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Raymond James chip analyst Hans Mosesmann this afternoon reflects on a story this morning in DigiTimes by Monica Chen and Joseph Tsai claiming Intel (INTC) is more and more selling into low-end notebooks.
The article claims that so-called entry-level notebook computers will come to make up 60% to 70% of all Intel's notebook chip sales, up from 50% to 60%, citing multiple unnamed sources.
Weak demand for Intel's "ultrabook" designs, and for "two-in-one" hybrid notebook-tablet computers means that Intel is "providing subsidies to vendors for inexpensive models," the authors claim.
Mosemann, who has an Underperform rating on Intel shares, writes that Intel is contending with the growth in popularity of Google's (GOOGL) Chromebook laptop line, which are available from different vendors, and which use lower-power Intel chips, such as "Atom" or "Celeron," but also may use chips from others: a unit from Samsung Electronics (005930KS), for example, uses Smasung's own "Exynos" processor line:
Digitimes is reporting this morning that Intel's proportion of entry-level notebooks is rising to 60-70% in 2H14 from the 50-60% seen in 1H14 – not an ideal trend for the company in the context of a slowing tablet market, where the company aspires to ship 40 million units this year. The growing Chromebook dynamic isn't helping, we reckon, and will likely continue to move against Intel with continued adoption following this week's move by Google, VMWare, and NVIDIA to bring VMWare BLAST to Chromebooks. We believe this will facilitate keeping Chromebook prices low (say, $300 and below) while enabling thin-client functionality.
Intel shares today closed down a penny at $34.79.
Here are some things going on today in your world of tech:
Shares of Apple (AAPL) are up 6 cents at $95.18 after the company agreed late yesterday with Samsung Electronics (005930KS) for each to drop their respective lawsuits against one another outside of the U.S., as related by Re/Code's Ina Fried.
Speaking of Samsung, the company announced it will hold a media event, the next in its series of "Unpacked" pressers, in New York City on September 3rd. Speculation is another smartphone will be unveiled, perhaps the a new installment of the "Note." Samsung's event will precede by just six days a rumored Apple event in California for, presumably, the next iPhone, as related yesterday by Re/Code's John Paczkowski.
Speaking of smartphones, R.W. Baird's William Power reiterates an Outperform rating on shares of Amazon.com (AMZN), writing that a survey his firm conducted of 1,007 individuals in the U.S. contemplating their next smartphone purchase found only 5% saying they would buy the company's Fire smartphone, which went on sale at the end of July.
Concludes Power, "we continue to view Amazon's Fire Phone initiative as a strategic complement to its shopping platform rather than a viable stand-alone alternative to Android/iOS."
BMO Capital Markets's Keith Bachman this morning writes that data he's been tracking from original device makers (ODMs) in the notebook supply chain indicate that suggest shipments may be up 7% this quarter, above his prior 6% estimate. The "oullok for the rest of 3Q14 has improved from our recent conversations with ODMs," he writes. Bachman recommends shares of Intel (INTC) and Western Digital (WDC).
Shares of Micron Technology (MU) are down 16 cents, or half a percent, at $30.93, following an analyst day held by the company in Hong Kong yesterday. Stifel Nicolaus's Kevin Cassidy, reiterating a Buy rating, and a $39 price target, writes that the meeting reiterated management's contention "the memory market has changed" and that Micron is focused on investment returns.
Richard Wittington of Drexel Hamilton, who also has a Buy on the shares, writes simply that "The message is they're sold out, ASPs on the rise, as demand remains vibrant."
Shares of Sprint (S) are down $1.40, or 19%, at $5.88, adding to losses after it named a new CEO, Marcelo Claure, formerly of Brightstar, dumping 7-year CEO Dane Hesse. Analysts this morning wrote that the stock is losing its merger premium, after the company's remarks indicated it is moving away from a bid for T-Mobile U.S. (TMUS).
Shares of AOL (AOL) are up $3.13, or 8%, at $42.13, after the company this morning reported Q2 revenue of $606.8 million and EPS of 45 cents, beating the average estimate of $594 million and 44 cents. The company saw display ad revenue slip 1%, while search revenue rose 6%. CEO Tim Armstrong said the company's "future as a scaled media technology company continues to get stronger."
Shares of deals provider Groupon (GRPN) are down $1.11, or almost 16%, at $5.96, as the stock got at least one downgrade following lower-than-expected Q2 results yesterday afternoon, and a dim outlook.
Shares of First Solar (FSLR) are up 97 cents, or 1.5%, at $64.63, reversing earlier losses, as the sell side warms to the prospect it will form a "Yieldco." spin-out with MLP-like prospects with some of its solar energy projects. The stock got at least one upgrade despite massively missing Q2 expectations yesterday.
Shares of Intel (INTC) are up $1.87, or almost 7%, at $29.83, after the chip giant yesterday afternoon raised its outlook for revenue and gross profit margin this quarter and for the full year, citing better-than-expected sales volume of personal computers.
The average estimates of analysts today for 2014 revenue stands at $54.71 billion versus what had been $53 billion before Intel's announcement, according to FactSet. Hence, the Street is now projecting 3% revenue growth this year versus a prior expectation for revenue roughly flat.
I would note that Intel CFO Stacy Smith, in the interview I conducted with him last week, had tipped his hand only slightly, indicating his belief the PC market would become less of a distraction for Intel this year.
Intel's results have given a lift to PC-related names, with Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) stock up $1.64, or almost 5%, at $35.03, and Microsoft up 51 cents, or 1.3%, at $41.09.
Price targets are rising all around, and the stock got three upgrades, from Morgan Stanley, Roth Capital, and Drexel Hamilton.
Roth's Krishna Shankar, raising his rating to Buy from Neutral, and setting a $35 price target, writes that "We believe that the enterprise PC replacement cycle may last several quarters, coupled with continuing strength in high-margin datacenter server processors."
Shankar notes that Intel's stock has tended to perform well with expanding margin:
Historically, Intel stock has good correlation with gross margins and Intel gross margins which peaked in the mid 60′s and may climb to 63% to 65% again in 2014/2015. Intel blended ASPs have been rising gradually over the last 8 quarters due to the Ivy Bridge and Haswell 22nm and upcoming 14nm technology PC upgrade cycle, lack of competition in PC and server markets from a weakened AMD, manufacturing efficiencies on 22nm/14nm technology, and strength in enterprise and emerging markets. Beyond 2014, we believe that Intel's quasi-monopoly in high-margin serv s (95% market share in server platforms) may be challenged by new low-power ARM-based server platforms for the high growth cloud services, social networking/video-delivery market.
Among bulls today, aside from the joyous response, there is some mild debate over how much this was attributable simply to upgrades of PCs resulting from the expiration in April of support by Microsoft for Windows XP. It is the difference between "the PC is not dead" and "the PC is less dead," if you will.
For the bears, many of them raising their targets, there is a contention that despite improvement in PCs, Intel faces challenges with other areas of the business, such as the tablet and smartphone chip markets, where it has shown little traction thus far.
Jonathan Pitzer, Credit Suisse: Reiterates an Outperform rating, and raises his price target to $35 from $30. "While there will clearly be concern that upside was driven by unsustainable EOL WinXP buys, we would note that assuming 70% of C2Q14 revenue upside was driven by Corporate PCs would represent approximately 4m incremental units or just 5% of the installed base of Corporate PCs still running WinXP – if EOL of WinXP was a major driver of demand, the upside would have likely been higher [...] In addition, with the C2H14 launch of Grantley, we suspect DCG will return to 10% y/y secular growth providing comfort/upside to our $1.50 earnings potential. Our earnings potential embeds continued loses in M&W and zero contribution from foundry, but as we argued in our note entitled DAC 2014: More Signs of Moore's Stress, we see increasing optionality value in INTC's widening manufacturing lead and would argue if INTC is truly the Last-man-standing on Moore's Law, our greater than $3.00 earnings potential will approach $3.50-4.00."
Christopher Rolland, FBR & Co.: Reiterates an Outperform rating, and raises his price target to $32 from $30. "We continue to believe the outperformance in enterprise PC is being driven by the end-of-life XP refresh cycle, even past the April 8 deadline. Additionally, we present evidence to support our view that the XP refresh cycle has legs for some time to come as ~25% of operating systems today still run XP. Indeed, it has been just a year since our INTC upgrade, but we continue to anticipate strong earning drivers for the foreseeable future. Overall, while earlier headwinds in PC have been discouraging, we believe that Moore's law is considerably more durable than any one form factor and presents as good a business plan as any in the technology industry. We are increasingly confident that Intel can opportunistically extract value from the extra transistors afforded to it through the best silicon manufacturing operations in the world."
Mark Lipacis, Jefferies & Co.: Reiterates a Buy rating, and raises his price target to $40 from $35. "Prior to the preannouncement we were $0.22 and $0.47 above 2014 and 2015 consensus EPS, in part due to our view that PCs would see a cyclical recovery and Intel's superior cost structure would cause gross margins to surprise on the upside [...] After 2.5 years of decline, we think corporate PC shipments are improving as companies refresh an aging installed base. Consumer demand is also improving as INTC introduces tablet-like form factors targeting the sub-$500 market."
Matthew Ramsay, Canaccord Genuity: Reiterates a Hold rating, and raises his price target to $31 from $29. "While these stronger than anticipated trends in PCCG have proven more sustainable than we had anticipated, we build our long-term investment thesis on unchanged views toward growth prospects in Intel's other businesses. That said, stronger and more sustainable trends in PCCG provide a more firm foundation for and flexibility to those businesses."
Alex Gauna, JMP Securities:Reiterates a Market Perform rating. "Now that the stock has moved in direct proportion to the update, we are not inclined to recommend that investors chase it ahead of the typically turbulent summer trading season for Tech as well as ahead of the gross margin headwinds that we are modeling, as demand shifts to the more consumer-centric build cycle with leading edge manufacturing nodes that are usually lower yielding. On the plus side, we believe the Windows RT threat is effectively dead and that, consequently, Intel is likely to enjoy attractive cash flows from its Wintel hold on enterprise PCs and data centers for the foreseeable future. However, on the negative side, its ability to move beyond GDP-type growth is still gated by an uncertain future in mobile and efforts by Apple (MP) and Mega-Cloud players to port OS X (i.e., Macs) and Linux servers to 64-bit ARMv8."
Romit Shah, Nomura Equity Research: Reiterates a Neutral rating, and raises his price target to $27 from $25. "The pace of Windows XP upgrades appears much faster than our expectations, but still unsustainable in our view. We estimate that there are
roughly 20m commercial XP-based PCs that would require an upgrade as these PCs have passed the XP support cut-off date. The upside in the quarter implies upgrades of roughly 6-7m business PCs. We continue to believe that demand for consumer PCs (~45% of total PCs) will be challenged in the second half due to ongoing tablet cannibalization in China and share of wallet constraints in the developed regions. As such, we are forecasting revenue growth to decelerate into the low-to-mid single digit range in Q3 and flattish in Q4."
Blayne Curtis, Barclays: Reiterates an Equal Weight rating, and raises his price target to $26 from $24. "The positive preannouncement from INTC mirrors what our Asia Ex-Japan colleague, Kirk Yang, highlighted in his recent Asia PC Pulse note (see his note here), which noted recent strength in the PC market as NBs are +8% Q/Q (from +7%) and DT/MBs +4% Q/Q (from +3%), driven mainly by improving corporate demand, the WinXP upgrade cycle, and potentially early back-to-school shopping. As such, we now look for DT and NB MPU growth of +5% Q/Q and +8% Q/Q respectively, with slight upside to APSs driven by demand from business/enterprise."
Yesterday was day one of the Computex computer trade show in Taipei, Taiwan, and a few folks from the Street were weighing in today on what they've observed.
Even though this is a PC show, and even though some of the headlines are about Intel's (INTC) new hybrid tablet-computer, as related this morning by The Wall Street Journal's Don Clark, nevertheless, there's a lot of discussion of other computing here, such as smartphones. Case in point,
Cantor Fitzgerald's Brian White was on the scene yesterday, and today he writes that the accessories industry is ramping up for a larger-screen iPhone from Apple (AAPL):
Our research at Computex highlights that the majority of the accessory makers we interacted with today have already begun production in support of the 4.7-inch iPhone 6. During our China/Taiwan Tech Tour in April, we met with a small number of accessory makers that had started initial production of accessories for the 4.7-inch iPhone 6 but not the 5.5-inch version, but today's research highlights a much broader ramp of the 4.7-inch version. Also at Computex, we noticed that a few vendors had already started work on accessories for the 5.5-inch iPhone 6 and the pieces were available at the show. Given the lack of data points in recent months around progress with the 5.5-inch iPhone 6 and growing skepticism in the media around a 2014 launch, we view this as a positive development. Based on today's research, we believe the timing of the 5.5-inch iPhone 6 launch appears to be in sync with our expectation around the unveiling (i.e., September) of the 4.7-inch iPhone 6.
White also notes that sources in the supply chain tell him the tablet market is still suffering incursions from larger-screen smartphones, and that sales of phones in China are in a lull at the moment:
The tablet market appears to be in a bit of a slump, and our contact does not expect much near-term improvement. In our view, Apple's iPad remains the tablet of choice in the developed world, and the growing penetration of mega-sized smartphones is negatively impacting tablet demand in developing countries such as China. Regarding the smartphone market, our contact highlighted weakness in China with very limited visibility around forecasts, and this matches the disappointing 3G subscriber numbers in recent months.
White notes that his sources in the personal computer field tell him that there has been improvement in Europe and China in terms of PC sales trends, and that a rebound in corporate PCs may spread to consumer laptops.
However, costs may rise because of tightness in component supplies:
Given the weakness in the PC market over the past few years, LCD panel makers and DRAM suppliers have shifted capacity to focus on the faster growing areas of tech and thus reduced PC-related capacity, while the mechanical supply chain is suffering from rising labor rates in China. Given this situation, our contact indicated that pre- orders could be submitted to component vendors in an effort to flatten out component costs for 2015. In our coverage universe, Hewlett-Packard (30% of 2Q:FY14 sales) is the largest PC vendor, followed by Apple (12% of 2Q:FY14 sales).
And RBC Capital Markets's chip analyst Doug Freedman writes that he's encouraged by what his team has gleaned from the show, writing "The innovation ahead leads us to believe that semis are better positioned today for content growth than ever before."
Theres's a lot of enthusiasm for two-in-one tablet-computers, though Freedman is skeptical:
WinXP is modestly helping with the PC refresh cycle. The 2:1 phenomenon (Windows, when docked + Android, when detached) could have a positive impact on the market driving a higher TAM. Intel is supporting the form-factor with its 14nm Core-M processor. The PC industry is expecting ~125 new Intel-based Android and Windows tablets this year. We remain cautious on the ultimate success of 2:1s, though more mass adoption could potentially result in upside to our current PC unit estimate of -3% Y/Y. Touch screen IC companies could benefit as current notebooks have ~20% touch screen attach vs. 2:1s with 100%.
Regarding Intel, it is pushing both the hybrid computer-tablet and its wireless chip roadmap:
Strategy remains unchanged. Demo-ed a working version of SoFIA SoC and stated plan for quad- core SoFIA LTE solution for 1H15. The company is pushing for Windows and Android dual-boot systems; however, seeing resistance from both MSFT and Google. Growth initiatives are clearly focused on phones, tablets, and IOT, where devices work in harmony. Expect software to also play an increasing role in future developments (i.e., face tracking).
The NAND flash market is healthy, writes Freedman, which should be good news for Micron Technology (MU):
NAND out of China has been very strong, reducing the risk of potential pockets of oversupply through Q2. The SSD market continues to be strong. We think 3-bit per cell is likely poised to ramp more materially into the eMMC and SSD side of the market in a 3-6 month time-frame, faster than the market currently expects. This bodes well in terms of: i) progress in improving TLC quality in order to scale into higher-value applications; and ii) enabling cost-downs across the industry, a vector to drive GMs higher.
But the wearable tech market is not ready for prime time:
The ecosystem in support of wearables is very much in development, navigating through smaller size screens, batteries, and wrist band technology. We do not believe that the market is quite ready for prime-time just yet, as we believe solutions need further sophistication. In our coverage universe, we believe MRVL (new class of MCUs just announced), DLG, BRCM, and FSL are best positioned.
Shares of Apple (AAPL) are up $12.19, or 2%, at $636.20, and earlier hit a new 52-week high of $636.87, as the Street responds to yesterday's announcement the company will purchase music startup Beats for $3 billion, and as the Street prepares itself for Monday morning's keynote address by CEO Tim Cook and staff at the company's Worldwide Developer Conference in San Francisco.
Most analysts today acknowledge the Beats deal itself, while the biggest in Apple's history, is relatively small given Apple's enormous cash flow and already substantial cash pile.
As BMO Capital Markets's Keith Bachman wrote in a note to clients, "Apple has around $133 billion of total cash, and we forecast around $48-50 billion of free cash flow in both FY2014 and FY2015."
"Hence, the acquisition represents around 2% of its cash balance and 6% of free cash flows."
There have been a few more price target increases today following those yesterday from Bernstein Research and Barclays.
UBS's Steve Millunovich reiterated a Buy rating, and raised his price target to $700 from $625 after raising his iPhone unit sales estimate for the December quarter to 56 million from 54 million, which boosts his EPS to $48.09 from $47.77. Milunovich is "increasingly confident that iPhone sales in the US should benefit from a significant upgrade cycle late this year."
He draws on data from organization YouGov.com:
Survey data from YouGov.com suggests that more than 50% of current US iPhone users are due for an upgrade over the next ten months (Figures 1-3). The sample of about 7,500 excludes those with prepaid plans. About 30% of users currently are off- contract or have contracts expiring within the next five months, and 20% have contracts expiring in the next 6-11 months. By model, just over 50% have an iPhone 4 or 4s and 30% have the iPhone 5.
Millunovich thinks WWDC is part of Apple regaining an image of innovating:
Investor sentiment has been somewhat apathetic as reflected by two-thirds of funds owning Apple being underweight. That view may change starting next week. We don't expect much new hardware at WWDC but software enhancements and discussion of the Beats Electronics deal are likely. Along with two iPhone 6 models, the first wearable might be introduced later this year. The point is that innovation is not dead. Jony Ive has said, "We are at the beginning of a remarkable time, when a number of products will be developed…we're not even close to any kind of limit."
The Beats deal is "defensive," he writes, in streaming music. But Apple also gains a negotiating talent with Jimmy Iovine, the Beats co-founder:
Apple touts Beats as best in class with a combination of algorithmic and human curation that is the future. This can be viewed as a defensive move given weakness in iTunes downloads. Catching up to Spotify and Pandora is a tall order; Apple may have concluded that it needed a separate brand and approach [...] Beats founders Jimmy Iovine and Dr. Dre will join Apple. Iovine will be full-time and has cut his ties with his music company. One of the many things lost with Jobs' passing was his negotiating skills, where Iovine can make a difference on the music side. Finally, Apple expects to boost the visibility and distribution of Beats headphones though it has not decided how branding will be handled. It finally makes an accessory for the iPhone.
Piper Jaffray's Gene Munster reiterates an Overweight rating today, and raises his price target to $732 from $640, writing that discussion of a fitness application at WWDC "would be a significant sign pointing to an Apple watch/band in 2H 2014″ while discussion of the next version of Apple's iOS, version 8 might include discussion "of software elements that point to a larger screen device."
"While neither of those products would be a surprise, we believe increasing news could move shares of AAPL higher over the next few months," he concludes.
Munster is also expecting a possible refresh of the Macbook laptop line, "most likely an [Macbook] Air with Retina display or spec bumps to the Macbook Pro line," although he notes that Apple "recently (late April) updated its Macbook Air line-up with faster processors and a new $899 starting price (from $999)."
Munster also notes a Financial Times article that appeared Monday suggesting some discussion at the conference of Apple getting into the "connected home" market. Apple, he writes, is "a significant indirect player given that many automated home users utilize iOS devices to control the home."
"We note that the most likely update at WWDC could be a software preview that shows Apple offering a single app to manage an entire home."
R.W. Baird's Will Power reiterates an Outperform rating on Apple shares, and raises his price target to $665 from $620, writing that "the acquisition raises a number of strategic questions, but foremost providers new talent and a subscription streaming music service that could help Apple regain its leadership in digital music."
The deal may stem a decline at iTunes, and also brings talent and patents to Apple:
Notably, iTunes momentum has waned in recent years, due in part to the rise of Spotify and Pandora. Apple's iTunes Radio, its attempt at a Pandora-like service, has seemingly failed to make much of a splash as of yet. The Beats Music streaming service could provide Apple a needed boost to regain its market-leading position in digital music [...] We generally view the additions of Jimmy Iovine and Dr. Dre to the Apple executive team as a positive infusion of music industry talent [...] Technology portfolio light. We would note that the recently launched Beats Music streaming service is reported to have a mere ~250,000 subscribers and only has two awarded patents. Beats Electronics has 20 awarded patents, most of which are for ornamental design, vs. Harman's 868 patents and Bose's 558.
Bill Shope of Goldman Sachs, reiterating a Buy rating, and a $635 price target, writes that the Beats deal "potentially represents an important strategic shift" for the company:
(1) it signals that Apple is becoming more acquisitive and is now willing to purchase larger assets and (2) it suggests that Apple is becoming far more aggressive in monetizing peripheral services and accessories that attach to its iOS installed base. Both of these factors are strategic positives, in our opinion, although it is strategically surprising to us that Apple's first major move is to purchase a primarily brand-centric hardware company as opposed to a pure services, content, or software-centric asset. With that said, the Beats Music asset adds subscription music to iTunes, and this could become an increasingly important platform enhancement over time.
Rod Hall at J.P. Morgan maintains an Overweight rating on Apple shares, writing that he thinks the company might dump one of the two companies it is picking up, the headphone maker Beats Electronics, while retaining the Beats Music portion:
We find it hard to see how Apple juxtapositions the Beats Electronics branded headphones with its own brand. We also found it interesting that Apple's press release lists Beats Music first and the electronics brand second even though we believe most of the current revenue is associated with the electronics. We believe that the iconic Beats Electronics headphones and accessories business would easily stand on its own. As a result we wouldn't be surprised to see a follow on sale of that business.
But Hall has become a fan of the Beats music service, he writes, versus Pandora Media (P) and startup Spotify:
Prior to a few weeks ago we were mainly Spotify and Pandora listeners but had found that neither is great for music discovery. You need to know what you want on Spotify and Pandora stations get repetitive. Since this deal hit the press we have been using Beats Music and find the curated playlists and user presentation of those lists to be very useful for new music discovery. In fact, this writer has completely shifted off of the other two services. The only problem for us is the relatively high monthly price of $14.99/month vs. $9.99/month for Spotify – luckily AT&T offers a 3-month free trial.
Among the more negative reactions to the Beats deal today, BMO's Bachman writes today he doesn't see the value in it:
We are unclear about the branding strategy of Beats. Historically, Apple has acquired technologies and IP that would come under the Apple brand. However, Beats has an established brand name, particularly with its headphones. We believe that Apple could potentially leverage the Beats brand and installed base for the wearable category [...] We do not see clear value for the Beats acquisition. We don't see a meaningful sustainable competitive advantage based on the IP of the headphones or Beats Music. In addition, we think the Beats subscriber base is relatively small.
Shares of Microsoft (MSFT) are up 48 cents, or 1.2%, at $40.16, as the Street continues to assess the introduction yesterday of the company's latest model of its Surface tablet computer, the "Surface Pro 3."
Much of the discussion the day after has focused on Microsoft's will to challenge conventional laptop sales with the "tablet that can replace your laptop," as it said yesterday. Microsoft Surface exec Panos Panay specifically cited the numerous Apple (AAPL) MacBook laptops in the audience being used by press at the event, suggesting to many Mac is the target, not Apple's dominant iPad tablet.
The Verge's Dieter Bohn offers a piece today saying that Microsoft has at least come closer to such a move than the prior two versions of the machine, by solving the "lapability" challenge:
The Surface's core design is simply physically more complicated than a laptop's single hinge. You will find yourself mucking about with setting the kickstand in the right place on your knees and dealing with that cover flapping about. Microsoft may have needed two years of design iterations before it could honestly make the case that the Surface can be used on your lap like a, well, a laptop, but it's finally gotten close enough to make it. It's just strange to think of so much design effort going into what other companies solve with a hinge. The simplicity of a clamshell is easier, but it's also not the end-all-be-all of "getting stuff done" computing. If you buy into the benefits of a tablet computer — and there are many — the tradeoff could well be worth it.
Recode's Walt Mossberg was on CNBC a short while ago offering his two cents:
They had to make this thing thinner and somehow more workable because the first and the second one didn't succeed. They were neither a great tablet nor a great laptop. They are forced into this hybrid position by the way they wrote Windows 8 and Win 8.1. So to some extent this is their attempt to correct what they did in the past. I hasten to add I like Microsoft's integrating software and hardware. But I think the jury is still out. One big missing element is a true touch version of Office. Ironically they have a very good touch version of Office for iPad. They have yet to bring one out that works in the start screen environment on Windows 8, including this Surface. It is a sweet spot if they can position it as a laptop competitor and not a tablet competitor. It is still not as good as a laptop in your lap. It is still better on a surface.
Ed Maguire with CLSA, who has an Outperform rating on Microsoft shares, and a $44 price target, writes that "We think the new line of devices is the most successful effort to deliver a true hybrid tablet/laptop to date."
"It's the combination of high-quality machine, cloud services (Office365, OneDrive) and robust UI (supporting touch, keyboard/mouse and pen) that results in a truly differentiated offering that raises the bar for OEMs; though Surface got off to a mixed start, the incremental improvements in usability and design result in compelling competition to the highest-end Ultrabooks and Macbook Air."
Nomura Equity Research's Rick Sherlund, who has a Buy rating on the shares, and a $45 price target, writes that "We liked the larger screen format, which plays more to Microsoft's strengths in productivity than the much anticipated 7- or 8-inch Surface mini tablet/laptop that is more appealing to the tablet user where Microsoft has no presence and lots of competition (there may be no 'oxygen' down market where iPad Mini and Android tablets dominate the market)."
He notes favorable initial reviews:
Initial reviews are positive and generally favor the power and form factor balance, including the screen size, quality, weight/thinness, sturdiness, and especially the newer pen input. We found it particularly interesting how the pen could turn on the laptop and automatically launch OneNote, and as the user is handwriting or taking photos with notes, the content is automatically saved in OneDrive and shared across devices.
Microsoft may have hit the right window to play to refreshes of laptops as tablet sales as a replacement have cooled:
We think there is a bit of a resurgence of laptop replacements in developed markets. "Everyone" (96% of laptop users) already have a laptop and a tablet now, so there may not be as much diversion of spending budgets away from laptops to iPads as we have seen for the past several years and aging laptops may be able to get more attention with the lower prices, improved battery life and performance of Haswell chips and the nicer form factors around Windows 8 (which is transforming to become more familiar to laptop users).
Hardware partners, such as, presumably, Dell and Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), are not going to be happy, despite Microsoft's claims it is not competing with partners:
Microsoft's laptop OEM partners have not liked Microsoft entering the hardware market (most have announced Chromebooks, so the fidelity to Windows is not 100% either) and will not be happy that Microsoft is now moving further into competition with them, although Microsoft's share is currently only about 1% of the market.
Raymond James's Michael Turits, who has a Market Perform rating on the shares, writes that "While Microsoft ads on the Times Square shuttle have been bombarding me for the last year with the message that Surface is both desert topping and a floor wax (both a tablet and a laptop), Surface Pro 3 (SP3) could finally make the old SNL dream come true."
"Bottom line, while not a 'category killer,' in our view, the greater functionality of Surface Pro 3 should as CEO Satya Nadella said in his introduction, "create new categories and spark demand," bring together Microsoft's cloud services, applications and hardware and hopefully point the way for OEM partners to build Windows devices."
Still, Turits sees the tablet market as not necessarily helping the margin outlook for Microsoft:
While we view Microsoft's participation in the tablet (and broader mobility) market as critical, we do not believe tablets will be the hyper-growth avenue for Microsoft they once could have been. We are maintaining our 20% 2014 growth and high-teens 2015/2016 total tablet shipment forecasts after robust 53% y/y growth in 2013 – again, solid but not hyper-growth. We are also maintaining our modest FY14/15/16 Surface revenue forecasts of $2.3/2.7/3.2 billion. Despite the SP3 launch, we remain concerned about Microsoft's daunting lack of traction in mobile (including Surface) and the first-party hardware business's impact on margins, given Surface's negative gross margins plus drag from the recent Nokia acquisition.
Morgan Stanley's Keith Weiss, who has an Equal Weight rating on Microsoft shares, writes that the company is "targeting the Mac."
He opines Surface is already cannibalizing laptop sales:
Surface Pro 3 has the specs and the features that could help Microsoft make better inroads in the Ultrabook market, particularly within the Enterprise. Our most recent consumer PC survey ("Blue Paper Revisit: Improving Consumer PC Demand") showed Surface adoption already coming largely at the expense of PCs (67% cannibalization rate vs. overall tablet cannibalization rate of 40%), so focusing on adding more PC-like features while shifting the base from Surface RT to the higher ASP Surface Pro makes sense, in our view. However, with less than 5% of the tablet market today, Microsoft still has a lot of work to do and execution will be key – plus, the premium pricing around the Surface Pro 3 may make volume share harder to come by.
Despite having an uphill battle, Microsoft may actually have done better with the older Surface 2 than many have thought, he muses:
Since the release of Surface 2 in Oct. 2013, Surface revenue has picked up steam, growing to ~$1,387M in the most recent December and March quarters versus $853M recognized for Surface in all of FY13. However, this equates to only ~5M Surface units sold to date, versus ~350M tablets sold worldwide in the same period. Our estimates assume growth sustains better than the tablet market, with 6.7M units sold in CY14, +93% YoY (MS research looks for 12% tablet growth in CY14). Our conversations with management suggest that Surface Pro 2 has sold better than internal expectations and growth over the past few quarters (particularly into commercial markets) may have been limited by inventory constraints. Given the low inventory build, Microsoft limited its distribution push with Pro 2, but aims to focus more on commercial distribution (through resellers, partners, etc) with Surface Pro 3. However, our estimates remain conservative and we assume 11.5M Surface tablets sold in FY16, only 3.2% of the market.
Here are some things going on this morning in your world of tech:
Shares of Salesforce.com (CRM) are down $1.88, or almost 4%, at $51.01, despite yesterday afternoon beating fiscal Q1 expectations and offering a view for this quarter's revenue and the full year's results that topped consensus.
There are no ratings changes this morning, that I can see, and price targets are either staying put or going down, in some cases, even though estimates are going up. Analaysts are dazzled with cash flow in the quarter, up 67%. Morgan Stanley's Keith Weiss reiterates an Overweight rating, and a $79 price target, while writing that "67% YoY growth in operating cash flow should go a long way towards appeasing investor apprehension around the name."
Perhaps more characteristic of the mood, Canaccord Genuity's Richard Davis, while reiterating a Buy rating, cut his price target from $80 to $65, writing that "We would build or expand positions in CRM shares because we believe this firm has the highest quality franchise among cloud software firms" and that the "stock's valuation looks reasonable at 35x 2015E EV/FCF for a 25-30% grower" but that "We are slightly lowering our CRM price target to reflect the broader valuation correction in cloud software."
Analysts are still poring over Cisco Systems's (CSCO) "CiscoLive!" partner and customer show in San Francisco this week, which was accompanied by a special segment for financial analysts yesterday.
Stifel Nicolaus's Sanjiv Wadhwani reiterates a Buy rating this morning, and raises his price target to $28 from $25, after reviewing the company's discussion of "Application-centric infrastructure," or ACI, its answer to software-defined networking (SDN), writing that "Overall, we were pleasantly surprised to see both Goldman Sachs and Rackspace, both VMWare (VMW) NSX customers supporting ACI. We continue to believe that NSX only has around five paying customers and that count is perhaps down to three."
Cisco shares are up 31 cents, or 1.3%, at $24.43.
Speaking of Cisco, shares of Red Hat (RHT) are up 40 cents, or 0.8%, at $50.13, after The Register made a special podcast for the Cisco Live show in which host Greg Knieriemen asserted, "Cisco could potentially acquire Red Hat — I don't think it's entirely out of the realm of possibility." A guest remarked "Red Hat makes a lot of sense" as a target given that the company's Linux distribution runs in "every data center out there."
Shares of Internet bandwidth provider Akamai Technologies (AKAM) are up $1.13, or 2.2%, at $53.37, despite what would appear to be an ominous article yesterday from Dan Rayburn of the Streaming Media Blog stating that Apple "is currently negotiating paid interconnection deals with some of the largest ISPs in the U.S." as part of the company's effort to "build out their own CDN [content delivery network.]"
Apple has long been one of the major customers of Akamai's CDN service.
Speaking of Apple, analysts are still evaluating Microsoft's (MSFT) unveiling yesterday of its iPad alternative, the "Surface Pro 3" tablet computer. Morgan Stanley's Weiss, who has an Equal Weight rating on Microsoft, writes that the presentation in New York was "all about laptop replacement," and, more specifically, "Targeting the Mac," referring to Apple's laptop line.
"Microsoft notably distanced the Surface Pro 3 from the iPad," writes Weiss, "making comparisons instead directly to the Macbook Air, which poses more direct competition to its Windows business."
CNBC's David Faber interviewed Liberty Media (LMCA) CEO Greg Maffei a short while ago, and asked why they were pushed aside in a bid for Time Warner Cable (TWC), which, of course, is in the midst of trying to be bought out by Comcast (CMCSA).
"Charter didn't get left out, and I don't think Charter and Liberty are disappointed," said Maffei. "I think Charter showed Time Warner Cable's vulnerabilities."
Added Maffei, "If you said a year ago that Charter was going to nearly double its size, reconsolidate its businesses, and swap into a much more concentrated footprint, that we would do that at 7 times Ebitda, that we would issue stock at 9 times Ebitda, … I think we would have come in here and said, 'home run! could be better'."
Liberty shares are up $1.39, or 1%, at $126.43.
Here are some things going on this morning in your world of tech:
Shares of Nimble Storage (NMBL) are up $2.83, or almost 14%, at $23.42 after Needham & Co.'s Richard Kugele raised his rating on the shares to Strong Buy from Buy, but cut his target to $35 from $62, writing that "While today's market may shirk high-multiple tech names, not all were created equal, in our view."
"We think that companies like NMBL, which we believe can grow 50%+ for the next several years, warrant a premium multiple on their growth potential."
"While the magnitude of that premium has arguably fallen since the peak of "risk-on" for high-growth names, we believe it nonetheless justifies a 7x EV/Sales multiple."
"We believe growth still matters and will attract investment once profit-taking/current nervousness are exhausted (one need only look at the recent financing round for private all-flash array startup Pure Storage, implying $3 billion+ value.)"
(For more on Pure, see my interview with the company a little over a week ago.)
Among other upgrades today, shares of Twitter (TWTR) are up $1, or 3.2%, at $33.05, after SunTrust Robinson Humphrey's Rob Peck this morning raised his rating on the shares to Buy from Neutral, with a $45 price target, writing that it doesn't have to have the fastest growth to perform as a stock.
"One of the common comments we hear from investors is 'with Twitter's MAU growth slowing, Twitter will never be as big as Facebook' (FB). Based on our calculations, we believe one can justify buying the stock at these levels solely predicated on Twitter continuing to narrow the 50% monetization gap to Facebook, while still assuming user growth deceleration."
Meantime, MKM Partners's Rob Sanderson cut his price targets on several Internet names, including Twitter but also Netflix (NFLX), Yelp (YELP), Pandora Media (P), and Angie's List (ANGI), writing that there is "no change in conviction" about their bright futures — he rates all of them a Buy — but that "As investor appetite for growth expanded in 2013, the implied discount rate in our valuation framework dropped from 30% to 25% for many of our stocks. In our new targets we are now using 30% for NFLX and P, 35% for TWTR and YELP and we use 60% for ANGI."
Sanderson cut Twitter to $55 from $72, cut Yelp to $86 from $110, cut Netflix to $435 from $440, and cut Angi to $16 from $20.
Analysts continued to ponder reports last week that Apple (AAPL) is poised to spend $3.2 billion buying Beats Electronics, maker of the lifestyle headphones and such. Toni Sacconaghi with Bernstein Research this morning reiterated an Outperform rating on the shares, and a $615 price target, writing that "We struggle with the rationale for this deal on several fronts."
"The fact that Apple is considering acquiring Beats may reflect the struggles the company is having with iTunes. We have previously estimated that iTunes is essentially ex-growth now3 and unlikely to be a contributor to growth going forward.
Bloomberg's Peter Burrows penned an item over the weekend saying Apple will be more likely to acquire, citing remarks by Gene Munster of Piper Jaffray. The article mentions as possible acquisition targets for Apple Yelp, payment startups Square, and Twitter.
In other Apple news, DigiTimes's Aaron Lee and Adam Hwang this morning report that Apple's shipments of MacBook laptops are expected to rise faster this quarter than the overall PC market, at perhaps 28.6%, citing unnamed parties in the Taiwan supply chain. The authors write their sources suggest MacBook shipments this year could be 14 million versus 10 million last year."
Apple shares are up $3.68, or 0.6%, at $589.22.
Cisco Systems (CSCO) reports fiscal Q3 results this Wednesday, May 14th, after the closing bell, and analysts are tuning up their models. The Street is modeling $11.36 billion in revenue and 48 cents EPS.
Brian White with Cantor Fitzgerald reiterates a Buy rating on Cisco, and a $27.50 price target, writing that "our model suggests that Cisco's profit cycle bottomed out in 3Q:FY14 (April), and we expect major new platform initiatives to begin contributing more meaningfully to revenue over the next couple of quarters." However, he's modeling just $11.25 billion in revenue and 47 cents EPS, though he thinks Cisco may end up beating that.
Stifel Nicolaus's Sanjiv Wadhwani reiterates a Buy rating as well, and a $25 price target, writing that "The main conclusion from our survey of 30 value-added resellers (VARs) and distributors in the United States and Europe along with supply chain read-through is that Cisco will report an inline April quarter."
Cisco stock is up 25 cents, or 1%, at $23.27.
Bloomberg's John Erlichman this morning reports Time Warner (TWX) is among parties looking at buying Fullscreen, a popular network of programming on Google's (GOOG) YouTube. Others interested suitors include Yahoo! (YHOO), writes Erlichman, citing multiple unnamed sources.
Research firm Canalys this morning reports that tablet computers "continue to out-ship notebooks," with worldwide tablet shipments rising 21% in Q1, to 50.8 million units, versus just 5% growth in PC client devices.
The firm points out that while the much-publicized end-of-life of Microsoft's (MSFT) Windows XP helped to keep desktop shipments flat, ". Notably, however, notebooks and desktops in China, the world's second largest PC market, declined 13% and 6% respectively compared with the previous year."
Canalys, which lumps tablets and PCs together as one market for market share purposes, writes that Apple (AAPL) "continued to lead the global PC market" even though its shipments of the iPad dropped the most ever in Q1, with analyst Tim Coulling arguing the company's franchise is resilient:
The US market was adversely affected by a drop in Apple iPad shipments, which fell 40%. This was offset somewhat by 20% growth in China, Apple's second largest market. Worldwide, iPad shipments in Q1 fell 16% year on year to 16.4 million and accounted for 80% of Apple's total PC shipments. Despite this, Apple continued to lead the global PC market. Its share fell both sequentially and year on year from 20% to 17%, due chiefly to the increasingly competitive tablet market. Apple took action during the quarter to run down its iPad inventory, a smart move as tablet stock in the channel rose due to strong seasonal shipments in the previous quarter. Longer term, we do not believe Apple's Q1 performance points to a decline in the tablet category, despite growing pressure from larger-screen smart phones. Consumers, and increasingly businesses, are continuing to adapt, with tablets acting as disruptors and finding their place as desktop and notebook replacements. Apple's ecosystem and the recent launch of Office for iPad should ensure it is well placed to remain a leader for some time.
Canalys notes Lenovo Group (0992HK) "did well," with PC share rising to 12% from 10% on 15 million units, helped by the "Yoga" line of convertible devices that are both tablet and laptop.
Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) is making progress by bundling wide-area connectivity with its tablets, but with fewer than 400,000 tablets shipped last quarter, the company "still has much work to do."
Shares of Intel (INTC) are up 42 cents, or 1.6%, at $26.58, defying a down market, following a couple of positive notes this morning from Pacific Crest analyst Michael McConnell, who raised his rating on the shares to Outperform from Sector Perform, with a $31 price target, pointing to improved sales of PCs to corporations, the imminent arrival of Intel's "Grantley" microprocessor for server computers, and what he calls an "option call" on the company's expanding foundry business.
Microsoft's (MSFT) discontinuation of support for the Windows XP operating system this month is helping to propel corporate sales of PCs, writes McConnell, which had already been turning around at the end of last year:
Conversations with first-tier motherboard manufacturers and notebook ODMs indicate that PC OEM pulls for corporate platforms have continued to accelerate in Q1, with motherboard manufacturers indicating sequential unit sales growth of 5% to 10% this quarter versus prior expectations for flat sales. Improving commercial demand has been attributed not only to Microsoft's end of Windows XP support, but also to improving macroeconomic growth in North America. While notebook ODMs are tracking to a -16% sequential decline in overall unit shipments in Q1, we believe stronger-than-expected commercial demand (35% to 40% of PC unit sales), particularly for desktop PCs, is likely to serve as an offset. Therefore, we believe consensus estimates are attainable for Intel, as well as our estimate for a -8% sequential decline in the company's PC Client Group revenue (62% of overall sales) in Q1. He likes Intel's chances of taking share versus Advanced
Micro Devices (AMD) in notebook computers given its aggressive push with its "BayTrail" Atom-based CPU, shades of the "Netbook" market of a few years back:
Based on design-win visibility at PC OEM customers, conversations with notebook ODMs indicate that AMDis at risk of material share loss to Intel's Baytrail in the sub-$399 computing market starting in Q2. We note that Intel's new competitive strategy will refocus the company on the low-end x86 computing segment, a market in which the company has not participated in since its netbook push ended in 2010. As a result of its lakc of participation, Intel's share in the low-end computing market ($399 or below system price points) is below 50% currently (versus low 80% share overall in PC processors).
He's enthusiastic about the technical edge of Grantley:
We believe Intel's upcoming Grantley server platform will reaccelerate spending at traditional IT customers and serve as a likely driver for Intel's Data Center Group (DCG) business (22% of company sales, ~40% of operating profit) in 2015. As the next "tock" in Intel's server platform roadmap, Grantley will offer major feature set improvements, including support for DDR4 memory, four lanes of 10 gigabit Ethernet (10gE) support, greater floating point capability, and improved energy efficiency. Going forward, we believe DDR4 and four lanes of 10gE support are key selling points for Grantley. DDR4 memory support should provide increased bandwidth and lower wattage versus Romley and its DDR3 memory. Our hardware analyst, Brent Bracelin, estimates that 75% of total servers shipping today are still equipped with 1gE, with the 4 lanes of 10gE support in Grantley a compelling offering for bandwidth constrained data center customers. In addition, prior discussions with Intel management last quarter indicate that customers are already indicating strong demand for Grantley given its disclosed specifications. We expect Grantley to begin shipping into the DP market (~85% of server processor units) in the second half of 2014. In terms of sensitivity to our model, we estimate that every 100 basis points of percentage change in DCG revenue growth impacts EPS by $0.02. As shown in the table below, new server platforms historically have driven DCG growth at Intel.
Lastly, he thinks Intel could put the hurt on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) if it can steal away some customers:
TSMC's capital intensity is 43% this year, significantly higher than other leading-edge manufacturers. If Intel gains share within TSMC's top 10 customer base, this could force TSMC to lower its capital investment, fall off the leading edge, and not transition to lower-cost 450mm manufacturing. In our view, this would allow Intel to lengthen its manufacturing lead, consolidate the industry's leading-edge manufacturing base, and drive a higher multiple for its stock. In terms of model sensitivity, the foundry market is expected to represent a $65 billion TAM by 2016. Of TSMC's top 10 customers, we believe Intel has the highest probability to secure foundry business from Apple, Broadcom, and Marvell over the next two years. If Intel garners foundry business from one to all of the aforementioned customers, Intel's foundry share could range from 3% to 10%, equating to an incremental revenue opportunity of $2 to $7 billion, and an EPS contribution of $0.13 to $0.45.
Tech Trader Daily is a blog on technology investing written by Barron's veteran Tiernan Ray. The blog provides news, analysis and original reporting on events important to investors in software, hardware, the Internet, telecommunications and related fields. Comments and tips can be sent to: email@example.com.


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A truce has been called in the immediate area around the site by both the Kiev forces and pro-Russian separatists, but combat was raging just 60km away, with loud explosions heard at regular intervals in western and northern suburbs of rebel stronghold Donetsk.
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|Amount Per Serving
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|Black Elderberry (Sambucus nigra L.) Extract
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|Amount Per Serving
|% Daily Value
|Black Elderberry (Sambucus nigra L.) Extract
|5000 mg
If pregnant, nursing or on medication, consult with your healthcare practitioner.
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Steven Varkony, MD
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5 out of 5 stars
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Sesame Street
ELMO & LEELA LOOK FOR A MINE-ITIS CURESeries Website »
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A Sesame Street Nightly News Update comes in from Brian Williams saying that, "No one is sharing!"
Holly is on a mission to get to know more Vermonters, what inspires them, what makes them tick, and to learn how Vermont PBS can better serve. Watch the video...
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Home Posts tagged 'Priyanshu Chatterjee'
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Rajdhani Express Movie Review: Watch or Not?: Go for Rajdhani Express, if social dramas interest you and y...
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Rating: 2/5 Stars (Two-stars) User Rating: Rajdhani Express is the forthcoming socio-political dramatic af...
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Check out the song 'Tera Zikr' from the upcoming film Rajdhani Express featuring Leander Paes,...
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Buck Owens
Showing recordings 81-90 of 1,055 that were created in 2010 for songs by Buck Owens. The recordings are sorted by date. Click the year links to view recordings for a different year or the page links further down to view more recordings for the currently selected year.
Act Naturally
By Egidio 12 +2 in the Style of Buck Owens
117 views 6 comments 1
Video Recorded
Act Naturally........................I am...............;0)
Act Naturally
By KOKOMOELDIABLO 20 +4 +4 in the Style of Buck Owens
47 views 9 comments 5
Video Recorded
{ background-color:transparent; border:none; border-width:0px; } body { background-image:url(http://i920.photobucket.com/albums/ad44/JanetDarline/Jans%20Own%20Creatative%20Work%202010/Beautiful%20Creative%20Layouts/Larrys/LarrysMusicNote4BG.jpg); background-repeat:repeat; background-attachment:fixed; Thanks For Stopping In Larry
Santa Looked A Lot Like Daddy
By salli in the Style of Buck Owens
36 views 10 comments 5+
Video Recorded
Merry Christmas & Happy New Year, to all my SS Friends..!!!
Together Again
By illinois-woman 11 Featuring Oompa-Ken 15 +3 in the Style of Buck Owens
28 views 4 comments 1
Audio Recorded
Together Again
By Gary_A +2 in the Style of Buck Owens
53 views 13 comments
Video Recorded
Here's an old classic that was written and performed by Buck Owens..... I changed it slightly and added 1 guitar track and a voice track.... Comments are most welcome..... Thanks for stopping by..... Have a good evening everyone... Cheers, Gary
Act Naturally
By marywuls 34 +1 +5 in the Style of Buck Owens
count off 23 comments 5+
Audio Recorded
Santa Looked A Lot Like Daddy
By daddy35 10 in the Style of Buck Owens
73 views 18 comments 5
Video Recorded
Hey folks Merry Christmas,LOL.BIG HUGGSS
Santa Looked A Lot Like Daddy
By Angel_kisses_49 6 in the Style of Buck Owens
83 views 22 comments 5+
Audio Recorded
Curny's Christmas Special Round 1~song about a special Christmas memory My Memories are of my father who was the town Santa Claus for well over 50 years.....on santa claus day he always handed out candy to all the boys and girls after a christmas movie, He did this when I was a little girl and I was none the wiser until I was old enough to figure it out. He went to schools and helped hand out presents. In our small country Community he was called upon to make santa visits at homes on Christmas eve and to hand out special gifts..... So santa was my daddy.....and delighted many children during the Christmas season. Thanks for stopping by to listen
Act Naturally
By HOTRodders in the Style of Buck Owens
88 views 1 comment 1
Audio Recorded
Thats me! LOL Biggest FOOL! Thanks,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Rod.
Santa Looked A Lot Like Daddy
By sunnyd1957 16 in the Style of Buck Owens
105 views 31 comments 5+
Video Recorded
SANTA LOOKED A LOT LIKE DADDY HEAVENS MOST PRECIOUS ANGEL COUNTRY, GOSPEL AND COUNTRY CONTEST ROUND 3 BONUS! *** Bonus...Sing ANY Christmas Song For Brantley & His Daddy,Brad & Have Fun with it if You'd Like! THANK YOU SO MUCH FOR LISTENING, HUGS~~~~~SANDY


text:
Subscribe to MyHealth Updates
Prostate cancer patient Carl is the volunteer lookout for the other men in his large extended family. He knows what most of the men do not: that there has been a run of prostate malignancy in the clan.
"I am trying to create a family support group because there are enough men in my family to exchange information and educate each other," said the 62-year-old. "And they are young enough to benefit from my knowledge."
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A short film about a pregnant woman trying to satisfy her hunger and her husband getting caught in the feeding frenzy. (Premiered in The Good, The Bad, and The Indie Film Festival on August 4, 2011.)
Shot on the Canon XF300, 720p at 24p/50Mbps, and graded with Magic Bullet Looks.
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User Review Spotlight: An in-depth review of Superman (N64), which has a reputation for being one of the worst games ever made.
Title / main menu (Lite version)
Game mode
Game start
Matching gaining lighting bolts
Lighting strike
Remove tiles below Talisman
First Talisman piece
Map / progress
Chain Wizard trophy
Each level cleared adds color layer
Lighting with another Talisman piece
Talisman Power - connect 4+ explode tiles
Talisman explode power
Find spot mini game
Loading screen
Get ready
Main menu
More/Extras menu
Select game mode
Level selector in adventure mode
Game played with various game play elements
Somewhat later
Some effect is displaying
Unlocking of picture
What is your next move?
Some effects seems to remove some tiles.
Notice how some of the jars are highlighted with arrows between them. These are selected by dragging the finger over the screen.
Survival mode
Survival introduction
A large level
A somewhat smaller level.
Title screen and main menu
Choose game mode. Survival is available after you get your first taliman.
The story
Week 1, Day 1. I have cleared some tiles.
Lightning clearing some tiles.
I won a trophy.
I need to get the talisman piece to the bottom.
I finished Week 1, Day 1.
As you go, the background colors in more and more.
The game map
The background is all pretty colored.
I have completed the Talisman of Power.
This is where the talismans are stored.
I strung together 4 talismans of power and they exploded.
I am beginning onthe Talisman of Hammer.
I need to find the area of the background shown in the picture.
I found all 7 areas so I will have 7 seconds added to the clock for the next 7 levels.
We have a new background.
The frozen areas need to be cleared by making a match next to them. The steel areas need to be matched twice to clear them.
II strung together 4 talismans of hammer and and a hammer is hitting randomly.
I ran out of time.
I strung together 4 talismans of stars and some shooting stars are hitting the board.
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"Why, that's the second biggest monkey head I've ever seen!"


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(January 28, 2012: Lake Forest, IL 60045) Lake Forest Academy Caxys (Lake Forest, IL) backers were in high spirits Saturday as they witnessed their basketball squad nip the visiting Howe School Cadet Wildcats (Howe, IN), 54-51 in a non-league bout.
With the win, Lake Forest Academy upgrades its record to 5-9 on the season. The Caxys travel to Lake Forest (Lake Forest, IL) to play the Scouts in a non-league bout on Saturday, February 4. The Scouts go into the bout with a record of 9-8.
Next up, the Cadet Wildcats play the Mendon Hornets (Mendon, MI) in a non-league bout, on Monday, January 30. Howe School will attempt to upgrade on its 3-8 season record. The Hornets go into the bout with a 4-6 record after their 71-41 league win over Centreville (Centreville, MI).
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Rugby Union
Select a team
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Guinness PRO12
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South Africa
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Match Links
- Rugby Championship
- 29th Sep 2012
- Ground: Loftus Versfeld, Pretoria
- Att: 44,463
South Africa v Australia - Live
80 The conversion was missed and it's full-time. South Africa win with an impressive effort against an injury-hit Australia side. Argentina will look forward to next week while the Boks wait to welcome the All Blacks in what should be a cracker at Ellis Park.
79 HABANA TRY! 31-8! Hat-trick try. Holes are opening up all over the field as Louw breaks through and then finds his winger for a clear run to the line.
76 Here comes Jantjies, De Jongh and Tiaan Liebenberg. Goosen gets a decent cheer as he goes off following what was a strong debut on the international stage.
73 Things get worse for Australia as they are down to 14 men as Polota-Nau cannot return to the field as he'd earlier told Rolland he was unfit to continue. Because they had made 7 subs already, they couldn't bring someone else on...when it rains it pours.
71 Cilliers is on for Du Plessis as Goosen claims a loose line-out at the tail. However, the Wallabies have counter-rucked and stolen the ball on their own ten-metre.
70 Elton Jantjies and Juan de Jongh wait on the touchline alongside Pat Cilliers, hoping to get onto the field for the closing stages. Will the fly-half get his debut?
67 Conversion missed.
66 HARRIS TRY! 26-8! Something for Australia to cling too as Beale sets up replacement Harris for a try in the corner. Beale's conversion is coming up...
65 So this win will put the Springboks on 12 points, 4 points behind the All Blacks, who they face in Johannesburg next week. What a prospect that game now is?!
62 PIENAAR CONVERSION! 26-3! From under the posts.
61 HABANA TRY! 24-3! That is the bonus. A quick line-out from Habana on halfway led to an interchange with Strauss and from there the wing's pace did the rest.
59 The Wallabies are dropping like flies. Polota-Nau is down while Beale is now back up after being grounded earlier in the piece. Argentina must be licking their lips at facing these depleted Wallabies next weekend. The Pumas face New Zealand later today.
57 Patrick Lambie is on for Kirchner at full-back and gets greeted by a massive cheer from the Pretoria crowd. Wow, that says a lot that Bulls locals want him on.
55 Conversion from wide out is just wide from Pienaar.
54 LOUW TRY! 19-3! It was coming. Power and yet more power from the Springboks as a catch and drive leads to Louw spinning and barging his way over.
53 SLIPPER YELLOW! A double blow for Australia as Samo looks to be injured before replacement prop James Slipper is sin-binned for deliberately slowing down the ball when the Boks were in the ascendancy. At altitude, this could hurt them.
51 The Rugby Championship contests picks up in pace here as Strauss and Louw for SA and then Harris for Australia make inroads in an end-to-end spell. However, nothing comes of the latter's excursions as it is now a Wallaby scrum just inside their half.
48 A chance for South Africa to break out here but Lions centre Taute fails to straighten the line when there three Springboks were waiting wide out. That leads to a spillage from full-back Kirchner so Australia will put in on their own 22. Next score is crucial.
45 Australia are looking threatening here with Beale growing more and more into the game. However, Polota-Nau is then penalised at the breakdown so possession is coughed up. At least it's promising for the Wallabies and their under pressure coach.
43 A steady opening here as Pienaar again puts it airborne from his own 22. This time it's Australia in possession with a bit of territory too. Dennis is up to the 22.
Second-half Welcome back to the action. Beale gets us going before Pienaar puts it up, which leads to the Springboks in possession on the halfway line.
40 Half-time in Pretoria and it's 14-3 to South Africa.
39 Concern for Australia here as Adam Ashley-Cooper is out cold after attempting to force Kirchner into touch with the try-line at his mercy. It goes to the TMO.......in touch says Shaun Veldsman as the Wallaby centre is driven from the action on a buggy.
38 Pienaar was set to cancel Beale's effort out but unfortunately for him struck the upright from a penalty. SA still have good territory though here, about 20 out.
35 BEALE PENALTY! 14-3! Finally, something for the Wallabies to take from the action. South Africa get penalised at the breakdown so up steps Beale, who made no mistake from right in front. So the lead is now down to eleven points in Pretoria.
32 Pienaar has also been superb with his kicking from hand so far today, putting the ball exactly where his chasers want it. Another turnover for the Boks on halfway as Australia come off second best again. It could become a rout here if they're not careful.
30 PIENAAR CONVERSION! 14-0! The nine kicks well.
29 HABANA TRY! 12-0! It is more. Expansive play from the Boks leads to Habana going over off the shoulder of Pienaar. This is looking very worrying for Australia.
27 An opportunity to extend their lead here as Pienaar lines up a long-range shot. This one is wide to the left from him as it stays 7-0 - it should really be more.
25 That move may have paid off too as Goosen breaks the line and is on his way to the try-line. Has he got there with two Wallabies hauling him down? TMO and Alain Rolland deny him his moment, agreeing he was short on the first grounding. No try.
22 PIENAAR CONVERSION! 7-0! Change of kicker, change of result. The Springboks are seven points to the good as Goosen is relieved of the tee.
21 KIRCHNER TRY! 5-0! The pressure eventually tells. After the power runners such as Willem Alberts and Duane Vermeulen, came the pace of the men out wide. Numbers aplenty created the chance for the full-back, who took it well on the right side.
19 And after a few phases from the visitors, the strength of the Springbok scavengers pays off to force a turnover penalty. Brief stoppage here as wing Digby Ioane gets some treatment from the medical staff. He is now the man replaced by Faingaa (blood).
18 Many were expecting plenty of points in Pretoria but it remains scoreless with eighteen minutes played. Australian ball through Sharpe at the tail close to halfway.
16 Early engagement from the Springboks here as Samo takes it up to the 22...hang on a second, the Wallabies have lost it at the breakdown. Up it goes from Goosen. The more things change, the more they stay the same, right. The ball gifted back to Australia.
14 Back comes McCabe from the blood-bin.
13 Am I the only one who thinks it might have been a good idea for the experienced Pienaar to kick from the start so as to take some of the pressure off Goosen? Australian scrum by the way - 30 out from the Bok line - with Beale waiting for good ball.
10 He'll have a chance to make amends though as openside flank Michael Hooper enters a ruck from the side. Up steps Goosen again then..he misses to the left.
8 Now a first chance for Goosen from 50 metres after the Wallabies infringe...this one also drifts just wide of the upright. Still 0-0 at Loftus Versfeld then.
6 Blood replacement for Australia as inside centre Pat McCabe goes off for Anthony Faingaa. That is after the Springboks offend though to allow full-back Berrick Barnes his first opportunity from the tee...he pulls it wide does the Waratahs playmaker.
4 Class from Ruan Pienaar as he finds touch on two occasions as his steady influence comes to the fore early on. Australia have it on halfway via Radike Samo.
2 First touch for Taute now but that is put to ground as the Wallabies come away and up to halfway before Beale kicks very well into the 22. It's a pacey start here.
Kick-off Here we go in Pretoria. Johan Goosen was in tears during the anthem as his big day has arrived. He must shake that off now though as he kicks off.
Team news Johan Goosen and Jaco Taute start for the Boks while Eben Etzebeth returns after his suspension. Australia have gone with Kurtley Beale at fly-half and also have Nathan Sharpe making his 110th Test appearance in gold, equalling George Smith.
Loftus is the setting for the Springboks v Wallabies. South Africa are looking to end a five-game losing run against Australia but with the Boks having not lost to their rivals at Loftus - and the Aussies apparently in a 'toxic state' - this may be their time.
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The Off Load: Rupert Cox's best and worst from the last week in the world of rugby
Rupert Cox shares his highlights from the week's rugby action in his round-up blog...
Which players would miss out if all countries had England's foreign-based player policy?
Toulon's Leigh Halfpenny features for Wales on Friday night, but there is no place in the England team for club team-mate and European Player of the Year Steffon Armitage, due to England's selection policy.
England's Six Nations injury worries continue to grow. Who will England miss the most?
We take a look at Stuart Lancaster's injury concerns ahead of England's Six Nations opener with Wales and beyond.
Experts & Blogs
Phil Edwards
Read the thoughts and opinions of Phil Edwards with skysports.com


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Third Eye Sense Returns w/a taste of Action from a Narcissist,Pyschopath mindset
This is just the Beginning to Many Many Episodes @ unraveling the the Truth to what seem to be the norm of Disorders gone Amok!!! How did we GET HERE?! Do You Recognize this Personality Disorder?? Sure you have, as I share with you the Truth of what is hidden and disguised as Strength! Are you the Victim/Survivor or sadly the Witness. Discussing What's on my mind, Using Third Eye Sense! So much going on, Call in to Add to the Discussion. Much more healing information to come, ain't nothing change just gets better.
The Larry Love Show
The LLS will be talking about Homosexualality in America, whatever your feelings are about this issue call in and comment. If you are Homosexual and you want to comment on misconceptions and lies, fill free to callin too. This will a candid conversation and a civil one.
Bible Blog Talk
in Christianity
We will be discussing homosexualality and what the Bible says about it. Is it a sin? Can you be born that way? Is it a curse? Call in and let me know what you believe about this subject.
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A 22-year-old woman allegedly committed suicide by hanging here in the wee hours of Tuesday. The deceased woman's father G. Brahmaiah complained to the police that her daughter married to Harikrishna 11 months back, had been subjected to harassment for bringing more dowry by her husband. Ongole Town Circle Inspector U Naga Raju said a case of death under suspicious circumstances was registered and a probe initiated into it.
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