text:
Office of Scientific and Technical Information
Mr. Edward L. Whelan Director, Real Estate Division Department of The Navy
Office of Legacy Management (LM)
Edward L. Whelan Edward L. Whelan Director, Real Estate Division Department of The Navy Eastern Division Naval'Facilities Engineering Command 90 Church Street New York, New York 10007 Subject: tqiddlesex Sampling Plant Mountain Avenue, Borough of Pliddlesex Middlesex County, Dew Jersey B-NJ-514 Dear Mr. Whelan: Confirming telephone conversation of January 10, 1969, between you and G. S. Brackett of this office, tic custody and accountability of the KC property listed in enclosures to the January 3, 1969, letter to you from General Services Administration,. subject as above, is transferred to the ,.~e;rtment of The iiavy, United States Elarine Corps, effective January 3, l . - Very truly yours, AU:GSB . .>;*, -=lS,' !. . . -, i$x EF$- 5 I' " ,' . 0 y;;;:
Real-Time Guidance Provided by NOAA's Hurricane Research Division to Forecasters during Emily of 1993
Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)
The Hurricane Research Division (HRD) is NOAA/s primary component for research on tropical cyclones. In accomplishing research goals, many staff members have developed analysis procedures and forecast models that not only help improve the ...
Robert W. Burpee; Sim D. Aberson; Peter G. Black; Mark DeMaria; James L. Franklin; Joseph S. Griffin; Samuel H. Houston; John Kaplan; Frank D. Marks Jr.; Mark D. Powell; Hugh E. Willoughby; Stephen J. Lord
Edward Randolph
NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)
Randolph Randolph Director Energy Division California Public Utility Commission This speaker was a visiting speaker who delivered a talk or talks on the date(s) shown at the links below. This speaker is not otherwise associated with Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, unless specifically identified as a Berkeley Lab staff member. Edward Randolph is Director of the Energy Division at the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC), which provides technical support to the Commissioners and their offices, and the Administrative Law Judges. The Energy Division drafts resolutions for formal consideration by the Commission. Resolutions generally result from informal utility requests called Advice Letters, which are submitted by utilities to request rate and tariff adjustments. The Energy Division through its Federal Policy and
David Edwards
Edwards Sustainable Energy Systems Group Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Etcheverry Hall Berkeley CA 94720 Office Location: 24-6161 (510) 643-1676 DEEdwards...
Edward Curry
(www.deri.ie). His research projects include studies of sustainable IT, energy intelligence, semantic information management, and collaborative data management. Edward has...
Edward Teller
Edward Teller Edward Teller Still Shaking Up Science Today · For the Love of Science · Centennial Highlights Biographical Sketch · Resources with Additional Information Edward Teller, Director of LLNL 1958 - 1960 Edward Teller, 1958 Courtesy of Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) Still Shaking Up Science Today 'There is little doubt that Edward Teller is one of the towering figures of 20th-century physics. ... Although his early training was in chemical physics and spectroscopy, Teller has made substantial contributions to such diverse fields as nuclear physics, plasma physics, astrophysics, and statistical mechanics. Lawrence Livermore [National Laboratory] physicist Mort Weiss, a close friend, has written: "His work has shaped the nature of nuclear physics research and has left an indelible impression on that field. His wide-ranging, questing, and tenacious approach to research, not only in nuclear physics but in many other fields as well, has inspired generations of nuclear physicists." ...
This book reports on Edward Telker; the making of a scientist; assembly of a bomb team; the road to fusion; science and the H-bomb; dark duty; the debate; in defense of SDI and at work on the hill.
Blumberg, S.A.; Panos, L.G.
Edward Epstein's Stochastic-Dynamic Approach to Ensemble Weather Prediction
In the late-1960s, well before the availability of computer power to produce ensemble weather forecasts, Edward Epstein (1931 � 2008) developed a stochastic � dynamic prediction (SDP) method for calculating the temporal evolution of mean value, variance ...
John M. Lewis
Edward Bruce Held
Energy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy (DOE))
Edward Bruce Held is the Acting Administrator and Acting Undersecretary for Nuclear Security and the former Director of the Office of Intelligence and Counterintelligence.
Renewable Energy Initiative (Prince Edward Island, Canada) |...
Energy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)) Indexed Site
Renewable Energy Initiative (Prince Edward Island, Canada) Renewable Energy Initiative (Prince Edward Island, Canada) Eligibility Agricultural Savings For Buying & Making...
Community Economic Development Business Program (Prince Edward...
Community Economic Development Business Program (Prince Edward Island, Canada) Community Economic Development Business Program (Prince Edward Island, Canada) Eligibility...
Biomass Guidelines (Prince Edward Island, Canada) | Department...
Biomass Guidelines (Prince Edward Island, Canada) Biomass Guidelines (Prince Edward Island, Canada) Eligibility Agricultural Construction Developer Industrial Investor-Owned...
U.S. Regional Demand Forecasts Using NEMS and GIS
E-Print Network (OSTI)
residential and commercial electricity demand forecasts. The23 Electricity Demandand commercial electricity demand per census division from
Cohen, Jesse A.; Edwards, Jennifer L.; Marnay, Chris
Edward Luke | BNL
Edward Luke Edward Luke Advanced Applications Engineer Education Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, B.S., Electrical Engineering Membership American Geophysical Union Areas of Interest Remote sensing of the atmosphere Cloud property retrieval algorithms Computational intelligence Pattern recognition Data fusion Radar meteorology Climate modeling Parallel/GPU computing Experience Developed a range of novel techniques for observing the microphysics and dynamics of clouds and precipitation using millimeter wavelength radars, particularly their Doppler spectra, with an emphasis on improving our detailed observational capabilities of cloud-precipitation mixtures and the formation of precipitation within cloud, including drizzling stratocumulus and Arctic mixed-phase clouds. Created algorithms for the classification of cloud types and
Analytical Division
Analytical Division Common (non-systematic) Names for Fatty Acids Analytical Division Analytical Chemistry Divisions Analytical Division Common (non-
Forecast Correlation Coefficient Matrix of Stock Returns in Portfolio Analysis
Unadjusted Forecasts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .Forecasts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .Unadjusted Forecasts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Zhao, Feng
Renewable Portfolio Standard (Prince Edward Island, Canada) ...
Portfolio Standard (Prince Edward Island, Canada) Renewable Portfolio Standard (Prince Edward Island, Canada) Eligibility StateProvincial Govt Savings For Buying & Making...
Department of Energy - Prince Edward Island
61223 en Renewable Portfolio Standard (Prince Edward Island, Canada) http:energy.govsavingsrenewable-portfolio-standard-prince-edward-island-canada
Forecast Technical Document Forecast Types
Forecast Technical Document Forecast Types A document describing how different forecast types are implemented in the 2011 Production Forecast system. Tom Jenkins Robert Matthews Ewan Mackie Lesley Halsall #12;PF2011 Forecast Types Background Different `types' of forecast are possible for a specified area
Edward Teller's Scientific Life
SciTech Connect
Edward Teller was one of the great physicists of the twentieth century. His career began just after the key ideas of the quantum revolution of the 1920's were completed, opening vast areas of physics and chemistry to detailed understanding. Thus, his early work in theoretical physics focused on applying the new quantum theory to the understanding of diverse phenomena. These topics included chemical physics, diamagnetism, and nuclear physics. Later, he made key contributions to statistical mechanics, surface physics, solid state, and plasma physics. In many cases, the ideas in these papers are still rich with important ramifications.
Libby, S B; Weiss, M S
Edward Teller Biographical Memoir
Edward Teller died on September 9, 2003 in Stanford, California at the age of 95. He was both one of the great theoretical physicists of the twentieth century and a leading figure in the development of nuclear weapons and broader defense advocacy. Teller's work in physics, spanning many decades of the twentieth century, includes some of the most fundamental insights in the quantum behaviors of molecules and their spectra, nuclei, surfaces, solid state and spin systems, and plasmas. In the defense arena, Teller is best known for his key insight that made thermonuclear weapons possible. Teller was both a great scientific collaborator and physics teacher at all levels, known for his openness, generosity, personal warmth, and powerful physical intuition. Many of his graduate students went on to illustrious careers.
Libby, S B; Sessler, A M
RACORO Forecasting
Weather Briefings Observed Weather Cloud forecasting models BUFKIT forecast soundings + guidance from Norman NWS enhanced pages and discussions NAM-WRF updated...
Tiffany Edwards | Department of Energy
of Public Affairs Tiffany Edwards is Deputy Press Secretary for the Office of Public Affairs. Most Recent Iowa Start-up Taps Ames Laboratory Technology in Challenge August 10...
Forecasting the 12�14 March 1993 Superstorm
This paper describes the decision-making process used by the forecasters in the National Meteorological Center's Meteorological Operations Division and in Weather Forecast Offices of the National Weather Service to provide the successful ...
Louis W. Uccellini; Paul J. Kocin; Russell S. Schneider; Paul M. Stokols; Russell A. Dorr
Division Membership
Join a division, dues and activities. Division Membership Divisions achievement agricultural analytical application award awards biotechnology detergents distinguished division Divisions edible fats food Interest Area lipid lipids member membershi
Forecasting Forecast Skill
We have shown that it is possible to predict the skill of numerical weather forecasts�a quantity which is variable from day to day and region to region. This has been accomplished using as predictor the dispersion (measured by the average ...
Eugenia Kalnay; Amnon Dalcher
Berkeley Lab Divisions
Sciences Division Engineering Division Environmental Energy Technologies Division Genomics Division Life Sciences Division Materials Sciences Division National Energy Research...
Forecast Combinations
Forecast combinations have frequently been found in empirical studies to produce better forecasts on average than methods based on the ex-ante best individual forecasting model. Moreover, simple combinations that ignore correlations between forecast errors often dominate more refined combination schemes aimed at estimating the theoretically optimal combination weights. In this chapter we analyze theoretically the factors that determine the advantages from combining forecasts (for example, the degree of correlation between forecast errors and the relative size of the individual models� forecast error variances). Although the reasons for the success of simple combination schemes are poorly understood, we discuss several possibilities related to model misspecification, instability (non-stationarities) and estimation error in situations where thenumbersofmodelsislargerelativetothe available sample size. We discuss the role of combinations under asymmetric loss and consider combinations of point, interval and probability forecasts. Key words: Forecast combinations; pooling and trimming; shrinkage methods; model misspecification, diversification gains
Allan Timmermann; Jel Codes C
SunShot Initiative: Edward Hoegg
About About Printable Version Share this resource Send a link to SunShot Initiative: Edward Hoegg to someone by E-mail Share SunShot Initiative: Edward Hoegg on Facebook Tweet about SunShot Initiative: Edward Hoegg on Twitter Bookmark SunShot Initiative: Edward Hoegg on Google Bookmark SunShot Initiative: Edward Hoegg on Delicious Rank SunShot Initiative: Edward Hoegg on Digg Find More places to share SunShot Initiative: Edward Hoegg on AddThis.com... Accomplishments Visiting the SunShot Office Fellowships Postdoctoral Research Contacts Staff Edward Hoegg SunShot Junior Fellow SunShot CSP Program Ed Hoegg enjoys being part of the fast-paced concentrated solar power (CSP) program within the SunShot Initiative, which is focused on reducing the costs of solar energy and promoting solar deployment. One area that Ed is
Biotechnology Division
The Biotechnology Division of AOCS covers topics include fermentation tissue culture cloning genetics plant and microbial sources enaumes whole cells biotransformation. Biotechnology Division Divisions achievement agricultural analytical applicati
The Meteorological Operations Division of the National Meteorological Center
The Meteorological Operations Division of the National Meteorological Center is the primary analysis and forecast facility of the National Weather Service. The division's many products provide guidance to the meteorological community throughout ...
Stephen F. Corfidi; Kenneth E. Comba
Forecasting overview
Forecasting is required in many situations: deciding whether to build another power generation plant in the next five years requires forecasts of future demand; scheduling staff in a call centre next week requires forecasts of call volume; stocking an inventory requires forecasts of stock requirements. Forecasts can be required several years in advance (for the case of capital investments), or only a few minutes beforehand (for telecommunication routing). Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. Some things are easier to forecast than others. The time of the sunrise tomorrow morning can be forecast very precisely. On the other hand, currency exchange rates are very difficult to forecast with any accuracy. The predictability of an event or a quantity depends on how well we understand the factors that contribute to it, and how much unexplained variability is involved. Forecasting situations vary widely in their time horizons, factors determining actual outcomes, types of data patterns, and many other aspects. Forecasting methods can be very simple such as using the most recent observation as a forecast (which is called the �na�ve method�), or highly complex such as neural nets and econometric systems of simultaneous equations. The
Rob J Hyndman
The Intensity Forecasting Experiment: A NOAA Multiyear Field Program for Improving Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasts
In 2005, NOAA's Hurricane Research Division (HRD), part of the Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, began a multiyear experiment called the Intensity Forecasting Experiment (IFEX). By emphasizing a partnership among NOAA's HRD, ...
Robert Rogers; Sim Aberson; Michael Black; Peter Black; Joe Cione; Peter Dodge; John Gamache; John Kaplan; Mark Powell; Jason Dunion; Eric Uhlhorn; Nick Shay; Naomi Surgi
Prince Edward Island | Department of Energy
and Municipal Affairs under the Community Development Equity Tax Credit Act and its regulations. Its objective is to facilitate local investment in Prince Edward Island...
Renewable Portfolio Standard (Prince Edward Island, Canada) For the calendar year beginning on January 1, 2010 and for each calendar year thereafter, every public utility shall...
Distributed Forcing of Forecast and Assimilation Error Systems BRIAN F. FARRELL
Distributed Forcing of Forecast and Assimilation Error Systems BRIAN F. FARRELL Division forecast system gov- erning forecast error growth and the tangent linear observer system governing deterministic and stochastic forcings of the forecast and observer systems over a chosen time interval
Farrell, Brian F.
Processing Division
Advances the processing knowledge and managerial skills by providing a forum of technical information and networking opportunities. Processing Division Divisions achievement agricultural analytical application award awards biotechnology detergents
Renewable Energy Act (Prince Edward Island, Canada) | Department...
Energy Act (Prince Edward Island, Canada) Renewable Energy Act (Prince Edward Island, Canada) Eligibility Commercial Developer General PublicConsumer Industrial Installer...
Climate Action Plan (Prince Edward Island, Canada) | Department...
Climate Action Plan (Prince Edward Island, Canada) Climate Action Plan (Prince Edward Island, Canada) Eligibility Commercial Developer General PublicConsumer Industrial...
Phospholipid Division Newsletter
Read the December newsletter from the Phospholipid Division. Phospholipid Division Newsletter Phospholipid Division division divisions emulsification systems lecithin membership phospholipid Phospholipid Division ...
Read the November newsletter from the Phospholipid Division. Phospholipid Division Newsletter Phospholipid Division division divisions emulsification systems lecithin membership phospholipid Phospholipid Division ...
Solar forecasting review
of Solar Forecasting . . . . . . . . . 2.4.1 Solarbudget at the foundation of satellite based forecastingWeather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model 7.1 Global
Inman, Richard Headen
NFI Forecasts Methodology NFI Forecasts Methodology
NFI Forecasts Methodology NFI Forecasts Methodology Overview Issued by: National Forest firstname.lastname@example.com Website: www.forestry.gov.uk/inventory 1 NFI Softwood Forecasts Methodology Overview #12;NFI Forecasts ........................................................................................................4 Rationale behind the new approach to the GB Private sector production forecast ........4 Volume
Forecast Technical Document Restocking in the Forecast
Forecast Technical Document Restocking in the Forecast A document describing how restocking of felled areas is handled in the 2011 Production Forecast. Tom Jenkins Robert Matthews Ewan Mackie Lesley in the forecast Background During the period of a production forecast it is assumed that, as forest sub
> BUREAU HOME > AUSTRALIA > QUEENSLAND > FORECASTS BRISBANE FORECAST IMPROVEMENTS The Bureau of Meteorology is progressively upgrading its forecast system to provide more detailed forecasts across Australia. From October 2013 new and improved 7 day forecasts will be introduced for Brisbane, Gold Coast
Greenslade, Diana
Edwards Ltd | Open Energy Information
Open Energy Info (EERE)
Ltd Ltd Jump to: navigation, search Name Edwards Ltd Place Crawley, United Kingdom Zip RH10 9LW Sector Solar Product UK capital equipment manufacturer for semiconductors, LEDs, flat panel displays, and solar cells; for solar, offers vacuum and abatement systems. Coordinates 37.935555°, -80.650889° Loading map... {"minzoom":false,"mappingservice":"googlemaps3","type":"ROADMAP","zoom":14,"types":["ROADMAP","SATELLITE","HYBRID","TERRAIN"],"geoservice":"google","maxzoom":false,"width":"600px","height":"350px","centre":false,"title":"","label":"","icon":"","visitedicon":"","lines":[],"polygons":[],"circles":[],"rectangles":[],"copycoords":false,"static":false,"wmsoverlay":"","layers":[],"controls":["pan","zoom","type","scale","streetview"],"zoomstyle":"DEFAULT","typestyle":"DEFAULT","autoinfowindows":false,"kml":[],"gkml":[],"fusiontables":[],"resizable":false,"tilt":0,"kmlrezoom":false,"poi":true,"imageoverlays":[],"markercluster":false,"searchmarkers":"","locations":[{"text":"","title":"","link":null,"lat":37.935555,"lon":-80.650889,"alt":0,"address":"","icon":"","group":"","inlineLabel":"","visitedicon":""}]}
Another Approach to Forecasting Forecast Skill
The skill of a medium-range numerical forecast can fluctuate widely from day to day. Providing an a priori estimate of the skill of the forecast is therefore important. Existing approaches include Monte Carlo Forecasting and Lagged Average ...
W. Y. Chen
Edward Bruce Held | National Nuclear Security Administration
National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA)
Edward Bruce Held | National Nuclear Security Administration Edward Bruce Held | National Nuclear Security Administration Our Mission Managing the Stockpile Preventing Proliferation Powering the Nuclear Navy Emergency Response Recapitalizing Our Infrastructure Continuing Management Reform Countering Nuclear Terrorism About Us Our Programs Our History Who We Are Our Leadership Our Locations Budget Our Operations Media Room Congressional Testimony Fact Sheets Newsletters Press Releases Speeches Events Social Media Video Gallery Photo Gallery NNSA Archive Federal Employment Apply for Our Jobs Our Jobs Working at NNSA Blog Home > About Us > Our Leadership > Edward Bruce Held Edward Bruce Held Acting Administrator and Acting Undersecretary for Nuclear Security Bruce Held Bruce Held is the Acting Undersecretary for Nuclear Security with
Edward McGinnis | Department of Energy
Edward McGinnis Edward McGinnis About Us Edward McGinnis - Deputy Assistant Secretary, International Nuclear Energy Policy and Cooperation Edward McGinnis Mr. McGinnis is responsible for the Department of Energy's international civilian nuclear energy activities, including international nuclear energy research, development and demonstration cooperation, international framework and partnership development, international nuclear energy policy, and other international civilian nuclear energy-related activities carried out by the Department of Energy's Office of Nuclear Energy. As part of these responsibilities, Mr. McGinnis serves as Steering Group Chairman of the International Framework for Nuclear Energy Cooperation that consists of more than 60 countries and serves as the Departmental Representative to the
Targeted Observations to Improve Operational Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Guidance
Since 1997, the Tropical Prediction Center and the Hurricane Research Division have conducted operational synoptic surveillance missions with a Gulfstream IV-SP jet aircraft to improve numerical forecast guidance. Due to limited aircraft ...
Sim D. Aberson
CALIFORNIA ENERGY COMMISSION TRANSPORTATION ENERGY FORECASTS FOR THE 2007 INTEGRATED ENERGY POLICY AND TRANSPORTATION DIVISION B.B. Blevins Executive Director DISCLAIMER This report was prepared by a California has developed longterm forecasts of transportation energy demand as well as projected ranges
CALIFORNIA ENERGY COMMISSION ELECTRICITY DEMAND FORECAST COMPARISON REPORT STAFFREPORT June 2005 ..............................................................................3 Residential Forecast Comparison ..............................................................................................5 Nonresidential Forecast Comparisons
The Forecast Gap: Linking Forwards and Forecasts
This report addresses a common problem in price forecasting: What to do when confronted with a persistent gap between results obtained from a structural forecast model and actual forward or spot prices? The report examines examples taken from natural gas and electric power forecasts and presents a novel approach to closing this �forecast gap.� Inspection reveals that the ratio of actual prices to forecast prices often exhibits stochastic movements that resemble those of commodity price movements. By usin...
Forecast Prices
Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update (EIA)
Notes: Notes: Prices have already recovered from the spike, but are expected to remain elevated over year-ago levels because of the higher crude oil prices. There is a lot of uncertainty in the market as to where crude oil prices will be next winter, but our current forecast has them declining about $2.50 per barrel (6 cents per gallon) from today's levels by next October. U.S. average residential heating oil prices peaked at almost $1.50 as a result of the problems in the Northeast this past winter. The current forecast has them peaking at $1.08 next winter, but we will be revisiting the outlook in more detail next fall and presenting our findings at the annual Winter Fuels Conference. Similarly, diesel prices are also expected to fall. The current outlook projects retail diesel prices dropping about 14 cents per gallon
AOCS Division Council
The Division council develops and recommends procedures and policy for all divisions. AOCS Division Council Divisions achievement agricultural analytical application award awards biotechnology detergents distinguished division Divisions edible fat
Community Economic Development Business Program (Prince Edward Island, Canada)
The Community Economic Development Business (CEDB) program has been created as part of the Prince Edward Island Rural Action Plan to support local investment in innovative Prince Edward Island...
Edwards Creek Geothermal Project | Open Energy Information
Edwards Creek Geothermal Project Edwards Creek Geothermal Project Jump to: navigation, search GEOTHERMAL ENERGYGeothermal Home Development Project: Edwards Creek Geothermal Project Project Location Information Coordinates 39.617222222222°, -117.67166666667° Loading map... {"minzoom":false,"mappingservice":"googlemaps3","type":"ROADMAP","zoom":14,"types":["ROADMAP","SATELLITE","HYBRID","TERRAIN"],"geoservice":"google","maxzoom":false,"width":"600px","height":"350px","centre":false,"title":"","label":"","icon":"","visitedicon":"","lines":[],"polygons":[],"circles":[],"rectangles":[],"copycoords":false,"static":false,"wmsoverlay":"","layers":[],"controls":["pan","zoom","type","scale","streetview"],"zoomstyle":"DEFAULT","typestyle":"DEFAULT","autoinfowindows":false,"kml":[],"gkml":[],"fusiontables":[],"resizable":false,"tilt":0,"kmlrezoom":false,"poi":true,"imageoverlays":[],"markercluster":false,"searchmarkers":"","locations":[{"text":"","title":"","link":null,"lat":39.617222222222,"lon":-117.67166666667,"alt":0,"address":"","icon":"","group":"","inlineLabel":"","visitedicon":""}]}
Edward Teller and the Other Martians of Science
Edward Teller and the Other Martians of Science. Purpose: An extraordinary group of scientists in the last century included ...
Divisions | Advanced Photon Source
Chart Argonne Research Divisions APS Research Divisions In May 2002, The Advanced Photon Source was reorganized into three divisions: the Accelerator Systems Division...
Biosciences Division
Frank Collart Frank Collart BIO Home Page About BIO News Releases Research Publications People Contact Us Organization Chart Site Index Inside BIO BIO Safety About Argonne Frank Collart Publications by Author, Select Publication Author Quick Link Randy Alkire Frank Collart Carol Giometti Deborah Hanson Julie Jastrow Andrzej Joachimiak Kenneth Kemner Philip Laible Roser Matamala Michael Miller Edward O'Loughlin Raj Pokkuluri Marianne Schiffer Jack Gilbert PUBLICATIONS Published/Accepted for Publication Kemin Tan, Changsoo Chang, Marianne Cuff, Jurek Osipiuk, Jamey C. Mack, Sarah Zerbs, Andrzej Joachimiak, and Frank R. Collart. Structural and functional characterization of transport proteins for aromatic compounds derived from lignin: Phenylacetic acid, p-coumaric acid and related
Forecasting in Meteorology
Public weather forecasting heralded the beginning of modern meteorology less than 150 years ago. Since then, meteorology has been largely a forecasting discipline. Thus, forecasting could have easily been used to test and develop hypotheses, ...
C. S. Ramage
Computing Needs Time Edward A. Lee
, and Toyota. #12;Computing Needs Time Edward A. Lee UC Berkeley email@example.com February 18, 2009, and Toyota. 1 #12;E. A. Lee, Berkeley Computing Needs Time "It seems to have a computer; need I say more."1
Energy Audits on Prince Edward Island
High energy costs and uncertain supplies force industrial operators to seek out energy waste to keep costs down. The Enersave for Industry and Commerce program assists Prince Edward Island industries through an energy audit and grant program. A typical audit shows how one processor doubled his output with no increase in energy use.
Hall, N. G.; Gillis, D.
The Analytical Division is comprised of members with a variety of interests, including: chromatography (liquid, gas-liquid, high-performance liquid column, thin-layer, and supercritical-fluid), electrophoresis, spectroscopy (UV, IR, NMR, light-scattering)
Appendix A: Fuel Price Forecast Introduction..................................................................................................................................... 1
Appendix A: Fuel Price Forecast Introduction................................................................................................................................. 3 Price Forecasts............................................................................................................................... 12 Oil Price Forecast Range
Division and Section Awards
Division and Section Awards Division and Section Awards Divisions achievement agricultural analytical application award awards biotechnology detergents distinguished division Divisions edible fats food Interest Area lipid lipids member membership
Jack Gilbert Jack Gilbert BIO Home Page About BIO News Releases Research Publications People Contact Us Organization Chart Site Index Inside BIO BIO Safety About Argonne Jack Gilbert Publications by Author, Select Publication Author Quick Link Randy Alkire Frank Collart Carol Giometti Deborah Hanson Julie Jastrow Andrzej Joachimiak Kenneth Kemner Philip Laible Roser Matamala Michael Miller Edward O'Loughlin Raj Pokkuluri Marianne Schiffer Jack Gilbert Temperton B, Thomas S, Tait K, Parry H, Emery M, Allen M, Quinn J, McGrath J, Gilbert JA. 2011. Permanent draft genome sequence of Vibrio tubiashii strain NCIMB 1337 (ATCC19106). SIGS. In press. Field D, Kyrpides N, White O, Knight R, Gilbert JA, et al. 2011. The Genomic Standards Consortium, Plos Biology. In press. Best A, DeJongh M, DevoidS, Gilbert JA, Glass E, Henry CS, Larsen
Building Environment Division Staff Directory
... Energy and Environment Division. Fire Research Division. Systems Integration Division. Intelligent Systems Division. Smart Grid Program Office. ...
Forecasts, Meteorology Services, Environmental Sciences Department
Forecasts Short Term Forecast Suffolk County Northern Nassau Southern Nassau Area Forecast Discussion - OKX Area Forecast Discussion - NYS Area Forecast Discussion Mount Holly Area...
NIST Quantum Physics Division - 2001
"Technical Activities 2001" - Table of Contents, Division home page. Quantum Physics Division. Division Overview | Program ...
Edwards, Mississippi: Energy Resources | Open Energy Information
Edwards, Mississippi: Energy Resources Edwards, Mississippi: Energy Resources Jump to: navigation, search Equivalent URI DBpedia Coordinates 32.3301465°, -90.6056548° Loading map... {"minzoom":false,"mappingservice":"googlemaps3","type":"ROADMAP","zoom":14,"types":["ROADMAP","SATELLITE","HYBRID","TERRAIN"],"geoservice":"google","maxzoom":false,"width":"600px","height":"350px","centre":false,"title":"","label":"","icon":"","visitedicon":"","lines":[],"polygons":[],"circles":[],"rectangles":[],"copycoords":false,"static":false,"wmsoverlay":"","layers":[],"controls":["pan","zoom","type","scale","streetview"],"zoomstyle":"DEFAULT","typestyle":"DEFAULT","autoinfowindows":false,"kml":[],"gkml":[],"fusiontables":[],"resizable":false,"tilt":0,"kmlrezoom":false,"poi":true,"imageoverlays":[],"markercluster":false,"searchmarkers":"","locations":[{"text":"","title":"","link":null,"lat":32.3301465,"lon":-90.6056548,"alt":0,"address":"","icon":"","group":"","inlineLabel":"","visitedicon":""}]}
MEMOCODE 2003 Panel Stephen A. Edwards
MEMOCODE 2003 Panel Stephen A. Edwards Department of Computer Science, Columbia University www-level synthesis and validation. #12;Euclid's Algorithm on the PDP-11 .globl _gcd GPRs: r0-r7 .text r7=PC, r6=SP, r5=FP _gcd: jsr r5, rsave Save SP in FP L2: mov 4(r5), r1 r1 = n sxt r0 sign extend div 6(r5), r0 r0
Census Division - List
Annual Energy Outlook 2012 (EIA)
Georgia Rhode Island Wisconsin Nebraska Maryland Vermont North Dakota North Carolina South Dakota South Carolina Virginia West Virginia Division 6 Division 7 Division 8...
Fuel Cycle and Isotopes Division
Divisions Fuel Cycle and Isotopes Division Jeffrey Binder, Division Director Jeffrey Binder, Division Director The Fuel Cycle and Isotopes Division (FCID) of the Nuclear Science...
Air Quality Permits (Prince Edward Island, Canada) | Open Energy...
Sector StateProvince Program Administrator Prince Edward Island Department of Environment, Labour and Justice Primary Website http:www.gov.pe.caenvironment...
Prince Edward Island/EZFeed Policies | Open Energy Information
Island, Canada) Prince Edward Island Environmental Regulations Yes BiomassBiogas Coal with CCS Natural Gas Nuclear StateProvince Companies that operate any of the...
Edward Moses to lead Fusion Ignition Science and Applications...
1 For immediate release: 10012013 | NR-13-10-01 Edward Moses to lead Fusion Ignition Science and Applications research effort -- Jeff Wisoff appointed acting principal associate...
James Edwards Sworn in as Secretary of Energy | National Nuclear...
Edwards Sworn in as Secretary of Energy | National Nuclear Security Administration Our Mission Managing the Stockpile Preventing Proliferation Powering the Nuclear Navy Emergency...
VBB-004 7 - In the Matter of Edward J. Seawalt
This letter concerns Edward Seawalt' s Part 708 complaint against Contract Associates, Inc. Pursuant to the pmiies' request, the complaint was dismissed on December 4, 2000. Accordingly, the...
Division/ Interest Area Information
Learn more about Divisions and Interest areas. Division/ Interest Area Information Membership Information achievement application award Awards distinguished division Divisions fats job Join lipid lipids Member member get a member Membership memori
Analytical Division Student Award
Awarded to graduate student(s) in the field of lipid analytical chemistry. Analytical Division Student Award Divisions achievement agricultural analytical application award awards biotechnology detergents distinguished division Divisions edible fa
EIA - Census Division List
Supplemental Tables > Census Division List Supplemental Tables > Census Division List Supplemental Tables to the Annual Energy Outlook 2010 Division 1 Division 2 Division 3 Division 4 Division 5 New England Middle Atlantic East North Central West North Central South Atlantic Connecticut New Jersey Illinois Iowa Delaware Maine New York Indiana Kansas District of Columbia Massachusetts Pennsylvania Michigan Minnesota Florida New Hampshire Ohio Missouri Georgia Rhode Island Wisconsin Nebraska Maryland Vermont North Dakota North Carolina South Dakota South Carolina Virginia West Virginia Division 6 Division 7 Division 8 Division 9 East South Central West South Central Mountain Pacific Alabama Arkansas Arizona Alaska Kentucky Louisiana Colorado California
Development of a Statistical Model for Forecasting Episodes of Visibility Degradation in the Denver Metropolitan Area
In 1990, the State of Colorado implemented a visibility standard of 0.076 km?1 of beta extinction for the Denver metropolitan area. Meteorologists with Colorado's Air Pollution Control Division forecast high pollution days associated with ...
P. J. Reddy; D. E. Barbarick; R. D. Osterburg
The Impact of Omega Dropwindsonde Observations on Barotropic Hurricane Track Forecasts
A scarcity of observations in the hurricane environment is one factor believed to be limiting the improvement in hurricane track forecast accuracy. Since 1982, the Hurricane Research Division (HRD) of the NOAA Atlantic Oceanographic and ...
James L. Franklin; Mark DeMaria
Lamp Divisions
--- --- /A;; i :' r%i;in~house ilEc;' i:Z3:~cra:ion Lamp Divisions , _.. (I +i. 0 :,,,rg. . I . . -= i?e p/q! qe)-' &se pw E.rcale?l iev, Je!sey 07m March 20, 1 gs? ::r . J. A. Jones I ti. 5. Muclear Regulatory Commission .> = ..- haterials Licensing Branch -s - ,.I, - - Division of Fuel Cycle and hateri al Safety LY. , $2 - _ . ' -' . 3 _- - Yeshington, C. C. 2@555 - :_ :--, =-- -- .-?J -.: y...., : :- 7 Dear Mr. Jones : y-- --, ? . *I 2=15 2 r; X -P The following is our final report of the decontamination efZor?s takz in our Bui Iding 7 basement and wi 11 also serve to update our report i& November 12, 1980. As stated in NRC' s report of December 22, 1983, two closeout inspect ions were conducted by your King of Prussia off i ce on November 21 and December 2,
Computer Security Division Homepage
Computer Security Division. ... The 2012 Computer Security Division Annual Report (Special Publication 800-165) is now available. ...
Verifying Forecasts Spatially
Numerous new methods have been proposed for using spatial information to better quantify and diagnose forecast performance when forecasts and observations are both available on the same grid. The majority of the new spatial verification methods can be ...
Eric Gilleland; David A. Ahijevych; Barbara G. Brown; Elizabeth E. Ebert
Forecasting of Supercooled Clouds
Using parameterizations of cloud microphysics, a technique to forecast supercooled cloud events is suggested. This technique can be coupled on the mesoscale with a prognostic equation for cloud water to improve aircraft icing forecasts. The ...
Andr� Tremblay; Anna Glazer; Wanda Szyrmer; George Isaac; Isztar Zawadzki
Time Series and Forecasting
Time Series and Forecasting. Leigh, Stefan and Perlman, S. (1991). "An Index for Comovement of Time Sequences With ...
Forecast Technical Document Volume Increment
Forecast Technical Document Volume Increment Forecasts A document describing how volume increment is handled in the 2011 Production Forecast. Tom Jenkins Robert Matthews Ewan Mackie Lesley Halsall #12;PF2011 Volume increment forecasts Background A volume increment forecast is a fundamental output of the forecast
1995 Edward teller lecture. Patience and optimism
Remarks made in the author{close_quote}s acceptance lecture for the 1995 Edward Teller Medal are presented and expanded. Topics covered include research on nuclear-pumped lasers, the first direct e-beam-pumped laser, direct energy conversion and advanced fuel fusion, plus recent work on inertial electrostatic confinement. {open_quote}{open_quote}Patience{close_quote}{close_quote} and {open_quote}{open_quote}optimism{close_quote}{close_quote} are viewed as essential elements needed by scientists following the {open_quote}{open_quote}zig-zag{close_quote}{close_quote} path to fusion energy production. {copyright} {ital 1996 American Institute of Physics.}
Miley, G.H. [Fusion Studies Laboratory University of Illinois, 100 NEL, 103 South Goodwin Avenue, Urbana, Illinois 61801-2984 (United States)
Census Division List
5 5 Census Division List Division 1 Division 2 Division 3 Division 4 Division 5 New England Middle Atlantic East North Central West North Central South Atlantic Connecticut New Jersey Illinois Iowa Delaware Maine New York Indiana Kansas District of Columbia Massachusetts Pennsylvania Michigan Minnesota Florida New Hampshire Ohio Missouri Georgia Rhode Island Wisconsin Nebraska Maryland Vermont North Dakota North Carolina South Dakota South Carolina Virginia West Virginia Division 6 Division 7 Division 8 Division 9 East South Central West South Central Mountain Pacific Alabama Arkansas Arizona Alaska Kentucky Louisiana Colorado California Mississippi Oklahoma Idaho Hawaii Tennessee Texas Montana Oregon
Supplement Tables to the Annual Energy Outlook 2003 Supplement Tables to the Annual Energy Outlook 2003 Census Division List Division 1 Division 2 Division 3 Division 4 Division 5 New England Middle Atlantic East North Central West North Central South Atlantic Connecticut New Jersey Illinois Iowa Delaware Maine New York Indiana Kansas District of Columbia Massachusetts Pennsylvania Michigan Minnesota Florida New Hampshire Ohio Missouri Georgia Rhode Island Wisconsin Nebraska Maryland Vermont North Dakota North Carolina South Dakota South Carolina Virginia West Virginia Division 6 Division 7 Division 8 Division 9 East South Central West South Central Mountain Pacific Alabama Arkansas Arizona Alaska Kentucky Louisiana Colorado California Mississippi Oklahoma Idaho Hawaii
Energy Strategy (Prince Edward Island, Canada) | Department of Energy
Energy Strategy (Prince Edward Island, Canada) Energy Strategy (Prince Edward Island, Canada) Energy Strategy (Prince Edward Island, Canada) < Back Eligibility Commercial Developer General Public/Consumer Industrial Institutional Investor-Owned Utility Local Government Low-Income Residential Multi-Family Residential Municipal/Public Utility Nonprofit Residential Schools State/Provincial Govt Utility Savings Category Buying & Making Electricity Solar Wind Program Info Start Date 2008 State Prince Edward Island Program Type Industry Recruitment/Support Renewables Portfolio Standards and Goals Solar/Wind Access Policy Without a local supply of natural gas and oil resources, Prince Edward Island is heavily reliant on imported sources of energy. Imported oil accounts for 76 percent of PEI's total energy supply, including transportation and heating. Wind
Qualifying RPS Market States (Prince Edward Island, Canada) | Department of
Prince Edward Island, Canada) Prince Edward Island, Canada) Qualifying RPS Market States (Prince Edward Island, Canada) < Back Eligibility Developer Savings Category Alternative Fuel Vehicles Hydrogen & Fuel Cells Buying & Making Electricity Water Home Weatherization Solar Wind Program Info State Prince Edward Island Program Type Renewables Portfolio Standards and Goals This entry lists the states with RPS policies that accept generation located in Prince Edward Island, Canada as eligible sources towards their Renewable Portfolio Standard targets or goals. For specific information with regard to eligible technologies or other restrictions which may vary by state, see the RPS policy entries for the individual states, shown below in the Authority listings. Typically energy must be delivered to an
The Strategy of Professional Forecasting
This paper develops and compares two theories of strategic behavior of professional forecasters. The first theory posits that forecasters compete in a forecasting contest with pre-specified rules. In equilibrium of a winner-take-all contest, forecasts are excessively differentiated. According to the alternative reputational cheap talk theory, forecasters aim at convincing the market that they are well informed. The market evaluates their forecasting talent on the basis of the forecasts and the realized state. If the market expects forecaster honesty, forecasts are shaded toward the prior mean. With correct market expectations, equilibrium forecasts are imprecise but not shaded.
Marco Ottaviani; Peter Norman S�rensen
Environmental Biology | Biosciences Division
Lab Personnel Kenneth Kemner Bldg: ER 203 Room: E109 Email: email@example.com Phone: (630) 252-1163 Biographical Sketch Publications Presentations Edward O'Loughlin Bldg: 203 Room:...
Decision support for financial forecasting
A primary mission of the Budget Management Division of the Air Force is fiscal analysis. This involves formulating, justifying, and tracking financial data during budget preparation and execution. An essential requirement of this process is the ready availability and easy manipulation of past and current budget data. This necessitates the decentralization of the data. A prototypical system, BAFS (Budget Analysis and Forecasting System), that provides such a capability is presented. In its current state, the system is designed to be a decision support tool. A brief report of the budget decisions and activities is presented. The system structure and its major components are discussed. An insight into the implementation strategies and the tool used is provided. The paper concludes with a discussion of future enhancements and the system's evolution into an expert system. 4 refs., 3 figs.
Jairam, B.N.; Morris, J.D.; Emrich, M.L.; Hardee, H.K.
9 9 Division 1 Division 2 Division 3 Division 4 Division 5 New England Middle Atlantic East North Central West North Central South Atlantic Connecticut New Jersey Illinois Iowa Delaware Maine New York Indiana Kansas District of Columbia Massachusetts Pennsylvania Michigan Minnesota Florida New Hampshire Ohio Missouri Georgia Rhode Island Wisconsin Nebraska Maryland Vermont North Dakota North Carolina South Dakota South Carolina Virginia West Virginia Division 6 Division 7 Division 8 Division 9 East South Central West South Central Mountain Pacific Alabama Arkansas Arizona Alaska Kentucky Louisiana Colorado California Mississippi Oklahoma Idaho Hawaii Tennessee Texas Montana Oregon
Business forecasting methods
Forecasting is a common statistical task in business, where it helps inform decisions about scheduling of production, transportation and personnel, and provides a guide to long-term strategic planning. However, business forecasting is often done poorly and is frequently confused with planning and goals. They are three different things. Forecasting is about predicting the future as accurately as possible, given all the information available including historical data and knowledge of any future events that might impact the forecasts. Goals are what you would like to happen. Goals should be linked to forecasts and plans, but this does not always occur. Too often, goals are set without any plan for how to achieve them, and no forecasts for whether they are realistic. Planning is a response to forecasts and goals. Planning involves determining the appropriate actions that are required to make your forecasts match your goals. Forecasting should be an integral part of the decision-making activities of management, as it can play an important role in many areas of a company. Modern organizations require short-, medium- and long-term forecasts, depending on the specific application.
5.5 ENSEMBLE RE-FORECASTING : IMPROVING MEDIUM-RANGE FORECAST SKILL USING RETROSPECTIVE FORECASTS, Colorado 1. INTRODUCTION Improving weather forecasts is a primary goal of the U.S. National Oceanic predictions has been to improve the accuracy of the numerical forecast models. Much effort has been expended
Hamill, Tom
Chemical Sciences Division - Staff Directory
Chemical Sciences Division. Carlos A. Gonzalez (Division Chief) Carol A. Driver (Office Manager) Division Office Staff Directory. ...
of future contributions from various emerging transportation fuels and technologies is unknown. PotentiallyCALIFORNIA ENERGY COMMISSION TRANSPORTATION ENERGY FORECASTS FOR THE 2007 INTEGRATED ENERGY POLICY AND TRANSPORTATION DIVISION B. B. Blevins Executive Director DISCLAIMER This report was prepared by a California
The Honorable,Edward Rendell, '. City Hall
I:! i394 I:! i394 .\ . The Honorable,Edward Rendell, '. City Hall Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19107 Dear Mayor Rendell : ', ,' . , Secretary of Energy Hazel O',teary has announced-a new approach.to.openness in the Department of Energy (DDE) and its communications with the public. . In support of this initiative, we are.pleased to forward the enclosed information related to the,former. Penn Salt Manufacturing' Co. site in your jurisdiction that performed.work for DOE or its predecessor agencies. This information is provided for yqur information,~use, and retention. _- DOE's~ Formerly~;Utili,zed Sites Remedial Action Program is responsible for '. identification of sites used by DOE's predecessor agencies, determining their current radiologic,al condition and, where it has aut.hori,ty;performing
ORNL integrated forecasting system
This paper describes the integrated system for forecasting electric energy and load. In the system, service area models of electrical energy (kWh) and load distribution (minimum and maximum loads and load duration curve) are linked to a state-level model of electrical energy (kWh). Thus, the service area forecasts are conditional upon the state-level forecasts. Such a linkage reduces considerably the data requirements for modeling service area electricity demand.
Rizy, C.G.
AOCS Division Newsletter
AOCS Protein and Co-Products Division Newsletter October 2010 Message from the Chairperson I take this opportunity to welcome all our Division members as we look forward to yet another year of celebrating the PCP Division and AOCS succes
AOCS Health and Nutrition Division Newsletter December 2010 101st AOCS Annual Meeting Report The Health and Nutrition Division would like to take this opportunity to review and highlight some of our Division's activities.
h. technical division chairperson
the structure, bylaws and financial management of the division are in compliance with established ... their respective division council one year in advance of assuming office. ... D. Submission of an annual division financial plan and budget .
Agricultural Microscopy Division
The Agricultural Microscopy Division advances visual imaging in discerning the quality and content of ingredients and finished products of the feed, fertilizer, seed, and agri-food sectors. Agricultural Microscopy Division Divisions achievement ag
Probabilistic Forecasts from the National Digital Forecast Database
The Bayesian processor of forecast (BPF) is developed for a continuous predictand. Its purpose is to process a deterministic forecast (a point estimate of the predictand) into a probabilistic forecast (a distribution function, a density function, ...
Roman Krzysztofowicz; W. Britt Evans
2.1.2 European Solar Radiation Atlas (ESRA)2.4 Evaluation of Solar Forecasting . . . . . . . . .2.4.1 Solar Variability . . . . . . . . . . . . .
forecast | OpenEI
Browse Upload data GDR Community Login | Sign Up Search Facebook icon Twitter icon forecast Dataset Summary Description The EIA's annual energy outlook (AEO) contains yearly...
Seasonal tropical cyclone forecasts
Seasonal forecasts of tropical cyclone activity in various regions have been developed since the first attempts in the early 1980s by Neville
Suzana J. Camargo; Anthony G. Barnston; Philip J. Klotzbach; Christopher W. Landsea
Online 24-h solar power forecasting based on weather typeweather observations at blue hill massachusetts,� Solarof weather patterns on the intensity of solar irradiance;
Structural Biology | Biosciences Division
Biosciences Division Argonne National Laboratory Biosciences Division > Structural Biology DOE Logo Search BIO ... Search Argonne Home > BIO home > Membrane Protein Engineering >...
ORNL Health Services Division
Home Page ORNL Home | ESH&Q Home | Health Services Internal A division in the Environment, Safety, Health, and Quality Directorate The Health Services Division at Oak Ridge...
Arnold Schwarzenegger INTEGRATED FORECAST AND
Arnold Schwarzenegger Governor INTEGRATED FORECAST AND RESERVOIR MANAGEMENT (INFORM) FOR NORTHERN; the former with primary contributions in the areas of climate and hydrologic forecasting and the latter Service (NWS) California Nevada River Forecast Center (CNRFC), the California Department of Water
CONSULTANT REPORT DEMAND FORECAST EXPERT PANEL INITIAL forecast, end-use demand modeling, econometric modeling, hybrid demand modeling, energyMahon, Carl Linvill 2012. Demand Forecast Expert Panel Initial Assessment. California Energy
Does the term structure forecast
provides more accurate forecasts of real consumption growth14. Harvey, C.R. (1989): \\Forecasts of economic growth fromC.R. (1993): \\Term structure forecasts economic growth", Fi-
Berardi, Andrea; Torous, Walter
Global and Local Skill Forecasts
A skill forecast gives the probability distribution for the error in a forecast. Statistically, Well-founded skill forecasting methods have so far only been applied within the context of simple models. In this paper, the growth of analysis errors ...
P. L. Houtekamer
Distortion Representation of Forecast Errors
Forecast error is decomposed into three components, termed displacement error, amplitude error, mid residual error, respectively. Displacement error measures how much of the forecast error can be accounted for by moving the forecast to best fit ...
Ross N. Hoffman; Zheng Liu; Jean-Francois Louis; Christopher Grassoti
Composite forecasting in commodity systems
Paper No. COMPOSI1E FORECASTING IN CO/Yt.flDITI SYSTfu\\1S1980 .i CfIAPTER COMPOSITE FORECASTING IN COMMOOITY SYSTEMS*to utilizeeconometric .modelsfor forecasting ! ,urposes. The
Johnson, Stanley R; Rausser, Gordon C.
VBZ-0047 - In the Matter of Edward J. Seawalt
This decision will consider a Motion for Summary Judgment that Contract Associates, Inc., (�the contractor�) filed on August 23, 2000. The contractor moves to deny a complaint filed by Edward J....
Local high school seniors receive Edward Teller science scholarships
3 For immediate release: 06052013 | NR-13-06-03 Local high school seniors receive Edward Teller science scholarships Linda A Lucchetti, LLNL, (925) 422-5815, email@example.com...
Physicist Jim Hammer receives prestigious Edward Teller Award
232013 Physicist Jim Hammer receives prestigious Edward Teller Award Breanna Bishop, LLNL, (925) 423-9802, firstname.lastname@example.com High Resolution Image Jim Hammer Jim Hammer, a...
Edward's Greenhouses Greenhouse Low Temperature Geothermal Facility | Open
Edward's Greenhouses Greenhouse Low Temperature Geothermal Facility Edward's Greenhouses Greenhouse Low Temperature Geothermal Facility Jump to: navigation, search Name Edward's Greenhouses Greenhouse Low Temperature Geothermal Facility Facility Edward's Greenhouses Sector Geothermal energy Type Greenhouse Location Boise, Idaho Coordinates 43.6135002°, -116.2034505° Loading map... {"minzoom":false,"mappingservice":"googlemaps3","type":"ROADMAP","zoom":14,"types":["ROADMAP","SATELLITE","HYBRID","TERRAIN"],"geoservice":"google","maxzoom":false,"width":"600px","height":"350px","centre":false,"title":"","label":"","icon":"","visitedicon":"","lines":[],"polygons":[],"circles":[],"rectangles":[],"copycoords":false,"static":false,"wmsoverlay":"","layers":[],"controls":["pan","zoom","type","scale","streetview"],"zoomstyle":"DEFAULT","typestyle":"DEFAULT","autoinfowindows":false,"kml":[],"gkml":[],"fusiontables":[],"resizable":false,"tilt":0,"kmlrezoom":false,"poi":true,"imageoverlays":[],"markercluster":false,"searchmarkers":"","locations":[]}
Evaluating Point Forecasts
Typically, point forecasting methods are compared and assessed by means of an error measure or scoring function, such as the absolute error or the squared error. The individual scores are then averaged over forecast cases, to result in a summary measure of the predictive performance, such as the mean absolute error or the (root) mean squared error. I demonstrate that this common practice can lead to grossly misguided inferences, unless the scoring function and the forecasting task are carefully matched. Effective point forecasting requires that the scoring function be specified ex ante, or that the forecaster receives a directive in the form of a statistical functional, such as the mean or a quantile of the predictive distribution. If the scoring function is specified ex ante, the forecaster can issue the optimal point forecast, namely, the Bayes rule. If the forecaster receives a directive in the form of a functional, it is critical that the scoring function be consistent for it, in the sense that the expect...
Gneiting, Tilmann
Forecasters � Objectives and Strategies ?
This chapter develops a unified modeling framework for analyzing the strategic behavior of forecasters. The theoretical model encompasses reputational objectives, competition for the best accuracy, and bias. Also drawing from the extensive literature on analysts, we review the empirical evidence on strategic forecasting and illustrate how our model can be structurally estimated.
Iv�n Marinovic; Marco Ottaviani; Peter Norman S�rensen
Coefficients for Debiasing Forecasts
Skill-score decompositions can be used to analyze the effects of bias on forecasting skill. However, since bias terms are typically squared, and bias is measured in skill-score units rather than in units of the forecasts, such decompositions only ...
Thomas R. Stewart; Patricia Reagan-Cirincione
NIST Ionizing Radiation Division - 2000
"Technical Activities 2000" - Table of Contents, Division home page. Ionizing Radiation Division. ...
A New Verification Score for Public Forecasts
CREF, a new verification score for public forecasts, is introduced. This verification score rewards a forecaster who forecasts a rare event accurately. CREF was used to verify local forecasts at the Weather Service Forecast Office (WSFO) in ...
Dean P. Gulezian
TMS Technical Divisions
Energy and Environment Division
Energy and Environment Division. ... Selected Publications. Measurement Science Roadmap for Net-Zero Energy Buildings. ...
Energy Research and Development Division FINAL PROJECT REPORT
Energy Research and Development Division FINAL PROJECT REPORT PROBABILISTIC TRANSMISSION CONGESTION FORECASTING DECEMBER 2012 CEC-500-2013-120 Prepared for: California Energy Commission Prepared by: Electric Research Institute Contract Number: UC MR-052 Prepared for: California Energy Commission Jamie Patterson
of Numerical Weather Prediction for Intra-Day Solar Forcasting number 500-08-017 conducted by the UniversityEnergy Research and Development Division FINAL PROJECT REPORT EVALUATION OF NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION FOR SOLAR FORECASTING Prepared for: California Energy Commission Prepared by: California Solar
please contact the National Energy Information Center at (202) 586-8800. please contact the National Energy Information Center at (202) 586-8800. Supplement Tables to the Annual Energy Outlook 2002 Census Division List Division 1 Division 2 Division 3 Division 4 Division 5 New England Middle Atlantic East North Central West North Central South Atlantic Connecticut New Jersey Illinois Iowa Delaware Maine New York Indiana Kansas District of Columbia Massachusetts Pennsylvania Michigan Minnesota Florida New Hampshire Ohio Missouri Georgia Rhode Island Wisconsin Nebraska Maryland Vermont North Dakota North Carolina South Dakota South Carolina Virginia West Virginia Division 6 Division 7 Division 8 Division 9 East South Central West South Central Mountain Pacific Alabama Arkansas Arizona Alaska
· NATIONAL AND GLOBAL FORECASTS · WEST VIRGINIA PROFILES AND FORECASTS · ENERGY · HEALTHCARE Industry Insight: West Virginia Fiscal Forecast 34 CHAPTER 4: WEST ViRGiNiA'S 35 COUNTiES AND MSAs West Forecast Summary 2 CHAPTER 1: THE UNiTED STATES ECONOMY Figure 1.1: United States Real GDP Growth 3 Figure
Mohaghegh, Shahab
1 APPLICATION OF PROBABILISTIC FORECASTS: DECISION MAKING WITH FORECAST UNCERTAINTY Rick Katz.isse.ucar.edu/HP_rick/dmuu.pdf #12;2 QUOTES ON USE OF PROBABILITY FORECASTS · Lao Tzu (Chinese Philosopher) "He who knows does and Value of Probability Forecasts (4) Cost-Loss Decision-Making Model (5) Simulation Example (6) Economic
Katz, Richard
Why are survey forecasts superior to model forecasts?
We investigate two characteristics of survey forecasts that are shown to contribute to their superiority over purely model-based forecasts. These are that the consensus forecasts incorporate the effects of perceived changes in the long-run outlook, as well as embodying departures from the path toward the long-run expectation. Both characteristics on average tend to enhance forecast accuracy. At the level of the individual forecasts, there is scant evidence that the second characteristic enhances forecast accuracy, and the average accuracy of the individual forecasts can be improved by applying a mechanical correction.
Michael P. Clements; Michael P. Clements
Environmental Energy Technologies Division News
Data Center Energy Use: Truth versus Myth Data Center Energy Use: Truth versus Myth At the height of the electricity crisis of 2001, Californians were greeted over their morning coffee with headlines like: Digital Economy's Demand for Steady Power Strains Utilities Data Servers Crave Power: High-Tech Electricity Needs Amplify Crisis and Net Blamed as Crisis Roils California. One of the biggest misconceptions about the crisis was that the energy use of computers and other internet-related hardware played a significant role. But early in 2001, research by Jon Koomey of Berkeley Lab's Environmental Energy Technologies Division (EETD) showed that widely discussed estimates of the energy use of computer- and networking-related hardware were exaggerated. Koomey is leader of EETD's End-Use Energy Forecasting Group.
Demand Forecast INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY
Demand Forecast INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY A 20-year forecast of electricity demand is a required of any forecast of electricity demand and developing ways to reduce the risk of planning errors that could arise from this and other uncertainties in the planning process. Electricity demand is forecast
LOAD FORECASTING Eugene A. Feinberg
's electricity price forecasting model, produces forecast of gas demand consistent with electric load. #12Gas demand Council's Market Price of Electricity Forecast Natural GasDemand Electric Load Aggregating Natural between the natural gas and electricity and new uses of natural gas emerge. T natural gas forecasts
Feinberg, Eugene A.
Factors Driving Prices & Forecast
This spread is a function of the balance between demand and fresh supply (production and net imports). Finally I will discuss the current forecast for distillate prices this winter...
Modeling and Forecasting Aurora
Modeling the physical processes needed for forecasting space-weather events requires multiscale modeling. This article discusses several modelsresearchers use to treat the various auroral processes that influence space weather.
Dirk Lummerzheim
Valuing Climate Forecast Information
The article describes research opportunities associated with evaluating the characteristics of climate forecasts in settings where sequential decisions are made. Illustrative results are provided for corn production in east central Illinois. ...
Steven T. Sonka; James W. Mjelde; Peter J. Lamb; Steven E. Hollinger; Bruce L. Dixon
The National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) is a multi-sector, integrated model of the U.S. energy system put out by the Department of Energy's Energy Information Administration. NEMS is used to produce the annual 20-year forecast of U.S. energy use aggregated to the nine-region census division level. The research objective was to disaggregate this regional energy forecast to the county level for select forecast years, for use in a more detailed and accurate regional analysis of energy usage across the U.S. The process of disaggregation using a geographic information system (GIS) was researched and a model was created utilizing available population forecasts and climate zone data. The model's primary purpose was to generate an energy demand forecast with greater spatial resolution than what is currently produced by NEMS, and to produce a flexible model that can be used repeatedly as an add-on to NEMS in which detailed analysis can be executed exogenously with results fed back into the NEMS data flow. The methods developed were then applied to the study data to obtain residential and commercial electricity demand forecasts. The model was subjected to comparative and statistical testing to assess predictive accuracy. Forecasts using this model were robust and accurate in slow-growing, temperate regions such as the Midwest and Mountain regions. Interestingly, however, the model performed with less accuracy in the Pacific and Northwest regions of the country where population growth was more active. In the future more refined methods will be necessary to improve the accuracy of these forecasts. The disaggregation method was written into a flexible tool within the ArcGIS environment which enables the user to output the results in five year intervals over the period 2000-2025. In addition, the outputs of this tool were used to develop a time-series simulation showing the temporal changes in electricity forecasts in terms of absolute, per capita, and density of demand.
Biosciences Division | ORNL
Publications Newsletters Organizational Charts Research Highlights Media Mentions Energy and Transportation Science Division Electrical and Electronics Systems Research Division Building Technologies Program Sustainable Transportation Program Clean Energy Home | Science & Discovery | Clean Energy | Supporting Organizations | Biosciences Division SHARE Biosciences Division The objective of the Biosciences Division (BSD) at Oak Ridge National Laboratory is to advance science and technology to better understand complex biological systems and their relationship with the environment. The division has expertise and special facilities in genomics, computational biology, microbiology, microbial ecology, biophysics and structural biology, and plant sciences. This collective expertise includes
Agricultural Microscopy Division Of Interest
Agricultural Microscopy, Reports, Journals, Websites Agricultural Microscopy Division Of Interest Agricultural Microscopy agri-food sector agricultural Agricultural Microscopy analytical aocs articles biotechnology courses detergents division divisions f
Abraham Presents Secretary's Gold Award to Edward Teller
Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI)
26, 2002 26, 2002 Abraham Presents Secretary's Gold Award to Edward Teller LIVERMORE, CALIF. - Secretary of Energy Spencer Abraham today presented Dr. Edward Teller, Director Emeritus of the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, with the Secretary's Gold Award in recognition of his outstanding contributions to science and the security of the nation. The award is the Energy Department's highest honorary award and includes a plaque with citation, a medallion and a rosette. Secretary Abraham presented Dr. Teller with the award during his visit to the laboratory. "Dr. Teller is one of the giant figures of the 20th century, whose contributions to winning both World War II and the Cold War are immeasurable," Abraham told lab employees. "But I believe that Edward
Biomass Guidelines (Prince Edward Island, Canada) | Department of Energy
You are here You are here Home » Biomass Guidelines (Prince Edward Island, Canada) Biomass Guidelines (Prince Edward Island, Canada) < Back Eligibility Agricultural Construction Developer Industrial Investor-Owned Utility Municipal/Public Utility Utility Program Info State Prince Edward Island Program Type Environmental Regulations PEI Biomass Guidelines identify two major pathways that biomass projects may follow: No Public Investment, and Public Investment. Projects with Public Investment include any project that has: * Grants or loans for start-up, capital, or operating costs; * Silvicultural or other land management incentives provided through Departmental programs (e.g. Forest Enhancement Program, ALUS); or * Green credits or certification from Government. Guidelines for No Public Investment projects must only comply with existing
NREL: Biomass Research - Edward J. Wolfrum, Ph.D.
Edward J. Wolfrum, Ph.D. Edward J. Wolfrum, Ph.D. Photo of Edward J. Wolfrum I am a Senior Researcher and Manager at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory's National Bioenergy Center in Golden, Colorado. I have experience in the technical management of research projects for both governmental and private clients, including financial management, training and supervision of research staff, subcontract monitoring, and general laboratory management. I currently lead the Biomass Compositional Analysis section, a team of more than a dozen researchers and technicians providing analytical chemistry support to both internal and external clients. Our section is best known for our publicly available Laboratory Analytical Procedures (LAPS), which provide detailed methods for the summative analysis of biomass materials.
Crapol, Edward P. James G. Blaine: Architect of Empire. Scholarly Resources, 2000. 157 pp. Paperback S
Edward James P. G. Blaine: Architect of Empire. Scholarlyof each is G. Blaine: Architect of Empire is divided into
Dehler, Gregory
Multivariate Forecast Evaluation And Rationality Testing
1062�1088. MULTIVARIATE FORECASTS Chaudhuri, P. (1996): �OnKingdom. MULTIVARIATE FORECASTS Kirchg�ssner, G. , and U. K.2005): �Estimation and Testing of Forecast Rationality under
Komunjer, Ivana; OWYANG, MICHAEL
Forecasting in the Presence of Level Shifts
accuracy. Journal of Forecasting 19 : 537-560. Hamilton JD.430. Harvey AC. 1989. Forecasting, structural time seriesMH, Timmermann A. 1994. Forecasting stock returns: An
Smith, Aaron
Biotechnology Division Student Award
Awarded to a student presenting an outstanding paper in the field of biotechnology at the AOCS Annual Meeting & Expo. Biotechnology Division Student Award Divisions achievement agricultural analytical application award awards biotechnology deterge
AOCS Surfactants and Detergents Division Newsletter December 2010 Preview: S&D Division Technical Sessions at AOCS Annual Meeting The 102nd AOCS Annual Meeting & Expo will be held in Cincinnati, Ohio, USA, May 1-4, 2011.
AOCS Phospholipid Division Newsletter July 2010 CHAIRPERSON'S LETTER Fellow Division Members, Greetings! We had a wonderful get together at the 101st AOCS Annual Meeting & Expo held in Phoenix, Arizona. We had outstandin
AOCS Phospholipid Division Newsletter December 2010 CHAIRPERSON'S LETTER Fellow Division Members, Greetings! Although the holiday season will soon be behind us, it�s important for all of us to be active again during the
Chemical Sciences Division - CSD
CSD Chemical Sciences Division CSD Organization Contact List Search Other Links Research Areas Research Highlights Organization Contacts Publications Awards Employment...
Quantum Physics Division Homepage
... Contact. Physical Measurement Laboratory Quantum Physics Division General Information: 303-735-1985 Telephone 303-492-5235 Facsimile. ...
Radiation Physics Division
... The Radiation Physics Division, part of the Physical Measurement Laboratory ... the measurement standards for ionizing radiations and radioactivity ...
Materials Processing & Manufacturing Division
In its broadest scope, the Materials Processing & Manufacturing Division (MPMD) covers manufacturing from product design to production, integrating process�...
MMDS 08 Edward Chang, Google 1 Mining LargeMining Largescale Social Networksscale Social Networks
MMDS 08 Edward Chang, Google 1 Mining LargeMining Largescale Social Networksscale Social Networks Challenges & Scalable SolutionsChallenges & Scalable Solutions Edward Chang Google Research #12;MMDS 08 Edward Chang, Google 2 Collaborators · Prof. Chih-Jen Lin (NTU) · Hongjie Bai (Google) · Wen-Yen Chen
Chang, Edward Y.
Processing Division Newsletter March 2013
Read the Processing Divisions March 2013 newsletter. Processing Division Newsletter March 2013 Membership Information achievement application award Awards distinguished division Divisions fats job Join lipid lipids Member member get a member Membe
Analytical Division Newsletter April 2013
Read the March newsletter from the Analytical Division. Analytical Division Newsletter April 2013 Membership Information achievement application award Awards distinguished division Divisions fats job Join lipid lipids Member member get a member Me
Biotechnology Division Newsletter March 2013
Read the March 2013 Biotechnology Division Newsletter. Biotechnology Division Newsletter March 2013 Membership Information achievement application award Awards distinguished division Divisions fats job Join lipid lipids Member member get a member
We examine the accuracy and bias of intrinsic equity prices estimated from three accounting-based valuation models using analyst�s earnings forecasts over a four-year horizon. The models are: (a) the earnings capitalization model, (b) the residual income model without a terminal value, and (c) the residual income model with a terminal value that assumes residual income will grow beyond the horizon at a constant rate determined from the expected residual income growth rate over the forecast horizon. Our analysis is based on valuation errors that are calculated by comparing estimated prices to actual prices. We contribute to the literature by examining whether: (i) the analysts � earnings forecasts convey information about value beyond that conveyed by current earnings, book value and dividends, (ii) the use of firm specific growth rates in terminal value calculations results in more unbiased and accurate valuations than the use of constant growth rates, and (iii) different models perform better under different ex-ante conditions. We find that analysts � earnings forecasts convey information about value beyond that conveyed by current earnings, book values and dividends. Each of the models that we used has valuation errors that decline monotonically as the horizon increases implying that earnings forecasts at each horizon convey new value relevant information. We cannot find a clear advantage to using firm specific growth rates instead of a constant rate of 4 % across all sample
Theodore Sougiannis; Takashi Yaekura
NIST Quantum Physics Division Staff
Quantum Physics Division. Staff. Name, Position, Phone. ... Physics Laboratory. Quantum Physics Division. Thomas O'Brian, Acting Chief. ...
Radiation and Biomolecular Physics Division
... Welcome. The Radiation and Biomolecular Physics Division is a division ... disseminate the national standards for ionizing radiations and radioactivity ...
CALIFORNIA ENERGY DEMAND 20142024 REVISED FORECAST Volume 2: Electricity Demand Robert P. Oglesby Executive Director #12;i ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The demand forecast is the combined prepared the commercial sector forecast. Mehrzad Soltani Nia helped prepare the industrial forecast
CALIFORNIA ENERGY COMMISSION ENERGY DEMAND FORECAST METHODS REPORT Companion Report to the California Energy Demand 2006-2016 Staff Energy Demand Forecast Report STAFFREPORT June 2005 CEC-400 .......................................................................................................................................1-1 ENERGY DEMAND FORECASTING AT THE CALIFORNIA ENERGY COMMISSION: AN OVERVIEW
Forecast Technical Document Technical Glossary
Forecast Technical Document Technical Glossary A document defining some of the terms used in the 2011 Production Forecast technical documentation. Tom Jenkins Robert Matthews Ewan Mackie Lesley in the Forecast documentation. In some cases, the terms and the descriptions are "industry standard", in others
Forecast Technical Document Tree Species
Forecast Technical Document Tree Species A document listing the tree species included in the 2011 Production Forecast Tom Jenkins Justin Gilbert Ewan Mackie Robert Matthews #12;PF2011 List of tree species The following is the list of species used within the Forecast System. Species are ordered alphabetically
3, 21452173, 2006 Probabilistic forecast
HESSD 3, 21452173, 2006 Probabilistic forecast verification F. Laio and S. Tamea Title Page for probabilistic forecasts of continuous hydrological variables F. Laio and S. Tamea DITIC Department2173, 2006 Probabilistic forecast verification F. Laio and S. Tamea Title Page Abstract Introduction
Paris-Sud XI, Université de
4, 189212, 2007 Forecast and
OSD 4, 189212, 2007 Forecast and analysis assessment through skill scores M. Tonani et al. Title Science Forecast and analysis assessment through skill scores M. Tonani 1 , N. Pinardi 2 , C. Fratianni 1 Forecast and analysis assessment through skill scores M. Tonani et al. Title Page Abstract Introduction
predecessors to forecast stock prices and manage portfolios for approximately 3 years.) We examineFINANCIAL FORECASTING USING GENETIC ALGORITHMS SAM MAHFOUD and GANESH MANI LBS Capital Management entitled Genetic Algorithms for Inductive Learning). Time-series forecasting is a special type
Boetticher, Gary D.
Consensus Coal Production Forecast for
Consensus Coal Production Forecast for West Virginia 2009-2030 Prepared for the West Virginia Summary 1 Recent Developments 2 Consensus Coal Production Forecast for West Virginia 10 Risks References 27 #12;W.Va. Consensus Coal Forecast Update 2009 iii List of Tables 1. W.Va. Coal Production
Annual Energy Outlook Forecast Evaluation - Tables
Annual Energy Outlook Forecast Evaluation Table 2. Total Energy Consumption, Actual vs. Forecasts Table 3. Total Petroleum Consumption, Actual vs. Forecasts Table 4. Total Natural Gas Consumption, Actual vs. Forecasts Table 5. Total Coal Consumption, Actual vs. Forecasts Table 6. Total Electricity Sales, Actual vs. Forecasts Table 7. Crude Oil Production, Actual vs. Forecasts Table 8. Natural Gas Production, Actual vs. Forecasts Table 9. Coal Production, Actual vs. Forecasts Table 10. Net Petroleum Imports, Actual vs. Forecasts Table 11. Net Natural Gas Imports, Actual vs. Forecasts Table 12. Net Coal Exports, Actual vs. Forecasts Table 13. World Oil Prices, Actual vs. Forecasts Table 14. Natural Gas Wellhead Prices, Actual vs. Forecasts Table 15. Coal Prices to Electric Utilities, Actual vs. Forecasts
Forecast of auroral activity
A new technique is developed to predict auroral activity based on a sample of over 9000 auroral sites identified in global auroral images obtained by an ultraviolet imager on the NASA Polar satellite during a 6-month period. Four attributes of auroral activity sites are utilized in forecasting
A. T. Y. Lui
Fusion Energy Division
Fusion Energy Division http:www.ornl.govscinseddivisionfed.shtml Please click link above if you were not already redirected to the page....
Argonne Physics Division - ATLAS
ATLAS Operations personnel, and to various experimental instrument specialists in the Physics Division. The PAC members will review each proposal for scientific merit and...
Chemical Sciences Division
& CENTERS RESEARCH STUDENT & POSTDOCTORAL OPPORTUNITIES NEWS & EVENTS CSD CONTACTS LBNL HOME logo Privacy & Security Notice DOE UC Berkeley Chemical Sciences Division imagemap...
Annual Energy Outlook Forecast Evaluation
by Esmeralda Sánchez The Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting has produced an annual evaluation of the accuracy of the Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) since 1996. Each year, the forecast evaluation expands on the prior year by adding the projections from the most recent AEO and the most recent historical year of data. The Forecast Evaluation examines the accuracy of AEO forecasts dating back to AEO82 by calculating the average absolute forecast errors for each of the major variables for AEO82 through AEO2003. The average absolute forecast error, which for the purpose of this report will also be referred to simply as "average error" or "forecast error", is computed as the simple mean, or average, of all the absolute values of the percent errors,
Forecasting Dangerous Inmate Misconduct: An Applications of Ensemble Statistical Procedures
Forecasting Dangerous Inmate Misconduct: An Applications ofidentify with useful forecasting skill the very few inmatescontribute substantially to forecasting skill necessarily
Berk, Richard; Kriegler, Brian; Baek, Jong-Ho
Information and Inference in Econometrics: Estimation, Testing and Forecasting
Application: Forecasting Equity Premium . . . . . . . . . .2.6.1 Forecasting4 Forecasting Using Supervised Factor Models 4.1
Tu, Yundong
Richard A. Berk; Brian Kriegler; Jong-Ho Baek
North Edwards, California: Energy Resources | Open Energy Information
Edwards, California: Energy Resources Edwards, California: Energy Resources Jump to: navigation, search Equivalent URI DBpedia Coordinates 35.0166405°, -117.8328431° Loading map... {"minzoom":false,"mappingservice":"googlemaps3","type":"ROADMAP","zoom":14,"types":["ROADMAP","SATELLITE","HYBRID","TERRAIN"],"geoservice":"google","maxzoom":false,"width":"600px","height":"350px","centre":false,"title":"","label":"","icon":"","visitedicon":"","lines":[],"polygons":[],"circles":[],"rectangles":[],"copycoords":false,"static":false,"wmsoverlay":"","layers":[],"controls":["pan","zoom","type","scale","streetview"],"zoomstyle":"DEFAULT","typestyle":"DEFAULT","autoinfowindows":false,"kml":[],"gkml":[],"fusiontables":[],"resizable":false,"tilt":0,"kmlrezoom":false,"poi":true,"imageoverlays":[],"markercluster":false,"searchmarkers":"","locations":[{"text":"","title":"","link":null,"lat":35.0166405,"lon":-117.8328431,"alt":0,"address":"","icon":"","group":"","inlineLabel":"","visitedicon":""}]}
Division of Laboratory Sciences
#12;#12;Division of Laboratory Sciences U.S. Department of Health and Human Services Centers and Prevention National Center for Environmental Health Division of Laboratory Sciences Atlanta, Georgia 30341're also working in concert with state public health laboratories, providing training, proficiency testing
Health and Nutrition Division Poster Competition
Student poster presentations at the AOCS Annual Meeting & Expo. Health and Nutrition Division Poster Competition Divisions achievement agricultural analytical application award awards biotechnology detergents distinguished division Divisions edibl
Edible Applications Technology Division Student Award
Student award for paper presentations in Edible Applications Edible Applications Technology Division Student Award Divisions achievement agricultural analytical application award awards biotechnology detergents distinguished division Divisions edi
by Esmeralda Sanchez by Esmeralda Sanchez Errata -(7/14/04) The Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting has produced an annual evaluation of the accuracy of the Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) since 1996. Each year, the forecast evaluation expands on the prior year by adding the projections from the most recent AEO and the most recent historical year of data. The Forecast Evaluation examines the accuracy of AEO forecasts dating back to AEO82 by calculating the average absolute forecast errors for each of the major variables for AEO82 through AEO2003. The average absolute forecast error, which for the purpose of this report will also be referred to simply as "average error" or "forecast error", is computed as the simple mean, or average, of all the absolute values of the percent errors, expressed as the percentage difference between the Reference Case projection and actual historic value, shown for every AEO and for each year in the forecast horizon (for a given variable). The historical data are typically taken from the Annual Energy Review (AER). The last column of Table 1 provides a summary of the most recent average absolute forecast errors. The calculation of the forecast error is shown in more detail in Tables 2 through 18. Because data for coal prices to electric generating plants were not available from the AER, data from the Monthly Energy Review (MER), July 2003 were used.
Management Earnings Forecasts and Value of Analyst Forecast Revisions
Prior studies evaluate the relative importance of the sources of value that financial analysts bring to the market based on the price impact of forecast revisions over the event time. We find that management earnings forecasts influence the timing and precision of analyst forecasts. More importantly, evidence suggests that prior studies � finding of weaker (stronger) stock-price responses to forecast revisions in the period immediately after (before) the prior-quarter earnings announcement is likely to be the artifact of a temporal pattern of management earnings forecasts over the event time. To the extent that management earnings forecasts are public disclosures, our results suggest that the relative importance of analysts ' information discovery role documented in prior studies is likely to be overstated.
Yongtae Kim; Minsup Song
VBU-0047 - In the Matter of Edward J. Seawalt | Department of Energy
VBU-0047 - In the Matter of Edward J. Seawalt VBU-0047 - In the Matter of Edward J. Seawalt VBU-0047 - In the Matter of Edward J. Seawalt Edward J. Seawalt (the Complainant) appeals the second dismissal of his whistleblower complaint. In a prior decision, I remanded the first dismissal for consideration of whether good reason existed for the Complainant's late filing of his complaint. Edward J. Seawalt, 27 DOE ¶ ____ (1999) (Seawalt). As explained below, I have determined that the Complainant has shown good reason for the late filing of his complaint and, therefore, that the complaint should be remanded for further processing. vbu0047.pdf More Documents & Publications VBU-0039 - In the Matter of Edward J. Seawalt VBU-0050 - In the Matter of Darryl H. Shadel TBU-0045 - In the Matter of William Cor
Chapter 11 Forecasting breaks and forecasting during breaks
Success in accurately forecasting breaks requires that they are predictable from relevant information available at the forecast origin using an appropriate model form, which can be selected and estimated before the break. To clarify the roles of these six necessary conditions, we distinguish between the information set for �normal forces � and the one for �break drivers�, then outline sources of potential information. Relevant non-linear, dynamic models facing multiple breaks can have more candidate variables than observations, so we discuss automatic model selection. As a failure to accurately forecast breaks remains likely, we augment our strategy by modelling breaks during their progress, and consider robust forecasting devices.
Jennifer L. Castle; Nicholas W. P. Fawcett; David F. Hendry
Forecasting Uncertain Hotel Room Demand
Economic systems are characterized by increasing uncertainty in their dynamics. This increasing uncertainty is likely to incur bad decisions that can be costly in financial terms. This makes forecasting of uncertain economic variables an instrumental activity in any organization. This paper takes the hotel industry as a practical application of forecasting using the Holt-Winters method. The problem here is to forecast the uncertain demand for rooms at a hotel for each arrival day. Forecasting is part of hotel revenue management system whose objective is to maximize the revenue by making decisions regarding when to make rooms available for customers and at what price. The forecast approach discussed in this paper is based on quantitative models and does not incorporate management expertise. Even though, forecast results are found to be satisfactory for certain days, this is not the case for other arrival days. It is believed that human judgment is important when dealing with ...
Mihir Rajopadhye Mounir; Mounir Ben Ghaliay; Paul P. Wang; Timothy Baker; Craig V. Eister
Forecast Technical Document Growing Stock Volume
Forecast Technical Document Growing Stock Volume Forecasts A document describing how growing stock (`standing') volume is handled in the 2011 Production Forecast. Tom Jenkins Robert Matthews Ewan Mackie Lesley Halsall #12;PF2011 Growing stock volume forecasts Background A forecast of standing volume (or
2, No. 2 http:eetd.lbl.govnewsletternl45 Environmental Energy Technologies Division News http:eetd.lbl.govnewsletter 2013 Environmental Energy Technologies Division...
Fire Research Division Staff Directory
Fire Research Division Staff. Fire Research Division Office (733). ... Dr. Rick Davis, Leader, Supervisory Materials Research Engineer, 301-975-5901. ...
1, No. 1 http:eetd.lbl.govnewsletternl40 Environmental Energy Technologies Division News http:eetd.lbl.govnewsletter 2012 Environmental Energy Technologies Division...
TMS Technical Division Funding Policy
This Policy provides a funding mechanism to assist the divisions in achieving their strategic plans. It is believed that through the efforts of the divisions, TMS as a�...
1, No. 2 http:eetd.lbl.govnewsletternl41 Environmental Energy Technologies Division News http:eetd.lbl.govnewsletter 2012 Environmental Energy Technologies Division...
Aviation forecasting and systems analyses
The 9 papers in this report deal with the following areas: method of allocating airport runway slots; method for forecasting general aviation activity; air traffic control network-planning model based on second-order Markov chains; analyzing ticket-choice decisions of air travelers; assessing the safety and risk of air traffic control systems: risk estimation from rare events; forecasts of aviation fuel consumption in Virginia; estimating the market share of international air carriers; forecasts of passenger and air-cargo activity at Logan International Airport; and forecasting method for general aviation aircraft and their activity.
Geisinger, K.E.; Brander, J.R.G.; Wilson, F.R.; Kohn, H.M.; Polhemus, N.W.
Studies of inflation and forecasting.
??This dissertation contains five research papers in the area of applied econometrics. The two broad themes of the research are inflation and forecasting. The first� (more)
Bermingham, Colin
UWIG Forecasting Workshop -- Albany (Presentation)
This presentation describes the importance of good forecasting for variable generation, the different approaches used by industry, and the importance of validated high-quality data.
Lew, D.
Lagged Ensembles, Forecast Configuration, and Seasonal Predictions
An analysis of lagged ensemble seasonal forecasts from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecast System, version 2 (CFSv2), is presented. The focus of the analysis is on the construction of lagged ensemble forecasts ...
Mingyue Chen; Wanqiu Wang; Arun Kumar
Probabilistic Verification of Monthly Temperature Forecasts
Monthly forecasting bridges the gap between medium-range weather forecasting and seasonal predictions. While such forecasts in the prediction range of 1�4 weeks are vital to many applications in the context of weather and climate risk management, ...
Andreas P. Weigel; Daniel Baggenstos; Mark A. Liniger; Fr�d�ric Vitart; Christof Appenzeller
CALIFORNIA ENERGY DEMAND 20122022 FINAL FORECAST Volume 2: Electricity Demand.Oglesby Executive Director #12;i ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The demand forecast is the combined product to the contributing authors listed previously, Mohsen Abrishami prepared the commercial sector forecast. Mehrzad
CALIFORNIA ENERGY DEMAND 20142024 FINAL FORECAST Volume 2: Electricity Demand The demand forecast is the combined product of the hard work and expertise of numerous California Energy previously, Mohsen Abrishami prepared the commercial sector forecast. Mehrzad Soltani Nia helped prepare
A Forecast for the California Labor Market
issue for the state. A Forecast for the California Laborto Go? � The UCLA Anderson Forecast for the Nation andAngeles: UCLA Anderson Forecast: Nation 1.1 � 1.9. Dhawan,
Mitchell, Daniel J. B.
CALIFORNIA ENERGY COMMISSION STAFF FORECAST OF 2007 PEAK DEMAND STAFFREPORT June 2006 CEC-400.................................................................................. 9 Sources of Forecast Error....................................................................... .................11 Tables Table 1: Revised versus September 2005 Peak Demand Forecast ......................... 2
Operational Forecaster Uncertainty Needs and Future Roles
Key results of a comprehensive survey of U.S. National Weather Service operational forecast managers concerning the assessment and communication of forecast uncertainty are presented and discussed. The survey results revealed that forecasters are ...
David R. Novak; David R. Bright; Michael J. Brennan
Calibration of Probabilistic Forecasts of Binary Events
Probabilistic forecasts of atmospheric variables are often given as relative frequencies obtained from ensembles of deterministic forecasts. The detrimental effects of imperfect models and initial conditions on the quality of such forecasts can ...
Cristina Primo; Christopher A. T. Ferro; Ian T. Jolliffe; David B. Stephenson
1 CORPORATE GOVERNANCE AND MANAGEMENT EARNINGS FORECAST QUALITY: EVIDENCE FROM FRENCH IPOS Anis attributes, ownership retained, auditor quality, and underwriter reputation and management earnings forecast quality measured by management earnings forecast accuracy and bias. Using 117 French IPOs, we find
Forecasting women's apparel sales using mathematical
Forecasting women's apparel sales using mathematical modeling Celia Frank and Ashish Garg, USA Les Sztandera Philadelphia University, Philadelphia, PA, USA Keywords Apparel, Forecasting average (MA), auto- regression (AR), or combinations of them are used for forecasting sales. Since
Raheja, Amar
On the Prediction of Forecast Skill
Using 10-day forecast 500 mb height data from the last 7 yr, the potential to predict the skill of numerical weather forecasts is discussed. Four possible predictor sets are described. The first, giving the consistency between adjacent forecasts, ...
T. N. Palmer; S. Tibaldi
Equitable Skill Scores for Categorical Forecasts
Many skill scores used to evaluate categorical forecasts of discrete variables are inequitable, in the sense that constant forecasts of some events lead to better scores than constant forecasts of other events. Inequitable skill scores may ...
Lev S. Gandin; Allan H. Murphy
Forecasting Electric Vehicle Costs with Experience Curves
April, 5. R 2~1. Dino. "Forecasting the Price Evolution of 1ElectromcProducts," Ioumal of Forecasting, �oL4, No I, 1985.costs and a set of forecasting tools that can be refined as
Lipman, Timonthy E.; Sperling, Daniel
Calibration of Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts
From 1 August 1990 to 31 July 1995, the Weather Service Forecast Office in Pittsburgh prepared 6159 probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts. Forecasts were made twice a day for 24-h periods beginning at 0000 and 1200 UTC for two river ...
Roman Krzysztofowicz; Ashley A. Sigrest
Evaluating Probabilistic Forecasts Using Information Theory
The problem of assessing the quality of an operational forecasting system that produces probabilistic forecasts is addressed using information theory. A measure of the quality of the forecasting scheme, based on the amount of a data compression ...
Mark S. Roulston; Leonard A. Smith
Diagnosing Forecast Errors in Tropical Cyclone Motion
This paper reports on the development of a diagnostic approach that can be used to examine the sources of numerical model forecast error that contribute to degraded tropical cyclone (TC) motion forecasts. Tropical cyclone motion forecasts depend ...
Thomas J. Galarneau Jr.; Christopher A. Davis
Improving Forecast Communication: Linguistic and Cultural Considerations
One goal of weather and climate forecasting is to inform decision making. Effective communication of forecasts to various sectors of the public is essential for meeting that goal, yet studies repeatedly show that forecasts are not well understood ...
Karen Pennesi
Ensemble Cloud Model Applications to Forecasting Thunderstorms
A cloud model ensemble forecasting approach is developed to create forecasts that describe the range and distribution of thunderstorm lifetimes that may be expected to occur on a particular day. Such forecasts are crucial for anticipating severe ...
Kimberly L. Elmore; David J. Stensrud; Kenneth C. Crawford
Evaluation of errors in national energy forecasts.
??Energy forecasts are widely used by the U.S. government, politicians, think tanks, and utility companies. While short-term forecasts were reasonably accurate, medium and long-range forecasts� (more)
Sakva, Denys
What Is the True Value of Forecasts?
Understanding the economic value of weather and climate forecasts is of tremendous practical importance. Traditional models that have attempted to gauge forecast value have focused on a best-case scenario, in which forecast users are assumed to ...
Antony Millner
Whither the Weather Analysis and Forecasting Process?
An argument is made that if human forecasters are to continue to maintain a skill advantage over steadily improving model and guidance forecasts, then ways have to be found to prevent the deterioration of forecaster skills through disuse. The ...
Lance F. Bosart
An analysis of lagged ensemble seasonal forecasts from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2) is presented. The focus of the analysis is on the construction of lagged ensemble forecasts ...
Virtual Floe Ice Drift Forecast Model Intercomparison
Both sea ice forecast models and methods to measure their skill are needed for operational sea ice forecasting. Two simple sea ice models are described and tested here. Four different measures of skill are also tested. The forecasts from the ...
Robert W. Grumbine
Edible Applications Technology Division
The EAT Division encompasses the technical area of product development, process technology and functional food lipids, utilizing the unique composition and physical properties of oils to perform specific functions in edible products, pharmaceutical manufa
Health and Nutrition Division
The Health and Nutrition Division promotes and facilitates communication and cooperation among professionals whose interests in lipid biochemistry and physiology relate to all aspects of dietary fats and health; encompasses the technical areas of dietary f
AOCS Agricultural Microscopy Division Newsletter December 2010 Greetings from the Chairperson by Gary Ideus The 2011 AOCS Annual Meeting & Expo in Cincinnati, Ohio, May 1-4, is just four months away, and plans are being fina
the policy and procedures related to access to the ATLAS Facility. 2.0 POLICY It is Physics Division policy that access to the ATLAS Facility is restricted to persons who are...
AOCS Agricultural MicroscopyDivision Newsletter September 2010 Greetings from the Chairperson by Gary Ideus Phoenix, Arizona was a beautiful backdrop for this year�s 101st AOCS Annual Meeting & Expo. This year�s meeting
Technology Transfer Division
David Pesiri Division Leader Taylor Martinez Executive Administrator Contact Us firstname.lastname@example.com (505) 665-9090 TA-00, Bldg. 1325 2237 Trinity Drive Los Alamos, NM 87545...
MAGNET DIVISION CY 2013 Tier 1 Inspection Schedule Frequency Building Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 S 902B (Offices) 11713 62013 S 902A (Offices) 11713 62013 Q 902-High Bay Shop 22113 5...
Processing Division Student Award
Awarded to a graduate student researching oilseed handling preparation and extraction, refining and processing, oil products and packaging, feed ingredients, by-product utilization, safety and health, and environmental concerns. Processing Division Student
Principal Investigators | Biosciences Division
Frank Collart Frank Collart BIO Home Page About BIO News Releases Research Publications People Contact Us Organization Chart Site Index Inside BIO BIO Safety About Argonne Frank Collart Biosciences Division Bldg: 202 Room: A-357 Email: email@example.com Phone: (630) 252-4859 Fax: (630) 252-5517 Education Professional Experience Publication List Research Highlights > Education: 1984, Ph.D, Medical College of Ohio, Medical Sciences 1982, M.S., Bowling Green State University, Chemistry 1977, B.A., Bowling Green State University, Chemistry > Professional Experience: 1994-present: Molecular Biologist; Biosciences Division, Argonne National Laboratory. 1989-1994: Assistant Molecular Biologist; Division of Biological and Medical Research, Argonne National Laboratory. 1984-1989: Postdoctoral Appointee, Supervisor: Dr Eliezer Huberman; Division of Biological and Medical Research, Argonne National Laboratory.
Evaluating Density Forecasts: Forecast Combinations, Model Mixtures, Calibration and Sharpness
In a recent article Gneiting, Balabdaoui and Raftery (JRSSB, 2007) propose the criterion of sharpness for the evaluation of predictive distributions or density forecasts. They motivate their proposal by an example in which standard evaluation procedures based on probability integral transforms cannot distinguish between the ideal forecast and several competing forecasts. In this paper we show that their example has some unrealistic features from the perspective of the time-series forecasting literature, hence it is an insecure foundation for their argument that existing calibration procedures are inadequate in practice. We present an alternative, more realistic example in which relevant statistical methods, including information-based methods, provide the required discrimination between competing forecasts. We conclude that there is no need for a subsidiary criterion of sharpness.
James Mitchell; Kenneth F. Wallis
Materials Measurement Science Division Staff Directory
... Patricia Ridgley Division Office Manager 301-975-3914. ... Material Measurement Laboratory Materials Measurement Science Division. ...
The evolution of consensus in macroeconomic forecasting
When professional forecasters repeatedly forecast macroeconomic variables, their forecasts may converge over time towards a consensus. The evolution of consensus is analyzed with Blue Chip data under a parametric polynomial decay function that permits flexibility in the decay path. For the most part, this specification fits the data. We test whether forecast differences decay to zero at the same point in time for a panel of forecasters, and discuss possible explanations for this, along with its implications for studies using panels of forecasters.
Allan W. Gregory; James Yetman; Jel Codes C E; Robert Eggert; Fred Joutz
Improving Forecasting: A plea for historical retrospectives
Improving Forecasting: A plea for historical retrospectives Title Improving Forecasting: A plea for historical retrospectives Publication Type Journal Article Year of Publication...
Electricity price forecasting in a grid environment.
??Accurate electricity price forecasting is critical to market participants in wholesale electricity markets. Market participants rely on price forecasts to decide their bidding strategies, allocate� (more)
Li, Guang, 1974-
Background pollution forecast over bulgaria
Both, the current level of air pollution studies and social needs in the country, are in a stage mature enough for creating Bulgarian Chemical Weather Forecasting and Information System The system is foreseen to provide in real time forecast of the spatial/temporal ...
D. Syrakov; K. Ganev; M. Prodanova; N. Miloshev; G. Jordanov; E. Katragkou; D. Melas; A. Poupkou; K. Markakis
Frequency Dependence in Forecast Skill
A method is proposed to calculate measures of forecast skill for high, medium and low temporal frequency variations in the atmosphere. This method is applied to a series of 128 consecutive 1 to 10-day forecasts produced at NMC with their ...
H. M. van Den Dool; Suranjana Saha
Mathematical and Computational Sciences Division
Page 1. Mathematical and Computational Sciences Division Summary of Activities for Fiscal Year 2008 Information Technology ...
NIST Quantum Physics Division - 1999
TECHNICAL ACTIVITIES 1999 - NISTIR 6438 QUANTUM PHYSICS DIVISION. Fermi surface. Absorption images of the ...
NIST Ionizing Radiation Division - 1998
TECHNICAL ACTIVITIES 1998 - NISTIR 6268 IONIZING RADIATION DIVISION. The Neutron Interferometer. The neutron ...
Applied and Computational Mathematics Division
Applied and Computational Mathematics Division. Topic Areas. Mathematics; Scientific Computing; Visualization; Quantum Computing. ...
Annual Energy Outlook Forecast Evaluation Annual Energy Outlook Forecast Evaluation Annual Energy Outlook Forecast Evaluation by Susan H. Holte In this paper, the Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting (OIAF) of the Energy Information Administration (EIA) evaluates the projections published in the Annual Energy Outlook (AEO), (1) by comparing the projections from the Annual Energy Outlook 1982 through the Annual Energy Outlook 2001 with actual historical values. A set of major consumption, production, net import, price, economic, and carbon dioxide emissions variables are included in the evaluation, updating similar papers from previous years. These evaluations also present the reasons and rationales for significant differences. The Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting has been providing an
Title of Paper Annual Energy Outlook Forecast Evaluation Title of Paper Annual Energy Outlook Forecast Evaluation by Susan H. Holte OIAF has been providing an evaluation of the forecasts in the Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) annually since 1996. Each year, the forecast evaluation expands on that of the prior year by adding the most recent AEO and the most recent historical year of data. However, the underlying reasons for deviations between the projections and realized history tend to be the same from one evaluation to the next. The most significant conclusions are: Natural gas has generally been the fuel with the least accurate forecasts of consumption, production, and prices. Natural gas was the last fossil fuel to be deregulated following the strong regulation of energy markets in the 1970s and early 1980s. Even after deregulation, the behavior
Market Power in California Electricity Markets Severin Borenstein, James Bushnell, Edward Kahn, and
PWP-036 Market Power in California Electricity Markets Severin Borenstein, James Bushnell, Edward;Market Power in California Electricity Markets Severin Borenstein, James Bushnell, Edward Kahn and Steven Abstract As the electricity industry in California undergoes a process of fundamental restructuring
California at Berkeley. University of
VBU-0039 - In the Matter of Edward J. Seawalt | Department of Energy
VBU-0039 - In the Matter of Edward J. Seawalt VBU-0039 - In the Matter of Edward J. Seawalt VBU-0039 - In the Matter of Edward J. Seawalt Edward J. Seawalt (the complainant) appeals the dismissal of his complaint against Contract Associates, Inc. (the Contractor) under the Department of Energy (DOE) Contractor Employee Protection Program, 10 C.F.R. Part 708. The program prohibits a DOE contractor from retaliating against an employee for disclosing certain information (a protected disclosure). As explained below, I have determined that Mr. Seawalt's appeal should be granted in part and his complaint remanded for further processing. vbu0039.pdf More Documents & Publications VBU-0047 - In the Matter of Edward J. Seawalt TBU-0067 - In the Matter of Charles Montano VBU-0050 - In the Matter of Darryl H. Shadel
Sixth Northwest Conservation and Electric Power Plan Appendix D: Wholesale Electricity Price Forecast
Forecast Introduction................................................................... 16 The Base Case Forecast..................................................................... 16 Base Case Price Forecast
NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites
[Argonne Logo] [DOE Logo] [Argonne Logo] [DOE Logo] Physics Division Home News Division Information Contact Organization Chart Directory ES&H Scientific Staff Publications Awards & Honors Pictures & Videos New Faces PHY Webmail Meeting Rooms Research Low Energy Medium Energy Theory Accelerator R&D Research Highlights Seminars & Events Colloquium Division Seminar MEP Seminar Theory Seminar Heavy Ion Discussion Student Lunch Talk ATLAS arrowdn Facility Schedules User Info Proposals Targetlab CARIBU FMA Gammasphere GRETINA HELIOS AGFA Search Argonne ... Search ATLAS Facility User Info Proposals Beam Schedule Safety Gammasphere GRETINA FMA CARIBU HELIOS AGFA Targetlab Workshop 2009 25 Years of ATLAS Gretina Workshop ATLAS Gus Savard Guy Savard, Scientific Director of ATLAS Welcome to ATLAS, the Argonne Tandem Linac Accelerator System. ATLAS is the
People | Biosciences Division
Lynda Dieckman Lynda Dieckman BIO Home Page About BIO News Releases Research Publications People Contact Us Organization Chart Site Index Inside BIO BIO Safety About Argonne Lynda Dieckman Bldg: 202 Room: B265 E-mail Lynda Dieckman Phone: (630) 252-3953 Full Information Research Highlights > Education: 1989, Ph.D, University of Cincinnati, Physiology and Biophysics 1985, M.S., Case Western Reserve, Biology 1981, B.S., John Carroll University, Biology > Professional Experience: 2008-present Functional Genomics Specialist, Biosciences Division, Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, IL 2002-2008 Molecular Biologist/Environmental Safety and Health and Quality Assurance Coordinator, Biosciences Division, Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, IL 1997-2002 Special Term Appointee, Biosciences Division, Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, IL
Genomics Division Home
PIs PIs Mark Biggin Jim Bristow Jan-Fang Cheng Inna Dubchak Suzanna Lewis Chris Mungall Len Pennacchio Eddy Rubin Axel Visel Divisional Information Support Staff Seminars Diversity Directory Contact Us The characterization and analysis of genome sequences from such diverse organisms as humans to the most primitive soil microbe represent a watershed opportunity for biology. The Genomics Division is taking advantage of this wealth of new information. While it is well known that DNA encodes the basic blue print of life, it is not known how best to interpret most of this information. To address this question, laboratories within the division are developing computational, biochemical, genetic, and imaging methods to decipher the complex sequence motifs that control RNA transcription, DNA replication, and chromosome structure. The Division is
Quantitative Precipitation Forecast Techniques for Use in Hydrologic Forecasting
Quantitative hydrologic forecasting usually requires knowledge of the spatial and temporal distribution of precipitation. First, it is important to accurately measure the precipitation falling over a particular watershed of interest. Second, ...
Konstantine P. Georgakakos; Michael D. Hudlow
Load Forecast For use in Resource Adequacy
Load Forecast 2019 For use in Resource Adequacy Massoud Jourabchi #12;In today's presentation d l Load forecast methodology Drivers of the forecast f i Treatment of conservation Incorporating impact of weather Forecast for 2019 #12;Regional Loads (MWA and MW)Regional Loads (MWA and MW
Forecast Technical Document Felling and Removals
Forecast Technical Document Felling and Removals Forecasts A document describing how volume fellings and removals are handled in the 2011 Production Forecast system. Tom Jenkins Robert Matthews Ewan Mackie Lesley Halsall #12;PF2011 Felling and removals forecasts Background A fellings and removals
CALIFORNIA ENERGY DEMAND 20122022 FINAL FORECAST Volume 1: Statewide Electricity forecast is the combined product of the hard work and expertise of numerous staff members in the Demand the commercial sector forecast. Mehrzad Soltani Nia helped prepare the industrial forecast. Miguel Garcia
Combining forecast weights: Why and how?
This paper proposes a procedure called forecast weight averaging which is a specific combination of forecast weights obtained from different methods of constructing forecast weights for the purpose of improving the accuracy of pseudo out of sample forecasting. It is found that under certain specified conditions
Yip Chee Yin; Ng Kok-Haur; Lim Hock-Eam
PROBLEMS OF FORECAST1 Dmitry KUCHARAVY
1 PROBLEMS OF FORECAST1 Dmitry KUCHARAVY email@example.com Roland DE GUIO roland for the purpose of Innovative Design. First, a brief analysis of problems for existing forecasting methods of the forecast errors. Second, using a contradiction analysis, a set of problems related to technology forecast
Using reforecasts for probabilistic forecast calibration
1 Using reforecasts for probabilistic forecast calibration Tom Hamill NOAA Earth System Research that is currently operational. #12;3 Why compute reforecasts? · For many forecast problems, such as long-lead forecasts or high-precipitation events, a few past forecasts may be insufficient for calibrating
Assessing Forecast Accuracy Measures Department of Economics
Assessing Forecast Accuracy Measures Zhuo Chen Department of Economics Heady Hall 260 Iowa State forecast accuracy measures. In the theoretical direction, for comparing two forecasters, only when the errors are stochastically ordered, the ranking of the forecasts is basically independent of the form
Current status of ForecastCurrent status of Forecast 2005 EPACT is in the model
1 1 Current status of ForecastCurrent status of Forecast 2005 EPACT is in the model 2007 Federal prices are being inputted into the model 2 Sales forecast Select yearsSales forecast Select years --Draft 0.53% Irrigation 2.76% Annual Growth Rates Preliminary Electricity ForecastAnnual Growth Rates
Can earnings forecasts be improved by taking into account the forecast bias?
Can earnings forecasts be improved by taking into account the forecast bias? François DOSSOU allow the calculation of earnings adjusted forecasts, for horizons from 1 to 24 months. We explain variables. From the forecast evaluation statistics viewpoints, the adjusted forecasts make it possible quasi
C-AD Accelerator Division
Accelerator Division Accelerator Division The Accelerator Division operates and continually upgrades a complex of eight accelerators: 2 Tandem Van de Graaff electrostatic accelerators, an Electron Beam Ion Source (EBIS), a 200 MeV proton Linac, the AGS Booster, the Alternating Gradient Synchrotron (AGS), and the 2 rings of the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider (RHIC). These machines serve user programs at the Tandems, the Brookhaven Linac Isotope Producer (BLIP), the NASA Space Radiation Laboratory (NSRL), and the 2 RHIC experiments STAR, and PHENIX. The Division also supports the development of new accelerators and accelerator components. Contact Personnel Division Head: Wolfram Fischer Deputy Head: Joe Tuozzolo Division Secretary: Anna Petway Accelerator Physics: Michael Blaskiewicz
Downscaling Extended Weather Forecasts for Hydrologic Prediction
Weather and climate forecasts are critical inputs to hydrologic forecasting systems. The National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) issues 8-15 days outlook daily for the U.S. based on the Medium Range Forecast (MRF) model, which is a global model applied at about 2? spatial resolution. Because of the relatively coarse spatial resolution, weather forecasts produced by the MRF model cannot be applied directly to hydrologic forecasting models that require high spatial resolution to represent land surface hydrology. A mesoscale atmospheric model was used to dynamically downscale the 1-8 day extended global weather forecasts to test the feasibility of hydrologic forecasting through this model nesting approach. Atmospheric conditions of each 8-day forecast during the period 1990-2000 were used to provide initial and boundary conditions for the mesoscale model to produce an 8-day atmospheric forecast for the western U.S. at 30 km spatial resolution. To examine the impact of initialization of the land surface state on forecast skill, two sets of simulations were performed with the land surface state initialized based on the global forecasts versus land surface conditions from a continuous mesoscale simulation driven by the NCEP reanalysis. Comparison of the skill of the global and downscaled precipitation forecasts in the western U.S. showed higher skill for the downscaled forecasts at all precipitation thresholds and increasingly larger differences at the larger thresholds. Analyses of the surface temperature forecasts show that the mesoscale forecasts generally reduced the root-mean-square error by about 1.5 C compared to the global forecasts, because of the much better resolved topography at 30 km spatial resolution. In addition, initialization of the land surface states has large impacts on the temperature forecasts, but not the precipitation forecasts. The improvements in forecast skill using downscaling could be potentially significant for improving hydrologic forecasts for managing river basins.
Leung, Lai-Yung R.; Qian, Yun
Sampling Errors in Seasonal Forecasting
The limited numbers of start dates and ensemble sizes in seasonal forecasts lead to sampling errors in predictions. Defining the magnitude of these sampling errors would be useful for end users as well as informing decisions on resource ...
Stephen Cusack; Alberto Arribas
Scoring Rules for Forecast Verification
The problem of probabilistic forecast verification is approached from a theoretical point of view starting from three basic desiderata: additivity, exclusive dependence on physical observations (�locality�), and strictly proper behavior. By ...
Riccardo Benedetti
Wavelets and Field Forecast Verification
Current field forecast verification measures are inadequate, primarily because they compress the comparison between two complex spatial field processes into one number. Discrete wavelet transforms (DWTs) applied to analysis and contemporaneous ...
William M. Briggs; Richard A. Levine
Fuzzy forecasting with DNA computing
There are many forecasting techniques including: exponential smoothing, ARIMA model, GARCH model, neural networks and genetic algorithm, etc. Since financial time series may be influenced by many factors, conventional model based techniques and hard ...
Don Jyh-Fu Jeng; Junzo Watada; Berlin Wu; Jui-Yu Wu
Value of Wind Power Forecasting
DOE Green Energy (OSTI)
This study, building on the extensive models developed for the Western Wind and Solar Integration Study (WWSIS), uses these WECC models to evaluate the operating cost impacts of improved day-ahead wind forecasts.
Lew, D.; Milligan, M.; Jordan, G.; Piwko, R.
Richardson's Barotropic Forecast: A Reappraisal
To elucidate his numerical technique and to examine the effectiveness of geostrophic initial winds, Lewis Fry Richardson carried out an idealized forecast using the linear shallow-water equations and simple analytical pressure and velocity ...
Peter Lynch
Forecast Energy | Open Energy Information
Forecast Energy Forecast Energy Jump to: navigation, search Name Forecast Energy Address 2320 Marinship Way, Suite 300 Place Sausalito, California Zip 94965 Sector Services Product Intelligent Monitoring and Forecasting Services Year founded 2010 Number of employees 11-50 Company Type For profit Website http://www.forecastenergy.net Coordinates 37.865647°, -122.496315° Loading map... {"minzoom":false,"mappingservice":"googlemaps3","type":"ROADMAP","zoom":14,"types":["ROADMAP","SATELLITE","HYBRID","TERRAIN"],"geoservice":"google","maxzoom":false,"width":"600px","height":"350px","centre":false,"title":"","label":"","icon":"","visitedicon":"","lines":[],"polygons":[],"circles":[],"rectangles":[],"copycoords":false,"static":false,"wmsoverlay":"","layers":[],"controls":["pan","zoom","type","scale","streetview"],"zoomstyle":"DEFAULT","typestyle":"DEFAULT","autoinfowindows":false,"kml":[],"gkml":[],"fusiontables":[],"resizable":false,"tilt":0,"kmlrezoom":false,"poi":true,"imageoverlays":[],"markercluster":false,"searchmarkers":"","locations":[{"text":"","title":"","link":null,"lat":37.865647,"lon":-122.496315,"alt":0,"address":"","icon":"","group":"","inlineLabel":"","visitedicon":""}]}
Chemical Sciences Division: Introduction: Director's Statement
Division Overview Under Construction Ali Belkacem Chemical Sciences Division Director Chemical Sciences Division Research Affiliations Our four core programs-Chemical Physics; The...
Division of Chemical & Biological Sciences | Ames Laboratory
Division of Chemical & Biological Sciences Division of Chemical & Biological Sciences Image Welcome Research teams in this Division conduct fundamental and applied studies of how...
NIST Quantum Physics Division 1999 - Mission
... QUANTUM PHYSICS DIVISION. ... Eight are NIST employees, seven in the Quantum Physics Division and one in the Time and Frequency Division. ...
Quantum Condensed Matter Division | Neutron Science | ORNL
Quantum Condensed Matter Division SHARE Quantum Condensed Matter Division QCMD Director Steve Nagler The Quantum Condensed Matter Division (QCMD) enables and conducts a broad...
Agricultural Microscopy Division Newsletter September 2013
Read the latest news from the Agricultural Microscopy division. Agricultural Microscopy Division Newsletter September 2013 Agricultural Microscopy Division Newsletter September 2013 ...
Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Census Division List
Processing Division List
Name AffiliationCity, State, CountryProcessing Division2013 Members438 Members as of October 1, 2013, Process Plus LLCCincinnati, OH, USAAbdurahman, SadegWashington State UniversityPullman, WA, USAAbigor, RolandNIFOR, Nigerian Institute for Oil PalmEdo Sta
Biotechnology Division List
Name AffiliationCity, State, CountryBiotechnology Division2013 Members187 Members as of July 1, 2013Abraham, TimothyCargill IncHopkins, MN, USAAdachi, ShujiKyoto UniversityKyoto, JapanAdnan, MuhammadUniversity of KarachiKarachi, Sindh, PakistanAgustin, Sar
Solid State Division
This report contains brief discussions on work done in the Solid State Division of Oak Ridge National Laboratory. The topics covered are: Theoretical Solid State Physics; Neutron scattering; Physical properties of materials; The synthesis and characterization of materials; Ion beam and laser processing; and Structure of solids and surfaces. (LSP)
Green, P.H.; Watson, D.M. (eds.)
Agricultural Microscopy Division List
Name AffiliationCity, State, CountryAgricultural Microscopy Division2013 Members72 Members as of October 1, 2013Ajbani, RutviInstitute of Chemical TechnologyMumbai, MH, IndiaAlonso, CarmenPuerto Rico Dept ofAgricultureDorado, Puerto RicoArmbrust, KevinLoui
Phospholipid Division List
Name AffiliationCity, State, CountryPhospholipid Division2013 Members170 Members as of October 1, 2013, Process Plus LLCCincinnati, OH, USAAbrams, JimCargill Corn Milling NAMemphis, TN, USAAhmad, MoghisJina Pharmaceuticals IncLibertyville, IL, USAAhuja, Ra
AOCS Lipid Oxidation and Quality Division Newsletter September 2010 Message from the Chairperson: A Look Back at the Annual Meeting in Phoenix I hope you enjoyed this year�s meeting in Phoenix as much as I did. This year the LOQ Di
Analytical Division List
Name AffiliationCity, State, CountryAnalytical Division2013 Members391 Members as of October 1, 2013Abdurahman, SadegWashington State UniversityPullman, WA, USAAbuzaytoun, ReemDalhousie UniversityHalifax, NS, CanadaAdcock, JacquiDeakin Universityaurn Ponds
fuel, by sector, or by price; or by specific subject areas like process, environment, forecasts, or analysis. DOE's Fuel Economy Guide This website is an aid to consumers...
Evaluation of Wave Forecasts Consistent with Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Wind Forecasts
An algorithm to generate wave fields consistent with forecasts from the official U.S. tropical cyclone forecast centers has been made available in near�real time to forecasters since summer 2007. The algorithm removes the tropical cyclone from ...
Charles R. Sampson; Paul A. Wittmann; Efren A. Serra; Hendrik L. Tolman; Jessica Schauer; Timothy Marchok
Weather forecasting : the next generation : the potential use and implementation of ensemble forecasting
This thesis discusses ensemble forecasting, a promising new weather forecasting technique, from various viewpoints relating not only to its meteorological aspects but also to its user and policy aspects. Ensemble forecasting ...
Goto, Susumu
Ability to Forecast Regional Soil Moisture with a Distributed Hydrological Model Using ECMWF Rainfall Forecasts
This study mimics an online forecast system to provide nine day-ahead forecasts of regional soil moisture. It uses modified ensemble rainfall forecasts from the numerical weather prediction model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ...
J. M. Schuurmans; M. F. P. Bierkens
Spatial Structure, Forecast Errors, and Predictability of the South Asian Monsoon in CFS Monthly Retrospective Forecasts
The spatial structure of the boreal summer South Asian monsoon in the ensemble mean of monthly retrospective forecasts by the Climate Forecast System of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction is examined. The forecast errors and ...
Hae-Kyung Lee Drbohlav; V. Krishnamurthy
What Is a Good Forecast? An Essay on the Nature of Goodness in Weather Forecasting
Differences of opinion exist among forecasters�and between forecasters and users�regarding the meaning of the phrase �good (bad) weather forecasts.� These differences of opinion are fueled by a lack of clarity and/or understanding concerning the ...
Allan H. Murphy
The Potential Impact of Using Persistence as a Reference Forecast on Perceived Forecast Skill
Skill is defined as actual forecast performance relative to the performance of a reference forecast. It is shown that the choice of reference (e.g., random or persistence) can affect the perceived performance of the forecast system. Two scores, ...
Marion P. Mittermaier
Quantification of Uncertainity in Fire-Weather Forecasts: Some Results of Operational and Experimental Forecasting Programs
Fire-weather forecasts (FWFs) prepared by National Weather Service (NWS) forecasters on an operational basis are traditionally expressed in categorical terms. However, to make rational and optimal use of such forecasts, fire managers need ...
Barbara G. Brown; Allan H. Murphy
The Complex Relationship between Forecast Skill and Forecast Value: A Real-World Analysis
For routine forecasts of temperature and precipitation, the relative skill advantage of human forecasters with respect to the numerical�statistical guidance is small (and diminishing). Since the relationship between forecast skill and the value ...
Paul J. Roebber; Lance F. Bosart
Chemical Sciences Division January 2011
(15) UT/ORNL Governor Chair (16) Neutron Scattering Science Division Special Division Assignments: M. Sharma (4) A. B. Dystra (4) M. J. Walworth (4) M. S. Elnaggar (2) J.. C. Young (4) Physical Organic
Light truck forecasts
The recent dramatic increase in the number of light trucks (109% between 1963 and 1974) has prompted concern about the energy consequences of the growing popularity of the light truck. An estimate of the future number of light trucks is considered to be a reasonable first step in assessing the energy impact of these vehicles. The monograph contains forecasts based on two models and six scenarios. The coefficients for the models have been derived by ordinary least squares regression of national level time series data. The first model is a two stage model. The first stage estimates the number of light trucks and cars (together), and the second stage applies a share's submodel to determine the number of light trucks. The second model is a simultaneous equation model. The two models track one another remarkably well, within about 2%. The scenarios were chosen to be consistent with those used in the Lindsey-Kaufman study Projection of Light Truck Population to Year 2025. Except in the case of the most dismal economic scenario, the number of light trucks is expected to increase from the 1974 level of 0.09 light truck per person to about 0.12 light truck per person in 1995.
Liepins, G.E.
NIST Quantum Physics Division - 1998
... QUANTUM PHYSICS DIVISION. Fluorescence Trajectory of a Single 30 Angstrom Radius CdSe Quantum Dot. The quantum ...
NIST Ionizing Radiation Division - 2001
... The Ionizing Radiation Division of the Physics Laboratory supports the ... meaningful, and compatible measurements of ionizing radiations (x rays ...
Planning Department 168 North Edwards Street Post Office Drawer L
Department Department 168 North Edwards Street Post Office Drawer L Independence, California 93526 Phone: (619) 872-1168 FAX: (619) 873-5695 E-Mail: email@example.com January 30, 1998 U. S. Department of Energy Office of General Counsel, GC-52 1000 Independence Avenue, SW Washington, D.C. 20585 NOTICE OF INQUIRY CONCERNING PREPARATION OF REPORT TO CONGRESS ON THE PRICE-ANDERSON ACT Thank you for the opportunity to comment prior to the Department of Energy's report to Congress concerning the continuation or modification of the provisions of the Price-Anderson Act (the "Act"). The thirty-day notice period does not allow sufficient time for the County to conduct a through analysis of the potential impact to local governments of changes to the Act. The following general
Prince Edward Island: Energy Resources | Open Energy Information
Island: Energy Resources Island: Energy Resources Jump to: navigation, search Name Prince Edward Island, Canada Equivalent URI DBpedia GeoNames ID 6113358 Coordinates 46.333333°, -63.5° Loading map... {"minzoom":false,"mappingservice":"googlemaps3","type":"ROADMAP","zoom":14,"types":["ROADMAP","SATELLITE","HYBRID","TERRAIN"],"geoservice":"google","maxzoom":false,"width":"600px","height":"350px","centre":false,"title":"","label":"","icon":"","visitedicon":"","lines":[],"polygons":[],"circles":[],"rectangles":[],"copycoords":false,"static":false,"wmsoverlay":"","layers":[],"controls":["pan","zoom","type","scale","streetview"],"zoomstyle":"DEFAULT","typestyle":"DEFAULT","autoinfowindows":false,"kml":[],"gkml":[],"fusiontables":[],"resizable":false,"tilt":0,"kmlrezoom":false,"poi":true,"imageoverlays":[],"markercluster":false,"searchmarkers":"","locations":[{"text":"","title":"","link":null,"lat":46.333333,"lon":-63.5,"alt":0,"address":"","icon":"","group":"","inlineLabel":"","visitedicon":""}]}
Warren T. Wood, L. Dale Bibee, Edward F. Braithwaite Introduction
Deployment of a Deep-water Seafloor Sound Source Deployment of a Deep-water Seafloor Sound Source Warren T. Wood, L. Dale Bibee, Edward F. Braithwaite Introduction With funding from DOE-NETL, the Naval Research Laboratory's deep-towed acoustic geophysics system (DTAGS) was outfitted to be set directly on the seafloor with the intent of more efficiently generating shear wave energy in the seafloor. We altered the existing DTAGS by adding a releasable landing shoe, and a geophone array that used existing data telemetry. The modified system was deployed in March of 2010 in about 900m of water near the site of the University of Mississippi's gas hydrate observatory in lease block
Green Pricing Experience and Lessons Learned Edward A. Holt
Pricing Experience and Lessons Learned Pricing Experience and Lessons Learned Edward A. Holt Ed Holt & Associates Pacific Grove, California, August 25-31 Prepared for 1996 ACEEE Summer Study, Seven electric utilities in the United States offer a green pricing program, an optional product or service that customers choose if they wish to increase their use of renewable energy resources. Some two dozen additional utilities are considering or are planning to offer this option. The multiple approaches used and being considered recognize that green pricing is still in an experimental stage of development. The seven operating programs offer a green tariff for extra renewables, fixed monthly fees, and the opportunity to contribute to a tax-deductible fund. The results, in terms of participation
Annual Energy Outlook Forecast Evaluation-Table 1
Annual Energy Outlook Forecast Evaluation > Table 1 Annual Energy Outlook Forecast Evaluation Table 1. Comparison of Absolute Percent Errors for AEO Forecast Evaluation, 1996 to...
CALIFORNIA ENERGY COMMISSION FINAL DEMAND FORECAST FORMS AND INSTRUCTIONS FOR THE 2007 INTEGRATED Table of Contents General Instructions for Demand Forecast Submittals.............................................................................. 4 Protocols for Submitted Demand Forecasts
Forecasting new product penetration with flexible substitution patterns
choice model for forecasting demand for alternative-fuel7511, Urban Travel Demand Forecasting Project, Institute of89 (1999) 109�129 Forecasting new product penetration with ?
Brownstone, David; Train, Kenneth
Overestimation Reduction in Forecasting Telecommuting as a TDM Policy
M. , Ethics and advocacy in forecasting for public policy.change and social forecasting: the case of telecommuting asOverestimation Reduction in Forecasting Telecommuting as a
Tal, Gil
Forecasting US CO2 Emissions Using State-Level Data
F. Hendry (eds), Economic Forecasting, Blackwell Publishing,W. : 2002, Macroeconomic forecasting using di?usion indexes,2003, Macroeconomic forecasting in the euro area: Country
Steinhauser, Ralf; Auffhammer, Maximilian
NoVaS Transformations: Flexible Inference for Volatility Forecasting
and Correlation Forecasting� in G. Elliott, C.W.J.Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Amsterdam: North-Holland,Transformations�, forthcoming in Forecasting in the Presence
Politis, Dimitris N; Thomakos, Dimitrios D
7511, Urban Travel Demand Forecasting Project, Institute ofchoice model for forecasting demand for alternative-fuel89 (1999) 109�129 Forecasting new product penetration with
Earthquake Forecasting in Diverse Tectonic Zones of the Globe
Long-term probabilistic forecasting of earthquakes, J.2000), Probabilistic forecasting of earthquakes, Geophys. J.F.F. (2006), The EEPAS forecasting model and the probability
Kagan, Y. Y.; Jackson, D. D.
Ensemble-based methods for forecasting census in hospital units
P, Fitzgerald G: Regression forecasting of patient admissionapproach to modeling and forecasting demand in the emergencySJ, Haug PJ, Snow GL: Forecasting daily patient volumes in
Koestler, Devin C; Ombao, Hernando; Bender, Jesse
Forecasting Danerous Inmate Misconduct: An Applications of Ensemble Statistical Procedures
costs could alter forecasting skill and the predictors thatForecasting Dangerous Inmate Misconduct: An Applications ofOn-Line Working Paper Series Forecasting Dangerous Inmate
Berk, Richard A.; Kriegler, Brian; Baek, John-Ho
Developing a Practical Forecasting Screener for Domestic Violence Incidents
Developing a Practical Forecasting Screener for Domesticcomplicated did not improve forecasting skill. Taking thethe local costs of forecasting errors. It is also feasible
Richard A. Berk; Susan B. Sorenson; Yan He
Forecasting with Dynamic Microsimulation: Design, Implementation, and Demonstration
Goulias Page 84 Forecasting with Dynamic Microsimulation:Goulias Page 80 Forecasting with Dynamic Microsimulation:L. Demographic Forecasting with a Dynamic Stochastic
Ravulaparthy, Srinath; Goulias, Konstadinos G.
Base Resource Forecasts - Power Marketing - Sierra Nevada Region...
Marketing > Base Resource Forecasts Base Resource Forecasts Note: Annual, rolling (monthly for 12 months), base resource forecasts are posted when they become available. Annual...
Edible Applications Technology Division Outstanding Achievement Award
Recognizes a scientist, technologist, or leader making contributions to the advancement of edible oils and/or the Division. Edible Applications Technology Division Outstanding Achievement Award Edible Applications Technology division divisions edible Edi
Analytical Division Newsletter September 201/span>3
Read the September newsletter from the Analytical Division. Analytical Division Newsletter September 201/span>3 Membership Information achievement application award Awards distinguished division Divisions fats job Join lipid lipids Member member get a
Biotechnology Division Newsletter October 201/span>3
Read the October 201/span>3 Biotechnology Division Newsletter. Biotechnology Division Newsletter October 201/span>3 Membership Information achievement application award Awards distinguished division Divisions fats job Join lipid lipids Member member get a mem
Life Sciences Division Home
The vision of the Life Sciences Division is to advance basic knowledge, and The vision of the Life Sciences Division is to advance basic knowledge, and the health of humans and the biosphere, by elucidating the 4-Dimensional dynamics of complex biological systems -- ranging from molecules to microbes to humans. Research Highlights New Imaging Technique Identified to Monitor Progression of Heart Failure In a recent publication of Journal of Nuclear Medicine, a team of scientists from Berkeley Lab, the University of Utah, and UC San Francisco describe a new imaging technique used to monitor the progression of heart failure. More » Unlocking the Secrets of Proteins Cryoelectron microscopy is helping to unlock the secrets of proteins as never before, thanks to technology developed for one of the world's most powerful electron microscopes, TEAM, at Berkeley Lab's National Center for
Argonne Physics Division
RBW RBW Robert B. Wiringa (the guy on the right) phone: 630/252-6134 FAX: 630/252-6008 e-mail: firstname.lastname@example.com Biographical sketch 1972 B.S., Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute 1974 M.S., University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 1978 Ph.D., University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 1978-80 Research Associate, Los Alamos Scientific Laboratory 1981-83 Research Associate, Argonne National Laboratory 1983-87 Assistant Physicist, Argonne National Laboratory 1987-99 Physicist, Argonne National Laboratory 2000- Senior Physicist, Argonne National Laboratory Visiting appointments 1993 Visiting Associate & Lecturer, California Institute of Technology Honors, Organizations, Committees, etc. 1994-2001 Chief, Theory Group, Physics Division, Argonne National Laboratory 1997-2000 Webmaster, Division of Nuclear Physics, American Physical
Superconducting Magnet Division
3 - 6/13/06 3 - 6/13/06 Superconducting Magnet Division S&T Committee Program Review June 22-23, 2006 Conference Room A, Bldg. 725, BNL DRAFT AGENDA Thursday, June 22 0830 Executive Session to address the charge S. Aronson (25 min) 0855 Welcome S. Aronson (5 min) 0900 Superconducting Magnet Division Status & M. Harrison (45 + 15 min) Issues - mission statement, core competencies, themes, program, problems, etc. 1000 Themes - Nb3Sn, HTS, Direct wind, Accelerator integration, P. Wanderer (20 + 10 min) rapid cycling Core Competencies 1030 Superconducting Materials A. Ghosh (20 + 5 min) 1055 Break 1110 Magnetic Design R. Gupta (20 + 5 min) 1135 Magnet Construction M. Anerella (20 + 5 min) 1200 Magnet Testing G. Ganetis (20 + 5 min)
Division Name Will
C O N TA C T > Claude B. Reed | f C O N TA C T > Claude B. Reed | f a x: 63 0- 25 2- 32 96 | C BR e e d@ anl . go v | Nuclear Engineering Division | www.ne.anl.gov Argonne National Laborator y, 9700 South Cass Avenue, Lemont, IL 60439 August 2013 Nuclear Engineering Division Proton beam on lithium film experiment for the FRIB stripper Argonne National Laboratory has developed a liquid lithium charge stripper for use in the Facility for Rare Isotope Beams (FRIB) located at Michigan State University. FRIB will provide intense beams of rare isotopes that cannot be handled by ordinary means, creating a challenge to find a workable concept for the charge stripper and to test it in a beamline environment. The advantages of liquid lithium are: a) the heat deposited on the medium is carried away by the fast moving
NIST Sensor Science Division Office Staff Directory
... Associates. Name, Position, Office Phone. Parr, Albert, Physicist, 301-975- 2316. ... Contact. Sensor Science Division Gerald Fraser, Division Chief. ...
MCS Division Organization Chart | Argonne National Laboratory
Publications Documents MCS Division Organization Chart The Mathematics and Computer Science Division at Argonne National Laboratory mcsorgchart.pdf...
Solar Energy Market Forecast | Open Energy Information
Solar Energy Market Forecast Solar Energy Market Forecast Jump to: navigation, search Tool Summary LAUNCH TOOL Name: Solar Energy Market Forecast Agency/Company /Organization: United States Department of Energy Sector: Energy Focus Area: Solar Topics: Market analysis, Technology characterizations Resource Type: Publications Website: giffords.house.gov/DOE%20Perspective%20on%20Solar%20Market%20Evolution References: Solar Energy Market Forecast[1] Summary " Energy markets / forecasts DOE Solar America Initiative overview Capital market investments in solar Solar photovoltaic (PV) sector overview PV prices and costs PV market evolution Market evolution considerations Balance of system costs Silicon 'normalization' Solar system value drivers Solar market forecast Additional resources"
Edward Teller, 1962 | U.S. DOE Office of Science (SC)
Office of Science (SC) Website
Edward Teller, 1962 The Enrico Fermi Award Fermi Award Home Nomination & Selection Guidelines Award Laureates 2000's 1990's 1980's 1970's 1960's 1950's Ceremony The Life of Enrico...
Using Customers' Reported Forecasts to Predict Future Sales
Using Customers' Reported Forecasts to Predict Future Sales Nihat Altintas , Alan Montgomery orders using forecasts provided by their customers. Our goal is to improve the supplier's operations through a better un- derstanding of the customers's forecast behavior. Unfortunately, customer forecasts
Murphy, Robert F.
Short-Range Ensemble Forecasts of Precipitation Type
Short-range ensemble forecasting is extended to a critical winter weather problem: forecasting precipitation type. Forecast soundings from the operational NCEP Short-Range Ensemble Forecast system are combined with five precipitation-type ...
Matthew S. Wandishin; Michael E. Baldwin; Steven L. Mullen; John V. Cortinas Jr.
A Review of Numerical Forecast Guidance for Hurricane Hugo
Numerical forecast guidance for Hurricane Hugo from the National Meteorological Center is examined, as well as forecasts from the European Center for Medium Range Forecasting and the United Kingdom Meteorological Office. No one forecast product ...
John H. Ward
Summary Verification Measures and Their Interpretation for Ensemble Forecasts
Ensemble prediction systems produce forecasts that represent the probability distribution of a continuous forecast variable. Most often, the verification problem is simplified by transforming the ensemble forecast into probability forecasts for ...
A. Allen Bradley; Stuart S. Schwartz
by by Esmeralda Sanchez The Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting has been providing an evaluation of the forecasts in the Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) annually since 1996. Each year, the forecast evaluation expands on that of the prior year by adding the most recent AEO and the most recent historical year of data. However, the underlying reasons for deviations between the projections and realized history tend to be the same from one evaluation to the next. The most significant conclusions are: * Over the last two decades, there have been many significant changes in laws, policies, and regulations that could not have been anticipated and were not assumed in the projections prior to their implementation. Many of these actions have had significant impacts on energy supply, demand, and prices; however, the
Management of supply chain: an alternative modelling technique for forecasting
Forecasting is a necessity almost in any operation. However, the tools of forecasting are still primitive in view
Datta, Shoumen
Local Forecast Communication In The Altiplano
Forecasts play an important role in planting decisions for Andean peasant producers. Predictions of the upcoming cropping season determine when, where, and what farmers will plant. This research looks at the sources of forecast information used ...
Jere L. Gilles; Corinne Valdivia
Economic and Statistical Measures of Forecast Accuracy
This paper argues in favour of a closer link between decision and forecast evaluation problems. Although the idea of using decision theory for forecast evaluation appears early in the dynamic stochastic programming literature, and has continued...
Granger, Clive W J; Pesaran, M Hashem
2013 Midyear Economic Forecast Sponsorship Opportunity
2013 Midyear Economic Forecast Sponsorship Opportunity Thursday, April 18, 2013, Hyatt Regency Irvine 11:30 a.m. 1:30 p.m. Dr. Anil Puri presents his annual Midyear Economic Forecast addressing
de Lijser, Peter
Forecasting consumer products using prediction markets
Prediction Markets hold the promise of improving the forecasting process. Research has shown that Prediction Markets can develop more accurate forecasts than polls or experts. Our research concentrated on analyzing Prediction ...
Trepte, Kai
Probabilistic Visibility Forecasting Using Bayesian Model Averaging
Bayesian model averaging (BMA) is a statistical postprocessing technique that has been used in probabilistic weather forecasting to calibrate forecast ensembles and generate predictive probability density functions (PDFs) for weather quantities. ...
Richard M. Chmielecki; Adrian E. Raftery
Intercomparison of Spatial Forecast Verification Methods
Advancements in weather forecast models and their enhanced resolution have led to substantially improved and more realistic-appearing forecasts for some variables. However, traditional verification scores often indicate poor performance because ...
Eric Gilleland; David Ahijevych; Barbara G. Brown; Barbara Casati; Elizabeth E. Ebert
Forecasting with Reference to a Specific Climatology
Seasonal forecasts are most commonly issued as anomalies with respect to some multiyear reference period. However, different seasonal forecasting centers use different reference periods. This paper shows that for near-surface temperature, ...
Emily Wallace; Alberto Arribas
The Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecasting System (ATCF)
The U.S. Navy Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecasting System (ATCF) is an IBM-AT compatible software package developed for the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), Guam. ATCF is designed to assist forecasters with the process of making tropical ...
Ronald J. Miller; Ann J. Schrader; Charles R. Sampson; Ted L. Tsui
Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts for River Basins
A methodology has been formulated to aid a field forecaster in preparing probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPFs) for river basins. The format of probabilistic QPF is designed to meet three requirements: (i) it is compatible with ...
Roman Krzysztofowicz; William J. Drzal; Theresa Rossi Drake; James C. Weyman; Louis A. Giordano
A General Framework for Forecast Verification
A general framework for forecast verification based on the joint distribution of forecasts and observations is described. For further elaboration of the framework, two factorizations of the joint distribution are investigated: 1) the calibration-...
Allan H. Murphy; Robert L. Winkler
Antarctic Satellite Meteorology: Applications for Weather Forecasting
For over 30 years, weather forecasting for the Antarctic continent and adjacent Southern Ocean has relied on weather satellites. Significant advancements in forecasting skill have come via the weather satellite. The advent of the high-resolution ...
Matthew A. Lazzara; Linda M. Keller; Charles R. Stearns; Jonathan E. Thom; George A. Weidner
Forecaster Workstation Design: Concepts and Issues
Some basic ideas about designing a meteorological workstation for operational weather forecasting are presented, in part as a complement to the recently published discussion of workstation design by R. R. Hoffman. Scientific weather forecasting ...
Charles A. Doswell III
Bayesian Model Verification of NWP Ensemble Forecasts
Forecasts of convective precipitation have large uncertainties. To consider the forecast uncertainties of convection-permitting models, a convection-permitting ensemble prediction system (EPS) based on the Consortium for Small-scale Modeling (...
Andreas R�pnack; Andreas Hense; Christoph Gebhardt; Detlev Majewski
Value from Ambiguity in Ensemble Forecasts
This study explores the objective application of ambiguity information, that is, the uncertainty in forecast probability derived from an ensemble. One application approach, called uncertainty folding, merges ambiguity with forecast uncertainty ...
Mark S. Allen; F. Anthony Eckel
Performance of Recent Multimodel ENSO Forecasts
The performance of the International Research Institute for Climate and Society �ENSO forecast plume� during the 2002�11 period is evaluated using deterministic and probabilistic verification measures. The plume includes multiple model forecasts ...
Michael K. Tippett; Anthony G. Barnston; Shuhua Li
Evaluation of LFM-2 Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts
The results of a near real time experiment designed to assess the state of the art of quantitative precipitation forecasting skill of the operational NMC LFM-2 are described. All available LFM-2 quantitative precipitation forecasts were verified ...
Application of Forecast Verification Science to Operational River Forecasting in the U.S. National Weather Service
Forecast verification in operational hydrology has been very limited to date, mainly due to the complexity of verifying both forcing input forecasts and hydrologic forecasts on multiple space�time scales. However, forecast verification needs to ...
Julie Demargne; Mary Mullusky; Kevin Werner; Thomas Adams; Scott Lindsey; Noreen Schwein; William Marosi; Edwin Welles
Forecasting Techniques Utilized by the Forecast Branch of the National Meteorological Center During a Major Convective Rainfall Event
Meteorologists within the Forecast Branch (FB) of the National Meteorological Center (NMC) produce operational quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPFs). These manual forecasts are prepared utilizing various forecasting techniques, which are ...
Theodore W. Funk
Improving week two forecasts with multi-model re-forecast ensembles
Improving week two forecasts with multi-model re-forecast ensembles Jeffrey S. Whitaker and Xue Wei NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO Fr´ed´eric Vitart Seasonal Forecasting Group, ECMWF dataset of ensemble 're-forecasts' from a single model can significantly improve the skill
Whitaker, Jeffrey S.
A Rank Approach to Equity Forecast Construction
that are fit for their purpose; for example, returningaggregate county and sector forecasts that are consistent by construction....
Satchell, Stephen E; Wright, Stephen M
Forecasting for energy and chemical decision analysis
This paper focuses on uncertainty and bias in forecasts used for major energy and chemical investment decisions. Probability methods for characterizing uncertainty in the forecast are reviewed. Sources of forecasting bias are classified based on the results of relevant psychology research. Examples are drawn from the energy and chemical industry to illustrate the value of explicit characterization of uncertainty and reduction of bias in forecasts.
Cazalet, E.G.
Environmental Protection Division
Site Details Site Details EPD Home Staff List (pdf) Org Chart (pdf) Compliance / Permits Programs Other Information Land Use & Institutional Controls Mapping Site Environmental Reports Environmental Monitoring Plan (EMP) Spill Response BNL Site Index Can't View PDFs? Developing Environmental Products and Services for Brookhaven Stakeholders The Environmental Protection Division (EPD) develops and delivers environmental products and services for all Brookhaven stakeholders. We manage environmental programs such as pollution prevention, groundwater protection, and natural resource management; provide technical assistance on environmental requirements; maintain the Laboratory's IS0 14001-registered Environmental Management System; prepare environmental permit applications; conduct environmental monitoring; manage data
CALIFORNIA ENERGY DEMAND 20142024 FINAL FORECAST Volume 1: Statewide Electricity Demand in this report. #12;i ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The demand forecast is the combined product of the hard work to the contributing authors listed previously, Mohsen Abrishami prepared the commercial sector forecast. Mehrzad
CALIFORNIA ENERGY DEMAND 20142024 REVISED FORECAST Volume 1: Statewide Electricity Demand in this report. #12;i ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The demand forecast is the combined product of the hard work listed previously, Mohsen Abrishami prepared the commercial sector forecast. Mehrzad Soltani Nia helped
REVISED CALIFORNIA ENERGY DEMAND FORECAST 20122022 Volume 2: Electricity Demand by Utility ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The staff demand forecast is the combined product of the hard work and expertise of numerous, Mohsen Abrishami prepared the commercial sector forecast. Mehrzad Soltani Nia helped prepare
REVISED CALIFORNIA ENERGY DEMAND FORECAST 20122022 Volume 1: Statewide Electricity Demand in this report. #12;i ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The staff demand forecast is the combined product of the hard work listed previously, Mohsen Abrishami prepared the commercial sector forecast. Mehrzad Soltani Nia helped
Load forecast and treatment of conservation
Load forecast and treatment of conservation July 28th 2010 Resource Adequacy Technical Committee conservation is implicitly incorporated in the short-term demand forecast? #12;3 Incorporating conservation in the short-term model Our short-term model is an econometric model which can not explicitly forecast
CALIFORNIA ENERGY COMMISSION FINAL STAFF FORECAST OF 2008 PEAK DEMAND STAFFREPORT June 2007 CEC-200 of the information in this paper. #12;Abstract This document describes staff's final forecast of 2008 peak demand demand forecasts for the respective territories of the state's three investor-owned utilities (IOUs
CALIFORNIA ENERGY COMMISSION STAFF FORECAST: AVERAGE RETAIL ELECTRICITY PRICES 2005 TO 2018 report, Staff Forecast: Retail Electricity Prices, 2005 to 2018, was prepared with contributions from the technical assistance provided by Greg Broeking of R.W. Beck, Inc. in preparing retail price forecasts
Blue Chip Consensus US GDP Forecast
and metro area from Moody�s Economy.com Equivalent to US-level Gross Domestic Product ? The GMP forecasts have a large impact on the peak load forecasts Rule of thumb: 1 % growth in RTO GMP ? approx. 1,000 MW growth in forecast RTO peak load
James F. Wilson
5, 183218, 2008 A rainfall forecast
HESSD 5, 183218, 2008 A rainfall forecast model using Artificial Neural Network N. Q. Hung et al An artificial neural network model for rainfall forecasting in Bangkok, Thailand N. Q. Hung, M. S. Babel, S Geosciences Union. 183 #12;HESSD 5, 183218, 2008 A rainfall forecast model using Artificial Neural Network N
System Demonstration Multilingual Weather Forecast Generation System
System Demonstration Multilingual Weather Forecast Generation System Tianfang Yao DongmoZhang Qian (Multilingual Weather Forecasts Assistant) system will be demonstrated. It is developed to generate the multilingual text of the weather forecasts automatically. The raw data from the weather observation can be used
(1) Ensemble forecast calibration & (2) using reforecasts
1 (1) Ensemble forecast calibration & (2) using reforecasts Tom Hamill NOAA Earth System Research · Calibration: ; the statistical adjustment of the (ensemble) forecast Rationale 1: Infer large-sample probabilities from small ensemble. Rationale 2: Remove bias, increase forecast reliability while preserving
Modeling and Forecasting Electric Daily Peak Loads
Forecast Update As part of the Mid Term Assessment, staff is preparing a long term wholesale electricity 29, 2012 Preliminary Results of the Electricity Price Forecast Update As part of the Mid Term Assessment, staff is preparing a long term wholesale electricity market price forecast. A summary of the work
Abdel-Aal, Radwan E.
Load Forecasting for Modern Distribution Systems
Load forecasting is a fundamental activity for numerous organizations and activities within a utility, including planning, operations, and control. Transmission and Distribution (T&D) planning and design engineers use the load forecast to determine whether any changes and additions are needed to the electric system to satisfy the anticipated load. Other load forecast users include system operations, financial ...
Consensus Coal Production And Price Forecast For
Consensus Coal Production And Price Forecast For West Virginia: 2011 Update Prepared for the West December 2011 © Copyright 2011 WVU Research Corporation #12;#12;W.Va. Consensus Coal Forecast Update 2011 i Table of Contents Executive Summary 1 Recent Developments 3 Consensus Coal Production And Price Forecast
How Do You Like Your Weather?: Using Weather Forecast Data to Improve Short-Term Load Forecasts
This document provides a quick overview of weather forecasts as a data issue in the development of electricity demand forecasts. These are three sections in this Brief: o reasons behind the rise in interest in using weather forecasts in electricity forecasting models, o an overview of what some utilities are doing to evaluate weather forecasts, and o a resource list of weather forecast providers.
Evaluation Evaluation Annual Energy Outlook Forecast Evaluation by Esmeralda Sanchez The Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting has been providing an evaluation of the forecasts in the Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) annually since 1996. Each year, the forecast evaluation expands on that of the prior year by adding the most recent AEO and the most recent historical year of data. However, the underlying reasons for deviations between the projections and realized history tend to be the same from one evaluation to the next. The most significant conclusions are: Over the last two decades, there have been many significant changes in laws, policies, and regulations that could not have been anticipated and were not assumed in the projections prior to their implementation. Many of these actions have had significant impacts on energy supply, demand, and prices; however, the impacts were not incorporated in the AEO projections until their enactment or effective dates in accordance with EIA's requirement to remain policy neutral and include only current laws and regulations in the AEO reference case projections.
Analysis Papers > Annual Energy Outlook Forecast Evaluation Analysis Papers > Annual Energy Outlook Forecast Evaluation Release Date: February 2005 Next Release Date: February 2006 Printer-friendly version Annual Energy Outlook Forecast Evaluation* Table 1.Comparison of Absolute Percent Errors for Present and Current AEO Forecast Evaluations Printer Friendly Version Average Absolute Percent Error Variable AEO82 to AEO99 AEO82 to AEO2000 AEO82 to AEO2001 AEO82 to AEO2002 AEO82 to AEO2003 AEO82 to AEO2004 Consumption Total Energy Consumption 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 Total Petroleum Consumption 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.0 2.9 Total Natural Gas Consumption 7.3 7.1 7.1 6.7 6.4 6.5 Total Coal Consumption 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.8 Total Electricity Sales 1.9 2.0 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 Production Crude Oil Production 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.6 4.7
Price forecasting for notebook computers
This paper proposes a four-step approach that uses statistical regression to forecast notebook computer prices. Notebook computer price is related to constituent features over a series of time periods, and the rates of change in the influence of individual features are estimated. A time series analysis is used to forecast and can be used, for example, to forecast (1) notebook computer price at introduction, and (2) rate of price erosion for a notebook's life cycle. Results indicate that this approach can forecast the price of a notebook computer up to four months in advance of its introduction with an average error of under 10% and the rate of price erosion to within 10% of the price for seven months after introduction-the length of the typical life cycle of a notebook. Since all data are publicly available, this approach can be used to assist managerial decision making in the notebook computer industry, for example, in determining when and how to upgrade a model and when to introduce a new model.
Rutherford, Derek Paul
Biosciences Division Seeking New Director
Director Search DOE Logo Search BIO ... Search Argonne Home > BIO home > Biosciences Division Seeking New Director BIO Home Page About BIO News Releases Research Publications...
Safety and Health Services Division
The Safety & Health Services Division (SHSD) provides subject matter expertise and services in industrial hygiene, safety engineering, and safety & health programs for the Lab....
Fusion Energy Division Home Page
of Agreement with UT-Battelle to collaborate with Japan's National Institute for Fusion Science. Division Director Stanley L. Milora Oak Ridge National Laboratory P.O. Box...
Energy Technologies Division, with contributions from EETD's Galen Barbose and Andrew Mills. The report describes the rapid growth in U.S. wind power installations. In 2006,...
Argonne Physics Division - Theory Group
Argonne Theory Group: Postdoctoral Position The Theory Group in the Physics Division at Argonne National Laboratory is seeking exceptional candidates for a postdoctoral position...
Technical Highlights Atomic Physics Division
... Physics Division is to develop and apply atomic physics research methods ... community, and to produce and critically compile physical reference data ...
NIST Optical Technology Division - 2000
"Technical Activities 2000" - Table of Contents, Division home page. ... point orbit (the Lagrange-1 is the neutral gravity point between the Earth and the ...
3. light metals division bylaws
Mar 6, 2012 ... ctives and sc. Organizati disseminat and other n. Publication .... oversee and report on the division budget. At each meeting, he/she shall give a.
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Mar 12, 2012 ... The Chair-elect is generally the Vice Chair, to preserve continuity in ... The Division Council shall hold a business meeting during the week and�...
Administration Secretary: Debbie Morrison EMail: firstname.lastname@example.com Phone: 630252-4100 Fax: 630252-3903 Address: Theory Group Physics Division, Building 203 Argonne National...
23rd Annual Midwest Theory Get-Together 2010 Theory Group Theoretical research in Argonne's Physics Division addresses a broad range of problems involving the stucture and dynamics...
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... Controlled ClocksTelephone TimeDivision HistoryFrequently Asked Questions (FAQ)Time and Frequency from A to Z: An illustrated glossaryA Walk ...
Volume 5 Number 1 R esearchers at the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (Berkeley Lab) Environ- mental Energy Technologies Division (EETD) have completed the first...
to power informa- tion technology in the U.S.? EETD's End-Use Energy Forecasting Group, led by Jonathan Koomey, has released a new study estimating office and network equipment...
Former Sites Restoration. Division
@j&s* **$r* :. .+:., @j&s* **$r* :. .+:., II' .,.. I .&i. , :"': T.1 . i *&+t&&., @i i -:.+; L I. * . . .p.isit-!'..r'ir~i _, +.&.., . I. :?I,?.* .L,! j?' aa&* pi 4 L', ..b,- ., .e /w.1( ,v_.c ~A&$?>*:, ,..:.' .1 > . . . . . *. ,.. .I., .( j .~.~:,;;,.".,Certificafion ,Dockef for The ;,il' t:i~>$:+-.. ~~y:Remeciial Action. Performed "' . ::;:cxcgt the @+zb Gate Site in . ;' ! ,Oak Ridge, Tennessee, 7.99 7- 7 992 -.. Department .of Energy Former Sites Restoration. Division . ,Oak Ridge Operations .Office _. February 7 994 @ Printed on recycledhcy&ble paper. CERTIFICATION DOCKET FOR THE REMEDIAL ACTION PERFORMED AT THE ELZA GAP SITE IN OAK RIDGE, TENNESSEE, 1991-1992 FEBRUARY 1994 I Prepared for UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY
Safety Safety General Radiation Electrical Experiment Safety at ATLAS The Management and Staff at ATLAS and Argonne National Laboratory are fully dedicated to integrating safety into all aspects of work at our facilities. We believe that it is completely possible, and absolutely essenital, to carry out effective research programs without compromising safety. Indeed, the process of incorporating safety into accelerator operations and experimental research begins at the earliest stages. All experiments, equipment, and procedures are reviewed extensively for safety issues prior to their approval. For onsite emergencies, call 911 on the internal phones (or 252-1911 on cell phones) Safety Tom Mullen, Physics Division Safety Engineer. Please Note: If you have any comments or concerns regarding safety at
R. Michael Miller R. Michael Miller BIO Home Page About BIO News Releases Research Publications People Contact Us Organization Chart Site Index Inside BIO BIO Safety About Argonne R. Michael Miller Bldg: 203 Room: E161 9700 South Cass Avenue Argonne, Illinois 60439 Email: email@example.com Phone: (630) 252-3395 Fax: (630) 252-8895 Research Highlights Publications > Education: 1975 Ph.D., Illinois State University, Botany and Mycology 1971 M.S., Illinois State University, Biological Sciences 1969 B.S., Colorado State University, Botany > Professional Experience: 2005-current Senior Terrestrial Ecologist, Biosciences Division, Argonne National Laboratory 2007-current Senior Fellow, Institute for Genomic & Systems Biology, University of Chicago and Argonne National Laboratory 2006-2008
News Releases | Biosciences Division
News Releases News Releases BIO Home Page About BIO News Releases Research Publications People Contact Us Organization Chart Site Index Inside BIO BIO Safety About Argonne Biosciences Division News Releases Protein crystal samples are placed on a small metal tip so X-rays from the adjacent beam pipe can pass through them and diffract off the atoms inside the crystal. Lessening X-ray damage is healthy for protein discovery data too December 16, 2013 - New recommendations for using X-rays promise to speed investigations aimed at understanding the structure and function of biologically important proteins - information critical to the development of new drugs. Read more. Kayakers and boats traverse the branch of the Chicago River in the downtown area Argonne partners with Metropolitan Water Reclamation District to study Chicago River microbe population
Eastern Audits Division
Work Plan for FY 2014 Work Plan for FY 2014 Eastern Audits Division Follow-up of the Reindustrialization Program at East Tennessee Technology Park Audit of the Department's Management of High-Risk Property Audit of the Department's Efforts to Reduce Mercury Contamination at the Y-12 National Security Complex Non-conforming Equipment and Parts at the Savannah River Site Audit of the Department's Facility Contractors' Use of No Bid Subcontracts Decontamination and Decommissioning Activities at the Oak Ridge National Laboratory The Department's Audit Resolution and Follow-up Process Legacy Management Activities at Selected Sites Department's Contract Awards Made to Alaska Native Corporation Readiness of the Saltstone Disposal Facility at the Savannah River Site
Guidance Systems Division ,
Oockec No. 10-0772 Oockec No. 10-0772 22 OCT 1981 Bcndlx CorporaLion ' Guidance Systems Division , ATTN: Mr. Wf 11 la,,, Hnrr,,or Manngar, PlanL Englne0rtny Teterboro, New Jersey 07608 uwm STATES NUCLEAll I-IEOULATOIJY COMMISSION REGION i 631 PARK A"LH"I KIN0 OF PR"ISIA. PCNNIVLVANIA ID40' Gentlemen: Subject: Inspectfon 81-15 _ "-- .,; .z .;; Thts refers to the closeout safety \nspectlon conducted by Ms. M. Campbell of this office on August 27, 1961, of activities formerly authorized by NRC License No. STB-424 and to the c!lscussions of our findings held by f4s. Campbell with yourseif aL Lhe conclusion of the inspection. This closeout inspection. was conducted as part of an NRC effort to ensure that facilities where,llcensed activities were forxrrly conducted meet current NRC criteria for release for
Mathematical model for cell division
The division of a living cell, such as the whitefish blastula, is modeled with the Ovals of Cassini as the basic building block. The model uses two fixed points which could correspond to the approximate center of the chromosomes about which the nuclei ... Keywords: Cell division, Modeling, Ovals of Cassini
D. Mckenney; J. A. Nickel
Efficient scaling for complex division
We develop a simple method for scaling to avoid overflow and harmful underflow in complex division. The method guarantees that no overflow will occur unless at least one component of the quotient must overflow, otherwise the normwise error in the computed ... Keywords: Complex division, overflow, underflow
Douglas M. Priest
Essays on macroeconomics and forecasting
This dissertation consists of three essays. Chapter II uses the method of structural factor analysis to study the effects of monetary policy on key macroeconomic variables in a data rich environment. I propose two structural factor models. One is the structural factor augmented vector autoregressive (SFAVAR) model and the other is the structural factor vector autoregressive (SFVAR) model. Compared to the traditional vector autogression (VAR) model, both models incorporate far more information from hundreds of data series, series that can be and are monitored by the Central Bank. Moreover, the factors used are structurally meaningful, a feature that adds to the understanding of the ��?black box� of the monetary transmission mechanism. Both models generate qualitatively reasonable impulse response functions. Using the SFVAR model, both the ��?price puzzle� and the ��?liquidity puzzle� are eliminated. Chapter III employs the method of structural factor analysis to conduct a forecasting exercise in a data rich environment. I simulate out-of-sample real time forecasting using a structural dynamic factor forecasting model and its variations. I use several structural factors to summarize the information from a large set of candidate explanatory variables. Compared to Stock and Watson (2002)��?s models, the models proposed in this chapter can further allow me to select the factors structurally for each variable to be forecasted. I find advantages to using the structural dynamic factor forecasting models compared to alternatives that include univariate autoregression (AR) model, the VAR model and Stock and Watson��?s (2002) models, especially when forecasting real variables. In chapter IV, we measure U.S. technology shocks by implementing a dual approach, which is based on more reliable price data instead of aggregate quantity data. By doing so, we find the relative volatility of technology shocks and the correlation between output fluctuation and technology shocks to be much smaller than those revealed in most real-business-cycle (RBC) studies. Our results support the findings of Burnside, Eichenbaum and Rebelo (1996), who showed that the correlation between technology shocks and output is exaggerated in the RBC literature. This suggests that one should examine other sources of fluctuations for a better understanding of the business cycle phenomena.
Liu, Dandan
Division Seminar: R-150 @ 3:30pm Division Seminar: R-150 @ 3:30pm 14 April 2011 Stefano Gandolfi Los Alamos National Laboratory firstname.lastname@example.com Quantum Monte Carlo Study of Strongly Correlated Fermions: Neutron Matter, Neutron Stars and Cold Atoms Division Seminar: R-150 @ 3:30pm 31 March 2011 Lucas Platter Chalmers University of Technology, Göteborg firstname.lastname@example.com Effective Field Theories for Nuclear Systems Division Seminar: R-150 @ 3:30pm 17 February 2011 Alexandros Gezerlis University of Washington email@example.com Bridging the Gap: Fermions in Nuclear Structure and Nuclear Astrophysics Special Day: Tuesday 15 February 2011 Louis H. Kauffman UIC email@example.com Topological Quantum Information and the Jones Polynomial Division Seminar: R-150 @ 3:30pm 10 February 2011 JoaquÃ-n Drut
9, No. 1 [http://eetd.lbl.gov/newsletter/nl32/] 9, No. 1 [http://eetd.lbl.gov/newsletter/nl32/] Environmental Energy Technologies Division News [http://eetd.lbl.gov/newsletter/] © 2010 Environmental Energy Technologies Division [http://eetd.lbl.gov/] E.O. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory [http://www.lbl.gov/] Disclaimer [http://www.lbl.gov/Disclaimers.html] SUMMER NEWSLETTER: VOL. 9, NO. 1 Ashok Gadgil Named Director of Environmental Energy Technologies Division Arsenic Removal Technologies ARPA-E Funding Low-Energy Buildings User Facility ECMA International Standard U.S. Wind Power Market Clean Energy Ministerial Research Highlights Sources and Credits A new Division Director for the Environmental Energy Technologies Division of Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, a story about one of his research team's projects to remove naturally-
Nuclear Science and Engineering - Divisions
Home Home NSED Divisions The Nuclear Science and Engineering Directorate (NSED) organization is composed of ORNL's only DOE Energy Innovation Hub, a program office, and the following five divisions. Fuel Cycle and Isotopes Division (FCID) FCID focuses on advancing the applications of medical, industrial, and research isotopes (developing separation processes for the processing of radioisotopes and spent nuclear fuels) and designing robotic systems and unique facilities for the safe handling of nuclear materials. Fusion Energy Division (FE) FE is developing the understanding required for an attractive fusion energy source through integrated research, and is pursuing near term applications of plasma science and technology in support of national goals. Global Nuclear Security Technology Division (GNSTD)
Forecasting Techniques The Use of Hourly Model-Generated Soundings to Forecast Mesoscale Phenomena. Part I: Initial Assessment in Forecasting Warm-Season Phenomena
Since late 1995, NCEP has made available to forecasters hourly model guidance at selected sites in the form of vertical profiles of various forecast fields. These profiles provide forecasters with increased temporal resolution and greater ...
Robert E. Hart; Gregory S. Forbes; Richard H. Grumm
Meese-Rogoff redux: Micro-based exchange-rate forecasting
Johnatban. "Exchange Rate Forecasting: The Errors We'veBased Exchange-Rate Forecasting By MARTIN D . D . EVANS ANDon longer-horizon forecasting, we examine forecasting over
Evans, MDD; Lyons, Richard K.
The Past as Prologue? Business Cycles and Forecasting since the 1960s
Forecasters,� Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 28, No. 2, Mar,of Macroeconomic Forecasting� Journal of Macroeconomics,of Federal Reserve Forecasting,� Journal of Macroeconomics,
Bardhan, Ashok Deo; Hicks, Daniel; Kroll, Cynthia A.; Yu, Tiffany
Material World: Forecasting Household Appliance Ownership in a Growing Global Economy
and V. Letschert (2005). Forecasting Electricity Demand in8364 Material World: Forecasting Household ApplianceMcNeil, 2008). Forecasting Diffusion Forecasting Variables
Letschert, Virginie
Lipid Oxidation and Quality Division Poster Competition
Lipid Oxidation and Quality Division student award for best poster presentation at the AOCS Annual Meeting & Expo. Lipid Oxidation and Quality Division Poster Competition Divisions achievement agricultural analytical application award awards biote
Critical Operating Constraint Forecasting (COCF)
This document represents the progress report and Task 1 letter report of the California Institute for Energy and Environment (CIEE) contract funded by the California Energy Commission (CEC), Critical Operating Constraint Forecasting (COCF) for California Independent System Operator (CAISO) Planning Phase. Task 1 was to accomplish the following items: Collect data from CAISO to set up the WECC power flow base case representing the CAISO system in the summer of 2006 Run TRACE for maximizing California Impo...
Edward William Larsen, 1994 | U.S. DOE Office of Science (SC)
Edward William Larsen, 1994 Edward William Larsen, 1994 The Ernest Orlando Lawrence Award Lawrence Award Home Nomination & Selection Guidelines Award Laureates 2000's 1990's 1980's 1970's 1960's Ceremony The Life of Ernest Orlando Lawrence Contact Information The Ernest Orlando Lawrence Award U.S. Department of Energy SC-2/Germantown Building 1000 Independence Ave., SW Washington, DC 20585 P: (301) 903-9395 E: firstname.lastname@example.com 1990's Edward William Larsen, 1994 Print Text Size: A A A RSS Feeds FeedbackShare Page Nuclear Technology: For his profound impact on the analytic and numerical methods used to model the transport of particles and radiation in complex systems, with applications in diverse areas of nuclear technology ranging from nuclear weapons design to nuclear reactor safety
for Buildings, Photovoltaic Energy Systems Division U.S.of Solar Energy, Photovoltaic Energy Systems Division, U.S.methods for energy conversion such as photovoltaic solar
Authors, Various
OF CALIFORNIA ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT DIVISION DIVISION HEAD E.Pollutants in Combustion Environments D. Lucas, N. Brown,Inc. , Energy/Environment Data Study, Cambridge, Mass. , May
Environment/Health/Safety (EHS): Division Liaisons
Division Liaisons EHSS Division Liaisons are responsible for putting you in touch with the right person and for assuring that your EHSS problems are addressed promptly. Please also...
Berkeley Lab Earth Sciences Division - Resources - Workplace...
Ergo Advocates Division Safety Committee Division Support Contacts ESD Organization Chart Environment, Health & Safety ESD EH&S LBNL EH&S Facilities Management Building...
Quantum Condensed Matter Division | ORNL Neutron Sciences
Quantum Condensed Matter Division Steve Nagler, QCMD Director QCMD Director Steve Nagler. The Quantum Condensed Matter Division (QCMD) enables and conducts a broad program of...
Physics Division: Los Alamos National Laboratory
Physics Division Physics home Physics Division Site Home About Us Groups Applied Modern Physics, P-21 Neutron Science and Technology, P-23 Plasma Physics, P-24 Subatomic...
Participants for TMS Technical Divisions & Committees
FOR V. TMS Tech who take a han serve within mittee within erials Division g Division committees, w oles: ramming, pu ssionals who put into thes ncement, TMS.
Nuclear Engineering Division of Argonne National Laboratory ...
OVERVIEW Nuclear Engineering (NE) is one of the divisions within the Applied Science and Technology directorate of Argonne National Laboratory. The Division and its precursors have...
Extended Durability of a Cloth-Covered Star-Edwards Caged Ball Prosthesis in Aortic Position
The Starr-Edwards caged ball valve is one of the oldest cardiac valve prosthesis and was widely used all around the world in the past decades. Despite the long-term results that have been reported there are only a few cases reported that exceed 30 years of durability. Here in, we report a 53-year-old patient with a well-functioning 35-year-old aortic Starr-Edwards caged ball prosthesis. Copyright � 2009 Yusuf Ata et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. 1.
Article Id; Yusuf Ata; Tamer Turk; C�neyt Eris; Mihriban Yalcin; Filiz Ata
R/ECON July 2000 Forecast RUTGERS ECONOMIC ADVISORY SERVICE
R/ECON July 2000 Forecast RUTGERS ECONOMIC ADVISORY SERVICE FORECAST OF JULY 2000 NEW JERSEY of growth will decelerate over the forecast period. The R/ECON TM forecast for New Jersey in 2000 looks to decelerate over the course of the forecast. These forces will combine to push the unemployment rate to more
Increasing NOAA's computational capacity to improve global forecast modeling
1 Increasing NOAA's computational capacity to improve global forecast modeling A NOAA of the NWS's forecast products, even its regional forecast products, are constrained by the limitations of NOAA's global forecast model. Unfortunately, our global forecasts are less accurate than those from
Physics division annual report 2006.
This report highlights the activities of the Physics Division of Argonne National Laboratory in 2006. The Division's programs include the operation as a national user facility of ATLAS, the Argonne Tandem Linear Accelerator System, research in nuclear structure and reactions, nuclear astrophysics, nuclear theory, investigations in medium-energy nuclear physics as well as research and development in accelerator technology. The mission of nuclear physics is to understand the origin, evolution and structure of baryonic matter in the universe--the core of matter, the fuel of stars, and the basic constituent of life itself. The Division's research focuses on innovative new ways to address this mission.
Glover, J.; Physics
Calibrated Precipitation Forecasts for a Limited-Area Ensemble Forecast System Using Reforecasts
The calibration of numerical weather forecasts using reforecasts has been shown to increase the skill of weather predictions. Here, the precipitation forecasts from the Consortium for Small Scale Modeling Limited Area Ensemble Prediction System (...
Felix Fundel; Andre Walser; Mark A. Liniger; Christoph Frei; Christof Appenzeller
Implications of Ensemble Quantitative Precipitation Forecast Errors on Distributed Streamflow Forecasting
Evaluating the propagation of errors associated with ensemble quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPFs) into the ensemble streamflow response is important to reduce uncertainty in operational flow forecasting. In this paper, a multifractal ...
Giuseppe Mascaro; Enrique R. Vivoni; Roberto Deidda
Evaluation of Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasts Determined from Eta and AVN Forecasted Amounts
This note examines the connection between the probability of precipitation and forecasted amounts from the NCEP Eta (now known as the North American Mesoscale model) and Aviation (AVN; now known as the Global Forecast System) models run over a 2-...
William A. Gallus Jr.; Michael E. Baldwin; Kimberly L. Elmore
Reliable Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts from a Short-Range Ensemble Forecasting System
A simple binning technique is developed to produce reliable 3-h probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts (PQPFs) from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) multimodel short-range ensemble forecasting system obtained ...
David J. Stensrud; Nusrat Yussouf
The Impact of Writing Area Forecast Discussions on Student Forecaster Performance
A brief study is provided on the forecast performance of students who write a mock area forecast discussion (AFD) on a weekly basis. Student performance was tracked for one semester (11 weeks) during the University of Missouri�Columbia's local ...
Patrick S. Market
An Operational Model for Forecasting Probability of Precipitation and Yes/No Forecast
An operational system for forecasting probability of precipitation (PoP) and yes/no forecast over 10 stations during monsoon season is developed. A perfect prog method (PPM) approach is followed for statistical interpretation of numerical weather ...
Ashok Kumar; Parvinder Maini; S. V. Singh
Using National Air Quality Forecast Guidance to Develop Local Air Quality Index Forecasts
The National Air Quality Forecast Capability (NAQFC) currently provides next-day forecasts of ozone concentrations over the contiguous United States. It was developed collaboratively by NOAA and Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) in order to ...
Brian Eder; Daiwen Kang; S. Trivikrama Rao; Rohit Mathur; Shaocai Yu; Tanya Otte; Ken Schere; Richard Wayland; Scott Jackson; Paula Davidson; Jeff McQueen; George Bridgers
Mathematical and computer modelling reports: Modeling and forecasting energy markets with the intermediate future forecasting system
This paper describes the Intermediate Future Forecasting System (IFFS), which is the model used to forecast integrated energy markets by the U.S. Energy Information Administration. The model contains representations of supply and demand for all of the ...
Frederic H. Murphy; John J. Conti; Susan H. Shaw; Reginald Sanders
BMA Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting over the Huaihe Basin Using TIGGE Multi-model Ensemble Forecasts
Bayesian model averaging (BMA) probability quantitative precipitation forecast (PQPF) models were established by calibrating their parameters using one- to seven-day ensemble forecasts of 24-hour accumulated precipitation, and observations from 43 ...
Jianguo Liu; Zhenghui Xie
Evaluation of Probabilistic Medium-Range Temperature Forecasts from the North American Ensemble Forecast System
Ensemble temperature forecasts from the North American Ensemble Forecast System were assessed for quality against observations for 10 cities in western North America, for a 7-month period beginning in February 2007. Medium-range probabilistic ...
Doug McCollor; Roland Stull
Further Evaluation of the National Meterological Center's Medium-Range Forecast Model Precpitation Forecasts
Precipitation forecasts made by the National Meteorological Center's medium-range forecast (MRF) model are evaluated for the period, 1 March 1987 to 31 March 1989. As shown by Roads and Maisel, the MRF model wet bias was substantially alleviated ...
John O. Roads; T. Norman Maisal; Jordan Alpert
Role of Retrospective Forecasts of GCMs Forced with Persisted SST Anomalies in Operational Streamflow Forecasts Development
Seasonal streamflow forecasts contingent on climate information are essential for water resources planning and management as well as for setting up contingency measures during extreme years. In this study, operational streamflow forecasts are ...
A. Sankarasubramanian; Upmanu Lall; Susan Espinueva
Evaluation of MJO Forecast Skill from Several Statistical and Dynamical Forecast Models
This work examines the performance of Madden�Julian oscillation (MJO) forecasts from NCEP�s coupled and uncoupled general circulation models (GCMs) and statistical models. The forecast skill from these methods is evaluated in near�real time. ...
Kyong-Hwan Seo; Wanqiu Wang; Jon Gottschalck; Qin Zhang; Jae-Kyung E. Schemm; Wayne R. Higgins; Arun Kumar
A Probabilistic Forecast Contest and the Difficulty in Assessing Short-Range Forecast Uncertainty
Results are presented from a probability-based weather forecast contest. Rather than evaluating the absolute errors of nonprobabilistic temperature and precipitation forecasts, as is common in other contests, this contest evaluated the skill of ...
Thomas M. Hamill; Daniel S. Wilks
electrical power. UNIQUE ASPECTS OF THE STUDY Utility planning for installation of new capacity requires load forecasting
Cairns, E.J.
Forecasting Random Walks Under Drift Instability
Forecasting Random Walks Under Drift Instability? M. Hashem Pesaran University of Cambridge, CIMF, and USC Andreas Pick University of Cambridge, CIMF March 11, 2008 Abstract This paper considers forecast averaging when the same model is used... but estimation is carried out over different estimation windows. It develops theoretical results for random walks when their drift and/or volatility are subject to one or more structural breaks. It is shown that compared to using forecasts based on a single...
Pesaran, M Hashem; Pick, Andreas
EIA - Forecasts and Analysis of Energy Data
H Tables H Tables Appendix H Comparisons With Other Forecasts, and Performance of Past IEO Forecasts for 1990, 1995, and 2000 Forecast Comparisons Three organizations provide forecasts comparable with those in the International Energy Outlook 2005 (IEO2005). The International Energy Agency (IEA) provides business as usual projections to the year 2030 in its World Energy Outlook 2004; Petroleum Economics, Ltd. (PEL) publishes world energy forecasts to 2025; and Petroleum Industry Research Associates (PIRA) provides projections to 2015. For this comparison, 2002 is used as the base year for all the forecasts, and the comparisons extend to 2025. Although IEAs forecast extends to 2030, it does not publish a projection for 2025. In addition to forecasts from other organizations, the IEO2005 projections are also compared with those in last years report (IEO2004). Because 2002 data were not available when IEO2004 forecasts were prepared, the growth rates from IEO2004 are computed from 2001.
Rolling 12 Month Forecast November-2008.xls
Month Exceedence Level: 90% (Dry) First Preference CVP Generation Project Use November 2008 October 2009 November 2008 Twelve-Month Forecast of CVP Generation and Base Resource...
Solar future: 1978. [Market forecast to 1992
The growth in sales of solar heating equipment is discussed. Some forecasts are made for the continued market growth of collectors, pool systems, and photovoltaics. (MOW)
Butt, S.H.
Energy conservation and official UK energy forecasts
Behind the latest United Kingdom (UK) official forecasts of energy demand are implicit assumptions about future energy-price elasticities. Mr. Pearce examines the basis of the forecasts and finds that the long-term energy-price elasticities that they imply are two or three times too low. The official forecasts substantially understate the responsiveness of demand to energy price rises. If more-realistic price elasticities were assumed, the official forecasts would imply a zero primary energy-demand growth to 2000. This raises the interesting possibility of a low energy future being brought about entirely by market forces. 15 references, 3 tables.
Pearce, D.
Geothermal wells: a forecast of drilling activity
Numbers and problems for geothermal wells expected to be drilled in the United States between 1981 and 2000 AD are forecasted. The 3800 wells forecasted for major electric power projects (totaling 6 GWe of capacity) are categorized by type (production, etc.), and by location (The Geysers, etc.). 6000 wells are forecasted for direct heat projects (totaling 0.02 Quads per year). Equations are developed for forecasting the number of wells, and data is presented. Drilling and completion problems in The Geysers, The Imperial Valley, Roosevelt Hot Springs, the Valles Caldera, northern Nevada, Klamath Falls, Reno, Alaska, and Pagosa Springs are discussed. Likely areas for near term direct heat projects are identified.
Brown, G.L.; Mansure, A.J.; Miewald, J.N.
Promotional forecasting in the grocery retail business
Predicting customer demand in the highly competitive grocery retail business has become extremely difficult, especially for promotional items. The difficulty in promotional forecasting has resulted from numerous internal ...
Koottatep, Pakawkul
Time Series Prediction Forecasting the Future and ...
Time Series Prediction Forecasting the Future and Understanding the Past Santa Fe Institute Proceedings on the Studies in the Sciences of ...
Forecasting Prices andForecasting Prices and Congestion forCongestion for
Abstract--In deregulated electricity markets, short-term load forecasting is important for reliable power322 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS, VOL. 25, NO. 1, FEBRUARY 2010 Short-Term Load Forecasting presents a similar day-based wavelet neural network method to forecast tomorrow's load. The idea
Tesfatsion, Leigh
Wind Power Forecasting andWind Power Forecasting and Electricity Market Operations
Power Forecasting in Five U.S. Electricity Markets MISO NYISO PJM ERCOT CAISO Peak load 109,157 MW (7 ........................................................................................... 18 4 WIND POWER FORECASTING AND ELECTRICITY MARKET OPERATIONS............................................................ 18 4-1 Market Operation and Wind Power Forecasting in Five U.S. Electricity Markets .......... 21 #12
Kemner, Ken
XXXXXX Department/Division/Office
Environmental & Waste Management Services Division Bldg. 120 P. O. Box 5000 Upton, NY 11973-5000 Phone 631 344-2165 Fax 631 344-5812 firstname.lastname@example.com Managed by Brookhaven Science...
5. structural materials division bylaws
Section 5. The Council can, at its discretion, elect up to two at-large Division Council members with voting privileges and a renewable term of one year. Section 6.
Division Contacts | ornl.gov
Division Contacts Directorate E-mail Phone Fax Business Services email@example.com 865.241.7614 865.241.7595 Communications email@example.com 865.576.9122 865.574.0595 Computing...
Patents: Nuclear Engineering Division (Argonne)
About the Division > Patents About the Division > Patents Director's Welcome Organization Achievements Awards Patents Professional Societies Highlights Fact Sheets, Brochures & Other Documents Multimedia Library About Nuclear Energy Nuclear Reactors Designed by Argonne Argonne's Nuclear Science and Technology Legacy Opportunities within NE Division Visit Argonne Work with Argonne Contact us For Employees Site Map Help Join us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter NE on Flickr Celebrating the 70th Anniversary of Chicago Pile 1 (CP-1) Argonne OutLoud on Nuclear Energy Argonne Energy Showcase 2012 Patents Bookmark and Share Printable Patents List ( PDF PDF file, 225 KB) Over 50 patents have been issued to Nuclear Engineering Division staff members by the US Patent Office from 2000 to present. The table below features a complete list of patents (2000-present) issued
Chemical Sciences Division: Research: Programs
Programs Programs The Chemical Sciences Division (CSD) is one of Berkeley Laboratory's basic research divisions. The CSD is composed of individual research groups that conduct research in the areas of chemical physics and the dynamics of chemical reactions, the structure and reactivity of transient species, electron spectroscopy, surface chemistry and catalysis, electrochemistry, chemistry of the actinide elements and their relationship to environmental issues, and atomic physics. The division's 28 principal investigators, many of whom are on the faculty of the University of California at Berkeley, direct the individual research projects and the work of 6 staff scientists, 41 postdoctoral researchers, and 75 graduate students. Our research staff continues to achieve fundamental advances in understanding the structure and reactivity of critical reaction intermediates and transients using both state-of-the-art experimental and theoretical methods. In addition, the division supports a strong effort in heterogeneous and homogeneous catalysis.
Annual Energy Outlook Forecast Evaluation - Table 1. Forecast Evaluations:
Average Absolute Percent Errors from AEO Forecast Evaluations: Average Absolute Percent Errors from AEO Forecast Evaluations: 1996 to 2000 Average Absolute Percent Error Average Absolute Percent Error Average Absolute Percent Error Average Absolute Percent Error Average Absolute Percent Error Variable 1996 Evaluation: AEO82 to AEO93 1997 Evaluation: AEO82 to AEO97 1998 Evaluation: AEO82 to AEO98 1999 Evaluation: AEO82 to AEO99 2000 Evaluation: AEO82 to AEO2000 Consumption Total Energy Consumption 1.8 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 Total Petroleum Consumption 3.2 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.9 Total Natural Gas Consumption 6.0 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 Total Coal Consumption 2.9 2.7 3.0 3.2 3.3 Total Electricity Sales 1.8 1.6 1.7 1.8 2.0 Production Crude Oil Production 5.1 4.2 4.3 4.5 4.5
Uses and Applications of Climate Forecasts for Power Utilities
The uses and potential applications of climate forecasts for electric and gas utilities were assessed 1) to discern needs for improving climate forecasts and guiding future research, and 2) to assist utilities in making wise use of forecasts. In-...
Stanley A. Changnon; Joyce M. Changnon; David Changnon
Forecasting and Verifying in a Field Research Project: DOPLIGHT '87
Verification of forecasts during research field experiments is discussed and exemplified using the DOPLIGHT '87 experiment. We stress the importance of forecast verification if forecasting is to be a serious component of the research. A direct ...
Charles A. Doswell III; John A. Flueck
An Alternative Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecast Verification Technique
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) does not verify official or model forecasts if those forecasts call for a tropical cyclone to dissipate or if the real tropical cyclone dissipates. A new technique in which these forecasts are included in a ...
On the Reliability and Calibration of Ensemble Forecasts
An important aspect of ensemble forecasting is that the resulting probabilities are reliable (i.e., the forecast probabilities match the observed frequencies). In the medium-range forecasting context, the literature tends to focus on the ...
Christine Johnson; Neill Bowler
Forecasting during the Lake-ICE/SNOWBANDS Field Experiments
Despite improvements in numerical weather prediction models, statistical models, forecast decision trees, and forecasting rules of thumb, human interpretation of meteorological information for a particular forecast situation can still yield a ...
Peter J. Sousounis; Greg E. Mann; George S. Young; Richard B. Wagenmaker; Bradley D. Hoggatt; William J. Badini
Experiments in Temperature and Precipitation Forecasting for Illinois
Six years of daily temperature and precipitation forecasting are studied for Urbana, Illinois. Minimum temperature forecast skills, measured against a climatological control, are 57%, 48%, 34% and 20% for the respective forecast ranges of one, ...
John R. Gyakum
Scoring Probabilistic Forecasts: The Importance of Being Proper
Questions remain regarding how the skill of operational probabilistic forecasts is most usefully evaluated or compared, even though probability forecasts have been a long-standing aim in meteorological forecasting. This paper explains the ...
Jochen Br�cker; Leonard A. Smith
Precipitation and Temperature Forecast Performance at the Weather Prediction Center
The role of the human forecaster in improving upon the accuracy of numerical weather prediction is explored using multi-year verification of human-generated short-range precipitation forecasts and medium-range maximum temperature forecasts from ...
David R. Novak; Christopher Bailey; Keith Brill; Patrick Burke; Wallace Hogsett; Robert Rausch; Michael Schichtel
Diversity in Interpretations of Probability: Implications for Weather Forecasting
Over the last years, probability weather forecasts have become increasingly popular due in part to the development of ensemble forecast systems. Despite its widespread use in atmospheric sciences, probability forecasting remains a subtle and ...
Ram�n de El�a; Ren� Laprise
Prediction of Consensus Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Error
The extent to which the tropical cyclone (TC) track forecast error of a consensus model (CONU) routinely used by the forecasters at the National Hurricane Center can be predicted is determined. A number of predictors of consensus forecast error, ...
James S. Goerss
An Experiment in Mesoscale Weather Forecasting in the Michigan Area
During an experiment in mesoscale weather forecasting in the Michigan area, consensus improved over NWS guidance in maximum/minimum temperature and probability of precipitation forecasts out to 24 hours. Forecasts were generally best in the ...
Dennis G. Baker
The Economic Value Of Ensemble-Based Weather Forecasts
The potential economic benefit associated with the use of an ensemble of forecasts versus anequivalent or higher-resolution control forecast is discussed. Neither forecast systems are post-processed,except a simple calibration that is applied to ...
Yuejian Zhu; Zoltan Toth; Richard Wobus; David Richardson; Kenneth Mylne
A Probabilistic Forecast Approach for Daily Precipitation Totals
Commonly, postprocessing techniques are employed to calibrate a model forecast. Here, a probabilistic postprocessor is presented that provides calibrated probability and quantile forecasts of precipitation on the local scale. The forecasts are ...
Petra Friederichs; Andreas Hense
the entire forecast period, primarily because both weather-adjusted peak and electricity consumption were forecast. Keywords Electricity demand, electricity consumption, demand forecast, weather normalization, annual peak demand, natural gas demand, self-generation, conservation, California Solar Initiative. #12
NIST Electron and Optical Physics Division - 1998
TECHNICAL ACTIVITIES 1998 - NISTIR 6268 ELECTRON AND OPTICAL PHYSICS DIVISION. Vortex structures in a rotating ...
TECHNICAL ACTIVITIES 1999 - NISTIR 6438 Electron and Optical Physics Division. Soliton produced by phase-printing ...
Divisions: Principal Associate Directorate for Global Security...
Divisions Decision Applications, D International and Applied Technology, IAT International Space & Response, ISR Nuclear Nonproliferation, N...
Surfactants and Detergents Division Newsletter 11/12
Read the November newsletter from the Surfactants and Detergents Division. Surfactants and Detergents Division Newsletter 11/12 Surfactants and Detergents Division detergents division divisions fabric fats home care laundry detergent member membership oi
Security Automation Considered Harmful? W. Keith Edwards Erika Shehan Poole Jennifer Stoll
Security Automation Considered Harmful? W. Keith Edwards Erika Shehan Poole Jennifer Stoll School link in information security. Because of this perception, a growing body of research and commercial activity is focused on automated approaches to security. With these approaches, security decisions
Edwards, Keith
Data Management Projects at Google Michael Cafarella Edward Chang Andrew Fikes Alon Halevy Wilson Hsieh
Data Management Projects at Google Michael Cafarella Edward Chang Andrew Fikes Alon Halevy Wilson of the ongoing research projects related to structured data management at Google today. The organization of Google encourages research scientists to work closely with engineering teams. As a result, the research
Cafarella, Michael J.
Energy balance and water use in a subtropical karst woodland on the Edwards Plateau, Texas
May 2009 This manuscript was handled by P. Baveye, Editor-in-Chief, with the assistance of Michel oak (Quercus virgini- ana)-Ashe juniper (Juniperus ashei) woodland on the karst Edwards Plateau, TX-devel- oped underground drainage systems, and strong interactions be- tween surface and groundwater flow
Schwinning, Susan - Department of Biology, Texas State University
Price and Load Forecasting in Volatile Energy Markets
With daily news stories about wildly fluctuating electricity prices and soaring natural gas prices, forecasters' responsibilities are expanding, visibility is increasing, and pressure exists to produce more frequent forecasts and more kinds of forecasts. The proceedings of EPRI's 13th Forecasting Symposium, held November 13-15 in Nashville, Tennessee, address current forecasting issues and developments, as well as explain the role that forecasters have played in recent events in energy markets.
Possibility of Skill Forecast Based on the Finite-Time Dominant Linear Solutions for a Primitive Equation Regional Forecast Model
The possibility of using forecast errors originating from the finite-time dominant linear modes for the prediction of forecast skill for a primitive equation regional forecast model is studied. This is similar to the method for skill prediction ...
Tomislava Vuki?evi?
New Climate Research Centers Forecast Changes and Challenges...
Climate Research Centers Forecast Changes and Challenges New Climate Research Centers Forecast Changes and Challenges October 25, 2013 - 12:24pm Addthis This artist's rendering...
Exploiting Domain Knowledge to Forecast Heating Oil Consumption
The GasDay laboratory at Marquette University provides forecasts of energy consumption. One such service is the Heating Oil Forecaster
George F. Corliss; Tsuginosuke Sakauchi; Steven R. Vitullo; Ronald H. Brown
SunShot Initiative: Forecasting and Influencing Technological...
Forecasting and Influencing Technological Progress in Solar Energy to someone by E-mail Share SunShot Initiative: Forecasting and Influencing Technological Progress in Solar Energy...
Building Energy Software Tools Directory: Energy Usage Forecasts
Alphabetically Tools by Platform PC Mac UNIX Internet Tools by Country Related Links Energy Usage Forecasts Energy Usage Forecasts Quick and easy web-based tool that provides...
Forecasting demand of commodities after natural disasters
Demand forecasting after natural disasters is especially important in emergency management. However, since the time series of commodities demand after natural disasters usually has a great deal of nonlinearity and irregularity, it has poor prediction ... Keywords: ARIMA, Demand forecasting, EMD, Emergency management, Natural disaster
Xiaoyan Xu; Yuqing Qi; Zhongsheng Hua
Preemptive Forecasts Using an Ensemble Kalman Filter
An ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) estimates the error statistics of a model forecast using an ensemble of model forecasts. One use of an EnKF is data assimilation, resulting in the creation of an increment to the first-guess field at the ...
Brian J. Etherton
Time series forecasting with Qubit Neural Networks
This paper proposes a quantum learning scheme approach for time series forecasting, through the application of the new non-standard Qubit Neural Network (QNN) model. The QNN description was adapted in this work in order to resemble classical Artificial ... Keywords: artificial intelligence, artificial neural networks, quantum computing, qubit neural networks, time series forecasting
Carlos R. B. Azevedo; Tiago A. E. Ferreira
Blasting Vibration Forecast Base on Neural Network
The influence of blasting vibration to surroundings around the blasting area can not be ignored, in order to guarantee the safety of surroundings around blasting area, blasting vibration forecasting model based on neural network is established by improved ... Keywords: Blasting vibration, Neural network, Forecast
Haiwang Ye; Fang Liu; Jian Chang; Lin Feng; Yang Wang; Peng Yao; Kai Wu
Evaluating the Skill of Categorical Forecasts
A generalized skill score is presented for evaluating forecasts in any number of categories. Each forecast in a sample is given a mark; the skill score for the sample is just the average mark. Each mark has an expected value of zero for an ...
Neil D. Gordon
Incentives for Retailer Forecasting: Rebates vs. Returns
This paper studies a manufacturer that sells to a newsvendor retailer who can improve the quality of her demand information by exerting costly forecasting effort. In such a setting, contracts play two roles: providing incentives to influence the retailer's ... Keywords: endogenous adverse selection, forecasting, rebates, returns, supply chain contracting
Terry A. Taylor; Wenqiang Xiao
A spatially distributed flash flood forecasting model
This paper presents a distributed model that is in operational use for forecasting flash floods in northern Austria. The main challenge in developing the model was parameter identification which was addressed by a modelling strategy that involved a model ... Keywords: Distributed modelling, Dominant processes concept, Floods, Forecasting, Kalman Filter, Model accuracy, Parameter identification, Stream routing
G�nter Bl�schl; Christian Reszler; J�rgen Komma
The NCEP Climate Forecast System Version 2
The second version of the NCEP Climate Forecast System (CFSv2) was made operational at NCEP in March 2011. This version has upgrades to nearly all aspects of the data assimilation and forecast model components of the system. A coupled Reanalysis ...
Suranjana Saha; Shrinivas Moorthi; Xingren Wu; Jiande Wang; Sudhir Nadiga; Patrick Tripp; David Behringer; Yu-Tai Hou; Hui-ya Chuang; Mark Iredell; Michael Ek; Jesse Meng; Rongqian Yang; Malaqu�as Pe�a Mendez; Huug van den Dool; Qin Zhang; Wanqiu Wang; Mingyue Chen; Emily Becker
Forecast of geothermal-drilling activity
The number of geothermal wells that will be drilled to support electric power production in the United States through 2000 A.D. are forecasted. Results of the forecast are presented by 5-year periods for the five most significant geothermal resources.
Mansure, A.J.; Brown, G.L.
Efficient forecasting for hierarchical time series
Forecasting is used as the basis for business planning in many application areas such as energy, sales and traffic management. Time series data used in these areas is often hierarchically organized and thus, aggregated along the hierarchy levels based ... Keywords: forecasting, hierarchies, optimization, time series
Lars Dannecker; Robert Lorenz; Philipp R�sch; Wolfgang Lehner; Gregor Hackenbroich
Making Forecasts and Weather Normalization Work Together
Electric utility industry restructuring has changed the consistency between weather-normalized sales and energy forecasts. This Technology Review discusses the feasibility of integrating weather normalization and forecasting processes, and addresses whether the conflicting goal of obtaining greater consistency and accuracy with fewer staff resources can be met with more integrated approaches.
U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)
Sheet3 Sheet2 Sheet1 Figure 106. Average annual minemouth coal prices by region, 1990-2040 (2011 dollars per million Btu) Appalachia Interior West US Average
Evaluating the Cloud Cover Forecast of NCEP Global Forecast System with Satellite Observation
To assess the quality of daily cloud cover forecast generated by the operational global numeric model, the NCEP Global Forecast System (GFS), we compose a large sample with outputs from GFS model and satellite observations from the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) in the period of July 2004 to June 2008, to conduct a quantitative and systematic assessment of the performance of a cloud model that covers a relatively long range of time, basic cloud types, and in a global view. The evaluation has revealed the goodness of the model forecast, which further illustrates our completeness on understanding cloud generation mechanism. To quantity the result, we found a remarkably high correlation between the model forecasts and the satellite observations over the entire globe, with mean forecast error less than 15% in most areas. Considering a forecast within 30% difference to the observation to be a "good" one, we find that the probability for the GFS model to make good forecasts varies between...
Ye, Quanzhi
1993 Pacific Northwest Loads and Resources Study, Pacific Northwest Economic and Electricity Use Forecast, Technical Appendix: Volume 1.
This publication documents the load forecast scenarios and assumptions used to prepare BPA`s Whitebook. It is divided into: intoduction, summary of 1993 Whitebook electricity demand forecast, conservation in the load forecast, projection of medium case electricity sales and underlying drivers, residential sector forecast, commercial sector forecast, industrial sector forecast, non-DSI industrial forecast, direct service industry forecast, and irrigation forecast. Four appendices are included: long-term forecasts, LTOUT forecast, rates and fuel price forecasts, and forecast ranges-calculations.
United States. Bonneville Power Administration.
A Short-Range Forecasting Experiment Conducted during the Canadian Atlantic Storms Program
During the Canadian Atlantic Storms Program (CASP), a dedicated forecast center conducted experiments in mesoscale forecasting. Several forecast products, including a marine forecast and a site-specific public forecast, were written every 3 h. ...
K. A. Macdonald; M. Danks; J. D. Abraham
Fermilab's Accelerator and Research Divisions
July 19, 1996 July 19, 1996 Number 14 Fixed-target experimenters not only expect Fermilab's Accelerator and Research Divisions to turn water into wine-they need 10 different vintages. Providing beam to fixed-target experiments presents the challenge of converting high-inten- sity protons into 10 separate beams of varying intensities and particles, from kaons to neu- trinos. The Accelerator Division generates and splits the beam, and then hands the protons off to the Research Division, which converts them into beams of different particles. The process begins with a breath of hydrogen gas. Eventually the hydrogen atoms lose their outer electrons and become a stream of protons-the formation of the beam. Physicists measure two characteristics of the beam: its energy (eV) and its intensity. Intensity
9, No. 2 [http://eetd.lbl.gov/newsletter/nl33/] 9, No. 2 [http://eetd.lbl.gov/newsletter/nl33/] Environmental Energy Technologies Division News [http://eetd.lbl.gov/newsletter/] © 2010 Environmental Energy Technologies Division [http://eetd.lbl.gov/] E.O. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory [http://www.lbl.gov/] Disclaimer [http://www.lbl.gov/Disclaimers.html] FALL NEWSLETTER: VOL. 9, NO. 2 Driving Demand Bennett-Nordman IEEE Standard Nicotine and Ozone SVOW Renewables Portfolio Standard Report Kerosene Lamp Particulate Study Research Highlights Sources and Credits New ways of convincing homeowners of the benefits of energy efficiency improvements to their homes-and new language to use in discussing these benefits-is discussed in a report titled "Driving Demand" from Environmental Energy Technologies Division researchers. This issue also
2: Vol. 10, No. 3 [http://eetd.lbl.gov/newsletter/nl38/] 2: Vol. 10, No. 3 [http://eetd.lbl.gov/newsletter/nl38/] Environmental Energy Technologies Division News [http://eetd.lbl.gov/newsletter/] © 2012 Environmental Energy Technologies Division [http://eetd.lbl.gov/] E.O. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory [http://www.lbl.gov/] Disclaimer [http://www.lbl.gov/Disclaimers.html] WINTER 2012: VOL. 10, NO. 3 Middle-Income Energy Savings LIGTT Greenhouse Gas Standards Port of Oakland Study Ashok Gadgil Wins Zayed Award Max Tech Research Highlights Sources and Credits Congratulations to EETD Division Director Ashok Gadgil, winner of the Zayed Future Energy Prize lifetime achievement award, about which you can read in this issue. We also present research on how energy efficiency program managers can better reach middle-income families, and perhaps
0: 0: Vol. 9, No. 1 Ashok Gadgil Named Director of Environmental Energy Technologies Division Arsenic Removal Technologies ARPA-E Funding Low-Energy Buildings User Facility ECMA International Standard U.S. Wind Power Market Clean Energy Ministerial Research Highlights Sources and Credits PDF of EETD News Ashok Gadgil Named New EETD Director Ashok Gadgil Ashok Gadgil has been named Director of Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory's (Berkeley Lab's) Environmental Energy Technologies Division (EETD). Serving as the Acting Division Director since October, he replaces Arun Majumdar who is now Director of the DOE's Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy (ARPA-E). Gadgil is a Professor in Civil and Environmental Engineering at UC Berkeley and joined EETD in 1988. He is recognized for
Highlights: Nuclear Engineering Division (Argonne)
About the Division > Highlights About the Division > Highlights Director's Welcome Organization Achievements Awards Patents Professional Societies Highlights Fact Sheets, Brochures & Other Documents Multimedia Library About Nuclear Energy Nuclear Reactors Designed by Argonne Argonne's Nuclear Science and Technology Legacy Opportunities within NE Division Visit Argonne Work with Argonne Contact us For Employees Site Map Help Join us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter NE on Flickr Celebrating the 70th Anniversary of Chicago Pile 1 (CP-1) Argonne OutLoud on Nuclear Energy Argonne Energy Showcase 2012 Highlights Bookmark and Share Click on the "Date" header to sort the NE highlights in chronological order (ascending or descending). You may also search through the NE highlights for a specific keyword/year;
8, No. 4 [http://eetd.lbl.gov/newsletter/nl31/] 8, No. 4 [http://eetd.lbl.gov/newsletter/nl31/] Environmental Energy Technologies Division News [http://eetd.lbl.gov/newsletter/] © 2010 Environmental Energy Technologies Division [http://eetd.lbl.gov/] E.O. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory [http://www.lbl.gov/] Disclaimer [http://www.lbl.gov/Disclaimers.html] SPRING NEWSLETTER: VOL. 8, NO. 4 OpenADR's Steps Toward a National Smart Grid Standard Dangers of Third-Hand Smoke Energy Efficiency Workforce Training John Newman Wins the Acheson Award Net Metered PV Systems Recovery Act Grant Program Evaluation Sources and Credits As the nation continues moving toward a more energy-efficient economy, research at the Environmental Energy Technologies Division plays its part in developing the technologies it needs for the Smart Grid, and in evaluating policies aimed at increasing energy efficiency