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Welcome to today's Surrey Live - bringing you breaking news, all the latest headlines from around the county and regular traffic & travel updates.
If there's something you want to tell us about, tweet @getsurrey, post on our Facebook page or email Surrey Live.
GOOD NIGHT: Thanks joining me on this incredibly hot Friday July 18. GuilFest is well truly underway and Surrey is recovering from the thunder and lightning storms - check out the incredible pictures
Hope you have a good weekend.
GUILFEST: The party is well and truly underway with revellers basking in the sunshine listening to great music.
And you can keep up to date on our excellent GuilFest live blog throughout the weekend.
Here's some coverage from today:
GuilFest campers describe 'awesome' storm on first night in tents
Quiz: GuilFest 2014 day one
Five festival-goers you will meet at GuilFest
GuilFest day one weather forecast
M25 DELAYS: The delays because of an earlier broken down vehicle on the M25 anticlockwise between junction 13 A30 Staines and junction 12 M3. Lane one (of five) was closed prior to 3.40pm.
Traffic has also returned to normal on the M25 clockwise between junction 12 M3 and junction 15 M4
PROMS: More students dressed to impress at their end of year celebrations. This time it's pupils from Tomlinscote School.
More proms
Sunbury Manor students arrive at leavers' prom in style
Proms picture special: Thamesmead School leavers
Proms picture special: Magna Carta School leavers
Proms picture special: Winston Churchill School leavers
Proms picture special: Bishop Wand CofE School
Proms picture special: Rydens Enterprise School
Proms picture special: Kings International College
Proms picture special: Collingwood College
Prom pictures: Broadwater School Year 11 leavers
Proms picture special: Woking High School Year 11 leavers
Proms picture special: St John the Baptist School
Proms picture special: Hinchley Wood School
Proms picture special: Bishop David Brown School
Proms picture special: Royal Alexandra & Albert School
Proms pictures: Rodborough Technology College
Proms picture special: Year 11 Glebelands School
Proms picture special: All Hallows Catholic School
Pic special as Guildford County School kicks off prom season
THUNDER: We were fortunate enough to get several dramatic pictures of the thunder and lightning storm in Surrey on Thursday evening.
Have you checked out the stunning pictures and video yet?
It's been our most viewed story today.
CHERTSEY FIRE News of a slightly alarming incident in Stepgates, Chertsey.
Fire crews have rescued a 18-year-old man who impaled himself on a scaffold board while he was working from 30ft.
Crews from Chertsey, Painshill and Cobham received the call at around 5pm on Friday July 18.
A firefighter from Chertesy Fire Station said: "A young man had impaled his hand on a scaffold board around 2ft long.
"We had to use our aerial ladder platform to rescue the man from the scaffold as he was about 30 ft in the air.
"The man was brought down with the scaffold board still embedded in his hand as it was to dangerous to remove from height.
"Ambulance crews were on scene and took him to hospital once he was safely on the ground."
Fire crews were on the scene for approximately an hour.
A3 DELAYS: There has been various delays on the A3. One of our reporters Russell Butt has been tweeting about the incident and he's understandably far from happy considering the heat.
I'm parked with ignition off. Never seen anything like this before. This is the sliproad ON to the A3 pic.twitter.com/A02SrcfsUr— Russell Butt (@ChertseyRussell) July 18, 2014
GUILFEST: Remember you can keep you up to speed with all the news, updates, gossip, video and much more from the festival on our GuilFest live blog
And we now have a quiz based around the first day of the festival, which of course is far from finished with the Fun Loving Criminals and the Boomtown Rats still to appear on the main stage.
TRAVEL: A few breaking incidents affecting traffic on the M25.
1, Three lanes closed and traffic is queuing after an accident on the M25 anticlockwise between junction 9 A243/A245/B2430 - Leatherhead and junction 8 A217 Reigate with congestion on the M25 to junction 10 A3 Wisley Interchange.
Lanes one, two and three (of four) are closed.
There is also a lane closure further round for a vehicle fire, although traffic approaching that lane closure is coping well.
2, Queueing traffic on the M25 clockwise between junction 11 A317 Chertsey and junction 15 M4.
The travel time is around 35 minutes but no accidents or incidents have been reported.
3, Queueing traffic due to an earlier broken down vehicle on the M25 anticlockwise between junction 13 A30 (Staines) and junction 12 M3. This had caused congestion to junction 14 A3113 Airport Way / Horton Road (Heathrow Terminal 4).
Lane one (of five) was closed but it has since reopened.
A3 INCIDENT: News of a serious incident on the A3 London bound between A244 Copsem Lane, Esher Common and the A243 Hook Road. There's congestion on the A3 back to the A245 Portsmouth Road, Painshill. Tailbacks for six miles.
All lanes have now been reopened. All northbound traffic had been stopped from 5pm until 5.40pm in the Hook Underpass after a pedestrian fell onto the motorway.
Delays of over an hour reported.
We will keep you updated.
COBHAM FIRE: Details of a dramatic fire from Cobham last night.
The owner of a Cobham farm struck by lightning last night has spoken of his dramatic attempt to tame the resulting fire.
Leslie Healey, 60, happened to be awake in Hazeldene Farm, Ockham Lane, as the 'loud bang' struck the building at just before 2am.
He said: "We took the hit on the TV aerial, a tremendous explosion.
"My daughter and I went downstairs and could see an orange glow coming from beneath the living room door."
More to follow..
A3 HINDHEAD TUNNEL: More info now on this incident.
A vehicle fire after a collision sparked major delays around the A3 Hindhead Tunnel on Friday afternoon (July 18).
The crash happened at around 3.25pm on the southbound carriageway on Old Portsmouth Road.
One of the two cars - a Volkswagen Golf and a Vauxhall Zafira - went up in flames.
Surrey Police said one man was treated for shock at the scene by South East Coast Ambulance Service.
The access to the Hindhead Tunnel was initially blocked but it has now been reopened.
There was congestion on the A3 back to the B3000 Puttenham.
A diversion via the Thursley slip roads was set up to ease the road jams.
Surrey Fire and Rescue Service attended the incident.
GUILFEST: We have compiled a tongue in cheek guide to the type of stereotypical revellers you might bump into at the festival. Before I get hate mail, I am probably somewhere between a rocker and a raver myself!
GOOD EVENING: I will be taking you through the last few hours on SurreyLive.
We will be keeping you posted with the incident on the A3 near Hindhead Tunnel.
Below is a statement from RideLondon regarding a late change to the course:
A small change has been made to the route for the Prudential RideLondon-Surrey Classic on Sunday 10 August, part of the Mayor of London's festival of cycling.
It is not possible to race this year on certain parts of the road through the Denbies Estate. The route has accordingly been modified but still provides the technical challenge for the professional field.
The route instead runs along the edge of Denbies on the A24 and continues through to the village of Westhumble and climbs up the North Downs to the summit at Ranmore Common with its stunning vistas of the Surrey Hills.
"This small change still sets a testing challenge for the world's best riders," said Mick Bennett, Race Director. "We are delighted with the response from teams and we look forward to staging the best ever one-day Classic to be held in the UK."
The Denbies Wine Estate will be a major draw on the day as it is hosting the Prudential Cycle Festival with bike-based entertainment, local food and drink stalls, family picnic areas, children's activities and a giant screen showing the BBC's live coverage of the Prudential RideLondon-Surrey Classic. The beautiful grounds of the vineyard in the Surrey Hills Area of Outstanding Natural Beauty provide a unique setting to spend the day, soak up the atmosphere and cheer on some of the biggest names in professional cycling.
"Thousands remember the amazing Festival here at Denbies during the Olympic Games," said Chris White, General Manager of Denbies. "This year's Festival will be even bigger and better with some great bike-based entertainment for all the family – including a mini velodrome."
GUILFEST: Get Surrey has reporters all weekend at GuilFest- right now we are blogging from Stoke Park- click here to join David Stubbings bringing you all the latest news and views from this year's festival.
TRAFFIC: A322 Guilford Road partially blocked due to accident, a lorry and a car involved at Brentmoor Road / High Street.
We have an accident on the A3 southbound at A309 Hook Rise. Lane two is closed whilst emergency services deal with a collision on the northbound side.
Slow traffic on A246 Waterden Road out of town at A25 Epsom Road.
Heavy traffic on A31 at A325 Shepherd And Flock Roundabout.
A25 Parkway out of town busy but moving at A3100 London Road Roundabout.
Heavy traffic on A246 York Road into town at A322 Onslow Street
Slow traffic on A322 Bagshot Road Southbound between B3430 New Forest Ride (Coral Reef Roundabout) and A332 Swinley Road (Swinley Road Gyratory).
GUILFEST: We have put together a tongue and cheek look at the five strerotypical revellers you will bump into at this year's festival.
They include the Old School Raver, the Deck Chair Couple, the Rocker, Obsessive Fan and the sun worshipping Brit.
COBHAM FIRE: The storms last night caused a fire at a Cobham farm after lightning struck an aerial.
Firefighters were called to tackle the blaze at Hazledene Farm in Ockham Lane just before 2am.
A spokesman from Painshill fire station said: "Lightning struck the aerial, travelled down to the power socket on the TV and caught fire, setting light to the curtains.
"A resident started to put it out before officers in breathing apparatus entered the building, using one hose reel to extinguish it."
A3 CAR FIRE: Main carriageway closed and long delays due to car fire, accident, two vehicles involved and recovery work on A3 Southbound at Old Portsmouth Road (Thursley interchange), congestion to B3000 (Puttenham / Compton). Note change of details.
It happened at 3:25PM, underneath the Thursley interchange. One of the cars involved caught fire earlier. The accident was believed to be blocking access to the Hindhead Tunnel earlier, but police confirm that traffic can divert via the junction above.
short diversion via the Thursley slip roads above.


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S&W 66-1 Timing
Tools and Technologies
Handguns: Revolvers
> S&W 66-1 Timing
March 2, 2012, 03:58 PM
Where can I order a "hand" or "pawl" (the thingy that comes out and turns the cylinder) for my S&W 66-1?
If you enjoyed reading about "S&W 66-1 Timing" here in TheHighRoad.org archive, you'll LOVE our community. Come join
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March 2, 2012, 04:27 PM
Here (http://www.gunpartscorp.com/catalog/Products.aspx?catid=10061) and here (http://www.brownells.com/.aspx/pid=9847/avs|Make_3=Smith%20zzxzz%20Wesson/Product/S-W-COMPETITION-HAND). Call S&W, too.
Before ordering, though, it's worth a call to any of these to be 100% sure it's the right part.
March 2, 2012, 08:42 PM
more than just the pawl controls timin'....don't just throw parts at it.....
March 3, 2012, 10:04 AM
Thanks MrBorland and ghitch75.
What besides the hand can cause the timing issue? It only happens on 3 of the 6 chambers.
March 3, 2012, 06:28 PM
i would send it to Smith and let them fix it....
March 3, 2012, 08:14 PM
What besides the hand can cause the timing issue? It only happens on 3 of the 6 chambers.
A number of things:
Generally, the back of the ejector (specifically where the hand pushes on each ratchet), and/or the cylinder stop slots. One or more of either may be ever-so-slightly out of shape. Either of these is more likely than the hand if only some of the chambers are affected.
btw, does it seem to always be the same chambers affected, and are the 3 chambers next to each other?
March 3, 2012, 09:13 PM
For newer versions of Smiths, the extractor star is replaced to correct timing, on that vintage gun, it's the hand. A standard hand may correct it, tho they used to make an oversize hand. I didnt see them last time I looked at Brownells, but I may have missed them.
It's very common for one or a couple-3 chambers to go out of time. I've never seen all go out. The hand may drop in, or it may need a little fitting. Just get one and try it, see what happens. The part doesn't cost much. If that doesnt fix it, (and it probably will), you arent out much.
March 3, 2012, 09:23 PM
I may have missed where you said, but how is it out of time on three chambers?
Is it setting on the couch, cocking it as slowly as possible using both hands, while watching the bolt through the crack in the light from the TV.
Or is it failing to carry up in normal single or double action use?
The first is not a problem, because you never use the gun like that.
If it cocks & locks when used at normal speed, I would not worry about it.
If it gets worse and fails to carry up at normal operating speed, send it to S&W for an oil change & overhaul.
March 3, 2012, 09:28 PM
I disagree. It should function positively even with slight resistance on the cylinder.
Yes, you may be able to "get away with it" to use a gun that's out of time, but it isn't functioning right under those conditions, and should be corrected.
March 4, 2012, 05:05 AM
Isn't that problem covered under the S&W warranted? If so they even cover the S&H both ways.
March 4, 2012, 09:23 AM
I tend to agree with Malamute.
There is no quantifiable "normal" speed; a revolver should lock into place on the next chamber even when cocked slowly for positive function. Of course you can get away with out it, but not when it starts to get dirty, or if one stages the trigger, or if one cocks the hammer at less than ideal speed and thoroughness, etc.
March 4, 2012, 09:36 AM
I'd take a close look at the cylinder bolt/stop. You may just need an oversize bolt and or spring.
If under warranty e-mail for a call tag and let S&W have at it....they made it they know how to fix it.
March 4, 2012, 09:54 AM
Powers makes a over size hand. I bought mine from Midway.
Several good books on the subject, Jerry Kuhnhausen's book THE S&W REVOLVER IS A a wealth of knowledge.
You might as well buy a yoke alignment rod and some end shake shims while your at it.
Keeping your own wheel gun running is a worthwhile skill.
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subset: commoncrawl


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The flu vaccine is safe for myeloma patients and the IMF recommends that all myeloma patients receive a flu shot annually.
The National Institutes of Health's Center for Disease Control (CDC) recommends that stem cell transplant patients receive a flu shot six months post-transplant.
The "high-dose flu vaccine" is approved for use only in people 65 years of age and older. It was developed with the knowledge that human immune defenses become weaker with age, which places older people at greater risk of severe illness from influenza.
The high-dose vaccine contains four times the amount of antigen contained in the regular flu shot, to create a stronger immune response in this susceptible population. However, the potential for side effects from this higher-dose shot is greater than with the lower-dose shot.
If patients 65 or older have had the flu shot before with no complications, it is probably safe for them to get the high-dose shot. Patients 65 and older who have never before had a flu shot, however, should get the regular-dose vaccine.
As always, we recommend you discuss your individual situation with your doctor.
Third in the popular series of debates that debuted in Amsterdam in 2012.
Conference aired at 1:00 pm CEST/7:00 am Eastern/4:00 am Pacific


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We introduced Zeno's Paradox in the very beginning of this class. The purpose was not to frustrate you. I wanted to sensitize you to a point that will come up again and again in this class: Our mental constructs - our more precise 'languages' including logical thinking and mathematical descriptions of phenomena - are NOT necessarily mirrors of the reality that we access through our senses. Here is an example of a situation - Achilles trying to catch up with the frustratingly slow tortoise - and yet he can't! We know, in our sensory universe, that this is impossible - of course Achilles can and will catch up. And, yet, when Zeno expresses this in an apparently more precise language, we cannot point to what mistake he is making. He comes up with an unexpected conclusion - a conclusion which 'reality' as we know it does not support: Zeno 'shows' that Achilles will never manage to catch up with the tortoise.
Here is how it works: Assume that Achilles runs with a speed that is 10 times the speed of the tortoise. We give the animal a 100 yard start - just to be fair. By the time Achilles has covered the 100-yard distance, the tortoise has moved by 10 yards [1/10th of 100]. By the time Achilles has covered the 10 yards, the tortoise has covered 1/10 of that = 1 yard. By the time Achilles has covered that distance [1 yard] the tortoise has moved by 1/10 of a yard. By the time Achilles has covered that, the tortoise has moved by 1/10 of that = 1/100; and so on - 1/1000, 1/1000000, .... The distance becomes infinitely small, but it never becomes zero.
Achilles has to perform an infinite number of tasks to catch up with the tortoise. Mathematicians might tell you that we can estimate the sum of an infinite series - but the key word here is ESTIMATE. The sum of an infinite series is a limit - not the actual outcome of an additive operation. No one - not even a mathematician, can really perform the operation of adding up an ... infinite number of things.
Many famous thinkers have tried to dissolve this paradox - to figure out and point to the little trick that leads to this impressive but obviously wrong conclusion. But, generally, the paradox proves elusive and frustrates and embarrasses those who try to tackle it.
The point we want to make in this class is this: We cannot take it for granted that our mental constructs, which we advance to 'describe' reality, correspond to the reality that becomes available to us through our senses. For instance, in geometry, we deal with lines and triangles, which do not exist in reality! To take one example, geometrical lines have no thickness - no dimensions. Can you ever find, or even imagine, any such line? Can you find a dimensionless line like this? Even if you close your eyes, can you ever imagine such a line?
We will see in this course, especially when we study philosophy of knowledge, that this distinction between 'reality' and the ways we have for describing or grasping 'reality' makes us run into trouble time and again. Our common sense tells us, of course, that there is a correspondence between reality and the ways we have of thinking about reality. But are we sure? How do we know? How can we tell WITHOUT BEGGING THE QUESTION? [This is what this means: we should not ASSUME that our mental constructs do correspond to reality; THIS - the correspondence - is what we would like to prove; but if we are to trust our common sense, we would be assuming it, not proving it!]
No cause to despair. Just bear in mind that we cannot simply trust common sense as we embark on this philosophical journey. In the end, many might actually return to good old common sense, but this too should be the outcome of a sustained philosophic investigation. We want to examine, inquire, question - we do not want to assume anything or take anything for granted simply because it 'looks so.'
Check http://www.pfizer.com/brain/etour7.html for a contemporary-scientific view of the brain's functions; does this view square with the points I have raised above on the occsaion of discussing Zon's paradoxes? In what respects does evolutionary biology - the deeper theory behind medical and scientific view of the brain - prove consistent with the claim that we cannot describe what is out there in the way in which it is out there? Are there differences between the approaches - the philosophic and the evolutionary-biological?
Page with Philosophical Paradoxes and Discussion


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Further history revealed the placement of metal dentition 2½ years earlier, correlating with the onset of skin changes.
We diagnosed the patient as having allergic contact dermatitis to nickel in her dental work. Differential diagnosis includes irritant contact dermatitis (lip-licker's dermatitis), impetigo/infection, and eczema (atopic dermatitis). A detailed exposure history and attention to clues on cutaneous examination can distinguish between these entities. There was no exudate, weeping, or crust suggesting infection, which can be excluded with bacterial/viral cultures. Earlobe involvement associated with nickel-containing earring exposure heightened suspicion of allergic contact dermatitis, as did the marked intraoral inflammation and edema. Patch testing can confirm the diagnosis of allergic contact dermatitis but is not always indicated unless lesions persist despite allergen avoidance and empirical therapy failure.
Contact dermatitis is a common inflammatory skin condition that manifests as pruritic, erythematous, well-demarcated papules or plaques on exposed areas (typically hands, face, and neck). It is further differentiated into irritant vs allergic. Irritant contact dermatitis is caused by non–immune-mediated, usually chronic irritation leading to nonspecific inflammation. For example, it commonly occurs periorally due to saliva from excessive lip licking.1
Allergic contact dermatitis is a delayed hypersensitivity reaction (type IV) that is T-cell mediated and requires repeated exposure. A specific antigen stimulates previously sensitized CD4+ T cells to enable an inflammatory response including increased local vascular permeability, pruritus, pain, erythema, edema, and tissue damage.2 Common causes in children include poison ivy (Toxicodendron radicans), nickel, neomycin, and fragrance.1 Nickel is commonly used as a component in other metals, eg, white gold, gold plating, German silver, solder, and stainless steel. Acutely, nickel contact dermatitis commonly presents as pruritic macules and papules in the periumbilical area (from jeans snaps or metal buttons), wrists (from watches), and earlobes (from "costume" jewelry).3 Subacute to chronic allergic contact dermatitis often presents as lichenified or fissured dermatitis.1
Oral allergic contact dermatitis may require a high index of suspicion as many people sensitive to costume jewelry can tolerate dental metals containing nickel.4 Oral manifestations can include cheilitis, gingivitis, stomatitis, perioral dermatitis, burning mouth syndrome, and lichenoid reaction.2,3 Nickel, amalgam, palladium, and gold have been implicated as allergens in dental materials, but clinical presentations can be identical.5 Dental crowns can be ceramic, metal-ceramic, cast-gold alloys, or base metal alloys. Cast-gold alloys are nonreactive with little potential for adverse biological response but with the disadvantage of high cost. Base metal alloys, a more economical option, are generally composed of nickel, chromium, and cobalt. In pediatric dentistry, it is common to use stainless steel crowns, composed of nickel and chromium, on primary teeth. Their use is contraindicated in patients with known nickel allergies.4
Treatment of allergic contact dermatitis, oral or otherwise, is centered on accurate identification of the causative allergen and patient education regarding avoidance. In cases of allergic contact dermatitis to dental work, the offending agent should be removed or replaced if possible.6 Localized skin lesions of the trunk and extremities can be treated with mid- or high-potency topical steroids such as triamcinolone acetate, 0.1%, or clobetasol propionate, 0.05%, ointment. Areas of thinner skin (eg, face) should be treated with lower-potency steroids such as hydrocortisone or desonide ointment. Topical calcineurin inhibitors are indicated as first-line therapy for facial dermatitis because they are not associated with ocular complications or cutaneous atrophy, as topical steroids can be.7 If allergic contact dermatitis is extensive (involving >20% of the body surface), oral prednisone can be considered. Again, it must be emphasized that avoiding the offending agent is required and that topical treatments are only an adjunct.
Because of its various presentations, the diagnosis of oral/perioral allergic contact dermatitis can be challenging. Paying attention to clinical clues can aid in accurate diagnosis. As associated symptoms can be quite bothersome, it is important for the general pediatrician to be able to identify allergic contact dermatitis in unusual presentations and recognize the need for appropriate treatment and/or referral. Our patient was treated with desonide ointment periorally and triamcinolone, 0.1%, ointment for the ears; she had improvement but continued to have associated dermatitis and oral changes. Crown replacement was deferred, however, on the dentist's supposition that the child would soon lose her primary teeth. Patch testing will be recommended if the eruption continues.
Return to Quiz Case.
Correspondence: Emma F. Johnson, BA, c/o Michele Barth, 1021 Medical Arts Ave, Albuquerque, NM 87131-5231 (firstname.lastname@example.com).
Accepted for Publication: January 20, 2013.
Author Contributions:Study concept and design: All authors. Acquisition of data: All authors. Analysis and interpretation of data: Johnson and Smidt. Drafting of the manuscript: Johnson. Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: All authors. Administrative, technical, and material support: Lau. Study supervision: Lau and Smidt.
Conflict of Interest Disclosures: None reported.
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Biomedical informatics is a relatively new field and is growing rapidly. Biomedical informatics is viewed as essential to the delivery of high-quality health care, and the advance of all biomedical sciences. Biomedical informatics has roots in healthcare informatics and clinical support and today the program covers the entire field of biomedicine. The focus is in the use of information technology and advanced research computing in the practice of biomedical sciences and medicine.
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Biomedical InformaticsSaraswathy NairOffice: BRHP 1.120Phone: firstname.lastname@example.com
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U.S. Rep. Steve King supported five pay raises for himself, while voting against a bonus for active duty members of the military in Iraq and Afghanistan, Democratic congressional candidate Christie Vilsack says in a new radio advertisement.
It's Vilsack's first radio ad. It airs today across Iowa's 4th District.
Vilsack has said she will vote against and return any pay raise until the United States has a balanced budget.
In a statement today, she said: "In Iowa, we believe in the values of hard work and responsibility. Congressman King's votes don't reflect these values. Congressman King has spent 10 years in Washington putting his interests ahead of his constituents. Taking five pay raises while voting against a $1,500 bonus for our troops in harms way is unacceptable."
Vilsack said King has taken five pay raises in 10 years, increasing his salary by nearly $20,000 to $174,000.
In response, King's campaign manager Jake Ketzner called the new radio ad misleading.
King voted against a pay raise for himself the only two times it came up as a stand-alone vote, Ketzner said. And "King voted to protect our troops and rebuild Iraq after a period of war in the Emergency Supplemental Appropriations Act for Defense and for the Reconstruction of Iraq and Afghanistan," Ketzner said.
Here's the script for Vilsack's ad, called "Iowa Way:"
Voiceover: Here in Iowa, we're guided by our values. Hard work. Service. Responsibility. But after ten years in Washington, our Congressman, Steve King, has lost touch with those values. When Congress voted on giving a fifteen hundred dollar bonus to our troops serving in Iraq and Afghanistan, Steve King cast the deciding vote against it. But when it came to his own income, King went a different way – taking a pay raise five times, boosting his salary to a $174,000. The Register reports that King says he deserved a raise. He said, quote: "If nobody has enough nerve to vote for a pay raise, we would still be making what the first Congress is making…." He said no to a bonus for our troops, but yes to pay raises for himself. That's the way Washington works. But it's not the Iowa way.
Christie Vilsack: I'm Christie Vilsack, candidate for Congress, and I approve this message.


text:
The Brochure "The ACP-EU Energy Facility. Improving access to energy services for the poor in rural and peri-urban areas" was published in November 2009. It contains an overview of the history of the Energy Facility, results of the first Call for Proposals along with a geographical distribution of the projects financed by the Facility, information regarding the ACP-EU Energy Facility under the 10th EDF, and finally brief presentation of some representative projects under the First Call for Proposals.
The brochure in pdf format can be downloaded here in english and french languages:
|The ACP-EU Energy Facility.
Improving access to energy services for the poor in rural and peri-urban areas (English)
|La Facilité Énergie ACP-UE.
Améliorer l'accès aux services énergétiques pour les pauvres dans les zones rurales et périurbaines (French)
Site developed by Danish Management Group A/S.
This web portal has been produced with the assistance of the European Union. The content of this web portal is the sole responsibility of Danish Energy Management A/S and can in no way be taken to reflect the views of the European Union.


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Lou Can Be Funny
"Get him to go down there and relax, and just pitch. He doesn't have to answer to the media. Hopefully you guys will all be over [at HoHoKam Park] at the 'A' game. Leave him alone, and let him pitch."Obviously, this will be the most well attended minor league game in Cubs camp in some time. (Here's hoping AZ Phil's schedule will allow him to be among those defying Lou on Thursday afternoon.) One man's relatively uninformed opinion of Mark Prior's mechanics over the weekend: He didn't look like a guy pitching through pain or an injury; he looked like a guy who was terrified of getting injured and was throwing accordingly. I say this primarily because of his low arm angle, a fact even commented upon by Ron Santo during the WGN Radio broadcast. It looked like the pitching version of walking with a limp.
[...] Cubnut over at Cub
[...] Cubnut over at Cub Reporter sums up Prior's problem perfectly. [...]
If Prior pitches like crap
If Prior pitches like crap for the next two starts, someone from the organization better sit him down with a doctor and ask him "Where does it hurt?"
Otherwise they are just fooling themselves or they are going to make the juiced rumors look more true.
"juice" just doesnt give you
"juice" just doesnt give you the tallent prior showed...its not a cure all...its not an automatic fix.
barry bonds doesnt need it either, i guess.
still...the things that made prior the prior everyone was WOAH about was his makeup and control of his pitches, not that one of them was 94mph or he has big calves. its wasnt that fastball/curve as much as it was the control he had over it and the mental makeup to mix it up in the zone on command.
roids or no roids the things that made prior most attractive to the game wasnt his "power".
kinda odd the mental maturity and makeup he showed is in constant question, too. he's gotta shake this "baby" thing even if he didnt/did deserve or earn it.
"barry bonds doesnt need it
"barry bonds doesnt need it either, i guess."
Then why do they take it? It does something.
the things that made prior
the things that made prior the prior everyone was WOAH about was his makeup and control of his pitches, not that one of them was 94mph or he has big calves.
The thing that made me "WOAH" was the exploding fastball.
This might sound wierd, but he had the fastest 94MPH fastball in the league with his 4-seamer. Hitters always talked about how it jumped. Take away that pitch, and the rest starts to look a whole lot more pedestrian IMO.
"Then why do they take it?
"Then why do they take it? It does something."
money. longevity. cuz "everyone else" is doing it.
we got people getting blood transfusions and other doping just for a chance to win an amateur sports event or keep/gain sponsors that "only" amount to 5-figures in the sports world for minor sports.
common sense vs. the will to win weighed vs. the risk involved.
dont think too many people would say bonds wouldnt be a HOF candidate even if you knock his stats down a few notched from his alleged roid days. he didnt need a few extra million. he didnt need to struggle to 500 or battle strings of injuries. he did anyway...the motivation for why he wants to be better than great i have no idea.
umm...cough...allegedly... h
"money. longevity. cuz
"money. longevity. cuz "everyone else" is doing it"
It turns a 500 career homerun hitter into 750 career homerun hitter.
It turns barely in the league middle relievers into lights out closers.
I'm hoping that's not the case with Prior, but something has turned him into Greg Maddux without the control and movement on the ball. And that 7-8 mph off his fastball is the difference between a Porsche with an engine and one without an engine.
Why do you say "something"
Why do you say "something" changed him like it's some big mystery? Do you really expect a pitcher with a shoulder injury and three years of minimal/inconsistent playing time to be 100%?
My cousin tried to convince
My cousin tried to convince me Wood will end up with the 5th starting spot before it's all said and done. Personally, I don't think so, but it's an interesting thought.
I agree I don't think that
I agree I don't think that it's anything with Prior having any kind of tenderness or soreness, cuz he's still on schedule to pitch and we know the Cubs theory on Prior so much getting an earache or if he even throws up, he's shut down for a month.
I say its alot more likely
I say its alot more likely that Wood ends up with the closer spot. Not in april per se. Mid May is my prediction.
He was shut down
He was shut down August/September 2006?
He was rehabbing we were told by the Cubs all off season.
I would like the Cubs to be honest about him once, if he's hurt tell us. The crap almost started two weeks ago when they said his bullpen sessions were great, and then they come out and said well know we are going to hold him off a few ST starts.
The only that stopped it was Lou saying he was going to pitch.
I didn't watch yesterday's
I didn't watch yesterday's game, but if Cubnut says that some guy says that Prior was throwing with an unusually low arm angle, it could be for two reasons.
The first is exactly what Cubnut's guy said, which is there is something about his normal release point that is causing him pain, or something about his normal release point that he's afraid of. Guys start fooling around with it when they either are trying to hide an injury or have lost all of their confidence. Kinda wished I woulda watched it now.
The second reason, which I find more likely, is that he's trying to get out and around his breaking pitches a little bit more since his fastball is a little lackluster. You get a little bit more movement away from righties if you lower your arm angle a bit and get outside the ball. Problem is, it gets way harder to control and you lose a lot of velocity.
I personally, like Lou, am not worried about the velocity. It will come back. That's part of not pitching for a while. When you first come back, you don't have the same zip on the ball. That's why guys throw a simulated innings for a week or two before they even make a minor league start.
Everybody thinks the sky is falling when they can't throw 95 the first three times they've pitched after an injury. Give him another couple of starts. If he throws five times, and he still can't hit 90, then it's time to sound the alarm.
Also note that rehabbing
Also note that rehabbing your shoulder and throwing are not the same thing. As far as I know, the first time he seriously tried to throw was when he reported.
Enough weeping and gnashing
Enough weeping and gnashing of teeth over Mark Prior. The guy is doubtful to be of productive service to the Cubs in 2007. Focus should really be on Angel Guzman right now.
Did you see Prior pitch in
Did you see Prior pitch in 2003, Crunch? Even sitting in the Dodgers' centerfield Pavilion seats you could hear his fastball explode into the catcher's mitt. It was a "hard" fastball that always waited to move until the last instant. It sounded like it hurt.
And of course he located it like a master.
But, that Mark Prior is long gone.
Vorare: "Do you really
"Do you really expect a pitcher with a shoulder injury and three years of minimal/inconsistent playing time to be 100%?"
No, because I trust my eyes more than what Cubs management tells us.
But I can see why people would expect it as the GM, manager and trainer all off season have kept saying how good he is doing, how far along he is, etc.
ST has the right idea -
ST has the right idea - waiting for Prior right now is a waste of time, when we should be looking forward to the possibilities of the Gooz. If he comes back this year, then it's gravy at this point.
How fast was Prior's
How fast was Prior's fastball last year?
Note to all Season Ticket
Note to all Season Ticket Holders...
I got an email from the Cubs on Friday saying the tickets are in the mail and should start arriving early this week.
But I can see why people
But I can see why people would expect it as the GM, manager and trainer all off season have kept saying how good he is doing, how far along he is, etc.
Huh? I don't recall Hendry, Lou, or anyone else claiming his velocity was back 100% or that he was back to 2003 form. Compared to where he was, though, he does look pretty good. The fact that he's on the mound at all in spring training is a good sign.
He's making his starts and showing some signs of improvement between them. That's enough to justify some patience, in my opinion. If we hit April and he's still throwing in the mid-80s with piss-poor control, fine -- crank up your doom and gloom machines.
"Sound the alarm??" That
"Sound the alarm??" That alarm sounded a LOOONG time ago. Prior is done. Or should we wait another year, two years, TEN years -- just to make absolute sure?
From Cubs.com
From Cubs.com 1/19/2007-
"Prior, who spent the offseason rehabbing his right shoulder, has been playing catch since the first week of November, and he has been throwing off a mound for the last couple of weeks"
Throwing off the mound, I would think, involves a wind up and pushing off the rubber and trying to throw the ball hard. So he has been pitching for a couple of months now. Unless he was throwing the towel off the mound.
I was watching the game on
I was watching the game on CSN while Prior was pitching, and the radar had him at 94 (at least once that I saw). I think that's a great sign. His control isn't where it needs to be yet, but that's why it's Spring Training.
There are a million and one reasons to be skeptical, but damn, let's give the guy a chance to put it all together before we start calling him the second coming of Todd Van Poppel.
Vorare: "I don't recall
"I don't recall Hendry, Lou, or anyone else claiming his velocity was back 100% or that he was back to 2003 form."
Nor did I say they did...
But when they have mentioned how well he is doing and stuff like that, i can see why people get raised expectations.
They also said he wasn't
They also said he wasn't guaranteed a spot in the rotation, that he had a lot of work to do, and that nobody was sure how he would look in spring training. It isn't Hendry, Lou, or Mark's fault that there's a cadre of imbecilic fans that want to place unrealistic expectations on the kid and then declare him "done" or "finished" when he fails to meet those expectations.
There's a lot of
There's a lot of misinformation on Mark Prior out there. Could we all get on the same page?
First of all, it's been claimed on TCR that Prior hasn't pitched since June of 2006. Nope, he pitched his last game in August when he gave up something like 6 runs in 3 innings. The Cubs said THEY shut him down. Prior said he wanted to keep pitching. And he did, on September 12th. He threw side sessions the rest of the season. Then they sent him to a specialist who had him stop throwing for six weeks, which wasn't hard to do since it was October.
Then in January of this year Prior told the SunTimes that he had already thrown five or six bullpen sessions, was feeling great and was ready for spring training.
And in February I get a press release where the Cubs claim that Prior is healthy, ready, and has been throwing pain free for weeks.
Rather than shut down, nursing a sore arm. Prior had been pitching all winter.
That radar gun also had him
That radar gun also had him at 112 and 103
Sometimes a pitcher loses it
Sometimes a pitcher loses it and there is no answer. See Rick Ankiel.
Ankiel had a major control
Ankiel had a major control problem. His velocity was still good but his pitches were hitting the backstop.
The radar gun was a joke on Saturday, I even question the 88 Prior hit on it.
Here's a guy asking our questions about Prior in today's bright one-
All that is wrong with Prior is "things."
"lets give the guy a
"lets give the guy a chance..."
How many chances should we give him? He's already had 3 seasons of chances. And these are mighty expensive chances, both in terms of money and opportunity cost. Why does ANYONE think the chances are good that Prior will contribute this year? It may happen. And I could win the lottery, too. SOMEONE has to win it, right?
Lou Piniella has moved on
Lou Piniella has moved on from Mark Prior. Cub fans should too.
The deal on Prior is pretty
The deal on Prior is pretty simple - He can't command his fastball and can't throw his curve for strikes. That's what I saw on Saturday. In 2003/2004, he had a plus fastball, plus curve, and plus command. In addition, he worked consistently around 93/94 mph. To be a 5th starter you need two average pitches, average command and Prior isn't even there yet. He's got 3 weeks to get there or he gets to work this out at Iowa or in Extended Spring Training. Either way, ST is right -- Hello, Guzman.
Prior isn't being guaranteed
Prior isn't being guaranteed anything. There's nothing riding on his performance. He's one of three pitchers competing for one rotation slot, and there's plenty of reason to believe he's not the frontrunner at this point. In that context, I don't see why there's any reason for anything but patience -- what is there to lose??
Worst case scenario, he really is done and Guzman or Miller gets the 5th slot. Best case scenario, he's healthy and capable of (gradually) returning to form, and the Cubs rotation gets a HUGE upgrade.
Jacos- Thanks for the
Thanks for the link...
I can't help but be really disappointed that Prior is not even close to being ready after basically not pitching last year, getting shut down early, meeting with top doctors, doing a winter long rehab/strengthening and him or management saying how well he was doing.
I really thought he should of been farther along than he is. Of course we shouldn't expect anything from him, but I can understand why people got a little excited again about him, as I did.
And when you couple Prior with Miller and Marshall, the "depth" of this starting pitching staff is drying up real quick.
You can't compare Rick
You can't compare Rick Ankiel to Mark Prior. It just doesn't work.
Mark Prior hasn't gone completely batshit insane. Yet.
First of all, it's been
First of all, it's been claimed on TCR that Prior hasn't pitched since June of 2006.
No one claimed that, someone asked me in the chat when's the last time Prior pitched and I threw that off the top of my head without checking and all kinds of disclaimers. Dave then reiterated that in the comments with the same disclaimers.
I was watching the game on CSN while Prior was pitching, and the radar had him at 94
As mentioned, that was in the midst of some 112 and 103 readings, I think that one was off too. I think 88 was his max that day which he hit a few times. Here's his pitch chart from that day:
By the way, didn't we have these velocity questions with Prior at the beginning of 2005 and last year? Actually I distinctly remember this happening last year when he was doing his minor league rehab work and by his 4th start he struck out 10 and was back in the 90's, so there's some precedance.
What's wrong with Miller and
What's wrong with Miller and Marshall? Miller's doing exactly what everyone should have been expecting from him, throwing junk and hoping to get by. Marshall two weeks behind at this point which should still have him ready by the beginning of the season if he's needed. And this whole mess leads to Guzman getting the gig, the Cubs probably lucked into the best situation anyway.
Rob G- Agreed on Guzman
Rob G-
Agreed on Guzman getting the fifth starter.
I was thinking the same
I was thinking the same exact thing about Prior being alot like Rick Ankiel. I remember when Prior first came up they talked about how is control was like Maddux. He would keep his pitch counts real low and hardly ever walked anybody. Prior then started to try striking everybody out and his pitch counts started to rise. I don't think he is done, but he has to go back to the original Mark Prior who could locate his fastball on any corner of the strike zone. Between that and his breaking ball, he was almost unhittable. Maybe he should realize that all pitchers not named Nolan Ryan eventually lose some speed off the fastball. Maybe he should work on a real strong changeup or knuckleball.
Would you rather have Wade
Would you rather have Wade Miller and his blistering 87 MPH slop as your 5th starter, or a 25 year old Angel Guzman, who once upon a time was THE best prospect on the Cubs and is now chocking it 97 MPH?
To me, the answer is easy. Guzman, Guzman a thousand times Guzman. I'm even willing to bear through inevitable growing pains and up and down performance on the mound. Give the kid a chance.
Jacos: "Agreed on Guzman
"Agreed on Guzman getting the fifth starter."
While he very well might end up being one of the 5 best starting pitchers by default come Opening Day, there will be HUGE question marks as to if he can stay healthy and how many innings he can throw this year without tiring out. Remember, Guzman has not throw more than 132 IP in 5 years and has never thrown more than 156 IP in a season. IMO, it will be tough to count on him to be even a 5th starter the whole season. But this is truly a make or break year for him and for this team to really want to win this division, it will need players like him to step up or get players to play better than their career numbers.
That Wittenmyer guy sucks.
That Wittenmyer guy sucks.
If Guzman tires mid to late
If Guzman tires mid to late season, you've always got Sean Marshall and Juan Mateo toiling in Iowa. Marshall at least has shown he's capable of pitching 6 strong big league innings in a single outing.
Prior, gah. Who cares at this point? I'm just pissed the Cubs didn't trade him for Tejada two years ago, wow, would that have been great. Now, he's our version of Mark Fidrych. Washed up.
BTW, if he'll take it like a man, I like Wade Miller for the Glendon Rusch role, I think he'd do fine there.
"Prior isn't being
"Prior isn't being guaranteed anything."
Yes, Vorare, he is. Time and experience that someone with a snowball's chance in hell of contributing to the season could be getting. Coaching staff attention as well. In effect, we do NOT have 3 pitchers competing for the 5th starter -- just two. Not all costs come with dollar signs attached.
Wade Miller isn't an option
Wade Miller isn't an option for the bullpen. Either he makes this team as the # 5 starter, or the Cubs whack him. Miller himself said he won't pitch out of the bullpen. Lots of balls for a guy who throws blistering 87 MPH slop. IMO, the Cubs are going to give the benefit of the doubt to Miller unless Angel Guzman absolutely blows their doors off. It's unfortunate, but I think this will be the reaction of Jim Hendry.
guzman is all tallent and a
guzman is all tallent and a scant ability to put it all together in a cohesive order.
dude probably has about 6-7 pitches he could throw if he wanted to go through them all. he gets injured, he learns something new...he's done that a lot. he's got a hell of a sidearm fastball he drops down occasionally he learned while rehabing his elbow. cant say he's not tallented and not able to learn new stuff...he just seems to be like a guy with a top-of-the-line garage full of tools that still needs a book to build a spice rack.
i like guz a lot, btw...hope
i like guz a lot, btw...hope his health keeps up.
mannytrillo: While he very
While he very well might end up being one of the 5 best starting pitchers by default come Opening Day, there will be HUGE question marks as to if he can stay healthy and how many innings he can throw this year
You're right. The guy the Cub's pick should be the guy who will give them the most number of innings of the bunch. My heart says Guzman, but my brain says Miller.
The guy the Cub's pick
The guy the Cub's pick should be the guy who will give them the most number of innings of the bunch.
How about we go with the best pitcher who gives us the best shot to win? Guzman may or may not get injured again, pretty silly to pick over him just because he's had previous health issues. And like Miller is some poster child for staying healthy or something.
There aren't many rotations in baseball that don't have question marks, get use to it.
There's green crispy stuff
There's green crispy stuff in my bratwurst. It may be beans, but I am not really sure. Actually, I am not sure it actually is bratwurst.
nothing will make anything
nothing will make anything about prior having little control and a 88mph fastball right now, but it is kinda nice knowing he's fighting for that #5 slot insted of the #2/3 slot.
neal...fennel seeds? sharp
neal...fennel seeds? sharp taste, skinny/oblong.
In Guzman's defense, he most
In Guzman's defense, he most likely would have pitched more innings last year had he not languished for a month as the Cubs' 12 pitcher, doing side sessions or whatever Dusty and Rothschild had him doing.
no, really green like bright
no, really green like bright green. hmm it says Landpolse m/ pistacienodder. Guess it's pistaccios. Who the hell would think to put that in bratwurst?
You know, I was looking at
You know, I was looking at Guzman's numbers on the baseball cube:
And two things really jumped out at me. First of all, there was the 25 Home Runs allowed in about 500 minor league innings. That's um, really good. The second and more important thing, is his middle name. It's Moises. I thought that was a one off, but Angel Moises is almost as good as Angel Pagan.
btw, theyve arrested a
btw, theyve arrested a 40-something year old homeless woman in the wrigleyville arsons.
Real Neal- Does Guzman
Real Neal-
Does Guzman stand on top of the Wrigley scoreboard and throw score cards down onto Pagan after Pagan makes a golden Mark Prior idol?
Prior probably wont be there
Prior probably wont be there at the beginning of the season, but there are signs that he will be pitching ok by the end of the season. His velocity was better than in his first outing and that is a good thing. As far as the mechanics, he mentioned it and that is probably the first step to corecting it.
Why the worry on how many IP
Why the worry on how many IP Guzman might have. Quick, name the #5 SP's who threw more than 165 IP last year? If Guzman earns the job and hits the wall at 135 IP, the Cubs still have options -- Marshall, Gallagher, Veal, et al. They have options that don't have to include Miller or Prior. There's almost 4,000,000 reasons why Prior is even a consideration for Cubs management and probably will be throughout the season.
JVB got hacked from the Nats
JVB got hacked from the Nats roster, still no Cubs cuts yet
Speaking of comparisons
Speaking of comparisons between Rick Ankiel and Mark Prior, does anyone know if Prior can play outfield?
If Miller continues to be
If Miller continues to be reasonably effective this ST, and Neil Cotts doesn't emerge from the personal blackhole he's in (same goes for MP), then we have to go with Miller as our #5 in April, not Guzman. GUZMAN goes to the pen.
The reasons?
(1) Let's assume Guzman does well and averages 6 innings per start. He hasn't pitched enough the last several years to push him past about 130 innings without risking health problems. That means he's limited to about 20 starts. Even if our first four SP's give us 30+ starts each, that still leaves us with 12-20 starts for a sixth starter to fill.
Why not let Miller do that for us at the start of the season?
(2) As has been pointed out, if Miller doesn't make the starting five, he wants to move on to another organization.
It's not likely he would be kept as a bullpen pitcher.
(3)Guzman's impressive fastball and command of the strikezone make him a good candidate for relief.
So, if we go with Miller as #5 we give ourselves more flexibility and chances for success. If we go with Guzman at the start we lose Miller.
Better to start the season with Miller if possible and finish with Guzman.
cwtp - just playing devils
cwtp -
just playing devils advocate, why not trade miller now when you would proably get more for him? If you start the season with him and he is less than impressive, you would just have to give him away and probalby eat a lot of his salary.
I'll take 150 decent and
I'll take 150 decent and improving innings out of Angel Guzman as my # 5 starter a lot sooner than I'll take 180 erractic and non-inspiring innings out of Wade Miller. If all Miller is capable of doing is chalking in with a 5.00 ERA and burning up the bullpen, then why on blazes go with that option. It's not like the Cubs are some powerhouse team aiming for the brass ring. Rather, this is a team that is trying to right the ship after losing 99 games in 2006.
Rob G.: "There aren't many
Rob G.:
"There aren't many rotations in baseball that don't have question marks, get use to it."
We are talking about the Cubs with Jim Hendry as their GM, I think we all should be use to it unfortunately.
Soriano, CF Theriot, 2B Lee,
Soriano, CF
Theriot, 2B
Lee, 1B
Ramirez, 3B
Jones, RF
Floyd, LF
Blanco, C
Izturis, SS
btw, bonds is starting for
btw, bonds is starting for SF.
'It's not like the Cubs
'It's not like the Cubs are some powerhouse team aiming for the brass ring. '
Umm, the Cubs management, and most of the prognosticators expect them to contend for the division title in 2007.
Cliff Lee from Cleveland is hurt, maybe they would like Miller as a temporary fill in? I think he won't be traded until just before the season when the Cubs can be confident that Prior, Cotts, Guzman or Marshall can handle the 5th starter spot, and the other teams realize they don't have anyone to handle theirs (or thier 4th).
Someguy, I think it's a case
Someguy, I think it's a case of all we could get for Miller right now is a few dozen balls and a broken bat. Maybe a few bucks thrown in to pay for his ticket out of town.
Indians have a Miller
Indians have a Miller already, one of their top prospects Adam Miller. And chances are whoever Fausto Carmona is will take his spot in the meantime.
evenutally something will open up in the rotations, problem for the Cubs and Wade Miller is there are some teams with a bit better talent waiting to get dealt in Lieber and Penny.
Silent, How do you figure
How do you figure Wade Miller will "burn up the bullpen" IF (YOUR NUMBERS) he pitches 180 innings?!!!
Javy Lopez got axed by the
Javy Lopez got axed by the Rockies....
Sing and Montanez got reassigned for the O's.
Don't know if any of you
Don't know if any of you noticed, or still care, but DONTRELLE WILLIS got knocked around today. 9 hits in 3 innings. The TWINS had 17 hits off the Marlins thru seven. Florida managed only 2.
Good point. Let me amend my
Good point. Let me amend my statement to say that Wade Miller won't provide 180 innings. Not even close.
Look, the Cubs aren't going from a 63 win season to a 90 win season. It's just not likely. That being the case, then "invest" in Angel Guzman. If he gets hurt (again) or sucks, then go with Sean Marshall. If he does same, then go with Sean Gallagher. But for crying out loud, don't go with a Wade Miller who is a shadow of his former self.
The Mets have screaming need
The Mets have screaming need for starting pitching. I've got to believe Brad Penny is a good bet to wind up there within a matter of weeks.
"Look, the Cubs aren't
"Look, the Cubs aren't going from a 63 win season to a 90 win season. It's just not likely."
3/4 of a year of dlee and soriano added...last year's starters compared to this year.
yeah, it could happen. its not impossible...its not even improbable. the team basically added everywhere but bullpen and that wasnt "broke" to begin with. even with the potential loss of wuertz to AAA there's still 2-4 good arms there depending on how positive/negative you wanna be about the pen.
"invest" in Angel
"invest" in Angel Guzman. If he gets hurt (again) or sucks, then go with Sean Marshall. If he does same, then go with Sean Gallagher.
You must have really enjoyed last season, ST.
cubswinthepennant says:
March 12th, 2007 at 1:02 pm
If Miller continues to be reasonably effective this ST, and Neil Cotts doesn't emerge from the personal blackhole he's in (same goes for MP), then we have to go with Miller as our #5 in April, not Guzman. GUZMAN goes to the pen.
The problem with this line of thinking is two-fold. First, is that there is generally 2 modes of stretching out a pitcher. As a starter and as reliever. If you put Guzman in the pen. One would assume that it would be hard on his arm to stretch back out. Especially with all of the physical ailments he has dealt with the past 3 seasons. Secondly, with that in mind. Guzman would be better served in Iowa stretching his arm out to start when the inevitable injury occurs. Putting Guzman in the pen puts the Cubs at risk of being a Starter short. Its not like we are relying on durable track record guys as it is. Other than Z, who has had minor back and forearm injuries in the past, and Rich Hill who may very well implode. Every other starter on the team has had a major arm surgery in the past 3 years.
'problem for the Cubs and
'problem for the Cubs and Wade Miller is there are some teams with a bit better talent waiting to get dealt in Lieber and Penny.'
But not a lot of teams like to pay their 5th starter or an injury fill in $8 million.
If Miller throws together a few more good starts (his ERA is 3.60 in ST through 5 innings), there will undoubtedly be two scouts in the same organization who will use words like 'pitchability' and 'gamer' and convince their GM's to give up a A baller with bad plate discipline or control for him.
'Every other starter on the
'Every other starter on the team has had a major arm surgery in the past 3 years.'
Well 'every other starter on the team' must exlcude Prior, Marquis, Marshall and Lilly then?
yeah true Real Neal about
yeah true Real Neal about the money, but most teams don't even need a 5th starter though for the first few weeks so it'll be interesting what ends up going down and which scouts start showing up to games. Nothing will start happening though until the last week I assume.
I wonder if Wade Miller will accept a minor league assignment to keep stretched out as a starter if there isn't a role here for him immediately?
Going from 63 wins to 81
Going from 63 wins to 81 wins will be a monumental task. Yes, the acquisition of Soriano, Lilly, Floyd and DeRosa will surely help the Cubs. But don't ever, ever underestimate how hard it is to achieve an 18 game swing in victories. All you need to do is be a student of baseball history to understand the practical challenge. Dreaming of a .500 record is reasonable, but dreaming of 90 is ridiculous. I'd love for history and me to be proven wrong.
You've got to walk before you can run.
I was going to go to bed,
I was going to go to bed, but since the game is on MLB TV I guess I have to watch at least one Z vs BB at bat. I wonder if Bonds has taught Z respect yet...
Well, 0 for 4 last year, I guess not.
So...I think the conclusion
So...I think the conclusion everybody is drawing is correct. In the end, Wade Miller is going to be the # 5 starter on this team. Angel Guzman would have to pitch like Juan Marichal and Miller like Glendon Rusch after a donut binge for this equation to change in three weeks. It's really too bad. Oh well.
"But don't ever, ever
"But don't ever, ever underestimate how hard it is to achieve an 18 game swing in victories. All you need to do is be a student of baseball history to understand the practical challenge."
here's some history...
2006 cubs roster.
here's what matters.
2006 cubs roster vs. 2007 cubs.
here's what doesnt matter...what everyone else in any other era did. its not even bucking the odds as much as it would take an UNKNOWN future failure to be as bad as the 06 club in any department but the pen.
this is a 115+m club. it does not play by the rules of baseball history. the amount of improvement via the dollar bill isnt something with a 100 year precidence or even a 30 year one in the amount of clubs you see these days.
Silent Towl: To me, the
Silent Towl: To me, the answer is easy. Guzman, Guzman a thousand times Guzman. Give the kid a chance.
Does anyone else remember last week when ST said Cotts could, should, and would be the 5th starter?
Which way is the wind blowing today?
and Miller like Glendon
and Miller like Glendon Rusch after a donut binge
Mmmmm...donuts, is there anything they can't do?
'Dreaming of a .500 record
'Dreaming of a .500 record is reasonable, but dreaming of 90 is ridiculous.'
The Tigers added Rodgers and Jones and turned that into 24 extra wins and a AL Pennant in 2006.
In 2005 the White Nothings turned Carlos Lee into Posednik and a middle reliever and turned that into 16 exta regular season wins and a WS title.
In 2004 the Cardinals added Jeff Suppan and gained 20 regular season wins and a NL pennant.
In 2003 the Cubs added Sean Estes and went from 67 wins to 88 wins and game 7 of the NLCS.
In addition to Crunch's comment (and the fact that we're essentially adding Lee as well) I am going to go ahead and say, that history does not support your opinion. Some team will add 20 wins this year, and the Cubs are the one best positioned to do it.
(3)Guzman's impressive
(3)Guzman's impressive fastball and command of the strikezone make him a good candidate for relief.
Huh? Heaven forbid we should give rotation slots to guys who can hit the strike zone.
aaronb, It was none other
It was none other than Lou Piniella who said that Guzman may make the team either as an SP or reliever.
And, since we still have options on Guzman this year, he can be sent down to Iowa for a few starts to stretch him out should the Cubs decide to use him as their regular #5.
What's wrong with Brenly?
What's wrong with Brenly? More Dan P.
vs. Matt Morris:
Soriano infield single (bobbled by 2nd baseman), Theriot double lost in the sun by Bonds...looks like we're going to see alot of Quade holding men at third. DLee on from booted ball at SS by Viszuel. Cubs1-0. ARam single to CF, Quade holding up Theriot...I don't like this having to hate our 3B coach, in fact I want the 3B coach to be invisible. Floyd up with a pop fly to LF, Bonds another ball lost in the sun...Cubs 2-0. Love seeing Bonds lying on his butt.
Umm, the Cubs won 66 games
Umm, the Cubs won 66 games last year, not 63. Not like that makes a world of difference, but still.
This roster (on paper) looks about a million percent better than last year's. The Cubs are taking a vastly improved team into a division that otherwise didn't really improve. 85-90 wins seems entirely plausible, and I'll eat a Wrigley Field paver with Silent Towel's name engraved on it if they're not at least .500.
JJones two run single with
JJones two run single with the bags loaded. cubs 4-0
this is fun watching the
this is fun watching the Cubs on slingbox from Auckland, New Zealand at 9 in the morning
# 1: Nobody said Neal Cotts
# 1:
Nobody said Neal Cotts would and shoud be the # 5 starter. Rather, what I said, is that Neal Cotts would be strong candidate for the role. Reading is fundamental.
An 18 win swing in the standings WILL be a big deal. Think .500 before you think even grander ambition. Especially with a starting rotation that carries plenty of question marks and a bullpen that still has Ryan Dempster listed as closer. And don't underestimate the chances of a porous defense and lousy defensive catcher undermining efforts.
"Quade holding up
"Quade holding up Theriot…I don't like this having to hate our 3B coach, in fact I want the 3B coach to be invisible."
Why would you unnecessarily risk injury from a collision at the plate, twisted ankle, or a tweaked hamstring during meaningless games? Keep holding guys at third until a win actually means something.
there's a gameday thread if
there's a gameday thread if you guys wish to chat about today's game...
I agree with Doug Dascenzo
I agree with Doug Dascenzo
The last thing I want is for
The last thing I want is for Mike Quade to send the runner in a bloody spring training game. Error on the side of caution.
Towel forgets that Dustbag
Towel forgets that Dustbag alone cost the Cubs 10 wins a season. I think the Cubs are a mid-80s winning team in 07, and that will put them right there for either the Central title or the Wild Card the last week of September. And that's all the more we can ask for. From there, recent history suggests it's as much luck as anything else to get from playoff spot to WS title.
Lilly missed half a season
Lilly missed half a season with shoulder surgery. Jason Marquis had TJS. Marshall and Prior you have me on. But I dont consider either guy to be the model of health.
silent, its not much of
silent, its not much of overestimating as much as it is fairly estimating.
yes, adding soriano, 3/4 of a year of dlee, and almost any starting pitching compared to last year has an impact and its not really minor. that's before we even come to talking about the roles of guys like murton/floyd/etc.
and i have no idea where this "leaky d" thing comes from unless you think the OF is a bumbling crew of ineptitude cuz its not going on in the IF.
Question--are Les Walrond
Question--are Les Walrond and Buck Coats still on the 40-man roster?
'Lilly missed half a season
'Lilly missed half a season with shoulder surgery. Jason Marquis had TJS. Marshall and Prior you have me on. But I dont consider either guy to be the model of health. '
You said, 'in the last three years'. And you don't miss half a season with major surgery, you miss a whole season.
walrond- no coats-yes
walrond- no
Crunch, I don't disagree
Crunch, I don't disagree with a thing you state. Fact is the Cubs should be a distinctly better ballclub. Climbing 18 games in the standings to get to .500 is reasonable. But to think even beyond that point is premature, and I will argue a bit ridiculous. This team still has major question marks and fundamental weaknesses. Can they overcome these flaws? Sure, at one level or another. But lets see it first before we make the proposition that this is an 87 or 90 win team.
I think people are guilty of underestimating the NL Central too. Adam Wainwright has pitched supremely for the Cardinals this spring. Kip Wells is also making a believer of Dave Duncan. The Cardinals might be weakened and have big question marks of their own, but I don't see them fading into oblivion. Not with Carpenter, Pujols and Rolen hanging around. And the Brewers and Pirates are both, in my opinion, poised to make some real noise in the division. Yes, he said the Pittsburgh Pirates. Look at some of those starters, then look at that bullpen, then look at Jim Tracy sittin in the dugout.
TEAM DER the last 5 seasons
TEAM DER the last 5 seasons via BP.com
(which of course is our team's ability to turn balls in play into outs, team in parenthesis is the ML leader that year)
2006 - 6 of 30 (Padres, Tigers were 2nd)
2005 - 13 of 30 (Oakland, Wsox were 2nd)
2004 - 13 of 30 (St. Louis)
2003 - 16 of 30 (Seattle)
2002 - 26 of 30 (Anaheim)
I don't see how Soriano instead of Pierre and Floyd's time is going to make us go from good to crap. The upgrades of Izturis over Cedeno, Lee over whomever will likely negate any of that anyway. (Derosa's an upgrade over Walker as well although Walker didn't end up playing all that much at 2b last year)
Silent Towel, 66 + 18 =
Silent Towel,
66 + 18 = 84
182/2 = 81
84 >
84 is not equal to 81 -
84 is not equal to 81 - friggin pseudo html
A lot of negative things
A lot of negative things have been said about the Cubs starting rotation, but how many NL teams have a significantly better starting five than the Cubs. I know there are a few, but are there really that many?
Phillies, Dodgers, Padres
Phillies, Dodgers, Padres and Brewers are the ones people are looking at. Cubs are in the 2nd tier there somewhere. A few good or bad breaks and the Cubs move up and the others go down.
No argument on my end that
No argument on my end that the Cub rotation is better. But when Jason Marquis is being counted on as the # 3 starter, Rich Hill is still an unproven commodity (although the positives outshine the concerns) and there is big fat question mark who will be the # 5 starter, then your rotation is far from a certainty.
Crunch: "yeah, it could
"yeah, it could happen. its not impossible…its not even improbable."
Man, if you think it is not improbable, the over/under is 82.5 in Vegas I think for the Cubs wins this year. Load up on it!!!
if i gambled, i'd take that
if i gambled, i'd take that one and flip it. vegas doesnt even think a 110-120m team cant get to .500? wow.
can barely break .500...oops
can barely break .500...oops =p
Rob -- Would you add Arizona
Rob -- Would you add Arizona to your list of teams with a better starting rotation than the Cubs?
yeah, probably should have
yeah, probably should have mentioned Arizona too in that top tier, folks seem to like them. Seems though if Big Unit falls, their rotation falls like a house of cards and he certainly doesn't have age or a clean injury history going for him.
Recent comments
Lackey finishes with a 3.35 ERA. Currently good for 13th in the NL. Not bad for a guy signed to be a #3 starter in a 15-team league.
He is also 6th in WHIP. Pretty amazing: Cubs have the #2, #3, #5 and #6 starters in WHIP.
Completely meaningless game, but Pena striking out Sean the Turd to with the bases loaded was very fun.
Other than one bad game in SD, Pena has been very good. Even with that game, 9.0 IP, 13 K, 0.89 WHIP.
101 wins...most since 1910 (104).
neat. ...or sad. pick one. pick both. 'murica.
Just looked up Grimm's stats -- after a great run, he gave up 2 runs vs. MIL then didn't pitch for 10 days. Don't remember why?
Sean Rodriguez's helmet looks like it's taking a dump
Grimm not doing himself any favors lately re: making the playoff squad. Seems to have lost the feel for his curveball.
j.grimm is literally worse than hitler.
felix pena, your turn.
it's been a while since joe's over-managed a game...it's gotta feel good for him to be back in the saddle making people's scorecards look like their pens blew up.
Fuck a bench spot on the playoff roster, Coghlan is competing to bat cleanup.
barely any...especially for an evening game. place looks 1/2 full at best to start the game.
Listening on the radio. Are there any fans in the stands at all?
"An MRI taken Monday on the right side of Jorge Soler showed no major damage."
rare air though if he can keep it under 2. Sounds like Maddon already made up his mind though and Hendricks seems like the sort that would want to earn it. Guessing he gets a quick hook if he's still under 2 after 5 innings.
Fwiw, he can give up 1 ER in 5 innings (or more) and still be under 2. If he gives up 2 ER, he would need throw 9 IP to keep it under 2. 1 ER in 4 IP would give him an ERA of exactly 2.
In terms of WAR, it's still Scherzer by a lot (6.4), then Cueto (5.6), Lester (5.5), Kershaw (5.5), Roark (5.4), and then Hendricks (5.1)
Boring lineup tonight in terms of guys trying to reach milestones -- no KB (40 HR), Addy (100 RBI) or JHey (can he keep it going?), and Lackey isn't really going for anything, plus the team has already reached 100 wins. I get the "rest" thing, although they will have 4 days off after Sunday, but....bleh.
Agree -- I think you want to keep him on a regular schedule.
Ramos torn ACL


text:
Program offers services for disabled job seekers through Connections
Ryan Summerlin July 18, 2014
Disabled job seekers in El Dorado County are invited to take advantage of free services and special funding offered through Connections — One Stop, according to the El Dorado County Health & Human Services Agency, Community Services Division.
The One Stop program can help disabled individuals search for a good job, develop a quality resume, enhance job interview skills and more, Program Supervisor Jenny Wilson said.
Services through the program include career assessment, tips on how to network and use social media, computer classes for beginners, help with interview skills, help creating and printing resumes, classes to boost self-confidence and more and access to job recruitment boards, computers copiers and fax machines.
Connections — One Stop currently has special funding just for disabled job seekers in the county to help pay for school tuition, paid work experience, job training and other services.
However, the special ends Aug. 30. Funding is provided on a first come, first served basis. Certain restrictions and conditions may apply.
The One Stop has two offices in El Dorado County, located at 3047 Briw Rd. in Placerville and 3368 Lake Tahoe Blvd. in South Lake Tahoe. Office hours are Monday through Friday from 8 a.m. to 5 p.m.
For more information about the program, call (530) 642-4850 in Placerville or (530) 573-4330 in South Lake Tahoe, or visit www.edcgov.us/humanservices.com.


text:
Sly Raccoon
- Platforms: PS2
- Developer: Sucker Punch
- Publisher: Sony
- Genre: Action, Third Person
- VN:F [1.9.22_1171]User Score: 0 votes
- Add to MyGames
Sly Raccoonis a vibrantly animated caper starring the charming and wry, charismatic thief, Sly Raccoon. Born into a family of the world's greatest thieves, Sly is given, on his eighth birthday, the Thievius Raccoonus, a family heirloom that is passed down from generation to generation containing all of their best-kept secrets and thieving techniques around. Later that evening, a gang of ruthless villains broke into his harmonious home. As Sly watched, the intruders overpowered his father, as they stole the Thievius Raccoonus splitting it ways and each taking a piece of this legacy with them.
Ten years later, Sly is out to steal the Thievius Raccoonus back and reclaim what is rightfully his. . He enlists the help of his gadget genius pal Bentley, and his big eager friend Murray, and the trio embark on a quest to restore honor to his family's name
No News has been linked to this game.
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text:
Voting for him in 2008 was the biggest mistake of my lifetime.
I found out early there was a great article up on thenoslaves.com site about a consituent that lost his jobto a filthy smelly and how he didn't want to do anything for him. If a pol won't protect your job and security then they don't deserve the job full stop. Deficits are a outcome of no jobs which in turn is aresult of presuing the phoney trading system, which hasbeen the biggest bust in economic history. He's reallya puppet of the 3rd world everything they want we payfor.
Vote for Romney - he hasn't had much to do with cutting jobs so far. LOL.


text:
Mountain Lion Ecological GeneticsErnest lab
Puma concolor
...the mountain lion...
and same species as Florida panther
See our publication page
We use genetic tools to study the ecology and health of mountain lion (Puma concolor, also called puma, cougar, and same species as Florida panther) populations of the past, present, and future.
Samples from mountain lions collected in this decade and the past will help us develop predictive models and project future trends for genetic diversity. We have developed puma-specific DNA markers and an extensive DNA data base for these projects. These tools also allow us to detect and study kin relationships among mountain lions (mother-cub, aunt-nephew, grandparent-cub, etc) to learn more about these very special mammals.
- Fractured genetic connectivity threatens a southern California puma (Puma concolor) population. Ernest HB, T. Winston Vickers, Scott A. Morrison, Michael R. Buchalski, Walter M. Boyce. 2014. PLoS ONE 9(10): e107985. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0107985.
- Individual behavior dominates the dynamics of a mountain lion population in a highly fragmented urban landscape. Seth P. D. Riley, John P. Pollinger, Laurel K. Serieys, Jeffrey A. Sikich, Lisa Dalbeck, Robert K. Wayne, and Holly B. Ernest. 2014. Current Biology. 24:1989–1994.
- Development of new DNA tools for mountain lion ecology:
- Kurushima J., J. Well, J. Collins, H.B.Ernest. 2006. Development of 21 microsatellite loci for puma (Puma concolor) ecology and forensics. Molecular Ecology. 6:1260-1262.
- Kurushima J., J. Well, J. Collins, H.B.Ernest. 2006. Development of 21 microsatellite loci for puma (Puma concolor) ecology and forensics. Molecular Ecology. 6:1260-1262.
- Determination of genetic diversity and population structure:
- Ernest H.B., V.C. Bleich, B.P. May, S.Stiver, S. Torres, W.M. Boyce. 2003. Population Genetic Structure of Mountain Lions in California. Conservation Genetics. 4(3): 353-366.
- Use of noninvasive DNA techniques to survey for mountain lion presence:
- Ernest H.B., E.S. Rubin, W.M. Boyce. 2002. Fecal DNA analysis and risk assessment of mountain lion predation of bighorn sheep. Journal of Wildlife Management 66(1) 75-85.
- Identification and ecology of mountain lion predation of endangered Peninsular bighorn sheep:
- Ernest, H.B., M.C.T. Penedo, B.P. May, M. Syvanen, and W.M. Boyce. 2000. Molecular tracking of mountain lions in the Yosemite Valley region in California: genetic analysis using microsatellites and fecal DNA. Molecular Ecology 9:433-441.
- Web sites with information on bighorn sheep:
- Forensic applications:
- H.B. Ernest, W.M. Boyce. 2000. DNA Identification of mountain lions involved in livestock predation and public safety incidents. Proceedings of the 19th Vertebrate Pest Conference. T. P. Salmon and A. C. Crabb, Eds. Published at the University of California, Davis. 290-29
- Information on mountain lions in California:
- Ernest H.B. DNA analysis for mountain lion conservation. Outdoor California. May-June. 61(3)16-19. Invited paper. 2000.
- Ernest H.B. DNA sampling and research techniques. Outdoor California. May-June. 61(3)20-21. Invited paper. 2000.
- Living with California Mountain Lions
- Mountain Lion Foundation
- UC Davis Karen C. Drayer Wildlife Health Center Mountain Lion web page


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Wednesday, 4 June 2014
Claudia Louch Oil Free Eye Makeup Remover
Claudia Louch makeup remover* £37.40
available online
When it comes to makeup removers I find myself flitting between a whole shelfful of different lotions and potions from my Bioderma and other trusty micellar waters to The Body Shop cleansing balm and maybe even a wipe or two for when I'm feeling lazy. (ssh!) With my skin being fairly well behaved the majority of the time I am fortunate that I can mix up my skincare routine freely and reach for some new products when my current bottles run dry and recently I have been dousing my cotton wool pad with Claudia Louch's oil free eye makeup remover and loving the results.
I certainly had no qualms about adding this luxe-looking bottle to my skincare shelf reassured by Claudia's extensive skincare background - working as an internationally renowned natural holistic skin therapist, nutritionist and health scientist operating from her Harley Street clinic. She certainly knows her stuff and this makeup remover is both natural and high performing enriched with active ingredients such as cucumber fruit extract and chamomile flower extract to help remove makeup and soothe the delicate eye area. This gentle, fragrance-free formula is oil-free and hypoallergenic with not a Paraben or SLS in sight so is perfect for those who wear contact lens or suffer from particularly sensitive eyes. With no oily residue left to contend with, my eyes and skin feels beautifully cleansed and fresh after using this remover and it does a good job as removing even the most stubborn of waterproof mascara and eyeliner. I sometimes use this before my cleansing balm to remove the majority of makeup first or go in with it afterwards to soothe my eyes and clean up any smudges missed. Yes it is pricey and performance-wise I don't think you are really getting anything more ground-breaking than your regular micellar waters and the like but I love the fact that this is targeted at nourishing your skin as well as removing your makeup. It is extremely kind and gentle on the skin and will do the job well without irritation or inflammation to the eye areas...plus the luxury packaging does look fabulous nestled on your skincare shelf!
Have you tried anything from the Claudia Louch skincare range?
7 comments:
- shadeofredblog.com said...
My favourite remains Shu Uemura, though!
- 4 June 2014 at 22:57
- melissa z said...
sounds like an amazing product even though its a little bit pricey its great it does more then just remove make up :)
Melissa xo | The Inked Blonde
- 4 June 2014 at 23:12
- ZeebLikesIt said...
This sounds amazing! Must give this a go.
- 5 June 2014 at 07:45
- Josie said...
I've not heard much about this brand before but this sounds lovely, i'll be sure to give it a try!
Josie xoxo Fashion Mumblr
- 5 June 2014 at 09:46
- Katie Z said...
Not heard of this brand, love the packaging. The product sounds amazing too.
Katie Loves | UK Fashion & Beauty Blog
BlogLovin' : Katie Loves
- 5 June 2014 at 14:07
- Emma Mitchell said...
Never hear of this brand before! Sounds great! :) xx
- 5 June 2014 at 15:25
- Gaby Balls said...
Sounds like a really good products. Great post, lovely blog.
Gaby x
- 7 June 2014 at 17:19


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|Home Decor
Quilt artist, author and instructor - and a little bit of everything else!View all patterns by designer (30) »
Need a quilt in a hurry? This Go Together series is made up of blocks that "go together" quickly and "go together" with each other.With the 12th block, you will receive layout options and yardage for 3 sizes. Choose one or several of these blocks for a fast, interesting quilt!
The Disappearing 9 Patch is a great way to use up coordinating scraps. This pattern also works with other 12 1/2" blocks.
Included is a "Cut & Color" pattern. Copy the page - cut out the line blocks - color in the blocks - arrange into a quilt! All the blocks in this "Go Together" series work together so that you can create an unlimited number of original quilts!