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By Tom Flannery I once heard a pastor named Fred Price in California tell of a time back in the 1970s when he and a friend visited a church in downtown Los Angeles. They had heard that God was moving there and miracles were taking place, so they wanted to check it out for themselves. …
Tag Archive: Richard Dawkins
Jan 30 2012
Defining Christianity downward
January 30, 2012
Permanent link to this article: http://www.easttexasreview.com/defining-christianity-downward/
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Guest Column: Keeping more of what you earn- EITC
Serving on the board of the Foundation for the Mid South, I have seen firsthand the challenges facing Mississippi, Arkansas, and Louisiana in education, health, and social and economic opportunity. We constantly look at ways to help our region grow and prosper, and how we can help our people and communities help themselves. So with tax season upon us, we ask, "What would a few extra million dollars do for our area? What about an additional $1.5 billion for our state?" There is a way to do this and it is already available to working families in Tunica and the nation: the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC).
The EITC is a federal tax credit that every working low-income family can claim on their tax return, allowing them to get back an average of $2,600 of their earnings. This is money that can be used to start or grow a savings account for a rainy day or to pay down debt. Regardless of how it is used, the tax credit allows families to keep more of what they earn and injects extra cash into local economies.
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|Excellent - 9 reviews
With a stay at Long Island Breeze Resort and Yacht Club in Salt Pond, you'll be by the ocean and minutes from Salt Pond Beach. Make yourself at home in one of the air-conditioned rooms featuring DVD players and flat-screen televisions. Rooms have private balconies. Take advantage of recreation opportunities such as an outdoor pool, or other amenities includi...
Overall Rating - Excellent - 9 reviews
|Excellent - 40 reviews
Cape Santa Maria Beach Resort is a beachfront resort in Galliot Cay. This 3-star Galliot Cay resort offers gift shops/newsstands. There is also a bar/lounge where guests can enjoy drinks after a long day. This resort has a business center. Guests can make use of the free Wi-Fi. Other amenities include complimentary bicycles
Overall Rating - Excellent - 40 reviews
|no reviews
Year Built - 2012 additional Property Description - Long Island Is Part Of 700 Islands Of The Bahamas, Made Up Of The Perfect Combination Of Gorgeous Weather, Unique Local Cuisine, And Friendly English Speaking Locals. With An Endless Amount Of Activities And Options Available, The Experience You Are Guaranteed Is Indescribable. Long Island Offers The Most B...
|Excellent - 18 reviews
A complete Sun & Sea Bahama Out Island Resort. World class scuba diving and snorkeling, superb bonefishing, beautiful beaches. Just 29 hotel rooms scattered on a hilltop overlooking the Atlantic Ocean. Also available: 1, 2, 3, and 4 bedroom cottages
Overall Rating - Excellent - 18 reviews
Excellent 10.0
We stayed in May 2012. Wanted a quiet island trip. Found a beautiful spot on Long Island, Bahamas!! Staff made us feel welcome immediately. Room was clean and overlooked the ocean. Great food each night served by friendly staff. Nice patio for cocktails with fireplace. Great lunch spot by the ocean. Staff took us (free) to private Caribbean beach complete with beach chairs.Cars available to rent to see Cartwrights Caves and Dean's Blue Hole. Intimate atmosphere enhances making friends with other guests if desired. Would definitely go again.
|no reviews
Located in Clarence Town, Gems At Paradise Resort is in the historical district and convenient to Clarence Town Marina and St. Paul's Church. This beach hotel is within the region of Dean's Blue Hole and Buckley's Settlement Church. Make yourself at home in one of the 10 air-conditioned guestrooms. Cable television is provided for your entertainment. Private...
|no reviews
The lodge is located in Cartwright's in Long Island, Bahamas. It is designed for visitors whose ideal holiday is focused around fishing, beaching, boating and exploring. We cater to couples, families and the solo traveller. We are a two storey building with 12 rooms (4 king and 8 double) with aircondition, ceiling fans and an ensuite bathroom. The rooms...
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Ocean Breeze is a tropical-style property located in the Bahamas' Long Island, only 3.1 km from Clarance Town. Free Wi-Fi access is available. The functional room offers a seating area, terrace, kitchen and a flat-screen TV with a DVD player. The bathroom comes with a shower. At Ocean Breeze you will find barbecue facilities and a terrace. Other facilities...


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Check out the Personal 3D Printing initiative at Lockeed Martin
The James Webb Space Telescope is NASA's biggest science project and the MakerBot Replicator 2 Desktop 3D Printer and the advanced MakerBot Replicator 2X Experimental 3D Printer are speeding up the development process, enabling more design iterations and introducing significant cost savings.
Take the initiative with us and we'll help you move forward into the future.
Video courtesy of MakerBot, Lockheed Martin and NASA.


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A blog about music / Twitter. / Contact.
Delocated, one of the best comedy series of recent years, came to an end last Sunday with a one off series finale. The closing episode 'The Frrt Identity' brought the show to an appropriately poignant finish, although I won't say anything more than that as you can now view the episode on the adult swim site. Needless to say it managed to accentuate everything that was great about the show from day one as it weaves wonderfully nonsensical daftness into a satire of reality TV which manages to avoid being overbearing or condescending. The fact that it does both of these things with a lead character as potentially unlikable as they come only makes it twice as impressive.
Bob's Burgers (S3, E08)
The Archer/Bob's Burgers crossover was pretty amazing.
Berberian Sound Studio (2012, Peter Strickland)
Here is 4 pictures of Toby Jones' perturbed face…
Films of 2012
These are my favourite films of the year gone by, listed in no particular order (click the image for details). It was a pretty great year overall, and there are a bunch more that I could have had in this list on another day. I should acknowledge that a couple of films are notable in their absence - but I have not yet managed to see The Master or Amour (and it is tearing me apart Lisa!). I found Moonrise Kingdom a little too sickly at points, despite it 'looking' great, and some of the big blockbusters Dark Knight, Looper and Prometheus were awesome but ultimately quite flawed as well. On to 2013!
Joey Quinn: Police Detective.
"Over the last five years an independent record shop has closed in the UK every three days. SOUND IT OUT is a documentary portrait of the very last surviving vinyl record shop in Teesside, North East England. A cultural haven in one of the most deprived areas in the UK, Sound It Out documents a place that is thriving against the odds and the local community that keeps it alive. Directed by Jeanie Finlay who grew up three miles from the shop. A distinctive, funny and intimate film about men, the North and the irreplaceable role music plays in our lives."
An edited down version of this is available on BBC iPlayer for another 5 days (I believe the full feature is on Netflix), and I can't recommend it strongly enough. A wonderfully charming exploration of the record store environment and the importance that music holds for people.
This season of Dexter has been really great so far. The last few seasons were woeful because there were never any stakes, it was always clear that Dexter would overcome his antagonist and eliminate anyone who found him out or divert suspicion without giving it a second thought. Now that Deb is implicated the show is properly tackling the kind of morality issues that it should have been doing for years now head on. She's asking all the right questions, almost acting on behalf of the audience's conscience, and it's exciting to see Dex back in a position which just maybe he won't be able to wriggle out of; especially with such a bad ass opponent as Isaak. It seems like suddenly everything from the past six seasons did have consequences which could come back to haunt him anytime, and really like the season could go in a ton of different directions. I just hope the writers don't get too comfortable with dragging up the past where it's not needed. Especially as the final episode of this run is reportedly titled 'Surprise Motherfucker'.
Tig Notaro: Live
I don't think I've ever heard a better example of the transcendent capabilities of stand-up comedy as an art form. This is as raw, heartbreaking and yet, inexplicably, still hilarious as it gets. Tig Notaro's recent and now notorious Largo show in which she discusses her cancer diagnosis really is essential listening for comedy fans. Read this blurb about it here and then purchase it here for only $5. Not only will you get to hear something really special but a portion of that 5 bucks goes to cancer research as well.
Sound of My Voice (2011)
#Minor Spoilers#
To begin with this film really annoyed me. It felt like a major cop out of an ending, which failed to bring together the countless loose ends it had gathered to construct tension (brilliantly, I should add). None of the already ambiguous parts added up to a convincing enough version of events, no matter which way they were framed. The more I thought about this though the more it makes perfect sense considering the subject matter. If you haven't heard people fawning over it already, the film follows a journalist and his girlfriend who infiltrate a cult, whose leader claims to be from the future, with the intention of making a documentary.
The list of questions which are left unanswered by the film is astounding. I could offer largely unsubstantiated theories about what it all means, and before the films most likely aim struck me that's what I did. However the lack of answers offered seems to mirror the level of uncertainty which faces those getting involved with a cult, and which faces Peter & Lorna; It's a case of going along with things without any real logical explanation, "Like anything new, it will be impossible for your mind to digest" she tells them, or to risk opting out of the undeniable intrigue. The audience are placed in a similar position as the characters, where we are compelled to see things out in a bid to make sense of it all. Once I started thinking about the film in this way, the more I think it's actually pretty clever.
That is purely from an analytic point of view, the more casual viewer's fury is unlikely to subside in consideration of oppositional cinema theories. This is possibly the best way to consider it though, because it fails to offer any answers or even to point towards more likely scenarios. It reads to me like a satire/critique of contemporary thriller using Hollywood's (or perhaps more popular independent cinema culture's) own methods to expose the superficiality of the overly complex and often muddled narratives, imploring the audience to 'think for themselves', which have become common place in recent years. As if that ought to be a novel new exercise for them. This reading gives the film a much more layered quality, and in my opinion makes it far more worthwhile. That's my take on it anyway, you might argue I'm offering too much credit to the films failures or over analysing the purpose of its ambiguity, but the competence of the set up makes it hard to believe it just doesn't make any sense.
Ratcatcher (Lynne Ramsay) 1999
Ratcatcher (Lynne Ramsay) 1999
Just done watching the latest episode of Louie. Much like the Ramon episode, it was intriguing but lacking any real laughs. This expression totally saved the day though.
Trying to discuss Ben Wheatley's latest Brit genre mash-up without spoilers is no easy task but it's definitely worth attempting. Kill List begins as a fairly bleak kitchen sink drama set in the rural suburbia of South Yorkshire, where Jay and Shel's marriage is cracking under the strain of financial woes and parenthood. Following an explosive dinner party argument we discover that Jay is a hitman who has been out of the game for 8 months following a, never actually explained, incident on a Kiev based job gone awry. His partner and best buddy Gal gives him the classic one last job proposal; three names then out. Who could resist?
As Jay and Gal set off on their 'business trip' the film finds its feet as a darkly humorous and sporadically violent hitman thriller with added parts hard-man bromance. Wheatley's exploration of the bland minutia of the mission (waiting in hotel rooms, watching targets routines etc.) along with the earlier domesticity brings us close to the characters and spells out that rather than cold and calculating killers they're two quite ordinary blokes. This grounding is vital for the final third of the movie, which provides one of the most surprising twists in recent movie history (and to say that isn't even spoiling it really because it's so minimally foreshadowed that you probably still won't see it coming).
Detachment, Tony Kaye (2011)
Detachment (2011)
Director: Tony Kaye
Observer theme by Zack Sultan


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North Carolina College ~ 1941 CIAA Champion Basketball Team
The team was coached by John B. McLendon.
This was his first year as a head coach and he referred to his players as his "thousand dollar team" because he had declined a coaching offer of $1, 000 more from another college. The team repaid Coach John B. McLendon for his dedication by becoming North Carolina College first CIAA Basketball Champions.
The team's conference record was 14 wins and 0 losses. The team's overall record was 25 wins and 4 losses.
Tags: NCC CIAA Basketball John B. McLendon NCCU
Host of the Nationally Syndicated Radio Show, "Ask, Talk & Listen" with PoliticalJones
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This apartment is in Lowell. Nearby parks include Flaggy Meadows Playground, Campbell Park and Campbell Park.
18 E Meadow Lane has a Walk Score of 48 out of 100. This location is a Car-Dependent neighborhood so most errands require a car.
Nearby schools include Joseph McAvinnue Elementary School, Ste Jeanne D'arc Elementary School and Riverside School.
The closest grocery stores are Overcomer Market, Cote's Market and Mediterraneo Marketplace.
Nearby coffee shops include Eggroll Cafe, Dunkin' Donuts and Dunkin' Donuts. There are six restaurants within a 15 minute walk including The Pawtucketville Diner, Parkside Roast Beef and BigGuys Pizza.
18 E Meadow Lane is near Flaggy Meadows Playground, Campbell Park and Bourgeois Park.
Meadow Lane offers a convenient suburban neighborhood that's aproximate to shopping and dining establishments.
ELECTRICITY paid by landlord
Swimming pool
Air conditioning
Wall to wall carpet in natural tones to facilitate all decorating styles
24/7 emergency maintenance service
Professionally landscaped grounds
Internet and cable ready
Laundry room in each building
Intercom and entry system
Window treatments
Professional management
Heat and hot water paid by landlord


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Gresh & Zo: Joe Haggerty Talks Bruins And Dice-K
April 12, 2011 12:01 PM
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Joe Haggerty of CSNNE.Com joins Gresh & Zo to talk about the Boston Bruins upcoming match-up with their heated rivals, the Montreal Canadiens, and gives his take on Dice-K Matsuzaka.
Is a second round win enough for Bruins fans? Do the Canadiens have any advantages over the Bruins? On the other side, what strengths do the Bruins hold?
Also, as far as the Boston Sox, should Dice-K be "put out to pasture"? All that and more with Haggs!
Joe Haggerty Talks Bruins And Dice-K


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Ebola Is Only the Latest Terror Helping Conservative Find Their Pro-Big Government Roots (again)
Whenever someone whines "both Parties are the saaaaaaame!", I tell them (after telling them they're an idiot) that "the difference between Republicans and Democrats is that Republicans think government is a force of evil that can't do anything right while Democrats see government as a Public Service that exists solely for the Public Good. You either believe one or the other. There is no middle ground." So pardon me if I chuckle when
The fight against Ebola is one giant example of why a National Healthcare System is vastly superior to our privatized healthcare system.
Try to imagine if we had to rely on Private Industry to fight Ebola? Simple question: Is there more profit to be had in "curing" Ebola, or (secretly) helping it spread and then treating (but not curing) it as a chronic illness?
The most promising treatment for Ebola appears to be an experimental drug known as "ZMapp" (pronounced "zee-map"), developed by "Mapp Pharmaceuticals" thanks to millions in "government funding". Why? Because there's almost no profit to be made in providing a cure to an obscure disease found almost exclusively in central Africa. Producing more "ZMapp" in bulk will take spending lots of money for
And the great irony is that when Republicans are scared… and they live their lives in constant fear… be it a black kid in a hoodie that convinces them they need to carry
The perfect example: look at the GOP response to 9/11: Create the largest gov bureaucracy in history (DHS) and start invading unrelated Middle-Eastern nations on just the suspicion they might be planning to harm us. When Republicans are terrified (and that's
In the 1980's, Reagan exploded our National Debt fighting the Cold War to spend the Soviet Union into oblivion. Among his most expensive boondoggles… "Star Wars". Not the movie, but the government program of possibly putting satellites in orbit capable of shooting down inbound Soviet missiles… a threat that was about as likely as 1980's me charging into the Kremlin with a knife clutched between my teeth and orders to rescue the last Romanoff from the secret prison beneath Red Square.
Two weeks ago, it was a terror-struck Lindsey Graham prepared to go to any expense to re-invade Iraq and invade Syria to defeat ISIS. This week, ISIS beheads its fourth hostage and it doesn't even make the lead story of the evening news. Terror today, passé tomorrow. What will the next costly "save us, Mr. Government!" moment be for the GOP, and when do people start pointing out the obvious hypocrisy?
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Republicans think "the world changed" on September 11th. No it didn't. 17 months later it did.
The world did not change on September 11th.
Maybe for Republicans it did, but for the rest of us, we were just as concerned about terrorism on September 10th as we were on September 11th. Just because Republicans were
But you know when the world DID change? When
Does anyone (sane) believe ISIS would have risen to power and been able to overtake nearly half of Iraq if Saddam Hussein were still in power? And even if you believe they still might have, how much stronger would our military be today to confront them if it hadn't been decimated by eight years of chaos in Iraq?
And now it looks like we're about to invade Syria to go after ISIS. In case you've been living under a rock for the past year, that's where the
Despite being made up of mostly young men (and a number of women as well), ISIS is extremely well organized, with a "command structure" and "supply lines" like a regular army. And that's because the leadership of ISIS consists of a number of former Iraqi Army officers.
You see, despite Sunni's being a minority in Iraq, Saddam Hussein was a Sunni, so he put Sunni's in charge of everything, with an army made up mostly of Sunni men, and then ruled ruthlessly to suppress the Shia majority. When George Bush invaded Iraq and overthrew Saddam, Donald Rumsfeld and Paul Bremmer disbanded the entire Iraqi Army… the closest thing they had left to a functioning
So, what's an angry, unemployed, well-armed, well-trained former Iraqi soldier who can't get a job because his country is in shambles and his government bans him from public service because of his religion… to do all day? First he joins the fight against the American soldiers occupying his country (ISIS began as "alQaeda in Iraq"), then when they leave, goes looking for "work" (as a soldier) where he thinks he's needed most… supporting the Sunni rebels in neighboring Syria.
And of course, beside providing plenty of motivation, we supplied them with U.S. weapons & vehicles as well. How thoughtful of us!
And now they're back in Iraq. Bigger & Badder than ever. All courtesy of the Bush/Cheney Administration and their invasion of Iraq. "The world" did not change on 9/11… Republicans did.
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Both Sides Are At Fault? Democrats Don't Control the Senate. They Just Don't.
Every time the news reported on how little Congress got done before embarking on their annual August Recess, some newscaster was always sure to point out the fact that "the Senate… controlled by Democrats…" likewise has been every bit as unproductive as the
Meanwhile, pollsters are asking people who probably couldn't name the Vice President if you stuck a gun to their head, their opinion on who's to blame for:
And the Media plays the "both sides are to blame" game.
Fox "news" personality Greta van Susteren appeared on her home-away-from-home, ABC's "ThisWeek" yesterday and demanded that President Obama "call Harry Reid and the Senate back into session", yet made NO similar demand of Boehner and the
So the next time someone tries to "blame both sides" for the dysfunction in Congress by pointing out that "Democrats control the Senate", correct them. On the spot. Don't let them get away with it. Our country has been hijacked by Right-Wing ideologues controlling not only the House, but the U.S. Senate as well via unprecedented obstruction. One need look no further than the fact that before Bill Clinton, this nation had impeached only ONE president in
ANNOUNCEMENT: August 1st marks the 10-year Anniversary of Mugsy's Rap Sheet. The site began life as a "Blogger.com" site back during the height of the 2004 Presidential election and in the wake of the invasion of Iraq over "WMD's" that never materialized after a year of assurances with 100% certainty that they existed in great "stockpiles" being readied to be used against us. It has been the job of M.R.S. ever since to ensure that no Republican lies are ever forgotten, no misinformation goes unchallenged, and no hypocrisy goes unnoticed. – Mugsy
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John Goodman Explains the Start of WWI 100 Years Ago Today (video)
Exactly 100 years ago today (June 28th, 1914), the Austro-Hungarian Archduke Franz Ferdinand, heir to the Austrian throne, was murdered by Serbian nationalists while visiting neighboring Sarajevo. One week later, the murder of the Archduke precipitated the start of
That was 100 years ago this very day. And the speech he just gave explaining the start of World War I is more than 99.9% of Americans still know about a war that killed
Violence is now erupting in Iraq as the nation convulses in the wake of our invasion 11 years ago. And in 2103, when people are asked about why we went to war in Iraq, how many do you think will be able to give you a clear answer? Hell, forget about 100 years from now, how many can give you a clear explanation even today?
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Must a President Be a Failure to Be a Success?
I was watching former Vice President Dick Cheney and his with Lynn pollute my TV screen yesterday on Fox "news" Sunday, and I'm always struck by how stunningly self-UNaware Cheney is about the havoc his administration caused. Naturally, both Cheney's blamed President Obama for America's lack of credibility around the world, because he "drew a red line in Syria" (that wasn't actually crossed), and apparently has nothing to do with the Bush Administration invading Iraq on false pretenses. And naturally, President Obama's reluctance to send American troops into Syria or Ukraine has nothing to do with the fact we still haven't finished the LAST war these numbnuts got us into yet couldn't finish. Our military has been stretched to its near breaking point and the American people have no appetite to see us get involved in yet another war. But tell that to
(More info on that corner photo. It's Cheney's memoir, "My Life" on the right. I snapped this photo with my cell phone at my local grocery store on 9/1/11, the same week the book was released. It was already marked down "40% off" and placed next to a copy of James Patterson's "Kill Me". Note: I live in Texas.)
The Bush-II Administration was mind-numbingly incompetent. Yet, President Bush's approval ratings were never higher than immediately after 9/11… the worst terrorist attack on American soil in history, of which we now know they ignored numerous warnings from the CIA because they were too preoccupied planning the invasion of Iraq. President Clinton said something interesting last week regarding the foiled "Millennium Bomb Plot", about how no president ever gets credit for the terrorist attacks they thwarted because no one ever knows about them. There's nothing for people to "rally around".
And this got me wondering about how when things appear to be going smoothly, no one takes notice or credits the Administration in charge. It's only during times of upheaval, lurching from
On December 22, 2008, just days before leaving office, Cheney defended President Bush's record on fighting terrorism. Strange thing though, he could just as easily have been talking about President Clinton's record without changing a single word:
Let's look at Bush's REAL record: Ignored multiple warnings that might have prevented 9/11. Two Recessions. Katrina and the catastrophic consequences of putting a Horse Show director in charge of FEMA. Gas prices explode creating global Economic disaster. Stock Market lost nearly half it's value (first decline since Hoover). National Debt doubled where it was previously shrinking. Iraq. Never got Bin Laden.
We already heard Cheney defend the Clinton record. What about Obama? No attacks on US soil. Period. Got Bin Laden. Ended the war in Iraq and is ending the war in Afghanistan this year. A stable and growing economy with both the DOW and S&P 500 closing at record highs last week, NO Recessions. NO FEMA failures. First president to pass sweeping healthcare regulations mandating minimum basic care standards and a competitive market to keep insurance rates down. Housing sales are back on the rise. Created the "Consumer Financial Protection Bureau" to protect consumers from deceptive credit/banking practices.
In a way, President Clinton was a victim of his own success, making the job of president look so easy that even someone like George W. Bush could do it. I don't think anything believes President Obama has had an easy time of it these past 5+ years, but he sure as heck doesn't seem to be getting any credit for all the disasters that HAVEN'T taken place on his watch. (Note: the current "VA controversy" has more to do with
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Maybe Howard Dean Was Right on Affirmative Action?
On January 15, 2003, President Bush stopped by the University of Michigan while campaigning for re-election. UMich had recently implemented new state restrictions on the use of race when deciding just who they'd admit enrollment to, and he condemned Affirmative Action measures as "a quota system". Democratic presidential frontrunner Howard Dean later condemned President Bush's remarks for injecting race into the campaign. And while Dean made the case for Affirmative Action himself (weakly), his Democratic rivals pounced on the
President Bush went on to add in that 2003 speech that, "Our Constitution makes it clear that people of all races must be treated equally under the law." Of course, if I may state the obvious, a university is not a court of law, and despite what the Constitution says now (because for 150+ years, "3/5ths" was the measure of a black man), it rarely works out that way. Minorities just aren't treated equally in our society. That's a fact. Whether "Affirmative Action" helps level the playing field may be up for debate, but there is no question that simply being a minority is an instant disadvantage in our society.
Last week, this fact was made startlingly clear, first with the racist remarks by Nevada rancher Cliven Bundy questioning whether "the nig'ras" were better off as slaves than they are "dependent on the government" (said the man dependent on government land to feed his cattle rather than pay for it himself). Then again, less than a week later with the comments of LA Clippers owner Don Sterling, who chastised his young girlfriend (?) for posting photos of herself posing with black athletes on her Facebook page, demanding she not bring "black people" with her to basketball games, and patting himself on the back for being the benefactor of so many black men. (Though to be fair, the 80 year old Sterling was not openly hostile towards "blacks", blaming societal norms for his discomfort, whereas Bundy was just plain ol' Deep South
So in the same week that we have Bundy and Sterling demonstrating that race is still very much an issue in this country, our Conservative-leaning Supreme Court brands racism a thing of the past, and that any effort to counter that racism is, in itself, "racist". See how that works?
Two weeks ago on Fox "news" Sunday (yes, I watch it every week. The things I do for you people)… the same week token black Moderate Juan Williams was not there… quite by coincidence I'm sure… Brit Hume (or was it George Will?) decided to accuse President Obama and Attorney General Eric Holder of "making everything about race" and in effect accusing them of reverse racism. Of course, neither Obama nor Holder "make every issue about race"… at least, not to the degree Conservatives on Fox do… but it casts a spotlight on the fact that we just can't talk about race anymore without some Right Wing idiot accusing you of racism for doing so.
And that brings us back to Howard Dean. Ten years ago, GOP racism was still mostly underground, and being caught making racists remarks was cause for embarrassment and a public outcry for an apology. Today, GOPundits like Rush Limbaugh proudly wear their racism like a badge of honor, singing "Barack the Magic Negro" live on the air and then defending doing so, while the Supreme Court undoes wide swaths of the 1965 "Voting Rights Act" (which was created specifically to empower the 1964 Civil Rights Act). I dare say Deep South Republicans of 2014 haven't been so comfortable being openly racist since they were Deep South Democrats in 1952.
With the Supreme Court last week declaring Michigan's anti-Affirmative Action law to be "Constitutional", the obvious next question is whether other states might follow suit? Could this be the beginning of the end for Affirmative Action?
An Affirmative Action based on income would still disproportionately benefit minorities without carrying the stigma of "skin color" being attached to a student's achievements. It would also deny racists one more ignorant talking point of how they are the truly oppressed ones, and how "Mr. Black" only got where he is because of race (everyone remembers the deplorable
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Obama, Putin, and The Right's Daddy Issues
Conservatives have "Daddy" issues. I'm not making a joke, I'm pointing out a demonstrative fact.
For the past week, Republicans have been quick to express their admiration, if not outright praise, for "Vladamir Putin: Man of Action" for the way he (supposedly) bested President Obama (supposedly, once again) by invading the Crimean peninsula without any apparent concern for how President Obama might react… apparently because (according to Genius Grant Award Winner Sarah Palin) Putin is
Living in a Red state as I do with Conservative family members, my first thought is always: "How would they explain this inconsistency?" And the conclusion I came to was that they would say "National security is different." Because "war" is for "manly men". "Manly men" invade countries on false pretenses, love guns, use force as a first resort (be it invading another country like Iraq or killing a black kid carrying Skittles and an Iced Tea), hunts (tranquilized) tigers, and just generally acts like a bully (unless of course they happen to be black, then they're "thugs".) Oh, and incidentally, they're misogynists too (even the women). From the
People that think before acting and trust science over "their gut" are regarded as "weak", and Bullies, by their very nature, love to pick on the weak. So they raz those who believe in sciencey things like "Global Warming" (it is stunning to watch a group of people as massive as Climate Change Deniers ridicule something they clearly don't understand, like joking about "Global Warming"… but never "Climate Change"… during a historic freak Winter
Pick any prominent Republican leader and I'll show you someone who had an authoritarian father. John McCain? His father was a Navy Admiral during World War II. Ted Cruz's father, Rafael Cruz (which BTW is "Ted's" REAL name. He's a Jr), is a certifiable Right-Wing nut that was
And if you think about it, who's the most manly-man of all? God. The ultimate authoritarian figure. A judgmental
Who's your Daddy, Mr. GOP?
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You can always find another lunch counter, er, baker, florist
I'm fairly convinced by this point that Conservatives just don't listen to themselves when they speak. How else do you explain Fox's George Will or ABC guest pundit Rich Lowrey decrying yesterday the veto of Arizona's noxious "(bigotry in the name of) Religious Freedom Act", saying, "Hey, if a baker or florist refuses to cater your gay wedding, there are plenty of other
I'm about as Done with people using "God" as an excuse to justify every hateful thing imaginable, as one can be. The greatest evil ever inflicted upon the world has to be "organized religion"… with a few notable exceptions like the late Mother Theressa and the current Pope Francis… but then, they are just "individuals", while the church they represent doesn't exactly have the best record… from protecting child-molesting priests, to codifying women's subservience to men, and even this Pope still regards homosexuality a "sin", so there's that. When you look at just about every war in the Middle East, Uganda's "Kill the Gays" bill (that was walked back to just "lifetime imprisonment"), on through to the Religious Right in this country fomenting hate towards every "Other" you can name: "Illegal Aliens" (that, by no coincidence, just happen to be Mexicans, not Canadians or Europeans), the (lazy, shiftless) Poor (begging for food stamps), "Thugs" (the new
And now it's Teh Gays. "Law's telling me I must treat you like a human being is a violation of my Religious right to be a bigot!"
I believe it all started when God kicked
Unfortunately for them, there wasn't another "Garden" down the road that they could have patronized instead. So apparently being a judgmental bigot is next to Godliness.
During the Civil Rights struggle, bigots used religion to justify their bigotry back then as well. "The Almighty separated the races by putting them on different continents" they proclaimed in defense of segregation. Except that's not true. China and Russia are on the same continent, yet those races couldn't be more different. "Europe" is labeled a "continent" despite being (for the most part) physically connected to the same land mass as "Asia". And European "Whites" were not native to North America, so arguably, bigots of European decent continuing to live in the United States were in violation of God's desire to separate the races by continent. Oops!
Long long ago… way back in 2012… I remember Republican idiots having a conniption over "Sharia Law" and their (mistaken) belief that some Federal judges were allowing Muslims to violate Federal Law on the grounds that the Federal law violated their religious rights. This was just another example of "our Muz'lum prez'dent" slowly-but-surely allowing Islam to overtake the American judicial system.
And now, just one short year later, those very same people are rushing to the defense of "Sharia Law" and Muslim's right to ignore Federal law based on their religious beliefs. I know, right? Whoda'thunkit?
If you're looking for "consistency" from the Religious Right… what is WRONG with you? Have you been asleep these past two decades? You should know better by now. My advice to them: stop using religion to justify your bigotry. This fight has been fought before. Been there, done that. And when you say stupid things like, "Just find another wedding photographer", ask your self, "Why should they have to?"
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An Unintended Stroll Down Memory Lane
Last week, the company that hosts M.R.S. wouldn't let me in to update the blog. at first, I thought the problem might lie on my end because my computer had recently started acting funny. As
Among the media stored on that drive, about eleven years worth of political news video clips going back to May of 2003 (and a couple of audio clips going back to 2002) when I first started recording stories about the Iraq War and phantom WMD's. I had been very outspoken around the people I knew in the lead-up to the war, but I didn't start writing about politics for about another year when those "stockpiles" of "
So, anyway, here I am, going through literally hundreds of old videos, repeatedly amazed by how much I had forgotten and just how bad things were in this country under the Bush Administration, and in the light of current GOP "outrage" over
- 60 Minutes did a couple of stories about "Remote Area Medical" and their globetrotting doctors, who provide free medical services to refugees in
third-worldcountries, setting up shop in downtown LA and Michigan, where THOUSANDS of desperate Americans drove hundreds of miles for free medical/dental care.
- About a dozen reports on the Bush Administration changing the justification for invading Iraq after no weapons were found, trying to claim it wasn't about the WMD's, and two reports on the U.N. wondering if they should open a CRIMINAL (read: war crimes) investigation.
- The Bush Administration slashing federal worker's salaries to pay for the soaring cost of the Iraq war without raising taxes. Then, on top of that, lowering the standards to be labeled a "manager" so that your company could deny you
- Another dozen stories about the "exploding national Debt & Deficit" (and the GOP dismissing it.)
- Rapidly rising unemployment being a major issue as far back as mid-2003, with every month reporting another "decade long record high increase".
- Remember that major blackout in August of 2003 that left almost the entire North Eastern seaboard… including New York City… in the dark? The outage was traced back to a failure of the Power Grid in Ohio (owned by a politically
well-connectedfamily there). That's when people started talking about the desperate need to rebuild our crumbling infrastructure… which is 10 years older now.
- And speaking of stories that have been going on for far longer than I realized, Republicans were already calling for war with Iran (just months after invading Iraq while the Bushies were scrambling to explain the missing WMD's) over its nuclear program, which they were CERTAIN was NOT for peaceful purposes like the Iranians were claiming, and were supposedly on track to build a nuclear bomb by 2008.
- Fake news reports, extolling the successes of the Bush Administration, produced by the White House with fake reporters using fake names, being broadcast in small-market TV locations as legitimate news. (also fake letters from vets appearing in newspapers across the country in support of the war, sometimes the same letter appearing in multiple cities.)
- The Bush Administration embracing known-terrorist Mohamar Quadaffi in exchange for oil, taking him off the terrorist watch list. (You might recall, while the Bush WH befriended Quadaffi, President Obama took him out, and which one did the GOP call a "terrorist sympathizer"?)
- The price of oil climbing into the stratosphere, peaking at $147.22 a barrel before the economy collapsed in on itself.
- The Bush White House repeatedly editing EPA reports on Climate Change (specifically, by interns with no scientific training) that said things they didn't like.
- Draft-dodger George Bush giving a speech before the VFW, telling a room full of vets that our biggest mistake was leaving Vietnam too soon, that if we had just hung on a little bit longer, we would have won that war (and Vietnam wouldn't be the
hell-holeit is today?) and that he wouldn't make that same mistake in Iraq.
- The discussion of "same sex marriage" was already a hot topic in 2003, and amazing ABC reporter Michelle Martin being the first to school George Will that if "procreation" were the standard for marriage, the infertile and the elderly would be banned from marrying as well.
- Riot police attacking peaceful protesters, including a particularly brutal take-down of "Democracy Now!" host Amy Gooodman despite her Press credentials clearly visible around her neck as she cries "Press! Press! Press!"
Yeah, it was a miserable eight years. I had almost forgotten just how miserable it was until I started rewatching all these old news clips I forgot I even had. And when
If you've ever moved out of a home you've lived in for years, you may remember how amazed you were by all the old things you found that you either forgot about or thought you lost forever? That's what sifting through these hundreds of thousands of old files was like for me this past week. Maybe everyone's computer should crash once a decade to force us to go through and rediscover all those things we forgot about?
On second thought…
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(Server down over weekend. Next update TBA.)
Why the Chris Christie Bridge Scandal Matters
Whether NJ Governor Chris Christie actually ordered the closure of three out of the four outgoing lanes of the busiest bridge in the world is almost besides the point now. I'll assume you already know the story rather than rehash it here. Last Thursday, Christie held a two hour Mea Culpa where he basically told everyone how betrayed he felt by his staff, all of whom assured him there was nothing to the story of how the
Maybe Christie didn't know what members of his own staff were doing right out of his own office. I don't know. But the "political punishment" behavior does fit a pattern, playing right into his reputation as a vindictive "bully", so if he wasn't involved, it definitely rubbed off on his staff, who appear to have taken great pleasure in making the lives of Fort Lee commuters miserable for nearly a week.
In June of 2011, NJ gov Chris Christie went on "Caucus NJ", a local public broadcast radio show (simulcast on TV for the big event) and took questions for nearly an hour. One questioner named "Gail" asked Christie if his willingness to cut funding for public schools might have something to do with the fact that he himself is wealthy enough to send his children to private school and is therefore unaffected by those cuts. Christie, clearly not listening to the woman, viciously attacked her for asking "where" he sends his kids to school, which any parent in his position could reasonably perceive as a threat. But "Gail" never asked Christie "where" he sends his kids to school, only asking if he felt it fair of him to do to her children something that clearly would not affect his own. He continued lambasting her for questioning the extravagance of sending his kids to private school… again, something she never brought up. His supporters cheered Christie's defense of his children (whom, as I note, were never criticized nor threatened), and to this day I don't think anyone has ever pointed out to him that he clearly misheard her, attacking her for things she never said, never did answer her very legitimate question, nor did he apologize for attacking someone for his own mistake.
During his two-hour round of damage control last week, the governor denied any involvement in the closure of the bridge, stating that doing something so vindictive for political purposes was not in his nature, actually telling reporters, "I'm not a bully".
"I'm not a bully." If you're thinking of Richard Nixon right about now, you're not alone. Not just for his, "I'm not a crook" moment, but also in the way the circle seems to be closing in on Christie as investigations into top staffers bring us ever closer to the man himself. But the fact is, Nixon was a crook. And Christie also has his share of "shady" backroom deals: "deferred prosecution agreements" with major corporations made while he was still a prosecutor that dogged him while running for office. And last month, Firedog Lake reported on Christie's stint as a Washington lobbyist, forging connections with some very deep pockets that became major contributors to his gubernatorial campaign a decade later.
The George Washington Bridge Scandal matters because it shines a white hot spotlight on Christie's two biggest traits: 1) that he's a bipartisan Republican that knows how to work with political opponents, and 2) that he's a "schoolyard bully" that likes to (forgive the pun) throw his weight around. Republicans hated #1 and loved him for #2. Democrats, just the reverse. How will this play out in the days/weeks/months to come? Stay tuned.
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Mugsy's Annual Predictions for 2014: No more predictions for Syria (kinda)
I never put any stock in "13" being an "unlucky number", but after the year I just had, one can't help but wonder.
My predictions for 2013 were a bit rushed. I cranked them out at the last minute as I spent my days preoccupied trying to save the life of my beloved cat "Lefty". One year later, my days are now preoccupied trying to save the life of my mother. And in both instances, gross medical negligence is to blame. The frustration I feel is profound as I watch helplessly as another loved-one fights for life following the harm done to them by incompetent doctors, with no legal recourse because of the state I live in (Texas). So please bear that in mind if my predictions for 2014 seem a bit bleak.
We begin by looking back at how well the "Professionals" did at making predictions for 2013. I may not get 100% of my predictions right… or even 75%…, but compared to some of the
First off, can I just say that if you publish your "Predictions" AFTER December 31st, you're not "predicting", you're reporting the news.
With that said, here is what some famous "psychics" predicted we'd see in 2013:
Sylvia Browne
Maybe it's a bit unfair, but I love picking on self-proclaimed "psychics" because their accuracy is always dismal. But they make so many predictions, that when one or two pan out, the media responds as if that person has "second sight" and deserving of being taken very seriously.
Famed "psychic" Sylvia Browne passed away in November. It almost seems crewel to "fact check" Miss Browne posthumously, but when you're as big a name in the "predicting" biz as she was, maybe keeping her on the list is a sign of respect for her particular brand of hucksterism. In 2012, Ms. Browne predicted President Obama would NOT be reelected; in a 2006 appearance on "The Montel Williams Show", she told the mother of one of the three girls that had been held captive by that nut in Ohio for over a decade only to escape earlier this year, that her daughter was dead and would be waiting for her on the other side (the mother died the next year), and on that same show, Browne told a widow whose husbands' body "was never found" that he was "in water", presumably lost at sea. It turns out the woman was the widow of a 9/11 fireman.
As I noted, Ms. Browne passed away in November. Apparently, she never saw it coming because she booked no less than 14 public appearances from December of 2013 to April of 2014. If you want to read her final list of predictions for 2013, you must purchase an ANNUAL membership to her "inner circle" for a minimum buy in of $49.95 or an EIGHTEEN MONTH membership for $79.95 (which, if you do the math, is slightly more expensive than just buying
Psychic-to-the-Stars: "Nikki"
It's funny how many people bestow upon themselves the title "Psychic to the Stars". I suppose if two "stars" just happen to meet the same psychic backstage at a taping of
- A subway explosion in New York City.
- A nuclear attack on "New York" (city or state? Doesn't matter. Didn't happen.)
- Another Super Storm like Sandy hitting the USA, Canada and Europe – Damn! If only she had included South-East Asia. The ONE place she didn't include gets hit! What are the odds?
- A huge earthquake in the Caribbean – Damn again! Wrong ocean. That "Super Storm" that rocked the Philippines came one week after it was rocked by a 7.1 magnitude earthquake. Ms. Nikki has the worst luck.
- Man-eating plants – I don't think even "Little Shop of Horrors" made an appearance in 2013.
- Civil War will break out in the USA (a teabaggers wishful thinking?)
- Problems escalating in the Middle East – Typically a "fish-barrel meets shotgun" prediction (especially with Syria having already been in a Civil War for more than a year), but 2013 was notable for its movements towards PEACE with the Iran talks and Syria voluntarily giving up it's chemical weapons. Even the easy ones didn't pan out, dabnabit!
- A space tragedy (does the movie "Gravity" count?)
- A tornado destroys most of Kansas City. – Would that be Kansas City, *Kansas* or Kansas City, *Missouri?* Either way, didn't happen.
- A possible landing of a spaceship – I think I've seen this movie.
- More bird and animals attacks worldwide. – Did I mention that I think I've seen this movie?
- Giant prehistoric sea monsters under the sea. – Damn! What was the name of that movie?
- A worldwide power blackout.
- Terrorist attack in London, England.
"Nikki's" list of predictions for 2013 reads like a script for the next Hollywood blockbuster disaster movie. Of the 115 World Events she predicts, EIGHTY (by my count) fall into the "
Of course, when you make well over 100 predictions, random chance almost ensures a few hits ("even a blind squirrel finds a nut now & then"):
- More cyber attacks. – There were four notable instances of computer crime this year: Britain's NatWest Bank was the victim of a distributed denial of service ("DDoS") attack that inconvenienced thousands of customers for a few days, the Bank of China was hacked by (reportedly) some frustrated "BitCoin" users, North Korea is believed to be behind a cyber attack on South Korean TV stations and two banks, and, of course, more significantly, the recent hack of some 40 million "Target" store customer's credit cards here in the U.S.. Personally, I suspect that if asked for more detail, Ms. Nikki was expecting an attack more along the lines of a "terrorist" nature, not kids hacking credit cards.
- A major automobile company will go bankrupt. – You know what, I'm feeling generous and will give "Detroit Declares Bankruptcy" to Ms. Nikki. The auto-companies themselves might have declared "record PROFITS" this past year (their best since 2007), but the city synonymous with the auto-industry did in fact (thanks to a Republican appointed viceroy who dismantled the local government, disenfranchised nearly a million people and is now liquidating the city's treasures) "declare bankruptcy". Probably not what she was predicting, but there you are.
- Great floods in the US and in Europe – Yes, massive floods did indeed hit Colorado and Central Europe this year.
3-for-115 (she actually made many more predictions than that if you count "celebrity" predictions), for an accuracy rate of 2.6%… and that was after being a bit generous. It's up to you to decide whether "Ms. Nikki" is psychic or just guessing.
The Psychic Twins
A sister duo dubbed "The Psychic Twins" are laying claim to a number of accurate predictions in 2013, including the "Lone Wolf" shootings in DC's "Navy Yard" a knife attack by a mentally disturbed student at a Houston Community College (that I just happened to attend some 20 years ago) that ran around stabbing other students with
They also predicted strict new gun laws passed in Connecticut just days after the Sandy Hook massacre. They MUST be psychic!
"The Psychic Twins" appear to only make their predictions on video, and I have neither the time nor the inclination to spend hours verifying their accuracy, though I have little doubt it would be another case of "throw everything at the wall and see what sticks". This short
Last year I singled out another "celebrity psychic, Blair Robertson" for his poor performance in predicting what 2012 held in store for everyone. Mr. Robertson did a little better this year, (arguably) over his one correct prediction for 2012, correctly predicting this year that "a boxer would die in the ring" but falling short everywhere else. Robertson improved his score this year by a half-point for "predicting" Rhianna and Chris Brown would "tie the knot". The couple played the Media like a fiddle, with photos of "a ring" and even rumors of a "secret wedding", but no, the most famous dysfunctional couple in
Political Prognosticators
It's a bit more difficult this year to find Republicans opining about 2013 after they all had just finished predicting a Mitt Romney landslide, "easily" winning the election as Americans were "fed up" with President Obama, "Obamacare", "taxes" and "Benghazi". That bubble they built up had some might thick glass.
So naturally, when Republicans carried out their threats of being even more obstructionist in 2013, the Right crowed… crowed I tell ya… how "Mitt Romney was right!" when he "predicted" a government Shutdown in 2013. It's a bit like predicting your "homies" are going to "trash this place" if they don't get their way, and then being lauded for your insight when they carry out your threats.
Mitt Romney also "predicted" (according to them) Detroit going bankrupt when he in fact only argued for it as being preferable to a bailout. As noted above, the only reason Detroit declared bankruptcy is because a Viceroy appointed by the state's Republican governor made it so.
In 2010, Oklahoma Sen. Tom Coburn predicted that because of "Obamacare": "There will be no insurance industry left in three years". I have little doubt that Senator Coburn wishes millions of people had lost their insurance and the industry imploded, but darned the luck, they still exists and are expected to reap record profits next year.
Bloomberg Right-Wing News Columnist and "AEI Fellow" Ramesh Ponnuru made a number of negative predictions about President Obama and his policies. He actually didn't do too bad until you consider how many Republican "predictions" were actually self-fulfilling prophecies. Ponnuru "predicted" the Healthcare Exchanges "would not open for business on October 1st" when Secretary Sebelius "admits the federal government won't be ready by then." The government was ready, the private contractors that built the glitchy website were not. They did indeed open on October 1st, but weren't ready and had to be closed soon after for about a week. As a result, Ponnuru predicted support for Obamacare would continue to decline. If you do a Google News search for "poll support for Obamacare", you'll see lots of links to sites all claiming this to be true… ALL of them… each and every one… a Right Wing blog or media outlet (from the NRO to Glenn Beck). Interesting, because all the major networks are reporting how the number of people signing up for insurance through the Exchange "surged to over 1.1 Million" in December in a trend that is expected to continue.
Ponnuru also predicted the courts would continue to rebuke the Obama Administration on the rights of Catholic owned businesses to deny their employees contraception if they view it morally objectionable. The most notable of these cases, the "Hobby Lobby" case, is still waiting in the Supreme Court (see my own prediction on that below.) He also predicted The Supreme Court would find a way to weasel out of ruling on Same Sex Marriage. They didn't, with repercussions that have led to legalization into
He predicted "a new monetary regime" between the U.S. and the U.K. that insulates both nations from the problems of Europe. No idea what he means by "a new monetary regime" even after reading his piece on the subject. Whatever it is, it never happened and Europe's economy is starting to show signs of recovery.
More wishful thinking? "Paul Ryan," feeling he can't work within the GOP, "will resign" in order to "focus on running for president"? No date cited and hardly makes sense as a 2013 prediction, but maybe Ponnuru is looking to late 2014?
How I Did.
Now is the time I look back at my own predictions last year to see how I did. All year long, I thought about the predictions I made for 2013, and as I do every year, I am certain I did "incredibly poorly" that year only to look back at years end and find I didn't do quite as bad as I thought.
- Correct: My first prediction regarding the "fiscal cliff", and whether the GOP was irrational enough to go over it, had to be split into three scenarios: a) the GOP agrees to President Obama's demand that taxes go up on people making over $250K per year, but only because they intend to hold the Debt Ceiling hostage again, b) a deal is reached only after Democrats concede to raise the starting point at which taxes go up to $500K, or c) the Bush Tax Cuts expire because no deal can be reached allowing Democrats to pass the "Obama tax cut". It all depended upon how the GOP reacted. Knowing Scenario "c)" would be the worst possible outcome for them, the GOP agreed to a hybrid of "scenario A" and "scenario B" (pre-planning to hold the Debt Ceiling hostage while agreeing to a deal where the tax increase begins at $450K instead of $250K.)
- A Push: #2 was conditional on the GOP being suicidal enough to go over the cliff and refuse to raise the Debt Ceiling, forcing President Obama to invoke the 14th Amendment. They didn't, so he didn't have to. No way to know if he would have (though he said he wouldn't.) I'm certain when faced with certain global economic catastrophe, he would have. And I think the GOP knew it too, the consequences of which would have been to render them irrelevant the next time a Debt Ceiling fight rolled around. So they had no choice but to cave.
- Wrong: Harry Reid would make good on his threat to "reform the filibuster" at the start of the session. While a "Psychic to the Stars" might take credit for the eventual decision of Reid to "go nuclear" last November, I'm no hypocrite. I was hamstrung when I made my prediction late on December 31st by the fact it might be proved false in less than 24 hours. Considering the
record-settingobstructionist year we had just had, and Reid's own admission that he was "wrong" for not reforming the filibuster the way Democrats pleaded with him to do at the start of the 2011 session. it was almost unimaginable that he would make the same mistake twice. And while he dragged his feet and messaged Senate rules to extend his time to make a decision till the end of the month, Reid did eventually cave to Republican threats, agreeing only to minor, essentially irrelevant changes… something he quickly came to regret as the GOP shutdown the government months later. The reform he finally agreed to last November likewise was only a narrow rules change affecting only the President's judicial & Cabinetappointments.
- Correct: Despite promises of "Election Reform" following the mass disenfranchisement of
Poor & Middle Classvoters seen during Early Voting and on Election Day 2012, not a damn thing was done about it. On to 2014!
- Correct: The Unemployment rate, which I predicted would be "very close to 6.9% by the end of the year (give or take 3/10ths of a point)." After November, the BLS reported the Unemployment Rate had fallen to 7.0%,
a 5-year lowand more than a full point below where it was the year before.
- Wrong: Sadly, concern over spending did not spark public pressure to exit Afghanistan by years end.
- Wrong (and happy about it): While they did remain fairly stable, my prediction that gas prices would still be close to $3.50/gal a year later turned out to be too high, with the national average presently at just under $3.30/gal. I can't in good faith count that as "correct". Maybe a difference of ten cents a gallon, but not twenty. And I didn't foresee things like "nuclear talks with Iran" to bring down oil prices to a three year low.
- Correct: – No U.S. or Israeli strike on Iran. Funny to think how long this nonsense has been going on. And the fact no provocative moves have been made by Iran in all that time only goes to show how reality rarely lives up to the most wild militarist fantasies of Neoconservatives. Much to their chagrin, not only did Iran not do anything threatening, they even reluctantly have opened discussions of disarmament. Astounding.
- Wrong: Ah, Syria! It's depressing to think that Civil War is now in it's THIRD year. I was stung after my first prediction of the fall of Assad in 2011. A bit more cautious last year, I predicted Assad to fall into irrelevancy as the rest of the world just stopped recognizing him as the legitimate leader of Syria. They didn't; he didn't; so for 2014 , I won't.
- Wrong (another "and happy about it"): I predicted the DOW would be around 14,500 points by years end, predicting an impressive rise of more than 1500 points in just one year. Instead, we saw an astonishing rise of nearly 3,500 points in just one year to a new record of just under 16,500 points. If President Obama is a "Socialist", he's
a piss-poorone.
- Correct: As America's economy recovers, so does Europe's and the rest of the worlds.
- Correct (sadly): My exact words were: "Immigration reform? Don't bet your Aunt Fanny on it." Republicans said they wanted it. President Obama said he wanted it. So it was inevitable that nothing would get done.
- Wrong (sadly): Just days after Sandy Hook and the massacre of twenty 6/7-yearolds and six teachers, I couldn't imagine even Republicans turning this into a partisan fight, caving to their
gun-nutbase and doing absolutely nothing to keep weapons of warout of the hands of children, the mentally unstable and known criminals. Lesson learned: Never under-estimatethe depths of GOP cowardice or the ignorance of their base.
Final score: 6 out of 12 (#2 was inconclusive) for 50-percent. Not too shabby for a list I was certain all year long would be one big goose egg. Take that you "Psychics to the Stars" with your "2.6%" accuracy rating!
So now my Predictions for 2014:
- Failing to extend Unemployment benefits at the end of 2013 will mean great hardship that extends beyond Party Lines. Just as Republicans mistakenly believed that voters would side with them for "taking a principled stand" on the Government Shutdown even after it started to affect them personally, they undoubtedly believe the same is true here. As far as the GOP is concerned, only poor Minimum Wage slackers are home waiting for their Unemployment Checks to roll in while they sit on their lazy duffs. But their refusal to continue the extension of those benefits past the end of 2013 will come back to bite them in the butt, not realizing just how many
"Poor & Middle-Class"workers make up their Redneck base. As a result, expect the GOP to agree to a "compromise extension" of Unemployment benefits. There will be an insistence that it be "paid for", but then there will be a huge fight on just what to cut. There will be an extension, just not the "90+ week" maximum some are seeing now. Probably something closer to "52 weeks", double the standard length, with some "creative accounting" paying for it.
- Where will the DOW be by the end of 2014? I sure as heck didn't foresee the meteoric rise of 3,500 points in 2013. Another rise like that would have us knocking on the amazing "20,000 point" mark, and that's going to make a lot of investors nervous about "over exuberant" investors buying stocks just to set a record. I expect the DOW to close just over the "19,200" mark come years end… which is an incredible thought. Bill Clinton took the DOW from around 3700 points to over 11,700 points seven years later… an increase of OVER 300 percent. The DOW bottomed out barely a month after President Obama took office at just over 6600 points. A close of "19,200" would be another rise of nearly 300% in just SIX years. George Bush cut the taxes of the
Rich & Powerful, but cut their portfolio's in half as the economy crashed. With numbers like that, it's easy to see why Wall Street hates Democrats, and loves Republicans (yes, that's snark.)
- Marriage Equality – No surprise that more states will officially declare Same-Sex Marriage as legal, but with it suddenly legal in nearly half the states in the Union and no solid legal argument for why any group of people should be discriminated against, expect a positive ruling from the Supreme Court… probably 5/4 but possibly even 6/3… telling states where SSM is outlawed that they must recognize marriages performed in another state. As people flood to neighboring states to get married, laws banning SSM will become moot and fall like dominoes.
- The Mid-term elections – AKA: "The Battle for the Senate". Not surprisingly, with the House and the Senate so narrowly split, both sides will be pulling out all the stops seeking control of Congress. The big question? What will be the mood of the public come Election Time? Will problems with the health care law sour voters on the Obama Administration? Will unemployment continue to fall making them optimistic? And what role will record low approval ratings for Congress have on turnout? In the end, it's pretty much a wash. The people that hate "Obamacare" will continue to whine about "Obamacare". The people that like the law will continue to do so. I ran into a lot of Conservatives this past year that believe "Obamacare" is an insurance program that you must (MUST) buy into, and they can implode the entire system if they simply refuse to sign up. Little do most of them realize, "Obamacare" does not even apply to them because they already get insurance through their employer. They couldn't "sign up" even if they wanted to. So the entire system doesn't implode, and for most people, nothing changes for them. It will be hard to be "outraged" over health care reform come November. Good economic news will continue, so there will be little economic motive to head to the polls. And despite near single digit approval ratings for Congress, don't expect control of either House to change hands, though, thanks to Gerrymandering, I think Democrats have a better chance of picking up seats in the Senate than the House.
- Which of course takes us to the start of the 2016 campaign (hard to believe it's already a topic.) Though she will try to wait until January 2015, Hillary WILL announce her intention to run for President, as will Chris Christie, whom even this far off, already look to be the front-runners. But anything can happen between now & then.
- Paul Ryan & Patty Murray coming to a two-year budget deal here at the end of 2013 insures no "Fiscal Cliff, Debt Ceiling, Shutdown" economic brinksmanship before the election. No GOP manufactured crisis means we can expect a reasonably smooth, growing economy in 2014. Expect GDP growth in the 4.0+ range next year.
- What will become of NSA Leaker Edward Snowden? I expect a move to South America sometime next year. The last shoe has yet to drop in that story because Snowden took FAR more material than he could possibly have read when he absconded from the NSA with all that Top Secret information. But time is not on his side as much of the information he took grows out of date. As he continues to pour through the files he stole, I expect few additional revelations, perhaps saving his biggest bombshell in time for the election.
- Will Congress raise the Minimum Wage? If this weren't an election year, I'd say yes, but since it is, the state of the economy will play a large part in whether it gets raised or not. A number of states won't wait and raise it on their own, but nationally, if the economy continues to improve, forget it. With no Budget Battles for the GOP to hold hostage, they must dig their heels in somewhere, and
The Minimum Wageis it.
- The Sochi Winter Olympics in Russia is going to be a mess. Technical and scheduling issues as civil unrest disrupts the games. As I type this, we've already seen acts of terrorism very close to Sochi, and Putin won't have a clue how to handle Gay Rights protests in a country where just holding a sign can land you in jail. International condemnation of Russia's anti-gay laws will overshadow many events.
- And while we're on the subject of Sochi, in a separate prediction, I believe the reason President Obama chose former Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano to lead a delegation of openly gay athletes is because she herself intends to come out as gay upon her arrival in Sochi, almost daring the Russian government to arrest her.
- So what will the Unemployment Rate look like by the end of 2014? If current trends continue, I don't think an unemployment rate of 6.1% (give or take 3/10th of a point) is out of the realm of possibility. If it weren't an election year, I'd might go lower than that, but it's in the GOP's interest to encourage a worsening economy going into the Mid-term elections. With no budget battles to destabilize the economy in an election year, it'll be difficult. I'm interested in seeing how they pull it off.
- What about Iran? I think a nuclear disarmament deal WILL be struck that allows Iran to continue to develop nuclear energy using Uranium bred outside the country (probably Russia.) IAEA inspectors will be allowed into the country to check for nuclear weapons development. In exchange, the U.S. will once again allow Iranian oil to be traded on the U.S. Market, causing a decline in the price of oil (maybe $80/barrel give or take $5?), lowering gas prices in the U.S., serving as a substantial boost to the American economy. 2014 will be a very good year for the U.S. economy.
- Ted Cruz announces his intention to run for President. Outside of the (dwindling) Tea Party, support for his candidacy will not exceed that of Michele Bachmann in 2012, and his campaign will fizzle out early in 2015.
- Hobby Lobby's "my religious beliefs supersede yours because I'm your boss" Supreme Court case will return a verdict in favor of the Christian-owned craft store. Any other sane Supreme Court would realize that if a "Christian" owned company can decide what health care you can get, so could an Amish, Muslim or even Satanic boss dictate your health care choices. But an "Amish, Muslim or Satanic" corporation didn't file this case. A "Christian" one did. And therefore, this Conservative Court will tie the Constitution into knots to accommodate them. Republicans will tout it as "a victory for Americans over the scourge of Obamacare."
- Following up on last year, no "Election Reform" bill will be taken up in an election year. Republican governors will step up their efforts to disenfranchise tens of thousands of Democratically leaning voter blocks… most of whom will be minorities.
- As an homage to my "psychic" friends out there, a really big hurricane will hit someplace somewhere.
- And another "Lone-wolf" gun nut will go on a shooting spree, killing over a dozen people. And what will come of it in terms of gun control? Nothing.
- And finally, Syria. In 2011, I predicted Assad would be overthrown just like all the other "Arab Spring" nations did to their leaders. But Assad was willing to be far more brutal and had the army on his side.
In 2012, I predictedhim to become irrelevant as the rest of the world simply stopped recognizing his authority, but that didn't happen either. So now, in year three, all I'm willing to wager is that the Syrian conflict will still be raging a year from now. That's a prediction I'd be happy to get wrong.
Eighteen predictions. I can live with that. How do you think I did? Post your own predictions for 2014 in the Comments.
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Best of SA 2013
Best Pizza
Published: April 24, 2013
1. Dough Pizzeria
6989 Blanco, (210) 979-6565, doughpizzeria.com
2. Freetail Brewing Co.
4035 N 1604 W, (210) 395-4974, freetailbrewing.com
3. Big Lou's Pizzeria
2048 S WW White, (210) 337-0707, biglouspizzaonline.com
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Definition of furfuraceous in English:
furfuraceousSyllabification: fur·fu·ra·ceous
Pronunciation: /ˌfərf(y)əˈrāSHəs /
adjectiveBotany & Medicine
Covered with or characterized by branlike scales.
More example sentences
- Fifty subjects suffering from scalp seborrhea and furfuraceous desquamation took part in this clinical trial.
- The stem of this species is 70-100 × 9-20 mm, narrowing upward, solid or stuffed, white, smooth and glabrous at first, becoming finely furfuraceous towards the base.
- They are recognized by dark, ridged, pitted, usually conic-shaped caps, the margin fused to the stipe, or somewhat overlapping, and a whitish to cream-buff, furfuraceous stipe with folds at the base.
mid 17th century: from late Latin furfuraceus (from Latin furfur 'bran') + -ous.
Definition of furfuraceous in:
- The British & World English dictionary
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Word of the day noisome
Pronunciation: ˈnoisəm
having an extremely offensive smell


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The real Spyderman - Alain Robert
Posted by metaled on Sep. 05, 2007
Posted by metaled on Sep. 05, 2007
Sorry guys: but no more zoom I had. That was a digital camera video.
one word!: ZOOOOOOOOOOOOOM!!!!!!!
yet another example of: an exciting subject completely ruined by a deadly dull video. I see a friggin speck on the side of a building. Wow. The thrills are almost unbearable.


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|Total (w/tax)
|Total (w/tax)
Book Description:
"[The United States' goal in Angola] was not to keep out the Cubans and Soviets but to make their imperial efforts as costly as possible to prove that, after Vietnam, we were still capable of response, however insane. It is the story that has been told, and in impressive and convincing detail, by John Stockwell, the former chief of the CIA's Angola 'task force.' His book should not be missed. Since strategic thought survives by ignoring experience, it has a highly professional interest in avoiding accounts such as this. By the same token, all who are alarmed about the tendency toward such strategic thinking should strongly welcome Mr. Stockwell's book." —John Kenneth Galbraith, New York Review of BooksIn Search of Enemies is much more than the story of the only war to be found when the CIA sought to recoup its prestige after the Vietnam debacle. Though no American troops were committed to Angola, only "advisors," many millions were spent, many thousands died, and many lies were told to the American people, in waging a war without purpose to American vital interests and without hope of victory.


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- 7:34:24, Oct 21st 2014 - concerned - You do know that the school is on a state highway right now don't you? Ho ... [Read More]
- 8:58:54, Oct 20th 2014 - Joel Hovland - Why do kids need a new school? Answer, they don't! For the past 6 ... [Read More]
- 6:45:12, Oct 20th 2014 - olliesemn - Thank you mayor for defending the ruling minority,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, Not ... [Read More]
- 2:15:32, Oct 20th 2014 - curiosity... - Just out of curiosity for what reason is it that you believe Mr. Kaase ... [Read More]
- 10:10:04, Oct 20th 2014 - Facts - We are voting on a complete package this time. The last vote was a chopped ... [Read More]
- 9:37:50, Oct 20th 2014 - truth - "I say they should respect the wishes of the voters as they were clearly told ... [Read More]
- 9:22:29, Oct 20th 2014 - truth - "R-P administration and the "Vote Yes" group say we should show respect f ... [Read More]
- 5:58:02, Oct 19th 2014 - - F.Y.I--Passed, not pasted ... [Read More]
- 4:32:49, Oct 19th 2014 - RFDVOLUNTEER - To "the truth hurts and "loud interruption" I am for the school, but ... [Read More]
- 4:19:23, Oct 19th 2014 - Facts - Read these commentaries and then actually call the district and get the true ... [Read More]
Spring Valley, MN
Sample spring and rediscover the solitude and harmony of nature. Angle for trout, enjoy wild flowers, take up birding, scout for mushrooms -- these and more can be enjoyed in the countryside near Spring Valley. In town, check out the Tourist Info Stop on the main highway for complete information on Bluff Country attractions.
If you would like to sample fascinating history, tour the 1876 Methodist Church Museum on the National Register with its 21 remarkable stained glass windows and its connection with Laura Ingalls Wilder. A photo and artifact exhibit show the Wilder family's involvement with Spring Valley history. Visit the rest of the historical society's museum complex including the Washburn-Zittleman House with its 12 exhibit areas of turn-of-the-century furnishings, the new Ag Building and adjacent History Hall. Also on the National Register is the 1904 Carnegie Library.
Summer can best be sampled through recreation. The City Park offers a solar-heated swimming pool, picnic shelter and tables, children's playground, ball fields, and tennis and volleyball courts. Tee off on the Root River Country Club's excellent 9-hole golf course, or check out other relaxing options such as tubing, horseback riding or picnicking at nearby Lake Louise State Park. For a cool change of pace, tour Mystery Cave where you will see an underground cathedral, beautiful Turquoise Lake and many more unusual and ed-ucational sights.
Any time is the right time to visit Forestville State Park located 11 miles southeast of Spring Valley. You can camp, horseback ride, hike, picnic, fish, bird, snowmobile, or cross-country ski at this lovely forested park. Camping is also available near Spring Valley at Deer Creek Campground. Motels, a B&B and several dining places furnish more good places to eat and stay over.
As summer draws to a close, enjoy the Wilder Fest Celebration in Spring Valley in mid-August. The entire family can participate or be entertained by a multitude of events which include dancing, contests, a parade, a quilt and flower show, an ice cream social with live music, an historic house tour, and an exciting fireworks display to climax the weekend.
Fall comes alive when you sample the Fall Foliage Tour. Take the scenic drive beginning in Spring Valley, traveling east on Highway #16 to Hokah circling west on Highway #44 back to Highway #63, then north to Spring Valley. The trip may take approximately five hours, depending on the number of stops at produce stands or for refreshment breaks.
Winter, of course, means sampling snow activities. Besides cross-country skiing and snowmobiling, you can snowshoe on the delightfully uncrowded trails in the area. The Historical Society also hosts an annual Christmas Open House Tour and Christmas Tea the first weekend in December. Come and sample the fun!


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Meta Search
search across all the following databases:
Data Catalog
Data and documentation
Common questions and answers.
Entire collection of data resources.
Political Science: A self-inflicted wound?
Sage Stats and CQ Political Stats Trial
Breaking News: Protect the 2020 Census
The Fastest Growing US Cities Are Mostly In the West
Another rule from NIH: Demographers might get to ignore this one
Has anyone combined the 1999-2002 data with the 2003-2004 NHANES data?
I'm using the 4yr weights for the 99-02 but I'm not sure what to do with the 2yr weights on the 2003-2004 data - there don't appear to be updates with 6yr weights. How do I handle the weights when combining 03-04 with the earlier data?
This document on the NCHS website tells you how to create a 6-year weight:
For an estimate of the 6-year 1999-2004, a 6-year weight variable can be created by taking 2/3 of the 4 year weight for each sampled person in 1999-2002 and 1/3 of the 2 year weight for each sampled person in 2003-04.
The document doesn't have page numbers, but this is towards the end of it (~15 page document).
NCHS has created a tutorial for using the NHANES data, which you might find useful:


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ChevronTexaco expands northeastward
ChevronTexaco expanded its reach when its general aviation division announced that the Hiller Group, a major distributor of ChevronTexaco aviation products, would expand its marketing territory. Based in Tampa, Fla., Hiller already supported more than 140 Chevron-branded FBOs in the South and Southeast. The expansion move targets midatlantic and northeastern locations, where the Chevron brand of aviation fuel and services is less recognized.
ChevronTexaco General Aviation is a division of ChevronTexaco Global Aviation, which supplies fuel and service to more than 200 commercial airlines at as many as 350 airports in 80 countries. In the U.S., ChevronTexaco supports some 600 FBOs nationwide.
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text:
MINOLTA 16QT 16mm CAMERA SET
MINOLTA 16QT 16mm CAMERA SET
Sold For:
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Sold Date: 05/06/2011
Channel: Online Auction
Source: eBay
Category: Tools
MINOLTA 16QT 16mm CAMERA SET
YOU ARE LOOKING AT A BEAUTIFUL MINOLTA 16QT 16mm SUBMINIATURE CAMERA IN THE ORIGINAL PRESENTATION BOX WITH FLASH AND STROBE ADAPTOR IN EXCELLENT COSMETIC CONDITION.Minolta 16MM Subminiature camera Electroflash Flash adaptor Film Camera Strap Instructions Presentation case. LACK OF FILM MEANS WE ARE UNABLE TO TEST THIS ITEM AND SUBSEQUENTLY WE ARE OFFERING THIS ITEM AS BEING FOR DECORATIVE/ DISPLAY USE AND IT IS SOLD AS IS. SEE PHOTOS FOR DETAILS. MORE PHOTOS ARE AVAILABLE ON REQUEST.
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Sarah Caron from Sarah's Cucina Bella shares a favorite appetizer recipe - super easy homemade pretzels. This warm, crusty, buttery, salty bite-size pretzel is perfect for snacking between plays. Serve them up with dipping sauces like honey mustard and salsa con queso.
©2013 General Mills, Inc. All Rights Reserved. This information will only be used to send an email to your friend(s) and l not be saved. Please read our Privacy Policy
Hint: spray the baking sheet with cooking oil before laying the parchment down – it will hold the paper in place.
© 2014 ®/TM General Mills All Rights Reserved


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Sports Illustrated
Air New Zealand's safety video pulled amid online petition (VIDEO)
Air New Zealand partnered with Sports Illustrated® Swimsuit to celebrate 50 years with their latest in-flight safety video. Models Christie Brinkley, Jessica Gomes, Chrissy Teigen, Hannah Davis and Ariel Meredith, along with some locals, are […]
Photographer at RFK assassination dies in Conn.
DANBURY, Conn. (AP) — A photojournalist whose career included capturing images of a mortally wounded Robert F. Kennedy has died in Connecticut. Bill Eppridge was 75. His wife, Adrienne Aurichio, says he died Thursday morning […]
You win, big-time college athletics
Maybe it's time to wave the white flag. Just concede that college sports will always be a cesspool of under-the-table payouts, win-at-all-cost coaches, look-the-other-way administrators, out-of-control boosters, and athletes who make a mockery of the […]
ESPN regrets Broussard comment on gay NBA player
NEW YORK (AP) — ESPN says that it regrets the "distraction" caused by one of its reporters who described Jason Collins as a sinner after the NBA center publicly revealed that he was gay.
Cheryl Tiegs on Business Rockstars
Today on Business Rockstars, Ken Rutkowski talks with supermodel and businesswoman, Cheryl Tiegs. With her signature line of clothing and accessories for Sears, Cheryl Tiegs has sold nearly a billion dollars of merchandise.
Leak of SI cover
Fashion Copious has a leaked image of the Sports Illustrated Swimsuit issue revealing (pun intended) the surprise that Kate Upton is once again on the cover.
SI gets ready for annual swimsuit issue
Few would think about swimming in Antarctica, but Sports Illustrated took its models there for its annual swimsuit issue – shooting on all seven continents for the first time.
Lewis calls SI report "stupidity"
Baltimore Ravens linebacker Ray Lewis has been accused of using deer antler spray to speed up his recovery from an injury. WHAT?! Dr. Michael Hirt spoke with Penny and Phil about this substance. Click to listen.


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Last weekend marked the 40th anniversary of the introduction of the File Transfer Protocol (FTP). While FTP certainly isn't pretty to use, it has served a purpose. Originally designed to enable programmers to move files between systems, FTP has continued to serve that purpose nobly for the past 40 years.
However IT departments who have used FTP as the basis for employees to share files across the enterprise, have had less successful results.
If a tree falls in a forest, and no one hears it, does it make a sound? Or the file sharing equivalent – if an employee uses a free personal file sharing account, and IT doesn't know about it, does it still present a security risk? You bet it does.
The Epsilon data breach of last week keeps on giving, with millions of email notifications being sent out from the companies affected, informing recipients of the incident. The New York Times has weighed in and made recommendations for Congress to address this type of failure for consumers with an editorial "Who Really Sent That E-Mail?"
We should all thank Corinne Schmid at CMSWire for reminding us of the central role that employees play in Enterprise Collaboration. Far too often articles on collaboration focus on business benefits derived from collaboration, rather than the efficiencies gained by individuals. But the fact remains that if:
Enterprise Collaboration is a journey, it is used to reach a destination by its drivers – Employees."
10. Your company has already had a data breach. Don't make the same mistake twice. According to a recent survey by McAfee, only half of the companies who have had a data breach or attempted data breach, have taken steps to remediate and protect systems for the future.
Thanks Mike Rothman, analyst and president at security research firm Securosis, for pointing out in this week's CSO article by George Hulme, that denying execs the use of their shiny new iPads is not going to make anyone popular. We agree with you Mike, "You have to try to find a way to secure these devices the best you can."
I'm a certified news junkie. I read at least half a dozen online publications every day and one of my favorite sites is GigaOM, in particular their WebWorkerDaily articles. I enjoy reading their articles on how social media is disrupting information flows in the enterprise, and the impact of the increasing use of consumer technologies in the workplace.
Accellion is participating at the Gartner Portals, Content and Collaboration (PCC) Summit this week as part of the launch of our new Secure Collaboration Solution.
A couple of interesting takeaways from the first day of the Gartner Summit:
Today Accellion announced the introduction of Accellion Secure Collaboration with Mobile Apps for the enterprise.
We understand that collaboration means many things to many people. Accellion approaches collaboration from a file sharing perspective and is geared toward securely sharing enterprise information.
Accellion Secure Collaboration extends the award-winning file transfer capabilities our customers already enjoy and also:
The Federal Times ran an article yesterday on how IT organizations can make information sharing easier by giving end users more control. The article featured an interview with Accellion's customer, The U.S. National Park Service. An excerpt is here:
The National Park Service has some 140 projects in the works thanks to stimulus spending — everything from Everglades restoration in Florida to the rehabilitation of the Reflecting Pool on the National Mall.
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For Enterprise IT
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Kalin wrote an answer about Salomon X Ultra Mid GTX Hiking Boot - Men's on February 23, 2014
these shoes are narrow, I have narrow feet and they are borderline. The trail runners are very narrow also. It seems Salomon shoes run a bit on the narrow side in general