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Skip to comments.Greenback Gloom (Not?)
Posted on 11/29/2006 6:29:22 AM PST by shrinkermd
No one, of course, wants to see the dollar in a free fall. And no question, it has retreated against some currencies. But worried? We arent.
The dollar isnt weak at all. Indeed, its trading 19% above its level in the mid-1990s, smack in the middle of the Internet boom. True, its come off the highs it set in early 2002, when foreign investors still spooked after 9/11 were desperate to invest in a safe haven with sound markets, the rule of law, low interest rates and fast economic growth. That pushed the buck up sharply.
...The other is that, contrary to lots of current market reports, the U.S. currency isnt nearing new lows at all. The reason is simple: Many people focus on very narrow measures of the dollars value like the dollar-euro, or the dollar-yen, or even the dollar-yuan. By those gauges, yes, the dollar is hitting new lows or close to them.
...But this is an error. Far better is looking at the dollar against a broad market basket of currencies weighted for the amount of trade they do with the U.S. When you do, you see that while its true the greenback has slumped in recent months, over the long term its not down at all. And why has the dollar fallen recently?
(Excerpt) Read more at epaper.investors.com ...
"...But as Bank of America economist Joseph Quinlan notes, the world is addicted to exporting to the U.S. Last year, total world exports hit $12.6 trillion. The U.S. took in 16% of that total, with just 4.5% of the worlds population. Were the worlds consumers of last resort. A plunging dollar could change that. So, for now, that makes a collapse in the dollar unlikely. Its not that we cant afford it. Its that the world cant.
A falling dollar ought to be good for exports and bad for imports. So it may be time to invest in companies that face significant import competition.
"trading 19% above its level in the mid-1990"
Drudge is running headline of dollar at 15 year low.
While this is excellent for exports, it does cause problems for importing and since our government does not allow us to make much any longer this will cause us a few problems.
Drudge goes for the tabloid headline, as always.
Now that the world knows that Democraps control the purse strings, that alone scared 15% off the dollar.
I always get confused by the dollar swings. With the dollar getting weaker, doesn't that mean that U.S. goods will be cheaper for foreign buyers than they were before? If so, isn't the weak dollar a good thing for U.S. manufacturers and the U.S. hospitality and tourism industries? Or do I have it backwards?
However my gut feeling agrees with the idea that since the world depends on us to import everything they make, that simple fact will tend to prevent a free fall.
Even countries such as China who might secretly hope to see the downfall of US power can ill afford to lose all their consumers. The Chinese economy would follow ours.
Extreme dollar pressure could be a good thing in the long run. It might even cause rethinking about having production in China vs production in USA.
What goes around comes around.
Drudge's headlines are probably on the basis of Yen, Euro or a few currencies. This article is using the dollar index which is a bundle of currencies. I wish I knew how to post the graph that illustrates this point.
Probably, a currency free measure of the dollar value is the price of gold per oz. It now centers on $600; it centered around $350 per oz a few years ago.
Has a lot to also be due to foreign debt. If they buy you cheap, if they lower the value of your currency, it makes it more expensive to pay them back.
if they lower the value of your currency, it makes it more expensive to pay them back.
I said essentially the same thing on another thread yesterday or the day before and was flamed mercilessly. Lots of "doom and gloom" goomers out there.....
There are challenges that will arise from it, obviously. Most significantly, we'll pay more for imports, and that means oil.
But there is a silver lining even so.
The other side of this coin is that consumers will be paying more for imported goods, of which there is a lot because of all the overseas outsourcing that US has been doing over the last 3 decades.
Overall, it will hit the US consumers pocket until American manufactures can gear up to fill lower cost product demand.
Now this is a reasonable and well informed understanding of where the dollar is.
This is what's pushing the dollar down, and will continue to push it down, unless we, the American people, take corrective action:
And let me close with the words of a few good men:
"We hear sad complaints sometimes of merciless creditors; whilst the acts of merciless debtors are passed over in silence." - William Frend, 1817
"I place economy among the first and most important virtues, and debt as the greatest of dangers to be feared." - Thomas Jefferson"
"The decline of great powers is caused by simple economic over extension." --The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers, by Paul Kennedy
"There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit (debt) expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as the result of a voluntary abandonment of further credit (debt) expansion, or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved." - Ludwig von Mises
No generation has a right to contract debts greater than can be paid off during the course of its own existence." - George Washington to James Madison 1789
This would be normal trade theory. Unfortunately, it is less than likely. We have huge trade imbalances partially because of the trade barriers imposed by China, the Pacific Rim, and the EU. They deny it of course.
But nonetheless real.
If things get really bad...they likely will make those barriers even higher. So as the dollar falls, in part because of their predations...they likely will react with even more aggressive barriers to keep the U.S. from redressing those imbalances.
Look at how the EU has reacted to being busted about its Airbus subsidies...they have threatened open trade war.
Why this should be so much worse than their thinly-veiled trade war is not explained.
Anyways...nothing is likely to happen at the WTO where the EU outvotes us 15 to one....
Yep. The WTO is to "Free Trade" what the UN is to "World Peace".
Time to get out of both.
The biggie, though, is oil. We can make our own computers, autos, etc. We simply choose not to since we can buy them overseas for less.
But we've gotta buy our oil from the Saudis, at least until the American people demand that Congress permit more drilling, and that ain't gonna happen anytime soon.
Except...those computers and autos etc....were how we were formerly able to pay for the oil. We had a trade surplus in those same manufactured goods. Now we have blithely assumed that manufacturing is of no account... our creditworthiness will go the same way. As the combined deficits of energy and manufactures drain our capital.
My assertions? More like the facts showing what we manufacture. 80% more than Japan. 129% more than China. If you think that's of no account, well, we've already seen your poor grasp of the truth.
Those facts...when you dig beneath the glossy headlines... say otherwise. Your manufacturing claims (which are not facts) are truly HOLLOW
Did that link show we didn't manufacture $1.79 trillion in 2005? I didn't think so.
You're missing the point. We CAN build computers. If the cost of computers from China goes thru the roof tomorrow because of the declining dollar, then we'll build our own, and we'll even export them and use the proceeds to buy whatever we want.
The main thing we can't do here is produce oil. That's one thing we'll have to buy from abroad. And it's the largest single component of the trade deficit, so it's gonna drag down the dollar.
If we want to strengthen the dollar, then the way to do it is to find ways to import less oil.
And that we IMPORTED what we used to manufacture for ourselves...what, almost $2 trillion???
That is not the kind of thing which can be turned around on a dime. And that is precisely the situation of vulnerability to a severing of our supply lines that we should be more wary of. Especially as the old Communists Alliances with the Jihadists and Latin America gets rolling...
The main thing we can't do here is produce oil.
That is a matter of choice. Physically the Oil is here...and we CAN drill for it.
Yes. It does. Especially when it is the things we used to be able to make for ourselves. And are still essential. And can now be cut off at the whim of enemies.
Not smart.
No. It doesn't. You said:
Now we have blithely assumed that manufacturing is of no account..
You should tell the people who made the $1.79 trillion of manufactured goods last year that it was "of no account".
Especially when it is the things we used to be able to make for ourselves. And are still essential. And can now be cut off at the whim of enemies.
It's a given, though, that we won't drill. It's not a given that we won't make computers. Or furniture, or textiles, or steel, or aluminum, or...
Oh, you mean you keep forgetting Magnequench and super-magnets? That is merely one of many deleterious examples.
Did you find the name of the Fed official who sets foreign T-Bill rates yet? LOL!
Toddsterpatriot finally admits:
Yeah, you have one example. Any more?
Does that mean your supposedly non-senile brain function finally remembers? LOL!
Anyways, since you concede that IS "an example" you must realize (although you won't admit) the case is made.
So in that situation...more examples should not be required.
And yes, there are vastly more than you can handle. So what would you actually DO with the extra examples? H'mmmm? File them the same place you filed...and COMPLETELY forgot...Magnequench?
You also forgot the near train-wreck with our Swiss "Allies"? That was a real example, since swept under the rug for diplomacy's sake. But there was a real blockage. For political reasons. And if they hadn't resolved them...our JDAMs would have been useless. They finessed it publically, saying they weren't military components...to belligerents...which they could not approve, and then reclassified them as "dual use" components...where were allowed. But not until we had already been forced to try and reconstitute a U.S. capability at severe cost...and real risk. H'mmm makes me feel real comfortable outsourcing to our friends in Europe. Let alone to China. Our experience in Iraq instructs us that "trading partners" does not translate into "military allies."
Indeed, if I were simply to reprint here for your enjoyment, the entire Congressional Hearings from 2003, or the DSB Report from March 2006, or February 2006, or February 2005 on Microchip Supply, you would likely complain of being dumped on. Okay, let's just reprint an excerpt from a SMALL SUMMARY opinion piece by Alan Tonelson which reiterates some key facts that destroy your postion. Leaving you no basis for your continued...and completely unwarranted...complacency:
Memo to Bush and McCain: National Security Requires Industrial Independence, TooPinging your lobby here for your...and their...much needed education....
Alan Tonelson, U.S. Business & Industry Council
Tuesday, February 14, 2006
President Bush shocked the world when he declared in his latest State of the Union address, America is addicted to oil, which is often imported from unstable parts of the world. He then unveiled proposals to bolster the nations security and economy by ending most of this addiction by 2025.
Bushs remarks on energy independence came on the heels of a more colorful but similar warning by Arizona Republican Senator John McCain: We better understand the vulnerability that our economy and our very lives have...when were dependent on Iranian mullahs and wackos in Venezuela.
No one can know whether Bush or McCain is the slightest bit serious about this issue. The president, though, could establish some bona fides quickly by telling ExxonMobil to cool it with its insistence on energy defeatism. Scant days after the State of the Union, ExxonMobil Senior Vice President Stuart McGill told a conference that energy independence is an illusion, at least in the short and medium-term. That should prompt a Presidential rebuke on the order of: This kind of talk has cost us thirty years of energy independence progress since the first big OPEC price hikes. More of the same will only produce further dangerous delay. The sooner we start to liberate ourselves from the Persian Gulfs grip, the sooner well succeed.
Bush and McCain, of course, dont get worked up about imports lightly. Theyre among the nations staunchest trade ideologues, unshaken in their positions even by U.S. deficits growing so large and so fast that they are threatening American and global financial stability. Clearly, Bush and McCain and so many others see oil as a special case: First, it powers so much of our economy. Second, effective substitutes for transportation uses are difficult to develop. Finally, imports reached 68.4 percent of total U.S. oil consumption in 2005 up from about 58 percent just five years ago.
But if they ever became genuinely interested in America's strategic vulnerabilities, theyd discover that oil-like dependency situations are now shot through the entire U.S. manufacturing and even high-tech services sectors.
At the end of last year, the Census Bureau finally published the detailed economic statistics needed to bring up to 2004 USBICs research on the share of U.S. industrial markets captured by imports and how these percentages have changed over time. Well be publishing the full numbers on these import penetration rates shortly, but anyone including Bush and McCain who think its just the energy and automotive and cheap consumer goods sectors that have been overrun by foreign competition had better listen up.
Yes, even though foreign producers have set up transplant factories around the United States, vehicles made overseas are still taking sales from their Made-in-the-USA counterparts. Imports represented about half of U.S. auto consumption in 1997 (the year when the main government system for classifying different parts of the U.S. economy was introduced). By 2004, this share had climbed to 67 percent.
The situation is just about as bad in heavy duty trucks, where the import penetration rate spiked from 62.5 percent in 1997 to more than 73 percent in 2003, before settling back to 61 percent in 2004.
Examining import penetration rates also makes clear why so much of the U.S.-owned auto parts industry is either in receivership or struggling to avoid it. From 1997 to 2004, imports boosted their share of the total U.S. parts market (including tires) from about 20 to roughly 30 percent. In sub-sectors like lighting equipment, steering and suspension equipment, and transmission and power train parts, foreign-made products roughly doubled their share of U.S. markets.
The auto parts figures also show how this kind of trade is anything but win-win for everyone. Even despite heavy market-share losses from 1997 to 2002, U.S. parts makers were still able to take advantage of a buoyant economy to increase their output by nearly nine percent. But more recently, the party has stopped. Growth inched up only 0.35 percent from 2002 to 2004, yet imports kept winning customers.
But enough about autos, since they're a mere four percent of the nations entire economy and have only undergirded the American middle class for decades, and since the ability to make ground transportation equipment obviously has never had anything to do with national security and never will. [ /SARCASM OFF ]
As the Defense Department keeps insisting, most of the major weapons platforms used by the U.S. military are U.S.-brand products built in the United States. At the same time, all of these major defense systems are comprised of thousands upon thousands of individual parts and components, and the import penetration rate figures show that these items increasingly are made overseas.
Between 1997 and 2004, the import share of the U.S. aircraft engine and engine parts market (military and civilian alike) increased from just under 40 percent to just under 52 percent. Americas biggest foreign suppliers are a mixed bag geopolitically. In the lead is France, which hasnt exactly been backed U.S. foreign policy to the hilt since we liberated Paris from the Germans, followed by so-far-reliable Britain.
Then come two countries that seemed pretty unhappy with Americas international goals for years until voters recently elected friendlier leaders by razor-thin margins Canada (which by U.S. law is part of the American defense manufacturing base) and Germany.
These countries, of course, are hardly unstable or led by wackos, pace Bush and McCain. And according to the Defense Department, even French and German defense suppliers have seemed completely unaffected by their governments positions during the Iraq War. But no prudent leader would take their continued dependability for granted especially over the longer term and especially since it may take only one politically inspired supply cutoff to produce a major battlefield defeat.
Americas foreign dependency situation is much worse in electronics components, which are used in virtually every modern military system for vital purposes ranging from power to guidance to navigation to communications.
More than 56 percent of the electron tubes used in the United States are imported, as are nearly 69 percent of the resistors, nearly half of the electric coils, transformers, and inductors, nearly 99 percent (thats right 99 percent) of the capacitors and parts, and nearly 61 percent of a broad catch-all electronic components category.
Indeed, in 2003, when Congress was debating tightening up the Buy American provisions governing Defense Department procurement, the thoroughly globalized high-tech industry in this country went into total panic mode. In the process, the industry wound up admitting how little production it has kept in the United States.
According to the Information Technology Association of America, If all procurement of commercial information technology products by the Department of Defense were conducted under the terms of the Buy American Act...procurement would come to a crashing halt. Even at the current domestic minimum of 50%, much less under the proposed domestic content minimum of 65%...few if any commercial information technology products are capable of meeting Buy American Act requirements.
ITAAs solution and the solution pushed hard and successfully by the rest of the defense industry and the outsourcing lobby: Keep the Buy American requirements where they are and keep making it easier for defense suppliers to replace their U.S.-made parts and components with foreign products whenever the short-term bottom line will benefit. And no two public servants parroted the outsourcers line more energetically than President Bush and Senator McCain.
The United States is doing somewhat better in semiconductors where only about 43 percent of our domestic supply is imported, and the broad industry has actually gained a bit of home market share in recent years. Yet as a 2005 Defense Science Board (DSB) report found, Most leading edge wafer production facilities (foundries), with the exception so far of IBM and possibly Texas Instruments, are controlled and located outside the United States.
The DSB went on to specify that the driving forces behind the alienation of foundry business from the United States to other countries include a raft of interventions in free markets by foreign governments to bring semiconductor fabrication to their shores. The Board might have added interventions that recent U.S. trade policy has almost completely ignored.
DoD is worried enough about the trend to have approved the construction of a trusted foundry in the United States. From the foundry, IBM will supply the military with computer chips whose designs will remain safely classified and that will be free of Trojan Horses and other sabotage mechanisms that could be inserted by foreign producers.
Yet the DSB warns that this lone foundry can only be the first step in even slowing hollowing out of the domestic chip industry, as not only manufacturing but research, development, engineering, and design move offshore. Im still waiting for Bush and McCain even to mention the problem, much less explain how their relentless support for the giveaway trade agreements and the outsourcing they have facilitated can fail to keep worsening the situation, and undercutting American security.
Finally theres the problem of machine tools. Theyre used in the production of virtually all defense systems. Yet foreign-based producers have captured nearly 89 percent of the U.S. market for metal-cutting tools and more than 72 percent of the U.S. market for metal-forming tools.
Thats why during the 2003 Buy American debate, the outsourcing-addicted major defense contractors eagerly cited a DoD assessment that if the new, more stringent tooling guidelines were approved, It would take well into the next decade to produce the required replacement tools. There are many cases where American tools do not currently exist [ anymore anyways ] and new production lines would have to be built to produce them. U.S. machine tool builders currently have neither the ability nor capacity to meet an increased demand....It will take at least ten years to make the American machine tool industry viable again, especially in the ultra-precision market in which America does not participate.
But again, the outsourcing lobby, Bush, and McCain all firmly agreed that the best answer to a foreign dependency situation that has clearly spun out of control was more of the same.
So the next time President Bush and Senator McCain talk about the national security imperative of greater energy independence, or about any national security issue, Americans will be entitled to express more than a little skepticism. And I, for one, would forgive them if the term wacko kept coming to mind.
Alan Tonelson is a Research Fellow at the U.S. Business & Industry Educational Foundation
Also fellow national-security-concerneds to this thread to examine your little lobbying outfit's continued and malicious influence-peddling of the sinister kind...against national defense. The Toddster Lobby doesn't think national security...is hazarded by their "free trade."
Mindless trade heedless of Foreign Interventions where, as one consequence, they are allowing the "Invisible Hand" to become Transmogrified into "The Chinese Fist."
Not my fault that I'm younger and clearer thinking than you.
the case is made.
Is China the only source of these magnets? Do we have a strategic reserve of them? If the answers are yes and no, then we're already doomed. That was easy.
You also forgot the near train-wreck with our Swiss "Allies"? That was a real example, since swept under the rug for diplomacy's sake. But there was a real blockage. For political reasons. And if they hadn't resolved them...our JDAMs would have been useless.
Yeah, that was terrible. We should now make those parts ourselves.
which reiterates some key facts that destroy your postion(sic).
Destroy my position that we made $1.79 trillion in manufactured goods last year? How does that work again?
Also fellow national-security-concerneds to this thread to examine your little lobbying outfit's continued and malicious influence-peddling of the sinister kind...against national defense.
Maybe Paul would have an example where anyone has lobbied against national defense?
What I'm getting is something about how America's weaker militarily now than we were back in 1997 with Clinton because US manufacturers are not making as many strategic products as before. If that's what you're saying then you probably already know how unconvincing it sounds. If that's not what you're saying, then see if you can state it better, and please take the time to make it brief and without posting another 2,000 word tract.
That doesn't make any sense. We're making more than ever before. Huge amounts of goods are coming out of the factories and are being sold for more money than ever before. It's real, and it's been counted.
Our buying lots of imports can't possibly make the production records and all time high sales profits magically disappear.
What's happened with American trade and industry is that over the past decade our factories have increased production to the equivalent of a jillion new combat trucks, and Ross is saying that this is bad because we've also gotten rich enough to import a jillion new tires for these trucks.
-- and he's saying we had more military power before?
With Paul's penchant for quoting from left wing sources like E.P.I. I've always though it important to find another source to confirm (or deny) what he's asserting.
Q: In all of your meetings and discussions, did you hear of any other examples beyond that one?
Spencer: No. That's it! That's it! First of all, the Swiss company came around and said, "There was a mistake, here is your JDAM crystal." And, by the way, the manufacturers themselves got on a plane and figured out a way to get new ones. Within that amount of time not one Iraqi target went un-bombed. So until you start showing me some evidence that you're not going to have access -- after we have just gone through this war -- then I'm not buying it.
Manufacturing and Technology News
I'm not saying Paul's take is wrong, just that we should always consider the source.
Thanks, I should have known better than to trust Paul or his sources, even a little.
Wow, that's terrible, does the military use the 44% that are produced in the US?
as are nearly 69 percent of the resistors,
Does the 31% we still make satisfy our military needs?
nearly half of the electric coils, transformers, and inductors,
Does the military really need all of these components that we produce domestically?
nearly 99 percent (thats right 99 percent) of the capacitors and parts,
Scary! See above.
and nearly 61 percent of a broad catch-all electronic components category.
We still make electronic components in America? I'm shocked. LOL!
DoD is worried enough about the trend to have approved the construction of a trusted foundry in the United States. From the foundry, IBM will supply the military with computer chips whose designs will remain safely classified and that will be free of Trojan Horses and other sabotage mechanisms that could be inserted by foreign producers.
Hmmmm....sounds like they took my suggestion to heart. They should do the same for rare earth magnets. I feel better, do you?
Tonelson is crazy enough by saying what he said. What he implied is worse --that in the past decade Americans made nothing else that was as valuable as those stupid resisters and capacitors, and that we'll never ever be able to make them again unless we elect Democrats to raise taxes.
Your inability to focus is why things are distracting for you.
Nope. He didn't say that about Party-control at all. He has rigorously condemned the Clintons for their sojourn in the White House...for their defense holiday. A neglectful policy even worse than the current one.
But he did say that the probem is real. As did the Defense Sciences Board...which you guys were given MULTIPLE LINKS to but you can't focus on. Tonelson was merely used for a SUMMARY outline of the problem. Not anywhere close to a complete exposition.
Those so-called "stupid resistors and capacitors" as you called them... are very essential. They are part of what gives the high-end Integrated Circuits...that we are hoping to reserve our independence on... any functionality.
But you...and the "lobby"... are in denial as to their absolute essentiality.
Actually, the Defense Science Board has been concerned that this is being seriously neglected still...that the one lone foundry is not nearly enough.
They should do the same for rare earth magnets.
Yes. They should.
Of course the least cost-solution is not to lose the critical industry in the first place.
Interesting question. You think that is the only thing keeping the industry here alive? That would be further proof of the inefficiency of going your preferred "cottage industry" route...instead of the far more efficient, and cheaper approach just making the whole playing field such that the lion's share of production would naturally gravitate to the U.S. shores.
as are nearly 69 percent of the resistors,
Does the 31% we still make satisfy our military needs?
No. Not even close, apparently. And remember...the military needs 100% of what it needs. It needs what it needs...when it needs it. This 50% dependency has created a nightmare situation for real military capacity.
nearly half of the electric coils, transformers, and inductors, Does the military really need all of these components that we produce domestically?
Not all are for the military. Yet. But a lot of them are now imported for the military that we used to make here. Read the Defense Science Board reports. The hollowing-out phenomenon that you keep dis-believing...is real. You keep looking at the monetarist gloss that is put out to rationalize the damage being done with the hollowing out. The median is not the average. Even with the drastic down-sizing of our military...its needs for these discrete components is vastly larger than what we are now producing domestically.
Hence the posture of the Defense contractors which campaigned against the Buy America provisions... Those provisions would not have solved the problem...but would have only gone back to the earlier Reagan era's posture: 75% U.S. composition.
The clear implication of their lobbying posture...is that they are already in violation of the 50% U.S.-content requirement...but no one is pressing the point in the administration.
You really pegged me with that "inability to focus" observation Lets face it --2k words can get anyone turned around, like even you forgot what you pinged me about: --trade's impact on US military strength.
Your take in 25 words or less, is it like my above guess or what am I missing?
Congress could pass a law saying that every single thing needed by the military from now on will come from within the US.
You don't want that and you don't mean that because we all know this would rule out stuff like foreign intelligence, sat fotos, etc. just like you don't mean prohibiting taking on supplies at ports of call. You probably don't mind some US radar station in Alaska tapping electricity off a Canadian grid. OK, how about Canadian diesel for the generator or maybe an air filter? Looks like where we're going is somewhere less than 100% and more than 0%. That happens to be what we got.
Everyone likes to bellyache about the Pentagon buying $500 toilet seats but it won't wash. What we need is a better idea. If anyone here is suggesting say, a new law or (better) repealing an old one, let's hear it.
They merely said..."our political and financial backing from the Import Lobbies trumps the domestic defense needs." They more or less claim that defense needs are per se "parochial." That's frankly what it came down to at the Heritage Foundation.
I should know since I'm a member. Are you?
And he admits to not being an economist...yet he makes grandiose economic statements as if he were.
And let's see how credible Jack Spencer is on his 72-hour claim on the Swiss crystal for the JDAM...and it turns out not very! According to folks I know at Honeywell...it in fact took much longer...it took months to hire and start up a replacement line for the crystal...which we had fortuitously just happened to still have the idle reserve capacity to convert to this production. So while the deal was set up in the plane flight...it wasn't "turn-key" as implied by this blow-hard Jack Spencer.
It was trulry fortunate for us that the entire idled line hadn't been boxed up and sent to Tianjin...yet.
You think I'm exaggerating about Spencer? Let's note a rather clear test of his dogmatism from that same interview:
Q: But that's the Swiss. What happens when hundreds of high-tech components like those crystals have to come from China?
Spencer: As we rely more and more on China, they could use that as a leverage point against us because they could be the adversary, and if they are the adversary, they will use those leverage points against us. That comes back to the transparency. They can't use it against us if we know where it is, or at least it provides us with time because war with China doesn't happen overnight. War with China happens at the end of a chain of events. As you begin down that chain of events, then you need to understand, "Where do I get this widget from? Does this widget come from China and if so, can I build it in Peoria? If I can't build it in Peoria, I need to figure out a place where I can build it. And if I can't build it in Peoria I should be able to scour the globe for it and have the channels in place to easily scour the globe for it." That is why you focus on access. That is where the transparency and access equations come together.
Q: So there is no real worry about the production capability of the United States?
Spencer: When people start making these arguments that we have to be able to do it at home, no we don't. We just don't. And if we can, great. If I can buy my ammunition at home and Americans can have jobs and Billy and Sally can get an education and their parents never have to go on welfare, well that's just dag-gone perfect, but if that's not the case, then we shouldn't have men and women in uniform who don't have the best weapons when they need them because our government is making the wrong decisions.
Q: Do you think that providing U.S. taxpayer dollars to foreign companies to give them the capability they need to innovate and develop new technology and also produce it for adversaries is okay?
Spencer: What does it mean when you keep technology here? Does it mean that you're not sharing it with the Brits or Australians? So that's another one of our principles: that not all trading partners are created equal. We would take a more open approach to almost all defense technologies with a small handful of allies.
As it is we already share too much "with a a small handful of allies." There are numerous examples of blowback in the technology we have shared via "trusted allies" the Swiss [SWATCH], the French [EADS]...the Japanese [Toshiba] ...not to mention China. And Spencer wants to increase the sharing...which implicitly means increasing the degree of vulnerable dependancy, as well as compromise of the IP security.
As W once famously said..."that don't make any sense."
Spencer has proved with his mis-characterization of the Swiss crystal ...and this one statement about increased techsharing... his complete untrustworthiness in national security.
His position about having warning is simply and straightforwardly...unserious. He admits that what one should do is: "war with China doesn't happen overnight. War with China happens at the end of a chain of events. As you begin down that chain of events, then you need to understand, "Where do I get this widget from? Does this widget come from China and if so, can I build it in Peoria?"
The same mindset that put us in that situation refuses to either recognize "the chain of events" in time if ever. And do those additional required steps though. And is opposed to re-sourcing back in the U.S.
Not at all.
No. Not even close, apparently.
Not even close? Are you saying the military uses more than the entire output of American made resistors? Not that I don't trust you, but I'd need to see some backup for your claim.
Not all are for the military.
Do you want to stick to one topic at a time? You said (well Alan Tonelson) we need these items for the military. So let's look at what the military uses. Don't pull a fast one like the protectionists who whine about steel usage and talk about national defense. We make over 100 million tons of steel a year while the military uses about 1 million tons. Don't tell me we need to protect 100 million tons, tell me we need to protect 1 million tons.
If we need resistors during wartime, I'm more than happy to see our military take all they need out of the 31% we still make here.
Read the Defense Science Board reports. The hollowing-out phenomenon that you keep dis-believing...is real.
Who said I disbelieve any hollowing out? All I've said is that we made $1.79 trillion in manufactured goods last year. If we had to, I'm sure we could move some of that capacity around, while we also increase total output, like we did in WWII.
If we're hollowed out, at $1.79 trillion, China must be positively anorexic at only $780 billion in manufactured goods. How much of their production is cheap TVs, toasters and CD players? Not gonna help them much if war breaks out.
You keep looking at the monetarist gloss that is put out to rationalize the damage being done
Monetarist gloss? Which of your whiners coined that phrase? Does this "monetarist gloss" make the $1.79 trillion look bigger than it really is? What does this gloss do, exactly?
Even with the drastic down-sizing of our military...its needs for these discrete components is vastly larger than what we are now producing domestically.
So you claim, with no solid numbers.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.


text:
- Report: #475345
Report - Rebuttal - Arbitrate
Complaint Review: Northstar Location Services
Northstar Location Services4285 Genessee Street Cheektowaga, New York U.S.A.
Northstar Location Services these people are total crooks and hijackers... they contacted me about an old debt after 2-3 years and wanted to square up for CAPITAL 1 AUTO ... Cheektowaga New York
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i did a little reaserch and found that they are not sighned with BBB nor are they accredited with them so the lady called with threats that i did not want to pay and even had the adasity to ask me point blank that do i have the 3000 and when i said no she went crazy like this was personal or something .. the reason that they could not sent me an email was because then you would have a I P ADDRESS in which to find these criminals......
p.s SOME ONE NEEDS TO GET THESE SCAMMERS BEFORE SOMEONE REALLY PAYS THEM.... do not use thier payment website it is a crock and you can't trace the email........ thanks for letting me vent.......
sacto, California
This report was posted on Ripoff Report on 07/31/2009 01:29 PM and is a permanent record located here: http://www.ripoffreport.com/r/Northstar-Location-Services/Cheektowaga-New-York-14225/Northstar-Location-Services-these-people-are-total-crooks-and-hijackers-they-contacted-475345. The posting time indicated is Arizona local time. Arizona does not observe daylight savings so the post time may be Mountain or Pacific depending on the time of year.
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North Korean defectors shout slogans during a rally demanding the improvement of North Koreans' human rights and denouncing North Korea's demand for repatriation of defectors in front of the ruling Grand National Party in Seoul, South Korea, Friday, June 17, 2011. South Korea rejected Friday North Korea's demand for an immediate return of nine people who defected by sea over the weekend, despite Pyongyang's warning that could worsen their already-tense ties. The letter on a banner read " Pass the law to help protect North Korean people's human rights." (AP Photo/Ahn Young-joon)


text:
Definition of isoproterenol in English:
Another term for isoprenaline.
Example sentences
- The medication isoproterenol has both beta - 1 and beta - 2 properties.
- The rats were then treated with isoproterenol via the perfusate.
- After chloride-free superfusion and after isoproterenol, NPD response for the three groups overlapped significantly.
1950s: from elements of the semi-systematic name N-isopropylarterenol.
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Line breaks: iso|proterenol
Definition of isoproterenol in:
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The blog of the John S. and James L. Knight Foundation
There's nothing like firsthand experience with phenomenon to ignite a child's imagination, and it's difficult to accept that summer vacation, at least for the kids, is almost over. In a few weeks, kids across South Florida head back to school to learn about math, history, art and science—at least that's what we hope. But, what they won't learn about in school, which they should, is the beauty of magic and the wondrous life of bubbles.
"Bubbles" by Santiago Betancur Z
Presented by Colombian photographer and artist Santiago Betancur Z, whom I interviewed in 2012 for Knight Arts, "Bubbles" opens at the Miami Science Museum on August 1 and runs through December 1. Betancur Z spent the last 11 years experimenting with bubbles by photographing and video-recording them in his studio. Using water and soap, Betancur Z exposed bubbles to light and captured their mystical essence, which teaches the viewer something concrete and real about the universe—that it is extraordinarily complex and beautiful.
Bentancur Z discovered that not only is every bubble unique, but that each bubble we encounter reveals a new dimension to this seemingly simple "creature." When exposed to light and capture by Bentancur Z's lens, bubbles refract and morph into elegant, and often misshapen, spheres of magic that mimic some of the celestial phenomena, such as nebulae, that form galaxies.
The duration of exhibition will feature photographs and video. However, on opening day, Bentancur Z will conduct a live performance and demonstration from 6:30-9 p.m. By taking us into the microcosmic world of bubbles, Bentancur Z shows us that sometimes we have to look at the smalls things in life, the small wonders we often overlook and take for granted, to find big beauty in the world.
"Bubbles" runs from August 1-December 1. Opening night is August 1st from 6:30-9 p.m. Opening night attendance is included in the price of admission to the museum that day. The Miami Science Museum is located at 3280 South Miami Ave., Miami; 305-646-4200; www.miamisci.org.
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Turning bikes into works of art, Detroit's East Side Riders are up for the People's Choice Award


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Cheap Calls To Albania
Call Albania from 13p/min
Cheaper International Calls allows you to make cheap calls to Albania from your existing landline or mobile phone. There are no accounts to open and you get instant access. You can either use our Instant Dial Access Numbers or buy International calling credit, both can be used from landline or mobile and you don't need an Internet connection or a new sim card. Call Albania today and make huge savings over dialling direct!
You can make cheap calls to Albania from your landline or mobile using our unique instant dial access numbers. Simply dial the access number and at the prompt dial the Albania number starting with 00355, followed by the national number.
Albania Landline - 0871 919 5020
13p/min plus your phone company's access charge
Albania Mobile - 0911 149 5020
25p/min plus your phone company's access charge
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1. Dial the access number and wait for the prompt
2. Enter your Albania number beginning 00355 followed by #
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Albania Landline - 14p/min
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1. Top up using one of the methods below, wait for text confirmation
2. Dial 0344 545 0034 or 0800 619 1007
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IMPORTANT: Once you have dialled your international number, do NOT press the green send button on your mobile phone as this will cause the international call to go via your mobile service provider and they will charge you for the call. We will not accept responsibility for any charges incurred if this happens.
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Purchase International calling credit using a credit / debit card or your Paypal account. We will send a text to your mobile phone within minutes of your request to confirm that your request has been processed, you can then make a call.
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Spy House Dining/ Parlor
(Available 10:00am - 6:00pm only)
Accommodates 30 guests and offers an elegant location for parties, casual meetings, or breakout sessions.
Heritage House Dining/ Parlor
(Available 8am - 6pm only)
The parlor accommodates 10 guests and is an ideal setting for small meetings in a relaxed environment. There are 2 couches that comfortably seat 3 on each, and additional chairs. The Parlor can accommodate up to 15 comfortably with the various tables and chairs. The two spaces combined can accommodate 25.
The Patio
(Available 8am - 6pm only)
Our patio facilities are lovely for outdoor affairs - with comfortable furniture, a fountain, and a pond. Can accommodate up to 40 if using the entire grounds.
Room Rates
Screen, overhead equipment, dry erase board, easel and pads available upon request. Space must be rented at least 4 hours and not over 8 hours. (price based on per hour)
Refreshment Rates
(Pricing is per person)


text:
Definition of beechmast in English:
(Collectively, especially when on the ground) beechnuts.
Example sentences
- Acorns and beechmast were fed to pigs, but when food was scarce they could be ground and eaten by people too.
- Since beechmast are relatively heavy, they are not blown away by the wind but fall to the foot of the parent tree.
- Every autumn I would spend days there, watching the turning colours or grubbing for mushrooms and beechmast and knapped flints.
For editors and proofreaders
Syllabification: beech·mast
Definition of beechmast in:
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Catalogue entry
Egide Rombaux 1865-1942
N03031 Le Premier Matin (The First Morning) 1913
Inscribed 'EGIDE ROMBAUX' on back of base
Marble, 64 ½ x 40 x 56 ¾ (164 x 101.5 x 144)
Presented by artists and other subscribers as a tribute to Belgian Art 1915
Prov: Purchased by the donors from the artist for £800
Exh: Salon du Printemps, Palais du Cinquantenaire, Brussels, April-June 1913 (635, repr.); XI Esposizione Internazionale d'Arte della Città di Venezia, Venice, April-October 1914 (Belgium 177); RA, London, May-August 1915 (1906)
Lit: Studio, LXVI, 1915, p.47; L. Grandmoulin, 'Notice sur Egide Rombaux' in Annuaire de l'Académie Royale de Belgique, CXVII, 1951, pp.271, 284
Repr: Colour, III, 1915, p.56; Jean Delville and others, Belgian Art in Exile (London 1916), n.p.; Marguerite Devigne, La Sculpture Belge, 1830-1930 (Brussels 1934), fig.55
According to Grandmoulin, Rombaux considered this sculpture to be his finest work. The subject is Eve waking from sleep on the first morning after the Creation. A sketch in plaster 58.5cm high and a small study in terracotta belong to the Mus?es Royaux des Beaux-Arts de Belgique, Brussels.
The gift was due to the action of 'Sir Edward Poynter, the President, and various Members and Associates of the Academy, including Sir Thomas Brock, Sir W. Goscombe John, Mr Hamo Thornycroft, Mr D.Y. Cameron, Mr Hughes-Stanton, Mr W.B. Richmond, Mr John Lavery, Sir Aston Webb, and Sir E.A. Waterlow, who decided to raise a fund to enable the statue to be retained in England' (Studio, loc. cit.).
Published in:
Ronald Alley, Catalogue of the Tate Gallery's Collection of Modern Art other than Works by British Artists, Tate Gallery and Sotheby Parke-Bernet, London 1981, p.651, reproduced p.651


text:
King of the Hill
Season 11
Glen Peggy Glen Ross
When Peggy does a story bashing a high-powered realtor she gets fired but impresses the realtor, who hires her because he likes her style.
The Passion of the Dauterive
When Bill suffers a near-death experience, he runs to church seeking the meaning of life and he and Reverend Stroup begin a secret affair.
Grand Theft Arlen
When Hank hears that Bobby is playing video games at school he goes to stop it and ends up getting hooked on the games himself.
Peggy's Gone To Pots
When Peggy and Dale realize they could be in big trouble for stupid things they've done, they decide to fake their own deaths to avoid going to jail.
Bill, Bulk and the Body Buddies
When Bill decides to get in shape he gets a trainer and a bad attitude, forcing Hank and the guys to come to the rescue, saving Bill from his trainer.
Lucky's Wedding Suit
When Hank talks Dale into hiring Lucky so he can pay for his wedding Luanne, Lucky gets hurt and they all get entangled in a bogus lawsuit.
Suite Smells of Excess
When Hank realizes Bobby's interested in football, he wrangles up the gang to take Bobby to his first game and sneak into someone else's skybox.
Bobby Rae
When Bobby becomes addicted to soda he becomes an activist, and starts a protest demanding that Principal Moss have the soda machines removed.


text:
Zerud, on 28 August 2015 - 04:19 PM, said:
Its bound to happen, considering all contenders are all pretty much alpha males. They don't take shit from anyone, esp not in their face!
No cuz nerds are gonna be nerds. Wish for all your family to die, then when they meet they're awkward as fuck and sometimes might even suck each other's dicks


text:
- Report: #948562
Report - Rebuttal - Arbitrate
Complaint Review: Synapse Solutions, Inc.
Synapse Solutions, Inc.PO Box 30474 Salt Lake City, Utah United States of America
Synapse Solutions Charged me for merchandise, and never delivered it. Salt Lake City, Utah
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Instead, I received a letter saying I'd ordered them but not paid for them. So, I paid with my Citibank card. I still haven't received anything.
This report was posted on Ripoff Report on 09/29/2012 07:01 PM and is a permanent record located here: http://www.ripoffreport.com/r/Synapse-Solutions-Inc/Salt-Lake-City-Utah-84130/Synapse-Solutions-Charged-me-for-merchandise-and-never-delivered-it-Salt-Lake-City-Uta-948562. The posting time indicated is Arizona local time. Arizona does not observe daylight savings so the post time may be Mountain or Pacific depending on the time of year.
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Allu Arjun Releases Picture Of Wife Sneha's Baby Bump
It has been three years after the marriage of Stylish Star Allu Arjun and his wife Sneha Reddy, who celebrated their third wedding anniversary on March 8. The rumours about the pregnancy of Bunny's wife have been doing rounds for quite a long time. The Mega family fans are eagerly waiting to hear some good news from him. Finally, the actor has released the picture featuring him with pregnant wife.
A day after his wedding anniversary, Allu Arjun took to his Facebook page to reveal the news about his wife Sneha Reddy's pregnancy. Besides posting a photo featuring Sneha with baby bump, the Stylish Star wrote, "Having a baby is like falling in love again, with your wife and child. Cutie, come soon."
Allu Arjun tied the knot with Sneha Reddy at a grand wedding ceremony in Hyderabad on March 8, 2011. It was rumoured in 2013 that Allu Arjun was divorcing Sneha Reddy. Quashing reports, the actor had said, "Both Sneha and I are madly in love, and have been ever since we started seeing each other and are happily married." The photo featuring Sneha's baby bump shows the love and affection that the couple share for each other. Continue to see rare pictures of Allu Arjun and Sneha Reddy in the slideshow.


text:
UK Only: 0800 088 5553 | Contact
Member Login | Register | Your Basket (0) items £0.00
Highland Titles offers a unique and lifelong experience to customers. Customers who order a gift pack from Highland Titles will obtain a personal right to their plot of land and will have the option of calling themselves 'lord' or 'lady'.
As 'Lairds' of Glencoe their privileges don't end there, they can visit their plot on the Highland Titles Nature Reserve at any time, they can even camp on their plot if they wish! They will also be happy in the knowledge that their support for Highland Titles is helping to support a variety of local charities as well as supporting the conservation of the beautiful Scottish Highlands.
If you are interested, please fill out the form below and our retail manager will be in touch:


text:
2016 Convention Speakers R. Alison Adcock William E. Addison Arpana Agrawal Woo-Young Ahn Tammy D. Allen Daniel Almirall Dan Ariely Richard N. Aslin Derek R. Avery David Baker Steve Balsis […]http://www.psychologicalscience.org/index.php/convention/2016-speakers
More than 40 years ago, two researchers from the US traveled to a remote region in Papua New Guinea, seeking to answer a fundamental question about human nature: Do all […]http://www.psychologicalscience.org/index.php/publications/observer/2014/april-14/nonverbal-accents.html
I have a friend who sucks the air out of the room whenever he comes around. He is so blustery and self-absorbed that people don't interact with him; they capitulate. […]http://www.psychologicalscience.org/index.php/news/were-only-human/emotions-by-the-roomful.html


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Now Playing Onstage in Tampa - Week of 6/29/2014
Click Here to View BroadwayWorld.com Tampa Calendar
Katy Perry in Broadway" border="0" bheight="100" width="100" align="right"> KATY PERRY
Tampa Bay Times Forum
Katy takes her Prismatic World Tour on its North American leg, in support of her new hit album PRISM. She'll be accompanied by Capital Cities, Kacey Musgraves and Tegan and Sarah as the opening acts on selected dates of this 46-city engagement. The concerts will feature a state-of-the art stage, specifically designed by Katy to her to get closer to you, her fans, than ever before, providing audiences with a truly magical experience from every angle in the arena.
Click Here for More Information
Straz Center for the Performing Arts - Jaeb Theater
Roller-skating robot! Id on the loose! Evil scientist! Holy hyperdrive and hold on to your asteroids as Jobsite Theater makes a Return to the Forbidden Planet in this intergalactic kitsch-fest set to hits of 50s rock'n'roll. Of course, this is an adaptation of Shakespeare's The Tempest. Time to blast off!
Click Here for More Information
View All Show Listings for Tampa
Click Here to View BroadwayWorld.com Tampa Calendar


text:
Question of the Week: Is it a good move for Dodge to put the Dart GT engine in more trimlines?
The Chrysler Group announced recently that the 2014 Dodge Dart will feature the 2.4L engine in multiple trimlines after only offering the most powerful engine option in the Dart GT for 2013. In addition to making the 2.4L engine available across more trimlines, Chrysler has also announced there are no optional engines for the 2014 […] More »
Photo of the Week: 2nd Gen Ram Stuck in Deep Snow Reminds Us That Winter is Coming
The temperatures in the Detroit are expected to tickle the 30s tonight so it seemed fitting that our Photo of the Week remind us all of the perils coming this way as winter quickly approaches and what more fitting a way than to feature a good looking 2nd gen Ram in axle deep snow. Now, […] More »
Black Fridays: Cummins Ram Blows Smoke, Digs Dirt
I cant tell what exactly is going on in this video of a 3rd gen Dodge Ram powered by a Cummins Turbo Diesel but judging by the positioning of the John Deere tractor behind the truck – it seems as though the truck is hooked up to said tractor. After the driver loads up the […] More »
The Fiat Freemont Black Code is One Classy Dodge Journey
In case you didn't know, the Dodge Journey is sold in several European markets as the Fiat Freemont and to help boost already strong sales of the Freemont, Fiat used the 2013 Frankfurt Motor Show to introduce a new high end trimline – the Black Code. While it is hard to tell from the image […] More »
Tech Thread Spotlight: How to Flush Your Ram Transmission Fluid
Changing the transmission fluid in your Ram can be a messy job and if not correctly, it will not be as effective but taking it to a shop can cost over $100 just to have the transmission flushed. Fortunately, Ram owner and DF moderator dirtydog put together an awesome DIY thread on how to best […] More »


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Padworth students are encouraged to participate in co-curricular activities to give an important balance to their academic study and to enable them to get the most out of school life. Activities take place at lunchtimes, after school and at weekends and are organised both by our own Teaching and Boarding Staff as well as outside Instructors to cater for different tastes and talents.
A wide choice of co-curricular activities is on offer – as well as a full programme of Saturday excursions and special interest trips to the theatre, museums and art galleries and activity days such as Go Karting and Paintballing.
|Weekly Activity Programme for Autumn Term 2015 (please note that this programme is subject to change)
|Rugby, Badminton, Fundraising Club, Girls Football
|Boardgames, Korfball, Tums, Bums & Thighs Fitness, Netball, Dodgeball, Girls Gym, Basketball, Science Club
|Walking Club, Football coaching, Refresh, Boys Gym, Dance, Philosophy Club, Natural History Society, Pottery Club
|Pottery Club, Table Tennis, Hide and Seek Cypher Challenge, Football, Horseriding, Music Club, Duke of Edinburgh Club
Friday Night Out – Cinema, Bowling or Ice Skating
Friday 25th September 2015: Boarders Party with disco and karaoke
|Weekend Activities and Trips
12th September 2015: Reading
18th – 20th September 2015: PGL Residential Activity and Teambuilding Weekend for all students and staff
26th September: Go Ape Activity Centre, Bracknell
3rd October 2015: Bicester Village and Go Karting Activity Day
10th October 2015: London for sightseeing
17th October 2015: Paintballing Activity Day
16th, 17th and 18th October 2015: FIFA Tournament
7th November 2015: University Fair and Fireworks Night Event
14th November 2015: Go Karting Activity Day
21st November 2015: Visit to Oxford
28th November 2015: Football match – Bournemouth v Everton at Dean Court, Bournemouth and Theatre trip to see Wicked in the West End of London
|Weekly trip to Reading Retail Park
Boarders' Forum MeetingSunday 20th September 2015: Pizza and Doughnut Evening for Boarders
Here's some news from a few of the Clubs…
Over the last two weeks, the Biology and Psychology clubs have organised a number of opportunities for all interested students to take part in discussions prompted by a talk given by the Biology teacher, Mark Baynes on the subject of Sexual selection and reproductive behaviour which is part of the teaching programme for both subjects. Mark's talk was directly linked with his PhD thesis and this was reflected in Mark's expertise and passion for this particular topic. There was enthusiastic participation from the students taking part in the discussions and they were challenged to consider examples from the natural world from both the psychologist's and biologist's point of view.
The Economics Club meets each Thursday for lively discussions on 'Economics in the News'. So far this term they have explored the current news events which relate to Economics, such as the recent Scottish Referendum, the Budget plans of the main political parties and the UK's membership of the EU. Head of Economics, Michael Laizans runs the Club with the aim of helping students understand and enjoy the practical side of Economics.
Philosophy Club meets every Friday lunchtime to discuss interesting philosophical issues such as the Existence of God, Ethical puzzles and Beauty which have led to some lively discussions amongst the Sixth form students and staff who attend. In the words of one of the students, "Philosophy Club is great because you can express and explain your ideas in a safe and sensible environment and it also widens your understanding by listening to other peoples' opinions and views on subjects that don't necessarily have a right or wrong answer".
All students have the opportunity to take individual instrumental lessons which can be arranged for any instrument and will include theory of music – such lessons incur an additional charge. Singing lessons are also available.
The Padworth Music Club meets weekly during term time and everyone is welcome to join. Events are organised on a termly basis to offer the opportunity for the students to perform in front of an audience and these always provide a wonderful occasion for the college community to enjoy.
Trips and Social Events
Friday Night Out takes students to the cinema, iceskating or bowling to relax at the week's end.
Every Saturday, there is a full day excursion to visit a city, place of interest, theme park or special activity. This term, the trips include Reading, London, Oxford, Bicester Village, Go Karting, Paintballing, a residential weekend at PGL Activity Centre, a trip to a football match and a theatre trip to the West End of London. Social events this term include a Disco and karaoke party, Hallowe'en Night party, a Bonfire and Fireworks party and the Staff and Student Christmas Dinner.
On Sunday, we take students to the nearby shopping centre and there is the opportunity to go horseriding. Students use the facilities onsite to play basketball, football or use the student gym.
Social events throughout the year include Welcome Suppers, Talent Nights, Student discos, Hallowe'en Party, Christmas in Words and Music, Leavers' Prom, Presentation Day, Quiz Nights, Summer Art Exhibition, Sports Day and International Evening.
Students' Forum and Boarders' Forum
The students have their own representative bodies, the Students' Forum and the Boarders' Forum, which provide an opportunity for all students to have their say on any aspect of school life and to organise events.
In addition, there are leadership opportunities for students and each year, individuals are appointed to a number of positions of responsibility such as Head of College, Deputy Head of College and Heads of Boarding for boys and girls.
I love interacting with people and at Padworth, I ran for the Students' Forum and was elected – I tried my best to address any problems students may face and voice their concerns
Source: Xiao Qian, former Padworth student


text:
Unverified Voracity Has Its Prostate In A Weird Place
Abbreviated. A few site notes:
- The offensive UFR for Wisconsin is basically done and will go up tomorrow.
- Blog will be off Thursday and Friday for Thanksgiving; Wednesday will be light.
- I've said I'd do last-game UFRs before and not come through so this isn't a promise, but I do intend to UFR this Ohio State game and I have a vague idea to go back and do the Citrus Bowl against Florida; last year's OSU game can get screwed.
- This UV is abbreviated because I'll be on WTKA from 4-6. Please call in and be sane. 734 998-1050.
So happy together. Misopogon, who you may remember from such
Russian novels diaries as "The Decimated Defense," "The Decimated Defense Part II," and "I Make Crazy Hennecharts" would like to trade in some his accumulated MGoGoodwill for material reward. Because he's a nice guy, he'd like that material reward to go to homeless families in Detroit. There's a diary post up about it; right now the donation system is pretty clunky—you call this nice lady—but I am hectoring them to set up a paypal account so the donations can be easy.
People: this is Mitch Albom's charity. I have a dream that Mitch shows up to this thing and he says "where did all this stuff come from" and Misopogon says "MGoBlog" and Mitch has this Christmas Carol-style conversion where he runs from blog to blog liberally spreading comments and goodwill. Do it for your country.
The Victors on an unusual object that makes noise. The thing on the left is a pipa, and it's pretty cool:
Marching band needs more pipa. Go comment flamewar!
Yeesh. I twittered about this but it bears repeating on the main site: holy mother of God, if Les Miles had done what he did against Ole Miss in a Michigan game blood would be spouting from my eyes and I would be groping my way to Ann Arbor Torch & Pitchfork only to find the shelves picked bare.
For those who missed it: LSU recovers an onside kick and drives to the Ole Miss 31 with around a minute left. Miles doesn't make the classic mistake a lot of coaches do and settle for a near 50-yard field goal from your college kicker, as Randy Edsall did earlier in the day, but wild blitzing from Ole Miss confuses the LSU QB and sacks and whatnot ensue. Before fourth and twenty-two there are 27 seconds left on the clock; there are 9 left when LSU uses its last timeout. LSU completes a bomb and then spikes the ball despite snapping it with one second left; in the aftermath Miles says he doesn't know who called for the spike.
New Les Miles theory: he makes a lot of correct decisions for the wrong reasons. Reasons like "my brain has a vas deferens."
The spike's not even the worst part, the worst part is the inexplicable timeout fiasco. Miles on that:
"Timeouts were being called verbally, but I didn't relate to the official apparently, and that was a mistake. We didn't know [the timeout] hadn't been called."
Has anyone ever seen this late in a game? Sometimes you'll see a coach not get the attention of an official in time—Like (sigh) Jim Tressel on Saturday—but when there's 30 seconds left the official has got to be expecting the TO call and waiting for it. Given the statement about the spike I'm a little leery of that explanation.
Of course, Rodriguez keeps pulling Forcier for Denard Robinson. That was basically waving the white flag on Saturday, but Forcier had coughed up four turnovers at that point. So… yeah, more understandable than whatever that was from Miles.
Death Star-sized LSU message board TigerDroppings is openly campaigning for a coach switch based on Terry Foster's extremely informed blog post about Rich Rodriguez's lack of job security…
Michigan coach Rich Rodriguez survived Bill Martin and Ohio State. He has survived President Mary Sue Coleman. But there could be one more hurdle.
Can he survive disgruntled big time boosters if they decide to withhold cash?
This story is not over. Despite claims otherwise I expect a few more cards to be played before the bowl season begins. The money men and women are not happy with Michigan's two-year record of 8-14. They are not thrilled to see Michigan finish last in a very mediocre Big Ten.
…in unrelated news, newspaper advertising has fallen almost $8 billion this year. There is literally nothing anyone can say that will stop uninformed speculation by Official Journalists about Rich Rodriguez getting fired.
Meanwhile, AnnArbor.com has a positive article on the fans' opinion of Rich Rodriguez. Freaky. Their highly unscientific, 683-vote poll currently has Rodriguez support running 2-to-1 in favor.
Wha happened? Jon Chait has an article on the Wolverine about what happened to the defense that's worth your time, though I disagree that the defensive line was a major problem except in certain situations where Craig Roh was overwhelmed by Wisconsin and a couple other teams. Probably 80% of the team's weakness against the run can be laid at the feet of the linebackers and safeties, as the frequent rotation at the end of the year indicated. No one was pulling Ryan Van Bergen off the field in favor of a walk-on.
Etc.: Jim Leavitt is a weird dude. Eye on Sports Media does a two-parter on Michigan opening up the press box to certain bloggers, including this site. BONUS: part one's title is piratey. Boring details on the AD search.
The Penitent Man
11/21/2009 – Michigan 10, Ohio State 21 – 5-7, 1-7 Big Ten
Well… that could have gone worse.
Unlike last year, it is possible to construct an alternate universe in which Michigan wins the game. This universe contains 80% fewer crippling Forcier errors; not much else is different. Like last week's admission of crippling ennui after game 11, this is progress of a sort. The sort is still "not very fun progress at all," but it's progress.
Better than the slight competitiveness: now it's over and we don't have to watch the team/roadkill grind its jaw away any more. The focus turns to getting some cornerbacks and other assorted defenders, reviewing what happened, and waiting for what will be a telling 2010.
There should be no more stupid rumors that Rodriguez is getting fired. Bill Martin immediately announced that Rodriguez would be the coach in 2010, which like duh. CRACK REPORTERS then attempted to detect weaselly out words in the Martin statement and got a flat denial. There will be no more stomach-churning on-field events or stupid rumors that Forcier and Robinson are transferring. Maybe that latter is optimistic given the flimsy justifications for transfer rumors to date, but since Forcier and, oddly, Vincent Smith, have clearly denied any transfer intentions recently there's little that could convince them to leave other than Devin Gardner showing up in fall—not even spring—and proving himself God. Which isn't likely to happen.
There will be some sort of NCAA announcement that has a 1% chance of crushing Rodriguez, a 10% chance of actually increasing the heat he is under with the people who decide his fate, and an 89% chance of being either nothing or minor enough that it won't make a difference in a year or two when the wins and losses are likely to make the decision.
And then this two-year period of misery and flailing about will be over. Even if you are a tinfoil hat who wants Rodriguez fired yesterday and thinks the team will be just as bad next year, at least that won't be as bad, because the last half of the season will be talking about the next coach. More likely than that is that a non-freshman, non-walk-on quarterback and 16-19 returning starters and some consistency at defensive coordinator and progress everywhere and roster not operating 14 scholarships short see Michigan get off the mat.
The long dark of the offseason is merciful now and steadily builds to a yes or no answer in 2010. Or, more likely, a "maybe" answer leading to a surely definitive 2011. Either way, this unpleasant limbo existence has ended. Patience is a virtue because it is incredibly frustrating and painful, and we don't have to be patient any more.
- Big post-game news is that Donovan Warren has tentatively announced his return. There is some wiggle in as long as Warren is going to put his name in for an evaluation, but unless that evaluation comes back more positive than he's been told it will he should return for his senior year. That's obviously huge, and may allow Woolfolk or Justin Turner to slide to safety next year.
- In other corner news, Adrian Witty is qualified($) and will be on campus in January. Nice to see Michigan stick with the kid, and hopefully he can contribute. He was just a two-star but Michigan liked him a lot.
- You will not believe this but I will say it anyway: Michigan's corner depth chart might be a little crowded next year. Young, but crowded. Both starters return, Justin Turner will get in on the action, and then you have Witty, Avery, and Talbott coming in with potential/probable commits from Cullen Christian and Tony Grimes coming up. That's suddenly five-deep in scholarship players (Floyd and Teric Jones also exist). Some of those guys will get bumped to safety, surely.
- Many people are talking about the Ohio State fans who showed up en masse. I didn't think it was much worse than 2007, especially not in my immediate proximity. Two years ago there was this pack of Git-r-dones a few rows behind me that would literally say "ain't nothing wrong with that" after every four yard Wells run; this year there were scattered OSU fans but nothing as concentrated and annoying.
But it was worse, and this has caused a lot of muttering about season ticket holders who gave up their seats. I don't think that's the case thanks to an excellent diary on the situation:
…the Athletic Department has been "banking" all of the non-renewed season tickets. With those "banked" seats, the Athletic Department plans to be able to do the aforementioned aisleway widening, handrail additions and (hooray) widened seat-numbering, with a minimum of inconvenience and movement to existing season ticket seat holders. … In the meantime, it means that the Athletic Department has larger numbers of individual and/or package tickets to sell.
If you had wanted to conduct an experiment at the time of the OSU game, all you had to do was ask to see the tickets of any of those OSU fans; I have every presumption that in most cases, the tickets held by Buckeye fans would surely have been small and white, not the larger color photo-background tickets that go to season ticket holders.
This problem will be less and less of an issue in the future, as season-ticket assignments within the bowl get settled after renovations are completed.
… And, for people in Columbus, the Michigan game is the biggest day of the year. They smelled blood in the water this year, and many of them made the effort, got the tickets, and came north. Do not for a moment think that ticket brokers missed an opportunity to purchase a package of tickets that included Eastern and Delaware State, simply to get ahold of OSU tickets, and sell them in Columbus. Those tickets, the package tickets, are quite likely part of the "bank" of tickets that the Athletic Department is holding only until 2010 or 2011, for the completion of the stadium renovations.
This is definitely what happened: brokers snapped up the publicly available tickets and when game time rolled around the double-digit favorites are naturally more inclined to pay the premium to get into the stadium. There were some traitorous bastards who need to be hung by their figgins, but most of it was just Michigan fans not buying available tickets. Which means everyone complaining about how the stadium looked on TV has scarlet and gray on their hands.
Vincent Smith is your tentative 2010 starter after averaging 4 YPC on eight carries to Michael Shaw's 1 on 7. Smith also had three catches and Michigan's only touchdown on a sweet juke after Forcier scrambled himself into and out of trouble and threw back across his body…
…which was awesome but it's pretty easy to draw a straight line from that to Forcier's endzone interception, which was a slow-motion "nooooooooooooooo" moment if I've ever experienced one. The instant Forcier looked to the left side of the field I felt a disturbance in the force, and my main concern was that the guy not score a defensive touchdown.
Forcier in toto: is it crazy for me to suggest that I thought that was sort of an encouraging game? Five turnovers are horrendous and he made some terrible throws into coverage but he also made a number of outstanding plays; if he has the usual leap from freshman to sophomore and cuts down on the errors there's so much playmaking potential there that he could be crazy outstanding. There is also the possibility that he never calms down and he just makes killer mistakes, but most guys get a lot better as they age, especially folks who played crappy high school ball, as Forcier did.
Why the hell doesn't Michigan have That God Damned Counter Draw in its arsenal? Michigan is now a shotgun team that uses a metric ton of rolling pockets and in my experience TGDCD is 80% touchdown, 20% fail. Ohio State didn't even mean to call it and they scored on it.
Anyone talking about "class" re: Mike Shaw's pre-game run-in with some Ohio State player should probably look on his own rhetoric about how hating Michigan because some crazy dead bastard hated Michigan is part of his soul, man, and consider the logical twists and turns taken to arrive at the conclusion that bumping into mortal enemy and then woofing represents a character flaw.
Every time Terrelle Pryor morphed from arm-punter into terrifying tank on the edge, I thought to myself "Jim Tressel is an idiot." He isn't. He is self-evidently a fantastic football coach. He has gotten six straight wins over Michigan—though it's not like Michigan's made it hard the last three tries. But virtually every criticism leveled at Tressel about his neolithic Pryor offense is true. OSU's scoring offense is the zone read, and Tressel didn't even bother hauling it out except on like two drives, one of which was the quick first-half touchdown. The risky scoring offense is running your tank of a QB on the edge, and instead Tressel spent large chunks of the game in the I neutralizing Pryor's legs. What a waste.
MVictors was on the field and got some shots, including one of Brandon Graham walking for senior day. Senior day side note: much better logistically this year than before, with the seniors walking under the banner. Previously they had them along one endzone, which was weird.
Mike DeSimone has pictures from the day. Maize n Blue Nation has flyover video.
An Interview With Tony Grimes
FL CB Tony Grimes and his teammate, FL DE Clarence Murphy, were amongst ten official visitors for the Ohio State game. Tom VanHaaren caught up with Grimes after he got back home and caught him for a brief, encouraging interview.
TOM: How was the trip, was it everything you expected?
TONY: It was my second trip up there, and I already knew I liked Michigan, so it met my expectations. It was pretty cool.
TOM: What was the best part about the game?
TONY: The atmosphere was crazy. Walking out of that tunnel and seeing the fans was pretty cool. None of the other games I've been to have compared to this.
TOM: So this sounds like a really good visit, what made the trip for you? What was so good about it?
TONY: It just felt like home. It really felt like home for me and Clarence. Clarence feels the same way I do about everything. The interaction with the coaches and players was great. There's a couple guys from Florida, so they knew what we were about, and what we were thinking.
TOM: What about seeing the defense in person. Did that give you a good look at how you'd be used?
TONY: Yeah, coach Gibson drew up some plays and schemes for me and Clarence, so we got a real good look at how they would use us.
TOM: Are you still going to be a package deal, and when will you announce your decision?
TONY: We're still a package deal, yes. We're probably going to take a couple more visits, not sure where yet. We're both going to announce on signing day, though.
TOM: One out of ten, how was this trip?
TONY: It was an eleven.
Grimes is a four-star to Scout (#10 CB) and ESPN(#16) and a three-star to Rivals(#36). Murphy is a three star all around.
Anonymous Player Arrested For Sexual Assault
A University of Michigan football player was arrested this morning after a female student reported he sexually assaulted her.
The man has been questioned and is scheduled to be released shortly as detectives continue to investigate the 2 a.m incident in the 600 block of South State Street, Ann Arbor police Det. Dave Monroe said.
Police would not release the name of the player today.
A tipster has given me the name of this player but I'm not sure if there's some sort of legal thing that would get me pwned if I relate it. The player in question did not see the field this year but is/was expected to start next year. (No, not Justin Turner.)
Update: don't comment about the name.
Update II: I probably should have done this before I put the post up, but I eliminated the comments after they veered off into long discussions about false accusations that got ugly and political.
Ohio State Liveblog
As always, please read the Live Blog Chaos Mitigation Post before participating.
Unverified Voracity Ain't Today, Either
A quick tour around heartfelt pre-OSU posts in the Wolverine blogosphere before they all expire:
Like many things in life that end broken, this started with good intentions all around.
Rich Rodriguez watched from the sidelines while Michigan avenged Carr and desecrated the Tebow Temple. Chad Henne dropped redemption from the sky into the waiting hands of Adrian Arrington and Mario Manningham. Mike Hart fumbled and laughed and Michigan were The Victors.
I dreamed of spread offenses and 70 point thrashings, a wild new Michigan built for the Mayan Apocalypse, slaughtering the Big Ten with lightning from the Yost Ages, standing atop the Big Ten as the world ended.
It was spitting down rain all morning, and it only picked up for gametime. I took one last lap around the stadium I'd always known.
If there was any justice in the world, they'd have won last year, so I didn't have high expectations. Not with Mike Hart hobbled and Chad Henne barely able to lift his arm and guys not named David Harris at linebacker. And so we yelled and screamed and Beanie Wells had 172 carries and Mario Manningham dropped 18 passes or something and Ohio State won an excruciating 14-3 game.
It wasn't until 2004, my freshman year, that I really paid close attention to the Michigan football team (i.e., emotional investment). Before every game that season, I signed on to AIM and left an away message up: "Chad Henne, lead us to victory." And though it worked a few times that year, it never did for the one that counted.
And for the last five years of my life, the week before Thanksgiving has been one of cautious anxiety. 2006 was devastating.
RBUAS again just for the hell of it:
These are family values: wagons circled, debris, numb to the great outrage, taped ankles and a fuck you if you're not with us; look me in the eye and know that eventually this will all pass. They'll remember this day when they're old and sit on dusty sofas dozing in and out of consciousness. You lost a lot but not your dignity. And you realize that it wasn't just about winning but about patience and faith that it would get better.
And just to show that we are not all morose emo mofos, the Shredder's best work of the week, and possibly ever:
Etc.: Jamie Morris clarifies the Columbus radio interview he did; Maize and Go Blue runs down the best performances in OSU-M history,


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Want to get to know the people behind some of the biggest student leadership positions on campus? We did, too! That's why we've introduced "see blue." #selfie — a series on UKNow that lets student leaders from across campus tell us a little bit more about themselves and their organizations. Up this week, the 2016 K Week ... Read More


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Neil Gooding | David Spicer Productions
Note from Neil Gooding. The idea for Back to the 80's came to me when I was walking along the streets of Melbourne with a friend. I had a feeling that …
Playhouse South Unveils Neil Gooding's BACK TO THE 80's 11/6
November 6th, Playhouse South will unveil its production of Neil Gooding's Back to the 80's. It tells the story of Corey Palmer, a "child of the ...
Back To The 80's..THE TOTALLY AWESOME MUSICAL!
From the era that brought the world The Rubik's Cube, Max Headroom and The Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles comes this 'totally awesome' musical in the style of...
Back to the '80's - Seaquam Theatre/Seaquam Secondary - Feb 17 2011 -...
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Wikipedia: Back to the 80s (musical) - Wikipedia, the free …
Back to the 80's [sic] is a musical written by Neil Gooding with the original musical adaption made by Scott Copeman. It was later re-orchestrated and arranged by ...
14 résultats pour neil gooding, stuart smith | Sheeto.com
The Totally Awesome Musical! - Piano/Conductor's Score · Neil Gooding/Stuart Smith, 239, MTI, original, pdf. MD.Rav (378) · [BT] Back to the 80's · Neil Gooding, ...
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15 résultats pour neil gooding, scott copeman. ajoutée par, titre ... ajoutée par titre artiste Andras (164) Back To The 80's Band Parts Neil Gooding, Scott Copeman MD.Rav (378) [BT] Back to the 80's Neil Gooding, Stuart Smith, Scott ...
Back To The 80's - Concourse
Director: Jordan Vassallo Musical Director: Rachel Kelly Choreographers: Cameron Mitchell & Craig Nhobbs Creative Supervisor: Neil Gooding Musical Supervisor: Peter ...
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Back to the 80's Written by Neil Gooding and Stuart Smith Revised Orchestrations by Brett Foster and Scott Copeman Produced by Special Arrangement with Music …
Back to the 80's | Music Theatre International
Music Theatre International is one of the world's major dramatic licensing agencies, specializing in Broadway, Off-Broadway and West End musicals. Since its...
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Back To The 80s - The Totally Awesome Musical! Written by Neil Gooding . By arrangement with David Spicer Productions www.davidspicer.com.au. Pittwater …
Back to the 80's | Stage Whispers
Neil Gooding's jukebox musical Back to the 80's is poised to become the most widely performed Australian written musical or play of all time. Each year more ...
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BIRMINGHAM, Ala. (AP) - Darrell Haynes gazes out from the tool shed on his cattle farm and sees but one color. Brown.
Haynes, president of the cattlemen's association in Cullman County, north of Birmingham, lives in the middle of what the government says is the worst drought currently gripping the United States.
All or part of 23 counties in north Alabama are parched amid the area's worst dry spell since record-keeping began in the 1890s.
Because he can't grow enough hay to feed his cattle and prices are getting so high he can't afford to buy feed either, Haynes plans to sell 400 head this week, four times the normal amount for this time of year.
Alabama ranchers have started selling off cattle for fear they won't have enough hay or grain to feed them through the summer and, especially, through next winter.
State agriculture officials, meanwhile, are trying to figure out ways to feed the cattle to keep the state's herd from being thinned too much. The options include having farmers in other states temporarily keep Alabama breeder cows.
(Copyright 2007 by The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.)