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A superhero symbolizes his society's loftiest ideals. For example, Captain America embodies America's freedoms, just as Batman reflects our national pastime of dressing as winged rodents and climbing on bat-shaped grappling hooks.
So what do the following heroes say about their native lands? We have zero clue, but if you put them together on a super-team, you'd have one fine Justice League of Crazy.
6Cutey Honey
Cutey Honey debuted in 1973 and is notable for being the first Japanese manga heroine. However, no one would mistake Honey for a feminist icon, as her ridiculous superpowers are right out of an anime nerd's wettest of dreams.
But first we have her origin story, which reads like the plot of Terminator Salvation mixed with Are You There God? It's Me Margaret. Honey Kisaragi thought she was an ordinary teenager until she discovered that she was a super-powered android version of her dead human self. She then realized that upon shouting "Honey Flash!" her clothes would self-destruct and she would turn into a busty redheaded crime fighter.
"Honey Flash," literally.
The most ridiculous part of all this is that Cutey Honey's garments have exploded in every damn adventure for the past 30+ years. Heck, even Bruce Banner finally learned to buy purple chinos in bulk, but, as this clip from her 2007 TV show demonstrates, Cutey Honey is still streaking for justice.
There's so much wrong here we don't know where to start. First note that the camera lingers on her sparkling, barely legal nudity way too long.
The slow-motion sequence finally stops after this crook is blinded by either her roundhouse kick or the sight of her horrifying robo-vagina. We're not sure which.
"Look at my uncanny valley!"
5Flash Bomba
Flash Bomba is the creation of famed Filipino graphic novelist Mars Ravelo. Because an accident crippled his legs, Flash trained the rest of his body to become super strong. After overcoming his handicap in a Lifetime-afternoon-movie-worthy fashion, Flash did what any plucky paraplegic would do: beat up a Tikbalang--a mythic beast with a man's body and horse's head--and steal its magic powers.
What amazing abilities did this reverse centaur give Flash? Crap ones. The Tikbalang was so irked that our hero got Murderball on his ass, he bestowed Flash with freakishly swollen hands and feet. Not just a little swollen; "Dom DeLuise drunk in an apiary" swollen.
In addition to being able to palm a dozen basketballs, Flash Bomba's hands have other "handy" super-human applications. He can summon demon horses (of course!) and clap loud enough to stop tornadoes, as seen in his 2009 TV series.
Notice that the crowd is appreciative but only lukewarmly so. It's like they're thinking, "America gets Superman. Japan gets that girl whose clothes blow up. We get Hamburglar at the Manila Gay Pride Parade."
And he has gout!


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Some may remember during the debate about federal government bailouts and stimuli the Obama regime made it clear that no ideology will be allowed to sway the administration.
What is important, the president said, is that the government stick to a pragmatic policy — a policy of expediency, one concerned with what works, not with what conforms to principles.
"What the cynics fail to understand is that the ground has shifted beneath them," Obama told Americans, "that the stale political arguments that have consumed us for so long no longer apply. The question we ask today is not whether our government is too big or too small, but whether it works…"
That is indeed the calling card of the pragmatist — do whatever works.
Ironically, pragmatism, the quintessentially unprincipled philosophical movement, was born in America, the one country in human history and around the globe most explicitly tied to certain basic principles of community life — the existence of unalienable, natural human rights, a tradition now widely mimicked.
Such American thinkers as William James, C. I. Lewis, John Dewey, Oliver Wendell Holmes, Jr., Willard Van Orman Quine, Richard Rorty and, right near the current White House, Harvard Law Professor Cass Sunstein, all professed to be pragmatists. Although their specific positions are not identical, what they share most of all is they reject the idea of foundations to human thought and action. Anti-foundationalism is a prominent stance they all share, meaning that what people think and do cannot be given some kind of basic grounding in reality or thought or God or anything.
Whatever works is all that can be produced in support of what one thinks, does, supports as law and public policy. No principled support for — or opposition to — what we think and do is possible to find, so we need to abandon the myth of foundationalism.
Let's just settle for what pans out in practice.
As many critics of this position have pointed out, it is a non-starter; it cannot be practiced at all since what works is always related to some objective or goal that one aims to achieve and if there are no principles on which to rest such goals, they remain simply a wish list of powerful, influential people, quite arbitrary in the last analysis. Most importantly, pragmatism is the foe of a society that aims to establish and maintain justice among its citizens since principles of justice are plainly unknowable so far as pragmatism goes.
It is also blatantly offensive — no basic reason can be given for opposition to torture or rape or murder?
Give me a break.

subset: commoncrawl


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The council asked that the proposed changes be reviewed by City Attorney Don Kubicek before taking further action on them.
The proposed amendments include increasing the fee for gaming machines from $1,000 to $2,000 a machine per year.
Also, the council is proposing an amendment that game room Sunday hours be pushed back for opening from 10 a.m. to 1 p.m.
Another proposal was to increase the distance from schools, churches, day care centers and government offices from 500 feet to 2,000 feet.
Also, background checks would be required for employees, owners, vendors and would be due when machine permits are due on Dec. 31.
Also proposed would be surveillance cameras required 24 hours a day, seven days a week and made available to law enforcement.
Also proposed was an increase in the distance between game rooms from 1,500 feet to 2,000 feet.
And proposed security for the game rooms would be required at level 2 security training – a certification of personal protection officers.
Woodsboro has four game rooms in its city limits currently.
In other business, the council turned down a request from Tom Robinson for a variance to the amusement or game room ordinance, pertaining to a game room at 105 Wood Avenue.
The council also approved purchasing seal coating at a cost of $34,541 for Celia, Holmes, Myrtle and part of Julia streets. The money comes from the street fund, supported through the municipal court fees.
The council also approved renting a pad foot roller from H&V Equipment at a cost of $1,212. The money comes from the street maintenance improvement fund.
Also, the council approved a sewer tap for Artemio Hernandez at a cost to the owner of $1,226. The tap is outside the city limits.
And the council approved outside service for water and sewer service for Eddie Barrera at a cost to the owner of $2,729.
The council also approved a sealed bid submitted by Thomas Villegas for a piece of property about 20 feet wide that adjoins his property.
The council also took no action after a discussion on hiring a code enforcement officer.


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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/1959.3/25501
|Download PDF (Author's final draft) (Adobe Acrobat PDF, 369 KB)
- Title
- The black hole mass: spheroid luminosity relation
- Author(s)
- Graham, Alister W.
- Abstract
- The differing M_bh-Luminosity relations presented in McLure & Dunlop, Marconi & Hunt and Erwin et al. have been investigated. A number of issues have been identified and addressed in each of these studies, including but not limited to: the removal of a dependency on the Hubble constant; a correction for dust attenuation in the bulges of disc galaxies; the identification of lenticular galaxies previously treated as elliptical galaxies; and application of the same (Y|X) regression analysis. These adjustments result in relations which now predict similar black hole masses. The optimal K-band relation is log(M_bh/M_sun) = -0.37(+/-0.04)[M_K +24] + 8.29(+/-0.08), with a total (not intrinsic) scatter in log M_bh equal to 0.33 dex. This level of scatter is similar to the value of 0.34 dex from the M_bh-sigma relation of Tremaine et al. and compares favourably with the value of 0.31 dex from the M_bh-n relation of Graham & Driver. Using different photometric data, consistent relations in the B- and R-band are also provided, although we do note that the small (N=13) R-band sample used by Erwin et al. is found here to have a slope of -0.30(+/-0.06) and a total scatter of 0.31 dex. Performing a symmetrical regression on the larger K-band sample gives a slope of -0.40, implying M_bh ~ L^{1.00}. Implications for galaxy-black hole coevolution, in terms of dry mergers, are briefly discussed, as are predictions for intermediate mass black holes. Finally, as previously noted by Tundo et al., a potential bias in the galaxy sample used to define the M_bh-L relations is shown and a corrective formula provided.
- Publication type
- Journal article
- Research centre
- Swinburne University of Technology. Faculty of Information and Communication Technologies. Centre for Astrophysics and Supercomputing
- Source
- Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, Vol. 379, no. 2 (Aug 2007), pp. 711-722
- Publication year
- 2007
- FOR Code(s)
- 0201 Astronomical and Space Sciences
- Keyword(s)
- Black hole physics; Bulges; Galaxies; Galaxy photometry
- Publisher
- Blackwell
- 0035-8711
- Publisher URL
- Copyright
- Copyright © 2007 Royal Astronomical Society. The accepted manuscript of this paper is reproduced here in accordance with the copyright policy of the publisher. The definitive publication is available at www.interscience.wiley.com.
- Full text
- Peer reviewed


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Dovenmuehle Mortgage is holding Job Fairs this week at their Elgin and Lake Zurich locations. They have several opportunities available due to growth. Positions are available at both locations.
Tuesday 1/8 -- 10am to 4pm 1206 St. Charles St, Elgin
Thursday 1/10 -- 10am to 5pm 1 Corporate Drive, Suite 360, Lake Zurich
Complete details on the positions available and a method to apply if unable to attend are available on their Monster posting.
Get a new job in 2013. Stay connected with us on Facebook & follow us on Twitter @SuburbanChiJobs.


text:
Officials say the automatic federal budget cuts will affect readiness of the Iowa National Guard.
The Guard's Col. Greg Hapgood told The Gazette that the Iowa Guard must cut 10 percent of its current year budget of $370 million. Hapgood says the cuts will be squeezed into a five-month period of May through September, which makes them harder to undertake.
Hapgood and other full-time "federal technicians" in uniform will be taking one unpaid day per week.
CWO3 Kevin Unkel is maintenance chief at the Iowa National Guard Armory in Cedar Rapids. He says his shop will lose 160 man-hours of labor a week, which means a reduction in annual servicing and the necessity of reordering maintenance priorities.


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Check-in and boarding gate deadlines
It's important to always arrive at the airport well in advance of your flight. This will ensure you have plenty of time to check in, drop off your bags and go through security screening.
|Check-in and boarding gate deadlines
|When you should check in
|Check-in / baggage drop-off ends
|Boarding gate closes
|Within Canada
|90 minutes
|45 minutes†
|15 minutes
|To/From the U.S.
|120 minutes
|60 minutes
|15 minutes
|International(including Mexico and the Caribbean)
|120 minutes
|60 minutes
|15 minutes
|From Casablanca, Morocco
|180 minutes
|60 minutes
|30 minutes
|From Tel-Aviv, Israel
|180 minutes
|60 minutes
|60 minutes
How early can I check in?
You can check in for your flight as early as:
- 24 hours before departure when you check in online or on your mobile device.
- 12 hours before departure at one of our self-service check-in kiosks.
How early can I drop off my bags?
You may check your bags at the baggage drop-off counter at the earliest:
- 4 hours prior to departure for flights from Canada or the U.S.
- 3 hours prior to departure for flights from all other locations.
I have a connecting flight. What should I know about minimum connection times?
For a smooth connection between flights, it's important to give yourself adequate time between your first flight's arrival and your next flight's departure, in order to allow for security checks and any necessary terminal changes. Learn more about minimum connection times.
What else do I need to know?
Check-in/baggage drop-off and boarding gate deadlines are important. Failure to respect these deadlines may result in the reassignment of any reserved seats, the cancellation of reservations, and/or ineligibility for denied boarding compensation.
Codeshare flights: If you are travelling on a codeshare flight, you'll need to familiarize yourself with the other airline's policies on check-in times and procedures.


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"I have listened to Catholic Answers Live for many years now. The show is informational, inspirational, faith building, and funny. I have been in the process of conversion for many years, and now at age 60, I will be joining the Catholic Church. The show and speakers have been my tutor and guide, and I am deeply grateful to all."
"Once the decision had been made, to tarry in the opposition party would have been inconsistent with my whole past. I would have set my own infallibility in the place of the infallibility of the Church."


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By Chelle Delaney: Freedom New Mexico
A Tucumcari man is charged with a shooting another man in the back of the neck in the parking lot of the Redwood Lodge in Tucumcari on Monday.
Howard Russell King, the victim, was transported to Tucumcari Memorial Hospital by relatives about 8:45 p.m. on Monday, according to documents filed with the Quay County Magistrate Court and a Tucumcari Police Department press release.
King was later transferred to the intensive care unit at an Amarillo hospital, where he remains today. A spokesperson for the hospital declined to release King's condition.
The man charged with shooting King is identified as the manager of the Redwood Lodge, Robert W. Wynashe, 66, also known as "Chief," according to court documents.
Wynashe is charged with seven felony counts, including aggravated battery, shooting at a motor vehicle, tampering with evidence and criminal damage of property.
He is jailed in the Quay County Detention Center on a $1 million cash bond, court documents state.
According to court documents:
King was moving out of the Redwood Lodge with help from relatives on Monday night.
King, a passenger in the front seat of a car, told the driver to stop because someone was motioning to him from the parking lot.
King's niece, who was in the back seat of the car, said she saw Wyhnashe with a gun and he shot at the vehicle hitting the passenger side glass busting it out.
The driver of the car said he did not see who shot at them. He said he heard a loud bang and the windows of his vehicle breaking.
The driver said, "He looked over and saw Russell grab his chest, then watched him fall over into his lap."
In the hospital, police asked King if he "saw who shot him," and said that "Chief did."
A search of the manager's quarters of the Redwood Lodge located two boxes of ammunition with rounds missing in an unlocked safe.
"On the front porch was a green chair and located under the seat cushion was a .357 magnum handgun loaded and one round discharged," the documents stated.
Wynashe is expected to be arraigned on Thursday.


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Economy Sink, 1-bowl, with 36" RH drainboard, 24" W x 18" L-R bowl dimensions, 14" D fabricated bowl, 7" H splash, s/s gussets, legs & adjustable white metal feet, 16/304 bowl, 16/430 body, "Aero Safety Edge", Space Saver const, fully welded gussets,
This stainless steel sink with right drainboard has one 14 inch deep bowl. Supplied with stainless steel drain basket and strainer. The F1 series sinks from Aero are available in a variety of configurations. MF economy models are built with 16 gauge 304 stainless steel bowls, with 430 stainless steel used for the body. 3F models use higher quality 304 stainless for the bowl and body. 2F 'Aerospec' sink models use a thicker 14 gauge steel for the bowl and body, while adding enhancements including a 10 inch backsplash rather than the standard 7 inch, stainless steel feet, and cross bracing on the legs for additional rigidity. Various configuration options are available for widths and drainboards. All models have aero safety edges, 1/2 inch hot and cold pluming supply, and 8" o.c. faucet holes.
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Reassessing whether low energy electromagnetic fields can have clinically relevant biological effects
It is with some trepidation that I write this, given that I realize this post might lead to charges that I've allowed myself to become so open-minded that my brains fell out, but I think the issues raised by what I'm about to discuss will make our readers think a bit—and perhaps spark some conversation. Because I'm in a bit of a contrarian mood, I'll take that risk, although it's possible I might end up with the proverbial egg on my face. As our regular readers know, the issue of the health effects of radiation from mobile phones has been a frequent topic of this blog. The reasons are obvious because fear mongering claims not based in science are frequently made in the lay press and in books (for example, Disconnect by Devra Davis) and, unfortunately, also by some physicians and scientists. Moreover, like homeopathy, the issue demands a discussion of prior probability and plausibility based on basic science alone, but the issues are a bit less clear-cut. Whereas the tenets of homeopathy clearly violate multiple laws of physics and chemistry, it is possible, albeit very unlikely, that radio waves might produce significant biological changes.
There's also sometimes a maddening dogmatism on the part of some physicists that it's "impossible" that long term exposure to radio waves could possibly cause cancer because such electromagnetic waves do not have anywhere near enough energy to cause ionization and thereby break chemical bonds. While it is certainly true that such radio waves can't break chemical bonds and the likelihood that the radio waves from cell phones can cause cancer appears very low based solely on physics considerations, all too often the arguments made based on physics considerations alone use a simplistic understanding of cancer and carcinogenesis as their basis. It's not for nothing that I have referred to such arguments as being based on a high school or freshman level of understanding about cancer—or just an outmoded understanding that prevailed a decade or two ago but today no longer does. Bernard Leikind, for instance, argued and famed skeptic Michael Shermer accepted that, because the radio waves used in cellular communications are too low energy to break chemical bonds and do not produce significant heating compared to other sources, "cell phones cannot damage living tissue or cause cancer." Note the implicit assumption: That it is somehow necessary to "damage" living tissue in order to cause cancer. That's an assumption that is arguably quite simplistic and ignores knowledge we've gained about epigenetics and how potential metabolic influences might cause cancer. Cancer is associated with characteristic cellular metabolic abnormalities, and determining which is responsible for the formation of cancer, metabolic abnormalities or gene mutations, has become a "chicken or the egg"-type of question.
I do not in any way believe that cell phone radiation actually is a cause of cancer because, unlike the case in homeopathy, where multiple well-established laws of physics would have to be overturned for homeopathy to work, I find the argument that a causation is "utterly impossible" far less persuasive than some physicists do when it comes to cell phone radiation and cancer. Even dismissing the "impossibility" argument, however, clearly such a link is at the very least incredibly implausible on physics considerations alone, as I have pointed out time and time again. Add to that the nearly completely negative epidemiological data in which only one group of researchers has been able to produce apparently "positive" studies, and my personal conclusion is that we probably already have enough data to reject a connection between radio waves and cancer and don't need any more new large epidemiological studies; following up long term results on the ones already under way should be sufficient. That is not the same thing as arguing that radio waves have no significant biological effect, which is what, in essence, the argument from physics is based on. In fact, the inspiration for the rest of this post came from a meeting I had last week with a scientist and that scientist's talk for our cancer center's weekly Grand Rounds. What I learned did not demonstrate that cell phones cause cancer or even that they might cause cancer. Not even this scientist claimed his results were consistent with cell phone radiation causing cancer; in fact, he quite clearly stated they were not. However, what I learned from him cast some doubt (to me, at least) on the assumption that radio waves cannot have profound biological effects. In fact, ironically enough, this scientist is proposing the use of amplitude-modulated (AM) radio waves to treat cancer. I'm not yet convinced by any stretch of the imagination that this researcher is on to something, but his findings made me think about the perils and pitfalls of declaring something "impossible" solely on basic science considerations, because he has some very intriguing results that I can't find a compelling reason to dismiss.
And, at least as of now, there's no known physical mechanism that can explain his findings. Leaving aside the possibility of fraud or some sort of systematic bias that is not apparent in the methods sections of the papers I'm about to summarize, either he's found something new and potentially promising, or he's somehow very, very wrong.
Posted in: Basic Science, Cancer, Clinical TrialsLeave a Comment (99) →


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Converge Industrial and Enterprise Networks
Cisco Industrial Ethernet 2000 (IE 2000) Series Switches extend the proven Cisco Catalyst technologies prevalent in enterprise networks to industrial networks. Superior security, video, and voice services are thus extended to industrial applications. These switches are also ruggedized, easy to manage, resilient, and enhanced through support of industry protocols.
IE 2000 Video Data Sheet
See how Cisco Industrial Ethernet 2000 Series Switches help build advanced industrial networks. (2:29 min)
IE 2000 IP67 Video Data Sheet
See how Cisco IE 2000 Series IP67 switches help build industrial networks in harsh environments. (3:05 min)Download Data Sheet
Feature and Capabilities
Cisco Industrial Ethernet 2000 Series Switches are fixed platforms that deliver Layer 2 switching with proven Cisco IOS Software. Their extensive certifications, as well as a wide range in power supply voltage input and operation temperature, make them suitable for almost all industrial applications.
They support IEEE 1588, Common Industrial Protocol (CIP), and PROFINET v.2, among other industry protocols.
Comprehensive features such as support for IEEE 802.1x, Secure Shell (SSH) Protocol, Dynamic Host Configuration Protocol (DHCP) snooping, and storm control offer superior security. Industrial Power over Ethernet (PoE) and enhanced PoE make it possible for the switches to directly connect to communication devices like IP cameras and IP phones.
These switches also offer:
- Easy deployment, with zero-touch discovery using DHCP and an express setup with a swappable SD flash card
- A user-friendly device manager, the Cisco Network Assistant, a Cisco Prime interface, and third-party management solutions
- Resilience and fast network recovery with Flex Links, fast convergence with Cisco Resilient Ethernet Protocol and PROFINET MRP, and simplified IP address management and deployment
The IE 2000 can be easily managed by Cisco Industrial Network Director, a network management system purpose built for industrial applications that uses the complete capabilities of the Cisco Industrial Ethernet product family to make the network easily accessible to non-IT operations personnel.
Choose from two versions of the switches, depending on the industrial application and location:
- A DIN-rail-mountable version, generally installed in a cabinet
- An IP67-compliant wall-mountable version that does not require a cabinet
Enhance Security and Collaboration
Improve security and collaboration by converging industrial and enterprise networks. (2:37 min)
Overcome Environmental Challenges
Cisco IE 2000 Series IP67 switches help build industrial networks in harsh environments. (3:19 min)
Simplify Industrial Networks
See the benefits of Network Address Translation (NAT) on our IE 2000 switches. (1:30 min)Watch Video
Specifications at a Glance
|Port configuration
|Up to 24 fixed ports with compact form factor
|Up to two 100BASE-T or 1000BASE-T uplinks with SFP or RJ-45 connectors
|Integrated power supply, alarm relays
|Swappable SD flash card (for configuration storage), mini USB connector, RS-232 console port
|Industrial Ethernet protocols supported
|CIP, EtherNet/IP and PROFINETv2


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Welch touts tourism program
MONTPELIER Rep. Peter Welch, D-Vt., is pushing for the government to reauthorize a global tourism initiative that he says can attract more visitors to Vermont.
Welch and Republican Rep. Gus Bilirakis of Florida introduced an act that would extend the Brand USA program for five years. Brand USA is a voluntary public-private partnership.
Brand USA is making a tremendous contribution to US tourism, Welch said in a statement issued last week. This program works with the private sector to attract visitors to Vermont and attractions across the country. Its a no-brainer to continue this partnership that is clearly having a positive economic impact.
Ski Vermont President Parker Riehle called Brand USA a crucial partner in bringing international visitors to ski areas.
Welch called continuing the program a no-brainer.
Officials say that its estimated Brand USA attracted 1.1 million additional visitors to the U.S. in 2013, who spent $3.4 billion.
Brand USA has been criticized by some lawmakers in the past due to concerns about federal matching funds.
Having just returned from IPW in Chicago which is the largest international trade show in the U.S., it is clear that BrandUSA is leading us to much success in the marketplace, Megan Smith, Vermonts commissioner for Tourism and Marketing, said in a press release. Vermont had a team of 12 people in our booth and had the best set of appointments we have ever experienced from both media and tour operators. The interest in Vermont is from all over the world.MORE IN World/National BusinessWASHINGTON Long-term U.S. Full StoryNEW YORK Its not just the musical Hairspray that will air live on NBC tonight. Full StoryOXON HILL, Md. Far from the Las Vegas Strip, MGM Resorts International opens its $1. Full Story
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Joan PerryFebruary 12,2014
Joan Perry
Joan Perry
WATERBURY Joan Perry, 67, of Perry Hill Road, passed away in the comfort of her home and family Monday evening, Feb. 10, 2014. Born in Morrisville Nov. 4, 1946, she was the daughter of the late Donald and Jeanette (Fiske) Senna.
On Dec. 5, 1964, she married Donald F. Perry in Waterbury.
Joan grew up and attended schools in Stowe.
Following her marriage, in addition to being busy raising her daughters, she worked outside the home, first in housekeeping for the former Holiday Inn in Waterbury, and later for the Sugarbush Inn in Warren. More recently she was employed by Maintenance by Murphy as a housekeeper at the Waterbury state complex, and worked privately for several families in the Waterbury area.
Joans memberships included the Waterbury Area Senior Citizens, the Harry N. Cutting American Legion Auxiliary Unit 59 and the Red Hat Society.
Joan is lovingly remembered for all the joy and happiness she experienced spending time with her family, especially her grandchildren; for the simple pleasures she enjoyed such as a good book, playing bingo, bowling, doing jigsaw puzzles, as well as spending time in her garden, canning and cooking.
Joan is loved and mourned by her husband of 49 years, Donald Perry, of Waterbury; their daughters Dawn Russell and her husband, Floyd, of Waterbury Center, Valerie Mercer and her husband, Jeff, of West Berlin, and Karen Bryce and her husband, Timothy, of Charlotte; her four grandchildren, Lucas Russell, Serena Russell, Brittney Boudreau and Sean Mercer; and her brother, James Senna, of Chelsea. Joan was predeceased by an infant daughter.
Friends and family are invited to the Perkins-Parker Funeral Home in Waterbury for a time of visitation Saturday, Feb. 15, 2014, from 2 to 4 p.m. Later inurnment will take place in the Waterbury Center Cemetery.
The family requests that flowers be omitted; rather memorial gifts would be appreciated to Central Vermont Home Health and Hospice, 600 Granger Road, Barre VT 05641 (www.cvhhh.org). To send online condolences, please visit us at www.perkinsparker.com and Facebook.MORE IN ObituariesPaul N. Sourdiff
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According to Ken Rosenthal, the Phillies are actively shopping closer Jonathan Papelbon in belief they can sign a comparable closer cheaper. Rosenthal notes that Papelbon is due $13 million in both 2014 and 2015 and has a $13 million vesting option for 2016. Papelbon has a limited no trade clause and can approve trades to 12 teams.
Analysis: A day late and a dollar short on this one. Closers, by and large, are extremely overpaid and I'm glad the Phillies front office has come to realize this but this is way too late in the game. Signing a Joaquin Benoit, for instance, will likely net you the same result for less money than having Papelbon but the Phillies are likely literally the last team to the party in this realization. Finding a trade partner who both wants Papelbon, his salary, and his diminishing velocity will be tough.
I certainly applaud to attempt to do this but you really have to believe if the Phillies have come around to feeling this way (that closers aren't worth nearly what they are paid) then who would bite on a trade to take on $26 million in guaranteed, and $39 million in potential, salary?
91 Comments
The Yankees.
The Yankees have been claiming they're not in the market for a closer which makes no sense to me but they seem to have faith in giving Robertson a second try or going with Kelley.Both are still pretty cheap contracts. Perhaps they'll have a different view now that Cano's salary is the Mariners' problem.
They'd probably like to have Papelbon for insurance but like everyone else, at a reduced rate.
The Papelbon contract certainly wasn't one of Amaro's shining moments. Who was he even bidding against? The Red Sox couldn't wait to see him leave and there wasn't even enough time for a market to develop.
Not only did he bid against himself, he compounded the mistake by rushing to get the deal done and cost the team a 1st round pick in the process.
Anything's possible. Brian Wilson just got 10 mill for 1 year. But probably won't happen unless Phils eat significant salary; and then it may make not make much sense. Let's say you trade him and eat 8 mill. Then you have to go out and sign a closer like Benoit or Balfour who might cost 2 yr/16 mill. Only works if you go cheap like a Fernando Rodney type.
The Tigers just got the closer they desperately needed in Nathan. I'm sure the Phils tried, it's just a shame something couldn't have been worked out with them, because it appears Dave Dombrowski was ripe for the taking last week. Can you imagine Papelbon and a couple scrubs for Fister? Oh well. I hope someone will be interested.
I can't figure out what was in the Tigers' management's collective mind when they pretty much gave away Fister. The Fielder trade was smart for both Detroit and Texas and I can understand them wanting to free even more dollars if they have another big trade in the works BUT they would have done better trading Fister for a couple of high-rated minor league kids. Their farm isn't all that deep.
But the Tigers have a chance to win now so perhaps we could interest them in (DH) Howard, Papelbon and $40 mil in return for Benoit and minor leaguers Devon Travis and Nick Castellanos???
Or have I been drinking too much, again?
1. Benoit's a free agent.
2. The Tigers just signed Joe Nathan to be their closer.
3. I think that the Tigers really wanted Robbie Ray.
1. I worded that poorly. I meant signing Benoit as a free agent as a secondary move. Even if he was under contract with Detroit they'd never throw him in in that deal.
2. Yeah, Nathan makes it far less likely that the Tigers would consider Papelbon but the machine-like Nathan is still 39 and the Tigers needed a few bodies for bullpen depth. They can't afford to lose Nathan to injury or fatigue unless they resign Benoit or pick up a Papelbon. Plus, the Tigers still need a set-up guy if ithey don't resign Benoit for that duty, Maybe Papelbon's ego could take it if he had a chance o play for a contender…nah.
3. Ray was the centerpiece of that trade but like a few of the Phil's prospects has trouble finding the strike zone. But very young and with plenty of time to improve before he'll be called on.
at 33 Papelbon really is a little too young for the RUBE's team….get rid of Papelbon and sign a 40 year old closer,,,,,,,or maybe 42 or 43!!!!!! maybe entice Rivera out of retirement!!!!
Simply amazing to me that Amaro could have a job at this point.
If you sent in someone to intentionally destroy the franchise.
They could nto do as much damage as the idiot has.
How can he be employed?????????????
It is like bizaro world to me.
Anyway until he is gone there is NO HOPE.
Hate be so point blank and honest about it.
But that's the truth.
See everyone on opening day.
Andrew. I disagree. Ruben has made some mistakes but your venom for him is way over the top.
Pope Owens – I used to feel the same way as you. I was even called an "Amaro apologist" by a few on this site. But, I have to agree with Andrew here and have come to the conclusion that it is going to be VERY hard for the Phillies to do much of anything as long as Ruben is the GM. He really doesn't have much of a clue on how to construct and run a major league baseball team.
Glad to see you back Andrew!!! Your soooooo correct!! Its beyond me after the Fister miss or not even try that he's still in that office. Probably one of the worst parts of it he's in the same division. We'll face him 4 or 5 starts.
Comments on Braves Nation are also calling for the immediate dismissal of John Schuerholz and Frank Wren for missing out on Fister, signing BJ Upton and Dan Uggla and wasting prospects on Justin Upton.
Del, I've read similar complaints from Angels fans.
While neither is currently sharing the same hole with the Phillies, the Braves and Angels have spent a lot of new money only to become under-performing teams. With a few miscalculations and key injuries they could both resemble the Phillies in another two or three years.
Andrew I agree with you pal. I was always willing to give him the benefit of the doubt. The main reason I did was because I thought he had a plan! It's apparent that he doesn't he's shooting from his hip and missing.
I think the problem is the Phils are worried about the gate take and aren't willing to admit that they have to rebuild. So that's why I feel they are signing guys and hoping that they have good years to be competitive.
What they don't realize is that if they showed us they were committed to a rebuild and stopped giving out contracts to our beloved veterans with no trade clauses. And traded the guys that are still performing. (not Hamels) They should have let chooch go, not signed Utley, trade Paps. never given Rollins that 3-4 year deal etc. etc. We would be in favor of that and still show up to see the team grow into a respectable contender again. The way they're doing it is going to way harder to rebuild and have a much longer rebuild process. Ruben has to be replaced. Monty has to grab a box of tissues to wipe the tears, grow a set and get it done. the quicker the better.
Meh while most of the reports are probably just educated guesses i think its too late at this point. Maybe at some point next year if a contender gets desperate enough ( a team with pockets) we can possibly pull something off. Though i suspect the return will be less than optimal and we will have to eat salary.
I'd try to pawn off Papelbon to Seattle.
Take advantage of them while they're still drunk!
Trade Papelbon to the Angels for Mark Trumbo, even up, if possible..
The Angels need to strengthen their pen and Trumbo is expendable.
They may take the brunt of the hit on Papelbon's salary since the team is close to contention.
Personally, I'd rather have Kole Calhoun. IMO- If Trumbo is expendable, he's the reason why. Besides, how many teams can say they have two C(K)oles? After that, they should go after Chase Headley for the same reason!
lefty I don't understand you in saying Headley. We have Asche and Franco in the wings. Franco while not a proven commodity has a way better ceiling than Headley in my eyes. Don't get me wrong I like Headley but I think he's not needed now. Asche will most likely be the same type player as him and much younger and cheaper.
I don't know much about the other Kole you mentioned so I'll leave that alone. But unless Headley can play another position I don't see any reason to pursue him.
It was just a joke Ryne. Two Cole's, Two Chase's-
Duhhhhhhhhhhhhh! sorry lefty. That went right over my almost hairless head buddy. And I thought I had a sense of humor. Go figure.
The Papelbon contract is a fact, maybe even an unpleasant fact for many contributors to Philles Nation. Comments on this site and others, however, reiterate the same tired sentiment- the contract is immovable because the dollar value is too high and Papelbon's fastball velocity and strikeout rates are down etc.. I say why complain about trying to move his contract? Complain about not trying. Papelbon remarked that he suffered from some hip pain over the summer, perhaps this contributed in some way to his on the field problems. Maybe some team or pitching coach sees something they think they can fix, who knows. For all of the banter about the team standing still, applaud it for trying to make a move.
It's wonderful that Amaro is trying to unload Papelbon, but we shouldn't lose sight of the fact that it was his blatant miscalculation that led to having an overpaid, declining closer with an unmovable contract.
For what purpose do you want to rehash the same issue. Don't dwell on the past , look for solutions.
Del, I do give them credit for finally trying. I think we have all felt the frustration of management not seeing where this was headed all along. Even as they appear to finally get it it's hard not to still be a trifle p'd off and continue to bitch a while longer. As much as we love the Big Piece, who among us didn't cringe over the size and length of his last contract. Who among us didn't scratch our heads over the Papelbon deal that didn't need to happen – or be as punishing if only a moment's patience was exercised at the time?
I think the first order of business is to unload the large contracts between this off-season and next even if it means eating half of the remaining dollars due. Management has to start undoing the imbalance between a ridiculously high payroll and equally ridiculously low on-field performance for the money. Papelbon still has tread life. Last season was off for him but not all that bad. He still ended up in the middle of the pack and that's got to have value to a contender or a team that only needs a few pieces. Howard will be tougher to move this year (because of money and health questions) without taking too much of a hit, but if he rebounds he'll be movable next year and hopefully with another team at least sharing his remaining salary at that point (maybe in return for a few minor league hopefuls. At least he'll be due $25 million less by then which is that much more manageable.
But I'm already looking beyond the next two years since they're more likely to be worse team during that period than a better one. The question is, how do they become competitive by 2016? The triple hole they dug for themselves between payroll, aging low trade- value talent and a depleted farm is just too much to overcome in a year or two. The booby prize may be the ability to pick higher in the draft but that will take a better front office and better scouting than the team has showed us to date. So the route to a successful turnaround seems to be something like this:
A or B. Dump the overpaid players in return for any semi-reasonable offers.
B or A. Shake up the front office.
C. Put together a first rate sabermetrics department (department – not just one person).
D. Shake up the scouting department and put more emphasis on a World view.
E. Trade any remaining aging players a year too soon (instead of a year too late).
F. Pass on any player whose first name is Chad or Michael – or last name is Young.
G or A. Pay us commenters here at PN $100,000 apiece to proffer these really good ideas.
Addendum to F….unless his last name is Trout.
HK – Re: Players named Michael.
I was referring strictly to mortals.
Hey W that was good. I don't agree with everything but most I do. I also agree with your A to addendum F. With the one exception to G I'll take only 50K cause I didn't agree 100% with you. Since it was your idea I'll give you my 50K that I'm willing to give up! lol
"I definitely did not come here for this"
An endearing sorta fellow, that Papelbon.
Seems most of the frustration is targeted at Papelbon. It was Rube who made the deal.
Was the money or years involved crazy? Maybe, maybe not. In 2011 Rivera made 15 million, F. Rodriguez made over 12 million, Papelbon himself made 12 million, J. Nathan over 11 million and Madsen was offed a contract valued at 11 million per annum. So, while you can fault him for not being a trend-setter. The contract was not completely out of line.
The money wasn't crazy, but the years were (as was mentioned here and on other blogs at the time). 2 years at $12.5M per year with a 3rd year team option would have been fine. 4 years at that AAV with a 5th vesting option was crazy. It took Ruben 2 years to learn what many of the bloggers and fans already knew. Throw in the lost 1st round pick and this contract is 2nd to the Howard extension on Rube's long list of bad moves.
Yeah, some of the frustration is targeted at Papelbon because he's a d!ck. I can understand his frustration…we're ALL frustrated, Jonathan…..but he hasn't exactly endeared himself to the fanbase.
Howard, on the other hand, HAS been popular with the fans (he's a good guy) but the contract sucks bigtime and that falls squarely on Ruben.
Phil's are stuck with too many expensive salaries the next two years which is why I'm ok with older players on 1 or 2 year contracts. If the team sucks near the deadline a Cliff Lee will be movable to start the rebuild. Maybe even Paps is he looks good.
I agree. It seems as though ownership has adopted a philosophy that's built around trying to win with a veteran team in the next few years while preventing RAJ from do anything that will negatively impact 2017 and beyond.
Please Ruben don't go trading away some of our young guys to get a bad contract on the books I beg of you. Trade Papelbon for pennies on the dollar. Send him to the Dodgers, Seattle, Giants, Reds, Rangers. Bring back some decent minor leaguers. IF you can confuse the Dodgers into trade Matt Kemp. TAKE IT. Put him out in RF. We have the money. I don't want to hear anything about the luxury tax. You weren't thinking about that when you signed Lee, Halladay, Papelbon, and all the other long term deals you have given out. Trade Kyle Kendrick. We can find another decent starter out in the free agency market or in our minor leagues. No team is willing to trade away its young guys for our old guys. Lets gamble a little.
A lineup of Revere, Rollins, Utley, Kemp, Brown, Howard, Ruiz, Asche,
Our Starters could be Hamels, Lee, Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez, Pettibone, Biddle
Bench with Galvis, Ruf, Fradsen, Byrd, Nieves or Rupp
Thats not a bad team to me. I dont want to hear we are thinking of creative ways. For 257 Games fans sold out the ballpark. Ever since we moved to Citizens Bank the ownership has been lining its mattresses with money. Why do the Yankees have 27 World Series Rings, why have the Red Sox won 3 rings in a decade.
I like the idea of a straight trade of Papelbon for Trumbo. But I doubt if the Angels would bite on that one. I agree that Amaro simply is not general manager material.
Trumbo to me isnt worth it. Slow and he strikes out a lot. What this team needs is a professional hitter. Someone that will work the count, take a walk, and force other guys on this team to hit with their eyes open.
I reasonable argument against my choice of Trumbo but then he had 100 RBIs and 34 HRs last season which would have led the Phillies in both categories.
But I think the player you're describing is Choo.
Considering the fact that we need professional hitters from both sides of the plate perhaps he'd be a perfect pickup – and someone who can lead off when needed.
Would love to see the Phillies dump him and bring in Andrew Friedman from the Rays. Or just someone that is willing to hire and listen to an analytics guy rather then just offer someone an "internship"
Trading Cliff could get us players to fill holes. Arizona is looking for an ACE. Maybe get back Archie Bradley, Tyler Skaggs, or AJ Pollack. The Rangers seem to always need more pitching. We have to remember that Lee is looking to retire after 2016.
If RAJ can trade Papelbon. I hope he just brings in arms. Not one guy. Madsen, Axford, Mitchell Boggs, Chris Perez or Fernando Rodney. Sign 2 of them.
The one thing that Ruben has proven time and time again is that he is stubborn. The free agent signings that happen to early. Papelbon, Byrd, Ibanez. He struggles to make a trade. Last season how were you unable to deal Ruiz and Michael Young at the deadline.
He did trade Young a month later, and he wanted to keep Ruiz for 2014.
Texas some how got better quick. Trading for Prince Fielder and getting Michael Choice for Lindblom (former Phillie) and a 4th outfielder. If thats all it took to get Choice why didnt the Phillies offer Mike Adams and Mayberry and keys to Ruben's 1992 Porsche.
Choice bats Right handed and can play RF.
Trade Pap and Dingle…uh… Mayberry for Granderson.
As of yesterday Mr. Granderson officially became a New York Mutt.
Not a bad pickup. $60 mil/3 yrs for a guy who still has speed and produced just 1 less RBI in 2012 (his last full season) as opposed to Cano at $240 mil/10 yrs. I'd call that a good value pickup for New York.
But maybe Rube is saving his money for Tanaka.
And maybe I'm the Queen of Spain.
Well, Cano is pretty clearly a better hitter than Granderson.
Or was it 4 years for Grandy?
Still a relative bargain. since a team could pick up four Grandersons for the price of one Cano and not have to worry about the players drooling in their oatmeal in retirement homes during the last six years of their contracts.
Correct me if I'm wrong but the Yankees could end up spending $450 million in FA this winter between one more major FA target and Tanaka… and then watch Oakland win the World Series against Pittsburgh.
Without question I'd take Cano over Granderson – maybe even over 1.5 to 2.5 Grandersons (assuming a half of a Granderson can still run and hit)!
But over four Grandersons with a full complement of arms and legs??
If Seattle is trying to turn into the King and His Court, fine but $240 mil invested in one player (albeit a great player) sounds a smidgeon extreme, especially for a relatively small market.
No argument about Granderson being a relative bargain. Only about using RBI as a meaningful point of comparison.
Comparing Granderson's last full year (2012) vs Cano's 2013, here's how the line reads:
Cano: . .383/ .516/ .899
Granderson: .319/ .492/ .811
Cano's numbers are great but even by metrics other than RBIs not 4x greater.
I'd sooner sign two or three Grandersons because the net upgrade for most non-contenders would be much more dramatic than signing one Cano. And you'd still have enough money left over to make a lot of other moves.
Here's an interesting take on the Cano deal from Jerry Green in the Detroit News.
I don't totally agree with his metrics, either but he makes some reasonable points:
I agree with everything you said, and disagree with almost everything in the Green article. Cano is no Utley, but he's a heck of a lot closer to Pujols than to Infante.
I thought Green's comparison to Infante bordered on the insane. Also, there are too many outside factors in a team sport to assume Cano is a lesser player for not winning an MVP. ie: It drives me crazy when I hear people say Ernie Banks was good but not great because he never won a pennant. Just 14x an all star, two MVPs, 2x HR leader, gold glove, etc etc. But where I believe Green makes a point is that there's been a pattern with these giant individual contracts that ends up biting a team in the tush more often than not. The Yankees finally learned from the Rodriguez contract that there's a financial ceiling for the best of them. I'd bet the Angels have figured that out, too. The Cards and Tigers saw disaster coming and divested ahead of the problem. The Yankees are buying a quality team for themselves with the money they would have spent on Cano alone. And if one guy falters or gets hurt, the other acquisitions will likely more than make up for the disappointment. Conversely, If Cano breaks a bone in his foot in April…
"Still a relative bargain. since a team could pick up four Grandersons for the price of one Cano and not have to worry about the players drooling in their oatmeal in retirement homes during the last six years of their contracts."
I began looking at the Cano deal in comparison to Ellsbury's after reading most Yankees fans claiming that Ellsbury's deal > Cano's, a sour grapes claim with which I completely disagree. Comparing the Cano deal to the Granderson deal is not the same as comparing it to Ellsbury's, but some of the same factors apply. The biggest factor to me is that all of these deals need to be assessed on the basis of their AAV's, not the total amount of the contract. Yes, Cano is getting 4x as much as Granderson. He's also 2 years younger and signed for 2.5x as many years. On an AAV basis, Cano is getting 1.6x as much as Granderson.
(1) Granderson's deal starts with his age 33 season while Cano's starts in his age 31 season. If Cano is going to be "drooling in his oatmeal" for 6 seasons starting with his age 35 season, Granderson will be "drooling in his oatmeal" during the last 2 of his 4 seasons.
(2) I would be stunned if Cano is "drooling in his oatmeal" (i.e. worthless) in seasons 5 through 7 (his age 35-37 seasons) of the deal. Chase Utley just finished a 3.9 WAR season at age 34 and is projected for a 3.5 WAR season in 2014. At comparable ages, Utley has been better than Cano, but players like them typically don't fall off the map at age 35, they typically decline. During those 3 years, using 5% salary inflation on his AAV, Seattle will be paying today's equivalent of ~$18.9M.
(3) During the last 3 years, when Cano is probably playing 1B and DH, he'll be significantly overpaid for his production. That's the price that Seattle is willing to pay to get projected excess value out Cano in the first four years and approximately fair value out of Cano for years 5 through 7.
(4) Cano projects to be worth ~2.5 WAR more than Granderson in each of the 4 years that their deals are concurrent. During that time, Cano will earn an AAV of $9M more than Granderson. If Seattle has the money to spend and is looking to make a big splash, there is a good argument to be made that the Cano deal was the better one for them.
HK – All of your points are well-considered on a straight Cano v Granderson deal comparison. And of course, no one can predict how comparatively healthy and high-functioning either man will be at age 39. Granderson has had injuries while the younger Cano has been relatively healthy even for his age; another point in favor of your math.
Where I think the Cano deal falls apart is when you consider that the performance of any star can be lost on the lineup built around him. A sky-high OBP is great but other Canos, or Grandersons, have to drive him across the plate – or be on base when one of them buries it in the stands.That's why I alluded (somewhere) to The King and His Court. A baseball team needs more than a couple of aces, a second basemen and one fielder.
Seattle does have a new broadcast contract so they may still go full Yankee on the league before FA and the winter meetings are over but that doesn't appear to be a realistic route for a franchise in a secondary city. Do they have the resources and commitment to make those additional and necessary upgrades? Only then will we know whether this deal made some sense. Odds suggest both the Mariners and the high-spending Bombers will be paying for reduced performance on the back end of both contracts but the Yankees are a bottomless money pit.
The Mariners need a lot more talent and still deeper wallet before Cano is playing for a champion caliber team. Can they do it? The novelty of their acquisition could wear off, soon.
Steamer projected Seattle around 76 wins before the trade, so it might be around 80-81 now, and I think they have some good prospects. I don't think it's out of the question that they could contend in 2015-16, and with some luck even 2014.
BTW, this is a fascinating look behind the scenes in Seattle (and an indictment of Jack Z):
Uh,Nina did you check MLB last night or this AM??? He's a mutt.
The problem built into this undertaking to dump Papelbon's salary can be found right in Ian's first sentence:
"…the Phillies are actively shopping closer Jonathan Papelbon in belief they can sign a comparable closer cheaper."
Yeah, well if the Phillies can find comparable talent for less money so can a lot of other current shoppers. The team has to land the top FA closer remaining on the board NOW in order to replace Papelbon with "comparable" talent and simultaneously remove that player from some closer-desperate team's grasp. If they wait, the Phillies will have the dregs of FA to pick from. If they sign a guy who can play the role of setup or closer (since Adams is probably toast) then the possibility of getting "stuck" with Papelbon for another year is not as big a deal. Any teams interested in Papelbon will see the new guy as a two-way reliever (setup or closer) and not see it as an opportunity to further fleece Ruben.
I believe that if Amaro really can trade Papelbon, he isn't going to sign an comparable closer, he'll opt for a reclamation project, perhaps someone like Madsont. Right now, with a team that doesn't have huge postseason prospects, there's no reason to use up funds on an elite closer which could be spent later when the team is once again poised for a postseason run. It's what he might get in return for Papelbon which makes the effort worthwhile.
I also think that some of the criticism of Amaro is a bit much. Two years ago, the team was still in the thick of things and players were added to keep the team in that position, even though it meant robbing the farm to trade for those players or signing free agents to bloated contracts. Obviously, ownership must have felt this was the way to go, and a GM has to keep them happy in order to keep his job. Amaro is a reflection of policies from above, he's not functioning in a vacuum. Now that the Phils have slipped, due in part to forces beyond any GM's control, like injuries and underperformance, Amaro is not going to sign major talent, but will hope to get at least something out of the veterans while plugging as many holes as he can without ruining ownership's bottom line. He's obviously made a number of errors, like the premature Howard extension and the trade to get Pence, but some of what's gone on should be laid at ownership's feet, too, due to their insistence on a "win now while the window is open" philosophy.
George, you're probably right about the reduced importance of a closer this year, especially on a 65 team which (IMO) we currently have.
As for who's at fault upstairs, well that's a good question. It's possible Ruben is getting tagged for a few decisions that were beyond his control – like keeping certain stars too long for the sake of TV revenue. And those injuries you mentioned not only affected their record but also made it harder to to trade players (old stars or otherwise) with health question marks hanging over their heads. In terms of good health old man Rollins is one of the few players who has earned his keep (thanks to his still stellar defense) despite his enormous drop in offense. He just needs to bat 7th or 8th in the lineup. Bring in Choo as the lead-off man and live with the heavily left-handed batting order. That won't mean anything either, this year.
Okay. It's settled .
Papelbon to the Yankees!
Why not, they're buying everybody else?
Sell his contract to the Yanks before they realize they don't need him.
They're like meth addicts in the front row of an auction.
(So far) $300 billion in FA signings and claim they're "not done" …
and they're still expected to land Tanaka!!!!!
That's okay. We have Marlon Byrd. Eat your hearts out, Bombers!
From Ryan Lawrence:
"Papelbon's $13 million-per-year price tag is more than the combined salaries of the closers for the last FOUR World Series winners ($12.76 million)."
"The Phillies paid Papelbon more money in 2013 (also $13 million) than the National League's top two teams, the Dodgers and Cardinals, spent, COMBINED, on the four pitches who made the most appearances with their respected teams ($10.9 million)."
So much for Amaro's ability to read the marketplace…
That's pretty distorted by Mr. Lawrence.
The Phillies did overpay, but top closers have been routinely overpaid, and Papelbon was the best closer available at the time he was signed.
Did Mr. Lawrence note that the Cardinals and Dodgers both sought closers all of the way up to the August 31st trade deadline. Also the last four teams to win the World Series found their closers by default, not by design.
Isn't that sort of Mr. Lawrence's point? Many teams have realized that closers are made, not born, and that you don't have to overpay (particularly in years) to acquire one. Therefore, it will be very hard for the Phils to trade Papelbon when he's most likely due $39M over 3 years unless they are willing to pay a large part of his contract or to take back a comparably bad contract.
My point is that if you want a degree of certainty in your bullpen then you have to pay for a Rivera and Papelbon. Nothing is more deflating for a team than to take a game to the ninth inning and have a pitcher blow the lead. I am also suggesting that there was a certain degree of luck involved for those teams as well and that in all liklihood the Giants, Cardinals Yankees etc. will look to find certainty before heading into this season. Not that I am suggesting that Papelbon will provide that level of certainty.
But that's the fallacy in the thinking behind the signing and something that this front office missed while almost all of the other teams had caught onto. It's hard enough – Mariano Rivera aside – to get certainty in 2 consecutive years from a closer, much less paying like you expect to get 5 years of certainty. They may or many not have overpaid Papelbon in average annual value, but even if they did, that issue pales in comparison to the fact that they signed him for 4 years plus a vesting option when all other closer signings were for 2 years (except Heath Bell, who got 3). Of course, the icing on the cake is that they would have kept their 2012 1st round pick if they had only waited another week to sign him.
Can someone point me toward some statistical research that shows the correlation between age and days on the DL? Must be a study somewhere.
This one shows the trend of pitcher injuries from age 21 to 40.
All true but Papelbon didn't come here for the money.
He wanted the opportunity to mingle with Philadelphia fans and win our hearts like Konstanty, McGraw and Lidge before him.
And he did win my heart for I found myself liking every other player on the team, good or bad, that much more than Pap.
Papelbon been a dik was a well known fact. I think even Rube had to know this. Howard is good guy on the field and on TV. Who knows how he really is in real life.
But speaking of Nelson Cruz…
Would he be the Christmas reindeer we've all been waiting for?
(IMO, a weak impersonation with the hands)
So should Cruz take over CF with Byrd in LF and Brown in RF?
Well there are your two RH OF power hitters with Revere platooning or coming off the bench.
Okey-dokey, but now platoon Howard and Ruf at 1B, Asche and Franco at 3B and RAJ and Mozeliak at GM.
Obviously I was kidding about that Asche and Franco part.
I'd be happy to land Cruz, Tanaka and Benoit (the latter as a setup man) and call it a day.
If that were to come to pass, Byrd is a much better fielder than Cruz (whose defensive ratings are almost Delmon-esque in RF).
While Cruz could be an ok addition, depending on the contract, I'm a little worried by his .730 OPS away from the friendly confines of Arlington, and how that would play in an essentially neutral park like CBP.
Then Cruz would become an odd pickup if Ruben is truly concerned about the quality of their fielding out there. But say they sign Cruz. if neither Byrd nor Cruz can cover CF and Brown is has to fit in one of the corner spots it would seem that Byrd ends up on the bench if only because of the higher dollar investment in Cruz.
Orrrrr! They sign Choo instead of Cruz and move Brown for a starting pitcher.
That would give them better fielding, a potential leadoff with power and a superior OBP – and a swap of left-handed bats.
I'd like the Cruz deal at 3/$45. Keep all signings at the 2 -3 year range and save the prospects unless you get a long term piece in return. It's actually a pretty good strategy. Just wish they didn't waste the tender on JMJ. Any way they can get out of that?
If these rumors are true, RAJ is once again missing the point. Another outfielder would be good, but our top priority right now should be a SOLID STARTING PITCHER. Revere, Brown, and Byrd can provide above-replacement level performance already. However, we have 2 pitchers in our rotation (KK and Pettibone) who are barely over replacement level… plus one big question mark. Even if Hamels and Lee are solid once again, that will not be enough… If you look at our current roster THE most obvious place to improve is in the starting pitching department. We need another ace (or near-ace) who can be a substantial upgrade over one of KK and Pettibone. "Upgrading" from Byrd/Revere to Cruz would barely make a dent.
That is, of course, if you think we can actually compete in 2014…
MLBTR said RAJ offered Feldman and Vogalslog(sp). So he's trying. Is Burnett still available? Not much left.
Unfortunately for the Phils, the posting fee dilemma has put a monkey wrench in any plans to bid for Tanaka. I don't see an overpay for Jiminez or Garza nor would I want one. Perhaps they sign Cruz and put a package together for a starter not named Price centered around Dom Brown.
Del, Rumor has it that the FA market for pitchers has run into a stall because of the delay on Tanaka and the growing possibility of trades at the meetings. That could also drive down the price of Garza and gang.
I don't see how the Golden Eagles pass on accepting some posting fee less than $50 mil on Tanaka since they'll come up with zippo if they wait for two years (and have an unhappy player). Still, I think their owner (a Harvard biz school grad) is being very shrewd. He probably wants the posting fee jacked back up to at least $30 mil since MLB teams will pay it. For $20 mil I think he'll continue to hold out, fully expecting his fellow owners and MLB to blink first – unless equivalent compensation is worked out elsewhere (or under the table). There seems to be two financial forces at work here. While Tanaka is easily worth a higher posting fee Japanese teams don't want to price other players out of the market. It would seem easy enough to set up two-tier pricing in which one player per team can be protected as a "franchise player" worth a $20 mil posting fee plus a $10 mil bonus before an MLB team can negotiate for the player's services. But I'm sure they're well beyond me in search of solutions.
With a posting fee of only $20 M, the Eagles may be able to wait a year, get another season's use from Tanaka, and then let him go with one year left on his contract.
Schmenkman, I agree. I have reservations about Garza and Jiminez, both. I think some sort of trade is the best option at this point.
There is only one reason that would make sense for why the Phillies are looking to sign Cruz and that is because Dom Brown is on his way out. Otherwise Cruz makes ZERO sense he is a liability in right and while Byrd is actually pretty good in right, moving him to center would likely end badly. This would be the only logical reason to bring in Cruz.
It would make more sense to improve in center with a player like Franklin Guiterrez that platoons with Revere. Cruz just does not make sense after signing Byrd unless you are planning on trading Brown.
Over his career, Ben Revere has better numbers vs LHPs so how would that platoon work? The big problem with Revere (besides his arm and questionable defense) is that he's almost exclusively a singles hitter. I guess he's a fit in some team's lineup, but he doesn't seem to fit here.
As Schmenk quickly and accurately pointed out in response to my mention of the Cruz rumor, Cruz is not the fielding upgrade Ruben has talked about nor is he likely to produce as well in a "neutral" park like CBP.
While management may still be contemplating signing the 33-year-old Cruz (despite their own public objections), here's an argument for signing 31-year-old Choo instead of Cruz (besides the age difference)…
Choo's OBP was the 4th highest in MLB last year (behind Cabrera, Votto and Trout.
The Phils would finally get a bona fide lead-off hitter (with power) who gets on base; plus Choo's a good fielder.
Yes, Choo is another lefty, but I'd couple the signing with a trade – Brown for a good starting pitcher – or better still, Revere wrapped in a package for same. Among the Phil's 2013 starters, only Brown,Revere and Asche have any trade value (the latter is tradable if Franco is given a real shot at 3rd). While improving the outfield with Choo, additional critical positions could be filled by trading some combination (or all) of the starters mentioned above.
Here are the lines:
Revere: 338/ .352/ .691 – WAR .8 (2013) 2.6 (2012-last full year)
Brown: .324/ 494/ .818 – WAR 2.5
Cruz: .327/.506/ .833 – WAR 2.0
Choo: 423/ .462/ .885 – WAR 4.2
Tanaka would be interesting signing with upside. Plus wont cost the 2nd round pick despite the costly salary.


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Interview with Al-Sorayai Group's Managing Director on the Oracle Retail deployment
By Sarah E Taylor-Oracle on Apr 03, 2012
Recently, I had the opportunity to speak with Sheik Al Sorayai, Managing Director of the Saudi Arabian carpet and rug manufacturer, the Al-Sorayai Group. His business has recently implemented Oracle® Retail Merchandising and Stores applications in only six months to support the launch of its new furniture retail concept, HomeStyle.
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Carved Long Neck Tribal Woman Wood Wall Hanging
About this itemFascinating work depicts a typical woman of the Long Neck Hill tribes of Thailand.
Add an accent of Asian beauty to your home interior when you decorate with this handcrafted wall hanging created by the Long Neck Hill Tribe of Thailand. This fascinating work depicts a typical woman of the tribe. From the age of six, women of the Long Neck Tribe begin wearing a brass coil around their neck. The coil is gradually unwound as they age, creating a series of brass rings and causing the neck to look extremely long. Painted black and gold, this tall piece features detailed artwork and carvings in the woman's face, clothing and jewelry. This authentic work of art includes a convenient hook on the back for hanging. Measures 18 inches high x 7 inches wide x 1 inch long. The handcrafted nature of this item will produce minor differences in design, color and sizing. Subtle variations will occur from piece to piece, adding to the unique quality of individual creations. Measurements may vary slightly.
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text: In the film Blade Runner the anti-hero Deckard, whose job it is to "retire" or destroy human-like androids called "replicants," is faced with an odd dilemma. Using a test to provoke responses and reactions in the subject Deckard tests someone who he believes is human at first. After a lengthy test he determines that the [Read More…]


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'Fighting' for Attention'
Mainstream media outlets shut out advocates of women learning self-defense
By Ellen Snortland 06/25/2014
I'm sitting at my computer, seething. You can almost smell my fury and frustration as George Will accuses rape survivors of being attention-seeking glory-mongers. Reducing rape statistics apparently will happen when pigs fly, given the proliferation of misogyny and backlash in the media. Then my husband comes in and says, "Here's one more reason to be infuriated," referring to an inane Huffington Post Live video. A "panel" yammers about Nia Sanchez, the newly crowned Miss USA, and her statement during the Q&A portion of her competition.
Contestant judge Rumer Willis asked Sanchez about the epidemic of sexual assault on campuses, and why colleges have "swept it under the rug." Sanchez posited that administrators don't want their schools getting a bad reputation, and then — in a departure from stereotypical pageant answers like "I just want world peace and puppies" — said: "I think more awareness is very important so women can learn how to protect themselves. Myself, as a fourth-degree black belt, I learned from a young age that you need to be confident and be able to defend yourself. And I think that's something that we should start to really implement for a lot of women." Wow!
In classic "either/or" thinking, the blogosphere, Twitter and some cranky-pants feminists who think self-defense is victim-blaming ("Why should women have to protect themselves? Men should just stop assaulting women!") went ballistic. Listen, I've been accused of being a cranky-pants feminist myself, so I am aware of the "Woo-hoo! Cat fight!" mentality of the mass media. You know, where the women who are anti-something progressive and conveniently pro-status quo get all the column inches and broadcast air, and rarely do the issues surrounding females get a full-blown hearing — especially from the "pro" side. The "pros," both in the sense of being for something and "pro"-fessionals, are left out. Those of us in the large, worldwide empowerment-based community of women's self-defense advocates and experts, both women and men, are apparently missing from the address books of segment producers, editors and journalists. We must be hard to find … not!
As an outspoken expert and advocate immersed for decades in the struggle to end violence against women, with a focus on self-defense as a solution — never the solution — do you know how many times I've been called for my views concerning violence/self-defense/rape by anyone? Guess. Zilch. Zero. Zip. Nada.
For instance, my book "Beauty Bites Beast" and I were featured on an entire episode of NBC's "Dateline" because of a personal connection, not because they were looking for me. My publisher and I were overjoyed at the prospect of national recognition for the book, which would undoubtedly generate massive sales. This, in turn, would bolster my mission to create self-defense as a "normal" part of education for all, starting with kids, thereby reducing injuries and saving lives. We discussed ordering thousands of copies of my book to anticipate the deluge of orders. And why not? With similar exposure, many books became bestsellers, while their authors turned into overnight successes with dozens of speaking engagements, invitations to give guest lectures at universities, an income and lucrative contracts for further books. Guess how many engagements and book contracts I got? Zilch. Zero. Zip. Nada. Guess how many books we sold? Ready? Thirty-five. That's right: millions of viewers and 35 books sold.
Another example: IMPACT Personal Safety — my mothership and nonprofit self-defense provider — was on "Oprah," during her daily years. It was a great segment, too. Did we have a glut of students afterwards? Zilch. Zero. Zip. Nada.
With Miss USA having such a huge platform to promote self-defense, you'd think that Lisa Gaeta — head of IMPACT and co-author of our new book "The Safety Godmothers: The ABCs of Awareness, Boundaries and Confidence for Teens" — would be contacted for comments. Or that Bob Martin, our IMPACT board chair who has cred for miles and miles, would be fielding media questions about self-defense for women. Zilch. Zero. Zip. Nada.
Back to the HuffPo blather. Ricky Camilleri, a filmmaker and HuffPo producer, helmed a "panel" about self-defense featuring law professor Mary Anne Franks and freelance journalist Amanda Marcotte, because they had … opinions about self-defense. Not well-informed opinions, but opinions based on — what? Hollywood movies? They concluded that self-defense doesn't work for rape. There were no opposing views from women who teach self-defense, or survivors of attempted rape who stopped an assault. That would be too balanced!
Few argue that seatbelts don't work. That's even if they don't work every time. Or that women shouldn't take driving lessons because there will still be auto fatalities. Self-defense for women is highly effective, statistically and anecdotally, but one would never know that from listening to people who don't know what they are talking about.
Instead, viewers and readers are patronized, and matronized, with just more status quo: self-defense for women is akin to teaching pigs to fly. Women are helpless in the face of male violence and always will be, and, indeed, need to be dependent on males. No one learns. No one grows. And, alas, there is no solution. And there is absolutely no funding for self-defense programs that simply aren't going to work. Why bother? We don't fund flying pig lessons, do we?
Ellen Snortland is a writing coach in Altadena. Visit snortland.com.
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Heller: I Picked The Wrong Week to Quit Drinking Coffee
The most mainstream ways to get investment exposure to our love affair with coffee these days is via Starbucks
I could never understand paying three of four bucks for a cup of coffee, but given the effects of my current attempt to quit, I am beginning to understand why people do. Still, I've never owned Starbucks, have completely missed the boat on this one, and yet it still appears a bit pricy to me here. What do you expect from a value investor? However, given a decent pullback in the stock, it's one I'd certainly consider.
Green Mountain, which took the coffee market by storm in its own right, has been my nemesis. I'd been of the opinion that single cup brewing was a fad, and that sooner or later, consumers would settle for the lower cost option of brewing full pots of coffee at home.
While Green Mountain has had its share of issues, including an SEC investigation and questions about accounting practices, it has rebounded nicely since trading in the teens last July. It seems that consumers love their Keurig machines, and don't mind paying up for K cups. I still wonder whether ten years from now, Keurig machines will be collecting dust in the back of closets. My only exposure to Green Mountain has been on the short side, which was a mistake. Yet, I can't imagine going long, either.
Of course, there are other, less mainstream ways to get coffee exposure. I've followed the plight of Farmer Brothers


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Split Sleeve Striped Knit Top
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Mitered stripes run a slimming direction on a fluid V-neck top with split kimono sleeves that open in a pretty drape. 47% Rayon, 48% Polyester, 5% Spandex. Hand wash. Made in USA.
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Whether you're driving in a daylight downpour or along a street at night, you rely on your headlights to get you down the road safely. "Many headlights now have plastic headlights instead of glass, and the plastic is susceptible to discoloration and weathering, which affects how much light gets through." Headlight cleaners promise to fix this. Consumer Reports looked at four - from 3M… Sylvania … Turtle Wax … and Fast Brite - an infomercial product. To test, Consumer Reports rounded up cars with cloudy headlight covers.
Then testers got to work … literally. Bernie Deitrick "It's a lot more complicated than just wiping on a cleaner and then wiping it off." To start, you want to mask off the area around the headlights. Next you need to remove any remaining coating or oxidized plastic on the lenses. Depending on the product, this might involve sanding - either by hand or with a drill. You might even need to do some polishing and more sanding. And with some of the products, you'll need to apply a final sealant or top coat. Testers measure the headlights' brightness before using each cleaner. Then after. The brightness often doubled. But there were trade-offs with some of the cleaners. The 17-dollar Fast Brite was the easiest and fastest to use, but it left headlights noticeably less clear … and its sealant wore off. The Turtle Wax's Headlight Restorer left headlights clearer, but it's sealant also wore off. The best overall cleaner? The Headlight Restoration Kit from Sylvania. It works well on all types of headlight lenses. ."


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Italy Proceeds With 15th Century Masterpiece Loan to Israel
ROME — Italy has gone ahead with the loan of a 15th century masterpiece by Renaissance painter Sandro Botticelli to Israel that had been held up over the uncertain situation in Syria.
The fresco was shipped to Israel under armed guard and went on show at the Israel Museum in Jerusalem this week as originally scheduled, officials said.
Italy was to have sent "Annunciation of San Martino alla Scala" to Israel at the beginning of September, to be shown for several months as part of Israel's 65th birthday celebration. But an Italian Culture Ministry communique on Rosh Hashanah said that because of the current security situation regarding Syria, it was not the appropriate time to send the masterpiece.
Meir Bardugo, aide to Israeli Culture Minister Limor Livnat, said Sunday that the minister worked "behind the scenes intensively" to convince Italy that the work would be safe, according to the Associated Press.


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