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Predictive modeling's effectiveness is hindered by inherent uncertainties in the input parameters. Sensitivity and uncertainty analysis quantify these uncertainties and identify the relationships between input and output variations, leading to the construction of a more accurate model. This survey introduces the application, implementation, and underlying principles of sensitivity and uncertainty quantification
A not-for-profit organization, IEEE is the world's largest professional association for the advancement of technology.© Copyright 2015 IEEE - All rights reserved. Use of this web site signifies your agreement to the terms and conditions.


text: New Music: Alley Boy "Icey" Posted By: Big Homie May 11, 2013 @ 10:06 PM EDT General Share0 Tweet43 Comments14 - With Kane Beatz on the track, DTE's Alley Boy chills out on his brand new record. War Cry drops June 3rd. http://wprapradar.s3.amazonaws.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/icey_eq1.mp3 Tags: alley boy Rate This: 5 Submit No Ratings

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Learn more about homelessness and
how you can help. Read our story of the week.
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Each month she struggled to make her rentElena is 56 years old with one grown son. She lost her job in early 2014. Each month she struggled to make her rent – piecing it together with odd jobs, her savings, and once with help from her church. In November she finally lost her apartment and still had not... read more
The items on this list are in pressing demand at the Inn. Items may be delivered directly to the Inn any day of the week. We also have an Amazon Wish List!
Pull Ups (Sizes 4 & 5)
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In this video, Christina shares her journey through homelessness and the difference The Samaritan Inn has made in her family's life.


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7/9/2015Golf Outing
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7/2/2015Hinsdale Family Law Firm Hires New Attorney
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7/2/2015Chicago Trust and Estate Litigation Law Firm Changes Name to Peck Ritchey, LLC


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a client library for cloudmade geocode API
A node library for consuming Cloudmade APIs. Currently only supports Geocoding.
This module is currently under development and has not been published to NPM yet.
npm install cloudmade-lib
To retrieve results in JSON format, see the following example:
var cloudmade = require('cloudmade'), geocoding = cloudmade.geocoding.initialize({ apikey : 'your_api_key_here' }); geocoding.get('8727 148th Ave NE, Redmond, WA 98052', function (err, data) { // work with results here...});
{ "apikey" : "your_api_key_here", "data" : {}, "host" : "geocoding.cloudmade.com", "path" : "/geocoding/v2/find.js", "query" : "?query=8727%20148th%20Ave%20NE%2C%20Redmond%2C%20WA%2098052", "secure" : false}
MIT, see LICENSE


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We're looking for proven experience in the following:
Percept are based in Cronulla, in Sydney's south. We are a full service, strategic brand design agency offering our clients branding, corporate identity, design for print, packaging design, advertising and website design.
We require an experienced Mid-weight Graphic Designer to join our team of 11 design and management staff. You will be responsible for carrying out all aspects of the design process, from initial concepts and design development through to finished artwork production.
This position would suit an established designer who is based in Sydney's southern suburbs.
Take a look around Percept's website to get a feel for who we are and if you think you'd enjoy working as part of our team. YOU CAN READ THE FULL DETAILS AND APPLY ON THE EMPLOYMENT PAGE OF OUR COMPANY WEBSITE.


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Purdue University joins Smart Grid Consumer Collaborative
November 20, 2013
Since its founding in March 2010, SGCC has attracted many member organizations to listen, educate and collaborate for modernized, intelligent electrical systems.
"Purdue University is committed to responsible, multidisciplinary research in energy," said Meghan Norris, an assistant professor of consumer sciences who leads the Purdue SGCC effort.
"Not only is Purdue a leader in energy technology, but it's also an emerging leader in consumer adoption of smart-grid technologies. Our Department of Consumer Science focuses on empowered consumer decision-making, which aligns strongly with the mission of Smart Grid Consumer Collaborative. We are excited to collaborate with the SGCC to conduct and share trustworthy research in the area of consumer smart-grid adoption."
Purdue joins a balanced membership of stakeholders that includes leaders from the business community, utilities, regulators and advocacy groups. SGCC activities include funding independent research on consumer smart grid issues, providing forums for members to share and self-educate, and collaborating to develop industry best practices.
Norris, who holds a doctoral degree in social and personality psychology from Queen's University in Ontario, Canada, conducts research in the areas of attitudes, persuasion and social influence. Her current research is exploring the use of eye tracking in attitude research.
About the Purdue Energy Center
The Energy Center was officially launched in August 2005 with $2.5 million in startup funds made available through a grant from The Lilly Endowment for expanding Discovery Park. More than 150 faculty and staff members, representing nine colleges, are actively engaged in Energy Center activities. Focus areas include: transportation (bioenergy, hydrogen, advanced ground-vehicle power, and battery and energy storage), power generation (solar, wind, coal and nuclear), energy efficiency (smart grid, smart buildings and thermoelectric) and policy, education and outreach (electric vehicles, EcoCar and Energy Academy). For more information, visit http://www.purdue.edu/discoverypark/energy/.
About the Smart Grid Consumer Collaborative (SGCC)
Smart Grid Consumer Collaborative (SGCC) is a 501(c)(3) nonprofit with the mission of accelerating the adoption of a smart grid that is consumer-safe, consumer-friendly and consumer-approved. Membership is open to all consumer and environmental advocates, technology vendors, research laboratories and electric utilities for collaboration in research, best practices and consumer education. Learn more at http://www.smartgridcc.org.
Writer: Phillip Fiorini, 765-496-3133, firstname.lastname@example.com
Source: Meghan Norris, 765-494-8305, email@example.com
Solar panels: Students aim to lessen Purdue's energy burden
July 2, 2015
A group of Purdue students and faculty are pursuing a noble cause: introducing a solar array to the Universitys campus.Read Full Story


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So, what's up for Christmas?
View Single Post
December 25 2012, 01:11 PM
Locutus of Bored
The Locutest One of All
Location: Huntington Beach, California
Re: So, what's up for Christmas?
Merry Christmas, everyone!
'First Contact' is the tale of a man who just wants to cash in on his creation so he can get wasted on an island full of naked women, but his fans keep insisting that he's a saintly visionary who has profoundly altered the world. AKA - 'I Don't Want to be a Statue: The Gene Roddenberry Story.'
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Listen Live, 24-7, Online!
WATD Remote Broadcasts
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- RT @Plymouth_400: Ed Perry of @959watdfm is chatting with our Exec. Director Michele Pecoraro now at the #PlymouthMA #July4th events! http:… about 16 hours ago from Twitter for iPhone ReplyRetweetFavorite
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Ketchikan has 14 schools. Some of the best schools in Ketchikan are Point Higgins School with a GreatSchools rating of 7/10 and a parent rating of 5/5 stars, and Ketchikan Charter School with a GreatSchools rating of 7/10 and a parent rating of 4/5 stars. The average GreatSchools rating for Ketchikan public schools is 6/10, with an average student/teacher ratio of 12:1.
School data provided by National Center for Education Statistics, Maponics, and GreatSchools. Intended for reference only. GreatSchools Ratings compare a schools test performance to statewide results. To verify enrollment eligibility, contact the school or district directly.
Property is in demand due to reduced inventory, as there are more potential buyers than sellers. Bidding wars with other buyers are possible, and listings begin to sell at greater than the asking price.
Rental property is in high demand and availability is low. Rent prices have not changed over the past 3 months. This is same as the county average of $4,400 and 60% higher than the state average of $1,780.
Trend data coming soon.
Trend data coming soon.
|For Sale: 95
|New: 2
|Recently Sold: N/A
|Reduced: 32
|Average Home Price
|Average Sold Price
|Property Records: 3,628
|Foreclosed: N/A
The average home price in Ketchikan is $363,362. The average home price per square foot in Ketchikan is $164 and about 0% of all homes in Ketchikan sold in the last 6 months. For Ketchikan home values, real estate prices, and city market trends, research the 3,628 property records or search our 0 recently sold or 95 homes for sale listings. The listings and properties in Ketchikan are only a part of the 174,292 properties and 3,494 homes for sale in Alaska. Because of this, the average home price and average home value of Ketchikan also influence the average home price $227,008 and average sale price $0 of Alaska. Listing counts, Ketchikan home prices and home values in Ketchikan are sourced daily from listing and property data on realtor.com®, which is the most up-to-date and accurate aggregation of real estate listings in the industry and includes approximately 800 regional MLSs and is the official website of the National Association of Realtors®.
|Median Age
|Median Household Income


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Knitting and Crochet Patterns from Red Heart Yarn
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Cable Half Poncho
By: Red Heart Yarn
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Keep warm and stylish without all the fuss with this cable half-poncho knitting pattern from Red Heart Yarn. Though the intricate cable design makes this an intermediate knitting pattern, finishing this knit poncho is much easier than a traditional sweater. Find this poncho knitting pattern and many more patterns for autumn in the Red Heart Yarn eBook.
- Yarn: RED HEART® "Eco-Ways": 3 skeins in 3360 Mushroom.
- Knitting Needles: 6.5mm [US 101/2] and 6mm [US 10] circular needle, 16" long.
- Cable needle.
- Stitch holders.
- Yarn needle.
Finished Bust: 55" at lower edge
Finished Length: 15½"
Gauge: 14 sts = 4"; 19 rows = 4" in Moss Stitch using larger needles.
M1: Make 1 st by picking up horizontal strand before next st and knitting into back of loop. 2/1 RPC: Slip 1 st to cable needle and hold in back, k2, p1 from cable needle.
2/1 LPC: Slip 2 sts to cable needle and hold in front, p1, k2 from cable needle.
2/2 RC: Slip 2 sts to cable needle and hold in back, k2, k2 from cable needle.
2/2 LC: Slip 2 sts to cable needle and hold in front, k2, k2 from cable needle.
2/2 RPC: Slip 2 sts to cable needle and hold in back, k2, p2 from cable needle.
2/2 LPC: Slip 2 sts to cable needle and hold in front, p2, k2 from cable needle.
Cable Panel (worked over 32 sts)
Row 1 (Right Side): 2/2 LC, p7, 2/1 LPC, 2/2 LC, 2/1 RPC, p7, 2/2 RC.
Row 2 and All Wrong Side Rows Unless Otherwise Indicated: Knit the knit sts and purl the purl sts as they appear.
Row 3: K4, p8, [2/2 RC] twice, p8, k4.
Row 5: 2/2 LC, p7, 2/1 RPC, 2/2 LC, 2/1 LPC, p7, 2/2 RC.
Row 7: K4, p6, 2/1 RPC, p1, k4, p1, 2/1 LPC, p6, k4.
Row 9: 2/2 LC, p5, 2/1 RPC, p2, k4, p2, 2/1 LPC, p5, 2/2 RC.
Row 11: K4, p4, 2/1 RPC, p3, 2/2 LC, p3, 2/1 LPC, p4, k4.
Row 13: 2/2 LC, p2, 2/2 LC, p3, 2/1 RPC, 2/1 LPC, p3, 2/2 RC, p2, 2/2 RC.
Row 14: P4, k2, p4, k3, p3, k1, p2, k3, p4, k2, p4.
Row 15: [K4, p2] twice, 2/1 RPC, k1, p1, 2/1 LPC, [p2, k4] twice.
Row 16: [P4, k2] twice, p3, k1, p1, k1, p2, [k2, p4] twice.
Row 17: 2/2 LC, p2, k4, p1, 2/1 RPC, [k1, p1] twice, 2/1 LPC, p1, k4, p2, 2/2 RC.
Row 18: P4, k2, p4, k1, p3, [k1, p1] twice, k1, p2, k1, p4, k2, p4.
Row 19: K4, p2, 2/2 LC, 2/1 RPC, [k1, p1] 3 times, 2/1 LPC, 2/2 RC, p2, k4.
Row 20: P4, k2, p6, [p1, k1] 4 times, p6, k2, p4.
Row 21: 2/2 LC, p2, k2, 2/2 RC, [k1, p1] 4 times, 2/2 LC, k2, p2, 2/2 RC.
Row 23: K4, p2, 2/2 LC, 2/1 LPC, [k1, p1] 3 times, 2/1 RPC, 2/2 RC, p2, k4.
Row 25: 2/2 LC, p2, k4, p1, 2/1 LPC, [k1, p1] twice, 2/1 RPC, p1, k4, p2, 2/2 RC.
Row 27: [K4, p2] twice, 2/1 LPC, k1, p1, 2/1 RPC, [p2, k4] twice.
Row 29: 2/2 LC, p2, 2/2 LPC, p3, 2/1 LPC, 2/1 RPC, p3, 2/2 RPC, p2, 2/2 RC.
Row 31: K4, p4, 2/1 LPC, p3, 2/2 LC, p3, 2/1 RPC, p4, k4.
Row 33: 2/2 LC, p5, 2/1 LPC, p2, k4, p2, 2/1 RPC, p5, 2/2 RC.
Row 35: K4, p6, 2/1 LPC, p1, k4, p1, 2/1 RPC, p6, k4.
Row 36: Knit the knit sts and purl the purl sts as they appear.
Repeat Rows 1-36 for Cable Panel.
Moss Stitch (multiple of 2 sts + 1)
Row 1 (Right Side): [K1, p1] across to last st, k1.
Rows 2 and 3: [P1, k1] across to last st, p1.
Row 4: [K1, p1] across to last st, k1.
Repeat Rows 1-4 for Moss st.
With larger needles, cast on 97 sts.
Next Row (Wrong Side): Knit.
Beginning with Row 1, work in Moss St for 6 rows, end with a wrong side row.
Shape Sides
Dec 1 st each side every 4th row 14 times – 69 sts.
Work 1 row.
Shape Shoulders
Bind off 4 sts at beginning next 8 rows – 37 sts.
Dec 1 st each side every row 4 times – 29 sts.
Slip remaining sts to a stitch holder for Neck.
With larger needles, cast on 98 sts.
Next Row (Wrong Side): K37, [M1, k4] 6 times, k37 – 104 sts.
Row 1 (Right Side): Beginning with Row 1, work [k1, p1] across 34 sts for Moss st, p2, work Cable Panel across 32 sts, p2, work [k1, p1] across 34 sts for Moss st.
Work in patterns as established, omitting extra st of Moss st, for 6 rows.
Shape Sides
Dec 1 st each side every 4th row 14 times – 76 sts. Work 1 row.
Shape Shoulders and Neck
Mark center 22 sts for Neck.
Bind off 4 sts at beginning of next 8 rows, then dec 1 st
each side edge every row 4 times.
At Same Time, work to marked 22 center sts, join second ball of yarn and work center 22 sts and slip to a stitch holder for Neck, work to end of row.
Working both sides at same time with separate balls of yarn and continuing to work Shoulder decreases as established, dec 1 st from each Neck edge every row 7 times.
Sew Shoulder and side seams.
Collar: With right side facing and smaller circular needle, join yarn at left Neck edge and pick up and k12 sts down left Front Neck edge, k22 from Front stitch holder, dec 3 sts evenly across, pick up and k12 sts up right Front Neck edge, k29 from Back stitch holder – 72 sts.
Work in K2, p2 rib for 4".
Bind off.
Weave in ends.
For more knitting ideas, visit Red Heart Yarn.
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Nov 22, 2010
Hi can someone please explain the following instructions : "At Same Time, work to marked 22 center stitches, join second ball if yarn and work center 22 sts and slip to a stitch holder for Neck,... Working both sides at same time with seperate balls of yarn..." Thanks
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- See photos of Bethenny Frankel's new short haircut- Radar
- Ryan Reynolds wears Deadpool costume to meet boy with cancer- Gossip Cop
- Julianne Hough opens up about playing Sandy in Grease- Just Jared Jr
- Jon Bon Jovi sings new song at Rutgers graduation- Huffington Post
- Mindy Kaling and B.J. Novak are writing a book about their relationship- DListed
- Irina Shayk's body looks amazing in this dress- Hollywood Tuna
- Mike Huckabee stands by the Duggar clan- Towleroad
Bethenny Frankel News, Pictures, and Videos
Bethenny Frankel Debuts a New Short Haircut
Bethenny Frankel Takes Weight Challenge on Television - Watch Here!
- Watch Bethenny Frankel get on a weight machine – Radar
- Bobby Brown is not pulling the plug on Bobbi Kristina- Gossip Cop
- Watch Sabrina Carpenter perform an acoustic version of "Too Young"- Just Jared Jr
- Paris Hilton talks about Kim Kardashian on The Simple Life- Huffington Post
- Who is celebrating their birthday today?- DListed
- Yara Khmidan looks amazing in a bikini- Hollywood Tuna
- Boy George is going to star in a reality show- Towleroad
Bethenny Frankel Has Revealed Her Weight, Admits She's 'Too Skinny' At Times
- Bethenny Frankel revealed her weight on television – US Weekly
- Has Tom Cruise not seen Suri in a year? – TMZ
- Emma Roberts is set to begin filming her new movie soon – Just Jared Jr
- This music legend was hospitalized over the weekend – Entertainment Weekly
- Jessica Simpson posted a racy photo – Lainey Gossip
- Christina Aguilera looks so slim on The Voice – TooFab
- This is actually how we should be pronouncing Rihanna's name – MTV
- Rand Paul is running for president – Popsugar
Bethenny Frankel Reportedly Demands Final Approval of 'Real Housewives' Footage
- Find out about the reported demands of Bethenny Frnakel on RHONY – Radar
- What is Shailene Woodley's new obsession? – Gossip Cop
- Huge Frozen news – Just Jared Jr
- Liam Neeson isn't into action anymore – Huffington Post
- Anna Faris doesn't mind being photographed – DListed
- Ouch! This woman was slammed in the face by a basketball – Hollywood Tuna
- How long would your city last a zombie apocalypse? – Towleroad
Bethenny Frankel & Her Boyfriend Are One Hot Beach Couple!
Bethenny Frankel shows off her bangin' bikini body while hitting the beach on New Year's Eve on Wednesday (December 31) in Miami, Fla.
The 44-year-old reality star and former talk show host was joined by her boyfriend Michael Cerussi, who went shirtless to show off his buff body.
Bethenny and Mac first revealed their relationship exactly a year ago while spending time at the beach in Miami. Seems like this will be an annual trip!
Also in Miami at the same time were some other ladies from The Real Housewives of New York City. Bethenny is returning to the show this season and they are likely filming at the moment.
30+ pictures inside of Bethenny Frankel and Michael Cerussi at the beach… More Here! »
Bethenny Frankel Stirs the Pot by Wearing Her Daughter's Clothes
- Bethenny Frankel has angered some of her fans by wearing her 4-year-old daughter's clothes- US Weekly
- The Game of Crowns premiere party turned into a bloody evening- TMZ
- Ariana Grande's television show has been canceled- Just Jared Jr
- First look at Walking Dead season five- Entertainment Weekly
- Everyone is raving about this new movie- Lainey Gossip
- Brandi Glanville showed off a ton of skin in Vegas- TooFab
- These insane tattoos of celebs will probably scar you for life- MTV
- Zoe Saldana doesn't want to be friends with her exes- Popsugar
'Bethenny' Cancelled: Bethenny Frankel's Talk Show Not Renewed for Second Season
Bethenny Frankel's Fox talk show Bethenny was not renewed for a second season, Deadline reports.
"We are incredibly proud of the creativity, passion and professionalism Bethenny and her staff brought to daytime each and every day and look forward to finishing out the season with more great original episodes," Telepictures, the producer of the show, said in a statement. "While we are disappointed not to be able to bring the series back for a second season, we remain convinced that she has a unique voice and that she will continue to be successful in the future."
Ellen DeGeneres was the executive producer on the show.
Bethenny herself has yet to comment on the news.
ARE YOU SAD to see Bethenny cancelled???


text:
Blackwell Adventure
Blackwell Adventure
- Address:
- Blackwell Court, Agmore Road
- Postcode/City:
- B60 1PX Blackwell
- County:
- Worcestershire
- Phone:
- 0121 445 12850121 445 1285
- Fax:
- 0121 447 7442
- Website:
- www.blackwelladventure.com
- E-mail:
- Send message
Updated more than 6 months ago | Edit Your Page | Report Incorrect Data
Blackwell Adventure is a unique, fully equipped outdoor activity centre available to a wide range of customers. They have 50 acres of beautiful parkland and is located within five minutes of the M42 and M5. They have indoor accomadation including a Manor House, stable bunk house and tented villages.The camping and adventure facilities are amongst the best in the midlands and are used by over 25, 000 people per year.
Some of the activities include 240 metre Zip wire, 3G swing, high ropes, climbing walls, kayaking plus loads more.
They also have and additional 50 acres of land at Pikes Pool. This boasts a more rugged landscape for camping and our pool is great for water based activities.
Detailed Business Information
- Official Name
- Company Number
- 1534697
- Previous Names
- SIC Code
- 93199 - Other sports activities
- Date of Incorporation
- 01/01/1980
- Company Type
- PRI/LBG/NSC (Private, Limited by guarantee, no share capital, use of 'Limited' exemption)
Be the first to write a review for Blackwell Adventure!
Share your experience!
Nearby similar companies
- Blackwell Court, Agmore Road, Blackwell
B60 1PX Blackwell
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B60 2JS Bromsgrove
- Youthworcs Ryland
2.13 mi
DetailsYouthworcs Ryland, New Road
B60 2JS Bromsgrove
- 22 The Square
B48 7LA Alvechurch
- 27-29 High Street
B61 8AJ Bromsgrove
- Church Hill Centre, Loxley Close
B98 9JG Redditch
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The Global FlyFisher - The Largest and Best Place to go for Online Fly Fishing and Fly Tying
GFF Videos
Grey Ghost
Originator:Shawn Holsinger
Submitter:Martin Joergensen
More videos by Shawn Holsinger
More videos with
More videos by Shawn Holsinger
|More great articles on The Global FlyFisher
|A couple of random articles
Fishing the Danish coastRichard Maree, a friend of GFF and an returning participant in the GFF Summits challenged a demanding calendar and decided to squeeze in a couple of days of fishing in Denmark this autumn. He wrote an email and send us these photos to inspire others to go.
October 6th 2010
The WhiteThe White is a stable pattern in originator Rasmus Hansen's coastal sea trout flybox, He uses it as a provocation (read: attractor) or as a shrimp imitation, and prefers it for turbulent water and autumn fishing. The fly is simple, one color only, and one of these universal flies that can catch anything.
June 1st 2009


text:
"In spring, summer, fall and winter, a mother leads her young daughter in dancing a celebratory ballet, a hymn to the season. When the girl is older, she is a ballerina and remembers that her mother gave her a dancing heart.... [An] exuberant celebration of dance." - School Library Journal, starred review
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Originally published on Fri January 3, 2014 6:51 am
Turkey's government is defending itself against a corruption scandal. That scandal has shaken a nation often described as the model for moderate Islamic democracy. The scandal reaches the highest levels of the government, and has sparked a strong backlash by Turkey's ruling party.
We reached NPR's correspondent in Istanbul, Peter Kenyon, to learn more about what's going on.
Originally published on Wed January 1, 2014 10:42 am
This is MORNING EDITION from NPR News. I'm David Greene.
And I'm Renee Montagne. We're looking this morning at two stories of international intrigue. First to North Korea. Until recently, the uncle of leader Kim Jong Un was the country's second-in-command. Earlier this week, though, he was detained on national television, hustled out of a meeting by guards.
Originally published on Tue November 5, 2013 2:09 pm
Roy Choi ushered in a food truck "new wave" in Los Angeles, making street fare edgier, tastier. Five years ago, he and a partner launched Kogi — Korean for meat — with a small fleet of trucks offering up a Korean-Mexican fusion that inspired food entrepreneurs in cities across America where the trend caught fire. His signature creation? The short rib taco: warm tortillas, Korean barbecue beef, cilantro-onion-and lime, topped with a spicy-soy slaw.
Originally published on Mon October 7, 2013 5:28 am
And with some perspective on why the two sides are so dug in, and what options Speaker Boehner and President Obama may be weighing, we turn as we do most Mondays to Cokie Roberts. Good morning.
COKIE ROBERTS, BYLINE: Hi. How are you, Renee?
MONTAGNE: And Cokie, given what Tamara just reported, that a small but very key group of Republicans are unlikely to go along with a possible solution to the next crisis that's looming - that's a possible default on the national debt - what does Speaker Boehner do?


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Last modified by liveuk on Tue, April 12, 2011 15:20Show Page|Old Revisions
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1. In a mixing bowl, combine cream cheese, olive and pistachio.
2. In a mixing bowl, combine butter, dill and salt. Spread butter on bread slices and spread cream cheese on other pair of bread. Cut the crust and slice into squares.
3. Place cucumber on bread slices and sprinkle salt and pepper. Slice the crust and cut into squares.
4. Serve with tea.


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Since the 1990s, a great deal of attention has been paid to giving local communities control over their own developmental destinies through community development programs. But such programs are not new. In his new book titled Thinking Small, Historian Daniel Immerwahr has uncovered a largely forgotten global experiment in grassroots development in the 1950s and 1960s, one that touched dozens of nations and gained the support of powerful backers. Sifting through the evidence, Immerwahr offers a cautionary tale about how attempts to empower local communities have gone astray.
In Epic Measures: One Doctor, Seven Billion Patients, journalist Jeremy Smith chronicles how the Global Burden of Disease study came into being—and what it can tell us already.
In this talk, Smith will share highlights from the true story of the 20-year, 500-scientist, $100-million moonshot attempt to track and quantify every illness, injury, and death for everyone on Earth: the biggest of Big Data ever. He'll also discuss how Murray's project is beginning to change how the world addresses issues of health and wellness, sets policy, and distributes funding.
This two-day conference, organized in partnership with RISE–Research on Improving Systems of Education– provides an opportunity to explore and exchange ideas related to education systems research. RISE is an exciting new multi-country program that aims to build understanding of education systems and how they can transform to significantly improve learning.
Conference speakers include RISE Research Director Lant Pritchett, Felipe Barrera-Osorio, Vicky Colbert, Jishnu Das, Annie Duflo, James Habyarimana, Kara Hanson, Elizabeth King, Michael Kremer, Karthik Muralidharan, Derek Neal, Pauline Rose, Norbert Schady, and Leonard Wantchekon.
Rajesh Mirchandani will moderate a discussion and Q&A with RYOT co-founder David Darg following the screening of three short films: Body Team 12, Baseball in the Time of Cholera, and Nepal Virtual Reality.
Darg spent the last decade as a first responder and frontline contributor for Reuters, the BBC and CNN, covering some of the world's largest natural disasters and wars. As a filmmaker, Darg has won numerous awards including Best Documentary Short at the 2015 Tribeca Film Festival and MountainFilm Festival for Body Team 12, and a Special Jury Mention at the 2012 Tribeca Film Festival for Baseball in the Time of Cholera.
Join us to check out the latest development in the evolution of disaster reporting and storytelling.
In this month's seminar, Sandra Sequeira (LSE) will be examining the long-run impact of migration on economic development. Along with her co-authors Nathan Nunn and Nancy Quian, she shows that the settlement of European migrants in the United States during the Age of Mass Migration (1860-1920) has had a persistent effect on income patterns today.
Increasingly, policies and programs that seek to 'empower women economically' are part of public and private sector agencies' agendas; however, few have been rigorously evaluated. This event is in response to these agencies' expressed need to learn which measures and evaluation designs are best suited to monitor and accurately capture the results of these programs.
The forum will include remarks by Melanne Verveer, former US Ambassador for Global Women's Issues and current executive director of Georgetown University's Institute for Women, Peace & Security, and by Deborah Birx, Ambassador-at-Large, US Global AIDS Coordinator and US Special Representative for Global Health Diplomacy. Top academics, experienced practitioners, and senior representatives from public and private donor organizations will discuss the design of effective M&E systems, when and how to conduct impact evaluations, and how to measure economic empowerment. The event will also look at lessons learned from recent measurement and impact evaluation work.
Oil to Cash: Fighting the Resource Curse with Cash Transfers proposes a radical new policy option for countries facing the daunting challenges of natural resource windfalls: citizen dividends. Authors Todd Moss, Caroline Lambert, and Stephanie Majerowicz make the case for every citizen to receive a share of their nation's resource wealth through a regular, universal, and rules-based cash payment. Oil-to-Cash would benefit both citizens and governments by transferring cash directly into the hands of the people while creating incentives to restore the social contract built on taxation and accountability. They also address delivery options, common objections, and the most promising country cases.
This event will be held at the World Bank.
The 8th annual migration conference will investigate how international migration affects economic and social change in developing countries. Topics include the effects of migration on poverty, inequality, and human capital formation; social networks and migration; diaspora externalities; remittances; brain drain; migration and institutional/technological change.
Determining which health interventions represent good value for money and are therefore good investments is an ongoing challenge for policymakers. A common approach to making these decisions has involved the use of thresholds based on per capita GDP. Specifically, many countries follow the World Health Organization's Choosing Interventions that are Cost-Effective (WHO-CHOICE) project's recommendation: an intervention that, per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted, costs less than three times the national annual GDP per capita is considered cost-effective.
Elliot Marseille and James Kahn, however, say this approach has major shortcomings. During this session, they will make the case that the WHO-CHOICE thresholds are not useful for most decision-making in public health because they set the bar for cost-effectiveness too low, omit any consideration of what is truly affordable, and skirt the difficult but necessary ranking of the relative values of locally-applicable interventions. Marseille and Kahn will also offer alternative approaches for applying cost-effectiveness criteria to choices in the allocation of health-care resources.
The information overflow that occurs in the wake of a disaster can paralyze humanitarian response efforts. Computers, mobile phones, social media, mainstream news, earth-based sensors, humanitarian drones, and orbiting satellites generate vast volumes of data during major disasters. Making sense of this flash flood of information, or "Big Data" is proving a perplexing challenge for traditional humanitarian organizations. Aid groups are more adept at dealing with information scarcity than overflow.
To address this problem many organizations are turning to Digital Humanitarians: tech-savvy volunteers who craft and leverage ingenious crowdsourcing solutions with trail-blazing insights from artificial intelligence. This talk charts the rise of Digital Humanitarians and describes how their humanity coupled with innovative solutions to Big Data is changing humanitarian response forever.
An elaborate global Anti Money Laundering system has been constructed over last 25 years. Originally aimed at reducing the drug trade and expanded to target a variety of crimes, it is now more driven by the goal of cutting off terrorist finance and imposing sanctions on countries suspected of acquiring nuclear weapons. The system is sufficiently established that it has received little criticism except at the margins, primarily with respect to how well it is implemented. Yet it is so unevenly implemented across nations, so widely flouted by major banks and with so little claim to either substantive or procedural legitimacy that this silence is hard to understand. A spate of aggressive actions by US prosecutors and regulators has generated a troubling response from the banking industry as it scrambles to reduce risk. Sending remittances to "high risk countries" such as Somalia and Pakistan is becoming increasingly difficult and expensive. Some developing countries are being cut off from the international financial system by denial of correspondent banking privileges with North American and European banks.
The recent emergence of free and fair elections in many developing countries has frequently failed to produce the expected increase in government accountability. For voters to discipline leaders at the ballot box, they must have a minimum level of information, both about the candidates for whom they are voting and the democratic system in which they are participating. The relationship between voter information and political behavior is poorly understood, particularly in young democracies where voters have little understanding about what politicians can and should do for them.
Jessica Gottlieb will present findings from two recent civic education studies in rural Mali. The first study examines how civic education affects voters' scrutiny of politicians' performance as well as their overall political participation. The second study documents the impact on gender dynamics and the participation of women. These field experiments suggest both promise and caution for governments and donor organizations interested in increasing voter access to political information as a means to improving government accountability.
Debt Reduction for Life: Impact of the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries Initiative on Child Mortality
Between 1996 and 2012, 28 Sub-Saharan African countries benefited from $52 billion in debt relief under the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) initiative, launched by the World Bank and IMF. One of the initiative's core objectives was to reduce poverty through improvements in health. The HIPC initiative has been explicitly linked to poverty reduction, but did it meet its goal of improving health outcomes?
To find out, Eric Djimeu looks at differences in participation in the HIPC initiative across countries and time and identifies its effects on child and infant mortality. He finds that participation in the initiative is associated with a 16 percent and 12.5 percent reduction in child and infant mortality, respectively, and that the effects are largest in the poorest countries and countries with a low level of governance and institutional quality. Djimeu also finds the HIPC initiative is associated with a significant increase in government expenditure on education and agriculture, but not on health.
On Tuesday, April 28 at 4:30 p.m., the Center for Global Development will be delighted to host Anne-Marie Slaughter, President and CEO of the New America Foundation, as the speaker for the annual Richard H. Sabot lecture. Dr. Slaughter's talk is entitled "Horizons and Boundaries: What Technology Can Do to Advance Development and What It Cannot".
Now in its tenth year, the Richard H. Sabot Lecture honors the memory of Dick Sabot, a friend, co-author, and founding member of CGD's board of directors.
The lecture will be followed by a reception from 6:00 to 7:00 pm. RSVP
The Center for Global Development and the Brookings Institution are pleased to host Dana J. Hyde for a conversation about MCC's next ten years. The agency recently marked its first decade, providing occasion to reflect on impact, as well as an opportunity to outline a vision for the agency's future.
The event will feature brief remarks from Ms. Hyde, who was confirmed as MCC's fourth CEO in May 2014, followed by discussion of the opportunities and challenges that lie ahead for the agency with Nancy Birdsall and Homi Kharas.
The Institute of Economic Affairs (IEA) in Accra, Ghana, the Center for Global Development (CGD) in Washington DC, and the African School of Economics (ASE) in Cotonou, Benin, are hosting a special event 'Who Will Lead the African Development Bank?' with candidates for the presidency of the African Development Bank on Thursday, April 16th 2015, 10:00 a.m. - 12:00 p.m., in Washington, DC.
Data and measurement are increasingly at the center of debates in African economic development. Last year, the remarkable upward revision of GDP in Nigeria followed the recent GDP revision in Ghana, which led to the declaration of a 'Statistical Tragedy in Africa.' However, the revisions are also a sign that some statistical systems are improving.
This event will launch a special issue of the Journal of Development Studies, titled "Statistical Tragedy in Africa? Evaluating the Data Base for African Economic Development," which features a series of papers on the quality of data on GDP, health, education, poverty, employment, agriculture, and wealth. The event will focus on the extent of the data problem in Africa and assess its implications for both academic interpretations and policy advice. It will also highlight ways both producers and users of key economic data can address the so-called "statistical tragedy" in Africa and help to improve the accuracy, timeliness and availability of key economic data.


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One of the best assessments of the current situation in Israel I have read. This process of polarisation however does not only provide succour to nationalism. Religion is even more insidious as it transcends national borders and facilitates polarised, emotionally fuelled rhetoric based on "faith" based assumptions, not rational, well considered ones, and it's conversation engages with billions not millions of people.
If selected for publication, it will appear as soon as possible on Haaretz.com.


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Produced by MUVA, ZVEREENE and HIBRID
Direction Mimi Antolović and Den Baruca
Camera and light design Uroš Vovk
Music, editing and postprodution Den Baruca / THENVISION
Special thanks to Matevž Paternoster
Styling Danaja Vegelj
Model Aleksander (IMMORTAL MODELS)
Make up Romina Regvat
Hair Matjaž Šiška
All clothes available in HIBRID, Ljubljana.
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Many are unsure of whether the New Jersey governor's once-golden political brand can be salvaged.
Environmental groups see the ruling as narrow and temporary. They need others to see it that way, too.
Here are the winners in the Loop contest to find a great campaign slogan for The Donald.
Who will win the tell-it-like-it-is primary?
It's a different world out West.
Bush's tax returns, in three graphs.
The Office of Personnel Management announced Monday that it was taking the Web-based system used for background investigations offline after a "vulnerability" was discovered.
He held a fundraiser on the sidelines of a cannabis trade show
Huckabee gets the numbers wrong, and make a connection that has not been proven yet.
A trove of correspondence from her first year as secretary of state includes friends and humor.
Inquiry focuses on whether USAID even knows where the facilities it helps to fund are located.
At an appearance in Baltimore, the former senator from Virginia appeared poised to enter the race.
The Obamas hosted 50 Girl Scouts on the South Lawn Tuesday night.
In releasing the data, the Bush team is likely trying to immunize the Republican from attacks that bedeviled Romney, including persistent barbs that Romney wouldn't release enough information about his personal fortune
The Democratic presidential hopeful voluntarily made his 2014 filing available.
The agreement could pave the way for Obama to visit the island nation before the end of his presidency.
But cases the justices hear next term could cause great division.
In her debut campaign video, former Montgomery County council member and former executive director of the Center for Working Families Valerie Ervin announces her bid to represent Maryland's 8th congressional district.
The former Florida governor, who released more than three decades of tax returns, increased his personal wealth considerably since leaving office.
Acting Inspector General Richard Griffin's office was accused by Congress and whistleblowers of protecting VA from criticism.
If it weren't for bad news, Katherine Archuleta would have no news at all.
Democrats and exporters are laying the groundwork for a campaign to revive the bank next month.


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Sunset Cocktails and (free) Live Jazz
- Music
- 420 Park Avenue South, New York, NY, 10021
Ascend: Corporate Carnival-Building the Next Gen Leaders!
Rutgers Ascend Newark
Monday, March 4, 2013 from 11:30 AM to 1:00 PM (EST)
Ascend Rutgers Newark Presents: Corporate Carnival- Building the Next Gen Leaders!
In the midst of the spring recruiting season, we bring to you an exceptional opportunity to connect with the recruiters in a way that Rutgers - Newark has never seen before. Ascend brings to you in the form of our First Annual Corporate Carnival a platform to connect with the recruiters in an extremely casual environment!
Interact with the professionals in an informal setting where you play games at each firms' booth (including golf, plinko, blackjack, wheel of fortune and many more!), take Carnival pictures at the booth, get your questions answered, and make yourself stand out.
For all the students who are trying to get a feel of the cultures of the firms, deciding on what firm's the best for you and for those who are interviewing or looking to get recruited - its an ideal chance for you!
This event is especially important for underclassmen and students who are looking to build relationships with their future employers, as many recruiters will be looking to forge new relationships with up and coming students as well as recruit for summer externships and internships. At the event, we will be joined by numerous firms in a fun and casual setting. Some of the firms are: PwC, Deloitte, KPMG, E&Y, Grant Thornton, CohnReznick, Johnson & Johnson, Becker, Roger CPA and more!
Make use of this one of a kind opportunity! An ideal chance for you to have fun, take a break in the midst of the crazy semester and get yourself noticed in the most fun way you have ever experienced!
There'll be amazing food, games, incredible raffle gifts and what more? EXTRA CREDIT for your Accounting classes! It's a not to miss opportunity!
Dress Code - Business Casual (Dress to impress!)
RSVP and book your spot before it's too late!!!
For any questions please reach out to us at firstname.lastname@example.com
See you there! Keep Ascending!!
Warm Regards,
Ascend Executive Board 2012 - 2013
Join millions of people on Eventbrite.
In order to purchase these tickets in installments, you'll need an Eventbrite account. Log in or sign up for a free account to continue.


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littleBits are LEGO-like pieces of pre-assembled circuitry that can be magnetically snapped together for the easy construction of more complicated circuit board. Just mix-and-match from a phantasmagoria of circuitry to come up with the widget gleaming in your mind's eye. Also LEGO-like: my mechanical incompetence will completely prevent me from building a Flux Capacitor out of littleBits, no matter how scientifically-sound my Flux Capacitor design. littleBits [Official Site]
littleBits: magnetic, LEGO-like circuit board components
• Discuss this post in our forums
2 Responses to "littleBits: magnetic, LEGO-like circuit board components"
I wanna know where the heck that guy got all those random pieces of flat plastic he used in the coffee maker video:
I prefer to call them 'Lil' Bits'
Really cool, particularly for learning about circuits. It looks like it will be able to connect to a computer via USB as well.
I've just sent this around my educational software company to see if people are interested in this concept.


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Originally written on NFL Trade Rumors | Last updated 3/26/13
ESPN's Adam Schefter reports that the Browns have signed QB Jason Campbell. Jason La Canfora reports that Campbell receives a two-year deal. La Canfora adds that Campbell could end up winning the Browns' starting job during training camp. Campbell, 31, had been linked to the Bears, Browns, Jets and Titans before reaching an agreement with Cleveland. It really seemed as though the Browns were the favorites to sign Campbell all along. We have Campbell listed as the No. 29 player in our recently updated Top 50 Free Agents list. The post Report: Browns Sign QB Jason Campbell appeared first on NFL Trade Rumors -.
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On May Day: The Communist Manifestoon
We've put this on Shiraz several times before, but it's so good I just can't resist another showing. And today seems the appropriate day:
Enjoy – and learn (or re-learn) the basics, comrades!
Marx on free speech
Comments on The Latest Prussian Censorship Instruction [39]
Written: between January 15 and February 10, 1842;
First published: in Anekdota zur neuesten deutschen Philosophie und Publicistik, Bd. I, 1843;
Transcribed: in 1998 for marx.org by Sally Ryan; what appears below is an extract. The complete article is here. We publish this extract in the hope of educating some young radicals, especially in the student movement, who seem to think it is the role of the "left" to support censorship and that freedom of speech is a right-wing concept.
"According to this law," namely, Article II, "the censorship should not prevent serious and modest investigation of truth, nor impose undue constraint on writers, or hinder the book trade from operating freely."
The investigation of truth which should not be prevented by the censorship is more particularly defined as one which is serious and modest. Both these definitions concern not the content of the investigation, but rather something which lies outside its content. From the outset they draw the investigation away from truth and make it pay attention to an unknown third thing. An investigation which continually has its eyes fixed on this third element, to which the law gives a legitimate capriciousness, will it not lose sight of the truth? Is it not the first duty of the seeker after truth to aim directly at the truth, without looking to the right or left? Will I not forget the essence of the matter, if I am obliged not to forget to state it in the prescribed form?
Truth is as little modest as light, and towards whom should it be so? Towards itself? Verum index sui et falsi. Therefore, towards falsehood?.
If modesty is the characteristic feature of the investigation, then it is a sign that truth is feared rather than falsehood. It is a means of discouragement at every step forward I take. It is the imposition on the investigation of a fear of reaching a result, a means of guarding against the truth.
Further, truth is general, it does not belong to me alone, it belongs to all, it owns me, I do not own it. My property is the form, which is my spiritual individuality. Le style c'est l'homme. Yes, indeed! The law permits me to write, only I must write in a style that is not mine! I may show my spiritual countenance, but I must first set it in the prescribed folds! What man of honour will not blush at this presumption and not prefer to hide his head under the toga? Under the toga at least one has an inkling of a Jupiter's head. The prescribed folds mean nothing but bonne mine a mauvais jeu.
You admire the delightful variety, the inexhaustible riches of nature. You do not demand that the rose should smell like the violet, but must the greatest riches of all, the spirit, exist in only one variety? I am humorous, but the law bids me write seriously. I am audacious, but the law commands that my style be modest. Grey, all grey, is the sole, the rightful colour of freedom. Every drop of dew on which the sun shines glistens with an inexhaustible play of colours, but the spiritual sun, however many the persons and whatever the objects in which it is refracted, must produce only the official colour! The most essential form of the spirit is cheerfulness, light, but you make shadow the sole manifestation of the spirit; it must be clothed only in black, yet among flowers there are no black ones. The essence of the spirit is always truth itself but what do you make its essence? Modesty. Only the mean wretch is modest, says Goethe, and you want to turn the spirit into such a mean wretch? Or if modesty is to be the modesty of genius of which Schiller speaks, then first of all turn all your citizens and above all your censors into geniuses. But then the modesty of genius does not consist in what educated speech consists in, the absence of accent and dialect, but rather in speaking with the accent of the matter and in the dialect of its essence. It consists in forgetting modesty and immodesty and getting to the heart of the matter. The universal modesty of the mind is reason, that universal liberality of thought which reacts to each thing according to the latter's essential nature.
Further, if seriousness is not to come under Tristram Shandy's definition according to which it is a hypocritical behaviour of the body in order to conceal defects of the soul, but signifies seriousness in substance, then the entire prescription falls to the ground. For I treat the ludicrous seriously when I treat it ludicrously, and the most serious immodesty of the mind is to be modest in the face of immodesty.
Serious and modest! What fluctuating, relative concepts! Where does seriousness cease and jocularity begin? Where does modesty cease and immodesty begin? We are dependent on the temperament of the censor. It would be as wrong to prescribe temperament for the censor as to prescribe style for the writer. If you want to be consistent in your aesthetic criticism, then forbid also a too serious and too modest investigation of the truth, for too great seriousness is the most ludicrous thing of all, and too great modesty is the bitterest irony. Read the rest of this entry »
Pierre Rousett on the Charlie Hebdo killings, Islamism and related matters
The author is a leading member of the United Secretariat of the Fourth International, an organisation that has not always been clear-cut in its analysis of Islamism, so this article is of great significance. It first appeared in International Viewpoint:
After the attacks on Charlie Hebdo and the Hyper Cacher Jewish supermarket: thinking through the new and rethinking the old
By Pierre Rousset
We should start with a worrying observation.
Heads of state understood the importance of the events of January. Representatives of "democracies" and dictatorships alike, they came to Paris and locked arms together to show solidarity "at the highest levels". A spectacular gesture if ever there was one!
On the other hand, a significant segment of the radical Left thought it was just business as usual. To be sure, some organizations published declarations of solidarity (and deserve genuine thanks for this) as well as articles grappling with the significance of the events. But many others felt it was enough to score debating points, correct as they may have been (against cross-party national unity, for example); or had as their first concern the need to distance themselves from the victims (declaring "Je ne suis pas Charlie" ["I am not Charlie"] in flagrant disregard for the message intended by those saying "Je suis Charlie" ["I am Charlie"]); or, far worse, felt the urgent task was to assassinate morally those who had just been assassinated physically.
Soon after the events, I co-wrote an article with François Sabado in which we specifically sought to understand what was so unique about the event and its implications in relation to our tasks. [1] No doubt, much more needs to be said on that score, but I'd like the text that follows (and which deals in large measure with the state of radical-Left opinion) to be read in conjunction with the previous one to avoid pointless repetition.
The unique character of the event
I'll be referring in particular to an interview with Gilbert Achcar, with which I agree on many points of analysis, but which also contains a number of surprising blind spots. The first of these has to do with the unique character of the event. Gilbert seeks to trivialize the whole affair. "The reaction [to the attacks] has been what anybody would expect. […] These were quite similar reactions from appalled and frightened societies [the USA after 911 and France now] — and, of course, the crimes were appalling indeed. In both cases, the ruling class took advantage of the shock […] There is nothing much original about all this. Instead, what is rather original is the way the discussion evolved later on." [2]
Gilbert is quite right to point out [elsewhere in the same interview] that it is extremely exaggerated to place the Charlie Hebdo attack and the September 2001 destruction of the World Trade Center Twin Towers on the same footing. And yet millions of people spontaneously took to the streets following the French events, unlike what happened following previous no less atrocious attacks, such as the murder of children in front of a Jewish school in Toulouse.
The Anti-Imperialism of Fools: A Cautionary Tale for the Brit Anti-War Left
Above: about as "anti- imperialist"-foolish as you can get: Rees, Murray and Galloway
By Camilla Bassi
'The Anti-Imperialism of Fools'
The day after 9/11 I attended a local Socialist Alliance committee meeting in Sheffield, England, as a representative of the revolutionary socialist organisation, the Alliance for Workers' Liberty.The Socialist Workers' Party (SWP) comrades present discussed the 9/11 attack as regrettable in terms of the loss of life but as nonetheless understandable.They acknowledged the attack as tactically misguided, yet refused (when pressed to do so) to condemn it. Later, in November 2001, at a public meeting of the Sheffield Socialist Alliance, I shared a platform with a then national committee member of the SWP to debate the US and UK war in Afghanistan. Besides from agreeing on opposition to the imperialist war onslaught, I was alone on the platform in raising opposition to the Islamist Taliban rule and in arguing for labour movement solidarity with forces such as the Revolutionary Association of Women of Afghanistan (RAWA), which resist both imperialism and Islamism and demand a rogressive, democratic secular alternative.
The SWP comrades present, both on the platform and from the floor, alleged a political error on my part and those who argued along with me. Their rationale was that, to fully oppose the War on Terror, we had a duty to oppose the main enemy and greater evil – US and UK imperialism – and this alone. Anything else, they argued, would alienate the masses of disillusioned, angry British Muslim youth that socialists needed to win over.
The SWP's dual camp of 'my enemy's enemy is my friend' (a socialistic inversion of imperialist war discourse of 'the status quo versus regression') came to dominate England's anti-war movement. They publicly launched their initiative the Stop the War Coalition (StWC) ten days after 9/11, with the aim of mobilising a broad political grouping against the War on Terror.
Since then the SWP vanguard of the StWC has, at critical moments, steered the political course that England's anti-war protests have taken. Read the rest of this entry »
The most important recent article on imperialism you'll read
Marxism and imperialism
Lenin's theory has been turned into dogma
By Martin Thomas
(First published in 1996)
We are not a government party; we are the party of irreconcilable opposition…. Our tasks… we realize not through the medium of bourgeois governments… but exclusively through the education of the masses through agitation, through explaining to the workers what they should defend and what they should overthrow. Such a 'defence' cannot give immediate miraculous results. But we do not even pretend to be miracle workers. As things stand, we are a revolutionary minority. Our work must be directed so that the workers on whom we have influence should correctly appraise events, not permit themselves to be caught unawares, and prepare the general sentiment of their own class for the revolutionary solution of the tasks confronting us.
Leon Trotsky
By the end of the '60s, what had once been 'the pride' of Marxism – the theory of imperialism – had become a 'Tower of Babel', in which not even Marxists knew any longer how to find their way.
Giovanni Arrighi [1]
There is not, nor can there be, such a thing as a 'negative' Social-Democratic slogan that serves only to 'sharpen proletarian consciousness against imperialism' without at the same time offering a positive answer to the question of how Social-Democracy will solve the problem when it assumes power. A 'negative' slogan unconnected with a definite positive solution will not sharpen, but dull, consciousness, for such a slogan is a hollow phrase, meaningless declamation.
V I Lenin [2]
If European capitalism needed colonies in the first half of this century, why has it not collapsed without them in the second half? If early 20th century imperialism marked 'the highest stage of capitalism', the 'epoch of capitalist decay' – as revolutionary Marxists wrote at the time – what is the late 20th century?
To answer these questions we must first clear away much confusion. Though Lenin's famous pamphlet on imperialism is one of the finest polemics in the whole of Marxist politics, the 'Leninist orthodoxy' which made it, or rather a garbled version of it, into the master-textbook of twentieth-century world politics and economics has confused rather than clarified. The concepts of 'export of capital', 'finance capital', or 'monopoly capital' as the essence of the matter are – so I shall argue – neither special theoretical innovations of Lenin, nor adequate keys for an understanding of imperialism in a broader view of history.
Imperialism and high finance: Kautsky builds on Engels to answer Bernstein
Maybe the first big classical-Marxist statement on imperialism was by Karl Kautsky, in 1899, replying to Eduard Bernstein's call for a 'Revision' of the perspective of Marx and Engels.
In the 1890s Engels had identified monopolies, cartels, credit and high finance as expressions that classic individual capitalism was decaying and becoming 'socialistic', but in an upside-down way which sharpened plunder, swindling, and crises. Colonialism was a profit-making venture of the new financial aristocracy. [4]
Bernstein argued, on the contrary, that the new trends made capitalism more open to peaceful and piecemeal progress. Credit gave the system more flexibility. Industrial cartels (associations of companies bound together by agreements on production levels, prices and sales) gave the capitalists more conscious control. They could avoid overproduction by mutual agreement. The growth of the world market, and improvements in communications and transport, also made the system more flexible. Capitalism could probably postpone 'general commercial crises' for a long time.
Bernstein criticised the way the German government pursued its imperialist policy, but argued that the trend was towards peace and harmony between nations. 'The workman who has equal rights as a voter… who… is a fellow owner of the common property of the nation, whose children the community educates, whose health it protects, whom it secures against injury, has a fatherland…', and so should oppose Germany being 'repressed in the council of the nations'. Moreover: 'Onlya conditional right of savages to the land occupied by them can be recognised. The higher civilisation ultimately can claim a higher right.'[5]
Bernstein's scenario of peace and free trade was an illusion, replied Kautsky. 'Protective tariffs are easier introduced than abolished, especially in a period of such raging competition on the world market… Free trade! For the capitalists that is an ideal of the past.' Bernstein claimed that speculation was a disease of capitalism's infancy. But infant capitalism was being promoted across the world by the 'overflowing capitals of the older countries… Argentinian and Transvaal speculation holds its 'wildest orgies' not only in Buenos Aires and Johannesburg, but equally in the venerable City of London.'
And colonialism, Kautsky insisted, was inseparable from militarism and the despoiling of colonial peoples for the benefit of 'the modern kings of finance [who] dominate nations directly through cartels and trusts and subject all production to their power'. [6]
'The financier,' Kautsky went on to argue, 'finds militarism and a strong active governmental policy, both external and internal, very agreeable. The kings of finance need not fear a strong governmental power, independent of people and Parliament, because they can rule such a power directly either as bondholders [i.e., as people who lend money to the government], or else through personal and social influences. In militarism, war and public debts they have a direct interest, not only as creditors, but also as government contractors…
'It is wholly different with industrial capital. Militarism, war and public debts signify high taxes… War signifies besides this… a break in trade… A strong governmental power arouses anxiety in [the industrial manager] because he cannot directly control it… he inclines rather to liberalism… [But] The opposition between finance and industry continually decreases… finance ever more and more dominates industry.'[7]
Much of Kautsky's argument was a Marxist conversion of ideas which were to be summed up with great verve by the English radical liberal, J A Hobson, in a book motivated by the Boer War (Imperialism, 1902).
'The Imperialism of the last three decades,' wrote Hobson, 'is clearly condemned as a business policy, in that at enormous expense it has procured a small, bad, unsafe increase of markets, and has jeopardised the entire wealth of the nation in rousing the strong resentment of other nations.' But imperialism continued because, 'the business interests of the nation as a whole are subordinated to those of certain sectional interests.'
Arms contractors, some exporters, the shipping trade, the military, and those who wanted jobs for their sons in the Indian Civil Service, all had an interest in imperialism. But 'the governor of the imperial engine' was 'the great financial houses', which were investing abroad at such a rate.
'The economic taproot of Imperialism' was overproduction and glut of capital. 'Messrs Rockefeller, Pierpoint Morgan [etc.] need Imperialism because they desire to use the public resources of their country to find profitable employment for the capital which would otherwise be superfluous.'
Imperialism was also parasitic. 'To a larger extent every year Great Britain is becoming a nation living upon tribute from abroad, and the classes who enjoy this tribute have an ever-increasing incentive to employ the public policy, the public purse and the public force to extend the field of their private investments, and to safeguard and improve their existing investments. This is, perhaps, the most important fact in modern politics.'[8]
The overproduction and glut were due to inequality of income. The workers could not consume much because of low wages; the capitalists could not possibly use all of their huge incomes on luxuries, and thus had vast amounts left seeking investment. Balance should be restored through social reform, higher wages, more spending on public services. This would lead to more balanced national economies and less searching for markets abroad.
Kautsky saw a similar permanent glut. 'If the capitalist mode of production raises the mass production of goods to the utmost, it also limits to a minimum the mass consumption of the workers who produce these goods, and therefore produces an ever greater surplus of goods for personal consumption…'[9] He differed from Hobson in arguing that this glut would be resolved by the collapse of capitalism and the socialist revolution, rather than by 'social reform', and in contending that finance-capital dominated, rather than being only a 'sectional interest' counterposed to 'the business interests of the nation as a whole'.
Another difference was that Hobson used the word 'imperialism', where the German Marxists at this stage would use a term like 'world policy'. 'Imperialism' was not special Marxist jargon: on the contrary. The Marxists took over the term from the common usage of British bourgeois politics – where some, like Rosebery, called themselves 'Liberal Imperialists', others, like Hobson, anti-imperialists. They used it in the same sense as common usage – the new aggressive colonial and world-economic policy of the big powers – and sought to uncover its economic roots in the rise of high finance.
Many of the core ideas of the whole literature were already expressed by 1902: militarism, colony-grabbing, conflict and an authoritarian state as the political trends; high finance, economic decadence and glut, and export of capital, as the economic underpinnings.
But what exactly was finance capital? This question was never properly resolved. And the recurrent idea of metropolitan capitalism having become 'glutted' would also cause confusion.
Effective demand depends not only on consumption but also on investment; and, in fact, fluctuations in demand for investment goods are generally the prime movers in crises. Demand for those investment goods can soar while final consumption stagnates – and, vice versa, the run-up to a crisis is generally a period of unusually high working-class consumption but sagging investment.
'Overproduction' is not a permanent condition; capitalism constantly sheds overproduction through crises and then builds it up again. The relation between supply and demand for money-capital is determined by the tempo of self-expansion of capital. It is a relation between profits accumulated from past capitalist exploitation, and profits available from present capitalist exploitation. The spasmodic nature of capitalist development means that this supply-and-demand relation is constantly falling out of balance and generating 'surpluses' of money-capital. But those surpluses are a function of the cycle of boom and slump, not of any absolute level at which an economy becomes 'full up' of capital.
The notion of an absolute level after which a capitalist economy will become permanently 'glutted' and awash with surplus capital is a recurrent theme in mainstream economics, from Adam Smith to Keynes. It has been attractive to socialists because it seems to show that capitalism must inevitably break down. It is misleading.
Tom Cashman: talking, explaining, and telling the truth
We carried a piece honouring Comrade Tom shortly after his death in August. But this appreciation, which also appears in the AWL's paper Solidarity, is the best and most politically astute article about Tom I've yet seen. It is also very moving and the author, Mick O'Sullivan, was probably Tom's oldest and closest political friend. I'm proud to be able to post it here at Shiraz, with the author's unhesitating agreement:
I knew Tom as a friend and comrade since the early
Tom was someone who had a hinterland; his interests
spanned good whiskey, particle physics, a love of Sean
O'Casey's plays, modernist architecture, and an encyclopaedic
knowledge of schisms in the Catholic Church,
which quite frankly bemused me. Tom was a very rounded
person and a very humorous one.
But I want to say something about Tom the public man.
Tom was a Marxist, an atheist and trade unionist who dedicated
his life to the working class and had an unwavering
conviction that socialism was the only hope of humanity.
Tom's main arena of activity was within the unions and
in particular the T&G [later Unite].
Although he was active in the 1970s, his misfortune was
to come of age when the union movement was in decline.
That, however, was the movement's gain. It meant much of
his activity was about holding the line; he did this by explaining
to those who had forgotten, and those who had
never known, what a trade union should do, and how a
trade unionist should conduct themselves.
He often made the point to me that there were no shortcuts,
no tricks to this, all we can do is talk and explain.
What I think gave his approach such a sharp edge was his
decision to consistently tell the truth. Now some may say
so what, what's the big deal about telling the truth? Well,
all I can say is, you try it inside a trade union.
Talking, explaining and saying what needs to be done
next is what Tom did, and others will testify to his importance
within the T&G and its left.
However Tom was also vilified for his views. While we
often joked about this, the wellspring of this enmity towards
him arose from what he stood for.
If you think about it, there were always going to be those
who did not like the fact he was principled, that he fought
against Stalinist influence within the union, that he was incorruptible;
the idea that a trip to Cuba or America would
turn his head and him into someone's creature was never
going to happen, although I have seen people try. On the
most mundane of levels there were those who resented
him because he always turned up to meetings having read
the paperwork, and they had not.
For all these reasons people kicked against Tom, yet in all
the years I knew him I never once heard him get angry
about such people; his duty was to explain. His political
enemies and comrades were a different matter. He was always
ready to have the argument.
Of course there are many trade unionists with similar
qualities. However no-one exhibited these qualities in quite
the same way or with quite the same mix as Tom.
In our world where we measure our actions and our victories
in a lower case, Tom played a huge role in holding
the movement together and provided real insights in how
we should rebuild it.
I cannot think of anyone who has acquitted themselves
in our cause with greater dedication. As for me
I have lost a dear friend and the staunchest of comrades
Remember the First International 150 years ago: remember the Kurds today!
By johnj
(right: Marx addresses the inaugural meeting of the First International)
150 years ago today the First International (the 'International Working Men's Association' ) was in founded in London by the likes of Marx, Engels and Bakunin. It earned establishment hatred for its support for the Paris Commune in 1871.
Today, in Kobanê, northern Syria, Kurdish women and men are heroically resisting the barbarous forces of ISIS – with almost no international support.
Don't believe the media hype about US air strikes – in Syrian Kurdistan these have so far been minimal and ineffective, unlike in Iraqi Kurdistan where US jets have protected Erbil, a city of Western consulates and oil companies.
ISIS in Syrian Kurdistan is using US tanks and heavy artillery seized when it captured Mosul in northern Iraq. It spreads inhuman terror: when these mercenaries captured one Syrian Kurd village last week they decapitated a disabled woman who had no legs.
The brave Kurds of the YPG/YPJ are resisting with AK47s and largely home-made armour. And with their hearts.
They draw courage from their national pride and their democratic, secular, egalitarian values. The same values that inspired those internationalists who gathered in London on 28 September 1864. And those who went to fight fascism in Spain in the 1930s.
What about us, today?


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- Resiliency Is A High Priority As Tolerance For Downtime And Data Loss Lowers
- Disaster Recovery Services Providers Evaluation Overview
- Vendors Improved Platform Support And Advanced Recovery Capabilities
- Vendor Profiles
- Supplemental Material
- Related Research Documents