Posted by:
Procyon Mukherjee |
June 21, 2015 at 11:26 PM
June 05, 2015
Atlanta Fed's Wage Growth Measure Increased Again in April
A measure of 12-month wage growth constructed here at the Atlanta Fed increased by 3.3 percent in April. This rate is up from 3.1 percent in March and at its highest level since March 2009 (see the chart).
As mentioned in an earlier macroblog post, this measure behaves broadly like the wage and salary component of the Employment Cost index (ECI). The ECI data pertain to the last month in the quarter and are published with about a four-week lag. In contrast, the Atlanta Fed measure uses individuals' hourly wage data, 12 months apart, from the Current Population Survey (CPS). The data come from publicly available CPS microdata produced by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and are typically released two or three weeks after the monthly BLS labor report.
Timeliness is one thing, but is it useful? It turns out there is a relatively strong correlation between this wage growth measure and the employment rate (100 minus the unemployment rate) lagged by 12 months (see the chart).
At least in terms of this measure of wage growth, it seems that improvement in labor utilization is translating into rising wage growth. This development is something our boss, Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart, has been looking for. We expect to be able to update this wage growth measure with the May CPS data in a few weeks.
June 5, 2015 in Employment, Labor Markets, Wage Growth | Permalink
"It turns out there is a relatively strong correlation between this wage growth measure and the employment rate."
Didn't Keynes say this nearly 80 years ago? Of course Keynes is "old school" so his observations are necessarily outdated.
Posted by:
Paul Mathis |
June 05, 2015 at 05:49 PM
It seems that the improvement in the labor market appears to lag the improvement in wages. You would think that it should be reversed, an increase in employment leads to improved wages
Posted by:
Ayelet |
June 07, 2015 at 10:18 AM
@Ayelet - I think it shows the increase in wages lags the improvement in the employment rate which is what is expected by theory and gives confidence that the continuing improvement in employment should lead to more increases in wages. Given this data would be interesting to see include labor productivity in the analysis as a perceived problem in both the US and UK recovery has been the lack of productivity gains leading to concerns that the long-term potential growth rate has been reduced
Posted by:
Oliver Bunnin |
June 09, 2015 at 03:47 AM
May 01, 2015
Signs of Strengthening Wage Growth?
The average hourly earnings measure for the private sector, reported in the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics's Establishment Survey, increased by a meager 2.1 percent in the first quarter (year over year). This increase was barely above the 2.0 percent pace observed in the fourth quarter of last year. However, Thursday's Employment Cost Index report showed a more sizable uptick in the wage and salary growth picture. Year-over-year growth in the first quarter was 2.5 percent, up from 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2014. Another wage measure that we discussed in a February macroblog post also moved notably higher in the first quarter. That measure, which is derived from earnings data in the Current Population Survey, increased from 2.8 percent in the fourth quarter of 2014 to 3.2 percent in the first quarter of this year (see the chart).
This Wall Street Journal article (subscription required) also notes that anecdotal signs suggest a turnaround in wage growth, especially among lower-wage occupations. Overall, we take the evidence to suggest some emerging momentum in wage growth. Rising wage growth is an encouraging sign and is consistent with a tightening labor market.
May 1, 2015 in Employment, Labor Markets, Wage Growth | Permalink
Great chart, thank you. Where can I find the data for CPS median hourly wage (blue line) ?
Posted by:
May 05, 2015 at 09:50 AM
March 06, 2015
Signs of Improvement in Prime-Age Labor Force Participation
This morning's job report provided further evidence of a stabilizing labor force participation (LFP) rate. After falling over 3 percentage points since 2008, LFP has been close to 62.9 percent of the population for the past seven months. Although demographics and behavioral trends explain much of the overall decline (our web page on LFP dynamics gives a full account), there is a cyclical component at work as well. In particular, the labor force attachment of "prime-age" (25 to 54 year olds) individuals to the labor force is something we're watching closely. Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Dennis Lockhart noted as much in a February 6 speech:
Over the last few years, there has been a worrisome outflow of prime-age workers—especially men—from the labor force. I believe some of these people will be enticed back into formal work arrangements if the economy improves further.
There are signs that some of the prime-age individuals who had retreated to the margins of the labor market have been flowing back into the formal labor market.For one thing, LFP among prime-age individuals stopped declining 16 months ago for women and nine months ago for men. By our estimates, declining LFP in this age category accounts for about one-third of the overall decline in LFP since 2007, so 25- to 54-year-olds' decision to engage in the labor market has a big effect on the overall rate (see the chart). Even with an improving economy, however, a turnaround in LFP among prime-age individuals might not occur.
The reason an improving economy might not reverse the LFP trends is that LFP for both prime-age men and women had been on a longer-term downward trend even before the recession began, suggesting that factors other than the recession-induced decline in labor demand have been important. But the decline in the "shadow labor force"—the share of the prime-age population who say they want a job but are not technically counted as unemployed—demonstrates the cyclical nature of the labor market. For the last year and half, the share of these individuals in the labor force has been generally declining (see the chart).
Moreover, the job-finding success of the shadow labor force has improved. Although the 12-month flow into the official labor force has remained reasonably close to 50 percent, the likelihood of flowing into unemployment (as opposed to employment) rose during the recession. But during the past two years, that trend appears to be reversing (see the chart).
The ability of the prime-age shadow labor force to find work is improving at the same time that the LFP rate of the prime-age population is stabilizing. Taken together, this trend is consistent with improving job market opportunities and further absorption of the nation's slack labor resources.For a more complete analysis of long-term behavioral and demographic effects on LFP for the prime-age and non-prime-age populations, see our Labor Force Participation Dynamics web page, which now includes 2014 data.
March 6, 2015 in Economic conditions, Employment, Labor Markets, Unemployment | Permalink
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February 26, 2015
Are Shifts in Industry Composition Holding Back Wage Growth?
The last payroll employment report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) included some relatively good news on wages. Private average hourly earnings rose an estimated 12 cents in January, the largest increase since June 2007. Even so, earnings were up only 2.2 percent over the last year versus average growth of 3.4 percent in 2007.
What accounts for the sluggish growth in average earnings? The average hourly earnings data for all workers is essentially the sum of the average earnings per hour within an industry weighted by that industry's share of employment. In this piece, Ed Lazear argues that a shift of the U.S. economy away from some high-paying industries to lower-paying industries may have contributed to dampened wage growth. Lazear specifically calls out the reduced share of employment in the relatively high-paying finance industry, at hospitals, and in the information sector as potential culprits. A shift in employment away from relatively high-wage jobs will put downward pressure on the growth in average wages.
To get some idea of the effect of industry composition on wages, I took the 2014 calendar year average wage for each industry group at the two-digit NAICS level and multiplied it by the share of employment in that industry in 2014 (admittedly, two-digit NAICS level of disaggregation is very coarse and masks a lot of potential shifts in job-types within industries). Summing across the industries gives an estimate of total average private hourly earnings in 2014. I then repeated the exercise, but using the 2007 industry shares of employment instead (see the chart).
Would average wages have been higher if we had the same mix of employment across industries as we had before the recession? The answer seems to be yes, but not much higher. If nothing had changed in the economy's industry employment mix since 2007, then average wages would have been about 12 cents higher.
This translates into a 16.8 percent increase in nominal wages between 2007 and 2014 versus a 16.2 percent increase if the actual industry employment shares where used, because the decline in the shares of employment in the relatively high paying industries Lazear cites has not been very large, and some higher-paying industries have seen growth. Moreover, some industries with below-average wages, such as retail trade, have experienced a decline in their share of employment as well.
February 26, 2015 in Employment, Labor Markets | Permalink
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"A shift of the U.S. economy away from some high-paying industries to lower-paying industries may have contributed to dampened wage growth."
"May have?" Are you kidding? A union manufacturing job (offshored to China) compared to a non-union fast-food job?
So don't just go back to pre-recession 2007, go all the way back to the trade deals under Bill Clinton in 1994 (NAFTA) and 2000 (PNTR) --- when 2000 was the year that the employment-to-population ratio and the labor force participation rate began declining.
Now Obama wants TPP and TTIP as well.
Posted by:
Budf Meyers |
February 27, 2015 at 10:46 AM
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2 posts tagged with ExperimentalPhilosophy.
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- 03-08-2011, 05:07 PM Thread Author #1
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