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Secrets of Success
Living on a Prayer
Tuesday, April 23, 2013
Ok, let's state the obvious before I get into this blog entry- I am obsessive. It's kind of ridiculous. When I want something, I'm proactive, and I do something about it.
I've been this way my whole life. I keep pushing myself past limits I didn't think was possible. Sometimes, (ok more than sometimes), I'm annoying at how obsessive I become about things. In school, I wasn't naturally smart. I worked my butt off, got into grad school, worked my butt off harder than I could ever imagine and landed a great job.
Now, I'm obsessed with work. I get obsessed with networking for work. Basically, if I have my mind set on something, I am a type-A personality who likes to not only get things done, but to "crush it."
Recently, I've been obsessed with natural family planning. It's a data-obsessed female's dream.
So, naturally, I'm obsessed with health, fitness, and my weight. I document everything I eat (all natural, no processed, no sugar, etc.- private message me for details). I take a crazy amount of quality (way too expensive for my budget, but whatever, I still buy them) vitamins. Admittedly, during school and very recently, I've slacked on working out. I'm definitely getting out of that rut and beginning a vigorous workout routine again.
If you haven't followed my blogs, here's the abridged version of my story- I have literally tried everything under the sun and I absolutely, positively cannot lose weight without some miraculous medical intervention. I'm seeing a doctor who is investigating further than any other medical professional I've seen. She's great, but she's stumped. (Private message me if you want to know more)
I saw her for the second time a few weeks ago. Yada yada yada, we have to wait until day 21 of my cycle to test my hormone levels. That's about 9 days away from today. We still may not have any answers. This may just rule out other things.
So why I am living on a prayer? Because, seriously people, this is the ONE thing I have absolutely no control over and I need the spiritual strength to just put my faith in someone or something else and ride it out.
Sure, those who love me will love me for who I am and not what I look like. But I don't feel comfortable in my skin. I feel like this body isn't my own.
It affects my relationship with my husband, my friends, and my professional life. I struggle everyday when I get dressed. I struggle when I look in the mirror. I'm not a struggler- and I'm tired of this fight.
I'm praying every day that God and/or this doctor (both, most likely) will just figure this out for me and get this horrible, gigantic, weight off my shoulders (and waist, and legs, and arms, etc) so I can just live my life (and probably obsess over something else more productive for society).
Anyways, I'm rambling. Thanks for listening Sparkpeople. Sometimes you just have to vent.
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My SparkPage
1129 days ago
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I understand your struggle, my body will fight me to the death, it seems like, to give up just one pound... and then it takes it back at the first opportunity.
I have done everything you are doing now- totally organic, not processed anything.
and so I totally understand. And one day you're going to do something slightly different and your body will say HEY, and give up a few pounds. Then you have to remember what it was that you did differently. But the next time, you'll have to do something else sort of different, your mind wants to keep you on your toes, but your body may want you to play a bit.
I am not going to say "hang in" because you are going to be like me, you are going to find the solution under the obscure rock that you have been walking around for years now.
1132 days ago
Report Inappropriate Comment
My SparkPage
Never give up! There IS a solution out there somewhere.
1133 days ago
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(based on 13 reviews)
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Most Liked Positive Review
Beautifully designed.
Looks gorgeous in the kitchen, and has features galore. The burners are very high quality and placed on the cook top so that the various sized pots & pans do not crowd each...Read complete review
Looks gorgeous in the kitchen, and has features galore. The burners are very high quality and placed on the cook top so that the various sized pots & pans do not crowd each other. The ovens are cook & bake exceptionally well. This Range is loaded with features and wwe have not had or found a dissapointment yet. Great Product!
Most Liked Negative Review
Awesome when it works
We've had this range for a couple of years and have loved it..... up until the electronic board died. We purchased the extended warranty because this is an expensive range and felt...Read complete review
We've had this range for a couple of years and have loved it..... up until the electronic board died. We purchased the extended warranty because this is an expensive range and felt confident that Kithcen aid would stand behind their product. As I write this, we have been without an oven for one month with no end in sight. The extended warranty is not worth the paper it is written on and I strongly advise against purchasing it. I have contacted Kitchen Aid and been told it is the warranty provider issue with zero help from Kitchen Aid (the warranty company is A & E Factory Service). After several attempts with the warranty company to fix my ovens and actually get some one here to fix it, I am feeling forced to hire a professional contractor to make the repairs and pay out of pocket. This will be the last high end range we purchase from Kitchen Aid.
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(5 of 9 customers found this review helpful)
This is AMAZING!!!!!
By Alimony
from Kelowna , BC
Comments about KitchenAid 48" Commercial-Style Dual Fuel Stainless Steel Range:
I can burn everything with this! My lasagna was black! My pork chops were Cajun Blackened chops!Tonight we are going to have over cooked sweet peaches and cream corn and ashened trout. This has definitely made my family feel safer knowing that the smoke detector works. I would recommend that the product comes with a fire extinguisher and a name plate to write emergency numbers on it.
Bottom Line Yes, I would recommend this to a friend
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(2 of 3 customers found this review helpful)
Absolutely fantastic!
By awolracing
from Jupiter, FL
I would not trade my KitchenAid dual fuel range for anything -- without a doubt it is the central focus of my kitchen, an all round workhorse (being used several times per day), and ascetically pleasing to the eye. I have only one negative and that is the digital touch screen controls for the ovens. These touch screens are a pain in the butt for cleaning as they constantly beep even when locked out. But, the preset cooking settings allow for ease of use and accuracy not available with analog controls. All-in-all, an exceptional product!
Images shared by awolracing
KitchenAid 48
Tags: Picture of Product
Cooked perfectly using convection bake
Tags: Made with Product
(8 of 8 customers found this review helpful)
Griddle unsatisfactory
By Tim
from Murphy, NC
The Cooktop is what you expect, fantastic! The ovens work great and we love them. However, the griddle is awful. We make breakfast frequently and used the griddle on our previous Cooktop daily. This one heats SLLOOOOOOOOOWWWW and it is terrible to clean. It's recessed access and lack of ability to remove it for cleaning make this this a disaster. The griddle is awful on an otherwise outstanding appliance.
Bottom Line No, I would not recommend this to a friend
Delivered as advertised!
By B
from Flat Gap, KY
I love the gas range and double oven. Unfortunately, we have well water with high iron content. Until we get city water, anticipated for the Soring of 2016, I am waiting to test the steam assist on Julia Child's famous French baguette. We plan to move in in May, 2016.
(5 of 5 customers found this review helpful)
Literally and figuratively
By OhioCooks
from Columbus, OH
Beautiful stove. As someone who does a lot of cooking and entertaining weekly, I can comment on the convenience and pleasure it has been using such a fine tool. I like the smaller oven, great for smaller amounts of cooking as it preheats quickly. The steam feature has allowed me to make amazing moist turkey, custard without a water bath and breads with amazing crunchy crusts. The 5 burners leave plenty of room to actually use 5 large pots or pans simultaneously. Wonderful. Highly recommend.
(14 of 16 customers found this review helpful)
By Jlm6120
from Holland, Mi
(14 of 17 customers found this review helpful)
Problems as soon as it was plugged in.
By emerica9138
from Red Bank, NJ, United States
Arrived and was installed. Oven doors will not open no matter what is done and the oven lights will not turn off. Kitchenaid is now sending a certified repair company to come fix my brand new 10k range. Buy at your own risk.
(4 of 4 customers found this review helpful)
Excellent customer service
By jsjconst
from Apollo, PA, United States
When we recieved our new range it had some small scratches in the stainless steel shroud around the control panel. Kitchen Aid was quick and efficent to deal with in getting this small issue dealt with in a timely manner.The range is absolutely beautiful and cooks very well. The large burners have pleny of power to boil large pots of water as well as simmer sauces without scorching.
Love it!
By Torch
from Darien, IL, United States
I began using three months ago and am loving every feature. I enjoy trying a new feature everyday. Plus I think it is a beautiful appliance.
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Photo 1
(2 of 7 customers found this review helpful)
Nice features
By Kitchen14
from Warren, NJ, United States
Steam and timer features. Nice design. No cool down program/ fan. Convection and bake work the same way
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- http://twitter.com/bbo13 B-bo
We can certainly attribute some of his struggles in terms of pass rush to lack of interior pressure due to injuries., etc. But when you're talking about the number six pick overall, shouldn't we expect more of him, even without that interior help? If a guy is taken top ten, then you're saying he should ultimately be an elite talent. That talent should be pretty obvious regardless of what the team as a whole does. Mingo has shown flashes, but is far too inconsistent for my tastes. Not writing the kid off, but if the question is was he worth of being picked when he was? To this point, no.
- Big Z
Besides Chance Warmack (and I don't know about Lane Johnson), It could be said that none of the top-10 picks this year really lived up to their expectations. Hopefully Mingo is able to pack on a few pounds during the off-season and improve during his sophmore year.
- Ezzie Goldish
Although Craig's last comment is a fair point, it's also slightly overstated. While some guys are top-notch from their first year, it's not true of all – Gordon showed flashes last year, but even until the last six weeks was only "very good" and not "superstar".
Mingo shows flashes, especially when looking at film. His biggest mistakes seem to come when he either is fooled and gets himself out of position (like that Spiller run) or when he freezes when he's unsure and doesn't want to get out of position (so he ends up just kind of standing there with an OL). When he knows exactly what he wants to do or anticipates correctly, he seems to get there and do his job incredibly well. Since he's a rookie, that's fantastic – the more he sees and learns the more he'll be able to get those reads and make all the plays.
- Ezzie Goldish
Also worth adding that in addition to his defensive skills, the way the Browns run special teams (using a lot of regular D players) may also create another way for him to have game-changing abilities. On punts he is often really close to getting his hand on the ball. Just something to keep an eye on down the line.
- woofersus
Elite talent and elite results are two different things though. We drafted a guy who we knew had a little bit of physical development left to do, and then put him in a new position that he wasn't familiar with. He's certainly showed that talent in flashes, but he's still learning the position. Consistency is a lot more likely to improve than talent. I don't know for sure that it will, but it's obvious he's struggling a little bit with recognition of the play, and I think that's just something he didn't have to do in the same way at LSU.
- http://dawgpounddaily.com/author/markjosephpi/ Mark J
"shouldn't we expect more of him?"
Should we really, though? It'd be one thing if the top 10 picks in every draft came out and played like superstars right from the get-go, but that's not the NFL in 2014.
- Tom Skowronek Jr
"Even Kamerion Wimbley had 11 sacks his rookie year on a 4-12 Browns team" Way to destroy the great point you had been making. He had an amazing rookie year and then NEVER GOT BETTER AND EVEN REGRESSED.
- http://dawgpounddaily.com/author/markjosephpi/ Mark J
I don't want to beat a dead workhorse, but…..
What will last longer, Trent Richardson's NFL career or his mentions in some WFNY articles?
- http://waitingfornextyear.com Craig Lyndall
You may be tired of it, but it's relevant. I'll continue to post about it whenever I find it relevant to do so. Maybe that's continually until the year 2027. Stay tuned.
- http://waitingfornextyear.com Craig Lyndall
A good point.
- http://dawgpounddaily.com/author/markjosephpi/ Mark J
I get that Trent and Barkevious are/were both 1st round picks that were made by the Cleveland Browns, is that the relevance?
Because beyond that, I fail to see the similarities in the players, their positions, their standings as prospects prior to the draft, or their standings within the organization after the draft
- @TheDeePagel
I think it is pretty simple with Mingo: He will be a beast once he fills out….he just needs to physically mature, and by that I mean get bigger which usually happens as you get older. Once this happens, it is clear to me he will be unstoppable.
The 6th round pick debate is real though – should a 6th pick be a stud right away? Usually yes, but then in the same breath we are hoping to draft a QB in the Spring and let him sit and develop…..yet we aren't willing to give Mingo the same option?
I thought it was obvious we picked Mingo for production he will give 3-4 years later….not now.
Maybe I was alone in this.
- bupalos
My concern (as someone who hated the pick but now likes the Mingo) is that I'm not sure the Browns have the right idea about this freakish athlete's proper role. The idea that we pack pounds on him so he can be a better outside rusher is the epitome of the mistake. This guy is a large safety. He needs to become the guy who either runs with the TE or back, anchors the middle of a deep zone, or runs delays and gap blitzes where the QB relaxes a bit and then can't believe how fast he got from there to here. He needs to be in the middle of the action. He needs to be more Polamolu than Wake.
His hand should be on the ground running around the edge maybe 8 times a game. That is nearly all they've done with him, shoot him like a bullet at the back of the pocket. For my money he's too much of a hybrid athletic presence to be shot out of the play 80% of the time.
- maxfnmloans
The question isn't whether Mingo is meeting expectations for a #6 pick. From what I gather, his effort has never been in question, and it is not his fault he was picked #6. He disappears during games for stretches, but has made more than a few "jump off the screen" plays (even some that dont show up in box scores, like hurries or blowing up a lane and causing a play to be re-directed).
My big question is about the people running the show. We were 5-11, needed all sorts of help on the roster, and they picked a situational pass rusher? Because we have time to sit and wait for him to develop? Am I the only who who takes this information, extrapolates, and then gets a know in their stomach when it comes to the 2014 draft?
But again re: Mingo- he has shown flashes of briillance. Hopefully it will only get better. I just don't think using a top 10 pick on "flashes" is the best way to run a railroad…of course, it's not my railroad to run.
- bupalos
I am just fundamentally opposed to packing pounds on guys that run 4.5
You don't need to change what this kid is, you need to use him right.
- maxfnmloans
". He needs to become the guy who either runs with the TE or back, anchors the middle of a deep zone, or runs delays and gap blitzes where the QB relaxes a bit and then can't believe how fast he got from there to here"
This…the new evolution in the NFL (and coming up through CFB) are large TE's that have reciever speed and a catch radius the size of Mars. The guys who are "too fast for LB's but too big for DB's" to cover. Mingo could be that "Weapon X", with the athleticism to keep up and the strength to bring down.
Unfortunately, that might take some doing, as he was not much of a drop into coverage guy in college (I know he did it form time to time, but that's not his forte)
- bupalos
- bupalos
This is exactly my thought, and I still have hopes this is their plan. The guy is clearly very smart, he runs like a gazelle and changes directions on a dime. It will take some coaching up, but this guy needs to be more than a situational rusher.
- bupalos
The jury is still out on Brady Quinn, too.
- Jason Hurley
Mario Williams looked like hot garbage his first year, and got significantly better as a player after his rookie year. It's possible that Mingo could take a big step forward with a full offseason of work with the coaching staff.
- NeedsFoodBadly
All that extra salary cap kanick has been worried about has been secretly funnelled towards adamantium. It's all so clear now.
- Patrick Elder
This was the consensus right after the pick was made, I thought. I'm honestly perplexed that people had higher expectations than what he's shown so far.
He was supposed to simply be a situational pass-rusher. Due to injuries, he was forced into playing more and has had his ups and downs. He's flashed some brilliance and made some rookie mistakes.
I'm perfectly pleased with what he's shown us.
- BenRM
While it doesn't show up on the stats sheet, I think we should also note how many penalties Mingo has drawn. A hold is just about as good as a sack.
- BenRM
- Daniel Carroll
Wasn't Trent Richardson ONLY mentioned because he was our first round pick last year? I don't see this as being about T-Rich at all. He was just mentioned as a prism to look though as they started to discuss Mingo.
I think its valid. The TRich trade should be mentioned as we look towards 2014 because it's going to have a huge impact on the draft. Saw someone going on and on about this same sentiment on Twitter. Kind of a stupid thing to get your panties in a twist about. Its not like we traded him 5 years ago, he was on the team THIS YEAR. Its totally valid and I don't understand the attack on WFNY for it.
- http://waitingfornextyear.com/ Scott @ WFNY
Boy are the panties going to get a'bunched next week as we roll on with the Top 10 stories of 2013.
Cheers, Dan.
- http://dawgpounddaily.com/author/markjosephpi/ Mark J
But what's the prism, that they're both 1st round picks? Any comparison between the players ends there as far as I can see.
One guy was supposed to be a NFL ready workhorse running back that was traded up for by the previous regime, and the other guy was/is a developmental pass rusher who wasn't slated to play full time when he was drafted by the current regime
I don't get the comparison, the prism, or the relevance. Honestly.
- Daniel Carroll
Merry Christmas and cheers to you as well!
- The_Matt_Of_Akron
Mingo just pawn in game of football.
- http://twitter.com/bbo13 B-bo
If this were a team that is generally well put together and simply driven to a down year by key injuries, then you have the luxury of drafting on potential and athleticism and molding the guy to a new position. This is a bad team in need of impact players, not projects. Taking a guy that high tells me you think he can provide that sooner rather than later. This isn't quite as frustrating as the Cavs and the Anthony Bennett Experience, but it's still worrisome. Mingo needn't be LT 2.0 right out of the gate, but this has been underwhelming to say the least.
- Big Z
Ansah is 40th in the league with 7 sacks. Most of them came in 2 games. He has less tackles than Mingo and been injured quite a bit as well. And regardless of your beliefs the coaching staff will beef Mingo up in the offseason.
- Big Z
The only expectation that I had for him was to make an impact. In my opinion, he's fallen short of that. Many DE prospects that have been selected high in the draft over the last few years have gotten off to slow starts then started being productive later on. Hopefully Mingo follows suit.
- mgbode
candygram for Mingo. candygram for Mingo.
- http://dawgpounddaily.com/author/markjosephpi/ Mark J
I'm just saying the expectations may be a little high for ANY #6 pick.
Look back through the recent NFL draft, look at the 6-10 guys, very few took the NFL by storm.
- bupalos
While 7 sacks in the snaps he's played leads all rookies and is nothing to sneeze at, D line is about a lot more than sacks. I think in a redraft right now he would go 1-3. He stuffs the run and gets sacks and plays the screen beautifully. They are sometimes playing him inside in a wide-9 and he just about always takes two blockers and provides a push and opens a hole for someone else to get a sack.
He's already a force. He's been playing football 3 years.
Mingo I don't know. I think maybe more like #10-15. The trend in college of not being able to beat any block he can't run around is just as evident. He is never going to be adequate in the power department. When blockers get on him, he absolutely disappears. His physical type is simply different and while I'm not disputing they may make the mistake of trying to create Cameron Wake, I do think that would be a mistake. He's got the brain and body to be more than that.


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text:
xB - Scion 07
Scion seems to get urban design. The 07 xB is Hip-Hop ready in every way. Personally I'd like to see someone chop the xB into a hot rod. I wonder what is going on at Ford...?
Gil Scott-Heron 2010, maybe this is all that one needs to say. Sounds like a Grammy to me.Tags: music, poetry, Cool Hunting, mp3, records, downloads, hip hop, blues, streaming musicAdded 5 Years Ago from Gilscottheron


text: tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-66578788128840819882016-05-24T08:40:39.401+01:00Musings of a DurotriganDurotriganhttp://firstname.lastname@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-6657878812884081988.post-83348228733296909752015-03-31T18:38:00.000+01:002015-03-31T18:44:15.237+01:00The Last Post <!--[if gte mso 9]> <![endif]-->Well readers (yes, I know that there are at least two of you, so I'm feeling justified in employing the plural), the time has come to call it a day with respect to this blog, and Durotrigan will henceforth be posting no more. For the occasional stray detractor who happens upon this news, this will doubtless be a cause for some satisfaction, whereas for Durotriganhttp://firstname.lastname@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-6657878812884081988.post-42006742452970516172015-03-07T08:32:00.000+00:002015-03-07T08:35:00.576+00:00EDL Manchester Demo Video <!--[if gte mso 9]> <![endif]-->Prompted by the Muslim Action Forum's demand that we submit, respect and pay homage to the child-raping false prophet named Mohammed so as not to offend their supporters' sensibilities, it seems worth noting that today in Manchester city centre the EDL will be holding a demo highlighting the ongoing issue of Muslim grooming gangs, for it seems that the Durotriganhttp://firstname.lastname@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-6657878812884081988.post-23207212499857228032015-03-02T08:20:00.000+00:002015-03-02T08:20:52.899+00:00UKIP if you want to, but don't get caught napping <!--[if gte mso 9]> <![endif]--> <!--[if gte mso 9]> Normal 0 false false false EN-GB X-NONE X-NONE <![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 9]> Durotriganhttp://email@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-6657878812884081988.post-68531382802758639682015-02-28T17:06:00.002+00:002015-02-28T17:15:19.752+00:00Pegida UK Newcastle Demo: Analysis and Videos <!--[if gte mso 9]> <![endif]--> <!--[if gte mso 9]> Normal 0 false false false EN-GB X-NONE X-NONE <![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 9]> Durotriganhttp://firstname.lastname@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-6657878812884081988.post-44647237729998494632015-02-28T11:32:00.000+00:002015-02-28T11:33:06.056+00:00'A country in which words are met with bullets, and choked with blood', Novaya Gazeta <!--[if gte mso 9]> Normal 0 false false false EN-GB X-NONE X-NONE <![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 9]> Durotriganhttp://email@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-6657878812884081988.post-83852216234637789422015-02-27T07:58:00.001+00:002015-02-27T07:58:57.785+00:00Interesting Pegida UK Poster This Pegida UK poster seems to have hit the nail on the head with respect to where the real dangers lie with respect to the growth of Islamism in the UK: firstly, a political class that fosters acceptance of Islam, facilitates its growth and prevents it from being criticised for what it is - innately aggressive and imperialistic; secondly, a mass media that brands anyone who does anything Durotriganhttp://email@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-6657878812884081988.post-27997130266908493882015-02-25T23:08:00.001+00:002015-02-27T07:24:08.585+00:0070% of French prison population is Muslim So Newsnight stated this evening. A remarkable figure, certainly, but a surprising one? Islam and France are not compatible, insofar as a vanishingly small percentage of Muslims entertain the concept of secularism. No Muslim who rejects secularism is anything other than an existential threat to France, and to the French way of life. Durotriganhttp://email@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-6657878812884081988.post-63004232292932004902015-02-25T19:46:00.001+00:002015-02-25T19:47:00.161+00:00Fanning Russophobia: Fallon's Follies <!--[if gte mso 9]> <![endif]-->Today, Defence Secretary Michael Fallon announced that the UK was sending 75 military personnel to Ukraine, albeit not in a combat role. His rationalisation for this unwarranted move was to "build up the capacity and resilience" of the Ukrainian military. Shamefully, this move was also backed by the Labour Party, but Tory MP Sir Edward Leigh had the sense Durotriganhttp://email@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-6657878812884081988.post-60685387729833460972015-02-24T21:33:00.000+00:002015-02-24T21:34:38.926+00:00Channel 4's Immigration Celebration <!--[if gte mso 9]> <![endif]--> <!--[if gte mso 9]> Normal 0 false false false EN-GB X-NONE X-NONE <![endif]-->Channel 4 is seemingly going into overdrive in the run-up to the election, churning out a greater than usual stream of pro-mass immigration propaganda. Durotriganhttp://email@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-6657878812884081988.post-37131471561364485112015-02-23T21:39:00.001+00:002015-02-23T21:45:50.708+00:00Review: 'Children of the Great Migration', Panorama, BBC1 This evening, the BBC decided to launch an attempt to tug at the heartstrings and to win yet more support for unrestricted mass immigration into the EU in general, and the UK in particular. Its advance publicity for the programme read: They cross six thousand miles of desert and sea to reach Europe, children travelling alone, on the world's most dangerous migration route. Some of them are as Durotriganhttp://email@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-6657878812884081988.post-59411331118352474392015-02-23T07:36:00.000+00:002015-02-23T21:47:55.661+00:00UKIP Clowns: 'Meet the Ukippers' <!--[if gte mso 9]> <![endif]-->Last weekend Channel 4 launched its anti-UKIP pre-election campaign with its docudrama 'UKIP: The First 100 Days', and yesterday evening the BBC waded in with its own effort in the form of a fly-on-the-wall documentary about local UKIP party members in Thanet South, where Nigel Farage is mounting his bid for a Westminster seat in May. As was to be expected,Durotriganhttp://firstname.lastname@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-6657878812884081988.post-43059416114720754762015-02-23T07:05:00.002+00:002015-02-23T07:37:02.217+00:00Jack Straw and Malcolm Rifkind: Pounds Sterling, or Yuan? <!--[if gte mso 9]> <![endif]-->Oh dear. Jack Straw and Malcolm Rifkind have both been caught out in a sting operation staged by the Daily Telegraph and Channel 4's Dispatches. The former Foreign Secretaries revealed that they were willing to sell their services to a fictitious Chinese company, with Straw providing the bargain-basement option, only asking for £5,000 – "So normally, if I'mDurotriganhttp://firstname.lastname@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-6657878812884081988.post-24892452565645837982015-02-21T15:22:00.000+00:002015-02-21T16:14:52.195+00:00Who will govern after 7 May 2015? Readers' opinions <!--[if gte mso 9]> <![endif]-->This year's General Election promises to be the most unpredictable in living memory. For months, as assiduously documented by UK Polling Report, opinion polls have shown a narrow gap between the two leading parties – Labour and Conservative – with the former generally maintaining a narrow lead over the latter. However, this promises to be no typical GeneralDurotriganhttp://email@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-6657878812884081988.post-56837611652598395572015-02-18T17:48:00.000+00:002015-02-21T15:39:02.813+00:00Richard Dawkins interviewed by Evan Davis Evan Davis is the sort of man that Islamists believe should be thrown to his death from the top of a tall building. This is not some lurid exaggeration, but a sad statement of fact, but for Davis, as for so many others at the BBC, the concept of the existence of clear, incontrovertible facts is viewed as something unsettling, rather than being something that should be acknowledged. Not so for Durotriganhttp://email@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-6657878812884081988.post-56804654394964252812015-02-17T18:09:00.000+00:002015-02-17T18:14:04.170+00:00Dire: 'UKIP: The First 100 Days' Should national broadcasters be permitted to run 'docudramas' with the intent of interfering in the political process during the run-up to a General Election? Last night's Channel 4 offering, 'UKIP: The First 100 Days', was as predictable and dull as it was woodenly acted and blatantly partisan. How could a review conclude anything else? (Admittedly, I've not read the Guardian review, so it Durotriganhttp://firstname.lastname@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-6657878812884081988.post-49786086135681497242015-02-13T11:23:00.000+00:002015-02-17T18:12:44.436+00:00George Galloway calls for Newcastle Pegida protest to be banned Ever mindful of the sensibilities of his vocal Muslim constituents, Respect MP George Galloway has called for the banning of the Pegida protest planned to take place in Newcastle on 28 February. If it does go ahead, he'll doubtless be there for 'jolly japes' with his Trotskyist friends from their front group UAF, or some quasi-'community' unity group organised by them. Is Galloway a democrat? NoDurotriganhttp://email@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-6657878812884081988.post-10013268183424361622015-02-11T22:44:00.001+00:002015-02-27T08:01:08.202+00:00Pegida UK comes to Newcastle: Saturday 28 February 2015 <!--[if gte mso 9]> <![endif]-->What do Newcastle and Dresden have in common? The answer is Pegida demonstrations, or at least, that is the intention, for an announcement has been made that Pegida UK will hold its first demonstration in Newcastle at the end of this month. The Pegida movement, born last year in Dresden, is spreading beyond the country of its birth at a time when the Durotriganhttp://email@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-6657878812884081988.post-48357895121411716232015-02-10T21:51:00.002+00:002015-02-11T08:00:32.212+00:00Review: 'Digging for Britain', Episode 2, BBC4 <!--[if gte mso 9]> <![endif]-->This evening's 'Digging for Britain', the second in the series, moved location from Norfolk to the Dorset County Museum in Dorchester, to focus upon some of the more significant archaeological discoveries made in the West Country during 2014. One theme which ran through much of the programme was the question as to what extent the population of the region Durotriganhttp://firstname.lastname@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-6657878812884081988.post-29482727442340750972015-02-09T22:12:00.001+00:002015-02-09T22:32:09.760+00:00Not my Compatriots: 100,000 Colonists Pictured below are the representatives of what could readily be termed 'the enemy within.' Why might they be termed as such? They were pictured yesterday submitting a petition to Downing Street bearing the signatures of 100,000 Muslim residents of the UK calling for free speech to be snuffed out. Not one individual who signed this petition is fit to be called a compatriot, whether they happen toDurotriganhttp://firstname.lastname@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-6657878812884081988.post-20732703238322412922015-02-09T19:42:00.001+00:002015-02-09T19:43:15.536+00:00SNP: 'The more seats we have here, the more powers we'll have in Scotland.' <!--[if gte mso 9]> <![endif]-->Thus runs the slogan on the first welcome image (reproduced below) displayed on the SNP's website landing page. However, for the English this statement, given projections regarding the possible composition of the next House of Commons, would be better displayed next to the SNP's peculiar logo, which looks for all the world like a noose. Opinion polls Durotriganhttp://firstname.lastname@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-6657878812884081988.post-76732987699130703812015-02-08T08:30:00.000+00:002015-02-08T10:28:13.218+00:00Readers' General Election Poll Results <!--[if gte mso 9]> <![endif]--> <!--[if gte mso 9]> Normal 0 false false false EN-GB X-NONE X-NONE <![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 9]> Durotriganhttp://email@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-6657878812884081988.post-87143406613537259872015-02-07T09:17:00.001+00:002015-02-09T18:38:42.466+00:00Sarah Champions intimidation in Rotherham Yesterday's anti-UKIP protest in Rotherham, staged by a group of trade union and far-left militants, was endorsed by incumbent Labour MP Sarah Champion, who apparently found it "hilarious" that Nigel Farage was "trapped inside the Rotherham UKIP shop". As we live in a nominal democracy, it seems peculiar that an MP who claims to subscribe to democratic principles not only believes that it is Durotriganhttp://firstname.lastname@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-6657878812884081988.post-54630420949495221972015-02-06T08:04:00.001+00:002015-02-06T13:20:23.055+00:00Green Party Immigration Policy: Reckless and Destructive <!--[if gte mso 9]> <![endif]--> Feeling tempted to vote Green? Then think again. Yesterday, the Green Party Leader Natalie Bennett sought to grab the headlines by announcing that the Greens wish to increase spending on social housing from £1.5 billion to £6 billion per annum by 2017, building an additional 500,000 rented 'homes' by this year. 'Homes'? What form would these 'homes' take? Durotriganhttp://firstname.lastname@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-6657878812884081988.post-43204992922534973422015-02-05T13:47:00.000+00:002015-02-05T13:47:27.484+00:00Suzanne Evans pulls out of Question Time This is disappointing news, that caused George Galloway to issue a tweet stating 'UKIP have pulled out of tonight's Question Time. Cowards.' Hardly fair, given that Evans is ill. Galloway was therefore forced to eat his words. Durotriganhttp://firstname.lastname@example.com:blogger.com,1999:blog-6657878812884081988.post-3851863234560979252015-02-05T07:45:00.000+00:002015-02-05T12:59:37.952+00:00Question Time: George Galloway versus Jonathan Freedland? Tonight's Question Time will be broadcast from Finchley, and judging from the panel it seems that it has been set up to engineer a confrontation between George Galloway and "Liberal Zionist" and Guardian journalist, Jonathan Freedland. Presumably, Tower Hamlets would have been Galloway's preferred London location, taking into account his ethno-confessional predilections, but instead he finds Durotriganhttp://firstname.lastname@example.com


text:
Tupperware HTF Taco Burrito Tortilla Warmers Holder LOT
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- Item Category: Furniture & Furnishings
- Source: eBay
- Sold Date: May 06, 2010
- Channel: Auction House
Tupperware HTF Taco Burrito Tortilla Warmers Holder LOTDescription :
Great Lot of Tupperware hard to find serving pieces for Tacos & Burritos!Included: 11 - almond color single taco holders 1 - brown color tortilla warmer with seal approx 8.5" across inside bowl & 2.5" deep 1 - almond color tortilla warmer with seal (size same as brown one) **warm tortillas up in microwave in container or place oven warmed ones in container - container is NOT for oven use 1 - almond color divided dish with dip dish & seal with lid that doubles as chip tray or ?? All pieces are in good to very good used condition with evidence of previous use such as surface scratches. No smells, burn/melt marks or stains. Seals fit as they should. Washing is recommended before use!! Please email me with any questions you may have PRIOR to bidding on auction or clicking on the "Buy It Now" button! Returns ONLY if item is not as described NOT because it is used. Please check my feedback score THEN bid/buy with CONFIDENCE !! I am happy to combine shipping!! Please visit my store! Shipping :
I ship within 3 days of cleared payment; holidays & weekends excluded HOWEVER Parcel Post can be slow and take up to 10 days or more to arrive. If you need item sooner PLEASE pay for Priority Mail shipping!! Please contact me if you have any problems with your item once it arrives - I strive for repeat business & top rating scores!! Thank you so much!!
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I accept PayPal only & payment is due within 3 days of auction ending or "Buy it Now" purchase. Please email me if you need more time!! Buyer to pay all shipping & handling fees!


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15 Potentially Massive Threats To The U.S. Economy Over The Next 12 Months
Courtesy of Michael Snyder, Economic Collapse
We live in a world that is becoming increasingly unstable, and the potential for an event that could cause "sudden change" to the U.S. economy is greater than ever. There are dozens of potentially massive threats that could easily push the U.S. economy over the edge during the next 12 months. A war in the Middle East, a financial collapse in Europe, a major derivatives crisis or a horrific natural disaster could all change our economic situation very rapidly.
Most of the time I write about the long-term economic trends that are slowly but surely ripping the U.S. economy to pieces, but the truth is that just a single really bad "black swan event" over the next 12 months could accelerate our economic problems dramatically. If oil was cut off from the Middle East or a really bad natural disaster suddenly destroyed a major U.S. city, the U.S. economy would be thrown into a state of chaos. Considering how bad the U.S. economy is currently performing, it would be easy to see how a major "shock to the system" could push us into the "next Great Depression" very easily. Let us hope that none of these things actually happen over the next 12 months, but let us also understand that we live in a world that has become extremely chaotic and extremely unstable.
In the list below, you will find some "sudden change" events that are somewhat likely and some that are quite unlikely. I have tried to include a broad range of potential "black swan events", but there are certainly dozens more massive threats that could potentially be listed.
The following are 15 potentially massive threats to the U.S. economy over the next 12 months....
#1 War With Syria - U.S. Senator John McCain is now publicly calling for U.S. airstrikes against Syria. A military conflict with Syria becomes more likely with each passing day.
#2 War With Iran - A war in the Middle East involving Iran could literally erupt at any time. The following is from a Reuters news report that was issuedon Monday....
President Barack Obama appealed to Benjamin Netanyahu on Monday to give sanctions time to curb Iran's nuclear ambitions, but the Israeli prime minister offered no sign of backing away from possible military action, saying his country must be the "master of its fate."
#3 A Disorderly Greek Debt Default - Many reporters in Europe seem to think that this is becoming increasingly likely. So what would a disorderly Greek debt default mean for the global financial system? A leaked report that was authored by the Institute of International Finance says that a disorderlyGreek debt default would have some very serious consequences. You can read the full text of that leaked report right here.
#4 An Economic Collapse In Spain - Spain has one of the largest economies in Europe and it is rapidly becoming a basket case. As I have written about previously, the unemployment rate in Spain has hit 19.9 percent, and the unemployment rate for workers under the age of 25 is up to 49.9 percent. Unfortunately, the situation in Spain continues to deteriorate. The following is from a recent article by Marc Chandler....
However, the devolution in Spain is particularly troubling. The new fiscal compact had just been signed last week, which includes somewhat more rigorous fiscal rule and enforcement, when Spain's PM Rajoy revealed that this year's deficit would come in around 5.8 percent of GDP rather the 4.4 percent target. This of course follows last year's 8.5 percent overshoot of the 6 percent target.
The problem that for Spain is that the 4.4 percent target was based on forecasts for more than 2 percent growth this year. However, in late February, the EU cuts its forecast to a 1 percent contraction. This still seems optimistic. The IMF forecasts a 1.7 percent contraction, which the Spanish government now accepts.
#5 The Price Of Gasoline - The average price of a gallon of gasoline in the United States has risen for 27 days in a row and is now up to $3.77. Virtually all forms of economic activity are affected by the price of gasoline, and if the price of gas keeps going up it is eventually going to have dramatic consequences for the U.S. economy.
#6 The Student Loan Debt Bubble - Just like we saw with the housing bubble, the student loan debt bubble just continues to grow and grow and grow. At some point the nearly 1 trillion dollar bubble is going to burst. What effect will it have on our financial system when that finally happens?
#7 State And Local Government Debt Crisis - It is being reported that California is running out of cash again and there are cities all over the country that are on the verge of bankruptcy. Could we see a significant municipal bond crisis in the next 12 months?
#8 The Collapse Of A Major U.S. Bank - A number of top U.S. banks are looking increasingly shaky. In a recent article, David Trainer explained why he has such serious concerns about Bank of America right now....
In my opinion, there are four actions taken by financial services that signal the company is headed to serious trouble.
1. Management shake-up and major layoffs - lots of layoffs over the past year
2. Exploiting accounting rules to boost earnings - SFAS 159
3. Drawing down reserves to boost earnings: to the tune of $13.3 billion in 2011 and 2012
4. Bilking customers with new fees: tried it before and trying it again
Bank of America has taken all four steps.
#9 A Derivatives Crisis - The International Swaps and Derivatives Association recently ruled that the Greek debt deal will not trigger payouts on credit default swaps. This is seriously shaking confidence in the global market for derivatives. But the global financial system simply cannot afford a major derivatives crisis.
Estimates of the notional value of the worldwide derivatives market range from $600 trillion all the way up to $1.5 quadrillion. The notional value of all derivatives held by Bank of America is approximately $75 trillion. JPMorgan Chase is holding derivatives with a notional value of approximately $79 trillion.
When the derivatives bubble finally bursts it is going to be a financial horror show unlike anything we have ever seen.
#10 The Fall Of The Japanese Economy - The Japanese economy shrankat a 2.3 percent rate during the fourth quarter of 2011. Japan has a debt to GDP ratio of over 200 percent and a major debt crisis involving Japan could erupt at any time.
#11 A "Solar Megastorm" - Scientists tell us that there is a "1 in 8 chance" that a "solar megastorm" will hit the earth by 2014. A recent Daily Mail article detailed what some of the consequences of such an event would be....
'We live in a cyber cocoon enveloping the Earth. Imagine what the consequences might be,' Daniel Baker, of the University of Colorado's Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics told National Geographic when asked about a potential 'megastorm'.
'Every time you purchase a gallon of gas with your credit card, that's a satellite transaction.
'Imagine large cities without power for a week, a month, or a year. The losses could be $1 to $2 trillion, and the effects could be felt for years.
#12 A Major West Coast Earthquake Or Volcanic Eruption - On Monday, there was a 4.0 earthquake in San Francisco and a 6.1 earthquake in Argentina. Is the "Ring of Fire" waking up again?
#13 Tornado Damage To Major U.S. Cities - Last year, the U.S. experienced one of the worst tornado seasons of all time. This year, we have already seen the worst tornado outbreak ever recorded in the United States in the month of March. A couple of towns in Indiana were completely wiped out by that outbreak. So what should we expect when we get to the heart of tornado season this year?
#14 Severe Drought In The United States - Last summer was one of the driest summers on record in the United States, and in many areas there is simply not enough water available for farmers this year. Some are even projecting that we could see "dust bowl conditions" return to some areas of the country eventually.
#15 An Asteroid Strike In 2013 - Although scientists tell us that the probability is extremely low, the truth is that there is a slight chance that a sizeable asteroid could hit the earth in February 2013. The asteroid is estimated to be between 60 and 100 meters wide, and it is projected to pass by our planet "at a distance of under 27,000 km". If it did hit us (and scientists say that the odds of that happening are very low) it would potentially be as serious an event as the Tunguska Event in Siberia in 1908. Mac Slavo of shtfplan.com recently described how awesome the Tunguska Event really was....
On June 30, 1908 an incoming meteor exploded approximately 5 miles above Siberia. The force of the air burst explosion, estimated at between 15 and 30 megatons, or about 1000 times bigger than the atomic bomb that destroyed Hiroshima, was so powerful that it annihilated everything in an 830 square mile area, and reports suggest that that explosion was heard up to 1000 miles away. Because of the remoteness of the impact zone, the Tunguska Event over Siberia had very little effect on the human population in the region, but the destruction of some 80 million trees in the area shows just how powerful a blast was created.
Of course there are so many other "sudden change" events that could potentially happen - a terror event in a major U.S. city, a deadly pandemic, an EMP attack, cyberterrorism or a major political scandal could all possibly cause a stock market crash and an economic collapse in the United States.
In the world that we are living in today, you just never know what is going to happen.
So what are all of you concerned about over the next 12 months?
Do you see the potential for some "black swan events" to happen?
Please feel free to post a comment with your thoughts below....
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Yes, the Assteroid:
Would any gubbermint admit it was going to hit and cause chaos before impact?
Hell no.
There would be chaos to deal with enough after the strike....
On a good note, however, it might land on O'Bama.
FBI arrests members of Anonymous and LULZ SEC. - oops, already happened.
FBI cracks LulzSec ring with help of top hacker
Okay, I could run out of vodka after the liquor store closed for the night. HORRORS!
The worst Black Swan Event
Barack Hussein Obama being reelected.
"So what should we expect when we get to the heart of tornado season this year?"
Endless newspaper articles insisting that global warming (er climate change) caused the tornados and that we must put up more windmills and solar panels and drive Volts.
So presumably if the big 5 banks, when they renege on paying out on their CDS obligations, will have their banking licences stripped from them.
Or is that only in a parallel universe?
nearly everything you mention is POSITIVE, the only reason the economy will collapse is when there is no reason for government to print more money. the old adage goes, that a market is like a shark, it has to keep swimming. although if derivatives went south again that would do it.
right now they're sitting on pins and needles hoping asset prices don't collapse to a level where economic activity would begin to pick up, high oil prices make them feel good, because the wall of commodity prices moves as one, and one brick out of the wall leads to another. if oil collapses, and it should, because the natgas/ wti spread on a equivalent BTU basis is the biggest phony crack spread ever formed by a dishonest cartel. when it gives expect oil to follow NG, (which is one reason why POTUS keeps hims mouth shut about oil, if half the cars in the US ran NG, then oil would come crashing down, (think Exxon, Chevron, BP, all Dow darlings being lead to the slaughter)
a rational man would have expected the POTUS to force prices lower to give the economy a kick in the ass. this guy could disappear and the market would be up 1000 pts the next day just on the GOOD ECONOMIC NEWS, and the new guy would guarantee plenty of QE just to be sure. which is what the new guy should try by the way, when you see money supply going up, and interest rates going up, then buy with both hands (that was Greenspans finest hour by the way)
In the West, in the Summer,
there is always Fire...
But mostly, I worry about the creeping rise of the corporate state, where the world of freedom ends, not with a bang, not with a black swan event, but with 'thunderous applause':
number 1, as it is the likeliest. mossad false flag attack on usa soil bigger than wtc blamed upon iran.
But Ilene, we only have 8.3 percent of the population unemployed and the economy is roaring along. Why shucks, we came out of the last recession in June of 2009. That was ages ago. Relax, its all good!
How about some white swans:
1. Goldman Sachs goes broke
2. Goldman Sachs goes broke
3. Gold man Sachs goes broke
and that's not all. How about:
4. Goldman Sachs goes broke
5. Goldman Sachs goes broke
6. Goldman Sachs goes broke
"As I have written about previously, the unemployment rate in Spain has hit 19.9 percent, and the unemployment rate for workers under the age of 25 is up to 49.9 percent. Unfortunately, the situation in Spain continues to deteriorate."
Wait a minute...I thought Spain did the whole "green thang" years before we started.
Where'd these damned figures come from? This can't be true...O'Barry promised ten million "green jobs"...
"Optimistically treating European Commission partially funded data
"Optimistically treating European Commission partially funded data, we find that for every renewable energy job that the State manages to finance, Spain's experience cited by President Obama as a model reveals with high confidence, by two different methods, that the U.S. should expect a loss of at least 2.2 jobs on average, or about 9 jobs lost for every 4 created, to which we have to add those jobs that non-subsidized investments with the same resources would have created."
No, he promised 10mil$ to the phony green energy firm who bundled campaign cash.
Maybe he will fall into a crowd of OWS zombies and go away.
It's rather like Biden getting a Fisker auto plant in Delaware isn't it?
A one hundred thousand dollar "hybrid" for the masses...what a deal or not...lol.
DOVER, Del. (AP) — Fisker Automotive, an electric car maker that received a half-billion-dollar loan from the federal government, said Monday that it has laid off workers in Delaware and California.
The layoffs include 26 workers at a former General Motors plant in Wilmington that Fisker is retooling to manufacture its Nina plug-in hybrid sedan. Another 40 contractors and employees who were working in design and development of Fisker's Karma luxury car in Anaheim, Calif., also have been cut.
The layoffs come as Fisker is seeking to renegotiate its loan agreement with the Department of Energy.
Fisker has received $193 million of the $529 million DOE loan, mostly for work on the Karma, which sells for about $100,000. The introduction of the Karma was delayed because of regulatory issues and battery pack problems that prompted a voluntary safety recall by Fisker.
Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/leisure/2012/02/07/fisker-announces-layoffs-as-company-misses-targets-has-doe-loans-frozen/#ixzz1oOIvVOhW
It's gotta be said: "Sounds like bad Karma!"
Kinda sad, I guess, if you value earth dispoiling extraction oriented jobs at all costs.
I don't mind taking advantage of the Dollar Collapse.
I adhere to our history since prior to the Founding Fathers and follow the lessons learned.
However if that big rock falls to earth, you will find me and a girl sitting by the river with smokes and drinks enjoying life.
My mind set is driven by having escaped, cheated or otherwise got Death out of my world a few times or saved some lives. To survive and emerge into a wasteland will not be a wanted result.
I guarantee that whatever black swan gets us, it will be like a lead left hook, completely unpredicted and unpredictable.
Lead left: hardest punch to throw in boxing and most effective cause it comes out of NOWHERE
Where's Tyson?
A Black swan event is NOT an unexpected event. It is an event that the majority have assigned a lower probability of occurring than is, in fact, the reality.
For example: The sunstorm has 1 in 8 chance of occuring. If one were betting on it, one would offer less than an 8 to 1 payoff. If, in fact, the probability is actually 3 in 8 - then the person offering the payoff would likelly lose - if not this time, then over all the bets.
Options work this way. This is why we see the volatility smile. It is market specialists increasing the spread on the far OTM options because bitter experience has taught them that the tails of the distribution of stock prices are fatter at the extreme than the Black-Scholes model (and the normal distribution) imply.
16. Category 3 or 4 Hurricane that goes up the Chesapeake Bay or hits the NYC/Boston area. Allianz Insurance has estimated the cost at $1 Trillion. Came very close last summer, but the eyewall collapsed right before reaching land. Stay tuned folks, the La Nina is over now....
Ground Control to Major Tom 10
Ground Control to Major Tom 9
# 16. Barney Frank shelves retirement and decides to go on, ruining America
#16: Newt Wins!
#17: Newt Loses!
#18: Ron Paul Wins!
#19: Argentina Invades Falkland Islands Again!
#20: North Korea Seeks Reunification Talks w/ South Korea!
#21: Tibet Revolts!
#22: Milk and Gasoline both cost $5.00 a gallon!
#23: DJIA and Gold Prices Cross Again!
What is missed in the report is that immediately right after the black swan event, god will descend from the heaven and stand next Santorum. Or better yet he will descend from heaven onto Santorum's shoulder and as he perches on Santorum's shoulder he will bring about the rapture as the Iran and the rest of the world burn. Everywhere burns except an area of 50 miles radius around Santorum.
The Sanctum Santorum.
How about revising to the 15 greatest threats to the private bank cartel families. Then the 15 greatest threats to the Federal Reserve staff. The more bankers, hedge fund managers, and day traders destitute, unemployed, broke, tossed out onto their ass, and on food stamps, the better the world will be.
Chart how many jobs in the finance sector were created right before and right after the repeal of Glass-Steagall and the creation of secondary derivatives instruments, in conjunction with CDOs, CDO squared. The people connected with these should be broke and unemployed.
If we need banks, we have the state bank of North Dakota. I'd shut down Wall Street for a year. razor wire, guards stationed on top the building, Uzi machine guns, anything to shut it down and keep it shut down. There are other stock exchanges and other governments don't permit the crap that goes on in the US. Get rid of lobbying in the finance sector. Then let's assess.
Any of those would give the Dow an easy thousand points UP. The only black swan that could bring down this market would be that asteroid hitting the center of New York City.
A Black Swan is an identified event that is catastrophic if it occurs, but which has a low probability of ocurirng. This article identifies 15 events, any one or combination of which should not be a surprise in retrospect--except for its timing. What makes Black Swans even worse is that there is little or no preparation in advance despite our knowledge that an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure.
Number 21 - Ron Paul does not get elected to POTUS. Either OBummer or RomRumGrinch will just continue the slide into Dante's Inferno...sheesh.
well seriously...if a meteor strike is on the list you might a well put in plagues and locusts....and wild fires...let's not forget the wildfires.
N. Korea explodes, Civil War in China, Obama make major miscalculation throws group under bus and violence begats counter violence. Yellowstone erupts, Madrid fault let's go, It is revealed that the Instapundit uses LIVE puppies for his smooothines. Some kitchen scientist discovers how to do cold fusion with easily accessible stuff and post the procedure on the Internet (OK, Ahkbar,Step away from the blender, drop the banana and put down the carbon black). New TV show special effects indurces epilepsy in 80% of the viewers. Price of aluminum foil puts protection of paranoids on fixed income out of reach (get off of me!) Aliens from outerspace invade, lose, and demand citizenship and aid, 'cause they can't open new resturants since they are not allowed to serve man (eurp).
N. Korea explodes. Good riddance. A country with no sense of humor and no bowling alleys. White swan.
Obama miscalculation: No. 5293 and counting and who cares? Authority is a joke. That's just life in the land of hope and change. Get your food stamps while you can. White swan.
Yellowstone erupts: A couple thousand tourists are boiled. If Yogi Bear survives, he will be eating like a king for months.
Madrid Fault. Chicago is destroyed, leveled. The state of Illinois is devastated. Modern day Sodom and Gomorah. A fitting end. I'm no fan of organized religion but when that many crooked politicos are anhilated, the hand of providence is apparent. That one might even get me to go to mass again.
I love the Instapundit one. He wields a mighty web page, but it ain't a game changer.
Cold fusion. I assume your not talking about the coffee concentrate but rather power. White swan.
All reality TV induces toxic boredom in 99 percent of all viewers yet "people" are transfixed by the antics of the Kardashians. Zombie prep is essential. Instapundit would agree.
Here is a potential black swan for you: Price inflation makes meds too expensive. Imagine a society without Xanax and Cymbalta (not to mention Viagra...) I shudder at the thought.
Aliens visit, lose, become cheap labor for Apple. AAPL price quadruples.
White linings abound
Yellowstone erupts: The last super volcano eruption wiped over 90% of the human race at the time. No real bright side on that one.
Madrid Fault: Also wipes out Memphrika.
All these black swans around, how bout easing your mind some with
'White Bird'
Its a Beautiful Day
I see something more vague, less an "event" than a continued disintegration (true form: dis-integration) of value and trust in government authority. And not to sound naive or simple minded but that the possiblity for a rapid unraveling of control is becoming more plausible on all levels of society. I don't believe it will be led by any one catalyst. And at this point, when trust erodes completely, I don't think precious metals will have any value. Clean water and food will be the only currency until some form of order is restored. After that - comes another very dark age.
Jar Jar Binks getting his own talk show. (scary!)
Here is a very short and appropriate video for this post:
You are not safe!!! I love the flying rock in space part!
"Some of these 15 swans are blacker than others..."
No offense meant, but are those from Nigeria? You know, the ones that have a deal to offer you.
Just my take, the above listing of issues is good, but it will something from left field that hits us. A sizeable CA quake would absolutely put the final nail in the housing coffin for those of us here. (Recall the market after he Loma Prieta quake). But that would be too obvious....more swanlike would be an eruption of Mt. Hood.
I thought the #1 reason to worry about, Barry gets re-elected. We are so F-ed


text:
Oreos. America's favorite cookie. And those suffering from milk allergies or sensitivities want to know, "Are Oreos safe for us?" Because rumor has it in milk allergy circles that, "YES, you can have Oreos!". It's probably some of the most encouraging news a milk allergy mom first learns when her child is diagnosed. And when non-allergy folks hear that our dairy anaphylactic son eats Oreos, they are often quite perplexed.
Oreos now have the U D symbol on the front of the package that means they are Kosher but they may....
1. Contain milk or
2. Be processed in a plant with milk
You can read more about Kosher labeling at Kids with Food Allergies.
One of our readers added:
"Actually UD simply means the equipment has been approved and blessed for kosher foods. When doing early research I found that Nabisco uses shared equipment, however they do a full allergy clean up between products. So while the dairy is gone all foods processed on the equipment still gets the kosher labeling."
This UD warning is on many of the Nabisco items we safely eat: Honey Maid, Ritz, Nutter Butter, and Oreo.
Here is the official ingredient list:
Ingredients: SUGAR, ENRICHED FLOUR (WHEAT FLOUR, NIACIN, REDUCED IRON, THIAMINE MONONITRATE [VITAMIN B1], RIBOFLAVIN [VITAMIN B2], FOLIC ACID), HIGH OLEIC CANOLA OIL AND/OR PALM OIL AND/OR CANOLA OIL, COCOA (PROCESSED WITH ALKALI), HIGH FRUCTOSE CORN SYRUP, BAKING SODA, CORNSTARCH, SALT, SOY LECITHIN (EMULSIFIER), VANILLIN-AN ARTIFICIAL FLAVOR, CHOCOLATE.
That first "cocoa processed with alkali" is a milk-free chocolate. But I do understand the concern on that last mention of "chocolate". I'm not sure what it is, either.
I remember questioning this from the get-go and calling the company after another milk allergy mom told me Oreos were milk-free. I can't remember exactly what the company told me at that time but it must have been assuring enough for us to try them. And we did....with success. My son loves Oreos, and has successfully eaten them for many years.
But now that some moms have brought it up, I've been on a renewed mission to get more scoop on this. First, I called Nabisco and they told me in a round-about way that the cookies do not contain milk. I asked about the last ingredient, chocolate, and they said that if it was made from milk, it would contain the word "milk"....such as "chocolate derived from milk" or "milk" put in parentheses. They did say that if I had further concerns, I should call the Food Allergy and Anaplylaxis Network.
So I did call FAAN. And they said I should look on their website at "how to read a label" for milk products. I looked on there but I did not see this information except for a resource card that I could purchase. If anyone else sees this information on the site, let me know. I assume I am looking to see if "chocolate" would be listed as a milk ingredient. In which case, I assume it WOULD be. That is why this issue is so tricky. We all know, that in general, chocolate has milk. But there ARE ways to do chocolate without milk...with cocoa with alkali or chocolate liquor....and maybe some others. So I still feel like there's not a real answer yet.
On another interesting note, I found a milk allergy recall on Oreos from 2005. You can read the FDA release here. The recall is for mini oreos. The mini oreos were supposed to be milk free but a certain batch ended up with pieces of Ritz Bitz Cheese Sandwiches in them, thus contaminating the Oreos with milk. They, at the time, were saying there is not supposed to be milk in Mini Oreos. With that said, I will copy and paste the ingredient list for Mini Oreos from the Nabisco website. Notice chocolate is the last ingredient.
One concern, however, would be if the ingredients have changed from the time of the recall mentioned above and the posting of these current ingredients on the Nabisco website.
Keep that in mind, too, with this next recall. This is regarding Oreo 100 Calorie Pack Thin Crisps. They were recalled because they were included in a variety box with Chips Ahoy Crisps. The Chips Ahoy Crisps contained milk. The Oreo Crisps did not. But the box that contained both, did not say milk was contained in the Chips Ahoy Crisps. I can't find the ingredient list for Oreo 100 Calorie Packs online. But I would guess that they too have chocolate as an ingredient. And if so, this recall is saying they should not contain milk. Unless, of course, the ingredient list was different than it is now.
Another concern that I have is that PETA's "accidentally vegan" list omits the regular Oreos. I am not a PETA member. But I do like the accidentally vegan list because it gives me a reference for finding safe snacks. I do remember consulting this list before starting Oreos, and I really thought they were on there as ok. But I could be wrong. Now the list only has "Spring Oreos", "Uh Oh Oreos", and "Chocolate Cream Oreos". So if regular Oreos aren't on there, is it because PETA believes they contain milk?
There are some allergy parents who do not allow their children to have foods that are processed by companies that process other foods with their allergen. For example, they would not let their children have Oreos, even if they were milk-free, because Nabisco makes products like Ritz Cheese Crackers. Some parents like to find out specifically about facilities and production lines before they give their kids certain processed foods. Kudos to the parents who take the time to check things out thoroughly.
And then there are the parents who don't want to feed their kids processed foods anyways. They prefer to bake nutritious snacks at home. Kudos to those moms, too! The best we do around here is maintain balance. I have some convenient foods around but also like to make nutritious treats from scratch.
I got a chance to read some vegan message boards from recent years and learned a little more on this topic. Vegans, like us allergy moms, have been trying to figure out if Oreos contain milk as well. So now I don't feel so "stupid". Obviously there is not an easy answer. They mentioned a few interesting things. One is that apparently Oreos are made in several different places and ingredients can vary by region. Two is that Oreo has changed the ingredients at times. Some were saying they used to contain whey and that was THEIR main topic at hand regarding milk. They weren't even discussing the "chocolate" ingredient as we are today. I have not heard of them containing whey, but apparently that was one of the ingredients taken out some time back.
I will also add that Famous Amos chocolate cookies are listed on the accidentally vegan list by PETA, the ingredient list looked fine to me at the store yesterday, and these are pretty similar to Oreos. These might be a good option for allergy moms not wanting to risk consuming Oreos.
I noticed on chocolate Teddy Grahams and Meijer Brand Chocolate Graham Crackers that both contain the ingredient "chocolate". But both say in the allergy warning that they contain just wheat and soy. So in these two items the chocolate appears to be dairy-free. Oreos do not contain an allergy warning line so I think that causes some of the confusion.
I know many milk allergic kids who are eating Oreos with no problem. My kid is one of them. I can only speak about his experience, which is that he does have a veryhigh allergy. It ranks a Class 2 right now but was a Class 4 when he started eating Oreos. He had an anaphalactic reaction to milk contained in baby food after eating about a half of a jar. He tested as Class 4 at that time. At a Class 3 last year, his body broke out in hives all up and down his body, for an hour, after having 1 cc of milk at the allergist's office. He now tests as a Class 2 but our allergist, with his reaction history, opted not to do skin or live tests at Class 2 this year.
However, besides the first anaphylactic reaction to baby food and that 1 cc drop of milk during live testing, Miles has never had milk "baked into something". The allergist said that he could possibly tolerate milk baked in but that she recommends we still continue with strict avoidance. So if Oreos DO have milk, I guess he IS tolerating "baked in" milk. But I'm really leaning toward the thought that Oreos do not have milk based on what Nabisco said, the info in the Oreo recalls, and Miles's history of eating them safely especially when his allergy was at its highest level.
UPDATE 2013: My son has been eating up to 3 Nilla Wafers with baked-in milk for 2 years. But 1/4 of a muffin with baked in milk gives him runny nose, coughing, and watery eyes (seen in the allergist's office). We see none of these symptoms with Oreos. I still don't believe that Oreos have baked in milk from our experiences.
Please comment on this post and tell us if your milk allergic child eats Oreos or if he/she has had a reaction to Oreos. Please include how severe the milk allergy is, as well. This info will help the hundreds of people who read this post each day. Thanks so much! We hope this information has been helpful to you.


text:
Tamoxifen Could Be Given to Women with Breast Cancer Risk; Research Suggests Prescribing Drug as Preventative Move
Byline: Madeleine Brindley
ONE of the most successful breast cancer treatments could also help to prevent women getting the disease in the first place, the Western Mail can reveal today.
New research has suggested that Tamoxifen, which was developed in Wales, could be given as a preventative to women at high risk of the disease.
Studies are also investigating whether women taking hormone replacement therapy should also be prescribed Tamoxifen.
More than 240 Welsh women have already been involved in an international research study to test the anti-oestrogen drug's ability to prevent breast cancer, which kills more than 700 women in Wales every year.
And 81 are now helping to determine whether a different drug - Arimidex - is better at preventing the disease with fewer side-effects than Tamoxifen. This trial is still recruiting.
The research could give Tamoxifen a new lease of life, more than 30 years after the Welsh cancer charity Tenovus helped develop it.
Dr Ian Lewis, the charity's scientific officer, said yesterday: "Two recent clinical trials have shown Tamoxifen can provide long-term protection from breast cancer in women at a high risk of the disease.
"One of these studies, the International Breast Cancer Intervention Study (IBIS I), showed that even after completion of the five-year treatment schedule, Tamoxifen provided a 29% reduction in the number of breast cancers in the women on the trial.
"Interestingly it has also been found that women on hormone replacement therapy (HRT) also benefited from the breast cancer prevention effect of Tamoxifen. Since HRT use has been implicated in increasing a woman's risk of developing breast cancer, a study is currently assessing the benefits of co-treating women on HRT with Tamoxifen.
"Despite its age, Tamoxifen is continuing to surprise us and avail itself of new ways to treat people at risk of disease."
On the results of the IBIS I study, Kate Law, director of clinical trials at Cancer Research UK, said: "These results provide promising news for women at increased risk of breast cancer and are important in furthering our knowledge of the role of Tamoxifen in the prevention of the disease.
"However more data on risks and the cost-effectiveness of Tamoxifen are needed before clinicians can consider recommending the drug as a preventive option."
The Tenovus Institute for Cancer Research in Cardiff started work on Tamoxifen 30 years ago using a unique experimental model developed by the institute to study the role hormones played in breast cancer.
Using this model, the scientists showed for the first time that Tamoxifen could block the uptake of oestrogen by the breast cancer cell and halt tumour growth.
Since then it has been estimated that Tamoxifen has saved the lives of around 30% of all women diagnosed with breast cancer - in Wales more than 2,000 people are diagnosed with the disease every year. …