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Global temperature and Arctic ice update
The average global temperature for April on the UAH satellite measure jumped to +0.295C above the 30 year running mean.
This equates to approximately +0.548C above the standard 1961-1990 average, used by the World Meteorological Organisation.
Significantly, April Arctic sea ice was close to the 1979-2012 average, and the highest in April for over 10 years, shown below.
Experts though reported that much of the ice cover was thin, indeed since the end of April ice extent has fallen sharply.
Follow me on twitter @Hudsonweather
Comments Post your comment
Comment number 1.At 18:24 15th May 2012, ManmadeupGW wrote:
"Experts though reported that much of the ice cover was thin, indeed since the end of April ice extent has fallen sharply."
Now would these be the same experts who made headlines saying the arctic would be ice free by September 2012?
I am unfortunately to have been around for the Queens Jubilee my recollection was it poured down with rain?
Comment number 2.At 18:30 15th May 2012, john_cogger wrote:
So still warm? No cold trend? Still diminishing ice?
What a suprise. Still waiting for the onset of the cold cycle.
Comment number 3.At 19:31 15th May 2012, poisonman wrote:
This comment was removed because the moderators found it broke the house rules. Explain.
Comment number 4.At 20:28 15th May 2012, openside50 wrote:
tbf to paul poisonman - he is actually one of the good guys an almost lone sane voice within a warmist organisation - if you had been a long tome visitor to his blog you would have realised that
Comment number 5.At 20:28 15th May 2012, Mick wrote:
There is a good amount of 2 metre plus ice this year according to this US navy site.
And according to Nansen ice area and extent still pretty much on the longer term average so the claim of ice extent falling sharply seems premature.
Also the sea ice anomaly via the Cryosphere not looking that large either.
Could be an interesting season, although current levels are normally considered a poor predictive guide to the peak summer melt, however, a staff member at NSIDC did predict an ice free or nearly ice free summer this year a few years back. Interesting times. :)
Comment number 6.At 20:39 15th May 2012, Gadgetfiend wrote:
#3 poisonman
That's the sort of post that gives sceptics a very bad name. Openside50 is right, this blog is very balanced and as such very refreshing.
Comment number 7.At 20:42 15th May 2012, grumpyoldman58 wrote:
More on Yamal. The new data is from 120 cores, not a "special one" http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/05/15/mcintyre-gets-some-new-yamal-data-still-no-hockey-stick/
Comment number 8.At 20:43 15th May 2012, john_cogger wrote:
@3 poisonman
Please stay here, you are precious!
Comment number 9.At 21:04 15th May 2012, poisonman wrote:
I sincerely Apologize for my rant. Did not know he was one of the good guys. Sorry Paul. I retract my comment. Silly me....at least i can admit i made an error :o(
Comment number 10.At 21:10 15th May 2012, QuaesoVeritas wrote:
#3. - poisonman wrote:
"Sorry Paul how can you support or work for the FAILED Met office."
If you read the "about this blog" section, you will see that Paul no longer works for the Met. Office.
In any case, there is nothing what is written above related to Met.Office claims and since it is essentially factual, I don't see what evidence there can be to "debunk" it.
By the way, that doesn't make me a supporter of the M.O. either, but I don't think there is a "scam".
Comment number 11.At 21:13 15th May 2012, lateintheday wrote:
mick - cryosphere had server problems and has been stuck on that value for a while. Otherwise, I agree with you. The melt hasn't kicked in according to 'expert' forecast so far. Time will tell.
Also, for some reason NSIDC use a 20 year average - not the 30 year which we often read about for other measures. I also see that the DMI 80 N temp chart has been hugging average for a quite a while, although I understand they calculate their average across the full record.
Comment number 12.At 21:15 15th May 2012, poisonman wrote:
@ Quaesovertas as i have posted above i was completely out of order and have apologized for my ignorance.
Comment number 13.At 21:18 15th May 2012, QuaesoVeritas wrote:
Oops, I hadn't noticed this entry when I posted this in the previous blog, and as it is more on topic here, I will post it again:
I have been looking at the mean monthly temperature anomalies for the N.H., using RSS data.
Apart from the N.Polar region, i.e. 60 to 82.5 deg. the mean anomaly peaks in April & September, with the peak in April being higher than that in Sept. and are at their lowest in June and December.
However in the case of the N.Polar region, the peaks are in April and December, with low points in February and July. On average, the December peak is higher than that in April.
After September, the other regions anomalies tend to fall, whereas the N.Pole anomalies tend to rise until December, then fall.
Any ideas why the N.Pole would behave differently to the rest of the N.H.?
Here are the average N.Pole anomaly figures, in case anyone wishes to plot them:
Whereas the anomalies for the NH excluding the N.Pole are:
Comment number 14.At 21:33 15th May 2012, openside50 wrote:
Just had a look at the ice extent this year in the Antarctic - wow - way above the average recorded since satellite coverage made measurement possible
Odd that the south pole receives relatively little news coverage
Comment number 15.At 22:23 15th May 2012, greensand wrote:
13. QuaesoVeritas wrote:
"Any ideas why the N.Pole would behave differently to the rest of the N.H.?"
Interesting question, no immediate serious thoughts but should be good to have a look see.
"Here are the average N.Pole anomaly figures, in case anyone wishes to plot them:"
Over what timescale did you calculate the "average"?
Comment number 16.At 22:40 15th May 2012, quake wrote:
IJIS data is back up
Cryosphere Today is probably going to be down for a while..
Comment number 17.At 23:00 15th May 2012, greensand wrote:
Arctic looking all sort of Arctic as it tends to do at this time of the year:-
Comment number 18.At 07:54 16th May 2012, NeilHamp wrote:
Just keeping this thread up to date with our forecasts for 2012
Figures in brackets are last year's forecast
+0.48 Met Office (+0.44)
+0.45 Newdwr54 (N/A)
+0.43 John Cogger (N/A)
+0.42 Mr Bluesky
+0.42 Lazarus
+0.41 quake (+0.36)
+0.40 Paul Briscoe
+0.40 Gagetfriend (+0.30)
+0.40 NeilHamp ( +0.27)
+0.37 Lateintheday's Holly Bush
+0.34 QuaesoVeritas (+0.31)
+0.29 millinia (+0.24)
+0.29 LabMunkey (+0.25)
+0.28 ukpahonta (+0.35) (2011 winning entry)
+0.24 Joe Bastardi
If ukpahonta is right again for 2012 it will certainly put the polar bear amongst the penguins
2012 forecasts have not yet been found for:-
SmokingDeepThroat (+0.39)
Ken Sharples( +0.18)
nibor25( +0.15)
Comment number 19.At 08:26 16th May 2012, lateintheday wrote:
I'm confused by your numbers (doesn't take much) as I would have expected them all to be higher. Quickly looking at the NH monthly anomalies alone, wouldn't they average out to an annual anomaly under 0.1?
I understood that the NH had warmed more than the SH so something looks awry here. Maybe these are the anomalies against the last ten years base period?
Comment number 20.At 09:30 16th May 2012, QuaesoVeritas wrote:
#15. - greensand wrote:
"Over what timescale did you calculate the "average"?"
Over the entire RSS series.
The anomalies do seem to increase with time, so the next step is to look at shorter periods to see if the pattern still holds in more recent years, compared to the earlier ones.
Comment number 21.At 09:39 16th May 2012, ukpahonta wrote:
Comment number 22.At 10:03 16th May 2012, Lazarus wrote:
No experts said that "the arctic would be ice free by September 2012".
What was reported was the opinion of one NASA scientist back in 2007 and based on the sharp fall in ice in 2007. He said "At this rate, the Arctic Ocean could be nearly ice-free at the end of summer by 2012".
One expert using qualifiers like;' based on a rate it could be nearly', is noting like your claim of 'multiple experts' saying would be and ice free. As a sceptic I see the difference, do you?
Comment number 23.At 10:07 16th May 2012, QuaesoVeritas wrote:
#19. - lateintheday wrote:
"I'm confused by your numbers (doesn't take much) as I would have expected them all to be higher. Quickly looking at the NH monthly anomalies alone, wouldn't they average out to an annual anomaly under 0.1?
I understood that the NH had warmed more than the SH so something looks awry here. Maybe these are the anomalies against the last ten years base period?"
The anomalies are relative to the normal RSS base period, i.e. 1979-98.
Please note that the second set of figures are the N.H. *minus* the N. Pole.
I have calculated this, by deducting the N.Pole anomaly from the N.H. anomaly, after applying a weighting based on surface area.
The mean anomalies for the N.H. *including* the N.Pole are:
Note that the above anomalies are higher than the N.H. *excluding* the N.Pole where the N.Pole mean anomalies are highest, e.g. December. I think that my earlier figures are more representative of the N.H., as the N.Pole has a large impact on the overall figures.
The average annual anomaly for the N.H. *excluding* the N.Pole is 0.104c and that for the N.H. *including* the N.Pole, is 0.126c. The mean for the N.Pole alone is 0.256c, bearing in mind that the N.Pole (60 to 82.5 deg.) is approximately 1/5 of the N.H.
Another factor may be that the averages are over the period 1979 to 2011/12, and more recent anomalies are higher. As I said to greensand, I will be looking at how these have changed over time, but the purpose of the excercise was mainly to see how the anomalies vary over the course of the year.
Comment number 24.At 10:12 16th May 2012, QuaesoVeritas wrote:
#22. - Lazarus wrote:
"What was reported was the opinion of one NASA scientist back in 2007 and based on the sharp fall in ice in 2007. He said "At this rate, the Arctic Ocean could be nearly ice-free at the end of summer by 2012"."
Given that it was such an obviously stupid statement to make, one wonders why any scientist would make it, unless it was intended to raise alarm.
Comment number 25.At 10:54 16th May 2012, ukpahonta wrote:
This week, after reviewing his own new data, NASA climate scientist Jay Zwally said: "At this rate, the Arctic Ocean could be nearly ice-free at the end of summer by 2012, much faster than previous predictions."
One wonders why such an organisation would report it unless it was an effort, much like the sensationalism expected within red top tabloids, to increase sales.
Comment number 26.At 11:32 16th May 2012, lateintheday wrote:
Lazarus - looks like scientists (plural) to me according to this bbc story from 2007.
Wednesday, 12 December 2007
Scientists in the US have presented one of the most dramatic forecasts yet for the disappearance of Arctic sea ice. Their latest modelling studies indicate northern polar waters could be ice-free in summers within just 5-6 years. Professor Wieslaw Maslowski told an American Geophysical Union meeting that previous projections had underestimated the processes now driving ice loss.
"Our projection of 2013 for the removal of ice in summer is not accounting for the last two minima, in 2005 and 2007," the researcher from the Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California, explained to the BBC. So given that fact, you can argue that may be our projection of 2013 is already too conservative."
Then of course, this was presented in alarmist fashion by you know who on an international stage, ensuring headlines around the world. . .
"Former US Vice President Al Gore cited Professor Maslowski's analysis on Monday in his acceptance speech at the Nobel Peace Prize ceremony in Oslo."
And Serreze had the opportunity to dismiss the claim but instead, added further credibility to it by saying . . .
"I think Wieslaw is probably a little aggressive in his projections, simply because the luck of the draw means natural variability can kick in to give you a few years in which the ice loss is a little less than you've had in previous years. But Wieslaw is a smart guy and it would not surprise me if his projections came out."
Comment number 27.At 11:41 16th May 2012, lateintheday wrote:
Lazarus, if you check out the description of what scientists mean by "ice free" at the NSIDC icelights website then you'll find that ManmadeupGW was correct and qualifiers were not necessary.
QV - thanks for the very clear explanation. Was the Arctic Oscillation link of any use on the last thread?
Comment number 28.At 11:44 16th May 2012, quake wrote:
I am interested to know why people think a prediction of arctic sea summer sea ice disappearance by 2012/2013 was silly.
Maslowski gives reasoning behind the prediction:
"But the Monterey researcher believes these models have seriously underestimated some key melting processes. In particular, Professor Maslowski is adamant that models need to incorporate more realistic representations of the way warm water is moving into the Arctic basin from the Pacific and Atlantic oceans."
"My claim is that the global climate models underestimate the amount of heat delivered to the sea ice by oceanic advection," Professor Maslowski said.
"The reason is that their low spatial resolution actually limits them from seeing important detailed factors.
"We use a high-resolution regional model for the Arctic Ocean and sea ice forced with realistic atmospheric data. This way, we get much more realistic forcing, from above by the atmosphere and from the bottom by the ocean."
So what is wrong in his reasoning there? What makes his prediction silly? Ie so absurd that he shouldn't have given it?
Comment number 29.At 12:04 16th May 2012, quake wrote:
Arctic sea ice volume modelling shows continued decline since 2007 and it's getting very close to the 0 mark in summer:
That model is not necessarily correct though and should be thought of as possibility. But in that respect it supports the possibility of summer arctic sea ice loss this or next year. We are very close now if volume is dropping that fast. As one of the scientists in the BBC article says: "In the end, it will just melt away quite suddenly. It might not be as early as 2013 but it will be soon, much earlier than 2040."
As the ice has got thinner in summer it's become more prone to the "right" conditions wiping it vast tracts of it. That happened in summer 2007. There was no warning, it just dived downwards. That hadn't happened before in the record, it's because the ice is in worse condition. In recent years the ice has got nearly as low in extent as 2007 without those same conditions, which backs up the idea that the ice thickness has declined further since then.
As the ice gets thinner it becomes more prone to that kind of stuff. Soon it won't require the "right" conditions to produce 2007 style levels any-more, it'll become a regular occurance and then you have to wonder how far it will drop if 2007 like conditions occur again but this time with thinner ice.
When it does go one summer in the future, it'll probably go suddenly without warning. I doubt it will be gradual, it will be a 2007 style drop on a larger scale.
Comment number 30.At 12:17 16th May 2012, lateintheday wrote:
Quake, I'm not sure it was silly - just alarmist, in that it flew in the face of most other predictions which range from 2030 - 2100, or even unlikely in the foreseeable future. Nevertheless, its central claim was repeated worldwide without much opposition from the scientific community.
Put another way, imagine if a respected scientist claimed ice age conditions would occur within 6 years, massively changing NH habitats and weather patterns. If this claim made the headlines around the world, one might expect other experts to stand up and call it tosh (in their opinion).
In this particular case, Serreze and others actually gave Maslowski's claim some credibility which added to the MSM story. I don't remember seeing much in the way of a retraction or even balanced reporting by the MSM. Although I admit, this could be because as a typical joe public, I'm more sensitive to scare stories which is of course, what the MSM editors bank on.
On a related note, earlier today I followed a link from the comments section at CA (DocMartyn) to this study.
I've only very briefly scanned it, but like the DMI maps we discussed earlier it appears to show significant historical variations in temps and ice cover since 1900, which make the recent variations look less 'death spiral' and more cyclical.
Comment number 31.At 13:12 16th May 2012, Lazarus wrote:
QuaesoVeritas wrote:
"Given that it was such an obviously stupid statement to make"
I disagree. It would have seen like a possible outcome given the data for 2007. Personally I don't think scientists should give opinions in public without supporting research but many do. Litzen often does.
2007 was the first year that the Northwest passage open - a forecast by Hansen made in 1981 - and it has open every summer since. Ice volume continues to decline and as Paul has pointed out, even though Ice Extent was around average this winter it was very thin. It will only take a warm year and similar weather conditions to 2007 for the Arctic to be mostly ice free (less than 50% of the accepted average) and that could still happen this year and I think likely within the next decade or so.
lateintheday wrote:
" looks like scientists (plural)"
Different kettle of fish. In this case it was research but the scientists forecast for 'ice free' was for 2013 and was always an outlier. The mainstream science view is stated in the article;
""My thinking on this is that 2030 is not an unreasonable date to be thinking of."
And later, to the BBC, Dr Serreze added: "I think Wieslaw is probably a little aggressive in his projections, simply because the luck of the draw means natural variability can kick in to give you a few years in which the ice loss is a little less than you've had in previous years. "
It is wrong to choose one single piece of research or scientist and use it as 'what the experts say' just as it would be wrong to use Monckton as a typical GW skeptic.
Comment number 32.At 13:15 16th May 2012, QuaesoVeritas wrote:
#12. - poisonman wrote:
"@ Quaesovertas as i have posted above i was completely out of order and have apologized for my ignorance."
Sorry, I hadn't seen your post #9 when I sent my post #10.
Comment number 33.At 13:27 16th May 2012, QuaesoVeritas wrote:
#31. - Lazarus wrote:
"I disagree. It would have seen like a possible outcome given the data for 2007. Personally I don't think scientists should give opinions in public without supporting research but many do. Litzen often does."
I don't think it is very sensible to project the outcome of a single extreme year and make predictions on that basis.
Using the same approach, based on the fall in global temperatures between 2011 and 2012, temperatures will be back to the 1961-90 average by 2014.
Comment number 34.At 13:57 16th May 2012, ukpahonta wrote:
"Using the same approach, based on the fall in global temperatures between 2011 and 2012, temperatures will be back to the 1961-90 average by 2014."
That is a bit extreme QV, my thinking on this is that 2020 is not an unreasonable date to be thinking of.
From a previous post having a bit of fun:
2012 0.28,
2013 0.34,
2014 0.36,
2015 0.32,
2016 0.26,
2017 0.19,
2018 0.12,
2019 0.05,
2020 0.00
Comment number 35.At 14:32 16th May 2012, lateintheday wrote:
Lazarus, I think it's a matter of perspective but not a different kettle of fish. There clearly was a GROUP of scientists behind the research and I remind you that Maslowski said . .
"So given that fact, you can argue that may be our projection of 2013 is already too conservative."
There is no other way to interpret this other than 2012 or earlier.
And despite his qualifying comments, was Serreze wise to to say to the media. . .
"But Wieslaw is a smart guy and it would not surprise me if his projections came out."
I agree with your Monckton comment up to a point. The difference being that Serreze holds a senior position at NSIDC and IS regarded as an expert on arctic sea ice. Whereas Monckton is err . . . well . . . Monckton.
Comment number 36.At 16:02 16th May 2012, QuaesoVeritas wrote:
#27. - lateintheday wrote:
"QV - thanks for the very clear explanation. Was the Arctic Oscillation link of any use on the last thread?"
Sorry, I should have replied to you on that earlier.
I must admit that I have some difficulty in getting to grips with the implications of the AO, and what effect it has on Arctic weather.
What exactly is being referred to when it is described as "negative" or "positive", i.e. temperature or pressure. There is a graph of the AO index, but it isn't clear to me what that is an index of. No numbers I can get my teeth into.
I haven't had time to read any of the additional links, so clearly more reading required on my behalf.
I do notice that the page says that the AO has recently switched from positive to negative mode, which I think means that the ice should be less prone to melting, but I am not sure.
Comment number 37.At 16:07 16th May 2012, QuaesoVeritas wrote:
34.At 13:57 16th May 2012, ukpahonta wrote:
"Using the same approach, based on the fall in global temperatures between 2011 and 2012, temperatures will be back to the 1961-90 average by 2014."
#34. - ukpahonta wrote:
"That is a bit extreme QV, my thinking on this is that 2020 is not an unreasonable date to be thinking of."
Ah, but I was using the same approach as Jay Zwally!
Comment number 38.At 16:43 16th May 2012, lateintheday wrote:
QV - it's pressure apparently. These were the relevant bits. From the NSIDC website . . .
The AO, which ranges between two distinct modes, describes how pressure patterns are distributed over the Arctic region and the middle latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere. NSIDC director Mark Serreze, an expert on Arctic climate and weather, said, "When the Arctic Oscillation flips from one mode to another, that represents a fundamental change in the circulation of the atmosphere, the way the winds blow." The AO can persist in one phase from anywhere from days to months. When pressure is higher than normal over the Arctic, and lower than normal over middle latitudes, the AO is in its negative mode. When it is positive, air pressure is lower than normal over the Arctic and higher than normal over middle latitudes.
"When the Arctic Oscillation is in its positive phase, the jet stream, which brings us much of our weather in middle latitudes, tends to shift to the north." That means that in the positive phase of the AO, winter storms also shift north, leaving most of the U.S. warmer and drier than average.
When the AO is negative, the jet stream moves south, bringing winter weather with it. Last winter, for example, the strong winter storms that hit the Eastern United States and Europe were influenced in part by a strongly negative phase of the AO. NSIDC scientist Walt Meier noted that the AO is not a sole actor—it works in concert with other large-scale patterns to influence the weather. He said, "The heavy snows the last couple years were related to the AO as well as La Niña."
When the Arctic Oscillation is in its negative mode, he said, the winds and ice tend to flow in a clockwise direction, generally keeping more of the older, thicker ice in the middle of the Arctic.
Comment number 39.At 16:50 16th May 2012, ukpahonta wrote:
I saw your Jay Zwally and raised a Dr Mark Serreze:
"My thinking on this is that 2030 is not an unreasonable date to be thinking of."
Slightly modified of course.
Light bulb!
Top trumps for UEA students, cards featuring climate scientists and their specific fields, number of papers published, citations, public statements...etc
Perhaps not, back to the day job.
Comment number 40.At 18:32 16th May 2012, Mick wrote:
This link may be useful, an essay drawing together several descriptions and links to other studies.
There is a study that attributes somewhat of a major state change in the Arctic to the AO. A change that led to a major loss of multiyear ice.
Variations in the Age of Arctic Sea-ice and Summer Sea-ice Extent
Ignatius G. Rigor1,2 & John M. Wallace2
Polar Science Center, Applied Physics Laboratory, University of Washington
Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington
Geophys. Res. Lett., v. 31, doi:10.1029/2004GL019492, 2004.
The link to the document is on this page.
Comment number 41.At 18:44 16th May 2012, quake wrote:
"Quake, I'm not sure it was silly - just alarmist, in that it flew in the face of most other predictions which range from 2030 - 2100, or even unlikely in the foreseeable future."
Maslowski had found a result using a more specialized model of sea ice and was reporting it. I disagree that he should not have reported it just because it didn't agree with prior predictions.
If predictions outside the mainstream should not be given to the media then several prominent climate sceptics would have to be muzzled from publicly claiming climate sensitivity is lower than the mainstream 2.5-4.5C range.
"Put another way, imagine if a respected scientist claimed ice age conditions would occur within 6 years, massively changing NH habitats and weather patterns."
The temperature drop from mid-2011 to now was due to La Nina and is known to be temporary. It can't lead to an ice age in 6 years.
The mechanisms of sea ice decline is far more uncertain. The "within 6 years" 2012/2013 predictions were certainly plausible back then and are still plausible today.
"In this particular case, Serreze and others actually gave Maslowski's claim some credibility"
Probably because they couldn't stand there and honestly claim that Maslowski was wrong.
Comment number 42.At 20:04 16th May 2012, greensand wrote:
20. QuaesoVeritas wrote:
"Over the entire RSS series."
Thanks QV and I see that you are also a mind reader:-)
"The anomalies do seem to increase with time, so the next step is to look at shorter periods to see if the pattern still holds in more recent years, compared to the earlier ones."
Exactly my thought, is the NH/Arctic "ratio" "on the move", if you get my drift. If I get the time I will try and check the Reynolds NH/Arctic numbers.
Comment number 43.At 20:13 16th May 2012, QuaesoVeritas wrote:
#38. - lateintheday wrote:
"QV - it's pressure apparently. These were the relevant bits. From the NSIDC website . . "
I saw that on the page, but I had difficulty in reconciling the term "negative" with high pressure over the arctic, and "positive", with low pressure. It's the terms "negative" and "positive" which I have difficulty with.
Also, if the AO can persist in one phase from "days to months", isn't it just anohter way of describing normal variation in N.H. atmospheric pressure? You could just as easily define a U.K. Oscillation, depending upon whether the pressure over the UK was high or low.
Comment number 44.At 21:43 16th May 2012, newdwr54 wrote:
NOAA made an interesting observation in their announcement of the April 2012 global surface temperature anomaly (+0.65C - fifth warmest April since 1880 globally).
They say:
"The global temperature departure from the 20th century average and the monthly rank were the highest since November 2010, near the onset of first back-to-back La Niñas in 2010." http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/2012/4
The implication is that with the natural cooling brought about by the 2010 La Niñas having passed, the underlying global warming signal has more or less picked up again from where it left off.
The proof of the pudding for this will come in the next weeks and months. ENSO 3.4 has been in a 'neutral' state for a couple of months now. That being the case, and in the absence of any other obvious 'natural' forcing, global surface temps should be stabilising towards the long term mean. However the ENSO neutral conditions have coincided with an *increase* in observed global surface temperatures.
Despite neutral ENSO conditions, surface temperatures are rising. What's causing this?
Comment number 45.At 22:51 16th May 2012, greensand wrote:
44. newdwr54 wrote:
"What's causing this?"
Maybe it is whatever has been causing surface temperatures to rise since the LIA and or whatever caused similar rates of change from 1920 to 1940 including similar effects upon high latitude areas?
Or maybe, just, maybe to quote Stephen Fry "nobody knows!" Catagorically?
Comment number 46.At 23:27 16th May 2012, newdwr54 wrote:
Hi greensand:
I hope you agree with me that it will be a sad day when science shrugs its shoulders and says, like Stephen Fry, ""nobody knows! Categorically"?
The fact is that the scientific academies are already unanimously agreed about what's causing the observed warming and global heat build up. There is no real controversy at that level. We all know what it is they believe, as they have clearly stated their views, again and again.
Comment number 47.At 23:45 16th May 2012, greensand wrote:
46. newdwr54 wrote:
Hi DW
"I hope you agree with me that it will be a sad day when science shrugs its shoulders"
But it has! That is the whole point! Its CO2 look no further! The good and great say so, so it must be! Science does not and will not work that way! It is your following statement that is an absolute denial of the scientific method!
"The fact is that the scientific academies are already unanimously agreed about what's causing the observed warming and global heat build up. There is no real controversy at that level. We all know what it is they believe, as they have clearly stated their views, again and again."
A simple translation of which is "I believe so it must be"! Agreement does not and never will equate to fact no matter how many times it is stated.
Now explain why this "warming" is different from whatever has been causing surface temperatures to rise since the LIA and or whatever caused similar rates of change from 1920 to 1940 including similar effects upon high latitude areas?
Comment number 48.At 00:12 17th May 2012, newdwr54 wrote:
47. greensand wrote:
"Its CO2 look no further!"
I'm sorry, I can't agree with that. I can't agree that institutions like the UKRS and USNAS, etc would just blindly fall into some ideologically-driven view on such an important matter without carefully considering the alternatives. That view paints a depressingly bleak picture of the integrity and/or intelligence of the membership of these esteemed institutions.
As for my denying the scientific method:
We must assume that there is a certain level of expertise in these things, you and I. Just as we do with medicine. Just as we entrust people to run nuclear power stations, etc. You and I are not experts in any of these things. What qualifies us to say that the experts are wrong?
If the world weren't accumulating heat; if global average surface temps measured over appropriate time-scale weren't rising strongly, despite cooling ocean and orbital influences, then I'd agree that you would have a point.
But we now know, beyond any measure of reasonable doubt, that the world *is* accumulating heat energy (more has come in lately than has gone out). We know that when you measure surface temperatues using any data set you can name over the past 30 years temperatures are rising at an average rate of +1.6C per century.
I'm not an environmentalist, as I've previously been at pains to point out. I'm not even left-wing in most respects. In fact I work in the aviation industry, and potentially stand to lose a good deal from 'global warming'. But that doesn't mean it isn't true.
As ever time will tell. Let's hope you're right, and that some as yet unexplained and innocuous cause is behind the heat accumulation and warming, despite the massive scientific consensus supporting AGW.
Comment number 49.At 00:23 17th May 2012, newdwr54 wrote:
Just on a separate point re the post by Paul Hudson.
As ever Paul chose to show the UAH version of events, complete with Roy Spencer's totally inappropriate polynomial trend line (which Spencer says he adds for "entertainment purposes only"). In fact the graph above looks like a straight lift from Spencer's site.
Just for anyone who was curious to see what a UAH data set *linear* trend line looks like (i.e. one that reflects "temperatures over time", as opposed to one that offers "entertainment" value), I thought I'd post this link:
Comment number 50.At 00:47 17th May 2012, greensand wrote:
48. newdwr54 wrote
"That view paints a depressingly bleak picture of the integrity and/or intelligence of the membership of these esteemed institutions."
Correct! My absoloute major concern. If you think that the way that "these esteemed institutions" have handled the accusations of malfeasance has any scientific never mind moral base then you are very sadly mistaken.
"As for my denying the scientific method"
You did! No question, you stated that because somebody else says so then it must be! No it isn't, either prove it or butt out! Just quoting numerous agreements proves nowt!
"If the world weren't accumulating heat;"
Now explain why this "warming" is different from whatever has been causing surface temperatures to rise since the LIA and or whatever caused similar rates of change from 1920 to 1940 including similar effects upon high latitude areas?
Also explain what the mechanism is that allows the land of this planet to warm whist the oceans do not? I will modify Stephen Fry and say that "nobody YET knows", Catagorically!
Comment number 51.At 01:16 17th May 2012, RobWansbeck wrote:
@48, newdwr54 wrote:
" … That view paints a depressingly bleak picture of the integrity and/or intelligence of the membership of these esteemed institutions. … "
I entirely agree. Perhaps you could ask Peter Gleick, the chair of the American Geophysical Union's Task Force on Scientific Ethics, for his opinion on the matter?
Comment number 52.At 08:37 17th May 2012, lateintheday wrote:
QV @43 regarding the AO.
I can see what you mean. My understanding was that they are implying that the low or high pressure variations over the UK (for example) are primarily caused by the AO and the shift in jet stream etc. The AO being to large extent, a weather controller for the NH. This is in contrast to the AO being the result of other weather patterns or simply part of the mix. How they've come to this conclusion is not explained on the icelights page itself.
The positive/negative phases seem to be titled the wrong way round intuitively, which adds to the confusion.
Comment number 53.At 09:07 17th May 2012, lateintheday wrote:
Quake, I didn't say he shouldn't have reported it. The point is that if the findings were considerably at odds with the mainstream, why were they not reigned in by the likes of Serreze. Let me put this another way.
When high profile AGW skeptics get a mention in the press, the reporters should and often do, ask the mainstream for their views. Can you imagine Hansen (or any of the NASA scientists) saying, "while we disagree, this Skeptic is a bright chap and it wouldn't surprise me if he were right."
If Serreze doesn't have a strong view on whether 'ice free arctic' will occur in 2012, 2030 or 2100 then clearly, he hasn't actually got a handle on it at all. That hasn't stopped him pronouncing 'death spiral' or 'the arctic is screaming'.
Comment number 54.At 10:47 17th May 2012, QuaesoVeritas wrote:
#44. - newdwr54 wrote:
"Despite neutral ENSO conditions, surface temperatures are rising. What's causing this?"
Actually, the very latest AMSU CH5 temperature figures suggest that temperatures have been falling since the beginning of May, and since temperatures normally rise at this time of year, the anomally has also been falling, even faster. The daily anomaly was about 0.238c on May 1st, but was only 0.048c on May 15th, although the cumulative mean is still above the end of April.
This would suggest that the warming which ocurred during March & April may at least have slowed down, so this may reflect the neutral ENSO conditions.
Comment number 55.At 12:05 17th May 2012, lateintheday wrote:
QV - looking again at your numbers for the N.H (sans N Pole) it seems the peak anomalies are obviously close to the equinoxes.
Would it not be reasonable to postulate that arctic sea ice extent is the cause of this. As the sun peeps its head over the horizon in spring at the higher latitudes, a slightly lower sea ice maximum extent means reduced albedo but more importantly, more open water (which is warmer than the air) to transfer heat to the atmosphere.
The ocean/atmosphere heat transfer is the major player here since insolation is still very weak. The anomalies reduce throughout the summer as insolation becomes the major or perhaps equivalent factor in setting the temps.
In September, the weakening insolation allows the ocean/atmosphere heat transfer to take over again, thus increasing the anomaly if there is lower than average sea ice minimum extent. (Which of course there has been)
Once sea ice growth begins in earnest, there would be little in the way of insolation to bump up anomalies, since albedo during late autumn early winter is effectively non existent. The growth in sea ice follows its natural course and dampens the ocean/atmosphere heat transfer which in turn lowers the potential anomaly.
I think that the seasonal growth in arctic sea ice has been a little slower/later than average for some years, and perhaps that explains why the North polar region continues to show an anomaly increase through to December. By January however, the maximum extent is eventually reached. This maximum continues to be reasonably close to average, hence the reduction in the anomaly until the cycle begins again.
I suppose a similar argument may be made for atmospheric CO2 seasonal variation, although that could lead to 'sensitivity' issues which would be difficult to resolve.
Comment number 56.At 13:24 17th May 2012, ManmadeupGW wrote:
@ Lazuras
I do not intend to deal with your arguments about the Junkett scientists who annually predict ice free conditions in the arctic other posters have dealt with you admirably on this.
You make this statement:
"2007 was the first year that the Northwest passage open - a forecast by Hansen made in 1981 - and it has open every summer since."
Of course it ain't true. Furthermore it is misleading. So how many large ships are sailing every year throught the northwest passage? Well, 10 with Ice breakers?
A record number of vessels transited through the Northwest Passage in 2010.
Since the first crossing of the Northwest Passage by Amundsen in 1906, few ships (less than 1 every 10 years on average) had successfully completed the full passage until 1969, when the oil tanker SS Manhattan, refitted with an ice-breaker bow, crossed the Passage from east to west, and thenreturned east. That trip resulted in ten transits being recordedthat summer, as four icebreakers escorted the oil tanker. The number of completed trips through the Arctic Ocean increased in the late 1970s, mostly due to the availability of icebreakers and other ships capable of navigating in difficult northern waters. This is particularly the case for Arctic tourism10.
More recently, there has been an increase in ship-based research in the Northwest Passage and the Beaufort Sea, attributable to concern over the effects of climate change in arctic marine ecosystems, culminating in more research efforts during the International Polar Year7.
From the 1980s on, voyages through the Passage have become an annual event. The number of transits increased from 4 per year in the 1980s to 20 per year in 2009-2010. These transits are mostly completed by icebreakers on coast guard and research duties, passenger ships offering Arctic tourism opportunities, and tug and supply vessels, some with barges. Other types of ships completing the passage include oil/fuel tankers, drill ships, seismic vessels, cable vessels, and buoy tenders. The greatest portion of the increase in transits since the late 1980s is due to an increase in shipping activities by tug-supply vessels - half of them with icebreaking capacity - involved in the oil and gas industry in the Beaufort Sea.
Comment number 57.At 13:31 17th May 2012, QuaesoVeritas wrote:
In relation to the AO, the NSIDC page states that the positive phase tends to bring warmer weather to middle latitudes, while the negative phase presumably tends to bring colder weather. It isn't clear what the corresponding effects are on the N.Pole region temperatures.
If the mid latitudes are warmer during a positive phase, there should be a positive correlation between the AO index and temperature anomalies.
I downloaded the AO data since 1950, and compared that with RSS temperature anomalies since 1979, and calculated the correlation between the AO and RSS over 12 month and 10 year rolling periods.
In the case of the RSS anomalies for the region 20 to 60 degrees (which I have calculated), the 12 month rolling correlation fluctuates wildly from positive to negative, although the majority are positive, and the range is between about +0.9 and -0.7.
For the 10 year rolling correlation, the figures are always positive, ranging from about +0.17 and +0.47. So the correlation is positive, although not strongly or consistently so.
In the case of the RSS N.Polar region, 60 to 82.5 deg., again the 12 month correlation fluctuates wildly between about -0.8 and +0.7 and the 10 year is consistently negative, between about -0.07 and -0.29, so in the case of the N.Pole, there appears to be a weak negative correlation between AO and RSS anomalies.
So this does seem to support the "theoretical" effects of positive and negative AO phases, although as I say, the longer term correlation isn't high.
I am not sure what the significance of the above is for the large fluctuations in N.Pole anomalies.
I will respond on your post #55 later.
Comment number 58.At 13:35 17th May 2012, QuaesoVeritas wrote:
I also suspect that the advent of satellite navigation and other high-tech aids has made it easier to navigate the N.W. passage.
Comment number 59.At 15:00 17th May 2012, quake wrote:
Re 56. ManmadeupGW
"Of course it ain't true."
It is true. Amundsen took 3 years to navigate it, having to stop each winter and wait for the ice to clear again. It wasn't open. Icebreakers are breaking through ice. Ie it isn't open.
Only in recent years has the Northwest passage opened allowing non-reinforced boats to get through
Comment number 60.At 16:58 17th May 2012, lateintheday wrote:
"I will respond on your post #55 later"
That sounds ominous QV. It was just a science illiterate's musings, put forward since no one else had jumped in. I'll put my crash helmet on when 'later' arrives!
Comment number 61.At 20:21 17th May 2012, QuaesoVeritas wrote:
#60. - lateintheday wrote:
"That sounds ominous QV. It was just a science illiterate's musings, put forward since no one else had jumped in. I'll put my crash helmet on when 'later' arrives!"
Not really, just haven't had time to read it and take it all in yet.
Comment number 62.At 20:24 17th May 2012, QuaesoVeritas wrote:
Tonight at 20:30 on ITV1+1:
The Great British Weather:
"Jonathan Maitland investigates the impact of our changing climate as Briatain goes from the hottest March since 1957 to the wettest April since records began".
I don't suppose they will mention that the MO forecast a dry April!
Sorry such short notice.
Comment number 63.At 23:43 17th May 2012, newdwr54 wrote:
Just a further comment on the UAH graph featured by Paul Hudson in the above post. The trend line used is third-order polynomial. Don't panic. I'm not sure what it means either. In basic terms, and I stand to be corrected by more or less anyone, a polynomial trend is a type of linear trend, but one that reacts to short term fluctuations, depending on what 'order' you chose to set it at (1-6).
In other words, if you have a temperature series running from point 'A' (Dec 1979 is the UAH point 'A') to point 'B' (April 2012 in the UAH series) then you can either just add a simple linear trend line, which is the numerical "Trend" value that UAH actually *do* publish monthly in their data release; or you can mess around with polynomial trends to achieve the desired effect for public consumption.
If, for whatever reason, you aren't keen on publishing your graph with a simple linear trend (even though it runs along a simple linear series - time!), then polynomial trends offer you a raft of options.
Roy Spencer started out by issuing his UAH data to blogs such as WattsUpWithThat with no trend line - for whatever reason. After correspondence with a certain Canadian engineer a few years back, Spencer added a fourth order polynomial trend to the UAH data. This type of trend line shows up to three peaks and troughs in any long term linear data set.
At the time, this left an obvious 'downturn' at the end of the latest temperature series, implying that the data had entered a 'cooling' period. As it turned out, the data depicted using the fourth order trend began to flat line, and Roy once again issued his data with no trend line (even though UAH continued publishing the strongly warming linear value in numerical form).
More recently Spencer has used the option of a third-order linear trend. This has once again produced the 'apparently' desired effect of leaving the trend line once again looking like global temperatures have just entered a cooling period (see the graph above).
If you use the same UAH data and apply a 4th order trend now, you will find that the latest end of the curve is flat. If you use a 6th order trend, you will find a sharp upward peak in the latter end of the data. But Roy has elected to use a 3rd order trend - "for entertainment purposes".
Basically what I'm saying is that Roy Spencer is chopping and changing his choice of trend line to suit his underlying views - that there is no warming worth worrying about. This is deeply misleading in my view. By reproducing Spencer's graph without caveats, Paul Hudson is responsible for spreading Spencer's misinformation, again, in my view.
Comment number 64.At 23:53 17th May 2012, newdwr54 wrote:
54. QuaesoVeritas wrote:
"Actually, the very latest AMSU CH5 temperature figures suggest that temperatures have been falling since the beginning of May, and since temperatures normally rise at this time of year, the anomally has also been falling, even faster."
Can you confirm whether May 2012 to date is above or below average in the AMSU ch5 series? I have it slightly above.
Comment number 65.At 00:47 18th May 2012, lateintheday wrote:
newdwr54 . . . but I thought you trusted scientists? Here you make a very serious accusation against both the host of this blog and, whether you like it or not, a very well respected scientist. Further, you do this whilst admitting a lack of statistical skill which would otherwise qualify you to comment on the appropriateness of a polynomial fit.
Excuse me, but I thought that stepping beyond one's level of competence and talking out of the wrong orifice was my job on this blog.
(That said, PH should have included Spencer's standard caveat.)
Comment number 66.At 00:53 18th May 2012, RobWansbeck wrote:
@63, newdwr54 wrote:
" … Just a further comment on the UAH graph featured by Paul Hudson in the above post. The trend line used is third-order polynomial. Don't panic. I'm not sure what it means either. In basic terms, and I stand to be corrected by more or less anyone, a polynomial trend is a type of linear trend, but one that reacts to short term fluctuations, depending on what 'order' you chose to set it at (1-6). … "
A linear trend is a first-order polynomial although it can't be a polynomial because there is only one x term, e.g. y = ax + c. A second-order polynomial adds an x squared term and a third-order adds an x cubed term etc.
Polynomials are not linear since linear means a straight line relationship and are not really trends. They are simply equations chosen to give a required degree of fit; as a rule a higher order will give a better approximation to a given data set.
When y is known to be a function of x a polynomial can sometimes give a good approximation to what otherwise might be a very difficult problem.
In this case it really is 'for amusement purposes only'.
Comment number 67.At 02:02 18th May 2012, Lazarus wrote:
What quake said.
Comment number 68.At 07:52 18th May 2012, QuaesoVeritas wrote:
#64. - newdwr54 wrote:
"Can you confirm whether May 2012 to date is above or below average in the AMSU ch5 series? I have it slightly above."
Not entirely sure which figure you are referring to.
As at the 15th., I have the daily temp. 0.017c above the daily average but likely to be below any day now, the cumulative May figure about 0.147c above the cumulative average, but the cumulative 2012 figure 0.076c below the cumulative average.
Comment number 69.At 08:00 18th May 2012, QuaesoVeritas wrote:
#63. - newdwr54 wrote:
"Basically what I'm saying is that Roy Spencer is chopping and changing his choice of trend line to suit his underlying views - that there is no warming worth worrying about. This is deeply misleading in my view. By reproducing Spencer's graph without caveats, Paul Hudson is responsible for spreading Spencer's misinformation, again, in my view."
I agree that Roy Spencer seems to be using whichever polynomial that looks like temperatures are declining. I think that the last time I checked, the 3rd order polynomial was the only one which currently showed a decline.
However, I disagree that Paul Hudson is being misleading by simply reproducing the graph from Spencer's web page.
The 1st order, or linear trend does show the long-term trend, but I don't think it is any more indicative of how temperatures are going in the shorter term than the 3rd order one.
Comment number 70.At 08:05 18th May 2012, QuaesoVeritas wrote:
#66. - RobWansbeck wrote:
"In this case it really is 'for amusement purposes only'."
Yet Roy Spencer happens to use the 3rd order polynomial, which shows a recent decline, when in my opinion, some of the other polynomials, which show a recent rise, are even more "entertaining".
Comment number 71.At 08:56 18th May 2012, MangoChutney wrote:
@openside50 #14
RADARSAT data seems to suggest:
Overall, however, the observed changes have little impact on the mass balance of the region. We therefore conclude that in contrast with their counterparts in the Amundsen and Bellingshausen Seas (Rignot et al., 2008) the ice streams and ice shelves in the broad region under investigation herein have not been changed in a significant way in the past 12 yr, which suggests that the ice dynamics of the entire region does not have a strong impact on the mass budget of the Antarctic continent.
"Twelve years of ice velocity change in Antarctica observed by RADARSAT-1 and -2 satellite radar interferometry" Scheuchl et al 2012
Only 12 years worth of data, but of interest the next time somebody suggests we will all drown when the ice melts.
Comment number 72.At 11:34 18th May 2012, QuaesoVeritas wrote:
Apparently the latest WWF "Living Planet Report", suggests that "economic growth should be abandoned", for the sake of the planet.
I haven't read the report, so I only have "The Register" comments to go on, but I have to say that on the basis of that, I go along with the WWF on this.
But it's nothing to do with "climate change", but with the sustainability of human activity.
The idea that we can continue with the current rates of population and economic growth for much longer, is fundamentally flawed.
Unfortunately, as a sceptic on "climate change", I find myself on the same side as those who disagree with this.
Comment number 73.At 11:56 18th May 2012, MangoChutney wrote:
@72 QuaesoVeritas
The problem with those that advocate population control is population control is always for others not for them or theirs (not that I'm suggesting QV agrees with this, I don't know him/her)
Comment number 74.At 12:13 18th May 2012, greensand wrote:
72. QuaesoVeritas wrote:
Thanks for the link, just put it up at BH. Will have a look at the report later.
"The idea that we can continue with the current rates of population and economic growth for much longer, is fundamentally flawed."
I understand your concerns and I do not have any real answers but doubt very much that bring all down to the lowest common dominator will gain much traction.
Also I am quite sure that any proposed reform must be based on sound scientific proof if not it will fail.
Comment number 75.At 12:20 18th May 2012, QuaesoVeritas wrote:
#73. - MangoChutney wrote:
"The problem with those that advocate population control is population control is always for others not for them or theirs (not that I'm suggesting QV agrees with this, I don't know him/her)"
I am not sure that anyone is advocating "population control", more "population restraint".
In any case, even "population control" wouldn't cause any actual harm to anyone currently living. In fact, it would have major benefits.
I don't actually think that it is likely that there will be any significant voluntary restraint in either population or economic growth, but it may be imposed upon us by circumstances beyond our control.
It is what the authors of "Limits to Growth" call "overshoot and collapse", which, given human psychology, is almost inevitable at some stage.
Comment number 76.At 12:49 18th May 2012, RobWansbeck wrote:
@70, QuaesoVeritas wrote:
" Yet Roy Spencer happens to use the 3rd order polynomial, which shows a recent decline, when in my opinion, some of the other polynomials, which show a recent rise, are even more "entertaining". "
Real climate scientists have developed techniques to show a recent rise from almost any data. Check-out Michael Mann's end reflection or Stefan Rahmstorf's infamous method and more recently Tamino's choice of smoothing parameter.
Perhaps Roy Spencer is having a laugh at the real climate scientists who expect their methods to be taken seriously. :)
Comment number 77.At 20:25 18th May 2012, QuaesoVeritas wrote:
Hmm, I was continuing my calculations of the average N.Pole monthly anomalies, according to RSS, splitting the series into the periods 1979-1988, 1989-1998, 1999-2008, and 2009-2011/12, to see how the anomalies have changed with time.
Then I noticed an apparently strange phenomenon, i.e. that the average monthly anomalies for 1979-88 and 1989-1998, were equal and opposite to one another, so that when you added them together, the average monthly anomalies were all zero.
After a while, I realised that this was because the base period for RSS is 1979-1998, so by definition, the average anomalies for that period are all zero.
I am still trying to get my head around this, but I think it makes the monthly anomalies useless for calculating any seasonal pattern, at least over the base period.
Comment number 78.At 09:10 19th May 2012, Tim wrote:
John Cogger. I wondered why you thought you was such an expert in climate change? Do you have a vested interest in making a living out of this scam? Remember before April we had drought conditions, within month everything was normal. The weather will right things in its own time, without man's intervention. It all reminds me of King Canute.
Comment number 79.At 09:14 19th May 2012, Tim wrote:
I remember Al Gore and his inconvenient truth. If he got rid of a few houses and cars, then that would be better than preaching to others about the damage we are doing to the planet. He is probably one of the worst offenders for flying around the world. He wants other people to sacrifice, while he carries on being greedy. Prince Charles also springs to mind.
Comment number 80.At 18:40 19th May 2012, john_cogger wrote:
@78 Tim
I'm as much as an expert as everyone else on here. i.e. not much.
I do have a vested interest, so do you, so does everyone, as we all live on this little blue dot.
The weather will right things? Is this a law of averages thing? Or science?
Comment number 81.At 08:44 20th May 2012, Tim wrote:
John thanks for being honest. I rate health very highly on my agenda, will become a vegan at some stage and have no issue with wind turbines around every village, if they are really cost effective. But what I don't like are scientists who sometimes know less than us, scaring people into knee jerk reactions. In my occupation I come up against the NHS who are far less experts on health than myself, they deal with the effect not the cause.
Comment number 82.At 11:47 20th May 2012, mjmwhite wrote:
Take away the RT bias and there is a story here
"Tens of millions of pounds of UK aid money has been spent forcibly sterilising Indian women. Many have died being mistreated, causing outrage from those who suspect Britain simply wants to curb the country's population for alterior motives. RT's Priya Sridhar has the details of this controversial programme"


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Tony's flight for freedom goes international! Pepper Potts: Prisoner of H.A.M.M.E.R.! And things get very bad for Maria Hill deep in the heart of Texas! As Tony struggles to keep the Silver Centurion armor up and running, Norman Osborn's noose tightens around his neck â every freak and fiend in his rogues gallery is gunning for him â and Madame Masque gets the keys to the kingdom. WORLD'S MOST WANTED hits the halfway point and absolutely no one is safe.
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Something New
After being told about her cousin Elizabeth's pregnancy, Mary set out at once to visit her—a wonderful example of how eager she was to serve, to give, to be of use to others. Right?
Well, yes and no. The story is rich with meaning at many levels and has a lot to teach us both about Mary and about our own lives as Christians. No doubt Mary did want to help and support her cousin, but Elizabeth already had a supportive community of friends and neighbors. If it were simply a matter of lending a helping hand, Mary's company would have been welcome but hardly indispensable. Much more is going on.
Look at it for a moment from Mary's point of view. She was young and in a very vulnerable position. She could have faced death by stoning when her pregnancy was discovered. Yes, she was without sin and had just received extraordinary news from an angel. We don't want to say she doubted what the angel said or that she didn't trust in God to care for her as she took on the responsibilities of motherhood. But, sinless though she was, she did not float above the trials of life, conversing constantly with angels; she was human. Her whole world had been radically shaken up in a moment. Mary needed someone to talk with—someone who would understand.
Elizabeth was the perfect person. The fact that the angel had informed Mary of her cousin's pregnancy was clearly an indication that their...
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About the Author
Celia Wolf-Devine is a retired philosophy professor, author, and lecturer. Her book The Heart Transformed: Prayer of Desire was published by Alba House in 2009. Information about her work is available at celiawolfdevine.com.


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Board completes the canvass of votes
Published: Wednesday, May 14, 2008 at 4:30 a.m.
Last Modified: Wednesday, May 14, 2008 at 12:05 p.m.
Henderson County Board of Elections completed the canvass of the May 6 primary and certified the election.
"There was a few vote difference in the (Chuck) McGrady and (Sam) Laughter race, but it didn't change the outcome," Board of Elections Supervisor Beverly Cunningham said. "We sent it to the FedEx and released it to our Web page."
She said staff went through all 35 precincts to verify the elections. The board of elections met Tuesday and verified the work.
The state will then certify the election, making the results official.
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Assignment: Help a Single Woman Find Love
posted by October 31 at 14:24 PMon
Yesterday I received an email from Naomi, a single mom from Issaquah who needed help finding a hot date. Naomi told me she liked well-traveled, open-minded, rugged men but the last guy she dated was a crazy Australian stalker dude who scared her.
I had a hard time figuring out where to find well-traveled open-minded masculine men. At a dog park? A gym? Pac Sun? The only decent place I could think of was REI.
I met Naomi outside on the deck of the first floor of REI, overlooking the waterfall and planted trees. I introduced myself, we hugged briefly and walked inside together. Instantly a woman named Sheila appeared and insisted that both of us buy an REI membership. No No No, we said over and over again and still she persisted. Naomi asked me where I thought we should look for men in the store. I told her I had no clue. We looked around the kayak area but there were no non-lesbians. I told Naomi I was sorry. I had no idea how to help her. Did she want me to just stand around and watch her hit on guys? Did she want me to give her tips? Hitting on people didnt come naturally to me. Naomi said But youre the public intern! Dont you have to be outgoing? I told her it was all an elaborate lie.
Naomi assured me that my very presence was helping her. My nervous energy was somehow helping her to feel more confident. I pointed at a tall man eating a Cliff bar. What about him? Hes hot! I told Naomi. No, she said.
I took pictures of Naomi standing next to the sleeping bag section because we were that bored. Then a few younger-looking outdoorsy types wandered up to us. Naomi asked one of them Do you think the color of this sleeping bag matches my eyes? Uh yeah, one of the guys responded. Cool, Naomi said. Or should I get this one? Naomi ran her fingers over the fabric of a different sleeping bag. Thats a nice color, one of the guys responded. Since Naomi hadnt introduced me, I distracted myself by taking pictures. No one seemed to care. After more mindless sleeping bag banter, all of them left before we could write down their phone numbers.
Naomi and I went upstairs and gawked at the horrifying UGG boot-Croc hybrids.
We also found REIs educational book section.
Naomi got thirsty so she went to the coffee cart out on the deck and ordered an espresso. The man behind the counter was hot. Naomi told him this was her first time at the REI store and he said, did you know that this is the third most popular attraction in all of Seattle? and then Naomi said No I did not! and then the man asked Naomi where she was from and Naomi said Im from Issaquah and then the guy said thats not too far away and then the two of them smiled at eachother and I jumped off the deck into the REI waterfall and died.
Steven Blum
Public Intern
Got a special Halloween task for the Public Intern? Email it to firstname.lastname@example.com and he'll do it tonight.


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Video Industry News Video Company News Technology Industry News Technology Company News Novelty Industry News Novelty Company News Gay Industry News Gay Company News Legal Industry News All Company News
Released: May 01st, 1999
Running Time: 112
Director: "Gusher" Mike
Company: All Good Video
Cast: Cheyenne (I), Delaney, Honey Love, Rayne (I), Crystal (I), Elle DeVyne, Elena (I), Shelbee Myne, Barrett Moore, Kasorn Swan, Mia Smiles, Charlie (I), Deja Blew, Chaz (I), Amia More, Phyllisha Anne, Blair La Femme, Blondie, Iniya, Mary Jane (I), Others
Critical Rating: AAA 1/2
Genre: All-Sex
Nineteen scenes - including that Shelbee Myne make-up - means you get more suck for your buck with this one.
There was a problem with Shut Up and Blow Me! 9: A scene pictured on the box cover with Shelbee Myne and two guys was nowhere to be found on the tape. To their credit, All Good starts 10 with an apology for the mistaken and then begins the tape with that Shelbee Myne scene. Good show.
Actually, good show throughout: A couple of scenes are set outside in natural sunlight; the girls maintain eye contact with the camera throughout, so at least there is consistency; and the scenes are cut down to the essentials, with a minimum of filler. In all scenes but one, the girl does all the work, eliminating those familiar endings with a jump-cut to the guy stroking like mad to the pop. Some scenes have prologues/set-ups, like Amia Moré wondering why she's not as popular as her sister, followed not long after by Blair La Femme saying her sister is trying to usurp her popularity.
Tech work is average: things of exceptional merit (like the close-up shots in the Crystal scene) are balanced by overexposure and focus trouble in other scenes.


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Chicago Pension Rescue Targets $9.4 Billion Deficit: Muni Credit
Chicago moved forward in its effort to rescue a pair of pension funds and stabilize its finances when Illinois Governor Pat Quinn signed a bill that cuts benefits and makes employees pay more for retirement.
The law is a partial solution to addressing the city's pension shortfall as it restructures two systems beset with a combined $9.4 billion in unfunded liabilities for about 60,000 municipal workers and retirees. The city council now must come up with a plan to finance the measure.
"I recognize that Chicago's mission to find real solutions to its financial challenges will not be easy," Quinn said in a prepared statement after signing the measure yesterday.
The Democratic governor's move relieves some uncertainty surrounding Chicago's public-employee pensions. The four systems are almost $20 billion short of what's needed to pay promised benefits, and ratings companies have said the gap threatens the city's solvency. Retirement costs were the primary reason behind a March downgrade by Moody's Investors Service that dropped the city to Baa1, three steps above junk.
Debt Gain
Investors punished Chicago debt in the run-up to yesterday's deadline for Quinn to decide on the bill. Some bonds gained after the governor signed the measure.
Taxable general obligations that mature in January 2032 changed hands at an average yield of 6.07 percent, or about 3.14 percentage points more than benchmark Treasuries. Both the yield and spread are the lowest since June 5, the data show.
The bill is "far from perfect, but it's a step in the right direction," said Richard Ciccarone, chief executive officer of Hiawatha, Iowa-based Merritt Research Services, which analyzes municipal finance. "It has a meaningful impact on reducing the liability in two of the four pension funds."
City council still has to produce a revenue package that would generate the remainder of the savings for the pension fix. A plan that Mayor Rahm Emanuel floated in April would have raised property taxes by $750 million over five years. That proposal met resistance from council members, all of whom face re-election next year.
"I intend to work with city council in the coming months to find alternative options to replace property taxes as the source of the city's first pension payment," Emanuel said in a statement.
Nationwide Pressure
Retirement-fund pressure is increasing on cities across the nation, including bankrupt Detroit and Stockton, California. Chicago has the highest pension costs as a proportion of revenue -- 17 percent -- among the largest cities, according to a November report from the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College.
A coalition of public-employee unions called the law "unfair and unconstitutional."
"This is no victory for the mayor, but a huge, missed opportunity to find a truly fair, constitutional solution," the group, We Are One Chicago, said in a statement.
While Quinn had signaled his opposition to a bill that could result in higher property taxes in the city, there was no clear alternative. The governor is running for re-election in November and his opponent, Republican venture capitalist Bruce Rauner, was urging him to kill the bill.
Load Tripled
At the same time, Chicago is under increasing financial pressure. Pension promises and bond obligations have tripled the city's per-capita debt load in the past decade, to about $20,000 for each of its 2.7 million residents.
The new law doesn't affect police or firefighter retirement systems, which are due an additional $600 million in payments next year. Nor does it curb retirement costs at Chicago Public Schools.
"It at least gives Chicago a chance to find some resolution to the big problems they face," said Duane McAllister, who helps oversee $4 billion of munis at BMO Asset Management Corp. in Milwaukee. "This is a small step, a small victory for the city of Chicago."
The city's bonds may not benefit much from the governor's decision, McAllister said, given questions about city council's next steps and the November election.
State's Strains
Illinois faces its own pressures over pension finances. While the legislature approved a bill in December to eliminate a $100 billion retirement shortfall, a state judge last month halted enactment of the law while public-employee unions challenge its constitutionality.
Buyers demand extra yield to own general obligations from Illinois, the lowest-rated U.S. state. Investors required 1.16 percentage points more to own 10-year Illinois debt rather than benchmark munis, the most since April 25 and more than 10 times the gap on top-rated states such as Maryland, Bloomberg data show.
In Chicago, the city "still has the flexibility to make the adjustments they need to," said Rob Williams, San Francisco-based managing director of fixed income at Charles Schwab & Co. "The intent seems to be there from the management of Chicago."


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House of Balls, Jesse Ventura, and a quadruple CD-release show top Freeloader Friday
(Photo by masochismtango)
It's a strong week for free events. We have a conspiracy theory reading with Jesse Ventura, a 4-way CD-release show at the 501 Club, dance parties, and House of Balls celebrates Obscura Day.
(Photo by Whatsername?)
Quadruple CD-Release Show
(501 Club, 501 Washington Ave. S., Minneapolis, 612.338.3848)
That's right. Four bands, four CDs being released into the wild Minneapolis music scene. You'll hear Small White (Do It Til It Ends), Atomic Annie (Eating Scabs Gives You Powers), the Whathaveyous, and Beef. 9:30 p.m.
Anti-Civ Records Showcase
(Memory Lanes, 2520 26th Ave. S., Minneapolis, 612.721.6211)
Garage, thrash, and folk rock with Bouncer Fighter, Sorry OK, and Ogre Smash Death Boom. 10 p.m.
National Bird
(Hexagon Bar, 2600 27th Ave. S., Minneapolis, 612.722.3454)
Indie rock. 9 p.m.
(Clubhouse Jager, 923 Washington Ave. N., Minneapolis, 612.332.2686)
Will the glorious patio be open? Probably. It's still a little too cold for outdoor drinking though. We're betting on shivering smokers tonight. DJ Teikio Westmar will set the dance floor ablaze. 21+. 10 p.m.
All the Pretty Horses
(331 Club, 331 13th Ave. NE, Minneapolis, 612.331.1746)
Trans-friendly rock featuring artist Venus DeMars. 9:30 p.m.
John Jodzio
(Magers & Quinn Booksellers, 3038 Hennepin Ave. S., Minneapolis, 612.822.4611, www.magersandquinn.com)
The local author celebrates the publication of If You Lived Here You'd Already Be Home, a collection of short stories exploring mundane lives filled with fantastically-surreal and quirky moments. 7:30 p.m.
(Photo by Serge Melki)
Obscura Day
(House of Balls, 212 Third Ave. N., Ste. 108, Minneapolis)
Obscura Day is a worldwide celebration of unusual, creative, and unlikely spaces around the world. The House of Balls certainly fits this description. A project helmed by sculptor Allen Christian, for the past 20 years he has maintained this space filled with bits-and-bats, whimsical pieces, and other art. Come take a self-guided tour today. Touching items and asking questions is encouraged. If you'd like, bring a piece or interesting object to donate to the space. Noon to 4 p.m.
Equinox: A New World Language
(Cult Status Gallery, 2913 Harriet Ave. S., Minneapolis, 612.965.9162, www.cultstatusgallery.com)
This new gallery space is a joint project between 33 Design Gallery and MPLS Deth Crew. For their premiere show they have invited 10 artists/artist groups to come together to create a 1,500-square-foot installation. Production began March 10, and artists have been working around the clock. Participants include Erin Sayer, Danny Sigelman, Kara Hendershot, Top Gun Familia, and others. The opening reception from 8 p.m. to midnight this Saturday will feature a performance from Butcher's Bag.
Unknown Prophets
(331 Club, 331 13th Ave. NE, Minneapolis, 612.331.1746)
Hip hop. 10 p.m.
Vampire Hands, Angie Oase & the Pennyroyals, Dreamland Faces
(Hexagon Bar, 2600 27th Ave. S., Minneapolis, 612.722.3454)
Rock. 9 p.m.
Hot Rod Hearse vs. Throbbing Hot Rods
(Memory Lanes, 2520 26th Ave. S., Minneapolis, 612.721.6211)
Pyschobilly vs. Surf Punk. 10 p.m.
The Hillbilly Voodoo Dolls
(Schooner Tavern, 2901 27th Ave. S., Minneapolis, 612.729.4365)
9 p.m.
(Clubhouse Jager, 923 Washington Ave. N., Minneapolis, 612.332.2686)
With DJ sets featuring Lonnie Mnemonic, Shuga Rose, MBC, Christian James. 10 p.m.
(Altered Esthetics, 1224 Quincy St. NE, Minneapolis, 612.378.8888, www.alteredesthetics.com)
This Saturday artists' will discuss their work. 1-3 p.m.
Childish Films: Festival Shorts
(Minneapolis Central Library, 300 Nicollet Mall, Minneapolis, 612.630.6000, mplib.org)
Family-friendly shorts. 10:30 a.m.
Girls in the Director's Chair
(Minnesota History Center, 345 W Kellogg Blvd., St. Paul, 651.259.3000, www.mnhs.org)
Check out this screening of the best films by local young women this year. 3 p.m.
Gluten Free Roundup
(Lakewinds Natural Foods, 435 Pond Promenade, Chanhassen, 952.697.3366, www.lakewinds.com)
Sample gluten-free brands, and get info on local support groups. 11 a.m. to 4 p.m.
Write of Spring
(Once Upon A Crime, 604 W 26th St., Minneapolis, 612.870.3785, www.onceuponacrimebooks.com)
Once Upon a Crime is an awesome Uptown bookstore specializing in thrillers and mystery novels, and is especially supportive of local writers. Today's mega-signing will feature 52 authors appearing in groups of 13 per hour. Check their website for a complete lineup. Noon to 4 p.m.
A Celebration of World Storytelling Day
(Midwest Mountaineering, 309 Cedar Ave. S., Minneapolis, 612.339.3433, www.midwestmtn.com)
Come listen to Larry Johnson, Beverly Cottman, John Martin, and others as they tell stories around the theme "light and shadow." This event is free, but donations are welcome. 3 p.m.
(Photo by Aine D)
Jesse Ventura
(Mall of America, 60 E. Broadway, Bloomington, 952.883.8800, www.mallofamerica.com)
The former governor will be visiting the mega-mall of Minnesota to discuss American Conspiracies: Lies, Lies, and More Dirty Lies the Government Tells Us. 1 p.m.
The Brutes, the Anchor Windlass
(501 Club, 501 Washington Ave. S., Minneapolis, 612.338.3848)
Punk rock, indie. 8 p.m.
Poor Nobodys
(Kitty Cat Klub: 315 14th Ave. SE, Minneapolis, 612.331.9800)
Roots. 10:30 p.m.
Mages, the Night Owls, Emot
(Sauce Spirits & Soundbar, 3001 Lyndale Ave. S., Minneapolis, 612.822.6000)
Folk, bluegrass. 9:30 p.m.
Hello Honey: Say Dance for Haiti
(Honey, 205 E. Hennepin Ave., Minneapolis, 612.746.0306, www.honeympls.com)
Rock with Poosa and To Kill a Petty Bourgeoisie, plus DJs Trouble, Christy Hunt, John Schreiner, and more. It's free, but it's a benefit so donations are encouraged. 9 p.m.
2010 Parade of Homes Spring Preview
(Call 651.697.1954 or visit www.paradeofhomes.org for locations, tickets, and additional info)
Get home improvement ideas for less than the cost of a magazine. (Yeah, it's free, but Dream Home locations ask for a $5 donation.) Noon to 6 p.m. Thursdays through Sundays. Continues through March 28.
Ukrainian Easter Bazaar
(Ukrainian Event Center, 301 Main St. NE, Minneapolis, 612.379.1956, www.ukrainianeventcenter.com)
Featuring traditional food, crafts, and family activities. 11 a.m. to 2 p.m.
Trivia Smackdown
(Minnesota History Center, 345 W Kellogg Blvd., St. Paul, 651.259.3000, www.mnhs.org)
Test your knowledge of local history at this awesome trivia party featuring pub-style quizzes, scavenger hunts, groups games, prizes, and a cash bar. 6:30 p.m.
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Too Little Too Late
by A Skylit Drive
by My Chemical Romance
IN THIS MOMENT - Prayers
by In This Moment
IN THIS MOMENT - Beautiful Trag…
A Prophecy
by Asking Alexandria
"Ghosts in the Mirror" Music Vi…
by Motionless In White
"Abigail" Official Music Video
Immaculate Misconception Music…
"Creatures" Official Music Video
Falling In Reverse - "The Drug…
by Falling In Reverse
Before This Ship Goes Down
by The Material
Believe Me I'm Lying
by Forever The Sickest Kids
"Fixed At Zero" Live From The P…
by VersaEmerge
J0HNNY ex-The Medic Droid r.i.p. & i'm doing a new band called R0BOTS with S3RL facebook.com/j0hnnymusic
1 Favorite Artist
23, Male
Nikkie Williams
198 Favorite Artists
20, Female
177 Favorite Artists
36, Male
8 Favorite Artists
290 Favorite Artists
Hey, testing... :)
Jul 22, 2010
Freedom, food, movies, books, music lover.
Sakis Gouzonis


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Cubs 18U Blue is looking to add a Pitcher and Catcher to finish our roster. We will be playing a A schedule this year consisting of College Exposure and Qualifiers, including the St Louis Showcase in October. Please email for information email@example.com
ACTIVE is the leader in online event registrations from 5k running races and marathons to softball leagues and local events. ACTIVE also makes it easy to learn and prepare for all the things you love to do with expert resources, training plans and fitness calculators.


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Athenian Fish (20 Minute Meal)
Total Time
Prep 5 mins
Cook 15 mins
A low calorie and SPEEDY recipe from Family Style Spring 2009, a Publix Publication. They say tilapia, snaper or mahi mahi all provide great results; I made it with grouper and that worked well. They also recommend serving with a salad of cucumbers, tomatoes and feta along with some pita bread and hummus.
Ingredients Nutrition
- 4 tilapia fillets, thawed (1-1.5 pounds)
- 1⁄2 teaspoon lemon pepper
- 1 teaspoon all purpose Greek seasoning, divided
- 1 tablespoon extra virgin olive oil
- 1 tablespoon minced garlic
- 1⁄4 cup diced onion
- 1 (14 ounce) canquartered artichoke hearts (drained)
- 1 (14 1/2 ounce) can diced tomatoes (drained)
- 1⁄2 cup white wine
- 2 tablespoons sliced black olives
- Preheat large saute pan on medium-high for 2-3 minutes.
- In the meanwhile, season both sides of the fish fillets with pepper and 1/2 t of the Greek seasoning. Wash your hands.
- Place oil in pan; swirl to coat. Add garlic and onion; cook 1-2 minutes until onion is soft.
- Add fish fillets (wash hands). Top fish with remaining ingredients (including remaining 1/2 t Greek seasoning).
- Cover and cook 8-10 minutes, stirring veggies once. Cooking time will depend on the thickness of the fish. . .fish is done when it has an internal temperature of 145 degrees and flesh is opaque and separates easily with a fork.
Most Helpful
I liked this. Low cal and easy - so nice and healthy too. The combination of seasoning along with the garlic added flavor. With an added Greek salad our meal only needed crusty buns fresh from the oven to make it complete. Thank you for sharing.


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Daigo Umehara given Guinness record for tournament wins
Daigo "The Beast" Umehara now has a Guinness World Record for gaming tournament wins.
The Street Fighter champion is included in the Guinness Book of World Records Gamer's Edition 2011 for achieving the "Most Consecutive Tournament Wins" at 15.
Umehara said: "Receiving this award at the culmination of a spirited international tournament is truly a great honor, one made all the more special when considering the fierce competition in the international fighting game community."
There's a press release here. Thanks Joystiq.
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Maghoma was substituted due to injury after just over an hour of the 3-2 home win over Morecambe on Tuesday night and the winger is a doubt ahead of the weekend, meaning manager Gary Rowett may have to change his starting line-up for the first time in four games.
"He's obviously hurt himself and I would assume that makes him a doubt for Saturday's match," said Rowett, who admitted he considered making changes for the Shrimps match in midweek.
"I was a little bit concerned because I thought I needed to change it and maybe put two or three fresh bodies in, but it's difficult when you're winning and have been in such great form.
"It's unfair on the lads in the side, too, so I decided to go with the same team."
Should Rowett opt to freshen things up against Rovers he has plenty of options.
Striker Calvin Zola and skipper Zander Diamond, available again on Saturday after serving a four-match suspension, are itching to get back into the team while defender Andrew Corbett, midfielders Jimmy Phillips, Jack Dyer and Adam Drury and striker Matthew Paterson have all had to settle for places on the bench recently.M
- Sports & Recreation
- Gary Rowett


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32 Via dei Birrai.
I can't read a syllable on 32 Via dei Birrai's site, but I'd still like to drink all seven varieties after work tonight and keep the bottles.Posted In food, packaging
I can't read a syllable on 32 Via dei Birrai's site, but I'd still like to drink all seven varieties after work tonight and keep the bottles.Posted In food, packaging
Blossa releases a yearly limited-edition bottle of their glogg – Scandinavian mulled wine – that takes the entire product to a new level with its awesome design by BVD. You can see the full line of past years below. {via the Dieline}
UK designer Sarah Walsh put together some gorgeous packaging for Mallard Tearoooms. Me definitely likey.
"Mallard is a specialist tea company which sells loose leaf tea through its shop and tearoom in Knutsford. The mix and match branding is inspired by the eclectic feel of the establishment which is quirky, eccentric and unmistakably English."Posted In food, packaging
Really digging the packaging of the Chocophilia line from Kerstin's Chocolates. If you stop by the actual store – The Cocoa Room – in Edmonton, Alberta you can even participate in chocolate tastings and classes!Posted In food, packaging
Amazing design work created by Nicholas Saunders for the set of Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince. These packages – along with several others – were created to adorn the shelves of the Weasley twins magic shop in Diagon Alley. (all images are copyright Warner Brothers)Posted In packaging, see it
Peter Gregson Studio redesigned the packaging of juice bottles and jars for delicacy products coming out of the Sopacani monastery in Serbia. All of the products are all natural and organic, the designer stayed true to them by using all handwritten labels. Lovely work.Posted In food, packaging
No better way to start the morning than with some lovely eye candy (er, chocolate?). Take a look at Kshocolat. Lovely, modern packaging courtesy of Marque Creative.Posted In food, packaging
Meet Bake It Pretty. A shop devoted to inspired baking supplies and adornments. Within the walls of her shop, owner Amanda has managed to include not only one but two of my vices: pretty packaging and nostalgic candy. The only question is which to order first!Posted In kitchen, packaging
I'm a coffee lover right down to my very core, but I'd be lying if I said I loved Rewind's packaging for any other reason that the retro design. Don't get me wrong, I'm sure their products are equally amazing, but the package is definitely the big sell here. Oh, and the fact that their site mentions something about decaf being like kissing your sister is pretty awesome, too!Posted In food, packaging
MOR Cosmetics is the brainchild of Australian designers, Dianna Burmas and Deon St.Mor. Thanks to their combined experiences in visual merchandising and industrial design, as well as a shared love for travel, food and the arts a brand was launched. MOR, meaning peacock in Hindi, is as luxurious to look at as it is to use.Posted In beauty bag, packaging


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Orange-Coconut Breakfast Rolls
Tropical Sunshine Flatcakes with Orange Cream
Baked Fish Sandwiches
Orange Pineapple Danish
Spicy Citrus Shrimp and Black Bean Tacos with Orange-Avocado Salsa
Island Coconut-Shrimp Rolls
New Orleans's famous po-boy sandwich gets jazzed with orange marmalade. Crusty French loaf makes it homemade easy.
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text:
I'm trying to determine exactly what the following line of shell script is doing.:
grep --files-with-matches '>' . | sort | uniq | xargs perl -pi~ -e 's/9Kp/9K /' /home/user/DATAFILE.DAT
I'm pretty sure it's attempting to to a global search on '9Kp' and replace with '9K ' in the specified data file, however I'm not clear on what the grep command is doing before that.


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CHILDRESS — Billy Jones, 79, of Childress died Sunday, Aug. 5, 2012.
Graveside services will be at 9 a.m. today in Fairmount Cemetery in Hollis, Okla., with the Rev. Ronnie Shoffner officiating. Arrangements are by Johnson Funeral Home
of Childress.
Mr. Jones was born March 27, 1933, in Muskogee, Okla., to George and Laura Teague Jones. He once worked as a bookkeeper for Forestry Truck Co. in
Amarillo Globe-News, Aug. 7, 2012


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This searchable database gives you access to Revenue Rulings, Revenue Procedures, IRS Notices and more.
These easy-to-understand summaries provide the most pertinent information surrounding recent and past tax acts.
Check out our compilation of third party web links to other relevant tax tools and resources. To help you find what you're looking for, we've broken these links down by category.
Includes worksheets, checklists, archives of Social Security earnings, AFRs, travel per diems, standard mileage rates and more. Be sure to print off our helpful worksheets and checklists, which are designed to help make your life and job easier.
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Spyrus Offers Secure Pocket Drive for Linux
Carry your own Linux with this new hardware-encrypted boot stick.
Spyrus has announced a new version of its Secure Pocket Drive that allows users to build and distribute their own secure bootable Linux OS image. According to the announcement, the Linux edition not only offers secure access to corporate networks but also lets users install and run their own applications locally. Unlike a Live CD, Secure Pocket Drive is hardware encrypted, with security self-checks during boot-up and at run time, and it can be managed and updated remotely.
Secure Pocket Drive, which was designed as a secure endpoint for Internet and cloud-computing applications, boots Linux or Windows environments without the overhead of a virtual machine. The new version offers enhanced security features and is also optimized for performance. According to the announcement, the Linux edition can be booted in seconds on most Intel-based Apple Macintosh and standard Intel and AMD-based Windows computers.
Additionally, Secure Pocket Drive can be configured to prevent cross-contamination and the transfer of malware from the host computer by not mounting the internal hard drive. Secure Pocket Drive can boot on older computers with as little as 1GB of RAM.
Spyrus also offers build tools and customization services for small and large customers who want to build and manage their own Linux operating system and applications for Secure Pocket Drive. According to the company, customers can use these tools to make a boot compartment read-only, providing an advantage over current Linux installations on writeable USB drives that can be susceptible to malware attacks. For more information, see spyrus.com.
Issue 26: Linux Shell Handbook 7th Ed./Special Editions
Buy this issue as a PDF
SUSE Joins the Microsoft Test Drive Program
Customers can take a free test drive of SLES for HPC on the Azure Cloud
SiFive Launches a Line of Open Source Chips
San Francisco-based chip company announces their first fully open source chip platform.
Fedora 24 Released
The whole distro gets rebuilt on glibc 2.3
Canonical Announces Cross-Distro Support for Snaps
Ubuntu Vendor tries to solve app packaging and distribution problem across distributions.
ownCloud Forked
Founder of ownCloud launches the Nextcloud project.
HP Enterprise Unveils a Futuristic Computer
Will The Machine change the way future programmers think about memory?
CoreOS Announces Distributed Storage System
The new Torus distributed storage system is available under an open source license on GitHub
Google Beats Oracle in the Android Lawsuit
Juries decides Google's use of Java APIs Was Fair Use
Linux is the Largest Software Development Project in History
But if you are not using the latest Linux kernel, your system is insecure.
Linksys Says Yes to Open Source Firmware
Home routers will give room for custom firmware but still comply with FCC rules


text:
Read an Excerpt
"Leave him alone."
After a day trip, the two women found themselves in a heaving bar playing too-loud pop music. Since they'd arrived, the music had become louder and the number of patrons had increased, all appearing hell-bent on a night of debauched fun.
Natasha's countenance, as stern as her tone, was wasted on her friend Bella, unable to take her eyes off a particular man. Using his height to hold court among a group, he appeared to be enjoying the attention he commanded.
"Why?" Bella asked, her unabashed gaze unwavering. "He's irresistible."
At first glance, it was difficult to imagine the two women as friends—everything about them appeared to clash in both looks and personality. Natasha's severe look came from her slender frame and waist-length platinum blonde hair that framed her face like heavy curtains. Only her light tan and bright eyes—an unusual colour, paler than hazel—prevented her striking appearance from transforming into ice-queen.
Far less ethereal, Bella's luscious hourglass figure was crowned with a generous mane of wavy black hair. Carefully applied makeup, tight black mini-dress and black stilettos with heels like daggers gave her the look of a soul diva about to take to the stage. She commanded attention without trying, lusted after by both men and women.
"Calm yourself," Natasha ordered, her voice hoarse from the shot she'd downed—the only effect it had. "It's pointless—you can't have him."
Finally, Bella returned her gaze to her companion, her dark eyes flashing with defiant mischief. "Yes, I can. Sort of."
The sweet effect of a gentle smile was lost by the action of her tongue, the tip poking from between her red-slicked lips in a slow and deliberate caress.
Exasperated, Natasha rolled her eyes before turning around, twice banging her empty glass on the bar to get the barman's attention. "Don't get into trouble."
Interrupted by the barman's return, the pause allowed Bella to offer reassurance. "You won't have to rescue me. I don't get into trouble."


text:
This service is offered to members of the VisitKorea website and Facebook through account log-in.
VisitKorea does not guarantee the quality of products or services introduced on its site and is not responsible for any direct or indirect losses resulting from use of said products or services.
Region : Gangjin-gun Jeollanam-do
Type : Temples/ Religious Sites
Muwisa Temple is located on Wolchulsan Mountain in Wolha-ri, Seongjeon-myeon, Gangjin-gun, Jeollanam-do. The temple has at least 1,100 years of history as it wa...
Region : Yeongam-gun Jeollanam-do
Type : National & Provincial & County Parks
Wolchulsan National Park is located in the southern part of Korea. The name Wolchulsan appropriately denotes "mountain where the moon rises." Starting with the ...
Region : Yeongam-gun Jeollanam-do
Type : Temples/ Religious Sites
The historic Dogapsa Buddhist Temple is located within the Wolchulsan National Park and in 1984, was designated Provincial Cultural Property No. 79. At an eleva...
Region : Yeongam-gun Jeollanam-do
Type :
The district of Jeollanam-do is located on the western coast, bordering Jangheung-gun in the east, a narrow bay in the west, Haenam-gun and Gangjin-gun to the s...
Region : Yeongam-gun Jeollanam-do
Type : Monuments/ Historical Sites
The hometown of Wangin Baksa (Wangin, the Great Scholar) is located at the foot of Munpilbong Peak to the east of Gurim village. Due to Wangin's importance and...


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Senate rejects elections proposalApril 11,2013
MONTPELIER The Vermont Senate has rejected a proposal that would move up the states primary election to early August.
Senators on Wednesday amended the election bill to remove the part that would have shifted the primary to the first Tuesday in August and then voted 29-0 in favor of the amendment.
Vermonts primary used to be held in mid-September but was moved to the fourth Tuesday in August in 2010 to ensure the secretary of states office has time to produce general election ballots in time to meet federal deadlines, including sending absentee ballots to overseas service members.
But Secretary of State Jim Condos has said even more time is needed.MORE IN This Just InBURLINGTON As part of a federal effort to dismantle drug trafficking organizations in Vermont,... Full StoryMONTPELIER A new net-metering program is in the final stages of being revised by the Public... Full StoryMIDDLESEX The Agency of Transportation is set to begin replacing a bridge on Route 2 that spans... Full Story
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Released: Apr 01st, 2007
Running Time: 100
Company: 130 C Street Corporation
Cast: Chris Dano, Kylie Love, Wendy Williams, Tom Moore, Little Billy, Spanky, Lustina
Critical Rating: AAA 1/2
Lustina, Kylie Love and Wendy Williams portray contestants in the Tranny of the Year contest in this frequently charming and sometimes disarmingly unaffected trilogy of flesh.
Love returns home in a "frilly little dress" to tell Chris Dano the bad news of her loss due to stumbling. Dano promptly orders the clumsy girl out of not only her heels but everything else she's wearing, as well.
Spanky chats up sexy Lustina, who strokes her leg and looks a little like Courtney Love. What's up with the Bluetooth, Spankster? Once done sharing the stories of her life, she complains to Tom Moore that even blowing a judge hadn't secured anything better than 2nd place.
Wendy Williams acts out a fantasy she hopes to live when she celebrates a hard-earned victory. Whether she'd want to play sexual power games with Little Billy after an AVN win is yet to be revealed.
Fun, friendly, and authentic.
Retailing: Campy fun for fans of the performers and titleholder contests.