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Within this Annual Report you will see snapshots of how we maximized your generosity to serve, teach, protect, heal, innovate, provide and love unconditionally. You allowed us to achieve some amazing things in 2012— pushing further for a more compassionate reality for our most loyal and loving friends and for ourselves.
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School food guidelines: What's in, what's out
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The federal government has released new standards for the types of snack foods and a la carte items that can be sold in schools in order to cut down on high-fat and unhealthy options. Take a look at which foods made the cut and what got the boot.
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Indulge in Easter Brunch at French Lick Resort
People have referred to the West Baden Springs Hotel as the eighth Wonder of the World. Ever since visiting French Lick Resort in 2015, I've understood why and wanted to return to see these majestic place again. The beauty of the Read more


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Australia's oldest woman Miriam Schmierer dies aged 112
- From: The Courier-Mail
- September 30, 2011
AUSTRALIAS oldest citizen, Hervey Bay woman Miriam Schmierer, has passed away, aged 112.
Mrs Schmierer was born on August 20 in 1899 and grew up on a dairy farm at Mount Whitestone near Gatton in southeast Queensland.
She moved to Hervey Bay to retire with her husband in 1961.
Sadly her husband, a cream carrier who later turned to dairy farming, died just four years later in 1965.
She famously credited her longevity to a diet of parsley tea and dedicated reading of The Bible.
Relative Phil Neumann said the family was shocked by Mrs Schmierer's death but added that she'd had a good innings.
"She hadn't been ill at all leading up until her death so even though she's 112 it did come as somewhat of a shock,'' he said.
"Her health and mind was always brilliant.
"She'll be missed.''
Mrs Schmierer was living at Masters Lodge nursing home in Hervey Bay up until her death Friday morning. She'd lived there for close to 20 years.
Mr Neumann said the family was yet to make funeral plans.
The great-great grandmother lived through two world wars, the Great Depression and the technological revolution.
She was also an avid letter writer.
A Queenslander to her very core, she never crossed the border and ventured either overseas or inter-state during her incredible 112-year life.
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Jarden (NYSE:JAH)
Q3 2012 Earnings Call
October 25, 2012 9:45 am ET
Rachel Schacter
Martin Ellis Franklin - Executive Chairman
Ian G. H. Ashken - Vice Chairman and Chief Financial Officer
James E. Lillie - Chief Executive Officer and Director
William B. Chappell - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc., Research Division
Charles Strauzer - CJS Securities, Inc.
Jason Gere - RBC Capital Markets, LLC, Research Division
Joseph Altobello - Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., Research Division
Reza Vahabzadeh - Barclays Capital Inc.
Karru Martinson - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division
Paul Simenauer
Andrew Burns - D.A. Davidson & Co., Research Division
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Jarden Corporation's conference call. This morning's call will begin with management making some formal remarks. When they have concluded, a question-and-answer period will follow. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the call over to Rachel Schacter of ICR.
Rachel Schacter
Good morning, and thank you for joining us for Jarden's Third Quarter Fiscal 2012 Results Conference Call. In accordance with Regulation FD or fair disclosure, we are webcasting this conference call. Any redistribution, retransmission or rebroadcast of this call in any form without the expressed written consent of Jarden is strictly prohibited.
Before we begin, please take note of our cautionary statement regarding forward-looking statements at the end of our earnings press release issued yesterday. All forward-looking statements made during this conference call are based on currently available information. Our actual results could differ materially from those predicted. However, we undertake no obligation to update any such statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. For more information, please also refer to the risk factors discussed in Jarden's Form 10-K.
Please note that the company has posted supplemental financial data slides to its website and is providing reconciliations of certain non-GAAP to comparable GAAP financial measures in its earnings release and on its website. The presentation can be downloaded on the section for investors from Jarden's website under the Presentations heading. And now I would like to turn the call over to Executive Chairman, Martin Franklin. Martin, please go ahead.
Martin Ellis Franklin
Thank you, Rachel. Good morning, and thank you for joining us to discuss our third quarter 2012 results. Hopefully you've had a chance to review our earnings release issued last night. With me on the call today are Ian Ashken, our Vice Chairman and Chief Financial Officer; and Jim Lillie, our Chief Executive Officer.
We're pleased to deliver another strong quarter at Jarden, which included several strategic advances toward our long-term goals. As you've heard me say in the past, at Jarden, we focus on 3 primary drivers in our efforts to deliver constant profitable growth for our shareholders. These are optimizing the performance of our existing businesses, effectively managing our capital structure and investing capital in our businesses including disciplined acquisitions.
First, with respect to the performance of our businesses, we once again delivered a solid quarter, reporting revenues consistent with our guidance, expanding margins and strong adjusted earnings and cash flow. Ian will discuss the financials in more detail, but our results demonstrate our ability to consistently meet or exceed expectations and serve as a further confirmation of the value of the strategic direction that we have pursued for the last 11 years.
Over this time, we've built a close to $7 billion global consumer products company with compelling brands and talented management teams who are passionate about their businesses. Our brand strength, coupled with diversification in our products, channels, customers and geographies, provide us with a powerful platform from which to grow well into the future.
In terms of our capital structure, we have always believed that it's better to access the capital markets on an opportunistic basis rather than when we actually need capital. In September, we announced the closing of a $500 million private offering of senior subordinated convertible notes. This was Jarden's first convertible note offering and it was extremely well received, pricing above the initial range with our stock price rising 2.6% during the one-day marketing period. The greenshoe was also fully exercised within a few days of the initial offering. We believe that the positive reaction of investors to the offering is a strong endorsement of our strategy of taking a long-term view of our balance sheet and the needs of our businesses. We are extremely pleased with the outcome of the offering and the added benefit of being able to simultaneously buy back a further $100 million of our shares in connection with the transaction. Year-to-date, we have bought back $537 million worth of our shares and we have approximately $150 million remaining in our buyback authorization. We plan to seek authorization for a new program once this is completed.
As Jim will discuss later, we have recently launched a major investment initiative for our winter sports business. Similar to the $25 million investment we made in United States Playing Card Company in 2008 and 2009, this investment will support our product innovation and the quality and efficiency of our manufacturing platform for the foreseeable future. As a leader in the winter sports equipment sector, we believe that this investment underscores our commitment to the category and our consumers who expect the best from our brands.
During the third quarter, we also completed 2 tuck-in acquisitions, that, while small in size, are important in the furtherance of our strategy of expanding our international businesses. In the U.K., we acquired a small business selling small appliances in Europe, primarily under the Breville brand. We plan to combine this business with our existing European Consumer Solutions businesses, which are also based in the U.K. While we believe that the European markets will remain sluggish for the foreseeable future, we're building a stronger foundation to serve the overall European market than either of the businesses could achieve on a standalone basis.
In a smaller vein, we acquired a Brazilian provider of housewares, including thermal bottles and coolers sold primarily under the Invicta brand name. In addition to an experienced management -- senior management team, Invicta has a strong distribution network which should serve a valuable platform for the distribution of products for other Jarden businesses. Invicta is being integrated into the Coleman business within our Jarden Outdoor Solutions segment.
Finally, I'd like to comment on the inclusion of Jarden in the S&P MidCap 400 Index, which was announced by Dow Jones in August. We are proud to be recognized by S&P for our financial accomplishments and have now set our sights on growing the business so that Jarden could be considered for inclusion in the S&P 500 Index.
With that, I'd like to turn the call over to Ian to review our financial results in more detail.
Ian G. H. Ashken
Thank you, Martin. As a reminder, consistent with our quarterly practice, we have posted a more detailed financial presentation of our performance during Q3 on our website. We've also continued to disclose both as reported and as adjusted results separately in our press release.
Net sales for the third quarter decreased 1.8% or $32 million on an organic basis, adjusting for foreign exchange movements, as well as certain exited and acquired businesses. As anticipated, organic net sales in JOS declined primarily as a result of the forecasted lower sales in our seasonal businesses. Organic net sales also declined in Consumer Solutions primarily as a result of reduced inventory reorders in the mass channel at retail. The 9 months ended September 30, 2012, organic net sales increased 1.5%. In Q4, we anticipate organic net sales growth in all our business segments.
Adjusted gross margins increased 80 basis points in both the third quarter and on a year-to-date basis compared to last year. We've consistently expanded gross margins throughout the year, with strong margin expansion being driven by manufacturing improvement projects, stable commodity prices, as well as new products and mix. Jim will discuss segment gross margin performance in more detail but our margins continue to benefit from our focus on introducing higher-margin new products, as well as a disciplined execution of those manufacturing and operational improvement programs throughout Jarden.
As adjusted, interest expense was $45.8 million this quarter as compared to $43.7 million in Q3 last year. The increase is due to the high level of debt at September 30, 2012, primarily resulting from debt incurred in February of this year in conjunction with our Dutch tender offer, as well as interest on the convertible notes offering completed last month, offset in part by lower average interest rates which were 5.1% in Q3 this year versus 5.4% in the prior year.
Adjustment in the interest expense is due to the noncash phantom interest we've recorded in excess of the actual cash coupon on our convertible notes to reflect the accounting for original issue discount or OID on the convertible notes. The amount of the adjustment in Q3 was only $400,000, and on a full quarter run-rate basis, it will be approximately $3 million per quarter over the life of the notes.
In addition to our normal adjustments to GAAP resulted for intangible amortization and now OID interest and the tax effective all the adjustments, during the third quarter, we adjusted for 3 additional items: first, the required normal inventory step-up adjustment for the acquisitions made during the third quarter of $6 million, which should be a 1-quarter-only adjustment; second, reorganization and other costs related to the closure of existing factories and the move to new manufacturing facilities, primarily in conjunction with the manufacturing network optimization of $18 million, which Jim will discuss in more detail. We anticipate accruing up to a further $10 million of costs in Q4 related to the MNO projects, which, together with the charges taken in the third quarter, should cover over 80% of the costs of the current MNO projects with the balance being incurred in either late 2013 or the first half of 2014; third, we incurred $9 million of charges relating primarily to ongoing integration initiatives and transaction-related costs and expect to incur up to another $10 million of similar charges in Q4 and nothing further related to these projects in 2013.
Segment earnings margins for the quarter increased 40 basis points to 13.8% compared to the prior-year period and increased 30 basis points to 12% on a year-to-date basis. This is the continuation of the trend we anticipated at the beginning of the year with some of the gross margin improvements starting to drop to the bottom line. Adjusted earnings per diluted share rose to $1.35, up approximately 14.4% from the prior year. For the year-to-date period, adjusted earnings per diluted share rose to $2.91, an increase of approximately 18.4% compared to the prior year.
As Martin mentioned, in September, we announced the closing of a $500 million private offering of senior subordinated convertible notes due 2018. The notes pay interest semiannually at a rate of 1.875%. Of the net proceeds of $487 million we used $100 million to repurchase approximately 1.9 million shares of common stock, through negotiated transactions with the investors in the convertible notes offering.
Cash flow from operations in Q3 was $78 million -- $78.2 million as compared to $49.2 million in the third quarter of 2011. Improvement in our cash flow compared to 2011 is primarily due to our focus on reducing and leveraging our working capital. We achieved this reduction without incurring risks to the continued growth of our businesses. We continue to expect cash flow from operations to be at least $430 million for the full year 2012.
Our bank leverage ratio was 3.2x at the end of Q3, which compares to 3x at the end of the second quarter. The increase is due to our stock repurchases and tuck-in acquisitions in the third quarter. With our seasonally strong cash flow in Q4, we expect the ratio to be back to our target of 3:1 or less by year end.
As mentioned on prior conference calls, we had anticipated taking a charge in 2012 to repatriate cash from Venezuela not held for permanent reinvestment and restructure certain of our international manufacturing operations. We've outlined the charges under our MNO program on this call but are not taking any charges related to Venezuela through the first 9 months. It is still uncertain whether or not we will incur to the $25 million charge relating to Venezuela we discussed at the beginning of the year in Q4.
At the beginning of the year, we anticipated that our reported 2012 sales will be reduced by negative foreign exchange impacts of $80 million to $90 million. We revised this on our last quarterly conference call to the range of $125 million to $150 million for the full year. The foreign exchange impacts on our year-to-date results is approximately $100 million, and based on current projected rates, we now anticipate being within the range of $100 million to $120 million for the full year.
We continue to believe our average cost of borrowing will be fairly flat in 2012 compared to 2011 at approximately 5.1%, and that over time, capital expenditures will be at approximately the level of depreciation expense at 2% to 2.5% of sales. We anticipate our effective tax rate to be 35% in 2012 compared to 35.5% in 2011.
Based on the expected organic growth and continuing margin expansion in Q4, our solid results year-to-date for 2012 and the accretive effect of our buyback program, we are raising our "as adjusted earnings per diluted share" outlook range for the full year to $4.12 to $4.16 from the previously provided range of $4.04 to $4.14.
Now I'd like to pass the call over to Jim.
James E. Lillie
Thank you, Ian. As Martin and Ian stated, we are pleased with the performance of our business in the third quarter, as well as the progress we have made year-to-date. I'm pleased that our gross margin and operating margin initiatives continue to yield positive results during Q3, the cash generation continues to be strong and that we are raising our "as adjusted earnings per share" outlook for the year.
As you will recall, Jarden's annual growth objectives include growing organic net sales within our long-term average target range of 3% to 5%. As noted at the beginning of the year, most of our organic growth for 2012 was forecasted to be in Q2 and Q4, expanding gross margins by approximately 50 basis points, increasing adjusted earnings per share by at least 10%, increasing cash flow from operations through continued improvements in working capital management, as well as increases in our operating profits.
As Martin mentioned, we will make a significant investment in our winter sports business over the coming 2 years. We initiated our manufacturing network optimization project, or MNO, 3 years ago as an ongoing disciplined way to maximize the performance of our manufacturing facilities through continuous improvement programs and targeted investments. These investments are designed to help achieve a long-term competitive advantage while supporting our growth and innovation objectives to help improve gross margins, maximize operating efficiency and to selectively position facilities more effectively within our supply chain, relocating certain plants where possible closer to ultimate points of distribution, to minimize transit time, to improve proximity to suppliers and improve just-in-time activities while simultaneously improving working capital.
The winter sports initiative within MNO is focused on enhancing and creating the leading global winter sports manufacturing platform. Investments will include a new state-of-the-art manufacturing facility with more efficient facility designs, increased automation, improved material flow, enhanced product throughput in a more eco-friendly and energy-efficient infrastructure. We expect to spend approximately $40 million in capital in addition to the expenses Ian mentioned over the next 2 years on this specific project. As this project evolves, we will update you on important milestones in our progress.
Shifting to operating performance for the third quarter, we're particularly pleased to report continued gross margin expansion, and as discussed during the third quarter, we expect to comfortably exceed our 50 basis point improvement goal for 2012. Branded Consumables has had a strong year and posted organic net sales growth for the quarter of approximately 1% and gross margin expansion of approximately 150 basis points.
Fresh Preserving business maintained momentum from the first half of the year due to marketing efforts, favorable weather conditions, as well as our expanded presence at retailers. We continue to be pleased with the performance of Ball's FreshTECH electric appliance for Fresh Preserving. This product is designed to grow the market for Fresh Preserving by expanding the category to new, more urban consumers attracted by the ease of use of the appliance.
Our First Alert business is receiving very positive feedback on its new, smart bridge line of video security products with remote monitoring capability. In addition, I'm extremely excited about the upcoming U.S. launch in Q1 2013 of the world's smallest smoke detector, the First Alert Atom. Many of you have seen me carry this product around at investor conferences asking you to guess what the product is. So far, no one has guessed correctly. When you do see the product, you will not only see technological innovation, but also an example of what we call designer safety. It's innovative, aesthetically pleasing and compact, and we expect consumers to both buy or trade up to this product which is available in a palette of colors and finishes.
Outdoor Solutions, as I've mentioned throughout the year, had its organic growth in the third quarter impacted by both the mild winter from last year as well as the pull into Q3 from Q4 for approximately $30 million in 2011. This equated to a negative revenue comp of approximately $40 million in the quarter.
Outside of winter sports, some of the positives for the quarter within JOS includes team sports, taking meaningful advances on both new product introductions, as well as targeted growth initiatives. Our targeted growth initiative related to tail-gating yielded 30% year-over-year increased revenue in Q3. Our success is in part based on the fact that we are uniquely positioned to offer retailers a vast array of products, including grills, crock pots, collapsible chairs, shelters and coolers, all emblazoned with team logos under our licensing arrangements with the NFL, Major League Baseball and the NCAA.
Marmot continues to deliver against its aggressive growth goal. In Q3, Marmot opened its first retail mall location in North America in the King of Prussia Mall in Pennsylvania. The mall is one of the largest in the U.S. with an estimated 24 million visitors each year. An additional flagship retail location will be opened in November in Chicago on Rush Street. We continue to invest in Marmot retail locations as a top line growth vehicle, as well as an opportunity to showcase the Marmot brand and products.
Consumer Solutions segment recorded gross margin expansion of approximately 120 basis points and lower organic net sales of $20 million due primarily to lower mass retailer inventory reorders rather than any changes in POS. As Ian mentioned, we expect JCS to return to organic growth in Q4.
In the new product front, JCS had entered into an exclusive agreement with Anheuser-Busch to supply the durable appliance for A-B's Draftmark home draft tap system. Draftmark brings a true draft beer experience to consumers at home. This initiative leverages A-B's expertise in beer-brewing with Jarden's expertise in developing and manufacturing durable small appliances. The system was introduced in select test cities during 2012 with plans to roll out to other select markets in the coming year.
Based on NPD panel data, Mr. Coffee is now the #2 brand in single-serve coffee segment in small appliances. In addition to its #1 standing in the traditional automatic drip coffee appliance market, single-serve coffee is the largest and fastest-growing segment in all small appliances and we continue to see double-digit unit and dollar sales growth. To support this growth, JCS has launched a multimillion dollar campaign for the back half of this year which will carry over into 2013.
Internationally, our businesses continue to perform at or above expectations, due in part to appropriate budgeting in certain countries with known economic weaknesses. As we've indicated in the past, we believe that the seasonal staple and replenishment nature of many of our products is a great advantage to have in a difficult economic environment.
Turning now to commodities. The commodity environment is calm and we believe that it will remain so as we move into 2013.
Finally, we have healthy momentum across the businesses. Our growth plan for 2013, though not yet finalized, is very much aligned with our stated long-term growth objectives that I referenced earlier in my comments. Our 2013 plan is built on the foundation of our very detailed strategic planning process just focused on delivering revenue growth across geographies, margin expansion at both the gross and operating margin level, as well as continued strong cash generation. We look forward to discussing our 2013 growth plans in more detail on our year-ending call, but we are pleased with how the plan for 2013 and beyond is evolving.
With those comments and that update, I'd like to now turn the call back over to Martin for some final words.
Martin Ellis Franklin
Thanks, Jim. We are pleased with our year-to-date performance, and as we prepare to finalize our 2013 budget next month, we remain excited about the opportunities that the coming year will bring. While we must always be aware and abreast of the macro challenges that may arise, we remain focused on delivering the best product experience at the best value to our consumers while striving to outperform within the categories that we serve irrespective of how fast the category itself is growing.
I'd now like to open the call to any questions. Thanks.
Question-and-Answer Session
[Operator Instructions] And we will go first to Bill Chappell with SunTrust.
William B. Chappell - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc., Research Division
I guess first on the Consumer Solutions side, you had talked about kind of a stoppage of orders maybe from one retailer at the end of the quarter. What are the inventory levels of that and why would they do it? And have you seen those orders come back as they've been in this quarter?
Martin Ellis Franklin
There was a phenomena at the end of the quarter where a mass retailer put the brakes on orders. It had more to do with the inventory position of other people's products. Our POS has been good throughout the year with this particular retailer, but I think they probably found themself in an over-inventory position with other products and so put the brakes on orders. Those orders subsequently picked back up to the first week of Q4 for us, so the overall motivation we're not quite sure of. But we feel that we're in a good position to continue to execute for that retailer.
William B. Chappell - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc., Research Division
Okay. And then a couple on the outdoor side. I guess first, I mean, do you have kind of a final state of the state for the winter sports business for 2012 and kind of expectations of assuming normal weather what 2013 looked like? And then on the MNO, any idea if your spending $40 million to rework that? Is that a 1-year, 2-year, 3-year return on your investment? I mean what kind of cost savings you might get?
James E. Lillie
Sure. So on your first question, we don't have a view on the weather for next year, I think...
Martin Ellis Franklin
We have a hope, a little sense of view.
James E. Lillie
But the winter sports business decline in revenue on a year-over-year basis is going to be consistent with the guidance that we've been giving for the last 10, 11 months, which is in the neighborhood of down $50 million on a year-over-year basis. You saw the impact this quarter. As far as MNO goes, now the spending is going to occur over the next 2- or 3-year period. And obviously, it has an appropriate return on investment. We're setting the stage. We're taking certain facilities that are decades old consolidating and so we expect to see gross margin improvement in the appropriate return on the investment.
And we'll go next to Charlie Strauzer with CJS Securities.
Charles Strauzer - CJS Securities, Inc.
Just picking up from where Bill left off, if you look at the gross margin improvement of 80 basis points year-over-year, obviously, you had the headwind this quarter from winter sports which is usually higher margin. You still were able to kind of get that 80 basis points. If we delve a little bit more into that and to kind of the dynamics behind what's driving the improvement there, is it really across the board or is it more commodity-related and what should we expect it going into Q4 to?
James E. Lillie
You're absolutely right on the gross margins. They're actually held down a bit because skis are a higher gross margin than the fleet average, and so you would have see more gross margin improvement in the quarter. If you look at -- sorry, Charlie, I forgot the second part of your question.
Ian G. H. Ashken
Charlie, for a second -- it's Ian. I mean in the quarter, it was basically a Consumer Solutions, and Jim, I think his comments, Consumer Solutions and Branded Consumables reach, one was up 120 basis points, the other was up 150 basis points. So if we're up average at 80 basis points, you can tell JOS didn't contribute to that and that is because of the mix within that division. So that makes us very optimistic as we start to look forward to next year that, as always, the diversification of Jarden will continue -- one of the cylinders may not be working at any particular time, but we're still able to deliver on our overall targets.
James E. Lillie
But the gross margin, Charlie, is built on a four-legged stool of manufacturing improvements, managing commodities appropriately, the mix of products and the fact that we're getting pricing within seasonal businesses.
Charles Strauzer - CJS Securities, Inc.
And just picking up from what Bill had asked you about the inventory levels with JCS, when you see them kind of go through this problem, this kind of inventory reduction, is it really more just kind of you're a victim of your own success where you're selling so well that they have to put the brakes on you to kind of clean out some of the weaker selling products?
James E. Lillie
We've had initiatives all year long to improve our inventory position at retailers and managing more on a JIT basis or just-in-time basis. It's hard to say what the inventory position of other people's are, but we're happy with our POS and we hope to get the orders relative to our POS performance.
And we will go next to Jason Gere with RBC.
Jason Gere - RBC Capital Markets, LLC, Research Division
Hey, I was wondering if you give a little bit more color on how we should think about organic sales expectations for the fourth quarter. I know you said, look, that they will certainly all be positive and it sounds like some of the third quarter shortfall in JCS will come back through. But you guys have always kind of bracketed everything to that 3% to 5% kind of outlook. It kind of feels like 3% probably is a stretch for this year, but -- so I just wanted to say if you can provide a little bit of color about the fourth quarter and maybe some of the -- if there is a range, what are the drivers there. And then next year, can you get back to that 3% to 5% as you still probably have a little bit of the ski issue here, but also comping against maybe fishing starting a little bit earlier this past year as well?
Ian G. H. Ashken
Jason, it's Ian. I think in terms of Q4, I think the Street said a round sales number of $1.8 billion which as we sit here in late October, we feel comfortable with. So and the 3% to 5% range, as with all of our ranges, I mean, these are where we expect the business to perform on a long-term average basis. I mean, obviously in the past some years we've done 6%, some years we've done negative 1%. We feel comfortable that the average run rate for Jarden will be 3% to 5%. And as we look forward to 2013, that's certainly our expectation. Obviously, we haven't finished the budget and within, again this diversification, I think we'll find that one of our businesses will outperform and one will underperform and hopefully we'll hit that average in '13.
Jason Gere - RBC Capital Markets, LLC, Research Division
Okay. And then within that $1.8 billion, how much should we account for the acquisitions? I know there's a little bit this quarter. We should probably get a full rate. What would be the net, I guess, amount for acquisitions.
Ian G. H. Ashken
Obviously, in the supplemental slides, we give the disclosure for the acquisitions and the net impact for in the Q3 was $11 million. On an annual run rate, the net impact is about $100 million. So those are the -- really the information.
Jason Gere - RBC Capital Markets, LLC, Research Division
Okay, fine. And then just the last thing, in terms of the investment in the winter, so can you just I guess provide a little bit more color just like the P&L effect here? What is that? How does that kind of play through? And clearly, obviously, there's other benefits that are coming through that should help kind of offset that, but I guess just a little bit more color would be helpful.
Ian G. H. Ashken
The new facility won't be up and fully running until the '14, '15 season. So what we've done is we announced it internally yesterday, and those announcements, I think, were very well received because obviously this is a major investment and it's good for the business, it's good for customers everybody to see that we're raising the bar. And then the accounting really drives the expense because we've accrued something with the announcements into Q3. I've told you we're going to have something further in Q4. And then depending on when we hit the benchmark for the [indiscernible] to occur, which we think will either be the end of '13 or beginning of '14. Obviously, this is a global initiative and we're pretty excited by it, but there's -- it's a lot of money, but also, we have to execute right. And I think we've got a good track record doing these projects well, but we have a lot of resources aimed at making sure that this is a success.
Jason Gere - RBC Capital Markets, LLC, Research Division
Okay. So to better understand a little bit in '13, but probably more '14 when it's up and running.
Ian G. H. Ashken
Well I think about 20% of -- I think the numbers I gave was $18 million this quarter, there's $10 million next quarter. Then if you divide that by 0.8, it comes to about $35 million. So you got say a max for another $10 million that will either hit in late '13, early '14.
And we we'll go next to Joe Altobello with Oppenheimer.
Joseph Altobello - Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., Research Division
Just first question, I wanted to follow up on an answer Ian you just gave to Jason on his earlier question about the cadence of your business and how it does bounce around from quarter-to-quarter because if I adjust for the pull-forward last year and the $10 million in this quarter, Outdoor Solutions organic sales were still down. And if I adjust for the lack of orders like in the quarter, Consumer Solutions organic sales were still down. So is there anything that's changing in terms of the consumer? It sounds like that's not the case. Or is there anything changing with regard to your retailers outside of this one mass retailer with regard to their willingness to hold inventory late in the year? Or is this just noise essentially?
Ian G. H. Ashken
No, I would say slightly differently. I think the Q3 comp was always going to be difficult. If you look at our Q3 last year, it was a really good quarter and that's why right from the beginning of the year, we always felt Q2 and Q4 would be easier. Putting aside these items that Jim described and you just went through, and obviously one of the things that we do when we do the budget is, we'll look at next year compared to this year and give you some guidance on which quarters we think will be the stronger growth quarters just on a comp basis outside of what we see going on with our business. But I think that's the main thing on Q3. Obviously, you see something in Branded Consumables where they were marginally up on an organic basis. But they had -- I mean, the largest foreign exchange impact was in Branded Consumables in the quarter. So I think that -- does that really sort of answer your question?
Joseph Altobello - Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., Research Division
Yes, it does, I think. I mean obviously, it just seems like even if you make those adjustments at the top line and those 2 segments overall were still somewhat weak, so I'm just curious. It just doesn't sound like there's anything structural, it's just...
Martin Ellis Franklin
No. I mean -- this is Martin. I think that our positions in retailers and our share of shelf and all of that are exactly where we thought they would be. We're perfectly happy with the overall. And as you know, as Ian said, Q3 last year was very, very strong, it was up 5% organic and which makes it a tougher comp. And the reality is, as we look at our business and retailer conversations for 2013 to get back to the organic growth range that we've described before, we think is very achievable and in the parameters of our budget.
Joseph Altobello - Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., Research Division
Okay. And just secondly, in terms of your $5 EPS target for 2014 which you've talked about in the past, you've always kind of talked about a 13.5% or so EBITDA margin to get there. And obviously, you have done a fair amount of stock buybacks of late, which probably accelerate you to that goal. Is 13.5% by 2014 in terms of an EBITDA margin still feasible at this point?
Martin Ellis Franklin
I think just to clarify, it wasn't by 2014, it was in 2014 so the year end 2014, if you look back. In the metric that we built for our organic model to be able to achieve $5 a share of earnings, that was in as part of our model, obviously with the buyback, being able to achieve that, we might have more room and obviously -- and this is consistent with what we did 5 years ago. We create objectives for our business for the following forward call the real medium-term 5-year parameter. To some, that's long-term, some that's super long-term. But from our perspective, that's a medium-term parameter and we're getting close to that inflection point. And whether that's the end of 2013 or the end of 2014, as we get there, we'll obviously set a new set of directives for our businesses and objectives of how we get to the next level. So that -- go ahead.
James E. Lillie
Just on the margin front, I mean obviously, Joe, there's a lot of work to drive improvement in the operating margins across the business. And --
Joseph Altobello - Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., Research Division
Driven by MNO.
James E. Lillie
MNO is one of those things and that's why we're making those investments. You need to spend money to make money. And so we have businesses that are well above that 13% range. We have some that are under that range and there isn't one business in Jarden that we're not trying to make better. And ultimately, the fleet average we'd like to see to be in that 13%, 13.5% range, 15% on a consolidated but then taking out the corporate expenses so that's the target. And then when we hit that, we're going to focus on other targets.
And we we'll go next to Reza Vahabzadeh with Barclays Capital.
Reza Vahabzadeh - Barclays Capital Inc.
Just on the balance sheet, you have a fair amount of cash on the balance sheet, Ian, and obviously, the company generates very healthy free cash flow. Any thoughts on the use of the healthy amount of cash and cash flow on a go-forward basis? Is it acquisition, share repurchases, just on the balance sheet, anything?
Martin Ellis Franklin
The answer is yes. Reza, it's Martin. I mean look, I'm going to say what I said before. Obviously, we're going into our biggest cash flow quarter. We do $430 million plus of cash from operations. We've got to generate about $350 million of cash in the fourth quarter. Where we stand today, we think that we're in line with that. So you know what our cash balance is on the last announcement, and obviously, it'll go up from there. So we'll likely close the year with a significant cash balance, as you know. What we do with that cash is part of our job. We can -- if we think we have acquisition opportunities that have higher and better use for driving shareholder value, we're not afraid to do that. We haven't been afraid to in the past. The reality is, is that we've seen that with our company trading at about 11x earnings or whatever the number is, we still see our stock as the most attractive use of capital. We want to keep our leverage ratio 3x or below. You'll see that we have every expectations that by year end, we will be below that ratio. How much below will depend on the year-end cash flows. But the reality is, we've got lots of room and we're not going to rush to judgment on what to do with our capital, but we will put it to use sometime early in the next year if we -- based on our own objectives I guess.
Reza Vahabzadeh - Barclays Capital Inc.
Right. Obviously, speaking of acquisitions, you made some smaller bolt-on acquisitions in the third quarter. Just broadly speaking, are you seeing more targets out there available in the overall pool of opportunities? Or is it about the same and you just happen to find the right price and the right target in this third quarter?
Martin Ellis Franklin
If you saw my desk in our little office here in Rai it's about 2 feet high, maybe 3 feet high of different books of different presentations on different things. I got a little theory on it, which we talk about here which is if you look at the earnings curve after the collapse of the economy, every company has gone to the market to try and sell themselves, look with a sort of hockey stick on the right. But really, if you went back a further 3 years, it's much more of a U shape because their earnings fell with the contraction of the economy and then they picked back up again in 2010, '11 and their forecast for '12. So there's all this -- people are trying to hit the market on rosy expectations, extrapolating from what was really a recovery. Does that make sense to you, do you understand what I'm saying? And for that reason, a lot of companies have been put out there. And typical for Jarden, we look at a lot of things. The public only see very few things because we are very disciplined on acquisitions. There are a number of things, some small, some not so small, that we have not bought simply based on valuation, and that will continue to be the case. I think there is a lot of product out there, but we haven't seen anything sufficiently compelling on a valuation basis to move on it. The international acquisitions were very much driven by the strategic initiatives for growing our international platform and helping our businesses drive into new markets to achieve the long-term growth objectives that we're looking for them. But as I've said before and I'll say it again very clearly, we do not need to do any deals to make the numbers that we have put out there for public expectation and that continues to be the case.
Reza Vahabzadeh - Barclays Capital Inc.
Got it. And then Maybe a bigger picture question for you and Jim. I mean, obviously, organic sales trends for you have ebbed and flowed, but your long-term target remains the same. How do you see the U.S. consumer out there, the state of the U.S. consumer out there just given the mixed factors that is affecting the consumer?
Martin Ellis Franklin
I'm probably the least biased because I can't vote, so I'll give you my view. It's Martin. Look, I think that no matter who wins this election in November, I think there is a very good possibility that 2013 is actually going to be a good year for the U.S. economy. And one of the reasons that I say that, and did you know we've been pretty good prognosticators of the macros, the economy and how we've therefore, treated our business really over the last 5 years or more. The reason for, in my view, is very simply that housing is on the rise in the sense that there is a lack of inventory for the demand that's out there. And in the same way that the U.S. economy came down on the back of housing and all of the derivatives of housing, I think you will find that a lot of the uptick in this U.S. economy is going to be driven by housing, no matter what the politicians do to try and screw it up. So, I think there's a good possibility that 2013 and whether it'd be 2013, second half of 2013 or 2013 and 2014, have really good opportunity to be healthy years for the U.S. We're not obviously being rose-colored glasses in our budgeting process, but there is room to overperform. I think that as soon as the economy tightens and things get stronger, as you know, the U.S. can't control long-term rates. The Fed can control short-term rates, not long-term rates, I think there's a possibility that you'll see some inflation. And if you see some inflation, obviously you'll see more organic growth. So I think that's the rosy picture. Obviously, there are a lot of macros and black swans and all various things that people talk about that could get in the way. But as we sit here today, the U.S. economy is in a relatively healthy state and we think that there's opportunity for 2013 to actually be a pretty good year for the consumer.
And we will go next to Karru Martinson with Deutsche Bank.
Karru Martinson - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division
Just to follow up on the use of cash, you guys discontinued the dividend kind of in favor of share buybacks and looking for acquisition. I mean, are there any plans to change that or are we still comfortable where we are?
Martin Ellis Franklin
No, I think that shareholders, and if you look at how the stocks perform, I think shareholders have spoken and their extreme preference is buybacks. Let me caveat by keeping the leverage ratio at 3x or below, buybacks and acquisitions are I think where we're going to be focused.
Karru Martinson - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division
Okay. As you guys look at inventory at retail, if others are kind of falling short, I mean, is there an opportunity for you guys to consolidate some of that shelf space, some category management of taking over categories? What's the outlook there?
James E. Lillie
Well, we always have ongoing conversations. If a retailer has a category that they think that we could do a better job in, we're happy look at that from an M&A or an organic development standpoints. There are other weaker people out there. Dovetailing off from Martin's comments about the improving economy, it's still incredibly incumbent upon us to come out with new products that are innovative, market-leading to give people a reason to come into the aisles and that's why we've been as successful as we have because we help retailers pull consumers into the stores. So we're always looking back to your first point about, are there other categories where we can do better job and perform better and partner with the retailers.
Karru Martinson - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division
And then just lastly, with raw material costs stable, does that include what we're seeing on labor and shipping? Or is that just -- are those separate?
James E. Lillie
Well, we look at labor separately. When we look at our raw materials, we also look at transportation and we're in a good position on transportation all the way from ocean cargo. There are fuel surcharges that come up and come down depending on the price of diesel in a given market. But we're very comfortable with the outlook. We think things are relatively calm. It doesn't mean there's some shorter wavy lines among certain commodities like butane and things like that, but we feel good about the commodity outlook.
And we will go next to Carla Casella with JPM.
Paul Simenauer
This is Paul Simenauer for Carla Casella. Just a follow-up questions. First, how's inventory in the trade for ski season?
James E. Lillie
Inventory in the trade for ski season obviously is up on a year-over-year basis due to the lack of snow pretty much everywhere around the world. That inventory isn't necessarily our inventory. We're actually in a pretty good inventory position. But as many people know, we primarily build to order, so there's very little upside potential if you have a good start to the winter. We can run some of the factories in the month of December, but we're not going to risk having aged inventory in the hopes that it snow and that's really why we feel pretty confident that it's a $50 million or so impact to the season.
Paul Simenauer
Got it. And then second, in your household products, are you guys seeing any change in consumer behavior at mass merchants or any weakening or trade-down?
James E. Lillie
No, I think we're building products and delivering products that people both want and need. And to my earlier point, as long as we're innovative, I think that people are going to continue to give us a lift. Our POS has been very good this year, and our outlook for next year, as we talked about earlier, we feel good about directionally where the business is heading. We've got good momentum heading into 2013. And on the back of some pretty exciting new products like that A-B Draftmark system and the First Alert Adam that I referenced, and Martin was on Kramer last night, so he had one in his hand if you want to check the file.
And we have time for one more question. We'll go next to Andrew Burns with a D. A. Davidson.
Andrew Burns - D.A. Davidson & Co., Research Division
The winter sports initiative is exciting news. Could you maybe step back from the P&L implications on -- direct P&L implications, and talk more about the capacity changes net-net when it's completed? And also, any product quality or market or time-to-market enhancements perhaps the ability to run factories closer to season or anything in that manner?
James E. Lillie
Well, look, I don't want to tell the world the capacity of what we're planning on doing with the new operation that we're building, but it creates a lot of efficiency. It creates a lot more effectiveness running that on a more year-round basis, which will help with absorption and everything else. And there's going to be some automation. It's going to be eco-friendly, as I've mentioned. And I think if you look at the ski industry, there isn't one company out there that has made this kind of investment probably in the last 10 or 20 years. And so I think it's going to be distinct competitive advantage in delivering great products at an appropriate price within a more effective JIT system, which ultimately will benefit working capital. So we're really excited about what this will bring to the market, into our customers, into the ski -- or the winter sports industry in general. When we speak winter sports, we're talking snowshoes, bindings, snowboards and ski. And to have all of that effectively running under one roof is a great opportunity for us and for the industry.
Andrew Burns - D.A. Davidson & Co., Research Division
And one quick follow-up. On the working capital, great improvements in 2012. Are there large opportunities still left out there? Or how should we think about working capital efficiencies in the coming year?
James E. Lillie
If you went to all the businesses, I would think that they are quite familiar with those 4 points I pointed out at the beginning of raising our sales 3% to 5%, improving gross margins, improving net income 10% and extracting more cash out of working capital. They probably mumble that in their sleep. And so there's always opportunity. Okay thank you.
Martin Ellis Franklin
There aren't any more questions, I like to thank everyone for joining us and look forward to reporting our full year results in the new year. Thank you for your time. Bye-bye.
Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude our conference call for today. You may all disconnect, and thank you for participating.
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text:
Discussion in 'Rifle Country' started by Panzercat, Mar 16, 2013.
So you're building a carbine to do everything. What caliber is it in? Why?
The Tavor will have a 5.56 / 9mm conversion kit for it.
I think 10mm carbine are impossible to find, it would be easier to get a 44 magnum like one of the old Rugers.
9mm seems to be the most common caliber for a handgun cartridge carbine.
The 10mm will gain the most from extra barrel, and is also far and away the most potent of those listed.
However, if you're just wanting a plinker, 9mm has the obvious cost benefit.
I've had 2 9mm carbines, sold both. Still have my Marlin Camp 45, but don't use it much. PCCs are mostly just kinda useless, IMO. The only one I own that really has utility is the Marlin 1894 .44 mag, which puts down power on par with .30-30 Win from the 16" barrel.
A carbine is a short rifle, I like rifle calibers in shorter barrels much better than pistol calibers in long barrels. Magnum rounds such as 357 and 44 are possible exceptions. Make mine an AR in 223.
Based on autoloader pistol ammo I have on hand:
.45 ACP (AutoOrdnance 1911A1 clone pistol, TM1 carbine)
7x62x25mm (CZ 52)
The use I forsee for a pistol caliber carbine is the scenario of me on the mountain, hanging around after everyone else has gone, to plink out to 65 yards, maybe needing protection from medium size feral or rabid animal. .45 ACP is adequate and economical.
300 Blackout.
Marlin Camp 9
HiPoint 4595
Marlin 1894 .357
Choice? The Marlin 1894c in 38/357
My Camp 9 has suffered from erratic reliability and is with my gunsmith now. The Hp4595 is totally reliable, but the Marlin in 357 mag gains the most umph in the longer barrel (1900fps with a 158 gr hand load). It's the most accurate and carries the best as well.
I voted 9mm for two reasons ... I already own one, and I have a solid supply of 9mm to make sure I don't run out ... recoil is mild and I love the reach-out-and-touch-it accuracy out to about 100 yrds ...
9x25 dillon... a man can dream.
Have you considered a .30 carbine? It's still one of the best platforms of all time IMO.
None of the above! "Everything" is a broad task; no autoloading pistol cartridge meets that goal. My Browning BLRs, chambered in .308 Winchester, are pretty good carbines for "everything."
Why did you post this in the Handguns-Autoloaders section? A carbine is a type of rifle.
Notice they are all autoloading pistol calibers. Hmmmm...
Carbine = uses pistol calibers.
Rifle = uses rifle calibers.
Carbine simply means short rifle. It doesn't have to be chambered in a pistol cartridge. This really should be in the rifle section but oh well, I'll put in my two cents anyways.
I'd go with 9mm. It is usually the cheapest and easiest to find (unless there's a panic going on).
It also has a wide variety of loadings available which makes it suitable for lots of uses. The rifle length barrel helps with velocity too so the 9mm is more impressive from a carbine length gun than your average pistol.
Unfortunately this is incorrect. A carbine is a shortened version of same caliber long arm
A sub machine gun is a pistol caliber while a machine gun is a rifle caliber.
I like my KT Sub2000 in 9mm. With the 16" barrel it is close to. 357mag performance.
Ruger Mini 14 (Mini 10) type carbine in 10mm that takes Glock 20 magazines would be perfect. Too bad Ruger or anyone else will never make one.
Nope. Carbine simply means short rifle. To denote that it is chambered in a pistol cartridge, one says pistol caliber carbine, or PCC in these groups.
Conversely, a long arm chambered in a pistol cartridge isn't necessarily a carbine. But that would be subjective. Of course, it would be rather silly to have a long barreled firearm chambered in a cartridge that maxxes out with considerably less tube. Rimfires seem exempt from this logic, though...
There is no hard and fast rule on barrel length for the definition, but generally in modern terms, < 20" is carbine, > 20" is rifle.
I've got ARs...and when I wanted a pistol-caliber carbine, I went with a 9mm. Cheap to shoot, low recoil, and I've got ammo cans (plural) in the garage.
Carbine has a lot of definition overlap. The rifle forum would have complained for exactly the same reason, but I'm posting here because of the auto loading pistol calibers. If we were talking a carbine in 5.56, then I'd be over there
Surprised not many fans of 40sw, tho.
I think I read somewhere that the 40 S&W is very efficient and does not get much added velocity from a carbine length barrel.
Separate names with a comma.


text:
Spring Game 18: Yankees vs. Phillies
Hello again from George M. Steinbrenner Field, where Esmil Rogers will try to make a good impression in the Yankees' fifth-starter competition tonight against the Phillies at 7:05 p.m. ET.
The starting infield is on the diamond for New York. In injury updates, Jacoby Ellsbury met with reporters outside the clubhouse and said that he is "fully confident" that he will be ready to play on Opening Day. Ellsbury is expected to miss about a week of exhibition action with an oblique strain.
Tonight's game will be televised on YES and ESPN, and can be heard on WFAN.
Ben Revere cf
Freddy Galvis ss
Chase Utley dh
Ryan Howard 1b
Carlos Ruiz c
Domonic Brown rf
Cody Asche 3b
Grady Sizemore lf
Cesar Hernandez 2b
Aaron Harang rhp
In relief: Joely Rodriguez, Jonathan Papelbon, Andy Oliver, Luis Garcia, Elvis Araujo, Nefi Ogando
Didi Gregorius ss
Stephen Drew 2b
Carlos Beltran rf
Mark Teixeira 1b
Chase Headley 3b
Alex Rodriguez dh
Austin Romine c
Ramon Flores lf
Slade Heathcott cf
Esmil Rogers rhp
In relief: David Carpenter, Chasen Shreve, Wilking Rodriguez
Spring Game 11: Yankees vs. Braves
Hello from George M. Steinbrenner Field, where Masahiro Tanaka will make his spring debut this evening against the Atlanta Braves at 7:05 p.m. ET. Yankees manager Joe Girardi said that he expects Tanaka to throw 30 to 35 pitches over his two innings of work.
Shelby Miller is on the mound for Atlanta, and the Yankees are sending out their probable Opening Day lineup for the second time this spring. It has been a hot and humid day here in Tampa — CC Sabathia was drenched with sweat after his two-inning simulated game — but things are cooling off just in time for first pitch.
The game will be televised on YES.
Andrelton Simmons ss
Alberto Callaspo dh
Freddie Freeman 1b
Jonny Gomes lf
Christian Bethancourt c
Chris Johnson 3b
Todd Cunningham cf
Joey Terdslavich rf
Pedro Ciriaco 2b
Shelby Miller rhp
In relief: Tyrell Jenkins, Michael Korn, Sugar Ray Marimon, Josh Outman
Jacoby Ellsbury cf
Brett Gardner lf
Carlos Beltran rf
Mark Teixeira 1b
Brian McCann c
Chase Headley 3b
Alex Rodriguez dh
Stephen Drew 2b
Didi Gregorius ss
Masahiro Tanaka rhp
In relief: Scott Baker, David Carpenter, Chris Martin
Spring Game 10: Yankees vs. Red Sox
The Yankees and the Red Sox meet for the first time this season today here at George M. Steinbrenner Field, where the American League East rivals will face off in a 1:05 p.m. ET contest. Chris Capuano is on the mound for the Yanks and Joe Kelly has the ball for Boston. Alex Rodriguez is in the lineup, batting fifth and playing third base.
The game will be televised on YES.
Mookie Betts cf
Brock Holt ss
Allen Craig dh
Bryce Brentz lf
Daniel Nava rf
Christian Vazquez c
Garin Cecchini 3b
Travis Shaw 1b
Jeff Bianchi 2b
Joe Kelly rhp
Jacoby Ellsbury cf
Brett Gardner lf
Carlos Beltran rf
Brian McCann dh
Alex Rodriguez 3b
Garrett Jones 1b
Jose Pirela 2b
Austin Romine c
Cito Culver ss
Chris Capuano lhp
In relief: Bryan Mitchell, Andrew Miller, Dellin Betances
Spring Game 9: Yankees at Orioles
Hello from Ed Smith Stadium in Sarasota, Fla., where the Yankees have brought their starting infield for today's 1:05 p.m. ET game against the Orioles. This is the first meeting of the spring between the American League East rivals. Chase Whitley will make the start for New York, with Wei-Yin Chen on the hill for Baltimore.
It's partly cloudy and temperatures are in the low 80s. Don't forget the sunscreen. #Florida.
The game will be televised on MASN; there is no Yankees TV or radio.
Didi Gregorius ss
Chris Young cf
Chase Headley 3b
Mark Teixeira 1b
John Ryan Murphy c
Jose Pirela dh
Stephen Drew 2b
Aaron Judge rf
Ramon Flores lf
Chase Whitley rhp
In relief: Esmil Rogers, Chasen Shreve, Jose Ramirez.
Manny Machado 3b
J.J. Hardy ss
Chris Davis 1b
Adam Jones cf
Matt Wieters dh
Delmon Young rf
Travis Snider lf
Ryan Lavarnway c
Jonathan Schoop 2b
Wei-Yin Chen lhp
In relief: Kevin Gausman, Logan Verrett, Jason Garcia.
Spring Game 8: Yankees vs. Rays
The Yankees could be showcasing their Opening Day lineup this afternoon behind Michael Pineda, who will make his first spring start in a 1:05 p.m. contest at George M. Steinbrenner Field. Pineda is scheduled to be relieved by Nathan Eovaldi, who will be on the hill for the second time this spring. Nathan Karns gets the nod for Tampa Bay.
The game will be televised on the YES Network.
Nick Franklin ss
Desmond Jennings lf
James Loney 1b
Evan Longoria 3b
Steven Souza Jr. rf
Kevin Kiermaier dh
Alexi Casilla 2b
Bobby Wilson c
Mikie Mahtook cf
Nathan Karns rhp
In relief: Ernesto Frieri, Brandon Gomes, Kirby Yates, Jordan Norberto, C.J. Riefenhauser
Jacoby Ellsbury cf
Brett Gardner lf
Carlos Beltran rf
Mark Teixeira 1b
Brian McCann c
Chase Headley 3b
Alex Rodriguez dh
Stephen Drew 2b
Didi Gregorius ss
Michael Pineda rhp
In relief: Nathan Eovaldi, David Carpenter, Justin Wilson


text:
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text:
Xbox One
dementedlullaby 3 years ago#61
*Great chest ahead!* After reading that message someone left and then entering the room where the chest was I was not disappointed.
Speaking of all the Halo talk I played some Halo 2 last night online. The game still holds up pretty well overall. Even though there's next to no one playing.
XBL/PSN/NNID/Steam:DementedLullaby Origin:DL8286
The Imperial Truth is a Lie
violentdissmay 3 years ago#62
Lengthy campaign co-op with out ai controlled bot partners
"Remember when consoles only played games? Pepperidge Farm remembers." - Broly4561
Jptremblay13 3 years ago#63
The first time you get your lightsaber in Jedi Knight.
A day off work, a copy of the latest Elder Scrolls game the day it comes out, a 6 pack in the fridge and a bowl of weed next to the couch.
SigmaLongshot (Topic Creator)3 years ago#65
Another one I've just experienced, where I feel so overwhelmed by buzzage that I must share:
Killing an enemy soldier in battlefield by using the defibrilator upon their face.
Double Jump Game Comics: http://doublejump.thecomicseries.com/
SigmaLongshot (Topic Creator)3 years ago#66
Hitting someone with the Cerebral Bore in Turok 2 is also a doozy.
That initial CRNCH followed by the spine-chilling grinding... urghh....
Sadistic bliss.
Double Jump Game Comics: http://doublejump.thecomicseries.com/
leelee3105 3 years ago#67
aszsith posted...
There are so many moments, and many of those listed are fantastic so no need to rehash them.
this might be the best post in gamefaqs history. PS, i thought dante's inferno was better that GoW
"I educated myself entirely on Wikipedia. I think harmless typos are a sign of stupidity."
GT je suisLe juif PSN lol!
Apex-Player 3 years ago#68
Ps4 getting an emulator to run ps1/2 discs on the ps4, rumor has it its coming ^^
Also, experiencing Master Ninja on NinjaGaiden the first time. Having seen fire ninjas immediately at the start I fell in love with that series. Not just buffed enemies, but reskined effort put into each difficulty. Was so great man, a game that kept on giving.
PSN/ Comfort_Cat
proximity mines on ever library door in goldeneye MUAHAHAHAHWAHWAHWA
PSN:Knickyknucklez 360:Kn1ckyknucklez Wii-U:KnickyKnucklez
SigmaLongshot posted...
Oh, another obvious one... GETTING A LINE IN TETRIS! So satisfying!!
Wouldn't getting 4 lines at once be more blissful?
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Credit unions are not-for-profit financial cooperatives that provide high-quality, affordable services to 105 million American consumers—their member-owners. During the financial crisis, while big Wall Street banks had to be bailed out by taxpayers, financially sound credit unions like Vermont Federal Credit Union helped middle-class families weather the storm.
Vermont Federal Credit Union members didn't cause the problems that pushed the economy into the Great Recession, so why are we being punished like the gigantic banks that did?
Instead of focusing on the real problems with Wall Street, Congress and Washington bureaucrats overcorrected and created expensive new regulatory burdens that hurt credit union members.
Let's take a quick look at the facts:
Credit union members deserve to be treated fairly. What may work for the biggest banks in America doesn't make sense for us.
It's time for Congress to fix the problem and tell regulators to ease the excessive burden that is being placed on Vermont Federal Credit Union and millions of individual credit union members. Ask your U.S. Senators and Representatives to demand that regulators exempt credit unions from these expensive and punitive new rules.
Learn more at: www.easetheburden.com
Past e-Newsletters
If you are a member and would like to receive our monthly email newsletter with helpful banking information, community involvement and product updates, contact our Call Center at (888) 252-0202 Option 3.


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Perry Wood Primary and Nursery School
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No. of Pupils: 463
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Well I played guide last Saturday for my Dad and my good buddy Gannon and his dad for speed goats. We had a dad on a buck right at first light that would have booked, he was a definite trophy. He had a couple of opportunities at him at one point stalking within 150 yards, but that buck wouldn't give him the time for a shot. That buck was chasing and trying to mount does the whole damn time. We traveled a couple of miles and ran into his buck finally chasing some more does. They were about five hundred yards when we first spotted em and ran in our direction. Dad got out and set up and when that buck came by he took him broadside at a ranged 260 yards. He used his new Marlin XL7 in 270 for this hunt.
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Who we are
Scottish Environment LINK is the forum for Scotland's voluntary environment organisations, with over 35 member bodies representing a range of environmental interests with the common goal of contributing to a more environmentally sustainable society.
LINK Local
Are you a local organisation looking to build links with other environmental groups across Scotland? LINK is launching a one year trial of a matchmaking service LINK Local - a dedicated website for local community groups interested in the environment. Read our full press release here
Species Champions
Award winning Species Champions initiative relaunched in September 2016.
Hilltracks Campaign – help needed
Poorly constructed hill tracks damage the landscape and environment. Will you be walking in the Scottish hills this summer? If yes, read here to see how you can help.


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FELIX BAUMGARTNER 2 by javierGpachecoWatch
©2012-2016 javierGpacheco
I always like a lot astronaut style costume
I always like a lot astronaut style costume
Interested in buying print or print quality file!
Esta es una pieza inspiradora.
amazing as always!
Wow! I want to hang this in my office! Can we buy a print?
How do I buy as print? Or original?
space dreamer. I wish this could be a motion picture with music behind it.
c'est beau! so very beautiful!
So amazing. I've been watching him jump live on tv. He suddenly started turning. I was scared.
this is damn too nice
Work is amazing, i am looking to buy print to display at the Science on Wheels Educational center at the University of Puerto Rico Mayaguez campus.
great art you got,also saw this on 9gag (not actually where it belongs,but thankful a link with it)
with a lettering it would be a kickass book cover , nicely done javi
tsss, te kedo de lujo, el tema esta bien chido!!
this is frikin amazing ! nice job
Looks like Soviet art. Felix can be easily replaced with Gagarin.
Anyway, cool!
Anyway, cool!
This one is even better than the first ^^
Keep up the good work
Keep up the good work
Wow, just wow.
Amazing! Can we buy this as a print??
Brilliant! Awesome!
This is amazing - love the colors and the details - with the pixel-type texture - the suit is amazing!


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Rabbits Against Magic by Jonathan Lemon
- November 23, 2013
- From Beginning
- Previous feature
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Those tablets should be banned for the general public but for some people it should be compulsory to take a double dose 4 times a day.
What's a "Facebook" and why would I want an account with them? Are they better than my current stock broker?
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(20% of overall score)
This Category captures the extent to which companies help consumers to make healthy choices by adopting responsible marketing practices and prioritizing the marketing of healthier products. The Category consists of two parallel groups of three criteria:
All consumers
D1 Responsible marketing policy
D2 Auditing and compliance with policy
D3 Spending on marketing healthy products*
D4 Responsible marketing policy
D5 Auditing and compliance with policy
D6 Spending on marketing healthy products*
To perform well in this Category, companies should:
Changes to the methodology compared to the 2013 Global Index:
* This criterion was originally included in the 2016 Global Index methodology, with indicators that were more detailed than in the 2013 methodology. However, the research process revealed that the vast majority of companies could again not provide this information, as was the case in 2013. Therefore these indicators were not scored. See Box Z for more information.


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Fresh Start
Ryan Stevenson$7.99It's impossible to fully appreciate life apart from mortality. Likewise, it's impossible to comprehend grace apart from our shortcomings. On Fresh Start, listeners will find a candid and hopeful glimpse at the heart of a man living in the midst of Christ's unmerited affectio... Learn More
One Way
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Greatest Hymns Volume 2
Selah$13.99The eagerly anticipated follow-up to Selah's acclaimed Greatest Hymnsalbum! Blending contemporary and traditional elements, this soul-stirring recording includes "The Old Rugged Cross," "How Deep the Father's Love for Us," "I Surrender All," "Revive Us Again," "In the Garden... Learn More
There's a Light
Todd Smith$13.99Add Your ReviewTrack List:There's a LightJesus IsI Sing the Mighty Power of JesusSong of SolomonBe StillRight Where I BelongDmitri's Song (Jesus is Alive)What are We Living ForRevive UsWe Will RiseCalling All Fathers Learn More
Simple Life
Wayne WatsonRegular Price: $9.99 Special Price $7.99Add Your ReviewAward winning singer/songwriter and veteran recording artist Wayne Watson continues to deliver timeless melodies and intimate messages of life's twists and turns - all met head on by God's grace. Simple Life is Watson 's 17th studio recording in a career that is vibrant an... Learn More
Follow Through
Unspoken$11.99Add Your ReviewUnspoken's sophomore release, Follow Through is a new full length album featuring 10 all new songs, including the hit single, "Higher."Track ListHigherThe CureOpen The CloudsMiracleLife In The Death Of MeSoldierFollow ThroughGood To MeWe Are The LightWait On YouSleep In Th... Learn More
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Hi im 17 years old me an my fiance have been together for 2years, weve been through thick and thin. last year i had a misscarriage on an unplanned pregnancy, we were both devastated! now we both want to try for a baby. we have a flat, he has a job i have a part time job and am finishing a college corse this year. is it so wrong to feel this way i get upset wen i see parents and children, my course is childcare i hate working with babies when i want my own. am i too young? all it needs is love and money and security that we can offer HELP!!!Reply Follow This Thread Stop Following This Thread Flag this Discussion
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When a glass votive candle exploded midway through Jess Beebe's Linea fashion show at Holocene on Sunday night, it could have been choreographed. The burst of tinkling glass and extinguished light didn't seem out of place. Scratchy, breathless video projections and atmospheric swells of music (performed live by local trio the Cherry Blossoms) had been building the tension for 20 minutes, and it seemed like something--anything--could happen.
In fact, most of the show's drama stayed just beneath the surface, and that was its elegance. "In a 'normal' fashion show, what is being expressed is sass and sex and getting down," says Beebe. "I'm into that too, but I'm interested in what else can be said--something quieter and subtler." To wit, the highlight of the entire production was when a statuesque blonde in a cream dress stenciled with abstract roses sat down, then gradually leaned to sleep.
"The show went into slow motion at that point," said Beebe after the show. "I wanted to highlight the hand-printing on the dress, but that sequence also had a lot to do with the model. I think of Becky [the model] as meditative and sweet and soft-spoken, and I wanted her part of the show to reflect what I know about her."
Models with personalities...isn't that a bit, well, personal?
It was a refreshing format for local fashion. Beebe's designs, which can be found locally at Southeast Belmont haute spot Seaplane, have a kind of intimacy that seems too subtle for the stalk-and-gawk format of typical runway shows. As a designer, Beebe gravitates toward flowing shapes and naturalistic color--fresh, olive-colored panels in a tailored mod dress, peony-pink charmeuse quilted with quiet blossoms and scrolls. She's also not afraid to take on risky design challenges--one black-and-green velvet frock was made entirely of diamond-shaped harlequin panels individually stitched together. Beebe produces everything herself, often rendering delicate, exotic fabrics like silk georgette and chiffon into blossomlike garments with pintucks and ruffles. Even a white sequined two-piece ensemble, which in any other context would scream "South Beach trophy wife," seemed somehow fragile and angelic.
Linea clothes don't flash, they glow.
By consulting with local dancer/choreographer Elizabeth Ward, Beebe developed choreography for the show that felt strange and intense--sometimes even awkward--but oddly fitting for her designs. Lovely, angular models trailed out slowly in ones and twos, their pale draping frocks and gossamer persimmon-colored skirts wafting behind them. Some models opened and closed battered folding chairs. Another walked a tape measure as if it were a tightrope. And throughout the 30-minute performance, an overcoated crowd maintained a patient poise.
In the absence of swaying spotlights and a throbbing beat, the show felt unfamiliar--and that was the point.
"I tend to fly in several directions at once, and the goal was to push myself toward my own edges," says Beeble. "With this show, I wanted to push the audience, too--gently."
Psst...if you push yourself gently toward Seaplane this month, you may be able to buy one of the remarkable pieces from the show.


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Metabolic activation of its furano diterpenoids by cytochrome P490 3A depletes cytoskeleton-associated protein buy viagra uk quick delivery thiols and forms plasma membrane blebs in rat hepatocytes. Lekehal M, Pessayre D, Lereau JM, Moulis C, Fouraste I, Fau D. Germander, hepatotoxicity of the herbal medicine.
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A multifaceted approach to the elucidation of attrition sites is therefore crucial. Cutaneous inflammation is not always responsible for immune attrition One important lesson to be learned from these studies is that it is unwise to speculate on the role of the skin in immune attrition simply from histological analysis.
Fournet, N., Moreaud, buy viagra uk quick delivery O., Roulin, J. The effects of Parkinson's disease on the ability to maintain a mental set. (1996).
L., Naegele, B., & Pellat, J. Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery, and Psychiatry, 38, 547–609. Working memory in medicated patients with Parkinson's disease.
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This has been buy viagra uk quick delivery suggested as evidence that decreased or incorrect phosphorylation of these cytoskeletal proteins may occur in the progression of AD Gross Morphology and Architectonics 173 (Hof, Cox, & Morrison, 1990). Neuronal depletion of calcium-dependent proteins in the dentate gyrus is tightly linked to AD-related cognitive deficits (Palop et al., 2001). SMI-32 reactivity is shown most predominantly in large pyramidal neurons of layers III and V, in the human PFC.
In the brains of patients with AD compared to controls, there is a dramatic loss of SMI-32 immunoreactive cells. Populations of frontal cortex neurons that show immunoreactivity to SMI-32 have also been extensively studied in the pathology of AD (Gottron, Turetsky, & Choi, 1996). Loss of SMI32-reactive neurons in the brains of patients with AD is highly correlated with increasing neurofibrillary tangle count , and like the calbindin studies described earlier.
CONCLUSIONS Our conception of frontal lobe architecture has grown remarkably throughout the 18th and 19th centuries with the creation of multiple morphological, cytoarchitectural, molecular, and chemical mapping techniques. When laid atop one another, these maps provide a window into the striking complexity of frontal lobe architecture and offer clues to architectural correlates of neurological disease states.
International Journal of Experimental Robotics, buy viagra uk quick delivery 22, 973–982. (1999). (2004d). Breazeal, C., Brooks, A., Gray, J., Hancher, M., McBean, J., Stiehl, W.
Regulation and entrainment for human-robot interaction.
It encodes for an MHC Class I–like protein that complexes with β2-microglobulin and the buy viagra uk quick delivery transferrin receptor. This protein CHAPTER 24 RHEUMATOLOGIc MANIFESTATIONS OF HEPATOBILIARY DISEASES 241 complex on the surface of duodenal crypt cells can bind to transferrin-bound iron in the circulation, enabling these cells to sense body iron stores. The homozygote frequency in this white population is 0.4% to 0.5% and carrier frequency is 3% to 6% (i.e., heterozygotes).The HFE gene is located on chromosome 5 near the major histocompatibility (MHC) locus. Hereditary hemochromatosis is among the most common genetic disorders in whites of northern European descent. Between 70% and 60% of patients are homozygous for the same mutation in the hemochromatosis gene.


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Rappers Fabolous and Pusha T headed for The Rave
East Coast rapster Fabolous and mixtape master Pusha T will perform at The Rave at 7:30 p.m. May 10.
Fabolous has been building his hip-hop credentials since his hit "Can't Deny It." Pusha T's debut album "Fear of God II: Let Us Pray" was released in 2011. »Read Full Article
Kacey Musgraves coming to The Rave Dec. 6
Above: Kacey Musgraves performs at the Kenny Chesney "No Shoes Nation" show at Miller Park in May. Photo by Rick Wood. »Read Full Blog Post
Singles Scorecard: Hear new songs from Taylor Swift, One Direction and Ice Cube
Taylor Swift strays even further from her initial country pop sound with "Sweeter Than Fiction," her take on '80s bubblegum pop. Associated Press photo by Charlie Sykes. »Read Full Blog Post
Taking a look at the 'Best American' and other writing anthologies
Readers who had an early look at the annual "Best American" anthologies and other best-of writing collections might have seen an indicator for this year's Nobel Prize for literature.
Canadian writer Alice Munro, this year's Nobel lit laureate, is included in three of the collections, with different stories in "The Best American Short Stories" ("Train") and "The O. Henry Prize Stories" ("Leaving Maverley") and a personal essay in "The Best American Essays" ("Night"). (All three works come from her 2012 book "Dear Life.") »Read Full Article
Reading the John Updike stories: 'Toward Evening'
The Library of America recently published 'John Updike: The Collected Stories,' a two-volume boxed set of 186 stories arranged in chronological order. I'm reading one or more a week and commenting on them each Wednesday until I finish the collection or give up.
"Toward Evening," as its title suggests, is a slight story preoccupied with a dreamy state of fading light and lust. Tired Rafe catches a bus in front of St. Patrick's Cathedral. He helps boost a chubby woman on to the bus. »Read Full Blog Post
Pop-rock vets Chicago to play Milwaukee's Riverside Theater
Veteran pop-rock act Chicago returns to Milwaukee April 30 for a 7 p.m. show at the Riverside Theater, 116 W. Wisconsin Ave.
Formed in 1969 as the Chicago Transit Authority, the horns-and-harmonies-powered band has had 21 top 10 singles in its 40-plus-year tenure ( "Saturday in the Park," "25 or 6 to 4," "If You Leave Me Now," "Make Me Smile," "Hard to Say I'm Sorry," etc.), and is still recording new material, including "America," posted online earlier this year. »Read Full Article(2)
On Tap Today: Brian Wilson, Jeff Beck, more Updike and hate mail
It's sort of a head-scratching combination, but still hard to beat. Brian Wilson and Jeff Beck play tonight at the Riverside Theater.
If that doesn't grab you, maybe you are more in the mood for a Milwaukee Admirals face-off against the Texas Stars or an opportunity to work outside. »Read Full Blog Post


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New board
Dear all,
I have a big problem by buy a new board: I cruise since 2002 with a GO 170 year 2002(for me the best board from Starboard!!!), that now beginn to be old....I normaly cruise on the lake with wind from 9 knt to 25knt ( 3 sail : 6 and 7 and 9 m2) and I weight 75kg. I enjoi freerace/freeride. Wind condition are mostly beetween 8-15 knt (sometime untill 25 knt).I enjoy early planing but also crusie in 15-20 knt: For me the GO 170 2002 was perfect with a weight of 10,3 kg!!!!! Now the problem: the new GO 170 is much heavier with 12,5 Kg: are the perfomamnce still the same of model 2002, or is oriented to other surf category? What table 2007 have the same perfomance as GO 2002?
Thank you for an answer
RE: New board
Ciao Andrea,
you could decide for the CARVE 162. Below 9 kilos and 82,5 wide. The board covers the same windrange, but could push your skills. Just think about and come back, if you should have any questions.
A dopo,
Chris :D
fin for carve 162
Thank you very much,
Now a Carve 162 is in my car and from april severeal time on the lake. It is nice to surf and confortable at the same time!! Now a question: when I surf with my Neilpryde V8 9m2 the board go "quite easy" in spinout. The fin is a original drake 49cm....Do you think I can buy a bigger one? How many cm.? My weight is 75 kg.
Thank you in advance for your answer
fin for carve 162
Good Morning,
is there someone that can ask my previeus question? it is important for me to have a feed back about this "small" problem.
thank you very, very much in advance
You can certainly try a larger fin, maybe 3-4 cm longer, to use with your biggest sail. Other less expensive things to look at: the condition of your original fin, and how much you are pushing against the fin with your back foot.
The fin should be "clean" with no dings, nicks, raised print on the fin itself.
Sometimes when you change from one board to a new one with a slightly different design, especially at the tail end, that change will bring to light some techique issue that needs to be resolved. Too much pressure with the back foot, the position of the footstraps, etc.
hope this helps,
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Evans Syndrome Signs And Symptoms
A selection of articles related to evans syndrome signs and symptoms.
Original articles from our library related to the Evans Syndrome Signs And Symptoms. See Table of Contents for further available material (downloadable resources) on Evans Syndrome Signs And Symptoms.
- Our Pagan Village: The Importance and Persuit of Honor
- Candlelight flickers over the Beltaine revels. Food is laid out in the circle for the feast. Only one rule – no one can feed themselves. Each is dependent on friends and loved ones for sustenance, joy and delight. After an hour of laughter and revels and way...
Paganism & Wicca >> Daily Life
- What is hypnotic trance? Does it provide unusual physical or mental capacities?
- 2.1 'Trance;' descriptive or misleading? Most of the classical notions of hypnosis have long held that hypnosis was special in some way from other types of interpersonal communication and that an induction (preparatory process considered by some to be...
Parapsychology >> Hypnosis
- Pagan Mythology
- Is the traditional story presented as an historical event that serves to illustrate part of the world view of a people or explain a practice, belief, or natural phenomenon. The mythological beliefs a culture shares gives shape to its actions and choices....
Paganism & Wicca >> Holidays
- Survivalists' Guide for the New Millennium: Chapter 6
- AS THE WORM TURNS Health and well being are part of the natural birthright of the human being. With all of its organs intact, the right diet, exercise and mental focus, a human body can overcome any disease. Even so, the effects of living in this...
Philosophy >> Survivalists Guide for the New Millennium
- The Religious Experience: A Wiccan Viewpoint
- What is religion? Religion is a set of beliefs which allow us to understand and categorize our world and our place in it. A set of beliefs which define our culture, our expectations, our views of people and behaviors we expect. I have found several different...
Religion & Philosophy >> Religions
- Bringing it Down to Earth: A Fractal Approach
- 'Clouds are not spheres, mountains are not cones, coastlines are not circles, and bark is not smooth, nor does lightning travel in a straight line.' B. Mandelbrot W e want to think about the future - it's our nature. Unlike other creatures, humans possess an...
Mystic Sciences >> Astrology
Evans Syndrome Signs And Symptoms is described in multiple online sources, as addition to our editors' articles, see section below for printable documents, Evans Syndrome Signs And Symptoms books and related discussion.
Suggested News Resources
- 'Miracle' med too costly for patient
- A drug that has changed the life of chronic Tourette Syndrome sufferer Adam Belcher could run out because he is unable to afford the $1100 prescription. The 29-year-old Tauranga man became the first New Zealander with Tourettes to be allowed to use the ...
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- Understanding cachexia as a cancer metabolism syndrome
- Cachectic patients experience a wide range of symptoms affecting several organ functions such as muscle, liver, brain, immune system and heart, collectively decreasing patients' quality of life and worsening their prognosis. ....
- BBC suspends gay Andy West over Tyson Fury's Sports Personality nomination
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- Why Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg was RIGHT to vaccinate daughter
- This claim is based on selective reporting of unexpected symptoms following a vaccination. Since 1990 health providers are required to report all adverse events that occur after vaccination, the VAERS (Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System). To date ...
Great care has been taken to prepare the information on this page. Elements of the content come from factual and lexical knowledge databases, realmagick.com library and third-party sources. We appreciate your suggestions and comments on further improvements of the site.
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