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Key things you need to know aboutDr. Oei:
Dr. Oei's Experience
Research training, expertise and qualifications
Dr. Oei's Specialties
- Critical Care Medicine
- View all 2 specialties and 3 board certifications
Procedures Dr. Oei Performs
- Bronchoscopy
- Thoracentesis
- See all 3 procedures
Conditions Dr. Oei Treats
- Acidosis
- Asthma
- See all 25 conditions
More About Dr. Oei's Background
Hospital Quality
The right hospital is as important as the right doctor
- Morristown Medical Center
- 100 Madison Avenue
- Morristown, NJ 07960
9 Facts About Hospital Quality
Patients' risk of dying during a hospital stay for heart bypass surgery could be 85.2% lower, on average, at a hospital rated 5 stars compared to a hospital rated 1 star for that procedure. Choosing the right hospital is critical to your health. View Slideshow
Patient Satisfaction
Patients' feedback on their experience with Dr. Oei
Likelihood of recommending Dr. Oei to family and friends is 3.8 out of 5
See More Survey Results
8 Facts About Patient Satisfaction Surveys
Patient satisfaction surveys provide a standardized way of reporting about healthcare experiences. But there can be more than meets the eye when reviewing scores. Here's what you should know
Appointments & Offices
Check insurance plans, locations and make an appointment
Accepting new patients?
- Yes
- Pulmonary & Allergy Associates
- Pulmonary & Allergy Associates
- 8 Saddle Rd Ste 101
- Cedar Knolls, NJ 07927
- Pulmonary and Allergy Associates
- Summit Office
- 1 Springfield Ave Ste 3A
- Summit, NJ 07901
7 Tips to Prepare for Your Appointment
The key to a successful appointment is communication. To get the most out of your visit, prepare ahead of time so you can lead the conversation with your doctor. These 7 tips will get you ready


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Studded Shoes Summer 2012 Trend
Star-Studded: How Celebs Put Their Punched-Up Shoes to Work
The spiked and studded shoe isn't necessarily the newest trend on the block, but it certainly has made its embellished presence known as of late. Taking a spin via Diane Kruger, Emma Stone, Marion Cotillard, and more, we've spotted Christian Louboutin's spiked Pigalle flats, as well as the designer's metallic spiked Bis Un Bout pumps, and a pair of sparkly Giuseppe Zanotti sandals to start. The tougher-looking silhouette isn't just a quick way to edge up an outfit; it's actually evolved into its own brand of ladylike style — with a "we mean business" undertone. Now, all you have to do is look to Ginnifer Goodwin's red scalloped Valentino dress and spiked red Christian Louboutin heels to know that this embellished shoe has certainly surpassed its initial bad-girl roots. To see how Jaime King, Rose Byrne, Olivia Palermo, and others are putting their own spin on the trend, keep clicking — then, shop your favorite spiked and studded iterations at the end of the slideshow.
- Post-Lilly Pulitzer, Kohl's announces its new collaboration — Who What Wear
- Giorgio Armani just made some controversial comments about gay men — Racked
- Baby Timberlake is already an Instagram star — The Cut
- This bracelet trend is perfect for the fashion minimalist — Style.com
- Is this the most genius rain coat ever? — HuffPost Style
- Good news: you don't have to ditch your poncho this Spring — InStyle
- We can all learn a thing or two from these stylish kids — Lucky
- This work-appropriate style staple is perfect for the Summer — SheFinds
- Why the fashion crowd is obsessed with Chloë Sevigny — Man Repeller

subset: commoncrawl


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Thank you from Marine Hills | Letters
I again want to thank The Mirror for its commitment to the local community. I would encourage families to seek out Marine Hills pool. We are always looking to increase the size of our community of families.
The pool has amazing opportunities that are ever evolving to meet the needs of our families and the community of Federal Way as a whole. The pool has families that live as far away as Buckley that love what the pool brings to their families.
The pool has just added evening swim lessons for the month of August on Tuesdays and Thursdays for children ages 2 and a half and older, all abilities, for members and non-members alike. We are also offering a $200 family membership for the remainder of the summer.
We will also be at the Federal Way Farmers Market to answer any questions people may have about the pool. Thanks again for acknowledging the importance of Marine Hills and Twin Lakes pools!
Cristi Frederickson-Willis, Federal Way
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Tecumseh Hssk50 Engine
The manual download of Tecumseh Hssk50 Engine related with available for free. We taken the pdf file from www.tecumsehpower.com purposes as instruction guide to assist you to resolve your difficulty.
PDF Summary : Model Numbering Identification For Tecumsehpower S Full Engine Line 4 Hssk40, Lh195sa ( Hssk50 ), Lh195sp (hssk55)
Tecumseh Hssk50 Engine Posted at December 26th, 2012, read and download online using button that we provide below :


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Issue DateTitle
- Article, Meetings and ProceedingsA comparison of FA Premier League referee and player match work ratesJournal of Sports SciencesSep2009
Weston, M. (Matthew); Portas, M. D. (Matthew); Harley, J. A. (Jamie); Barnes, C. A. (Christopher); Bland, M. (Martin) - ArticleA comparison of workload quantification methods in relation to physiological responses to resistance exercise2014
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Dixon, K. (Kevin) - ArticleAge-related effects on fitness performance in elite-level soccer refereesThe Journal of Strength and Conditioning ResearchNov2005
Castagna, C. (Carlo); Abt, G. (Grant); D'Ottavio, S. (Stefano); Weston, M. (Matthew) - ArticleAgeing and physical match performance in English Premier League soccer refereesJournal of Science and Medicine in SportJan2010
Weston, M. (Matthew); Castagna, C. (Carlo); Impellizzeri, F. M. (Franco); Rampinini, E. (Ermanno); Breivik, S. (Simon) - ArticleAllometric scaling of diameter change in the original flow-mediated dilation protocol2013
- ArticleAn exploratory study on the combined effects of external and internal morphology on load dissipation in primate capitates: Its potential for an understanding of the positional and locomotor repertoire of early homininsFolia PrimatologicaJan2011
Macho, G. A. (Gabriele); Spears, I. R. (Iain); Leakey, M. G. (Meave); McColl, D. J. (Daniel); Jiang, Y. (Yong); Abel, R. (Richard); Nakatsukasa, M. (Masato); Kunimatsu, Y. (Yutaka) - ArticleAnalysis of between-half work rates in English Premier League soccer refereesJournal of Sports Science & Medicine2007
Weston, M. (Matthew); Castagna, C. (Carlo); Impellizzeri, F. M. (Franco); Rampinini, E. (Ermanno); Abt, G. (Grant) - ArticleAnalysis of physical match performance in English Premier League soccer referees with particular reference to first half and player work ratesJournal of Science and Medicine in SportDec2007
Weston, M. (Matthew); Castagna, C. (Carlo); Impellizzeri, F. M. (Franco); Rampinini, E. (Ermanno); Abt, G. (Grant) - ArticleApplicability of a change of direction ability field test in soccer assistant refereesJournal of Strength and Conditioning ResearchMar2011
Castagna, C. (Carlo); Impellizzeri, F. M. (Franco); Bizzini, M. (Mario); Weston, M. (Matthew); Manzi, V. (Vincenzo) - ArticleApplied physiology of female soccer: an updateSports MedicineMay2014
Datson, N. (Naomi); Hulton, A. (Andrew); Andersson, H. (Helena); Lewis, T. (Tracy); Weston, M. (Matthew); Drust, B. (Barry); Gregson, W. (Warren) - ArticleAppropriate within-subjects statistical models for the analysis of baroreflex sensitivityClinical Physiology and Functional ImagingJan2011
Atkinson, G. (Greg); Batterham, A. M. (Alan); Jones, H. (Helen); Taylor, C. E. (Chloe); Willie, C. K. (Chris); Tzeng, Y-C. (Yu-Chieh) - ArticleAssessment of exercise capacity and respiratory muscle oxygenation in healthy children and children with congenital heart diseasesApplied Physiology, Nutrition, and MetabolismJun2008
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Thompson, D. (Dylan); Batterham, A. M. (Alan); Markovitch, D. (Daniella); Dixon, N. C. (Natalie); Lund, A. J. S. (Adam); Walhin, J.-P. (Jean-Philippe) - BookConsuming Football in Late Modern LifeJul2013
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Coconut Dream Pie
I always make my husband something special for his birthday. This year, I went all out and decided to re-create one of his all-time favorite desserts: the signature Coconut Cream Pie from The Capital Grille. I couldn't find any recipes online, so — long shot — I emailed the folks over at Capital Grille and asked for the recipe. I was shocked: they sent it to me.
Like most restaurant recipes, the quantities were huge so I had to fiddle with it a bit, and the crust was mysteriously missing so I had to improvise, but the results were spectacular: a coconut-scented cookie crust filled with creamy coconut custard, all covered in a pillow of whipped cream and heaps of toasted coconut. Just like at the restaurant…heaven!
Now, by the looks of it, you'd think this pie would be difficult to make. Not exactly. I'll be honest, with three separate components and five different forms of coconut, it's definitely a pastry chef's recipe — but that's what makes it so incredible. Count on it taking a little time but know that it's not hard; as long as you follow the instructions, it'll come out great.
The crust is a cinch. It's made with shortbread cookie crumbs, sweetened flaked coconut and melted butter. Just whirl it all in a food processor until you have crumbs, then press it into a tart shell.
The filling is a custard made with coconut milk and cream of coconut. The only tricky part is that you have to temper the eggs. All that means is that you need to raise the temperature of the eggs so that when hot ingredients are added in, the eggs won't scramble. No worries, I walk you through it in the recipe.
The topping comes together quickly. You simply whip some heavy cream with sugar and coconut rum until soft peaks form, then spread it onto the tart. Top it off with golden coconut flakes and you're done.
I hope you'll try this pie. By all accounts, mine was a huge success; my husband loved it and everyone raved. Honestly, I don't think there's a better Coconut Cream Pie out there.
Coconut Dream Pie
For the Crust
- 7-1/2 ounces shortbread cookies, such as Walker's Pure Butter Shortbread, finely ground (if you don't have a baking scale, it's 11 Walker's rectangular cookies, from 2 boxes)
- 1-1/4 cups loosely packed sweetened flaked coconut
- 4 tablespoons unsalted butter, melted
For the Custard
- 2 large eggs
- 2 large egg yolks
- 3/4 cup granulated sugar
- 2 tablespoons all-purpose flour, packed
- 2 tablespoons cornstarch, packed
- Pinch salt
- 1-1/2 tablespoons Malibu Rum (coconut-flavored rum)
- 5 tablespoons Cream of Coconut (stir well before using)
- 1 cup coconut milk (stir well before using)
- 1 cup whole milk
- 3 tablespoons unsalted butter
For Whipped Cream and Topping
- 1 cup heavy whipping cream
- 3 tablespoons sugar
- 1 tablespoon Malibu Rum
- 3/4 cup unsweetened coconut flakes, toasted in a skillet until golden and cooled (see note below)
For the Crust
- Adjust the oven rack to the middle position and preheat the oven to 350°F.
- Pulse the cookie crumbs, coconut, and melted butter in a food processor until coconut is finely ground. Using a ½ cup dry measuring cup, press the crumbs firmly and evenly into the bottom and up the sides of a 10-inch tart pan with a removable bottom. Bake until golden, 15-18 minutes, then cool completely in the pan on a rack (you can speed this up in the fridge or freezer). If it shrinks or cracks a bit, simply press it back together and up the sides while it's still hot.
For the Filling
- In a medium bowl, whisk together the eggs, egg yolks, sugar, flour, cornstarch and salt. Set aside.
- In a medium saucepan, combine the Malibu rum, cream of coconut, coconut milk and whole milk. Bring to a boil; then turn off the heat. Whisking constantly, slowly ladle about a cup of the hot milk mixture into the egg mixture; whisk well to combine. Whisking constantly, gradually add the remaining milk mixture to the egg mixture in 3 or 4 additions; whisk well to combine. Return the mixture to the sauce pan. Cook over medium-high heat, whisking constantly, until the mixture reaches a boil and thickens, about 2 minutes. The filling must boil for at least 30 seconds in order to fully thicken. Off the heat, whisk in the butter until fully incorporated.
- Pour the hot filling into the cooled pie shell and smooth the surface with a spatula; press plastic wrap directly against the surface of the filling and refrigerate until firm, at least 3 hours and up to 10 hours. (Any longer than 10 hours and the crust will start to soften.)
For the Topping & To Serve
- Up to 3 hours before serving, beat the cream, sugar and Malibu Rum with an electric mixer until soft peaks form, 1½ - 2 minutes. Top the pie with whipped cream and sprinkle with cooled toasted coconut.
- Carefully remove the rim from the pan by gently pressing upwards on the bottom while holding the rim in place. Cut into wedges, wiping your knife clean between slices, and serve cold.
- Note: Unsweetened coconut flakes can usually be found at Whole Foods or organic markets. If you can't find them, feel free to substitute ½ cup sweetened flaked coconut (the stuff in the blue bag available everywhere). Simply toast it in a 350 degree oven, stirring often so it browns evenly, until lightly golden.
- Note: This recipe should be made in a 10" tart pan with a removable bottom. A pie plate won't work as well or be as pretty! You can find tart pans very inexpensively at most kitchenware stores. I got mine for $10 at Williams-Sonoma.
Reviews & Comments
Can I use plain rum instead of coconut rum? I would hate to buy a whole new bottle if I didn't have to.
I have an 11″ tart pan, what would you increase the ingredients by?
Wow!!!!!!!!!!!!! This pie was awesome!!!!! I sampled this pie at "Full Moon"" a barbecue restaurant here in the South. Well to say the least I am not a coconut fan. After sampling a bite of my husbands slice I was in heaven. At that point I proceeded to go online to see if I could find a receipe simular. Well yours was awesome! !! My husband and coworkers loved it. Keep posting excellent receipes like this!!
I don't even know where to begin with this recipe. So, I'll start with WOW! My Dad is a huge fan of coconut desserts, especially coconut cream pie and this is the same concept. Just a few changes I had to make; I have an 11in tart pan, which worked fine, I also didn't have Malibu rum, I used banana liquor and I didn't have whole milk, I used 1%. I was also too lazy to make the whipped cream, so I served it with a little dollop of Redi whip and garnished it with toasted coconut. So all in all, it was almost identical to the recipe…Let me just say, it didn't even need the whipped cream, my Dad said it was the best coconut dessert he's had! So enough said! The custard is this magical, creamy, fluffy, coconutty dream!
Does the 3 tablesoons of butter go in the custard?
This pie was absolutely delicious! So elegant and out-of-this-world wonderful. Thanks for the recipe — keep up the good work!
Was the crust their recipe also? I saw that it was adapted from Gourmet, so did they just give you the recipe for the custard?
I went to Capital Grille for the first time tonight and got the Coconut Cream Pie, and it's definitely now one of my favorite restaurant desserts. So, so good. And the crust is amazing! Sort of like a cookie, but sort of like a chewy dessert bar… so it's important that I ask whether this recipe reflects the crust also! haha. My fiance works about 6 minutes up the road from one of their locations, and I'm already planning to ask him to pick up some carry-out-pie in the future. I can't decide whether I hope they sell whole pies or not…
Regardless, I'll still probably be trying your recipe soon! Too tempting not to!
(I just remembered the whole dessert is basically a big tart in itself rather than a pie slice. Oh well! haha.)
Perfect! I had comments like "this is the best pie I ever had" when I served it at a dinner party recently. Only one problem: my cream broke when I added the rum. Twice. My husband ran out at the last minute and brought back some lite refrigerated topping, and that was surprisingly good. Although I'm sure the fresh cream would have been better, the purchased topping did make the tart a little lower in calories and kept for a few days in the fridge. Awesome desssert!
This was spot on! After eating this at Capital Grill this spring I was searching for this recipe. Thank you! It is awesome and look forward to making it for years to come!
I made this for a church potluck and it was gone in 10 minutes. I got so many compliments for it! The filling was so good and so easy to make, I think I will make it just as a pudding someday.
Definitely use a tart pan. It looks so pretty!
If I wanted to add crushed pineapple to this how would I go about it?
One of the things I love about this recipe is how forgiving it is of all the substitutions I make (which I do with almost every recipe). Here are some: I thought I had cream of coconut, but didn't. I used coconut oil instead. worked great. I also make my own shortbread. The shortbread is a cup of softened butter, about a cup of coconut flour, 1/2 c. sugar, and enough flour to make it into shortbread dough. This makes way more shortbread than needed for the recipe, so I either freeze some for then next pie, or more likely, it gets eaten. The coconut shortbread isn't quite as light as regular shortbread, but it works great in the recipe, and adds a lot of extra coconut flavor.
I am married to someone of Filipino descent, and his Filipino relatives never seemed to care for anything I brought to the family gatherings until I started bringing this pie! It always gets eaten, even with the mind-boggling amount of food they always have at their gatherings. Thanks so much for publishing! -
Hi! This is one of my favorite desserts! I'm attempting to make it for Easter tomorrow, and I was wondering if I could make the custard today and put it in the shell tomorrow so the crust doesn't get soft? Will the custard be ok to move once it's cooled?
Oh, my, was this GOOD. It was delicious the day I made it, but it was even better the next day after sitting overnight in the fridge, so if I were to make it again for an occasion, I'd make it the day before. I made mine in an 11-inch tart pan because that's all I had, and it came out fine; there was plenty of crust and filling. The shortbread crust really makes this pie—it just wouldn't be the same with a graham cracker or pastry crust. Thanks for another great recipe, Jenn!
Absolutely amazing! I made this last weekend and my family loved it! Thank you
I just had this amazing dessert at the C.G. of Denver, and am SO grateful you have shared it with us. It is THE best Coconut cream pie and I am so glad I can make it with your help. Thanks for your efforts.
I made this Tart for our annual street party dessert contest & won! I have made it a few times now, and once you locate the ingredients, it's pretty straightforward. Everyone RAVED – it is delicious.
I adore coconut and this is my new favorite. I'm hoping my family gets the hints and makes this for Mother's Day!
Googled to find this recipe and found your site. Love the fact that you found the exact recipe, as well as we're so specific with the directions. Much appreciated, and look forward to making it as well as finding more stuff (that you found first!).
I will make this one day soon…
Wow-made this tonight and I would say that it definitely tastes like Capital Grille's fabulous pie. I wondered if it needed the caramel sauce that they use but it doesn't. It's extraordinarily rich. I tasted it prior to toasting the coconut and decided it was perfect so I didn't bother. I did use 2% milk rather than whole-didn't taste a difference. I would grease the bottom of the tarte pan as it was a little hard to remove but small price to pay for an outstanding dessert!
Oh. My. Word. Somebody help me. This looks out-of-world delicious.
I want to make this for 4th of July weekend party.
I have made your coconut dream tart twice now and both times it came out beautifully (both in taste and esthetics)! And the feedback for the tart has also been great. Everyone loves it!
I can't seem to find any Coconut Cream, any suggestions, thanks.
Thanks Jenn, I did end up finding some(cream of coconut) but was hard to find, made this at Easter and was very good.
I plan to make this for a trip that includes a 4.5 hour drive, and I'm leaving directly after work so it will need to be made in the morning or the night before. Can all three elements (topping, custard, pre-baked crust) be made and stored separately, then put together before eating? I really hope I can make it work–it looks amazing!! Thank you!
The Capital Grille's pie comes with a caramel rum sauce-did they give you the recipe for that as well?
This recipe is a family favorite, for special occasions. I use Lorna Doone shortbread cookies (cheaper than Walkers). Super easy and great to serve all year long. This was my first recipe from your website, and got me hooked on your blog. Thanks
I made this for my family and it is now one of my family's all time favorite desserts! My daughter made this for a recent auction donation and it looked as great as the photos here. Coconut lovers delight.
Ah! I'm so excited! I just went to the Capital Grille for my birthday this past weekend and I've been dreaming about this pie ever since, hence why I came across your post on foodgawker…I'm absolutely going to try this out, I'll let you know how it goes! Thanks for going through the trouble to convert and post :)
This is the absolute best coconut creap pie EVER! It is relatively simple, but so, so delicious. The ingredients make all the difference. I have made it several times – alwyas to rave reviews. Outstanding!!
This is a wonderful recipe! we're huge fans of Capital Grilled coconut cream pie! my husband loved this and I will be making this more often. Thanks!
Thank you for this wondrful rendition. I made this recipe with 6 mini tart pans for my girlfriend's birthday today and it was a fabulous hit (they're huge coconut fans)! I did add about a teaspoon of pure vanilla to the topping.
Hi Tatiana, I agree with you on the flaked coconut in the custard…very unpleasant! I think you'll love this recipe. As for the cream of coconut, I believe coconut cream is the same thing.
I was looking for a coconut pie without any flaked coconut in the custard,and this one sounds perfect.I think that the chewiness of the coconut flakes just doesn't go well with nice smooth texture of creamy custard. Do you think that a can of coconut cream and a little more sugar will be a good substitute for the cream of coconut?Thank you for sharing the recipe.
I halved this recipe to fit in to 4 mini tarlet pans over Valentine's Day- HUGE success! Thank you so much!
I wonder, am I the first man to comment? My wife requested this for her birthday. I made it for her. She loved it.
I hate to write the stereotypical recipe comment telling about all the things I changed in your recipe, but I had to replace the rum with something because I don't cook with alcohol. I used a splash of coconut extract instead of rum in the custard and the whipped cream.
I made this for Christmas dinner. I had trouble locating a 10′ tart pan (William Sonomo). After that, piece of cake! (HA!) This was the most straight forward recipe I've ever tried. I loved that everything was thought out, down to how many boxes of cookies and how many cookies I needed. The techniques were explained well. For a novice, which I am not, making a custard is a lost art. After making this a tart a new and useful skill will be mastered.
The combination of flavors was perfect. The taste of coconut was subtle but present. There was not a piece left with multiple choices of deserts too. I came home with an empty plate! I will definitely make this again!
I made this for my family and neighbors…It was amazing…fairly simple and soo yummy.
I will be trying this soon!!! It sounds incredible!!!
Made this for a dinner party last weekend and it was AH-MAZING!!! Thank you!
now this looks like a real WINNER!
mmmm looks divine
This looks AMAZING. Super awesome that they sent you the recipe!
Wow, that looks beautiful! I love coconut so this is making me drool.
Omg! Made this over the weekend and it was AMAZING! Definitely a keeper!
I made this for my family today, and everyone loved it! It has a nice subtle, natural coconut flavor. It seemed like a sophisticated version of the everyday coconut cream pie. Loved it, and will be making it again! Thanks for sharing the recipe!
yum! My hubby used to live in the DC area- he's always impressed when I say "Oooo I found a recipe from _____!" This pie looks delish- as well as the pics!!! Well done!
To die for!
And your unbaked crust… so beautiful!
You are amazing. I love your blog. I am all about coconut right now and finding this has made my day. I'll def blog about it.
oh my that looks beyond delicious!
a very cake for dreamer!:D
I would absolutely LOVE this! You had me at walkers shortbread and malibu…I have to try this recipe!
If you can't find unsweetened coconut flakes, could you buy a real coconut, shave and toast?
Oh MAN!! I can't wait to try this recipe! Sounds wonderful!! Thanks for being so generous for sharing a recipe you had the good fortune to acquire!
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03:38 15th July 2013
by @StewartFrodsham
A selection of image from the light training session ahead of the game against the Columbus Crew
Season Card prices and packages for the 2015-16 to be announced on.... 2 hours 51 mins ago
Latics win LFA Youth Cup in emphatic style. 3 hours 1 mins ago
Boss assesses defeat to Wolves in final home fixture of the season. 22 hours 6 mins ago
Photos from before, during and after Latcs' 1-0 defeat to Wolves. 22 hours 21 mins ago
Afobe header gives the visitors all three points. 23 hours 16 mins ago
One change for Latics as Boyce comes in for Cowie. 1 day ago


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Responsibility, Fears and Uncertainty
Posted Aug 27 2009 12:00am
Life can be filled with so much uncertainty. Sometimes I wish that I could just turn my brain off, for a time of rest! I'm not a big worrier, because I try my hardest to put my fears in God's hands, but I do tend to analyze things A LOT! And, sometimes this causes me to think of the many "what if's."
Since having Gavin in my life I have actually felt more free in many ways. I am able to let the small things just go, more than I used to be able to anyway. I don't worry about as many things as I used to. I realize that there are so many more important things in life, besides the little things that used to bring me down. I've realized that there are MANY things that you just can't control and that I shouldn't waste my time even trying! This includes; Complex relationships (I can't change them, so why invest so many emotions into them?), My children (how they are dressed and some behaviors that they exhibit.....I now try to pick my battles better than I used to, because some things really JUST DON'T MATTER!), How things look, etc. What I'm trying to say is that there are so many more important things to focus on!
On the other hand, having Gavin has also brought about more thinking and more worries. I feel like I need to be so responsible with this gift that was given to me! He is fragile in so many ways and it's up to me to make sure all of his needs are met! Things don't just get swept under the rug with him. I can't decide that if I'm tired or not feeling well at night, to just go to sleep and think to myself that "I'll just do it tomorrow." EVERY night there are things that HAVE to get done! There are medications to make up. There is his food to mix up. There are breathing treatments to give him.....Etc. I don't get to decide when to do these things....there is a strict schedule and they need to be done! With our other children, things could always be put off, if needed, for another time or day.....This is definitely not the case with Gavin!
As for relationships, some may not be such a worry for me anymore, but there are others that are SO MUCH MORE important to me! My relationship with my children is more important to me. I have a very strong desire to give them all that I can and to make sure that their lives are not over-burdened by having a special needs brother. I want to make sure that they are doing well and having lots of fun too, because life is definitely not easy on them, having a brother who requires so much more than the average brother does.
My relationship with Joel is more important to me too. Being married is a job in itself, but when you add the added stress of having a child with special needs, it is so much more complex! I am hopefully more loving in some ways towards him, but I also don't let things just slide either. I can't! Our relationship is already put into the strained category just with the stress of having to care for a special little guy and all the extra work and worries that come with him. I am always looking for ways to improve our relationship and I put a HUGE focus on communication now. (Let me tell you, this is a full-time job in itself!) But, I know that it is also SO VERY IMPORTANT!
Little things that never would have crossed my mind before, now just pop into my head. Since Gavin is so fragile, sometimes I wonder how long he has to live. I was at a store this week and I was looking at clothing in his size and sizes that he will fit into next. I suddenly had the thought that I shouldn't buy him anything in the next size because he may never get the chance to wear them. What a morbid thought, huh?! But, I've had these thoughts about him before. I have never had such thoughts about my other children and God only knows how long they will be on this earth as well. I guess it's because Gavin HAS fought to just stay alive so many times and because he still has a heart defect and is so fragile, but I don't like having to think this way!
I am fearful of the flu season coming and having him get sick again. I've heard that the swine flu will affect 50% of the population and that they expect 90,000 people to die from it! This is not something a Mom, who has a fragile child, wants to hear! Should I even send Gavin to school this year? (I say send lightly, because like my cousin's husband said to me, "When do you and Gavin start school?" Even he knows that I won't actually be leaving him at school by himself for awhile! I'm going to be starting school again right along with him!) But, seriously, is this a good time to put Gavin in a compromised situation?
Also, traveling with Gavin is never easy. We have to pack so much more than we used to! There are so many things that we have to take along with us for him! This weekend we are traveling the farthest we ever have, with Gavin. This kind of scares me. We are going to visit my Dad, Step-Mom and Sister, who live about 8 hours from our home. Gavin has never been to their home, because he has never been as stable as he is now, and I was fearful of traveling that far with him. Now that I am planning for this trip, I am allowing these fears to pop up into my head. Should we travel this far away from his doctors and the hospital that has all of his records? What if he becomes sick? What if he needs to be hospitalized? Should I pack his O2 monitor and some oxygen, just in case? He has been doing so well lately, but I still wonder about these things! UGH!
So, these are the thoughts floating through my head each day, and especially lately. Lots to think about......but lots to be thankful for too!
Somedays I wonder how I stay so sane? But, I actually know the answer to that one.....By God's Wonderful Grace!
"The Lord is my light and my salvation; Whom shall I fear? The Lord is the strength of my life; Of whom shall I be afraid?" Psalm 27:1
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Has anyone tried using duplicolors shadow paint? It supposed to make your chrome have a black tint. Im trying to make my 20" bonetti chrome wheels almost look like black chrome.
I did a few years back with some chrome on my old acura, works well but you have to prep it properly
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Re: Duplicolor?
Yeah, i just wasnt sure how it would turn out. Didnt want to waste good wheels haha
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Japanese fashion and Tokyo street style – Tokyofaces.com
Japanese Fashion and tokyo street style photos
Friday, 20 January 2012
Tags: bag, coat, ichigaya, mobile phone
The entry 'In Ichigaya' was posted on January 20th, 2012 at 13:34 and is filed under Women. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.


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Raw Beauty
Category: Travel Portraits
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Two raw Beauties from a village could put any model to shame .
Location: Bhuj Gujarat India
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Aston Villa midfielder Marc Albrighton was delighted to be the player to score the Premier League's 20,000th goal last night.
The 22-year old winger slotted home the equaliser in the 54th minute of the clash with Arsenal and despite eventually losing 2-1, Albrighton was thrilled to have contributed to the league's milestone.
"The Barclays Premier League is one of the greatest leagues in the world, if not the greatest, so to score the 20,000th goal is a great honour.""It's a brilliant occasion and a brilliant feeling to have got that record. It's something that I can tell the kids and the grandkids about," he said.
And Albrighton was even more delighted to donate the ÂŁ20,000 prize to his chosen charity of Acorns Children's Hospice Trust.
"There are some great people at Acorns doing some special things, they deserve every plaudit they get and they definitely deserve the money. At times you take things too seriously in life but you visit a place like Acorns and it really opens your eyes.""To raise £20,000 for such a great cause is brilliant and that will make me happy tonight," he added.
Click here to reach the No1 destination for hard news and exciting gossip on Aston Villa


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Resistance on the first turn of the target range of 94.00/95.00 did not allow the price to rise higher. The couple began lowering and now is testing the level of 92.20/30. The indicator changes testimony in favor of the "bearish" the continuation and this increases the risk of falling prices to the levels of 91.50/00, called earlier, as the likely support for the corridor which will form the expected correction. If SS joins the testimony of colleagues, it will give the arguments to fear lower prices fall, possibly to 89.50/40. By the way, if the situation is considered from the point of Candlestick analysis, two Dodge at the top (on the daily time frame) indicate a strong signal of reversal. However, in the medium term, the priorities still remain on the side of growth.
About Author
Hello, my name is Arkady Nagiev and I've been working for Forex4you company since 2008. I received an economic education and worked in various sectors of former Soviet Union. After the dissolution of the USSR, I decided to engage in the banking sector. In 1994 I took "Banking" course in the Moscow International Financial and Banking School. After that, I worked in the banks of Turkmenistan and Ukraine. While working at the bank, I became interested in the foreign exchange market, which required additional knowledge and pushed me to study strategies and techniques for the analysis of foreign exchange instruments. At first, I thought that technical analysis would be enough, but I soon realized that I was wrong, and began to study fundamental analysis. I sincerely hope that my Forex reviews and financial analyses help our clients to gain a better understanding of the forex market. Good luck with your trading everyone!


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Mechanics Files
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Family-owned and operated, we are focused on providing the best service possible to each and every customer. We provide information and solutions for our customers and let them decide how they want to proceed. And we reward customer referrals!


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Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar - Fleming's Rancho Mirage is an ongoing celebration of exceptional food and wine, featuring the finest prime steak and our award-winning wine list. Join us for a drink after work and sample our list of 100 wines by the glass, including 30 selected especially for you by our own Wine Manager. Then stay and enjoy an exceptional menu of steak and seafood, including chef-recommended selections such as our thick hand-cut Bone-in Ribeye and our melt-in-your-mouth Filet.
Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar 71800 Highway 111 Rancho Mirage, CA 92270
760-776-6685 Sign up for great offers from Lulu California Bistro by texting FLEMINGS to 90947.


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Seniors Casey Prather and Scottie Wilbekin combined for 47 points to lead third-ranked Florida to a 69-59 road victory at No. 14 Kentucky. The win was just UF's ninth win ever in Lexington -- only the fourth in 18 seasons for Coach Billy Donovan -- and dropped the Wildcats to 81-3 at home under Coach John Calipari.
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text: Frank Griffith Bristed Unknown date of birth - Died 21 May 1941 PDF Print Share Key details Contribute › Service number8012 AWMM Also known as ForceArmy AWMM Rank and unit at dischargePrivate AWMM WarWorld War II, 1939-1945 AWMM Lay a poppy Hide sources Show empty fields Identity About Contribute › Title ForenamesFrank Griffith AWMM SurnameBristed AWMM Ingoa Also known as Service number8012 AWMM GenderMale AWMM Iwi Hapū Waka Rohe Religion Images and documents Images Contribute › Documents Contribute › Civilian life About birth Contribute › Date of birth Place of birth Birth notes Occupations Contribute › Occupation before enlistmentWW2 AWMMSalesman AWMM Post war occupation Next of kin Contribute › Address before enlistmentUnknown AWMM58 Rossall Street, Christchurch, New Zealand AWMM Next of kin on embarkationMrs Frances Jean Bristed (wife), 58 Rossall Street, Christchurch, New Zealand AWMM Relationship statusPre 5 January 1940 AWMMMarried AWMM Service Wars and conflicts Contribute › WarWorld War II, 1939-1945 AWMM CampaignsNorth Africa AWMM ForceArmy AWMM Service number8012 AWMM Military units Military service Miilitary decorations Contribute › Medals and Awards Training and Enlistment Contribute › Military training EnlistmentWW2 AWMMUnknown AWMMChristchurch, Canterbury, New Zealand AWMM Age on enlistmentWW2 AWMM Embarkations Contribute › Embarkation detailsWW2 AWMM5 January 1940 AWMMWellington, New Zealand AWMM Embarkation bodyWW2 AWMM5 January 1940 AWMMCompany Quartermaster Sergeant AWMM Prisoner of war Contribute › Capture details Days interned Liberation date POW liberation details POW serial number Medical history Contribute › Medical notesDied of wounds, Cause of Death AWMMDied of injuries AWMM Last known rank Contribute › Last rankPrivate AWMM Biographical information Biographical information Contribute › Son of Arthur Henry and Kate Bristed; husband of Frances Jean (nee McDougall) Bristed, of Christchurch, CanterburyNext of kin details compiled from information in the Casualty lists published in the newspapers. AWMM Death About death Contribute › Age at death40 AWMM Date of death21 May 1941 AWMM Cause of deathDied of wounds AWMM Place of deathEgypt AWMM Death notesEgypt AWMM Cemetery Contribute › Cemetery nameCairo War Memorial Cemetery, Egypt AWMM Grave referenceK. 32. AWMM Memorial Contribute › Memorial name Memorial reference Obituary Roll of Honour Remember Frank Griffith Bristed by laying a poppy. Rex Michael Brislane Edward Griffith Bristed Frank Griffith Bristed Stanley George Brister Francis Bristol Lay a poppy for 2015 Leave a note Leave a tribute or memory of Frank Griffith Bristed Leave a note Contribute › Processing Sources Sources Contribute › External linksBirths, Deaths and Marriages (New Zealand) Historical Records onlinehttps://www.bdmhistoricalrecords.dia.govt.nzSources UsedCommonwealth War Graves Commission.http://www.cwgc.orgSources UsedPapers Past. Digital New Zealand Newspapers.http://paperspast.natlib.govt.nz/cgi-bin/paperspastSources UsedRoll of Honour, Evening Post, Volume CXXXI, Issue 121, 24 May 1941, Page 11http://paperspast.natlib.govt.nz/cgi-bin/paperspast?a=d&cl=search&d=EP19410524.2.101&srposFurther Reference DocumentsThe Evening Post AWMMSecond New Zealand Expeditionary Force. (1941). Nominal Roll Second New Zealand Expeditionary Force No. 1 (Embarkations to 31st March, 1940). Wellington, N.Z.: Govt. Printer. AWMMWW2 1: WW2 24 AWMM Seen an error on this page? Tell us about it.


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Critics are shaming the European Commission for directing research funds to a laboratory operating in the occupied West Bank.
Critics are shaming the European Commission for directing research funds to a laboratory operating in the occupied West Bank.
Autophagy, the cell's recycling system, may be responsible for the health benefits of exercise.
One of the leading scientific voices touting the health benefits of red wine fabricated data dozens of times.
Brain imaging and gene analyses in twins reveal that white matter integrity is linked to an iron homeostasis gene.
Certain skin-residing immune cells may—under specific conditions—play a direct role in initiating skin cancer after exposure to environmental toxins.
A SUNY graduate student falsifies Western blot data used in meetings, grant applications, and submitted manuscripts
After Science pulls the original article linking a mouse virus to the chronic fatigue syndrome, PNAS follows suit, yanking the only other study supporting the link.
A prominent researcher is being sued for $1 billion by a University of Pennsylvania Cancer Institute for discoveries he may have made while a researcher and administrator there.
Our list of the best and brightest products that 2011 had to offer the life scientist
Now RNA can glow in the cell, as only proteins could in the past.


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The Nutcracker
Holiday Music On Tap At MSP Airport
Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport will be a festive place for travelers this holiday season. Various musicians will perform at Terminal 1, the Lindbergh Terminal, in December. Performers include jazz pianist Laura Caviani, the Minnesota Dance Theater performing pieces from "The Nutcracker," the Painted Harmony Chorale Ensemble and the Greater Twin Cities Youth Symphony.
Best 2014 Holiday Events In Minnesota
Check out a play, ballet or concert with a holiday theme to be entertained and feel the Christmas joy being spread throughout the state.
Best 2014-2015 College Productions In Minnesota
Minnesota college students have talent. See for yourself with these productions.
Best Places To See Ballet In Minnesota
Minnesota is home to a thriving cultural scene, not least of which is the opportunity to see the ballet regularly. Refer to this list of top picks and consider checking out your local ballet scene.
Finding Minnesota: Behind The Scenes Of 'Nutcracker'
One of the most popular shows on stage this time of the year is "The Nutcracker." And here in the Twin Cities, there are about nine different dance companies performing it this month.


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745. MrstormX
Quoting stevego: It could get bad there, but it is more likely to be bad farther N. Just tell them to listen to local emergency management. |
By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:55 PM GMT on August 25, 2011
Back in 1938, long before satellites, radar, the hurricane hunters, and the modern weather forecasting system, the great New England hurricane of 1938 roared northwards into Long Island, New York at 60 mph, pushing a storm surge more than 15 feet high to the coast. Hundreds of Americans died in this greatest Northeast U.S. hurricane on record, the only Category 3 storm to hit the Northeast since the 1800s. Since 1938, there have been a number of significant hurricanes in the Northeast--the Great Atlantic hurricane of 1944, Hazel of 1954, Diane of 1955, Donna of 1960, Gloria of 1985, Bob of 1991, and Floyd of 1999--but none of these were as formidable as the great 1938 storm. Today, we have a hurricane over the Bahamas--Hurricane Irene--that threatens to be the Northeast's most dangerous storm since the 1938 hurricane. We've all been watching the computer models, which have been steadily moving their forecast tracks for Irene more to the east--first into Florida, then Georgia, then South Carolina, then North Carolina, then offshore of North Carolina--and it seemed that this storm would do what so many many storms have done in the past, brush the Outer Banks of North Carolina, then head out to sea. Irene will not do that. Irene will likely hit Eastern North Carolina, but the storm is going northwards after that, and may deliver an extremely destructive blow to the mid-Atlantic and New England states. I am most concerned about the storm surge danger to North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, New York, and the rest of the New England coast. Irene is capable of inundating portions of the coast under 10 - 15 feet of water, to the highest storm surge depths ever recorded. I strongly recommend that all residents of the mid-Atlantic and New England coast familiarize themselves with their storm surge risk. The best source of that information is the National Hurricane Center's Interactive Storm Surge Risk Map, which allows one to pick a particular Category hurricane and zoom in to see the height above ground level a worst-case storm surge may go. If you prefer static images, use wunderground's Storm Surge Inundation Maps. If these tools indicate you may be at risk, consult your local or state emergency management office to determine if you are in a hurricane evacuation zone. Mass evacuations of low-lying areas along the entire coast of New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, and Virginia are at least 50% likely to be ordered by Saturday. The threat to the coasts of New York, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and Maine is less certain, but evacuations may be ordered in those states, as well. Irene is an extremely dangerous storm for an area that has no experience with hurricanes, and I strongly urge you to evacuate from the coast if an evacuation is ordered by local officials. My area of greatest concern is the coast from Ocean City, Maryland, to Atlantic City, New Jersey. It is possible that this stretch of coast will receive a direct hit from a slow-moving Category 2 hurricane hitting during the highest tide of the month, bringing a 10 - 15 foot storm surge.
Figure 1. The scene in Nassau in the Bahamas at daybreak today. Image credit: Wunderblogger Mike Theiss.
Irene a Category 3 over the Bahamas, headed northwest
Hurricane Irene tore through the Bahama Islands overnight, bringing hurricane-force winds, torrential rains, and storm surge flooding to Crooked Island, Long Island, Rum Cay, and Cat Island, which all took a terrific pounding. Eleuthera and Abaco Island will receive the full force of Irene's eyewall today, but the eyewall will miss capital of Nassau. Winds there were sustained at 41 mph, gusting to 66 mph so far this morning, and I expect these winds will rise to 50 - 55 mph later today. Wunderblogger MIke Theiss is in Nassau, and will be sending live updates through the day today. Winds on Grand Bahama Island in Freeport will rise above tropical storm force late Thursday morning, and increase to a peak of 45 - 55 mph late Thursday afternoon. Grand Bahama will also miss the brunt of the storm. Irene is visible on Miami long-range radar, and the outer bands of the hurricane are bringing rain to Southeast Florida this morning.
Irene is currently undergoing an eyewall replacement cycle, where the inner eyewall collapses, and a new outer eyewall forms from a spiral band. During this process, the hurricane may weaken slightly, and it may take the rest of today for a new eyewall to fully form. Satellite imagery shows a lopsided pattern to Irene, with less cloud cover on the storm's southwest side. This is due to upper level winds from the southwest creating about 10 - 20 knots of wind shear along the storm's southwest side. We can hope that the shear will be strong enough to inject some dry air into the core of Irene and significantly weaken it today, but I put the odds of that happening at only 10%. The most likely scenario is that Irene will complete its eyewall replacement cycle later today or on Friday, then begin intensifying again. Wind shear is expected to stay moderate, 10 - 20 knots, for the next three days, ocean temperatures are a very warm 29°C, and Irene has an upper-level high pressure system on top of it, to aid upper-level outflow. None of our intensity forecast models show Irene growing to Category 4 strength, though the last 4 runs of the ECMWF global model--our best model for forecasting track--have intensified Irene to a Category 4 hurricane with a 912 - 920 mb pressure as it crosses over Eastern North Carolina.
Track forecast for Irene
The models have edged their tracks westwards in the last cycle of runs, and there are no longer any models suggesting that Irene will miss hitting the U.S. The threat to eastern North Carolina has increased, with several of our top models now suggesting a landfall slightly west of the Outer Banks is likely, near Morehead City. After making landfall on the North Carolina coast Saturday afternoon or evening, Irene is likely to continue almost due north, bringing hurricane conditions to the entire mid-Atlantic coast, from North Carolina to Long Island, New York. This makes for a difficult forecast, since a slight change in Irene's track will make a huge difference in where hurricane conditions will be felt. If Irene stays inland over eastern North Carolina, like the ECMWF and GFDL models are predicting, this will knock down the storm's strength enough so that it may no longer be a hurricane once it reaches New Jersey. On the other hand, if Irene grazes the Outer Banks and continues northwards into New Jersey, like the GFS model is predicting, this could easily be a Category 2 hurricane for New Jersey and Category 1 hurricane for New York City. A more easterly track into Long Island would likely mean a Category 2 landfall there.
Category 2 landfalls may not sound that significant, since Hurricane Bob of 1991 made landfall over Rhode Island as a Category 2, and did only $1.5 billion in damage (1991 dollars), killing 17. But Irene is a far larger and more dangerous storm than Bob. The latest wind analysis from NOAA/HRD puts Irene's storm surge danger at 4.8 on a scale of 0 to 6, equivalent to a borderline Category 3 or 4 hurricane's storm surge. Bob had a much lower surge potential, due to its smaller size, and the fact it was moving at 32 mph when it hit land. Irene will be moving much slower, near 18 mph, which will give it more time to pile up a big storm surge. The slower motion also means Irene's surge will last longer, and be more likely to be around during high tide. Sunday is a new moon, and tides will be at their highest levels of the month during Sunday night's high tide cycle. Tides at The Battery in New York City (Figure 3) will be a full foot higher than they were during the middle of August. Irene will expand in size as it heads north, and we should expect its storm surge to be one full Saffir-Simpson Category higher than the winds would suggest.
Figure 2. Predicted tides for the south shore of New York City's Manhattan Island at The Battery for Sunday, August 28 and Monday, August 29. High tide is near 8pm EDT Sunday night. Tidal range between low and high tide is 6 feet on Sunday, the highest range so far this month. A storm surge of 10 feet would thus be 10 feet above Mean Lower Low Water (MLLW, the lowest tide of the year), but 16 feet over this mark if it came at high tide. Image credit: NOAA Tides and Currents.
Irene's storm surge potentially extremely dangerous for the mid-Atlantic coast
Irene's large size, slow motion, arrival at high tide, and Category 3 strength at landfall in North Carolina will likely drive a storm surge of 8 - 10 feet into the heads of bays in Pamlico Sound, and 3 - 6 feet in Albemarle Sound. As the storm progresses northwards, potential storm surge heights grow due to the shape of the coast and depth of the ocean, though the storm will be weakening. If Irene is a Category 1 storm as it crosses into Virginia, it can send a storm surge of 4 - 8 feet into Chesapeake Bay and Norfolk. I give a 50% chance that the surge from Irene in those locations will exceed the record surges observed in 2003 during Hurricane Isabel. The region I am most concerned about, though, is the stretch of coast running from southern Maryland to Central New Jersey, including Delaware and the cities of Ocean City and Atlantic City. A Category 1 hurricane can bring a storm surge of 5 - 9 feet here. Irene's large size, slow movement, and arrival at the highest tide of the month could easily bring a surge one Category higher than the storm's winds might suggest, resulting in a Category 2 type inundation along the coast, near 10 - 15 feet. This portion of the coast has no hurricane experience, and loss of life could be heavy if evacuation orders are not heeded. I give a 30% chance that the storm surge from Irene will bring water depths in excess of 10 feet to the coasts of Maryland, Delaware, and New Jersey.
Figure 3. The height above ground that a mid-strength Category 2 hurricane with 100 mph winds would push a storm surge along the Maryland, Delaware, and New Jersey coasts in a worst-case scenario. The image was generated using the primary computer model used by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) to forecast storm surge--the Sea, Lake, and Overland Surge from Hurricanes (SLOSH) model. The accuracy of the SLOSH model is advertised as plus or minus 20%. This "Maximum Water Depth" image shows the water depth at each grid cell of the SLOSH domain. Thus, if you are inland at an elevation of ten feet above mean sea level, and the combined storm surge and tide (the "storm tide") is fifteen feet at your location, the water depth image will show five feet of inundation. This Maximum of the "Maximum Envelope of Waters" (MOM) image was generated for high tide and is a composite of the maximum storm surge found for dozens of individual runs of different Category 2 storms with different tracks. Thus, no single storm will be able to cause the level of flooding depicted in this SLOSH storm surge image. Consult our Storm Surge Inundation Maps page for more storm surge images of the mid-Atlantic coast.
Figure 4. The height above ground that a mid-strength Category 2 hurricane with 100 mph winds would push a storm surge along the New Jersey coast in a worst-case scenario. Water depths could reach 6 - 8 feet above ground level in Ocean City and Atlantic City, and up to 16 feet along less populated sections of the coast.
Irene's storm surge may flood New York City's subway system
The floodwalls protecting Manhattan are only five feet above mean sea level. During the December 12, 1992 Nor'easter, powerful winds from the 990 mb storm drove an 8-foot storm surge into the Battery Park on the south end of Manhattan. The ocean poured over the city's seawall for several hours, flooding the NYC subway and the Port Authority Trans-Hudson Corporation (PATH) train systems in Hoboken New Jersey. FDR Drive in lower Manhattan was flooded with 4 feet of water, which stranded more than 50 cars and required scuba divers to rescue some of the drivers. Mass transit between New Jersey and New York was down for ten days, and the storm did hundreds of millions in damage to the city. Tropical Storm Floyd of 1999 generated a storm surge just over 3 feet at the Battery, but the surge came at low tide, and did not flood Manhattan. The highest water level recorded at the Battery in the past century came in September 1960 during Hurricane Donna, which brought a storm surge of 8.36 feet to the Battery and flooded lower Manhattan to West and Cortland Streets. However, the highest storm surge on record in New York City occurred during the September 3, 1821 hurricane, the only hurricane ever to make a direct hit on the city. The water rose 13 feet in just one hour at the Battery, and flooded lower Manhattan as far north as Canal Street, an area that now has the nation's financial center. The total surge is unknown from this greatest New York City hurricane, which was probably a Category 2 storm with 110 mph winds. NOAA's SLOSH model predicts that a mid-strength Category 2 hurricane with 100-mph winds could drive a 15 - 20 foot storm surge to Manhattan, Queens, Kings, and up the Hudson River. JFK airport could be swamped, southern Manhattan would flood north to Canal Street, and a surge traveling westwards down Long Island Sound might breach the sea walls that protect La Guardia Airport. Many of the power plants that supply the city with electricity might be knocked out, or their docks to supply them with fuel destroyed. The more likely case of a Category 1 hurricane hitting at high tide would still be plenty dangerous, with waters reaching 8 - 12 feet above ground level in Lower Manhattan. Given the spread in the models, I predict a 20% chance that New York City will experience a storm surge in excess of 8 feet that will over-top the flood walls in Manhattan and flood the subway system. This would most likely occur near 8 pm Sunday night, when high tide will occur and Irene should be near its point of closest approach. Such a storm surge could occur even if Irene weakens to a tropical storm on its closest approach to New York City.
Figure 5. The height above ground that a mid-strength Category 2 hurricane with 100 mph winds would push a storm surge in a worst-case scenario in New York City.
Figure 6. Flooded runways at New York's La Guardia Airport after the November 25, 1950 Nor'easter breached the dikes guarding the airport. Sustained easterly winds of up to 62 mph hit the airport, pushing a large storm surge up Long Island Sound. The storm's central pressure bottomed out at 978 mb. Image credit: Queens Borough Public Library, Long Island Division.
The rest of New England
The entire New England coast is at high danger of receiving its highest storm surge in the past 50 years from Irene, though the exact locations of most danger remain unclear. If North Carolina takes a bullet for us and reduces Irene below hurricane strength before the storm reaches New England, the surge will probably not cause major destruction. But if Irene misses North Carolina and arrives along the New England coast as a hurricane, the storm surge is likely to cause significant damage. I urge everyone along the coast to familiarize themselves with their storm surge risk and be prepared to evacuate should an evacuation order be issued.
For those of you wanting to know your odds of receiving hurricane force or tropical storm force winds, I recommend the NHC wind probability product.
Wunderground has detailed storm surge maps for the U.S. coast.
The National Hurricane Center's Interactive Storm Surge RIsk Map, which allows one to pick a particular Category hurricane and zoom in, is a good source of storm surge risk information.
Wunderblogger Mike Theiss is in Nassau, and will be sending live updates through the day today.
Landstrike is an entertaining fictional account of a Category 4 hurricane hitting New York City.
Elsewhere in the tropics
Tropical Depression Ten in the far Eastern Atlantic will not be a threat to any land areas over the next seven days, and will probably move too far north to ever be a threat to land.
Portlight mobilizes for Irene
The Bahamas have been hit hard by Irene, and unfortunately, it appears that the Northeast U.S. may have its share of hurricane victims before Irene finally dissipates. My favorite disaster relief charity, Portlight.org, is mobilizing to help, and is sending out their relief trailer and crew to the likely U.S. landfall point. Check out this blog to see what they're up to; donations are always needed.
Jeff Masters
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Quoting stevego: It could get bad there, but it is more likely to be bad farther N. Just tell them to listen to local emergency management. |
Just reading the blog over the past several hours, I am finding it amazing that some employers aren't takiing this thing seriously. I think alot of people and their employers underestimate the power of nature. If your in one of these areas that look to be directly imapacted with Hurricane conditions....LEAVE....Otherwise you could very possibly be signing your DEATH warrant.... If you decide to stay make sure you let someone know where you are.... I keep remember the people calling 911 during Katrina pleading for help from the operator during the storm saying they were going to die and the operator told them their was nothing they could do and they should have left before the storm arrived..... DON'T BE ONE OF THOSE PEOPLE!!!! |
Irene likely has until around 30N-31N or so to get her core together and strengthen. If she is still about the same intensity-wise by then, she most likely won't get any stronger as shear should be on the increase at that time, along with the entrainment of continental air. |
Quoting carcar1967: "The dilithium crystals canna take it, Cap'n!". |
Things to Do - Near forgotten Lessons from Katrina 1. One of the main items that people tend to forget to protect when preparing for a hurricane is important documents (medical, financial - Taxes, birth, proof of residence, and insurance) and photos 2. Don't underestimate the strain on the power grid - and if you lose electricity, you lose water! 3. Number one lesson from Katrina that everyone was reminded of a couple of days ago during the earthquake is that cell phones will get so congested that vary few will get through. Texting worked periodically. If you are in the line of the storm, post your plans to Facebook/Twitter the day before so your friends and family from around the country/world don't worry as much about you. |
Quoting WeafhermanNimmy: HEY! I'm in Raleigh and was looking for someone to chase with me. Are you going alone? |
Quoting Tazmanian: Classic Taz. Big Storm. |
Quick question: Normally, when the outer bands of a hurricane are going over an area, there is talk of a threat of weak tornadoes. Yet, with Irene, living in South Florida, I have heard no mention of even a possibility of an isolated tornado. Why is that? TIA. |
Quoting Patrap: Great video! |
have family on oak island vacationing refusing to leave cause local weatherman says nothing to worry about, do they have anything to worry about? Thanks a ton. |
Quoting Jax82: NHC forecast predictions can often be in significant error. For example, Irene was forecast to travel over Hispaniola, then into Florida. When the steering currents are weak and complex, predictions are potentially flawed. However, when hurricanes get into the area where Irene is now, the fact is that they are steered by the Bermuda high and troughs to the west of the high and the Coriolis force. The computers and their modellers have a very good handle on all of this and there is little potential for surprises, although a trough did appear unexpectedly in northern Canada, which caused the modellers to make adjustments. The predictions won't be far out and there's next to no chance of Irene hitting Florida. |
Storm Relative 1km Geostationary Visible Imagery |
Experimental FIM Model Date: 25 Aug 2011 - 12Z |
Quoting MrstormX: Correct. Slight wobbles are fine. What we DO NOT want to see is a 4 or 5 hour WNW movement. No thank you. |
holy we mother of cows wow IRENE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM. |
Quoting Torgen:LOL don't worry I think their pants will get the brunt when she arrives... |
Quoting Autistic2: ???????????????????????????????????? |
Quoting P451: Love your maps and illustrations btw.. People are just not taking this storm seriously, they're even getting annoyed with the media and people that are telling them about it. Unfortunately alot of lives will be lost this weekend due to the ignorance and pride of the people up there who just don't want to believe how serious Irene is. |
Quoting wunderweatherman123: We will most likely be in a La Nina through the winter of 2011. |
ATCF's 1800z update has Irene down to 95 knots: AL, 09, 2011082518, , BEST, 0, 265N, 772W, 95, 950, HU, 64, NEQ, 70, 60, 25, 50, 1008, 300, 30, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, IRENE, D, But she looks to be restrengthening, so this is probably temporary. |
I think Irine is going to wobble about 40-70 miles closer to the Fl. east coast than the NHC is showing. Meaning I think she is going to stay in the westen and not southern part of "The Cone". |
Hurricanes and Your Health and Safety * The great majority of injuries during a hurricane are cuts caused by flying glass or other debris. Other injuries include puncture wounds resulting from exposed nails, metal, or glass, and bone fractures. * State and local health departments may issue health advisories or recommendations particular to local conditions. If in doubt, contact your local or state health department. * Make sure to include all essential medications -- both prescription and over the counter -- in your family's emergency disaster kit. * Hurricanes, especially if accompanied by a tidal surge or flooding, can contaminate the public water supply. Drinking contaminated water may cause illness. You cannot assume that the water in the hurricane-affected area is safe to drink. * In the area hit by a hurricane, water treatment plants may not be operating; even if they are, storm damage and flooding can contaminate water lines. Listen for public announcements about the safety of the municipal water supply. * If your well has been flooded, it needs to be tested and disinfected after the storm passes and the floodwaters recede. Questions about testing should be directed to your local or state health department. Water Safety * Use bottled water that has not been exposed to flood waters if it is available. * If you don't have bottled water, you should boil water to make it safe. Boiling water will kill most types of disease-causing organisms that may be present. If the water is cloudy, filter it through clean cloths or allow it to settle, and draw off the clear water for boiling. Boil the water for one minute, let it cool, and store it in clean containers with covers. * If you can't boil water, you can disinfect it using household bleach. Bleach will kill some, but not all, types of disease-causing organisms that may be in the water. If the water is cloudy, filter it through clean cloths or allow it to settle, and draw off the clear water for disinfection. Add 1/8 teaspoon (or 8 drops) of regular, unscented, liquid household bleach for each gallon of water, stir it well and let it stand for 30 minutes before you use it. Store disinfected water in clean containers with covers. * If you have a well that has been flooded, the water should be tested and disinfected after flood waters recede. If you suspect that your well may be contaminated, contact your local or state health department or agriculture extension agent for specific advice. |
Typhoon Nanmadol in the Western Pacific is beautiful. Hard to believe it's only 105mph... |
On another unrelated note, it rained in downtown Austin for about ten minutes. Or maybe I dreamed it. Back to hot and sunny now. Forecast high for Saturday 110 degrees. |
Visible imagery shows that Irene's eyewall is completely open to the south, and the storm has the overall look of one which is struggling hard with dry air entrainment. If the EWRC completes then we will likely see more strengthening. For now, it is actually impressive that Irene is maintaining intensity and continuing to drop her pressure by a millibar or so every few hours. |
here is a tidbit to remember...make sure you turn the ice maker off in your freezer (if you have one) when it starts getting bad...many times when power and water come back on it is NOT safe to drink. If you leave it on to your freezer you could contaminate all the ice...if you are evacuating, turn it off before you leave...we have been under boil water advisories MANY times... |
Quoting AusTxWthrGrl: Having been through three of these with a small child. The most important thing is to sit quietly at home, don't go out looking at damage. Don't play with electrical wiring or generators if you do not normally use them. Just wait.. |
Recon is 125 miles NE of the center and still has 100mph flight level winds, huge wind field! |
Even if there's no wind and no surge, this looks like fun: Click for large image: Yes, that's more than a foot of rain from Wilmington, NC, up to NYC. |
Quoting sails1: Yep a little wobble, will correct back N though. |
Quoting MississippiWx: ?? we had a la nina last year from july 2010 to may 2011 we had neutral from may 2011 to now? are we still neutral or now another la nina again? and will an el nino form anytime soon? |
Quoting MississippiWx:Wow! we might actually finish off the list of names with that, or at least get very close to it. |
Quoting Speeky: Ok, look. I can tell you're freaking out a little, and I want to say that not only is that ok, but it's natural. You are a large mammal, and as a large mammal, you have instincts that are in place to preserve your life. Trust your instincts. Fight or flight is what you're feeling. And that's the choice you have to rationally make. What you are currently feeling is something all of us flatlanders understand too well along the Gulf Coast, and we muddle through it every year. The best you can do is assess the danger realistically and try to prepare yourself. If you go start preparing now, you will feel much much more in control of what could prove to be a pretty out of control situation. If you are in a surge area, leave. If not, go shopping. Buy: 10-14 gallons of water. Yummy non-condensed soup that tastes good cold A manual can opener. Beef jerky Trail mix Energy drinks Gatorade 1 box of baby wipes. Hand sanitizer. Flashlights. Batteries. And if you really want to get fancy, go to a sporting goods store and get a hand cranked flashlight radio combo - those are wonderful. You could buy all sorts of fun stuff, budget permitting. But these things are basic. What nobody will tell you is this: following disasters, most people tend to really pull together, and rely on each other. It can be a time to slow down, create new communities and see the stars above. The media focuses on the most sensational, of course, but storms bring out the best or worst in people, and not much inbetween. I'm sure it will be the same for you, and you'll more than likely survive in the city, but be very uncomfortable. Think of it like camping, but with lots of shattered glass. |
It appears that Irene took a slight jog to the west toward SFLA. Any one else verify>>? |
Excited heading to New Bern, NC area to chase this hurricane. Leaving Greensboro, NC tmrw aft. |
On an unrelated note...La Nina is trying to come back with a bang... |
One thing that can be done for Long Islanders if they don't evacuate is to head to the north side of the island. The storm surge would be much weaker over there for one. |
Quoting Grothar: They are saying the same thing here in northeast PA, according to the models in my area we'll have 60-80 MPH winds..structures here are not built to withstand that. I expect power to be out for at least a week, we are out in the sticks, wont' be a priority to get us power. Agnes flooded the area in 73, the levees have been improved but only by a few feet. People think "its just like a blizzard"..smh.. even the emergency management government officials don't have any plans... |
Irene's circulation extends into the GOM, whooo |
Patrap's WunderBlog Hurricane Preparation 2011 Hurricane hazards come in many forms: storm surge, high winds, tornadoes, and flooding. This means it is important for your family to have a plan that includes all of these hazards. Look carefully at the safety actions associated with each type of hurricane hazard and prepare your family disaster plan accordingly. But remember this is only a guide. The first and most important thing anyone should do when facing a hurricane threat is to use common sense. |
so much for our predicted max gusts of 30 mph. NWS Melbourne: .A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH OVER SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY...INDIAN RIVER COUNTY...MARTIN COUNTY...OKEECHOBEE COUNTY...ST. LUCIE COUNTY... |
Well, one of our local Wilmington weather forecasters basically keeps saying it's all no big deal. If he's wrong he's really in for it. |
Quoting 53rdWeatherRECON: Well there's a blog handle from the past. How's it going 53rd. |


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Anna Lee Monnar
Mauricio CandelaPhotographer Male Miami, Florida, US
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About MeMauricio Candela started his career in advertising in the 90s.He worked as an art director for some of the most important agencies in Colombia, his country of origin. In 1999 he moved to the U.S., where he became creative director. At the same time, he developed his passion for photography, developing his skills and applying his creative knowledge to this discipline. As an advertising creative, he learned to live off of his ideas. Today, his idea is to live off of photography. Official site: http://www.mauriciocandela.com Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/pages/Mauricio-Candela-Photography/291626490995 Lists
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Visit create.airbnb.com »
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Norm & Jeanne Nowak - restaurateurs in Lake Havasu City, AZ - middle aged....lol Just normal people I suppose. We love to travel and eat at great restaurants!


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The process of buying a new Toyota car or truck can seem overwhelming if you don't know where to begin. Edmunds.com can get you started on the right track with a convenient directory of Toyota car dealerships in and around Roseboro, North Carolina. Compare online price quotes on the new or used car, truck, SUV, minivan, or wagon of your choice to locate the best deals. Edmunds.com makes it easy to find trusted Toyota car dealers in Roseboro, saving car buyers time and money on what will be an important purchase.
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Music, Audio, and Podcasting Do you use your Mac to create music? This is the place for discussions on creating and editing music on the Mac! |
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I've got a quicktime dvd of a concert from which I want to rip the audio to listen to on my ipod. I've gotten the movie into itunes and have "added markers" at the various points, but when I import the audio into itunes it just goes as one big track. Could someone please tell me, step by step, how to get a quicktime into garage band (I've got that part), divide the audio into tracks, and then import these tracks (as distinct ones) into itunes?
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1 minute homemade mayo w/ smart balance
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*this recipe is a work in progress - one serving is estimated to be 1 TBS*
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Creamy beef stroganoff you don't have to feel guilty about eating! For an added nutritional kick use over brown rice. Nutritional information includes Rozini Healthy Harvest pasta
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MATERIALS AND METALS: Ceramics
Business activity in the ceramics industry mirrored the performance of national economies in 1996. New processes and technologies continued to have an impact on all segments of the industry, and environmental and energy issues influenced operational strategies.
The growth in construction and high automobile sales were strong motivators for the production of flat glass in 1996. Evolving technologies continued to reduce the cost of the float process, and surface-coating technologies that controlled ultraviolet, visible, and infrared transmission and reflection were key factors affecting competition in the industry. Electrochromic (undergoing a change in colour upon the passage of an electric current) research made significant advances, and small components such as rearview mirrors were already in production. The glass container market continued to slide in 1996, although specialty markets in pharmaceuticals and cosmetics and in some beverage segments grew. Technologies focusing on weight reduction, surface treatments for durability and strength, and bulk and ion-exchange strengthening processes held the potential for improved market penetration against polymers.
Advanced ceramics had grown to more than $20 billion in sales by 1996. Electronic materials continued to dominate the category (75%), and the high growth rate of computers and communications equipment made electronic ceramics the fastest-growing major product sector. Multilayer ceramic capacitors gained market share by improving their cost-effectiveness through a reduction in thickness, which increased the efficiency of the material to sustain a steady electric field and serve as an insulator. Multilayer, multicomponent (MLMC) electronic packages were also beginning to enter the market. The technology, which significantly reduced the cost of complex devices, permitted several electronic components, such as capacitors and inductors, to be built into a multilayer ceramic package, thereby producing circuits for use in the large-volume consumer market. Fuzzy-logic circuits, for example, which were already in use in military equipment, emerged in consumer products such as camcorders. Because of competition from improvements in the heat-removal capabilities of polymer packages, there was a sharp decrease in the production of conventional ceramic packages for integrated circuits.
Advanced structural and composite ceramics, historically limited to aerospace and military applications, continued a slow but steady market penetration in the industrial sector because of lower costs and higher reliability. Demand was particularly evident for heat- and wear-resistant structural ceramics for industrial equipment and engines. Biologically compatible materials continued to gain market share as a result of advances in biocompatible surface technologies, such as those based on hydroxyapatite and derivative compounds. Orthopedic and dental implants were a majority of this segment.
The newest and fastest-growing group of high-technology materials was optical and electro-optical glass and ceramic materials, particularly active devices that enabled optical switching and logic structures. These materials, which included optical fibres, sensors, and planar structures, were in high demand for electronic applications.
Whiteware ceramics, principally floor and wall tile, dinnerware, sanitaryware, and artware, continued to show steady growth over the long term. There was substantial growth in areas such as the Pacific Rim. Fast firing, a standard part of tile processing, was overcoming technical hurdles in the sanitaryware and dinnerware processes and was contributing to higher productivity. Raw-material quality, availability, and costs continued as a concern for all segments. A principal concern among whiteware manufacturers during 1996 was the conversion to lead-free glazes and decorations to reduce workplace risks and to skirt marketplace regulations in some states. Continued strong development and implementation of pressure casting continued in whiteware production as a result of improvements in equipment and successes of plant trials.
Environmental issues continued to be a strong factor in all segments of the industry. Of particular note were product regulations and recycling policies that motivated the development of disassembly, material recovery, and recycling processes, particularly for ceramics containing hazardous elements such as lead and cadmium. Cathode-ray tubes and lead and cadmium compounds in contact with food were two examples. The enormous amounts of glass obtained from municipal recycling programs continued to motivate research on the potentially high value in reusing ceramic products.
This article updates industrial ceramics.


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I Am Nujood, Age 10 And Divorced
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The internationally bestselling true story of the remarkable ten-year-old Yemeni girl who dared to defy her country's most archaic traditions by fighting for a divorceI'm a simple village girl whose family had to move to the capital, and I have always obeyed the orders of the men in my family. Since forever, I have learned to say yes to everything. Today, I have decided to say no. Uplifting and impossible to put down, this is a true story of the ten-year old girl who won a divorce from the man she was forced to marry, courageously defying both Yemeni customs and her own family. Nujood's childhood came to an abrupt end when her father arranged for her to be married to a man three times her age. With harrowing directness, Nujood tells of abuse at her husband's hands, beginning with the very first night of her married life, and ending the day she slipped away during an errand. Instead of going to the market to buy bread, she took a taxi to the court building. That was the beginning of her odyssey. With the help of a woman lawyer, Chadha Nasser, NGO's and the local press, Nujood finally obtained her freedom, an extraordinary achievement in Yemen, where there is a conspiracy of silence about the fact that almost half the girls are married under the legal age. Since her victory, Nujood has given other young girls the courage to stand up to their society's customs. Written with childlike simplicity and penetrating honesty, I Am Nujood is at once shocking and inspiring, disturbing and redemptive.
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Title: I Am Nujood, Age 10 And Divorced
Author: Delphine Minoui; Nujood Ali


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Depression Accelerates Aging
Lab tests have shown that the cells of people who have suffered from severe depression appeared biologically older than the cells of non-depressed individuals, suggesting that the mental affliction speeds up the aging process in our bodies. What do you think?
"I had no idea Kirk Douglas was so depressed."
Heather Delbert –
Metal Polisher"It's a good thing I avoid depression by going to the tanning booth and eating whatever I want."
Diego Zuber –
Naval Architect"Just in case you were wondering, happiness won't make you any younger."
Jeremy Ashwill –
Vehicle Painter


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I have 1972 3/4 ton GMC 350 V8 truck. All of a sudden no brake lights. Checked bulbs, checked line into master cylinder. Cannot find brake swich under dash, fuse good, all other lights work. Any suggestions? Thanks
yea sounds like a ground to me but double check the fuse as well, I swore my fuse was good last week and sure enough I was taking the wrong one out (*blushing*) then I asked my self why? and to further, sure enough I had pinched a line on my bike trailer that was causing it to "pop"( 5 fuses later) I felt dumb! :whistle:
Isn't the switch right at the brake pedal on that year? How about turn signals, hazards. Meaning do the tail lights light up. If yes to all I'd say switch, if not a ground.