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gummy wrote:Mamma mia!
Simba, you is so fast!
I wuz still workin' on rev5j when you done finished rev5k with the probability stuff included.
About Ito, the lognormal distribution of prices at time T (starting with price Po) is:
I just stuck in the parameters r, s and Po, using your data.
simba wrote:jms - I updated the spreadsheet with gummy's changes.
Latest version rev5k can be downloaded here
Honestly I can't say I understand everything he did there. I am still reading about Ito's calculus and sortino ratio.
gummy wrote:jms969:
Thanks for the link to all them thar spreadsheets.
I reckon I gotta steal some things to add to this collection:**
** Thievery is my favourite hobby ...
edge wrote:I think the past few exchanges illustrate the need for a collaborative tool to help streamline updates and availability - google spreadsheets could work here. If any more assistance is required to understand how to set this up I could volunteer to help.
In any case, the changes are pretty cool.
Agreed! Now if we can only reduce the pressure (and sweat) on Simba.But one person, Simba, (or small committee) still needs ultimate say over what is and is not accepted for the release version...
gummy wrote:Agreed! Now if we can only reduce the pressure (and sweat) on Simba.But one person, Simba, (or small committee) still needs ultimate say over what is and is not accepted for the release version...
The google spreadsheets can't handle all of Excel's functionality ... but it's cheeep, eh?
If Simba agrees, I can collect revisions, stick them on my website then PM Simba so he can check them out and decide it they're acceptable.
Could either of you explain what the graph showing the "Probability of achieving less than 1000$P in 15 years" means?
After I entered the % of my allocations nothing appeared on the graphs. Am I missing a step? My total allocation comes to 100%
the sharpe ratio calculations don't take compounding into effect ... they use Average(portfolio returns)-Average(tbill returns) to get the excess returns. it should be
Eric White wrote:Do fellow Diehards feel it would be useful to add costs for each investment choice (absolute return - cost - inflation = real investor return) and include them in calculations? Sorry if it's already in there...
edge wrote:I think the correlation numbers are wrong in this one too :p (?)
edge wrote:I think the data source for EM has a developed market index listed - this does not seem correct.
gbs wrote:Simba,
I think it will be interesting to add the results for the un-rebalanced portfolio as well.
I did some testing on my own and in most cases for an all stock portfolio the returns as well as stdev go up.
edge wrote:Hi,
I think some of the "real" returns are wrong, looks like one of the columns used in the equation are wrong.
It would be better if the inflation column was $'ed so the equation could just be copied/pasted.
A minor issue, one of the graph legend has "rebalanced" portfolio when it should be "unrebalanced"
P2 P3 P4 P5 in the portfolio comparision section
Real returns are the same as nominal returns.
sterjs wrote:Interesting Result: Commodities don't improve Sharpe Ratios much for diversified portfolios, but they improve Sortino Ratios substantially.
I also messed around with the allocations and produced a portfolio that never had a losing year:
65% ST Treasuries
15% Commodities
10% U.S. Small Value
05% EAFE Value
05% Emerging Markets
Std. Dev. 4.62%
Sharpe 0.87
Sortino 2.97
P.S. The Intl Value looks strange to me... was there really only a .27% Value premium in EAFE from 72-2006?
Peppe wrote:Can you add VG extended market or other S&P completion type index? My 401k doesn't have total stock market, but has S&P 500 and the Russell small cap completion index. I used mid cap blend in place of it, but the completion index is more volatile than the VG mid cap.
Thanks for all your hard work this spreadsheet is fun to tinker with and is very helpful.
Zapped wrote:I can't edit the blue boxes (OO says their protected cells)
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From PureMatters.com
Worry about getting breast cancer? Turn anxiety into action. Some risk factors for breast cancer -- such as the age you started menstruating -- can't be changed, but these key habits help reduce your cancer risk, no matter when you start.
Keep moving. Exercise lowers levels of estrogen, which is linked to breast cancer. It's best to get 45 to 60 minutes of heart-thumping activity most days of the week, but moderate levels (30 minutes, 5 days a week) can make a difference. And you're never too old to start and get the benefits: A study in the British Medical Journal showed that postmenopausal women (along with those with a normal body mass index) get more of a benefit from regular sweat sessions than other women.
Get -- and stay -- slim. After menopause, obese women have double the risk of breast cancer compared with women of a healthy weight. But weight gain among previously trim women also bodes ill. "Gaining even 20 pounds of weight as an adult increases risk," says Heather Spencer Feigelson, PhD, MPH, strategic director of genetic epidemiology at the American Cancer Society.
Take vitamin D. More and more studies demonstrate the cancer-fighting power of vitamin D. According to a report at a meeting of the American Society of Clinical Oncologists, breast cancer patients who were deficient in vitamin D were 94 percent more likely to have their cancer spread than women with adequate D levels. "I advise women to take 800 to 1,000 IU a day," says Andrew Kaunitz, MD, a professor of obstetrics and gynecology at the University of Florida College of Medicine-Jacksonville.
Pass on another glass of wine. Data from the National Cancer Institute shows that women who have one or two drinks daily increase the risk of the most common kind of breast cancer by 32 percent -- and those who drink more hike their risk by 51 percent. Experts recommend no more than a glass a day.
Keep hormones temporary. Long-term use of hormone therapy can increase breast cancer risk, the Women's Health Initiative demonstrated -- and research shows the heightened risk persists several years after you stop. Take hormones only if menopausal symptoms are unmanageable, and limit time on the therapy to no more than five years. Consider alternatives, such as herbal remedies for hot flashes.
No matter how healthy the choices you make, it's still key to watch for any changes in your breasts and keep in touch with your doctor on a recommended screening schedule.
For more healthy living news and features, visit PureMatters.com -- and don't forget to stop by the Pure Matters Shop for all your vitamin and supplement needs.
Source: Pure Matters http://www.purematters.com/prevention/breast-cancer/five-habits-that-help-fight-breast-cancer


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The New Galleries for 19th- and Early 20th-Century European Paintings and Sculpture are reopening with renovated rooms and 8,000 square feet of additional gallery space—the Henry J. Heinz II Galleries—to showcase works from 1800 through the early twentieth century. The renovated galleries feature all of the Museum's most loved nineteenth-century paintings, which have been on permanent display in the past, as well as works by Bonnard, Vuillard, Soutine, Matisse, Picasso, and other early modern artists. Among the many additions are a full-room assembly of "The Wisteria Dining Room," a French art nouveau interior designed by Lucien Levy Dhurmer shortly before World War I that is the only complete example of its kind in the United States; Henry Lerolle's enormous The Organ Rehearsal (a church interior of 1885); a group of newly accessioned nineteenth-century landscape oil sketches; and a selection of rarely exhibited paintings by an international group of artists.
Art and Design in the Modern Age provides an intriguing overview of The Wolfsonian's exceptional holdings and showcases the museum's collection, which spans the period 1885 to 1945. The nearly 300 works on display provide insight into the ways design has influenced and adapted to the modern world. The installation explores the many focal points of The Wolfsonian's collection, including design-reform movements, architecture, urbanism, industrial design, transportation, world's fairs, advertising, political propaganda, and labor iconography.
Inaugurated in November 1996, this ongoing exhibition is periodically updated.
With the support of the Culture Programme of the European Union


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Report Fiji Bird Week June 2012-1
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Art art workshop Botanical Art Daku Resort Diving diving in fiji Dolphins eco tours Elena Parashko family holidays fiji diving Gloria Loughman Jan Cornall Kerrie Lester Leonie Norton mark whitwell Mike Smith Music nia nia dance Painting painting workshop Paradise Courses quilting in Fiji quilting workshop Rachel Hore rosie scott Savusavu Singing Snorkeling snorkeling holiday snorkelling sophie marsh tropical fish Writers Workshop Writing writing retreat Writing Retreats Writing Workshops Yoga Yoga in Fiji Yoga Retreat yoga retreats yoga retreats in fiji Yoga Shala
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Thomas & Friends
Winter SurpriseSeries Website »
Episode Guide »
Vermont PBS educates, informs, entertains and inspires Vermonters to be lifelong learners and engaged in their community.
John Killacky of The Flynn Center talks about the importance of PBS, and showcasing great art like the upcoming Independent Lens film, "Born to Fly." Watch the video!
Original series, specials, documentaries and web shows produced by Vermont PBS
Holly is on a mission to get to know more Vermonters, what inspires them, what makes them tick, and to learn how Vermont PBS can better serve. Watch the video...
10 finalists from Vermont high schools brought their performances to the Vermont PBS studio for the state finals competition. Watch these captivating presentations now!
Check out winning Vermont entries to the 2015 PBS Kids Writers Contest!
Learn about our second HD broadcast service offering alternative programming and more content from local and regional producers.
Vermont PBS Announces First Recipient of Public Media Ambassador Award
Vermont PBS is pleased to recognize Vermont native Raney Aronson-Rath with its first annual Vermont Public Media Ambassador Award, in recognition of Vermonters whose vision and leadership are advancing the role of public media in the digital age. Read the press release. Just in: Raney Aronson named executive producer for Frontline!


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Home » Song » CONVENTUM: Le bureau Central Des Utopies
CONVENTUM: Le bureau Central Des Utopies
Second and last release from this important band. Now stripped back to a quartet (Duchesne, Lussier, Cormier and Laurin, with Painchaud still on board) they remained equally inventive and versatile. Actually more so, by some distance. This is a record that sets a standard extraordinarily hard to beat. The title track is breathtakingly accomplished and imaginative and there are two great, and long, extra tracks. If you like one of these CDs you will want both. Again, nicely repackaged with good notes in French and English.L
Code: MPM13
Price: £14.50


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I'm not the Poll Troll, but I couldn't help passing on this PPP poll. It turns out, Congress is more popular than the Kardashians, but less popular than Nickelback.
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"Oh my God. I'm back. I'm home. All the time, it was... We finally really did it ... You Maniacs! You blew it up! Ah, damn you! God damn you all to hell!"
We are switching to the new platform for The DataLounge this weekend. All of our mobile users have been using it for over a week and all first time users have been using it for about a month - which adds up to well over one million users. So we're ready to end this phase of the testing and move everybody to the new site. (more)
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Smoking During Pregnancy Center - New Bedford, MA
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Stats: CWFC in 2014
Some facts and figures from another big year for Cage Warriors Fighting Championship.
McLeman joins Cage Warriors
English middleweight Harry McLeman has signed a five-fight CWFC deal.
Results: Cage Warriors 74
Champions Nicolas Dalby and Pannie Kianzad were the big winners at the Copper Box Arena in London.
Weigh-in results: Cage Warriors 74
All 26 fighters are on weight for Cage Warriors 74 in London.
Cage Warriors 74: London
Check out everything you need to know about Cage Warriors 74 in London, England, on Saturday, November 15.
Mulpeter withdraws from CWFC 74
An injury to Philip Mulpeter means Tom Breese will now face Thibaud Larchet at the Copper Box Arena in London this Saturday.
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The current Cage Warriors schedule of shows for 2014 is as follows:
London, England | February 15
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Swansea, Wales | April 12
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Liverpool, England | May 3
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Youthful, fun and flirty the Ashley Benson dresses offer a beautiful burst of bright color, sassiness and sparkle to the normal party dresses while adding a young streak to their occasion dresses. The Ashley Benson dresses are for those Faviana girls who love their dresses to be as bright and bold as their personalities. From tempting teals and fabulous fuchsias, to red-hot dresses the Ashley Benson dresses are for those girls who love to get noticed!
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By Chaya Kurtz, Networx
The curb value of your house depends on one thing: the buyer's first impression. If you want to know how to increase the value of a home, think about how you would feel walking up to the sidewalk as you approach a house you might buy. The first thing you would notice is the exterior of the house. Picture the difference between a modern, orderly, attractive exterior and a house with gutters falling off and a pile of old tires in the driveway. If you want to increase the resale value of your house, you need to grab the buyer at first glance with a clean, neat, beautiful exterior. Homeowners who maintain their house's exterior can expect a yearly home value increase. The sweat equity that you put in will increase home value.
Sprucing up the exterior of your house is a less expensive way to increase home value than you might think. You can do many of these home improvement projects it yourself, but some will require the assistance of a qualified contractor . You can easily recoup the cost of the following exterior home repairs. They will increase the value of your home, and most will not make a major dent in your wallet.


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Men and Women's Tennis Each Drop 8-1 Decision at Queens
February 29, 2012
CHARLOTTE, N.C. - The Pfeiffer University men's and women's tennis teams were swept by Queens University of Charlotte in Conference Carolinas action on Wednesday afternoon. Both sets of Falcons lost 8-1 with both points coming in singles play.
Alena Krutkina picked up the lone point for the Lady Falcons with a straight-set, 6-3, 6-4 victory over Elena Mileva in #1 singles action. For the men, Diego Oliveira scored the win at #6 singles after dropping the first set. Oliveira became victorious 5-7, 6-4, 10-4 over Gustavo Munhoz.
Weather permitting, both teams will be back in action on Saturday hosting Erskine at the Knapp Tennis Center beginning at 10:00 a.m.


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Sizeable Grants ($5000+)
|It is our true belief that there is a "forever family" for each of our waiting orphans with special needs. The purpose of Reece's Rainbow is to raise funds as adoption grants, to help potential adoptive families with the high cost of giving these children the life they so richly deserve.
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If outdoor sports or fishing is your hobby of choice, then you are on the right page! Our sports and fishing hats include all kinds of outdoor styles and designs such as Australian, floatable nylon, oxford, boonie, canvas, fisherman, deluxe mesh bucket caps, and many more. These hats are made from cotton, nylon, or polyester material. You can choose from solid colors, camouflage designs, and crown decorated styles. These hats are the perfect accessory for hiking, camping, fishing, travel, and many other outdoor activities. These fishing hats can be worn by both men and women all day, any season of the year. We also offer big sizes for those who have larger heads and have a hard time finding a hat that fits just right. Don't hesitate to make the next move; this hat will be an essential item in your travel luggage at one time or another.


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WebMD Physician Directory
Biloxi, Mississippi
Dog Bite (Treatment)
Dog bite facts
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Emergency Contact for Biloxi
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VA Medical Center
Keesler Medical Center
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Transferred from the Smithsonian Institution to the United States National Museum.
Physical Description:
Small propeller used for aerodynamic testing only. Not used for flight trials on aircraft or models. Constructed from narrow wooden strips glued together similar to boat planking and then sanded to a smooth airfoil cross section. Tips reinforced with paper. Hub reinforced with a 1/16 inch (0.2 cm) thick metal plate mounted with screws, on one side only. Shaft hole reinforced with metal tube.


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Aug 22, 2013
Empresa Nacional del Petroleo (ENAP) has agreed to sell its stakes in Primax gas station operations in Ecuador and...
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May 28 - 29, 2015 | The Conrad, Tokyo, Japan
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Returning to Chile for its ninth edition. The region's best attended capital markets event gathers...
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Will a strong dollar deter investors from LatAm bonds?
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Beta Thalassemia Center - Wheaton, IL
Wheaton Hematologist Doctors for Beta Thalassemia
Type of Physician: Hematologist
What is a Hematologist?
A subspecialty certification by the Board of Internal Medicine or Pathology; Hematologists treat diseases of the blood, spleen, and lymph glands such as anemia, clotting disorders, sickle cell disease, hemophilia, leukemia, and lymphoma. They perform special types of transfusions and biopsy the bone marrow for analysis.
Specialty: Hematology
Common Name: Blood Doctor
Hematologist Doctors in Wheaton *
Elmhurst Memorial Hemat Oncol
Quest Diagnostics Laboratory
Verne A Schwager MD
Marius O Mokwe MD
Rush University Medical Center
Kellogg Cancer Center
Kellogg Cancer Center
16Th Medical Center
Affiliated Oncologist
Norwegian-American Hosp Spec
Saint Anthony Physicians Center
Alverno Laboratories
University Of Illinois HEM/ONC
University Of Illinois Cncr Ctr
University Of Illinois Cncr Ctr
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Rush Univ Med Ctr Ped & Adl
Augusta Clinic
Advocate Illinois Masonic Phys
Weiss Memorial Hospital Int Med
NW Suburban Onc Hem Associates
North Memorial Hosp Hemat/Onclg
Northwestern Memorial Hospital
Northwestern Memorial Hmtlgy
Univ Chcg Mdcl Ctr Hem Onc
Cancer Treatment Center America
Wheaton, Illinois
Beta Thalassemia
Thalassemia facts
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Emergency Contact for Wheaton
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Central Dupage Hospital
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Marianjoy Rehab Hospital
Edward Hospital
Linden Oaks At Edward
Elmhurst Memorial Hospital
Streamwood Behavioral Hlth Ctr
Adventist Hinsdale Hospital
Alexian Brothers Medical Center
RML Specialty Hospital
Kindred Hospital Northlake
Delnor Community Hospital
Adventist Lagrange Mem Hosp
Rush Copley Medical Center
Provena Mercy Medical Center
Adventist Bolingbrook Hospital
Alexian Brothers Behavioral Hlt
St Alexius Medical Center
Westlake Community Hospital
Elgin Mental Health Center
Gottlieb Memorial Hospital
Loyola Univ Med Ctr
Riveredge Hospital
Edward Hines Jr VA Hospital
John J Madden Mental Health Ctr
Northwest Community Hospital
Rush Oak Park Hospital
Provena Saint Joseph Hospital
Macneal Hospital
Shriners Hospital For Children
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Chicago-Read Mental Health Ctr
Holy Family Medical Center
Resurrection Medical Center
Hartgrove Hospital
Loretto Hospital
Sherman Hospital
Advocate Lutheran General Hosp
Lutheran General Children's Hos
Our Lady Resurrection Med Ctr
Kindred Chicago Central Hosp
Palos Community Hospital
RML Specialty Hospital
Glenbrook Hospital
Sacred Heart Hospital
Stateville Correctional Center
Norwegian American Hospital
Saint Anthony Hospital
Schwab Rehabilitation Hospital
Advocate Christ Medical Center
Saint Mary & Elizabeth Med Ctr
Saints Mary & Elizabeth Med Ctr
Jesse Brown VA Medical Center
John Stroger Hospital
Kindred Hospital Chicago North
Holy Cross Hospital
Swedish Covenant Hospital
Johnston R Bowman Health Center
University Of Illinois Hospital
Advocate Good Shepherd Hospital
Mount Sinai Hospital
Rush University Medical Center
Skokie Hospital
Abraxas Youth And Family Svs
Provena Saint Joseph Med Center
Little Company Of Mary Hospital
Methodist Hospital Of Chicago
Advocate Illinois Masonic Med
Thorek Memorial Hospital
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Weiss Memorial Hospital
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Mouth Guards Center - Murfreesboro, TN
WebMD Physician Directory
Murfreesboro, Tennessee
Mouth Guards
Who Needs a Mouth Guard?
Mouth guards should be used by
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Middle Tennessee Medical Center
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Parthanon Pavilion
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Skyline Madison Campus
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Search information on David Rosenblum with searches on PeopleFinders.com. We have a many different ways to find people in our large database of public records that includes known relatives, prior addresses, aliases, and more. David Rosenblum is located in Durango, CO. Their relatives include Jason Rosen.
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