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Even though the bullish action has left tentative buyers in the dust, junior gold miners via GDXJ have only touched into slightly overbought territory a few times. So, even though the move has been significant, there seems to be a stealth component to the action.
If you have been a premium Gold Investment Letter member, you have heard me preach steady accumulation in the gold, silver, and junior mining sector for over a year. In Q4 2015, I amped up my position and encouraged investors to bolster holdings in our favorite juniors. This conviction wasn't just from the gut, but from the amazing data referenced below. The problem folks have now is pulling the trigger and buying into the precious metals sector after such a big move higher. However, I will show you why that is a mistake.
Earlier this year, gold stocks bottomed on January 19th. The Barron's Gold Mining Index was trading at the same level as it was 42 years ago! The BGMI relative to both gold and the S&P 500 was at its lowest level in 90 years and the recent almost 5 year bear market was itself the worst in 90 years. The Hui/Gold Ratio bottomed in January at .09 but its long term median level is .35. With the ratio now back at .16, it still needs to more than double just to get back to its median and this assumes gold stays flat. But we all know that in volatile sectors such as gold/mining stocks, the median is virtually always busted through on swings up and down.
Make no mistake, this sector was utterly bombed out by the time it bottomed in January. If gold hits $1,550 per ounce, the miners will need to triple to return to the median HUI/Gold Ratio and for bulls that think $2,000 an ounce gold is in the cards down the road, we're looking at a 550% rise in the miners if the ratio goes back to its highs of .636. Another data point is that the gold miners need to rise another 80% for the HUI/S&P 500 Ratio to return to its long term median of .174 and 450% for it to return to its historical time high of .544.
Regardless of the compelling data, many investors after years of seeing mining stocks roll over and being punished for buying, are very skeptical. At the turn of every bear to bull market, this is normal, but recognizing the true turn and taking action early can mean the difference in making millions versus just hundreds of thousands of dollars. Losing heart at exactly the wrong time is a common loser's mentality, but something that can be changed in an instant for those that are willing.
If you fear that you are chasing too much after soaking up the daily GDXJ chart above, take a look at the monthly, over a 10 year period:
Clearly, we are veryyyyyyy far from the 2011 highs! We would need to see a 5 bagger from current levels to hit the low $150's. But, keep in mind that with the thinned herd of survivors in the sector, if gold breaches the 2011 highs, GDXJ could see new highs ultimately as well. The monthly downtrend line was just breached in March and it is good to see a confirmation month or two before christening an official breakout. But, that is what we have here, a brand spanking new bull market that should last multiple years.
Because gold is really an opposite reflection of the currency we view the world in, the action varies based on where you live. For Brazilians, Russians, Canadians, etc, gold has been ripping since early 2015. As I type, spot gold is $1,555 an ounce in Canadian dollars, and is up over 85% the last 5 years in Brazil. The USD strength the past couple of years has masked the gold bull but we're now poised to see a very strong run in gold priced in US dollars. For a real perspective that most people aren't aware of, let's consider what the global paper currencies have done against gold since 1971, when gold officially decoupled from the dollar. In 1971 gold was $35 an ounce. Now it is approximately $1,240, an almost 3,500% gain over 45 years (inversely, it has been a massive fall in the value/purchasing power of the US Dollar).
In the early 1970's, 14.5 British Pounds bought one ounce of Gold. Today, 888 Pounds buys it, a rise of nearly 6,000%. In Canadian Dollars, from C$38 to $C1,555 for an over 4,000% rise. The USD has actually outperformed its British/Canadian counterparts (purchasing power declined less). Keep in mind that this 3,500% rise for Americans in Gold included a brutal 20 year bear market from 1980-2000. So, the British Pound has lost 98.4% of its value since 1971 while the USD has lost 97.2% of its value in Gold. If Gold hits $3,000 an ounce in USD, we would basically match the Pound decline in percentage terms (98.8%). If Gold hit $10,000 an ounce it would mean a 99.65% loss in USD value but at some point, a fall of this magnitude is certain, because every paper currency unbacked by Gold goes to ZERO over time.
We have heard for years in the US how tame inflation has been. But, stretching back about 30 years on memory, I recall buying candy bars for 25 cents. What are they now…$2? This is the ultimate function of Gold, to remain a store of value/savings over long periods of time. The value it commanded a century ago (give or take), buys the same amount of comparable goods today and will remain so. NIRP (negative interest rate policies) taking effect in various nations around the globe will only stimulate demand for gold and silver. The just over 40% decline in the price of Gold from high to low into 2016 and the almost 90% decline in mining shares sets up a powerful pendulum for GDXJ. Remember, just a basic reversion to the mean will see gold miners double again from here and other historical metrics indicate the upside could be even greater.
Certainly, a shakeout will come to the sector eventually. Nothing goes straight up. My hope is that the bearish action in the weekly chart below shows us a correction could occur now for a few weeks. We're finally overbought a bit, hitting resistance, and saw a big fade from the highs last week.
I say "hope" because I know a lot of people have missed this move. Personally, I want to load up even more on the first meaningful correction that we see in my favorite names. Make no mistake, the bell has rung, we are in a new cyclical gold bull market, and gold, silver, and mining stocks are going much higher. We're monitoring the short term action in GDXJ closely but feel strongly that meaningful pull backs should be bought. There is much money to be made trading in a bull cycle but the big money is made by buying in early and sitting. Our 18 month target on GDXJ is $70 and within 36 months we believe 2011 highs near $150 per share will be tested.
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Legal Disclaimer: I am offering ideas for your consideration and education. I am not offering financial advice. I am not a financial or investment advisor and am acting in the sole capacity of a newsletter writer. I am a fellow investor and trader sharing his thoughts for educational and informational purposes only. This publication is a 100% subscriber supported. No compensation is received by the author from any of the companies mentioned for the recommendation of a stock in this service (if this changes or there is exception-it will be clearly disclosed to our readers). Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided on the Website is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Mr. Muschinski does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published on the Website belong to Mr. Muschinski or respective associates and are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell securities. Mr. Muschinski does not recommend services, products, business or investment in any company mentioned in any of his essays or reports. Materials published on the Website have been prepared for your private use and their sole purpose is to educate readers about various investments. By reading Mr. Muschinski's essays or reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these essays or reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. We strongly advise that you consult a certified investment advisor and we encourage you to do your own research before making any investment decision. Mr. Muschinski, Gold Investment Letter's employees and affiliates, as well as members of their families, may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.]]>
Certainly the ETF is trading quite a bit higher than its lows but does that mean it should be avoided? No. In fact, topped off my personal position on Friday and will add on any significant pull backs into the $5's. If you take a step back and view the ten year chart below, it's easy to see that the current move higher is barely a blip on the radar. In 2007-2008, GGN traded between the high $20's and low $30's.
Currently GGN pays out a monthly cash dividend of 7 cents per share, or .84 annually. This is a very healthy yield to sock away if you feel confident that you won't lose money on the ETF price itself. GGN uses a covered call writing strategy against the funds mining/resource positions, generating the consistent cash flow. However, as we've seen, this distribution can and does fluctuate alongside the performance of the ETF itself and gold mining stocks in general.
I believe that we have officially entered a new bull market in gold and mining stocks. If that is indeed the case, GGN will certainly continue not only rising in price, but also in cents per share in dividend payments to shareholders. Say over 2 years we see our investment grow to $10 per share AND receive a 14% annual dividend, I think you and I would be quite pleased. But, I believe that it is even better than that! You see, from 2005 to 2012, the average yield was .14 cents per month or double what we see now. If the yield again begins to climb, the actual yield on money invested at current levels could double! Imagine racking up 28-30% yields and experiencing capital appreciation in the fund itself.
We saw a steady deterioration in distributions starting in 2013 when they fell to .12 per month, then .09 in 2014, and finally .07 in 2015-present. But, I believe this trend will reverse potentially as soon as end of year 2016 when GGN can justify a jump back to .09-.10 cents per month. This will simply be because the value of the companies in the fund have increased along with the cash flow on the covered calls. I have recommended to our premium members to make GGN a core holding in their gold mining stock portfolio because of the unique and heavy dividend feature. We also get diversification via the fund's holdings in various gold mining securities.
If we are indeed in a new bull market in gold, now is the time to bolster holdings in vehicles such as GGN. I would not chase the price beyond $6.25 or so. But up to that price combined with accumulation on any meaningful pull backs is encouraged. I don't recommend my personal strategy for everyone, as it entails leverage and more risk, but it can be considered. I own a large portion of my shares on margin due to low margin rates. As long as I can sell out flat on the ETF itself, there is almost a 10% annual arbitrage between the margin rate I pay and the annual dividend.
If you really think about it, my yields on capital are enormous. Use 100,000 shares as an example, which would cost $600,000 approximately. I put up $250K to buy the 100K shares, leaving a bit of cushion on margin. At 84 cents annually, the dividend is $84,000, minus the $18,000 or so margin interest I'm incurring, that leaves $66,000 per year in cash income. I've now boosted my yield to just under 27% annually on cash out of pocket! If the distributions return to normalized levels of 14 cents per month, yes I'll be cash flowing over 50% per year at that point on the initial $250K I put to work now. This is how leverage should be used, where the blow up risk is not high and the yield is juicy enough to pay down your principal risk relatively fast.
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GQC's chart is typical of many gold miners. On the daily chart below, the stock has more than doubled since February 1st, leaving many investors in the dust that banked on further weakness to buy. This stage of the new gold bull creates this common myth in investor's minds, in that, they believe they "missed it", because they didn't buy at the absolute bottom.
However, when we simply take a step back and look at a ten year chart, we see that this party is just getting started!
Investors bid GQC up 40X on the Romero discovery news, already a year into the gold bear market in 2012, due to the high grades and potential just beginning to be revealed. Now, we have 4 more years of work and data that has grown and de-risked the project significantly, yet the share price is only a fraction of what it was 4 years ago. These are circumstances that I love and GoldQuest truly has the goods to substantiate MUCH higher prices both now and in the future.
The company has been quite prudent in expending capital and raising equity from the capital markets. Their largest raise was back in August 2012 when they took in $15MM at $1.25 per share. The next raise was not until late 2015 when they brought in a couple of million (including $1MM from McEwen), followed by $3MM they closed on April 1st. Certainly investors that chased the stock in 2012 and bought in at $1-2 had a very frustrating few years ahead of them as the share price slowly ground down all the way to 7 cents. But in the time, the company moved forward on more drilling and produced a very robust PEA in May 2015.
The PEA at a 6% Net Present Value (NPV) is $219 million (over $300 million at $1,500 gold) with a strong IRR of 34%, and capital payback in less than 3 years. CAPEX is very reasonable at under $150MM with a low all in sustaining cost of $572 per ounce of gold equivalent. They showed production ramping to over 150,000 ounces per year gold equivalent which is big for a company trading at less than a $50MM market cap. At current gold prices we're talking about $200MM in annual revenues with substantial cash flow. Next is the pre-feasibility study (PFS), which GQC projects will be done in Q2 2016, so it is coming soon.
I expect the PFS to show various improvements on economics and moving more gold into the measured and indicated territory (they have over 2 million ounces already). The market cap of GoldQuest per ounce of M&I gold reserves, compared to their peers in Dominican Republic, is very cheap at less than 1/3 (peers were $57 per ounce in the ground in January with GQC at $11. All of the miner's share prices have increased quite a bit since then but the gap remains large). This weighted sector gap could even widen as GoldQuest completes work on their PFS this quarter and the feasibility study in Q4 of this year. This simply means that GQC could justify a very strong run in share price, just to catch up to where their peers are valued.
Lastly, GQC only included just over 1/3 (34%) of Romero in their mine plan, leaving large upside to what has already been logged in the PEA. The Tireo Gold Belt in DR has many prospective targets to duplicate success at Romero. So, as GQC continues exploratory drilling going forward, there is the potential for more discoveries and expansion of the Romero project. News drivers this year will come from drilling and the PFS and feasibility studies, which will confirm that this is definitely going to be a mine, and a very profitable one at that.
I suggest readers continue to buy shares of GQC up to 35 cents per share and on any pull backs. My 12 month target is $1 and 24-30 month target is a return to $2 per share, which are huge percentage gains (over 300% to $1 from current prices and nearly 700% to $2). GQC is a core junior gold mining holding in my portfolio and I have no interest in selling anytime soon. This is one to primarily ride out through the ups and downs of this new gold bull cycle. Taking principal risk out at some juncture is always a good idea and I will consider that near $1 per share, but not much sooner.
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Bitgold is what drew me to the company both as an investor and customer. However, GoldMoney added credibility to the story when Bitgold acquired them in the summer of 2015. GM was founded by James Turk, a respected thought leader in the gold sector. GM's business is easy to comment on as it's pretty straight forward, they sell and store gold bullion for investors. Their value add is the trust factor (safe audited storage) and they also have sales reps that act as advisers to their clients. As can be expected, their business hemorrhaged significantly from 2011-mid 2015, with an almost 70% decline in revenues.
This however, just like everything in the gold space, is highly cyclical. In late 2015, growth returned to GoldMoney, as I point out below in the most recent quarterly financial results. Now, I guarantee many people will not agree with my assessment of the value here and that's just fine. I have an extensive background as a gold, technology, and even specifically as a Fintech sector investor, which is what I consider Bitgold. At the end of the day, GoldMoney adds a now growing revenue base (fairly significant), credibility, and possible synergies with their large book of clients (over 20,000 clients and $1.4 Billion in assets under management).
Bitgold brings a revolutionary and potentially highly disruptive global payments and savings platform to the equation. I liken them to being a Paypal but using Gold as the currency ("money without boarders"). Current global trade mechanisms including between banks, particularly clearing and settlement, have major bottlenecks and are inefficient. It takes a long time to settle certain funds (a check from a Canadian company last year took 30 days to clear! And that was confirmed at each of my banks and I approached three), currencies are volatile, and costs can be quite high.
In fact, peer to peer money transfers average a 7.6% fee! This is a $600 Billion dollar annual market that generates over $30 billion in fees for banks (the average amount sent is $200 at a time). Bitgold is disrupting this model, offering swift transference globally and buying or selling your gold costs just 1% (the lowest fee structure anywhere, by far). They provide the customer the ability to choose between 10 global storage locations secured by Brinks (Dubai, London, Singapore, etc). You can also spend your gold anywhere that Master Card is accepted via a GoldMoney issued debit card (I have one but the mission now is to save in Gold while it is cheap, compared to my primary currency the US Dollar, and I will spend in Gold after it gets expensive again down the road).
A cool and convenient feature is the ability to utilize automatic savings in gold, digitally, as often as you like. I have a Capital One online account that auto deducts $1K per month into a savings account. Now, I have a little more than that (I and many others start out small to get comfortable with the system/company) being deducted from a credit and debit card every 3 weeks, converting into grams of Gold in my Bitgold account (you can also transfer funds via ACH, wires, Bitcoin, etc). The goal here is a global savings and payments platform denominated in Gold, and that's exactly what it is. Not only do I not have to worry about storage as I buy more physical bullion, but if I want to, I can pay someone (or my bills) in Gold, from my Bitgold account. I can also have my gold bullion delivered to me at any time as well.
This is an extremely attractive model and technology platform for individuals, institutions, investors, and businesses. What's next is a launch of Bitgold's merchant payment product, "Bitgold for business". As an entrepreneur with various online operations, I will use and welcome this service. Currently, I use Paypal for all online payment transactions, whether that's premium subscriptions to GIL or data purchases. So, instead of those of you who pay the monthly or annual subscription fee in dollars via Paypal, using this system, all of my revenues would be instantly converted to Gold. In the early stages of a new Gold bull market, I like the thought of this a lot!
I will get into Goldmoney's revenues, capital structure, and valuation in a minute but first want to point out the explosion in new users. Upon launching in May 2015, they had 33,000 new customers. As of March 2016 (11 months later) they have over 800,000 customers, adding more than 75,000 per month on average. To put this into perspective, and why I feel that this company could ultimately become huge, let's look at how long it has taken some of the technology unicorns to reach their first 1 million users. Keep in mind, Bitgold will do it between months 12-13.
Facebook was the fastest, reaching 1 million in just over 12 months. It took Uber 18 months, Paypal 24 months, and Airbnb 30 months! Whatever your view of what the valuation should be, there is no denying that this company is showing early signs of challenging even the biggest tech behemoths in user adoption. And, this isn't a niche market, it is MONEY!
Let's look at the stock, which spiked after its IPO last summer to just under $8 per share, has traded above $5 several times, and has tested just under $3 as its 52 week low. It is currently about $1.50 below recent highs and I believe at a great entry point. There's a chance it retests $3 once more but I think the odds are higher that is goes above $5 rather than going back to touch $3. Frankly, for long term investors, anything under $5 per share CDN (XAU.V) is a buy. In February, the company announced a $15MM financing at $3.90 being led by GMP and Mackie Research, 2 of the larger Canadian houses. They ended up increasing it twice to $32MM then finally $36.6MM due to extraordinary institutional investor demand. Investors include George Soros, Eric Sprott, and Albert Friedberg.
I like that shares are primarily in the hands of institutions and I believe this could become an institutional darling stock as the gold bull matures. Clarus has an $8.50 12 month price target and Mackie $7, both solid returns from current prices. However, I think it's going to $12 within 12-18 months, and potentially much higher in time. A new business like this can be fairly tough to value for some but I don't think it's that hard as we have Paypal as a generalist comp. I'll show why I have a $12 PT on the stock based on real numbers but there is a chance that in a few years, this stock is trading at $50 or $100 per share. If it does, some will be based on fundamentals but some will also be on hype because Gold is over $2,000 an ounce (USD) and investors will clamor for a piece of the "Gold internet stock". The hype factor here could be huge.
Paypal (PYPL) has just under a $45 Billion dollar enterprise value (market cap minus cash) on $9 Billion in revenues, so it is trading at 5X revenues. Profitability does matter and that's where the comparison diverges as Paypal is nicely profitable, trading at 38X trailing earnings and a forward PE of 22. I don't expect GoldMoney to be profitable this year, or maybe not next year, but their growth rate will greatly trump Paypal's at this stage of their respective businesses. Earnings will come for GoldMoney, but if adoption continues to scale as fast as it has been, it makes most sense to spend money on customer acquisition (they have done a good job thus far at under $7 spent per customer), thus delaying profitability (think early days of Amazon).
Last quarter, ending Dec 31st 2015, Goldmoney produced over $80 million in revenues. So, their run rate is over $300 million annually right now. With 64 million shares outstanding, the market cap stands at nearly $250MM. But, they have over $55 million in cash so the enterprise value is less than $200 million. I won't argue that GoldMoney should be trading at 5 times revenue like Paypal, but I do firmly believe 2X revenue is very appropriate, even right now. That puts the value at over $600 Million, which is triple the current price at $4 per share, giving us a price target of $12.
The Bitgold portion of the business grew revenues at 27% quarter over quarter last Q and I believe that will accelerate once customers get comfortable funding their accounts. It took me a few months but now I will be increasing my account value significantly and any cash infusions I have will partially go to my Bitgold account. Paypal only grows just over 20% per YEAR versus 20% plus Quarterly growth at GoldMoney. Once the model is accepted further, and Gold is trading north of $2,000, XAU.V has the potential to trade at 10 times revenues. This is a very real and sexy opportunity in Fintech, and it's very early in the game, most people do not know it exists yet.
I strongly encourage those of you that are intrigued to open an account. It's free and if you use the link below, you get some free gold when you open it! This is a great way to accumulate physical gold bullion at a low cost.
GIL readers should be buyers of shares in the high $3's to low $4's. Returns could be enormous but minimally they should be very solid, particularly in a new gold bull cycle. Growth rates here will trump even the leanest, lowest cost producing gold miners, by leaps and bounds. Bitgold is worth owning and watching closely as they allow people to digitally move earths purest form of money, Gold, anywhere at any time.
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But, it takes not only contrary action, but high caliber research in selecting which stocks will outperform their brethren. I've spent the last few months compiling my top ten junior gold focus list and it consists of only very high quality, and in some cases, undiscovered jewels of the sector. We have free pickings to buy the best of breed ideas at pennies on the dollar as there have been no stocks spared the rod in this brutal correction.
I have isolated ideas that have substantial investors taking recent stakes, true mining legends, that know exactly what they are doing, and have done the due diligence for us to a large degree. In other cases, we've found millions of ounces of gold that we can buy for free because the company's stock is trading at cash in the bank levels. I truly have pulled the juniors with incredible stories, assets, investors, and balance sheets to thrive in the next market upturn.
Some of these stocks are not hugely liquid, so it takes time to accumulate positions. Now is the time to hone in and begin adding to junior miners that will go up 20-50 even 100 fold in the next gold bull.
Just look at the performance of the following stocks in the last 5 years of the last commodity bull market (quotes for share prices in 1975 and then in 1980):
Lion Mines from $.07 to $380.00 per share!
Bankeno from $1.25 to $430.00 per share!
Wharf Resources from $.40 to $560.00 per share!
Steep Rock from $.93 to $440.00 per share!
Mineral Resources from $.60 to $415 per share!
**An investment of $700 (10,000 shares) of Lion Mines in 1975 would have netted a total profit of approximately $3,800,000 if held for 5 years.
We are facing the exact same situation here in late 2015, but today's bargains are even cheaper, and gold will go even higher than the late 1970's bull market. Do not wait, grab our special report being released this at the end of October, 2015 and have an edge most investors do not. Some of the names you will recognize but many you will not have heard of before. I will explain the key investment thesis behind each company in easy to read language for investors.
I will only be offering 30 copies of this report for now and won't re-release it until the first tranche of investors have had ample time to accumulate on the cheap. You'll receive the special report ($2,997 value), one year of GIL premium membership (to new subscribers-$468 value), and be on the short list to invest in private placements (if an accredited investors) alongside Eric. Several of the juniors on the list will be giving us access to limited amounts of their next financing, that includes discounted pricing and warrants.
Buy now and secure your position before the offer is closed!
Patriot's development partner, Northern Vertex (TSXV: NEE) has built a Phase 1 pilot plant which has produced over 5,000 ounces of gold to date. Because of the advanced nature of the Moss project, I believe we can deduce a conservative valuation estimate for Patriot Gold based on their interest in Moss alone. Bruner definitely commands value but I am going to limit the amount that we credit to PGOL in our estimates, to come to conservative conclusions about the current and future value of the company. Before we spend some time walking through the details of the Moss mine, let's look at Bruner so that investors understand that besides the likelihood that Moss goes into production fairly soon, you could also own a very exciting exploration project in Nevada. Vernal is also a Nevada based property and the same group that sourced Moss/Bruner to Patriot, also generated the Vernal prospect. That certainly doesn't guarantee success. However, Patriot has proven they can make discoveries that turn into mines. For the exercise of this report, we will not assign any value to Vernal and will look at it as an option/bonus only.
As you'll see with both Bruner and Moss, Patriot secured partners to spend money developing these projects over the past 4 years. When most juniors have been dormant, gone bankrupt, or struggled mightily to do any drilling, Patriot has enjoyed nearly $30,000,000 in development on their 100% owned projects. In both cases, the partner will earn in to a majority 70-30% joint venture once certain milestones have been hit. Neither Canamex (Bruner) nor Northern Vertex (Moss) has officially earned into their 70%, but they are both close. Canamex/Patriot hit some serious high grade holes initially when they hit on drill holefB-1201 including an intersect 118.11 metres of 4.08 g/t gold, including 1.64 metres of 132.5 g/t gold between 455 to 460 feet. That was in 2012, then they nailed close to 7 gpt (grams per tonne) over 44 meters, near surface, in the east zone in 2014. Those results are outstanding and what initially got my attention to dig into ownership details of Bruner.
I believe it's safe to say that results like that are what got the big mining interests attention as well. Canamex attracted investments from two NYSE companies, Hecla Mining (HL–$1 Billion market cap) and Gold Resource Corp (GORO), to gain exposure to Bruner. Much more drilling needs to be done to determine the ultimate resource at Bruner but it is safe to say that they will continue to find gold and grow from the 239,000 ounce maiden indicated 43-101 resource. Patriot Gold as of today owns 100% of Bruner. Canamex needs to spend a total of $8MM to trigger the 70/30 joint venture. I believe that they are close to hitting that spending requirement but they also are having trouble raising money in this environment. Frankly, they might not be trying that hard because their stock is also trading near 6 year lows at 5 cents. After the initial discovery in 2012, CSQ.V exploded on 70 million shares of volume to a high of 45 cents. Time and a bear market that grind on cause investors to forget how special and valuable this project is and could be.
The details here are that once Canamex informs Patriot Gold that they've spent the $8MM, the joint venture kicks in and Patriot will then need to put 30% of the funds up for future development. Or, the worst case for PGOL is that they are diluted down to a 2% NSR (Net Smelter Royalty). Many of you know that royalty companies in the mining sector, such as Royal Gold (RGLD) and Silver Wheaton (SLW), trade at premiums to other companies in the sector. The reason for that is because NSR's are pretty ideal in terms of profiting from production. The % is taken off the top in terms of sales of gold, so there is not the potential exposure to higher costs eating into profits. Meaning, if $100MM in gold is sold through production at Bruner, Patriot would receive $2MM. But, what if the costs to pull the gold out were $95MM? Canamex or whomever the operator is would get pinched, not Patriot or the NSR holders.
That said, it is too early to tell whether it will be better for Patriot to remain the 30% partner in developing Bruner or not. Ideally it probably would be, but it will depend on the cost of capital. I could make a case that a 2% NSR on Bruner is worth at least $5 million. It definitely will take more drilling to see where Bruner goes. However, I have spoken to a couple of highly respected mining engineers and geologists that are extremely confident that Bruner will become a mine. The beauty of the Patriot Gold model is that we can enjoy significant upside in Bruner and just received almost $8 million in drilling/development. Additionally, we will see next that Patriot has even better terms with regard to Moss and their partner, Northern Vertex (NEE.V).
Before diving into Moss details, take a moment to study the chart above. This goes back ten years and shows a very clear channel that PGOL has essentially traded within. Only during the first part of 2012 did PGOL trade down to 3-5 cents per share but it then erupted on the Bruner discovery trading to 25 cents very quickly. The share price stayed in the .20's for most of the second half of 2012. There are 3 long slopes downward in this long term chart, each lasting 3 years. 2006-2009. 2009-2012, and 2012-2015 (today). After each and every 3 year consolidation, the share price took off quickly back to or above the top of the channel (blue line). Investors that bought shares below the middle line and above the bottom blue line, were extremely profitable within 6-12 months. Extremely profitable means being up 400-500%. Interestingly, in 2009 there was no Moss/Bruner activity, just a better market for gold juniors into 2011. 2012's run to 25 cents was mainly based on Bruner, while Moss was slowly being drilled and developed into one of the most attractive future low cost producers in the Southwest.
I posted this chart to put things in perspective. For anyone that can be a little bit patient, this is a home run investment just based on historical patterns. Keep in mind, there has been nearly $30 Million spent on Bruner/Moss development the past 4 years, so the future channel may break upwards. Once in a new gold bull cycle, Patriot will surface having a considerably bullish story. Buying under 7 cents per share has regularly provided investors an opportunity to triple their money in PGOL. Buying now at 5 cents enhances the return profile to a 4-5X return, and we aren't even basing this on fundamentals, which you'll see, could command a much higher valuation.
Above is a nice view of the Moss leach pad. However, the photo doesn't do justice to the amount of development that has already occurred at Moss. Even if only for a couple of minutes, check out Vertex's video to get a better understanding of the scope of work already done here.
In regards to the terms of the partner agreement Patriot Gold has with Northern Vertex, it includes the following requirements:
-$500k cash payment upon commencing the agreement (done)
-Spend $8 million in drilling/development (done)
-Complete a bankable feasibility study (not done)
Based upon financial data released by Northern Vertex, the amount of capital they've spent up to this point at Moss is closer to $20 million than $8MM. In fact, the number is in excess of $25MM CDN, or over $20MM US based on conversion rates the past 4 years. This is an additional benefit to Patriot and anyone considering investment in the company because we have had nearly $30 Million of drilling and development done on Bruner/Moss combined. It is probably higher going back to previous owners but I used $20MM Vertex at Moss, $8 million Canamex at Bruner, and $2MM Patriot's initial drilling(it's higher). One way to look at this is all of this work usually produces value well above and beyond the amount of capital spent. Particularly if the cumulative effects are moving towards a future payoff. Yet, if we only take the cash deployed into the projects, and assign 30% of the value to Patriot as a company (and zero to Vernal), that would be just under $10 Million.
Again, that would be giving no additional value to the cumulative work and future cash flow of production, just paid in capital. Amazingly, Patriot Gold currently trading at 4 cents, with 50 million shares or so issued and outstanding, is being valued at $2MM. Not even, because they have about a quarter of a million in cash in the bank as well. A side note before discussing Moss value and economics. I stood above the project in person early 2014 and marveled that at that time, Patriot which owns the project, was valued at only $3.5MM (it was about 10 cents then). We must understand that when we buy stock, we are owners of the businesses behind the "screen". In this case, we can get on a plane and go "kick the tires" on the assets in the desert and see with our own eyes how much work has been done, particularly at Moss.
Northern Vertex (NEE.V) is currently being valued in the market at approximately $20 million CDN. Mackie Research, a credible investment research/banking firm in Toronto, initiated coverage of NEE in March 2014 with a .90 price target. They argued that NEE should be valued at $50MM CDN (therefore Patriot's interest in Moss at $16.5 million?) and that there is significant upside to that assessment. NEE is now trading at 20 cents as the bear market for miners has grinded onwards since the Mackie report when it was trading at 52 cents. But Mackie's interest and vote of confidence is welcomed, in addition to the investments in Bruner by Hecla and GORO. I think it is interesting and telling that 2 separate public companies entire existence and futures are based on Patriot Gold's properties. Canamex and Northern Vertex have no other projects of substance besides Moss/Bruner.
We have the benefit of a completed PEA (Preliminary Economic Assessment) on Moss to evaluate potential production, CAPEX, and profitability once in full production. I will be quoting Mackie on some numbers which were derived from the PEA but they also added their own color and beliefs around the project. We know that Moss is in a mining friendly jurisdiction (Arizona), is amenable to open-pit heap leach, will cost approximately $24MM in upfront CAPEX, and produce about 45,000 ounces per year at cash costs under $500 an ounce. This is why the project is so attractive right now because it can be very profitable even in a low priced gold environment and the CAPEX is not extreme by any means. Vertex has met 2 of the 3 requirements to earn in and begin the 70/30 JV. However, they have not completed a bankable feasibility study yet which is the final requirement.
It is important to address that Patriot Gold initiated arbitration proceedings with Vertex over a couple of issues. You can read Patriot's press release here.
As I am an advisor to the board of directors at Patriot Gold, I will limit my comments on this matter. However, I will say that I think it is clear that Patriot's position can only be improved. For example, NEE produced over 5,000 ounces of gold (approximately) in Phase 1 of the pilot plant operation equaling over $5MM in gold sales. Patriot Gold contends that some of this revenue is theirs. Vertex contends that it was not "operating profit" thus no money is due. As of now, I expect nothing to come from this in my analysis for PGOL, but if by chance the arbitrator deems monies owed to Patriot, it could be a significant catalyst due to the low market cap of the company. The other element of the arbitration is the requirements around the bankable feasibility study. You can read the releases and determine whether or not this outcome is significant to either company. But, I am basing our analysis on the "worst case" for Patriot Gold, which is basically status quo and does not take into consideration any potential benefits from the arbitration process.
For those that would like to read the Mackie report on Northern Vertex you may do so here.
Based on PEA information, Mackie Research estimates 8 years of production without any expansion drilling. That includes 46,809 gold equivalent ounces for 4 years followed by 4 years of 41,462. Our examples of potential cash flows to Patriot will only need to use the first few years of production to gather potential value. Mackie used an 8% discount rate to give them a net present value (NPV) of $51 million, over 1 year ago. Additional work has been done since then but it has not been considerable. Is it fair to carve out 30% of the NEE NPV and assign it to Patriot? Maybe not fully, but I think it could be, depending on what happens once the JV is triggered.
I would like to look at Patriot's potential value in a worst case scenario, assuming PGOL cannot or will not raise the $8 million or so it will take to finance their portion of the CAPEX (to build the mine). There are several reasons I prefer owning PGOL to either/both NEE/CSQ. One is because we have diversification by owning Patriot, exposure to two terrific projects. Two, is the valuation. Patriot is valued at a measly $2MM while Canamex is at $7MM and Northern Vertex is near $20MM. Even though the ownership will be minority not majority for PGOL, we are trading at a fraction of the value assigned to the other companies. Last but not least, Patriot has benefitted from nearly $30MM spent on their projects yet has diluted their share structure very minimally. How many juniors have an annual burn rate of $250,000? That's less than my burn rate and it is a public company!
So, Patriot Gold has maintained a very tight share structure and not needed to raise much equity to continue moving forward. NEE has diluted considerably to get to this point. Once a final bankable feasibility study is in place, financing for the mine buildout could come from equity and debt. Even though many people aren't taking Patriot seriously in terms of funding their 30% portion of Moss, including Northern Vertex and comments by Mackie Research, I feel they may be underestimating Patriot. As an example, another advisor to the board of directors and over 10% owner of PGOL, is Bob Kopple. Kopple has seriously deep pockets and, if he chooses to, could finance Patriot's portion of development quite easily. Patriot wouldn't have to raise the money all at once and could raise additional equity and debt along the way, if they choose that as the best path.
However, we are analyzing PGOL based on that NOT happening. If Patriot does not fund their portion of the CAPEX once the JV is triggered, the worst case scenario, is they will be diluted down to a 3% NSR. Let's look at the economics if that occurs. 46,809 ounces of gold equivalent, at $1,200 gold, is just over $56,000,000. 3% of that number is $1,700,000 annually to PGOL. At just 10X earnings, and zero value for Bruner/Vernal, Patriot would be valued at $17 Million. That would be just over 800% more than PGOL is valued today, equaling approximately 32 cents per share. Not only that, but considering that Northern Vertex could more easily raise money to build the mine if they owned it outright, they could entice Patriot with an increased NSR, shares in the company, cash, or all of the above, and it would be worth it to them. That possibility exists but as you can see, that isn't necessary for this to be a successful investment.
Also consider that what if Patriot ends up with NSR's on Moss and Bruner? They would essentially become a very cash flow positive royalty company and own pieces of two very sexy projects in the US. For the sake of exploring all scenarios, how much would Patriot take in owning 30%? Well, there would definitely be some sort of dilution raising the $8MM or so to pony up for 30% of Moss. But, with all in sustaining cost (AISC) of just over $500 an ounce, and $1,200 gold, now we would be talking almost $10,000,000 per year in cash flow to Patriot Gold. There's huge leverage to all of this if gold goes higher as well.
Above: Me about to tour Moss with Vertex' mining engineer and Patriot Gold chairman, Trevor Newton.
One last example of what Moss and therefore Patriot could be worth right now. Look at Pershing Gold (PGLC-just upgraded to NASDAQ global market), which is a similar asset to Moss, although it is located in Nevada. It's also open pit heap leachable but with fairly significantly lower grade cut offs. If Vertex used the .685 GPT cut off for their PEA (NEE used .87 GPT), I'm fairly certain we would have a quite similar resource at this stage. But, let's just say that we have a more appealing project in terms of grade than Pershing Gold's Relief Canyon (RC). RC just increased their resource to 739,000 ounces measured and indicated with the .685 cut off. Moss has 435,000 ounces M&I at the .87 grade cut off. That's 60% of PGLC's resource in terms of ounces but we'll give zero consideration to the much better grades.
Pershing Gold is currently trading at a $110 million market capitalization, based primarily on the RC asset. 60% of that number is $66,000,000. 30% of $66MM is just under $20,000,000. Take that example and cut it in HALF and, again, Patriot Gold would justify a $10MM valuation, or 20 cents per share. Every single way I slice the numbers on PGOL, just in terms of Moss, I get a minimum ballpark value of $10 million. Keep in mind folks, this analysis is based on today's gold prices and today's crappy environment. In a higher gold price scenario and/or a better market for gold miners, these numbers could go up 5 or 10 fold. There's huge upside to these analogies and examples. None of this even takes into account PGOL's Bruner stake/value, which I believe is significant.
At some point in the next 3-5 years, when Moss is in production and Bruner has advanced considerably, I bet PGOL trades over $1. But, just look at the chart pattern over the past decade and very conservative scenarios outlined above, and PGOL is a no brainer bet for patient investors. Patriot is a strong buy up to 6 cents per share with a 12-18 month price target of 18 cents. That is at least a triple from 6 cents and over a quadruple from current prices. Patriot Gold has enough cash to last at least 12 months. The only reason for new financing would be to participate in maintaining the 30% interest in Moss (or Bruner). This stock is being overlooked but will get a lot of bullish attention in a better gold market. Bare minimum, this stock should be trading at 10-12 cents right now.
Importantly, be sure to subscribe to our free E-Letter below for regular updates on Patriot Gold Corp. and other special situations:
Disclaimer: I am an advisor to the Patriot Gold board of directors and own 2.2 million shares of the company.
Legal Disclaimer: I am offering ideas for your consideration and education. I am not offering financial advice. I am not a financial or investment advisor and am acting in the sole capacity of a newsletter writer. I am a fellow investor and trader sharing his thoughts for educational and informational purposes only. This publication is a 100% subscriber supported. No compensation is received by the author from any of the companies mentioned for the recommendation of a stock in this service (if this changes or there is exception-it will be clearly disclosed to our readers). Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided on the Website is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Mr. Muschinski does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published on the Website belong to Mr. Muschinski or respective associates and are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell securities. Mr. Muschinski does not recommend services, products, business or investment in any company mentioned in any of his essays or reports. Materials published on the Website have been prepared for your private use and their sole purpose is to educate readers about various investments. By reading Mr. Muschinski's essays or reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these essays or reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. We strongly advise that you consult a certified investment advisor and we encourage you to do your own research before making any investment decision. Mr. Muschinski, Gold Investment Letter's employees and affiliates, as well as members of their families, may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.]]>


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Manufacturing Area
Category: 3G Wireless Router
4 port VOIP wireless ADSL 2+ Modem/Router Chipsets:Broadcom BCM63283+BCM4313 "1.ADSL 2+ interface complied with G.dmt,G.lite,T1.413,G.992.3(ADSL/ADSL2),G.992.5(ADSL2 +),Annex A,Annex B,Annex ...
Category: 3G Phones
GENERAL 2G Network GSM 850 / 900 / 1800 / 1900 - GSM A1428 CDMA 800 / 1700 / 1900 / 2100 - CDMA A1429 3g Network HSDPA 850 / 900 / 1900 / 2100 - GSM A1428 CDMA2000 1xEV-DO - CDMA A1429 4G Netw ...
The ASUS RT-AC56U leads the way in next generation routers, offering dual-band Gigabit wireless with all-new 802.11ac Wi-Fi. Its powerful dual-core CPU and 256MB DDR3 RAM provide the best performanc ...
Category: Industrial Electric Devices
Firstly, as this high power cell phone signal blocker owns 8 antennas so that it can cut off the signals of CDMA GSM DCS PCS 3g 4G Wimax and also WiFi Bluetooth at the same time. Thus as the 16W high ...Keyword : cell phone jammer
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Features (1) 3g-SDI/HD-SDI/SDI/ASI signal auto recognition, need not select by hand (2) Compliant with the standards of SMPTE424M,SMPTE292M, SMPTE259M, SMPTE297M, SMPTE310M, SMPTE305M (3) Compliant ...Keyword : 3G Video | 3G Video over fiber | 3G video optical extender
Features (1) 3g-SDI/HD-SDI/SDI/ASI signal auto recognition, need not select by hand (2) Compliant with the standards of SMPTE424M,SMPTE292M, SMPTE259M, SMPTE297M, SMPTE310M, SMPTE305M (3) Complian ...Keyword : 3G Video over fiber | 3G video optical extender
Product Description At a Glance: Show the working power on the shell with green lights Mini size medium power cellphone jammer Low weight and nice texture and color To block wireless phone c ...Keyword : cell phone jammer
Category: Kitchen Cutlery
Dec. plastic disposable medium weight cutlery Material : PS Cutlery weight : fork/knife 2.1-2.3g 16.5cm length teaspoon 1.9-2.1g 16.5cm length ...
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With this high-power portable signal jammer, you get a true working radius of up to 20 meters Just turn it on when conducting your company presentation, meeting, worship service, legal proceedings, o ...Keyword : cell phone jammer
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Material:high quality natural latex Place of origin: Hebei, China(mainland) Size: 6#10inch Weight:1.3g-3.2g Color:red, yellow, pink, blue, green, black, white, orange and purple etc
Category: Balloons
Category: PDAs
FEATURES OS Andriod 4.2 CPU MTK8312 , Dual Core 1.2GHz GPU PowerVRTM SGX 531 STORAGE Internal 4GB(4GB/8GB/16GB/32GB optional), 512MB DDR3 Card slot TF card, up to 32GB DISPLAY Screen 16:9 LCD ...Keyword : Tablet PC 3G
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Selling point: MTK6589T, 1.5GHZ Quad-Core Processor; Android 4.2 operating system; 6.44" LCD Screen; Capacity Screen; G-Sensor, Dual Camera(Back camera 13.0M, Fornt Camera 8.0M), Dual SIM Dual Standb ...
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the China Cheap original electronic is discount for selling now, Purchase to visit www.saleholy.com networks and on-the-go hotspots. And whether traveling to Europe or Asia, the Bold 9650 provides gl ...
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subset: commoncrawl


text:
Skype releases client for Nokia's N8
Skype released an updated version of its Symbian client, which adds support for Nokia's N8, C7 and the E5, the company said in a blog post on Wednesday.
Skype released an updated version of its Symbian client, which adds support for Nokia's N8, C7 and the E5, the company said in a blog post on Wednesday.
A new Texas Instruments chip that incorporates Arm technology could raise the level of graphics and application performance in smartphones and tablets.
After winning a number of significant deals with Australian telcos over the past half-decade since it entered Australia, Huawei this week flagged plans to establish itself as a consumer brand Down Under in its own right.
As Google Maps for Android becomes more powerful, buying a standalone GPS device becomes harder to justify.
Google has reentered the phone production market with the Nexus S, the first phone to launch with Android 2.3 Gingerbread, the latest version of Google's mobile operating system.
Google has dived back into hardware, formally announcing its second smartphone, the Nexus S for US and UK consumers.
Google is unveiling on Monday an upgrade to its mobile platform, Android 2.3, which features refinements to the UI as well as capabilities for rich multimedia, mobile payments, and faster text input.
The latest iteration of Google's Android mobile operating system has arrived in version 2.3 – codenamed 'Gingerbread' – with support for larger, tablet-sized screens.
It has been a busy morning in Mountain View as Google has announced the official details and specs regarding Android 2.3 (also known as "Gingerbread") as the well as the first phone to ship with the new version of the operating system. The Nexus S wi...
Research in Motion (RIM) has purchased the Astonishing Tribe (TAT), a Swedish company that by its own admission creates "beautiful user interfaces." Working behind the scenes, TAT's technology has provided custom interfaces for phones produced by Sam...
Just when you thought Google had given up and given in to the whims of wireless carriers, the Google Phone is back. The new Google Phone, which is designed by Samsung and dubbed the "Nexus S," resembles Samsung's Galaxy S line of smartphones, but wit...
This morning Google unveiled the Nexus S, the latest in its self-branded line-up of Android phones, and the first device globally to ship with the new 2.3 'Gingerbread' version of its operating system. The caveat? The search giant has no plans so far...
Shipments of smartphones, tablets and other app-enabled devices will overtake PCs shipments in the next 18 months, an event that may signify the end of the PC-centric era, market research firm IDC said.
Samsung Electronics and Google on Monday announced the Nexus S smartphone, which will come with Android 2.3, the latest version of Google's OS, also code-named Gingerbread.
Google's Android continues to grow faster in the U.S. than other top smartphone operating systems, including Research in Motion's BlackBerry OS and Apple's iOS, according to the latest ComScore rankings, which were released Friday.
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First impression on unpacking the Q702 test unit was the solid feel and clean, minimalist styling.
For work use, Microsoft Word and Excel programs pre-installed on the device are adequate for preparing short documents.
The Fujitsu LifeBook UH574 allowed for great mobility without being obnoxiously heavy or clunky. Its twelve hours of battery life did not disappoint.
The screen was particularly good. It is bright and visible from most angles, however heat is an issue, particularly around the Windows button on the front, and on the back where the battery housing is located.
My first impression after unboxing the Q702 is that it is a nice looking unit. Styling is somewhat minimalist but very effective. The tablet part, once detached, has a nice weight, and no buttons or switches are located in awkward or intrusive positions.


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In a study exploring the relationship between memory for specific past experiences and recovery from strong negative emotions, University of Massachusetts Amherst research psychologists report that episodic memory may be more important in helping midlife and older adults recover from a negative event than it is for younger adults.
For a second night, student protesters chose to occupy the Whitmore Administration Building despite a pledge from University of Massachusetts system leaders that they will support a policy that divests and prohibits direct investment in fossil fuel companies.
From July 11-15, the department of art at UMass Amherst is hosting a special, intensive summer course taught by renowned industrial hygienist Monona Rossol through the office of Continuing & Professional Education.
A sustainability scavenger hunt is among the events planned at UMass Amherst during a weeklong celebration leading up to Earth Day on April 22.
A doctoral student in kinesiology at UMass Amherst, Jennifer Blankenship, is looking for participants in a new study to determine what timing and type of daily exercise works best to control blood sugar in adults ages 35-75 with type 2 diabetes for at least six months, but who are not taking insulin.
UMass Amherst will once again host the Dose-Response Society's international conference, this year on April 19-20 at the Campus Center, with the theme "Preconditioning: adaptive responses in biology in medicine."
UMass system leaders today said they would advocate for a policy that would see the five-campus UMass system divest and prohibit direct investment in fossil fuel companies.
UMass Amherst Dining Services is hosting the sixth annual Flavours of Canada celebration on Thursday, April 14 from 5-9 p.m. at the Hampshire Dining Commons. Part of the university's Visiting Chef Series, the event offers students an array of traditional Canadian cuisine and culture and features the best of the best in collegiate dining from our neighbors from the North.
The Dunbar Y Family and Community Center is teaming up with the UMass Amherst College of Nursing and Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts to equip members of an Older Active Adults group with pedometers and launch them on a rigorous 10,000-step-a-day activity campaign.
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text: Shailene WoodleyOverviewRelated Content Shailene WoodleyOverviewRelated Content ShareTweetPinEmail ShareTweetPinEmail ShareTweetPinEmail ShareTweetPinEmail Steven Senne / AP 1 / 49 ShareTweetPinEmail Steven Senne / AP 1 / 49 Shailene Woodley: Related Content Apr. 25, 2016 Taylor Swift channels Ziggy Stardust in LA, plus more celeb snaps April 25-29 Sarah Michelle Gellar and Kerry Washington attend the Women's Summit in Los Angeles, plus more snaps Apr. 25, 2016 Share Tweet Apr. 21, 2016 Celebs react to Prince's passing See how celebs are paying tribute to Prince. Apr. 21, 2016 Share Tweet Apr. 18, 2016 Shailene Woodley stumps for Bernie Sanders in NYC, plus more news Shailene Woodley feels the Bern at a Bernie Sanders rally, plus more celeb news for April 18, 2016. Apr. 18, 2016 Share Tweet Mar. 16, 2016 'Allegiant' stars chat body hair and the things they'd like to change about themselves The stars of 'The Divergent Series: Allegiant' chat body hair and the things they'd like to change about themselves Mar. 16, 2016 Share Tweet Mar. 15, 2016 Shailene Woodley and more stars attend the premiere of 'The Divergent Series: Allegiant' Shailene Woodley, Miles Teller and more stars attend the premiere of "The Divergent Series: Allegiant" in New York City. Mar. 15, 2016 Share Tweet Mar. 14, 2016 Shailene Woodley would rather scale an 80-foot-wall than wear high heels Shailene Woodley dishes on scaling the wall and switching up Tris' wardrobe -- and reveals which of the two was more uncomfortable! Mar. 14, 2016 Share Tweet See All Related Content Spotlight ShareTweetPinEmail


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Syria released Berjas Aweidat, 47, of Majdal Shams on Monday after 13 years in jail. His brother has spoken to him by telephone. 'I asked him how he was, he says he's OK.'08:31 05.05.16 | 0 comments
When I say Ani Yehudi, I am a Jew, I mean I am of the tribe of Judah. It is most certainly not a religious statement, or a racist statement, anymore than "I am Zulu" or "I am Apache." Judea is the ancient state that Rome destroyed. Israel is the modern state for the same people - the tribe of Judah. It is more inclusive, since it welcomes the remnants of all 13 Israelite tribes.


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*The moment that 12 persons were gunned down and more than 70 wounded in the Aurora, Colorado movie theater massacre, the buzz hit that the alleged shooter was a possible Tea Party member. The rumor was false. There is no immediate evidence that alleged shooter James Holmes was anything more than a disgruntled, frustrated, fantasy acting out, near drop-out college grad student. Tea Party leaders publicly condemned the gun nut violence. They also loudly protest that they should not be held accountable for the deranged acts of a Holmes or Jared Loughner, the accused shooter of former Arizona congresswoman Gabrielle Gifford. They are right. The individuals that commit the blood drenched acts are not Tea Party activists, or even members. They almost never have any coherent defined, political affiliations, leanings, or even beliefs.
But that doesn't change the terrifying fact that Tea Party leaders and members have been the nation's outspoken cheerleaders for virtually unrestricted gun advocacy. The litany of violence inciting signs, posters, caricatures, and bulls eye ringed targets of President Obama, and the numerous noisy staged bellicose, shout down demonstrations, and protests of gun controls, that have been staples at some Tea Party protests have drilled home the public perception that the Tea Party does have more than a faint relationship to the murderous acts of loose hinged, gun crazed types.
That image of Tea Party gun craze was never more evident than in May, last year, when dozens of gun toting, Tea Party affiliated backed gun rights activists rallied in Virginia and at the Washington Monument in the capital with signs reading "Which part of 'shall not be infringed' confuses you?" and waving bright orange stickers saying "Guns save lives." Dozens of the participants proudly displayed their holstered handguns and unloaded rifles over their shoulders while they listened to speakers saber rattle the usual Tea Party villains– liberals, Democrats, and the federal government for gun restrictions. There were even veiled hints that armed confrontations were OK to defend their gun use rights.
Tea Party member Catherine Crabill, who ran for the Republican nomination in the Virginia's 1st Congressional District, flatly declared that the right to carry firearms was the way the Founding Fathers meant for citizens to fight off tyranny. Failed Nevada senate candidate Sharron Angle was unabashed in proclaiming that the Constitution gave citizens the right to oust a "tyrannical" government—which, she cryptically added, meant removing her opponent Harry Reid from office. Angle backpedaled fast, and claimed that she meant vote him out, not kill him.
America, of course, has been the Western world's runaway leader in the number of civilian gun killings for years. In the decade before the Tea Party was thought up, the number of violent threats against federal judges and prosecutors jumped sharply according to a report by the U.S. Marshalls Service. Federal officials blamed a number of parties, including the "sovereign citizen" movement—an unorganized grouping of tax protesters, white supremacists, and others who don't respect federal authority for the sharp increase in violent threats against officials. But the inflammatory, gun violence rhetoric, rose to an even higher pitch, and exploded as a national issue and major concern during the health care reform debate in 2010. Then nearly a dozen Democrats and Republicans received threatening messages.
Numerous psychological studies and research have conclusively shown that there is a firm link between hyper-inflammatory violent rhetoric and excessive media saturation of the airwaves with violent rhetoric, and the rampages of unbalanced individuals. In an American Psychological Association discussion on the cause and effects of the shooting of Gifford, participants noted that the media plays a huge role in spurring violence and aggression and increases the likelihood of more violent acts by mentally deranged individuals
One expert noted that violent rhetoric and media saturation of it create "a rhetorical climate" in which unstable persons that are not able to balance messages that they see and hear may act out their frustrations and violent impulses. They specifically cited the firearms imagery Sarah Palin conveyed with her dubious map marked with crosshairs and her instructions to "RELOAD!"
In a lengthy discourse on its website, the Colorado Tea Party calls on "red blooded Americans" to stand up for the values of freedom and liberty and boasts that gun ownership is sacred. The Colorado Tea Party and national Tea Party leaders are not directly responsible for the monstrous violence Holmes is accused of. But Tea Party leaders and followers that have made a fetish of violent gun talk and toting shouldn't be surprised when the inevitable violent outburst claims the lives of innocents and that the finger instantly points their way.
Earl Ofari Hutchinson is an author and political analyst. He hosts nationally broadcast political affairs radio talk shows on Pacifica and KTYM Radio Los Angeles.
Follow Earl Ofari Hutchinson on Twitter: http://twitter.com/earlhutchinson and on thehutchinsonreportnews.com and view The Hutchinson Report on Twitter: http://twitter.com/earlhutchinson
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Key & Peele film poster uses local police sketches in place of stars
Art Imitates Art
Walter Mencken 9:01 a.m., April 29
Posted July 5, 2007
Pyles Peak is a prominent bump in the series of mountaintops stretching between Cowles Mountain in the south and Fortuna Mountain in the north. Collectively, these high points constitute the spine and centerpiece of the ...
Walter Mencken 9:01 a.m., April 29
Dave Rice 8:30 a.m., April 29
Matt Potter 4:30 p.m., April 28
Garrett Harris 4 p.m., April 28
Dave Rice 3:30 p.m., April 28
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Don Bauder 11:30 a.m., April 28
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Harbour houseboat's final voyage
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The Nelson City Council says Paul Jepson will be able to claim his belongings retrieved from his houseboat after it was towed to the Port Nelson wharves, lifted by crane and demolished.
Jepson, who has stayed well clear of authority since he built his craft, wasn't around yesterday morning when the harbourmaster's launch made a sudden appearance and towed it away from where it had been moored in Nelson Haven between Akersten St and Queen Elizabeth II Dr.
An hour later it was sitting on Brunt Quay, waiting to be demolished.
The council, which took Jepson to the Environment Court after he had ignored an abatement notice, refused to allow the Nelson Mail on to the wharf to photograph it, communications manager Angela Ricker saying "it would be insensitive to publicise the destruction of something this man felt was his own".
The court had given Jepson three weeks to remove the houseboat, which he built from drums he obtained at no cost, pallets, and recycled corrugated iron. His ingenious method was to sink four piles into the seabed below high water mark on the inside of the Boulder Bank and build on top. Then he attached the drums to provide for floatation, cut it free and set off.
When the Mail inspected it in February it was fitted with a pot-bellied stove, a rainwater collection system, a bed and household shelves.
Jepson, whose activity was first noticed last year, has refused to be interviewed and even threw stones at a Mail photographer. He didn't attend the court hearing and has never been spoken to by city council officials or the harbourmaster, always eluding their visits.
Ricker said the council had been obliged to dismantle the houseboat after Jepson failed to meet the deadline to do it himself.
The council's legal costs to date were $5,638.74, with Port Nelson's charges for removing and dismantling the structure still unknown.
"Port Nelson will charge [the] council, [the] council will charge Mr Jepson," she said. "Mr Jepson's personal belongings are in a secure area and available to him to pick up at the port."
- Nelson
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We expose slave masters and people smugglers in suburban Britain.
South Africa's Julius Malema talks to Al Jazeera
15 Apr 2014 11:53 GMT | Sport, Football
Midfield great Zinedine Zidane offered to coach the national team two years ago but was turned down by the president of the French Football Federation.
Noel Le Graet says in a book due out this week that Zidane expressed an interest in replacing Laurent Blanc following his side's Euro 2012 quarter-final exit at the hands of eventual winners Spain.
Blanc and Zidane played together when France won the 1998 World Cup and Euro 2000.
In his book, Le Graet writes "Zinedine Zidane would have liked to have coached Les Bleus."
But Le Graet refused Zidane, now Real Madrid's assistant coach, because of his lack of experience and opted instead for Didier Deschamps.
"It was not the moment, he needed to coach a team first," Le Graet said.
The 41-year-old Zidane, who scored twice in the 1998 final when France beat Brazil 3-0 and also in the 2006 final, has been linked to the Monaco job next season as a possible replacement for Claudio Ranieri.
Source: AP
With the backing of Jose Mourinho, Zinedine Zidane has taken on the role of sporting director at Real Madrid.
Sport, Football, France
Locals condemn artwork depicting footballer's headbutt in World Cup final as anti-Islamic.
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Celebrate the Lunar New Year with these gorgeous nail art designs by Dana D'Andria.
CND is known for their involvement in Fashion Week, creating dramatic nail art that leaves everyone talking. Seasoned nail artist for Fashion Week, Dana D'Andria, created these works of art to celebrate Chinese New Year in a most unforgettable way. Photographer Becky Yee fell in love with nails after shooting them for years, so she and D'Andria collaborated for these Lunar New Year looks. The nails above were created with Vinylux Wildfire and craft store ribbons.
Nails created with Vinylux Wildfire and metallic nail foil.
Nails created with Shellac in Ruby Ritz and Black Pool.
Model: Kathleen, mc2 Model Management
Hair by Kristine Murillo
Make up: Hazuki Matsushita
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Doug Schoon is a chemist who's made a career of helping both manufacturers and nail professionals better understand the chemicals they work with...
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The new products I'm using are adding time to each appointment. How do I adjust my schedule?
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Under the terms of the agreement, InterVoice will make available to LDDS a complete array of call automation capabilities on the OneVoice(R) Network Solutions Platform (NSP), serving as an intelligent peripheral in the Advanced Intelligent Network (AIN) operated by LDDS.
What does AIN stand for?
AIN stands for Advanced Intelligent Network
This definition appears very frequently and is found in the following Acronym Finder categories:
- Information technology (IT) and computers
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Other Resources:
We have 96 other meanings of AIN in our Acronym Attic
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Samples in periodicals archive:
7, Digital Private Network Planning and GTE's Advanced Intelligent Network.
TNS manages and supports a full range of SS7 services for its carrier customers, providing nationwide LATA coverage and access to a wide array of Advanced Intelligent Network (AIN) services such as wired and wireless Local Number Portability (LNP), Caller Name (CNAM), 800, and Custom Local Area Signaling Services (CLASS).
The IN2 Solution Center will used open architecture and industry standards to quickly bring to the market new, advanced Intelligent Network services.
20, 2002 Ericsson (NASDAQ: ERICY) and Telmex have signed an agreement to deploy Ericsson's TSP server platform, a key solution in rolling out advanced Intelligent Networks.
GTE has selected Bell Atlantic to help it deploy Advanced Intelligent Network (AIN) applications throughout its service territories.
TSI's suite of intelligent network-based services for ANSI-41 or GSM-based wireless operators provide the network backbone for a variety of advanced intelligent network services and features such as call delivery, fraud control, local number portability and calling name features.
telecommunications firms in two areas the company believes will benefit consumers: -- This will be the first time a regional Bell operating company will extend the capabilities of its Advanced Intelligent Network (AIN) to a non-affiliated telecommunications company; and -- This also will be the first time a regional Bell operating company has tested one of its services as a potential wholesale, mass market offering.


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*When a man of God who preaches the word sends another man a picture of his penis — this could almost make a person want to say the lord's name in vain.
The "Maybe I Deserve" crooner, Tank, accepted a private message from a fan on Instagram — only to find out it was a picture of the man's penis.
Tank became more furious when he found out the man who sent the d*** pic is a pastor!
He blasted the pastor (@TheBookOf_COGIC93) on social media for his actions.
Just to be clear, Tank doesn't have a problem with gay people or homosexuality, but with the pastor's actions.
"This man claims to be a minister and sends this to my DM. This is what's wrong with the church now! Misrepresentation of God and who he really is. The devil is operating in our sacred place," Tank wrote on Instagram.
Tank added, "I have no problem with homosexuals BUT I do have a problem with this! What message are you trying to send a straight man 'minister?' I hope your bishop and everyone in your congregation become aware of your actions."
Tank called the pastor a "pervert" and said, "the devil is working and this is what it looks like."
Tank reposted the photo on his Instagram. He later removed the photo. The pastor deleted his account since being exposed.
Read Tank's full Instagram message about the pastor below:
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Today's Devotional
Happy Ascension DayWhat's one way you can celebrate the ascension of Jesus Christ today?
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Shredding Spaghetti
Isaiah 51:12
You have forgotten the Lord, your Creator, the One who stretched out
the sky like a canopy and laid the foundations of the earth (v.13).
In a recent debate, Christian mathematician John Lennox
argued for the reality of God with atheist scientist
Richard Dawkins. In his writing and speaking, Dawkins
will often talk about the "Flying Spaghetti Monster" as an
analogy for belief in God. His point is that since God's
existence cannot be proven, it's as ridiculous to believe in
Him as in a levitating pasta creature.
Isaiah lived during a time when God's people were
facing a monstrous enemy. Due to their rebellion and
disobedience, God allowed them to be invaded by the
Babylonians—brutal enemies who cruelly carted them
off to captivity. God said, "You have forgotten the Lord,
your Creator, the One who stretched out the sky like a
canopy and laid the foundations of the earth" (51:13). He
declared that He alone was worthy of their worship and
devotion because He is over all things.
God is the One who "stirs up the sea, causing its
waves to roar" (v.15). Every aspect of the natural world
reflects His perfect design and providence. "The work
of [His] fingers" (Psalm 8:3) is plain to see. Isaiah could
boldly declare God's reality because He knew Him
and recognized His reflection in all created things. He
also knew that God had given him the words to speak
and that he was safe in His hand (v.16).
John Lennox shows that same confidence. When Dawkins
argued that if one stumbles upon a garden in a forest,
he should simply appreciate it without having to believe in "invisible fairies hiding
behind the flowers," Lennox stated, "Of course you wouldn't have to believe in
fairies in the garden, but you would assume there was a Gardener, wouldn't you?"
As Paul said, "Through everything God made, [we] can clearly see His
invisible qualities" (Romans 1:20). His reality shreds spaghetti monsters and
dispels invisible fairies.
—Tom Felten
Read Romans 1:21 to see why some people deny God's reality.
What gives you confidence in God and His reality? How will you
more boldly present your faith this week?
Recent Devotionals
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Marlinton Restaurant
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1. French's Diner
For some reason this establishment never has any foods on hand. Sometimes they don't have potatoes, ham, soda, etc. Service is lacking also. The …
2. Sixties Cafe
RR 219Marlinton, WV 24954
3. Rayetta's Lunchbox
202 8th StMarlinton, WV 24954
4. Godfather's Pizza
18251 Seneca TrlMarlinton, WV 24954
5. Snack Shack Topical Sno
819 3rd AveMarlinton, WV 24954
6. Dirtbean
812 3rd AveMarlinton, WV 24954
From Business: Dirtbean is a cafe and bicycle shop catering to locals and visitors in Pocahontas County, WV. We are located in Marlinton. We have a full menu with a variety of foo…
7. Dorie's Lounge
828 2nd AveMarlinton, WV 24954
8. Subway
1 Seneca Trl NMarlinton, WV 24954
9. Dairy Queen
RR 219Marlinton, WV 24954
10. Greenbrier Grille & LodgeMenu
Decent Food, Sometimes there is Friendly Service other times not so friendly The Meals are huge though when you order them
11. Red Lobster
From Business: Fresh is in our food: Each day, you'll find an updated selection of fresh fish on our Today's Fresh Fish menu, not to mention live Maine lobster, freshly baked Ched…
12. Olive Garden Italian Restaurant
I love Olive Garden have ever since 1994 when I was still married to my children's dad & we had come home on leave from Jacksonville, N.C where he w…
13. Ember Restaurant
1 Soaring Eagle BldgSnowshoe, WV 26209
14. Woodys' Bar B Q Shack
Hwy 66Snowshoe, WV 26209
15. Stumbling In
Hillsboro, WV 24946
16. Mac-Duffs
RR 1 Box 15Dunmore, WV 24934
17. Route 66 Restaurant & Pizza ShopMenu
598 Cass RdSlatyfork, WV 26291
18. Boathouse
10 Snowshoe DrSlatyfork, WV 26291
19. Waffle Cabin
10 Snowshoe DrSlatyfork, WV 26291
20. Wildcat Provisions
10 Snowshoe DrSlatyfork, WV 26291
21. Junction Restaurant
10 Snowshoe DrSlatyfork, WV 26291
22. Nelson's Bar & Grill
1 Stamping Creek RdHillsboro, WV 24946
23. Brandi's At The Inn At Snwsh
10 Snowshoe DrSlatyfork, WV 26291
24. Route 66 Subs & Pizza Shop
Slatyfork, WV 26291
25. Pretty Penny Cafe
7484 Seneca TrlHillsboro, WV 24946
26. Fiddlehead
37787 Seneca TrlSlatyfork, WV 26291
27. Blue Roof Caterers
The food was great.The waitress we had was wonderful and helped us with our questions about the train. The train ride was out of the world. If you g…
28. Foxfire GrilleMenu
10 Snowshoe Dr, Rimfire LodgeSnowshoe, WV 26209
From Business: Foxfire Grille offers a variety of dining and wine options. The restaurant organizes and hosts various events. Its menu includes barbecue wings, Appalachian egg rol…
29. Boyer Motel & Restaurant
Arbovale, 24915Arbovale, WV 24915
30. Dunmore Country Mart & BakeryMenu
11 Potomac Highlands TrlDunmore, WV 24934
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