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Volume V
*cough* TERRODOME IS COOL *cough cough*
What was that? Did someone say that BOY FROOT is Eureka-level amazing? Did someone also know that BOY FROOT curates and mixes these TERRORDOME compilations, which are historically awesome factions of future-hop that not nearly enough people know about? Am I currently posting in hyperbolic rhetoricism? Is rhetoricism a word? STOP INTERROGATING ME!
Look, just click the link and get sucked in, we've got prime cuts here from '13 faves like Bonglestar Galactabong, Holly Waxwing, First Dog, FROOT himself, and of course Spills (the one that actually truly really should be famous) and a bunch more. Less raps on this collection, but the warped beats and sprinkling synths will hook you in for sure — shop the incredible crunch of a cut called "Zoom" by someone whose name I simply cannot pronounce ("щяʃ" — you try… my best guess here is "Worf," which would actually rule) or the filthy lurch of Night Park's "Detective."
Anyway, give it a spin, download it (yes, for free), and watch close for stuff from all these kids on their own or together again in the very near future. This is starting to be something of a "usual suspects" type of deal as these volumes have ticked by within the past few months, and the group shows no signs of splintering any time soon. But with a solid tape outing from Holly Waxwing just a minute ago on his own Neumenal Loom label, and Boy Froot flowering in his own right, only time will tell how each of these folks will really capitalize on their flagrant potential. Until then, light one up and get lost in the crowd:
• Terrordome: http://terror-dome.bandcamp.com
Steve Moore
"Deep Time"
Two-thousand word think-piece on how the drone/noise and electronic/techno undergrounds creep closer together in every boundary-blurring release from each camp: go!
Well, if you take a few steps back and think about it, these scenes have been culling from the same influences, using the same gear, and gravitating toward the same extended, repetition-based song structures since their most primordial origins, dating back to —
(((p(>o<)q))) STFU, MAN! !! !!! 凸(`△´+)Damn.
I'm tryna sink into this new Steve Moore jam.
Lush synth tones straight from the midnight drive montage of a horror score. A rhythmic grid so deliberate in its creeping trajectory, until… that beat. Uhhhnnnnnnnnnn yeahhhhhhhhhhhh. Grid complicated, rhythms overlapping, head bobbing -> I'm locked into "Deep Time" (streaming below):
Steve Moore, one half of cosmic synth prog-lords Zombi (soon to be on tour with GOBLIN [yeah(!!!)]), continues his sterling solo catalog with Pangaea Ultima, a new LP due December 16 on Spectrum Spools. Peep that Robert Beatty cover art (yeah). Preorder it now and project your mind to the future moment of its arrival at your home. Oh, how thrilled you look. Now come back to the present, grease up your elbows, and toil your way through this work-a-day existence until that moment arrives IRL.
• Steve Moore: http://stevemoore2600.tumblr.com
• Spectrum Spools: http://editionsmego.com/releases/spectrum-spools
The time change makes a big difference up here in the north. Driving to work at 6:30am is much easier when the sun is up. I don't spend as much time staring at my breath while the car warms up, and the timing belt doesn't seem to squeal quite as much. But the fog is still there. Only now, it's lit up in faint pinks and yellows instead of just sitting there soaking in the streetlight. New music from Redfish is just like these modest colors peeking through an otherwise monochrome landscape. Textured ambient backdrops deteriorate and warp, letting in beams of grainy percussion and washed out melodies on the band's newest self-titled release.
Redfish is made up Alexandre Navarro and Sasa Vojvodic (aka Letna), the two founders of the SEM record label based out of Paris. By combining their similar, yet unique flavors of electronic composition, they have created one of the richest, most intriguing minimal albums of the year, Redfish. Listen to the album stream below:
• Redfish: http://shop.semlabel.com/album/redfish
• SEM: http://semlabel.com
Death Grips
Government Plates
Next week, Death Grips are finally releasing physical versions of NO LOVE DEEP WEB on Harvest/Capitol, over a year after an epic fallout with Epic.
Today, the Sacramento trio of MC Ride, Zach Hill, and Andy Morin have released a brand new album called Government Plates for free on SoundCloud and YouTube. It's available to download here or here.
Now take a deep breath and press play:
• Death Grips: http://thirdworlds.net
Blood Orange
"You're Not Good Enough"
I don't want to be your friend. I hate you. You tried to talk to me in the cafeteria pizza line the other day when I was just trying to get my pizza and leave. You asked me how I'd been doing, complimented my new sneakers, and said, "We should hang out some time! Like old times."
"But I don't want to hang out with you, because you're stupid, because you… you…" wait, why am I reminding you? "Do you have amnesia, or did you forget that I scribble your name on my (OLD) sneakers in sharpie, that I took you to meet my parents, that I made you a cute little hat out of tinfoil and glued-on spaghetti (that you NEVER wore, by the way)? What about the time I told you I loved you? And the way you reacted? Didja forget? Guess ya did. Ok, spoiler - it involved a lack of pants and Susie from my pottery class. Really?
You know, some species of lizards can get their tail cut off and *FWIP* it grows back, easy as pie. Well, honey, sorry to be the one to tell you this, but I'm not a lizard. What's done is done. So when you try to kiss me in the elevator later, I hope you don't take it the wrong way when I laugh in your face. Because I have so much more self respect, y'know? "You're Not Good Enough."
Seriously, stop trying to talk to me in the pizza line, Matt, it's never going to happen. 'Cause, to reiterated, and in the words of Blood Orange's new single, off their new album Cupid Delux: "You're Not Good Enough" (streaming below):
• Blood Orange: https://soundcloud.com/bloodorange
• Domino Record Company: http://www.dominorecordco.us
"Cloudsculpting," the first video from Kid606's new album Happiness, makes an unusual yet appropriate connection, demonstrating the obvious but heretofore unconsidered similarities between the acts of identifying shapes in the sky and picking disembodied boobs out of the rainbow static scrambled Spice Channel programming. Therefore, after watching, the most pressing issue would have to be the question of whether the female figure that begins to appear at 2:31 is meant to be God, an adult film actress, or both. Regardless of what Kid606 and the video's director (gif artist Sikfish) had in mind, there can be no doubt that Beavis and Butthead would've had a great time with this one. Thus, so too must we.
Luckily, Happiness has never been this easy to obtain. It can be downloaded, bought in 2xLP and CD formats, and/or digitally streamed here and watch the "Cloudsculpting" video below:
• Kid606: http://soundcloud.com/kid606
• Tigerbeat6: http://www.tigerbeat6.com


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Partners & Supporters
Getting involved with The Bridge Project is a great way to make a difference in your community. You will come away with a profound sense of respect for the children with whom you work and a wonderful sense of knowing that you added to a child's life.
On-Site Tutors
This is a wonderfully fulfilling volunteer opportunity. Each volunteer is matched in a one-on-one relationship that lasts for an entire school year. Our youth can range from Pre-K through college. The Tutor and Tutee spend one hour a week together at one of four public housing neighborhoods.
Volunteers generally propose a day and time that works best for their schedule within the Monday through Thursday after-school through 800 p.m. time frame.
The Bridge Project provides training and ongoing tutor support. Tutoring sessions and staff communications with volunteers occur primarily in spoken English, therefore college-level English proficiency skills are required. Questions regarding language can be directed to Debbie Main at firstname.lastname@example.com.

subset: commoncrawl


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Kelley gives back to the community all that she receives from Saint Mary's
Many think that college is all about receiving—the best education, life experience, and career preparation. While that's certainly true, many students here at Saint Mary's feel that college is also about giving back. For Kelley Wright '15, an accounting major, "giving back is something that has been instilled in me my whole life, whether it be donations of any kind−food and clothes, monetary donations, and even blood donations−or community service, I've always tried to give what I can." Through the activities she's involved in, Kelley's time at Saint Mary's benefits many.
Giving back on a local level
A local resident for the past 12 years, Kelley likes how the Women's Entrepreneurship Initiative's SPARK program gives back to the local community. She tutors and mentors high-potential, low-income women from the community on how to start their own business, calculate revenue and expenses, and about cash flow. More than these concepts, the program is a chance to share the Saint Mary's philosophy, Kelley says. "Saint Mary's teaches students not just in the classroom but also what kind of woman they'll be. This program gives other women a chance to have that same opportunity," she says. This program benefits local women, who go on to start local businesses, which strengthens the local economy.
Another way Kelley gives back to the local community is through the tax assistance program in conjunction with the University of Notre Dame's Vivian Harrington Gray Tax Assistance Program, which provides free tax services to low-income and disabled residents. "My mom has always taught me to give back. Even if it's a couple of coins in your pocket, you should always have that feeling of wanting to give back. Give back what you can," Kelley says. This is Kelley's first year with the program, through which she was recently certified by the IRS.
Learn more, give back more
Kelley works at the Office of Treasury Services at the University of Notre Dame. She recently helped implement a bank scorecard that enables feedback about banks. The multi-step project gives her hands-on experience. "I worked on the bank scorecard project for approximately a year before it was implemented. I had to do the research and essentially teach myself how the products and tools work in order to put the process together. I know I would not have the independent and critical thinking skills required had it not been for my education at Saint Mary's." Kelley receives the benefits of practical experience and knowledge through her work project. "I think one of the greatest lessons I have learned now, and one that I'll carry with me for the rest of my life, is that I can use the knowledge I have gained in my time here at Saint Mary's and give that back to those who need it." New skills learned mean new ways to give back and benefit many.


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Latest News
Row@n eNewsletter - September 2013
September's eNewsletter features news of Jane Crowfoot's new Crochet Club set to begin in February and a beautiful free cabled shawl pattern from Marie Wallin, worked in our luxurious Cocoon yarn.
Row@n eNewsletter - August 2013
August's Row@n eNewsletter features information from stockist loveknitting about their wonderful Knitting in Public event, and includes Rowan designer Lisa Richardson's take on the exciting Rowan Design Competition 2013 in the form of an elegant free tunic pattern.
Row@n eNewsletter - July 2013
July's Row@n eNewsletter is here, bringing you exclusive advanced information on all our brand new yarns and design collections, launching 15th July. We also have exciting news of a new Rowan Design Competition, and hear from stockist McAree Brothers about their fabulous Rowan range.
Row@n eNewsletter - June 2013
June's issue of the Row@n eNewsletter has arrived, and this month we catch up with Head Rowan Designer Marie Wallin, hear from Rowan stockist Knit and Stitch, and bring you a beautiful new free pattern from the design team.
Lisa Richardson
Designer profile of Lisa Richardson
Row@n eNewsletter - May 2013
The May eNewsletter is now available, and features news from Sarah Hatton, a new book from Jane Crowfoot and two free patterns.
Row@n eNewsletter - April 2013
April's issue of the Row@n eNewsletter brings you details of our exciting new sock yarn Fine Art, our best Father's Day knits, and news of a fabulous Kaffe Fassett exhibition at the Fashion and Textile Museum, London. We also catch up on progress from the delightful Woollen Woods project in Cumbria, we hope you like the adorable knitted birds as much as we do!
Row@n eNewsletter - March 2013
The March Row@n eNewsletter is now available for you to view, and this issue doesn't disappoint with yet another free exclusive design for you! We also hear about the fabulous Jubilee Throw by Kaffe Fassett, on display at Rowan stockist The Sewing Box, and talk about the new book from Sarah Hatton.
Row@n eNewsletter - February 2013
Catch up with Rowan Designer Lisa Richardson in February's edition of the Row@n eNewsletter, as she shares some of her style tips for the new spring season. Also hear about Rowan's involvement in a special Wool House exhibition at Somerset House later this year, and see the pick of the new shades added to the Rowan yarn range this month.
Row@n eNewsletter - January 2013
January's edition of the Row@n eNewsletter is here, and this month we are celebrating it's first birthday! This issue, take a sneak preview of the new Rowan Spring Summer 2013 brochure collection launching in February.


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You've probably heard the phrase "too smart for the room." Penn State professor Sophia McClennen thinks that Stephen Colbert is too smart for America, or at least a huge chunk of it, and that consequently he's fallen to third place in late-night television's ratings race. In a Monday Salon piece, McClennen argued that even though Colbert has "moved his satire into a more centrist mode" since joining CBS, that hasn't increased his appeal to conservatives, since their dislike for his comedy has as much to do with form as content.
"Satire," wrote McClennen, "uses irony, sarcasm, and parody to encourage critical thinking…[I]t is the sort of humor that is much less likely to appeal to Republican viewers because it depends on questioning beliefs and criticizing the status quo…[I]t is not just a question of who Colbert targets in his joke; it is also a question of how he makes the joke itself. Nuance, irony, and layered thinking may be…the problem."


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I have being lossing 30lbs using WII Fit plus
It is important to stick with a productive exercise plan. It is imperative to increase that plan. As your body changes it is going to plateau, which means you are going to have to work harder. Burn more calories by increasing the time you spend exercising and by adding weights. Increase a little at a time. You did not gain this weight over night, you won't lose it overnight either. 252
When I first starting to loss weight I bought my self new underwear that were 2 sizes smaller, this was an encouragement to me, because i could tell i was lossing inches even when the scale did not change at first, just by the fit.
I make sure to rid myself of "all" fluids before weighing myself


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Entries in energy (91)
Shale gas revolution triggers FDI boom for US
FT front-page story on shale gas boom in US already identifiably responsible for additional $90b foreign direct investment flow into US.
Subtitles are telling:
- Investments drive US industrial renaissance
- European companies fear growing divide
Industries that benefit from cheap feedstocks are being targeted, and European counterparts fear they will be at systematic disadvantage in any industry that is fuel-intensive.
Yes, some of these same industries in US argue now for no LNG exports, lest the advantage slip away. But most energy experts say we can export at will and probably raise the MMBTU price by maybe only one dollar. We are now about 8-10$ cheaper than LNG prices in Europe and about $15 less than what Asians (mostly the Japanese) are paying.
So yeah, we can have our cake and eat it too.
No, but arguably for a solid generation's time.
So much for "peak oil" determining all.
WSJ front-pager on "global gas push" mirrors Wikistrat sim scenario
Per the recent Wikistrat simulation, "North America's Energy Export Boom," we had a scenario called "Fit of Peaks" in which the US "got it right" (fracking revolution) but much of the rest of the world had a hard time cashing in similarly.
The WSJ front-pager, entitled "Global Gas Push Stalls: Firms Hit Hurdles Trying to Replicate U.S. Success Abroad" fits that model nicely.
Key finding:
Among the reasons for the glacial pace are government ownership of mineral rights, environmental concerns and a lack of infrastructure to drill and transport gas and oil. In addition, much less is known about the geology in most foreign countries than in the U.S., where drilling activity has been going on for more than a century.
The upshot: the U.S. and Canada could remain the main countries to reap the economic advantages of shale development for some time.
The serious advantage: the gas and ethane glut lures petrochem and fertilizer companies to NorthAm to take advantage of the cost differential - "a huge change after years of shifting production abroad."
Bottom line: about a decade head-start for NorthAm.
I speak this morning in Houston at a board meeting of a national offshore industries association member company. This emerging strategic reality is coming to dominate my career right now.
Getting Arctic hydrocarbons will be a lot harder than anticipated
FT special report on Canadian energy that highlights the difficulties of accessing Arctic oil and gas and bringing it economically to market.
First is the sheer remoteness. Then there's the extremely hostile environment. Even with the ice-clearing in the summer, the genuine window for exploitation is still measured in weeks. Everything you use must be special built, platforms with extreme reliability.
And the fields in question need to be big - really big - to cover the high costs.
In short, only the majors and supermajors should apply, because only they will have the "financial firepower."
This is all before governments issue ever stringent safety requirements to protect the environment, a bar that rises with each Deepwater Horizon.
Finally, there's how you get it to market, with the big choice being between fixed pipelines and ice-class shuttle tankers. Neither is cheap.
Just a bit of cold water thrown on the anticipated "bonanza."
I note it with interest as I write the final report (while traveling most of the week) for Wikistrat's recent "How the Arctic Was Won" simulation.
Fracking confronts the reality of limited water resources
WSJ piece noting that all this hydralic fracturing (fracking) is coming up against local water limits. Already, US fracking uses water on par with the city of Chicago or Houston.
So the industry jumps into figuring out how to reuse the water multiple times by cleaning it up (not enough for drinking but enough to reuse). Already in PA the percentage use of recycled water is up to 17% this year, jumping from 13% last year.
This is a huge issue, because we're looking at 1 million more fracking wells globally by 2035, according to Schlumberger (oilfield services co.). The issue is expressed both in unwanted externalities (enviro risks/damage) and cost within the industry (acquiring and disposing).
Something to keep an eye on, as the industry competes with Mother Nature (climate change), agriculture and urbanization globally.
Saudi America
Title of the WSJ's lead editorial on Tuesday.
Two charts displaying the tectonic shift afforded by fracking technology.
This, plus fiscal constraints, makes for a new definition of US superpower-dom.
Let the debate begin ...
Charts of the day: Saudi Arabia's options
Nice full-page analysis at FT on how the Saudis have worked hard to give themselves a response option if Iran attempts to close Hormuz (far harder than imagined).
The relevant bit:
Earlier this year, Riyadh and Abu Dhabi opened new pipelines that will increase the ability of countries to bypass the strait. Fully operational, 6.5m barrels per day, or about 40 per cent of total flows, will now be able to take alternative routes. "The Middle East is much better prepared now than a year ago to cushion the impact of a disruption in the Strait of Hormuz," says Edward Morse, head of commodities research at Citigroup and former US deputy assistant secretary of state for international energy policy.
The key number is the Saudi one. The kingdom has managed to siphon off half their exports to other vectors.
Then look at who's at risk. US imports only 42% of its oil, and only 16% of that comes through straits, so only about 7% of US imported oil comes through straits, or roughly 3% of total US oil usage comes through straits. Of total US energy usage, that's just under 1.5%.
So no, the US won't be crippled when Hormuz gets shut down - as unlikely as that feat would be for Iran.
Culprit #2 for U.S. coal industry: China's economic slowdown
From a WSJ front-page story.
The U.S. coal industry wants you to believe its slowdown is caused by Washington's "meddlesome regulations," but as I noted earlier, the big killer is the cheap price of U.S. natural gas, which is displacing domestic use of coal for electricity generation big-time (25% down in a recent quarter).
Culprit #2 is the Chinese economic slowdown, which is really the culprit, along with Europe's problems, for the slowdown in general global economic activity.
Pretty amazing times, when you think about it. Remember when the U.S. economy was all you needed for a global expansion?
Charts of the day: the US "oil recovery"
Alas, our inevitable "Mad Max" future a bit . . . modified.
From a WSJ interview with Daniel Yergin.
Production up (25% since 2008), drilling way up (didn't Obama and the Dems sabotage all that?), and imports falling. US demand relatively flat - like Europe's, so the rising production means a substantial drop in import share. Was 60% in 2005, now 42%, and expected to be roughly a third by 2035 (though I think it happens MUCH earlier).
Of course, now we'll never have to fight a war overseas . . .
Where is the world is Wikistrat?
A graphic listing most - but not all - of the sims conducted by Wikistrat this year. The point is to display the breadth and the volume. Be impressed, because you should be.
Wikistrat's sims aren't a year in the planning. Client names the subject and we're off and running in days. Why? All Wikistrat needs is a framework and then we turn the analysts loose on the scenarios. The company don't spend countless man-hours narrowing down the range of possibilities so that 95% of the uncertainty and surprise is drained from the exercise by the time we actually start it. Wikistrat can customize the structure to your concerns and then it brings the masses in to run with that structure and take it places you - the client - hadn't considered.
That approach allows for a huge mapping of possibilities. You want to find the needle in the haystack? Well, Wikistrat can run through that hay awfully damn quick.
Spend a minute and see if you can guess the four sims that were my ideas . . .
First one was China as Africa's de facto World Bank. I'm pretty sure that was based on a WSJ headline noting that tipping point. It ended up positing a lot of interesting intersection points between the US and China on the continent. Sim ended up generating both a report and a briefing by me.
Second one was the North American Energy Export Boom. There was a time when Wikistrat asked me what I'd most like to explore in terms of near-term uncertainty in the system, and the whole fracking thing just jumped out at me: Which way does it go? Does it work out big-time for the US and - ultimately - the world? Or does it get aborted like nuclear power for enviro reasons? That was a very strong sim in terms of output, and all that material (final report and my brief) still tracks incredibly well with headlines. All we did is simply systematize all those possibilities, organizing them into four major trajectories (usual X-Y approach). But the upshot was, anybody who goes through that stuff now has the capacity to process all the headlines to come.
Third one was the China slowdown sim. That one's been in my mind since I wrote the piece for Esquire back in the fall of 2010 (it came out in the Jan '11 issue). The idea came to me in the summer of 2010 and it took a while to sell it to the magazine, but it looks fairly prescient today, doesn't it? Anyway, a very solid sim that ran down all manner of possibilities, and I really loved the quartet of scenarios we came up with (which drew comparisons to historical risers). Great report and probably the strongest brief I've yet done for WS.
Fourth one was "when China's carrier entered the Gulf." Wikistrat asked me to generate a host of possible sims way back when, and that was one of them. Just a simple logical progression argument, with the trick being imagining all the possibilities when that inevitability unfolds. Hence the sim, which turned out great, along with a solid report. And this one was only a "mini-sim" by WS standards: just a brainstorming drill on scenarios with a quick follow-up on policy options. Mostly junior analysts, but the output was as good as anything I've seen from the National Intelligence Council - seriously.
Two on the list I didn't really have anything to do with: NATO and Pakistan. First one was driven by a client's curiousity. Second one is just a natural "what if?" Both turned out quite nicely.
The Democratic Peace Theory Challenged sim is another one I did not design, and I will admit that, at first blush, I didn't much care for the subject. I was brought in to work the design and shaped it somewhat, but I truly had low expectations. In truth, those were exceeded by a long shot. The material needed more shaping than usual, because the sim had a theoretical bent, but what I ended up with at the end in the final report was . . . to my surprise . . . quite strong - I mean, present at a poli sci/IR conference strong (or walk into any command and brief strong). It easily could have veered into all sorts of panic mongering, but instead it organized a universe of possibilities very neatly. I was really proud of the overall effort, and it reminded me not to get too judgmental going into sims.
The Syria sim I didn't design, nor did I oversee its operation. That Wikistrat left to junior versions of myself. I was brought in at the end to shape the first draft of the report, and, while I moved things around plenty, the material held up very nicely to my critical eye, which is encouraging. If Wikistrat is going to handle all the volume coming down the pike (contractual relationships are piling up at a daunting rate), then the Chief Analyst position needs to be like that of any traditional RAND-like player: that person needs to be able to shape things a bit at the start and then at the end, but mid-range staff need to be able to herd all those cats and the resulting material. So that one felt like a nice maturation of the process, because, like with any successful start-up, the real challenge isn't marketing but execution.
This graphic, for some sad reason, skips the headlining sim of the year to date: When Israel Strikes Iran. That one I had a lot of fun with, giving it my years-in-the-testing phased approach (initial conditions, trigger, unfolding, peak, glide path, exit, new normal). That approach goes back to my Y2K work and later after-action on the Station Nightclub fire disaster in Rhode Island (done for the local United Way to provide lessons learned on how well the organization responded). That was the most structurally ambitious Wikistrat sim to date and it - unsurprisingly - produced the best material by far. I'd put that final report and brief up against anything the best elements of the US national security establishment could produce . . . naturally at about 20 times the cost and five times the duration of effort.
The graphic also doesn't include the most recent sims. I just finished a final report on The Globally Crystalizing Climate Change Event (one of mine), and, despite the great time projection, I was pleasantly surprised at how well the material holds up in the report. I thought the analysts did a great job there.
Based on that fine crowd performance, Wikistrat pushes the community even harder in the just-wrapping-up sim entitled When World Population Peaks. This one was truly challenging, but my point in designing the sim was almost to purposefully "test out" analysts in the manner of a language-skills oral exam, meaning I wanted something almost too hard for most analysts so as to press both them and the supervising analysts on how they handled it. Think of it like a NASA sim where Control is trying to crash the lunar module. That was a bit stressful, I think, for a lot of the community who participated, but - to me - it was like a nasty cross-country workout (I am assistant coaching my kid's team again for the 8th year in a row and I'm on my third kid) early in the season: bit of a bitch mentally and physically, but it'll pay off down the road.
Yes, Wikistrat does take all its sims - even the training ones - very seriously. If you're not growing then you're dying - simple as that. Start-ups have to have that survival-of-the-fittest mentality and we're talking about a small firm that's come out of nowhere (okay, Israel) in just three years.
So, a nice overview of the year, and it's an impressive body of work. Would you believe me if I told you that all of it was accomplished within a timeframe and with a far smaller budget that one of those bloated wargames that Booz Allen runs for the Pentagon?
Well, if you did, then you'd know why Wikistrat is going to succeed in this cutthroat business.
Yeah, right. It's Washington regulations that are screwing "clean coal."
We all see the commercials: Washington is killing clean coal with its regulations!
Complete and utter bullshit.
The gas glut is killing coal, displacing it for up to a quarter of US electrical production across the latest full quarter.
So now you see power companies even going to the point of idling coal-fired stations (from the WSJ story):
Sammis is one of a growing number of coal-fired plants that were built to run 24 hours a day, seven days a week, but now may run only occassionally because of soft demand for electricity and competition from gas-fired plants that are cheaper to run and cleaner to operate.
Coal, says the piece, has been progressively losing out to shale gas for four years now. It's just gone super-critical over the last year. Cheap gas now is half the cost of coal when it comes to generating electricity.
This is why America is going to be exporting our superior coal to Asia in coming years.
And that will be a good thing.
Chart of the day: Economist's listing of top 15 natural gas resources
On the unconvential (shale): the usual list that I work with, with the addition of Russia as #3 in world. Most experts don't talk all that much about Russia because, with all their conventional gas, there's not a great need to exploit.
But the real kicker for me in the charts is the bottom right one, which is a stunner: by 2030 the projection that gas, coal and oil all converge in the high 20s as basically equal shares in world primary energy usage. Several stories here:
- Gas displacing coal (not surprising)
- Long slow increase in nat gas production/use
- And then the true stunner of such a huge drop in oil (about 45% in 1970 to high 20s in 2030).
Fascinating stuff.
Chart of the Day: the oil sanctions are working on Iran
Arguably the primary reason why Israel holds off attacking - that and its modest satisfaction with the success of the combination strategy of cyber warfare attacks and assassinations of technical personnel.
You can see that the sanctions have taken about a million barrels a day - or about 40% of daily production denied in terms of sales.
That is significant - and a genuine success for Obama.
The hottest subject in oil deals today involves anybody who has been a regular buyer of Iran. All of these states are looking to replace - now.
And no, they don't all go running to the Saudis.
This chart is a month old. More recent news says roughly 50% drop in May-June alone. Not sure I buy that. Lots of desperate deals happening out there involving Iran. But clearly, the trend is downward and steep.
I honestly do believe that the Arab Spring is helping plenty. With Syria on the ropes, the anti-Iran long knives are out.
India's exploding energy requirements
Good article start, which, in true inverted pyramid fashion, gets all the work done right up front.
India is facing an energy crisis that is slowing economic growth in the world's largest democracy.
At stake is India's ability to bring electricity to 400 million rural residents—a third of the population—as well as keep the lights on at corporate office towers and provide enough fuel for 1.5 million new vehicles added to the roads each month.
Shortages of coal, oil and natural gas will require India to import increasing amounts of high-cost fossil fuels, say energy experts, risking inflation and putting the country in stepped-up competition with China, Japan and South Korea. Buying oil from Iran, one of India's biggest suppliers, is tougher because of U.S. and European sanctions aimed at curbing Tehran's nuclear ambitions.
With annual demand expected to more than double in the next two decades to the equivalent of six billion barrels of oil, the energy crunch threatens to knock India off its growth path. The national economy has already slowed amid paltry business investment and stalled reforms. It tallied just 5.3% growth in the quarter that ended March 31, the lowest level in almost a decade and well shy of the country's 9% goal.
With annual demand expected to more than double in the next two decades to the equivalent of six billion barrels of oil, the energy crunch threatens to knock India off its growth path. The national economy has already slowed amid paltry business investment and stalled reforms. It tallied just 5.3% growth in the quarter that ended March 31, the lowest level in almost a decade and well shy of the country's 9% goal.
The charts above lay out the problem: Electricity growth is pretty much a proxy for GDP growth. If you want to grow your economy fast, you have to grow your grid capacity similarly. China is getting it done. India is not.
The oil imports stuff is pretty classic for the trajectory: roughly a 5-fold increase since just 2004. I see this growing demand expressed in deals I'm structuring.
But the one that jumped out at me, per the recent Wikistrat sim on "North America's Energy Export Boom," was the coal shortfall now covered by imports. Our sim was mostly about natural gas, of course, but the displacement effect in electricity generation means we have a lot of stranded coal capacity emerging here in the US - coal that could go abroad effectively because it's energy quotient is world class. The story describes recently constructed coal-burning electricity-generation plants that are operating below capacity - or worse, are idled - for lack of coal.
I've seen industry estimates by US coal experts that say India will be a prime source of export growth over the next couple of decades. This article makes clear the "why."
Chart of the day: US natural gas price versus Europe's versus Asia's
Found here.
Pretty compelling case for export, ja?
Time's Battleland: NATIONAL SECURITY Death to "Resource Wars"!
Nice Washington Post piece on Saturday about how the "center of gravity" in global oil exploration and production is shifting to the Western hemisphere. No, the bulk of global conventional oil reserves still sits in the Persian Gulf, but the larger point is worth exploring: we no longer project global futures where East and West logically fight over Middle East energy reserves. Those expected long-term dynamics are collapsing right now before our eyes.
Read the entire post at Time's Battleland blog.
The LNG export play
Nice FT story on what Shell is saying about natural gas in the US. Current Henry Hub price has been hanging around $2.25-2.55, which is about 3-4 times cheaper than Europe MMBTU (millions British thermal units) and bizarrely cheaper than most Asian countries are being quoted right now (more like $14-15 and moving north for the summer to almost $20 - by some predictions).
Think about that for just a second. Natural gas in the US at something like 1/8 the price in Asia. How long do you think that lasts? Why should it?
To me, that's a huge LNG (liquid natural gas) market waiting to be captured by US producers. Selling LNG ain't like moving 100,000 metric tons of diesel or jet fuel or 2 million barrels of crude in one large tanker. Those transactions are the equivalent of one-night stands and leave your money on the dresser. Selling LNG is more like getting married: the buyer has to have a relationship with a regasification terminal nearby. There must be pipes that connect the end-user to that LNG terminal (only so many in the world, but plenty being built). If no regasification terminal, then buyer needs to rent himself a regas ship ($50m a year), park it somewhere, and then connect that by pipes to the end-user. All very complex.
Of course, the seller must have liquefaction facilities at ports, with pipelines connecting fields.
America is piped up like crazy and adding more pipe all the time. We're just getting our first for-export liquefaction facility set up in Louisiana by Cheniere, which is leading the effort here to gear up for export.
All very exciting stuff, as we could be exporting - within a few years - upwards of 1/4 of our production. Then you factor in all the coal displaced in electricity generation, and we can be exporting that high-quality stuff to Asia along with the LNG - a win-win on trade balance and energy security.
Back to the FT piece: the currently depressed US prices are just too low, reflecting that we're running out of storage after a mild winter and a continued production boom. Shell's prediction? US NG prices will double by 2015. Expect the petrochem industries to hawk that fear like crazy, but in truth, it's a reasonable rise to just $4-6 MMBTU.
[Shell, BTW, has done a lot of exploratory drilling on NG in China and says it thinks the reserves can be developed economically.]
Shell is also "examining plans to liquefy US gas for export - which would allow it to attract higher prices, particularly in Asia - transform it into clean-burning transport fuel through gas-to-liquids technology, and use it as a feedstock for petrochemicals." That's a quick rundown of the range of economic opportunities - in addition to displacing coal in electricity.
All good stuff and an integral part of America's coming industrial renaissance.
To what extent China can copycat the fracking revolution in US
Big FT piece.
China, we are told, has enough shale gas to cover its needs for 200 years. It currently has no commercial production but wants to reach 60B cubic meters by 2020. A number of big Chinese and foreign energy firms are currently exploring China, with Sinopec running the big Tarim basin that is routinely described as the biggest in the world.
Dozens of exploratory wells have, so far, yielded mixed results. The geology is just not the same as the US - more complex, so serious additional innovation will be required. China's reserves are deeply buried and feature more clay, which is far harder to break up to release the gas.
China also lacks the US's existing pipeline network and trained personnel.
To overcome the stiffness of its three primary national energy companies, China has allowed foreign companies in and plans to liberalize prices on oil so its own companies will invest more.
Then there's the Chinese investment in US firms over here, a development that's been met with far less resistance than when CNOOC tried to buy Unocal seven years ago. CNOOC plopped a solid $2b into Chesapeake Energy to access some of this technology.
This will be one follow-on to the US fracking revolution worth watching closely.
How fast King Coal gets fracked
Fascinating to watch all the "they're trying to kill clean coal" commercials on TV that target some politician, the Obama administration or so on (evil regulators). In truth, what's killing King Coal right now is the uber-cheap price of gas in the US.
Citing a WSJ story, the millions BTU price of natural gas in the US is about half of what it was just a year ago, and that previous price was at least half of the average global price - which is rising in most places given the lack of LNG and the difficulty in buying it for most emerging market players.
So, amidst that crazy glut in the US, made all the more worse by the mild winter that did not much draw down US natural gas stocks, and we're seeing stunning drops in the US use of coal to generate electricity. It fell by almost one-fifth (!) in the fourth quarter of last year, and we're expecting first quarter news any day now.
But as I've noted before, the answer for coal is exports. The energy value of our coal is significantly higher than that found just about anywhere else, so if new market export relationships can be built, we can displace a lot of less-valuable coal from other sources.
My prediction is that America becomes a huge and important coal source for both India and China. Just give it enough market change.
What got me tuned in on all this? Wikistrat's recent simulation on the "North American Energy Export Boom."
Chart of the Day: Different listing of shale gas reserves globally
Previous one I had found (and used in brief) said:
- China 36.1 trillion cubic meters
- Argentina 21.9
- Mexico 19.3
- South Africa (didn't write down because not in Pac)
- Australia 11.2
- Canada 11.0
Here's an old post that has similar 1-5 ranking expressed in tcf (like below), and the weird thing is, it agrees exactly with the FT numbers for China, Argentina, Mexico and South Africa but puts the US at 862.
This one, in bit FT full-pager says:
- China 1,275 tcf
- Argentina 774
- Mexico 681
- South Africa 485
- Australia 396
- Canada 388
Big difference is US ranking/estimate.
Second one says EIA, as in U.S. Energy Information Agency, so I guess you gotta go with that one.
Or is this just weird mistake by FT?
No mistake. After some quick Googling it turns out the EIA said 862tcf a year ago and says 482tcf now, reducing its estimate of recoverable shale gas by 42%!
Betcha some industry experts refute that!
Will have to see where that number goes over time.


text: !!Jigsaw is descended from Ladd RussoJigsaw's real name is Billy RUSSO, is a member of the mafia, and was very handsome before Frank got his hands on him. Ladd from ''LightNovel/{{Baccano}}'' is also a handsome mafioso. Obviously, Jigsaw is Ladd's son or grandson.!!The Punisher doesn't kill Kingpin, because of lingering mental controls.When the Kingpin had third rate psychic The Persuader brainwash Frank Castle, he had the guy place into Frank's mind subtle commands to avoid going after the Kingpin. While Frank broke with the overt control, he never did overcome the subtle commands. And so, he justifies reasons not to go after Kingpin.!!The Russian ([[Film/ThePunisher2004 movie version]]) was the result of a Soviet effort to duplicate the Super Soldier SerumFor which he was a partial success: it gave him extraordinary strength, reflexes, and durability... but also gave him significant psychological problems.


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We are delighted to have been recognized as a leader in Enterprise Service Management in Research In Action Selection Matrix.
Of particular note, the report emphasizes how Serena differentiates in realizing the importance of integrating Application Lifecycle Management and ITSM processes for the future of IT Service Management. For many years, we have seen
Today Serena Software launched our new community portal Serena Central which provides an enhanced user experience for customers and prospects looking to get the most out of their tools. The new site expands on our previous user communities focused around Build, Learn, and Connect.
System's programmers on the mainframe have a pretty difficult time these days. More and more complexity, rampant growth of z/Linux, Websphere and RD&T boxes. Draconian constraints, compliance and governance mandates to be applied. All with fewer and fewer resources. It is a common problem.
Serena is here to help. Our ChangeMan SSM technology is designed to be the SysProg's best friend and unswerving ally.
Sitting quietly in the background monitoring system datasets and members like the APF authorized libraries, the LINKLIST datasets, console commands and any
Well it's here! The registration for xChange15 in Washington DC opened today. Visit www.serena.com/xchange for details.
If you are a xChange alumnus, you will have been sent a discount code giving a very special price as a thank you for being a returning attendee.
If you are new to xChange, we have a special promotional code for you that will save you $300 off the full price and this is good
We are excited to announce that Serena's xChange15 will be from Sunday March 22nd until Wednesday March 25th 2015. We are bringing xChange back to the east coast and will be in the wonderful Washington D.C. area in time for the First Day of Spring and the world-famous Cherry Blossom Festival. So mark your calendars today! We've selected the prestigious Ritz-Carlton at Tyson's Corner for the event and
I've just spent an amazing week in London. I already had high hopes for this trip having been to DevOpsDays London earlier this year but I didn't expect to be blown away by the events.
Attendees at both events were from all over Europe. I'm used to meeting people from different cultures and backgrounds at events in the USA but this was on a totally different scale.
As to be expected, culture and process were
We at Serena Software love PlusIs statements. Our latest Twitter contest idea was spawned by our own mantra of "People + Process = Business In Sync," the PlusIs that describes how the innovative new Serena Service Manager orchestrates IT Service Management.
Now it's your turn. The two-month-long PlusIs contest is a chance to use Twitter + your imagination to get creative, have fun and win great prizes, such as an iPad 2 and a $250 donation to the charity of your choice. Three category winners will receive $50 gift cards and $250 charitable donations to the charities of their choice. With three categories to submit for—technology, general and holiday—there is
Most organizations figured out a long time ago that instilling some level of governance and control over application source code (your business applications running on the mainframe) was a very good idea. This governance:
Yet as sound as this is, I'm amazed at how the other half of the mainframe is open and unprotected. By and large, most firms don't have any change governance in place against the system software (the software that's running your


text: Everytime i come to Toulouse i try to stay in Villa Leopoldine. Very nice and confortable hotel, I'm not sure but I think there're few rooms, so after all day working it's good to have calm in your hotel. Breakfast is quite good to start a new day. Very good price for a high quality hotel. The rooms are fanstastic... More


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2 posts tagged with slowcooker by vorfeed.
Displaying 1 through 2 of 2.
Will carbonnade a la flamande be good in the crockpot?
Can I adapt this recipe for Carbonnade a la Flamande for the crockpot / slow cooker? [more inside]
Low-carb recipes for the crockpot?
What are your favorite low-carb recipes for the crock pot / slow cooker? [more inside]
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the representation as a prop in their discussions in which they articulated and refined their intuitions.
This research is funded in part by grants from the U.C. Urban Community-School Collaborative and from and the Berkeley chapter of Sigma Xi. We would like to thank the members of the InterActiveMedia Study group, and Rogers Hall for their comments. We would also like to thank Jesse Ragent for his help in the design and implementation of PIE in his classroom.
Brown, A. and Palincsar, A. ( 1989). "Guided, Cooperative Learning, and Individual Knowledge Acquisition". In Knowing, Learning, and Instruction, Resnick (Ed.) Hillsdale, NJ.
Chi, M., Bassock, M., Lewis, M. Reimann, P. and Glaser, R. ( 1989). "Self-explanations: How students study and use examples in learning to solve problems". Cognitive Science, 13, 145- 182.
Davis, E. A. and Linn, M. C. (in preparation). Scaffolding Students' Knowledge Integration through Prompts for Reflection.
diSessa, A. ( 1997). Personal Communication.
Enyedy, N., Vahey, P., and Gifford, B. ( 1997). "Designing Interactions for Guided Inquiry Learning Environments". In "Design of Computing Systems", (pp. 157-160). Sith, Salvensy, Koubek (Eds). Amsterdam, The Netherlands: Elsevier.
Fischbein, E., Nello, M., and Marino, M. ( 1991). "Factors affecting probabilistic judgements in children and adolescents". Educational Studies in Mathematics 22: 523-549.
Geertz, C. ( 1973). The Interpretation of Culture. New York, NY: Basic Books.
Gifford, B. R. ( 1997). Toward a New Instructional Architecture for Distributed Learning Environments. Paper presented to the 1997 Annual Meeting of the American Educational Research Association, Chicago, April 1997.
Hutchins, E. ( 1995). Cognition in the Wild., (pp. 49- 116). Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
Kahneman, D., and Tversky, A. ( 1996). "On the Reality of Cognitive Illusions". Psychological Review, v. 103, n. 3, 582-591.
Konold, C., Pollatsek, A., Well, A., Lohmeier, J., and Lipson, D. ( 1993). "Inconsistencies in students reasoning about probability". Journal for Research in Mathematics Education. 1993, v 24, pp. 392-414.
Koschmann, T. D., Myers, A. C., Feltovich, P. J., Barrows, H. S. ( 1994). "Using Technology to Assist in Realizing Effective Learning and Instruction: A principled approach to the use of computers in collaborative learning". The Journal of the Learning Sciences, 3( 3), 227-264.
Larkin, J. and Simon, H. ( 1987). Why a diagram is (sometimes) worth ten thousand words. Cognitive Science, 11 (1), (pp. 65-100).


text: GreenEnvy 22 March 18, 2010 4:53 PM Mikel,I'd love to see a race in Canada, but we have no suitable track.Mosport is a great track, but needs a lot of money to do safety upgrades, facility upgrades, and the like.Mont Tremblant I don't think would quite cut it, it's a bit small. Other then that, I don't think we have any road courses anywhere near good enough for WSBK. There are a couple projects in the works, but I believe they are all a couple years away. Reply Report abuse 0 agree 0 disagree


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September, 2011
Back To School: Tattoos in the ClassroomSeptember 12 2011
Classroom etiquette hasn't changed much in the past years, the all-to-familiar restrictions on students still exist; no talking, no hats, no short skirts, no chewing gum, and – the one most insulting to our nation's facebook crazed, tweet happy youths… [ read more ]
Keith Urban's Eagle Tattoo RevealedSeptember 9 2011
When Keith Urban was 24 and had just moved state-side, he got a tattoo for himself as a present. The cool gift of the eagle tattoo on his should blade seemed "perfect" for the singer, since the bird is iconic… [ read more ]
Inked Launches E-CommerceSeptember 8 2011
Now your favorite magazine has your one stop shop for all of your favorite clothing and accessory needs. The Inked Store is now open, and we have your favorite brands all in one place. Black Market Art Company, Lowbrow Art… [ read more ]
Grandmother of Six Gets 'Do Not Resuscitate' TattooSeptember 7 2011
A mother of two, and grandmother, Joy Tomkins decided that she did not want to be brought back to life in a medical emergency following the slow death of her husband Malcom. She had 'Do Not Resuscitate' tattooes across her… [ read more ]
Kevin Durant's Maryland Tattoo TributeSeptember 6 2011
NBA players have always had some of the most inked-up sports figures around. Kevin Durant, of the Oklahoma Thunder, has recently gotten more impressive work done, thanks to Tattoos by Randy. This large back piece highlights Durant's loyalty and respect… [ read more ]
Lindsay Lohan Gets Billy Joel's Words TattooedSeptember 2 2011
Earlier this week, Lindsay Lohan visited Mark Mahoney's famed Shamrock Social Club in LA to add to her growing collection of tattoos. She got these lyrics from Billy Joel's song "I Go To Extremes" tattooed on her ribcage: "Clear as… [ read more ]
Jager Gets Some InkSeptember 1 2011
For our latest issue release, we teamed up with one of our favorite liquor brands. Jägermeister is known for inspiring crazy nights out, and last night at GunBar was no different. To fit the bill for the Inked party, Jägermeister… [ read more ]


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Take a look at the entire new and used automobile stock of Fort Smith Dodge dealers at Autobytel.com Browse current and past-production vehicles for sale by manufacturer date, cost, gas mileage, or distance from your home. It is simple to locate Dodge dealers in Fort Smith. Purchasing a vehicle is quite a large investment. Do some legwork by studying all the various options to get the most out of your investment. Discover which Fort Smith Dodge dealers have the car you are interested in
With the resources available on the web; the majority of consumers begin their search online. To go out and visit a Dodge dealer Fort Smith represents quite an investment in time. A better way to browse automobile listings from Dodge dealers in Fort Smith is to visit Autobytel; which has hundreds of autos listed in your area. Plus you can find so much information in one easy to reference location. Study multiple automobiles in order to see how they stack up against each other. Also find the starting cost of almost any recently produced automobile. The huge online database at Autobytel.com offers so much more. Find the technical specs of a car, crash test results, entertainment options, and engine details just to name a few. Pinpoint Fort Smith Dodge dealers that are near to your location in no time.
A Dodge dealer Fort Smith can do more than just sell you a car. Most reputable Fort Smith Dodge dealerships have a complete financing department that offers leases. There will be a massive amount of factory car parts on-hand at a Fort Smith Dodge dealer. Free maintenance is offered on some new car purchases. And most Dodge dealers in Fort Smith will service your automobile for free if covered. In the event that your vehicle breaks down and the warranty has already expired; you can get repairs done at various Fort Smith Dodge dealers. There are other assets offered by a Dodge dealer Fort Smith including a body shop and a certified pre-owned sales department.
Its easy to leave your comments about Fort Smith Dodge dealerships at the Autobytel website. Is the dealership reliable and trustworthy or do people have a bad experience there? You can find this information by reading consumer reviews. After all would you really buy a car from a Fort Smith Dodge dealer if they had nothing but negative reviews. Exploring all that Dodge dealers in Fort Smith have to offer is a solid game plan. Use the online resources at Autobytel.com to locate the perfect vehicle. You may even save hundreds if not thousands by looking at incentives and rebates before going out to buy a vehicle.


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text:
Reality TV shows give birth to some popular monikers
WASHINGTON Reality TV is giving birth to some of the most popular baby names. No, not Snooki. But Mason, as in Kourtney Kardashian's son, jumped 10 spots to become the second most popular name for newborn boys in 2011.
The more traditional Sophia is the new top name for girls, while Jacob is No. 1 for boys for the 13th straight year, according to the list released Monday by the Social Security Administration.
Rounding out the top five for boys: William, Jayden and Noah. Michael came in sixth, the lowest ranking since 1948.
Isabella, which had been the top girl's name for two years, dropped to second place in 2011. Emma, Olivia and Ava rounded out the top five.
The Social Security Administration provides lists of baby names dating to 1880 on its website. The top two names that year were John and Mary. John is now No. 27 and Mary has fallen to No. 112 — the lowest for both names.
The list, which also includes top baby names by state, draws millions of viewers.
Top girl names tend to be more volatile — changing from year to year — while the top boy names are more stable. William, for example, has been a popular boy's name for more than 100 years, never falling out of the top 20. Mason is the exception, entering the top 100 for the first time in 1997.
On the girls' side, Sophia first cracked the top 100 in 1997. Isabella dropped off the list altogether from 1949 to 1990.
Social Security also tracks which names increase in popularity and which ones drop.
Religion continues to have a big influence on baby names, but with a twist.
"The traditional biblical names were New Testament names — John, James and Mary and Elizabeth," said Laura Wattenberg, creator of the website babynamewizard.com. "Today, the hot names are all names from the Old Testament precisely because they were neglected for so many generations."


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Feinstein Resigns
by Amanda Witherell
Looks like Senator Dianne Feinstein has stepped down from her seat on the Military Construction Appropriations subcommittee, where she's spent the last six years as chairperson and ranking member.
While serving on that committee, which is tasked with reviewing and supervising federal military contracts, her hubby Richard Blum was making millions of dollars on the same deals his wife was overseeing.
No statement or press release yet from Feinstein on why she quit, and the right-wing bloggers are going nutty for an investigation, perhaps to vindicate their champ, Dick Cheney, who made a pretty penny with Halliburton. What can we say: greed is a universal human ailment and war profiteering is certainly a non-partisan sport.


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Uganda lawmakers stand over poor health care system
Uganda legislators have in a unanimous decision declined to pass the country's national budget. The sticking point is that they refer to as the government's dead health care system. However the governmned has insisted the the budget for security cannot be sacrificed for health.Uganda lawmakers' joined hundreds of voiceless mothers across the country to denounce government's failure to raise one hundred million dollars in the country's 2012/2013 national budget to improve what they term a dead health care system. Despite being conscious about the plight of the country's dire health care system that has seen hundreds of pregnant mothers dying during child birth, the government says parliament cannot re-align the budget by reducing the national security budget standing at over 100 million dollars. Legislators however stood their ground to defend the interest of the country's mothers, hundreds of whom have lost their lives due to the country's poor health care system and a meager budgetary allocation to the sector by the government. According to available statistics, 438 Ugandan mothers out of 1000 die during childbirth, a situation that has generated pressure on the sitting government from both legislators and civil society organizations. Most of the country's health care centers currently lack personnel and where midwives are deployed, they are overwhelmed by the large number of expectant mothers. According to the government of Uganda, a reduction in the country's defense budget will jeopardize national security. However, lawmakers across the political divide insist that poor health service delivery to the people of Uganda will as well cause insecurity.


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Hours to Change at Mayflower Disaster Recovery Center
News Source : Hours to Change at Mayflower Disaster Recovery Center
Little Rock, Ark. – Effective Monday, May 12, the operating hours for the State/FEMA Disaster Recovery Center (DRC) in Mayflower, Ark., will change.
The new operating hours will be 9 a.m. to 7 p.m. Monday–Saturday and 1 to 7 p.m. on Sundays. The center is located at 600 Highway 365, Mayflower, AR 72106.
Specialists from a number of federal, state and charitable agencies are at the center to meet face-to-face with survivors about assistance that may be available to help them recover.
It is not necessary to visit the center to register for state and federal disaster recovery assistance.
Survivors may register online at www.disasterassistance.gov or with an internet-enabled mobile device at m.fema.gov. To register by phone, call 1-800-621-3362 or (TTY) 1-800-462-7585. Users of 711 Relay or Video Relay Services may call 1-800-621-3362. Toll-free telephone numbers are staffed from 7 a.m. to 10 p.m. seven days a week.
Disaster recovery assistance is available without regard to race, color, religion, nationality, sex, age, disability, English proficiency or economic status. If you or someone you know has been discriminated against, call FEMA toll-free at 800-621-FEMA (3362). For TTY call 800-462-7585.
The Arkansas Department of Emergency Management (ADEM) is the state's homeland security and preparedness agency. The agency works to identify and lessen the effects of emergencies, disasters and threats to Arkansas by developing effective prevention, preparedness, mitigation, response and recovery actions for all disasters and emergencies. For additional information, contact ADEM at (501) 683-6700 or visit the website at www.adem.arkansas.gov.
FEMA's mission is to support our citizens and first responders to ensure that as a nation we work together to build, sustain, and improve our capability to prepare for, protect against, respond to, recover from, and mitigate all hazards. Follow us on Twitter at , the R6 Hurricane Preparedness website at www.fema.gov/about/regions/regionvi/updates.shtm and the FEMA Blog at http://blog.fema.gov.
The U.S. Small Business Administration (SBA) is the federal government's primary source of money for the long-term rebuilding of disaster-damaged private property. SBA helps homeowners, renters, businesses of all sizes, and private non-profit organizations fund repairs or rebuilding efforts and cover the cost of replacing lost or disaster-damaged personal property. These disaster loans cover losses not fully compensated by insurance or other recoveries and do not duplicate benefits of other agencies or organizations. For information about SBA programs, applicants can go to www.sba.gov/disaster or call (800) 659-2955 (TTY 1-800-977-8339).
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designer's notes
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color: Brown / Gold Smoothe leather upper with contrasting metallic leather detail Rounded open toe Goldtone buckle detail at vamp Leather lining Leather sole with rubber caps Leather; Italy; style# 334468101


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Hax: Man who stood up to bullies changed kid's life
W hile I'm away, readers give the advice.
On witnessing an act of cruelty:
I was bullied viciously through most of my childhood.
My parents assumed it was my fault and punished me rather than helping. The neighbors and most teachers saw it as just the way kids are.
That was just how life was until eighth grade, when the assistant principal, a big man who inspired both respect and fear in the students, happened to see me attacked, and reacted with rage toward my attackers, and at the same time, great gentleness and kindness toward me.
He was, of course, in a position to put an end to my troubles, at least while I was at school, and he did make it his business to see that I was safe and treated with compassion and understanding while I worked to heal deep wounds and learn to fit in, and that was wonderful.
More importantly to me, however, was that he was the first person in my life who showed me that I had value, that I did not deserve this, that I was not somehow innately bad.
I am sure he forgot all about me by the end of summer break, and never realized the gift he gave me, but in standing up for me that day, he changed my life forever, and I will always be so grateful.
I would like to ask everyone, please, to recognize they have the power to make that kind of difference in another person's life by choosing to stand up for what is right and by showing a little kindness.
On deciding whether to date someone with a young child:
For the next 18 years, possibly up to a third of this person's income will be going to pay for that child. So, can he adequately live on 70 percent of what he now earns? Can you afford to go places together and do the things you want to do?
A parent's time possibly every other weekend, and sometimes midweek, will be rightfully spent with his child.
When the child gets into later school grades, a good parent and stepparent actively participate in school functions to support the child.
A parent who isn't willing to spend that time with a child should be a warning sign, and if the person he's dating isn't willing to graciously encourage the parent to be a part of that, then that should be a warning sign to both of them.
The attraction during the early stages of a relationship can mask the realities of the cost, stresses and inconveniences of being involved in a blended family. That role requires a generous person who expects little in return.
On taking criticism (or weathering rudeness):
Some effective responses to almost any confrontation (because they disarm) are:
"Oh?"; "I see"; "Glad you told me that"; "Really?"; "Never knew that"; "I'll have to think about that"; "That could be"; "Good luck"; "I can live with that"; "Sure."
And, in reply to an especially hostile remark, "Would you mind repeating that?"
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Call Us Today and see why these apartments don't stay vacant long! 920-415-2830
Located in a very nice residential neighborhood, easy access to shopping, banks, gas stations, Hwy 41 and 43. We have a beautiful clubhouse with fitness room and party room. Free internet access in our business center. All apartments have a refrigerator, self cleaning oven, dishwasher, central air, and garage w/remote. Select apartments have two person whirlpool and gas fireplace.
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I would like to thank Simon for those words of encouragement. Although I've been historically using Kodak films for B&W photography, I think going forward will commit to using Ilford film since they are clearly commited to the B&W process. I definitely love their XP2 Super. I presume Delta would be a suitable replacement for T-Max?
Thanks again for your thoughts.


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Oral Surgery Office
This project required gutting and adding onto an existing building, which was stripped down to the studs and completely reconfigured into three zones.
The first zone accommodates arriving patients in a reception area. Records, billing, initial exams, consultation, and x-rays are provided here. The second zone features four dental surgery rooms, lab and sterilization areas, and recovery rooms with access to parking. The third zone includes doctor's offices, an employee lounge, and a seminar area.
Other improvements include an upgrade to the facade and signage, a revitalization of surrounding plantings, and greater accessibility via parking, curb cuts, and sidewalks.
Eye Laser Center
To transform from colonial to contemporary, the site features tinted glass, a standing-seam metal roof, tower elements, and a canopied entrance.
An EIFS system provides efficient insulation and contributes to the high-tech, precast appearance using color, texture, and geometric patterns. Its ease of installation facilitated a compressed design/build construction schedule rather than the traditional design/bid/build process.
Patient registration and nine exam rooms are featured on the first floor, while the outpatient surgery area, cataract operating room, and two laser surgery rooms occupy the second floor. Office space, billing, and staff facilities are located in a renovated lower level.
Visit our website today to learn about the design flexibility of a Morton building and the endless possibilities of partnering with our designBUILD team.
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The Norma Johnson Center will host part 2 of Julie Hoffman's "Natural Beauty at Home" workshop on Feb. 28.
The Norma Johnson Center, located at 2201-B Progress St., Dover, will host part 2 of Julie Hoffman's "Natural Beauty at Home" workshop at 6:30 p.m. on Feb. 28.
Participants will be shown how to create their own natural beauty products using recipes from Janice Cox's book "Natural Beauty at Home."
Participants will make and take home several items such as: Basic Cold Cream, Body Butter, Coconut Almond Lip Gloss, Natural Nail Polish, Basic Shampoo, Arrowroot Cleansing Jelly, Eye Makeup Remover, Pumice Foot Scrub, Fennel Seed and Honey Toner and Green Tea Toner.
The workshop is open to individuals 16 and older and the cost is $15. Registration is required by Feb. 25. For more information or to register, call 330-339-7976 or visit www.normajohnsoncenter.com.
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Resolution: standard / high
Figure 2.
Validation of DLL1 as a miR-34a target gene. (A) Computational algorithm showing the seed region of miR-34a at the 3'UTR of DLL1. (B) Western blotting analysis of the expressions of DLL1 and NOTCH1 upon miR-34a force-expression. (C) Functional luciferase assay. Significant differences was found between scramble and pre-miR-34a on wild-type 3'UTR construct but not with construct carrying a mutated seed region (n = 4). (D & E) Quantitative real-time PCR analysis showing the mRNA levels of DLL1, NOTCH1 (D) and Hes-1 (E) between pre-miR-34a and scramble precursor transfected cells (n = 4).*p < 0.05.
Pang et al. BMC Cancer 2013 13:25 doi:10.1186/1471-2407-13-25


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Caption: Haiden Palmer, the WCC tournament MVP, meets the media after Gonzaga learned its first-round matchup in the NCAA tournament.
Photo by Colin Mulvany
Published on March 19, 2013
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Picture: Tom Cruise Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol - UK film premiere held at the BFI IMax - Outside Arrivals London, England - 13.12.11
Tom Cruise, who had been getting a lot of bad press in recent years for everything from jumping on Oprah's sofa to touting the supposed benefits of Scientology, is finally receiving some printed praise again, thanks to the major newspaper film critics. Most of them marvel at Cruise's sheer audacity in some of the scenes in Mission Impossible -- Ghost Protocol , which the actor reportedly pulled off without a stunt double. Those scenes, directed by Brad Bird, who made a name for himself directing action sequences in Pixar's animated films, benefit greatly, says Betsy Sharkey in the Los Angeles Times , "not only from Cruise's presence but also his willingness and ability to do big chunks of his own stunt work." In particular, there's (literally) the high point of the film, a scene showing Cruise using special gloves that allow him to climb Dubai's Burj Khalifa, the tallest building in the world. "The sequence is one of the most spellbinding stretches of film I've seen," writes Roger Ebert in the Chicago Sun-Times . (Although, he adds, "if that's really Tom Cruise, he seems like a suitable case for treatment.") However, Gary Thompson in the Philadelphia Daily News argues that the whole purpose of the movie seems to be "to provide Cruise a forum to perform amazing movie superstar stunts." Joe Morgenstern in the Wall Street Journal observes that Cruise has matured physically as well as professionally, providing a performance "that's always entertaining and sometimes downright touching." It is just that maturity -- Cruise is about to turn 50 -- that embellishes the role he plays in this film, A.O. Scott suggests in The New York Times. When he hangs of the Burj Khalifa, he writes, "what you see isn't just a man doing a crazy stunt but also one poignantly denying his own mortality."


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A collection of episodes where Brion and I bestow knightly grace upon those writers who take the stories they workshop, write them, and share them with the world.
(Our First) Knighting Ceremony: John Walker
Many episodes ago we started making a promise to all our Guest Writers: Write the story… put it out in the world and we will make you a Knight of the Roundtable Podcast. We knew it would happen. It had to… with all this Literary Gold being flung about, somebody was going to write their story. And then it did. John Walker, who workshopped his story back in Episode 15 with the articulate and insightful Myke Cole, took the ideas from the workshop, applied them to his story and has released it as an e-book!


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John Douglas Coughran
Position: Small Forward ▪ Shoots: Right
Height: 6-7 ▪ Weight: 225 lbs.
Born: September 12, 1951 in Pittsburg, California
High School: Piedmont Hills in San Jose, California
College: University of California
Draft: Cleveland Cavaliers, 5th round (5th pick, 74th overall), 1973 NBA Draft
NBA Debut: October 12, 1979
Other Pages: College Basketball Stats
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Sturdy styrene plastic ensures that toilet seat cover dispenser will provide long-lasting service. Wall-mountable dispenser is easy to place wherever it is needed. Self adhesive tape speeds up the mounting process. Reduces restroom mess by preventing the need to use towels or toilet paper as a makeshift toilet seat cover replacement. Holds two sleeves of 250 half-fold toilet seat covers. Give patrons the gift of restroom cleanliness with easy access to toilet seat covers. Holds: One 250-Count Packs; Width: 16"; Depth: 3 1/4"; Height: 11 1/2".
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text: Comments (2) + Add comment Comments (2) Featured majiebeast + 1080d ago FFXIV reboot is either gonna make or break Square enix, FFXIV was the spirits within part 2 for square enix. #1 (Edited 1080d ago ) | Agree(3) | Disagree(0) | Report | Reply Kamikaze135 + 1080d ago So true. It's looking like the XIV reboot will be pretty damn amazing. People are actually praising the alpha testing this time around. I remember people complained so much about the game during the alpha phase for the original release. #1.1 Agree(3) | Disagree(0) | Report | Reply Add comment You need to be registered to add comments. Register here or login Username Password Remember Rules & guidelines Login


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User Interface Design patterns are recurring solutions that solve common design problems. Design patterns are standard reference points for the experienced user interface designer.
Newest blog post: Designing for Happiness: Interview with Pamela Pavliscak
Getting the user to input data is a task that should be tailored to the context of use.
The user needs to locate specific features and content and needs navigation to accomplish this.
Data can be searched, formatted, overviewed, and browsed in a variety of ways.
Allow the user to associate, communicate, and interact with other people online.
Patterns that haven't found their main category yet.
Patterns of psychological tendencies that cause the human brain to draw incorrect conclusions.
Games engage, involve, and influence us through its playful nature.
Patterns in how we visually perceive, interpret, and remember meanings as we interact with systems.
As the users interacts with your system feedback motivate them to take the next step.
Allow the user to associate, communicate, and interact with other people online.
Find inspiration and influence from years of carefully curated collections of great design. Find out what works for you and what doesn't work. Compare and inspect a multitude of implementation examples of the problem you're trying to solve.
Gaze over great design, pick them apart and understand the techniques behind them.
I frequently find myself indwelled in video of conference talks on youtube.com. It is often when I'm researching for a new blog post, adding an addition to my online course, or trying to figure out a solution to that annoying problem a...
Small tweaks can lead to crucial changes in your conversion. In this article, I'll examine how design patterns, psychological principles, and practices can help you increase your conversion.


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Address: Falls Creek All Season Alpine Resort, Bogong High Plains Road, Falls Creek, Victoria 3699
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Email: email@example.com: fallscreek.com.au/EasterFestival
Celebrate Easter Falls Creek where will again host the annual Easter Festival. There are loads of activities for all ages including the Easter egg hunt, the Eggstra-ordinary egg toss, free kids club activities, outdoor cinema, summit chairlift rides, face painting, sunset tours, colouring in competitions and of course, a visit from the Easter Bunny. Easter is always a favourite at Falls Creek and is a great opportunity to bring family and friends to the High Country.Special Easter activities will include an Easter Fete. Head to Falls Creek Easter Fete for games, prizes, food and fun! The friendly (and very informative) Visitor Information staff will be on hand to help out with your weekend plans plus some great fundraising activities for the Falls Creek Childcare Centre and the Falls Creek Primary School.What's an Easter Festival without Easter Eggs? Keep an eye out for the Easter Bunny as he makes his rounds on Easter Sunday and join in for the giant Easter egg hunt.How far can you throw an egg to your partner before they can't catch it? Great fun every year during the Eggs-traordinary egg toss!Start your Easter Sunday with a big brekkie in the Village Bowl. Every kid's favourite part of Falls Creek with an Easter twist is the Kids Club.A traditional part of the Falls Creek Easter celebrations is the Ecumenical Easter Service.
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A Dragon Age movie?!?!
Not quite, but close.
Felicia Day , star of the TV series " The Guild ," is bringing the world of Ferelden to life through a web series entitled "Dragon Age: Redemption."
According to a story at theescapist.com , the series is in post-production and will debut later this year. The series was directed by Peter Winther , who was a producer on the blockbuster "Independence Day." Although neither Day or Winther have a Dragon Age credit on their IMDB.com page, Day has referenced a "mystery project" on her Twitter account.
Day, who is an avid gamer, has a number of acting credits to her name. She's starred in a number of TV shows, but struck a chord with gamers as the creator and star of "The Guild." Day played Codex, a member of The Knights of Good, in a guild of a MMO game. But she has also lent her talents to video games, such as Fallout: New Vegas and Rock of the Dead .
This is a daring move by Day and Electronic Arts. Games haven't always translated to film, but they're rarely done by someone with a genuine interest in video games. I think Day brings the project credibility. I am a big fan of Dragon Age: Origins , and have enjoyed Day's work in the past.
Day was on "Late Night with Jimmy Fallon" on Wednesday, and they discussed the series. Here's a link to the interview .


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Eric Root Jan 14, 2013 2:28 PM
Re: Mail won't connect to server. in response to Rodney Boyce
maybe these Apple support articles will help:
Rodney Boyce Jan 15, 2013 4:27 AM
Re: Mail won't connect to server. in response to Eric Root
Thanks for your links. I have tried everything without any success. I tried rebuilding the mail boxes but for some some reason I don't think this worked as the rebuild was over in a flash. I had the activity window opened at the time and the progress bar was gone in a fraction of a second. So I have removed all accounts and re-entered the details. But the problem persists. I can receive but not send. Connection doctor shows all green lights. Connection status is green and it says "Mail was able to connect to the internet". It is green against smtp.talktalk.net and it says "Connection to server succeeded log in not required". It is green against talktalk.net and it says "Connection and log in to server succeeded".
All the settings are exactly the same as on my Macbook which is working fine. As Mail is part of OS Mountain Lion Time Machine will not allow me to extract Mail from a day ago when all was fine. As it says that is not allowed as it is part of the OS. I wonder what is the point of Time Machine if I cannot go back.
What I do not understand is how this has happened as no changes to any settings were made. I have noticed that since Mountain Lion was installed sometimes outgoing mail would fail but as soon as "Try later" was clicked it always worked. I have been an Apple fan for twenty years but am getting very frustrated as I have spent hours on this problem. I would be so grateful if anyone has any other suggestions.
clintonfrombirmingham Jan 15, 2013 4:50 AM
Re: Mail won't connect to server. in response to Rodney Boyce
I hate Mail - it seems that every day brings more messages with a problem like yours - everything was working fine, I made no changes, now I can't send and/or receive, etc. The posts are numerous and there never seem to be any concrete fixes.
I would suggest - if email is important to you - switching to another mail application. ANY other mail application. Personally, I use MS Outlook from the MS Office for Mac 2011 home/business edition. And I've been using MS Entourage and Outlook ever since Office X came out 11 years ago. Never have had a single problem. To see if Outlook may be worth it to you, I would suggest using the 30-day trial version of Office 2011 from https://www.microsoft.com/mac/trial.
If you want something free and reliable, try Mozilla's Thunderbird.
Just give one or the other a trial. I suspect that you'll give up trying to 'fix' the myriad of problems that Apple's Mail brings.
Rodney Boyce Jan 15, 2013 5:24 AM
Re: Mail won't connect to server. in response to clintonfrombirmingham
It seems that you are not alone in your dislike of Mail and it is clear that this application has lots of problems. I suspect it has something to do with Mountain Lion and iCloud. However I have had Mountain Lion since it was released and although I have had problems with this OS, Mail has worked just fine until yesterday. I have just spent over two hours on the phone to my ISP who tried everything but could not solve the problem. I will take a look at Mozilla's Thunderbird but am not going to give up yet as Mail should work. We pay a premium for Apple products and they ought to work. Thanks again and I look forward to any other suggestions, other than throwing the whole lot into the waste bin and buying a PC!
Rodney Boyce Jan 15, 2013 5:54 AM
Re: Mail won't connect to server. in response to Rodney Boyce
I have download Thunderbird as you suggested. It is showing me a warning that my e mail will not be encrypted and asks me to accept the risk. I have no idea if Mail encrypts e mails so should this concern me or should I carry on with Thunderbird? I'd be very grateful for your advice. Thanks.
Markadelic Jan 15, 2013 10:02 AM
Re: Mail won't connect to server. in response to Rodney Boyce
Hi, I seem to be having the same problem. Mail just suddenly stopped working yesterday!
I also tried Thunderbird but couldn't get it to send either.
The Mac i'm using is OS X 10.8.2 and the version of Mail is 6.2.
I have an older Mac (10.6) and set up my email on that and it works perfectly.
Any help would be much appreciated!
Rodney Boyce Jan 15, 2013 2:30 PM
Re: Mail won't connect to server. in response to Markadelic
I'm sorry you are having the same problem. I too am using the same OS versions as you. As my Macbook is loaded with 10.6 and that too works perfectly with the same mail settings it suggests that the problem lies with Mountain Lion. The problem with mail is not the only one I have had with Mountain Lion. I wished I had not installed it.
I am still hoping that someone can suggest a solution. Thunderbird is working for me but it won't import my Mail folders.
Good luck with your problem.
lilienfeld Jan 16, 2013 7:02 PM
Re: Mail won't connect to server. in response to Rodney Boyce
I have had this problem in the past, and for some reason, while I was working with my ISP, it started sending OK. I have no idea why. I too insist on using Mail, in part because of its integration, in part because I'm tired of the MS Outlook bloat and the constant rebuilding of the database. Outlook was intended for the PC world, and it shows it. Thunderbird is a little better, but Mail should work.
Eric Root Jan 17, 2013 10:22 AM
Re: Mail won't connect to server. in response to Rodney Boyce
Have you tried deleting one account and then adding the account again?
Have you checked System Preferences/Mail, Contacts & Calenders to make sure all the passwords are correct? Try disabling the account and then enabling it. Weird, but doing this has solved problems with iCloud and other things.
lilienfeld Jan 17, 2013 10:23 AM
Re: Mail won't connect to server. in response to Eric Root
Won't that make all the emails for that account go away? I store them on my Mac, not on the server.
Eric Root Jan 17, 2013 6:15 PM
Re: Mail won't connect to server. in response to lilienfeld
Yes it would. You could create a new mailbox, drag the messages to it, try deleting the account then enabling it and drag the messages back if it worked.