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Last year's events have altered the fortunes of the four large groups of investors—oil exporters, Asian sovereign investors, hedge funds, and private-equity firms—described as "the new power brokers" in a 2007 report from the McKinsey Global Institute.1 1.
The full report, The new power brokers: How oil, Asia, hedge funds, and private equity are shaping global capital markets, is available free of charge on mckinsey.com/mgi.
That MGI study analyzed their rapid rise in wealth and clout at a time of soaring crude prices, expanding trade, and cheap credit. Although the boom years ended in late 2008 as the financial crisis escalated and the global economy slumped, new MGI research shows that the power brokers fared relatively well.2 2.
The full report, The new power brokers: How oil, Asia, hedge funds, and private equity are faring in the financial crisis, is available free of charge on mckinsey.com/mgi.
But their future paths have diverged: petrodollar and Asian sovereign investors are more influential than ever, while the rapid growth of hedge funds and private-equity firms has halted abruptly.
To understand the future evolution of the power brokers, we modeled changes in their financial assets over the next five years under different macroeconomic scenarios, each with a specific trajectory for global GDP, oil prices, trade, recovery in financial markets, and other key variables. We find that the assets of oil exporters and Asian governments will grow rapidly in nearly any scenario. The source of their wealth—trade surpluses—will continue in every case we considered, though the magnitude of those surpluses would vary. Indeed, we now project that in the base-case scenario the financial assets of oil exporters and Asian governments will reach levels higher than those we projected in our original 2007 report. In contrast, our future projections for assets under management by hedge funds and private-equity buyout funds are lower. We still expect the best of each to survive and even thrive, but it will take time for the portfolios of these institutional investors to recover sufficiently for them to raise substantial new funds.
The new power brokers fared better than many other investors during the crisis.
Here we will outline our projections for the four groups of investors under three of the four scenarios we considered. The first scenario, the "quick fix," envisions a relatively fast economic recovery in which global GDP starts growing again in late 2009, oil prices climb steadily to nearly $100 a barrel by 2013, Asian trade surpluses grow (though more slowly than in the past), and credit markets return to health. In our base-case scenario, "battered but resilient," the global economy starts to expand only in mid-2010, crude oil surpasses $70 a barrel by 2013, and trade and credit markets recover more slowly than they do in scenario one. The worst-case scenario, the "long freeze," involves a very severe economic downturn: GDP doesn't start growing again until 2011, oil lingers at $50 a barrel for years, world trade remains well below its peak, the wealth of global investors is slow to recover, and credit markets remain constrained.3 3.
The "battered but besilient" scenario is our base case because it was viewed as the most likely one by a plurality (42 percent) of the respondents to a McKinsey Quarterly executive survey in August 2009. See "Economic Conditions Snapshot, August 2009: McKinsey Global Survey Results," mckinseyquarterly.com, August 2009.
Petrodollar investors—including central banks, sovereign-wealth funds, high-net-worth individuals, and other investors from the major oil-exporting countries—would remain the largest of the four classes of power brokers over the next five years under all of our scenarios. In the base case, we project that the foreign financial assets of these investors will rise to nearly $9 trillion by 2013. In the quick fix, with a faster economic recovery driving the price of oil to nearly $100 a barrel, their assets grow to more than $13 trillion, nearly half as large as the assets of the world's pension funds in that year.
The foreign assets of petrodollar investors will remain larger than of those held by the other three classes of power brokers over the next five years.
The sovereign investors of Asia—its central banks and sovereign-wealth funds—see their foreign wealth grow to $7.5 trillion by 2013 in our base case. China, with its foreign financial assets growing to $4 trillion, accounts for more than half of this total, though its current-account surplus declines relative to GDP. In the quick fix, with world GDP and trade recovering more quickly, the foreign assets of Asian sovereign investors grow to $8.5 trillion.
The foreign assets of Asian sovereign investors could grow to $7.5 trillion in the base-case scenario.
In 2009, the hedge funds' assets under management decline further in all scenarios, reflecting continuing net withdrawals by investors during the year's first half. In our base case, assets recover slowly thereafter, to $1.5 trillion by 2013. That's slightly better than the total at the end of 2008 but still well below the peak in 2007. A major constraint on the growth of hedge funds is the size of their investors' portfolios: the collective wealth of pension funds, insurance companies, endowments, sovereign-wealth funds, high-net-worth individuals, and other such investors fell from $91 trillion in 2007 to an estimated $75 trillion by the end of 2008. In our conservative base-case scenario, battered but resilient, in which the economic recovery doesn't begin until mid-2010, it takes four to five years for these investors' assets to regain their 2007 levels. Unless the appetite for investments in hedge funds increases a good deal, this delay will substantially curtail their fund-raising.
The hedge funds' assets under management will decline further in 2009 in all scenarios.
As for private-equity buyout funds, their assets under management fall in our base case, to $1 trillion by 2013. For starters, the collective wealth of their investors (like those of hedge funds) has declined sharply. Second, this scenario assumes that megadeals—leveraged buyouts worth more than $3 billion apiece, which dominated private equity during the boom—won't revive anytime soon, because investors have less appetite for them, and banks working through credit losses face funding constraints. Meanwhile, private-equity managers are looking beyond buyouts, to other types of investments, such as distressed debt, infrastructure, real estate, and venture capital. We therefore project that total private-equity assets under management will grow modestly in our base case, to $3.4 trillion in 2013.
Assets under management in private-equity buyout funds will fall in the base case, but total private-equity assets will grow modestly.
No one knows how the current financial and economic turmoil will play out, but our analysis shows that in virtually any scenario, the power brokers will remain a significant force in global capital markets. Oil exporters and Asian sovereign investors will continue to be major players, controlling vast pools of wealth. Hedge funds and private-equity buyout funds are down but not out.
This article is based on the McKinsey Global Institute report The new power brokers: How oil, Asia, hedge funds, and private equity are faring in the financial crisis.
Susan Lund is director of research at the McKinsey Global Institute, and Charles Roxburgh is a director in McKinsey's London office.
The authors wish to thank Matt Lippert, a consultant in McKinsey's Silicon Valley office, who helped manage the research project underlying this article, as well as Charles Atkins, Chris Rezek, Olivia White, and Yue Zhao.
April 2009—These funds face a credit-constrained world; they must adapt to thrive.more
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This article is based on a recent report by the McKinsey Global Institute, The new power brokers: How oil, Asia, hedge funds, and private equity are faring in the financial crisis.
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GSOC2011 MocapyExt
|Line 319:
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Johansson, and Thomas Hamelryck. Beyond rotamers: a generative, probabilistic model
Johansson, and Thomas Hamelryck. Beyond rotamers: a generative, probabilistic model
of side chains in proteins. BMC Bioinformatics, 11(1):306, 2010.
of side chains in proteins. BMC Bioinformatics, 11(1):306, 2010.
#PaluszewskiWinter2008 M. Paluszewski and P. Winter. Protein decoy generation using branch and
#PaluszewskiWinter2008 M. Paluszewski and P. Winter. Protein decoy generation using branch and
bound with efficient bounding. Algorithms in Bioinformatics, pages 382–393, 2008.
bound with efficient bounding. Algorithms in Bioinformatics, pages 382–393, 2008.
Revision as of 16:55, 26 August 2011
BioPython is a very popular library in Bioinformatics and Computational Biology.Mocapy++1 is a machine learning toolkit for parameter learning and inference in dynamic Bayesian networks (DBNs)[1], which encode probabilistic relationships among random variables in a domain. The library supports a wide spectrum of DBN architectures and probability distributions, including distributions from directional statistics. Notably, Kent distribution on the sphere and the bivariate von Mises distribution on the torus, which have proven to be useful in formulating probabilistic models of protein and RNA structure.
Such a highly useful and powerful library, which has been used in such projects as TorusDBN[2], Basilisk[3], FB5HMM[4][5] with great success, is the result of the long-term effort. The original Mocapy implementation dates back to 2004, and since then the library has been rewritten in C++. However, C++ is a statically typed and compiled programming language, which does not facilitate rapid prototyping. As a result, currently Mocapy++ has no provisions for dynamic loading of custom node types, and a mechanism to plug-in new node types that would not require to modify and recompile the library is of interest. Such a plug-in interface would assist rapid prototyping by allowing to quickly implement and test new probability distributions, which, in turn, could substantially reduce development time and effort; the user would be empowered to extend Mocapy++ without modifications and subsequent recompilations. Recognizing this need, the project (herein referred as MocapyEXT), with the aim to improve the current Mocapy++ node type extension mechanism, has been proposed by T. Hamelryck.
Mocapy++ is an open source toolkit that is freely available under the GNU General Public Licence (GPL) from SourceForge. Mocapy++ is used for parameter learning and inference in dynamic Bayesian networks (DBNs), which encode probabilistic relationships among random variables in a domain. The library supports a wide spectrum of DBN architectures and probability distributions, including distributions from directional statistics; notably, Kent distribution on the sphere and the bivariate von Mises distribution on the torus, which have proven to be useful in formulating probabilistic models of protein and RNA structure. This makes Mocapy++ especially suitable for biomolecular structure prediction.
The goal of the MocapyExt project is to develop a plugin interface for Mocapy++. This plugin interface will allow to quickly implement and test new probability distributions and thus save development time and effort as it then becomes possible to extend Mocapy++ without undue modifications and subsequent recompilations.
Author & Mentors
Justinas V. Daugmaudis email@example.com
- Thomas Hamelryck
- Eric Talevich
Work Plan
Gain understanding of S-EM and directional statistics
- Review the course material in SCI-B2-1011-Structural bioinformatics;
- Study the theory for Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and dynamic Bayesian networks;
- Supplement the base knowledge by reading relevant papers.
Study of Mocapy++ use cases
- Study the Mocapy++ implementation of Stochastic Expectation Maximization (S-EM) and parameter learning of Bayesian networks;
- Review examples distributed with Mocapy++ library.
Study of Mocapy++ internals and code
- Distill the relevant concepts for nodes and densities. Currently, there are no such concepts defined within the Mocapy++ framework;
- Compare with other examples that implement probability distributions.
Design of Mocapy++ plugin interface
- Plugin module has to implement the model of NodeConcept/DensityConcept;
- All the models have to be uniformly accessible through the plugin system.
Implement Mocapy++ plugin module
- Implement test cases in C++ using the new plugin interface;
- Provide Python bindings for the defined interface;
- Implement test cases in Python. Verify that this plugin system can be used transparently in Python.
Experiment with the modular Mocapy++ architecture
- Create sample applications that showcase the advantages of modularity that is provided by the plugin system in Mocapy++;
- Measure performance.
Week 1-2 [May 23th -- June 5th]
Design of interface strategy: it is hard to overstate the importance of the plugin API feeling "natural" to a Mocapy++ user. So much of the time will be devoted to the design of the interface.
Week 3-5 [June 6th -- June 19th]
Implement the plugin module.
Week 6-7 [June 20th -- June 30th]
Implement some examples that would showcase Mocapy++ plugin system in action; for example, how to use externally implemented logistic distribution.
Week 7-8 (Midterm) [July 1st -- July 10th]
- Thorough testing and consolidating the features. Writing the documentation for each feature.
- Mid-term Evaluations. Discuss with the mentor the state of the project and adjust the schedule to comply with project's needs.
Week 9-10 [July 11th -- July 24th]
Example applications. Should focus on the type reflection capabilities of the plugin module.
Week 11-12 [July 25th -- August 7th]
Update the documentation to reflect the new functions. Also document the examples, do any scrub work of code, etc. Planned 'pencils down' date.
Week 13-14 [August 8th -- August 21st]
Introduce the bindings to the wider audiences, gather the opinions and the reviews in community.
Week 15 [August 22nd]
The end of the project.
Source Code
Hosted at the gSoC11 Mocapy branch
Prototype implementation
Embedding the Python interpreter
For a client program to be able to execute Python code, it is necessary to initialize the scripting environment. It is done by invoking the Py_Initialize() function. The interpreter is released by invoking the Py_Finalize() function.
It is important to note, however, that any statement between Py_Initialize() and Py_Finalize() calls could throw an exception. If an exception is thrown, it must be either handled in a try/catch block, or the program must be terminated. Having this in mind, an previous example program could be made more robust by enveloping the statements between Py_Initialize() and Py_Finalize() in a try/catch block. Py_Finalize() safety could not be overstated. Currently Boost.Python has several global (or function-static) objects whose existence keeps reference counts from dropping to zero until the Boost.Python shared object is unloaded. This can cause a crash because when the reference counts do go to zero, there is no interpreter. This poses a question if such a method of initializing the Python interpreter could be considered to be "easy to use", "safe" or even "non-intrusive", which are the major MocapyEXT design tenets.
The solution to this issue that is easy to use, safe and non-intrusive is surprisingly elegant and showcases the RAII (Resource Acquisition Is Initialization) idiom.
The lifetime of the Python interpreter
The Python interpreter is initialized before the entry to the main function, and is released after the exit from the main function. No additional end-user effort is required, except to include the headers that define the necessary Python plug-in wrappers.
Compile/link dependencies
The Python interpreter shall be linked to the client program (not to the Mocapy++ library). The end-user of the MocapyEXT shall be responsible for additional include and/or library paths to the Python headers and libraries that are necessary to compile and link the client program successfully.
MocapyEXT also instantiates its static data members in such a manner that they are instantiated only once and in the library's compilation unit. In the C++ standard it is explicitly stated that
"... in particular, the initialization (and any associated side-effects) of a static data member does not occur unless the static data member is itself used in a way that requires the definition of the static data member to exist."[cpp_std2003, temp.inst]
The user shall not need to manage the instantiated static data members.
Thread safety guarantees
The MocapyEXT plug-ins have the following thread-safety guarantees:
- it is safe to call plug-in member functions from multiple threads;
- it is safe to perform concurrent read-only accesses of the passed parameter containers;
- it is safe to perform concurrent read/write accesses, if there is only one read or write access to the passed factual parameters at a time.
Concurrent mutable access of the passed parameter containers requires synchronization, for example via reader-writer lock. Mutable access includes altering values within the container, invoking member functions that invalidate iterators, moving the container via the move constructor.
The module search path
When a module foo that contains ESS or Densities definitions is being imported, the embedded Python interpreter searches for a file named foo.py in the list of directories specified by the environment variable PYTHONPATH and the current path.
Before proceeding to import a module, sys.path list is explicitly appended with the current path. A user that relies on scripts being in some other directory than a client program should list the paths in the PYTHONPATH environment variable.
Note that because the interpreter also searches in an installation-dependent default path, it is important that the file containing ESS or Densities definitions not have the same name as a standard module.
Plugin registration
The minimal interface import example shows the usage of three plug-in classes: densities_plugin, ess_plugin and aggregate_plugin. The intended usage pattern for densities_plugin and ess_plugin are cases when types ESS and Densities are implemented in separate files -- one-class-per-file. Each class is loaded in their own interpreter context. The purpose of aggregate_plugin is to simplify the management of the the loaded types and to optimize the resources allocated for the embedded Python interpreter as aggregate_plugin creates only one instance of the embedded interpreter for both types ESS and Densities.
#include <mocapy/plugin/ess_plugin.hpp> #include <mocapy/plugin/densities_plugin.hpp> #include <mocapy/plugin/aggregate_plugin.hpp> int main() { using namespace mocapy::ext; densities_plugin dens_pl("plugin_tests", "DensitiesPython"); ess_plugin ess_pl("plugin_tests", "ESSPython"); aggregate_plugin aggr_pl("plugin_tests", "ESSPython", "DensitiesPython"); return 0; }
Basically, a user provides a name of a python library, a name of class and a list of factual arguments necessary for the construction of the model of the class. The MocapyExt library in turn then returns an instance of the new class.
densities_plugin p("test_module", "DensitiesClassName"); densities_adapter n = p.densities(arg1, arg2, ..., argN);
The given argument list (up to N = 6 arguments are supported) would parametrize the initialization of Densities object. Parameters are forwarded to the Python API and converted using the type conversion facilities provided by the Boost.Python library. The mechanism is general and the user can convert any arbitrary type T to its equivalent in Python.
The parameters are forwarded via const-references. This method accepts and forwards arbitrary typed arguments, at the cost of always treating the argument as const. This solution is typically used for constructor arguments. An esoteric problem with this approach is that it is not possible to form a const reference to a function type, but this deficiency, which is being addressed in Core Issue 295, actually works in our favor, because this prevents ill-intended attempts to pass a function to the Python interpreter.
Any further invocation of ess and dens member functions automatically calls a corresponding class method in Python.
The lifetime of a class instance
The lifetime of ESS computer and Densities objects (respectively, ess and dens) may exceed the lifetime of their respective factory plugin(s). Objects ess and dens preserve reference counted pointers to the Python interpreter, thus a valid Python interpreter instance exists until the destruction of objects ess and dens.
Creation of a node
This is a simple example that showcases two different methods to initialize a plugin node. In this particular case, the module plugin_tests that has been used in the program implements a dummy discrete node of fixed length 1, and always returns [0,] as sampled value.
#include <mocapy/plugin/ess_plugin.hpp> #include <mocapy/plugin/densities_plugin.hpp> #include <mocapy/plugin/aggregate_plugin.hpp> #include <mocapy/plugin/plugin_node.hpp> int main() { using namespace mocapy::ext; // Node initialization from two separately loaded modules { ess_plugin ess("plugin_tests", "ESSPython"); densities_plugin dens("plugin_tests", "DensitiesPython"); plugin_node_type node(ess.ess(arg1, arg2, ..., argN), dens.densities(arg1, arg2, ..., argN)); } // Node initialization from a single loaded module { aggregate_plugin pl("plugin_tests", "ESSPython", "DensitiesPython"); plugin_node_type node(pl.ess(arg1, arg2, ..., argN), pl.densities(arg1, arg2, ..., argN)); } return 0; }
plugin_node_type is a typedef of the ChildNode class template. Here we also note that the lifetime of a node is independent from the lifetime of plug-in factories.
Node output
A plugin node is Streamable, i.e., it can be output to a std::ostream via the operator
std::ostream& operator<<(std::ostream&, const plugin_node_type&);
The content of the output is the same as repr(Z), where Z is either ESS computer or Densities object.
Node serialization
The MocapyEXT preserves the old Mocapy++ ChildNode class template serialization behaviour, which means that for ESS computers that do not need to be serialized (this includes kentess, gaussianess, poissoness, and others) no serialization will happen. However, the MocapyEXT necessarily has to serialize the Python plugin that implements an ESS computer in order to preserve the module and the name of the class, so that the ESS computer could be later deserialized.
It also must be noted that after deserialization the ESS computer and Densities will not share the same Python interpreter instance, even if they are implemented in the same module.
Measuring performance
It is interesting to measure how much plugin interface costs compared to the implementation of ESS and Densities computers themselves.
We measure the relative performance of tests named N, S, and A. All tests invoke the member functions of the ESS and Densities computers, albeit no particular computation is carried out.
N test stands for N(ative), which means that pure C++ implementation of ESS and Densities computers were used in the test.
S test stands for S(eparate); Python classes are loaded in separate Python interpreter instances.
A test stands for A(ggregate); ESS and Densities computers are loaded in the same Python interpreter instance.
Conf. int. 4.53e+04 5.03e+04 5.53e+04
Speedup percentages based on Wilcoxon matched pair confidence intervals.
Func. A vs Func. B Minimum Median Maximum (% faster) (% faster) (% faster) N vs S 717 719 724 N vs A 718 725 730 A vs S -0.673 -0.251 0.0774
Test results show that using MocapyEXT plugin interface incurs some performance penalty. It must be noted, however, that tests also performed repetitive construction of ESS and Densities instances.
Conf. int. 1.94e+04 2.15e+04 2.37e+04
Speedup percentages based on Wilcoxon matched pair confidence intervals.
Func. A vs Func. B Minimum Median Maximum (% faster) (% faster) (% faster) N vs S 240 242 243 N vs A 239 243 245 A vs S -1.24 -0.51 -0.25
Repeated tests without the construction of ESS and Densities objects show that invocation of a method through the MocapyEXT interface is only ~2,5 times slower than to invoke a member function of natively implemented ESS and Densities objects. It is obvious that in a real-world scenario node construction, sampling, likelihood computation, etc. would be more likely to constitute the better part of the running time as compared to the invocations of methods themselves. Basically, these tests show that member function invocation takes much less time than even such a 'lightweight' operation as node construction. In principle it is now possible to write quite generic algorithms. Consider this example:
template<typename Densities> inline void do_something_with_densities(Densities dens) // Generic function { std::vector<unsigned int> ps(1, 2); dens.construct(ps); /* do something here */ } // Bippo Densities though the Python interface densities_plugin dens("mocapy.bippo", "BippoDensities"); do_something_with_densities( dens.densities(lambdas, thetas, ns) ); // Direct use of Bippo Densities mocapy::BippoDensities bd(lambdas, thetas, ns); do_something_with_densities(bd);
We can be reasonably sure that performance penalty of using MocapyEXT, while not negligible, will not outweight the added value of genericity. And in the pure C++ scenario it does not incur any performance cost.
- M. Paluszewski and T. Hamelryck. Mocapy++ -- a toolkit for inference and learning in dynamic bayesian networks. BMC bioinformatics, 11(1):126, 2010.
- W. Boomsma, K.V. Mardia, C.C. Taylor, J. Ferkinghoff-Borg, A. Krogh, and T. Hamelryck. A generative, probabilistic model of local protein structure. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 105(26):8932–8937, 2008.
- Tim Harder, Wouter Boomsma, Martin Paluszewski, Jes Frellsen, Kristoffer Johansson, and Thomas Hamelryck. Beyond rotamers: a generative, probabilistic model of side chains in proteins. BMC Bioinformatics, 11(1):306, 2010.
- T. Hamelryck, J.T. Kent, and A. Krogh. Sampling realistic protein conformations using local structural bias. PLoS computational biology, 2(9):e131,2006.
- M. Paluszewski and P. Winter. Protein decoy generation using branch and bound with efficient bounding. Algorithms in Bioinformatics, pages 382–393, 2008.


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Daily Archives: January 13, 2012
Small choices can make a big difference, says retired admiral
Thomas F. Hall started his life as a poor boy from a small town in Oklahoma, but he rose to become an Assistant Secretary of Defense in Washington, D.C.
What happened in between was recounted by the two-star admiral, pilot and Vietnam War veteran before more than 50 students in the high school's media center the afternoon of January 5. Most of them were Junior ROTC cadets.
His message: seemingly minor choices in one's life can be the difference between life and death, or love and loss. He talked about some of the close calls he's had while flying, but also how his decision to join the Navy led to his 48-year marriage.
"Every morning look in the mirror, stare at yourself and say, 'What are my choices?'" Mr. Hall, 72, told the group. "And how can my choices make the difference between me living and dying."
He repeated the mantra more than once during the hour-and-a-half encounter, which ended with a question-and-answer session that impressed the visitor.
"You guys have better questions than most of the adults I speak to," said Mr. Hall, who now works as a consultant for a handful of companies.
Political ads on TV … They lyin'
The onslaught is coming. Grab your kids and take cover. And whatever you do, make sure your DVR is working properly.
After Tuesday's New Hampshire primary, and then South Carolina, we're next. My inbox at the office is already bursting at the seams with political junk mail from all of the Republican nominee hopefuls. Save one.
Mr. Reasonable himself, Jon Huntsman.
This poor guy doesn't have a chance in the presidential primary. He's too pragmatic, logical and calm to get the base's blood pumping. And he's not dogmatic enough to win over any of the large conservative constituencies: evangelicals, libertarians or free marketers.
He might have been able to corral the war hawks, but now they're all Democrats who get giddy when they hear that President Obama's killed more terrorists than any president before him, thanks to Predator drone strikes and more surgical attacks by US special forces.
Maybe that's a stretch, but you get the point.
Ruby Berry, 57, of Macclenny dies
Ruby Annette Berry, 57, of Macclenny died January 4, 2012. She was born in Jacksonville to Coleson Johns and Robin Hall on February 23, 1954. Ann was a church member and loved telling people about the Lord.
Survivors include husband Sam Berry; sister Jan Copeland; daughter LaDonna Rhoden; grandchildren Derek Ploucher, Alisha Ploucher and Erica Ploucher.


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Wiz Khalifa is an old soul, mature beyond his years. He's a talented, successful rapper in his mid-20s, yet he speaks of his commitment to fiancée Amber Rose and his enthusiasm about changing his baby son's dirty diapers.
Wiz spoke to S2S about how much he loves being a father and when he and Amber are going to tie the knot. What will their wedding be like? How will they raise baby Bash?
Find out in the July 2013 issue and get an excerpt and sneak peek now.
Jamie: Was [Amber] scared about gaining weight during that time?
Wiz: Naw! People look at her like a model, you know what I mean? But she's a regular person. So as long as the baby's healthy, as long as the pregnancy is happy, that's pretty much all that we were worried about.
Jamie: Was the pregnancy pretty easy?
Wiz: Super easy.
Jamie: What did you feel when you saw the baby come out?
Wiz: Probably just more happy, more excited. I waited nine months for him. I'd, in my head, kind of built up what I thought he would look like, what I thought he would sound like, and then just finally when he came it was like that relief, like, "Yo, he's here."
Jamie: He almost looks Asian.
Wiz: He looks Asian and Spanish. I knew he was going to look like a little papi. I didn't know about the Asian, though.
Jamie: Aye, Papi!
Wiz: [laughs] Yeah, he's a little papi-looking thing.
Jamie: And he's healthy?
Wiz: Yeah.
Wiz talks more about being a family man in the July 2013 issue of Sister 2 Sister.
Take a look at what's inside the July 2013 issue
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Welcome to ImportCostumes.com, we have a WIDE selection of Halloween costumes at the best prices! Whether you're celebrating Halloween, Christmas, Independence Day, Valentine's Day, Thanksgiving, or Easter, we here at Import Costumes have costumes for all occasions of the year. We also have medieval and renaissance costumes for those themed parties. There are plenty of discount costumes so you can get a great price on that special dance costume.
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If you've loved DEEP CLEANSING FOAM, get ready to lift away makeup and impurities with a burst of plush, cushiony lather with NEW PURE PLUSH Gentle Deep Cleansing Foam-to leave your skin feeling remarkably clean and refreshed.
Size: 119 g / 4.2 Oz.
- Our proprietary ActiveSoil Complex represents a new generation of beneficial minerals with extraordinary skin-renewing benefits, including faster cell turnover and antioxidant defense
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Price Range
Computer Desks
Split-Level Computer Table
Flipper Table Rectangular - Teak (60"Lx24"W)
MXL Computer Table (36"Wx24"D)
Connections Workcenter with Glides (60"Wx30"D)
MXL Computer Table (72"Wx30"D)
Panel Based Single Faced Carrel, Adder (37"Wx34"D)
Mobile PC Station
Academia Adjustable Rectangular Computer Table (60"x30")
Academia Adjustable Rectangular Computer Table (36"x24")
Library Computer Table - 24inch Depth (60"Wx24"D)
Deluxe Lab Workstation (72"Wx30"D)
MXL Computer Table (48"Wx30"D)
Panel Based Single Faced Carrel, Starter (38"Wx34"D)
Academia Adjustable Trapezoid Computer Table (60"x30")
Basix Trapezoid Computer Workstation
MXL Computer Table (48"Wx24"D)
Academia Adjustable Rectangular Computer Table (48"x24")
Academia Adjustable Rectangular Computer Table (60"x24")
Flipper Table Half Round - Teak (48"Wx24"D)
Academia Adjustable Rectangular Computer Table (48"x30")
While we carry a variety of computer desks, all of them are marked at affordable, institutional prices. They are built to last for many years. Many of our computer workstations come with a complimentary extended warranty from Hertz Furniture so you can depend on them for a long time.
Where can I put a computer in the classroom?
Computer desks are just what you need to outfit the school computer lab. They also offer a great way to bring technology into the classroom. You can order them to outfit an entire room, or as single models. We offer some convenient shapes and sizes so you can create the ideal configuration for your space. Classroom computer tables fit right in your learning space so you can keep a desktop there at all times.
What size computer desks do I need?
The classic rectangular computer table comes in a selection of widths. The right size depends on the amount of space you have and how many computers you want to fit in it. Computer desks generally fit either one or two computers. If you want to have space on the work surface for a keyboard, mouse, speakers and other accessories, you should make sure to take that into account when determining your ideal surface size.
There are also alternatives to the rectangle. If you are putting computer desks around a room against the walls, corner units are a great choice. They enable you to comfortably fit an extra computer in each corner of the room without overlapping tables. We also have computer tables with round fronts.
What features should I look for in a computer desk?
When you order a table that is designed for computers, you deserve to get the utmost in technological convenience. Especially in a room that is full of electronics, it is important to make sure that wires aren't sticking out and creating unsightly distractions. Wire-management grommets are a must-have for any computer workstation. They enable you to route cables to a power source without cluttering your work surface or creating tripping hazards.
Another important design element that varies among computer desk models is the leg design. There is the classic four-legged design as well as great alternatives including t-legs and cantilevered legs. T-legs provide stability and increased leg room. Cantilevered legs offer maximum legroom and prevent knees from knocking. For the most flexible option that can comfortably accommodate people of various heights, adjustable-height legs are the way to go.
There are additional features that can make the computer-user's experience a much easier one. A keyboard tray enables you to type in an ergonomically-correct position while saving space on the desktop. CPU holders are another available option for many of our computer desks. They keep your CPU in an upright position off of the floor, so it won't become damaged from accidental bumps or get knocked over.
Some computer users appreciate other convenient bonus features as well. Flip-top computer lab tables are great for temporary use because they save space in storage. Wheels are helpful because they make it easy to move computer tables around without lifting them. If your computer desks will not be against a wall, a modesty panel is another option to consider. Some modesty panels even include integrated wire-management trays.
In addition to the basic computer table design, we also offer high-tech workstations. The downview configuration is an excellent option for use with flat-screen computers. It keeps the screen in easy view of the user while saving desktop space and remaining out of the view of prying eyes. This provides a clean, uncluttered look that is great for a classroom, computer lab or office.
Hertz Furniture's selection of computer desks includes everything you need to transform your office or school into a tech-savvy work space. Our computer tables come from reliable manufacturers including Midwest Folding Products, Academia, Bretford and ABCO. Great computer lab tables can greatly enhance the work experience of your students and employees. If you need help choosing the best option for your institution, are not quite sure exactly how many tables you need, or just want a second opinion, feel free to contact the Hertz Design Center for free project-planning advice from the experts.


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Dec 6, 2012
India Real Time offers analysis and insights into the broad range of developments in business, markets, the economy, politics, culture, sports, and entertainment that take place every single day in the world's largest democracy. Regular posts from Wall Street Journal and Dow Jones Newswires reporters around the country provide a unique take on the main stories in the news, shed light on what else mattered and why, and give global readers a snapshot of what Indians have been talking about all week. You can contact the editors at indiarealtime(at)wsj(dot)com.
Check out the main contributors to the blog and their bios here.
Content engaging our readers now, with additional prominence accorded if the story is rapidly gaining attention. Our WSJ algorithm comprises 30% page views, 20% Facebook, 20% Twitter, 20% email shares and 10% comments.
Subscriber Content Read Preview


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Antica Farmacista's Room and Linen Spray is a wonderful alternative to home fragrance. Packaged in a beautiful glass bottle, the high quality room sprays are formulated to be sprayed into the air or onto fabrics and linens to instantly refresh and set the mood in any room.
A fresh green fragrance built on spicy notes of coriander and the sparkling water notes of cucumber. Hints of Mediterranean olve and sweet Crenshaw melon imbue a beautiful softness while the royal lotus flower adds an alluring subtle floralcy. A beautiful soft scent evoking serenity and purity.
Availability: Out of stock
Let us gift wrap your order!
Simply select the gift wrap
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Date and Time:Monday 7/16/2012 (All day)
Description:The summer is here, and what better way to spend the warm days lounging than with a good book! Kids from birth through Grade 12 can sign up and read for some cool prizes, including T-shirts, books, a Nook e-reader, season passes to Six Flags, and an Ipod Touch. See a children's librarian to register!
Registration is not available for this event.


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While guidelines have been created to treat virtually all cancers, physicians will often modify them for their individual patients. These modifications are based on many factors including the patient's age, general health, desired results, and the specific features of the cancer. Since the following treatments represent the standard approaches, your physician may not strictly follow them.
The goal of treatment is to eliminate the cancer or, if this is not possible, to limit its further growth and control the symptoms. The treatment and management of kidney cancer may involve surgery, biological therapy, and radiation therapy.
Surgery is the primary, curative treatment. Removing all or part of the kidney, in a procedure called a nephrectomy , is the therapy of choice for stage I, II, and III renal cell cancers. Additional chemotherapy or radiation is not normally recommended after surgery if there is no sign of remaining cancer. Surgery may also be used to remove cancerous lesions that have spread to other organs. This is usually done to control symptoms, not to cure the disease.
If you cannot have surgery due to other health conditions, radiation and arterial embolization may slow the disease's progression. Arterial embolization is a treatment to block blood flow. However, neither of these treatments provides a cure for kidney cancer.
Radiation and chemotherapy are typically not as effective for kidney cancer as for many other types of cancer. A biological therapy, called interleukin 2 (aldesleukin), may be recommended to treat kidney cancer that has spread.
Also, a new form of medications called targeted therapy has shown some progress in controlling advanced kidney cancer. These medications block cellular pathways controlling tumor growth. Recently, medicines called sunitinib and sorafenib have been shown to significantly increase progression-free survival, and to likely increase overall survival. A drug called temsirolimus also improves progression-free and overall survival.SurgeryRadiation therapyChemotherapyOther: biological therapyOther: hormonal therapyLifestyle changesManaging the side effects of cancer and cancer treatment
Revision Information
- Reviewer: Mohei Abouzied, MD, FACP ; Michael Woods, MD
- Review Date: 05/2015 -
- Update Date: 05/20/2015 -


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Units 481, 56, 57, 58, 561, & Trophy Unit 49.
Also OTC tags available for units 681, 82, & 86.
A great Colorado elk hunt at a reasonable price!
Over-the-counter elk hunting in Colorado as well as limited entry trophy elk hunts. Weather you are a bowhunter or a rifle hunter, this Colorado outfitter has an elk hunt to fit your needs.
We personally hunted with this outfitter and he and his crew are some of the hardest working guys in the business.
Start Planning Your Hunt Request Prices
If you're a serious hunter, then you will appreciate this outfitter. We work hard for our hunters, and expect our hunters to do the same. Our hunts are physically demanding and we appreciate when our hunters are prepared. The better shape you are in when you get here, the better we can do for you.
Hunting Season
Archery: August 31 – September 29
Muzzle loader: September 14 – 22
Hunting Method
Glassing, spot-and-stalk and/or calling depending on the season. Hunters can expect to go to bed at a reasonable time and get up between 4:30 & 5:30am depending on if you are taking horses or hiking. They always pack a lunch so that you can stay out all day if needed. You should expect to hike several miles per day in steep conditions.
Success Rates and Trophy Quality
The best of both worlds when it comes to the units they hunt. Limited license areas that you can draw for, which hold more game and some bigger bulls. But if you don't draw, they also have open units, which means you can buy your license over the counter. These units usually have more hunting pressure, but there are more areas to hunt and still a large number of elk.
They don't guarantee 6-point bulls like some of the private land hunts can. Expect to hunt hard for "real elk." Their success rate hovers around 50%, but their opportunity rate is 80%. Not bad for an over-the-counter elk tag.
We suggest that clients fly into Colorado Springs and rent a car from there if they are flying. From there whether they are driving from their home state or flying, the Outfitter will meet you in Buena Vista or Salida the day before the hunt, where you would either take horses into camp or a vehicle depending on what unit you are hunting in.
These Colorado elk hunts are based out of one of three wall tent camps depending on what units you are hunting.
Hunt Reports from clients who've hunted with this outfitter:
If you have gone on a hunt with one of our outfitters, please submit a hunt report.


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To promote and celebrate their love for a dance that originated in South Carolina decades ago, Macclenny resident Danny Lamb and his wife Debbie hosted an event they called "Beach Music 101: Shaggin' on the Avenue" in mid-December.
The Shag is a swing dance that originated along the coast between Myrtle Beach, South Carolina, and Wilmington, North Carolina, during the 1940s. It was adapted by South Carolina as the state's official dance in 1976 and today is recognized in national and international dance competitions held across the United States.


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Summer Enrichment fundraiser slated
Published: Tuesday, February 5, 2013 at 10:34 p.m.
Last Modified: Tuesday, February 5, 2013 at 10:35 p.m.
The Summer Enrichment Mentoring Program of Gadsden-Etowah County will have a Gospel/Fashion Extravaganza from 4 p.m. to 6 p.m. Saturday at the Hardin Center.
A donation of $10 is requested.
Reader comments posted to this article may be published in our print edition. All rights reserved. This copyrighted material may not be re-published without permission. Links are encouraged.


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- The season, day by day
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(A masked Ball)
Giuseppe Verdi
1813 - 1901
Melodrama in three acts
Text by Antonio Somma, after the libretto by Augustin Eugène Scribe about the historical opera Gustave ou Le Bal Masqué (Paris 1833) by Daniel François Esprit Aubert
First performed February 17th 1859, Teatro Apollo, Rome
Sung in Italian with German surtitles
Duration: c. 2 hrs, 45 min incl. one interval
About the work
Giuseppe Verdi's Masked Ball in present day Berlin – murder takes place in the seat of political power in Claus Guth's production. Similar to Eugène Scribe's original, Giuseppe Verdi and his librettist Antonio Somma first set the opera in late 18th century Sweden, describing a tragedy in the highest circles. A censor in Naples refused to allow the murder of a king to take place on stage. The setting was changed to North America and King Gustav III of Sweden became Riccardo, the Governor of Boston. Verdi's opera tells a story based on an historical event which took place only forty years before the world premiere. Attempts on the lives of leaders of state today make it all the more relevant. Or, as Hans-Klaus Jungheinrich wrote in 2005 after this production opened: »When something very amusing suddenly turns into something eerie then the drama becomes even more intense and frightening.«
Riccardo, making preparations for a masked ball, is warned about a plot against his life. He is asked to banish Ulrica, a fortune teller, but he decides to seek her advice, in disguise. Riccardo is secretly in love with Amelia, wife of Renato, his best friend. She also seeks out Ulrica, asking for a potion that will still her desires for Riccardo. When Renato suspects Amelia and Riccardo of having an affair he decides to join forces with the conspirators. During the masked ball Riccardo tries to take his leave of Amelia forever, but is killed by Renato. Dying, he confesses to Renato that he loved his wife but that she is totally innocent and he was planning to send them both abroad. Renato is mortified. Riccardo pardons him in public before he dies. Ulrica's prophesy that Riccardo would die at the hand of a friend has come true.
Supported by Frankfurter Patronatsverein - Sektion Oper
Saturday 01.06.2013 19:30 h
Further performances
Opera House
Pre-booking and Pricing
Stamatia Karampini
Claus Guth
Assistant for the Revival
Alan Barnes
Set Designer
Christoph Sehl
Costume Designer
Anna Sofie Tuma
Lighting Designer
Olaf Winter
Hendrikje Mautner
Chorus Master
Matthias Köhler
Lucrecia Garcia
Kamen Chanev
Marco di Felice
Bernadett Fodor
Elizabeth Reiter
Sungkon Kim
Magnús Baldvinsson
Bálint Szabó
Michael McCown
Diener Amelias
Ricardo Iturra
Chorus and Orchestra
of Oper Frankfurt
* member of the Opera Studio


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Orlando Magic Online Store
Main Content
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Manufacturer direct items are shipped directly from the manufacturer. These items are not available for international or expedited shipping.
Customized items can be personalized with options such as your name, your favorite number, and/or designs. Some options may be limited by league rules.


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UN.GIFT Publications
OSCE Guide on Gender-Sensitive Labour Migration Policies Russian
Jan 11 2011
Download right click "save as"
This guide attempts to analyse some of the most pressing gender issues in contemporary labour migration. It seeks to highlight the rationale for including gender-sensitive measures and ways to implement them into the migration policies of countries of origin and destination, as well as in bi- and multilateral agreements. By presenting good practices and providing tools on how to shape migration processes, the Guide aims to assist and encourage OSCE participating States and Partners for Co-operation to enforce current legislation as well as develop and adopt policies and programmes for female migrant workers that are more gender sensitive. In this way, it should encourage migration policies to be formed in a more gender-just way. This guide is also available in English on the website of OSCE.
- ILO: Marking progress against child labour: Global estimates and trends 2000-2012
- ILO Special Action Programme to combat forced labour January 2013 Newsletter
- ILO 2012 Global Estimate on Forced Labour - Results and Methodology
- ILO 2012 Global Estimate of Forced Labour - Fact Sheet
- ILO 2012 Global Estimate of Forced Labour - Executive Summary Francais
- ILO 2012 Global Estimate of Forced Labour - Executive Summary Espanol
- ILO Global Estimate of Forced Labour - Executive Summary English
- ILO: 2012 Report of the Committee of Experts on the Application of Conventions and Recommendations
- ILO: Giving globalisation a human face
- ILO: Fundamental principles and rights at work
- ILO: Eradicating forced labour from supply chains
- Migration and Child Labour


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Every business has a story. What's yours? Share your story with us and we will publish it with your profile. Profiles will be selected each week to be featured on our homepage, Twitter, Facebook, and Google+. Send us your email (no marketing, we promise!) and we will reach out to you to begin.
Ubiquitous Technologies Inc. filed as a Domestic For-Profit Corporation in the State of Texas and is no longer active. This corporate entity was filed approximately seventeen years ago on Monday, July 19, 1999 , according to public records filed with Texas Secretary of State.
Texas Secretary of State
|Filing Type:
|Domestic For-Profit Corporation
|State ID:
|Date Filed:
|Monday, July 19, 1999
|Registered Agent
|Chris D. Goodman