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AGW: Not Impressed In Nippon
A Japanese scientific report breaks with the "consensus":
Scientists in the Land of the Rising Sun have concluded that it is the sun itself that is the major cause of Global Warming, not man.
It has been the sun for millions, if not billions of years previous to this warming trend. I have no idea, other than Al Gore, why we should believe this one is different.
Japanese scientists have made a dramatic break with the UN and Western-backed hypothesis of climate change in a new report from its Energy Commission.
Three of the five researchers disagree with the UN's IPCC view that recent warming is primarily the consequence of man-made industrial emissions of greenhouse gases. Remarkably, the subtle and nuanced language typical in such reports has been set aside.
One of the five contributors compares computer climate modelling to ancient astrology. Others castigate the paucity of the US ground temperature data set used to support the hypothesis, and declare that the unambiguous warming trend from the mid-part of the 20th Century has ceased.
The report by Japan Society of Energy and Resources (JSER) is astonishing rebuke to international pressure, and a vote of confidence in Japan's native marine and astronomical research. Publicly-funded science in the West uniformly backs the hypothesis that industrial influence is primarily responsible for climate change, although fissures have appeared recently. Only one of the five top Japanese scientists commissioned here concurs with the man-made global warming hypothesis.
Note the bold – that is precisely why this one is different. In previous warming trends, government funded scientists weren't trying to prove it was man who was warming the earth. I also loved the bit about the models and ancient astrology.
King Eddie's Funeral (Updated)
Let me clarify something in the previous post. Some commenters are saying that they don't understand how government will allow private money to be created, and relinquish the death hold they want to keep on the economy. The short answer is, I don't think they'll have a choice. We'll concentrate on the US here, but keep in mind that the rest of the developed nations are in even worse shape than we are.
What allows the government–any government, but democratic ones in particular–to operate as they do is the consent of the people. Even totalitarian governments have to worry about that, ultimately, although they can keep the lid on for a time, even for a couple of generations. But even totalitarian regimes often run into explosions which topple them, eventually.
But the loss of faith in a liberal, democratic government is the kiss of death for that government. It doesn't take a full scale revolution. it just takes people to stop cooperating. India was liberated through non-violent action. So was South Africa. nce the people say, "You're done." the government is done.
Right now our economic system is built on nothing more than the "full faith and credit" of the US Government. And that will last only as long as we, the people, have faith in it.
Now this particular recession may not be the one that kills that faith. It may be just one of the warning signs of a coming collapse. But a crash is coming, and, I think sooner, rather than later. We cannot continue indefinitely to fund the spending of the richest country on earth with the savings of one of the poorest.
The total debt and future obligation of the US government now exceeds, by a substantial percentage, the total with of the country's assets. We have a mountain of debt and payment obligations that exceeds our ability to meet, even if we were able to liquidate the entire country.
If we wish to retire those obligations we have essentially two alternatives: We can repudiate them, or we can pay them off through hyperinflation, which, as a practical matter, amounts to the same thing.
For instance, let's take social security and medicare. We simply don't have enough money to pay those obligations. We can slash benefits, or eliminate cost of living increases, which is nothing more than repudiating the debt. We can raise the payroll tax to 30% or more, but that will slow economic growth so much that the increase in revenue will be more than offset by the increased unemployment and slower GDP growth that would result, which would make it even more difficult to pay off other obligations, such as Treasury Bonds. Or we can simply print the money, and pay off the paper obligation with money that has signifigantly less purchasing power than the face value of the obligation.
However we go about it, it amounts to a repudiation of all or part of our obliations, and reveals that the government is both faithless and, as investors take note of the repudiation and decide not to buy government paper any more, creditless as well. What paper they have, they will attempt to unload on any idiot stupid enough to take them.
The dollar will collapse to the point that imported goods, even cheap, shoddily made Chinese ones, might as well be made of unobtainium.
The life savings of million upon millions of Americans will evaporate overnight.
There will be serious hardship, and massive unemployment.
That's the kind of hardship I'm talking about.
So, how much trust will there be in a government who, after all that, comes back and says, "We've learned our lesson. Trust us now. It'll all be different this time." among a people who've watched the government repudiate all of the promises made over the last 70 years?
And how much more will this be true if there is a feasible, private alternative, consisting of hundreds, perhaps thousands of independent sources of money, and credit? One whose reliability can be publicly judged every minute of every day, and which has no coercive power?
It wouldn't take a revolution to force the government out of the money and economics business. Or the retirement or health care business. All it will take is a lack of trust. Who will want to do business with an entity that has utterly failed to deserve any trust?
The collapse itself will be the revolution.
UPDATE: By the way, the government's repudiation of its obligations has already begun, in regards to Social Security. If you are in my age cohort or younger, you are not allowed to retire at age 65. Your retirement age is now 72. The government changed the deal. For us, we have to wait an additional 7 years to begin collecting our benefits. Those of us who do not die before age 72, that is.
That wasn't the deal we had when we started our working lives. The government unilaterally changed the terms of our Social Security compact. They didn't call it "repudiation" but, that's certainly what it was.
Dead Ed, the Collapse, and eBay Saves Us All
My first reaction to Pres. Obama's speech last night was depression. Here were the Democrats giving the president standing O's for completely converting the Republic into a social democracy. I mentioned that on Facebook, and one of my readers said it reminded him of Amidala's line from Star Wars Episode III: "So this is how liberty ends…with thunderous applause."
But on more careful review, I find that I am not, in fact, depressed over the long-term. Indeed, last night's speech seems to me not to herald the beginning of a new era for big government and socialism, but rather the last gasp of a dying ideology.
We are, I think, at the cusp of a new era, but it isn't the one that Pres. Obama and his acolytes in the Congress are thinking it is. Neither the Democrats nor the Republicans, it is clear, have any idea about what is happening. Very few people do. I am going to try and explain something very complicated, and do so very simply, and as briefly as I can. So, with the realization that all simplifications are inevitably wrong in some particular, let me explain.
"Ed's dead, baby. Ed's dead."*
We stand now, I think, in a very historically similar position to the one described by Barbara Tuchman, in the beginning chapter of her monumental work on the outbreak of Word War I, The Guns of August:
So gorgeous was the spectacle on the May morning of 1910 when 9 kings rode in the funeral of Edward VII of England that the crowd, waiting in hushed and black-clad awe, could not keep back gasps of admiration. In scarlet and blue and green and purple, 3 by 3 the sovereigns rode though the palace gates, with plumed helmets, gold braid, crimson sashes, and jeweled orders flashing in the sun. After them came 5 heirs apparent, 40 more imperial or royal highnesses, 7 queens, and a scattering of special ambassadors from uncrowned countries. Together they represented 70 nations in the greatest assemblage of royalty and rank ever gathered in one place and, of its kind, the last. The muffled tongue of Big Ben tolled 9 by the clock as the cortege left the palace, but on history's clock it was sunset, and the sun of the old world was setting in a dying blaze of splendor never to be seen again.
Four years later, the world order of 1815-1914 was drowned in fire and blood. The Age of Royalty was over, and the Age of Democracy had begun. I believe that Pres. Obama's speech of last night may very well be the historical equivalent to Edward VII's funeral.
Ever since it began in late 2007, a blog called Fabius Maximus has been arguing that we are watching the decline and fall–indeed, collapse–of our current economic and financial system. A précis of the argument can be found here, and a more comprehensive archive can be found here. Just as the black-clad crowds lining the streets of the capitol of the British Empire on the morning of May 20, 1910 might have found it inconceivable that their generation would witness the collapse of both the European geopolitical regime, and, ultimately, the British Empire itself, so it may be inconceivable to us that we are witnessing the collapse of the Post-WWII economic and political regime. But I believe it is nevertheless true.
"MONEY! Doesn't it make you feel good just to say that, Jerry?"
Let me start by explaining what money is. Money is a medium of exchange, that is, it is an object of some kind that I can exchange for goods and service, rather than trying to barter with people to obtain what I need. It may consist of elaborately carved cowry shells, tiny beads painstakingly stitched to strips of leather, round pieces of metal with the image of guys named Julius or Claudius hammered into them, or little pieces of high-quality paper that say "Federal Reserve Note" on them.
But whatever it is, money has certain minimal characteristics. It must be convertible, i.e., if I do a job for you, I have to be willing to accept it as payment, and whoever I buy bread or clothes from has to be willing to accept it in exchange, too. It also has to be difficult to replicate, so that when I accept it, I am reasonably assured that it is the genuine article.
For nearly all of recorded history "money" has been synonymous with gold or silver. And right up till the late 18th century, it was more or les the perfect money. It was intrinsically valuable, in that raw silver or gold was as easily convertible as hammered or minted coins. It was also practically impossible to counterfeit, the best efforts of alchemist to convert dross into gold notwithstanding. It was also relatively rare, and it difficult to obtain new supplies of it without intensive–and extremely expensive–mining operations.
Additionally, there simply wasn't much to buy. Most people grew their own food, produced their own clothes from flax or wool, and built their own houses by hand. Money was essentially a luxury, and it bought mainly luxury goods for fat cats. Kings could raise and equip armies with it. Merchants could buy nice clothes. But for the most part, money was a tool for use by the rich, and by the relatively few urban dwellers. And, as such, gold or silver was perfect for that level of economic activity.
By the 19th century, though, there were lots more things to buy, and lots more city dwellers, and that trend was increasing rapidly. Hard money became…problematic. The thing about having a hard currency based in gold or silver is that, at the end of the day, whether you run a fully convertible gold standard, or some sort of fractional reserve system, the size of the money supply is always constrained by the amount of gold or silver on hand.
If the economy takes off on a tear, it's extremely difficult to expand the money supply to meet the demand. When the supply dries up, the economy just shudders to a quick stop, because nobody has enough spare money to fund more expansion. So the economy collapses until it reaches equilibrium with the available money supply, and the cycle starts again. Look at a chart of US economic activity in the 19th century and you see it's a system of booms and busts, which were far steeper than any we've seen since the depression. So the fundamental problem with a gold standard is that it's relatively inflexible when used by a vibrant, diverse economy. When everybody needs gold, and the demand is unpredictable, gold is very difficult to use unless you're willing to live with severe booms and busts.
The Great Depression was the death knell for the gold-based world economic system. Those nations that jettisoned gold the fastest, recovered the most. Of course, WWII intervened in the depression, so it took a decade or so to get back to the business of commerce–as opposed to the business of building things to kill Nazis. But, by 1944, everyone–on the Allied side, at least–had recovered enough breathing room to meet at Bretton Woods, NH, and hammer out a new economic system.
What they came up with was a system of fiat currencies, all freely convertible in the FOREX market.
Now, governments could adjust their money supplies appropriately by printing more money or less of it, and taxing their populations more leniently or more severely, as needed. This is the system most of us have grown up with…and it's dying.
It's dying because of something innate in human nature that the gold standard was better equipped to deal with: the urge to loot the system.
It's an urge that has always been there. Sometimes it has been the result of intentional government action to cheapen the currency. If you were, say, the king of Persia, you didn't need to consult the priests of Ahura Mazda to know that if you changed from using 10 grams of gold per coin, to using only 9 grams per coin, you could stretch your gold supply by 10%. You could then take the extra gold, and buy yourself a nice hat. Or use the extra gold to make one. Whatever.
Of course, people would notice this pretty quickly, and items that used to cost 9 gold pieces would cost 10 pieces–inflation!–but because gold had an intrinsic value, the same weight of gold could be exchanged. It was still pernicious, of course, but because gold had an intrinsic value–and because the supply of gold was relatively inflexible–it wasn't usually seriously pernicious.
Sometimes, the urge to loot the system has been done by private individuals, who figured out that if they shaved a bit off the edges of their gold pieces, they could accrue enough gold shavings to buy themselves a nice hat, too. This, by the way, is why when we began minting coins instead of hammering them out. They were minted with milled edges, making shaving attempts immediately obvious.
By the 19th century, the looting attempts became widespread, populist movements, like the "Free Silver" movement. At the time, gold was real money. If you took a bunch of gold to a Minting facility, the mint would return you an equal weight in gold coins–minus a nominal minting fee. After huge silver deposits were discovered at places like the Comstock Lode, populist agitation began for minting silver in the same way, at a ratio of 20 ounces of silver for 1 ounce of gold. The massive amount of silver floating around would, of course, have made this an extremely inflationary policy, and the farming and borrowing interests would have benefited by paying off bills for less than they had borrowed…enabling themselves to use the extra saving to buy a nice hat.
But during the First Age of Money, the looting was always constrained by the fact that gold had an intrinsic value, and that the supply of gold was inelastic. There were, therefore built-in constraints to the looting impulse.
When the Bretton Woods Agreement launched the Second Age of Money, it solved the problem of the inelasticity of the money supply, and enabled monetary authorities to fine-tune the money supply in response to economic activity. That was a good thing in the sense that it flattened–although did not eliminate–the business cycle fluctuations.
But the bad thing was that it completely removed any physical restraint on the money supply. It depended on governments and monetary authorities to exercise self-restraint, rather than impersonal, externally imposed constraints. The result has been 65 years of continually expanding credit, more or less constant inflation to a greater or lesser degree, and unrestrained spending and borrowing.
Governments–and their democratic (small "d") constituencies quickly learned that they could loot the system. Social insurance, medical care, military expansion…whatever the Big Idea of the minute was, we could have it. And if we didn't want to pay the taxes to the government to pay for it–and, mostly, we didn't–we could simply borrow it. We could obtain a whole bunch of little green pieces of paper now in exchange for a promise we'd pay back more little green pieces of paper sometime in the future. In the meantime, we could buy all the hats we wanted!
But now, we are obligated to pay back various people about fifty trillion pieces of green paper. Unfortunately, the entire household worth of everyone in the country is worth about forty trillion pieces of green paper.
How can the current economic and financial system possibly be considered solvent at this point? How will re-expanding the cycle of debt re-invigorate it?
No, we've had our fun. We got to loot the system for 65 years. Now, the hat bill is coming due.
I suspect we'll pay the hat bill the same way that Germany repaid their war reparations debt after WWI. "Hey, you remember that reparations bill for 3 billion marks that we're supposed to pay next week? Yeah. I just wanted to let you know that we've sent that order off to the printers, this week, and we should have that printed up for you by Tuesday."
The result was massive hyperinflation, the collapse of credit, and 5 years of compete economic stagnation, serious economic pain, severe unemployment…and the ability to start over in the mid-20s with a clean balance sheet. Clean enough, in fact, that by 1936 Germany had more or less completely emerged from the Great Depression, while the employment rate in the United States hovered at around 18%.
What Pres. Obama is proposing may result in nothing more than additional spending that helps bring about the collapse of the Post-WWII economic regime, while at the same time providing–temporarily–a social safety net that will provide some help as we pass through a difficult transitional period.
"I was there at the dawn of the Third Age of Mankind…"
OK. Maybe it's not that grandiose, but I think we are seeing the dawn of the Third Age of Money.
No one in the government realizes how the economic world is changing. So their proposed solutions are likely to be exposed over time as ineffective and, perhaps even counter-productive. The credibility of governments around the world is now invested in staving off an economic collapse. When their failures become evident, and their "solutions" are exposed as fantasies, that credibility will collapse. Who will want to buy government bonds, or use worthless government money? Who will trust the governments who lead us into the economic abyss?
Unfortunately, rather that realizing that we are entering a transition, and trying to discover how to shepherd us through that transition, they are invested in preserving the dying system of government-regulated money supply and credit. And even if they realized that we were in a transitional period, they would still do nothing about it because it would require voluntarily releasing their power over the economy.
Governments have always been in charge of money; determining what money is, how it will be exchanged, how new money will be created, etc. In part, this is traditional, in that only government had the resources and ability to fund and oversee mining and exploration activities, regulate what legal tender consisted of, and all of the other monetary functions. There simply were no other large organizations in existence to perform those tasks.
It wasn't until the 17th century that organizations began to emerge that could begin performing those tasks, and not until the 18th century that it became practical. Private money of various types began to sprout up everywhere. 18th-century America was, for a time, replete every decent-sized bank issuing its own currency based on deposits.
Eventually, the Federal government cracked down on that private money, not so much from jealousy of the government's role as the issuer of currency, but because private banks suffered from the same tendency to loot the system, issuing more and more inflated currency until it was worthless, and they ended up wiping out their depositors in the collapse as their obligations came due. There were some solid money banks of course, but the spectacular failures of so many private currency attempts led the government to tax them so heavily that private currency issuance became uneconomic. Governments may not have been perfect, but the constraints of the gold system meant that they didn't fail as completely and spectacularly as private banks did.
What was missing in private currency of the time, and what has been missing in the current post-WWII financial system is feedback. Yes, there is some, but it takes a long time to filter into the monetary authority, and is derived indirectly from statistics on economic activity, rather than by any sort of direct observation. The Fed raises interest rates today, for instance, and it takes around eight months to observe the indirect effects of the monetary policy change. This is why the role of the Fed, has often been described as steering a car by looking through the rear-view mirror. Based on seeing where you've been, you make decisions about where you must go. That may be a form a feedback, but it is so separated in time from the inputs that it's an inherently unstable system.
By the same token, what killed depositors in banks that issued private money was a lack of feedback. It wasn't possible to see that bankers were looting the system in time to withdraw your money.
We call this lack of feedback asymmetrical information. We've never been able to even approach the ability to have full information about what a bank or government is doing that may affect the money supply, or economic activity as a whole. We've never been able to see all sides of the story, as it were. So, we've had to more or less leave it in the hands of government, simply because governments have been the only organizations with the size and scope to reduce, even partially, the problem of feedback.
So, it seems pretty hopeless, doesn't it? The financial world we've grown up with is collapsing under the sheer weight of looting. If governments can't do it, and a return to the gold standard can't do it, then where are we? At the edge of another dark age?
Not quite.
I foresee the rise of private money once again, and returning in such force as to negate the government's role in the economy. In fact, the pieces for creating the Third Age of Money are already there.
The Internet will be the platform for the new money. But it's just the platform; the communications media. The actual objects that make up the Third Age of Money will almost be located in cyberspace.
First, there is encryption. In the not-too-distant future, you will go online with a persona, i.e., an online identity with a unique, highly encrypted digital signature. No more logging in with different user names and passwords at 100 different web sites. Your persona will be uniquely identified as you through the use of 4096-bit or 8192-bit public key encryption. Your persona will be impossible to forge or duplicate. It will be unique. Your "bank" and your "money" will be similarly encrypted.
Second, is your ATM/debit card. It won't be exactly the same, of course. It will be far more secure, probably through the use of biological identification systems to verify authorization, such as retinal scans. It will be linked directly to your persona's bank account.
Third, is the ability of all the major banks and credit card companies to do online transactions, and to convert one system of private money to another at a publicly known exchange rate. So, you can pay directly to your account–or withdraw from it–in Discover Dollars, or MasterBucks, or Credit Suisse Francs. Or perhaps there might even be a universally acknowledged unit of currency–the "Credit"–that all the private companies agree to use.
But, the most important element of creating a reliable private money system that is resistant to looting the system is feedback. The reduction of asymmetrical information. And that exists, too. eBay has been using it for years. Indeed, in no small way, the system implemented by eBay may be a key element of our future.
Imagine a system where, every time I do business with your persona, I rate your reliability, and it doesn't matter of the persona is an individual or a bank…or a government. Every day, millions of people who do transactions in MasterCard can rate the reliability and value of the MasterBucks system. Private companies like Standard and Poors or Moody's would not only rate MasterBucks, but consumers would rate the reliability of S&P or Moody's judgments.
And not only are the bank's persona's being rated, but your persona is as well, by every one who does business with it.
Put them all together and you have a secure form of private money that's convertible, impossible to forge, and is subject to constant feedback about its value and performance. Does MasterBucks have too high a debt ratio or too much exposure to non-performing loans at MasterCard? No problem. It's instantly convertible to Credit Suisse Franks. And the conversion rate lowers MasterBucks reliability ratings even more, signaling the company to correct its course, or lose its depositors.
Think of the implications this has for taxation, especially income taxation. Keep all your money in Credit Suisse Francs, say, and the US government will never even be able to see a record of your deposits or withdrawals. How will they track your income? And who will want to pay governments that failed to prevent the collapse for…well…anything? Who will accede to the demand for money by governments that repudiated their debts, and destroyed the life savings of millions?
I can foresee huge implications for the future that are very pro-liberty. In the long term. In the short term, though, if I'm right, and the current financial system is collapsing we will be in for a very rough decade or so. Very rough indeed.
*Apologies to Quentin Tarantino.
Transparency Redefined
Perhaps you've heard about Joe Biden's latest gaffe regarding his task of overseeing the Recovery Act:
How can the public know that the money is allocated correctly? That's the question CBS's Maggie Rodriguez asked.
"We're going to put every bit of this transparently up on a website. You're gonna know. You'll be able to go on a website. Every single bit of this will be on a website," he explained.
What website?
"You know, I'm embarrassed. Do you know the website number?" he asked looking offstage. "I should have it in front of me and I don't. I'm actually embarrassed."
He was able to get the website "number" from someone off camera.
"Recovery.gov. It's Recovery.gov. It's up and running," he said with newfound confidence.
If that doesn't inspire confidence, then maybe you should just go visit the "number" VP Joe suggested. Before you do, however, keep in mind that, from far to wide and low to high, the Obama administration has been touting not just the need for transparency,
Orzag said the two goals are to spend stimulus money "quickly" and "wisely," adding, "We have to go beyond normal procedures to a higher level of transparency."
But also on the determination and ability of the administration to deliver it:
"I [Pres. Obama] am also proud to announce the appointment of Earl Devaney as Chair of the Recovery Act Transparency and Accountability Board. For nearly a decade as Inspector General at the Interior Department, Earl has doggedly pursued waste, fraud and mismanagement, and Joe and I can't think of a more tenacious and efficient guardian of the hard-earned tax dollars the American people have entrusted us to wisely invest."
Apparently, the whole point of Recovery.gov is to show where your tax dollars are going, and what they are being spent on. So let's have a gander.
On the front page, my eyes were immediately drawn to the large graph dominating the left side of the page:
Wow! According to that chart, the largest expenditure by far ($288 Billion) is going to tax relief. Heck it's twice as much as the next category of State and Local Fiscal Relief which is only get a paltry $144 Billion. That's fantastic news. I feel so bad now for thinking that the bill was nothing more than a huge wealth transfer and goodies giveaway. Tax relief is always a good idea when it comes to pulling ourselves out of a recession.
But wait? What's that asterisk? I click on the chart and am taken to a lovely bubble graph that displays the same information. But with more bubbles, which are always nice. And bubble are transparent too, right?
Yep. There it is again, that $288 Billion in tax relief, dwarfing all the puny spending bubbles. Of course, being an intelligent person, I know that you have to add all of the spending bubbles together to see how they compare to the tax relief, but it's strangely comforting to see that giant, transparent bubble named Tax Relief making all the other bubbles seem, somehow, insignificant.
Unfortunately, that asterisk is still there as well. I follow it down to the bottom of the page where, in tiny print, I see these words:
* Tax Relief – includes $15 B for Infrastructure and Science, $61 B for Protecting the Vulnerable, $25 B for Education and Training and $22 B for Energy, so total funds are $126 B for Infrastructure and Science, $142 B for Protecting the Vulnerable, $78 B for Education and Training, and $65 B for Energy.
I think my bubble has burst. But that's how government works now I guess: making bubbles bigger than they ought to be.
Thoughts On The Speeches
First the Obama speech. My overall impression was that of a campaign speech. High flying rhetoric, intentions hidden in comfortable rhetoric that Americans find more acceptable than other and contradictions which were so evident that I'm surprised the media let them pass (ok, not really, but I thought I'd jab them a little). However, in reality, it was much more than that as I'll cover a little further on. But, as usual, very well delivered.
The Jindal speech, on the other hand, suffered by comparison. And, in fact, it suffered badly. Whoever helped him put that together should have skipped the "folksy" stuff and gotten down to business. By the time he finally got to the point, I was slack jawed with stupification. Having just sat through a 45 minute Obama speech I wanted a quick "give it to me now" response. 5 minutes into the Jindal speech we still didn't know where he was going with it. My guess is by that time, most people who had thought about watching him had thrown up their hands, hit the can and were raiding the liquor cabinet.
Back to the Obama speech. As I thought about it more I realized he'd very carefully hidden the intention of his administration and the Democrats to convert this country into a cradle to grave European-style socialist country. Seriously. It's all in there, but you have to carefully pick it out. While he never came right out and said it, he sure hinted around the edges. Probably the closest he came to actually laying it out was this:
That is why it will be the goal of this administration to ensure that every child has access to a complete and competitive education –- from the day they are born to the day they begin a career.
The same basic message was given concerning health care. When speaking about the budget he made this statement:
It includes an historic commitment to comprehensive healthcare reform –- a down payment on the principle that we must have quality, affordable healthcare for every American.
Two things to note – he didn't say "health insurance" for every American. He said "health care". And he also seems to have backed off of not making this mandatory.
He hit it again when talking about the two largest entitlement programs we have:
To preserve our long-term fiscal health, we must also address the growing costs in Medicare and Social Security. Comprehensive healthcare reform is the best way to strengthen Medicare for years to come. And we must also begin a conversation on how to do the same for Social Security, while creating tax-free universal savings accounts for all Americans. [So those "savings accounts" of old W's weren't so bad after all, huh? – ed.]
And here is where one of the glaring contradictions comes out. While claiming that the government's version of health care will be much more efficient and less costly than the private version, he contradicts himself when he says we must get the spiraling Medicare and Medicaid costs under control. I'll remind you of what we were promised Medicare would cost when it began, and I'll further remind you that the real cost ended up at least 6 times that amount. I'll also remind you that each year, that program has about 60 billion in waste, fraud and abuse. One of the efficiencies Obama claims will bring cost down is the elimination of that waste, fraud and abuse. That promise is as old as politics and still unfulfilled.
Last night, during the liveblogging, when Obama got to the auto industry, and started throwing "we" around, I asked "who is the 'we' he keeps talking about? Of course when you read the passage, I'm sure you will be able to figure it out:
As for our auto industry, everyone recognizes that years of bad decision-making and a global recession have pushed our automakers to the brink. We should not, and will not, protect them from their own bad practices. But we are committed to the goal of a retooled, reimagined auto industry that can compete and win.
I bet "we" are. The question is, will the "we" who are known as the public be willing to buy these autos designed and "reimagined" by government?
And, of course, the populist Obama was present as well . That's a very old and tired political trick which still manages to work unfortunately. A method of creating an emotional distraction while you propose things which are much worse:
This time, CEOs won't be able to use taxpayer money to pad their paychecks or buy fancy drapes or disappear on a private jet. Those days are over.
Just hearing a President of the United States say such a thing should send shivers up your spine. Instead it was one of the major applause lines of the night.
And this too should have caused those who love freedom to pause and understand the underlying promise of the words spoken:
A surplus became an excuse to transfer wealth to the wealthy instead of an opportunity to invest in our future. Regulations were gutted for the sake of a quick profit at the expense of a healthy market.
Transfer wealth to the wealthy? How by letting them keep more of their money? How is that a "transfer"? Well, it becomes a transfer if you believe it really isn't theirs at all. And the spending spree the Democratic Congress and the Obama administration are embarking upon certainly makes that case. With the lie about "no earmarks" in the "stimulus" bill again given voice, and with a 410 billion omnibus spending bill with 9,000 earmarks and another trillion being thrown into the financial sector, not to mention the cost of health care "reform", S-CHIP and the coming cap-and-trade system, there's no question where the "transfer of wealth" will be going during the next 4 years is there?
This Is Definitely Not The Thing To Do
I'm a big booster of the military (yeah, yeah, I know, big surprise) but when it or members of the military do dumb, stupid or illegal things, I call them out. This is one of those times:
A U.S. soldier on active duty in Iraq has called President Obama an "impostor" in a statement in which he affirmed plans to join as plaintiff in a challenge to Obama's eligibility to be commander in chief.
The statement was publicized by California attorney Orly Taitz who, along with her DefendOurFreedom.us Foundation, is working on a series of legal cases seeking to uncover Obama's birth records and other documents that would reveal whether he meets the requirements of the U.S. Constitution.
"As an active-duty officer in the United States Army, I have grave concerns about the constitutional eligibility of Barack Hussein Obama to hold the office of president of the United States," wrote Scott Easterling in a "to-whom-it-may-concern" letter.
As Neptunus Lex says, "this is a guy way out of his swim lane". Lex mirrors my reaction exactly:
I'm no particular fan of the president's agenda, but this smells too like the actions of those refuseniks who insisted that the 2000 presidential election was invalid because the result failed to conform to their preferences. Only this is worse, because the individual in question is an active duty officer serving in a combat zone. It's going to create a huge headache for both his soldiers and their chain of command, all of whom have much better things to do with their lives – like preserve them – than to coddle the whimsies of a rogue 2LT.
He swore an oath to support and defend the Constitution of the United States. This is mere vanity.
And it is utter stupidity. I don't support this LT any more than I supported the LT who refused to deploy because he had decided that the Iraq war was "illegal". They need to get this guy out of Iraq where his divided attention might end up getting someone killed. Then they should help him quickly learn to reassimilate into civilian life again (where he will surely become the darling of a few far-right fringe groups).
Schumer – Take It Or Leave It
Sen. Chuck Schumer has decided he, not the Constitution, should be final arbiter as to whether states take the stimulus money or not:
"No one would dispute that these governors should be given the choice as to whether to accept the funds or not. But it should not be multiple choice."
So he sent a letter to the OMB Director, Peter Orszag in which he said:
As you know, Section 1607(a) of the economic recovery legislation provides that the Governor of each state must certify a request for stimulus funds before any money can flow. No language in this provision, however, permits the governor to selectively adopt some components of the bill while rejecting others. To allow such picking and choosing would, in effect, empower the governors with a line-item veto authority that President Obama himself did not possess at the time he signed the legislation.
Well, Chuckie, no language in there says they must accept it all either. And, btw, many governors do enjoy line item vetoes.
And then there's that pesky 10th amendment.
Nationalization of banks unlikely
Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke says bank nationalization is unlikely:
Stress tests of big US banks that start this week are unlikely to lead to any of them being seized by regulators and nationalised outright, Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke told Congress on Tuesday.
His comments provided the clearest signal yet that US authorities hope to support major banks as going concerns in the private markets, taking equity stakes as necessary to shore up their capital in what would amount to partial nationalisations.
Stocks rose in response, with the S&P 500 index rising 4 per cent from the previous session's 12-year lows. Both Citigroup and Bank of America rose about 21 per cent to lead the market higher.
Asked whether the stress tests will lead regulators to move in to take outright control of some banks under powers used to deal with failing institutions, the Federal Reserve chairman said: "No, I don't think so."
He made it clear that he does not believe that outright nationalisation makes sense today.
"I do not see any reason to destroy the franchise value or to create the huge legal uncertainties of trying to formally nationalise a bank when it just is not necessary."
He said the authorities had other ways to "exert adequate control to make sure they are doing what is necessary to become healthy and viable".
Obama has been trying to play down nationalization for the last week as well, though some would argue that a partial nationalization has already taken place.
You have to wonder if nationalization would cause a run on banks. Wall Street was clearly worried about the prospect. Stocks tanked last week even as Obama was denying plans to nationalize, but they jumped when Bernanke said nationalization was unlikely.
Despite Obama basically telling us last night that the Era of Big Government is back and on steroids, Wall Street was has been skeptical of his plans. For the first time in months, I'm proud of Wall Street.
Live-blogging Obama's speech
Tonight's speech by Barack Obama isn't a true State of the Union, but it's close enough. Republicans will even have a response given by Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal.
Live-blogging will begin tonight around 8:30pm or so, I hope you'll join us.
On Deck: Universal Health Care (Updated)
According to Ezra Klein, the Obama administration intends to finagle universal health care coverage out of its budget proposal, including an individual mandate:
I've now been able to confirm with multiple senior administration sources that the health care proposal in Obama's budget will have a mandate. Sort of.
Here's how it will work, according to the officials I've spoken to. The budget's health care section is not a detailed plan. Rather, it offers financing — though not all — and principles meant to guide the plan that Congress will author. The details will be decided by Congress in consultation with the administration.
One of those details is "universal" health care coverage.
Some of you may recall that Obama, while in campaign mode, consistently denied that he wanted to introduce mandates as part of his health care package. Paul Krugman cited that opposition as the major difference between Obama and Hillary Clinton:
Let's talk about how the plans compare.
Both plans require that private insurers offer policies to everyone, regardless of medical history. Both also allow people to buy into government-offered insurance instead.
And both plans seek to make insurance affordable to lower-income Americans. The Clinton plan is, however, more explicit about affordability, promising to limit insurance costs as a percentage of family income. And it also seems to include more funds for subsidies.
But the big difference is mandates: the Clinton plan requires that everyone have insurance; the Obama plan doesn't.
Mr. Obama claims that people will buy insurance if it becomes affordable. Unfortunately, the evidence says otherwise.
Now that he's been elected it's presto hope'n change-o, and voila! Mandates!
Ezra Klein notes that the difference between the pre- and post-election plans is based on one word in the budget — "universal":
That word is important: The Obama campaign's health care plan was not a universal health care plan. It was close to it. It subsidized coverage for millions of Americans and strengthened the employer-based system. The goal, as Obama described it, was to make coverage "affordable" and "available" to all Americans.
But it did not make coverage universal. Affordability can be achieved through subsidies. But without a mandate for individuals to purchase coverage or for the government to give it to them, there was no mechanism for universal coverage. It could get close, but estimates were that around 15 million Americans would remain uninsured. As Jon Cohn wrote at the time, "without a mandate, a substantial portion of Americans [will] remain uninsured."
In essence, unless everyone is forced to buy insurance, there is no "universality," and the benefits of large participation in the insurance pool cannot be realized. An even shorter version is, if healthier people opt out, then sicker people can't sponge off them.
The budget — and I was cautioned that the wording "is changing hourly" — will direct Congress to "aim for universality." That is a bolder goal than simple affordability, which can be achieved, at least in theory, through subsidies. Universality means everyone has coverage, not just the ability to access it. And that requires a mechanism to ensure that they seek it.
Administration officials have been very clear on what the inclusion of "universality" is meant to communicate to Congress. As one senior member of the health team said to me, "[The plan] will cover everybody. And I don't see how you cover everybody without an individual mandate." That language almost precisely echoes what Senate Finance Chairman Max Baucus said in an interview last summer. "I don't see how you can get meaningful universal coverage without a mandate," he told me. Last fall, he included an individual mandate in the first draft of his health care plan.
The administration's strategy brings them into alignment with senators like Max Baucus. Though they're not proposing an individual mandate in the budget, they are asking Congress to fulfill an objective that they expect will result in Congress proposing an individual mandate. And despite the controversy over the individual mandate in the campaign, they will support it. That, after all, is how you cover everybody.
So it looks like you better start scarfing down those cheeseburgers, eating transfats, smoking cigarettes, or whatever it is you do that's not considered healthy, because once the federal government pays for health care (which is what individual mandates essentially works out to), then it also has the power to determine what "healthy" means. After all, since everyone will be pulling from the same health care pot, and since each claim on that pot diminishes what someone else can get, then each claim must be a legitimate one as weighed against all the competing interests. Because the viability of the system depends on healthy people making much fewer claims than sick people against the collective health care resources, the government now has a vested interest in making people healthier, whether they like it or not.
Another way to put it is that we will have entered a Pareto optimal world where no one can change their position for the better (i.e. receive more of the pooled benefits) without hurting someone else. Whereas in a competitive market system, each person can get at least as much health care as he or she wants to buy and can afford, in a Pareto optimal world, we are competing for the same scarce resources (health care dollars), and our claims are granted based on a a third party's (the government') determination of worthiness. No longer can we get what we can afford, we get a predetermined portion of what the government decides to pay for. That, of course, is why there are 6+ month waiting lists for routine health care in places like Canada and the UK.
Possibly the most depressing result of yoking America with universal health care, is that we can pretty much kiss medical and pharmaceutical innovation good bye.
Government run health centralizes the risks of exploring new technologies, medicines, techniques, etc. Centralized risk translates into (i) observing a very cautious approach to advances, and (ii) the politicization of research … From a purely capitalist point of view, opportunites that might have been pursued otherwise, are foregone since those who accept the risks of pursuing them do not get to maximize their reward, so instead those advances must come from the government. With government as the sole innovator, there are now two types of risk (1) the risk of failure (i.e. spending gobs of money on something that does not deliver as promised, or that costs significantly more than the benefit), and (2) the political risks (i.e. what politicians face for advocating spending on projects that either fail or that don't disproportionately benefit favored voters). The result is that risk is increased overall, and fewer innovations are realized.
America is pretty much the last industrialized nation to still have a (semi) private health care system, which should be understood to include the pharmaceutical industry (as a supplier of that health care system). What would happen to the growth and advances we've realized over the past few decades if (when?) we adopt universal health care? Where will the innovation come from? Who will take the risks? Without the proper incentives, and indeed with some of the worst possible incentives as the only driving force to creation, I fear that the scientific and medical Atlas will shrug.
I don't mean to say that there will be no breakthroughs ever again, but the pace will be slowed dramatically. That's because, one the government is in charge of paying for health care, it will also be in charge of paying for medicines. As we've already seen around the world, drug companies will be forced to sell their wares for much less than the (legal) monopoly prices they charge now. The result, therefore, will be much less risky and expensive research into new drugs that may never come to market, and much more emphasis on improving old drugs so as to continue to pay for further research.
Surely the federal government will pony up money for research into some diseases. But then the government will be in charge of picking winners and losers when it comes to whose diseases will get cures and whose won't. To imagine what this would look like, just think back to how AIDS and breast cancer research dollars were successfully lobbied for, despite neither affecting anywhere near as many people as other deadly diseases.
In the end we will be left with less individual freedom, worse health care, and fewer prospects for any improvement in either. That is not the change I was hoping for.
UPDATE: Tom Maguire helpfully reminds us of how the health care debate progressed during the Democratic primary season:
For folks whose memories have blessedly erased any recollection of the endless Democratic candidates debates, let me toss in a brief reminder. Obama claimed that he would offer health insurance subsidies so generous that most folks would volunteer to sign up. Hillary mocked that, insisting that the young and healthy would decline to subsidize the rest of us, especially since they could not subsequently be denied coverage on the basis of pre-existing conditions; her plan included a mandate obliging everyone to buy health insurance, like it or not (as in Massachusetts). Hillary then diligently ducked the "or else" question of what penalties she would inflict on the young, helathy and recalcitrant who would prefer to hold off on buying insurance until they were sick. As a nostalgia piece here is a link to a lefty wondering why his party was so committed to forcing young, healthy members of the working class to subsidize the rest of us on health care; that seems like a good question but I am long resigned to not being smart enough to be a lefty.
Aww, Tom. You're plenty smart enough. Just not angry, bitter or jealous enough.
As for the "or else" question, Obama and the Congress won't be able to duck that one. I can only imagine what sort of sword they intend to dangle of recalcitrant ,
comrades citizens who refuse to sign up for the program.

subset: commoncrawl


text:
Ep1: What to Make of Child-Saving Discourse?
by Patrick Ryan
Childhood: History & Critique is a bi-weekly series of interviews and commentaries on the historical study of childhood offered by Patrick J. Ryan for the Society for the History of Children and Youth.
Episode 1 – "What to Make of Child-Saving Discourse?" is available online at: http://shcyhome.org/2014/11/
Continue reading


text:
Torchwood: Miracle Day Finale Verdict
Here are results of last week's poll with your verdict on the Torchwood: Miracle Day finale.
Most of you were happy with the finale, with 61% of those who voted giving full marks. 19% rated it good; 8% thought it was average; just 5% rated it poor and another 7% rated it awful. This means The Blood Line was the second highest ranked episode in the series.
[poll id="70″]
Looking at all the poll results from the entire series, The Categories of Life was the highest rated story. The lowest scoring was Dead of Night.
- The Categories of Life (episode 5)
- The Blood Line (episode 10)
- The Gathering (episode 9)
- The Middle Men (episode 6)
- Escape to LA (episode 4)
- Rendition (episode 2)
- Immortal Sins (episode 7)
- End of the Road (episode 8 )
- The New World (episode 1)
- Dead of Night (episode 3)
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Please do not post SPOILERS including anything from leaked episodes! Your account could be banned. For complete details on our comment policy please read.


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At The LOFT, no two weddings are ever alike, they each have their own distinctive style. Incorporating your grandmother's jewels into your bouquet or creating wings for your fairytale loving flower girl, our experience and passion for detail will ensure the most memorable occasion for you and your guests.


text:
National Macaroni Day 2014
Macaroni is a variety of machine-made dry pasta. Quite shorter compared to spaghetti, and hollow, macaroni is egg free.
History of Macaroni
Each year Macaroni Day is celebrated on 7th July, it's time for some yummy macaroni treat for your near and dear ones. Macaroni has been originated from Italian Macaroni. English borrowed the term from Italian in the 16th century.
National Macaroni Day History
Like all other majority of food celebrations and holidays, it is tough to ascertain briefly how National Macaroni Day came into being. Generally on this day holidays are designated by food manufacturers or other groups (or often individuals) who have a vested interest in the product.
The history of macaroni is one of the debatable topics. There are several stories about the conceptualization of pasta; it has been told to have been originated in Rome and Greece, and a few speculates that it was carried to Europe from China by Marco Polo. Nonetheless, the most possible explanation is thought to be that pastas were produced in Arab, Sicilian, and Italian cultures in medieval times.
National Macaroni Day Celebration
Nevertheless, major celebrations for National Macaroni Day are a few, there are often special macaroni dishes served up at local food joints in honor of the holiday, or sales on macaroni products at some stores. You can also celebrate by preparing a batch of your favorite macaroni dish, or involving the children in a macaroni art project.
A few ideas to celebrate macaroni day include:
- Prepare for your whole family a mouthwatering delicious dish of macaroni! It can be none other than Macaroni and Cheese!
- Organize a macaroni buffet party! All you have to do is line up all shapes and sizes of cooked macaroni and a queue of all types of sauces to top.
- Kids are fond of macaroni crafts and this is the ideal day to have some fun with the kids. You can glue dry macaroni to cardboard and make pretty pictures. You can also facilitate colored macaroni (like spinach/green). Little girls would love to make macaroni artifacts! Allow them to string up necklaces and let them wear it for the whole day.
- Macaroni Day falls in July and several people also celebrate "Christmas In July", so it cannot be a better time to make macaroni garland than on National Macaroni Day.
- You can also conduct cooked macaroni eating contest on that day!
Events in July
- National Video Games Day 201...
- Nunavut Day 2014
- California State Fair 2014
- National Blueberry Muffin Da...
- Bastille Day 2014
- Barn Day 2014
- National Caviar Day 2014
- National Daiquiri Day 2014
- National Lollipop Day 2014
- National Penuche Day 2014
- Ohio State Fair 2014
- Pioneer Day 2014
- National Tequila Day 2014
- Antigua Carnival 2014
- Bagpipe Appreciation Day 201...
- Parents Day 2014
- National Lasagna Day 2014
- Eid Ul-Fitr 2014
- National Cheesecake Day 2014
- Archaeology Day 2014
- Yellow Pig Day 2015
November Events
- 25International Day for Elimination of Violence Against Women 2014
- 25National Parfait Day 2014
- 25White Ribbon Day 2014
- 27Thanksgiving Day 2014
- 27Thanksgiving Day in Australia
- 28Black Friday 2014
- 28Buy Nothing Day 2014
- 30St Andrews Day 2014
- 30Carers Rights Day 2014


text:
Trisha Brown is an artist of and for our time, and has been for over 30 years. She began walking on walls and dancing on New York City rooftops in the hectic post-modern era of the 1960s. Since then she has made excursions into opera, visual art, even robotics. Her movement suggests the fluid architecture of, say, a liquefied Weisman museum: flowing in eccentric and unpredictable ways while maintaining a clarity of design that dazzles both the mind and the eye. This week, the Walker Art Center inaugurates "The Year of Trisha" with a show of her drawings that opens with a live performance by Brown in which she synthesizes dance and drawing by improvising movement across a large piece of paper with charcoal and pastel. Next week her company of superbly articulate dancers performs new and classic Brown works at Northrop Auditorium, including the splendid "Foray Forêt" to the eerie strains of a marching band playing from the lobby; "I Love My Robots" with, yes, honest-to-goodness robots (and one live dancer); and "Present Tense," a new work to music by that iconic innovator John Cage. One of the most articulate artists around, Brown will talk about her career in dance and the visual arts at a "Talking Art and Dance" event on April 22. Then she'll be back in July to remount several site-based works from the 1970s, including a work in which the dancers float on rafts in Loring Pond. Kudos to the Walker and Northrop for bringing us so many aspects of Brown, a major 20th-century artist who is still rocking and invigorating the 21st.
Fri., April 25, 8 p.m., 2008


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The Fort Jackson Campus provides some evening courses toward associates in
business Management and Criminal Justice
degrees. Classes are open for
civilians students of Midlands Technical College as well.
Current Course
to access the course search page. Remember to choose FJAX as your
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Click Here for a map (pdf) to Gate 2 and the Army Continuing Education Center.
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text:
Tigers and Marlins head in opposite directions
Originally Published: December 4, 2007By Jayson Stark | ESPN.com
NASHVILLE, Tenn. -- As word of a staggering eight-player trade reverberated around the walls and halls and dancing fountains of Opryland on Tuesday, it was hard to make your brain comprehend this absolutely true fact:The Florida Marlins won the World Series more recently -- in fact, much more recently -- than the Detroit Tigers. But here we are, just four years after Dontrelle Willis, Miguel Cabrera and the Marlins unleashed a champagne waterfall inside the visitors clubhouse in Yankee Stadium. And any minute now, there won't be a single teal-clad human being left who can reminisce about one pitch of that World Series. They'll all be gone. Every one of them. At least they will be as soon as the Marlins get around to announcing that they've traded Willis and Cabrera to Detroit for a six-player package headed by stud prospects Cameron Maybin and Andrew Miller. Amazing. The Tigers? They're now an official baseball superpower.
They're headed for a $120 million-plus payroll. They have a lineup deeper than the Grand Canyon. And they can run five starting pitchers out there who have each worked 200-plus innings in at least one of the past two seasons. "I'll tell you what," Red Sox manager Terry Francona said. "There are a lot of American League pitchers [and teams] getting real nervous -- and we're one of them." But the Marlins? They're about as unrecognizable as any team in America -- maybe even more unrecognizable than the Pawtucket Red Sox. "What's their payroll going to be?" one baseball man wondered Tuesday night. "Six million bucks? Eight million?" Hey, excellent guesses. As best we can tell, their highest-paid player next season is going to be closer Kevin Gregg. He made $575,000 this season (less than the Yankees paid A-Rod every four days). And he's actually arbitration-eligible. Or it might be Miller, even though he's only 22 years old, was pitching for the UNC Tar Heels as recently as two years ago and owns exactly 74 1/3 innings of big league experience.
[+] Enlarge
John Capella/Sports Imagery/Getty ImagesMiguel Cabrera hit 34 homers last season and led all NL third basemen with 119 RBIs.
|Get the inside scoop on what's happening at the winter meetings in Nashville. Blog
That plan now leaves them with virtually zero identity. Let's see now. There's Hanley Ramirez and Dan Uggla and uh OK, we're stumped. And even more importantly for the future of the franchise, you wonder where this plan will leave their endless campaign for a new ballpark, now that they no longer can say they want to build it for Willis and Cabrera to lead them back to the glory days. Until Tuesday, it seemed highly unlikely that the Marlins would dare to trade both of those men in the same offseason -- let alone the same deal. But once the Tigers checked in and indicated a willingness to talk about both Maybin and Miller, everything changed. Just a few hours of haggling later, this deal was done. None of the four guys heading for Florida who are not named Maybin or Miller is going to be a star. In fact, the most upbeat adjective we heard about any of them from scouts we surveyed was "solid." But here's the good news: If Maybin and Miller don't turn into stars, something is wrong. "I've seen Miller since he was in high school," said one baseball executive who has scouted both players extensively. "And I think he'll be a dominant left-handed pitcher. And I love Maybin. He's the kind of athlete you just don't see very often in our game. So I think Florida got two outstanding players."
[+] Enlarge
Paul Spinelli/MLB Photos via Getty ImagesLeft-hander Andrew Miller, the No. 6 overall pick in the 2006 draft, posted a 5.69 ERA in 21 games with Detroit.
I'll tell you what. There are a lot of American League pitchers [and teams] getting real nervous -- and we're one of them.
-- Red Sox manager Terry Francona on the Tigers' projected lineup in '08
That would be Cabrera, a fellow who has already made four All-Star teams and driven in 523 runs, even though he's still younger (24) than a lot of teams' prospects. As a matter of fact, he's younger than one of the prospects he was traded for: pitcher Burke Badenhop. So this will be one tough, relentless lineup, packed with smart, experienced hitters who don't do much swinging and missing. The Tigers nearly scored 900 runs this season, with Sheffield hurting, with Rodriguez walking only nine times all year and with very little production out of left field. Now they've added Cabrera and a shortstop who almost won the NL batting title (Renteria). So this might very well be the best lineup in baseball next season, bar none. What's a little more uncertain is what to make of the effervescent Willis, who is coming off a semi-disastrous season (10-15, 5.17 ERA) that happened while pitching in the offensively challenged National League, in one of the best pitchers' parks in baseball. "I think he was hurt, but now I think he's better," Guillen said. "When we played them, I thought there was something wrong with him. He was throwing like 85-84 [mph]. He got it back later, and he was fine. But when we faced him, he was frigging Jamie Moyer without the changeup." An executive of one team that pursued Willis before the trading deadline said his club checked his medical reports and found nothing worrisome. So he predicted a bounce-back season.
[+] Enlarge
Ron Vesely/MLB Photos via Getty ImagesCameron Maybin, 20, hit .143 with one home run in 24 games with the Tigers last September.
"I know a lot of people are down on him, but I actually liked him," he said. "I think he's a guy who could turn his career around on a team like that. He wasn't the same guy. It wasn't the same stuff. But he still competed like crazy. I look at him as a guy who still has it in him. "The big thing is, he had to be a different guy with the Marlins than he'll have to be with the Tigers. With some of that pressure off, I think he'll be better for it. And I think he's a guy who can really connect in that community." That, however, is probably a claim no one can make about the Marlins. Any of them. On Tuesday, they found themselves merging into the same lane as the Tigers on the winter meetings highway. But one memorable winter meetings blockbuster later, one team is roaring off north and the other is heading south -- in more ways than one. Jayson Stark is a senior writer for ESPN.com. His new book, "The Stark Truth: The Most Overrated and Underrated Players in Baseball History," has been published by Triumph Books and now is available in bookstores. Click here to order a copy.
[+] Enlarge
Otto Greule Jr/Getty ImagesSince going 22-10 with a 2.63 ERA in 2005, Dontrelle Willis is 22-27 with a 4.49 ERA.
Jayson Stark | emailSenior Writer, ESPN.com
- Senior writer for ESPN.com
- 21 years at the Philadelphia Inquirer
- Author of three baseball books
- Report: Cuban slugger to D-backs for $68.5M
- Red Sox officially unveil Sandoval, Ramirez
- Source: Lester, Giants will meet next week
- Brewers' Braun: No pain in repaired thumb
- Santana No Sure Thing
- Ervin Santana: Half-full or half-empty?
David Schoenfield »
- Who Is Yasmany Tomas?
- Yasmany Tomas is likely the next impactful Cuban slugger.
Jerry Crasnick »
- Top Targets For Every Team
- Jim Bowden identifies the primary and fallback options.
GM's Office
- Bowden: Top targets for all 30 teams
- Olney: The top 10 MLB center fielders
- Swydan: Five AL moves that need to happen
- Szymborski: Sandoval not worth $95 million
- Bowden: Valuing the top 50 free agents


text:
May 15, 2006 -- From Rosalind, a teacher, from Newark, New Jersey, who is not affiliated with the site.
Scholastic has wonderful activities for children, teachers and parents. I find that it is very useful when we research projects or want to do an author's study. The teacher tools are practical, easy to use and useful.


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The newly engaged True Blood star flashes her engagement ring in Venice, Calif. Plus: Kellan Lutz, Ellen & Portia and more
Credit: David Kaminski/Splash News Online
Published: Thursday Aug 06, 2009 | 05:00 PM EDT
More from PEOPLE
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Newly engaged True Blood star Anna Paquin positively sparkles while flashing her engagement ring while in Venice, Calif., on Thursday. No wedding date has been set yet for
the HBO star and her fiancé Stephen Moyer.
Copyright © 2014 Time Inc. All rights reserved. Reproduction in whole or in part without permission is prohibited.


text: Jane Boyko wrote: > > I know many of my friends have issues when I make strawberry, or other > fruit perogies, and serve them with sour cream and a bit of salt. > ?? What do they think you should serve them with? -- Antonia di Benedetto Calvo ----------------------------- Habeo metrum - musicamque, hominem meam. Expectat alium quid? -Georgeus Gershwinus -----------------------------


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Find records of Howard Warren
Find birth, death, marriage, military, and other records of Howard N Warren at Ancestry.com.Search for records
Biography & Family History Add details
Howard N Warren (1934 - 1999) was born on August 12, 1934. He was born into the Warren family.
Howard had no relationships. Howard died on March 28, 1999 at 64 years of age.
Howard N Warren's last known residence is at Tipton, Tipton County, Indiana.
The data on this page comes from the official record for Howard N Warren in the SSDI (United States Social Security Master Death Index). According to information provided to the SSDI, this death record has been verified by a family member of the deceased. This data can be considered very accurate. What is the SSDI?
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- Marcel L Warren
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- Susan Warren
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- Robert Warren
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thats really good stuff
Zooey Deschanel can sing
Zooey Deschanel can singPosted by dirty puppy on December 12, 2008 at 5:22 pm
Grrrl has got some talent, and it is not often you find an actress who can successfully cross over into music. ScarJo sucked.
I think she is even better live...
Replies for this Forum Topic
JitterBug started a She & Him thread a whiiiiiile back, actually, which prompted me to listen to them. Good stuff! I'd like it if M. Ward sang more though..
scarjo is a fucking joke. the singing scene in lost in translation was just prelude to her music career. the bitch can't sing and in teh looks department she's overrated.
zooey is cool but annoying that she and m.ward are more poster children for the scene whatever teh scene is now than anything else. more sonny & cher than the carpenters. or even the fiery fernaces who did it a lot better than they did and didn't have the celebutant flack degrading their music. at least for me.
I saw her earlier this week on Jimmy Kimmel (doucehbag) for the first time and she was more interesting that I thought. She did not sing though.
She described her music as "Stadium Folk" I believe. After watching the video you posted, I thought she ok. Sounds a lot like Jenny whats-her-name from Rilo Kiley just not as good. Not horrible though.


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ARLINGTON — Incoming University of Texas at Arlington President Vistasp Karbhari will earn $485,000 annually and can hold a faculty position with tenure after he stops leading the university, according to an agreement approved this week by the UT System board of regents.Karbhari, who starts June 1, has been serving as provost and executive vice president for academic affairs at the University of Alabama in Huntsville.The contract was unanimously approved as part of a series of consent agenda items during a board meeting this week in Austin.As president of the Arlington campus, Karbhari reports to the UT System chancellor, Francisco Cigarroa, and the executive vice chancellor for academic affairs, Pedro Reyes. When Karbhari's presidential appointment ends — his performance will be reviewed annually — he is entitled to a tenured faculty post as a professor in the College of Engineering with a beginning rate of $200,000."During your presidency, you will not be paid your salary as professor," the contract says.In February, Karbhari was named that lone finalist to replace outgoing President James Spaniolo.One of Karbhari's key tasks is to lead UTA in its quest to join UT Austin, Texas A&M University and Rice University as Tier One research institutions in Texas.Spaniolo's last day is May 31. He announced plans to retire last June after serving since February 2004. His annual salary is $427,034.
Diane Smith, 817-390-7675 Twitter: @dianeasmith1


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Manchester United were denied a dramatic come-from-behind victory over Fulham when Darren Bent rescued a late point for struggling Fulham deep in injury time.
Steve Sidwell had given Fulham a first-half lead but just when it looked like the visitors had staved off relentless Reds pressure, Robin van Persie and Michael Carrick scored to give United a 2-1 lead and, seemingly, all three points. Until, of course, Bent intervened.
The first half had followed a frustratingly familiar course; United had all the early possession, while the visitors placed eight or nine men behind the ball. Control, but no discernible advantage. Then after 19 minutes, on Fulham's first foray forward, Lewis Holtby picked out the run of Sidwell and, unmarked, the latter poked the ball past David De Gea.
The Reds' response of a smattering of crosses was welcomed by Fulham's towering defenders, although in a frenetic 10-minute spell United had chances: van Persie fired over from close range, Ashley Young had a header saved by Maarten Stekelenburg, and Carrick's vicious volley from 20 yards swerved wide. With so much emphasis on attack, the back door can be left open and Richardson went close on another breakaway attack. At the other end, Carrick had another shot saved, van Persie's follow-up was diverted wide and from the resulting corner Vidic's towering header was saved.
The second half brought similar exasperation in front of goal and soon a flurry of substitutes - Adnan Januzaj, Javier Hernandez and Antonio Valencia - entered the fray. Frustration could have frayed United's belief but the Reds kept going and after a series of unconverted goalmouth scrambles seemed


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Papal visit to Korea focuses on theme of reconciliationAug 17, 2014 - 10:51 pm .- Calls for peace and reconciliation dominated Pope Francis' historic apostolic visit to South Korea, which concluded as the Pope boarded a plane back to Rome Aug. 18.
Pope to Koreans: Trust in the reconciling power of the CrossAug 17, 2014 - 06:39 pm .- At the concluding Mass of his historical trip, Pope Francis urged the faithful to embrace Christ's message of forgiveness and reconciliation, stressing earlier in his visit that there is only "one Korea."
Polish communist's reconciliation with Church hailed as joyousJun 19, 2014 - 12:11 am .- The recent funeral Mass said for Wojciech Jaruzelski, who was a Polish military commander and communist politician during the Cold War, has been received as an occasion for rejoicing.
Pope Francis: Be courageous, go to confessionFeb 19, 2014 - 04:57 am .- During his Wednesday audience, Pope Francis encouraged the pilgrims filling St. Peter's Square to receive the sacrament of reconciliation.
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Thank you very much for this cook book! I can't wait to try out these recipes! Especially the salmon cheesecake.
Also, I just received a second package today! GIANT CUPCAKE PAN!
I cannot wait to try this out!
WOO! The 2nd box arrived! I've been stalking Amazon's shipping page all day! When you mentioned your cupcake pans I just had to go a little silly with it. XD Glad you like the stuff! :D
Oh, and BTW, ADORE the upvote and downvote earrings! :D
Thanks :D I actually received them from my arbitrary plus gifter!


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you might be getting sick of it but when you can make pics like this it's worth it!
beautiful shot!
beautiful...chantilly path*
Just simply amazing...
Super cool
Thanks for the like
...getting sick...
...of all this... white stuff!!This photo was shot on film. Taken by artichekt with a Horizon Perfekt loaded with Lomography X-Pro Slide 200 ISO (35mm) film in düsseldorf, Germany. These tags describe this photo: winter, snow, sun, freezing, schnee, and sonne. This photo can also be found in the albums snow & friendsLandscapes.
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Hello, World!
Posted by Derek Powazek on 17 September 2006.
Exactly two years ago today, JPG Magazine began with a simple mission.
JPG Magazine is for photographers like us who fall somewhere in between the strict definitions of "amateur" and "professional." People who, enabled by new technology that makes imagemaking and self-publishing easier than ever, have fallen in love with photography and sought out others with the same passion.
Today, the humble project that began with a Gmail account and a dream is growing up. Welcome to the new JPG Magazine. In many ways, this is the project we always wanted.
There's a lot that's new, including memberships, more themes, and voting! And there's even more new with the magazine, including a larger format, more pages, more frequent publishing, and a much lower price tag! And did we mention that, if you're chosen for publication, you'll get $100 and a free subscription?
And this is just the beginning. We've got big plans. Very soon we'll be making subscriptions available for the first time, ever. If you're interested in subscribing (and we hope you are) be sure to sign up and we'll let you know when they're available.
Today also marks the opening of submissions for Issue 7! Unlike past issues, this one's got three themes: Big, Self-portraiture, and Hometown. As usual you can submit one photo to each, but now there's three, so that's 300% more chances to get published!
Issue 7 also features our first sponsored theme. Big ups to Metroblogging for sponsoring the Hometown theme. For more information on sponsored themes, check out our advertising page. Full-page slots in Issue 7 are still available!
But enough talk. C'mon in. Check out some photos. Vote in the themes. Meet the new neighbors. And, of course, we hope you sign up and join in the fun!
And be sure to let us know what you think.
It's been a helluva two years. Here's to many more!


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|They said this was a city for our kind, they said it was a safe haven from the rest of the world. This was suppose to be the city where we where safe from regular humans. But, in a city where Meta-Humans run rampant, is there such thing as safety? When taking what you want is as simple as waving your hand, or closing your eyes, how can there be law? In this city, the truth is there is only one source of law, and that are the different criminal organizations that have formed all around us. The only order is that of the darkest part of humanity, of criminal organizations where the strong thrive while the weak gasp for air. This is Niwa Nights.. This is our home.
Can you survive it?
City Legends
Aside from the typical and well-known drugs that plague the world, Niwa is also a hub for meta-drugs; drugs that are specifically designed to and for meta-humans and the related topic.
|Fatigue X May 18 2014, 08:51 PM, By KingCannon
|Topics: 8
|Replies: 10
|1 user viewing this forum (1 Guest and 0 Anonymous)
|Displaying Topics 1-6 of 6.


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Mcgraw Hill Financial, Inc. (NYSE:MHFI)
The Company is a global information services provider serving the financial services, education and business information markets with a wide range of information products and services.
Difficult to go long and even harder not to short a company facing a lawsuit from the Government. From the $50s/$40s, this is about as easy as it gets.


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Ranked No. 3 in most desirable homecomings, Spelman and Morehouse are ready to kick off. We have this weekend's party lineup ready for you.
Tags: 12 Play, Atlanta, Black Love 8, club, Club Aries, COMPOUND, DIAMONDS OF ATLANTA, Field of Nighmares, Homecoming 2012, Morehouse College, Morehouse Homecoming 2012, Nightlife, Obsessions, Opera, party, Pretty Nasty, Spelhouse, Spelhouse homecoming 2012, spelman college, Studio Love, THE MANSION ELAN, whats hot


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3 Simple Timelines for a Stress-Free Vegan Thanksgiving
Your ultimate checklist for getting everything done for UnTurkey Day.
The mere mention of Thanksgiving brings a smile to anyone's face (pumpkin pie! mashed potatoes! sweet potatoes covered in vegan marshmallows!), but for the host, it might evoke terror at the thought of cooking for so many people. As someone who loves to entertain, I used to panic and stress out over every single detail, but after several successful dinner parties, I realized that organizing ahead of time ebbs the inevitable craziness of the holidays. Need a simple breakdown of how to get it all done without breaking a sweat? Print this out, stick it to your fridge, and feast away!
Potluck Party
Two Weeks Before
☐ Send out invitations to your guests using Evite or Facebook. For your omnivore friends who may be new to vegan cooking, include a link to vegan Thanksgiving recipes. Ask your guests to post what they will be bringing and mention that non-cooks can happily bring drinks.
The Week Before
☐ Check in with your guests if any haven't replied to get a final count. Ask guests who have RSVPed "yes" to bring to-go containers for leftovers (if there are any!).
☐ Decide on the menu (see suggestions below).
☐ Make a grocery list and get shopping!
The Day Before
☐ Prepare any dishes that can be easily re-heated or served cold. Classic Cranberry Sauce, Spinach Roasted Fingerlings, Marinated Kale Salad are all fail-safe options.
☐ If serving dessert, make it ahead of time in case it needs to set overnight.
Thanksgiving Morning
☐ Pull out all of your plates, cups, silverware, and serving utensils to make sure you have enough. Ditto with chairs!
☐ Cook in order of how long it takes to make your dishes. Start with the more time-consuming and end with least.
☐ In addition, plan oven use, making sure to note differences in cooking temperatures and times.
Thanksgiving Dinner
☐ Before your first guest arrives, take a deep breath!
☐ Preheat the oven for any of your guests' dishes that need to be warmed up.
Small Soirée
Two Weeks Before
☐ Plan out your dinner menu. Stick with simple recipes that serve four to six people.
The Week Before
☐ Head to the grocery store with your shopping list.
The Day Before
☐ Prep any dishes that can be made ahead of time.
Thanksgiving Morning
☐ Start cooking in order of how long each dish takes to make.
Thanksgiving Dinner
☐ Set the table and serve the drinks. Enjoy!
Gigantic Gathering
Two Weeks Before
☐ Plan out your menu, opting for dishes that serve a large number of people.
☐ Assign recipes to certain family members or ask them to bring one appetizer, a dessert, or drinks.
The Week Before
☐ Go grocery shopping with your list, of course!
☐ Start cooking dishes that can easily store for several days, such as Two-Cheese Lasagna or Pumpkin Pie.
The Day Before
☐ Check in with your guests if any haven't replied to get a final count.
☐ Prepare appetizers, easily made side dishes, or a big salad.
☐ Defrost your centerpiece, if necessary.
Thanksgiving Morning
☐ Cook the centerpiece dish and remaining side dishes.
☐ Pull out all of your plates, cups, silverware, and serving utensils to make sure you have enough. Ditto with chairs!
☐ Set up two different serving stations with duplicates of every dish (two bowls of mashed potatoes) so everyone can get to the food easier without waiting too long.
Thanksgiving Dinner
☐ When guests arrive, serve appetizers first.
☐ Ask certain guests to assist you during dinner with refilling drinks, clean-up, and dishes.
Suggested Menu
Mushroom Puff Pastry Bites
Hot Caramelized Onion Bacon Dip
Jalapeño Cheddar Biscuits
Sumptuous Shepherd's Stew
Two-Cheese Lasagna
Thanksgiving Tart
Side Dishes
Gluten-Free Garlicky Whipped Sweet Potatoes with Herbs
Guilt-Free Garlic Mashed Potatoes
Roasted Root Vegetables
Pumpkin Bread Pudding
Pumpkin Praline Cheesecake
Peanut Butter Cup Pie
Thanksgiving Salad with Cranberries, Apples, & Caramelized Pecans
This holiday favorite comes complete with sweet, caramelized pecans that are sure to dazzle your guests.
Read More »
Robin Robertson: My Top 10 Vegan Dishes Around the World
With her newest cookbook Vegan Without Borders in stores now, authoress Robin Robertson shares her own favorite global vegan meals.
Read More »
3 Vegan Thanksgiving Sides from the Experts
Three culinary geniuses share scrumptious vegan sides perfect for UnTurkey Day.
Read More »
10 Downright Delicious Dessert Thanksgiving Recipes
Follow up your appetizers and entrées with a sensational, dairy-free dessert menu thats unique and satisfying.
Read More »
The Ultimate Vegan Halloween Party Tips & Menu
Party guests will shriek with delight at this vegan boo-ffet.
Read More »
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- The 2014 VegNews Guide to Vegan Halloween Candy
- How to Make Tofu: A Step-by-Step Photo Guide
- How to Date a Meat-Eater
- Vegan Weddings 2014: Laura Robeson & Danielle Davis
- Vegan Weddings 2014: Alison Longley & Theodore Ross Butler
- Everything You Need to Know About Juicing
- Vegan Weddings 2014: Ashley Moore & Jordan Coates
- Guide to Vegan Baking
- How to Make Great Vegan Mexican Food at Home
- Vegan Weddings 2014: Aliya & Michael Weber
- 10 Creative Ways to Use Nut Butters
- VegNews Exclusive: An Interview with John Joseph
- 10 Foods to Help Get Rid of Stress
- The Sexy Vegans Spicy Korean Burgers
- 10 Reasons to Fall in Love with Santa Barbara
- 3 Cheap Ways to Stock Your Vegan Bar
- How to Eat Vegan on a Budget in London
- 3 Rules for Stellar Homemade Vegan Cheese
- 3 Gluten-Free Summer Potluck Staples


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Find records of Jean Hanson
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Biography & Family History Add details
Jean M Hanson (1924 - 2002) was born on December 26, 1924. She was born into the Hanson family.
Jean had no marriages. Jean died on April 13, 2002 at 77 years old.
Jean M Hanson's last known residence is at Bemidji, Beltrami County, Minnesota.
We find a death record for Jean M Hanson in the United States Social Security Master Death Index (SSDI). According to information provided to the SSDI, this death record has been verified by a family member of the deceased. This data can be considered very accurate. What is the SSDI?
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- Given name
- Jean
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- Last Known Residence
- Bemidji, Beltrami County, Minnesota
- Born
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- Female
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Possible Relatives
- Lucile Hanson
- ·
- Lavere Hanson
- ·
- Alpha Hanson
- ·
- Wendell Hanson
- ·
- Robert M Hanson
- ·
- Ronald Hanson
- ·
- Delbert L Hanson
- ·
- George W Hanson
- ·
- Joann M Hanson
- ·
- Martin Hanson
- ·
- M Hanson
- ·
- Lynne L Hanson
- ·
- Wilbur Hanson
- ·
- Ruth E Hanson
- ·
- Robert Harry Hanson
- ·
- M U Hanson
- ·
- Edward W Hanson
- ·
- Rebecca C Hanson
- ·
- Grace Hanson
- ·
- Claudine Mae Hanson
- ·


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Hempstead Town Supervisor Kate Murray, Councilman Gary Hudes, Receiver of Taxes Don Clavin and Town Clerk Mark Bonilla present Kaitlin Condon of Levittown with the Town of Hempstead High School Senior Pathfinder Award. Kaitlin, a senior at Division Avenue High School, is a model student admired by teachers and peers alike. Kaitlin rises to every academic challenge that confronts her and is quick to help other students who might be struggling.
There are two candidates running for one position on the Levittown Public Library Board of Trustees. This five-year trustee position has been vacated by Dennis Conway. The library budget vote and trustee election will be held Tuesday, April 4, between noon and 9 p.m., in the Levittown Library Community Room.
The Blue Dragon Softball team opened up its season 3-0.
The Wisdom Lane Boys Volleyball team finished the season strong, winning two of its last four games. After a slow start, the boys gained confidence and played well at the tail end of the season.
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TERRE HAUTE – South Side fell to Bedford North Lawrence 54-51 in the Class 4A state championship Saturday at Indiana State.
Arianna Simmons led the Archers (24-4) with 21 points.
The Stars (28-0) also beat South Side in the regular season, 63-39.
It was the first trip to the state finals for South Side.
BNL won its third state title.