text:
Sen. Lautenberg Remembered As 'Lifesaver' For Russian Jews
Washington – New Jersey Senator Frank Lautenberg whose signature law facilitated a flood of Soviet Jewish emigration just prior to the collapse of the Soviet Union, died Monday morning of viral pneumonia after serving for more than thirty years in Washington.
Those who were closest to the 89-year-old Democrat said the law that had the most meaning for him was the one that bears his name.
The Lautenberg Amendment, passed in 1989 and enacted in 1990, facilitated the emigration of Soviet Jews by relaxing the stringent standards for refugee status, granting immigrant status to those who could show religious persecution in their native lands.
At a tribute in New York to Lautenberg last week hosted by Hillel: The Foundation for Jewish Campus Life, Lautenberg's wife, Bonnie, called the amendment his "proudest achievement." Bonnie Lautenberg accepted the award in his stead because the senator was too ill to attend.
Mark Hetfield, the president of the Hebrew Immigrant Aid Society, the leading Jewish immigrant advocacy group, said Lautenberg's final legacy may be making his amendment permanent.
The amendment now requires renewal every year, and at times has been threatened when Congress cannot agree on a budget, as was the case this year.
An amendment authored by Lautenberg to the immigration overhaul now under consideration in Congress would allow the president to fund the Lautenberg provisions without congressional approval. The amendment was part of a package approved last month by the Judiciary Committee, and the odds are that the full bill will pass.
"The law has been a lifesaver for hundreds of thousands of people who have fled religious persecution," Hetfield said.
"When he became involved in electoral Jewish politics, he didn't forget his Jewish involvement," said Mark Levin, the director of NCSJ, formerly the National Council of Soviet Jewry. "He became one of the leading advocates for Jews in the Soviet Union."
Another far-reaching law that bears the name of the New Jersey Democrat passed in 1996, banning the sales of guns to those convicted of domestic violence.
Lautenberg grew up in Paterson, N.J., the son of poor Jewish immigrants from Poland and Russia. He liked to say his parents "could not pass on valuables, but left me a legacy of values," according to a release from his office.
He served in the U.S. Army Signal Corps in World War II and then earned a degree in economics at Columbia University through the G.I. Bill. The role of government in giving a poor kid from Paterson a shot at an Ivy League education undergirded Lautenberg's subsequent commitment to social justice.
He started Automatic Data Processing and built it into the largest data processing firm in the world by 1974, when he became chairman of the United Jewish Appeal. Within a year Lautenberg had increased its charitable intake to the second-highest level in its history — an extraordinary accomplishment at a time when the United States was reeling from the energy crisis.
His business success meant he could pay for much of his Senate run in 1982, when the seat was open because the incumbent Democrat, Harrison Williams, resigned after being implicated in a bribe-taking scandal.
Lautenberg's opponent, moderate Republican congresswoman Millicent Fenwick, had the backing of the state's popular GOP governor, Thomas Kean, and was favored to win. But Lautenberg prevailed, 52 percent to 48 percent.
His Senate career was marked both by unflinching liberalism and his reputation for integrity. Lautenberg retired in 2001, but in a replay of his 1982 election, the state party called on him to run in 2002 after the scandal-plagued Robert Torricelli was forced to resign. This time, Lautenberg won handily.
His liberalism was rooted in his hardscrabble youth overshadowed by the death of his father from cancer when he was a boy, according to lifelong friend and fellow Paterson native Stephen Greenberg, now chairman of NCSJ.
"Paterson was the silk center of the world at the time," Greenberg said. "You had this massive number of Jews from Russia and Poland in that whole area. His father worked in the silk mills, and Frank believed that was the predominant source of his cancer."
Lautenberg became the Senate's leading advocate of public safety, writing laws that improved standards for clean coastal waters and tripled liability for oil spills. In 1968 he founded the Lautenberg Center for Immunology and Cancer Research at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem.
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2 Responses to "Sen. Lautenberg Remembered As 'Lifesaver' For Russian Jews"
Thank you, Senator, for everything. You will be missed.
Unfortunately, the late senator supported infanticide (partial birth abortion) and even defended this abhorrent practice on the floor o the Senate. He should not receive a pass on this.


text:
Colorado Disc Sports Association
Supporting, Enhancing and Promoting Disc Sports Throughout Colorado.
Time: July 26, 2014 to July 27, 2014
Location: Benedict Park DGC
City/Town: Brighton, CO
Website or Map: http://www.mhdgc.org/events/v…
Phone: firstname.lastname@example.com 303-638-6191
Event Type: fundraiser, non-sanctioned
Organized By: Josh Kreutzer
Latest Activity: Apr 17, 2014
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2015 Donated $100.00 Rocky Mountain Women's Disc Golf Championships
2013 Donated $100 to 2013 Colorado State Championships
2013 Multiple Media Stories about 11th High Plains Challenge
2013 Donated $100.00 to 3rd Annual R.M. Women's Disc Golf Championships
2012 The Denver Post Story about Disc Golf
2012 Multiple Media Stories about High Plains Challenge X
2012 Denver TV Show Appearance about Disc Golf
2012 Donated $100.00 to 2nd Annual R.M. Women's Disc Golf Championships
2011 Donated $200.00 for new baskets at Ken Caryl Ranch
2011 Gave CDSA States Trophy to Joe Rovere
2011 Multiple Media Stories / Exposure for 2011 CO State Championships
2011 Basket Donation - 3Rivers Disc Golf Club Outback Course Greeley, CO
2008 Basket Donation -BADCO - Badlands DGC
2006 Basket Donation - Hardymans - Sakuna Pines DGC
2005 Basket Donation -MHDGC - Birds Nest DGC
We are a member supported, volunteer non-profit organization that Supports, Enhances and Promotes Disc Sports in Colorado.
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text:
- NotesFromAbroad
- My husband and I , with our dog, Tate, moved to Buenos Aires, 8 years ago. Life has never been the same since ~ Back in the USA ... life is still not the same !
Saturday, November 10, 2012
One of those days
Today was one of those days.
We were up and ready to go out, needing some things at the market, figuring we would get our errands run and then just wander, shop, take photos and hang out.
After the intense , awful heat spell we had, we had an equally intense rain storm.
Several parts of the city are still flooded, cars drowned, citizens unhappy with the City because this keeps happening and no one does anything about it.
You know that old story- when you want votes, you promise the moon. When you are in office, you forget your promises.
I keep wondering how Chinatown fared in the rain and floods.
It is in a low lying area, nothing to stop water that is rushing in, from rushing right through .. and all the sweet little homes in that area, how are they ?
Belgrano, a beautiful barrio, is still flooded.
The area is so beautiful, lush and green and quiet.
We came so close to living there when we were house hunting upon arrival in Buenos Aires.
If we stayed here, I would consider moving there.
So with a tiny bit of energy from the cooler weather and pretty bright sunshine, we were off !
We went to L'epi and bought authentic french bread, baked in ovens from France.
Delicioso ..
We went to the market and bought salmon for roasting. (eventually it will be a sandwich on that good bread).
Then home, put it all way, back outdoors.
Then somehow, walking down the block, all my new found energy left me.
We walked to the park where we saw a fresh accident .. Police car meets Motorcycle.
Motorcyclist limping, bike dented, police standing around looking very muscular and official and in my opinion, a tiny bit worried.
My guess ... the moto boy cut them off ..
Those motorcycles cut in and out of traffic here all the time, speeding and crazy driving.
They even go up on the sidewalks which makes me crazy.
So I am blaming the motorcycle for this one.
The Jacarandas are in bloom.
Full blast purple Jacaranda bloom..
After taking a few hundred photos of trees, chatting and wandering with my husband, we found ourselves headed back home, leaving all that fresh air and sunshine for everyone else. .
We needed a nap. Or at least a glass of wine or tea and a rest.
It is an exciting life we lead, other crazy ex-pats like us can relate.
4 comments:
- smallenanna said...
Chinatown was badly affected by flooding. We hope that the restaurants can afford to come back. It's sad. MtV
- November 11, 2012 at 1:56 AM
- NotesFromAbroad said...
samllenanna, I was wondering about the Chinatown in Buenos Aires, I didn't think of Chinatown NYC , but I am so sad that they we so badly affected. Thank you, besos,
- November 11, 2012 at 8:04 AM
- Milsters said...
Hear hear! It is indeed an exciting life we lead and we should be grateful for all the adventures, inspirations and moments of reflection that this life gives us.
I love your purple trees. I've been taking photos of them all over Buenos Aires but had no idea what they were.
You still haven't answered my question from my blog! :) Are you leaving BsAs? :(
(http://littlepiecesoflight.blogspot.com.ar/) - November 11, 2012 at 9:10 AM
- Razmataz said...
It sounds like a wonderful day. Those trees are just amazing. Have a good Sunday.
- November 11, 2012 at 9:13 AM
Blog Archive
- Friday Photo
- Notes From ABroad This ( above) is my expat blog...
- House Hunting in BA.
- Monday, Look At This Blog
- Hey Hey, We're the Tourists !
- Moving Tips # 1
- Magical
- Friday Photo
- Thankful
- Ojala !
- Notes From ABroad
- Ex-Pat
- Monday Morning, Look At This Blog
- Wanderlust
- Friday Photo
- Well, Will ya look at that !
- Somewhere I will remember forever ...
- A Day in the Life of an Ex-Pat
- Monday .. Look At This Blog
- Remembrance Day
- For Your Sunday Viewing Pleasure
- One of those days
- Friday Photo
- Hace Calor !!
- A Love Story
- Monday, Look at this Blog
- Purple Haze
- Saturday
- Friday Photo
- A View


text:
Pilot Study to Determine Biodistribution of MM-398 and Feasibility of Ferumoxytol as a Tumor Imaging Agent
This study is currently recruiting participants.
(see Contacts and Locations)
Verified August 2013 by Merrimack Pharmaceuticals
Merrimack Pharmaceuticals
Information provided by (Responsible Party):
Merrimack Pharmaceuticals
ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier:
First received: December 19, 2012
Last updated: August 8, 2013
Last verified: August 2013
- Full Text View
- Tabular View
- No Study Results Posted
- Disclaimer
- How to Read a Study Record
This is a Phase I Pilot study to understand the biodistribution of MM-398 and to determine the feasibility of using Ferumoxytol as a tumor imaging agent.
Condition | Intervention | Phase |
Solid Tumors Triple Negative Breast Cancer Non Small Cell Lung Cancer Colorectal Cancer ER/PR Positive Breast Cancer Pancreatic Cancer Ovarian Cancer Gastric Cancer Gastro-Esophageal Junction Adenocarcinoma Head and Neck Cancer |
Drug: Ferumoxytol followed by MM-398 |
Phase 1 |
Study Type: | Interventional |
Study Design: | Endpoint Classification: Pharmacokinetics Study Intervention Model: Single Group Assignment Masking: Open Label |
Official Title: | A Pilot Study in Patients Treated With MM-398 to Determine Tumor Drug Levels and to Evaluate the Feasibility of Ferumoxytol Magnetic Resonance Imaging to Measure Tumor Associated Macrophages |
Resource links provided by NLM:
Genetics Home Reference related topics:
breast cancer
MedlinePlus related topics:
Drug Information available for:
Genetic and Rare Diseases Information Center resources:
Esophageal Cancer
Ovarian Cancer
Pancreatic Cancer
Stomach Carcinoma
U.S. FDA Resources
Further study details as provided by Merrimack Pharmaceuticals:
Primary Outcome Measures:
- Measure tumor levels of irinotecan and SN-38 (in ng/mL) [ Time Frame: 12 months ] [ Designated as safety issue: No ]
Secondary Outcome Measures:
- Safety profile of MM-398 in the presence of ferumoxytol (number and type of Adverse Events compared with histological control) [ Time Frame: 12 months ] [ Designated as safety issue: No ]
- Tumor response Rate measured by RECIST (Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors) 1.1 guidelines [ Time Frame: 12 months ] [ Designated as safety issue: No ]
- Half-life of the drug (t 1/2) in number of hours [ Time Frame: 12 months ] [ Designated as safety issue: No ]50% of total time of drug in plasma
- Maximum concentration of drug in plasma (Cmax) in ng/mL [ Time Frame: 12 months ] [ Designated as safety issue: No ]
- Measure of drug availability in the plasma (AUC) in ng/mL x hours [ Time Frame: 12 months ] [ Designated as safety issue: No ]Area under the plasma drug concentration versus time curve
Estimated Enrollment: | 12 |
Study Start Date: | November 2012 |
Estimated Study Completion Date: | November 2013 |
Estimated Primary Completion Date: | November 2013 (Final data collection date for primary outcome measure) |
Arms | Assigned Interventions |
Experimental: Ferumoxytol followed by MM-398
Ferumoxytol 5 mg/kg IV at the rate of 1 mL/sec, given once on Day 1. MM-398 80 mg/m2 IV over 90 min on Days 1 and 15 of every 4 weekly cycle
Drug: Ferumoxytol followed by MM-398
Ferumoxytol 5 mg/kg IV at 1mL/sec, given once. MM-398 80 mg/m2 IV over 90 min every 2 weeks, until progressive disease or intolerable toxicity
Ages Eligible for Study: | 18 Years and older |
Genders Eligible for Study: | Both |
Accepts Healthy Volunteers: | No |
Inclusion Criteria:
- Pathologically confirmed diagnosis of solid tumors, CRC, TNBC, ER/PR Breast Cancer, NSCLC, Pancreatic Cancer, Ovarian Cancer, Gastric Cancer, GEJ adenocarcinoma, Head and Neck Cancer
- Metastatic disease
- ECOG Performance Status 0 to 2
- Adequate bone marrow, hepatic and renal function
- Normal ECG
- 18 years of age or above
- Able to understand and sign informed consent
Exclusion Criteria:
- Active CNS metastasis
- Clinically significant GI disorders
- Prior irinotecan or bevacizumab therapy within last 6 months
- Known hypersensitivity to MM-398 or ferumoxytol
- Inability to undergo MRI
- Active infection
- Pregnant or breast feeding
Contacts and Locations
Choosing to participate in a study is an important personal decision. Talk with your doctor and family members or friends about deciding to join a study.
To learn more about this study, you or your doctor may contact the study research staff using the Contacts provided below.
For general information, see Learn About Clinical Studies.
Please refer to this study by its ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT01770353
Please refer to this study by its ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT01770353
Contact: Eliel Bayever, MD | 617-441-1000 | email@example.com |
United States, Arizona | |
Recruiting | |
Scottsdale, Arizona, United States |
Sponsors and Collaborators
Merrimack Pharmaceuticals
Study Director: | Eliel Bayever, MD | Merrimack Pharmaceuticals |
More Information
No publications provided
Keywords provided by Merrimack Pharmaceuticals:
Additional relevant MeSH terms:
ClinicalTrials.gov processed this record on April 23, 2015
No publications provided
Responsible Party: | Merrimack Pharmaceuticals |
ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: | NCT01770353 History of Changes |
Other Study ID Numbers: | MM-398-01-01-02 |
Study First Received: | December 19, 2012 |
Last Updated: | August 8, 2013 |
Health Authority: | United States: Food and Drug Administration |
Keywords provided by Merrimack Pharmaceuticals:
solid tumors Triple Negative Breast cancer Non Small Cell Lung cancer Colorectal Cancer ER/PR positive Breast Cancer Pancreatic Cancer Ovarian Cancer |
Gastric Cancer Head and Neck Cancer MM-398 nanoliposomal irinotecan Ferumoxytol Gastro-Esophageal Junction Adenocarcinoma |
Additional relevant MeSH terms:
Breast Neoplasms Colorectal Neoplasms Esophageal Neoplasms Head and Neck Neoplasms Ovarian Neoplasms Pancreatic Neoplasms Stomach Neoplasms Triple Negative Breast Neoplasms Bronchial Neoplasms Digestive System Neoplasms Endocrine Gland Neoplasms Gastrointestinal Neoplasms Genital Neoplasms, Female Intestinal Neoplasms Lung Neoplasms |
Neoplasms Neoplasms by Histologic Type Neoplasms by Site Neoplasms, Glandular and Epithelial Respiratory Tract Neoplasms Thoracic Neoplasms Urogenital Neoplasms Adenocarcinoma Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung Adnexal Diseases Breast Diseases Carcinoma Carcinoma, Bronchogenic Colonic Diseases Digestive System Diseases |
ClinicalTrials.gov processed this record on April 23, 2015


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Top Definition
NOUN: a defacto divorce. Coined to fill a gap in the lexicon where defacto couples had to use the term 'break-up', which did not imply the full weight of the word 'divorce', despite the experiences being almost entirely identical.
Now that Adam and I are going through a defactorce, we have to open separate bank accounts and decide who gets to keep which whitegoods, not to mention custody of the cat.
by cvsanders
August 05, 2010


text:
Corsair CW-9060001-WW Hydro H40 CPU Liquid Cooler - Socket LGA775, LGA1155, LGA1156, LGA1366, AM2, AM3, FM1
Item#: C13-2140 | Model#: CW-9060001-WW- Retail Store:
- Check Store availability
Additional Resources
Corsair CW-9060001-WW Hydro H40 CPU Liquid Cooler Product Details
Corsair Hydro H40 CPU Liquid Cooler
Replace your bulky and noisy CPU cooler with the reliable Corsair Hydro H40 CPU Liquid Cooler. You can easily install this liquid cooler to your CPU to experience high-performance and efficient cooling. This incredible liquid cooler features a completely closed loop system that includes a 120mm radiator, rubber tubing and an aluminum coldplate. It ensures a continuous airflow of 81 CFM and reduced noise level of up to 27 dBA at a speed of up to 2000RPM. Its mounting hardware is compatible with modern CPU sockets. This liquid cooler has sockets supporting Intel LGA 775, 1155, or 1366, as well as AMD AM2, AM3, and FM1 sockets. Purchase the Corsair CW-9060001-WW Hydro H40 CPU Liquid Cooler today!
What It Is And Why You Need It:
- Single 120mm fan included; ensures great cooling performance
- Rubber tubing; makes installation an easier task
- Aluminum coldplate; absorbs heat at a rapid speed
- Mounting hardware; compatible with modern CPU socket designs
Additional Resources: Product Manuals
Manufactured by: Corsair
Warranty provided by: Corsair
Limited Warranty: 24 months parts; 24 months labor
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Click here for full warranty and support information - Limited Warranty: A full text version of the limited warranty
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text:
- Filed Under
Southern Utah Mortuary joined with Southern Utah Home Care and Hospice on Saturday to offer comfort to local residents who have experienced the death of someone they loved during the past year.
The Christmas Memorial service included brief comments of hope by Garry Graf, chaplain for Southern Utah Home Care, as well as musical selections and poetry readings. Hospice volunteer Pam Milk then read the names of the deceased who were connected with guests at the service and the guests were given a small candle.
Sandy Smith, who lost her father, 65-year-old Billy Blake, to cancer May 11, attended ...


text:
Team Rocket's Meowth (Wizards Promo 18)
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Team Rocket's Meowth (Japanese: ロケット団のニャース Rocket Gang's Nyarth) is a Colorless-type Basic Pokémon card. It is one of the Wizards Black Star Promos.
Card text
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Pokédex data
Meowth - Scratch Cat Pokémon | ||
No. | Height | Weight |
052 | 1'4" (0.4 m) | 9 lbs. (4.2 kg) |
Pokédex entry | ||
This Pokémon is more active at night. It likes bright, shiny things and cannot resist taking them and adding them to its collection. | ||
夜のほうが元気があるようだ。丸くて光る物が好きで、みつけるとひろわずにいられない。 |
Release information
This card was released as a promotional card. The English version of the card was available through the Pokémon League in August 2000. In the United Kingdom, it was made available to people who visited the special Pokémon exhibition at the Millennium Dome in September 2000. In Japan, it came with the Meowth's Party CD. The Japanese version of this card features the Pikachu Records logo in place of an Expansion symbol.
Fittingly, the illustrator is the executive director of the Pokémon anime.
This card's Pokédex entry comes from Pokémon Yellow, though it is slightly reworded. This card is based on Meowth of Team Rocket, partner to both Jessie and James.
This article is part of Project TCG, a Bulbapedia project that aims to report on every aspect of the Pokémon Trading Card Game. |


text:
My spectacular Fail :D
Credits & Info
- Date
- 01/23/2013
- File Info
- Voice
- 32 sec
- Score
- 2.69 / 5.00
Licensing Terms
- Attribution:
- You must give credit to the artist.
- Noncommercial:
- You may not use this work for commercial purposes unless you make specific arrangements with the artist.
- Share Alike:
- If you alter, transform, or build upon this image, you may distribute the resulting creation only under a license identical to this one.
- Score:
- Rated 2.69 / 5 stars
- Plays & Downloads:
- 536 Plays | 28 Downloads
- Share Links:
- Genres:
- Voice Acting - A Capella
- None
Author Comments
I loved it... I was on a role... but I had to screw it up NOOOOOOOOOOOOO XD
lol, shows progress.
Song: Happily Ever after
Band: He is We
Singer: Me
Rights: He is we, not me XD
Rated 3 / 5 stars
protip: dont sing directly to the mic. when you breath out you blow the air at the mic making people's ears bleed.
As for the rest: not bad!
Thank you for the tip! I'll utilize it in future recordings!
Rated 4 / 5 stars
I'd like to hear your voice with instruments and stuffs! And yeah, you should voice a princess :P
lol @ the BLEH at the end
Thanks Evil-Gandalf. I'll try and see what I can strum together for instruments.
I'll try Ariel ;)
Bleh rules the world XD
Rated 4 / 5 stars
Your voice belongs in a Disney film, you sound like you could play a good princess lol.
Thank you Werewolfrx! I'll try Ariel next time.


text:
Currently, there are three types of development permits: major permits, general permits and minor permits. Some development may be authorized by exemption certificate. Single-family homes require minor permits.
The Division of Coastal Management makes permit decisions after considering agency and public comments, and after determining whether a proposed project meets CRC rules and the local government's land-use plan.
The CAMA permit system is divided into major and minor permits, based on the size and possible impacts of a project.
Major permits are necessary for activities that require other state or federal permits, for projects that cover more than 20 acres or for construction covering more than 60,000 square feet. Applications for major permits are reviewed by 10 state and four federal agencies before a decision is made.
General permits are used for routine projects that usually pose little or no threat to the environment.
Minor permits are required for projects, such as single-family houses, that don't require major permits or general permits. They are reviewed, issued and administered to CRC standards by local governments under contract with the Division of Coastal Management. The minor permit program is part of the CRC's efforts to minimize the burden on permit applicants. Under CAMA regulations, a minor permit is to be issued within 25 days once a complete application is in hand. If the project is simple, the review process often is shorter.
(If you would like us to respond please include your phone or e-mail.)
*If you are a DENR employee with an I.T. issue, please submit a DOTS ticket.


text:
Bishounen of the Month: Loki, Matantei Loki Ragnarok
Disclaimer: All of this stuff is copyright its respective owners, from the images to fanfictions to characters. I don't own any of it except for my original characters and the graphics I made, and if you want to take them, please be kind and let me know with a link back + email. Image usage terms, if I've scanned or captured them myself, are stated on the page with the images; please heed those; Thanks.


text:
Master Blaster- Everywher
Credits & Info
- Date
- 12/09/2010
- File Info
- Song
- 4 min 10 sec
- Score
- 3.10 / 5.00
Licensing Terms
- Attribution:
- You must give credit to the artist.
- Noncommercial:
- You may not use this work for commercial purposes unless you make specific arrangements with the artist.
- Share Alike:
- If you alter, transform, or build upon this image, you may distribute the resulting creation only under a license identical to this one.
- Score:
- Rated 3.10 / 5 stars
- Plays & Downloads:
- 383 Plays | 49 Downloads
- Share Links:
- Genres:
- Electronic - Trance
- happy
- dance
- rave
- trance
Author Comments
Master Blaster- Everywhere(RAV3N Vs. PARADIS3!! Remix)
This is a song off our upcomming underground Album: Rave Music Vol. 1.
feell free to give feedback, any advice is good advice!
Rated 3.5 / 5 stars
It's pretty good
This song has been played a lot recently and is seriously getting on my nerves because it's not even that good a song. But still this remix is pretty good, not as good as I thought it would be, get some heavy beats in there to put on a Rave album.
Sarah xxx
haha yea i know what u mean. I was debating about that fact wheni was remixing this song. For a heavyer song listen to my remix of My first Love. And again thanks for the review.
Rated 4.5 / 5 stars
its not bad .I like it , not the one of the best samples of its genre but still catchy
thx for the review


text:
21st Century U.S. Breakdown, Debt + Dollar + Delusion + Depletion = Decline
Politics / US Politics Feb 24, 2010 - 01:51 AM GMT"Wherever we're headed, America is evolving in ways most of us don't like or understand. Individually focused yet collectively adrift, we wonder if we're heading toward a waterfall. Are we?"
Strauss & Howe – The Fourth Turning
Political leaders and the mainstream media have been blindsided by the sudden mood shift of the country in the last few years. The reason they have been blindsided is they believe world history is linear. Liberals have now begun referring to themselves as progressives. These people think the world only progresses. The facts indicate otherwise. History is cyclical. History is replete with grand empires like Rome, Spain and Britain. It is also replete with Dark Ages, depressions and wars. Strauss & Howe have established that history can be broken down into 80 to 100 year Saeculums that consist of four turnings: The High, The Awakening, The Unraveling, and the Crisis.
- The First Turning is a High, an upbeat era of strengthening institutions and weakening individualism, when a new civic order implants and the old values regime decays.
- The Second Turning is an Awakening, a passionate era of spiritual upheaval, when the civic order comes under attack from a new values regime.
- The Third Turning is an Unraveling, a downcast era of strengthening individualism and weakening institutions, when the old civic order decays and the new values regime implants.
- The Fourth Turning is a Crisis, a decisive era of secular upheaval, when the values regime propels the replacement of the old civic order with a new one.
- The Prophet archetype is born in a High, enters young adulthood in an Awakening, midlife in an Unraveling, and elderhood in a Crisis.
- The Nomad archetype is born in an Awakening, enters young adulthood in an Unraveling, midlife in a Crisis, and elderhood in a High.
- The Hero archetype is born in an Unraveling, enters young adulthood in a Crisis, midlife in a High, and elderhood in an Awakening.
- The Artist archetype is born in a Crisis, enters young adulthood in a High, midlife in an Awakening, and elderhood in an Unraveling.
During a Fourth Turning, the constellation contains all four archetypes born in the current saeculum. We are now in the midst of the fourth Crisis period in U.S. history. The previous Fourth Turnings – The American Revolution, Civil War and Great Depression/World War II all required immense sacrifice and entailed great danger. There are only a few Americans alive who experienced and recall our last Fourth Turning. This is one of the foremost reasons the country seems surprised when the next Turning arrives. Just think about the response of politicians, mainstream media pundits, supposedly brilliant economists, and the elite thought leaders during the last five years. They have been blindsided by the housing collapse, worldwide financial crisis, election of Barack Obama, and furious rage of the Tea Party movement. This is because they prescribe to the belief the world only moves forward, never backward. They failed to identify the signs of Crisis. Threats that have been ignored and/or deferred for decades are now coalescing into a once in a lifetime emergency that will require public consensus, aggressive action, and personal sacrifice. Leaders who think the old way of governing will continue to work are learning a difficult lesson. This is why so many old time politicians like Chris Dodd are fleeing Washington DC. A maelstrom of government debt, unfunded liabilities, looming energy catastrophe, and consumer collapse is about to hit the United States. There is no politician in Washington DC willing to stand up in front of the American people and tell them the truth about the storms on our horizon.
Born Into Nixon
Born into Nixon I was raised in hell.
A welfare child where the Teamsters dwelled.
The last one born and the the first one to run.
My town was blind from refinery sun.
We are the [cries of] the class of '13
Born in the era of humility
We are the desperate in the decline
Raised by the bastards of 1969
Green Day – 21st Century Breakdown
The music of today best captures the generational shifts and attitudes that reflect the true mood of the country. Billie Joe Armstrong, the lead singer of Green Day, was born into Nixon in 1972 in the midst of an Awakening. This was a period of upheaval and passion. He was the last child born to a large working class family in Oakland, California. His reference to hell refers to the lower blue collar city he grew up in. Oakland was an awful place to be raised in, with drugs, gang violence and racial unrest. His Dad died when he was 10 years old, leaving his five older siblings to raise him while his mother worked the graveyard shift as a waitress. The family was on welfare and Armstrong's childhood was disconnected and discontented. He fits the classic Nomad (Generation X) description of a tough, hard edged pragmatist who does not trust government or corporations. Armstrong's lyrics have always reflected his distrust of traditional institutions. His description of their current album reflects his Nomad view:
"The album is a snapshot of the era in which we live as we question and try to make sense of the selfish manipulation going on around us, whether it be the government, religion, media or frankly any form of authority." – Billie Joe Armstrong
The lyrics about the Class of 2013 reflect the fact that his eldest son Joseph will graduate high school in 2013. Born in 1995, he is part of the new Hero generation. This is the generation that will do the heavy lifting in the current Crisis. This cohort is known as the Millennial generation. This generation has been nurtured with increasing protection by pessimistic adults in an insecure environment. They will challenge the political failures of their elder leaders during the coming years, leading to a secular crisis. Armstrong's son was born in an era of humility during the Unraveling. The Clinton years were a time of little action, with problems ignored and public civility declining. This generation has been raised by Generation X parents and will now be expected to guide the country through the desperate times ahead. If there are wars to fight, they will fight them. Since their elders have made impossible financial promises, the Millennials will have to make the sacrifices and tough decisions. Every generation will have their part to play in the current Crisis. Boomers will be the elder leaders who push the country to resolve the major issues of our time. They will summon the Heroes to make the ultimate sacrifice for the nation. Generation X will provide the tough resolute leadership in the midst of the Crisis, defending society. Let's hope the country will produce Nomad leaders on par with previous Nomads - George Washington, Stonewall Jackson, George Patton and Dwight Eisenhower.
There is no way to avoid this Crisis. It can't be bypassed. Just as the seasons must progress from Spring to Summer through Fall and into Winter, a Crisis must follow an Unraveling. History does not have a rewind button. Secular Winter has arrived and the country couldn't be less prepared for the challenges ahead. The government and the governed enter this highly dangerous period weakened and fragile. The short-sighted economic choices and deferred fiscal decisions will collide with peak oil and uncontrolled globalization to inflict a horrific resolution to this Crisis. The gravity of our situation cannot be overstated. As politicians and the mainstream media play pretend games of recovery and false optimism, the country hurtles closer to the abyss. The country had a chance to prepare for this Winter by:
- Forging consensus regarding the problems we face.
- Preparing our governmental institutions for the challenges ahead.
- Political leaders bluntly describing the issues before us, stressing duties over rights.
- Developing community teamwork to solve local problems.
- Treating our youth as a national priority.
- Preparing elders for the sacrifices and unfulfilled promises in their future.
- Reducing government and personal debt.
- Conserve military resources for the long road ahead.
You may have noticed that as a country we not only did not prepare for Winter, we proceeded like it would never come. No leader has emerged to bluntly speak the truth to the American people. Culture wars still rage. Government has expanded and our military has been depleted in useless wars of choice. All that is left is for individuals to prepare their families for the immense challenges ahead.
Generation Zero
My generation is zero
I never made it
As a working class hero
21st century breakdown
I was once lost but never was found
I think I am losing what's left of my mind
To the 20th century deadline.
Videogames of the tower's fall
Homeland security could kill us all
Green Day – 21st Century Breakdown
To comprehend what awaits us in the next fifteen years, the blizzards of 2010 provide a preview.
"Reflect on what happens when a terrible winter blizzard strikes. You hear the weather warning but probably fail to act on it. The sky darkens. Then the storm hits with full fury, and the air is a howling whiteness. One by one, your links to the machine age break down. Electricity flickers out, cutting off the TV. Batteries fade, cutting off the radio. Phones go dead. Roads become impossible, and cars get stuck. Food supplies dwindle. Day to day vestiges of modern civilization – bank machines, mutual funds, mass retailers, computers, satellites, airplanes, governments – all recede into irrelevance. Picture yourself and your loved ones in the midst of a howling blizzard that lasts several years. Think about what you would need, who could help you, and why your fate might matter to anybody other than yourself. That is how to plan for a saecular winter. Don't think you can escape the Fourth Turning. History warns that a Crisis will reshape the basic social and economic environment that you now take for granted."
Strauss & Howe – The Fourth Turning
The two principal political parties that control our government continue to act like we are in the early days of Autumn, anticipating a mild Winter. They persist in adhering to their conservative and liberal talking point agendas. They continue to push forth more policies like those that put the country in its current mess. They govern based upon weekly poll results, not upon what is best for the country. Big Government, big Military, and big Debt is the mantra of both parties. In his new documentary, GENERATION ZERO, director Steve Bannon scorches both parties and particularly the Baby Boom generation that now holds the reins of power in Washington DC and in corporate America. It is not a coincidence that 4 out of 5 CEOs of the investment banks that leveraged 40 to 1 and brought the worldwide financial system to its knees were Baby Boomers. George Bush, Hank Paulson, and Ben Bernanke are all Baby Boomers. Their greed, fiscal mismanagement and warped ideology led to the financial disaster.
"This film is about a crisis – one that is as profound as The Revolution, The Civil War, or The Great Depression and WWII." The title 'Generation Zero' is ironic, as it refers to both the Baby Boomers and the generation born today: the one generation whose greed and fiscal mismanagement has destroyed the financial legacy and inheritance of the other." – Steve Bannon
Anyone who doubts that Baby Boomers are most responsible for the current state of affairs just needs to review the following charts. These politicians have voted for bailouts of criminal banks run by Boomers, voted for hundreds of billions in pork projects for their corporate constituents, delegated their Constitutional duty of declaring war to the Executive branch, voted for the Patriot Act and creation of a Department of Homeland Security which have stolen freedoms & liberties from the citizens, and have deferred the critical cuts that must be made to entitlement promises they've made to the American public in order to get elected. These "honorable" politicians have doubled the National Debt of the United States to $12.4 trillion in less than 8 years. It took 213 years to accumulate $6 trillion of debt ($5.6 trillion added since 1971) and only 8 years to add another $6.4 trillion. These same politicians have approved current budgets that will add $1.5 to $2.0 trillion per year to the national Debt for the next 10 years. Progressives put forth the preposterous idea that piling on more debt will solve a problem created by too much debt. They have pressed the accelerator to the floor as we approach a turn on a mountain road.
We are truly in the midst of a 21st Century breakdown. Armstrong's lyrics twist the lyrics of the inspirational Amazing Grace psalm. The inspirational message is changed from:
"I once was lost but now am found, was blind, but now I see," to "I was once lost but never was found, I think I am losing what's left of my mind."
These lyrics reflect hopelessness and frustration as the country approaches financial collapse. We are on an unsustainable fiscal path built upon an altar of debt. Progressives believe that debt is inconsequential and is necessary to the advancement of the welfare state. No politician will tell an American voter that their entitlements must be slashed. No politician will vote to reduce pork projects or useless programs or worthless Federal departments. No politician will vote for a reduction in Defense spending. Someone within the ruling elite must sense danger, based on their overt and covert actions in the last nine years. Allowing the government to monitor phone calls, emails, and internet messages along with stationing combat troops within the U.S. border is a warning sign of how government will treat American citizens during the current Crisis. The Department of Homeland Security has already issued reports suggesting that Tea Party members and returning Iraq War veterans are potential terrorist threats. The mainstream media has perpetuated these lies. Financial chaos will lead to social chaos. The recently signed Executive Order 13528 established a Council of Governors, an "advisory panel" chosen by the President that will rubber-stamp long-sought-after Pentagon contingency plans to seize control of state National Guard forces in the event of a "national emergency." Would U.S. troops fire on American citizens? That question will be answered in the coming decade.
Dream, America Dream
My name is No One
The long lost son
Born on the 4th of July
Raised in the era of heroes and cons
That left me for dead or alive
I praise liberty
The "Freedom to Obey"
Is the song that strangles me
Don't cross the line
Dream, America Dream
I can't even sleep
From the light's early dawn
Green Day – 21st Century Breakdown
The American dream has turned into a nightmare. Led by the selfish, materialistic, self-absorbed Boomers, the nation has degenerated into an individualistic society of wealth seekers. The country's common good and attitudes of thrift, hard work, and self reliance have been cast aside for the corporate good, immediate material satisfaction, and entitlement attitude. America is no longer the land of opportunity. It is the land of corporate fascism, benefitting the few.
"The American Dream is that dream of a land in which life should be better and richer and fuller for everyone, with opportunity for each according to ability or achievement. It is a difficult dream for the European upper classes to interpret adequately, and too many of us ourselves have grown weary and mistrustful of it. It is not a dream of motor cars and high wages merely, but a dream of social order in which each man and each woman shall be able to attain to the fullest stature of which they are innately capable, and be recognized by others for what they are, regardless of the fortuitous circumstances of birth or position." -- Historian and writer James Truslow Adams in his 1931 book Epic of America.
This version of the American dream has been slowly fading away for decades. Those with ability who have earned a better life through their hard work, superior intelligence and integrity should attain a higher spot in the social order. Instead, government rewards those Americans who have taken unwarranted risks, made corrupt choices, and willingly chose a path of excessive debt to scale the social order. The game is stacked in favor of the elite, while middle class wages have stagnated for the last 40 years. Government bureaucracy strangles the entrepreneurial spirit of the people, while empowering those who want to control our every action.
Today's aristocracy consists of Wall Street bankers, corporate chiefs, Washington lobbyists, the military industrial complex, and corrupt politicians, all engendered by the printing presses of Ben Bernanke and the Federal Reserve. The rich get richer and the middle class disappears, as their jobs are shipped overseas by corporate conglomerate CEOs who preach globalism as a benefit to society. It is a benefit to their country club elitist society. These elite Boomers have sucked the life and vitality from the American financial system. The three previous Crisis periods in U.S. history were all initiated by a financial related trigger based on excess.
The American Revolution Crisis was instigated by the colonist response to overly burdensome taxation by the English Parliament. This ultimately led to the dumping of English tea into the Boston harbor. Parliament's response to the Boston Tea Party ignited a colonial tinderbox—leading directly to the first Continental Congress, the battle of Concord, and the Declaration of Independence. The Civil War Crisis had its roots in the issues of property rights and industrial versus agrarian society. The economic widening of the gap between slave and free states was symbolic of the changes occurring in each region. While the South was devoted to an agrarian plantation economy with a slow growth in population, the North had embraced industrialization, large urban areas, infrastructure growth, as well as was experiencing high birth rates. This boost in population doomed Southern efforts to maintain balance in the government as it meant the future addition of more free states and the election of a Northern, potentially anti-slavery, president. The Civil War began with a presidential election that many southerners interpreted as an invitation to secede. The attack on Fort Sumter triggered the most violent conflict ever fought on New World soil, with over 600,000 dead Americans. The Great Depression & World War II Crisis began suddenly with the Black Tuesday stock-market crash. The events leading up to the "sudden" collapse were caused by loose monetary policy by the Federal Reserve, Wall Street greed and corruption, and government incompetence. After a three-year economic free fall, the Great Depression triggered the New Deal revolution, and a vast expansion of government. The worldwide economic collapse led to the rise of Nazism and Fascism, a World War that killed 65 million souls, and mass destruction in Europe and Asia. The parallels with previous Crisis periods are eerily visible today.
The current Millennial Crisis which we are attempting to grasp was commenced by the combination of a housing collapse caused by loose Federal Reserve monetary policy, no regulation of financial institutions and corrupt greedy bankers on Wall Street. The depth and breadth of this financial disaster is being exacerbated by government borrow and spend policies and the free market globalism mantra of big business being sold to the American public. This fraudulent economy has been supported by a world awash in cheap oil. The American people have been scammed. Free market globalism didn't benefit the middle class and the era of cheap oil is running out. James Howard Kunstler describes the scam perpetrated on the American people in his book The Long Emergency:
"Globalism had the same tendency to impoverish and enslave huge populations while enriching the elite who managed its operations. The American people were sold on it, even while it destroyed their towns, their landscapes, and their vocations. Globalism was primarily a way of privatizing the profits of business activities while socializing the costs. This was achieved by discreetly discounting the future for the sake of short-term benefits. Globalism was operated by oligarchical corporations on a gigantic scale, made possible by cheap oil. As Wendell Berry put it, 'a corporation essentially, is a pile of money to which a number of persons have sold their moral allegiance …. It can experience no personal hope or remorse. No change of heart. It cannot humble itself. It goes about its business as if it were immortal, with the single purpose of becoming a bigger pile of money'."
We've sold out America for cheap Chinese hair dryers, low-priced Chinese TVs, inexpensive Mexican apparel, economy packs of Fruit of the Looms from Indonesia and yellow smiley face stickers for our kids.As reward for gutting the American economy by shipping jobs overseas, American CEOs have enriched themselves at a rate 500 times higher than the average worker's pay. Wall Street bankers were paying close attention to how corporate CEOs were able reap ungodly profits while socializing the costs. With a clear signal from Alan Greenspan that the Federal Reserve would save any moron on Wall Street that got in trouble, the gluttonous Harvard MBAs created exotic financial products and convinced the world they could spin gold from straw. The CEO's of the five biggest investment banks (including Hank Paulson of Goldman Sachs) convinced the SEC to waive their 12 to 1 leverage ratio and leveraged their Wall Street gambling casinos at 40 to 1. This excessive leverage combined with financial products designed to confuse and bamboozle investors generated billions in profits for these banks and hundreds of millions in pay and bonuses for their Boomer leaders. When the crooked house of cards collapsed under the weight of lies and fraud, these banks were essentially insolvent. At that point Hank Paulson, who was now Treasury Secretary, along with Ben Bernanke decided to socialize their losses by having the U.S. taxpayer pick up the tab. Middle class Americans lost 8 million jobs and Wall Street bankers used the taxpayer bailout to generate billions in fake profits while paying themselves hundreds of millions in pay again. The resentment of average Americans is boiling over and will play a main role in the unfolding Crisis.
Scream, America Scream
I am a nation
A worker of pride
My debt to status quo
The scars on my hands
And the means to an end
Is all that I have to show
I swallowed my pride
And I choked on my faith
I've given my heart and my soul
I've broken my fingers
And lied though my teeth
The pillar of damage control
Scream, America scream
Believe what you see
From heroes and cons?
Green Day – 21st Century Breakdown
Progressives like Arianna Huffington clearly don't comprehend what is happening. The anger and disillusionment of the population are seen as worrisome and disturbing by those who believe history is linear. The entrenched ruling elite should be apprehensive. During a Crisis existing institutions are torn down as the social fabric of the country undergoes wrenching changes. Those in power are rightfully fearful of the masses they have screwed for decades. President Obama, Ben Bernanke, Timothy Geithner, and the majority of economists and TV pundits are convinced the Crisis has passed and they have successfully maneuvered the country through the worst, avoiding a second Great Depression. History suggests otherwise. We have yet to experience the nastiest part of the Crisis. We can expect to encounter private and civic choices analogous to the cruelest ever confronted by ancestral generations. The recently submitted Obama budget, adjusted for reality, will add at least $12 trillion to the National Debt in the next ten years. That would bring the National Debt to $24 trillion in 2019. At a modest interest rate of 5%, the country would be paying $1.2 trillion per year in interest. The more likely scenario would be a 10% interest rate, resulting in annual interest costs of $2.4 trillion. The entire spending of the Federal Government was only $1.2 trillion in 1990.
Mr. Progressive, Paul Krugman, insists that worries about the debt are overblown. Despite the fact that our economy isn't capable of growing more than 2.5% over the long term, he sees no problem growing our National Debt by 10% per year. It's as if his Nobel Prize was coated in lead and he has been sucking on it. Only someone who is brain damaged would argue that doubling our debt will solve a crisis caused by too much debt. It's as if Krugman wants to become the Irving Fisher of his time. One week prior to the Stock Market Crash of 1929 Fisher famously pronounced:
"Stock prices have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau. I do not feel there will be soon if ever a 50 or 60 point break from present levels, such as (bears) have predicted. I expect to see the stock market a good deal higher within a few months."
The truth is our lenders will not allow our National Debt to reach $24 trillion by 2019. The U.S. dollar has already lost more than 80% of its purchasing power since Nixon closed the gold window in 1971. The amount of currency in circulation since that time has gone up by a factor of 16 to $800 billion. The result has been a stagnation of real wages for the middle class, while the ruling elite have seen their wealth soar to astronomical levels. The correlation between printing more of something and its relative value are as clear as day to anyone with a smattering of intelligence. Ben Bernanke is attempting to print his way out of this financial crisis. He is playing a game of chicken with our foreign lenders. He wants to devalue the U.S. dollar slowly to reduce the unbearable weight of U.S. debt. Foreign lenders from China, Japan and the Middle East know what he is doing. They will be the long-term losers in this scenario. At some point in the next few years they will balk at buying more US debt. A "Weimar Moment" will strike the United States like a sledgehammer. The veil of financial stability will be revealed to be a fallacy and the worldwide reserve currency will revert to its intrinsic value of zero. The chaos that would ensue as people's life savings are wiped out would test the mettle of our country's citizens, government, and military.
The dollar is likely to collapse just based upon current spending and borrowing trends. The unsustainable entitlement promises made by politicians over decades would have guaranteed a dollar collapse by 2030 anyway, so we will just arrive sooner. Not one politician from either political party has the courage to stand in front of the American people and tell them they will not receive the Social Security and Medicare benefits they were promised. Not one politician from either party is even willing to discuss the fact these promises cannot be honored. This train has been headed down the track since the 1960s, picking up speed, and no one is willing to apply the brakes. The Baby Boomers have sold their children and grandchildren into slavery. Their unwillingness to sacrifice entitlement benefits, guarantees a vastly lower standard of living for their descendents. How very egocentric and superficial of them. The most coddled, self absorbed, egotistical generation in history would rather crash the economic system than make any personal sacrifice for future generations. The $106.8 trillion of unfunded promises will not by paid, because there will be nothing left to pay. The country is bankrupt today. By 2030, half of all tax revenue would be needed to fund these programs. The Boomers will be forced to accept much less than they expected. The delusion of getting something for nothing will be put to rest during this Crisis.
The wildcard within the current Fourth Turning is cheap easily accessible petroleum. Progressives and those who only view the world in a linear way, fail to recognize that easily accessible oil only came onto the scene 150 years ago and we have depleted the easiest to reach 50%. The implication of these facts is beyond the comprehension of linear thinkers. They trust our ingenuity and brilliance to solve the problem. A new form of energy will magically appear on the scene and save our industrial world. Brain power and human resourcefulness played only a small part in the economic boom of the last 150 years, produced by cheap oil. The industrial revolution began more like Jed Clampett shooting at some food and getting bubbling crude. The world benefited from a positive Black Swan event. In other words, we got lucky. Now the luck is running out. There is a finite amount of petroleum on the planet. Most of the remaining supply is trapped beneath deep oceans, within tar sands, in shale rock and in inhospitable countries. Cheap sweet crude is running out. New oil discoveries peaked in 1964. Worldwide oil production peaked between 2005 and 2010. As supply enters terminal decline and demand continues its relentless rise, prices will soar and the world will be transformed forever. This could even put a creak in America's military machine that consumes over 150 million barrels of oil per year.
The deniers believe that technology will save the day. They don't step back and think that their technology couldn't function without cheap oil. The hardware and software are made in factories run by fossil fuel. The amount of energy that exists on the planet is a closed loop system. The sun's energy created fossil fuels. The population of the planet has converted 50% of these fossil fuels back into CO2 and other byproducts. This is the process of entropy. Entropy is the movement of energy from complex, higher states to simple, lower states. Energy cannot be created or destroyed, only changed – entropy dictates that energy flows in only one direction, from being concentrated in one place to becoming diffused or dispersed and spread out; from being ordered to being disordered. After 150 years of profligate use of oil, we are within a few years of experiencing an unsolvable oil shortage which will affect transportation, industry, heating, plastics, fertilizers, pharmaceuticals and all the myriad products essential to our contemporary lives. Our energy-devouring civilization has been accelerating entropy. Kunstler sees this entropy leading to a crisis of epic proportions:
"We don't really need to reach the end of oil to experience the disorder that accompanies entropy. The economic efficiency we praise creates one-industry towns that become simplified and vulnerable communities. Businesses evolve into big corporations that dehumanize and feudalize our lives. Our monocultures of specialization create ecological disasters. We poison our water, land and air using the justification that more and faster are always better. Mass production produces the homogeneity that deadens the spirit and vitality of people – they compensate by becoming hyper-consumers, fad-chasers, unsettled and disquieted beings in search of the meaning denied to them by a loss of complexity."
The combination of debt, dollar devaluation, delusion and depletion will make this Fourth Turning the most challenging and dangerous in U.S. history.
The Five Ds of the Fourth Turning
Every previous Fourth Turning in U.S. history was triggered by an economic conflict or devastating financial event. The current Fourth Turning was activated by the collapse of our housing market, the subsequent revelations of Wall Street fraud and excessive risk taking and the actions of politicians to protect Wall Street from their hubristic exploits. The choices by leaders after these triggers will have a dramatic impact on the future course of the Crisis. George Washington decided to fight and stayed on the battlefield for eight years before succeeding. Abraham Lincoln could have let the South secede. He decided to fight in order to retain the Union. The result was 600,000 dead and abolition of slavery. Franklin Delano Roosevelt decided to implement massive social welfare programs to keep Americans employed. These programs planted the seed for our current Crisis. He also committed 16 million American men in World War II, with 450,000 dying for their country and another 670,000 wounded. All previous Fourth Turnings began as financial episodes and eventually led to total wars of destruction. There is nothing about this current Crisis that would lead me to an alternative picture of our future.
I could propose a number of logical Crisis scenarios based on the facts at hand, but the truth is that no one knows how the next fifteen years will play out. We do know there will be much upheaval, worldly peril, and cataclysmic changes to the exiting institutional and social order. I believe the financial crisis will transform into a Depression as the layers of new debt piled upon the old debt ultimately collapse our economic system. It could be a deflationary collapse or an inflationary collapse. Both scenarios would lead to further destruction of the middle class. When the U.S. dollar is no longer viewed as the reserve currency for the world, America's worldwide influence will wane. How global economic rivals like China, Russia, and the Middle East react to our economic and social weakness will determine the next phase of the Crisis. When countries are experiencing severe domestic problems, they seek out or invent a foreign threat. The likely flashpoint which could lead to foreign conflict would be a terrorist attack on U.S. territory and/or a clash over depleting worldwide oil supplies. Strauss & Howe explain the nature of Fourth Turnings:
"The 'spirit of America' comes once a saeculum, only through what the ancients called ekpyrosis, nature's fiery moment of death and discontinuity. History's periodic eras of Crisis combust the old social order and give birth to a new. A Fourth Turning is a solstice era of maximum darkness, in which the supply of social order is still falling—but the demand for order is now rising. It is the saeculum's hibernal, its time of trial. Nature exacts its fatal payment and pitilessly sorts out the survivors and the doomed. Pleasures recede, tempests hurt, pretense is exposed, and toughness rewarded—all in a season."
Personally, I have grave apprehensions about the coming years. As a libertarian minded person I will not be happy, as it is highly unlikely that government will willingly get smaller. The last two Crisis periods resulted in a much more powerful Federal government. It is difficult for me to conceptualize how the country will come out the other side of this Crisis as a stronger society. The likelihood of the citizens rallying around the flag and following a Boomer Prophet into a world war seems farfetched to me. I fear the angry have-nots are more likely to rise up against the ruling elite, with potential dire consequences as the military may have to choose sides. My principal fear is that Crisis periods always rely on the Hero generation to make the greatest sacrifices. An entire generation of Heroes was wiped out in four years during the Civil War. A million Heroes were either killed or wounded in World War II. My three sons are all part of the Hero generation. I'm not prepared to sacrifice them for a cause that I do not believe in or agree with. The Boomer generation has been discredited in my eyes. Following a Boomer leader into battle seems out of the question today.
My guess on the end result of this Crisis is that Americans will need to localize. Reduced fuel availability will force people to depend on their neighbors and locally produced food. Forging closer relationships with family and neighbors will stand you in good stead during the remainder of this crisis. This Fourth Turning has only just begun. Strauss & Howe do not predict the outcome, only the challenges that await us and the hope that we will rise to the occasion.
Thus might the next Fourth Turning end in apocalypse – or glory. The nation could be ruined, its democracy destroyed, and millions of people scattered or killed. Or America could enter a new golden age, triumphantly applying shared values to improve the human condition. The rhythms of history do not reveal the outcome of the coming Crisis; all they suggest is the timing and dimension.
A Fourth Turning harnesses the seasons of life to bring about a renewal in the seasons of time. In so doing, it provides passage through the great discontinuities of history and closes the full circle of the saeculum. The Fourth Turning is when the Spirit of America reappears, rousing courage and fortitude from the people. History is seasonal, but its outcomes are not foreordained. Much will depend on how tall we stand in the trials to come.
Strauss & Howe – The Fourth Turning
Will America in 2025 look anything like the America of today? Will the country resemble a dictatorship? Will it resemble socialist Europe? Will it break apart into regions? Will it reaffirm its roots as a Constitutional Republic? Or, will it no longer exist? The choice is ours.
Join me at www.TheBurningPlatform.com to discuss truth and the future of our country.
By James Quinn
James Quinn is a senior director of strategic planning for a major university. James has held financial positions with a retailer, homebuilder and university in his 22-year career. Those positions included treasurer, controller, and head of strategic planning. He is married with three boys and is writing these articles because he cares about their future. He earned a BS in accounting from Drexel University and an MBA from Villanova University. He is a certified public accountant and a certified cash manager.
These articles reflect the personal views of James Quinn. They do not necessarily represent the views of his employer, and are not sponsored or endorsed by his employer.
© 2010 Copyright James Quinn - All Rights Reserved
Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.
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[6]Is Halloween a prime time for evangelism?
Are religious tracts passed out along with (or in lieu of) "treats" [7]really the best way to spread the gospel message?
Or do the roots and practices of Halloween run so deeply counter to Christian tradition that Halloween is best ignored by believers?
At times such as these, the church often finds itself wrestling with the big question H. Richard Niebuhr posed in his seminal 1951 work, Christ and Culture. That is, to what extent should Christians engage in and interact with the world around them?
Niebuhr unpacks this question by offering five models that range from total cultural abstention to total immersion, from a Christ who relates paradoxically to culture, to a Christ who transforms it.
While he argued that there are certain elements intrinsic to Christian faith, Niebuhr believed that there is no singular correct way the church has always, and will always, respond to this question, and that the way of faith is multifaceted and ever-changing.
Once again, on Halloween, we reflect on the relationship the church holds to the world around it.
This morning, USA Today religion reporter Cathy Grossman blogged about the American Tract Society's (ATS) latest in Halloween tracts [8], including a leaflet title, "Peek-a-Boo: Jesus Loves You."
In her post, Grossman gives a brief history of religious tracts, including how they have, historically, mimicked popular culture in order to present a particular Christian agenda.
A leaflet that some may deem "cruel,""shallow," or a "misrepresentation of Christianity," others may consider a triumph, a "seed sewn," and dutiful obedience to the Great Commission.
Grossman accounts several contrasting views on Halloween evangelism, for lack of a better term. In one, she quotes a Buddhist mother who was upset after finding a Toy Story-themed tract in her child's candy basket. (What would Christian parents think if their child received a Buddhist tract?).
[9]In another, Grossman quotes prominent evangelical pastor Rick Warren, who tweeted over the weekend [10] that Halloween presents an opportunity to share Jesus with the broader community.
Frank Salamone, a professor of Sociology at Iona University and author of the "Rituals of Rebellion," entry from the Encyclopedia of Religious Rites, Rituals, and Festivals, thinks handing out tracts is not an appropriate Christian response to Halloween.
"Halloween is the Eve of All Saints Day and Catholics have celebrated it as a quasi-scapular holiday for centuries," Salamone said in an interview Monday. "It has become basically a secular holiday over the centuries but with tinges of Catholic and pre-Christian rituals.
"I think there are many who confuse religion with doom and gloom and who resist having fun and begrudge others who do," he said. I would say, 'Get over it.' The imaginative life is worth living and a God-given blessing."
But in a piece on the Christian Broadcasting Network, guest columnist John Fischer says [11], "It all comes down to why we are here. Are we here to enjoy life in as safe an environment as possible? Are we here to recreate the world as it should be, or as we might want it to be? Or are we here to bring Jesus to the world, however dangerous that might be?"
Fischer concludes, then, that he'll participate in Halloween festivities, hoping that by doing so, he'll "renew relationships with neighbors I know and meet some others I don't know yet" and "if anything is good about this day, it is a day that brings people out.
"It would be a shame for Christians to be absent from the neighborhood when this happens," Fischer said.
Perennially, Halloween presents complicated questions to the faith community, namely: What does the Christian message offer to contemporary secular culture?
What are your thoughts on Christians engaging Halloween?
Are you celebrating Halloween? Handing out tracts? Offering hospitality to neighbors?
We'd love to hear your thoughts in the comments section below this post.
Joshua Witchger is an editorial Web assistant at Sojourners.
[1] http://sojo.net/blogs/culture-watch
[2] http://sojo.net/biography/joshua-witchger
[3] http://sojo.net/blogs/2011/10/31/boo-its-jesus-halloween-and-evangelization#comment-covenant
[4] http://sojo.net/letter-to-web-editor?post=Boo%21%20It%27s%20Jesus%21%3A%20Halloween%20and%20Evangelization%20
[5] http://sojo.net/donate
[6] http://sojo.net/sites/default/files/images/2974001345_07ec506363.jpg
[7] http://www.beliefnet.com/Faiths/Christianity/2002/11/Tract-Or-Treat.aspx
[8] http://content.usatoday.com/communities/Religion/post/2011/10/trick-treat-or-tract-some-evangelize-on-halloween-/1
[9] http://sojo.net/sites/default/files/images/Screen-shot-2011-10-31-at-2.24.04-PM.png
[10] http://twitter.com/#!/RickWarren/status/130366105238781952
[11] http://www.cbn.com/spirituallife/onlinediscipleship/halloween/fischer_homehalloween.aspx


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Accession# 1997.014 Artist Potter, Louis Collection Art Objects Credit line Gift of Joseph Veach Noble Date 1912 Description "Abdul Baha Medal" by Louis PotterAbdul Effendi/Abdul Baha/reformer/figure/oriental/robe/peace/love/faith/medalThe obverse depicts the Persian reformer Abbas Effendi (Abdul Baha). The reverse shows a figure in Oriental robes. The figure represents love, peace and unity of mankind and all faiths. Home Location storage Medium bronze Object ID S.1997.014 Object Name Medal Recfrom Noble, Joseph Veach Sub-category Art
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30 year old woman | New York, NY, USA | Seeking men 27-38 within 20 miles
New Yorker back from exile
I'm a smart New York City girl who has finally moved back here after spending many years far away (London, San Francisco, and...Boston). I'm pretty sure I'm back for good and it would be great to meet somebody new. I love this city so much, it's probably slightly unhealthy. Why not explore it with me? In addition to my day job as a researcher, I'm a keen writer trying to publish one of the two novels I've completed. For fun, I like checking out plays or whatever comedy or improv shows look interesting, and I love trying new foods - whether it's cooking from scratch or just eating. Summer is for strolling the Coney Island boardwalk or cycling in Riverside Park, and for staying out late enjoying the weather. Karaoke? Lots of fun. So is learning new types of dance (I did Polish for years). I don't do yoga or heirloom tomatoes. I've lived so many places that when people ask where my accent is from, I have to stop and think for a second. I'd like to meet a person with whom I could have a really cerebral and emotional connection on top of all the other things that make people click together. And while this is probably superfluous because I've never heard of somebody who didn't, I really love to laugh and the more of that I can do, or make somebody else do, the better. All the drama you could ever want is out there in life and the great big world, so I see no reason for making more - I'm just doing my best to stay driven, happy, and meaningfully engaged in life.
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I have Birds
I like Dogs, Fish
I have a quaker parrot (the same species you may have seen flying around Brooklyn) with an excellent vocabulary. He's a little feathery clown.
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Columbia University, New York, NY
Tottenham Hotspur FC, books by Alan Warner and Zadie Smith, writing, birds, essentially trying to learn everything about everything and never *quite* getting there.
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Occupation: | Other profession | No preference |
I work in pharmaceutical market research. I just left a position in health policy research at Harvard because I wanted to get back to the private sector, and to New York. |
Income: | $50,001 to $75,000 | $50,001 to $75,000, $75,001 to $100,000, $100,001 to $150,000, $150,001+ |
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Wants kids: | Someday | Definitely, Someday |
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I'm Reform Jewish (pretty secular). |
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BA from Columbia University, MSc from London School of Economics, MA from UC Berkeley. I was working on a PhD, but then I decided it wasn't the best fit for my personal and professional goals so I returned to full-time work as a researcher. |


text: Identifying the best defenses in college basketball by... Identifying the best defenses in college basketball by... The origins of the Final Four teams' mascots The origins of the Final Four teams' mascots Ten schools get new threads, colors in time for postsea... Ten schools get new threads, colors in time for postsea... Identifying the best defenses in college basketball by... Identifying the best defenses in college basketball by... Rupp Arena renovation plans include new façade, luxu... Rupp Arena renovation plans include new façade, luxu... Behind The Scenes With The Wolverines Behind The Scenes With The Wolverines On The Scene: The WCC Tournament Through Photos On The Scene: The WCC Tournament Through Photos Close Tweet0 Share0 Comment0 Share0 Share0 Stumble It0 Print0 More One And One Mike Krzyzewski and Jim Boehim finally meet again and Duke, not Syracuse, needs to make a statement by Brian Hamilton Email Posted: Fri Jan. 31, 2014 Jim Boeheim (left) and Mike Krzyzewski are longtime friends who have worked together on Team USA. (Mark J. Terrill/AP)Duke's Mike Krzyzewski and Syracuse's Jim Boeheim are the two winningest coaches in the history of college basketball. They have combined for 1,914 wins, five national championships and 15 Final Fours. They have joined forces to help Team USA win back-to-back Olympic gold medals in 2008 and '12. They consider each other best friends.On Saturday, they will be on opposite benches for just the third time, when the No. 2-ranked Orange host the 17th-ranked Blue Devils in the first meeting between the two powerhouse programs in 16 years.That matchup is empirically cool, but the weight of the game goes beyond just the two legends on the sidelines. It is about what Duke has long carried and which Syracuse, the conference intruder, is poised to steal: the banner of the ACC itself.The stakes were not unexpected -- the Blue Devils were picked first in the preseason ACC media poll and the Orange second -- but what might be is that it is Krzyzewski's team, not Boehiem's, that is in need of a statement victory. Syracuse is undefeated (20-0, 7-0) and sits atop the league standings. Duke (17-4, 6-2), meanwhile, is tied for third and has lost its first two games this year against elite opponents, falling to Kansas and Arizona (albeit both in November) on neutral courts while also losing to unranked ACC foes Notre Dame and Clemson in conference road games this month.Syracuse hasn't been tested as severely -- the Orange's highest-ranked opponent was then-No. 8 Villanova -- but it has already beaten back a Tobacco Road blueblood, hammering North Carolina 57-45 at the Carrier Dome on Jan. 11. A win for Duke won't impact the league standings but it would give them a chance to put a conference newcomer in its place, much as the Blue Devils did on Monday night when they entered the maw of Pittsburgh's Petersen Events Center and detonated from three-point range en route to an 80-65 win over the 18th-ranked Panthers.Back on Jan. 4, after Notre Dame upended Duke at home in the ACC opener for both teams, Irish coach Mike Brey proclaimed the Blue Devils were "the team you have to beat in the ACC if you want to look like you belong."Syracuse, in a significant if not shocking irony, is the team Duke has to beat in order to reassert its claim that it belongs in the ACC championship race this season. The programs will meet again in Durham. N.C., on Feb. 22 but the regular season title may be out of Duke's grasp by then if it loses in upstate New York tomorrow.Despite the hype for this game, one result Saturday won't echo into eternity. Both programs figure to be good at least as long as the 69-year-old Boeheim and the 66-year-old Krzyzewski are around, and both are sure to remain great friends. Krzyzewski recently hailed Boeheim as "the guy I had the most respect for in the game" and the coach "who I thought as brilliant and different than me."Boeheim, meanwhile, said, "It's just been a great relationship. Coaching is such a competitive field. You're not going to have a lot of friends in coaching because you're trying to beat each other's brains in for the most part. It's good to have a really good friend in coaching. It's been great." It just won't be great for one of them on Saturday night. Promoted Stories Comments


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A female suspect is in custody after she saw herself on Facebook and turned herself in on charges of fraudulent use of a Wells Fargo bank debit card.
Keionia Calloway, 20, turned herself in to Montgomery Investigators and MPD are still in search of another individual wanted in the same case.
In February, unknown individuals gained access to a 16-year-old victim's Well Fargo bank card to make several unauthorized purchases, according to Tony Garrett with CrimeStoppers. ...


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