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Tuesday, October 7. 2014
Gartner's Predictions of New Trends
It's always fun to look at all the various predictions of the Next New Things (given they vary quite widely by predictor, by year - us being no exception). Anyway, here are Gartners for the next few years (abridged by Broadstuff)
For what its worth, based on Broadstuff's advanced TTID algorithm and patented BGA prediction methodology (see end of post for definition), we can safely predict that:
1. Most of these will take far longer to play out than pedicted, and many that do play out will have far less impact than supposed
Which of course is what Gartner's other great prediction system invention, the Hype Curve, tells us - only when something passes out of any hype trend, does it finally become useful.
The other thing I am left scratiching my head about, is that given the Great Hollowing Out*, if all these come to pass (most of these trends imply yet more waged employees being dumped or offshored), where will the money come from to buy all those marvellous new things these new lean businesses make? Even Henry Ford saw that one coming when he upped wages so employees could buy his cars....
* I am always amused by The Economist calling the Hollowing Out trend all a Myth in 2004, when it was patently obvious it was already happening. But of course, for that we use the MRD approach
For reference:
TTID = This Time It's Different. The algorithm states that whenever this claim is made, it isn't, and put your hand tightly on your wallet
BGA = Bill Gates Algorithm - This (X) will have far less impact in 2 years than we think, and far more in 10. We apply the Chasm upgrade though, which states that most New New things will never jump over the chasm and will be dashed on therocks in trying. About 3 of the above will be survive, on average - which 3 would you bet on?
MRD = Mandy Rice Davies corollary - "Well, They Would, Wouldn't They" - Always look carefully at where someone is coming from before following where they lead....
Posted by Alan Patrick in Strategy at 12:56 | Comments (0) | Trackbacks (4)
Friday, August 22. 2014
Dawkins, Memetics and Social Media
Richard Dawkins (respected/hated Evolutionary Biologist and loved/hated Atheist) has touched off yet another Twitterstorm, via that unfortunate habit Evolutionary Biologists (and Vulcans) have of looking at humans from a viewpoint of mass mathematical game theory participants, rather than as - well, humans. Cue yet another Twitterstorm du Jour. (Huffington Post summaries it best):
The irony of Dawkins being called "immoral" by religious and various other "strong beliefs" based groups often proposing far worse things is piquant, but there is an even bigger irony here with Mr Dawkins doing this. He actually was the first person to coin the term "meme" and to postulate how they work. So, depending on your point of view on Mr D, he is either a master memeticist or a complete c*nt who has been hoisted on his own memetic petard by the #Offended on Social Media.
Oh yes - there were 12 points to the Huffpo article, and these are the clinchers I think:
11. Attempting to squeeze a few last hits out of the now-subsiding "outrage", a journalist will write a meta-piece attempting to explain the anatomy of a Dawkins Twitter scandal*.
He is clearly a master memetic tactician therefore, Twitterstorms and meta-pieces being the sign of memetic success - but whether continuing to offend large numbers of people in exchange for viral Twitter publicity is a good strategic memetic play is less clear. Wildean theory says it is effective, but in a Social Media Age where everything you say remains online to be held against you, it may not be. After all, one of the first lessons of social game theory is being nice wins - eventually...
*13. Attempting to extract the last ounces of traffic, a blogger writes a snarky piece on the whole affaire...
Posted by Alan Patrick in Strategy at 21:14 | Comments (2) | Trackbacks (2)
Monday, August 11. 2014
UK needs to fund Innovation, not Entrepreneurs
Very interesting article in the Economist about "Entrepreneurial" vs "Innovation" economics. the whole article is well worth reading as it is one of those very rare items in the UK "Tech Startup" space - a systemic analysis with actual numbers. There are 3 key points dealing with the UK's current Startup / "Every Person is an Entrepreneur" craze:
Firstly, State money is wasted on funding too many entrpreneurial SMES with too little money, they do nothing for the economy overall:
....once you take into account the number of SME jobs lost after the first three years of their creation, there is very little net job creation by these firms. Only 1% of new enterprises have sales of more than £1 million six years after they start. Research at the University of Sussex shows that median sales of a six-year-old firm is less than £23,000 (Storey, 2006). These firms also tend to be the least productive and least innovative (R&D spending—the best measure we have for inputs in the innovation process—in Tech City is not higher than in other parts of London or Britain). Indeed, the few high growth innovative firms (about 6% of the total SME group, Nesta, 2011)—those that really should be supported—do not directly benefit from the hype that surrounds SMEs and startups: once they get the funds these are too diluted to make a difference.
Secondly, what the State should be funding is an Innovation ecosystem, not an Entrepreneurial/Startup one per se
Innovation-led "smart" growth has occurred mainly in countries with a big group of medium to large companies, and a small group of SMEs that is spun out from some of those large companies or from universities. These firms have benefited immensely from government funded research. Indeed, in my book I show how many firms in Silicon Valley have benefitted directly from early-stage funding by government, as well as the ability to build their products on top of government funded technologies.
The author points out that nearly every "entrepreneurial startup" in Silicon Valley today would not exist without huge US government funded projects that underpin it's technology, and direct low cost (aka non VC) early days investment - Apple is a case in point:
Every technology that makes the iPhone smart was government-funded (internet, GPS, touch-screen display, SIRI). Apple spends relatively little on R&D compared with other IT firms precisely because it uses existing technology. It applies its remarkable design skills to these technologies, effectively surfing on a government-funded wave. Apple, Compaq and Intel also all enjoyed the benefits of early-stage public funds (SBIC in the case of Apple, SBIR in the case of Compaq and Intel).
Thirdly the UK's state spend on innovation and pull through is small by competitive standards. Silicon Valley was largely built on the huge government backed spendiing, not the VC community - and it is probably still the real case:
Silicon Valley firms were initially not funded mainly by venture capital. It came in after the ball had got rolling thanks to funding by the Department of Defence, the Department of Health and, more recently, the Department of Energy. In fact, there is increasing evidence that many startups are told by venture-capital firms to go first to SBIR and then come back (Block and Keller, 2013).Venture-capital funds are not providing the kind of patient long-term finance needed for radical innovations. They are too focused on a profitable "exit"—usually through an IPO or a sale to a bigger company—within 3-5 years. But innovation often takes 15-20 years.
This sort of state pull through is what China is using too, and the numbers are measured in $ Trillions. In fact even in Europe, the UK underperforms hugely on this sort of state investment:
In Germany such links are created by well-funded Fraunhofer Institutes. In Britain these are being imitated through the Catapult centres, which in theory should be linked to Tech City-type projects, either through procurement policy or via learning. Currently there are no links between these. And whereas the Fraunhofer system has an annual research budget of €1.8 billion ($2.4 billion) and a network of 20,000 staff across 60 centres (in 2010), Britain's Catapult centres were given just £200m to spend over 4 years. When the Tech-City gurus in Number 10 Downing Street criticise the Technology Strategy Board, which is in charge of the Catapult strategy, for not being more like Darpa, they ignore the very different size of TSB's budget in comparison with Darpa—and even more the fact that the TSB does not have the market creating potential that Darpa does.
Leads to a fourth point, about the competence of No 10's "Tech City Gurus" and advisors - but that's for another post. To end though, the observation is if small beer is what the government is willing to put into the game, its better to spend it on tertiary education and R&D, where impacts are proven, rather than launch a million underfunded startups:
Research at the University of Cambridge (Hughes 2008) suggests that the British government spends (directly and indirectly) close to £8 billion ($13 billion) annually on SMEs—more than it spends on the police and close to the amount it spends on universities. Is this warranted? How do we know it would not be better to simply direct that money to teachers where there is plenty of evidence that quality education raises human capital and growth.
This post is just a summary, I recommend reading the article.
Posted by Alan Patrick in Strategy at 12:40 | Comment (1) | Trackbacks (5)
Friday, March 28. 2014
Mobile is so over - so here are 20 possible "New" Next Things
Interesting 2 paragraphs from Fred Wilson's blog, talking about "what's next":
But the roadmap has been clear for the past seven years (maybe longer). The next thing was mobile. Mobile is now the last thing. And all of these big tech companies are looking for the next thing to make sure they don't miss it.. And they will pay real money (to you and me) for a call option on the next thing.
I'm intrigued by the idea of a call option, I think it could be executed better than via VC funding though, Fred - now that would be disruptive
But I think Fred's largely right that Mobile was the last Next Thing - though strictly speaking its not "Mobile" now per se, but PC level processing power meeting Moore's Law and shrinking in size and price so it can be easily portable, with a damn good UI (think iPaq then iPhone). These "Smart" phones and "tablets" killed good old Planet Mobile dead in about 3 years (Motorola, Nokia, Blackberry - where are they now? They were earth shaking giants a few short years ago!)
Anyway, where is the Next Big Thing to be found is the question Fred asks. The future is of course here, just unevenly spread, so the trick is to see what bits of the future are here, now - and actually are going somewhere. Ten things that have changed exponentially in the "networked technology" areas we follow, in the time we've been writing Broadstuff (est 2006) are:
- Robotics (including the flying type)
As you can see, these are hardly New New Things, just things that were already here in 2006 and even then clearly had high potential. What's interesting is that they were all already on very predictable development vectors in 2006, but no one looked at them as killer technologies in those days. That was because at that time, their rate of development was still mainly all theoretical, and not provably valuable. To compare, here are 10 other things that were also floating around in 2006/7 that I thought also could happen sooner and haven't yet, but still may as they are all Big Next Next Things potentially.
These are all here today, unevenly distributed, and still chugging along - but at slower rates than the various laws of networking, learning, Moores et al would predict. Typically there is a something in them that is missing, obstinately sticking at current capability or economically unavailable, awaiting the "key" to their leap over the Chasm. But all it takes is a small shift (think iPaq vs iPhone again) and over they go.
All you have to do to build your own mind-boggling portfolio of New Next Things To Watch is read the various Gartner Hype Curves for the last 10 years, and you will see a slew of things on the hot S curve one year and disappearing 2-3 years later. They don't go away though, and are still evolving in the Darwinian mud of technology species, it's just that something hasn't yet quite worked out for them yet. And somewhere in that stew already, are the next 10 New New Things.
Posted by Alan Patrick in Strategy at 21:05 | Comments (4) | Trackbacks (0)
Tuesday, February 25. 2014
When Big Data rediscovered the 1970's
Impact of mathematical techniques on operations, by industry - McKinsey
McKinsey has discovered you can use Operations Research (or Decision Maths as it is known these days) mathematical techniques to analyse and optimise manufacturing operations - McKinsey Insights:
The application of larger data sets, faster computational power, and more advanced analytic techniques is spurring progress on a range of lean-management priorities. Sophisticated modeling can help to identify waste, for example, thus empowering workers and opening up new frontiers where lean problem solving can support continuous improvement. Powerful data-driven analytics also can help to solve previously unsolvable (and even unknown) problems that undermine efficiency in complex manufacturing environments: hidden bottlenecks, operational rigidities, and areas of excessive variability. Similarly, the power of data to support improvement efforts in related areas, such as quality and production planning, is growing as companies get better at storing, sharing, integrating, and understanding their data more quickly and easily.
Not only that, but you can apply Lean operating techniques in manufacturing companies too:
Nonetheless, to get the most from data-fueled lean production, companies have to adjust their traditional approach to kaizen (the philosophy of continuous improvement). In our experience, many find it useful to set up special data-optimization labs or cells within their existing operations units. This approach typically requires forming a small team of econometrics specialists, operations-research experts, and statisticians familiar with the appropriate tools. By connecting these analytics experts with their frontline colleagues, companies can begin to identify opportunities for improvement projects that will both increase performance and help operators learn to apply their lean problem-solving skills in new ways.
Amazing stuff....except its very, very old news. Monte Carlo simulations and capacity planning algorithms have been around for decades, a lot of it even pre-dates WW2. Value analysis started at 3M in the 1960's. Richard Schonberger wrote the groundbreaking Japanese Manufacturing Techniques in 1982 (I still have my copy) and he was merely Westernising something the Japanese had been doing for 2 decades by then. And then I saw this, which really made me smile wryly:
Similarly, a leading steel producer used advanced analytics to identify and capture margin-improvement opportunities worth more than $200 million a year across its production value chain. This result is noteworthy because the company already had a 15-year history of deploying lean approaches and had recently won an award for quality and process excellence. The steelmaker began with a Monte Carlo simulation, widely used in biology, computational physics, engineering, finance, and insurance to model ranges of possible outcomes and their probabilities
The wry smile was because I did much the same, in 1994-5, for a steelmaker, using some of these exact same techniques - while I was consulting at McKinsey to boot. I have the obligatory picture of big rolling mills from a grateful client, and the prize I won in the McKinsey internal "Practice Olympics" to prove it In fact I'd bet the McKinsey Quarterly in the 1970's, 80's and 90's will be full of analyses like this one. There truly is nothing new under the sun.
But with New Improved Big Data it can all be rebadged bright and new....except it doesn't work this way. There was a shedload of Big Data in the Old Days too (shop floor data capture techniques underpin most of the Internet of Things, and did you know some of the first broadband networks in the world went in at manufacturers in the 1980's). Manufacturing has always had a lot of data, and Big Manufacturers bought Big Iron to process Big Datasets then too (except it was called data with a small "d" then). The Monte Carlo methods, or N jobs on M machines Optimisation (for examples) are still the same algorithms they were in the 1930's and 50's.
And you know what - you just cannot simulate the minute operation laden details of a shop floor or logistics network reliably. No matter how big your dataset, or your computers, or your machine tool onboard intelligence, there is just too much variability. Which is why the Just In Time/Lean movement came about as the better approach - the aim was to simplify the problem, rather than hit it with huge algorithm models and simulations so complex no one fully understood what they were doing anymore (just ask the banks what happens going down that route) - the aim of JiT/Lean was to actually reduce the problem variability, to get back to Small Data if you like.
And you know what else - despite the analytical miracles I and many others performed in the day, despite the extraordinary efforts by managements and workers, so many of those steel mills (and clothing companies, and manufacturers of a million other widgets) moved East. There is only so much you can do against cheap labour, national subsidies and guaranteed government contracts.
And that brings me to something else in the story, which is what is really going on here I suspect - its not Big Data, its Big Economics:
Sure, its partly about raw material prices changing - when they are too high to buy or too low to sell you really have to be efficient at manufacturing. But when you are getting to this level of number crunching, after 20 years of Lean projects, in my experience it's because the endgame is appearing on the horizon, its a last of the summer wine story, the end of an S curve. Interestingly, it seems like all the McKinsey consultants and the project were in India, and Eastern labour costs are rising, as is oil for those long ship rides back to the European and US markets, so much so in in fact that there is an increasing trend in re-shoring, as production is coming back to the US and EU. Big picture, the low cost Eastern windfall is ending, and you have to start getting much smarter again about the actual manufacturing process. You can get benefits from doing it right with Big Iron and Big Algorithms, no doubt - but this sounds like back to the future....I suspect they are now using bigger and bigger number crunching to eke the last 20% of improvements from the various kaizen projects ongoing, trying to keep the factories in situ as the Big Economics shift yet again.
And you didn't need Big Data to tell you that....
(Hat tip to my colleagues at the Agile Elephant for the link)
Posted by Alan Patrick in Strategy at 20:40 | Comments (0) | Trackback (1)
Thursday, February 20. 2014
Facebook buys WhatsApp, signals the end of organic growth
News just in that Facebook has bought WhatsApp for $SillyMoney - $19.6bn - TechCrunch:
With 450 million monthly users and a million more signing up each day, WhatsApp was just too far ahead in the international mobile messaging race for Facebook to catch up, as you can see in the chart above we made last year. Facebook either had to surrender the linchpin to mobile social networking abroad, or pony up and acquire WhatsApp before it got any bigger. It chose the latter.
Facebook couldn't afford not to have it, if someone else had bought it that would have made a direct attack on Facebook's chosen strategic way out of its own declining user engagement, i.e. mobile applications and messaging. Facebook is absolutely determined not to be overtaken by the "next wave" Social Networks. But its own "new wave" systems were kludgy, so the price of not having your lunch eaten in 2016 is c $20bn in 2014. There is a bit of irony in that WhatsApp strongly do not believe in advertisng, their founder once saying that:
"There's nothing more personal to you than communicating with friends and family, and interrupting that with advertising is not the right solution,"
Clearly $19bn is a mind changing amount
What this really shows is that the days of Facebook's organic growth are over, and from now on in they are going to have to acquire revenue, and thats a very expensive way of doing it at their size if you are continually needing to buy the guys who will eat your lunch. You had to believe a lot to believe Facebook's valuation - that just got harder. But its the Bubbletime, so all will be good - for a while
Update 1 - According to El Reg, Whatsapp does indulge in datascraping of a user's address book, so that does make it an interesting prospect for added value datamining.
Update 2 - Azeem Azhar of PeerIndex has a smart bit on analysis - if WhatsApp had stayed independent it still would have destroyed Facebook's mobile story, which really outlines why Facebook had to act to stop itself being eaten for lunch:
Posted by Alan Patrick in Strategy at 00:06 | Comments (0) | Trackbacks (0)
Sunday, February 16. 2014
Making a Case for Social Business
Bertrand Duperrin's summary presentation
I've written up the 2 days of case studies from the Enterprise 2.0 Summit I attended last week in Paris, they are over here - Day 1 and Day 2 - on the Agile Elephant blog. There are a number of common threads emerging from the studies. Being lazy, I've copied Emanuele Quintarelli's list to start with, based on his study (as they concur with my analysis), I've added my thoughts in italics:
- The project is explicitly supported and sponsored by the top management (70% vs 34% for laggards). Long lasting processes, technology and process change should be somewhat mandated by the formal organization. Informal projects are easy to start but need formal acceptance to embed themselves in the enterprise
Other stand-out observations so far from the case studies:
- Any system needs time to embed/mature/settle in (words varied, but the concept was the same) before it becomes stable and self sustaining, you can't "make a baby in 1 month with 9 mothers" as it were.
Over the 2 days I did sense a departure of what the case studies were showing vs. what some of the Social Business theorists were espousing, in general the case studies showed that pragmatism and evolutionary development (what Dachis' Dion Hinchliffe called "Sustainable Transformation") was the order of the day vs more revolutionary/dramatic transformational approaches.
Update - I have also put up Bertrand Duperrin's slides (at top) now that they have been posted up, it was a very good talk on the subject as well
Posted by Alan Patrick in Strategy at 12:46 | Comments (0) | Trackback (1)
Tuesday, February 4. 2014
Business as a Social Object
Just had a chance to finally read Janet Parkinson's latest post on this subject - it was to me the stand-out concept of our recent Patchwork Elephant conference, but she has pushed her ideas further - in essence, she argues that "The future is here, it's just not evenly distributed yet" for businesses becoming just another part of the social network:
In other words "the social network" has become a business market that has already allowed a new form of hotel business to rapidly become almost the biggest market for beds in just a few years. As Janet points out, this is just the beginning:
And eventually this will just be a part of "the matrix". Janet also mentions Ronald Coase's theories about transaction costs in making this happen (ie the social network will match buyers and sellers at a fraction of the present costs), I hope thats because she's heard me bang on about them all the time - but the endgame she sees is actually more Nick Carr:
Over time, this mesh will become regulated – infrastructures always do. Electricity, water, telephony all ended up as part of the utility infrastructure and this will be no different. The main problem for the individual will be the sheer scale of the mesh – we will need tools to navigate it. Some tools will come from the infrastructure itself but we imagine that some tools will come from yourself. This ties in closely with the VRM concept of tools being created for individuals to manage and control their own data, allowing access only to those to whom they give permission. We could imagine us all owning our own smart systems with data controlled by ourselves – a bit like owning an electric appliance which you plug into the mesh – that could source the relevant data, barter the deal and present the options in order of importance, then automatically make all the necessary arrangements for you. The opportunity for profiteering in these transactions would be minimal – regulation would be complex.
I think that is still the optimistic outlook, I can imagine quite a few stones on the road - but history has shown other once hard-to-do things have just been absorbed into the infrastructure....eventually.
Posted by Alan Patrick in Strategy at 16:22 | Comment (1) | Trackbacks (0)
Wednesday, January 29. 2014
Google, Lenovo and those Motorola Patents
Google sold Motorola to Lenovo for a lot less than they bought it for - TechCrunch:
Motorola Mobility is being sold to Lenovo, in a deal worth $2.91B. Google is divesting itself of the handset division it purchased for $12.5B in 2011, but it will keep some of the assets — including patents.
Why the drop in value? Well, nothing crashes quite like last year's Mobile Tech Company. Just ask Blackberry, or Nokia, or Palm. And smartphone innovation is slowing anyway.
But those patents, of course, have real value. There are 12,000+ of them, ammunition for defending the barriers to entry against future entrants for years, in all sorts of related technologies, like, oh, mobile Internet of Things tech. And getting cross licencing deals with the other big boys. And just when you've got a new mobile play in your nest.
Innovation is great, M&A is faster, but just in case...lawyers and loads of patents never hurt.
And for Google, writing down $10bn of sunk cost is chump change on an option for 12000 patents. And they keep $3bn in cash. And a nice little tax write-off to boot .
Posted by Alan Patrick in Strategy at 23:07 | Comments (0) | Trackbacks (0)
Wednesday, December 4. 2013
If data is the new Oil, is Google the new Standard Oil?
We are told fairly frequently these days that data is the new Oil (or not?). If it is, then is Google the new Standard Oil?
To refresh everyone's memories (Wikipedia):
Standard Oil Co. Inc. was an American oil producing, transporting, refining, and marketing company. Established in 1870 as a corporation in Ohio, it was the largest oil refiner in the world. By 1890, Standard Oil controlled 88 percent of the refined oil flows in the United States.Its controversial history as one of the world's first and largest multinational corporations ended in 1911, when the United States Supreme Court ruled that Standard was an illegal monopoly.
In other words, Standard Oil built up a near monopoly position in oil, not unlike Google's near monopoly position in digital data. Like Standard, Google also uses profits in one area (advertising) to offer free services in many other areas, making it very difficult for competition to emerge in those spaces.
Opinions are still divided about the breakup of Standard by the way:
Some economic historians have observed that Standard Oil was in the process of losing its monopoly at the time of its breakup in 1911. Although Standard had 90 percent of American refining capacity in 1880, by 1911 that had shrunk to between 60 and 65 percent, due to the expansion in capacity by competitors. Numerous regional competitors had organized themselves into competitive vertically integrated oil companies, the industry structure pioneered years earlier by Standard itself. In addition, demand for petroleum products was increasing more rapidly than the ability of Standard to expand. The result was that although in 1911 Standard still controlled most production in the older US regions of the Appalachian Basin (78 percent share, down from 92 percent in 1880), Lima-Indiana (90 percent, down from 95 percent in 1906), and the Illinois Basin (83 percent, down from 100 percent in 1906), its share was much lower in the rapidly expanding new regions that would dominate US oil production in the 20th century.
We are certainly seeing China emerge as an independent digital data region, and othes are splitting off various segments of the digital data mining and refining business. It remains to be seen whether the expected rapid growth in digital data moves at such a pace that Google can no longer supply it all. That will probably be the acid test in the Digital Oil business.
Interestingly, after the breakup, bits of Standard slowly got together again - Two of the resulting companies were Jersey Standard ("Standard Oil Co. of New Jersey"), which eventually became Exxon, and Socony ("Standard Oil Co. of New York"), which eventually became Mobil. They are now Exxon-Mobil. Other Standard spin offs re-combined to form Amoco and Chevron.
Microsoft, came under antitrust investigation for being inherently too large for market competition. The only company since the breakup of Standard Oil that was broken up like Standard Oil was AT&T, and as with the breakup of Standard Oil, many of the "Baby Bells" ended up merging together after changes in regulations and technology, with one of them eventually buying AT&T and adopting the AT&T name.
But, little surprise that Google is ramping up its lobbyist engine in Washington, as reported today:
Google Inc. is moving its Washington office closer to Capitol Hill after spending $18.2 million on lobbying, more than Northrop Grumman Corp. and enough to rank the technology company as the eighth-biggest advocacy spender.
Google is one company that understands that those that forget the past are doomed to repeat it.
Posted by Alan Patrick in Strategy at 10:29 | Comments (4) | Trackbacks (0)
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Tara Cole (4-1) struck out five and allowed one earned run on three hits in seven innings as Citronelle edged visiting Satsuma in a Class 5A, Area 3 game. Emily Fleetwood went 2-for-3 with an RBI and a run scored for the Wildcats (7-2, 1-0), while Carmen Byrd added two hits and drove in a run. Jessica Cunningham had a hit and scored a run for the Gators. Jana Taylor gave up one earned run on eight hits in the loss.
on March 05, 2013 7:14 PM, updated August 22, 2013 5:42 PM
on March 05, 2013 7:14 PM, updated August 22, 2013 5:42 PM
03/05 - 6:55 PM Softball FinalSatsuma 2Citronelle 3
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Morocco Conference- Year 2013 (3 days) : The limitless Power of a praying Church - Dr Tunde BAKARE
2013: The Doctrine of Divine Immutability - Pastor M. FINBARRS
Part I of the Prophecy
This first part is about:
- Principles for the supply and continuous elevation;
- The dynamics related to the recalibration and repositioning of your lives, your contries, and churches;
- The permanent disappearance of your obscurity (the year of accelerated fullfilment)
Part II of the Prophecy
This second part is about:
- The indicators and determinants of harvest in life, and
- About Nations, Governments, and Peoples.
Good morning to you all,
May the Lord bless you, may he remember the members of your family, and may he bless the work of your hands in Jesus name.
If it's not the Lord who could have said in the beginning of the year that you will be here today, it's only God. Sometimes you forget what God has done for you and you only remember what he hasn't done. The devil uses such things to rob us of what God has to do for us.
Understanding from Godly perspectives the purpose of temptations, trials and tests
This is to persuade, seduce and entangle by the prospect of pleasure and by arousing a desire in someone.
Temptation comes with the sole aim of making us to either stand or fall through the VERIFICATION of the existence of good or evil; and strength or weakness in us.
This edification can not be properly understood ,except we know the context in which DESTINY and PURPOSE are used.
DESTINY = PURPOSE i.e
they are analogous and synonymous
a) Faith is your ability to perceive God's desire and then being moved by fear of God , you do it even if the procedure is senseless and contrary to NATURE AND REALITY.
This can be simply defined as " a change of form or character". i.e
To effect an INTERNAL change in the qualities making A PERSON or that of a thing. This change could affect the MORAL and BIOLOGICAL features and tendencies of the OBJECT. This change may not be
Refrences :Rm.15 : 1-3, Ga.6 : 1-10, Ac.2 : 44 - 47, Ps. 133 : 1-3
The human naturality (the flesh) has a powerful force that seeks FORCEFUL expressions through us. It may not be completely possible to ELIMINATE these influences, but it is very possible and realistic to DEACTIVATE these expressions whenever they seek opportunities to manifest.
The life of human beings since the entrance of sins into the world is filled with obstacles, difficulties,
sufferings etc. In the face of this situation, human beings have a natural tendency to avoid or run away from the problems that Satan through his sins, attitudes and habits introduced into his life. This attitude which some may consider as normal does not come from God,but the devil.It is a simple way of avoiding our own responsibilities by not dealing decisively with the very thing which God has given us the ability to overcome.
Victory for a believer can cover several areas of his life and endeavours.It can be a miraculous testimony of the accomplishment of the work of God in his life,an unexpected success, a tremendous and an inexplicable level of peace and joy in his heart,or generally all that the Lord makes to happen in our lives for our own benefits and prosperity,so that we can continually be manifested as a living witness of His divine affection.
Texts:John.15:1-10, Psalm.37:1-40, Prov.16:1-9.
For you to be successful in your projects, you must understand primarily "what a project" is.
This is a plan, undertaking or task involving research.
There are two sides to any project:
A community can simply be defined as a group made up of more than one person. It is necessary that this group of persons feel united by spiritual, parental, cultural, economic or other factors. Jesus Christ reassured us that, for an assembly of two or more persons who are gathered together in his name; he is there in their midst. To be unified in His name signifies having the same knowledge, same spirit and doing what the Lord desires.
Let's read the book of Job:
« There was a man in the land of Uz, whose name was Job; and that man was blameless and upright, and one who feared God and shunned evil».
What happened to Job? What will a man gain if he lives in integrity but does not lead his whole family to also live in integrity?
God hates the presence and proliferation of poverty in any family. Though it is true that riches should not only be measured by money, we must know that money has an important role to play and cannot be ignored in one's riches. Some believers think they could or should be poor throughout their life time on earth, but will be rich after death because they will be in paradise where their riches are apparently kept for them.
Before tackling this question, there are some wrong conceptions that we have to get rid of. There is some knowledge in our hearts that is not right, so we have to correct it since it hinders us to understand what Jesus Christ actually did for you and I on the cross before resurrecting. We must know and understand that Jesus Christ is the beginning and the end of our lives. Those who don't have this hope will never be able to benefit fully from what Jesus Christ gave to humanity. It is Him alone who can give you what you desire and need in life. And you are look for nothing but happiness in life. So when you say;
Proverbs and parables are meant for people who do not want to know or understand simple facts of life. Even if we teach simple things to this type of people, they will always have problems to understand and or accept them. But in this message today, we are going to receive a parable and its explanation, since you are people who are apt to understand the message, accept it and put it into practice. For these reasons the grace and blessings of the Lord be with you as we journey together through this message. Amen
What is salvation? This means deliverance from disaster, as a result of the consequences from sin.
To be saved or delivered from sins and its disasters requires the presence of someone stronger and more powerful than the threats and consequences the sins pose to that person suffering under it. The PERSONALITY of such person is called a SAVIOUR.
Recently we have seen the role of the lips in the construction and structuring of our life and prosperity. We do not talk about updating something unless it is old. Even at school we do not move to a superior class unless we finish the inferior one, in which we were. Also in the Bible we see in most of the times Jesus saying that He came to update the Law of Moses and not to abolish it. In Matthew 12:33-34 "Either make the tree good and its fruit good, or else make the tree bad and its fruit bad; for a tree is known by its fruit. Brood of vipers! How can you being evil speak good things? For out of the abundance of the heart the mouth speaks."
Good morning to you all,
May the Lord bless you, may he remember the members of your family, and may he bless the work of your hands in Jesus name.
If it's not the Lord who could have said in the beginning of the year that you will be here today, it's only God. Sometimes you forget what God has done for you and you only remember what he hasn't done. The devil uses such things to rob us of what God has to do for us.
I want you to rise up, I have a word from God for You, but before I start my message I want you to rise and thank God.
-For not allowing you to go through this year alone,
-Thank him for all the aspects of your life, things seemed dark but you didn't leave me alone,
-Thank you for whom you are,
-Thank you for all I've been through, you have proved that you are Lord, you will forever be in my life, I will forever be yours; take all that is in my life.
- Thank you for your faithfulness Lord, thank you for yesterday, today and tomorrow, thank you for whom you are, I am grateful Lord for all you have taken me through,
-Thank you for what you do. You who gives prosperity and impoverishes! You are at the height of your power.
-Thank you Lord for all that you are doing for us, you bring life and take away life, you make rich and impoverish, no one can aggress you, you reign over all nations and governments.
-You are truly Lord over all nations, all churches, all governments, all people, and we submit ourselves to you this morning so you will reign over us, reign in us and establish your power in our lives. In Jesus name, amen!
There are people who never imagined that you will come this far today. There are people who have already celebrated the fact that you will die at this point of your life. You are the one who will celebrate their death in Jesus name. The people who have preprogrammed you for death, you will officiate their death. The Lord will carry you in his wings till the end of your life. And the works of your hands will succeed at all cost in Jesus name! The currents of life can seem very difficult, but you will overcome in Jesus name!
Everybody raise your hands and say with me; "I will overcome because God is with me, because God is for me, because God is in me and I am more than a conqueror in Jesus name! Amen".
This morning I'm addressing my words to all governments, all churches, all people (be it students, workers, military people, politicians etc). No matter where you are, I have a word for you. For all those who belong to us: over here or in the different parts of the world. Lend me your ears this morning and hear what God has to tell you by his Spirit, in Jesus name!
This morning I speak as one with purified lips. I speak with the lips of a ready writer on whom is the Spirit of God, in whom the Spirit of the Lord is and in whom the Spirit of the Lord dwells. He who has his ears turned to the frequency of divine vibration, being sent and authorized to speak for the Lord. That is why I am bringing you this word today. I am here in the office where the Lord has established me as his apostle, a prophet of nations. Let he who has ears listen to me very well!
If I mention your country today, it's because God has spoken to me about it. Except in urgent situations, God always has the means of speaking before the arrival of precarious situations. If the situation is not urgent and does not suddenly put the life of his servant in danger, God always speaks before the arrival of the situation. God will always prepare people, but when the Lord does not say anything, woe unto those who say the Lord has spoken when he has not spoken! I have my ears turned to divine frequencies. For example, the prophecy of the birth of Jesus Christ was given 700 years before the birth of Jesus Christ. The birth of John the Baptist was also preceded by a prophecy. But concerning Elisha in the country of Israel, God did not speak before the arrival of the situation.
Elisha said the prices of commodities were going to reduce in the country and someone doubted and said that it will never happen even if God opens the windows of heaven. It wasn't an ordinary man who said that! it was someone who was familiar with the political state of the country, who knows the market forces, who knows the military powers of the country, and who knows the different coordinates of the country. He said it was impossible even if God opens the windows of heaven, it will never come to pass! And Elisha said "it shall come to pass! Your eyes will see it, but you won't taste of it!"
So he who has ears let him listen very well and act according to the declaration that I have to make today! God will not wait for 2014 before saying what will happen in 2014. I pleaded a lot with the Lord to wait till the 1st of January before I declare what I have to tell you, but he told me "I am the one who chooses time, not you". He then gave me signs to confirm what he told me. So I have come to bring you the prophecy of 2014 today. I will speak to you systematically and progressively.
On the 1st of January 2013, we prayed enormously for Central Africa. We prayed for the eastern and central African countries. At that time it was a very calm zone, there were no signs of any problems there. And I said that we should pray so there wouldn't be a massif exodus of people from that territory. I don't pray for people to go into problems so I kept thanking God because there was no problem there till suddenly, the president of central Africa was chased. Every one praised the new president who took over! And before knowing God told me there will be an implosion in the country. I said "ah Lord! But everyone is praising the new president!" He replied saying "far from that! The people who put him there will rise up against him. They will tear one another and his life is not safe". You can see what is going on there today even up to South Sudan (it has also started there); I have already asked God to intervene. I have prayed. My country is not immune from these problems, but there is a spiritual authority in charge there.
However, the countries that the LORD spoke of personally to me, I will talk about them today. And I will also talk about the people that the Lord himself has signaled me about them. The accuracy of divine timing and pleasing characters to the Lord are expedients necessary, and important to know and to understand the heart of God for a people, for a government in a particular season. If you do not know how to turn your ears to divine frequency, you cannot know what the Lord has to do. If you do not have the necessary character to have and to know what the Lord has to say, you're going to say something because you have eaten too much. And it will not be because the LORD has spoken. You will say something because you think it will be so. I will not say anything because I think it will be so, because I do not say anything according to my own interests.
My beloved, to those of you here as well as those in the Diaspora, the Lord sometimes uses the neglected, abandoned, or sequential stories his servant, stories attached to the suffering of his servant to typify what the Lord wants to say. To elucidate what the Lord wants to do for a people, a generation, a church, a nation, and for a government in the world. The word of the LORD is not for people who live in heaven because the Lord himself is already in charge of that. But we are the feet, the hands, the mouth and the ears of the Lord here on earth.
A nation or a government where the Lord is not allowed to reign or alternatively, in a nation , a church, a government where they do not allow the Lord to regulate their affairs, the Lord will over rule by force. Where you do not want the Lord to reign, He will over rule by force by every means at his disposal. But where the Lord has a divine authority encapsulated in man, He will give direction to people, He will protect them, He will communicate what he has to do. For example, if you look at the life of Moses, he had a tripartite life. That means He lived 40 years in the flesh, 40 years to reform his soul, and 40 years to be committed to the Lord.
The different sides of his life populate the history of all the people of Israel. So, whenever the Lord wants to do something, he will use the story of his servant, to speak allegorically of the suffering of his people. He will recalibrate the life of his people and bring them to the level of the life of a prophet he has established over them. So what the LORD does is to bring the suffering of his people to zero, he will say that I want to assume that you have not yet suffered. Now I will take the suffering of my servant to be your suffering. Because if I punish you according to your iniquities, your sufferings will never end. I believe you are following me this afternoon!
So what the Lord will do; here are my people, and I put their suffering at level zero . But you who are established over them, I want to use your suffering to be a source of blessing for them. So what does that mean? The Lord will recalibrate the lives of the people and bring them into the level of prosperity of his servant. And the Lord said, "Have you seen the children of Israel? I want to recalibrate their suffering and bless them. "And how did the Lord do this? The children of Israel were in the land of Egypt for almost 300 years. But it was not the same generation who suffered for 300 years. One generation will come, and will go. Then another generation will start. And so on, one generation goes and another comes! If the Lord wants to consider your suffering today, he will not take into account the generation that suffered before giving birth to you. It is not like that, the Lord will not act like that. He will give you an opportunity in life to be connected to a spiritual authority by whom he will recalibrate and reposition your life. If not, you will continue suffering. Amen!
And you see the life of Moses, 40 years in Egypt. At that time, he did not suffer because he was in the abundance of the flesh. 40 years in the wilderness, to vomit everything he had eaten. Then 40 years with the Lord, to understand how the Lord works. And the Lord used those 40 years to bless his people.
Look at the life of Joseph ! I want you to give me your spiritual ears this morning! I want to talk to your situations because in 2014, the things that terrify you now will be terrified by you. Things that terrify you now , in 2014, there will be a stick shift . In the name of Jesus Christ! The people who pursue you, there will be a stick shift; you will pursue them in 2014. In the name of Jesus Christ! What I am doing now is the preamble! When I go into the crescendo, you will rise up.
Joseph only lived for 17 years with his Father. And we all know the story of Joseph. Many people want to be like Joseph. 2014 is our year of Joseph. In the name of Jesus Christ! Amen.
Beloved, this ministry is 13 years of age. To the glory of the Lord, it started in the house. Any church that covers the earth must start from a room. All that the Lord gives is from the room. Jesus Christ was born in the room where humans do not live, a house where people abandoned for animals. The first underground was born in the room. Where Jesus Christ said, "Go to Galilee and wait for me there". I imagine that He spoke to many people that day. But the day when the Holy Spirit will land on the earth, many people will find excuses not to come. People will say, "Hey , I 'm going to visit my friends " or " I have a class and I have to study tomorrow." The devil will retain them for things that are worthless. Friends who are worthless will hold them back. The day the LORD will bless his people, is the day that the devil withholds them. But may the people who belong to us in the diasporas, listen to me this afternoon . My word will reach you where you are. And time has no influence in what I am saying today. In the name of Jesus Christ.
The day the Holy Spirit wanted to land on the earth, there were only 120 people in the room. This was the day the Lord wanted to give power to the people. I can imagine after that day, the other people will start crying: "Uh, how did I miss that? I am always at the prayer meeting! I come to sweep the church!" There will be excuses everywhere, many justifications (Oh Lord, that day it was my teacher who told me to go to school. Excuse me!). Even if you do not have work to do, you will give yourself a job because you do not want to be useful for the works of the Lord. I said a prayer and I will say it again today. Anyone who seeks to exploit me, who seeks to exploit the Lord in my life, the Lord is going to ruin your life, whoever it may be. But if you have a real heart to know what the Lord wants to do in your life, I am willing to sacrifice everything in my life to help you in life. I am ready to accompany you through your projects in life. Because I don't exploit anyone in life. And the Lord does not want us to exploit him. There is no one who exploits the Lord and will live peacefully in life! Amen!
And Joseph was only 17 years. And after 17 years, it was just a task that his Father gave him; which was to go and look for his brothers and give them something to eat. Seeing him come, they said "this is the dreamer coming!" If his father knew that was the end of Joseph for a while, he would not have sent him. If your parents knew that you will take some time before visiting them again, they would not have allowed you to leave too. Because the day you left, maybe someone told them that you will come from time to time to pay them a visit because it's a favor.
Most of you have the opportunity to go home, but the current situations do not allow you to return home. You are not illegal! Amen. I say that you are not illegal! Amen. But you are so ashamed that you do not want someone to see you like this. That is for the people who have already experienced something where they are. But for those who just arrived, it's like they should go back today. Stay a little while and your story will change! In the name of Jesus Christ! Amen.
And Joseph was only 17 years. And a simple "go and give some food to your brothers", cost him 13 years. What did I say, even more than 13 years! Because after 17 years, he was in Egypt for 13 years. He suffered for 12 years. And the thirteenth year, the Lord raised him. I am here to add the value of 13 years to your life, 13 years worth of blessing upon your life. That's recalibration and repositioning. Even if you have never suffered, today you will have a value of 13 years of blessings added to your life. All that I have as blessings, you will also have them! It has got nothing to do with the fact that you are here for the first time, provided it is not your last time!
For 13 years, Joseph was in prison suffering. The last word that Joseph used before the Lord remembered him. He told the butler after he had exposed his dream. He said, "Please! I am suffering for what I did not do! Where I am today, I did not deserve to be here. I was brought here for no fault! Please when you get out of here, talk to Pharaoh about me, so that he can free me from here. He did not say "Tell Pharaoh to raise me, so that I get promoted!"
He said, "just talk to Pharaoh; yet the Lord said that he was prospering in prison! This is not that kind of prosperity that I want so much! So talk about me to Pharaoh so that he could release me from here to continue my life peacefully and find a way to spend my life. "And the butler left without remembering Joseph. Perhaps there are people who gave you promises before you left your country, saying "When you arrive there, I will not forget you. I will help you. And I will take care of you very well". I do not know what kind of words you have been given, or that someone has promised you before.
There is nobody who says something for it to happen except the LORD has said it. I give you the word of happiness today. They have forgotten you, but God will remember you. And it is today. Now, the Lord will remember you when they put you in jail illegally! I do not mean the prison where thieves are put! There are different types of prisons in life: when you cannot eat to your satisfaction, you are in prison, my beloved! When you are known as someone who borrows, beloved, you are in prison! When your life is disrupted by diseases you are prison! When you cannot find something to do, you are in prison. The prisons vary!
If you are put in jail with thieves, you will be given at least what to eat there. Go and check very well, naturally, there are people who are released from prison, they will go out on the road and do something worse than why they were put in jail before. And when asked why they did that? They answered that it was better living in jail that on their own out of jail. But you will come out of your prison, in the name of Jesus Christ! I said you will get out of your prison, in the name of Jesus Christ!
And Joseph was there for 12 years suffering. And the LORD made things in a way that Pharaoh had a dream exactly 2 years after the butler was released. And the butler remembered that "this is my fault today, there was someone who is in prison and who interpreted my dream". And this is how Joseph was not only released but also promoted. Today you will be freed and you will be promoted in the name of Jesus Christ! Amen. I said that you will be freed and you will be promoted! Amen.
You might say you already have your freedom! But you know that you are in prison! Prison of what you want! Prison of your desires! Prison of different things! So 17 to 30 years, how many years, please? 13 years. In the thirteenth year there will always be a recalibration, a positive repositioning with a high glory in your life in the name of Jesus Christ! No matter who you are, even if you did not deserve it, this power of grace will come upon your life. The Lord revisited Joseph. In the thirteenth year, you will have a new visit from the Lord in the name of the Lord Jesus Christ!
Even if you look at the life of Ishmael, and you say "Ishmael is someone that the Lord does not love!". Who told you that the Lord does not want him? Ishmael was the first son of Abram. Situations in which Ishmael was conceived were precarious. But when the Lord revisited Abram, it was in the 13th year of Ishmael, in the name of Jesus Christ! I said it was in the 13th year of Ishmael. I will deepen this when I get there. You know, my beloved in case you did not know before: the promises of blessings from the Lord are often given to people as they go through difficult situations. The Lord calls this period as the formative period or the formative years of your life. But the promises made will not be realized, except the Lord sees that you're mature for the promises.
And so, the Lord began to speak to Moses who lived for 120 years. But go ahead with me to the book of Psalms 90: 9 and see what Moses said there. Moses began to speak for the people of Israel. Moses who lived for 120 years, he prayed an unusual prayer. Prayers based on his experiences and the circumstances in which he found himself. Psalm 90: 9 "All our days pass away because of your anger, seeing us off our years like a sigh." He said "our life is like for someone to tell stories to people!". So if Moses who was 120 years, said that his life is like a story being told! What about yours? What will someone tell about your life? If you like it or not, we will have something to say about you! He continued to say, "The time of our lives amount to 70 years." But Moses lived for how many years? 120 years. But he said that the days of our lives amount to how many years? 70 years. There is something that Moses is saying here that you do not understand. Is Moses saying people should exceed 70 years before dying? No. But it is what I want bring out from here before going deeper.
He began to say to the Lord in Psalm 90:12 "Teach us to number our days." My beloved, you will say "I have not yet reached the age of 70, and why count my days?" But I want to ask you a few questions:
- What do You count in your days?
- And how do You count your days?
When Jacob spoke to Pharaoh who had asked him a question: how old are you? At that time, he was 130 years old. But he did not answer directly. He said, "the days of your servant are fewer than that of my fathers. Your servant is only 130 years. He died at 147 years. Because of the 17 years Joseph spent away from him, the LORD repaid him back! This is why people who are dear to you in life should not think they have lost you.
- What do You count in your days?
- And how do You count your days?
According to the Lord, if you do not appreciate the role and the lessons of your adversity, you will never succeed in knowing how to count your days, or even how to apply your heart to wisdom. What people do today, is not to count their days, because what you are currently doing is to celebrate your birthday. But you do not remember, how to count before the LORD your days of suffering, your days of adversity, your happiness, and generally everything before the LORD.
So when the Lord comes to speak, he only does so by an authority established and verified by him, especially a spiritual authority. And why does he do so? This is to avoid confusion. To avoid the emptiness upon the people. So if someone comes now and says that the Lord spoke to me, and there is no established authority there, there will be confusion. This is because there is emptiness there. And that is why the spirit of the prophets must be subject to prophets.
So the overall affairs of the life of a spiritual authority is always used as a foundation to a standard specimen, and an indicator to recalibrate, modify, reposition and revitalize the life of a people, a government, a nation, or a church. Therefore, the overall affair of a delegated spiritual authority is often used by the Lord to be a standard, a specimen, an indicator to recalibrate, modify, reposition and revitalize the life of a people , a government, a nation or a church. So when people do not allow this to be done in their lives, or a church that says, "Oh , I only want the Lord to do what he wants to do by this principle," because you know a passage in the Bible is not sufficient to negate the principle there. And you have become arrogant, and you say that's what the Lord has done for me! Your life will be ruined before the LORD! Amen.
Why does the Lord of Hosts recalibrate the life of his people using the life of a spiritual authority established over the people? Why does the LORD do so? Because I have to establish everything before the prophecy of 2014!
N°1.The first reason is that the Lord loves his people. In the different areas of their lives, He loves them. And He wants to give evidences that He wants to bless them. He would like to prove to them that he would like to bless them! But he must have a reference point that will connect your adversity to another adversity. For example, if the Lord wants to bless me, he will watch my adversity and the adversity of the person under whom I am spiritually established. He will bind my adversity to the adversity of that person. And the Lord will say "I will bless you according to his adversity, not yours." This is under the condition that I am faithful to that person. Amen! And when you do not want to do that, the Lord will say you are not humble, you're not obedient, you are proud. So the Lord wants to prove his love for us, but it must have a reference point in our destiny.
N°2. The second reason why the Lord recalibrates the life of his people using the life of a spiritual authority established over them, is simply because the Lord blesses only people who are in adversity. If you are not in adversity, you are in prosperity. Is this not correct, my beloved? So there is no equity when you leave people who are in adversity and you continue blessing only those who are already blessed. That is why the Lord is a God of justice. The Lord blesses those who go through or are about to go through adversity. Because it gives no meaning to abandon people who are suffering and bless the people who are already blessed!
N°3.Why will the LORD use a spiritual authority established to recalibrate the suffering of his people? This is because he wants the life of this spiritual authority established to be a guide for people who go through difficult situations and also those who will follow later. If you are a guide, it means that your life is fruitful! And the LORD will not use someone else's life that is not productive to guide others. Amen.
N°4. This is to demonstrate the importance of spiritual Fatherhood upon vulnerable people. You know in the society, my beloved, although governments say they are doing their job, there are five categories of people who are very vulnerable :
1) women ,
2 ) children,
3) the sick,
4) orphans
5) and widows.
These are the categories of the most vulnerable people in the society. It should not surprise you that God is the husband of widows. So that is why God is the Father of orphans. That is why he is the one who heals our diseases. That is why he is the one who gives the right to women at home! There is nothing in life, according to the divine scriptures, which makes a woman inferior to her husband. And there must not be a social law which will also seek to weaken women by denying them their rights. By saying something like "I am the authority!" This is because one, you are tormented ... or you know your problem! Because when a woman advances in the house, her husband will advance further. Over rule your wife and you too will be locked up! These are divine principles! May the men in government who are listening to me use and act in accordance with this Word. If you want to advance very quickly in life, find all ways to quickly make your wife advance! Unleash your wife because she is a potential source at home! She is a blessing at home! All that you can be in life is in your wife! If you can only free her, you will see what the Lord will do in your life, in the name of Jesus Christ! And the people say, Amen!
And so the Lord wants to show the Spiritual Fatherhood upon the people especially for people who are vulnerable. And why will the Lord recalibrate the life of his people through the life of a spiritual authority?
Beloved, you know recently, my Mentor was here. He declared over Nigeria that Abacha will die before this date. And he died! When he said these kind of Words, Abacha was President at that time. Amen! And the people say, Amen.
And he said that there will be no elections. We have already prepared everything! Babangida who was the President at the time, two hours before the election, canceled the elections. People began to seek for the Prophet: but where did you find this information? Looks like you are friends with the President! He replied by saying that you know it yourself that the President put me in jail! But when he found nothing against me, he released me. You can do nothing against the Word that proceeds from the mouth of the LORD. Today, I call you to pray a lot for Gbagbo. And pray a lot for the current President of Côte d'Ivoire. I will not say more than that! I am already praying in secret for them. What I see does not give me joy: this is a very huge and very rich country in West Africa, a very large country. I am talking about Ivory Coast. Amen! And nobody should touch this country for their own benefit in the name of Jesus Christ! Pray for these two people in the name of Jesus Christ!
And the LORD will recalibrate the lives of his people through the life of his servant because he would reward people who have suffered unjustly. They suffered for something they did not do . There are many people here who are suffering, not because they have sinned , but because they do not know why they are even suffering! They say "what is happening to me now , I do not know where it came from ! " . My beloved , I have a very sweet word from the Lord for you, it is that today is the end of that suffering . Amen ! What terrifies you before , you will terrify it in the name of Jesus Christ! You go out of your shell in the name of Jesus Christ! He who seeks to destroy you , will destroy himself! You are not going to have anything stained in your hand because the Lord himself will fight for you in the name of Jesus Christ!
The Lord will recalibrate people's lives through the life of his servant because he wants to rebalance their lives to bring them into progress. He would bring balance and order in their lives! Amen . There are times , you know, the LORD sets apart days, seasons or periods to bless his people. This does not mean that the Lord does not bless every day, but when the Lord comes and says " Today I want to bless you," it's a different blessing. Nobody can cancel this blessing! As I just told you in the book of II King 7 about the Prophet Elisha saying "Today, the price of commodities that are sold in the country will fall . " . In Haggai 2: 19 " Are there the seed yet in the attic ? Even the vine, the fig tree, the pomegranate and the olive tree have reported nothing. But from this day I will give the blessing. " So He said, " Today, I will give you the blessing." So I also tell you that today, December 29, 2013 until the end of your life, you will be blessed ! I said that you will be blessed ! You are not behaving like someone who is blessed! I said from now until the end of your life , you will be blessed ! Amen . You will be blessed! Amen . You will be blessed! Amen . Whatever you do, you will be blessed in the name of Jesus Christ! Amen . In the works of your hand, you will be blessed ! Amen . In the expectations of your life , you will be blessed! Amen . Members of your family will be blessed ! Amen . In everything you undertake , you will be blessed ! Beyond your imagination, you will be blessed in the name of Jesus Christ! Amen .
This December 29, 2013 marks a turning point in your life ! Amen . You are blessed !The members of your family are blessed in the name of Jesus Christ! He who seeks to curse you will be cursed in the name of Jesus Christ! Amen . You are blessed ! No more diseases in the name of Jesus Christ! No more delays in fulfillment of your expectations in the name of Jesus Christ!
Everyone say this with me "From today, I am blessed ! The works of my hands are blessed ! My health is blessed ! The expectations in my heart are blessed !The projects of my life are blessed in the name of Jesus Christ! " .
You are blessed ! My children in the Diaspora are blessed! Amen . Regardless of where you are : those who are in South America or the Caribbean , you are blessed ! Amen . Those in North America, you are blessed ! Amen . Those in Europe , you are blessed ! Amen . Those in Africa, you are blessed! Amen . Those in Asia, you are blessed ! Those in the Pacific, you are blessed ! Regardless of where you are located , you are blessed ! Amen . You are blessed with a blessing of a Father in the name of Jesus Christ! Amen . Whoever curses you , it's me He cursed ! I am a furious fighter! I do not lose the war because the Lord of host is always on my right hand . Uh ! Come with your maneuver! The Lord of Hosts is for us in the name of Jesus Christ! You can threaten us, we are under threats and we are more than conquerors in the name of Jesus Christ! There is nothing you will do that will discourage us. From the beginning of my life until now , I have never been discouraged. Bring your threats ! Bring them here ! The Lord is with us. You cannot prevent the children predestined to prosperity in the name of Jesus Christ. Whatever you want to manipulate! Whatever policies are in the country, you will progress in your country! Amen . You will reign in your country! You will lead your country in the name of Jesus Christ! No power can stop you in life in the name of Jesus Christ!
2014 is a year of Joseph . All say with me " 2014, this is the year of Joseph in the name of Jesus Christ! " . So whenever the Lord wants to bless a people, a church or a nation, a prophetic word must come out. And people must urgently connect themselves to this prophecy and play their role there. Prophecies conform the lives of people to a blessing. Do you understand this ? Prophecies conform the lives of people to a blessing and not vice- versa. A prophecy conforms my life, that of someone else to a blessing. You Should allow this prophecy to conform and connect your life to this blessing in the name of Jesus Christ.


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I first came across L Nichols work via her comic for Retrofit: Flocks. To date, Flocks is one of the most powerful works I've read, and one which, to be perfectly honest, I'd most likely avoid on paper. It charts Nichols' own experiences of growing up in a Christian household and community and realising she's gay […]
Show the love: Third Annual Mini-Comics Day
I'm a HUGE mini-comics fan; I think they encapsulate the potential and diversity of the medium perfectly in the way in which they combine storytelling, art, and innovation with accessibility and a do-it-yourself attitude. Its currently a very good time to be fond of the floppy- the format has been experiencing somewhat of a revival in the past year […]
Veni, Vidi, Vici: 3 great comics you need to read
Ok, so the title's a bit dubious, but I thought it'd be nice to have a feature where we look at 3 comics, the criteria being that these are either older books I've missed, or smaller, self published work. To kick things off, a top notch trio- I enjoyed each one of these offerings immensely, albeit in different ways. […]
Becky Cloonan Reveals New Mini-Comic, 'Demeter'
Becky Cloonan, she of making universally acclaimed mini-comics when not drawing Batman, Swamp Thing, Northlanders and Demo fame, has just announced that this year she'll be publishing her third mini-comic. This will follow the previous success of her self-published comics Wolves and The Mire. Called Demeter, here's the teaser image for the comic Cloonan revealed only scant moments […]
INTERVIEW: Adam Cadwell, live from Thought Bubble!
Adam Cadwell is a writer and artist whose works include The Everyday, an autobiographical webcomic which ran for three years between 2007 and 2010. He is currently working on the six-issue series Blood Blokes, about vampire life in Manchester. Which, it turns out, is very similar to just plain old 'life' in Manchester.
INTERVIEW: Becky Cloonan on THE MIRE, CONAN, and The Self-Published Life
Working for the Man: MoCCA 2012
BY JEN VAUGHN – Fantagraphics Books isn't necessarily THE MAN of the comics world but since I've only ever self-published my own comics, MoCCA 2012 was my first two days on the job as a staff member of the independent comics publisher. There are more than a few differences between the two experiences. Read on!
End of a Hair-a
The date was December 9th, 2011 when cartoonist and Center for Cartoon Studies professor Alec Longstreth shaved off his beard and shaggy do. A promise to himself in 2008, he decided to chart his progress through pictures of his hair and beard growth that would undoubtedly remind him daily of his commitment. Living in a small town with a beard as his shadow, Longstreth went from industrious Fellow of the school to an instructor of both summer workshops and graduate classes to the Acting Director (while James Sturm takes a much-needed sabbatical) . Even after all the excitement, he is still growing and evolving, deciding to learn watercolor on the side. Venture on to read more about the amazing cartoonist Alec Longstreth.


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31 results for "ryan white"
NFL - How to bet New England-Atlanta on Sunday nightEvan Abrams
Evan Abrams gives a gambling preview of how to bet New England-Atlanta.Story | Conversation | September 29, 2013
How to stop the Denver Broncos and other top passing attacks - NF...Mike Sando and Matt Williamson
Mike Sando and Matt Williamson debate the best tactics to slow down the NFL's top offenses, including those of the Broncos, Packers, Falcons and Saints.Story | Conversation | September 20, 2013
NFL - Why the Miami Dolphins can win the AFC EastKC Joyner
KC Joyner explains why the Miami Dolphins can challenge the New England Patriots for the AFC East crown this season.Story | Conversation | September 05, 2013
Fantasy Football 2013 - Tim Hasselbeck - Ruling on top QB draft d...Tim Hasselbeck
ESPN's Tim Hasselbeck takes a look at three big QB debates: Brady vs. Newton, Ryan vs. Kaepernick and Stafford vs. RG III.Story | Conversation | August 15, 2013
Fantasy Football 2013 - Dez Bryant leads undervalued WRsKC Joyner
KC Joyner breaks down the most undervalued wide receivers in fantasy football this year.Story | Conversation | August 14, 2013
NFL - Aaron Rodgers among most irreplaceable playersRivers McCown
Rivers McCown of Football Outsiders examines the NFL's most irreplaceable players at the offensive skill positions.Story | Conversation | August 01, 2013
NFL - Why the Tampa Bay Buccaneers can make the postseasonKC Joyner
KC Joyner looks in-depth at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and explains why they could be a playoff team after upgrades this offseason.Story | Conversation | July 03, 2013
NFL Future Power Rankings - Projecting every franchise entering 2...ESPN Insider Staff
Insider NFL analysts Mel Kiper, Gary Horton, Matt Williamson, Field Yates and Herm Edwards break down every NFL team in five key categories to see how the league might stack up three years from now entering the 2016 season.Story | Conversation | June 19, 2013
NFL Playoffs - Jaws - Breaking down the foundation of each champi...Ron Jaworski
Ron Jaworski examines the foundations of the four championship game offenses -- the 49ers' power ground game, the Falcons' screen-passing attack, the Ravens' rushing game and the Pats' high-volume onslaught -- and outlines keys to slowing them down.Story | Conversation | January 18, 2013
NFL - Are the Atlanta Falcons too old to vie for a Super Bowl bey...Danny Tuccitto
Danny Tuccitto examines how old the Atlanta Falcons' roster, and their defensive, offensive and special-teams units, is relative to other NFL teams and analyzes if the Falcons' "old age" could mean the end of their title hopes beyond this season.Story | Conversation | December 06, 2012
NFL - Atlanta Falcons' potentially fatal flawsVince Verhei
Yes, the Falcons sit at 6-0 and figure to finish with another great regular season record. But if Atlanta wants to clear the hurdle of familiar postseason failures, they'll need to improve on both sides of the run game.Story | Conversation | October 16, 2012
NFL - Ron Jaworski - Inside the Atlanta Falcons' rapid-fire offen...Ron Jaworski
Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons are using an improved no-huddle attack to make their offense even more lethal.Story | Conversation | September 14, 2012
10 hyped Texas Longhorns recruits that never wereMax Olson and William Wilkerson
Many recruits come to Texas with extraordinary hype. Some are able to match those expectations while some never live up to the billing.Story | Conversation | January 24, 2012
Fred Jackson's calf injury makes a slumping offense for fantasy e...Eric Karabell
Eric Karabell reacts to the news that Fred Jackson will miss at least this week's game because of a calf injury, from a fantasy perspective, discussing other Buffalo Bills options such as C.J. Spiller and Ryan Fitzpatrick.Blog | Conversation | November 23, 2011
2011 NFL draft: Why Julio Jones can help the Atlanta Falcons win ...KC Joyner
KC Joyner analyzes the Atlanta Falcons' draft-day move to grab wide receiver Julio Jones. Because of Jones' ability to help out in the Falcons' short-passing attack, Joyner thinks it was a great deal for Atlanta.Story | Conversation | May 05, 2011
NFL: 12 things you should already know about the Atlanta FalconsDavid Fleming
David Fleming serves up 12 reasons the Falcons are the team to beat in the NFC.Story | Conversation | December 03, 2010


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Getting Pregnant
Labor and Delivery
Baby and Beyond
I'm almost finished with it -- one seam and some ends to work in. I *should* have done a better job reading the "finishing" instructions. I didn't allow 3:1 consistently between the white expandable and the smaller knitting, but I think it will be fine anyway. Next bag I'll pay attention. Once it's finished and I have enough energy, I'll take pix and share.
It's a free lion brand pattern. You do have to register to view them though.
Very cool! I was in Target not too long ago and they have this reusable shopping bags that fold up and zipper closed and immediately i thought "If I could invent a knitting pattern for something like this that would be awesome!"
Definitely share pics!
Emma 08/31/01
Aodhan 07/24/03
Lillian 03/04/05
Nathalie 07/01/07
Cecilia Marie 1/10/10
Photo By Anne Schmidt Photography
I used worsted weight cotton for this project - leftover raspberry swirl and white. Here it is empty:
And with groceries, although it could definitely hold more:
I've heard of knotting together your cotton yarn scraps and just leaving the knots as part of the pattern. That might be interesting for the bottom, sides and handles on this. It would truly be a recycled and "green" pattern then.
Jules, it came out great! Is it sturdy? How much weight do you think it can hold? Thats somethign I always worry about with knit bags, unless they are felted.
Have you ever seen the ones that are made from plastic grocery bags? THey are pretty neat too, i might try it someday:
This one is just a little gift bag
This link is to a bigger tote size:
They call it 'plarn' (plastic yarn I guess?) and if you google it, you can find lots of links to all sorts of plarn creations!
Last edited by KimPossible; 03-02-2008 at 12:10 AM.
Emma 08/31/01
Aodhan 07/24/03
Lillian 03/04/05
Nathalie 07/01/07
Cecilia Marie 1/10/10
Photo By Anne Schmidt Photography


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Global Macro: Volatility Finally Gets a Bid
NEW YORK ( TheStreet) -- Fear indicators spiked higher on Tuesday as politicians again failed to reopen the U.S. government.
There was no major breakdown in equity markets, but fear indicators were bid higher as investors looked to hedge a potential selloff if a deal cannot be reached by Thursday.
The first chart below is of Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX).
Gold was bid higher, which led to an outperformance of this industry group, even as most investors turned away from equities.The chart below shows a solid technical set up, as the price action coiled tightly the past few days. The breakdown of talks in the late afternoon hours was enough to propel the index higher. If a deal can be completed prior to Thursday, a relief rally in equities would probably ensue, leading to the selling of gold miners. On the other hand, the price action again looks wound tightly, so further political impasse could lead to a push towards monthly highs. The next chart is of iPath S&P 500 VIX ST Futures ETN (VXX). After the close on Tuesday, the Fitch ratings agency put U.S. debt on negative watch. This is similar to what happened in 2011 as Standard and Poor's gave a negative rating to the United States, citing government polarization. A broad selloff in equities has yet to happen, but the volatility index, as pictured below, has been bid higher in preparation for investor panic. Fitch stated in its report that a debt agreement was probable, which is similarly reflected in the volatility index. It has been bid higher, but a default would be catastrophic, potentially pushing the index to record highs. The index is nowhere near record highs just yet, but fear is certainly an issue. Expect continued delay in opening the government to cause hedge assets to be the most attractive investment for the time being. At the time of publication the author had no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Follow @AndrewSachais This article was written by an independent contributor, separate from TheStreet's regular news coverage.
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Category Archives: Writers Write
I ate at a favorite restaurant yesterday, Josephine's. I love this place so much I used it as a setting in a novel.
Charlie's Chili was an icehouse. Annie didn't know what that meant before she became a Texan. The fact that the century old building once housed Finkle's meat market said everything about its current incarnation.
It faced the end of a freeway exit ramp. That was why the owner left the tree. A live oak once grew up through the ceiling. Now, only the trunk remained, blocking the view from the door and forming a barricade to the patrons beyond. To the left was the bar. Booths lined the opposite wall, and tables filled the space between. The kitchen with its pass-through window anchored the back, and beside it, the hall to the restroom. Texas tunes played on the jukebox–Willie Nelson, Jerry Jeff Walker, and the Dixie Chicks, before and after their George W. Bush comments.
The food was local. The beer was cold. The crowd crammed in like planks in the hardwood floor, warped and wavy with the shifting times.
How To Get It Done
Breaking a rule here. A while back, I decided NOT to write about writing. After all, I'm out to recruit readers not writers to my little slice of the internet. Crisply Spoken is supposed to be about developing my voice.
Problem #1: I got stuck. And when I have a problem, I'm miserable until I find an answer.
Problem #2: I found too many answers. The internet is loaded with advice. Most of it—not that great.
I read so many blogs about how to fix my slow drift into the soft haze of apathy, I started looking for a correlation. Wow. That sentence sure sums it all up into a tidy stack. The insight wasn't tidy. It was NOT a Eureka moment. It was more like constipation. Like the hives. Like lactose intolerance. Definitely unbecoming. Absolutely passive aggressive.
In my search for the answer to writer's block, the same title appeared again and again. Every creative with half a clue mentioned the same book. Since I don't want to appear clueless, I'm sharing it with you.
The War of Art by Steven Pressfield
I won't summarize. If you have a real problem, you need to read the whole book. It's short. 190 pages. I will say this. Now, I don't worry if I'm good. I don't worry if anyone will read my work. I don't worry about finding an agent or making a sale. I worry about showing up. That's the goal. Every day, I sit down at my laptop and type. It turns out, showing up works for me. If you're struggling, I hope it works for you. Read the book, The War of Art by Steven Pressfield.
False Assumption
I have a neighbor, who sends me junk email. Specifically, she posts political propaganda in opposition to my beliefs. She doesn't mean to be malicious (at least not to me personally. She's very malicious in her views.) She simply believes I think like she does.
I delete the emails. I read the first few words to make sure it's spam. And then, I hit the D button.
I'm tempted to hit return and debate the garbage, but it wouldn't change her mind. I'm tempted to put a placard in my front yard like the neighbor down the street, No Selfishness. Or a bumper sticker on my car, Vote for ___. I'm tempted to sign her up for all of my liberal leaning political action groups, but the message would be lost on her.
Robert Frost wrote, "Good fences make good neighbors." I've built a twenty-first century fence around my property, a boundary of non-response.


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If you like the itinerary below please quote REF AFRICA 856 when enquiring for further details.
Alternatively you may like modify this trip with your own Holiday Wish List
Welcome to Tantalizing Tanzania! Arriving at Arusha Airport you will see our friendly local team waiting to transfer you to your hotel.
We spend the morning on a game drive through Tarangire National Park with its shimmering acacia sands, old baobab trees, Masai tribes and herds of elephant. In the dry season of July - October, Tarangire National Park surpasses the Serengeto on terms of animal concentration as big herds begin to congregate around the Tarangire River. In the afternoon we continue on to Karatu and our lodge in the Ngorongoro Highlands.
Today we head to the Ngorongoro Crater, descending into the crater floor itself, for an exciting game drive. We spend the morning exploring this fascinating wildlife amphitheatre, home to nearly 25,000 animals, which remain in the crater due to the constant supply of water from the springs.
This morning we set off to the vast plains of the Serengeti on a full day game drive taking a picnic lunch with us before checking into our lodge on the outskirts of the park.
For today and tomorrow enjoy full day game drives in the park to see the incredible wildlife. Daily we enjoy a picnic lunch will be enjoyed in a secluded spot in the park among the wildlife.
We have a full day driving through the Serengeti back to Karatu, ending up at the Bougainvillea Lodge and passing through incredible scenery and game rich country en route.
Morning we head back to Arusha and assist you catching your onward flight to Zanzibar. End of our arrangements.


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Unproven Social Media Stocks Winning Election 2012
Other media are expected to get a big earnings boost as election year ad spending eclipses new records, driven by new campaign fundraising records and super PAC spending.
Bernstein Research recently highlighted a second half earnings boost to Comcast (CMCSA), Time Warner Cable (TWC), Charter Communications (CHTR) and Cablevision (CVC) because cable networks are better positioned to distribute targeted TV ads to users in swing states. Meanwhile, Moody's highlights local media like Gray Television (GTN) and Media General (MEG) as highly levered to 2012 elections.
Carl Salas, a media and entertainment ratings analyst with Moody's, highlights campaign spending as a key growth market relative to the overall ad market and highlights Web-based players like Facebook as growing faster than traditional broadcast media given a small base.
Still, Salas tempers expectations social media will make the ads dominating airtime in swing states irrelevant anytime soon. "We are seeing market share being taken away
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Jim Cramer's protege, David Peltier, identifies the best of breed dividend stocks that will pay a reliable AND significant income stream.
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