text: Strict Standards: Redefining already defined constructor for class XML_Parser in /home/sites/www.americanpoems.com/web/store/aom/includes/os.php on line 1188 Strict Standards: Declaration of XML_Parser::raiseError() should be compatible with PEAR::raiseError($message = NULL, $code = NULL, $mode = NULL, $options = NULL, $userinfo = NULL, $error_class = NULL, $skipmsg = false) in /home/sites/www.americanpoems.com/web/store/aom/includes/os.php on line 1604 Strict Standards: Declaration of XML_Unserializer::startHandler() should be compatible with XML_Parser::startHandler($xp, $elem, &$attribs) in /home/sites/www.americanpoems.com/web/store/aom/includes/os.php on line 3503 Strict Standards: Declaration of Cache_Lite_File::get() should be compatible with Cache_Lite::get($id, $group = 'default', $doNotTestCacheValidity = false) in /home/sites/www.americanpoems.com/web/store/aom/includes/cache.php on line 1020 American Poems: Miscellaneous: Wide Angle Lens for MagicShine, Gemini, and many other Bike Lights / Headlight. Includes O-Ring Home Apparel Appliances Books DVD Electronics Home & Garden Kindle eBooks Magazines Music Outdoor Living Software Tools & Hardware PC & Video Games Search All Products Apparel Appliances Arts & Crafts Automotive Baby Beauty Books Computers DVD Electronics Gourmet Food Grocery Health Home & Garden Industrial & Science Jewelry Kindle eBooks Kitchen Magazines Miscellaneous Mobile Apps MP3 Downloads Music Musical Instruments Office Products Outdoor Living Pet Supplies Photo & Camera Shoes Software Sporting Goods Tools & Hardware Toys VHS Video On Demand PC & Video Games Watches Wireless Wireless Accessories Advanced Search Sitemap View Cart Checkout Location: Home » Miscellaneous » Wide Angle Lens for MagicShine, Gemini, and many other Bike Lights / Headlight. Includes O-Ring Wide Angle Lens for MagicShine, Gemini, and many other Bike Lights / Headlight. Includes O-Ring enlarge Other Views: Brand:ACTION LED LIGHTS Category:Sports Buy New: $4.95 as of 12/28/2014 12:08 EST details In Stock Seller:Action LED Lights Sales Rank:3,158 Shipping Weight (lbs):0 Dimensions (in):1.6 x 1.6 x 0.1 Model:TP-012LZ UPC:738435490669 EAN:0738435490669 ASIN:B004WLCLQY Availability:Usually ships in 1-2 business days Features: Changes the factory 10 degree spot to a 10 degree x 30 degree flood Wide angle lens spreads the beam out horizontally so light is not wasted in the sky were you don't need it Sized to fit the Magicshine MJ-808/808E/808U or Gemini Titan (39mm dia.) Also fits most Magicshine copies with included O-ring (The so called CREE LED Bike lights) NOTE: ONLY WORKS WITH SINGLE EMITTER LIGHTS Easily installed, Takes just seconds Similar Items: SUPERNIGHT(TM) CREE XML T6 LED Bike Headlight Headlamp Bicycle Light With Rechargeable 4400mAh Batte... RioRand 4 Mode 1200 Lumen CREE XML T6 Bulb LED Bicycle bike HeadLight Lamp Flashlight Light Headlamp CREE T6 LED Bike Bicycle Light HeadLight HeadLamp MagicShine Helmet Mount Kit Refun(TM) Cree Xmlt6 LED Bike Headlight Headlamp Bicycle Light Flashlight with Rechargeable 8800mah ... Editorial Reviews: SynopsisWith the stock lens and reflector these lights produce about a 10 degree beam angle. This allows the light to penetrate far down the road. But for some uses the beam on these lights is too tight. Our Wide Angle Lens changes the standard 10 degree beam into a 10 degree by 30 degree beam. It spreads the light only horizontally, not up in the trees were you don't need it. This keeps the brightness up and lights the full width of the road or trail in front of you. It installs by simply unscrewing the bezel that holds the current lens and replacing it with the new wide angle lens. It's easy to switch back and forth if needed. The lens was designed for the Magicshine MJ-808 (all versions) which comes with an approximately 1mm thick tempered glass lens. Many other copies of this light come with a thicker plain glass lens. To take up the extra thickness for these lights and insure a snug, waterproof fit, an O-ring is included with your lens to place behind the lens. Want a total flood (horizontal and vertical) Install 2 lenses back to back with the ribs at 90 degrees to each other. It produces a 30 degree by 30 degree square beam. Manufactured by Action LED Lights in the USA CERTAIN CONTENT THAT APPEARS ON THIS SITE COMES FROM AMAZON SERVICES LLC. THIS CONTENT IS PROVIDED 'AS IS' AND IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE OR REMOVAL AT ANY TIME. Brought to you by American Poems Categories •Apparel •Appliances •Arts & Crafts •Automotive •Baby •Beauty •Books •Computers •DVD •Electronics •Gourmet Food •Grocery •Health •Home & Garden •Industrial & Science •Jewelry •Kindle eBooks •Kitchen •Magazines •Miscellaneous •Mobile Apps •MP3 Downloads •Music •Musical Instruments •Office Products •Outdoor Living •Pet Supplies •Photo & Camera •Shoes •Software •Sporting Goods •Tools & Hardware •Toys •VHS •Video On Demand •PC & Video Games •Watches •Wireless •Wireless Accessories Subcategories Cycling •Bikes •Bike Frames •Kids' Bikes & Accessories •Parts & Components •Wheels & Accessories •Tires & Tubes •Pedals & Cleats •Helmets •Protective Gear •Clothing •Footwear •Hydration •Accessories •Bike Racks & Bags •Child Seats & Cargo Trailers •Lights & Reflectors •Cycling Electronics •Bike Trainers & Accessories •Car & Truck Racks •Bike Tools & Maintenance •Transportation & Storage •BMX Equipment Related Categories •Cycling Categories Sports & Outdoors


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very compact easy to plug your device must fully support it you have to understand expertly how your device works to operate the OTG function with the right apps i did not use it because my samsung devices did not do any thing when i plugged it in. i guess no support. if you need to connect mouse or ... Read more
It's really a useful device: you can add a standard USB port to your Android tablet or smartphone. I used together with both and it worked! Connect USB card readers, USB memories, USB joystics and so on. It doesn't seem to be a cheap item, and it is strong. none. It works perfectly. I often use it to ... Read more
El cable tiene muy buena pinta, funciona perfectamente con la acer a510. En cuanto a calidad es bastante aceptable y el precio, el mejor de internet. No es demasiado largo, lo que resulta mas cómodo, menos estorbo. la verdad muy buena compra la de este artículo Por el momento no he experimentado ... Read more
This USB On The Go cable (OTG in what follows) enables me many things to do with my android tablet. Works OK, till not interrupted (see cons). Well... I do not know if there is a problem with USB OTG cable or with my tablet... anyway: The communication via OTG cable is constantly interrupted. When using ... Read more
El cable tiene muy buena pinta, funciona perfectamente con la Nexus 10. En cuanto a calidad es bastante aceptable y el precio, el mejor de internet. No es demasiado largo, lo que resulta mas cómodo, menos estorbo. Por el momento no he experimentado ninguna contra. Hay gente que dice que con USB ... Read more
Sturdy ends and good quality cable, it is't as good a branded, but it works for a fraction of the price. I have tested it in a sony tablet s and a motorola rzor, and works perfectly just like the originals. The cable is a little too thin and i worry about losses, errors and temperature. it has a nice ... Read more
- It is compact - It has a nice aspect - I find it very easy to use - Doesn't need drivers - You can use it to charge the phone or other gadgets from the tablet - Very useful for file and music/video exchange - Can be considered too small - Doesn't work for all gadgets or devices Can be very helpful ... Read more
You can't beat the price on this item !!! ° - Price is really good ! ° - Connectors are working properly. ° - No Hassle connection. ° - Maybe a bit short. ° - Micro USB is not really solid, but this is not really related to this item. I bought this to be able to connect my USB ... Read more
I own a Galaxy S3 and it detected as soon i plug the cable. I only tested with a couple of pendrive but they have all work. I had connection problems so a minor movement disconnect the device. In one oportunity my pendrive lost connection while playing a movie and later i could not write on it again.... Read more
Great build quality. I can recoment this product for all people that want to use keyboard, mouse, usb device etc. for smartphone or tablet. I have tested it on my Android Xperia Neo, but if u want to use mass storage device u will need root and custom kernel for that. It works well with keyboard and ... Read more


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Thank you for visiting Rick Obey & Associates
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Give us a call or send an email
We look forward hearing from you
This 60' 2011 Sunseeker Manhattan has Twin MAN 1000hp engines. JOHNNY'S TOY provides pace and space for an owner operator and his family and friends but also provides separate accommodations for 2 crew if desired.
This yacht has an open main deck with walkways and seating areas blending into the salon and helm all flooded by natural light and open views. Enhancing the openness of the upper deck, the galley is below deck, accessed by an attractive stairway to port of the helm station. Three double cabins, master, vip and twin, share the same intrinsic qualities of fit and finish, headroom and natural light. This vessel also has a crew cabin for two with its own head.
The flybridge has a well equipped helm station as well as a large wrap-around dining area, wet bar and sunpad. The emphasis is on open-air comfort with the Bimini top providing sun protection. The pilothouse command center connects with the exterior with a practical, starboard side Pantograph big ship door that the sleek external styling all but conceals.


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For these perilous times, for the men and women who serve the cause of freedom around the world, Holman Bible Publishers is pleased to provide the KJV Military Bible in the large print compact format that is handsome, easy to carry, and designed to meet the specific needs of those who serve in the most difficult of situations.
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WEST SACRAMENTO—It appears to be mystery solved in the case of a West Sacramento couple's urns and ashes. They mysteriously showed up at a vacant house in Pennsylvania a few months ago. Authorities worked to find a next of kin with no success.
It's an after death drama that disturbed friends in West Sacramento who knew Charles and Jean Johnson for years.
"Good people, excellent people," recalled Sherry Watson. She still lives across the street from what was the Johnson's home on Mosswood Circle in West Sacramento.
Both Summy and Watson said the Johnson's had just one child, a son named, Larry, who they believe would be about 55 now. They lost contact with him after Jean Johnson died in 2004. She was 86. Her husband, Charles had died five years earlier, he was also 86.
How their ashes stayed together all these years and showed up in Pennsylvania on the porch of a vacant house was a mystery until Tuesday night. Authorities in Butler County, Pennsylvania report they have found next of kin. They plan to put out a press release Wednesday morning. Unconfirmed reports indicate they located the couple's son in Butler County, that he recently moved there and when he had his parents' ashes sent, someone stole them from his porch the day they arrived and disposed of them on the porch of the vacant house.


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Last week the ABS made a big call. It determined that the "seasonal pattern previously evident for the July, August and September labour force estimates is not apparent in 2014".
The ABS went on to say, "As there is little evidence of seasonality in the July, August and September months for 2014, the ABS has decided that for these months the seasonal factors will be set to one (reflecting no seasonality). This means the seasonally adjusted estimates (other than for the aggregate monthly hours worked series) for these months will be the same as the original series and this will result in revisions to the previously published July and August seasonally adjusted estimates."
I have enormous respect for the ABS, so I am not going to speculate on whether it got this call right or wrong. What I would like to know is what this decision means. And to do that, we will look at the national unemployment rate statistics for persons.
First, however, a quick recap on the seasonal adjustment process. With the monthly labour-force series, ABS uses a multiplicative model of seasonal adjustment, which is described here. The key formulas are as follows:
Original(t) = Trend(t) * Seasonal(t) * Irregular(t)
SeasonallyAdjusted(t) = Original(t) / Seasonal(t)
With a little algebra from the above formulas, we can see the seasonal factor the ABS has applied (including the 1.0 for July, August and September 2014) in the next chart, which plots in blue the seasonal factor applied for each month from February 1978 to September 2014. The red horizontal line is the mean seasonal factor for each month. This chart is evidence that seasonal factors can and do change over time (have a look at December).
To have a look at what the ABS decision meant, I am going to apply the seasonal factor from 2013 for July to September to the 2014 calculation (as an approximation). The values I am substituting back are: 0.937385, 0.975908 and 0.991445.
Because the three relevant seasonal factors are all less than one, their effect is to increase the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for the impacted months - particularly for July (which spiked at 6.4 per cent).
The ABS uses a 13-term Henderson moving average to derive the trend from the seasonally adjusted series. The resulting trend with seasonal adjustment applied for the past three months is now noticeably higher than if it were not applied. If the July result is a rogue, I would expect this difference to decline over the next four months, as further data points emerge.
For me the really interesting question is what will the ABS do next month. If you look at the first chart above, October and November are both months where the seasonal factor boosts the raw unemployment rate to yield a higher seasonally adjusted rate.
Another way to think about this problem is to apply my own seasonal adjustment to the original data. Unfortunately, I do not have as sophisticated software tools as those used by the ABS. I cannot make seasonal adjustments for moving holidays (such as Easter). Nor do I extend the the original data series using a seasonal, auto-regressive, integrated, moving average (SARIMA) regression forecast before undertaking the seasonal decomposition. Consequently, my seasonal weights and final results differ slightly from the ABS. Nonetheless, the results I obtain are reasonably close to the above analysis.
Mark the Graph
I like to plot!
Sunday, October 12
Saturday, October 11
State of the economy
The headline indicator of economic growth looks okay ... not brilliant, but not bad either ...
But the underlying indicators look anaemic ... suggesting things might not feel too flash for the average person on the street ...
And the villain in this saga ...
Sunday, October 5
Sunday, August 3
Pandas 0.14.1
I have just upgraded to Pandas 0.14.1.
It was a pain. At first, none of my graphics programs worked. It looks like a change to the API for parsing Microsoft Excel files was the problem. I am not sure whether my previous approach was wrong (but worked serendipitously), or the API was deliberately changed to break old code (an unusual practice for a point release). If someone knows, I'd appreciate something in the comments below.
What follows are the classes I use to upload Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) and Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) data, with the updates to the parsing stage commented.
And yes, I use Python 2.7, not Python 3 (it's what comes with the Apple Mac).
It was a pain. At first, none of my graphics programs worked. It looks like a change to the API for parsing Microsoft Excel files was the problem. I am not sure whether my previous approach was wrong (but worked serendipitously), or the API was deliberately changed to break old code (an unusual practice for a point release). If someone knows, I'd appreciate something in the comments below.
What follows are the classes I use to upload Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) and Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) data, with the updates to the parsing stage commented.
And yes, I use Python 2.7, not Python 3 (it's what comes with the Apple Mac).
### ABSExcelLoader.py ### written in python 2.7 and pandas 0.14.1 import pandas as pd assert( pd.__version__ >= '0.14.1' ) class ABSExcelLoader: def load(self, pathName, freq='M', index_name=None, verbose=False): """return a dictionary of pandas DataFrame objects for each Data work sheet in an ABS Excel spreadsheet""" wb = pd.ExcelFile(pathName) returnDict = {} for name in wb.sheet_names: if not 'Data' in name: continue # ExcelFile.parse: API behaviour change with pandas 14.1 #df = wb.parse(sheetname=name, skiprows=8, header=9, index_col=0, na_values=['', '-', ' ']) df = wb.parse(sheetname=name, skiprows=9, header=0, index_col=0, na_values=['', '-', ' ']) periods = pd.PeriodIndex(pd.Series(df.index), freq=freq) df.set_index(keys=periods, inplace=True) df.index.name = index_name returnDict[name] = df if verbose: print ("\nFile: '{}', sheet: '{}'".format(pathName, name)) print (df.iloc[:min(5, len(df)), :min(5, len(df.columns))]) return returnDict
### ABSExcelLoader.py ### written in python 2.7 and pandas 0.14.1 import pandas as pd assert( pd.__version__ >= '0.14.1' ) class RBAExcelLoader: def load(self, pathName, freq='M', index_name=None, verbose=False): """return a pandas DataFrame for an RBA Excel spreadsheet""" wb = pd.ExcelFile(pathName) sheetname = 'Data' # ExcelFile.parse: API behaviour change with pandas 14.1 #df = wb.parse(sheetname, skiprows=9, header=10, index_col=0, na_values=['', '-', ' ']) df = wb.parse(sheetname, skiprows=10, header=0, index_col=0, na_values=['', '-', ' ']) periods = pd.PeriodIndex(pd.Series(df.index), freq=freq) df.set_index(keys=periods, inplace=True) if verbose: print "\nFile: '{}', sheet: '{}'".format(pathName, sheetname) print 'Columns: {}'.format(df.columns.tolist()) print 'Top left hand corner ...' print '------------------------' print df.iloc[:min(5, len(df)), :min(5, len(df.columns))] return df
Tuesday, July 15
Seasonal adjustment and decomposition
Having moved from R to python/pandas, one of the things I really miss is the extensive statistics library available in R.
I particularly like the STL function: the seasonal decomposition of a time series by Loess (localised regression). The function allows you to decompose a time series into its seasonal, trend and irregular components using loess. Unfortunately, I could find nothing like it in pandas.
In frustration, I have cobbled together a python/pandas function to decompose a univariate pandas time series item into seasonal, trend and irregular components. The function does not use Loess. Rather it uses a set of processes similar to those used by the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
It also uses a Henderson Moving Average which I had coded previously (see here).
Anyway, I'd be interested to know whether this code works for you. Drop me a line if you end up using it.
Caution: still experimental code.
I particularly like the STL function: the seasonal decomposition of a time series by Loess (localised regression). The function allows you to decompose a time series into its seasonal, trend and irregular components using loess. Unfortunately, I could find nothing like it in pandas.
In frustration, I have cobbled together a python/pandas function to decompose a univariate pandas time series item into seasonal, trend and irregular components. The function does not use Loess. Rather it uses a set of processes similar to those used by the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
It also uses a Henderson Moving Average which I had coded previously (see here).
Anyway, I'd be interested to know whether this code works for you. Drop me a line if you end up using it.
Caution: still experimental code.
## Decompose.py ## produce a time series decomposition import pandas as pd import numpy as np from Henderson import Henderson # --- A selection of seasonal smoothing weights, from which you can select # Note: these are end-weights, they are reversed for the start of a series # Note: your own weights in this form should also work s3x3 = ( np.array([ 5, 11, 11]) / 27.0, np.array([ 3, 7, 10, 7]) / 27.0, np.array([ 1, 2, 3, 2, 1]) / 9.0, ) s3x5 = ( np.array([ 9, 17, 17, 17]) / 60.0, np.array([ 4, 11, 15, 15, 15]) / 60.0, np.array([ 4, 8, 13, 13, 13, 9]) / 60.0, np.array([ 1, 2, 3, 3, 3, 2, 1]) / 15.0, ) s3x9 = ( np.array([0.051, 0.112, 0.173, 0.197, 0.221, 0.246]), np.array([0.028, 0.092, 0.144, 0.160, 0.176, 0.192, 0.208]), np.array([0.032, 0.079, 0.123, 0.133, 0.143, 0.154, 0.163, 0.173]), np.array([0.034, 0.075, 0.113, 0.117, 0.123, 0.128, 0.132, 0.137, 0.141]), np.array([0.034, 0.073, 0.111, 0.113, 0.114, 0.116, 0.117, 0.118, 0.120, 0.084]), np.array([1, 2, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 2, 1]) / 27.0, ) # --- public Decomposition function def Decompose(s, periods=None, model='multiplicative', constantSeasonal=False, seasonalSmoother=s3x5): """ The simple decomposition of a pandas Series s into its trend, seasonal and irregular components. The default is a multiplicative model: Original(t) = Trend(t) * Seasonal(t) * Irregular(t). Can specify an additive model: Original(t) = Trend(t) + Seasonal(t) + Irregular(t) Parameters: - s - the pandas Series, without any missing or NA values, and sorted in ascending order - periods - either a pandas Series indicating the period to which each value of s belongs (of the same length as s, with the same index as s), or an int for the number of periods into which to decompose the series - model - string - either 'multiplicative' or 'additive' - constantSeasonal - bool - whether the seasonal component is constant or (slowly) variable - seasonalSmoother - when not using a constantSeasonal, which of the seasonal smoothers to use (s3x3, s3x5 or s3x9) - default is s3x5 (ie over 7 years for monthly or quarterly data) Returns a pandas DataFrame with columns for each step in the decomposition process (enables debugging). The key columns in the DataFrame are: - 'Original' - the original series - 'SeasAdj' - the seasonally adjusted series - 'Trend' - the trend of the seasonally adjusted series - 'Seasonal' - the seasonal component found through the decomposition process - 'Irregular' - the irregular component found through the decomposition process Notes: Based on ideas gleaned from the Australian Bureau of Statistics: ABS (2005), "An Introductory Course on Times Series Analysis -- Electronic Delivery", Catalogue: 1346,0.55.001, online at: http://www.ausstats.abs.gov.au/ausstats/free.nsf/0/C2714BAD1DD803E6CA256F960072B0C0/$File/1346055001_jan%202005.pdf Does not adjust for moving holidays, public holidays, variable number of working days in month, etc. (ie. it is quite a simple decomposition)""" ### --- Sanity checks and initialisation --- ### # --- sanity checks if periods is None: raise ValueError('The periods parameter is an integer or a Series of integers') if not isinstance(s, pd.core.frame.Series): raise TypeError('The s parameter should be a pandas Series') if not(s.index.is_monotonic and s.index.is_unique): raise ValueError('The index for the s parameter should be unique and sorted') if any(s.isnull()) or not all(np.isfinite(s)): raise ValueError('The s parameter contains NA or infinite values') # --- initialise result = pd.DataFrame(s) result.columns = ['Original'] # --- determine the period if isinstance(periods, pd.core.frame.Series): if not (len(s) == len(periods) and all(s.index == periods.index)) : raise ValueError('The s and periods parameters must have the same index') result['period'] = periods periods = len(periods.unique()) else: periods = int(periods) result['period'] = pd.Series(range(len(result)), index=s.index) % periods if periods < 2: raise ValueError('The periods parameter should be >= 2') if len(s) < (periods * 2) + 1: raise ValueError('The s parameter is not long enough to decompose') # --- settle the length of the Henderson moving average h = max(periods, 7) # ABS uses 13-term HMA for monthly and 7-term for quarterly if h % 2 == 0 : h += 1 # we need an odd number ### --- On to the decomposition process --- ### # --- 1 - derive an initial estimate for the trend component result['1stTrendEst'] = pd.rolling_mean(s, window=periods+1, min_periods=periods+1, center=True) # Note: rolling mean leaves NA values at the start/end of the trend estimate. # --- 2 - preliminary estimate of the seasonal component if model == 'multiplicative': result['1stSeasonalEst'] = result['Original'] / result['1stTrendEst'] else: result['1stSeasonalEst'] = result['Original'] - result['1stTrendEst'] # --- 3 - smooth the seasonal result = _smoothSeasonalComponent(result, periods=periods, constantSeasonal=constantSeasonal, seasonalSmoother=seasonalSmoother, columnToBeSmoothed='1stSeasonalEst', newColumn='2ndSeasonalEst') # --- 4 - extend the smoothed seasonal estimate to full scale if any(result['2ndSeasonalEst'].isnull()) : result = _extendSeries(result, periods=periods, columnToBeExtended='2ndSeasonalEst', newColumn='3rdSeasonalEst') else: result['3rdSeasonalEst'] = result['2ndSeasonalEst'] # --- 5 - preliminary estimate of the seasonally adjusted data if model == 'multiplicative': result['1stSeasAdjEst'] = result['Original'] / result['3rdSeasonalEst'] else: result['1stSeasAdjEst'] = result['Original'] - result['3rdSeasonalEst'] # --- 6 - a better estimate of the trend result['2ndTrendEst'] = Henderson(result['1stSeasAdjEst'], h) # --- 7 - final estimate of the seasonal component if model == 'multiplicative': result['4thSeasonalEst'] = result['Original'] / result['2ndTrendEst'] else: result['4thSeasonalEst'] = result['Original'] - result['2ndTrendEst'] result = _smoothSeasonalComponent(result, periods=periods, constantSeasonal=constantSeasonal, seasonalSmoother=seasonalSmoother, columnToBeSmoothed='4thSeasonalEst', newColumn='Seasonal') # --- 8 - final estimate of the seasonally adjusted series if model == 'multiplicative': result['SeasAdj'] = result['Original'] / result['Seasonal'] else: result['SeasAdj'] = result['Original'] - result['Seasonal'] # --- 9 - final trend estimate result['Trend'] = Henderson(result['SeasAdj'], h) # --- 10 - final irregular if model == 'multiplicative': result['Irregular'] = result['SeasAdj'] / result['Trend'] else: result['Irregular'] = result['SeasAdj'] - result['Trend'] # --- 11 - our job here is done return (result) # --- apply seasonal smoother def _smoothSeasonalComponent(result, periods, constantSeasonal, seasonalSmoother, columnToBeSmoothed, newColumn): # get the key smoothing constants if not constantSeasonal: kS = len(seasonalSmoother) lenS = (len(seasonalSmoother) * 2) -1 centralS = seasonalSmoother[len(seasonalSmoother)-1] # establish an empty return column ... result[newColumn] = np.repeat(np.nan, len(result)) # populate the return column ... for u in result['period'].unique() : # get each of of the seasonals thisSeason = result[result['period'] == u][columnToBeSmoothed] # smooth to a constant seasonal value if constantSeasonal: thisSeasonSmoothed = pd.Series(np.repeat(thisSeason.mean(skipna=True), len(thisSeason)), index=thisSeason.index) # smooth to a slowly changing seasonal value else: # drop NA values which result from step 1 in the decomp process thisSeason = thisSeason.dropna() # apply the seasonalSmoother thisSeasonSmoothed = pd.rolling_apply(thisSeason, window=lenS, func=lambda x: (x * centralS).sum(), min_periods=lenS, center=True) # for short series the above process results in no data ... find a simple mean if all(thisSeasonSmoothed.isnull()) : # same treatment as constant seasonal value above thisSeasonSmoothed = pd.Series(np.repeat(thisSeason.mean(skipna=True), len(thisSeason)), index=thisSeason.index) # handle the end-point problem ... for i in range(kS-1) : if np.isnan(thisSeasonSmoothed.iat[i]) : thisSeasonSmoothed.iat[i] = (thisSeason.iloc[0: i+kS] * (seasonalSmoother[i][::-1])).sum() # note: reversed order at start for i in range(len(thisSeason)-1, len(thisSeason)-kS, -1) : if np.isnan(thisSeasonSmoothed.iat[i]) : thisSeasonSmoothed.iat[i] = ( thisSeason.iloc[i-(kS-1):len(thisSeason)] * seasonalSmoother[len(thisSeason)-1-i]).sum() # package up season by season ... result[newColumn] = result[newColumn].where(result[newColumn].notnull(), other=thisSeasonSmoothed) return (result) # --- extend seasonal components to the full length of series def _extendSeries(result, periods, columnToBeExtended, newColumn): result[newColumn] = result[columnToBeExtended].copy() def fillup(result, fill, startPoint, endPoint): i = startPoint while True: p = result.index[i] result[newColumn].iat[i] = fill[newColumn].at[result['period'].iat[i]] if p >= endPoint: break i += 1 # back-cast if np.isnan(result.iat[0, result.columns.get_loc(newColumn)]): fill = pd.DataFrame(result[newColumn].dropna().iloc[0:periods]) fill['period'] = result['period'][fill.index[0]:fill.index[len(fill)-1]] endPoint = fill.index[0] - 1 fill.index = fill['period'] fillup(result=result, fill=fill, startPoint=0, endPoint=endPoint) # forward-cast if np.isnan(result.iat[len(result)-1, result.columns.get_loc(newColumn)]): fill = result[newColumn].dropna() fill = pd.DataFrame(fill[len(fill)-periods:len(fill)]) fill['period'] = result['period'][fill.index[0]:fill.index[len(fill)-1]] startPoint = result.index.get_loc(fill.index[len(fill)-1] + 1) fill.index = fill['period'] endPoint = result.index[len(result)-1] fillup(result=result, fill=fill, startPoint=startPoint, endPoint=endPoint) return (result)
Posted by Mark Graph 2 comments:
Monday, June 23
Henderson Moving Average
I have posted my R code for a Henderson moving average here. This is the same code in python.
## Henderson.py
## calculate a Henderson moving average
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
def hmaSymmetricWeights(n):
""" derive an n-term array of symmetric 'Henderson Moving Average' weights
formula from ABS (2003), 'A Guide to Interpreting Time Series', page 41.
returns a numpy array of symmetric Henderson weights indexed from 0 to n-1"""
# calculate the constant denominator and terms
m = int((n-1)//2) # the mid point - n must be odd
m1 = (m+1)*(m+1)
m2 = (m+2)*(m+2)
d = float(8*(m+2)*(m2-1)*(4*m2-1)*(4*m2-9)*(4*m2-25))
m3 = (m+3)*(m+3)
# calculate the weights
w = np.repeat(np.nan, n) # Actually indexed from 0 to n-1
for j in range(m+1):
j2 = j*j
v = (315*(m1-j2)*(m2-j2)*(m3-j2)*(3*m2-11*j2-16))/d
w[(m+j)] = v
if j > 0:
w[(m-j)] = v
w.flags.writeable = False # let's make it quasi-immutable
return (w)
def hmaAsymmetricWeights(m, w):
"""calculate the asymmetric end-weights
w --> an array of symmetrical henderson weights (from above function)
m --> the number of asymmetric weights sought; where m < len(w);
returns a numpy array of asymmetrical weights, indexed from 0 to m-1;
formula from Mike Doherty (2001), 'The Surrogate Henderson Filters in X-11',
Aust, NZ J of Stat. 43(4), 2001, pp901-999; see formula (1) on page 903"""
n = len(w) # the number of weights
# - some quick sanity checks
if m >= n:
raise ValueError('The m argument must be less than n')
if m <= int((n-1)//2):
raise ValueError('The m argument must be greater than (n-1)/2')
# --- let's build up Doherty's formula (1) from the top of page 903
# - the second chunk of the formula
sumResidual = w[range(m, n)].sum() / float(m)
# - the last chunk of the formula
sumEnd = 0.0
for i in range(m+1, n+1):
sumEnd += (float(i)-((m+1.0)/2.0)) * w[i-1] # w indexed from 0 to n-1
# - the beta squared / sigma squared - formula at the bottom of page 904
ic = 1.0
if n >= 13 and n < 15:
ic = 3.5
elif n >= 15:
ic = 4.5
b2s2 = (4.0/np.pi)/(ic*ic)
# - the gnarly bit in the middle of the formula
denominator = 1.0 + ((m*(m-1.0)*(m+1.0) / 12.0 ) * b2s2)
u = np.repeat(np.nan, m) # return series - created empty
for r in range(m): # r ranges 0 to m-1; but the formulae assumes 1 to m
numerator = ((r+1.0) - (m+1.0)/2.0) * b2s2
# - finally putting it all together
u[r] = w[r] + sumResidual + ( numerator / denominator ) * sumEnd
u.flags.writeable = False # let's make it quasi-immutable
return (u)
def Henderson(s, n):
""" Calculate an n-term Henderson Moving Average for the Series s
Note: we blithely assume s is ordered, contiguous and without missing data"""
# - some simple sanity checks
if not isinstance(s, pd.core.series.Series):
raise TypeError('The s argument should be a pandas Series')
if not isinstance(n, int):
raise TypeError('The n argument must be an integer')
if n < 5:
raise ValueError('The n argument must be >= 5')
if n % 2 == 0:
raise ValueError('The n argument must be odd')
if len(s) < n:
raise ValueError('The s argument should be a Series longer than n')
# - calculate the symmetric weights
w = hmaSymmetricWeights(n)
# preliminaries
r = pd.Series(np.repeat(np.nan, len(s)), index=s.index) # the empty return vehicle
m = int((n-1)//2)
l = len(s)
# - and now move over the length of the series ...
for i in range(len(s)) :
if i < m:
# --- head section of series
u = hmaAsymmetricWeights(m+i+1, w)[::-1] # reverse - asymmetric to the left
r.iloc[i] = (s.iloc[0:(i+m+1)] * u).sum()
elif i + m >= l:
# --- tail section of series
u = hmaAsymmetricWeights(m+l-i, w)
r.iloc[i] = (s.iloc[(i-m):l] * u).sum()
# --- middle section of series
r.iloc[i] = (s.iloc[(i-m):(i+m+1)] * w).sum()
return (r)
### - test code
# Check against Table 1 in B Quenneville and B Lefrancois (2001),
# "Implicit Forecasts in Musgrave Asymmetric Averages",
# Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the American Statistical Association,
# August 5-9, 2001.
#w = hmaSymmetricWeights(9)
#print(w.sum()) # should be one
#u = hmaAsymmetricWeights(7, w)
#print(u.sum()) # should be one
#print (Henderson(pd.Series(range(30))+pd.Series(np.random.randn(30)), 13))
Labels: Python
Saturday, January 25
Another Python Cheat Sheet
This time for matplotlib.
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text:
Project the dark corners of the collective unconsciousness into reality- Everyone should think more like Corey Smith.
There is no crying allowed in snowboarding-Even after some malevolent figure ollies over your head and burns the true image of your soul into your eyes with their Capita Stairmaster Extreme Wide Snowboard. Accept the fact that media has sucked your soul out through the television and gossip mag covers, pick up a Stairmaster Extreme Wide and spread the good word.
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text:
|Song Title
|Year Released *
|Song Rank
|Please Don't Go
|That's the Way (I Like It)
|Get Down Tonight (arr. M. McFarlane)
Harry Wayne "K.C." Casey (born January 31, 1951) is an American musician, singer, songwriter, and producer. He is most famous for his group, KC and the Sunshine Band, and as a producer of several hits for other artists.
List of links to Harry Wayne Casey fansites:
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text:
Choosing Love Over Friendship
It sucks having to choose between a friend and someone you love. You can't crawl back to your friend if the relationship doesn't work out. And if things don't work out you've lost them both. Back to Article
sorry but booty goes first......
Naaa my fwiendd alwayss come 1st
I Grew Up With My Bestfriend . Aint No Waay Imma Tradee My Bestiee The One Ive Been Riden With For No Dudee Thaat Prolly Isnt Gunna Be There After A Few Months . Buut Still I Have my Bestfriend And My Bf Of A Year But If It Came Down To Choosing . MY BESTFRIEND ALL THE WAY
this is good article
Maybe you could like, uh, tell your best friend that you can hang out with them BOTH and if she refuses well.....What kind of friend would that be???
its lyk bros over ho3s
I got to much love for the Broskis
Jeeeezzz ; Thisss Questionnn Maddd Confusinnng ! Likeee Idk Who Tf To Chooseee . Urrgghh !!! '__'
Ikrrrrr -
My Bishes Or My Boo ? Not A Fair Question .
Rite Which To Choose ...
Besst Franssss ? My N'gga ? Wowwwww -___-
Besties Or Boyfriend????
franns?? love??
I would choose friendship,guys are nothin' friends are somethin'


text:
Flames v. Hurricanes Postgame: Take that, Ric Flair
February 04 2010 12:57AM
Calgary Flames: 4 -- Glencross (3) [EN], Matt Stajan [GWG]
Carolina Hurricanes: 1 -- Eric Staal
NOTE: This post was written twice, as the first one disappeared into interwebmysteryland.
I missed this one. I am MAD! Not only was it not on TV, but I worked late too. Aaaaannd, I missed out on a road-trip down to C-town with two buddies - one a die-hard Flames fan, the other a die-hard 'Canes/Whalers fan. From what I understand, the Flames played AWESOME and Darryl Sutter is a genius. Well, that last part is still to be determined, but he's looking pretty smart so far.
GDFD No. 57: The newer, crappier guys
Ryan Lambert
February 03 2010 05:50PM
Welcome to the Game Day Fire Drill, for this, Calgary's 57th game of the season on Feb. 3, 2010.
Pat Steinberg
February 03 2010 03:04PM
So, after a lackluster effort Monday against the Philadelphia Flyers, the Flames will be adding two more new members to their lineup tonight as both Ales Kotalik and Chris Higgins will be suiting up against Carolina.
The blame game
Jean Lefebvre
February 03 2010 09:49AM
"Ignorance is bliss" and "What you don't know won't hurt you" -- ah yes, the foundation on which every successful National Hockey League franchise is built.
Darryl's Deeds
February 02 2010 09:44PM
*GM Darryl Sutter & newly acquired F Chris Higgins speak with the media*
Well, well, well, the other shoe I've been expecting to drop (also known as the Kotalik flip), has failed to do so. And after listening to some of Darryl's comments today courtesy FAN960, its starting to look like it won't, at least as far as Kotalik is concerned. After a whirlwind 48 hours, things have begun to settle down in Flame-land allowing us the opportunity to sit back, take a deep breath, and let it all sink in.


text:
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NEW YORK (AP) — Sarah Michelle Gellar and Rachel Bilson each are getting a new series on the CW network this fall.
Gellar's "Ringer" was a gift from CBS. The larger network made the pilot but could find no room on its schedule, so CBS gave its corporate sister the series, in which the former "Buffy the Vampire Slayer" star impersonates her twin sister because she's on the run from danger.
The CW also said Thursday that Bilson, who was in "The O.C.," will portray a New Yorker practicing medicine in a small Southern town in "Hart of Dixie."
"Smallville" is ending its run on the CW, and the network is canceling "Life Unexpected" and "Hellcats."
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Summary: The heavy weight one faces in organizational life is the amazingly difficult nature of leadership. One is burdened to determine how to make sense of leadership, and most important, how to actually use the strong concepts that great writers, leaders, thinkers and practitioners have built and used over the course of human history. The answers to most of one's questions about leadership have been addressed. Despite the continued value of breaking new ground with new thought leaders, the problem of ...show moregreat leadership still exists. New management theory exists in the margins, not at all a bad thing necessarily, but the core is already built and largely exposed. Nevertheless, practicing and executing great leadership continues to be elusive. If this was not the case, great thinkers and practitioners the world over, would be agreeing the secret has been identified. Additionally, the countless ethical and financial blunders that plague the economy would only be found in history; instead, they are indeed found everyday and they even create fear of the future. The key to the problem of understanding and executing leadership fundamentals is approaching leadership in ways that creatively use the wisdom, experience and learning of others to help one make sense of their own development and challenges. The book, The Choice of Leadership: Bridging the Gap Between Simplicity and Complexity will help answer the great questions and clear the path in making the choice of leadership possible. ...show lessEdition/Copyright: 11
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I'm gonna talk free agents in his article. Which NFL players should you be picking up in Week 3 of the Fantasy Football season? How much should you spend on those players? That's what The Oracle is for. I'm here to guide you through the morass of mediocrity to fantasy gold. Let's get to it. WEEK 3 FOOTBALL LEAGUE I'm going to describe to you a way you can play fantasy football – against me. Thanks to Fanduel.com you will be able to take me on each week in fantasy football in a salary cap game. Chose your team and take me down. Simple as that. Should be a lot of fun and you can also win cash along the way, so why wouldn't you be interested? Here's the link to play: Take On The Oracle In Fantasy Football. FAAB THOUGHTS (Assuming a $100 Budget) QUARTERBACKS Philip Rivers, Chargers Rivers has thrown for seven scores, only one interception and 614 yards in two games. He's locked in right now. At the same time he's without Denario Alexander, Vincent Brown hasn't done anything yet, Kennan Allen is a rookie, Michael Floyd will be out at least a week for his neck issue (I have to think it will be multiple weeks after the hit he took) and E. Royal, I'll get to him in a moment. Rivers has looked great, but he's Philip Rivers, and he's lacking elite targets to throw the ball to. These are likely to be the best back-to-back efforts he posts this season, and you've missed it. If his O-line continues to play this well, a pretty shocking development so far, then he could be a solid QB2, but QB1 level play moving forward is unlikely to happen. FAAB BID: $10-15 RUNNING BACKS Donald Brown, Colts A mediocre talent, Brown is light years behind Ahmad Bradshaw in what he brings to the field. The 27 year old Bradshaw is always hurt though, always, and that clearly means his backup needs to be on someone's roster. Realize the Colts play the Niners in Week 3 so neither back is likely to do anything. FAAB BID: $10-15 Andre Ellington, Cardinals He's gaining looks and snaps, and now is the time to pounce on the talented rookie before he goes out and has a big game that causes his price tag skyrocket. The Cardinals still plan to use Rashard Mendenhall on early downs but it sure looks like Ellington might start to gain significant snaps on third down. FAAB BID: $5-8 Felix Jones, Steelers Le'Veon Bell is inching his way back to a return to action, but the Steelers might hold him out until Week 6 after their Bye. But Fragile Feliz folks? I'm not interested. Neither should you be. He carried the ball 10 times for 37 yards on MNF. Whoopie. FAAB BID: $1-5 Isaiah Pead, Rams Pead only touched the ball three times in Week 2 but were you aware that he was on the field for only nine fewer snaps than Daryl Richardson (30 to 39)? Pead is likely already owned in leagues with deep benches or enough teams, but there are certainly scenarios in which he's available. If so, add him now. He's not only the clear cut RB2 with the Rams but he's also behind a guy in DRich who hasn't exactly excelled through two games with a 3.3 YPC mark (30 carries for 98 yards). At least Richardson has caught 10 balls for 78 yards, but he's going to need to bring more to avoid losing touches to Pead. FAAB BID: $10-15 Jacquizz Rodgers, Jason Snelling, Falcons Looks like Steven Jackson's thigh injury is going to be a multiple week issue for the 30 year old runner. That will temporarily open the door for the Falcons two others runners to have some solid workloads until SJax returns. It will likely go like this. Snelling with get the goaline work and be the add in non-PPR setups. Rodgers will be the add in PPR setups for his pass catching. Rodgers is thick, but at 5'6" he's just not an every down player (just look at his career numbers that includes a 3.6 YPC mark over 164 career attempts). Snelling has shown ample talent at times, but consistency/workload has always eluded him. These guys will just keep things warm until Jackson is back. FAAB BID Rodgers: $7-10 FAAB BID Snelling: $5-10 James Starks, Packers The Packers have a Bye in Week 4. The thought in some parts is that Eddie Lacy (concussion) will sit out through then and return in Week 5 (the team still hasn't given a timeline). Jonathan Franklin doesn't have the trust of the coaching staff, John Kuhn is banged up with a hamstring strain... and then there is Starks. As the only truly healthy/well versed back with the Packers, Starks is going to be a low level RB2/flex option until Lacy returns (Starks was the first Packers' back to run for 100 yards in 45 games). When Lacy does return one would have to think that he would still lead this team in touches, but with an uncertain timeline for return it's hard to know just how much to bid on Starks. FAAB BID: $20-25 Jordan Todman, Justin Forsett, Jaguars It doesn't really matter who you try to add cause the Jaguars and their pathetic offense are going to get blasted back to the stone age by the Seahawks in Week 3. It's going to be ugly. Maurice Jones-Drew (ankle) might even suit up this week, so go easy on these two free agents. FAAB BID Todman: $5-10 FAAB BID Forsett: $1-5 WIDE RECEIVERS Austin Pettis, Rams Through two weeks Pettis has has 11 receptions on 17 targets. He's also only produced 94 yards good for 8.5 yards per catch (his career mark is 9.0). Pettis has got the look of a guy who might be a Bye Week fill-in if you start 3 WRs and are in at least a 12 team league, but there doesn't seem to be much up here. FAAB BID: $5-10 Eddie Royal, Chargers I talked about the Royals crazy situation at wide receiver above. It's dicey at the moment. Royal will continue to man the slot and hold a role of importance in the Chargers offense. A few quick points though. (1) He scored only five touchdowns the previous four seasons. He has five in two games this season. (2) Despite all the scores, he's only caught 10 balls for 114 yards through two weeks. Someone has to add him, and he's undeniably white hot, but he's also smallish (5'10", 185 lbs) and has missed 10 games the past two seasons. Be careful. FAAB BID: $15-20 Kendall Wright, Titans As a rookie Wright caught 64 balls for 626 yards which qualifies as a solid rookie season. He dealt with some injuries in camp this year, but he's good to go now. After only being on the field for 19 snaps in Week 1 he saw more action and work in Week 2 catching seven of 11 targets for 54 yards. With Kenny Britt looking terrible Wright should be able to see a lot of balls fire toward him and he's got a chance to surpass last season's reception total making him a solid PPR add even if he's not going to break the bank in the yardage or touchdown categories. FAAB BID: $10-15 TIGHT ENDS Charles Clay, Dolphins Through two week he's got 163 yards receiving which is fantastic. However, he also put up 67 of those yards on one play. After catching 34 passes his first two seasons it's clear that he will have a bigger role in year three, but he's no better than the fourth option on most passing plays, and there's little reason to think that will change soon. He did get a rushing score in Week 2 though and OC Mike Sherman said they would like to use him in a fullback role often moving forward. FAAB BID: $5-10 Coby Fleener, Colts Enjoying success with Dwayne Allen dealing with injury, Fleener is still not a TE1 option as he's seen only nine targets through two games. He can put up efforts like he did in Week 2 though (8-69-1), so if you're rocking Fred Davis right now as a starter in your deep league Fleener is worth a look. FAAB BID: $5-10 Garrett Graham, Texans He's scored in each of the Texans two games. He's also caught only seven passes for 57 yards. Kind of like a Kyle Rudolph Jr., Graham is only of value when scoring and he can't keep up this season season pace. Merely an injury/Bye week fill-in. FAAB BID: $3-5 MAN vs. MACHINE I challenged The Machine to a battle for fantasy football greatness. That's right, my brain vs. The Machine's circuits (for more on the Man vs. Machine battle click on that link). Who will prevail? After battling at the draft table, we're into playing games now. This week I was facing The Machine in two of the three leagues that were drafted. Here are the results. League 1: The Machine 120 pts, The Oracle 116.70 Martellus Bennett was huge for me with 26.6 points, but Steven Ridley was a killer with a mere four points which cost me the victory. I mean if the guy had gotten eight points I would have emerged the victory. A painful loss to The Machine. League 2: The Machine 143.85 pts, The Oracle 166.70 I put a beat down on that stinking computer in this one taking out my ire for the four point loss in the other matchup. Michael Vick (37.7 points), Marshawn Lynch (34.5) and Matt Forte (27.1) crushed it and in the process I took down the Machine. Score: 1 to 1 You can pick up your copy of The Machine right now. Don't forget, it's not just a draft day tool. It helps in-season with setting lineups, making trades etc. It's a great tool folks. Ray Flowers can be heard daily on Sirius/XM Radio on The Fantasy Drive on Sirius 210 and XM 87, Monday through Thursday at 7 PM EDT & Friday's at 9 PM EDT. For more of Ray's analysis you can check out BaseballGuys.com or the BaseballGuys' Twitter account where he tirelessly answers everyone's questions.
Leave a Comment
About Ray Flowers
The co-host of The Drive on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (Sirius 210, XM 87: Mon-Thurs 7 PM, Fri. 9 PM EDT), Ray also hosts a show Sunday night (7-10 PM EDT). Ray has spent years squirreled away studying the inner workings of the fantasy game to the detriment of his personal life. Specializing in baseball, football and hockey, some consider him an expert in all three.
- Hughes extends 3 years, $42 million
- Sanchez to start week 17
- Jordy Nelson totals 113, yards TD
- Aaron Rodgers injures calf during win
- Steven Jackson Leaves Sunday with Quad Injury
- Jonathan Stewart tallies 129 total yards, TD
- Report: Harbaugh to "Part Ways" With 49ers
- Lynch does not start due to upset stomach
- Robert Turbin starts for Seattle
- Bosh hoping to return Thursday


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Discover Chocolate and Live La Vida Cocoa!
Join Equipment and Concepts, and Gelato Master Maria Coassin of Gelatiamo for a gelato and premium ice cream training hands-on workshop.
"Understanding the Gelato Business & the Importance of Balanced Recipes/A 3 day experience in the world of gelato."
Our next workshop is scheduled for: FEBRUARY 18 - 20, 2013. Please call 1-877-969-4352 for more information.
Located at: Equipment & Conce…
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Showing 1-2 of 2 Family Resorts
Harrison Beach Hotel
The Harrison Beach Hotel and the town of Harrison has all kinds of activities in close proximity. Go fishing or hiking and keep your eyes peeled because you may spot eagles year-round. In the winter, ski at the nearby Hemlock Resort. Or, stay right on the property and swim in the indoor pool or a relaxing soak in the outdoor hot tub.... more
- Wifi
- Restaurant Onsite
- Pets Allowed
- Property Size 42 units
- Conference Facility
- Kids Allowed
- Nearby City Harrison Hot Springs
- Nearby Water Harrison Lake
- Open Dates All Year
- Meetings
- Family
- Reunions
- Fishing
- Golf
- Lake
- Nature
- Pet Friendly
- Wedding
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Rendezvous Lodge
There are a variety of activities unique to our marine environment; you can fish for salmon with the best local guides, head out in search of the whales, or check grizzly bears and other wild life on a guided tour. Sitting on the deck and watching dolphins and seals is a favorite activity of many.... more
- Wifi
- Restaurant Onsite
- Pets Allowed
- Property Size 6 units
- Conference Facility
- Kids Allowed
- Nearby City N/A
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- Open Dates May 25 to Sep 18
- Family
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Isaiah Washington Won't Submit His Name For Emmy Awards Considerationby Steve Marsi at . Comments
No reason for his decision has been reported, but this doesn't come as a shock.
Meanwhile, all the other Grey's Anatomy stars, besides stars Ellen Pompeo and Patrick Dempsey, who are going for Best Actress and Actor, respectively are submitting in the Best Supporting Actor and Supporting Actress categories.
While he is certainly worthy of Best Actor or Supporting Actor honors, Washington probably wishes to remain out of the award-show spotlight, given the controversy he sparked in recent months. Which is probably a wise move, as his remarks about T.R. Knight would likely cloud his accomplishments.
Hopefully, he'll get the recognition he deserves next season, when all this has blown over and his fine work on Grey's Anatomy will once again be the focus.
Steve Marsi is the Managing Editor of TV Fanatic. Follow him on Google+ or email him here.Tags: Grey's Anatomy
Он такой лапка!Кла��ный доктор Бёрк!
Hi Jim. Photos i received. Thanks
i think people should get over the f___ incident. Isaiah made a mistake and im sure he's suffering the consequences even up to now. what he did was horrible but as a wise man once said, those of you without sin, may cast the first stone. Isaiah is a very good actor. it will be the show's loss if they let him go.
I hope he wont leave,, he's certainly one of the best things in the show, and seeing how the show has gone now.. well,, BURKE STAYS!
Um TR and Katherine never joked about Isaiah. Them laughing at Justin Long's joke is the same as the entire cast laughing at Chandra's Wilson joke at the SAG Awards.
Not sure who Amerie's comment is directed at, but Isaiah Washington certainly isn't one. I agree completely with Bayfront. Isaiah's time will come. He is too talented and too good a human being for this one mistake to hang over his career for too long. I am very sorry that he isn't submitting a tape for this year's consideration, but respect his decision and remain hopeful for next year.
a**hole -_-
Hiegel and Knight mockingly discussing any co-star reflect on their utter lack of finesse and grace. You cannot object to misbehavior and misbehave. That said, I wish Isaiah, has learned valuable lessons from ths incident, and hope that this will make him a better person. His time will come for his incredible talent to be recognized and respected. To withdraw from the Emmy is a consciencious move, I respect him for it and whoeve advised him to do it. There will be other award winning bodies.
I agree with those who said he should have been considered. I am so sorry that he felt it was in the best interest of everyone that he not try. Some of his scenes this season were emmy worthy. But, with all of the bad publicity since the Golden Globes, he probably just wants to stay out of the spotlight and potential media fire. Even when he doesn't go to these events people are taking pot shots at him and Katherine and TR are laughing about it. I still find that deplorable. In answer to one of the previous questions, Ellen and Patrick's submissions will go into the lead actor and actress category. The rest were submitted in supporting categories.
ITA, he as done a fabulous job this seaon, his talents should be rewarded. I, too, didn't realize that they submitted their own names. In fact, I heard that all the others submitted their names, which is funny. I like everyone on the show, but they are not all good actors. Seriously! If they lose IW, the show won't be the same, and will start to lose fans.


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Discover Chocolate and Live La Vida Cocoa!
Finally my first homemade chocolate from bean-to-bar! The cacao came from the province of Aurora, Philippines. Fermented and dried the beans and then toasted and grinded/blended to make it into a bar. Read more here:
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Too putrid to stand, too difficult to apply After complaining to my doctor that the bp he prescribed was not woring, he prescribed tretinoin. He said it might make things worse for the fist few days, but my skin would be clear within the month. I had gone back to school weeks earlier.
While it did make things worse after only one day, I was not clear-skinned after a month. Just pimply, and sunburnt. Not a fun experience.
He said that he could increase the dosage - that it might help, but I refrained. My main trouble-spot, my back, was difficult to apply the medication to. Also, the scent which would linger on my fingers after applying the stuff was unbearable, and would not wash off.
It didn't work for me, and I didn't have the stomache to experiment further; but I may be an abnormality. I've seen it work wonders for friends.


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Obama Administration Transparency Getting Worse
Invisibility Cloak (152 comments)
Is the government trying to achieve transparency by shrouding its activitties in a cloak of invisibility?
Announcing: Slashdot Deals - Explore geek apps, games, gadgets and more. (what is this?)
We are sorry to see you leave - Beta is different and we value the time you took to try it out. Before you decide to go, please take a look at some value-adds for Beta and learn more about it. Thank you for reading Slashdot, and for making the site better!
Invisibility Cloak (152 comments)
Is the government trying to achieve transparency by shrouding its activitties in a cloak of invisibility?
Code 46 (296 comments)
Does the app also report code 46 violations?
see also: code 46
DMCA Violation? (268 comments)
Would selling or using this product be a DMCA violation?
Things you write have an implicit copyright. Suppose your system encrypts your writings. Their software is promoted to be used to defeat that encryption.
April Fool? (206 comments)
This interview was the day after March 31.
"On March 31 the author of the Rybka program, Vasik Rajlich, and his family moved from Warsaw, Poland to a new appartment in Budapest, Hungary. The next day, in spite of the bustle of moving boxes and setting up phone and Internet connections Vas, kindly agreed to the following interview, which had been planned some months ago."
The Missing Link(s) (1108 comments)
cached copy of the linked story, Knoxville News story (senate passes 24-8), bill summary, bill data
Interview with Curator (54 comments)
The journal "Nature" has published an interview (pdf) with Richard Pell, the museum's curator.
Is that all? (289 comments)
Isn't that an average of less than a dollar a day per metal detector gate. If only $1 was lost per day at each metal detector gate and there were only 200 airports with an average of only 6 metal detector gates each that would be $1*200*6*365 = $438000. Does the reported amount seem like a very low number?
Are all the detectors operated by TSA or are many operated by others?
"HAL was ordered to lie ..." (228 comments)
Apparently Google is doing this is to comply with COPPA. Is the US congress teaching children to lie and defraud web sites like Google? I am reminded of a quote from the movie "2010: The Year We Make Contact".
"HAL was ordered to lie
FedEx commercial (119 comments)
This seems similar to a FedEx commercial.
spoiler (rot13):
Na bssvpr vf erhfvat gur onpxf bs hfrq cncre. Fbzrbar gura nfxf "'Jung'f gur Rkrphgvir pbzcrafngvba yvfg?"
Cherry Picking (920 comments)
Why doesn't the White House have a nonpartisan independent organization manage the petitions? If the White House manages them, they can cherry pick the petitions they like.
Why? (277 comments)
If Comcast's acquisition of NBC/Universal is monopolistic, anticompetitive, or inappropriate for some other reason, why should they be able to "buy" an exemption with this agreement? If there is nothing wrong with the acquisition why should the government extort an agreement from them?
Is this profitable or beneficial to Comcast? If so why are they permitted artificially to discriminate against others?
If it is not profitable is the cost paid by the shareholders or their other customers?
New? (53 comments)
Weren't R2 units around a long time ago
Test Answers (1186 comments)
Don't alot of non-geek students write equations on their arm?
Ten More (778 comments)
10. car phone
9. flashlight (torch)
8. sun dial
7. singing telegram
6. level
5. vibrator
4. paper weight
3. slide rule
2. hammer
1. rock
Singular "sheep" (2 comments)
The herd size for "Mower" is one.


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Improving DeKalb County
Latest News
Beacon Credit Union Project Spotlight 01-Aug-2014
Be sure to visit Beacon Credit Union Project Spotlight to vote (once per day) for the DCIC and its ministries! You can help us secure up to $1,000 if we receive the most DeKalb County votes! Voting begins today, August 1st and continues through September 30th so remember to vote often and help.. More
15th Annual Lion's Club Golf Outing 19-Apr-2014
The Lion's Club 15th Annual Golf Outing will be held on Friday, May 15, 2014 at Bridgewater Golf Course. Registration begins at 8:00 a.m. with the Shotgun start at 8:30 a.m. A portion of the proceeds will benefit the DeKalb County Impact Corporation (DCIC). The following D.C.I... More
Covered With Love Event 21-Feb-2014
The Covered With Love event scheduled for February 23rd has been cancelled. We apologize for any inconvenience but have decided to shift our focus to smaller meetings held in each county... More
Upward Bake Sale 08-Feb-2014
Our many thanks to all of you who participated in the annual Upward Bake Sale, whether supplying or buying, we appreciate your support! This year's bake sale generated over $500, all of which is applied to Upward scholarships. We thank you, on behalf of the Upward scholarship recipients... More
January 25th Upward Canceled 25-Jan-2014
Due to the Level 2 Travel Watch issued by the DeKalb County Department of Homeland Security, all Upward Basketball & Cheerleading activities have been canceled for January 25th... More
Upward Practices 06-Jan-2014
Due to the inclement weather, Upward practices at the Auburn Church of the Nazarene will be cancelled Monday, January 6th... More
Energize Indiana 15-Oct-2013
Complete a Home Energy Assessment and Energizing Indiana will donate $25 to our organization! Energizing Indiana is a program implemented by our state to help families determine free and low-cost methods to reduce energy usage and save money. The D.C.I.C. has partnered with E.. More
Thirty-One Sale 13-Aug-2013
Sarah Couch will host a Thirty-One sale with proceeds to benefit the DCIC August 22nd beginning at 6:00 PM at the Auburn Church of the Nazarene. If you are unable to attend the event, you may order items online at www.mythirtyone.com/sarahcouch under the "My Parties" tab. Everyone is invi.. More
10th Season of Upward Registration is Open! 08-Aug-2013
Today begins the 10th season of Upward Basketball & Cheerleading in DeKalb County! We are very excited to bring basketball to our community once again. Upward Basketball & Cheerleading, where every child is a winner, is anticipating a great season of sharing God's love with all players,.. More
CWL Donation Drive 08-Aug-2013
Covered With Love begins a series of focused donation drive today, our goal is to receive items that are typically in short supply for the care packages distributed to children in DeKalb County, August's focus item is journals and diaries. Drop off locations are Kaiser's in Butler, Preferred Au.. More


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Wadea Tarhuni, MD,
Dr. Tarhuni is the President of Canadian Cardiac Care & Windsor Cardiac Centre, where he is the leading cardiologist. Dr. Tarhuni is licensed in Alberta, Ontario, and Saskatchewan as well as in Michigan. He is a fellow of:
1) Royal College of Physicians and Surgeons of Canada in Internal Medicine and Cardiology
2) American College of Physicians,
3) American College of Cardiology,
4) American Society of Echocardiography
5) American Heart Association.
Dr. Tarhuni has affiliation with the following universities:
1) University of Saskatchewan
2) University of Western Ontario
Dr. Tarhuni is an exemplary cardiology leader in Canada as reflected in his certification by the Canadian Certified Physician Executive Program that attest he has the leadership capabilities, knowledge and skills needed for successful performance and, more important, to direct, influence and orchestrate change in Canada's complex health care system.
He led the Windsor Cardiac Centre to the first ever outpatient Echocardiography accreditation in Canada. He established two unique clinics within the Windsor Cardiac Centre, the Chest Pain Clinic that treats cardiac patients from the two local hospitals and alleviates the burden from the Emergency Department and the INR clinic that provides immediate INR testing and follow up. He continuously researches and adopts cutting-edge cardiac care technologies that enhance patient care. Such is the case of the Cardiophone, a wireless real-time ECG recording device that was demonstrated for the first time in the history of marathons last September where around 20 runners wore it. And such is the case of the HandiECG, a handheld ECG device that does not require leads.
Building on two successful and leading clinics, Dr. Tarhuni established Canadian Cardiac Care to expand his cardiology services nationwide and internationally at humanitarian, educational and professional levels. At the humanitarian level, he contributed to hunger relief in Somalia during the drought of 2010 and he established a medical relief lifeline to Libyan refugees in Tunisia during the turmoil of 2011-2012. At the educational level, he launched an awareness initiative in Egypt called "Together for Life" to emphasize the importance of CPR and heart attack and stroke preventative measures in saving lives. In this regard, he conducted numerous training sessions and lectures for doctors, nurses, sport clubs and schools in Egypt. The program is designed to cover the entire Arab world. At the professional development level, Dr. Tarhuni is active bringing doctors in developing countries up to par with the latest medical knowledge in the developed world.quickly identified for treatment avoiding inappropriate discharges.
As an interventional cardiologist, CT imaging of the heart has become an important and invaluable part of my clinical practice in Cardiology.
Dr. Tarhuni is active in the medical community and participated in numerous hospital and medical committees programs, such as the Saskatchewan Stroke Strategy, the Moose Jaw Union Hospital Sepsis and Quality programs, the Heart and Stroke Foundation awareness program and the American Society of Echocardiography guidelines. He is also active in community programs that raise the awareness of the general public about cardiovascular diseases and how to prevent them. This includes the numerous lectures he delivered, exhibits in malls, shows and festivals as well as programs for targeted groups such as women, aboriginal, children and secondary school students. Dr. Tarhuni is also an advocate for the preservation of a pure natural environment. He is led an initiative called Healthy Planet-Healthy Heart to promote a clean natural environment where exercise is performed at its best for optimal cardiovascular health and where sustainable practices are observed in his clinic.


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Buy flats in North Street, Crowland, Peterborough PE6 - 1 bedroom
Stephens Way, Deeping St. James, Peterborough PE6Flat for sale - 1 bedrooms
* One bedroom first floor apartment* 20ft Lounge/Diner* 13ft Bedroom* 11ft fitted Kitchen* Allocated parking space* Gas central heating More details
Note: Distances are straight line measurements
- Peterborough (6.8 miles)
- Stamford (Lincs) (8.3 miles)
Marketed by Sharman Quinney, PE6. Call 01778 428003£95,000
High Street, Eye, Peterborough PE6Flat for sale - 1 bedrooms
Ready made investment. On Offer For Sale Is This Spacious One Bedroom Apartment Located In Eye. The Property Grade II Listed Apartment And Still Has Some Of Its Original Features. The Property Is Currently Let At £495 pcm. The Property Comprises ... More details
Note: Distances are straight line measurements
- Peterborough (3.5 miles)
- Whittlesea (5.0 miles)
Marketed by Smartmove Property Solutions, PE1. Call 01733 860293


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TOO wet!!!
Find a Conversation
TOO wet!!!
|Mon, 04-13-2009 - 10:57am
Ok, heres our issue. I get SO wet. & whenever I orgasm, I (as a female) do the whole ejaculation thing. Which yes, is great. BUT, I am just "so lubed up" that there isnt enough friction for my partner to come inside me.
Anyone have any ideas? He's funny ... he says "we've got to figure this out".
|Tue, 04-14-2009 - 1:55pm
That's an excellent technique!
My wife doesn't get "too wet" as the OP described, but pressing her lips together a bit does make for an amazing sensation for both of us.
My wife doesn't get "too wet" as the OP described, but pressing her lips together a bit does make for an amazing sensation for both of us.
|Tue, 04-14-2009 - 11:01am
Here's a trick a friend of mine uses for a similar problem: she puts her hand down between her body and his during intercourse and puts her index finger and middle fingers on either side of his penis like a "V". Then she holds enough tension in her fingers to essentially stroke his penis with those fingers while he's thrusting. She says this helps to add a little friction and a bit different sensation during intercourse, while helping him to stay inside her and not have issues with overlubrication. Maybe that will work for you, too?
|Tue, 04-14-2009 - 8:51am
Hello nenative,
welcome to SMS happy to have you here! Im MEME one of the CLs here along with Nenu! glad you jumped in!!
your question...
I had that problem before I hit pre-men. What we use to do is keep tissue near by and my DH would stop for a sec and dry himself off and start again. isn't the best but atleast it helped. Plus we used condoms for long time that really helped as it was best for him.


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Covering the newest iphone/ipod games with reviews, photos, and more. Get a look into todays hottest games and peek into the future games. Mingle with developers, get latest info, and conversate with fellow gamers.
game, #reviewer, covering, newest, iphone/ipod, games, with, reviews, photos, more, look, into, todays, hottest, peek, future, mingle, developers, latest, info, conversate, fello
A Planet Filled With Fun!Club Penguin Planet, Club Penguin, Forum, Cheats, Tutorials, Glitches, Bugs, Coins, Discussion, Games, Contests, Fun.
club, penguin, forum, cheats, glitches, coins, planet, games, computer, contests, free, topic, forums, board, boards, forumotion, membership, money, #maker


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Osho continues:
"A life is a mirror. Millions of mirrors around you – every face is a mirror; every rock is a mirror; every cloud is a mirror. All relationships are mirrors. In whatsoever way you are related with life, it reflects you. Don't be angry at life if it starts barking at you. You must have started the chain. You must have done something in the beginning to cause it. Don't try to change life; just change yourself, and life changes.
"These are the two standpoints: one I call the communistic which says, 'Change life, only then can you be happy'; the other I call religious which says, 'Change yourself, and life suddenly becomes beautiful.' There is no need to change the society, the world. If you move in that direction you are moving in a false direction which will not lead you anywhere. In the first place, you cannot change it – it is so vast. It is simply impossible. It is so complex and you are here only for a while; and life is very ancient and life is going to be for ever and ever. You are just a guest; an overnight stay and you are gone: gate, gate – gone, gone forever. How can you imagine to change it?
"Sheer stupidity, which says life can be changed, but there is much appeal in it. The communistic standpoint has a deep appeal in it. Not because it is true – the appeal comes from some other source: because it does not make you responsible, that is the appeal. Everything else is responsible except you; you are a victim. 'The whole of life is responsible. Change life' – this is appealing for the ordinary mind because no mind wants to feel responsible.
"Whenever you are in misery you like to throw the responsibility on somebody. Anybody will do, any excuse will do, but then you are unburdened. Now you know you are miserable because of this man or that woman, or this type of society, this government, this social structure, this economy – something – or, finally, God is responsible or fate. These are all communistic standpoints. The moment you throw the responsibility on others, you have become a communist; you are no longer religious."
In this title, Osho talks on the following topics:
life, mirror, presence, feminine, brahmacharya, disease, existence, janak, mahavira, devadatta
life, mirror, presence, feminine, brahmacharya, disease, existence, janak, mahavira, devadatta


text: TOP 10 Top 10 Fitness Diet Commandments To Make Your Body Beach-Ready Back to Top ▲ Diet Commandments To Make Your Body Beach-Ready 9 Thou Shalt Eat Primarily Foods That Come From The Ground Share on Facebook Share on Twitter 0 Shares Lauri Novak/Flickr If your diet is filled with processed foods, your blood-sugar level is going to fluctuate throughout the day and with each high you experience, you'll be putting yourself in prime fat-storage mode. Foods that are in their original state offer the most nutritional bang for the calories they provide and will help keep your blood-sugar stabilized as well. Next Page TOP 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Comments Load Comments More Like This Promoted Around the Web Special Features


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[if gte mso 9]>
Too bad this year we didn't celebrated a Halloween Party, because our cousins are like far far away! We used to play dress-ups and play trick our treats and i guess were too busy to do it, well nvm were too old anyway! haha
Took pictures from a boring lunch at a mall. =\
[November 1, 2008]
[if gte mso 9]>
Pretty much random.
It's been a while that i have been so busy and hectic this month! that there is only one room for my vacant time,__ FUN !__
Playing around the house. :))
[The photos are incomplete]
[if gte mso 9]>
Around 8pm-10pm
[if gte mso 9]>
[if gte mso 9]>
My First Prom Pics XD
Crazy Pics [most of them]
[if gte mso 9]>
This are not the actual photoshoots that we had.
It's the time we are doing it.
God won't ask what kind of car you drove, but will ask how many people you drove who didn't have transportation.God won't ask the square footage of your house, but will ask how many people you welcomed into your home.God won't ask the fancy clothes you had in your closet, but will ask how many of those clothes helped the needy.God won't ask about your social status, but will ask what kind of class you displayed.God won't ask how many material possessions you had, but will ask if they dictated your life.God won't ask what your highest salary was, but will ask if you compromised your character to obtain that salary.God won't ask how much overtime you worked, but will ask if you worked overtime for your family and loved ones.God won't ask how many promotions you received, but will ask how you promoted others.God won't ask what your job title was, but will ask if you reformed your job to the best of your ability.God won't ask what you did to help yourself, but will ask what you did to help others.God won't ask how many friends you had, but will ask how many people to whom you were a true friend.God won't ask what you did to protect your rights, but will ask what you did to protect the rights of others.God won't ask in what neighborhood you lived, but will ask how you treated your neighbors.God won't ask about the color of your skin, but will ask about the content of your character.God won't ask how many times your deeds matched your words, but will ask how many times they didn't.
m y . o f f i c i a l . b l o g s i t e c h i n e s e . k o r e a n . a m e r i c a n i ' m half chinese | quarter korean+american " n o s o ...Read more
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This is only my 2nd post, but have always joined the respective forum for the vehicle i owned at the time. These places are very helpful, along with another site I recently found. As a member of the military I have an AKO Army Knowledge Online account and found an automiotive help section. This section has a couple links and a complete Chiltons book. Looks like I just may become a back yard mechanic or driveway mechanic in my case. Always willing to do some of my own work once I get to know the vehicle a bit.
Question: I just bought a 2006 Tacoma SR5 model 4x4, with LSD no other traction controls on it. Any way to run the VIN and get a build sheet. I would like to see what the truck came standard with and what the previous owner had as add ons.


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FILE - In this Aug. 21, 2012 file photo, Mexico's pop star Paulina Rubio flashes the hand heart symbol during a press conference in Mexico City. Rubio will be one of three coaches of the new US program �La Voz Kids,� announced the TV network Telemundo on Monday, March 18th 2013. The Mexican singer had previously participated as a coach for �La Voz...Mexico� and started her career when she was a girl, like the participants of �La Voz Kids.� (AP Photo/Eduardo Verdugo, File)
MIAMI (AP) — A children's version of "The Voice" is arriving to the U.S. "en español" with Mexican pop star Paulina Rubio as one of the coaches.
Telemundo Media named Rubio on Monday as the first of three music coaches on the network's upcoming singing competition "La Voz Kids," slated to premiere in the spring on Telemundo.
The new spinoff of the hit singing competition will feature 7- to 14-year-old contestants. The winner will receive a recording contract with Universal Music and a scholarship.
Rubio already coached "La Voz... México", the edition of the show produced in her home country.
The singer said she looks forward to a new format "that will open the door to the new generation of artists."
The other two coaches were soon to be announced, the network said.
Associated Press
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Many people argue that the magic of Halloween disappears once you've grown up, but let's be honest: dressing up is always fun. Pop culture provides us with endless ideas for Halloween costumes, whether it's a favorite TV character, the many iterations of Lady Gaga, or some clever take on an Internet meme. And because TV writers are just as informed by media as we are, their fictional television characters will often also end up in pop culture-inspired costumes. From Bob's Burgers to The Fresh Prince of Bel-Air, here are 15 of the best pop culture costumes in television. … Read More
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We have few shops for chocolates in Bulgaria(Eastern Europe).We would like to expand our business. We are looking for a Chocolate Bar manufacturer to produce chocolate squares for us.
Can anyone assist in finding a small/medium size company interested in manufacturing them? Ideally we are looking at anything between single serve 12gram up to 16 gram square bars(3x3 cm or 4x4 cm). Like Neapolitana chocolates but bigger. Initial trial run will be between 10 000-20 000 units with future orders from 20 000 -30 000 units on a monthly base. Need not be labeled at the trial stage, just foil packaging is fine for the initial run.
Target market is the Eastern Europe.
Will be better if the manufacturer is from EU, but any suggestions are welcome.
I appreciate any leads or questions from interested manufacturers.
Views: 105
© 2014 Created by Clay Gordon.


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Cropped shortalls are a cute alternative to long overalls. Here, paired with a blazer and feminine jewelry, Jameela looks perfectly polished.
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If there's such a thing, I have it. Feeling numbed by this locale — all slick tourist traps, stuffed bears, Native America novelty, and faux old English charm. My totemic self is having an identity crisis. Without structure, familiarity or moorings, adrift by the sea.
Sense of homelessness (something very different from the fact of homelessness) is as palpable and plentiful as the street folk scattered around here, wandering this wealthy garden paradise. The effect of transition, I suspect. Feels like I've been bumming around coffee shops for the last couple of months, here and in Montreal, looking for meaning I won't find in a well-brewed cappuccino.
I need a new project — a "real" job — something more rooted than all this aimlessness. It's all coming soon.
For now, caffeine will have to suffice as spiritual source…Magic beans, man…