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The Most Brilliant Science Graphic I Have Ever Seen January 5, 2012Posted by mwidlake in biology, Perceptions.
Tags: perception, science
18 comments
The below link takes you to an absolutely fantastic interactive demonstration of the relative size of everything. Everything. Stop reading this and go look at it, when it finishes loading, move the blue blob at the bottom of the screen left and right.
The Relative_scale_of_everything
The raw web link is:
The web page says scale_of_the_universe but it should be relative_scale_of_everything_in_the_universe. Did you go look at it? NO!?! If it's because you have seen it before then fair enough – otherwise stop reading this stupid blog and Look At It! NOW! GO ON!!!
Yes, I do think it is good.
I have to thank Neil Chandler for his tweet about this web page which led me to look at it. Neil and I talked about relative sizes of things in the pub towards the end of last year, in one of the Oracle London Beers sessions. I think it was Neil himself who suggested we should convert MB, GB and TB into time to get a real feel for the size of data we are talking about, you know, when we chuck the phrases GB and TB around with abandon. Think of 1KB as a second. A small amount of time for what is now regarded as a small amount of data – This blog so far is around 1.2kb of letters. Given this scale:
1KB = 1 second. About the time it takes to blink 5, possibly 6 times, as fast as you can.
1MB = Just under 17 minutes. Time enough to cook fish fingers and chips from scratch.
1GB = 11 and a half days. 1KB->1GB is 1 second -> 1.5 weeks.
1TB = Just under 32 years. Yes, from birth to old enough to see your first returning computer fad.
1PB = pretty much all of known human history, cave paintings and Egyptian pyramids excepting, as the Phoenicians invented writing about 1150BC ago.
The wonderful thing about the web page this blog is about is that you can scan in and out and see the relative sizes of things, step by step, nice and slowly. Like how small our sun is compared to proper big ones and how the Earth is maybe not quite as small compared to Saturn as you thought. At the other end of the scale, how small a HIV virus is and how it compares to the pits in a CD and the tiniest of transistors on a silicon chip. I'm particularly struck by the size of DNA compared to a human red blood cell, as in how relatively large DNA is. Red blood cells are pretty big cells and yet all human cells (except, ahem, red blood cells) have 3.2 billion letters of DNA in each and every one of them. That's some packaging, as cells have a lot of other stuff in there too.
{NB, do remember that the zooming in and out is logarithmic and not linear, so things that are close to each other in the graphic are more different than first appears, especially when the image becomes large and in effect covers a wide part of the screen}
Down at the sub-atomic scale there are a fair number of gaps, where one graphic is pretty much off the scale before the next one resolves from a dot to anything discernable, but that is what it's like down that end of things. Besides. It's so small it's hard to "look around" as there is nothing small enough (like, lightwaves went by several orders of magnitude ago) to look around with.
My one criticism? It's a shame Blue Whale did not make it into the show
I actually had flashbacks looking at this web page. I remember, back in the mid-70's I think, going to the cinema. Back then, you still had 'B' shows, a short film, cartoon or something before the main event. I no longer have a clue what the main event was, but the 'B' movie fascinated me. I think it started with a boy fishing next to a pond and it zoomed in to a mosquito on his arm, then into the skin and through the layers of tissue to blood vessels, to a blood cell… you get the idea, eventually to an atom. Some of the "zooming in" where it swapped between real footage was poor but it was 1970 or so and we knew no better. It then quickly zoomed back out to the boy, then to an aerial view of the field, out to birds-eye… satellite-like…the earth… solar system… I think it stopped at milky way. I wish I knew what that documentary was called or how to find it on the web…
{Update, see comments. Someone links to the film. I know I looked for this film a few years back and I did have a quick look again before I posted this message. I did not immediately find it but someone else did, in 10 seconds via Google. Shows how rubbish I am at using web searches…}
Friday Philosophy – When Things Feel Wrong October 28, 2011Posted by mwidlake in Friday Philosophy, Perceptions.
Tags: behaviour, Humour, perception
4 comments
I got pinged by someone else missing the Friday Philosophy today {BTW, Good news, the technical blogs start again on Monday}, so…
Take a look at the below. It is a rather pleasant spot of countryside on Sao Migel in the Azores, where the area in the foreground has been converted into a bit of a garden to take advantage of the natural beauty.
Nice, isn't it? Sorry the sun is not shining, but there you go. This waterfall just across the road from a set of water mills and waterfalls at Achada, which is one of the tourist spots that features often in brochures for Sao Miguel. But look at the scene again. Does anything strike you as odd about that waterfall? I could not put my finger on what it was, I just knew it looked odd. (Graham, if you don't spot this immediately you owe me a pint).
There was a path heading up the valley to one side of the waterfall, one of a network meandering through the gardens, and I went up it. After a short while there was a smaller path heading up the hill more directly. It looked maintained but too steep to be a "wandering around enjoying the scenary" path. So I went up that. At the top of this path was a structure, a concrete "block house" It hummed and it gurgled. There was another path heading back the way I came, towards the waterfall. I followed along it and I found the top of the waterfall…
Yes, the waterfall was a fake. It was coming out of this huge concrete trough fed by a large pipe which went back to the humming, gurgling concrete block house. Returning back down to the bottom of the waterfall I could put my finger on what was odd about that waterfall. There is a valley to the left. OK, that is not so odd, the water could be coming from high land to the right of the valley and draining into the valley at this point. Except there is another valley to the right of the waterfall as well. Both had small streams running through them. This waterfall could only be natural if there was a perfectly formed, shallow middle valley heading up to the hills between the other two valleys and the only point where the water could escape was at the confluence of the lower two valleys. There was also a lot more water coming down this waterfall than was coming down the two valleys.
What has this got to do with Oracle and databases? Well, have you ever been in the position where you look at the output from a system and it just does not "feel right"? I sometimes refer to something I call DBA Intuition. There is also Developer Intuition and there is certainly Tester Intuition. All are where you are not sure why but it just looks or feels wrong (or, you just get a feeling for what a problem is or what the solution might be, all I class as DBA intuition, but I digress).
As an example, you are tasked to look at one of those terrible BI-type reports that consist of two pages of SQL and they want to know why it takes so long to run. Before you dive into the code, you look at the result of the report and you just think "That seems like an awfully large number of people responding to that advertising campaign" or "I can't believe 10 percent of our income comes from selling baby diapers".
Usually when I have dug into the actual report or part of the system that feels wrong I find out one of two things. That I had no idea that part of that business really worked that way, or, that the report is utter garbage. Somewhere in that report there a missing table or a logic flaw {nested AND and OR statements are a good place to look}. This of course has the advantage that there is no need for me to tune the report until someone can tell me WHAT the report is supposed to be identifying.
DBA Intuition is, I think, basically a gut feeling you develop in response to experience. I suppose I have more "tuning intuition" these days, I look at how fast some SQL is coming back and the volume of data and I think "seems reasonable actually" or "something is very inefficient here". I've noticed that good system testers have this intuitive knack of just asking the new system to do things in a way or order that does not match the original intention.
So, I encourage you to trust your intuition. If some part of the system feels wrong, go and root around in the system undergrowth; climb up to the top of the data waterfall {OK, I'll stop with the bad IT metaphors) and see what you find.
Incidentally, after I found the pump house we walked the other way up the valley, following the pipe and the pleasant gardens. It took maybe 20 minutes but we found the "real source" of the fake waterfall, which was a very nice, natural waterfall sitting in the very bottom of a pleasant valley – just where a waterfall should be. It just took a little more effort to get to it. I'm sure there is some moral story in there but I'm damned if I can work it out
Friday Philosophy – Should I Be a Twit? October 21, 2011Posted by mwidlake in Blogging, Friday Philosophy, Perceptions.
Tags: Blogging, perception, private, Twitter
3 comments
Something I have been pondering for a while now is should I join in with the "happening crowd" and sign up to Twitter? I know, I'm two or three years behind the times on this, but more and more people who I like have signed up – even Doug Burns now uses twitter and he used to be negative about it in the same way as I. I've asked a few of these friends what they think.
I've always resisted the whole micro-blogging world, probably due to the comments made by people about how much dross is tweeted and what a time sink it can be, something the people I asked all mentioned. And partly, being candid, because I know one of my faults is to shoot my mouth off before engaging my brain, especially if annoyed. If it takes 20 seconds to do a tweet, I shudder to think some of the things I might have put out there in the heat of the moment or when in the pub. Pub talk is fine, so long as it is kept in the pub. With a blog, it takes me so long to write them I tend to calm down before sending, if I am angry.
Also, tweets are not my style. I don't know if you have noticed but I can be a little verbose {this means I spout several sentences where 5 words would do}. Can I be succinct enough to say anything anyone else would want to read?
That's the writing of tweets, what about the following? I could just be a passive follower. But how many? This is part of the advice given to me by Neil Chandler and also Doug, to only follow a few people so that you do not just drown in an endless feed of stuff. I guess that anything good gets re-tweeted and so you see stuff not just by those you follow but the best bits of what they follow? Neil also suggested that part of what makes twitter work is joining in, don't just be passive.
Something about Twitter that does bug me a lot, and this is just part of the whole texting/smartphone/constant communication thing of modern life, is when people you are spending social time with just sit staring at their bloody phone. I just find that really rude and I also think it's a bit depressing when you see three or four people in the pub or restaurant, all staring at their smartphones and not communicating with each other. You might as well stay in bed. Alone. {Oh good grief what a terrible thought! Do couples who do social media now just sit in bed with their phones in front of them, ignoring their supposed love of their life?}
But of course there are advantages to Twitter. There is a lot of interesting stuff that goes on only in the twitter world and some of the tweets I have seen have been hilarious. It's far more lightweight than blogging, something you can do in a quiet moment. Though Doug suggests this is why you get so much dross about travelling, people catch up on twitter when bored and also tweet then. Niall Litchfield made a very interesting point to me in that it allows you to keep up on a large range of topics and see new ideas and thoughts more. I like that. In fact, Niall sent me an excellent list of reasons for and against, which I'll {almost} finish on.
From Niall:
Reasons for :
– I get vicarious updates from a large number of sources on a large number of subjects. (Oracle,SQL,Science,Politics)
– It can suit my short and acerbic style from time to time.
– More people are doing it
– It indirectly promotes me (albeit with a somewhat misleading image)
– I find stuff I wouldn't otherwise have found
– I have engaged with product managers I probably wouldn't have done
Reasons not:
– time wasting
– addictive
– it promotes me in a misleading way
– it can annoy others
I like it because I'm an information junkie and like to keep abreast of stuff in several areas. It can be a colossal waste of time and irritate immensely.
I think I might well give it a go and that leads to my last thought. If I am going to enter the world of twitter, I am going to have to get a new phone. My current one is so basic that it does little more than just make and receive calls. But a single charge lasts a week.
Friday Philosophy – The One Absolute Requirement for System Success October 14, 2011Posted by mwidlake in development, Friday Philosophy, Perceptions.
Tags: behaviour, design, Humour, perception, system development
6 comments
What must you always achieve for an IT system to be a success?
- Bug free? Never happens.
- Within budget/time frame? That would be nice.
- Includes critical business functionality? Please define critical.
- Secure? Well, it's important for many systems but then it is often lacking (even when it is important).
- That it is to specification? Well we all know that's wrong.
There is only one thing that an IT system must always achieve to be a success.
User Acceptance.
For an individual system other considerations may well be very important, but the user acceptance is, I think, non-negotiable.
{Slight update – This blog was written in 2011 with corporate IT systems in mind, where the use of the system is almost if not explicitly mandated. With the explosion of Apps and web-based systems over the last 5 years, for a lot of IT systems the users, the customers, have to be attracted to the system. We now call User Acceptance User Experience and it is, if anything, even more vital. If the user does not find the system easy to use and of some benefit, they will click off somewhere else.}
The user must get enough out of using the system for it to be worth their while, otherwise at best they will resent using it and at worst… Well, at worst they will use it but will put in any old rubbish to fulfill the dictate that it be used. In this worst case you would be better off if they did not use the system at all. Here are a couple of examples from my working past.
In the first one, I was involved in extending a hospital management system so that it kept track of the expected arrival and departure times for ward patients, allowing a predication of when beds would become available and calculation of expected occupancy rates. Yes, this was a while ago (maybe 1990) and on an a system that was old then. The information was needed by someone with the title "bed sister" {or something similar – and would now be titled "head of occupancy management!…} so that they could better manage the flow of patients and keep a higher bed usage ratio. Was this to make the hospital more efficient? No, it was to satisfy a politically demanded report to the NHS executive. Oh, the overall intention was to increase efficiency – but the report soon became more important than any true efficiency. So, we added columns in tables and field on screens and prompts for the ward staff to fill in the required new information.
And they didn't.
The nurses were busy, they were pretty demoralized {due to having recently been used by the government as a way to control public sector pay} and they had more nursing duties to do than they could manage. They were not going to waste a couple of minutes trying to check when Mrs Jenkins was going to be sent home when Mrs Leonard needed a bed pan. The nursing staff were given a hospital-wide telling off, this information had to be entered. So they put in the data – but guessed wildly, just to get management off their backs. Thus the design of the system enhancement was fine, the report was logically accurate, only the correct staff could run it, but we failed to achieve User Acceptance and thus the system was a failure.
So I added something else. It was a very crude screen (this was 1990) that showed a "diagram" of a ward – Down the left and right side of a VT220 screen you saw little oblong boxes labelled with a bed number and in it the patient name, the consultant's initials, a medical specialty code and the arrival and departure date-time. This was based on some information we already had plus the new information we wanted and the screen was quite basic, limited and slow to draw. But it was useful to the ward staff. They could find any patient, they knew who to call if there was an emergency {not the actual consultant of course, but their secretary :-)}, they could check when they expected a patient to leave, they could even see when a new patient was expected. They used it. They put in the expected departure times {sobering thought, this might not be expected leaving alive}, patients would be booked into empty beds when they became available (often before they actually arrived) and the bed nurse could plan new arrivals and the oh-so-important report could be run. We had achieved User Acceptance and the system became a success.
The second example is also from healthcare but from a different system in a different hospital. We were putting together a system to schedule outpatient clinics. We knew what we were doing, it's pretty simple. You have some medical staff holding the clinic (a consultant and probably a senior house officer), a period for the clinic (3 or 4 hours) and a set of people to be seen, say 40. We gave some flexibility in slot lengths (some people need 5 minutes, some 15), checked for and stopped double booking and verified against other data such as correct speciality for the outpatient's clinical data. We did not go and ask the patient admin staff about the spec, we knocked up the design and the screens and asked them to test. After all, I was very experienced now, I'd been doing these systems for 3, 4 years…
They very quickly came back to us and said it was rubbish. Oh dear.
We went and saw them. "What's the problem?" There were a few – but the main one was that you could not double book a slot. Why would you want to do that? Do two patients really want to be consulted at the same time with the same doctor? {NB this can happen in some special cases – such as fertility treatment, psychology and a couple of others, but not Urology or Orthopedics!}
"Err, maybe, it might happen, can we just be able to double book?" OK, we could maybe alter things to allow two patients to be seen at the same time… The patient admin staff are not looking happy. The hospital liaison is looking confused & concerned and interrupts – "You can't do that! Patient confidentiality can't be broken!" he says. It got worse. "We need to be able to book… several people in one slot". How many? "We need to book all the patients into the first slot, with the consultant, so the letters go out to them saying come to see Mr Winders at 1pm". The admin staff are now looking very shifty.
If any of you have worked in the health service you are probably way ahead of me. The admin staff needed to book all the patients in at this first slot so that the ill and suffering would all turn up at the start of the session. The consultant would then run through his notes and see the two or three he was interested in – and then go and play golf. The Senior House Officer (or whoever) would then work through the rest of the patients for the following three or four hours. If you have ever had to turn up at the start of a consultancy session and sat there for three hours, now you know why. You see, back then, the consultant was only a very small step away from deity level (and I leave it to you to decide if it was a step up or down). What they said went and if they wanted to go and play golf or store 200 medical records in the boot of their car or refuse to speak to "that stupid idiot in renal medicine" then you worked around it. {I'm assured that things are a lot better now, but I'd love to know how it really is}.
We had designed a sensible solution. The users of the system needed a non-sensible {to our mind} solution. Even the NHS liaison chap had never appreciated exactly how much the consultants abused the system, he thought they just booked the people s(he) wanted at the start of the session, but no. The consultant decided that day who was interesting and as a result every patient had to be there at the start.
I count myself lucky that I learnt from direct experience so soon in my working life that (a) you have to deliver what the user will accept and (b) the only way to know what they want is to show them the system and talk with them.
Friday Philosophy – Human Tuning Issues September 23, 2011Posted by mwidlake in Friday Philosophy, humour, Perceptions, performance.
Tags: Humour, perception, performance
6 comments
Oracle Tuning is all about technical stuff. It's perhaps the most detail-focused and technical aspect of Oracle Administration there is. Explain Plans, Statistics, the CBO, database design, Physical implementation, the impact of initialisation variables, subquery factoring, sql profiles, pipeline functions,… To really get to grips with things you need to do some work with 10046 and 10053 traces, block dumps, looking at latching and queueing…
But I realised a good few years ago that there is another, very important aspect and one that is very often overlooked. People and their perception. The longer I am on an individual site, the more significant the People side of my role is likely to become.
Here is a little story for you. You'll probably recognise it, it's one that has been told (in many guises) before, by several people – it's almost an IT Urban Myth.
When I was but a youth, not long out of college, I got a job with Oracle UK (who had a nice, blue logo back then) as a developer on a complex and large hospital system. We used Pyramid hardware if I remember correctly. When the servers were put in place, only half the memory boards and half the CPU boards were initiated. We went live with the system like that. Six months later, the users had seen the system was running quite a bit slower than before and started complaining. An engineer came in and initiated those other CPU boards and Memory boards. Things went faster and all the users were happy. OK, they did not throw a party but they stopped complaining. Some even smiled.
I told you that you would recognise the story. Of course, I'm now going to go on about the dishonest vendor and what was paid for this outrageous "tuning work". But I'm not. This hobbling of the new system was done on purpose and it was done at the request of "us", the application developers. Not the hardware supplier. It was done because some smart chap knew that as more people used the system and more parts of it were rolled out, things would slow down and people would complain. So some hardware was held in reserve so that the whole system could have a performance boost once workload had ramped up and people would be happy. Of course, the system was now only as fast as if it had been using all the hardware from day one – but the key difference was that rather than having unhappy users as things "were slower than 6 months ago", everything was performing faster than it had done just a week or two ago, and users were happy due to the recent improvement in response time. Same end point from a performance perspective, much happy end point for the users.
Another aspect of this Human side of Tuning is unstable performance. People get really unhappy about varying response times. You get this sometimes with Parallel Query when you allow Oracle to reduce the number of parallel threads used depending on the workload on the server {there are other causes of the phenomena such as clashes with when stats are gathered or just random variation in data volumes}. So sometimes a report comes back in 30 minutes, sometimes it comes back in 2 hours. If you go from many parallel threads to single threaded execution it might be 4 hours. That really upsets people. In this situation you probably need to look at if you can fix the degree of parallelism that gives a response time that is good enough for business reasons and can always be achieved. OK, you might be able to get that report out quicker 2 days out of 5, but you won't have a user who is happy on 3 days and ecstatic with joy on the 2 days the report is early. You will have a user who is really annoyed 3 days and grumbling about "what about yesterday!" on the other 2 days.
Of course this applies to screens as well. If humans are going to be using what I am tuning and would be aware of changes in performance (ie the total run time is above about 0.2 seconds) I try to aim for stable and good performance, not "outright fastest but might vary" performance. Because we are all basically grumpy creatures. We accept what we think cannot be changed but if we see something could be better, we want it!
People are happiest with consistency. So long as performance is good enough to satisfy the business requirements, generally speaking you just want to strive to maintain that level of performance. {There is one strong counter-argument in that ALL work on the system takes resource, so reducing a very common query or update by 75% frees up general resource to aid the whole system}.
One other aspect of Human Tuning I'll mention is one that UI developers tend to be very attuned to. Users want to see something happening. Like a little icon or a message saying "processing" followed soon by another saying "verifying" or something like that. It does not matter what the messages are {though spinning hour glasses are no longer acceptable}, they just like to see that stuff is happening. So, if a screen can't be made to come back in less than a small number of seconds, stick up a message or two as it progresses. Better still, give them some information up front whilst the system scrapes the rest together. It won't be faster, it might even be slower over all, but if the users are happier, that is fine. Of course, Oracle CBO implements this sort of idea when you specify "first_n_rows" as the optimizer goal as opposed to "all_rows". You want to get some data onto an interactive screen as soon as possible, for the users to look at, rather than aim for the fastest overall response time.
After all, the defining criteria of IT system success is that the users "are happy" -ie accept the system.
This has an interesting impact on my technical work as a tuning "expert". I might not tune up a troublesome report or SQL statement as much as I possibly can. I had a recent example of this where I had to make some batch work run faster. I identified 3 or 4 things I could try and using 2 of them I got it to comfortably run in the window it had to run in {I'm being slightly inaccurate, it was now not the slowest step and upper management focused elsewhere}. There was a third step I was pretty sure would also help. It would have taken a little more testing and implementing and it was not needed right now. I documented it and let the client know about it, that there was more that could be got. But hold it in reserve because you have other things to do and, heck, it's fast enough. {I should make it clear that the system as a whole was not stressed at all, so we did not need to reduce system load to aid all other things running}. In six months the step in the batch might not be fast enough or, more significantly, might once more be the slowest step and the target for a random management demand for improvement – in which case take the time to test and implement item 3. (For those curious people, it was to replace a single merge statement with an insert and an update, both of which could use different indexes).
I said it earlier. Often you do not want absolute performance. You want good-enough, stable performance. That makes people happy.
In Defense of Agile Development (and Their Ilk) September 21, 2011Posted by mwidlake in development, Management.
Tags: Agile, design, Management, perception, system development
10 comments
In my previous post I asked the question "why doesn't Agile work?". I'm not sure the nuance of the question came over correctly.
I'd just like to highlight that the question I asked was "Why does agile not work". It was not "Why is Agile rubbish". I've said a few times in the past couple of weeks that I like the ideology of Agile and I am (and have been for years and years) a strong proponent of prototyping, cyclic development, test driven design and many other things that are part of the Agile or XP methodologies.
That distinction in the title is a really important distinction and one I'd hoped I'd made clear in my post. Looking back at my post though, I think it is clear I failed😦. I highlighted reasons why I think Agile does not work and in my head I was thinking "if we avoid these, Agile could work" – but when you write something down it does not matter what is in your head if it does not reach the paper.
I'm actually frustrated that in the last few years I have not seen Agile really succeed and also that this must be the normal situation, going on the response you get when the topic of Agile comes up with fellow technicians and comments on my own blog.
However, on that post about Agile two people who's opinion I deeply respect came back at me to say "Agile does work!". Cary Millsap, who many of you will have heard of as the "Method R" guy and the person behind Oracle Flexible Architecture. And Mike Cox, who most of you won't have heard of but Mike taught me a lot about sensible development back in the 90's. He's one of the best developers I have ever had the pleasure of working with and I know he has had great success with Agile and RED. I'm not sure if they read my post as "Agile is Rubbish" or they are, like me, simply frustrated that it can work but so often does not.
So I've been thinking about this a lot this weekend and I was helped by Cary's paper on the topic that he mentioned in his comment. I'd highly recommend downloading it as it is an excellent description of not only why Agile can help but describes how and some of the pitfalls {I'd started my own post on that, but go read Cary's}. I should add, you can see Cary present his case for Agile at the UKOUG conference this year.
So where does this bring me to? Well, I think "Is Agile good or bad" has become almost an "IT religion" topic, people love it or loath it and it is based on what they have seen of the methodology in real life. No, that's wrong, it is based on what they have seen that has been labelled with that methodology in real life. Or worse, it is based on anecdotal opinion of those around them. The thing is, if you look at what XP is supposed to consist of or what Agile Programming is supposed to consist of, most of us would agree that a great deal of it makes sense in many situations. I'd disagree with some of the details in Cary's paper but overall I'm in strong agreement. Sadly, What Agile and XP is supposed to be is not well matched by what you see on the ground in most cases. So even if these methodologies are right for the situation, what has been implemented is not the methodology but probably more a slap-dash process that simply jettisons documentation, design and proper testing. This whole thread sprung from my lamenting the demise of database design and several of the comments highlighted that the introduction of Agile seemed to equate, at least in part, with the demise of design. As MIke and Cary say, and as I think anyone who has successfully utilized Agile would say, Design is an integral part of Agile and XP methodology.
Agile can and does work. But many things can and do work, such as taking regular exercise to keep healthy or regularly maintaining your house to keep it weathertight. Like Agile, both take effort but the overall benefit is greater than the cost. And like Agile, do it wrong and you can make things worse. If your window frames are starting to rot and you just slap a new layer of top-coat on them all you will do is seal in the damp and rot and hide the problem – until the glass falls out. Going for a regular 5 mile run is good for you – but not if you are 10 stone (60KG) overweight and have not run in years. A 5 mile run is also not a good idea if you want to be a long-jumper. Right training (methodology) for the right aim. Also, just like keeping healthy, house maintenance or anything that takes effort but works, proponents tend towards extremism – probably as a reaction to the constant {perceived} pig-headedness of critics or the failure of people to just do what now seems so sensible to them {think reformed smokers}. I'll have to buy Cary and Mike pints to make up for that jibe now, and promise them it was not aimed at them personally…
Sadly, the reality is, Agile does not work 90% of the time it is tried. So, does that mean Agile is actually rubbish? Or at least, not fit for purpose, because many companies are not able to use it? Companies are there to achieve something and the IT systems are part of achieving that something. If Agile cannot aid that IT department then Agile is the wrong way for that department and company.
*sigh* I've gone on and on about this and still not got to my own main point, which is this.
– Can we identify reasons for Agile and XP Failing.
– Having identified the Reasons, can we fix them in simple ways?
– Can we create some simple guidelines as to when a project should be more Agile and when it should be more Up-Front design.
I'd love to know people's opinions on those three points above.
Friday Philosophy – Dyslexia Defence League August 19, 2011Posted by mwidlake in Friday Philosophy, Perceptions, Private Life.
Tags: behaviour, perception, private
2 comments
NB This post has nothing to do with Oracle or even technology really. It's just some thoughts about one aspect of my life.
I know I've mentioned this once before, though it was in an early blog post when I had a readership of about 8, but I am mildly dyslexic. If you want to know how I found out I was dyslexic then check out the original post. I'm quite fond of that post, as a non-technical one, though almost no one read it.
The thing is, I now cringe slightly when I say I am Dyslexic. I've sat on this post for weeks, wondering if I should post it. You see, it seems to me that dyslexia, along with some other oddities of perception, have over the last few years almost become a thing to be proud of. A banner to wave to show how great you are. "Hey, look at me, I am this good even though I have Dyslexia" or even "I am great because I have dyslexia". Maybe I am just a little sensitive about it but it seems to me that more and more people make a thing about it. If I am being candid, I feel a little proud that I did OK academically despite it {I should point out there is no proven link between dyslexia and IQ but in exams you get marked down for spelling and slow reading speed means it takes longer to, well, read stuff!} and in the past I have been very open about mentioning it. Hey, this is my second blog on dyslexia!
However, I've had it suggested to me in the past that I use it as a defense for being lazy – Can I prove I am dyslexic? Does it really impact me that much? Well, actually no I cannot prove it and has it impacted me? Not a great deal I guess as I can read pretty much anything {I did say it was mild. Scientific papers and anything with very long words can be a challenge, but isn't that true of everyone?}. My reading speed is about 120,150 words a minute. Average is about 250wpm. My wife seems to read at about 500wpm
Also, don't get me wrong, I fully appreciate that looking at a challenge you have and taking the benefits from it that you can is a very healthy attitude. If I remember right it was Oliver Sacks in one of his books ("the man who mistook his wife for a hat" maybe) who describes a man with sever Tourette's syndrome {which is more often all about physical ticks and uncontrolled motions rather than the famous "swearing" aspect of it} who could somehow take advantage of his physical manifestations in his jazz drumming. He could just make it flow for him. But when he took treatment to control the physical issues, his jazz drumming suffered. He really wanted the benefit of the drugs for day-to-day life but keep the Tourettes for jazz. So he took the drugs during the week and came off just before the weekends when he played. Neat.
Does Dyslexia help me? I think I am more of a diagrams and pictures person than a text person because of my dyslexia and I think I maybe look at things a little differently to most people at times – because of the differences in how I perceive. That can help me see things that maybe others have missed? Maybe an advantage. I'll take that.
Also, in my case at least, dyslexia is not an issue for me comprehending or constructing written prose. I think I write some good stuff at times.
But I don't want to be dyslexic. Frankly, it p122es me off.
I'll give you an example. I did a blog post a few weeks back and it had some script examples in it. I had nearly finished it when I realised I had constantly spelt one word utterly wrong. The spell checker picked it up. But just before I posted it, I realised I had also got my column aliases utterly wrong. I have a little set of rules for generating table and column aliases, it is not complex, but in my head the leading letters of a word are not always, well, the leading letters. I had to alter my scripts and then re-run them all as I knew if I tried to unpick the spelling mistakes manually I would mess it up, I've been there before. It took me hours. I can really do without wasting that time. {Update, since originally drafting this post the same situation with another technical post has occurred}. Then there is the embarrassment of doing something like spelling the name of a column wrong when you design and build a database. I did that in a V8 database when renaming columns was still not a simple task {was it really Oracle 9 release 2 before column rename was introduced?}. The database went live and accrued a lot of data before anyone made an issue of it. It then kept getting mentioned and I had to keep explaining.
I don't see Dyslexia as a badge of honour and every time I see someone being proud of it (or to my odd mind it seems they are proud of it) or suggesting they are better than average for overcoming it (again, maybe it is just my perception), I just feel uncomfortable. I think all and everyone of us has something we have had to overcome to be "normal".
Yet, on reading that above paragraph back, it is simply insulting to people who have fought and striven to overcome severe dyslexia or other issues with perception or communication. I certainly do not mean that (and I apologise unreservedly to anyone who is now fuming at me because of my callousness).
Maybe that is my issue with the whole topic – I am not uncomfortable with the notion of being proud to have overcome something like dyslexia and I admire people who cope with other conditions which make it harder for them to get by in our culture, but I just can't see why you would be proud of the condition or want to use it as a bragging right.
I guess I want to be able to just acknowledge my dyslexia, point out it is no big deal in my case but it is why I spell like a 10 year old. It is as significant as the fact I'm scared of heights. I guess I cringe a little when I say it as I don't want to be seen to be making excuses and I certainly do not feel, that in my case at least. I have won through against the odds. Maybe I've been a little hard-done-by occasionally but haven't we all?
Friday Philosophy – Blogging Style and Aim August 12, 2011Posted by mwidlake in Blogging, Friday Philosophy.
Tags: Blogging, perception, private
13 comments
I've recently looked back at some of my earlier blog postings and also some notes I made at the time I started. I had a few aims at the start, pretty much in this order:
- A place to put all those Oracle thoughts and ideas, for my own benefit
- Somewhere to record stuff that I keep forgetting
- I'd started commenting on other blogs and felt I was maybe too verbal on them
- To increase my profile within the Oracle community
- To share information, because I'm quite socialist in that respect
- To learn more
It very quickly morphed into something slightly different though.
Firstly, it is not really somewhere that I record thoughts and ideas or where I record stuff that I forget. When I am busy, I sometimes only get half way to the bottom of resolving an issue or understanding some feature of Oracle. I tend to create little documents about them but I can lose track of them. I initially intended to put these on my blog. The thing is though, I don't feel I can blog about them because I might be wrong or I raise more questions than I answer. I don't think a public blog about technology is a good place to have half-baked ideas and I certainly don't want people:
- reading and believing something that is wrong
- thinking I do not know what I am talking about
- seeing my rough notes as boy are they rough, often with naughty words in them and slang. Converting them to a familly-friendly format takes time.
You see, there is the point about increasing my profile in the community. Part of me hates the conceit that you have to be seen as all-knowing or never wrong, as no one is all-knowing and never wrong. In fact, I think most of us find it hard to like people who put themselves as such. But if I put out a blog saying "it works this way" and I am wrong or I simply say it in a clumsy way or I assume some vital prior knowledge, I could be making people's lives harder not easier, so I spend a lot of effort testing and checking. It takes me a lot, lot longer to prepare a technical blog than I ever thought it would before I started. And yes, I accept I will still get it wrong sometimes.
Another consideration is that I make my living out of knowing a lot about Oracle. If I post a load of blogs saying something like "gosh I wish I understood how Oracle locks parts of the segment as it does an online table rebuild and handles the updates that happen during it", then I obviously don't know about that. Or I put out a post about how I currently think it works and I'm wrong. Tsch, I can't be that good! How much should I have to think about how I am selling myself as a consultant? There is a difference between being liked and being perceived as good at what you do. If you want someone to design a VLDB for you, you probably don't care if s/he is a nice person to spend an evening in the pub with – but you certainly care if they seem to be fundamentally wrong about oracle partitioning.
Balancing that, if you saw my recent post on Pickler Fetch you will see that I was wrong about a couple of things and there was some stuff I did not know yet. But I learnt about those wrong things and lack of knowledge, so I feel good about that. That was one of my original aims, to learn. Not only by having to check what I did but by people letting me know when I was wrong.
What about style? I can be quite flippant and, oh boy, can I go on and on. I know some people do not like this and, if you want a quick solution to an oracle problem, you probably do not want to wade through a load of side issues and little comments. You just want to see the commands, the syntax and how it works. Well, that is what the manuals are for and there a lot of very good web sites out there that are more like that. If you do not like my verbose style then, hey that's absolutely fine. But I like to write that way and so I shall.
So after over 2 years of blogging, I seem to have settled into a style and my aims have changed.
- I try to be helpful and cover things in detail.
- I try to polish what I present a lot, lot more than I do for my own internal notes. Maybe too much.
- I'm going to write in a long-winded way that some people will not enjoy but it is my style.
- I'm going to try and worry less about looking perfect as I am not.
I suppose what I could do is start a second, private blog with my half-baked stuff on it. But I just don't think I've got the time
I am Neo off the Matrix (apparently) March 30, 2011Posted by mwidlake in AWR, performance.
Tags: AWR, perception, performance
8 comments
I know I have mentioned it before, but I am a big fan of the OEM performance screens that are derived from the ASH/AWR information. One of the things I really like about it is the immediate information it gives you, in one glance, that things are "not normal". Once you notice that things are not normal you can then, within a few seconds, get a feel for what is still probably OK and where you have something that has changed.
As an example of the immediate information, I recently came back to my desk and glanced at my OEM performance screen. It was showing the below:
"data load has just ran" I said to my comrade-in-arms. "which one?" he asked. "The Delta – It ran the quick plan. But it started a bit late, 12:15. Oh, and looks like the transaction view code has swapped back to the full table scan plan and the summary code is not playing up at the moment."
"you're turning into Neo you are – can you see a lady in a red dress???" he asked.
That was of course a reference to the "Matrix" films where at times you see the virtual world displayed on a screen as a stream of characters running down the screen – but once you get used to it you can apparently "see" what is going.
The screen shot above is not even actually a very good example of what the performance screens can show you. One of my minor complaints about the performance screens is that it scales to show the greatest of the largest peak or a number of sessions to match the number of CPUs (real or fake) that are available to you. So if you have more CPU available than you need, you can't see much detail in the graph. And if you have had a nasty peak of activity, again, all detail is squeezed out. In my case, the box is sized to cope in 12 months and the system is new, so activity is scuttling along the bottom of the graph.
However, "poor" though the example is, it told me what was going on across my system at a glance, something about the major tasks we are running, that one problem is currently occurring and that several of the other issues I need to keep an eye out for are not occurring.
That is why I love these screens – I recognise "my" activity patterns from the graph, I now recognise the SQL IDs for my key statements. If I see a pattern in the graph I don't recognise, I need to check things out immediately. Three or four times over the last 2 weeks I have spotted an issues, started investigating and found out the cause before the Operations desk has even noticed an issue.
Oh, and what is SQL type 189? It is a merge statement. Our implementation of OEM is a little old, it does not correctly interpret that SQL command type. It might be a little old, it is still a lot useful.
Where is Sun? January 3, 2011Posted by mwidlake in Friday Philosophy, Perceptions.
Tags: perception, science
3 comments
First of all, may I wish everyone who comes by my blog a heartfelt Happy New Year.
Secondly, I promise I'll blog more often and more on technical aspects this year than I have for most of 2010.
Thirdly, I'll admit the title to this blog is nothing to do with the hardware company now owned by Mr Larry Ellison, but is about the huge glowing ball of fire in the sky (which we have not seen a lot of here in England and Wales for the last couple of weeks – not sure about Scotland but I suspect it has been the same). I apologise for the blatantly misleading (and syntactically poor) title.
A quick question for you – It is the depths of winter for most of us, and it has been unusually cold here in the UK and much of Europe. When are we, as a planet, furthest from the Sun during winter? January the 1st? The Shortest day (21st December)? The day the evening start drawing out (December 14th)?
I think many in the Northern Hemisphere will be surprised to learn that we are closest to the sun today (3rd Jan 2011). A mere 147.104 million kilometers from the centre of our solar system. I mentioned this to a few friends and they were all taken aback, thinking we would be furthest from the warmth of the sun at the depths of our winter.
Come the 4th July 2011 it is not only some strange celebration in the US about having made the terrible decision to go it alone in the world {Joke guys!}, but is the day in the year that the Earth is furthest from the sun – 152.097 million kilometers. That is about 3.39% further away and, as the energy we receive from the sun is equal to the square of the distance, does account for a bit of a drop in the energy received. {Surface of a sphere is 4*pi*(R{adius}squared), you can think of the energy from the sun as being spread over the sphere at any given distance}.
Some of you may be wondering why this furthest/closest to the sun does not match the longest/shortest day. As some of you may remember, I explained about the oddities of the shortest day not matching when the nights start drawing out about this time last year. It is because as we spin around our own pole and around the sun, things are complicated by the fact that the earth "leans over" in it's orbit.
Check out this nice web site where you can state the location and month you want to see sunrise, sunset, day length and (of particular relevance here) the distance from the sun for each day.
I find it interesting that many of the things us most of us see as "common sense" are often not actually right (I always assumed that the shortest day coincided with both the evenings starting to draw out and mornings getting earlier until I stumbled across it when looking at sunset times – I had to go find a nice Astronomer friend to explain it all to me). I also like the fact that a very simple system – a regularly spinning ball circling a large big "fixed point" in a fixed way – throws up some oddities due to little extra considerations that often go overlooked. Isn't that so like IT?
That lean in the Earth's angle of spin compared to the plane we revolve around the sun is slowly rotating too, so in a few years (long, long, long after any of us will be around to care) then the furthest point in the orbit will indeed match the northern hemisphere winter. Again like IT, even the oddities keep shifting.


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Two Conceptions of Technical Malfunction
Version of Record online: 20 JAN 2011
DOI: 10.1111/j.1755-2567.2010.01092.x
© 2011 Stiftelsen Theoria
Volume 77, Issue 2, pages 117–138, May 2011
Additional Information
How to Cite
JESPERSEN, B. and CARRARA, M. (2011), Two Conceptions of Technical Malfunction. Theoria, 77: 117–138. doi: 10.1111/j.1755-2567.2010.01092.x
Publication History
- Issue online: 11 APR 2011
- Version of Record online: 20 JAN 2011
- Abstract
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- Cited By
- malfunction;
- property modification;
- subsection;
- privation;
- philosophy of technology
The topic of this paper is the notion of technical (as opposed to biological) malfunction. It is shown how to form the property being a malfunctioning F from the property F and the property modifier malfunctioning (a mapping taking a property to a property). We present two interpretations of malfunctioning. Both interpretations agree that a malfunctioning F lacks the dispositional property of functioning as an F. However, its subsective interpretation entails that malfunctioning Fs are Fs, whereas its privative interpretation entails that malfunctioning Fs are not Fs. We chart various of their respective logical consequences and discuss some of the philosophical implications of both interpretations.


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February 18th, 2012 (9:44 AM). Edited February 18th, 2012 by myrrhman.
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Oh, silly me, I thought emerald was over after you beat Steven. Well then yeah, I also did Green Emerald.
Looks like we got no Yellow champs. Imma fix that now. Doing a Yellow run on
well poop. I wanted to duo Sandslash/Electabuzz, but that can't happen. I dunno what game I'm doing it on, I'll tell you when I find out.
Edit: Yellow is BS. Sandslash, Ninetails, Persian, and Electabuzz are all yellow. STOP BEING VERSION EXCLUSIVE!!!
Double Edit: Ok. I'm doing Blue. Just beat Brock after grinding Beedrill to 20. Definitely grabbing Sandslash, and I might switch Beedrill out with Exeggutor, but idk, Bee can learn Mega Drain and Twinneedle to Egg's Mega Drain and Psychic.
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After Bypass Surgery: Driving and Social Activities
As you feel stronger, you can go out and do more. At first, keep activities to about an hour. And remember that it's OK to leave early or ask visitors to go home so you can rest.
Here are some social activities you could choose:
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A word about driving
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If you're on medicine to keep your blood pressure low, you could become dizzy or pass out behind the wheel.
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25 years after their final acrimonious gig, 2008 BoyBand sensation SENSATION meet at the london penthouse flat of their former Manager Lawrence Inchmeyer.
The intervening years have been cruel and kind to each band member in equal measure.
A cocktail of ambition, salmon roulades, ego, lederhosen, hidden agendas, gin, single socks, jealousy, beer, committed swearing, a big gun, simulated sex and a solitary fly all contribute to an evening that none of them will ever forget....assuming they survive!
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Artist: Time's Forgotten
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We call to the earth to live again
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So much like you...
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Often referred to as 'The Hendrix of the Sahara', Vieux Farka Toure was born in Niafunke, Mali in 1981. He is the son of legendary Malian guitar player Ali Farka Toure, who died in 2006. A captivating brew of fervent melody, buzzing guitars and timeless Malian soul from one of today's most celebrated African guitarists, with a unique style incorporating rock, Latin music and African blues.
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GEA, a dynamic, environmental engineering firm, EPC contractor, is experiencing growth and expansion. GEA is a leader in the water resource field and has high profile clients including companies in the Fortune 500 Group. GEA is dedicated to improving the environment through science and technology. The mission of the company is to provide our clients with the best ...
Drytech Engineering
based in Irvine, CALIFORNIA (USA)
Drytech Engineering specializing in thermal processing and bulk materials handling. Drytech is an Engineering and Consulting company dedicated to: Raising the standards of industrial processing, Improving efficiencies, reducing costs and promoting better quality products, Continuing to build our reputation as a world authority on industrial drying, Uniting industrial ...
Zapata Engineering
based in Charlotte, NORTH CAROLINA (USA)
ZAPATA is a full-service Architectural-Engineering (A-E) and field services firm providing comprehensive and sustainable A-E Design; energy conservation; renewable energy; environmental compliance and cleanup; geophysics; construction management; and turnkey military munitions response services. ZAPATA has successfully resolved our clients' challenges from Massachusetts ...
based in Leamington Spa, UNITED KINGDOM
Geotech is the market leading manufacturer and supplier for portable landfill gas and biogas analysers. Our analysers are used worldwide and are rapidly becoming even more important with the growing global focus on energy from waste (EfW).
JFE Engineering America Inc.
based in Long Beach, CALIFORNIA (USA)
JFE offers advanced systems for waste gasification. Our technology can transform any waste including MSW, RDF, Sludge, Landfill, medical, hazardous and industrial waste to electricity. Plant reliability and safety are proven through the track records of more than 10 plants since 2003, and all plants built by JFE have been achieving much lower dioxins emission level than ...
Hy-Bon Engineering Co.
based in Midland, TEXAS (USA)
Hy-Bon Engineering provides leading edge design and fabrication of customized compressor packages for handling low pressure gas streams. Regardless of the application: whether gas from oilfield stock tanks, casinghead gas, field gas collection, or biogas from wastewater facilities, digester tanks, landfills or breweries, Hy-Bon can design the package required. Hy-Bon also ...


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Display caption
The title of this picture is the name of a double act which Spencer Gore saw at the Alhambra Theatre of Varieties in Leicester Square. The couple are playing lyre guitars, instruments common in the early nineteenth century, but by this date an eccentric choice.
Gore was fascinated by the magic of the music hall, and frequently chose unexpected routines as subjects. The Alhambra, especially, was known for its spectacular ballets and acrobatic turns. Gore went to the theatre several times each week, and made sketches from his seat in the audience.
February 2004


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My motorola moto Q has stop charging, yesterday i connected Moto Q to the charger for about 6 hours but when i saw it in the early morning the phone was switched off. Has anyone else had their Q plugged in for several hours and come back to find it wasn't charging at all ? I dont know What is wrong.
Please help me!!!!!!!


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Mary Harlan of Zionsville and Adam Scheidt of Columbus announce their engagement.
Ms. Harlan is the daughter of James and Deborah Harlan of Richmond. A 2003 graduate of Richmond High School and a 2008 graduate of Indiana University, she is director of insurance and assistant to a wealth management adviser with Northwestern Mutual.
Mr. Scheidt, the son of Tim and Janice Scheidt of North Meadow Drive, is a financial representative with Northwestern Mutual in Columbus. He is a 2005 graduate of Columbus East High School and a 2008 graduate of Purdue University.
The wedding will be Sept. 13 in Richmond.
All content copyright ©2016 Daily Journal, a publication of AIM Media Indiana unless otherwise noted.
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"A River Runs Through it" Top 5 Page for this destination Rochester by rdywenur
Rochester Travel Guide: 256 reviews and 464 photos
Genesee River near Veteran's Bridge. Kodak Park is a stone's throw away. This is heading towards Lake Ontario. Soon we will have the Fast Ferry and will be able to take a trip to Toronto. Canada...I can't wait. In the other direction it will head towards the High Falls area going towards the city. I am only a few blocks away from here.
Located at Goodman & Clinton, just around the corner from Highland Park......home of the Lilac Festival held in May. Old fashioned dining car diner with great food. In the summer when weather permits, you can enjoy your dining pleasure outside.
Great website I recently found and you might enjoy it too. Has a video of Stutson Street Bridge. This bridge is raised to allow tall boats to come through. Check it out. Rocpic
Reviews (25)
Rochester has many festivals and two of my most favorite are Cornhiil Arts Festival and Park Ave Festival more travel advice
The Genesee Riverway Trail (GRT) is an off-road trail for walking, running and bicycling along the Genesee River. At... more travel advice
If you love roses come and enjoy the beauty and scent of the large variety of roses. Enjoy crafts, local bands (this... more travel advice
Explore the child in you. more travel advice
Comments (11)
Hi Chris. I love reading about VT members' hometowns and yours was no exception... read & rated; thanks for sharing! Greetings from a German and a Scotsman in Arabia :-) Jess
Hi there Chris - nice to see a bit of your part of the world - I used to live not far from it across the border. Cheers, Marina
Path you show may be rail way (now trail); it doesn't go to Lake Ave but exits at Pattonwood; cross the bridge/river to get to Lake Avenue. And, Garbage Plate picture was shot by Eric and Stephanie Meister. You might want to give them credit for the pic.
Nice pics of the canal area. must be wonderful living so close to a major part of Americana. Since you were born in Ocotber, you must be wise, talented, and beautiful. Your tips manifest this. thank you
That's a shame I have no photos from Rochester. But I have bourht Kodak camera lately.;)
Nice glimpses of your home city. Have you been on that fast ferry to Toronto yet? -- I don't think I've ever actually seen the Erie Canal, though in school we had to sing about it.
Hi Chris, Thanks for stopping by. Carol grew up not far from Cobb's Hill. Her parents still live in Brighton so we visit often. Great picture of the ferry ;-) Life goes on...Tom
great intro photo - happy birthday
Nice photo!
The photograph of the river is spectacular.....like to see more of your home town
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|Looking Back
|Written by Wauneta Breeze
|Wednesday, 09 December 2015 00:00
10 years ago this week
Dec. 8, 2005
Mother Nature added a heavy touch of glitter to the trees outside the Harry and Nola Straub home Sunday evening, adding a magical effect to the setting for the Wauneta Women of Today's Christmas in the Country. Nola Straub has food-themed ornaments on her kitchen Christmas tree, one of many decorated trees she has on display each holiday season.
In addition to the numerous themed trees and wreaths, several miniature lighted villages were set up throughout the rooms of the Straub home. The Women of Today hosted the tour of the Straub home and a baked goods sale as a community service event and fundraiser.
25 years ago this week
Dec. 13, 1990
Mrs. Wilva Harchelroad was hostess to Ruth Circle at a salad luncheon on Thursday, Dec. 6. Seven members answered roll call with Christmas poems or talks about Christmas customs.
50 years ago this week
Dec. 9, 1965
Residents of and visitors to Wauneta have no doubt noticed that a new Christmas decoration has found its home in Wauneta. Anyone out after sundown on Monday night, Dec. 6 would have seen the tree, a mass of Christmas lights mounted on a metal frame in the shape of a Christmas tree, perched high on top of the Farmers Co-Op Elevator in Wauneta.
75 years ago this week
Dec. 11, 1940
"The Midnight Clear" was the title of a play which was given by Mrs. L.A. Grimm at the Women's Club meeting last Thursday afternoon at the home of Mrs. Vernon Hungate. Five characters were represented by the reader. Mrs. Grimm will repeat the play at the evening service at the Methodist church Sunday evening.
100 years ago this week
Dec. 9, 1915
I have taken up a red cow with one ear notched. If you own her, come and ger her. Fred Gauger
C.E. Johnston left for Burlington, Iowa via Stratton Saturday night where he went to buy a car of furniture. He returned Tuesday. Johnston sells more furniture than all the towns on this branch. Why? Because he keeps a large assortment and the prices to suit you.
125 years ago this week
Issue not available.
|Last Updated on Monday, 14 December 2015 16:45


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Corning GLW 1.8877297565822155% Corning Inc. U.S.: NYSE USD20.51 0.38 1.8877297565822155% /Date(1464382814913-0500)/ Volume (Delayed 15m) : 12412849 AFTER HOURS USD20.51 % Volume (Delayed 15m) : 121442 P/E Ratio 59.604766056378956 Market Cap 22055408216.0986 Dividend Yield 2.6328620185275478% Rev. per Employee 248655 More quote details and news » declared a 20% increase last week in its quarterly common-stock dividend. The move should help secure the company's recently strong stock gains.
Corning (GLW) is up 12% in the past month, about three times the rise in the Standard & Poor's 500 index. We've liked the stock since June when we learned Corning had introduced Willow glass, a flexible substance that can be wrapped around objects and devices. Now Corning is preparing to report third-quarter earnings Oct. 24, and there is reason to be skeptical of the options market's skepticism.
Goldman Sachs analyst Simona Jankowski expects the company to report its first year-over-year sales growth in four quarters and first earnings-per-share gain in eight quarters.
Yet, the implied volatility of Corning's bearish put prices is elevated, reflecting investor concern that the shares will decline on the earnings report. In contrast, Corning's bullish call options, which increase in value if the stock rises, are inexpensive.
The skepticism creates opportunities for investors to sell bearish puts to position themselves to buy the stock at a lower price, and to buy bullish calls to participate in a potential earnings-led advance.
The fundamentals of liquid-crystal displays, used in flat-screen televisions, computer monitors, and the like are believed to be improving, if for no other reason than that LCD glass and panel makers are getting smarter about managing supply, which helps mitigate demand, or the lack thereof. Weak LCD fundamentals are a primary reason why Corning's stock shed 4% of its value in the past three years, as the S&P 500 rose 51%.
With Corning's stock at $13.38, Goldman Sachs' derivatives strategists are telling clients to buy the November $14 calls, recently at 30 cents, in anticipation that the stock will rise 7.2% on earnings. Aggressive investors who want to build a position in Corning should complement the call trade with a put sale. Premiums in near-month puts aren't high, but selling Corning's November $13 put for 49 cents looks reasonable. If the stock dips below $13, you own it, which isn't an unpleasant outcome.
SUPER OPTIONS HAVE ENCOUNTERED a not-so-super delay. The Securities and Exchange Commission recently told the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) that it was delaying action on a proposal to create options that expire in as many as 15 years, up from three years, until Nov. 8. Approval had been expected by Sept. 28 (see The Striking Price, "Here Come Super Options," Sept. 7).
Although the SEC indicated it wants to consider the one comment letter submitted, it seems more likely that the agency was slow to grasp the significance of the CBOE's super options. They would be surrogates for stocks and even mutual funds, and would likely lower trading volumes on NYSE Euronext's (NYX) New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq OMX's NDAQ 0.9996924023377423% Nasdaq Inc. U.S.: Nasdaq USD65.67 0.65 0.9996924023377423% /Date(1464382800331-0500)/ Volume (Delayed 15m) : 421061 AFTER HOURS USD65.67 % Volume (Delayed 15m) : 3835 P/E Ratio 20.3312693498452 Market Cap 10803699708.6823 Dividend Yield 1.9491396375818486% Rev. per Employee 901674 More quote details and news » (NDAQ) Nasdaq Stock Market.
It's implausible that the SEC will conduct a market-data analysis before approving the CBOE's proposal, as urged by the sole comment maker, Chris Nagy, who runs consultancy KOR Trading. But the idea bears consideration by options exchanges, even if the Securities and Exchange Commission ignores it. Exchanges should mitigate massive data dumps that increasingly dominate the financial market's quote network. Market makers shouldn't have to worry that subsecond delays updating illiquid options will attract high-speed trading firms whose computers profit off stale quotes.
The exchanges won't work together because they are public companies and would rather direct resources to revenue-building projects. So, the SEC should approve super options and direct the exchanges to develop and implement a data-mitigation plan in 24 months.
STEVEN SEARS is the author of The Indomitable Investor: Why a Few Succeed in the Stock Market When Everyone Else Fails.
Comments: firstname.lastname@example.com, http://twitter.com/sm_sears


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Also Known As
- Mervyn Estcourt
- M. J. Estcourt
Game Credits
|Deathchase 2002 (2002)
|(Based on "3D Deathchase" - a ZX Spectrum game written by)
|Speed King (1985)
|(Original by)
|Speed King (1985)
|Full Throttle (1984)
|Deathchase (1983)
|Luna Crabs (1983)
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Depends on your perspective. Is your glass half full, or half empty?
The Seahawks are 1-3 and staring at the prospect of a second consecutive season of irrelevance.
But quarterback Matt Hasselbeck appears ready to return, and the Seahawks have two home games that add up to one big chance to get back to .500.
Is this Seahawks season sinking or can it be salvaged?
- Seattle's vanishing black community
- Bellevue School District seeks to fire football coach Goncharoff over scandal
- Designed in Seattle, this $1 cup could save millions of babies
- Infections are the culprit in Alzheimer's disease, Harvard study suggests
- 1,000 fraternity, sorority members trash Lake Shasta campsite
Most Read Stories
Is Seattle hopeless or can it be hopeful?
Well, that depends on your perspective. Are you the kind of person who puckers at the sight of a certain yellow citrus fruit or the type who imagines a tall glass of lemonade?
Are you a bear or a bull? Pessimist or optimist? There's room for both assessments, and one quarter of the way through the season it makes for a heck of a debate.
The Seahawks could be an older team that's bottoming out again. Or they could be a team poised to rebound as some of its best players return from injury.
So hopeless or hopeful? Let's hash out both sides of that assessment.
The glass-is-half-empty fan might say: The Seahawks are 1-3 and just got their teeth kicked in on the East Coast, which has become an October tradition. The quarterback's a question mark and every time the coach talks to reporters he starts with an injury report that could double as a med-school textbook.
Just look at what happened Wednesday. Coach Jim Mora said he was excited to have only five starters out. Unless I'm taking crazy pills, this sounds like the same song, second verse of what happened last year.
To which the glass-is-half-full fan might respond: Well, it's exactly the same except for the fact that Seattle has exactly zero players on injured reserve. There were five on that list this time last year.
The Seahawks have suffered injuries, but they haven't been of the season-ending variety. Last year Hasselbeck had a tricky back ailment. This year it's a rib, which is painful but not particularly complex.
Half empty: But don't go trying to tell me that tackle Walter Jones is going to get better. Remember when he underwent microfracture surgery last December? Remember all that hullabaloo about it being a non-weight-bearing surface of Jones' knee? Well, it's 10 months later and he still hasn't played in a game, and he won't practice for at least another two weeks.
And even if he does come back, what's reasonable to expect? He's not going to be the automatic stopper he was before.
So what if Hasselbeck comes back? He won't stay back.
Half full: Jones is not going to be the best player in football like he was in 2005. But he's going to be better than anything Seattle's trotting out there now.
And say he is done for the year. Sean Locklear will be back by November and Brandon Frye is a young player who's going to get better. Seattle is down its two best tackles right now and it is two missed field goals away from being 2-2.
Half empty: But Hasselbeck doesn't play defense, does he? Neither does Jones. So how do you explain away Seattle giving up four touchdown drives of more than 75 yards in Indianapolis' first five possessions last week?
Am I really supposed to believe the absence of linebacker Leroy Hill and cornerbacks Josh Wilson and Marcus Trufant explains why the defense functioned like a speed bump?
Half full: Seattle looked bad on the road facing one of the game's most precise passers while playing without two of its three best cornerbacks. If the Seahawks had to play 12 more games against Peyton Manning, last week's game could be an indication of serious problems. But because it was Manning, it also just might be an aberration, especially if you consider Seattle started its backup quarterback and had its two best first-half drives derailed by penalties.
Half empty: Boy, you're so optimistic you probably expected someone to trade for Brandon Coutu before Seattle cut him.
Half full: Ummm, no. Optimistic is not a synonym for unrealistic.
Half empty: OK, talk your way out of this stone-cold fact: Seattle has never made the playoffs after starting 1-3. Never.
Half full: But they weren't always playing in the NFC West, either. Seattle has previously had eight seasons in which it began the year 1-3. The Seahawks finished with a winning record in two of those eight seasons (1979 and 1990). They finished with seven or more wins in five of those eight years, so chances are the Seahawks aren't going to be this bad all year.
Half empty: Well, Seattle started 1-3 last year, which was the perfect indicator for the season.
Half full: There you go, dwelling on the negative again.
Half empty: And there you go ignoring it. For now, we'll agree to disagree. Check back in two months to find out who was right.
Danny O'Neil: 206-464-2364 or seattletimes.com">email@example.com


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Violence and Threats against Lawyers Practising in Vancouver, Canada
Brown, Karen N., MacAlister, David, Canadian Journal of Criminology and Criminal Justice
Are lawyers becoming casualties of their profession? Violence, threats, and abuse against practising lawyers have been investigated with little, if any, frequency in Canada. Although some research does exist on this subject, no significant statistics have been compiled in Canada on the forces surrounding violent acts against legal practitioners. Much of the research in this vein has focused on violence against members of the judiciary. Sometimes such research also addresses violence against other courtroom personnel. It cannot be assumed that the phenomenon of violence against the judiciary is similar to that which prevails against lawyers. For example, the primary focus of studies on judiciary violence is the prevalence, severity, and location of the violence, in order to monitor, amend, or improve procedures and protocols for courthouse security. In addition, the dynamics of violence against judges may also be difficult to compare with violence perpetrated solely against lawyers. That is, although some of the tenets of violence may be similar, judiciary violence may be quite different and diverse, thereby leading to erroneous assumptions about violence against lawyers. Take, for instance, the location of judiciary violence. It can be assumed that a good percentage of incidents occur inside a courtroom (Calhoun 1998), whereas violent acts against lawyers likely vary in the number of occurrences, as well as the severity and location of incidents.
In both Canada and the United States, there is no established system for reporting threats or violence against lawyers to their respective professional associations--the Canadian Bar Association and the American Bar Association. If there were such a process, analysis of the phenomenon might be facilitated. Reports of violent or threatening incidents to the police are lost into the uniform crime-reporting system, which does not permit analysis of incidents based on the occupation of the victim. Since there are no statistics readily available to facilitate analysis of how insidious the problem may be, or to determine whether such violent incidents are on the rise (Brady 1998), researchers are left to collect their own data directly from those working in the legal profession.
Accordingly, using survey data from Vancouver, BC, and its surrounding suburbs, this research will address the extent to which lawyers are affected by threats and/or violence.
Nature of work-related violence
The terms workplace and work-related violence have varied meanings in the context of this article. In a manner consonant with that of Wynne, Clarkin, Cox, and Griffiths (1996), "work-related" violence is defined as "incidents where persons are abused, threatened or assaulted in circumstances related to their work [italics added], involving an explicit or implicit challenge to their safety, well-being and health" (1).
Accordingly, there can be numerous differences between what is considered workplace and work-related violence. Workplace violence occurs usually when aggressive disputes take place between employers and employees, or contentious issues arise between personnel. Furthermore, although the construction of workplace often conjures images of predetermined physical locations where individuals usually work, it may not take into account "mobile or geographically diverse occupations" where workers are not fixed in one location but travel or move in diverse directions in the course of their occupation (Martino 2003: 886). Those with jobs that require them to travel while working may experience violence that does not occur in their immediate workplace, yet the violent incidents may still be work-related. Accordingly, lawyers may often practise law in various sites--from their business offices to courthouses or other government institutions, in or about which threatening or violent incidents may occur. For that reason, it is important to distinguish between workplace and work-related violence in relation to this topic, because it is imperative to understand that work-related violence pertaining to lawyers can encompass varied scenarios in numerous locations--that is, in or around courthouses or other judicial buildings, at or near their businesses or residences, on the street, and so forth. …


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Welcome to our free ringtones website, where it's possible to find epic ringtones for your mobile. Today we have a ringtone of "Natalie" by Bruno Mars as well as 15983 other ringtones by Bruno Mars. "Natalie" is a gorgeous track from the "Unorthodox Jukebox" album that was composed by Bruno Mars at their recording studio together with other 26 tracks. You can listen to all 65 Bruno Mars – "Natalie" ringtone variations available here and download it for free directly to your smart phone. You can also select other 9 albums produced by Bruno Mars for all time. "Natalie" is referred to Pop, and you may listen to a huge amount of Pop videos absolutely for free. And finally, we have collected lyrics for this track and you can view it here as well. So feel free to browse, listen, download ringtones at Audiko.net. Make your phone sound cool!
Bruno Mars - Natalie
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Discover a selection of top forums captive imho-hangout on the internet. Come to share your passion on forums captive imho-hangout and meet other fans of captive imho-hangout. Then, why don't you create your own forum of captive imho-hangout ?
Free forum : Hang out with your friends at the zone.
Free forum : a place to store my stuff
Free forum : A place to talk about the beach. Show pictures and video. Hangout
free, forum, beach, sand, gulf, talk, florida, sunshine, miramar, pictures, destin, video
Where me and Merriska hangout


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Odyssey Batteries - The "Extreme" Drycell Batteries
Odyssey the "Extreme" battery combines extreme power and performance for your automobile, light truck, marine, commercial, racing and Power Sports application. Typically, batteries either offer cranking power or deep cycle reserve power - Odyssey offers both by employing thinner, 99.99% pure virgin lead plates for more surface area inside the battery.
Odyssey PC2150MJS 12V 100Ah Battery Replacement
Starting at: $325.00
Odyssey PC1700 12V 68Ah Battery Replacement
Starting at: $311.68
Phenomenal starting power and massive deep cycle reserve power in one battery! Some batteries provide enormous cranking power. Others, deep cycle reserve power. The revolutionary ODYSSEY® battery is designed to do both. How is this possible? The answer begins with flat plates made of 99.99% pure virgin lead - not lead alloy. Pure lead plates can be made thinner, so we can fit more of them in the battery. More ODYSSEY battery plates mean more plate surface area. And that means more power – twice as much as conventional batteries. In fact, ODYSSEY batteries are capable of providing engine cranking pulses in excess of 2250 amps for 5 seconds – double to triple that of equally sized conventional batteries, even at very low temperatures. And they can handle 400 charge-discharge cycles to 80% depth of discharge. This extreme combination of power and performance makes ODYSSEY batteries perfect for a range of applications, including automotive/LTV, marine, commercial, and Power Sports. Designed and built to last up to 3 times as long. Odyssey batteries deliver twice the overall cranking power and three times the life of conventional batteries in the market! Backed by the best warranty program in the industry, it is no surprise that Odyssey batteries typically last up to ten years. Thanks to rugged construction and AGM (Absorbed Glass Mat) design, ODYSSEY batteries have an 8-12 year design life and a 3-10 year service life. Welded intercell connections enable it to withstand extreme vibration, and AGM design holds acid in place to prevent spills, even when installed on its side. And unlike conventional batteries, ODYSSEY batteries can be stored for up to 2 years and still be returned to full power.*