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Macro vs. Micro Evolution
By Editorial Staff
Published December 22, 2007
Charles Darwin sparked a revolution in scientific thought with the publication of his book, The Origin of Species, in 1859. With his concept of evolution by natural selection, Darwin attempted to render invalid the biblical idea that "every living thing produces life after its own kind." Today this concept is taught in schools, colleges, and even online degree programs across the country.
In the first half of Species, Darwin cited evidence for "micro-evolution," or changes on a small level between species. His discovery of the several different types of finches on the Galapagos Islands with similar characteristics, derived from a common ancestor, comprised his evidence for micro-evolution. The 14 different species of finches vary according to plumage, size (from the size of a sparrow to that of a large blackbird), beak morphology, behavior and environmental habitat. They were each very different, yet closely related.
From this observation, Darwin then extrapolated his explanation for the origin of life forms from a common ancestor, or "macro-evolution." He used the evidence from the first half of his book on micro-evolution to suggest that the same mechanism could produce all life forms. However, this concept of macro-evolution is not supported by modern scientific evidence. Although we can explain and understand the mechanism behind micro-evolution, we still can only theorize about possible explanations for macro-evolution – since it has no scientifically valid occurrences.
The "Evolution" of Poodles and Chihuahuas?
The concept of micro-evolution – or diversification of species – is a fact of nature. Species do vary and change, but only on a small scale. We have many examples of Darwin's finches and even the breeding history of dogs which supports the notion of micro-evolution.
Micro-evolution was first understood when George Mendel demonstrated the variation within species based on genetic mechanisms. By Mendelian genetics we see the various dog species, which range from the St. Bernard to the chihuahua. The concept of micro-evolution is widely accepted today and supports the biblical notion of life reproducing after its own "kind." In other words, it is accepted in scientific circles that all the different types of dogs most likely descended from a common canine ancestor.
Evolutionists, however, have expanded the model to suggest the origin of the universe, the origin of life from non-life, the origin of amphibians from fishes, the origin of birds from reptiles, and so on. Scientists have many theories of the mechanisms behind macro-evolution, but none of them have any direct evidence. The theories are merely extrapolations from what can be seen on the smaller scale.
This extrapolation is scientifically unjustified. The underlying logic behind this premise is similar to plotting the fastest times man has run the mile over the years, and then predicting that someday man will run a two or three-minute mile. Anyone realizes that there are limits to valid extrapolation. Likewise, Darwinian macro-evolution is undergoing tremendous scrutiny in scientific circles because of the lack of evidence.
When Did the Fish Sprout Legs?
When one examines the historical record of life, we find the absence of transitional forms between the major life groups such as fish and amphibians or reptiles and birds. The fossil record has failed to yield the host of transitional forms demanded by the theory of macro-evolution. Rather, the fossils show an abrupt appearance of very distinct groups of animals.
Take, for example, the supposed"fish-to-amphibian" transition. The general assumption has been that the earliest amphibians evolved from the order of fish, the Rhipidistia. However, there are major differences between the earliest assumed amphibians, the Ichtyostega, and its presumed fish ancestor. The differences are not simply a few small bone changes but are enormous structural differences as can be seen in Figure 1.
The first amphibian had well-developed fore- and hind limbs which were fully capable of supporting terrestrial motion. The transitions between the two are strictly hypothetical, and no transitional fossils have ever been found … only imagined and artistically drawn. The mechanism for the supposed macro-evolution of the fish to the amphibian is purely hypothetical.
This lack of transitional forms occurs between all major groups of life. Hypothetical transition forms are drawn to show the change from a reptile to a bird but the fossil record has no evidence that this has ever occurred. Even the closest known intermediate, the Archaeopteryx, was a fully developed bird with the capability of flight like modern birds. Darwin's idea of micro-evolution of the finches can provide no explanation or support for the notion of birds evolving from reptiles. One cannot extrapolate from micro-evolution to macro-evolution when scientific evidences do not provide any support for it.
Evolutionists realize that the fossil record challenges the very notion of macro-evolution. As leading evolutionist and paleontologist Stephen Jay Gould stated: "All paleontologists know that the fossil record contains precious little in the way of intermediate forms; transitions between major groups are characteristically abrupt. The extreme rarity of transitional forms in the fossil record persists as the trade secret of paleontology. We fancy ourselves as the only true students of life's history, yet to preserve our favored account of evolution by natural selection we view our data as so bad that we never see the very process we profess to study."1
When looking back through the history of life as recorded in the earth, we find no evidence suggesting the change from one major group to another. The fossil record suggests micro-evolution as Darwin did, but shows no evidence for macro-evolution. We do not have any fossil group which can claim to belong to the ancestor of another major group. Each fossil group has retained its unique and distinct structural and physiological characteristics throughout its life history.
The origin of life has long been described by the tree of evolution, with major groups branching off from common ancestors. Unfortunately, the branches and gaps between kinds of life are so vast and great that they cannot be considered part of the same tree. The description of the fossil record could be more accurately summarized by a forest of trees rather than just one tree of life. We observe the abrupt appearance of different life forms and have witnessed the diversification of life within those kinds. We can observe micro-evolution taking place from the first organisms within each kind. But the genetic variation we see occurring today occurs only in narrow limits.
The fossil record actually supports the model of creation. The Genesis account of creation states that God created the various kinds of plants, birds, fishes and animals on earth. From the creation model, one would expect to see an abrupt appearance of life forms as well as distinct and separate groups. The fossil record shows exactly that, not a history of gradual change from one major kind of life to another.
The entire theme throughout the book of Genesis is that life reproduces after its own kind. Darwin's finches still reproduce finches. It is a testimony to the creativity of God that He has created so many different forms of life, and even placed the great genetic potential for variation within the first creatures. Natural selection over the years has only drawn upon that great genetic potential as Charles Darwin observed. Natural selection brings out the diversity of life but cannot create new major groups of life as macro-evolution would postulate.
1 Stephen Jay Gould, Natural History, 1977, 86:14.
A seal and one of its closest terrestrial relatives. Drawing taken from Michael Denton, Evolution: A Theory in Crisis (Adler & Adler, Publishers Inc., 1985).
The earliest known amphibian alongside a Rhipidistian fish. Drawing taken from Michael Denton, Evolution: A Theory in Crisis (Adler & Adler, Publishers Inc., 1985).
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Freedom: The Model of Christian Liberty (DVD)
"Give me liberty or give me death!"
Patrick Henry's famous declaration not only helped launch the War for Independence, it also perfectly summarized the mindset that gave birth to, and sustained, the unprecedented experiment in Christian liberty that was America.
The freedom our Founders envisioned was not freedom from suffering, want, or hard work. Nor was it freedom to indulge every appetite or whim without restraint—that would merely be servitude to a different master. No, the Founders' passion was to live free before God, unfettered by the chains of autocracy, shackles that slowly but inexorably bind men when the governments they fashion fail to recognize and uphold freedom's singular, foundational truth: that all men are created in the image of God, and are thereby co-equally endowed with the right to "life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness."
This presentation is a similar call, not to one but many. By reintroducing the principles of freedom that gave birth to America, it is our prayer that Jesus, the true and only ruler over the nations, will once again be our acknowledged Sovereign, that we may again know and exult in the great truth that "where the Spirit of the LORD is, there is liberty" (2 Cor. 3:17).
Welcome to the Second American Revolution!
This DVD features "Liberty: The Model of Christian Liberty" along with "Dawn's Early Light: A Brief History of America's Christian Foundations." Bonus features include a humorous but instructive collection of campaign ads and Eric Holmberg's controversial YouTube challenge concerning Mitt Romney's campaign for president.
$14.95 — ORDER NOW!(We accept all major credit cards and PayPal.)
Click here for more information
Martin Luther: Digitally Remastered 1953 Classic (DVD)
"Here I stand … I can do no other!"
With these immortal words, an unknown German monk sparked a spiritual revolution that changed the world.
The dramatic classic film of Martin Luther's life was released in theaters worldwide in the 1950s and was nominated for two Oscars. A magnificent depiction of Luther and the forces at work in the surrounding society that resulted in his historic reform efforts, this film traces Luther's life from a guilt-burdened monk to his eventual break with the Roman Catholic Church.
Running time: 105 minutes
Special offer: Order 5 or more for $5 each.
Watch a clip from Martin Luther.
$9.95 — ORDER NOW!(We accept all major credit cards and PayPal.)
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A Revival Account: Asbury 1970 (DVD)
What is true Revival and Spiritual Awakening?
Discover the answer in this eyewitness account by Dennis Kinlaw, President of Asbury College, Wilmore, Kentucky, who recounts the story of a visitation of the Holy Spirit in 1970. This is the presentation that has continued to spark the flames of Revival in the hearts of people around the world. Contains eyewitness footage from the Revival at Asbury College in 1970 in Wilmore, Kentucky.
Certain to challenge you to greater holiness and a deeper commitment to full-scale revival. Original news and private footage has been included. If you are a student who longs to see a spiritual awakening at your school, you must see this video!
"This simple video does a wonderful job of conveying something of God's heart and power, Everyone we have ever shown this to has received an immediate impartation of faith for revival and the power of prayer."
— Bob and Rose Weiner, Weiner Ministries Int'l
Running Time: 40 minutes
$19.95 — ORDER NOW!(We accept all major credit cards and PayPal.)
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The Silent Scream (DVD) Eight Languages
"When the lives of the unborn are snuffed out, they often feel pain, pain that is long and agonizing." – President Ronald Reagan to National Religious Broadcasters Convention, January 1981
Ronald Reagan became convinced of this as a result of watching The Silent Scream – a movie he considered so powerful and convicting that he screened it at the White House.
The modern technology of real-time ultrasound now reveals the actual responses of a 12-week old fetus to being aborted. As the unborn child attempts to escape the abortionist's suction curette, her motions can be seen to become desperately agitated and her heart rate doubles. Her mouth opens – as if to scream – but no sound can come out. Her scream doesn't have to remain silent, however … not if you will become her voice. This newly re-mastered version features eight language tracks and two bonus videos.
"… a high technology "Uncle Tom's Cabin" arousing public opinion just as Harriet Beecher Stowe's 1852 antislavery novel ignited the abolitionist movement." – Sen. Gordon Humphrey, Time Magazine
Languages: English, Spanish, French, South Korean, Chinese, Russian, Portuguese, Japanese
Running Time: 28 minutes
$17.95 — ORDER NOW!(We accept all major credit cards and PayPal.)
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Dr. Francis Schaeffer - How Should We Then Live? (DVD)
Special Two-Disc Set!
After 40 years of intense study and world-wide ministry, Dr. Francis Schaeffer completed his crowning work of scholarship – to present profound truths in simple film language. Dr. Schaeffer's brilliant analysis of the past and predictions for current trends have proven so uncannily accurate that this amazing series still feels contemporary almost three decades after its initial release. Ultimately, Schaeffer concludes that man's only hope is a return to God's Biblical absolute, the truth revealed in Christ through the Scriptures.
Available for the first time on DVD, this documentary spectacular also includes intimate in-depth conversations with Francis and Edith Schaeffer. With the on-disc study guide, this presentation forms a unique course of comprehensive study. While this series forms an innovative analysis of the past, this outstanding work is more than history. Each episode focuses on a significant era, yet speaks clearly to 21st-century man with answers for modern problems.
$49.95 — ORDER NOW!(We accept all major credit cards and PayPal.)


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MLB 2K12/NBA 2K12 Combo Pack Coming Exclusively to 360
Written Wednesday, February 08, 2012 By Richard WalkerView author's profile
Those fine folks at 2K Sports have today announced that Major League Baseball 2K12 and NBA 2K12 will be getting shoved into a single box for the 'MLB 2K12/NBA 2K12 2K Sports Combo Pack', exclusively for the Xbox 360 at a cut price.
Launching in conjunction with Major League Baseball 2K12 this March, the 2K Sports Combo Pack will retail for $69.99 in North America, giving you a double dose of sporting wonderfulness. You'll also be eligible to enter the $1 million Perfect Game Challenge where eight finalists who throw the highest-ranked perfect games in MLB 2K12 can compete in a live tournament to win the grand prize.
Have a look at the lovely box art below, then look out for the MLB 2K12/NBA 2K12 2K Sports Combo Pack from March 6th, 2012 at participating retailers in North America. Meanwhile, find out what we thought of NBA 2K12 in our review.

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As we head into Week 8 of the fantasy football season, we've got a pretty good sense of which players are going to produce at a high level each week.
For example, we feel pretty confident that no matter who Cam Newton is playing, he likely won't produce at a high level. On the other hand, Aaron Rodgers is almost guaranteed to be one of the highest scorers each week, despite the defense he plays.
Today we'll take you through the best starts at each position for NFL Week 8.


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Restaurant app's Pa. creators going national
PITTSBURGH -- Waiting for ashtray-sized restaurant pagers to sound off before hungry toddlers do could become a distant memory if a local smart-phone app's national launch models its Pittsburgh debut.
NoWait -- a South Side-based iOS app that lets consumers search restaurant wait times, add names to waiting lists, check their place in line and receive texts from restaurants when their tables are ready -- will be available throughout the country early this year, said company Chief Executive Ware Sykes.
Founded by a group that includes Carnegie Mellon University graduate Rob Meyer as an Alpha Lab company, in 2012 NoWait raised $2 million from a group of investors that includes South Side-based Birchmere Ventures. In September, the company raised an additional $2 million from an unnamed investor.
Preparation for the national launch comes less than six months after the app was released in Pittsburgh, in large part because of what Sykes called a "phenomenal response" locally.
When the app was released in September, it was connected to five area restaurants. Today, the app has a 97 percent approval rating, operates in more than 50 local restaurants and has seated thousands, including nearly 50,000 people in the first two weeks of December. Additionally, since September the app has cut its users' average wait time for a seat down from a high of 90 minutes to about five minutes.
"We're giving people the most precious thing in life back: their time," said Sykes.
With the integration of social media features that tell friends where you are waiting in line and sends Facebook or Twitter messages to friends telling them their name has been added to a waitlist and an option to see which nearby restaurants are using NoWait, Sykes said the app is at an ideal stage for national growth.
Combined with the fact that national chains such as Chili's and TGI Friday's have used the NoWait app to seat more than 25 million diners since 2012, the company is hoping its existing reputation will help it make headway as it rolls out in new territories.
"The app has the ability to not only solve a great number of problems for consumers, but to also drive consumption for business owners," he said.
The app is hitting the national scene during a time when contenders such as San Francisco-based OpenTable and Tulsa, Okla.-based DinerConnection are vying to take over the space.
One advantage Sykes said NoWait has over competitors is the fact that it features an analytics platform that allows chains to make comparisons between individual restaurants. Also, the option to use a customizable floor plan helps hosts manage the flow of guests.


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Metcalfe Park wins award, city called hotbed of placemaking
The winners for the Chicago-based "Space in Between" contest, designed to honor groups in the greater Chicago, Milwaukee and Gary, Indiana areas that temporarily transform vacant lots and buildings into community-building projects, have been announced.
Of the three organizations that won top honors, one was was Milwaukee-based Metcalfe Park Community Action Team, which commandeered a vacant lot and adjacent boarded-up building in a neighborhood with one of the highest concentrations of vacant properties in the city. The group, which got a runner-up prize of $500, organized a neighborhood peace rally, a drive-in movie night and an art installation by local artist Ben Janik. »Read Full Blog Post
Ready to be floored again: Colorful MECCA court returns for one night
With a giant M flanking each side of the midcourt line, a candy-apple-red bull's-eye at center court and "MILWAUKEE" at either end, Robert Indiana's 1977 basketball floor at the old Arena once defined Milwaukee.
It may define the city again, if Ben Koller, who owns the MECCA floor, one of the largest pop-art paintings on the planet, has his way. »Read Full Article(44)
Exclusive Video: Semi Precious Weapons performs before Ke$ha concert at the Rave
Stevy Pyne, left, and Justin Tranter of Semi Precious Weapons performed new single "Aviation High" for Tap Milwaukee Wednesday, before taking the stage at a sold out Ke$ha at the Eagles Ballroom. Journal Sentinel photo by Mark Felix. »Read Full Blog Post
Singles Scorecard: Hear new songs from the Avett Brothers, Jennifer Nettles and Polica
The Avett Brothers, pictured here performing at Summerfest in June, has a new single out from a forthcoming album, less than a year after releasing its last one. Journal Sentinel photo by Mark Felix. »Read Full Blog Post
The Wanted, Jepsen get intimate with small but adoring crowd
Turns out the Wanted isn't so widely wanted in Milwaukee after all.
Despite the hype surrounding the British boy band, the main floor had unfilled seats and the balcony was largely empty Tuesday for the group's show at the 2,500-capacity Riverside Theater — even with "Call Me Maybe" hitmaker Carly Rae Jepsen as co-headliner. »Read Full Article(1)
Music, dance, Lucha Libre and more at Mexican Fiesta
Mexican culture past and present intersect this weekend at Maier Festival Park for Mexican Fiesta, the celebration of Mexico and Latin America that started as a street party on the south side in 1973.
Friday through Sunday, mariachi, ranchera, cumbia, bachata and other music will rule the festival stages, with performances by Revolucion de Amor, a Mana tribute band; Toby Love; and La Sonora Santanera U.S.A. »Read Full Article(1)
First impressions of 'Current Tendencies'
Several of the Art City contributors got a preview of the "Current Tendencies III" exhibit at the Haggerty Museum of Art on Friday. It was a chance for us glimpse this important survey of some of the more intriguing artists working in our region today and to begin to consider the work in the show.
For the first time, we've asked the contributors to file short audio pieces with a few early thoughts on perhaps a single artist or work in the exhibit. »Read Full Blog Post
On Tap Today: Farmers market, free music and the Brewers
It's Wednesday, which means its farmers market day in Westown's Zeidler Union Square. Booths filled with bright flowers, snap peas and organic greens open at 10 a.m., and the Tinker Boys will be playing there today.


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Authorities: School shooter killed father before rampage
Michelle Obama says America 'needs an adult' in White House
Severe storms lead to flash flooding; rain continues through Thursday
A-Maze-ing weather 2016 photos
Stewart: Don't call it retirement
Holliday: ACC a confident collective as conference play heats up
CrackBerry no more: BlackBerry to stop making devices + CEO's statement
Raleigh-based ed tech firm WebAssign with 180 employees is sold (WTW Insider)
Outcry over Charlotte police shooting shows why new N.C. police body cam law needs revision
Officials need first to take care of Charlotte; the politics will take care of itself
Column -- House Speaker's sales job on HB2 shouldn't get any takers
Customers upset with delays, excuses from Apex furniture store
Buyer beware: Not all leather furniture created equal
Class-action suits clean up front-loading washing machine odor problems
Without proper care, recovery from concussions can be bumpy road
Utah man may have contracted Zika from dying father's tears
Restaurant dedicated to empowering homeless women opens in downtown Raleigh
Reid's Fine Foods to open Raleigh holiday shop
WRAL Morning News
WRAL WeatherCenter Forecast
California suspends business with Wells Fargo
11 closings/delays reported.
View all
26 NC counties and 1 VA county are under alert, including Cumberland, Harnett, Moore, Sampson, and Hoke counties.
Here are the most viewed posts from the GOLO Editor's Blog for June 2009.


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Christian Boarding School and Boys Home with Therapy, Character-Building Activities, Trades Training and an Education
Master's Ranch is a non-profit, Christian boarding school and therapeutic boys home designed to help troubled boys between the ages of 12 and 17. It is one of the most cost-effective therapeutic boarding schools around. Boys and their families find new help, healing and reconciliation when they had almost lost hope. The sprawling ranch campus in Southeastern Missouri offers a family environment in an agricultural setting with a balance of discipline and training in an unmistakable atmosphere of mentoring, love and acceptance. Through education, hard work, a strong emphasis on vocational training, working with animals, recreation, family interaction and counseling, each boy is given the tools needed to regain confidence, self respect and spiritual footing necessary to embrace his family and his future.
The dedicated staff of this boys home are committed to helping you fight for your child's future and to helping him rebuild the smoldering bridges of relationships with family, society at large and ultimately with God. This critical time will also allow you to re-focus on your home and your other children while we work with and help your son.
The MRCA Christian boarding school and boys home offers professional counseling from Christian based psychologists as well as pastoral, group and individual counseling. Our approach to counseling is informal, often utilizing the setting of the outdoors and activities to help teens feel comfortable so they will open up and share more readily. While each boy is with us, we also work with their family to bring them hope and encouragement and new tools for continuing the progress once their boy returns home.
MRCA is decidedly Christian. The staff and the Bosleys love and respect the boys like their own, and they earn the love and respect of troubled teenage boys in return.
A Home and School for Troubled Teenage Boys, Offering a Listening Ear and a Voice of Truth
If your son has been getting into trouble, he needs someone trustworthy who will listen to him without judgment. Our boys home offers counseling throughout the week, both one-on-one and also in a group setting. In addition, our staff engage the boys as a friend they can talk to, making therapy unthreatening and ongoing in the boy's own natural environment while they work or play. Throughout their stay, we maintain a watchful eye, but we do so while surrounding them in our home-like setting with loving care, inspiring them toward a more productive and rewarding future.
A Boys Home Where Character is Learned through Responsibility and Accomplishment
Our Christian boarding school and boys home is unique in that it provides extensive "hands on" vocational experience for the boys as they also work on the ranch. In addition to working with the ranch animals, tools and equipment, they learn real-life, potentially high wage trades and receive responsibility and character-building that is needed for a successful future. Boys have important daily tasks, through which they earn a sense of pride. They learn and experience a variety of trades, building new confidence, respect for themselves and others, and a strong work ethic.


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Personalize your online experience to stay up-to-date on news, events and other information.
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Dashboard - Historical Generation
For more information on River Falls Community Solar,contact Mike Noreen at 715-426-3467.www.rfmu.org/communitysolar


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Home > Sunglasses > Carrera > CARRERA 6000/MT (003/T4)
CARRERA 6000/MT is available in 5 additional attractive styles
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Free outbound and return shipping
30-day money-back guarantee
Low prices
CARRERA 6000/MT/003/T4 Ophthalmic Glasses
These sunglasses complement your look with an accessory that is a cut above the rest. True to the Edel-Optics motto "SEE AND BE SEEN", you are on a par with celebrities, impressing in every environment. Would another colour not be a better match for your favourite outfit? Check also the other styles of CARRERA 6000/MTin our 2015, and 2016 Carrera range.
The unisex Carrera model makes no distinction between men and women. Full rim frames completely enclose the lenses within the frame. For a convinced eyeglass wearer, any other frame style is ruled out, with very few exceptions. The quadratic shape is a good choice, especially for softer facial features. The square glasses give more contour to a round face. The straight outer edges also give the impression that the face is longer. The metal frame is very light and comfortable to wear. It is both robust and classy. Black eyeglasses are a must-have. They can be combined with anything and refine any style. Whether at your desk, in a club or at a fashion show - black always fits. Black lenses look very mysterious. However, they change the field of view and should mainly serve as a fashion accessory. You can rely on the guaranteed UV400 protection, for all the sunglasses in our shop.
If you press the button "order with prescription lenses', our digital dispensing optician will install the lenses in the original tint or as you wish. Your dioptre values are the only thing we require from you.
And because Edel-Optics is a paradise for bargain hunters, you can get this top model at an incredibly low price. What is labelled as "in the sale" at other online shops, is for us "all-day-everyday" prices.
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Westminster weather map
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Regional forecast for London & South East England
Dry, some sunshine today, feeling warm. Cloudy tonight, some drizzle.
Dry with sunny periods and feeling warm, although cloud tending to increase a little more into the afternoon. Turning breezy by the end of the day. Maximum Temperature 22 °C.
Dry at first but turning cloudy with some patchy low cloud and drizzle developing. A band of rain reaching the north of the region by daybreak. Breezy and mild. Minimum Temperature 15 °C.
Rain band moving south, some locally heavier bursts for a time, but clearing the Kent coast by late afternoon. Drier, fresher conditions to follow with some sunshine. Less breezy later. Maximum Temperature 19 °C.
Outlook for Friday to Sunday:
Friday, occasionally breezy with scattered showers and sunny spells, fresher. Saturday, chillier start, showers more frequent and heavy, with thunder risk. Sunday, mainly dry with sunny intervals.
Updated at: 0404 on Wed 28 Sep 2016
UK forecast for the next 5 days
Fine and dry in the south-east. Windy in the north.
Dry with variable cloud and occasional bright or sunny spells in the south and east, but cloudy with occasional rain and drizzle in the west. Scotland will be cloudy with rain in the west, and gales further north.
A band of rain will move south-east overnight. Cloudy conditions to the south-east of this, and clearer conditions, although with some showers, to the north-west. Very windy in the north.
Cloud and rain will slowly clear through the south-east. Mostly dry with sunny spells elsewhere, although with showers in the north-west. Gales, or severe gales are expected for Scotland.
Outlook for Friday to Sunday:
Sunshine and showers on Friday and Saturday, the showers perhaps heavy and prolonged on Saturday. Winds easing, although still breezy. Sunday should be drier, with light winds and sunny spells.
Updated at: 0207 on Wed 28 Sep 2016
Outlook for the UK over the next 6-30 days
UK Outlook for Monday 3 Oct 2016 to Wednesday 12 Oct 2016:
A dry and bright start to the week in the east and south, however windy and cloudy across northern and western parts with outbreaks of rain, perhaps turning heavy and persistent. This rain is likely to make slow, erratic progress eastwards during Tuesday. Through the remainder of the period, a continuation of the changeable conditions are likely with stronger winds and showers or longer spells of rain, interspersed with drier, brighter periods. The heaviest and most persistent rain along with the stronger winds, gales at times, are likely to occur in the west and northwest, whereas eastern and southeastern parts should see more prolonged drier and brighter spells, though even here some rain is possible at times. Temperatures generally above normal and warm at times in the east and southeast.
Updated at: 1240 on Wed 28 Sep 2016
UK Outlook for Thursday 13 Oct 2016 to Thursday 27 Oct 2016:
There is currently low confidence for the forecast during the second half of October, however the most likely scenario is for a continuation of the more changeable conditions. The north and northwest are likely to see the most unsettled weather, with strong winds and showers or longer spells of rain, intermixed with some drier interludes. Further south and southeast there is a greater likelihood of drier, brighter weather with a low possibility of more prolonged settled spells here. Temperatures will vary through the period, but probably averaging out slightly above average for the time of year, though with an increasing risk of overnight frost in the more settled spells.
Updated at: 1240 on Wed 28 Sep 2016
Location Details
Location: 51.4982, -0.1323
Altitude: 5.0 m above mean sea level


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27 years of experience
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824 Main St
Phoenixville, PA 19460 Phone number & directions
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Please proceed with caution if Dr. Rosa is your doctor. My. Dad almost died 3 years ago under her care. He had septic shock after she performed a very routine surgery on him, and after he was in septic shock she left and went on vacation instead of waiting the 72 hours to see if he lived or died. Her going on vacation ended up being the best thing to happen to my Dad because we were able to get him with doctors that cared and knew how to handle his condition. Thank God.
Dr. Rosa is a southern bell she was courteous and explained what was going to happen in my procedure. She is assertive and caring. She made me feel that I was in good hands. I wouldn't go to any other surgeon.
Please please do your home on Dr. Rosa. She my father almost died under care. She did surgery on my father for a twisted colon. After a week in the hospital recovering from the first surgery, he started to have severe pain. The nurses try to page her 3 times, and she never answered her page. My father continued in severe pain for many hours, and his blood pressure dropped to 77/45. She never came to see him. When I arrived at the hospital I demanded to talk to her, and I told her I believe he was septic. She said there is no way, and if I would like my father transferred to the ICU. Thank God I said yes because in the early morning hours my father went into cardic arrest, and he was placed on a ventilator. She finally decided to come in to see my father only after the night physician called her to tell her her patient was put on a ventilator. She brought him into surgery, and she found out that one of her staples ripped open. As of a direct result of her waiting 12 hours to see my father he was now in septic shock and his survival rate was 20%. My father did survive, but I transferred him down to a city hospital. Forgot to add that she decided to go on a two week vacation 24 hours after she perform the second surgery while my father was still in critical care.
very competent nag great bedside manner.
dr rosa has repaired a cpl of hernias for me and i absolutely love her abilities and caring. she can come across tough at times but she honestly cares about her patients well being and will do whatever is needed to help them in a full recovery if i could give her a 6 star rating i would
sweet, knowledgable and honest
Dr Rosa is an amazing surgeon. She is the most caring Dr we have ever witnessed in person. God bless her and her family. We love you Dr Rosa!
I would not recommend Dr. Rosa. She treated my mother, and post op, my mother became ill. When brought to Dr Rosa's attention, she ignored my mother and said "how would I know?" My mother became very ill. Go somewhere else. Do your homework.
This surgeon placed the wrong device in my body. There was no due diligence before, during or after this surgery to ensure proper device was placed. I only found out by chance 10 months later. She apologized and offer to replace the device with the correct one, but I refused and had the medical port removed and replaced by another surgeon. Dr. Rosa was personable and sympathetic to my other health problems. I was very, very disappointed by her shoddy performance. Would not recommend under any circumstances.


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Cottage Cheese-Banana Breakfast Delite
Total Time
Prep 5 mins
Cook 3 mins
My own creation...I eat this EVERY day for breakfast. Very healthy, low-fat/cal, and filling (especailly when using whole-wheat bread). Also a great breakfast for diabetics
Ingredients Nutrition
- 1 small cinnamon raisin bagel or 1 small English muffins or 2 slices whole wheat bread
- 1 medium banana, sliced
- 1⁄4 cup low fat cottage cheese or 1⁄4 cup fat-free cottage cheese
- 1 packet sugar substitute
- 1 dash ground cinnamon
- Toast bagel, english muffin, or bread.
- Top with sliced banana.
- Spread cottage cheese evenly over top.
- Sprinkle sugar substitute and cinnamon over top.
Most Helpful
I am always looking for new ideas for breakfast, especially those that are low fat & filling. I bought oat bran English muffins as I couldn't find whole wheat. Give this one a try -- I never thought of cottage cheese as a breakfast food, but this was very good! -M
this recipie was delicious!! At first I thought it sounded a little strange, so I tried it before I fixed it for my 8 year old daughter and loved it, so I fixed it for her, and she loved it too!! TRY IT!!! Sherrill Tello
I have to put my 2 cents worth in here. Because of comments in the discussion forums, I decided to give this one a try, even though I am not a cottage cheese eater. This was really good. I liked the flavor and the cinnamon and sweetner made the cottage cheese very tasty. Especially with the banana and cinnamon/raisin bagel that I put it on. Thanks for posting this one.


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The Louisville Cardinals put quite the beating on the Florida State Seminoles at Papa John Stadium Saturday, blasting the 'Noles 63-20. It was the worst loss in FSU history.
At the center of this maelstrom of points was Louisville QB Lamar Jackson, who accounted for 5 touchdowns, 1 through the air and 4 one the ground. His dynamic play summoned up memories of Michael Vick's days at Virginia Tech. Jackson ran 17 times for 146 yards and threw for another 216 on 13 of 20 passing. His coming out party on national TV has thrust him into the lead for the Heisman.
Louisville visits Death Valley to play Clemson on October 1st, which will go a long way to determine who will figure into the National Championship picture as well as feature a showdown between Jackson and Deshawn Watson.]]>
The Pittsburgh Steelers looked good in winning their season opener on the road against the Washington Redskins 38-16. While QB Ben Roethlisberger and WR Antonio Brown were at the top of their game, the engine that powered the Steeler offense was RB DeAngelo Williams, who toted the rock 26 times for 143 yards and two touchdowns. With the absence of La'Veon Bell from the lineup, Williams filled in admirably and provided the Steelers with a solid and reliable running game.
The Steelers employed a bend-but-don't-break type defense that allowed the Redskins to move between the 20 yard lines, but tightened up in the red zone. Ryan Shazier also had a spectacular interception before going to the sidelines with an injured knee.
The Steelers return home to face rival Cincinnati in a rematch of last year's brutal playoff game that saw Bell and Brown knocked out of the playoffs with dirty hits from the Bengals.]]>
College football has returned! Among the many exciting games, upsets, and spectacular performances, Brad Kaaya of the Miami Hurricanes had a great game as the Canes pummelled the overmatched Florida A&M Rattlesnakes 70-3.
Kaaya, a junior celebrating his 21st birthday, completed 12 of 18 passes for 135 yards and 4 touchdowns and was out of the game by the fourth quarter of the blowout. Miami has cleverly scheduled increasingly difficult opponents as they face Florida Atlantic, Appalachian State and Georgia Tech before hitting the meat of their schedule with Florida State and UNC. The Hurricanes should be 4-0 heading into FSU.
Click on the image for a larger version.]]>
The Denver Broncos defeated the New England Patriots in the AFC Championship game 20-18 in a large part due to the superlative performance of Von Miller. Miller harassed Tom Brady all day and generally disrupted the Patriot offense at every opportunity.
Miller had two and a half sacks as well as two tackles for losses. His constant penetration frustrated the Patriot passing game as Denver was able to do the unthinkable and get pressure on Brady even on his short drops. The Denver secondary had a lot to do with this as they blanketed the New England receivers and forced Brady to go through his progressions to secondary receivers, thus allowing the pass rush to get to the quarterback.
The #1 ranked Bronco defense now takes on the Carolina Panthers in the Super Bowl.
Click on the image for a larger version.
Pencils on Strathmore Multimedia board.
Colors in PS.
Heisman runner-up Christian McCaffrey turned in a historic performance against the Iowa Hawkeyes in the Rose Bowl as his Stanford Cardinal won in a blowout, 45-16.
McCaffrey, the son of former NFL receiver Ed McCaffrey, showed all of his game as he rushed for 172 on 18 carries, caught 4 passes for 105 yards (including a 75 yard TD on the game's first play), and tallied another 91 yards on punt and kickoff returns. His 368 total yards were a Rose Bowl record.
The talented back demonstrated exceptional speed and moves while also showing a capability to catch the ball out of the backfield and excel on special teams. Such all-around performances are rare in big time college football as players grow more specialized.
A sophomore, McCaffrey will undoubtedly be the Heisman trophy favorite next season.
Pencil and ink on Strathmore Multimedia board. Colors in PS. Click on the images for a larger version.
The Steelers now need to focus on the Baltimore Ravens and Cleveland Browns as they battle for a wild card playoff sport in the AFC. From the look of this game, no one is going to want to face Pittsburgh's prolific offense in the playoffs.
Click on the image for a larger version. Pencil and ink on Strathmore multimedia board. Colors in PS.
CSE played the company's Christmas party, the complete show can be seen here.
Paul McRae: Guitar and Vocals
Mick Sinha: Guitar
Ed Beingessner: Bass
Corey Ling: Drums
Tanya Ruppell: Vocals
Tom Elliott: Vocals
I Can't Explain
I Love Rock 'n' Roll
C'mon Everybody
Christmas, Baby, Please Come Home
Day Tripper
Snoopy's Christmas
Tweeter and the Customer Support Man
With a tremendous performance by Damon as well as solid supporting work by Jessica Chastain, Jeff Daniels, and Donald Glover, the movie sets a great pace and keeps it up for the duration. Great special effects and sound round out the picture that ranks as one of the most fun to see movies of the year.
Watercolor on Canson watercolor board. Click on the images for a larger version.
Alabama Crimson Tide running back Derrick Henry concluded his fantastic regular season with a spectacular performance against the Auburn Tigers, leading the Tide into the SEC Championship Game with a 46 carry, 271 yard day. Henry was there early, middle and late as he was the engine that drove the Alabama offence all day. Putting an exclamation point on 'Bama's win, Henry carried the ball 18 times in the fourth quarter as he set Alabama records for carries in a single game and yards in a season (1797).
It's one thing to pile up yards against lesser opponents and in games that don't matter, but Henry has responded in the biggest games Alabama has played. He should enjoy a trip to New York for the Heisman ceremony and, at this point, he is the favorite to bring home the big doorstop.
Pencil, ink, and watercolor on Strathmore Multimedia board. Click on the images for a larger version.
Greeting visitors from the highway is an F-5 Freedom Fighter (technically the Canadair CF-116 variant) mounted in the parking lot of the Ramada Inn.
On the museum grounds, there is another example of this single seat jet fighter.
Canada's first jet fighter — the Canadian-made Avro CF-100 Canuck. Janusz Żurakowski dove a CF-100 to the speed of sound in 1952, technically making it Canada's first supersonic fighter.
The Canadair CF-114 Tutor is flown by Canada's aerobatic flight team, the Snowbirds.
The MiG-21 was a Cold War interceptor flown by the USSR and its allies.
Canada flew a home-grown variant of the Lockheed F-104 Starfighter built by Canadair — this model is a two seat training version.
The Labrador served in the RCAF from 1965 to 2004. This example was the last to fly in Canada.
Still Canada's front line fighter/bomber aircraft, the CF-18 Hornet built by McDonnell Douglas
Another home-build variant of an American classic jet fighter, the Canadair F-86 Sabre.
The Boeing B720 was used as a passenger aircraft, then engine test vehicle.
The C-130 Hercules is still a hard-working transportation aircraft in the RCAF.
The McDonnell CF-101 Voodoo was flown by the RCAF during the Cold War, 1971 to 1984.
The Canadair Argus was used for maritime patrol.
This example of the Hawker Hunter jet fighter/bomber flew with the Swiss Air Force aerobatic team.
Canadair built a version of the Lockheed T-33 Shooting Star trainer, the CT-133 Silver Star. Some are still in service with the Bolivian Air Force.
The deHavilland Tracker was a maritime patrol aircraft, flown from shore bases once it was retired from aircraft carrier duty.
French built SAGEM Sperwer drone was used in Afghanistan for reconnaissance duty between 2003 and 2009.
A spectacular restoration of a Handley Page Halifax MK VII greets visitors as they enter the museum.
Close up of the Halifax tail gun station.
All in all, a terrific museum and staffed by an incredible team comprised mostly of volunteers. If you have the chance, go visit the Canadian Air Force Museum, just off Highway 401 in Trenton, ON, Canada.]]>
CSE played the House of Targ at company event Thursday night. The complete show can be seen here.
Paul McRae: Guitar and Vocals
Mick Sinha: Guitar
Ed Beingessner: Bass and Vocals
Andy Marton: Drums
Michal Bienek: Vocals
Tanya Ruppell: Vocals
Tom Elliott: Vocals
Summer of '69
Mick Solo/You Really Got Me
Proud Mary
Mr. Cab Driver
Turn The Page
Pinball Wizard
Johnny B. Goode
I Will Follow
I Want To Hold Your Hand
You Shook Me All Night Long
Ryan Shazier, a second year linebacker for the Pittsburgh Steelers was all over the field on Sunday as the Steelers defeated the San Francisco 49'ers 43-18. He hounded and harassed 49'er QB Colin Kaepernick at every opportunity, sacking him once and making 15 tackles (11 solo). With the running threat of Kaepernick neutralized, the Steelers were able to focus on bottling up the rest of the Niner offense.
Shazier, out of Ohio State, is proving to be a very capable player showing excellent play diagnosis skills and the ability to track down and tackle even the most elusive runners.
Click on the image for a larger version.]]>
On this date 70 years ago, a B-29 Superfortress piloted by Colonel Paul Tibbets ushered in the Atomic Age when the first atomic bomb was dropped on the Japanese city of Hiroshima. The B-29, named Enola Gay after Tibbets' mother, took off from the tiny island of Tinian accompanied by two other B-29's containing instruments and cameras. The sky over the primary target, Hiroshima, was clear and the bomb, nicknamed "Little Boy" was dropped at 8:15AM.
The initial blast and subsequent firestorm caused by the sixteen kiloton explosion killed nearly a third of the population of the city, an estimated 70-80,000 people. Others succumbed to radiation poisoning in the months and years ahead.
There is much debate around the use of the atomic bomb to essentially end the war in the Pacific. While scenarios are argued over, there is no doubt that an invasion of the Japanese main islands would have cost many more lives than those taken by the atomic blasts and that the conventional firebombing of Tokyo was far more devastating to human life and property. Considering that 20,000 Japanese soldiers were killed and only 216 taken prisoner during the Battle of Iwo Jima, it is self-evident that the casualties to the Japanese people during an invasion would have been monumental. After a second atomic bomb was dropped on Nagasaki three days later, the Empire of Japan finally surrendered and World War II ended.
Not be be lost in this retrospective is the fact that the scientists working on the Manhattan Project were responsible for an incredible technical achievement in designing and building an air dropped atomic bomb in 3 years. Atomic technology was unknown before the Manhattan Project and then changed the world forever early on the morning of August 6th, 1945.
Pencil on Canson watercolor paper — click on the image for a larger version.
The Enola Gay now resides at the Smithsonian National Air and Space Museum Stephen F. Udvar-Hazy Centre where she has been carefully restored.
U2 played a couple of great shows at the Bell Centre in Montreal on June 12th and 13th. They mixed a large selection of songs from their new album, Songs of Innocence, with a good dose of their classic anthems.
As usual for these mega-tours, the setlist needs to be consistent from night to night to accommodate the stage show, videos, etc., that accompany a production of this magnitude. In this case, a suite of songs from "Innocence" reminiscing about the band's origins in hard scrabble Dublin were projected on a giant screen that ran horizontally above a catwalk that connected the main stage with smaller stage at the opposite end of the arena.
The screen was so large that the band could actually play inside of it, as they did in the shot below for "Invisible".
The band spent roughly equal time at both ends, so fans who had tickets near either stage were treated to close-up views. We were at the main stage on the 12th and at the other stage for the 13th show.
The 12th featured a great rendition of "The Electric. Co.", while the 13th had "Out of Control" in that spot. We got "Elevation" on the 12th and "Angel of Harlem" on the 13th. For the 13th show, we also got "Bad" and an audience-sung "One". Overall, the show on Saturday, June 13th was a bit better and the audience was more into it.
The band is still at the top of their game for live performances and Bono showed few after effects of his bike accident, other than not playing the guitar. The stage setup was clever and maximized fan enjoyment. Overall, this was one of the best U2 shows we have seen and we have seen a show on every tour since "Joshua Tree".
See the complete photo galleries for the shows here and here.
This is a bit of "Where The Streets Have No Name" from the 13th:
Here is "Out Of Control" from the 14th:
And here is "I Will Follow" from the 14th:
Setlist for June 12th
The Miracle (Of Joey Ramone)
The Electric Co. (with "Send in the Clowns" and "Anthem" snippets)
I Will Follow
Iris (Hold Me Close)
Cedarwood Road
Song for Someone
Sunday Bloody Sunday
Raised by Wolves
Until the End of the World
Intermission (The Wanderer)
Even Better Than the Real Thing
Mysterious Ways
Ordinary Love (Acoustic)
Every Breaking Wave (Acoustic)
Bullet the Blue Sky
Pride (In the Name of Love) (with "The Hands that Built America" Intro)
Beautiful Day
With or Without You
City of Blinding Lights
Where the Streets Have No Name (with "Mother and Child)
I Still Haven't Found What I'm Looking For (with "People Have the Power" snippet)
Setlist for June 13th
The Miracle (Of Joey Ramone)
Out of Control
Vertigo (with "Do You Remember Rock n' Roll)
I Will Follow
Iris (Hold Me Close)
Cedarwood Road
Song for Someone
Sunday Bloody Sunday
Raised by Wolves (with "Psalm 23″ snippet)
Until the End of the World (with "Love And Peace Or Else" snippet)
Intermission (The Wanderer)
Even Better Than the Real Thing
Mysterious Ways
Angel of Harlem
Lucifer's Hands (Live premiere)
Every Breaking Wave (acoustic)
Bullet the Blue Sky
Pride (In the Name of Love) (with "The Hands That Built America" segue)
Beautiful Day (with "Moment of Surrender" snippet)
Bad (with "Moment of Surrender" snippet)
With or Without You
City of Blinding Lights
Where the Streets Have No Name (with "Mother and Child)
One (with "Invisible" snippet)
Setlists courtesy of Setlist.fm.]]>
Today marks the 55th anniversary of the Francis Gary Powers U-2 Incident. In the late 50's, the United States was desperate for information about the Soviet military capabilities, especially their bomber force and nuclear missile sites. Lockheed submitted a proposal developed by legendary aeronautical engineer Kelly Johnson based on his high performance F-104 Starfighter interceptor, but it was rejected by the Air Force. The CIA, however, got wind of this and they contracted Lockheed to develop the high altitude reconnaissance aircraft that could overfly Russia and bring back photographic details of these installations. Johnson and his secret "Skunk Works" lab finished the U-2 prototype after only 8 months. During this period, the CIA even sent personal cheques to Johnson's home in amounts totalling millions to keep the project funded while they worked through the red tape in Washington. To meet the required altitude requirements, Kelly drove his team to make the aircraft lighter and lighter, resulting in an airframe that met the requirements, but was quite flimsy. On one occasion, a worker dropped a wrench and it tore a hole in the thin metal fuselage.
The CIA commenced overflights of Russia and gained valuable intelligence. The planes were unmarked and flew with civilian pilots, some of whom were not even U.S. citizens. President Dwight Eisenhower personally authorized the flights and in the spring of 1960, he was getting more nervous about having a U-2 shot down over the Soviet Union. Despite his concerns, he authorized a mission to take place in late April that, due to weather considerations, was postponed until May 1st — May Day in the Soviet Union. The pilot for that fateful mission would be Francis Gary Powers, a Captain in the Air Force, but technically retired and operating as a civilian. He would overfly the Baikonur Cosmodrome, plutonium generating facilities, and other important installations after taking off from Peshawar, Pakistan with the intention of landing at Bodø, Norway.
Flying at 70,000ft, the U-2 was virtually immune to Soviet air defenses. The aircraft were tracked on radar even before they entered Soviet airspace, but there was nothing the frustrated Russians could do about it. Their interceptors would flame out long before they could get close to the U-2's altitude and their surface-to-air missiles were not accurate enough to hit anything flying that high. Unfortunately for the U.S. and Powers, their luck had run out. The new SA-2 anti-aircraft missile was unleashed on Power's U-2 and exploded near the high-flying plane. The concussion blast blew the wings off the U-2 and basically caused it to split in two. Powers was unable to hit the self-destruct button and barely escaped the plummeting wreckage. He bailed out and landed in a farmer's field where he was immediately taken into custody.
Naturally, the backlash was enormous and the Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev played it up for all it was worth, letting Eisenhower dig himself a huge hole with his "off-course NASA plane" cover story. Powers was paraded in front of the cameras, as was the U-2 wreckage. Powers was sentenced to ten years imprisonment, but was returned home in a "spy exchange" in 1962 for Rudolph Abel. Some in the CIA suggested it was like trading "Mickey Mantle for a goddamn bullpen catcher." This was only the beginning of a cold reception for Powers. Many criticized him for not making sure the U-2 self-destruct was activated and some went so far as to suggest he should have utilized the fatal poison needle device issued to all U-2 pilots to avoid telling the Soviets anything valuable. Eventually, a commission cleared Powers and commended him on his conduct under these difficult circumstances. He went on to work for Lockheed for several years as a test pilot, then flew a traffic helicopter for a Los Angeles news station. He died when his helicopter's faulty fuel gauge caused him to run out of gas and crash. A hero to the end, the analysis of the crash revealed he potentially could have landed safely, but changed his course to avoid children he saw playing near his landing area.
The U-2 continues to fly today, used for high-altitude experiments as well as its original reconnaissance role. It is one of very few aircraft to be in service for over 50 years.
There are many artifacts relating to the Francis Gary Powers incident at the Smithsonian Air and Space Museum in Washington, DC.
Below is the U-2C on display at the National Air and Space Museum, Washington, DC. This is not exactly like the plane used in 1960 in that it is actually a modified U-2A upgraded to a U-2C. You can get a good view of the huge glider-like wings that gave the U-2 lift even at 70,000ft.
Here is the camera used in the U-2 to photograph Soviet installations, designed by Edwin Land. These photos showed the CIA that the Soviets did not have nearly as many ICBM's or strategic bombers as originally thought. This valuable intelligence was key in keeping the Cold War cold. A few years later, a U-2 flight would reveal Soviet missiles in Cuba and set off the Cuban Missile Crisis.
U-2 Pilot survival kit, National Air and Space Museum, Washington, DC.
U-2 Pilot mannequin demonstrating how the pilot lined up the camera, National Air and Space Museum, Washington, DC.
Francis Gary Powers artifacts from his imprisonment, including a rug he made and used to hide his diary, National Air and Space Museum, Washington, DC. Click on the image for a larger version.
February 23, 2015 marks the 70th anniversary of the raising of the American flag on Iwo Jima.
You can read the history of the brave Marines who took the tiny island of Iwo Jima from the Japanese in 1945 here. One of the most enduring images in history emerged from this conflict when Joe Rosenthal snapped the photo of a group of Marines raising the flag on Mount Suribachi. It was actually the second flag raising that day, but it produced one of the most memorable images of WWII and one of the most reproduced photos of all time.
Iwo Jima became a haven for American B-29 bombers returning from sorties over Japan. The bloody battle for this little volcanic speck in the Pacific Ocean has become synonymous with the description of any titanic struggle. To gauge the magnitude of this conflict, we only need to recount this stark statistic: of the 22,000 Japanese soldiers stationed on Iwo Jima, only 216 were taken prisoner.
Pencil on Strathmore Multimedia board. Click on the image for a larger version.]]>
The Seahawks played a mediocre game against the Packers, but forced the Pack to settle for field goals on several trips inside the red zone. That left the door open for huge Seattle comeback in the fourth quarter as Russell Wilson found his groove (after throwing 4 interceptions) and Marshawn Lynch started rambling. A fortuitous onside kick recovery and a great throw by Wilson in overtime allowed the Seahawks to prevail.
The Patriots, on the other hand, dismantled a good Colts squad 45-7, but are now ensnared in one of the biggest controversies to hit the NFL, DeflateGate. Eleven of the twelve New England footballs were found to be underinflated which presumably gave the Pats an advantage gripping the ball, especially considering the weather conditions. This did not really affect the outcome, but anything that threatens the integrity of the game is taken very seriously by the league and its fans.
If the Seahawks play as poorly against New England as they played for most of the game against Green Bay, the Patriots will win big. However, New England needs to generate favorable matchups for Rob Gronkowski against the excellent set of linebackers and safeties that Seattle fields. Brady's accurate passing will be going against what is probably the best secondary in the NFL, but injuries to both cornerback Richard Sherman (elbow) and safety Earl Thomas (shoulder) will lessen their effectiveness. An X-factor could be running back LeGarrette Blount, who has the size to pound away at the Seattle front and has excelled in post-season games.
Patriots' coach Bill Belichick will take away the best offensive option, which for Seattle would be running back Marshawn Lynch. The Pats will force Russell Wilson to win the game. New England will try to minimize Wilson's scrambling out of the pocket as well.
As far as special teams go, it would seem to be a wash — each kicker and punter is very capable. A possible differentiator here might be Patriot punt returner Julian Edelmann, who is fearless in dashing up the field. A line drive punt by Seattle might be a deciding factor.
If the Patriots can force Wilson to throw from the pocket on defense and get Gronk open on offense, they should win the game. However, it should be a fairly close contest, New England 31, Seattle 24.
Watercolor on Strathmore Multimedia board. Click on the image for a larger version. You can also purchase a print here.
The Ohio State Buckeyes crushed the Oregon Ducks in the first National Championship Game played following a four-team playoff, beating them 42-20. The high scoring Ducks opened the game with a long touchdown drive, capped by a touchdown pass from the Heisman-winning QB, Marcus Mariota. Oregon's quick start proved to be a complete mirage, as the game then turned entirely in the Buckeye's favor for most of the remainder of the contest. OSU drove for the tying touchdown, scored by Ezekiel Elliott on a 33-yard scamper. From there on in, Oregon's offense seemed out of sync going against the Buckeyes and the Ohio State offense, led by its huge and talented offensive line, pushed the Ducks around. After the opening drive, Oregon was seldom able to get into the tempo of their "Blur" offense and mistakes and lack of execution on 3rd and 4th down caused several drives to fizzle. Oregon was particularly ineffective in the red zone, scoring only that opening TD and settling for field goals or turning the ball over on their other opportunities.
For the Buckeyes, Elliott capped off one of the great 3-game streaks in college football history, rushing for a three-game total of nearly 700 yards against Wisconsin, Alabama, and Oregon.
In the championship game, Elliott ran 36 times for 246 yards and 4 touchdowns. He kept drives alive with 3rd- and 4th-down plunges and broke several long gainers that broke the back of the Oregon defense. Along with his teammate, Cardale Jones, Elliott turned in a postseason performance that catapulted the Buckeyes from the fringe of the playoff picture to National Champions. Ohio State returns many talented players next year, including Elliott and Jones, and must be considered the favorite to win it all again in 2015.
Watercolor on Strathmore Multimedia board. Click on the image for a larger version. This painting is also available from Fine Art America.]]>
Heisman Trophy winner Marcus Mariota and the Oregon Ducks lived up to their hype as they blasted the defending champion Florida State Seminoles in the first NCAA Division I playoff game in history. The #2 ranked Ducks blew open a tight game in the third quarter and won going away, 59-20, over a tough FSU team that had managed to meet every challenge this season. Their 29 game win streak is over and it is likely that the talented but controversial Jameis Winston has played his last game in a Seminole uniform.
The game was 18-13 at the half, with the Ducks in the lead. In the third quarter, though, the Ducks offense and defence asserted themselves and a torrent of points piled up. Aided by 4 FSU turnovers, the fast-paced Ducks scored 6 touchdowns in the second half. Mariota, who has had one of the most outstanding careers in college football history, passed for 338 yards on 26 of 36 passing and 2 TD's while also rushing for 62 yards and a touchdown as well. He kept the Ducks' Blur Offense rolling and didn't make any critical mistakes, outdueling his fellow Heisman winner Winston.
Oregon now takes on Ohio State for the National Championship on January 12th.
Watercolor on Strathmore Mixed Media board. Click on the image for a larger version. You can also purchase a print here.]]>
Against the favored Indianapolis Colts, Ben Roethlisberger delivered an historic performance at Heinz Field on Sunday becoming the first quarterback to pass for more than 500 yards in a single game twice. Wearing their hideous bumble bee throwback uniforms, the Steelers surged ahead, but the Colts kept on coming on and scoring against the Steeler defense. This led Pittsburgh to continue to be aggressive on offence and Ben was very sharp. He completed 40 of 49 passes for 522 yards (fourth highest all-time) and 6 touchdowns. The yardage and touchdowns were all Steeler franchise records. Pittsburgh prevailed 51-34 and now face their bitter rivals, the Baltimore Ravens, next Sunday night.
Watercolor over pencil and ink.
Pencils on Strathmore Multimedia board.


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It is time for law enforcement, Immigration and Customs Enforcement, the National Guard and Border Patrol agents to live up to their oath and protect the Constitution and the borders of the United States.
This will mean disobeying orders from the president. The oath was not to the president, but to the Constitution. It is time for them to say "no" to allowing illegal aliens into this country, "no" to just "watch and assist" and time for them to defend our borders with live ammo.
It is time for Congress to cut off funding and pay to ship all illegals back to their country of origin.
Glen Stocker


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Hi Ginny: How are you doing? It's been a long time, hope you are doing well. Take care, my friend.
Ginny WilliamsShared publicly -
Multi-Pure Water Filters....The Best Choice For Your Drinking Water Needs!Drinking DDrinking Water Needs!Drinking Water Needs!
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We need to start this thread here because I can't see it going anywhere else. Charlies advisor did some research and he said this stock was a gravel company, and I thought it was a gold company. Thank god I took his advice and sold a while ago. This stock is just full of paid pumpers like Karma and Luddy. Charlie's advisor calls them trapped longs, they have been in for five years and keep on waiting for it to go up to previous highs. He says they will never get out, the short will make sure of it no matter what the price of gold(gravel) is. He says they will run them dry.gravel sales will not put a dent in it.
You got it cpi,dead money for 6 years,whats another 6. They have been calling toda moon every year. Its our year says the chief, keep the sheep hanging in Sinclier
good ole TRE. i hope you devotees are 'ALL IN' for the ride to 60.
look around sheeple. there are lots of pretty girls at the dance and they are winking at you. yes, you!
Is about to? For realz? You mean at least 3+ years minimum, if evah. Where are those 100 tonne crushers? {{{{{{crickets}}}}}}}}}
of course I'm going to "hang on". Motherloving company is about to go into production. What moron would sell at this point? Any gold company, for that matter, although ones going into production within 1-3 years are going to reap the most gains. You have to be blind to not see the wave that is coming to the gold sector, in terms of huge profit margins and acquisitions for the ones who can't make it on their own! BTW, new high in gold/$ today.. This company in particular is doing us all a favor by not going the long route of 3+ years to get a mine into production. Buckreef will be going within 18 months! the others within 6-12. There're your indisputable facts, dingbat, and no that's not being harsh, only obvious, although to the oblivious, I guess it's beyond comprehension. I bet you're relieved that the Congress saved us from "default" eh? Approval and credit ratings through the roof!
What a surprise, gold up, trx down, what about that squeezy you predicted Luddy.
Frankie is a fraud. Sad existence bashing shares.
Give it time smarty, its going down, Sincliers bluff is being called and you are trapped no where but down, why not hold some more. Back to the hidey hole it is going to be scary. Dead money for over 6 years, you guys just keep justifying your investment, it will go up someday, remember it is our year, juniors will rise 10 times, how many years back were those statements made, just the facts you can't dispute , just keep hanging on. RIP
lol I just don't get it. Do you still not understand? You can't influence us! You're just not smart enough to put together a convincing argument!
That's right put me on ignore,if it does not fit your agenda of trx going up. go into your hidey hole like your master says, and look out once in a while say 6 years. Talk about dead money. Keep holding and stay in your hole, it will probably be too late. Gold update down 15.00 omg what does that mean for trx, sub 6.0 easy. RIP


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Samuel Soubeyrand and Eric Haon-Lasportes recently published a paper in Statistics and Probability Letters that has some common features with the ABC consistency paper we wrote a few months ago with David Frazier and Gael Martin. And to the recent Li and Fearnhead paper on the asymptotic normality of the ABC distribution. Their approach is however based on a Bernstein-von Mises [CLT] theorem for the MLE or a pseudo-MLE. They assume that the density of this estimator is asymptotically equivalent to a Normal density, in which case the true posterior conditional on the estimator is also asymptotically equivalent to a Normal density centred at the (p)MLE. Which also makes the ABC distribution normal when both the sample size grows to infinity and the tolerance decreases to zero. Which is not completely unexpected. However, in complex settings, establishing the asymptotic normality of the (p)MLE may prove a formidable or even impossible task.
Archive for maximum likelihood estimation
weak convergence (…) in ABCPosted in Books, Statistics, University life with tags ABC, Bernstein-von Mises theorem, consistency, likelihood-free methods, maximum likelihood estimation, pseudo-likelihood, summary statistics on January 18, 2016 by xi'an
efficient approximate Bayesian inference for models with intractable likelihoodPosted in Books, pictures, Statistics, University life with tags ABC, Gaussian processes, Laplace approximation, Linköping University, Matérn covariance function, maximum likelihood estimation, noisy ABC, pMCMC, SMC-ABC, state space model, stochastic volatility, Sweden, Uppsala University on July 6, 2015 by xi'an
Dalhin, Villani [Mattias, not Cédric] and Schön arXived a paper this week with the above title. The type of intractable likelihood they consider is a non-linear state-space (HMM) model and the SMC-ABC they propose is based on an optimised Laplace approximation. That is, replacing the posterior distribution on the parameter θ with a normal distribution obtained by a Taylor expansion of the log-likelihood. There is no obvious solution for deriving this approximation in the case of intractable likelihood functions and the authors make use of a Bayesian optimisation technique called Gaussian process optimisation (GPO). Meaning that the Laplace approximation is the Laplace approximation of a surrogate log-posterior. GPO is a Bayesian numerical method in the spirit of the probabilistic numerics discussed on the 'Og a few weeks ago. In the current setting, this means iterating three steps
- derive an approximation of the log-posterior ξ at the current θ using SMC-ABC
- construct a surrogate log-posterior by a Gaussian process using the past (ξ,θ)'s
- determine the next value of θ
In the first step, a standard particle filter cannot be used to approximate the observed log-posterior at θ because the conditional density of observed given latent is intractable. The solution is to use ABC for the HMM model, in the spirit of many papers by Ajay Jasra and co-authors. However, I find the construction of the substitute model allowing for a particle filter very obscure… (A side effect of the heat wave?!) I can spot a noisy ABC feature in equation (7), but am at a loss as to how the reparameterisation by the transform τ is compatible with the observed-given-latent conditional being unavailable: if the pair (x,v) at time t has a closed form expression, so does (x,y), at least on principle, since y is a deterministic transform of (x,v). Another thing I do not catch is why having a particle filter available prevent the use of a pMCMC approximation.
The second step constructs a Gaussian process posterior on the log-likelihood, with Gaussian errors on the ξ's. The Gaussian process mean is chosen as zero, while the covariance function is a Matérn function. With hyperparameters that are estimated by maximum likelihood estimators (based on the argument that the marginal likelihood is available in closed form). Turning the approach into an empirical Bayes version.
The next design point in the sequence of θ's is the argument of the maximum of a certain acquisition function, which is chosen here as a sort of maximum regret associated with the posterior predictive associated with the Gaussian process. With possible jittering. At this stage, it reminded me of the Gaussian process approach proposed by Michael Gutmann in his NIPS poster last year.
Overall, the method is just too convoluted for me to assess its worth and efficiency without a practical implementation to… practice upon, for which I do not have time! Hence I would welcome any comment from readers having attempted such implementations. I also wonder at the lack of link with Simon Wood's Gaussian approximation that appeared in Nature (2010) and was well-discussed in the Read Paper of Fearnhead and Prangle (2012).
hierarchical models are not Bayesian modelsPosted in Books, Kids, Statistics, University life with tags Bayes estimators, Bayesian foundations, data cloning, Idaho, maximum likelihood estimation, prior feedback, SAME algorithm, simulated annealing on February 18, 2015 by xi'an
When preparing my OxWaSP projects a few weeks ago, I came perchance on a set of slides, entitled "Hierarchical models are not Bayesian", written by Brian Dennis (University of Idaho), where the author argues against Bayesian inference in hierarchical models in ecology, much in relation with the previously discussed paper of Subhash Lele. The argument is the same, namely a possibly major impact of the prior modelling on the resulting inference, in particular when some parameters are hardly identifiable, the more when the model is complex and when there are many parameters. And that "data cloning" being available since 2007, frequentist methods have "caught up" with Bayesian computational abilities.
Let me remind the reader that "data cloning" means constructing a sequence of Bayes estimators corresponding to the data being duplicated (or cloned) once, twice, &tc., until the point estimator stabilises. Since this corresponds to using increasing powers of the likelihood, the posteriors concentrate more and more around the maximum likelihood estimator. And even recover the Hessian matrix. This technique is actually older than 2007 since I proposed it in the early 1990's under the name of prior feedback, with earlier occurrences in the literature like D'Epifanio (1989) and even the discussion of Aitkin (1991). A more efficient version of this approach is the SAME algorithm we developed in 2002 with Arnaud Doucet and Simon Godsill where the power of the likelihood is increased during iterations in a simulated annealing version (with a preliminary version found in Duflo, 1996).
I completely agree with the author that a hierarchical model does not have to be Bayesian: when the random parameters in the model are analysed as sources of additional variations, as for instance in animal breeding or ecology, and integrated out, the resulting model can be analysed by any statistical method. Even though one may wonder at the motivations for selecting this particular randomness structure in the model. And at an increasing blurring between what is prior modelling and what is sampling modelling as the number of levels in the hierarchy goes up. This rather amusing set of slides somewhat misses a few points, in particular the ability of data cloning to overcome identifiability and multimodality issues. Indeed, as with all simulated annealing techniques, there is a practical difficulty in avoiding the fatal attraction of a local mode using MCMC techniques. There are thus high chances data cloning ends up in the "wrong" mode. Moreover, when the likelihood is multimodal, it is a general issue to decide which of the modes is most relevant for inference. In which sense is the MLE more objective than a Bayes estimate, then? Further, the impact of a prior on some aspects of the posterior distribution can be tested by re-running a Bayesian analysis with different priors, including empirical Bayes versions or, why not?!, data cloning, in order to understand where and why huge discrepancies occur. This is part of model building, in the end.
maximum likelihood: an introductionPosted in Books, Statistics with tags Bahadur, International Statistical Review, Likelihood Principle, Lucien Le Cam, maximum likelihood estimation on December 20, 2014 by xi'an
"Basic Principle 0. Do not trust any principle." L. Le Cam (1990)
Here is the abstract of a International Statistical Rewiew 1990 paper by Lucien Le Cam on maximum likelihood. ISR keeping a tradition of including an abstract in French for every paper, Le Cam (most presumably) wrote his own translation [or maybe wrote the French version first], which sounds much funnier to me and so I cannot resist posting both, pardon my/his French! [I just find "Ce fait" rather unusual, as I would have rather written "Ceci fait"…]:
Maximum likelihood estimates are reported to be best under all circumstances. Yet there are numerous simple examples where they plainly misbehave. One gives some examples for problems that had not been invented for the purpose of annoying maximum likelihood fans. Another example, imitated from Bahadur, has been specially created with just such a purpose in mind. Next, we present a list of principles leading to the construction of good estimates. The main principle says that one should not believe in principles but study each problem for its own sake.
L'auteur a ouï dire que la méthode du maximum de vraisemblance est la meilleure méthode d'estimation. C'est bien vrai, et pourtant la méthode se casse le nez sur des exemples bien simples qui n'avaient pas été inventés pour le plaisir de montrer que la méthode peut être très désagréable. On en donne quelques-uns, plus un autre, imité de Bahadur et fabriqué exprès pour ennuyer les admirateurs du maximum de vraisemblance. Ce fait, on donne une savante liste de principes de construction de bons estimateurs, le principe principal étant qu'il ne faut pas croire aux principes.
The entire paper is just as witty, as in describing the mixture model as "contaminated and not fit to drink"! Or in "Everybody knows that taking logarithms is unfair". Or, again, in "biostatisticians, being complicated people, prefer to work out not with the dose y but with its logarithm"… And a last line: "One possibility is that there are too many horse hairs in e".
Statistical modeling and computation [book review]Posted in Books, R, Statistics, University life with tags ANU, Australia, Bayesian Essentials with R, Bayesian statistics, Brisbane, Dirk Kroese, introductory textbooks, Joshua Chan, Matlab, maximum likelihood estimation, Monte Carlo methods, Monte Carlo Statistical Methods, R, state space model on January 22, 2014 by xi'an
Dirk Kroese (from UQ, Brisbane) and Joshua Chan (from ANU, Canberra) just published a book entitled Statistical Modeling and Computation, distributed by Springer-Verlag (I cannot tell which series it is part of from the cover or frontpages…) The book is intended mostly for an undergrad audience (or for graduate students with no probability or statistics background). Given that prerequisite, Statistical Modeling and Computation is fairly standard in that it recalls probability basics, the principles of statistical inference, and classical parametric models. In a third part, the authors cover "advanced models" like generalised linear models, time series and state-space models. The specificity of the book lies in the inclusion of simulation methods, in particular MCMC methods, and illustrations by Matlab code boxes. (Codes that are available on the companion website, along with R translations.) It thus has a lot in common with our Bayesian Essentials with R, meaning that I am not the most appropriate or least
unbiased reviewer for this book. Continue reading
optimal estimation of parameters (book review)Posted in Books, Statistics with tags Bayesian theory, coding, inference, maximum capacity estimator, maximum likelihood estimation, Rissanen, Shannonś information, statistical theory on September 12, 2013 by xi'an
As I had read some of Jorma Rissanen's papers in the early 1990's when writing The Bayesian Choice, I was quite excited to learn that Rissanen had written a book on the optimal estimation of parameters, where he presents and develops his own approach to statistical inference (estimation and testing). As explained in the Preface this was induced by having to deliver the 2009 Shannon Lecture at the Information Theory Society conference.
"Very few statisticians have been studying information theory, the result of which, I think, is the disarray of the present discipline of statistics." J. Rissanen (p.2)
Now that I have read the book (between Venezia in the peaceful and shaded Fundamenta Sacca San Girolamo and Hong Kong, so maybe in too a leisurely and off-handed manner), I am not so excited… It is not that the theory presented in optimal estimation of parameters is incomplete or ill-presented: the book is very well-written and well-designed, if in a highly personal (and borderline lone ranger) style. But the approach Rissanen advocates, namely maximum capacity as a generalisation of maximum likelihood, does not seem to relate to my statistical perspective and practice. Even though he takes great care to distance himself from Bayesian theory by repeating that the prior distribution is not necessary for his theory of optimal estimation ("priors are not needed in the general MDL principle", p.4). my major source of incomprehension lies with the choice of incorporating the estimator within the data density to produce a new density, as in
Indeed, this leads to (a) replace a statistical model with a structure that mixes the model and the estimation procedure and (b) peak the new distribution by always choosing the most appropriate (local) value of the parameter. For a normal sample with unknown mean θ, this produces for instance to a joint normal distribution that is degenerate since
(For a single observation it is not even defined.) In a similar spirit, Rissanen defines this estimated model for dynamic data in a sequential manner, which means in the end that x1 is used n times, x2 n-1 times, and so on.., This asymmetry does not sound logical, especially when considering sufficiency.
"…the misunderstanding that the more parameters there are in the model the better it is because it is closer to the `truth' and the `truth' obviously is not simple" J. Rissanen (p.38)
Another point of contention with the approach advocated in optimal estimation of parameters is the inherent discretisation of the parameter space, which seems to exclude large dimensional spaces and complex models. I somehow subscribe to the idea that a given sample (hence a given sample size) induces a maximum precision in the estimation that can be translated into using a finite number of parameter values, but the implementation suggested in the book is essentially unidimensional. I also find the notion of optimality inherent to the statistical part of optimal estimation of parameters quite tautological as it ends up being a target that leads to the maximum likelihood estimator (or its pseudo-Bayesian counterpart).
"The BIC criterion has neither information nor a probability theoretic interpretation, and it does not matter which measure for consistency is selected." J. Rissanen (p.64)
The first part of the book is about coding and information theory; it amounts in my understanding to a justification of the Kullback-Leibler divergence, with an early occurrence (p.27) of the above estimation distribution. (The channel capacity is the normalising constant of this weird density.)
"…in hypothesis testing [where] the assumptions that the hypotheses are `true' has misguided the entire field by generating problems which do not exist and distorting rational solutions to problems that do exist." J. Rissanen (p.41)
I have issues with the definition of confidence intervals as they rely on an implicit choice of a measure and have a constant coverage that decreases with the parameter dimension. This notion also seem to clash with the subsequent discretisation of the parameter space. Hypothesis testing à la Rissanen reduces to an assessment of a goodness of fit, again with fixed coverage properties. Interestingly, the acceptance and rejection regions are based on two quantities, the likelihood ratio and the KL distance (p. 96), which leads to a delayed decision if they do not agree wrt fixed bounds.
"A drawback of the prediction formulas is that they require the knowledge of the ARMA parameters." J. Rissanen (p.141)
A final chapter on sequential (or dynamic) models reminded me that Rissanen was at the core of inventing variable order Markov chains. The remainder of this chapter provides some properties of the sequential normalised maximum likelihood estimator advocated by the author in the same spirit as the earlier versions. The whole chapter feels (to me) somewhat disconnected from
In conclusion, Rissanen's book is a definitely interesting entry on a perplexing vision of statistics. While I do not think it will radically alter our understanding and practice of statistics, it is worth perusing, if only to appreciate there are still people (far?) out there attempting to bring a new vision of the field.
A misleading title…Posted in Books, R, Statistics, University life with tags bootstrap, fitting statistical distributions, generalized lambda distribution, GLDEX, International Statistical Review, John Tukey, Maple, Matlab, maximum likelihood estimation, quantile distribution, R on September 5, 2011 by xi'an
When I received this book, Handbook of fitting statistical distributions with R, by Z. Karian and E.J. Dudewicz, from/for the Short Book Reviews section of the International Statistical Review, I was obviously impressed by its size (around 1700 pages and 3 kilos…). From briefly glancing at the table of contents, and the list of standard distributions appearing as subsections of the first chapters, I thought that the authors were covering different estimation/fitting techniques for most of the standard distributions. After taking a closer look at the book, I think the cover is misleading in several aspects: this is not a handbook (a.k.a. a reference book), it does not cover standard statistical distributions, the R input is marginal, and the authors only wrote part of the book, since about half of the chapters are written by other authors…


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A glimpse at 'Rock the Block'
Artists from across the planet gathered at one of the oldest bowling alleys in America last night.
The student-organized "Rock the Block" was held in the wood-paneled and twinkle light-festooned function room of the Polish Falcons, at the Falcon Bowl in Riverwest, as part of an international conference of printmakers in Milwaukee this week. »Read Full Blog Post
For 3 friends at Milwaukee show, Beatlemania lasts 50 years
Did Barb Pellowski, Karen Marzion and Gloria Olson go see the Beatles when they played Milwaukee? Were they in the front row? And did they scream the whole time?
Yeah, yeah...no. »Read Full Article(5)


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Keeping up with daytime drama
THE BOLD AND THE BEAUTIFUL: After Alison warned Maya of what she would face if she didn't cut all ties to Rick, Carter offered to help Maya deal with Bill's blackmail. When Steffy returned to work, she came face to face with Hope and told her to back off from Liam and stop messing with their marriage. Bill was caught off-guard when Donna revealed that she knew about his night with Brooke. Eric was torn when Brooke pressured him to assist with her cover-up and made him a proposition he had never refused in the past. When Taylor apologized to Bill for her accusations about him and Brooke, he was floored by Taylor's disclosure that Brooke is dating another man.
Coming: Bill intends to find out his "competition."
DAYS OF OUR LIVES: Presented by Marlena with proof of Kristen's deception, a furious Brady confronted Kristen and wanted nothing more to do with her. After being tempted in his misery by a drug dealer, Brady was comforted by Nicole. During a showdown with Marlena, Kristen shared shocking information about John that had lasting repercussions. JJ manipulated Jennifer, who unknowingly helped him get enough cash to start selling drugs. Nick apologized to Will and finally told Gabi what happened to him in prison, and that he has been blackmailing Will. In an emotional moment, Will met his baby daughter. Made aware of Nicole's true feelings for him, Eric questioned her.
Coming: Kristen plans her next move.
GENERAL HOSPITAL: Lulu remembered the trauma of Stavros and shared everything with Dante. The mystery man visited the Quartermaine crypt, as AJ and Monica discussed the meaning of the strange text message. When the party guests learned the identity of their host, chaos ensued. Nik was tormented over whether to tell Liz about AJ and Carly's tryst. Luke was hospitalized with a condition that could be very serious, and only Tracy managed to get him to stay in his room and undergo more tests. Morgan began to gamble online. Michael and Kiki shared an intimate moment and opted to keep it a secret from Morgan.
Coming: Luke refuses to face the truth.
THE YOUNG AND THE RESTLESS: Michael admitted to Paul that he was holding back on divorcing Lauren because of the effect it would have on Fen. At the same time, Carmine tried to convince Fen that his parents would be better off if they separated. Kevin was caught by surprise to learn that Chloe intends to sell Crimson Lights. A fed-up Billy told Victoria that he doesn't want a baby if she remains fixated on trying to one-up Adam. Despite Chelsea ordering Adam to stop calling her doctor, Adam approached the physician's office after Chelsea and Dylan left their appointment. Summer and Kyle ended their date with a kiss. Neil learned that Leslie and Devon were pursuing other work opportunities.
Coming: Carmine gets in the middle of family business once too often.Tribune Media Services


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So we play in Cleveland this weekend, meaning we will be able to utilize the DH. Who do you put there?
Bring Edwin off the DL and let him DH
Other (please specify)
Freel is hot right now, play him and DH Dunn or JR
Go Gators!
I can't play the field, but I can certainly throw the bat at a pitched ball.
This is a tough call. Likely, Griffey and Dunn will DH a game each and someone else, EDDY, in another game. However, I think Dunn should be DH'ing because he's one of the worst, if not the worst, outfielders in the game. Yes, Griffey is injury prone, but he's a much better defender than Dunn. Wouldn't this be a great time to try Freel in center with Griffey in left while Dunn DH's? I think so.
Another option would be to DH Lopez trying Phillips out at SS. Aurilia or Freel could fill in at 2B. I think everyone would like to get a taste of Phillips at SS. Very unlikely, but maybe try it out a game. I do believe Phillips would make a better SS than Lopez, but I'm not completely sold on it. How would Phillips semi-sidearm action work throwing from SS to 1B? I'm not convinced it'd be great because it resembles Eddy's action a little bit. It's not the most accurate way of throwing the ball. All that being said, I would like to see Phillips get the nod at SS once this weekend.
"....the two players I liked watching the most were Barry Larkin and Eric Davis. I was suitably entertained by their effortless skill that I didn't need them crashing into walls like a squirrel on a coke binge." - dsmith421
Griffey and Dunn will probably each DH 1 game.
I wouldnt be surprised if Lopez is the DH on one of the games so that Castro or Aurilia can play shortstop.
quite possibly castro as SS but not aurilia.Originally Posted by CTA513
Get your nunchucks and the keys to your dad's car. I know where we can get a gun
I say get the best players you have on the field, at the same time giving guys a rest where needed.
game 1: lf-dunn cf-freel rf-kearns dh-griffey
game 2: lf-freel cf-griffey rf-kearnsdh-dunn
game 3: lf-dunn cf-freel- rf-kearns dh-griffey
by getting freel in the lineup it improves our team defense,speed and allows us to give griffey and dunn some rest from the outfield grind. I then go with the normal infield, except I give Aurilia and a catcher not named Ross one start.
I voted for Junior to dh.
Junior rests: Center fielder Ken Griffey Jr. was out of Thursday's lineup against the Mets. Part of the reason was Griffey's history against starter Pedro Martinez (1-for-14, six strikeouts). But mostly it was because this was a day game after a night game.
Reds manager Jerry Narron let Griffey pick which game of this series he would take off.
"I could have told you what day he was going to pick," Narron said. "It has nothing to do with who's pitching, I can tell you that. If Sandy Koufax was pitching last night and somebody else today, he would have taken the day game off."
Narron then pondered the dream encounter -- Junior vs. Koufax?
"That would have been a pretty good matchup," Narron said.
Ryan Freel, who played third base the previous three games, moved to center field in place of Griffey, and Juan Castro started at third.
This weekend against Cleveland, Narron planned to use Griffey as the designated hitter in one or two games.
Now you're thinkin.Originally Posted by Redhook
Too bad that means Aurillia would probably be the most likely candidate to play 2B if Phillips plays SS.
Not necessarily. Freel is pretty hot despite the game today. And with EE on the DL there's plenty of room to get both Freel and Aurilia both in the lineup. Plus, Aurilia still might not be 100% for the weekend. I see Freel playing all 3 games at 3 different positions.Originally Posted by Highlifeman21
"....the two players I liked watching the most were Barry Larkin and Eric Davis. I was suitably entertained by their effortless skill that I didn't need them crashing into walls like a squirrel on a coke binge." - dsmith421
what do you guys think the line-up will be??? I would like to see this one.. We should be able to score plenty of runs for Harang, Arroyo, and Ramirez with that one!
1. Freel -CF
2. Lopez -SS
3. Griffey-DH
4. Kearns-RF
5. Dunn -LF
6. Hatteberg-1st
7. Phillips-2nd
8. Ross -C
9. Aurilia -3rd
"There is a great man who makes every man feel small. But the real great man is the man who makes every man feel great." G.K Charleston
DH Castro
Bring up Denorfia after a DFA of Hammond. Start him in 3 straight.
Just an idea. And a far-fetched one at that.
Some people play baseball. Baseball plays Jay Bruce.
Don't be surprised when it happensOriginally Posted by gitrdunn44
Go Gators!
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3 posts tagged with cats by twine42.
Displaying 1 through 3 of 3.
Stop my cats bringing home takeout dinners
My cats have started bringing wildlife in again and it's, frankly, a health hazard. I'd love to try and implement something like Flo Control to bar the little sods if they've brought takeaway but otherwise let them wander in and out freely. I want suggestions on off the shelf products I could buy and/or hints on how to do it myself... [more inside]
How do I scare off cats without scaring off cats?
Help me banish evil invader cat from my garden without scaring off the natives. Difficulty : it's my landlord's cat... [more inside]
How quickly do other animals react to changes in light, and why are we so slow by comparison? [more inside]
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