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Reviews by berthor
Fighting, without abusive tactics.berthor | Aug. 23, 2013 | Review of Skullgirls - PC
A very solid game from technical aspects, smooth responsive control with all the great things you've come to love from the genre, minus the things you hate most - balance frustrations and tier characters. One might not enjoy the aesthetics or the all female cast, but the characters do cover a wide enough range of unique personality and game-play behavior that you should find something you like. ...and as I've said, from a technical standpoint this one is a beauty.
Defining the hybrid game.berthor | Aug. 3, 2013 | Review of Deus Ex Game of the Year Edition Steam - PC
RPG, stealth action, shooter. Which one is it, is it all three? It's whatever you want! With numerous solutions to every problem, catering to how you want to play the game if not to the very way you think, you will have utter freedom in resolving the issue at hand. Is it that auto-turret over there that's bothering you? Go around it into a vent and laugh as you casually crawl along. How about you toss an emp grenade at it and then blast the guards that show up to see what happened? Maybe you could make it over to that terminal over there and hack it, take the turret down, or at least the camera that activates it. Develop your character not only with nano-augmentations, but with his basic skills and understandings. Maybe you focus on your skill with rifles and your agent can't swim too well... maybe he loves pistols but doesn't know the first thing about proper use of hand grenades. Like being able to stab people really hard? We've got an augment for that. Would you like an emp shield to be invisible to bots, cams, and triplasers, or would you like active camouflage to fool all those foot soldiers? Sure you'll control it like an FPS, but how are you going to play it? I'm not even going to talk about the perfect story, lest I accidentally spoil it.
Rewardingberthor | Aug. 3, 2013 | Review of They Bleed Pixels (1) - PC
The second most challenging game I've ever played. If you can manage the difficulty it becomes incredibly entertaining. Extremely intense platforming, skillful and violent combat, and lots of blood are the key points to this game.
A new story as much as a prequelberthor | Aug. 3, 2013 | Review of Deus Ex Human Revolution (1) - PC
This game is an experience, not quite up to the level of the first, but what is? Play the way you want. Resolve every issue the way you see fit. Be what you want, as long as you are some kind of cyborg. Want to be a cyborg John Rambo? You got it. Want to be a cyborg-pacifist-ninja? Yup. Cyborg James Bond? Sure thing! Elusive cyborg hacker? Oh, you get it already? Ok, sorry. Be ready to enjoy being a cyborg of some sort as you punch through walls, crawl through vents, hack things, and pop skulls with your whatever kind of gun you like. ...unless you don't like guns or popping skulls, it's up to you. Someone stole that ladies purse! What are you going to do? A. Chase after the punk and recover the purse by bribing him with the promise of keeping his shins intact. B. Ignore the entire situation. C. Brain the fleeing punk with your 10mil and proceed about your day. D. Catch the punk and take the purse for yourself, after breaking his jaw with a manly cyberpunch.
Nods and (almost) cheats.berthor | Aug. 3, 2013 | Review of Deus Ex Human Revolution Explosive Mission Pack - PC
So, to start off we have the items to discuss. The AUD items work similar to multitools in DX, point at a hackable item, press the grenade button, and watch it unlock/login. If you don't think they are appropriate and break the game, drop them as you find them. Grenade launchers are a lot of fun. Can you even manage to carry this thing around along with your other gear? You can? Ok then I guess if you don't think it breaks the game, you can take it with you. If you think it is unbalanced, drop it. The mission : This is the real reason to get this DLC, even though it is very short. It blends in seamlessly with the rest of the game and gives a superior nod to the Tong you may be more familiar with. The difficulty is on par with the rest of the game. Want more Deus Ex in your Deus Ex? Grab this.
Spectacularberthor | Aug. 3, 2013 | Review of Dark Souls Prepare to Die Edition NA - PC
This game is spectacular for many reasons, but I want start with one of the lesser mentioned things that really makes the game what it is; the environment. As you are wandering about this crazy place you may start to realize more and more that this place isn't just a sequence of levels, and that there are alternate paths and shortcuts that are ridden across the world. This world doesn't have little 'corridors' where you walk into the next zone and can't get in any other way. No, this land is an intricately designed masterpiece of architecture. NO LOADING SCREENS. Now, the rest of the game... Imagine someone took Zelda, scrapped out the puzzles and really matured and perfected the combat system to technical mastery. That is what you get here, with the extra bonus of extreme difficulty. You will need to watch not only your health, but the level of exhaustion is extremely important, over exert yourself and you'll be left wide open, with your guard easily ignored and your body soon to be crushed. The characters are unique. Every enemy is life-threatening if you don't stay cautious. The bosses are jaw-dropping. Environments are beautiful, or when intended, pretty ugly and disgusting. This game is a must play for any video-adventurer.


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May 2, 2016
Creswell junior basketball player Danvonta Phelps is not only the lead of his team, he's one of the state's leading scorers and WITN's Player Of The Week.
Just step through the doorway of the small gymnasium at creswell high school and it's very easy to figure out who's top Tiger. Not just because he wears number one on his jersey or because at 6'3" and a very lean 190 pounds he physically the most athletic looking player on the court. But because the numbers simply don't lie.
Donvanta Phelps is one of the state's most prolific scorers averaging 22.2 points a game, that's in the top 20 in the state. Phelps also averages 11.6 rebounds, 16th best in North Carolina.
Danvonta Phelps is also a standout high school football player. As a quarterback last season he led the Tigers to a 10-3 record and a birth in the second round of the state playoffs.
Along with the countless hours on the field and on the court Phelps still finds time to do well in the classroom, work on the yearbook staff and devote time to his community.
Click Here to access the online Public Inspection File
Viewers with disabilities can get assistance accessing this station's FCC Public Inspection File by contacting the station with the information listed below. Questions or concerns relating to the accessibility of the FCC's online public file system should be directed to the FCC at 888-225-5322, 888-835-5322 (TTY), or firstname.lastname@example.com.

subset: commoncrawl


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A 100-loss season.
It's no longer just some nightmare number on the distant horizon. It's now perched on the Rockies' doorstep, thanks to a nine-game losing streak.
With 10 games remaining, the Rockies are 58-94, which means they must go 5-5 to avoid the disgrace of posting the first 100-loss season in franchise history.
Are the players aware of it? Do they care?
"I think it matters," veteran pitcher Jeff Francis said Sunday after the Rockies fell 10-7 to Arizona. "We don't like losing one game, and 100 is that number that really, really stinks."
The Rockies and the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim, an expansion team formed in 1961, are the only franchises never to have had a 100-loss season.
The Rockies have lost 95 games twice, in their inaugural 1993 season and in 2005, when they went all in with their homegrown youth movement. Just two more losses would make this their worst season ever.
"I wouldn't say it's in our minds every time we take the field, but when you lose, and when you lose a lot in a row, it enters your mind," Francis added. "We don't play our games trying not to lose 100 games. We have more important things to think about."
Manager Jim Tracy, clearly worn down by the latest in a long line of defeats, continues to praise his team for its effort. If the specter of 100 losses is haunting him, he's not saying so.
"I think the important thing for us is to continue to come out and play the game very, very hard," Tracy said. "If your players are giving you everything they have got, you have to take what comes your way. It's that simple."
Veteran Michael Cuddyer, on the disabled list since Aug. 19 with a strained right oblique, can do nothing but watch as the Rockies' misery mounts. He has experienced this kind of season before. Last season, he was the Minnesota Twins' lone all-star when they finished 63-99.
"I'm not sure what the real difference is between 98, 99 or 100," Cuddyer said. "Now don't get me wrong, it's not that we don't care. Of course we care. As a matter of personal pride, you care. You don't want to have that triple digit in your loss column.
"But you play for more than avoiding 100 losses. That's an arbitrary number. You play for pride, you go out and play the game right. You have to continue to fight."
Third baseman Chris Nelson, who has put together a solid season to put himself into contention for a full-time role next season, believes the Rockies will pull out of their late-season tailspin and avoid the dreaded century mark.
"Nobody wants a 100-loss season. You can go around the league and ask anybody about that," Nelson said. "But we can bounce back. And know each and every player in this clubhouse thinks we can rally together and put together a good finish."
Patrick Saunders: 303-954-1428, firstname.lastname@example.com or twitter.com/psaundersdp
The worst of times
The 2012 Rockies are closing fast on the worst record in franchise history. A look at the worst seasons in the club's 20-year history:
1993: 67-95 (.414) — The inaugural season for the expansion franchise, but at least Andres Galarraga won the NL batting title with a .370 average.
2005: 67-95 (.414) — A full-scale youth movement begins; team goes to World Series two years later.
2004: 68-94 (.420) — Rockies relievers post 5.53 ERA, second worst in team history.
1999: 72-90 ( .444) — The one-year disaster of the Jim Leyland era. The team had a 6.01 ERA.
2012: 58-94 (.382) — With 10 games remaining, the worst record ever seems certain; a 100-loss season is lurking. Patrick Saunders, The Denver Post


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Linens 'n Things is exptected to close its Connecticut stores by the end of this year, so cash those gift cards and gift certificates NOW.
State Consumer Protection Commissioner Jerry Farrell Jr., also warned Wednesday that shoppers should also closely examine merchandise before buying, because there are no returns.
His complete press release is as follows:
Linens 'n Things closes all of its 371 remaining stores in 48 states, including nine in Connecticut, the Department of Consumer Protection is advising consumers to use their store gift cards immediately and choose their items carefully.
The bankrupt New Jersey-based retailer was unable to find a buyer willing to take over the locations as a going concern. Linens 'n Things filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in May and already closed 218 stores this year, including stores in Farmington and Lisbon.
A company spokesperson has said that the company's remaining inventory was sold to a group of liquidators; Gordon Brothers Retail Partners LLC is overseeing the liquidation in Connecticut. All stores will close permanently after the liquidation sales are finished.
"There is no definitive final closing date, but we believe they will be done before the end of 2008," Consumer Protection Commissioner Jerry Farrell said today. "Consumers with store credit and gift cards should use them now."
Shoppers should understand there are no returns or refunds on items purchased after October 17th.
"I urge customers to shop carefully, because the no return, no refund policy is very clearly stated," Farrell said. "We've been told that stores have set up testing tables for consumers. Before purchasing, consumers should see a store representative and test items to determine if they are defective. Consumers may remove items from packaging in order to check for defects."
The store's normal policy of allowing returns up to 60 days after purchase with a receipt now applies only to items bought between August 18th and October 17th. Nothing purchased before August 18th or after October 17th may be returned. Consumers who have questions or concerns should contact the Linens 'n Things headquarters at
"We have been told that phone assistance to consumers is available at that number," Farrell said.
"Persons who believe they have been unfairly treated after trying to resolve a problem with the liquidators should file a written complaint immediately with the Department of Consumer Protection, Trade Practices Division, 165 Capitol Avenue, Hartford, CT. We'll need a full written explanation of the problem and copies of receipts and any other relevant paperwork so that we may advocate on consumers' behalf."


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GS2 Carbon
The GS grip series offers an optimized balance of comfort and performance required by top endurance athletes. A completely new grip from the ground up, it uses DirectControl Leichtbau rubber to keep the weight down, combined with a new, more cushioned form to protect the hands better on all day rides, 24 hour and marathon racing. The grip has 3 distinct areas, using different compounds and textures to provide grip and comfort as required. The GS2 Leichtbau Carbon adds a independently adjustable 3 finger bar end from 100% carbon (50 g each bar end).
* Weights may vary in production.
|Weight / Size
|approx. 7.5 oz. (212 g)* / S (Small)
L (Large)
|100% Carbon (Bar end)
|Mountain Biking, Endurance Racing
|$ 99,95
The Size Difference.
As hand size is different from person to person, Ergon manufactures the GP, GS and GA ranges in two sizes - Small and Large. This difference is in the diameter of the grip. The reason for this is that a larger hand is better able to grip a larger grip with less stress and effort.
This is the same in reverse for small grip. A smaller hand needs a smaller grip to allow the hand to close around it. Of course, this is all also down to personal preference.


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… but it stands on a weak foundation.
The expected rebound in stocks and commodities has continued on Monday, but there are a number of signs that this is not much more than a short covering rally that is unlikely to last. Although yields on euro area government bonds and CDS on them have continued to decline (we will update the euro area charts tomorrow), the fact remains that the economy is under pressure, so bounces in stocks have to be approached with great caution – they are more likely to represent selling opportunities than a reason to buy at this stage. Notably the recent rally has inter alia been triggered by a short selling ban in several European countries. Short selling bans have historically always been medium term bearish events – they can trigger a bounce lasting for a few days, but in the long run they are extremely counterproductive, as they lower liquidity and hinder the price discovery process. By taking away the opportunity to hedge, they ultimately create even more selling pressure than would have appeared otherwise. This latest short selling ban is thus likely destined to fail as well – one wonders why the authorities even bother.
Consider the chart of the S&P 500 Index below, where we have penciled in the currently relevant fibonacci retracement levels.
The S&P 500 Index with the broken neckline (dark blue dotted line) with fibonacci retracement levels. Yesterday's rally ended at the 38.2% retracement level. Note that volume on rallies is declining sharply – a sign of weakness – click for higher resolution.
Among the things we find worrisome for stocks is the fact that several other markets have been very reluctant to 'confirm' the rebound. For instance, the 10 year t-note yield has hardly budged so far and gold has actually reversed and once again closed in positive territory on Monday. Given the recent negative correlation between stocks and gold, this represents a subtle warning sign.
The 10 year t-note yield – not much of a bounce yet – click for higher resolution.
Gold closes in positive territory on Monday, thereby producing a subtle non-confirmation signal for the stock market rally – click for higher resolution.
Crude oil with lateral resistance levels. Crude has followed the stock market higher, but here too we see a sharp decline in trading volume on the rebound – click for higher resolution.
In addition to the above, the complacency of market participants remains uncommonly high. Consider for instance the Investors Intelligence poll, which currently shows that 47% of financial advisors are bullish on stocks, while there are only 23% who are bearish. It is astonishing that people are not more worried about the stock market's likely future performance in view of the recent crash.
The Investors Intelligence poll of stock market advisors: bulls outnumber bears by more than 2:1. This is incredible complacency in view of the recent market crash – click for higher resolution.
The Stock Market and the Pool of Real Savings
We would nevertheless expect the rebound to continue for a little while (although not without interruptions – there is likely to be a fair amount of short term volatility in both directions). Eventually the market should either come back down for a retest of the crash low, or – and we think that is actually quite likely – should break below it and go even lower.
Readers may recall that we briefly talked on Friday about the recent surge in money supply in all the major currency blocs. Normally such a sharp rise in the money supply will tend to support asset prices, especially in the face of declining economic activity, as less money will be used in the real economy – so there will be 'excess liquidity' that is often spilling over into stocks.
However, a word of caution is advisable in this context. As we noted in our little missive on Paul Krugman's wish for an attack from outer space, the state of the pool of real funding is what ultimately funds and determines economic activity. We always believed that one of the symptoms that would show that monetary pumping is failing to revive economic activity would be weakness in the stock market in spite of the presence of excess liquidity. If the pool of real funding is stagnating or declining, then excess liquidity, instead of spilling over into the stock market, would flee into assets considered safer than stocks. This happened in fact in the early 1930's, as Frank Shostak reports here.
Indeed, Mr. Shostak confirms our idea that the stock market's reaction to monetary pumping represents circumstantial evidence regarding the state of the pool of real savings – an idea we first mentioned in late 2008. He writes:
"If the pool of real savings is in trouble, then various key economic data will have difficulty performing well. If the pool of real savings is falling, then an increase in liquidity is not likely to be employed in the stock market. The state of the pool of real savings dictates the economy's ability to generate wealth — that is, economic growth.
For instance, the yearly rate of growth of industrial production fell from 15.3 percent in January 1929 to negative 24.6 percent in October 1930. The growth momentum of the consumer-price index (CPI) also had a large fall during this period. The yearly rate of growth fell from negative 1.2 percent in January 1929 to negative 6.4 percent in December 1930.
In response to these large falls, the yearly rate of growth of surplus money increased from negative 16.6 percent in May 1929 to a positive figure of 25.5 percent by November 1930. Despite this strong increase in liquidity, the S&P 500 fell from 24.15 in October 1929 to 15.34 by December 1930 — a fall of 36.5 percent. The index in fact continued to slide falling to 4.4 by June 1932 — a fall of 81.8 percent from October 1929.
The inability of the increase in liquidity to affect the stock market from May 1929 to December 1930 was because of a fall in the pool of real savings. The ensuing depression and massive unemployment pushed people to stay out of any form of risky investment for safety reasons."
(emphasis added)
This mirrors our thinking on the matter and is one of the reasons why we would caution that a sharp rise in the money supply and free liquidity is not a guarantee for a rising stock market. The Fed can create money, but it has no control over where this money ultimately goes.
Since we believe that the credit booms of the four decades old fiat money system have done grave damage to the pool of real funding and consumed untold amounts of scarce capital, we are not at all certain that the stock market will keep rising if the pace of monetary pumping is increased. This is something one should keep in mind when considering what to expect – normally, the strong rise in free liquidity should lift stock prices, but if it fails to do so, then that would be a very bad sign indeed. It would likely indicate that a severe economic depression was in train.
The Great Default's sad 40th Anniversary
Yesterday it was exactly 40 years since president Nixon severed the dollar's last remaining link to gold – effectively defaulting on the Bretton Woods agreement in the process – and introduced price controls in a vain attempt to keep inflation at bay.
Ever since, the world has been on a pure fiat money standard of free-floating currencies and not surprisingly, the biggest credit bubble in all of history has ensued. The incredible inflation of the credit and money supply since 1971 has ultimately brought us to the current juncture, where the system finds itself on the brink of catastrophic failure.
A good overview over the disastrous economic policies pursued by Nixon and his partner-in-crime Arthur Burns, then chairman of the Federal Reserve, can be found in an article at Bloomberg that chronicles the events that culminated in the decision to throw gold overboard – 'The Nixon Shock'.
Incredibly, in spite of the fact that the evidence of what a terrible policy decision this was continues to pile up all around us, some people think that Nixon's failures should serve as an 'example for Obama' – one 'worth emulating'. No, we're not kidding. Bruce Bartless writes: 'Nixon's Radical Economics: A Lesson For Obama'. At first we thought that Bartlett meant Nixon's escapades should serve as a warning, but no:
"As Barack Obama struggles to find his Presidential footing in the face of a weakening economy, tinderbox stock market, and hard-headed opposition, it is instructive to consider this: On August 15, 1971, Richard Nixon implemented the most radical economic program in American history. And it was all done over a single weekend in secrecy worthy of the atomic bomb project during World War II.
While ultimately unsuccessful, the Nixon program showed what a forceful president can do to completely change the nation's course if he is willing to push the limit of his power."
Yeah, right – never mind whether an economic policy is a complete and utter disaster – the most important thing is that the president is willing to 'push the limits of his power' to show us how radical he can be! Let's advocate boldness for the sake of boldness, even if it means an economic debacle of unimaginable proportions.
Sometimes we wonder where they find the people coming up with such garbage. There must be a nest somewhere.
Christina Romer Continues to Push Her Flawed Depression History
For some reason interventionist inflationist theories continue to flourish like never before, in spite of the fact that we have just seen another such experiment end in failure. We have previously commented on the statism of Christina Romer, who these days snipes at the allegedly not 'bold enough' policymakers from her redoubt in Berkeley.
She has once again penned an editorial for the New York Times, pushing her faulty depression history and using it as a misguided argument supporting her demands for more inflation and more deficit spending. Once again she revives the old canard that 'World War II ended the depression' and argues that the 1930's give us 'reason for hope, if only our policymakers decide to employ their tools'. The image of policymakers who like car mechanics can somehow 'fix' the 'stalled engine' of the economy just won't go away. We would be inclined to ask, if it's so easy, why haven't they done it yet?
Romer writes:
"Look more closely at history and you'll see that the truth is much more complicated — and less gloomy. While the war helped the recovery from the Depression, the economy was improving long before military spending increased. More fundamentally, the wrenching wartime experience provides a message of hope for our troubled economy today: we have the tools to deal with our problems, if only policy makers will use them.
As I showed in an academic paper years ago, the war first affected the economy through monetary developments. Starting in the mid-1930s, Hitler's aggression caused capital flight from Europe. People wanted to invest somewhere safer — particularly in the United States. Under the gold standard of that time, the flight to safety caused large gold flows to America. The Treasury Department under President Franklin D. Roosevelt used that inflow to increase the money supply.
The result was an aggressive monetary expansion that effectively ended deflation. Real borrowing costs decreased and interest-sensitive spending rose rapidly. The economy responded strongly. From 1933 to 1937, real gross domestic product grew at an annual rate of almost 10 percent, and unemployment fell from 25 percent to 14. To put that in perspective, G.D.P. growth has averaged just 2.5 percent in the current recovery, and unemployment has barely budged.
There is clearly a lesson for modern policy makers. Monetary expansion was very effective in the mid-1930s, even though nominal interest rates were near zero, as they are today. The Federal Reserve's policy statement last week provided tantalizing hints that it may be taking this lesson to heart and using its available tools more aggressively in coming months.
One reason the Depression dragged on so long was that the rapid recovery of the mid-1930s was interrupted by a second severe recession in late 1937. Though many factors had a role in the "recession within a recession," monetary and fiscal policy retrenchment were central. In monetary policy, the Fed doubled bank reserve requirements and the Treasury stopped monetizing the gold inflow. In fiscal policy, the federal budget swung sharply, from a stimulative deficit of 3.8 percent of G.D.P. in 1936 to a small surplus in 1937.
The lesson here is to beware of withdrawing policy support too soon. A switch to contractionary policy before the economy is fully recovered can cause the economy to decline again. Such a downturn may be particularly large when an economy is still traumatized from an earlier crisis."
Well, as we noted in our previous comments on Romer's interpretation, if you look even more closely at these alleged 'good times' within the depression and the subsequent retrenchment, you find that things were not exactly as 'hopeful' as she paints them. In fact, you soon realize why the period is nowadays known as the 'Great Depression' and not the 'two little recessions book-ending the great state-financed boom of the 1930's'.
There were, as Romer rightly notes, a great many reasons why things happened the way they did. All her story shows is that 'historical data' can be used to 'prove' just about anything – they are however no replacement for good economic theory. Unfortunately it remains impossible to 'buy' a genuine sustainable economic recovery with deficit spending and money printing. What Romer forgets is that the necessary liquidation of malinvested capital can only be delayed, but never averted by such interventions. If anything, they will make the eventual retrenchment all the worse – which is precisely what happened in 1937-38. It was not a 'mistake' to stop the deficit spending and money printing orgy in 1937 – it was a mistake to start with it in the first place and then stopping it so late. Had the authorities waited even longer, the subsequent recession would have been even worse. Had they simply continued along the path they were on, they would eventually have invited a complete conflagration of the currency system. That is the only lesson worth learning from 1937
Euro Area Chart Update
Below is our usual collection of charts of CDS spreads and bond yields in the euro area, plus a few other charts – prices in basis points, color-coded where applicable. We have added a few new charts that may be of interest, such as UoM consumer sentiment and a long term view of French and Spanish CDS spreads.
5 year CDS on Portugal, Italy, Greece and Spain – still in pullback mode (see also a few of the individual CDS charts further below for a longer term view) – click for higher resolution.
5 year CDS on Ireland, France, Belgium and Japan – the move in Japanese CDS is beginning to look suspicious – a left of field problem apporaching? Japan is a 'gray swan' – click for higher resolution.
5 year CDS on Bulgaria, Croatia, Hungary and Austria – all pulling back now as the euro area crisis temporarily calms down again – click for higher resolution.
5 year CDS on Latvia, Lithuania, Slovenia and Slovakia – click for higher resolution.
5 year CDS on Romania, Poland, Slovakia and Estonia – we should keep an eye on Poland (we will have more to say on CEE nations tomorrow) – click for higher resolution.
5 year CDS on Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Morocco and Turkey – following their European counterparts – click for higher resolution.
10 year government bond yields of Ireland, Greece, Portugal and Spain – some are beginning to bounce once again – click for higher resolution.
10 year government bond yields of Italy and Austria, UK gilts and the Greek 2 year note – not much change, except that Greek debt is once again selling off – click for higher resolution.
5 year CDS on BAC (Bank of America) – a slight pullback, but not much has changed really. Still close to a 10 year high – click for higher resolution.
3 month euro basis swap – a small bounce, but nothing earth-shattering. This remains at a worrisome level – click for higher resolution.
5 year CDS on France – a small pullback as well, but this long term chart shows how precarious the situation remains – click for higher resolution.
5 year CDS on Germany – also a tiny pullback – click for higher resolution.
5 year CDS on Spain, a long term view. This shows that in spite of the recent pullback, the current level remains rather concerning – click for higher resolution.
5 year CDS on the 'Big Four' Australian banks – also a tiny pullback, but nothing that threatens the uptrend yet – click for higher resolution.
University of Michigan consumer sentiment, a long term chart – this is the lowest level since 1980 – click for higher resolution.
University of Michigan consumer sentiment, expecations index – good grief! – click for higher resolution.
Charts by: StockCharts.com, Decisionpoint.com, Bloomberg
Emigrate While You Can... Learn More
Dear Readers! We are happy to report that we have reached our turn-of-the-year funding goal and want to extend a special thank you to all of you who have chipped in. We are very grateful for your support! As a general remark, according to usually well informed circles, exercising the donation button in between funding drives is definitely legal and highly appreciated as well.
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Bill Kristol - the Gartman of Politics? It has become a popular sport at Zerohedge to make fun of financial pundits who appear regularly on TV and tend to be consistently wrong with their market calls. While this Schadenfreude type reportage may strike some as a bit dubious, it should be noted that it is quite harmless compared to continually leading people astray with dodgy advice. To answer the question posed in the picture with the benefit of hindsight: not really.... (look...
- Running Mate Turns Into Fall Girl
Odd Couple While checking on the US primaries a few days ago, we came across a piece of news informing us that pretend candle-swallower Ted Cruz had picked Carly Fiorina as his "vice-presidential running mate". Our first thought upon hearing this was "WTF"? The match made in heaven... two loooosers find each other. Photo credit: AP It's not so much that he's picking another "loooooser" as The Donald would put it...the real absurdity of it is that...
- 100 Years of Mismanagement
Lost From the Get-Go There must be some dark corner of Hell warming up for modern, mainstream economists. They helped bring on the worst bubble ever… with their theories of efficient markets and modern portfolio management. They failed to see it for what it was. Then, when trouble came, they made it worse. But instead of atoning in a dank cell, these same economists strut onto the stage to congratulate themselves. The scalawag himself. Keynes provided governments with the...
- Bank of Japan: The Limits of Monetary Tinkering
Damned If You Do... After waking up on Thursday, we quickly glanced at the overnight market action in Asia and noticed that the Nikkei had tanked rather noticeably. Our first thought upon seeing this was "must be the yen" - and so it was: June yen futures, daily – taking off again - click to enlarge. Given the BoJ's bizarre plan to push consumer price inflation to a 2% annualized rate within [enter movable goal post here] years, Mr. Kuroda cannot be overly...


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Food Sources
Understanding what foods contribute to energy, nutrient, and food group intake enhances our ability to monitor diets relative to recommendations and gives context for dietary guidance. Examining the top sources of dietary constituents that should be reduced is especially helpful for identifying targets for changes in the marketplace and food environment.
The top food sources of the dietary components listed below have been identified using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Both the percentage contribution (e.g., 5.3% of energy from soda) and mean contribution (e.g., 114 kcal from soda) of various foods to each dietary component are provided, with stratification by age group, gender, race/ethnicity, and family income.
MyPyramid Food groups
- Fat
- Total fat
- Saturated fatty acids
- Other fatty acids
- Cholesterol
- Protein
- Carbohydrate
- Fiber
Energy & Discretionary Calories
- Energy
- Calories from solid fats
- Calories from added sugars
- Dietary sources of Energy, Solid Fats, and Added Sugars Among Children & Adolescents in the US, J Am Diet Assoc, Oct. 2010
Last Modified: 11 Apr 2014


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I had this product 25 years ago (in socialist times I bought one original glass package of DERRICK for 7$ from DUTY FREE SHOP "[...]" in Sofia,...Read complete review
I had this product 25 years ago (in socialist times I bought one original glass package of DERRICK for 7$ from DUTY FREE SHOP "[...]" in Sofia, BULGARIA. In the original glass package there are some drops. I keep them to compare with the contains of new one original glass package of DERRICK BLACK COLOGNE. I hope that I'll receive the same satisfaction.
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Swelling and tenderness around c section incision?
I had a c section 3 weeks ago this coming monday. I had a well-nurse visit yesterday who looked at my incision, and she said it looked okay, but she was unsure because its not her area of expertise. However the last 2 or 3 days Ive noticed a lot of swelling and puffiness in the area above and below the incision. The cut itself doesnt hurt, but about 2 inches above, and the whole pubic mound area. Both hurt to the touch, and the mound area is red. Is this possibly the start of an infection, or is the swelling and tenderness normal? Its just the area around the cut... not the cut itself. Its starting to get painful to sit forward again. :/
Posted: 12/11/2010 by removed_26-apr-2012 02:16:22 pm
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did u see the doc because you are describing exactly what I have. It started 2 days ago and the doc put me on antibiotics but i am going again today to have it rechecked because it looks redder and more swollenposted 12/16/2010 by suzannelubin
I've had three c sections and never had what you're describing. It might be a good idea to go get checkedposted 12/12/2010 by anaiyuk
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I know.. Why don't we cancel actual racing and all just take turns to see who can do the fastest lap... You'd win heaps then Casey..


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This article or section contains lore taken from Warcraft III: Reign of Chaos, Warcraft III: The Frozen Throne, the manuals, and official bonus maps.
|Fel orc
|Character class
|Blackrock clan
|Chieftain of the Blackrock Clan
Jubei'Thos, a fel orc blademaster, took up leadership of the Blackrock clan orcs in Lordaeron during the Third War. Jubei'Thos didn't join Thrall when he made the new Horde, possibly because they still worshiped demons and were ruled by warlocks and at least two fel orcs, something Thrall wouldn't accept.
- Note: It is unknown how or when he was transformed into a fel orc.
Jubei'Thos and the Blackrock warlocks sensed that the second coming of the Burning Legion was at hand, and took steps to prepare. Jubei'Thos commanded the Slave Master to capture many humans in the town of Strahnbrad and to the Blademaster of the Blackrock Clan to sacrifice them to appease their demon masters. The Slave Master was killed but captured villagers, then the Blademaster sacrificed the villagers, but Arthas and Uther discovered this and raided the Blackrock clan village, killing the Blademaster. Luckily for Jubei'Thos, Uther and Arthas left to home.[1]
The Blackrock clan built a Demon Gate to communicate with their demon masters. When Kel'Thuzad was reborn as a lich, he found out that the Demon Gate was needed to commune with the demon lord Archimonde. In an effort to reclaim it Arthas and Kel'thuzad battled the orcs guarding it. Jubei'Thos and his orcs believed that the Scourge was an impure race to the demons, and that his people were truly the chosen of the Burning Legion. Jubei'Thos and his clanmates died defending the gate against Kel'thuzad and Arthas.[2]
It is unknown how this group of the Blackrock clan is related to the Dark Horde. As their leader is different, fight for different causes (Jubei'Thos fight for the Burning Legion, while Rend Blackhand basically is still fighting the Second War against Stormwind), and were formed at different places and times it is very likely that they are not related.
- Jubei is the name of a random Blademaster.
- As with Haomarush, Genjuros, and Khanzo, Jubei'Thos is named after a character from the Samurai Shodown fighting game series, Jubei Yagyu. That name was also the title of Yagyu Mitsuyoshi.
| Preceded by:
Orgrim Doomhammer
| Position:
Chieftain of the Blackrock Clan (Lordaeron)
| Succeeded by:
None, group defeated


text: MP Ed Vaizey admits Livingstone gaming report initially ignored Culture 26 January 12 by Katie Scott CC-licensed: Hot Grill MP Ed Vaizey came along to the Learning Without Frontiers event last year fully expecting to be pelted with eggs, he told the audience at the 2012 event."I didn't have any answers for you last year. You were quite a skeptical audience although you treated me very well. The skeptism may still be there, but I believe that we've made progress," he said.Vaizey, the Minister for Culture, Communications and Creative Industries, was accompanied by games guru and now government advisor Ian Livingstone, and it was the games industry that he focussed upon in his speech.It was Vaizey who commissioned Livingstone, Life President of Eidos, and Alex Hope, Managing Director and Co-Founder of the VFX company Double Negative, to write the Next Gen report on the state of the UK games industry. "It made some very salient and sensible points," said Vaizey, not least because "the report was done with government but not of government. Many of the recommendations (17 out of the 20) were directed at business."But there it stalled, admits Vaizey. "They [Livingstone and Hope] produced this amazing report and then what happened was that the government didn't take a blind bit of notice." It took a speech by Google's Eric Schmidt to bring the issues laid out in the report to the public's attention, admitted Vaizey. "Schmidt stood up at the MacTaggart lecture in Edinburgh and said 'your IT curriculum focuses upon teaching how to use software but gives no insight into how it's made, which is just throwing away your great computer heritage.' For me, it was manna from heaven as Schmidt commands headlines and the message got through."Since then, Vaizey says that there has been a "sea-change" in government thinking about the games industry, stating with the issues of the ICT teaching in schools -- tackled by Michael Gove in his now often quoted speech. Vaizey reiterated some of the points made by Gove at the BETT conference -- but added that for him, "it's about co-ordination". "There are a lot of people interested in this subject and a lot of people doing innovative things," he said, adding that Livingstone has become the co-ordinator liaising between industry and organisation like the Royal Society, and the Government. "Key for me to make this work is to harness your enthusiasm but to give you clear signposting as to where your efforts can make the most difference in schools. The system has to be very porous. We have to have people who are working in business or working driven by their passions for computer science, and they have to be allowed to have flexible and open relationships with schools," said Vaizey. Edited by Nate Lanxon Latest on wired.co.uk


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Any runners, surfers, hikers, etc?
It's been so nice out lately that I'm wondering what all of you are spending your time doing?
I myself run. I've been working my way back up to it from breaking my leg last fall though. So it's more of a steady jog. :P
A group of good friends and I also go around to the state parks and forest preserves and hike when it's warmer. I'm looking forward to starting that again.
I also am looking to get back into biking. Did it a lot when I was about 10-15, but then stopped. I'll probably get a new bike this summer and start with that. I can also take the bike with me to college and ride there. :)
So what do you guys do? Whether it's yoga, walking/jogging/running, hiking, surfing, baseball, skateboarding, etc etc... tell!
Surfing! That's my number one choice of activity!
When the waves are crapola I can either go mountain biking w/ my dogs, hiking w/ my dogs, attend yoga classes (I've got an awesome studio I go to), ride my road bike or do yard work. I never run out of yard work and sometimes wish I would!
I also have a boat and slalom ski on a tournament lake but I haven't been out since last summer. I need to get fired up about doing that but it's so much prep work (and money!) that sometimes I wish I never bought a boat.
I envy you that you are able to run. I had to give it up when I was in my 30s as my back simply couldn't handle the pounding anymore. Glad your leg is healing and you can get back out there. :-)
Awesome. I wish I lived near the beach that I could learn to surf.
I would take my dog with me, but he's small so he gets tired fast. Yoga is fun too! They have a unit in my gym class on it, quite relaxing.
I also know how you feel about yard work. Lol. I help out with the flowers and garden in our yard. Takes a lot of time.
I just took these pictures today for my greenhouse before & after project. Some of them are still a work in progress, obviously.
Needs a lot of work.
My favorite one!
Still needs some work.
My dog likes to pee in this one.
Absolute mess, lol.
Blackberry bushes.
Haven't even touched this one.
We also have a large vegetable garden, but it's not eve tilled yet.
Are those pictures of your yard? What a fantastic yard! I see what you mean about alot of work, that's a big piece of property! Thanks for sharing the pics. :-)
I grew up horseback riding and I knew of nothing else until my back injury which stopped me from doing the one thing I absolutely loved. I also was on my tennis team and found out that I was really good at it!lol I've been trying to get out to play, but I'm still recovering from my stupid bruised bone. *rolls eyes* Great yard! My mom has about 8 big gardens that were horrible to clean so I know how much work that is. :P
Yes, they're of my yard. It's just under a half an acre. Pretty common for houses here.
I plan to do a bit of hiking these next few months. I'm going to be hiking around LA around the san gabriel mountains and then go up to yosemite over july 4th. Along with that, I plan on doing some biking during the summer. Winter just ended, but I did quite a bit of skiing and a little bit of snowboarding. :]
I don't do any of that kind of stuff. I've never been athletic and I've always had bad knees but I admire all of you who run, surf, bike, etc. I did ski one year when I lived in Colorado and I loved it.
I ski, play basketball, volleyball, bike, badminton... yeah. :)
I LOVE badminton! Probably because I love tennis too.lol A little different but pretty much the same idea. :P
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Croner-i Road Haulage Expert
Croner-i Road Haulage Expert is specifically designed for the UK haulage industry delivering the practical advice, information and support you need while saving time and money so that you can concentrate on running your business.
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text: The exterior of this handbag is in gently loved condition. The top handles are worn and the casing is cracked along the sides. There is a blue ink mark near the base and the snap is broken as well. The interior is in good condition, with some marks on the lining. It ships with a designer dust bag.


text:
It's hard not to be tickled by "Being Elmo: A Puppeteer's Journey."
Director Constance Marks' charming documentary celebrates the journey of Kevin Clash, the man who made the red, huggable "Sesame Street" sweetheart a bona fide celebrity. And while the film has garnered its share of audience awards at film festivals since winning a special jury prize at the Sundance Film Festival last January, it's more than a crowd-pleaser.
"Being Elmo" is a rich portrait of a creative soul, a fine argument for the power of mentorship, and an insightful reminder of the cultural impact of Jim Henson, creator of "Sesame Street" and the Muppets themselves.
When Clash was 9, he saw a television show that set him on a course from which he never swerved: the Nov. 10, 1969, debut broadcast of "Sesame Street." Soon, Clash was making puppets in his family's red-brick home in Baltimore County's Turner Station.
"Being Elmo" points to the call-and-response possibilities of popular culture. A somewhat shy kid who didn't go in for sports or other neighborhood pastimes, Clash was an avid consumer of television: "The Wonderful World of Disney," "Captain Kangaroo." He wasn't just entranced by the fuzzy, furry, feathery denizens of "Sesame Street." He was inspired.
He went into his father's closet, removed the lining of a trench coat and used it to make his first puppet, a monkey.
What might have caused a household stir turned out otherwise. Clash's parents, George Jr. and Gladys, were tenders of their son's passion from the get-go.
"Kevin comes alive through Elmo," says his vibrant mom, sitting next to her quieter husband in their home. It's the same house where Kevin staged neighborhood puppet shows. When a co-worker later observes that Elmo embodies the spirit and strength of Gladys and George, it makes touching sense.
"Being Elmo" is formally straightforward. Marks weaves a surprising trove of archival footage with interviews of Clash, his family and present and former co-workers to trace Clash's journey from a gobsmacked kid to his role on a popular Baltimore TV children's show, his time serving under Bob Keeshan, a.k.a. Captain Kangaroo, and, finally, his work for Henson.
A central figure in this remarkable tale is Henson's ace Muppeteer, Kermit Love, who died in 2008. Even before Clash was brought on to "Sesame Street," the snowy-haired puppeteer proved a savvy and loving mentor to the young man.
Still, it was fed-up Henson vet Richard Hunt who tossed a rarely seen red monster named Elmo toward the younger Clash in the show's "Muppet room." "See if you can get something out of this puppet," he said.
Turns out, it wasn't what Clash got out of Elmo so much as what he put into that furry charmer — the owner of a piece of popular cultural history. "Being Elmo" does a fascinating job of portraying the heart-and-soul meld between artist and puppet.
And that might have been achievement enough. Yet the film also provides an inspiring reminder for the young and the rest of us that there is a vital relationship between the best kind of work and passionate play.
Lisa Kennedy: 303-954-1567 or firstname.lastname@example.com


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Each fire and/or EMS training agency in the state of Ohio has test registration applications. Please see your instructor or program coordinator to obtain a test registration form. Test registration forms must be received by our office at least ten (10) BUSINESS days prior to an examination.
Please see your instructor or program coordinator to obtain information on the process for registering for an EMS examination. You are required to sign up for an account and register for your examination through the National Register of Emergency Medical Services.
The assessment examination is an examination developed by the National Registry of Emergency Medical Services. The assessment examination is currently used for the reinstatement of an expired certification, in lieu of continuing education, and EMS instructor knowledge examinations.
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Please see your instructor or program director to obtain information on the process for registering for a fire examination. The Division of EMS has developed a web-based testing system that allows our approved fire charters to administer the fire examinations. If you have questions, please contact EMS Staff at (800) 233-0785 or (614) 752-3946.
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An initial firefighter certification card will be mailed to you three to five weeks from the time you receive your passing test results. An initial EMT certification card will be mailed within three to five weeks from the time we receive your complete application and test results. You will be notified by letter regarding any problems with your certification application. Once test scores are entered into our database system, cards are then printed and mailed. If you need to check on the status of your certification card, please contact EMS Certification at (800) 233-0785.
All EMTs are sent a reminder postcard regarding certification renewal 180 days prior to the expiration date of the certificate to practice. Please follow the instructions for renewal when you receive this postcard. We send all correspondence to the most recent address we have on file. If your address has changed, please fill out a Change of Address form and return it to our office for processing, or change your address online through our Certification Renewal website. If you need a replacement card, please fill out a Request for Replacement Card form and return it to our office for processing. If you have questions, please contact EMS Certification Staff at (800) 233-0785.
Reciprocity information and downloadable packets for each level of EMS provider that Ohio recognizes are available on our Forms page. You MUST have a current National Registry certification in order to file. If you do not, you must work with the training school where you took your original training to accomplish this. You may also want to contact the National Registry office at (614) 888-4484. If you have questions, please contact the EMS Education Section at (800) 233-0785 or (614) 387-0449.
There is a process called "equivalency" for transferring your out of state or military training to Ohio. The information and complete downloadable packets for firefighters is located on our Fire Services page. If you have questions regarding this process, please e-mail or call EMS at (800) 233-0785 or (614)752-3946.
To apply for Firefighter equivalency, you must submit a completed application along with a verification of training form (available on our Fire Services page). Please send the verification of training form to the state agency where you are currently certified as a firefighter or to the training base for the branch of the military where you received training. When you receive the verification of training form back from the verifying agency, please submit it along with your application, copies of your certificate of training, copies of completion of NIMS 100 & 700. It will be determined from this information where you qualify, and you will be permitted at that time to test for certification in Ohio.
Submit completed forms to Ohio Division of EMS / P.O. Box 182073 / Columbus, Ohio 43218-2073 / Attn: Doug Orahood. If you have questions regarding this process please e-mail or call EMS at 800-233-0785 or (614)752-3946.
Please fill out a Change of Address form and return it to our office for processing. All information must be included. If you are submitting a name change, a copy of the legal document that changed your name is required (e.g., marriage certificate, divorce decree). Incomplete forms will NOT be processed. You may also change your address online through the Certification Renewal website. If you have questions, please contact EMS Certification Staff at (800) 233-0785.
How do I request a duplicate card if I have lost my certification card?
If you need a replacement card, please fill out a Request for Replacement Card form and return it to our office for processing. Incomplete forms will NOT be processed. If you have questions, please contact EMS Certification Staff at (800) 233-0785.
What if I do not already have registration with the National Registry?
Ohio utilizes the National Registry for their testing mechanism, as do other states at the present time. It will be necessary for you to obtain current registration in order for you to file for reciprocity. You may go to the National Register of Emergency Medical Services and download a copy of the appropriate level of application in which you are applying for reciprocity in Ohio. When you download this application, you will find that page 1 will be information pertaining to yourself. Page 2 will then be information that your original training school will have to verify. If for some reason your original training school will not verify this information for you and requires you to come back to obtain proper validation, that is strictly between you and the training school and does not involve Ohio's Division of EMS.
What if was registered with the National Registry, but my registration has lapsed?
You must go through the NREMT's reinstatement process. Please contact the NREMT at (614) 888-4484.
I'm filing for reciprocity at the EMT-Basic level and I need the 12-hour Advanced Airway Curriculum course of instruction. Where do I obtain this training?
You can search for accredited training facilities here. Please advise the EMS Program Coordinator who operates the training school you choose that you need the 12-hour Advanced Airway Curriculum for the basic level.
As soon as our office is in receipt of the necessary paperwork and documentation, it is looked over to ensure validity and educational curriculum and education matches Ohio's current requirements. Once all documentation has been sufficed, the information is forwarded to Certifications, who will then take 7-10 working days to enter the data into the computer system. Once the information is entered, the Division of EMS views you as certified, and you may begin practicing pre-hospital patient care with a department. However, please keep in mind that the department in which you are going to be employed has the ultimate decision and may require you to provide them with a copy of your Ohio Certificate to Practice prior to you providing patient care. In that case, you must wait for your card to arrive. Certificates to Practice will be forwarded to you as soon as the printing service has them completed.
I'm coming from the military and I am trained well above the Ohio EMT-Basic level. Can I apply for the Paramedic level instead of the Basic level?
As you can appreciate that the military has its own standards of training and job titles, each state also has a standard to uphold. In Ohio, the EMS Board is governed by the Ohio Revised Code (ORC). In turn, the EMS Board has written specific Administrative Codes that coincide with the ORC, and all training is written within those two separate codes. The military is only approved (through the NREMT) to train the EMT-Basic. The military has authority to pay for an enlisted serviceman to attend a Paramedic course, however that course is operated by a contracted state organization. The only way one could apply for a Paramedic level of certification is for that serviceman to provide a current NREMT registration as well as a current state certification from the state where the original Paramedic training was obtained.
When I took the EMT-Basic training at my training school, we were taught about the ET tube. Do I still have to take the advanced airway class?
The only initial curriculum that mirrors Ohio when it comes to the advanced airway is South Carolina. Candidates from all other states and the military MUST take the advanced airway course at an accredited training facility in Ohio.
Please follow the directions sheet to know which forms and requested information are forwarded to which appropriate agency. This will expedite the process, and lessen frustration on the reciprocity candidate's part.
It was legislation revising the requirements for ambulance staffing and driver requirements. It also revised priorities for distributing grant funding and specifies additional titles used by EMS personnel. The law became effective September 23, 2011.
An EMS organization is considered to be substantially utilizing volunteers if in a particular week when the paid individuals, taken as a whole, are scheduled for a total of not more than 192 hours in that week.
Under the law, what are the qualifications for driving an ambulance on an emergency run?
The driver must be at least 18 years old and must hold an Ohio EMS or fire certification.
In reference to the driver of an ambulance, do the requirements for driving during an emergency run to the scene of an emergency differ from the requirements for transporting a patient?
Yes. Driving to the SCENE of an emergency run for paid, combination, or volunteer departments, the ambulance shall be staffed by at least one EMT-B, EMT-I, or paramedic. This individual may also serve as the driver. In the case when a patient is being TRANSPORTED to the hospital when an EMS organization is using paid individuals or NOT substantially utilizing volunteers, the ambulance shall be staffed as follows: It must include at least two EMT-basics, EMT-intermediates or paramedics or combinations thereof. One of these individuals may serve as the driver. In the case when a patient is being TRANSPORTED to the hospital, when an EMS organization is using all volunteers or substantially utilizing volunteers , the ambulance shall be staffed as follows: It must include at least two EMT-basics, EMT-intermediates or paramedics, or combinations thereof, or by at least one First Responder and one EMT-basic, EMT-intermediate or paramedic. One of these individuals may serve as the driver, but if the minimum staffing requirement is being met by utilizing a First Responder, the First Responder must serve as the driver.


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Kitchen convenience. Use this sifting spoon to add color, flavor, and the perfect finishing touch to your gourmet masterpiece.Designed with interchangeable mesh bowl inserts, the Spifter can decorate baked goods, appetizers, entrees, and more. Add sugars, spices, and herbs to the mesh bowls and sprinkle over food to top it off.
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L38921 — SPIFTER Sifting Spoons with Three Bowl Inserts Set of 2
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So he's going to race v8s is he, I have yet to read about any team being interested... was stupid enough to start slagging V8 drivers off in the media before getting a drive, what an insightful individual... Expect he will go fishing


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This job posting is no longer available on Indeed.
Find similar jobs:Safety Personel jobs
Provide air safety on various oil and gas sites, bump test monitors,sample wellheads with RAE Draeger, maintain SCBA and SABA packs, complete appropriate paperwork, various other duites associated with feild air safety. Please send resume with all safety tickets and references.


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What do you do when find yourself in conflict ? When you are falsely accused or your reputation is smeared? What is the first thing you should do when it seems that it is going from bad to worse? The answer is to count it all joy. In James 1:2-3 we read: My brethren, count it all joy when you fall into various trials, knowing that the testing of your faith produces patience. (NKJV) To count it all joy means to think of the trial as an opportunity for good to be produced in you, remembering that God is for us.
I have learned four essential steps to take when conflict comes:Own up to your own faults. If you have done something wrong admit it and try to make it right.(1) Don't take the attack personally especially if you are being attacked because of your walk with the Lord.(2) If you do take it personally you will do or say something that will put you at fault and make resolution of the conflict more difficult.(3) Watch out for the Devils Four D'sDistractionDespairDivisionDiscouragement(4) Pray for the person coming against you and ask the LORD to be your shield and to defend you. Don't have a fool for a defender, yourself, have the Lord as your defense.
And finally, if the conflict is because of your witness for Christ: "Be ready to give a reason for your faith" because as people observe your Christ like manner in a time of trouble they may ask you why you believe. The result of all of this will be endurance. You will one more time know how God is able to keep you even in troubled times.
Notes and comments © 2012 by Ronald C. Reed All rights reserved.


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By Elizabeth Leafloor | RedIceCreations.com
There are interesting, even provocative origins to the phrase pie in the sky, an expression which many people still use today.
Next time you hear it, youll know the strange tale behind it.
From Phrases.org.uk: "pie in the sky"
Meaning - A promise of heaven, while continuing to suffer in this life.
Origin - This is an American phrase and was coined by Joe Hill in 1911. Hill was a Swedish-born itinerant labourer who migrated to the USA in 1902. He was a leading light of the radical labour organisation The Industrial Workers of the World - known as the Wobblies, writing many radical songs for them.
The phrase appeared first in Hills The Preacher and the Slave, which parodied the Salvation Army hymn In the Sweet Bye and Bye. The song, which criticized the Armys theology and philosophy, specifically their concentration on the salvation of souls rather than the feeding of the hungry, was popular when first recorded and remained so for some years.
Long-haired preachers come out every night,
Try to tell you whats wrong and whats right;
But when asked how bout something to eat
They will answer with voices so sweet:
You will eat, bye and bye,
In that glorious land above the sky;
Work and pray, live on hay,
Youll get pie in the sky when you die.
The starvation army they play,
They sing and they clap and they pray
Till they get all your coin on the drum
Then theyll tell you when youre on the bum:
Holy Rollers and jumpers come out,
They holler, they jump and they shout.
Give your money to Jesus they say,
He will cure all diseases today.
If you fight hard for children and wife
Try to get something good in this life
Youre a sinner and bad man, they tell,
When you die you will sure go to hell.
Workingmen of all countries, unite,
Side by side we for freedom will fight;
When the world and its wealth we have gained
To the grafters well sing this refrain:
You will eat, bye and bye,
When youve learned how to cook and to fry.
Chop some wood, twill do you good,
And youll eat in the sweet bye and bye.
In 1914, John G. Morrison, a Salt Lake City area grocer and former policeman, and his son were shot and killed by two men. The same evening, Hill arrived at a doctors office with a gunshot wound, and briefly mentioned a fight over a woman. Yet Hill was reluctant to explain further, and he was later accused of the grocery store murders on the basis of his injury. Hill was convicted of the murders in a controversial trial. Following an unsuccessful appeal, political debates, and international calls for clemency from high profile people and workers organizations, Hill was executed in November, 1915.
According to the biography, Joe Hill and his friend and fellow countryman, Otto Appelquist, were rivals for the attention of twenty-year-old Hilda Erickson, a member of the family with whom the two men were lodging. In a recently discovered letter, Erickson confirmed her relationship with the two men, and the rivalry between them. The letter indicates that when she first discovered Hill was injured, he explained to her that Appelquist had shot him, apparently due to jealousy.
...13-year-old Merlin Morrison, the victims son and brother, [said] "Thats not him at all" upon first seeing Hill, but later identified him as the murderer. The jury took just a few hours to find him guilty of murder.


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Why Romney is Weak vs. Obama
Since I wrote this little blog post the other day, picked up at Real Clear Politics, all of a sudden (by coincidence; I'm not claiming I had anything to do with it, but just am remarking on how rapidly the 'meme' has taken off) all sorts of people are suddenly realizing that Mitt Romney is hardly the candidate with the best chance to beat Barack Obama.
It certainly isn't all at the Center for Individual Freedom, but we did have a written colloquy on the subject the other day, with Troy Senik and Ashton Ellis insightfully joining me in weighing in. Actually, Jonathan Last made the case earlier, here. Tina Korbe, a rising star, argues the same thing at Hot Air. Phil Klein at the Washington Examiner makes the case that Romney's flip-flopping is a big liability in a general election (as it was for Al Gore and to a certain extent John Kerry). Back in late December, John Hawkins at Right Wing News also argued the situation quite well. Of course, Peter Ferrara made the case right here at the Spectator, although he also segued into (strong) arguments against Romney's ability to do a good job if he were elected anyway. William Jacobson at Legal Insurrection also has questions.
The scholarly take on it, again doubting Romney's electability, was by Larry Lindsey at the Weekly Standard. From the center-left, the very smart former U.S. Rep. Artur Davis (D-AL) thinks his (former) party doesn't have much to worry about from Romney: "The fact, however, is that Democrats have not had to strain to plan the race they would run against Romney. For four days in the week, they will paint him as a flip-flopper who has occupied both sides of a lot of ground; for three days, as an entitled tool of corporate interests who made millions doling out pink slips on behalf of a shadowy management firm." Also at NRO, Andy McCarthy doubts whether we can know who is more electable.
At the New York Post, John Podhoretz writes a piece about Romney headlined "Never Has a Winner Looked so Beaten." The column is brutal. It calls Romney "one of the weakest major candidates either party has ever seen." Also: "[N]obody loves him. No one is inspired by him.… Claiming he should be president because he knows how to run a business may be the least stirring message any candidate has seized upon since Michael Dukakis foundered in 1988 by claiming he could bring 'competence' to the White House. And his liabilities are undeniable. Even though Gingrich's assault on Romney's record of laying off workers when he was running Bain Capital is breathtaking in its disingenuousness, that record does happen to be one of a dozen glaring weaknesses in Romney's biography, political history and approach that President Obama and his team will be able to use to their advantage." And Jonah Goldberg writes that Romney's "authentic inauthenticity problem isn't going away."
Plenty other similar pieces are out there, all in a rush. And they are all correct.
I try to look at these things from three perspectives based in my own experience. [MUCH MORE]I've been a political activist/political professional/presidential campaign state executive director/presidential caucus organizer/leadership Hill staffer, so I have a participant's perspective. I've been a PR executive, so I then try to look at it from a marketing perspective. And I've been a journalist/columnist for 15 years, so there's the close observer/outsider perspective. (This is not to boast about my background, but only to explain HOW I arrive at looking at things, from different angles, as a way to check my assumptions -- althought I do have a long record of getting it right.)
Anyway, here's what I see. I see, first, a candidate who "fails to inspire." This is hugely important. It's the old Dole/McCain/Bush 41 thing again: Without energizing one's base, it doesn't matter if you can get a few extra percentage points from "swing" voters (even assuming it's true that those extra few points are achievable -- which is probably not true anyway, because if you aren't inspirational, you aren't inspirational, period, meaning you don't inspire the middle either). It's also true that millions of voters really can decide to stay home; remember that Karl Rove estimated that up to 4 million expected Evangelical Bush backers stayed home in 2000 after being disgusted by last-weekend news that Bush had had a drunk driving arrest way back when. The result, of course, was a race that took six extra weeks to decide.
Next is a candidate's history, which was the basis of my original post on this front. Aside from winning the governorship against extremely weak opposition in a three-way race where he failed to get an actual majority of the vote, in a state that despite its liberalism had become accustomed to electing Republican governors (for 12 straight years), Romney still has never won an electorally significant victory that wasn't in his native state (Michigan) or in a state that is his backyard and site of his vacation home (New Hampshire). Even in Iowa, his mere eight-vote win after five years of work there amounted to six (yes, count them, exactly six) fewer votes than he earned four years earlier in the same caucus system.
Then there's the attacks on his tenure at Bain Capital. The attacks are over-the-top and unfair. But coming from the left in a general election campaign, they will work. That's how a weakened Ted Kennedy in a Republican year blew open a tight race against Romney and won by a landslide -- by attacking Bain (and by some subtle but effective exploitation of anti-Mormon bigotry, which unfortunately and unfairly and sickeningly will probably cost Romney a point and a half from otherwise GOP voters this year as well). What's particularly devastating here is when a candidate's big vulnerability is in the very area he tried to, and expected to, make his biggest political strength. Romney's main selling point has been that he is a good businessman who proved himself in the private sector; if that gets taken away, he's toast, because his record as governor was nothing to write home about, with his only significant "achievement" being the execrable one of Romneycare. This is very much akin to what happened to John Kerry, who tried to make his major selling point his supposed military "heroism," when the highly on-target Swift Boat attacks made that same military service into a slight net liability. You can't win when your biggest selling point is actually a vulnerability.
Romney, indeed, is the perfect foil for the Obama campaign, first because he is the very epitome of a Republican born rich who got richer by moving money around -- a millionaire plutocrat who just can't relate to "ordinary" Americans, and second because he is yet another Republican political/dynastic legatee. Think about it: We've gone from one Bush trying to outdo his Senate father by becoming president, to another Bush trying to outdo his president father by winning two terms as president, to a McCain trying to outdo his admiral father and admiral grandfather by becoming president... and now to a Romney trying to outdo his Michigan governor father and failed presidential front-runner by this time succeeding as a presidential front-runner. In the hands of the $800 million Obama campaign, this can easily by portrayed as a rather creepy and anti-American reliance on dynasticism.
Combine that with what appears to be a plastic insincerity (again, the "flip-flopping" charge was devastating against Al Gore and can be so again), with a "how dare you question me" attitude that increasingly has shown itself in debates, and with an utter failure to "connect" emotionally with what once were known as "Reagan Democrats" (old-ethnic. i.e. Italian-American/Polish-American, etc., blue collar workers, culturally conservative and on economics distrustful of Wall Street), and you have a recipe for an extraordinarily weak general election candidate.
Against all of that, all Romney can offer is a supposed greater acceptability to the educated, less culturally conservative, right-leaning economically, urban and suburbanites who are being targeted by Obama in places like Virginia and North Carolina. But the key thing here is that while these folks may be more socially liberal, they tend to vote more on the basis of their slightly upper-middle-income economic expectations rather than on social issues, and they'll vote either for or against Obama based on those analyses regardless of who the Republican nominee is. But it is the blue-collar worker, or small-business retailer, who (polls show) votes more often on cultural cues (not necessarily social issues per se, although that is sometimes the case, but more on stylistic cultural cues and concerns) than on other factors. Again, this is obviously a gross over-generalization (as is most 30,000-foot-level political socio-analysis), but these are indeed, as Rick Santorum keeps saying, the people who swing elections in states like Ohio, Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Missouri. The are far more likely to swing behind Santorum (or Gingrich, or Perry) than behind the stiff rich guy with a "weird" religion and no middle-cultural social affinities ("shooting... small varmints" and flipping on homosexual "marriage").
While general-election polls ten months out are not at all predictive of final results, they can indicate basic information about viability. Candidates with higher name ID (especially with low current "hard negatives" like Romney) can be expected to do far better than ones with low ID, low familiarity, etc. Thus, it is highly instructive that in recent polls in both Florida and North Carolina, Rick Santorum did almost exactly as well (margin of error) against Obama as Romney did, despite Romney's far greater familiarity to voters.
Finally, but perhaps most importantly, Romney just can't campaign against Obama's single biggest vulnerability, Obamacare. There are just too many similarities between Obamacare and Romneycare, too many bad results from Romneycare (busting the budget, etc.), and too many video clips of Romney from six years ago saying that he hoped that even the individual insurance mandate would become a "national model." This will absolutely hobble Romney's campaign. In fact, it might be an insurmountable problem.
All of which is to say that Willard Mitt Romney has very low growth potential in a general-election campaign against Obama. His downside might be not as low as John McCain's was, four years ago, but his upside is negligible. As Larry Lindsey's analysis (mentioned above) explains, this can be an easy recipe for what I call a "respectable loss." But a loss is a loss is a loss. Romney is a weak general-election candidate who isn't likely to get any better.
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May 1, 2016
Tuesday, May 22, 2012
AUGUSTA, Ga. -- Charges have been filed in a deadly accident earlier this week on Mike Padgett Highway.
23-year-old Kiara Brown was charged with failure to yield and misdemeanor homicide by vehicle. The vehicular homicide charge is only considered a felony if a contributing factor such as DUI or speeding is involved. Original reports at the Richmond County Sheriff's Office indicated she was charged with feticide, but authorities say this is not the case.
The Coroner's Office says the victim, 54-year-old Barbara Ann Godbee, was a passenger in a BMW that pulled in front of a pickup truck. Godbee was pronounced dead at the hospital at 8:58 a.m.
An autopsy is scheduled for Wednesday.
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text: The folks over at the Blu-ray.com forums found a great Kmart coupon that gives you 20% off on any one item. Being Blu-ray fans, they naturally threw their cash at the PS3, which will be $319 after said 20% discount. Not interested in the PS3? You can print out the coupon and try your hand at the Xbox 360 Premium ($279) as well, or even stuff like HD DVD or Blu-ray standalone players! Coupon works in store only. [Blu-ray - Thanks Dom!]


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Topic: Kongregate / Random
Sometimes I want to just play a random game. I don't want to search for a game, and I don't want to specifically play the most recent top games. I may not even want a badge. I just think it would be a decent idea to have a "Random Game" button that I can press, go to a random game and play.
Or give a game requisites as well i.e. must have rating of 3.0-3.5
"Random Game" Anyone else?


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Fri, May 13, 2011 -- 9:00 AM
Bay to Breakers CrackdownDownload audio (MP3)
Ezra Shaw/Getty
Ezra Shaw/Getty
San Francisco's Bay to Breakers run celebrates its 100th anniversary this year, but some devotees are dismayed by new rules, including a ban on booze and floats. Race organizers say they want to make sure the event is fun for everyone, including for neighbors who are fed up with trash and public drunkenness. Will this year be any different?
Host: Dave Iverson
- Ed Sharpless, chair and founder of Citizens for the Preservation of Bay2Breakers
- Jarie Bolander, president of the North Panhandle Neighborhood Association
- Sam Singer, spokesperson for the Zazzle Bay to Breakers race
More info:
- Get Out Your Toga -- It's Bay to Breakers : from KQED's News Fix blog