text:
Wargaming the Electoral College: Quickfire Thursday Edition
If Suffolk University was correct in its decision to quit polling FL, NC, and VA voters and paint those states red, then here's our new battleground map, with MI and PA slipping (very slightly) into battleground territory.
Now I never did consider NC to be a battleground state, but it would appear that Romney has moved the playing field to the right. Two battlegrounds (FL, VA) have turned red. And three blue states (MI, PA, WI) are opening up. The GOP looks to have a great ground game in OH, and a win there puts Mitt in the White House. Romney can also score a win with with just PA or just MI. Either IA + WI or NH + WI gets Romney over the finish line, too.
If I'm wrong about CO, that opens things up for Obama a bit more. My lyin' eyes though tell me CO has rather quickly become a gimme for the GOP.
In a close race, Obama wins it 281-257, or Romney takes it 285-253. But if Romney breaks this open — which he now has some small chance to do — then it's 331-207, and a pretty complete repudiation of the last four years.
UPDATE: For what it's worth, RCP moved MI and PA into the tossups this morning, too. All is proceeding exactly as I have foreseen.
69 Comments, 29 Threads
1. Brian Bokenyi
If Minnesota shifts to "Toss-up", then I'll recognize your boast Pallpatine.
October 11, 2012 - 7:13 am Link to this Comment | Reply -
2. Frank Martin
This race is over before it leaves the Eastern Time Zone.
October 11, 2012 - 8:09 am Link to this Comment | Reply-
Depends. If PA and OH go to Obama, it'll be settled in Central.
October 11, 2012 - 11:42 am Link to this Comment | Reply-
Make that PA and OH and MI. If Romney gets one of those three, you can safely pop the cork.
October 11, 2012 - 11:50 am Link to this Comment | Reply-
myth buster
It's also contingent on those states being called within an hour of the polls closing.
October 11, 2012 - 4:48 pm Link to this Comment | Reply
3. Frank Martin
Whats going on in Maine? Even Sabato has noted that the situation there has changed.
October 11, 2012 - 9:13 am Link to this Comment | Reply-
Short version? People have been looking for permission to vote against Obama. Last Wednesday, Romney gave them that permission. As a result, he's going to do better in Maine than any GOP candidate since Bush won there in 1988. I don't see him taking the state, although he could conceivably pull one EC vote out of it.
October 11, 2012 - 9:16 am Link to this Comment | Reply-
Candidates win when their campaign is about the people they are representing.
Candidates lose when their campaigns become all about the candidate.Of course, this would not be the conclusion reached by a narcissist.
October 11, 2012 - 9:45 am Link to this Comment | Reply
Romney up by 4 in ME-2. Could win 1 EV.
October 12, 2012 - 6:39 am Link to this Comment | Reply
4. Pat
If Romney takes just two battleground states (NH and WI) and the 257 assumed to be in the GOP column, he'll make history – the first Republican to win without Ohio.
October 11, 2012 - 9:56 am Link to this Comment | Reply-
I honestly believe that Romney will win Ohio given what is going on in OH today.
October 11, 2012 - 2:09 pm Link to this Comment | Reply
My take is another 1980 where it was over before the polls closed in the mountain states.
October 11, 2012 - 10:19 am Link to this Comment | Reply -
Lotta Romney signs here in my corner of Connecticut. And they are not being slashed either. I went last night to the debate of our two congressional candidates, Steve Obsitnik and the Democrat incumbent Jim Himes. Aside from Himes' gratuitous snarkiness, one of the take-aways was the big distance he wanted to put between himself and Obama. Quite striking in this mindlessly blue state.
October 11, 2012 - 10:20 am Link to this Comment | Reply-
Sarah Hoyt
THIS. Through the poll misdirection and the deranged media, what I'll note is that NO ONE in local elections is tying himself to Obama, as they did to Clinton (typed clingon, first) in his reelection campaign. Mind you, not many tied themselves to Bush in 04, either, but think about it — that was under as heavy a pounding by the media as a sitting president ever took. Obama has the opposite and is STILL toxic. It has to mean something.
October 11, 2012 - 11:13 am Link to this Comment | Reply-
Not entirely true.
Rob Teplitz, running for State Senate in PA, has "OBAMA/TEPLITZ" signs posted throughout Harrisburg PA.
October 11, 2012 - 11:26 am Link to this Comment | Reply-
Sarah Hoyt
Okay, so there are exceptions, but it's not… a widespread practice.
October 11, 2012 - 2:50 pm Link to this Comment | Reply
About the signs, I think many Romney supporters (especially in heavy blue states) are afraid to put their signs out in case they might get a rock through a window. I know that my car got keyed the same day I put a McCain bumper sticker on my car in 2008 (and I live in a VERY red state). So I think there might be a silent but deadly group of Romney voters out there. I am cautiously optimistic at this point.
October 12, 2012 - 7:35 pm Link to this Comment | Reply
7. Rob
You may be able to list Nevada as a toss-up – check on it. 48.2 Obama to 46.6 Romney per RCP. The Republican Party here is a shambles and the Democratic machine is very good, but don't read too much into the 2010 Senate race. Sen. Reid convinced Republicans to stay home and Nevada has a strong bipartisan history of keeping Senators in high power positions. Republicans won't need any help getting to the polls this year and I have several apolitical friends who recently registered to vote for the first time to vote against Obama – a 2008 in reverse – and I don't think these people get polled. Also, don't discount the Mormon factor. Very high enthusiasm and turnout there will offset (and maybe exceed) Obama's African-American turnout. Not sure we'll go red, but there is a chance.
October 11, 2012 - 10:31 am Link to this Comment | Reply-
That's good to read, Rob. I've gone back and forth on NV, but it's very difficult to see Romney overcoming Reid's casino machine and your Ronulan-infested state GOP. I know upstate Mormon enthusiasm will be huge, will it be enough? I just don't see it yet.
October 11, 2012 - 10:32 am Link to this Comment | Reply-
Look at the economic wreckage of Las Vegas since 2008. Its a very different place than it was 4 years go.
October 11, 2012 - 11:11 am Link to this Comment | Reply
I seem to recall that NV used to be very reliably republican. Is this change to a solid blue state the result of Californians escaping the wreckage they created and then behaving in the exact same ways in their new home?
October 11, 2012 - 11:30 am Link to this Comment | Reply-
May I remind you that California used to be a red (used to be blue until the commies stole blue from us in 2000)state too. We are the ones who gave you Ronald Reagan.
The whackadoodles started to flood the state in the 60′s. The grownups in my little kid world truly believed the world was coming to an end with all these heathens invading the state.
It didn't take them long to trash the place. They're like locusts, consuming everything in their path and then moving on to the next patch of earth to devour. I believe they consumed Oregon and Washington before moving on to Nevada.
October 11, 2012 - 1:51 pm Link to this Comment | Reply-
I've been here in the Golden State since '87. I recall this place being moderately sane. But people who like to control things began controlling things. And the citizens started bailing. So we end up w/ a highly concentrated progressive electorate that is always moving leftward. First those to the right of Pete Wilson were alienated and left. Then those to the right of Arnold. At the point now where people just to the right of Lenin are considered right-wingnuts. While those Leninists are figuring CA is just too damn socialist, time to move to another state.
October 11, 2012 - 3:13 pm Link to this Comment | Reply-
I know what you mean. Ive lived in CA a total of 10 years, San Bernardino County on the early 90s, San Diego county in early 2000′s and northern San Diego co til late 08. I would love to move back when my husband retires from the military because I loved many things about it. However, the negatives simply outweigh the positives now & it is simply not going to happen. The freedom lovers have fled & the lunatics are running the asylum now more than ever. It makes me even more sad than what the libs did to my hometown of Detroit.
October 11, 2012 - 5:00 pm Link to this Comment
Ex-Buck Sergeant of the Air Force
@lolly – I agree with your comment about "blue". I will NEVER consider myself "red", but always "TRUE blue"! I served in (West) Berlin for 6 years, and I remember the commies over there all too well!
October 11, 2012 - 8:32 pm Link to this Comment | Reply -
Washington State (west of the Cascades, at least) has always been a bit lefty- the cradle of the Wobblies and all that.
October 12, 2012 - 1:54 am Link to this Comment | Reply
Latest Suffolk poll had 0bama up by 2 in a D+8 RV poll. It had Romney winning the state except for Clark and Weshoe Co. The poll had 0bama winning Weshoe Co by 4%. In 2008, 0 won it by 12.5%.
October 11, 2012 - 2:05 pm Link to this Comment | Reply
8. Mikeski
In the Minneapolis/St Paul area, it's quiet as the grave. I've seen two Obama '12 bumper stickers, one Romney bumper sticker, and one Romney yard sign. And my commute is about 16 miles each way, so I've had plenty of bumpers and yards to look at.
Every other bit of politicking I've seen has been local races (30%) or "vote yes/vote no" signs (70%) about the marriage-definition thing. Those all seem equally split.
Whether I'm in the blueish or reddish areas of the cities, nobody's tipping their hand. Considering the state politics range from seriously blue (Reagan vs. Mondale) to seriously insane (Ventura, Franken), that might be a good sign for Romney, but I don't know.
October 11, 2012 - 10:38 am Link to this Comment | Reply-
Todd A
Mike: as a fellow Twin Citian, I can corroborate your testimony. For starters, I haven't seen any Romney-Ryan signs. With that said, here in Robbinsdale (I live close to the parkway near North Memorial and N Mpls), I've seen virtually no Obama-Biden signs either…here in one of the most liberal districts in the state. My simp-mind interprets this to mean low enthusiasm for Obama. They may not be voting for Romney, but they're not voting for the president either. As you mentioned. I do see a fair number of local signs (usually for a democrat).
October 11, 2012 - 6:24 pm Link to this Comment | Reply
9. Samizdat
Toured through New Hampshire a couple of times over the last month on business. A month ago Romney signs out numbered Obama signs 8 to 1, but in my 2nd trip last week I saw alot more Obama signs than before. Romney signs still dominate however. Only place I saw Obama signs outnumbering Romney's were in Concord and that town is the capital where there are lots of government workers and SEIU types.
I heard that until recently Obama was selling signs and maybe that puts a damper on distribution. NH looks pretty purple to me, hope I am way wrong about that. I have read that Republican registrations are out numbering Democrats in NH.
October 11, 2012 - 10:55 am Link to this Comment | Reply-
Or maybe unions are bullying members into displaying signs.
October 11, 2012 - 4:49 pm Link to this Comment | Reply-
Free signs, plus a hefty fine for not displaying?
October 11, 2012 - 5:34 pm Link to this Comment | Reply
10. barry1817
I am cautiously optimistic, preferring to think of this as a sporting game, with a clock running down, and Romney and supporters must put on the full court press and run the other team off the floor. Can be no playing for time.
October 11, 2012 - 11:07 am Link to this Comment | Reply -
11. Adam Smith
Here in the occupied territories of Northern Virginia, you see many more Obama signs than you see Romney signs, but I don't think that tells the whole story. I have seen Romney bumbper stickers in homes that I have visited indicating that Romney supporters don't feel quite free to put up a sign here. Also, I went to a lunch on Monday. The speaker asked if anyone knows a McCain voter who was thinking of voting for Obama. One hand. Then he asked if any knows an Obama voter in 2008 who was planning on voting for Romney this time around–about a third of the audience raised their hands. He said he as seen the same pattern across the oountry. This may be a "silent majority" election.
October 11, 2012 - 11:08 am Link to this Comment | Reply-
Sarah Hoyt
There IS a silent majority. I've known that since my first Tea Party. I was so sure I was all alone and feeling beaten down, and sure no one in government would ever listen to me again. (I've been there before in Portugal, and the mechanism was startlingly similar.) I heard about the tea party in my town by following two-links-out from Instapundit, and I thought "it will be me and fifteen other people, and we'll be lucky not to get beaten." Since I lived within distance of the gathering place, though, and since I have more… okay, I can't have more balls than brain, but if I were a guy, I totally would, I decided I'd go.
I live about ten blocks off, and the first thing I noticed is that OUR street was getting parked solid. Then, as I started walking down, it was like a growing river, with more and more people joining at every intersection, as the cross streets got parked over.
The funny thing is that all of us had this mullish, determined "I might be alone, but d*mn it, I'm going."
At the end there was a crowd — well, the local paper said 1500, which when you consider lunch hour, business day, is a lot, but I have EXPERIENCE of demonstrations, and I'd say 2.5k — and the reassuring thing? We were all colors, sizes and ages. (There was a group of Native Americans in traditional dress who arrived by minibus. Still not sure where they came from, but glad to have them there.) Since then, I've had the same sort of moments in the 10 election and the Chick-filet thing and a dozen other things, including the way OWS despite all the cultural support and ALL the push from the establishment, including books written about it TOTALLY died on the vine.There HAS to be a silent majority. (My almost apolitical husband — raised in a liberal household, but having lived long enough with me to be knee jerk anti-Marxist, yet prefers not to think about any of it — refuses to answer polls, for instance, because he can't "trust people on the other side.")
How big? Who knows. This election is terrifying me like no other before. My gut says it's Romney in a blow out, but my head keeps gibbering in fear.
And we're playing for all the cookies.
October 11, 2012 - 11:23 am Link to this Comment | Reply-
Chris Sivley
I know how you felt. I saw the outrage in the voice of the guy who started it all at the Stock Market and I felt like I was shouting loud enough to be heard all the way up there where he was. I have always been politically active but 8 years ago I ended up in a wheelchair and it kind of curtailed my politics some. but the Tea Party gave me a jolt! I talked to my wife and my four kids (4yrs thru 14yrs) and told them if no one else even showed up we would. I contacted some people I knew on the net and got the ball rolling. We were the first Tea Party to hold a rally in Alabama on Feb 18th of that year.
we could not get the press/radio to even talk about it. When we got to the park there was already 10 people there waiting for us. We had over 4 cars stop and join us when they were passing by and saw our signs. We had Republicans, Democrats, Indies, and I don't know how many others. Black, White, Asian and Native American.
I had gotten 4 of the best candidates running in our local elections to come and we had a great time.
Don't let your fears overcome your determination to speak out and you could change the world. The Liberal/Marxist are not supermen just liars & cheats.
Deo Vindice!
October 11, 2012 - 12:06 pm Link to this Comment | Reply -
"This election is terrifying me like no other before. My gut says it's Romney in a blow out, but my head keeps gibbering in fear."
You've perfectly captured my current state, blow out v. gibbering fear.
October 11, 2012 - 12:22 pm Link to this Comment | Reply-
Marc MAlone
Yeah, it's a nicely turned phrase. She shows some promise. Maybe she should consider writing for a living.
October 11, 2012 - 2:51 pm Link to this Comment | Reply-
Sarah Hoyt
Mark Malone — you are a BAD MAN. I suspect you comment on my blog. They're all BAD PEOPLE there.
October 11, 2012 - 2:55 pm Link to this Comment
A silent majority is simply a majority of cowards. If it weren't for the remaining portions of our Constitution and Bill of Rights we would have long ago been reduced to serfdom (or more accurately Marxist proledom). More and more of us need to speak up – at work – at church – at the gym – at the ball field – etc. More and more of us need to write and publish essays extolling the founding principles of our American Revolution. More and more of us need to run for school boards and political office. Our Founding Fathers will stop turning in their graves when the silent majority finally takes courage – and speaks out – and takes action – in defense of our God-given equal rights to life, liberty and the fruit of our own labor in creative pursuit of happiness.
October 11, 2012 - 12:48 pm Link to this Comment | Reply-
Sarah Hoyt
Yes, but take in account many people work in "Captured Fields". I still do. And whatever people say about there being "no black list" it's amazing how your books stop selling and they can't offer a new contract the moment they realize you're a conservative. Particularly if you're a first generation immigrant from a Latin country (Sarah is my citizenship name, and Hoyt is my married name)
I can talk for two reasons — Baen books, which doesn't care what my political color is, provided I can tell a story — and because I can take my other stuff, mystery, fantasy and historical, indie on my own. This is still a huge risk but I THINK I can survive financially until it starts paying. OTOH I could find myself living under the bridge.
Ten years ago, when my kids were in the public schools and I had no options but to keep working for the media-industrial-democrat complex, I might have been a "coward" by staying quiet. I preferred to think of it as "likes to keep kids safe and fed."
October 11, 2012 - 2:54 pm Link to this Comment | Reply
Subotai Bahadur
Similar defiance in our Southern Colorado county. The local paper is owned by an out of state company [Texas, of all places] and they told me that they had an order not to give any coverage to the TEA Party [memo said that "resistance to taxes is treason"]. They started covering us just before the 2010 election [because their circulation was dropping] and put the embargo back on a few months ago.
We gathered in one of our larger parks with a bandshell stage. Across the highway there were a LOT of people wearing sunglasses with long lensed cameras documenting all of us.
We are a small town. We know all the reporters from the local rag. No vehicles from the nearby urban media. We know all the cops and County Sheriffs Deputies [and they are on our side, anyway]. They were NOT from our county. We assumed that they were Federales or CBI.
When I got up to speak, I pointed them out and had the crowd greet them. There was a variety of waves. We were in no mood to back down.
Romney is not my first, second, or third choice. But I will vote for him if I have to involve one of those evil black rifles …. or an 1860 Cavalry saber I happen to own, to get to the polls.
From the response to our weekly GOTV rallies, I will not be alone.
Subotai Bahadur
October 11, 2012 - 2:08 pm Link to this Comment | Reply
I was just up there Sept 28-30 & was shocked at how few o signs there were & how many romney I saw. Granted, I saw more o stuff up there than any place I have been (even Detroit) but I expected more. I see enthusiasm is just not where it was in 08. I certainly see enthusiasm on the right
October 11, 2012 - 4:52 pm Link to this Comment | Reply
12. Sarah Hoyt
My college neighborhood has 10 Romney signs for every Obama sign. And we don't even have ours up yet — I can't decide whether to have it in English or Spanish (they don't offer them in Portuguese) or which would make my neighbors' heads explode more. But Dan and I have decided to compromise. We'll put English signs on either side, and the Spanish (or Portuguese if I can trick one out — there' s a Portuguese neighborhood two streets away, anyway) at the corner point.
Oh, yeah, Steve knows this, but for the rest of you, Colorado. And I'd say Steve's gut is right.
My fear right now is the media in the VP debate and today's phony balloney jobless claim report — will any of it stick?October 11, 2012 - 11:10 am Link to this Comment | Reply-
Thanks for that, Sarah.
Will it stick? The True Believers won't doubt any of it — not out loud. And everybody else stopped listening a long time ago.
October 11, 2012 - 11:11 am Link to this Comment | Reply -
I live in a "mixed" neighborhood, too: teachers, college professors and middle-class liberals, offset by a fair number of military types, self-made business people and middle-class conservatives.
Earlier this week, the signage was 50-50 Obama v. Romney. What's notable is this reflects a significant shift from 2008, when it seemed close to a 70-30 split.
Among those sporting Dem candidate signs, only a handful ALSO have Obama-Biden signs. One neighbor, a rabid Obama supporter in 2008, has only one sign in the yard: House For Sale.
That said, local folks are playing this close to the vest. Fewer signs, but a quiet determination to vote, particularly among Repubs and Indies.
October 11, 2012 - 1:15 pm Link to this Comment | Reply
13. Robert L. Mayo
O: These aren't the electoral votes you're looking for.
MSM: These aren't the electoral votes we're looking for.
O: Move along.
MSM: Move along… move along.
October 11, 2012 - 11:36 am Link to this Comment | Reply -
14. Larry, Israel
I sense a Romney blowout from six thousand miles away.
The portents are there.
The debate was awful for Obama.
The Libya-Egypt news is lousy for Obama.
That the White House lied about the causes of the attacks is bad news for him.Romney is looking good, talking clearly, sounding confident on foreign policy.
People here are very biased, of course. We don't want Obama. But I have been following political discussions since I was knee-high to a bridge table. Romney is going to sweep to victory.
October 11, 2012 - 11:40 am Link to this Comment | Reply -
15. Brian
I mentioned it last week, but Mitt has to actually fight for Michigan and Pennsylvania to have a chance. The GOP here in MI is lame and spineless; Rick Snyder is invisible, Senate candidate Pete Hoekstra is a ghost with NO money to spend on anything, the ballot proposals this year are all leftist initiatives, and all but three of the state Supreme Court judges are liberal nominees. The deck is stacked against Romney (who isn't running any ads or campaigning here, either).
October 11, 2012 - 11:50 am Link to this Comment | Reply-
I can't see Romney fighting for PA. Philadelphia can carry the state Blue all by itself (not to mention all the AFSCME/SEIU state employees in Harrisburg), and you can be sure the New Black Panthers are going to be putting on a repeat performance of 2008, making sure anybody they suspect might break Romney won't be able to get into the polling locations.
October 11, 2012 - 1:04 pm Link to this Comment | Reply
16. weo
The smart set is saying both obama and Romney have 47% bases, and that the race swings on the other 6%.
Romney's "47%" is squishy, but the Fraud's "47%" is simply unbelievable. There areen't that many welfare dependents in the country, and everybody who isn't can be struck by lightening and realize that the guy who went to bed when a US ambassador was tortured and killed (and then lied about the causes in front of the UN) isn't the guy who should be leading the country.
Assuming the republicans have put the attention and resources in Ohio to overcome voter fraud of 5%, the election now looks to be a fairly easy Romney victory.
Before the marxists "surprises", that is. We haven't heard much about Mormonism lately, have we? And the Pip Squeek hasn't peeped a word about taking over a Seal Team and personally leading an assault on Libya yet either. And why would this be the fist election in the Fraud's life for which sealed records for his opponent haven't been revealed? What if some records pop up about Romney's love child? It will be a damn shame if some do and after the election they turn out to be forgeries.
But I kid…no normal person can begin to imagine what the criminals will come up with. After all, the mortgage "crisis" was widely known from about October, 2007, yet the cataclysmic market crash didn't happen until less than 2 months before the last major election. It's not like these people majored in ethics.
October 11, 2012 - 12:04 pm Link to this Comment | Reply -
17. Jay
Although I would rather post otherwise, I simply can't see Romney winning Iowa. I base this as you have on comparative lawn sign analysis. I was biking last week through western Iowa last week and saw a unexpected number of signs for Kristy Vilsack (D). She's running against long term incumbent Peter King (R) in the most conservative district in the state.
No way she should have that level of support there. Given that and that Obama carried the state by 9% in 08, I just can't see the state swinging sufficiently.
October 11, 2012 - 12:30 pm Link to this Comment | Reply -
18. Susan
Stephen what does that amazing red map mean for down ticket races? I've been so obsessed with the Presidential that this post if the first I've thought about it. I think 2010 was even R/D turn out split and it resulted in 63 House and 6 Senate seats, so obviously much of the low hanging fruit has been plucked. If we end up with an even or just a D+1 or +2 how big do you think that would be for races other than the big one?
October 11, 2012 - 1:01 pm Link to this Comment | Reply -
19. Tex Expatriate
I've been predicting a Republican landslide for three years. Any good Republican could beat Obama, I have argued, because in my trips to town I never encounter an ordinary person who would vote for Obama, again or for the first time. I admit that I don't do business in the ghetto or union shops, so I don't meet supporters who are locked in for Obama. I do attend a Farmer's Market in the town that hosts Indiana University, where many Marxists reside, and so I give the Obama vote to university towns. Yes, this election will be over in a huge landslide, and over before tallied states reach the Mississippi River.
October 11, 2012 - 1:39 pm Link to this Comment | Reply -
20. Danielle
November 6th can't come fast enough.
October 11, 2012 - 1:41 pm Link to this Comment | Reply -
21. Sulla
May I offer my confession as a "polled" voter? Since July I have been regularly polled by a certain organization. On those occasions when my wife is present I remain a steadfast and loyal Democrat. But only on those occasions when she is out of the house, I reveal the truth that I am actually going to vote a straight GOP ticket. The fact that the country in on the "wrong track" trumps party identity. As well as the fact that the modern Tea Party reminds me of my traditional "old fashioned liberal" Democratic party.
October 11, 2012 - 3:38 pm Link to this Comment | Reply -
I have always believed Romney would take Florida. Now I'm just hoping for a big enough margin to sweep away Bill Nelson.
Stephen, I hope you guys found some extra bandwidth for tonight.
October 11, 2012 - 4:57 pm Link to this Comment | Reply -
After the debate tonight I think they should plant Ryan in the midwest and not let him leave until election day. I'm including PA.
October 11, 2012 - 5:02 pm Link to this Comment | Reply-
I hate to keep tooting this particular horn of mine, but over a year ago I said this election would be decided in the industrial Midwest and the Great Lakes (minus Illinois, of course). That's why Ryan was such a perfect pick for Romney to make.
October 11, 2012 - 5:07 pm Link to this Comment | Reply
24. chris_b
Living here in Ohio I would be very surprised if Obama carries us this time.I have seen exactly 5 Obama signs and many many more Romney signs.I know no one who wants another 4 years of this.
October 11, 2012 - 5:13 pm Link to this Comment | Reply-
In Toledo, I've seen exactly one Obama yard sign for every ten Romney signs.
October 12, 2012 - 1:07 am Link to this Comment | Reply
25. George B
Stephen, I like the look of this map, but we still have weeks to go. It's interesting that a candidate could set up a base of operation in Columbus, OH and spend relatively little time traveling between events in this small battleground. I hope and pray for very heavy precipitation in the Great Lakes on November 6th to shift the mix of voters in our favor.
October 11, 2012 - 5:17 pm Link to this Comment | Reply -
26. Brian
And on cue, news leaking out that the Obama campaign is closing some offices here in Michigan – while GOP super PACs are apparently gearing up to return to the airwaves here, and Ann Romney is visiting the mitten (lower case) tomorrow…
I did a drive through my neighborhood today on my way home from the local Romney victory center – around a dozen or so Romney signs, including several others displaying "Protect Religious Freedom" signs (wonder who those folks will vote for?)….all of TWO Obama signs.
Something is afoot…
October 11, 2012 - 6:04 pm Link to this Comment | Reply-
Sarah Hoyt
Oh, we have more Obama signs than that, but still more Romney.
October 11, 2012 - 6:31 pm Link to this Comment | Reply
27. Brian
AND in Maine…
Obama 48-44 statewide….but ROMNEY 49-44 in ME-2.
October 11, 2012 - 6:18 pm Link to this Comment | Reply -
28. jetty
Back in early 2009, I scoured the internet looking for any signs that the fever had broken, that people were waking up, anything. Dark, lonely times indeed. To read the comments on traditional liberal sites like Yahoo, WaPo, or even LA Times today is…wonderfully shocking. So many are now against Obama. I think Romney will win in a landslide.
October 11, 2012 - 7:01 pm Link to this Comment | Reply-
Yahoo is liberal, but the commenters are center-right, just like the rest of the country. Tonight, I'm seeing more liberal comments than usual so I'm thinking it's the paid folk.
October 11, 2012 - 8:26 pm Link to this Comment | Reply
29. UpChuck.Liberals
CBS is showing a swing in the Peoples Demokratic Socialist Republik of Kalifornia of 8 points towards Romney/Ryan. Can you just imagine the Liberal suicide rate if the PRK swings right? Brings a tingle down my spine.
October 11, 2012 - 10:25 pm Link to this Comment | Reply
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Farideh Farhi is an adviser to the National Iranian American Council and an independent scholar and affiliate graduate faculty at the University of Hawai'i at Manoa. An expert analyst on Iranian affairs, she has appeared on ABC's "This Week" and PBS' "Charlie Rose," and is frequently sought for comment by news outlets including NPR, The Christian Science Monitor and The National in the United Arab Emirates.
Farhi has taught comparative politics at the University of Colorado, Boulder, University of Hawai'i, University of Tehran and Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran. Her publications include States and Urban-Based Revolutions in Iran and Nicaragua and numerous articles and book chapters on comparative analyses of revolutions and Iranian politics.
A recipient of grants from the United States Institute of Peace and the Rockefeller Foundation, Farhi was most recently a Public Policy Scholar at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars. She has also worked as a consultant for the World Bank and the International Crisis Group.


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Sábado Gigante's Don Francisco Accused of Bribing Biochemist in Paternity Suit
Seventy-year-old Francisco, whose real name is Mario Kreutzberger, is the subject of a paternity suit. Forty-three-year-old Patricio Abraham Flores Mundaca claims that his mother once had an affair with the Spanish television icon while she was working as a maid at a hotel Francisco was staying. Nine months later, he alleges, he popped out.
Chile's Medical Legal Service now claims that Francisco tried to bribe a laboratory worker to have DNA evidence in the paternity suit altered. Biochemist Luis Velazquez was allegedly offered the bribe by people who claimed to be close to Francisco.
Francisco has denied the claims, saying "I've never bribed anybody. I don't know this Mr. Velazquez who came out in the press."
Sábado Gigante is on temporary hiatus, reports UPI, as Francisco defends himself in court in Chile. It will be the first time in the show's near 25-year-history when a new episode has not been broadcast on Saturday.
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DIVINITY: What benefits are emerging from the students' interdisciplinary research interests?
HALL: Our students are pursuing questions as diverse as evangelism in Asia and health and embodiment in the U.S. They are bringing together all that a major research university such as Duke offers.
They are taking courses in The Divinity School, but also from the history, English, and comparative literature departments. They come together for one seminar a year to focus on a set of texts in practical theology. The combination of interests and gifts is proving quite electric.
DIVINITY:As new members of The Divinity School community, what do these students bring to intellectual and spiritual life?
HALL: The students in our first class each have spent at least three years in sustained ministry, forming wise questions that are already informing their studies. They are genuinely gifted for ministry, and have discerned a holy call back into the stacks of the library—so that they might serve their callings in new ways.
In addition, the faculty anticipate they will serve as preceptors with pastoral wisdom and intellectual vigor.
DIVINITY: After completing the doctoral program, what contributions do you envision these students will make within the church and the academy?
HALL: The current group of students represents scholars who already have served as missionaries and ministers, in fields as varied as health care and youth work. I anticipate that they will be highly sought as faculty in ecclesial colleges and seminaries.
Their attitude is a witness: They insist, when people ask, that God will find a way for them to be "put to use." Through their witness, I have been reminded to be more Wesleyan.
DIVINITY: As you look ahead at the challenges inherent in starting a new program, how do you envision the future for the Th.D.?
HALL: This is an ambitious new program. While some scholars have put up fences, we are criss-crossing fields of inquiry. Our students are going to need to be nimble, knowing how to translate across fields.
They will need to be apologists of a sort, explaining that their intellectual pursuits and their ecclesial passions are actually consonant, not conflicting. But, as I get to know these amazing pastors, I am clear that they are up for the task. I consider it a blessing and honor to be of use to them.


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London, March 13 Prince Harry has reportedly been banned from going to pubs till he completes his army helicopter training.
He has just completed a tour of the Caribbean and Brazil as part of the Queen's Diamond Jubilee celebrations. He is now set to dedicate his time to his Apache helicopter training, reports contactmusic.com
"Harry has been told that his whole life is now dedicated to the Apache. He's been told he can't spend every spare moment down the pub," a source told The Sun newspaper.
A spokesman for the prince, who served 10 weeks in Afghanistan in 2008 as a forward air controller, confirmed that his work with the Army Air Corps was now his priority.


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UK & World News
'Monkey Man' Breaks Four-Limbed Sprint Record
A Japanese man has been named the world's fastest man on four limbs by the Guinness World Records after running 100 metres in 17.47 seconds.
Kenichi Ito, 30, who is known affectionately as 'Monkey Man', has been training for nine years and bases his technique on primates' movements.
He has modelled his own style after the African Patas monkey.
"One day, I am certain that all sprinters will be running on all fours. That is my dream," he said.
At home or at work he moves mainly on all fours as part of his daily training.
His feat on Thursday broke his own record from 2008 of 18.58 seconds.
Guinness World Records judge Carlos Martinez, who witnessed the challenge, said: "More than one second faster is a huge improvement - that was all the thoughts that were crossing my mind as he was crossing the final line."
Mr Ito says he eventually hopes to beat Usain Bolt's 2009 world record of 9.58 seconds.


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Nonlinear Dynamics of an Electrically Driven Impact Microactuator
- X. Zhao,
- C. K. Reddy,
- A. H. Nayfeh
- … show all 3 hide
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We study the dynamics of an electrostatically driven impact microactuator. Impact between moving elements of the microactuator is modeled using the coefficient of restitution. Friction between the microactuator and its supporting substrate is modeled using the Amonton–Coulomb law. We consider the bifurcations under changes in the driving voltage and frequency. Grazing bifurcations introduce discontinuous transitions between different motions. It is also found that impacts dramatically change the characteristics of the frequency-response curve. Finally, we discuss the evolution of incomplete chatter to complete chatter, that is, sticking.
Contributed by Prof. G. Rega.
- Bergander, A., Breguet, J. M., Schmitt, C., and Clavel, R., 'Micropositioner for microscopy applications based on stick-slip effect', in Proceedings of the 2000 Micromechatronics and Human Science, Nagoya, Japan, 2000, pp. 213–216.
- Breguet, J. M. and Clavel, R., 'Stick and slip actuators: Design, control, performances and applications', in Proceedings of the 1998 Micromechatronics and Human Science, Nagoya, Japan, 1998, pp. 89–95.
- Cusin, P., Sawai, T., and Konish, S., 'Compact and precise positioner based on the inchworm principle', Journal of Micromechanics and Microengineering 10, 2000, 516–521.
- Daneman, M. J., Tien, N. C., Solgaard, O., Pisano, A. P., Lau, K. Y., and Muller, R. S., 'Linear microvibromotor for positioning optical components', IEEE Journal of Microelectromechanical Systems 5(3), 1996, 159–165.
- Higuchi, T., Yamagata, Y., Furutani, K., and Kudoh, K., 'Precise positioning mechanism utilizing rapid deformations of piezoelectric elements', in IEEE Conference on Microelectromechanical Systems, Napa Valley, CA, 1990, pp. 222–226.
- Jungnickel, U., Eicher, D., and Schlaak, H. F., 'Miniaturized micro-positioning system for large displacements and large forces based on an inchworm platform', in The 8th International Conference on New Actuators, Bremen, Germany, 2002, pp. 684–687.
- Kim, C. H. and Kim, Y. K., 'Micro XY-stage using silicon on a glass substrate', Journal of Micromechanics and Microengineering 12, 2002, 103–107.
- Lee, A. P., Nikkel, D. J. J., and Pisano, A. P., 'Polysilicon linear microvibromotors', in Proceedings of the 7th International Conference Solid-State Sensors and Actuators Vol. 1(2), Yokohama, Japan, 1993, pp. 46–49.
- Liu, Y. T. and Higuchi, T., 'Precision positioning device utilizing impact force of combined piezo-pneumatic actuator', IEEE Transactions on Mechatronics 6(4), 2001, 467–473.
- Mita, M., Arai, M., Tensaka, S., Kobayashi, D., Basset, P., Kaiser, A., Masquelier, P., Buchaillot, L., Collard, D., and Fujita, H., 'Electrostatic impact-drive microactuator', in The 14th IEEE International Conference on MEMS, Interlaken, Switzerland, 2001, pp. 590–593.
- Mita, M., Arai, M., Tensaka, S., Kobayashi, D., and Fujita, H., 'A micromachined impact microactuator driven by electrostatic force', IEEE Journal of Microelectromechanical Systems 12(1), 2003, 37–41.
- Morita, T., Yoshida, R., Okamoto, Y., Kurosawa, M. K., and Higuchi, T., 'A smooth impact rotation motor using a multi-layered torsional piezoelectric actuator', IEEE Transactions on Ultrasonics, Ferroelectrics, and Frequency Control 46(6), 1999, 439–144.
- Saitou, K., Wang, D. A., and Wou, S. J., 'Externally resonated linear microvibromotor for microassembly', IEEE Journal of Microelectromechanical Systems 9(3), 2000, 36–346.
- Fearing, R. S., 'Survey of sticking effects for micro parts handling', in Proceedings of the International Conference on Intelligent Robots and Systems, Pittsburgh, PA, 1995, pp. 2212–2217.
- Ragulsikis, K., Bansevicus, B., and Kulvietis, G., Vibromotors for Precision Microrobots, Hemisphere, New York, 1988.
- Zhao, X., Dankowicz, H., Reddy, C. K., and Nayfeh, A. H., 'Modelling and simulation methodology for impact microactuators', Journal of Micromechanics and Microengineering 14, 2004, 775–784.
- Wagg, D. J. and Bishop, R., 'Chatter, sticking and chaotic impacting motions in a two degree of freedom impact oscillator', International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos 11(1), 2001, 57–71.
- Ivanov, A. P., 'Bifurcations in impact systems', Chaos, Solitons, and Fractals 7(10), 1996, 1615–1634.
- Peterka, F., 'Bifurcations and transition phenomena in an impact oscillator', Chaos, Solitons, and Fractals 7(10), 1996, 1635–1647.
- Foale, S. and Bishop, R., 'Bifurcations in impacting systems', Nonlinear Dynamics 6, 1994, 285–299.
- Nordmark, A. B., 'Non-periodic motion caused by grazing incidence in an impact oscillator', Journal of Sound and Vibration 145, 1991, 279–297.
- Budd, C. and Dux, F., 'Chattering and related behavior in impact oscillators', Philosophical Transactions: Physical Sciences and Engineering 347(1683), 1994, 365–389.
- Nayfeh, A. H. and Mook, D. T., Nonlinear Oscillations, Wiley, New York, 1979.
- Nayfeh, A. H. and Balachandran, B., Applied Nonlinear Dynamics: Analytical, Computational, and Experimental Methods, Wiley, New York, 1995.
- Zhao, X., Dankowicz, H., Reddy, C. K., and Nayfeh, A. H., 'Modelling and simulation methodology for impact microactuators', Journal of Micromechanics and Microengineering 14, 2004, 775–784.
- Title
- Nonlinear Dynamics of an Electrically Driven Impact Microactuator
- Journal
Nonlinear Dynamics
Volume 40, Issue 3 , pp 227-239
- Cover Date
- 2005-05-01
- 10.1007/s11071-005-6467-8
- Print ISSN
- Online ISSN
- Publisher
- Kluwer Academic Publishers
- Additional Links
- Topics
- Keywords
- chatter
- grazing bifurcation
- impact microactuators
- sticking
- Industry Sectors
- Authors
- X. Zhao (1)
- C. K. Reddy (1)
- A. H. Nayfeh (1)
- Author Affiliations
- 1. Department of Engineering Science and Mechanics, MC 0219, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Blacksburg, VA, 24061, U.S.A.


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It may be impossible to measure the value, even for just one consumer, created by the change from black and white to color television, by an increase in the user friendliness of computers, or by the addition of antismog devices to automobiles.
Even setting aside the problem that the value attached to changing products may differ widely among consumers, changes in the mix of items sold raise two difficult issues. First, when outgoing items are replaced, COLI calculation requires isolating a pure price component from the observed price difference between the outgoing item and its replacement, which reflects both pure price change and quality change. If the underlying index methodology is unable to disentangle the quality-driven price movement from the "pure" price movement, living standards cannot be held constant. Second, techniques must keep the composite of index items—which is in constant churn—relevant to consumers' material well-being. The addition of new goods into the marketplace generally raises (and the elimination of goods lowers) the welfare of some consumers; until the new good is represented, this welfare change is not reflected in the price index.3
The cost-of-living approach provides a theoretical framework for thinking about problems associated with the changing nature of goods and services available in the market. If a rational consumer buys two varieties of some product— apples, for instance—in some (relatively short) period, economic theory asserts that the ratio of their prices measures their relative qualities, at least at the margin.4 The next logical step is to assume that such price ratios provide meaningful measures of relative qualities even if there are many consumers and some do not purchase both products simultaneously. This assumption may be misleading when notions of quality differ across consumers, since demographic changes may then shift relative prices without quality change. Without this assumption, however, there is no way to use market data to recognize that, for instance, replacing a low-price variety with a high-price variety can make all consumers better off if the new variety is of sufficiently higher quality. More generally, if the quality of goods improves on balance over time, a cost-of-living index will discount some of the nominal price increases that occur, and the overall price index will rise more slowly than the average of the unadjusted prices.


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The rib and shrimp combo is served at the new Madisons New York Grill & Bar in Boca Raton. (Madisons New York Grill & Bar / Courtesy / February 25, 2008) |
Madisons New York Grill & Bar
2006 NW Executive Center Circle, Boca Raton, 561-994-0808, MadisonsNewYork.com
This Montreal-based chain has unveiled its first U.S. outpost in the short-lived Stéphane's.
"We skipped New York and came straight to Boca because we're the landlords of this property," says founder/owner Steve Tsatas, a Montreal native with Greek roots who dreamed up the concept during a visit to New York City. "I was with my lovely wife on Madison Avenue, and I felt inspired by that. So, I just picked the name by looking at the street sign."
American classics followed, such as best-selling prime rib au jus ($32), baby back ribs ($25) and kale salad in a peanut oil dressing ($5, or free side with entree). Besides entrees, the lineup is sandwiches, entree salads, and appetizers such as a tower of delicious grilled vegetables ($10). The Key lime pie with a loose crumble crust is a must ($7).
Tsatas kept the open-kitchen, two-tiered layout from Stéphane's, the wine cellar and the amber onyx lit wall behind the bar but changed everything else, such as new steakhouse-style tufted leather burgundy booths.
Lunch and dinner are served daily with patio seating as an option. The lunch menu is similar, except for a few more sandwiches such as lox–smoked salmon ($13).
Up next: An Intracoastal Waterway location in Pompano Beach next year.
Hardy Park Bistro
21 SW Seventh St., Fort Lauderdale, 954-652-1475, HardyParkBistro.com
Chef and owner Phil Darmon is back on land.
"I've been cooking for 25 years, the last 11 on yachts all over the world," the Aussie says. "That's what brought me to Florida and how I met my wife."
Their New American bistro with Mediterranean and Asian flairs serves lunch and dinner daily, except Mondays. It has an open kitchen design with light-gray interior, the former home of Greek Corner Grille. An herb garden surrounds the front patio seating.
About four daily blackboard specials, such as duck confit salad with white asparagus chorizo ($26), accompany a weekly menu of five starters and five entrees.
The H.P.B. burger with cheddar, fried onions and tomato chutney is a staple ($14), and the grilled octopus salad with arugula, roasted tomatoes, garlic and eggplant ($13.50) has had a long run. Other examples are porcini soup with salsa verde ($11), Asian grilled quail ($13), grilled grouper and jumbo shrimp with cauliflower puree ($28) and veggie Thai red curry ($21).
"We're always mixing it up and doing fun stuff," Darmon says.
About five house-made desserts ($10) are available, such as chocolate mousse, sticky date pudding with butterscotch sauce and creme caramel with passion-fruit sauce.
"We're one of the few restaurants in Fort Lauderdale that's going to the effort that we are with desserts," Darmon says.
The Sea
16950 Jog Road, west of Delray Beach, 561-270-3569, TheSeaAsianBistro.com


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Clinical Focus
American Board of Thoracic Surgery
MD, Georgetown University School of Medicine
Residency, Cardiothoracic Surgery
* Mount Sinai Medical Center * (NeuroSurgery)Residency, Surgery
Harlem Hospital CenterFellowship, Cardiac Surgery
St. Luke's - Roosevelt Hospital CenterFellowship, Vascular Surgery
Harlem Hospital Center
Fishberger SB, Camunas JL, Rodriguez-Fernandez H, Sommer RJ. Permanent Pacemaker Lead Implantation Via The Transhepatic Route. Pace Pacing and Clin Electrophysiol 1996 July; 19: 1124-1125.
Seiden HS, Camunas JL, Fishberger SB, Golinko RJ, Steinberg GL, Shagon U, Rossi AF. Use of Single Lead VDD Pacing in Children. Pacing Clin Electrophysiol 1997 August; 20: 1967-1974.
Gomes JA, Mehta D, Ip J, Winters SL, Camunas JL, Ergin MA, Newhouse TT, Pe E. Predictors of Long-Term Survival in Patients With Malignant Ventricular Arrhythmias. The American Journal of Cardiology 1997 April; 9: 1054-1060.
Camunas J. Chapter 27 - Chest Surgery. In: Bauer J, editor. Mount Sinai Handbook of Surgery, A Case-Oriented Approach. Williams & Wilkins; 1998. pp370-393.
Moskowitz DM, Kahn RA, Camunas JL, Marin ML, Hollier LH. External Chest Wall Stimulation to Suppress a Permanent Transvenous Pacemaker in a Patient during Endovascular Stent Graft Placement. Anesthersilogy 1998 August; 89(2).
Mehta D, Nayak H, Singson M, Chao S, Pe E, Camunas JL, Gomes JA. Late complications with Transvenous Defibrillator Implants. Pacing and Clinical Electrophysiology 1998 October; 21: 1893-1900.
Apaydin AZ, Carmunas JC, Ergin MA. Aortobronchial Fistula. Ann Thorac Surg 2000 February; 69(2): 640.
Industry Relationships
Physicians and scientists on the faculty of the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai often interact with pharmaceutical, device and biotechnology companies to improve patient care, develop new therapies and achieve scientific breakthroughs. In order to promote an ethical and transparent environment for conducting research, providing clinical care and teaching, Mount Sinai requires that salaried faculty inform the School of their relationships with such companies.
Dr.Camunas is not currently required to report Industry relationships.
Mount Sinai's faculty policies relating to faculty collaboration with industry are posted on our website at http://icahn.mssm.edu/about-us/services-and-resources/faculty-resources/handbooks-and-policies/faculty-handbook. Patients may wish to ask their physician about the activities they perform for companies.
16 East 98th Street Floor 1 Room Suite F
New York, NY 10029
16 East 98th Street Floor 1F
New York, NY 10029
Fax: 212-423-9411


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Electrical energy occurs naturally, but seldom in forms that can be used. For example, although the energy dissipated as lightning exceeds the world's demand for electricity by a large factor, lightning has not been put to practical use because of its unpredictability and other problems. Generally, practical electric-power-generating systems convert the mechanical energy of moving parts into electrical energy (see generator). While systems that operate without a mechanical step do exist, they are at present either excessively inefficient or expensive because of a dependence on elaborate technology. While some electric plants derive mechanical energy from moving water (hydroelectric power), the vast majority derive it from heat engines in which the working substance is steam. Roughly 89% of power in the United States is generated this way. The steam is generated with heat from combustion of fossil fuels or from nuclear fission (see nuclear energy; nuclear reactor).
Steam as an Energy SourceThe conversion of mechanical energy to electrical energy can be accomplished with an efficiency of about 80%. In a hydroelectric plant, the losses occur in the turbines, bearings, penstocks, and generators. The basic limitations of thermodynamics fix the maximum efficiency obtainable in converting heat to electrical energy. The necessity of limiting the temperature to safe levels also helps to keep the efficiency down to about 41% for a fossil-fuel plant. Most nuclear plants use low-pressure, low-temperature steam operation, and have an even lower efficiency of about 30%. Nuclear plants have been able to achieve efficiency up to 40% with liquid-metal cooling. It is thought that by using magnetohydrodynamic "topping" generators in conjunction with normal steam turbines, the efficiency of conventional plants can be raised to close to 50%. These devices remove the restrictions imposed by the blade structure of turbines by using the steam or gasses produced by combustion as the working fluid.
Environmental ConcernsThe heat generated by an electric-power plant that is not ultimately converted into electrical energy is called waste heat. The environmental impact of this waste is potentially catastrophic, especially when, as is often the case, the heat is absorbed by streams or other bodies of water. Cooling towers help to dispose waste heat into the atmosphere. Associated with nuclear plants, in addition to the problem of waste heat, are difficulties attending the disposal and confinement of reaction products that remain dangerously radioactive for many thousands of years and the adjustment of such plants to variable demands for power. Public concern about such issues—fueled in part by the accidents at the Three Mile Island nuclear plant in Harrisburg Pennsylvania in 1979, and the nuclear plant explosion in the Soviet Union at Chernobyl in 1986—forced the U.S. government to introduce extensive safety regulations for nuclear plants. Partly because of those regulations, nuclear plants are proving to be uneconomical. Several are being shut down and replaced by conventionally fueled plants.
Alternative Energy SourcesFuel cells develop electricity by direct conversion of hydrogen, hydrocarbons, alcohol, or other fuels, with an efficiency of 50% to 60%. Although they have been used to produce electric power in space vehicles and some terrestrial locations, several problems have kept them from being widely used. Most important, the catalyst, which is an important component of a fuel cell, especially one that is operating at around room temperature, is very expensive. Controlled nuclear fusion could provide a virtually unlimited source of heat energy to produce steam in generating plants; however, many problems surround its development, and no appreciable contribution is expected from this source in the near future.
Solar energy has been recognized as a feasible alternative. It has been suggested that efficient collection of the solar energy incident on 14% of the western desert areas of the United States would provide enough electricity to satisfy current demands. Two main solar processes could be used. Photovoltaic cells (see solar cell) convert sunlight directly into electrical energy. Another method would use special coatings that absorb sunlight readily and emit infrared radiation slowly, making it possible to heat fluids to 1,000°F; (540°C;) by solar radiation. The heat in turn can be converted to electricity. Some of this heat would be stored to allow operation at night and during periods of heavy cloud cover. The projected efficiency of such a plant would be about 30%, but this fairly low efficiency must be balanced against the facts that energy from the sun costs nothing and that the waste heat from such a plant places virtually no additional burden on the environment. The principal problem with this and other exotic systems for generating electricity is that the time needed for their implementation may be considerable.
Windmills, once widely used for pumping water, have become viable for electric-power generation because of advances in their design and the development of increasingly efficient generators. Windmill "farms," at which rows of windmills are joined together as the source of electrical energy, serve as a significant, though minor, source of electrical energy in coastal and plains areas. However, the vagaries of the wind make this a difficult solution to implement on a large scale.
See also energy, sources of.
Electrical energy is of little use unless it can be made available at the place where it is to be used. To minimize energy losses from heating of conductors and to economize on the material needed for conductors, electricity is usually transmitted at the highest voltages possible. As modern transformers are virtually loss free, the necessary steps upward or downward in voltage are easily accomplished. Transmission lines for alternating current using voltages as high as 765,000 volts are not uncommon. For voltages higher than this it is advantageous to transmit direct current rather than alternating current. Recent advances in rectifiers, which turn alternating current into direct current, and inverters, which convert direct into alternating, have made possible transmission lines that operate at 800,000 volts and above. Such lines are still very expensive, however.
Electric utilities are tied together by transmission lines into large systems called power grids. They are thus able to exchange power so that a utility with a low demand can assist another with a high demand to help prevent a blackout, which involves the partial or total shutdown of a utility. Under such a system a utility experiencing too great a load, as when peak demand coincides with equipment failure, must remove itself from the grid or endanger other utilities. During periods in which demand exceeds supply a utility can reduce the power drawn from it by lowering its voltage. These voltage reductions, which are normally of 3%, 5%, or 8%, result in power reductions, or brownouts, of about 6%, 10%, or 15%, causing inefficient operation of some electrical devices. The power distribution system, because of its generation of low-frequency electromagnetic fields, has been suggested as a possible source of health problems.
Reactive power is a concept used by engineers to describe the loss of power in a system arising from the production of electric and magnetic fields. Although reactive loads such as inductors and capacitors dissipate no power, they drop voltage and draw current, which creates the impression that they actually do. This "imaginary power" or "phantom power" is called reactive power. It is measured in a unit called Volt-Amps-Reactive (VAR). The actual amount of power being used, or dissipated, is called true power, and is measured in the unit of watts. The combination of reactive power and true power is called apparent power, and it is the product of a circuit's voltage and current. Apparent power is measured in the unit of Volt-Amps (VA). Devices which store energy by virtue of a magnetic field produced by a flow of current are said to absorb reactive power; those which store energy by virtue of electric fields are said to generate reactive power. Reactive power is significant because it must be provided and maintained to insure continuous, steady voltage on transmission networks. Reactive power thus is produced for maintenance of the system and not for end-use consumption. Power losses incurred in transmission from heat and electromagnetic emissions are included in the total reactive power requirement as are the needs of power hungry devices, such as electric motors, electromagnetic generators, and alternators. This power is supplied for many purposes by condensers, capacitors, and similar devices, which can react to changes in current flow by releasing energy to normalize the flow. If elements of the power grid cannot get the reactive power they need from nearby sources, they will pull it across transmission lines and destabilize the grid. In this way, poor management of reactive power can cause major blackouts.
See K. W. Li and A. P. Priddy, Power Plant System Design (1985); L. F. Drbal et al., Power Plant Engineering (1996).
Power produced by a stream of water as it turns a wheel or similar device. The waterwheel, probably invented in the 1st century BC, was widely used throughout the Middle Ages and into modern times for grinding grain, operating bellows for furnaces, and other purposes. The more compact water turbine, which passes water through a series of fixed and rotating blades, was introduced in 1827. Water turbines, used originally for direct mechanical drive for irrigation, now are used almost exclusively to generate hydroelectric power.
Learn more about waterpower with a free trial on Britannica.com.
Electricity produced by turbines operated by tide flow. Large amounts of power are potentially available from the tides in certain locations, such as Canada's Bay of Fundy, where the tidal range reaches more than 50 ft (15 m), but this potential power is not continuous and varies with the seasons. The first working modern tidal power plant was built in France in 1961–67 and has 24 power units of 10,000 kilowatts each.
Learn more about tidal power with a free trial on Britannica.com.
Radiation from the Sun that can produce heat, generate electricity, or cause chemical reactions. Solar collectors collect solar radiation and transfer it as heat to a carrier fluid. It can then be used for heating. Solar cells convert solar radiation directly into electricity by means of the photovoltaic effect. Solar energy is inexhaustible and nonpolluting, but converting solar radiation to electricity is not yet commercially competitive, because of the high cost of producing large-scale solar cell arrays and the inherent inefficiency in converting light to electricity.
Learn more about solar energy with a free trial on Britannica.com.
Means by which a nation extends its military power onto the seas. Measured in terms of a nation's capacity to use the seas in defiance of rivals, it consists of combat vessels and weapons, auxiliary craft, commercial shipping, bases, and trained personnel. It includes aircraft based on carriers or used in support of shipping. Its main purpose is to protect friendly shipping from enemy attack and to destroy or hinder the enemy's shipping. It may also be used to enforce a blockade. Finally, naval forces have been used to bombard land targets from the sea. The aircraft carrier added a new dimension to this capability, as did the missile-firing nuclear submarine. The classic exposition of the role of sea power as the basis of national greatness is Alfred Thayer Mahan's The Influence of Sea Power upon History (1890).
Learn more about sea power with a free trial on Britannica.com.
In science and engineering, the time rate of doing work or delivering energy. Power (math.P) can be expressed as the amount of work done (math.W), or energy transferred, divided by the time interval (math.t): math.P = math.W/math.t. A given amount of work can be done by a low-powered motor in a long time or by a high-powered motor in a short time. Units of power are those of work (or energy) per unit time, such as foot-pounds per minute, joules per second (called watts), or ergs per second. Power can also be expressed as the product of the force (math.F) applied to move an object and the speed (math.v) of the object in the direction of the force: math.P = math.Fmath.v. Seealso horsepower.
Learn more about power with a free trial on Britannica.com.
Power of a government to exercise reasonable control over people and property within its jurisdiction in the interest of general security, health, safety, morals, and welfare. It is generally regarded as one of the powers reserved to the states under the U.S. Constitution. In considering cases involving the exercise of police power, the courts have applied a doctrine called "balance of interests" to determine when the public's right to health and well-being outweighs private or individual concerns. Of equal concern is that due process of law be observed.
Learn more about police power with a free trial on Britannica.com.
A hydro station generates power by the controlled release of water from the reservoir of a dammed elipsis
Learn more about hydroelectric power with a free trial on Britannica.com.
In international relations, an equilibrium of power sufficient to discourage or prevent one nation or party from imposing its will on or interfering with the interests of another. The term came into use at the end of the Napoleonic Wars to denote the power relationships in the European state system. Until World War I, Britain played the role of balancer in a number of shifting alliances. After World War II, a Northern Hemisphere balance of power pitted the U.S. and its allies (see NATO) against the Soviet Union and its satellites (see Warsaw Pact) in a bipolar balance of power backed by the threat of nuclear war. China's defection from the Soviet camp to a nonaligned but covertly anti-Soviet stance produced a third node of power. With the Soviet Union's collapse (1991), the U.S. and its NATO allies were recognized universally as the world's paramount military power.
Learn more about balance of power with a free trial on Britannica.com.
Authorization to act as agent or attorney for another. Many of the general powers of attorney important in civil-law countries come under the powers of trust in common-law countries (see civil law, common law). Durable power of attorney becomes effective when the principal becomes unable to manage his or her affairs; general power of attorney authorizes the agent to carry on business for the principal; special power of attorney authorizes the agent to carry out a particular business transaction.
Learn more about attorney, power of with a free trial on Britannica.com.
Energy released from atomic nuclei in significant amounts. In 1919 Ernest Rutherford discovered that alpha rays could split the nucleus of an atom. This led ultimately to the discovery of the neutron and the release of huge amounts of energy by the process of nuclear fission. Nuclear energy is also released as a result of nuclear fusion. The release of nuclear energy can be controlled or uncontrolled. Nuclear reactors carefully control the release of energy, whereas the energy release of a nuclear weapon or resulting from a core meltdown in a nuclear reactor is uncontrolled. Seealso chain reaction, nuclear power, radioactivity.
Learn more about nuclear energy with a free trial on Britannica.com.
and is the nominal refractive index as a function of distance from the fiber axis, is the nominal refractive index on axis, is the refractive index of the cladding, which is taken to be homogeneous (), is the core radius, and is a parameter that defines the shape of the profile. is often used in place of . Hence, this is sometimes called an alpha profile.
For this class of profiles, multimode distortion is smallest when takes a particular value depending on the material used. For most materials, this optimum value is approximately 2. In the limit of infinite , the profile becomes a step-index profile.


text:
Partners in Charity
Loan Assistance Programs Canceled in 2008
Elimination of Non Profit Down Payment Assistance: On July 30, 2008, President Bush signed the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008 which prohibits seller-funded DPA (Down Payment Assistance) for loans backed by the Federal Housing Administration. Prior to this bill, the seller could contribute up to 6% to the buyer to cover either a down payment or closing costs on an FHA loan. The changes took effect on Oct. 1, 2008. We provide this information for reference only. These grants are no longer available.
Partners In Charity is a non-profit group offering down payment assistance on properties such as single-family homes, condominiums, and multi-unit properties. Assistance is also available for rehabilitation programs. Partners In Charity funds are offered to those who qualify for FHA loans or are pre-approved for FHA loan amounts.
There is only one requirement to use the Partners In Charity program; you must intend to occupy the building you purchase. You can't get down payment assistance for purchasing a home you intend to rent. Partners in Charity offers:
- Need-based assistance from 2% to %10 of final closing price.
- Funds can be used for closing costs and down payment.
- This assistance can be listed as the source of down payment in the pre-approval process.
The Partners In Charity program can be listed in your "good faith estimate" for sources of down payment funds. It's important to decide whether you want to use this program in the early stages of your planning, preferably before submitting a request for pre-approval of an FHA home loan. Your loan officer can determine your needs to enter the correct amount of the down payment on these forms.
Down payment assistance programs generally require the seller to pay a fee to participate. This fee is considered a payment for services rendered and not a tax-deductible charitable contribution.
Since this program is no longer available, we recommend that you get pre-approved for a low down payment FHA home loan.
Discontinued Down Payment Grant Programs:
FHA Loan Articles
FHA condo loans are available for projects on the FHA approved list--if you need to have a condo project added to the FHA approved list should discuss the situation with the lender.
A common problem with FHA appraisals has nothing to do with the outcome of the appraisal per se, but rather the borrower's interpretation of what passing an FHA appraisal actually means.
FHA loan rules govern a wide range of issues when it comes to the purchase of a home with an FHA mortgage. The seller would be allowed to contribute up to six percent of the sales price of the property without a penalty.
The FHA has announced it would accept electronic signatures (also known as e-signatures) on several FHA home loan documents. The new policies are found in detail described in FHA Mortgagee Letter 14-03.
There's a type of common question about FHA home loans that involves whether there's any special help for some FHA loan applicants such as single parents. Is there any assistance for people who need down payment help or lower mortgage payments?


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Great and I love them! I am your Dad's Kokomo, IN cousin. Artist run in the family.
Thank you, I have recently been looking for facts about this question for a while and yours is the best I have found so far.
Hi, really like the appearance of ones website. Can you mind saying what theme youre making use of? I'm not used to this and i am hoping to have mine looking anywhere close to cool as yours. Many thanks.


text: http://bugs.linuxfromscratch.org/show_bug.cgi?id=882 ------- Additional Comments From rodolfo at rodsoft.org 2004-07-24 11:51 ------- Just to add more to what I've said, this usually happens when you get a configuration of an earlier kernel (2.6.6 for instance) and use in an earlier kernel (2.6.7 in my case). When there's some symbols missing, make oldconfig makes a question, and nALFS hangs. ------- You are receiving this mail because: ------- You are the assignee for the bug, or are watching the assignee. You are the QA contact for the bug, or are watching the QA contact.


text:
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia - View original article
Barry Becher (April 24, 1941 – June 22, 2012) was an American co-creator of the Ginsu knife and early television infomercial pioneer. He appeared in many of the TV spots on camera cutting cans to slicing hams. He died of complications from cancer at a hospital in West Palm Beach, Florida, on June 22, 2012, at the age of 71.[1][2]
This biographical article related to television in the United States is a stub. You can help Wikipedia by expanding it. |


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About 500 mobilized Cuban Americans with family on the island demonstrated this past Saturday outside Lincoln Diaz-Balart's district office in West Miami-Dade. Protesters carried signs that read, "The family is sacred" and "Bush: Don't divide the Cuban family." Diaz-Balart was not inside, but the crowd shook their signs anyway and chanted in Spanish: "Where are you, Diaz-Balart? Where are you, Diaz-Balart?" and "Yes I'm going to Cuba! Yes I'm going to Cuba!" One of the protesters, Juan Carlos Herrera, is a 35-year-old computer technician who defected from Cuba four months ago while in Mexico. He left behind a four-year-old son and is frustrated that he can't send him toys or clothes for his upcoming birthday. Herrera also worries about the distress the new rules are inflicting on his 90-year-old grandmother, who lives in Miami, and his father, who remains in Cuba. "In three years a lot could happen," he says. "My grandmother could die without seeing my father again."
But in the Washington war rooms where Bush administration officials are busy laying plans for the president's 2004 campaign, people like Juan Carlos Herrera simply don't matter.
All U.S. citizens and legal residents are now governed by the following rules on traveling or sending remittances and parcels to Cuba:
Tourist travel is still prohibited.
One trip every three years to visit immediate family. Must receive Treasury Department license for each trip. "No additional visits will be authorized." Visits are limited to fourteen days. Traveler may spend $50 per day, plus an additional $50 per trip for transportation within Cuba.
Travelers are limited to 44 pounds of luggage, except for government officials, businesspeople licensed to trade with Cuba, members of licensed religious and humanitarian groups, and journalists.
No "fully hosted" travel permitted.
Travelers can no longer return to U.S. with $100 in Cuban merchandise for personal use.
A maximum of $300 in remittances per three-month period may be sent to an immediate family member (children, spouses, siblings, parents, grandparents, grandchildren). Certain government officials and Communist Party members excluded.
Nongovernmental organizations may apply for special licenses to send money to "Cuban pro-democracy groups, independent civil society groups, and religious organizations." Banks may also apply for special permission.
No other remittances are allowed.
Travelers can carry one $300 remittance for an immediate family member.
Educational visits are allowed with a Treasury Department license but must last at least ten weeks.
College employees and graduate students conducting research may stay for shorter periods. High school students are prohibited from study in Cuba.
Authorized gift items: food, vitamins, medicine, medical supplies and equipment (including hospital supplies and equipment for the handicapped), receive-only AM/FM or shortwave radio equipment, and batteries for same.


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What's New
Look and fixes. Adding options.App Description
Educational Tool For The iPadMontessori Compound Words makes matching root words to make compound words fun and challenging! Using a chain/step puzzle format, children (and adults!) enjoy making compound words to unlock the beautiful, original photos of real objects matching the words.
Children will:
- practice their reading skills
- test their compound word vocabulary
- challenge their puzzle skills, as they try to make the intended matches
- learn new compound words through process of elimination of the words they do know
- enjoy matching the words they have made with the beautiful photos.
Options include:
- choosing an easier setting of only 5 pairs to match, or a more challenging set of 10
- selecting the level of difficulty by allowing for repeat root words or not (for example: snowball, basketball)
- a "show errors" setting for easier problem solving or to figure out an especially challenging puzzle
This app, like all MontessoriTech apps, has been designed by experienced Montessori educators. It is true to the Montessori principles of: isolation of quality, simplicity of form, and beauty of design. It is a truly pleasurable experience for children to manipulate these words and photographs on the iPad screen. The reward is in the work itself!
This app is meant to be used in a classroom or teaching setting to teach and practice compound words. While some children enjoy working with this app independently, many children benefit from direct adult involvement in solving the puzzles and discovering the words together.
MontessoriTech is a member of Moms with Apps, a collaborative group of family-friendly developers seeking to promote quality apps for kids and families.
Recommended Ages: 4-7, 8-10
Categories: Reading, Vocabulary
App Changes
October 10, 2012 Price Decrease: $1.99 -> $0.99
March 30, 2012 Price Decrease: $0.99 -> FREE!
January 27, 2012 Price Decrease: $1.99 -> $0.99
November 10, 2011 New version 1.1
October 25, 2011 Initial Release


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Monday, November 26, 2007
It's really officially cold now
And in one other piece of non-comics related news, I think I've moved up from "terrible" to "mediocre" on the drums in Rock Band. Still can't handle those songs with sixteenth note beats (I think) alternating between snare + tom and snare + bass. Those are haaarrrddd.
-Over the holiday, Tim O'Neil posted about a problem in a recent comic (follow-up here). I didn't catch it myself, but I think he's basically right--the writer (Matt Fraction) neglected a pretty central element of the character (spider sense). And no, it's not a terribly obscure point--it's something that anyone who's ever seen any of the Spider-Man movies would know. And after three movies and countless television broadcasts, that's probably about half of the total US population. Okay, I guess that maybe only a quarter of those people were paying enough attention and have a good enough memory to recall "spider sense." And maybe 10% of those people would be on the ball enough to recognize this error. That's still nearly four million people in the US alone. So we're not talking arcane knowledge.
So I started thinking--maybe we should think of these character/continuity errors on a sliding scale. Here's a rough draft of that scale:
Isn't His Costume Supposed to Be Red? Level: An error which is so obvious that even my mother (who, to my knowledge has never read any superhero comic in her life except those she read to me or my brother in our preliterate days) could pick it out. Examples: any comic from before 1990 where the colorist was overworked, underpaid, and/or drunk.
Big Gulp Level: Error contradicts a fact about a character that one would know by reading the brief bio on the side of a "collectible" plastic cup depicting said character. Examples: the spider sense snafu mentioned above.
1965 No Prize Level: Error contradicts a facet of the character established relatively early in the character's history (and thus, presumably, fairly integral to the character). Please note: I'm using 1965 just as an example. If you're more of a Claremont X-Men type, you could call this the 1978 No Prize Level. Examples: Captain America talks about watching Sgt. Bilko or voting for Adlai Stevenson.
If You're Not Using Wikipedia, You're Not Making a Good Faith Effort to Understand This Book Level: Error contradicts something alien to the core concept of the character, possibly from an era largely forgotten by today's readership. However, the error will be obvious to anyone who read comics featuring said character from said era. Examples: the Hulk's brief career working as an enforcer in Las Vegas, the brief existence of a branch of the Justice League headquartered in Detroit, Thor's brief residence in Oklahoma (I'm using my crystal ball here).
Official Handbook to the Marvel Universe Level: Error contradicts some aspect of continuity minute enough that one would need to fact check it against an encyclopedia in order to assure oneself that one's claim was justified. Examples: Cyclops misidentifies his place of birth; Wolverine incorrectly states his weight.
And Yet I Can't Remember My Spouse's Birthday Level: Error contradicts a fact obscure enough that the writers of Who's Who or OHTMU found worthy of omission. Examples: I have no idea.
Late 90s X-Men Continuity Level: Error may or may not contradict some aspect of continuity that is in doubt due to multiple instances of time travel, parallel earths, or clones. Hence, the claim is largely a matter of conjecture, thus making complaints about the hypothetical error even more pointless. Examples: Anything involving DC continuity in the last year or so.
It's a slippery slope, isn't it? I have no sympathy for anyone whose comics-reading experience is ruined by contradiction of obscure facts, like Aunt May's maiden name. Still, at what point do writers get to ignore stories written 20 years ago by burnouts and hacks? Answer: NEVER! Those were the formative years of my comics reading, goddammit! Those stories are sacrosanct, you're raping my childhood, etc, etc.
-If Bill Reed is going to do a series on great inkers, he'd better mention Tom Palmer at some point. I mean it, dude.
-Why did nobody mention that those Fourth World omnibuses look so nice underneath the dust jacket? Or is it only the first volume that looks that way? I'm tempted to just toss out the dust cover.
Other thoughts on the treasure trove of birthday comics I just received:
Phoenix volumes 10 and 11 are probably the wiser investment than MW for those seeking recently-translated Tezuka. The story is much more bizarre, entertaining, and thought provoking; the art is absolutely stunning; and there's still an element of cross dressing for espionage purposes.
New Engineering is larger than I expected, and very nicely packaged.
I accidentally received an extra copy of Chance in Hell, if anyone needs it and wants to trade for something of similar value. I still have that extra copy of Pyongyang, too.
11 comments:
- Jones, one of the Jones boys said...
Happy (belated, I assume) birthday. Me, I dug MW. Of course Phoenix is better, but Phoenix is better than pretty much any other comic (except the ten on my "best of 2007" list, which beat all comers).
Just to complicate your scale: there's a more subtle form of continuity that fans whine about but which isn't on your list. It's what we might call trait-continuity. As in: "Oh, Forbush Man would never let the Punisher go like that. It's totally out of character."
This sort of thing gets right up the nose of a lot of people invested in continuing properties. But it's not because the stories contradict any explicit facts from previous stories, they just violate expectations formed on the basis of previous stories.
And then there's visual continuity. The sort of thing that led to Curt Swan redrawing Kirby's Superman so he would look "right".
By and large, spandex fans don't care as much about visual continuity any more (and that's a good thing). But you'll still hear people griping that Wolverine should be drawn shorter, for instance. Again, that's not a clear case of contradicting previously established facts. - November 26, 2007 at 8:15 PM
- LurkerWithout said...
Your sarcastic use of the phrase "raping my childhood" is raping my childhood! Raping it of its childhoodish...um...non-rapedness?
-Sincerly, Dr. Rape McRapey Light O'Rape - November 27, 2007 at 6:30 AM
- Matthew J. Brady said...
I don't know if the "man on the street" would really know that much about the spider-sense, at least not from the movies. There was a little bit in the first one, but I don't think they even mentioned it in the other two. I guess it was just supposed to be understood. But couldn't they have had him say "My spider-sense is tingling!" at some point? God, I'm a nerd.
I think I remember some people mentioning the nice under-jacket covers on the Kirby Omnibuses, but it definitely wasn't talked about too much. They sure look nice, don't they? I really need to pick up the second and third volumes...
Oh, and I have Chance in Hell, and I've read Pyongyang, but they're both really good, so I recommend people get Dick to send them to you. Challenge him to a drum-off or something, if you have to.
Oh, and I'll go ahead and be a douche and try to direct traffic to my blog, since I'm doing a contest to try to get people to design a header for me. You know, like the cool one up at the top of the page there. Sorry, Dick. - November 27, 2007 at 7:59 AM
- Anonymous said...
How about a trade for Pyongyang?
I have vols. 1 of Cromartie High School (really liked),
Drifting Classroom (really liked), Planetes (meh), and Nausicca, Valley of the wind (meh).
I'll pass on Chance in Hell, I'm one of the few that can't get into Los Bros Hernandez (and I've been trying a long time).
Gary Esposito - November 27, 2007 at 10:31 AM
- Dick Hyacinth said...
Thanks for the sentiment, Jones.
I think John Byrne recently stated something about how modern (superhero) comics art suffers from not being "on model" enough. Given the nature of his message board, that probably means that there are a few dozen zealots who say this very same thing on various other fora across the internet. You definitely see people complaining about Kelly Jones' Batman even to this day.
The question of expectations seems more related to the issue of fan ownership. Which, needless to say, is the sort of weltanshauung that's going to lead to nothing but disappointment. What's funny is when you see someone whose ideal characterization is best represented by some long-forgotten writer from the 80s or 90s. That last editorial simulation that Brevoort ran had a good example of that--one of the participants chose some dude I'd never heard of to write X-Men (Robert Weinberg, it turns out). That cracks me up every time I think about it.
And somebody design a banner for Matt! He's offering a reward, for chrissakes. - November 27, 2007 at 10:39 AM
- Dick Hyacinth said...
I own or am not interested in any of that manga, unfortunately. I would highly recommend Cromartie High School to anyone else looking to trade, though.
- November 27, 2007 at 10:41 AM
- Anonymous said...
I don't know if 'Aunt May's maiden name' is a really obscure fact. I'm nowhere near an obsessive, but when i read that error in Amazing Spider-Man, I was IMMEDIATELY taken out of the story. This was due to Ben Reilly, who for all Marvel's re-writing of history, was one of the huge figures in Spider-lore. And he took a combination of Ben and Aunt May for his names.
Oh, crap...have I just proved your point? - November 27, 2007 at 4:20 PM
- The Estate of Tim O'Neil said...
I think the Hulk's Las Vegas period is a bad example - there was a reason why the Hulk was in Vegas, and the jarring change in setting was both well-conceived and temporary by design. It was a nice indicator of how things were being shaken-up - and considering how boring the Hulk had been for quite a while, something like that had been long overdue. I'm sure for some fans it was as dramatic a change as Thor becoming a giant yellow space horse. The difference is that the Justice League Detroit and Thorklahoma were / are just flailing about, obviously poor ideas that were / are just waiting for subsequent writers to undo them.
- November 28, 2007 at 10:32 PM
- Đào Quân said...
dich vu lam bao cao tai chinh tai my dinh
dich vu lam bao cao tai chinh tai hai ba trung
dich vu lam bao cao tai chinh tai ba dinh
dich vu lam bao cao tai chinh tai thanh tri
dich vu lam bao cao tai chinh tai hoang mai
dich vu lam bao cao tai chinh tai tay ho
dich vu lam bao cao tai chinh tai dong da
dich vu ke toan thue tai dong da
dich vu ke toan thue tai tay ho
dich vu ke toan thue tai bac ninh
dich vu ke toan thue tai hai ba trung
dich vu ke toan thue tai tu liem
dich vu ke toan thue tai hoang mai
dich vu ke toan thue tai ba dinh
dich vu ke toan thue tai thanh tri
dich vu ke toan thue tai thai binh
cong ty dich vu ke toan tai vinh phuc
cong ty dich vu ke toan tai hung yen
cong ty dich vu ke toan tai phu tho
cong ty dich vu ke toan tai hai duong
cong ty dich vu ke toan tai hai phong
cong ty dich vu ke toan tai bac ninh
dich vu ke toan thue tai vinh phuc
dich vu ke toan thue tai hung yen
dich vu ke toan thue tai hai duong
- January 9, 2015 at 1:35 AM
- Đào Quân said...
dia chi hoc ke toan tai cau giay
dia chi hoc ke toan tai ha dong
dia chi hoc ke toan tai bac ninh
trung tam dao tao ke toan tai ha dong
trung tam dao tao ke toan tai cầu giấy
trung tam dao tao ke toan tai thanh xuan
trung tam dao tao ke toan tai tphcm
khóa học kế toán tổng hợp tại hải phòng
khóa học kế toán tổng hợp tại tại bắc ninh
khóa học kế toán tổng hợp tại tphcm
khóa học kế toán tổng hợp tại hà nội
trung tam dao tao ke toan tai quan 3
trung tam dao tao ke toan tai binh duong
trung tam dao tao ke toan tai bac ninh
trung tam dao tao ke toan tai hai phong
- January 9, 2015 at 1:35 AM
- Đào Quân said...
dich vu ke toan tai tay ho
dich vu ke toan tai ba đinh
dich vu ke toan tai hoang mai
dich vu ke toan tai thanh tri
dich vu ke toan tai dong da
dich vu ke toan tai tu liem
dich vu ke toan tai ha dong
dich vu ke toan tai long bien
dich vu ke toan tai thanh xuan
dich vu ke toan tai hai phong
dich vu ke toan tai bac ninh
dich vu ke toan tai hai ba trung
dich vu ke toan tai dong anh
dich vu ke toan tai gia lam
dich vu ke toan tai ung hoa
dich vu ke toan tai quoc oai
dich vu ke toan tai son tay
dich vu ke toan tai thanh oai
hoc ke toan tong hop
dich vu ke toan thue tron goi
dich vu bao cao tai chinh
dia chi hoc ke toan tong hop
khoa hoc ke toan tong hop
hoc chung chi ke toan
dich vu ke toan thue tai ha noi
- January 9, 2015 at 1:35 AM


text:
Lyrics Depot | |
Lyrics » Porter Wagoner Lyrics » Katy Did Lyrics |
Lyrics Depot is your source of lyrics to Katy Did by Porter Wagoner. Please check back for more Porter Wagoner lyrics. |
Katy Did LyricsArtist: Porter WagonerAlbum: Experience They farmed to raise the food that graced their table Liz never went to town but Katy did Katy went to town each Saturday morning to sell the eggs and buy for her and Liz Their only needs just some salt and sugar they grew the rest her and sister Liz Liz never went to town like Katy did Liz never knew a man but Katy did For I saw them one evening when they thought they were hid And you should've seen the things that him and Katy did [ steel ] I walked by Liz and Katy's house each evening Through the woods on my way home from school Then one evening Katy smiled and spoke so softly As I stood there blushing like a fool Then she asked me if I'd like to have some cookies That she baked for her and sister Liz Then as Katy took me in their kitchen I never closed the door but Katy did She took my hand and my heart beat so wildly I sound like coffee a perking with no lid And I shook so bad I've even dropped my cookies I didn't know of love but Katy did Liz never knew a man but Katy did she said it's lonely here with sister Liz But I just kept on eatin' cookies I was just a dumb kid I wish I'd known of love back then like Katy did Oh I wish I'd known of love back then like Katy did
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text:
South Carolina - Land Grants (1784-1800)
About the Data
This data set is an index
to South Carolina land grants from 1784-1800. Information listed in this index
includes the name of the individual receiving the grant, the year in which the
land grant was issued, and source information including the class number, volume
number, and page number where the original record may be found. The land grant
records this index references are located at the South Carolina Department of
Archives and History in Columbia. The same records can also be found at the Family
History Library (FHL) in Salt Lake City, Utah on microfilms 022531-022580. The
microfilmed copies of these records available from the FHL may also be circulated
to your local Family
History Center. Field ExampleGenerally, you'll find the following information about an individual included in this data set: Name - The
name of the individual who received the land grant. Page Number The page number on which the individual can be found in the original record. Volume Number This field lists volume in which the record may be found in the original records. Class Number One group of land grants is collected into a 23 volume series. Another group is collected into a 76 volume series. The first group is called Class 1, the second Class 2. There are overlapping years between the two classes. In all cases in this index, those records originating from Class 1 are blank in this field. All other records that have this field populated are from Class 2. Year This
field lists the year the land grant was issued. The letters "LG" precede
the year. They stand for "Land Grant." |
© 2011 Ancestry.com |