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The performance of pet care in 2015 was similar to 2014. Volume and value growth were slightly faster in 2015 than in 2014. This is indicative of the improved willingness by Filipinos to provide proper care for their pets with the majority preferring affordable options. As well as the improvements in the country's economy, the continuous efforts of various players to disseminate information about the nutritional requirements of pets and other aspects of providing proper pet care helped the performance of pet care in 2015.
The increased humanisation of pets resulted in greater concerns about the ingredients that are in the products pet owners give to their pets. There was therefore continuing interest in health and wellness within pet care. While most healthy pet food brands are imported, pet products are comprised of domestic brands. Local players use popular local ingredients such as coconut oil. Madre De Cacao (Gliricidia sepium), known locally as kakawate, is also used in pet healthcare due to its anti-fleas/ticks property.
Mars Philippines Inc continued to lead pet care in 2015. This partly stems from its wide brand portfolio, which includes Catsan, Cesar, Pedigree, and Whiskas, allowing it to compete in several categories such as cat litter, dog food, dog treats, and cat food. Its pet food brands are also available in both wet and dry formats, allowing it to satisfy pet owners with different preferences. Its products are also accessible to pet owners as they are mostly in the mid-price range and are distributed via key grocery retailers.
Supermarkets remained the key distribution channel for pet care in 2015. This is partly due to its accessibility to households given the wide network of outlets of major supermarket brands. Although product options in supermarkets are limited, some offer private label products that are competitively priced. Pet shops follow closely behind, offering a wider range of product and brand options.
Pet care is expected to see improvements over the forecast period with a value CAGR that is faster than the review period CAGR at constant 2015 prices. This is because more pet owners are likely to switch from table scraps as awareness of proper pet care increases and their purchasing capacity improves. Economy dry dog food, in particular, is expected to contribute the most to growth since it is likely to be the preferred option among late adapters due to its affordability.
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In recent weeks, there has been considerable discussion among "pundits" about the impact of interest rates on the stock market. It has been asserted that the increase in rates since the Spring of this year indicates that stock prices will decline. It is important to review stock market metrics which utilize interest rates as an input in order to better understand just where we are and where we are likely to go from here.
There are a variety of metrics or "rules of thumb" which strategists use to gauge the market and its likely direction. Some of these metrics take no account of prevailing interest rates whatsoever. Thus, the Cyclically Adjusted Price Earnings (CAPE) ration looks at the current price of the market and compares it with the average earnings over the past ten years to derive a ratio which is then compared with similar ratios in the past to determine whether it appears "high" or "low." This metric will give you the same answer when the federal funds rate is 15% that it will give you when the federal funds rate is 0%. Similarly, the Tobin Q looks at a ratio between two numbers calculated by the federal government and uses that ratio to determine whether the market is overpriced. As with the CAPE ratio, the Tobin Q metric does not take account of current interest rates. Analysts who have followed these metrics slavishly have already missed one of the major rallies in stock market history. I have suggested in previous articles here and here that interest rates are a necessary component in any strategic assessment of the market.
Before going further it is important to understand why interest rates are relevant to equity valuations. There are at least three important reasons. First and most fundamentally, equity valuations ultimately depend upon the discounted present value of future cash flow; the discount rate used in this calculation should depend - at least in part - upon current interest rates. A low discount rate will produce a higher present value and, thus, low rates tend to produce higher equity valuations. Stated more simply, in a world in which it is hard to get a 3% return on one's money, a piece of paper which has a dividend yield of 3% and an earnings yield of 6% tends to be worth more than that same piece of paper is worth in a world in which it is easy to get a 12% yield on one's money.
Secondly, investors will have a tendency to demand a lower dividend and earnings yield from stocks when those investors do not have attractive alternatives in the form of high yielding bonds. While there are all sorts of caveats, there is definitely a tendency for low interest rates to push or, perhaps, coax investors in the direction of equities with a resulting upward pressure on prices.
Finally, corporations themselves will engage in "financial engineering" if cheap debt is available. This is sometimes described as "balance sheet optimization" and takes the form of borrowing money to buy back stock, engaging in cash for stock acquisitions and participating in leveraged buy outs. In each case, returns on equity can be enhanced by trading low yielding debt for equity with a higher earnings yield. As long as the after tax interest rate on debt used to fund repurchases is lower than the earnings yield (the inverse of the price earnings ratio) of the stock being repurchased, the net effect of borrowing to buy back stock is to increase earnings per share.
If it makes sense that low interest rates are good for stocks, then shouldn't it be the case that an increase in interest rates will result in a decline in stock averages? Not necessarily. In the current market, a strong case can be made that an expectation of higher interest rates is already "baked in" to the pricing of the market.
I am aware of at least two market metrics utilizing interest rates to assess the market. Let's take a look at what they tell us.
The Fed Model. The first metric is the "Fed Model" which utilizes the 10 year Treasury Bond yield and compares it with the earnings yield on stocks. It was popularized in the 1990's (I believe, by Ed Yardeni) and has the virtue of simplicity. The Table below provides a series of 10 year Treasury Bond yields and corresponding price earnings (NYSE:PE) ratios and projected S&P 500 index prices. I am using S&P data from Barron's (earnings of $87.20, a price of $1709.91 and a PE of 19.50). I have used the low Treasury rate from last summer, the current rate of 2.73%, and some potential future rates.
|S&P 500 Index
Under the Fed Model, the S&P 500 Index is actually priced for a 10 year Treasury Bond yield of over 5%, well above the current level of 2.73%. When the low rates were reached last summer, stocks were priced at levels building in enormous expectations of rising rates, which expectations have not yet been realized. At the current rate of 2.73% the yield on ten year Treasuries implies a PE of 36.6 and a pricing of the Index at almost twice its current levels. So - yes - higher rates have reduced the price of the Index as suggested by the Fed Model, but the reduction has been from a level nearly four times the current price down to a level nearly twice the current price! And rates could go up a long way before they would begin to reach levels which would suggest that the market is overpriced.
The Timmer Model. The second metric which uses interest rates is the Timmer Model and is based on insights in an excellent article by Jan Timmer . Focusing on the phenomenon of financial engineering, this model is based upon the after tax interest rate paid by corporate borrowers. The reasoning is that - as long as this rate is lower than the earnings yield on common stock - corporate management will be able to increase earnings per share by borrowing money and buying back stock. This will tend to lead the earnings yield to equal the after tax borrowing cost. Using this metric, one can estimate the PE that would be associated with a given interest rate and use this PE to calculate a target price for the Index.
It is, of course, impossible to develop a universal corporate borrowing rate. I have conservatively used six per cent as a rate at which many of the large corporations can borrow money for 10 years. Readers should be aware that many, many large corporations can borrow at much, much lower rates. For example, Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) has 10 year bonds priced to yield 3.64%, Verizon (NYSE:VZ) 3.55%, Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) 4.06%, and AT&T (NYSE:T) 4.15%. In this regard, the S&P 500 Index is weighted by market cap and so the impact of large companies with low borrowing costs - such as AAPL, Exxon (NYSE:XOM), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) and Verizon - is very large. Thus, the 6 per cent borrowing cost I am using for companies in the Index is very, very conservative. At any rate, I have assumed a 35% corporate tax rate and I have calculated the after tax borrowing cost, the PE, and the Index price which would correspond to various corporate interest rates using this Model.
|After Tax Cost
|Index Price
Under this Model and using the 6 per cent rate(which is almost certainly considerably too high) , the market is currently priced nearly 20% below target. The current pricing would be warranted only as the interest rate faced by large corporations began to near 8%. Once again, we have a long way to go before interest rates will start flashing a "Sell!" signal.
I do not believe any model should be accorded a talismanic reverence and I make no exception for the Fed Model or the Timmer Model. However, I believe it is also a serious mistake to worship at the altar of a model which ignores interest rates. I also believe that, as long as the earnings yield on a stock is substantially below the company's after tax borrowing costs, there will be a strong incentive for financial engineering through share repurchases and, to a lesser extent, cash for stock acquisitions. These forces will lead to financial engineering which will provide buying pressure in the market and will gradually remove shares from the market. While these forces may not actually force the market to the exact levels suggested by the Model, they will exert a powerful force and this force will tend to become more powerful to the extent that the market deviates further from the level suggested by the Model because the incentives favoring financial engineering will be enhanced by such deviation.
I think that the current environment continues to favor companies with strong balance sheets that can take advantage of generous credit markets and, in this connection, I am still bullish on AAPL, MSFT, Cisco (NASDAQ:CSCO), Seagate (NASDAQ:STX), Western Digital (NYSE:WDC) and Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ). All things being equal, higher interest rates are bad for stocks. But the market has already priced in substantial increases in interest rates so that interest rate increases do not necessarily constitute sell signals.
Disclosure: I am long AAPL, MSFT, CSCO, XOM, BAC, VZ, T. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.


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|Used mobile phone,iPhone and android smart phones (new/used),Handset terminals (new/used),Tablet terminals (new/used),Notebook PCs (new/used)
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We appreciate that you have inquiry to Nippon Telephone. Although we are willing to ask your q...
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Although we are willing to ask your questions, the person in charge is on leave until 17th Aug.
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Company introduction
NIPPON TELEPHONE INC. was established in June 1988. It is a legitimate agent for cell phones and land line phones in Japan. Based on the know how we have built up through our track record with the major telecommunication companies and our directly owned business track record, we lead the market as a pioneer in dealing with used cell phones within Japan. As of January 2014, we have a major chain of stores domestically with a total of 84 directly owned and franchised stores.
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The products our company deals with are for the most part cell phones and smart phones sold within Japan. We handle a multitude of models from major overseas manufacturers and the main Japanese manufacturers, so we buy and sell many of the popular smart phones like iPhone, Galaxy and Xperia. Since the products we handle are of extremely high quality, we have a good reputation with a multitude of customers. Our company takes used cell phones, and having erased the data and cleaned them, fully restores them to be good quality products. Also, beyond used items, we have a wide selection of new, unused outlet goods.
As we are a wholesaler, we only sell in large quantity with orders of 100 or more.
For small orders please visit our ebay site.
Listed on JASDAQ Company code 9425
Received privacy mark certification No. 210000841(04)
Trade Capacity View More >
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Compare - Freudian Psychoanalysis with Carl Rogers? Person-Centered Therapy
Question;This week, take the time to compare Freudian Psychoanalysis with Carl Rogers? Person-Centered Therapy. Discuss your answers on the following for class discussion: (Click here for referenced videos.)1. After viewing the video on Existential Therapy, talk about the issue of Stan and his Father being in the hospital. What was the technique that Dr. Corey used with Stan? What are your thoughts about what you might have done with this issue?2. In the Person Centered video, what was the emotion that Dr. Corey had as he talked with Stan? Do you think that it was helpful for him to share this? Why or why not?3. In the Gestalt video, what did Dr. Corey ask Stan to become? What do you think about this? Would you have handled it differently? Explain your answer. Can the interpretation of dreams really assist someone to get better?
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Our editors will be looking ahead today to these developing stories ...
Deadline for death penalty decision
US prosecutors are set to indicate whether they will seek the death penalty against Boston marathon bombing suspect Dzhokhar Tsarnaev. Earlier a federal judge rejected a request from lawyers for Tsarnaev to allow the defence more time to prepare their arguments against execution. Twin explosions at the April 15 marathon killed three people and injured more than 260. Tsarnaev has pleaded not guilty to 17 charges that carry the possibility of the death penalty.
Day to celebrate MTR expansion
A ceremony will be held today to celebrate the completion of major structural works on all three new stations on the West Island Line. Sai Ying Pun, Hong Kong University and Kennedy Town will become Hong Kong's newest MTR stations when the line, an extension of the Island Line whose terminus is at Sheung Wan, is completed next year, five years after construction started. Chief Secretary Carrie Lam Cheng Yuet-ngor will join other dignitaries for the ceremony in Kennedy Town.
Singapore match-fixing accused in the dock
Businessman Eric Ding Si Yang, who is accused of bribing three Lebanese referees with the services of a prostitute to try to fix an AFC Cup football match, is due back in court today. The referees were convicted in June of accepting sexual services in return for match fixing. Ding Si Yang, a local nightclub owner, has denied the charges. Two of the referees, who have since been deported after completing their sentences, have refused to return to give evidence for the prosecution.
Sudan or South Sudan?
The results of a referendum on what country a disputed region wishes to belong to are expected to be announced today. Thousands of residents of the flashpoint Abyei region, claimed by both Sudan and South Sudan, went to the polls in a bid break the deadlock. But some observers say the outcome of the three-day vote could trigger violence. Abyei's status was left undecided when South Sudan declared independence from Sudan in 2011 and a long-promised official plebiscite on its status has been stalled by arguments over who can vote, prompting the three-day local referendum, whose result is non-binding.
Shanghai hosts golfers in 'Asia's major'
World number three Phil Mickelson leads a star-studded field battling for supremacy at the US$8.5 million World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions, which begins today in Shanghai.
Some 40 of the top 50 players in the world are making the journey to compete in what has been dubbed "Asia's major", co-sanctioned by the US PGA, European and Asian tours. On the fairways at Sheshan Golf Club with British Open champion Mickelson, who won this event in 2007 and 2009, will be current major champions Justin Rose (US Open) and Jason Dufner (US PGA). The 7,266-yard Sheshan layout opened in 2004.
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18.01.17 21:53
Eezham Tamils mark MGRs birth centenary
Eezham Tamils mark MGRs birth centenary
Peoples Bank fails to announce remedial measures to war affected customers in Vanni[TamilNet, Tuesday, 08 June 2010, 04:31 GMT]
The customers of Peoples Bank branches in Vanni who expected alternative measures to be announced in the events of opening three Peoples Bank branches Monday in Vanni were greatly disappointed as the key officials, including Governor of Sri Lanka Central Bank, Ajith Nivard Cabraal who participated in the events failed to say anything about their bank documents lost due to war, sources in Vanni said.
Thousands in Vanni had lost all their properties including their important documents like bank deposit books and other documents related to their banks in the war.
They find themselves in great difficulties and unable to withdraw cash from their deposits or to redeem pawned articles without the documents.
Though they were unable to attend these events they were expecting remedial or alternative measures to be announced in the opening of their banks in Vanni.
Peoples Bank branches of Maangkulam, Kilinochchi and Paranthan areas where uprooted civilians have been allowed to resettle in Vanni which had ceased to function due to war were officially reopened Monday.
Only a very few members of the public were present in these events while they were attended by officials from South and a large number of Sri Lanka Army (SLA) officers.
Latest 15 Reports
18.01.17 21:53
Eezham Tamils mark MGRs birth centenary
Reproduction of this news item is allowed when used without
any alterations to the contents and the source, TamilNet, is mentioned
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Rumormill: Toyota developing baby roadster based on iQ
Toyota worked up an entirely new platform for its new iQ minicar, which features a very unique 3+1 seating arrangement in an effort to outsmart its competitors. Such a development takes a good deal of resources and Toyota seems to be considering ways to defray that cost through additional models based on the same underpinnings. The latest vehicle architecture to add to the always active rumormill would be a small two-seat roadster. If the German buff book Auto Motor und Sport is correct, expect the new sub-Miata-fighter to debut in concept form at the 2009 Tokyo Motor Show and be called the Spider. The roadster would likely get the same powerplants as the normal iQ, including both gasoline and diesel four-cylinder variants. A decision on a production model, though, is likely still a good ways off. Other iQ models said to be waiting in the wings are an upcoming Yaris successor, a hybrid and a mini-minivan. Though we know the iQ has a good chance of being sold in the United States wearing a Scion badge, we have no idea yet how many of these other models could follow.
[Source: Auto Motor und Sport via Carscoop]
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Stringent measures have recently been inaugurated by
the Ontario Government to deport all delinquents and de-
pendents who have resided in Canada for less than two
years. Already a large number of immigrants have been
returned to the European ports, and a careful inquiry is
being made to ascertain the number of patients in the
hospitals for the insane who have had less than two years'
residence in this countr>-. For several years there has been
evidence of the fact that in the large immigration to Can-
ada there were many who soon became a public charge
and whose maintenance had to be provided for in public
institutions. Strange to say. there was considerable hesi-
tation in taking the steps which are now being taken to
have such persons returned to their homes. One of the
results will no doubt be that steamship and railway com-
[Nov. 24, 1906
panics will be more careful when they understand that the
undesirable immigrants brought over have to be returned
free by the transportation companies. Those coming from
the United States are also returned to their homes, for as
a result of a recent census it was quite manifest that in
the public institutions of Ontario there were many Ameri-
can citizens being cared for who had resided in Canada
for less than two years.
There have been several football fatalities in Canada
during the past few weeks; in fact, so frequent have been
these unfortunate occurrences that it is now suggested
that the game should be prohibited. The university campus
at Toronto has been the scene of numerous accidents, and
two young men who went into the game there in ap-
parently the best of health w^ere fatally injured. Montreal,
Ottawa, and Kingston have each reported serious acci-
dents. It is said that last year in the United States twenty-
eight students were killed and over 1,000 more seriously
injured at football. Canada this year is certainly contrib-
uting its full share to the fatalities of the sport. Consid-
ering the numbers engaged, the casualty list is greater
than in the late Russo-Japanese War. It is now seriously
felt that a game with such a record should have no place
in college life, and its total banishment from the campi
of Canadian universities will not cause much surprise or
any long-continued regret.
OUR Purchase Zestoretic LONDON LETTER.
(From Oi.r Special Correspondent.)
THE VIVISECTION COMMISSION — FEEBLE-MINDED Zestoretic Online COMMISSION
London, November 2, 1906.
A PUBLIC meeting convened by the National Health Society
was held on Monday, with the object of drawing attention
to the need for further measures to guard the food supply
of the country. Sir F. Treves took the chair and, remark-
ing that the society liad for years preached to deaf ears,
but it was to be hoped that for once the public would listen,
urged the importance of Purchase Zestoretic Online the food supply, as it affected
everyone personally and acutely. This supply was spoken
of as good, but much uncertainty existed as to whether it
was wholesome, untainted, and incapable of communicating
disease. As the bacillus of typhoid was not visible to the
public, they did not seem to mind swallowing it by the
thousand. The matter touched the diminishing birth rate
at one end and the infant mortality at the other. The
treatment of our meat before we ate it was no advance
on that of the cave dwellers. It was said tliat cooking de-
stroyed all germs, but that was no reason for throwing
meat on the floor. Our neglect was being paid for by ill
health, disease, and death. He paid a cordial tribute to the Lisinopril 20
work of the medical officers of health, but those gentlemen
would agree that their inspections were carried out at the
wrong end— at the finish instead of at the source. He
quoted Zestoretic Price certain statements from the last report of the med-
ical officers for Stepney and declared such things could
only be remedied by an aroused public opinion.
Sir J. Crichton-Browne referred to a meeting held a fen-
days previously, when it was declared that recent revela-
tions about canned meats had only the flimsiest foundation,
and that on the whole they were as nutritious as fresh
meat. He disputed these statements. Properly prepared
canned meats were palatable, wholesome, and nutritious,
though not so nutritious as fresh. It was most desirable
they should be subjected to inspection — as, indeed, should
all perishable foods. Imported foods should bring with
them a public warranty from the country of origin, and
also be tested at the port of entry. Inspection must be of
a highly technical and skilled character if the wiles of the
adulterator were to be circumvented. Private slaughter-
houses should be abolished and the London Act which
penalized the sending a diseased carcass to market should
be extended to the whole country. The adulteration acts
worry the retailer, but let the real culprit go scot free.
A resolution was adopted demanding further protection of
our food, particularly meat, milk, preserved foods, and
At the Medico-Chirurgical Dr. A. M. Gossage read a
paper on "Dilatation of the Heart," advocating almost ex-
C'lj.'-ivelv the myogenic theory. The action of the heart
being of muscular origin, he attributed dilatation to dimin-
ished tone of the fibers of the muscle, though he admitted
that tonicity might be affei-tcd by nervous or other influ-
ences, and that in either direction. Thus it would seem
that those who do not accept the myogenic explanation
inve foundation for their scepticism. Dr. Gossage credited
tlic cardiac muscle with the power of rhythmically building
up excitability, conductivity, contractility, and tonicity. He
cdopted the view that the contraction started from the
great veins, but he had to admit that it is possible under
artificial stimulus that it may begin in the ventricles. Dila-
tation, he held, was due to diminution of tonicity and was
associated with increased e.xcitability, and also, perhaps,
contractility. Drugs which increase tonicity are followed
by a reverse condition. With loss of tone the ventricles
become the more excitable part and extra systoles ensue,
and if this loss become excessive, the stimulus is greater
still in the ventricles, and from them the rhythm starts.
In discussing the paper, Dr. A. Morison remarked that
more than one factor was concerned in any organic action,
and in loss of tone the blood supply and innervation had
to Zestoretic 20 be considered. The most constantly rhythmic organs
had the most nerve supply. He could not accept the myo-
genic theory as altogether sufficient.
Dr. E. I. Spriggs referred to mechanical factors as the
load Generic Zestoretic on the ventricular walls in bringing on dilatation, and
said he would like some proof of extra systoles starting in
the ventricle.
Dr. John Hay mentioned the new point of the paper,
viz., that when tone increased, other functions decreased.
It was doubtful whether tonicity was of the same nature
as contractility. He cited the effects of infusing sodium
and digitalis.
Professor Wenckebach accepted the myogenic theory in
full. Was the stimulus Zestoretic Generic for contraction given by nerves Buy Zestoretic or
the cardiac muscle? The properties of the latter were
known and could be acted on. No proof was forthcoming
that tone and rate were interdependent. The relation of
tonicity to contractility was not known.
This discussion seems to show that physiology has yet
more to investigate on Order Zestoretic the points considered.
At the Medical Society "The Bacteriology of Aseptic
Wounds" was the subject of a paper by Drs. Dudgeon
and Sargent. The staphylococci were spoken of a good deal.
In fifty aseptic wounds, most of them operative, no chemical
antiseptic having been used in forty-five, the authors found
in these forty-five the wound was sterile in twenty-six.
In the other nineteen the Staph, albus was present in fif-
teen. In six of the forty-five the skin was sterile. In
only one of the whole fifty cases was there suppuration,
and in that the 5. aureus was found. In all there was
some pyrexia after operation which they thought due to
6". albus. They suggested that this might play a physiologi-
cal part.
Mr. Lockwood considered any wound containing bac-
teria to be septic. He used carbolic acid, but only one in
sixty, and thought chemical antiseptics Zestoretic 20 12.5 Mg indispensable in
Mr. Spencer thought there was no proof of such di-^tinc-
tion between 5. albus and 5". aureus, as suggested in the
Mr. Malcolm said the S. albus was not always present,
and therefore could not be physiologically necessary in
healing wounds, and inflammation sometimes had a chemi-
cal origin.
Mr. Leedham-Green described experiments with pure
metals as sutures, etc. Copper was the most powerful
bactericidally, silver and iron being both much weaker.
At the Clinical Society there were many interesting ex-
hibits. .\ case of traumatic cephalhydrocele in a female
infant of si.x weeks which he had treated by operation
was shown by Mr. Drew. The baby was admitted to the
hospital within a few hours of accident with a large swell-
ing on the right side of the head. There Zestoretic Tablets had been no loss
of consciousness. For two days after admission there was
twitching of left arm and leg and impulse in the swelling
when the child cried. The tumor increased and the gap
in the bone w-idened to about one-half an inch. At the
operation the sac was found to be formed by separated
peritoneum. On letting off the fluid profound shock en-
sued. The fracture was in the parietal, one-half inch
across, and through the center hernia of brain protruded.
This was cut off, the bones drawn together with silver
wire, periosteum replaced, and the wound sutured. Mr.
Godlee congratulated Mr. Drew, and remarked on the
rarity of success in such cases.
Another brain case was a child of four years and ten
months admitted to the Children's Hospital with symptoms
of cerebellar tumor. Mr. Ballance operated in June, 1905,
and removed the large tumor shown. Good recovery
Dr. Garrod showed a case of alkaptonuria. A girl of
three Zestoretic Strengths was the patient, Zestoretic Cost and no other case had been known
in the families of her parents who were not related. The
condition seems more rare in females than in males, only
Nov. 24, 1906]
six or seven cases in girls being recorded out of a total of
about forty congenital cases.
Several bone cases were exhibited, e.g. traumatic sepa-
ration of the head of the femur, as shown in a skiagram.
Malunited fracture of both bones at the ankle joint treated
by operation. Deformity of the long bones in a girl of
eight. Skiagrams seemed to show that the chief deformi-
ties were due to fractures and Cheap Zestoretic irregular ossification at
short distances from the epiphyseal lines. Mr. Glutton,
president, thought the case was one of rickets, and still
progressing; he found fragilitas ossium often due to Buy Zestoretic Online
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http://localhost:4503/content/lfw/en/blogs/larrys-vcview-blog.html2017-01-10T11:22:35.103ZLarry's VC View BlogLarry's VC View is the bi-weekly blog by photonics entrepreneur and budding venture capitalist Adobe Experience ManagerWater deals firstname.lastname@example.com MarshallIt's been said that water is the new gasoline--I hope not, it will be hard to drink. ;-) I am a big believer in water investments; in the US we pay a fraction of a penny per gallon of water, while in the rest of the world it is priced by market forces--many times higher than here. As it did in telecom, deregulation will hit this industry and fortunes will be lost and made. In my real estate investments I have a partner who has been in bottled water for years, and is seeing a disproportionate escalation of water-related real estate values (i.e., land with springs and no waterfront). About 10 years ago I helped a friend with a European water bottling outfit differentiate his product using laser marking--there's a stretch of technology. ;-)

In China and India, clean water is on the top-10 list of key infrastructure needs for the future. Coming from Australia, which is almost always in drought, I have a keen appreciation of how critical water is. Israel is a source of exceptional water-related technologies because, as with most things, need drives solutions. So far I have seen quite a few water deals, but I am having trouble finding the killer app/technology. There are membrane technologies that filter the water, specialty plumbing systems that recycle gray water and use it for non-potable applications, and there are software suites that model and optimize flow. It's a really large and fragmented industry; it's hard to make sales and they are usually consultative and long, with slow-moving technology adoption. Sound familiar?

So we laser jocks or telecom experts should be good at this area…maybe.

So many of the areas we plan in have this same characteristic, but the water industry exacerbates all the usual obstacles to selling for a startup: you are small and they take a long time to make a decision (you may burn through two rounds of financing before they put you in a field trial). If you win the field trial, then you have to support it, and if you get a design win, then you have to convince them you can supply and you'll burn through a third round of funding just doing that. But then you can ride the wave. :-)

There are some great, venture-investible technologies that help the water ecosystem, despite its fragmentation and selling difficulties. Acoustic leak detection systems using sonar, fiber-optic pipeline monitoring, unique algaes and chemicals that simplify and improve water purification, and also new electrolytes and electrode materials that make electrolysis easier to separate H2 out of water driven by solar energy. As with Palm Oil, water may be seriously undervalued--but we had better hope people don't start turning it into energy for fear of making life's vital quantity-priced like gasoline...tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8157359490582575291.post-22555076278583300582013-04-19T18:12:00.000Z2013-04-19T18:18:04.310ZCourse firstname.lastname@example.com of the key gifts of a great entrepreneur is their ability to execute real-time course correction in response to market changes, team changes, morale changes, and investor and customer sentiment. :)

As a hardware guy, it's fascinating for me to observe the truly real-time nature of management of Internet companies, and the amenability of the data to real-time analysis. For example, a retail web business continually tweaks its Web site -- everything from background color to placement of the buttons and core code -- but they do it in an endless series of micro tweaks, then measure the changes in site metrics to determine whether it was the right tweak or not. I saw the extrapolation of this metrics-based management in a company that sells specialty products to women when they tested a series of "hardware" initiatives in the same way they would test Web. In this case, they tried selling their product through real-world parties with interested women customers and measured the effects of different party structures and formats across multiple events to determine the optimum. When I heard the results and analysis and ultimate conclusions, I was struck with the simple question of "why not just ask someone who has done Tupperware parties or Avon, how they do it, and why?" Especially when some of the conclusions on the formats that didn't work were based on fairly obvious problems like, "if the women in the group didn't know each other, we didn't sell as muchâ¦" Fairly obvious, even to a non-Avon user.

Contrasting Internet, software, and hardware highlights to me a fundamental difference and issue in the area of product management, which is always the Achilles' heel of startups. Despite the experiences of VCs, most startups still suffer badly from poor product management -- it's not a well understood discipline, and confused with marketing and sales as much as marcomm is confused with true marketing. Being one of the classic failure points, I am always surprised when investors don't want to spend $ on a solid product management expert before "developing the technology" -- how on earth will you know what to develop? In any hardware company -- take your pick from semi to medical device -- the product is always late because the software isn't finished. :) The software guys can't really test until the hardware is done. For the hardware guys, the product management and vision had better be perfect. Otherwise, the chip that took over a year to design, tape out, and FAB may work great but have the wrong interface or attributes, or control software that simply doesn't suit the customer -- and another spin takes at least 6 months more. :) These issues are somewhat amenable to analysis (not as in a consumer Web site), but largely the work of a very thoughtful and usually somewhat visionary product manager who understands the customer, the technology, the market, and the likely changes. Good startup CEOs know the fatal error of asking the customer what they want and building the product based solely on that (you get the same product you have today, but at a lower price with more features).

Let's face it, software might be trying to eat the world but if you really know what you are doing, you do it in hardware. :)tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8157359490582575291.post-47083045337945510672013-02-20T18:54:00.001Z2013-04-19T18:16:26.767ZDon't get firstname.lastname@example.com
So the pitch went great, lots of good discussion and Q&A, but still no $...what happens now? Firstly, don't be put off by a VC not investing in your idea--there are many, many reasons why this happens. Please don't assume your idea sucks; at the same time, also don't assume they don't get it--the fact is, you can't kiss every girl. VCs (should) only invest in things they can really add value to--so if they don't understand your technology or haven't personally built a business in that space, chances are they wont want to fund it because they cant add anything beyond mere $.

A little known fact, VCs love to learn--why did they listen to your pitch if they didn't really understand the space? Because you can teach them--in return, they will teach you. They will spend some time with you helping you find the right VC through their network, if you seem to have a solid idea. Furthermore, if they do understand the space generally, they will often spend a long period of time helping you iron out the kinks in your plan. I know of one company that Dado spent almost 18 months with before ultimately funding. Some companies take a lot of work before they are investible. This is a really good piece of the ecosystem--now, many entrepreneurs from other places don't realize or believe how much time a valley VC may be willing to spend to nurture a potentially great idea. So, here is a story--some chip guys came up with a very high risk concept pushing the chip performance envelope almost to its theoretical limits. They were pretty well qualified to do so but while their chip design knowledge was great, their market knowledge was poor. So a very well known chip investor spent about 9 months working with the team, almost turning them into EIRs and letting them work closely with the rest of his team to flesh out their concept. The company was probably 3 months away from being investible, but at that point they secured a term sheet from one of the top 3 firms on Sandhill rd, not well known for syndication of deals--they took the money & ran (per good advice ;-) but failed to get the original VC dialed into the deal--very, very bad...). One of my own companies in the optical space had a similar history where one of the founders had leveraged actually 3 different, small VC firms for almost a year before getting funded. I found out about the history about a year after that and set about mending fences, but hard as it is to believe entrepreneurs are stupid enough to leverage this help and then dump the VCs in favor of another, the emotion is a lot likely being dumped for a prettier girl, and it leaves pretty nasty scars, too. Now, this ususually is a byproduct of heady times of rapid market growth--in poor economic climates, it's far more common for VCs to band together and prefer more people at the table to share the risk.

Getting turned down isn't the end of the world--in fact, let's turn it around to the VC getting jilted by the entrepreneur. In the case of the chip company, the dumped VC now had a very clear perspective of the space and knew what he felt was wrong with the team's original idea, so was in a great position to evaluate the next 4 groups that pitched him for the same concept and thereby selected the optimal competitor who is now making the original team's life hell...fun, isn't it. Every no from a VC is an opportunity to learn. Make sure you ask for a debrief--VCs are optimists and they live by relationships. They want to invest the $ they have; they will work with you to make you investible if you are patient, honest, and have fundamentally a good idea. The more honest they are the more it can hurt, but make it easy for them to be honest; otherwise, all you'll get is "love the deal, but we are not doing any more in this space."
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8157359490582575291.post-81770468251252341242012-11-27T22:34:00.000Z2013-04-19T18:16:26.864ZLife is too firstname.lastname@example.com
Larry Ellison has known this for years, as he tries to extend his years ;-), but also in the sense, I mean. I had breakfast with a friend at Kleiner last week and he was bemoaning wasting 3 months on a deal and having to drop it. He was doing a deal with a foreign company in a region known for tough negotiations--and great falafels. So he had done all his diligence, reworked the plan with the team 5 times, secured his tier 1 co-investor (yes, even Kleiner likes to have a co sometimes), and had signed the term sheet. But there was a slight problem: There was a local angel investor who wanted to renegotiate the deal. He wanted blocking rights, veto rights, and the more they talked, the worse it got. Worse, the CEO clearly couldn't manage the negotiation, and my friend had been negotiating with the wrong person and quickly decided 3 things:

1. If the CEO couldn't manage his investor, then he couldn't run the company.
2. The angel investor added no value to the company, and would jeopardize its success.
3. Life is just too short; he had seen this movie before and knew the ending.

There are very few negotiations you will do in your life that are transactions without some form or ongoing relationship. Even when you buy a car--a negotiation that is very adversarial complete with appeal to authority, missing man scenario, even ignoratio allenchi, and all 7 of the classic gambits--there is still a relationship to worry about post-transaction: Someone has to service your car and deal with your warranty.

Someone who takes a transactional approach to a deal with you is a great example of life's too short--you should politely bow out and forget the deal, no matter how good it seems. Entrepeneurs have been often been advised to tell the VC that they don't need or want the money--don't play this game--you will get "great, then come see me when you do." If it's going to be all about price, go to a bank, a strategic investor, or an angel--the price will inevitably be better, but the value-add will likewise be less. And if it's just a transaction, why would you expect any value after the transaction?

Another classic tell is assignment of blame--in its worst form, the entrepreneur blames you when things go wrong, but generally it's their team or the economy, or the weather. Life is simply too short to work with anyone who won't accept personal responsibility for what they do. This tell usually comes out in the first Q&A session.

First impressions from engineers are difficult because they are almost always geeky--a good friend here in the valley created the first impression with some foreign investors that he would make a lousy CEO. Too much of a techie and a geek--kind of a gangly, dorky guy. Now, he is that, but if you have ever worked with, say, Intel, you will find that they are all a bit that way, but if you listen to what they are saying, you will quickly realize that they are really exceptional business people as well. The culture of semi people is quite unique--to be good, they have to be quirky, and only the paranoid survive. :-) So, I am not talking about superficial first impression--you have to see deeper than that. As dorky as my friend can be, his integrity is without question and his dedication focus and passion for what he does are compelling. He also built 4 tech companies and turned a zero-revenue tech acquisition into a division on Intel generating 100s of millions in revenue--so his business skills aren't too shabby, either.

A young guy in Sydney caught my admiration dramtically when he argued passionately on a panel of older, more experienced investors, a very controversial point--but he showed passion and belief, and some serious cojones to take the position he did. (And, by the way, against my point of view as well--yet as a first impression--I've gotta find a way to work with this guy!)

It's really hard to practice what you preach in this regard. I am working on a project at present where we are literally founding the company around the entrepreneur--which any good VC should do. In this case, it's the opposite of the first impression--my first impression was "there is something here; this guy is good, but he needs a lot of help." In working with him I have since seen many red flags, but can't get past my first impression--we'll see if it works out. :-)
tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8157359490582575291.post-85482530758809775452012-08-29T20:02:00.001Z2013-04-19T18:16:26.960Z 500 Cannot serve request to /content/lfw/en/blogs/larrys-vcview-blog/_jcr_content.feed on this server ApacheSling/2.2 (Day-Servlet-Engine/4.1.52, Java HotSpot(TM) 64-Bit Server VM 1.7.0_51, Windows Server 2012 6.2 amd64)


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I'm going for my second cycle. First cycle was 3 years ago.
It consisted of test c and deca. I gained muscle, but lost weight on purpose after .i wanted my 6 pak.I don't think I ate enough during my cycle though. My friend gained more and he was lighter before cycle. I think he just ate more or his genetics are better. He stands at 190s-200with a killer back. The good thing is that I can lift just as much as he can and I'm lighter. My max bench press is 315. I plan to do a cycle of test e@ 500mg a week for 10 weeks and maybe some winny towards the end of cycle.
Pct on hand.
Should I stack it diffrently?
What should I eat?
Calorie intake?
Here's my stats:
Early 30's
165 pounds
8-9% body fat maybe less.


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