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Galactic evolution
Posted 10 June 2013 - 10:54 PM
Pretty sad eh? Not much advanced from Air Earth Fire Water.
Posted 11 June 2013 - 06:00 AM
While I agree that we have a lot to learn about galaxy evolution, at least point to a page that has a bit more info:
Posted 11 June 2013 - 09:48 AM
Posted 11 June 2013 - 11:06 AM
The wikipedia link Jarad posted is very good
Deepest imaged fields are 13+ Billion LY
That's 25 times the multicellular fossil record duration (and close to 3 times age of earth itself) so the galactic evolution dots to connect are farther apart compared to the record of life that we might think of as an analogue, and the galactic changes superficially seem more subtle in comparison.
Some things galaxies seem to be doing over time:
+ forming rapidly in early universe
+ getting bigger by collision or accretion
+ forming lots of disk or spiral galaxies - is why disks predominate not fully understood?
+ forming more and larger ellipticals over time by collision
+ galaxy clusters are still gravitationaly bound and coalescing, colliding, interacting in our era
+ maybe central black holes, which seem pretty ubiquitous, are changing over time too, active or quiet, or growing by collision as well?
Posted 11 June 2013 - 11:27 AM
Posted 11 June 2013 - 02:57 PM
Posted 11 June 2013 - 03:35 PM
Posted 11 June 2013 - 03:51 PM
Here's one.
"There are stupid collision models based on wrong linear computer models."
In other words, there are some theories but you don't like them.
"No one has thought seriously about it or published anything serious in decades."
"Serious" and "seriously" are qualifiers, which simply indicate that you are dismissing all the thinking and publishing about this subject on the basis of your own personal insistence.
"Those who would try are hounded out of the clergy."
This is unsupported. Why not tell us exactly what has happened to you, and others, in specific and verifiable detail so your audience can make an independent judgment of your assertions.
Posted 11 June 2013 - 04:33 PM
Rarely do we get an objective analysis from you. It's all about the saints and the satans.
And that's just not scientific thinking.
Posted 12 June 2013 - 04:41 AM
Second: based on the above, it was certainly not intended as a proposed evolution.
Third: He was trying to find a good way to classify the structure of these things, whatever they were, for reasons of doing bulk statistics. There was a letter to the RAS I think (sorry I don't have a reference) where he tried to clarify it all, between the lines acknowledging it was all a bit rough and ready. Fascinating reading. Interesting that his first provisional stab at characterising the main features has held for so long.
Fourth: no doubt the current computer simulations/models of galaxy behaviour (evolution and/or collision) will one day be regarded as naive, and there are surely bits missing, but at the moment they're quite useful. Trashing them isn't.
Posted 12 June 2013 - 11:24 AM
Here's one.
"There are stupid collision models based on wrong linear computer models."
In other words, there are some theories but you don't like them.
"No one has thought seriously about it or published anything serious in decades."
"Serious" and "seriously" are qualifiers, which simply indicate that you are dismissing all the thinking and publishing about this subject on the basis of your own personal insistence.
"Those who would try are hounded out of the clergy."
This is unsupported. Why not tell us exactly what has happened to you, and others, in specific and verifiable detail so your audience can make an independent judgment of your assertions.
[/quote] [/quote]
I'm just not going to accept a computer model that is almost surely wrong in principle even from the very naive standpoint of only using gravity as the driving force, as a "theory". A theory of galactic evolution would stretch from gas to arms or gas to elliptical halo or whatever. You would not need to even worry about dark matter because that is already a plain error (Cooperstock). I will also point out that there is not even a theory of globular cluster evolution.
What we have is a naive description based on the assertion that GR is absolutely correct as it stands, that plasmas and magnetic fields and other large-scale electrodynamic phenomena are irrelevant, and even then, that a linear model for GR is right. This isn't a theory, it's fancy taxonomy based on half-baked assertions.
Posted 12 June 2013 - 03:03 PM
But I disagree that it is as bad as you seem to think. Yes, the hypotheses so far are based primarily on gravity and ignore electromagnetic effects. But those aren't unreasonable assumptions - the net charge of objects at large scale tends to be close to 0. And while we can see intense local magnetic fields, magnetic field strength drops of with the cube of distance vs. the square for gravity, so again at large scales gravity will dominate.
I think plasma currents and magnetic effects are probably important in terms of stellar collapse in supernovas, and in the behavior of accretion disks and jets, and I think those explosions and jets are probably important to early galaxy development, so I agree they probably have important indirect effects that still need to be explored. But it's not easy to take measurements of those things over great distances, and it's hard to develop good theories on them in the absence of data.
We still have lots to learn, I just think it would be more productive to pick a piece and work on it than to point out that we still have lots to learn. Especially if you point it out in a less than diplomatic fashion - that tends to make people stop listening...
Posted 12 June 2013 - 07:53 PM
Posted 12 June 2013 - 08:42 PM
Let's put it this way: the reason why astrophysical theory appears to have stalled is not because of some conspiracy on the part of physicists, nor because physicists today are stupid or venal or anything of the sort, but because technological advances in the past couple of decades have triggered an avalanche of data that have never before been available. Those data have presented problems and have left a lot of unanswered questions. Two of those unanswered questions involve apparent (please note the word "apparent") universal expansion beyond what would be expected according to current understanding, and various observed phenomena that appear to require a lot more gravitational mass than can be observed. Not yet knowing for certain what is behind such observations, physicists have coined the terms "dark energy" and "dark matter," in a gesture of humility. I have seen Cal Tech physicists themselves note, with humility, just how little they know.
So my point is that it probably isn't a good idea to base a theory of anything based upon "dark matter" until "dark matter" ceases to be dark and is fully understood or discredited.
Posted 13 June 2013 - 12:28 PM
Yes, the hypotheses so far are based primarily on gravity and ignore electromagnetic effects. But those aren't unreasonable assumptions - the net charge of objects at large scale tends to be close to 0. And while we can see intense local magnetic fields, magnetic field strength drops of with the cube of distance vs. the square for gravity, so again at large scales gravity will dominate.
Just a comment that charge neutrality doesn't imply electromagnetic effects aren't important. I'm not saying they are important, just that this argument doesn't really justify neglecting them.
If applied to a Hydrogen atom it would say that electromagnetic effects can be ignored, but we know they are very important.
Plasmas are quasi neutral by definition and electromagnetism drives their properties and behavior.
Posted 13 June 2013 - 01:21 PM
If applied to a Hydrogen atom it would say that electromagnetic effects can be ignored, but we know they are very important.
Depends on what you are calculating about the hydogen atom and what scale they are on. Eletromagnetic effects are very important in determing chemical reactions with the hydrogen atom, but those happen at the atomic scale where separation of charge is significant. In terms of calculating the attraction between one hydrogen atom and a second one a few meters away in a vacuum, we can neglect the electrmagnetic effect and only consider gravity.
On a more macro level, van der waals forces are electromagnetic, and are quite important for how two materials in close contact react with each other (how sticky they are, how much friction, etc.). But again, they have zero impact on how two bodies orbit each other in space.
Plasmas are quasi neutral by definition and electromagnetism drives their properties and behavior.
So that brings us to the question of scale again. We know there are plasma currents within stars, for example. And we are pretty confident about them in accretion disks. But do we have any evidence of them on a galactic scale? Not that I am aware of.
So rather than complain about lack of plasma and magnetic effects in the model, perhaps it would be more productive to think about how we would detect such effects if they really exist. Then we can get some useful data to help develop a better theory.
Posted 13 June 2013 - 04:40 PM
However, it may already be out of date. In the 2012 issue of Annual Reviews of Astronomy and Astrophysics there is an article on hot galactic halos at perhaps one million degrees. Thus therare plasmas and at that temperatue have significant currents. A bit latter an article was published in which there may be some evidence of very significant baryonic mass in these halos.
It is also important torealize that galaxies do have magnetic fields. Also, a hydrogen atom has a magnetic moment, but a hydrogen molecule does not. Thus, the hydrogen atoms ten to be polarized and held in place by these magnetic fields. However, the hydrogen molecule is more easily displace by a disturbance.
Posted 13 June 2013 - 05:12 PM
This is a somewhat different question, but is there any discrepancy between the level of organization of galaxies and how much time they needed to form, according to current models? Is dark matter required for them to have formed as quickly as they did?
Yes. Without it, the epoch of the formation of galaxies would have started later and thus would not match current observation.
Posted 13 June 2013 - 06:35 PM
Sorry, but that cannot be allowed to stand on a science forum. I've done some research on F.I. Cooperstock with regard to his alternative ideas about using GR, rather than Newtonian physics, to calculate galaxy rotation figures.
First, he is a bona fide astrophysicist; his papers have been accepted for publication in peer reviewed publications; and, all in all, he (along with his major co-author) has some very interesting ideas. Because of this he has been taken seriously, and other astrophysicists have assessed his conjecture, and, especially in a paper referring to measurements within the Milky Way galaxy, they have refuted his conjectures in a way that the scientific community has accepted (given the silence on Cooperstock's work since about 2007).
This is not to diminish Cooperstock's intelligence, ability, or sincerity in the least. It sounds like he has been doing good theoretical science, just as it should be done. But he hasn't done away with dark matter.
This is all made clear by a review of papers at Cornell University's arXiv.org.
Posted 14 June 2013 - 12:42 PM
So rather than complain about lack of plasma and magnetic effects in the model, perhaps it would be more productive to think about how we would detect such effects if they really exist. Then we can get some useful data to help develop a better theory.
I don't disagree and would be surprised if E&M effects were critically important. They may play some role, but for now ignoring them seems reasonable to me. I was merely being pedantic.
Posted 15 June 2013 - 07:22 PM
Posted 18 June 2013 - 11:40 AM
I gave a talk on this topic some years ago and one thing prevails. As we look for more and always find more, our concept of a galaxy has changed accordingly. Looking at visual wavelength pictures we were able to grasp a certain amount, and sending satellites up and using radio we find the structure and energy distributions different again. The largest features of galaxies being invisible to us at our visual sensory level.
But taking a step back, consider for a moment the Voyager program in our own solar system, if it wasn't for the more primitive 'Pioneer' program Voyager would have been burnt out by the massive radiation field (profiled by the Pioneer) around Jupiter. There is so much more here. The speed of matter in the atmosphere of the planets as a function of temperature took some time to understand, and there are some things about that we still have difficulty with. Matter and temperature and energy - seems simple, but not simple. In our lab's on earth we know that matter has some extremely interesting characteristics and even some bordering on extraordinary phenomena at very low temperatures, not just the ho-hum members of the periodic table but the isotopes as well!. Every bit as interesting as that at the other end of the temperature spectrum. And area wise the lions share of the universe as we understand it is not at that very high temperature end of things, just an extremely interesting tiny fraction of it - and that we can easily see. Not encountered in everyday life in the 'habitable zone' here on Terra.
So there are 'laws' and there are 'laws' and then the math's that we manipulate them with according to our understanding and experience. These 'math's' are evolving as well.
How computers can help is then when we get some perceived insight we can model extraordinarily difficult ideas, even many at a time and 'see' the results, try and compare that to other observation. The idea of 'observing', binoculars, telescopes, radio telescopes, gamma ray and infra-red satellites and each time we see something we modify accordingly and try to go to a next step in the understanding. Try as we might, it is still observational as we as humans function in a large way by the input from those things going right to the center of our brains - very helpfully so. Here the computer can be a helper, but it does not replace the brain, which I feel is the only thinking machine that makes sense in any organic way 'at large'.
In a humorous way the galaxies we have been observing have not evolved nearly as much as our ability to see them, and each time we see more they are still the same - it's our (or at least some that are interested) perception of them that changes, and we are too largely the same for the effort. And we still have that periodic table and Helium which is very interesting stuff!
Plasma is also interesting stuff. Light and dark. Swaths of it light years long at extremely low temperatures of photonically activated at less than low temperatures all over the galaxy disks.
Our brain at this point is the only satellite that can encounter these things.
"The Secret Sits
We dance round in a ring and suppose, But the Secret sits in the middle and knows" Robert Frost
Sometimes I feel as though with all the publicizing and hunger to fill web page and other space that someone is hoping for 'a lucky shot' and it will all somehow congeal into a compact and succinct understandable whole. Analyzing computer algorithms and comparing to other data. Could happen, then too might not. One new satellite with one new type of data could hurl it off the throne. That said, with the massive increase in media and folks access to it, desire to get research $$, the rise of science - especially cosmology and relativistic cosmology as entertainment has increased. This is very important, keeping it in the public conversation while asking for massive amounts of funding. Is it a distraction from scientific method because it is entertainment? Maybe for the easily distracted.

subset: commoncrawl


text:
In Retirement Planning, Don't Forget to Do the Emotional Math, Too
Many financial advisors might make retirement planning out to be an exact science. Their financial calculators will spit out hard numbers, detailing almost to the day when you can quit working. Reality, however, isn't So exact, and those calculators miss a host of subjective emotional factors that you shouldn't ignore.


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ISO/IEC 9541 defines a method of naming glyphs and glyph collections, independent of any document encoding technique; it assumes that one or more methods of associating document encoding techniques with glyph identifiers used in font resources will be provided by text processing systems.
ISO/IEC 9541-1:2012 specifies the architecture of a font resource, i.e. the font description, font metrics, glyph description and glyph metrics properties required for font references and the interchange of font resources.
Document published on: 2012-08-15 Edition: 2 (Monolingual) ICS: 35.240.30 Status: Published Stage: 60.60 (2012-08-13) TC/SC: ISO/IEC JTC 1/SC 34 Number of Pages: 23
Revises: ISO/IEC 9541-1:1991
Revises: ISO/IEC 9541-1:1991/Amd 1:2001
Revises: ISO/IEC 9541-1:1991/Amd 2:1998
Revises: ISO/IEC 9541-1:1991/Amd 3:2000
Revises: ISO/IEC 9541-1:1991/Amd 4:2009
Revises: ISO/IEC 9541-1:1991/Cor 1:1992
Revises: ISO/IEC 9541-1:1991/Cor 2:1994
Revises: ISO/IEC 9541-1:1991/Cor 3:1995


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Maestro guitars
Hey guys, a friend of mine has a Maestro Les Paul-style guitar, and he is looking to sell it. I know that Maestro is the "cheap-Gibson" kind of guitar, but I figured I'd at least try it out. Can you tell me anything about Maestro's quality? I know nothing about the particular guitar at the moment. Thanks, guys!
Got pictures?
It's basically a toy sold in stores like Best Buy. Only one pickup on it.
If you are serious about learning guitar I wouldn't start with that.
It's the lowest of the low end, you can do a lot better even for $100.
Well, I've been playing for a couple of years. I believe there's two pickups in it, but I'll check. Would it be worth buying for maybe $60 as a "throw-away" guitar?
Well if it's that cheap and you've got the money go ahead, we all have some cheap-o's. I've never played one of these but you'll want to check it out first.
Personally I'd put Maestro in the same category as the First Act guitars you see in Toys R Us.
I've never actually played one so I don't know what they're like...I'm imagining super high action, doesn't stay in tune for more than a minute and intonation that's impossible to set.
How do you know all of this without personal experience? Just curious.
I own a few beginner guitars and the Maestro isn't even that. They're basically marketed to kids in department stores, I don't think music stores (like Guitar Center) even sell them. They are not built for quality and not built to last.
Maybe someone with some experience with these will chime in but don't expect a glowing review.
Alright. Well, thanks for the info, I'll check it out and figure out what I want to do with it.
Is it a Maestro or a Mastro?
I had an electroacoustic (with f-holes and piezo) that I picked up on a whim for 250 euros. It was very decent however the brand name was Mastro.
Here is some more information....
I'd go the 'Epiphone' way....
Maestros model range is similar to the Epi LP-JUnior, SG-Junior and LP-100...
I think you can get one of those (IMO better) Epis for cheap, too
I'd definitely compare Maestro to First Act. Both brands should be avoided at all costs.
Save your cash and buy a used epi special anything. Maestros arent fit for firewood.
I had one as my first guitar and there was honestly nothing wrong with it, I recently sanded it and it was a nice 2 piece poplar body, no cap. From a construction stand point it was absolutely sound. The only thing was I didn't realize how to adjust the action, so once I got a nicer setup guitar it's action was too high.
I wouldn't buy one now but not because it was bad or anything I just have other guitars now. I am glad I learned on it though because after reading about people on here who can only play a specific brand/neck profile/radius/number of frets, I feel it made me into a very versatile guitar player as none of those problems exist for me.
If I was in the market for a project Paul or just a knock around guitar I'd buy it for $60, hell a body blank alone cost me $75!
I actually own a gibson maestro and i have to say it isn't all that bad. I've had it for quite a few years now and it hasn't showed me any sign of it falling apart or it playing poorly. It has one pickup but it doesn't sound bad at all for a baldwin product. I'd say its like a 3 stars our of 5 for its kind. If your beginning on a guitar, i would defiantly start out on a maestro.
If you've got the money for an Epiphone - don't buy an Epiphone. Buy Vintage - just as good or better than Epiphone, and you'll still have a few notes left in your pocket.
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Feed Analysis: Feedburner Analizer ToolWritten by Alfonso Muñoz on August 7, 2008 – 7:36 am
I suppose everyone knows what is Feedburner. This is a Google service which gives you more control over the management of your feeds and also provides certain tools to monetize or promote them easier. At the beginning it wasn't a Google service but some months ago big G acquired it.
The Feedburner Analyzer was developed by me months ago when I was blogging in my Spanish blog. Then I started this English version but my laziness keep the tool in Spanish language, unprofessional detail, I admit it. Yesterday I decided that it was time to translate it to English and share it with you.
What is the purpose of the Feedburner Analyzer? This tool shows you your progress in the number of subscriptions to your feed. It consists of two kind of graphs:
- Line chart with the number of subscribers and hits day by day.
- Column chart that compares the number of subscribers of a month with the number of subscribers of the previous one.
Here you have a pic of the line chart:
I think it is worth to take a look at it. How to use it?
- First you need to have active the Awarenes API to allow the access to your stats. Log into your user account > Publicize > Awareness API. Active it and save.
- You have to write in the tool's textbox your Feedburner ID or the complete URL to your feeds. For example in my case I have to write binaryantdotcom or http://feeds.feedburner.com/BinaryAntDotCom.
That's all. I hope you enjoy it .
Tags: Blogging Tools
Posted in Blogging Tools | 36 Comments »
36 Comments to "Feed Analysis: Feedburner Analizer Tool"
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Juan Mazzetti Says:
May 3rd, 2014 at 7:22 pm
Unfortunately Google has discontinued Feedburner so it now doesn't work. There is any alternative available?
Thank you


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It's the final Friday before the break and girls basketball teams have sights set on finishing strong. See how your team did in the Girls Basketball Catch-All.
AVCTL Div. I
Top-ranked Maize continues its winning ways, taking a 75-35 win over Campus into the break. Daley Handy led the Eagles with 17 points with Keiryn Swenson added 15 points and Brianna Johnson had 13.
Hutchinson traveled to Derby with hopes of staying at the top of the pack in the league, and picked up a 52-36 win over the Panthers to stay within striking distance of Maize and Salina Central.
No. 3 Central took care of its cross-town rival Salina South 54-21 to keep pace with Maize as the only undefeated teams in the league.
AVCTL Div. II
Andover is having a big season, ranked No. 5 in the state and sitting atop the league standings. After a 56-27 win over Goddard, the Trojans are undefeated in the league going into the break.
Andover Central isn't far behind the Trojans, picking up a 51-38 win over Valley Center. Having played Andover to a 1-point game earlier, the Jaguars will be looking to pounce as 2014 comes along.
Arkansas City has had a rough start to the year, but has something positive to take into the break after a 54-43 win over No. 9 Maize South. Mariah Suchan led all scorers picking up 18 points for the Mavericks, but it was Ark City's Kaitlyn Potter who stole the show. Potter scored 14 points and 15 rebounds for the Bulldogs.
AVCTL Div. III
Both No. 10 Buhler and Winfield have gotten out to good starts this year, and had a tough test against each other to end the calendar year. A 22-point night out of Jessica Steffen helped propel the Crusaders to a 60-48 win over the Vikings. Breanna Pingry led Winfield with 12 points.
Mulvane picked up a rivalry win, beating Rose Hill 49-37. Mulvane had a pair of double-doubles, one a 16-point, 10-rebound night from Aubree Burkhardt, and the other a 16-point, 13-rebound night from Destynee Donaldson.
AVCTL Div. IV
Andale stays on top of the league after pulling away from Augusta in the end to get a 53-42 win over the Orioles.
No. 10 Clearwater and Circle locked up in a big league matchup with Brynna Vogel stealing the show in a 46-43 win for the Fighting Indians. Vogel dropped 23 points for Clearwater, and the Indians needed every one of them.
Top-ranked Hesston proved to be way too much for Nickerson to handle as the Swathers are coming off a 74-19 win over the Panthers to end the year.
Top-ranked Hillsboro had a much tougher time with Lyons, but overcame the Lions in overtime to win 55-50.
In a big game with ranked opponents, both 4A DII No. 3 Pratt and 3A No. 9 Haven were looking to stay within striking distance of the top of the league. And it was Pratt who got the separation from Haven, rebounding from a loss to Hesston to beat the Wildcats 45-42.
No. 4 Sterling is still undefeated in the league along with Hesston and Hillsboro after beating Smoky Valley 55-37, and Kingman picked up a 62-44 win over Halstead.
The league undefeated teams at the top of the Central Plains League all had big nights. Cheney stayed undefeated in the league with a 61-33 win over Medicine Lodge. Taylor Denney led the Cardinals with 15 points and Taylor Needham was close behind with 12.
No. 10 Garden Plain is still undefeated in the league after beating Chaparral 50-14. The Owls were led by Lizzie Costello's 16 points.
Douglass is also running with the best in the league, after beating Wichita Trinity 47-39.
Conway Springs was all over Belle Plaine 68-25.
In the only Heart of America action, Moundridge finished the year with a solid 45-22 win over Sedgwick.
Minneapolis got an enormous game out of Jacee Owens to beat Sacred Heart 61-37. Owens drained 23 points for the Lions in the win.
Twin Valley
Laura Sudbeck came up big for No. 3 Baileyville B&B, leading the Falcons to a 48-36 win over Frankfort. Sudbeck led all scorers with 17 points.
Nikki Friesen had one of the performances of the night, putting up 25 Goldbug points in a 55-44 win for No. 7 Fowler over Pratt Skyline.
Eisenhower hosted Dodge City in a showdown, and the Tigers came out on top 51-42. Ell-Saline picked up a 50-32 win over Little River, and Remington topped Pretty Prairie 45-17.
No. 1 Wamego continues to dominate, beating Clay Center 46-27 to finish up the year of 2013 with a record of 23-1, including a 4A state title last march.
St. Teresa hit a 3-pointer to send the game against McPherson to overtime where the Bullpups lost 52-45.


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Report: Calif. to see seas rising 6 inches by 2030
Saturday, June 23, 2012
The West Coast will see an ocean several inches higher in coming decades, with most of California expected to get sea levels a half foot higher by 2030, according to a report released Friday.
The study by the National Research Council gives planners their best look yet at how melting ice sheets and warming oceans associated with climate change will raise sea levels along the country's Pacific coast. It is generally consistent with earlier global projections, but takes a closer look at California, Oregon and Washington.
Although the 6 inches expected for California by 2030 seem minor, the report estimated sea levels there will be an average of 3 feet higher by 2100. About 72 percent of the state's coast is covered by sandy cliffs, and the rest include beaches, sand dunes, bays and estuaries.
Seaside cliffs will be cut back about 30 yards over the next 100 years, and sand dunes will be driven back even more, said Robert A. Dalrymple, a professor of civil engineering at Johns Hopkins University and chairman of the group that wrote the report. Coastal wetlands will be able to keep pace for about 50 years, but will eventually be overwhelmed without new sources of sand, and room to move inland.
The report noted dams hold back about a third of that sand, which once washed into the sea from the Klamath River in Northern California.
Northern California, Oregon and Washington can expect a less dramatic increase — about 4 inches by 2030 and 2 feet by 2100 — because seismic activity is causing land to rise north of the San Andreas Fault, offsetting increasing sea levels, and drop south of it. The fault runs out to sea at Cape Mendocino.
Oregon has the advantage of tough basalt formations on much of the coast, but long stretches of Washington are low-lying sandy beaches.
"Anything close to the seas is vulnerable," Dalrymple said.
The most immediate threat over the next few decades will come from periodic ocean-warming El Nino events, said Gary Griggs, director of the Institute for Marine Sciences at the University of California at Santa Cruz, who was one of the scientists assembled by the council to produce the report.
"During those events, sea level is elevated as much as a foot above normal and then we've got typically larger waves coming in with the high tides," particularly in the Northwest, he said.
The report noted some computer models suggest storms will be stronger as global warming progresses. But Dalrymple said there was no clear consensus in scientific literature, and data from ocean buoys showing waves getting bigger in the Northwest don't go back far enough to conclude that trend will continue.
If a major earthquake occurs beneath the Pacific Ocean off Oregon and Washington, in what is known as the Cascadia subduction zone, that would cause the land to drop, allowing sea level to rise another 3 to 6 feet immediately, the report said. Such a major temblor occurred 300 years ago, but becomes more likely as time passes.
The report was commissioned by states and federal agencies looking for detailed information so they can plan for an accelerated rate of erosion along beaches, bluffs and sand dunes that are already crumbling into the sea. It projected that sea level will rise a little lower in 2100 than the projections currently used by California officials.
"A lot of the data we had before was worldwide data or has the caveat, 'Can't be used for planning purposes,'" said Susan Hansch, chief deputy director of the California Coastal Commission. "It all comes down to the better data you have, the better decisions you can make."
Residents of Long Beach, Wash., are much more concerned about the prospects of a tsunami from a big Cascadia subduction zone earthquake, Mayor Bob Andrew said.
The town is located on a sandy spit at the mouth of the Columbia River, and the dune separating it from the ocean has been growing in recent years, making sea level rise less of a concern, he said.
In Oregon, Greg Sieglitz, a monitoring program manager at the Oregon Watershed Enhancement Board, said they helped sponsor the study to help them evaluate land purchases of coastal wetlands.
Sea levels rise for two reasons due to global warming.
Warmer water expands, which can cause as many as 23 inches of sea level to rise by 2100, according to the Nobel Prize winning Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Warmer temperatures also cause ice sheets in Greenland and west Antarctica to melt slowly, adding another foot or more to sea levels by 2100, scientists said.
Those estimates, however, were for the planet as a whole. Some places will see higher seas, while others will get less dramatic increases.
Globally, sea levels have risen about 8 inches over the last century, but the rate has been increasing significantly, said Griggs.
The report summarized published projections and updated it with an analysis of tidal gauge readings and satellite measurements along specific sites on the West Coast.
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Spartan Motors: An Impressive Ride
Posted by: Frank Voisin (IP Logged)
Date: March 5, 2012 08:23AM
Spartan Motors, Inc (SPAR) is a niche player in the heavy-duty vehicles market. Through its operating subsidiaries, the company designs, manufactures and markets a range of custom heavy-duty chassis (used in motor homes, fire trucks and defense vehicles), fire trucks, and through its 2009 acquisition of Utilimaster, a range of specialty service and delivery vehicles.
The first thing to note is the decline in SPAR's revenues from the 2007/08 period to 2009-current. It appears at first glance that the company's revenues declined by approximately 1/2. This is in fact exactly what happened. But recognize that the 2007/08 period was an anomaly, resulting largely from a defense contract that occurred in those years (in which the company provided the chassis for Mine Resistant Ambush Protected, or MRAP, vehicles. Note the impressive show of manliness in the Wikipedia entry here). If not for this contract, revenues would have been roughly flat throughout the period.
But wait, there is something interesting here. Roughly flat is an interesting thing for the core revenues of a company that provides heavy duty machinery like SPAR. Consider one of its core product markets: fire trucks. Fire trucks are sold to municipalities, and althougha municipalities haven't suffered the collapse predicted by Meredith Whitney, many (most?) have suffered (and still are) from a perfect storm of falling housing prices (and thus decreasing property tax revenues), increasing labour costs (thanks to sweetheart deals negotiated in good times by public unions), and declining support from the state and federal governments (which are suffering from their own budgetary demons). One would expect that the sale of new fire trucks (and chassis to other fire truck manufacturers) would be hit as these capital expenditures are pushed off into the future.
One would expect this, but one would be wrong. This didn't happen. In 2009, fire truck sales increased 22.7% from the prior year, and then 2010 saw an increase of 14.7%.
In fact, it appears to me that the company's core revenues (which I define here as revenues less the MRAP revenues) have performed quite well despite extremely challenging economic headwinds. Here's another fact: motor homes, perhaps the definitive discretionary product, provided a boost to the company in 2010 with sales increasing 150% from 2009.
I should note also that, while I ignore MRAP revenues as unique, these vehicles can be expected to provide ongoing parts and assemblies revenues as they age.
So while the company's core revenues do not appear to be nearly as cyclical as expected, the company does another interesting thing that we usually hope for with cyclical companies (but often do not see): it has almost no debt. As at the recent 10-Q, the company had just over $5 million in debt versus cash and equivalents of $30.5 million. This is great.
Let's return for a moment to the company's sales of fire trucks. As discussed above, these sales have confounded our expectations by increasing despite the economy. But the interesting thing is, revenues could (and should) be much higher in years to come. As the company noted in its 2010 Q4 conference call (emphasis added):
Quote:Though this doesn't give me a warm fuzzy feeling about firetrucks on the road, it does give me confidence in the existence of untapped potential for this market.
Putting aside the company's sales to the various levels of government, let's look now at its sales to private industry. With the acquisition of Utilimaster in 2009, the company took a big step into the private sector, acquiring considerable expertise in the service and delivery vehicle market, including walk-in vans and hi-cube vans:
Quote:In Q3 2011, Utilimaster launched its new commercial product known as "Reach" which the company developed through an alliance with Isuzu (and will be sold through Isuzu's 280-strong dealer network). The Reach has 35% greater fuel efficiency than Utilimaster's other products, which cuts CO2 emissions in half. Additionally, it has keyless entry, which although this might leave you chuckling as a selling point, is evidently a big deal for companies like Fedex and UPS which currently operate vehicles that lack keyless entry. From the Q3 2011 conference call (emphasis added):
Quote:The short story is, this is a big opportunity for the company, but even disregarding the Reach, Utilimaster appears to have been a smart acquisition, with Delivery and Service Vehicles segment revenues increasing 73% YoY in Q2 2011 and 122% in Q3. This segment has grown to 51% of SPAR's revenues, and the backlog is growing, suggesting a bright future (and this is not including the ramp up as the Reach is deployed).
So where does this leave us? Given the role of the MRAP in the company's financials in 2007/2008, as well as the recent sale of its Road Rescue division and purchase of Utilimaster (and the important role it is playing for the company now), I think this is one of the (rare) situations where historical financials can be safely ignored. The company has undergone a transformation, and while past performance may give some insight into management's capabilities, for valuation's sake we should be focusing more on the recent performance.
First, let's just consider management's capabilities. Over the last decade, ROE averaged 15%, ROIC averaged 13.7%, and CROIC averaged 6.5%. While ROE and ROIC are decent, CROIC is weak and I prefer companies that are able to generate significant free cash flows with relatively little capital employed. Thankfully, it appears that things are starting to turn around, with 2009 and 2010 CROIC averaging an impressive 16.4%.
Ok, now for valuation. This is somewhat trickier given the shorter time period, so any forecast we make necessarily has less grounding than we would like. In my model, I assumed top line growth for three years and moderating thereafter. I derived free cash flow using expectations based on the culmination of the company's restructuring efforts and its margins for the past two years. I then estimated the current intrinsic value for a few scenarios. The result is that SPAR looks very cheap, and this is despite the fact that it has enjoyed a run-up of 30% YTD (as of the time of writing).
What do you think of SPAR?
Stocks Discussed: SPAR,
Re Spartan Motors An Impressive Ride
Posted by: johnheiderscheit (IP Logged)
Date: March 6, 2012 02:18PM
Good write up, bad timing! I don't know how to view this management team. Its either average to below average outside of two big years at the peak of MRAP boom or a good management team that has yet to find its footing after the MRAP wind down and recession.
Stocks Discussed: SPAR,
Re: Spartan Motors: An Impressive Ride
Posted by: pravchaw (IP Logged)
Date: March 22, 2012 08:35PM
Good writeup. I note the CEO just bought 5500 shares - generally a good sign. Like you said - no debt - it can go down - but cannot go out.
Stocks Discussed: SPAR,
Re Spartan Motors An Impressive Ride
Posted by: newhigh (IP Logged)
Date: March 9, 2016 10:31AM
Anny updates on Spartan?
Stocks Discussed: SPAR,
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Saturday, January 04, 2014
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'Begin Again' is one of my new mantras for 2014. No wasting time with self pity or discovering "why" or lowering my self esteem by harmful negative thinking. I simply shall love myself and begin agian, Recently I have accepted yet another level ... Read more
Monday, December 30, 2013
1 comments
Many think beginning again is a weakness, I'm writing my honest look at beginning again. You see, after this weekend I too must begin again. For the first time in my entire adulthood I actually have a positive mindset on beginning again. The ex... Read more
Wednesday, December 25, 2013
1 comments
I AM grateful for finding an accountability partner
I AM grateful for finding enthusiasm in exercise once again
I AM grateful for the peaceful sleep I expereince last night
I AM grateful for the quiet Christmas Day today
I AM grateful fo... Read more
Monday, December 31, 2012
2 comments
In an attempt to experience a seizure Free ME - VICTORY, I had an epiphany last week while tracking seizures. Please understand, For each seizure survivor the journey is personal - similar but different - UNIQUE. Although I had been following ad... Read more
Tuesday, December 25, 2012
4 comments
My daughter, 27, had lived her whole adult life with uncontrolled epilepsy and PNES through a rare brain abnormality. This is a genetic issue she an I both share. She and I were ... Read more
Monday, April 09, 2012
2 comments
Excuses are tempting when they seem so real. The last month I've spent recovering from a few illnesses and my energy is still not at 100%. I know this is an excuse. How do I know? Well, I'm not dead and I'm not hospitalized so for me, this is an... Read more
Saturday, March 31, 2012
2 comments
Have you had, recently, one of those days where everything works and you are full of gratitude all day long? Today was one of those days for me. The weather was perfect and I showed up on time for every appointment. Yes, still recovering from la... Read more
Thursday, May 19, 2011
5 comments
Hello all,
Today I realized I am allowing myself to slide back into old negative habits. Yep, you read the right, I'm giving myself permission. Hold on a minute! I gave myself permission to move backward and I have the power to change my mi... Read more
Monday, May 09, 2011
9 comments


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Mindmatters TutorialRead MoreWhat services does your business offer and what makes your business stand out from the competition? Established by a dual-licensed teacher, MindMatters is dedicated to educational excellence. Our experienced Ivy League instructors not only know the SAT inside and out, but are skilled in diagnosing a student's strengths and weaknesses, simplifying difficult material and motivating students. Do you provide any materials? What should your students expect to bring? We begin by administering diagnostic tests and providing comprehensive reviews of results. Everyday students learn and practice new concepts from real tests. Instructors lead rigorous instruction for all vital areas of the SAT: critical reading, essay writing, grammar, vocabulary, and math. What was the inspiration to start or run this business? MindMatters began with a teacher's love for education. Disappointed with the "teaching to the worksheet" and "one-size-fits-all" approaches that many tutorials pursued, a NYU and Columbia educated dual-licensed teacher took it upon herself to create an educational space where students matter. What do you love most about your job? The "light bulb moment" when a student finally understands how to solve the unbeatable math problem or decipher a confusing reading passage is what we love most about our job. Being able to see the light bulb go off above a student's head is the one of the best feelings for a teacher.34-19 31st StreetLIC, NY US
Aloha Mind MathRead MoreALOHA (Abacus Learning of Higher Arithmetic) is a mathematics tutoring program that was originally developed for Malaysian children. Small group classes meet after school for step-by-step instruction from a qualified teacher or sentient abacus. The program has more than 3,000 centers in countries such as India, Thailand, Philippines, China, Australia, New Zealand, Oman, and UAE, and it was introduced to the United States in 2006. It also offers tutoring in reading and writing.41-25 Kissena BoulevardFlushing, NY US
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Recently the world was rocked with the low down, rotten, no good news that Matthew Vaughn was dropping out as the director of X-Men: Days of Future Past, and that Fox was going to have to scramble to find a replacement. The possible silver lining in this cloud was that Bryan Singer, the guy who directed the first two X-Men movies, who almost directed X-Men: First Class, and who's been working as a very involved producer in getting X-Men: Days of Future Past together, could possibly be the guy to step in and direct the film, thus making for an easy transition. Basically the situation was, either Singer directs, or the possibilities for the film start to look very scary.
Good news! Deadline is now reporting that the deal is done, and the man who launched the X-Men franchise—and pretty much the entire current super hero movie craze—is now officially on board as the director of X-Men: Days of Future Past. Singer still has Jack the Giant Slayer (formerly Jack the Giant Killer) coming out in March of next year, and will certainly have to do promotional stuff on that, but then should be able to launch himself headfirst into work on this tale of dystopian futures, World War II allegories, and giant killer robots. Things just very good for fans of mutant movies, and very bleak for the future of mutants.


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So as a person who started riding a few months ago , the longest i have spent on the bike in one sitting is about 10km. Normaly i do a few rides but with breaks in between.
Well today i rode 37km( approx it was like 37.something) in one sitting, it may not be fast it may ... hell it wasnt pretty but i did it
average speed was between 15--19kms and hour that is like 8--11miles an hour I think .
My ass hurts, my legs where shaky and i want to go do it again
I know not overly post worthy compared to some people , hell some of the ...err senior citizens are most likely laughing that they can walk faster than that but I am happy with it .
Anyway thanks for reading have fun


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Threats aside, Kelly Cutrone loves being new 'ANTM' judge
Kelly Cutrone has only been a judge on "America's Next Top Model" for a few episodes, but the PR maven has already witnessed plenty of drama after being talked back to and threatened by a contestant, who quit the show immediately after.
On the third episode of "ANTM: British Invasion," titled "Cat Deeley," Cutrone gave Louise instructions at a photo shoot challenge, which the U.K. contestant didn't agree with. Later at panel, Cutrone told the other judges Louise was condescending and rude to her on set and the model retorted by saying the new judge had been rude to her.
A heated exchange ensued, which culminated with Louise crying, swearing and walking off set. While outside the studio, she made a comment about how she'd knock Cutrone out if she ever saw her on the street.
Cutrone, who is the founder of PR and marketing firm People's Revolution, recently spoke to CTV.ca during a telephone interview and says she wasn't surprised by the model's volatile behaviour.
"She was like that from the minute she got on the set until the minute she left," she says.
"The most shocking thing was that some people on the Internet thought that I was abusing Louise and I'm thinking, 'What planet are we living on? This girl physically threatened me.' She was incredibly rude and she was rude to all of the judges."
Cutrone, who has starred in her own reality series "Kell on Earth," as well as appeared on episodes of "The Hills" and "The City," adds that critical feedback is just all part of the business and up and coming models need to be aware of that.
"It's like, 'You're the one who signed up to be in a modeling competition, you apparently don't want to be criticized.' But guess what? It's like going to a library and being upset that there are books," says Cutrone.
"You think that you're going to go on a shoot . . . and (the photographer) is going to tell you, 'Hey listen, I don't like this shot. You need to change up your attitude please, we still have another 10 hours' and the model is going to run out? Do you know what kind of liability the modeling agency would have? The liability the client would have? . . . how can you work like that?"
Cutrone says educating the models on what the business is really like is something she has tried to do in her new role, which, even with the blowout with Louise, has been a great experience.
"I loved doing the show. It was fun for me to do. It was an easy job. I spent the last 20 years casting models for ad campaigns, fashion shows, lookbooks, working with them and I've known Tyra since she's been 18 or 19 . . . so it was kind of a no brainer."
She says she sees plenty of potential in this cycle's crop of contestants and that having what it takes to be a top model doesn't just relate to physical appearance.
"A lot of our success as an agency weighs on the success of the models that we picked and the image that we're able to create . . . We've learned over the years it's not just a pretty girl who's going to make a great shot, it's how does she photograph, how does she carry herself, what's her attitude like? Can she work 12 hours on a set? Does she take criticism well?"
Add all of this to the pressure of competing against the other girls – and sharing a house with them – and it makes sense as to why there is drama between the contestants on "ANTM."
"I think one of the things people would love to know about 'America's Next Top Model' is that at the end of the day it's a competition between skinny, pretty girls who want to be famous and I think the thing that's interesting about this season is you're seeing a little more of the grainy, gritty things that actually happen all the time there," says Cutrone.
Watch "ANTM" first in Canada exclusively at CTV.ca.
About Sheri Block
Sheri Block has been covering entertainment for CTV.ca since 2008. In addition to covering Will and Kate's Royal Wedding in London, Sheri's highlights have included going on tour with "Canadian Idol," being a stand-in on "Canada's Next Top Model" and meeting Colin Farrell at the Toronto International Film Festival.Follow her on Twitter!


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Friday, December 28, 2012
2 comments
It's been more than a year since my last blog. Last year, I was in the middle of searching for answers. I would try so hard to lose weight by following my own guidelines b... Read more
Saturday, July 09, 2011
4 comments
Sunday, June 26, 2011
3 comments
Sunday, June 05, 2011
2 comments
Ok, self-discipline ... It's not easy but then again, anything worth it requires some effort. Here's an update on the first run with my goals. I'm challenging myself 30 days straight.
1. Portion lunch:
Streak 1= 1 day
Streak 2= 2 days ... Read more
Wednesday, June 01, 2011
2 comments
Ok so ... I'm working on self-discipline. I think will power is crap and motivation only lasts so long. Discipline is sticking to a plan despite the gushy feelings that try... Read more
Friday, May 27, 2011
3 comments
Tuesday, May 24, 2011
5 comments
Monday, May 23, 2011
1 comments
Saturday, May 21, 2011
3 comments
Sunday, May 15, 2011
3 comments
Friday, May 13, 2011
4 comments
So it's day 2 of the diabetic diet. I have to say that it's not so bad. It takes a little work to plan my meals but so far it's nothing tragic. It was tragic when they gave me the plan on Wednesday. I did not look at it with an open mind so ever... Read more
Wednesday, May 11, 2011
5 comments
I finally saw a doctor last week regarding my suspicions of having PCOS. Although, he didn't know what it was, he still took me seriously and decided to do some tests.
I had a pelvic sonogram done and some blood tests.
So today, the ... Read more
Tuesday, April 12, 2011
4 comments
I'm taking a break from Sparkpeople. I'm very close to getting the final approval for health insurance. As soon as I get a doctor, I am going to ask to be tested for Polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS). I have suspected for a long time that my inab... Read more
Monday, April 04, 2011
3 comments
Ok well I've been off track for a while. I gave up because I wasn't seeing results but now April is here.
My plans for April are to get back to the basics with Intuitive Eating. So I'll be re-reading my book and getting back into that.
... Read more
Thursday, March 24, 2011
4 comments
My cat, Pepper has always been an outside cat. She has always been a survivor.
Sparkies... meet Pepper!
This is her hanging out on my window cill
This is one I... Read more


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Health, and Health Resorts
by John Wilson
Book Reviews
Book Description
The following computer-generated description may contain errors and does not represent the quality of the book:
The large and constantly-increasing number of invalids who annually quit their homes to visit foreign health resorts in the hope of recovering lost health, and the sad and disappointing experiences I have witnessed amongst this class in a foreign land, have induced me to offer to the public in this volume some such practical observations upon the subject of health and the merits of these health stations as, it is hoped, may lead the curable invalid to a just appreciation of the natural resources of which he should avail himself, and at the same time deter the fatally sick from making injudicious and unavailing experiments that can only entail aggravated suffering.
Book Details
APA: Wilson, John. (2013). Health, and Health Resorts. London: Forgotten Books. (Original work published 1880)
MLA: Wilson, John. Health, and Health Resorts. 1880. Reprint. London: Forgotten Books, 2013. Print.
|1. health
|2. waters
|3. springs
|4. disease
|5. often
|6. mineral
|7. cases
|8. resorts
|9. town
|10. amongst
|11. air
|12. winter
|13. action
|14. invalid
|15. vital
|16. system
|17. almost
|18. invalids
|19. forms
|20. influences
|21. class
|22. spring
|23. nature
|24. temperature
|25. stations


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ESP 561: GIS for Conservation Biologists
Synonym:66303 (for web registration)
Faculty:Jonathan Atwood
Semester:Spring 2010
Meeting Schedule:Fridays 1/22 - 5/7 (8:00AM-10:59AM)
Competency Area: CB – Required Civic Ecology; Cert, EAO, EE & IND – elective
Restricted to Conservation Biology students from December 8 – 16; open to all ES students on December 17.
This is an introductory course in the use of GIS to effectively communicate spatially explicit environmental information. The class will explore how to access GIS information available on the WWW, extract and analyze data using ArcGIS 9.x software, create data files relevant to natural resource inventory work, and effectively transmit results to both lay and technical audiences. This class will emphasize use of GIS in a research context, especially including its role in habitat conservation planning and policy development. Note: Please check the SAKAI course folder for pre-class readings and assignments.


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Cubs – Cardinals
I know many of you were busy over the holiday weekend.
Below I've attached all the posts for the weekend Cubs vs. Cardinals series.
I hope you had a happy Fourth and thanks for checking back to Bullpen Brian!
- Friday – The Taste of Chicago
- Saturday – Limp Woody
- Sunday – Out At The Plate


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This is the story of two champions. One is the most celebrated horse of the 20th century, the only non-human athlete to be included on Sport's Illustrated's 1999 list of the top 100 athletes o...
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State of Wonder by Ann Patchett
State of Wonder by Ann Patchett is a dazzling read and highly recommended!
A researcher at a pharmaceutical company, Marina Singh journeys into the heart of the Amazonian delta to check on a field team that has been silent for two years–a dangerous assignment that forces Marina to confront the ghosts of her past.
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Faith by Jennifer Haigh
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Alright I am currently 15 weeks 4 days pregnant with my second child when I was pregnant with my first I gained weight right from the start by the end of my pregnacy i had gained 90lbs with this pregnacy I haven't gained a pound and i have lost weight also when I was pregnant the first time I quit smoking the moment that I found out I was pregnant, I also stated showing at like 13 weeks pregnant and couldn't fit into my normal clothes by 14 weeks pregnant with this pregnacy It was harder for me to stop smoking I dropped to maybe a puff to one cig a day then at 9 weeks completely quit. With my first pregnancy I had a little boy I didn'thave any problems with the pregnacy but he was born with a colonic aterisa ( that's where half the colon is missing not connected and partly diseased) the dr's reassured me that it was nothing that I did that it was something that can happen alothugh it's rare it still happened. I am 15 weeks pregnant and not showing is something wrong with the baby ??
Posted: 04/05/2012 by Melissa353
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The docter told my sis in law who smokes 5 cigs a day,at the time was pregno with her son and was born a healthy baby to not stop smoking right away it can couse the baby to go in stress and ur body in shock and can end up losing the baby. U need to cut back on smoking while pregnet then if u choose to stop smoking after is up to u even though it is not good for the baby it is said to couse premature birth but it also depends on the mom on what she eats and takes her vitamins and keeping a healthy pregnetsy while smoking half a cig a day. Once I found out I was pregno in April I had stoped cold turky and becouse I only smoked on the weekends and not during the week cuz of my job I was not allowed to smoke and my boss got mad at me for smelling like smoke I was not putting my body and baby in shock. I have not picked up a smoke since then and gladly to be rid of it and keeping it that way. Smell of smoke makes me realy sick while pregno. I am 11 weeks.posted 06/11/2012 by Paradice06
DONT STRESS OUT I GUESS IM STRESSING OUT AS WELL BECAUSE IM PREGNANT NOW WITH MY SECOND BABY AND RIGHT NOW I HAVENT FELT IT MOVE I JUST FOUND OUT LAST FRIDAY AND AM SCARED BECAUSE I DONT HAVE ANY NAUSEAS AT ALL KINDA I FEEL LIKE TIERD SWOLLEN FROM MY FACE AND JUST TIERD I FEEL THAT IF II EAT ONE PLATE OF FOOD AM SOO FULL AND AM NOT LIKE THAT USAULLY BUT NOW AM FEELING THAT WAY I WENT TO THE DOCTORS AND HE MEASURED MY UTERUS HE SAID IT MEASURED 15 CM AND THAT HE WOULD DO A ULTRASOUND BY TUESDAY BUT I FEEL ANXIOUS TO KNOW HOW FAR IT SHOULD BE IF IT MEASURES 15 CM .... DONT BE WORRIED HOPE FOR THE BEST LEAVE IT IN GODS HANDS AND YOU WILL SEE EVERYTHING WILL BE FINE JUST TRY TO RELAX AND THINK POSITIVE GOOD LUCK :)posted 05/20/2012 by a BabyCenter Member
i wouldnt worry too much about. this is my first pregnancy. And i didnt start to gain weight until i was 6 months pregnant. i gained maybe 5 pounds before i was 6 months. now im 8 months and gained weight too fast so my doctor told me start walking. which i did then my siatic nerve pain was too much and put on bed rest.posted 04/11/2012 by MS/Km
TO THE WOMEN WHO WROTE THIS I know moms all over babycenter are going to break out their pitchforks as soon as I say this but I think you might need to hear it right now... All I have to say is thank you, I haven't smoked since I was 9 weeks along and am not going to pick it up agian. I wanted to thank you I know that it wasn''t healthy but My dr said that I really shouldn't stress about it the only other thing that is bothering me is that this is my 2nd pregnancy and I am 16 weeks and haven't gained a pound and I am not showing.. Should i be worried? I feel the baby move a lot so that's a good sign I find out what i am having april 24 th thank you for your kind words God bless youposted 04/11/2012 by Melissa353
I know moms all over babycenter are going to break out their pitchforks as soon as I say this but I think you might need to hear it right now... I'm NOT advocating smoking during pregnancy but my aunt did it throughout her pregnancy and had a perfectly healthy/fat baby boy.. Everybody told her that it was terrible and to stop but she used to say she craved the cigarettes and did it anyways.. Also she didn't even know she was pregnant until she was 5 1/2 months!!... She never stopped getting her period and she didn't gain an ounce until the 5 month mark, that's when she scheduled an appointment and found out she was prego.. I know it's hard and I applaud you for giving it up! .. Even if it took you a bit longer than recommended.. You should be fine! Make sure and voice your concerns to your Dr but I'm pretty sure you're stressing over nothing, we moms tend to do that.. And hopefully u can stay off the smokes for good now.. Best of Luck!!posted 04/10/2012 by a BabyCenter Member
Do Not stress. IT's not good for you and the baby specially if your still in your 1st trimester. here. This is what the baby looks like right now. http://www.babycenter.com/fetal-development-images-15-weeks Most women gain weight and see the bulge when they are about 4 or 5 mos. pregnant, so do not stress. You will be fine.posted 04/06/2012 by Frilin
Every pregnancy is different. My step sister swelled up huge on the first and not on the second. And a girlfriend of mine never showed until the 5th month on either child. I wouldn't worry unless it's one of the symptoms they warn you about...bleeding or severe cramping or persistant cramping. I know lots of people who lose in the first trimester and I feel like a big bloated whale and have already gained weight. Not only are people different, but I believe not all pregnancies are the same for each woman.posted 04/06/2012 by karent1977
90lbs is a lot to gain in pregnancy, so no, you are fine. You should be going to your monthly checkups and if you feel something is wrong then call your ob and get in right away. They have programs to quit smoking as well.posted 04/06/2012 by iceboxinksnina
I think a lot depends on your weight pre pregnancy. Were you overweight? If yes than weight gain shouldn't happen as quickly. And 90 lbs is A LOT to gain in a pregnancy! My first trimester I lost 5 pounds even though I didn't have any morning sickness. Now my weight gain(31 weeks)is on track. Drinking protein smoothies really helped me. I'd load them with yogurt, fruit and spinach. I started putting on weight and got so much nutrition! It's really helpful. Unfortunately you could definitely have done damage by smoking. Those things are harmful to you, so of course they are damaging to a baby. They are coming out with studies of 3rd hand smoke being harmful. But stressing over it will make this worse. Just deep breath, commit to stopping smoking now and AFTER your baby is born. This habit needs to over for your children's future health as well. We can't do anything about our pasts, only our futures. Good luck!posted 04/05/2012 by HereNow26
I gained 15-20lbs with both pregnancy. Average is 30-45lbs based on your re pregnancy weight. 90lbs is on the high side for weight gain.posted 04/05/2012 by AshleyBungert5
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Nintendo 3DS - Nintendo
A big hit.
The Nintendo 3DS went on sale Saturday in Japan and has already virtually sold out throughout most the country, with more than 371,000 units reportedly purchased in the first two days. That puts the system on a faster sales track than the indomitable Nintendo DS, according to some calculations.
Famitsu, a Japanese consumer site, notes the company sold 441,000 DS units in the first four days of availability, which set a record for portable devices, says Gamasutra. If Nintendo can keep up with demand, the 3DS has a chance at topping that number.
That bodes well for the North American launch of the 3DS, which is set for March 27. Given the novelty of the system, which lets viewers play games in stereoscopic 3D without using any sort of special glasses, analysts have predicted the device will be just as popular during the U.S. launch as it was in Japan, with quick sellouts expected for the first several months of availability,
Ironically, the 3D game that topped the charts in Japan won't be part of the U.S. launch lineup. Professor Layton and the Mask of Miracle sold 117,589 copies during the first two days of availability, but there are currently no plans to release the title in other territories at present. (North American gamers will get their own exclusive with the submarine game Steel Diver.)
The news wasn't all good for Nintendo, though. Within 24 hours of the 3DS's release, videos began to emerge showing the system had seemingly been partially hacked. Tech-savvy users have claimed to be able to play illegally obtained current DS games on a flashcard. Pirated 3D games, for now, are still unplayable on the system.
That's likely to frustrate the Kyoto-based company, which saw DS software sales plunge due to rampant piracy and took special efforts to eliminate the problem with this device.
The 3DS will launch in the U.S. for $250 with 18 games to choose from, including nintendogs + cats, Super Street Fighter IV 3D Edition and LEGO Star Wars III: The Clone Wars.
- Nintendo 3DS
- the 3DS
- Professor Layton
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Should I be worried?
I am 40w 2d pregnant with my 2nd baby and I have been suffering from severe headaches for years and my doctor gave me a prescription for fioricet for them during this pregnancy, well yesterday I woke up with a horrible headache and so I ate some breakfast and took one and drank water all day, nothing helped. Then I took another one before bed and was will up all threw the night with a headache. Again this morning I woke up with a horrible headache and was nauseous and dizzy, I ate and took one of my pills, that was 2 hours ago and I still have a horrible headache. I am still a little nauseous and my eyes burn and feel like they are going to pop out of my head. I never had this problem with my son. Just wondering if I should go in? I plan on calling L&D soon just want some opinions. Thank you! :)
Posted: 06/27/2012 by CynthiaJean91
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I agree with Jacobsmom45 I had toxemia ( high blood pressure) towards the end of my first pregnancy and severe headaches and dizziness is definetly a syptom. I wouldn't be too worried, just get checked out. The doctors induced me 10 days early due to the toxemia. It's better to have them decide whats best for you at this point in your pregnancy! Good luck!posted 06/30/2012 by kwyllie
I would definitely at least call your doctor, and get in there, if not go to the birthing center. It could be your blood pressure, and that can be very dangerous if it gets too high and you let it go. High blood pressure can cause nausea and dizziness. I would go in. Better safe than sorry. The good news is that you are far enough along in your pregnancy, they can induce you and get that baby here, so the blood pressure will return to normal, and you and your baby should be fine.posted 06/27/2012 by jacobsmom45
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Examples of Teaching with Visualizations
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Review for interdisiplinary science course (stream ecology, watersheds) part of Cutting Edge:Develop Program-Wide Abilities:Complex Systems:Teaching Activities
This is a large-scale participatory activity used to prompt students to review what they have learned and to think actively and cooperatively about the connections between the systems we have discussed prior to the ...
Learn more about this review process.
The Modern Atmospheric CO2 Record part of Pedagogy in Action:Library:Teaching with Data:Examples
Students compare carbon dioxide (CO2) data from Mauna Loa Observatory, Barrow (Alaska), and the South Pole over the past 40 years to help them better understand what controls atmospheric CO2.
See the activity page for details.
Light Reactions of Photosynthesis part of Visualization Examples
Light reactions of photosynthesis including location and steps for non-cyclic and cyclic photophosphorylation.
Dark Reactions of Photosynthesis part of Visualization Examples
The dark reactions of photosynthesis (Calvin Cycle) are presented in this learning experience to show where these processes take place in the plant as well as the specific reactions involved.
Respiratory System part of Visualization Examples
The purpose, components, and functions of the respiratory system are presented in this learning through disussion and visualizations. Participants learn about the nasal cavity, pharynx, larynx, trachea, bronchi, bronchioles, and alveoli.
Plant Anatomy part of Visualization Examples
Tissues and cells of root, stem, and leaf anatomy in both dicots and monocots are investigated in this learning activity.
Plant Water Relations part of Visualization Examples
Plant water relations are presented in this learning activity to help participants understand the components of water potential, explain how water moves through plants, provide examples of plant adaptations to water stress, and have a general understanding of how water potential can be measured.
Plant Growth Regulation part of Visualization Examples
Plant growth regulators, including auxin, gibberellin, cytokinin, abscisic acid, and ethylene, are investigated in this learning activity to demonstrate how these chemicals (hormones) affect plant growth and development.
Mitosis and Meiosis part of Visualization Examples
Drawings and animations, are used to help participants understand the differences between and steps involved in mitosis and meiosis. The cell cycle as well as individual steps of mitosis and meiosis are included in this learning material.
Digestive System part of Visualization Examples
The digestive system is investigated in this learning activity to help participants learn how food is broken down and prepared for absorption, and list the components of the digestive system as well as their functions. Organs investigated include the mouth, esophagus, stomach, small intestine, large intestine, rectum, and anus.
Nervous System part of Visualization Examples
This learning strategy provides discussion and visualizations of the neuron and its function, as well as components and functions of different parts of the nervous system, including the human brain.
Environmental Reconnaissance of a Salt Marsh part of Pedagogy in Action:Library:Teaching with Google Earth:Examples
This is a field and computer laboratory exercise that introduces undergraduate students, advanced high school students, and members of the general public to using Google Earth, GPS, aerial imagery, and an online ...
Resources for using PhET simulations in class – PhET Activities Database part of Pedagogy in Action:Library:PhET Interactive Science Simulations:Examples
The PhET Activities Database is a collection of resources for using PhET sims. It includes hundreds of lesson plans, homework assignments, labs, clicker questions, and more. Some activities have been created by the PhET team and some have been created by teachers.


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and getting dropped on their every day bike rides?
Apparently I didn't get the memo that every time I get on my bike its supposedly a race against whoever else I encounter on a bike...
and getting dropped on their every day bike rides?
Apparently I didn't get the memo that every time I get on my bike its supposedly a race against whoever else I encounter on a bike...
Because it adds an element of 'fun' for some...
Don't let it bother you...
My tempo ride might drop others tempo rides... while there's people out there who's tempo rides would put me in hurt and drop me sooner or later.
I hate it when I get droped and don't even know it.
Maybe my fear of getting dropped is the reason I only ride with my wife. But I thought it had to do with living in a rural area and nobody else out here rides. But I now know it is my fear of being dropped.
09 Specialized Crosstrail Elite
08 Cannondale Six13 3
This is like the guy who flys by you on the freeway then puts his hazard lights on signifying that he just beat you in a race.
I have only been riding by myself since I started a month ago. I notice that when I see a rider ahead of me I suddenly have the capacity to push myself to catch up. I usually will stay behind them for a bit if there going at a decent speed and maybe have a quick chat at a light to break up the riding then move on. Minus the rambling I think my only cause to drop a rider would be to push myself. I like some competition even if its just in my own head.
2009 Specialized Allez
Getting dropped in a casual setting really doesn't matter and anyone that thinks that it does is totally delusional. I can give you a real life "for instance". About two years ago I was out on an off season training ride with a friend where we were out for a "moderate" effort ride of around 40 miles. In the process we happened to pass a rider WAY better than us who was probably out for a super easy recovery ride. I won't say who it is, but this rider just defended his Mt. Washington hill climb victory and is currently a Jelly-Belly pro. I would be a total idiot to think that in anyway we pwned this guy because we happened to pass him that day. He is so much better rider than I am that I can't even imagine the difference. It ain't a race unless everyone in it says that it is.
Heck, if I show up at the local hammerhead ride and in my training mode I am looking for a moderate steady effort and the thing turns into a prick measurement test with the local hotshots I will be the first guy off the back and saying "see ya next week" because that particular brand of torture was not on my menu for that evening for me. And I don't care if somebody thinks that I couldn't "hang" on that particular ride. While I might have "hung" on that ride it would have gone against what I was trying to do on that particular day.
I'm the world's forgotten boy. The one who's searchin', searchin' to destroy.
I always thought "dropping" was a weak way of stating that you crushed the hopes of someone who (presumably?) wished to keep up with you.
But then I'll never understand how taking a dump became precedent either. Why don't they call it leaving a dump? I mean... you're not really taking it anywhere.
People LOVE winning, even if they're not actually racing.
isn't the whole idea of a group ride to ride as a group? I can somehwat understand the group slpitting between abilities (depending on size) but dropping some one on a group ride is very rude IMHO. now a training ride is different if you can't hack it too bad.
I have a slightly different question. on my ride saturday here in so jersey I saw something odd (atleast to me) I saw a group ride headed the other way and it was about 20 riders strong but it had redundents in it too. it look real strange and slightly dangerous to me.
Bianchis '87 Sport SX, '90 Proto, '90 Campione del Fausto Giamondi Specialisma Italiano Mundo, '91 Boarala 'cross, '93 Project 3, '86 Volpe, '97 Ti Megatube, , '90 something Vento 603,
Others but still loved,; '80 RIGI, '80 Batavus Professional, '87 Cornelo, '09 Motobecane SOLD, '?? Jane Doe (still on the drawing board), '90ish Haro Escape


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HOUSTON — It's been a big year for beards. For one, mine looks spectacular. Moreover, Daniel Day Lewis won the Golden Globe in his brilliantly beardy portrayal of Abe Lincoln. Avalanche defenseman Greg Zanon's could smuggle a family across the border in his shrubbery. And the Rockets' James Harden, who the Nuggets face Wednesday, makes Rick Ross look like he just has a 5 o'clock shadow.
Houston's hairy Harden is having a breakout season, averaging 25.9 points per game, 5.4 rebounds and 4.5 assists. In the Rockets' most-recent game, he put up 29, seven and seven. He is a weapon. And he has Houston's best beard since ZZ Top came on the local scene.
"Harden is a pretty tough guy, he has a great way of drawing fouls," Nuggets coach George Karl said. "We might get in foul trouble, he shot 21 free throws the other day. I'll try to put anybody on him who can make a difference."
He put Andre Iguodala on Harden in the last game, and Dre shut down Harden, even stuffing a late-in-game jumper right back in the dude's face. But Harden's game is growing. The guy has some savvy and some swagger.
"He's putting up big numbers, but he's not necessarily scoring on one individual defender," Iguodala said. "They do a good job at putting him in position in pick-and-rolls to where he's going one-on-one at bigs after the pick-and-rolls, so it's important to jump him early and not let him attack. Making them react to our pressure."
Harden is the only NBA player who averages double-digit free-throw attempts per game (10.1). And he makes 'em. He averages 8.6 makes per game, most in the league, and his percentage is 85.3, fifth among NBA players who average at least 17 points per game.
"I take every assignment pretty much the same," Iguodala said matter-of-factly. "I'll watch film on him, see what I can learn, as far as tendencies. I just try to get guys out of their rhythm. I've gotten close to James and going against him over the last couple years, so it's fun going against him."
Indeed, the two played for Team USA, they went to rival colleges (Dre at Arizona and Harden at Arizona State) and they share the same agent, Rob Pelinka, and hang out together in LA sometimes during the summer.
But Wednesday night, it's all about Iguodala trying to smear the beard (that doesn't work) ... veer the beard (I mean sorta?) ... make the beard look weird (I guess) ... make the beardy look weary (just give up, Ben).
Benjamin Hochman: 303-954-1294, email@example.com or twitter.com/nuggetsnews
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