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In an interview with Chinese state television released on Wednesday, Philippines President Rodrigo Duterte doubled down on his embrace of China and dismissive attitude towards the US-Philippine alliance. Duterte pronounced his state visit to China as 'the defining moment of my presidency', expansively claimed that a quarter of the Philippine population (including himself) are Chinese descendants, contended that China was the Philippines' 'only hope economically', and hoped that President Xi Jinping would find it in his heart to give the Philippines a railway.
In a speech to an overseas Filipino audience on the same day, Duterte repeated his 'son of a whore' reference for President Obama while stating 'No more American influence. No more American exercises. It's time to say goodbye, my friend. Your stay in my country was for your own benefit'.
As Duterte is rachets up the rhetoric on Manila's pivot away from the US and towards China, there are early signs of problems back home. In a moment of candour during his confirmation hearing, Defense Secretary Delfin Lorenzana admitted his ignorance of recent presidential pronouncements on the US-Philippine alliance: 'Mr. Chair, I really don't know because the President has been issuing statements without consulting the Cabinet.'
An 8 October opinion piece by former President Fidel Ramos, who sat at the side of Duterte at his election celebration and who Duterte nominated to lead the recommencement of talks with China over the South China Sea dispute, strongly criticises Duterte's pivot and his caustic attitude to relations with the US. A recent Social Weather Stations' poll strongly suggests that the concern with Duterte's pivot to China and away from the US may well go much deeper. The poll shows that Filipinos' already very low trust levels towards China are worsening, with 55% expressing little trust in China, compared with only 11% 22% expressing much trust. The results for the US were the mirror opposite: 11% little trust and 76% much trust.
If this visit to China will be the defining moment of Duterte's presidency, he may not like the definition.
Before his first overseas trip as president of the Philippines, Rodrigo Duterte answered a media question about his first planned meeting with President Obama, leader of the Philippines' most important economic and security partner. It did not go well.
His (un)presidential comments led the US to postpone this meeting indefinitely, and followed an earlier incident where he used a homophobic slur in reference to US ambassador to the Philippines Philip Goldberg.
This unprecedented diplomatic faux pas is symptomatic of a serious problem with the 70-day-old Duterte administration; a problem that is more prevalent and troubling on the domestic front. During the presidential campaign, Duterte (who has been mayor or vice-mayor of Davao City in southern Mindanao for 27 of the last 30 years) said that should he win, he wanted people to refer to him as mayor of the Philippines, not president.
True to his word, since his inauguration as president on 30 June, Duterte has conducted himself in the same way he did as the long-standing mayor and dominant political figure of a peripheral city far from the gaze of the national and international media. This lack of political transition is most noticeable in three ways:
Duterte's undoubted success as mayor, broad public support, lack of an effective legislative opposition and fierce pride all push against a change of approach. Criticism of his conduct as president, especially from outside his circle of trusted kumpares, will carry little weight (and may even be counterproductive).
There is a steep learning curve from being mayor of less than two million to president for more than 100 million. Duterte is the only one who can mount it. His behaviour over his first 70 days as president (culminating in his comments on the tarmac at Davao International Airport earlier this week) reveals just how big a challenge this is.
Photo: Getty Images/Dondi Tawatao
Many hoped and others feared that US-Philippine relations would deteriorate under the Duterte Administration that came into power on 30 June. There are good reasons for this preliminary judgement.
The relationship became much closer under the Aquino Administration, highlighted by the signing in 2014 of the Enhanced Defense Cooperation Agreement against the concerns of a majority of the Philippine Senate. After 2012, Aquino determined that China posed a major threat to Philippine sovereignty and closer relations with the US was part of the necessary response. President Aquino, Foreign Secretary Del Rosario and Defense Secretary Gazmin had all lived in the US, Aquino while is family was in political exile and Del Rosario for most of his education.
During the presidential campaign, Rodrigo Duterte questioned the utility of the alliance with the US and threatened to sever ties with the Philippines' largest source of foreign direct investment, remittances and military assistance after the US Ambassador chided him over a particularly offensive and misogynist 'rape joke.' Duterte prides himself on his militant leftist political origins, the main source of rabid anti-Americanism in the Philippines, opposed US-Philippine military exercises when he was mayor of Davao City, and wants closer, more economically focused relations with China. More recent reported comments again crudely criticising Ambassador Goldberg and contrasting the US negatively with China could reinforce this view of a pending bilateral break.
Political observers in the Philippines are still fine-tuning their 'Duterte filters' to figure out what are real statements of policy versus off-the-cuff remarks versus brain freezes.
The need for this filter is particularly acute when it comes to the Duterte Administration's positions on the South China Sea disputes and relations with the US and China. Making projections based on a selective number of statements is always risky, with Duterte much more so. Duterte himself tells us we should ignore his tirade against the US ambassador and that the alliance is in strong shape. This is backed by Duterte's reaffirmation that his Administration will continue the Aquino Administration's military modernisation program, in which the US is the most important partner.
Secretary of State Kerry is the most senior foreign official to visit President Duterte and the US will provide the Philippines with $32 million to fight the Abu Sayyaf Group, a top priority of President Duterte. And, as in 2015, the Philippines this year will receive the lion's share of the US Building Maritime Capacity in Southeast Asia initiative.
Duterte himself has noted that the Philippines has only one ally. This fact, and the need for the Philippines to leverage foreign support for its internal and external security needs, means US-Philippine relations will likely not alter alarmingly once we look at the facts and filter Duterte's frothy political language.
The ruling by the Arbitration Tribunal that is comprehensively in favour of the case filed by the Philippines in January 2013 poses four separate tests, none of them easy.
The biggest test is that posed by the ruling for China. It is also the most difficult. Now, if China simply continues its present actions around features in the Philippine exclusive economic zone in the South China Sea and continues to insist on the validity of the 9-dash line, it will be unambiguously undertaking unlawful activities. This will deepen the already profound distrust and fear of China in the region and contribute to China's self-isolation in maritime East Asia. As President Xi notes, big powers are different to smaller ones. Ignoring international law should not be one of these differences.
As Taiwan is the other nine-dash line claimant, the ruling also poses a major challenge for the nation's new DPP government. While Taiwan is excluded from UNCLOS, the DPP has supported aligning Taiwan's claim in the South China Sea with international maritime law. The nine-dash line claim and Taiwan's argument that Itu Aba is an island with rights to a continental shelf and an exclusive economic zone have been judged unlawful. The DPP government can distance itself from Beijing and the KMT opposition and strengthen relations with maritime Southeast Asia, the US, Japan, the EU, etc by acknowledging the ruling. Or it can remain tied to Beijing and the KMT on this issue.
The ruling limits the latitude for the newly installed Duterte administration to distance itself from its predecessor by seeking better relations with Beijing. The ruling that no land feature in the Spratlys or Scarborough Shoal has rights to an exclusive economic zone or continental shelf likely precludes any further discussions of Philippine-China joint development in what the Tribunal has ruled is the Philippine exclusive economic zone. Duterte will also be under greater domestic and international pressure to publicly oppose present Chinese actions that limit Philippine maritime rights in their exclusive economic zone. Nuanced diplomacy, a rare skill the new Duterte team has yet to display, will be needed for the Philippines to leverage this ruling into better relations with China and support at home.
The Tribunal ruling that a number of land features in the Spratlys are low-water elevations with no territorial sea rights will likely increase pressure both within and outside of the US for new US navy freedom of navigation operations within 12 nautical miles of these features. If the US does not quickly conduct such an operation then it may appear that the Obama administration is making a China exception to the US' global exercise of freedom of navigation rights as defined by the US.
Yesterday's ruling ushers in a new, testing time in the South China Sea; it is much more a beginning than a conclusion.
Photo: US Department of Defense
Contrasting Philippines President Benigno Aquino with President-elect Rodrigo Duterte is much easier than finding similarities. Undoubtedly, the Duterte administration will be very different from Aquino's. Duterte has brought communist party nominees into his cabinet but not the Vice President-elect, Leni Robredo. Aquino moved from the Senate to the presidential palace carrying the most powerful surname in Philippine politics. Duterte will, reluctantly, move to Manila from far-flung Davao City where he is mayor. Reflecting these differences, Philippine security policy under Duterte is also likely be very different to the present settings.
Yet, in one important aspect, their security policies could be similar in effect.
The biggest change in security policy introduced by the Aquino administration came in 2013 when it chose to take China to court over maritime rights disputes in the South China Sea, an action led by Foreign Secretary Albert del Rosario . This quickly became Aquino's most famous policy internationally. It gained widespread public support, and was endorsed by the US and key security partners such as Japan.
It also seriously damaged the president's personal relationship with China leading him to be castigated by Beijing and excluded from China-organised cooperative events with Southeast Asia. Many critics in the Philippines and beyond thought Aquino and del Rosario had pushed China too hard and that the rash Philippines would pay too high a cost.
What could be the biggest change to Philippine security policy under Duterte is already unfolding even before he is inaugurated. Duterte has restarted the peace process, which was largely moribund under Aquino, for the decades-old, nation-spanning communist insurgency. His peace envoys have had their first meeting in Oslo with the self-exiled founder of the Communist Party of the Philippines (and Duterte's former teacher) Joma Sison, and the chief negotiator for the communists, Luis Jalandoni. The Duterte team is considering releasing political prisoners, a return for Sison, and a very quick negotiation of a peace deal. Negotiating to end the insurgency and the disruption and death it causes across the archipelago will likely gain public and international support.
However, Duterte's unprecedented offers to the communist insurgents at a time when the insurgency is not a threat to the state has triggered concerns from senators including the elder of the Senate, Juan Ponce Enrile. Former coup plotters turned elected politicians publicly spoke during the election campaign about a potential coup if Duterte goes too far and concedes too much. The Armed Forces of the Philippines has backed Duterte's plans for restarting the peace process but many may find the release of political prisoners and other olive branches to the militant left bitter pills to swallow.
Aquino's most significant change to Philippine security policy severely strained relations with China, the country's largest trading partner, at a minor cost to Aquino and the Philippines. Duterte's likely biggest change to security policy, if not handled well, could put serious strain on his relationship with elements of the army. Sison himself has warned Duterte of this risk.This should be more worrying for the Philippines than China's opprobrium and cancelled invitations.
Duterte's likely biggest change to Philippine security policy is larger than Aquino's move. It offers greater rewards, and greater risks as well. The Lowy Institute has today released Dr Malcolm Cook's Analysis, 'Turning Back? Philippine Security Policy under Duterte'.
Photo by Lito Boras/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images
At first glance it looks like much has changed in Philippine politics. In Rodrigo Duterte the Philippines will have, for the first time, a president from the island of Mindanao, and one who came to power without either the backing of a major party or pre-existing network of local political bosses behind him. Moreover, it is still possible that the son of Ferdinand Marcos Sr, Ferdinand 'Bongbong' Marcos Jr, will be only a heartbeat away from the presidency. The dictator's unrepentant son is in a very close race for the vice-presidency with Leni Robredo, the VP choice of President Benigno Aquino. A national elected position may for the first time ever be decided by overseas votes. And in another first, a trans-gender candidate has been elected to a national political position.
Yet, at second and third glance, four powerful trends in post-Marcos Philippines appear to be holding true.
The Duterte family's two decades-plus control of Davao City will continue with Inday Sara Duterte (Rodrigo Duterte's daughter) winning over 99.5% of votes cast for mayor. While vice president Jejomar Binay faded badly as a presidential candidate, his family's lock on power in Makati City is unbroken after Abigail Binay replaced her deposed brother as mayor in a close-run affair. Imee Marcos won the governorship of Ilocos Norte by acclamation as did Pia Cayetano, sister of Duterte's running mate Senator Alan Peter Cayetano, in their bailiwick of Taguig City in Metro Manila. Duterte and Binay are first-generation scions of new urban-based political dynasties. The 'anarchy of families' continues.
In the past four elections, the serving president's choice has lost, usually by large margins. In 1998, Vice president Joseph Estrada smashed Jose de Venecia. In 2004, Fernando Poe Jr (Estrada's best friend), is widely believed to have won the vote but lost the vote count. In 2010, Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo was widely seen to be backing Estrada (whom she had pardoned as president), yet Benigno Aquino romped home. Yesterday, Duterte easily beat Manuel Roxas. Lame ducks indeed.
When Imelda Marcos ran for president in 1992, she came a distant fifth with about 10% of the vote. When her son ran for the Senate in 2010, he finished a creditable 7th (the 12 highest vote winners become Senators) with roughly 35% of the electorate including him among their 12 choices for the Senate. As of 9:00am this morning, Bongbong Marcos had amassed 34.6% of the vote for vice president, only 0.4% behind Robredo's total. Marcos has easily won Metro Manila and his family's bailiwicks of northern Luzon and Leyte.
This holds true in every region outside of Metro Manila, the common shorthand for Metropolitan Manila, the country's national capital region and the predominant destination for internal migration. Duterte triumphed by winning Mindanao, Cebu where his family originates from, and Metro Manila. If Marcos wins the vice presidency, the pattern will be very similar. Philippine politics are not changeless but they have not changed as much as some fear or hope with these election results.
Photo by Dondi Tawatao/Getty Images
Two recent extraordinary political statements by the Abe Administration reflect how deep, even neuralgic, Japan's sense of rivalry with China is. Each suggests that this rivalry may be undercutting Japanese diplomacy in general and its aid program in particular.
President Robert Mugabe of Zimbabwe is in the midst of a four-day state visit to Japan where it is reported he will be given the protocol honour of a court luncheon hosted by the Emperor and Empress. Not only that, Japan will extend a ¥600 million grant to the Mugabe regime for infrastructure development.
From 2001-2015, Zimbabwe received no new Japanese aid. What has changed? Not the quality of Mugabe's leadership (for length and venality of rule, Mugabe stands at or the near the top of the global pile), or Zimbabwe's management of foreign aid. Rather, China's commercial and diplomatic push into Africa and Japan's desire to gain more global support for its UN Security Council membership push, which China steadfastly opposes, appear to be the main drivers behind the Abe Administration's embrace of Mugabe. It is likely that while Mugabe will benefit from Tokyo's warm embrace, Japan's long frustrated UN Security Council reform plans, the Japanese taxpayer, and the people of Zimbabwe (the supposed beneficiaries of Japan's aid) will not.
In September 2015, Yoshihide Suga, Japan's Chief Cabinet Secretary and Prime Minister Abe's right-hand man, was highly critical of the Jokowi Administration's decision to award the Jakarta-Bandung high speed rail project to China and not Japan. Jakarta insisted that the project bidder waive the condition of an Indonesian government loan guarantee. As noted by Suga, this requirement, which the Chinese side met, goes against Japan's decades-long approach to aid and to the fiduciary principle of having host government investment in projects supported by Japanese overseas aid.
Not only did the fierce Japan-China competition over Asian infrastructure projects lead one of the most powerful Japanese political leaders to publicly criticise Indonesia and the Jokowi Administration (an extraordinary political statement), it has weakened Japan's decades-old policy of requiring host government loan guarantees for its aid projects. In May 2015, Japan announced a US$110 billion Partnership for Quality Infrastructure initiative, seen by many as a response to China's recent Asian infrastructure initiatives. The third pillar of this Partnership seeks to 'double the supply of funding for projects with relatively high-risk profiles'. The main mechanism to achieve this fiduciarily questionable goal is to:
...empower JBIC (the Japan Bank of International Cooperation) to actively provide funding for PPP infrastructure projects etc. with relatively high risk profiles (e.g. a project without a guarantee from a government of developing country to support the payment obligations of the off-taker under the purchase agreement).
...empower JBIC (the Japan Bank of International Cooperation) to actively provide funding for PPP infrastructure projects etc. with relatively high risk profiles (e.g. a project without a guarantee from a government of developing country to support the payment obligations of the off-taker under the purchase agreement).
The Japan-China rivalry is deeper and broader than the US-China one, and it is driving deep Japanese policy changes across a wide spectrum. These two extraordinary Japanese political statements reflect this change, and the risk that the Abe Administration's approach to its rivalry with China is warping long-standing bipartisan policy settings in ways that do not clearly benefit the Japanese people or those whom its aid program seeks to help.
Pyongyang's latest nuclear test led to the same responses as the earlier ones: calls for the resumption of the Six-Party Talks and an overwhelming focus on how the present US approach is flawed and needs to change. It feels like we're in a time warp. You could write the same story about each North Korean nuclear test, updating the name of the North Korean leader, the US president and the US policy (this time known as 'strategic patience') that is the subject of criticism.
Statue of North Korean founder Kim Il Sung, Pyongyang. (Flickr/Matt Paish.)
Not only is this time warp mind-numbingly repetitive, it is also based on two flawed assumptions. Correcting these assumptions and tweaking the 'strategic patience' approach in three ways may help get us out of this flawed and increasingly dangerous time warp.
First, using the latest North Korean nuclear test as a reason to restart the Six-Party Talks is wrong in principle and in practice. As noted by Japan, this nuclear test is the latest is a long line of North Korean actions that run counter to its Six-Party commitments. North Korea's actions show that nothing which is agreed in the Six-Party Talks affects North Korea's decades-long nuclearisation strategy. Restarting the talks, which permits North Korea another media-friendly gap in attempts to isolate it for its destabilising behaviour, sends the wrong message (do wrong and get rewarded in the hopes that you will not do wrong again) and will likely encourage further transgressions.
Second, China's policy towards North Korea should be the focus of criticism, not that of the US. China's rhetoric on North Korean nuclearisation has certainly become less contradictory to that of the US, Japan and South Korea. Yet China willingly provides the largest gaps in attempts to isolate North Korea for its nuclear destabilisation. Isolation is still the best tool available to try to change North Korea's nuclear calculations and has the significant added benefit of imposing costs on North Korea for its destabilising behaviour and for welching on its commitments. It also sends the right message to Pyongyang: do wrong, suffer the consequences.
Three tweaks to the US 'strategic patience' approach, supported by Japan and South Korea, would help correct these persistent assumptions and make the approach more consistent:
These changes will not lead Pyongyang to give up its nuclear weapons. But they would be more consistent in principle and practice and would raise the costs for North Korea of its transgressions and destabilisation, and increase the incentives for China to live up to its newly critical rhetoric towards its only formal ally. We should replace strategic patience (an inherently passive approach) with strategic determination.
The most important outcome of Prime Minister Turnbull's flash visit to Japan today probably won't be in what deals are signed or not (unless Turnbull is delivering bad news on the submarine tender). Rather, the most important outcome will be the hardest to judge from the outside: will Turnbull and Abe establish trust and a close working relationship?
Prime Minister Howard struck up a close relationship with prime ministers Koizumi and Abe (in Abe's first term in 2007), and the Australia-Japan relationship was elevated to a new, much higher level. Kevin Rudd was able to form such a relationship with South Korean President Lee Myung-bak and the bilateral relationship blossomed. Prime Minster Abbott developed close relationships with both Abe and Singaporean leader Lee Hsien Loong, and again both bilateral relationships were quickly elevated to new heights.
Good chemistry between leaders is key to both elevating bilateral relations and protecting them from tough divisive issues such as Japan's unwelcome return to whaling, something that will undoubtedly anger many in Australia and elsewhere. With both Abe and Turnbull in strong political positions facing weak opposition leaders, they could be at the peak of the Australia-Japan relationship for the coming years. It would be good for both countries if Turnbull is able to strike up as a good a relationship with Abe as his two Liberal prime ministerial predecessors did.
Tomorrow's meeting between President Ma of Taiwan (pictured) and President Xi of China in Singapore truly will be historic, and good history at that.
It is also a rare case in which the dual roles of national leaders as both statesmen and leading figures in their political parties (Ma Ying-jeou is no longer Chairman of the KMT but he is a senior figure) do not conflict but converge. So often in foreign policy, we hear that a particular leader could not take action due to 'domestic politics' (eg. the fear of losing popular support and/or alienating key constituencies in their party). But in this case both leaders have something to gain domestically by appearing statesmanlike, and this first meeting of the leaders of Taiwan and China is only possible because this rare alignment is in place for both Ma and Xi.
For Ma, Taiwan's least popular elected president, now at the end of his final term, the meeting will be a major legacy moment. It will put Taiwan back in the international spotlight in a favourable way (a very hard thing for Taiwan to achieve), and it will be presented as the ultimate sign of success of Ma's signature policy over two four-year terms of warming up cross-Strait economic relations and reducing cross-Strait political tensions.
Domestically, Ma and the KMT's calculation may be that this meeting in Singapore will change the campaign dynamics of the January presidential and legislative elections in Taiwan.
Presently, it looks likely that the opposition party that favours greater Taiwanese autonomy from China, the DPP, will win the presidential election and for the first time ever also become the largest party in the Legislative Yuan. If that occurs, the KMT would be completely out of power at the national level for the first time in Taiwan's history. This meeting will focus the media spotlight back on cross-Strait relations, an area where the KMT has long thought (possibly mistakenly, as shown by the Sunflower Movement) it has a distinct advantage over the DPP.
For Xi, the meeting will likely be presented as the first concrete success of China's policy of pursuing closer economic integration with Taiwan as a means of starting cross-Strait political negotiations. Xi and the Chinese Communist Party also likely share the KMT's hope that the meeting shifts Taiwan's electoral balance away from a double DPP win. Domestically, it also could enhance Xi's image as a strong leader willing and able to tackle problems and do things his predecessors shied away from.
Given Ma's two-month shelf life as Taiwan's leader, this rare alignment will likely be fleeting. If it backfires on the KMT electorally (or simply doesn't shift the present electoral trajectory), then the effects of the meeting will not last the year. There is no foreseeable way from either side of the Taiwan Strait for President Xi to follow up with a meeting with Tsai Ing-wen, the DPP's leader and presidential candidate. As is usual, domestic political realities may again trump the hoped-for outcomes of statesmanship.
Photo courtesy of Flickr user Jameson Wu.
Among the five bilateral relationships successive Australian Governments have agreed upon as being the most important (US, China, Japan, Indonesia and India), the sudden, though not unexpected, change in Liberal Party leadership will cause the most angst in Japan.
When Kevin Rudd replaced John Howard in 2007, many in Japan were concerned. This anxiety was further inflamed with Rudd's first maladroit steps in regional diplomacy. Luckily, while more slowly and awkwardly, the bilateral relationship and security partnership continued to strengthen as shown by the signing of the Cross-Servicing Agreement in 2013.
Common security interests, more adroit diplomacy on the Australian side and a strong and expanding network of operational cooperation quickly assuaged Japanese angst. Test passed.
The change of leadership from Tony Abbott to Malcolm Turnbull will pose another test of the degree to which common strategic interests and ongoing intergovernmental cooperation shape policy, versus local domestic interests and individual leaders. As with Rudd, there are concerns (again flowing from the domestic debate in Australia) that Turnbull is 'pro-China' and hence not a 'friend' of Japan.
In two ways though, this second test will be harder:
It is unlikely that Turnbull will be able to develop such a close and in some ways defining relationship with Abe before the next Australian election. Likewise, it's unlikely that Turnbull will retain Kevin Andrews as Defence Minister, so the delayed 2015 Defence White Paper will probably be delayed again, as will any decision on submarines.
It's doubtful that Turnbull will choose to pay as high a price for being seen to support buying submarines off the shelf (the cheapest and easiest option, but one that limits the number of jobs and ribbon cuts in the Australian defence industry and the option seen most favourable to the Japanese) as Abbott was.
After the first failed attempt to unseat Abbott in February, the process for choosing submarines was hurriedly revised at a rushed news conference in Adelaide where the Defence Minister was surrounded by the Liberal members of parliament from South Australia, the self-named 'Defence State.' The new 'competitive bidding process' was widely seen as less favourable to the Japanese. In a rare show of bi-partisanship, the Labor and Liberal Party leaders of South Australia have already publicly noted they have contacted Turnbull and pushed for a submarine choice that maximises the amount of work done in South Australia. With senior Japanese defence figures questioning Adelaide's ability to build Soryu submarines, any commitment by the Turnbull Government to a 'build in Australia (Adelaide)' approach to submarines will cast further doubt on the Japanese option.
To pass this second tougher test and assuage Japanese angst, Turnbull would be well-served to stay firm on the proper policy that Australia will choose the option that provides the best submarine at the best price to Australia, especially given the huge expenditure of taxpayers' money the project will entail. It would also be a good idea to find ways of promoting other less complex and sensitive aspects of the bilateral security partnership and relationship as a whole, such as Japanese training exercises in Australia.
Photo courtesy of Flickr user G20 Australia 2014.
There were huge protests over the weekend in Japan against legislation, approved in principle by the Abe cabinet in July, which will reinterpret the Japanese Constitution to permit the very limited exercise of collective self-defence. This fierce public opposition to the normalisation of Japan's Self Defence Forces highlights two connected problems for Prime Minister Abe.
The size and cross-sectional nature of the protests highlight a serious policy communication problem for the Japanese Government in general, and a particular problem for the Abe administration. There is a strong bipartisan consensus, supported by Japanese public opinion, that Japan faces a very serious and growing security threat from China and North Korea. As shown by the 2010 National Defense Program Guidelines released under the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) administration, there also is strong bipartisan support for Japanese foreign and security policy to become much more focused on these neighbourhood threats, for a stronger US-Japan alliance and for Japan to play a more active alliance and regional security role.
But there is partisan disagreement on how to do this, with the leader of the DPJ joining the leader of the Japanese Communist Party at the protest rallies. The partisan disagreement is fuelled by the public's unwillingness to support a more active Japanese security role in general, and particularly changes like collective self-defense seen to undercut the totemic war-renouncing Article 9 in the Japanese Constitution.
Unfortunately, Abe, with his conservative, revisionist views and tense relations with much of the media, is not the leader to help bridge the gap between what policy and legal changes the Government thinks are necessary for Japanese security, and what many parts of Japanese society are willing to support. Rather, Abe is likely to widen or harden this gap that so frustrates Japanese security policymakers and those who want Japan to play a more active security role.
As the demonstrations show, Japan's battered opposition parties see an opportunity to wedge Abe on this issue. The media and governments in Seoul and Beijing likewise.
The protests, while large and loud, are not a significant political threat to Prime Minister Abe or his administration. Abe's position in the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) is rock-solid and it looks very likely that he will be re-elected unopposed as party leader this month. Second, the LDP faces no serious opposition party threat, and the popularity of Abe's cabinet has actually increased despite these mounting, headline-grabbing demonstrations, a slowing economy and an embarrassing flip-flop on the centrepiece stadium for the upcoming 2020 Olympics.
We should expect more demonstrations and denunciations inside and outside Japan, but the process of revising Japanese legislation to operationalise the limited right of collective self-defense seems as secure as Prime Minister Abe himself.
Photo courtesy of Flickr user Christian c.
Over the last two months, there has been noticeable progress on three separate fronts in Japan's 30-year process of 'renormalising' its' approach to external defence:
However, Japan is still far from a normal external security actor and alarmist talk of Japanese remilitarisation tells you more about the ideological predispositions of the accuser than of present reality. Yet, it's clear that Japan is again becoming a more proactive and independent security actor in East Asia in both words and action. It is also increasingly focused on the threat from China and is finding growing support from regional countries with similar concerns.
The US-China major power relationship is not the only one that is reshaping the regional security order.
Photo courtesy of Flickr user U.S. Pacific Fleet.
Michael Thawley's comments on China's present global leadership credentials and ambitions are correct and phrased in the refreshingly direct manner Australians usually take as a badge of national pride and uniqueness.
The fact that his comments caused such a stir in Australia (and seemingly in Australia alone) tells us more about the commentators than the comments themselves.
The Chinese state has so far eschewed attempts at global leadership. Rather, Chinese policy-makers are focusing their institution-building efforts at the regional level, as part of what Beijing refers to rather undiplomatically as 'peripheral diplomacy', and among fellow developing-economy states.
The Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) and the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), for instance, are both regional institutions. The SCO only has Asian member-states and observer-states, while the AIIB has regional and non-regional members, though membership is in strong favour of the regionals and China itself. The New Development Bank (known widely as the BRICS Bank) is in line with China's decades-old view of itself as a leading state in the developing world.
In existing global multilateral bodies, from the UN Security Council to the WTO, China has been comparatively low-key and primarily focused on defending specific national interests.
China was a late-comer to the WTO and its restrictive trade practices and policies have made it not a leader in that institution but the most frequent subject of cases heard by the WTOs dispute-settlement mechanism. In the G20, a new global body created to better acknowledge rising powers like China and India, Beijing has also failed to take a leading role. In the UN Security Council (another body that has long recognised China's leadership potential), Beijing rarely leads or uses its veto power (unless it is in company with others, usually Russia). On climate change, China was painted as the major villain of the failed 2009 UN summit in Copenhagen.
Recent Pew Research Center polling shows that Australians seem to be a global outlier when it comes to judging China's global economic weight. 57% of Australians mistakenly see China as the world's leading economic power, the highest score among the 40 countries polled. In no other country did a majority of respondents identify China as the world's leading economic power.
The comparatively disproportionate amount of money being invested in Australia into understanding China risks reducing the Australian discussion of Asia as a whole. Given the tempest in the teapot caused by Michael Thawley's remarks, this risk may spill over from Asia, where China is starting to flex its leadership muscles, to the world as a whole, where it is not.
Sidu River Bridge in Hubei Province, China, the world's highest bridge. (Wikimedia Commons.)
China's Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) initiative was has spurred an explosion of opinion and analysis. The Asian Development Bank's (ADB) 2009 estimate that Asia will need US$8.22 trillion in infrastructure investment is the headline figure used to explain the importance of the new bank. Much of the opinion expressed so far has also assumed that the AIIB will be, as the main Chinese media agency Xinhua puts it, a Chinese gift to the world, with China as the main creditor.
But looking more closely at the ADB's figures and at China's present interactions with the World Bank and ADB, a more interesting possibility emerges that has so far escaped attention or analysis.
China, befitting its huge size and developing-economy status, could be a major AIIB borrower. China's own infrastructure needs alone account for over half of the total for Asia, according to the 2009 ADB estimate. In 2014, China was second-largest recipient of ADB loans after India. This was also the case in 2013. Likewise, China has the second-largest present borrowing obligations with the World Bank (at US$17.2 billion) after India (at US$36.4 billion).
Will the lending portfolio of the AIIB follow suit? Asia's present infrastructure needs and China's use of the existing development banks suggest it should.
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- King James Bible: Leviticus, Chapter 11
- Chapter 11 11:1 And the LORD spake unto Moses and to Aaron, saying unto them, 11:2 Speak unto the children of Israel, saying, These are the beasts which ye shall eat among all the beasts that are on the earth. 11:3 Whatsoever parteth the hoof, and is...
Old Testament >> Leviticus
- King James Bible: Deuteronomy, Chapter 14
- Chapter 14 14:1 Ye are the children of the LORD your God: ye shall not cut yourselves, nor make any baldness between your eyes for the dead. 14:2 For thou art an holy people unto the LORD thy God, and the LORD hath chosen thee to be a peculiar people unto...
Old Testament >> Deuteronomy
Osprey is described in multiple online sources, as addition to our editors' articles, see section below for printable documents, Osprey books and related discussion.
Suggested News Resources
- Pentagon Clears Marine Pilots of Blame for 2000 Osprey Crash
- The US Marine Corps was wrong to say the pilots' actions were the main cause of a crash that killed the two men and 17 others when their V-22 Osprey flipped and hit the ground during training in Arizona nearly 16 years ago, a defense official says.
- £15000 plea to keep cameras rolling at rare osprey reserve
- The Dyfi Osprey Project at the Cors Dyfi Reserve near Machynlleth attracts thousands of viewers to webcam footage of its nest each year.
- Camera will broadcast Severna Park ospreys live from custom home
- Workers from BG&E worked on Wednesday to install a camera that will overlook an osprey nest. The osprey lost their home on a football field light last year during construction at Severna Park High School.
- Connecticut residents joining 'Osprey Nation' effort to keep track of bird
- The Connecticut Audubon Society launched the Osprey Nation citizen science program in 2014, and the 2015 Osprey Nation Report shows an increase in the number of volunteer stewards who are joining the movement to track the formerly endangered ...
- Mid-March means the osprey's return on the North Fork
- With a wingspan of more than five feet, an osprey will soar high above the water, using its keen eyesight to locate prey that is swimming close to the water's surface. Once prey is located, it hovers above, waiting for an opportune time to strike.
Great care has been taken to prepare the information on this page. Elements of the content come from factual and lexical knowledge databases, realmagick.com library and third-party sources. We appreciate your suggestions and comments on further improvements of the site.
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In the last 90 days, 0 listings have been made available, which means listings most likley are going fast. You'll want to be prepared to make an offer immediately. About NaN% of the listings in the University Park are subleases, so you will probably have to focus your search on direct office leases. There aren't many listings below 2,000 square feet posted, so finding a space for a small business might be tough.
The standard measurement for office space in this area is around sqft. Most buildings in this area were built in 0.
Trends and status of the commercial real estate market in University Park.
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Real time and historical data on commercial real estate listings in University Park.


text:
The Cozens-Hardy Big Cycle Ride
The Cozens-Hardy Big Cycle Ride will take place at Blickling Estate on Sunday 17th July 2016. This friendly event, run by Push Sport on behalf of Cozens-Hardy solicitors, is perfectly located to give access to some of the county's best cycling lanes and byways and has a host of other activities on hand if riders and their families wish to mix cycling with a bit of history and culture. This is a very flexible and well supported event, offering team and individual entries, with a variety of route lengths to choose from on the day. The entry fee is £20 per individual entry, of which £3.50 goes straight to Big C.
No pressure, ride, eat & enjoy all at your own pace
The Format
The event is based around 3 separate loops of 25 miles. How many you do is entirely up to you, no need to register for a specific distance – just sign up and decide on the day. Each loop heads out in a different direction so you have the chance to explore three quite different areas of Norfolk whilst never being more than 13 miles from the event HQ.
Between loops you can relax a while at event HQ, top up your water bottles with free energy drink and snacks and grab a change of clothing if the weather has changed.
3 loops – you choose how many you ride
NEW for 2016! Big C anniversary loop
New for 2016 to celebrate 35 years of Big C we have added a 3.5km off road loop. This is perfect for any ability offering a traffic free route with stunning views of Blickling Estate. So if your loved one is riding 25 / 50 or 75 miles on the road and you don't want to be left out or you have some eager children then this the perfect way to be involved in the day. No entry charge will be made to ride the loop but we will be taking donations which will go directly to Big C.
On site mechanical support for any last minute issues
With your support we hope to raise even more in 2016
Event Details
We would like to welcome you and your colleagues to the third Cozens–Hardy Big Cycle ride taking place at Blickling Estate on Sunday 17th July 2016
The ride is non competitive and inclusive to all abilities and offers the option of 25 / 50 or 75 miles through the idyllic Norfolk countryside.
Event Date:
17th July 2016
Event Headquarters:
Blicking Estate
Blickling, Aylsham, NR11 6NF
Event Type:
Road Sportive
Suitability of Rider:
Novice to Experienced
Start Time:
From 8am – 2pm
(flexible start time depending on how many loops you plan to ride)
£20 per individual entry, of which £3.50 goes straight to Big C
Event Includes
- Event centre facilities and parking
- Mechanical Support
- Full Route Marking
- Free energy drink + energy snacks
- Emergency support
- On site catering
- Event Photography
- Pick-Up Wagons
Bring the Family
We are lucky enough to have the amazing backdrop of The Blickling Estate as our headquarters for the day. The Hall, garden and grounds will be open to the public as usual at a reduced rate of £10.90 (adult) & £5.98 (child), enabling non-participatory friends and family to enjoy the day as well. We are also offering all under 16 year olds FREE entry to the ride (must be accompanied by an adult). Click here to claim your free place.


text: DRUG SICK HERO is the project recorded after the show...This is the party that you were not invited to the one you never knew existed, Chemically enhanced insanity and mayhem are the driving forces behind this project. The characters are a constant revolving door of the only ones still not passed out at 3 am. The neighbors hate us as well as the cops. I shell out more in noise violation fines than most people make. thats the price of art. Everything is played and recorded one time through no rehearsal captured in one take mistakes and all. When the party is over and only the strong are standing hopefully someone is sober enough to press record. Never go back and try to fix anything its not important. DRUG SICK HERO is here straight out to slip you the raw dog. If you cant catch the feeling of what we are dealing you are the one passed out on the floor drooling on the carpet. We use anything that makes noise that you can put a mic to. If it makes you want to scratch your brain with a coat hanger we attained our goal. If it blurs your concept of reality than welcome to our world. Feel free to judge it how you will but just think how hard your working on your shit hours of practice endless amounts of gear and time you put in to trying to be Fucking Famous the industry is dead and the bottom line is all your talent will be sub divided to the talentless scums in suits that will take your dollars and hand you change.


text:
Ski vacations Disentis – the idyllic free-rider Mecca!
VorderrheinThe Surselva Valley, as this landscape of the upper Vorderrhein is named in Rhaeto-Romanic, is located between the source of the river Rhine at the Thomasee and the Flimser Forest. It comprises various valleys, e.g. the Valsertal and Lumnezia. Approx. 1,800 hours of sun per annum and very good snow conditions are the best qualifications for a fantastic skiing holiday. This region is especially popular with free riders. The signed ski routes aside the prepared pistes are ideal for experts. But also beginners and families can run wild here, as the prepared pistes mainly consist of easy and intermediate runs.
Disentis is located in the Surselva Valley in the canton of Graubünden, where the Medelser Rhine and the Vorderrhein flow into each other. The cosy, growing resort is situated at 1,150 m altitude, quite a bit away from the pulsating resorts and is known to be the centre of the Rhaetro-Romanic language. The ski area reaches up to nearly 3,000 m and is an insider's tip for free riders and boarders. 60 km of vast, prepared pistes as well as countless deep powder snow descents are a guarantee for lots of diversity. A cultural highlight is a visit to the widely visible monastery, the oldest Benedictine abbey in Switzerland. Also one of the oldest sheep wool processing factories of Switzerland is worth a visit. In the Bündener Highlands you will find many culinary specialties,as for instance Capuns alla tatta, Bizzochels or Maluns, which you must give a try! Extraordinary activities like heliskiing, snowtubing or building Igloos round off a vast offer of leisure time activities.
Accommodations in Disentis
Map enlarge
2 accommodations: Ski vacations Disentis
- sort by:
- star category
- Recommendation rate
- price
The friendly Hotel Baur is located approx. 1 km from the centre and approx. 200 m from the mountain station. If the snow conditions allow it, ski-in to the hotel grounds is possible. Access to a cross-country trail is to be found within approx. 1.2 km. The hotel's facilities include a reception, hotel lobby, lift, Wi-Fi (incl.), lounge area, …
Accommodation details
Lift pass valued up to $310 included! All included services
The family run 3-star hotel Cucagna is situated in the resort centre of Disentis. The hotel-own shuttle comfortably takes you from the hotel to the Disentis lifts (approx. 500 m), to the sports centre (approx. 1 km, on request) or from/to the station on the day of arrival/departure (upon prior reservation at the hotel). Access to the …
Accommodation details
Lift pass valued up to $310 included! All included services
Customer review
10 Number of reviews:
100 % Recommendation rate:
Information about the ski area
Disentis 3000
|Highest point:
|2,833 m
|Lowest point:
|1,227 m
|Altitude ski resort:
|1,150 m
|Lifts in total:
|Tow lifts:
|Chair lifts:
|Gondola lift:
|Pistes in total:
|60 km
|20 km
|30 km
|10 km


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Registration deadline for Spring Recruitment 2017 is now closed. Those candidates that have requested their login details may finish their application here and submit it by the application deadline.
|Application opens
|01 August 2016
|Registration Deadline
|17 October 2016, 23:59 CEST (GMT+2), via the online application form
|Application Deadline
|24 October 2016, 23:59 CEST (GMT+2)
|Reference Deadline
|26 October 2016, 23:59 CEST (GMT+2)
|Interview dates
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SAN ANTONIO -- It appears Notre Dame will have every chance in the world to lock up Stephon Tuitt's signature.
Tuitt, Notre Dame forming bond
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Don't forget to take a look at our news articles, including reviews, awards and auditions coming up!
Tickets£10 | £12The Lindley Players present...CompanyTuesday 25th to Saturday 29th October, 7.45pm
On the night of his 35th birthday, bachelor Robert struggles to think of a wish as he blows out his birthday candles. Over the course of a series of dinners, drinks, and even a wedding, his diverse and frequently hilarious friends -- "those good and crazy people [his] married friends" -- explain the pro's and con's of taking on a spouse. Robert is forced to question his single status during an hilarious array of interactions.Stephen Sondheim's ground breaking modern musical is a mature, intelligent and wildly funny look at relationships and vulnerability. Nominated for a record fourteen 'Tony' Awards and winning seven of them, 'Company' features a brilliantly brisk and energetic score containing many of Sondheim's best known songs, including 'Being Alive', 'Barcelona', 'Ladies Who Lunch', 'Side by Side' and 'Drive a Person Crazy'.Tickets£10 Tuesday - Thursday performances
£12 Friday - Saturday performances.
Tickets£10Strike Productions present...
As You Like It
Forced into exile, a wilful and roguish Rosalind flees her Uncle's court to the Forest of Arden with her cousin Celia and faithful fool Touchstone. Little does she know her new-found love Orlando has fled to the Forest of Arden to escape his brother's malevolence. However, after such brief encounter and under the guise of a man, how can Rosalind ever profess her love to Orlando?Strike Productions proudly presents Shakespeare's glorious comedy all about love, mistaken identity and cross-dressing, full of satire, wit and romance!
Tickets£10Dance WhitstableSunday 6th November, 3pm
Dance Whitstable are back for their annual choreographic event where both pupils from the junior school and Dance College Whitstable students perform their own choreography infront of an adjudicator who will judge each solo, duet or group and award winners at the end of the afternoon.
A selection of tap, modern, ballet contemporary and musical theatre to entertain our audience.
Tickets£5The Lindley Players Youth Group present...
The Exam & the Wardrobe
Two plays in one evening presented by our award winning youth group.The Exam by Andy Hamilton (creator of BBC's Outnumbered) - a coming of age comedy centred around three students taking an exam.Thw Wardrobe by Sam Holcroft - an episodic journey of one wardrobe and the children who play in it throughout the ages.Both plays were written for the National Theatre Connections Festival.
Tickets£8 | £9 | £10The Lindley Players present...
The Eternal Courtship
Wednesday 7th - Saturday 10th December, 7.45pm
An epic romantic comedy.
When Ephraim, an evildoer cursed with immortality, bets he can win the love of a barmaid in 1399 it launches a romantic pursuit spanning the centuries from the Middle Ages to Modern Times. Under the watchful eye of a mysterious Host the couple meets every seventy-five years as Ephraim schemes to capture the heart of his quarry who reincarnates as a dizzying array of different women through the years. But in order to win love the villain must eventually learn to become a human being.
"A fascinating concept...a funny, touching and clever script. " - Kitchener Record
Tickets£10Rated 12AMovies at the Playhouse presents...NT Live: No Man's LandThursday 15th December 7pm
Following their hit run on Broadway, Ian McKellen and Patrick Stewart return to the West End stage in Harold Pinter's No Man's Land, broadcast live to cinemas from Wyndham's Theatre, London.
One summer's evening, two ageing writers, Hirst and Spooner, meet in a Hampstead pub and continue their drinking into the night at Hirst's stately house nearby. As the pair become increasingly inebriated, and their stories increasingly unbelievable, the lively conversation soon turns into a revealing power game, further complicated by the return home of two sinister younger men.
Also starring Owen Teale and Damien Molony, don't miss this glorious revival of Pinter's comic classic. The broadcast will be followed by an exclusive Q&A with the cast and director Sean Mathias.


text:
Skip to comments.Perry hits back: Obamas policies are dumb
Posted on 08/31/2011 9:28:05 AM PDT by Nachum
On Sean Hannitys radio show Tuesday, Texas Gov. Rick Perry defended himself against attacks that he is dumb, claiming what is really dumb is how the U.S. economy has worsened under President Obama.
Its kind of the same old attacks they made on [Ronald] Reagan and I guess every prominent, effective conservative, Perry told Hannitys audience. And the better we do down here in Texas, the more they are going to attack us. Thats fine.
I think my record is going to stand the scrutiny of time across the country, Perry added, noting Texas economic strength. His state has created 47 percent of the countrys jobs since the 2009 stimulus.
Perry argued that while Texas has thrived under his leadership, the U.S. has wilted with Obama at its helm.
(Excerpt) Read more at dailycaller.com ...
Even us ignorant folks (according to Obama) know he messed things up royally....in both domestic and foreign affairs.
Obama is the smartest president in American history ... I know this because Chris Matthews and the New York Times told me so.
Obama was so smart ... that he has the worst job performance record of any modern U.S. president. Worse than Jimmy Carter. Hussein is the new standard of being a failed president.
Perry is not my favorite candidate but I would vote for him because he takes on the Pretender every chance he gets. The reason everyone liked Trumps is because he toke on the Imposter In Chief.
Should he be the nominee, that will be the one talking point you will hear over and over again. Perry = economic success. Obama = economic impotence. It may be an oversimplification but the numbers make it very difficult to dispute.
I think Perry can take it even further. "In the past 10 years in Texas," Perry could say, "we experienced hurricanes. We experienced droughts. We experienced mass murders on our military bases. We didn't use them as excuses. We saw them as momentary setbacks and then went on with growing the economy."
"And Texas had one other obstacle that Washington doesn't have - interference by the federal government in our efforts to drill for oil, our efforts to build and upgrade refineries and our efforts to keep our borders safe. As president, I'll make sure we stop interfering and start facilitating."
"...the same old attacks they made on [Ronald] Reagan and I guess every prominent, effective conservative,
Say what you want, Perry has his head screwed on right. AND he doesn't mealy mouth what he wants to say.
I liked that little story Perry told about the lady afraid of losing her small business if 0bama is re-elected. This was a very effective appeal to emotion which is rare for a conservative candidate. If Perry can continue striking this chord, he will create a bond with the American people and provide yet another contrast with 0bama.
0bama is so smart that he has to keep ALL of his school records hidden from the public!
Obama said the next election will be about competing visions and I totally agree with Obama for the first time in my life. So it is incumbent for Perry or whoever is the nominee to share their vision rather than just opposing the "Bozo."
And there is no "muliplier factor" because all of the mythical multipliers are eaten up by the inefficiencies of government spending.
Ladies and gentlemen...that is a winner. I will vote for Perry-if he gets the nomination-based solely on this one issue.
There may be other items that I do not wholeheartedly agree with the governor on, but we are in complete agreement on this matter.
Call it my litmus test.
True President Obamas tactics are dumb...... UNLeSS!!!...
He is doing it all ON PURPOSE... (its called SEDITION).. even Espionage..
The U.S. is just not ready to handle ANOTHER treasonous President..
The last three Presidents were Progressives.. maybe four..
Treasonous globalist Presidents are politically suicidal..
Obama is at least smart enough TO keep all his school records hidden from the public.
I'll give him that.
It's not much, but it's really all he's got if anyone
wants to insist he's "smart",
And in the last ten years, the number of ATMs has tripled.
Kinda like the Gnostics, right?
Obama's genius isn't obvious to the common man who has been ruined by his policies, but he possesses a "secret knowledge" that only the divine progressives are privy to, the secret of how we are "progressing" as a nation by becoming more like a dysfunctional, impoverished Third World dump.
Much kudos to Gov. Perry here. Calling the Wons Policies dumb hits the nail on the head, so to speak. Obama must be fuming at the thought of someone(Perry) daring to call a spade a spade(pun intended?)here.
Good post.
I do not agree with 100% of what Perry has done in the past but I sure do like what he is saying in the present.
There are many Perry bashers on this site. We need to consider which candidate will be our best hope for driving the bamster and his minions from government or he will win another term and that is the end of the USA. So far, none of the other candidates interest me as much as Perry.
I agree he's a moron, but that's the definition of insane.
This is really a stupid tactic by leftwingers. It draws a contrast between their so-called "smart" failure and the dumb success.
It also draws attention to the job they have done vetting their empty suit.
Except for Romney, Huntsman and Paul, I'm pretty pleased with the choice of GOP candidates.
Among those that I WOULD vote for, Perry is my least favorite, but I'd still have no problem voting for him.
Bachmann, Cain and Santorum all have just as much backbone as Perry, but they don't get the press coverage that Perry gets.
Ladies and gentlemen...that is a winner. I will vote for Perry-if he gets the nomination-based solely on this one issue.
We would all like to see Obamacare repealed. But Rick Perry Clueless On Use Of Executive Presidential Powers To Kill Obamacare
Yes, I can read and did notice his parsing words so as to fool the foolish. Perry is blowing smoke. He makes it sound as though he can do away with Obamacare with the swipe of a pen but that just isn't true nor should it be. If it were leftist presidents could issue EOs nullifying laws they don't like, be they related to gun rights or some other issue that they can otherwise never win.
I am of the "Anybody But Obama" camp and like Santorum the best but he has no chance. Any conservative will beat Obama and I am not worried about it happening.
I believe the author of the article you posted is just plain wrong. Plus he is the typical lefty in all his columns, puking out democrap talking points.
In all actuality, Jimmy Carter had the highest IQ of any president- just goes to show you someone with common sense is better that an intelectual
You're free to believe anything you'd like. But If presidents had the authority to nullify laws that they disagreed with this country would live in perpetual chaos. Do you really think Barry has that power but hasn't used it?
This is weak stuff, given what Perry should know about Obama after two disastrous years - and all those prior.
. Am disappointed in the Luke warm rhetoric. Makes me think Perry does not get it either.
. (And neither does Karl Rove...and whomever listens to him. Beyond, Mitt, that is; whom we know, 'tunes him in'.)
OK He is insane & a stupid moron.
he's doing it on immigration now.
Hi, South40,
I see we both go to the Perry threads!
You would be (will be!) good debate prep for Perry for if/when it is Perry who debates Obama.
You find a lot of opposition to Perry from various sources.
This is good because it makes Perry, and the rest of us, look at the election underbelly to correct what is "out there" that the opposition is choosing to use. Correct it early at the right time and right place. Stay on offense.
Perry's people need to be aware of what is out there so he doesn't get blindsided. We need to be sure we don't get blindsided either because we will be challenged by our friends/family/neighbors, etc.
When you find opposition to Perry you keep every one of us on our toes.
I was thinking about this yesterday. Perry was a cheerleader or something like that at A & M.
Bush was also a college cheerleader. A friend of mine, totally in the bag for Obama (and still there) actually sneered about Bush being a cheerleader.
My immediate response to her sneer was: "WTH" and "WTF". It was so out of the realm of challenge I was dunbfounded and didn't respond!
When did being a cheerleader get to be a problem? She used it and all of the arrows she could find - big arrows, little arrows, she used anything she could find to oppose Bush.
If truth is out there and can be useful...make sure it stays there far and wide.
If untruth about Perry is out there, always have answer for it in case it comes up. It will come up, I should say.
Perry is really going to have to hone his skills - he is going to have to be Yoda-like! Or Perry-like. And always stay on offense.
Perry's handlers would do him a favor by following up on Free Republic. Freepers are great fact, and not fact, finders.
Hey, South40, see you on some more Perry posts!
"Perry = economic success. Obama = economic impotence".....
I like that. I also think they could use Perry = Prosperity
Now if we could come up with a good, negative-meaning adjective for the letter "O", that would be super.
-——————Like O = Obtuse)?-———
Yesterday I was trying to design a billboard to chide Obama and I came up with this:
Help CHANGE
Obama's =
Presidency A NEW
End PRESIDENT!
I know ir needs some revision, but you get the point.
To Perry: "Bring it!"
Like Mr. hummingbird says sometimes: "learn to reel it back in".
In all actuality, Jimmy Carter had the highest IQ of any president- just goes to show you someone with common sense is better that an intelectual
Here's a serious (but absurd and undoubtedly leftist) study that puts Carter nowhere near the top.
Actually, no he is not. Barry instructed AG Eric Holder to halt deportation proceedings on a case-by-case basis against illegal aliens who meet certain criteria such as attending school, having family in the military or are primarily responsible for other family members care. That is doublespeak for letting them stay in the country, I know. But he did not sign an EO nullifying any particular law in regards to immigration.
Barry also instructed AG Eric Holder to no longer defend the Defense of Marriage Act. But again that is entirely inconsistent with what Perry has stated he wants to do with Obamacare which was to, sign an executive order wiping out as much of Obamacare as he can.
I disagree with Perry and his supporters on a good many issues. But I would gladly join in and celebrate Perrys comments should they contain even a semblance of truth. But they dont because the POTUS does not have the authority to nullify a law passed by congress with the use of an EO.
Want a bumper sticker?
How about "ProsPERRYty"
or how about "Enough with Hope and Change. I'm voting for ProsPERRYty."
The fact that it's misspelled will hack off the liberals even more.
There is much in Perrys record that I find problematic, especially when it comes to his wanting and getting support of the conservative base. Of course being strong on immigration is key and that is where Perry is lacking. From the Dream Act (which he supports still) to his wish to grant citizenship to ILLEGALs that he says serve their country, Perry has a lot to answer for. His Republican opponents are sure to key in on those issues as will Barry should he get the chance.
I didnt know much about Perry so I researched his past and to be frank, I didn't like a lot of what I found. I have posted about Perry and his past many times and I cannot believe the ferocity and acrimony I have seen coming from his followers when I do. If they get that upset when his record is scrutinized here on FR, how will respond when it is done on a nationally televised debate?
I see nothing wrong with being a cheerleader and think such criticisms are petty. We have much larger issues to contend with like do we want a president who, in my opinion, showed extremely bad judgment by signing the executive order on Gardasil? Do we want a president who showed extremely bad judgment by being the only Republican governor to endorse pro-abortion candidate, Rudy Giuliani? I know my asking these questions raises the ire in many -- but these are legitimate questions that I need to ask of myself if he is to get my support.
I know he has many conservative principles but that doesnt mean we should overlook those that are not so I weigh in on the are not; thats what we should do in a primary.
I agree, Perrys handlers would do him well by monitoring Free Republic. We may be only a small segment of society but I believe we all vote and we all want to rid of the Marxist Kenyan, Obama. Who we nominate remains unknown -- but I hope, be they man or woman, they are the best conservative candidate. Im not ready to settle for another GWB and I sure as heck dont want Romney.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.


text:
Rating: 4.68 stars 69 69 reviews
99 Academy Ave Providence RI 02908 USA
Khadarlis is a non-profit organization dedicated to working with communities, children and families worldwide to alleviate poverty and social inequality. Khadarlis is motivated by the fact that some of our board members have families and ties to the country and the communities we serve. We actively fight the conditions of the poor and disenfranchised as a demonstration of unconditional love for all.
Our work started with Jimmi, Senehun, Kpawama and Bandajuma in the Bargbo Chiefdom in the Bo District of Sierra Leone. We have since expanded our outreach and currently have active projects in Sierra Leone, Guatemala and Rhode Island. Khadarlis' goal is to reinstitute civil infrastructure. Since 2007, our organization has focused on education, water and sanitation, health care, HIV/AIDS prevention and treatment, agriculture, solar electricity and housing in Sierra Leone. Khadarlis is proud to collaborate with Niños Del Lago in Panajachel, Guatemala to provide educational/school resources to the newly built summer camp. Here, children will enjoy a summer camp experience similar to those found in the U.S., which incorporates a positive educational curriculum and respect for the environment. Khadarlis will match all educational materials sent to Sierra Leone to Niños Del Lago. Locally, the Khadarlis Community Outreach Center serves the greater Providence area. We are partnered with state community action agencies to provide free household goods to low-income and homeless Rhode Islanders moving into homes or apartments. Our organization collaborates with Gifts in Kind-International – also known as Good360 – and receives donated items from stores like Bed, Bath & Beyond for distribution through the program. Qualifying applicants can select up to five items to help them transition into their new residence.
Target demographics:
Villages in Sierra Leone, West Africa; low-income children in Guatemala; low-income children and adults in Providence, Rhode Island
Direct beneficiaries per year:
200-400 persons
Geographic areas served:
Sierra Leone; Guatemala; Providence, Rhode Island
Our organization works through strategic partnerships and applies advocacy, catalytic assistance, innovation, participatory and right-based approaches to development work. We work by promoting civic empowerment, self-help and self-sufficiency for economic and sustainable development. Our past projects have included community empowerment through building and sustaining wells, local community centers and schools, as well as supplementing medical supplies to peripheral health units.
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When khadarlis first started in 2007, I was one of the few donors that believed in them. They have proved themselves and hold high esteem in my eyes.
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I've been donating IT services for the past several months to Khadarlis. It is absolutely amazing what these people accomplish on so little. They truly care about their community, and strive to do all they can with the little that they have. I strongly urge anyone to support this worthwhile organization.
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There's Nothing Cute About This Penguin at SeaWorld Wearing a WetsuitPosted on October 27, 2016 | Written by
As if being a prisoner at SeaWorld weren't bad enough, she started losing her feathers.
As if being a prisoner at SeaWorld weren't bad enough, she started losing her feathers.
Halloween or not, Pee-wee Herman's favorite candy is always vegan!
Since going vegan, Marco has felt his own health dramatically improve.
SNBL is being targeted by Feds for dozens of violations of the Animal Welfare Act that have led to suffering and death for of many animals at its facilities.
Tigers are predators who do not want to "play."
With World Vegan Month coming up, Pamela Anderson wants to spread the word that a vegan diet is best for animals, the planet, and our health.
PETA's "graveyards" feature 38 tombstones—one for each orca who has died on the park's watch. They're a reminder to stop supporting SeaWorld's abuse.
Florida's swampy monkey-breeding facilities roll out the red carpet for Zika.
SeaWorld forces orcas to spend their whole lives crammed inside tiny, barren concrete tanks—the equivalent of being trapped in a bathtub!
For animals used for food, clothing, experimentation, and entertainment, every day is a waking nightmare filled with gruesome horrors.


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Safari Meerkat Information PowerPoint
riversong Apr 10th
Hi I will be using this power point alongside the story Meerkat Mail. There is however a mistake on slide 7 where it says that they don't have tails - they do. Other than that great resource. Thank you.
Emma.F@Twinkl Apr 11th
Hi riversong,
Thank you so much for letting us know about this one. I'll get this corrected right away!
Joe.M@Twinkl Apr 11th
Hi there riversong,
Thank you for spotting this! Our lovely teacher and design teams have fixed the mistake and emailed the corrected resource to you! It will also be updated on the website very soon - I hope you find it useful!
Joe.M@Twinkl Apr 11th
Hi there riversong,
Thank you for spotting this mistake! Our lovely teacher and design teams have solved the issue and have emailed the corrected resource to you! It will also be updated on the website very soon - I hope you find it useful!
- Emma.F@Twinkl Apr 11th
Mousetoes1999 Nov 18th
I have not been able to access the video either - have you solved this yet please?
Michaela.G@Twinkl Nov 18th
Hi Mousetoes1999,
Thanks for commenting! I'll ask our resource team about this for you :)
Joe.M@Twinkl Nov 19th
Hi there Mousetoes1999,
Internet Explorer often has issues playing videos - if you set your default web browser to an alternative (such as Google Chrome) the video should function correctly!
- Michaela.G@Twinkl Nov 18th
mald22 Jan 24th
When I downloaded the file. The video says this is private.
sophie.h-Twinkl Jan 26th
Hi there mald22, thanks for your comment! It is possible that the video has been removed from youtube so I have asked our resource designers to source a new video for this powerpoint resource. :)
- sophie.h-Twinkl Jan 26th
lauren-Twinkl Sep 26th
Hi guys :) Thanks for commenting. I just had a go at downloading this resource myself and it seemed to work okay, but I've reuploaded the file just in case so if you'd like to clear your caches and try again that would be great. Let me know how you get on.
carolyn1989 Sep 15th
this does not allow you to open it when you download it
SCW180 Apr 28th
There appears to be a problem reading this powerpoint
Safari Meerkat Information PowerPoint - Our great range of safari themed powerpoints focus on the different animals that you might find there, with some information and handy videos for each.
This resource is available in Standard.
- Twinkl updated the Main Version on Apr 11th


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FORT WASHINGTON, Pa. — McNeil Consumer Healthcare, a division of Johnson & Johnson here, issued another recall Wednesday on four product lots of 100-count Benadryl Allergy Ultratab tablets and one lot of 50-count Extra Strength Tylenol Rapid Release Gels. This follows previous recalls beginning Jan. 15 of some of the company's over-the-count formulations on popular brands, including Motrin, Zyrtec and Rolaids Antacid tablets, as well as recalls of certain infant and children's ...
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Showing Results: Most Recent
This review is from: Nokia Lumia 521 (T-Mobile) 4G Dual-Core 1.0GHz Windows 8 OS Cell Phone Bundle with iLuv Portable Speaker Case & hypercel Car Charger
Pros: Great build quality for a low-cost device
Very responsive OS
Almost all of the popular apps are free and easy to download (Facebook, Kindle, Netflix, etc.)
No problems playing videos, music or games
User-expandable memory via MicroSIM slot
The automatic syncing of pictures, calendar, contacts, etc. is incredibly convenient
Running at 4G speeds is awesome
Cons: Not the highest res screen or camera, but still very, very good
Not the fastest mobile processor, but Windows Phone 8 is so optimized it doesn't need to be
Other Thoughts: If you're on T-Mobile with a 4G data plan, you can't really beat owning this phone outright at such a low price point, especially since you don't need to get locked into a contract. It does everything you want a smartphone to do, and it does it all incredibly well.READ FULL REVIEW
This review is from: PC Power & Cooling ZT Series 750 Watt 80+ Bronze Fully-Modular Active PFC Performance Grade ATX PC Power Supply (OCZ-ZT750W)
Pros: Powers everything fine. Looks great. I really like the modular cables.
Cons: The unit I received has to be the loudest PSU I've ever heard. I think it's all coming from the rear fan. Imagine the old baseball card in the bicycle spokes, but without any visible baseball card.
Other Thoughts: I filled out an RMA. Can't wait to get a silent one. Really takes away from the enjoyment of having an i7-3770k build... The system should be screaming silently. Grrr.READ FULL REVIEW
This review is from: TRENDnet TEG-S80G Unmanaged 8-Port Gigabit GREENnet Switch
Pros: Looks good on paper. When the power adapter failed after a week it didn't burn my house down.
Cons: The power adapter failed after about a week (it's a 5v 1A adapter), so the whole thing's in RMA right now. I used another 5v adapter I had and confirmed that the switch itself wasn't dead (but that was just a temporary test to satisfy my curiosity).
I had this connecting my computer and a TrendNet TEW-650 Access Point set up in Bridge mode to another TEW-650 set up in Access Point mode. While the connection was going through the switch my download speed of TERA was topping out at about 204 KBps (over a day to download). When I removed the switch and connected the TEW-650 directly to my computer, the download speed jumped up to 1.08 MBps (about 5 hours). I don't know if the switch was causing some sort of interference with the wireless N signal but it was the only variable that changed. I don't consider a 5x loss in speed acceptable.
Other Thoughts: Given the great number of reviews which led me to order it in the first place, I hope the new one I receive doesn't have a defective power adapter and that it won't have such a negative impact when used in conjunction with a TrendNet TEW-650 Access Point.READ FULL REVIEW


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Dealing with productivity pressures? Our resources can help you practice ethically.
An FAQ on the new OT evaluation codes.
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The CarFit program provides information and materials on community-specific resources that could enhance the safety of older drivers, and/or increase their mobility in the community.
Dr. Wendy Stav offers an excellent description of CarFit during her interview with Daily Café. Watch it here.
AAA has posted video segments demonstrating the importance of each CarFit safety check item. They offer occupational therapy practitioners an excellent resource for reviewing the importance of each checklist priority and offer the visual option to review key points with clients.
The AARP CarFit page offers a video interview of CarFit Event Coordinator Marla demonstrating highlights of the CarFit Event.
Visit the CarFit Web site now.


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Kayaking and Sailing
There was a LOT of boating activity visible from Avery Point. Mostly sailing, but I took one picture of this kayak.
Equipment: Groton Community Boating Club (GCBC) is located on Beebe Cove in Spicer Park in Noank. For an active member to be able to use the club's shells and kayaks, she/he has either taken a rowing, sculling, or kayaking class through Groton Parks and Recreation (GP&R) or GCBC within the last 12 months or receives approval from the Boating Club Coordinator. The active club members must be able to swim
Groton also has the Groton Long Point Yacht Club
Phone: 860-536-5680
Website: http://www.glpyc.org/
- Eco-Tourism
- Kayaking
- Sailing and Boating
Eastern Point Beach
Eastern Point Beach is a small family-oriented beach at the mouth of the Thames River near the University of Connecticut's Avery Point campus which is where I took my pictures. It is where the Sound meets the Thames River.
I have not been here, but I find that the site offer showers, picnic tables, concession stand and playground. Shallow water depths along the beach and seasonal supervised swimming also make this beach a favorite for families. Fishing is also available (photo 5), and you can watch the ferries go back and forth along the Thames River (photo 4)
Equipment: Seasonal parking stickers are available for purchase on an annual basis. A daily parking fee is also an option. Fees range from $7 - $11
If you want to fish, bring your own equipment.
Address: Beach Pond Road
Directions: I-95 S to Clarence B Sharp/Rte 349 S - exit 87, for 1.8 miles. Straight on Brandegee Ave, for 0.5 mi. Brandegee Avenue becomes Shennecossett Rd, follow for 1.7 mi. Turn slight right onto Eastern Point Rd then a slight left onto Beach Pond Rd.
Phone: 860-446-4128.
Website: http://www.lisrc.uconn.edu/coastalaccess/site.asp?siteid=672
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The faculty members and students who wrote "Data Wise: A Step-by-Step Guide to Using Assessment Results to Improve Teaching and Learning," which will be published this November, spent time in Boston schools to ground their work in reality. To help educators understand how the "improvement cycle" of information use and evaluation works, the book includes sample plans for a fictional elementary school and high school.
Full Story:Education Week