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Okay..anyone who was born before Ronald Regan killed the dept of education by giving block grants to states knows that people never do things for nothing, so the only true model would strictly be demand and the ability to meet that demand. Economist tend to complicate things. I have a BA in that art. But I will say if you can model damand then you can use controls to adjust. Supply will follow. Businessmen as JOB CREATORS is absurd. Demand creates jobs. From there you can add on. The model has to be dictated by fiscal policy. There too many large speculators in the US and too few confident retirees
Gamesmith94134: Dr. Doom Warns Wall Street and Washington---- Heed Karl Marx's Warning!
Mr. Gert van Vugt,
You make the best description on the theory on the economical growth Paradigm that the economic change seems like Malthusian's diminishing return, and I agree. However, Mr. Roubini makes his point on the social disruption reverse itself through the diminishing demand. If we can put away the elements like the Ponzi scheme and benefactors in social caused deficiency or defects to growth. Corruption by capitalism and the dependency by socialism among societies both caused failure in the economical and societal development.
Perhaps, we focus on the circuitry on the accumulation of wealth and consumable wealth that runs the economy. It seems both the capitalism and socialism ran short and proven wrong in the economical model or social model that became self-destructive; eventually, the economy runs from diminishing demand to diminishing return, or vice versa. So, if we use the living standard as the equilibrium position to the supply line of the circuitry of wealth balanced by both of the diminishing return and diminishing demand.
How about I call my paradigm on the wealth circuitry in economical and social growth that supports and balances both accumulated wealth and consumable wealth; and it created a "Z" shaped development running both on the diminishing demand and diminishing return; which is based on the assumption, the route above the standard of living equal in length with the one below the standard of living is in agreement of its living standard to sustain a viable growth, which contains;
• The base line as the diminishing return where the societies kept peace with its populace that consumable wealth that cause economical displacement like with its negative growth or no growth; it provides entitlement or social programs with non-productive individual citizens for example, 27% of its population on welfare with add-on with subsidies to sustain a standard of living.
• The top line as the diminishing demand that ended with accumulated wealth favors of concentrated wealth owned by individuals that ended with profitless, 1% holds 27% of the global or national wealth, plus those with extra wealth is not in production yields to no growth.
• And the diagonal line that connected to both ends is the support of the price and value in the middle is the standard of living which contains the most of the productive individuals who is moving up and down the ladder of growth.
If more of the wealth accumulated than the wealth consumed, then it causes saturation of the wealth. The diminishing demand under the standard of living agreement made the demand idle because of the shortage of consumption. In the process, the standard of living will go down to meet its demand after the deflationary measure to make it consumable. In reverse, the wealth consumed is over the wealth accumulated, as it is less profitable. Then, it triggers the inflationary measures to aggregate demand to accumulate more wealth in its diminishing return mode; eventually it will balance itself again with the agreement of the standard living with a viable growth.
It is not the supply and demand. It is rather the circuitry of wealth under the spells of the lower living standard that diminishing demand is being part of the deflationary measure. If the accumulated wealth became saturated, then it means the lower living standard that made the demand finite like lesser demand in loan of dollars in ECB.
I am certain I am not being introspective; I may twist the theory a little; but the proof of the lower living standard in Europe made it plausible.
May the Buddha bless you?
Any economic model has to recognize some core facts that are basic in human behaviors. The key driver and the fuel that has propelled the growth model for several hundred years has been the steady 1% plus increase in population. Western countries, the US in particular, built economies based on a steady increase in population poured onto an almost unlimited expanse of resources. Combined with the inherently human need to improve one's personal circumstances, at worst manifesting itself as greed, growth was inevitable.
This perpetual growth model is now coming to an end with difficult consequences. Think Japan. What economic modelers should be now focus on should be economic and political systems that can provide equal income and resource distributions in circumstances of declining population.
This will be the real challenge of this century.
The writer should read Bernake's paper on FInancial accelerator dated back in 1999.
Incorporating the banking sector in DSGE/Business cycle models is actually old news.
The problems with these models do not only lie with adding however many sectors you consider relevant but the methods used to pick the so-called ideal models. Based on my humble knowledge, the gold standard is still comparing DSGE models against comparable Structural VAR models. Anyone who ever did VAR probably would agree on its fickleness and its structural version could be very ideologically driven despite VAR's claim for being a ''pure'' statistical approach.
As the article rightfully points out, Macro is an empirical subject and so the statistics arms of the analysis should not be compromised by economic assumptions. Often, economic knowledge helps to build models but it may also distract.
Economic models will never be able to predict the irrational policies of market-tampering governments.
Comment I made on this Free Exchange blog post:
All those models really are ill-conceived.
Mainstream economists keep thinking that they can model a whole economy.
An economy is NOT a physical system. There is no constant, millions and millions of ever-changing variables, and variables that can vary in one way or another depending on how a single other variable moves.
Who on this board would admit that he/she is so simple that his/her behaviour can be entered and forecast using a computer?
Even taking the entire population on aggregate doesn't prevent the fact that cultures, education, rationality, expectations and reactions to certain events change over time.
Using econometrics and correlations is silly.
So if there is a 0.6 correlation between two variables, what have we proved? (apart from the fact that the way variable X moves does not necessarily imply that variable Y will move the way we expect, and that X might depend on many other variables as well?)
The best way we can model anything is through very rough approximations and probabilities.
This might lead to very dangerous policy and decision-making.
We also all have seen the "effectiveness" of banks' trading and risk management heavily mathematical models, of course "validated" by regulators.
One also just has to take a look at all the economic forecasts produced by central banks and other economic institute these last few years. All of which have been proved wrong.
At some point, common sense will have to come back at the centre of the debate...
Unfortunately the common sense is not so common and differ infinitely. No one is denying applying rational to policy making but the rational has to be based on some statistical support in order to bring commonality.
What the article says is economists are trying to make the economic model better encapsulating the FIs.
If not model based then what should the policy decisions be based on?
And you believe that models will actually become "better"?...
And what do you do with your statistics? What are you supposed to do when there is 63.47% probability that the outcome of your policy will be great, and 36.53% probability that it will be disastrous? How do you even know that your statistics and correlations actually reflect reality?
I think you're taking too many things for granted.
Humans (and some in particular) think too highly of themselves and what they can achieve.
Instead of asking the question what should policy decisions be based on, perhaps you should ask the question whether or not there should even be so many policy decisions in the first place.
My guess is that the economy would do much better if left free of intervening governments and their "model-based policy decisions"...
you just contradicted yourself...
deregulation of the financial industry caused the great depression and now caused the great recession. How? Allowing FIs to take on more and more debt. There is a reason why the current crisis and in the 1930's are outstanding - huge debt. Read Keynes, read Fisher, read Galbraith and even Krugman. The legal status of a corporation (including banks) allows for limited liability - if the company goes bankrupt and 300,000 people lose their jobs, you don't suffer the financial consequence. So, if i were CEO, hell yeah i would risk as much as i could for crazy returns... unless the government doesn't allow me to and I could go to jail!!!!!
If only you knew what you were talking about...
I challenge you to give me a list of the so-called "deregulations" that occurred in the last 30 years. And perhaps we can then compare it with all new regulations implemented at the same time?
I would also strongly advise you to read some other economists as well.
So the repeal of the Glass-Steagal act had nothing to do with our current predicament?
The refusal to regulate derivatives, letting them multiply endlessly to support debt pyramid-scheming?
The federal and state acts throughout the 80's and 90's that removed government restrictions on mortgage lending criteria?
You sound like someone who just read a introductory text on Austrian economics or classical liberalism, and is suddenly possessed by the idea that the simple answer to every complex question is that if you 'get government out of the way', the private sector's banking tycoons will sit by peacefully and let a self-regulating anarchistic free market economy devoid of corruption develop. The sooner you disabuse yourself of that naive delusion, the better.
The repeal of Glass-Steagal had pretty much nothing to do with the crisis.
Most of the banks that failed were purely retail banks. Didn't know Northern Rock and HBOS were complex trading banks... Moreover, some banks were even saved by their investment banking business (RBS).
Ever heard of Basel regulations and the incentives they create to lend to housing and sovereigns? Ever heard of the US administration telling Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (and banks) to facilitate access to housing to subprime families?
At least try to get your facts right.
"The sooner you disabuse yourself of that naive delusion, the better."
While anarcho-capitalism clearly isn't my opinion, the sooner you stop believing in all-powerful, all-insightful and never-misled governments and regulations, the better.
I think the most crucial aspect would be the quality of the investments. Here are some parameters that could be incorporated to forecast growth or recessions.
1. The impact of technological innovations
2. The impact of the widespreadment of technology
3. Deviation from Education
4. Excessive Debt
5. oil & energy prices, higher prices imply higher possibilities of downfall
6. The impact of natural disasters
7. The quality of the investments
8. Land prices & rentals, higher the land prices higher possibilities of downfall
9. Mismatches between Supply & Demand
10. Long ques & waits, implying supply not keeping up with demand
11. Piling up of stocks, implying over supply
12. Deviation from academic qualifications, education in the labour market, and the increase of unqualified personnel holding top positions
13. Deviation from modern & appropriate equipment at work places
14. The impacts of infrastructure shortages & new infrastructure
15. Last but not least, shortages of entrepreneurship & management skills
"But "ultimately," Mr Shin says, "macro is an empirical subject." It cannot forever remain "impervious to the facts".
Don't bet on it. I has remained impervious to the facts since Keynes and is likely to continue indefinitely.
Hyun Song Shin of Princeton University has shown that banks' internal risk models make them take more and more risk as asset prices rise
Considering all of the regulations that the government imposes on banks, could they not require that, whatever the risk model the bank wishes to use, it must at least show increasing risk with increasing asset prices? Either overall asset prices or just sector (e.g. housing) asset prices. That would at least reduce the positive feedback problem in one area.
Kant's point that presuming free will is (a) necessary (condition) for justifying ('employing' our) reason (faculty) may qualify prediction (no free will no reason because everything's determined) as a benchmark for social scientific theory evaluation (at least here anyway), so usefulness (for problem solving, understanding relationships,...) may be just as important to social scientific theory (as prediction).
Finally a good article about economics. Congratulations to the editors. In Brasil there is a famous economist, among the most importants ones who played Real stabilization plan, who issued a new book recently, about some economic secret laws. In his book, he refers to some brasilian economists who worked at IMF during the post war up to the 80´s and their achievements at a time when processing data were extremely difficult and slow. Today we have the advantage of computational devices and softwares supported by Moore Law, which helps deevlopments such as that mentioned in the article. But what should be noticed is that the today´s technology supported models are not sufficient to answer the macroeconomic questions due to tha fact that most of the variables are the same since Minsky or even since that the greatest economists from ever used in their models. I would like to propose a question, how did Keynes or Minsky, would behave if they had a notebook connected to the internet and allowed to source any data center available? Andeven most important, what kind of improvements in terms of structure of data banks they should suggest? I had a classmate in my "master" (by 2006) who tried in vain research long term bank loans. There were not data available to show a terms structure of the loans. So may be this is time to debate also what variables should be generated and its structure. Rationales more than technology which is already given.
While there could be intrinsic modeling issues as highlighted by the commentators, there is also the burning issue of (thanks to Taleb) the Turkey problem (highly unlikely event with low probability currently not present in the data, but could appear in due course) or the inverse Turkey problem (current presence of unlikely events with low probabilities but could be absent later), would call for constant normalization of data which lead to eventual modeling errors when assumptions are drawn from the analysis of data.
The one other point that has been highlighted in the article which is becoming increasingly predominant is the role of banks as intermediation agencies; if the availability of credit is to be taken as a measure of their inter-mediation, we have seen both the extremes, where it could move into sub-prime territory when the boom lasted, while it could contract to almost stalling the economy when the burst happened. Such extremes and their facilitation by monetary policy with the tacit connivance of a number of constituencies are beyond the realm of modeling. The role of regulation to provide the necessary fillip has more to be desired therefore the execution issue cannot be juxtaposed on modeling either as a failure.
In my opinion, this isn't a flaw in the model. For instance, the Normal distribution is used in most statistical model-building exercises. The distribution clearly specifies the drawbacks of having extreme events or 'outliers'; booms and busts are exactly this, extreme events. Hence, we ought to channel our efforts into developing a new model that overcomes the flaws.
The thing is, booms and busts occur far more frequently than it is considered to be an outlier. I don't believe that the probability distribution of economic output(if such exists) follows the normal distribution.
The reason is because the errors in a normal distribution are assumed to be random. If you assume the errors are not random, you get very different results. Nassim Taleb and the late and great Benoit Mandelbrot did much work on this. There are two books by Mandelbrot called Fractals and Scaling in Finance and The Misbehavior of Markets. I'd highly recommend them.
Also, the distributions that occur in the real world very often scale to power laws where there is a winner-take-all effect. This is especially true in financial markets and in finance/economics in general.
Indeed - and why not a model in terms of quantiles? After all, we've got a "race to the bottom" as well as "top 1%" attractors acting across the 'society'.
I've read Mandelbrot and Taleb, so let me recommend a book in the same vein, Why Stock Markets Crash by Didier Sornette. He discusses, in great detail, the transition to power law behavior when a market is building toward a crash.
The unfortunately favored Gaussian distribution, chosen for its tractability - as economists are wont to do - has no place in financial economics, because it requires both independence and randomness of events - a circumstance inconceivable in a financial market.
Regarding Sornette, I ought to have mentioned that he gets a bit ahead of himself in his conclusions, but they can be taken with much salt without detracting from the interest and value of his book.
I guess people should start reading seriously the works of late Benoit Mandelbroot, who demonstrated a while ago already that most models used by Economists are fundamentally flawed and can in no way represent reality, and even less predict future trends and crises.
If we could learn from some bright minds instead of feeling the need to reinvent the wheel to prove our worth, we would save a lot of times, and most probably save humanity a lot of unforeseen once-in-a-lifetime financial/economical crisis (in my own lifetime, it is the 3rd one already...).
The late Mandelbrot didn't like Gaussian white noise coz the spectral density is flat and the tails are too thin for black swans to hide underneath. Mandelbrot wanted to use brownish-colored or fractal noises with thicker tails in the SDE's (stochastic differential equations), but I don't think he understood a lot about the real economy. Writing equations for modeling the economy is a sinchy piece of microcake. Any math guy can do that, but to predict human behavior you need astrology or ideology or sociology or some kind of bullogy or muppetology!
Not all models, improved or otherwise, will work or the time, especially economic model. New model needs time to prove its real worth. Learn from the East, its modus operandi is functional and tangible. (btt1943, vzc1943)
Weather forecasting (and hence weather modelling) has improved MASSIVELY over the last 20 years - and there's no fundamental reason why economics shouldn't do the same. My best guess as to why it isn't happening is that the people who can do it are quietly creaming the market rather than troubling themselves with the tiresome politics that I am guessing that improving national economic models would entail.
Looks like you don't understand much human psychology.
A human can not be modeled like a physical system.
Weather and economics have just NOTHING in common.
Isn't another problem a matter of measurement? At least the weather is out there in the open and you can take snapshots of wide swaths of it almost instantaneously.
The more complex an economic model is, the harder it will crash once you deviate from its assumptions. We are back studying more and more complex models..will we ever learn that these don't work??
Measurement is the basis of all science.
DSGE models, and all models which impose top-down structural equilibrium assumptions, are inherently flawed in their ability to measure what is truly occurring in an economy, and as such, become a bit dangerous. These models reek of a seeming desire by academic economists to cast (or force) their beloved and elegant theories into a mission-critical measurement and predictive apparatus, where they may not properly belong. Classical economic theories are wonderful for teaching economic principles, but they fall shy of the mark in descriptive and predictive modeling. I recall having such reactions to the state-of-the-art macroeconomic models of several decades ago upon examining them closely. DSGE does not fix their fatal flaw. The agent-based approach is inherently ground-up rather than top-down, and as such, has the potential for far greater accuracy, both descriptively and predictively.
Consider the simple problem, and its common solution, of a company which sells capital equipment forecasting its next several quarters of new equipment sales. How is this approached by those whose career success may turn on the accuracy of their forecasts? Generally not by using any form of model imposing an equilibrium assumption. Here is how it is done in common practice using a ground-up approach:
1. poll each salesperson for a list of equipment sales they identify as possibly occurring, asking for their best estimate of (i) the size of the sale, (ii) the date (say month) of the sale, and importantly, (iii) their subjective probability assessment of the percent likelihood of the sale;
2. for each month, apply each probability given to the size of the hoped-for sale, to calculate its expected value, and add up all such estimates from all salespersons for that month to produce a predicted sales level for that month; add months to get quarterly figures, etc.
Refinements to the above may include:
3. observing, based on the past accuracy of each salesperson, who tends to err on timing and probability and in what directions, and adjusting each salesperson's subjective estimates accordingly;
4. estimating, based on past experience, what amounts of opportunity not identified by salespersons will appear and when, and the factors which influence the appearance and magnitudes of that non-identified opportunity.
The above approach can also be used to model the impacts of shock effects, such as perturbations to financing costs, or unanticipated maneuvers of competitors, or unanticipated other shocks to customer demand, or one's supply chain. Impacts will touch sales timing and sales magnitudes in particular, and may impact price, and can roll in the firm's reactions to those impacts.
This type of bottom-up approach can in fact be applied to an entire economy. It is not a trivial modeling exercise, nor is it a trivial computational exercise. But it is worth undertaking. Starting with individual agents and their decision making histories -- people, families, businesses, banks, governments, and its active organs, is a better way to go. It is not so difficult as it may sound to build one's models properly and successfully from the ground up -- not the top down.
I'm gonna have to argue that the obsession with bottom up modelling is wrongheaded. Predictive dynamic models in other fields, from meteorology to engineering, are built top down. DSGE models are supposed to be bottom up models, as they are considered to be microfounded, the underlying logic is to start from the level of the individual and aggregate up. It is true that in practice, the whole economy is modelled as a single representative agent, but that's not because they are top down models, that's just how you get equilibrium out of a "bottom up" model. The problem is not top down approach but rather imposing equilibrium to a model which is supposed to represent a chaotic dynamic system like the economy.
Modelling the whole economy from the level of the individual is like modelling a bridge from the level of the atom, even if it would be computable, the predictive window would be for all practical purpose inexistant. In addition, here's a key paper by Paul Anderson exposing the limits of a reductionist approach.
I agree that it is the imposition of an equilibrium assumption which creates the problem. An economy is in fact the aggregate behavior of individuals, firms and other entities. It is best to recognize the reality of what one is dealing with when trying to explain, predict and control its outcomes.
"even if it would be computable"
That's the one flaw. The rest of your post is bunk.
The only reason to have top-down models is our present inability to collect and process the data necessary for an "atomic" analysis. If we could get around this, however, the "predictive window" would in fact be as near--perfect as anything...
Not really. One quality of non linear systems is their sensitivity to initial conditions; long term prediction is impossible.
However, I think economists also assume too much that if money circulates, by definition it circulates system wide. They ignore the idea that large chunks of 'money' can circulate off in little eddy pools.
The last problem is what Soros called reflexivity. Models break down as fast as players can predict how the models work and game the system accordingly.
Exactly, infinite predictive window is theoretically impossible and it's in fact pretty naïve to believe that it could be achieved through a reductionist approach. There's a tradeoff between the complexity of a model and it's robustness, and the robustness of an "atomic" model would be nil regardless of how much computer power you could throw at it.
Or you declare the Universe your model and claim victory.
Economists are also trying apply math to a social construct, 'money', treating it like Calories or Joules. That dog don't hunt. Usury, and the incentive and ability to hoard money define a system that naturally tends to volatility.
Software has a term for this: Bad As Designed.
History would suggest a rethink in an attempt to remove these traits.
I am not sure if people actually understand DSGE here. It is all about in-equilibrium. And since it is a dynamic model, any talk of equilibrium is pointless. These models talk about steady states.
Also, DSGE is all about market imperfections, where as the original RBC is admittedly classical.
No one stop you to shock a system continuously. As a matter of fact, if you ever run a DSGE, there are outputs of continuously shocking the system and see where the economy is. The point is not about where the equilibrium is but how the system react to shocks.
First, DSGE is not dynamic, it's a case of economists coining their own idiosyncratic definition of dynamics but calling a dog a bird won't make it fly, it's still comparative statics even if you call it dynamic. Moreover, it is about calculating an equilibrium (what you call a steady state) and this equilibrium can only be disturbed by shocks. Since in reality the economy is never in equilibrium, to make the model fit the datas, the economy is modelled as being hitted by shocks of arbitrarily chosen magnitude and then converging to equilibrium again. If the market were "perfect", the economy would quickly return to equilibrium. Since that's not good enough to make the the model fit the datas, you have to add market "imperfection", which are in fact arbitrarily adjusted parameters like sticky wages and prices (like if anything should adjust instantly in a "perfect" world). This really reminds me Ptolemy's model, start with a conterfactual premise (that the earth is the center of the universe), arbitrarily adjust some parameters (epicycles) until the model fit the datas and then claim your model is predictive because it fits the datas. A dynamic model doesn't need shocks to be pushed out of equilibrium, the chaotic patterns emerges from the interaction of interdependant variables influencing each other through time. A good example of how those models can be predictive is looking at what meteorogists do, they kickstarted and embraced the developments in chaos theory decades ago and now they have sophisticated predictive models.
Economics after the crisis. There are a few things not worth running for - a bus, a woman or a new economic model. The DSGE model, the anatomy of a decision model is most commonly used by banks, which could account for the mess they are in. If you follow financial politic and listen to the different ways politicians do things much of what they do is doomed. For example the British parliament makes decisions mainly of inflation and unemployment such thing as spending power global transition such as outsourcing, supply and demand are only marginally considered. The chancellor gives a tax cut which take years to have effect , the economics of putting coal on a fire to keep it burning until the fire engine arrives. The newer method for example the Smets-Wouters model is based on the Euro mess. Newer models should concentrate on the flow of money not from a historical way but a controlling way the difference of going to an accident and building a house. The currency independent way people spend money should take more prominence.
Our modern civilization is not that difficult to model. We use technologies to take (or steal) free resources and turn them into something we can sell to each other. Inputs are 'resources', outputs are 'goods'. As long as the 'resources' are free or under-valued, we create wealth out-of-thin-air. As we run out of 'free' resources, we become poor. For now, we haven't run out, but eventually we will. Our science is stuck in a rut, the IC engine hasn't changed in 150 years, and Oil/Gas are still the only sources of energy (... try building a windmill without using a single drop of oil).
Economists, unfortunately, have no clue about the technology/science part. In fact, most people go to economics because they are unable to cope with math and science. Which is why the models create by Economists are bogus.
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We're off to the amusement park and we're going to have a great time! Includes "Here We Go Loopty Loo", "Let's Twist Again" and "Splish Splash".


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Honora creates fashionable and affordable pearl jewelry using an array of Freshwater Pearl shapes, colors and sizes. For over 60 years Honora has created some of the finest designer jewelry and incredible pearl fashion designs.
Honora® Girls Multicolored Freshwater Cultured Pearl Necklace & Earring Set in Sterling Silver
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Item Number: | 1922647 |
Stone Type: | Pearl |
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Clasp: | Lobster |
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The Banker's Watch from Arne Jacobsen's 1971 design, officially recreated by Rosendahl in accordance to the original design. White face with black calf band Swiss movement, double convex toughened M2 glass, and stainless steel case. 3 ATM water resistance (up to 30 meters or 100 feet)Watch Face: 34 mm (1.33" inch) diameterWatch Face: 40 mm (1.57" inch) diameter
The City Hall Watch from Arne Jacobsen's original in 1956 design and officially recreated in accordance with the original design by Rosendahl of Denmark.White face with black calf band and stainless steel case. Swiss movement, double convex toughened M2 glass. 3 ATM water resistance.Watch Size: 1.33" inch (34 mm) diameterWatch Size: 1.57" inch (40 mm) diameter
The Romer Wrist Watch from the original Arne Jacobsen design in 1942 now officially created in accordance with the timeless design from Rosendahl of Denmark.White face with black calf band and stainless steel case. Swiss movement, double convex toughened M2 glass.Case Diameter: 34 mm (1.33" inch)Case Diameter: 40 mm (1.57" inch)
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US Presswire photo
Edwin Jackson labored in the first inning but rebounded after that.
Game in a nutshell: In the first morning game in Nationals history, the home team came out of the gates a bit sluggish. Edwin Jackson gave up three runs in the top of the first, and Giants starter Madison Bumgarner faced the minimum the first time through the order. But then the Nats' lineup got hot once again, thanks to a few familiar faces. Ian Desmond delivered yet another clutch hit (a two-out, two-run single in the third). Ryan Zimmerman and Michael Morse delivered back-to-back homers in the fifth, each slugger continuing his torrid pace at the plate. And even Jhonatan Solano chimed in with his second career homer. Jackson settled down after his shaky first inning, and the Nationals cruised to a second straight victory over the NL's second-best club. At 47-32, they're now 15 games over .500, matching their best mark of the season.
Hitting highlight: Lots of candidates to choose from here yet again,Read more »
- Eugene in Oregon - Jul 4, 2012 at 6:23 PM
Okay, Mark, I think you posted this one before the umpire called it an out.
- m20832 - Jul 4, 2012 at 6:23 PM
Gotta Luv Nats baseball! Let's shell Cain tomorrow and get the sweep!47-32…Let's keep it up!GYFNG!!!
- NatsJack in Florida - Jul 4, 2012 at 6:24 PM
Only 36 more wins to reach Mick's prediction.
- Ghost Of Steve M. - Jul 4, 2012 at 6:25 PM
NatsJack, did you make the bet?
- baseballswami - Jul 4, 2012 at 6:27 PM
Any time you get two wins in 24 hours it's a good thing. Especially against another first place team.
- Ghost Of Steve M. - Jul 4, 2012 at 6:28 PM
EJax is now 5-4. Take those W's any way you can.
- Faraz Shaikh - Jul 4, 2012 at 6:29 PM
WOW that is pretty low, 2.64. That would be best era on our rotation and ninth or tenth best in NL.
- Faraz Shaikh - Jul 4, 2012 at 6:30 PM
if dodgers win tonight, giants would be another team we have sent under .500 or out of first place. great game!!
- NatsJack in Florida - Jul 4, 2012 at 6:33 PM
No bet. Just genuine chastisement.
- Ghost Of Steve M. - Jul 4, 2012 at 6:36 PM
Faraz, EJax's ERA and troubled 1st innings has been discussed here numerous times. Its not a secret and has been his achilles heel. Once he figures it out, he will truly be an Ace.If Rizzo thinks that the Cat can fix him, sign him now to an extension and also NEVER let him pitch in Colorado again.
- Ghost Of Steve M. - Jul 4, 2012 at 6:37 PM
The Nats have possibly 4 stud catchers. Clearly Ramos and Flores and Solano is on "stud watch". Leon could join the catcher quarter also.
- MicheleS - Jul 4, 2012 at 6:39 PM
WOOOOO HOOOOOOO!! Great game! Lets go for the sweep tomorrow! !!
- NatsJack in Florida - Jul 4, 2012 at 6:40 PM
And Freitas in Potomac is a huge bat. Catching is covered big time.
- Ghost Of Steve M. - Jul 4, 2012 at 6:47 PM
NatsJack, I think that is what made Norris expendable. Unfortunately trading 3 pitchers from depth is Rizzo's biggest hole between AA and AAA.I don't think Rizzo can afford the top pitchers because the Farm System can't afford that big of a hit. I think Wandy is a salary dump and that is what Rizzo has to concentrate on + I like the idea of another lefty.JZim, Gio, EJax, Wandy, and Detwiler/Lannan/Wang
- Ghost Of Steve M. - Jul 4, 2012 at 6:50 PM
I also think that Rizzo should do whatever he can to run up the price on Greinke. Hamels is the big prize in all this being the Top Lefty out there.I could also see teams coveting Tyler Moore and Lombardozzi and a young catcher. I wouldn't do it.
- baseballswami - Jul 4, 2012 at 6:51 PM
I think Wandy would be a good acquisition for us. I would be against the pounds of flesh Greinke will cost. His splits are a concern. The nats are clicking right now and I hope they keep it up .
- Ghost Of Steve M. - Jul 4, 2012 at 6:52 PM
Detwiler pitching on an extra day's rest against Cain who hasn't been stealth since his perfect game.Nats have already won the series and a sweep would be great!!!
- NatsJack in Florida - Jul 4, 2012 at 6:54 PM
I'm OK with Wandy. Our best trade piece arms are out with injuries, although there are several guys like Karns who other scouts might rate well and consider as solid prospects.
- Ghost Of Steve M. - Jul 4, 2012 at 6:55 PM
baseballswami, I would take Greinke, no problem until you get the invoice (if you know what I mean) or as you said the "poundS of flesh" with emphasis on the plural of pound.Definitely better to pay the cash on Wandy or take a chance on Dempster (if healthy) if the pound of flesh isn't too painful.
- baseballswami - Jul 4, 2012 at 6:56 PM
Phil's ahead of the Mets . Phil's looking hitterish. That's fine for today. Cliff lee may finally get a win. Still very early. Would love to see the mets drop one.
- Ghost Of Steve M. - Jul 4, 2012 at 6:58 PM
baseballswami, just saw the 3 spot. Can they hold the 3-2 lead.
- sjm308 - Jul 4, 2012 at 7:01 PM
Looks like except for that first inning, everything went our way. I don't read "in-game" comments but I am betting people were hemorrhaging after that first inning. I love having the radio on, doing yard work, and then running in to watch when something really exciting happens. Its just a great situation and I actually get a lot done. I don't want to jump on JayB because I know deep down he is a fan but this win just points to our bench and how well Davey uses it. Solano, Bernadina, Ankiel all made huge contributions and bringing the two outfielders plus LaRoche in for defense is just huge plus. Seems like everything Davey does lately turns to gold. Also love how Zimmerman has had just a great week and I am guessing Peric will be ok with him staying at 3rd for a little while longer. Can't wait to watch the next 3 in person. Go Nats!!!
- realdealnats - Jul 4, 2012 at 7:03 PM
Re: Deadline moves.We should be driving up the price big time, and not paying big time.While strategic to block other NL Easters from getting Greinke, it is also a move made out of weakness in that we let others dictate what we do. This would seem to be a sure fire way to 1) get into salary problems 2) farm system depletion problems and 3) possible team chemistry problems. If we can get a Wandy or Dempster etc w/extensions for $$$ and a single prospect who is not currently producing in the Bigs, might be ok for insurance. But Let ATL have Greinke…after we drive the price up and deplete their team and farm system. Then we steal it this year anyway, and are better set up for the next 5 years. IMO
- Gonat - Jul 4, 2012 at 7:35 PM
realdealnats, that is the strategy then while everyone is fixated on Greinke, Garza, and Hamels, swoop in and get Wandy or Dempster.
- Candide - Jul 4, 2012 at 7:45 PM
Mark wrote: Key stat: How clutch has Desmond been? Well, 25 of his 47 RBI this season have come with two outs. That doesn't sound like an anomaly.It may not be terribly unusual, when you think about it. It's easier to get RBIs when there are men on base – that's why leadoff hitters don't generally lead the league in that category. When you come up with two outs, that means there have been a few guys at the plate ahead of you, and there's a pretty good chance that someone got on base during that time (apart from the two guys who made out, obviously).Might be interesting to see what the overall MLB stats are in that area.
- Gonat - Jul 4, 2012 at 7:53 PM
Mets lost. That just clinched the Nats will be in 1st place at the All Star break!
- NatsJack in Florida - Jul 4, 2012 at 7:58 PM
Not only do I get to watch the Fish continue their nose dive, I get to watch Nyjer and his antics as well. Fish/Brew Crew at 4:05PM
- baseballswami - Jul 4, 2012 at 8:01 PM
Expecting fireworks, Natsjack? Between Nyjer and Ozzie there are bound to be some.
- DaveB - Jul 4, 2012 at 8:03 PM
I'm not sure I get the rationale for a Wandy or other 2nd tier deadline trade. At this rate, Stras should last well into September, and in the playoffs you usually just need 3 top pitchers. Gio / JZim / Edwin seem like they would all be better than Wandy, and Ross is looking solid if we do need a fourth.
- NatsJack in Florida - Jul 4, 2012 at 8:09 PM
DaveB…..the Nats are now serious players. If there are pieces in play that solidify your position in the playoff hunt, you can't stand idlely by and watch others improve their position. You have to send the message.Even if you don't get the deal done, you have to exert influence over the deals that are made.
- mick - Jul 4, 2012 at 8:19 PM
I am amazed that the Mets are in second place, I keep thinking they are going to implode soon, but when?As far as our Nats go… this is exciting! Jason Reid's column is spot on, however, I would be weary of giving up a key player to get a stud pitcher. The key questions that have to be answered if the Nats are going to play in October are..1) With Strass shut down (as he should be), there will be a void that most of us thought Wang would fill, he will not. We have to hope Detweiler can be the 5th the rest of the way. Does this mean that Lannan has to be the 5th pitcher while Det becomes number 4?2) Offensively, I agree with Jason Reid, we go with what we have and with Werth and Tracy back why add any other hitter?3) This question is for Peric and Gonat… if we did get an Upton or a Bourne, where the heck would they play?? I think adding another hitter would be foolish, this as got to be about adding a pitcher and that is all.
- baseballswami - Jul 4, 2012 at 8:19 PM
Todd Coffey having his second tommy John. Stinks for him. Lots of pitchers keeping the docs in business.
- NatsJack in Florida - Jul 4, 2012 at 8:21 PM
100 degrees in Milwaukee and the stadium is open.
- mick - Jul 4, 2012 at 8:22 PM
swami… I never heard of 2 tommy john surgeries?
- Knoxville Nat - Jul 4, 2012 at 8:23 PM
If I recall correctly, when Rizzo was hunting a possible trade for Greinke the Nats offered up Jordan Zmann, Storen, Espinosa and a top minor league prospect. Hindsight tells me that was way too much to offer and I'm glad that deal didn't get done. If we had to offer up something comparabe like that now to get him I say let Zack stay in Milwaulkee.
- mick - Jul 4, 2012 at 8:24 PM
1924 night is an awesome idea, kudos to the Lerners… only thing, I do not think the players names on were on the back of the jersey in 1924… I could be wrong
- mick - Jul 4, 2012 at 8:24 PM
Knox… your right and thank God that never happen!
- baseballswami - Jul 4, 2012 at 8:27 PM
Mick – he is not the only one. Can you even imagine? He's a really good guy.
- Faraz Shaikh - Jul 4, 2012 at 8:30 PM
Just finished reading Reid's piece on Greinke. I don't think we should make a move for him. Yes, it sounds very exciting when you put it like this, "Strasburg-Gio-Greinke-Zimmermann-Jackson"; but i am afraid price might be a bit steep for our farm.
- mick - Jul 4, 2012 at 8:30 PM
agreed swami.. I just never heard up until now a 2nd surgery of that type. I hope J zmm and strass NEVER have to do that again.
- baseballswami - Jul 4, 2012 at 8:32 PM
Kyle Drabek and Brian Wilson are both out with their second one right now. Scary, huh?
- Swift Eagle - Jul 4, 2012 at 8:35 PM
I listed to the Giants radio broadcast today…They spent a lot of time saying there was a "jet stream" blowing out to right field and the Nats were taking advantage of their "quirky ballpark"I've seen about 100 games at Nats Park, and right center is a grave yard! Yes, the ball flies down the line into the Nats bullpen, but not sure what these radio guys were seeing. Just can't accept the fact that their starters got smoked 2 days in a row
- NatsJack in Florida - Jul 4, 2012 at 8:37 PM
The Nats reliever in Syracuse, Christian Garcia, is a 2 time TJ guy.If anybody saw the Ozzie Guillen rant after the Fish loss yesterday where he crushed the entire team, he did that in the locker room and not in his office. Players gotta love that
- Faraz Shaikh - Jul 4, 2012 at 8:38 PM
btw if you watch solano's HR on mlb, Carp mentions that Zimm and Morse homers in those seats as Solano is rounding bases. Guess what happens next?also danny plays awesome defense if you didn't know.
- NatsLady - Jul 4, 2012 at 8:38 PM
This comment has been removed by the author.
- Faraz Shaikh - Jul 4, 2012 at 8:41 PM
thanks Natslady, I did. MarkZ quoted a different number, 2.64 though.
- jw - Jul 4, 2012 at 8:42 PM
Does Jason Reid have a fascination with the Brewers? First, he said the Nats needed to sign Prince Fielder for 1st base. Now he's suggesting they rent Greinke for the end of the season for when Stras is shut down. Rizzo thinks long term — he gave up prospects for Gio before the season started, but Gio was 1st year arbitration eligible, so they would have had him for three years anyway, and they signed him to an extension, so he'll be under club control until 2018. I don't get the desperation to "win now". Sure, it would be great to go to the WS this year, but the reason we're having this conversation at all is because Rizzo and company have managed the assets in the farm system so that we have enough depth to have four serviceable catchers, and enough hitting to weather the issues with our big bats. (Zimm, Morse, Werth)
- Swift Eagle - Jul 4, 2012 at 8:45 PM
Haha..jw maybe's Jason Reid's next column will advocate for a trade to get Bernie Brewer and Bob Uecker for a Screech and Ray Knight..
- Faraz Shaikh - Jul 4, 2012 at 8:46 PM
from my rough calculations, that don't include today's start, my number is closer to 2.64 than 2.24.
- baseballswami - Jul 4, 2012 at 8:46 PM
New post
- natsfan1a - Jul 4, 2012 at 9:43 PM
Wheeeeeeeeeeeeee!! That was a fun morning, er afternoon, er, day at the park.btw, as Solano's at-bat started, I said, "time for a fun run from the Onion." The rest is history. You're welcome.
- natsfan1a - Jul 4, 2012 at 9:52 PM
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- natsfan1a - Jul 4, 2012 at 9:55 PM
p.s. I was LOLing at the scoreboard for Sandoval's last at-bat. "Hey, look! All he needs is the triple. Poor Panda. Not sure how that happens unless the ball gets lodged under a wall or something." But, after looking, danged if he didn't hit for the cycle in Denver last year. I guess I did read about that.
- natsfan1a - Jul 4, 2012 at 10:07 PM
btw, I suppose I also owe Ankiel an apology. Before his dinger, I'm saying to my husband, Bernie had better run, because Ankiel won't move him over. He'll just swing at three pitches out of the zone and K. The next noise we heard was this: AOOOGAA!! AOOGAA!! Oops. Oh, well. I can't call them all, can I?
- Firm Possession, My Gorsehacken Sofa - Jul 5, 2012 at 1:22 AM
This comment has been removed by the author.


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LAX Series Dining Table Set
by MASHstudios
This beautiful dining table set has a solid English oak construction with a rich natural oil finish. The table's meticulous construction and thoughtful design will bring your dining area to life and is sure to become a conversation piece. Seats up to 6.
LAX Dining Table Set features:
- Table is 30" h x 72" w x 36" d
- Chairs are 32" h x 17" w x 20" d
- Benches are 18" h x 66" w x 14" d
- Solid English Walnut with natural oil finish
- Tabletop is clean, classy white laminate
Materials & Measurements
Materials:Frame is solid English Walnut frame with natural oil finish. Tabletop is satin white laminate.
Dimensions: Table: 30" h x 72" w x 36" l
Chairs: 32" h x 17" w x 20" d
Benches: 18" h x 66" w x 14" d
Cleaning and Care
For simple cleaning, use a damp cloth with a mild detergent. Over time, you may want to refinish the surface with a refinishing agent to regain its original luster. For this we recommend Scott's Liquid Gold. Pour a small amount onto a rag and wipe the entire surface until you have an even finish. Do not pour the cleaner directly onto the furniture as this can result in an uneven coat or discolor the wood.
If your furniture develops stains like a watermark from a glass, use 220 grit sandpaper and lightly sand the wood until the stain dissapears. For best results, follow this with a treatment of Linseed Oil to refinish the surface to its original quality.
Try to keep the piece out of direct sunlight if possible. It is wood's natural property to darken over time when exposed to sunlight, so if an object is left on your LAX furniture and left in the sun for a long time, the covered surface will appear lighter once the object is moved. This light spot will take time to blend back into the surrounding area and may never be fully as dark. Also, don't put hot stuff like pots and pans directly on the wood.
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Environmental Information
The materials that go into every LAX Series piece are meticulously selected for their quality and positive environmental impact. Each piece of furniture is made of solid English Walnut, free of formaldehyde glue and other toxins. By using an engineered wood, the LAX Series is able to maximize the yield from each tree and virtually eliminate waste. All of the pieces are sealed with a natural oil finish made from linseed oil that is VOC-free and solvent free.About The Manufacturer
MASHstudios is a Los Angeles-based design firm that specialize in the design and manufacturing of custom furniture for residential as well as commercial spaces. MASHstudios was founded in 2002 by Bernard Brucha and employs a diverse team of designers and engineers grounded in the core competencies of industrial design and fabrication. MASHstudios designed the entire LAX Series line of beds, tables, and consoles. In addition to designing long-lasting furniture that goes well in any home, MASHstudios works with a wide array of designers, architects, and clients to design the right product or environment to fit their needs and styles.Related Categories
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The Shipping Dimensions vary on the configuration of the dining set you choose:
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Bench Box (each):
67.5" l x 22" w x 6" h @ 50 lbs
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41" l x 29" w x 22" h @ 45
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Hotel Amenities
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- Plasma TV
Where to Eat
Le Basilic - Fine-dining dinner restaurant featuring local ingredients prepared with a Mediterranean accent. Selections include warm lobster on cabbage a la orange, roasted grouper with caramelized fennel, roast lamb loin in herb pastry.
La Joya - Fine-dining dinner restaurant offering refined Mexican cuisine, mariachi music, folkloric ballet three nights weekly. Bar/lounge vestibule attended by a tequila sommelier and cigar-maker.
Vina del Mar - Champagne-buffet and a la carte breakfasts. Air-conditioned and terrace seating.
Coral Café - French-accented spot serving light meals, pastries, coffee drinks. Inside and "streetside" seating on street-like grand corridor. Open for lunch, dinner.
Isla Contoy - Open-air restaurant with thatch roof located between beach and pool. Specializing in grilled meat, seafood. Open for lunch, dinner. Live music for dinner.
The Lobby Lounge - Wood floor and trim. Feathery potted plants. Cocktails and live music nightly.
The pool complex includes three bars, all with swim-up sides.
Nearby Things to Do
Located on the north side of Punta Cancún and thus shielded from the open sea, Fiesta Americana's 300-meter (328-yard) beach provides calm-water swimming in most weather conditions. Thatched-roof palapas supply shade on the beach. Above the beach, a 200-meter-long (219-yard) heated, freeform pool with raised levels on both ends cascading into a middle level includes channels running under stone bridges and three swim-up bars. Sundecks and tropical gardens border the pool. A 7-meter (24-ft) children's pool features a water slide from a playground with a rubber-mat floor.
The resort's watersports center rents personal watercraft, small sailboats, snorkeling gear, and kayaks and offers banana-boat rides, parasailing flights, waterskiing, scuba-diving instruction, and snorkeling excursions for surcharges. AquaWorld Marina 6.5 km (4 miles) away on Nichupté Lagoon also offers many water sports, including fishing trips and scuba diving and snorkeling excursions.
The recreational activities listed below are available either on site or near the resort; fees may apply.
- Golfing nearby
- Surfing/boogie boarding nearby
- Personal motorized watercraft on site
- Water skiing nearby
- Windsurfing nearby
- Parasailing nearby
- Pilates classes on site
- Playground on site
- Sailing on site
- Scuba diving on site
- Snorkeling on site
- Yoga classes/instruction on site
Spa Services
Innovation meets sophistication at the first gem-inspired spa in the world at the new Coral Beach GEM SPA. Built as a brand new annex to the hotel, surrounded by luminous sand beaches and turquoise blue waters, the 40,000-square-foot GEM SPA offers its exclusive gem therapy treatments, unique 10 steps hydrotherapy ritual, rich design elements, a unique ethereal journey of wellness and relaxation where subtle water echoes sooth consciousness in luxury environment, awe-inspiring spa amenities, and first-class service.
- Steam room in spa
- Couples treatment rooms
- Aromatherapy treatments
- Hydrotherapy treatments
- Sauna in spa
- Spa tub in spa
- Massages
- Facial treatments
To make requests for specific accessibility needs, complete the "Special or Accessibility Requests" section of "Trip Preferences" when you book your hotel.
- Accessible bathroom
Hotel Policies
Check-in time starts at 3 PM
Check-out time is noon
Payment types
You need to know
Extra-person charges may apply and vary depending on hotel policy.
Government-issued photo identification and a credit card or cash deposit are required at check-in for incidental charges.
Special requests are subject to availability upon check-in and may incur additional charges. Special requests cannot be guaranteed.
Only service dogs are allowed
USD 1,000 Resort Credit Offer
Book a 5-night minimum stay in any room or rate plan August 20, 2014 - December 17, 2015 for travel January 4, 2015 - December 17, 2015 and receive a passport at check-in valid for up to USD 1000 in resort credits. Credits are applicable towards the following:
- 1 complimentary romantic spa dinner for 2 (USD 300 value)
- 2 complimentary roundtrip tickets for the ferry to Isla Mujeres (USD 34 value)
- 2 complimentary Hydrotherapy Rituals at GEM SPA (USD 170 value)
- 1 complimentary bottle of sparkling white wine at the beach or pool during the day (USD 50 value)
- 1 complimentary tequila tasting for 2 at La Joya Restaurant (USD 25 value)
- 2 complimentary desserts to be enjoyed with lunch at Isla Contoy Restaurant (USD 18 value)
- 2 complimentary domestic welcome drinks" (USD 14 value)
- 2 complimentary bottles of water each day for a maximum of 3 days (USD 18 value)
- Complimentary in-room coffee for 2 each day for a maximum of 3 days (USD 15 value)
- USD 100 credit for a romantic beach cabana set-up (dinner not included)
- USD 100 credit for 2 USD50 vouchers for any treatment at Gem Spa
- USD 25 credit for dinner at Le Basilic Restaurant
- USD 20 credit for dinner at La Joya or Isla Contoy restaurant
- USD 40 for 2 USD 20 vouchers for any water sports at the Resort's Marina Activity Desk
- USD150 credit towards on-site Dreamart Photography services
- USD20 credit for on-site car rental service
Kids Stay and Eat Free
Book a stay in any room type, and 2 kids ages 12 and younger eat free when staying with 2 adults using existing bedding (maximum 2 adults and 2 kids per room)
Kids 12 and under eat free from Kids Menu (when parents eating from regular menu). Restrictions apply for kids between 5 and 12 when booking All Inclusive Program. Other restrictions may apply.
Up to 2 Free Buffet Breakfasts Offer
Book a 3-night minimum stay in any room category April 13 - July 2, 2015 for travel May 25 - July 2, 2015 and receive up to 2 free buffet breakfasts per room.
Applies to hotel only and package (air + hotel) path bookings. The offer is only valid for new reservations. This promotion is NOT combinable with the USD 1000 resort credit offer, the Passport promotion, or the "Special Offer" rate movement. This promotion can be combined with the 30% Off promotion. This promotion may not be combined with any other promotions/rate plans unless specified. Offer is subject to availability at the time of booking and is not available for group reservations. Grupo Posadas reserves the right to alter or terminate this promotion at any time. Other restrictions may apply.


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Are You at High Risk for Serious Illness from Flu?
- Details
Facts about Influenza
- Details
It's flu season again and your friends at the Lompoc Valley Medical Center have recommended a few simply things that you can do to protect yourself and others from getting sick.
- Wash your hands often.
- Cough and/or sneeze into your sleeve.
- Keep your hands out of your mouth, eyes and nose.
- Avoid close contact with sick people.
- Use disinfectant cleaner to clean commonly used surfaces in your home.
- Be sure to get the seasonal flu shot each year.
Provider Alert: Tuberculosis Outbreak in North County
- Details
This alert is to notify providers of an outbreak of isoniazid-resistant tuberculosis (TB) among Oaxacan persons in the northern region of Santa Barbara County. To date, nine active TB cases have been identified within this community; 5 of the cases have epidemiologic links and the same genetic pattern on their TB isolate, suggesting the same chain of TB transmission. All case-patients are residents of Santa Barbara County, aged 1-79 years old, and all are ethnically Oaxacan (persons from a region in Mexico who often speak Mixteco and do not speak Spanish.) The Santa Barbara County Public Health Department has been conducting an ongoing investigation of this outbreak and is asking medical providers within North County to have an increased suspicion for TB in patients from the Oaxacan community who present with TB symptoms, both in children and adults.
FreeNet Offline
- Details
"FreeNet" is a hospitality service we provide as a no cost internet for visitor and patients. The carrier, as of today stopped providing service in this area and the circuit is now dead. So, please let all patients and visitors know (that ask) that LVMC no longer provides internet services. I am not sure if it will be possible to replace with another service in the near future. Generally these service startups take a few months.
Mary Sharp Appointed to Board of Directors
- Details
The first vacancy in 15 years for the Lompoc Valley Medical Center's board of directors didn't last very long. In a unanimous vote among the three board members present at Thursday night's meeting, the board approved longtime Lompoc resident Mary Sharp to fill the seat that became open when Leslie Kelly's resignation went into effect Nov. 1. Sharp, who is a licensed CPA for Lompoc accounting firm Walker Wilson & Hughen, was one of five applicants to seek the open seat. None of those applicants was present at Thursday's board meeting. Sharp got the call Thursday night that she had been selected.
Saving Taxpayers $7M
- Details
Thanks to a recent — and timely — refinancing, taxpayers in the Lompoc hospital district will save a total of more than $7 million on repayment of bonds that were used to build the new Lompoc Valley Medical Center.


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Fact of the day
Information is the most powerful weapon.
Fact N°
The only reporter in Annawan, Illinois is 12 years old.
Keith Davis started the Annawan News when he was nine, and that first effort has evolved into the Annawan Times, a weekly newspaper recognized by membership in the Illinois Press Association. (The IPA made him an honorary member out of appreciation for his efforts.) Annawan is a small town (population: 957), and Davis is responsible for covering all the local news not covered by the surrounding newspapers, updating the paper's website and sending issues to his three subscribers.
Fact N°
Much of Delaware was once "New Sweden".
In the mid-17th century, a significant part of Delaware (as well as parts of surrounding states) was colonized by Sweden. The Swedish colonial effort was less vigorous than that of larger European powers, but New Sweden -- centered on present-day Wilmington -- existed for 50 years until the Dutch took the land by force. Despite the lasting imprint of Swedish culture on the area, most Swedes who immigrated to America in later years (particularly at the end of the 19th century) traveled past it to settle in the Midwest and West.
Fact N°
A fourth of the world suffers from zinc deficiency.
Around two billion people -- including 12% of U.S. inhabitants -- are at risk for zinc deficiency, which significantly affects the body's ability to repair genetic damage. An American Journal of Clinical Nutrition study found an increased risk of DNA damage among otherwise healthy men who only lacked dietary zinc, and in whom the damage disappeared once their zinc intake increased. A lack of zinc is also tied to prostate cancer. The naturally high-in-zinc prostate loses its zinc content when it becomes cancerous: increasing zinc in the prostate may help prevent prostate cancer.
Fact N°
Driving in the U.S. is the safest it has ever been.
The U.S. Department of Transportation's statistics from 2009 indicate that the number of traffic fatalities hit its lowest level since 1954 and, when accounting for the number of overall miles traveled, the lowest on record (33,963 fatalities total). The Department attributed the decline to safety campaigns and safer vehicles, but also conceded that part of the drop in accidents was simply due to the presence of fewer drivers on the road.
Fact N°
Yawning is not contagious to babies.
Contagious yawning is linked to empathy, or at least to mimicry. More empathetic people are more likely to yawn reflexively when seeing someone else yawn, and even some animals, like dogs, are prone to contagious yawning. Babies, however, are not. Children generally only develop contagious yawning around the age of five, when social decision-making and the capacity for empathy become more developed.
Fact N°
It is possible to lose 20 pounds in 24 hours.
Tim Ferriss, author of the 4-Hour Workweek and the 4-Hour Body, has made a career out of experimenting with exercise, supplements and the limits of the human body. The former kickboxer writes that he has lost over 20 pounds in 24 hours on more than a dozen occasions, with the most dramatic example being a loss of 33 pounds in 20 hours. Ferriss employed rapid dehydration (which, performed improperly, can be fatal) to drop from 185 to 152 pounds by following a process he describes openly and in detail on his website.
Fact N°
A town in Vermont nearly managed to cover itself under a giant dome.
Winooski, Vermont, a town of 7,000 inhabitants, rose to the challenge posed by the energy crisis of the 1970s with a very innovative solution: covering the town with a clear dome that conserved heat and prevented the accumulation of snow in the winter months. Community officials determined that a one-square-mile dome would reduce heating costs by 90%. The idea remained popular, winning support from public figures like Buckminster Fuller and attention from the national media, but eventually HUD turned down the city's request for funding and the idea's feasibility decreased.
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Amika 1.25" Ceramic StylerMoJersey!HairAuburnDry HairCurly HairColor Treated HairThick or Coarse HairAll I Can Say Is Wwwwooooww<3ok so i have never fallen in love with a straightener before but lord...my boyfriend might have some competition now lol. I am mixed african american and spanish but hair hair is definetly realllllyyyyyyyy curly like the curls are extremely tight plus my hair is dyed so its really dry. I bought a cheap conair infiniti pro iron after reading the reviews and you get what you pay for. It sorta straightened out my hair but it was really frizzy at the ends. My issue was i bought this flat iron but it wouldnt shut on so i went with my back up. So i decided to give it one last shot before i dumped it and boy am i glad i did! first off this doesnt dry out your hair! or at least not mine probably due to the heat protectant i used which was the one that goes with the kqc flat iron which i highly reccommend also! this iron made it like melt into my hair and took any frizz i had and made it silky and shiny it was EPIC. the only other flat iron that could do that was a titanium one that i got called the croc but titanium burns the hair alot easier so i was afraid to use it. GET THIS FLAT IRON ITS THE TRUTH! I never thought id write a review about any product but with this one i just HAD to. :)posted Jun 21, 2014Link to this post
Amika 1.25" Ceramic StylerJHairDark BrownCurly HairGr8!Cuts down on straightening/styling time hugely!!
Hair is so soft and shiny! Highly recommend this!posted Jan 8, 2014Link to this post -
Amika 1.25" Ceramic StylerRonja A.The NetherlandsHairBlondeCurly HairFine or Thin HairDamaged Hair And Curls Gone Â?? Worst Buy EverI've always had curly hair, beautiful spiral curls, but since my hair usually is a bit frizzy at the top, I've been using hair straighteners for years to smoothen out the frizz.
I bought the Amika straightener at the airport in Amsterdam after the seller convinced me that the infra-red heat would do no damage to my hair, and even though it was way more expensive than any straightener I've ever bought, the life time guarantee sounded great.
What I have found now, sadly, is that this one has done more damage to my hair than anything I've ever used. Some places are burnt and crunched up like hair that gets to close to fire. Some parts of my hair got burned and simply fell off.
But the worst part: all my natural curls are now gone. My hair is just kind of wavy in a weird way. Every day is now a bad hair day :(
I'm gonna see if I can return it and get my money back â?? but how to compensate for the damage? I guess I just have to wait for a few years until new hair has grown out.
(My first negative customer review ever, but I really mean it. I don't recommend this to anyone, especially not if you have natural curls and want to keep them.)
Ronjaposted Aug 5, 2013Link to this post -
Amika 1.25" Ceramic StylerKate S.Ventura, CAHairMedium BrownFine or Thin HairGreat!I just love this! My hair is very fine and very frizzy, the worse combination in the world! I researched for months the best straightener, and found that a 100% ceramic straightener is the best for fine hair. I use it at a very low temperature, about 140 degrees, and with a single pass, works just great. I still only straighten my hair about once a week, to keep the damage minimal.posted Jul 8, 2013Link to this post
Amika 1.25" Ceramic StylerJenniferSt. Louis, MOHairDark BrownNormal HairDry HairColor Treated HairBest Straightener Money Can BuyThis straightener is literally like a magic wand. It instantly makes your hair soft, shiny, straight, devoid of flyaways, and healthy looking! I have used amika straighteners for three and a half years and I will never ever use another brand. My roommate has very curly hair and she borrowed my amika one time before she ended up buying one of her own. Good purchase. One thing, I had to switch shampoos and products because the straightener was making my hair greasy. Weird I know, but I switched from a shampoo for dry hair to a shampoo for normal hair and the problem stopped.posted Jul 2, 2013Link to this post
Amika 1.25" Ceramic StylerJeanNJHairGreyNormal HairHow To Burn Beautiful Platinum Silver HairI bought this after watching a demo on tv where it looked like it would be wonderful! I had tried to get it delivered before we went on vacation BUT I AM SO GLAD IT CAME AFTER!! After using it several time I set the temp up a little higher to get a more defined curl. When I took the hair out of the styler I noticed my silver hair was browned!! I had to cut off large sections of the top.
As an older woman I have been growing my hair forever attempting to achieve a long wedge so that the sides go under my chin. Well, I may end up having all that effort wasted when my hairdresser tells me what my options are!! I didn't want to get a haircut yet but I cannot leave this multi-color hair like it is.[ I am past the age of multi-color hair!] But I was quite happy with it and searching for a way to keep it healthier. I am dreading this haircut. And, I did read the directions and have been years curling and coloring my hair. Just the last few years I finally was allowing the God-given silver color to show. I had so looked forward to a styler that could do all that it said it could do but IT WAS N O T this one!!!!
An extremely unhappy consumerposted Jun 28, 2013Link to this post -
Amika 1.25" Ceramic StylerLady N.NJHairDark BrownNormal HairGreat Iron That Lasted For A Really Long TimeI bought this flat iron in 2008 at a mall stand and I consider it a great investment. It did a great job getting my hair straight and sleek in no time. This iron lasted me a good 5 years before it started dying on me. The plates just weren't heating up like they used to and I couldn't get the product build-up off of the plates anymore no matter how hard I tried. I have since switched to the Sedu Revolution, which I am absolutely in love with, but the Amika was an awesome iron that lasted for many years! I would recommend this iron for straight styles and curly styles as well.posted Jun 27, 2013Link to this post
Amika 1.25" Ceramic StylerHappy C.Hicksville,nyHairBlackDry HairThick or Coarse HairBest Straightner Ever!!I have thick hair that was always hard to straighten really good and this straighter makes it look like I have Japanese straightening !!!! All the other straighters caused frizz and make it look like i didn't straight my hair and took forever. But this one makes my entire head beautiful in just 10 mins with no yanking or pulling. :)!! LOVE IT SO MUCH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! best purchase ever.posted Jun 6, 2013Link to this post
Amika 1.25" Ceramic StylerCaitlin S.WashingtonHairMedium BrownFine or Thin HairAmazing For Fine Hair!This straightener is amazing. It heats up fast, and gives multiple heat settings which is great for those of us with fine and/or thin hair. The 100% ceramic plates are the best option for people with fine hair, and it does seem to make my hair look healthier and is definitely softer. Because of my fragile hair, I only use heat appliances one or twice a week, so I cannot speak about using it on a daily basis. I highly recommend this product, anyhow. I have been very careful with it, because I understand ceramic is more fragile, so I haven't had any issues with the ceramic chipping or breaking. I would buy this product time and time again.posted Apr 4, 2013Link to this post
Amika Sultry Lace 1.25" Ceramic StylerMariannaHairLight BrownCurly HairColor Treated HairLove Love AmikaI had the ceramic hot pink Amika styler since seventh grade and I loved it to this day (I'm entering my first year of college in September). Unfortunately, after dropping it 20 or more times it finally broke the plate in half. I loved my old Amika styler so I figured I'd order another one and I liked this lace pattern. The lace pattern looks really nice I thought it might appear tacky in person but it doesn't :) It heats up so fast and I can straighten my butt length hair in about 30 minutes (it took an hour or more with other straighteners!) The floating plates didn't tug at my hair like other straighteners did so I loved that. My favorite thing about this styler by far is that I can make curls and waves along with making it perfectly stick straight. I bought a really expensive curling iron and ended up never using it because I loved the results of this styler so much more. It's perfect if you like "flowing curls". I also discovered recently how to do waves with this styler on youtube I'm in love with the beach waves I can create in a flash. Get this styler. It's amazing. There's nothing negative I have to say really at all.posted Mar 8, 2013Link to this post
Write Your Own Review
Have you tried this product? Help out by sharing what worked (or didn't)!
Write a Review


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Saturday, December 8, 2012
My Christmas Cards and a Minted Giveaway!
178 comments:
- christinaDecember 8, 2012 at 7:59 AM
I would love to win.. I've been dying to order some stuff from Minted so this would be perfect!
firstname.lastname@example.com - christinaDecember 8, 2012 at 8:02 AM
my fav!
firstname.lastname@example.com - AnonymousDecember 8, 2012 at 6:13 PM
This would be such a motivator as I'm 33 weeks pregnant. we even took pictures a couple of months ago but I'm starting to slow down and dreaming of New Years cards!
email@example.com - AnonymousDecember 9, 2012 at 6:57 AM
Your card turned out great! I made 2 (minor) mistakes on my card this year and am looking at 155 of them on my desk. Bummer! email@example.com
ReplyDelete - JenniferDecember 9, 2012 at 8:14 AM
We used minted last year and plan to use them again this year! They do a great job. email address is: ketchums (at) centurytel (dot) net.
The link above is my favorite for this year. It is a postcard style so you save on both paper and postage... - AnonymousDecember 9, 2012 at 3:39 PM
ahh! what a great giveaway! love minted, and love your pick :) analise.hess at gmail.com
ReplyDelete - Kristi BDecember 9, 2012 at 7:30 PM
I love minted! They have the best designs!
firstname.lastname@example.com - AnonymousDecember 10, 2012 at 2:55 AM
Really behind with sending out cards this year, so it would be great to win.
Victoria - AnonymousDecember 10, 2012 at 9:02 AM
Love Minted! Excited about this giveaway!! You're cards turned out so cute. email@example.com
ReplyDelete - melissaDecember 10, 2012 at 9:04 AM
Love minted would love to win this giveaway! Your cards are super cute!
firstname.lastname@example.com - AnonymousDecember 10, 2012 at 9:57 AM
I would love to win! I love everything from Minted!
email@example.com - Kalina DaleckiDecember 10, 2012 at 1:10 PM
I love using Minted for all of my personalized cards! email@example.com
ReplyDelete - AnonymousDecember 11, 2012 at 9:13 PM
I love Minted and would love to win!!!
emily_melsop (at) yahoo (dot) com - AnonymousDecember 15, 2012 at 12:50 PM
My sister used Minted for her Christmas cads and they were INCREDIBLE! email@example.com
New comments are not allowed.


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How to Choose a CPU Fan
Whenever your computer needs to perform calculations it relies on the central processing unit (CPU), often referred to simply as the processor. When the CPU is in operation it generates heat, so it must rely on computer components such as a CPU fan and heat sink combination to adequately dissipate the heat. Without a CPU fan the processor will quickly overheat and become useless. If your computer's CPU has been running too hot, choose a new CPU fan that provides better airflow.


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Kansas River Wildlife Area
Topeka, KS
Kansas Department of Wildlife, Parks and Tourism
Public Lands Manager- Justin Hamilton
Phone- (785) 887 - 6882
The Kansas River Wildlife Area consists of four different tracts in Shawnee, Riley and Geary Counties all adjacent to the Kansas River. The Riley and Geary County tracts have limited access. The Riley County tract provides an additional motor boat access site to the Kansas River near Ogden as well as walk-in access to 300 acres of river bottom ground. Vehicle use is restricted to the parking lot at the boat ramp.The Riley and Geary county tracts are open to hunting. Firearms deer hunting is not allowed on any of these tracts. The two Shawnee County tracts include over 200 acres of farmland and riparian corridors. Special use restrictions are in place for all properties. Possession of any type of alcohol is prohibited on this property. Please check the area kiosk or with the Topeka Regional office for use restrictions or questions.
The Mac Vicar Road Area is located within the City limits of Topeka and is only open to archery hunting through the Department's special hunts program. You can check online at kdwp.state.ks.us to view these opportunities.
The Urish Road Area is located on the north end of Urish Road, is adjacent to the City limits of Topeka and provides a variety of outdoor opportunities. An emphasis is placed upon youth and mentor experiences.
Methods of hunting are limited to shotgun and archery only. No firearms deer hunting is allowed. All hunting is managed through the special hunts program or by daily permits available at the kiosk. During the special hunts access will be limited to those drawn in the hunt. Please check the kiosk or with the office prior to hunting.
One third of the tract will be utilized for a dove management field for youth/novice hunters by the planting of wheat and sunflowers. Other hunting opportunities include deer, turkey and waterfowl.
A safety zone has been established on this tract that prohibits the discharge of any firearm. This will be strictly enforced and all violations will be cited. You can view the safety zone map HERE.


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Follow @StarTutor
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Springfield Secondary School
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Tuition Agency
StarTutor Agency is a premier tuition agency in Singapore. StarTutor offers a variety of tutoring and coaching services for all ages and academic levels. Customers are provided with extensive and detailed profile information for each individual tuition teacher from a vast database of over a thousand teachers. In addition, StarTutor also provides a comprehensive list of tuition centres around Singapore. At StarTutor, customers can expect to receive affordable tuition rates based on the average market rate, with no extra costs. You may search for every tuition centre around your area. With customer-friendly co-coordinators and ease of accessibility, StarTutor is a quick and fuss-free tuition agency for customers to engage the ideal teacher. If you are a teacher looking for assignments, we give you access to more than 100 tuition requests each week.
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Each tutor that is registering for assignments with StarTutor agency has their identity, credentials and certificates vetted for complete legitimacy. Every tutor is able to teach a variety of subjects including Math, science, phonics, creative writing, music; and languages such as Chinese, English, Malay and Tamil. Each tutor is able to provide home or group tuition as per the customer's request. We also feature a tutor-ranking system to distinguish the top tutors in our agency. If you looking for a reliable tuition centre around your neighbourhood, you may do a detailed search as well. At StarTutor, we strive to provide a quality learning experience for each and every student.


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HOLIDAYS IN Tofo
6 available offers
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Casa Do Mar
Casa Do Mar is sometimes referred as Tofo Luxury Guesthouse is situated on the main beach in Tofo which is approximately 20km from the InhambaneBlue Prints Eco Lodge
This exclusive Eco Lodge is situated in the Barra Tofo area in Inhambane, Mozambique - Southern Africa. Blue Footprints Eco Lodge offers ...Baia Sonambula
Beach holidays: Beach Holidays, Family Holidays, Family Vacation, Holidays, Honeymoons, Mozambique Holiday, Weekend Getaways
Baia Sonambula
Baia Sonambula is specifically located in the first dune behind the main swimming beach in Tofo. The guesthouse consists of three sea view rooms ...Tofo Beach Accommodation
Tofo beach Accommodation is situated in Inhambane Province 550km north of Maputo, in Mozambique. No need for a 4 x 4, Tofo and ...Casa Barry
Casa Barry is situated on the southern tip of Tofo point, 22km from Inhambane, and covering an area of 13 acres, Casa Barry Lodge ...
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