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PHOENIX -- It started out as a San Francisco rout.
Then it looked like the biggest comeback victory in Arizona history.
But Mark Sweeney hit a tying two-run homer in the eighth and Steve Finley hit a sacrifice fly in the ninth to lift the Giants over the Diamondbacks 10-9 Monday night.
"We're a team that's going to battle you for nine innings," said Finley, a former Diamondback.
Barry Bonds was 1-for-3 with two walks, extending his homerless streak to 12 games -- the longest he has gone into a season when healthy without a homer since 1998, when he didn't hit one out until San Francisco's 13th game. He is stalled at 708 career homers -- seven shy of passing Babe Ruth's 714 and 48 from breaking Hank Aaron's mark of 755.
A 23-year-old Arizona man also was charged with disorderly conduct after allegedly throwing an object at Bonds in the fourth inning. The object, which resembled a toothpaste tube, landed a few feet in front of Bonds in left field and was removed by a security guard.
Bonds declined to speak to reporters after the game.
The Diamondbacks overcame a seven-run deficit to go up 9-7 on Luis Gonzalez' three-run homer in the sixth. It would have been the biggest comeback in team history but the Giants had a rally of their own.
The Giants led 7-0 after three innings.
"After the worst three innings of baseball I've ever seen, I think, at the big league level, I mean that was just awful," Arizona manager Bob Melvin said. "But to our credit we didn't die. We came back, we had a lead, had our closer in the game. Can't ask for much more than that."
Arizona scored four times in the fifth and sixth innings to go in front 9-7.
Andy Green led off the fifth with a pinch-hit homer. Craig Counsell walked and Eric Byrnes followed with his first homer with the Diamondbacks, cutting the lead to 7-4. Orlando Hudson had a run-scoring double for his second RBI of the game to get Arizona within two.
Chad Tracy singled in Green and scored on Gonzalez' three-run drive in the sixth to make it 9-7.
But the Giants pushed across three runs in the final two innings against two Arizona relievers. Luis Vizcaino walked Omar Vizquel with two outs in the eighth, then gave way to closer Jose Valverde (0-1). Sweeney responded with a two-run homer to tie it.
With a 2-0 count and a runner at first, Sweeney said he knew Valverde would have to come in with a strike because he didn't want to put two men on base for Bonds, who was on deck.
"I wasn't looking for anything other than a fastball because he throws pretty hard," Sweeney said. "I just wanted to drive it somewhere."
Ray Durham drew a walk off Valverde to lead off the ninth and scored two batters later on a sacrifice fly by Finley.
Steve Kline (1-0) pitched a scoreless eighth for the win and Tim Worrell worked a perfect ninth for his sixth save in six tries.
The defeat was Arizona's fifth in seven home games and left the Diamondbacks in last place in the NL West.
The biggest comeback for a victory in Arizona's nine-year history came in a 7-6 win over the Giants on Sept. 15, 1998. The Diamondbacks trailed 6-0 in the fourth inning. ... Arizona right fielder Shawn Green committed an error in the second inning, his first since Aug. 27, 2004. He had gone 200 consecutive errorless games in right field.


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We offer discount to nonprofits, government agencies, and federal contractors
AILA makes recommendations to restore due process for Central American children, families, and adults seeking asylum and legal protection at our border. Read Report Today
AILA Doc. No. 09091711 | Dated September 17, 2009 | File Size: 43 KDownload the Document
On 4/15/09, DOL launched the iCERT Portal, which created a new electronic system for the submission of Labor Condition Applications. DOL provides FAQs in response to questions arising from the application of the new online system and the newly redesigned ETA Form 9035 and 9035E.
[[To print the PDF on this page please use the print function in the PDF reader.]]
Cite as AILA Doc. No. 09091711.Open the Document
American Immigration Lawyers Association
1331 G Street NW, Suite 300
Washington, DC 20005
Copyright © 1993-2017
American Immigration Lawyers Association.

subset: commoncrawl


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In the Blawg Directory:
- Featured Blawg: Workplace Class Action Blog
- Submit a legal blog to our directory
Explore the ABA Journal:
"Commentary on regulation and litigation impacting the aviation industry."
Author: Mark Dombroff and Mark McKinnon are partners at Dentons in Tysons Corner, Virginia.
Related Categories: Aviation & Space Law | Law Firm | Partner


text:
Toggle switches
The toggle switch represents a physical switch that allows users to turn things on or off. Use ToggleSwitch controls to present users with exactly two mutually exclusive options (like on/off), where choosing an option results in an immediate action.
Is this the right control?
Use a toggle switch for binary operations that take effect right after the user flips the toggle switch. For example, use a toggle switch to turn services or hardware components on or off, such as WiFi:
If a physical switch would work for the action, a toggle switch is probably the best control to use.
After the user toggles the switch on or off, we recommend that the corresponding action is immediately performed.
Choosing between toggle switch and check box
For some actions, either a toggle switch or a check box might work. To decide which control would work better, follow these tips:
Use a toggle switch for binary settings when changes become effective immediately after the user changes them.
In the above example, it's clear with the toggle switch that the wireless is set to "On." But with the checkbox, the user needs to think about whether the wireless is on now or whether they need to check the box to turn wireless on.
Use a checkbox when the user has to perform extra steps for changes to be effective. For example, if the user must click a "submit" or "next" button to apply changes, use a check box.
Use check boxes or a list box when the user can select multiple items:
Toggle switches in the general settings of the News app.
Toggle switches in the start menu settings in Windows.
Create a toggle switch
Here's how to create a simple toggle switch. This XAML creates the WiFi toggle switch shown previously.
<ToggleSwitch x:Name="wiFiToggle" Header="Wifi"/>
Here's how to create the same toggle switch in code.
ToggleSwitch wiFiToggle = new ToggleSwitch();
wiFiToggle.Header = "WiFi";
// Add the toggle switch to a parent container in the visual tree.
The switch can be either on or off. Use the IsOn property to determine the state of the switch. When the switch is used to control the state of another binary property, you can use a binding as shown here.
<StackPanel Orientation="Horizontal">
<ToggleSwitch x:Name="ToggleSwitch1" IsOn="True"/>
<ProgressRing IsActive="{x:Bind ToggleSwitch1.IsOn, Mode=OneWay}" Width="130"/>
In other cases, you can handle the Toggled event to respond to changes in the state.
This example shows how to add a Toggled event handler in XAML and in code. The Toggled event is handled to turn a progress ring on or off, and change its visibility.
<ToggleSwitch x:Name="toggleSwitch1" IsOn="True"
Here's how to create the same toggle switch in code.
// Create a new toggle switch and add a Toggled event handler.
ToggleSwitch toggleSwitch1 = new ToggleSwitch();
toggleSwitch1.Toggled += ToggleSwitch_Toggled;
// Add the toggle switch to a parent container in the visual tree.
Here's the handler for the Toggled event.
private void ToggleSwitch_Toggled(object sender, RoutedEventArgs e)
ToggleSwitch toggleSwitch = sender as ToggleSwitch;
if (toggleSwitch != null)
if (toggleSwitch.IsOn == true)
progress1.IsActive = true;
progress1.Visibility = Visibility.Visible;
progress1.IsActive = false;
progress1.Visibility = Visibility.Collapsed;
On/Off labels
By default, the toggle switch includes literal On and Off labels, which are localized automatically. You can replace these labels by setting the OnContent, and OffContent properties.
This example replaces the On/Off labels with Show/Hide labels.
<ToggleSwitch x:Name="imageToggle" Header="Show images"
OffContent="Show" OnContent="Hide"
You can also use more complex content by setting the OnContentTemplate and OffContentTemplate properties.
- Replace the On and Off labels when there are more specific labels for the setting. If there are short (3-4 characters) labels that represent binary opposites that are more appropriate for a particular setting, use those. For example, you could use "Show/Hide" if the setting is "Show images." Using more specific labels can help when localizing the UI.
- Avoid replacing the On and Off labels unless you must; stick with the default labels unless the situation calls for custom ones.
- Labels should be no more than 4 characters long.


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In what ways does "Preludes" by T.S. Eliot critique society's lack of values and rootlessness?
1 Answer | Add Yours
In his poem "Preludes", T. S. Eliot describes the modern world as "sordid" and provides many concrete images that show the aesthetically unappealing aspects of modern urban life. The physical imagery includes that of the people shaped by the environment:
The morning comes to consciousness
Of faint stale smells of beer
From the sawdust-trampled street …
Here we see that Eliot's distaste for the urban wasteland has to do not only with its external aspects but also what he considers the degraded state of the urban lower middle class and poor, whose lives he sees as routine, deadening, and pointless. Although there are moments of pity in the poem, the attitude is almost a despairing one; it is not until his later religious poetry that we get a sense of redemption.
We've answered 319,199 questions. We can answer yours, too.Ask a question


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Fire Crews Called To Harrison Twp. HomeCrews responded to a house fire in Harrison Township early Saturday morning.
Missing Father & Son Found Dead Along Allegheny RiverA father and son, who were reported missing after fishing along the Allegheny River in Westmoreland County, have been found dead.
Search For Missing Father, Son In Allegheny River & Along Shore To Resume In MorningA father and son have gone missing along the Allegheny River in Lower Burrell.
Burglary, Car Theft Suspect Arrested After Eluding Police For DaysA Harrison Township man accused of burglary, car theft, assaulting his mother and retail theft was arrested in West Mifflin Wednesday night.
Police Search Allegheny River For Burglary, Car Theft SuspectPolice are looking for a burglary and car theft suspect in Harrison Township.
Local Teen Has Special Prom Night Thanks To Friend's "Promposal""Promposals" have become a thing. They're sometimes-elaborate ways teenagers ask each other the prom.
Pit Bull Mauls Smaller Dog In Harrison Twp., Owner SoughtHarrison Township Police are investigating after a dog was allegedly mauled by a pit bull.
Woman, Dog Okay After Becoming Trapped On HillsidePolice are working to retrieve a dog and a person who went over a hillside in Harrison Hills Park.
Man Arrested For Setting Fires In Natrona & Harrison TownshipPolice have arrested a 19 year old man for arson, in connection with two fires earlier this month in the Harrison Township area.
Family Credits Puppy With Saving Them From Harrison Twp. FireA pit bull named Juice is being credited for saving seven people's lives in Harrison Township.
2 Found Dead In Harrison Twp. Home, Carbon Monoxide SuspectedPolice are investigating after two people were found dead in a Harrison Township home.
Sources: Man Who Jumped Off Tarentum Bridge Was Suspect In House ExplosionThere are new details on a man who leaped to his death from the Tarentum Bridge into the Allegheny River Thursday night.


text:
In downtown Tokyo, on a small corner by the highway sits a small convenience store, but this isn't just any shop, as it was the first in Japan's revolutionary Seven Eleven chain. Hideo Shimizu is a young man who at the mere age of thirty four was promoted to the head of store expansion for the Ito-Yokado company, though with various obstacles in the way of building a new department store, he soon finds himself transferred to business development. Alongside his co-worker, Toshifumi Suzuki, the pair travels to America in order to find a new venture for their company, and when all hope seems lost they find what it is they've been looking for: something that will change their lives and the future of Japanese retail forever.
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The benefits of a Masters extend beyond improving your earning potential. They can provide you with personal and professional skills to accelerate your development. They are also an opportunity to differentiate yourself from your peers, many of whom will have similar A-level and undergraduate qualifications.
The field of performing arts is a blanket term for all forms of performance, including dance, theater and music. Studies include academic pursuits, such as histories and theories, as well as technical training in a variety of performance styles.
The United States of America is a large country in North America, often referred to as the "USA", the "US", the "United States", "America", or simply "the States". American colleges are funded by "tuition" charged to the student, which is often quite expensive, very commonly reaching into the tens of thousands of dollars per year.
Redlands is located in San Bernardino County, California, USA. The higher education facilities in the city offer excellent residential campuses. Even the native students prefer to live in the university's residential campuses.
Request Information Master's Degrees in Performing Arts in Redlands in USA 2017
In the School of Music our goal is to educate the whole musician, not just to train a performer. [+]


text:
Use the tools below to refine your search by only displaying reviews with a certain number of star ratings or to only show reviews from a certain time period. Eg click on '1 star' to just display the reviews we have which received a 1 star rating click or 'Within the last month' to display just reviews posted over the last month.
Written on: 19/05/2010
Bought this last june as we needed a large family car for all our camping gear and possibility of buying a caravan. As soon as we got it home there were probs with loads of little things from breaks squeaking to gears not going into park position. It has broken down twice and we had to be rescued by AA and the final straw the differential went leaving us with a £2800 bill for a new gear box. Its sluggish, unreliable and we have no confidence with it. Bought for £4000 have spent £3500 in… Read Full Review
Written on: 28/08/2007 by martinwagner (1 review written)
I've have had it for almost 5 months and close to half the time it has been in the garage being "fixed". As soon as I get it back the same problem "ANTIPOLLUTION FAULT" shows in the display. I regret the day i bought my Citro n and doubt seriously that I'll ever buy one again. I've had two Picassos as well and the list of faults can't even fit here. No more Citro n!… Read Full Review
Written on: 14/11/2006 by Liston Alexander (1 review written)
I purchased a used 2.0HDi auto SX in August 2004. The car performed well up to March 2006, when I experienced a noticeable deterioration in the driving experience. The car jerks rapidly whilst accelerating through 2nd gear, and the engine gets rather loud - generally very sluggish.
After 13 separate visits to Citroen and lots of time off work, they cannot identify the cause through diagnostics, and my next action is to take a sledge hammer and smash the thing to pieces. I'm at my wits end, and… Read Full Review
Written on: 23/11/2006
I have a 2.2hdi exclusive 2003 model. I totally agree with you, and I feel like putting it over a cliff. Citroen have definitely lost my custom, and customer relations at Citroen UK don't want to know. Considering I paid 26k for it, it's been in the garage more times than not. The last two jobs were in excess of £350.
Written on: 26/06/2006 by lest (1 review written)
This Citroen C8 2.0HDi causes you to dread driving long distances as it's not reliable and you never know what message will flash up next. The antipollution fault was rectified twice but still happens I now ignore this after a few days it goes away… Read Full Review
As rated by our community of reviewers
" A very reliable car i would drive mine anywhere no worries " Read More
" I am very dissapointed in the general build and reliability - we ha... " Read More
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" Absolute nightmare " Read More
I own the < 2006 2.2dci 150 initiale.
Excellent family car, never h... " Read More
" Brilliant and unique concept MPV " Read More


text:
Last week, the NYTimes reported that before a deal was inked for Lee Iacocca, the retired Chrysler chairman, to pitch cars in ads for Dodge for their employee pricing for everyone (following on the footsteps of General Motors), the 3 ads had already been shot. A bid odd. The ads also feature Jason Alexander. A deal must have been reached as I saw one of the ads last night.
Anyway, today I saw this banner ad:
I had to shrink the size down a bit to make it fit for AdLand, which makes it look a bit better. So here's a snippet at actual size:
Why, oh why, would you let something like that get on the net? Did they not have any photographs or better quality screengrabs that they could have used? Geez. Talk about making your work look totally unprofessional. This might have been ok back in '99 but come on.
Yeah really, what the heck is going in those pictures? It looks like Jason Alexander is wearing some 1980's shoulderpads.
With this kind of brilliant marketing tactic, is it any wonder that the Japanese are trouncing American auto makers?
I like it.
It leaves you guessing as to what their hands are realling doing.
And judging by the look on Lee's face, that could be just about anything...
IIik! Gross!
To me, Jason Alexander looks like he is about to kill Lee Iacocca. Maybe Jason wasn't happy with his 'employee price'.


text:
Belt sanders are ideal for deburring, graining, metallurgical polishing, flattening surfaces. We make wet or dry belt sanders in widths from 1" to 14" wide and special length belt sanders on request manufactured right here in Kalamazoo, Michigan, USA!
These belt sanders have applications in the following industries: Energy, Oil/Natural Gas, Petro/Chemical, Knife Manufacturing, Automotive, Metal Foundries, as well as many other Manufacturing and Fabrication environments.


text:
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text:
Our strategy
Lift indigenous Guatemalans out of poverty by providing access to land, more nutritious food and healthcare. Empower communities to address the causes and consequences of violence through prevention interventions.
The context
About 54 percent of the general population lives in poverty, compared to 80 percent of the rural population, where the majority of the indigenous population lives. Fertile land — the most important means of production in this agricultural economy — is concentrated in the hands of a few.
Land reform since the end of Guatemala's 36-year civil war in 1996 has advanced in fits and starts. Chronic insecurity and high crime rates in the country, especially in urban areas in and around Guatemala City, further limit economic potential. Guatemala also struggles with government corruption, crippled infrastructure, and high rates of malnutrition.
Our work
- Conflict & Governance: Strengthening local violence prevention initiatives and linking to national initiatives for a holistic and integrated approach to decreasing violence and crime rates.
- Agriculture & Food: Providing nutrition education to mothers with young children, and helping small farmers diversify and trace crops, improve quality and increase revenues.
- Health: Providing health and hygiene education to build healthier communities.
All stories about Guatemala
Guatemala: Amanda's mission: Women helping women
Amanda Sacul's job is twofold: to mediate disputes over land — disputes that prevent families from moving forward economically — and to train other indigenous women how to resolve these conflicts themselves.
Guatemala: Planting better crops
Seven-year-old Ancel Cual excitedly gets his hands dirty helping to plant yucca in his community of Corozal in the northern highlands of Guatemala.
Guatemala: A seat at the table: Empowering women in land-conflict mediation
Mercy Corps has been at the forefront of the movement to resolve land conflict in rural Guatemala since 2003. Meet the women who are now leading the charge.
Guatemala: Women stake their claim in the land of machismo
Their roots of land conflict may date to the Spanish conquistadors, but today we're giving women the tools to resolve them without resorting to lawyers or guns.
Guatemala: Land ownership yields stronger, healthier communities
Families in the rural highlands are dependent on the land, but years of civil war have diminished resources. Find out how they are rebuilding from the ground up.
Guatemala: Marching for change
Hundreds of women in Guatemala paraded through the streets of Cobán on March 8 — International Women's Day — with a palpable feeling of pride and hope for the future.
Guatemala: Fresher food, better nutrition, happier families
In the northern highlands of Guatemala, the signs and symptoms of malnutrition are a common sight: stunted growth, underweight bodies and visible fatigue.
Guatemala: Rural micropharmacies offer medicine for all
Sustainable Community Health Stores is a new way of addressing the rural healthcare problem. It helps local families start small businesses while providing much-needed medicines in underserved communities.
Guatemala: "No quiere su tacita de café?"
Today, in the very early morning after I finished my daily run here in Guatemala for the final time, I took a journey to visit some of the sites where I'd built friendship bridges over my year of work here.
Guatemala: "Broadcasting" important health and nutrition news in rural Guatemala
Each time I showed up to small and faraway communities where the heat was unbearable, where there was no electricity to turn on a light bulb, where there was no wind to ease the heat in the air — and where the field workers were parking their motorcycles and placing their gear on the dried grass


text:
Looking for quality pizza to satisfy your craving in Douglas, Georgia? Welcome to your Douglas, Georgia Domino's Pizza, where choice reigns supreme and satisfying you is our number one priority.
At Domino's, pizza delivery and more are what make us the tastiest choice in Douglas. We go above and beyond to make sure that when you order from us, you'll get the delicious pizza of your choosing delivered right to your door. Choose from a variety of sauces, crusts, and dozens of toppings to make a mouthwatering combination. We also have specialty pizzas that are hand-crafted to create bold flavors like the Cali Chicken Bacon Ranch™ Pizza and Buffalo Chicken Pizza. And our pizza is just one of the ways Domino's is the best in the area. We provide delicious options for pasta, sandwiches, desserts, beverages, sides, and more! You can customize your meals any way you please so we can bring you exactly what you want.
Operating more than 11,700 locations in over 75 nations worldwide, we understand the value of good customer service and high quality. Order from our restaurant in Douglas, Georgia for Douglas pizza delivery and carryout and you'll get the best we have to offer. Click or call your store today, or order via our free app for your smartphone!


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Gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) is one of the most common medical complications of pregnancy. Debate continues to surround both the diagnosis and treatment of GDM despite several recent large-scale studies addressing these issues. The purpose of this document is to 1) provide a brief overview of the understanding of GDM, 2) provide management guidelines that have been validated by appropriately conducted clinical research, and 3) identify gaps in current knowledge toward which future research can be directed.
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text: Behold the fluffy ennui of the existential catLauren Davis4/14/12 12:30pmFiled to: GoofballeryCatsExistential catExistentialismHenricatVideotweet19EditPromoteShare to KinjaToggle Conversation toolsGo to permalink We often like to imagine that, if cats could talk, they would treat us with dismissive disdain, but what if, behind all those glares, lay the heart of a depressed feline existentialist? Henri, the existential cat, outlines his despair in the only way he knows how: via a black and white French movie, complete with subtitles. "Immortalized on the wall. Forgotten on the floor." Chin up, little guy. You've been immortalized on YouTube as well. Advertisement [via Blame It on the Voices]Gear from Kinja DealsThe Best External Hard Drives For Your Wii ULogitech G502 Proteus Core: The Gaming Mouse To BeatBuy a PS4 Pro, Start Off With Two Free GamesReply19 repliesLeave a reply


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Hotel Meridian Plaza: Find photos, reviews, information, amenities and compare prices for 4 stars hotels in New Delhi, India.
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Hotel description
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Users who viewed Hotel Meridian Plaza also viewed these 4 stars New Delhi hotels:
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Versatile and prolific drummer Paal Nilssen-Love's 3rd release on his PNL label is a duo with trumpeter Broo Magnus, 6 extended and dynamic improvisations.
Broo, Magnus / Nilssen-Love, Paal
Label: PNL
Released in: Norway
"Well, here is one more for the list of "trumpet drums duos", and a nice one, with two of Scandinavia's best jazz musicians of the moment : Magnus Broo on trumpet and Paal Nilssen-Love on drums. The 6 tracks are freely improvised, and move us across a broad landscape of jazz expressiveness : from rhythmic and melodic parts to very avant-garde excursions, from slow and bluesy sounds to staccato blasts, with the real focus on the interplay between the two artists. Through Broo's playing, other trumpeters come to mind : Lester Bowie, Don Cherry, Paul Smoker. One of the reason's I like the album a lot is that both musicians demonstrate that it's possible to be creative, innovative, avant-garde, free and still be deeply emotional. Despite the limited possibilities of the duo, they manage to captivate the attention from beginning to end. This is intense, direct and raw music, but beautiful ...
Clearly, a very much underpromoted release."-freejazz-stef.blogspot.com
Related Categories of Interest:
Improvised Music
European Improv, Free Jazz & Related
Percussion & Drums
Paal Nilssen-Love
Free Improvisation
Duo Recordings
Get additional information at Freejazz-Stef @ Blogspot
Search for other titles on the PNL label.
Other Recommended Releases:
Customers Who Bought This Item Also Bought:
In Stock
Shipping Weight: 2.00 units
Quantity in Basket: None
Label: PNL
Catalog ID: PNL 03
Squidco Product Code: 9812
Format: CD
Condition: New
Released: 2008
Country: Norway
Packaging: Cardstock Gatefold Sleeve
Recorded on August 11, 2007 by Thomas Hukkelberg at Decibel, Norway.
Paal Nilssen-Love-drums, percussion
Magnus Broo-trumpet
Highlight an artist name or instrument above
and click here to Search
Track Listing:
1. Marching 9:09
2. Stomping 8:30
3. Cut Loose 8:11
4. CodA 6:17
5. Mas 13:30
6. Brown Sugar, Sweet Rice 5:43


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Motif Afghans
Afghans not only keep you warm and cozy, they are also a great way to spruce up your decor. With five different styles to choose from, you are sure to find one that will fit your needs, plus they are perfect take-along projects. All crocheted using medium weight yarn, Easy patterns include Sunburst Hexagon Granny; Colorful Hexagon; Red, White and Turquoise; and Off-Center Granny Square. The Ripple Granny uses Intermediate skills.


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Love beaches? Love islands? Love cocktails? Love this trip. Head from buzzing Bangkok to blissful Koh Samui, snorkel, swim and hang at waterfalls. and visit jungly Khao Sok National Park, finish up at Ao Nang a paradise dream!
Embrace your inner beach bum and come home with sand in all the wrong places. Bring SPF 30, a sense of adventure and an appetite for the delicious and strange.
- Start
- Bangkok, Thailand
- Finish
- Ao Nang, Thailand
- Country
- Thailand
- Code
- Physical rating
- Traveller's rating
- 58 reviews
- Ages
- Min 18 , Max 29
- Group size
- Min 1, Max 16
Why we love this trip
Obsessed with the Tom Yam Goong at your local Thai joint? Imagine how much better it would be in Thailand, on a beach, with a cocktail, at sunset. Nice, eh?
Get your first super spicy taste of Thailand and see the sights in big, bold, bustling Bangkok
Koh Samui is a nice slice of paradise. Cruise the island, go chasing waterfalls and feel peachy on the beach before carving up the dance floor in one of Koh Samui's famous bars
Kick back for a few days in Ao Nang. Plenty of free time to take up optional activities like, cook some food in a Thai cooking class, cook yourself in some hot springs or paddle to a hidden lagoon on Koh Hong island - making like Leo in 'The Beach' (without the weird ending)
More fun in kayaks, coves and canyons is to be had in the mangrove forests of Ao Thalane. Don't let the local troublemakers (macaque monkeys) steal your camera
Is this trip right for you?
This trip involves some long stints of travel using basic local transport, including a 13-hour overnight train to Surat Thani. Although conditions are basic, overnight trains are a true Geckos experience and the best way to travel long distances, meet locals and maximise time at your destinations. Occasionally passengers of different genders will be required to share a compartment and/or you'll be sharing with locals or travellers from other groups.
Accommodation can be basic but it's always comfortable.
As this is a Geckos trip, the majority of activities are optional and you'll have lots of free time. This means you're able to do your own thing at your own pace.
The weather in Thailand can be hot and sticky, so ensure that you pack accordingly. Please also wear sunscreen and a hat and drink plenty of water.
Notes: If you can't arrange a flight that will arrive in time, you may wish to arrive a day early so you're able to attend. We'll be happy to book additional accommodation for you (subject to availability).
- Hotel (1 night)
Optional Activities
- Bangkok - Tuk Tuk Experience Urban Adventure - THB1790
- Bangkok - Temple & River of Kings Urban Adventure - THB2465
- Bangkok - Bangkok by Bike Urban Adventure - THB1904
Meals IncludedThere are no meals included on this day.
Notes: Sleeper trains are clean and air-conditioned, and beds are padded berths with sheets, pillow and blanket provided (although some people prefer to bring their own sleeping sheet). Please note that you may be sharing compartments with locals of the same or opposite gender. Your baggage will travel in the carriage with you. There's also food and drink service available on board. Some people may find the air conditioning a little too cold so we recommend you bring a warm layer of clothes for this journey.
Please see important information in the "packing"' section of the trip notes regarding strict dress code for the Grand Palace visit.
- Overnight sleeper train (1 night)
Included Activities
- Bangkok - Grand Palace
Optional Activities
- Bangkok - Jim Thompson's House - THB150
- Bangkok - Wat Arun (Temple of Dawn) - THB50
- Bangkok - Thai Massage - THB250
Meals Included
- Breakfast
- Resort (1 night)
Included Activities
- Ko Samui - half day guided tour
Meals IncludedThere are no meals included on this day.
- Resort (1 night)
Optional Activities
- Ko Samui - Thai Massage - THB300
- Ko Samui - Thai Cooking Class - THB1850
- Ko Samui - Day trip to Koh Tao - THB2400
- Ko Samui - Ang Thong Marine Park tour - THB2400
Meals Included
- Breakfast
- Guesthouse (1 night)
Meals Included
- Breakfast
- Guesthouse (1 night)
Meals IncludedThere are no meals included on this day.
- Guesthouse (1 night)
Included Activities
- Krabi - Sea Kayaking
Meals Included
- Lunch
- Guesthouse (1 night)
Optional Activities
- Ao Nang - Rock Climbing - THB1800
- Krabi - Half day cycling trip with waterfalls - THB2500
- Ao Nang - Hot springs & Emerald lagoon tour - THB1600
- Ao Nang - Phi Phi Island Day Tour - THB1600
- Ao Nang - Scuba Diving (3 dives) - THB4000
- Ao Nang - Cooking class - THB1200
- Ao Nang - Thai Massage - THB300
Meals IncludedThere are no meals included on this day.
Meals IncludedThere are no meals included on this day.
Meals3 breakfasts, 1 lunch
TransportAircon bus, Boat, Ferry, Local bus, Private Mini-van, Sleeper train, Songthaew, Tuk-tuk
AccommodationGuesthouse (4 nights), Hotel (1 nights), Overnight sleeper train (1 night), Resort (2 nights)
Included Activities
- Bangkok - Grand Palace
- Ko Samui - half day guided tour
- Krabi - Sea Kayaking
Our Super South Thailand trips score an average of 4.83 out of 5 based on 58 reviews in the last year.
Super South Thailand, December 2016
Diana Ruth
I loved this trip because I was able to hang out with people that had the same interests as me. It was so different from an average family vacation because you're with a group of younger people, so you're able to do much more. Everyone on my group was friendly even though I was traveling alone. I had a wonderful time and would recommend taking a trip with Geckos.
Review submitted 03 Jan 2017
Super South Thailand, December 2016
Angela & Nathalie De Wet & Kasselis
Geckos was such a lifesaver for my friend and I. We are two young ladies who don't know where to start with organising activities, accommodation etc by ourselves on an overseas trip. Geckos allowed us peace of mind, a relaxing, free, fun experience, and the leaders were amazing. This was one of the best experiences of my life - I highly recommend this company to anyone looking for an adventure. :)
Review submitted 11 Dec 2016
Dates & availability
Trip search is unavailable.
Jump to a departure month
Important notes
A single supplement is available on this trip, please ask your booking agent for more information. Please note that on the following nights the supplement is not available: Day 2 Overnight train


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In a memorable scenes from the movie "The Princess Bride" the Dread Pirate Robert challenges the Sicilian bandit Vizzini to a battle of wits. The pirate puts a cup of wine in front of himself and one in front of Vizzini. He then asks the little Sicilian to guess which cup is poisoned. Vizzini's answers by taking into account not only what he knows, but also what he knows that the Dread Pirate Robert knows that he knows, and so on. Unfortunately Vizzini, lacks a crucial piece of information, and suffers one of the most understated ends in movie history.
This exchange between the bandit and the pirate relies on ideas about how we reason about the world, and about each other – features of our thinking that are so ingrained we often take them for granted. First is our theory of mind: Our belief that other humans have thoughts, desires, and beliefs like we do. While our thoughts are not the same, I assume that you have an inner experience that is similar to mine. I can understand your motives, intents and feelings. We take this theory of mind for granted. Imagine thinking that other people have no desires or thoughts, that you are surrounded by robots with no inner life. Such mental blindness is a feature of some psychiatric disorders, and can be devastating.
Another idea takes us a step further: We say that something is common knowledge if we both know about it, and you know that I know about it, you know that I know that you know, and so on. Say two children see that I have hidden a cookie in a jar. If they both just know the cookie is there, they might wait until the other leaves to have the cookie for themselves. But if both know that the other knows about the cookie, they might both rush to get it before the other does.
When negotiating over a car, or a house we try to understand what the other person knows, and maybe what they know that we know. A result of the mathematician Robert Aumann may come as a surprise: Aumann won the Nobel Prize in Economics for his work on conflict and cooperation. In his work he gave a mathematical definition of common knowledge. Surprisingly, he then showed that two rational beings who start with the same information cannot disagree about anything that is common knowledge. Say you offer to sell me stock at $10 a share. That price can mean you have information that I don't. I can therefore update my belief about what the stock is worth, and suggest a price I think is fair. Aumann's result says that after this negotiation ends, we should both believe the same price is fair.
Mathematics therefore says that we can't agree to disagree if we are rational. So why do we disagree about so many things. Perhaps we are never completely rational. Or we can never get to the bottom of knowing about knowing about knowing. But we do have a theory of mind – the gift of gleaning what it is to be in another's skin. This gift will not erase discord, but we can use it to lessen it.
In writing this I used some ideas from Scott Aaronson's post on the subject. The link leads to a transcript of his lecture on the subject. I highly recommend reading other posts in this blog. Prof. Aaronson is a deep thinker, and gifted writer.
For a related example (also mentioned in the lecture above), consider the Muddy Children puzzle, or the more dramatic Blue Eyed Islander Puzzle. The second link leads to Terry Tao's blog where he writes in more depth about the subject.
There is evidence that some animals have a theory of mind. However, since it is impossible to know what animals are thinking, the extent to which this is the case is unclear. Here is an interesting recent paper on theory of mind and crows.
On a recent visit to the Guinness brewery in Dublin I almost walked past a small plaque dedicated to the chief brewer and statistician William Sealy Gosset. Anyone who has taken even a high-school statistics course has heard of Student's T-test. But not many know that the eponymous "Student" was this brewer from Dublin.
Gosset was hired by the Guinness brewery straight out of Oxford. From the start his theoretical work was motivated by the practical problems of brewing. In the beginning of the 20th century the annual production at Guinness was ramping up towards a billion pints. At such volumes brewers could not inspect every batch of hops and malt extract. Yet, making a product of uniform quality was essential to keeping customers happy. How then to make sure that a big batch of hops was good enough from a few samples? How many measurements of malt extract were needed to ensure that the resulting beer would have the desired alcohol content?
Gosset realized quickly that answering these questions required a mathematical approach. However, existing methods did not apply to the problems he was facing. Chemists and brewers wanted to keep the number of measurements and experiments low to save money and time, while statistical methods of the day applied to large sample numbers. To develop a new approach Gosset spent a year in London at the laboratory of Karl Pearson, the foremost statistician of that time. The result was the Student's T-test which can be used even with small sample sizes.
But why wasn't the test named after Gosset himself? The problem was that employees of the Guiness company had revealed trade secrets in earlier scientific publications. After some discussion, Gosset was only allowed to publish his results under a pseudonym. As the publications never mentioned brewing or chemistry, it was unlikely that competing breweries would have paid attention. The modest Gosset didn't seem to mind. He published all but two manuscripts during his life under the pseudonym "Student".
Gosset stayed with the Guiness company for the rest of his life, ending his career as Head Brewer of a London branch. However, he was not a scientific recluse. He kept a lively correspondence with the best statisticians of the time, and helped to develop the foundations of statistics as we know it today. He had virtually no enemies, even in that time of acrimonious disputes between outsized personalities in the field. His contemporaries described him as a generous man without a "jealous bone in his body".
Even a century ago people spoke of "lies, damn lies, and statistics". And now, as then, statistics is frequently used to score political points and sway public opinion. But we use the work of Gosset and other statisticians today in areas too numerous to list — not just the brewing of beer! We rely on their ideas to see whether new drugs work, and to find planets around distant stars. And the quality control methods that Gosset pioneered are essential for large-scale industrial production. His mathematical ideas help us feed and clothe the world of today.
A shorty biography of W. S. Gosset. A somewhat longer version is here, with good references. Another short one. About Gosset as a pioneer of industrial quality control.
I recommend the work of Stephe Ziliak for an in-depth discussion of W. Gosset's contributions to the development of statistics, his discussions with R.A. Fisher and other statisticians of the day, and his opinions about interpreting statistical tests. Here is a good example.
We would all like our phone communications to be secure. To ensure that eavesdroppers cannot listen in easily, most of our digital conversations are encrypted. Encryption goes back millenia – when Julius Cesar wanted to write a secret message to, say, Brutus he would replace every letter with one that appears a number of places down in the alphabet. When shifting by 5 positions, he would replace an A by an F, a B by a G, and so on. An interceptor would see a garbled note. But Brutus would shift each letter five spaces back in the alphabet and recover the original message.
Since Cesar's time ciphers have become far more sophisticated. But until the 1970s, they had a serious problem. The sender and recipient of a message had to share the key to encrypt and decrypt the message. For example, Cesar and Brutus both knew to shift each letter in the alphabet by five spaces. They either had to agree to this in advance, or had to communicate this key in secret. If the key was intercepted, communications were not secure.
Now imagine a bank that wants to receive sensitive information from its customers. Sharing a separate key with millions of clients would be cumbersome, and storing all these keys safely would be difficult. But what if customers were all given a single key to encrypt their messages, but only the bank had the key to decrypt them. In such asymmetric cryptography, the key that locks the message is different from the key that unlocks it.
Such asymmetric encryption schemes may seem impossible. However, mathematicians have shown that they can be used in cryptography. The main idea is to find an operation that is easier to perform than it is to undo. For example, mixing oil and vinegar in a dish is easy. However, trying to get the oil out of the mixture is far harder.
There is a mathematical equivalent of this idea – the bank can give all its customers the same number, and they all use the same recipe to scramble their messages. However, only the bank keeps the number that can be used to unscramble the messages – think of it as a secret ingredient able to remove all the vinegar out of a mixture and recover only the oil. Without this secret ingredient, anybody wanting to separate the mixture would have to do it droplet by droplet.
The mathematicians Ron Rivest, Adi Shamir and Leonard Adleman were the first to describe a practical way to do this. They used ideas from number theory – one of the most abstract fields of mathematics. Similar schemes are now used widely. Indeed, as in the original scheme, the secrecy of our messages often relies on the fact that nobody knows how to quickly find two prime factors of a large number that is the product of the two.
If you have bought something online, or accessed your bank account over the internet you have used some version of such asymmetric encryption. Abstract mathematical ideas developed centuries ago have kept your interactions safe. But sophisticated ideas are also being used to break these schemes. And mathematics and computers remain the main weapons in this centuries long war between code makers and code breakers.
RSA encryption was first proposed by Ron Rivest, Adi Shamir and Leonard Adleman publicly in 1978. However, it was discovered in 1974 by the English mathematician Clifford Cocks while working for a UK intelligence agency. This early discovery remained classified until 1997.
An excellent video explaining RSA encryption is available here
Even the best encryption schemes can be vulnerable to attacks unless implemented well.
With so much of our lives (both on and off line) being recorded and documented, secure encryption is more important than ever. Indeed, encryption has been in the news recently: The FBI requested that Apple decrypt an iPhone used by one of the attackers in the December, 2015 mass killing in Bernardino, CA. The FBI reportedly decrypted the phone without help from Apple. The person behind the Panama Paper leak communicated only through encrypted channels, and remains anonymous. But encryption is essential even if you don't do anything dangerous or illegal.
A recent lecture by Prof. Alan Huckleberry made me revisit this old essay by Eugene Wigner, and prepare an episode for Engines about it:
The 16th century astronomer Galileo Galilei claimed that the language of nature is mathematics. As far as we can see, Galileo was right. But why is math the language of nature? And why is that language understandable to us?
These questions puzzled the physicist Eugene Wigner. Wigner and other scientists who were part of the revolution that brought us quantum mechanics and relativity, used math to express the laws of nature. To their surprise, they found that mathematicians had already invented the language they needed. They'd developed this language without thinking of whether or how their ideas could be applied.
This made Wigner ask why math is so unreasonably effective in describing nature. Much is hidden behind this question: First, why do general laws of nature exist? Even if we assume that without such laws all would be chaos, it is still a wonder that we can discover and understand them. But let us accept that that the nature is humanly comprehensible.
What still puzzled Wigner is that we have a language of our own making ready at hand to describe the world around us. The words, phrases and ideas of mathematics we need to talk about the laws of nature are often available when we need them. In math ideas are developed because they naturally flow from previous theories, and because mathematicians find them beautiful. It is then somewhat of a miracle that some of these ideas can be applied not just in physics, but in most other sciences.
Some have argued that math is not as useful as it seems. Maybe we focus too much on problems where math happened to be of great help. In fields like medicine, economics, and the social sciences general laws have been harder to come by. For example, try to find a short list of rules for the English language. Many have tried and failed.
Some data scientists have therefore argued that we need to embrace the complexity of such systems. We should forget the elegance of math for more pragmatic approaches, and let the data guide us. Yet in practice most of these statistical and machine learning approaches still rely on math.
Mathematics may not be able to unlock all mysteries. But it is still very useful – it lets us describe and understand things infinitesimally small, unimaginably large, and events far in the past and the future. Math gives us a glimpse into realms that we can't directly experience, and where our intuitions are of no use.
Wigner concludes by saying that mathematics is a wonderful gift which we neither understand, nor deserve. He expresses a hope that it will continue to be useful to our continued surprise. I do believe that we will increasingly rely on computers to help us make sense of the world around us. Yet, I am sure that math will remain the language we will keep using in this conversation.
Wigner's original essay can be found here. Although over 50 years old, it asks questions that we are not much closer to answering. There have been many follow-ups to Wigner's essay. I have drawn from the ideas of the mathematician R. W. Hamming, and the engineer Derek Abbott.
The precise quote from Galileo "[The universe] cannot be read until we have learnt the language and become familiar with the characters in which it is written. It is written in mathematical language, and the letters are triangles, circles and other geometrical figures, without which means it is humanly impossible to comprehend a single word." More quotes here
I thank Prof. Alan Huckleberry for emphasizing that there is a natural flow of ideas and developments in mathematics that become apparent in retrospect. Yet, I would like to add that there is also a cultural component to these developments. It may thus be better to view the co-development of physics and mathematics as part of a larger cultural evolution of ideas. Perhaps in this larger context the relation between mathematics and physics is more natural. I leave this discussion to historians of science.
Science fiction writers imagine that our descendants will use wormholes to travel instantaneously across galaxies without using much energy. We do not yet know how to cross vast distances instantaneously. However, using celestial mechanics – the mathematics that describes the motion of celestial bodies – astrophysicists have found ways of traversing space using very little fuel.
To understand how this is possible, think first of the Earth and the Moon. Each exerts a gravitational pull on objects, while they spin around each other. Connect the centers of the Earth and the Moon with an imaginary line. Somewhere along this line, the pull of the Earth equals that of the Moon, but in the opposite direction. Placing a spacecraft at this point is like placing it on a knife's edge: A small nudge will break the balance of forces and send it drifting towards the Earth or the Moon. This position is called a "libration point". The mathematicians Leonhard Euler and Joseph-Louis Lagrange showed that there are five libration points in a system of two rotating bodies such as the Earth and the Moon. At these points the combined gravitational forces of the two celestial bodies give exactly the right pulls to keep an object orbiting in an unchanging position.
Two of these libration points are stable – satellites placed at these points will remain there forever. Indeed, many asteroids can be found at the two stable libration points of the Sun-Jupiter system. These are known as the Trojan asteroids: One libration point is home to the Greek camp, while the other houses the Trojan camp.
However, the remaining three libration points are unstable, and these are key to low energy space travel. Imagine placing a marble exactly at the ridge of a saddle. The marble will roll down the ridge towards the saddle's center, but a small nudge can make it veer down either side. The unstable libration points are similar to the center of the saddle – a spacecraft at the right position going at the right velocity travels along something like the saddle's ridge approaching the libration point. A small nudge can make it veer down different paths on either side of the saddle. If this is done just right, the paths leading away from the ridge can take the spacecraft along just the orbit we want it to follow.
Designing a low energy orbit is like rolling a marble along saddle ridges, and providing the right nudges at the right time to leave the ridge along the desired exit trajectory. However, in the Solar System everything is in motion, so the saddles and the ridges keep spinning and swerving through space! Essential to mission design are good mathematical models of the solar system, and the computational tools to solve these models accurately.
Traversing the resulting trajectories can take a long time. However, their benefits can be great. The spacecraft Genesis traveled along such a trajectory to sample the solar wind while using only a fraction of the fuel expended by similar spacecraft in the past.
For thousands of years humans have tried to understand the motion of the planets. The language of mathematics can lead to such an understanding. But mathematics has also provided much more – it has told us how to traverse the Solar system, and may some day lead us far beyond.
I am grateful to independent astrodynamics consultant Daniel Adamo, retired NASA planetary scientist Wendell Mendell, and astronaut Michael Barratt for their help in preparation of this episode.
I simplified the explanation of the trajectories between libration points here. They are in fact not straight lines, but take the form of spirals on the surface of tubes. These tubes approach closed orbits that surround the libration points. We are accustomed to the closed orbits of planets around the Sun (or any object that has mass) described by Kepler's Laws. But libration points have no mass. It may therefore be surprising that we have closed orbits around points of no mass! A discussion of the mathematics of interplanetary travel along the orbits I discussed can be found here. A number of further references, including more technical ones are provided in this article. Note that the feasibility of interplanetary missions using the same principles remains controversial.
More about Lagrangian (or Lagrange) points can be found here. The Wikipedia page also has an intuitive explanation of why they appear, and it also has a nice picture of the Jupiter Trojans.
Libration points are sometimes referred to as Lagrange points. Joseph-Louis Lagrange was an interesting figure himself. Read the entry for an overview of his rich life that spanned the French Revolution.
This is a book review for the applied math journal SIAM Review. Comments are welcome. An short version of the book can be found here.
Most of us accept that statistics is not applied mathematics. The goal of statistics is to obtain answers from data, and mathematics just happens to be an exceptionally useful tool for doing so. However, for many applied mathematicians
statistical analysis is an integral part of daily work. Experimental studies often motivate our research, and we use data to develop and validate our models. To understand how experimental outcomes are interpreted, and to communicate with scientists in other fields, a knowledge of statistics is indispensable.
One issue that we need to take seriously is that misapplications of statistics have lead to false conclusions in much, maybe even most published studies [1]. Although the "soft sciences" have received most scrutiny in this regard [3], the "hard sciences" suffer from closely related problems [2]. Anybody who uses the results of statistical data analysis – and this includes most applied mathematicians – needs to be aware of these issues.
As the title suggests, Alex Reinhart's "Statistics Done Wrong" [4] is not a textbook. Rather, its aim is to explain some of
the ways in which data analysis can, and often does go wrong. The book is related to Darrel Huff's classic "How to Lie with Statistics" [5] which covers many topics that are now part of freshman courses. Huff, a journalist (and later consultant to the tobacco industry) provided a lively discussion that alerted general readers to the misuses of statistics by the media and politicians. Since the first edition of Huff's book in 1954 computational power has increased immensely. But our increased ability to collect and analyze data has also made it easier to misapply statistics. Reinhart's book aims to introduce the present consumers of statistics to the resulting problems, and suggests ways to avoid them.
The book starts with a review of hypothesis testing, p-values and statistical power. Here Reinhart introduces a recurrent topic of the book: the errors and "truth inflation" due to the preference of most journals and scientists to publish positive results. The ease with which we can analyze data makes the problems of multiple comparisons and double dipping particularly important. The book provides a number of thoughtful examples to illustrate these issues. The last few chapters provide good guides to data sharing, publication, and reproducibility in research. Each chapter ends with a list of useful tips.
Most of these issues are more subtle than those discussed by Huff [5]. While not heavy on math, the book presents arguments that require reflection. The ideas are frequently illustrated using well chosen examples, making for an entertaining read. The book is thus informative, yet easy to read.
Reinhart predominantly discusses issues resulting from the misuse of frequentist statistics. This is understandable, as the frequentist approach is currently dominant in most sciences. However, it is worth noting that Bayesian approaches make it easier to deal with some of the main problems discussed in the book. Bayesian statistics makes it easier to deal with multiple comparisons, and replaces p-values with measures that are easier to interpret. However, it is not a magic bullet – as Bayesian approaches become more common over the next decades, we may need another volume describing their misuses.
What is the audience for this book? Many of the topics need to be familiar to anybody doing science today. The book could also provide good supplementary material for a second course in statistics.
Doing statistics can be tricky. Finding the right experimental design requires a careful consideration of the question to be answered. The interpretation of the results requires a good understanding of the methods that are used. All statistical models are by necessity approximate. Knowing how to verify that the underlying assumptions are reasonable, and choosing an appropriate way to analyze data is essential. A central point here is that the statistical analysis deserves as much
attention as the conclusions we draw from it. And perhaps the most important lessons of this book is that questions of statistical analysis should be addressed when the research is planned.
Reinhart's book is not a comprehensive list of the different ways in which misuses of statistics can lead us astray. It provides no foolproof answers on how to detect problems in statistical analysis. However, it does an excellent job of introducing a range of common pitfalls, and provides sensible tips on hows to avoid them. Doing statistics means accepting that we will be wrong some of the time. The best we can do is to maximize our chances of being right, and understand how likely it is that we are not.
- Ioannidis, J. P. A. Why most published research findings are false. PLoS Medicine, 2:8, (2005) e124. http://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.0020124
- Button, K. S., et al. Power failure: why small sample size undermines the reliability of neuro- science, Nat Neuroscience, 14, p. 365-376 112. (2013) http://doi.org/10.1038/nrn3475
- Open Science Collaboration. Estimating the reproducibility of psychological science. Science 349:6251,p. 943. (2015) http://doi.org/10.1126/science.aac4716
- Reinhart, A. Statistics done wrong. No Starch Press (2014).
- Huff, D. How to Lie with Statistics. Norton, W. W. & Company, Inc. (1954).
In the night of December 13, 1799, George Washington woke his wife Martha to tell her that he was feeling ill. Following the medical practice of the day, he was bled repeatedly and given an assortment of medicines, some of which contained mercury. By the time Washington died, half of his blood had been removed. He may have lived longer had the doctors simply done nothing.
Washington's case is not unique. Doctors of the past did not know whether their medicines worked. Some, like quinine, were real cures. Most others, like lead and mercury, did more harm than good. Until the second half of the 20th century physicians did not have the tools to decide which medicines help patients. And it was not microscopes or sophisticated lab equipment they were lacking. Rather, they did not know how to reliably test and compare different treatments.
Suppose you want to test whether a drug helps people sleep better. You could give it to many patients, and ask them if their sleep has improved. But how can you tell whether the results are due to chance, or the placebo effect? And how many people do you need to ask to conclude that the drug works? One answer is to divide patients randomly into two groups. Give the drug to those in the test group, and not to those in the so-called control group. If those in the test group fare better, the drug is effective.
This may sound simple, but it is not. Some people in both groups will still sleep better by chance. Fortunately, if you have sufficiently many patients, such differences even out. How many patients do you need, and how confident can you be in your conclusions? The mathematical theory of probability and statistics provide precise answers to these questions.
The ethical questions are more difficult. In such clinical trials we give the drug to some people and not to others. How can we withhold a potentially life saving drug from some dying patients, and give it to others? But remember – before a treatment is proven to work, it is possible that doing nothing is the better option. The reason we test treatments is that we only suspect that they work. Doctors, like the rest of us, are not clairvoyant. They do not know what treatment is best until it is tested.
As an example, antiarrhythmic drugs were given to patients for decades to stop irregular heartbeats. Doctors argued that it was self-evident that these drugs saved lives. The drugs were eventually tested in clinical trials, but only because doctors believed they should be used more widely. However, a statistical analysis showed that these supposedly life saving medicines were killing patients each year. The drugs may have been responsible for more than 50,000 deaths in the US alone. What seemed obvious and intuitive turned out to be very wrong.
We laugh at the medieval use of leaches, and other remedies that help "balance the humors". But even today we sometimes base our decision on intuition rather than evidence. Many avoid vaccinations which have been proven to be safe and effective. On the other doctors and patients frequently demand expensive medical tests when none are needed. Clinical trials and statistics can tell us which treatments work. It is up to us to make use of that knowledge.
Some notes:
- How much doctors rely on proven medicines, and how much they go by instinct and guesses is a matter of debate.
- I recommend Druin Burch's book "Taking the Medicine" for a look into the history of clinical trials.
- Much has been written about the modern anti-vaccine movement. Here an older, but still relevant article in Wired
- The ethics of randomized clinical trials is a complicated subject. I have written about a particular case here. You will find links to more detailed discussions here.
- Here is a good article about over treatment.


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