text:
Looking for: Full-time, Part-time, Casual Babysitting, Live-in
I am 26 years old female from Japan. I took a year off from teaching job in Japan and moved to Australia in May to have new experiences. I worked as a teacher for two and half years in Japan and I had worked as a babysitter looking after four kids (5 year-old girl, 3 years-old twins,boy and girl, and 1 year-old boy) with their mum for 5 months in Western Australia. I also have some experience babysitting for 2 and 4 years old girls when I was in Canada. I am still in touch with those girls and I think it is a good opportunity for small kids to meet someone from different ethnic.
30 year old female carer
Course Complete
Other Skills
Residency status
Travelling until May 2013


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We are an independent, Christian school in the heart of Cape Town with a rich history and tradition of educating boys for the last 102 years.
Our aim at WPPS is to unlock our boys' God-given talents by providing them with a wide variety of activities, experiences and resources with which they are able, not only to find their strengths, but also to develop them optimally. Our education is aimed at developing the whole child – namely the mind (academically and culturally), the body (on the sportsfield), the heart (values) and the soul (spiritually).
In doing all of this, we are very conscious of the need to inculcate the correct attitudes in our boys. They not only need skills, but they also need to have the drive, passion, discipline, resilience and determination to succeed. At WPPS, we endeavour to inspire our boys to engage positively and with purpose, in order for them to make their dreams a reality.
"Iusta Tenete" is our motto and it means "Hold fast to that which is right". Our boys need to be empowered to have the courage to seek the truth and hold on to it steadfastly. We believe that it is vital that our boys have the values of courage, respect, love, compassion and self-sacrifice instilled inFULL STORY

subset: commoncrawl


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text:
Strange little nugget people and their strange little adventures.
It's Arfenhouse, the movie!!!1
Meet Cuboy, he is the ultimate friend!
AMAZING pixel art. nice genre music to fit in with nyan cat good job
That was great, very creative put together very well, nicely done! :D
Guess who loves this?.......This guy. I always thought the nyan cat thing was a bit overhyped and way to popular for what it was. But this made it watchable to me. Just my opinion. The title of your video pretty much prepares you for randomness, so anybody claiming there's no logic to it, even without the title prep...It's Nyan Cat. What part made sense to begin with? Loved the Metal Cat scene, the scene I think was a reference to the Mighty Mighty Bosstones (Ska Band), and the Monty Python scene. All of them were good, but I like those the most. Overall, I give this a 5 because I can't not like it.
I thought this was a game at first, but then i found out it was video. Who would guess lawl XD
Nyan Cat has gone Turbo lol.


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The Globalist Quiz: Answer
A. 645 million is not correct.
The health gains are significant. The current level of contraceptive use prevents 218 million unintended pregnancies each year. That, in turn, averts 55 million unplanned births, 138 million abortions (40 million of which would have been performed under unsafe conditions), 25 million miscarriages and 118,000 pregnancy-related deaths, according to research conducted by the Guttmacher Institute and the UN Population Fund.
In addition to health gains, empowering women to prevent unintended pregnancies has broader benefits. They include increased education for women, better child health, greater family savings and more stable societies.
B. 222 million is correct.
An estimated 222 million women in developing countries have an unmet need for contraception. If all these women were using modern methods of contraception, unintended pregnancies would decline by two-thirds, from 80 million to 26 million. This reduction would result in 26 million fewer abortions, 21 million fewer unplanned births and seven million fewer miscarriages.
C. 80 million is not correct.
In 2012, an estimated 80 million unintended pregnancies will occur in the developing world. Pregnancies that occur too early or too late in a woman's life, or that follow too soon after a previous one, can have negative health effects for both mother and baby.
D. 291,000 is not correct.
In 2012, an estimated 291,000 women in developing countries are expected to die from pregnancy-related causes – and 104,000 of these pregnancies will have been unintended.
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Two Quaker parrots...pallid blue male and green female. Must go together as they love each other. Just don't have time for them and want them to go…$500
I am a very busy lady. Lolita needs more attention rt now than I can give her. It seems now that every time I leave the room, she isn't happy. She is a…$350
mutation European Greenfinch from English lineage. Cage bred for generations and quite large show quality birds. Also have some Yellow colorbred canaries…$250
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14109 Greater hill mynah!!! Nice talking birds! I have a female and a male! They talk good! Loves to sing!! Very stunning and rare exotic birds! Get to…No Price Listed
Gorgeous scarlot macaw for sale and comes with cage.very loving and social. Knows up to twenty words and learns new ones fast.Please text me at (774)xx773xx2172…No Price Listed
Talking Blue and gold Macaws Parrots available for nice homes. Our parrots know about 100 words and will repeat words you say. Get back to me if interested…No Price Listed
Main color: White... see more at Petfinder.comNo Price Listed
Main color: White... see more at Petfinder.comNo Price Listed


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Hedge Funds
Benelux regional specialist Antaurus starts to gain traction with wider circle of clients
Four years on, the Dutch-based equity firm has racked up a strong track record and is now starting to appeal to a broader range of investors beyond its core clientele of Benelux high-net-worth individuals
Dutch hedge fund boutique Antaurus Capital Management has been on a roll with its Benelux-focused long/short equity fund, outperforming its peer group and producing solid returns for its high-net-worth client base.
Antaurus founders (l to r): Marc Langeveld, Michael Kembel, Etienne Platte, Arjan Sweere
Now four years in, the firm's founders are beginning to detect a ripple of interest from funds of hedge funds, which could see the €40 million Antaurus Europe Fund grow significantly.
The fund made an impressive 40% last year — compared with a gain of just under 12% for the EuroHedge European


text:
Role of pectin methylesterases in cellular calcium distribution and blossom-end rot development in tomato fruit
(e-mail firstname.lastname@example.com).
Blossom-end rot (BER) in tomato fruit (Solanum lycopersicum) is believed to be a calcium (Ca2+) deficiency disorder, but the mechanisms involved in its development are poorly understood. Our hypothesis is that high expression of pectin methylesterases (PMEs) increases Ca2+ bound to the cell wall, subsequently decreasing Ca2+ available for other cellular functions and thereby increasing fruit susceptibility to BER. The objectives of this study were to evaluate the effect of PME expression, and amount of esterified pectins and Ca2+ bound to the cell wall on BER development in tomato fruit. Wild-type and PME-silenced tomato plants were grown in a greenhouse. At full bloom, flowers were pollinated and Ca2+ was no longer provided to the plants to induce BER. Our results show that suppressing expression of PMEs in tomato fruit reduced the amount of Ca2+ bound to the cell wall, and also reduced fruit susceptibility to BER. Both the wild-type and PME-silenced fruit had similar total tissue, cytosolic and vacuolar Ca2+ concentrations, but wild-type fruit had lower water-soluble apoplastic Ca2+ content and higher membrane leakage, one of the first symptoms of BER. Our results suggest that apoplastic water-soluble Ca2+ concentration influences fruit susceptibility to Ca2+ deficiency disorders.


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Combating Terrorism:
Guidance for State Department's Antiterrorism Assistance Program Is Limited and State Does Not Systematically Assess Outcomes
GAO-08-875T: Published: Jun 4, 2008. Publicly Released: Jun 4, 2008.
Additional Materials:
- Highlights Page:
- Full Report:
- Accessible Text:
(202) 512-7331
Office of Public Affairs
(202) 512-4800
The Department of State's (State) Antiterrorism Assistance (ATA) program's objectives are to provide partner nations with counterterrorism training and equipment, improve bilateral ties, and increase respect for human rights. State's Office of the Coordinator for Counterterrorism (S/CT) provides policy guidance and its Bureau of Diplomatic Security, Office of Antiterrorism, Assistance (DS/T/ATA), manages program operations. GAO assessed (1) State's guidance for determining ATA priorities, (2) how State coordinates ATA with other counterterrorism programs, (3) the extent State established ATA program goals and measures, and (4) State's reporting on U.S. counterterrorism assistance. This statement is based on a February 2008, GAO report titled Combating Terrorism: State Department's Antiterrorism Program Needs Improved Guidance and More Systematic Assessments of Outcomes, GAO-08-336 (Washington, D.C.: Feb. 29, 2008).
S/CT provides minimal guidance to help prioritize ATA program recipients, and S/CT and DS/T/ATA did not systematically align ATA assistance with U.S. assessments of foreign partner counterterrorism needs. S/CT provided policy guidance to DS/T/ATA through quarterly meetings and a tiered list of priority countries, but the list did not provide guidance on country counterterrorism-related program goals, objectives, or training priorities. S/CT and DS/T/ATA also did not consistently use country-specific needs assessments and program reviews to plan assistance. S/CT had established mechanisms to coordinate the ATA program with other U.S. international efforts to combat terrorism. S/CT held interagency meetings with officials from the Department of State, Defense, Justice, and Treasury and other agencies as well as ambassador-level regional strategic coordinating meetings. GAO did not find any significant duplication or overlap among the various U.S. international counterterrorism efforts. State had made progress in establishing goals and intended outcomes for the ATA program, but S/CT and DS/T/ATA did not systematically assess the outcomes and, as a result, could not determine the effectiveness of program assistance. For example, although sustainability is a principal focus, S/CT and DS/T/ATA had not set clear measures of sustainability or integrated sustainability into program planning. State reporting on U.S. counterterrorism assistance abroad was incomplete and inaccurate. S/CT had not provided a congressionally mandated annual report to Congress on U.S. government-wide assistance related to combating international terrorism since 1996. After 1996, S/CT has only submitted to Congress annual reports on the ATA program, such as the number of students trained and courses offered. Moreover, these reports contained inaccurate program information. Additionally, the reports lacked comprehensive information of the results on program assistance that would be useful to Congress.


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Pet Sitting & Drop In Visits in Parrish, IL
Book a pet sitter to stop by your home a few times a day to feed and play with your cat or dog.
The choice of pets everywhere!
Carterville, IL, 62918
Dog Boarding, Drop-In Visits, Doggy Day Care, Dog Walking
About: Each of my furry guests receive a customized care plan tailored to their needs/preferences (i.e. where they prefer to sleep, meal times, amount of... (more)
Professional animal lover!
Herrin, IL, 62948
Dog Boarding, House Sitting, Drop-In Visits, Dog Walking
About: Hello, my name is Adeena. I signed up for Rover because I came across the website and it seemed too good to be true! I love dogs and all animals al... (more)
Professional animal lover!
Herrin, IL, 62948
Dog Boarding, House Sitting, Drop-In Visits, Dog Walking
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Experience exceptional service and a personalized match
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Rover also offers pet setting & drop ins in:
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The next time you head out of town and need someone to take care of your pets — and check in on you home — turn to Rover. It's easy to find a loving Parrish pet sitter on Rover who'll give your pet one-on-one attention while you're away, and take care of your home. Search from hundreds of trusted pet sitters in Parrish, IL, read sitter profiles, and reach out to sitters who seem like a good fit for you and your pet(s). We know it can be tough to leave your pet, which is why we encourage every pet parent and sitter to have a Meet & Greet before booking the stay. Then, when you're ready, book and pay for your house and pet sitter all through Rover — it's easy, safe, and cashless. You'll have the peace of mind knowing that your sitter has free premium insurance, a team of safety experts available 24/7, and will send you cute photo updates throughout the stay. Rover is the easiest way to find trustworthy Parrish pet sitters and avoid the kennel.


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The one thing I surely know about myself and the Jews that I serve is that we are Americans. Yes, we love baseball, apple pie, and Hollywood. We... More.
A Both/And Solution to the Addiction EpidemicHarriet Rossetto
March 3, 2016 | 11:06 am
I have been in the addiction recovery "business" for thirty years (before it was a business), and have stood in the middle, watching the pendulum swing... More.


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Watch GWAR's 'Sick of You' Get Covered by Iron and Wine
After seeing GWAR create some truly unique covers, it's time to see someone cover GWAR!
After seeing GWAR create some truly unique covers, it's time to see someone cover GWAR!
GWAR have outdone themselves again with another outrageous cover song. This time Cyndi Lauper's 'She Bop' gets a metal makeover.
J.T. Street found himself out of a job after a portion of GWAR vocalist Blothar's costume was deemed inappropriate to air.
GWAR have announced more dates for their North American 2015 tour.
The GWAR leader showed up in human form to provide a discussion on regional identity, using his band as an example.
GWAR's dismissal of Kim Dylla didn't sit well with the singer and she engaged in an online spat with Pustulus Maximus over the Vulvatron character.
GWAR are parting ways with Kim Dylla, who performed as Vulvatron, but may not be saying goodbye to the character.
GWAR will be hitting the road in late summer for the '30 Years of Total Domination' tour.
After some details were revealed last month for the 6th annual GWAR-B-Q in Richmond, Va., we now know some of the bands that will be rocking the three day extravaganza taking place Aug. 14-16.
The members of GWAR have responded after learning that Dave Brockie's father had filed a lawsuit against them.


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Boy Scout Bars
Recipe courtesy of Food Network Kitchen
These bars are reminiscent of a chocolate chip cookie, but better. Browned butter and brown sugar add a subtle butterscotch flavor, and[ coconut keeps the insides extra-gooey.]
- 1 cup (2 sticks) unsalted butter, plus additional for buttering the baking dish
- 2 1/4 cups all-purpose flour (see Cook's Note), plus additional for dusting the baking dish
- 1 1/2 cups firmly packed light brown sugar 3/4 teaspoon baking soda
- 1/2 teaspoon fine salt
- 2 large eggs
- 1 teaspoon vanilla extract
- 1 1/2 cups semisweet chocolate chips
- 1 cup packed sweetened coconut flakes
Preheat the oven to 375 degrees F. Butter and flour a 13-by-9-inch glass baking dish.
Place the sugar in a large bowl. Cook the butter in a small skillet over medium-high heat, shaking the pan occasionally, until the foam cooks off, the bubbles become smaller and the butter begins to brown, about 7 minutes. Remove the pan from the heat when the butter is golden and the solids are a nutty brown. (The butter will continue to darken off the heat.) Let cool 5 minutes. Beat the browned butter into the sugar until the sugar is fully moistened and looks like wet crumbs.
Meanwhile, in another medium bowl, whisk together the flour, baking soda and salt.
Beat the eggs and vanilla into the brown sugar mixture. Add the flour mixture to the brown sugar mixture a bit at a time, and mix until a smooth, thick batter forms. Fold in the chocolate chips and coconut. Press the batter into to the prepared dish and spread to evenly fill it.
Bake until the bars are light brown around the edges, the center is set and crackly and a toothpick inserted in the center comes out with slightly moist crumbs adhering, about 25 minutes. Let cool for at least 1 hour. Cut into squares and serve.
Copyright 2016 Television Food Network, G.P. All rights reserved.
Cook's Note: When measuring flour, we spoon it into a dry measuring cup and level off the excess. (Scooping directly from the bag compacts the flour, resulting in dry baked goods.)
From Food Network Kitchen
Cooking Tips
More Recipes and Ideas
Grilled Turkey Po' Boy
Recipe courtesy of Guy Fieri
Tortilla Crusted Catfish Po' Boys
Recipe courtesy of Food Network Kitchen
Cherry Berry Bars
Recipe courtesy of Sunny Anderson


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The process of buying a new Mazda car or truck can seem overwhelming if you don't know where to begin. Edmunds.com can get you started on the right track with a convenient directory of Mazda car dealerships in and around Stamford, Connecticut. Compare online price quotes on the new or used car, truck, SUV, minivan, or wagon of your choice to locate the best deals. Edmunds.com makes it easy to find trusted Mazda car dealers in Stamford, saving car buyers time and money on what will be an important purchase.
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Check in from 14h / Check out prior to 12h
Orbis Hotel Arkona: Find photos, reviews, information, amenities and compare prices for 2 stars hotels in Szczecin, Poland.
Situated amongst a variety of well-known attractions, boutiques and eateries, Orbis Hotel Arkona is ideal for those wishing to explore Szczecin and its surroundings.
Hotel description
Orbis Hotel Arkona offers cosy rooms, designed to suit the requirements of any traveller.
Wake up to a buffet breakfast, and sample local cuisine in the hotel's restaurant.
Szczecin's attractions, such as Pomeranian Medical University and Cathedral Basilica of St. James the Apostle, are easily accessible on foot from Arkona Hotel Szczecin. The hotel is also surrounded by the area's well-known clubs and pubs, plus the National Museum Szczecin and Szczecin Voivodeship Office are a 20-minute stroll away.
Hotel features
Availability and Prices
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Nearest hotels
- Centrum Zamek
81 m
- Hotel Focus Szczecin
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iHerb カスタマーレビュー
のセーブ: ¥1,031 (30 % オフ)
Urinary Tract
Reviewer1095252により Jun 03, 2008 に掲載
I have taken the Urisense product with probiotics for about two years now. I believe it has helped stop my getting so many urinary tract infections. I also believe the probiotics has helped my intestinal tract, eliminating a lot of gas from my intestines. I think it is a good product.
A Must Have!!!
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This is a wonderful product. Very helpful for UTI and Candida infections. It works when antibiotics don't.
GoodBye Yeast
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This product has eliminated recurring yeast infections better than anything I have tried.
Love it
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a product that has made a difference
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This product has made a difference for me. Since I have been taking 1 sometimes 2 capsules a day I have been feeling so much better. Great product
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I feel this product is doing what it says it does. I need more time to see if the effects are lasting.
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商品 1 - 8 の合計 8


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Cheap hotels in Jinzhou
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Just sayin'...
Pope Francis appears to me to be a very humble servant of God.
Ive got no dog in this fight except that my wife is Catholic, but this whole humility, servant-of-God thing doesnt square well when one has worked their way up the hierarchy of one of the most powerful, wealthy, often venal, organizations in the history of hard-ball Machiavellian politics, then puts down Capitalism in favor of the sort of feel-good propaganda that the Marxists always rely on.
"I'd not put much credence in statements of the unenlightened, calling him a leftist"
The writer seemed to be more "enlightened" about the context of Zacchaeus in Luke 19 than did the Roman Catholic Pope. In fact, the Roman Catholic Pope seems to have felt free to totally mischaracterize Zaccgaues to make his point. If your use of scripture is not true to the context in scripture then your argument is not true to the scripture either - regardless of well intentioned (or not) arguments.


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Bryan Pick's Suggestions for the GOP
Perhaps it comes as a surprise to some of our readers, but we are not a Republican or Conservative blog. We are a libertarian, or more precisely a Neo-libertarian blog. As it happens, this puts us far closer to the conservative end of the spectrum than the liberal end in most things, so I can see, what with our constant nagging about President Obama's policy foolishness over the last four years, why many readers would think of us as conservatives. But we aren't really.
Maybe that's why Bryan's suggestions seemed so off-putting to the conservatives who regular read us here. Oh, and the fact that Bryan, while he's had posting privileges here for, well, a long time, doesn't post all that much anymore. I wish he posted more, but apparently, he has a life. But he's still got his name on the masthead. See? It's over there on the sidebar, on the left.
It's gonna stay there.
The thing is, if you're a conservative—especially a social conservative, you just need to accept that pretty much all of us support gay marriage, are at least squishy on abortion law, etc., etc., so you're not going to find this a congenial place, for the most part, on social issues.
So much for old business.
Now onto the the posts Bryan contributed over the last few days. As It happens, I have some thoughts on his ideas myself.
Immigration is a sticky issue. I think that Milton Friedman was right in that you cannot have both unrestricted immigration and a welfare state. If you try to have both, you will inevitably bankrupt the system completely. Which, now that I think about it, is at least a self-solving problem.
But that solution itself would cause…difficulty, so it's best to avoid it.
In a perfect world, we wouldn't have a very expansive welfare state and what of we did have would be off-limits to immigrants. That isn't the situation we have, however, which makes unrestricted immigration difficult to deal with.
It's even more troubling when you realize that we have a set of challenges that make any immigration difficult to deal with at the present time.
There has been a distinct cultural shift in the way we deal with immigrants, in terms of our willingness to assimilate them into the American culture. For instance, when I was a child, immigrant children were expected to learn English, and conform to mainstream American culture. Essentially, immigrants were told—often in no uncertain terms—that we didn't care how they did things in Kaplokistan, they were in America and they would do things our way. The message, from every level of society, was that if their original country was such a great place, they'd still be there. The result was that the children of immigrants were quite keen to assimilate, and mostly did so.
But we don't do that any more. We're now ever so sensitive to their cultural concerns, that we don't try to assimilate them at all. We fear offending their delicate cultural sensitivities. As a result, the assimilation takes place at a much slower rate.
For example, here in southern California, we provide official voting ballots in somewhere around 100 different languages. Let me just state something that should be obvious: If you cannot vote in the English language, you shouldn't be voting. Or, dare I say it, even be a citizen. If you can't even be troubled to learn the dominant language of our popular culture, how in the world can you grasp the essentials of our political culture and principles?
This is compounded by the fact that today's immigrants come from a vastly different political culture than those of a century ago. Today's immigrants come from countries with an explicitly socialist political culture, which is decidedly not the case of immigrants who came to the US prior to the 1920s. Prior to that time, most immigrants came from monarchies with an intensely class-based structure, no middle class to speak of, and no possibility for social mobility. They come from countries where their social status was determined by the class they were born in, and they came here to escape both grinding poverty, and a class structure that made escaping that poverty extraordinarily difficult.
Today's immigrants, thanks to the USSR's pervasive influence in the 3rd world in the 50s-70s, have grown up with a socialist political world-view. They will naturally be prone to gravitate to the Democratic Party. Certainly, some portion will come here to escape socialism, but most probably don't think too deeply about politics, and simply accept the socialist view of activist government they've been taught all their lives. When they get here, they find a political party that also accepts that political world-view, so naturally they gravitate towards it. Prior to the 1920's, they would not have.
So I don't think you can point to unrestricted immigration in the 19th century and draw too many parallels to how such a policy might work today. Both the original political culture of the immigrant, and the American political culture they find on arrival here, are completely different than they were a century ago.
And, of course, I also think about how California has fared with the massive immigration, a great portion of it illegal, of the last 30 years. The Central Valley has deteriorated almost to 3rd World status, with a permanent underclass of Mexican laborers who have essentially become modern-day helots, rampant property crime, deteriorating public services, and terrible poverty.
What lessons do we learn from all that?
I honestly don't know how to approach entitlement reform. Maybe Bryan's suggestion has merit, but I simply don't know. We've told every person in the country that they have a defined-benefits pension, and, though people my age and younger don't really believe Social Security will be there for us, We've spent all our working lives paying into it. We certainly feel we're owed something for it. We had a Deal. You can't just break the Deal.
And here is the real, non-obvious reason why you can't break that Deal: We don't have a stable currency. As a result, we simply cannot safely save for retirement.
Let me explain.
When the US was on the gold standard, you could simply stuff money into your mattress. In fact, a lot of people did. And the reason they could was that their money retained its purchasing power. Every dollar bill was a receipt for your real money. Every banknote said, "The US Treasury will pay the bearer X dollars." If you took a dollar bill into the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, slapped it on the counter, and said give me my money, a servitor would take your dollar, nip back to the vault, and return with a little bag containing 1/35oz of gold, or 1/16oz of silver. Today, your dollar bill is a receipt for nothing. It's worth whatever the US government says it's worth at any given time.
And, especially since 1973, it's been worth less and less every year. Since 1970, the price of housing has risen 1050%. A savings account at a bank doesn't pay an interest rate that keeps up with inflation. So, with a fiat currency that is constantly debased, that leaves very few savings options.
Essentially, to make a return greater than inflation, the county has been forced into the stock market for investment. But what happens if the market crashes? You lose a large portion of your saved investment. If you have several years to make it up, well, good. But what if it happens when you're close to retirement? Well, you say, of course, you have to find safer investments like tax-free munies or something. And you should allocate your portfolio wisely, etc., etc.
But most people don't want to do that. And they don't want to learn all sorts of investment arcana. They want to save, do so safely, and not have inflation eat away all of their savings. Social Security does that, from their point of view, and it doesn't make them live in fear that some unforeseen market event will eat up their hard-won savings.
That's why so many people are opposed to Social Security privatization. They're afraid of market investment, and are especially so seeing the roller-coaster rise the market's been on since 2000.
But they have no safe option for saving that keeps pace with inflation.
Not having a stable currency forces people into riskier and harder-to-understand investments, and people don't want to mortgage their future to investments that are risky and hard to understand.
Social Security was easy to understand, and it at least gave the illusion of security, no matter what the reality was.
A reliable, stable currency would make entitlement reform a lot easier, because it would vastly reduce the fear of inflation eating away at their retirement.
Social issues are the hot button with a significant portion of the GOP. I'm not entirely sure that if the GOP abandons social issues they'd be able to attract enough people from the Democrats to make up a viable political party, by which I mean one that has a shot at winning nationally. I don't think that the Democrats have enough of a fiscally conservative, socially liberal electoral base to attract to the new, socially agnostic GOP.
The reality is, though, that when it comes to politics, the culture is determinative on the outcomes of social issues.
It doesn't get much play, but, as it happens, according to polls—which as we know from the last election are pretty accurate—a slight majority of the electorate is actually pro-life. You wouldn't know it from watching the news, but somehow, over the last decade, pro-choice has become the minority opinion in the country. Presumably, if that trend continues—and there's no guarantee it will—Roe v. Wade will be overturned. Maybe. I mean, just because people are generally pro-life, it doesn't mean that women don't want to have abortion as an option. Just in case. Maybe it doesn't get overturned at all, but abortion becomes culturally objectionable and we'll get a lot less of it.
If Roe is overturned, then, abortion will become a state issue. Or, perhaps we'll keep Roe, and just tighten down on abortions: limit them to the 1st trimester, and give exceptions for rape, incest, and the life of the mother, implement stricter parental controls, and that sort of thing. If it is overturned, states like California and New York will make it unambiguously legal. Some states will restrict it. Some will ban it completely.
Maybe that's the answer for social issues. Leave them to the states, and people will gravitate to the states where the social milieu is more congenial to them. But that will be difficult to do now that we've cast all social issues in terms of rights.
I think that was a mistake, but here we are.
The gay marriage people say they have a right to marry. OK. Then why don't polygamists have a right to do so as well? Once you've cast an argument in terms of rights, you've started wielding a hammer, not a scalpel, to solve your social problems. If gays have a right to marry, then why doesn't another group of consenting adults have that right? How do you draw that line in terms of rights?
We forced the Mormon religion to de-legitimize polygamy in order for Utah to become a state. If adults have the right to order their relationships as they choose, then how was that legitimate? How is it legitimate, in terms of rights, to forbid close relatives to marry?
Rights are a pretty blunt instrument.
But how does letting gays get married somehow damage marriage as an institution? I guess I don't understand that. I get that marriage is important, and I get why it's important. But, it's not so important, I guess, that we want to make divorce difficult. Which is, after all, why more than half of marriages end in it. Oh, and by the way, aren't something like half of the kids born today, born out of wedlock?
Something's going on with marriage today, and it's mainly not good, but it doesn't seem to have much to do with gay people.
Here's a couple of realities to think about, though:
- We're about 30 or 40 years behind Europe in turning into a post-Christian culture. You wanna know the culture your grandkids will grow up in? Look at the Netherlands or Britain.
- With Obama's re-election, there's an excellent chance that 1 or two conservative justices will be replaced by Obama. That means Roe v. Wade will probably be around for another 20 years, and who knows what the culture will think about it then?
Ultimately, the place to fight social issues doesn't seem to be in politics, though. If you want to win on social issues, you have to to win the culture. If you can't get a cultural consensus, you will never get a political one.
That seems to me to imply that conservatives should be battling not in Washington, DC, but in Hollywood, and in the Media, and in their local schools and colleges. The Left has made a largely successful march through the country's cultural institutions, taken them over, and are shaping it to their liking. Conservatives have spent the last 4 decades unsuccessfully trying to take over the Supreme Court. Meanwhile, the Left has turned education into a 16-year commie indoctrination course, topped off by Continuing Education in socialism from TV, news media, and movies.
Maybe conservatives should be thinking about how to win the culture. If they do that, the politics will ineluctably follow. The reverse, however, is simply not true.
Dale Franks
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Why the Right Should Embrace "Fairness" in Entitlement Reform
This is a departure from my previous two posts; it's not about a particular group that has pulled away from the GOP. Romney pulled a slightly larger share of older voters than McCain did, even if fewer total turned out than in previous years. That the Romney-Ryan ticket did this while proposing entitlement reform is a substantial feat, but it did involve watering down the reforms a great deal. For example, Republicans now make a habit of promising that nobody under age 55 will be affected by their reforms.
Why make this concession when the lion's share of the fiscal problem is current retirees and the many, many Baby Boomers who will retire soon? Boomers vote, of course, but what motivates them? I don't think most seniors could bring themselves to act on straightforward greed; I think they're voting based on a particular concept of fairness.
Specifically, they paid into the system over a long career, and they believe they should be able to get back what they paid in. And even though current Medicare beneficiaries get two to six times as much in benefits as they paid in (if this is right), only about a third of Americans think Medicare beneficiaries get any more than they paid in. As long as they think that way, they'll continue to oppose means testing and raising the retirement age by wide margins.
You might be tempted to say that our task is to educate them, but it's much easier to persuade people based on their current beliefs than to convince them of inconvenient facts first. Republicans basically conceded that cutting benefits to older voters at all would be unfair, and pushed complicated plans that few people aside from Paul Ryan can competently defend.
But we might be even bolder if we just hugged that core fairness principle tighter.
September's Reason-Rupe poll (PDF – fixed link) asked Americans if they'd support cuts to their own Medicare benefits "if you were guaranteed to receive benefits at least equal to the amount of money that you and your employer contribute into the system." It was a blowout: 68% yes, 25% no. Three quarters of Tea Partiers said yes.
At a stroke, you could slash Medicare in half with a reform based on that principle. (Their August 2011 poll suggested similar support for applying the principle to Social Security, but the cuts would be much more modest.)
Centering a reform on that principle achieves steeper cuts and seems easier to defend than what Paul Ryan is trying. Because if Democrats fought us on it, they'd have to make the wildly unpopular case for entitlements as redistribution programs rather than as "insurance" or "savings."
The kind of coalition the Right needs for sustainable entitlement reform has to include people who highly value fairness (or, as Jonathan Haidt would call it, proportionality). If we want the project of liberty to be successful, we have to pluck on other heartstrings.
Why Conservatives Should Embrace Gay Marriage
I already mentioned that marriage, kids, and a mortgage are very strong indicators of conservatism. Here's a straightforward causal explanation: when you're invested in something, you don't want it to be taken from you, and you're skeptical of starry-eyed meddlers doing anything that might threaten it. Probably the best thing done for the cause against gun control was teaching others how to use and maintain a firearm: once people own one, it sharpens the mind to cut through any argument for taking it away.
But a gun is a small investment compared to a committed and intimate relationship, custody of children, and homeownership. A dollar taxed is one that you can't spend on your family when they want something, a dollar borrowed is one that your kids will pay back, and that meddler on TV is rolling the dice with a major part of your life.
In the case of immigration, Hispanics are already primed to be conservative because they're already invested. With gay marriage, you have a group trying awfully hard to get more invested.
The conservative argument for embracing gay marriage is that marriage seems to be a fine institution that benefits even people who can't have children together, and that it may strengthen the institution and the country to expand the institution so that a nontrivial minority of the population is on the inside trying to protect it rather than on the outside where their exclusion leads to thorny political issues of respect and tribalism.
Another conservative argument is that if gay marriage is politically inevitable, conservatives should proactively move through legislation to ensure that it goes smoothly without infringing on other freedoms (like those of association and contract), rather than allow this to play out entirely in the courts or in a referendum. If conservatives keep trying to board the windows, more stuff is going to end up broken than if they just opened the door.
As with immigration and Hispanics, marriage may not be gays' top priority, but it matters, and the way Republicans approach and discuss the issue can signal that "you're not one of us," which is poison for coalition-building.
The flip side of that coin doesn't have to be pandering; given the consciousness of gay communities about targeted violence and bullying, it'd be awesome if conservatives taught more gays how to use and maintain firearms.
Why Conservatives Should Embrace Free Immigration
After the election, Righty circles are naturally engaging in some soul-searching, finger-pointing, and bickering. Some of this is unproductive venting, but it's also the start of the process of working out how to move on and improve, and there's no time to waste.
My conversations with fellow Righty operatives and bloggers have spurred me to suggest several ways Republicans could simultaneously make the party more attractive (or less repulsive) to voters and achieve more conservative results. This post is about immigration and reversing the trend of Hispanics rapidly abandoning the GOP; the next is about gay marriage; and the final post is about entitlement reform.
First, let's dispense with the notion agreed upon by many on the Right: seal the border first, so that whatever follows is more controlled and orderly. This is an expensive fantasy. Conservatives need to apply their skepticism of huge, complex, market-distorting government plans to every issue surrounding immigration, starting with any plan to spend tens of billions of dollars on thousands of miles of fence, surveillance, unionized government employees, and a verification system forced on every employer in the country.
It's a joke that the Republican Party, which is practically defined by marriage, babies, and mortgages, holds at arm's length a whole demographic (Hispanics, especially foreign-born) that tends to be more religious, marry younger and longer, and have larger families than the average American voter.
Mass immigration could work for the GOP if the GOP went with the tide instead of trying to stop it.
- If Republicans want school choice, they should have natural allies among those who are religious, have large families, and see their children suffer under the worst public schools. When you hear complaints that Hispanic immigrants don't speak English, suggest vouchers and education savings accounts for private-school English language instruction.
- If Republicans want to revive farms and stop the population drain from rural areas, make legitimate cheap labor more available: open up a bunch of farm worker visas.
- If Republicans want to cut the cost of new housing so that young people can form households and families, make legitimate cheap labor available for that too. Heck, why not try to break various trade unions by inviting enough skilled immigrants to swamp or bypass their system?
- So the entitlement system is a problem? Yeah, Milton Friedman famously said you can't simultaneously have free immigration and a welfare state. Shouldn't the Republican response be "Bring on free immigration"? If math dooms Medicaid and the subsidized industrial-age hospital model, why not make the math even harder?
- Conservatives have longed to shift taxes away from production and toward consumption. Nobody wants to remove labor tax wedges (AHEM: the payroll tax) as much as someone in a labor-intensive business, the kind that tends to thrive when there's a lot of cheap labor available. That goes for both employers and the employees whose compensation is tilted toward wages rather than benefits; we know it suppresses the Hispanic savings rate. And the payroll tax, of course, helps to maintain the accounting fiction that SocSec and Medicare are like savings.
Now, about the security problem: is it easier to pick out a genuine security threat in the crowd if everyone just has to pass a security check, or if hundreds of thousands of people are trying to cross the border undetected because the only legal route is a seven-year byzantine process?
Heather Mac Donald at NRO offers a potential counter-argument: Hispanics are more suspicious of Republicans for supporting class warfare than for opposing immigration according to a poll (from March 2011), and a majority favor gay marriage, so they're not such a conservative bunch. But:
- Immigration may not be most Hispanics' top concern, but it isn't trivial either. And because politics is so tribal, there are many ways to alienate a group without actually disagreeing on policy – many of which Republicans blunder into when discussing immigration.
- Republicans shouldn't cede the class warfare argument either: it wouldn't hurt if the party focused more on the poor, as Mac Donald's colleague Kevin D. Williamson exhorts the GOP to do. If you're a small-government type who reads the previous sentence as a plea to compromise on principle, that reaction is part of the problem.
- Finally: social issues. Mac Donald points out that a majority of Hispanics favor gay marriage. I'll argue in my next post that conservatives should proactively embrace gay marriage, which should resolve this issue nicely.
Why I don't believe the polls
It's rather simple really. And the Washington Post provides the answer today:
In the last three releases of the tracking poll conducted by The Washington Post and ABC News, Obama has trailed former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney among independent voters by between 16 and 20 percentage points.
That's a striking reversal from 2008, when Obama won independent voters, who made up 29 percent of the electorate, by eight points over Sen. John McCain of Arizona.
And if Romney's large margin among independents holds, it will be a break not just from 2008 but also from 2000 and 2004. In 2000, Texas Gov. George W. Bush won independents by 47 percent to 45 percent over Vice President Al Gore. Four years later, Bush and Sen. John F. Kerry of Massachusetts essentially split unaffiliated voters, according to exit polls — 48 percent for Bush to 49 percent for Kerry. (Independents made up 27 percent of the vote in 2000 and 26 percent in 2004.)
It is more than a "striking reversal", it is an indicator of what other major demographics are demonstrating as well. A big shift away from Obama. So one of two things has to be true – the polls showing these big demographic shifts away from Obama are wrong, or the polls showing this to be a tight race with Obama slightly ahead or behind have to be wrong. They can't both be right.
When you add in the "atmospherics", it is hard to believe this is a tight race. The enthusiasm for Obama isn't there (and certainly not at all like it was in 2008), apparently the major demographics aren't there and finally, even in the polls that do show a close race, the trend continues to be up for Romney.
It still isn't clear what demographic model the polls are using, but as I said in the podcast last night, if it is skewed with D+ anything, it is likely wrong. If I had to guess I'd say a poll that isn't skewing at least R+1 isn't even in the same galaxy as this election. The atmospherics, demographics and momentum, whether the left or MSM wants to admit it or not, are on the side of the GOP. My guess is this doesn't end up being a close election and that Democrats are not going to be happy with the outcome.
Michael Barone: Slow-motion 1980?
Michael Barone is one of the few poll watchers I respect. I've watched him in any number of elections and he's objectively called it the way he saw it, usually spot on, for whomever the facts indicated was in the lead. No spin, just good analysis.
Well, in this season of polling chaos, Barone is out with his look at some of the key indicators that help him analyze election trends and he seems to think we are seeing a preference cascade begin ala 1980 … just slower:
My other alternative scenario was based on the 1980 election, when vast numbers of voters switched from Jimmy Carter to Ronald Reagan after their single debate one week before the election. In that debate, the challenger showed he had presidential stature and the incumbent president seemed petulant and small-minded.
We saw an even more vivid contrast between challenger and incumbent in the Oct. 3 debate. In the next two debates, Obama was definitely more focused and aggressive. But Romney held his own, and post-Oct. 16 polling showed him improving his standing even though many debate watchers thought Obama won on points.
What we may be seeing, as we drink from the firehose of multiple poll results pouring in, is a slow-motion 1980.
That reinforces my point about the first debate and something we've been saying since Oct. 3. That is the debate that mattered. And note also that in debates 2 and 3, Obama pulled a Carter. His stature was diminished by his actions. He, as Barone and many others have observed, came across as "petulant and small-minded". Add arrogant and condescending, and you've captured it. Oh, and by the way, his record, like Carter's, is dismal.
Romney, on the other hand, came across exactly as he had to come across – competent, presidential, confident and, believe it or not, likable. He did what Ronald Reagan did – unfiltered by the media, he was able to convince Americans who tuned in that he was Presidential material. That he was a more than acceptable alternative to Obama.
All of that said, Barone isn't claiming that this is a done deal by any stretch ("don't get cocky kid"):
The usual caveats are in order. Exogenous events could affect opinion (Libya seems to have hurt Obama). The Obama ground game is formidable. Voters who switched to Romney could switch back again.
And if there is a larger reservoir of potentially changeable voters than in 2004, there was an even larger reservoir back in 1980, when Carter attracted white Southerners who now are firmly in Romney's column.
Mechanical analogies can be misleading. Just because Romney has gained ground since Oct. 3 does not guarantee that he will gain more.
But also keep in mind that Romney gained not just from style but from fundamentals. Most voters dislike Obama's domestic policies and are dissatisfied with the sluggish economy. And now they seem to believe have an alternative with presidential stature.
So, while we apparently have a preference cascade beginning, is it enough? And will it peak at the right time. Will it be a slow steady climb to election day? Will it plateau? Will it stop short of the majority Romney needs? Obviously we won't know that until election night (or, perhaps, the next day). But suffice it to say, the upward trend is obvious.
How it will play out, however, remains to be seen.
"We own this country!"
Clint Eastwood is 82 and an American icon. It's that simple. He's sort of the John Wayne of this era. And he's always been more "Republicanish" than the usual Hollywood crowd.
Last night he gave a speech, or a talk, or, well, whatever you'd like to characterize it as. It was both interesting and at time hilarious. That is, if you "got" what he was trying to do.
He said two things that to me are not said enough. If for no other reason, I liked his speech (which, by the way, is the only speech I've watched) because he said them. They are reminders that should be repeated over and over and over again.
The first is in the title. "We own this country". Frankly, it's time we started acting like it. Because there are those who would weaken that ownership to the point of non-existence. In fact, for the most part, that intrinsically American principle gets mostly lip service from our employees.
And yes, that's the second line. Government and politicians are our employees. They work for us. Not the other way around, although you wouldn't really know that the way things are going. When they're not up to the job, we should fire them.
Anyway, Eastwood's speech is getting the expected shredding in the press. Breitbart points out that there are already 25 plus stories (5 in Politico alone) on Eastwood's speech. I don't think anyone with any experience around politics and how it is covered today is the least bit surprised. They don't like seeing "the one" they helped elect mocked.
But despite the negative claims of the media, was the speech effective? Well, I like Richard Fernandez's take. He does a nice job of laying out why, at least to the "common folk" it was likely a hit.
It was an old man's delivery, but overstatedly so for effect. It was a cutting delivery and for that reason delivered in low key. But for all of Clint Eastwood's rhetorical cleverness at the Republican convention it derived its effectiveness precisely because it wasn't one of those "I take this platform tonight with pen in hand, bearing in mind the immortal words of Clancy M. Duckworth" type orations. It wasn't the speech of someone who was running for office.
Rather it might have come from Mr. Weller down at the corner office musing on simple things to not very important people. How it wasn't good form to mess things up continuously. How one might lose faith in a man who made one broken promise too many. How at the end of the day everyone either did the job or quit out of decency. Even Presidents.
There was no malice in it. Just a tone of regret. But it was redolent of memory too. Of simple things a world away from the Mountaintop; of sentiments a light-year from dramatic arcs, and of ordinary happiness in a universe apart from grand bargains and high-flown rhetorical visions. They were truths that everyone who has ever worked knows but has somehow forgotten because it was so ordinary.
But they were never known to those who had never worked a real job in their lives. And that is the wonder. That they never knew them. Thus the speech was at once us versus them; it was the check in the mail against the certainties of the heart. Every true challenge is built on the bricks of memory. And there were as many challenges in the Eastwood speech as the stones we stand on.
So will it resonate? I think so. For the very reasons I outline above. Simple truths given by a man without a script, reminding us of the reality of the day. Straight talk, no apologies, no waffling, even using a symbolic device (empty chair) to make his point without having to say it.
Political professionals on the left, liberal bloggers and the press will savage it for days. But for those who saw it or will see it, my guess is they'll pay little attention to those attacking him and more likely identify with the authenticity of the man they've "known" for decades. He's one of us, they'll think. He's up there saying what we'd like to say if we had the podium and the ability to do it. It wasn't polished, but it was real.
That's what folks are looking for these days.
Frankly, it was refreshing.
Twitter: McQandO
Facebook: QandO
Democrats and Republicans: A pox on both their houses
We've talked in the past about why these "wave" elections, as they're called, are happening with increasing frequency.
Well one of the reasons, I would assert, is people are tiring of the same old promises – promises that are rarely if ever kept – with the same old results – business as usual with vituperative partisan sniping and finger pointing, while we spend ourselves into oblivion.
No matter who is put into power, nothing substantive happens. So voters keep switching the sides in hope that some group they put in there will "get it".
So along come this poll, which is quite interesting. No matter how "popular" Obama is alleged to be, it seems the party he is associated with is now at their popularity nadir.
Today's Gallup Poll, "GOP Favorability Matches 2008 Pre-Convention Level," shows the pre-convention favorability ratings of the two Parties going back as far as 1992. For the very first time, the favorable/unfavorable ratios are now higher for the Republican Party than for the Democratic Party. For the first time ever, the Democratic favorability ratio, which has always been within the range of 1.20 to 1.56, is now below 1. It is a stunningly low .83, which is 31% lower than the prior Democratic Party low of 1.20, which was reached in 2004.
The Democrats find themselves at John Kerry territory in terms of popularity. Gee I wonder why (*cough* ignore the voters and pass ObamaCare, unemployment at 8.2%, economy in the crapper, etc., *cough*)?
But before Republicans celebrate because they're better than Democrats, they should realize they're only marginally better.
By contrast, the Republican ratio is now .88, which compares with the 2008 ratio of .80, which was that Party's lowest-ever ratio, reached at the end of the Bush Presidency. Prior to 2008, the ratio was 1.16 in 2004, 1.41 in 2000, 1.16 in 1996, and 1.36 in 1992.
Those figures compare with the Democratic ratios of 1.38 in 2008 (compared with the Republican .80), 1.20 in 2004 (vs. 1.16), 1.56 in 2000 (vs. 1.41), 1.50 in 1996 (vs. 1.16), and 1.42 in 1992 (vs. 1.36).
So? So right now, Republicans seem to be enjoying a slightly better level of "popularity" than are Democrats. But both should note that their relative popularity is near the bottom of their historic range.
What does that say?
It says to me that voters are truly considering the lesser of two evils. That their "popularity" is a function of there being no other choice but these two and there being little if any confidence in either doing what is necessary to turn this mess around. But, at the moment, they are inclined to give the Republicans a shot, simply because the Democrats have been so lousy.
Another "indicator" poll. Expect the media's full court negative press to continue unabated. We now know more about Mitt Romney than we've ever known about the President of the United States (of course that's partly because Romney has actually run things and done things prior to running and has an actual record to examine).
Meanwhile voters seem inclined toward the Republicans, but not such that anyone in the GOP should get arrogant or cocky by any means. This is all touch and go at the moment.
But here's a key which is hard to ignore, speaking of Obama's "popularity":
The Democratic brand has thus suffered more (down 39%) under Obama than the Republican brand suffered under either of George W. Bush's two terms (-16%, then -31%).
Democrats have reason to be worried.
Twitter: @McQandO
Facebook: QandO
The Todd Aiken fiasco and right ideologues
Missouri Representative Todd Aiken made one of the most ignorant and foolish statements of the year concerning rape and abortion has quickly spread across the nation.
Full stop. That's the story. There's little if any real debate that what he said was uninformed and ignorant.
For the most part, the right has condemned and disassociated themselves with Aiken's statement. Many have ask him to step down (I say that's up to the voters of Missouri – if they want to punish the man, they can do so in November). He's likely given Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskill another 6 years in the Senate.
There's no avoiding the fact, at least for honest people, that what Aiken said was abysmally ignorant and not at all supported by science. One has to wonder where in the world he got such an idea (and why he's seemingly held it for so long).
But what has me torqued about the incident is nonsense like this:
Two top officials from the Family Research Council said the Missouri congressman is the target of a Democratic smear campaign and chided those Republicans who have condemned Akin.
Connie Mackey, who heads the group's political action committee, said the group "strongly supports" Todd Akin.
"We feel this is a case of gotcha politics," Mackey told reporters in Tampa, where the Republican National Committee was gathering ahead of the party's convention next week. "He has been elected five times in that community in Missouri. They know who Todd Akin is. We know who Todd Akin is. We've worked with him up on the hill. He's a defender of life."
"Todd Akin is getting a really bad break here," she added. "I don't know anything about the science or the legal implications of his statement. I do know politics, and I know gotcha politics when I see it."
Gotcha politics? This wasn't a case of "gotcha politics". This was ignorance that caused an unforced error. Had he simply stated his opposition to abortion for any reason, he might have taken some heat from the other side, but it's a stance he's had for the 5 terms he's been in Congress and it's no big deal, politically.
But he chose to elaborate on the point with this faux-scientific nonsense about the body knowing if it is "legitimate rape" (instead of some playfully rough sex one assumes) and disallowing any chance of pregnancy.
The right, even the pro-life right for the most part, threw up their hands and said, "whoa, sorry, we can't support that because it's just not true".
Except for the boobs above. Instead they "strongly support" Aiken.
Really? How!? By flinging equally uniformed political poo and looking like total fools? Even Aiken doesn't support what Aiken said (given his apology):
Family Research Council president Tony Perkins fired back at Massachusetts Sen. Scott Brown, a leading moderate voice in the GOP who called Akin's remarks "outrageous" and encouraged him to drop his challenge to Democrat Claire McCaskill.
"He should be careful because based on some of his statements there may be some call for him to get out of his race," Perkins said of Brown. "He has been off the reservation on a number of Republican issues, conservative issues I should say. His support among conservatives is very shallow."
Mackey said that Republicans calling on Akin to apologize or drop out should get "backbone."
A "backbone"? The kind of blind and ignorant backing they call for is what causes many to call GOP the "stupid party" (of course it's not the only reason). One has to be an ignorant ideologue to support such a ridiculous call. And that's precisely what Perkins and Mackey portray themselves as (and call for the rest of the party to emulate).
One final thing – again social conservative issues, which aren't even on the public's political issue radar screen, are being forced to the front and tripping up Republicans. This sort of nonsense allows the left to dictate the topic du jure and avoid the economic elephant in the room.
Refusing to acknowledge the stupidity of the statement and throwing down on those within the GOP who've condemned it only prolongs the stupidity surrounding the incident and hands the left what it wants – distraction.
But that doesn't matter to unthinking ideologues, does it?
Twitter: @McQandO
Facebook: QandO
Indicators: WaPo poll says majority thinks government too big
As Dale points out in the podcast, while the election polls have yet to reflect it, the atmospherics of this election don't bode well for Obama. For instance, you have huge crowds turning out for Romney/Ryan events and you have the Obama campaign trying out "we purposely limit crowd size" on the media to excuse the comparatively paltry turnouts they are experiencing. And then there's the Newsweek cover story by Niall Ferguson telling Obama it's time he hit the road. It is almost like Newsweek is attempting a return to legitimacy by distancing itself from Obama.
Another indicator, much like the Gallup issues poll in which Obama had a 36% approval rating on the economy, is a Washington Post poll concerning the size and intrusiveness of government.
Call it a mood poll if you wish. But again, taken with all the other polls, it does indeed begin to outline the "atmospherics" surrounding the election. In this poll, a good majority of those polled said that government was both too big and too intrusive … not to mention way to expensive. CNS has the story:
The poll asked: "Would you say you favor a smaller federal government with fewer services, or larger federal government with many services?"
Among all those polled, 55 percent said they wanted a smaller federal government and 40 percent said they wanted a larger federal government.
Among just the registered voters in the poll, 58 percent said they wanted a smaller federal government and 37 percent said they wanted a larger federal government.
The poll also asked: "Do you personally agree or disagree with the following statement. Government controls too much of our daily lives."
Among all those polled, 60 percent said they agreed and 39 percent said they disagreed. Among just the registered voters in the survey, the results were almost identical, with 60 percent saying they agreed and 38 percent saying they disagreed.
CNS points out that the Washington Post analysis says:
"… [T]he results show a deep partisan divide in America. "Partisan polarization presents a potentially insurmountable barrier to governing for whomever wins the White House in November."
Funny how the percentage of those who are for a larger and more intrusive government are at about the same percentage as the Democrats in the poll (35%). So if it is "partisan polarization", it would seem that the Democrats are losing the battle. It would seem that the big middle is headed to the right.
Now we all know it's easy to say you want smaller government with fewer services when it costs you nothing but an answer on a poll. And we also understand that most people are fine with real cuts, as long as they effect someone else's benefits and not theirs. But that doesn't change the fact that the mood of the country is inclined toward smaller and less intrusive government.
And that doesn't bode will for big government Democrats – like Obama.
Twitter: @McQandO
Facebook: QandO


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Foster Farms announced last Thursday that a recall has been issued for over one million pounds of contaminated chicken products.
Since February 2013, when the outbreak first began, 621 individuals have been infected with Salmonella Heidelberg after consuming the chicken products from the California poultry producer. The infected individuals have been identified from 29 states and Puerto Rico.
Most of the ill persons (76%) have been reported from California. 36% of ill persons have been hospitalized, and no deaths have been reported.
The recalled chicken was sold in March of this year in nine Western states. Because the chicken was sold fresh, it is no longer a threat in stores.
However "it could still be in consumer's freezers," said Ira Brill, the company's director of communication. The chicken was sold in California, Hawaii, Washington, Arizona, Nevada, Idaho, Utah, Oregon, and Alaska.
Since the outbreak began over a year ago, Foster Farms has received an insurmountable amount of pressure from the public and food safety advocates across the country. In the statement announcing the recall, Foster Farms said it was done "in the fullest interest of food safety" and "regrets any illness associated with its products."
Salmonella is transmitted by food, water, or surfaces that have been contaminated with the feces of an infected animal or person. Many animals carry Salmonella yet do not get sick. It can also be found in unpasteurized egg and milk products. It is commonly transmitted via the fecal-oral route, from one infected person to another.
Symptoms (which develop 6 to 72 hours after infection) may be mild and a person can continue to carry Salmonella for weeks after symptoms have subsided.
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Upcoming Events
Fall 2016
Friday, September 16th, 2016 Noon – Andrew Egiziano
Owner, CounterPunch Studios
Located in Culver City, California, CounterPunch Studios is a fully realized Computer Generated (CG) animation studio offering a full service pipeline including full body and facial animation, motion capture, modeling, texturing, rigging, lighting, compositing, layout and editorial. They also specialize in the creation of photo real digital doubles, giving actors the ability to push their performances both in life and in death. The company, formed by Egiziano and Kay Arutyunyan, is built around an experienced production team that oversees an animation team with years of experience in Feature Films, Episodic Television animation, AAA Video Games and Commercials. The owners, staff and artistic crew have been producing projects together for over 10 years, working on studio movies, TV and AAA video games. Client projects include Supergirl, The Flash, Legends of Tomorrow, Dhoom 3, Ek Tha Tiger, Barbie Vlog, NBA 2K16, Crysis 3 and more.
Friday, September 30th, 2016 Noon – Harold Lewis
Founder, Pitch2Me
Harold Lewis is a financial executive who currently specializes in connecting filmmakers with potential financiers. He will discuss film investing, risk assessment, lifecycle evaluation and cash flow modeling. In 2005, he founded FILMBANKERS LLC, a consulting firm that advised on financial packaging of film projects to potential investors. In 2010, he started Pitch2Me.com, a firm that matches interested parties in the film and finance industries. Previously, he was CFO for the record division of Black Entertainment Television (BET).
Friday, October 7th, 2016 - BAC Bus Tour
Tour the Port of Hueneme, Chiquita, BMW Vehicle Services of America Auto Processor. Open to all students, staff, and faculty.
Bus Tour Flier (PDF, 514KB)
Friday, December 2nd, 2016 Noon – Rob Teel
Senior Vice President of Commercial and Investment Management at Yardi Systems
Rob Teel is responsible for product development, support and consulting services for over 2,700 clients supported by 18 offices and nearly 1,000 employees worldwide. He has two degrees from Florida State University in Finance and Management Information Systems. Yardi Systems, founded in Santa Barbara in 1983, is the global leader in real estate software with over $1 trillion in assets managed on their SaaS platform. Teel will discuss the evolution of Yardi and technology trends in software, including how has "the cloud" changed the IT landscape.


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The Private Life of Mark Twain
Mark Twain, one of America's greatest literary legends, was a passionate guitarist and singer during the 19th century's romantic era. His songs were woven with graphic stream-of-consciousness imagery and his musical styles included gospel, slavery blues, love songs, political satire, folk, and burlesque. In this exhibition, viewers can see close-up images of his trusted Martin guitar.
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Beaver Creek Rentals By Owner has a great selection of privately owned rental homes and condos for your Beaver Creek, Colorado vacation. We have more than 300 vacation rental homes to choose from in Beaver Creek and Vail - ranging from large executive homes to cozy condos. We have homes condos and townhomes in Beaver Creek, Arrowhead, Bachelor Gulch, Avon and Edwards. You'll find homes on the Dial-A-Ride shuttle system or you can choose from our walk to lift and ski-in and ski-out properties. When looking for a Beaver Creek, Colorado vacation rental - you've come to the right place.
We've become the leading rental agency in Beaver Creek since we started our business in 2003 because we provide our guests with a wide variety of choices, and our professionally trained team of Vacation Rental Specialists help to make sure all of your lodging requirements are met.
We are experts on Beaver Creek, Colorado vacation planning, and can provide tips and suggestions that will truly make a difference to your overall Beaver Creek vacation. We provide photographs of every room, detailed descriptions of property features and amenities, and a map with the location of each home. Many of our homes have private hot tubs, magnificent views and high speed Internet. We personally photograph every single one of our homes or work through accredited Property Management companies in Beaver Creek.
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|Separate WC's
|Property type
|Minimum Stay
|5 nights
Furnished to the highest standard, downstairs at Bouganvilla features a quiet seating area with sleeper sofa, a casual dining area next to the kitchen, a family room with TV and DVD and a more formal dining room.
The five bedrooms include two master suites, one on the ground floor and with patio access to the pool deck. Both master suites are complete with en-suite bathrooms, walk-in closets and Flat Screen TVs. The third double bedroom has a queen size bed. The remaining two bedrooms have twin beds. One of the twin bedrooms features a PSP and TV for the kids.
The kitchen is fully equipped with everything you need for a family holiday. The breakfast nook/bar is ideal for casual dining with a full dining room for more formal occasions.
The large pool deck – not overlooked – is ideal for sun bathing with a private pool and spa while the game room features a pool table, air hockey table and dart board. The laundry room features a full sized washer and dryer.
This property is fantastic!! The home is well maintained, just as shown in the pictures. It is just a 15 minute drive from the property to the Disney gates. We use VRBO often and Cathal ranks as the best owner we have ever dealt with: he is kind, responsive, and he really cares about the home meeting your expectations. I would highly recommend this property to family and friends!!!
We rented this beautiful home for one week in March. I can state without hesitation that this property is well maintained and spacious. The owner Cathal was an absolute pleasure to correspond with during the booking process and afterwards as well. The pictures on the website are an accurate depiction of this well-appointed home with a sparkling pool and spa. We were visited daily by a big Sandhill Crane (named Fraser) as we enjoyed our coffee by the pool. For a change of venue, the Community Pool located at the main complex at Aviana was also very lovely, beautifully landscaped and was a nice 5 or 6 minute walk from the house. We would not hesitate to rent this property again. Thank you Cathal for sharing your beautiful vacation property with us!
This was our first visit to Orlando – Nanny, granddad, mum, dad and girls aged 11 and 8. The owner was a dream to deal with and the house was perfect – lots of space and well equipped.
We did experience problems connecting to the internet and patience is needed, but no big deal.
Pool and deck very good indeed.
Access to Disney and Universal very straightforward, aided by Tom-Tom route purchased before we left UK (cheaper than car hire satnav).
Well stocked foodstores close by cater for most tastes - and plenty of gas stations.
We visited a superb Italian restaurant at the nearby Champions Gate Resort called Trevi's. A little pricey by comparison but the food and service was excellent.
We saw some interesting wildlife close to the house, in particular a large bird with its mate and single chick and also a small alligator in the nearby pond. We were told that the alligators are removed when they reach a certain length so that there is no danger.
In summary we all agreed that the house is close enough to the main attractions so that travel was not a problem but far enough away from the hustle and bustle to relax and enjoy the house and pool in peace and quiet.
Personal thanks to Cathal for his attention, and allowing us to stay in his lovely house.
We just returned home from a weeks stay at this property. This was our 7th stay in this area, in the past 22 months. We booked through this site on all occasions. Overall, I would have to say this was our second favorite house, but we all agree that the backyard/ pool area is our most favorite. In many of these homes, you have another pool directly behind you. This house is not overlooked. We felt it was in the best position in the entire development. The drive to the Disney parks was 20-25 minutes. Very easy and direct. Conveniently located near a good grocery store, gas stations, etc...
The house was clean and nicely decorated. Just as pictured. We only saw 2 insects inside, during our entire 8 day stay. That is good for a Florida home. The owners were wonderful to work with. Very prompt with answers and information. Very convenient paypal payments. The house was a great value for the money.
If you chose to stay here, the gate is coded. you must press the # key before the number. You are not prompted to do that. Nearly every time we returned to the development, we encountered people struggling at the gate. We had issues w/ the internet connections, while we were there. I have emailed the owners and they are looking into it.
We will be vacationing in this area in October, with a smaller group. We have a condo booked for that trip. We would certainly book this property again, if it was available and we were traveling w/ our family of 6 and possibly a friend or two.
Thanks for allowing us to book your home Cathal.
The wonderful Aviana Resort is a tropical paradise in the heart of central Florida, located on us 17-92, just minutes from Walt Disney world and within easy reach of universal studios and Orlando's other top attractions.
Bouganvilla at the Aviana Resort offers a relaxing retreat from the hustle and bustle of Orlando exciting attractions. Aviana Resort is a gated enclave of beautiful tile-roofed vacation homes with a large, amenity-rich clubhouse which includes a community pool and spa, tot lot,
cyber-cafe, putting green, sand volleyball court & exercise room.
This high class resort is also located just minutes from champions gate which offers two Greg Norman designed golf courses, a large supermarket to cater for all your needs, and various food outlets and small family restaurants. Highway 192 with its vast array of shops and restaurants is also within easy reach
Other Activities: Disney and Universal Studios
|No additional mandatory fees
Free pool heating with all rentals for seven days or more, rates negotiable over seven nights
* Approximate monthly price. Actual pricing will depend on the days of the month you stay.


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