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Notre Dame center Braxston Cave has a mentality that can't be taught
BY MARK POTASH firstname.lastname@example.com February 25, 2013 10:33PM
Braxston Cave
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Updated: March 27, 2013 6:28AM
I have no idea if Notre Dame center Braxston Cave is a knee-bender or a waist-bender or if he has linear mobility or lateral agility or snap-and-step quickness or substantial pop or punch.
I have no idea what it means that he ran a 5.31 40-yard dash and had a 251/2-inch vertical at the NFL Scouting Combine in Indianapolis last weekend.
But all you need is a TV or a season ticket to Notre Dame football games to know that Cave has one quality that commands NFL scouts to take a closer look at the entire package: the football gene.
At 6-3, 305 pounds, Cave has a knack for playing football. He has a football mentality — inherited from both his parents — that you can't develop at a training academy or a weight room.
''I just love the competition,'' Cave said. ''If you're not beating up on someone, they're beating up on you.''
That mentality is a difficult trait to measure in the NFL draft — perhaps nowhere more than at center. Half of the 32 starting centers in the NFL last season were drafted in the fifth round or later or not at all — including nine of the 12 playoff starters and all four championship-game starters: the Ravens' Matt Birk (sixth round, 1998), the 49ers' Jonathan Goodwin (fifth round, 2002), the Patriots' Ryan Wendell (undrafted) and the Falcons' Todd McClure (seventh round, 1999).
Cave is rated the fifth- or sixth-best center in the draft and projected to be a mid-round pick. If you're looking for an immediate starter, he might not be your guy. But if, say, your current starter is 33 years old and has 186 NFL games under his belt, and you've got an offensive line coach who's an expert at developing mid-round draft picks, a prospect such as Cave might warrant a longer look.
For most of his time at Notre Dame, Cave modeled his game after former Irish center Jeff Faine, a 2003 first-round pick and 10-year NFL starter. But first-year offensive line coach Harry Hiestand — the former Bears line coach under Lovie Smith — turned him on to Olin Kreutz last spring, and Cave was hooked.
Kreutz tutored Cave over game tapes at Notre Dame's spring practice last year. And through Hiestand's tapes and eyewitness recollections, Cave gained a healthy appreciation for the leadership and tenacity that made Kreutz a six-time Pro Bowl center.
''Absolutely,'' Cave said. ''He's not the biggest guy. But he gets after guys. He's a very explosive player, and I like that. Easy guy to model your game after.''
Hiestand said it's unfair to compare Cave to Kreutz — whom Hiestand considers ''one of the best centers to ever play the game.'' But he acknowledged that Cave has the passion for the game and a similar dual personality — easy-going off the field, a nasty streak on it — that made Kreutz better than the third-round pick he was in 1998.
''He's a true gentleman off the field, but on the field, he enjoys mixing it up,'' Hiestand said of Cave. ''Some guys do it because that's part of the job. Other guys really enjoy it. He's one of those guys that really enjoys it.''
''Outside of football, I'm a pretty calm guy,'' Cave said. ''I like to hunt and fish and play golf. But once I put that helmet on.
''My pops told me when I was young: 'If you're not going after somebody, they're coming after you.' So I've always played with that chip on my shoulder. I started playing football in the third grade, and I've been the same way ever since.''
There's no test to measure that quality — and how it might translate to NFL success — at the combine. It's up to the NFL teams to figure that out.


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We may be surprised at the people we find in heaven. God has a soft spot for sinners.
- Bishop Desmond Tutu
Is there life after death? Many people would respond with a resounding
yes! It's not just faith that tells them that crossing over is not the end;
it's signs from loved ones who have died, messages that bring
solace and healing. Some describe having a near-death experience
in which they catch a glimpse of heaven.
Their inspiring stories strengthen the belief that a connection
exists between the here and the hereafter, that love never
dies but lasts for eternity.
An unexpected gust of wind brightens the mood at the memorial service for her beloved father.
God allowed this fantastic nurse to know exactly what to do to comfort a child.
God himself speaks to our spirits and lets us know when he is calling us home to heaven.
In the time between earthly and eternal life, God allowed him to see heaven's beauty.
A woman of science is given a glimpse of the afterlife through her near-death experience.
The beautiful vision of a woman, surrounded by love, who was close to death.
Close to death, she was smiling at someone her nurse could not see.
She was having her glimpses of heaven here on earth.
God allowed this faith-filled man to find comfort in the prayers of his ancestors.
"When I know she is safe in heaven, I will leave too."
One of the amazing ways God brings comfort to those near death.
A woman is devastated by the sudden death of her husband.
When God calls us home, he puts steppingstones to heaven right in front of us.
What a blessing that when we are close to death, God grants us moments of peace and comfort.


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He Assumes Youre Into it
Lots of guys get turned on by looking at naked pics, so he figures youll be excited by the same thing. Whether you find the photo funny, flirty, or downright freaky, know that being completely shocked is a totally normal reaction. It can be jarring for such an intimate shot to pop up on your phone, but whatever you do, resist the urge to forward with an OMG! to your BFF. Just deleting it will protect you both from drama at school or with parentsmaybe even from trouble with the law.
He Wants Props
Just like girls, guys need reassurance that theyre desirable. So those pics may be his way of fishing for a compliment. But dont feel pressured to say you like it. If your crush sends a shot that makes you uncomfortable, try texting, Awesome photog skills, but Id rather get a shot of your cute smile.


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On the 50th anniversary of Silent Spring's publication, a best-selling historian shows the extent to which John Kennedy and his administration defended Rachel Carson's controversial work against the chemical industry's onslaught.
One of John F. Kennedy's favorite books was Henry David Thoreau's Cape Cod, published in 1865. When in Washington, D.C., Kennedy, a yachtsman, always craved the Cape Cod winds and turbulent Atlantic waves. He restored his health sailing the Nantucket Sound waters around sandbars and shoals. The elemental forces of the sea helped Kennedy cope with the pain of Addison's disease and cleared his mind of the clutter of retail politics. Kennedy understood exactly what Thoreau meant when the naturalist wrote about the Cape that "a man can stand there and put all of America behind him."
On his bookshelf in Hyannis Port, alongside Cape Cod, sat two books by Rachel Carson: The Sea Around Us and The Edge of the Sea. When it came to conservation, only marine-related issues regularly caught Kennedy's attention. In awe of the millions of shore, sea, and marsh birds that used the Cape as a stopover during their seasonal migrations, Kennedy, a Massachusetts Audubon Society supporter, wanted to make sure that the shoreline remained unsullied by industrialization. In this spirit, on September 3, 1959, Kennedy, then a member of the U.S. Senate, cosponsored the Cape Cod National Seashore bill with his Republican colleague Leverett Saltonstall. As a longtime resident of Hyannis Port, Kennedy had no detailed knowledge of the lower Cape area, but he routinely flew over it in helicopters as the seashore legislation circulated through Congress.
Running for president in 1960, Kennedy advocated saving seashores as wildlife refuges and recreational areas. Supreme Court Justice William O. Douglas, a New Dealer and close Kennedy family friend, set the tone and tenor of JFK's burgeoning environmentalism when he intoned at a Wilderness Conference in San Francisco that the "preservation of values which technology will destroy . . . is indeed the new frontier."
Biologist Rachel Carson, working feverishly on her eco-manifesto Silent Spring throughout 1960, considered July 15--when Kennedy delivered his acceptance speech after winning the Democratic nomination for president and called for a "New Frontier" to reinvigorate the progressive, can-do spirit of America--a gold-starred day. Most political pundits heard only Kennedy's vigorous lines about outfoxing the Soviet Union in the Cold War. But Kennedy--who had championed the Wilderness Bill that would eventually be signed into law by Lyndon Johnson, supported expanding bird sanctuaries and advocated the creation of new protected national seashores--offered a promise Carson found irresistible. He called for "mastery of the sky and rain, the oceans and the tides."
Carson knew exactly what Kennedy meant by mastery: empowering biologists to help rescue America from environmental degradation. Certainly since 1945, the White House under Harry Truman and Dwight Eisenhower had been, at the most charitable, uninspiring on the conservation front, causing environmental activists to hope that another Theodore or Franklin D. Roosevelt would appear on the political horizon. Between 1945 and 1960 a string of multi-megaton thermonuclear detonations, all in the name of weapons supremacy vis-a-vis the Soviet Union, had released massive amounts of radioactive fallout in the atmosphere. During the Eisenhower era, America wasn't just the preeminent superpower, it became the world's leading hyper-industrial giant. This brought Americans a lot of economic lifestyle benefits. But it came at a high cost. The oceans were dying. Rainwater was unsafe to drink. "To dispose first and investigate later is an invitation to disaster," Carson wrote around the time of Kennedy's acceptance speech, "for once radioactive elements have been deposited at sea they are irretrievable. The mistakes that are made now are made for all time."
Besides sounding the Paul Revere alarm about the pesticide DDT in Silent Spring, Carson also promoted nuclear non-proliferation, even dedicating the book to Albert Schweitzer, who had won the Nobel Peace Prize in 1952 for his efforts to end the atomic arms race. Carson, one of the best marine biologists alive, feared the oceans would be poisoned beyond redemption in the coming decades, and that a point of no return was fast approaching. The thought of Kennedy in the White House--a new Roosevelt--lifted her hopes that aboveground nuclear testing would be banned. (Her dream came true in August 1963, when Kennedy signed the Limited Nuclear Test Ban Treaty with the United Kingdom and the Soviet Union.)
In the spring of 1960 Carson, even while struggling with breast cancer, viral pneumonia, and ulcers, had signed up to be a New Frontier foot soldier in solidarity with the Kennedy family and Justice Douglas. Only her assistant Jeanne Davis understood how debilitating her health problems were. This was Carson's big secret. As Linda Lear stressed in Witness to Nature, Carson had to conceal her illness, even wearing a wig when her hair started falling out during chemotherapy, for fear of the chemical companies attacking her Silent Spring research by saying, "She's dying of cancer and wants to blame the pesticides."
Propped up on pillows at her home in Silver Spring, Maryland, trying to heal, working away on her Silent Spring manuscript, Carson managed to find time to volunteer for Kennedy's campaign. In the weeks leading up to Kennedy's nomination, Carson served on the Natural Resources Committee of the Democratic Advisory Council. She hoped that in late 1962, when Silent Spring would be published, Kennedy would occupy the White House, leading a mainstream effort to slay the dual dragons of pollution: radioactive and chemical contamination of the environment. The advisory council embraced Carson's anti-pollution ideas. Her dear friend Pare Lorentz, a film producer, wrote the council's far-reaching report on pollution control, with input from Carson. They recommended that Kennedy, if elected, create a Bureau of Environmental Health within the U.S. Public Health Service. Carson envisioned this prototype for the Environmental Protection Agency wielding regulatory jurisdiction over "our one imperative resource: the environment in which all of us live." Kennedy received the Lorentz report--titled "Resources for the People"--that October.
In the fall of 1960 most outdoors enthusiasts considered themselves conservationists. But Carson, using the advisory council as a bully pulpit, turned the public debate toward a new environmentalism, one properly informed of the perils of mass chemical usage. The monumentalism of Theodore Roosevelt (who protected such American wonders as the Grand Canyon and Crater Lake) and the conservation ethos of FDR (who planted trees and expanded wildlife refuges) were great accomplishments. But Carson wanted to connect the movement to public health. No longer would conservation be a cult of birdwatchers, fair-chase hunters, and outdoor recreationalists. The new ecological awareness would extend to every mom and dad striving to protect their children's precious health. Nobody wanted to give their child cow's milk containing dangerous levels of strontium-90 or serve fish contaminated with toxic mercury. "Ecology" became the new buzzword.
That October, while Kennedy read the council's report, his wife, Jacqueline, invited Carson to join the Women's Committee for New Frontiers. Not only did Carson accept, but she also met with the future first lady at the Kennedys' Georgetown home. This wasn't a garden club Carson was joining; it was the brain trust of the smartest women in the Democratic Party. Word spread among the liberal Washington doyennes--including Evangeline Bruce (wife of the famed diplomat David K.E. Bruce), former First Lady Eleanor Roosevelt, and former Secretary of Labor Frances Perkins--that Carson was writing about how the residue of insecticides and pesticides had been discovered in soil and water all over America. Mrs. Kennedy was pregnant with John, her baby due in December, and the mere thought that pesticides might have a genetic effect on her unborn child would have been harrowing to her.
On November 4, Kennedy beat Vice President Richard Nixon and was elected the 35th U.S. president. Carson was overjoyed. It heartened her that Kennedy, shortly before winning, issued a statement saying, "We must restore our own woodlands as a source of strength for the Nation's future. . . . The Nation should set aside shoreline recreational refuges, and ranges must be protected to serve the purposes to which they are dedicated without interference by commercial exploitation." Perhaps now the federal government would address her crusade against pesticides and nuclear fallout in a more pronounced, regulatory way.
For most of 1961 Carson continued slaving away on Silent Spring. She was ecstatic that Kennedy, the lover of the great Atlantic Ocean, had pushed to create new national seashores at Cape Cod (Massachusetts), Padre Island (Texas), and Point Reyes (California). In June of 1961 Elbert N. Carvel, the Democratic governor of Delaware, tried to hinder the creation of the Prime Hook National Wildlife Refuge--considered one of the preeminent stopover sites for migratory shorebirds in the fall and spring. Kennedy wrote him a threatening letter, demanding that he "retract his objections." In 1963, under the authority of the Migratory Bird Conservation Act, the president established Prime Hook--located on the west shore of Delaware Bay--as a national wildlife refuge.
After Carson completed Silent Spring in early 1962, she once again hitched her wagon to the star of the New Frontier. With The New Yorker slated to run the first excerpt of Silent Spring in its June 16 issue, Carson went on a pre-publication alliance-building charge. She attended a White House conference on conservation convened at President Kennedy's request. Still receiving cancer radiation treatments, Carson asked two key female allies to accompany her to the conference: Ruth Scott (a Pennsylvania conservationist and friend) and Nicki Wilson (an Interior Department publicist). "This is not an easy book to tell people about," Carson's editor at Houghton Mifflin had warned. "We are going to have to work up something of a crusade--on a local level--if we are to reach a really wide audience."
Carson could have brought anybody with her to meet the Kennedys. The fact that she chose a publicist and a tireless Democratic Party networker shows how Carson was gearing up for the inevitable blowback that Silent Spring was bound to receive from the chemical industry, agribusiness behemoths, and other deep-pocketed polluters. Scott made sure that Carson interacted with Secretary of the Interior Stewart Udall and Sierra Club Director David Brower at the White House. Justice Douglas, Kennedy's number one unofficial adviser on all things conservation, had read an advance galley of Silent Spring just before the White House conference. Carson was getting her high-powered advocacy ducks in a row. On May 27, shortly before The New Yorker excerpt ran, Paul Knight, a close adviser to Interior Secretary Udall, met with Carson to strategize on how the Kennedy administration and Carson could work in tandem to bring maximum publicity to Silent Spring.
The new frontier was now fully behind the Carson environmental zeitgeist. President Kennedy himself--after reading The New Yorker excerpt along with the first lady--wanted Carson defended from the onslaught of abuse that Big Chemical would hurl her way. The administration, in fact, was helping to publicize Carson's work while simultaneously creating a buffer for the president if her research didn't hold up under peer review. Justice Douglas took the New Frontiersman lead, declaring Silent Spring "the most revolutionary book since Uncle Tom's Cabin." Since the 1950s Douglas and Robert F. Kennedy, the president's brother, had hiked together all over the world, from the Chesapeake & Ohio Canal in Maryland to the outback of Siberia. Justice Douglas was practically an auxiliary member of the Kennedy family. Writing in the Book-of-the-Month Club News about Silent Spring, Douglas threw down a gauntlet impossible to ignore. "This book," he wrote, "is the most important chronicle of this century for the human race. This book is a call for immediate action and for effective control of all merchants of poison."
What companies like American Cyanamid, Velsicol, and Monsanto would soon learn was that the Kennedy administration was setting up Big Chemical as the culprit of the planet's worse environmental desecrations. The New York Times published its first pro-Silent Spring editorial--"Rachel Carson's Warning"--on July 2, 1962. A few weeks later the Times ran a supportive story about Carson called "Silent Spring Is Now Noisy Summer: Pesticide Industry Up in Arms Over a New Book." The die was cast for a king-daddy fight. At a White House news conference, which coincided with Douglas's endorsement of Silent Spring in the Book-of-the-Month Club News, President Kennedy offered Carson his imprimatur--to a degree. While too smart a politician to embrace all of Carson's research, Kennedy made clear that his administration took Silent Spring seriously. Because of "Miss Carson's book," Kennedy said in a televised press conference, the Department of Agriculture and the Public Health Service had launched a full-blown investigation into whether pesticides caused illnesses in humans. What a daring thing for Kennedy to do, the equivalent of Theodore Roosevelt embracing muckraking novelist Upton Sinclair's The Jungle (a searing indictment of unsanitary Chicago meatpacking plants that led to the passage of the 1906 Pure Food and Drug Act). Kennedy was using Silent Spring to help push the Democratic Advisory Council's 1960 agenda to combat pollution by connecting old-style conservation to the new-style environmentalism that called for the protection of earth, air, and water (and all creatures dwelling therein).
The day after the White House press event, Kennedy announced the establishment of a special panel of the President's Science Advisory Committee (PSAC), headed by the highly respected Dr. Jerome B. Wiesner, to study various health and environmental questions about pesticide use. The hullabaloo over Silent Spring allowed Kennedy to go on the offensive against chemical polluters. Most other presidents would have gone into duck-and-cover mode because of Carson. But Silent Spring served Kennedy's goal of saving wetland habitats along the Atlantic coast and having the U.S. government regulate the toxic pesticide sprays beloved by huge agricultural concerns. Although Kennedy didn't want to be an alarmist, he didn't mind a fellow New Frontier intellectual--like Carson--leading the gallant charge.
When Silent Spring was at last published in book form on September 27, 1962, the chemical industry went ballistic. Kennedy instantly became Public Enemy No. 1 for propping up Silent Spring as worthy of serious attention. The National Agricultural Chemicals Association rushed its propaganda booklet "Fact and Fancy" into print. The nub of the counterattack was that Mr. Fancy (a.k.a. Kennedy) was an East Coast elite who yachted frivolously around Cape Cod, his treasured national seashore, while allowing DDT manufacturers to be unjustly vilified. The association warned that factory shutdowns would mean thousands of lost jobs. When Kennedy awarded Dr. Frances Oldham Kelsey--a Food and Drug Administration scientist--a public service gold medal for discovering that thalidomide (a sedative frequently prescribed to pregnant women) caused deformities in babies, the pharmaceutical industry likewise felt blindsided. "It is all of a piece," Carson told The New York Post, "thalidomide and pesticides--they represent our willingness to rush ahead and use something new without knowing what the results are going to be."
In June 1962, National Audubon Society President Carl Buchheister had read a galley of Silent Spring just as The New Yorker installment was running, and decided to back Carson. Lawyers from Velsicol lobbed veiled threats at John Vosburgh (Audubon's editor) and Charles Callison (assistant to the NAS president) over lunch, warning them to beware of associating with Carson. Big Chemical was gearing up to blast her out of the water. Bravely, Vosburgh and Callison ignored the Velsicol bullying, though they were fearful of lawsuits. Audubon published an excerpt of Silent Spring and criticized, in an editorial, Velsicol's pesticide programs (though it didn't entirely endorse Carson's argument).
Furthermore, Audubon Society branches in different cities and states banded together to serve as refuges for Carson throughout the summer and fall of 1962. Fighting a kind of guerrilla war against Big Chemical, Carson spent time at the Audubon Camp in Maine and attended a book signing at the Audubon Society in Washington, D.C. Roland Clement, vice president of Audubon and a staff biologist, publicly embraced Carson's Silent Spring research; others at the nonprofit, more timid, expressed varied doubts. In September 1963, Audubon courageously reprinted a Carson lecture about New England wildflowers as "Rachel Carson Answers Her Critics." But National Audubon never supported a ban on DDT. Instead, the nonprofit simply gave Carson's defense real estate in its own organ of reform.
Not that Audubon was taking much of a risk. The Great Debate over Silent Spring ended in Carson's favor on May 15, 1963, when President Kennedy's 46-page President's Science Advisory Committee report--titled "Use of Pesticides"--was made public. (It might as well have been called "Rachel Carson Wins.") Although the report wasn't definitive concerning any human health concerns about pesticides, it did contain a bombshell recommendation to increase public education about the biological hazards of pesticides. It was as if WARNING had been stamped on every page. "Until the publication of Silent Spring by Rachel Carson, people were generally unaware of the toxicity of pesticides," the PSAC report stated. "The Government should present this information to the public in a way that will make it aware of the dangers while recognizing the value of pesticides."
Carson had three aims in writing Silent Spring: creating an enduring work of literature on par with The Sea Around Us; alerting the public to the health dangers of pesticides; and forcing the U.S. government to regulate the chemical industry more stringently. That May she accomplished all three goals. The wheels of Congress now started turning in her direction. Senator Abraham Ribicoff of Connecticut demanded subcommittee hearings, which started the very day after the PSAC report came out. Secretary Udall heralded Carson as a "far-sighted and alert writer [who] has awakened the Nation." Having achieved her goals, Carson headed north to rock-ribbed Maine for the summer. With her friend Dorothy Freeman she relaxed, watching the advancing and retreating tides from an oceanfront deck. She enjoyed the diving terns, nesting parula warblers, and scavenging gulls more than ever before, though radiation treatments had ravaged her body and shrunken her frame. When summer ended, Carson headed back to Silver Spring. Awaiting her on her desk was a letter from the National Audubon Society, informing Carson that it was awarding her its highest honor for conservation achievement. More than 500 dinner guests attended the award ceremony at the Hotel Roosevelt in New York on December 3, 1963. "Conservation is a cause that has no end," she said in her acceptance speech. "There is no point at which we will say 'our work is finished.' "
President Kennedy had been killed in Dallas just 11 days earlier. Carson mourned for months. But as solace, the New Frontier regulatory attitude toward the use of pesticides and other chemicals had taken hold of the national psyche. The Kennedy-Carson vision of an America with "mastery of the sky and rain, the oceans and the tides" lived on in Lyndon Johnson's Great Society, igniting the grassroots modern environmental movement that would bring us such landmark legislation as the Clean Air Act, the National Environmental Policy Act, and the Endangered Species Act--all signed into law by President Richard Nixon.
Suffering terribly from myriad illnesses, Carson died on April 14, 1964. In the same way Abraham Lincoln was forever tied by history to Harriet Beecher Stowe and Theodore Roosevelt to Upton Sinclair, so, too, had Carson been linked to Kennedy's New Frontier conservation. There is no shortage of conflicting opinions about the controversial DDT analysis in Silent Spring. But no one disputes that by 1964 the environmental revolution was on, and Kennedy and Carson were among its John the Baptist figures. Their shared love of the Atlantic seaboard--particularly the migratory shorebird areas from Maine to Virginia--fused together an alliance that uplifted outdoors enthusiasts in all 50 states. "Kennedy loved marine conservation," Udall recalled. "And Carson was his muse."


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Serves 6
If you prefer shaken Martinis, simply fill a cocktail shaker with ice cubes and add half of the liquid ingredients. Shake, and strain into three Martini glasses; repeat with remaining ingredients. (The Rio uses DeKuyper brand Sour Apple Pucker for the schnapps.)
- Ice cubes
- 2 cups sweet-and-sour mix
- 1 1/2 cups vodka
- 1 1/2 cups sweet and sour apple schnapps
- 1 Granny Smith apple, sliced (optional)
Fill pitcher halfway with ice cubes. Add sweet-and-sour mix, vodka and Sour Apple Pucker and stir well to combine. Push apple slices onto rims of Martini glasses, if desired. Strain mixture into Martini glasses and serve immediately.
my notes
- Calories418
- Carbohydrates41 g (14%)
- Fat0 g (0%)
- Protein0 g (0%)
- Saturated Fat0 g (0%)
- Sodium94 mg (4%)
- Polyunsaturated Fat0 g
- Monounsaturated Fat0 g
- Cholesterol0


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Born November 17, 1939, to Edmond Carroll and Mingnon Mann Coghlan in a primitive cabin near the Mississippi River levee in western Bolivar County, he attended Benoit School, graduating as valedictorian of the class of 1957. He spent four years in the U.S. Air Force, serving in Germany and Alaska.
Following his military service he graduated from Delta State College in Cleveland and retired from Gaines Oil Co. in Cleveland.
For the past two years he lived near Nashville, N.C., near his son Will.
He was always cheerful and his smiles and storytelling will long be missed.
He was prceded in death by his parents, a son Thomas Allen Coghlan Jr.; and two sisters Audrey Horn and Helen Nokes.
Tommy is survived by three children Teresa Coghlan Tucker of Pace, Fla., Will Coghlan, Nashville, N.C., and Leigh Coghlan Pickering, Asheville, N.C.; six granddaughters, Courtney, Torey, Hailey and Anna Grace Tucker, Greyson and Caitlin Coghlan; two sisters Judith Coghlan Lewis of Nesbit and Carolyn Coghlan Gremillion of Madison; four brothers Edmund "Pete" Coghlan of Georgia, Charles Coghlan of Benoit, Gene Coghlan, Ill., and James Coghlan, Louisianna; and many nieces and nephews.
A memorial celebration will be held Saturday, December 21, 2013, at Momeyer Baptist Church in North Carolina.
In lieu of flowers, donations may be made to the Health and Hope Clinic Olive Baptist Church, 9999 Chemstrand Rd Pensacola, FL 32514 or www.healthandhopeclinic.org/donate or Momeyer Baptist Church Children's Ministry 4967 Momeyer Way 27856.
Online guestbook may be viewed and signed at www.clevelandfuneralhome.net


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The Office of the Vice President for Administration, is responsible for the stewardship, planning, policy development and communication among the broad range of critical services and functions that report to the EVP to ensure timely, cost-effective, high-quality support to a variety of stakeholders.
The VP also participates in the university's strategic initiative that will develop well-crafted imperatives for achieving more efficient utilization of existing physical, financial, technological and human resources across a broad spectrum and collaborates to identify opportunities to implement improved business processes that increase effectiveness, flexibility and responsiveness while maintaining accountability.
The Vice President for Administration provides leadership, planning and coordination to the University's administrative operations to develop and maintain optimal support of the University's mission and goals. As a member of the Executive Vice President's staff, the Vice President for Administration participates in strategic planning to ensure that the University is a preeminent provider of critical services and functions to the NYU community.
A. Steven Donofrio
Chief of Staff & Vice President


text:
Queerty is better as a member
I guess the kids still turn out. Memories of Studio 54 abound! Ice Palace 57, Danceteria, Xenon, Limelight, The Saint (bow down!), Palladium, Bonds, Mudd Club and all the others which led the charge!
Need an account? Register It's free and easy.
PHOTOS: Costumed Hunks Get Into La Leche Halloween in New York City
Meet The Adorable Boyfriend Duo That Dresses CFDA Icon Of The Year Rihanna
PHOTOS: Vintage Fashion Ads From The 1980s
PHOTOS: Uptown, Downtown and Upside Down at the New York Boylesque Festival
PHOTOS: Gay Cowboys Lasso The American West


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max bill automatic watch
by JUNGHANS
Ideas, innovation and design have a long heritage at Junghans. Junghans was founded in Schramberg, Germany back in 1861. The company started out specializing in the production of individual components for watch-making and after becoming renowned for quality, it began making its own watches in 1866. The registration of the Junghans trademark, the 8-point star, in 1890 marked the start of an era: Junghans watches became globally popular timepieces which were accessible to all. From the early 1900's to the 1960's, Junghans watches were described as ahead of their time. Throughout it's 150 years of "made in Germany" heritage, Junghans has kept quality, passion and flawless precision as it's core values. The unique combination of traditional watchmaking craft, the pursuit of innovations, and a fusing of modernity and tradition shape the work of Junghans today.
Back To Product View All From This DesignerMen's Size Chart
Product Details
German manufacturers of quality and precision timepieces for over 150 years, The Junghans x Max Bill collection consists of classic great looking designs from over 50 years ago and is still a favorite today. This signature watch has a stainless steel case with a SICRALAN coated convex hard plexiglass crystal. Luminous hands, date window display. 25-Jewel automatic movement with bi-directional winding underneath. White dial, calfskin strap, stainless steel hardware buckle.
• J800.1 movement
• 38mm width excluding crown
• automatic winding mechanism
• power reserve up to 38 hours
• water resistant
• made in Germany


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Apple iPad VS. Android Tablet: At Work and at Home
Mar 14, 2012 9:37 AM, By Jason Bovberg
Tablet computing is the wave of the future. Which one is best for your connected environment?
Suppose you take your new iPad to work in order to make a presentation. You need to connect your device to a large display for the meeting. Do you have the right device for that task? After all, the iPad is notorious for its lack of traditional connectivity ports. Although it has the typical, proprietary 30-pin Apple dock connector, it lacks Ethernet and USB ports, which are considered near-essential in modern business scenarios. The only way to connect an iPad to an external projector is to buy an optional accessory, the Apple Digital AV Adapter or VGA adapter—not exactly a convenient solution in the workaday world. But it does blast everything that the iPad is displaying, not just digital video but also the iOS interface and whatever apps you're using.
This adapter is new to iPad 2, suggesting that Apple is open to the notion of expansion capabilities. Only after customers clamored for such options as integrated USB, SD, and HDMI ports did Apple incorporate the proprietary dongle. But one area where the iPad did not evolve from version 1 to 2 was screen size and resolution. Both the iPad and iPad 2 feature an admittedly glossy but non-HD, 1024x768-pixel, non-widescreen 10in. display. The iPad 2 still isn't compatible with Flash. If your business needs to visit websites that support Flash components, you're out of luck. As this article goes to press, rumors are floating that the iPad 3 will include a redesigned, smaller dock connector, posing a problem for existing third-party products that use that dock, even though it will still be a 30-pin port. Although the iPad 3 appears to be headed for the same size screen, resolution is said to be improved for the new device, which should boast a 2048x1536 retina display. There are even rumors of 3D display technology coming to the iPad—with no glasses, thanks to the device's gyroscope sensor and head-tracking camera software. Finally, we're encouraged by the recent news from OnLive (www.onlive.com), which presents an interesting solution to the Flash problem. OnLive Desktop is a third-party thin-client computing solution that can stream a Windows desktop and full Adobe Flash capability to the iPad.
Another important business area in which the iPad suffers is storage expansion, thanks to its paucity of connectivity options; with the iPad, you get only the storage you initially pay (a premium price) for.
The idea, of course, is who needs storage when you have the cloud? In theory, the cloud holds all your data and media wirelessly in offsite storage, and you can access all that stuff from any device, from any location. You never have to synchronize, and you never have to back anything up. Unfortunately, Apple's cloud solution, called iCloud, remains a work in progress. In its current iteration, it's needlessly complicated and chaotic. It's difficult to configure, and users complain about missing or confusing functionality. In short, iCloud is frustrating from a company that prides itself on the aforementioned "It just works" philosophy. The iCloud solution still seems like the wave of the future, but it's not quite there yet. And when it is there, will it really make sense to let Apple house and serve all your content in a proprietary Apple cloud?
One piece of functionality that the iPad has down to a science is video chat. An evolution from iChat, FaceTime is an excellent video-calling solution (great for work and home) that is a feature-rich yet user-friendly feature of the OS. As you might have guessed, FaceTime's limiting feature is that it can connect only with other FaceTime devices.
Not surprisingly, the iPad also requires that you buy a separate adapter for importing your photos from a digital camera or SD card. The iPad Camera Connection Kit comes with two connectors that plug into the iPad's dock connector port: One takes SD cards, and the other is the Camera Connector.
Acceptable Use Policy blog comments powered by Disqus


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How To Contact Spirits Angels And The Departed DVD
Item# 84-0809
Steve Murray
Led by spiritualist, Reiki master and hypnotherapist Steve Murray, this program is a step-by-step guide for those who want to learn how to prepare for spiritual connections. Covers how spirits communicate, why you should contact them, what to expect, how to reach pet spirits, and much more. 30 minutes
Print30 minutes.


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Are there some foods you only eat in the the winter or summer? I know some people reserve their cold snacks for summertime, but for me, I can eat ice cream any season. This is why I was cruising the freezer aisle in Target the other day where Kemps Strawberries 'n Cream Frozen Yogurt Parfaitcaptured my attention. I decided to forgo my usual (low fat Slow Churned) ice cream treat and try this instead. Kemps says their frozen yogurt is, "full of rich and creamy flavor with less fat and fewer calories than ice cream" - I was definitely looking forward to digging into this when I got home.
I popped open the Strawberries 'n Cream Parfait later that night and gazed at a creation that resembled something from a local FroYo Shop. After experiencing the delight of the first spoonful, I felt like I was in dessert heaven. The topping was a combination of chopped frozen strawberries and strawberry glaze and eneath the firm, red topping was a fluffy, yet smooth layer of frozen yogurt (a very thick layer no less). The "strawberry frozen yogurt" was like a combination of strawberry ice cream and whipped cream - just too tasty for words . Furthermore, the fairly big container makes me feel like I am devouring a whole pint of sinful ice cream. Talk about deception!
Each 6 ounce cup of Kemps Strawberries 'n Cream Frozen Yogurt Parfait provides 150 delicious calories, 2% & 5% of the daily value for total ans saturated fat, 22 grams of sugars and 3 grams of protein. The ingredient list (which contains live and active cultures) starts off with nonfat milk and continues with a short list of other components (mostly sugars including high fructose corn syrup).
I paid $0.99 for a 6 ounce container of Kemps Frozen Yogurt Parfait. While I loved the taste, the amount of sugar means that this will only be an occasional treat.


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- Vinaigrette
- 1 can kidney beans, rinsed and drained
- Raw zucchini, sliced
- Raw mushrooms, sliced
- Mixed salad greens
- Hard-boiled eggs
- Tomatoes
- Olives
- Anchovies
- Chunks of tuna or other fish
- Chopped parsley
Marinate kidney beans, zucchini, and mushrooms in vinaigrette for 20 to 30 minutes.
At serving time, toss mixed salad greens in a bowl with vinaigrette and arrange around the edges of a large serving dish. Mound the beans in the center, and decorate base with groups of marinated mushrooms and zucchini interspersed with hard-boiled eggs, tomatoes, olives, anchovies, chunks of tuna or other fish.
Pour a bit more vinaigrette over all, sprinkle with chopped parsley or other herbs, and serve with French bread and a chilled rosé wine.
The French Chef Cookbook
Ballantine Books


text:
Floral Stamp Measuring Spoons
Act fast! Items with prices ending in $0.99 are final sale.
No longer available
Put a stamp on it. Inspired by botanical-pressed ceramics, which have been produced for hundreds of years, our Floral Stamp Measuring Spoons have flowers imprinted onto them. The subtle touch adds just the right amount of crafty feel to the glazed stoneware.
Glazed stoneware in Yellow.
5"w x 1.8"d x 1"h.
Includes 1 tbsp, 1 tsp, 1/2 tsp and 1/4 tsp.
Dishwasher and microwave safe.


text:
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- advancedslots1_flightzone.40d3a7b3fae72091b79e1759db110c70.dll
- pdfdm.dll


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The skin of individuals with rosacea has a greater sensitivity to heat, according to a recent study in the Journal of the American Academy of Dermatology.
Patients with rosacea "often complain of increased skin sensitivity and frequently describe a burning sensation," said Dr. Daniela Guzman-Sanchez and colleagues of the Wake Forest University School of Medicine. They noted that although this heightened sensitivity is well recognized in practice, there had been no formal research on the phenomenon.


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The 91th IIC was held in Bishkek, capital city of Kyrgyzstan from the 18thto 20thof April 2014.
The Seminar was conducted by Grand Master Hector Marano and Grand Master Kim Lan Ung with participation of Master Paul Weiler. In the IIC participated 104 people from Kyrgyzstan and 3 persons from Moldova. 9 of the participants were 4thdegrees and higher, the others were red belts and 1st, 2ndand 3rddegree black belts. The First day on 18thof April the IIC began at 15.00 and ended at 20.00. On the Second day the 19th of April the course was divided into two parts, from 9.00 to 13.00, and from 14.00 to 16.00. During the third day of the seminar lasted from 9.00 to 13.00. At the end of the seminar every participant completed the questionnaires about the IIC and the feedback was very positive.
...Read moreOn the, 4th 5th and 6th of April the ITF´s 90th IIC was held in Santiago de Chile
This was the first time an IIC took place in Chile, so there was a great expectation before the event was held. The course was a great success, gathering 180 participants and not just only from Chile, the host country, but from the neighbouring countries Argentina, Bolivia and Peru, as well as delegations from Uruguay and Paraguay.
The Grand Masters Hector Marano and Wim Bos, the ITF Technical Committee, developed the essential content of the IIC, with an excellent reception and active participation of the attendees at the course, thus reflecting the interest of Chile and the other countries to continue growing in the practice of Taekwon-Do, under the best standards.
...Read moreThe 3rd ITF seminar in Mozambique was again organized by Mr. Joel dos Santos (ITF President Mozambique/2nd degree) in Matola and Maputo. Due to his connections also two black belts from Zimbabwe (M. Rhichard Mashanje and Definate Nyunda) participated the entire week (March 17thto 22nd) together with one representative from Malawi (Mr. Prince Litete). Malawi will be country no. 8 and Zimbabwe country no. 9 in our ITF on the African Continent (the no. 9 was a very important no. for General Choi).
...Read moreJamaica is in preparation to host the 5th World Cup of Taekwon-Do on August 27-30, 2014 in Montego Bay Jamaica, at the Rose Hall Convention Centre. Master Alberto Katz visited the island of Jamaica to conduct a scheduled visit (on behalf of the ITF Tournament & Umpire committee) to confirm final competition hall technical discussions and final facility inspections. Master Katz arrived on Friday March 21, 2014. Meetings were held with the 2014 World Cup Organizing committee members. Visit of the championship Venue and Hotels were carried out. The Jamaica 2014 World Cup Organizing Committee and International Taekwon-do Federation are in high gear in preparing for this Major championship.
...Read moreThe Official Registration for the ITF World Cup in Jamaica is now open. Follow this link for the registration site: http://wcup2014.pztkd.lublin.pl/registration.php
Each Country/Club participating must first apply for a log in to be able to access the site and enter their participants.
Preparations for the event which takes place in Montego Bay Jamaica from August 26th to 30th are well under way. For more information including hotel packages please follow this link; http://wcup2014.pztkd.lublin.pl/registration.php
...Read more70 participants from Colombia, Perú, Puerto Rico and USA, attended the 89th International Instructor Course held in Bogota, Colombia , from the 7th to the 9th of March 2014. The course, which was led by Grand Masters Hector Marano and Ung Kim Lan, was very dynamic and full of great teaching . The course leaders guided the particpants through each pattern in detail, from Chon -Ji to Tong- Il clarifying each of the doubts of the participants and emphasizing the "why" or the application of each movement, so that everyone understood the purpose and method involved.
...Read moreThe ITF Tournament Committee and ITF Umpire Committee in liaison with Grandmaster Bos have now updated the Official ITF World Cup Rules. Please follow this link: http://tkd-itf.org/pagina.php?idpag=1169&web=47&lng=3 to download the rules. It is very important that all competitors, coaches officials and umpires are familiar with the updated rules so that everyone can perform to the best of their ability regardless of their role. Please distribute the updated rules to your members. The link also provides the rules and regulations for ITF World Championships, Scoring Procedures, approved clothing, etc.
The next ITF World Cup takes place from August 26th to 30th 2014 in Montego Bay, Jamaica. Please follow this link for the official website and to keep up to date with the event: http://www.itfworldcup2014.com
We look forward to seing you there for what is going to be a wonderful event in an amazing location.
...Read moreThe ITF are very happy to announce two new resources for our members.
Firstly the new Official Umpire Attire for International Umpires. This new suit will be available to all International Umpires who represent their country at the ITF World Championships. All those who umpired at the last World Championships in Spain will receive their new suit at the upcoming European Championships in Italy or directly through their NA/AA.
Secondly the English version of the IIC book is ready to be launched, this book authored by Grandmasters Trajtenberg, Marano and Bos is going to be an excellent resource for our members. The book was launched last year in Spanish and has been very popular in Spanish speaking nations. The highly anticipated English version will be available from April 1st by emailing firstname.lastname@example.com. You can email now to pre-order your book. Copies will also be available at the upcoming European Championships.
These exciting new resources add to the professionalism and service the ITF strives to offer its members.
...Read moreDear ITF community:
We know that children today have become one of the most important sources of our teaching and that; moreover, those who are training in the future will certainly send their own children to practice Taekwon-Do ITF.
That is why we strive for excellence in the teaching of children.
I have the honour to present the latest work done by the Committee for Child Development, which is the new web site and which is in the first stages of it's development. It can be accessed through the official website of the ITF or directly at www.tkd-kids.org
...Read more


text:
George Wyth State Park will remain closed through the holiday weekend due to flooding from the Cedar River.
The DNR will provide status updates as part of the message on the park phone system at 319-232-5505.
The park could potentially reopen for day use activities on Monday if there is no additional rainfall in the Cedar River watershed. The campground will likely remain closed until Wednesday to allow floodwater to recede and electricians to check the electrical boxes.
All reservations for the days affected will be offered full refunds.
For more information, contact Greg Van Fosson, State Parks District Supervisor, Iowa Department of Natural Resources, 515-571-4010


text:
After a long while i checked CRICKETPLUS channel and the volume level for this channel also was low..but not bad as NDTV
It's coming through perfectly fine over here. Just watching the replay of Sri Lanka vs. England 2nd ODI right now and no problems with it. Cool thing this, being able to watch Sri Lanka vs. England on CricketPlus as well as India vs. Australia and Pakistan vs. South Africa on Zee Sports America. This is way cool.


text:
The Global Intelligence Files,
files released so far...
Index pages
by Date of Document
Our Partners
Al Akhbar - Lebanon
Al Masry Al Youm - Egypt
Asia Sentinel - Hong Kong
Bivol - Bulgaria
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La Repubblica - Italy
La Jornada - Mexico
La Nacion - Costa Rica
Malaysia Today - Malaysia
McClatchy - United States
Nawaat - Tunisia
NDR/ARD - Germany
Owni - France
Pagina 12 - Argentina
Philip Dorling - Fairfax media contributor - Australia
Plaza Publica - Guatemala
Publica - Brazil
Publico.es - Spain
Rolling Stone - United States
Russian Reporter - Russia
Ta Nea - Greece
Taraf - Turkey
The Hindu - India
The Yes Men - Bhopal Activists
Sunday Star-Times - New Zealand
Community resources
courage is contagious
The Global Intelligence Files
On Monday February 27th, 2012, WikiLeaks began publishing The Global Intelligence Files, over five million e-mails from the Texas headquartered "global intelligence" company Stratfor. The e-mails date between July 2004 and late December 2011. They reveal the inner workings of a company that fronts as an intelligence publisher, but provides confidential intelligence services to large corporations, such as Bhopal's Dow Chemical Co., Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Raytheon and government agencies, including the US Department of Homeland Security, the US Marines and the US Defence Intelligence Agency. The emails show Stratfor's web of informers, pay-off structure, payment laundering techniques and psychological methods.
Re: geopolitical weekly
Released on 2012-10-12 10:00 GMT
Email-ID | 2793721 |
Date | 2011-10-24 17:37:54 |
From | firstname.lastname@example.com |
To | email@example.com |
List-Name | email@example.com |
On 10/24/11 10:03 AM, Bayless Parsley wrote:
"World War II was nice" hahaha. This was a great piece.
Libya and Iraq: The Price of Success
This was a week in which announcements about the ends of wars was the
major theme. More precisely, in a week when the European crisis
continued building, it was what the White House publicly focused on.
The Libyan conflicted was said to have ended with the death of Muammar
Gadhafi and excitement about a new democratic Libya abounded. In Iraq,
the White House turned the refusal of the Iraqi government to permit
U.S. troops to remain, as a deliberate decision by Washington rather
than a rebuff. In both cases there was an identical sense of "mission
accomplished." In neither case was the matter nearly as clear cut as
that. Indeed, in the case of one of them, the withdrawal raises
enormous strategic complexities rather than closure. In the case of the
other, Libya, the complexities are real, but hardly strategic. Still
the two events share certain characteristics and are instructive.
Let us begin with the lesser event, the death of Muammar Gadhafi. After
seven months of NATO intervention, Gadhafi was killed. When we consider
that the intervention involved far more than air strikes, but included
special forces on the ground targeting for air strikes, training Libyan
troops, managing logistics, overseeing communications, and both planning
and frankly at times organizing and leading the Libyan insurgents in
battle, one would think that NATO-or the major contributors of Britain,
France and the United States-would be able to achieve this goal. What
was interesting was not that he was killed, but that it took so long to
do it. Perhaps this was a strategy designed to prolong the war in order
to minimize casualties. Am assuming you mean avoid intense combat
operations to minimize NATO casualties. As written it that idea doesn't
come across clearly. It is not clear that this strategy succeeded. It
might simply have been that the insurgents were so divided, poorly
trained and incompetent that even with massive NATO intervention, it
took seven months to achieve this goal. But the real question is
precisely what goal NATO thinks it has accomplished with Gadhafi's
death, as satisfying as that might be. The argument you build here
seems to be saying: It took 7 months for NATO to locate and kill Gadhafi
and this was a failure. At the same time, however, you're implying with
the last sentance that his death does not accomplish much. It leaves
the reader wondering if maybe NATO recognized that Gadhafi was not an
important target, so they didn't put all of their resources into the
search. Your assertions appear correct (when has NATO not gone after
the big psychologically important target?), but the wording leaves the
reader confused.
The NTC, the umbrella organization crafted to contain the insurgents, is
in no position to govern Libya by any ideology, let alone through
constitutional democracy. Libya has been government by Gadhafi and his
supporters for forty two years. The only people in the NTC who have any
experience with government gained that experience as ministers and
lesser officials in Gadhafi's government. Some may have switched sides
out of principle, but I suspect that most saw the handwriting on the
wall and defected to save themselves. In any case, while many of these
ex-ministers have been presented by the media as opponents of Gadhafi,
no one served him who was not complicit in his crimes and who didn't not
learn their principles of governance from him.
The problem is that these are the least likely to bring reform to Libya
but the most likely to constitute the core of a new state. They are the
only ones who know what it means to govern. Arrayed around them are a
vast complexity of tribes living in varying degrees of tension and
hostility with each other, and radical Islamists, the number and
capability of which are unknown, but whose access to weapons can be
assumed. And it can also be assumed that many of those weapons, of
various types of lethality, will be on the black market of the region in
short order, if not there already. Knowing the way you choose your
words in these weeklies, I get the sense that you intentionally left
this paragraph devoid of any conclusions. If that was a conscious
decision, cool. If not, note that you posit the NTC leadership is the
"most likely" to constitute the core of a new state, whereas I think the
NTC is going to flame out. They don't have the force required to keep
the country together, and are now having to rely on armed groups in
Tripoli whose loyalty is circumspect. You are right that these guys are
the only ones that know what it means to govern, but they're going to
run into a shit storm in about a month in trying to placate all the
armed groups that want in on the new government.
Add to this Gadhafi's supporters. Gadhafi did not rule for 42 years
without substantial support. The fighting in the past months gave an
indication of the degree of support and its tenacity. The defense of
Sirte could well be describe as fanatical. Gadhafi is dead, but not all
of his supporters. As with the conquest of Baghdad in 2003, what was
unanticipated but should have been was that a variety of groups would
resist the new leaders and wage guerrilla war.
The lesson of Baghdad was that unless overwhelming force was bought to
bear crushing all opposition before and after the conquest, opponents of
occupations by foreigners, as well as those with bones to pick with
others, are quite capable of creating chaos. When we look at the list
of members of the NTC and try to imagine who they cooperate with each
other, and when we consider the number of Gadhafi supporters who are now
desperadoes with little to lose, the path to stable constitutional
democracy runs either through NATO occupation (unofficial of course) or
through a period of intense chaos. The likely path of a degree of NATO
presence sufficient to enrage the Libyan but insufficient to intimidate
Libya is not a strategic country. It is neither large in population nor
geographically pivotal. It does have oil, as everyone likes to point
out, and that makes it appealing. But it is not clear that the presence
of oil increases the tendency toward stability, or actually decreases
increases. When we look back on Iraq, another country with oil, oil
simply became another contentious issue in a galaxy of contentious
In Libya I have a sense of Baghdad in April 2003. People are going to
think you mean a pro-Gadhafi insurgency. The most likely scenario is
more of a Somalia outcome. Not pro-regime remnants but everyone fighting
each other for the scraps. The President's announcement of complete U.S.
withdrawal from Iraq, gives us a sense of what lies at the end of the
tunnel of counter-insurgency. To begin with it must be understood that
total withdrawal was not what Obama wanted. Until just a few weeks
before the announcement, he was looking for ways to keeps some troops in
the Kurdish region. Leon Panetta, as Secretary of Defense, went to Iraq
wanting an agreement to leave a substantial number of troops in Iraq
past the New Year.
There were those in Iraq who were attracted by the idea, but in the end
it failed. It failed because the decision making structure of the Iraqi
government, that emerged from U.S. occupation and the war, is so
fragmented that it has not been able to craft a law on hydrocarbons,
critical to the future of Iraq, and was in no position to reach
consensus or even a coherent majority over the question of continued
presence of foreign troops. It was not that there weren't many who
didn't want the United States there, particularly those concerned about
their fate once the U.S. leaves, among the Kurds and Sunnis. The most
important point is not that the Iraqis decided they did not want troops.
It was that the Iraqi government was in the end too incoherent to reach
any decision.
There is a huge strategic dimension to this. The Iranians have been
developing their influence in Iraq since before 2003. They have not
developed enough power to simply control Iraq. There are too many in
Iraq, even among the Shiites, that distrust Iranian power. Nevertheless
they have substantial influence, not enough to impose policies but
enough to block any policies they really oppose. The Iranians have a
fundamental national security interest in both a weak Iraq and the
withdrawal of American forces, and they had sufficient influence in
Baghdad to make certain American requests to be allowed to stay will be
turned down.
Measuring Iranian influence in Iraq is not easy to do. Much of it
consists of influence and relationships that are not visible, or not
used except in urgent matters. The U.S. has also developed a network of
relationships as have the Saudis, but the U.S. is not particularly good
at developing reliable supporters at the grass roots. The Iranians are
better both because they know the terrain better, and because the price
for double crossing the Iranians is much higher than the U.S. imposes.
This gives the Iranians a more stable platform from which to operate.
As for the Saudis, they have always had two principles. Maintain
influence without generating anti-Saudi feeling. The Saudis have wanted
to have their cake and eat it too. The Iranian position has been more
straightforward in a complex and devious way.
Let us consider what is at stake here. Iran has enough influence to
shape some Iraq policies. With U.S. withdrawal, U.S. allies will have
to accommodate themselves both to Iran and Iran's supporters in the
government simply because there is little other choice for them. Thus
the withdrawal does not create a stable balance of power. It creates a
dynamic in which Iranian influence increases if the Iranians want it
to-and they certainly want it to. Over time, the likelihood of Iraq
needing to accommodate Iranian strategic interests is most likely. The
possibility of an Iranian puppet cannot be ruled out.
Consider Syria. The Assad regime has not fallen. There is no NATO
attacking Syria and it is hard to imagine NATO intervening in a country
bordering Turkey, Iraq, Jordan, Israel and Lebanon. The possibilities
of chaos across the region is too substantial to risk. Gaddafi was
isolated politically and geographically. Syria isn't. Over the past
months the opposition has completely failed in bringing down the Assad
regime. Much of the reports received about Syria originate from
anti-Assad elements outside of Syria, who draw a picture of the
impending collapse of the regime. This simply hasn't happened, in large
part because Assad's military is loyal and well organized and the
opposition is poorly organized and weak. It might have widespread
support but sentiment does not defeat tanks. Just as Gadhafi was on the
verge of victory when NATO intervened, the Syrians do not appear to be
close to collapse.
Syria was close to Iran before the rising. Iran has been the most
supportive of the Syrian regime. If Assad survives this crisis, his
willingness to collaborate with Iran will only intensify. In Lebanon,
Hezbollah, a group supported by the Iranians for decades, is a major
force. Therefore, if the U.S. withdrawal in Iraq results in substantial
Iranian influence in Iraq, and Assad doesn't fall, then the balance of
power in the region completely shifts.
First, Iranian sphere of influence will run along Saudi Arabia's
northern border. Second, its sphere of influence will run along the
length of Turkey's southern border. Finally, Iranian influence will now
directly impact Israel's northern border. Technically that has already
been the case. Say "will increasingly" impact because this is not a new
phenomenon. What the Saudis, Turks and Israelis will do about this is
unclear. How Iran would exploit its position is equally unclear.
Contrary to reputation, they are very cautious in their overt
operations, even if they take risks in their cover operations. Full
military deployment through this region is unlikely for logistical
reasons if nothing else. Still, the potential for such a deployment,
and the reality of increasingly effective political influence
regardless of military movement is strategically significant. The fall
of Assad would create a firebreak for Iranian influence, and but would
possibly lead to a Sunni Islamist regime.
The point here is, of course, that the decision to withdraw from Iraq
and the inability to persuade the Iraqi government to let U.S. forces
remains, has the potential for changing the balance of power in the
region. Rather than closing the book on Iraq, it simply opens a new
chapter in what was always the subtext of Iraq, namely Iranian power.
The civil war in Iraq that followed the fall of Saddam had many
dimension, but its most strategically important was the duel between the
United States and Iran. The Administration hopes that it can maintain
American influence in Iraq without the presence of U.S. troops. Given
that U.S. influence with the presence of troops was always constrained,
this is a comforting by doubtful theory for Washington to consume.
The Libyan crisis is not in such a high stakes region, but the lesson of
Iraq is useful. The NATO intervention has set the stage for a battle
among groups that are not easily reconciled and who were held together
by hostility to Gadhafi and then by NATO resources. If NATO simply
leaves, that will cause chaos. this shows that you were not referring to
a pro-Gadhafi insurgency, so please do adjust the wording above to make
sure that point is conveyed early on as well. i agree with this 100
percent. If NATO gives aid, someone will have to protect the aid
workers. If NATO sends troops, they will be attacked by someone and
when they defend themselves, they will kill innocents. This is the
nature of war. The idea of an immaculate war is fantasy. It is not
that war is not at times necessary, but a war that is delusional is
always harmful. The war in Iraq was delusional in many ways, and
perhaps nowhere more than in the manner in which the U.S. left. That is
being repeated in Libya, although with smaller stakes.
In the meantime, the influence of Iran will grow in Iraq and now the
question is Syria. Another NATO war in Syria would have unpredictable
consequences. The survival of Assad would create an unprecedented
Iranian sphere of influence. The fall of Assad would open the door to
regimes that would trigger and Israeli intervention.
World War II was nice. It offered a clean end. Unless of course you
consider that the clean end of World War II was rapidly followed by the
Cold War and the terror of nuclear war. Wars rarely end cleanly but
either fester or set the stage for the next war. We can see that
clearly in Iraq. The universal congratulations on the death of Muamar
Gadhafi is as ominous as all victory celebrations. It ignores the
crucial questions: now what?
On 10/23/11 4:30 PM, George Friedman wrote:
George Friedman
Founder and CEO
221 West 6th Street
Suite 400
Austin, Texas 78701
Phone: 512-744-4319
Fax: 512-744-4334
Melissa Taylor


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Re: G3*/B3* - EU/ECON - EU Pushes to Solve Debt Woes - CALENDAR
Released on 2012-10-12 10:00 GMT
Email-ID | 2471251 |
Date | 2011-10-23 19:36:51 |
From | email@example.com |
To | firstname.lastname@example.com |
List-Name | email@example.com |
On Oct 23, 2011, at 12:18 PM, Adriano Bosoni <email@example.com>
I think they might be also discussing specific measures regarding Italy,
since Merkel and Sarko met privately with Berlusconi.
On 10/23/11 12:05 PM, George Friedman wrote:
The financial details have been outrun both by their reality but also
by politcal reality. We are now moving to a point where the financial
detals take second place to all the political dimensions.
Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T
From: Peter Zeihan <email@example.com>
Sender: firstname.lastname@example.com
Date: Sun, 23 Oct 2011 11:44:54 -0500 (CDT)
To: Analyst List<email@example.com>
ReplyTo: Analyst List <email@example.com>
Subject: Re: G3*/B3* - EU/ECON - EU Pushes to Solve Debt Woes -
brussels, but i'd not plan on that considering the nature of the talks
-- every sched they've made in the last few days has been overtaken by
and it lks like this one is no exception - they've even abandoned
their normal communique post-summit because they dont have a plan...or
even the shell of one yet
one small bright spot -- its all FINALLY on the table: greece, italy,
banks, france, ecb, etc
From: "Kristen Cooper" <firstname.lastname@example.com>
To: "Analyst List" <firstname.lastname@example.com>
Sent: Sunday, October 23, 2011 11:15:40 AM
Subject: Re: G3*/B3* - EU/ECON - EU Pushes to Solve Debt Woes -
3pm in what time zone?
On Oct 23, 2011, at 9:02 AM, Peter Zeihan wrote:
Lord! ANOTHER summit?
so the EU27 is mtg from now until 3p, then the eurozone17 meet a
second time before their now-third summit on Wed
From: "Marko Primorac" <firstname.lastname@example.com>
To: firstname.lastname@example.com
Sent: Sunday, October 23, 2011 8:59:44 AM
Subject: G3*/B3* - EU/ECON - EU Pushes to Solve Debt Woes - CALENDAR
EU Pushes to Solve Debt Woes
By Tony Czuczka and James G. Neuger - Oct 23, 2011 7:24 AM CT
European leaders started the 13th crisis summit in 21 months seeking
a breakthrough over how to stamp out the Greece-led debt shock that
threatens to tip the world into a recession.
Chancellor Angela Merkel of Germany, Europea**s dominant economy,
played down the odds of an agreement today to beef up the euro
bailout fund, cut Greecea**s debt without triggering a default,
shield banks from the fallout and insulate Italy and Spain from the
a**Today one shouldna**t expect decisions,a** Merkel told reporters
before the Brussels summit. She spoke of a**a technically complex
processa** with the aim of forging a comprehensive strategy at the
next summit in three days.
With President Barack Obama and Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao piling on
the pressure, Europea**s room for maneuver narrowed after a report
showed Greek finances worsening. Measures on the table include
writedowns of as much as 50 percent on Greek debt, 100 billion euros
($139 billion) in fresh capital for banks and the pooling of two
rescue funds to deliver as much as 940 billion euros to contain the
After meetings at EU offices, luxury hotels and a suburban Brussels
nature park yesterday, the scene shifted to EU headquarters today
for a session of all 27 EU leaders. It is slated to end around 3
p.m., to be followed by a meeting of the 17 euro leaders that will
stretch into the evening.
France Rattled
The mayhem began in Greece in October 2009 with the revelation that
its finances were worse than previously reported. Since then, 256
billion euros of bailouts have failed to stem the tide, which
rattled France this month, prompting Standard & Poora**s to warn it
may lose its top credit rating.
Francea**s banks can cope with a Greek debt writedown of about 50
percent, Budget Minister Valerie Pecresse said on France 3
television today. She said banks can boost capital a**using their
own resources,a** falling back on the government only as a last
On a European scale, finance ministers yesterday tabbed banksa**
needs at about 100 billion euros in capital after marking
sovereign-debt holdings to market values, said a person familiar
with the discussions. This amount is needed to reach a core tier 1
capital level of 9 percent based on a European Banking Authority
test, said the person, who declined to be identified because the
talks are continuing.
a**Chilling Effecta**
a**The crisis in the euro zone is having an effect on all our
economies, Britain included,a** U.K. Prime Minister David Cameron
said today. a**Ita**s having a chilling effect. We need to deal with
this issue.a**
Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy took center stage late
yesterday in trying to defuse German-French tensions over how to get
more out of the 440 billion-euro rescue fund, the European Financial
Stability Facility.
Afterward, Merkel was spotted sipping white wine with top aides in
the bar of the Hotel Amigo a block from Brusselsa** gabled main
square. Sarkozy, staying at the same hotel, went straight to his
The German and French leaders held a pre-summit meeting today with
Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi, an Italian official said
without disclosing the outcome. Merkel and Sarkozy plan to brief the
press before the start of the euro-area summit later today, a
spokesman for Sarkozy said.
Finance ministers searched for other ways to leverage the EFSF after
Germany and the European Central Bank rejected French calls for the
fund to morph into a bank with the ability to borrow from the ECB.
ECB Bond Purchases
Narrowing the options for expanding the funda**s reach, ministers
discussed setting up an EFSF-insured pool to entice outside
investors including sovereign wealth funds to buy troubled euro-area
government bonds, said a person familiar with the matter.
The special pool was weighed alongside the option of extending the
EFSFa**s coverage by offering 20 percent to 30 percent insurance on
new bond sales by countries like Italy.
The fate of bond purchases by the Frankfurt-based ECB is also up in
the air. The central bank has bought 165 billion euros of bonds,
overriding opposition from Germans on its policy council.
Central bankers have expressed reluctance to step up the purchases,
which started with Greece, Ireland and Portugal last year and
widened to Italy and Spain in August as those markets came under
Dissenting Footnote
a**One shouldna**t demand more from the ECB than it can achieve
according to its statutes,a** Austrian Chancellor Werner Faymann
said today.
Central bankers are at the center of the dispute over writedowns for
Greek bondholders. A reminder came on Oct. 21 when the ECB put a
dissenting footnote into an assessment of Greecea**s finances that
envisioned writedowns as high as 60 percent.
That report, co-authored by the ECB, European Commission and
International Monetary Fund, said Greecea**s finances have a**taken
a turn for the worsea** and called for bondholder losses that go
beyond the 21 percent negotiated in July.
Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou said two years of austerity
have stretched citizensa** tolerance, calling on the rest of Europe
to live up to its responsibilities.
a**We are a proud people, we are a proud nation, we demand that
respect,a** Papandreou said today. a**But ita**s been proven now
that the crisis is not a Greek crisis. The crisis is a European
crisis. Now is the time that we as Europeans need to act decisively
and effectively.a**
Greek Loan
Officials are considering five scenarios to update the July
agreement on losses for bondholders, people familiar with the
deliberations said. They range from sticking with a voluntary swap
to a so-called hard restructuring that forces investors to exchange
Greek bonds for new ones at 50 percent of their value, the people
Finance ministers on Oct. 21 signed off on the payout of the EUa**s
5.8 billion-euro share of an 8 billion-euro loan to Greece. Ita**s
the sixth installment of a 110 billion-euro package awarded in May
To contact the reporters on this story: Tony Czuczka in Brussels
at email@example.com; James G. Neuger in Brussels
at firstname.lastname@example.com
To contact the editor responsible for this story: James Hertling
at firstname.lastname@example.com
Marko Primorac
Tactical Analyst
Tel: +1 512.744.4300
Cell: +1 717.557.8480
Adriano Bosoni - ADP