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Jose Alvarez missed most of 2013 but his offseason work impressed the Angels front office. He continued his strong work this spring and now looks poised to make the Opening Day roster. *The MWAH projections are simply my best guess based off my own personal opinion and research (my wOBA calculation is approximate because my math […]
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|2014 Actual
What happened in 2014?
The Angels were desperate for starting pitching depth going into the 2014 season, so they traded utility infielder Andrew Romine to Detroit for Jose Alvarez. The Tigers were also desperate for rotation depth, so that was kind of weird, but I guess they were more desperate for shortstop depth. Either way, the Angels got what they needed.
Alvarez was actually an intriguing acquisition at the time because he was coming off a highly successful season in Triple-A the year before. He never had much of a prospect profile, but the Angels were hoping that whatever he was doing in the minors would play in the majors.
After getting off to a slow start in Triple-A, Alvarez got a called up to the bigs to help out the beleaguered pitching staff. He made two very brief appearances, facing a combined three batters, and was returned to the minors where he continued to struggle. However, he was shut down after 30.2 innings due to elbow problems. So much for rotation depth, right?
Alvarez ended up having to have loose bodies removed from his elbow, so the elbow problems ended up not being all that severe, but it did cost him most of the season and a big opportunity to impress the Angels brass.
What do the projections think he will do in 2015?
Based on the innings projection, we can probably just throw Steamer out. That's too bad for Jose Alvarez because it was the one projection that had his back. ZiPS pretty much hates Alvarez and CAIRO just really, really dislikes him. In both instances they see Alvarez being incapable of missing bats and incapable of keeping the ball in the park.
Does the Monkey agree or disagree?
To me, the big question for Alvarez is whether or not he can miss bats. In his 2013 Triple-A campaign, he fanned over eight batters per nine, but he was below five per nine in Double-A in 2012 over 136.1 innings. That's kind of a massive disparity. Because I'm just not very bold and daring, I figured I'd split the baby and project Alvarez to have a modest strikeout rate.
Actually, I think the real issue for Alvarez is that he isn't going to be used as a LOOGY much. Much of that work is going to go to Ramos, so Alvarez is not going to have his stats padded by having the platoon advantage. However, he has been able to generate whiffs decently more often than he has been totally incapable, so he should be able to post a decent number.
The rest of his line seems to be problematic though, again because of the lack of platoon advantage. I also don't believe that his stuff is going to play up much as a reliever. And I base that on the whopping three MLB batters I've seen him face and a handful of Spring Training appearances, so you might want to take that with a mine of salt.
1) Is Alvarez really going to make the Opening Day roster?
It sure looks like it. The Angels even bumped him up to be a starter in yesterday's game just so he would have a chance to work with Chris Iannetta before the season began. He satisifies the Angels' desire to have a second left-handed pitcher in the bullpen but also have a pitcher with some length. There is a small chance that the Halos might decide that Drew Rucinski provides enough length and go with Scott Snodgress as more of a LOOGY, but the organization seems too high on Alvarez after a very strong winter ball season to go that route.
2) Will he actually be able to stay on the roster?
He probably has a better chance of holding down his roster spot than Rucinski does because he has the benefit of being a second lefty. When Richards comes back, the length won't be as necessary, but the flexibility of a second lefty won't change. However, he'll have to pitch well to keep his spot because he is the arm most likely to be cycled up and down from the minors as the Angels mess with the composition of the bullpen based on the current need. That means both pitching well in mop-up duty and pitching well as a specialist.
That latter part could be the key for Alvarez. He's mostly worked as a starter in the minors, so he isn't really accustomed to changing his approach. How quickly he adapts to being a LOOGY will go a long way towards his tenure on the roster. He's normally a four-pitch pitcher, so he'll need to figure out the best way for him to trim down his arsenal in short outing situations. He's shown pretty disparate platoon splits in the minors, so maybe he already has a basic idea, but we will need to see him put that idea into practice.
3) Are these the exact same questions used for Rucinski yesterday?
What? WHO TOLD YOU?!?!! Errr, I mean, I don't know what you're talking about. This is a totally original projection profile put together with a great deal of thought and consideration and definitely not one hastily put together because I didn't really expect Alvarez to make the roster when I first started this series. Pay no attention to the man behind the curtain.
The Final Word (and GIF)
As much as fans are excited about Drew Rucinski, the Angels coaches and scouts are excited about Alvarez. He's the guy that they've been going out of their way to talk up when chatting with reporters. He's the one with helium, their eyes. The tricky thing about helium though is that it makes balloons float and balloons pop sometimes. I don't know if Alvarez will go pop, but despite all the nice things the club is saying about him, it wouldn't be the least bit surprising if he gets demoted by the end of April to never be heard from again. To be fair, it wouldn't be surprising either if he pitches 80+ innings this year, flipping between the bullpen and the rotation either.
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This is the Angels lineup for April Fool's Day, but it isn't a prank… I think. It's hard to tell Collin Cowgill batting third, Johnny Giavotella leading off. Yeah, maybe this is a prank after all.
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This is the Angels lineup for April Fool's Day, but it isn't a prank… I think. It's hard to tell
Today's #Angels lineup at the Athletics. #LAASpring pic.twitter.com/f447Q6gJAQ
— Angels (@Angels) April 1, 2015
Collin Cowgill batting third, Johnny Giavotella leading off. Yeah, maybe this is a prank after all.
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The April 1st, 2015 edition of Los Angeles Angels news including players vote Trout best player, Street extension held up by Hamilton suspension delay and much more… *EDITOR'S NOTE: As per the April 1st tradition of this site, one of these links is not real The Story: A poll of MLB players shows that 61% think Mike Trout is the […]
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The Story: A poll of MLB players shows that 61% think Mike Trout is the best player in the world.
The Monkey Says: Which means that 39% don't, which is kind of freaky. In fact, 18% thought it was either Cabrera or Kershaw, so I'm very curious to see who comprises the unlisted 21%.
The Story: The Huston Street extension might be getting held up by the lack of clarity on Josh Hamilton's suspension.
The Monkey Says: Or it is a very convenient excuse to not give Street an extension that would surely end up being a bad idea. With Street setting an Opening Day deadline for a new deal and Hamilton's suspension to be decided by Opening Day, the sooner the suspension is decided upon, the better the odds of an extension. So, take your time Mr. Manfred.
The Story: Baseball Tonight ranked Garrett Richards as the 76th best player and Albert Pujols the 83rd best player.
The Monkey Says: Pujols fell quite a bit from last year and arguably might be ranked too high still. I'm genuinely impressed that Richards made the list based off of one strong year.
The Story: Nick Tropeano has been optioned to Triple-A.
The Monkey Says: As expected. Andrew Heaney hasn't been sent down yet, so maybe he will get one more shot at changing Scioscia's mind before they commit to the four-man rotation. That seems unlikely though.
The Story: Hector Santiago believes moving over on the pitching rubber has helped improve his stuff.
The Monkey Says: In particular, he believes his slider now has more depth. Moving over on the mound has helped guys before, so maybe this is real or maybe this is going to lead Santiago to throw his crappy slider more than he should because he doesn't realize that the move on the rubber didn't really help that much and that what really helped was pitching against a bunch of minor leaguers.
The Story: Mike Scioscia is expecting a big year from C.J. Wilson.
The Monkey Says: This reads to me less like a vote of confidence and more like a challenge to Wilson.
The Story: The Angels believe they can maintain their top offensive performance from last year.
The Monkey Says: I do too! Losing Kendrick hurts, but if Freese steps up like he did in the second half and Cron develops, they should be able to erase much of the hit they took by losing Kendrick. Joyce should effectively replace what Hamilton provided in 2014, if not more. They really just need Albert Pujols to not decline much.
The Story: Matt Joyce is having more hamstring problems and might start the season on the disabled list.
The Monkey Says: OK, so maybe their offense will be in trouble, especially if C.J. Cron doesn't hit. Losing Joyce would mean a whole lot of Cowgill and Navarro. That kind of worked last year, but it seems unlikely to be as effective this year.
The Story: Three reasons to watch the Angels in 2015.
The Monkey Says: Let's see if Neyer feels that way after he actually watches motley crew of second baseman play.
The Story: Albert Pujols being "back" is one of the top ten storylines of 2015.
The Monkey Says: By "back" they mean he had a good Spring Training. Wait until six weeks into the season when his body starts breaking down and he is no longer facing rusty pitchers and minor leaguers and then let's talk about whether or not he is actually "back."
The Story: Fangraphs previews the AL West.
The Monkey Says: Shockingly, the site founded by Dave Cameron and featuring the work of Jeff Sullivan projects the Mariners to win the division.
The Story: Will Leitch previews the AL West and predicts doom for the Angels.
The Monkey Says: Apparently if you look at the lineup and rotation, which is very similar to the 98-win team from last year, from "30,000 feet up" they look like a 78-win team and not a division winner. OKAY.
The Story: The anatomy of a Mike Trout GIDP.
The Monkey Says: Trout doesn't hit ground into double plays, they ground into him. It is also worth mentioning that while Trout is the best at avoiding GIDPs, Albert Pujols is the second-worst. So, yeah.
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Angels fans love themselves a pitcher who emerges from nowhere to become a real contributor. This year they want Drew Rucinski to be that guy so badly. Can he fulfill that wish? *The MWAH projections are simply my best guess based off my own personal opinion and research (my wOBA calculation is approximate because my […]
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|2014 Actual
What happened in 2014?
Drew Rucinski was out of organized baseball in 2012 before being pulled off the scrapheap by the Angels in 2013. He made five starts for the Inland Empire 66ers that season and was impressive enough to stick in the organization for another year. He got bumped up to Double-A in 2014 and just continued to find success. In fact, Rucinski was pretty excellent for the Travs, posting a 3.15 ERA and boasting a 140-t0-41 strikeout-to-walk ratio.
That impressive performance combined with sheer attrition of the big league pitching staff resulted in Rucinski getting added to the 40-man roster and then called up the big leagues. He would only make three mop-up appearances, but considering where he was two years ago, the fact that those mop-up appearances even happened is an amazing story.
What do the projections think he will do in 2015?
Surprisingly, the projections actually seem to think that Drew Rucinski more than belongs on a MLB roster. Steamer has a very rosy projection for him, but it needs to be taken with a grain of salt as it only has him pitching 15 innings. ZiPS isn't nearly as optimistic, but it isn't doom-and-gloom either. The real issue it sees with him is that he won't miss a lot of bats. CAIRO also see that problem to a slightly lesser degree, but it also sees Rucinski succeeding in spite of it by doing a better job of keeping the ball in the park.
Does the Monkey agree or disagree?
I also think Rucinski can be useful, but I am very much on the fence as to how useful. He doesn't really have a good third pitch to make him a highly effective starter and his slider and velocity don't figure to play up enough to make him a bullpen weapon. He seems perfectly suited to be a inning-eating fifth starter or a long reliever who does an adequate job of soaking up innings and not letting things get out of hand. Admittedly, that is a pretty uninformed projection because we just haven't seen enough of Rucinski in the majors or even the minors to truly understand what exactly the Angels have.
1) Is Rucinski really going to make the Opening Day roster?
It looks like it thanks to the misadventures of Andrew Heaney and Nick Tropeano. The Halos won't be starting the season with a fifth starter, so they are going to have an extra slot in the bullpen. They also lost Cory Rasmus to injury, so they have a major need for a reliever with length. They could go with Jose Alvarez, but they'd still have another roster spot open and no one else who has been good enough to earn that spot other than Rucinski. So, yeah, he's going to make the roster.
None of that is to suggest he didn't earn it though. Rucinski has pitched his butt off this spring and become the annual training camp darling of the fans. The roster attrition merely guaranteed him the roster spot, but he might've earned it anyway thanks to his performance.
2) Will he actually be able to stay on the roster?
Now that's a horse of an entirely different color. Scioscia has a proven history of wanting a long reliever on the staff, so when Richards comes back, there will still be one long reliever in the bullpen. However, if it comes down to Rucinski and Alvarez, Alvarez has a major edge because he's left-handed and the Angels might prefer having two lefties to use in relief. Then again, Scioscia has never been super into exploiting matchups, so one lefty reliever could be more than enough. Of course, it could just come down to which of the bottom two relievers just doesn't pitch well, so Rucinski will have to impress in his audition. It could really pay off for him if he is the one picked to make the one spot start that will be required before Garrett Richards is able to make his return.
After that though, he doesn't figure to survive beyond when Cory Rasmus gets healthy. It is entirely possible too that if Hector Santiago flames out in the rotation that the Halos will turn back to Heaney or Tropeano and give Rucinski's long relief role to Santiago. I guess what I'm saying is that Rucinski is going to be fighting to stay on the active roster almost constantly.
3) Do you actually have a third question about Drew Rucinski?
No, not really. Like I said, he's pretty much an unknown. He's a great story and we all are pulling for him. He's also a great story from the front office perspective in that Dipoto's regime was able to identify a guy like him, bring him into the fold and actually get any utility out of him. Maybe they just got lucky, but if Rucinski provides even 0.1 WAR this year, it is a nice feather in the cap of the scouting department.
The Final Word (and GIF)
It is fun to root for Rucinski and all, but unless you are a scout, a season ticket holder for the Arkansas Travelers or an avid MiLB.tv watcher, you really don't know what Rucinski is. He had a lot of success in a super-pitcher-friendly environment in Double-A last year and has pitched well against scrubs in Spring Training. Rucisnki is a man of mystery to the casual fan, so root for him to succeed, but let's not go overboard campaigning for him to be slotted into the rotation over a Top 30 prospect like Heaney or even a lesser prospect like Tropeano.
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The Machine gets the day off for maintenance. Jose Alvarez gets the start so Iannetta can work with him, a pretty strong indicator that Alvarez will make the roster.
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The Machine gets the day off for maintenance.
Here's how the #Angels line up today as they take on the Athletics in Tempe. #LAASpring pic.twitter.com/uSHuFrRPOo
— Angels (@Angels) March 31, 2015
Jose Alvarez gets the start so Iannetta can work with him, a pretty strong indicator that Alvarez will make the roster.
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The March 31st, 2015 edition of Los Angeles Angels news including Giavotella appears to have won 2B job, quantifying Trout's importance and much more… The Story: Johnny Giavotella appears to have locked up the second base job. The Monkey Says: The Angels used what very much looked like their Opening Day lineup yesterday and it included Giavotella starting […]
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The Story: Johnny Giavotella appears to have locked up the second base job.
The Monkey Says: The Angels used what very much looked like their Opening Day lineup yesterday and it included Giavotella starting at second and batting ninth. Scioscia refused to confirm that this was his de facto starting lineup, but it wasn't a convincing denial.
The Story: Quantifying the importance of Mike Trout is no easy task.
The Monkey Says: Umm, I'm pretty sure that's what WAR does, right?
The Story: Grant Green is adapting to his new role as a utility player.
The Monkey Says: Even he isn't totally sure why he fell out of the second base race so quickly, but he's largely been seeing time in left field of late. My guess is that his second base defense was just so bad that the Angels decided to cut bait and use the time better by having him work out at other positions. As such, Green will likely start the year in Triple-A, though it remains possible that he could win a bench spot.
The Story: Kaleb Cowart has apparently returned to switch-hitting.
The Monkey Says: That is a bit of a surprise, but it really isn't that big of a deal because Cowart can't hit from either side of the plate. This is all just rearranging deckchairs on the Titanic.
The Story: Grantland previews the AL West.
The Monkey Says: And picks the Mariners to win the division, though they do believe the Angels will win the Wild Card.
The Story: Looking at the Kris Bryant situation through the lens of Mike Trout's service time considerations.
The Monkey Says: I'd actually prefer to consider whether or not the Angels would've been better off not calling him up as early as they did in 2012 or maybe not call him up at all in 2011. His performance level was so established by 2013 that it obviously was never going to happen. The difference now with Bryant is that while everyone expects him to be a star, we haven't seen him prove it yet.
The Story: Vladimir Guerrero is polling his fans to see what cap he should wear into Cooperstown?
The Monkey Says: He intimates that the vote was basically split. He's said before that he would prefer to wear an Expos hat, but it also doesn't entirely matter what he prefers. Cooperstown will take that into consideration, but ultimately they are the ones to make the call.
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This sure looks like a sneak preview of the what the Opening Day lineup. OK, not quite, we know now that Tropeano won't be involved, but everything else looks just about right.
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This sure looks like a sneak preview of the what the Opening Day lineup.
Today's #LAASpring lineup at Mariners in Peoria: pic.twitter.com/oO7cZgvmOE
— Angels (@Angels) March 30, 2015
OK, not quite, we know now that Tropeano won't be involved, but everything else looks just about right.
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Johnny Giavotella somehow went from being the detritus of the Royals farm system to the presumptive starter at second base for the Angels. Can the Halos help him finally realize his potential or did Kansas City jettison Giavotella for good reason? *The MWAH projections are simply my best guess based off my own personal opinion and research (my […]
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|2014 Actual
What happened in 2014?
The former top prospect sank about as low as a top prospect not named Brandon Wood can go. The Royals completely gave up trying to make Giavotella work. They gave him semi-legitimate looks in 2011 and 2012, but in 2013 and 2014, Johnny G. barely even got a cup of coffee. In 2014 though, the Royals weren't even pretending like he had a shot at second base anymore as they went out and signed Omar Infante to be the starter for the next several years.
For his part, Giavotella still managed to have success in Triple-A. He posted a 112 wRC+ and actually had more walks than strikeouts, which is pretty impressive no matter what level a player is at. Kansas City wasn't going to be lulled into believing him again though, so they designated him for assignment after the season. At that point, the Angels swooped in and acquire Giavotella for some random guy they had just signed out of an independent league.
What do the projections think he will do in 2015?
Shockingly, the projection systems actually think Johnny Giavotella can be a useful baseball player. Steamer and CAIRO have fairly similar projections that would cast him as a second division starter if he received everyday playing time. ZiPS is a little more pessimistic about his bat, but gives him a positive marks defensively to project him as a more viable regular. That's pretty surprising given that Giavotella has 465 plate appearances worth of being an epic failure in the big leagues.
Does the Monkey agree or disagree?
Nope, sorry. Not buying it. Every once in awhile a top prospect flames out, moves to a different organization and then finally makes good. I can see how folks think Johnny Giavotella could be one of those guys since he never seemed to get a fair shake with the Royals, but with how patient they've been with all their other talent, I have to think that their unwillingness to even give Giavotella a long look is pretty telling.
1) Is Johnny Giavotella really going to be the starter?
It depends on how much stock the Angels put into Spring Training number, which hopefully isn't much. Johnny G. has put up the best offensive number of any of the four second base candidates while Rutledge seems to be hitting his way out of a job and Grant Green has been fielding his way out of a job simultaneously. With Featherston not really being a contender for the job, Giavotella has pretty much become the starter by default.
If he keeps hitting and keeps not screwing up to badly on defense, he could very well win the job for real. It is probably more important though that Josh Rutledge continue to stink up the joint. It does help Giavotella's case though that he is out of options. That might provide Dipoto enough incentive to keep him around to see if he can translate his spring success to the regular season rather than exposing him to waivers.
2) What is his ceiling?
Back when he was still a hot prospect with Kansas City he was, stop me when this starts to sound familiar, a guy who many thought would be a future batting champion! No way!
That was the thought four years ago, but like so many other Royals prospects from that era, Giavotella's bat just didn't play when he got to the majors. He was the first one of that crop that the Royals gave up on though. That probably doesn't bode well for him, but it does leave a glimmer of hope that maybe Johnny could land with another franchise and they can undo whatever curse the Royals development staff has cast on all their failed bats.
The future batting champ thing obviously isn't going to happen, but with his ability to put the bat on the ball and the Angels preaching a more OBP-driven philosophy, perhaps they can scale back his aggressive approach and get him to hit at a league average level for a second baseman.
3) But can he field?
Oh, right, that. Yeah, the glove could be a problem. In fact, his glove was the bigger issue during his early stints with the Royals. They hated his defense and just rode him about it, possibly to his detriment. One might even be able to argue that Giavotella failed to hit in the bigs because he was so focused on his fielding that he wasn't able to concentrate on making the adjustments at the plate that were required for him to succeed.
While Giavotella has undoubtedly been working on his glove, we don't really have a sense of where his defense is right now. Hopefully Dipoto and his scouting department have a better idea. All I know is that he hasn't looked awful during Spring Training, but he hasn't looked good either.
The Final Word (and GIF)
Johnny Giavotella escaped from the minor league prison the Royals had him in. The question is will he make the most of his freedom and become a useful MLB starter or end up lasting only a few weeks on the outside before metaphorically hanging himself from a support beam after carving "Johnny G. was here" into it.
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The March 30th, 2015 edition of Los Angeles Angels news including Angels to use four-man rotation, Lindstrom released and much more… The Story: The Angels are likely to start the season with a four-man rotation. The Monkey Says: Heaney and Tropeano both sort of fell on their face this spring, so the team is going to send them […]
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The Story: The Angels are likely to start the season with a four-man rotation.
The Monkey Says: Heaney and Tropeano both sort of fell on their face this spring, so the team is going to send them both to the minors. They can get into mid-April without a fifth starter, so they will carry eight relievers instead and likely just use Rucinski or Alvarez to make one spot start before Richards slots back into the mix. This is a disappointing development for the Halos as they had been hoping for Heaney to contribute, but it also isn't the worst thing in the world.
The Story: The Angels released Matt Lindstrom.
The Monkey Says: He was a bit shocked by it, but he shouldn't have been. He didn't pitch well in the last week and the Angels prefer roster flexibility. He'll try and catch on elsewhere now. As a result of Lindstrom's release, Vinnie Pestano is now a virtual lock to make the roster.
The Story: Despite another strong start, the Angels won't rush back Garrett Richards.
The Monkey Says: They want to see him throw 100 pitches in a game first and he's only at 70 right now. It might be tempting to just have him come off the DL the day he is eligible, but the Angels are committed to being cautious with him.
The Story: Some Angels players are worried that Josh Hamilton could become a distraction when he returns.
The Monkey Says: This isn't a media-created narrative, these comments come straight from the players themselves. It really makes you wonder what the Angels will do with Hamilton if he gets a very long suspension. If he gets 100+ games, they might very well just choose to write him off. Shorter than that though, they might feel like they need to at least pretend like they are supporting him and let him come back for at least a portion of the season before cutting bait. Whatever the case, it is highly doubtful Josh Hamilton will be on the Angels roster on Opening Day of 2016.
The Story: The Angels removed banners featuring Josh Hamilton and C.J. Wilson from the front of Angel Stadium.
The Monkey Says: Removing Hamilton makes sense, obviously. The Wilson removal is also understandable, but probably is going to make for an awkward meeting the next time C.J. runs into Eric Kay.
The Story: Johnny Giavotella looks to be in good shape to win the second base job.
The Monkey Says: Dipoto likes his minor league numbers but also likes that he has a strong work ethic and can potentially be an energy player on the roster.
The Story: Efren Navarro is swinging a hot bat and pushing for a roster spot.
The Monkey Says: He might well get it. His defense makes him more versatile and the fact that Cron may not be platooned for means that a more traditional bench player fits the roster. If Matt Joyce is still having leg issues when the season starts, that only makes it even more likely that Navarro gets the last roster spot.
The Story: SI.com previews the Angels 2015 season.
The Monkey Says: They've got them down for 92 wins, but second in the AL West because of this crazy notion that the Mariners are somehow a juggernaut now.
The Story: Roberto Baldoquin brings promise to the Angels.
The Monkey Says: This piece is actually more about his backstory, in case you wanted to get to know him a bit better.
The Story: Team value according to media exposure.
The Monkey Says: The Angels rank tenth. They were getting a lot of exposure, but other than Trout, most of the exposure hasn't been real positive of late. Also, this valuation is utter bullpuckey.
The Story: Fangraphs released their positional power rankings for center field.
The Monkey Says: Guess who finished first.
The Story: Fangraphs released their positional power rankings for designated hitter.
The Monkey Says: Guess who finished twelfth.
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Taylor Featherston was plucked from the Rockies via the Rule 5 draft. Now the Angels are hoping he can go from Double-A to a big league reserve role in 2015. What happened in 2014? In 2014, Taylor Featherston was in the Colorado Rockies organization, spending the entire year in Double-A Tulsa. There he continued to display […]
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What happened in 2014?
In 2014, Taylor Featherston was in the Colorado Rockies organization, spending the entire year in Double-A Tulsa. There he continued to display decent pop for a middle infielder, a glove that would play up the middle and continued contact issues. It was a perfectly good season, but it apparently wasn't what the Rockies were hoping to see because they left him off their 40-man roster and exposed him to the Rule 5 draft. You know, because the Rockies are just overloaded with talent right now.
Whatever Colorado didn't like, the Angels obviously did as they cut a deal to acquire his rights in the Rule 5 draft so he could come compete for a bench job with the Halos this spring.
|2014 Actual (AA)
What do the projections think he will do in 2015?
If these projections prove to be true, Featherston is going to be pretty tough to carry on the MLB roster all year. The glove rates just fine, but his bat would be a big problem. His power doesn't project to translate. He doesn't project to walk much. He does project to strike out… A LOT. Even as a reserve infielder, that's just not good enough, especially since he isn't a defensive wizard like John McDonald was. Of course the big caveat in all of this is that the projections are based off of him never playing a single game above Double-A, so the systems aren't working with as fine-tuned a model as they would if he were a seven-year MLB veteran.
Does the Monkey agree or disagree?
If there is one projection I might want to do over again, it would be Featherston's. While I am slightly more bullish on Featherston than the other projection systems, after seeing Featherston in the spring, I actually think he is far more capable of holding his own in the majors than I first thought. There is obviously plenty of reason to doubt him as he is coming straight from Double-A and never actually dominated at any level. But he's gotten a lot of playing time in Spring Training and has more than held his own.
1) Is Featherston going to make the roster?
It looks pretty good for him right now, even Jerry Dipoto has made comment recently strongly suggesting that Featherston will make the roster. Taylor has flashed a little bit with his bat this spring, but what has really earned him the gig is that his glovework has been impressive. He's no Gold Glover, but he's proven to be more than adequate at second, third and short. For a team that needs a utility infielder that can actually field and someone with a little speed off the bench, Featherston seems like a perfect fit.
It also doesn't hurt that the Angels would likely lose him if they tried to pass him through waivers because he's a Rule 5 pick. Dipoto values these cheap young assets too much to risk just giving one away.
2) Could Featherston win the starting second base job?
Out of training camp, no. Giavotella, Rutledge and even Green still seem to have an edge on Featherston in that race. Taylor Featherston is the best defender of the bunch and none of the three are hitting all that much better than Featherston (if hitting better at all, Mr. Rutledge). It just seems that Scioscia would prefer to go with someone who actually has played a game above Double-A. They probably also want to make sure that they explore all their options before they put all their eggs in Featherston's basket.
Featherston could potentially take over at second if the other three options all fall flat, but he really is better suited for a reserve role at this point of his career. More likely though is that Featherston continues to operate as a utilityman and the Halos decide to stop screwing around and make a trade for an established veteran to play second.
3) Why didn't the Angels acquire a more established veteran?
Part of me wonders if Dipoto got a bit too caught up in his effort to infuse the roster with youth and athleticism. Taylor Featherston helps to serve that end, but I'm not sold that having him as a bench player is the best thing for the 2015 Angels' World Series bid. The Halos have a good roster, but the moves around the edges can make or break them. If the AL West is as tight as many expect, one or two wins could be the difference between the division title or maybe not making the playoffs at all.
If Featherston works out, great. But if he doesn't the Angels lack anything in the system that resembles a defensively competent utility infielder. They could've just spend another two or three million dollars to go out and secure the services of an established veteran back-up. Those players can be volatile assets themselves, but they aren't nearly as volatile as a rookie that is going to skip Triple-A.
The Final Word (and GIF)
The thing I am looking forward to most with Featherston isn't his play, it is all the various misspellings that are sure to come from his name. It is "Taylor Featherston." Not Tyler Featherstone. Not Tayler Fatherson. Not Tywin Fetherstrom. Not Trevor Farthingstein.
The post 2015 Player Projection: Taylor Featherston appeared first on Monkey with a Halo.]]>


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She cleans up well! Girl who flipped off Miami judge shows up in court looking prim and earns APPLAUSE for change in attitude
Metamorphosis: Penelope Soto, 18, showed in a Miami courtroom for her arraignment looking prim and proper, and spoke to the judge politely less than a month after her infamous court appearance
A Florida teenager who became famous by flipping off a judge last month received a round of applause in court for cleaning up her act.
Appearing before a different judge for her arraignment on a drug charge in a Miami courtroom Monday, a prim Penelope Soto received high praise for her attitude adjustment.
Soto's February 4 court appearance went viral when a video captured the 18-year-old making a lewd gesture to Miami-Dade Circuit Judge Jorge Rodriguez-Chomat after he set her bond in a drug possession case.
As a result, the disrespectful teen was held in contempt of court and sentenced to 30 days in prison, WSVN reported.
she ended up spending only five days behind bars after issuing an
emotional apology to the judge, saying that her behavior was irrational
and fueled by Xanax and alcohol.
Monday, a far more demure young woman appeared in court, looking smart
in a dark blouse with her long black locks fastened with a modest hair
clip. When addressed by the judge, the 18-year-old smiled and answered
Scroll down to watch videos
The judge seemed thoroughly impressed with her transformation after learning that Soto had passed all of her drug tests and is regularly attending narcotics anonymous meetings.
About-face: Soto, left, earned a round of applause from the judge, right, after he learned that she had passed all of her drug tests and was attending her support group meetings
Progress report: Soto pleaded no guilty to a drug possession charge, which will be dismissed if she shows the judge that she can stay drug-free and make good choices
If Soto continues on that path, the judge said the drug charge against her will be dismissed.
Soto currently works part-time and said in court that she plans to return to school, which elicited another round of applause from the judge.
'I wish you well in the program and congratulations,' he said.
During the hearing, Soto's attorney entered a written not guilty plea on a drug possession charge. She is due back in court March 27.
The volatile 18-year-old made national headlines last month after a recording of her contentious courtroom confrontation with Judge Rodriguez-Chomat was posted on the site LiveLeak.
The exchange began when Soto was asked about her financial assets
Soto had earlier appeared in court after being arrested for drug possession. After her bond was set she made the offensive gesture
Shock: Soto pulled on her hair and locked shocked as the judge upped her punishment as a result of her behavior
Standing up in court wearing an
orange jumpsuit told him she earned $200 a week and said her assets
included her jewellery and a car.
When he asked her how much her jewellery was worth, she laughed, and said 'a lot.'
Realizing her laughter did not reflect the gravity of the situation Judge Rodriguez-Chomat told her: 'It's not a joke, you know, we're not in a club now,'
'We are not in a club, be serious about it.'
Still looking amused and stroking her hair Soto answered 'I'm serious about it, you just made me laugh.'
'You just made me laugh, I apologize. It's worth a lot of money,' she continued.
Judge Rodriguez-Chomat asked Soto if she had taken any drugs in the past 24 hours, which she denied.
Throughout the exchange Soto's facial
expressions varied from boredom to amusement and she was constantly
moving and flicking her hair.
Throughout the exchange Soto's facial
expressions varied from boredom to amusement and she was constantly
moving and flicking her hair
After a second's hesitation, Judge Rodriguez-Chomat called Soto back and asked for the papers to be handed back to him.
After scribbling on them, he then reset her bond at $10,000, to which a shocked Soto replied: 'Are you serious?'
As she turned to walk away again Soto gave the finger to Judge Rodriguez-Chomat and said: F*** you.'
Again looking amused Judge Rodriguez-Chomat called Soto back again and gave her a 30-day jail sentence for contempt of court.
Penelope Soto, 18, who made national headlines for flipping off a judge was released from jail Friday after she tearfully apologized for her actions
Soto was set free five days later after she faced Judge Rodriguez-Chomat, saying in a tearful statement that she was under the influence of Xanax and alcohol when she made the offensive gesture.
'I apologize not only to the court and you, but to my family,' Soto told the judge with tears in her eyes, WSVN.com reported.
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> A home birth story....
Time for a birth story and a baby story and an autism story....
Well, I got up at 3:00am Friday morning Nov 2 to watch the C-span special on the NVIC... Yes, I did watch most of it. Untill 5:20am. Then I went and took a shower. After a 10 minute shower - labor began in earnest! Now, I had not had a contraction in over 10 hours. But, when it started ... a minute later I had another contraction. I called 911 during the third contraction which directly followed the second. I yelled at the stupid dispatcher asking me stupid questions when we DO have the enhansed 911 system! Anyway, poor Lucy.
I got of the phone - phoned a freind during #4. Told her to get her fuzzy butt off that mountain I was having this baby now.
I went to kitchen got the bulb seringe, and a peice of shoe lace and the bandage scizzors. I walked down the hall grabbed a couple of towells and walked back to the living room during another contraction. Spread a sleeping bag out on the floor. I layed down as Daniel came out of his room. I told him to get his sister (age 14) up, and he just layed down beside me and asked if I was sick. I told him No, I was having a baby. and the baby was coming down the canal at this point. I reached my hand down and felt the baby crown and said "God, I hope that's a head." As my daughter came out of her room.... I got her to open the window in the living room. And the baby slid gently out!!!
Daniel watched the whole thing, so did Melissa. I picked him up rapped him in a towell. Suctioned his nose a little and he started to cry!!! I continued rubbing his back and my friend came in followed by the rescue squad.
Pushing the placenta out hurt! They tied and cut the coard. I went to the closest hospital (not the one I was susposed to go to...) I just thought I would go in be checked out and leave. No sence In driving 45 miles when the other one was closer. Well, on the way over, I let my fellow nurse. He was doing great.
Luckily, I did go to the hospital. I almost didn't. Becuase of him being over due (my third one over due and one of them much later)... well anyway, he had a bowell movement inside me and during the delivery aspirated some of that tarry stuff into his lungs.
They had to transport him to the NIC unit at the other hospital. One of the other ones in Charlottesville, but not the one I was to go to.
He was/is a sick little boy. This stuff causes collapsing of the lungs and allowws very little oxygen exchange to happen in the lungs.
I got out of the hospital at 4:00pm. And was at the NICU by 7:00. They had my babe attached to all kinds of equipment to help him breath, and drugs.
I couldn't even hold him. I couldn't nurse him. He knew my voice and everytime he hears me he fights all of his equipment.
I went home after 10 so, he could rest. I was still on an adrenoline high! I found it very hard to sleep and called the hospital several times. They called me and told me that they had put him on a ventilator and drugged my babe even more.
I was in saturday. most of the afternoon just sitting there. watching my babe. And sunday, he was doing some better. Resting better. But still got agitaed when he hurd me talk, and kept fighting the equipment and trying to stay awake. I had to leave.
Breast pumping has been interesting. I'm actually getting some. I need my babe with me. I need to hold him.
My four year daughter Michelle named him Thomas Edison... (leave it to a babe) and I let Thomas stick, still havent decided on a middle name yet.
When I went in this morning... he was off one of his machines!!! They have dropped his oxygen amount from 90% to 54 %.... He's getting better. They even had him cleaner. He TOLERATED it this morning!! Without a drop in blood/oxygen levels!!! WONDERFUL news.
But, he still fights the stuff when he hears me. I can't let him do that. It is so hard for me to leave, but I know rest is the best thing for him. All I have to do is question one of the nurses. But, he was alot calmer today when I was in. And I kind of kradled him in my hands for a while.
He is doing so much better!!!!
He weighed 7 pounds 2 ounces at birth and now weighs 7.9 and is 19 inches. All other organs healthy and functionin well without any assistance. He is under heat lamps because with all of the equipment they wont clothe him. Nice healthy little guy. Has blond hair - almost white!!!
Now, I did have my blood work checked. I do not have hep B, and my measles titre is immune. It is ALL OVER his charts NOT to give this babe HEP B. A few have asked. I HAVE PLAINY STATED NO NO NO!!!!
Had Daniels Tri-annual today! He no LONGER meats the diagnostic criteria on the CARS scale to be classified at having AUTISM@!!!!!! He is now only "developmentally delayed".... YEAH!!! His iep team has stated and has it on their records that he is receiving "medical intervention" (ie: chelation) and that he has progressed so much in the last year that they are all trully amazed! They have NEVER seen a child improve so dramatically in such a short period of time.
He still qualifies for ALL services at the current levels. But will be receiving more speach at their request. I said "Go for it".
Nov 22 news. My baby is hoome... doing wonderful and adored by us all....
Wow what a great story!
Hi Stacie,
I had been thinking of you while the boards were down.
Congratulations on the new babe! I'm glad to hear he's doing so well.
And I'm glad your older son is doing so much better.
Hugs to you sweetie.
wow that is an amazing story! thanks for sharing.
It makes me think of my own birth story. I was wanting to have a home birth but after 3 days labor I ended up in the hospitol with an iv of pitocin to get my contractions strong enough to open. And since my baby was 3 1/2 weeks overdue she also had meconium but the doctors suctioned her lungs right away. I thought the doctors were just being paranoid when they suctioned her out and i was actually kindof mad because they took her away from me but I guess things like that do happen. it makes me think there was a reason for me to go to the hospitol and that i did not labor in vain!
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|300 persons
Historic Staircase
The historical staircase is the perfect location for cocktail receptions or a coffee break during your conference.
The baroque double barrelled stair creation, designed and constructed by the architect Daniel Pöppelmann, can be illuminated with candle light in a festive mood. it is a unique venue for festive receptions or extraordinary coffee breaks.
For enquiries, please contact our groups & event team at T +49 351 4912 614
or via email to firstname.lastname@example.com.


text:
Intrawest points packages
dwj283July 11, 2005
Can anyone, who has a experience with the Intrawest hospitality association, utilizing points and taking vacations to the Canadian and U.S. Intrawest destinations and/or with their partner groups, RCI etc., comment on their level of satisfaction. Are the facilities typically available in both high season and otherwise, and are the acomodations as 5 star as promoted? Is there any concern regarding future vacation availabilities, with having prepaid so far in advance?
Any comments are appreciated.


text:
This video examines what will happen to crops as Earth's temperature rises and soils dry out because of changing climate. Students learn that a loss of soil moisture causes stress to plants, leading to crop withering. Since humans and animals depend directly or indirectly on plants for food, many societal problems can be expected to arise due to the impact of climate warming on crops and the societies that depend on them.
In this video from the Polaris Project Website, American and Siberian university students participating in the project describe their research on permafrost.
This video examines the thawing of permafrost due to changes in climate and shows examples of the impacts that warming temperatures have on permafrost in the Arctic, including the release of the greenhouse gas methane. Dramatic results are shown, including sink holes forming on the landscape and beneath buildings, roads, and other infrastructure, causing some communities to relocate.
In this activity, students learn how carbon cycles through the Earth system by playing an online game.
In this activity, students will learn the difference between sea ice and glaciers in relation to sea level rise. They will create and explore topographic maps as a means of studying sea level rise and how it will affect Alaska's coastline.
In this activity about climate change on the Antarctic Peninsula, learners investigate environmental changes in the living and nonliving resources of Antarctic peninsula and the impact of these changes on AdÃlie penguin communities. The activity stresses the importance of evidence in the formulation of scientific explanations.
This video is one of a series produced by the Switch Energy project. It highlights the use of biofuels as a renewable source of energy.
This video from Earth: The Operators' Manual describes how fossil fuels are made, and it compares how long it takes to create coal, oil and natural gas (millions of years), with how fast we're using them (hundreds of years). Narrated by Dr. Richard Alley.
Bell Telephone Science Hour produced this video in 1958, explaining how the production of CO2 from factories and automobiles is causing the atmosphere to warm, melting the polar ice caps, and causing the sea level to rise.
Hands-on laboratory activity that allows students to investigate the effects of distance and angle on the input of solar radiation at Earth's surface, the role played by albedo, the heat capacity of land and water, and how these cause the seasons. Students predict radiative heating based on simple geometry and experiment to test their hypotheses.


text:
Interactive Seating Charts
Unfortunately, we do not currently have
a seating chart for Rocketown.
Rocketown601 4th Avenue South
Nashville, TN 37203
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We scour the web's major ticket sites and aggregate inventory into one place. Our Deal Score helps you identify the best ticket deals available for each event.Learn more about SeatGeek


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Arizona Cardinals
John Clayton: You just don't get excited about this year's rookie QBs
For all we know, the Arizona Cardinals went into the NFL Scouting Combine interested in taking one of the quarterbacks with their first round pick.
But if that was indeed the case, they may be leaving with a different idea. Because, according to ESPN NFL insider John Clayton, no one really helped themselves over the weekend.
"I thought this was going to be one where one or two or three quarterbacks who have been working out for five, six weeks, testing everything and trying to get their games better, I thought somebody was going to light it up and nobody lit it up," he told Arizona Sports 620's Doug and Wolf Monday. "But that doesn't mean they're not going to go in the first round; it just means they're going to go in a lower part of the first round."
West Virginia's Geno Smith, USC's Matt Barkley, Arkansas' Tyler Wilson, Florida State's EJ Manuel, North Carolina State's Mike Glennon, Syracuse's Ryan Nassib and Tennessee's Tyler Bray are all intriguing talents, as are Kansas State's Collin Klein and Arizona's Matt Scott.
The Cardinals, as we know, are picking seventh, which may be a bit high for a passer in this draft.
And all it takes is for one team to fall in love with a player and take him earlier than most think he should go for all the dominoes to start to fall.
Seemingly every year a team or two "reaches" for a signal caller earlier than most think they should, and there's nothing saying new coach Bruce Arians and his staff won't I.D. a player and make sure they get him.
"I still think it's going to be two or three," Clayton said of quarterbacks taken in the first round. "But you just don't get excited about it because this group isn't as good as the group in the last two years."
Most Popular
Cardinals Audio
- Charles Robinson, Yahoo! Sports NFL reporter - Tuesday March 24Charles Robinson believes that Adrian Peterson's relationship with the Vikings will only get worse.
- Sal Paolantonio- ESPN NFL analyst - Tuesday March 24Bruce Arians told Sal Paolantonio that there are "no serious discussions" about trading for Adrian
- Herm Edwards, ESPN NFL insider - Tuesday March 24What are the chances Adrian Peterson plays for the AZ Cardinals this season?
- Dave Pasch, NBA and college basketball analyst - Monday March 23Dave Pasch talks about all of the incredible talent in this year's NCAA tournament.
- Kurt Warner, NFL Network analyst - Thursday March 19Does Kurt Warner think Adrian Peterson will play for the AZ Cardinals this season?


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Coast Guard Cutter Diligence
Coast Guard looks at options to fix buckling Wilmington bulkheadSubmitted by Holden Kurwicki on Tue, 05/28/2013 - 4:46pm.READ MORE:
Wilmington has long been designated as a Coast Guard City, but the Coast Guard says some major work needs to be done along the section of the riverfront the Cutter Diligence calls home. Full story...»
Repairs done, Diligence heads back out on patrolSubmitted by Allyson Lorick on Mon, 05/13/2013 - 2:20pm.READ MORE:
Full story...»
Sequester could have big impact on Coast Guard, DiligenceSubmitted by Jayne Dees on Mon, 02/25/2013 - 5:53pm.READ MORE:
We're just days away from major federal spending cuts going into effect if the White House and Congress cannot reach a compromise. The sequester is a series of automatic cuts that will affect most government agencies, as well as thousands of people in our area, including the crew of the Coast Guard Cutter Diligence. Full story...»
DILI Golf Tournament helps area familiesSubmitted by Ashley Jacobs on Mon, 12/03/2012 - 8:34am.READ MORE:
Coast Guard Cutter Diligence joins forces with the Wilmington Navy League for the December 7th tournament at Echo Farms Country Club. Full story...»
Diligence returns from BahamasSubmitted by Katelyn Supa on Fri, 11/23/2012 - 12:53am.READ MORE:
The U.S. Coast Guard Cutter Diligence is coming home following a month long patrol in the Bahamas, just in time for Thanksgiving dinner. Full story...»
Diligence heads out to seaSubmitted by WWAY on Thu, 07/26/2012 - 4:35pm.READ MORE: »
Diligence returns home with a surpriseSubmitted by Asha Dave on Sat, 05/26/2012 - 4:23pm.READ MORE:
Full story...»
FIRST ON 3 UPDATE: Fire on board delays Diligence departureSubmitted by Ashley Jacobs on Thu, 03/29/2012 - 11:22am.READ MORE:
Full story...»
Diligence pulls out of the Port CitySubmitted by Asha Dave on Sat, 12/10/2011 - 2:59pm.READ MORE:
Full story...»
Diligence hardly listless as it takes break for maintenanceSubmitted by Marissa Jasek on Wed, 11/02/2011 - 1:30pm.READ MORE:
Full story...»


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RocknRolla UK Premiere Gallery
Guy Ritchie attended the UK premiere of his new film RocknRolla on Monday, September 1, 2008, in London's Leicester Square. The red carpet bash was also attended by Ritchie's pop queen wife, Madonna, as well as many of the film's stars, including Gerard Butler, Thandie Newton, Toby Kebbell, Tom Wilkinson and Mark Strong. Check out some photos from the event…
Roll your mouse over the left and right-hand sides of the image and then click to view more pictures.
1 of 11
Watch the trailer for RocknRolla or read our review of the soundtrack or view movie photos
Recent Galleries:
- The Water Diviner (Russell Crowe) Photo Gallery
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- Fast & Furious 7 First-look Photo Gallery
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- Focus - Margot Robbie Photo Gallery
- Focus (Will Smith/Margot Robbie) Photo Gallery
- The Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel Photo Gallery
- Spectre: Rome Photo Call (Daniel Craig and Monica Bellucci)


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Good quality, looks great in my kitchen, matches the kitchen cabinets.
very attractive looks great on counter well made was very pleased small but exactly what I wanted
These canisters are not only really nice looking great quality bamboo but they are air tight and the sizes are great! They're not too big. The small one doesn't hold much but it's great for tea, sugar, etc..
Very nice set, but they are small. The large one would not hold a lot of stuff.
I am really impressed! Deep, rich color and very sturdy.
Usually leaves our warehouse in 1 business day. *
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Math Madness with GeoThermal vs Hybrid - sanity check please.
I've read through many of the other posts on GeoThermal and have learned a lot, but still can't figure out the best way for me to go.
So, I'm going to go through what I've done in hopes that you all can shed some more light on the topic (Thanks in advance!)
I live in Indiana (near Indianapolis) in what I consider a fairly cookie cutter subdivision. My home is 2400 square feet above ground and a 1450 square foot basement. It was built in 1997 and still has the original and still functioning 3 ton Trane AC (10 SEER) and Trane XE90 Furnace (Natural Gas).
My electric bills: (I don't have the usage handy.. but for the last two months I used 1871 with a $153 bill and 2039 with $164 bill.. hoping that'll help)
Date Base Elect $137.00
1/19/2010 $186.33 $14.33
2/18/2010 $151.84 $14.84
3/18/2010 $137.54 $0.54
4/17/2010 $162.90 $25.90
5/19/2010 $155.49 $18.49
6/17/2010 $155.15 $18.15
7/20/2010 $222.16 $85.16
8/19/2010 $210.19 $73.19
9/17/2010 $223.05 $86.05
10/19/2010 $190.83 $53.83
11/17/2010 $144.12 $7.12
12/17/2010 $149.19 $12.19
$2,088.79 $409.79
What the above is trying to do is to calculate is the amount of my current AC and Heating. So, I took my lowest electric bill (March, thus no AC) and subtracted that from all the months to get a general estimate (but realize that it is still higher than actual AC costs, plus January I took out another $35 for Christmas lights). For gas, I basically reversed the process so I took out about $16/month for gas water heating (and figured $5 for gas cooking) and ended up with $657.
My electric (IPLPower) rate is
My gas rate (Vectren) is
My gas bill looks like this.
BillDate BillingDays GasUsed(Therms) GasCostCharge Dist.&ServiceCharges OtherCharges TotalCurrentCharges Avg.Therms /day AvgDailyTemp. HeatingDegreeDays CoolingDegreeDays
2/2/2011 33 211.3 $115.14 $59.25 $12.19 $186.58 6.4 25 1302 0
1/4/2011 30 208.4 $115.27 $52.37 $11.73 $179.37 6.95 24 1209 0
12/2/2010 32 76.2 $40.43 $32.04 $5.07 $77.54 2.38 45 639 0
11/2/2010 29 13.1 $6.96 $15.40 $1.56 $23.92 0.45 59 177 26
10/4/2010 30 10.1 $5.85 $14.20 $1.39 $21.44 0.34 71 19 207
9/2/2010 32 11.1 $6.78 $14.52 $1.48 $22.78 0.35 79 0 463
8/3/2010 30 9 $5.73 $13.93 $1.37 $21.03 0.3 78 0 414
7/2/2010 33 12.1 $6.96 $14.80 $1.51 $23.27 0.37 76 0 385
6/2/2010 28 15.1 $7.87 $15.70 $1.66 $25.23 0.54 64 94 93
5/4/2010 31 24.2 $12.72 $20.68 $2.34 $35.74 0.78 59 210 31
4/2/2010 31 87.6 $49.80 $36.49 $6.03 $92.32 2.83 44 632 0
3/2/2010 30 210 $120.97 $55.98 $12.38 $189.33 7 24 1202 0
Totals 369 888.2 494.48 345.36 58.71 898.55 28.69 648 5484 1619
I think the average/therm cost is $1.51 over the course of the year, but this is where my math is getting fuzzy.
The GeoThermal quote I have is $18,200 (which includes the $900 holding tank option, but am thinking that I would not see the benefit of using it over the life of the system.. or it would be close). After tax rebates, the cost is $12,470. A similar hybrid solution with a 16 SEER AC and 95% efficient furnace ranged last year from around $6000 to $8500.
I used a fairly sophisticate spreadsheet I found on the web (http://www.aphgeothermal.com/rspvsgeo.xls - though I think it may be a bit off because it asks for the price of a new conventional system but does not take into account the benefit of that system.. so I'm trying to add that into my calculations) and ended up with these types of numbers:
Assuming I get a 25% benefit difference between a hybrid and the GeoThermal (but no idea if the 25% is even close)
A new geothermal heating & cooling system will cost $12,740
How much will conventional heating and/or air conditioning system cost? $6,500
This will provide you $6,240 (minus the cost of energy the first year)
What annual average interest rate can you expect to earn on your investments? 4.00%
The total energy cost for your home with the existing system, or alternative is $1,100
This will drop your total energy bills to $825
This will provide you with investment capital the first year of $275
At what rate do you think the cost of energy is going to increase annually? 4.00%
Approximately what percentage are you taxed on your investments? 28.00%
Electric heat & investment
Your investment has grown to $13,147
Energy has cost you ($32,756)
Your investment has earned ($19,609) (If the earnings are tax sheltered)
Taxes on interest earned ($1,934)
Net investment earnings after taxes ($21,543)
Geothermal & Invest the Difference
Your investments have grown to $11,588
Energy has cost you ($24,567)
Geothermal system has earned you ($12,979) (The savings on energy for your home are not taxable)
Thus, there is a "Positive" difference of $8,564
If the GeoThermal is 40% better than the Hybrid then the difference charts out to be: $20,430
If the GeoThermal is 50% better than the Hybrid then the difference charts out to be: $28,340
That's all my math and such.
The final tidbit I have is that there is a company here in Indy that has a patent on a "vertizontal" drilling system that takes out a 10x10 hole and then drills at an angle (and I'd get about 600 feet of loop through 4 150 feet holes drilled from the back of my 130x60 foot property to the front... probably about 40 feet below my house at some point). The option for vertizontal drilling is currently offered at the horizontal rate which "expires" at the end of March (a $3,400 difference... shananagans?).
So, again, thanks for any info you can provide on this.
Forgot to mention that I plan on being in the house as long as I can (50 more years God willing). And I have a family my wife and 2 daughters 12 and 10, and an 8 year old boy (as this info may help figure out if getting the $900 holding tank is worth it.. how much water will my girls end up using..lol)
Do you realize by your model, you use a/c in Feb?
It looks like your a/c is more like $200
So your HVAC costs are $850 a year. With a new hybrid system, you are probably at $600 a year. Geo probably $450.
Somehow it looks like you are comparing your seer 10/90% situation to geo when the alternative is 16/95%.
The other thing is that somehow spending $6000 to save $275 a year is a huge money making idea when it really isn't. Factor in greater than background energy inflation helps but it doesn't look like you did that. Also 4% would be an abysmal long term return.
Thanks for the reply David.
Yes, by my model, I'm adding AC into my February bill... which I know is incorrect, but at least I had a starting point (was also think that we ran our Christmas lights into January which is why I used the March bill).
What I'm struggling with, as you mentioned is how to do a good comparison with what I have today and the two other alternatives. I'd like to figure out how to do the Geo to the Hybrid option. Thus, the calculations you provided would show Hybrid saving me $250/year and Geo $450.
Not sure what you mean by background inflation. I used 4%/year as my energy inflation amount.. so is that what you're meaning?
Finally, I would agree 4% is bad, and used it in the above example, but even using 9.5% return doesn't change the difference by too much unless I can show a greater difference in price. Changing to 9.5% roi, current system utility cost for the Hybrid at $600, and Geo at $450, then the Hybrid solution comes out $5,200 on the positive side.
Thanks again.. glad to be getting some good insight on my situation.
I didn't see 4% as an energy inflation #.
Background inflation I take as overall inflation - like 2% lately. Using energy inflation at 10% often helps justify things like geothermal. I think it is safe to assume that energy costs will climb faster than background inflation. This matters some because your ROI is affected by inflation - particularly in the bond market.
I bet even at 7% roi, the hybrid solution comes out ahead.
Who knows what reality will be? I personally would go with 7% roi and 7% energy inflation. I like that because then I can ignore both (to some degree). There is the tax issue which hurts your ROI. For most people, the real issue is the 5% mortgage rate. Then if that is tax deductible, then justifying spending more on energy efficiency is pretty easy.
You stated:
"The final tidbit I have is that there is a company here in Indy that has a patent on a "vertizontal" drilling system that takes out a 10x10 hole and then drills at an angle (and I'd get about 600 feet of loop through 4 150 feet holes drilled from the back of my 130x60 foot property to the front... probably about 40 feet below my house at some point). The option for vertizontal drilling is currently offered at the horizontal rate which "expires" at the end of March (a $3,400 difference... shananagans?). "
Ask the company if the patent has been issued. If it has ask for the patent number. I am skeptical a method of drilling can be patented.
I don't understand why the price needs to increase by $3400 next week. This is a sales pressure tactic.
I was having a hard time following your calculations. The questions to be answered is how long will it take to recover the additional investment in the geothermal system vs. the hybrid system. How confident are you in the additional savings the geothermal system will provide? I assume the installer does not guarantee any savings.
How long does the underground last until it has to be replaced?
Hi Mike,
Thanks for the reply.
They have applied for a patent for their vertizontal drilling technique. They may or may not be able to get it patented, but, to me, it's the most palatable way as it requires less heavy equipment and won't tear up my yard as much as horizontal would.
A $3,400 discount is their "March" price, but it won't push me into making a decision.. it is just a sales tactic.
Regarding savings.. that's where I'm really stuck. From David's earlier reply, my HVAC bills are in the probably in the range of $850 to $1000. GeoThermal's typical savings vary from 30% to 60% from what I've read. As I have inexpensive natural gas and electrical costs currently, then I'm guessing it'll be closer to the 30 to 40% range. What I don't know is how much I'd save with a Hybrid. I've tried using some of the on-line calculators, but just can't seem to come out with a good number. Essentially, if I go from a 3 ton 10 SEER to a 3 ton 16 SEER, how much should I expect the AC portion of my electric bill to drop? One contractor said it was 50% and another laughed and said, no, it's closer to 20%.
Underground loop has a 50 year warranty. The Water Furnace being proposed is a NDV038A111, plus electric heat packs, and a deSuperheater (though I'm not sure the ROI is there for the $900 holding tank).
I totally agree Mike. That's why I'm having such a hard time with Geo being the best.
However, with these numbers..(and if you can comment on the % benefits, that would be great)
Cost/ AC Heating AC Heat
year Benefit Benefit Cost Cost
current $840 0 0 $374 $466.87
hybrid $667 30% 5% $224 $443
geo $420 50% 50% $187 $233
A Geo solution yields about a $4000 benefit over 20 years.
Any idea what the cost of installing a Geo unit will be compared to a hybrid in 20 years :)?
David, as a follow up to your mortgage comment..
My mortgage rate is actually a variable rate home equity loan currently at prime minus 1% (2.25 percent). I only have a couple of years left and realize that I'm running a somewhat risky gambit doing it this way, but it has paid off well over the last two years (going from a 6% loan to 2.25%). I would expect that I'll finance most of this solution by increasing my home equity loan and then paying that amount off in 2 to 3 years hopefully.
Its true, natural gas is pretty inexpensive right now but will it always be? Thats a great quoted price for the geo-system. It would be great if you could get the geo and keep the natural gas for the extra cold weather.
What is your delivered cost per KW for electricity?
Please note that the $12,740 is after the 30% gov't rebate, but also includes the $900 holding tank that I don't think I'll get.
Rates are as follows:
Customer Charge
For bills of 0-325 KWH per month $ 6.70 per month
For bills over 325 KWH per month $11.00 per month
Energy Charge
Any part of the first 500 KWH per month 6.70 cents net per KWH
Over 500 KWH per month 4.40 cents net per KWH
With electric heating and/or water heating
over 1000 KWH per month 3.18 cents net per KWH
So, if I switch to GeoThermal, then it would seem that my electricity rate will drop from 4.40 cents to 3.18 cents (which would be huge as I can't seem to get my family to turn off lights and I have too many computers running in the basement..lol). Does that seem correct?
Your electricity rates are low. Can I run an extension cord to your house? :) I am paying 18.5 cents per KWH.
My only advice is to talk people who have had a geothermal system installed in their house and get their first hand opinions before making a final decision.
Your electricity rates are low. Can I run an extension cord to your house? :) I am paying 18.5 cents per KWH.
My only advice is to talk people who have had a geothermal system installed in their house and get their first hand opinions before making a final decision.
For a minor fee, sure you can run your extension cord..lol.
I'm suppose to get some references tomorrow from one of the local contractors and I'll give them a buzz. Supposedly there's a guy in my neighborhood that got one recently, but I've yet to hear from him.
Also, I have an assumption that if I go with either Hybrid or Geo, then I should get the 3.18 cents rate for being "all electric". Which leads me to the question, is that for all my electrical usage or is it only for my HVAC portion?
As always, this place always provides some great insights! Thanks to everyone that has responded to my questions.
I hope you put that 3.18 cents rate into your model. It just makes geo that much harder to pay for itself. Your $600 hybrid bill just went to $450 and geo went to $340. A couple of LED or CFL lights pay off decades earlier. Or low energy use TVs or computers.
I have not put in the 3.18 cents as of yet as I was not 100% certain if it applied to a Hybrid solution, which it sounds like it would. Thus, a Hybrid and Geo will both theoretically cut out around $600 from my yearly bill of $2000. So, it really sounds like a GeoThermal is not going to be my best option.
Perhaps I'm stressing too much over what could be a swing of roughly $4,000 one way or the other over the course of 20 years.
So, now I need to figure out how long to keep my current system..lol. I missed out on last year's $1,500 rebate and now am looking at $500.. but can be saving $600 for being all electric. Thus, the longer I keep my current system, the less I'll be saving overall.
Was just reading some other posts and it would seem I may need to figure in the costs of air-duct improvement to take full effect of a 16 SEER Hybrid or only go to a 13 SEER which would work with my current duct work. Looks like I may need a manual J calc done.
Any idea if a GeoThermal has any sort of duct limitation like a Hybrid 16 SEER option "MAY" have?
I had another guy give me a quote of $13,000 to put in a Carrier (ClimateMaster 31?) Geo Thermal unit with a "Slinky" installation of the loop (2000 feet of loop over 120 feet of "trench" 7 feet down). The guy is an independent contractor, fully licensed, bonded and insured and has 10 ratings on Angie's list (all A's, some big jobs, some small jobs). He speaks highly of the company that quoted me the $18,200 install and said he's a great friend of the owner (small circle of HVAC buddies??)
He said a "drilled" loop would be $17,000 as he has to contract out the drilling and well, it's simply expensive.
My question now is, "What are the general thoughts around a Slinky install?".
Regarding Earthlink System... yes, from the one pic I found Googling it, it seems to be basically the same concept.
Regarding duct work.. to clarify, what I've read on other forums is that if something bigger than a 13 SEER is installed, there could be a need to redo/improve ductwork to handle the greater force of air (but I really don't have any real details on this.. only going by what I've read.. and could be completely off??)
"What are the general thoughts around a Slinky install?"
The bottom line is despite personal preferences for one method over any other; any properly designed & installed closed ground loop is basically as good as any other - in terms of performance (heat extraction & diffusion). There may be differences in head resulting in greater or lesser power required to pump the fluid. This should be largely mitigated by proper design & installation practices.
In plain English - there is NOTHING wrong with a properly designed & installed slinky!
The duct work has little relationship to the SEER rating. If the duct is undersized for a 16 SEER unit, it is equally undersized for a 13 SEER unit. You might need to modify the duct connection to a bigger coil, but this is not a significant amount of money compared to everything else.
Ah ok... so then for my calculations, I'll need to simply make sure the 13 or 16 SEER "fits" my duct connection and then need to figure out if going from a 13 to a 16 is worth it.
SR.. thx for the slinky info. I got another email from the contractor that said the trench would be about 7 feet deep and 1 foot wide, thus, the average depth of the coil would be about 5 feet. For some reason I thought the minimum ground depth, here in the middle of Indiana, would be more than 5 feet.. like 8 or so.. but I'm probably wrong.
"The trench would be about 7 feet deep and 1 foot wide, thus, the average depth of the coil would be about 5 feet."
This tells me that they would install a vertical Slinky, probably with a backhoe. A chain trencher, 'Witch Ditch' would probably be narrower than 1 foot wide and would be a faster install, unless soil conditions do not permit this technique.
Avg. depth of 5 feet could mean that the loops are 4 feet in diameter meaning the top of the loop may be only 3 feet below the surface. If this is so, then this may not ideal. Top of the loop should be at least 4 feet deep (minimum) or deeper. Digging should be contracted to someone with the right equipment (chain trencher, 'Witch Ditch'). Even then this may be less than ideal in that it's harder to flush a vertical slinky (standing up) than a horizontal slinky (laying flat) in that any trapped air will reside at the tops of these vertical loops. This trapped air could be a serious impediment to liquid flow as it may form an air lock thus shortening or short-circuiting the entire loop.
Bottom line in plain English, it will work - if properly designed, installed, purged and FLUSHED!
New learnings...
My house's load is really at 3.5 tons.. but apparently they do not make a dual stage 3.5 ton GeoThermal unit (they being WaterFurnace and ClimateMaster). So, the general consensus is to go with a 4 ton dual stage. My question today is in regards to COP and EER. My understanding was that the COP of the WaterFurnace was around 5.0 and ClimateMaster was 4.12 or so.. and the EERs were 30 and 27 respectively.
When I got the Geo calculation (heat load of around 68k and cooling around 36k), the COP and EER for the two WaterFurnace results showed the 3 ton at 3.92 COP and 18.74 EER and the 4 ton at 3.63 COP and 15.5 EER. That seems like a pretty big efficiency drop... do you experts see that as correct?
I do have a desire to go with GeoThermal, but the ROI is razor thin at best due to my low Natural Gas and Electric costs. The multiple quotes I've now received from dealers with WaterFurnace and ClimateMaster are in the range of $17k to $20k... though none of them are apples to apples comparisons.
Thanks for all the help everyone has provided.


text:
iMCQs in Pain Medicine
By Luapps Limited
Open iTunes to buy and download apps.
This app contains 100 Single Best Answer multiple choice questions in Pain Medicine written by Dr Pradeep Chopra MD aimed at medical students and doctors in training. It may be suitable for other health care professionals.
Dr Chopra holds the prestigious appointment of Assistant Professor (Clinical), Department of Medicine, Brown Medical School, Division of Biology and Medicine and Assistant Professor of Anesthesiology (Adjunct), Boston University School of Medicine.
Dr. Chopra is double Board Certified in Pain Management and Anesthesiology by the American Board of Anesthesiology.
- Category: Medical
- Released: 02 May 2011
- Version: 1.0
- Size: 0.1 MB
- Language: English
- Developer: Luapps Limited
- © Luapps Limited 2011
Compatibility: Requires iOS 4.0 or later. Compatible with iPhone, iPad, and iPod touch.


text:
I have some blue pills with a 44 over 189 on one side.
Any ideas?
I have some blue pills with a 44 over 189 on one side.
Any ideas?
|Question is Closed
|Report Mark as Favorite
8 Mar 2005
Round blue tablet imprinted 44 189 is 25 mg diphenhydramine.
More info: http://www.drugs.com/cdi/diphenhydramine-suspension.html
Still looking for answers? Try searching for what you seek or ask your own question.
I don't have the imprint, but this is a gelatin-type capsule, light blue and dark blue, kind of a light Wedgewood blue and royal blue. Instead ...
1 answer • 13 Oct 2009
it has PM (or maybe Wd?) on one side and the other is blank. It a light blue, kind of like 'sky' blue or baby blue.
1 answer • 4 Feb 2010
light blue round pill cor 189
1 answer • 27 Sep 2010
what is it?
1 answer • 11 Oct 2010
Has 189 on it as well. Bf is with his mother, we think someone is stealing her meds. My bf says its in her morphine bottle, she is dying of cancer.
0 answers • 20 Jun 2013


text:
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Last updated: March 16, 2015


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text:
Aziz Ansari Signs With CAA
CAA has signed Aziz Ansari, the multi-hyphenate comedian.
Ansari has been one of the stars of NBC's Parks and Recreation since the show's debut in 2009 and balances stand-up comedy with film work.
PHOTOS: Amy Poehler, Rob Lowe and Adam Scott on the Set of 'Parks and Recreation'
He recently debuted his highly anticipated third hourlong stand-up special Buried Alive on Netflix and is set to resume his Modern Romance comedy tour across the U.S. this month.
On the film side, he lent his voice to last year's Fox animated movie Epic and made a cameo in Seth Rogen's directorial debut, This Is the End. Among his other credits are a starring role in 30 Minutes or Less and appearances in Get Him to the Greek and Observe and Report.
STORY: Michelle Obama to Appear on 'Parks and Recreation'
The comedian last year signed a book deal with Penguin Press worth $3.5 million. The tome, tackling the issue of new technologies impacting the single life (also the theme of his new tour), is due to be published in 2015.
Ansari continues to be managed by Dave Becky and David Miner of 3 Arts Entertainment. His attorney is Jared Levine of Morris Yorn. He continues to be repped by APA for his stand-up.
He was previously with UTA.
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