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Friday 22 March 2013
This week's big questions: Could Scottish independence happen? Should it? How important to it is Alex Salmond?
This week's big questions are answered by Scottish author A.L. Kennedy
Could Scottish independence happen? Should it? And in what form?
I'm not sure why we're still being asked this question. In the 2011 election for the Scottish parliament, it was clear that the country voted against the immense corruption of Westminster and its tendency to follow ideology rather than sane economic principles, ie its desire to punish the poor and weak for being poor and weak by making them poorer and weaker. Scotland voted for a non-Westminster alternative, which is to say the Scottish National Party. That's a statement of disgust in response to Westminster that many areas of England could share.
The Scottish electorate has to travel far beyond a one-off protest vote for Scotland to decide on full independence and trust the SNP to take them there. In the absence of cross-party strategies for an independent Scotland, a great deal of thought and creativity is being expended in non-political circles, but probably isn't connecting with voters or politicians. This is sad because, even with the status quo, much of its energy and ingenuity could help Scotland in trying financial times. As England is punished and divided ever more savagely by Parliament, independence will look more attractive.
How would you assess Alex Salmond's contribution to the debate about independence?
His personal contribution is to be Alex Salmond. He's a vastly able and credible politician with areas where he has behaved with remarkable honour. Sadly, his desire to sell us to an American millionaire (and not just any millionaire, but Donald Trump, a laughable bully of a millionaire) summoned up the image of Scotland as a potential post-colonial playground for the hyper-rich.
What have been the other key factors in Scotland arriving at where it is today?
Margaret Thatcher sought to roll back all the advances made in creating a cohesive, stable and economically mobile society in the UK after the Second World War. This was an ideological decision, predicated on the belief that the majority of citizens should cede enough rights and enough of their identity to become "English" and live in a feudal society – that being, in some mythical way, essentially "English". This agenda – still being pursued today by David Cameron et al – was based on a fake idea of "Englishness" – that everyone enjoyed the empire, aristocrats and plutocrats have inherent worth, anyone else is immoral and a threat, foreigners are stupid and wrong, etc… As the Scots were not and are not English people and have a history of working-class education, political activism, valuing social cohesion and not relishing serfdom, this made a redefinition of Scottishness for the 20th and 21st centuries very joyful, exciting and positive for us.
Orkney, Shetland and the Western Isles are talking about home rule. How do you view that prospect?
Because I didn't grow up thinking of myself as part of a colonial power, I don't see it as a threat. My own identity isn't tied to the ownership of other people's property. Orkney, Shetland and the Western Isles have a cultural case for independence, or levels of self-government, or interactions with Europe. Economically, there would be an impact on Scotland's oil income if it were to cede territory with resources attached. Being frank, the majority of a country's oil income always goes to the oil companies – it doesn't make that much difference to any national exchequer and will be manipulated as oil prices and output are manipulated. Oil companies do the manipulation – if your country tries to, you will find it being ostracised and/or invaded. That's how the world works. If Scotland, or small areas of it, were to make a grab for assets without a plan for a sustainable future , that would be both hugely disappointing and stupid.
You've written critically about the internal workings of Scottish politics. Is that situation improving?
Scottish politicians are exactly as corrupt, grasping, ignorant and short-sighted as those in Westminster. Those who have succeeded in Westminster have either fought harder for personal advancement (in their corruption and ignorance) or taken advantage of personal privilege to amble into positions of power (and ignorance and corruption). A London-centred perspective sees Westminster's disastrous laziness, self-centred vandalism and hunger for power and wealth as somehow exceptions to a noble rule. Politicians are corrupt. It's not a geographical problem; it's a staff problem.
What do you feel about English attitudes to the Scots?
If they have an opinion at all, it's often that they want to get on with redefining England. If they believe what they read in the papers, they may come north and expect to be disliked by a nation of violent racists – which is very unlikely. There are racists and bigots in Scotland, but they tend to focus – like knuckle-draggers everywhere – on very clear targets: people who aren't white, or who are involved in the antiquated and vile opposition of Catholic and Protestant communities. The Scottish Executive has made some good moves to curb that kind of despicable nonsense, and also to reassess the position and safety of women in Scotland.
You're a stand-up comedian as well as a writer. How important is it for you to get out from behind a desk and engage with an audience?
I engage with audiences in a number of different ways and they're all valuable for me as a person and as a writer. Writing is about saying something to other people in your absence, so it's sometimes good to say something to people when you're all in the same room so that you can remember how that really works.
What is the main message you hope to get across in your latest book, On Writing?
I wanted to make the idea of writing simpler for people who want to try it, but to point out some of the perhaps unexpected pitfalls. I also wanted to demystify the vocation or profession for readers. Mainly I hoped to welcome interested parties into the process.
A L Kennedy's 'On Writing' has just been published by Jonathan Cape, £18.99
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A.L. Kennedy
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text:
Research Article
Calculation of effective section stiffness properties for wind turbine blades using homogenization
Article first published online: 13 DEC 2012
DOI: 10.1002/we.1576
Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Additional Information
How to Cite
Jonnalagadda, Y. and Whitcomb, J. D. (2014), Calculation of effective section stiffness properties for wind turbine blades using homogenization. Wind Energ., 17: 297–316. doi: 10.1002/we.1576
Publication History
- Issue published online: 21 JAN 2014
- Article first published online: 13 DEC 2012
- Manuscript Accepted: 31 OCT 2012
- Manuscript Revised: 15 AUG 2012
- Manuscript Received: 1 APR 2012
- Abstract
- Article
- References
- Cited By
- wind turbine blades;
- beams;
- effective beam properties;
- cross-sectional analysis;
- blade structural analysis;
- shear center;
- weighted centroid
The structural behavior of wind turbine blades can be accurately modeled using beam models. The accuracy in the predictions using beam models depends on the degree of accuracy in the prediction of the effective section properties. A simple and efficient method compared with full 3D analysis is developed for the prediction of effective section properties for prismatic slender members of any arbitrary cross-section shape. The technique, which is based on the superposition principle, is developed to include the shear deformation modes in predicting the effective stiffness properties. A homogenization scheme based on strain energy equivalence is employed for calculating the effective properties. The method can accurately predict the full stiffness matrix including the off-diagonal terms. Also a procedure for finding the locations of the weighted centroid and the shear center is presented. The results for four different cross-section shapes including a wind turbine blade section are validated using an existing analysis technique, Variational Asymptotic Beam Sectional Analysis. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

subset: commoncrawl


text:
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- 02:20, 21 December 2013 Tigersharke (Talk | contribs) automatically marked revision 50861 of page Using VirtualBox/9.2/fr patrolled


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Coverage and insight from College Station.
Posts filtered on Category
Lighthearted Von Miller looking forward to 'whipping' Luke Joeckel in NFL
COLLEGE STATION — Ten years ago, I was working on my first book, Game of My Life: 25 Stories of Aggies Football. Ten years later, I'm working on … an updated version of Game of My Life. Skyhorse Publishing out of New York has added two chapters to the current 25, and the top two […]
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Video: Aggies Baseball following sweep by MSU Bulldogs
COLLEGE STATION – Texas A&M coach Rob Childress and outfielder Krey Bratsen visit with the media following a sweep by Mississippi State at Olsen Field this past weekend. The Aggies fell to 21-16 overall and 6-9 in SEC play. A&M, which plays at Sam Houston State on Tuesday night, visits Arkansas and Alabama over the […]
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Video: Johnny Manziel following Aggies spring game
COLLEGE STATION – Texas A&M quarterback Johnny Manziel, the reigning Heisman Trophy winner, visited with the media following the Aggies' spring game on Saturday, that also marked the end of spring drills. The Aggies open their season on Aug. 31 at Kyle Field against Rice. Video shot and posted by: Brent Zwerneman, Texas A&M beat […]
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Video: Sumlin on DJ; national TV for spring game
COLLEGE STATION – Texas A&M coach Kevin Sumlin met with the media leading up to Saturday's 2 p.m. spring game, which ESPN will televise nationally. Sumlin also discusses here why he added a DJ to the "Friday Night Lights" festivities of last week. The Aggies, 11-2 last season, wrap up spring drills with Saturday's Maroon […]
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Manziel back on Twitter — at least for now
COLLEGE STATION — Texas A&M quarterback Johnny Manziel said a couple of weeks ago he was giving up Twitter because of all the hassles that came with it, and I asked him how he would manage to do so. Manziel, the reigning Heisman Trophy winner, is restless by nature, and when he's forced to stay […]
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A tale of one 'Benito Ferrell' at Olsen Field
Russell Ferrell, longtime Astros batting practice pitcher and high school coach, is in the bottom right corner of this 1991 photo. The author (Brent Zwerneman) is No. 11 on the left side. COLLEGE STATION — Olsen Field, now Olsen Field at Blue Bell Park, hasn't just been a special place for Texas A&M to play […]
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Johnny Manziel and 1920s Reporter Guy
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Sep 17, 2012, 08:47 AM | |
thanks for all the great feed back...
since only have a 6 channel rx and using two slots for the ailerons, and mostly interested in the 3D side of the Guardian, I was thinking that I could prg the unit to boot up in 3D and than just use the knob on the dx8 to control the gain. I did experiment with the end points on the gain channel in order to get rid of any interaction at the lowest level, but there was still some. I have since swapped out the leads and will use the "preferred" mode method tied to a three way switch. On the next project I will get a rx with more slots.. . cdee . |
Sep 17, 2012, 09:08 AM | |
Slow service from Eagletree
A fellow pilot bought two Guardians. One works great while the other worked for a short period of time and went dead. He sent it in 10 days ago and they still have done nothing except confirm it was in line for service. ET should be replacing defective units not trying to repair them. I consider that type of service unacceptable.
Any more people at my club who ask about the Guardian and I will have to tell them they are great when they work but if a problem arises the service is very, very slow. |
Latest blog entry: Installing a Bowman Ring in a DLE 30
Sep 17, 2012, 10:10 AM | |
FYI, The only place I see them in stock is Flitelab in canada.
All the others on the list show out of stock. Anyone know any additional places they are sold to put on the list? http://www.mycoolrc.com/gyro/gyroLINKS.html |
Sep 17, 2012, 10:22 AM | ||
Next batch out from Eagletree is the end of September. |
Latest blog entry: My Projects, Builds, Distractions and...
Sep 17, 2012, 10:43 AM | |
Latest blog entry: My Projects, Builds, Distractions and...
Sep 17, 2012, 12:12 PM | |
The link goes to mycoolrc (my website) where I list the places you can buy stuff including the guardian. I don't sell anything there, just provide the info. I"m trying to keep an up to date list where people can find stuff.
Don't know where the -8 is comming from that you say you see. |
Sep 17, 2012, 01:06 PM | ||
Obviously what works well for them in the short term will ruin thier credibility in the long term, but most businesses don't seem to care anymore. If you make allot of cash but go belly up, the bottom line is that you made allot of cash, and in America, thats what counts for good business nowadays. Tragic but true. |
Sep 17, 2012, 01:10 PM | ||
Latest blog entry: My Projects, Builds, Distractions and...
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text: Our party of 9 booked an evening Dolphin Encounter cruise for Tuesday evening, but when we checked in we were informed the boat had been double booked. We were told if we could come back tomorrow, they would give us the cruise for half price; not a problem for a savings of $125. When we showed up the next evening,... More


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Actors Vivek Oberoi and Neha Sharma will be seen together in a gangster lover story to be produced by filmmaker Kumar Taurani.
"Tips starting new film with Vivek Oberoi and Neha Sharma. It's a gangster love story," Taurani posted on his Twitter page.
Taurani has also asked his followers to suggest a title for the film.
Last seen in "Rakta Charitra", Vivek is busy shooting for "Zilla Ghaziabad" and "Krissh 2". This would be Neha's second film after "Crook" in 2010.
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The General Assembly did not meet this week, so I thought I would talk about why I believe so much in public education.
This past week, one of the world's most famous and influential men made a major announcement concerning our global future. But you might have missed it because America's national news media was obsessing over President Obama's State of the Union address.
Leftists and progressives believe that the U.S. should become more like Europe. They praise Europe's massive welfare state, socialized medicine and stifling economic regulation and accept its unwillingness to defend itself against barbarism. I wonder whether America's leftists and progressives want to import some of Europe's barbaric extremism associated with its Muslim population.
In 1897, a young girl named Virginia O'Hanlon got into an argument with her classmate over whether Santa Claus was real. Her classmates teased her and called her names because she believed in him.
In the medical profession, there is the admonition primum non nocere, the Latin expression for "first, do no harm." In order not to do harm, at the minimum, requires accurate diagnostics. Suppose a patient presents with abdominal pains, and the physician diagnoses it as caused by the patient's ingrown toenails. If that isn't the cause, the physician can spend all the resources he wants treating the patient's ingrown toenails and not remedy the patient's abdominal pains.
Page 1 of 1
Last week, first lady Michelle Obama kicked off an initiative. "Let's Move," addressing the problem of childhood obesity.
While our representatives in Washington are at a stalemate over health care "reform," the bigger problem over the long term is the state of our nation's health. No matter how we may change the health care system, we will have failed if we do not fix the underlying health crisis. Moving more unhealthy people into a better system of health care is not the answer.
Thursday my Leadership Newton County class along with the youth Leadership class visited the state capitol and the Georgia Bureau of Investigation on our fifth class day. We have only three more to go until we graduate in May.
After battling traffic on a yellow school bus to get to Capitol Avenue, we met some of our local legislators for a morning briefing on how the session is going. Sen. John Douglas, Rep. Doug Holt and Rep. John Lunsford were gracious enough to devote their morning to our class. As expected, our senators and representatives are struggling to balance Georgia ...
Maybe Mother Nature knows what's best. This week, she brought her own version of a government shutdown to Washington. While the Post Office might continue to work through rain, snow, sleet and hail, the snow in the capital resulted in the House suspending votes for the week and the Senate scaling back its calendar.
Our house was built in 1973 and was one of the first to occupy our quiet little lane. For years it stood virtually alone on the east side of the street, but today it's part of 25 homes which comprise our snug little enclave.
The Georgia legislature completed days nine through 13 last week with attention continuing to focus on the budget, water issues and related items of interest.
Gov. Sonny Perdue is nearing the end of his time as governor, but he had one more big idea to throw out for discussion.
"Rome is burning, and no one cares," my colleague Jim exclaimed to our boss on a conference call in the late-1990s. We were trying to explain the budget crisis in our largest property, which was responsible for more than $1 billion in revenue.
White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel caught heat last week when he referred to a group of liberal Democrats as "retarded." President Obama's senior political aide must've felt as if he'd stepped in a yellow jacket hole after sticking both feet in his mouth. Vocal, visceral criticism from varied quarters, including the president's senior political advisor, David Axelrod - whose 27-year-old daughter has a developmental disability - forced Emanuel to immediately try and staunch the bleeding.
We often take things like our health for granted until it goes downhill. Other things like the services the library offers or athletic programs for our children also are often under appreciated until they disappear.
After health and human services day with my Leadership Newton County class, I have a new found respect for all the people who work behind the scenes at elderly care facilities, health departments, hospitals, libraries and recreation departments.
My wife loves Carole King songs. The "Tapestry" album, issued in 1971, features several hit tunes, among them one of the greatest songs King ever penned: "You've Got a Friend."
"Well, the big difference here and in '94 was you've got me," was President Obama's response to possible problems in the upcoming midterm elections, according to Rep. Marion Berry.
I was in Central Florida recently and someone suggested I take a couple of minutes and drive through the town of Celebration, Fla.
After a break for the Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. federal holiday on Jan. 18, the Georgia House and Senate spent three days receiving budget requests from the various departments of state government. Gov. Sonny Perdue led the briefings on Tuesday afternoon with his overall assessment of state finances and his proposed amended FY 2010 and full FY 2011 budgets. The "amended budget" means that money taken in over the previous budget estimates can be applied to important programs or visa versa if less money is received than estimated.
A really big earthquake hit the third world nation of Haiti last week. Now, the brutal fact is that there's not a great deal of discernible difference between Haiti before the 'quake, and Haiti afterward. But the world's developed nations have immediately sent hundreds of millions of dollars in emergency assistance to the Caribbean nation, which occupies one-third of the island of Hispaniola. Fittingly, the Dominican Republic, which occupies the other two-thirds, was the first nation to offer help to Haiti.
The amount of aid pledged to assist the nine million citizens of Haiti is as staggering, in ...
Imagine. You have been sworn in as president of the United States and it is your first Christmas in the White House. What a year it has been. Now some worried-looking aide enters the room. You wonder. Is it war in the Middle East? Unrest in Iran? Earthquakes in Peru?


text:
Blueprints for Auschwitz camp found in Germany
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BERLIN (Reuters) - The original construction plans believed used for a major expansion of the Nazi death camp at Auschwitz in 1941 have been found in a Berlin flat, Germany's Bild newspaper reported on Saturday.
The daily printed three architect's drawings on yellowing paper from the batch of 28 pages of blueprints it obtained. One has an 11.66 meter by 11.20 meter room marked "Gaskammer" (gas chamber) that was part of a "delousing facility."
No one from the federal government's archives was immediately available for comment on the authenticity or importance of the documents.
The plans, published ahead of the 70th anniversary of the "Kristallnacht" or the Nazi pogrom that was a harbinger of the Holocaust, also include a crematorium and a "L. Keller" -- an abbreviation for "Leichenkeller" or corpse cellar.
A drawing of the building for Auschwitz's main gate was also found in the documents that Bild said were believed to have been discovered when a Berlin flat was cleaned out.
The mass-circulation newspaper quoted Hans-Dieter Kreikamp, head of the federal archives office in Berlin, as saying the blueprints offered "authentic evidence of the systematically planned genocide of European Jews."
There were mass killings of about one million Jews before the Nazi's "Final Solution" was formulated in late 1941. The decision to kill Europe's 11 million Jews was made at the Wannsee Conference in January 1942.
A copy of the minutes, known as the "Wannsee Protocol," is one of the most important documents from the war.
The newly found Auschwitz blueprints are dated October 23 1941 and could offer historians earlier evidence of Nazi plans to kill Jews on a mass scale, Bild said.
"These documents reveal that everyone who had even anything remotely to do with the planning and construction of the concentration camp must have know that people were to be gassed to death in assembly-line fashion," Bild wrote.
"The documents refute once and for all claims by those who deny the Holocaust even took place," it added.
The concentration camp at Auschwitz-Birkenau in Poland was the largest -- at least 1.1 million Jews were killed there.
Auschwitz I was set up in May 1940 in an old Polish army barracks. The first victims were gassed in September 1941. Auschwitz II, or Birkenau, opened in October 1941. Four large gas chambers were added to the camp in January 1942.
(Editing by Janet Lawrence)


text:
Our family visited the DC area and stayed at the Bethesda Residence Inn. The location was convenient, though the access for parking and valet was not especially so. The rooms were considerably smaller than previous Residence Inns that I have visited, and the hotel was a little bit more run down than I expect for a Marriott brand hotel. In fact, our door locking mechanism broke during our stay, and it was a bit of a hassle to fix. The furniture was worn, and my son was aghast at the stains on the mattress of the pullout sofa.
The breakfast was better than expected, usual buffet fare, but lots of it and better quality than most in the "free breakfast" category. Valet parking was prompt and efficient at all times of the day. The location is very close to the Metro and to all of the downtown Bethesda restaurants, stores, and services.
I did not visit the exercise facility, eat any additional meals, or use any other services.
I would return for the price (we paid a special rate of $109/night), but I would also probably look to stay in a different location, depending on the purpose of my trip.
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- TripAdvisor is proud to partner with Priceline, Expedia, Booking.com, Travelocity, Cheap Tickets, Despegar.com, Hotels.com, Orbitz, Marriott, Odigeo and Tingo so you can book your Residence Inn Bethesda Downtown reservations with confidence. We help millions of travelers each month to find the perfect hotel for both vacation and business trips, always with the best discounts and special offers.
- Also Known As:
- Residence Inn Bethesda Downtown Hotel Bethesda
- Bethesda Residence Inn


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off Jalan Kenari, mkm 10, Sungai Ara, Bayan Lepas, Penang, Malaysia 11900 (Show on map)
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Google Expects Solid Q2 Amid China, Europe Concerns
Google Expects Solid Q2 Amid China, Europe Concerns
Clint Boulton
Posted 2010-07-13
Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expect Google to report earnings of $6.54 per share on sales of $5 billion July 15. Google's conflicts in China and Europe and competition with Apple, Facebook and Bing could weigh on the search engine.
Google is sure to face questions about its business abroad and snafus in the United States, such as the failure of its Nexus One smartphone to catch on in the market, when it announces second-quarter earnings July 15. The company will hold a call to discuss Q2 earnings July 15 after the market close. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expect Google to report earnings of $6.54 per share on sales of $5 billion.
That's significantly higher than the $4.66 per share on revenue of $5.52 billion the company baked in the second quarter of 2009, with the online advertising sector recovering from the recession.
Some analysts will argue the market is still recovering, but most agree Google's core business remains strong. This appears true even in the face of competitive threats such as Apple, Microsoft's Bing and Facebook, as well as troubles in China, antitrust concerns in Europe and hiccups on the home front. The European Commission antitrust authority is currently
into allegations of anti-competitive conduct in search versus Google from search startups such as Foundem and Microsoft's Ciao from Bing.
Google has been at odds with China since a cyber-attack originating from that country
Google to stop censoring search and port users to Google.hk. China did not like Google's bid to obviate its laws, and there were thoughts the country would not renew the search engine's license to conduct business there. China
the license, but tensions between Google and the country remain high. FBR Capital Markets expects Google to report $5 billion in revenues and an earnings per share of $6.55. The research firm said July 13 Google's stock has been pressured by the China rift and a "seemingly endless wave of less tangible big picture concerns." This includes Google's worsening relationship with Apple, privacy issues and regulatory concerns. However, the license renewal in China and a
over Viacom regarding its YouTube property may shift sentiment. Jefferies and Co. analyst Youssef Squali expects net revenues and net earnings per share of $4.86 billion and $6.41, respectively. Squali said his channel checks suggest that marketers' appetite for search advertising, Google's bread and butter, remains strong. Citing comScore's latest search metrics, which
Google at 66 percent market share in the United States, he said Google's U.S. search volume grew by 9.2 percent year-over-year in the second quarter. Of course, there could be some fluctuations in the numbers. Squali said he anticipates some top-line risk in consensus numbers as the Street has yet to fully gauge FX headwinds and revenue loss from the Nexus One. Google
its Nexus One smartphone in January, selling it exclusively from its Webstore for $179 with a T-Mobile contract or unlocked for $529. Consumers shied away from buying a handset without playing with it, and Google
the store May 14. The failure proved a blow to the company's plans to bring the phone retail sector into the land of e-commerce. Analysts on the earnings call Thursday may hammer Google on how much it made and lost from the Nexus One.
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What happened to the Maxk XI Vendor?
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Lt. Commander
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 120
# 7
Urgh, it's no wonder people never know where to find anything in this game - it all changes from time to time, just as you start to learn where everything is.
Personally, I've never really learned where anything is. Although it makes sense to have things like a vendor selling ship items in the actual shipyard, but I wish Cryptic would devise a standard set of rules for where various mission/vendor NPC's are, and then explain those rules to players. That way, even if we don't know from memory where something is, we can figure it out.
Just sayin'.


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Due to financing reasons I need a date w Salama 2/1/2013 - 2/14/2013. Right now I won't be able to get in until October. If you are willing to give me your date let me know.
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Low Sales Tax Returns Hurt Fort Smith Budget
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Officials in Fort Smith say a drop in sales tax revenue is continuing, so the city will have to continue with belt-tightening measures.
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Double Dip
Rosenberg Agrees With Goldman: Sees Inventory Surge As Precursor To Negative Q4 GDP Print, "Double Dip Delayed, Not Derailed"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/29/2010 11:35 -0500Eerlier we pointed out that Goldman anticipated that a surge in the inventory number (which it did, coming at $115.5 billion compared to Goldman expectations of a sub $100 billion change), would simply lead to even more Cash 4 Clunker like forward performance pull, resulting in a collapse in the quarter in which inventory clearances finally took place. It seems the quarter in question is the current one. Indeed, various channel checks have confirmed that inventory levels at assorted businesses have been trimmed aggressively into the year end, and it is not unfeasible that we could see a $30-40 billion drop in inventory levels in Q4. Problem with that is, it will result in a negative GDP print due to the high marginal impact of a swing as seemingly small as the anticipated. Here is Rosie's explanation for why the government can play timing tricks all it wants but at the end of the day, it is inevitable that the economy is now contracting. How long before it is officially disclosed is at this point far more of a political issue than an economic one.
- 39 comments
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- 6803 reads
Irish Spreads Jump As Country Is First To Officially Double Dip
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 09/23/2010 06:56 -0500Irish bond spreads are back in the spotlight, with Bund spreads jumping by over 20 bps to over 415 bps, although not on the heels of a failed auction (the country did auction off €400 million in February and April 2011 bills earlier, which was less than sought), but rather on news that Ireland is the first country in Europe to officially double dip back into negative growth. Ireland was also the first European country to dip into recession what may seem like an eternity ago. The stunner is just how vast the difference between the expected and the actual economic reality was. As BBC reports: "The Irish economy shrank in the second quarter
from the previous three months, surprising analysts who had been
expecting growth. Gross domestic product (GDP) fell 1.2%, the Central
Statistics Office said. It also revised down its measure of growth in
the first quarter to 2.2% from 2.7%." So poor Ireland not only has to deal with a drunk PM, insolvent bank system, and, what is not surprising a new economic crunch, but what is far more concerning, a Department of Truth and Unicorns, which is unable to lie its teeth off and paint a rosy picture when the feces are already in process of being fanned.
- 27 comments
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- 4755 reads
Shocking CNBC Headline: "Home Price Double Dip Begins"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 09/15/2010 13:12 -0500Diana Olick, by far the best reporter at CNBC, and not merely an anchored regurgitator of propaganda bullet points, let one slip today, by posting an article on CNBC titled: "Home Price Double Dip Begins" (and we have a screenshot in case CNBC realizes the grave error it has made and retracts it). While nothing new to Zero Hedge readers, where we have been making the case that the economy has nothing to double dip to, considering it has been in one depression for 33 months now, it may catch the broader public by surprise. Ms. Olick's arguments: "given the combination of the expiration of the
home buyer tax credit and the increasing number of loans moving to final
foreclosure, we knew that home prices overall would take a hit, but it
would take a while. Well we're here." And there you have it - there is little that can and should be added when dealing with the simple truth. Of course, for CNBC to regain its floundering Nielsen ratings it would take all the daily staff to follow in Ms. Olick's example and report what is actually happening to the country, instead of what Joe LaVorgna believes should be happening, based on the goalseeked output his "economic" model is spewing forth. Alas, it is now far too late for the cable station to regain much needed credibility, especially when anchors tell guests who dare to question the propaganda assumptions that they disagree with they are not welcome.
- 179 comments
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- 22024 reads
Gold Breakout Refuses To Stop As Imminent Fed QE 2 Expected To Confirm Double Dip Deteriorating
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 09/14/2010 11:06 -0500We apologize for pointing out the inevitable, but gold is now breaking out and the usual LBMA gimmicks to slam it down are no longer working. Is the price suppression regime over? And that worthless atavism of a bygone era, stocks, continue to surge on increasingly bad news, confirming that all trading is now driven on expectations of what the Fed will do next Tuesday. If Morgan Stanley is right, expect gold to hit $1,350 in under 7 days. Additionally, should this occur, it will merely confirm that the double dip is accelerating at an uncontrollable pace, and that without the Fed's intervention the economy will tumble. Time to end all this "is there or isn't there" a double dip bullshit already.
- 229 comments
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- 15318 reads
Dr. Realist (f/k/a Doom) Talks Double Dip With The FT
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 09/05/2010 11:48 -0500Roubini's latest media appearance, and now that the spectre of a double dip has fully arisen there are quite a few of them, is with the FT's James Blitz in which the NYU professor does a quick 5 minute summary of what he sees as the main threats to the US economy, among which are a 40%+ chance of a double dip, a sub 1% GDP growth in H2 2010, the disappearance of all stimulus pushes (and the conversion of the fiscal stimulus from a tailwind to a headwind), an awful job market, bigger bank losses, declining home prices, a drop in the stock market, widening spreads, a feedback loop from stock markets into the economy, and much more. We are happy the professor has revised his call from a few months back seeing virtually no chance of a double dip. As to policy, Roubini thinks the US has run out of policy bullets on both the monetary and fiscal side: he is sure the Fed will do more QE, but it will be impotent as there is already over $1 trillion in excess reserves (of course, it simply means excess reserves will be $2 trillion, $3 trillion... etc. And IF the economy picks up, this money will hit broad money. But no, aside from that, there is no threat of inflation. Because the Fed is fully prepared to absorb $3 trillion in excess money....). As to Europe, Roubini thinks austerity will also result in a disaster, first for the periphery and then for Germany, so basically damned if you do and damned if you don't vis-a-vis stimulating, which is precisely what we have been saying for over a year: the central banks have boxed themselves in a corner from which there is no escaping, regardless of what they do. Lastly, on Asia, and specifically China, Roubini notes the obvious that even the world's most overheating economy is faced with so many problems that it can only do what the US has been doing so well to date: kick the can down the road.
- 85 comments
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- 9194 reads
Get Your Risk On Before The Double Dip!
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 09/03/2010 14:42 -0500Going into today I considered that there were two possible scenarios for equities in terms of EW count. The first according to which we were in wave 2 consolidating after the initial impulse down to 1,106 before eventually going lower, and the second in which we would have been in wave 3 already, in which case we should have topped around 1,094/1,098 and reversed lower aggressively. I think the first scenario is the one we are currently experiencing. I have only one ounce of doubt left and that is that AUDJPY has rejected quite hard today's highs approaching the key resistance triangle. - Nic Lenoir
- 46 comments
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- 9189 reads
ECRI Declines, Passes Below "Double Dip" -10% Threshold Again
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 09/03/2010 09:37 -0500The ECRI Leading Indicator Index just came at -10.1%, a drop from last week's -9.9%, once again inflecting into double dip territory. One can only imagine what the spin proffered by the index creators will be this time: it was suddenly very credible last week, hopefully that credibility persists as it reaffirms a definitive double dip yet again.
- 154 comments
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- 9386 reads
TCW Explains Why The Double Dip Has Arrived
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 09/01/2010 15:23 -0500A week ago TCW's chief economist announced he would hold a presentation for clients explaining why the Double Dip has arrived. Here is the powerpoint used by Komal Sri-Kumar on the call.
- 153 comments
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- 14956 reads
Is The Double Dip The Statistical Equivalent Of A Traffic Ticket? And Guess Which Sole Asset Class' Implied Vol Declined In The Past Month
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/29/2010 21:54 -0500A few days ago, BNY's Nicholas Colas was kind enough to share his perspectives on why traffic congestion and market structure are comparable, especially in the context of record high cross-asset correlations. Continuing on this series of roadside analogies, today the BNY analyst compares the economic double dip to a traffic violation, and specifically the probability of getting two speeding tickets in the span of one day. "What are the odds of being caught speeding twice in one day? One in five? One in ten? Pretty remote, one would think, given that the ratio of police to motorists on most roads is 1,000:1 or greater. I can tell you from direct and personal experience, however, that the odds of that event are much, much higher than you think. I had my driver's license suspended for 30 days in 1997 for two tickets, issued on the same day and only a few miles apart. Here's the thing: most people, after receiving one ticket, will drive more carefully immediately thereafter. But I, working through the math I referenced above, thought "No… The odds are actually in my favor now. I can, in fact, speed with impunity." This proved to be an error. As it turns out, going substantially faster than the general flow of traffic will gather the attention of the law. This offsets the theoretical odds against discovery, and then some. Oh, and driving a bright yellow car. I should have mentioned that, too." And once again, the specter of market uncertainty raises its ugly head, this time in the form of spiking implied volatility, which has jumped for every asset class in the past month... except gold.
- 23 comments
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- 4835 reads
Robert Shiller Says Double Dip Imminent
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/27/2010 13:48 -0500In this week's Big Interview, the WSJ's Simon Constable interviews Robert Shiller who flat out says that an economic double dip may be "imminent." This compares to his earlier warning that he saw the chances of a double dip at over 50%. Guess that probability has now doubled. Notably, Shiller also believes that when the NBER looks back at the data, Q3 of this year will mark the beginning of the second dip of the recession. Ironically, since up to now the previous recession has never actually officially ended, very soon the NBER will merely confirm that the recession which started in December 2007, will have continued for three years, in what is possibly the longest recession on record. Furthermore, those looking to sell houses are advised not to listen to the interview, as the co-creator of the Case-Shiller Home Price Index also added that he is worried housing prices could decline for another five years. He noted that Japan saw land prices decline for 15 consecutive years up to 2006. Following up on this week's weakest new home sales data in history this should probably not come as a big surprise to most. Also for bond fans, Shiller confirmed Rosenberg's view that bonds are not in a bubble. Hopefully Mr. Shiller bond prophecying skills in bonds are better than in houses, where it was mostly in hindsight in early 2007 when the bubble had already popped.
- 55 comments
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- 12452 reads
Guy Who Explained How We "Ended The Great Recession" A Month Ago, Now Sees 1 In 3 Chance Of Double Dip, Calls For QE2
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/26/2010 17:52 -0500Arguably the one most definitive market top ticking activity of the past month, in addition of course to Tim Geithner's absolutely disastrous "Welcome to the Recovery Pamphlet" issued literally hours before the wave of economic downgrades of US GDP by Wall Street began in earnest, was Mark Zandi and Alan Blinder's even more laughable administrative job cover letter titled "How We Ended The Great Recession" (yes, gentlemen, we remember). Which is why we read with great fascination that not even a month after the paper was released, Alan Blinder told Bloomberg that "Things seem to be losing momentum. The lending part of the financial system doesn't seem to be curing itself." Actually, Alan, if that is your justification for why the momentum is being lost, you are an idiot - the lending part, or the supply side, is perfectly cured: it is the demand aspect which proud Ph.D.-bearing economists such as yourself always ignore - yes, people, the medium and small businesses, and virtually everyone else, who makes the economy tick (not Wall Street), don't need the bank's steenking money - not at 20%, not at 0.002%, if they don't know whether they will have a job tomorrow, or if upon waking up their stocks and 401(k) won't be worth 50% what they were the night before. And not to be left alone, Mark Zandi, the other member of the permaclown duo, told Bloomberg TV that he now puts the chance of a double-dip recession at 1 in 3. "If you'd ask me 4-8 weeks ago, I would have said 1 in 4, 12 weeks ago, 1 in 5. So it is rising uncomfortably high." How about 15.8 weeks ago: was the chance 1 in 69? What is it with these economists who need to scientificate every bullshit concept of their worthless occupation? Why quantify the merely abstract? Do economists have such a great mathematician penis envy, that they have to cloak their infinite lack of understanding in irrelevant numbers? The fact that this man a month ago said things are all good, and never realized that America had never emerged from the recession, is all you need to know just how much credibility any and every person working for Moody's has. But we knew that already. And just because a Moody's economist sees the only hope left before the country as even more QE, it merely shows that when QE finally does strike (which it will) it will be the end game for America, and its currency. At least we now know that in the meantime Zandi has blown any chance he may have had getting a job with the administration.
- 134 comments
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- 8634 reads
TCW Says The Double Dip Is Here
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/24/2010 09:34 -0500In case you missed it...
- 45 comments
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- 13500 reads
You Know A Double Dip Is Imminent When...
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/17/2010 13:39 -0500With endless lies bombarding the average American from all sides seeking to instill a false sense of calm that all is good (but, but, the market is up and GM is IPOing today), it is wise to step back and consider the common sense signals that a double dip is if not here, then arriving on the next much delayed flight.
- 126 comments
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- 13551 reads
Matterhorn Asset Management There Will Be No Double Dip... It Will Be A Lot Worse
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/16/2010 09:33 -0500No, there will be no double dip. It will be a lot worse. The world economy will soon go into an accelerated and precipitous decline which will make the 2007 to early 2009 downturn seem like a walk in the park. The world financial system has temporarily been on life support by trillions of printed dollars that governments call money. But the effect of this massive money printing is ephemeral since it is not possible to save a world economy built on worthless paper by creating more of the same. Nevertheless, governments will continue to print since this is the only remedy they know. Therefore, we are soon likely to enter a phase of money printing of a magnitude that the world has never experienced. But his will not save the Western World which is likely to go in to a decline lasting at least 20 years but most probably a lot longer. - Egon von Greyerz, Matterhorn Asset Management
- 261 comments
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- 51306 reads
Rosenberg Interview: "If You Don't Believe In A Double Dip, It's Because The First Recession Never Ended"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/13/2010 11:32 -0500Sick and tired of CNBC "interviews" in which the speaker is given 15 seconds inbetween commercials to explain why the economy is in the toilet, before another talking head from the dodecabox appears and starts spouting painfully ridiculous things? So are we. Which is why we refuse to link to David Rosenberg's earlier presence on CNBC, and instead we present Rosie's following 26 minute interview with the WSJ which is a must watch for all who want to listen to exiled Merrill Lyncher express a coherent realistic thought before some CNBC associate producer screams "cut to commercial for incontinence pills." And, true to form, Rosie starts off in style: "If you don't believe there's going to be a double dip, it's because the first recession never ended. If there is going to be a double dip, the odds are certainly higher than 50-50." For those who follow Rosie's daily letters via Gluskin Sheff (which would be all of our readers), the insights won't be particularly new, but it is always great to hear a rational and sensible human discuss things as he sees them, not as his trading book demands he sees them.
- 114 comments
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- 14405 reads


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Just a week away from the official kickoff of the South Beach Wine and Food Festival and the sideshow events are pouring in. Among them, Spike Mendelsohn's first ever Let's Get Spiked: Chef Volleyball Tournament, sponsored by Foods from Chile and taking place from 1 to 3:30 p.m. Friday, February 22nd at the James Royal Palm Hotel on South Beach. Confirmed players include Chuck Hughes, Alex Guarnaschelli, Andrew Zimmern, Tim Love, Johnny Iuzzini, Stephanie Izard, Pat LaFrieda, Marcel Vigneron, Jeff Mauro, Kris Wessel, Josh Capon, Justin Warner, Todd Erickson, Adrianne Calvo and Alberto Cabrera. The event is open to the public and should be amusing to say the least. Just ask Zimmern, a guy who's more used to ingesting balls as opposed to spiking them, who told us, "Surprise, here is a sports tournament featuring the worst athletes in the world. I fit right in. I am thrilled Spike is hosting a tourney in a sport he's good at, that no one else plays. He needs a win. And I will give it to him!"
We also asked Mendelsohn how he can compete with the recent model volleyball tournament on South Beach to which he replied, "Well, six packs will be considered beers instead of muscles. Everyone will be well fed - no protein bars- and we will probably use a quarter of the sun tan lotion that they used. We are all looking forward to this celebrity chef volleyball tourney, it gives us a chance to take the smack talk out of the kitchen and onto the beach at the James Hotel. I'm sure our skills will look more like a blooper reel compared to the models. SOBE Chefs versus Models 2014, anyone?"
[1] http://www.miami.com/restaurants/locally-sourced-miami
[2] http://www.miami.com/wynwood-diner-opening-march-article
[3] http://www.miami.com/my-ceviche-owners-open-laffa-mediterranean-kitchen-miami-article
[4] http://www.miami.com/restaurants/nibbles-and-bits
[5] http://www.miami.com/slow-food039s-ark-taste-paraiso-bay-article
[6] http://www.miami.com/chef-jeremiah-opening-aventura-mall-amp-joining-grant-achatz039s-restaurant-rez-system-tock-article
[7] http://www.miami.com/breaking-hedy-goldsmith-leaving-genuine-hospitality-group-relocating-la-article
[8] http://www.miami.com/stk039s-039more-accessible039-sibling-stk-rebel-opening-downtown-miami-article
[9] http://www.miami.com/crumb-parchment-alum-nicole-votano-tapped-fooq039s-executive-chef-article
[10] http://www.miami.com/chef-art-smith-giving-away-101gayweddings-james-royal-palm-during-sobewff-article
[11] http://www.miami.com/lucky-strike-bowling-lanes-miami-beach-closes-trader-joe039s-moving-article
[12] http://www.miami.com/armadillo-cafe-open-boca-raton-article
[13] http://www.miami.com/new-taco-shop-open-dec-29-miami-beach-article
[14] http://www.miami.com/stk-miami-opening-delayed-after-sprinkler-accident-causes-extensive-damage-article
[15] http://www.miami.com/rok-bgr-hosts-fall-beer-festival-wednesday-article
[16] http://www.twitter.com/miamicom


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Jenny and I are off for a few days of playful rest in the south Pacific with our oldest two. Taking advantage of life's many blessings.
Author. Pastor. Musician.
Our time in Europe was refreshing and extremely productive from a personal and kingdom standpoint. Jennifer and I both felt extremely used by the Lord (a marvelous commentary to be had on how the rest of secular culture hates "being used"), and that we were in the right place at the right time.
The tour included teaching at the EDEN discipleship school, concerts in Longwy, Longuyon and Woippy, and nights of worship as well Sunday ministry at L'Eglise Sans Frontier—our home church in France. We also made stops in Belgium, Luxembourg and Holland.
I share the following workflow for three reasons. The first is that I get a lot of requests about how I prepare my messages, and people seem genuinely helped when I explain my methods. The second is that it speaks to study in general; not everyone is a pastor or teacher, but everyone, especially Christians, should be students of scripture and of life.
The third is that I believe I'm in the cross-over generation from print Bibles to digital Bibles, at least in leading and developing first world nations. This is important. I grew up reading my Gideon hotel-stolen NKJV until it needed rebinding, and my leather-bound NIV Rainbow Study Bible. But as I traveled more (specifically flying), the sheer weight and size of my Bibles and notebooks became an impediment. As the iPhone, and then iPad made it easier to chose how I could pack, my study habits also started to change. They became more efficient, and therefore more powerful.
Superior tools allow a craftsman to do better work. The generation behind me often finds digital sterile and cold, some might even say "un-anointed." But the generation coming after me needs to be even more immersed in the written Word. I'm sure there may have been similar despondency when people could actually bring a Bible into their home for the first time. "But how will we know what it means if the priest isn't here to teach us?" Or how about the glaring hurdle of having to learn how to read?
The point is, if there are new tools available to us that proliferate the accessibility of scripture and allow us to understand more than ever before, we need to champion them, if nothing more than for the sake of those coming after us.
When preparing a sermon for a church service, I first have to begin where I want to end: my audience (their needs and contextual appetites), my time frame (if I'm at New Life, we have four services each with a 20-25 minute window for the message; if I'm at EDEN school in France, I look at 3-hour blocks), and obviously my goal (what I want them leaving with). Without these, I tend to ramble, over prepare, and think more about what I want to say than what God wants to say. Remember, constraints can either limit you or serve you—the choice is entirely yours.
All of my messages begin (and mostly end) on my iPhone. It's always with me, so convenience is key. It's also the place I do my largest amount of Bible reading. I use four different apps for different reasons.
Bible by YouVersion: This is the easiest and simplest app to read from for me. The social connectivity attributes are nice, but not really the reason I'm there. When I need to copy and paste scriptures, this app places them in my clipboard with the reference in parentheses at the bottom. I have it loaded with ESV, NKJV, NIV, KJV and NLT.
PocketSword by CrossWire: This is the mojo, the magic sauce Bible app for me. I use it for one thing: Greek and Hebrew (Strongs modules) in the KJV (the only version they appear in). When I want to research and break down the words (something all good teachers and preachers need to be in the practice of), PocketSword is my go-to app.
Lumina by Bible Studies Foundation: This NET translation of the Bible comes hyperlinked with 60,000 translation notes created by 25 translation scholars from Greek, Aramaic and Hebrew. Great for digging a little deeper into those hard-to-understand passages.
Bible+ by Olive Tree: I tend to make most of my in-Bible notes and highlights in this app as it "feels" the most like reading my favorite print Bibles. I typically read out of the ESV here. Pasting copied sections strips out the references, so if I want to grab something I like, I jump back to YouVersion.
The other reading app I use most (paired beside Evernote, which I'll hit next) is Kindle for iOS. In here I'm gleaning from whatever non-fiction or essays (PDFs) I've downloaded. I'm a firm believer that you don't have enough time to extract everything out of the Bible that you need, so you better eat from the hands of others who've used their entire lives to share something worth digesting.
Since I'm one of those preachers who believes that everything needs to be rooted and end up in the written Word, most all of my ideas launch out of verses that speak to my life experiences, world happenings and what I believe God is trying to say to people (my audience, in particular).
As a result, when I'm reading in one of my Bible apps, I'm bound to open Evernote within moments. Evernote is my catch-all of choice. From pics and drawings to links and syncing, it's my jam, and arguably the best on the market.
I have an "Academics" stack that contains most all of my more heady content, and within, my "Messages" notebook. I allow this notebook to be very fluid. It not only contains finished content, but also "content in process." Or as my Dad uses in his three ring binders, his "Sermons Working" tab.
Here's a shot from a message I preached last Sunday at L'Eglise Sans Frontiers in Longuyon, France:
When I'm traveling or under time constraints, I preach right out of Evernote from my iPad or iPhone. But if I have time, there's one extra step that I take. Fair warning: this is for geeks, nerds, designers and people with any level of OCD.
I import my content from Evernote into InDesign to create a good looking PDF.
I learned from designer Nathan Davis to value the added step of creating a beautiful looking PDF as it has a way of internalizing the content more thoroughly. This added process, while sometimes time consuming, is a great way of embedding the message deeper into my gut where it moves from notes I have to read verbatim to a message I can proclaim intuitively. And when I need to transition from teaching to preaching while onstage, this key component is essential.
My father, Peter, taught (and challenged) me to love scripture. And he still prepares his messages using his wonderful leather-bound Bible and 8″ three-ring notebooks filled with his handwriting. What he passed on, however, we're not his methods, but his love for God's Word. Regardless of how you learn, study, preach or teach, make sure that you're more focused on imparting than on your process: few people will remember how you did it, but everyone will remember what you did.
Jennifer and I've had a wonderful time here in northern France for the last several days. In the mornings I've been teaching the students at EDEN discipleship school, followed by various activities in the afternoons, and nights of worship in the evenings.
I've been lecturing on redefining the gospel "according to the scriptures" (1 Corinthians 15:2), and its resulting impact on the function of evangelism. The discussions with the students have been wonderfully inspiring, and I'm excited to see them unleashed on local villages later in the week as we find creative ways to demonstrate sacrificial love personified.
As always, it's not the places that we visit that leave a lasting impact on us, but the people we meet. Here are some of their faces.
Follow the pics here and here.
Beaucoup d'amour,
Fashion Review?
I know. A bit tongue-in-cheek for those that know my wife dresses me. Out of sheer social necessity. But sandals? That's something I know a thing or two about. Review, here I come.
I discovered Vere Sandals last week. They liked a vintage photo I posted on Instagram of my father-in-law in Letchworth State Park from the '70s. Intrigued, I clicked on their profile and saw cool sandals-in-process pics. And then a pic of what looked a lot like the Finger Lakes. As a guy who grew up in the beautiful wine-country region on central NY, I can spot a tree-speckled horizon of waterfront property a mile away. Sure enough, their company location read "Geneva, NY."
Wait, wait. Good looking sandals, hand made in Geneva, NY? And no, Geneva, NY isn't code for some NYC burrow filled with migrant workers.
But they're probably expensive.
So I jumped on their website and immediately went searching for a price point.
$34 for foamies, $54 for leathers.
Get out.
That's as much, if not cheaper than what I pay for my Reefs (two pair annually).
OK, but they probably feel like crap.
Why am I so jaded?
Only one way to overcome this consumer bias. So I bought a pair of Men's Louie Sandals in black and blue, size 10. They arrived at my PO Box a few days later.
The sparse packaging was cool, and reemphasized the slogan I'd seen on their sight: "Made here. Made better." Another personal touch was the hand written note from Mike. Not sure who Mike is, but he cared enough to just not stuff a receipt in the padded envelope. Nice touch.
I'm a smell guy, so the scent of newly pressed foam and needle-point-nylon wafted out of the envelope. My designer eye scanned the lines for imperfections, thinking somehow that handmade meant shoddy. Wrong. From the laser engraved heel emblem to the flawless trim lines, these beauties were well executed. Even the bright blue Vere logo on the sandal strap was understated but purposeful.
I happened to be on our sail boat in port (#1000Islands), so what better time to test them out? I flicked off my trusty-dusty Reefs from last season, and eased on the new Veres.
First impressions were of pulling on a new glove. Fairly tight, but by no means uncomfortable. I forgot that I was coming from well-worn Reefs with a solid synthetic strap. The Veres have a woven strap that seemed to expand slightly with my foot.
I won't lie, the tight fit scared me. Then I started thinking maybe I should've purchased 11s as the 10s left little room behind the heel or in front of the toe. The only problem was that they felt good. Really good.
I took a stroll down our dock, immediately feeling the subtle support built into the multilayers of foam. This was different. I also tend to walk slightly pigeon toed, so my heels wear to the inside of a sandal; but looking down, I noticed the sandal was staying right in line with my awkward foot-angle.
With a few passes in our marina, I started to wonder if I really needed all the extra real estate I always purchase with my Reefs. Because these sandals felt a lot less like sandals, and more like…
…my foot.
But with comfort built in.
In fact, they fit so well, I could actually feel that my right foot was bigger than the left (which it is). Where the left strap felt perfect, the right strap felt a little too tight. And for the first 24 hours of wearing them, I felt a slight rub on the inside of my right foot. It was annoying, but I reminded myself that: a) I'd come front a different style sandal, and b) they hadn't broken in yet.
I posted a quick pic on Instagram, and a few minutes later @veresandals was talking back. More nice.
I stopped by a friend's house in Rochester, NY yesterday. He immediately noticed the new treads and asked, "May I?" I acquiesced, and the moment his foot went in (also a size 10), he looked up surprised. "They feel great!"
"I know," I replied with a smile. "They're Veres. And they're made an hour from you."
The most starling Vere discovery, however, came after a full day of use. I was sitting on the couch talking with Jenny when I scratched my foot. A second later, I wiped my nose (come on, you all do stuff like this too). But something was missing.
The horrid foot-stink.
I was literally so shocked (remember, I'm a smell guy), I buried my nose in my toes. Nothing. Absolutely nothing. I looked over at my Reefs by the front door and could practically smell the cow manure stench they give off after a day's use. Granted, it could be because the Veres are new; I half expect them to stink by week's end. But every pair of Reefs I've ever purchased smelled the first day.
By the end of my second day, the right side strap-rub was all but gone. And that's when I had to make the big decision. Do I take them to France with me or not? What footwear you bring overseas is a big deal if you're a frequent traveler. It can often make or break your trip. Jenny was packing my suit case and saw me deliberating. "Take the ones that don't smell," she said.
And I did.
I'm sitting on the plane heading overseas wearing my Veres and packing my Merrel shoes. The deal is sealed.
My next pair of sandals will be Veres. And the pair after that. If they keep making great products, employing my neighbors, and valuing their materials usage (including disposal) like they do, I can't imagine buying anything else.
Can't wait to try their leather sandals—that's next.
If you buy some, tell them Christopher sent you. I don't get a thing from it, I just like being personable with a company that treats me personally. Then come back here and share your story.
Tread well,
UPDATE: In the time it took me to publish this post, Vere got back to me via Instagram about why my feet don't smell. Classy.
Jennifer and I leave for France in the morning. While most of our francophone focus has been in Switzerland over recent years, France is where it all began. We're thrilled to be back with our French family and honored to spend ten days imparting into the amazing discipleship students currently enrolled in EDEN. See you on the flip side.
Life is built on a sequence of events played out over time.
I can't buy my next guitar until I sell my present guitar. Which I just did.
(Enjoy, Mark R.)
I couldn't write this post until I got here to Hawaii. Between the build up to Easter, the launching of our North Campus, and leading worship and speaking at Redline Conference, I haven't had anything more to give a public. This post was conditional upon my last "posting" of service to another audience.
All this to say, I'm simply reminded that we can't do the next thing unless we finish the present thing.
The next thing sounds wonderful and exciting. It's a distant horizon, an unopened gift beneath the Christmas tree.
The present thing is familiar.
Overly familiar.
It's old.
And not the vintage, old-timey old. I mean nasty old. The "dear lord, I'm so sick of this and I just want it to end" kind of old that demands a high level of something to tolerate.
Of endurance? Patience? Stamina? Fortitude?
Patient endurance is what you need now, so that you will continue to do God's will. Then you will receive all that he has promised. (Hebrews 10:36 NLT)
The next thing becomes the sweetest thing only when the present thing is treated faithfully.
Said differently with some verbose alliteration, don't rob your pending promise of its pleasure by prematurely parting with your present plan.
Stay with it, whatever you're doing today. There is a very real reward on its way.
I'm off to dive on a plane wreck in O'ahu. Yes, rewards are worth being patient for.
Guitars For Glory Documentary: San Cristobal Verapaz, Guatemala from Sprig Music on Vimeo.
Giving stuff away is amazing. Way better than getting something yourself. (It's almost like Jesus knew what he was talking about).
Jennifer and I had the honor of representing Guitars For Glory during our recent trip to Guatemala last month. This meant surprising three people with brand new guitars. We made sure the cameras were rolling, and managed to produce something we're all proud of. (Thank you, Sprig Music).
Sure, who wouldn't like a free guitar?
But what the documentary doesn't show is all the back-story behind the recipients. Like how Rudy's father abandoned his family for the US, and Rudy was left to be provider for his four siblings and mother; today, he's a pillar in his family and his church. Or Roger, who's given himself fully to educating children, and makes in one year what I make in three weeks. Then there's Willy, who's always wanted to lead people in worship on guitar, but knew it'd be impossible, seeing as how it'd take him and his entire family over a decade to save up enough combined money to buy one.
The stories are real. The tears are real. Because the people are real.
And that's the power we have as being part of the world's wealthiest people.
Please watch the video. Then thoughtfully consider three things:
1.) Giving to Guitars For Glory so they can continue to spread the message of hope in Jesus through music.
2.) Sponsor a child with Inn Ministries, our hosting organization in Guatemala. I can't say enough about these people. They're the real deal, and you're having a daily impact on children when you give toward their education.
3.) Let me know what you think—about all this. I'd love to hear.
You were born to rock. So get to it.
As reader Venaril so aptly put, I'd rather deal with a physical injury than be ill. Montezuma has not been good to me over the last 3 days. But some rice water and my first solid night's sleep in 14-days finally did the trick. (All the prayers certainly had something to do with it too).
(To make rice water, boil two handfulls of rice in 3 cups of water for 10-15 minutes, strain, cool, and then drink).
Despite needing to make bathroom runs every 30-90 minutes, I've managed to make great headway on finishing Sprig Studios the last few days since returning from Guatemala; if I didn't have a looming deadline, I'd have posted more about the trip (which I plan to by the end of next week). CS Lewis' adopted son, Doug Gresham, is flying in on Monday with a new artist we're signing to Sprig Records. Very exciting!
Sleep deprivation.
I call this travel sickness. And I currently have it.
Almost home.
Jennifer and I are hitting Guatemala for the next ten days, and we're so excited to go back to a people and a ministry that deeply touched our hearts. Not only will we be able to re-connect with the four children that we sponsor, but we'll be ministering before some incredible and diverse audiences. Even since Inn Ministries published this infographic, we've been notified that another school has invited us to come speak.
A few fun ways to engage with us on this trip:
• Get constant visuals via our Instagram feeds (Christopher's / Jennifer's).
• Stay tuned here for long-form updates.
• Invest $5, $15 or $25 to Inn Ministries.
• Sponsor a child for $30/mos.
Giving should be fun. So let's have some!
• Shout Out Pics: For those of you who chose to invest into the Inn, Jennifer and I'll post a customized picture just for you that will hit Instagram, Twitter, Facebook and on our blogs. Mine will probably be whacky; Jennifer's will be thoughtful. Mine will be random; Jennifer's will be intentional.
• Us and Your Child: If you chose to sponsor a child, Jennifer and I will post a picture of us with your sponsor child. This also applies to anyone who already sponsors a child through the Inn. Again, leave a comment and give us your child's name. This is a beautiful way to connect with your kids through us—we'll be your eyes, but you're still the heart.
Thanks for for being an integral part of changing culture with us.
There's an old adage:
Anything worth doing is worth doing well.
I'm pretty sure there's another one. At least there is for me:
Anything worth doing well is worth doing as a team.
And maybe better still:
Anything you want to do well, you'd better do with a team.
Last night, the team pictured above rallied to put on one heck of a show at Indian River High—the largest campus in our county. The event was one of our youth ministry's LIFTED events, which mixes music, worship, drama, dance and video to support a Gospel message, concluding with an invitation to accept Jesus.
Here are a few reasons I resist doing things without a team:
They're Smarter Than I Am
When things go wrong and systems fail, I want to be around people that are smarter than me. Or, at the very least, will look at things with different eyes. This allows problems to be treated with new solutions that I wouldn't have seen otherwise.
We had a few unforeseen system integration audio issues during set up last night; work arounds came much faster because ideas were shared quickly and freely. We checked one another's work and talked through some of the more complex signal paths. Because the teams trust each other and are not threatened, even people not on the audio crew were getting involved and doing their best to serve and troubleshoot.
When the pressure gets high, you need people around you who can make you laugh. The only other release for pressure tends to be rather destructive: you allow it to mount until you snap. And people or things usually get hurt.
Keeping things fun, even in highly stressful scenarios (and I'd argue especially in highly stressful scenarios) is absolutely critical. Dedicated, hard working people who have a lighter side, and know when to augment situational tension with a bit of levity are crucial for letting teams reset and keep things in perspective.
Humor is also a great way for you as a leader to let your team know you're not drowning in frustrations when things go wrong. At one moment last night when things were especially difficult, I just decided to start dancing. No music. No beat. Just my moves (which are in themselves hilariously pitiful). It made people laugh and reminded us all to keep the main thing the main thing—our core message: we're here to share the Good News of Jesus with teens.
At the end of the day, saying, "I did all that," gets rather boring. Not because you're suffering from a lack of ideas, but because you have no one to share it with.
Doing things together means more people are taking pride in what's happening. And people that do things together end up building stronger bonds because of the process.
This sense of community not only makes the end product more vivid and colorful, but it's essential in spreading whatever core message you're attempting to promote.
Doing things as a team says to history, "We were here. We had something so important to say that we needed many voices to say it with."
May history never forget us and the future never forsake us.
What are some of the favorite teams you ever worked with? What made them special?
UPDATE 11:39AM EST: Jonathan's site is currently down, and it looks like he's abandoned this voyage. Details still pending. He still gets a Kili-Boranna patch for his efforts.
If ever there was someone who deserved to be inducted into the Kili-Boranna Guild as an honorary member, its certainly Jonathan Trappe.
He's an IT specialist and aviation buff who's obsessed with attempting things out of ordinary in record-setting style. As if his cluster balloon airlift of a faux house á la "Up" wasn't enough, he's now attempting a trans-Atlantic voyage in a lifeboat basket beneath 300 helium filled cluster balloons.
Checking out his website is a definite must; there you'll find two nifty links, one that's plotting his course, the other that's tracking his transponder, including his exact location, speed and elevation.
God's speed, Jonathan. And as the Guild would say…
Fly or die,
Christopher sez: No, I'm not going to New Zealand. At least not yet. She is on my top three "favorite countries I have not yet been to but desperately want to see before I go home to be with Jesus" list.
(Others on that list include Australia, Japan, and Fiji).
But one of my guests has written a piece on travel to New Zealand.
I know I have a number of faithful readers in New Zealand, and I'm curious to know in the comments section if you can corroborate these locations, and perhaps give other notable places to visit. (Im making my own list, so they better be good!).
• • •
The great outdoors isn't just trees and birds and animals and earth. It also serves as one of the strongest evidences of God's grace. Many Christians feel a strong link to God's presence when interacting with the great outdoors. Pope John Paul II was an avid outdoorsman, often going on numerous hiking, skiing, and kayaking trips as part of his ministry. His successor, Pope Benedict XVI, exhorted parents to show their children the wonders of God in nature. If you want to do the same, there's no better place to visit than New Zealand.
With its wide, rolling vistas and breathtaking sights, New Zealand has long been a favorite haven for those enamored with the great outdoors and is a popular destination on Dial A Flight. Here are a few things that the entire family can enjoy on a visit to Kiwi country.
North Island
For a truly authentic New Zealand experience, rent a campervan and embark on a North Island road trip. Kids and adult film fans alike will appreciate the drive through the real-life versions of Hobbiton and Mordor, two of the most prominent locations in the Lord of the Rings trilogy. You also get to see a wide variety of New Zealand's many different landscapes from lush, green rainforests and rolling farmlands to towering mountains and volcanic fields. The journey starts in Auckland and ends at Wellington, the nation's capital.
South Island
Don't ditch your campervan just yet. New Zealand's South Island is where the real outdoor adventure starts. You can head to Queenstown and find out why it's called the Adventure Capital of the World. You can go on a quick boat ride to spot giant sperm whales or make a beeline for the Otago Peninsula to spend a day with fur seals, sea lions, and, if you're lucky, royal albatrosses. Lake Wanaka also offers a myriad of water activities including kayaking, swimming, and fishing. Practically everywhere you go in the South Island is an outdoor adventure waiting to happen, with every sight a clear sign of the Creator's majesty and love.
• • •
Christopher sez: OK, readers, chime in. If you live in or have visited New Zealand, what are some of your favorite places?
Happy travels!


text: With a group of six (senior) friends we used Ambrosinis minibusservice as addition to the (sub)urban public transport in and around Vicenza. We feel that privately organised visits to interesting European cities meet better our intentions to discover specific turistic and cultural curiosities than the mainstream touroperators offer. And indeed, the way Paolo Ambrosini led us in and around Vicenza,... More


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A full, thriving ninja world is set before you. Make friends, gain enemies,hunt the greatest Legendary Weapons, take part in the grand Epic Missions and save the world or destroy it!
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text:
Discuss Big Brother, reality television, entertainment news, and other topics of interest. Live Feed Updates
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Where the lives of the cats you followed in the books become the real thing; and so much more! Everyone is welcome here, so join in the fun today!
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Discussing Big Brother with people who love Big Brother and love to love it!
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Free forum : This is an RP site. We embrace many different kinds of RPs. You can join one of the many that we already have, or contact the site Admin, Dark Soul, to make your own RP.
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The official forum for iBig Brother
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Make your own Big Brother's/Survivors/Next Top Models/Project Runways and have people play in them and have fun!
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A collection of stories co written by EyesLikeChrome and QueenofHearts. Literature within is often mature with dark and graphic themes.
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Guided tour of the historic sailing ship BALCLUTHA. More
Park Ranger-led, hour long tour of San Francisco`s northern waterfront. More
Join park rangers on board the sailing ship BALCLUTHA for an aloft demonstration. More
In 1920, more than 300 African Americans signed contracts to work in Alaska's salmon industry and voyaged north aboard the Star of Alaska (Balclutha) and similar ships. More


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Anyone else worried about the debt to equity ratio for HH Gregg? It looks a little too high to me. I realize that the collapse of Circuit City has provided a nice opportunity for HH Gregg to expand. It just seems to me that if anything goes wrong with their business model, things could get ugly in a hurry. Any thoughts????
Well, like my Pappy used to say, if you're going to have anything good you're going to have to go into debt to get it. If I were HHG, I'd be seriously looking over those soon to be abandoned CC locations, and lining up some financing.Create some jobs and go after Best Buy. Yeah.Investors would eat that shit up!Peace.
Well.. For a company posting gains and supposedly doing so well.. growing and supposedly building new stores with cash and not credit (company officers claim to be "virtually debtfree"), it seems a little nasty, trite, and cruel, in this econony, to be dropping the commission rates on their employees. "Leverage" is definitely the word. With job prospects drying up, I suppose they figure they can get away with it.. and they probably will. Starts in March from what I hear. Circuit City's demise began with screwing with their sales staff. All in all, HHGregg has dropped their employees commissions about 4 times in the last 5 years (definitely not keeping with inflation, oddly enough, the longer one stays at HHGregg, as a commissioned employee, the less pay one receives.) They claim to have the most professional and well trained sales staff in the country.. It's a shame they do not intend to pay commensurately. Ironically, the manditory 200 or so hours of training HHgregg requires their sales employees to attend are also unpaid hours. I guess, in the short term, it means better cashflow not to pay employees what they are worth, but eventually, I would think, and maybe soon, company management will hit a threshold whereby quality sales staff will begin to make career choices that do not include a future at HHGregg.


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text:
Year |
Dietary Supplement |
FDA Action |
1999 |
Asian Remedy for Menstrual Cramps—Koo Sar |
Centers for Diseaase Control and Prevention report attributed lead poisoning case to product (posted on FDA website) |
1999 |
Gamma Butyrolactone (GBL) |
FDA warned consumers not to consume FDA requested manufacturers to voluntarily recall products (at least one manufacturer agreed to recall) |
1999 |
GBL, Gamma Hydroxybutyric Acid (GHB) and 1,4 Gutanediol (BD) |
FDA notified HCPs and continues to warn public that these substances are unapproved new drugs that may cause harm FDA conducted seizures of product |
1999 |
GBL-Related Products |
FDA warned the public that these are unapproved new drugs that may cause harm FDA conducted seizures of product |
1998 |
"Sleeping Buddha" |
FDA warned consumers not to use product because it contains an unlabeled prescription drug ingredient |
1998 |
5-hydroxy-L-tryptophan |
FDA noted the presence of impurities in some products |
1998 |
Cholestin |
FDA determined product was an unapproved drug (later upheld by court rulinga) |
1997 |
Chomper |
FDA warned consumers not to consume product |
1997 |
Ephedrine Dietary Supplements |
FDA proposed limits to epedrine alkaloids allowed in products. Proposes adding warnings and information in labeling and marketing |
1997 |
Gamma Hydroxybutyric Acid (GHB) |
FDA reissued warning against use of substance because it is an unapproved and potentially dangerous new drug FDA and Department of Justice took enforcement actions (restrict importation, embargoes, etc.) |
1997 |
"Herbal Fen-Phen" |
FDA warned consumers that product is an unapproved and potentially dangerous new drug FDA took action to remove product from the market |
1997 |
Infant Formula (homemade) |
FDA informed pediatricians about safety concerns with use |
1997 |
"Plantain" Containing Dietary Supplements |
FDA warned consumers not to consume dietary supplement products containing plantain because of possible digitalis contamination FDA worked with manufacturers to identify and recall possibly contaminated products |
1996 |
Street Drugs Containing Botanical Ephedrine |
FDA warned consumers not to consume products |
1992 |
Chaparral |
FDA warned consumers to stop use immediately |
a The most recent court ruling held that cholestin was a drug and would be subject to regulation by FDA; however, the case is being appealed (Pharmanex v. Shalala, No. 2:97CV262k, 2001 WL 741419 [D. Utah March 30, 2001], appeal docketed, No. 01–4108 [10th Cir. May 31, 2001]). |


text: Larry Chambers spent fifteen months in Vietnam with the 101st Airborne as a LRP/Ranger. Among other awards and decorations, Chambers earned two Bronze Stars for valor, a Purple Heart, two Air Medals for valor, the Combat Infantryman's Badge, the Army Commendation Medal, and the Vietnam Cross of Gallantry. He was with L Co., 75th Infantry (Ranger), and F Co., 58th (LRP), in Vietnam.After returning home he earned a bachelor's degree and a master's degree from the University of Utah and graduated as a member of the Phi Kappa Phi honor society. Chambers lives in Ojai, California. He is also the author... Read More


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Mega Tone mouthpieces employ more than double the mass of ordinary models to produce the darker sound...
The Bach Stradivarius C180SL Chicago Professional Silver C Trumpet is modeled after the Strad C trumpets sold...
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