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Alex Rodriguez New Love Rebeca Yunen Finke: Honors Graduate From Dominican Republic & More Details
New York Yankees player Alex Rodriguez found a love interest and people are curious to know just who Rebeca Yunun Finke is.
New York Yankees player Alex Rodriguez found a love interest and people are curious to know just who Rebeca Yunun Finke is.
The Diario Libre reported that her father is a well-known businessman named Alberto Yunen Zouain and her mother is Pamen Finke, a socialite from Puerto Plata. Rebeca is also the niece of Rafael Emilio Yunen, the director of the arts center in the Dominican Republic called Centro Leon.
The 24-year-old is an honors graduate in business administration at Pontificia Universidad Catolica Madre y Maestra in the Santiago province of the Dominican Republic, according to NESN. Rodriguez was seen in his home country of the Dominican Republic last Saturday courting Rebeca but the two first met about six months ago at a social event in La Romana, the third-largest city in the country.
During his visit to the country, Rodriguez and Rebeca dined at the Sabrass Restaurant at Plaza Galerias Boulevard on Juan Pablo Duarte Avenue. Afterwards they together returned to the same hotel but had separate rooms.
Rodriguez arrived in Dominica Republic on April 5 and the person who picked him up from the Cibao Airport in a limousine was reportedly Rebeca's father, who then took him to the Gran Almirante Hotel.
Rodriguez is on a hiatus from the baseball field while he rehabs from a recent hip surgery.
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CROWN CITY — Teddy Joe Snyder, 50, of Crown City, Ohio, died Friday, March 28, 2014, at home.
Funeral service will be conducted at 1 p.m. Tuesday, April 1, 2014, at Hall Funeral home, Proctorville, Ohio, by Pastor Luther Dingess. Burial will follow in Miller Memorial Gardens, Miller, Ohio. Visitation will be held from 6-8 p.m. Monday, March 31, 2014, at the funeral home.

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Bio: Sonny Wong stumbled out of the Klamath Wilderness about two decades ago with the uncanny ability to CRUSH A BEAT and MELT A MIC. Well known in the ART COMMUNITY, Wong can be seen often in upscale galleries next to dripping tags or rocking LIVE ART. Also known for his involvement with Humboldt C...See Full Bio
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Reader comments are listed below. Comments are currently closed and new comments are no longer being accepted.
You wrote: "..brought them back to the world as a Powerhouse economy and one of the wealthiest nations in the world"\
Did you mean to say "the wealthiest" in terms of:
(a) the number of outdated useless nuclear warheads in storage,
or (b) the number of corrupt ex-Russian citizens with billions deposited in their off-shore accounts and with duplicate passports ( British, Israeli, Austrian, even Bahamas..),
or (c) the number of former Soviet naval ships and submarines rusting away in Russia's north ports gradually releasing radioactivity from their decaying nuclear reactors,
or (d) the number of attractive Russian girls offering their services in major cities from Ankara, Cairo and TelAviv to Paris, Madrid and Brooklyn, NY. etc. etc.
Some responses to your highly subjective, often unrealistic comments:
a)"There were 9,000 nuclear heads, and none was used".
"Mutually Assured Destruction" (MAD) was the obvious reason. You fail to explain what would anyone, with a sound mind, do with 3,000 nuclear devices when even 1% would destroy the civilised world ?
b) Russia's highly misused veto right in the U.N. Security Council stems from archaic, totally outdated WW2 agreements. Consultations on the necessary revisions to the UN rules, including the veto power, have been going on for decades. Russia, together with the USA, UK, France and China, have a responsibility to bring about major changes in the UN structure.
c) Russia's economy resembles that of a developing nation. Weapons exports are an exception, but are diminishing. Compared to 2000, when exports of Russian oil and gas comprised less than ½ of total exports, in 2010 Russia's dependence on oil and gas increased to about 65% of total exports. Since about 15% of all exports is accounted for by other raw or semiprocessed minerals, it makes Russia's exports 80% dependent on raw materials extraction. Despite talking for 20 years about diversification and modernization, little has been achieved. Russia's budget revenues from oil and gas exports support well over 50% of the federal budget, which makes Russia vulnerable to world energy prices.
d) Your comment that "Russia is expected to become the largest car market in Europe, and the second largest manufacturer in five years" is pure fiction. The largest car market in Europe is and will remain the EU market (500 million consumers), while world wide China and India will become the most lucrative markets. None of these markets will be supplied from Russia to any extent, if at all. Domestic Russian automotive market will remain a captive market for the German, Italian, US, Japanese, Korean and eventually Chinese manufacturers. Just like they have done in South America or South-East Asia some of the major auto producers will do partial assembly of select models in their branch plants built in Russia (just as they do in Poland, Hungary, etc.). That will only increase Russia's dependence on branch plant corporate decisions made in Franfurt, Detroit or Tokyo, not in Moscow.
e)Your dream about a Russian-led Eurasian 'customs union' including Turkey, Iran, Middle-East, etc. is just a dream.
Putin, or his alternative, will have to find a more acceptable "vision" than Eurasia. (Back to the Russian Empire?)
Maybe you should be reminded that, as horrible as they were, Nazi concentration camps were operational for about seven years (1938-1945), while Russia's concentration camps were already operational in mid-1920s 'taking care' of the defeated Russian 'White' loyalists. Stalin's GULAGs continued to expand in the 1930s and 1940s and operated even after Stalin's death in 1953. During that at least 30-35 year span the Soviet penal system managed to annihilate at least 25 million people variously condemned as "anti-revolutionaries", "kulaks', "foreign spies", "enemies of the people", "bandids", and so on and on.
That does not include mass deportations of Baltic people, Poles, Ukrainians, etc. and forced resettlements of people like the Chechens, Dagestanis, the Crimean Tatars and others suspected of disloyalty to Stalin's regime.
The blame is not Stalin's alone. He had managed to manipulate and to exploit a variety of sadistic 'revolutionnaries' of various origins, including Russians, a few Poles, Armenians, a Latvian and others. But the record is undeniable: Leon Trotsky, Lazar Kaganovich, Maxim Litvinov, the NKVD chief Yezhov and dozens of others prominent Stalin's henchmen were widely known to be Jewish.
1. So the Soviets fought the Nazis to stop the Holocaust? If so, why would they defend the lives of Jews but not Latvians, Lithuanians, Poles, Ukrainians, Finns and Tartars that they slaughtered in their millions? Let alone, if the USSR cared about the Jewish people that much, then why did the USSR actively support four attempts to wipe Israel off the map (1948, 1956, 1967 and 1973)?
2. Privilges to its workers? Yes, when it comes to setting the standard for workers safety, compensation and environment protection, the Soviet Union and its proxies did set a unique standard. The Soviets pretended to pay, and workers pretended to work! If you have any doubts, the movie "Strike" would be a good reference point.
The Soviet Union, with all of its faults.
1. Stopped the most preposterous crime of the human history, the Holocaust. The Soviet Union saved the world from the disgrace of Nazism.
2. It offered privileges to its workers (early retiriment, obligatory insurance, free healthcare and college education). Thus, creating the need for western democracies to offers such amenities in their owns social systems, in order to stay competitive.
We should be grateful for these two feats.
Of course it was based on a completely inefficient system, preventing the creating forces of society to realize their potential.
You wrote: " without Lenin and Trotsky, there would not be the progressive aspects of today's world"
Holy smoke, here is one genuine leninist-trockyist, totally brainwashed specimen ! When did you graduate with a degree in LSP (Leninist-Stalinist Propaganda) ? Just wonder.
Just a last thing: read in "Bloomberg" (for example today: "Australia economy grows more than forecast" or in "The Economist") about "resource-rich" Australia. It looks when raw materials come from resource-rich British "colonies" it is a great thing. They don´t compleaing "hey, we export raw materials" but repeat "It is great we have raw material for export: iron ore and coal to China and build new pipelines". Iron ore, coal, gas and oil, wheat...Australia is not ashamed to say "We export raw material"...But all the opposite.
1) The Nazis and the Soviets were two sides of the same evil coin. But while at least the Nazis are dead, those nostalgic for a return to the "better economic times" of the communist occupation of MY country are not.
I'd rather have the freedom to commence my Catholic rites rather than depend on an inept bunch of communist pedophiles for my loaf of bread!
2) "The Soviet Union ..... favored workers in the capitalist west"?????? Oh, so the Berlin Wall was built to keep the western workers out of East Berlin! Thanks for the clarification.
In my opinon the process has been relatively peaceful and broadly successful (even if it could have been even more successful):
a)There were 9,000 nuclear heads, and none was used. Its number is down to about 3,000 nuclear heads. Ukraine and Kazakhstan are free of nuclear weapons.
b) Russia is one of the five nations with right to veto in the U.N. Security Council, keeps 3,000 nuclear heads, and Roscosmos is the Space Agency keeping the International Space Station going. Just those three facts make Russia an indispensable nation like any other in the World but the U.S.
c) Average GDP growth since 1998 has been 5% and income per head has reached the $13,000 mark, not bad compared to the rest of the former USSR (Ukraine´s income per head is just $4,000, three times less than Russia)
d) Russia is the largest producer of gas, second largest producer of oil, second largest exporter of weapons, fourth largest agricultural producer and it is expected to become the largest car market in Europe, and the second largest manufacturer in five years.
e) Russia has kept its land integrity and, in fact, it is developing an Eurasian Union with former member states from the USSR and the Russian Empire, apart from a large FTA which can include in the future even countries like Iran and Turkey (a Customs Union with the EU doesn´t mean they cannot sign FTAs with other nations of the World)
f) Russia is among the five largest manufacturers of steel, gold and aluminium, and its R&D is one of the ten largest in the World.
So, yes, it could have been done better if by 1992 all former USSR Republics had established an Eurasian Union on the base of the E.U. example, with free trade, free circulation of goods, services and capital, and a Schengen-like Treaty. Instead, the former USSR Republics became close Nationalist entities, with closed markets, something which caused $billions in loses to companies which used to sell their goods in other states from the former USSR. Fortunately, that centrifugal process is reversing...but it already has caused $billions in loses which will never be recovered. Boris Eltsin did many mistakes promoting Nationalism in the Republics at the same time the Western European nations were building a close Common Market, with Customs Union, Schengen etc. It was short-minded. They just had to adapt a great part of E.U. legislation to the Eurasian Union, and millions of jobs, and $billions would have been saved.
One can definitely agree that after the Soviet Union collapsed in 1991 Russia did go to the gutter, but one man pulled them out and that mans name is Putin. Putin took a Russia that was crumbling and brought them back to the world as a Powerhouse economy and one of the wealthiest nations in the world. There is no way that you can say that Russia is still suffering from the Soviet Union other than the liberties of the people of Russia or some areas of the country. but the country as a whole has most certainly recovered.
Ashatru wrote: "the truth is that Central Asia was hell until the Russians consolidated power starting from the 1850's and the USSR cemented peace in 1917."
You may be thinking of Mongol conquests, but that was clearly a different era. I strongly recommend you read a few history books on the imperial Russia's gradual but very bloody conquest of Central Asia as well as about repeated popular uprisings against Moscow's rule. There is no need to go back to a totally different era of Gengis Khan.
As to your concept that "the USSR cemented peace in 1917" it looks like you need a refresher course in USSR history. Apart from the fact that there was no USSR in 1917 (the Russian revolution only began in Nov. 1917), a continuing civil war lasted for years and was followed by selective screening of 'counter-revolutionary' elements, - all that was a far cry from your concept of "cementing peace". One can only speculate about human costs before the communist power was "cemented" accross the land.
Your other concept that "The USSR did create a peaceful periphery that increased living standards for millions of peasants in the hinterlands" must be credited to some Kremlin propaganda manual.
Have you never heard about the social and human costs of Soviet forced collectivisation, about mass deportations of "kulaks", about confiscation of peasants' land, lifestock, properties, etc., and last, but not least, about the 1932 -33 man-made famine that has been estimated to cost about 5 million lives in Ukraine, Kuban, the Volga region, etc.
If you can describe this as a "peaceful periphery that increased living standards for millions" then you must live on another planet.
Whats amazing to me is the lack of any baseline here. Im not a big fan of the USSR or Russia. I think the former was a failed social experiment and the latter a corrupt country.
But I strongly feel credit should be given where credit was due. The USSR did create a peaceful periphery that increased living standards for millions of peasants in the hinterlands.
200,000 dead? Is that really a big deal. Lets baseline centuries. From 1250 to 1700 central Asia was a death zone with the descendants of Ghengis Khan and his various Mogul bloodlines fighting Turks, Chines, Darsi, and so forth. In fact, some say their adoption of Islam was the first time that the religion had been violently adopted to pillage other peoples. There is no doubt in my mind that 200,000 dead would be peanuts as an annual death count until 1700. After that the Russian Czars started to setup client kingdoms with the flailing Khanites for protection against the British. This control was eventually solidified into annexation 100 years later into the USSR.
No Im not a big USSR fan - but the truth is that Central Asia was hell until the Russians consolidated power starting from the 1850's and the USSR cemented peace in 1917. The region was finally peaceful after centuries of conflict until the 1979 invasion of Afghanistan, since when its only gotten worse.
Lets not focus on 200,000 deaths - please focus on history and see what shenanigans Gengis Khans seven great, great, great grandsons were upto right before Soviet consolidation.
You hit the point! This country had never realy changed... until recently. The foundations were laid by muscovy conquering all neighbouring russian states. The whole history of Russia since 15th century is an ongoing conquer and onslaught of cities or nations that not abide the rule of the Third Rome. However, it seems that Russia can not push its borders even further. It is so natural. Once Russia inherited the Byzantium court (and coat of arms)after the collapse of Constantinopole, It was said that there were two romes which had collapsed; now there is the third and there will never be fourth. Which seems to be correct. Third Rome collapsed and there will be no fourth. Interesting is how this huge landmass will be disintegrating. I bet Kaliningrad will lead the way. As soon as some catastrophic economic collapse will take place in Russia, new baltic state will emerge. Everyone there dreams about separating from mother Russia. When one thinks about shrinking oil reserves which are projected to last for 20 years, and diminishing profits from natural gas exploration, this moment seems just around the corner.
Sounds like you have your dates and facts confused. Lenin's revolution was of course in 1917-20 while the peak of the British and French empires was reached in post WWII years. By that time there was no Nazi state of any kind. There was no Japanese empire either.
Check your facts, it may help to blow away some of the obvious ideological confusion.
True, the Anti-Nazi Revolution was incredibly beneficial. But it was the overcoming of an evil. If it had not existed it would not have been necessary to fight.
That said, fighting evil is always a positive and energising thing.
Without the October Revolution and the Red Army, without Lenin and Trotsky, there would not be the progressive aspects of today's world. We would be heiling Hitler.
All other empires like the British, the Nazi, the French and even to some extent the American disintegrated thanks to the Russian Revolution and its consequences.
The real alternative to Lenin was German imperialist-racist domination of Europe.
So what if there had been no Vladmir Putin? Would Russia have magically become a thriving democracy?
I had no idea that the collapse of the Soviet Union caused quite so much trouble. Indeed, the world was preoccupied with Germany, but still should have payed more attention than that. I also find the fact that Russians rarely remember those killed in the 1991 failed coup distressing.
People talk a lot about the wickedness of Stalin and that was real enough. Stalin shot about 700,000 Communists and a lot of people are known to have died in his concentration camps.
But what about the massive criminality of Churchill whose intervention in the Russian Civil War led to the deaths of millions and who is dcoumented as deliberately withholding food from Indians in 1943 leading to millions of famine deaths in Bengal?
Since the 87th anniversary of Lenin's death is next January, the dispute about what should be done with the mummified corpse broke out again when Vladimir Medinsky of the United Russia party publicly demanded that Lenin's body should be removed and buried. The idea is fiercely opposed by comrade Zhuganov of the Communist Party who called it "a provocation".
Some Russian media (e.g Vedomosti) suggested that Medinsky's statement was simply a test of public reaction. The paper's further suggested that removing Lenin's body could become some kind of an image-making project for Dmitry Medvedev before the end of his presidential term next spring.
But then Putin would not want to have thousands of communist loyalists turn away from supporting him jsut because of Lenin's corpse. After he has assumed the presidential title anything will be possible.
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Recently I flashed the media apps of Sony xperia z2 to my rooted z1 by installing the zip file using twrp recovery. However on porting I found that the Walkman app has gone off the app grid but is still there in the app list in settings>apps>all apps.
Also found that the movies app force closes. On going through the thread I came to know that there was a problem in the zip file.
Id like to know how to get the Walkman app back on to the app menu so that I can access my music again.thanks in advance


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Washington, D.C., is gearing up for thousands expected to watch President Barack Obama take the oath for his second term on Jan. 21, 2012. Take a look at what you can expect on Inauguration Day 2013 and some notable moments from previous inaugurations.
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To Kill a Mockingbird author Harper Lee has announced her long awaited sequel, Go Set a Watchman, will be the second book in a planned Mockingbird trilogy.
The third book, which has a working title of The Girl Who Killed The Mockingbird, will be set in an alternate reality where humans and birds struggle to co-exist.
Scout is a rouge FBI agent with a taste for vengeance and an eye for danger. But what happens when danger has an eye for her?
Michael Bay and Jerry Bruckheimer are rumoured to have already acquired the film rights, with Nicholas Cage set to play 'Crunk', a mysterious space pirate from Scout's past.
Go Set a Watchman
The Sequel to To Kill A Mockingbird
Set during the mid-1950s, Go Set a Watchman features many of the characters from To Kill a Mockingbird some twenty years later.
Scout has returned to Maycomb from New York to visit her father Atticus.
She is forced to grapple with issues both personal and political as she tries to understand both her father's attitude toward society, and her own feelings about the place where she was born and spent her childhood.
An instant classic.
Click here for more details about Go Set a Watchman
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The Road Connection Truck will be on display during AED Summit, Jan. 18-20.
The Road Connection, an innovative campaign driven by KPI-JCI and Astec Mobile Screens, Yankton, S.D., designed to spotlight the need for infrastructure funding and increase pressure on government to fund road construction, has announced its first official stop.
"The Road Connection" will kick off in January in Washington, D.C., during the 2012 Associated Equipment Distributors (AED) Summit, Jan. 18-21, 2012, as part of a year-long national tour designed to bring about positive change in America's transportation system. The campaign is supported by several industry organizations.
"By officially launching the campaign in a city full of political movers and shakers, we hope to emphasize the necessity of legislative action in securing a multi-year, federal highway bill to improve our roads and bridges," says Joe Vig, group vice president for KPI-JCI and Astec Mobile Screens. "As an industry leader, we feel it is our duty to help lead the way toward greater investment in our transportation system. Better roads and better bridges mean better business for all Americans, and more jobs."
Throughout the year, KPI-JCI and Astec Mobile Screens will travel the highways and interstates to all corners of the nation and host and attend dealer stops, demo days, open houses and industry tradeshows. The Road Connection truck will first be on display at the AED Summit. Future industry events for the Road Connection include the 2012 Georgia Construction Aggregate Association's Management Workshop, the Rocky Mountain Asphalt Conference & Equipment Show, the 2012 National Demolition Association Convention, AGG1 Aggregates Forum and Expo and World of Asphalt.
"This is a crucial time for Americans to push for a transportation bill," Vig says. "It is critical that we unite with others in our industry and make it clear that a multi-year, federal highway bill is absolutely vital in continuing America's prosperity. By investing in our transportation system, we not only improve our quality of life and infrastructure, but we also put more Americans back to work. Our hope is that 'The Road Connection' will serve as the one voice that will be able to bring about real, positive change that will help improve the daily lives of our fellow Americans."
For more information about The Road Connection, visit www.theroadconnection.org. To follow The Road Connection's progress, visit www.facebook.com/theroadconnection or www.twitter.com/road_connection. To learn more about KPI-JCI and Astec Mobile Screens, visit www.kpijci.com.
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5811 Canal Road
Valley View, OH 44125 USA


text:
As public schools across the country transition to the new Common Core standards, which bring wholesale change to the way math and reading are taught in 45 states and the District, criticism of the approach is emerging from groups as divergent as the tea party and the teachers union.
The standards, written by a group of states and embraced by the Obama administration, set common goals for reading, writing and math skills that students should develop from kindergarten through high school graduation. Although classroom curriculum is left to the states, the standards emphasize critical thinking and problem solving and encourage thinking deeply about fewer topics.


text:
Korrect Optical, Inc.
B-299582.4,B-299582.5: Sep 7, 2007
Additional Materials:
- Full Report:
Ralph O. White
(202) 512-8278
(202) 512-4800
(202) 512-8278
Office of Public Affairs
(202) 512-4800
Korrect Optical, Inc. protests the award of a contract to Safe-Lite Optical Company under request for proposals (RFP) No. VA-246-07-RP-0002, issued by the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) to provide eyeglasses to eligible veterans at VA Medical Centers in Veterans Integrated Service Network 6. The protester contends that Safe‑Lite's proposal was materially deficient for failing to offer the required number of frame styles. The protester also takes issue with the evaluation of its own proposal and the agency's determination that all proposals were essentially equal technically.
We deny the protest.
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Mar 20, 2015
- ExecuTech Strategic Consulting, LLC; TRI-COR Industries, Inc.B-410893,B-410893.2,B-410893.3
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General Banter / Re: Friday Traveling League - 10/31 / 2014 9am and 1pm« on: October 30, 2014, 02:18:29 pm »
Looks like we'repplaying liberty stocksdale 9am and 1pm.
This section allows you to view all posts made by this member. Note that you can only see posts made in areas you currently have access to.
Thomas Park in Salina has a Sunday league with an ace pool around 2200 bucks
They haven't told me that they wanted to remain anonymous...EPIC church in Independence is graciously donating the discs for distribution.


text:
We apologize but,we do not accept sending our products by any transfer services
such as "TENSO" "Baggage Forward" etc...In case we found any address of transfer
service companies in buying/sending address.No matter what reason is, we cancel
the order without any contacting with customer, which please note.(We accept only EMS shipping method)
(Also we recommended to not use those transfer companies because, their EMS ship-
-ping fee are relatively high anyway...)
Also, If customer makes a large purchasemore than 10000 jpy, we might gonna ask customer to pay in advance.
Also,we arenot accepting any requests of "repair service" or "exchanges and returns service"
from customer who send our products to outside Japan. Also, there ain't any "warranty of products".
Please read the topic of EMS shipping.http://www.rakuten.co.jp/keitaistrap/info.html
The product descriptions and information of the products due date might be outdated.
All of the descriptions and due dates in this rakuten global market are just a automatically translated version of
product pages for Japanese customer.Also, It doesn't update automatically. If you have question about product or due date,
also the payment and shipping etc... please ask us by e-mail. We'll answer to your questions in whatever way we could :)
ONE PIECE new world Ver... Silicon ice trays now available!
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ONE PIECE new world Ver... Silicon ice trays now available!
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text:
When Your e-Books Read You 105
from the they-get-bored-and-put-you-down dept.
We've improved Slashdot's video section; now you can view our video interviews, product close-ups and site visits with all the usual Slashdot options to comment, share, etc. No more walled garden! It's a work in progress -- we hope you'll check it out (Learn more about the recent updates).
Don't buy books from those vendors, don't enable wifi on your reading device.
My nook touch hasn't checked in since the day it was registered ( which was required to make it work.. grrr )
I am. That way I can buy one cheap to hack and make into a normal device.
Kind of like the Kindle "special offers edition" Smacked those ad's and other crud right out of there. Yes I shed a tear nightly for all the engineers that live on the streets due to my actions.
Rented videos? Noted..
No, not noted http://epic.org/privacy/vppa/ [epic.org] by law. It's why Netflix pitched a hissy that they're not allowed to auto-publish your video rental history on Facebook http://money.cnn.com/2012/03/27/technology/netflix-facebook/index.htm [cnn.com]
"What is wanted is not the will to believe, but the will to find out, which is the exact opposite." -- Bertrand Russell, _Sceptical_Essays_, 1928


text:
Saturday, May 12, 2012 - Thursday, June 28, 2012
12:00 pm
Actor, director and mogul Raj Kapoor (1924-1988) was one of the giants of Indian cinema, and is synonymous with the rise of the monolith known as "Bollywood." May 12 through June 28, the AFI Silver Theatre and Cultural Center in downtown Silver Spring will host Raj Kapoor and the Golden Age of Indian Cinema, a retrospective featuring some Kapoor�s greatest works.
AFI Silver Theatre and Cultural Center
8633 Colesville Road
Silver Spring, MD 20910
Event Contact Info:


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Only 13 days to the Kentucky Derby. Count down the days to the big day with us and learn a new fact about the Kentucky Derby each day.
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text:
Separate names with a comma.
Thanks for the suggestion on heads.
Sorry to hear about your trouble with RHS, luckly I have had no issues like that.
I don't think there garbage and worked well on my 347 putting out close to 400 hp. They have there place just like anything else.
I do agree on the heads and that's next year's project.... Just don't have the funds this year to replace them.
Yes 90mm maf
Forged RPM Kit from woody at fordstrokers. Com
0 balance
building a forged 408 to replace my 347. I have all the swap parts i need but below is my list of my parts, let me know what you all think and...
Thanks for the advice A5literman
can you post some pics?
thanks for the suggestion.... let me throw something else out there...
This 408 will be replacing my 347 in my 93 GT and will be EFI
Mostly Street driven with a trip to the stripe once or twice a summer. Some light boost possibly.
Thanks for the replies guys. I will look for a better match Correction on the heads...they are 200cc RHS iron heads.
ya sorry I guess i left a bunch out.
it is at .050 lift roller cam
9.5 :1 compression
RHS 180cc iron heads 1.60/2.02 vlaves
42lb injectors
Need some advice on cam for a 408 windsor. Below is what I'm looking at.
Lift: .579"/.579"
Duration: 286°/300°
Lobe Separation Angle: 114°
This was my first time running this car and on street tires. They did tell me about a roll cage and harness.
I was at the track for the first time since 2008 after my care was finished and had to let everyone know how I did, I thought it was was pretty...
Still for sale?
After replacing the factory k member with a UPR one, how do I jack the fron of the car up. I used to use the kmember in front. how are the rest...
Thoser are Halibrands...the american racing ones are close but not quite the same. Notice the triangler slots are differen sizes. One the AR...
Who makes these?????
These wheels...I like these. who makes them. They kinda look like old cobra wheels.


text:
Buy houses in RG5 - 3 bedrooms
£299,950 (£268/sq. ft)
Howth Drive, Woodley RG5End terrace house for sale - 3 bedrooms 1,119 sq. ft*
Samuel James are proud to offer a three bedroom end of terrace house. In our opinion, this house makes an ideal refurbishment project with scope for modernisation, improved use of a larger than average garage and extending (subject to planning). More details
Note: Distances are straight line measurements
- Earley (1.0 mile)
- Winnersh Triangle (1.6 miles)
Marketed by Samuel James, RG1. Call 0118 315 0092Offers over £300,000
Woodwaye, Reading RG5Detached bungalow for sale - 3 bedrooms
Sansome & George Reading - Offered to the market with the advantage of 'No Onward Chain', this deceptively spacious and extended detached bungalow is situated at the foot of a sought after cul-de-sac in the heart of Woodley. More details
Note: Distances are straight line measurements
- Earley (0.9 miles)
- Winnersh Triangle (1.3 miles)
Marketed by Sansome & George Residential Sales and Lettings, RG30. Call 0118 443 0082£349,950
Carpenters Close, Woodley, Reading, Berkshire RG5Property for sale - 3 bedrooms
This modern and well presented three bedroom semi-detached house is located in a residential area in Woodley, within easy access of transport links and local amenities. The accommodation comprises a downstairs cloakroom, living room, conservatory and ... More details
Note: Distances are straight line measurements
- Winnersh Triangle (0.5 miles)
- Earley (0.9 miles)
Marketed by Prospect, RG41. Call 0118 909 9425From £385,000 Just added
"The Hawthorn - Plot 96" at Perimeter Road, Woodley, Reading RG5Semi-detached house for sale - 3 bedrooms
The superb 'Hawthorn' combines style and space with a light and airy living/dining room, kitchen/breakfast room and Conservatory downstairs, plus two bedrooms - one with a shower room - and a main bathroom on the first floor. A fabulous en-suite ... More details
Note: Distances are straight line measurements
- Twyford (1.4 miles)
- Winnersh Triangle (1.5 miles)
Marketed by Taylor Wimpey West London - Loddon Park, RG5. Call 01344 527099From £416,950 Just added
Headley Road East, Woodley, Berkshire RG5Detached house for sale - 3 bedrooms
The Warwick - This charming new 3 bedroom house boasts large, open plan interiors that make spending time together a pleasure, while the seperate lounge and 3 generously sized bedrooms are also perfect for those moments of relaxation More details
Note: Distances are straight line measurements
- Winnersh Triangle (1.1 miles)
- Earley (1.3 miles)
Marketed by Redrow - Addington Place, RG5. Call 0118 443 1280
* Sizes listed are approximations. Please contact the agent to verify actual sizes.


text:
Baby starts crying after massage stops
Babies cry whenever they want food, are sleepy, need their nappy changed, and now apparently...
2 hours, 16 minutes ago
Babies cry whenever they want food, are sleepy, need their nappy changed, and now apparently...
2 hours, 16 minutes ago
This pitbull has formed a beautiful relationship with this poor abandoned kitten.
2 hours, 17 minutes ago
A US traffic research and education foundation has released shocking real video of the results...
2 hours, 18 minutes ago
Eddy and her "seal team" celebrate a successful, three hour swim.
3 hours, 34 minutes ago
Nelson Aspen has the first trailer for the new James Bond film.
3 hours, 37 minutes ago
Kochie's Angels discuss rumours the Duchess of Cambridge might be having a girl.
3 hours, 38 minutes ago
Kevin Plank started his sportswear company in his grandmother's garage and is now worth as...
3 hours, 40 minutes ago
Nelson Aspen reports on the actress's win at the Kids' Choice Awards.
3 hours, 41 minutes ago
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3 hours, 46 minutes ago
Eddy is in the water at Hopkins Island near Port Lincoln, with Matt from Adventure Bay...
3 hours, 49 minutes ago
Child Psychiatrist Dr Jim Tucker explains why he believes a 10-year-old boy could be correct...
3 hours, 53 minutes ago


text:
Stephen Colbert is the favorite choice of South Carolinians to replace Jim DeMint, who is vacating his U.S. Senate seat at the end of the year.
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ty so much;) & research shows multitaskers do NOT do as well as WE:) think~


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Indian Springs Resort and Spa
No availability found through our partners. Please contact the business directly or check some of our recommended alternatives.
How has this spa rated in the past?
- Suites
- Swimming pool
- Free High-Speed Internet
- Business Services
- Free parking
Photos of Indian Springs Resort and Spa
TripAdvisor Reviews Indian Springs Resort and Spa Calistoga
Travel Blogs from Calistoga
Fancy a sip?
... it has been rebuilt but it's amazing what they used to do. Back on the road and over the golden gate (our first viewing of it in 3days). Starting to pick up speed on the other side we collect a big packing box under our wheel and drag it along to the next exit. Clearing the mess we decide since we've pulled over to skirt through downtown Sausalito before again hitting the freeway north. Pleasantly surprising the wine ...
A great Rally at the Calistoga RV Fairgrounds.
... by 2016. The wines he shared are wonderful. I bought a Viogene and aCab that I thought outstanding. The only other winery I went to was the Louis Martini. Lauren had to pick up some wine for his daughter who is a member of the wine club there. So we got to have free tastings, nice. I bought a bottle of their Meritage. In California a Meritage is equivalent to a Bordeaux. The bean bag tournament was today. I sucked. But ...
V.Sattui and Sterling Wineries
... go to V.Sattui Winery in St. Helena for wine tasting and lunch after Danica read that they had wood-fired pizza. Both Harlan and Matt voted for that. Apparently hundreds of others had the same idea as evidenced by the traffic jam. Danica jumped out of the car and staked out a parking spot as a car was leaving. She convinced them to stay put until we could get close to it. Way to go!
V.Sattui has an outside grille and ...
Wine and Art....
... checked-out and headed off north for wine-tastings in various places. As I drove into the 1st one (Darioush) I got pulled over by the Highway Patrol. I was a bit nervous since I was certain I hadn't been speeding. The cop confirmed this by mildly admonishing me for driving too SLOWLY!!
We continued to different places, including the Mumm Vineyard where there was a photo exhibition (quite a few of ...
Wine, Wine Whine......Ouch I Hurt!
... wines and sip away, all the while getting to know our host who we find has kept the place open just for us! love it .. we talk jobs, the region, the history of wines and general chit chat! Thanks Tammy! we had a good time and good luck at school and with your adventures in wine.
It was a good evening all the way round and the ribs are not feeling too bad ... We head back to the Discovery Inn and its time ...


text:
Charts tracking tags in articles by Richard Mount
Interactive charts on this page show tags in articles published by Richard Mount, tracking usage from 1996 (when publication started) to present (as of most recently published issue).
Data used in these charts is drawn from all articles tagged with 'richard mount', via our automated tagging system.
See our charts FAQ for more explanations of data charts presented here and elsewhere on our site.
Top tags in Richard Mount articles
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Long tail: all tags in articles by Richard Mount
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Complete list of tags associated with Richard Mount
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data (94/1), preservation (28/1), software (20/1), data set (6/1), archives (4/1), science and technology facilities council (4/1), operating system (3/1), open access (2/1), slac national accelerator laboratory (2/1), research (2/1), portfolio (1/1), infrastructure (1/1), cornell university (1/1), ocr (1/1), standards (1/1), dcc (1/1), interoperability (1/1), database (1/1), ascii (1/1), framework (1/1), search technology (1/1), linux (1/1)


text:
For the filling I used a mixture of ground turkey, frozen mixed vegetables that I found in my freezer and shredded mozzarella cheese. However the best part was the sauce. I made a Bechamel sauce and added garlic, rum and tomato sauce. Oh, it turned out so delicious that I am so claiming copyright over it! Since sauces usually receive the name of their creators I am naming this one Beristain sauce (Beristain being my second last name) Here is the recipe:
Turkey cannelloni with Beristain sauce:Serves 2-4Preparation time: 30 minutesCooking time: 25 minutesFor this recipe you will need:1/2 recipehomemade pastaFor the filling:1 TBSP olive oil1 small onion, chopped2 garlic cloves, diced1 lb (500 gr) ground turkey1 8 oz (250 gr) bag frozen mixed vegetables1 tsp paprikasalt and pepper to taste1 cup shredded mozzarellaFor the sauce:2 TBSP butter2 TBSP minced garlic2 TBSP rum2 TBSP flour2 cups milkpinch of ground nutmeg1/2 to 1 cup tomato saucesalt and pepper to tastePreparation:Roll out your pasta until you get a thin rectangular sheet. Approximately 10″ x 12″ x 1/4″ (25cm x 30 cm x 0.5cm)Cut 3″ x 6″ (7cm x 15cm) rectangles and put them to dry. About 2 hours.When the pasta is dry cook al dente.In a large skillet sautee onions and garlic in olive oil. Add ground turkey and cook until brown. Add vegetables and cook for about 5 minutes. Set aside.In a saucepan heat milk until it is about to boil. Keep and eye on it. Remember milklovesto boil over the moment you turn around. Set aside.In a medium size saucepan melt butter over medium high heat. When the butter is very hot add minced garlic and let it cook for 3 minutes (be careful not to burn it) Add rum and bring to a boil.Remove from the stove and add sift flour into the butter. Mix well.Add the milk a little at a time and keep stirring until well mix.Return to the stove and keep mixing until the sauce thickens and starts boiling.Add nutmeg, salt and pepper and tomato sauce. Stir well and bring back to a boil.Pre-heat ovent to 350°F (175ºC)Stuff your pasta with the filling and shredded mozzarella. This was the part where I wasn't very successful.Here's a videothat will be of much help.Pour some sauce at the bottom of a baking dish and arrange your cannelloni. Pour sauce on top of the cannelloni and bake for 25 minutes.Serve hot and enjoy!About this recipe:The instructions are quite lenghty but you can reduce the amount of time by getting your pasta done beforehand (or buying it at the store)The filling can be anything you like. Next time I will try chicken or a vegetarian version.The part that was absolutely delicious was the Beristain sauce (yes, I am keeping the name) You really have to try it.I didn't put any cheese on top because there was cheese in the filling already and milk in the sauce. That was more than enough dairy for me.
Turkey cannelloni with Beristain sauce:Serves 2-4Preparation time: 30 minutesCooking time: 25 minutes
For this recipe you will need:
For the filling:
For the sauce:
About this recipe:
Does having my own sauce makes me famous? LOL. This is my entry for the weekly eventPresto Pasta Nightsover atRuth's blog. This is one event I try not to miss.
Buen provecho!
This is a RSS feed delivered to your news reader or e-mail inbox. For more pictures, recipes and tips please visitWhat's cooking?


text:
[Blind Gossip] Although he has appeared in more than 50 film and television roles, this actor may be best known for his role in a classic horror film.
What is not widely known is that he is as crazy off screen as he is on screen. » Continued
[Blind Gossip] Although he has appeared in more than 50 film and television roles, this actor may be best known for his role in a classic horror film.
What is not widely known is that he is as crazy off screen as he is on screen. » Continued
[TV Line] This isn't so much a blind item as it is, say, a far-sighted one. But, before I explain why, let me give you your clues:
[New York Post] Which high-profile guest arrived at the Victoria's Secret Fashion Show after-party reeking of pot? » Continued
[Blind Gossip] This pretty actress has been missing in action for the past week. While she should have been out promoting her new project, she has been claiming that she can't because of the weather in New York.
That's odd. Other cast members have managed to get flights out. And even if she was stuck in New York, she certainly could have done appearances on the New York-based morning shows.
So what's really going on here? Well, what she isn't saying is that she actually isn't in any shape to be seen in public. » Continued
[National Enquirer] Which married Hollywood couple – they're both Oscar-nominated – fought like cats and dogs recently while visiting longtime actor friends at their quiet retreat outside New York City? The 40-something couple's constant arguing and bickering culminated with her storming out of the bed-and-breakfast and flying back to L.A. – alone! » Continued
[Blind Gossip] He is her fiancé in name only. He is really her employee. He is paid a very handsome salary to keep her in sight at all times so that there is no chance for » Continued
[Blind Gossip] Although you see her with their kids constantly, you don't see him with the kids more than once a month… and he rarely looks happy about it. Lately though, he's everywhere with them, and each moment has been captured on film. Why the sudden change?
It's all because of his famous » Continued
[Blind Gossip] This famous star is terribly unhappy right now. Her personal life is one source of disappointment. She knows that her partner is not really in love with her. She is also very sad that a past love is in a committed relationship with someone else. She knows that she wasn't an innocent party in that breakup, but it still hurts her that he moved on.
She is also not enjoying her job, and wants to get out of her contract. Her management team is telling her that she must stick it out for the season or else no one else will want to hire her.
Although she » Continued
[Lainey Gossip] When this celebrity couple got married, a few members of their friends and family produced a video, intending to play it at the wedding. They took to the streets, interviewing » Continued
[Blind Gossip] October can be a month of surprises, and these two political teams are going into overdrive trying to guess what the other team's "October Surprise" is going to be, and how to best combat it. Each side has narrowed it down to four possibilities:
Team 1 believes the Surprise could be about:
Copyright © 2015 BLIND GOSSIP - All Rights Reserved


text:
So what do you think of this pic from this morning?
rcnaylorMarch 4, 2010
Ha. Thanks. For what its worth there was no photoshopping or effects added. And, it was even more visible to the eye than I managed to capture in the camera. But, we had a heavy fog that was lifting as a bright sun was coming up, and the whole checkerboard fog/shadow thing got going up at about the 10th floor. My office is in that building.


text:
A method for systematically configuring and deploying an empirical model used for fault detection and equipment health monitoring. The method is driven by a set of data preprocessing and model performance metrics subsystems that when applied to a raw data set, produce an optimal empirical model.
1. A method for implementing a monitoring system for monitoring equipment health, comprising the steps of:
generating a first empirical model from reference data representing a piece of equipment;
generating a second empirical model from the reference data;
generating at least one performance metric for said first empirical model;
generating at least one performance metric for said second empirical model;
upon comparing the at least one performance metrics from said first and said second empirical models, selecting one of them to use for monitoring the piece of equipment.
2. A method according to
3. A method according to
4. A method according to
providing a set of multivariate test data representative of normal operation of said piece of equipment;
adding a disturbance to at least one variable of said set of normal test data, over at least some of said normal test data samples;
generating estimates with each said empirical model of said normal test data;
generating estimates with each said empirical model of said disturbed normal test data; and
for each said empirical model, differencing the estimates of said disturbed normal test data with the estimates of said normal test data to determine a measure of robustness for each disturbed variable.
5. A method according to
6. A method according to
7. A method according to
8. A method according to
9. A method according to
10. A method according to
11. A method according to
providing a set of multivariate test data representative of normal operation of said piece of equipment;
adding a disturbance to at least one variable of said set of normal test data, over at least some of said normal test data samples;
generating estimates with each said empirical model of said normal test data;
generating estimates with each said empirical model of said disturbed normal test data; and
for each said empirical model, differencing the estimates of at least one other variable for said disturbed normal test data with the estimates of the other variable for said normal test data, determining normalized RMS for said differences, and dividing by a measure of variance in the disturbed variable absent the disturbance, to determine a measure of impact on the other variable for the disturbed variable.
12. A method according to
13. A method according to
14. A method according to
providing a set of multivariate test data representative of normal operation of said piece of equipment;
adding a disturbance to at least one target variable of said set of normal test data, over at least some of said normal test data samples;
generating estimates with each said empirical model of said normal test data;
generating estimates with each said empirical model of said disturbed normal test data;
for each said empirical model, differencing the estimates of said disturbed normal test data with the estimates of said normal test data to determine a measure of robustness for the target variable;
determining a bias in estimates for the target variable;
determining a measure of variance for the target variable; and
determining a minimum detectable shift for the target variable equivalent to the measure of robustness for the target variable plus the quantity of the estimate bias for the target variable multiplied by the measure of variance in the target variable.
15. A method according to
16. A method according to
17. A computer software apparatus for determining the performance of a model-based monitoring system for monitoring equipment health, comprising:
a processor for executing computer code;
a memory for storing reference data and test data representative of a piece of equipment;
a first computer code module disposed to cause said processor to generate a model of said piece of equipment from said reference data;
a second computer code module disposed to cause said processor to use said model to generate normal estimates of said test data; and
a third computer code module disposed to cause said processor to add a disturbance value to one variable per sample, for at least a some of the samples comprising said test data, generate an estimate of each such sample, compare the estimate to the corresponding one of said normal estimates for said test data, and generate a model performance metric therefrom.
18. An apparatus according to
19. An apparatus according to
20. An apparatus according to
21. An apparatus according to
22. An apparatus according to
23. An apparatus according to
24. An apparatus according to
25. An apparatus according to
The present invention relates to equipment health monitoring, and more particularly to the setup and deployment of model-based equipment health monitoring systems.
Recently, new techniques have been commercialized to provide equipment health monitoring and early warning of equipment failure. Unlike prior techniques that depend on a precise physical understanding of the mechanics of the machine's design, these new techniques rely on empirical modeling methods to �learn� normal equipment behavior so as to detect nascent signs of abnormal behavior when monitoring an ailing machine or process. More specifically, such new techniques learn operational dynamics of equipment from sensor data on that equipment, and build this learning into a predictive model. The predictive model is a software representation of the equipment's performance, and is used to generate estimates of equipment behavior in real time. Comparison of the prediction to the actual ongoing measured sensor signals provides for detection of anomalies.
According to one of the new techniques described in U.S. Pat. No. 5,764,509 to Wegerich et al., sensor data from equipment to be monitored is accumulated and used to train an empirical model of the equipment. The training includes determining a matrix of learned observations of sets of sensor values inclusive of sensor minimums and maximums. The model is then used online to monitor equipment health, by generating estimates of sensor signals in response to measurement of actual sensor signals from the equipment. The actual measured values and the estimated values are differenced to produce residuals. The residuals can be tested using a statistical hypothesis test to determine with great sensitivity when the residuals become anomalous, indicative of incipient equipment failure.
While the empirical model techniques have proven to be more sensitive and more robust than traditional physics-based models, allowing even for personalized models specific to individual machines, the development and deployment of the equipment models represents significant effort. Empirical models are not amenable to a complete and thorough elucidation of their function, and so creating properly functioning models is prone to some trial and error. Furthermore, since they are largely data-driven, they can only provide as much efficacy for equipment health monitoring as the data allows. It is often difficult to know ahead of time how well a data-derived model will be able to detect insipient equipment health problems, but it is also unreasonable to await a real equipment failure to see the efficacy of the model. Tuning of an empirical model is also more a matter of art than science. Again, because the model is derived from data, the tuning needs of the model are heavily dependent on the quality of the data vis-�-vis the equipment's dynamic range and the manner in which the equipment can fail. Currently, model-based monitoring systems require significant manual investment in model development for the reasons stated above.
There is a need for means to better automate the empirical modeling process for equipment health monitoring solutions, and to improve the rate of successful model development. What is needed is a means of determining the capabilities of a given data-derived model, and of comparing alternative models. What is further needed is a way of automating deployment of individual data-derived models for fleets of similar equipment without significant human intervention. Furthermore, a means is needed of tuning a model in-line whenever it is adapted without human intervention.
A method and system is provided for automated measurement of model performance in a data-driven equipment health monitoring system, for use in early detection of equipment problems and process problems in any kind of mechanical or industrial engine or process. The invention enables the automatic development and deployment of empirical model-based monitoring systems, and the models of the monitored equipment they are based on. Accordingly, the invention comprises a number of modules for automatically determining in software the accuracy and robustness of an algorithmic data-driven model, as well as other performance metrics, and deploying a model selected based on such performance metrics, or redesigning said model as necessary.
The invention enables quick deployment of large numbers of empirical models for monitoring large fleets of assets (et engines, automobiles or power plants, for example), which eases the burden on systems engineers that would normally set up models individually using manually intensive techniques. This results in a highly scalable system for condition based monitoring of equipment. In addition, each model and each variable of every model will have associated with it measures of performance that assess model accuracy, robustness, spillover, bias and minimum detectable shift. The measures can easily be re-calculated at any time if need be to address changes in the model due to adaptation, system changes and anything else that could effect model performance.
The novel features believed characteristic of the invention are set forth in the appended claims. The invention itself, however, as well as the preferred mode of use, further objectives and advantages thereof, is best understood by reference to the following detailed description of the embodiments in conjunction with the accompanying drawing, wherein:
An equipment health monitoring system according to the invention is shown in
Separately, a workbench desktop application 135 is used by an engineer to develop the model(s) used by the estimation engine 105. Data representative of the normal operation of equipment to be monitored, such as data from sensors on a jet engine representative of its performance throughout a flight envelope, is used in the workbench 135 to build the model. Model training module 140 converts the data into selected learned reference observations, which comprise the learned reference library 110. A model performance module 145 provides the engineer with measures of model efficacy in the form of accuracy, robustness, spillover, bias and minimum detectable shift, which aids in determining which empirical model to deploy in the learned reference library 110. Model performance module 145 can also be configured to run in real-time to assess model efficacy after an adaptation of the model, which is carried out in real-time by adaptation module 150, responsive to rules that operate on the input data from input module 115. The adaptation module 150 has the ability to update the learned reference library 110, for example, if an input parameter such as an ambient temperature exceeds a previously experienced range learned by the model, and the model needs to accommodate the new extra-range data into its learning.
According to the present invention, the modeling technique can be chosen from a variety of known empirical modeling techniques, or even data-driven techniques that will yet be developed. By way of example, models based on kernel regression, radial basis functions, similarity-based modeling, principal component analysis, linear regression, partial least squares, neural networks, and support vector regression are usable in the context of the present invention. In particular, modeling methods that are kernel-based are useful in the present invention. These methods can be described by the equation:
In a preferred embodiment of the invention, the modeling technique used in the estimation engine 105 is similarity based modeling, or SBM. According to this method, multivariate snapshots of sensor data are used to create a model comprising a matrix D of learned reference observations. Upon presentation of a new input observation Xin comprising sensor signal measurements of equipment behavior, autoassociative estimates xest are calculated according to:
An example of one similarity operator that may be used in a preferred embodiment of the invention is given by:
Further according to a preferred embodiment of the present invention, an SBM-based model can be created in real-time with each new input observation by localizing within the learned reference library 110 to those learned observations with particular relevance to the input observation, and constituting the D matrix from just those observations. With the next input observation, the D matrix would be reconstituted from a different subset of the learned reference matrix, and so on. A number of means of localizing may be used, including nearest neighbors to the input vector, and highest similarity scores.
The possibility of generating data-driven models introduces the problem that some models perform better than others derived from the same data, or from similar data. Optimally, the best model is deployed to monitor equipment, and to this end, the present invention provides the model performance module 145 for generating metrics by which the best model can be automatically deployed.
To measure the performance of a modeling technique, several performance metrics are used. The main objective of the model in the context of fault detection is to reliably detect shifts in modeled parameters. Therefore the accuracy of a model is not always the best measure of the performance of the model. A more comprehensive set of performance metrics are needed to assess a model's ability to detect deviations from normality in addition to the accuracy of the model. To accomplish this, a set of performance metrics is defined according to the invention. These metrics measure the accuracy, robustness, spillover, bias and minimum detectable shift for a given model.
Individual Variable Modeling Accuracy�This is a measure of the accuracy of the autoassociative and/or inferential model for each variable in each group of variables for each test data set. Accuracy is calculated for each variable using a normalized residual RMS calculation (accp). This is calculated by dividing the RMS of the residual for each variable (rmsp) by the standard deviation of the variable itself (σp). A smaller accp corresponds to a higher accuracy. This metric tends to favor over fitting, and therefore must be assessed with a corresponding robustness measurement. The accuracy measurement for each variable is calculated according to:
Overall Model Accuracy�The overall accuracy for each model containing M modeled output variables, is generated by:
Individual Variable Modeling Robustness�This is a measurement of the ability of the model to detect disturbances in each one of the modeled variables. When a fault occurs in a monitored system, it usually (but not always) manifests itself in more than one of the modeled variables. In order to realistically measure robustness, one must accurately simulate fault scenarios and then assess robustness for each variable expected to show deviations from normality. Unfortunately, this is a very impractical approach. To overcome the impracticality, a disturbance is added to each individual variable. If the amount of reference data permits, disturbances are introduced in non-overlapped windows throughout the length of the available reference dataset. The robustness for each variable is then calculated in the corresponding disturbance window. In this way, robustness for all variables may be calculated in one pass. This approach assumes that the length of the reference data set is L≧W*M, where W is the window size and M is the number of variables to be tested in the model. If this is not the case, the disturbance is added M separate times and the analysis is done separately for each variable.
Measuring robustness�Add or subtract a constant amount from each sample of the windowed region of data depending on if the sample is below or above the mean of the signal respectively. The amount to add (or subtract) is typically � the range of the variable, so that the disturbance is usually very close to being within the normal data range. Turning to
Both the original set of reference data as well as the data with perturbations is input to the candidate model, and estimates are generated. The objective is to see how badly the model estimates are influenced by the perturbed data, especially in view of how well the model makes estimates when the data is pristine. To calculate the robustness metric for each variable the following equation is used:
Overall Model Robustness�The overall robustness is just the average of the individual modeled variable robustness measurements over variables p and the spread in robustness is given by the standard deviation of the individual robustness measurements.
Spillover�This measures the relative amount that variables in a model deviate from normality when another variable is perturbed. In contrast to robustness, spillover measures the robustness on all other variables when one variable is perturbed. Importantly, this metric is not calculated in the case of an inferential model, where perturbation of an input (an independent parameter) would not be expected to meaningfully impact an output in terms of robustness, since the outputs are entirely dependent on the inputs. The spillover measurement for each variable is calculated using a normalized RMS calculation (sprp|q), which is given by:
Overall spillover�The overall spillover metric for a model is given by:
Model Bias�This metric gives a measure of the constant difference between the model estimate and actual data above and below the mean of the data. It is calculated for each variable using the following formula:
Minimum Detectable Shift�The minimum detectable shift that can be expected for each variable is given by:
Turning to
A rule set may be used to operate on the model metrics to determine which candidate model to deploy as the optimal model. The rule set can be implemented as software in the model performance module 145. According to one preferred embodiment, the monitoring system of the present invention is provided with identification of which model variables are considered �performance� variables, that is, the sensors that are watched most closely for expected signs of failure known to a domain expert for the subject equipment. Further, the inventive system is supplied with the desired target levels of minimum detectable shift on those variables. These performance variables will often be a subset of the available sensors, and the challenge is to identify a group of sensors inclusive of the performance variables which optimally models the performance variables and provides best fault detection based on them. At the model filtering stage 430, these requirements are used to determine whether each model meets or fails the requirements. If a model cannot detect the minimum desired detectable shift for a performance variable, it is eliminated as a candidate. Once the models have been thus filtered, they are ranked in step 435 according to the rule set operating on the model metrics as desired by the user. For example, once a model has met the minimum desired detectable shift requirements for certain performance variables, the models may be ranked on accuracy alone, and the most accurate model selected for deployment. As an alternative example, the rule set may specify that a ranking be made for all models according to each of their model metrics. Their ranks across all metrics are averaged, and the highest average ranking selects for the model to be deployed. As yet another example, further criteria on rank may be applied, such that the highest average ranking model is chosen, so long as that model is never ranked in the bottom quartile for any given metric. In yet another embodiment, some of or all of the model metrics may be combined in a weighting function that assigns importance to each metric, to provide an overall model score, the highest scoring model being the model selected for deployment.
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Second body found in Alice Springs
Police are investigating the deaths of two people whose bodies were found in separate incidents today
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Two bodies have been found in separate incidents in Alice Springs today, with one death being labelled not suspicious by police.
The body of a 46-year-old woman was found near the Todd River this morning but police say there are no signs of foul play
The woman's body was found in parkland near the Todd River this morning, and police are preparing a report for the coroner.
A passerby alerted police after finding the body just before eight o'clock this morning.
In a second incident, police say they are now investigating the death of a man whose body was found in a car, west of Alice Springs.
Detective Acting Senior Sergeant Leith Phillips says police were alerted to the vehicle at around 7.30am.
The car was on a remote dirt track approximately 50km to the west of Alice Springs.
Police have not yet identified the man
Both cases will be referred to the Coroner.
Police are unwilling to provide any further details at this stage.
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Latest Dominican Republic – Central America Free Trade Agreement Stories
By EDWIN TAMARA By Edwin Tamara The Associated Press SAN DIEGO Republican presidential candidate John McCain in one of his strongest endorsements of free trade called himself "an unapologetic supporter of NAFTA," an agreement that many Americans feel has cost them jobs.
By Doug Palmer WASHINGTON (Reuters) - One year after labor groups vowed to punish 15 Democrats who joined Republicans in the U.S. Congress to approve a Central American free trade pact, most have easily won their party's nomination to run again.
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