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Sightseeing Tickets & Passes See all
Only Show: Attraction Tickets | Museum Tickets & Passes | Nightclub Passes | Sightseeing & City Passes | Sightseeing Packages | Zoo Tickets & Passes
New York CityPass
Get the New York CityPASS, the best deal in the Big Apple. Your New York CityPASS saves you time and money as you skip long ticket queues for entry to six of ... Read more
Location: New York City, New York
Duration: Flexible
New York City Explorer Pass
With the New York City Explorer Pass, get access to over 50 top attractions, tours and activities all at one low price! See the Statue of Liberty and Ellis ... Read more
Location: New York City, New York
Duration: 3, 4, 5, 7 or 10 attractions
Chicago CityPass
Chicago CityPASS is the best deal in the Windy City, giving you discounted admission to five of the city's premier attractions. The Chicago CityPASS ... Read more
Location: Chicago, Illinois
Duration: Flexible
Seattle CityPass
Get the Seattle CityPASS, the best deal in the Emerald City. Your Seattle CityPASS gives you tickets to Seattle's premier attractions including the ... Read more
Location: Seattle, Washington
Duration: Flexible
Chicago Explorer Pass
Create your own sightseeing itinerary with the Chicago Explorer Pass, saving up to 42% on ticket prices. This multi-attraction pass, valid for 30 days after ... Read more
Location: Chicago, Illinois
Duration: Flexible
Go Boston Card
Explore Boston your own way with the flexible Go Boston Card. Do as much or as little sightseeing as you like, at your own pace while saving precious vacation ... Read more
Location: Boston, Massachusetts
Duration: 1, 2, 3, 5 or 7 days
New York City 3-Day Hop-On Hop-off Bus Tour and Attractions Pass
Create your own sightseeing adventure with this hop-on hop-off bus tour through New York City. Step off the bus at the base of New York's best ... Read more
Location: New York City, New York
Duration: Flexible
Go Los Angeles Card
With access to over 26 top LA attractions, activities and tours, the Go Los Angeles™ Card offers something for everyone! Tour Warner Bros. Studio on a ... Read more
Location: Los Angeles, California
Duration: 1, 2, 3, 5 or 7 days
Go San Diego Card
With access to 43 attractions, activities and tours all around San Diego, the Go San Diego™ Card offers something for everyone! Visit the San Diego Zoo, ... Read more
Location: San Diego, California
Duration: 1, 2, 3, 4 or 7 days
San Francisco CityPass
For the best deal in San Francisco, go for the CityPASS! Your pass to the City by the Bay includes tickets to world-renowned attractions, discounts and seven ... Read more
Location: San Francisco, California
Duration: Flexible
Orlando Explorer Pass
With the Orlando Explorer Pass you get to choose from a variety of attractions to create your own sightseeing itinerary. It's the easiest and most affordable ... Read more
Location: Orlando, Florida
Duration: Flexible
San Antonio River Walk Cruise and Hop-On Hop-Off Tour
Get whisked away on an entertaining and informative tour on the famous San Antonio River Walk along with a hop-on hop-off double decker tour! Experience ... Read more
Location: San Antonio, Texas
Duration: Flexible
Go Oahu Card
The Go Oahu Card gives you over 30 top attractions on one card, at one low price! No other attraction Oahu pass offers you the value of FREE admission to over ... Read more
Location: Oahu, Hawaii
Duration: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 or 7 days
Atlanta CityPass
Atlanta's most famous attractions at one amazing low price with plenty of time to take advantage of the savings!
Location: Atlanta, Georgia
Duration: Flexible
Tampa Bay CityPASS
See the best of Florida's west coast with the Tampa Bay CityPASS! Save time and money with your CityPASS, which allows you to skip long ticket lines at ... Read more
Location: Tampa, Florida
Duration: Flexible
All About Nashville Day Pass
Make the most of your Nashville visit by combining tours and attractions. With this package, you will get a ticket on the Nashville Trolley, where ... Read more
Location: Nashville, Tennessee
Duration: Flexible
Kualoa Ranch Experience Pass
Explore the exciting activities available at gorgeous Kualoa Ranch with a package that includes lunch and your choice of three tours. Located on the ... Read more
Location: Waikiki, Oahu
Duration: Varies
Maui Value Pass
The Maui Value Pass gives you four family-friendly attractions on Maui for one low price. Take a dive on the Atlantis Maui Submarine Adventure with the Maui ... Read more
Location: Maui, Hawaii
Duration: 5 days
NYC It All: 4-in-1 Sightseeing Pass
The NYC It All sightseeing pass gives you access to four of New York City's most popular attractions: the Empire State Building, Metropolitan Museum of Art ... Read more
Location: New York City, New York
Duration: Valid for 14 days from time of first use
New Orleans Power Pass™
For as low as $40 a day, see more and save more with New Orleans Power Pass! For one low price, visitors receive free entry to all the most exciting ... Read more
Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
Duration: 1, 2, 3 or 5 days
San Diego 3-for-1 Pass: SeaWorld, San Diego Zoo and Safari Park
Sunny San Diego is home to some of the best family attractions in Southern California, and you can enjoy three of them with this special 3-for-1 pass! Enjoy ... Read more
Location: San Diego
Duration: 7 days
Southern California CityPASS: Disneyland Resort, SeaWorld San Diego and LEGOLAND California
Visit the most famous attractions in Southern California at one amazing price, and have plenty of time to see it all! With the Southern California CityPASS, ... Read more
Location: Anaheim - Buena Park, California
Duration: Flexible
Washington DC Hop-on Hop-off Bus Tour and Attractions Pass
Explore the best of Washington DC at your own pace with this 48-hour hop-on hop-off bus pass and admission to up to five city attractions. Admire famous ... Read more
Location: Washington D.C., District of Columbia
Duration: 48 hours from time of voucher exchange
Las Vegas Power Pass
For as low as $39 a day, see more and save with the Las Vegas Power Pass! For one low price, receive entry to the most exciting Las Vegas tours and attractions ... Read more
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
Duration: 1, 2, 3 or 5 days
Las Vegas Explorer Pass
Enjoy showstopping discounts up to 55% off retail admission prices with the Las Vegas Explorer Pass. This multi-attraction pass, valid for 30 days after your ... Read more
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
Duration: Valid for 30 days
Only Show: Attraction Tickets | Museum Tickets & Passes | Nightclub Passes | Sightseeing & City Passes | Sightseeing Packages | Zoo Tickets & Passes


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Florida universities across the state have launched an initiative to show that the state university system is a priority.
Aim Higher is a statewide initiative by university students to raise awareness of the positive impact increased funding has for higher education in Florida.
Student Body President Tj Villamil said the initiative is already on its way to making the state understand the importance of higher education.
In early December, he was in Tallahassee with other university student leaders and presidents. The group presented a plan to the state legislature, asking them for $118 million in exchange for no tuition increases this year.
"The universities have never been this united," he said.
Gov. Rick Scott issued a statement after the presentation, applauding the universities' position on not increasing tuition.
"We know Florida families want the best value possible from our higher education system, which means we have to make advanced degrees more affordable and more connected to students' ability to get a great job when they graduate," Scott said. " We are pleased to share this important goal with many of Florida's finest higher education leaders who are committed to holding the line on tuition. We look forward to working closely with them as we put together a proposed budget and other policies for the upcoming legislative session."
Villamil said this is part of the action. In the meantime, he said, Aim Higher will have a rally on Turlington Plaza in the next week to raise awareness about it on UF's campus.
"We're an investment, not an expense," Villamil said.
Contact Samantha Shavell at [email protected].

subset: commoncrawl


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7 posts tagged with Fantasy and DND.
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States of Being Besides Nirvana
After many months, Something Awful (and now also The Bad Guys Win) comedy/insanity writer Zack Parsons (previously) has finally confirmed the long-promised finale of his and Steve Sumner's series of Call of Cthulhu 1990's Handbook campaigns starring Kurt Cobain, Lisa "Left Eye" Lopes and Eazy-E as they battle forces beyond human ken: the custom module Hard Ticket to Baghdad. (He also eventually finished the Tooth Tooth series because word is bond, god.) Beneath the fold: the entire story so far, including the recent 'solo project' campaigns. [more inside]
The Zack Parsons Project
Zack Parsons, Something Awful's resident writer of much weirdness (oldest articles in that listing may be misattributed) has resumed his beloved series with Steve Sumner (the Max to his Sam), WTF D&D. While Zack still writes for Something Awful, he and Steve's reviews of weird pen-and-paper RPG sourcebooks and art, and their rollicking RPG campaigns, have resumed on Zack's new site, The Bad Guys Win, which also features other new articles from Zack (all of the new WTF D&D, currently a two-part adventure in the Ravenloft setting starring Steve as an idiot monk, is collected under Games). [more inside]
The original golden age of fantasy role playing games.
Old School FRP is a tumblr blog with a ton of illustrations and art from the golden age of Dungeons and Dragons and games that were totally not Dungeons and Dragons.
I've traveled to the floor of the pit of my own free will.
The trailer for Dungeons and Dragons 3: The Book of Vile Darkness has been released onto the Internet. [more inside]
The Lair of Kazoth
"just numbers on a piece of paper"
I do not want to spend too much time beating a dead war-horse, but your average D&D game consists of a group of white players acting out how their white characters encounter and destroy orcs and goblins, who are, as a race evil, uncivilized, and dark-skinned. To quote Steve Sumner's essay again, "Unless played very carefully, Dungeons & Dragons could easily become a proxy race war, with your group filling the shoes of the noble white power crusaders seeking to extinguish any orc war bands or goblin villages they happened across." I would argue with Sumner's use of the phrase "could become," and say that unless played very carefully, D&D usually becomes a proxy race war. Any adventurer knows that if you see an orc, you kill it. You don't talk to it, you don't ask what it's doing there - you kill it, since it's life is worth less than the treasure it carries and the experience points you'll get from the kill. If filmed, your average D&D campaign would look something like Birth of a Nation set in Greyhawk.- Race in Dungeons & Dragons by Chris van Dyke, a powerpoint talk given at Nerd Nite. Via Ta-Nehisi Coates' blog where there's a smart discussion going on about the essay.
Dungeons and Dragons Turns 30
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And 23 years later ...
"I started shooting trap in 1985, because, in San Marino, it was the only discipline to practice," San Marino's Daniela Del Din said. Her first competition representing San Marino was in 1989 when she finished fourth at the World Championship in Montecatini, Italy. After that, however, her shooting career didn't exactly take off. By 1991, she was married and gave up the sport to focus on her personal life and career as an accountant. Then, as simple as she left the sport, "Six years later, my passion for the shooting prevailed," Del Din said.
Retired to medal contender
The sixth-place finish at Lonato may have given Daniela a ticket to Beijing, but it was her next three events that made her a medal contender -- and No. 3 in the world. She scored a 68 at the World Cup event in Maribor, Slovenia (June '07), which was only good enough for 13th place, but it was the first time since returning to the sport that she had scored 68 or higher in two-straight events. The World Championships in Nicosia, Cyprus (September), and the World Cup (October) contest in Belgrade gave Del Din her first medals with a bronze at the former and a silver at the latter. Her total scores of 85 and 91, respectively, would have been good enough for medals at both Sydney at Athens.
Representing San Marino at the Olympics for the first time isn't lost on Del Din. She refers to her nation as, "the great ideal all over the world," because San Marino was founded in 301 a.c. and is the oldest-standing republic. For her, to qualify for the Olympics is the reward of a 20-plus-year journey. "It's like to touch the heaven with my finger," Del Din said. "The Olympic games for me are always a dream."
Second time has to be better, right?
Del Din has been to China once in her career. Certainly, she would rather forget the result. At a World Cup event in Qingyuan City, she finished 36th with a score of 61 -- in 2006, she never finished higher than 21st. Though she will be there for competition, Del Din has said she hopes she can find time to visit Beijing.
Dog, dog, goose
Del Din's schedule doesn't afford her too much free time, but she enjoys sports in general - including tennis and skiing (the Italian women's ski team being her favorite to watch) -- and loves to relax in the tropics when on vacation. At home, she enjoys reading books and watching movies based around investigations. When she's not reading, she likes being with her English setter named Duck.
All Olympic merchandise is marked down. Act now, because when it's gone…it's gone!


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to your HTML Add class="sortable" to any table you'd like to make sortable Click on the headers to sort Thanks to many, many people for contributions and suggestions. Licenced as X11: http://www.kryogenix.org/code/browser/licence.html This basically means: do what you want with it. */ var stIsIE = /*@cc_on!@*/false; sorttable = { init: function() { // quit if this function has already been called if (arguments.callee.done) return; // flag this function so we don't do the same thing twice arguments.callee.done = true; // kill the timer if (_timer) clearInterval(_timer); if (!document.createElement || !document.getElementsByTagName) return; sorttable.DATE_RE = /^(\d\d?)[\/\.-](\d\d?)[\/\.-]((\d\d)?\d\d)$/; forEach(document.getElementsByTagName('table'), function(table) { if (table.className.search(/\bsortable\b/) != -1) { sorttable.makeSortable(table); } }); }, makeSortable: function(table) { if (table.getElementsByTagName('thead').length == 0) { // table doesn't have a tHead. Since it should have, create one and // put the first table row in it. the = document.createElement('thead'); the.appendChild(table.rows[0]); table.insertBefore(the,table.firstChild); } // Safari doesn't support table.tHead, sigh if (table.tHead == null) table.tHead = table.getElementsByTagName('thead')[0]; if (table.tHead.rows.length != 1) return; // can't cope with two header rows // Sorttable v1 put rows with a class of "sortbottom" at the bottom (as // "total" rows, for example). This is B&R, since what you're supposed // to do is put them in a tfoot. So, if there are sortbottom rows, // for backwards compatibility, move them to tfoot (creating it if needed). sortbottomrows = []; for (var i=0; i
Four years ago, in July 2012, an influx of investors in the U.S. real estate market began buying up homes at an accelerated rate, which prompted a sharp rise in median new home sale prices, which lasted for a year.
During that time, the trailing twelve month average of median new home sale prices rose at a rate of $2,476 per month. After July 2013 however that phase of rapid inflation in median new home sale prices came to an end and the trailing year average of median new home sale prices then began escalating at the slower rate of $1,511 per month as the investor activity that had fueled the previous escalation in prices began to abate. That amount is about 39% slower than what was recorded in the year from July 2012 through July 2013.
Going by data that has been revised over the past nine months, that appears to have generally continued through September 2015. Since then, it now appears the the pace of escalation of the trailing twelve month average of median new home sale prices has slowed again, this time to about $934 per month. Coincidentally, that figure is about 38% slower than the typical pace that was seen between July 2013 and September 2015.
If you look closely at the trailing year average for median new home sale prices, you'll see that the transition to the more recent deceleration isn't as cleanly defined as the prior one. We can make an argument that the newest trend may have started to take hold back in April 2015, where a significant step upward in September 2015's sale prices might well represent the dying gasp of the previous trend as the newer trend became dominant.
Since the most recent four months of data is still subject to revision, it's too early to tell if that similarity in the rate at which the median new home sale prices stepped down from faster growth to slower growth will be sustained, but it certainly is interesting to catch it in this snapshot in time!
Labels: real estate
For a market that hasn't experienced much in the way of volatility lately, Friday, 26 August 2016 was a welcome departure for observers. Unfortunately, if you only tracked the closing price of the S&P 500 from day to day, you wouldn't have noticed!
To see what we mean, let's flip our usual presentation of charts around and show what our modified model of the alternative future for S&P 500 stock prices projected through Week 4 of August 2016:
From the beginning of the week to the end of the week, it would appear that investors kept their forward-looking focus on 2017-Q2 in setting the level of the S&P 500 throughout the week, well within the typical range of volatility we would expect. More to the point however, there was very little movement in the level of the S&P 500 from one day's closing value to the next all throughout the week.
So far, our modified model for projecting future stock prices is providing a more accurate forecast than our standard model, whose projections have been skewed by the echoes of past volatility from last year's market reaction to the meltdown of China's stock markets.
All that said, let's focus on the headlines that influenced the week's market action.
Here's a screenshot of Friday's Fed official-inspired volatility for the S&P 500:
You can see the market's reaction to Janet Yellen's comments from Jackson Hole, Wyoming at and after 10:00 AM, while the reaction to Stanley Fischer's comments came as he spoke later that morning, at and after 11:30 AM. As a general rule of thumb, it typically takes some 2-4 minutes for the market's reaction to news it wasn't expecting to become noticeable as a change in trajectory for stock prices. For further reading, ZeroHedge has an interesting take on the markets' real time reactions to the major Fed officials' Jackson Hole speeches, which touches on why they responded bullishly to Yellen's seemingly otherwise mildly hawkish comments (a hint of more quantitative easing monetary policy!), as well as an overall post-mortem.
Meanwhile, Barry Ritholtz has succinctly summarized the positives and negatives for the week's market and economic news, which we recommend surveying to get a broader sense of the general investing climate that existed during the week.
Several weeks ago, Political Calculations launched a new series, "Examples of Junk Science", where we are specifically focusing on where flawed analysis and the misuse of data leads to the spread of false or misleading information in the fields of investing, finance and economics.
More than that, we're also seeking to present explanations for why the examples of flawed analysis and misuse of data that we present lead to results that are not valid, which we hope will be beneficial for analysts who seek to make positive contributions in these fields, where the ultimate goal is be to improve the general quality of analysis that is produced altogether. We hope to do that in part by highlighting real examples so you can more quickly recognize them as the pseudoscientific junk they are so you can directly challenge the people who propagate them.
Today's example of junk science is representative of what may quite possibly be the most common way that analysis is twisted to present a misleading picture of the economy. Coincidentally, it is also perhaps the simplest: stating changes in values as a percentage of a percentage.
This is a technique that can greatly exaggerate the significance of a claim, which often will fall apart when put into a more appropriate and relevant context. As such, this kind of data mishandling falls under the precision category of the checklist for how to detect junk science.
|How to Distinguish "Good" Science from "Junk" or "Pseudo" Science
|If numbers are presented in support of a scientific explanation, they must be stated with the precision and accuracy required by their level of significance as determined by known measurement error in the data from which are derived, neither more nor less.
|Pseudoscience practitioners will often present numbers with a level of precision and accuracy that exceeds that supported by the known accuracy of real world data in order to give the appearance of greater validity for their claims.
|A recent example of pseudoscientific deception by precision include certain economists suggesting that "a Keynesian multiplier of 1.57" specifically applies for government stimulus spending, when a wide range of studies suggest the actual multiplier may be "anywhere from 0 to 1.5" (note the difference in the number of decimal places and potential range of values!)
Today's example isn't so much about decimal places as it is representative of the kind of deception that results when precisely calculated values are placed into an inappropriate context. Let's go over the details....
A chart similar to the one below was included in a blog post under the heading "Bank C&I Loan Charge-Offs Soaring Again". This chart caught my attention because it seems to indicate that bank C&I (Commercial and Industrial) loan charge-offs are happening at one of the fastest rates of the past 30 years — the sort of rate that would be consistent with the US economy being in recession.
The problem is that the above chart shows the percentage change of a percentage, which opens up the possibility that what is in reality a small increase is being made to look like a large increase. For example, an increase from 1% to 2% over the course of a year in the proportion of loans charged-off would be a 100% increase if expressed as a year-over-year percentage change in the percentage of charge-offs, whereas all you've actually got is a 1% increase in the total proportion of loans that have been charged-off.
The next chart is based on exactly the same data, but instead of displaying the year-over-year percent change in the percentage of C&I loans that have been charged off it simply displays the percentage of C&I loans that have been charged off. This is not just a more correct way of looking at the data, it is a way that has not given any false recession signals over the past 30 years.
The first chart's message is: an economic recession is either in progress or imminent. The second chart's message is: the US economy is not in recession and is presently not close to entering recession.
The same data, opposite messages.
No matter how you slice it, the presentation of a percentage change of a percentage is always highly misleading, even if mathematically correct. At the very least, it is more than one step removed from the actual numbers used to calculate the original percentage, which is the appropriate context in which the percentage can be understood.
Believe it or not, the use of percentage changes of percentages in place of the more accurate and direct presentation of percentage changes of numbers can have legal consequences, as Republican members of Arizona's state legislature discovered in 2008.
Judge orders rewrite of sales tax analysis
PHOENIX — A state judge ordered late Friday that the description of a proposed tax increase for transportation be rewritten to exclude a calculation of how much the levy will increase.
The description is to be put into pamphlets mailed to the home of every registered voter.
Maricopa County Superior Court Judge Edward Burke said it may be "mathematically correct" to say that Proposition 203, which would boost state sales taxes from 5.6 cents on every dollar spent to 6.6 cents, equals a 17.8 percent increase in what people will pay in sales taxes.
But the judge said such calculations "are likely to mislead many voters."
He accepted the arguments by Paul Eckstein, the attorney for tax backers, that the figure was deliberately inserted by Republican lawmakers to convince voters to reject the levy.
Mike Braun, who represents the Legislative Council, told Burke the law requires the panel to not only explain each ballot measure but also how approval would affect existing law.
He said it would be "helpful" to tell voters that whatever they are paying in state sales taxes would increase by 17.8 percent if Proposition 203 is adopted.
Eckstein, however, told the judge the accuracy of the calculation is beside the point.
"An analysis can be 100 percent accurate, and it can be unfair and misleading," he said.
Burke agreed.
For example, he said, raising the tax rate from one cent per dollar to two cents has an "absolute percentage increase" of 1 percentage point. But it has a "relative percentage increase" of 100 percent.
"Many voters are likely to confuse relative and absolute percent increases," the judge wrote.
As you can see, the components for the state sales tax example has a direct parallel component in the loan charge-offs example. The problem, as described by the judge in this case in non-mathematical terms, comes when the absolute percentages represented by the math above, the percentages of numbers, are confused with relative percentages, the percentage changes of percentages. The presentation of the relative percentages is misleading because their calculation is too many steps removed from the original base values from which the original percentages were calculated, which breaks the link to the specific context to which they are relevant.
In the case of today's example of junk science, it's the difference between suggesting that the risk of recession is imminent or of there being a comparatively low risk of recession in the near term. Given how different those outcomes are, expressing calculated values in the correct context is essential to avoiding the consequences that would come from taking the wrong actions in response to misleading information.
Saville, Steve. You can make statistics say whatever you want. The Speculative Investor. 19 July 2016. Republished with permission.
Political Calculations. How To Detect Junk Science. [Online Article]. 19 August 2009.
Labels: junk science
With so much destructive flooding in Louisiana during the past week, we couldn't help but think back to this past June, when the region around Houston, Texas experienced a tremendous amount of rainfall that also led to significant flooding and lots of property damage.
But one resident in the town of Rosharon, Texas beat the flood, using some remarkable technology developed in Louisiana for the purpose of preventing property damage. The following video tells the tale.
At $8,300, the cost of the residential AquaDam may seem high, but for those who live in flood prone areas, where flooding can cause property damage that can exceed several hundred thousand dollars, it may be a pretty reasonable investment. And the best part is that with the right combination of pumps, homeowners could actually use the same water that might otherwise destroy the value of their homes to protect them.
The question of whether its worth the cost however comes down to a combination of how much risk there is of property damaging flooding and the impact of how costly it could be. To estimate if it is worth the cost, as a general rule of thumb, you can multiply the cost of potential property damage by the probability that flooding will damage the property over an extended period of time. If that number is greater than or equal to the cost of using technology like the Aqua Dam to mitigate against the potential for damage, then it makes sense to invest in the technological solution.
It's not quite that cut and dried however, because there is a lot to be said for peace of mind if that number only falls short by a relatively small percentage, where choosing to invest in technology to overcome such a risk would come down to a personal choice.
The same principles apply for adaptation to climate change, where one could argue that this kind of technology could be more cost-effectively applied to provide additional protection to a levee, which if overtopped by flood waters, could easily result in millions of dollars of damage to an entire community. That may be especially true when the alternative course of action may involve an even more costly project to build up the levee.
Then again, the cost of the kind of technology to deal with such hazards may be so prohibitive that property owners may simply choose to buy extra insurance protection to pay for what it costs to clean up and recover after the damage happens, if and when it does.
And that's the rub. It all comes down to placing a bet on the statistical likelihood of something bad happening, which may or may not when it matters most to you. How much are you willing to wager to win on a choice like that? And how much are you willing to risk losing if you fall on that other side of the bet?
Update: Matt Kahn applies a little more complex math than what we described above to identify what kinds of people would choose to live in areas prone to flooding in the absence of government subsidized insurance protection (and by extension, since the math would be similar, technological protection).
Labels: risk, technology
Every three months, just about at the time that the market's quarterly earnings season ends shortly after the midpoint of the quarter, we take a snapshot of the expectations for future earnings in the S&P 500.
Today, for the first time in the last seven quarters, the trailing twelve month average of the S&P 500's earnings per share has risen, which suggests that the earnings recession which took hold in the fourth quarter of 2015 may finally have bottomed.
Going by S&P's current projections, the index' trailing year earnings per share may return to its pre-earnings recession levels in the first quarter of 2017.
The improvement in the S&P 500's earnings may be directly attributed to the rebound of crude oil prices since they bottomed in early February 2016, which have eliminated the downward pressure on earnings that have prevailed in the market's oil production sector since the end of June 2014.
Through Monday, 15 August 2016, the price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil at the Cushing, Oklahoma terminal stood at $45.72 per barrel, a nearly 75% improvement over the $26.19 per barrel it bottomed at back on 11 February 2016. Oil prices would have to rise by another 136% from that $45.72 per barrel figure to return to the $107.95 per barrel that was recorded on 20 June 2014.
We think that for S&P's latest projection of future earnings to hold, oil prices would have to continue their overall rise. However, since the current quarter of 2016-Q3 began, those prices have been somewhat choppy, so we think it is more likely that the recovery of the S&P 500's earnings per share to levels back above their pre-earnings recession levels will take longer than S&P projects.
This increase in the S&P 500's trailing year earnings per share is the first real positive news that the market has seen for its earnings prospects since mid-2014, and particularly the oil producing sector of the market. After having fallen for six consecutive quarters, it's about time that industry had some good news show up on its bottom line.
Silverblatt, Howard. S&P Indices Market Attribute Series. S&P 500 Monthly Performance Data. S&P 500 Earnings and Estimate Report. [Excel Spreadsheet]. Updated 12 May 2016. Accessed 19 August 2016.
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Israel has finalized its 28-man roster for the upcoming World Baseball Classic (WBC), headlined by former Major League Baseball (MLB) outfielders Shawn Green and Gabe Kapler.
Second baseman Josh Satin, currently part of the New York Mets' minor league
system, is the team's only other player with MLB experience, "Team Israel" said in a Sept. 14 press release. Green and Kapler are both player/coaches, and former MLB catcher Brad Ausmus will manage the squad.
Israel—whose first game is against South Africa on Sept. 19—is among 16 countries participating in the qualifying stage of the international tournament, with the top four advancing to the WBC in March 2013.
"[Israel's Word Baseball Classic team] impacts the North American and Israeli Jewish communities more than the athletes themselves," Kapler told JNS.org last year. "Those people are going to be psyched. It's worth dreaming about what could happen because this creates momentum and excitement, which in turn gets more people who want to participate [in the Israeli team's efforts]."
This is Israel's first WBC qualifier. The team is mainly comprised of American-born Jewish players who are allowed to compete because they can claim Israeli citizenship under the Law of Return. Three of the team's 28 players were born in Israel—Shlomo Lipetz, Alon Leichman and Dan Rothem—and 10 are from the Los Angeles area.
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I was charged $14.95 on my November 2010 Verizon bill for services from Members Edge LLC. I complained to the telephone number given, and was assured that a credit would be issued.
My December Verizon billing does show a $14.95 credit, along with two more charges for $14.95 to the same entity.
This report was posted on Ripoff Report on 12/30/2010 06:43 PM and is a permanent record located here: http://www.ripoffreport.com/r/Members-Edge-LLC/Hackensack-New-Jersey-07601/Members-Edge-LLC-Billing-1495mo-for-unknown-service-or-product-Hackensack-New-Jersey-677065. The posting time indicated is Arizona local time. Arizona does not observe daylight savings so the post time may be Mountain or Pacific depending on the time of year.
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October 21 , 2016 - Houston, TX
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WASHINGTON — For the second consecutive year in a row, the forecast for holiday gift card sales are negative, according to a survey released today by the National Retail Federation here. NRF's 2009 Holiday Consumer Intentions and Actions Survey, conducted by BIGresearch, indicated that holiday shoppers plan to spend slightly less on gift cards, with the average person spending $139.91, compared to $147.33 last year. Total spending on gift cards is expected to reach $23.63 billion. Last ...
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Definition of Deborah in English:
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text: Connecticut officials have announced the elimination of 24 senior-level jobs in higher education, positions that are being eliminated as a result of a merger of the state's community college and state university systems, The Hartford Courant reported. The jobs are generally high level administrative jobs, not faculty jobs. The average salary for the eliminated positions: $141,000.


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Christina Higginbotham email@example.com">
SOMERSWORTH — Children of the Hilltop City will play on new equipment at Noble Pines Park after a citywide project began its next phase of park additions.
Thanks to a federal grant and private donations, a low-pressure water playground called the "splash pad" and new pavilion was built at the park on Noble Street. The project is estimated at $80,000.
Dave Sharples Director of Planning & Community Development said 20 volunteers from Public Works and the Department of Development Services have worked since last spring to install the upgrades.
"It's been a citywide effort and its been a long time coming," Sharples said.
City departments hosted a barbecue for a "reopening" celebration at the The Noble Pines Park on Wednesday. "We have brought something more vibrant to these grounds after removing the rusted tennis courts in its place," Martin Pepin, councilor and chair of the Recreation Committee, said.
Children will now be able to frolic on the new equipment while their parents keep a close watch in the shade under the 28-foot by 28-foot pavilion. City Manager Robert Belmore and Superintendent of SAU56 Jeni Mosca attended Wednesday's barbecue.
"It's a wonderful addition to the city," Belmore said.
According to the city's former Mayor Lincoln Soldati, the next phase of the park was inspired by an 11-year old boy from Somersworth.
"He came up with this great idea for a skateboard park. I prompted him to take his proposal in front of the City Council, which was the genesis for the project," Soldati said.
Soldati said the city stepped up the plate with the park's enhancements.
The skateboard park is expected to be completed by the fall.
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- Report: #119548
Report - Rebuttal - Arbitrate
Complaint Review: Loteria Primitiva, El Mundo Spanish Loteria Primivita, Ministerio De Economia Y Hacienda, Santa Luci
Loteria Primitiva, El Mundo Spanish Loteria Primivita, Ministerio De Economia Y Hacienda, Santa LuciCalle Aroyo No.10 Piso ID 28008 Madrid Spain Madrid, Other Spain
Loteria Primitiva, El Mundo Spanish Loteria Primivita, Ministerio De Economia Y Hacienda, Santa Luci FAUX LETTER PROMISING US$615,810.00, IF I GIVE BANK AND PERSONAL DETAILS RIPOFF MADRID Spain
*REBUTTAL Individual responds: Spanish Rip Off Lottery Scam
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final notification collect before 18th december, prize awarded on november 17. this letter is hand signed, from the desk of the vice president JOSE LUIS MIGUEL, and printed by computer.
money is deposited in security company SANTA LUCIA and insured in my name, contact DOMINGO SANCHEZ "foreign operlations manager" fax+34655516421 tel+34699629108 he will get to keep 10%.
please check these letters out, dont give any details dont call from home,mine was full of spelling mistakes like operLations, they look real enough, though i never entered this lottery, nor did my father, how did they get our details?
Click here to read other Rip Off Reports on Smart Certify
This report was posted on Ripoff Report on 11/23/2004 04:07 PM and is a permanent record located here: http://www.ripoffreport.com/r/Loteria-Primitiva-El-Mundo-Spanish-Loteria-Primivita-Ministerio-De-Economia-Y-Hacienda-Santa-Luci/Madrid-Other-28008/Loteria-Primitiva-El-Mundo-Spanish-Loteria-Primivita-Ministerio-De-Economia-Y-Hacienda-119548. The posting time indicated is Arizona local time. Arizona does not observe daylight savings so the post time may be Mountain or Pacific depending on the time of year.
Ripoff Report has an exclusive license to this report. It may not be copied without the written permission of Ripoff Report.
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#1 REBUTTAL Individual responds
Spanish Rip Off Lottery Scam
AUTHOR: Rohit - (Australia)
SUBMITTED: Thursday, December 02, 2004POSTED: Thursday, December 02, 2004
Please note that I had been an unfortunate victim of a very big lottery scam that originated from Madrid in Spain.
I received a letter on the 30/11/04 through normal mail from Madrid, Spain claiming that I had been one of the lucky winners of a major lottery draw for which the results were released accordingly on 20/09/04. To convince me with the trap and to believe the information they submitted me, they had a declaration form attached with the covering letter for me to give my bank details so they can immediately transfer my winning money. In the letter it also stated that after receiving this letter I'm suppose to give the operation Manager a call in Spain who will transfer my money to the required designation.
I gave the Operation Manager a call in Spain and he introduces himself as the identity of the person specified in the letter. Firstly he congratulated me then thoroughly explained me how I had been selected as a winner among the other 25,000 selected participants throughout the world. He seriously had those strong convincing powers that lured both me and my Mrs to believe with his information. He strongly recommended me to send my bank details so that the money could be immediately transferred to the respective beneficiary that was me. I asked him on several occasions as to how I won the lottery and he told me the computer selected me randomly and I must have purchased a Spanish product in my country. Then to further induce me he told me to give a call to the lottery company and speak to the vice president and then confirm your price because he was just an agent looking after my money. I rang to the Vice President and somebody by the name Antonio introduced himself as being the secretary to the vice president. I explained him the situation and he told me to wait for a while until he grabs my file and then he looks in the computer to confirm my prize.
After this confirmation he urges me to deal with my agent for the processing of the prize.
After faxing all the required particulars to him then the agent gave me call early in the morning at 6.00am Australian time on 1/12/04 and told me that he has received my fax and in order to finalise my claim he needs my identity and well as $2080 euro dollars which is $3808.14 in Australian dollars. He convinced me that he needed this money because I am not a Spanish citizen and in order to transfer such a large sum of money they needed a government clearance. Later me and my wife we both spoke to the vice president of the lottery club to confirm whether we should be actually paying for the clearance and he told us that's one of the major requirements in order to transfer the fund and they also promised us that after this I wont be paying any extra money. I sent them the required amount through Western union on 1/12/04 which they received on the same day. I gave them a call to confirm if they have received my money. They told us that the money is now with the bank and the bank will contact me within 7 hours. On 2/12/02 an officer who identified himself as Loius and also gave me his bank name and number and asked me that for telegraphic transfer I have to give them $6567.00 euro dollars which is part of the bank commission. This was the only time I became suspicious that to transfer my own money how can the bank charge me so much money, Later they reduced the amount which made me believe that we were falling in a serious trap.
Later I rang to several authorities in Australia which included the Spanish Counsellor, Police in Spain and Melbourne, Westpac international bank services, Fraud investigation Department in Melbourne that could assist me with this major issue.I also rang the agent for them to return my money back to me which I doubt. They still speak to me over the phone and if for investigation purposes if I had to call them I can do that.
I shall be grateful if my case is studied deeply and investigated and my money is refunded to me. My main concern is to punish those criminals who are misleading the public and putting our life in such a stress and ripping the public off financially.
If nothing is done and these criminals are set free then in the near future they'll set up another scam more disasterous. I hope any of the authorities could help me out with this issue and the public is also made fully aware not to fall in a trap like we did.
Grateful if the above matter is resolved as soon as possible so that we are able to get our money back.
Concerned Resident
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EXCL. PREVIEW: "Ultimates" #9 Picks Up After the Game-Changing "Civil War II" #3
Comic Books
Top Five Month continues (check here to see an archive of all the top five lists featured so far) with a look at the top five transformations Superman underwent via Red Kryptonite!
5. Half the Powers!
I love this one because Superman doesn't dare tell Lois that only half of his body is super-powered WHY, exactly?
Or maybe she does know and Chuck Austen was right and Lois is just a bitch.
4. Superman's a monster!
This one is pretty cool, but it is also a pretty standard transformation.
3. Super-ant
THIS transformation, however, is much less standard!!
2. Super mood ring!
Talk about a trippy cover!!
1. Superdickery
A red kryptonite concept so good that it got a rare TWO-ISSUE arc!!!
Red kryptonite pitting Clark Kent against Superman is actually a pretty common effect, I bet because it is an AWEsome effect!
That's the list! Agree? Disagree? Let me know!
Superman's Pope hat is just this side of supercool
(also kind of cool that "The Monster From Krypton" has blue hair…you'd think that might be a giveaway)
Clark is a Metallo now
I'm sure there's a joke somewhere in "The Rainbow Faces Of Superman"…
Perhaps, Superdickery.com will have something, someday…
The part that strikes me is that all those stories take place between Action #290 and #317. That's at least six issues in two years devoted to red Kryptonite stories (excluding ones I don't know about). Were the fans clamoring that much for red K stories, or were the writers just out of ideas?
I don't think the "mute monster" Red-K transformation was THAT common. Still, the Ant-Man one takes the cake!
My favorite Red K story was one where Superman lost his powers BUT gained mind-reading instead, and conveniently enough (hey, it's a Silver Age story!) ends up stuck in a deserted island with Lois. Favorite scene: Lois kisses Superman, and his reaction is "I can no longer hear her thoughts!" Nice priorities, Supes!
I like that Red K story from the 80s where it makes him switch bodies with Ambush Bug.
It's stuff like this that makes me love the Silver Age so much.
The ant one's my favorite, but you've got to love Clark Kent, Metallo vs. Super-Pope.
It was probably popular demand. I've been reading through the Jimmy Olsen comics for the past year now, and the letters pages always seem to be complimentary about humor/transformation stories. Probably because attempts at more down-to-earth stories tended to turn out boring given the format restrictions…
Say, since we're talking about red K stories, can anyone help me out. For 40 years or more I've had the distinct memory of what may be the first Superman comic I ever read. If I'm remembering it correctly It took place mostly in the fortress and involved on of the Phantom Zoners (probably Jax-Ur) being exposed to Red K and turning into various snake based creatures (a giant serpent, a Medusa, etc.). Did this comic really exist? Does anyone know what issue? Was I just a really demented kid? (like all Red Kryptonite stories, this one was really creepy)
On the "Super-Ant" cover, I just love how Lois and Perry are leaning out the window like they're making a guest cameo on Adam West's Batman show…lol.
I remember loving the Red-K stories as a child and I think it was the fact that they were format breakers even if they had a format of their own. Something happens so Superman goes off character and then the rest of the story was dealing with that. It gave them a bit more free reign in story telling than they usually had.
What, no lion head?
No love for switching bodies with Ambush Bug?
"What, no lion head?"
The lion head was due to Circe who was a Kryptonian witch, not Red-K.
Wasn't there a Red Kryptonite story wherein Superman got amnesia, convinced himself he was Aquaman, and then settled down and got married to a nice girl out in the country?
Picked up the DC Direct Showcase Superman a month ago so I've currently got Ant Head Superman on my shelf. Was the one where he lost his powers but could create a mini superman a red K story or was that down to something else?
I suppose it was a way to do a What If?/Elseworlds/Imaginary Story back before that format was firmly established.
My personal favourite was the one where he loses his memory and becomes a baseball player under the name of "Bud Mack" (because the first person he sees calls him "Bud" and the next one "Mac."
My favorite Red K transformation is one that occurred only in the fevered imagination of Ambush Bug.
See, the Bug met Supergirl once, and apparently had never heard of Kal-El's less famous cousin before. Thus, the logical conclusion: this super girl was obviously Superman suffering a Red Kryptonite transformation!
I have memories of Superman fighting on a planet of invincible gorillas, immune to his powers. it might not be Red K, but SOMETHING affects him so that—Poof! He now has Red Hair. And just like Green Lanterns and yellow, red hair is apaprently the supergorilla laiens' weaknesses. Was that not Red K? Does anyone else remember this? Can I read Grant Morrison pay tribute to it anytime soon?
I'd have given an honorable mention to the post-revamp storyline "Krisis of the Krimson Kryptonite"(sic) where Lex depowered Superman with a piece of 'Red K'(actually a red rock that served as a conduit for Mxyzptlk's powers). A fairly entertaining story, most notable for being the arc where Clark and Lois got engaged.
Keep in mind that there were usually more than one story per issue back then and they also reprinted stuff. Despite only being a little over 2 years worth of books, there were probably over 100 distinct Superman stories in that time. They had to fill them with something and Red Kryptonite might seem redundant, but its effects could take the story anywhere.
"I suppose it was a way to do a What If?/Elseworlds/Imaginary Story back before that format was firmly established."
Nope, "imaginary stories" were well established at the time. Red-K was in a class all it's own.
While there were three stories per book, if Jimmy Olsen is anything to judge by, they never felt bad about recycling old story premises and doing them only slightly differently. Using Red K to make different insane things happen every time was probably pretty welcome if, say, the other two stories in the book were boilerplate plots.
[…] Subsequent years found him functioning as the patriarchal head of a metaphorical Superfamily and a transformative avatar of identity fluidity in the 1950s and '60s, and a successful Super-Yuppie in the 1980s. And that's just in the […]
[…] it back they go with one of the goofy spinoff versions, like Red Kryptonite, which has a different, completely random effect on Superman every time. Now that would be fun to […]
Comics Should Be Good accepts review copies. Anything sent to us will (for better or for worse) end up reviewed on the blog. See where to send the review copies.


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Book your room at Hôtel Alison
Get an overview of this hotel3-star hotel near Arc de Triomphe
Located in the heart of Paris, this hotel is within a 15-minute walk of Place de la Madeleine, Place de la Concorde, and Grand Palais. Paris Opera and Galeries Lafayette are also within 1 mi (2 km).
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All rooms are soundproofed and offer free WiFi and free newspapers. Plasma TVs, premium bedding, and hair dryers are among the other amenities available to guests.Would you like to give us feedback? Share it! Opens in a new window
Hôtel Alison21, Rue de Surene Paris Paris 75008
Hotel Amenities
Hotel Amenities
Hôtel Alison features tour/ticket assistance, multilingual staff, and coffee/tea in a common area. A computer station is located on site and high-speed wireless Internet access is complimentary. This Paris hotel also offers concierge services, complimentary newspapers in the lobby, and dry cleaning/laundry services.
- 24-hour front desk
- Total number of rooms - 34
- Number of floors - 6
- Breakfast available (surcharge)
- Coffee/tea in common areas
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- Concierge services
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- Express check-in
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Family Friendly Amenities
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Available in all rooms: Free WiFi
Available in some public areas: Free WiFi
Room Amenities
- Bathtub or shower
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Where to Eat
Full breakfasts are available for a surcharge and are served each morning between 7 AM and noon.
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Check-in time starts at 2 PM
Minimum check-in age is 18
Check-in time ends at midnight
Check-out time is noon
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You need to know
Extra-person charges may apply and vary depending on hotel policy.
Government-issued photo identification and a credit card or cash deposit are required at check-in for incidental charges.
Special requests are subject to availability upon check-in and may incur additional charges. Special requests cannot be guaranteed.
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Please note, some room types at this property are not available when booking a stay with children.
No pets or service animals allowed
- A tax is imposed by the city: EUR 1.65 per person, per night
Optional extras
- Fee for full breakfast: EUR 12 per person (approximately)
- Rollaway beds are available for an additional fee
Hotel Name
- Alison Paris
- Hôtel Alison
- Hôtel Alison Paris
We should mention
Only registered guests are allowed in the guestrooms. No pets and no service animals are allowed at this property.
National Rating
This hotel has received its official star rating from the French Tourism Development Agency, ATOUT France.


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Home › Forums › Road Racing › KART/WKA @ NCM OCTOBER 23-25 › Reply To: KART/WKA @ NCM OCTOBER 23-25
Kelly Read
First off, THANK YOU ALL for the compliments given both here and at the event. That makes all the work before, during and after well worth it!!!!!!
NOT ONE RED FLAG!!!!! GREAT job goes to ALL the racers!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I will say that MR ROBBY and his associates had better have eyes in the back of there heads!!!! PAYBACKS ARE HELL!!! That day will happen, GUARENTEED!!!!
As for NCM, they were very impressed with how well this WKA/KART event went. I was told by the track staff that we can come back there anytime !!!!
Robby who???. I think he was sleeping most of the time!! LOL. As for the rain, KART runs in the rain but keep in mind, there is rain and there is a down pour in which we don't run in a down pour. Heck, our racers wanted on the track earlier then they did (idiots-LOL). I was hoping by putting the KART racers on the track that it would make it possible for the WKA racers to race in which it did. My understanding by some people on the wall that Jeremy Lightwine in the sprint 125 shifter class was only 8 seconds slower then he was on Saturday with a dry track.
I know it was over 300. KART themselves had 124 which was awesome in my mind!!!!
Again, from myself and I'm sure I can speak for everyone else that was behind the scene that made this happen, THANKS TO ALL WHO ATTENDED AND SUPPORTED this event!!!
- This reply was modified 8 months, 2 weeks ago by Kelly Read.
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Seven hundred Mesa County students got to put on their ranger hats at the Colorado National Monument Friday.
Third and fourth graders were hiking to different activity stations for the third annual National Junior Ranger Day.
Rangers taught them how to use binoculars to hunt for critters and the four cardinal directions.
Students got to learn basic camping skills and songs and the roast marshamallows.
Park rangers say this event is important to give the next generation an appreciation for preserving parks.
"It's essential because they are our future and we're providing these experience so that they'll have a better understanding of the outdoors and feel connected to it," Colorado National Monument Visitor Coordinator Michelle Wheatley told 11 News on Friday.
After the activities, the kids got a coloring book and a badge making them official junior park rangers.


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Definition of granary bread in English:
granary bread
noun[mass noun] British trademark
A type of brown bread containing whole grains of wheat.
Example sentences
- Use slices on pumpernickel or granary bread with horseradish, on crostini or in salads.
- I had ended up with two large bottles of water, four Granny Smiths, a loaf of granary bread and a jar of lemon curd.
- I'll pop down the bakery and get some granary bread.
For editors and proofreaders
Line breaks: gran|ary bread
What do you find interesting about this word or phrase?
Comments that don't adhere to our Community Guidelines may be moderated or removed.
= trending


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I'm having a major fight with one of my clients wordpress websites. It's only been live for about 2 weeks and already hacked! :(
http://www.icsolutions.com.au is the website
If you look at the source code there is a div being pulled from who knows where - <div style="display:none"> with a whole heap of dogey keywords and links.
Can anyone tell me how to figure out where this is coming from? I have no idea where to start. I've reintalled a fresh copy of the theme I'm using and it's clean and I've deactivated all my plugins and the malicious code remains... HELP!


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The PodBlack Cat can't avoid crossing the path of this one! There's an interesting offshoot from the US elections that has caught my attention recently – John McCain's superstitious beliefs being openly touted –
"I'm wearing my lucky shoes from today till Sunday," McCain says from his bus on Wednesday. At the moment, his pockets contain the compass, feather (from a tribal leader) and penny (flattened, in his wallet). When McCain once misplaced his feather, there was momentary panic in the campaign, until his wife found it in one of his suits. When the compass went missing once, McCain assigned his political director to hunt it down. Weaver found it, and it remains safe, knock wood.
Primary day requires additional rituals. By the time you read this, Steve Dart, McCain's lucky friend, should have arrived in South Carolina from California. He has been present with McCain for every Election Day since McCain first won a seat in Congress. McCain must sleep on a certain side of the bed, particularly before an election (and he never puts a hat on a bed–bad luck). Rain is good for Election Day, as are motion pictures. McCain requires himself to view a movie before the vote is counted. He fell asleep in his hotel room in New Hampshire before he watched a movie on primary day, but his staff didn't panic. "We have superstition fire walls," says Todd Harris, a spokesman.
Is this something that's unusual? Not really, no. The notion of 'magical thinking' has its roots in the work of educational theorist Piaget, involving a lack of understanding of physical and biological phenomena (Morris, Taplin, & Gelman, 2000; Piaget, 1929/1951). Usually as you get older, this somewhat decreases. But these things have a habit of sticking around – humans seek patterns, make meaning and will tend towards comfort zones.
A few astute commentators have remembered the influence on Ronald Reagan's Presidency by astrologist Joan Quigley. John Henke of The Q and O Blog points out several superstitious statements evident in Hillary Clinton's soundbites –
Hillary Clinton, in January 2008 – "I can't think that far ahead, because it's bad luck. I'm very superstitious."
Hillary Clinton, September 2007 – "You know, I'm sort of superstitious so I don't talk about what I might do."
Yes, studies have shown that women tend to be more superstitious in general than men (Dag, 1999; Vyse, 1997; Wolfradt, 1997) – even though quite rightly, a Guardian article point out that it doesn't mean we should have more contempt for women for this tendency. Even during her husband's reign in office:
President Clinton in June 2005 – "Well, first of all, I'm superstitious."
President Clinton, January 2008 – "I'm wildly superstitious about not looking past the next election."
Are they just using those phrases as just figures of speech rather than somehow admitting that there's a rabbit's foot in their pockets? One thing we can say about why people will tend towards superstition, regardless of their political ambitions: discriminative stimulus and partial reinforcement – people will do what works for them because it's happened before or viewed it happen to others they've seen succeed or fail.
Is it a sign of something seriously wrong with you, if you're holding these particular views of the world beyond childhood? Not really – psychologists who research superstition, like Richard Wiseman, have acknowledged earlier research and the findings that said there were correlations between between negative superstitions and various irrational and problematic personality –
"…superstitious belief has traditionally been linked to a wide variety of indicators of poor psychological adjustment… relatively poor psychological adjustment, including low self-efficacy (Tobacyk & Shrader, 1991); high trait anxiety (Wolfradt, 1997); irrational beliefs (Roig et al., 1998); an external locus of control (Dag, 1999; Tobacyk, Nagot & Miller, 1988); magical ideation (Thalbourne, Dunbar, & Delin, 1995; Tobacyk & Wilkinson, 1990); psychopathology (Dag, 1999); field dependence and suggestibility (Hergovich, 2003); and dissociative experiences (Wolfradt, 1997)"
– but they're not the only explanation, according to his findings:
Positive superstitions may serve different psychological functions to negative superstitions. Indeed, as with other forms of "positive illusions", beliefs in positive superstitions may be psychologically adaptive.
This resulted in his paper 'Measuring Superstitious Belief: Why Lucky Charms Matter', which looked at to what degree people 'endorsed particular superstitions according to correlations to neuroticism and life satisfaction' and found
…there was a significant interaction between gender and superstition type, but no interaction was found for neuroticism. A significant interaction was found between superstition type and life satisfaction.
This was also used in Aarnio and Lindeman's work at the University of Helsinki, (Superstitious, magical, and paranormal beliefs: An integrative model) which then adopted more items involving lucky charms and the positive effect they have on users, in their research into superstitions. In 2007, Lindeman and Saher's paper on the differences concluded that 'the results support the argument that category mistakes and ontological confusions underlie superstitious and vitalistic thinking':
.. the findings of this study provide a preliminary basis for the idea that superstitions reflect a confusion of core knowledge that can be found among well-educated but superstitious adults.
Are people in politics particularly superstitious then? No again! The habits can be picked up in pretty much any profession, with some major studies involving athletes and people in the acting professions, much of this detailed in Vyse's seminal work Believing in magic: The psychology of superstition.
If you're interested in some of the historical sources that influence superstition involved in the acting professions, you can even watch it yourself on The TANK vodcast's interview with a theater historian:
And what of scientists? Are they immune? The 'why not' is is wonderfully detailed in the Columbia Uni article "And the Nobel Prize for luckiest science charm goes to….":
Daniel Nelson struggled for two years in graduate school desperately trying to isolate "periodontain," a gingivitis-causing protein crucial to his burgeoning scientific career… Nelson left his sombrero behind in Georgia, as a good-luck charm for future students. Years later, postdoctorate and graduate students still wear the "purification sombrero" every time their research needs a jolt of good fortune. "They have all heard the story," Nelson said, "and know if they don't wear the hat, they will be cursed with two years of impure protein."
Sombrero? It seems the wackier the better too… eh, you may as well have fun at the same time:
Caryn Evilia, a postdoctoral biochemist at Thomas Jefferson University in Philadelphia, uses a dragon, this time stuffed and blue, as a good luck charm that she rubs before important experiments.
"Whenever someone is having a bad day, we bring him down," said Evilia, who studies protein stability of aminoacyl-tRNA synthetases and methylases under extreme temperature conditions in archeabacteria.
"My lab mates like to put Twinkies at its feet," she said. "Don't be fooled, I eat the Twinkies."
What if you're a Bad-Luck Astronomer?
Astronomers at the Subaru Observatory atop Mauna Kea in Hawaii hang Japanese "teru teru bozu," fist-size cloth ghosts, to ward off bad weather, while scientists at Johns Hopkins University Medical School have built a shrine of stuffed or plastic mice to the "god of mouse immunology."
Looking around the comments on the McCain news item, I even found a few personal stories being passed around in science professions:
… If there weren't many admissions on a given call night, it was forbidden to use the "q word" [quiet] or to in any way refer to the low number of admissions you'd performed. Once your shift was over, you could say any q words you wanted. Some call teams carried around totems [stuffed animals, lucky pens] that were viewed as being helpful to appease the call gods.
It wasn't just residents who exhibited superstitious behavior. One night in the Pediatric ICU, I observed a nurse place the crash cart [with drugs and other equipment to handle codes (critical situations when a patient stops breathing or their heart stops)] between the bed of two patients who were on the edge of coding. When I asked her what she was doing, she replied "warding off evil spirits".
That particular tale appears to stem from a 2005 study entitled 'Superstitions Amongst Perioperative Nurses' – and I shouldn't have to remind anyone about emergency rooms in hospitals and how 'full moons' make the medicos there think that it increases the number of injuries called in!
I also noticed the following news item (Reuters) that indicated another reason for McCain's preference for the lucky paws in pocket:
His close friend and political ally South Carolina Sen. Lindsay Graham, travelling with McCain on Friday, smiled and said superstition is all a part of being a fighter pilot. "I have not met a fighter pilot who isn't that way. They live on the edge. They have to believe it gives them an advantage."
What's probably more important, as the blog Cosmic Variance pointed out – is what influence he'll have on science, such as his stance when comes to nasty viruses.
So, as odd as it may sound, I don't particularly care if anyone, including athletes, actors, scientists or even politicians carry their own touchstone or avoid certain situations because they feel they might cherry-pick bad events more often and get depressed… Fact is, you're in the minority if you don't have a ritual of some sort.
More important is when you're in a position of power, you make damned sure that you get some facts under your belt about health, science, society, education, etc., before you make policy decisions – and realise that not everyone tends towards talismans when times get tough and they're not that effective anyway. Because it's far more luckier to cover all the bases.
By the way – you may like to check out more on Magical Thinking on the Psychology Today article that's out for March/April, thanks to Matthew Hutson.
Dag, I. (1999). The Relationships among Paranormal Beliefs, Locus of Control and Psychopathology in a Turkish College Sample. Personality and Individual Differences, 26, 723-737.
Lindeman, M. & Aarnio, K. (2007). Superstitious, magical, and paranormal beliefs: An integrative model, Journal of Research in Personality, 41(4), 731-744
Lindeman, M. & Saher, M. (2007). Vitalism, purpose and superstition. British Journal of Psychology, Volume 98, Number 1, pp. 33-44.
Mandell, D.L, Claypool, L. D & Kay, D.J. (2005). Superstitions among perioperative nurses. AORN Journal.
Morris, S. C., Taplin, J. E., & Gelman, S. A. (2000). Vitalism in naive biological thinking. Developmental Psychology, 36, 582-613.
Piaget, J. (1953). The origin of intelligence in the child. London: Routledge & Paul.
Rudski, J., & Edwards, A. (2007, October). Malinowski Goes to College: Factors Influencing Students' Use of Ritual and Superstition. Journal of General Psychology, 134(4), 389-403.
Shearer, R. & Davidhizar, R. (2000) Luck: What the nurse should know about it and how it affects nursing situations. International Journal of Nursing Practice 6, 2-6.
Thompson, D.A & Adams, S.L. (1996). The full moon and ED patient volumes: Unearthing a myth. American Journal of Emergency Medicine, 14, 161-164.
Wolfradt, U. (1997). Dissociative Experiences, Trait Anxiety and Paranormal Beliefs. Personality and Individual Differences, 23, 15-19.
Wiseman, R. & Watt, C. (2004). Measuring superstitious belief: Why lucky charms matter. Personality and Individual Differences, 37, 1533-1541.
Vyse, S. A. (1997). Believing in magic: The psychology of superstition. New York: Oxford University Press.


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Reach Your Goal Weight Your Way with the NIH Body Weight Planner and USDA's SuperTracker
Many people want to do a better job managing their weight but aren't sure how. Whether you're trying to maintain your weight, lose weight, or gain weight it can be challenging to figure out how to get started.
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Sean Leahy
Blues GM: Vladimir Sobotka expected to join team after World CupSean Leahy at Puck Daddy 2 days ago
Someday, Vladimir Sobotka will return to the NHL and fulfill the year of service he owes the St. Louis Blues following the 2014 arbitration decision that was made a week after he signed with Omsk of the KHL.
He could have returned this past season, but Sobotka elected to remain in the KHL and posted an 18-goal, 34-point season and helped Omsk to within a game of the conference final.
The 29-year-old Sobotka could have left after the 2015 IIHF World Championships via an out clause in his contract, but chose against making an NHL return after signing a three-year, $12 million-plus deal to play in Russia in 2014. Once again, it's the off-season and speculation has been rife about whether or not he'll be in the Blues' lineup this fall.
[Yahoo Sports Fantasy Hockey: Sign up and join a league today!]
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Jared Bednar brings championship resume as new Avalanche head coachSean Leahy at Puck Daddy 3 days ago
Two weeks after Patrick Roy abruptly resigned, the Colorado Avalanche have found their next head coach.
After spending the last two seasons as a head coach in the AHL, Jared Bednar will get his shot at the NHL as he will be the one to replace Roy behind the Avalanche bench.
"After profiling the type of coach I wanted for our team and going through an interview process with several good candidates, I believe that Jared Bednar is the best person to lead this team behind the bench," said Avalanche EVP and GM Joe Sakic in a statement. "Jared's track record of success as a head coach in the American Hockey League speaks for itself and he is considered to be one of the top up-and-coming coaches in our business.
"Even though we had to accelerate the process with training camp approaching, we feel we met some real strong candidates with a lot of potential to become head coaches in the NHL in the near future, continued Sakic. "I would like to thank the general managers who gave us permission to talk to key staff members at such a precarious time."
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Bettman on jersey ads; Captain Pietrangelo; top left wingers (Puck Headlines)Sean Leahy at Puck Daddy 3 days ago
Here are your Puck Headlines: A glorious collection of news and views collected from the greatest blogosphere in sports and the few, the proud, the mainstream hockey media. Have a link you want to submit? Email us at firstname.lastname@example.com.
• 2007 Teemu meets 2016 Teemu. [Instagram]
• NHL Commissioner Gary Bettman on the World Cup, jersey ads, outdoor games and more. [CP via Yahoo]
• The St. Louis Blues are set to name Alex Pietrangelo as the franchise's 21st captain. [Post-Dispatch]
• Sidney Crosby will captain Canada's World Cup entry and Jonathan Toews and Shea Weber will serve as alternates. [NHL]
• Hockey in Scotland is growing. [Sportsnet]
Panthers send Dave Bolland, Lawson Crouse to Coyotes for draft picks
The Arizona Coyotes keep adding salary while the Florida Panthers found a taker for a bad contract.
In a deal with the Panthers Thursday morning, the Coyotes acquired Dave Bolland and Lawson Crouse — the No. 11 overall pick in the 2015 NHL Draft — in exchange for a 2017 third-round pick (the better of Arizona/Detroit) and a 2018 second rounder.
Per Craig Custance, that second-round pick is conditional and turns into a third rounder if Crouse does not play enough games in Arizona this season (10) to burn a year of his entry-level contract. Also, should the Coyotes deal Crouse this season that pick remains a second.
Crouse, who is in Toronto this week for BioSteel Camp, was informed of the deal early Thursday morning by Panthers GM Tom Rowe.
"It's a new opportunity to go into a new organization and show my talent and show them what I'm made of," said Crouse, who's been working out with Coyotes prospect Dylan Strome, to Sportsnet.
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Coyotes make historic hire in naming Dawn Braid as skating coach
The Arizona Coyotes made history on Wednesday in their announcement of three new hires to the coaching staff.
Along with naming former NHLer Mike Van Ryn as Development Coach and Steve Potvin as Skills Coach, the Coyotes also hired Dawn Braid as the franchise's full-time Skating Coach.
Braid is now the first woman to be hired to coach full-time in NHL history.
"It's something that I've wanted to see happen," Braid said. "The fact that they respect what I do enough to name me as a full-time coach, or to name me as the first female coach in the NHL, I take a ton of pride in that. I've worked very hard for this opportunity. It's been going on for years and I just look forward to going even further with it."
Braid is no stranger to working with in the NHL. She was actually in a part-time role last season with Arizona and has previously consulted with the Toronto Maple Leafs, Anaheim Ducks, Buffalo Sabres and Calgary Flames.
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Stars add Jiri Hudler with a one-year, $2 million deal
The Dallas Stars have bolstered their forward group by signing Jiri Hudler to a one-year, $2 million deal as first reported by Sonny Sachdeva on Tuesday night.
Hudler, who will reunite with GM Jim Nill after their time in Detroit, posted 16 goals and 46 points in 72 games with the Calgary Flames and Florida Panthers last season. Ten of those 46 points came via the power play, which means the Stars' fourth-ranked power play just got even better.
"Jiri brings a combination of detail, discipline and skill," said Nill. "He has a championship pedigree and adding him to our group of forwards solidifies our depth up front, giving our coaching staff a number of options and versatility."
As Travis Yost of TSN detailed last month, Hudler isn't just a winger who can score at even strength and chip in on the power play, he also makes his teammates better when they're on the ice with him, even going back as far as 2010:
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Wild make right choice, change goal song to Prince's 'Let's Go Crazy'
The Minnesota Wild asked, and the fans responded.
Prince's "Let's Go Crazy" will be the new goal song for the Wild beginning with their Sept. 27 preseason game against the Colorado Avalanche.
This summer, the Wild sent an email to season ticket holders asking for their feedback about the potential change from Joe Satriani's "Crowd Chant" to the classic Prince track.
"Our in-arena experience is designed for the fans, so it's great to be able to show them we take their feedback to heart," said John Maher, vice president of brand, content and communications for the Minnesota Wild. "At the same time, it's our privilege to celebrate an iconic hometown artist that clearly has had an incredible impact on our community and the world."
During the Wild's first home playoff game following Prince's death on April 21, the team used "Let's Go Crazy" for the first time as its goal song and reaction was overwhelming, which let to them soliciting feedback for a possible permanent change.
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Avs' coaching search continues; top 25 centers; Abdelkader, Larkin fly (Puck Headlines)
Here are your Puck Headlines: A glorious collection of news and views collected from the greatest blogosphere in sports and the few, the proud, the mainstream hockey media. Have a link you want to submit? Email us at firstname.lastname@example.com.
First road trip of the year @hclokomotiv Lets get this season started ! pic.twitter.com/eztqSo54dk
— Max Talbot (@Max25talbot) August 23, 2016
• No more crying, Western Conference teams.
• Bob Boughner and Kevin Dineen are looking like the two favorites for the open head coaching job with the Colorado Avalanche. [Denver Post]
• A London Knights fan believes he was cheated out a game-worn Mitch Marner jersey by the team and is considering legal action. [Buzzing the Net]
Logan Couture to replace Jamie Benn on Canada's World Cup roster
Logan Couture will find himself in Toronto next month after he was named to Canada's World Cup of Hockey roster replacing Jamie Benn.
Awesome Logan Couture quote about Sidney Crosby's faceoff cheating: "He's on my (World Cup) team now, so he can do it as much as he wants."
— Ryan Pyette (@RyanatLFPress) August 23, 2016
"We are excited to add Logan to Team Canada. He has developed into a top player in the NHL, and his versatility will benefit our group of forwards. In making this decision the management group consulted with our coaching staff and determined that Logan was the best fit to help fill the role that Jamie was projected to play on Team Canada," said Team Canada GM Doug Armstrong.
"We want to thank Jamie for his dedication to an extensive rehab program in an attempt to play for Canada. Unfortunately, Jamie will not be available and we wish him a speedy recovery."
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Maple Leafs find their backup goalie in Jhonas EnrothSean Leahy at Puck Daddy 6 days ago
It was a busy Monday for the Toronto Maple Leafs, who after promoting Mark Hunter from Director of Player Personnel to Assistant General Manager finally signed a backup goaltender for Frederik Andersen.
After spending last season with the Los Angeles Kings, Jhonas Enroth will move to Toronto after inking a one-year, $750,000 deal with the Leafs.
The deal was a long-time coming after reports from Sweden a month ago had the two sides closing in on an agreement. Leafs GM Lou Lamoriello said that after the team dealt Jonathan Bernier to Anaheim last month he was planning to go out and acquire a backup and not rely on Antoine Bibeau, Kasimir Kaskisuo or Garret Sparks in that role.
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text:
gennetines, France
Located at the gates of Auvergne, the field is an organic farm created by Bessière family in 1975...
gennetines, France
Plaimpied, France
Charming stone house in the heart of a charming village Martine welcomes you with passion in the ...
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TREBAN, France
Set in the heart of the Bourbonnais region of France, our B & B is a fully refurbished typical fa...
TREBAN, France
Charenton du Cher, France
Rest and walk the riverbank of the Sologne.
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Former 19th century post relay, in the heart of the Auvergne
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Overall rating:
The Lurcy Levis B&B review score is based on feedback from travelers from around the world. See property page for full, detailed reviews by real travelers.