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1. Course No. 2. Course title 3. Assignment No. 4. Date of Dispatch
: : : :
PGPM 31 Project Risk Management 1
5. Last Date of receipt : of Assignment at CODE office
ASSIGNMENT For the successful implementation of a project, it is essential is that persons involved in its implementation be sensitive to the risk involved in the project and formulate the most suitable structure for the management of such risks. There are certain variables and uncertainties are common to most of the infrastructure projects. Many risk mitigation techniques are applied to infrastructure projects. Discuss in details the risk management in construction with special reference to any project currently in progress with your company.
SYNOPSIS Introduction Risk identification in the project Types of risk Risk mitigation Risk assessment in a project o Scope of the work o Risk assessment sheet o Risk control measures Conclusion .
I have also explained the risk mitigation techniques undertaken by us to reduce the risk in the project. Money 3. In the present assignment. But as project duration decreases. Thus risk minimization is the most key role for project profit maximization by any project manager. Manpower and 4. Resources It is also a key factor to note that as the project value increases. Time 2. Thus on the successful running for a project. I have tried to assess the risks involved in the project at which I have involved in my career. the risk also increases.INTRODUCTION The project of any industry depends upon the following uncertainties 1. . optimum duration and optimum utilization of the resources are the most important to be considered. the risk also increases.
1.2 Checklists and/or Questionnaires to specialty groups Checklists/questionnaires are a quick and easy-to-use technique but limited in nature. including uncertainties and risks 1. they only deal with the items on the list.3 Examination of past similar projects – Lessons learned from past projects help us to avoid repeating mistakes. Construction 1. working together with the project team and specialists who can bring additional expertise.RISK IDENTIFICATION IN THE PROJECT Risk identification occurs through each of the two phases of project development: 1. Each project is unique.4 Combination of above methods and/or others It is quite likely that for most projects a combination of the above methods will be used to identify risks. The important thing is that once identified the risks are properly documented . Planning 2. Effort for simpler projects to a full-blown CEVP workshop and Effective brainstorming requires a skilled Facilitator. since a previous project may be similar but is nonetheless different because each new project has unique requirements and features.1 Brainstorming It is an effective method. Nonetheless a checklist/questionnaire can spark thinking prior to a more formal brainstorming process 1. hence a standard list will often not capture the project specific risks of most concern. Planning phase In the planning phase risk is been identified from one of the following methods. using past examples requires prudent and objective judgment. Brainstorming can range from a small informal project team. 1.
6. 4. Errors in pricing by the contractor. 5. including floods or excessive hot weather. are the following: 1. Unforeseen price rises in labour. materials or plant. 2. 7. Theft or damage to the works.2. 9. Design changes found necessary. Weather conditions. Design errors. or labour strikes. Construction Phase Among the most common risks encountered during the construction of a project by a civil engineering contractor under a standard type of construction contract. or materials and equipment on site. Inability to get the amount or quality of labour required. Delay or inability to obtain materials or equipment required. 8. Unforeseen physical conditions or artificial obstructions. 3. or required by the employer. quantification errors. .
Ensure the adequacy of project funding Certainly. owners need to understand. in advance. Furthermore. Pre-plans for permits. Set realistic contract performance times 5.RISK MITIGATION The following are the ten ways to mitigate risk in construction projects 1. equations & procedures 9. utilities & zoning 8. a reasonable contingency should be incorporated into the budget to deal with inevitable changes and unexpected omissions. . Use the contracting process as a risk avoidance measure The above techniques are the most commonly used to prevent the risk in any project. Obtain more geotechnical information 3. such as that provided by a termination-for-convenience clause that expressly limits or precludes recovery of anticipated but unearned profits. all parties have a legitimate concern that there will be sufficient funds to design and construct the project. Use experienced project personnel 10. Owners also need protection against the risk of running out of money. Accordingly. Conduct constructability reviews 4. that changes and cost increases are virtually inevitable. Introduced phase pricing 7. Pre-defined rates. Ensure the adequacy of project funding 2. Work & rework cost information 6.
and less likely will be claims for differing site conditions. it certainly would have increased its bid.than-complete information.• procurement of materials. There is a decided trend toward (1) investing a little more money during project planning and design for the purpose of obtaining more geotechnical information and (2) making all of the geotechnical information available to contractors.e . Either scenario is disadvantageous to the owner. subcontractors . Accordingly. i. Some owners and their counsel will argue that this open disclosure will lead to claims if the geotechnical Information is wrong. owners have been able to modify the designs and thereby make construction easier. If this is the case. if the actual underground conditions are worse than the geotechnical information provided. Owners are avoiding these problems by obtaining contractor advice and input on setting a realistic time to allow for construction of a. Even if the design is constructible the owner may have to pay more to get the same results. there may be delays and additional costs incurred in coming up with alternatives. either it will cost more to do By having the plans and specifications reviewed for "constructability " before contractors bid on them. This misses the basic point that if the bid was based on less.Obtain more geotechnical information It should go without saying that the more information a contractor has about subsurface conditions. The owner should pay because. By having the plans and specifications reviewed for "constructability" before contractors bid on them. The more accurate the bid .given project Work & rework cost information The owner can require as a contract obligation that the contractor make full disclosure of its cost estimates for all aspects of the work. Set realistic contract performance times If the contract performance time is insufficient. owners have been able to modify the designs and thereby make construction easier. that becomes the bargain. if the contractor had been advised of the more severe conditions. Conduct constructability reviews Contractors sometimes complain that the designs they are required to follow are not constructible or practical.
if these requirements are not known and considered in advance delays will result. However. utilities & zoning Given the various regulatory requirements that have to be complied with in the course of designing and constructing a project. in order to win the project.this value could be included in any cbange order carrying with it entitlement to an extension of time. equations & procedures In order to eliminate many issues from the contract administration phase. In the event of an owner-caused delay•. To avoid this astute owners and their engineers are now beginning to specifically identify permitting requirements in advance of bidding and signing the contracts Pre-defined rates. analysis and submission of progressive cost estimates. Home office overhead rates. each phase of the design can be provided to the contractor for review. Obviously contractors may talk at this intrusion into their pricing domain. pricing change orders. which would enable the contractor to be paid on a timely is for disputed work. A per diem value for extended project time. smart owners will specify clear and accurate formulae or methods to predetermine values for disputable items. the contractor will be more likely to agree to this process which in the end will reduce the likelihood for cost-overrun claims.self-performed work and even overhead and profit. it is obvious that. Pre-plans for permits. . pending negotiation of a change order modification. can be preset and a contract generally accepted manual for determining the equipment rates to be used in. although subject to wide variation within the industry. Introduced phase pricing As the design is being developed. Also give some consideration to including as a unit price. It is equally important for the contract to contain very clear provisions with respect to how change orders will be processed and what information should be included in a request for change orders. The same is true for farceaceount provisions. the owner and its staff can better assure themselves that no significant mistakes have been made in pricing . In doing so.the work and that allowances and alternatives are reasonable.
people) will still have to design.the project personnel (i. should pass up the opportunity to investigate the credentials and backgrounds of the key parties' personnel and require. Essentially.Use experienced project personnel No matter how enlightened the management and allocation of risk •. Experience counts.e. which inevitably leads to problems. Design and construction firms are often maxed out in terms of experienced project managers and superintendents. disputes and terminations. Build and adminiSter the project. define and deal with potential issues and thereby avoid disputes. the American way of doing things. whereby the parties attempt to determine what may go wrong. no design flrm or contractor wants to lose a good job. particularly for big projects With a construction boom underway. Use the contracting process as a risk avoidance measure The contract documents are an early opportunity to anticipate. No owner. in advance. what issues may arise between the parties. as a matter of contract. that only experienced project managers and superintendents will run the high-profile project.. and at least two downsides to a comprehensive contract are typically a lengthy document and sometimes lengthy negotiations. many projects are being led and managed by inadequately trained and inexperienced personnel. Notwithstanding this reality. who has the leverage in a megaproject to do so. claims. by informed and enlightened risk allocation. . and the best way to resolve these challenges. This approach is of course. the contracting process is a "what if' exercise. Consequently.
so as to increase economic growth of the nation by increasing the import & export facility.SCOPE OF THE PROJECT Name of the project Location Project definition : : : Metro Rail Project Proposal Mumbai. Project duration Type of contract Project funding Design responsibility considered Price fluctuation Extension of time Liquidated damages : : : Not allowable Not permitted 2% of the contract value per week of the project Limit upto 15% of the contract value : : : : 3765 days Item rate contract Finance arranged by the Government of India Renovation of existing structures needs to be . India The Government of India has decided the increase the infrastructure facility in India.
The type of contract is a Design Build Turnkey (DBT) where the principal contractor is required to design the underground corridor and execute the project. The underground stations are referred to as S1.K. The scope of work is the design and construction of a 6. 22 U installations& &restoration works S 5 ES: Early Start.J. 57 S 2 Mechanical / Electrical P. Phase-I of the project is about 65 kms with 59 stations.F. LS: Late Start.6 kms is about INR 18 billion.…. The contract period is about five years (exclusively for execution). S2. LF: Late Finish O 5 services . The principal contractor is a Joint Venture (JV) of three foreign contractors and two domestic contractors. 29 5 D 35 E 0 C 24 6 G. 28 M struts 0 Shotcreting & rock bolting L.H 33 0 L.6 km underground metro corridor with six underground stations and a twin tunnel system. The project cost for the execution of 6. 16 0 C 17 R 5 constructionand decks 0 Fabrication erection of steel C 69 L Rock anchor installation N. Here S6 is the terminal station equipped with an over-run tunnel (where an up train can be converted to a down train). The estimated capital cost of Phase-I is about INR 105 billion. Table 1: Major Activities and their Time Estimates in the Underground Corridor Construction Project (Terminal Station S6) Activit y A B C D E F G H I J K Descripti on Feasibility studies Design Technology selection Traffic diversion Utility diversion Survey works Shoulder / King piles Timber lagging Soil excavation Rock excavation Fabrication and erection of Immediate Duratio ES 0 1875 1875 2280 1965 2280 2755 1965 3111 2655 1965 1965 2280 2655 2110 3441 1965 2110 2280 3561 2280 EF 1875 2170 1965 2755 2280 2570 3111 2205 3411 2820 2135 2655 2565 2775 2280 3561 2110 2232 2850 3786 2505 LS 0 1985 1875 2280 1965 2821 2755 2871 3111 3276 2941 2421 3156 2871 2821 3441 2604 2749 2991 3561 3561 LF 1875 2280 1965 2755 2280 3111 3111 3111 3441 3441 3111 3111 3441 2991 2991 3561 2749 2871 3561 3786 3786 Predecesso n 1875 A 29 rs A (Days 90 5 B.Project Summary The project considered for analysis is the construction of an underground corridor for metro rail operations in the capital city of an emerging economic nation in South Asia. 22 T O 0 Backfilling N. 12 N O 5 Subfloor drainage Q 17 O R 0 Water proofing I. The project under study for this research work is a part of Phase I. The client is a public sector company floated jointly by the State and Central Government. EF: Early Finish.M 12 P 0 Diaphragm wall construction C 14 Q 0 Top down construction Q 12 R 5 Permanent structure N. S6. 47 ) C 31 E 5 B.
Define the variables as follows: Likelihood of ith risk source for jth activity Weightage of ith risk source for jth activity Impact of ith risk source for jth activity Composite Likelihood Factor for jth activity Composite Impact Factor for jth activity Base Time Estimate for jth activity Base Cost Estimate for jth activity Corrective Cost for jth activity Corrective Time for jth activity : : : : Risk Cost for jth activity Risk Time for jth activity Expected Cost for jth activity Expected Time for jth activity Lij Wij Iij CLFj CIFj BTEj BCEj CCj CTj RCj RTj ECj ETj : : : : : : : : : .M). We also assume that the critical path model network has "N" activities which are indicated by j = (1…… N) and there are "M" risk sources indicated by i = (1…. and explain. We extend the work of Roetzheim (1988) and Nicholas (2007). the concept of risk analysis by the Expected Value Method (EVM).METHODOLOGY Risk Analysis by Expected Value Method (EVM) Assume a network of deterministic time and cost. in this section..
RC and RT for an activity can be obtained from the following relationship: Risk Cost for activity j (RC)j = (CC)j x Lj for all j.Base time estimate (BTE) of the project is the estimated basic project duration determined by critical path method of the project network. Similarly. The target respondents were experts and professionals involved in and associated with the project under analysis and also other similar projects. of the identified risk sources of each activity were obtained through a questionnaire s u r v e y . …… …… (2) (3) Risk Time for activity j (RT)j = (CT)j x Lj for all j activities along the critical path. the estimated basic cost of project determined by the cost for each activity is termed as the base cost estimate (BCE). The BTE and BCE data of all the major activities of the project have been obtained as per the detailed construction drawings. The corresponding corrective time (CT) or the time required correcting an activity in case of a failure due to one or more risk sources for each activity and their corresponding corrective cost (CC) have been estimated based on the personal experiences and have been tabulated. The summation of the weightages should be equal to 1. Inconsistent responses can be modified using a second round questionnaire survey using the Delphi technique. i1 The weightages can be based on local priority (LP) where the weightages of all the subactivities of a particular activity equal 1. The mean of all the responses should desirably be considered for analysis. The next step is to compute the risk cost (RC) and risk time (RT) of the activities of the project. The likelihood of failure (Lij) defined above. M ∑ Wij = 1 for all j ( j = 1 …. The value of likelihood should range between 0 through 1. An activity may have several risk sources each having its own likelihood of occurrence. weightages can be based on global priority (GP) where the weightages of all the activities of the project equal 1. The corresponding weightage (Wij) of each activity has also been obtained from the feedback of the questionnaire survey circulated among experts. (1) The total risk time for an activity is the summation of the risk time of all the sub . Also. method statement and specifications for the works collected from the project. N) ….
This severity can also be expressed in terms of qualitative rating as "no severity" for value 0 and "extremely high severity" for value 1. i1 Risk consequence or severity can be expressed as a function of risk likelihood and risk impact. from …………(5) . Thus the numerical value will range from 0 to 1.The likelihood (Lij) of all risk sources for each activity j can be combined and expressed as a single composite likelihood factor (CLF)j. A similar computation as that of likelihood can be done for obtaining a single combined composite impact factor (CIF) by considering the weighted average as per the relationship given below: M Composite Impact Factor (CIF)j = ∑ Iij Wij i1 M 0 ≤ Iij ≤ 1 and ∑ Wij = 1 for all j.. Small values represent unimportant risks that might be ignored and large values represent important risks that need to be treated. The impact of a risk can be expressed in terms of the effect caused by the risk to the time and cost of an activity. The weightages (Wij) of the risk sources of the activities are multiplied with their respective likelihoods to obtain the CLF for the activity. The expected cost (EC)j and expected time (ET)j for each project activity and subsequently the computation of the expected project cost and time was carried out the concept of the expected value (EV) of a decision tree analysis. This time impact and cost impact can be considered as the risk time and risk cost of the activity. (6) The risk consequence derived from this equation measures how serious the risk is to project performance. The numerical value of the Risk Severity (RS) is obtained from the below mentioned relationship: Risk Consequence / Severity (RS)j = Lj x Ij for all j …. Expected value (EV) = probability of occurrence (p) [higher payoff] + (1-p) [lower payoff].
(8) Expected Time (ET)j = Lj (BTEj + CTj) + (1-Lj) BTEj = BTEj + RTj for all j. . beyond which the feasibility of the project reduces. S6 station being the terminal station. the down trains towards this station after leaving station S5 will travel through the 530m cut and cover tunnel and enter the platforms of the terminal station S6. CASE ANALYSIS The sample stretch under analysis consists of a 530 metre(m) cut and cover tunnel connecting station S5 and S6. (7) ……. These assumptions are (i) the maximum cost overrun permissible is 25 % of the basic cost estimate beyond which the project becomes less feasible and (ii) the maximum permissible time overrun for infrastructure projects is about 30% of the base time estimate. a 290m S6 station box and a 180m cut and cover over run tunnel adjoining the S6 station box. We have considered some basic assumptions during the analysis.. After the commuters vacate the train at this terminal station.Expected Cost (EC)j = Lj (BCEj + CCj) + (1-Lj) BCEj = BCEj + CCj (Lj) = BCEj + RCj for all j. = BTEj + CTj (Lj) ……. The activities of the sample stretch under analysis consist of the installation and erection of temporary supporting and retaining structures to enable construction by cut and cover technology and for the construction of permanent structures like tunnels and station boxes which are RCC single boxes / twin boxes for tunnels and RCC boxes with intermediate concourse slab for station boxes. this down train will travel through the 180m over run tunnel and will be converted into an up line train which will travel from station S6 to S1.
Table 2: Identification and Classification of Risks Involved in the Project S. Risks in timber lagging works. No. Risks in soil excavation works Risks in rock excavation works Risks in installation of construction decks Risks in installation of steel struts Risks in installation of rock anchors Risks in shotcreting and rock bolting works Risks in subfloor drainage works Risks in waterproofing works Risks in diaphragm wall construction Risks in top down construction Risks in permanent structure works Risks in mechanical and electrical installation Risks worksin backfilling and restoration works . Risk Classification Nomenclature 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 FPR PEPR 1 PEPR 2 EPR 1 EPR 2 EPR 3 EPR 4 EPR 5 EPR 6 EPR 7 EPR 8 EPR 9 EPR 10 EPR 11 EPR 12 EPR 13 EPR 14 EPR 15 EPR 16 EPR 17 EPR 18 Risk Description Feasibility Project Risk Pre execution Project Risk – Design Risks Pre execution Project Risk – Technology Risks Execution Project Risk – Risks in traffic Risks in utility diversion works diversion works Risks in survey works Risks in soldier piling and king piling works.
61076 290 49. 122 56 2026 47 As per Figure 1 which represents the critical path diagram of the entire project of the underground corridor construction.974 285 24.7961 475 21.9 tha 29.9 . 63 26.4 48 8 0.9488 120 16.0 662.46 104. 4 22.9 6 156. 33 29. 59 22.2 70.0257 240 45.392 295 n 2. 60 Million 32 10 11.9 488 0.97 162. . 382. 6 30.94 11.984 170 89.5 7 BC 5 21.6 296.367 178 389. 9 214.4 8.61 335.6 994 0. 68 984 0.7 8 0.9 464 0.88 1875 Millio Days 11. 0.6446 225 5 67.95 Milli 4 112.915 690 16.7 36 7.4102 356 4.2 59.4 176.9 392 2 0. n 6. Each activity of the project as presented in figure 1 has been analyzed at the subactivity level for computation of RC.5 2 26.319 113.6 4 23. EC. 14 26.9 961 5 0.465 15.343 63.1 323. 62 21.95 121.68 888 269.4 74 5 0.398 44.5888 315 1.9 576 7 0.306 39.464 165 42. Time (CT)j Days 1130 245 85 355 267 247 356 180 205 140 113 485 250 185 130 95 115 88 415 180 163 Risk Time (RT)j Exp Cost (EC) Exp Time (ET)j EC % her 8 tha 10.2 8 24.278 31.Application of EVM for Risk Analysis of the Project The network diagrams consisting of the major activities of the project have been drawn and their activity times (early start. 88 22. 66 35.223 92.398 71.2 915 6 0.384 36. 8 51 ET % her 20. 9 E 16.9 7 371. ET and risk severity. 13 29. 7 23.6 195 0.97 76.3 5 6 Hig Hig Days j Days 0.0 5 282.64 386.66 176.9 82.4 9 35.25 53. RT.5 244 8 0.55 933. 1 30.019 570 86.3 5 16.22 121.7 189. late start and late finish) have been calculated by forward and backward pass and then their critical path has been tracked out.354 57.8 1 2 4 18.348 393.2 88 24 0.975 122 56 108 245 49.2 4 E 15.4 5 25.7 209.5 5 384.5244 122 133. 82 33.186 45.0122 225 729.7 446 4 884.2 7 31. 97 30.202 3786 .8 4 25.345 86.27 22.48 129 151.47 3969.994 330 23.252 45.262 69. The corrective cost and time for each activity have been assumed as a certain percentage (25% to 75%) of BCE and BTE respectively depending upon the severity and casualty caused by that risk. for activity A (feasibility INR (BTE)j 20. The detailed analysis for computation of risk cost and time for all the activities of the project is presented below. 8 407. 2268.2 257 0.0 285.3 58 83.36 076 24. 0.29 195. 4670.0 4 16.2 596.3 2329 Risk Cost (RC)j Base Time Estimate Cor.377 77.3 102 0.227 19.6 4 7 0.5 7 n 25.98 97. 58 27. and Table 4.419 58. The duration along the critical path is the longest duration path and is considered as the duration of the project.2 on 2 0.1129 260 17.7 588.2 77.4 6 23. 8 23.78 77.25 66.4576 145 17. early finish.5 217. 95 29. 43 16. 6 223.356 87.28 99.66 103.7 90 3.24 INR 260.4 5 455. 91 28.5 8 141. 46 30. Table 4: Expected Cost and Time Analysis for the Project Base Cost Activity (CLF)j Estimate (BCE)j A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U TOTAL INR 240 Million 110 40 50 100 10 220 20 150 80 120 300 50 80 60 120 60 80 800 300 250 3240 Corrective Cost (CC)j INR.8 BT 5 22. 11 20. The BCE and BTE of each activity and sub-activity of the project have been calculated as per the actual site data.7 317.748 170 31.
51% higher than the estimated base cost. the corrective time (CT)j is 1130 days (assumed in consultation with experts).47 ) Expected Cost (INR Million) 3969. Thus it is essential to judiciously follow the risk mitigation measures to ensure that the project is completed within the scheduled time frame. the EC of the project is 22.2 Million) Base Time Estimate 3786 (Days) Risk Time (Days 884. Risk cost (RC)j = 0.51 % higher than the BCE of the project.348 as obtained from the feedback of the questionnaire survey (refer appendix 2). Exceeding these limits would increase the chances of the project becoming less feasible. the base time estimate (BTE)j is 1875 days.88 Million. The risk management analysis predicts that the expected cost of the project is 22.36% higher than the estimated base time which is close to the upper limit of the permissible time overrun. As per the basic assumptions considered for risk management analysis the cost overrun should not exceed 25% of the estimated base cost and the time overrun should not be more than 30% of the estimated base time. the expected cost (EC)j = BCEj + RCj RTj = 2268. The ET of the project is 23.348 x 1130 days = 393. Risk time (RT)j = 0. the corrective cost (CC)j is INR 60 Million (assumed in consultation with experts).studies) the CLF is 0.36 % higher than the BTE. The base cost estimate (BCE)j for the activity feasibility studies (A) is INR 240 Million. It requires meticulous planning and proper risk mitigation measures to enhance the probability of success of the project. Thus as per equations (7) and (8).348 x 60 x 106 = INR 20. Table 5: Project Expected Cost and Time Analysis [Based on Questionnaire Survey] = INR 260. As per equations (2) and (3).24 days. The expected time predicted from the analysis is 23.88 x 106. This situation is highly alarming as it is the upper limit of the permissible cost overrun.24 days. expected time (ET)j = BTEj + Base Cost Estimat e3240 (INR Risk Cost (INR 729.47 Milion) Thus as per the analysis. .2 Expecte d Time (Days) 4670.
262 0.875 0.155 0.242 0. The product of the likelihood and impact of a risk can be considered as the severity of that risk.284 0.20 of Total Project using thehConcept of Composite Table 7: Risk Severity Analysis 1.329 0.86 0. High V.845 0.138 V.868 0.278 0.811 0.303 0.06 Mediu 0.809 0.872 0.816 0.858 0.806 0.837 0.306 0.247 0.377 0. High V.348 0.232 0.828 0.433 0. High V.544 Quantitative CLFj x CIFj 0.827 0.224 0.Risk Severity Analysis using the Concept of CLF and CIF Risk severity can be computed from equation (6).832 0.829 0. 0. 0.345 0.186 0. High High V.818 0.319 0.398 0.393 0. High Medium Severity Qualitative The risk severity analysis has also been carried out by PERT analysis and the outcome of both .335 0.863 0. High V.16 – Hig 0. High V. High V.05 w 0.784 0.181 0.305 0.27 0. High Medium V.15 m 0.343 0.223 0.513 0.341 0.03 – Lo 0. High V.00 High Likelihood Factor (CLF) and Composite Impact Factor (CIF) Composite Description of project risk (activity) Likelihood Factor (CLF)j FPR (A) PEPR 1 (B) PEPR 2 (C) EPR 1 (D) EPR 2 (E) EPR 3 (F) EPR 4 (G) PER 5 (H) PER 6 (I) EPR 7 (J) EPR 8 (K) EPR 9 (L) EPR 10 (M) EPR 11 (N) EPR 12 (O) EPR 13 (P) EPR 14 (Q) EPR 15 (R) EPR 16 (S) EPR 17 (T) EPR 18 (U) 0.342 0.28 0. High V.419 0.827 0.254 Composite Impact Factor (CIF)j 0.212 0. High V.227 0.842 0.384 0. The scale for the classification of the risk severity is expressed as Table 6: Risk Severity Classification Severity Classification 0.252 0.02– Low 0. High V.19 0. This concept can be extended for multiple risk sources in a work package.325 0.21 – V.367 0.206 0.00 – V.25 0. the likelihood and impact of which can be expressed in terms of CLFj and CIFj respectively. High V. High V. High High High V.298 0.
the EVM and PERT analysis in terms of the severity of the major activities of the project is presented in Table 8 Table 8: Outcome of Risk Severity analysis by Expected Value and PERT V.High Design Technology selection Piles King Piles Soil / Rock excavation Diaphragm wall Steel struts Rock anchors Shotcreting and rock bolting High Traffic diversion Top down lagging Mechanical & Electrical Works. Permanent Structure & Restoration Medium Survey Backfilling Low Nil Utility diversion Soldier construction Timber .
Hence this path is considered as the critical path of the project network (refer figure 1).95 Cost (Rs.98 3244.60 3074.20 150.602 = 0.07 .616 x 0.10 65.89 2504.09 108.720 x 0.88 2479.28 122.738 x 0.623 x 0.625 x 0.681 x 0. The corresponding cost for the completion of activities along this path is INR 1220 Million.19 92.67 3164.Application of Monte Carlo Simulation We apply the Monte Carlo simulation to predict the outcome of the expected time (ET) and expected cost (EC) of all the possible paths of activities as represented in the network diagram of the project (figure 1). Crores) 119.17 (days) 3785.17 87.28 96. The application of the Monte Carlo simulation to the above path analysis resulted in the following outcome: Table 9: Outcome of Path Analysis of the Project Network Diagram Applying Monte Carlo Simulation Path Path 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Activity / Node A-B-D-G-I-P-T A-C-E-D-G-I-P-T A-C-E-F-I-P-T A-C-H-I-P-T A-C-K-P-T A-C-L-J-P-T A-C-Q-R-J-P-T A-C-Q-O-S-T A-C-Q-O-U duration 3676.040). Path A-B-D-G-I-P-T is a near critical path with a probability of about 4.88 2879. The Monte Carlo simulation also takes into account the effects of the near critical paths becoming critical. we observed that the path A-C-E-D-G-I-P-T has the longest duration of 3786 days.79 2741.11 82.8% for successful completion within the stipulated time and cost frame. It is also observed that the probability of the successful completion of the project within the stipulated time and cost frame is only 4% (0.730 x 0. There are chances of this path becoming critical. By carrying out a detailed path analysis of the project network diagram.
As a part of the formulation of risk mitigation strategies. Risk sharing Risk reduction Risk contingency planning and Risk mitigation through insurance.009. The probability of the successful completion of the near critical path or path 1 within the scheduled time is 84. the EC was found to have a value of INR 3532. The probability of the successful completion of path 2 or the critical path within the scheduled time is 50%.8413 x 0.13% (Z = 1. This model can be effectively implemented in the ongoing and upcoming metro rail projects across the nation.From the above analysis we observed that path 2 (A-C-E-D-G-I-P-T) has the longest duration of 3785.9 Million and the ET of the project was found to be 4351.8 Million. Also the probability of the successful completion of all the paths within the scheduled time is 42. .05% (P = 0.000 runs of the Monte Carlo simulation.5 x 1 x 1 x 1 x 1 x 1 x 1 x 1 = 0. P = 0.4205) Carrying out about 10. Proposed Risk Management Model for the Underground Corridor Construction for Metro Rail The generalized risk management model for the underground corridor construction for the metro rail is proposed on the basis of the detailed analysis carried out. the following risk response planning can be adapted by the project authority: (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) (v) Risk transfer.12 days. The corresponding cost for the completion of all the activities along the critical path is INR 1222.98 days and remains critical.8413).
the expected project cost for the sample stretch under analysis (530 m tunnel from station S5 to S6.CONCLUSION Project risk management which primarily comprises schedule and cost uncertainties and risks should be essentially carried out for complex urban infrastructure projects such as the construction of an underground corridor for metro rail operations. a very nominal percentage of identified risks can be insured under the existing "Contractors All Risk Policy". This will have a direct impact on the efficiency and profitability of the organization. Thus for six underground stations for this 6. based on EVM. Hence considering the results of all the analyses carried out in this research work.51% higher than the base cost estimate of the project. According to the basic assumptions made for the analytical procedure adopted. The expected project time as obtained by the analysis is about 23. the probability of successful completion of the project within the stipulated time and cost frame will reduce.36% higher than the base time estimate of the project. and if not treated or mitigated properly. are large. Although at present. the potentiality of insurance and the means of making insurance a strong risk mitigation tool for the construction industry provide scope for future research. it can be concluded that for complex infrastructure projects like that of an underground corridor construction. based on the expert questionnaire survey. the maximum permissible time overrun as per the basic assumptions being 30% of the base time estimate. the project may result in a cost and time overrun which will ultimately reduce the feasibility of the successful completion of the project. about INR 0. Thus if proper project risk management is not carried out by the authority.6 km underground metro corridor package approximately INR 4. from the feasibility to the completion of the execution.92 Million extra per day will have to be incurred by the project authorities. In the current research work we found that the number of major and minor risks involved during the construction of the project. S6 station box and 180 m over-run tunnel) is about 22. APPENDIX 1: Additional Project Details .82 Million extra per day per station would be incurred if proper risk management is not followed to mitigate the anticipated risks. the maximum permissible cost overrun for the project is 25%. As per the analysis carried out by EVM. This value is also quite alarming making the concerned authority feel the need for carrying out proper risk management for such complex infrastructure projects.
1821 m Average depth of stations Typical width of stations Typical length of stations Design life Major Scope of Civil Engineering Works 15 .Length of route Project Detail s 6569m Description (a) Tunnel (by Tunnel Boring Machine [TBM]) .000 cum. 47.15. 3.00.3811 m (b) Tunnel (by Cut & Cover method) 937 m (c) Station boxes.20 m below ground level Average 20 m 275m to 300m 120 years for underground structures and 50 years for (a) Excavation (soil) (b) Excavation (rock) (c) Concreting (d) Reinforcement (e) Strutting : : : : : 10.000 cum.000 cum.500 MT . super structures 2.500 MT 24.90.
90 Likelihoo d 0.155 0.5 0.167 FPR 3: Pre-investment Risks Cancellation of project after bidding Delay in setting of consortium(JV) Prolonged delay in project finalization CLF = 0.80 0.90 .85 0.35 0.90 0.02 3 0.045 CIF = 0.08 Total 0.75 ) 0.121 4 Impac t 0.95 0.APPENDIX 2: Sample Questionnaire for Feasibility Project Risk (FPR) FPR 1: Feasibility Project Risk 1 – Risks in Preparation of Feasibility Report Weightag Risk Delay in submission of preliminary feasibility report Description Delay in approval for carrying out detailed feasibility study Delay in preparation and submission of detailed project report Delay in approval of DPR (DPR) CLF = 0.096 FPR 2: Resettlement and Rehabilitation Risks Resettlement site not accepted by affected parties Resettlement site very costly Litigation by affected parties Resistance and agitation by political parties CLF = 0.15 0.80 0.1 0.134 0.20 ) 0.3 0.65 (Iij 0.018 j) 0.08 5 0.04 Total 0.45 0.30 e (LP 0.027 CIF = 0.02 ) 9 0.20 0.03 5 0.03 (Wi 0 0.95 0.185 0.01 Total 0.15 (Lij 0.95 0.05 2 0.05 5 0.059 CIF = 0.35 0.
4 0.35 0.1 0.011+ 0.FPR 4: Land Acquisition Risks Risk Political interference Description Delay in finalizing temporary rehabilation schemes Public interference for changing the alignment Interference of environmental activists Delay due to interdepartmental issues Delay in construction of diversion roads for existing traffic Problems with the physical possession of land CLF = 0.2 0.027 + 0.45 0.55 0. sewer lines.4 0. electrical cables.153 CLF Feasibility = 0.80 0.875 (0. filtered and unfiltered water lines) Delay in clearance from environmental and forest departments CLF = 0.85 0.01 9 0.153) Likelihood 0.2 0.95 .75 0.070 CIF = 0.01 3 0.11 Total: 6 0.167+0.136 + 0.03 5 0.070) CIF Feasibility = 0.25 0.295 0.096 +0.05 5 0.5 0.061 FPR 6: Permit and Approval Risks Delay in contractual clearances Delay in project specific orders and approvals Delay in the approval of major utilities ( telecom cables.04 0. storm water drains.05 5 0.134 + 0.01 2 0.264 + 0.348 (0.075 0.65 Weightage 0.264 FPR 5: Financial Closure Risks Project not bankable Lenders not comfortable with project viability Adverse investment climate CLF = 0.15 0.03 0.9 0.07 9 Total:80.03 Total: 5 0.045 +0.95 0.85 0.9 0.80 0.85 0.061 + 0.059 + 0.01 40.136 CIF = 0.169 Grand Total: 1 0.011 CIF = 0.25 0.00 50.85 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.90 0.02 3 0.
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Milwaukee Hilton hotels
Search for Hilton hotels in Milwaukee
Last minute Milwaukee deals
- Ambassador Innfrom $109
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Global warming is more on our radars than ever, and with this billboard in Germany, it seems everybody is praying for rain. While the ad is a bit old (it dates back to 2005), it's worth refeaturing.
When the interactive Playboy billboard in Germany comes in contact with water, due to bad weather, the woman's white-shirt becomes see through. This is definitely a risque marketing strategy, it certainly speaks to the target demographic that Playboy is intuitively after.
Implications - It would be interesting to see if a billboard this risque generates any kind of significant controversy in the local community. Needless to say, however, fans of Playboy will certainly find little to complain about.
Rain-Reactive Billboards
More Stats +/-
Rose Pavilion Concepts
Candid Sportswear Editorials
Top 35 Brand Activations in July
Top 60 Furniture Trends in July
Platform Camouflage Sneakers
White T-Shirt in German Playboy Ad Goes See-Through in Rain
Dec 17, 2007 Updated: Apr 20 2011By: Juan Carlos Bonilla -
References: thecoolhunter.net
References: thecoolhunter.net


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Top Headlines: Phillips 66 Up on Buffet Bet
July 13 (Bloomberg) -- In today's top headlines, Hewlett-Packard was today's only decliner in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Mastercard and Visa settle their anti-trust "swipe fee" lawsuit, and Phillips 66 is up after Warren Buffet took a stake in the company. Pimm Fox reports on Bloomberg Television's "Taking Stock." (Source: Bloomberg)
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Soylent: The Food of the Future?
12:57 - Rob Rhinehart, Soylent's chief executive officer, discusses the company's quest to disrupt the food industry. He speaks with Bloomberg's Emily Chang on "Bloomberg West." (Source: Bloomberg)


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Instructor Profile
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Shaykh Kamal El Mekki (Instructor)
- Profile
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- Famous Quote "Are we benefitting Islam or are we benefitting from it?"
- Most Likely to Say "Fantastic!" and "True story"
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- Known For his poetry & abbreviations to help students remember content and to lighten the mood.
Shaykh Kamal El Mekki has been dubbed the Black Belt of Dawah. With decades of experience in the Dawah scene, Shaykh Kamal combines his ground-breaking teaching style with his own dash of humour, certain to leave students feel at ease & entertained, but above all skilled and empowered.
Shaykh Kamal is known best for his workshop "How to Give Shahadah in 10 Minutes", a 6-hour workshop designed to empower MSAs and Dawah organizations in the art of Dawah. His lectures and online videos (targeting contemporary challenges) have also gained popular fame and positive impact among Muslims and non-Muslims alike. Educated at the hands of numerous prominent Islamic scholars from across the world, Shaykh Kamal also has dynamic experience in the secular world.


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A behind the scenes look at 'Fury'
A behind the scenes featurette of David Ayers' war film about a five-man tank crew behind enemy lines, starring Brad Pitt, Shia LaBeouf, and Logan Lerman. In theaters Nov. 14. (Credit: Columbia Pictures)
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UFC's Tate, Holm in 'Fight Valley' clip Ellen DeGeneres makes a splash in London with 'Dory' 'Ghostbusters' Leslie Jones: 'We need to laugh' 'Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates' trailer 'The Purge: Election Year' trailer 'Finding Dory' latest trailer Watch: 'Beauty and the Beast' teaser trailer 'Snowden' trailer 'War Dogs' trailer 'Ben-Hur' trailer 'The Founder' trailer 'Free State of Jones' trailer


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Trainer Todd Pletcher is considering both the $400,000 Clark Handicap (gr. II) at Churchill Downs and the $350,000 Cigar Mile Handicap (gr. I)at Aqueduct for Harlan's Holiday. The Clark will be contested on Friday and the Cigar on Saturday.The New York-based trainer said he expects to make a final decision on Wednesday, although he could cross-enter Harlan's Holiday in both races. Entries for the Clark will be made on Wednesday with entries for the Cigar taken on Thursday.The 3-year-old son of Harlan, who is owned by Jack and Laurie Wolf's Starlight Stable, last finished ninth in the Oct. 26 Breeders' Cup Classic (gr. I) and finished third in the Sept. 28 Jockey Club Gold Cup (gr. I). Harlan's Holiday was removed from trainer Kenny McPeek's barn in May following a fourth-place finish in the Preakness Stakes (gr. I). In her first start for Pletcher, Harlan's Holiday won the Sept. 2 Pennsylvania Derby (gr. III).In other news concerning the Pletcher stable, 2-year-old Boston Bull, owned by Dogwood Stable, is being considered for Saturday's $250,000 Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes (gr. II), also at Churchill Downs. Boston Bull won the Oct. 13 Cowdin Stakes (gr. III) at Belmont.
Pletcher Considering Both Clark and Cigar for Harlan's Holiday
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iPad Wi-Fi Models Available in China on September 17
iPad Wi-Fi Models Available in China on September 17
CUPERTINO, California-September 13, 2010-Apple® today announced that the Wi-Fi models of its magical iPad will be available to customers in China from Apple Retail Stores, and select Apple Authorized Resellers, on Friday, September 17 starting at 10:00 a.m.
iPad allows users to connect with their apps and content in a more intimate, intuitive and fun way than ever before. Users can browse the web, read and send email, enjoy and share photos, watch HD videos, listen to music, play games, read ebooks and much more, all using iPad's revolutionary Multi-Touch user interface. iPad Wi-Fi models are just 0.5 inches thick and weigh just 1.5 pounds-thinner and lighter than any laptop or netbook-and deliver up to 10 hours of battery life for surfing the web on Wi-Fi, watching videos or listening to music, and up to nine hours of surfing the web.*
Apple Retail Stores will offer a free Personal Setup service to every customer who buys an iPad at the store, helping them customize their new iPad by setting up their email, loading their favorite apps from the App Store?, and more. Apple Retail Stores in China are also hosting special iPad workshops to help customers learn more about this magical new product.
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7:30 am
provided in part... by the departments of education of the states ... california florida, illinois... and new york. and by the united states department of education... and the united states immigration and naturalization service.
7:31 am
it's weird. that man's been sitting out there all afternoon. actually he's been out there since this morning. i wonder what he's doing. looks to me like he's reading a newspaper. yeah, but all day ? shouldn't we do something ? do what ? he's just reading a paper. now, are you sure you understand everything on the list mr. brashov ? if i understood all this i wouldn't need you. don't worry. nothing will go wrong, and i'll be back in a week. i'd better get my coat. i just have time to pick up azza and get to the airport. - have a wonderful vacation. - well,
7:32 am
it is a working trip for jihan, but we're hoping to spend some time together. i better hurry. mr. brashov, have you noticed the man who's been sitting out front ? jamal, what does this mean ? mr. brashov ? if water pressure is low turn valve on left ? mr. brashov. he's got other things on his mind. i'm glad he's not concerned. concerned about what ? the man who's been hanging around outside. - he looksike he's waiting foa s. - that's not a bus stop. i ow that. i said, he looks lik he's waiting for a bus. i think he's checking out the place. why ? well, maybe he's going to do something. he looks like trouble. the man's just reading a newspaper. there's no law against that. you're right, jess. time for me to be heading home. - say hi to carol. - i will. what do you want ? i need something to eat. - rosa ! - yes ? make one of your special turkey sandwiches. now ! - you want a salad with that ? - oh, sure. - put a side of potato salad with that. - katherine, are you crazy ?
7:33 am
- i just put everything away. - well, take it back out. i-- i just want-- just relax. no problem. your food will be right up. katherine. one turkey sandwich coming right up. what's going on ? - what's this, exercises ? - quiet, henry. oh. sorry. whatever you say. - wait a minute. what-- what are you doing ? - please, stay calm. - we'll give you whatever you want. - your food is almost ready. wait. i don't think you understand. no, no. please, please. i'm not holding you up. i just came in to see if you had any leftovers... that might be in the garbage. i think we mayay have behaved foolishly. you came in here acting like you had a gun and demanded food. it cold out there. i was just trying to keep my hands warm. mr. brashov, i really must leave. please go, and enjoy your trip. - good-bye, everyone. - have a nice trip. whdid you make us put our hands in the air like that ? - i didn't do that. you did. - there's been a big misunderstanding. i can understand why you might have thought that.
7:34 am
i'm sorry if i upset you. - oh, no ! jamal ! - too late. where's the flashlight ? here you go. this says to check the circuit box. i'll be right back. "flip switches on left first off and then back on." i know how to do that. try it again. what are all these wires ? beats me. do you mind if i take a look ? do you know anything about electricity ? a little. that's more than we know. jamal hasn't been gone five minutes, and already something breaks. how did you do that ? one of your relay switches is bent, so i repositioned the contacts. of course. simple. thank you.
7:35 am
unfortunately, it's only temporary. it will have to be replaced. i'll have jamal fix it as soon as he returns. - our guest here fixed the light for us. - lucky for us. sit, sit. look, i'm sorry about what happened. - you should be. - oh, katherine, it is us who should be sorry. i am victor brashov, and this is katherine and jess... and henry, and rosa is in the kitchen. you can call me frank. are you really that desperate for food ? i haven't eaten in days. i sit out there, smelling the cooking in here. i told you my cooking was irresistible. i'd better get going before carol starts worrying about me. - yeahme too. - good night, jess, henry. go on, katherine. you need to take care of your children. i don't want my cooking to go to waste. thank you.
7:36 am
i was just wondering. how did you know how to fix the circuit box ? - it's part of my training. - training ? for what ? i'm an auto mechanic. well, not at the moment, but that's what i used to do. will you be all right, mr. brashov ? should one of us stay ? don't be silly. go home. good night. see you tomorrow. good night. have you been out of work a long time ? almost a year and a half. yes, but you havbeen trying to find a job ? every day. but i guess lately i've sort of given up. i know how tough it can be. but you mu not give up. i guess i'm getting a little tired of having doors slammed in my face. this afternoon ishe first kindness... i've received in a long time. - thank you. - oh, no. thank you for fixing the lights.
7:37 am
good luc [ narrator ] money exerts a powerful innce... on nearly every aspect of our lives. more of our waking hours are focused on earning money... than anything else. while great wealth is not essential to a meaningful life a lack of money can cause anxiety and conflict both f individuals and for families. i haven't had any food. they said they won't give us any food stamps. we had to sell everything we had except our clothes. we had dreams, but they all went down the drain. i used to ve in aank pag all of
7:38 am
us, we've been through hell. most of these people they don't want to live like this. they don't want to go dumpster-diving every day behind mcdonalds... to collect the old hamrgers and cheeseburgs. but that's what they do to cope in a positive manner. [ narrator ] the effects of poverty can often be seen on the faces of children. since my mom was sick in the hospital-- she had hepatitis, and she was late with her rent. and she offered to pay the late fee and a little bit more than the rent was and the managers didn't take it. then we moved up to a hotel. then it's like we kept on moving. [ narrator ] children of poverty grow uqukly. they've had to share responsibility for the family's survival. part of survival is for both parents to work. parents have a tough time of it. they have to work. they're not out there working just because they want to,
7:39 am
because it's fun or to buy a fur coat or go to europe. working to put food on the table. [ narrator ] when it's difficult to find a job or housing some people turn to organizations that help families in need. the only reason we got an apartment was because the managers... were associates with us; we knew them from here. [ narrator ] for most families, the challengis to manage the limiteamount of money that is avaible. it was really frustrating because we didn't have a whole lot of money. but we started doing things together: taking long walks, looking for aluminum cans so that we could treat the kids to ice cream on weekends. you know, that's what it really comes down to. if you had this much money what would you spend it on ? toys, cars, homes, whatever. you can't get everything you want. [ narrator ] most families have found that's true. you can't have everything wan decions and choices must be made every step of the way.
7:40 am
hello, hello. "the meeting should be over by 10:00. hope you're not too tired. love, jihan." hello. yes, this is mr. al-jibali. you found my luggage ! fantastic ! when will you deliver it ? that's impossible. i can't wait two or three days.
7:41 am
it's all right sweetheart. not you, my baby. with you, it is not all right. i need my luggage. please, calm down. don't cry. shh, shh. i know you're not crying. my daughter is. shh, shh, shh, shh, shh. hello. hello ? wonderful. shh, shh, shh, shh. hello. you finally made it. i'm sorry i'm so late. the meeting lasted much longer than expected.
7:42 am
how was your flight ? it was great until they sent my luggage to england. you're joking. would i joke about something like that ? when will you get them back ? they're not sure. the plane hasn't landed yet. maybe they'll end up in russia or some place. i'm sure the airline will return them soon. how do you like the om ? it's nice. the company is paying for everything. that's nice too. i better get ready f bed. i have an early meeting in the morning. can we have breakfast tomorrow ? it's a breakfast meeting. how about later ? we'll have to wait and see. it's a very busy day tomorrow. i still dot understand this. i've tried everything jamal recommended, and it still jams. what will you do if you can't fix it ? send you to the hardware store for a new dead bolt.
7:43 am
yes, but who's going to install it ? oh, hello. hello. i hope i'm not disturbing you. no, no. come in. i was just trying to get this lock to work. - at's wrong with it ? - i wish i knew. it keeps jamming every time i lock it. - do you mind if i take a look ? - you don't have to do that. well, actually, i was hoping to pay you back for dinner last night. that is not necessary. and i think i may be able to fix that problem in your circuit box. i picked up a relay switch from a friend of mine at a junkyard. that should do it. you really do know a lot about repairs, don't you ? better go see about that circuit breaker. i-- wait. i think i have an idea. i am not a very good handyman and this ce certainly needs one. how would you like to fill in for the week while jamal is out of town ?
7:44 am
- i can only pay minimum wage. - i-- i don't know what to say. how about "yes" ? - yes. - good. then it's settled. i'd better go take care of this. is that such a good idea, mr. brashov ? you hardly know him. i know he's a better handyman than i am. katherine tells me you hired the guy that was in here the other day. - he's an excellent worker. - i can't believe the way mr. brashov's taken to him. - you'd think they had been friends for years. - i feel sorry for him. it is a hard life he's living. a lot of people are out of work nowadays, katherine. i'm sure they didn't all choose that. the awning's fixed, mr. brashov. it just needed some new bolts. good work. now sit down. you haven't eaten all day. rosa, fix frank one of your specials. swiss chicken coming right up. we'll have to finish our game tomorrow, victor. i've got to go. good-bye, my friend. good night, jess. sit down. katherine, bring frank some coffee.
7:45 am
i hope you don't mind my asking this but how can you have so many skills and still not have a job ? when i was laid off from the factory, i thought i'd get another job really quickly. it just didn't work out that way. did you apply at other factories ? sure, and dealerships and garages. then i don't understand. i'm just no good when it comes to interviews. i get nervous, my head starts to hurt. i just freeze up. let me guess. you needed just one more cup of coffee. i wish that was it. my car won't start. i need to call a tow service. just a minute, jess. frank is a mechanic. why don't you let him take a look at it ? would you mind ? no, i'd be happy to. i'll show you where it is. i know. he's always there when you need him.
7:46 am
may i slip into the middle of the story you are watching... to bring you a special segment of "word play" ? i know i don't have to ask, but there are occasions when it's very important to ask permission... before you take action. another phrase you can use to ask
7:47 am
permission... is "do you mind if--" do you mind if i say good-byeor this episode of "word play" ? that's what i was hoping you would say. i can'tell you how grateful i am. you saved me a lot of money. no problem. no, please. i'm glad to be of help. are you sure ? well, thanks again. you're welcome. good night.
7:48 am
he really is good with cars. i wish there was something we could do to help him. don't you think we've done enough for him ? are you forgetting he tried to rob us ? no, he didn't. - you jumped to "conclusives." - i think you mean "jumped to conclusions." whatever. you made a mistake. well, all i know is, he wouldn't take any money for fixing my car. - i think there may be something we can do. - what ? i'm still good friends with the chief mechanic down at the post office. maybe if i have a talk with him. she's been quiet all evening. no trouble at all. - i'm so glad. - what an angel. - thank you for sitting with her. - a pleasure. good night. good night.
7:49 am
is something wrong, jamal ? no. you've hardly said a word all night. i don't have much to say. what's wrong ? did i do something ? tell me. i have just spent the entire evening discussing diapers and baby formulas with the wives... while you've been playing the bright young executive with the husbands. i work with these men. what did you expect me to do ignore them ? this was supposed to be a trip for all of us to enjoy. instead, azza and i have hardly seen you. that's not fair. you knew that i would-- so far i've been nothing... but a baby-sitter. you knew that i wouldn't be able to be with you all of the time. you haven't spent any time with us, let alone help me take care of her. what do you want me to do ? i can't be in two places at the same time. when you went back to work we agreed... that we would share the responsibility for azza. but lately i seem to have all the burden, especially on this trip.
7:50 am
i know that since the promotion i've been working longer hours but i've never let my job come before my family. i don't think that's true. jamal, what do you want from me ? are you asking me to quit my job and stay home ? is that what you want ? i don't know what i want. well, did you speak to your friend yet ? it's all set. he's coming by at lunchtime. i've told him all about frank. wonderful. i'm afraid you're wasting your time, jess. well, it's my time and i've sure got a lot of it. frank, would you come in here, please ? is everything all right, mr. brashov ? yes, of course. we just wanted to tell you the good news. a friend of mine is chief mechanic at the post office garage... and he needs some help in the shop. - i've asked him to come by to meet you. - i have an interview today ? well, it's not really an interview.
7:51 am
you have nothing to worry about. well, look at me. my clothes. i need a shave. i don't even have a resume anymore. you've got to believe me. i am no good at this sort of thing. now don't start that. you'll do fine. - you'll do fine because we are going to help you. - you are ? - we are ? - yes, we are. jess, you and i will take frank in the back and start working with him. the rest of you join us when it is not too busy. ta-da ! i think you are ready. he better be. marty just walked in. don't worry. you look great. here's your resume. you'll knock them dead. - i wish i had your confidence. - you'll do fine. just go out there and be yourself.
7:52 am
good luck. marty, this is the fellow i've been telling you about. frank, say hello to marty. hi ! hello. sit down, frank. jess says you saved him a ton of money on his car. he's good, but i'll let him tell you. well, i'll tell you, you made a pretty big impression on old jess. he's a nice man. did he tell you about my shop ? yes, he did. have you had much experience working with vans and trucks ? at an automobile factory. what did you do there ? well, actually all sorts of things. frank, could you give me just a little bit more of an example ? may i take a look at that ? yeah, i guess so.
7:53 am
thank you. do you mind ? you're going to have to excuse me. we tried. can i talk to you for a moment ? sure. i'm sorry yo interview didn't go well. i froze up just like i knew i would. - i guess i let all of you down. - you didn't let us down. you let yourself down. but u know what ? i know how you felt. i doubt it. no, really. when my husband and i got divorced, i had to find work fast and i was terrible at job interviews. the day i came into crossroads cafe, i was so nervous that i almost got sick. - yes, but you got the job. - sure. i used a trick that my father taught me when i had to give a speech in
7:54 am
high school. he told me to imagine the audience in their underwear. i did. and believe me, it worked. - so, when you looked at mr.rashov-- - you guessed it. i didn't expect you so early. the meetings are over. we have the rest of the day to ourselves. so i thought, perhaps we could take azza sightseeing. that would be nice. this is for you. - i'm sorry this trip was so awful. - it wasn't that bad. wait a minute. oh. i know your family is more important to you than your job. i shouldn't have said that.
7:55 am
i love you both so much. it looks as if everytng went smoothly while i was gone. if you only knew. but the list was helpful ? oh, very. i'm going to keep it for emergencies. - hello, everybody. - how did the interview go ? this time marty was very impressed. - i got the job, and i owe it all to you, mr. brashov. - me ? all i had to do was think of you. closed-captioned by captions, inc. los angeles
7:56 am
crossroads cafe is a series th
7:57 am
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The Global Negotiator: Making, Managing and Mending Deals Around the World in the Twenty-First Century
· Rating Details · 19 Ratings · 1 Review
In today's global business environment, an executive must have the skills and knowledge to navigate all stages of an international deal, from negotiations to managing the deal after it is signed. The aim of Global Negotiator is to equip business executives with that exact knowledge. Whereas most books on negotiation end when the deal is made, Jeswald W. Salacuse will guide ...more
Hardcover, 320 pages
Published July 4th 2003 by St. Martin's Press
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May 06, 2015 Kokopelli's Flute rated it really liked it
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Great book on cross-border business negotiations, following the win-win approach advocated by the Harvard Negotiation Project. The book also provides a useful and comprehensive checklist that can be utilized for real-world cross border negotiations.
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Letter: Please support Terri Brodeur breast cancer walk
Letter: Please support Terri Brodeur breast cancer walk
On Oct. 4, I will again be joining hundreds of walkers in walking a full 26.2-mile marathon, half-marathon or quarter-marathon through southeastern Connecticut for the Terri Brodeur Breast Cancer Foundation Walk Across Southeastern Connecticut to raise funds for breast cancer research. Participating in the Brodeur Walk allows me to be a part of something that will affect the lives of many people. As a physician and husband of a breast cancer survivor, I know how important research into finding a cure is.
What is so amazing about Brodeur foundation is that 100 percent of gross funds goes directly to breast cancer research! So every dollar raised in support of my walk or contributed to any walker, goes directly to fund research. Since 2006, the foundation has raised and made grants of over $2.7 million to promising breast cancer researchers.
Please check out the Brodeur walk at tbbcf.org or call 860-245-0402 to register, volunteer, or to sponsor a walker.
Howard Brensilver, MD
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text: anita swimwear Archive Brand Highlight: Anita Swimwear dachary10 April, 2015No Comments As warmer weather continues to make its presence felt, this week's brand highlight features another fantastic swim brand: Anita swimwear! Anita swimsuits are designed with the full-busted or full-figured woman in mind, with generous coverage and good support to leave you feeling comfortable and sexy by the pool or beach. And for a limited time, Read More The Ultimate Comfort Found in the Aviana Soft Cup Minimizer Bra dachary Comfort Straps Can Change How You Feel dachary What's the Best Bra for Women Who Work in Construction? dachary What's the Best Lingerie for Valentine's Day? dachary Brand Highlight: Champion Sports Bras dachary Brand Highlight: ILI Handbags dachary Brand Highlight: Curve by Sunsets Swimwear dachary There's Nothing Wrong with Your Body if You Can't Find a Bra that Fits! dachary Brand Highlight: Grenier Bras dachary Brand Highlight: Affinitas dachary


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Letters to the Editor
Prime Minister John Key has met footballer David Beckham and, in his opinion, Beckham is as ''thick as batshit''. Having never met Beckham, I can't agree or disagree with Mr Key's comment, but I do defend his right to an opinion of Beckham.
OPINION: It's just unfortunate that he didn't keep this opinion to himself, especially after Beckham gave Mr Key's son some soccer tips.
I also defend his right to tell Jamie Mackay that his red top was ''gay'' - a word with different meanings to different people.
The preciousness of many these days who object to any opinion that's not the same as theirs is wearing thin. Differences in race, gender, religion, opinion, thought and ideas are what make this planet an interesting place to be. I, for one, enjoy the diversity of the human race and try to save my outrage for things that really matter.
- The Dominion Post
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Wayne Linklater: It's a people problem, not a pest problem
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text:
7:07 AM EDT, Sat July 30, 2016
Chris Tillman Rumors & News
- Bats: R
- Throws: R
- Height: 6' 5"
- Weight: 200
- Age 28
- Seasons: 7
- Salary: 6,225,000
- Birthplace: Anaheim, California
- College: None
MASN Sports Jul 27, 2016
Wilson on his return: "It was great to get back out there, get your feet wet again"
Akron Beacon Journal Jul 26, 2016
THURSDAY: OffFRIDAY: Athletics at IndiansTime: 7:10 p.m.TV: STOPitchers: Kendall Graveman (7-6, 4.15) vs. Trevor Bauer (7-4, 3.65)SATURDAY: Athletics at IndiansTime: 7:05 p.m.TV: STOPitchers: Jesse Hahn (2-4, 5.53) vs. Josh Tomlin (10-3, 3.48)SUNDAY: Athletics at IndiansTime: 1:10 p.m.TV: STOPitchers: Daniel Mengden (1-5, 5.73) vs. Corey Kluber (9-8, 3.44)MONDAY: Twins at IndiansTime: 7:10 p.m.TV: STOTUESDAY: Twins at IndiansTime: 7:10 p.m.TV: STOAUG. 3: Twins at IndiansTime: 7:10 p.m.TV: STOAUG. 4: Twins at IndiansTime: 12:10 p.m.TV: STOAUG. 5: Indians at YankeesTime: 7:05 p.m.TV: STOAUG. 6:...
Arizona Republic Jul 26, 2016
When the Diamondbacks return home next week, right fielder Yasmany Tomas will follow a pregame routine that resembles what his preparation is like on the road with the hope his prowess at the plate also translates.
Orioles Insider | Baltimore Sun Jul 26, 2016
The difference for Chris Tillman in Tuesday's loss may have been as subtle as five pitches, the ones that created the five two-strike hits that spoiled his outing in the third inning.
Over his previous four starts, O's right-hander Chris Tillman allowed four runs on 16 hits in 28 innings. Tonight he gave up four runs in one inning when he allowed five hits in the top of the third of the...
Over the Monster Jul 26, 2016
How the Red Sox can follow up their best stretches with their worst is a mystery. But what's really baffling is their ability to lose games when they score so many damn runs. It was just this past Thursday that the Red Sox opened their series against Minnesota with a 13-2 win, maintaining their half-game lead over the Orioles and improving to 9-1 over their last 10 games. They were presented with an opportunity to potentially create some separation at the top of the East. They've since taken that opportunity and done unspeakable things to it, the likes of which I'm not supposed to put in...
Akron Beacon Journal Jul 26, 2016
CLEVELAND: The Indians went on an extended road trip following the All-Star break due to the Republican National Convention. But nothing does the soul good like some home cooking. In their first game back in Cleveland, the Indians worked some Progressive Field magic to pull off a wild 7-6 comeback win over the Washington Nationals on a walk-off single by Francisco Lindor on Tuesday night.The Indians came up in the ninth inning trailing 6-4 and facing Nationals closer Jonathan Papelbon. Jose Ramirez opened with a walk and Tyler Naquin continued his torrid rookie season with a pinch-hit double...
Orioles manager Buck Showalter confirmed tonight that Ubaldo Jimenez will start Thursday night's game in Minnesota. Tyler Wilson worked four perfect innings in relief of Chris Tillman in the Orioles' 6-3 loss to the Rockies before 23,677 at Camden Yards....
BALTIMORE—Chris Tillman had been magnificent. In his previous four starts, Tillman allowed four runs in 28 innings and won all four. On Tuesday night, Tillman gave
Orioles right-hander Chris Tillman was a pitch away from getting out of a third-inning jam. Then he was a pitch away from allowing just two runs. But both times the Colorado Rockies hitters won the battle. Tillman, who was 4-0...
Orioles Insider | Baltimore Sun Jul 26, 2016
Orioles right-hander Chris Tillman came into Tuesday night's start with a chance to become the first 15-game winner in the major leagues, but the Colorado Rockies would not cooperate.
Before heading to training camp, Ryan Kerrigan talks to Julie Donaldson about Good Humor and his favor ice cream treats
At CAA Media Day, conference coaches detail just how difficult the league will be in 2016.
With Bradley Beal signing a new contract, the importance of Beal and John Walls relationship has never been more paramount.
Among the issues with Olympic golf is what the event is doing to the PGA Championship. CSN Mid-Atlantics John Feinstein explains.
MLB Player News
- 8
Logan Ondrusek
Orioles notebook: Birds add reliever Logan Ondrusek to help against lefties
- 8
Justin Morneau
Heath Quinn's double scores Reynolds from first, ties game
- 8
Jonathan Lucroy
Jonathan Lucroy in lineup; Ryan Braun out
- 7
Tim Lincecum
Final: Tim Lincecum's struggles continue in Angels' loss to Red Sox
- 6
Mark Melancon
Some thoughts on trading Mark Melancon


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23 Jul 2016
Lucknow: Taking note of BSP workers allegedly busing "abusive" language against the minor daughter of expelled BJP leader Dayashankar Singh, Uttar Pradesh Commission for Protection of Child Rights yesterday directed the administration to provide it the video footage of the incident.
21 Jul 2016
Srinagar: Local newspapers in Kashmir Valley were today back on the stands after five days, a day after Chief Minister Mehbooba Mufti met editors and owners of city-based newspapers and expressed regret over restrictions on the media.
23 Jul 2016
Washington: Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton has picked Virginia Senator Tim Kaine as her White House running mate for the general elections to be held in the US in November.
15 Jul 2016
Mumbai: Veteran actor Anil Kapoor took a local train from Churchgate here to promote his forthcoming TV drama series '24: Season 2'.
19 Jul 2016
Chandigarh: Punjab BJP president Vijay Sampla yesterday said cricketer-turned-politician Navjot Singh Sidhu did not take the party into confidence before resigning from Rajya Sabha and asserted the party will not be affected adversely even if he joins AAP.
19 Jul 2016
New Delhi: Wife of suspended BJP MP Kirti Azad and three-time party national executive member Poonam Azad is likely to follow in the footsteps of Navjot Singh Sidhu, who resigned as its MP yesterday and is set to join AAP.
19 Jul 2016
Chandigarh: Navjot Kaur, wife of cricketer-turned-politician Navjot Singh Sidhu, today said his resignation from the Rajya Sabha meant he has also quit the BJP and the only option left for him was to join the Aam Aadmi Party.
20 Jul 2016
New York: Social networking giant Facebook has partnered with the US television network ABC for a non-stop live streaming of both the Democratic and Republican National Conventions.
18 Jul 2016
New Delhi: Union Sports minister Vijay Goel today termed as "anti-national" Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal's statement equating the relations between the Centre and his government to that of India and Pakistan and sought an apology for him.
11 Jul 2016
New Delhi: Be it her plus-sized character in 'Dum Laga Ke Haisha' or her current fit avatar, actress Bhumi Pednekar says she has always loved her body.


text: Watch A Camel Try To Eat A Little Girl In A CarTravis Okulski4/29/13 1:15pm37EditInvite manuallyPromoteDismissUndismissHideGo to permalinkAh, the drive through zoo. The place where you get to see animals in a totally unnatural habitat and see some hot lion-on-lion mating action. It's also the place where a filthy camel will try to eat your daughter.


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close up crop from nx100
Started Jul 3, 2011 | Discussions thread
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paulhome • Contributing Member • Posts: 841
close up crop from nx100
Jul 3, 2011
i thought i'd post this crop from nx100 with 20-50mm its a the nearest focal distance, but im quite happy with how sharp its come out.if you zoom in you are seeing it at 100%
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